The Pi-Rate Ratings

September 29, 2022

PiRate Picks–September 29-October 1, 2022

Filed under: PiRate Picks_College & Pro — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 7:38 am

If you follow this weekly feature, then you must realize at this point in the season that the picks made here have put us in an untenable position. Through four full weeks and one partial fifth week in the college football season, we have issued 21 selections. 16 of them have won, and five of them have been at odds exceeding even money. Our imaginary $1,000 starting account has ballooned to $1,906.19 after going 3-0 last week with two of those three wins bringing better than +130 parlay payouts. That 16-5 record is even more ridiculous when you consider that we had one week where we were 1-4. In all the other weeks, our pretend wagering selections are 15-1! Meanwhile, we made comments in two of those weeks that we did not particularly like the slate of games available for those weeks. All this should tell you that if a situation is obviously untenable, don’t make any large gambles on the situation continuing to be as successful or even successful at all in the future. If 76.2% winners were the norm, and the wagers were real, we would be banned from wagering at most of the books and definitely greatly limited in the amount we could wager at those that did not ban us. Only a small minority of the big-time players ever get limited or banned. That’s why in all honesty, the selections going forward are almost sure to disappoint until the percentages normalize. Think of our selections being like the Cleveland Indians beginning the 1966 baseball season at 14-1 and then 27-10 near the completion of the first quarter of the season. The Indians held a substantial lead over Baltimore, but Leon Wagner was not Frank Robinson. Robby would go on to win the Triple Crown, and the Orioles would pass Cleveland with ease and go on to win the AL pennant in a breeze. The PiRate Ratings are Cleveland. Maybe, our 1954 is out there some day, but there is no reason to believe that it is this year.

Now, that we have a clear conscience, here are our picks for this week. Remember: we never wager real money on these selections, and we suggest you follow this lead. If you are a professional wagering maven, then we know you only read this weekly feature as supplemental information for your other research.

Selection #1: Iowa +10 1/2 vs. Michigan

This play is all about the number. At 9 1/2, we wouldn’t play it. We probably wouldn’t play it at 13 1/2 either. Michigan is clearly better than Iowa, but can they win by double digits in Iowa City when the Hawkeyes’ offense is starting to show signs of respectability? Iowa might be able to control the ball for 32 or more minutes in this game, and Michigan has played one above average team at home with no road games. At 10 1/2, we get 39% of the spreads most likely for a game to have, including nine of the top 15 spreads in college football. Our internal (not the PiRate Ratings) quick compare system shows this game to be a maximum of 8 points in Michigan’s favor and only about a 65% chance that the Maize and Blue will win the game by any amount. We see this being a 27-20 game for the Wolverines, and it wouldn’t be a big shock if Iowa pulled off the upset.

Selection #2: Penn State & Northwestern Under 52 1/2

James Franklin has this team believing in itself, and we have little doubt that the Nittany Lions will win this game with relative ease, but we also believe the first quarter and some of the second quarter of this game will be played conservatively as Penn State tries some new wrinkles. Northwestern’s history of being good in even-numbered years and rebuilding in odd-numbered years may have come to an end, as the Wildcats look no better than they were last year, and their win over Nebraska isn’t worth much. The NU offense isn’t likely to keep the scoreboard operator busy. We think this could be a 34-10 game, maybe a 38-7 game.

Selection #3: UNLV and New Mexico Over 42 1/2

This was a late addition to our selections this week, as the total dropped by a full point on Wednesday, and we think it has been moved too much. There are some middling plays going on with this game. At 43 1/2, it was too close to our projection of 28-17 and 45 points. Usually, we like a game to differ by three points or more in the total, but when it’s this low, 2 1/2 points are enough to make a play. The only concern is that the Lobos are scoring points of fewer than normal total yards gained. However, UNLV’s offense is better than New Mexico’s defense, and we also think there is a chance that the Rebels could score more then 28 points in this game.

Selection #4: Minnesota & Purdue Over 51 1/2

If you follow this weekly feature for any amount of time, you will probably see a trend toward playing the Under on more totals than the Over, but this week, it is an even split. We respect Minnesota’s excellent start to the season, but their defense has yet to be tested by a Power 5 competent offense, as it will this week. This isn’t Drew Brees bringing the Spoilermakers to The Cities, but this also isn’t the Bobby Bell Gophers of 1960 and 1961. Our internal rating shows PU will top 24 points in this game, but their lack of a power running game might prevent the Boilermakers from scoring the one extra TD needed to win this game. Minnesota probably will top 30 points. At 34-27, that’s 9 1/2 more points than needed to satisfy this play.

Selection #5: Oklahoma & TCU Under 68 1/2

This was actually the one total that jumped off the page when we first saw it. Oklahoma is coming off an upset loss to Kansas State where they gave up more than 40 points. TCU is averaging 46.3 points per game but hasn’t played a real defense yet. We suspect that defensive-oriented Sooner coach Brent Venables will concentrate his efforts this week on giving his defense more confidence by playing this game a little more conservatively. Meanwhile, TCU will experience some difficulty trying to consistently move the ball with short passing plays. We think the total for this game will be 60 or less. A final score of 34-21 is expected.

Selection #6: Money Line Parlay @ +176.22

Kent State over Ohio U

Wyoming over San Jose St.

The key game for us this week is the Wyoming-San Jose State game in Laramie. We believe the wrong team is favored. The Cowboys have been a different team at home in altitude as opposed to the road, and San Jose State is coming into a weather situation they have not had a chance to prepare for in the Bay Area. This game could be played in a windy rainstorm, possibly a thunderstorm, with a chance that it could be delayed one or more times. Wyoming has an advantage if the running game must be used more in the quarters where the wind is in the face of the offense. We are looking for Wyoming to win this one outright by 5 to 10 points.

We didn’t want to play Wyoming straight up for 11-10 odds, so we looked to a coupling game that would ramp it up to better than +130, and we found it in the Kent State-Ohio game. The Golden Flashes are at least 10 points better than the Bobcats, but the Money Line was only -450, and combining it with the underdog selection, it makes this parlay an attractive +176.22.

Selection #7: Money Line Parlay @ +157.22

Kansas State over Texas Tech

North Carolina over Virginia Tech

Western Kentucky over Troy

Both teams won big games last week in the Kansas State-Texas Tech match-up. But, the Red Raiders beat their most hated rival. TTU rarely gets the respect in the Lone Star State by the fans of the Longhorns. At the same time, Kansas State has used a big win over a ranked opponent to propel themselves to bigger and better things. Add in the factor that our internal rating shows the Wildcats to be nine points better, and this is an attractive part of a parlay for us.

Neither North Carolina nor Virginia Tech are going to go on big runs to finish with fat won-loss records this year. In fact, we think the Hokies are looking at 5-7 or even 4-8, while the Tar Heels are maybe looking at 7-5 and a minor bowl game. We are looking at a 35-28 win for Mack Brown’s squad.

In Bowling Green, Kentucky, the Hilltoppers have been known as a basketball school with a neat mascot, but their football team should not be overlooked this year. Following a 73-0 win over possibly the worst FBS team in Florida International, they step up to play another under-the-radar team in Troy. This used to be a fierce rivlary game when both were Sun Belt Conference members, and we expect a close, hard-fought game with a lot of offensive action. Our selection of WKU here comes about due to an old theorem of ours from the 1970s that states that when a team easily slaughters a weaker team in a home game one week and then plays at home again the following week, they tend to continue to play near the best of their abilities. We think WKU wins this close game, maybe by just a field goal to five points.

September 18, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football–September 22-24, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Virginia TechWest Virginia-2.5-1.5-3.1
Georgia St.Coastal Carolina6.44.16.5
SyracuseVirginia10.49.411.3
Air ForceNevada19.117.120.3
UTEPBoise St.-18.4-17.8-19.3
Iowa St.Baylor-2.6-1.3-1.5
KentuckyNorthern Illinois20.120.621.6
South CarolinaCharlotte30.028.129.9
TempleMassachusetts9.211.29.4
GeorgiaKent St.50.246.451.5
North CarolinaNotre Dame-1.30.8-1.4
Miami (Fla.)Middle Tennessee34.331.932.6
MichiganMaryland18.016.618.3
North Carolina St.Connecticut42.640.745.5
Penn St.Central Michigan29.727.626.7
Central FloridaGeorgia Tech17.118.119.9
LouisvilleSouth Florida16.916.916.6
Michigan St.Minnesota2.72.20.5
Wake ForestClemson-11.2-11.5-12.2
Ohio St.Wisconsin15.213.816.7
LibertyAkron24.025.327.3
Florida St.Boston College17.114.917.7
TennesseeFlorida15.614.416.1
CincinnatiIndiana13.213.317.7
East CarolinaNavy16.216.919.2
Georgia SouthernBall St.9.98.410.4
Eastern MichiganBuffalo9.57.67.7
Appalachian St.James Madison8.68.46.1
RutgersIowa-9.2-8.5-10.3
KansasDuke17.513.217.8
NorthwesternMiami (O)8.67.13.9
Old DominionArkansas St.9.88.49.0
ColoradoUCLA-12.0-13.9-14.7
BYUWyoming28.724.527.2
New Mexico St.Hawaii5.15.73.8
Arizona St.Utah-11.5-10.7-12.5
Oregon St.USC1.60.51.5
San Diego St.Toledo4.53.23.2
Washington St.Oregon-7.7-6.3-6.1
CaliforniaArizona4.85.06.2
WashingtonStanford8.011.711.3
TroyMarshall-1.5-2.2-0.4
South AlabamaLouisiana Tech11.010.014.0
Mississippi St.Bowling Green30.329.729.4
OklahomaKansas St.13.414.114.6
Ole MissTulsa23.922.722.5
AlabamaVanderbilt37.135.039.9
SMUTCU-5.7-4.9-3.9
Texas TechTexas-2.7-3.3-1.3
UL-MonroeLouisiana-9.6-9.9-12.7
Texas A&M (n)Arkansas-4.6-1.7-3.6
HoustonRice20.520.121.8
MemphisNorth Texas16.718.115.7
TulaneSouthern Miss.17.415.916.2
AuburnMissouri8.56.78.3
Western KentuckyFlorida Int’l.35.032.139.3
Utah St.UNLV1.03.41.7
PurdueFlorida Atlantic31.528.929.4
LSUNew Mexico33.832.533.9
San Jose St.Western Michigan-1.7-2.4-1.5

FBS vs. FCS Games

FBSFCSPiRate
IllinoisChattanooga23.8
OhioFordham16.7
Texas St.Houston Baptist26.4
PittsburghRhode Island32.0
Colorado St.Sacramento St.-3.0
UTSATexas Southern37.2

Teams With Byes

Army
Fresno St.
Nebraska
Oklahoma St.
UAB

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Georgia135.3
2Alabama129.5
3Ohio St.128.8
4Michigan124.6
5Oklahoma120.7
6Clemson119.7
7Tennessee118.2
8Penn St.118.2
9NC State117.1
10Wisconsin116.6
11Oklahoma St.116.5
12Minnesota116.4
13Utah116.3
14Ole Miss115.8
15Purdue115.2
16Michigan St.115.2
17Arkansas115.1
18L S U114.9
19Miami (Fla.)114.8
20Baylor114.6
21Pittsburgh114.3
22Mississippi St.113.5
23Kentucky113.4
24Oregon113.0
25Florida St.112.5
26Texas112.5
27Iowa112.4
28Cincinnati112.2
29Texas A&M111.8
30U S C111.6
31Notre Dame111.3
32BYU111.0
33T C U110.7
34Maryland110.0
35Oregon St.109.8
36Iowa St.109.7
37Kansas St.109.6
38Washington108.7
39Syracuse108.3
40Louisville108.1
41U C L A107.7
42North Carolina107.7
43Texas Tech107.5
44South Carolina107.0
45UCF106.6
46Auburn106.2
47Florida105.9
48Wake Forest105.6
49Illinois105.5
50West Virginia104.5
51SMU104.4
52Boise St.104.2
53Washington St.103.3
54Kansas102.8
55Tulane102.7
56Houston102.4
57Air Force102.3
58Arizona St.101.8
59Fresno St.101.7
60East Carolina101.7
61Stanford101.4
62Missouri101.4
63Virginia100.9
64Nebraska100.3
65Rutgers100.1
66Indiana99.9
67Appalachian St.99.7
68Virginia Tech99.6
69U A B98.9
70Boston College98.9
71California98.7
72W. Kentucky98.5
73Army98.4
74Memphis98.3
75Liberty98.2
76U T S A97.1
77Georgia St.96.8
78Northwestern96.6
79Arizona96.3
80Marshall95.8
81Tulsa95.8
82N. Illinois95.6
83San Diego St.95.2
84Vanderbilt95.2
85James Madison95.0
86Louisiana94.8
87Toledo94.5
88USF94.3
89Coastal Carolina93.6
90Western Mich.93.2
91Central Mich.93.2
92Miami (Ohio)92.5
93Troy92.0
94South Alabama91.4
95Georgia Tech91.2
96Colorado91.2
97U N L V91.2
98Old Dominion90.8
99Ga. Southern90.3
100Utah St.90.2
101Duke89.6
102Kent St.89.0
103Eastern Mich.88.8
104San Jose St.88.3
105Florida Atlantic88.3
106Southern Miss.88.1
107Navy87.2
108Wyoming87.2
109Bowling Green86.7
110Nevada86.5
111Ohio85.4
112Middle Tennessee84.8
113Arkansas St.84.8
114New Mexico84.6
115Colorado St.84.1
116North Texas83.9
117Ball St.83.7
118Buffalo83.5
119U T E P83.2
120Rice82.6
121Louisiana Tech82.2
122UL-Monroe82.0
123Texas St.80.9
124Charlotte80.2
125Temple79.6
126Connecticut77.2
127Akron75.1
128New Mexico St.73.9
129Hawaii72.5
130Massachusetts72.2
131Florida Int’l.65.5

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati111.8111.2113.5112.2
UCF106.1106.8106.8106.6
SMU104.5103.8104.9104.4
Tulane103.1102.4102.5102.7
Houston102.5101.7103.1102.4
East Carolina101.4101.1102.5101.7
Memphis98.298.698.098.3
Tulsa96.095.496.095.8
USF95.093.894.194.3
Navy88.287.286.387.2
Temple79.681.977.379.6

AAC98.898.598.698.6

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson119.6119.5120.1119.7
NC State117.4116.4117.5117.1
Florida St.112.8112.2112.4112.5
Syracuse109.1108.0107.9108.3
Louisville108.9107.7107.7108.1
Wake Forest105.9105.5105.4105.6
Boston College98.7100.397.798.9

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Fla.)115.3114.1114.9114.8
Pittsburgh115.2114.1113.7114.3
North Carolina107.6107.9107.6107.7
Virginia101.6101.699.6100.9
Virginia Tech100.1100.698.099.6
Georgia Tech92.191.789.991.2
Duke89.692.287.089.6

ACC106.7106.5105.7106.3

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma120.9120.1121.1120.7
Oklahoma St.117.1115.6116.9116.5
Baylor115.2114.0114.5114.6
Texas113.1112.2112.1112.5
T C U111.7110.2110.4110.7
Iowa St.109.5109.7110.0109.7
Kansas St.110.5109.0109.4109.6
Texas Tech107.9106.4108.3107.5
West Virginia105.1104.7103.6104.5
Kansas104.2102.4101.8102.8

Big 12111.5110.4110.8110.9

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.129.2127.5129.9128.8
Michigan125.0123.8125.0124.6
Penn St.118.3118.2118.1118.2
Michigan St.116.2115.1114.4115.2
Maryland110.1110.1109.8110.0
Rutgers101.3100.798.3100.1
Indiana101.1100.498.399.9

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Wisconsin117.0116.6116.2116.6
Minnesota116.5115.9116.9116.4
Purdue116.3115.1114.2115.2
Iowa113.5112.2111.6112.4
Illinois105.9106.5104.2105.5
Nebraska100.9100.699.5100.3
Northwestern96.998.094.896.6

Big Ten112.0111.5110.8111.4

Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U A B98.398.599.998.9
W. Kentucky97.797.6100.298.5
U T S A97.696.297.597.1
Florida Atlantic87.889.287.888.3
Middle Tennessee84.085.285.384.8
North Texas84.083.084.883.9
U T E P83.483.083.183.2
Rice83.082.682.382.6
Louisiana Tech82.183.680.982.2
Charlotte79.980.979.780.2
Florida Int’l.65.268.063.465.5

CUSA85.786.285.985.9

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame111.9110.1112.0111.3
BYU111.6109.8111.5111.0
Army98.298.698.598.4
Liberty96.898.699.198.2
Connecticut77.878.775.177.2
New Mexico St.73.575.372.873.9
Massachusetts72.973.370.472.2

Independents91.892.191.391.7

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)90.893.493.492.5
Kent St.88.190.488.489.0
Bowling Green87.286.286.686.7
Ohio84.286.385.685.4
Buffalo82.184.684.083.5
Akron75.375.874.375.1

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
N. Illinois95.595.895.595.6
Toledo93.794.795.294.5
Western Mich.92.693.693.593.2
Central Mich.91.693.594.493.2
Eastern Mich.88.689.188.688.8
Ball St.83.484.583.483.7

MAC87.889.088.688.4

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.104.3103.3104.9104.2
Air Force101.9101.9103.2102.3
Utah St.89.990.190.690.2
Wyoming85.988.387.387.2
New Mexico84.785.283.884.6
Colorado St.83.984.783.984.1

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Fresno St.101.6100.9102.6101.7
San Diego St.95.294.995.495.2
U N L V91.889.791.991.2
San Jose St.87.888.289.088.3
Nevada85.987.885.986.5
Hawaii71.973.272.672.5

MWC90.490.790.990.7

Pac-12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah116.2115.1117.8116.3
Oregon113.4112.8112.8113.0
U S C111.1111.7112.1111.6
Oregon St.109.7109.2110.6109.8
Washington107.9108.9109.2108.7
U C L A107.3107.2108.7107.7
Washington St.102.7103.4103.7103.3
Arizona St.101.6101.4102.3101.8
Stanford102.9100.3100.9101.4
California98.298.399.598.7
Arizona96.496.396.396.3
Colorado92.290.391.091.2

Pac-12105.0104.6105.4105.0

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia135.3133.8136.9135.3
Tennessee118.0118.1118.6118.2
Kentucky112.6113.4114.1113.4
South Carolina107.5106.5107.1107.0
Florida105.3106.8105.5105.9
Missouri101.6102.0100.4101.4
Vanderbilt95.396.393.895.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama129.4128.4130.7129.5
Ole Miss116.9115.1115.5115.8
Arkansas115.6113.8116.0115.1
L S U115.5114.6114.7114.9
Mississippi St.114.5112.9113.1113.5
Texas A&M111.0112.1112.4111.8
Auburn107.2105.7105.7106.2

SEC113.3112.8113.2113.1

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Appalachian St.98.3100.0100.799.7
Georgia St.96.395.598.596.8
Marshall95.396.495.795.8
James Madison92.794.697.695.0
Coastal Carolina92.494.094.593.6
Old Dominion90.890.990.890.8
Ga. Southern90.389.890.890.3

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana93.994.296.194.8
Troy91.391.792.992.0
South Alabama90.691.192.491.4
Southern Miss.87.788.488.388.1
Arkansas St.84.085.584.884.8
UL-Monroe82.382.481.482.0
Texas St.80.381.481.080.9

Sun Belt90.591.191.891.1

Conference Ratings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern113.1
2Big Ten111.4
3Big 12110.9
4Atlantic Coast106.3
5Pac-12105.0
6American Athletic98.6
7Independents91.7
8Sun Belt91.1
9Mountain West90.7
10Mid-American88.4
11Conference USA85.9

Playoff Projections

1.) Georgia

2.) Ohio St.

3.) Alabama

4.) Oklahoma

Most Likely Top Group of 5 Team

For Automatic New Year’s 6 Bowl Game

1.) Coastal Carolina

2.) Cincinnati

3.) Appalachian St.

4.) Tulane

September 14, 2022

PiRate Picks For September 16-17, 2022

That broken clock finally failed to show the correct time on the PiRate Ship. Last week, our five picks came in at 1-4, dropping our profit for the season to $1,211.77 ($1,311.77 left in the imaginary account).

We’re back to where we normally are in September. Usually, when we have a bad week, our saving grace in the past has been Money Line Parlays playing at +140 or higher odds. We had a tough time finding one really good parlay this week. While we like odds in the range of +140 to +180, we couldn’t find the right number of games to make this range work out. We also don’t like to play more than three games in a parlay, so it came down to going with 3 at more than +200 or go to five bigger favorites to get to +155 and change.

We also tend to like to play an odd number of games to eliminate the .500 record that results in a small loss. Of course, when one of those selections is a parlay that pays different than the straight 11-10 odds, a .500 record could be a winning week if one of those wins is the parlay.

Our selections this week are all about the numbers more than the actual teams playing. Without further adieu, here are our selections for the week. Remember: We never wager real money on our picks, and we highly suggest that you follow our lead.

Selection 1: Wyoming +14 1/2 vs. Air Force

This is a nice rivalry game, and the last time the margin of this game exceeded 14 points was 2013. Wyoming’s schedule has been considerably stronger than Air Force’s, as Illinois and Tulsa are both stronger than Colorado. Craig Bohl teams tend to be stronger against the run than the pass, so this looks like a good play to be on the side where the top four margins by frequency come with it (3, 7, 10, and 14 points represent the final margin in 1/4 of all college football games).

Selection #2: Wyoming & Air Force Under 46 1/2

For the same reasons above, this game appeals to us for the total. We think this game is more like a 20-17 game, which falls well under 46 1/2 points.

Selection #3: Maryland -2 1/2 vs. SMU

The PiRates really prefer to go with underdogs that we believe should be favorites, but there were no short ‘dogs this week that really jumped off the page. We believe that Maryland is better than a touchdown stronger than SMU. Game outcomes of 1 and 2 points occur just 5.9% of the time, and that includes 5.9% of the time that the favorite and the underdog win by 1 or 2.

Selection #4: Northern Illinois -2 1/2 vs. Vanderbilt

Ditto the game above. Except, Vanderbilt exposed itself by showing its real weakness last week against Wake Forest. The Huskies were somewhat shocked by Tulsa in week one, but they should rebound in week two.

Selection #5: Nebraska and Oklahoma Under 66 1/2

What do you get when you combine a defensive genius head coach coaching in his third ever game against a big rival with a coach making his debut when a few days ago, he was an assistant coach? Usually, you get a hard-fought game that tends to be a little more defense-oriented. The Cornhuskers should play their best game of the season for interim coach Mickey Joseph, while the Sooners may play it a bit more conservatively. An OU win similar to last year’s game, which ended with 39 total points scored.

Selection #6: California and Notre Dame Over 40 1/2

Notre Dame last started a season 0-3 in 2007. Before Irish fans jump out of buildings, they were 0-2 in 2011 with a loss to a weak South Florida team and proceeded to win eight of their next nine games. Cal isn’t the best defensive team in the land, even though the Bears are only giving up 13.5 points per game so far. UC-Davis and UNLV are not offensive juggernauts.

If this game ends 21-20, it beats the total by a half-point. Notre Dame and Marshall combined for 47 points, and Cal’s offense is better than Marshall’s.

Selection #7: Money Line Parlay at +204.42

Penn State over Auburn

Texas A&M over Miami (Fla.)

North Carolina St. over Texas Tech

Auburn barely beat a mediocre San Jose State team last week. A weaker Penn State team than this year’s squad defeated a stronger Auburn team than this year’s squad last year.

If Texas A&M loses again this week, Jimbo Fisher might be sharing a beer with Scott Frost the following Saturday somewhere outside of a football stadium.

Texas Tech’s win over Houston is getting a lot more accolades than it probably should have gotten. N.C. State’s narrow escape over East Carolina probably got too much as well. This is still a Wolf Pack team capable of winning the ACC Title.

September 11, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football–September 16-17, 2022

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 8:28 am

This Week’s Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
LouisvilleFlorida St.-0.5-1.1-0.9
WyomingAir Force-17.9-15.3-18.2
Miami (O)Cincinnati-18.8-15.0-17.7
MichiganConnecticut48.745.951.5
SyracusePurdue-5.1-4.9-4.3
TempleRutgers-22.8-19.7-22.5
BaylorTexas St.37.535.236.0
IndianaWestern Kentucky6.66.20.9
South CarolinaGeorgia-20.7-19.7-22.6
NebraskaOklahoma-11.5-10.6-12.9
Coastal CarolinaBuffalo13.512.414.2
Iowa St.Ohio28.025.426.3
New MexicoUTEP0.71.5-0.5
VirginiaOld Dominion13.914.011.9
UCLASouth Alabama22.121.522.2
Notre DameCalifornia18.116.117.2
UNLVNorth Texas4.83.43.5
Kansas St.Tulane15.014.214.7
WisconsinNew Mexico St.43.941.043.3
AuburnPenn St.-2.8-4.2-3.6
Northern IllinoisVanderbilt5.54.87.8
MinnesotaColorado23.524.825.1
Georgia TechOle Miss-16.4-14.6-16.8
OregonBYU0.82.1-0.1
UABGeorgia Southern10.210.811.2
Appalachian St.Troy10.111.811.6
HoustonKansas6.48.010.7
AlabamaUL-Monroe49.548.051.7
Washington St.Colorado St.19.219.019.8
Wake ForestLiberty14.612.111.4
Bowling GreenMarshall-6.3-8.9-7.8
LSUMississippi St.1.22.01.4
Ohio St.Toledo34.531.133.1
TennesseeAkron43.542.844.5
Georgia St.Charlotte23.621.626.8
North Carolina St.Texas Tech12.513.012.2
MemphisArkansas St.16.615.515.8
Florida AtlanticCentral Florida-13.9-12.8-14.2
FloridaSouth Florida13.917.315.5
MarylandSMU8.89.78.0
WashingtonMichigan St.-10.1-7.8-6.8
Western MichiganPittsburgh-20.1-17.6-16.9
IowaNevada31.127.428.9
RiceLousiana-13.9-15.0-17.6
TexasUTSA18.318.717.2
ClemsonLouisiana Tech41.940.344.2
Texas A&MMiami (Fla.)-2.60.1-1.0
UtahSan Diego St.23.622.325.0
USCFresno St.9.110.48.7
Arizona St.Eastern Michigan21.720.923.0

FBS vs. FCS Games

FBSFCSPiRate
ArizonaNorth Dakota St.3.3
ArkansasMissouri St.31.3
ArmyVillanova11.8
Ball St.Murray St.21.6
Boise St.UT-Martin24.3
Boston CollegeMaine27.1
Central MichiganBucknell37.3
DukeNorth Carolina A&T25.4
East CarolinaCampbell30.4
HawaiiDuquesne12.0
Kent St.Long Island28.8
KentuckyYoungstown St.33.7
MassachusettsStony Brook-1.0
Middle TennesseeTennessee St.24.6
MissouriAbilene Christian28.4
NorthwesternSouthern Illinois18.6
Oklahoma St.Arkansas-Pine Bluff54.3
Oregon St.Montana St.18.3
Southern Miss.Northwestern St.25.4
TulsaJacksonville St.20.5
Virginia TechWofford31.2
West VirginiaTowson St.32.6

Teams With Bye Weeks

Navy
North Carolina
TCU
Illinois
Florida Int’l.
Utah St.
San Jose St.
Stanford
James Madison

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Georgia133.2
2Alabama129.1
3Ohio St.126.6
4Michigan124.0
5Clemson120.5
6Oklahoma118.5
7Michigan St.117.6
8NC State117.1
9Tennessee117.0
10Oklahoma St.116.4
11Utah116.1
12Arkansas115.8
13Purdue115.7
14Penn St.115.6
15Miami (Fla.)115.5
16Wisconsin115.3
17Mississippi St.114.9
18Baylor114.6
19Minnesota114.5
20Pittsburgh114.1
21Kentucky113.6
22L S U113.5
23BYU113.0
24Ole Miss113.0
25Iowa112.5
26Texas112.3
27Notre Dame112.2
28Florida St.112.2
29Kansas St.112.0
30Cincinnati111.9
31Texas A&M111.4
32Oregon111.0
33T C U110.4
34Maryland110.1
35U S C109.9
36U C L A109.4
37Iowa St.109.3
38South Carolina109.2
39Auburn109.1
40Oregon St.108.6
41Louisville108.3
42Syracuse107.9
43Texas Tech107.5
44North Carolina107.4
45Florida107.0
46Wake Forest106.8
47Washington106.3
48UCF105.2
49Illinois105.2
50Arizona St.105.1
51Houston105.0
52Air Force104.6
53SMU104.3
54Boise St.104.1
55Nebraska103.8
56West Virginia103.5
57Fresno St.103.5
58Missouri102.0
59Rutgers101.9
60Washington St.101.9
61Virginia101.7
62East Carolina101.4
63Stanford101.1
64Indiana100.4
65Tulane100.3
66Appalachian St.100.2
67Virginia Tech100.0
68Kansas99.7
69Georgia St.99.5
70Boston College99.2
71Northwestern98.9
72U A B98.7
73Memphis98.5
74W. Kentucky98.3
75California98.1
76Louisiana98.0
77U T S A97.3
78Army97.2
79N. Illinois97.1
80Toledo96.7
81Liberty96.6
82Arizona96.3
83Marshall96.3
84San Diego St.95.5
85Tulsa94.9
86James Madison94.8
87Georgia Tech94.0
88Coastal Carolina93.8
89Vanderbilt93.6
90USF93.4
91Western Mich.93.4
92Colorado93.1
93Central Mich.93.0
94Miami (Ohio)92.8
95Troy91.5
96Ga. Southern90.5
97South Alabama90.4
98Old Dominion90.4
99Utah St.90.0
100Florida Atlantic89.6
101Duke89.4
102U N L V88.4
103Kent St.88.3
104San Jose St.88.1
105Navy87.0
106North Texas87.0
107Southern Miss.86.6
108Nevada86.4
109Eastern Mich.86.2
110Bowling Green86.2
111Ohio85.8
112Colorado St.85.5
113U T E P85.1
114Wyoming84.9
115Arkansas St.84.5
116Middle Tennessee84.0
117Ball St.83.4
118Buffalo83.4
119New Mexico83.2
120UL-Monroe82.4
121Louisiana Tech81.4
122Texas St.80.9
123Rice79.9
124Connecticut78.3
125Temple78.3
126Charlotte78.0
127Akron76.4
128New Mexico St.75.5
129Hawaii72.6
130Massachusetts71.5
131Florida Int’l.65.3

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati111.7110.8113.3111.9
UCF104.9105.4105.4105.2
Houston104.8104.3106.0105.0
SMU104.4103.6104.8104.3
East Carolina101.1100.8102.2101.4
Tulane100.8100.1100.1100.3
Memphis98.498.898.398.5
Tulsa95.194.595.194.9
USF94.492.893.293.4
Navy88.087.086.187.0
Temple78.380.775.878.3

AAC98.498.198.298.2

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson120.3120.2121.1120.5
NC State117.4116.4117.5117.1
Florida St.112.6112.0112.0112.2
Louisville109.1107.9108.1108.3
Syracuse108.7107.6107.4107.9
Wake Forest107.2106.7106.6106.8
Boston College99.0100.698.099.2

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Fla.)116.1114.7115.8115.5
Pittsburgh115.2113.9113.3114.1
North Carolina107.3107.6107.3107.4
Virginia102.3102.4100.3101.7
Virginia Tech100.5101.098.4100.0
Georgia Tech94.894.692.894.0
Duke89.492.086.889.4

ACC107.1107.0106.1106.7

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma118.8117.8118.9118.5
Oklahoma St.117.0115.5116.8116.4
Baylor115.3114.0114.5114.6
Texas113.0112.1111.9112.3
Kansas St.112.8111.3111.8112.0
T C U111.4109.9110.1110.4
Iowa St.109.3109.2109.5109.3
Texas Tech107.9106.4108.3107.5
West Virginia104.1103.7102.6103.5
Kansas101.499.398.499.7

Big 12111.1109.9110.3110.4

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.127.2125.2127.6126.6
Michigan124.5123.0124.5124.0
Michigan St.118.6117.4116.7117.6
Penn St.115.8115.7115.4115.6
Maryland110.2110.3109.9110.1
Rutgers103.1102.4100.3101.9
Indiana101.6101.098.6100.4

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Purdue116.7115.5114.7115.7
Wisconsin115.8115.1114.8115.3
Minnesota114.6114.0115.0114.5
Iowa113.7112.2111.7112.5
Illinois105.6106.2103.9105.2
Nebraska104.3104.2103.0103.8
Northwestern99.2100.397.198.9

Big Ten112.2111.6110.9111.6

Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U A B98.198.399.798.7
W. Kentucky97.597.3100.298.3
U T S A97.796.397.797.3
Florida Atlantic89.090.689.289.6
North Texas86.986.188.087.0
U T E P85.284.885.285.1
Middle Tennessee83.284.484.584.0
Louisiana Tech81.482.979.981.4
Rice80.579.979.479.9
Charlotte77.878.977.278.0
Florida Int’l.65.067.863.265.3

CUSA85.786.185.985.9

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanAverageAverage
BYU113.6111.7113.7113.0
Notre Dame112.8110.9113.0112.2
Army97.097.497.397.2
Liberty95.297.197.696.6
Connecticut78.880.076.178.3
New Mexico St.75.077.174.575.5
Massachusetts72.272.669.771.5
Independents92.192.491.792.1

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)90.993.893.692.8
Kent St.87.489.787.788.3
Bowling Green86.985.686.086.2
Ohio84.486.886.185.8
Buffalo82.084.683.783.4
Akron76.477.175.776.4

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
N. Illinois96.997.297.397.1
Toledo95.797.097.596.7
Western Mich.92.693.893.993.4
Central Mich.91.493.394.293.0
Eastern Mich.86.186.685.886.2
Ball St.83.184.283.183.4

MAC87.889.188.788.6

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Air Force104.1104.0105.6104.6
Boise St.104.2103.2104.8104.1
Utah St.89.789.990.490.0
Colorado St.85.286.185.485.5
Wyoming83.786.284.984.9
New Mexico83.483.982.283.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Fresno St.103.3102.6104.5103.5
San Diego St.95.495.395.695.5
U N L V89.286.989.088.4
San Jose St.87.688.088.888.1
Nevada85.787.885.886.4
Hawaii72.073.372.772.6

MWC90.390.690.890.6

Pac-12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah116.0114.7117.6116.1
Oregon111.4110.9110.6111.0
U S C109.4110.0110.2109.9
U C L A108.9108.8110.5109.4
Oregon St.108.5108.0109.4108.6
Washington105.5106.6106.9106.3
Arizona St.104.8104.6105.8105.1
Washington St.101.4102.0102.2101.9
Stanford102.6100.0100.6101.1
California97.697.898.898.1
Arizona96.496.396.396.3
Colorado94.192.292.993.1

Pac-12104.7104.3105.2104.7

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia133.2131.5134.8133.2
Tennessee116.9116.8117.2117.0
Kentucky112.8113.6114.3113.6
South Carolina109.6108.8109.2109.2
Florida106.2108.1106.7107.0
Missouri102.2102.6101.0102.0
Vanderbilt93.994.992.093.6

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama129.1127.9130.4129.1
Arkansas116.3114.5116.7115.8
Mississippi St.115.9114.3114.7114.9
L S U114.1113.2113.1113.5
Ole Miss114.2112.2112.6113.0
Texas A&M110.5111.8111.8111.4
Auburn110.0108.5108.7109.1

SEC113.2112.8113.1113.0

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Appalachian St.98.6100.5101.3100.2
Georgia St.98.998.0101.599.5
Marshall95.697.096.396.3
James Madison92.594.497.494.8
Coastal Carolina92.594.094.893.8
Ga. Southern90.590.091.090.5
Old Dominion90.490.490.490.4

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana96.997.499.598.0
Troy91.091.292.391.5
South Alabama89.790.291.390.4
Southern Miss.86.286.986.886.6
Arkansas St.83.885.384.584.5
UL-Monroe82.682.981.782.4
Texas St.80.281.481.080.9

Sun Belt90.791.492.191.4

Conference Ratings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern113.0
2Big Ten111.6
3Big 12110.4
4Atlantic Coast106.7
5Pac-12104.7
6American Athletic98.2
7Independents92.1
8Sun Belt91.4
9Mountain West90.6
10Mid-American88.6
11Conference USA85.9

A Tale of Two Conferences

In the mid 1990’s, Conference USA formed when the old Metro Conference dissolved. The league was founded to combine two former basketball conferences into a Midwestern league. At the time, it also had some rather successful football teams. Cincinnati, Louisville, South Florida, Southern Miss., UAB, Memphis, Tulane, Houston, East Carolina, and Army were all early members of the new league. Then, TCU joined and had a top 5 season in the early 2000’s. The league saw early success, and with that, the Big East raided CUSA and took Cincinnati, Louisville, and South Florida. Seeing the writing on the wall, TCU bolted for the Mountain West, where an incredible rivalry with Boise State ensued. CUSA then expanded with new members, making the league quite relevant, as the new teams provided numerous upsets over Power Conference opponents. Central Florida, SMU, Tulsa, Rice, UTEP, and Marshall joined the league and all found some successful seasons. Then, the American Athletic Conference formed, and once again, CUSA lost some significant teams in Memphis, Tulane, Houston, Central Florida, SMU, and Tulsa.

The Sun Belt Conference began as a basketball league back in the mid-1970’s, and in its early years, the league jumped over many others in the Low and Mid-Major area. There was a year where four SBC teams made the NCAA Tournament. The league saw teams come and go, as it struggled financially. They even kicked New Orleans out of the conference because the Privateers did not have a Division 1 level gymnasium.

The Sun Belt decided to sponsor football beginning in the early part of this century. Almost annually, the makeup of the league changed. Teams as far west as Utah State and Idaho joined the conference at times, as they played in the same league with teams from Florida. When Western Kentucky and Middle Tennessee State, North Texas, and UAB all left the Sun Belt for CUSA in a matter of a couple of seasons, it looked like CUSA would force the SBC back to a basketball conference, while CUSA continued to thrive with some respectable programs.

Then, something happened. About the time that the SEC was becoming a super league and superior to all others, and all their member schools began recruiting nationally instead of regionally, a lot of really good Southeastern recruits started to lose out to the elite 5-star and high 4-star talents from all over America. These low 4-star and 3-star players had once filled SEC rosters, but now they needed to find other schools. Many of them chose to stay near their homes, and that mean Sun Belt Conference schools.

Schools like Troy, Georgia Southern, and what was still known as Louisiana-Lafayette started getting players that used to go to Alabama, Auburn, Georgia, and LSU. The addition of Appalachian State, Coastal Carolina, and Georgia State to the league as they moved to FBS brought some solid former FCS programs that further strengthened this league. All of a sudden, the SBC passed CUSA, and it was CUSA that almost died when the 2021 expansion routlette began. Texas and Oklahoma decided to leave the Big 12 for the SEC, so the Big 12 robbed the AAC of its three best schools, and then the AAC robbed CUSA of its largest market schools. Three schools, Marshall, Old Dominion, and Southern Miss quickly petitioned the Sun Belt for admission and were fast-tracked. Then the league found a real diamond in the rough in James Madison. Meanwhile, CUSA had to look for crumbs just to survive. They secured markers for FCS schools Jacksonville State and Sam Houston, and then added Liberty and New Mexico State as future members. It was almost too late, because both Western Kentucky and Middle Tennessee came very close to leaving for the Mid-American Conference.

In just five or six years, the Sun Belt rose from weakeast FBS league by far to possibly the strongest. Once Cincinnati, Houston, and Central Florida leave the American, the SBC should be better than the new AAC with CUSA teams. It has already passed the Mountain West. Meanwhile, Conference USA football as a whole might not be as strong as the FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference once the league is reduced to ashes by the departures of its top markets.

September 6, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football For September 9-10, 2022

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 4:58 am

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Central FloridaLouisville-0.41.71.7
New MexicoBoise St.-17.8-16.0-19.8
Ohio St.Arkansas St.48.845.148.9
Georgia St.North Carolina-5.8-7.1-2.7
Penn St.Ohio34.331.031.2
ArmyUTSA2.74.93.4
Miami (Fla.)Southern Miss.34.532.433.8
NorthwesternDuke17.816.318.8
Kansas St.Missouri10.48.810.3
ArkansasSouth Carolina9.17.79.5
TexasAlabama-15.6-15.5-18.8
VanderbiltWake Forest-8.4-6.4-9.5
Central MichiganSouth Alabama9.010.811.0
Ball St.Western Michigan-7.0-7.2-8.5
Notre DameMarshall28.325.127.8
CharlotteMaryland-29.2-27.9-29.2
PittsburghTennessee1.50.2-0.7
NavyMemphis-3.2-4.2-4.4
Air ForceColorado7.39.19.8
Texas A&MAppalachian St.20.019.618.8
WisconsinWashington St.22.321.020.5
Colorado St.Middle Tennessee10.19.99.2
Michigan St.Akron44.341.842.4
IllinoisVirginia3.13.42.7
CaliforniaUNLV11.814.713.6
Texas TechHouston5.94.95.1
IowaIowa St.8.77.26.5
East CarolinaOld Dominion12.612.113.5
West VirginiaKansas6.88.99.1
LibertyUAB-1.70.1-1.2
FloridaKentucky-2.2-1.1-2.8
ToledoMassachusetts21.121.925.6
ConnecticutSyracuse-26.3-23.5-27.7
OklahomaKent St.35.031.435.0
LouisianaEastern Michigan10.410.213.3
TulsaNorthern Illinois1.0-0.10.4
Texas St.Florida Int’l.14.812.617.2
AuburnSan Jose St.28.226.426.1
NebraskaGeorgia Southern23.023.621.2
StanfordUSC-1.4-5.0-4.2
Oklahoma St.Arizona St.14.913.413.2
MichiganHawaii55.552.654.8
Virginia TechBoston College1.70.3-0.2
UTEPNew Mexico St.12.89.913.9
BYUBaylor1.20.51.9
Fresno St.Oregon St.-2.0-2.3-1.5
ArizonaMississippi St.-15.9-13.9-14.4

FBS vs. FCS Games

FBSFCSPiRate
MinnesotaWestern Illinois32.5
North Carolina St.Charleston Southern34.1
UtahSouthern Utah34.8
TempleLafayette9.7
ClemsonFurman34.2
CincinnatiKennesaw St.29.7
GeorgiaSamford42.3
WashingtonPortland St.23.8
PurdueIndiana St.30.1
RutgersWagner38.4
WyomingNorthern Colorado22.4
Bowling GreenEastern Kentucky5.8
James MadisonNorfolk St.32.7
UCLAAlabama St.36.8
NevadaIncarnate Word10.2
BuffaloHoly Cross9.7
Miami (O)Robert Morris29.2
Coastal CarolinaGardner-Webb29.5
Florida AtlanticSoutheast Louisiana10.1
Ole MissCentral Arkansas29.7
Georgia TechWestern Carolina18.8
Utah St.Weber St.9.8
TulaneAlcorn St.23.7
SMULamar39.5
South FloridaHoward26.6
TroyAlabama A&M25.3
Louisiana TechStephen F. Austin10.1
LSUSouthern32.4
North TexasTexas Southern27.1
RiceMcNeese St.6.6
TCUTarleton31.2
IndianaIdaho21.5
San Diego St.Idaho St.25.9
UL-MonroeNicholls St.7.5
OregonEastern Washington21.6

Bye Weeks

Florida St.
Western Kentucky

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Georgia133.4
2Alabama130.8
3Ohio St.127.9
4Michigan123.7
5Clemson120.8
6Oklahoma118.8
7Wisconsin117.9
8Notre Dame117.2
9Michigan St.117.1
10Tennessee116.9
11NC State116.4
12Miami (Fla.)116.4
13Oklahoma St.116.2
14Arkansas115.4
15Penn St.115.3
16Utah115.1
17Baylor114.7
18Purdue114.7
19Mississippi St.114.5
20Texas A&M114.4
21Pittsburgh114.2
22Iowa114.0
23Minnesota113.7
24BYU112.9
25Kentucky112.8
26L S U112.2
27Florida St.111.9
28Ole Miss111.5
29Cincinnati111.4
30Texas111.2
31Auburn110.9
32Kansas St.110.7
33T C U109.7
34Maryland109.7
35South Carolina109.6
36U C L A109.3
37U S C108.7
38Iowa St.108.5
39Oregon St.108.5
40Oregon108.5
41Louisville107.9
42Texas Tech107.8
43Florida107.8
44Nebraska107.4
45North Carolina107.3
46Syracuse107.3
47UCF105.9
48Wake Forest105.5
49Washington105.3
50Arizona St.105.3
51Houston105.0
52SMU105.0
53West Virginia104.1
54Boise St.104.0
55Missouri103.9
56Fresno St.103.6
57Illinois103.5
58Virginia103.4
59Air Force102.4
60Stanford102.2
61Northwestern101.2
62East Carolina101.0
63Indiana100.9
64Boston College100.8
65Rutgers100.7
66Georgia St.99.6
67Washington St.99.6
68U A B99.4
69Kansas98.8
70Tulane98.5
71California98.4
72Virginia Tech98.4
73W. Kentucky98.1
74Appalachian St.98.0
75Army97.6
76N. Illinois97.3
77U T S A96.9
78Arizona96.8
79Louisiana96.6
80Memphis96.3
81Liberty96.0
82Colorado95.7
83Central Mich.95.6
84Coastal Carolina95.5
85San Diego St.95.3
86Vanderbilt94.9
87Tulsa94.7
88Toledo94.6
89Georgia Tech94.1
90USF93.7
91Utah St.93.5
92James Madison93.5
93Miami (Ohio)93.5
94Western Mich.93.5
95Marshall93.1
96Troy91.6
97Old Dominion90.8
98Navy89.9
99Nevada88.6
100Colorado St.88.5
101Florida Atlantic88.2
102U N L V88.1
103Kent St.88.0
104Ga. Southern87.9
105Eastern Mich.87.8
106South Alabama87.8
107San Jose St.87.0
108Bowling Green86.9
109North Texas86.8
110Duke86.5
111Ohio86.1
112Southern Miss.85.8
113U T E P85.4
114Wyoming84.9
115Buffalo84.9
116Ball St.83.4
117Arkansas St.83.3
118New Mexico83.2
119Middle Tennessee81.8
120UL-Monroe81.2
121Louisiana Tech80.2
122Texas St.79.5
123Connecticut78.9
124Charlotte78.4
125Temple78.0
126Rice77.9
127Akron77.2
128New Mexico St.75.2
129Massachusetts74.3
130Hawaii72.9
131Florida Int’l.67.2

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati111.2110.3112.8111.4
UCF105.4106.1106.2105.9
Houston104.8104.3106.0105.0
SMU105.1104.3105.5105.0
East Carolina100.8100.4101.8101.0
Tulane99.098.398.398.5
Memphis96.496.696.096.3
Tulsa95.094.394.994.7
USF94.793.193.593.7
Navy90.789.989.189.9
Temple78.080.475.578.0

AAC98.398.098.298.1

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson120.6120.5121.4120.8
NC State116.7115.7116.8116.4
Florida St.112.3111.7111.7111.9
Louisville108.8107.4107.5107.9
Syracuse108.2106.8106.8107.3
Wake Forest106.0105.3105.3105.5
Boston College100.4102.299.8100.8

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Fla.)116.9115.5116.7116.4
Pittsburgh115.3114.0113.4114.2
North Carolina107.3107.6107.0107.3
Virginia103.9104.1102.2103.4
Virginia Tech99.199.496.698.4
Georgia Tech94.994.792.994.1
Duke86.689.283.786.5

ACC106.9106.7105.8106.5

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma119.1117.9119.3118.8
Oklahoma St.116.9115.2116.4116.2
Baylor115.4114.1114.6114.7
Texas112.0111.0110.5111.2
Kansas St.111.6110.2110.4110.7
T C U110.7109.2109.4109.7
Iowa St.108.5108.4108.7108.5
Texas Tech108.2106.7108.6107.8
West Virginia104.5104.3103.4104.1
Kansas100.798.497.398.8
Big 12110.7109.5109.9110.0

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.128.4126.3129.0127.9
Michigan124.2122.7124.2123.7
Michigan St.118.3116.8116.1117.1
Penn St.115.7115.3114.9115.3
Maryland109.9109.8109.4109.7
Indiana102.1101.599.1100.9
Rutgers101.9101.299.1100.7
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Wisconsin118.4117.7117.4117.9
Purdue115.7114.5113.7114.7
Iowa115.2113.7113.2114.0
Minnesota113.8113.2114.2113.7
Nebraska107.9107.9106.6107.4
Illinois104.0104.5102.0103.5
Northwestern101.4102.599.6101.2

Big Ten112.6112.0111.3112.0

Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U A B98.798.9100.599.4
W. Kentucky97.397.1100.098.1
U T S A97.595.997.396.9
Florida Atlantic87.689.287.888.2
North Texas86.785.987.886.8
U T E P85.584.985.885.4
Middle Tennessee81.082.182.281.8
Louisiana Tech80.281.778.780.2
Charlotte78.179.477.778.4
Rice78.577.977.477.9
Florida Int’l.66.769.865.067.2

CUSA85.385.785.585.5

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame117.8115.9118.0117.2
BYU113.5111.6113.6112.9
Army97.297.897.797.6
Liberty94.696.596.896.0
Connecticut79.380.876.778.9
New Mexico St.74.777.073.975.2
Massachusetts75.075.572.474.3

Independents93.293.692.793.2

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)91.694.594.393.5
Kent St.87.189.687.388.0
Bowling Green87.686.386.786.9
Ohio84.587.286.686.1
Buffalo83.586.185.284.9
Akron77.078.076.677.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
N. Illinois97.097.497.597.3
Central Mich.93.895.997.095.6
Toledo93.694.895.594.6
Western Mich.92.693.894.093.5
Eastern Mich.87.788.387.487.8
Ball St.83.184.283.083.4

MAC88.389.789.389.1

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.104.2103.0104.9104.0
Air Force102.0101.9103.4102.4
Utah St.93.293.493.993.5
Colorado St.88.189.188.488.5
Wyoming83.786.284.984.9
New Mexico83.484.182.183.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Fresno St.103.4102.7104.7103.6
San Diego St.95.295.195.495.3
Nevada87.990.088.088.6
U N L V89.086.588.688.1
San Jose St.86.586.987.687.0
Hawaii72.373.673.072.9

MWC90.791.091.291.0

Pac-12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah115.0113.7116.6115.1
U C L A108.8108.7110.4109.3
U S C108.2109.0109.0108.7
Oregon St.108.4107.9109.2108.5
Oregon108.9108.4108.1108.5
Washington104.5105.6105.9105.3
Arizona St.104.9104.9106.2105.3
Stanford103.8101.0101.8102.2
Washington St.99.199.799.999.6
California97.898.299.298.4
Arizona96.796.896.896.8
Colorado96.794.895.695.7

Pac-12104.4104.1104.9104.4

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia133.4131.7135.0133.4
Tennessee116.8116.7117.1116.9
Kentucky112.1112.9113.4112.8
South Carolina109.9109.3109.7109.6
Florida106.9108.8107.6107.8
Missouri104.1104.4103.1103.9
Vanderbilt95.196.393.394.9

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama130.6129.5132.3130.8
Arkansas116.0114.0116.2115.4
Mississippi St.115.6113.8114.2114.5
Texas A&M113.5114.9114.9114.4
L S U112.8111.9111.8112.2
Ole Miss112.7110.7111.1111.5
Auburn111.8110.3110.6110.9

SEC113.7113.2113.6113.5

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia St.98.998.0101.899.6
Appalachian St.96.598.399.198.0
Coastal Carolina94.295.796.595.5
James Madison91.293.196.193.5
Marshall92.493.893.193.1
Old Dominion90.790.890.890.8
Ga. Southern87.987.388.487.9

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana95.696.098.296.6
Troy91.191.392.491.6
South Alabama87.387.688.587.8
Southern Miss.85.486.185.985.8
Arkansas St.82.684.283.183.3
UL-Monroe81.481.780.581.2
Texas St.79.079.979.779.5

Sun Belt89.690.391.090.3

Rating of Conferences

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern113.5
2Big Ten112.0
3Big 12110.0
4Atlantic Coast106.5
5Pac-12104.4
6American Athletic98.1
7Independents93.2
8Mountain West91.0
9Sun Belt90.3
10Mid-American89.1
11Conference USA85.5

Playoff Projections

#1: Alabama

#2: Georgia

#3: Ohio St.

#4: Clemson

August 28, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football–Sept. 1-5, 2022

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 6:07 am

This Week’s Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
TennesseeBall St.33.532.033.5
PittsburghWest Virginia13.712.613.3
PurduePenn St.4.74.14.0
MissouriLouisiana Tech26.725.127.2
MinnesotaNew Mexico St.42.039.043.1
Oklahoma St.Central Michigan28.224.024.4
IndianaIllinois0.3-0.8-0.7
Old DominionVirginia Tech-9.0-9.4-6.4
Michigan St.Western Michigan29.826.926.2
DukeTemple5.85.85.0
ColoradoTCU-7.3-7.6-6.6
Ole MissTroy25.723.522.8
FloridaUtah-7.0-3.5-8.6
South FloridaBYU-12.9-12.5-14.0
SyracuseLouisville-2.9-3.3-3.5
Ohio St.Notre Dame14.214.115.2
MarylandBuffalo30.127.428.0
MichiganColorado St.38.235.037.4
Appalachian St.North Carolina-10.0-8.4-6.7
Boston CollegeRutgers2.25.15.0
James MadisonMiddle Tennessee4.04.77.7
Coastal CarolinaArmy-2.8-2.1-1.2
KentuckyMiami (O)23.521.221.9
South CarolinaGeorgia St.13.113.39.3
North TexasSMU-10.5-10.4-9.3
OhioFlorida Atlantic-0.80.41.4
East CarolinaNorth Carolina St.-16.3-15.7-15.6
WyomingTulsa-10.1-6.3-8.8
USCRice27.128.529.0
UCLABowling Green23.825.026.3
Oregon St.Boise St.4.14.63.8
WashingtonKent St.19.817.820.8
San Diego St.Arizona6.46.46.9
NevadaTexas St.9.210.58.1
Georgia (Atlanta)Oregon21.419.823.8
Southern Miss.Liberty-7.8-9.3-10.3
AlabamaUtah St.37.235.538.0
OklahomaUTEP37.236.637.4
Mississippi St.Memphis20.618.019.0
TexasUL-Monroe32.030.331.0
ArkansasCincinnati7.56.56.2
UTSAHouston-5.9-7.4-7.9
TulaneMassachusetts25.924.327.8
HawaiiWestern Kentucky-18.5-16.5-20.2
LSU (New Orleans)Florida St.3.43.33.5
Georgia TechClemson-21.7-21.5-24.4

FBS vs. FCS Games

FBSFCSPiRate
AkronSt. Francis (PA)8.3
Central FloridaS. Carolina St.29.5
Florida Int’l.Bryant8.8
ToledoLong Island39.0
Wake ForestVMI31.7
Northern IllinoisEastern Illinois28.0
UABAlabama A&M28.8
Arizona St.Northern Arizona26.1
Fresno St.Cal Poly SLO31.3
San Jose St.Portland St.12.7
Eastern MichiganEastern Kentucky13.2
CharlotteWilliam & Mary3.8
KansasTennessee Tech25.1
Air ForceNorthern Iowa15.3
New MexicoMaine4.6
Texas A&MSam Houston27.7
ConnecticutCentral Connecticut13.0
IowaSouth Dakota St.16.7
NavyDelaware18.1
VirginiaRichmond22.1
Iowa St.SE Missouri St.33.2
NebraskaNorth Dakota21.1
Miami (Fla.)Bethune-Cookman38.6
MarshallNorfolk St.28.1
CaliforniaUC Davis18.6
South AlabamaNicholls St.9.7
Georgia SouthernMorgan St.28.6
AuburnMercer28.2
VanderbiltElon17.2
Kansas St.South Dakota23.2
WisconsinIllinois St.31.3
LouisianaSE Louisiana18.1
BaylorAlbany38.5
Arkansas St.Grambling21.8
StanfordColgate30.3
Texas TechMurray St.30.0
Washington St.Idaho25.7

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Georgia130.5
2Alabama129.1
3Ohio St.128.3
4Michigan123.0
5Clemson120.0
6Oklahoma119.1
7NC State118.1
8Michigan St.117.7
9Wisconsin117.6
10Oklahoma St.117.5
11Notre Dame116.8
12Utah116.6
13Purdue115.9
14Arkansas115.3
15Tennessee115.1
16Pittsburgh115.0
17Iowa114.7
18Miami (Fla.)114.7
19Penn St.114.6
20Texas A&M114.3
21Mississippi St.113.9
22Minnesota113.6
23Baylor113.5
24Kentucky112.7
25L S U112.5
26Ole Miss112.2
27Florida St.111.6
28BYU111.5
29Cincinnati111.5
30Oregon111.3
31Auburn111.2
32Louisville111.0
33Kansas St.110.3
34Texas110.2
35Maryland110.0
36U C L A109.1
37South Carolina109.1
38Iowa St.108.7
39North Carolina108.2
40T C U107.8
41Nebraska107.6
42Oregon St.107.2
43Texas Tech106.7
44Florida106.7
45Boise St.106.0
46U S C105.9
47Houston105.5
48Wake Forest105.4
49Washington104.9
50Syracuse104.8
51Arizona St.104.5
52UCF104.4
53Illinois103.8
54Missouri103.7
55Virginia103.6
56Fresno St.103.5
57West Virginia103.3
58Stanford102.2
59SMU102.0
60Washington St.101.5
61Air Force101.4
62Northwestern101.2
63Boston College101.2
64Indiana100.9
65Georgia St.100.1
66Rutgers100.1
67East Carolina99.8
68Virginia Tech99.7
69Army99.0
70California98.3
71N. Illinois98.2
72Tulane98.2
73U A B98.1
74Appal. St.97.8
75San Diego St.97.7
76Colorado97.6
77Kansas97.3
78Memphis97.2
79Liberty97.0
80Louisiana96.9
81W. Kentucky96.7
82U T S A96.5
83Tulsa95.5
84Vanderbilt95.4
85USF95.4
86Utah St.95.2
87Georgia Tech95.0
88Central Mich.95.0
89Toledo94.5
90Arizona94.1
91Coastal Car.94.0
92Miami (Ohio)93.5
93Western Mich.93.1
94Navy92.2
95Marshall92.1
96Troy91.2
97North Texas90.4
98J. Madison89.5
99Old Dominion89.4
100Colorado St.89.2
101Florida Atlantic88.6
102Eastern Mich.88.5
103Kent St.88.4
104U N L V88.1
105Nevada87.8
106San Jose St.87.4
107Bowling Green87.1
108Ga. Southern86.6
109Middle Tennessee86.5
110Ohio85.9
111South Alabama85.8
112Southern Miss.85.3
113Ball St.85.1
114U T E P85.1
115Buffalo84.5
116Wyoming84.1
117Duke84.1
118UL-Monroe82.1
119Temple81.1
120Texas St.81.0
121Arkansas St.80.8
122Rice80.7
123Charlotte80.7
124Louisiana Tech80.4
125New Mexico80.2
126Akron78.5
127Connecticut78.2
128New Mexico St.75.3
129Hawaii74.8
130Massachusetts74.7
131Florida Int’l.67.6

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati111.3110.4112.9111.5
Houston105.1104.8106.6105.5
UCF103.9104.6104.7104.4
SMU102.3101.4102.4102.0
East Carolina99.699.2100.599.8
Tulane98.797.898.098.2
Memphis97.197.697.097.2
Tulsa95.994.995.895.5
USF96.394.895.295.4
Navy93.092.291.492.2
Temple81.083.578.781.1

AAC98.698.398.598.4

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson119.8119.6120.6120.0
NC State118.4117.4118.6118.1
Florida St.112.1111.4111.3111.6
Louisville111.8110.6110.8111.0
Wake Forest105.9105.2105.2105.4
Syracuse105.9104.3104.2104.8
Boston College100.6102.6100.3101.2

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Pittsburgh116.0114.7114.3115.0
Miami (Fla.)115.2113.8115.0114.7
North Carolina108.3108.5107.8108.2
Virginia104.1104.3102.4103.6
Virginia Tech100.4100.897.999.7
Georgia Tech95.795.693.795.0
Duke84.386.881.284.1

ACC107.0106.8105.9106.6

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma119.4118.2119.8119.1
Oklahoma St.118.3116.4117.7117.5
Baylor114.2112.9113.4113.5
Kansas St.111.2109.8110.0110.3
Texas111.2110.0109.5110.2
Iowa St.108.7108.6108.9108.7
T C U108.9107.3107.3107.8
Texas Tech107.1105.6107.5106.7
West Virginia103.8103.6102.5103.3
Kansas99.296.995.897.3

Big 12110.2108.9109.2109.5

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.128.7126.7129.6128.3
Michigan123.7121.9123.5123.0
Michigan St.119.0117.4116.8117.7
Penn St.115.1114.6114.1114.6
Maryland110.3110.1109.8110.0
Indiana102.1101.599.1100.9
Rutgers101.4100.598.3100.1

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Wisconsin118.1117.4117.1117.6
Purdue116.8115.7115.0115.9
Iowa115.9114.4113.9114.7
Minnesota113.7113.1114.1113.6
Nebraska108.1108.1106.8107.6
Illinois104.3104.8102.3103.8
Northwestern101.4102.599.6101.2

Big Ten112.8112.0111.4112.1

Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U A B97.497.699.298.1
W. Kentucky96.095.698.696.7
U T S A97.295.496.796.5
North Texas90.289.591.690.4
Florida Atlantic88.089.688.188.6
Middle Tennessee85.786.886.986.5
U T E P85.284.685.385.1
Rice81.380.780.280.7
Charlotte80.481.780.080.7
Louisiana Tech80.382.078.880.4
Florida Int’l.67.170.265.467.6

CUSA86.386.786.586.5

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame117.5115.5117.4116.8
BYU112.2110.2112.2111.5
Army98.699.399.299.0
Liberty95.497.598.097.0
Connecticut78.680.176.078.2
New Mexico St.74.877.174.075.3
Massachusetts75.376.072.774.7

Independents93.293.792.893.2

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)91.694.694.493.5
Kent St.87.490.287.788.4
Bowling Green87.886.586.987.1
Ohio84.387.086.585.9
Buffalo83.185.884.884.5
Akron78.379.377.978.5

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
N. Illinois97.998.398.498.2
Central Mich.93.195.496.495.0
Toledo93.594.795.494.5
Western Mich.92.293.593.693.1
Eastern Mich.88.489.088.188.5
Ball St.84.786.084.885.1

MAC88.590.089.689.4

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.106.1105.0107.0106.0
Air Force101.0100.9102.4101.4
Utah St.94.895.295.695.2
Colorado St.88.689.989.189.2
Wyoming82.885.684.084.1
New Mexico80.481.179.180.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Fresno St.103.3102.6104.6103.5
San Diego St.97.597.597.997.7
U N L V89.086.588.688.1
Nevada87.289.387.087.8
San Jose St.86.987.388.087.4
Hawaii74.175.674.974.8

MWC91.091.491.591.3

Pac-12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah116.5115.0118.4116.6
Oregon111.7111.4110.9111.3
U C L A108.6108.5110.2109.1
Oregon St.107.2106.6107.8107.2
U S C105.4106.2106.2105.9
Washington104.2105.0105.5104.9
Arizona St.104.1104.1105.4104.5
Stanford103.8101.0101.8102.2
Washington St.101.0101.6101.8101.5
California97.798.199.198.3
Colorado98.596.797.797.6
Arizona94.194.194.094.1

Pac-12104.4104.0104.9104.4

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia130.6128.7132.2130.5
Tennessee115.2114.9115.3115.1
Kentucky112.1112.8113.3112.7
South Carolina109.5108.8108.9109.1
Florida105.9108.0106.3106.7
Missouri104.0104.1103.0103.7
Vanderbilt95.696.893.895.4

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama129.0127.7130.6129.1
Arkansas115.9113.9116.1115.3
Texas A&M113.4114.8114.8114.3
Mississippi St.115.2113.1113.5113.9
L S U113.0112.2112.2112.5
Ole Miss113.4111.4111.8112.2
Auburn112.1110.6110.9111.2

SEC113.2112.7113.1113.0

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia St.99.398.5102.6100.1
Appalachian St.96.298.199.097.8
Coastal Carolina92.894.295.094.0
Marshall91.492.892.192.1
James Madison87.289.192.189.5
Old Dominion89.489.489.589.4
Ga. Southern86.686.087.186.6

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana95.996.398.596.9
Troy90.790.992.091.2
South Alabama85.385.686.585.8
Southern Miss.85.185.685.285.3
UL-Monroe82.282.781.582.1
Texas St.80.481.381.481.0
Arkansas St.80.181.780.680.8

Sun Belt88.889.490.289.5

Conference Rankings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern113.0
2Big Ten112.1
3Big 12109.5
4Atlantic Coast106.6
5Pac-12104.4
6American Athletic98.4
7Independents93.2
8Mountain West91.3
9Sun Belt89.5
10Mid-American89.4
11Conference USA86.5

The Best TV Games This Week

Thursday, September 1
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
7:00 PMESPNPittsburghWest Virginia
8:00 PMFoxPurduePenn St.

Friday, September 2
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
7:00 PMESPNMichigan St.Western Michigan
8:00 PMFS1IndianaIllinois
10:00 PMESPNColoradoTCU

Saturday, September 3
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
12:00 PMABCMichiganColorado St.
12:00 PMESPNEast CarolinaNorth Carolina St.
12:00 PMESPNUAppalachian St.North Carolina
12:00 PMFS1IowaSouth Dakota St.
3:30 PMCBSSan Diego St.Arizona
3:30 PMESPNArkansasCincinnati
3:30 PMABCGeorgia (Atl.)Oregon
3:30 PMFoxOklahomaUTEP
7:00 PMESPNFloridaUtah
7:30 PMESPNUMississippi St.Memphis
7:30 PMABCOhio St.Notre Dame
7:30 PMSECNAlabamaUtah St.
10:30 PMESPNOregon St.Boise St.
10:30 PMFS1WashingtonKent St.

Sunday, September 4
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
7:30 PMABCLSU (New Orleans)Florida St.

Monday, September 5
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
8:00 PMESPNGeorgia TechClemson

August 17, 2022

Big 12 Preview

This will be the final year that the Big 12 will have 10 teams. Next year, Central Florida, Houston, Cincinnati, and BYU will join the league, and for one to two years, the league will have 14 teams. Texas and Oklahoma are committed for now to remain in the Big 12 through the 2024 season. Things could change, as new league Commissioner Brett Yormark has indicated that he would be fine finding a win-win situation that would allow the Sooners and Longhorns to leave for the SEC before their scheduled July 1, 2025 date.

2022 expects to be an interesting year in the Big 12. Oklahoma welcomes a new head coach in Brent Venables, the former defensive coordinator at Clemson. There was a lot of player movement in Norman when former coach Lincoln Riley bolted for USC, but Venables has a lot of depth and talent remaining. Oklahoma is still the team to beat.

Rival Oklahoma State should see marked improvement on the defensive side, and the Cowboys must be considered the leading contender to earn the second spot in the Big 12 Championship Game.

Baylor, Texas, Iowa State, and Kansas State figure to fight it out in the next tier with TCU just behind. These seven teams should all make bowl games. The bottom three could potentially tie for last at 1-8. Texas Tech has a lot of talent but a lot of holes. West Virginia is at a crossroads. Kansas is still the least talented team in the league, but second year coach Lance Leipold has the Jayhawks trending upward.

Preseason PiRate Ratings

TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma119.3118.1119.7119.0
Oklahoma St.118.2116.3117.6117.4
Baylor114.1112.8113.3113.4
Texas111.7110.5110.0110.7
Kansas St.111.1109.7109.9110.2
Iowa St.108.6108.5108.8108.6
T C U108.8107.2107.2107.7
Texas Tech107.0105.5107.4106.6
West Virginia103.7103.5102.4103.2
Kansas99.196.895.797.2

Big 12110.1108.9109.2109.4

Preseason Big 12 Official Media Poll

Votes
#Team1st PlaceOverall
1Baylor17365
2Oklahoma12354
3Oklahoma St.9342
4Texas2289
5Kansas St.0261
6Iowa St.1180
7TCU0149
8West Virginia0147
9Texas Tech0119
10Kansas048

The PiRate Ratings are designed to look at just the next week’s schedule of games and not to use to look forward. Nevertheless, here are the predicted won-loss records for the league.

Predicted Won-Loss Records

TeamConf.Overall
Oklahoma9-013-0
Oklahoma St.8-111-2
Baylor6-38-4
Texas6-38-4
TCU5-48-4
Kansas St.4-57-5
Iowa St.4-56-6
Texas Tech2-74-8
West Virginia1-82-10
Kansas0-92-10

March 12, 2022

PiRate Ratings Bracketology–Saturday Morning, the day before Selection Sunday

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 8:27 am
Date3/12/2022
SeedTeamTeamTeamTeamTeamTeam
1ArizonaGonzagaBaylorKentucky
2KansasAuburnDukePurdue
3VillanovaTennesseeTexas TechWisconsin
4UCLAArkansasIllinoisProvidence
5ConnecticutHoustonIowaTexas
6Saint Mary’sLSUAlabamaColorado St.
7Michigan St.Boise St.Ohio St.USC
8San Diego St.TCUMurray St.Creighton
9MemphisNorth CarolinaIowa St.Seton Hall
10MarquetteDavidsonLoyola (Chi.)San Francisco
11IndianaMiami (Fla.)Notre DameMichigan
12South Dakota St.UABSMUWyomingRutgersVirginia Tech
13VermontChattanoogaNew Mexico St.Princeton
14Kent St.Montana St.LongwoodColgate
15Long Beach St.MonmouthDelawareJacksonville St.
16Wright St.BryantNorfolk St.Georgia St.Texas SouthernTexas A&M-CC

Teams That Can Steal a Bid (Alphabetical Order)

Dayton
Richmond
Saint Louis
Texas A&M
Tulane

February 22, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Tuesday, February 22, 2022

HomeVisitorsSpread
North DakotaSt. Thomas-0.9
DartmouthYale-2.2
MissouriTennessee-12.5
FloridaArkansas-0.6
IowaMichigan St.5.6
NortheasternCharleston-1.1
MonmouthSiena9.2
St. BonaventureRhode Island7.1
George WashingtonRichmond-6.4
Eastern MichiganNorthern Illinois2.6
Kent St.Ball St.9.6
AkronBowling Green8.1
Miami (O)Buffalo-6.5
Western MichiganToledo-15.3
OhioCentral Michigan17.6
Texas A&MGeorgia12.2
ConnecticutVillanova0.4
Texas TechOklahoma9.3
PittsburghMiami (Fla.)-4.4
Saint LouisSaint Joseph’s11.8
NorthwesternNebraska11.2
KansasKansas St.13.0
VanderbiltAlabama-3.8
Air ForceFresno St.-8.7
Boise St.San Diego St.2.0
Cal PolyCal St. Bakersfield-1.5
Utah St.New Mexico12.1
NevadaUNLV0.3

February 18, 2022

PiRate Ratings Bracketology

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 3:07 pm
Date2/18/2022
SeedTeamTeamTeamTeamTeamTeam
1GonzagaAuburnArizonaKansas
2BaylorKentuckyPurdueVillanova
3DukeTexas TechWisconsinTennessee
4ProvidenceUCLAIllinoisTexas
5HoustonOhio St.AlabamaLSU
6ConnecticutMichigan St.ArkansasMarquette
7USCXavierColorado St.Saint Mary’s
8IowaMurray St.Seton HallBoise St.
9Wake ForestIowa St.Loyola (Chi.)Wyoming
10TCUMiami (Fla.)IndianaSan Francisco
11DavidsonNotre DameMemphisMichigan
12North TexasIonaSan Diego St.CreightonNorth CarolinaOklahoma
13ChattanoogaSouth Dakota St.OhioVermont
14New Mexico St.WagnerMontana St.Texas St.
15Cleveland St.LibertyYaleColgate
16Long Beach St.LongwoodUNC WilmingtonNorfolk St.New OrleansSouthern

Best of the Rest

69Belmont
70Oregon
71Florida
72BYU
73Rutgers
74UAB
75SMU
76Virginia Tech
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