PiRate Ratings Selections for September 20-24, 2018

Hooray for once.  The PiRate Ratings official picks last week enjoyed a nice winning record, sending the year to date record into positive territory.  It is a small profit, as the return on investment is just 1.92%, but at least it isn’t a red number.  Better yet, our straight picks against the spread or in the totals have a record of 11-6-1 for the season.  It is the exotic picks that have stunk up the joint.  Thus, we will go with just straight picks this week.

Best of all, out special Land Sharps are just torching the books with their selections.  One of the sharps, Buckeye Michelle, has been insane with her picks the last two weeks, and we have received messages from some of our regular subscribers asking for more information about her.  First of all, we are not in the business of matchmaking, so don’t ask.  And, yes, she is an incredibly beautiful 29-year old football fanatic.

One of you actually revealed to us that you know who Stewed Meat is.  Stewed is a real sharp.  Stewed lives in Nevada, and handicapping is Stewed career.  Stewed has shown us something special this week that many people never get the opportunity to see performed–playing the middle against both sides.  We’ll explain more about this at the end.

Here are this week’s PiRate Ratings Selections Against The Spread

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Wisconsin	Iowa	3.5	Iowa
Louisiana	Coastal Carolina	4.5	Coastal Carolina
North Carolina St.	Marshall	4.5	North Carolina St.
Maryland	Minnesota	3	Minnesota
Stanford	Oregon	1.5	Stanford
West Virginia	Kansas St.	17	Kansas St.
Chicago	Arizona	7	Arizona
Philadelphia	Indianapolis	6	Philadelphia
Green Bay	Washington	3	Washington

Now for the Land Sharps.  At the present time, this is how each has done so far.

Buckeye Michelle is 9-1 for 90% against the spread and +$790 a 79% ROI

Cal Gal Tiffy is 9-3 for 75% against the spread and +$570 a 47.5% ROI

Friday Dog 13 is 4-2 for 67% against the spread and +$180 a 30% ROI

Stewed Meat is 6-4 for 60% against the spread and +$160 a 16% ROI

Dean 615 is 3-3 for 50% against the spread and -$30 a -5% ROI

If more than one of our expert pickers agree on picking the same game, it must be a strong pick.  You will notice that a couple of games were selected by multiple sharps this week.  You will also notice that a couple of sharps picked against each other.

If you are just tuning in to this feature, the rules are simple.  The 5 participants can select against the margin or going over or under the total for any FBS college football game.  They can select 3, 5,7, or 9 games each week.  We then select the most favorable spread available at oddshark.com.

Here are the Land Sharps Picks For the Week.

Buckeye Michelle

Minnesota +3 vs. Maryland

Kansas St. +17 vs. West Virginia

Wake Forest +8 vs. Notre Dame

Army +32 vs. Oklahoma

Stanford -1.5 vs. Oregon

 

Cal Gal Tiffy

Minnesota +3 vs. Maryland

Kansas St. +17 vs. West Virginia

South Carolina -2 vs. Vanderbilt

North Carolina St. -4.5 vs. Marshall

UTSA -7 vs. Texas St.

 

Friday Dog 13

Penn St. -28 vs. Illinois

North Carolina St. -4.5 vs. Marshall

Virginia -5 vs. Louisville

Clemson -16 vs. Georgia Tech

TCU -3 vs. Texas

 

Stewed Meat

Minnesota +3 vs. Maryland

Kansas St. +17 vs. West Virginia

Iowa +3.5 vs. Wisconsin

Stanford -1.5 vs. Oregon

Louisville +5.5 vs. Virginia

 

Dean 615

Notre Dame -7 vs. Wake Forest

Michigan St. -4.5 vs. Indiana

USC -3.5 vs. Washington St.

Texas +3.5 vs. TCU

Nebraska +18 vs. Michigan

 

Special Look At Stewed Meat’s Real Life Strategy

Stewed is an expert at “Middling”.  In order to be able to do this, Stewed gets access to playing the early line and then immediately plays one side of a game in which Stewed believes the line is off and will move in the opposite direction of which Stewed originally played.  Then, when the line moves in the opposite direction, Stewed plays the other side

Let’s look at an example.  Let’s say Alabama opens as a 14.5 point favorite over Auburn, and Stewed likes Auburn at this number.  So Stewed wagers on Auburn at +14.5.  During the week, a lot of other people believe 14.5 points are too much for Alabama, and they bet the spread down to 11.5.  Now, Stewed wagers on Alabama at -11.5.

On the surface, you might think this is nuts.  Stewed will have a slim chance of the game ending up at 12, 13, or 14 points in Alabama’s favor, giving Stewed two wins.  In most cases, Stewed will win one and lose one and lose $10 for every $100 wagered on both sides.

However, if you look at the 11-10 odds and do a little mathematical calculations, Stewed only needs to have the game come in at the middle of the extremes one time out of 19 in order to turn a profit, plus Stewed has a Margin of Safety in place, because the most Stewed can lose is 10% on the dollar wagered.

Earlier this week, Stewed Wagered on the following games that have seen a significant line change and then wagered on the other team once the line moved in the other direction.

SMU +12.5 vs. Navy

Navy -7 vs. SMU

 

Ball St. Pk vs. Western Kentucky

Western Kentucky +3 vs. Ball St.

 

Alabama -23.5 vs. Texas A&M

Texas A&M +27 vs. Alabama

 

Auburn -24 vs. Arkansas

Arkansas +30 vs. Auburn

If just one of these four games come in with the spread in the middle, Stewed will turn a nice profit.

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PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast For Week 3: September 20-24, 2018

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Total
Cleveland	N.Y. Jets	0.1	0.3	0.6	45
Philadelphia	Indianapolis	12.3	14.4	11.9	45
Carolina	Cincinnati	5.2	4.1	5.2	43
Jacksonville	Tennessee	10.4	10.1	11.2	42.5
Atlanta	New Orleans	3.5	3.5	3.7	45
Baltimore	Denver	5.9	6.9	6.6	44.5
Houston	N.Y. Giants	5.4	5.4	5.1	43
Miami	Oakland	7.8	6.8	8.2	42.5
Washington	Green Bay	2.1	-0.2	2.2	45
Minnesota	Buffalo	16.0	16.3	16.2	38
Kansas City	San Francisco	9.5	9.4	9.9	49
L.A. Rams	L.A. Chargers	6.7	7.3	7.3	47
Arizona	Chicago	-1.6	-2.3	-2.8	37.5
Seattle	Dallas	3.7	3.2	3.7	41.5
Detroit	New England	-3.3	-4.3	-3.2	47
Tampa Bay	Pittsburgh	-5.2	-5.3	-3.9	45.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	104.4	105.1	104.2	104.6	21	1-1
Miami	99.2	98.6	99.6	99.1	21.5	2-0
N. Y. Jets	98.7	98.5	98.9	98.7	23	1-1
Buffalo	91.4	91.3	91.0	91.2	18	0-2
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Pittsburgh	105.1	105.0	104.3	104.8	22.5	0-1-1
Baltimore	101.2	101.9	101.3	101.5	23	1-1
Cincinnati	99.7	100.3	99.9	100.0	21.5	2-0
Cleveland	95.8	95.8	96.5	96.0	22	0-1-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Jacksonville	104.3	104.2	104.7	104.4	21.5	2-0
Houston	99.2	99.2	98.9	99.1	24	0-2
Tennessee	96.9	97.0	96.5	96.8	21	1-1
Indianapolis	95.0	93.1	94.8	94.3	22	1-1
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	105.3	105.7	105.7	105.6	25.5	2-0
LA Chargers	101.1	101.9	101.4	101.5	22	1-1
Denver	98.3	98.0	97.7	98.0	21.5	2-0
Oakland	94.8	95.3	94.9	95.0	21	0-2
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Philadelphia	102.2	102.5	101.8	102.2	23	1-1
Dallas	99.6	99.6	99.3	99.5	19.5	1-1
Washington	99.6	98.4	99.4	99.1	21.5	1-1
N.Y. Giants	96.8	96.7	96.8	96.8	19	0-2
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Minnesota	104.4	104.5	104.2	104.4	20	1-0-1
Green Bay	100.5	101.6	100.2	100.7	23.5	1-0-1
Chicago	99.3	99.0	100.0	99.4	18.5	1-1
Detroit	98.1	97.9	98.0	98.0	26	0-2
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Atlanta	104.4	104.3	104.6	104.4	21.5	1-1
New Orleans	103.4	103.3	103.4	103.4	23.5	1-1
Carolina	101.9	101.4	102.1	101.8	21.5	1-1
Tampa Bay	97.9	97.7	98.4	98.0	23	2-0
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
LA Rams	107.9	109.2	108.7	108.6	25	2-0
Seattle	100.3	99.8	100.0	100.0	22	0-2
San Francisco	98.8	99.3	98.8	99.0	23.5	1-1
Arizona	94.7	93.7	94.2	94.2	19	0-2

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1	Kansas City
2	Jacksonville
3	New England
4	Cincinnati
5	Miami
6	L.A. Chargers

 

NFC Seeding
1	L.A. Rams
2	Minnesota
3	Philadelphia
4	Tampa Bay
5	Green Bay
6	Atlanta

 

Wildcard Round

L.A. Chargers over New England

Miami over Cincinnati

Philadelphia over Atlanta

Green Bay over Tampa Bay

 

Divisional Round

L.A. Chargers over Kansas City

Jacksonville over Miami

L.A. Rams over Green Bay

Minnesota over Philadelphia

 

Conference Championship

Jacksonville over L.A. Chargers

L.A. Rams over Minnesota

 

Super Bowl 53

L.A. Rams over Jacksonville

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings–College Football Week 4

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

Thursday,	September 20
Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Temple	Tulsa	8.4	9.6	8.3

 

Friday	September 21
Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Central Florida	Florida Atlantic	17.3	16.5	16.6
Illinois	Penn St.	-26.8	-23.9	-28.2
USC	Washington St.	2.8	1.8	3.1

 

Saturday	September 22
Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Iowa St.	Akron	18.5	15.2	17.5
Marshall	North Carolina St.	-16.0	-12.5	-14.4
Massachusetts	Charlotte	10.2	9.7	11.0
Indiana	Michigan St.	-20.5	-18.8	-20.5
Maryland	Minnesota	-2.4	-3.4	-3.3
Ball St.	Western Kentucky	1.6	0.6	-0.2
Purdue	Boston College	-10.2	-9.0	-11.1
Syracuse	Connecticut	33.9	32.3	34.3
Miami (Fla.)	Florida Int’l.	32.4	26.6	31.4
North Carolina	Pittsburgh	0.8	0.0	0.6
Florida St.	Northern Illinois	13.6	11.8	13.0
Bowling Green	Miami (O)	-3.6	-5.3	-4.1
Ohio St.	Tulane	37.3	34.7	38.4
Georgia Tech	Clemson	-18.0	-15.8	-19.2
Cincinnati	Ohio U	1.8	2.2	1.0
South Florida	East Carolina	15.4	18.9	17.0
Wake Forest	Notre Dame	-7.7	-6.4	-8.5
Toledo	Nevada	9.0	10.8	9.1
Virginia	Louisville	4.8	5.2	4.4
Georgia St.	Western Michigan	-11.4	-10.3	-11.3
Rutgers	Buffalo	-2.3	-5.5	-5.7
Oregon St.	Arizona	-10.1	-10.8	-11.6
Oregon	Stanford	-5.6	-3.0	-5.5
Tennessee	Florida	-10.9	-8.8	-12.0
Kentucky	Mississippi St.	-12.1	-10.6	-12.9
Michigan	Nebraska	26.9	27.2	29.8
West Virginia	Kansas St.	9.5	10.0	9.8
Ole Miss	Kent St.	26.5	25.3	28.1
Southern Miss.	Rice	14.9	15.1	16.7
Auburn	Arkansas	24.7	26.1	28.6
Oklahoma St.	Texas Tech	14.7	14.3	16.3
SMU	Navy	-1.6	-5.2	-2.3
Louisiana	Coastal Carolina	3.7	2.6	4.1
Arkansas St.	UNLV	2.6	2.3	3.9
Texas	TCU	0.2	-0.4	0.4
Oklahoma	Army	29.5	27.8	30.2
LSU	Louisiana Tech	23.0	20.4	22.9
Baylor	Kansas	4.4	3.3	5.9
Vanderbilt	South Carolina	-7.1	-5.2	-6.3
Memphis	South Alabama	26.8	27.0	27.3
Utah St.	Air Force	13.2	14.6	15.3
UTEP	New Mexico St.	-3.9	-3.1	-4.5
UTSA	Texas St.	11.1	12.4	12.5
UL-Monroe	Troy	-1.2	-2.9	-2.0
Old Dominion	Virginia Tech	-34.2	-29.7	-34.3
Liberty	North Texas	-17.1	-21.5	-17.8
Missouri	Georgia	-14.7	-12.5	-14.9
Alabama	Texas A&M	28.9	28.0	30.4
Iowa	Wisconsin	0.3	0.6	0.1
Washington	Arizona St.	22.5	21.5	25.4
San Diego St.	Eastern Michigan	10.9	10.1	11.5

 

FBS vs. FCS
Home	Visitor	PiRate
Colorado St.	Illinois St.	10.5
Central Michigan	Maine	5.0
Duke	UNC-Central	49.9
Appalachian St.	Gardner-Webb	40.9
BYU	McNeese St.	19.0
Houston	Texas Southern	45.6
Hawaii	Duquesne	27.1

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

PiRate Ratings
#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
1	Alabama	139.3	137.2	141.2	139.2
2	Georgia	132.2	128.4	133.6	131.4
3	Clemson	129.8	126.7	130.5	129.0
4	Ohio St.	128.7	126.2	129.3	128.1
5	Washington	126.8	124.4	129.1	126.7
6	Mississippi St.	123.8	121.1	124.4	123.1
7	Oklahoma	122.6	121.3	123.2	122.4
8	Michigan	122.3	121.1	122.8	122.0
9	Penn St.	122.7	119.8	123.2	121.9
10	Michigan St.	122.6	120.3	122.3	121.8
11	Auburn	121.4	120.2	123.6	121.7
12	Stanford	120.0	117.6	120.5	119.4
13	Notre Dame	119.4	115.8	117.8	117.6
14	Miami	117.9	116.3	117.7	117.3
15	Boston College	118.2	115.3	118.4	117.3
16	Virginia Tech	116.5	116.0	116.4	116.3
17	Wisconsin	117.0	114.3	116.6	116.0
18	Oklahoma St.	116.4	114.6	116.7	115.9
19	Duke	115.6	113.2	115.2	114.7
20	L S U	114.1	114.0	115.2	114.4
21	Missouri	114.5	113.0	115.7	114.4
22	T C U	114.2	113.3	113.2	113.5
23	Boise St.	113.5	112.7	113.9	113.4
24	Iowa	114.3	111.9	113.7	113.3
25	N. Carolina St.	113.6	113.0	113.2	113.3
26	Texas A&M	113.4	112.2	113.8	113.1
27	Central Florida	113.0	112.8	113.1	113.0
28	S. Carolina	112.3	111.1	111.7	111.7
29	Oregon	111.4	111.5	112.1	111.7
30	West Virginia	112.0	111.2	111.4	111.5
31	Utah	111.1	109.3	112.0	110.8
32	Texas	111.4	109.9	110.6	110.6
33	Florida	110.8	109.1	111.1	110.3
34	Fresno St.	110.0	108.3	109.9	109.4
35	Iowa State	110.0	108.0	109.3	109.1
36	Georgia Tech	109.3	108.3	108.7	108.8
37	Washington St.	109.1	108.2	108.0	108.4
38	Northwestern	109.1	107.2	108.9	108.4
39	California	109.4	106.6	109.0	108.3
40	Kentucky	108.8	107.6	108.5	108.3
41	Syracuse	109.0	107.6	108.1	108.2
42	U S C	108.9	107.0	108.1	108.0
43	Wake Forest	108.7	106.4	106.3	107.1
44	Arizona St.	107.3	105.9	106.6	106.6
45	Minnesota	106.7	106.2	106.6	106.5
46	Memphis	105.0	107.3	106.3	106.2
47	Florida St.	105.8	104.9	105.1	105.2
48	Kansas St.	105.5	104.1	104.5	104.7
49	Utah St.	103.5	105.0	105.1	104.5
50	Purdue	105.0	103.3	104.3	104.2
51	Ole Miss	104.0	103.7	104.8	104.1
52	Texas Tech	104.7	103.2	103.4	103.8
53	Vanderbilt	102.6	103.4	102.9	103.0
54	BYU	102.2	102.8	102.9	102.6
55	N. Texas	101.4	104.1	102.2	102.5
56	Houston	102.1	102.9	102.3	102.4
57	Colorado	101.1	102.7	102.4	102.1
58	Pittsburgh	102.3	102.0	101.7	102.0
59	Virginia	102.2	102.7	101.1	102.0
60	Baylor	102.3	100.1	101.7	101.4
61	San Diego St.	100.2	100.7	101.4	100.7
62	Arizona	101.2	99.5	101.1	100.6
63	Maryland	101.2	99.8	100.3	100.4
64	Louisville	100.4	100.4	99.8	100.2
65	N. Carolina	100.6	99.5	99.8	100.0
66	Kansas	100.9	99.8	98.9	99.9
67	South Florida	98.3	101.0	99.0	99.4
68	Indiana	99.1	98.5	98.8	98.8
69	Florida Atlantic	98.3	98.8	99.0	98.7
70	Arkansas	99.7	97.0	98.0	98.2
71	Temple	97.2	97.2	97.6	97.3
72	Toledo	96.6	98.3	96.5	97.1
73	Nebraska	98.4	96.9	96.0	97.1
74	Tennessee	96.9	97.3	96.1	96.8
75	Buffalo	95.4	97.7	96.7	96.6
76	Wyoming	96.6	96.5	96.4	96.5
77	Navy	95.5	98.3	95.2	96.4
78	Army	96.1	96.5	96.0	96.2
79	Marshall	94.6	97.5	95.8	96.0
80	Northern Illinois	95.3	96.0	95.1	95.5
81	Appalachian St.	94.5	96.0	95.8	95.4
82	U C L A	96.2	96.0	93.2	95.1
83	Akron	94.4	95.8	94.8	95.0
84	Louisiana Tech	93.6	96.1	94.8	94.8
85	Ohio U	93.9	95.1	94.7	94.6
86	Tulane	94.3	94.6	93.9	94.3
87	Cincinnati	93.2	94.8	93.2	93.7
88	Air Force	93.3	93.4	92.8	93.2
89	Eastern Michigan	92.3	93.6	92.9	92.9
90	Illinois	93.0	92.9	92.0	92.6
91	Troy	90.9	92.2	92.3	91.8
92	Western Michigan	90.9	92.5	91.7	91.7
93	Tulsa	91.3	90.1	91.8	91.1
94	Nevada	91.1	90.9	90.9	91.0
95	SMU	91.5	90.6	90.4	90.8
96	U N L V	90.0	91.6	90.5	90.7
97	Arkansas St.	89.6	91.0	91.4	90.7
98	Miami (O)	89.0	90.7	89.7	89.8
99	U A B	88.9	91.1	89.1	89.7
100	Middle Tennessee	89.0	90.2	89.9	89.7
101	Rutgers	90.5	89.6	88.6	89.6
102	Florida Int’l.	87.5	91.8	88.3	89.2
103	New Mexico	86.9	88.8	87.2	87.6
104	Georgia Southern	86.3	87.7	86.6	86.9
105	UL-Monroe	86.7	86.2	87.3	86.8
106	Oregon St.	88.0	85.7	86.5	86.7
107	East Carolina	85.9	85.1	85.0	85.3
108	Central Michigan	84.0	86.7	84.4	85.0
109	W. Kentucky	83.1	86.3	84.2	84.5
110	Massachusetts	83.2	85.2	84.4	84.3
111	Colo. State	84.0	84.8	83.9	84.2
112	Southern Miss.	82.5	85.7	83.0	83.8
113	Bowling Green	83.4	83.4	83.6	83.5
114	Ball St.	82.1	84.5	81.6	82.7
115	South Alabama	81.2	83.3	82.0	82.2
116	U T S A	79.4	83.8	80.2	81.2
117	Old Dominion	79.8	83.8	79.6	81.1
118	Hawaii	80.6	82.9	79.4	81.0
119	Liberty	81.2	79.5	81.4	80.7
120	Kent St.	80.4	81.4	79.6	80.5
121	Louisiana	79.5	81.4	80.5	80.5
122	Coastal Carolina	78.8	81.8	79.4	80.0
123	Georgia St.	77.1	79.7	77.9	78.2
124	San Jose St.	78.5	79.3	76.7	78.2
125	Connecticut	78.1	78.3	76.8	77.7
126	Charlotte	75.0	77.5	75.3	75.9
127	N. Mexico St.	74.7	76.9	74.6	75.4
128	Texas State	70.8	73.9	70.2	71.6
129	Rice	70.6	73.6	69.3	71.2
130	U T E P	68.8	71.8	68.2	69.6

 

PiRate Rating By Conference

American Athletic Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	AAC	Overall
Central Florida	113.0	112.8	113.1	113.0	1-0	2-0
South Florida	98.3	101.0	99.0	99.4	0-0	3-0
Temple	97.2	97.2	97.6	97.3	0-0	1-2
Cincinnati	93.2	94.8	93.2	93.7	0-0	3-0
East Carolina	85.9	85.1	85.0	85.3	0-0	1-1
Connecticut	78.1	78.3	76.8	77.7	0-1	1-2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	AAC	Overall
Memphis	105.0	107.3	106.3	106.2	0-1	2-1
Houston	102.1	102.9	102.3	102.4	0-0	2-1
Navy	95.5	98.3	95.2	96.4	1-0	2-1
Tulane	94.3	94.6	93.9	94.3	0-0	1-2
Tulsa	91.3	90.1	91.8	91.1	0-0	1-2
SMU	91.5	90.6	90.4	90.8	0-0	0-3
AAC Averages	95.5	96.1	95.4	95.6
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	ACC	Overall
Clemson	129.8	126.7	130.5	129.0	0-0	3-0
Boston College	118.2	115.3	118.4	117.3	1-0	3-0
N. Carolina St.	113.6	113.0	113.2	113.3	0-0	2-0
Syracuse	109.0	107.6	108.1	108.2	1-0	3-0
Wake Forest	108.7	106.4	106.3	107.1	0-1	2-1
Florida St.	105.8	104.9	105.1	105.2	0-2	1-2
Louisville	100.4	100.4	99.8	100.2	0-0	2-1
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	ACC	Overall
Miami	117.9	116.3	117.7	117.3	0-0	2-1
Virginia Tech	116.5	116.0	116.4	116.3	1-0	2-0
Duke	115.6	113.2	115.2	114.7	0-0	3-0
Georgia Tech	109.3	108.3	108.7	108.8	0-1	1-2
Pittsburgh	102.3	102.0	101.7	102.0	1-0	2-1
Virginia	102.2	102.7	101.1	102.0	0-0	2-1
N. Carolina	100.6	99.5	99.8	100.0	0-0	0-2
ACC Averages	110.7	109.5	110.2	110.1
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	B12	Overall
Oklahoma	122.6	121.3	123.2	122.4	1-0	3-0
Oklahoma St.	116.4	114.6	116.7	115.9	0-0	3-0
T C U	114.2	113.3	113.2	113.5	0-0	2-1
West Virginia	112.0	111.2	111.4	111.5	0-0	2-0
Texas	111.4	109.9	110.6	110.6	0-0	2-1
Iowa State	110.0	108.0	109.3	109.1	0-1	0-2
Kansas St.	105.5	104.1	104.5	104.7	0-0	2-1
Texas Tech	104.7	103.2	103.4	103.8	0-0	2-1
Baylor	102.3	100.1	101.7	101.4	0-0	2-1
Kansas	100.9	99.8	98.9	99.9	0-0	2-1
Big 12 Averages	110.0	108.5	109.3	109.3
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Ohio St.	128.7	126.2	129.3	128.1	1-0	3-0
Michigan	122.3	121.1	122.8	122.0	0-0	2-1
Penn St.	122.7	119.8	123.2	121.9	0-0	3-0
Michigan St.	122.6	120.3	122.3	121.8	0-0	1-1
Maryland	101.2	99.8	100.3	100.4	0-0	2-1
Indiana	99.1	98.5	98.8	98.8	0-0	3-0
Rutgers	90.5	89.6	88.6	89.6	0-1	1-2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Wisconsin	117.0	114.3	116.6	116.0	0-0	2-1
Iowa	114.3	111.9	113.7	113.3	0-0	3-0
Northwestern	109.1	107.2	108.9	108.4	1-0	1-2
Minnesota	106.7	106.2	106.6	106.5	0-0	3-0
Purdue	105.0	103.3	104.3	104.2	0-1	0-3
Nebraska	98.4	96.9	96.0	97.1	0-0	0-2
Illinois	93.0	92.9	92.0	92.6	0-0	2-1
Big Ten Averages	109.3	107.7	108.8	108.6
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	CUSA	Overall
Florida Atlantic	98.3	98.8	99.0	98.7	0-0	2-1
Marshall	94.6	97.5	95.8	96.0	0-0	2-0
Middle Tennessee	89.0	90.2	89.9	89.7	0-0	1-2
Florida Int’l.	87.5	91.8	88.3	89.2	1-0	2-1
W. Kentucky	83.1	86.3	84.2	84.5	0-0	0-3
Old Dominion	79.8	83.8	79.6	81.1	0-2	0-3
Charlotte	75.0	77.5	75.3	75.9	1-0	2-1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	CUSA	Overall
N. Texas	101.4	104.1	102.2	102.5	0-0	3-0
Louisiana Tech	93.6	96.1	94.8	94.8	0-0	2-0
U A B	88.9	91.1	89.1	89.7	0-0	2-1
Southern Miss.	82.5	85.7	83.0	83.8	0-0	1-1
U T S A	79.4	83.8	80.2	81.2	0-0	0-3
Rice	70.6	73.6	69.3	71.2	0-0	1-2
U T E P	68.8	71.8	68.2	69.6	0-0	0-3
CUSA Averages	85.2	88.0	85.7	86.3
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	Conf.	Overall
Notre Dame	119.4	115.8	117.8	117.6	x	3-0
BYU	102.2	102.8	102.9	102.6	x	2-1
Army	96.1	96.5	96.0	96.2	x	2-1
Massachusetts	83.2	85.2	84.4	84.3	x	1-3
Liberty	81.2	79.5	81.4	80.7	x	1-1
N. Mexico St.	74.7	76.9	74.6	75.4	x	0-4
Indep. Averages	92.8	92.8	92.9	92.8
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MAC	Overall
Buffalo	95.4	97.7	96.7	96.6	1-0	3-0
Akron	94.4	95.8	94.8	95.0	0-0	2-0
Ohio U	93.9	95.1	94.7	94.6	0-0	1-1
Miami (O)	89.0	90.7	89.7	89.8	0-0	0-3
Bowling Green	83.4	83.4	83.6	83.5	0-0	1-2
Kent St.	80.4	81.4	79.6	80.5	0-0	1-2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MAC	Overall
Toledo	96.6	98.3	96.5	97.1	0-0	1-1
Northern Illinois	95.3	96.0	95.1	95.5	1-0	1-2
Eastern Michigan	92.3	93.6	92.9	92.9	0-1	2-1
Western Michigan	90.9	92.5	91.7	91.7	0-0	1-2
Central Michigan	84.0	86.7	84.4	85.0	0-1	0-3
Ball St.	82.1	84.5	81.6	82.7	0-0	1-2
MAC Averages	89.8	91.3	90.1	90.4
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MWC	Overall
Boise St.	113.5	112.7	113.9	113.4	0-0	2-1
Utah St.	103.5	105.0	105.1	104.5	0-0	2-1
Wyoming	96.6	96.5	96.4	96.5	0-0	2-2
Air Force	93.3	93.4	92.8	93.2	0-0	1-1
New Mexico	86.9	88.8	87.2	87.6	0-0	2-1
Colo. State	84.0	84.8	83.9	84.2	0-1	1-3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MWC	Overall
Fresno St.	110.0	108.3	109.9	109.4	0-0	2-1
San Diego St.	100.2	100.7	101.4	100.7	0-0	2-1
Nevada	91.1	90.9	90.9	91.0	0-0	2-1
U N L V	90.0	91.6	90.5	90.7	0-0	2-1
Hawaii	80.6	82.9	79.4	81.0	1-0	3-1
San Jose St.	78.5	79.3	76.7	78.2	0-0	0-3
MWC Averages	94.0	94.6	94.0	94.2
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	P12	Overall
Washington	126.8	124.4	129.1	126.7	1-0	2-1
Stanford	120.0	117.6	120.5	119.4	1-0	3-0
Oregon	111.4	111.5	112.1	111.7	0-0	3-0
Washington St.	109.1	108.2	108.0	108.4	0-0	3-0
California	109.4	106.6	109.0	108.3	0-0	3-0
Oregon St.	88.0	85.7	86.5	86.7	0-0	1-2
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	P12	Overall
Utah	111.1	109.3	112.0	110.8	0-1	2-1
U S C	108.9	107.0	108.1	108.0	0-1	1-2
Arizona St.	107.3	105.9	106.6	106.6	0-0	2-1
Colorado	101.1	102.7	102.4	102.1	0-0	3-0
Arizona	101.2	99.5	101.1	100.6	0-0	1-2
U C L A	96.2	96.0	93.2	95.1	0-0	0-3
Pac-12 Averages	107.5	106.2	107.4	107.0
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SEC	Overall
Georgia	132.2	128.4	133.6	131.4	1-0	3-0
Missouri	114.5	113.0	115.7	114.4	0-0	3-0
S. Carolina	112.3	111.1	111.7	111.7	0-1	1-1
Florida	110.8	109.1	111.1	110.3	0-1	2-1
Kentucky	108.8	107.6	108.5	108.3	1-0	3-0
Vanderbilt	102.6	103.4	102.9	103.0	0-0	2-1
Tennessee	96.9	97.3	96.1	96.8	0-0	2-1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SEC	Overall
Alabama	139.3	137.2	141.2	139.2	1-0	3-0
Mississippi St.	123.8	121.1	124.4	123.1	0-0	3-0
Auburn	121.4	120.2	123.6	121.7	0-1	2-1
L S U	114.1	114.0	115.2	114.4	1-0	3-0
Texas A&M	113.4	112.2	113.8	113.1	0-0	2-1
Ole Miss	104.0	103.7	104.8	104.1	0-1	2-1
Arkansas	99.7	97.0	98.0	98.2	0-0	1-2
SEC Averages	113.8	112.5	114.3	113.6
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SBC	Overall
Appalachian St.	94.5	96.0	95.8	95.4	0-0	1-1
Troy	90.9	92.2	92.3	91.8	0-0	2-1
Georgia Southern	86.3	87.7	86.6	86.9	0-0	2-1
Coastal Carolina	78.8	81.8	79.4	80.0	0-0	2-1
Georgia St.	77.1	79.7	77.9	78.2	0-0	1-2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SBC	Overall
Arkansas St.	89.6	91.0	91.4	90.7	0-0	2-1
UL-Monroe	86.7	86.2	87.3	86.8	0-0	2-1
South Alabama	81.2	83.3	82.0	82.2	1-0	1-2
Louisiana	79.5	81.4	80.5	80.5	0-0	1-1
Texas State	70.8	73.9	70.2	71.6	0-1	1-2
Sun Belt Averages	83.5	85.3	84.3	84.4

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference
#	League	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
1	SEC	113.8	112.5	114.3	113.6
2	ACC	110.7	109.5	110.2	110.1
3	B12	110.0	108.5	109.3	109.3
4	BTEN	109.3	107.7	108.8	108.6
5	P-12	107.5	106.2	107.4	107.0
6	AAC	95.5	96.1	95.4	95.6
7	MWC	94.0	94.6	94.0	94.2
8	IND	92.8	92.8	92.9	92.8
9	MAC	89.8	91.3	90.1	90.4
10	CUSA	85.2	88.0	85.7	86.3
11	SUN	83.5	85.3	84.3	84.4

This Week’s Top 5 Group of 5 Teams

1. South Florida
2. Central Florida
3. North Texas
4. Cincinnati
5. Buffalo

 

This Week’s Playoff and Bowl Projections

Bowl	Conferences		Team 1	Team 2
New Mexico	MWC	CUSA	San Diego St.	[Northern Illinois]
Cure	AAC	SBC	Central Florida	Appalachian St.
Las Vegas	MWC	Pac-12	Fresno St.	Arizona St.
Camellia	MAC	SBC	Akron	Georgia Southern
New Orleans	CUSA	SBC	UAB	UL-Monroe
Boca Raton	MAC	CUSA	Marshall	Western Michigan
Frisco	AAC	MAC	[Utah]	Toledo
Gasparilla	AAC	CUSA	South Florida	Florida Atlantic
Bahamas	AAC	CUSA	Houston	Florida Int’l.
Idaho Potato	MAC	MWC	Buffalo	Utah St.
Birmingham	AAC	SEC	Memphis	Vanderbilt
Armed Forces	AAC	Big 12	Navy	[BYU]
Dollar General	MAC	SBC	Ohio U	Troy
Hawaii	CUSA	MWC	Louisiana Tech	Hawaii
Heart of Dallas	Big Ten	CUSA	[Army]	Southern Miss.
Quick Lane	ACC	Big Ten	Wake Forest	Indiana
Cactus	Big 12	Pac-12	Texas Tech	California
Independence	ACC	SEC	Virginia	[Coastal Carolina]
Pinstripe	ACC	Big Ten	Boston College	Wisconsin
Texas	Big 12	SEC	Iowa St.	South Carolina
Music City	ACC/Big Ten	SEC	Duke	Missouri
Camping World	ACC	Big 12	Notre Dame	West Virginia
Arizona	MWC	SBC	Boise St.	Arkansas St.
Alamo	Big 12	Pac-12	TCU	Washington
Belk	ACC	SEC	North Carolina St.	Auburn
Peach	At-large	At-large	Virginia Tech	Oklahoma St.
Military	AAC	ACC	Cincinnati	Pittsburgh
Sun	ACC	Pac-12	Syracuse	Colorado
San Francisco	Big Ten	Pac-12	Minnesota	USC
Liberty	Big 12	SEC	Texas	Kentucky
Holiday	Big Ten	Pac-12	Iowa	Stanford
Gator	ACC/Big Ten	SEC	Michigan	Florida
Outback	Big Ten	SEC	Michigan St.	LSU
Fiesta	At-large	At-large	Oregon	North Texas
Citrus	ACC/Big Ten	SEC	Miami (Fla.)	Texas A&M
Rose	Big Ten	Pac-12	Ohio St.	Washington St.
Sugar	Big 12	SEC	Oklahoma	Mississippi St.
PLAYOFFS
Cotton	FBS	PLAYOFF	Penn St.	Georgia
Orange	FBS	PLAYOFF	Alabama	Clemson
Champ. Game		Winners	Alabama	Georgia
Teams in [Brackets] are at-large selections

Sweet 16 Games on TV This Week

All times given are Eastern Daylight

Friday Night

Washington State at USC  10:30 PM  on ESPN

USC has dropped consecutive road games, the most previous not being all that close.  With a true freshman quarterback and his top receiver also being a true freshman, can the Trojans score enough points against the Air Raid offense of the Pirate, Mike Leach.

Washington State is 3-0 but has yet to face strong competition, but if the Cougars can win this game, they become a contender for the Pac-12 North Division title.

Saturday
12:00 Noon

Georgia at Missouri  ESPN

Georgia should win this game by playing smashmouth football against a Missouri defense that just gave up a lot of points and yards against Purdue.  However, the Tigers may have overlooked an 0-2 team.  Still, Georgia looks invincible at least until they travel to the Bayou later in the season.

Minnesota at Maryland  BTN

All of a sudden, the Big Ten West looks open for more than one team.  Minnesota is a silent 3-0, and a win in College Park could find the Gophers ranked and in contention for the division flag.

Maryland’s win over Texas would have meant a lot more had they not gotten their Terrapin shell handed to them by lowly Temple.  The Terps must win this game to have any chance at becoming bowl eligible.

Notre Dame at Wake Forest ABC

Notre Dame is a very soft 3-0, and they have played all three games at home.  This will be the Irish’s first road game and first ACC opponent of the season.  They play at a Wake Forest team that made a valiant comeback that came up a bit short against Boston College.  Notre Dame must go 12-0 or 11-1 with a lot of help to have any chance of making the playoffs.

3:30 PM

Clemson at Georgia Tech ABC

We are not going to tell you that this game should be close, but…..

Clemson has not really fired on all cylinders yet.  It can be hard to play two separate offensive game plans every week, and the two quarterback system may prove to be a liability at some point.

The Tigers have been upset both of the last two years in conference play.  We don’t expect this to be one of those games, but we are anxious to see how CU uses their two QBs in conference play.

Georgia Tech’s multiple option offense should be forced into more passing situations against the top defensive front in the nation, but should Clemson’s offense not sustain a good number of drives, the Tigers may give up some points in the second half.

Kansas St. at West Virginia ESPN

West Virginia missed Saturday’s game, and so far teams that had games cancelled have not been all that sharp.  They face a Kansas State team that is going to need to pick up an upset or two to reach bowl eligibility this year.  The Mountaineers need to pick up a statement win in conference play to strike fear in the Oklahoma’s, Oklahoma State’s, and TCU’s.

Texas A&M at Alabama CBS

This week, the Crimson Tide have done something that has not been done in 17 years.  At the end of the 2001 season, National Champion Miami of Florida rated 9.6 points ahead of #2 Oregon.  Alabama is the first team since to be more than a touchdown ahead of the number two team in our ratings.

At this point, we’re not sure the Buffalo Bills could beat Alabama at New Era Field in the snow.  Alabama looked as good if not better than the 1995 Nebraska team that won the national championship with ease.

What makes this game so inviting is that Texas A&M played Clemson a couple weeks ago.  In that game, the Aggies looked like they belonged on the same field with a top 10 team.  If Alabama makes this another laugher, that will tell us all just how far ahead of another potential playoff team they have advanced.

TCU at Texas Fox

These teams don’t particularly care much for each other, and with TCU coming into this game with doubts, while the Longhorns are sky high, it should be quite interesting.  Prior last Saturday, TCU looked like a cinch to win this game according to the ratings.  After the ‘Horns clobbered USC and TCU blew up in a four-minute stretch against Ohio State, this game becomes a toss-up in the ratings.

What’s up for grabs in this game is a chance to become a key contender for the number two spot in the conference standings, which in the Big 12 will get you in the Conference Championship Game.

4 PM

South Carolina at Vanderbilt SEC

South Carolina is another team that had a game cancelled unexpectedly due to the weather.  They have not played since Georgia mutilated them in Columbia.  At this point, the Gamecocks are playing for a Citrus Bowl bid, as Georgia is not going to lose two conference games.

Vanderbilt did everything but outscore Notre Dame in South Bend, Saturday.  The Commodores outgained the Irish by 40 yards, but they suffered a loss of at least 11 points due not being able to hang onto the ball.  If the Commodores can come out with a chip on their shoulders, this can be a close game that could be decided in the final minutes.  However, as long time Commodore fans know, Vanderbilt has been known to come out flat and not show up the week after they experienced a moral victory.

7 PM

Florida at Tennessee ESPN

The winner of this game will earn a bowl bid this year.  That’s more than enough to make a game important, but this is the first chance for two new coaches to get the upper hand over their rival in this big rivalry game.

Tennessee’s defense has looked strong the last two weeks against an FCS team and the #130 FBS team.  How will they look against a better than average SEC offense?  Better yet, if you can only score 24 points at home against UTEP, how are you going to score enough to beat the Gators?

Mississippi St. at Kentucky ESPN2

One of these two teams will be 4-0 after this game, almost assuredly ranked in the top 25, and a serious contender for the Citrus or even Sugar Bowl should Alabama and Georgia both make the playoffs.

The win over Florida in Gainesville is looking mighty good for the Wildcats, while Mississippi State looked a lot like Penn State in their last two games, which shouldn’t surprise many people that know that Coach Joe Moorhead was the offensive coordinator in Happy Valley.

Texas Tech at Oklahoma St. FS1

After getting pasted by Ole Miss in week one, Texas Tech coach Kliff Kingsbury was square in the middle of a hot seat in Lubbock.  The 63-point showing in a win over Houston has cooled the seat a bit, but the Red Raiders have an uphill climb to find four more wins and get bowl eligible.  Anything short of a bowl bid would most likely be the end of the Kingsbury era.

Oklahoma State looked like a playoff contender in their comfortable win over Boise State.  The Cowboys look like the top contender to their rival Sooners in the Big 12, and if they slow down the Red Raiders and hold them to 28 points or less, while winning by double digits, OSU could move on to a 9-0 start when they go to Norman in November.

 

7:30 PM

Michigan St. at Indiana BTN

Michigan State has been a major disappointment to start this season.  The Spartans had the most experience returning in FBS football this year, off a team that won 10 games last year.  A much closer than expected opening win over Utah State was followed by a loss at Arizona State.  After a week off, they now find themselves travelling into a potential ambush in Bloomington.

Indiana is 3-0 for the first time since 2015 and just the second time in the last nine seasons.  The Hoosiers look like a potential bowl eligible squad, and they basically need to pull off one conference upset to get to 3-6 in the league and guarantee six wins.  Their rebuilt defense is looking strong enough to keep them in this game, and if MSU hasn’t snapped out of their funk, the Hoosiers could surprise and move to 4-0.  The last three times IU began 4-0, they made it to a bowl game.

8:00 PM

Stanford at Oregon ABC

This may be the top game of the weekend.  The winner of this game will be the co-contender with Washington and possibly Washington State for the Pac-12 North flag.  Neither team has been exceptionally strong so far, and Stanford’s win over USC lost a lot of its oomph when USC was clobbered by Texas.  The key to this game may be the health of Bryce Love.  Love did not play against UC-Davis after rushing for 136 yards against USC.  Last year, he torched Oregon with 147 yards and two touchdowns.

Oregon’s defense against the run has looked solid this year, while the Ducks’ passing game behind Justin Herbert has been spectacular at times.  The Ducks have had this game circled on their schedule since Spring practice.  The Cardinal have embarrassed the Ducks with consecutive slaughters the last two seasons, and the Ducks will be inspired to shut down Stanford’s running game and force the Cardinal out of their game plan.

8:30 PM

Wisconsin at Iowa Fox

If Wisconsin continues to look lifeless on offense for 20 minutes per game, the Badgers are not going to win the Big Ten West.  They are in a precarious position having to come to Iowa City for a prime time game, where the Hawkeyes enjoy an incredible home field advantage.

Iowa rarely puts up flashy offensive yardage numbers.  But, when you limit opponents to 42 rushing yards and 209 total yards per game, you can win by scoring 24 points and gaining 380 total yards.  They gang tackle and rarely let an opponent get many yards after contact.

10:30 PM

Arizona St. at Washington ESPN

The late game on ESPN is usually exciting, because it involves two teams with wide open offenses from the West Coast.  Also, frequently, these teams cannot play a lot of defense.  This mold was broken Saturday night, when in Washington’s win over Utah in Salt Lake City, the Huskies looked more like their 1959 and 1960 teams that went 10-1.  UW gained just 330 yards and gave up 261 to the Utes.

Arizona State did nothing on the ground against San Diego State, and if the Sun Devils don’t correct this Saturday night, they will get pasted in Seattle.  The ASU passing game cannot pass for 300 yards against the Huskies’ secondary, so if UW can limit ASU’s running game, this could be another one of those 1960-style defensive victories.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings Selections for September 13-17, 2018

We received a lot of comments last week from regular readers to this site that know how to contact us through another site.  We tend to keep our comments sections closed, because it becomes a task to monitor it for stuff that does not need to appear here.

The comments had nothing to do with our own picks last week.  We introduced five guest pickers, three of them members of the fairer sex, and overall, they had quite a successful week.

By far the overwhelming amount of responses were aimed at Buckeye Michelle.  The Ohio Transplant to the Sunny South merely went 5-0 picking 5 underdogs, and we received all kinds of comments pertaining to her, including a couple of marriage proposals.

Friday Dog 13 went 3-0 picking three prohibitive favorites that won by even larger scores than the line they were asked to cover.

Cal Gal Tiffany went 5-2 in her seven picks, again, a very successful week that equates to a 56% Return on Investment.

Stewed Meat narrowly missed having a winning week, as Stewed went 2-3.  Bringing up the rear at 1-2 was Dean 615.

What about our own picks?  We suffered a lot of near misses and finished the week losing $90 imaginary after wagering $1,100 and going 5-6.  For the years, after two weeks, we are down $220 on a total of $1,700 wagered in our pretend bank account, so we are off to a bad year so far.

Just remember, all the picks you receive here this week and every week are free, and you should consider them worth exactly what you pay for them.

First, here are the PiRate’s official selections for the week.

Straight Spreads and Totals Selections–7

Favorite	Underdog	Spread/Total	Pick
Army	Hawaii	6	Army
Baylor	Duke	6.5	Duke
Minnesota	Miami (Ohio)	13	Minnesota
Denver	Oakland	46	Under
Washington	Indianapolis	47	Under
Cincinnati	Baltimore	1	Baltimore
Dallas	N.Y. Giants	3	Dallas

10-point Teaser Parlays–2

If you are unfamiliar with 10-point teasers, you can move the line by 10 points in your favor and play at less favorable odds than if you wager a straight wager against the spread or total.  By combining more than one game into a parlay, you can adjust the odds.  A 10-point teaser using three games makes the odds the same as wagering a straight wager.  You put up $11 of your money against $10 of the books, or what is referred to as -110 (You wager $110 versus the book wagering $100).

10-point teaser	3-team parlay -110
Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Florida	Colorado St.	31	Colorado St.
Texas	USC	13.5	USC
Boston College	Wake Forest	15	Wake Forest

 

10-point teaser	3-team parlay -110
Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Indiana	Ball St.	4	Indiana
Penn St.	Kent St.	24.5	Penn St.
Wisconsin	BYU	11	Wisconsin

The Land Sharps

Now for our special sharps–our 5 guest pickers.  They have been tasked with selecting 3, 5, 7, or 9 college games each week.  None of the 5 know what the other 4 are picking, so in some cases, more than one guest is picking the same game, and even though it did not happen this week, we are sure that at some point, they could be on opposite sides of the same game.

We search for the best available line at oddshark.com.

Buckeye Michelle (5-0 for the season)

Syracuse + 3 1/2 vs. Florida St.

LSU +10 vs. Auburn

Duke +6 1/2 vs. Baylor

San Diego St. +5 1/2 vs. Arizona St.

Toledo +10 1/2 vs. Miami (Fla.)

 

Friday Dog 13 (3-0 for the season)

Missouri -6 vs. Purdue

Tennessee -30 1/2 vs. UTEP

Virginia -3 1/2 vs. Ohio

 

Cal Gal Tiffany  (5-2 for the season)

Florida Int’l. -4 vs. U Mass.

Army -6 vs. Hawaii

Oklahoma St. -2 1/2 vs. Boise St.

Washington – 6 1/2 vs. Utah

Georgia Tech +4 vs. Pittsburgh

 

Stewed Meat (2-3 for the season)

Colorado St. +20 1/2 vs. Florida

Buffalo -3 vs. Eastern Michigan

Oregon St. +3 1/2 vs. Nevada

Washington -6 1/2 vs. Utah

Oklahoma St. -2 1/2 vs. Boise St.

 

Dean 615 (1-2 for the season)

Notre Dame -14 vs. Vanderbilt

North Texas +7 vs. Arkansas

TCU +14 vs. Ohio St.

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast For Week 2: September 13-17, 2018

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Week Number:	2
Date of Games:	September 13-17
Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Total
Cincinnati	Baltimore	-0.7	-1.0	-1.0	43.5
Washington	Indianapolis	10.9	12.3	11.5	44.5
Atlanta	Carolina	4.7	4.9	4.5	42
Green Bay	Minnesota	-1.1	0.1	-1.4	42
Buffalo	L.A. Chargers	-5.5	-6.3	-5.7	39
Tennessee	Houston	0.2	0.4	0.1	46
Pittsburgh	Kansas City	4.4	4.2	3.4	46.5
N.Y. Jets	Miami	5.1	5.8	5.2	45
Tampa Bay	Philadelphia	-2.3	-3.4	-1.3	46
New Orleans	Cleveland	12.7	12.8	12.4	46.5
L.A. Rams	Arizona	11.9	13.9	12.9	45
San Francisco	Detroit	3.7	4.4	3.8	49
Jacksonville	New England	0.8	-0.3	1.0	41.5
Denver	Oakland	6.8	6.0	6.1	42.5
Dallas	N.Y. Giants	5.3	5.4	5.0	39.5
Chicago	Seattle	1.2	1.1	1.9	40.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	105.3	106.1	105.3	105.6	20	1-0
N. Y. Jets	99.8	99.8	100.2	99.9	23.5	1-0
Miami	97.8	97.0	98.0	97.6	21.5	1-0
Buffalo	92.2	92.1	92.0	92.1	18	0-1
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Pittsburgh	105.4	105.4	104.7	105.2	22	0-0-1
Baltimore	102.3	103.1	102.6	102.7	23	1-0
Cincinnati	98.6	99.1	98.6	98.8	20.5	1-0
Cleveland	95.0	94.9	95.5	95.1	22	0-0-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Jacksonville	103.1	102.9	103.3	103.1	21.5	1-0
Houston	99.2	99.2	98.9	99.1	24.5	0-1
Tennessee	96.9	97.0	96.5	96.8	21.5	0-1
Indianapolis	93.6	91.4	93.1	92.7	22.5	0-1
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	104.0	104.3	104.3	104.2	24.5	1-0
LA Chargers	100.6	101.4	100.7	100.9	21	0-1
Denver	98.6	98.3	98.0	98.3	21.5	1-0
Oakland	94.8	95.3	94.9	95.0	21	0-1
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Philadelphia	102.7	103.3	102.3	102.8	23	1-0
Washington	101.5	100.6	101.6	101.2	22	1-0
Dallas	99.5	99.5	99.2	99.4	20	0-1
N.Y. Giants	97.2	97.1	97.2	97.2	19.5	0-1
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Minnesota	104.5	104.5	104.4	104.5	19.5	1-0
Green Bay	100.4	101.6	100.0	100.6	22.5	1-0
Chicago	99.0	98.6	99.6	99.1	18.5	0-1
Detroit	98.1	97.9	98.0	98.0	25.5	0-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	104.7	104.7	104.9	104.8	24.5	0-1
Atlanta	104.2	104.1	104.4	104.2	21	0-1
Carolina	102.1	101.6	102.3	102.0	21	1-0
Tampa Bay	97.4	96.9	97.9	97.4	23	1-0
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
LA Rams	105.7	106.8	106.4	106.3	25.5	1-0
Seattle	100.9	100.5	100.7	100.7	22	0-1
San Francisco	98.8	99.3	98.8	99.0	23.5	0-1
Arizona	96.3	95.5	95.9	95.9	19.5	0-1

This Week’s Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1	New England
2	Kansas City
3	Jacksonville
4	Baltimore
5	Pittsburgh
6	New York Jets
NFC Seeding
1	L.A. Rams
2	Minnesota
3	Philadelphia
4	Carolina
5	Green Bay
6	Washington

Wildcard Round

N.Y. Jets over Jacksonville

Baltimore over Pittsburgh

Philadelphia over Washington

Green Bay over Carolina

Divisional Round

New England over N.Y. Jets

Baltimore over Kansas City

L.A. Rams over Green Bay

Minnesota over Philadelphia

Conference Championship

New England over Baltimore

L.A. Rams over Minnesota

Super Bowl 53

L.A. Rams over New England

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings–College Football Week 3

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

Thursday,	September 13
Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Wake Forest	Boston College	-6.6	-5.7	-9.3

 

Friday	September 14
Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Memphis	Georgia St.	29.4	28.6	29.4

 

Saturday	September 15
Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Tennessee	UTEP	31.7	28.9	31.8
Indiana	Ball St.	16.8	13.2	16.6
Maryland	Temple	15.9	14.3	14.8
Florida Int’l.	Massachusetts	-2.0	0.7	-2.7
Toledo	Miami (Fla.)	-17.1	-13.1	-16.6
Army	Hawaii	20.9	19.0	22.6
Penn St.	Kent St.	42.6	38.1	43.4
North Carolina	Central Florida	-9.3	-10.2	-10.2
Charlotte	Old Dominion	-4.0	-6.0	-3.9
Syracuse	Florida St.	0.5	-0.4	-0.3
Iowa St.	Oklahoma	-9.6	-10.3	-10.9
Nebraska	Troy	13.5	10.4	9.3
Kansas	Rutgers	3.3	3.1	3.2
Virginia Tech	East Carolina	33.5	33.8	34.3
Pittsburgh	Georgia Tech	-6.6	-5.9	-7.0
Notre Dame	Vanderbilt	22.1	17.4	20.3
Virginia	Ohio U	9.9	8.8	7.1
Michigan	SMU	35.4	35.3	37.8
Appalachian St.	Southern Miss.	14.8	13.1	15.6
Oklahoma St.	Boise St.	0.4	-1.0	-0.5
Wisconsin	BYU	25.2	21.6	24.3
North Carolina St.	West Virginia	4.6	4.9	4.8
Minnesota	Miami (O)	20.5	17.7	19.3
Auburn	LSU	13.4	11.8	15.3
Illinois	South Florida	-1.7	-5.1	-3.8
Northern Illinois	Central Michigan	15.6	13.4	15.4
Clemson	Georgia Southern	48.6	44.0	48.9
New Mexico St.	New Mexico	-8.7	-8.0	-8.3
UAB	Tulane	-5.5	-3.2	-4.9
Baylor	Duke	-9.8	-9.6	-9.8
Florida	Colorado St.	28.6	25.0	28.6
Texas Tech	Houston	3.6	0.6	1.0
Kansas St.	UTSA	29.8	23.4	28.0
Arkansas	North Texas	12.0	6.3	9.5
Oregon	San Jose St.	41.4	40.7	43.9
Buffalo	Eastern Michigan	5.3	6.4	5.9
Nevada	Oregon St.	6.5	9.3	8.2
Ole Miss	Alabama	-23.4	-21.5	-24.4
Tulsa	Arkansas St.	7.6	4.6	6.5
South Alabama	Texas St.	13.7	12.6	15.4
Georgia	Middle Tennessee	45.6	39.6	46.0
South Carolina	Marshall	20.5	16.5	18.7
Purdue	Missouri	-7.4	-7.5	-10.0
Northwestern	Akron	25.6	21.8	25.4
Mississippi St.	Louisiana	46.8	41.6	46.4
Texas A&M	UL-Monroe	28.8	27.9	28.3
Louisville	Western Kentucky	23.3	19.7	21.5
Texas	USC	-0.4	-0.2	-0.8
TCU	Ohio St.	-11.5	-9.4	-13.1
Utah	Washington	-12.5	-11.6	-14.1
UCLA	Fresno St.	-6.2	-4.8	-8.3
San Diego St.	Arizona St.	-7.1	-5.0	-5.3

 

FBS vs. FCS
Home	Visitor	PiRate
Utah St.	Tennessee Tech	38.6
Kentucky	Murray St.	36.1
Connecticut	Rhode Island	10.2
Stanford	UC-Davis	36.9
Navy	Lehigh	29.8
Wyoming	Wofford	17.5
Bowling Green	Eastern Kentucky	13.5
Colorado	New Hampshire	30.3
California	Idaho St.	32.1
Liberty	Norfolk St.	18.5
Florida Atlantic	Bethune-Cookman	38.5
Coastal Carolina	Campbell	17.7
Cincinnati	Alabama A&M	36.0
Western Michigan	Delaware St.	39.7
Iowa	Northern Iowa	32.2
Washington St.	Eastern Wash.	23.7
UNLV	Prairie-View	21.2
Arizona	Southern Utah	24.3

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

PiRate Ratings
#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
1	Alabama	133.8	131.7	135.7	133.7
2	Georgia	131.9	127.6	133.3	130.9
3	Clemson	130.8	127.7	131.5	130.0
4	Ohio St.	128.7	125.9	129.3	128.0
5	Washington	126.7	124.2	129.1	126.6
6	Auburn	123.2	121.8	125.8	123.6
7	Mississippi St.	123.8	120.8	124.4	123.0
8	Michigan	123.1	122.0	124.0	123.0
9	Oklahoma	122.6	121.3	123.2	122.4
10	Michigan St.	122.3	120.0	122.0	121.5
11	Penn St.	121.2	118.0	121.5	120.2
12	Wisconsin	121.2	118.3	120.9	120.1
13	Stanford	120.5	118.1	121.0	119.9
14	Notre Dame	120.7	116.9	119.1	118.9
15	Boston College	118.2	115.2	118.5	117.3
16	Miami	117.3	115.3	116.9	116.5
17	Boise St.	116.4	115.8	117.2	116.5
18	Virginia Tech	116.2	115.7	116.1	116.0
19	Missouri	115.2	113.7	116.8	115.2
20	Oregon	114.5	114.6	115.2	114.8
21	Duke	115.2	112.7	114.7	114.2
22	T C U	114.2	113.6	113.2	113.6
23	Iowa	114.2	111.8	113.6	113.2
24	Oklahoma St.	113.8	111.8	113.7	113.1
25	L S U	112.8	112.9	113.5	113.1
26	N. Carolina St.	113.3	112.7	112.9	113.0
27	Central Florida	112.7	112.5	112.8	112.7
28	Texas A&M	113.0	111.7	113.2	112.6
29	Northwestern	112.9	110.8	112.9	112.2
30	S. Carolina	112.0	110.8	111.4	111.4
31	U S C	112.1	110.3	111.5	111.3
32	West Virginia	111.7	110.9	111.1	111.2
33	Utah	111.2	109.5	112.0	110.9
34	Georgia Tech	110.6	109.6	110.2	110.2
35	Florida	110.2	108.0	110.3	109.5
36	Iowa State	110.0	108.0	109.3	109.1
37	California	109.7	106.9	109.3	108.6
38	Florida St.	109.0	108.3	108.6	108.6
39	Kentucky	108.7	107.5	108.4	108.2
40	Washington St.	108.8	107.9	107.7	108.1
41	Arizona St.	108.8	107.3	108.1	108.1
42	Texas	108.7	107.1	107.7	107.8
43	Ole Miss	107.5	107.2	108.3	107.6
44	Fresno St.	107.9	106.3	107.4	107.2
45	Wake Forest	108.7	106.5	106.2	107.1
46	Minnesota	106.6	105.8	106.3	106.2
47	Syracuse	106.5	104.9	105.3	105.6
48	Memphis	104.2	106.3	105.3	105.3
49	Maryland	105.9	104.4	105.1	105.1
50	Kansas St.	106.0	104.3	105.0	105.1
51	Purdue	104.8	103.1	103.7	103.9
52	Houston	103.1	104.3	103.8	103.7
53	Utah St.	102.5	104.0	104.1	103.5
54	Arkansas	104.9	102.0	103.2	103.4
55	Louisville	102.9	102.7	102.3	102.6
56	Texas Tech	103.7	101.8	101.9	102.5
57	Colorado	101.1	102.7	102.4	102.1
58	Vanderbilt	101.5	102.5	101.8	102.0
59	Baylor	102.4	100.2	101.9	101.5
60	Virginia	101.5	101.8	99.9	101.1
61	Pittsburgh	101.0	100.7	100.2	100.7
62	Arizona	101.0	99.3	100.9	100.4
63	N. Carolina	100.4	99.3	99.6	99.8
64	BYU	99.0	99.8	99.6	99.4
65	Florida Atlantic	99.0	99.5	99.7	99.4
66	South Florida	98.0	101.0	98.9	99.3
67	San Diego St.	98.7	99.3	99.9	99.3
68	Nebraska	100.1	98.4	97.5	98.6
69	Toledo	97.2	99.3	97.3	97.9
70	U C L A	98.8	98.5	96.2	97.8
71	Indiana	98.0	97.1	97.5	97.5
72	Wyoming	97.4	97.3	97.2	97.3
73	N. Texas	95.9	98.8	96.7	97.1
74	Tennessee	97.2	97.5	96.5	97.1
75	Army	96.3	96.7	96.5	96.5
76	Buffalo	95.3	97.6	96.5	96.5
77	Navy	95.5	98.3	95.2	96.4
78	Northern Illinois	96.1	96.7	96.1	96.3
79	Marshall	94.4	97.3	95.6	95.8
80	Tulane	95.6	95.7	95.2	95.5
81	Ohio U	94.6	96.0	95.9	95.5
82	Appalachian St.	94.2	95.7	95.5	95.1
83	Kansas	96.1	95.0	94.1	95.1
84	Rutgers	95.8	94.9	93.9	94.9
85	Louisiana Tech	93.4	95.9	94.6	94.6
86	Eastern Michigan	92.4	93.7	93.1	93.1
87	Air Force	93.0	93.1	92.5	92.9
88	Illinois	93.3	92.9	92.1	92.8
89	Tulsa	93.0	91.6	93.6	92.7
90	Temple	92.5	92.6	92.8	92.6
91	Cincinnati	92.0	93.6	92.0	92.5
92	Nevada	91.3	91.4	91.3	91.3
93	Akron	90.3	91.9	90.5	90.9
94	Western Michigan	89.9	91.5	90.7	90.7
95	Troy	89.5	91.0	91.1	90.5
96	U N L V	89.5	91.1	90.0	90.2
97	Middle Tennessee	89.3	91.0	90.2	90.2
98	Miami (O)	89.1	91.1	90.0	90.1
99	SMU	90.7	89.7	89.2	89.9
100	Massachusetts	88.2	90.0	89.6	89.3
101	Arkansas St.	87.9	89.5	89.6	89.0
102	U A B	87.6	90.0	87.8	88.5
103	UL-Monroe	87.1	86.7	87.9	87.3
104	New Mexico	86.4	88.1	86.3	86.9
105	Oregon St.	87.8	85.2	86.1	86.4
106	Georgia Southern	85.3	86.7	85.6	85.9
107	East Carolina	85.7	84.9	84.8	85.1
108	Colo. State	84.6	85.9	84.7	85.1
109	Florida Int’l.	83.2	87.7	83.8	84.9
110	Central Michigan	83.5	86.3	83.7	84.5
111	Ball St.	83.2	85.9	82.9	84.0
112	Bowling Green	83.7	83.7	83.9	83.8
113	Southern Miss.	82.3	85.5	82.8	83.6
114	W. Kentucky	81.6	85.0	82.7	83.1
115	Old Dominion	81.0	85.2	81.0	82.4
116	South Alabama	81.3	83.4	82.3	82.3
117	Kent St.	81.6	82.9	81.0	81.8
118	U T S A	79.2	83.9	80.0	81.1
119	Louisiana	79.5	81.7	80.5	80.6
120	Liberty	81.0	79.3	81.2	80.5
121	Hawaii	79.9	82.2	78.4	80.2
122	Coastal Carolina	78.5	81.5	79.1	79.7
123	Georgia St.	77.9	80.7	78.9	79.2
124	Connecticut	78.5	78.7	77.2	78.1
125	N. Mexico St.	75.7	78.1	76.0	76.6
126	San Jose St.	76.1	76.9	74.3	75.8
127	Charlotte	74.5	76.8	74.6	75.3
128	Texas State	70.7	73.8	69.9	71.5
129	Rice	70.4	73.4	69.1	71.0
130	U T E P	68.5	71.6	67.8	69.3

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	AAC	Overall
Central Florida	112.7	112.5	112.8	112.7	1-0	2-0
South Florida	98.0	101.0	98.9	99.3	0-0	2-0
Temple	92.5	92.6	92.8	92.6	0-0	0-2
Cincinnati	92.0	93.6	92.0	92.5	0-0	2-0
East Carolina	85.7	84.9	84.8	85.1	0-0	1-1
Connecticut	78.5	78.7	77.2	78.1	0-1	0-2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	AAC	Overall
Memphis	104.2	106.3	105.3	105.3	0-1	1-1
Houston	103.1	104.3	103.8	103.7	0-0	2-0
Navy	95.5	98.3	95.2	96.4	1-0	1-1
Tulane	95.6	95.7	95.2	95.5	0-0	1-1
Tulsa	93.0	91.6	93.6	92.7	0-0	1-1
SMU	90.7	89.7	89.2	89.9	0-0	0-2
AAC Averages	95.1	95.7	95.1	95.3
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	ACC	Overall
Clemson	130.8	127.7	131.5	130.0	0-0	2-0
Boston College	118.2	115.2	118.5	117.3	0-0	2-0
N. Carolina St.	113.3	112.7	112.9	113.0	0-0	2-0
Florida St.	109.0	108.3	108.6	108.6	0-1	1-1
Wake Forest	108.7	106.5	106.2	107.1	0-0	2-0
Syracuse	106.5	104.9	105.3	105.6	0-0	2-0
Louisville	102.9	102.7	102.3	102.6	0-0	1-1
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	ACC	Overall
Miami	117.3	115.3	116.9	116.5	0-0	1-1
Virginia Tech	116.2	115.7	116.1	116.0	1-0	2-0
Duke	115.2	112.7	114.7	114.2	0-0	2-0
Georgia Tech	110.6	109.6	110.2	110.2	0-0	1-1
Virginia	101.5	101.8	99.9	101.1	0-0	1-1
Pittsburgh	101.0	100.7	100.2	100.7	0-0	1-1
N. Carolina	100.4	99.3	99.6	99.8	0-0	0-2
ACC Averages	110.8	109.5	110.2	110.2
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	B12	Overall
Oklahoma	122.6	121.3	123.2	122.4	0-0	2-0
T C U	114.2	113.6	113.2	113.6	0-0	2-0
Oklahoma St.	113.8	111.8	113.7	113.1	0-0	2-0
West Virginia	111.7	110.9	111.1	111.2	0-0	2-0
Iowa State	110.0	108.0	109.3	109.1	0-0	0-1
Texas	108.7	107.1	107.7	107.8	0-0	1-1
Kansas St.	106.0	104.3	105.0	105.1	0-0	1-1
Texas Tech	103.7	101.8	101.9	102.5	0-0	1-1
Baylor	102.4	100.2	101.9	101.5	0-0	2-0
Kansas	96.1	95.0	94.1	95.1	0-0	1-1
Big 12 Averages	108.9	107.4	108.1	108.1
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Ohio St.	128.7	125.9	129.3	128.0	1-0	2-0
Michigan	123.1	122.0	124.0	123.0	0-0	1-1
Michigan St.	122.3	120.0	122.0	121.5	0-0	1-1
Penn St.	121.2	118.0	121.5	120.2	0-0	2-0
Maryland	105.9	104.4	105.1	105.1	0-0	2-0
Indiana	98.0	97.1	97.5	97.5	0-0	2-0
Rutgers	95.8	94.9	93.9	94.9	0-1	1-1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Wisconsin	121.2	118.3	120.9	120.1	0-0	2-0
Iowa	114.2	111.8	113.6	113.2	0-0	2-0
Northwestern	112.9	110.8	112.9	112.2	1-0	1-1
Minnesota	106.6	105.8	106.3	106.2	0-0	2-0
Purdue	104.8	103.1	103.7	103.9	0-1	0-2
Nebraska	100.1	98.4	97.5	98.6	0-0	0-1
Illinois	93.3	92.9	92.1	92.8	0-0	2-0
Big Ten Averages	110.6	108.8	110.0	109.8
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	CUSA	Overall
Florida Atlantic	99.0	99.5	99.7	99.4	0-0	1-1
Marshall	94.4	97.3	95.6	95.8	0-0	2-0
Middle Tennessee	89.3	91.0	90.2	90.2	0-0	1-1
Florida Int’l.	83.2	87.7	83.8	84.9	1-0	1-1
W. Kentucky	81.6	85.0	82.7	83.1	0-0	0-2
Old Dominion	81.0	85.2	81.0	82.4	0-1	0-2
Charlotte	74.5	76.8	74.6	75.3	0-0	1-1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	CUSA	Overall
N. Texas	95.9	98.8	96.7	97.1	0-0	2-0
Louisiana Tech	93.4	95.9	94.6	94.6	0-0	2-0
U A B	87.6	90.0	87.8	88.5	0-0	1-1
Southern Miss.	82.3	85.5	82.8	83.6	0-0	1-1
U T S A	79.2	83.9	80.0	81.1	0-0	0-2
Rice	70.4	73.4	69.1	71.0	0-0	1-2
U T E P	68.5	71.6	67.8	69.3	0-0	0-2
CUSA Averages	84.3	87.3	84.8	85.4
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	Conf.	Overall
Notre Dame	120.7	116.9	119.1	118.9	x	2-0
BYU	99.0	99.8	99.6	99.4	x	1-1
Army	96.3	96.7	96.5	96.5	x	1-1
Massachusetts	88.2	90.0	89.6	89.3	x	1-2
Liberty	81.0	79.3	81.2	80.5	x	1-1
N. Mexico St.	75.7	78.1	76.0	76.6	x	0-3
Ind. Averages	93.5	93.5	93.7	93.5
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MAC	Overall
Buffalo	95.3	97.6	96.5	96.5	0-0	2-0
Ohio U	94.6	96.0	95.9	95.5	0-0	1-0
Akron	90.3	91.9	90.5	90.9	0-0	1-0
Miami (O)	89.1	91.1	90.0	90.1	0-0	0-2
Bowling Green	83.7	83.7	83.9	83.8	0-0	0-2
Kent St.	81.6	82.9	81.0	81.8	0-0	1-1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MAC	Overall
Toledo	97.2	99.3	97.3	97.9	0-0	1-0
Northern Illinois	96.1	96.7	96.1	96.3	0-0	0-2
Eastern Michigan	92.4	93.7	93.1	93.1	0-0	2-0
Western Michigan	89.9	91.5	90.7	90.7	0-0	0-2
Central Michigan	83.5	86.3	83.7	84.5	0-0	0-2
Ball St.	83.2	85.9	82.9	84.0	0-0	1-1
MAC Averages	89.8	91.4	90.1	90.4
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MWC	Overall
Boise St.	116.4	115.8	117.2	116.5	0-0	2-0
Utah St.	102.5	104.0	104.1	103.5	0-0	1-1
Wyoming	97.4	97.3	97.2	97.3	0-0	1-2
Air Force	93.0	93.1	92.5	92.9	0-0	1-1
New Mexico	86.4	88.1	86.3	86.9	0-0	1-1
Colo. State	84.6	85.9	84.7	85.1	0-1	1-2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MWC	Overall
Fresno St.	107.9	106.3	107.4	107.2	0-0	1-1
San Diego St.	98.7	99.3	99.9	99.3	0-0	1-1
Nevada	91.3	91.4	91.3	91.3	0-0	1-1
U N L V	89.5	91.1	90.0	90.2	0-0	1-1
Hawaii	79.9	82.2	78.4	80.2	1-0	3-0
San Jose St.	76.1	76.9	74.3	75.8	0-0	0-2
MWC Averages	93.6	94.3	93.6	93.8
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	P12	Overall
Washington	126.7	124.2	129.1	126.6	0-0	1-1
Stanford	120.5	118.1	121.0	119.9	1-0	2-0
Oregon	114.5	114.6	115.2	114.8	0-0	2-0
California	109.7	106.9	109.3	108.6	0-0	2-0
Washington St.	108.8	107.9	107.7	108.1	0-0	2-0
Oregon St.	87.8	85.2	86.1	86.4	0-0	1-1
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	P12	Overall
U S C	112.1	110.3	111.5	111.3	0-1	1-1
Utah	111.2	109.5	112.0	110.9	0-0	2-0
Arizona St.	108.8	107.3	108.1	108.1	0-0	2-0
Colorado	101.1	102.7	102.4	102.1	0-0	2-0
Arizona	101.0	99.3	100.9	100.4	0-0	0-2
U C L A	98.8	98.5	96.2	97.8	0-0	0-2
Pac-12 Averages	108.4	107.0	108.3	107.9
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SEC	Overall
Georgia	131.9	127.6	133.3	130.9	1-0	2-0
Missouri	115.2	113.7	116.8	115.2	0-0	2-0
S. Carolina	112.0	110.8	111.4	111.4	0-1	1-1
Florida	110.2	108.0	110.3	109.5	0-1	1-1
Kentucky	108.7	107.5	108.4	108.2	1-0	2-0
Vanderbilt	101.5	102.5	101.8	102.0	0-0	2-0
Tennessee	97.2	97.5	96.5	97.1	0-0	1-1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SEC	Overall
Alabama	133.8	131.7	135.7	133.7	0-0	2-0
Auburn	123.2	121.8	125.8	123.6	0-0	2-0
Mississippi St.	123.8	120.8	124.4	123.0	0-0	2-0
L S U	112.8	112.9	113.5	113.1	0-0	2-0
Texas A&M	113.0	111.7	113.2	112.6	0-0	1-1
Ole Miss	107.5	107.2	108.3	107.6	0-0	2-0
Arkansas	104.9	102.0	103.2	103.4	0-0	1-1
SEC Averages	114.0	112.5	114.5	113.7
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SBC	Overall
Appalachian St.	94.2	95.7	95.5	95.1	0-0	1-1
Troy	89.5	91.0	91.1	90.5	0-0	1-1
Georgia Southern	85.3	86.7	85.6	85.9	0-0	2-0
Coastal Carolina	78.5	81.5	79.1	79.7	0-0	1-1
Georgia St.	77.9	80.7	78.9	79.2	0-0	1-1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SBC	Overall
Arkansas St.	87.9	89.5	89.6	89.0	0-0	1-1
UL-Monroe	87.1	86.7	87.9	87.3	0-0	2-0
South Alabama	81.3	83.4	82.3	82.3	0-0	0-2
Louisiana	79.5	81.7	80.5	80.6	0-0	1-0
Texas State	70.7	73.8	69.9	71.5	0-0	1-1
Sun Belt Averages	83.2	85.1	84.0	84.1

 

Conference Ratings

#	League	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
1	SEC	114.0	112.5	114.5	113.7
2	ACC	110.8	109.5	110.2	110.2
3	BTEN	110.6	108.8	110.0	109.8
4	B12	108.9	107.4	108.1	108.1
5	P-12	108.4	107.0	108.3	107.9
6	AAC	95.1	95.7	95.1	95.3
7	MWC	93.6	94.3	93.6	93.8
8	IND	93.5	93.5	93.7	93.5
9	MAC	89.8	91.4	90.1	90.4
10	CUSA	84.3	87.3	84.8	85.4
11	SUN	83.2	85.1	84.0	84.1

This Week’s Playoff and Bowl Projections

Bowl	Conferences		Team 1	Team 2
New Mexico	MWC	CUSA	Utah St.	Southern Miss.
Cure	AAC	SBC	Central Florida	Appalachian St.
Las Vegas	MWC	Pac-12	Fresno St.	Colorado
Camellia	MAC	SBC	Buffalo	Troy
New Orleans	CUSA	SBC	Louisiana Tech	UL-Monroe
Boca Raton	MAC	CUSA	Toledo	Marshall
Frisco	AAC	MAC	Tulsa	Western Michigan
Gasparilla	AAC	CUSA	South Florida	Florida Atlantic
Bahamas	AAC	CUSA	Houston	North Texas
Idaho Potato	MAC	MWC	Eastern Michigan	UNLV
Birmingham	AAC	SEC	Memphis	[Virginia]
Armed Forces	AAC	Big 12	Navy	[California]
Dollar General	MAC	SBC	Ohio U	Louisiana
Hawaii	CUSA	MWC	Florida Int’l.	Hawaii
Heart of Dallas	Big Ten	CUSA	[BYU]	Middle Tennessee
Quick Lane	ACC	Big Ten	Louisville	Indiana
Cactus	Big 12	Pac-12	[Army]	Arizona St.
Independence	ACC	SEC	Georgia Tech	[UAB]
Pinstripe	ACC	Big Ten	Duke	Maryland
Texas	Big 12	SEC	[Utah]	Texas A&M
Music City	ACC/Big Ten	SEC	North Carolina St.	Missouri
Camping World	ACC	Big 12	Notre Dame	Iowa St.
Arizona	MWC	SBC	San Diego St.	Arkansas St.
Alamo	Big 12	Pac-12	Oklahoma St.	Washington
Belk	ACC	SEC	Boston College	South Carolina
Peach	At-large	At-large	West Virginia	Virginia Tech
Military	AAC	ACC	Cincinnati	Syracuse
Sun	ACC	Pac-12	Miami (Fla.)	Washington St.
San Francisco	Big Ten	Pac-12	Iowa	Oregon
Liberty	Big 12	SEC	[Georgia Southern]	Kentucky
Holiday	Big Ten	Pac-12	Michigan	USC
Gator	ACC/Big Ten	SEC	Wisconsin	Florida
Outback	Big Ten	SEC	Minnesota	LSU
Fiesta	At-large	At-large	Boise St.	TCU
Citrus	ACC/Big Ten	SEC	Michigan St.	Mississippi St.
Rose	Big Ten	Pac-12	Penn St.	Stanford
Sugar	Big 12	SEC	Oklahoma	Auburn
FBS PLAYOFFS
Cotton	FBS	PLAYOFF	Alabama	Ohio St.
Orange	FBS	PLAYOFF	Clemson	Georgia
Championship	Semifinal	Winners	Alabama	Georgia
Teams in [Brackets] are at-large selections

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings Money Line Parlays for September 6-10, 2018

With the NFL kicking off Thursday night, this is the first weekend where the handicappers have both college and pro regular season football to consider when making their selections.

It has been a custom at the PiRate Ratings that we make the maximum number of picks on this week of the season.  We will be going with 11 selections this week, using a combination of straight wagers, money line parlays, and 10-point teasers.

As usual, please be advised that every selection made on this website is absolutely free to you, and you should consider the value of the information to struggle to meet the monetary cost you pay to receive it.  In other words, unless you are a sharp in the Caribbean that knows how to use our picks and make a fortune, please do not wager your hard-earned money on games using this site as your sole reference.  The PiRates do this strictly for mathematical fun.

Here are this week’s PiRate Picks.

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Michigan St.	Arizona St.	5 1/2	Mich. St.
BYU	California	3 1/2	California
Indiana	Virginia	7	Virginia
Georgia Tech	South Florida	3	Ga. Tech
Stanford	USC	4	Stanford

Money Line Parlay	@+238
Winner	Loser
North Carolina	East Carolina
Maryland	Bowling Green
Florida	Kentucky
Stanford	USC
Michigan St.	Arizona St.

Money Line Parlay	@ +182
Winner	Loser
Purdue	Eastern Michigan
Georgia	South Carolina
Appalachian St.	Charlotte
UAB	Coastal Carolina
Penn St.	Pittsburgh

Money Line Parlay	@+237
Winner	Loser
Pittsburgh	Cleveland
Baltimore	Buffalo
New Orleans	Tampa Bay
New England	Houston

Money Line Game	@+140
Winner	Loser
Cincinnati	Indianapolis

10-point teaser	3-team parlay -110
Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Coastal Carolina	UAB	1	UAB
Indiana	Virginia	17	Virginia
Purdue	Eastern Mich.	5 1/2	Purdue

10-point teaser	3-team parlay -110
Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Georgia	South Carolina	Pk	Georgia
USC	Stanford	6	Stanford
Clemson	Texas A&M	2	Clemson

The PiRates are adding some buckaroos to the ship this season for their expertise in picking football games. In addition to our own picks, each of the buckaroos and buckarettes will supply his or her own picks to us each week. If they prove their worth, we’ll run their picks up the flagpole every week, but if they lose too much, they’ll walk the plank.

To start off, each has been granted an unlimited bank account to wager an odd number of games of 3, 5, 7, or 9 selections each week isolated to just college football. All pretend wagers will be $100 a game, so it will be easy to calculate. If they win, they earn another $100 to their imaginary account. If they lose, then $110 will be deducted.

Our guest players have all chosen their user names for this event, so here is a brief introduction on each player–in alphabetical order.

1. Buckeye Michelle lives in Florida, after growing up in the Cleveland area. Don’t let her gender fool you; she knows football. She can recognize coverage zones by the defense, but most of all, she sees what most of us don’t see–value. If you ever need a personal shopper, Michie is the one for you. She’ll find you a lot of bargains.

2. Cal Gal Tiffy lives on the West Coast, and yes, she is another member of the fairer sex. A tomboy who played tackle football with the boys growing up, she matured into a model and now is a makeup artist that never misses a Stanford home game.

3. Dean 615 is a former college football star and played in the NFL for a decade. Dean knows how to evaluate talent and can watch a game and see all 22 players and know who missed his assignment. Dean has a room full of trophies in his home.

4. Friday Dog 13 is a rabid football fan and friend of the Captains for 40+ years. Friday Dog has seen more than 100 football games in person, many at Vanderbilt’s Dudley Field and many at Peden Stadium in Athens, Ohio. Friday Dog is an expert in hometown football.

5. Stewed Meat is a professional sharp. Stewed has cashed some rather expensive tickets in Las Vegas and has been banned in some places or been forced to play no more than a certain amount on college games. Stewed is the Captain’s source for receiving the “Outlaw” line as well as how quickly the lines flattened and which games saw sharps playing both sides for the middle. Stewed has placed a grand on one parlay and won $10K when the parlay came in. Stewed has also watched a botched extra point kill a $25K wager. Stewed plays money line parlays almost exclusively and has admitted that playing individual games against the spread is not Stewed’s expertise.
Note–The odds chosen were the best available at Oddshark.com at the time of the submission to the Captain.

Here are the picks this week for each player.
1. Buckeye Michelle
Rice +17 1/2 vs. Hawaii
Louisiana-Monroe + 6 1/2 vs. Southern Miss.
Colorado St. +13 1/2 vs. Arkansas
Kentucky +14 1/2 vs. Florida
Tulsa +23 vs. Texas

2. Cal Gal Tiffy
Stanford -4 vs. USC
California +3 1/2 vs. BYU
Iowa -3 1/3 vs. Iowa St.
Notre Dame -34 vs. Ball St.
Army -8 1/2 vs. Liberty
Central Michigan -4 vs. Kansas
Georgia -10 vs. South Carolina

3. Dean 73
Notre Dame -34 vs. Ball St.
Appalachian St. -13 1/2 vs. Charlotte
UAB -9 vs. Coastal Carolina

4. Friday Dog 13
Vanderbilt -8 1/2 vs. Nevada
Ohio St. -34 1/2 vs. Rutgers
Mississippi St. -9 1/2 vs. Kansas St.

5. Stewed Meat
Western Michigan +28 vs. Michigan
Stanford -4 vs. USC
Rutgers +35 1/2 vs. Ohio St.
Iowa -3 1/2 vs. Iowa St.
Wyoming +18 vs. Missouri

 

PiRate Ratings–College Football Week 2

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
1	Alabama	133.5	131.2	135.4	133.4
2	Clemson	131.9	128.6	132.8	131.1
3	Georgia	131.1	126.5	132.6	130.0
4	Washington	126.9	124.4	129.3	126.8
5	Ohio St.	126.2	123.5	126.8	125.5
6	Michigan St.	124.7	122.4	124.8	124.0
7	Notre Dame	125.7	121.9	124.1	123.9
8	Auburn	123.2	121.8	125.8	123.6
9	Oklahoma	122.5	121.1	123.1	122.2
10	Mississippi St.	122.8	119.5	123.0	121.8
11	Michigan	121.6	120.2	122.3	121.3
12	Wisconsin	121.7	118.6	121.7	120.7
13	Stanford	120.1	117.5	120.7	119.4
14	Boston College	118.1	115.1	118.4	117.2
15	Miami	117.1	115.1	116.7	116.3
16	Virginia Tech	116.1	115.6	116.0	115.9
17	Penn St.	116.7	113.5	117.0	115.7
18	Oregon	114.5	114.6	115.2	114.8
19	Missouri	114.6	112.9	116.2	114.5
20	Northwestern	114.8	112.8	115.2	114.3
21	Boise St.	113.3	112.8	114.3	113.5
22	N. Carolina St.	113.6	112.8	113.4	113.3
23	L S U	112.8	112.9	113.5	113.1
24	Central Florida	113.0	112.8	113.1	113.0
25	Florida	113.4	111.1	113.8	112.7
26	Iowa	113.7	111.2	112.9	112.6
27	T C U	112.9	112.2	111.7	112.2
28	Oklahoma St.	113.2	110.8	112.7	112.2
29	Duke	113.3	110.7	112.4	112.2
30	Georgia Tech	112.5	111.2	112.1	112.0
31	S. Carolina	112.3	111.4	111.6	111.8
32	U S C	112.3	110.7	111.6	111.5
33	Utah	111.5	109.5	112.4	111.2
34	West Virginia	111.6	110.8	111.0	111.1
35	Texas A&M	111.2	110.1	111.2	110.8
36	Iowa State	110.5	108.6	110.0	109.7
37	Florida St.	109.7	109.0	109.3	109.3
38	Texas	109.8	108.3	108.9	109.0
39	California	110.0	107.2	109.6	108.9
40	Ole Miss	107.8	107.5	108.6	107.9
41	Washington St.	108.6	107.7	107.5	107.9
42	Fresno St.	108.5	106.9	108.2	107.9
43	Arkansas	109.4	106.5	107.7	107.9
44	Wake Forest	108.7	106.5	106.2	107.1
45	Purdue	107.9	106.1	106.8	106.9
46	Memphis	105.2	107.3	106.7	106.4
47	Kansas St.	106.8	105.4	106.2	106.1
48	Arizona St.	106.7	105.2	105.6	105.8
49	Minnesota	106.0	105.2	105.5	105.6
50	Kentucky	106.0	104.9	105.4	105.4
51	Arizona	106.1	104.1	106.0	105.4
52	Syracuse	106.3	104.7	105.1	105.4
53	Pittsburgh	105.5	105.2	104.7	105.2
54	N. Carolina	105.3	104.3	104.7	104.8
55	Maryland	104.6	102.8	103.4	103.6
56	Louisville	103.6	103.4	103.0	103.3
57	Texas Tech	103.2	101.3	101.4	102.0
58	Baylor	102.7	100.4	102.1	101.7
59	Colorado	100.6	102.3	102.0	101.6
60	Virginia	101.9	102.4	100.3	101.5
61	Utah St.	100.3	101.5	101.9	101.2
62	Houston	99.1	100.6	99.8	99.8
63	Florida Atlantic	99.3	99.9	100.3	99.8
64	Vanderbilt	99.1	100.1	99.2	99.5
65	San Diego St.	98.9	99.5	100.1	99.5
66	BYU	99.0	99.8	99.6	99.4
67	Nebraska	100.3	98.5	97.6	98.8
68	U C L A	98.9	98.7	96.3	97.9
69	Wyoming	98.0	98.1	97.8	97.9
70	Toledo	97.0	99.1	97.1	97.7
71	South Florida	95.8	99.1	96.7	97.2
72	Rutgers	98.1	97.1	96.2	97.1
73	Indiana	97.6	96.5	97.1	97.1
74	N. Texas	95.8	98.7	96.6	97.0
75	Tennessee	96.9	97.2	96.2	96.8
76	Marshall	94.7	97.6	95.9	96.1
77	Northern Illinois	95.8	96.7	95.7	96.1
78	Army	95.6	96.1	95.5	95.8
79	Buffalo	94.5	96.9	95.6	95.7
80	Tulane	95.5	95.6	95.1	95.4
81	Ohio U	94.4	95.8	95.7	95.3
82	Navy	94.5	97.3	93.8	95.2
83	Louisiana Tech	93.3	95.8	94.5	94.5
84	Nevada	93.7	93.8	93.9	93.8
85	Temple	93.3	93.3	93.7	93.4
86	U A B	91.8	94.3	92.2	92.8
87	Air Force	92.7	92.7	91.9	92.4
88	Western Michigan	91.4	93.3	92.4	92.4
89	Illinois	92.9	92.5	91.7	92.4
90	Miami (O)	91.1	93.4	92.5	92.3
91	Appalachian St.	91.5	92.8	92.8	92.3
92	Kansas	93.5	91.9	91.2	92.2
93	Massachusetts	90.5	92.5	92.3	91.8
94	Tulsa	91.9	90.4	92.4	91.6
95	SMU	92.0	91.1	90.7	91.3
96	Akron	90.3	91.9	90.5	90.9
97	Eastern Michigan	89.6	91.0	90.3	90.3
98	Troy	89.2	90.7	90.8	90.2
99	Middle Tennessee	89.1	90.8	90.0	90.0
100	U N L V	89.3	90.8	89.8	90.0
101	Cincinnati	89.7	91.0	89.2	89.9
102	Arkansas St.	88.0	89.8	89.7	89.2
103	UL-Monroe	87.1	86.5	87.9	87.2
104	Central Michigan	85.6	88.9	86.1	86.9
105	New Mexico	85.9	87.8	85.5	86.4
106	Oregon St.	87.4	84.8	85.7	86.0
107	Bowling Green	85.0	85.3	85.6	85.3
108	Florida Int’l.	82.2	86.6	82.8	83.9
109	W. Kentucky	82.3	85.7	83.4	83.8
110	Southern Miss.	82.3	85.7	82.8	83.6
111	Old Dominion	82.0	86.3	82.0	83.5
112	South Alabama	81.9	84.4	83.3	83.2
113	Georgia Southern	82.7	83.9	82.6	83.1
114	East Carolina	82.3	81.4	81.2	81.6
115	Connecticut	81.9	82.0	80.4	81.4
116	Liberty	81.7	79.9	82.2	81.3
117	Colo. State	80.6	81.9	80.7	81.1
118	Kent St.	80.8	82.1	80.2	81.0
119	U T S A	78.9	83.7	79.8	80.8
120	Louisiana	79.3	81.5	80.3	80.4
121	Hawaii	79.8	82.0	78.3	80.0
122	N. Mexico St.	78.9	81.6	79.2	79.9
123	Ball St.	78.2	80.9	77.9	79.0
124	Georgia St.	77.6	80.6	78.4	78.9
125	Charlotte	76.7	79.2	76.8	77.6
126	San Jose St.	76.3	77.1	74.5	76.0
127	Coastal Carolina	73.8	76.7	74.2	74.9
128	Texas State	70.7	73.8	69.9	71.5
129	Rice	70.5	73.6	69.2	71.1
130	U T E P	68.7	71.9	68.0	69.5

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	AAC	Overall
Central Florida	113.0	112.8	113.1	113.0	1-0	1-0
South Florida	95.8	99.1	96.7	97.2	0-0	1-0
Temple	93.3	93.3	93.7	93.4	0-0	0-1
Cincinnati	89.7	91.0	89.2	89.9	0-0	1-0
East Carolina	82.3	81.4	81.2	81.6	0-0	0-1
Connecticut	81.9	82.0	80.4	81.4	0-1	0-1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	AAC	Overall
Memphis	105.2	107.3	106.7	106.4	0-0	1-0
Houston	99.1	100.6	99.8	99.8	0-0	1-0
Tulane	95.5	95.6	95.1	95.4	0-0	0-1
Navy	94.5	97.3	93.8	95.2	0-0	0-1
Tulsa	91.9	90.4	92.4	91.6	0-0	1-0
SMU	92.0	91.1	90.7	91.3	0-0	0-1
AAC Averages	94.5	95.1	94.4	94.7
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	ACC	Overall
Clemson	131.9	128.6	132.8	131.1	0-0	1-0
Boston College	118.1	115.1	118.4	117.2	0-0	1-0
N. Carolina St.	113.6	112.8	113.4	113.3	0-0	1-0
Florida St.	109.7	109.0	109.3	109.3	0-1	0-1
Wake Forest	108.7	106.5	106.2	107.1	0-0	1-0
Syracuse	106.3	104.7	105.1	105.4	0-0	1-0
Louisville	103.6	103.4	103.0	103.3	0-0	0-1
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	ACC	Overall
Miami	117.1	115.1	116.7	116.3	0-0	0-1
Virginia Tech	116.1	115.6	116.0	115.9	1-0	1-0
Duke	113.3	110.7	112.4	112.2	0-0	1-0
Georgia Tech	112.5	111.2	112.1	112.0	0-0	1-0
Pittsburgh	105.5	105.2	104.7	105.2	0-0	1-0
N. Carolina	105.3	104.3	104.7	104.8	0-0	0-1
Virginia	101.9	102.4	100.3	101.5	0-0	1-0
ACC Averages	111.7	110.3	111.1	111.0
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	B12	Overall
Oklahoma	122.5	121.1	123.1	122.2	0-0	1-0
T C U	112.9	112.2	111.7	112.2	0-0	1-0
Oklahoma St.	113.2	110.8	112.7	112.2	0-0	1-0
West Virginia	111.6	110.8	111.0	111.1	0-0	1-0
Iowa State	110.5	108.6	110.0	109.7	0-0	0-0
Texas	109.8	108.3	108.9	109.0	0-0	0-1
Kansas St.	106.8	105.4	106.2	106.1	0-0	1-0
Texas Tech	103.2	101.3	101.4	102.0	0-0	0-1
Baylor	102.7	100.4	102.1	101.7	0-0	1-0
Kansas	93.5	91.9	91.2	92.2	0-0	0-1
Big 12 Averages	108.7	107.1	107.8	107.9
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Ohio St.	126.2	123.5	126.8	125.5	0-0	1-0
Michigan St.	124.7	122.4	124.8	124.0	0-0	1-0
Michigan	121.6	120.2	122.3	121.3	0-0	0-1
Penn St.	116.7	113.5	117.0	115.7	0-0	1-0
Maryland	104.6	102.8	103.4	103.6	0-0	1-0
Rutgers	98.1	97.1	96.2	97.1	0-0	1-0
Indiana	97.6	96.5	97.1	97.1	0-0	1-0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Wisconsin	121.7	118.6	121.7	120.7	0-0	1-0
Northwestern	114.8	112.8	115.2	114.3	1-0	1-0
Iowa	113.7	111.2	112.9	112.6	0-0	1-0
Purdue	107.9	106.1	106.8	106.9	0-1	0-1
Minnesota	106.0	105.2	105.5	105.6	0-0	1-0
Nebraska	100.3	98.5	97.6	98.8	0-0	0-0
Illinois	92.9	92.5	91.7	92.4	0-0	1-0
Big Ten Averages	110.5	108.6	109.9	109.7
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	CUSA	Overall
Florida Atlantic	99.3	99.9	100.3	99.8	0-0	0-1
Marshall	94.7	97.6	95.9	96.1	0-0	1-0
Middle Tennessee	89.1	90.8	90.0	90.0	0-0	0-1
Florida Int’l.	82.2	86.6	82.8	83.9	0-0	0-1
W. Kentucky	82.3	85.7	83.4	83.8	0-0	0-1
Old Dominion	82.0	86.3	82.0	83.5	0-0	0-1
Charlotte	76.7	79.2	76.8	77.6	0-0	1-0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	CUSA	Overall
N. Texas	95.8	98.7	96.6	97.0	0-0	1-0
Louisiana Tech	93.3	95.8	94.5	94.5	0-0	1-0
U A B	91.8	94.3	92.2	92.8	0-0	1-0
Southern Miss.	82.3	85.7	82.8	83.6	0-0	1-0
U T S A	78.9	83.7	79.8	80.8	0-0	0-1
Rice	70.5	73.6	69.2	71.1	0-0	1-1
U T E P	68.7	71.9	68.0	69.5	0-0	0-1
CUSA Averages	84.8	87.8	85.3	86.0
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	Conf.	Overall
Notre Dame	125.7	121.9	124.1	123.9	x	1-0
BYU	99.0	99.8	99.6	99.4	x	1-0
Army	95.6	96.1	95.5	95.8	x	0-1
Massachusetts	90.5	92.5	92.3	91.8	x	1-1
Liberty	81.7	79.9	82.2	81.3	x	1-0
N. Mexico St.	78.9	81.6	79.2	79.9	x	0-2
Indep.  Averages	95.2	95.3	95.5	95.3
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MAC	Overall
Buffalo	94.5	96.9	95.6	95.7	0-0	1-0
Ohio U	94.4	95.8	95.7	95.3	0-0	1-0
Miami (O)	91.1	93.4	92.5	92.3	0-0	0-1
Akron	90.3	91.9	90.5	90.9	0-0	0-0
Bowling Green	85.0	85.3	85.6	85.3	0-0	0-1
Kent St.	80.8	82.1	80.2	81.0	0-0	0-1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MAC	Overall
Toledo	97.0	99.1	97.1	97.7	0-0	1-0
Northern Illinois	95.8	96.7	95.7	96.1	0-0	0-1
Western Michigan	91.4	93.3	92.4	92.4	0-0	0-1
Eastern Michigan	89.6	91.0	90.3	90.3	0-0	1-0
Central Michigan	85.6	88.9	86.1	86.9	0-0	0-1
Ball St.	78.2	80.9	77.9	79.0	0-0	1-0
MAC Averages	89.5	91.3	90.0	90.2
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MWC	Overall
Boise St.	113.3	112.8	114.3	113.5	0-0	1-0
Utah St.	100.3	101.5	101.9	101.2	0-0	0-1
Wyoming	98.0	98.1	97.8	97.9	0-0	1-1
Air Force	92.7	92.7	91.9	92.4	0-0	1-0
New Mexico	85.9	87.8	85.5	86.4	0-0	1-0
Colo. State	80.6	81.9	80.7	81.1	0-1	0-2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MWC	Overall
Fresno St.	108.5	106.9	108.2	107.9	0-0	1-0
San Diego St.	98.9	99.5	100.1	99.5	0-0	0-1
Nevada	93.7	93.8	93.9	93.8	0-0	1-0
U N L V	89.3	90.8	89.8	90.0	0-0	0-1
Hawaii	79.8	82.0	78.3	80.0	1-0	2-0
San Jose St.	76.3	77.1	74.5	76.0	0-0	0-1
MWC Averages	93.1	93.7	93.1	93.3
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	P12	Overall
Washington	126.9	124.4	129.3	126.8	0-0	0-1
Stanford	120.1	117.5	120.7	119.4	0-0	1-0
Oregon	114.5	114.6	115.2	114.8	0-0	1-0
California	110.0	107.2	109.6	108.9	0-0	1-0
Washington St.	108.6	107.7	107.5	107.9	0-0	1-0
Oregon St.	87.4	84.8	85.7	86.0	0-0	0-1
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	P12	Overall
U S C	112.3	110.7	111.6	111.5	0-0	1-0
Utah	111.5	109.5	112.4	111.2	0-0	1-0
Arizona St.	106.7	105.2	105.6	105.8	0-0	1-0
Arizona	106.1	104.1	106.0	105.4	0-0	0-1
Colorado	100.6	102.3	102.0	101.6	0-0	1-0
U C L A	98.9	98.7	96.3	97.9	0-0	0-1
Pac-12 Averages	108.6	107.2	108.5	108.1
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SEC	Overall
Georgia	131.1	126.5	132.6	130.0	0-0	1-0
Missouri	114.6	112.9	116.2	114.5	0-0	1-0
Florida	113.4	111.1	113.8	112.7	0-0	1-0
S. Carolina	112.3	111.4	111.6	111.8	0-0	1-0
Kentucky	106.0	104.9	105.4	105.4	0-0	1-0
Vanderbilt	99.1	100.1	99.2	99.5	0-0	1-0
Tennessee	96.9	97.2	96.2	96.8	0-0	0-1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SEC	Overall
Alabama	133.5	131.2	135.4	133.4	0-0	1-0
Auburn	123.2	121.8	125.8	123.6	0-0	1-0
Mississippi St.	122.8	119.5	123.0	121.8	0-0	1-0
L S U	112.8	112.9	113.5	113.1	0-0	1-0
Texas A&M	111.2	110.1	111.2	110.8	0-0	1-0
Ole Miss	107.8	107.5	108.6	107.9	0-0	1-0
Arkansas	109.4	106.5	107.7	107.9	0-0	1-0
SEC Averages	113.9	112.4	114.3	113.5
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SBC	Overall
Appalachian St.	91.5	92.8	92.8	92.3	0-0	0-1
Troy	89.2	90.7	90.8	90.2	0-0	0-1
Georgia Southern	82.7	83.9	82.6	83.1	0-0	1-0
Georgia St.	77.6	80.6	78.4	78.9	0-0	1-0
Coastal Carolina	73.8	76.7	74.2	74.9	0-0	0-1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SBC	Overall
Arkansas St.	88.0	89.8	89.7	89.2	0-0	1-0
UL-Monroe	87.1	86.5	87.9	87.2	0-0	1-0
South Alabama	81.9	84.4	83.3	83.2	0-0	0-1
Louisiana	79.3	81.5	80.3	80.4	0-0	1-0
Texas State	70.7	73.8	69.9	71.5	0-0	0-1
Sun Belt Averages	82.2	84.1	83.0	83.1

Conference Ratings

PiRate Ratings By Conference
#	League	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
1	SEC	113.9	112.4	114.3	113.5
2	ACC	111.7	110.3	111.1	111.0
3	BTEN	110.5	108.6	109.9	109.7
4	P-12	108.6	107.2	108.5	108.1
5	B12	108.7	107.1	107.8	107.9
6	IND	95.2	95.3	95.5	95.3
7	AAC	94.5	95.1	94.4	94.7
8	MWC	93.1	93.7	93.1	93.3
9	MAC	89.5	91.3	90.0	90.2
10	CUSA	84.8	87.8	85.3	86.0
11	SBC	82.2	84.1	83.0	83.1

This Week’s PiRate Ratings’ Spreads

Friday	September 7
Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
SMU	TCU	-19.4	-19.5	-19.5

Saturday	September 8
Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Army	Liberty	16.4	18.7	15.8
Coastal Carolina	UAB	-15.5	-15.1	-15.6
South Florida	Georgia Tech	-13.7	-9.1	-12.4
Michigan	Western Michigan	32.7	29.3	32.3
Charlotte	Appalachian St.	-12.7	-11.6	-13.9
Purdue	Eastern Michigan	21.3	18.2	19.5
Wisconsin	New Mexico	38.8	33.8	39.2
Florida Atlantic	Air Force	9.6	10.2	11.4
Old Dominion	Florida Int’l.	2.3	2.3	1.7
Northwestern	Duke	4.6	5.0	5.8
Kansas St.	Mississippi St.	-13.1	-11.1	-13.8
Houston	Arizona	-3.9	-0.5	-3.2
Vanderbilt	Nevada	8.4	9.3	8.3
North Carolina St.	Georgia St.	39.1	35.2	38.0
Oklahoma	UCLA	26.6	25.4	29.8
Utah St.	New Mexico St.	24.4	22.9	25.7
Central Michigan	Kansas	-4.9	0.0	-2.1
UNLV	UTEP	23.6	22.0	24.9
Navy	Memphis	-7.7	-7.0	-9.9
East Carolina	North Carolina	-21.0	-20.9	-21.5
Ohio St.	Rutgers	31.0	29.4	33.6
Temple	Buffalo	0.8	-1.6	0.1
South Carolina	Georgia	-15.8	-12.1	-18.0
UTSA	Baylor	-21.3	-14.2	-19.8
Alabama	Arkansas St.	48.6	44.4	48.6
Nebraska	Colorado	2.6	-0.8	-1.4
Southern Miss.	UL-Monroe	-2.3	1.7	-2.6
Notre Dame	Ball St.	50.4	44.0	49.2
Iowa	Iowa St.	4.8	4.1	4.3
Bowling Green	Maryland	-17.1	-15.0	-15.2
Georgia Southern	Massachusetts	-4.8	-5.6	-6.7
Texas A&M	Clemson	-17.8	-15.5	-18.6
Missouri	Wyoming	19.6	17.8	21.4
Indiana	Virginia	-1.3	-2.9	-0.2
Florida	Kentucky	10.4	9.2	11.4
Northern Illinois	Utah	-12.8	-9.8	-13.7
Minnesota	Fresno St.	0.5	1.3	0.3
Colorado St.	Arkansas	-25.8	-21.6	-24.0
Miami (O)	Cincinnati	2.9	3.9	4.8
Texas	Tulsa	20.9	20.9	19.4
Oklahoma St.	South Alabama	34.3	29.4	32.3
Pittsburgh	Penn St.	-8.7	-5.7	-9.7
Stanford	USC	10.8	9.7	12.2
BYU	California	-8.0	-4.4	-7.0
Boise St.	Connecticut	34.4	33.8	36.9
Arizona St.	Michigan St.	-15.1	-14.3	-16.2
Washington St.	San Jose St.	35.3	33.6	36.0
Hawaii	Rice	13.3	12.4	13.1

This Week’s Bowl and Playoff Projections

Bowl	Conferences		Team 1	Team 2
New Mexico	MWC	CUSA	Wyoming	Louisiana Tech
Cure	AAC	SBC	Navy	Appalachian St.
Las Vegas	MWC	Pac-12	Fresno St.	Arizona St.
Camellia	MAC	SBC	Northern Illinois	Georgia Southern
New Orleans	CUSA	SBC	Western Kentucky	Louisiana-Lafayette
Boca Raton	MAC	CUSA	Ohio U	Florida Int’l.
Frisco	AAC	MAC	Cincinnati	Buffalo
Gasparilla	AAC	CUSA	Memphis	Marshall
Bahamas	AAC	CUSA	Central Florida	North Texas
Idaho Potato	MAC	MWC	Toledo	Utah St.
Birmingham	AAC	SEC	[UAB]	[UL-Monroe]
Armed Forces	AAC	Big 12	Houston	[BYU]
Dollar General	MAC	SBC	Western Michigan	Troy
Hawaii	CUSA	MWC	Florida Atlantic	Hawaii
Heart of Dallas	Big Ten	CUSA	[California]	Southern Miss.
Quick Lane	ACC	Big Ten	Virginia	[Army]
Cactus	Big 12	Pac-12	[Air Force]	Colorado
Independence	ACC	SEC	Miami (Fla.)	[Middle Tennessee]
Pinstripe	ACC	Big Ten	North Carolina St.	Minnesota
Texas	Big 12	SEC	Iowa St.	Texas A&M
Music City	ACC/Big Ten	SEC	Louisville	Arkansas
Camping World	ACC	Big 12	Boston College	West Virginia
Arizona	MWC	SBC	San Diego St.	Arkansas St.
Alamo	Big 12	Pac-12	Oklahoma St.	Oregon
Belk	ACC	SEC	Virginia Tech	South Carolina
Peach	At-large	At-large	TCU	Boise St.
Military	AAC	ACC	South Florida	Duke
Sun	ACC	Pac-12	Georgia Tech	Utah
San Francisco	Big Ten	Pac-12	Iowa	Washington St.
Liberty	Big 12	SEC	Kansas St.	Missouri
Holiday	Big Ten	Pac-12	Michigan	Stanford
Gator	ACC/Big Ten	SEC	Northwestern	LSU
Outback	Big Ten	SEC	Penn St.	Auburn
Fiesta	At-large	At-large	USC	Ohio St.
Citrus	ACC/Big Ten	SEC	Wisconsin	Mississippi St.
Rose	Big Ten	Pac-12	Michigan St.	Washington
Sugar	Big 12	SEC	Oklahoma	Florida
FBS PLAYOFFS
Cotton	FBS	PLAYOFF	Alabama	Notre Dame
Orange	FBS	PLAYOFF	Clemson	Georgia
National Championship Game	Semifinal	Winners	Alabama	Clemson
Teams in [Brackets] are at-large selections

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast For Week 1: September 6-10, 2018

PiRate Ratings NFL Ratings for Week 1

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals
New England	105.4	106.2	105.4	105.7	20
Miami	97.4	96.4	97.4	97.0	21.5
N. Y. Jets	96.8	96.8	97.2	96.9	22.5
Buffalo	95.4	95.3	95.2	95.3	18.5
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals
Pittsburgh	106.0	106.2	105.6	105.9	22
Baltimore	99.6	100.4	99.9	100.0	23
Cincinnati	97.5	97.6	97.3	97.5	20
Cleveland	94.4	94.1	94.6	94.4	22
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals
Jacksonville	103.1	102.9	103.3	103.1	21.5
Houston	99.1	99.1	98.8	99.0	24.5
Tennessee	97.3	97.6	97.1	97.3	21.5
Indianapolis	94.7	92.9	94.4	94.0	22
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals
Kansas City	102.7	102.7	102.8	102.7	23.5
LA Chargers	101.9	103.0	102.2	102.4	20
Denver	98.5	98.1	97.7	98.1	21
Oakland	95.9	96.4	96.2	96.2	21
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals
Philadelphia	102.5	103.1	101.9	102.5	23.5
Dallas	99.7	99.8	99.5	99.7	21
Washington	98.5	97.6	98.6	98.2	22
N.Y. Giants	97.2	97.1	97.2	97.2	19.5
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals
Minnesota	104.5	104.5	104.4	104.5	19.5
Detroit	101.1	100.9	101.0	101.0	24.5
Green Bay	100.6	102.1	100.3	101.0	22.5
Chicago	98.8	98.1	99.3	98.7	18.5
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals
New Orleans	107.2	107.2	107.4	107.3	23.5
Atlanta	104.4	104.3	104.8	104.5	21.5
Carolina	101.9	101.3	102.0	101.7	22
Tampa Bay	94.4	93.9	94.9	94.4	22
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals
LA Rams	104.6	105.7	105.1	105.1	25.5
Seattle	101.0	100.7	101.0	100.9	21.5
San Francisco	98.8	99.3	98.8	99.0	23.5
Arizona	99.3	98.5	98.9	98.9	20.5

Week 1 PiRate Ratings Spread & Totals

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Total
Philadelphia	Atlanta	0.6	1.4	-0.4	45
Cleveland	Pittsburgh	-9.5	-10.1	-9.0	44
Minnesota	San Francisco	9.2	8.7	9.1	43
Indianapolis	Cincinnati	-0.8	-2.8	-0.9	42
Baltimore	Buffalo	7.7	8.6	8.2	41.5
N.Y. Giants	Jacksonville	-3.9	-3.7	-4.1	41
New Orleans	Tampa Bay	15.8	16.3	15.5	45.5
New England	Houston	8.8	9.7	9.1	44.5
Miami	Tennessee	2.0	0.8	2.3	43
L.A. Chargers	Kansas City	2.3	3.3	2.4	43.5
Denver	Seattle	0.1	-0.1	-0.8	42.5
Carolina	Dallas	4.7	4.0	5.0	43
Arizona	Washington	4.3	4.3	3.8	42.5
Green Bay	Chicago	4.7	7.0	4.0	41
Detroit	N.Y. Jets	7.2	7.1	6.8	47
Oakland	L.A. Rams	-6.7	-7.3	-6.9	46.5

2018-19  Won-Loss Projections & Playoff Projections

AFC
East	W	L	T
New England	12	4	0
Miami	6	10	0
N. Y. Jets	6	10	0
Buffalo	4	12	0
North	W	L	T
Pittsburgh	12	4	0
Baltimore	8	8	0
Cincinnati	6	10	0
Cleveland	4	12	0
South	W	L	T
Jacksonville	10	6	0
Houston	9	7	0
Tennessee	8	8	0
Indianapolis	5	11	0
West	W	L	T
Los Angeles	11	5	0
Kansas City	9	7	0
Denver	7	9	0
Oakland	6	10	0
N F C
East	W	L	T
Philadelphia	10	6	0
Dallas	7	9	0
Washington	5	11	0
N.Y. Giants	4	12	0
North	W	L	T
Minnesota	12	4	0
Green Bay	10	6	0
Detroit	9	7	0
Chicago	7	9	0
South	W	L	T
New Orleans	11	5	0
Atlanta	10	6	0
Carolina	9	7	0
Tampa Bay	6	10	0
West	W	L	T
Los Angeles	12	4	0
Seattle	8	8	0
Arizona	7	9	0
San Francisco	6	10	0

This Week’s NFL Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1	Pittsburgh
2	New England
3	L.A. Chargers
4	Jacksonville
5	Kansas City
6	Houston
NFC Seeding
1	L.A. Rams
2	Minnesota
3	New Orleans
4	Philadelphia
5	Green Bay
6	Atlanta

Wildcard Round

L.A. Chargers over Houston

Jacksonville over Kansas City

Philadelphia over Green Bay

Atlanta over New Orleans

Divisional Round

Pittsburgh over Jacksonville

New England over L.A. Chargers

L.A. Rams over Atlanta

Philadelphia over Minnesota

Conference Championship

Pittsburgh over New England

L.A. Rams over Philadelphia

Super Bowl 53

Pittsburgh over L.A. Rams

 

PiRate Ratings–College Football Week 1

Since only a handful of games were played in Week 0, and the ratings barely moved, we will dispense with posting a new set of ratings this week and feature just our spreads for Week 1 and combine our Selections against the Spread For Week 1, as there are no NFL games this weekend.

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

Thursday,	August 30
Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Connecticut	Central Florida	-24.2	-23.5	-25.4
Purdue	Northwestern	-4.0	-3.2	-5.8
Minnesota	New Mexico St.	27.5	23.4	26.3
Tulane	Wake Forest	-12.8	-10.4	-10.7
Friday,	August 31
Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Michigan St.	Utah St.	33.9	29.8	33.1
Western Michigan	Syracuse	-12.2	-7.8	-9.2
Wisconsin	Western Kentucky	45.7	37.6	45.2
Colorado (n)	Colorado St.	13.7	13.5	14.5
Stanford	San Diego St.	24.6	21.0	24.2
Duke	Army	20.2	16.5	19.4
Saturday,	September 1
Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Oklahoma	Florida Atlantic	20.5	17.7	19.6
Rice	Houston	-26.2	-24.5	-29.0
Ohio St.	Oregon St.	36.1	35.8	38.2
Penn St.	Appalachian St.	36.8	31.6	35.9
Nebraska	Akron	12.9	9.6	10.0
Boston College	Massachusetts	27.5	21.3	25.2
Illinois	Kent St.	16.2	14.5	15.8
Rutgers	Texas St.	30.5	25.7	28.7
Florida Int’l.	Indiana	-13.3	-7.0	-12.2
Iowa	Northern Illinois	20.0	15.1	18.4
Maryland (n)	Texas	-18.4	-19.2	-19.8
Troy	Boise St.	-14.9	-12.1	-13.7
South Alabama	Louisiana Tech	-9.8	-10.1	-10.0
Miami (O)	Marshall	-0.3	-0.7	0.9
North Texas	SMU	-0.6	3.9	1.1
Vanderbilt	Middle Tennessee	6.9	5.6	4.6
Arizona	BYU	17.0	13.6	16.7
Arizona St.	UTSA	28.2	20.6	25.2
USC	UNLV	26.4	22.9	25.1
UCLA	Cincinnati	18.4	16.7	16.5
Auburn (n)	Washington	-4.6	-2.3	-4.8
Kentucky	Central Michigan	24.5	19.2	23.6
Texas Tech (n)	Ole Miss	0.7	-1.0	-1.9
South Carolina	Coastal Carolina	42.2	37.8	41.1
West Virginia (n)	Tennessee	11.2	9.2	10.7
California	North Carolina	9.5	7.6	10.1
Wyoming	Washington St.	-4.5	-2.8	-2.5
Oregon	Bowling Green	32.3	32.2	32.3
Liberty	Old Dominion	-9.8	-14.9	-12.3
Notre Dame	Michigan	6.9	3.9	4.0
Alabama (n)	Louisville	28.4	25.5	30.7
Hawaii	Navy	-17.6	-18.6	-19.4
Sunday,	September 2
Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
LSU (n)	Miami (Fla.)	-10.2	-7.9	-9.4
Monday,	September 3
Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Florida St.	Virginia Tech	0.2	0.1	0.2

(n) means neutral site game, but some teams may receive a little advantage for playing close to home.

FBS vs. FCS Games–PiRate Rating Spread Only

FBS vs. FCS
Home	Visitor	PiRate
Ball St.	Central Conn.	5.1
Georgia St.	Kennesaw St.	3.6
Oklahoma St.	Missouri St.	40.9
San Jose St.	UC-Davis	-0.9
Texas A&M	Northwestern St.	40.6
UAB	Savannah St.	28.8
Utah	Weber St.	22.0
Eastern Michigan	Monmouth	20.0
Air Force	Stony Brook	13.7
Arkansas	Eastern Illinois	29.8
Arkansas St.	SE Missouri	24.9
Baylor	Abilene Christian	31.3
Buffalo	Delaware St.	38.6
Charlotte	Fordham	10.8
Clemson	Furman	43.7
East Carolina	N.C. A&T	9.9
Florida	Chas. Southern	32.5
Fresno St.	Idaho	21.0
Georgia	Austin Peay	47.8
Georgia Southern	S. Carolina St.	22.3
Georgia Tech	Alcorn St.	39.9
Iowa St.	South Dakota St.	16.5
Kansas	Nicholls St.	10.6
Kansas St.	South Dakota	25.2
La.-Monroe	SE Louisiana	10.1
Louisiana	Grambling	10.2
Memphis	Mercer	32.9
Mississippi St.	S F Austin	44.3
Missouri	UT-Martin	29.3
N. Carolina St.	James Madison	17.2
Nevada	Portland St.	21.0
New Mexico	Incarnate Word	27.8
Ohio U	Howard	34.7
Pittsburgh	Albany	30.1
South Florida	Elon	28.7
Southern Miss.	Jackson St.	35.4
TCU	Southern	47.6
Temple	Villanova	18.8
Toledo	VMI	42.4
Tulsa	Central Arkansas	10.0
UTEP	Northern Arizona	-6.0
Virginia	Richmond	15.6

PiRate Ratings Picks Versus The Spread

This year, we are going to stick our necks out and go with straight spread and totals wagering in our imaginary picks with an imaginary bank account.

Remember: We never lose money on these picks, because they are strictly for fun.  We suggest you use these selections the same way.

Unless otherwise stated, all of our pretend picks will be for $100 imaginary.

Date	8/27-9/3		$100 per pick
Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Purdue	Northwestern	2 1/2	Northwestern
Michigan St.	Utah St.	23	Michigan St.
Penn St.	Appalachian St.	23 1/2	Penn St.
Nebraska	Akron	24 1/2	Akron
Iowa	Northern Illinois	10	Iowa
Texas	Maryland	13	Texas
California	North Carolina	7	California