The Pi-Rate Ratings

January 6, 2010

College Football Computer Simulated Playoffs–The Simper Bowl

2009-10 NCAA College Football Computer Simulated Playoffs

The Simper Bowl—The National Championship Game

 

Did you watch Monday night’s Fiesta Bowl?  I’m talking about the real one played on the field between TCU and Boise State in which Boise State won 17-10.  These two teams played in the computer simulated National Championship Game in Pasadena last night, and the simulated game was even more entertaining than the actual bowl game.

Before I tell you who won, let me state that the outcome of Monday night’s Fiesta Bowl played no part in this simulation.  In fact, all the games in this year’s college playoff simulation were simulated one night in mid-December, when I had access to the simulator.

This game didn’t want to end.  It went 6 overtimes.  There were 188 plays from scrimmage.  It was finally decided on a converted two-point attempt.  Your winner in the 2009-2010 NCAA College Football Computer Simulated Playoffs is: Boise State.  The final score: Boise State 39 TCU 37

 

The Horned Frogs couldn’t stop Boise State’s Jeremy Avery at the goalline on the winning two-point attempt.

Regulation ended at 10-10 when Bronco kicker Kyle Brontzman nailed a 51-yard field goal as time expired.

Both teams score touchdowns in the first overtime to make it 17-17.  Neither team could pick up a first down in the second overtime, but both made field goals to make it 20-20.

The third overtime saw both teams miss field goals, so the score remained 20-20.  In overtime number four, Boise State scored a touchdown and converted on the two-point try.  TCU faced 4th and 7 at the 18 yard line and quarterback Andy Dalton scrambled for a touchdown.  The successful two-point try made it 28-28.

In overtime five, neither team could move the ball and both settled for field goals to make it 31-31. 

TCU scored first in the sixth overtime but missed the two-point conversion.  Boise State drove 25 yards in five plays for the tying touchdown, when Avery came up with the successful conversion on the game’s final play.

Team 1 2 3 4 OT F
T C U 3 0 7 0 27 37
Boise State 7 0 0 3 29 39
             
    TCU Stat BSU    
    28 FD 26    
    45-164 Rush-Yds 45-154    
    263 Pass Yds 332    
    25-42-1 Passes 31-56-2    
    3-40.7 Punt 2-40.5    
    0-0 PR 0-0    
    11-90 Pen 8-70    
    2-1 Fum 2-0    
    87 Play 101    
    427 Tot Yds 486    

January 5, 2010

College Football Computer Simulated Playoffs–Semifinal Round

2009-10 NCAA College Football Computer Simulated Playoffs

The Final Four

 

The Semifinal Round of the 2009-2010 PiRate Computer Simulated College Football Playoffs is in the books.  And, just which two teams will be meeting in the Simper Bowl?

In the first game at the Orange Bowl, #6 Seed Boise State pulled off the upset over #2 Seed Texas.  The Broncos scored 10 points in the first quarter and held Colt McCoy in check all day to win 17-13.

In the Fiesta Bowl, #4 Seed TCU stopped #9 Seed Georgia Tech’s vaunted option attack and blocked a punt that set up a touchdown in a 24-12 victory.

That sets up a Simper Bowl game between 15-0 Boise State and 14-0 TCU.  These two teams played for real last night in the actual Fiesta Bowl, with Boise State winning 17-10.  The simulation game was simulated in mid-December, so last night’s actual game played no part in the simulation.

Team 1 2 3 4 OT F
Boise St. 10 0 7 0   17
Texas 0 3 3 7   13
             
    BSU Stat Tex    
    16 FD 16    
    38-144 Rush-Yds 24-102    
    178 Pass Yds 183    
    14-26-0 Passes 18-35-2    
    5-37.6 Punt 7-40.6    
    3-28 PR 2-13    
    3-20 Pen 9-70    
    2-1 Fum 1-0    
    64 Play 59    
    322 Tot Yds 285    
             
             
             
             
Team 1 2 3 4 OT F
T C U 7 3 0 14   24
Ga. Tech 0 3 3 6   12
             
    TCU Stat GT    
    18 FD 14    
    44-202 Rush-Yds 44-185    
    182 Pass Yds 63    
    15-26-0 Passes 4-9-1    
    6-43.2 Punt 7-36.4    
    2-15 PR 3-23    
    5-38 Pen 6-45    
    0-0 Fum 2-0    
    70 Play 53    
    384 Tot Yds 248    

January 4, 2010

College Football Computer Simulated Playoffs–Quarterfinal Round

2009-10 NCAA College Football Computer Simulated Playoffs

Quarterfinal Round

 

If you want to know the whys and hows of this computer simulation playoff, read the following entry from December 7, 2009: https://piratings.wordpress.com/2009/12/07/pirate-ratings-and-spreads-for-college-football%e2%80%93regular-season-final/

Four teams advance to the semifinals to be played released tomorrow.

In the Cotton Bowl #4 Seed T C U stopped Tim Tebow and #5 Seed Florida in an exciting game that went to overtime, before the Horned Frogs won 20-16.

In the Capital One Bowl, #6 Seed Boise State knocked off #3 Seed Cincinnati 38-20 in a battle of previously unbeaten teams.  The Bearcats couldn’t stop the Bronco running game as Jeremy Avery rushed for 126 yards and Doug Martin rushed for 102.

In the Rose Bowl, #2 Seed Texas showed its defensive prowess in a 20-9 win over #7 Seed Oregon.

In the Sugar Bowl, there was a huge upset.  #9 Seed Georgia Tech scored touchdowns on its final two possessions to pull off a 24-23 win over #1 Seed Alabama.  The Yellow Jackets won despite no completed passes.  Jonathan Dwyer scored the game-winner on a 74 yard run with 2:17 remaining in the game.

Team 1 2 3 4 OT F
T C U 0 7 6 0 7 20
Florida 10 0 0 3 3 16
             
    TCU Stat Fla    
    17 FD 19    
    45-116 Rush-Yds 48-166    
    192 Pass Yds 154    
    15-27-1 Passes 16-27-2    
    6-42.5 Punt 5-41.2    
    2-18 PR 3-11    
    7-57 Pen 5-52    
    0-0 Fum 2-1    
    72 Play 75    
    308 Tot Yds 320    
             
             
             
             
Team 1 2 3 4 OT F
Boise St. 10 14 7 7   38
Cincinnati 0 3 14 3   20
             
    BSU Stat Cin    
    22 FD 17    
    46-255 Rush-Yds 30-77    
    173 Pass Yds 223    
    15-25-0 Passes 19-34-2    
    1-44 Punt 4-38.8    
    2-51 PR 0-0    
    4-25 Pen 6-41    
    1-0 Fum 2-0    
    71 Play 64    
    428 Tot Yds 300    
             
             
             
             
Team 1 2 3 4 OT F
Texas 3 10 0 7   20
Oregon 0 3 6 0   9
             
    Tex Stat Ore    
    18 FD 9    
    39-142 Rush-Yds 33-81    
    211 Pass Yds 123    
    19-29-0 Passes 11-27-1    
    4-42.3 Punt 8-39.0    
    4-32 PR 1-(-2)    
    6-48 Pen 7-55    
    2-1 Fum 2-0    
    68 Play 60    
    353 Tot Yds 204    
             
             
             
             
Team 1 2 3 4 OT F
Ga. Tech 0 3 7 14   24
Alabama 3 3 14 3   23
             
    GT Stat Ala    
    15 FD 17    
    52-271 Rush-Yds 41-156    
    0 Pass Yds 166    
    0-6-0 Passes 14-25-1    
    5-40.8 Punt 6-39.7    
    2-14 PR 1-32    
    7-59 Pen 6-45    
    2-1 Fum 2-0    
    58 Play 66    
    271 Tot Yds 322    

Check back tomorrow for results from the Semifinal Round.  In the semifinals, TCU and Georgia Tech will meet in the Fiesta Bowl and Boise State will take on Texas in the Orange Bowl.  Then, on Thursday, check back for the National Championship Game in the Simper Bowl.

December 22, 2009

College Football Computer Simulated Playoffs–Round One

2009-10 NCAA College Football Computer Simulated Playoffs

Round One

 

The opening round of the computer simulated playoffs are in the books, and four teams have advanced to the quarterfinals to play the top four seeds, all of whom received first round byes.

For a better understanding of these playoffs, see my December 7, 2009, post.  In the opening round, the four bowls hosting these games were the Outback Bowl, Alamo Bowl, Holiday Bowl, and Gator Bowl.  

In the Outback Bowl, #5-Seed Florida did nothing offensively in the first half against #12 seed LSU, but the Gators outscored the Tigers 13-3 in the second half to win 16-9.

In the Alamo Bowl,  #6 Boise State started the game with a nine play, 80-yard touchdown drive and never looked back in t 34-13 win over  #11 Virginia Tech. 

In the Holiday Bowl,  #7 Oregon scored two touchdowns in the final 6:41 to come back and beat #10 Iowa 27-19.

In the Gator Bowl, #9 Georgia Tech rushed for 145 yards in the first quarter while building a 14-0 lead over #8 Ohio State and then held on as the Buckeyes rallied in the second half to make it a 30-24 final

 

Here are the statistics for the games:

Outback Bowl

Team 1 2 3 4 F
Florida 0 3 10 3 16
L S U 3 3 3 0 9
           
    Florida Team L S U  
    15 FD 13  
    45-171 Rushing 37-117  
    156 Passing 138  
    13-21-1 Passes 12-25-1  
    5-41.4 Punt 7-40.6  
    41 Returns 26  
    1-0 Fumbles 0-0  
    6-45 Penalties 7-60  
    66 Plays 62  
    327 Total Yds 255  

 

Alamo Bowl

Team 1 2 3 4 F
Boise St. 10 7 14 3 34
Va. Tech 0 7 0 6 13
           
    Boise Team Va Tech  
    25 FD 16  
    49-281 Rushing 42-153  
    176 Passing 87  
    15-24-0 Passes 9-22-2  
    1-38.0 Punt 6-42.3  
    18 Returns 0  
    1-0 Fumbles 2-1  
    5-35 Penalties 6-53  
    73 Plays 64  
    457 Total Yds 230  
           

Holiday Bowl

Team 1 2 3 4 F
Oregon 0 7 6 14 27
Iowa 9 3 7 0 19
           
    Oregon Team Iowa  
    22 FD 16  
    41-180 Rushing 31-117  
    251 Passing 164  
    20-29-0 Passes 16-28-2  
    2-44.5 Punt 6-37.8  
    18 Returns -2  
    2-1 Fumbles 3-1  
    4-30 Penalties 9-65  
    70 Plays 59  
    431 Total Yds 281  

 

Gator Bowl

Team 1 2 3 4 F
Ga. Tech 14 6 7 3 30
Ohio St. 0 7 7 10 24
           
    Ga Tech Team Ohio St  
    24 FD 17  
    58-311 Rushing 38-164  
    108 Passing 183  
    6-14-1 Passes 17-29-2  
    0-0 Punt 4-41.5  
    39 Returns 0  
    3-2 Fumbles 2-1  
    9-80 Penalties 6-43  
    72 Plays 67  
    419 Total Yds 347  

 

Quarterfinal Round

In the next round, #5 Florida takes on #4 T C U in the Cotton Bowl; #6 Boise State plays #3 Cincinnati in the Capital One Bowl; #7 Oregon plays #2 Texas in the Rose Bowl; and #9 Georgia Tech plays #1 Alabama in the Sugar Bowl.

These games would be the four New Year’s Day Bowl Games.  Wouldn’t it be great when all four January 1 bowls would actually mean something and guarantee that every game contributed to the real National Championship?

Check back on January 2 for results of the college football Elite Eight.

Create a free website or blog at WordPress.com.