The Pi-Rate Ratings

March 12, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For March 12, 2020

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 6:01 am

Thursday’s Games

 

Home

Visitor

Spread

Massachusetts

VCU

-8.1

St. Bonaventure

George Mason

2.6

Davidson

La Salle

8.4

Duquesne

Fordham

10.5

Central Florida

South Florida

0.1

Connecticut

Tulane

9.7

SMU

Temple

1.5

Memphis

East Carolina

12.4

Florida St.

Clemson

7.1

Duke

North Carolina St.

9.5

Virginia

Notre Dame

1.2

Louisville

Syracuse

6.7

Texas

Texas Tech

-5.5

Kansas

Oklahoma St.

12.0

Baylor

Kansas St.

11.1

Oklahoma

West Virginia

-3.6

Creighton

St. John’s

5.3

Providence

Butler

-1.8

Villanova

DePaul

8.9

Seton Hall

Marquette

1.4

Eastern Washington

Sacramento St.

4.3

Portland St.

Montana St.

2.9

Northern Colorado

Southern Utah

5.3

Montana

Idaho St.

8.9

Rutgers

Michigan

-2.1

Iowa

Minnesota

1.1

Ohio St.

Purdue

2.8

Penn St.

Indiana

1.1

Cal St. Northridge

Cal St. Fullerton

1.2

UC Santa Barbara

UC Riverside

3.0

UC Irvine

Long Beach St.

12.1

Hawaii

UC Davis

1.2

North Texas

Florida Atlantic

7.9

Charlotte

Florida Intl.

-0.6

Western Kentucky

UAB

5.2

Louisiana Tech

Marshall

5.6

Rider

Niagara

7.4

Monmouth

Quinnipiac

3.3

Akron

Ohio

6.6

Northern Illinois

Miami (O)

3.1

Bowling Green

Toledo

-1.4

Ball St.

Kent St.

0.8

Bethune-Cookman

Morgan St.

2.4

Norfolk St.

Coppin St.

6.3

Oregon

Oregon St.

7.3

USC

Arizona

-5.8

UCLA

California

6.8

Arizona St.

Washington St.

6.4

Tennessee

Alabama

-1.1

Florida

Georgia

6.8

Texas A&M

Missouri

-2.7

South Carolina

Arkansas

-2.4

Sam Houston St.

Northwestern St.

5.4

Nicholls St.

Lamar

3.9

New Mexico St.

Chicago St.

29.3

Grand Canyon

UMKC

-1.9

UT Rio Grande Valley

Cal St. Bakersfield

0.3

Seattle

Utah Valley

3.1

 

Today’s TV Schedule

 

Time (EST)

Network

Team

Team

12:00 PM

FS1

Creighton

St. John’s

12:00 PM

NBCSN

Massachusetts

VCU

12:00 PM

BTN

Rutgers

Michigan

12:00 PM

ESPN+

Akron

Ohio

12:30 PM

ESPN

Florida St.

Clemson

12:30 PM

ESPN2

Texas

Texas Tech

1:00 PM

ESPNU

Central Florida

South Florida

1:00 PM

SECN

Tennessee

Alabama

2:00 PM

watchbigsky.com

Eastern Washington

Sacramento State

2:25 PM

BTN

Iowa

Minnesota

2:30 PM

ESPN2

Kansas

Oklahoma State

2:30 PM

ESPN

Duke

NC State

2:30 PM

FS1

Providence

Butler

2:30 PM

NBCSN

St. Bonaventure

George Mason

2:30 PM

ESPN+

Northern Illinois

Miami (O)

3:00 PM

PAC12

Oregon

Oregon St.

3:00 PM

ESPNU

Connecticut

Tulane

3:00 PM

ESPN+

New Mexico St.

Chicago St.

3:00 PM

ESPN3

Cal St. Northridge

Cal St. Fullerton

3:00 PM

SECN

Florida

Georgia

4:30 PM

watchbigsky.com

Portland St.

Montana St.

5:30 PM

ESPN3

UC Santa Barbara

UC Riverside

5:30 PM

ESPN+

Grand Canyon

UMKC

5:30 PM

PAC12

USC

Arizona

6:00 PM

ESPN+

Sam Houston St.

Northwestern St.

6:00 PM

Flohoops pay

Bethune-Cookman

Morgan St.

6:00 PM

NBCSN

Davidson

La Salle

6:30 PM

BTN

Ohio St.

Purdue

6:30 PM

ESPN+

Bowling Green

Toledo

7:00 PM

ESPN2

Baylor

Kansas St.

7:00 PM

FS1

Villanova

DePaul

7:00 PM

ESPN

Virginia

Notre Dame

7:00 PM

SECN

Texas A&M

Missouri

7:00 PM

ESPN3

Rider

Niagara

7:00 PM

Stadium

North Texas

Florida Atlantic

7:30 PM

Facebook

Charlotte

Florida Intl.

7:30 PM

watchbigsky.com

Northern Colorado

Southern Utah

8:00 PM

ESPNU

SMU

Temple

8:30 PM

ESPN+

Nicholls

Lamar

8:30 PM

NBCSN

Duquesne

Fordham

8:30 PM

Flohoops pay

Norfolk St.

Coppin St.

8:55 PM

BTN

Penn St.

Indiana

9:00 PM

ESPN

Louisville

Syracuse

9:00 PM

ESPN2

Oklahoma

West Virginia

9:00 PM

ESPN+

UT Rio Grande Valley

Cal St. Bakersfield

9:00 PM

ESPN3

UC Irvine

Long Beach St.

9:00 PM

SECN

South Carolina

Arkansas

9:00 PM

ESPN+

Ball St.

Kent St.

9:00 PM

PAC12

UCLA

California

9:30 PM

FS1

Seton Hall

Marquette

9:30 PM

ESPN3

Monmouth

Quinnipiac

9:30 PM

Stadium

Western Kentucky

UAB

10:00 PM

watchbigsky.com

Montana

Idaho St.

10:00 PM

Facebook

Louisiana Tech

Marshall

10:00 PM

ESPNU

Memphis

East Carolina

11:30 PM

FS1

Arizona St.

Washington St.

11:30 PM

ESPN3

Hawaii

UC Davis

11:30 PM

ESPN+

Seattle

Utah Valley

 

CONFERENCE TOURNAMENTS UPDATE

 

Yesterday’s Championship Game

 

Patriot League Tournament

Championship

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Boston U

64

Colgate

61

 

Yesterday’s Other Results

 

Atlantic 10 Tournament

1st Round

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

George Mason

77

Saint Joseph’s

70

Fordham

72

George Washington

52

 

 

Atlantic Coast Tournament

2nd Round

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Clemson

69

Miami (Fla.)

64

North Carolina St.

73

Pittsburgh

58

Notre Dame

80

Boston College

58

Syracuse

81

North Carolina

53

 

 

Big 12 Tournament

1st Round

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Oklahoma St.

72

Iowa St.

71

Kansas St.

53

TCU

49

 

 

Big East Tournament

1st Round

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

St. John’s

75

Georgetown

62

DePaul

71

Xavier

67

 

 

Big Sky Tournament

1st Round

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Sacramento St.

62

Weber St.

54

Southern Utah

75

Idaho

69

Idaho St.

64

Northern Arizona

62

 

 

Big Ten Tournament

1st Round

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Minnesota

74

Northwestern

57

Indiana

89

Nebraska

64

 

 

Conference USA Tournament

1st Round

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Florida Atlantic

66

Old Dominion

56

Florida Intl.

85

Rice

76

UAB

74

UTSA

69

Marshall

86

UTEP

78

 

 

Metro Atlantic Athletic Tournament

Quarterfinals

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Siena

63

Manhattan

49

St. Peter’s

56

Iona

54

 

 

Mid-Eastern Athletic Tournament

Quarterfinals

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

North Carolina Central

92

Delaware St.

75

North Carolina A&T

86

Howard

77

 

 

Pac-12 Tournament

1st Round

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Oregon St.

71

Utah

69

Arizona

77

Washington

70

California

63

Stanford

51

Washington St.

82

Colorado

68

 

 

Southeastern Tournament

1st Round

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Georgia

81

Ole Miss

63

Arkansas

86

Vanderbilt

73

 

 

Southland Tournament

1st Round

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Northwestern St.

79

Texas A&M-CC

62

Lamar

80

McNeese St.

59

 

 

Sun Belt Tournament

Quarterfinals

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Georgia Southern

81

Georgia St.

62

Texas St.

85

Appalachian St.

68

 

 

Today’s Schedule

 

American Athletic Tournament

1st Round

March 12

Forth Worth, TX (Dickies Arena)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

8 Central Florida (16-14)

9 South Florida (14-17)

1:00 PM

ESPNU

5 Connecticut (19-12)

12 Tulane (12-18)

3:00 PM

ESPNU

7 SMU (19-11)

10 Temple (14-17)

8:00 PM

ESPNU

6 Memphis (21-10)

11 East Carolina (11-20)

10:00 PM

ESPNU

 

 

Atlantic 10 Tournament

2nd Round

March 12

Brooklyn (Barclays Center)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

8 Massachusetts (14-17)

9 VCU (18-13)

12:00 PM

NBCSN

5 St. Bonaventure (19-12)

12 George Mason (17-15)

2:30 PM

NBCSN

7 Davidson (16-14)

10 La Salle (15-15)

6:00 PM

NBCSN

6 Duquesne (21-9)

14 Fordham (9-22)

8:30 PM

NBCSN

 

 

Atlantic Coast Tournament

Quarterfinals

March 12

Greensboro, NC (Greensboro Coliseum)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

1 Florida St. (26-5)

8 Clemson (16-15)

12:30 PM

ESPN

4 Duke (25-6)

5 North Carolina St. (20-12)

2:30 PM

ESPN

2 Virginia (23-7)

7 Notre Dame (20-12)

7:00 PM

ESPN

3 Louisville (24-7)

6 Syracuse (18-14)

9:00 PM

ESPN

 

 

Big 12 Tournament

Quarterfinals

March 12

Kansas City (Sprint Center)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

4 Texas (19-12)

5 Texas Tech (18-13)

12:30 PM

ESPN2

1 Kansas (28-3)

8 Oklahoma St. (18-14)

2:30 PM

ESPN2

2 Baylor (26-4)

10 Kansas St. (11-21)

7:00 PM

ESPN2

3 Oklahoma (19-12)

6 West Virginia (21-10)

9:00 PM

ESPN2

 

 

Big East Tournament

Quarterfinals

March 12

New York (Madison Square Garden)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

1 Creighton (24-7)

9 St. John’s (17-15)

12:00 PM

FS1

4 Providence (19-12)

5 Butler (22-9)

2:30 PM

FS1

2 Villanova (24-7)

10 DePaul (16-16)

7:00 PM

FS1

3 Seton Hall (21-9)

6 Marquette (18-12)

9:00 PM

FS1

 

Big Sky Tournament

Quarterfinals

March 12

Boise, ID (Century Link Arena)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

1 Eastern Washington (23-8)

9 Sacramento St. (16-14)

2:00 PM

watchbigsky.com

4 Portland St. (18-14)

5 Montana St. (16-15)

4:30 PM

watchbigsky.com

2 Northern Colorado (22-9)

7 Southern Utah (17-15)

7:30 PM

watchbigsky.com

3 Montana (18-13)

11 Idaho St. (8-22)

10:00 PM

watchbigsky.com

 

 

Big Ten Tournament

2nd Round

March 12

Indianapolis (Bankers Life Fieldhouse)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

8 Rutgers (20-11)

9 Michigan (19-12)

12:00 PM

Big Ten Network

5 Iowa (20-11)

12 Minnesota (15-16)

2:30 PM

Big Ten Network

7 Ohio St. (21-10)

10 Purdue (16-15)

6:30 PM

Big Ten Network

6 Penn St. (21-10)

11 Indiana (20-12)

9:00 PM

Big Ten Network

 

 

Big West Tournament

Quarterfinals

March 12

Anaheim, CA (Honda Center)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

2 Cal St. Northridge (15-17)

7 Cal St. Fullerton (11-20)

3:00 PM

ESPN3

3 UC Santa Barbara (21-10)

6 UC Riverside (17-15)

5:30 PM

ESPN3

1 UC Irvine (21-11)

8 Long Beach St. (11-21)

9:00 PM

ESPN3

4 Hawaii (17-13)

5 UC Davis (14-18)

11:30 PM

ESPN3

 

Conference USA Tournament

Quarterfinals

March 12

Frisco, TX (Ford Center)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

1 North Texas (20-11)

9 Florida Atlantic (17-15)

7:00 PM Court A

Stadium

4 Charlotte (16-13)

5 Florida Intl. (19-13)

7:30 PM Court B

Facebook

2 Western Kentucky (20-10)

7 UAB (19-13)

9:30 PM Court A

Stadium

3 Louisiana Tech (22-8)

6 Marshall (17-15)

10:00 PM Court B

Facebook

 

 

Metro Atlantic Athletic Tournament

Quarterfinals

March 12

Atlantic City, NJ (Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

3 Rider (18-12)

6 Niagara (12-20)

7:00 PM 

ESPN3

4 Monmouth (18-13)

5 Quinnipiac (15-15)

9:30 PM 

ESPN3

 

 

Mid-American Tournament (MACtion)

Quarterfinals

March 12

Cleveland (Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

1 Akron (24-7)

8 Ohio U (17-15)

12:00 PM

ESPN+

4 Northern Illinois (18-13)

12 Miami (O) (13-19)

2:30 PM

ESPN+

2 Bowling Green (21-10)

7 Toledo (17-15)

6:30 PM

ESPN+

3 Ball St. (18-13)

6 Kent St. (20-12)

9:00 PM

ESPN+

 

 

Mid-Eastern Athletic Tournament

Quarterfinals

March 12

Norfolk, VA (Scope Arena)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

4 Bethune-Cookman (16-14)

5 Morgan St. (15-16)

6:00 PM 

Flohoops (pay)

3 Norfolk St. (16-15)

6 Coppin St. (11-20)

8:00 PM 

Flohoops (pay)

 

 

Pac-12 Tournament

Quarterfinals

March 12

Las Vegas (T-Mobile Arena)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

1 Oregon (24-7)

8 Oregon St. (18-13)

3:00 PM

Pac-12 Network

4 USC (22-9)

5 Arizona (21-11)

5:30 PM

Pac-12 Network

2 UCLA (19-12)

10 California (14-18)

9:00 PM

Pac-12 Network

3 Arizona St. (20-11)

11 Washington St. (16-16)

11:30 PM

FS1

 

 

Southeastern Tournament

2nd Round

March 12

Nashville (Bridgestone Arena)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

8 Tennessee (17-14)

9 Alabama (16-15)

1:00 PM

SEC Network

5 Florida (19-12)

13 Georgia (16-16)

3:30 PM

SEC Network

7 Texas A&M (16-14)

10 Missouri (15-16)

7:00 PM

SEC Network

6 South Carolina (18-13)

11 Arkansas (20-12)

9:30 PM

SEC Network

 

 

Southland Tournament

2nd Round

March 12

Katy, TX (Leonard E. Merrell Center)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

4 Sam Houston St. (18-13)

5 Northwestern St. (15-15)

6:00 PM

ESPN+

3 Nicholls St. (21-10)

6 Lamar (17-15)

8:30 PM

ESPN+

 

 

Western Athletic Tournament

Quarterfinals

March 12

Las Vegas (Orleans Arena)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

1 New Mexico St. (25-6)

8 Chicago St. (4-25)

3:00 PM

ESPN+

4 Grand Canyon (12-17)

5 Seattle (14-15)

5:30 PM

ESPN+

2 UT Rio Grande Valley (14-16)

7 Utah Valley (11-19)

9:00 PM

ESPN+

3 Kansas City (16-14)

6 Cal St. Bakersfield (12-18)

11:30 PM

ESPN+

 

 

 

March 3, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For March 3, 2020

Tuesday’s Games

 

Home

Visitor

Spread

Abilene Christian

Stephen F. Austin

-1.9

Akron

Ohio

10.0

Alabama

Vanderbilt

14.4

Ball St.

Central Michigan

8.0

Boston College

Syracuse

-4.5

Bucknell

Holy Cross

13.0

Buffalo

Miami (O)

8.3

Charleston Southern

Presbyterian

4.9

DePaul

Marquette

-3.7

Georgia Southern

Arkansas St.

8.4

Georgia St.

Little Rock

4.3

Hartford

Maine

7.6

Illinois Chicago

IUPUI

10.5

Iowa

Purdue

4.7

Iowa St.

West Virginia

-3.8

Kent St.

Bowling Green

4.8

Kentucky

Tennessee

8.8

Lehigh

Loyola (MD)

1.3

Liberty

NJIT

17.5

Lipscomb

Florida Gulf Coast

6.5

Louisiana

Coastal Carolina

-0.6

New Hampshire

UMass Lowell

4.8

North Carolina

Wake Forest

5.5

North Florida

Jacksonville

9.0

Northern Illinois

Toledo

0.8

Oakland

Cleveland St.

7.4

Oklahoma

Texas

6.1

Penn St.

Michigan St.

-0.4

Richmond

Davidson

4.4

Rutgers

Maryland

0.3

South Alabama

Texas St.

-1.5

South Carolina

Mississippi St.

2.0

South Carolina Upstate

High Point

5.2

South Florida

Cincinnati

-3.3

Stetson

North Alabama

1.7

Troy

UT Arlington

-6.8

UL Monroe

Appalachian St.

-2.1

UMBC

Stony Brook

-3.4

UNC Asheville

Campbell

0.6

VCU

Duquesne

6.8

Vermont

Albany

16.8

Western Michigan

Eastern Michigan

-0.8

Youngstown St.

Milwaukee

5.1

 

Key TV Games On Tuesday

 

Time (EST)

Network

Home

Visitor

6:30 PM

SECN

South Carolina

Mississippi St.

7:00 PM

BTN

Rutgers

Maryland

7:00 PM

ESPN

Penn St.

Michigan St.

9:00 PM

ESPN

Kentucky

Tennessee

9:00 PM

BTN

Iowa

Purdue

9:00 PM

ESPN2

Oklahoma

Texas

 

Conference Tournament Schedule For Tuesday

 

Atlantic Sun Tournament

Quarterfinals

March 3

at Higher Seed’s Home Court

Home

Visitor

Time (ET)

TV

1 Liberty (27-4)

8 NJIT (9-20)

7:00 PM

ESPN+

4 Stetson (15-16)

5 North Alabama (13-16)

7:00 PM

ESPN+

3 Lipscomb (14-15)

6 Florida Gulf Coast (10-21)

7:00 PM

ESPN+

2 North Florida (20-11)

7 Jacksonville (14-17)

7:00 PM

ESPN+

 

 

 

Big South Tournament

1st Round

March 3

at Higher Seed’s Home Court

Home

Visitor

Time (ET)

TV

7 USC Upstate (12-19)

10 High Point (9-22)

7:00 PM

ESPN3

6 UNC-Asheville (14-15)

11 Campbell (15-15)

7:00 PM

ESPN3

8 Charleston Sou. (13-17)

9 Presbyterian (10-21)

7:00 PM

ESPN3

 

 

Horizon League Tournament

1st Round

March 3

at Higher Seed’s Home Court

Home

Visitor

Time (ET)

TV

4 Illinois Chicago (14-17)

9 IUPUI (7-24)

8:00 PM

ESPN+

5 Youngstown (17-14)

8 Milwaukee (12-18)

7:00 PM

ESPN+

6 Oakland (13-18)

7 Cleveland St. (11-20)

7:00 PM

ESPN+

 

 

Patriot League Tournament

1st Round

March 3

at Higher Seed’s Home Court

Home

Visitor

Time (ET)

TV

7 Bucknell (12-19)

10 Holy Cross (3-28)

7:00 PM

Pat League Network

8 Lehigh (10-20)

9 Loyola (MD) (15-16)

7:00 PM

Pat League Network

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

February 25, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For February 25, 2020

Tuesday’s Games

 

Home

Visitor

Spread

Auburn

Ole Miss

9.3

Ball St.

Western Michigan

11.0

Baylor

Kansas St.

16.0

Bowling Green

Akron

-3.3

Central Michigan

Toledo

0.6

Davidson

La Salle

10.8

Eastern Michigan

Northern Illinois

2.6

George Mason

Dayton

-12.9

Georgia Tech

Clemson

3.0

Iowa St.

TCU

4.5

Kent St.

Miami (O)

10.2

Loyola (Chi.)

Drake

7.9

Michigan St.

Iowa

7.2

Mississippi St.

Alabama

2.0

North Carolina

North Carolina St.

-0.6

Ohio

Buffalo

-0.6

Oklahoma

Texas Tech

-1.2

San Diego St.

Colorado St.

14.6

SMU

Memphis

0.5

Texas A&M

Kentucky

-7.4

Tulsa

Tulane

10.7

Utah St.

San Jose St.

21.8

Valparaiso

Missouri St.

1.8

Wake Forest

Duke

-12.6

Wyoming

Nevada

-10.8

Xavier

DePaul

7.3

 

Key TV Games On Tuesday 

 

Time (EST)

Network

Home

Visitor

7:00 PM

ESPN

Texas A&M

Kentucky

7:00 PM

ESPN2

Michigan St.

Iowa

7:00 PM

ESPN+

Bowling Green

Akron

9:00 PM

ESPN2

Oklahoma

Texas Tech

9:00 PM

CBSSN

SMU

Memphis

9:00 PM

SECN

Mississippi St.

Alabama

 

 

 

February 24, 2020

PiRate Ratings Bracketology For February 24, 2020

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 11:35 am

Date

2/21/2020

Seed

Team

Team

Team

Team

Team

Team

1

Kansas

Baylor

Gonzaga

San Diego St.

2

Dayton

Duke

Maryland

Florida St.

3

Creighton

Seton Hall

Louisville

Villanova

4

Kentucky

Oregon

Penn St.

West Virginia

5

Colorado

Auburn

Michigan St.

Butler

6

Iowa

Ohio St.

Michigan

Arizona

7

BYU

Marquette

Wisconsin

LSU

8

Houston

Illinois

Texas Tech

Arizona St.

9

Saint Mary’s

Florida

Virginia

Indiana

10

Rutgers

Xavier

Rhode Island

USC

11

Wichita St.

Utah St.

East Tennessee St.

Northern Iowa

12

Yale

Liberty

North Carolina St.

Oklahoma

Cincinnati

Providence

13

Stephen F. Austin

Vermont

North Texas

Akron

14

New Mexico St.

Colgate

Wright St.

Hofstra

15

Belmont

UC-Irvine

Little Rock

South Dakota St.

16

Radford

Montana

Saint Peter’s

Prairie View

St. Francis (PA)

N. C. A&T

Bubble Teams Outside The Field (in order)

 

69

Richmond

70

Stanford

71

Georgetown

72

Arkansas

73

Alabama

74

Purdue

75

Memphis

76

UCLA

77

Mississippi St.

78

Minnesota

79

UNC Greensboro

80

Furman

 

Teams on the Rise

Akron

Arizona St.

Belmont

BYU

Creighton

Dayton

East Tennessee St.

Hofstra

Kansas

Kentucky

Michigan

Montana

New Mexico St.

Prairie View

Radford

St. Francis (PA)

Saint Peter’s

South Dakota St.

Stephen F. Austin

UCLA

UNC Greensboro

Utah St.

Villanova

Virginia

Wisconsin

 

Teams on the Decline

Butler

Marquette

Oklahoma

Penn St.

Purdue

Rider

Rutgers

South Carolina

USC

West Virginia

Winthrop

 

 

 

 

 

February 21, 2020

PiRate Ratings Bracketology For February 21, 2020

Date

2/21/2020

Seed

Team

Team

Team

Team

Team

Team

1

Baylor

Gonzaga

Kansas

San Diego St.

2

Duke

Dayton

Maryland

Florida St.

3

Seton Hall

Creighton

Louisville

Villanova

4

Penn St.

West Virginia

Kentucky

Colorado

5

Oregon

Auburn

Butler

Iowa

6

Michigan St.

Arizona

Ohio St.

Marquette

7

Michigan

BYU

Houston

Wisconsin

8

Illinois

LSU

Texas Tech

Rutgers

9

Saint Mary’s

Xavier

Florida

Rhode Island

10

Arizona St.

Wichita St.

Oklahoma

Virginia

11

USC

Indiana

Northern Iowa

USC

12

Liberty

Yale

Utah St.

N. Carolina St.

Richmond

Cincinnati

13

Stephen F. Austin

Vermont

North Texas

Akron

14

New Mexico St.

Colgate

Wright St.

Hofstra

15

South Dakota St.

UC-Irvine

Little Rock

Montana

16

Winthrop

Austin Peay

Prairie View

Siena

St. Francis (PA)

Norfolk St.

 

Bubble Contenders

 

69

Georgetown

70

Purdue

71

Mississippi St.

72

Stanford

73

Providence

74

South Carolina

75

Arkansas

76

Alabama

77

UNC Greensboro

78

Memphis

The First Four

Opening Round in Dayton

12 Seed Game: Utah St. vs. Cincinnati

12 Seed Game: North Carolina St. vs. Richmond

16 Seed Game: Norfolk St. vs. Prairie View

16 Seed Game: Siena vs. St. Francis (PA)

February 18, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For February 18, 2020

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 6:41 am

Tuesday’s Games

 

Home

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Bryant

Merrimack

1.3

Buffalo

Ball St.

1.7

Central Connecticut

Fairleigh Dickinson

-6.8

Eastern Michigan

Kent St.

-2.5

Florida

Arkansas

3.9

Florida St.

Pittsburgh

12.1

Long Island

St. Francis (NY)

6.9

LSU

Kentucky

2.2

Marquette

Creighton

3.4

Maryland

Northwestern

16.6

Massachusetts

Saint Louis

-3.7

Missouri

Ole Miss

2.3

New Mexico

Nevada

-1.7

Ohio

Central Michigan

2.5

Oklahoma

Baylor

-3.1

Penn St.

Illinois

7.1

Saint Joseph’s

Davidson

-11.3

St. Francis (PA)

Robert Morris

5.0

Tennessee

Vanderbilt

12.2

UNLV

Colorado St.

0.1

VCU

Dayton

-3.1

Wagner

Mount St. Mary’s

-2.2

West Virginia

Oklahoma St.

11.5

Western Michigan

Akron

-9.2

Wisconsin

Purdue

2.6

Tuesday’s Top TV Games

(Where both teams are contending for a conference championship or NCAA Tournament at-large bid.)

 

Time (EST)

Network

Home

Visitor

6:30 PM

FS1

Penn St.

Illinois

7:00 PM

ESPNU

Florida

Arkansas

7:00 PM

ESPN

Wisconsin

Purdue

8:30 PM

CBSSN

VCU

Dayton

8:30 PM

FS1

Marquette

Creighton

9:00 PM

ESPN2

Oklahoma

Baylor

9:00 PM

ESPN

LSU

Kentucky

 

 

 

February 12, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For February 12, 2020

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 8:28 am

Wednesday’s Games

 

Home

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Spread

Abilene Christian

Houston Baptist

16.6

American

Loyola (MD)

6.2

Army

Lafayette

-1.8

Auburn

Alabama

5.6

Binghamton

Stony Brook

-10.6

Bradley

Indiana St.

2.9

Butler

Xavier

6.3

Central Arkansas

New Orleans

4.7

Chattanooga

VMI

9.1

East Tennessee St.

Citadel

21.9

Evansville

Loyola (Chi)

-8.6

Georgia

South Carolina

2.6

Georgia Tech

Louisville

-5.6

Hartford

Albany

1.5

Hawaii

Long Beach St.

11.8

La Salle

Richmond

-4.7

Lehigh

Holy Cross

7.4

Miami (Fla.)

Boston College

5.4

Missouri St.

Drake

2.2

Navy

Bucknell

4.3

Niagara

Canisius

-0.8

Nicholls

Lamar

8.2

Northern Iowa

Illinois St.

16.1

Northwestern

Michigan

-6.3

Northwestern St.

Incarnate Word

9.5

Ohio St.

Rutgers

6.5

Oklahoma

Iowa St.

5.6

Oral Roberts

Omaha

7.4

Pittsburgh

Clemson

4.4

Samford

Furman

-12.4

San Jose St.

Fresno St.

-6.5

Seton Hall

Creighton

6.0

SMU

Connecticut

2.5

South Dakota

Western Illinois

14.2

South Florida

Houston

-6.6

Southeast Louisiana

Sam Houston St.

-9.8

St. John’s

Providence

1.8

Texas A&M

Florida

-5.6

Texas A&M-CC

Stephen F. Austin

-7.8

Tulane

Temple

-3.8

Tulsa

East Carolina

12.3

UAB

Middle Tennessee

8.2

UC Riverside

UC Irvine

-3.9

UMass Lowell

Maine

6.8

UNC Greensboro

Western Carolina

10.3

UNLV

Nevada

-1.3

Valparaiso

Southern Illinois

2.7

VCU

George Mason

14.4

Vermont

New Hampshire

15.7

Villanova

Marquette

2.8

West Virginia

Kansas

-0.9

Wofford

Mercer

8.3

 

Wednesday’s Top TV Games

Time (EST)

Network

Home

Visitor

6:30 PM

FS1

Seton Hall

Creighton

6:30 PM

CBSSN

Butler

Xavier

7:00 PM

ESPN+

West Virginia

Kansas

7:00 PM

BTN

Ohio St.

Rutgers

8:30 PM

FS1

Villanova

Marquette

 

The 25-Teams Could Win The NCAA Championship Myth

 

If you view a national basketball telecast this year, the so-called experts announcing the games repeatedly say that this season is different because there are no overly dominating teams in college basketball.  These scribes say that 25 different teams could be good enough to win the national championship.  Some even say that 40 different teams are talented enough to make the Final Four.

We at the PiRate Ratings tend to be contrarian in nature.  We just don’t buy these theories of parity.  Certainly, none of the teams in this year’s Top 10 appear to be as talented and dominant as any of the Top 10 teams of the past decade.  However, none of the teams outside of the Top 10 appear to be as talented as their counterparts of the past decade.

We do not see the parity that others see, and the analytics when compared on a one season basis, actually tell us that fewer than 10 teams this season have statistical resumes worthy of contending for a national championship.

If you have been reading our chicken scratch long enough, you obviously know that we value certain data when predicting the outcomes of college basketball games past the Ides of March.  We have looked at reams and reams of data dating back to the years where statistics were kept on these games and have identified consistencies in the champions that other teams could not match.

Namely, the ability to rebound the basketball on the offensive end and get extra shooting chances appears to be much more valuable in the Big Dance than it is in the regular season, because so many of the tournament teams are in the top group of defensive teams.  Additionally, being able to protect the ball and limit turnovers has become more and more important in the 21st Century, because the age of pressing full court for 40 minutes and then relying on fast breaks off these turnovers just doesn’t happen like it used to work when UCLA ran its incredible 2-2-1 press and Rick Pitino used his matchup press defense at Kentucky.  So many of the top teams have little to no problem defeating the press defense and exploiting it for points that this strategy has become a non-factor most of the time.

Teams with excellent offensive efficiency, very good defensive efficiency, an ability to hold onto the ball, and a highly-ranked offensive rebounding rate rise above the rest when there are just 68 teams remaining in contention for the title.  Additionally, teams that lack this ability to rebound on the offensive end or limit turnovers have been vulnerable to early round upsets, as was seen multiple times with teams like Georgetown and Vanderbilt in the past decade, two notorious teams that were excellent offensive efficiency teams, very good defensive efficiency teams, but lousy offensive rebounding teams with no turnover margin advantage.

When you combine the teams that possess excellent offensive efficiency, very good defensive efficiency, strong rebounding ability with decent turnover prevention, and then said team has played a schedule that ranks in the top 35% of college basketball (basically a Power Conference), these are the teams that have National Championship Resumes.

By now, we hope you are wondering how many teams currently fit this National Championship footprint?  How many have excellent offensive efficiency, very good defensive efficiency, highly-ranked offensive rebounding ability, and a good rate of taking care of the rock?

The answer is far from the 25 to 40 teams that the hardwood pundits claim.  As of Wednesday, February 12, there are only 3 teams that possess these national championship worthy resumes.

Those three teams are: Duke, Gonzaga, and San Diego State.  Gonzaga and San Diego State just barely qualify on the basis of schedule strength, and unfortunately for the Aztecs in the Mountain West Conference, their remaining schedule might lower their overall schedule strength to remove SDSU from this list.

Because the West Coast Conference is abnormally stronger this season, Gonzaga still has enough games against opponents that will maintain the Bulldogs’ schedule strength above the line needed to qualify.

So, the next time you hear that this could be the year that somebody like Penn State or Rutgers makes an unexpected run to the national title, or that this is the year the Pac-12 returns to prominence with Oregon or Arizona winning it all, refer them to this data that says this is not so.  For now, we would tend to believe that Duke and Gonzaga are runaway top contenders.  We aren’t saying that somebody else might get hot and move into the field of legitimate contenders, since there is a month to go until Selection Sunday, but when somebody says that 25 teams today are good enough to win the title, laugh at the statement and educate them in the analytics of long historical importance.

Let’s take a look at the supposed biggest dark horse national champion in the last 60 years.  The infamous 1966 Texas Western Miners (UTEP today) pulled off the monumental upset over the mighty Kentucky Wildcats.  Was Texas Western a use anomaly that year?  Did they come from out of nowhere to upset the trends and blow this theory apart?

Quite the opposite.  The issue that year wasn’t the mathematics; it was the publicity.  Texas Western was no dark horse.  Let’s take a look at the stats available to us.

First, let’s start with the obvious.  What was the Miners strength of schedule?  They were an independent in 1966, which in those days was the largest group of all.  There were close to 50 Division I Independents then, and they included some of the top teams in the nation like former National Champion Loyola of Chicago, future National Runner-up Dayton, Providence, Houston, and Syracuse.

Texas Western finished the regular season with a 23-1 record and were ranked #3 in the polls.  When has the #3-ranked team ever been considered a dark horse or surprise team?  Just because the Nabobs of the Eastern Elite Media didn’t dub the Miners with their accolades, it did not make the Miners a dark horse.

The Miners played one Top 10 team in the regular season.  They slaughtered Iowa by 18 points.  They beat a host of above average teams by well above average margins and blew out the rest of the teams on their schedule until the final game.   They lost by two at Seattle, when the Chieftains were still a strong program and just seven years removed from appearing in the National Championship Game.

The issue with the established press is that all these TW wins came against teams west of the Mississippi River.  The media didn’t realize that the Miners had outrebounded their opponents by an average of 51.5 to 36.2 in their 24 regular season games.  They didn’t know that the Miners had one of the toughest defenses in the nation, limiting opponents to an estimated 79 points per 100 possessions (not exact because offensive rebounds and turnovers were not official stats then),  They didn’t see that the Miners were quite efficient for the day with an estimated 99 points per 100 possessions.  Remember that there was no three-point line then, and anything over 85 points per 100 possessions was above average.  That Texas Western team also took good care of the ball.  They had exceptional ball handlers in Bobby Joe Hill, Willie Worsley, and Orsten Artis.

Texas Western began tournament play with an easy 15-point victory over Oklahoma City, holding the Chiefs 25 points under their average of nearly 100 points per game.  The Miners dominated on the glass and proved to be much too quick for the Chiefs, fouling out four of OKC’s starters.

In the second round, TW had to go to overtime to beat the favored Cincinnati Bearcats.  Cincinnati actually controlled the boards, but the Miners won with steals and not turning the ball over.  It was the only game where the other team won the rebounding war, but the difference in turnovers was huge.

In the Midwest Regional Final, Texas Western faced a favored Kansas team that featured all-American center Walt Wesley and 1st team all-Big 8 guard Jo Jo White.  The press basically advanced the Jayhawks to the Final Four before this game began, but the Miners proved to be too quick for the slower KU team.  TW won the rebounding and turnover battle, and Kansas’s two stars were matched by the Miners’ balance.  On to the Final Four in College Park, Maryland, went the Miners, finally playing games in the East.

The Final Four was nothing like it is today.  The University of Maryland’s gymnasium was no 70,000-seat dome stadium. Cole Field House seated about 12,000.  However, the press made a big deal out of half of this field.  The Eastern Region Champion Duke Blue Devils, the number two team in the nation placed the Mideast Region Champion Kentucky Wildcats, the number one team in the nation.  The winner of this game would then win the National Championship Game the next night against the winner of the other semifinal game.  Texas Western and Utah were there too.

The semifinal games were both close.  Kentucky came from behind to nip Duke, while Texas Western stayed ahead of Utah most of the game but never ran away from the Utes, thanks to superstar forward Jerry Chambers keeping the Utes in the game.

The Championship Game was considered an afterthought.  The mighty Wildcats of Kentucky were basketball royalty with their Baron, Adolph Rupp.  Texas Western was this tiny school from El Paso with a coach that had learned the game from the great Hank Iba, but they were almost as much a patsy for Kentucky’s soon to be fifth national title as the Washington Generals were for the Harlem Globetrotters.

There were some astute professional gamblers that knew what was really about to happen.  Kentucky’s players were quite talented.  They could shoot the ball about as competently as any team in the history of the game, and with Louie Dampier and Pat Riley on the perimeter, they could quickly shoot a weaker opponent out of the gym.  Kentucky’s devastating 1-3-1 zone trap defense had forced numerous opponents out of their normal offense, where they either turned the ball over or took a hurried shot.  It had worked like a charm 27 times out of 28.  Ironically, just like Texas Western, Kentucky only lost their regular season finale at Tennessee, a team that would win the SEC the following year.

The “Sharp” gamblers knew something that most of the rest of the nation and just about all of the Eastern Establishment media did not know.  Texas Western was much quicker than Kentucky.  Their man to man defense was stronger than Kentucky’s 1-3-1 zone trap, and it did not surrender a handful of easy buckets like the gambling press.

In the opening minutes of the game, neither team could find the range, but Kentucky’s fast break led to a couple of baskets.  Additionally in the first part of the game Kentucky enjoyed a huge rebounding edge, as the Wildcats missed multiple offensive tips.  Texas Western scored on some lob passes over the zone for easy layups, and even though they were a tad sloppy with the ball, they limited turnovers, being called for a couple of travelling violations but not giving UK easy breakaway baskets off steals.

The key sequence of the game was when Kentucky’s Tommy Kron dribbled the ball up the floor guarded man to man and then from the blind-side, Bobby Joe Hill came in and stole the ball, driving for an easy layup.  The play tightened the screws on the favored Wildcats.  On the very next possession, star guard Louie Dampier brought the ball up the middle of the floor, and Hill pressured him to the left.  As Dampier attempted to cross over, Hill stole the ball again and drove for another easy basket.

Texas Western never relinquished the lead the rest of the night.  As the game continued, Kentucky only had one shooting opportunity per possession, while Texas Western had second and third chances.  Thunderous dunks by power player David Latin allowed the patient Miners to keep the lead.  Kentucky had chances to tie or take the lead, but every time, the Texas Western defense held and secured the rebound.

Can San Diego State be this year’s Texas Western?  Can Gonzaga finally get over the hump and win the National Championship?  Will Coach Mike Krzyzewski win another national championship?  If we had to predict the champion today, we believe these are the only three possible teams that could go from 68 to 1.  Duke has the perfect resume this year.  We’ll see if anybody else joins the group of championship-worthy teams in the final four weeks before Selection Sunday.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

January 18, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For January 18, 2020

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 6:59 am

Division 1 College Basketball Teams Playing Saturday

 

Home

Visitor

Spread

Abilene Christian

SE Louisiana

12.1

Air Force

Colorado St.

1.2

Akron

Toledo

6.9

Alabama

Missouri

5.7

Alabama A&M

Alabama St.

3.4

American

Holy Cross

12.2

Appalachian St.

Little Rock

2.0

Arizona

Colorado

6.1

Arizona St.

Utah

6.1

Arkansas

Kentucky

3.5

Arkansas Pine Bluff

Southern

-1.1

Army

Loyola (MD)

1.2

Ball St.

Miami (O)

9.4

Belmont

Morehead St.

15.6

Bethune Cookman

UNC Central

6.2

Boise St.

Utah St.

-1.1

Bowling Green

Northern Illinois

4.0

Bradley

Northern Iowa

1.3

Bryant

Long Island

4.6

Bucknell

Lehigh

4.8

Cal St. Northridge

UC Davis

1.6

Campbell

Longwood

8.3

Central Florida

South Florida

4.4

Central Michigan

Buffalo

3.3

Charleston

Hofstra

3.5

Coastal Carolina

Arkansas St.

8.1

Colgate

Boston U

5.6

Columbia

Cornell

5.0

Coppin St.

North Carolina A&T

0.5

Creighton

Providence

6.7

Delaware

Elon

10.6

Denver

Omaha

-5.6

DePaul

Butler

-5.2

Drexel

William & Mary

-2.4

Duke

Louisville

9.2

Eastern Illinois

Tennessee Tech

12.2

Eastern Michigan

Ohio

1.3

Evansville

Missouri St.

-2.3

Florida

Auburn

1.9

Florida Atlantic

UAB

1.7

Florida Int’l.

Middle Tennessee

9.3

Gardner-Webb

USC Upstate

8.2

George Mason

Richmond

-3.3

Georgetown

Marquette

1.1

Georgia Tech

Virginia

-0.2

Gonzaga

BYU

9.1

Grambling

Prairie View

-1.6

Green Bay

Detroit

6.6

Harvard

Dartmouth

10.3

Hawaii

UCSB

3.0

High Point

Charleston Southern

-1.8

Houston Baptist

Sam Houston St.

-9.4

Illinois

Northwestern

11.1

IUPUI

Illinois Chicago

-1.1

Jackson St.

Texas Southern

-1.0

Jacksonville

Stetson

7.9

Kansas St.

West Virginia

-7.6

Liberty

Lipscomb

17.2

Long Beach St.

Cal St. Fullerton

0.8

Louisiana

Texas St.

-5.6

Louisiana Monroe

UT-Arlington

-3.9

Louisiana Tech

North Texas

5.5

Manhattan

Monmouth

2.6

Marshall

Old Dominion

4.6

Maryland

Purdue

5.1

Massachusetts

George Washington

5.7

Miami (Fla.)

Florida St.

-5.6

Milwaukee

Oakland

0.7

Mississippi St.

Georgia

6.0

Mississippi Valley

Alcorn St.

-8.3

Montana

Idaho

11.2

Montana St.

Eastern Washington

0.5

Morgan St.

Howard

11.7

Mount St. Mary’s

Central Connecticut

13.4

Navy

Lafayette

1.0

Nebraska

Indiana

-5.0

New Hampshire

UM Baltimore Co.

4.8

New Orleans

McNeese St.

-0.2

Nicholls St.

Central Arkansas

11.0

NJIT

Kennesaw St.

12.5

Norfolk St.

UM Eastern Shore

15.8

North Alabama

Florida Gulf Coast

5.7

North Carolina St.

Clemson

6.4

Northern Colorado

Northern Arizona

10.6

Northern Kentucky

Cleveland St.

15.5

Oklahoma

TCU

4.4

Oklahoma St.

Baylor

-5.3

Ole Miss

LSU

-4.5

Penn

Saint Joseph’s

7.3

Penn St.

Ohio St.

-0.9

Pepperdine

Saint Mary’s

-6.5

Pittsburgh

North Carolina

2.9

Portland

San Diego

0.7

Portland St.

Idaho St.

7.9

Presbyterian

Radford

-9.5

Purdue Ft. Wayne

Oral Robers

-3.1

Quinnipiac

Saint Peter’s

5.8

Rhode Island

LaSalle

11.1

Robert Morris

Merrimack

5.8

Samford

Mercer

2.7

San Diego St.

Nevada

13.0

San Francisco

Loyola Marymount

11.2

Santa Clara

Pacific

3.3

Seattle

New Mexico St.

-4.5

SEMO

Murray St.

-11.1

SIU Edwardsville

Jacksonville St.

-5.0

SMU

Temple

2.3

South Alabama

Georgia Southern

0.4

South Carolna St.

Florida A&M

0.7

Southern Miss.

Rice

-1.0

Southern Utah

Sacramento St.

4.5

St. Francis (PA)

Sacred Heart

5.0

St. John’s

Seton Hall

-4.9

Stephen F. Austin

Incarnate Word

20.8

Stony Brook

Albany

9.0

Tennessee St.

Eastern Kentucky

8.5

Texas

Kansas

-7.8

Texas A&M

South Carolina

0.7

Texas A&M CC

Lamar

0.7

Texas Tech

Iowa St.

7.0

Towson

James Madison

9.0

Troy

Georgia St.

-8.4

Tulane

Tulsa

-0.1

UC Irvine

UC Riverside

9.9

UMKC

Grand Canyon

3.3

UNC Asheville

Hampton

8.2

UNC Wilmington

Northeastern

-8.6

UNCG

Chattanooga

10.1

UNLV

New Mexico

1.5

USC

Stanford

1.8

UT-Martin

Austin Peay

-4.8

Utah Valley

UT Rio Grande Valley

1.7

UTSA

UTEP

0.6

Valparaiso

Indiana St.

0.4

Vanderbilt

Tennessee

-5.4

VCU

Saint Bonaventure

9.0

Vermont

Hartford

18.2

Villanova

Connecticut

9.1

Virginia Tech

Syracuse

3.9

VMI

Citadel

3.0

Wagner

St. Francis (NY)

2.1

Washington

Oregon

-0.4

Washington St.

Oregon St.

-2.1

Western Carolina

East Tennessee St.

-3.8

Western Kentucky

Charlotte

6.4

Western Michigan

Kent St.

-6.5

Wichita St.

Houston

3.1

Wright St.

Youngstown St.

10.4

Wyoming

Fresno St.

-5.8

 

 

 

January 13, 2020

PiRate College Football Ratings: Final For 2019-2020 Season

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 11:15 pm

Final PiRate Ratings for 2019-2020

January 14, 2020

 

Congratulations to the LSU Tigers–2019-2020 NCAA FBS National Champions

 

PiRate Ratings

#

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

1

L S U

142.1

140.5

142.9

141.8

2

Ohio St.

141.3

140.2

142.0

141.2

3

Clemson

139.0

137.5

140.2

138.9

4

Alabama

130.2

127.4

130.7

129.4

5

Georgia

126.5

124.9

126.7

126.0

6

Florida

125.1

122.8

124.9

124.2

7

Michigan

124.2

122.6

124.3

123.7

8

Wisconsin

122.6

122.5

123.0

122.7

9

Oregon

122.1

122.0

122.9

122.3

10

Notre Dame

122.1

121.4

122.5

122.0

11

Utah

121.8

120.9

122.4

121.7

12

Penn St.

121.5

120.8

121.8

121.4

13

Auburn

121.7

119.9

121.2

120.9

14

Oklahoma

121.1

120.5

120.8

120.8

15

Iowa

120.1

118.8

119.9

119.6

16

Minnesota

118.4

118.0

118.0

118.1

17

Baylor

117.3

117.1

116.4

116.9

18

Washington

115.5

115.2

116.4

115.7

19

Texas

113.6

113.9

113.5

113.7

20

Texas A&M

115.0

112.5

113.2

113.6

21

Kentucky

112.5

111.6

112.0

112.0

22

Central Florida

111.7

111.2

112.2

111.7

23

Iowa St.

111.6

111.7

111.2

111.5

24

Kansas St.

111.1

111.1

110.9

111.0

25

Virginia Tech

110.4

110.2

110.8

110.5

26

Tennessee

110.7

110.4

110.1

110.4

27

North Carolina

110.2

110.1

110.9

110.4

28

Oklahoma St.

110.4

110.8

109.8

110.3

29

Memphis

110.0

110.1

110.7

110.3

30

U S C

109.3

109.7

109.9

109.7

31

Indiana

109.9

108.9

109.5

109.4

32

Appalachian St.

109.1

108.7

108.3

108.7

33

Missouri

109.9

107.5

108.5

108.6

34

Washington St.

108.8

108.1

108.7

108.5

35

T C U

107.7

109.7

107.9

108.4

36

Cincinnati

108.3

107.9

108.5

108.2

37

Virginia

108.1

107.9

108.5

108.2

38

South Carolina

109.0

107.1

108.0

108.0

39

Arizona St.

108.0

107.5

108.4

108.0

40

Mississippi St.

108.0

104.9

111.0

108.0

41

Ole Miss

107.8

106.9

108.1

107.6

42

Michigan St.

107.7

106.8

106.8

107.1

43

Air Force

105.8

107.5

106.9

106.7

44

Nebraska

106.3

106.5

105.6

106.1

45

Boise St.

105.7

106.1

106.0

105.9

46

California

104.7

104.7

105.3

104.9

47

Florida St.

104.7

104.4

104.6

104.6

48

Texas Tech

104.6

104.9

103.7

104.4

49

Florida Atlantic

103.7

103.9

105.0

104.2

50

Navy

102.9

105.1

104.4

104.1

51

Purdue

104.1

103.9

103.7

103.9

52

Louisiana

103.0

103.1

102.6

102.9

53

Wake Forest

103.1

102.4

103.2

102.9

54

Northwestern

103.4

102.6

102.1

102.7

55

SMU

102.4

102.3

103.0

102.6

56

West Virginia

102.7

102.7

102.3

102.5

57

Miami (Fla.)

102.3

101.8

102.6

102.2

58

Louisville

102.0

101.5

102.2

101.9

59

Pittsburgh

102.1

101.5

101.9

101.8

60

BYU

101.9

102.1

101.2

101.7

61

Oregon St.

101.2

102.1

101.5

101.6

62

Illinois

101.2

101.6

100.7

101.2

63

Stanford

101.6

100.6

100.8

101.0

64

Tulane

100.6

100.8

101.2

100.9

65

San Diego St.

100.1

101.7

100.1

100.6

66

Wyoming

99.7

101.4

100.1

100.4

67

Boston College

99.5

99.0

99.6

99.4

68

Syracuse

99.7

98.9

98.9

99.2

69

Duke

99.4

98.6

99.1

99.0

70

Colorado

98.6

98.5

98.7

98.6

71

U C L A

98.7

98.3

98.2

98.4

72

Ohio

98.4

97.8

98.9

98.4

73

Georgia Southern

97.9

98.0

97.5

97.8

74

Hawaii

97.0

98.3

96.4

97.2

75

Temple

96.9

96.8

98.0

97.2

76

Western Michigan

97.4

96.5

96.9

96.9

77

Arizona

97.0

96.8

96.8

96.9

78

Buffalo

95.7

96.4

97.2

96.4

79

Louisiana Tech

96.1

96.3

96.2

96.2

80

Western Kentucky

95.5

96.0

96.7

96.1

81

Houston

94.8

95.7

96.4

95.6

82

Utah St.

95.6

95.2

95.7

95.5

83

Tulsa

94.1

95.1

95.4

94.9

84

Kansas

93.7

94.7

93.8

94.1

85

Maryland

93.5

92.6

92.0

92.7

86

Fresno St.

92.4

93.4

92.2

92.7

87

Army

92.8

93.0

92.0

92.6

88

Southern Miss.

92.7

92.0

92.7

92.5

89

Marshall

91.9

91.6

92.4

92.0

90

North Carolina St.

92.3

91.4

91.6

91.8

91

Vanderbilt

92.5

90.9

90.9

91.4

92

Liberty

90.6

91.9

91.0

91.1

93

Ball St.

91.0

90.7

91.2

91.0

94

Arkansas St.

90.5

91.0

90.4

90.6

95

Miami (Ohio)

90.6

89.9

91.0

90.5

96

Central Michigan

89.6

90.2

90.6

90.1

97

Nevada

89.8

91.1

89.1

90.0

98

Georgia Tech

90.2

88.9

90.2

89.8

99

Kent St.

89.0

89.1

89.8

89.3

100

Colorado St.

88.0

91.2

88.7

89.3

101

Troy

89.6

89.8

88.1

89.2

102

South Florida

88.8

89.3

88.9

89.0

103

Middle Tennessee

88.9

88.5

89.2

88.9

104

San Jose St.

87.9

89.7

88.1

88.6

105

Florida Int’l.

88.6

88.4

88.6

88.5

106

Eastern Michigan

88.1

88.3

88.6

88.4

107

Georgia St.

88.2

89.0

87.2

88.1

108

Arkansas

88.0

87.8

87.3

87.7

109

Northern Illinois

87.5

86.9

87.8

87.4

110

U A B

86.6

88.2

87.2

87.3

111

Charlotte

87.0

87.3

87.6

87.3

112

Coastal Carolina

86.9

87.8

86.3

87.0

113

Louisiana-Monroe

86.7

87.4

86.4

86.9

114

North Texas

86.3

86.0

86.2

86.2

115

Rutgers

85.1

84.6

83.6

84.4

116

U N L V

83.7

85.4

83.5

84.2

117

Toledo

84.0

83.9

84.1

84.0

118

Rice

82.4

83.7

82.4

82.8

119

East Carolina

82.4

83.6

82.3

82.8

120

New Mexico

79.7

81.7

78.6

80.0

121

Texas St.

79.2

79.9

78.9

79.3

122

South Alabama

77.0

79.5

77.0

77.8

123

Texas-San Antonio

76.1

77.9

76.5

76.8

124

New Mexico St.

75.6

77.3

75.2

76.0

125

Old Dominion

73.5

73.5

73.2

73.4

126

Connecticut

71.3

73.9

70.8

72.0

127

U T E P

68.5

71.8

68.6

69.6

128

Bowling Green

68.1

67.5

67.8

67.8

129

Akron

62.8

62.5

61.7

62.3

130

Massachusetts

56.7

58.2

55.7

56.9

 

By Conference

 

American Athletic Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

AAC

Overall

Central Florida

111.7

111.2

112.2

111.7

6-2

10-3

Cincinnati

108.3

107.9

108.5

108.2

7-1

11-3

Temple

96.9

96.8

98.0

97.2

5-3

8-5

South Florida

88.8

89.3

88.9

89.0

2-6

4-8

East Carolina

82.4

83.6

82.3

82.8

1-7

4-8

Connecticut

71.3

73.9

70.8

72.0

0-8

2-10

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

AAC

Overall

Memphis

110.0

110.1

110.7

110.3

7-1

12-2

Navy

102.9

105.1

104.4

104.1

7-1

11-2

SMU

102.4

102.3

103.0

102.6

6-2

10-3

Tulane

100.6

100.8

101.2

100.9

3-5

7-6

Houston

94.8

95.7

96.4

95.6

2-6

4-8

Tulsa

94.1

95.1

95.4

94.9

2-6

4-8

AAC Averages

97.0

97.6

97.6

97.4

 

 

 

Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

ACC

Overall

Clemson

139.0

137.5

140.2

138.9

8-0

14-1

Florida St.

104.7

104.4

104.6

104.6

4-4

6-7

Wake Forest

103.1

102.4

103.2

102.9

4-4

8-5

Louisville

102.0

101.5

102.2

101.9

5-3

8-5

Boston College

99.5

99.0

99.6

99.4

4-4

7-6

Syracuse

99.7

98.9

98.9

99.2

2-6

5-7

North Carolina St.

92.3

91.4

91.6

91.8

1-7

4-8

Coastal Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

ACC

Overall

Virginia Tech

110.4

110.2

110.8

110.5

5-3

8-5

North Carolina

110.2

110.1

110.9

110.4

4-4

7-6

Virginia

108.1

107.9

108.5

108.2

6-2

9-5

Miami (Fla.)

102.3

101.8

102.6

102.2

4-4

6-7

Pittsburgh

102.1

101.5

101.9

101.8

4-4

8-5

Duke

99.4

98.6

99.1

99.0

3-5

5-7

Georgia Tech

90.2

88.9

90.2

89.8

2-6

3-9

ACC Averages

104.5

103.9

104.6

104.3

 

 

 

Big 12 Conference

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

B12

Overall

Oklahoma

121.1

120.5

120.8

120.8

8-1

12-2

Baylor

117.3

117.1

116.4

116.9

8-1

11-3

Texas

113.6

113.9

113.5

113.7

5-4

8-5

Iowa St.

111.6

111.7

111.2

111.5

5-4

7-6

Kansas St.

111.1

111.1

110.9

111.0

5-4

8-5

Oklahoma St.

110.4

110.8

109.8

110.3

5-4

8-5

T C U

107.7

109.7

107.9

108.4

3-6

5-7

Texas Tech

104.6

104.9

103.7

104.4

2-7

4-8

West Virginia

102.7

102.7

102.3

102.5

3-6

5-7

Kansas

93.7

94.7

93.8

94.1

1-8

3-9

Big 12 Averages

109.4

109.7

109.0

109.4

 

 

 

Big Ten Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

BTen

Overall

Ohio St.

141.3

140.2

142.0

141.2

9-0

13-1

Michigan

124.2

122.6

124.3

123.7

6-3

9-4

Penn St.

121.5

120.8

121.8

121.4

7-2

11-2

Indiana

109.9

108.9

109.5

109.4

5-4

8-5

Michigan St.

107.7

106.8

106.8

107.1

4-5

7-6

Maryland

93.5

92.6

92.0

92.7

1-8

3-9

Rutgers

85.1

84.6

83.6

84.4

0-9

2-10

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

BTen

Overall

Wisconsin

122.6

122.5

123.0

122.7

7-2

10-4

Iowa

120.1

118.8

119.9

119.6

6-3

10-3

Minnesota

118.4

118.0

118.0

118.1

7-2

11-2

Nebraska

106.3

106.5

105.6

106.1

3-6

5-7

Purdue

104.1

103.9

103.7

103.9

3-6

4-8

Northwestern

103.4

102.6

102.1

102.7

1-8

3-9

Illinois

101.2

101.6

100.7

101.2

4-5

6-7

Big Ten Averages

111.4

110.7

110.9

111.0

 

 

 

Conference USA

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

CUSA

Overall

Florida Atlantic

103.7

103.9

105.0

104.2

7-1

11-3

Western Kentucky

95.5

96.0

96.7

96.1

6-2

8-5

Marshall

91.9

91.6

92.4

92.0

6-2

8-5

Middle Tennessee

88.9

88.5

89.2

88.9

3-5

4-8

Florida Int’l.

88.6

88.4

88.6

88.5

4-4

6-7

Charlotte

87.0

87.3

87.6

87.3

5-3

7-6

Old Dominion

73.5

73.5

73.2

73.4

0-8

1-11

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

CUSA

Overall

Louisiana Tech

96.1

96.3

96.2

96.2

6-2

10-3

Southern Miss.

92.7

92.0

92.7

92.5

5-3

7-6

U A B

86.6

88.2

87.2

87.3

6-2

9-5

North Texas

86.3

86.0

86.2

86.2

3-5

4-8

Rice

82.4

83.7

82.4

82.8

3-5

3-9

Texas-San Antonio

76.1

77.9

76.5

76.8

3-5

4-8

U T E P

68.5

71.8

68.6

69.6

0-8

1-11

CUSA Averages

87.0

87.5

87.3

87.3

 

 

 

FBS Independents

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Conf.

Overall

Notre Dame

122.1

121.4

122.5

122.0

x

11-2

BYU

101.9

102.1

101.2

101.7

x

7-6

Army

92.8

93.0

92.0

92.6

x

5-8

Liberty

90.6

91.9

91.0

91.1

x

8-5

New Mexico St.

75.6

77.3

75.2

76.0

x

2-10

Massachusetts

56.7

58.2

55.7

56.9

x

1-11

Indep. Averages

89.9

90.6

89.6

90.1

 

 

 

Mid-American Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

MAC

Overall

Ohio

98.4

97.8

98.9

98.4

5-3

7-6

Buffalo

95.7

96.4

97.2

96.4

5-3

8-5

Miami (Ohio)

90.6

89.9

91.0

90.5

6-2

8-6

Kent St.

89.0

89.1

89.8

89.3

5-3

6-6

Bowling Green

68.1

67.5

67.8

67.8

2-6

3-9

Akron

62.8

62.5

61.7

62.3

0-8

0-12

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

MAC

Overall

Western Michigan

97.4

96.5

96.9

96.9

5-3

7-6

Ball St.

91.0

90.7

91.2

91.0

4-4

5-7

Central Michigan

89.6

90.2

90.6

90.1

6-2

8-6

Eastern Michigan

88.1

88.3

88.6

88.4

3-5

6-7

Northern Illinois

87.5

86.9

87.8

87.4

4-4

5-7

Toledo

84.0

83.9

84.1

84.0

3-5

6-6

MAC Averages

86.9

86.6

87.1

86.9

 

 

 

Mountain West Conference

Mountain Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

MWC

Overall

Air Force

105.8

107.5

106.9

106.7

7-1

11-2

Boise St.

105.7

106.1

106.0

105.9

8-0

12-2

Wyoming

99.7

101.4

100.1

100.4

4-4

8-5

Utah St.

95.6

95.2

95.7

95.5

6-2

7-6

Colorado St.

88.0

91.2

88.7

89.3

3-5

4-8

New Mexico

79.7

81.7

78.6

80.0

0-8

2-10

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

MWC

Overall

San Diego St.

100.1

101.7

100.1

100.6

5-3

10-3

Hawaii

97.0

98.3

96.4

97.2

5-3

10-5

Fresno St.

92.4

93.4

92.2

92.7

2-6

4-8

Nevada

89.8

91.1

89.1

90.0

4-4

7-6

San Jose St.

87.9

89.7

88.1

88.6

2-6

5-7

U N L V

83.7

85.4

83.5

84.2

2-6

4-8

MWC Averages

93.8

95.2

93.8

94.3

 

 

 

Pac-12 Conference

North Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

P12

Overall

Oregon

122.1

122.0

122.9

122.3

8-1

12-2

Washington

115.5

115.2

116.4

115.7

4-5

8-5

Washington St.

108.8

108.1

108.7

108.5

3-6

6-7

California

104.7

104.7

105.3

104.9

4-5

8-5

Oregon St.

101.2

102.1

101.5

101.6

4-5

5-7

Stanford

101.6

100.6

100.8

101.0

3-6

4-8

South Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

P12

Overall

Utah

121.8

120.9

122.4

121.7

8-1

11-3

U S C

109.3

109.7

109.9

109.7

7-2

8-5

Arizona St.

108.0

107.5

108.4

108.0

4-5

8-5

Colorado

98.6

98.5

98.7

98.6

3-6

5-7

U C L A

98.7

98.3

98.2

98.4

4-5

4-8

Arizona

97.0

96.8

96.8

96.9

2-7

4-8

Pac-12 Averages

107.3

107.0

107.5

107.3

 

 

 

Southeastern Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

SEC

Overall

Georgia

126.5

124.9

126.7

126.0

7-1

12-2

Florida

125.1

122.8

124.9

124.2

6-2

11-2

Kentucky

112.5

111.6

112.0

112.0

3-5

8-5

Tennessee

110.7

110.4

110.1

110.4

5-3

8-5

Missouri

109.9

107.5

108.5

108.6

3-5

6-6

South Carolina

109.0

107.1

108.0

108.0

3-5

4-8

Vanderbilt

92.5

90.9

90.9

91.4

1-7

3-9

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

SEC

Overall

L S U

142.1

140.5

142.9

141.8

8-0

15-0

Alabama

130.2

127.4

130.7

129.4

6-2

11-2

Auburn

121.7

119.9

121.2

120.9

5-3

9-4

Texas A&M

115.0

112.5

113.2

113.6

4-4

8-5

Mississippi St.

108.0

104.9

111.0

108.0

3-5

6-7

Ole Miss

107.8

106.9

108.1

107.6

2-6

4-8

Arkansas

88.0

87.8

87.3

87.7

0-8

2-10

SEC Averages

114.1

112.4

113.9

113.5

 

 

 

Sunbelt Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

SBC

Overall

Appalachian St.

109.1

108.7

108.3

108.7

7-1

13-1

Georgia Southern

97.9

98.0

97.5

97.8

5-3

7-6

Troy

89.6

89.8

88.1

89.2

3-5

5-7

Georgia St.

88.2

89.0

87.2

88.1

4-4

7-6

Coastal Carolina

86.9

87.8

86.3

87.0

2-6

5-7

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

SBC

Overall

Louisiana

103.0

103.1

102.6

102.9

7-1

11-3

Arkansas St.

90.5

91.0

90.4

90.6

5-3

8-5

Louisiana-Monroe

86.7

87.4

86.4

86.9

4-4

5-7

Texas St.

79.2

79.9

78.9

79.3

2-6

3-9

South Alabama

77.0

79.5

77.0

77.8

1-7

2-10

SBC Averages

90.8

91.4

90.3

90.8

 

Conference Power Ratings

#

League

Average

1

Southeastern

113.5

2

Big Ten

111.0

3

Big 12

109.4

4

Pac-12

107.3

5

Atlantic Coast

104.3

6

American

97.4

7

Mountain West

94.3

8

Sun Belt

90.8

9

Independents

90.1

10

Conference USA

87.3

11

Mid-American

86.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

December 14, 2019

PiRate College Football Ratings: Final Regular Season

PiRate Ratings Spreads For 2019-2020 Bowls & Playoffs

Including TV & Start Times 

All Times Given Are Eastern Standard Time

 

Favorite

Underdog

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Dec. 20

Bahamas

ESPN

2:00 PM

Buffalo

Charlotte

6.9

7.1

7.6

 

 

Dec. 20

Frisco

ESPN2

7:30 PM

Utah St.

Kent St.

7.8

7.4

7.3

 

 

Dec. 21

New Mexico

ESPN

2:00 PM

San Diego St.

Central Michigan

5.3

6.1

4.1

 

 

Dec. 21

Cure

CBSSN

2:30 PM

Georgia Southern

Liberty

9.5

8.3

8.9

 

 

Dec. 21

Boca Raton

ABC

3:30 PM

SMU

Florida Atlantic

3.5

3.2

2.8

 

 

Dec.21

Camellia

ESPN

5:30 PM

Arkansas St.

Florida Int’l.

0.9

1.4

0.4

 

 

Dec. 21

Las Vegas

ABC

7:30 PM

Washington

Boise St.

5.0

4.3

5.6

 

 

Dec. 21

New Orleans

ESPN

9:00 PM

Appalachian St.

UAB

23.1

20.9

21.7

 

 

Dec. 23

Gasparilla

ESPN

2:30 PM

Central Florida

Marshall

19.6

19.4

19.6

 

 

Dec. 24

Hawaii

ESPN

8:00 PM

BYU

Hawaii

1.3

0.2

1.6

 

 

Dec. 26

Independence

ESPN

4:00 PM

Miami (Fla.)

Louisiana Tech

10.6

9.9

11.4

 

 

Dec. 26

Quick Lane

ESPN

8:00 PM

Pittsburgh

Eastern Michigan

13.1

12.3

12.6

 

 

Dec. 27

Military

ESPN

12:00 PM

North Carolina

Temple

8.3

8.3

7.9

 

 

Dec. 27

Pinstripe

ESPN

3:20 PM

Michigan St.

Wake Forest

4.6

4.4

3.4

 

 

Dec. 27

Texas

ESPN

6:45 PM

Texas A&M

Oklahoma St.

6.3

3.2

5.1

 

 

Dec. 27

Holiday

FS1

8:00 PM

Iowa

USC

7.4

5.3

6.2

 

 

Dec. 27

Cheez-It

ESPN

10:15 PM

Washington St.

Air Force

5.4

2.8

4.4

 

 

Dec. 28

Camping World

ABC

12:00 PM

Notre Dame

Iowa St.

7.9

6.7

8.3

 

 

Dec. 28

Cotton

ESPN

12:00 PM

Penn St.

Memphis

11.3

10.1

10.3

 

 

Dec. 28

Peach

ESPN

4:00 PM

LSU

Oklahoma

14.5

13.0

15.1

 

 

Dec. 28

Fiesta

ESPN

8:00 PM

Ohio St.

Clemson

1.6

2.3

1.0

 

 

Dec. 30

First Responder

ESPN

12:30 PM

Western Michigan

Western Kentucky

2.3

0.7

0.6

 

 

Dec. 30

Music City

ESPN

4:00 PM

Mississippi St.

Louisville

9.6

6.8

13.4

 

 

Dec. 30

Redbox

Fox

4:00 PM

California

Illinois

4.0

3.2

4.9

 

 

Dec. 30

Orange

ESPN

8:00 PM

Florida

Virginia

21.1

18.8

20.7

 

 

Dec. 31

Belk

ESPN

12:00 PM

Kentucky

Virginia Tech

1.9

0.8

0.4

 

 

Dec. 31

Sun

CBS

2:00 PM

Arizona St.

Florida St.

3.1

2.7

3.2

 

 

Dec. 31

Liberty

ESPN

3:45 PM

Kansas St.

Navy

10.8

8.4

9.3

 

 

Dec. 31

Arizona

CBSSN

4:30 PM

Wyoming

Georgia St.

9.3

10.2

10.5

 

 

Dec. 31

Alamo

ESPN

7:30 PM

Utah

Texas

10.2

9.0

10.9

 

 

Jan. 1

Citrus

ABC

1:00 PM

Alabama

Michigan

3.2

1.4

3.2

 

 

Jan. 1

Outback

ESPN

1:00 PM

Auburn

Minnesota

5.7

4.3

6.2

 

 

Jan. 1

Rose

ESPN

5:00 PM

Wisconsin

Oregon

0.7

0.7

0.3

 

 

Jan. 1

Sugar

ESPN

8:45 PM

Georgia

Baylor

8.8

7.0

9.7

 

 

Jan. 2

Birmingham

ESPN

3:00 PM

Cincinnati

Boston College

4.0

4.1

4.1

 

 

Jan. 2

Gator

ESPN

7:00 PM

Tennessee

Indiana

0.8

1.5

0.6

 

 

Jan. 3

Potato

ESPN

3:30 PM

Ohio U

Nevada

8.6

6.3

9.8

 

 

Jan. 4

Armed Forces

ESPN

11:30 AM

Tulane

Southern Miss.

5.9

9.6

6.1

 

 

Jan. 6

Lending Tree

ESPN

7:30 PM

Louisiana

Miami (O)

12.6

13.8

12.0

 

 

Jan. 13

Championship

ESPN

8:00 PM

Fiesta Bowl

Peach Bowl

 

 

 

 

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