The Pi-Rate Ratings

October 2, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football–October 5-8, 2022

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 1:22 pm

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Central FloridaSMU4.96.35.4
RutgersNebraska1.81.00.1
MemphisHouston-1.00.4-1.4
NevadaColorado St.6.57.56.4
San Jose St.UNLV2.85.34.1
Georgia TechDuke2.90.43.2
MarylandPurdue-0.40.61.2
VirginiaLouisville-7.5-6.4-8.3
Miami (Fla.)North Carolina6.14.65.8
IndianaMichigan-22.1-21.8-24.7
Bowling GreenBuffalo3.4-0.10.4
PittsburghVirginia Tech18.617.119.0
GeorgiaAuburn26.526.529.0
Boston CollegeClemson-18.0-16.6-19.3
MassachusettsLiberty-23.0-24.0-27.2
Michigan St.Ohio St.-17.0-16.9-19.5
KentuckySouth Carolina6.88.28.0
North Carolina St.Florida St.7.36.77.6
KansasTCU-9.0-9.2-10.6
FloridaMissouri6.07.07.0
CincinnatiSouth Florida23.624.426.2
Georgia St.Georgia Southern7.16.68.3
Miami (O)Kent St.3.33.65.0
Western MichiganEastern Michigan8.48.79.5
Texas St.Appalachian St.-15.9-16.4-17.5
Wake ForestArmy15.214.814.9
Arkansas St.James Madison-7.6-8.1-11.4
Iowa St.Kansas St.-0.70.3-0.4
Boise St.Fresno St.4.94.85.1
OhioAkron9.911.711.9
Utah St.Air Force-9.4-9.4-9.7
ArizonaOregon-13.9-13.3-13.4
USCWashington St.10.810.610.9
UCLAUtah-6.3-5.5-6.5
Arizona St.Washington-4.6-5.9-5.3
StanfordOregon St.-3.1-4.9-5.7
Louisiana-MonroeCoastal Carolina-10.3-11.4-12.8
VanderbiltOle Miss-20.1-17.4-20.1
LSUTennessee0.8-0.1-0.4
TulaneEast Carolina3.43.32.4
Oklahoma St.Texas Tech13.813.813.5
Oklahoma Texas2.12.03.4
AlabamaTexas A&M25.023.625.3
TroySouthern Miss.6.97.08.3
Mississippi St.Arkansas4.54.83.5
NorthwesternWisconsin-12.3-10.6-12.7
IllinoisIowa-1.10.7-0.6
NavyTulsa-4.0-4.2-5.3
Central MichiganBall St.8.99.811.3
Northern IllinoisToledo1.91.20.4
UABMiddle Tennessee12.111.312.4
UTSAWestern Kentucky1.50.5-0.3
Florida Int’l.Connecticut-13.8-12.1-13.2
Louisiana TechUTEP-3.2-1.7-4.5
New MexicoWyoming2.10.3-0.2
Notre Dame BYU3.13.03.6
San Diego St.Hawaii25.223.624.9
Oklahoma-Texas played in Dallas / Notre Dame-BYU played in Las Vegas

No FBS vs. FCS Games This Week

Teams With Byes This Week

Baylor
California
Charlotte
Colorado
Florida Atlantic
Louisiana
Marshall
Minnesota
New Mexico St.
North Texas
Old Dominion
Penn St.
Rice
South Alabama
Syracuse
Temple
West Virginia

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Alabama132.2
2Ohio St.131.3
3Georgia130.2
4Michigan124.4
5Clemson119.3
6Utah118.7
7Minnesota118.7
8Oklahoma St.118.4
9Tennessee118.0
10Penn St.116.7
11NC State116.1
12T C U115.4
13Oklahoma115.2
14Ole Miss115.2
15Purdue115.2
16Mississippi St.115.1
17L S U115.1
18Arkansas113.8
19Baylor113.6
20Oregon113.2
21Notre Dame112.8
22Texas112.7
23Maryland112.6
24U S C112.6
25Iowa112.6
26Cincinnati112.4
27Kentucky112.2
28Kansas St.112.1
29Florida St.111.9
30Wisconsin111.1
31Pittsburgh110.7
32Texas A&M110.6
33Miami (Fla.)110.6
34Michigan St.110.5
35U C L A109.7
36BYU109.5
37Illinois109.2
38Washington109.2
39Iowa St.108.9
40Wake Forest108.5
41Louisville108.2
42Syracuse108.2
43North Carolina108.1
44Oregon St.107.8
45Texas Tech107.7
46South Carolina107.6
47Florida106.7
48UCF106.5
49West Virginia106.0
50Auburn105.8
51Washington St.104.9
52SMU104.0
53Missouri103.1
54Kansas102.8
55Air Force102.4
56Nebraska101.6
57Tulane101.4
58East Carolina101.3
59Houston101.2
60Arizona St.100.9
61Boise St.100.8
62Stanford100.2
63W. Kentucky100.2
64Rutgers99.6
65Appalachian St.99.3
66Fresno St.98.9
67California98.8
68Indiana98.5
69Boston College98.4
70Virginia98.3
71Memphis98.1
72Liberty98.0
73U T S A97.8
74James Madison97.8
75Tulsa97.2
76U A B97.1
77Georgia St.96.6
78Arizona96.6
79Coastal Carolina96.5
80Toledo96.4
81Northwestern96.2
82Army96.0
83Troy95.2
84N. Illinois95.0
85Virginia Tech94.9
86Marshall94.6
87Duke94.2
88Vanderbilt94.0
89Georgia Tech93.9
90South Alabama93.3
91San Jose St.93.2
92Miami (Ohio)93.1
93San Diego St.93.0
94Central Mich.92.5
95Louisiana92.3
96U N L V92.2
97Kent St.91.1
98Western Mich.91.0
99Ga. Southern90.8
100USF90.7
101Southern Miss.90.3
102Utah St.89.9
103Navy89.6
104Old Dominion89.3
105Florida Atlantic87.9
106Middle Tennessee87.7
107Colorado87.5
108Buffalo87.4
109U T E P86.8
110North Texas86.5
111Wyoming86.4
112Arkansas St.86.2
113Bowling Green86.1
114Nevada85.6
115Rice85.6
116Ohio85.4
117Ball St.85.0
118Eastern Mich.84.7
119New Mexico84.2
120UL-Monroe82.5
121Colorado St.81.8
122Louisiana Tech81.2
123Temple80.8
124Connecticut80.4
125Texas St.80.1
126Charlotte79.6
127Akron76.3
128Hawaii71.4
129New Mexico St.71.3
130Massachusetts71.2
131Florida Int’l.64.8

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati112.1111.6113.6112.4
UCF106.1106.8106.7106.5
SMU104.3103.4104.3104.0
Tulane101.7101.1101.3101.4
East Carolina101.2100.8101.9101.3
Houston101.5100.6101.6101.2
Memphis98.098.597.798.1
Tulsa97.396.797.597.2
USF91.590.290.490.7
Navy90.289.589.289.6
Temple80.882.878.780.8

AAC98.698.398.598.5

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson119.3119.1119.6119.3
NC State116.5115.5116.3116.1
Florida St.112.2111.8111.8111.9
Wake Forest108.6108.4108.5108.5
Louisville109.0108.0107.8108.2
Syracuse109.0107.9107.6108.2
Boston College98.399.597.398.4

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Pittsburgh111.7110.5109.9110.7
Miami (Fla.)111.1109.9110.7110.6
North Carolina108.1108.3107.9108.1
Virginia99.099.196.998.3
Virginia Tech95.695.893.494.9
Duke94.196.492.094.2
Georgia Tech94.694.392.893.9

ACC106.2106.0105.2105.8

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma St.118.9117.5118.9118.4
T C U116.0114.8115.4115.4
Oklahoma115.7114.6115.3115.2
Baylor114.2113.1113.6113.6
Texas113.6112.7111.8112.7
Kansas St.112.8111.5112.1112.1
Iowa St.109.0108.8108.8108.9
Texas Tech108.0106.7108.4107.7
West Virginia106.4106.0105.7106.0
Kansas104.0102.6101.8102.8

Big 12111.8110.8111.2111.3

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.131.5130.2132.2131.3
Michigan124.8123.7124.7124.4
Penn St.116.9116.9116.5116.7
Maryland112.7112.7112.6112.6
Michigan St.111.5110.3109.7110.5
Rutgers100.999.997.999.6
Indiana99.798.997.098.5

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Minnesota118.9118.2118.9118.7
Purdue116.0115.1114.3115.2
Iowa113.6112.4111.7112.6
Wisconsin111.7111.1110.5111.1
Illinois109.5110.1108.1109.2
Nebraska102.2101.9100.8101.6
Northwestern96.497.594.896.2

Big Ten111.9111.3110.7111.3

Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
W. Kentucky99.599.5101.6100.2
U T S A98.097.098.397.8
U A B96.796.797.997.1
Florida Atlantic87.688.787.487.9
Middle Tennessee87.187.988.087.7
U T E P86.886.686.986.8
North Texas86.485.787.586.5
Rice85.685.585.685.6
Louisiana Tech81.182.479.981.2
Charlotte79.680.279.079.6
Florida Int’l.64.467.063.064.8

CUSA86.687.086.886.8

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame113.2111.6113.5112.8
BYU110.1108.6109.9109.5
Liberty96.898.498.798.0
Army95.996.196.196.0
Connecticut80.781.678.880.4
New Mexico St.70.972.870.271.3
Massachusetts71.872.469.571.2

Independents91.391.691.091.3

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)91.594.093.793.1
Kent St.90.392.490.791.1
Buffalo85.988.488.087.4
Bowling Green86.885.885.886.1
Ohio84.286.485.785.4
Akron76.276.875.876.3

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Toledo95.596.597.196.4
N. Illinois94.995.295.095.0
Central Mich.91.092.893.692.5
Western Mich.90.591.391.291.0
Ball St.84.685.684.885.0
Eastern Mich.84.685.184.284.7

MAC88.089.288.888.7

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Air Force102.1102.1103.0102.4
Boise St.100.9100.1101.5100.8
Utah St.89.889.790.389.9
Wyoming85.387.386.686.4
New Mexico84.584.683.484.2
Colorado St.81.682.481.681.8

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Fresno St.99.098.399.598.9
San Jose St.92.493.294.093.2
San Diego St.93.192.693.193.0
U N L V92.690.992.992.2
Nevada85.186.885.085.6
Hawaii70.972.171.371.4

MWC89.890.090.290.0

Pac-12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah118.4117.7120.2118.7
Oregon113.6112.9113.0113.2
U S C112.0112.6113.3112.6
U C L A109.1109.2110.7109.7
Washington108.6109.3109.7109.2
Oregon St.107.8107.1108.4107.8
Washington St.104.2105.0105.4104.9
Arizona St.100.9100.5101.4100.9
Stanford101.799.399.7100.2
California98.498.599.698.8
Arizona96.796.596.696.6
Colorado88.686.787.387.5

Pac-12105.0104.6105.4105.0

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia130.3128.9131.3130.2
Tennessee117.8117.9118.2118.0
Kentucky111.6112.3112.8112.2
South Carolina107.9107.1107.7107.6
Florida106.1107.6106.5106.7
Missouri103.1103.5102.5103.1
Vanderbilt94.295.092.794.0

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama132.0131.2133.4132.2
Ole Miss116.3114.5114.8115.2
Mississippi St.115.8114.6115.0115.1
L S U115.6114.8114.8115.1
Arkansas114.3112.7114.5113.8
Texas A&M110.0110.6111.1110.6
Auburn106.8105.4105.3105.8

SEC113.0112.6112.9112.8
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Appalachian St.97.999.5100.399.3
James Madison95.597.5100.397.8
Georgia St.96.195.698.296.6
Coastal Carolina95.496.797.496.5
Marshall94.295.194.594.6
Ga. Southern90.690.591.490.8
Old Dominion89.389.489.289.3

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Troy94.395.096.395.2
South Alabama92.493.194.393.3
Louisiana91.791.993.392.3
Southern Miss.89.990.590.590.3
Arkansas St.85.486.986.486.2
UL-Monroe82.682.882.182.5
Texas St.79.580.680.380.1

Sun Belt91.191.892.591.8

Conference Ratings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern112.8
2Big Ten111.3
3Big 12111.3
4Atlantic Coast105.8
5Pac-12105.0
6American Athletic98.5
7Sun Belt91.8
8Independents91.3
9Mountain West90.0
10Mid-American88.7
11Conference USA86.8

2022 Debut of Bowl Projections

BowlTeamTeam
BahamasRiceWestern Michigan
CureMiddle TennesseeSouthern Miss.
FenwayNotre DameCentral Florida
New MexicoUTSANew Mexico
L.A.Oregon St.San Jose St.
Lending TreeKent St.Marshall
Las VegasUSCLSU
Frisco{Kansas}BYU
Myrtle Beach{Iowa St.}Appalachian St.
Famous Idaho PotatoBoise St.Ball St.
Boca Raton{Texas Tech}Coastal Carolina
New OrleansTroyUAB
Armed ForcesHoustonWestern Kentucky
IndependenceSMUArmy
Gasparilla[South Carolina]Memphis
HawaiiUNLVUTEP
Quick Lane{Liberty}Eastern Michigan
CamelliaMiami (O)South Alabama
First ResponderTulsa{Wyoming}
BirminghamNorth Texas[Louisville]
Guaranteed RateTexas[Wisconsin]
MilitaryPittsburghTulane
LibertyBaylor{Washington St.}
HolidayUCLASyracuse
TexasOklahomaTexas A&M
PinstripeNorth CarolinaPurdue
Cheez-ItDukeKansas St.
AlamoOklahoma St.Oregon
Duke’s MayoWake ForestMaryland
Tony the TigerMiami (Fla.)Washingon
ArizonaAir ForceToledo
OrangeNorth Carolina St.Tennessee
Music CityIowaFlorida
SugarTCUOle Miss
TaxSlayerMississippi St.Florida St.
PeachAlabamaClemson
FiestaOhio St.Georgia
Tampa BayMinnesotaKentucky
CitrusIllinoisArkansas
CottonPenn St.Cincinnati
RoseUtahMichigan
National ChampionshipAlabamaOhio St.

{Team} = At-large replacement when team not available

[Team] = Team projected to be 5-7 but receive bid due to highest APR scores

September 27, 2022

PiRate Ratings NFL Football–Week 4: Sept. 29-Oct. 3

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
CincinnatiMiami6.04.65.1
New Orleans Minnesota0.5-0.20.1
AtlantaCleveland-8.5-6.7-7.1
BaltimoreBuffalo-4.1-4.4-4.3
DallasWashington11.010.511.5
DetroitSeattle5.56.75.3
HoustonLA Chargers-7.2-6.0-6.0
IndianapolisTennessee5.44.65.6
N.Y. GiantsChicago4.44.64.5
PhiladelphiaJacksonville12.210.311.4
PittsburghN.Y. Jets7.77.08.4
CarolinaArizona0.70.40.5
Green BayNew England12.210.711.3
Las VegasDenver5.84.55.4
Tampa BayKansas City5.65.35.4
San FranciscoLA Rams2.02.12.4

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
CincinnatiMiami43.5
New Orleans Minnesota42.5
AtlantaCleveland48
BaltimoreBuffalo46.5
DallasWashington45.5
DetroitSeattle45
HoustonLA Chargers47
IndianapolisTennessee44.5
N.Y. GiantsChicago37
PhiladelphiaJacksonville45
PittsburghN.Y. Jets46.5
CarolinaArizona45
Green BayNew England42
Las VegasDenver42.5
Tampa BayKansas City50.5
San FranciscoLA Rams43

New Orleans vs. Minnesota Game played in London

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Current NFL PiRate Ratings
A F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Buffalo111.9112.0112.1112.023.52-1
Miami102.2102.8102.7102.620.53-0
New England98.798.699.298.8211-2
N.Y. Jets93.694.193.093.624.51-2

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Cincinnati105.1104.4104.8104.8231-2
Baltimore104.8104.5104.8104.7232-1
Cleveland102.5101.5101.9102.022.52-1
Pittsburgh98.398.098.498.2221-2

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Indianapolis99.999.599.999.8221-1-1
Tennessee97.697.997.497.622.51-2
Jacksonville97.098.397.597.6222-1
Houston88.190.189.089.020.50-2-1

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Kansas City107.6107.1107.6107.4272-1
Las Vegas103.5103.3102.5103.1250-3
Denver100.6101.8100.1100.817.52-1
LA Chargers98.399.197.998.526.51-2

N F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Philadelphia106.2105.6105.9105.9233-0
Dallas104.3103.2104.2103.923.52-1
Washington95.895.195.295.4221-2
N.Y. Giants93.394.593.993.9192-1

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Green Bay107.9106.3107.5107.2212-1
Minnesota99.899.199.699.522.52-1
Detroit95.295.995.895.625.51-2
Chicago91.392.491.991.9182-1

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Tampa Bay110.2109.4110.0109.923.52-1
New Orleans100.398.999.799.6201-2
Carolina95.595.995.695.7211-2
Atlanta91.592.492.392.025.51-2

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
LA Rams104.6104.4104.3104.423.52-1
San Francisco103.6103.5103.8103.619.51-2
Arizona97.898.598.198.1241-2
Seattle92.792.193.592.819.51-2

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Playoff Projections

Playoff Projection Seeds
AFC Seeding
1Buffalo
2Kansas City
3Cleveland
4Jacksonville
5Miami
6Baltimore
7Denver
NFC Seeding
1Philadelphia
2Green Bay
3LA Rams
4Tampa Bay
5Dallas
6Minnesota
7San Francisco

Wildcard Round
Kansas City over Denver
Baltimore over Cleveland
Miami over Jacksonville
Green Bay over San Francisco
Dallas over Minnesota
Tampa Bay over Dallas


Divisional Round
Buffalo over Baltimore
Miami over Kansas City
Philadelphia over Dallas
Tampa Bay over Green Bay


Conference Championship
Buffalo over Miami
Philadelphia over Tampa Bay


Super Bowl 57 (Glendale, AZ)
Phialdelphia over Buffalo

September 25, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football–September 29-October 1

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 8:25 am

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
BYUUtah St.23.221.622.5
HoustonTulane3.12.84.0
Middle TennesseeUTSA-7.3-4.7-5.9
Boise St.San Diego St.7.36.67.5
UCLAWashington2.81.72.9
UNLVNew Mexico10.78.511.9
WisconsinIllinois11.310.112.1
Penn St.Northwestern25.123.926.9
Boston CollegeLouisville-10.6-8.3-10.9
Coastal CarolinaGeorgia Southern7.79.59.5
Florida St.Wake Forest10.410.410.5
ArmyGeorgia St.6.87.85.1
ClemsonNorth Carolina St.4.55.35.0
PittsburghGeorgia Tech25.825.126.4
MarylandMichigan St.1.32.53.0
DukeVirginia-8.9-6.5-9.5
North CarolinaVirginia Tech11.611.313.6
Old DominionLiberty-3.1-4.6-5.1
South FloridaEast Carolina-4.6-5.5-6.4
Central FloridaSMU4.96.35.4
Ball St.Northern Illinois-10.9-10.5-11.2
MinnesotaPurdue10.711.313.2
James MadisonTexas St.16.217.120.4
Air ForceNavy16.217.319.0
BaylorOklahoma St.1.01.50.8
KansasIowa St.-2.7-4.2-5.4
LouisianaSouth Alabama1.91.41.8
MemphisTemple20.218.322.0
TulsaCincinnati-12.1-12.1-13.4
Eastern MichiganMassachusetts16.616.819.3
UtahOregon St.10.39.911.4
New Mexico St.Florida Int’l.15.614.916.9
Washington St.California6.46.96.1
ArizonaColorado7.89.58.8
USCArizona St.13.914.914.5
OregonStanford14.516.415.9
Ole MissKentucky7.24.84.6
Kansas St.Texas Tech7.57.66.3
Ohio St.Rutgers33.032.437.0
Mississippi St.Texas A&M6.33.83.6
TCUOklahoma-3.8-4.1-4.6
IowaMichigan-7.4-7.3-9.0
TexasWest Virginia8.87.99.1
AuburnLSU-6.0-6.8-7.1
ArkansasAlabama-12.9-13.7-13.9
MissouriGeorgia-28.2-26.3-30.6
ToledoCentral Michigan3.42.62.2
BuffaloMiami (O)-4.3-4.5-4.8
ConnecticutFresno St.-20.6-19.0-24.0
AkronBowling Green-9.0-7.2-8.8
Kent St.Ohio9.29.28.3
Arkansas St.Louisiana-Monroe3.14.44.4
North TexasFlorida Atlantic-3.1-5.3-2.2
CharlotteUTEP-4.4-3.3-4.9
NebraskaIndiana3.54.04.8
Western KentuckyTroy11.611.112.3
RiceUAB-11.9-12.4-13.9
WyomingSan Jose St.-0.90.7-0.8

FBS vs. FCS Spreads

FBSFCSPiRate
Appalachian St.The Citadel32.4
FloridaEastern Washington27.4
MarshallGardner-Webb27.7
Western MichiganNew Hampshire20.4
South CarolinaSouth Carolina St.32.5
SyracuseWagner51.0

Teams With A Bye This Week

Colorado St.
Hawaii
Louisiana Tech
Miami (Fla.)
Nevada
Notre Dame
Southern Miss.
Tennessee
Vanderbilt

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Georgia132.8
2Alabama131.3
3Ohio St.130.9
4Michigan123.9
5Minnesota121.3
6Clemson118.5
7Oklahoma118.3
8Tennessee117.7
9Penn St.117.6
10Utah117.0
11Oklahoma St.116.8
12NC State116.6
13L S U115.3
14Ole Miss115.1
15Wisconsin115.0
16Baylor114.9
17Arkansas114.8
18Pittsburgh114.0
19Florida St.113.9
20Mississippi St.113.8
21Iowa113.0
22Oregon113.0
23Purdue112.6
24Cincinnati112.6
25Kentucky112.5
26U S C112.5
27Notre Dame112.5
28Texas A&M112.2
29Texas112.2
30Kansas St.112.0
31Michigan St.111.9
32T C U111.6
33Maryland111.1
34Miami (Fla.)110.3
35BYU110.2
36Louisville109.9
37Washington109.6
38Oregon St.109.5
39Iowa St.109.4
40U C L A109.1
41Syracuse107.9
42Texas Tech107.8
43South Carolina107.4
44West Virginia106.6
45UCF106.5
46Wake Forest106.5
47Florida106.4
48North Carolina106.2
49Illinois105.9
50Auburn105.6
51SMU104.0
52Washington St.103.6
53Air Force103.4
54Kansas102.3
55W. Kentucky102.1
56Fresno St.101.9
57Houston101.5
58Missouri101.4
59Virginia101.4
60Arizona St.101.1
61Tulane100.7
62Nebraska100.6
63Stanford100.4
64California100.1
65East Carolina100.0
66Rutgers99.8
67Indiana99.5
68Boise St.99.3
69U A B99.1
70Army98.6
71Appalachian St.98.6
72Memphis98.0
73Boston College97.4
74Virginia Tech97.1
75Tulsa97.0
76Coastal Carolina96.9
77U T S A96.8
78Liberty96.8
79James Madison96.6
80N. Illinois96.4
81Northwestern95.3
82San Diego St.95.2
83Arizona95.2
84Marshall94.8
85Georgia St.94.5
86Toledo94.5
87Central Mich.94.3
88Miami (Ohio)93.8
89Vanderbilt93.7
90Troy93.0
91South Alabama92.9
92Louisiana92.7
93U N L V92.1
94USF92.0
95Kent St.91.5
96San Jose St.91.3
97Georgia Tech91.2
98Duke90.6
99Old Dominion90.5
100Ga. Southern90.5
101Western Mich.90.3
102Florida Atlantic90.2
103Southern Miss.90.1
104Colorado89.5
105Utah St.89.3
106Navy88.9
107Middle Tennessee88.3
108Wyoming87.9
109Buffalo86.7
110U T E P86.6
111Bowling Green86.4
112Eastern Mich.85.6
113Nevada85.4
114Arkansas St.85.1
115Ohio85.1
116New Mexico84.2
117North Texas84.2
118Rice83.9
119UL-Monroe83.6
120Ball St.83.6
121Colorado St.81.6
122Texas St.81.2
123Louisiana Tech81.0
124Temple80.9
125Charlotte79.8
126Connecticut77.7
127Akron76.0
128New Mexico St.75.2
129Hawaii71.2
130Massachusetts70.6
131Florida Int’l.61.9

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati112.2111.7113.8112.6
UCF106.1106.8106.7106.5
SMU104.3103.4104.3104.0
Houston101.7100.8102.0101.5
Tulane101.1100.5100.5100.7
East Carolina99.999.5100.6100.0
Memphis98.098.397.798.0
Tulsa97.296.697.397.0
USF92.891.591.792.0
Navy89.788.888.288.9
Temple80.883.078.780.9

AAC98.598.298.398.4

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson118.5118.3118.8118.5
NC State117.0116.0116.8116.6
Florida St.114.1113.8113.9113.9
Louisville110.6109.5109.6109.9
Syracuse108.7107.6107.3107.9
Wake Forest106.7106.4106.4106.5
Boston College97.498.796.297.4

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Pittsburgh114.9113.8113.4114.0
Miami (Fla.)110.8109.6110.4110.3
North Carolina106.3106.4106.1106.2
Virginia102.0102.0100.2101.4
Virginia Tech97.798.095.597.1
Georgia Tech92.191.790.091.2
Duke90.693.088.290.6

ACC106.2106.0105.2105.8

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma118.7117.7118.6118.3
Oklahoma St.117.4115.9117.2116.8
Baylor115.4114.4115.0114.9
Texas112.9111.8111.8112.2
Kansas St.112.7111.4111.9112.0
T C U112.4111.1111.5111.6
Iowa St.109.3109.3109.5109.4
Texas Tech108.1106.8108.6107.8
West Virginia107.1106.9105.7106.6
Kansas103.7102.1101.1102.3

Big 12111.7110.7111.1111.2

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.131.2129.7132.0130.9
Michigan124.4123.2124.2123.9
Penn St.117.7117.7117.6117.6
Michigan St.112.9111.7111.1111.9
Maryland111.2111.2111.1111.1
Rutgers101.1100.398.099.8
Indiana100.799.998.099.5

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Minnesota121.3120.8121.7121.3
Wisconsin115.5114.9114.6115.0
Iowa114.0112.9112.2113.0
Purdue113.6112.5111.5112.6
Illinois106.3106.9104.6105.9
Nebraska101.2100.999.8100.6
Northwestern95.696.793.795.3

Big Ten111.9111.4110.7111.3

Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
W. Kentucky101.3101.4103.7102.1
U A B98.598.7100.199.1
U T S A97.395.997.296.8
Florida Atlantic89.891.189.890.2
Middle Tennessee87.588.788.888.3
U T E P86.786.386.686.6
North Texas84.283.385.184.2
Rice84.183.883.783.9
Louisiana Tech80.982.279.781.0
Charlotte79.780.579.379.8
Florida Int’l.61.664.259.961.9

CUSA86.586.986.786.7

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame112.9111.3113.2112.5
BYU110.8109.2110.6110.2
Army98.498.898.798.6
Liberty95.697.297.596.8
Connecticut78.279.175.877.7
New Mexico St.74.776.674.375.2
Massachusetts71.371.868.670.6

Independents91.792.091.291.6

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)92.194.794.593.8
Kent St.90.692.891.191.5
Buffalo85.387.787.286.7
Bowling Green87.085.986.286.4
Ohio83.986.085.385.1
Akron76.076.775.476.0

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
N. Illinois96.296.696.596.4
Toledo93.794.795.294.5
Central Mich.92.894.695.594.3
Western Mich.89.890.690.590.3
Eastern Mich.85.486.085.485.6
Ball St.83.384.283.383.6

MAC88.089.288.888.7

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Air Force102.9103.1104.3103.4
Boise St.99.598.599.999.3
Utah St.89.189.189.689.3
Wyoming86.788.988.287.9
New Mexico84.584.883.484.2
Colorado St.81.482.281.481.6

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Fresno St.101.8101.1102.8101.9
San Diego St.95.294.995.495.2
U N L V92.690.792.992.1
San Jose St.90.691.292.091.3
Nevada84.986.684.885.4
Hawaii70.771.971.171.2

MWC90.090.290.590.2

Pac-12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah116.8115.9118.5117.0
Oregon113.4112.8112.8113.0
U S C111.9112.5113.1112.5
Washington108.9109.8110.2109.6
Oregon St.109.4108.9110.1109.5
U C L A108.7108.6110.1109.1
Washington St.103.0103.7104.0103.6
Arizona St.101.0100.6101.6101.1
Stanford101.999.499.9100.4
California99.699.8101.0100.1
Arizona95.395.195.195.2
Colorado90.588.689.389.5

Pac-12105.0104.6105.5105.0

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia132.8131.4134.2132.8
Tennessee117.5117.6117.9117.7
Kentucky111.9112.6113.1112.5
South Carolina107.7106.9107.5107.4
Florida105.8107.3106.2106.4
Missouri101.6102.0100.6101.4
Vanderbilt93.994.792.493.7

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama131.1130.3132.4131.3
L S U115.7115.0115.1115.3
Ole Miss116.2114.4114.7115.1
Arkansas115.2113.6115.5114.8
Mississippi St.114.7113.2113.5113.8
Texas A&M111.4112.3112.9112.2
Auburn106.7105.2105.0105.6

SEC113.0112.6112.9112.9

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Appalachian St.97.298.899.698.6
Coastal Carolina95.697.197.996.9
James Madison94.396.399.296.6
Marshall94.495.394.794.8
Georgia St.94.193.496.194.5
Old Dominion90.590.690.490.5
Ga. Southern90.490.190.990.5

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Troy92.292.893.993.0
South Alabama92.192.893.992.9
Louisiana92.092.293.792.7
Southern Miss.89.790.390.390.1
Arkansas St.84.385.885.285.1
UL-Monroe83.783.983.383.6
Texas St.80.681.781.381.2

Sun Belt90.891.592.291.5

Conference Ratings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern112.9
2Big Ten111.3
3Big 12111.2
4Atlantic Coast105.8
5Pac-12105.0
6American Athletic98.4
7Independents91.6
8Sun Belt91.5
9Mountain West90.2
10Mid-American88.7
11Conference USA86.7

Coming In October

As October leads the College Football worlds into mostly conference play, it’s time to start looking ahead at the Playoffs and Bowl Projections. The PiRates do it a bit differently from others. We don’t make our projections based on what each team has done to the present time, like most others. We first forecast the rest of the season and then make our projections based on what we believe the standings will be. Additionally, we plan to do our best to explain the inexact rules for where teams can go. No longer can you look and see who will finish 3rd in a conference and then know where the 3rd place team is automatically slotted to go bowling. It’s more like the 1960’s, where the bowls can choose which teams they want with the help of the conferences that have the tie-ins. In the case of many bowls, multiple conferences can be in the mix, and ESPN can steer the teams into the bowls they want them to appear so as to attempt to get their maximum TV ratings.

This Week’s Playoff Projections

1.) Alabama

2.) Ohio State

3.) Georgia

4.) USC

Top Group of 5 (For The Cotton Bowl Bid)

1.) Cincinnati

2.) Central Florida

3.) Coastal Carolina

4.) Air Force

5.) Middle Tennessee

September 18, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football–September 22-24, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Virginia TechWest Virginia-2.5-1.5-3.1
Georgia St.Coastal Carolina6.44.16.5
SyracuseVirginia10.49.411.3
Air ForceNevada19.117.120.3
UTEPBoise St.-18.4-17.8-19.3
Iowa St.Baylor-2.6-1.3-1.5
KentuckyNorthern Illinois20.120.621.6
South CarolinaCharlotte30.028.129.9
TempleMassachusetts9.211.29.4
GeorgiaKent St.50.246.451.5
North CarolinaNotre Dame-1.30.8-1.4
Miami (Fla.)Middle Tennessee34.331.932.6
MichiganMaryland18.016.618.3
North Carolina St.Connecticut42.640.745.5
Penn St.Central Michigan29.727.626.7
Central FloridaGeorgia Tech17.118.119.9
LouisvilleSouth Florida16.916.916.6
Michigan St.Minnesota2.72.20.5
Wake ForestClemson-11.2-11.5-12.2
Ohio St.Wisconsin15.213.816.7
LibertyAkron24.025.327.3
Florida St.Boston College17.114.917.7
TennesseeFlorida15.614.416.1
CincinnatiIndiana13.213.317.7
East CarolinaNavy16.216.919.2
Georgia SouthernBall St.9.98.410.4
Eastern MichiganBuffalo9.57.67.7
Appalachian St.James Madison8.68.46.1
RutgersIowa-9.2-8.5-10.3
KansasDuke17.513.217.8
NorthwesternMiami (O)8.67.13.9
Old DominionArkansas St.9.88.49.0
ColoradoUCLA-12.0-13.9-14.7
BYUWyoming28.724.527.2
New Mexico St.Hawaii5.15.73.8
Arizona St.Utah-11.5-10.7-12.5
Oregon St.USC1.60.51.5
San Diego St.Toledo4.53.23.2
Washington St.Oregon-7.7-6.3-6.1
CaliforniaArizona4.85.06.2
WashingtonStanford8.011.711.3
TroyMarshall-1.5-2.2-0.4
South AlabamaLouisiana Tech11.010.014.0
Mississippi St.Bowling Green30.329.729.4
OklahomaKansas St.13.414.114.6
Ole MissTulsa23.922.722.5
AlabamaVanderbilt37.135.039.9
SMUTCU-5.7-4.9-3.9
Texas TechTexas-2.7-3.3-1.3
UL-MonroeLouisiana-9.6-9.9-12.7
Texas A&M (n)Arkansas-4.6-1.7-3.6
HoustonRice20.520.121.8
MemphisNorth Texas16.718.115.7
TulaneSouthern Miss.17.415.916.2
AuburnMissouri8.56.78.3
Western KentuckyFlorida Int’l.35.032.139.3
Utah St.UNLV1.03.41.7
PurdueFlorida Atlantic31.528.929.4
LSUNew Mexico33.832.533.9
San Jose St.Western Michigan-1.7-2.4-1.5

FBS vs. FCS Games

FBSFCSPiRate
IllinoisChattanooga23.8
OhioFordham16.7
Texas St.Houston Baptist26.4
PittsburghRhode Island32.0
Colorado St.Sacramento St.-3.0
UTSATexas Southern37.2

Teams With Byes

Army
Fresno St.
Nebraska
Oklahoma St.
UAB

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Georgia135.3
2Alabama129.5
3Ohio St.128.8
4Michigan124.6
5Oklahoma120.7
6Clemson119.7
7Tennessee118.2
8Penn St.118.2
9NC State117.1
10Wisconsin116.6
11Oklahoma St.116.5
12Minnesota116.4
13Utah116.3
14Ole Miss115.8
15Purdue115.2
16Michigan St.115.2
17Arkansas115.1
18L S U114.9
19Miami (Fla.)114.8
20Baylor114.6
21Pittsburgh114.3
22Mississippi St.113.5
23Kentucky113.4
24Oregon113.0
25Florida St.112.5
26Texas112.5
27Iowa112.4
28Cincinnati112.2
29Texas A&M111.8
30U S C111.6
31Notre Dame111.3
32BYU111.0
33T C U110.7
34Maryland110.0
35Oregon St.109.8
36Iowa St.109.7
37Kansas St.109.6
38Washington108.7
39Syracuse108.3
40Louisville108.1
41U C L A107.7
42North Carolina107.7
43Texas Tech107.5
44South Carolina107.0
45UCF106.6
46Auburn106.2
47Florida105.9
48Wake Forest105.6
49Illinois105.5
50West Virginia104.5
51SMU104.4
52Boise St.104.2
53Washington St.103.3
54Kansas102.8
55Tulane102.7
56Houston102.4
57Air Force102.3
58Arizona St.101.8
59Fresno St.101.7
60East Carolina101.7
61Stanford101.4
62Missouri101.4
63Virginia100.9
64Nebraska100.3
65Rutgers100.1
66Indiana99.9
67Appalachian St.99.7
68Virginia Tech99.6
69U A B98.9
70Boston College98.9
71California98.7
72W. Kentucky98.5
73Army98.4
74Memphis98.3
75Liberty98.2
76U T S A97.1
77Georgia St.96.8
78Northwestern96.6
79Arizona96.3
80Marshall95.8
81Tulsa95.8
82N. Illinois95.6
83San Diego St.95.2
84Vanderbilt95.2
85James Madison95.0
86Louisiana94.8
87Toledo94.5
88USF94.3
89Coastal Carolina93.6
90Western Mich.93.2
91Central Mich.93.2
92Miami (Ohio)92.5
93Troy92.0
94South Alabama91.4
95Georgia Tech91.2
96Colorado91.2
97U N L V91.2
98Old Dominion90.8
99Ga. Southern90.3
100Utah St.90.2
101Duke89.6
102Kent St.89.0
103Eastern Mich.88.8
104San Jose St.88.3
105Florida Atlantic88.3
106Southern Miss.88.1
107Navy87.2
108Wyoming87.2
109Bowling Green86.7
110Nevada86.5
111Ohio85.4
112Middle Tennessee84.8
113Arkansas St.84.8
114New Mexico84.6
115Colorado St.84.1
116North Texas83.9
117Ball St.83.7
118Buffalo83.5
119U T E P83.2
120Rice82.6
121Louisiana Tech82.2
122UL-Monroe82.0
123Texas St.80.9
124Charlotte80.2
125Temple79.6
126Connecticut77.2
127Akron75.1
128New Mexico St.73.9
129Hawaii72.5
130Massachusetts72.2
131Florida Int’l.65.5

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati111.8111.2113.5112.2
UCF106.1106.8106.8106.6
SMU104.5103.8104.9104.4
Tulane103.1102.4102.5102.7
Houston102.5101.7103.1102.4
East Carolina101.4101.1102.5101.7
Memphis98.298.698.098.3
Tulsa96.095.496.095.8
USF95.093.894.194.3
Navy88.287.286.387.2
Temple79.681.977.379.6

AAC98.898.598.698.6

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson119.6119.5120.1119.7
NC State117.4116.4117.5117.1
Florida St.112.8112.2112.4112.5
Syracuse109.1108.0107.9108.3
Louisville108.9107.7107.7108.1
Wake Forest105.9105.5105.4105.6
Boston College98.7100.397.798.9

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Fla.)115.3114.1114.9114.8
Pittsburgh115.2114.1113.7114.3
North Carolina107.6107.9107.6107.7
Virginia101.6101.699.6100.9
Virginia Tech100.1100.698.099.6
Georgia Tech92.191.789.991.2
Duke89.692.287.089.6

ACC106.7106.5105.7106.3

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma120.9120.1121.1120.7
Oklahoma St.117.1115.6116.9116.5
Baylor115.2114.0114.5114.6
Texas113.1112.2112.1112.5
T C U111.7110.2110.4110.7
Iowa St.109.5109.7110.0109.7
Kansas St.110.5109.0109.4109.6
Texas Tech107.9106.4108.3107.5
West Virginia105.1104.7103.6104.5
Kansas104.2102.4101.8102.8

Big 12111.5110.4110.8110.9

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.129.2127.5129.9128.8
Michigan125.0123.8125.0124.6
Penn St.118.3118.2118.1118.2
Michigan St.116.2115.1114.4115.2
Maryland110.1110.1109.8110.0
Rutgers101.3100.798.3100.1
Indiana101.1100.498.399.9

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Wisconsin117.0116.6116.2116.6
Minnesota116.5115.9116.9116.4
Purdue116.3115.1114.2115.2
Iowa113.5112.2111.6112.4
Illinois105.9106.5104.2105.5
Nebraska100.9100.699.5100.3
Northwestern96.998.094.896.6

Big Ten112.0111.5110.8111.4

Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U A B98.398.599.998.9
W. Kentucky97.797.6100.298.5
U T S A97.696.297.597.1
Florida Atlantic87.889.287.888.3
Middle Tennessee84.085.285.384.8
North Texas84.083.084.883.9
U T E P83.483.083.183.2
Rice83.082.682.382.6
Louisiana Tech82.183.680.982.2
Charlotte79.980.979.780.2
Florida Int’l.65.268.063.465.5

CUSA85.786.285.985.9

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame111.9110.1112.0111.3
BYU111.6109.8111.5111.0
Army98.298.698.598.4
Liberty96.898.699.198.2
Connecticut77.878.775.177.2
New Mexico St.73.575.372.873.9
Massachusetts72.973.370.472.2

Independents91.892.191.391.7

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)90.893.493.492.5
Kent St.88.190.488.489.0
Bowling Green87.286.286.686.7
Ohio84.286.385.685.4
Buffalo82.184.684.083.5
Akron75.375.874.375.1

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
N. Illinois95.595.895.595.6
Toledo93.794.795.294.5
Western Mich.92.693.693.593.2
Central Mich.91.693.594.493.2
Eastern Mich.88.689.188.688.8
Ball St.83.484.583.483.7

MAC87.889.088.688.4

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.104.3103.3104.9104.2
Air Force101.9101.9103.2102.3
Utah St.89.990.190.690.2
Wyoming85.988.387.387.2
New Mexico84.785.283.884.6
Colorado St.83.984.783.984.1

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Fresno St.101.6100.9102.6101.7
San Diego St.95.294.995.495.2
U N L V91.889.791.991.2
San Jose St.87.888.289.088.3
Nevada85.987.885.986.5
Hawaii71.973.272.672.5

MWC90.490.790.990.7

Pac-12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah116.2115.1117.8116.3
Oregon113.4112.8112.8113.0
U S C111.1111.7112.1111.6
Oregon St.109.7109.2110.6109.8
Washington107.9108.9109.2108.7
U C L A107.3107.2108.7107.7
Washington St.102.7103.4103.7103.3
Arizona St.101.6101.4102.3101.8
Stanford102.9100.3100.9101.4
California98.298.399.598.7
Arizona96.496.396.396.3
Colorado92.290.391.091.2

Pac-12105.0104.6105.4105.0

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia135.3133.8136.9135.3
Tennessee118.0118.1118.6118.2
Kentucky112.6113.4114.1113.4
South Carolina107.5106.5107.1107.0
Florida105.3106.8105.5105.9
Missouri101.6102.0100.4101.4
Vanderbilt95.396.393.895.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama129.4128.4130.7129.5
Ole Miss116.9115.1115.5115.8
Arkansas115.6113.8116.0115.1
L S U115.5114.6114.7114.9
Mississippi St.114.5112.9113.1113.5
Texas A&M111.0112.1112.4111.8
Auburn107.2105.7105.7106.2

SEC113.3112.8113.2113.1

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Appalachian St.98.3100.0100.799.7
Georgia St.96.395.598.596.8
Marshall95.396.495.795.8
James Madison92.794.697.695.0
Coastal Carolina92.494.094.593.6
Old Dominion90.890.990.890.8
Ga. Southern90.389.890.890.3

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana93.994.296.194.8
Troy91.391.792.992.0
South Alabama90.691.192.491.4
Southern Miss.87.788.488.388.1
Arkansas St.84.085.584.884.8
UL-Monroe82.382.481.482.0
Texas St.80.381.481.080.9

Sun Belt90.591.191.891.1

Conference Ratings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern113.1
2Big Ten111.4
3Big 12110.9
4Atlantic Coast106.3
5Pac-12105.0
6American Athletic98.6
7Independents91.7
8Sun Belt91.1
9Mountain West90.7
10Mid-American88.4
11Conference USA85.9

Playoff Projections

1.) Georgia

2.) Ohio St.

3.) Alabama

4.) Oklahoma

Most Likely Top Group of 5 Team

For Automatic New Year’s 6 Bowl Game

1.) Coastal Carolina

2.) Cincinnati

3.) Appalachian St.

4.) Tulane

September 11, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football–September 16-17, 2022

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 8:28 am

This Week’s Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
LouisvilleFlorida St.-0.5-1.1-0.9
WyomingAir Force-17.9-15.3-18.2
Miami (O)Cincinnati-18.8-15.0-17.7
MichiganConnecticut48.745.951.5
SyracusePurdue-5.1-4.9-4.3
TempleRutgers-22.8-19.7-22.5
BaylorTexas St.37.535.236.0
IndianaWestern Kentucky6.66.20.9
South CarolinaGeorgia-20.7-19.7-22.6
NebraskaOklahoma-11.5-10.6-12.9
Coastal CarolinaBuffalo13.512.414.2
Iowa St.Ohio28.025.426.3
New MexicoUTEP0.71.5-0.5
VirginiaOld Dominion13.914.011.9
UCLASouth Alabama22.121.522.2
Notre DameCalifornia18.116.117.2
UNLVNorth Texas4.83.43.5
Kansas St.Tulane15.014.214.7
WisconsinNew Mexico St.43.941.043.3
AuburnPenn St.-2.8-4.2-3.6
Northern IllinoisVanderbilt5.54.87.8
MinnesotaColorado23.524.825.1
Georgia TechOle Miss-16.4-14.6-16.8
OregonBYU0.82.1-0.1
UABGeorgia Southern10.210.811.2
Appalachian St.Troy10.111.811.6
HoustonKansas6.48.010.7
AlabamaUL-Monroe49.548.051.7
Washington St.Colorado St.19.219.019.8
Wake ForestLiberty14.612.111.4
Bowling GreenMarshall-6.3-8.9-7.8
LSUMississippi St.1.22.01.4
Ohio St.Toledo34.531.133.1
TennesseeAkron43.542.844.5
Georgia St.Charlotte23.621.626.8
North Carolina St.Texas Tech12.513.012.2
MemphisArkansas St.16.615.515.8
Florida AtlanticCentral Florida-13.9-12.8-14.2
FloridaSouth Florida13.917.315.5
MarylandSMU8.89.78.0
WashingtonMichigan St.-10.1-7.8-6.8
Western MichiganPittsburgh-20.1-17.6-16.9
IowaNevada31.127.428.9
RiceLousiana-13.9-15.0-17.6
TexasUTSA18.318.717.2
ClemsonLouisiana Tech41.940.344.2
Texas A&MMiami (Fla.)-2.60.1-1.0
UtahSan Diego St.23.622.325.0
USCFresno St.9.110.48.7
Arizona St.Eastern Michigan21.720.923.0

FBS vs. FCS Games

FBSFCSPiRate
ArizonaNorth Dakota St.3.3
ArkansasMissouri St.31.3
ArmyVillanova11.8
Ball St.Murray St.21.6
Boise St.UT-Martin24.3
Boston CollegeMaine27.1
Central MichiganBucknell37.3
DukeNorth Carolina A&T25.4
East CarolinaCampbell30.4
HawaiiDuquesne12.0
Kent St.Long Island28.8
KentuckyYoungstown St.33.7
MassachusettsStony Brook-1.0
Middle TennesseeTennessee St.24.6
MissouriAbilene Christian28.4
NorthwesternSouthern Illinois18.6
Oklahoma St.Arkansas-Pine Bluff54.3
Oregon St.Montana St.18.3
Southern Miss.Northwestern St.25.4
TulsaJacksonville St.20.5
Virginia TechWofford31.2
West VirginiaTowson St.32.6

Teams With Bye Weeks

Navy
North Carolina
TCU
Illinois
Florida Int’l.
Utah St.
San Jose St.
Stanford
James Madison

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Georgia133.2
2Alabama129.1
3Ohio St.126.6
4Michigan124.0
5Clemson120.5
6Oklahoma118.5
7Michigan St.117.6
8NC State117.1
9Tennessee117.0
10Oklahoma St.116.4
11Utah116.1
12Arkansas115.8
13Purdue115.7
14Penn St.115.6
15Miami (Fla.)115.5
16Wisconsin115.3
17Mississippi St.114.9
18Baylor114.6
19Minnesota114.5
20Pittsburgh114.1
21Kentucky113.6
22L S U113.5
23BYU113.0
24Ole Miss113.0
25Iowa112.5
26Texas112.3
27Notre Dame112.2
28Florida St.112.2
29Kansas St.112.0
30Cincinnati111.9
31Texas A&M111.4
32Oregon111.0
33T C U110.4
34Maryland110.1
35U S C109.9
36U C L A109.4
37Iowa St.109.3
38South Carolina109.2
39Auburn109.1
40Oregon St.108.6
41Louisville108.3
42Syracuse107.9
43Texas Tech107.5
44North Carolina107.4
45Florida107.0
46Wake Forest106.8
47Washington106.3
48UCF105.2
49Illinois105.2
50Arizona St.105.1
51Houston105.0
52Air Force104.6
53SMU104.3
54Boise St.104.1
55Nebraska103.8
56West Virginia103.5
57Fresno St.103.5
58Missouri102.0
59Rutgers101.9
60Washington St.101.9
61Virginia101.7
62East Carolina101.4
63Stanford101.1
64Indiana100.4
65Tulane100.3
66Appalachian St.100.2
67Virginia Tech100.0
68Kansas99.7
69Georgia St.99.5
70Boston College99.2
71Northwestern98.9
72U A B98.7
73Memphis98.5
74W. Kentucky98.3
75California98.1
76Louisiana98.0
77U T S A97.3
78Army97.2
79N. Illinois97.1
80Toledo96.7
81Liberty96.6
82Arizona96.3
83Marshall96.3
84San Diego St.95.5
85Tulsa94.9
86James Madison94.8
87Georgia Tech94.0
88Coastal Carolina93.8
89Vanderbilt93.6
90USF93.4
91Western Mich.93.4
92Colorado93.1
93Central Mich.93.0
94Miami (Ohio)92.8
95Troy91.5
96Ga. Southern90.5
97South Alabama90.4
98Old Dominion90.4
99Utah St.90.0
100Florida Atlantic89.6
101Duke89.4
102U N L V88.4
103Kent St.88.3
104San Jose St.88.1
105Navy87.0
106North Texas87.0
107Southern Miss.86.6
108Nevada86.4
109Eastern Mich.86.2
110Bowling Green86.2
111Ohio85.8
112Colorado St.85.5
113U T E P85.1
114Wyoming84.9
115Arkansas St.84.5
116Middle Tennessee84.0
117Ball St.83.4
118Buffalo83.4
119New Mexico83.2
120UL-Monroe82.4
121Louisiana Tech81.4
122Texas St.80.9
123Rice79.9
124Connecticut78.3
125Temple78.3
126Charlotte78.0
127Akron76.4
128New Mexico St.75.5
129Hawaii72.6
130Massachusetts71.5
131Florida Int’l.65.3

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati111.7110.8113.3111.9
UCF104.9105.4105.4105.2
Houston104.8104.3106.0105.0
SMU104.4103.6104.8104.3
East Carolina101.1100.8102.2101.4
Tulane100.8100.1100.1100.3
Memphis98.498.898.398.5
Tulsa95.194.595.194.9
USF94.492.893.293.4
Navy88.087.086.187.0
Temple78.380.775.878.3

AAC98.498.198.298.2

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson120.3120.2121.1120.5
NC State117.4116.4117.5117.1
Florida St.112.6112.0112.0112.2
Louisville109.1107.9108.1108.3
Syracuse108.7107.6107.4107.9
Wake Forest107.2106.7106.6106.8
Boston College99.0100.698.099.2

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Fla.)116.1114.7115.8115.5
Pittsburgh115.2113.9113.3114.1
North Carolina107.3107.6107.3107.4
Virginia102.3102.4100.3101.7
Virginia Tech100.5101.098.4100.0
Georgia Tech94.894.692.894.0
Duke89.492.086.889.4

ACC107.1107.0106.1106.7

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma118.8117.8118.9118.5
Oklahoma St.117.0115.5116.8116.4
Baylor115.3114.0114.5114.6
Texas113.0112.1111.9112.3
Kansas St.112.8111.3111.8112.0
T C U111.4109.9110.1110.4
Iowa St.109.3109.2109.5109.3
Texas Tech107.9106.4108.3107.5
West Virginia104.1103.7102.6103.5
Kansas101.499.398.499.7

Big 12111.1109.9110.3110.4

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.127.2125.2127.6126.6
Michigan124.5123.0124.5124.0
Michigan St.118.6117.4116.7117.6
Penn St.115.8115.7115.4115.6
Maryland110.2110.3109.9110.1
Rutgers103.1102.4100.3101.9
Indiana101.6101.098.6100.4

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Purdue116.7115.5114.7115.7
Wisconsin115.8115.1114.8115.3
Minnesota114.6114.0115.0114.5
Iowa113.7112.2111.7112.5
Illinois105.6106.2103.9105.2
Nebraska104.3104.2103.0103.8
Northwestern99.2100.397.198.9

Big Ten112.2111.6110.9111.6

Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U A B98.198.399.798.7
W. Kentucky97.597.3100.298.3
U T S A97.796.397.797.3
Florida Atlantic89.090.689.289.6
North Texas86.986.188.087.0
U T E P85.284.885.285.1
Middle Tennessee83.284.484.584.0
Louisiana Tech81.482.979.981.4
Rice80.579.979.479.9
Charlotte77.878.977.278.0
Florida Int’l.65.067.863.265.3

CUSA85.786.185.985.9

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanAverageAverage
BYU113.6111.7113.7113.0
Notre Dame112.8110.9113.0112.2
Army97.097.497.397.2
Liberty95.297.197.696.6
Connecticut78.880.076.178.3
New Mexico St.75.077.174.575.5
Massachusetts72.272.669.771.5
Independents92.192.491.792.1

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)90.993.893.692.8
Kent St.87.489.787.788.3
Bowling Green86.985.686.086.2
Ohio84.486.886.185.8
Buffalo82.084.683.783.4
Akron76.477.175.776.4

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
N. Illinois96.997.297.397.1
Toledo95.797.097.596.7
Western Mich.92.693.893.993.4
Central Mich.91.493.394.293.0
Eastern Mich.86.186.685.886.2
Ball St.83.184.283.183.4

MAC87.889.188.788.6

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Air Force104.1104.0105.6104.6
Boise St.104.2103.2104.8104.1
Utah St.89.789.990.490.0
Colorado St.85.286.185.485.5
Wyoming83.786.284.984.9
New Mexico83.483.982.283.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Fresno St.103.3102.6104.5103.5
San Diego St.95.495.395.695.5
U N L V89.286.989.088.4
San Jose St.87.688.088.888.1
Nevada85.787.885.886.4
Hawaii72.073.372.772.6

MWC90.390.690.890.6

Pac-12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah116.0114.7117.6116.1
Oregon111.4110.9110.6111.0
U S C109.4110.0110.2109.9
U C L A108.9108.8110.5109.4
Oregon St.108.5108.0109.4108.6
Washington105.5106.6106.9106.3
Arizona St.104.8104.6105.8105.1
Washington St.101.4102.0102.2101.9
Stanford102.6100.0100.6101.1
California97.697.898.898.1
Arizona96.496.396.396.3
Colorado94.192.292.993.1

Pac-12104.7104.3105.2104.7

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia133.2131.5134.8133.2
Tennessee116.9116.8117.2117.0
Kentucky112.8113.6114.3113.6
South Carolina109.6108.8109.2109.2
Florida106.2108.1106.7107.0
Missouri102.2102.6101.0102.0
Vanderbilt93.994.992.093.6

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama129.1127.9130.4129.1
Arkansas116.3114.5116.7115.8
Mississippi St.115.9114.3114.7114.9
L S U114.1113.2113.1113.5
Ole Miss114.2112.2112.6113.0
Texas A&M110.5111.8111.8111.4
Auburn110.0108.5108.7109.1

SEC113.2112.8113.1113.0

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Appalachian St.98.6100.5101.3100.2
Georgia St.98.998.0101.599.5
Marshall95.697.096.396.3
James Madison92.594.497.494.8
Coastal Carolina92.594.094.893.8
Ga. Southern90.590.091.090.5
Old Dominion90.490.490.490.4

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana96.997.499.598.0
Troy91.091.292.391.5
South Alabama89.790.291.390.4
Southern Miss.86.286.986.886.6
Arkansas St.83.885.384.584.5
UL-Monroe82.682.981.782.4
Texas St.80.281.481.080.9

Sun Belt90.791.492.191.4

Conference Ratings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern113.0
2Big Ten111.6
3Big 12110.4
4Atlantic Coast106.7
5Pac-12104.7
6American Athletic98.2
7Independents92.1
8Sun Belt91.4
9Mountain West90.6
10Mid-American88.6
11Conference USA85.9

A Tale of Two Conferences

In the mid 1990’s, Conference USA formed when the old Metro Conference dissolved. The league was founded to combine two former basketball conferences into a Midwestern league. At the time, it also had some rather successful football teams. Cincinnati, Louisville, South Florida, Southern Miss., UAB, Memphis, Tulane, Houston, East Carolina, and Army were all early members of the new league. Then, TCU joined and had a top 5 season in the early 2000’s. The league saw early success, and with that, the Big East raided CUSA and took Cincinnati, Louisville, and South Florida. Seeing the writing on the wall, TCU bolted for the Mountain West, where an incredible rivalry with Boise State ensued. CUSA then expanded with new members, making the league quite relevant, as the new teams provided numerous upsets over Power Conference opponents. Central Florida, SMU, Tulsa, Rice, UTEP, and Marshall joined the league and all found some successful seasons. Then, the American Athletic Conference formed, and once again, CUSA lost some significant teams in Memphis, Tulane, Houston, Central Florida, SMU, and Tulsa.

The Sun Belt Conference began as a basketball league back in the mid-1970’s, and in its early years, the league jumped over many others in the Low and Mid-Major area. There was a year where four SBC teams made the NCAA Tournament. The league saw teams come and go, as it struggled financially. They even kicked New Orleans out of the conference because the Privateers did not have a Division 1 level gymnasium.

The Sun Belt decided to sponsor football beginning in the early part of this century. Almost annually, the makeup of the league changed. Teams as far west as Utah State and Idaho joined the conference at times, as they played in the same league with teams from Florida. When Western Kentucky and Middle Tennessee State, North Texas, and UAB all left the Sun Belt for CUSA in a matter of a couple of seasons, it looked like CUSA would force the SBC back to a basketball conference, while CUSA continued to thrive with some respectable programs.

Then, something happened. About the time that the SEC was becoming a super league and superior to all others, and all their member schools began recruiting nationally instead of regionally, a lot of really good Southeastern recruits started to lose out to the elite 5-star and high 4-star talents from all over America. These low 4-star and 3-star players had once filled SEC rosters, but now they needed to find other schools. Many of them chose to stay near their homes, and that mean Sun Belt Conference schools.

Schools like Troy, Georgia Southern, and what was still known as Louisiana-Lafayette started getting players that used to go to Alabama, Auburn, Georgia, and LSU. The addition of Appalachian State, Coastal Carolina, and Georgia State to the league as they moved to FBS brought some solid former FCS programs that further strengthened this league. All of a sudden, the SBC passed CUSA, and it was CUSA that almost died when the 2021 expansion routlette began. Texas and Oklahoma decided to leave the Big 12 for the SEC, so the Big 12 robbed the AAC of its three best schools, and then the AAC robbed CUSA of its largest market schools. Three schools, Marshall, Old Dominion, and Southern Miss quickly petitioned the Sun Belt for admission and were fast-tracked. Then the league found a real diamond in the rough in James Madison. Meanwhile, CUSA had to look for crumbs just to survive. They secured markers for FCS schools Jacksonville State and Sam Houston, and then added Liberty and New Mexico State as future members. It was almost too late, because both Western Kentucky and Middle Tennessee came very close to leaving for the Mid-American Conference.

In just five or six years, the Sun Belt rose from weakeast FBS league by far to possibly the strongest. Once Cincinnati, Houston, and Central Florida leave the American, the SBC should be better than the new AAC with CUSA teams. It has already passed the Mountain West. Meanwhile, Conference USA football as a whole might not be as strong as the FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference once the league is reduced to ashes by the departures of its top markets.

September 6, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football For September 9-10, 2022

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 4:58 am

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Central FloridaLouisville-0.41.71.7
New MexicoBoise St.-17.8-16.0-19.8
Ohio St.Arkansas St.48.845.148.9
Georgia St.North Carolina-5.8-7.1-2.7
Penn St.Ohio34.331.031.2
ArmyUTSA2.74.93.4
Miami (Fla.)Southern Miss.34.532.433.8
NorthwesternDuke17.816.318.8
Kansas St.Missouri10.48.810.3
ArkansasSouth Carolina9.17.79.5
TexasAlabama-15.6-15.5-18.8
VanderbiltWake Forest-8.4-6.4-9.5
Central MichiganSouth Alabama9.010.811.0
Ball St.Western Michigan-7.0-7.2-8.5
Notre DameMarshall28.325.127.8
CharlotteMaryland-29.2-27.9-29.2
PittsburghTennessee1.50.2-0.7
NavyMemphis-3.2-4.2-4.4
Air ForceColorado7.39.19.8
Texas A&MAppalachian St.20.019.618.8
WisconsinWashington St.22.321.020.5
Colorado St.Middle Tennessee10.19.99.2
Michigan St.Akron44.341.842.4
IllinoisVirginia3.13.42.7
CaliforniaUNLV11.814.713.6
Texas TechHouston5.94.95.1
IowaIowa St.8.77.26.5
East CarolinaOld Dominion12.612.113.5
West VirginiaKansas6.88.99.1
LibertyUAB-1.70.1-1.2
FloridaKentucky-2.2-1.1-2.8
ToledoMassachusetts21.121.925.6
ConnecticutSyracuse-26.3-23.5-27.7
OklahomaKent St.35.031.435.0
LouisianaEastern Michigan10.410.213.3
TulsaNorthern Illinois1.0-0.10.4
Texas St.Florida Int’l.14.812.617.2
AuburnSan Jose St.28.226.426.1
NebraskaGeorgia Southern23.023.621.2
StanfordUSC-1.4-5.0-4.2
Oklahoma St.Arizona St.14.913.413.2
MichiganHawaii55.552.654.8
Virginia TechBoston College1.70.3-0.2
UTEPNew Mexico St.12.89.913.9
BYUBaylor1.20.51.9
Fresno St.Oregon St.-2.0-2.3-1.5
ArizonaMississippi St.-15.9-13.9-14.4

FBS vs. FCS Games

FBSFCSPiRate
MinnesotaWestern Illinois32.5
North Carolina St.Charleston Southern34.1
UtahSouthern Utah34.8
TempleLafayette9.7
ClemsonFurman34.2
CincinnatiKennesaw St.29.7
GeorgiaSamford42.3
WashingtonPortland St.23.8
PurdueIndiana St.30.1
RutgersWagner38.4
WyomingNorthern Colorado22.4
Bowling GreenEastern Kentucky5.8
James MadisonNorfolk St.32.7
UCLAAlabama St.36.8
NevadaIncarnate Word10.2
BuffaloHoly Cross9.7
Miami (O)Robert Morris29.2
Coastal CarolinaGardner-Webb29.5
Florida AtlanticSoutheast Louisiana10.1
Ole MissCentral Arkansas29.7
Georgia TechWestern Carolina18.8
Utah St.Weber St.9.8
TulaneAlcorn St.23.7
SMULamar39.5
South FloridaHoward26.6
TroyAlabama A&M25.3
Louisiana TechStephen F. Austin10.1
LSUSouthern32.4
North TexasTexas Southern27.1
RiceMcNeese St.6.6
TCUTarleton31.2
IndianaIdaho21.5
San Diego St.Idaho St.25.9
UL-MonroeNicholls St.7.5
OregonEastern Washington21.6

Bye Weeks

Florida St.
Western Kentucky

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Georgia133.4
2Alabama130.8
3Ohio St.127.9
4Michigan123.7
5Clemson120.8
6Oklahoma118.8
7Wisconsin117.9
8Notre Dame117.2
9Michigan St.117.1
10Tennessee116.9
11NC State116.4
12Miami (Fla.)116.4
13Oklahoma St.116.2
14Arkansas115.4
15Penn St.115.3
16Utah115.1
17Baylor114.7
18Purdue114.7
19Mississippi St.114.5
20Texas A&M114.4
21Pittsburgh114.2
22Iowa114.0
23Minnesota113.7
24BYU112.9
25Kentucky112.8
26L S U112.2
27Florida St.111.9
28Ole Miss111.5
29Cincinnati111.4
30Texas111.2
31Auburn110.9
32Kansas St.110.7
33T C U109.7
34Maryland109.7
35South Carolina109.6
36U C L A109.3
37U S C108.7
38Iowa St.108.5
39Oregon St.108.5
40Oregon108.5
41Louisville107.9
42Texas Tech107.8
43Florida107.8
44Nebraska107.4
45North Carolina107.3
46Syracuse107.3
47UCF105.9
48Wake Forest105.5
49Washington105.3
50Arizona St.105.3
51Houston105.0
52SMU105.0
53West Virginia104.1
54Boise St.104.0
55Missouri103.9
56Fresno St.103.6
57Illinois103.5
58Virginia103.4
59Air Force102.4
60Stanford102.2
61Northwestern101.2
62East Carolina101.0
63Indiana100.9
64Boston College100.8
65Rutgers100.7
66Georgia St.99.6
67Washington St.99.6
68U A B99.4
69Kansas98.8
70Tulane98.5
71California98.4
72Virginia Tech98.4
73W. Kentucky98.1
74Appalachian St.98.0
75Army97.6
76N. Illinois97.3
77U T S A96.9
78Arizona96.8
79Louisiana96.6
80Memphis96.3
81Liberty96.0
82Colorado95.7
83Central Mich.95.6
84Coastal Carolina95.5
85San Diego St.95.3
86Vanderbilt94.9
87Tulsa94.7
88Toledo94.6
89Georgia Tech94.1
90USF93.7
91Utah St.93.5
92James Madison93.5
93Miami (Ohio)93.5
94Western Mich.93.5
95Marshall93.1
96Troy91.6
97Old Dominion90.8
98Navy89.9
99Nevada88.6
100Colorado St.88.5
101Florida Atlantic88.2
102U N L V88.1
103Kent St.88.0
104Ga. Southern87.9
105Eastern Mich.87.8
106South Alabama87.8
107San Jose St.87.0
108Bowling Green86.9
109North Texas86.8
110Duke86.5
111Ohio86.1
112Southern Miss.85.8
113U T E P85.4
114Wyoming84.9
115Buffalo84.9
116Ball St.83.4
117Arkansas St.83.3
118New Mexico83.2
119Middle Tennessee81.8
120UL-Monroe81.2
121Louisiana Tech80.2
122Texas St.79.5
123Connecticut78.9
124Charlotte78.4
125Temple78.0
126Rice77.9
127Akron77.2
128New Mexico St.75.2
129Massachusetts74.3
130Hawaii72.9
131Florida Int’l.67.2

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati111.2110.3112.8111.4
UCF105.4106.1106.2105.9
Houston104.8104.3106.0105.0
SMU105.1104.3105.5105.0
East Carolina100.8100.4101.8101.0
Tulane99.098.398.398.5
Memphis96.496.696.096.3
Tulsa95.094.394.994.7
USF94.793.193.593.7
Navy90.789.989.189.9
Temple78.080.475.578.0

AAC98.398.098.298.1

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson120.6120.5121.4120.8
NC State116.7115.7116.8116.4
Florida St.112.3111.7111.7111.9
Louisville108.8107.4107.5107.9
Syracuse108.2106.8106.8107.3
Wake Forest106.0105.3105.3105.5
Boston College100.4102.299.8100.8

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Fla.)116.9115.5116.7116.4
Pittsburgh115.3114.0113.4114.2
North Carolina107.3107.6107.0107.3
Virginia103.9104.1102.2103.4
Virginia Tech99.199.496.698.4
Georgia Tech94.994.792.994.1
Duke86.689.283.786.5

ACC106.9106.7105.8106.5

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma119.1117.9119.3118.8
Oklahoma St.116.9115.2116.4116.2
Baylor115.4114.1114.6114.7
Texas112.0111.0110.5111.2
Kansas St.111.6110.2110.4110.7
T C U110.7109.2109.4109.7
Iowa St.108.5108.4108.7108.5
Texas Tech108.2106.7108.6107.8
West Virginia104.5104.3103.4104.1
Kansas100.798.497.398.8
Big 12110.7109.5109.9110.0

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.128.4126.3129.0127.9
Michigan124.2122.7124.2123.7
Michigan St.118.3116.8116.1117.1
Penn St.115.7115.3114.9115.3
Maryland109.9109.8109.4109.7
Indiana102.1101.599.1100.9
Rutgers101.9101.299.1100.7
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Wisconsin118.4117.7117.4117.9
Purdue115.7114.5113.7114.7
Iowa115.2113.7113.2114.0
Minnesota113.8113.2114.2113.7
Nebraska107.9107.9106.6107.4
Illinois104.0104.5102.0103.5
Northwestern101.4102.599.6101.2

Big Ten112.6112.0111.3112.0

Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U A B98.798.9100.599.4
W. Kentucky97.397.1100.098.1
U T S A97.595.997.396.9
Florida Atlantic87.689.287.888.2
North Texas86.785.987.886.8
U T E P85.584.985.885.4
Middle Tennessee81.082.182.281.8
Louisiana Tech80.281.778.780.2
Charlotte78.179.477.778.4
Rice78.577.977.477.9
Florida Int’l.66.769.865.067.2

CUSA85.385.785.585.5

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame117.8115.9118.0117.2
BYU113.5111.6113.6112.9
Army97.297.897.797.6
Liberty94.696.596.896.0
Connecticut79.380.876.778.9
New Mexico St.74.777.073.975.2
Massachusetts75.075.572.474.3

Independents93.293.692.793.2

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)91.694.594.393.5
Kent St.87.189.687.388.0
Bowling Green87.686.386.786.9
Ohio84.587.286.686.1
Buffalo83.586.185.284.9
Akron77.078.076.677.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
N. Illinois97.097.497.597.3
Central Mich.93.895.997.095.6
Toledo93.694.895.594.6
Western Mich.92.693.894.093.5
Eastern Mich.87.788.387.487.8
Ball St.83.184.283.083.4

MAC88.389.789.389.1

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.104.2103.0104.9104.0
Air Force102.0101.9103.4102.4
Utah St.93.293.493.993.5
Colorado St.88.189.188.488.5
Wyoming83.786.284.984.9
New Mexico83.484.182.183.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Fresno St.103.4102.7104.7103.6
San Diego St.95.295.195.495.3
Nevada87.990.088.088.6
U N L V89.086.588.688.1
San Jose St.86.586.987.687.0
Hawaii72.373.673.072.9

MWC90.791.091.291.0

Pac-12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah115.0113.7116.6115.1
U C L A108.8108.7110.4109.3
U S C108.2109.0109.0108.7
Oregon St.108.4107.9109.2108.5
Oregon108.9108.4108.1108.5
Washington104.5105.6105.9105.3
Arizona St.104.9104.9106.2105.3
Stanford103.8101.0101.8102.2
Washington St.99.199.799.999.6
California97.898.299.298.4
Arizona96.796.896.896.8
Colorado96.794.895.695.7

Pac-12104.4104.1104.9104.4

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia133.4131.7135.0133.4
Tennessee116.8116.7117.1116.9
Kentucky112.1112.9113.4112.8
South Carolina109.9109.3109.7109.6
Florida106.9108.8107.6107.8
Missouri104.1104.4103.1103.9
Vanderbilt95.196.393.394.9

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama130.6129.5132.3130.8
Arkansas116.0114.0116.2115.4
Mississippi St.115.6113.8114.2114.5
Texas A&M113.5114.9114.9114.4
L S U112.8111.9111.8112.2
Ole Miss112.7110.7111.1111.5
Auburn111.8110.3110.6110.9

SEC113.7113.2113.6113.5

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia St.98.998.0101.899.6
Appalachian St.96.598.399.198.0
Coastal Carolina94.295.796.595.5
James Madison91.293.196.193.5
Marshall92.493.893.193.1
Old Dominion90.790.890.890.8
Ga. Southern87.987.388.487.9

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana95.696.098.296.6
Troy91.191.392.491.6
South Alabama87.387.688.587.8
Southern Miss.85.486.185.985.8
Arkansas St.82.684.283.183.3
UL-Monroe81.481.780.581.2
Texas St.79.079.979.779.5

Sun Belt89.690.391.090.3

Rating of Conferences

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern113.5
2Big Ten112.0
3Big 12110.0
4Atlantic Coast106.5
5Pac-12104.4
6American Athletic98.1
7Independents93.2
8Mountain West91.0
9Sun Belt90.3
10Mid-American89.1
11Conference USA85.5

Playoff Projections

#1: Alabama

#2: Georgia

#3: Ohio St.

#4: Clemson

August 28, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football–Sept. 1-5, 2022

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 6:07 am

This Week’s Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
TennesseeBall St.33.532.033.5
PittsburghWest Virginia13.712.613.3
PurduePenn St.4.74.14.0
MissouriLouisiana Tech26.725.127.2
MinnesotaNew Mexico St.42.039.043.1
Oklahoma St.Central Michigan28.224.024.4
IndianaIllinois0.3-0.8-0.7
Old DominionVirginia Tech-9.0-9.4-6.4
Michigan St.Western Michigan29.826.926.2
DukeTemple5.85.85.0
ColoradoTCU-7.3-7.6-6.6
Ole MissTroy25.723.522.8
FloridaUtah-7.0-3.5-8.6
South FloridaBYU-12.9-12.5-14.0
SyracuseLouisville-2.9-3.3-3.5
Ohio St.Notre Dame14.214.115.2
MarylandBuffalo30.127.428.0
MichiganColorado St.38.235.037.4
Appalachian St.North Carolina-10.0-8.4-6.7
Boston CollegeRutgers2.25.15.0
James MadisonMiddle Tennessee4.04.77.7
Coastal CarolinaArmy-2.8-2.1-1.2
KentuckyMiami (O)23.521.221.9
South CarolinaGeorgia St.13.113.39.3
North TexasSMU-10.5-10.4-9.3
OhioFlorida Atlantic-0.80.41.4
East CarolinaNorth Carolina St.-16.3-15.7-15.6
WyomingTulsa-10.1-6.3-8.8
USCRice27.128.529.0
UCLABowling Green23.825.026.3
Oregon St.Boise St.4.14.63.8
WashingtonKent St.19.817.820.8
San Diego St.Arizona6.46.46.9
NevadaTexas St.9.210.58.1
Georgia (Atlanta)Oregon21.419.823.8
Southern Miss.Liberty-7.8-9.3-10.3
AlabamaUtah St.37.235.538.0
OklahomaUTEP37.236.637.4
Mississippi St.Memphis20.618.019.0
TexasUL-Monroe32.030.331.0
ArkansasCincinnati7.56.56.2
UTSAHouston-5.9-7.4-7.9
TulaneMassachusetts25.924.327.8
HawaiiWestern Kentucky-18.5-16.5-20.2
LSU (New Orleans)Florida St.3.43.33.5
Georgia TechClemson-21.7-21.5-24.4

FBS vs. FCS Games

FBSFCSPiRate
AkronSt. Francis (PA)8.3
Central FloridaS. Carolina St.29.5
Florida Int’l.Bryant8.8
ToledoLong Island39.0
Wake ForestVMI31.7
Northern IllinoisEastern Illinois28.0
UABAlabama A&M28.8
Arizona St.Northern Arizona26.1
Fresno St.Cal Poly SLO31.3
San Jose St.Portland St.12.7
Eastern MichiganEastern Kentucky13.2
CharlotteWilliam & Mary3.8
KansasTennessee Tech25.1
Air ForceNorthern Iowa15.3
New MexicoMaine4.6
Texas A&MSam Houston27.7
ConnecticutCentral Connecticut13.0
IowaSouth Dakota St.16.7
NavyDelaware18.1
VirginiaRichmond22.1
Iowa St.SE Missouri St.33.2
NebraskaNorth Dakota21.1
Miami (Fla.)Bethune-Cookman38.6
MarshallNorfolk St.28.1
CaliforniaUC Davis18.6
South AlabamaNicholls St.9.7
Georgia SouthernMorgan St.28.6
AuburnMercer28.2
VanderbiltElon17.2
Kansas St.South Dakota23.2
WisconsinIllinois St.31.3
LouisianaSE Louisiana18.1
BaylorAlbany38.5
Arkansas St.Grambling21.8
StanfordColgate30.3
Texas TechMurray St.30.0
Washington St.Idaho25.7

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Georgia130.5
2Alabama129.1
3Ohio St.128.3
4Michigan123.0
5Clemson120.0
6Oklahoma119.1
7NC State118.1
8Michigan St.117.7
9Wisconsin117.6
10Oklahoma St.117.5
11Notre Dame116.8
12Utah116.6
13Purdue115.9
14Arkansas115.3
15Tennessee115.1
16Pittsburgh115.0
17Iowa114.7
18Miami (Fla.)114.7
19Penn St.114.6
20Texas A&M114.3
21Mississippi St.113.9
22Minnesota113.6
23Baylor113.5
24Kentucky112.7
25L S U112.5
26Ole Miss112.2
27Florida St.111.6
28BYU111.5
29Cincinnati111.5
30Oregon111.3
31Auburn111.2
32Louisville111.0
33Kansas St.110.3
34Texas110.2
35Maryland110.0
36U C L A109.1
37South Carolina109.1
38Iowa St.108.7
39North Carolina108.2
40T C U107.8
41Nebraska107.6
42Oregon St.107.2
43Texas Tech106.7
44Florida106.7
45Boise St.106.0
46U S C105.9
47Houston105.5
48Wake Forest105.4
49Washington104.9
50Syracuse104.8
51Arizona St.104.5
52UCF104.4
53Illinois103.8
54Missouri103.7
55Virginia103.6
56Fresno St.103.5
57West Virginia103.3
58Stanford102.2
59SMU102.0
60Washington St.101.5
61Air Force101.4
62Northwestern101.2
63Boston College101.2
64Indiana100.9
65Georgia St.100.1
66Rutgers100.1
67East Carolina99.8
68Virginia Tech99.7
69Army99.0
70California98.3
71N. Illinois98.2
72Tulane98.2
73U A B98.1
74Appal. St.97.8
75San Diego St.97.7
76Colorado97.6
77Kansas97.3
78Memphis97.2
79Liberty97.0
80Louisiana96.9
81W. Kentucky96.7
82U T S A96.5
83Tulsa95.5
84Vanderbilt95.4
85USF95.4
86Utah St.95.2
87Georgia Tech95.0
88Central Mich.95.0
89Toledo94.5
90Arizona94.1
91Coastal Car.94.0
92Miami (Ohio)93.5
93Western Mich.93.1
94Navy92.2
95Marshall92.1
96Troy91.2
97North Texas90.4
98J. Madison89.5
99Old Dominion89.4
100Colorado St.89.2
101Florida Atlantic88.6
102Eastern Mich.88.5
103Kent St.88.4
104U N L V88.1
105Nevada87.8
106San Jose St.87.4
107Bowling Green87.1
108Ga. Southern86.6
109Middle Tennessee86.5
110Ohio85.9
111South Alabama85.8
112Southern Miss.85.3
113Ball St.85.1
114U T E P85.1
115Buffalo84.5
116Wyoming84.1
117Duke84.1
118UL-Monroe82.1
119Temple81.1
120Texas St.81.0
121Arkansas St.80.8
122Rice80.7
123Charlotte80.7
124Louisiana Tech80.4
125New Mexico80.2
126Akron78.5
127Connecticut78.2
128New Mexico St.75.3
129Hawaii74.8
130Massachusetts74.7
131Florida Int’l.67.6

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati111.3110.4112.9111.5
Houston105.1104.8106.6105.5
UCF103.9104.6104.7104.4
SMU102.3101.4102.4102.0
East Carolina99.699.2100.599.8
Tulane98.797.898.098.2
Memphis97.197.697.097.2
Tulsa95.994.995.895.5
USF96.394.895.295.4
Navy93.092.291.492.2
Temple81.083.578.781.1

AAC98.698.398.598.4

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson119.8119.6120.6120.0
NC State118.4117.4118.6118.1
Florida St.112.1111.4111.3111.6
Louisville111.8110.6110.8111.0
Wake Forest105.9105.2105.2105.4
Syracuse105.9104.3104.2104.8
Boston College100.6102.6100.3101.2

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Pittsburgh116.0114.7114.3115.0
Miami (Fla.)115.2113.8115.0114.7
North Carolina108.3108.5107.8108.2
Virginia104.1104.3102.4103.6
Virginia Tech100.4100.897.999.7
Georgia Tech95.795.693.795.0
Duke84.386.881.284.1

ACC107.0106.8105.9106.6

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma119.4118.2119.8119.1
Oklahoma St.118.3116.4117.7117.5
Baylor114.2112.9113.4113.5
Kansas St.111.2109.8110.0110.3
Texas111.2110.0109.5110.2
Iowa St.108.7108.6108.9108.7
T C U108.9107.3107.3107.8
Texas Tech107.1105.6107.5106.7
West Virginia103.8103.6102.5103.3
Kansas99.296.995.897.3

Big 12110.2108.9109.2109.5

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.128.7126.7129.6128.3
Michigan123.7121.9123.5123.0
Michigan St.119.0117.4116.8117.7
Penn St.115.1114.6114.1114.6
Maryland110.3110.1109.8110.0
Indiana102.1101.599.1100.9
Rutgers101.4100.598.3100.1

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Wisconsin118.1117.4117.1117.6
Purdue116.8115.7115.0115.9
Iowa115.9114.4113.9114.7
Minnesota113.7113.1114.1113.6
Nebraska108.1108.1106.8107.6
Illinois104.3104.8102.3103.8
Northwestern101.4102.599.6101.2

Big Ten112.8112.0111.4112.1

Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U A B97.497.699.298.1
W. Kentucky96.095.698.696.7
U T S A97.295.496.796.5
North Texas90.289.591.690.4
Florida Atlantic88.089.688.188.6
Middle Tennessee85.786.886.986.5
U T E P85.284.685.385.1
Rice81.380.780.280.7
Charlotte80.481.780.080.7
Louisiana Tech80.382.078.880.4
Florida Int’l.67.170.265.467.6

CUSA86.386.786.586.5

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame117.5115.5117.4116.8
BYU112.2110.2112.2111.5
Army98.699.399.299.0
Liberty95.497.598.097.0
Connecticut78.680.176.078.2
New Mexico St.74.877.174.075.3
Massachusetts75.376.072.774.7

Independents93.293.792.893.2

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)91.694.694.493.5
Kent St.87.490.287.788.4
Bowling Green87.886.586.987.1
Ohio84.387.086.585.9
Buffalo83.185.884.884.5
Akron78.379.377.978.5

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
N. Illinois97.998.398.498.2
Central Mich.93.195.496.495.0
Toledo93.594.795.494.5
Western Mich.92.293.593.693.1
Eastern Mich.88.489.088.188.5
Ball St.84.786.084.885.1

MAC88.590.089.689.4

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.106.1105.0107.0106.0
Air Force101.0100.9102.4101.4
Utah St.94.895.295.695.2
Colorado St.88.689.989.189.2
Wyoming82.885.684.084.1
New Mexico80.481.179.180.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Fresno St.103.3102.6104.6103.5
San Diego St.97.597.597.997.7
U N L V89.086.588.688.1
Nevada87.289.387.087.8
San Jose St.86.987.388.087.4
Hawaii74.175.674.974.8

MWC91.091.491.591.3

Pac-12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah116.5115.0118.4116.6
Oregon111.7111.4110.9111.3
U C L A108.6108.5110.2109.1
Oregon St.107.2106.6107.8107.2
U S C105.4106.2106.2105.9
Washington104.2105.0105.5104.9
Arizona St.104.1104.1105.4104.5
Stanford103.8101.0101.8102.2
Washington St.101.0101.6101.8101.5
California97.798.199.198.3
Colorado98.596.797.797.6
Arizona94.194.194.094.1

Pac-12104.4104.0104.9104.4

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia130.6128.7132.2130.5
Tennessee115.2114.9115.3115.1
Kentucky112.1112.8113.3112.7
South Carolina109.5108.8108.9109.1
Florida105.9108.0106.3106.7
Missouri104.0104.1103.0103.7
Vanderbilt95.696.893.895.4

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama129.0127.7130.6129.1
Arkansas115.9113.9116.1115.3
Texas A&M113.4114.8114.8114.3
Mississippi St.115.2113.1113.5113.9
L S U113.0112.2112.2112.5
Ole Miss113.4111.4111.8112.2
Auburn112.1110.6110.9111.2

SEC113.2112.7113.1113.0

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia St.99.398.5102.6100.1
Appalachian St.96.298.199.097.8
Coastal Carolina92.894.295.094.0
Marshall91.492.892.192.1
James Madison87.289.192.189.5
Old Dominion89.489.489.589.4
Ga. Southern86.686.087.186.6

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana95.996.398.596.9
Troy90.790.992.091.2
South Alabama85.385.686.585.8
Southern Miss.85.185.685.285.3
UL-Monroe82.282.781.582.1
Texas St.80.481.381.481.0
Arkansas St.80.181.780.680.8

Sun Belt88.889.490.289.5

Conference Rankings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern113.0
2Big Ten112.1
3Big 12109.5
4Atlantic Coast106.6
5Pac-12104.4
6American Athletic98.4
7Independents93.2
8Mountain West91.3
9Sun Belt89.5
10Mid-American89.4
11Conference USA86.5

The Best TV Games This Week

Thursday, September 1
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
7:00 PMESPNPittsburghWest Virginia
8:00 PMFoxPurduePenn St.

Friday, September 2
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
7:00 PMESPNMichigan St.Western Michigan
8:00 PMFS1IndianaIllinois
10:00 PMESPNColoradoTCU

Saturday, September 3
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
12:00 PMABCMichiganColorado St.
12:00 PMESPNEast CarolinaNorth Carolina St.
12:00 PMESPNUAppalachian St.North Carolina
12:00 PMFS1IowaSouth Dakota St.
3:30 PMCBSSan Diego St.Arizona
3:30 PMESPNArkansasCincinnati
3:30 PMABCGeorgia (Atl.)Oregon
3:30 PMFoxOklahomaUTEP
7:00 PMESPNFloridaUtah
7:30 PMESPNUMississippi St.Memphis
7:30 PMABCOhio St.Notre Dame
7:30 PMSECNAlabamaUtah St.
10:30 PMESPNOregon St.Boise St.
10:30 PMFS1WashingtonKent St.

Sunday, September 4
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
7:30 PMABCLSU (New Orleans)Florida St.

Monday, September 5
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
8:00 PMESPNGeorgia TechClemson

August 19, 2022

SEC Preview

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 3:00 am

Current Penn State head football coach James Franklin once said when he was the head coach at Vanderbilt that there were three major football leagues in America: The NFC, The AFC, and The SEC. This conference has dominated the National Championship Playoffs placing two teams in the four-team field multiple times. Prior to the Playoff era, it produced multiple BCS Championship Game teams, including an Alabama-LSU game. Prior to the BCS era, it produced multiple mythical national champions. It wasn’t just Alabama. Auburn, Georgia, Kentucky, LSU, Ole Miss, and Tennessee claimed titles. Former member Georgia Tech did as well.

The SEC was the pioneer of divisional play with a conference championship game, when Arkansas and South Carolina joined the league in 1991. It was the first conference to expand to 12 teams. Adding Texas A&M and Missouri, it became the first major conference to expand to 14 teams, and by announcing the addition of Texas and Oklahoma in the near future, it became the first major conference to expand to 16. It isn’t the first attempt at a 16-team league, as the Western Athletic Conference expanded to 16 teams in 1996. That overgrowth lasted three seasons, before the league realized that travel expenses were too high and revenue too low to continue. The Mountain West Conference was formed when the league split in half.

The opposite will be true when a 16-team SEC begins in 2024 or 2025. The media rights package will pay each member school about $100 million apiece. Travel from Gainesvile, Florida to Austin, Texas, or Columbia, South Carolina to Norman, Oklahoma will not be a cost probitive as travel from Houston, Texas to Honolulu, Hawaii, as the old WAC had to do. Of course, the TV ratings will be many times greater.

Will the SEC be content to stop at 16 teams in the near future? Commissioner Greg Sankey has admitted multiple times, almost stressing it a bit too far, that multiple school presidents and athletic directors had contacted him about admittance to the league. Sankey wouldn’t continually announce this news if he wasn’t trying to keep it in the news. It looks like a quasi-threat to the other big league that will soon stretch from coast to coast that he can expand to 20 or even 24 teams quite easily.

What about 2022? A year after Alabama and Georgia met in a spectacular National Championship Game, it looks quite possible that the two teams could produce an encore performance. Georgia lost enough talent to form a new team and gain bowl eligibility. Losing that many NFL Draftees, it should lead to a major rebuilding effort. However, Kirby Smart has so much talent on board in Athens. Last year’s Bulldogs’ second team was still the second best team in the SEC East. Those players are a year more experienced, and there is still first team talent remaining. The talent is so abundant with depth that Smart didn’t seek out any added players in the Transfer Portal. Georgia could easily go 12-0 in the regular season again this year, because the rest of the division teams have too many weaknesses.

The second, third, fourth, and fifth best teams all have enough talent to win nine games this year. Tennessee, Kentucky, Florida, and South Carolina return exceptional players on both sides of the ball and add players that should contribute this year. But, none of the quartet can go 7-1 in SEC play. Even if Georgia is upset by one of these four, the Bulldogs will go 7-1.

Florida could surprise a lot of people this year. This team has a lot more talent than their 2021 record showed. The team quit on former coach Dan Mullen. They will give their all for new coach Billy Napier, who comes to Gainesville after making the University of Louisiana a top 20 team.

South Carolina could be the other surprise. At this time last year, former Oklahoma quarterback Spencer Rattler was the early Heisman Trophy candidate. He’s now a Gamecock, and if he can regain his old form, USC has a chance to increase their points per game by 10 points.

Missouri faces a rebuilding effort under second year coach Eliah Drinkwitz. The Tigers have a tough non-conference game at Kansas State, and it may require a win in that game for MU to gain bowl eligibility this year. It isn’t likely to happen.

As for Vanderbilt, second year coach Clarke Lea might have a better team this year than last, but this team is so far behind the rest of the league, that it would be a minor miracle for the Commodores to win a conference game. Vandy has lost its last 18 SEC games, and that number will likely rise to 26 at the end of the year. This isn’t foreign to this school; they once lost 33 consecutive SEC games from 1976 to 1981.

As for the West, here is something scary. Last year, when Alabama went 11-1 in the regular season, slaughtered eventual national champion Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, easily dismissed Cincinnati in the College Football Playoffs as the #1 seed and then sort of blew the National Championship Game against Georgia, it was, according to Coach Nick Saban, a rebuilding season in Tuscaloosa. Saban doesn’t make statements like this often. He’s warning the rest of the nation that he has a team for the ages for 2022. By team for the ages, I refer to legendary college teams like Nebraska in 1971 and 1995, Miami of Florida in 1988 and 2001, and USC in 1972 and 2004. Basically, he is calling this team the equal of the 2020 team that went 13-0 with an average game score of 49-19. If Alabama loses a regular season game, it will make news in 2022.

SEC Preseason PiRate Ratings

East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia130.5128.6132.1130.4
Tennessee115.1114.8115.2115.0
Kentucky112.0112.7113.2112.6
South Carolina109.4108.7108.8109.0
Florida105.8107.9106.2106.6
Missouri103.9104.0102.9103.6
Vanderbilt91.092.289.290.8

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama128.9127.6130.5129.0
Arkansas115.8113.8116.0115.2
Texas A&M113.3114.7114.7114.2
Mississippi St.115.1113.0113.4113.8
L S U112.9112.1112.1112.4
Ole Miss113.3111.3111.7112.1
Auburn112.0110.5110.8111.1

SEC112.8112.3112.6112.6

Preseason Official SEC Media Poll (I voted in this poll)

Votes
#East1st PlaceOverall
1Georgia1721254
2Kentucky4932
3Tennessee1929
4Florida0712
5South Carolina3662
6Missouri0383
7Vanderbilt1196

#West1st PlaceOverall
1Alabama1771262
2Texas A&M3968
3Arkansas1844
4Ole Miss0675
5LSU0591
6Mississippi St.0390
7Auburn0338

ChampionshipOverall
Alabama158
Georgia18
South Carolina3
Vanderbilt1
Texas A&M1

The PiRate Ratings are not designed to look forward past the next week of games like other computer ratings. My ratings factor experience and depth into the power rating number. Teams with exceptional depth might gain points during the season regardless of the outcome of their previous game. Teams lacking experience but possessing exceptional talent might gain points during the year. Teams lacking depth might lose points during the year. Nevertheless, here are the predictions.

Predicted Won-Loss Records

EastConf.Overall
Georgia8-012-1
Kentucky4-48-4
Tennessee4-47-5
Florida4-46-6
South Carolina3-56-6
Missouri1-74-8
Vanderbilt0-82-10

WestConf.Overall
Alabama8-013-0
Arkansas5-39-3
Texas A&M5-39-3
LSU4-48-4
Mississippi State4-48-4
Ole Miss4-48-4
Auburn2-66-6

Coming Monday: The first regular season PiRate Ratings with spreads of Week 0 games. College football kicks off Saturday, August 27.

August 1, 2022

SEC PiRate Football Game

Filed under: PiRate Football Game — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 9:10 am

Hello out there to all the Southeastern Conference football fans. The long-awaited SEC 1960-1979 edition of the PiRate College Football Game is now on sale.

To order the game, go to: https://pirate-football.square.site/

Do you want to coach one of these teams?

1973 Alabama: The Tide offense rolled on the ground with their wishbone clicking on all cylinders, but the incredible passing game that led the nation in yards per completion and per attempt with Richard Todd and Gary Rutledge directing the attack, made this offense close to unstoppable.

1970 Auburn: Pat Sullivan really earned his Heisman Trophy in his junior year with much better overall passing stats than the following season when he actually got the award. Sullivan to Terry Beasley put a lot of touchdowns on the board.

1966 Florida: Steve Spurrier won the Heisman Trophy, while powerful running back Larry Smith kept defenses honest. Spurrier also punted and occasionally booted some field goals, including one important one that probably cemented his winning trip to the Downtown Athletic Club.

1971 Georgia: Local high school star Andy Johnson chose to stay home for college, and he ran the veer offense about as competently as any QB in the history of college football. Georgia didn’t pass a lot, but they moved the ball on the ground and ate the clock. The Junkyard Dog defense was tough against the run, especially plays run wide.

1977 Kentucky: The last Division 1 college team to run a full-house T-formation offense as their principal alignment, this Wildcats’ team played power football with strong-running QB Derrick Ramsey rolling out and usually keeping the ball. The defense was the real star of the show, as Art Still made life miserable for the other team’s QB.

1961 LSU: Coach Paul Dietzel believed this team was actually more talented than his 1958 national champions, but unfortunately, LSU didn’t play Alabama this year, and the two rivals split the SEC Championship.

1962 Ole Miss: Johnny Vaught was a legend in the quarter century following WWII. His teams were noted for wide open offense and a defense that limited the other team from having big plays. This was his lone undefeated and untied squad, and this Rebels’ team picked up a couple of national championship awards.

1963 Mississippi State: The Bulldogs’ defense was near the top in the nation in points and yards allowed, even though their schedule was also among the toughest in the nation. The Maroon Bullies upset a top-5 Auburn team and tied SEC Champion Ole Miss in the Egg Bowl, before winning the last Liberty Bowl game played in Philadelphia.

1970 Tennessee: The Vols went 11-1 including a shutout win over Alabama and a blowout win i the Sugar Bowl over Air Force. This team intercepted an incredible 36 passes to lead the nation by far.

1974 Vanderbilt: Former Alabama QB Steve Sloan came to Vandy and immediately turned the program around, going 7-3-2 in his second year in Nashville and fielding the number one offense in the SEC. Vandy’s big win in 1974 was a thrashing of undefeated and #5 Florida.

March 2, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Wednesday, March 2, 2022

Wednesday’s College Basketball Spreads

Wednesday’s Conference Tournaments
Big South Conference–1st Round
Charlotte, NC
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
RadfordNorth Carolina A&T1.2
UNC AshevilleCharleston Southern12.1
High PointHampton6.2
CampbellPresbyterian3.4
Northeast Conference–1st Round
Campus Sites
HomeVisitorsSpread
BryantCentral Connecticut14.6
WagnerSt. Francis (PA)13.2
Long IslandSacred Heart8.1
Mount St. Mary’sSt. Francis (NY)6.4
Ohio Valley Conference–1st Round
Evansville, IN
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Tennessee St.SIU-Edwardsville1.9
Austin PeayTennessee Tech-0.7
Wednesday’s Regular Schedule
HomeVisitorsSpread
St. John’sXavier1.3
AlabamaTexas A&M9.2
Seton HallGeorgetown15.4
MarshallWestern Kentucky-4.6
Louisiana TechOld Dominion7.9
CharlotteMiddle Tennessee-2.5
ClemsonGeorgia Tech9.6
Florida St.Notre Dame-0.8
Iowa St.Oklahoma St.2.8
Rhode IslandSaint Louis-2.6
La SalleSaint Joseph’s-1.0
MassachusettsFordham2.6
George WashingtonDuquesne5.3
DavidsonGeorge Mason8.3
IndianaRutgers6.3
Southern Miss.UAB-19.2
New OrleansHouston Baptist10.3
LamarUT Rio Grande Valley-2.4
CreightonConnecticut-3.2
Texas A&M-CCNicholls St.-1.0
Mississippi St.Auburn-5.0
ArkansasLSU2.6
TulsaWichita St.-3.0
DePaulMarquette-2.8
New Mexico St.Stephen F. Austin5.9
Wake ForestNorth Carolina St.10.8
Boston CollegeMiami (Fla.)-3.7
MarylandMinnesota5.9
California BaptistChicago St.14.3
UNLVWyoming0.8

Tuesday’s Conference Tournament Results

Atlantic Sun
1st Round
Central Arkansas74Stetson73
Kennesaw St.82Eastern Kentucky73
Florida Gulf Coast81North Alabama72
Lipscomb74North Florida65
Horizon League
1st Round
Detroit79Green Bay62
Robert Morris77Youngstown St.73
Oakland69IUPUI58
Illinois Chicago80Milwaukee69
Patriot League
1st Round
American69Holy Cross63
Bucknell82Lafayette81
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