As of this morning, Sunday, November 27, 2022, there are 80 Bowl Eligible teams for 82 slots in bowls. There are three teams that can still become bowl eligible. Buffalo is 5-6. They host Akron in the makeup game that was postponed when Buffalo was blanketed with feet of snow. Army is 5-6, and a win over Navy would make the Black Knights bowl eligible. New Mexico State is 5-6, and it is not yet determined if the Aggies will get the opportunity to makeup their postponed game with San Jose State. In a wild and crazy world, NMSU has two other options that could work to supply them a replacement game. Virginia Tech had their game with Virginia cancelled and could get an extra game. Vanderbilt had the opportunity to play a 13th game having played in Hawaii, and the Commodores could get an extra game. It’s about 99% certain that neither team would play in Las Cruces on Saturday. Only San Jose State might still agree to playing the game.
Appalachian State has six wins, but two came against FCS teams. The rules state that only one FCS win can be counted toward bowl eligibility, but when there are not enough bowl eligible teams, a team may receive a waiver.
If one or two 5-7 teams need to be added to the bowl schedule, the Academic Progress Rate score determines which team(s) can go. This year, if one additional 5-win team is needed, it will be Rice. If a second 5-7 team is needed, it will be UNLV. For now, we will predict Army and Buffalo to get their sixth wins, and Appy State will get their waiver with two FCS wins.
Bowl
Team
Team
Bahamas
Miami (O)
UAB
Cure
Troy
Air Force
Fenway
Pittsburgh
Cincinnati
New Mexico
Wyoming
North Texas
L.A.
Oregon
Boise St.
Lending Tree
Toledo
Southern Miss.
Las Vegas
UCLA
South Carolina
Frisco
Fresno St.
Houston
Myrtle Beach
Marshall
Conecticut
Famous Idaho Potato
Utah St.
Bowling Green
Boca Raton
Coastal Carolina
Liberty
New Orleans
South Alabama
Western Kentucky
Armed Forces
Central Florida
UTSA
Independence
SMU
Army
Gasparilla
Wake Forest
Arkansas
Hawaii
San Diego St.
Middle Tennessee
Quick Lane
Buffalo
Louisiana
Camellia
Ohio
Georgia Southern
First Responder
BYU
Kansas
Birmingham
Memphis
Appalachian St.
Guaranteed Rate
Wisconsin
Baylor
Military
Syracsue
East Carolina
Liberty
Oklahoma
Missouri
Holiday
Utah
Notre Dame
Texas
Texas Tech
Ole Miss
Pinstripe
Iowa
North Carolina St.
Cheez-It
North Carolina
Oklahoma St.
Alamo
Texas
Oregon St.
Duke’s Mayo
Duke
Minnesota
Tony the Tiger Sun
Florida St.
Washington St.
Arizona
San Jose St.
Eastern Michigan
Orange
Clemson
Tennessee
Music City
Maryland
Kentucky
Sugar
Alabama
Kansas St.
TaxSlayer
Florida
Louisville
Peach
Georgia
USC
Fiesta
Michigan
TCU
Reliaquest (Outback)
Mississippi St.
Illinois
Citrus
LSU
Purdue
Cotton
Penn St.
Tulane
Rose
Ohio St.
Washington
National Championship
Georgia
Michigan
Comments Off on PiRate Ratings College Football–Championship Week
Note: Our ratings are not reward based on what the teams have done so far. They are predictive in nature, meant to be used for the following week to predict the outcome of games. Thus, a two-loss team is ranked number three over a one-loss team that beat them. Do not confuse power ratings for rankings like the AP, COaches, and Playoff Polls.
#
Team
Rating
1
Ohio St.
132.8
2
Georgia
132.7
3
Alabama
129.2
4
Michigan
127.6
5
Tennessee
125.3
6
Penn St.
119.8
7
L S U
117.5
8
Texas
117.3
9
Clemson
117.2
10
Utah
117.1
11
Oregon
117.1
12
Baylor
116.5
13
T C U
116.2
14
Florida St.
116.0
15
Kansas St.
115.6
16
Notre Dame
115.6
17
Minnesota
115.4
18
Mississippi St.
114.7
19
Wisconsin
114.5
20
Ole Miss
113.5
21
U C L A
113.1
22
Louisville
113.0
23
NC State
112.7
24
Arkansas
112.5
25
U S C
112.3
26
Oklahoma
112.2
27
Iowa
112.0
28
Illinois
111.8
29
Purdue
111.6
30
Michigan St.
110.7
31
Maryland
110.4
32
Oklahoma St.
109.7
33
Kentucky
109.7
34
North Carolina
109.6
35
Oregon St.
109.5
36
Wake Forest
109.2
37
Florida
109.0
38
Cincinnati
108.8
39
Texas Tech
108.7
40
Texas A&M
108.7
41
Iowa St.
108.6
42
Pittsburgh
108.4
43
Washington
108.1
44
South Carolina
107.6
45
Washington St.
107.5
46
UCF
107.4
47
Syracuse
107.3
48
Auburn
105.5
49
Kansas
105.4
50
Missouri
104.7
51
Boise St.
104.2
52
Tulane
104.0
53
SMU
103.8
54
East Carolina
103.3
55
BYU
103.2
56
Liberty
103.1
57
Air Force
102.4
58
West Virginia
102.3
59
Arizona St.
102.0
60
Houston
101.5
61
Nebraska
101.4
62
Miami (Fla.)
101.2
63
Fresno St.
100.6
64
California
98.9
65
Appalachian St.
98.7
66
Duke
98.7
67
W. Kentucky
98.6
68
Stanford
98.5
69
Toledo
98.3
70
Georgia St.
98.1
71
Virginia
98.1
72
Memphis
97.7
73
U T S A
97.5
74
Indiana
97.4
75
Rutgers
97.2
76
U A B
96.6
77
Northwestern
96.3
78
Arizona
96.3
79
Troy
96.3
80
James Madison
95.9
81
Virginia Tech
95.7
82
South Alabama
95.4
83
San Jose St.
95.4
84
Marshall
95.3
85
Army
94.9
86
Coastal Carolina
94.8
87
North Texas
94.0
88
Boston College
93.6
89
Georgia Tech
93.3
90
Tulsa
93.1
91
Ga. Southern
92.6
92
Vanderbilt
92.5
93
Louisiana
92.3
94
Navy
92.2
95
San Diego St.
92.1
96
Ohio
92.1
97
N. Illinois
91.8
98
Buffalo
91.0
99
Central Mich.
90.8
100
Miami (Ohio)
90.5
101
Utah St.
90.2
102
Old Dominion
89.7
103
Wyoming
89.3
104
Florida Atlantic
89.2
105
Southern Miss.
88.2
106
Kent St.
88.0
107
USF
87.8
108
U N L V
87.5
109
Western Mich.
87.1
110
Ball St.
86.9
111
Bowling Green
86.6
112
Eastern Mich.
86.3
113
Colorado
86.0
114
Middle Tennessee
84.5
115
U T E P
84.3
116
Texas St.
83.7
117
Connecticut
83.2
118
Rice
82.3
119
Arkansas St.
82.3
120
Nevada
82.1
121
UL-Monroe
81.9
122
Louisiana Tech
81.9
123
Colorado St.
81.3
124
Temple
80.9
125
New Mexico
78.1
126
Charlotte
74.9
127
Akron
74.9
128
New Mexico St.
74.8
129
Hawaii
73.8
130
Massachusetts
69.7
131
Florida Int’l.
68.1
PiRate Ratings By Conference
American Athletic
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Cincinnati
108.8
108.1
109.4
108.8
UCF
107.0
107.6
107.6
107.4
Tulane
104.0
103.8
104.3
104.0
SMU
103.9
103.3
104.2
103.8
East Carolina
103.2
102.8
103.8
103.3
Houston
101.7
100.9
101.8
101.5
Memphis
97.8
98.0
97.3
97.7
Tulsa
93.6
92.8
93.0
93.1
Navy
92.6
92.2
91.9
92.2
USF
88.6
87.6
87.4
87.8
Temple
80.9
82.2
79.6
80.9
AAC
98.4
98.1
98.2
98.2
Atlantic Coast
Atlantic Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Clemson
117.4
117.0
117.3
117.2
Florida St.
116.2
115.8
115.9
116.0
Louisville
113.2
112.9
112.9
113.0
NC State
113.2
112.4
112.5
112.7
Wake Forest
109.4
109.1
109.0
109.2
Syracuse
108.1
107.0
106.9
107.3
Boston College
93.9
94.6
92.3
93.6
Coastal Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
North Carolina
109.9
109.9
109.2
109.6
Pittsburgh
109.3
108.3
107.6
108.4
Miami (Fla.)
101.9
101.0
100.6
101.2
Duke
98.4
100.3
97.2
98.7
Virginia
98.6
98.7
97.0
98.1
Virginia Tech
96.3
96.2
94.6
95.7
Georgia Tech
94.0
93.8
92.3
93.3
ACC
105.7
105.5
104.7
105.3
Big 12
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Texas
118.1
117.2
116.6
117.3
Baylor
117.0
115.9
116.6
116.5
T C U
116.9
115.6
116.3
116.2
Kansas St.
116.3
115.0
115.5
115.6
Oklahoma
112.6
111.7
112.4
112.2
Oklahoma St.
110.5
108.9
109.7
109.7
Texas Tech
109.0
107.9
109.3
108.7
Iowa St.
108.8
108.5
108.6
108.6
Kansas
106.4
105.2
104.6
105.4
West Virginia
102.8
102.2
102.0
102.3
Big 12
111.8
110.8
111.2
111.3
Big Ten
East Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Ohio St.
133.1
132.0
133.3
132.8
Michigan
127.9
127.2
127.8
127.6
Penn St.
120.0
119.8
119.7
119.8
Michigan St.
111.6
110.5
110.1
110.7
Maryland
111.0
110.6
109.8
110.4
Indiana
98.4
97.6
96.1
97.4
Rutgers
98.5
97.4
95.7
97.2
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Minnesota
115.9
115.0
115.4
115.4
Wisconsin
114.8
114.6
114.1
114.5
Iowa
112.9
111.9
111.1
112.0
Illinois
112.0
112.5
111.1
111.8
Purdue
112.6
111.6
110.6
111.6
Nebraska
102.1
101.7
100.6
101.4
Northwestern
96.5
97.2
95.3
96.3
Big Ten
112.0
111.4
110.8
111.4
Conference USA
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
W. Kentucky
98.1
98.1
99.7
98.6
U T S A
97.5
96.8
98.0
97.5
U A B
96.4
96.2
97.3
96.6
North Texas
93.5
93.5
94.9
94.0
Florida Atlantic
89.1
90.0
88.6
89.2
Middle Tennessee
84.3
84.7
84.6
84.5
U T E P
84.4
84.3
84.0
84.3
Rice
82.3
82.4
82.3
82.3
Louisiana Tech
81.7
82.8
81.1
81.9
Charlotte
74.7
75.4
74.5
74.9
Florida Int’l.
67.7
69.7
66.8
68.1
CUSA
86.3
86.7
86.5
86.5
Independents
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Notre Dame
115.9
114.6
116.2
115.6
BYU
103.7
102.4
103.5
103.2
Liberty
102.2
103.3
103.7
103.1
Army
94.8
95.0
95.0
94.9
Connecticut
83.2
84.4
81.9
83.2
New Mexico St.
74.3
76.2
73.9
74.8
Massachusetts
70.0
70.8
68.2
69.7
Independents
92.0
92.4
91.8
92.1
Mid-American
East Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Ohio
90.7
92.9
92.6
92.1
Buffalo
89.7
91.9
91.6
91.0
Miami (Ohio)
89.4
91.4
90.7
90.5
Kent St.
87.5
89.1
87.5
88.0
Bowling Green
86.6
86.4
86.7
86.6
Akron
74.8
75.5
74.3
74.9
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Toledo
97.6
98.6
98.7
98.3
N. Illinois
91.6
92.0
91.8
91.8
Central Mich.
89.5
91.1
91.7
90.8
Western Mich.
86.7
87.5
87.1
87.1
Ball St.
86.4
87.6
86.8
86.9
Eastern Mich.
85.9
86.7
86.2
86.3
MAC
88.0
89.2
88.8
88.7
Mountain West
Mountain Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Boise St.
104.2
103.6
104.9
104.2
Air Force
102.2
102.0
102.9
102.4
Utah St.
90.0
90.1
90.4
90.2
Wyoming
88.3
90.1
89.6
89.3
Colorado St.
81.0
81.8
81.3
81.3
New Mexico
78.6
78.5
77.2
78.1
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Fresno St.
100.5
100.2
101.2
100.6
San Jose St.
94.9
95.4
95.8
95.4
San Diego St.
92.3
91.7
92.3
92.1
U N L V
87.9
86.5
88.1
87.5
Nevada
81.7
83.1
81.4
82.1
Hawaii
73.2
74.4
74.0
73.8
MWC
89.6
89.8
89.9
89.8
Pac-12
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Utah
116.9
116.3
118.2
117.1
Oregon
117.2
116.7
117.3
117.1
U C L A
112.6
112.6
114.1
113.1
U S C
111.8
112.2
112.8
112.3
Oregon St.
109.6
108.9
110.1
109.5
Washington
107.8
108.0
108.4
108.1
Washington St.
107.0
107.4
108.0
107.5
Arizona St.
102.0
101.5
102.4
102.0
California
98.5
98.7
99.5
98.9
Stanford
99.5
97.7
98.3
98.5
Arizona
96.2
96.1
96.5
96.3
Colorado
86.8
85.3
86.0
86.0
Pac-12
105.5
105.1
106.0
105.5
Southeastern
East Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Georgia
132.7
131.8
133.6
132.7
Tennessee
125.0
125.0
125.8
125.3
Kentucky
109.3
109.7
110.1
109.7
Florida
108.4
109.7
108.9
109.0
South Carolina
107.7
107.3
107.7
107.6
Missouri
104.8
105.1
104.2
104.7
Vanderbilt
92.6
93.2
91.5
92.5
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Alabama
129.1
128.4
130.0
129.2
L S U
117.7
117.2
117.5
117.5
Mississippi St.
115.5
114.2
114.5
114.7
Ole Miss
114.5
113.0
113.1
113.5
Arkansas
112.9
111.6
113.1
112.5
Texas A&M
108.4
108.8
108.9
108.7
Auburn
106.4
104.9
105.1
105.5
SEC
113.2
112.9
113.1
113.1
Sunbelt
East Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Appalachian St.
97.6
98.8
99.6
98.7
Georgia St.
97.4
97.5
99.4
98.1
James Madison
94.3
95.7
97.7
95.9
Marshall
94.7
95.6
95.4
95.3
Coastal Carolina
93.9
95.0
95.5
94.8
Ga. Southern
92.2
92.3
93.4
92.6
Old Dominion
89.7
89.7
89.7
89.7
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Troy
95.3
96.1
97.4
96.3
South Alabama
94.6
95.1
96.4
95.4
Louisiana
91.7
92.1
93.1
92.3
Southern Miss.
87.7
88.2
88.6
88.2
Texas St.
82.8
84.1
84.1
83.7
Arkansas St.
81.6
82.9
82.3
82.3
UL-Monroe
81.8
82.2
81.8
81.9
Sun Belt
91.1
91.8
92.5
91.8
Conference Ratings
#
Conference
Rating
1
Southeastern
113.1
2
Big Ten
111.4
3
Big 12
111.3
4
Pac-12
105.5
5
Atlantic Coast
105.3
6
American Athletic
98.2
7
Independents
92.1
8
Sun Belt
91.8
9
Mountain West
89.8
10
Mid-American
88.7
11
Conference USA
86.5
Playoff & Bowl Projections
Four weeks from today, the College Football Playoffs and Postseason Bowl Game participants will be revealed to the public. With less than a month to go, it’s time to take a more in-depth look at where things stand and where they might go.
The Playoff Race
After yesterday’s Georgia-Tennessee, Alabama-LSU, and Notre Dame-Clemson games played, it left three teams in the clear-cut lead to be in the top four this week. Georgia has now penned the lone losses on Oregon and Tennessee, and the Bulldogs will ascend to number one. Ohio State won ugly at Northwestern yesterday, but they played in severe weather. Michigan once again spotted an opponent an early lead and then steamrolled Rutgers by four touchdowns. Those three teams will be in the Big Four on Tuesday. Who will be number four? We believe it will be Tennessee, as losing at the new number one team by two touchdowns definitely tops Oregon’s blowout loss in Atlanta to the same team. Should TCU be in the mix? They most definitely should, but as so many media experts explain, their name drops them a couple spots in the rankings, just like Cincinnati last year at this time. If the Horned Frogs win out with three tough games to go, they almost assuredly would move into the top four, but that’s a big if, and at the present time, having watched TCU play most of their games, we don’t see this team sitting at 13-0 on December 4.
If we have to make a wild guess, we will say that Georgia will easily win out in the regular season, even if their game in Starkville this week may be a trap game. We cannot see any of Tennessee’s final three opponents competing against the Vols. Georgia stopped their offense, because the Bulldogs have a defense not that much weaker than the Detroit Lions (probably more future Pro Bowl players than the Lions). Neither Ohio State nor Michigan have much in their way prior to the big game at the Giant Horseshoe. It won’t be popular, but a Big Ten-SEC Challenge in the Playoffs could be in the offing. As of today, we have Georgia playing Michigan in the Peach Bowl, and Ohio State playing Tennessee in the Fiesta Bowl. Oregon might win out and finish 12-1 and have to settle for the Rose Bowl. We can see TCU actually losing twice in the next month, and maybe having to settle for the Cotton Bowl or even the Alamo Bowl, depending on what UCLA or USC does out West.
The New Year’s Six
One thing that happened this weekend was the elimination of Alabama and most likely Clemson from the Playoff picture. With LSU’s win, the Tigers have a tough rebound game at Arkansas, and if Brian Kelly can lead the Bayou Bengals into Fayetteville and win, they almost have the SEC West clinched. At 10-2 and a loss to Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, we believe the Sugar Bowl will take them in a heartbeat. Where would that leave a 10-2 Alabama? We think they would still get an Orange Bowl bid, where they might face their former nemesis Clemson. The Rose Bowl would get the Pac-12 champion that would not be Playoff bound, so we’ll slot Oregon in there for now but not rule out the winner of the USC-UCLA game. That leaves the Cotton Bowl. The Group of Five team that finishes the highest in the ratings will automatically get a bid here. If that bid was extended today, the Tulane Green Wave would receive it, but TU must beat Central Florida, Cincinnati, and then one of those two again in the AAC Championship Game to get to 12-1 and secure the bid. Should TU falter, and we think that’s a very high possibility, the next team in line, one that strengthened their resume with a road win against an SEC team, would be Liberty, if the Flames win out (a much higher probability than Tulane). The last at-large team in the field would most likely be Penn State at 10-2, but the number two team in the Pac-12 could beat the Nittany Lions out. With losses to just two teams that we pick to be in the Playoffs, we’d go with Penn State to edge out any two-loss Pac-12 team.
American Athletic
As we previously mentioned, we do not see Tulane winning out, and should the Green Wave lose to both Central Florida and Cincinnati, they won’t even make the AAC Championship Game. If they beat UCF in New Orleans, they would have to beat Cinti in consecutive weeks to get there, once in the Queen City and then once in the Crescent City. If the Bearcats win out, and Tulane beats UCF, then Cinti would host Tulane in consecutive weeks. If UCF wins out, and Cincinnati tops Tulane, then the Bearcats would have to go to Orlando in the conference championship game.
Elsewhere in the AAC, with SMU’s record-setting basketball score win over Houston, the Mustangs are almost a lock to get a bowl bid. East Carolina is already bowl eligible. Houston and Memphis have work to do, but the schedule is favorable for both. As for the Cougars, Dana Holgersen may not be coaching the team by bowl season.
Atlantic Coast & Notre Dame
A half-dozen teams will have to lose games before Clemson has a remote chance to sneak into the playoffs, assuming the Tigers can win out. If they play like they have the last few weeks, beating North Carolina in the ACC Championship Game would be 50-50 at best, and they might even be vulnerable against South Carolina in the regular season finale. At best, CU can hope for another ACC title and a trip to the Orange Bowl. North Carolina may be the weakest 1-loss team from a Power 5 Conference since the 20th Century. The Tar Heels keep coming up with fourth quarter heroics to be mediocre teams. We don’t believe Mack Brown’s Heels can make it to a New Year’s Bowl Game, and they need to finish better than one game ahead of Notre Dame just to get the Cheez-it Bowl bid.
Notre Dame can receive any of the ACC’s allotted bowl bids after the Orange Bowl as long as their won-loss record is within one game of the next highest ACC team. If the Irish lose to USC and finish 9-3, they will be able to jump over a 10-2 team, but not an 11-2 team. What better bowl to send the Irish to in December than one in Boston? They’d sell out Fenway Park like a Yankees-Red Sox game in October.
With Notre Dame, this league figures to have 10 bowl eligible teams, which means all the first tier bowl bids will be taken, and one second tier bowl bid will be used. We believe the Gasparilla Bowl will get the final ACC team.
Big 12
Had Texas been able to edge Alabama in September and not lose their star QB for a few games, the Longhorns might be in the Playoff mix. The best the Longhorns can do now is to play spoiler and knock TCU out of the Playoff mix. If Quinn Ewers can remain healthy and not have another three interception day like he did against Oklahoma State, the Longhorns might win out and become Big 12 Champions, getting a Sugar Bowl bid.
TCU must beat Texas and Baylor and then whoever makes the Big 12 Championship Game in order to get to the necessary 13-0 they will need to make the Playoffs, and it looks like too much of a longshot. It is going to be rough just getting to the Sugar Bowl, and two losses most likely banishes the Frogs to the Alamo Bowl.
Elsewhere in the league, Kansas has now assured themselves of their first bowl bid in 14 years. Texas Tech and Iowa State are now fighting it out for the last bowl bid in this league, and we believe there will be eight teams playing in the postseason. If no Big 12 team gets to the Playoffs, there will be one extra team to fill in as an at-large bowl participant, and it is our belief that they will replace a spot that the SEC cannot fill.
Big Ten
We show three of the bowl eligible teams playing in either the Playoffs or New Year’s Six, so Ohio State, Michigan, and Penn State being taken off the table means the other New Year’s Day games against SEC teams will have lesser teams. The Citrus Bowl is likely to go to the West Division Champion that will then get clobbered in the Big Ten Championship Game. At the moment, even with a loss this weekend, Illinois has the upper hand. The Reliaquest (Outback) bowl bid would then probably go to the West Division runner-up.
There should be 10 Bowl Eligible teams with many of the also-rans beating up on each other, so the Big Ten will be able to fill its allotment all the way down to the Quick Lane Bowl. That requires Michigan State to win two more games, but we think Sparty does that.
Conference USA
It is the weakest overall conference in FBS football, but geography is on CUSA’s side. This year, the two best teams are in the Lone Star State as UTSA and North Texas have moved to the top of the standings and figure to play in the title game. Western Kentucky, Rice, Florida Atlantic, and Middle Tennessee are quite mediocre, but all four could end up with six losses and become bowl eligible. The last bowl bid available figures to come down to the number six CUSA team and the number eight Mountain West team. Because that final bowl spot is likely to be from a game east of the Mississippi River, a 6-6 CUSA team should get in over a 6-6 MWC team.
Independents
Notre Dame is not counted as an independent since they can receive an ACC bid. Army and BYU are guaranteed bowl bids if they are bowl eligible. BYU should sneak in, but Army is looking at a potential 5-7 or 4-8 season.
Liberty will get a bowl bid, and if the Flames win out, they could be feeling some soft Cotton in Texas. The big surprise team that few people have taken notice to since September is Connecticut. The Huskies could very well become bowl eligible in Jim Mora Jr.’s first season in Storrs.
Mid-American
Toledo frequently appears to be the most talented team in the MAC, but the Rockets always stub their toes and fail to win the conference championship. They will have to look hard for something to bang their feet on this year. Losing another game would be a major Rocket malfunction. The rest of this league has a lot of parity, but there should be seven bowl eligible teams the first Sunday in December. All seven will get bowl bids. The question is, “who will be forced to spend December in Boise?”
Mountain West
This has been another down year in the MWC, and with rumors swirling that more than one team could be moving to the Pac-12 or even Big 12, this league has lost some prestige. Having Boise State no longer be great has hurt it even more. The Broncos lost to a so-so BYU team Saturday, and their upcoming game at Wyoming may determine the Mountain Division champion. Air Force and Utah State should also receive bowl bids on this side of the Rockies.
On the West side, Fresno State started slowly but is 10 to 14 points better than they were in early September. San Jose State can still win the division, but the Bulldogs look like they have this race under control. San Diego State also figures to be bowl eligible on this side. Once considered a contender for the division title, UNLV is looking at a 6-6 record and quite possibly becoming the lone bowl eligible team that does not receive an invitation.
Pac-12
Too much parity has been the bane of this league for several years. This year, there is a big division of haves and have-nots, and it likely means that the league will do no better than place a team in the Rose Bowl. Oregon’s 40+ point loss to Georgia cannot be overlooked, and if the Ducks win out and finish 12-1, two or three teams ahead of the Ducks today will have to lose. It won’t be easy for Oregon to win out.
UCLA, USC, and Utah are still in the mix for the Pac-12 title, and all three are talented enough to beat Oregon in December. If UCLA or USC wins out and Oregon wins out, the loser of the Pac-12 Championship Game would still have a fair chance at receiving the Cotton Bowl bid as the last NY6 team.
Oregon State, Washington, and Washington State will also be bowl eligible and will satisfy the rest of the league allotment with no extra teams. Oregon State could play spoiler in the Civil War game with the Ducks.
SEC
The overwhelming power of this league is most likely to leave the conference one team short of filling its bowl spots. We see Georgia and Tennessee both making the playoff, and we see LSU and Alabama both getting NY6 bids. We also see just 10 SEC teams becoming bowl eligible now that Texas A&M has collapsed and Arkansas tripped up at home against Liberty. The Arkansas-Missouri winner on the final weekend should get the final bowl bid. As of today, we have the Music City Bowl being the odd bowl out needing an at-large team, and the Big 12 is full of teams with fans that would love some country music during the holidays.
Sun Belt
The SBC pecking order is unique, and it is difficult to place teams in bowls because of it. ESPN gets the first choice of teams to place in one of the bowl games they sponsor. It doesn’t have to be the number one team in the league, just the number one choice. Next, the New Orleans Bowl gets to choose its team after ESPN has taken its first choice. The 3rd and 4th teams once again are chosen by ESPN for their bowls, and then the 5th team is chosen by the Lending Tree Bowl. There figures to be seven bowl eligible teams from this league, which is fast becoming the second best G5 conference. All seven will receive bids.
Bowl
Team
Team
Bahamas
Florida Atlantic
Bowling Green
Cure
South Alabama
Air Force
Fenway
Notre Dame
Cincinnati
New Mexico
Rice
San Jose St.
L.A.
Washington St.
Fresno St.
Lending Tree
Buffalo
Georgia Southern
Las Vegas
USC
Kentucky
Frisco
BYU
San Diego St.
Myrtle Beach
Ball St.
Appalachian St.
Famous Idaho Potato
Eastern Michigan
Utah St.
Boca Raton
Marshall
Connecticut
New Orleans
Western Kentucky
Coastal Carolina
Armed Forces
Tulane
UTSA
Independence
East Carolina
Southern Miss.
Gasparilla
Louisville
Houston
Hawaii
North Texas
Boise St.
Quick Lane
Michigan St.
Miami (O)
Camellia
Toledo
Troy
First Responder
Kansas
SMU
Birmingham
Memphis
Middle Tennessee
Guaranteed Rate
Oklahoma St.
Purdue
Military
Wake Forest
Central Florida
Liberty
Baylor
South Carolina
Holiday
Duke
Washington
Texas
Oklahoma
Missouri
Pinstripe
Pittsburgh
Wisconsin
Cheez-It
North Carolina
Kansas St.
Alamo
TCU
Utah
Duke’s Mayo
North Carolina St.
Maryland
Tony the Tiger Sun
Syracuse
Oregon St.
Arizona
Ohio U
Wyoming
Orange
Clemson
Alabama
Music City
Iowa
Texas Tech
Sugar
LSU
Texas
TaxSlayer
Florida St.
Mississippi St.
Peach
Georgia
Michigan
Fiesta
Ohio St.
Tennessee
Reliaquest (Outback)
Minnesota
Florida
Citrus
Illinois
Ole Miss
Cotton
UCLA
Liberty
Rose
Oregon
Penn St.
National Championship
Georgia
Ohio St.
Comments Off on PiRate Ratings College Football–November 6, 2022
Welcome back to the PiRate Ship. We hope we have now plugged all the leaks onboard, and our vessel is seaworthy for the potential 9-month long, two-part football season.
As of this morning, 76 FBS football teams plan to play football in the Fall, and 54 FBS football teams hope to play in the Spring.
After working many hours more than in a typical season, the Bucs onboard our PiRate Ship have finally calculated the ratings for all 130 teams.
There is a fly in the ointment here. Our annual ratings are based on a par score of 100.0. In other words, if you total the ratings for the 130 teams, the PiRate, Mean, and Bias ratings should each total to 13,000. How can the ratings adjust to par if 54 teams play no games every week until at least February, while 76 teams do play? Should we then adjust our ratings so that the 76 teams playing total to 7,600? Doing so, would require changing all the ratings, so that one group totaled 7,600 and another group totaled 5,400.
Ah, but there’s more to this than meets the eyes. Most of these teams will play a conference only schedule. How can a computer algorithm properly compare a team in the Atlantic Coast Conference with a team in the Southeastern Conference if there are no inter-conference games?
For many years, Major League Baseball had no inter-league play. The best team in the American League and the best team in the National League had no common opponents. The 1954 New York Giants won 13 fewer games than the 1954 Cleveland Indians. The baseball media believed this World Series could be over in the minimum four games. They were 100% correct that it took just four games to decide the Series, but the wrong team won the four games. Other than the Yankees and White Sox, the rest of the AL was about as weak as it has ever been in a non-World War season. The NL was six-deep in quality that year, and the 6th place St. Louis Cardinals were talented enough to be a first division team in the AL.
With 16 total teams, it may be somewhat possible to compare any eight with any other eight when the two pairs of eight never play. That is not possible with 130 or 76 or 54 teams. Our ratings may need to be adjusted so that each conference averages 100.0. But, then where would that leave Brigham Young, Army, and Liberty? These three Independents plan to play some number of games. How can we possibly make these three teams total 300.0 and then play games against other teams in leagues that average 100.0?
That is where we are at the present time. Our conclusion today, thanks to the evil Covid-19, Corona, is that we will release separate preseason ratings, three different ways.
Our first set of PiRate, Mean, and Bias ratings will show you all 130 teams rated just like Covid never existed.
Our second set of PiRate, Mean, and Bias ratings will show you the 76 teams playing this Fall. If any of the remaining 54 teams actually play in the Spring, we will be here to rate those teams the best way we know how.
Our third set of PiRate, Mean, and Bias ratings will show you the rating of teams within their own conference sampling.
Here’s an example, using a rating for State U.
Their normal preseason ratings might be
PiRate: 109.7
Mean: 108.9
Bias: 110.1
Let’s say State U plays in one of the 76 teams that plan to play this Fall. After removing the ratings of the 54 teams not playing this fall, State U’s preseason ratings will no doubt change, because the exact average of those 54 teams will not be 100.0. Let’s say that the 54 teams opting out due to Corona average 97.4. The average of the remaining 76 teams is now 101.8. Reducing that average to 100.0 might now adjust State U’s ratings to:
PiRate: 107.7
Mean: 106.9
Bias: 108.1
Let’s say that State U plays in the ACC, which will now have Notre Dame playing a full conference schedule this year. The 15-team league will need to sum up to 1500.0 in all three ratings. Normally, the ACC might have begun the preseason with a conference average of 110.0, or basically 10-points stronger than an average team. Now State U’s ratings against a closed league of 15 ACC teams would have to be adjusted to:
PiRate: 99.7
Mean: 99.0
Bias: 100.1
So what ratings would we go with in this unique scenario? We can submit the regular ratings before the first game is ever played, because nothing would be different in this regard. Nobody has played a game, so the preseason ratings would be the same. Definitely, we realize that with limited or no Spring Practice and with assumed 2-deep Depth Charts considerably less accurate than in past years, these ratings cannot be as accurate as past seasons.
If we wait until all 76 teams’ schedules are in place and then adjust the ratings so that every team will be rated on the same scale, then what happens when on Tuesday of a game week, one team has to quarantine and schedule somebody not rated on the same scale? For instance, let’s say Florida State is scheduled to play North Carolina State, and the Wolf Pack has to cancel due to 20 positive cases. What if at the same time Florida’s scheduled game with Vanderbilt is also postponed, because the Commodores must cancel. Might a Florida State versus Florida game be scheduled on the quick?
Our final conclusion is to go with a 76-team ratings’ release that sum as close to 7600 for each rating and then to go with a different 54-team ratings’ release in the Spring, assuming the Spring actually does feature those 54 teams.
Monday afternoon Eastern Time, we will reveal our raw preseason ratings for the entire 130 teams and then separate ratings for the 76-team field, as well as ratings for teams by each conference. We will then go with the 76-team format for the Fall season.
There will be no conference previews. We will release ratings and pointspreads for weekly games, hoping that we can keep up with whatever alterations are made to the schedule. We are sailing into the Corona Triangle this year. Let’s hope we can get through it to the other side.
Note: In our few hours of spare time, we have been working on a tabletop football game with NFL teams and with college teams. If you remember the old Avalon Hill/Sports Illustrated games that once existed, our games will be similar but different. If we ever determine them to be marketable, you will not need the specialized 10-39 dice used by AH/SI. Regular, 6-sided dice will work. Hopefully, we will have the first set available to be purchased at a ridiculously cheap price with the chance to purchase future sets at additionally ridiculously cheap prices. By sending out the charts in PDF form for you to print, we can sell the game for less than $10. That is if we ever get any of the sets finished. We have been working on three different sets–a 32-team Best of NFL by franchise from 2000 to 2019; the same best of for each SEC team between 2000 & 2019; and the best of for each Big Ten team between 2000 & 2019. In the works in the future will be best of teams from each Major Conference between 2000 & 2019, as well as the best of NFL (and AFL) from 1960 to 1979, and from 1940 to 1959.
If San Francisco, New Orleans, and Green Bay all win, San Francisco is the #1 seed, Green Bay the #2 seed, and New Orleans the #3 seed.
If Seattle beats San Francisco, then Green Bay will get #1 seed with win over Detroit.
If Seattle beats San Francisco, and Detroit beats Green Bay, then New Orleans gets #1 seed with a win over Carolina.
If Seatlle beats San Francisco, and Green Bay and New Orleans lose, Seattle gets the #1 seed.
Philadelphia wins the NFC East with a win over the Giants or a Dallas loss to Washington. Any ties in the standings would go to Dallas.
Minnesota is #6 seed regardless of week 17 results.
AFC
Houston has clinched the #1 seed in the AFC
New England clinches the #2 seed with a win over Miami or a Kansas City loss to the Chargers.
Houston can pass Kansas City for the #3 seed with a win over Tennessee and a loss by Kansas City.
Buffalo is the #5 seed regardless of week 17 results.
Tennessee wins the #6 seed if they beat Houston, or with a loss with Pittsburgh losing to Baltimore while both Oakland and Indianapolis do not win.
Pittsburgh wins the #6 seed only if they win and the Titans lose.
Oakland can clinch the #6 seed with a win over Denver, plus losses by Tennessee and Pittsburgh and Indianapolis beating Jacksonville.
PiRate Ratings Playoff Projections
What are the chances that the Oakland Raiders, in their last season playing in Oakland, could sneak into the NFL Playoffs? It ranges from + or – 10-15% depending on which advanced metric expert you listen to. We’re sabermetric experts that do not perform these type of metrics on pro football.
The way we look at things, Baltimore has nothing to gain this week against Pittsburgh in their season finale. Their key players should play little or not at all. Can the Steelers with poor quarterback play rise up and beat the Ravens’ reserves if they couldn’t beat the Jets last week?
Tennessee has now dropped two games in a row to playoff teams in Houston and New Orleans, both at home. Houston may have a chance to move up to a #3 seed if Kansas City is upset earlier in the day.
Oakland closes out regular season play at Denver, where the Broncos have nothing to play for in Week 17.
Indianapolis is playing solely to get to 8-8, while Jacksonville has nothing to play for in Week 17.
We think Oakland’s chances to sneak in as the final playoff team is considerably better than 15%. In fact, just because it would make such a great story, we are going to select the Raiders as our 6th seed to set up a probably Oakland finale against their most hated rivals.
The NFL has discussed contracting the number of games in the preseason, while possibly adding extra games to the regular season schedule and increasing the number of teams in the Playoffs. Us PiRates here on the SS Buckaroo believe we can solve all the problems and make it a win-win for owners, players, and fans alike. Here is our PiRate Principles for the NFL’s future.
Reduce the number of preseason games from 4 to 2
Make training camp 6 weeks long with preseason games during week 3 and week 4. Then, teams can practice for another week after their second preseason game before making final cuts.
Expand Rosters to 60 players with 3 active quarterbacks in that group of 60
A practice or taxi squad of 7 players would be allowed.
Expand the regular season to 17 games, with the extra game played at neutral sites. This would allow teams to play in London, Toronto, and Mexico City without losing home games. Other incredible venues where there is no pro football team could be Lincoln, NE, San Antonio, Iowa City, IA, Louisville, KY, Birmingham, AL, Knoxville, TN, State College, PA, Ann Arbor, MI, Columbus, OH, South Bend, IN, basically any 80,000 seat plus venue. The Falcons and Titans could probably fill up Legion Field in Birmingham. The Bears and Colts could definitely fill up Notre Dame’s stadium.
This 17th game would be an inter-conference game.
Make the playoffs a full 16 teams with the 4 division winners hosting the next 4 teams with winning records. This could still be played out in four games like the wildcard and two division winners must play in both conferences.
Look for updated NFL Ratings Tuesday morning, including a plethora of what if playoff situations.
Our PiRate Bowl Coverage will publish Saturday, December 14, after the Army-Navy game has concluded.
With one week to go before conference championship week, there are still some conference division races yet to be clinched. Here at PiRate Central, we will make it easy for you.
American Athletic Conference
Cincinnati has clinched the East Division, no matter what they do at Memphis.
Memphis clinches the West Division, if they beat Cincinnati, or Navy loses to Houston.
The winner of this week’s Cincinnati – Memphis game will host the AAC Championship Game.
Atlantic Coast
Clemson has clinched the Atlantic Division.
The winner of this week’s Virginia – Virginia Tech game wins the Coastal Division.
If Clemson beats Virginia Tech in the ACC Championship Game, Virginia Tech has about a 95% chance of getting the Orange Bowl bid.
If Clemson beats Virginia in the ACC Championship Game, Virginia has about an 80% chance of getting the Orange Bowl bid.
Should Clemson be upset in the ACC Championship Game, either Virginia or Virginia Tech would get the Orange Bowl bid, and Clemson would likely knock out a team from the Southwest or West for the Cotton Bowl bid.
Big 12
Oklahoma and Baylor have already clinched the top two spots and will play in the Big 12 Championship Game.
If Baylor beats Kansas, and Oklahoma State beats Oklahoma, then BU will be the top seed. Under any other scenario, Oklahoma will be the top seed.
If Oklahoma beats Oklahoma State and Baylor, the Sooners have a 30% chance of making it to the Playoffs, and at worst would be the Sugar Bowl representative for the league.
If Baylor beats Kansas and Oklahoma, there is only a 5% chance that BU would make the playoffs.
If the loser of the Big 12 Championship Game has two losses, that team has a 70% chance to earn the Cotton Bowl bid.
Big Ten
Ohio State has already clinched the East Division title even if Michigan upsets them in the Big House like they did in the big upset 50 years ago.
The winner of the Minnesota-Wisconsin game wins the West Division and has a better than 50-50 chance to earn the Rose Bowl bid if they lose to Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship Game.
If Minnesota beats a 12-0 Ohio State team in the Big Ten Championship, the Gophers have a 30% chance to earn a Playoff bid.
Conference USA
This is the most difficult tie-breaker with one week to go, as both divisions are still up for grabs.
In the East, Florida Atlantic has a one-game lead over Marshall and Western Kentucky, but WKU has been eliminated from the race.
If FAU beats Southern Miss, or Marshall loses to Florida International, then FAU wins the division and hosts the CUSA Championship Game.
If FAU loses to Southern Miss, and Marshall beats FIU, then Marshall wins the East and has a chance to host the CUSA Championship Game.
In the West, there is currently a three-way tie with multiple possible outcomes. Southern Miss plays Florida Atlantic in the key game. Louisiana Tech plays UTSA, and UAB plays North Texas.
If all three West co-leaders win or they all lose, Southern Miss will win the tiebreaker.
If Southern Miss loses and UAB wins, then UAB wins the West.
If Louisiana Tech wins and Southern Miss loses, then Louisiana Tech wins the division even if Southern Miss beats FAU.
If Southern Miss beats FAU and Louisiana Tech loses to UTSA, then Southern Miss wins the West even if UAB beats North Texas.
All five teams still alive can host the CUSA Championship Game based on a myriad of tiebreakers between multiple teams with 6-2 league records.
Independents (Not Including Notre Dame)
BYU has clinched the Hawaii Bowl Bid.
Liberty is bowl eligible
Mid-American
Miami of Ohio has already clinched the East Division.
Western Michigan will clinch the West Division with a win over Northern Illinois OR a loss by Central Michigan to Toledo.
Central Michigan will clinch the West Division with a win over Toledo AND a loss by Western Michigan.
Mountain West
Boise State has already clinched the Mountain Division Championship and has clinched the home field for the Championship Game.
Hawaii has already clinched the West Division Championship and will play at Boise State in the Championship Game.
Boise State still has a chance to make the Cotton Bowl by winning out, while the AAC champion has two overall losses.
Pac-12
Even after a disappointing upset loss to Arizona State, Oregon has already clinched the North Division Championship and still has a chance to go to the Rose Bowl with a slight chance to go to the Cotton Bowl.
Utah will win the South by beating a Colorado team that will be playing for bowl eligibility when the Buffs visit Salt Lake City. Should Utah lose this game, USC will win the South Division Championship.
Utah still has a less than 50-50 chance to make the Playoffs by beating Colorado and Oregon, but the Utes are most likely looking at a Rose Bowl bid. Should they lose to Oregon, Utah still has a 50-50 shot at the Cotton Bowl.
Southeastern
The SEC Championship Game is set between LSU and Georgia. See the feature below on sleuthing the SEC Bowl Tie-Ins and all the open spots.
Sun Belt
Appalachian State will play Louisiana in the Sun Belt Championship Game.
If both teams win this week or both teams lose, Appy State will be the host team based on their regular season win over the Ragin’ Cajuns. UL can only host if Appy State loses to Troy, while Louisiana beats UL-Monroe.
Appalachian State still has a minute chance to earn the Cotton Bowl bid. The Mountaineers must win out; Boise State must lose to Hawaii; and the AAC Champion must have two losses.
————————————–
The SEC Bowl Issue
With the possibility that two SEC teams will make the Playoffs, and then two more will earn New Year’s Six Bowl Games (Sugar and Orange), there is a chance that as many as five SEC tie-in bowls will not have bowl eligible SEC teams and will have to look elsewhere for at-large teams.
Two issues will affect the final week of the regular season. Currently, there are just eight bowl eligible teams–Georgia, Florida, Tennessee, and Kentucky in the East and LSU, Alabama, Auburn, and Texas A&M in the West.
Mississippi State and Missouri can become bowl eligible with wins this week. Missouri has a much easier final regular season game against 0-7 Arkansas, while Mississippi State must beat rival Ole Miss in the Egg Bowl. Missouri can also be eliminated if the NCAA rules negatively on an appeal between tomorrow and December 8.
The PiRates are old buckaroos, so we know that politics play a part in decisions. The SEC has no doubt twisted the NCAA’s arm to not decide on Missouri’s appeal until after the bowls have been played. The SEC needs as many bowl eligible teams as possible.
We wouldn’t be totally surprised if all the close calls in the Egg Bowl go in favor of Mississippi State. If the game is called without any bias, we actually believe Ole Miss is playing better football at this point of the season.
Being that the law of averages tends to side on the side of a split with two 5-6 teams playing to get to 6-6, we will say that one team makes it. For argument purposes, we will award Missouri the 6-6 record and Ole Miss the Egg Bowl Trophy.
At this point, there would be nine SEC Bowl Eligible teams.
Let’s say that LSU wins out and takes one Playoff spot, while Alabama beats Auburn and gets Playoff spot number two–once again politics playing a large part as the Committee can always come up with a reason to include a one-loss Tide team even if the entire first team is out with injuries.
Now, let’s slot Georgia into the Sugar Bowl and Florida into the Orange Bowl. That’s four teams with just five bowl eligible teams left.
The Citrus Bowl gets the next best team, and Auburn would be the logical choice here.
The Independence and Birmingham Bowls can already start looking for at-large teams at this point, as they are the bottom two in the contractual agreement.
That leaves the Outback, Gator, Texas, Belk, Music City, and Liberty Bowls hoping to get Tennessee, Kentucky, Missouri, and Texas A&M. Six bowls and four teams mean that two will be left at the conference altar.
The Outback and Gator Bowls are New Year’s Day Bowls. The SEC isn’t about to allow a 7-5 or 6-6 at-large team from 1,000-2,000 miles away take one of these prized spots. Put Tennessee in the Outback and Kentucky in the Gator.
With Texas A&M still available, it is obvious which bowl would be best for all. The Aggies would head to Houston to play in the Texas Bowl, which sort of has a gentleman’s agreement to get a better draw this year after taking Vanderbilt last year. A Texas A&M-Texas game could be arranged for the Texas Bowl, and it would be a sellout with tickets getting scalped.
That leaves Missouri as the last bowl team. Missouri played in the Liberty Bowl last year, so they would not return to Memphis. The Tigers already played in Nashville against Vanderbilt, and even though Nashville is the hottest destination in the South if not the entire nation, I don’t see the Music City Bowl getting an opportunity to invite the Tigers for their second trip of the season. Put Missouri in the Belk Bowl.
This would leave the Music City and Liberty Bowls out in the cold as the two bowls that would have to find at-large opponents. There will be extra Mountain West, Conference USA, and Mid-American teams that are bowl eligible. The ACC could send Virginia, Wake Forest, or Louisville to Nashville, while the Big 12 could send Iowa State, Kansas State, Texas, or TCU to the Liberty Bowl. We believe that Kansas State or Iowa State is the most likely team to go to Memphis.
If the Mountain West has extra teams, there is a chance that the league would arrange for one of their better teams to come Southeast to one of the two Volunteer State bowls. Air Force, San Diego State, or Utah State might be where the Liberty Bowl can look.
The Music City Bowl will then likely need a Mid-American Conference team, and likewise, a deal could be struck with the MAC to send a 6-6 team to a regular contracted bowl, while bringing the MAC Champion to Nashville. The organizers of the Music City Bowl would probably like to pay Tom Brady to suit up for Mississippi State in the Egg Bowl.
This Week’s Playoff and Bowl Projections
Note: This Section Has Been Edited Late Sunday Night. It was brought to our attention that the Hawaii Bowl slightly changes their tie-ins. We originally had this bowl featuring BYU if they were bowl eligible or a Mountain West team or basically a Bowl Eligible Hawaii team versus a team from the American Athletic Conference. The bowl changed to BYU if bowl eligible versus either an AAC or Mountain West team, but if Hawaii is bowl eligible and not the MWC Champion, then Hawaii gets this bid.
Thus, it started a chain reaction where we had to move about 20 teams from one bowl to another. Here is the latest version of our Bowl Projections.
Bowl
Conf
Conf
Team
Team
Bahamas
MAC
CUSA
Buffalo
Charlotte
Frisco
AAC
At-large
SMU
[UAB]
Cure
AAC
SBC
Navy
Georgia St.
New Mexico
CUSA
MWC
Southern Miss.
San Diego St.
Boca Raton
AAC
MAC
Central Florida
Miami (O)
Camellia
MAC
SBC
Western Michigan
Arkansas St.
Las Vegas
MWC #1
Pac-12
Boise St.
Washington St.
New Orleans
CUSA
SBC #1
Louisiana Tech
Appalachian St.
Gasparilla
AAC
CUSA
Cincinnati
Florida Atlantic
Hawaii
BYU/MWC
AAC/MWC
BYU
Hawaii
Independence
ACC
SEC
Florida St.
[Marshall]
Quick Lane
ACC
Big Ten
Miami (Fla.)
Michigan St.
Military
ACC
AAC
North Carolina
Temple
Pinstripe
ACC
Big Ten
Pittsburgh
Illinois
Texas
Big 12
SEC
Texas
Texas A&M
Holiday
Pac-12
Big Ten
Washington
Michigan
Cheez-It
Big 12
Pac-12
Kansas St.
[Nevada]
Camping World
ACC
Big 12
Notre Dame
Oklahoma St.
Cotton
At-large
At-large
Memphis
Utah
First Responder
CUSA
Big 12
Western Ky.
TCU
Redbox
Pac-12
Big Ten
Arizona St.
Iowa
Music City
SEC
ACC
[Central Michigan]
Louisville
Orange
ACC
BTen/SEC
Virginia Tech
Florida
Belk
ACC
SEC
Wake Forest
Missouri
Sun
ACC
Pac-12
Virginia
California
Liberty
Big 12
SEC
Iowa St.
[Liberty]
Arizona
SBC
MWC
Louisiana
Air Force
Alamo
Big 12
Pac-12
Baylor
USC
Citrus
SEC
BTen/ACC
Auburn
Wisconsin
Outback
Big Ten
SEC
Penn St.
Tennessee
Rose
Big Ten
Pac-12
Minnesota
Oregon
Sugar
Big 12
SEC
Oklahoma
Georgia
Birmingham
AAC
SEC
Tulane
[Florida Int’l.]
Taxslayer/Gator
SEC
Big Ten
Kentucky
Indiana
Idaho Potato
MAC
MWC
Toledo
Wyoming
Armed Forces
Big Ten
MWC
Nebraska
Utah St.
Mobile Alabama
MAC
SBC
Eastern Michigan
Georgia Southern
FBS PLAYOFFS
Fiesta
Top 4
Top 4
Georgia
Ohio St.
Peach
Top 4
Top 4
Clemson
LSU
Championship
Fiesta
Peach
Georgia
Clemson
Teams in [Brackets] are at-large selections
Comments Off on PiRate College Football Ratings: November 24, 2019
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