The Pi-Rate Ratings

October 6, 2021

PiRate Picks–October 9-10, 2021

Last week, time constraints limited this weekly feature to the bare minimum. We have plenty of time this week, so rather than just list the games we have chosen, there’s time to go a little more in-depth with our selections.

First, we made a minimal profit of imaginary revenue last week, as we hit on the long odds 4-game parlay at +372.50 with Texas beating TCU, Wake Forest beating Louisville, South Carolina beating Troy, and Oklahoma State holding on to edge Baylor.

This week presented us with numerous opportunities where certain factors triggered plays. We ended up trimming it to eight parlays, and all but one game coming on Saturday. We had one key Sunday game but could not find an NFL partner for the game, so it attached to other college games to give us the biggest odds of the week. Without further adieu, here are our picks for this week. Remember, this is for entertainment purposes only, and we highly encourage you not to wager real money on these selections, unless you have other research that the information herein merely endorses.

Odds:+153.06
Must WinOpponent
Wake ForestSyracuse
BaylorWest Virginia

This first parlay is cut and dry. We believe that the public is not all that high on the two favorites. Wake Forest is supposed to be weak most years, but Dave Clawson has the Demon Deacons creeping up on Clemson for best in the Atlantic Division of the ACC. Baylor came oh so close to knocking off Oklahoma State in Stillwater last week. Had they pulled that win off, the Bears might be approaching the Top 10. West Virginia has played a tough schedule in a short time, and we feel they might show some fatigue in this game.

Odds:+155
Must WinOpponent
UTSAWestern Kentucky

Obviously, this is not a parlay. It is one of four games where we are picking an underdog to win straight up. Western Kentucky is due to bounce after getting up and playing a close game at Michigan State, while UTSA has quietly started 5-0 with a Power 5 win.

Odds:+160
Must WinOpponent
TexasOklahoma

It hasn’t been often in the last 15 years that we went into the second weekend in October believing that Texas would beat Oklahoma. Oklahoma has been narrowly escaping with wins over mediocre competition. After getting pasted at Arkansas, Texas has begun to look like a team ready to compete for the Big 12 Championship Game. We consider this a tossup game, so we go with the better odds and the underdog.

Odds:+160
Must WinOpponent
NebraskaMichigan

This is more of a system play. Nebraska won by more than 38 points in a conference game and now plays a conference home game the next week. In a high percentage of cases like this, the home team continues to play at the same top level it played the previous week. Additionally, Michigan is on the road for the second consecutive week in a key conference game. This has the look of a traditional upset.

Odds:+161.90
Must WinOpponent
San Jose St.Colorado St.
Bowling GreenAkron

The key game here is the San Jose State-Colorado State game. We feel like the wrong team is favored. However, playing SJSU in a single game does not supply us with the odds we look for when playing Money Lines. So, we added the Bowling Green game to it to make a parlay that has fat payout odds. The betting public may not see how much the Falcons have improved this year, while Akron remains one of the five worst teams in the FBS.

Odds:+188.93
Must WinOpponent
IowaPenn St.
TennesseeSouth Carolina
Arizona St.Stanford

This is the first of three big-odds payouts we are playing this week. In the first game in this parlay, our ratings show Iowa at the present time to be good enough to run the table and make the Playoffs. Penn State looks like a 10-2 team destined to play on New Year’s Day in Florida. Kirk Ferentz may have his best team in Iowa City.

In the second leg of this parlay, Tennessee fits the same criteria that Nebraska faces. They won by 38 points against a conference opponent and play at home this week against another conference opponent. While South Carolina’s defense is considerably better than Missouri’s, their offense is not as sharp, and we believe Josh Heupel’s Vols are sitting on another great performance.

The third part of this parlay is simply a case where we believe Arizona State is clearly superior to Stanford on both sides of the ball and should win by double digits.

Odds:+195.50
Must WinOpponent
South AlabamaTexas St.
Kent St.Buffalo
WisconsinIllinois

South Alabama looks to be 10-14 points better than Texas State, and when we saw the Money Line odds on this game, it was the first one that went into our play pool. Kent State has a score to settle with Buffalo. In the weird Covid year of 2020, The Golden Flashes only managed to get four games in the books. Buffalo was the last, and Kent State went into this game 3-0 and averaging 53 points per game. Buffalo was also 3-0. The Bulls hung 70 points on the Flashes. Kent State gets their revenge this week.

Wisconsin is the best 1-3 team in America. It is odd how many times unforced errors have hurt the Badgers in their three losses. The Badgers don’t particularly like their rival to the south, and we expect UW to win this game by a large margin.

Odds:+241.12
Must WinOpponent
Central MichiganOhio U
BYUBoise St.
CarolinaPhiladelphia

Finally, we come to our biggest odds play of the week. We only found one NFL game we wanted to play based on the Money Line odds, so we had to parlay the Carolina Panthers with a couple of college games.

While 2021 looks like a so-so year for Central Michigan, Ohio is in a state of flux after former coach Frank Solich retired during the Summer. The Bobcats are almost sleep-walking through games this year, which can be attributed to growing pains.

Boise State is a mere shell of its former self under Bryan Harsin. New coach Andy Avalos inherited 16 returning starters, but the Broncos never played up to their potential last year and appear to be repeating it this year. Maybe, they were just a bit overrated?

BYU has shown the world that they were more than just Zach Wilson last year. The Cougars’ defense is top notch, while the offense is a bit more deliberate this year, but it helps the defense perform even better. Other than the fact that the Cougars may be looking ahead a tad to next week’s game at Baylor, everything here looks like a BYU win.

Carolina should be a heavier favorite over Philadelphia. The loss to Dallas has been factored a bit too heavily. We like the Panthers solely because their Money Line odds are so favorable this week.

October 3, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Football–October 7-9, 2021

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 9:32 am

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
TulaneHouston-4.6-4.9-4.0
Arkansas St.Coastal Carolina-26.7-23.6-27.4
CincinnatiTemple43.041.043.9
Florida Int’l.Charlotte-0.3-0.7-0.5
Arizona St.Stanford12.612.413.3
North CarolinaFlorida St.17.818.220.2
RutgersMichigan St.-8.0-5.5-6.6
MassachusettsConnecticut0.4-1.4-0.9
SyracuseWake Forest-11.1-10.2-11.9
Central FloridaEast Carolina5.65.06.1
Ohio St.Maryland17.719.021.6
Bowling GreenAkron3.35.75.0
ToledoNorthern Illinois11.312.712.5
Kent St.Buffalo-0.32.2-0.2
DukeGeorgia Tech-6.7-5.9-7.7
Western MichiganBall St.4.55.36.4
LibertyMiddle Tennessee22.823.923.1
LouisvilleVirginia1.60.03.0
Air ForceWyoming5.14.84.9
BYUBoise St.9.89.69.8
MarshallOld Dominion22.621.622.5
Colorado St.San Jose St.-3.0-2.9-0.5
USCUtah7.47.59.2
Washington St.Oregon St.-9.3-8.2-9.6
TennesseeSouth Carolina9.08.79.5
NavySMU-12.2-13.6-13.2
Texas TechTCU-5.8-4.0-5.7
AuburnGeorgia-14.6-15.5-16.1
KentuckyLSU-0.20.8-0.8
BaylorWest Virginia-1.00.20.3
MissouriNorth Texas25.025.725.3
Texas St.South Alabama-6.0-8.2-7.3
UABFlorida Atlantic5.73.84.5
FloridaVanderbilt38.640.840.5
TulsaMemphis5.04.23.4
Louisiana-MonroeGeorgia St.-11.9-11.1-13.5
IllinoisWisconsin-10.3-10.0-11.3
Eastern MichiganMiami (O)-2.8-2.5-3.3
Texas (N)Oklahoma-4.9-4.1-3.7
NebraskaMichigan0.0-0.6-0.5
TroyGeorgia Southern5.35.36.1
Ohio UCentral Michigan-9.3-6.8-7.3
Texas A&MAlabama-14.3-12.8-15.3
Ole MissArkansas6.05.97.0
Southern Miss.UTEP5.86.27.8
Western KentuckyUTSA-7.3-6.2-5.9
IowaPenn St.6.04.44.6
Virginia TechNotre Dame-2.1-4.2-5.1
ArizonaUCLA-14.3-15.2-15.2
San Diego St.New Mexico24.023.325.0
NevadaNew Mexico St.32.433.134.5

28 Teams Off This Week!

Appalachian St.
Army
Boston College
California
Clemson
Colorado
Fresno St.
Hawaii
Indiana
Iowa St.
Kansas
Kansas St.
Louisiana
Louisiana Tech
Miami (Fla.)
Minnesota
Mississippi St.
North Carolina St.
Northwestern
Oklahoma St.
Oregon
Pittsburgh
Purdue
Rice
South Florida
UNLV
Utah St.
Washington

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Georgia134.4
2Alabama131.1
3Oklahoma123.4
4Ohio St.122.8
5Cincinnati121.5
6Iowa St.120.5
7Iowa119.7
8Texas119.1
9Florida118.3
10Penn St.117.7
11Ole Miss117.2
12Clemson117.2
13Auburn116.0
14U S C115.2
15Arizona St.114.9
16North Carolina114.1
17Texas A&M114.0
18Michigan113.9
19Arkansas113.9
20Notre Dame113.4
21Oregon112.5
22L S U112.2
23Coastal Carolina111.8
24West Virginia111.8
25Oregon St.111.8
26T C U111.5
27Oklahoma St.110.7
28Nebraska110.6
29Wake Forest110.2
30Utah110.1
31BYU109.9
32Miami (Fla.)109.5
33U C L A109.5
34Kentucky109.2
35Baylor108.6
36Washington108.6
37Wisconsin108.5
38Michigan St.108.4
39Mississippi St.108.4
40NC State108.0
41Indiana107.5
42Tennessee107.2
43Liberty107.1
44Kansas St.107.0
45Virginia Tech106.6
46Maryland106.4
47Louisiana106.1
48Minnesota105.9
49Pittsburgh105.5
50Boston College105.5
51Stanford105.1
52Purdue105.0
53Appalachian St.105.0
54Virginia104.6
55Texas Tech103.3
56Boise St.103.2
57Louisville103.1
58Houston103.0
59SMU102.6
60Missouri102.5
61San Diego St.102.0
62Nevada101.2
63South Carolina101.1
64Fresno St.100.3
65UCF100.3
66Army100.2
67Air Force100.1
68Georgia Tech99.8
69Washington St.99.8
70Colorado99.4
71Rutgers98.7
72Miami (Ohio)98.5
73Florida St.98.4
74California98.1
75Wyoming98.1
76East Carolina97.7
77Toledo97.1
78U T S A96.9
79Northwestern96.8
80Central Michigan96.3
81Western Michigan96.2
82Syracuse96.1
83Tulane96.0
84San Jose St.96.0
85U A B95.9
86Illinois95.5
87Buffalo95.4
88Tulsa95.2
89Marshall94.6
90Florida Atlantic93.7
91Hawaii93.6
92Memphis93.5
93Kent St.93.4
94Ball St.93.3
95Eastern Michigan93.0
96South Alabama91.9
97Troy91.8
98Arizona91.6
99Georgia St.91.4
100Colorado St.90.9
101Duke90.6
102Utah St.90.2
103Louisiana Tech89.5
104Georgia Southern88.7
105USF88.6
106Western Kentucky87.9
107Northern Illinois87.4
108Navy87.0
109Middle Tennessee86.8
110Ohio85.9
111U N L V85.1
112Arkansas St.83.9
113Southern Miss.83.0
114Texas St.82.7
115Rice82.1
116Charlotte81.9
117Temple81.8
118Vanderbilt81.4
119New Mexico80.9
120North Texas80.2
121Kansas79.9
122Florida Int’l.78.9
123U T E P78.4
124Bowling Green77.3
125UL-Monroe76.7
126Old Dominion74.9
127Akron74.1
128Connecticut71.8
129New Mexico St.70.8
130UMass69.6

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference

TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati121.0120.5123.0121.5
Houston103.3102.2103.6103.0
SMU102.0102.7103.0102.6
UCF100.299.0101.8100.3
East Carolina97.697.098.697.7
Tulane96.294.897.096.0
Tulsa95.495.394.995.2
Memphis92.993.594.193.5
USF88.988.288.888.6
Navy87.386.687.387.0
Temple81.082.582.081.8

AAC Averages96.996.697.697.0

Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson116.5116.6118.4117.2
Wake Forest110.3109.6110.7110.2
NC State108.3107.7107.9108.0
Boston College105.1105.6105.7105.5
Louisville102.7102.4104.3103.1
Florida St.98.498.498.398.4
Syracuse96.396.495.896.1

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
North Carolina113.2113.6115.5114.1
Miami (Fla.)110.0108.9109.8109.5
Virginia Tech107.5106.2106.2106.6
Pittsburgh105.2106.0105.4105.5
Virginia104.1105.4104.3104.6
Georgia Tech99.899.999.899.8
Duke90.691.589.690.6

ACC Averages104.8104.9105.1104.9

Big 12 Conference

TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma124.7122.4123.0123.4
Iowa St.121.1119.5120.9120.5
Texas119.8118.3119.3119.1
West Virginia113.3111.5110.6111.8
T C U112.1110.8111.5111.5
Oklahoma St.111.0110.8110.2110.7
Baylor109.3108.7107.9108.6
Kansas St.107.3107.2106.5107.0
Texas Tech103.3103.8102.8103.3
Kansas82.480.077.379.9

Big 12 Averages110.4109.3109.0109.6

Big Ten Conference

East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.122.3122.2124.0122.8
Penn St.116.4117.4119.2117.7
Michigan113.2114.2114.4113.9
Michigan St.108.7108.4108.2108.4
Indiana107.3107.1108.1107.5
Maryland107.6106.2105.4106.4
Rutgers97.699.998.598.7

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Iowa119.4118.9120.8119.7
Nebraska110.2110.6110.9110.6
Wisconsin108.0107.9109.5108.5
Minnesota104.9105.8107.0105.9
Purdue104.6104.2106.3105.0
Northwestern96.997.096.696.8
Illinois95.295.495.895.5

Big Ten Averages108.0108.3108.9108.4

Conference USA

East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Marshall94.594.395.194.6
Florida Atlantic92.894.494.093.7
Western Kentucky86.988.588.387.9
Middle Tennessee86.586.487.686.8
Charlotte81.082.082.681.9
Florida Int’l.78.278.979.678.9
Old Dominion74.475.275.074.9

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U T S A96.797.296.896.9
U A B96.095.895.995.9
Louisiana Tech89.790.288.789.5
Southern Miss.82.483.583.083.0
Rice82.182.082.182.1
North Texas80.580.379.880.2
U T E P78.679.377.278.4

CUSA Averages85.786.386.186.0

Independents

TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame112.6113.4114.3113.4
BYU109.9109.4110.4109.9
Liberty106.3107.2107.7107.1
Army100.3100.399.9100.2
Connecticut72.173.170.271.8
New Mexico St.71.271.969.470.8
UMass71.070.167.869.6

Mid-American Conference

East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)100.098.097.498.5
Buffalo96.095.095.195.4
Kent St.93.294.692.593.4
Ohio85.386.586.085.9
Bowling Green77.578.276.177.3
Akron75.774.072.774.1

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Toledo97.697.296.497.1
Central Michigan97.295.895.896.3
Western Michigan96.196.795.796.2
Ball St.94.194.091.893.3
Eastern Michigan94.792.991.593.0
Northern Illinois88.787.086.487.4

MAC Averages91.390.889.890.7

Mountain West Conference

Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.103.1102.8103.6103.2
Air Force99.7100.0100.6100.1
Wyoming97.698.198.798.1
Colorado St.90.790.791.390.9
Utah St.89.990.889.990.2
New Mexico81.381.579.980.9

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
San Diego St.102.3101.8101.9102.0
Nevada100.6102.0100.9101.2
Fresno St.99.2100.6101.3100.3
San Jose St.96.696.694.896.0
Hawaii93.793.493.793.6
U N L V85.584.685.285.1

MWC Averages95.095.295.195.1

Pac-12 Conference

North Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oregon111.6112.5113.5112.5
Oregon St.111.6111.6112.1111.8
Washington107.5109.0109.2108.6
Stanford104.7105.7105.0105.1
Washington St.99.4100.499.599.8
California96.099.998.698.1

South Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U S C114.7114.7116.0115.2
Arizona St.114.4115.1115.3114.9
Utah110.4110.2109.8110.1
U C L A109.2109.6109.7109.5
Colorado99.999.498.999.4
Arizona91.991.491.591.6

Pac-12 Averages105.9106.6106.6106.4

Southeastern Conference

East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia133.9134.0135.5134.4
Florida117.6119.1118.3118.3
Kentucky108.4110.2108.9109.2
Tennessee107.3106.9107.3107.2
Missouri102.5103.0102.1102.5
South Carolina101.4101.2100.8101.1
Vanderbilt82.081.380.881.4

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama131.1130.2132.1131.1
Ole Miss117.1117.0117.5117.2
Auburn116.3115.4116.4116.0
Texas A&M113.8114.4113.8114.0
Arkansas114.1114.1113.5113.9
L S U111.6112.4112.7112.2
Mississippi St.108.4108.6108.1108.4

SEC Averages111.8112.0112.0111.9

Sun Belt Conference

East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Coastal Carolina112.5110.3112.5111.8
Appalachian St.104.5104.2106.3105.0
Troy91.591.992.091.8
Georgia St.91.891.091.491.4
Georgia Southern88.789.188.488.7

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana106.8105.0106.6106.1
South Alabama92.192.191.491.9
Arkansas St.83.984.783.183.9
Texas St.84.181.982.182.7
UL-Monroe77.377.475.476.7

Sun Averages93.392.892.993.0

Conference Ratings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern111.9
2Big 12109.6
3Big Ten108.4
4Pac-12106.4
5Atlantic Coast104.9
6American Athletic97.0
7Mountain West95.1
8Sun Belt93.0
9Independents91.8
10Mid-American90.7
11Conference USA86.0

PiRate Ratings Commence Bowl Projections Today

With one month of play in the books, it is time to begin issuing our Bowl Projections. This is starting to look like a fractured college football season. The Atlantic Coast Conference and Pac-12 Conference have basically been eliminated from Playoff contention. In the Big 12, Oklahoma looks anything like a Playoff team, and Ohio State’s loss at home to Oregon now looks much worse with Oregon losing to Stanford.

Meanwhile, the SEC has two super teams that should be co-number ones. Alabama and Georgia might finish the regular season as the top two seeds even though one team must lose a game in the SEC Championship Game.

Cincinnati’s road win over Notre Dame is enough for now to put them in the Field of Four, but only if either the Big 12 or Big Ten champions have a loss. The Bearcats still have some tough conference opposition to conquer in SMU and Houston.

The Redbox Bowl has already cancelled their 2021 game, and that leaves spots for 82 teams in the postseason. As of today, we count 85 teams that are on pace of a minimum of six wins. The 6-6 line has a large number of teams.

Here is our first stab at the projections for 2021-22. Unlike recent years, there is a lot more wiggle room for different conferences to appear in multiple bowls.

BowlTeamTeam
BahamasUTSAToledo
CureLibertyMarshall
BocaFlorida AtlanticCoastal Carolina
New MexicoUTEPWyoming
IndependenceBYULouisiana Tech
Lending TreeWestern MichiganTroy
L. A.San Jose St.Arizona St.
New OrleansUABLouisiana
Myrtle BeachAppalachian St.Northern Illinois
Famous Idaho PotatoKent St.Boise St.
FriscoMemphisUtah St.
Armed ForcesArmyWashington
GasparillaEast CarolinaIowa St.
HawaiiHoustonNevada
CamelliaMiami (O)South Alabama
Quick LaneBall St.Western Kentucky
MilitaryVirginia TechCentral Florida
BirminghamMiami (Fla.)Mississippi St.
First ResponderTCUFresno St.
LibertyKansas St.Arkansas
HolidayNorth CarolinaUtah
Guaranteed RateAir ForceBaylor
FenwayBoston CollegeSMU
PinstripePittsburghIndiana
Cheez-ItWake ForestTexas
AlamoOklahoma St.Stanford
Duke’s MayoNorth Carolina St.Auburn
Music CityMinnesotaTennessee
Las VegasWisconsinUSC
Tax Slayer GatorVirginiaLSU
Tony The Tiger SunLouisvilleUCLA
ArizonaCentral MichiganSan Diego St.
CitrusMichiganOle Miss
OutbackMichigan St.Florida
TexasTexas TechTexas A&M
PeachClemsonPenn St.
FiestaOregonNotre Dame
RoseOhio St.Oregon St.
SugarKentuckyOklahoma
CottonIowaAlabama
OrangeGeorgiaCincinnati
ChampionshipGeorgiaAlabama

This Week’s TV Fare

This week presents fewer total games, as we mentioned early that 28 teams have bye weeks. There are a handful of important and exciting games on the schedule, but this may be the week to watch the Major League Baseball Playoffs more than college football.

Saturday, October 9
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
12:00 PMABCTexas (n)Oklahoma
FoxOhio St.Maryland
ESPNOle MissArkansas
ESPN2TennesseeSouth Carolina
FS1BaylorWest Virginia
CBSSNToledoNorthern Illinois
BTNRutgersMichigan St.
SECFloridaVanderbilt

3:00 PMACCLouisvilleVirginia

3:30 PMCBSAuburnGeorgia
ABCBYUBoise St.
ESPNNorth CarolinaFlorida St.
ESPN2SyracuseWake Forest
FS1Colorado St.San Jose St.
CBSSNNavySMU
BTNIllinoisWisconsin

4:00 PMFoxIowaPenn St.
SECMissouriNorth Texas
Pac-12Washington St.Oregon St.

7:00 PMESPNTexas TechTCU
ESPNUKent St.Buffalo
CBSSNAir ForceWyoming

7:30 PMABCNebraskaMichigan
SECKentuckyLSU
ACCVirginia TechNotre Dame

8:00 PMCBSTexas A&MAlabama
FOXUSCUtah
FS1San Diego St.New Mexico

9:00 PMESPN2TulsaMemphis

10:30 PMESPNArizonaUCLA
CBSSNNevadaNew Mexico St.

September 30, 2021

PiRate Picks–September 30-October 4, 2021

This edition will be short this week due to time constraints, but it is chock full of college money line parlays, as we perceive some excellent value on the college side and not on the NFL side. We even include a rare, 4-team parlay at +372.50. Remember, we never wager real money on our selections and recommend you do the same. Use this feature only for entertainment purposes or supplemental research.

Date:

September 30-October 4

1. Odds:+173.19
Must WinOpponent
Notre DameCincinnati
Michigan St.Western Kentucky


2. Odds:+219.78
Must WinOpponent
PurdueMinnesota
OregonStanford
ArmyBall St.


3. Odds:+220.45
Must WinOpponent
MissouriTennessee
USCColorado
West VirginiaTexas Tech


4. Odds:+372.50
Must WinOpponent
TexasTCU
Wake ForestLouisville
South CarolinaTroy
Oklahoma St.Baylor

September 26, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Football–September 30-October 2, 2021

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 1:08 pm

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Miami (Fla.)Virginia11.89.011.8
TulsaHouston0.92.50.6
MarylandIowa-0.3-1.2-4.2
Utah St.BYU-18.9-17.5-20.0
Florida St.Syracuse4.64.65.5
North CarolinaDuke22.021.125.5
East CarolinaTulane-1.6-1.2-2.1
ClemsonBoston College15.815.617.8
PurdueMinnesota5.23.75.2
Georgia TechPittsburgh3.22.53.4
North Carolina St.Louisiana Tech23.822.624.9
Georgia St.Appalachian St.-6.2-6.4-8.2
South CarolinaTroy13.512.912.6
Ball St.Army-8.5-8.8-11.2
Penn St.Indiana8.810.010.6
TempleMemphis-12.4-11.5-12.9
Iowa St.Kansas40.040.645.4
MassachusettsToledo-20.6-21.2-22.7
IllinoisCharlotte17.617.016.7
Wake ForestLouisville11.410.910.4
BuffaloWestern Michigan4.63.04.6
RutgersOhio St.-15.3-13.1-15.6
Coastal CarolinaLouisiana-Monroe34.831.936.7
Northern IllinoisEastern Michigan-5.1-5.4-4.5
Boise St.Nevada10.08.310.6
New MexicoAir Force-10.6-10.5-12.7
ColoradoUSC-8.8-9.2-11.1
Notre DameCincinnati-4.1-2.1-4.0
San Jose St.New Mexico St.31.330.731.6
Oregon St.Washington7.56.06.5
CaliforniaWashington St.3.36.86.6
StanfordOregon-4.7-4.8-7.2
Miami (O)Central Michigan5.04.02.9
Kent St.Bowling Green19.320.520.7
AlabamaOle Miss16.515.416.8
NavyCentral Florida-13.4-13.1-15.8
SMUSouth Florida13.715.314.6
Oklahoma St.Baylor3.63.73.7
GeorgiaArkansas18.818.721.1
AkronOhio U-4.5-7.7-8.6
MissouriTennessee6.77.96.7
TCUTexas-4.2-3.8-3.9
KentuckyFlorida-8.6-8.4-9.3
Kansas St.Oklahoma-16.2-13.8-15.8
Florida AtlanticFlorida Int’l.9.610.69.0
VanderbiltConnecticut13.611.714.7
West VirginiaTexas Tech16.413.814.3
LSUAuburn-0.81.50.9
WisconsinMichigan2.61.43.2
Texas A&MMississippi St.12.312.913.0
Georgia SouthernArkansas St.2.11.22.2
UTSAUNLV14.816.615.6
RiceSouthern Miss.1.80.20.9
South AlabamaLouisiana-13.5-11.5-14.5
UABLiberty-3.7-4.9-5.2
Middle TennesseeMarshall-8.1-8.2-7.7
NebraskaNorthwestern7.88.18.8
Michigan St.Western Kentucky25.623.623.7
UTEPOld Dominion6.46.44.0
UCLAArizona St.2.01.92.0
HawaiiFresno St.-2.0-4.4-4.9

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Georgia132.2
2Alabama130.8
3Oklahoma124.5
4Cincinnati120.3
5Iowa St.119.9
6Florida119.3
7Ohio St.119.1
8Texas118.5
9Clemson118.0
10Ole Miss117.6
11Texas A&M116.4
12Penn St.116.2
13Arkansas115.7
14Auburn115.1
15Iowa114.8
16Notre Dame113.9
17U S C113.6
18West Virginia113.6
19Oregon113.3
20North Carolina113.3
21L S U112.6
22Arizona St.112.2
23Oregon St.112.0
24U C L A111.7
25Michigan111.7
26T C U111.6
27Miami (Fla.)111.1
28Wisconsin111.1
29Wake Forest110.6
30BYU110.2
31Coastal Carolina110.0
32Oklahoma St.109.9
33Maryland109.9
34Utah109.8
35NC State109.4
36Indiana109.4
37Baylor109.2
38Michigan St.108.8
39Washington108.3
40Kentucky107.5
41Louisiana107.1
42Mississippi St.106.7
43Missouri106.7
44Purdue106.6
45Nebraska106.6
46Virginia Tech106.3
47Kansas St.106.2
48Boise St.105.8
49Liberty105.3
50Minnesota104.8
51Stanford104.7
52Boston College104.6
53Virginia103.3
54Army102.8
55Louisville102.7
56Georgia Tech102.7
57Appalachian St.102.7
58Pittsburgh102.6
59Tennessee102.6
60UCF102.5
61Texas Tech101.8
62San Diego St.101.7
63South Carolina101.4
64Rutgers101.4
65Northwestern101.3
66SMU101.3
67Colorado100.9
68Fresno St.100.9
69Houston100.5
70California100.4
71Nevada99.1
72Tulane98.9
73Tulsa98.8
74Florida St.98.7
75Wyoming97.9
76Miami (Ohio)97.9
77Washington St.97.8
78San Jose St.97.8
79U A B97.7
80Air Force97.6
81U T S A97.3
82Central Michigan96.9
83Buffalo96.7
84Marshall96.4
85Syracuse96.3
86Illinois95.7
87Toledo95.3
88Western Michigan95.1
89Memphis95.0
90East Carolina94.3
91Eastern Michigan94.2
92Kent St.94.2
93Georgia St.93.7
94Hawaii93.1
95Troy91.4
96Duke91.4
97Arizona91.3
98South Alabama90.9
99Ball St.90.7
100Colorado St.90.7
101Florida Atlantic90.7
102Utah St.89.9
103USF89.7
104Louisiana Tech88.6
105Western Kentucky87.5
106Arkansas St.86.6
107Northern Illinois86.2
108Georgia Southern86.0
109Navy85.4
110Middle Tennessee85.4
111Ohio85.0
112U N L V84.6
113New Mexico83.4
114Southern Miss.83.3
115Texas St.82.5
116Vanderbilt82.4
117Florida Int’l.82.0
118Rice81.8
119Charlotte81.6
120Kansas80.9
121Temple80.7
122North Texas80.0
123UL-Monroe78.5
124U T E P78.0
125Bowling Green76.5
126Akron75.6
127Old Dominion74.9
128UMass71.7
129Connecticut71.1
130New Mexico St.69.6

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati120.0119.2121.8120.3
UCF102.2101.1104.2102.5
SMU100.7101.5101.6101.3
Houston100.999.5101.0100.5
Tulane99.097.7100.198.9
Tulsa98.899.098.598.8
Memphis94.394.995.795.0
East Carolina94.393.695.094.3
USF90.089.290.089.7
Navy85.885.085.485.4
Temple79.981.480.780.7

AAC Averages96.996.697.697.0

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson117.2117.4119.4118.0
Wake Forest110.7110.0111.2110.6
NC State109.6109.0109.5109.4
Boston College104.4104.8104.7104.6
Louisville102.3102.0103.8102.7
Florida St.98.698.798.898.7
Syracuse96.696.695.896.3

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
North Carolina112.4112.6114.8113.3
Miami (Fla.)111.6110.3111.6111.1
Virginia Tech107.2105.9105.9106.3
Virginia102.8104.3102.8103.3
Georgia Tech102.6102.7102.8102.7
Pittsburgh102.4103.2102.4102.6
Duke91.492.590.391.4

ACC Averages105.0105.0105.3105.1

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma125.8123.3124.3124.5
Iowa St.120.4118.7120.4119.9
Texas119.3117.7118.6118.5
West Virginia115.2113.2112.5113.6
T C U112.1110.9111.7111.6
Oklahoma St.110.3110.0109.3109.9
Baylor109.8109.3108.6109.2
Kansas St.106.5106.6105.5106.2
Texas Tech101.7102.4101.2101.8
Kansas83.481.178.180.9

Big 12 Averages110.5109.3109.0109.6

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.118.6118.6120.1119.1
Penn St.114.9115.9117.6116.2
Michigan111.0112.0112.0111.7
Maryland111.1109.7108.7109.9
Indiana109.1108.9110.0109.4
Michigan St.109.1108.7108.6108.8
Rutgers100.3102.5101.4101.4

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Iowa114.4113.9116.0114.8
Wisconsin110.5110.4112.2111.1
Purdue106.1105.6108.0106.6
Nebraska106.2106.6106.9106.6
Minnesota103.9104.9105.8104.8
Northwestern101.4101.5101.1101.3
Illinois95.495.796.195.7

Big Ten Averages108.0108.2108.9108.4

Conference USA
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Marshall96.296.196.996.4
Florida Atlantic89.891.490.890.7
Western Kentucky86.588.287.987.5
Middle Tennessee85.184.986.185.4
Florida Int’l.81.281.982.882.0
Charlotte80.881.782.381.6
Old Dominion74.475.275.274.9

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U A B97.897.697.797.7
U T S A97.097.797.397.3
Louisiana Tech88.989.487.688.6
Southern Miss.82.683.983.383.3
Rice81.981.681.881.8
North Texas80.380.179.680.0
U T E P78.379.076.778.0

CUSA Averages85.886.386.286.1

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame112.9114.0114.8113.9
BYU110.1109.6110.9110.2
Liberty104.5105.4105.9105.3
Army102.7102.8102.7102.8
UMass73.172.269.971.7
Connecticut71.472.569.371.1
New Mexico St.70.070.768.069.6

Indep. Averages92.192.591.692.1

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)99.697.496.697.9
Buffalo97.396.396.696.7
Kent St.93.895.493.494.2
Ohio84.285.685.185.0
Bowling Green76.977.475.276.5
Akron77.375.474.175.6

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Central Michigan97.696.496.696.9
Toledo95.895.494.695.3
Western Michigan95.195.794.595.1
Eastern Michigan95.894.192.794.2
Ball St.91.791.589.090.7
Northern Illinois87.685.885.286.2

MAC Averages91.190.589.590.4

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.105.6105.3106.3105.8
Wyoming97.497.998.597.9
Air Force97.397.598.197.6
Colorado St.90.590.591.190.7
Utah St.89.790.689.489.9
New Mexico83.784.082.483.4

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
San Diego St.102.0101.5101.6101.7
Fresno St.99.5101.2102.0100.9
Nevada98.6100.098.799.1
San Jose St.98.398.396.797.8
Hawaii93.492.893.093.1
U N L V85.284.184.784.6

MWC Averages95.195.395.295.2

Pac-12 Conference
North Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oregon112.2113.2114.5113.3
Oregon St.111.8111.8112.4112.0
Washington107.3108.8108.9108.3
Stanford104.4105.3104.3104.7
California98.0102.2101.0100.4
Washington St.97.798.497.497.8

South Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U S C113.2113.1114.5113.6
Arizona St.111.8112.4112.5112.2
U C L A111.3111.8112.0111.7
Utah110.1109.9109.5109.8
Colorado101.4101.0100.4100.9
Arizona91.691.191.291.3

Pac-12 Averages105.9106.6106.5106.3

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia131.7131.7133.3132.2
Florida118.4120.0119.4119.3
Kentucky106.9108.6107.1107.5
Missouri106.5107.2106.3106.7
Tennessee102.8102.2102.6102.6
South Carolina101.7101.5101.2101.4
Vanderbilt83.082.282.082.4

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama130.9129.8131.7130.8
Ole Miss117.3117.4117.9117.6
Texas A&M116.1116.8116.3116.4
Arkansas115.8115.9115.2115.7
Auburn115.6114.4115.4115.1
L S U111.8112.9113.2112.6
Mississippi St.106.8106.9106.3106.7

SEC Averages111.8112.0112.0111.9

Sunbelt Conference
East DivisionPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Coastal Carolina110.8108.3110.8110.0
Appalachian St.102.2101.8104.0102.7
Georgia St.94.193.493.793.7
Troy91.291.691.691.4
Georgia Southern86.186.385.686.0

West DivisionPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana107.7105.8107.8107.1
South Alabama91.291.390.290.9
Arkansas St.86.587.585.986.6
Texas St.83.981.781.982.5
UL-Monroe79.079.477.178.5

Sun Averages93.392.792.992.9

Conference Ratings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern111.9
2Big 12109.6
3Big Ten108.4
4Pac-12106.3
5Atlantic Coast105.1
6American Athletic97.0
7Mountain West95.2
8Sun Belt92.9
9Independents92.1
10Mid-American90.4
11Conference USA86.1

Excellent TV Schedule For A 14-Hour Marathon

After a week with a minimum of outstanding TV games, you will have a feast of great games this coming weekend. It will be possible to sit on your sofa in your man cave from Noon Eastern Time until 2 AM Sunday and be presented with excellent football game choices. This is a weekend where you might want to have multiple monitors at the ready. Here are our starred games on the tube.

All Times Eastern Daylight

Friday Night

Maryland vs. Iowa

The Terrapins haven’t been 5-0 since 2001, when they won the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship and lost to Florida in the Orange Bowl. Maryland Stadium should be jam-packed as Coach Mike Locksley leads his charges onto the field to face the presumptive Big Ten West favorites in this battle of unbeaten teams. It’s still early, but a Hawkeye win to make Iowa 5-0 could put them on pace to run the table to the Big Ten Championship Game.

TV Info: 8 PM on FS1

Saturday Games

Georgia vs. Arkansas

Georgia’s quick 35-0 first quarter lead over Vanderbilt was achieved almost effortlessly, and Coach Kirby Smart took his starters out after the first quarter. It was like a walk-through practice for their regulars.

Arkansas played a tough 60-minute game against old Southwest Conference rival Texas A&M, knocking off the Aggies in a mild upset to start the season 4-0 for the first time since 2003. If you’re wondering when the last time Arkansas was 5-0, it was 1998. A week from today, that should still be true, but this should be an interesting game to watch to start the day. Beating Vanderbilt 62-0 this year is almost inevitable. Beating Arkansas by three touchdowns or more would justify moving the Bulldogs to number one in the nation. Of course, we did that this week.

TV Info: 12 Noon on ESPN

Wisconsin vs. Michigan

This is a fact-finding tour game for both teams. Can Wisconsin play a game without making multiple mental mistakes, or is this ingrained in their 2021 DNA? The Badgers could possibly be undefeated today if not for those crucial game-crushing mistakes. Was that Graham or Ethel Mertz throwing those touchdown passes to Notre Dame defenders at Soldier Field?

What are we to make of Michigan’s lack of offensive production against Rutgers? The Wolverines were leading the FBS in rushing yardage before the Scarlet Knights shut it down. The Maize and Blue need to control this game and win convincingly if they are really contenders for the Big Ten East title this year.

TV Info: 12 Noon on Fox

Missouri vs. Tennessee

Call this game a bowl qualifier. The winner has a strong path to bowl eligibility, while the loser will need to pull off at least one if not two upsets to get to 6-6. What makes this a much-watch game is that this is the middle of the SEC, and these teams have just enough talent to pull off an upset down the road against a potential Playoff-contender.

TV Info: 12 Noon on SEC Network

TCU vs. Texas

Some of the shine came off this game when TCU fell to Metroplex rival SMU. However, both teams are still undefeated in the Big 12, and the winner becomes the top contender to Oklahoma, who all of a sudden looks quite vulnerable. This should be your typical Southwestern Shootout with up to 90 total points scored, and if Texas wins handily like they did against Texas Tech, the Sooners better take notice before they head to the State Fair the week after.

TV Info: 12 Noon on ABC

Notre Dame vs. Cincinnati

Clemson has played itself out of the Playoff race with two losses. Ohio State will follow the Tigers if they lose another game. Texas A&M and Iowa State couldn’t live up to their preseason hype. If the Playoff Committee has to choose four teams today, Alabama, Georgia, and Oklahoma would be three of the choices, but choice number four would be wide open between Penn State, Oregon, Notre Dame, Cincinnati, and Florida. The winner of this game in South Bend is going to be in great shape to run the table. Notre Dame’s remaining schedule looks soft. Cinti has one tough game at home against SMU and a possible rematch in the AAC Championship Game. We pronounce this one to be the top game of the day. Clear your schedule. This game should be close and may not be decided until the closing minutes.

TV Info: 2:30 PM on NBC

Alabama vs. Ole Miss

For the rest of the nation not reading this feature, this will be their game of the week. The top two Heisman Trophy Award contenders will face off in Tuscaloosa. Tide quarterback Bryce Young is being called the best game manager in college football. You want to know another former Alabama quarterback that was an excellent game manager? Bart Starr merely led the Green Bay Packers to five NFL Championships.

Matt Corral is the exciting, dual threat superstar that has given Alabama all of its defeats in the last decade. Ole Miss could score 40 or more points in this game and still lose by double digits. It should be an interesting game, but the Tide has a bit more talent, and Nick Saban owns part of Lane Kiffin’s subconscious.

TV Info: 3:30 PM on CBS

Kansas St. vs. Oklahoma

Oklahoma doesn’t look anything like a Playoff contender, as they were lucky to survive at home against a fair but not great West Virginia team. Kansas State laid an egg against an Oklahoma State team that has not been the most dominant 4-0 team.

The loser of this game will most likely lose at least one other conference game, and that will eliminate that team from Playoff contention. Kansas State lost to Arkansas State the week before going to Norman last year and handing the Sooners a loss. The Wildcats have the talent to repeat the upset, especially if the OU offense doesn’t get a tune-up this week in practice.

TV Info: 3:30 PM on Fox

Stanford vs. Oregon

The Ducks earned a lot of Playoff Committee bonus points by winning at Ohio State, but their other games have not been totally impressive. The Pac-12 has so much parity that the also-ran teams have better chances to upset the contenders than in any other Power 5 league. Stanford hasn’t defeated a quality team this year, as USC has now proven to be mediocre at best. The Ducks have had difficulty winning in Palo Alto through the years, and a loss here would kill their chances of making the Playoffs, especially with road games against Washington, UCLA, and Utah still to be played.

TV Info: 3:30 PM on ABC

Rutgers vs. Ohio St.

As John McEnroe might say, “you cannot be serious!” Rutgers playing Ohio State is a key TV game? The Buckeyes might be walking into a garden ambush at SHI Stadium in Piscataway. Rutgers had a chance to win in Ann Arbor, and they stopped a btter running game than Ohio State has this year. Can they also stop a top passing game? It should be interesting and worth watching.

TV Info: 3:30 PM on Big Ten Network

Kentucky vs. Florida

Who will play top contender for the Georgia Bulldogs in the SEC East? Kentucky has been improving year by year on the defensive side but has been lacking offensively due to problems passing the ball. Coach Mark Stoops brought Liam Coen to Lexington after running the Los Angeles Rams’ offense. The Wildcats still have a top notch defense, but the passing game is struggling a bit.

In the second half of their game against Alabama, Florida looked like the superior team. A lousy first half did the Gators in. Not having Anthony Richardson to play these last two games have played a little toll on the Gator offense. If Richardson is full strength, Florida should be able to top Kentucky in Lexington. Florida must keep winning every week to make the Georgia game essential. The Gators are still very much in the Playoff race.

TV Info: 6 PM on ESPN

Oklahoma St. vs. Baylor

Who would have predicted that these teams would both be 4-0 when they faced off? Both teams have to be considered Big 12 Championship Game contenders, but the Cowboys are probably a legitimate contender, where the Bears must still prove they are for real. A win here adds to the proof given when they beat Iowa State.

TV Info: 7 PM on ESPN2

Clemson vs. Boston College

It’s obvious by now that Clemson’s offense has suffered too many losses from last year’s team, as many defenses have successfully held that tiger. Boston College survived a 56-yard field goal to pick up a rare ACC win over an SEC team. At 4-0, the Eagles are one of two remaining undefeated teams left in the league (Wake Forest). If BC can win this game and look like it was not a fluke, then at least, the league can pretend to still have a playoff contender.

TV Info: 7:30 PM on ACC Network

Oregon State vs. Washington

Oregon State played one bad quarter against Purdue in the season opener, and that’s why the Beavers are not 4-0 and threatening to make the Pac-12 North a two-team race. Washington lost to Montana in week one and then fell to Michigan in week two. The Huskies still might win the North Division title, but they have no chance to make the Playoffs.

The winner of this game will be tied for first at the minimum and in sole possession of first if Stanford beats Oregon. OSU looked like a serious contender in their pasting of USC in the Coliseum. The last time the Beavers had won at the Coliseum was 1960, when Tommy Prothro was coaching the team, and future Heisman Trophy quarterback Terry Baker was leading it. If Tristan Gebbia can stay healthy, Oregon State just might be the team that Oregon has to worry about.

TV Info: 9 PM on Pac-12 Network

UCLA vs. Arizona St.

This is a battle for first place in the Pac-12 South, but neither team is in contention for a Playoff bid. ASU lost to BYU, while the Bruins lost to Fresno State. At 12-1, neither team would get in against a third place SEC school that is 11-1.

The PiRates begin updating the ratings during the second half of the late Pac-12 game, so we always have the audio up on these games while working through the wee hours of the morning. These games are always exciting and keep us alert. You get your money’s worth with Pac-12 games, even if it no longer really is the “conference of champions.”

TV Info: 10:30 PM on FS1

September 7, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Football, September 7, 2021

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 8:20 am

This Week’s Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Coastal CarolinaKansas25.325.031.4
Boise St.UTEP28.626.830.8
VirginiaIllinois10.311.99.3
ArmyWestern Kentucky23.521.522.8
Ohio St.Oregon14.413.313.6
MassachusettsBoston College-31.1-32.5-36.3
South FloridaFlorida-25.7-29.3-27.2
TennesseePittsburgh5.33.55.3
East CarolinaSouth Carolina-5.7-6.8-4.2
Florida AtlanticGeorgia Southern-0.11.61.7
MinnesotaMiami (O)8.612.815.3
Oklahoma St.Tulsa16.015.615.4
Northern IllinoisWyoming-2.8-5.7-7.4
SyracuseRutgers0.0-2.6-1.7
Virginia TechMiddle Tennessee25.624.823.0
New MexicoNew Mexico St.18.418.120.2
Notre DameToledo13.916.317.7
ConnecticutPurdue-29.1-27.4-33.2
NavyAir Force-5.8-6.5-6.8
Penn St.Ball St.19.120.425.0
AkronTemple6.12.21.4
GeorgiaUAB31.331.433.6
TCUCalifornia24.618.621.4
NebraskaBuffalo6.27.87.1
Iowa St.Iowa8.16.96.0
Colorado (d)Texas A&M-9.7-11.5-12.2
Bowling GreenSouth Alabama-18.6-18.5-20.5
RiceHouston-10.5-8.8-10.3
Miami (Fla.)Appalachian St.16.816.115.2
Florida Int’l.Texas St.-7.9-4.5-3.8
Mississippi St.North Carolina St.1.01.80.6
WisconsinEastern Michigan24.125.929.3
SMUNorth Texas13.915.415.6
TroyLiberty-7.7-8.7-9.4
Arkansas St.Memphis-0.40.4-3.3
ArkansasTexas-5.2-3.3-6.0
KentuckyMissouri3.95.23.9
North CarolinaGeorgia St.24.425.328.4
MichiganWashington2.31.71.5
Colorado St.Vanderbilt1.52.63.4
ArizonaSan Diego St.-1.0-1.0-1.0
BYUUtah-0.8-2.1-0.1
Arizona St.UNLV28.931.531.3
USCStanford20.919.623.3
Oregon St.Hawaii15.215.815.7
(d) CU-A&M gameplayed in Denver

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Alabama132.7
2Georgia125.8
3Oklahoma125.4
4Iowa St.122.1
5Ohio St.121.9
6Clemson121.6
7U S C119.8
8Cincinnati119.2
9Texas A&M118.3
10Auburn117.8
11Florida117.1
12Texas117.0
13Iowa116.6
14North Carolina116.3
15T C U116.0
16Miami (Fla.)114.9
17Penn St.114.9
18Wisconsin114.6
19Ole Miss113.8
20U C L A113.0
21Arizona St.112.1
22Indiana112.1
23Utah111.9
24L S U111.6
25West Virginia111.4
26Oklahoma St.111.3
27Oregon111.1
28Notre Dame109.9
29Arkansas109.2
30NC State109.1
31Coastal Carolina108.9
32BYU108.9
33Maryland108.4
34Louisiana108.1
35Washington108.1
36Kentucky107.8
37Wake Forest107.3
38Mississippi St.107.3
39Virginia Tech107.2
40Michigan106.9
41Minnesota106.6
42Liberty106.5
43Missouri106.5
44Boston College106.4
45Michigan St.106.0
46Oregon St.106.0
47Kansas St.105.8
48Colorado105.7
49Purdue104.6
50Baylor104.1
51Texas Tech104.0
52Army103.8
53Florida St.103.8
54Tennessee103.7
55Virginia103.7
56Boise St.103.5
57UCF103.5
58Nebraska103.5
59Northwestern102.8
60Tulane102.2
61South Carolina102.0
62Pittsburgh102.0
63Appalachian St.101.9
64Louisville101.6
65Stanford101.5
66San Jose St.100.4
67Nevada100.1
68Central Michigan99.7
69Rutgers99.6
70Washington St.99.6
71Buffalo99.5
72San Diego St.98.9
73Houston98.6
74Fresno St.98.1
75California97.4
76Miami (Ohio)97.4
77Wyoming97.3
78Tulsa97.1
79Toledo97.0
80Marshall96.7
81U A B96.7
82Georgia Tech96.6
83SMU96.5
84Ball St.96.4
85Illinois96.2
86U T S A95.9
87Air Force95.7
88Syracuse95.7
89Troy95.4
90Arizona94.9
91East Carolina94.4
92Memphis93.5
93Hawaii93.4
94Georgia St.93.2
95South Alabama92.8
96Kent St.91.5
97Eastern Michigan91.2
98Ohio90.8
99Arkansas St.90.4
100Georgia Southern90.2
101Northern Illinois89.0
102Western Michigan89.0
103Louisiana Tech89.0
104Utah St.89.0
105Florida Atlantic88.8
106Duke88.3
107Texas St.88.2
108Rice87.7
109USF87.7
110Vanderbilt86.6
111Navy86.3
112Colorado St.86.2
113Middle Tennessee85.7
114New Mexico85.5
115Kansas84.7
116U N L V84.6
117Western Kentucky84.2
118North Texas83.0
119Southern Miss.82.8
120Charlotte80.7
121Florida Int’l.80.3
122Akron78.5
123U T E P77.8
124Temple77.3
125UL-Monroe75.6
126Connecticut72.7
127Old Dominion71.8
128UMass71.6
129Bowling Green71.1
130New Mexico St.68.6

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati119.0118.0120.6119.2
UCF103.1102.0105.4103.5
Tulane102.0100.7103.8102.2
Houston99.197.599.298.6
Tulsa97.297.396.797.1
SMU95.896.996.996.5
East Carolina94.593.495.394.4
Memphis92.793.194.693.5
USF88.387.087.787.7
Navy86.886.086.386.3
Temple76.478.177.477.3

AAC Averages95.995.596.796.0


Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson120.5120.9123.2121.6
NC State109.5108.8109.1109.1
Wake Forest107.7106.5107.8107.3
Boston College105.9106.5106.9106.4
Florida St.103.5103.9103.9103.8
Louisville101.3100.9102.5101.6
Syracuse96.295.995.195.7

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
North Carolina115.2115.3118.3116.3
Miami (Fla.)115.2114.0115.6114.9
Virginia Tech108.1106.8106.8107.2
Virginia103.1105.1102.8103.7
Pittsburgh101.6102.7101.8102.0
Georgia Tech96.796.796.596.6
Duke88.389.687.188.3

ACC Averages105.2105.3105.5105.3


Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma126.6124.0125.5125.4
Iowa St.122.6120.8122.9122.1
Texas118.0115.9117.2117.0
T C U116.6115.1116.3116.0
West Virginia113.0111.1110.1111.4
Oklahoma St.111.7111.4110.7111.3
Kansas St.106.2106.2105.1105.8
Baylor104.7104.3103.3104.1
Texas Tech104.0104.8103.2104.0
Kansas87.484.981.884.7

Big 12 Averages111.1109.8109.6110.2


Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.121.1121.3123.2121.9
Penn St.113.5114.6116.5114.9
Indiana111.7111.6113.0112.1
Maryland109.8108.1107.1108.4
Michigan106.2107.1107.3106.9
Michigan St.106.4106.0105.7106.0
Rutgers98.6100.999.399.6

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Iowa116.0115.5118.4116.6
Wisconsin113.9113.9115.9114.6
Minnesota105.1106.6108.1106.6
Purdue104.4103.8105.6104.6
Nebraska103.2103.7103.5103.5
Northwestern102.9102.8102.6102.8
Illinois95.896.296.696.2

Big Ten Averages107.8108.0108.8108.2


Conference USA
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Marshall96.796.796.996.7
Florida Atlantic87.789.789.088.8
Middle Tennessee85.485.186.785.7
Western Kentucky83.285.184.384.2
Charlotte79.980.981.380.7
Florida Int’l.79.280.281.480.3
Old Dominion71.572.171.771.8

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U A B96.996.796.496.7
U T S A95.896.495.595.9
Louisiana Tech89.389.987.989.0
Rice87.687.787.987.7
North Texas83.483.082.783.0
Southern Miss.82.083.682.882.8
U T E P78.079.076.277.8

CUSA Averages85.586.185.885.8


FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame108.7110.3110.8109.9
BYU109.0108.0109.7108.9
Liberty105.3106.6107.5106.5
Army103.7103.6104.1103.8
Connecticut73.374.570.472.7
UMass73.372.569.171.6
New Mexico St.69.269.966.868.6

Indep. Averages91.892.291.291.7


Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Buffalo100.099.099.499.5
Miami (Ohio)99.596.895.897.4
Kent St.91.193.090.591.5
Ohio89.791.691.090.8
Akron80.578.376.978.5
Bowling Green71.872.169.371.1

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Central Michigan100.499.199.599.7
Toledo97.897.096.197.0
Ball St.97.497.394.596.4
Eastern Michigan92.991.089.691.2
Northern Illinois90.688.687.989.0
Western Michigan89.389.688.189.0

MAC Averages91.791.189.990.9


Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.103.6102.8104.0103.5
Wyoming96.597.298.397.3
Air Force95.695.596.195.7
Utah St.88.789.888.589.0
Colorado St.86.086.086.586.2
New Mexico85.686.085.085.5

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
San Jose St.100.9101.099.4100.4
Nevada99.4101.099.8100.1
San Diego St.99.498.798.698.9
Fresno St.96.498.599.498.1
Hawaii93.793.093.493.4
U N L V85.584.084.384.6

MWC Averages94.394.594.494.4


Pac-12 Conference
North Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oregon109.8111.1112.6111.1
Washington106.9108.4108.9108.1
Oregon St.105.9105.8106.2106.0
Stanford101.3102.4100.8101.5
Washington St.99.5100.399.199.6
California95.099.597.997.4

South Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U S C119.2119.0121.0119.8
U C L A112.7112.9113.3113.0
Arizona St.111.4112.5112.6112.1
Utah111.8112.1111.8111.9
Colorado106.4105.8104.9105.7
Arizona95.494.794.694.9

Pac-12 Averages106.3107.0107.0106.8


Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia125.2125.1127.1125.8
Florida116.0118.3116.9117.1
Kentucky107.2109.1107.1107.8
Missouri106.3106.9106.2106.5
Tennessee103.9103.1104.1103.7
South Carolina102.3102.2101.6102.0
Vanderbilt87.486.486.186.6

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama132.8131.4133.9132.7
Texas A&M117.6118.7118.6118.3
Auburn118.2117.0118.3117.8
Ole Miss113.7113.8113.9113.8
L S U110.7111.9112.2111.6
Arkansas109.8109.6108.2109.2
Mississippi St.107.5107.6106.7107.3

SEC Averages111.3111.5111.5111.5


Sunbelt Conference
East DivisionPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Coastal Carolina109.7106.9110.1108.9
Appalachian St.101.3100.9103.4101.9
Troy95.195.495.795.4
Georgia St.93.892.992.993.2
Georgia Southern90.390.789.890.2

West DivisionPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana108.8106.5109.1108.1
South Alabama92.993.192.392.8
Arkansas St.90.391.589.390.4
Texas St.89.687.287.788.2
UL-Monroe76.276.573.975.6

Sun Averages94.894.294.494.5

Rating of Conferences

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern111.5
2Big 12110.2
3Big Ten108.2
4Pac-12106.8
5Atlantic Coast105.3
6American Athletic96.0
7Sun Belt94.5
8Mountain West94.4
9Independents91.7
10Mid-American90.9
11Conference USA85.8

What To Make Of Week 1

Alabama Football 2021 = UCLA Basketball 1967-1973

College basketball between 1967 and 1973 was all about one team against the rest. UCLA so dominated basketball in those years that their games were seldom entertaining to non-Bruins fans. They won games by scores such as 115-65, 114-56, and 82-43. They beat other top 10 teams by scores like 79-53, 73-57, and 96-77. In the rare occasion that they played the #1 team, when they were not ranked #1, they merely won 101-69 after leading by 44 points before putting in the scrubs.

Alabama football has reached that same point. Games are no longer entertaining unless you are a Crimson Tide fan. Coach Nick Saban has reached the same level as John Wooden. Last year, Alabama played a 10-game all SEC schedule plus two playoff games. Six of the 13 opponents were ranked, and ‘Bama won these six gamed by an average of three touchdowns per game. The Tide suffered heavy losses to the NFL Draft, including the Heisman Trophy winner and a 1st round picked quarterback. For any other program, 2021 would be a large rebuilding season. For Alabama, they simply plug in the next 1st round draft pick at QB, who after one career start is now the front-runner for this year’s Heisman Trophy. It’s just like Sidney Wicks replacing Kareem Abdul-Jabbar as the best player in the nation in 1969-70, and Bill Walton replacing Wicks in 1971-72.

Revenge Of The FCS

Six FCS teams beat FBS teams in Week One of the college football season. While South Dakota State beating Colorado State may not have been all that surprising, since SDSU is the Alabama of FCS, but when Washington lost at home to Montana, that shook the Power 5 Pac-12 to its foundation.

There are two reasons why these FCS teams were more competitive than normal. First, these FCS teams played football in the Spring. Most of these teams looked like they were in mid-season form, playing more like a Power 5 team in a postseason bowl. Also, with the free extra year given to all players by the NCAA, age tends to lead to parity. An outstanding 5-star 18-year old is light years better than a 3-star 18-year old. A 23-year old college football player most likely is a 3-star holdover, and he is little better than a 23-year old 2-star player at an FCS school.

An excellent case in point is the East Tennessee State slaughter over Vanderbilt. Everything possible was in place to forecast this 20-point blowout win over the SEC host. The Buccaneers played in the Spring and enjoyed an incredible year on the defensive side of the ball. Most of their two-deep returned. Meanwhile, Vanderbilt brought in a new coaching staff after the Commodores went 0-9 and had to use a female soccer player as their placekicker in their final two games. Numerous players left the team via the Transfer Portal, and the incoming coach made it known that he preferred not to sign players from that portal. The Commodores are a very youthful team lacking any real star players, while ETSU had one player in his late 20’s playing Saturday night. Thus, not only was the game an upset that finished 41 points different from the spread, it was obvious that ETSU dominated the Commodores. In some respect, men beat boys.

With all FBS teams now having a game under their belts, expect some of this FCS advantage to disappear each week until it is gone.

Must Watch Games This Week

12 Noon Eastern

Oregon visits the giant horseshoe to face Ohio State on Fox. The Ducks underperformed in a win over Fresno State, but it was obvious that they didn’t show the nation all their weapons. The Pac-12 suffered numerous black eyes, with the rest of the North Division losing their first games.

3:30 PM Eastern

Saturday is the 20th anniversary of the tragic bombings in New York and Washington, D.C. It is no coincidence that Air Force and Navy will play on CBS rather than their regular SEC game.

On ABC, Iowa visits Iowa State for the Cy-Hawk Trophy. The Cyclones were not impressive in their opener against Northern Iowa, but last year, Iowa State lost to Louisiana-Lafayette by 17 in their first game and then beat Oklahoma two weeks later. Iowa looked like the class of the Big Ten West when they trounced Indiana.

7:00 PM Eastern

Perhaps the game of the day comes from Fayetteville, Arkansas, where the Razorbacks will host long-time arch-rival Texas in a game that will soon become a regular affair once Texas joins the SEC (maybe in 2022). Neither team is the dominant top 10 team like they were many times in the 1960’s and 1970’s, but this should be an incredibly, hard-fought game between two 1-0 teams. Catch this game on ESPN.

Mississippi State hosts North Carolina State, and the ACC is suffering more than the Pac-12 after one week. The Wolfpack were one of two bright spots for the ACC, while the Bulldogs had to win on the final play over Louisiana Tech. This should be a close game, and the teams will fight tooth and nail to get to 2-0. This one is on ESPN2.

7:30 PM Eastern

Missouri visits Kentucky in a battle to determine which SEC East team will become the potential top challenger to Georgia, assuming Florida does not retain this position. Missouri had a pedestrian performance in a win over Central Michigan in week one. On the other hand, Kentucky unveiled a new offense led by former Rams’ assistant Laim Coen. Coen’s offense made Penn State transfer Will Levis look like Jared Goff of 2018. Can the Cats put up flashy numbers against an SEC opponent? Tune into this one on The SEC Network.

10:15 PM Eastern

The late games this week could be duds except for the Utah at BYU game in Provo. Aside from it being a rivalry game, both schools looked strong in week one wins. Catch this rivalry game on ESPN.

August 29, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Football For September 1-6, 2021

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 6:26 am

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
RutgersTemple15.615.914.6
Central FloridaBoise St.2.11.43.9
Appalachian St. (n)East Carolina5.25.76.2
North Carolina St.South Florida18.519.118.3
TennesseeBowling Green35.033.538.3
MinnesotaOhio St.-13.5-12.2-12.6
Virginia TechNorth Carolina-5.5-7.2-10.8
Wake ForestOld Dominion38.636.638.9
CharlotteDuke-9.9-10.5-7.3
NorthwesternMichigan St.4.34.85.3
MichiganWestern Michigan15.015.517.2
Georgia St.Army-0.1-0.6-0.9
Kansas St. (n)Stanford2.61.11.5
KentuckyLouisiana-Monroe33.335.335.9
TulaneOklahoma-28.5-27.2-25.6
WisconsinPenn St.6.55.45.7
ArkansasRice26.125.824.2
OregonFresno St.16.816.217.2
MarylandWest Virginia-3.5-3.5-3.8
IowaIndiana0.4-0.41.1
CincinnatiMiami (O)16.418.121.9
NavyMarshall-0.1-0.9-0.8
Miami (Fla.) (n)Alabama-13.3-12.7-13.7
PittsburghMassachusetts28.029.832.6
MissouriCentral Michigan8.810.89.7
Mississippi St.Louisiana Tech25.825.527.0
TexasLouisiana9.99.98.2
USCSan Jose St.18.017.322.0
PurdueOregon St.1.40.71.8
HoustonTexas Tech1.1-1.32.8
Texas St.Baylor-13.4-16.1-14.6
Ohio USyracuse0.63.33.9
AuburnAkron37.638.641.5
IllinoisUTSA7.17.28.8
FloridaFlorida Atlantic32.432.732.3
Georgia TechNorthern Illinois11.714.315.2
Clemson (n)Georgia-2.3-1.4-0.8
South AlabamaSouthern Miss.10.88.88.6
Texas A&MKent St.28.727.430.7
UCLALSU4.93.53.4
ArizonaBYU-11.0-10.7-13.3
CaliforniaNevada0.33.83.5
San Diego St.New Mexico St.33.131.735.4
Washington St.Utah St.18.718.618.9
Florida St.Notre Dame-2.4-4.1-4.7
Ole Miss (n)Louisville11.611.910.0

Note:. Oklahoma vs. Tulane has been moved to Norman, OK.

Home

Oklahoma
Visitor

Tulane
PiRate

33.5
Mean

32.2
Bias

30.6

FBS vs. FCS Games

FBSFCSPiRate
UAB (n)Jacksonville St.18.3
UtahWeber St.30.6
UNLVEastern Washington6.7
New MexicoHouston Baptist20.0
Florida Int’l.Long Island22.4
Ball St.Western Illinois26.7
BuffaloWagner37.7
Coastal CarolinaThe Citadel30.6
TulsaUC-Davis26.3
Western KentuckyUT-Martin17.7
Arizona St.Southern Utah37.7
Eastern MichiganSt. Francis (PA)29.3
KansasSouth Dakota14.6
ColoradoNorthern Colorado31.0
Colorado St.South Dakota St.7.6
WyomingMontana St.21.4
HawaiiPortland St.21.8
Air ForceLafayette35.0
Boston CollegeColgate37.6
ConnecticutHoly Cross7.3
NebraskaFordham25.5
Iowa St.Northern Iowa36.7
LibertyCampbell26.7
Georgia SouthernGardner-Webb28.8
South CarolinaEastern Illinois30.4
Middle TennesseeMonmouth8.6
Oklahoma St.Missouri St.35.0
MemphisNicholls21.6
SMUAbilene Christian28.5
ToledoNorfolk St.33.4
Arkansas St.Central Arkansas15.6
TroySouthern25.7
North TexasNorthwestern St.11.1
VirginiaWilliam & Mary31.9
VanderbiltEast Tennessee St.20.3
TCUDuquesne43.9
WashingtonMontana28.8
UTEPBethune-Cookman11.7

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Alabama130.2
2Oklahoma128.1
3Georgia125.2
4Iowa St.124.8
5Clemson122.2
6Ohio St.121.9
7U S C119.4
8Florida118.2
9Texas A&M118.1
10North Carolina117.7
11Miami (Fla.)116.9
12Cincinnati116.5
13Auburn116.1
14T C U116.0
15Wisconsin115.9
16Texas115.6
17Indiana115.5
18Ole Miss113.3
19Arizona St.113.1
20Oklahoma St.113.1
21Penn St.113.1
22Iowa112.8
23Oregon112.5
24West Virginia112.3
25L S U112.1
26Washington112.1
27U C L A112.0
28Utah111.9
29Notre Dame110.2
30Mississippi St.110.1
31Arkansas109.5
32BYU109.2
33Louisiana109.2
34Coastal Carolina108.4
35Wake Forest107.7
36Kentucky107.4
37Maryland107.2
38Oregon St.106.9
39Missouri106.4
40Minnesota106.1
41NC State106.1
42Northwestern105.8
43Colorado105.7
44Liberty105.5
45Virginia Tech105.3
46Boston College105.2
47Michigan104.9
48Baylor104.5
49Kansas St.104.4
50Tennessee104.0
51Boise St.103.9
52Purdue103.7
53Florida St.103.5
54Michigan St.103.0
55Stanford103.0
56UCF102.8
57Virginia102.7
58Washington St.102.5
59Louisville102.1
60Nebraska102.0
61Texas Tech101.9
62Appalachian St.101.0
63South Carolina100.8
64San Jose St.100.8
65Houston100.7
66Pittsburgh100.2
67San Diego St.100.2
68Tulsa100.1
69Army100.0
70Miami (Ohio)99.7
71Central Michigan99.7
72Tulane99.0
73Nevada98.8
74Wyoming98.5
75California98.4
76Georgia Tech98.2
77Buffalo98.0
78Illinois97.6
79Ball St.97.4
80Fresno St.96.7
81Toledo96.7
82Air Force96.5
83Georgia St.96.5
84East Carolina95.3
85U A B95.2
86SMU95.0
87Rutgers95.0
88Arizona94.6
89U T S A93.9
90Hawaii93.6
91Ohio93.5
92Marshall93.4
93Troy93.4
94Memphis93.2
95Syracuse92.9
96Kent St.91.7
97Georgia Southern91.6
98Eastern Michigan91.4
99South Alabama91.2
100Western Michigan91.0
101USF90.4
102Navy90.3
103Vanderbilt90.1
104Arkansas St.89.9
105Duke89.8
106Colorado St.89.0
107Texas St.87.8
108Florida Atlantic87.7
109Northern Illinois87.5
110Rice87.1
111Louisiana Tech86.5
112Utah St.85.8
113New Mexico85.7
114Kansas85.4
115U N L V84.9
116Southern Miss.84.4
117Middle Tennessee83.7
118Western Kentucky82.7
119North Texas81.7
120Temple81.6
121Akron79.8
122Charlotte79.5
123Florida Int’l.79.0
124U T E P77.9
125UL-Monroe75.6
126Connecticut74.3
127UMass73.1
128Old Dominion71.4
129Bowling Green70.8
130New Mexico St.67.8

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati116.3115.3118.0116.5
UCF102.5101.2104.8102.8
Houston101.199.5101.6100.7
Tulsa100.2100.399.7100.1
Tulane98.897.5100.699.0
East Carolina95.394.396.295.3
SMU94.395.495.495.0
Memphis92.492.894.393.2
USF91.089.790.690.4
Navy90.890.090.390.3
Temple80.682.481.981.6

AAC Averages96.796.297.696.8

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson120.9121.5124.0122.2
Wake Forest108.0106.7108.3107.7
NC State106.5105.8105.9106.1
Boston College104.7105.3105.7105.2
Florida St.103.4103.6103.5103.5
Louisville101.7101.4103.2102.1
Syracuse93.793.192.192.9

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
North Carolina116.4116.7119.9117.7
Miami (Fla.)117.1116.1117.7116.9
Virginia Tech106.4104.9104.7105.3
Virginia102.1104.1101.8102.7
Pittsburgh99.8100.9100.1100.2
Georgia Tech98.098.398.398.2
Duke89.791.288.589.8

ACC Averages104.9105.0105.3105.0

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma129.3126.7128.2128.1
Iowa St.125.3123.5125.6124.8
T C U116.6115.1116.3116.0
Texas116.7114.5115.6115.6
Oklahoma St.113.5113.2112.5113.1
West Virginia113.8112.0111.1112.3
Baylor104.9104.8103.8104.5
Kansas St.104.9104.7103.5104.4
Texas Tech102.0102.8100.8101.9
Kansas88.185.682.585.4

Big 12 Averages111.5110.3110.0110.6

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.121.1121.3123.2121.9
Indiana114.9115.0116.4115.5
Penn St.111.7112.8114.6113.1
Maryland108.7106.9105.8107.2
Michigan104.3105.1105.3104.9
Michigan St.103.5103.0102.5103.0
Rutgers94.196.394.595.0

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Wisconsin115.2115.2117.3115.9
Iowa112.3111.6114.5112.8
Minnesota104.6106.1107.6106.1
Northwestern105.8105.8105.8105.8
Purdue103.6102.9104.5103.7
Nebraska101.7102.2102.0102.0
Illinois97.197.698.297.6

Big Ten Averages107.0107.3108.0107.5

Conference USA
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Marshall93.493.493.693.4
Florida Atlantic86.788.687.887.7
Middle Tennessee83.483.184.783.7
Western Kentucky81.783.682.882.7
Charlotte78.879.680.279.5
Florida Int’l.77.978.980.179.0
Old Dominion71.271.971.271.4

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U A B95.495.294.995.2
U T S A94.094.593.493.9
Rice87.087.187.387.1
Louisiana Tech86.987.485.286.5
Southern Miss.83.385.284.584.4
North Texas82.181.781.481.7
U T E P78.179.176.377.9

CUSA Averages84.384.984.584.6

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame108.8110.6111.2110.2
BYU109.2108.2110.3109.2
Liberty104.3105.6106.5105.5
Army100.099.8100.2100.0
Connecticut74.976.172.074.3
UMass74.874.070.573.1
New Mexico St.68.569.265.767.8

Indep. Averages91.591.990.991.5

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)101.999.298.199.7
Buffalo98.597.597.998.0
Ohio92.294.494.093.5
Kent St.91.393.490.591.7
Akron81.879.678.179.8
Bowling Green71.672.168.870.8

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Central Michigan100.599.199.599.7
Ball St.98.498.395.597.4
Toledo97.596.795.896.7
Eastern Michigan93.191.289.891.4
Western Michigan91.291.690.191.0
Northern Illinois89.387.086.187.5

MAC Averages92.391.790.491.4

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.103.9103.3104.3103.9
Wyoming97.798.499.598.5
Air Force96.496.396.996.5
Colorado St.88.888.889.389.0
Utah St.85.686.685.285.8
New Mexico85.886.285.285.7

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
San Jose St.101.3101.699.5100.8
San Diego St.100.699.9100.2100.2
Nevada98.499.798.498.8
Fresno St.95.297.297.996.7
Hawaii93.993.293.693.6
U N L V85.884.384.684.9

MWC Averages94.494.694.594.5

Pac-12 Conference
North Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oregon111.0112.4114.1112.5
Washington110.9112.4112.9112.1
Oregon St.106.7106.7107.3106.9
Stanford102.6103.9102.4103.0
Washington St.102.3103.2102.1102.5
California95.7100.599.098.4

South Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U S C118.8118.4120.9119.4
Arizona St.112.4113.5113.6113.1
U C L A111.9111.9112.2112.0
Utah111.8112.1111.8111.9
Colorado106.4105.8104.9105.7
Arizona95.294.594.094.6

Pac-12 Averages107.1107.9107.9107.7

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia124.8124.5126.3125.2
Florida117.0119.4118.1118.2
Kentucky106.7108.8106.8107.4
Missouri106.2106.9106.2106.4
Tennessee104.1103.1104.6104.0
South Carolina101.1101.0100.4100.8
Vanderbilt90.989.989.690.1

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama130.4128.8131.3130.2
Texas A&M117.4118.3118.6118.1
Auburn116.4115.2116.6116.1
Ole Miss113.3113.3113.2113.3
L S U111.0112.4112.8112.1
Mississippi St.110.2110.4109.7110.1
Arkansas110.1109.9108.5109.5

SEC Averages111.4111.6111.6111.5

Sunbelt Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Coastal Carolina109.2106.4109.6108.4
Appalachian St.100.5100.0102.5101.0
Georgia St.97.096.296.396.5
Troy93.193.493.793.4
Georgia Southern91.792.191.291.6

TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana109.8107.6110.4109.2
South Alabama91.691.590.691.2
Arkansas St.89.891.088.889.9
Texas St.89.486.787.287.8
UL-Monroe76.476.573.975.6

Sun Averages94.894.194.494.5

Rating of Conferences

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern111.5
2Big 12110.6
3Pac-12107.7
4Big Ten107.5
5Atlantic Coast105.0
6American Athletic96.8
7Mountain West94.5
8Sun Belt94.5
9Independents91.5
10Mid-American91.4
11Conference USA84.6

March 19, 2021

PiRate Ratings NCAA Tournament Spreads

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 6:27 pm

Saturday, March 20, 2021

FavoriteUnderdogSpread
GonzagaNorfolk St.29.8
OklahomaMissouri0.9
CreightonUCSB6.6
VirginiaOhio6.1
USCDrake5.1
KansasEastern Washington9.6
OregonVCU0.7
IowaGrand Canyon15.6
MichiganTexas Southern24.9
LSUSt. Bonaventure0.2
ColoradoGeorgetown4.6
Florida St.UNCG10.0
BYUUCLA3.9
TexasAbilene Christian7.2
ConnecticutMaryland2.2
AlabamaIona19.2

March 12, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

Friday, March 12, 2021

Team 1Team 2Spread
Wichita St.South Florida8.9
SMUCincinnati5.6
HoustonTulane16.8
MemphisCentral Florida6.2
Virginia (forfeit due to Covid)Georgia Tech1.3
Florida St.North Carolina1.4
BaylorOklahoma St.8.0
KansasTexas0.3
Seton HallGeorgetown2.2
CreightonConnecticut1.3
Southern UtahMontana St.6.0
Eastern WashingtonMontana5.4
MichiganMaryland8.2
PurdueOhio St.-1.6
IllinoisRutgers8.0
IowaWisconsin5.8
UCSBUC Davis10.7
UC-IrvineUC Riverside-0.9
Western Ky.UAB0.1
Louisiana TechNorth Texas0.4
IonaNiagara3.5
Saint Peter’sFairfield5.8
ToledoOhio3.1
BuffaloAkron4.2
Coppin St.Morgan St.-3.5
North Carolina A&T (forfeit due to Covid)Norfolk St.-4.6
San Diego St.Nevada7.2
Utah St.Colorado St.1.8
OregonOregon St.7.0
USCColorado0.4
AlabamaMississippi St.9.6
TennesseeFlorida1.4
ArkansasMissouri5.5
LSUOle Miss3.4
NichollsNorthwestern St.8.2
Abilene ChristianLamar14.4
Jackson St.Texas Southern-1.5
Prairie View A&MGrambling5.8
Grand CanyonSeattle6.0
Utah ValleyNew Mexico St.-3.5

Conference Tournaments Update

America East Conference

Championship Game–Saturday, March 13, 11 AM, ESPN2

6 U Mass-Lowell at 4 Hartford

American Athletic Conference

Quarterfinals–Friday, March 12 @ Fort Worth, TX

1 Wichita St. vs. 8 South Florida 

4 SMU vs. 5 Cincinnati Friday

2 Houston vs. 10 Tulane

3 Memphis vs. 6 Central Florida 

Atlantic Coast Conference

Semifinals, Friday, March 12

1 Virginia vs. 4 Georgia Tech (Georgia Tech wins by forfeit)

2 Florida St. vs. 6 North Carolina

Atlantic 10 Conference

Championship Game–Sunday, March 14, 1PM, CBS @ Dayton, OH

1 Saint Bonaventure vs. 2 Virginia Commonwealth

Big East Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ New York, NY

5 Seton Hall vs. 8 Georgetown

2 Creighton vs. 3 Connecticut

Big Sky Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Boise, ID

1 Southern Utah vs. 5 Montana St.

2 Eastern Washington vs. 6 Montana

Big Ten Conference

Quarterfinals–Friday, March 12 @ Indianapolis, IN

1 Michigan vs. 8 Maryland

4 Purdue vs. 5 Ohio St.

2 Illinois vs. 7 Rutgers

3 Iowa vs. 6 Wisconsin

Big 12 Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Kansas City, MO

1 Baylor vs. 5 Oklahoma St.

2 Kansas vs. 3 Texas

Big West Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Las Vegas

1 UCSB vs. 5 UC-Davis

2 UC-Irvine vs. 3 UC-Riverside

Conference USA

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Frisco, TX (Dallas Cowboys Practice Facility)

1E Western Kentucky vs. 2W UAB 

1W Louisiana Tech vs. 3W North Texas

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference

Semifinals, Friday, March 12 @ Atlantic City, NJ

5 Niagara vs. 9 Iona

3 St. Peter’s vs. 7 Fairfield

Mid-American Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Cleveland

1 Toledo vs. 5 Ohio U

2 Buffalo vs. 3 Akron 

Mideastern Athletic Conference

Semifinals, Friday, March 12 @ Norfolk, VA

1N Coppin St. vs. 3N Morgan St.

1S North Carolina A&T vs. 2N Norfolk St. (Norfolk St. wins by forfeit)

Mountain West Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Las Vegas

1 San Diego St. vs. 5 Nevada

2 Utah St. vs. 3 Colorado St.

Pac-12 Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Las Vegas

1 Oregon vs. 5 Oregon St.

2 USC vs. 3 Colorado

Patriot League

Championship Game, Sunday March 14, 12 PM EST, CBSSN

9 Loyola (MD) at 2 Colgate

Southeastern Conference

Quarterfinals–Friday, March 12 @ Nashville, TN

1 Alabama vs. 9 Mississippi St. 

4 Tennessee vs. 5 Florida

2 Arkansas vs. 7 Missouri

3 LSU vs. 6 Ole Miss

Southland Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Katy, TX (Greater Houston)

1 Nicholls vs. 4 Northwestern St.

2 Abilene Christian vs. 6 Lamar

Southwestern Athletic Conference

Semifinals, Friday, March 12 @ Birmingham, AL

1 Prairie View A&M vs. 4 Grambling

2 Jackson St. vs. 3 Texas Southern 

Western Athletic Conference

Quarterfinals–Thursday, March 11 @ Las Vegas

1 Grand Canyon vs. 5 Seattle 

2 Utah Valley vs. 3 New Mexico St.

Automatic Qualifiers

Liberty 23-5

Winthrop 23-1

Loyola (Chi.) 24-4

Morehead St. 23-7

UNC-Greensboro 21-8

Appalachian St. 17-11

Drexel 12-7

Cleveland St. 19-7

Mount St. Mary’s 12-10

Oral Roberts 16-10

Gonzaga 26-0

March 10, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 9:07 pm

Thursday, March 11, 2021

HomeVisitorSpread
South FloridaTemple-2.6
TulsaTulane2.7
Central FloridaEast Carolina4.7
VirginiaSyracuse3.4
Georgia TechMiami11.1
Florida St.Duke4.8
Virginia TechNorth Carolina-3.0
West VirginiaOklahoma St.1.4
BaylorKansas St.22.7
KansasOklahoma2.6
TexasTexas Tech0.3
VillanovaGeorgetown8.6
St. John’sSeton Hall-0.2
CreightonButler11.0
ConnecticutDePaul11.0
Southern UtahNorthern Colorado6.7
Idaho St.Montana St.-1.6
Eastern WashingtonNorthern Arizona15.2
Weber St.Montana4.9
MarylandMichigan St.2.2
Ohio St.Minnesota7.3
RutgersIndiana1.3
WisconsinPenn St.2.3
UCSBLong Beach St.14.8
UC DavisCal St. Bakersfield-5.4
UC IrvineCal Poly17.1
UC RiversideHawaii7.0
Western KentuckyUTSA5.3
UABRice7.8
Louisiana TechFlorida Atlantic8.9
Old DominionNorth Texas-6.1
Saint Peter’sRider6.2
MaristNiagara-1.0
ToledoBall St.8.3
Kent St.Ohio U1.1
BuffaloMiami (O)8.0
AkronBowling Green1.2
Florida A&MMorgan St.-1.2
Norfolk St.North Carolina Central4.6
San Diego St.Wyoming15.2
Boise St.Nevada4.0
Utah St.UNLV11.1
Colorado St.Fresno St.10.9
OregonArizona St.7.7
UCLAOregon St.5.4
USCUtah7.3
ColoradoCalifornia14.8
KentuckyMississippi St.2.5
FloridaVanderbilt7.0
MissouriGeorgia4.2
Ole MissSouth Carolina5.1
Northwestern St.New Orleans-2.2
Sam Houston St.Lamar8.8
Texas SouthernAlcorn St.7.1
GramblingSouthern-1.7
California BaptistSeattle0.2
New Mexico St.UT Rio Grande Valley7.9

Conference Tournaments Update

America East Conference

Championship Game–Saturday, March 13, 11 AM, ESPN2

6 U Mass-Lowell at 4 Hartford

American Athletic Conference

1st Round–Thursday, March 11 @ Fort Worth, TX

8 South Florida vs. 9 Temple (winner plays 1 Wichita St. Friday)

(4 SMU plays 5 Cincinnati Friday)

7 Tulsa vs. 10 Tulane (winner plays 2 Houston Friday)

6 Central Florida vs. 11 East Carolina (winner plays 3 Memphis Friday)

Atlantic Coast Conference

Quarterfinals, Thursday, March 11

1 Virginia vs. 8 Syracuse

4 Georgia Tech vs. 13 Miami (Fla.)

2 Florida St. vs. 10 Duke

3 Virginia Tech vs. 6 North Carolina

Atlantic 10 Conference

Championship Game–Sunday, March 14, 1PM, CBS @ Dayton, OH

1 Saint Bonaventure vs. 2 Virginia Commonwealth

Big East Conference

Quarterfinals–Thursday, March 11 @ New York, NY

1 Villanova vs. 8 Georgetown

4 St. John’s vs. 5 Seton Hall

2 Creighton vs. 10 Butler

3 Connecticut vs. 11 DePaul

Big Sky Conference

Quarterfinals–Thursday, March 11 @ Boise, ID

1 Southern Utah vs. 8 Northern Colorado

4 Idaho St. vs. 5 Montana St.

2 Eastern Washington vs. 10 Northern Arizona

3 Weber St. vs. 6 Montana

Big Ten Conference

2nd Round–Thursday, March 11 @ Indianapolis, IN

8 Maryland vs. 9 Michigan St.

5 Ohio St. vs. 13 Minnesota

7 Rutgers vs. 10 Indiana

6 Wisconsin vs. 11 Penn St.

Big 12 Conference

Quarterfinals–Thursday, March 11 @ Kansas City, MO

1 Baylor vs. 9 Kansas St.

4 West Virginia vs. 5 Oklahoma St.

2 Kansas vs. 7 Oklahoma

3 Texas vs. 6 Texas Tech

Big West Conference

Quarterfinals–Thursday, March 11 @ Las Vegas

1 UCSB vs. 9 Long Beach St.

4 Cal St. Bakersfield vs. 5 UC-Davis

2 UC-Irvine vs. 10 Cal Poly

3 UC-Riverside vs. 6 Hawaii

Conference USA

Quarterfinals–Thursday, March 11 @ Frisco, TX (Dallas Cowboys Practice Facility)

1E Western Kentucky vs. 4W UTSA

2W UAB vs. 6W Rice

1W Louisiana Tech vs. 4E Florida Atlantic

2E Old Dominion vs. 3W North Texas

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference

Quarterfinals Continue, Thursday, March 11 @ Atlantic City, NJ

4 Marist vs. 5 Niagara

3 St. Peter’s vs. 11 Rider

Mid-American Conference

Quarterfinals–Thursday, March 11 @ Cleveland

1 Toledo vs. 8 Ball St.

4 Kent St. vs. 5 Ohio U

2 Buffalo vs. 7 Miami (O)

3 Akron vs. 6 Bowling Green

Mideastern Athletic Conference

Quarterfinals, Thursday, March 11 @ Norfolk, VA

2S Florida A&M vs. 3N Morgan St.

2N Norfolk St. vs. 3S UNC-Central

Mountain West Conference

Quarterfinals–Thursday, March 11 @ Las Vegas

1 San Diego St. vs. 8 Wyoming

4 Boise St. vs. 5 Nevada

2 Utah St. vs. 7 UNLV

3 Colorado St. vs. 6 Fresno St.

Pac-12 Conference

Quarterfinals–Thursday, March 11 @ Las Vegas

1 Oregon vs. 8 Arizona St.

4 UCLA vs. 5 Oregon St.

2 USC vs. 7 Utah

3 Colorado vs. 11 California

Patriot League

Championship Game, Sunday March 14, 12 PM EST, CBSSN

9 Loyola (MD) at 2 Colgate

Southeastern Conference

2nd Round–Thursday, March 11 @ Nashville, TN

8 Kentucky vs. 9 Mississippi St. (winner plays 1 Alabama Friday)

5 Florida vs. 13 Vanderbilt (winner plays 4 Tennessee Friday)

7 Missouri vs. 10 Georgia (winner plays 2 Arkansas Friday)

6 Ole Miss vs. 11 South Carolina (winner plays 3 LSU Friday)

Southland Conference

Quarterfinals–Thursday, March 11 @ Katy, TX (Greater Houston)

4 Northwestern St. vs. 5 New Orleans

3 Sam Houston St. vs. 6 Lamar

Southwestern Athletic Conference

Quarterfinals Continue, Thursday, March 11 @ Birmingham, AL

4 Grambling vs. 5 Southern

3 Texas Southern vs. 6 Alcorn St.

Western Athletic Conference

Quarterfinals–Thursday, March 11 @ Las Vegas

4 California-Baptist vs. 5 Seattle (winner plays 1 Grand Canyon Friday)

3 New Mexico St. vs. 6 UT-Rio Grande Valley (winner plays 2 Utah Valley Friday)

Automatic Qualifiers

Liberty 23-5

Winthrop 23-1

Loyola (Chi.) 24-4

Morehead St. 23-7

UNC-Greensboro 21-8

Appalachian St. 17-11

Drexel 12-7

Cleveland St. 19-7

Mount St. Mary’s 12-10

Oral Roberts 16-10

Gonzaga 26-0

February 27, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 12:00 am

Saturday, February 27, 2021

Multiple Bid League Games

HomeVisitorSpread
DavidsonVCU-1.6
George MasonLa Salle5.0
DuquesneRhode Island-1.4
Georgia TechSyracuse4.4
Boston CollegeNotre Dame-3.9
North CarolinaFlorida St.-2.2
Virginia TechWake Forest10.2
DukeLouisville4.5
Central FloridaTemple4.9
Texas TechTexas1.0
OklahomaOklahoma St.2.6
West VirginiaKansas St.17.5
Iowa St.TCU-0.3
KansasBaylor-6.6
DePaulGeorgetown-0.6
ConnecticutMarquette6.1
XavierCreighton-4.2
IndianaMichigan-8.1
WisconsinIllinois-2.0
NebraskaMinnesota-3.7
Loyola (Chi.)Southern Illinois21.3
Illinois St.Northern Iowa1.4
ValparaisoIndiana St.-3.6
EvansvilleMissouri St.-7.2
BradleyDrake-7.0
San Diego St.Boise St.6.0
Colorado St.Air Force20.3
WyomingSan Jose St.10.9
ArizonaWashington14.7
CaliforniaOregon-8.7
StanfordOregon St.7.1
UtahUSC-6.7
Arizona St.Washington St.3.0
ColoradoUCLA5.8
AuburnTennessee-2.9
GeorgiaSouth Carolina4.4
ArkansasLSU4.2
VanderbiltOle Miss-2.9
KentuckyFlorida-1.0
Mississippi St.Alabama-7.7
San DiegoPepperdine-3.9
GonzagaLoyola Marymount24.9
BYUSaint Mary’s8.7
PacificSan Francisco-0.2
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