PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 8: October 24-28, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Margins

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Minnesota	Washington	19.2	16.5	17.7
Detroit	N.Y. Giants	8.5	6.8	7.2
Tennessee	Tampa Bay	4.8	2.7	1.9
Chicago	LA Chargers	8.3	4.6	5.8
Atlanta	Seattle	-4.7	-4.1	-4.8
Jacksonville	N.Y. Jets	9.6	9.0	10.7
Buffalo	Philadelphia	-2.0	1.2	1.1
LA Rams	Cincinnati	13.6	12.3	12.1
New Orleans	Arizona	16.8	13.3	13.1
Houston	Oakland	10.3	10.7	9.7
San Francisco	Carolina	5.0	6.1	5.7
Indianapolis	Denver	4.0	4.7	4.6
New England	Cleveland	14.2	15.1	14.6
Kansas City	Green Bay	-0.7	-0.3	-1.3
Pittsburgh	Miami	15.1	15.2	15.9

 

Totals

Home	Visitor	Total
Minnesota	Washington	41
Detroit	N.Y. Giants	48.5
Tennessee	Tampa Bay	44
Chicago	LA Chargers	41.5
Atlanta	Seattle	52
Jacksonville	N.Y. Jets	39.5
Buffalo	Philadelphia	43
LA Rams	Cincinnati	52
New Orleans	Arizona	48
Houston	Oakland	48
San Francisco	Carolina	47.5
Indianapolis	Denver	41
New England	Cleveland	44.5
Kansas City	Green Bay	56.5
Pittsburgh	Miami	48

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	111.0	112.2	111.8	111.7	21	7-0
Buffalo	99.4	100.6	100.1	100.0	17.5	5-1
N. Y. Jets	92.5	93.5	92.2	92.7	20.5	1-5
Miami	86.8	87.0	86.6	86.8	26.5	0-6
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	101.7	101.3	102.3	101.8	23	5-2
Cleveland	99.8	100.1	100.2	100.0	23.5	2-4
Pittsburgh	98.8	99.3	99.6	99.2	21.5	2-4
Cincinnati	93.6	93.4	93.8	93.6	24	0-7
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Houston	103.9	104.2	103.8	104.0	23.5	4-3
Indianapolis	100.1	101.0	100.6	100.6	22.5	4-2
Jacksonville	99.1	99.5	99.9	99.5	19	3-4
Tennessee	98.1	98.4	98.0	98.2	15.5	3-4
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	100.7	101.2	100.6	100.8	30.5	5-2
LA Chargers	99.5	99.7	98.8	99.3	22	2-5
Denver	99.2	99.3	99.0	99.2	18.5	2-5
Oakland	96.6	96.6	97.1	96.8	24.5	3-3
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	104.1	104.7	104.1	104.3	20.5	4-3
Philadelphia	103.9	101.9	101.5	102.4	25.5	3-4
N.Y. Giants	94.1	94.5	95.0	94.5	24.5	2-5
Washington	91.2	92.2	91.6	91.7	18.5	1-6
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Minnesota	107.4	105.7	106.2	106.5	22.5	5-2
Green Bay	104.5	104.5	104.9	104.6	26	6-1
Chicago	104.8	101.3	101.6	102.6	19.5	3-3
Detroit	99.5	98.4	99.2	99.1	24	2-3-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	108.2	105.2	105.6	106.3	24.5	6-1
Carolina	102.3	102.5	103.3	102.7	24.5	4-2
Tampa Bay	95.9	98.2	98.6	97.6	28.5	2-4
Atlanta	94.8	95.1	94.4	94.7	26.5	1-6
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
LA Rams	107.2	105.7	105.9	106.3	28	4-3
San Francisco	104.3	105.6	106.0	105.3	23	6-0
Seattle	102.5	102.2	102.2	102.3	25.5	6-1
Arizona	94.5	94.9	95.5	95.0	23.5	3-3-1

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Playoff Projections

 

AFC Seeding
1	New England
2	Indianapolis
3	Kansas City
4	Baltimore
5	Buffalo
6	Houston

NFC Seeding
1	Green Bay
2	New Orleans
3	San Francisco
4	Dallas
5	Minnesota
6	LA Rams

Wildcard Round

Kansas City over Houston

Buffalo over Baltimore

LA Rams over San Francisco

Minnesota over Dallas

Divisional Round

New England over Buffalo

Kansas City over Indianapolis

Green Bay over LA Rams

New Orleans over Minnesota

Conference Championship

New England over Kansas City

Green Bay over New Orleans

Super Bowl 54

New England over Green Bay

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Advertisements

PiRate College Football Ratings: October 21, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

 

Thursday	October 24
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Houston	SMU	-8.1	-7.1	-7.5
Friday	October 25
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Colorado	USC	-11.1	-12.2	-12.3
Saturday	October 26
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Massachusetts	Connecticut	-7.6	-9.3	-7.6
Purdue	Illinois	11.4	10.5	11.8
Army	San Jose St.	13.6	11.4	13.3
Georgia St.	Troy	-2.2	-1.3	-1.6
Clemson	Boston College	33.5	30.9	33.7
Tulsa	Memphis	-12.8	-12.0	-12.5
Toledo	Eastern Michigan	3.5	3.7	3.8
Texas A&M	Mississippi St.	9.6	11.6	3.9
Temple	Central Florida	-7.0	-7.0	-6.7
Western Michigan	Bowling Green	25.8	24.9	25.5
Nebraska	Indiana	-2.1	0.0	-2.1
Buffalo	Central Michigan	5.9	5.6	6.0
Northwestern	Iowa	-9.7	-8.8	-10.7
East Carolina	South Florida	-2.0	-1.2	-2.0
Florida St.	Syracuse	3.0	3.9	3.4
Rutgers	Liberty	-2.4	-4.2	-3.9
Rice	Southern Miss.	-11.8	-8.8	-12.5
Utah	California	20.2	19.4	20.2
Wyoming	Nevada	12.9	13.5	13.7
Air Force	Utah St.	0.0	2.5	-0.1
New Mexico	Hawaii	-12.2	-10.6	-12.4
Marshall	Western Kentucky	2.8	1.2	2.1
Stanford	Arizona	7.6	6.7	7.1
Oregon	Washington St.	10.1	11.2	11.2
Fresno St.	Colorado St.	19.2	16.3	19.4
Kentucky	Missouri	-5.0	-4.0	-6.2
North Carolina	Duke	1.7	2.2	3.0
Michigan St.	Penn St.	-5.4	-5.3	-5.8
Kent St.	Miami (O)	2.2	3.7	2.5
South Alabama	Appalachian St.	-32.1	-28.5	-32.7
Georgia Southern	New Mexico St.	18.2	15.2	16.8
Iowa St.	Oklahoma St.	10.3	10.6	11.2
Middle Tennessee	Florida Int’l.	0.2	-0.8	0.1
Old Dominion	Florida Atlantic	-13.0	-12.1	-13.9
Ball St.	Ohio U	1.1	1.7	0.8
Alabama	Arkansas	43.1	39.2	44.5
Tennessee	South Carolina	-3.3	-2.0	-4.7
Kansas St.	Oklahoma	-14.6	-14.0	-14.8
Minnesota	Maryland	12.7	13.2	13.3
Navy	Tulane	-1.3	0.6	-1.2
TCU	Texas	-4.5	-2.0	-4.4
Pittsburgh	Miami (Fla.)	4.8	5.4	4.4
Louisville	Virginia	-8.1	-8.7	-8.5
Northern Illinois	Akron	22.3	21.0	23.4
Kansas	Texas Tech	-7.7	-6.7	-6.8
Charlotte	North Texas	-5.1	-4.1	-5.6
Ohio St.	Wisconsin	18.7	18.0	19.8
Arkansas St.	Texas St.	8.8	8.0	8.7
LSU	Auburn	9.0	8.4	9.4
UTEP	Louisiana Tech	-23.1	-18.4	-22.6
Michigan	Notre Dame	1.5	1.4	1.6
UCLA	Arizona St.	-6.2	-5.7	-7.7
UNLV	San Diego St.	-11.6	-12.1	-12.1

 

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

 

PiRate Ratings
#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
1	Ohio St.	137.4	136.4	138.4	137.4
2	Alabama	135.3	132.0	136.0	134.4
3	Clemson	132.6	130.0	133.4	132.0
4	L S U	129.4	127.1	129.5	128.7
5	Oklahoma	125.8	125.1	125.7	125.5
6	Georgia	126.2	124.3	126.1	125.5
7	Auburn	123.4	121.7	123.2	122.8
8	Penn St.	122.7	121.8	122.8	122.5
9	Wisconsin	121.7	121.4	121.7	121.6
10	Florida	122.7	119.8	122.3	121.6
11	Utah	121.6	120.4	122.2	121.4
12	Notre Dame	120.5	118.8	120.4	119.9
13	Oregon	119.1	119.2	120.5	119.6
14	Michigan	118.9	117.2	119.0	118.4
15	Iowa	117.7	115.8	117.5	117.0
16	Iowa St.	115.9	116.6	116.2	116.2
17	Texas A&M	116.7	115.0	115.3	115.7
18	Washington	114.0	113.7	115.0	114.2
19	Minnesota	114.2	113.9	113.7	113.9
20	Baylor	114.0	114.2	113.6	113.9
21	Michigan St.	114.3	113.5	114.0	113.9
22	Missouri	114.2	111.8	114.0	113.3
23	South Carolina	113.6	111.9	113.4	113.0
24	Texas	111.7	111.9	111.9	111.8
25	Washington St.	112.0	111.1	112.3	111.8
26	U S C	109.9	110.7	110.6	110.4
27	Central Florida	110.4	109.6	111.0	110.3
28	Mississippi St.	110.1	106.4	114.5	110.3
29	Virginia	108.8	109.0	108.9	108.9
30	Oklahoma St.	108.6	109.0	108.0	108.5
31	Arizona St.	108.4	107.7	109.2	108.5
32	Appalachian St.	108.8	107.8	108.6	108.4
33	Cincinnati	108.3	107.1	108.9	108.1
34	Kansas St.	108.3	108.1	107.9	108.1
35	Indiana	108.5	107.2	107.9	107.9
36	SMU	107.2	107.0	108.5	107.6
37	Memphis	106.8	106.8	107.5	107.0
38	Pittsburgh	106.6	106.4	106.9	106.6
39	Tennessee	107.3	106.9	105.7	106.6
40	Purdue	106.8	106.6	106.3	106.6
41	T C U	105.2	108.0	105.5	106.2
42	Boise St.	106.1	105.8	106.4	106.1
43	North Carolina	105.7	105.7	106.9	106.1
44	Texas Tech	105.8	106.0	105.0	105.6
45	Duke	105.6	104.9	105.3	105.3
46	Kentucky	106.2	104.8	104.8	105.3
47	Utah St.	104.9	104.0	105.9	104.9
48	Miami (Fla.)	104.8	104.1	105.5	104.8
49	Ole Miss	105.2	104.2	104.9	104.8
50	Northwestern	105.4	104.5	104.3	104.7
51	Florida St.	104.5	104.6	104.5	104.6
52	California	104.3	104.0	105.0	104.4
53	Syracuse	104.5	103.8	104.1	104.1
54	Maryland	104.5	103.7	103.3	103.8
55	Nebraska	103.4	104.2	102.8	103.5
56	Wake Forest	103.5	102.9	103.8	103.4
57	Stanford	103.6	102.7	103.1	103.1
58	Air Force	101.9	103.4	102.8	102.7
59	Boston College	102.2	102.1	102.7	102.3
60	West Virginia	102.1	101.5	101.2	101.6
61	Virginia Tech	101.0	101.1	101.4	101.2
62	Temple	100.8	100.1	101.8	100.9
63	Louisiana	100.9	101.0	100.8	100.9
64	Tulane	99.8	100.5	100.4	100.2
65	Fresno St.	99.0	99.8	99.5	99.4
66	BYU	99.3	99.3	99.3	99.3
67	North Carolina St.	99.3	99.0	99.4	99.2
68	Arizona	99.0	99.0	98.9	99.0
69	U C L A	99.2	99.0	98.5	98.9
70	San Diego St.	98.3	100.1	98.3	98.9
71	Illinois	98.3	99.1	97.5	98.3
72	Wyoming	97.3	99.4	97.6	98.1
73	Houston	96.6	97.5	98.5	97.5
74	Oregon St.	97.3	98.3	96.8	97.5
75	Louisville	97.7	97.3	97.4	97.4
76	Western Michigan	97.5	96.4	97.2	97.0
77	Navy	95.5	98.1	96.2	96.6
78	Vanderbilt	97.0	95.7	95.7	96.1
79	Hawaii	95.7	97.0	94.9	95.9
80	Army	96.0	95.9	95.2	95.7
81	Colorado	95.9	95.5	95.4	95.6
82	Kansas	95.2	96.2	95.2	95.5
83	Arkansas	95.2	95.7	94.5	95.2
84	Georgia Tech	94.6	92.9	95.0	94.2
85	Troy	94.3	94.8	93.4	94.2
86	Louisiana Tech	94.0	94.0	94.3	94.1
87	Southern Miss.	94.2	92.6	94.3	93.7
88	Georgia Southern	93.3	92.7	92.2	92.8
89	Ohio	92.9	91.9	93.3	92.7
90	Florida Atlantic	91.9	91.4	92.8	92.0
91	Northern Illinois	92.2	91.1	92.3	91.9
92	Tulsa	91.0	91.8	92.0	91.6
93	Western Kentucky	90.6	91.8	92.4	91.6
94	Florida Int’l.	91.4	91.4	91.6	91.5
95	Ball St.	91.5	91.1	91.6	91.4
96	North Texas	91.2	90.5	91.7	91.1
97	U A B	89.9	91.8	90.8	90.9
98	Marshall	90.4	90.0	91.5	90.6
99	Georgia St.	89.6	91.0	89.3	90.0
100	Buffalo	89.3	89.8	90.4	89.8
101	Arkansas St.	89.7	89.8	89.2	89.6
102	Liberty	89.0	90.3	89.3	89.5
103	Middle Tennessee	89.1	88.1	89.2	88.8
104	South Florida	88.3	89.3	88.5	88.7
105	Toledo	88.3	88.6	89.0	88.6
106	Kent St.	88.2	88.2	88.7	88.4
107	Miami (Ohio)	88.5	87.0	88.7	88.1
108	Nevada	87.5	88.9	86.9	87.8
109	Eastern Michigan	87.2	87.4	87.7	87.5
110	Coastal Carolina	86.8	87.9	86.2	87.0
111	Central Michigan	85.9	86.7	86.9	86.5
112	Louisiana-Monroe	85.8	86.5	85.6	86.0
113	San Jose St.	85.4	87.5	85.0	86.0
114	U N L V	84.2	85.6	83.7	84.5
115	East Carolina	83.8	85.6	84.0	84.5
116	Colorado St.	82.8	86.6	83.1	84.2
117	Charlotte	83.6	83.9	83.6	83.7
118	Texas St.	83.4	84.2	83.0	83.5
119	Rutgers	84.1	83.6	82.9	83.5
120	New Mexico	80.0	82.8	79.0	80.6
121	Rice	79.9	81.3	79.2	80.2
122	New Mexico St.	78.2	80.6	78.5	79.1
123	Old Dominion	76.4	76.8	76.4	76.5
124	Texas-San Antonio	74.5	76.8	74.3	75.2
125	South Alabama	74.2	76.8	73.3	74.8
126	Bowling Green	74.1	74.0	74.2	74.1
127	Connecticut	71.9	75.4	70.8	72.7
128	Akron	72.5	72.6	71.4	72.1
129	U T E P	68.4	73.1	69.2	70.2
130	Massachusetts	62.3	64.1	61.2	62.5

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference

 

American Athletic Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	AAC	Overall
Central Florida	110.4	109.6	111.0	110.3	2-1	5-2
Cincinnati	108.3	107.1	108.9	108.1	3-0	6-1
Temple	100.8	100.1	101.8	100.9	2-1	5-2
South Florida	88.3	89.3	88.5	88.7	1-2	3-4
East Carolina	83.8	85.6	84.0	84.5	0-3	3-4
Connecticut	71.9	75.4	70.8	72.7	0-4	1-6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	AAC	Overall
SMU	107.2	107.0	108.5	107.6	3-0	7-0
Memphis	106.8	106.8	107.5	107.0	2-1	6-1
Tulane	99.8	100.5	100.4	100.2	2-1	5-2
Houston	96.6	97.5	98.5	97.5	1-2	3-4
Navy	95.5	98.1	96.2	96.6	3-1	5-1
Tulsa	91.0	91.8	92.0	91.6	0-3	2-5
AAC Averages	96.7	97.4	97.3	97.1
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	ACC	Overall
Clemson	132.6	130.0	133.4	132.0	5-0	7-0
Florida St.	104.5	104.6	104.5	104.6	2-3	3-4
Syracuse	104.5	103.8	104.1	104.1	0-3	3-4
Wake Forest	103.5	102.9	103.8	103.4	2-1	6-1
Boston College	102.2	102.1	102.7	102.3	2-2	4-3
North Carolina St.	99.3	99.0	99.4	99.2	1-2	4-3
Louisville	97.7	97.3	97.4	97.4	2-2	4-3
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	ACC	Overall
Virginia	108.8	109.0	108.9	108.9	3-1	5-2
Pittsburgh	106.6	106.4	106.9	106.6	2-1	5-2
North Carolina	105.7	105.7	106.9	106.1	2-2	3-4
Duke	105.6	104.9	105.3	105.3	2-2	4-3
Miami (Fla.)	104.8	104.1	105.5	104.8	1-3	3-4
Virginia Tech	101.0	101.1	101.4	101.2	3-2	5-2
Georgia Tech	94.6	92.9	95.0	94.2	1-3	2-5
ACC Averages	105.1	104.6	105.4	105.0
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	B12	Overall
Oklahoma	125.8	125.1	125.7	125.5	4-0	7-0
Iowa St.	115.9	116.6	116.2	116.2	3-1	5-2
Baylor	114.0	114.2	113.6	113.9	4-0	7-0
Texas	111.7	111.9	111.9	111.8	3-1	5-2
Oklahoma St.	108.6	109.0	108.0	108.5	1-3	4-3
Kansas St.	108.3	108.1	107.9	108.1	1-2	4-2
T C U	105.2	108.0	105.5	106.2	1-2	3-3
Texas Tech	105.8	106.0	105.0	105.6	1-3	3-4
West Virginia	102.1	101.5	101.2	101.6	1-3	3-4
Kansas	95.2	96.2	95.2	95.5	0-4	2-5
Big 12 Averages	109.3	109.7	109.0	109.3
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Ohio St.	137.4	136.4	138.4	137.4	4-0	7-0
Penn St.	122.7	121.8	122.8	122.5	4-0	7-0
Michigan	118.9	117.2	119.0	118.4	3-2	5-2
Michigan St.	114.3	113.5	114.0	113.9	2-2	4-3
Indiana	108.5	107.2	107.9	107.9	2-2	5-2
Maryland	104.5	103.7	103.3	103.8	1-3	3-4
Rutgers	84.1	83.6	82.9	83.5	0-5	1-6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Wisconsin	121.7	121.4	121.7	121.6	3-1	6-1
Iowa	117.7	115.8	117.5	117.0	2-2	5-2
Minnesota	114.2	113.9	113.7	113.9	4-0	7-0
Purdue	106.8	106.6	106.3	106.6	1-3	2-5
Northwestern	105.4	104.5	104.3	104.7	0-4	1-5
Nebraska	103.4	104.2	102.8	103.5	2-2	4-3
Illinois	98.3	99.1	97.5	98.3	1-3	3-4
Big Ten Averages	111.3	110.6	110.9	110.9
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	CUSA	Overall
Florida Atlantic	91.9	91.4	92.8	92.0	2-1	4-3
Western Kentucky	90.6	91.8	92.4	91.6	4-0	5-2
Florida Int’l.	91.4	91.4	91.6	91.5	2-2	4-3
Marshall	90.4	90.0	91.5	90.6	2-1	4-3
Middle Tennessee	89.1	88.1	89.2	88.8	1-2	2-5
Charlotte	83.6	83.9	83.6	83.7	0-3	2-5
Old Dominion	76.4	76.8	76.4	76.5	0-3	1-6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	CUSA	Overall
Louisiana Tech	94.0	94.0	94.3	94.1	3-0	6-1
Southern Miss.	94.2	92.6	94.3	93.7	2-1	4-3
North Texas	91.2	90.5	91.7	91.1	2-1	3-4
U A B	89.9	91.8	90.8	90.9	3-1	6-1
Rice	79.9	81.3	79.2	80.2	0-3	0-7
Texas-San Antonio	74.5	76.8	74.3	75.2	2-2	3-4
U T E P	68.4	73.1	69.2	70.2	0-3	1-5
CUSA Averages	86.1	86.7	86.5	86.4
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	Conf.	Overall
Notre Dame	120.5	118.8	120.4	119.9	x	5-1
BYU	99.3	99.3	99.3	99.3	x	3-4
Army	96.0	95.9	95.2	95.7	x	3-4
Liberty	89.0	90.3	89.3	89.5	x	5-2
New Mexico St.	78.2	80.6	78.5	79.1	x	0-7
Massachusetts	62.3	64.1	61.2	62.5	x	1-6
Indep. Averages	90.9	91.5	90.6	91.0
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MAC	Overall
Ohio	92.9	91.9	93.3	92.7	2-1	3-4
Buffalo	89.3	89.8	90.4	89.8	1-2	3-4
Kent St.	88.2	88.2	88.7	88.4	2-1	3-4
Miami (Ohio)	88.5	87.0	88.7	88.1	2-1	3-4
Bowling Green	74.1	74.0	74.2	74.1	1-2	2-5
Akron	72.5	72.6	71.4	72.1	0-3	0-7
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MAC	Overall
Western Michigan	97.5	96.4	97.2	97.0	2-2	4-4
Northern Illinois	92.2	91.1	92.3	91.9	1-2	2-5
Ball St.	91.5	91.1	91.6	91.4	3-0	4-3
Toledo	88.3	88.6	89.0	88.6	1-2	4-3
Eastern Michigan	87.2	87.4	87.7	87.5	1-2	4-3
Central Michigan	85.9	86.7	86.9	86.5	3-1	5-3
MAC Averages	87.3	87.1	87.6	87.3
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MWC	Overall
Boise St.	106.1	105.8	106.4	106.1	3-0	6-1
Utah St.	104.9	104.0	105.9	104.9	3-0	4-2
Air Force	101.9	103.4	102.8	102.7	3-1	5-2
Wyoming	97.3	99.4	97.6	98.1	2-1	5-2
Colorado St.	82.8	86.6	83.1	84.2	1-2	2-5
New Mexico	80.0	82.8	79.0	80.6	0-3	2-5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MWC	Overall
Fresno St.	99.0	99.8	99.5	99.4	1-1	3-3
San Diego St.	98.3	100.1	98.3	98.9	3-1	6-1
Hawaii	95.7	97.0	94.9	95.9	1-2	4-3
Nevada	87.5	88.9	86.9	87.8	1-2	4-3
San Jose St.	85.4	87.5	85.0	86.0	1-3	3-4
U N L V	84.2	85.6	83.7	84.5	1-3	2-5
MWC Averages	93.6	95.1	93.6	94.1
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	P12	Overall
Oregon	119.1	119.2	120.5	119.6	4-0	6-1
Washington	114.0	113.7	115.0	114.2	2-3	5-3
Washington St.	112.0	111.1	112.3	111.8	1-3	4-3
California	104.3	104.0	105.0	104.4	1-3	4-3
Stanford	103.6	102.7	103.1	103.1	2-3	3-4
Oregon St.	97.3	98.3	96.8	97.5	2-2	3-4
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	P12	Overall
Utah	121.6	120.4	122.2	121.4	3-1	6-1
U S C	109.9	110.7	110.6	110.4	3-1	4-3
Arizona St.	108.4	107.7	109.2	108.5	2-2	5-2
Arizona	99.0	99.0	98.9	99.0	2-2	4-3
U C L A	99.2	99.0	98.5	98.9	2-2	2-5
Colorado	95.9	95.5	95.4	95.6	1-3	3-4
Pac-12 Averages	107.0	106.8	107.3	107.0
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SEC	Overall
Georgia	126.2	124.3	126.1	125.5	3-1	6-1
Florida	122.7	119.8	122.3	121.6	5-1	7-1
Missouri	114.2	111.8	114.0	113.3	2-1	5-2
South Carolina	113.6	111.9	113.4	113.0	2-3	3-4
Tennessee	107.3	106.9	105.7	106.6	1-3	2-5
Kentucky	106.2	104.8	104.8	105.3	1-4	3-4
Vanderbilt	97.0	95.7	95.7	96.1	1-3	2-5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SEC	Overall
Alabama	135.3	132.0	136.0	134.4	4-0	7-0
L S U	129.4	127.1	129.5	128.7	3-0	7-0
Auburn	123.4	121.7	123.2	122.8	3-1	6-1
Texas A&M	116.7	115.0	115.3	115.7	2-2	4-3
Mississippi St.	110.1	106.4	114.5	110.3	1-3	3-4
Ole Miss	105.2	104.2	104.9	104.8	2-3	3-5
Arkansas	95.2	95.7	94.5	95.2	0-4	2-5
SEC Averages	114.5	112.7	114.3	113.8
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SBC	Overall
Appalachian St.	108.8	107.8	108.6	108.4	3-0	6-0
Troy	94.3	94.8	93.4	94.2	1-1	3-3
Georgia Southern	93.3	92.7	92.2	92.8	2-1	3-3
Georgia St.	89.6	91.0	89.3	90.0	2-1	5-2
Coastal Carolina	86.8	87.9	86.2	87.0	0-3	3-4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SBC	Overall
Louisiana	100.9	101.0	100.8	100.9	2-1	5-2
Arkansas St.	89.7	89.8	89.2	89.6	1-2	3-4
Louisiana-Monroe	85.8	86.5	85.6	86.0	2-1	3-4
Texas St.	83.4	84.2	83.0	83.5	1-1	2-4
South Alabama	74.2	76.8	73.3	74.8	0-3	1-6
SBC Averages	90.7	91.3	90.2	90.7

 

 

Conference Ratings

 

#	League	Average
1	Southeastern	113.8
2	Big Ten	110.9
3	Big 12	109.3
4	Pac-12	107.0
5	Atlantic Coast	105.0
6	American	97.1
7	Mountain West	94.1
8	Independents	91.0
9	Sun Belt	90.7
10	Mid-American	87.3
11	Conference USA	86.4

 

 

Top 5 Group of 5
1	SMU
2	Appalachian St.
3	Cincinnati
4	Navy
5	Boise St.

 

 

This Week’s Bowl and Playoff Projections

 

There was considerable shuffling of the bowl projections this week, with these teams being affected the most (by alphabetical conference).

AAC: With Boise St. losing, the likelihood of the AAC Champion making it to the Cotton Bowl went way up.  SMU is the leader at the moment, but the Mustangs will have to win at Memphis more than likely if they are to stay home for a NY6 Bowl.  Memphis has the most favorable schedule, while Cincinnati and Navy are still in the race.

ACC: Clemson cannot afford to lose a game, and most every so-called college football expert believes this is so.  There is no strong number two in this league, but Notre Dame caucuses here for bowl invitation, so the Irish look like a sure thing to garner one of the NY6 Bowl bids.  Boston College, Louisville,  and Syracuse appear to be on the outside looking in from the Atlantic Division, while Miami now drops into our predicted 5-7 teams and falls out of the bowl picture for now.  The Coastal is still a wide open race, but we think Pittsburgh has the best chance to become fodder for Clemson in the Title Game.

Big 12: Baylor keeps surprising a lot of folks, as even the folks in Nevada were a bit surprised at how they handles Oklahoma State in Stillwater.  Can the Bears beat Oklahoma, or to put it more accurately beat them once in two tries?  If Oklahoma runs the table, the Sooners are in the Playoffs.  If Baylor runs the table, they will most likely make the playoffs.  If they split two games, then the LSU-Alabama loser at 11-1 will be in the Playoffs.  Texas and Iowa State appear to be jostling for third place as of now.  Meanwhile, a group that included Oklahoma State, Kansas State, TCU, and Texas Tech all have shots a bowl eligibility, and we believe three of the four will make it.

Big Ten: Wisconsin’s loss to Illinois, makes the Penn State-Ohio State game in Columbus a Playoff Qualifier.  The winner of that game has a great shot at being 13-0 and Playoff bound.  Michigan and Michigan State are now fighting it out for third in the East, while Indiana virtually locked up a fifth bowl eligible spot in the division.  Minnesota still gets no respect, and the Gophers will host Penn State in two weeks with a chance to get that respect.  If they upset the Nittany Lions, Roses could be in Minnesota’s future for the first time since January 1, 1962.  With the Big Ten having the most specific bowl rules, it appears that in order to keep teams out of making repeat bowl appearances, some teams with two fewer wins may jump over others for more prestigious bowls.

Conference USA: This league has no chance to earn the NY6 Bowl bid as too many teams would have to lose before a Louisiana Tech or UAB would even enter the contention picture.  Marshall will host Western Kentucky this weekend, and the winner will just about wrap up the East Division flag.  The West is still a four-team mess, but Louisiana Tech has the upper hand.  UAB hosts the Bulldogs in November, and the winner of that game will most likely take the West Division crown.

Independents: Since Notre Dame figures in the ACC bowl, we don’t include them here.  The big change here was removing Army from bowl contention and placing BYU back into bowl contention.  If BYU goes 6-6 or better, they are guaranteed the Hawaii Bowl bid.  Keep an eye on Liberty.  If Liberty can win at Rutgers this Saturday, the Flames are looking at an eight-win season.  Liberty has a secondary bowl agreement with the Cure, but we see that bowl being filled by the regular tie-ins.  Still, this school could make its first bowl appearance, because a lot of Southern bowls are going to need at-large teams.

MAC: This conference uses the work “MACtion” to describe its excitement, but Wacky MAC might be a more accurate theme in the Midwest.  Almost all the craziness is in the West Division, where Ball State has come from out of nowhere to take a commanding lead in the division.  The Cardinals were picked to finish last or second to last by most preseason predictions.  The other team picked to finish last or second to last may be chief competition.  Central Michigan plays Ball State in Muncie in November, and the winner is probably the Division champion.  In the East, Ohio won a big game over Kent State this past Saturday, and the Bobcats need only beat Buffalo to guarantee another East Division crown.  Mainstays at the top, Western Michigan and Toledo, are hurting right now, and Toledo must get quarterback Mitchell Guadagni back from injury, as they have no offense without him.

Mountain West: Boise State is now on the outside looking in for the Cotton Bowl.  The Broncos have two or three more games where the opponent could be talented enough to pin another loss on them.  Utah State hosts BSU in November, and if quarterback Jordan Love is 100% healthy, the Aggies might be the better team.  With Hawaii losing at home to Air Force, the San Diego State-Fresno State winner is going to take the West Division title.  This league will have one or two extra teams to fill at-large bowls, and we believe one of the two will get in.  Wyoming did not get an invitation last year, so the Cowboys could be heading Southeast of Laramie.

Pac-12: Oregon is one play away from being squarely in the Playoff picture, but then the Donner Party was just one mountain away from getting to the Pacific Coast safely.  The Ducks may have seen their hopes dashed by an Auburn snowstorm.  Utah’s loss to USC prevents the Utes from having a chance to make it to the Playoffs.  The only unsure thing in this conference is if California can get to 6-6 without Chase Garbers at QB.

SEC: Georgia looks quite vulnerable all of a sudden.  If the Bulldogs couldn’t pass or score versus South Carolina and Kentucky, how will they do so against Florida and Auburn.  Short of a major quick fix, it would not be shocking if Georgia lost twice more, giving Florida the East title.  With Missouri ineligible, that leaves South Carolina, Kentucky, Tennessee, and Vanderbilt fighting for two bowl bids.  USC and Vandy have too much to conquer to get to six wins, while Kentucky may have to beat rival Louisville to make it to bowl eligibility.  Tennessee has four winnable games left on their schedule, so for now, we are picking the Vols to sneak in at 6-6.  In the West, we believe Mississippi State is in big trouble and likely headed to 5-7 with Ole Miss.  Arkansas is the #14 team in the league and may finish 0-8.  The SEC is going to come up four to six bowl spots short.

Sunbelt: Appalachian State probably has the best overall shot of going 13-0 from a Group of 5 Conference, but can the Mountaineers jump over a 12-1 AAC champion?  Aside from that, the other news is that this league will have extra bowl eligible teams and should see at least one at-large bid come to the league.

 

Bowl	Conf	Conf	Team	Team
Bahamas	MAC	CUSA	Central Michigan	Marshall
Frisco	AAC	At-large	SMU	[Toledo]
Cure	AAC	SBC	East Carolina	Arkansas St.
New Mexico	CUSA	MWC	Louisiana Tech	Fresno St.
Boca Raton	AAC	MAC	Central Florida	Ball St.
Camellia	MAC	SBC	Western Michigan	Georgia St.
Las Vegas	MWC #1	Pac-12	Boise St.	Washington St.
New Orleans	CUSA	SBC #1	Southern Miss.	Appalachian St.
Gasparilla	AAC	CUSA	Cincinnati	Florida Atlantic
Hawaii	BYU/MWC	AAC	BYU	Navy
Independence	ACC	SEC	Florida St.	[UAB]
Quick Lane	ACC	Big Ten	North Carolina	Indiana
Military	ACC	AAC	Duke	Temple
Pinstripe	ACC	Big Ten	North Carolina St.	Purdue
Texas	Big 12	SEC	Oklahoma St.	Texas A&M
Holiday	Pac-12	Big Ten	Washington	Iowa
Cheez-It	Big 12	Pac-12	Texas Tech	Arizona
Camping World	ACC	Big 12	Pittsburgh	Iowa St.
Cotton	At-large	At-large	Memphis	Penn St.
First Responder	CUSA	Big 12	North Texas	[Hawaii]
Redbox	Pac-12	Big Ten	Arizona St.	Michigan
Music City	SEC	ACC	[Wyoming]	Wake Forest
Orange	ACC	BTen/SEC	Notre Dame	Florida
Belk	ACC	SEC	Virginia Tech	Kentucky
Sun	ACC	Pac-12	Virginia	USC
Liberty	Big 12	SEC	Kansas St.	[Liberty]
Arizona	SBC	MWC	Louisiana	San Diego St.
Alamo	Big 12	Pac-12	Texas	Utah
Citrus	SEC	BTen/ACC	Georgia	Wisconsin
Outback	Big Ten	SEC	Michigan St.	Auburn
Rose	Big Ten	Pac-12	Minnesota	Oregon
Sugar	Big 12	SEC	Baylor	LSU
Birmingham	AAC	SEC	Tulane	[Troy]
Taxslayer/Gator	SEC	Big Ten	Tennessee	Nebraska
Idaho Potato	MAC	MWC	Eastern Michigan	Utah St.
Armed Forces	Big Ten	MWC	[Western Ky.]	Air Force
Dollar General	MAC	SBC	Ohio U	Georgia Southern
FBS PLAYOFFS
Fiesta	Top 4	Top 4	Ohio St.	Oklahoma
Peach	Top 4	Top 4	Alabama	Clemson
Championship	Fiesta	Peach	Ohio St.	Alabama

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings Picks For October 17-21, 2019

Hooray, Hooray!  Maybe our little ditty we recited at the beginning of last week’s picks really worked!  That ditty went this way, “Yuck, Yuck, Yuck, I want more luck!”  It has to do with a childhood saying, and it worked then and apparently worked last week.

Both our PiRate Picks and Experimental Davey19 picks won.  The PiRate Picks enjoyed a windfall weekend with big wins.  Another 6 or 7 weeks in a row just like this, and we might even get back to level in our imaginary bank accounts.

While we have been trying to issue our money line parlay picks on Friday, we have a Thursday night game that is included in our selections, we have to issue those picks today as well.

Remember, the PiRates never wager real money on the outcomes of these games, and we also remind you that you frequently get what you pay for, and this is totally free.

 

PiRate Ratings Picks

 

10-point Teasers, 3 Game Parlays

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Louisiana	Arkansas St.	17	Arkansas St.
Ohio	Kent St.	17.5	Kent St.
Utah St.	Nevada	31	Nevada

 

 

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
California	Oregon St.	21	Oregon St.
Washington	Oregon	7	Oregon
South Carolina	Florida	15.5	Florida

 

 

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Louisiana Tech	Southern Miss.	9	Southern Miss.
Auburn	Arkansas	29	Arkansas
Virginia Tech	North Carolina	13.5	North Carolina

 

 

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Iowa St.	Texas Tech	17	Texas Tech
Rice	UTSA	14.5	UTSA
SMU	Temple	17.5	Temple

 

 

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Denver	Kansas City	7	Kansas City
N.Y. Giants	Arizona	13	Arizona
Houston	Indianapolis	10	Indianapolis

 

 

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Minnesota	Detroit	11	Detroit
Green Bay	Oakland	15.5	Oakland
LA Rams	Atlanta	13	Atlanta

 

 

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Seattle	Baltimore	13	Baltimore
Philadelphia	Dallas	7	Dallas
New England	N.Y. Jets	20.5	N.Y. Jets

 

 

Money Line Parlays

 

All 3-game parlays 

 

WIN	LOSE	Spread
Oregon	Washington
Penn St.	Michigan	+188
Western Ky.	Charlotte

 

 

WIN	LOSE	Spread
North Carolina	Virginia Tech
Western Mich.	Eastern Mich.	+193
Boise St.	BYU

 

 

WIN	LOSE	Spread
Stanford	UCLA
Florida	South Carolina	+224
Georgia Southern	Coastal Carolina

 

Davey19 Experimental Picks

 

Margins Plays

Pick	Opponent	Spread
Kent St.	Ohio	+7.5
Boise St.	BYU	-6.5
Oregon	Washington	-2.5
Florida	South Carolina	-4.5
North Carolina	Va Tech	-3
Hawaii	AFA	+3
Houston	Indianapolis	+1
Oakland	Green Bay	+5.5
Washington	San Francisco	+10.5
LA Chargers	Tennessee	+2.5

 

Totals Plays

 

Team	Team	Total	Pick
UCLA	Stanford	52.5	Under
Georgia Tech	Miami (Fla.)	46	Under
Florida St.	Wake Forest	69	Under
North Carolina	Virginia Tech	57	Under
Tennessee	LA Chargers	40	Under

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 7: October 17-21, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Denver	Kansas City	-0.8	-0.9	-0.4
N.Y. Giants	Arizona	4.0	4.2	4.3
Indianapolis	Houston	-2.3	-1.7	-2.1
Buffalo	Miami	16.6	18.0	18.1
Detroit	Minnesota	-4.1	-3.1	-2.4
Green Bay	Oakland	9.7	9.5	9.2
Cincinnati	Jacksonville	-1.2	-1.8	-1.4
Atlanta	LA Rams	-5.8	-3.6	-3.7
Washington	San Francisco	-10.2	-10.5	-11.5
Tennessee	LA Chargers	1.4	1.5	2.2
Seattle	Baltimore	5.5	5.8	5.0
Chicago	New Orleans	2.3	2.0	2.1
Dallas	Philadelphia	-0.1	2.7	2.3
N.Y. Jets	New England	-13.0	-13.0	-13.7

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	109.3	110.4	109.9	109.9	21.5	6-0
Buffalo	99.8	101.2	100.8	100.6	18	4-1
N. Y. Jets	93.8	94.9	93.7	94.1	21.5	1-4
Miami	86.2	86.2	85.7	86.0	26	0-5
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	100.7	100.2	101.1	100.7	23	4-2
Cleveland	99.5	99.8	99.9	99.7	23.5	2-4
Pittsburgh	98.5	99.0	99.3	98.9	21.5	2-4
Cincinnati	94.4	94.2	94.8	94.5	24	0-6
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Houston	104.5	104.8	104.6	104.7	23	4-2
Indianapolis	99.2	100.1	99.5	99.6	22	3-2
Jacksonville	98.1	98.5	98.7	98.4	19	2-4
Tennessee	97.9	98.2	97.9	98.0	15	2-4
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	104.2	104.6	103.9	104.2	31	4-2
Denver	100.5	100.7	100.5	100.6	19.5	2-4
LA Chargers	99.5	99.7	98.7	99.3	21.5	2-4
Oakland	97.1	97.2	97.8	97.4	23.5	3-2
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Philadelphia	105.3	103.2	102.9	103.8	25.5	3-3
Dallas	102.2	102.9	102.2	102.4	20.5	3-3
N.Y. Giants	94.7	95.2	95.8	95.2	24.5	2-4
Washington	91.1	92.1	91.5	91.6	19	1-5
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Minnesota	106.6	104.7	105.0	105.5	21.5	4-2
Green Bay	103.8	103.7	104.0	103.8	25	5-1
Chicago	105.9	102.5	102.9	103.8	19	3-2
Detroit	100.0	99.1	100.1	99.8	23	2-2-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	106.6	103.5	103.8	104.6	23.5	5-1
Carolina	102.0	102.2	103.0	102.4	24.5	4-2
Tampa Bay	95.6	97.9	98.3	97.3	28.5	2-4
Atlanta	96.5	97.0	96.4	96.6	27.5	1-5
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
San Francisco	104.3	105.6	106.0	105.3	23.5	5-0
LA Rams	105.3	103.6	103.7	104.2	28	3-3
Seattle	103.2	103.0	103.1	103.1	25.5	5-1
Arizona	93.7	94.0	94.5	94.1	23.5	2-3-1

 

Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1	New England
2	Houston
3	Kansas City
4	Baltimore
5	Buffalo
6	Indianapolis
NFC Seeding
1	San Francisco
2	New Orleans
3	Green Bay
4	Philadelphia
5	Seattle
6	Minnesota

 

Wildcard Round

Kansas City over Indianapolis

Buffalo over Baltimore

Green Bay over Minnesota

Seattle over Philadelphia

Divisional Round

New England over Buffalo

Houston over Kansas City

San Francisco over Seattle

New Orleans over Green Bay

Conference Championship

New England over Houston

San Francisco over New Orleans

Super Bowl 54

San Francisco over New England

 

 

 

PiRate College Football Ratings: October 14, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Wednesday	October 16
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Troy	South Alabama	22.4	19.7	21.9
Thursday	October 17
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Arkansas St.	Louisiana	-6.5	-6.3	-6.5
Stanford	UCLA	12.6	12.2	13.5
Friday	October 18
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Florida Atlantic	Marshall	6.7	6.8	6.9
Syracuse	Pittsburgh	2.8	2.4	2.5
Northwestern	Ohio St.	-24.8	-24.4	-26.8
Fresno St.	UNLV	15.2	14.2	15.8
Saturday	October 19
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Virginia	Duke	2.0	2.7	2.0
Miami (Fla.)	Georgia Tech	15.9	16.8	16.4
Louisville	Clemson	-31.4	-28.6	-32.2
Georgia St.	Army	-6.7	-5.2	-6.6
Akron	Buffalo	-13.5	-13.7	-15.5
Maryland	Indiana	-0.6	0.3	-0.8
Connecticut	Houston	-24.5	-21.6	-28.3
Wake Forest	Florida St.	1.5	0.8	1.7
Georgia Southern	Coastal Carolina	10.7	8.9	10.5
Bowling Green	Central Michigan	-7.3	-8.2	-8.0
Central Florida	East Carolina	31.5	28.7	32.5
Cincinnati	Tulsa	21.7	19.8	21.7
Boston College	North Carolina St.	2.1	2.2	2.2
Iowa	Purdue	14.5	12.8	15.1
Ohio	Kent St.	7.2	6.2	7.1
Eastern Michigan	Western Michigan	-10.3	-9.1	-10.0
Texas	Kansas	22.5	21.6	23.0
Illinois	Wisconsin	-25.1	-23.9	-26.2
Utah St.	Nevada	19.8	16.8	21.4
BYU	Boise St.	-6.1	-6.0	-7.0
Wyoming	New Mexico	21.2	20.4	22.7
Utah	Arizona St.	16.0	15.3	15.6
Ball St.	Toledo	0.2	-0.5	-0.3
Miami (O)	Northern Illinois	-1.8	-2.6	-2.1
California	Oregon St.	13.6	12.2	15.3
Washington	Oregon	-1.4	-2.0	-1.7
USC	Arizona	10.3	10.9	10.7
Washington St.	Colorado	16.1	15.4	16.5
South Carolina	Florida	-5.4	-4.1	-4.9
Georgia	Kentucky	23.6	23.4	25.6
Kansas St.	TCU	5.8	2.5	5.2
Mississippi St.	LSU	-14.3	-15.7	-9.1
Alabama	Tennessee	32.0	29.1	34.3
Louisiana Tech	Southern Miss.	-0.9	0.6	-1.1
UAB	Old Dominion	12.9	14.3	13.5
Oklahoma	West Virginia	24.3	23.9	24.6
Oklahoma St.	Baylor	0.9	1.3	1.1
Arkansas	Auburn	-20.7	-18.1	-20.7
Ole Miss	Texas A&M	-8.8	-7.7	-7.4
Memphis	Tulane	5.3	4.2	5.0
Virginia Tech	North Carolina	-2.3	-2.2	-3.1
Rutgers	Minnesota	-25.0	-25.1	-25.3
Texas Tech	Iowa St.	-6.7	-7.0	-7.7
Navy	South Florida	5.2	6.8	5.3
Appalachian St.	Louisiana-Monroe	20.2	18.1	19.8
Vanderbilt	Missouri	-18.8	-17.6	-20.5
San Jose St.	San Diego St.	-10.4	-10.1	-10.8
Western Kentucky	Charlotte	8.0	8.5	9.5
North Texas	Middle Tennessee	4.8	5.3	5.7
UTSA	Rice	-3.9	-2.9	-3.5
SMU	Temple	5.6	6.3	5.6
Florida Int’l.	UTEP	27.8	22.9	27.5
Penn St.	Michigan	6.4	7.2	6.5
Hawaii	Air Force	4.0	4.0	2.5

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings 

Note:  We receive a lot of emails at our sister site asking us how X can be rated ahead of Y when Y beat X in September.  These are not rankings; they are ratings.  They are predictive in nature and not mean to rank the teams based on what they have done earlier in the season.  These ratings try to forecast the next week of games only.  

 

#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
1	Ohio St.	135.3	134.2	136.2	135.2
2	Alabama	135.8	132.5	136.5	134.9
3	Clemson	132.2	129.3	132.9	131.5
4	L S U	128.4	126.1	128.0	127.5
5	Georgia	126.7	124.9	126.9	126.2
6	Wisconsin	124.2	123.9	124.4	124.2
7	Oklahoma	124.4	123.6	124.1	124.0
8	Penn St.	122.5	121.6	122.6	122.3
9	Utah	121.5	120.2	122.0	121.2
10	Florida	122.4	119.4	121.8	121.2
11	Auburn	121.5	119.6	121.1	120.7
12	Notre Dame	120.2	118.5	120.1	119.6
13	Oregon	118.7	118.8	120.0	119.2
14	Michigan	119.1	117.4	119.2	118.6
15	Iowa	118.0	116.1	118.0	117.3
16	Iowa St.	115.7	116.3	115.9	116.0
17	Texas A&M	116.8	115.0	115.3	115.7
18	Missouri	116.4	114.0	116.5	115.6
19	Washington	114.2	113.9	115.3	114.5
20	Michigan St.	114.0	113.2	113.7	113.6
21	Texas	113.3	113.5	113.7	113.5
22	South Carolina	113.9	112.3	113.9	113.4
23	Minnesota	112.4	112.0	111.7	112.0
24	Baylor	112.1	112.2	111.5	111.9
25	Central Florida	111.5	110.6	112.4	111.5
26	Mississipppi St.	111.1	107.4	116.0	111.5
27	Washington St.	110.5	109.5	110.6	110.2
28	Oklahoma St.	110.0	110.5	109.6	110.0
29	Cincinnati	109.0	107.8	109.8	108.9
30	Arizona St.	108.5	107.9	109.4	108.6
31	U S C	108.1	108.8	108.6	108.5
32	Kansas St.	108.2	107.8	107.8	107.9
33	Boise St.	107.5	107.3	108.1	107.6
34	Indiana	108.3	106.8	107.5	107.5
35	Duke	107.7	107.1	107.6	107.5
36	Northwestern	107.5	106.7	106.5	106.9
37	Virginia	106.7	106.8	106.6	106.7
38	Miami (Fla.)	106.4	105.7	107.2	106.4
39	California	106.2	105.9	107.2	106.4
40	T C U	105.3	108.3	105.6	106.4
41	North Carolina	106.0	106.0	107.2	106.4
42	Purdue	106.5	106.3	105.8	106.2
43	Tennessee	106.8	106.4	105.2	106.1
44	Stanford	106.4	105.6	106.2	106.1
45	Texas Tech	106.0	106.3	105.3	105.9
46	Pittsburgh	105.8	105.5	105.9	105.7
47	SMU	105.1	104.9	106.2	105.4
48	Appalachian St.	105.9	104.7	105.5	105.4
49	Syracuse	105.6	105.0	105.4	105.3
50	Kentucky	106.0	104.5	104.3	104.9
51	Ole Miss	105.1	104.2	104.9	104.7
52	Memphis	104.6	104.4	105.1	104.7
53	Florida St.	104.5	104.6	104.5	104.6
54	Utah St.	104.6	103.4	105.6	104.5
55	Maryland	104.7	104.1	103.7	104.2
56	Wake Forest	103.5	102.9	103.8	103.4
57	Nebraska	103.1	103.9	102.5	103.2
58	Tulane	102.3	103.2	103.1	102.9
59	West Virginia	103.2	102.7	102.5	102.8
60	Temple	102.4	101.7	103.6	102.6
61	North Carolina St.	101.3	101.1	101.6	101.3
62	Arizona	100.8	100.9	100.9	100.9
63	Virginia Tech	100.7	100.8	101.1	100.9
64	Boston College	100.5	100.3	100.8	100.5
65	Louisiana	99.8	99.8	99.5	99.7
66	Air Force	98.9	100.3	99.7	99.6
67	Houston	98.0	98.8	100.3	99.0
68	San Diego St.	98.3	100.1	98.3	98.9
69	Hawaii	98.4	99.8	97.7	98.6
70	Wyoming	97.7	99.8	98.2	98.6
71	Western Michigan	98.8	97.7	98.7	98.4
72	BYU	98.4	98.3	98.1	98.3
73	Fresno St.	97.7	98.3	98.0	98.0
74	Arkansas	97.8	98.5	97.3	97.9
75	Louisville	97.9	97.8	97.7	97.8
76	Army	97.4	97.3	96.8	97.2
77	Colorado	97.4	97.1	97.1	97.2
78	U C L A	96.7	96.4	95.7	96.3
79	Illinois	96.1	96.9	95.1	96.1
80	Oregon St.	95.7	96.7	94.9	95.8
81	Southern Miss.	95.8	94.2	96.1	95.4
82	Kansas	93.9	94.9	93.7	94.2
83	Vanderbilt	95.1	93.8	93.5	94.1
84	Navy	93.0	95.6	93.5	94.1
85	Troy	94.2	94.4	93.1	93.9
86	Georgia Southern	94.1	93.5	93.2	93.6
87	Florida Atlantic	93.0	92.6	94.1	93.2
88	Georgia Tech	93.5	91.8	93.8	93.0
89	Ohio	92.9	91.9	93.3	92.7
90	Florida Int’l.	92.5	92.4	92.9	92.6
91	Louisiana Tech	92.4	92.4	92.5	92.4
92	Northern Illinois	92.5	91.6	92.8	92.3
93	Toledo	91.3	91.6	92.0	91.6
94	North Texas	91.3	90.7	92.0	91.3
95	South Florida	90.8	91.8	91.2	91.3
96	Tulsa	90.3	91.1	91.1	90.8
97	Arkansas St.	90.8	91.0	90.5	90.8
98	Western Kentucky	89.8	90.9	91.5	90.7
99	Marshall	89.3	88.8	90.2	89.4
100	Buffalo	88.9	89.3	89.9	89.3
101	Liberty	88.8	90.1	89.1	89.3
102	U A B	88.3	90.2	89.1	89.2
103	Ball St.	89.0	88.6	89.1	88.9
104	Middle Tennessee	89.0	87.9	88.9	88.6
105	Louisiana-Monroe	88.2	89.1	88.2	88.5
106	Georgia St.	88.2	89.6	87.7	88.5
107	Kent St.	88.2	88.2	88.7	88.4
108	Nevada	87.8	89.5	87.2	88.2
109	Miami (Ohio)	88.2	86.5	88.2	87.6
110	Eastern Michigan	85.9	86.1	86.2	86.1
111	Coastal Carolina	86.0	87.1	85.2	86.1
112	San Jose St.	85.4	87.5	85.0	86.0
113	U N L V	85.5	87.1	85.2	85.9
114	Central Michigan	84.8	85.6	85.7	85.3
115	Charlotte	84.4	84.8	84.5	84.6
116	Rutgers	84.9	84.5	83.9	84.4
117	Colorado St.	82.5	86.3	82.8	83.9
118	East Carolina	83.0	84.9	82.9	83.6
119	Texas St.	83.2	84.0	82.8	83.3
120	Rice	80.5	81.9	79.9	80.8
121	New Mexico	79.6	82.4	78.4	80.2
122	New Mexico St.	78.0	80.4	78.3	78.9
123	Old Dominion	78.0	78.4	78.1	78.2
124	South Alabama	74.3	77.2	73.6	75.1
125	Bowling Green	74.9	74.8	75.1	75.0
126	Texas-San Antonio	74.2	76.5	73.9	74.8
127	Akron	72.9	73.1	71.9	72.6
128	Connecticut	71.0	74.6	69.5	71.7
129	U T E P	67.3	72.1	67.9	69.1
130	Massachusetts	62.1	63.9	61.0	62.3

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference

 

American Athletic Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	AAC	Overall
Central Florida	111.5	110.6	112.4	111.5	1-1	4-2
Cincinnati	109.0	107.8	109.8	108.9	2-0	5-1
Temple	102.4	101.7	103.6	102.6	2-0	5-1
South Florida	90.8	91.8	91.2	91.3	1-1	3-3
East Carolina	83.0	84.9	82.9	83.6	0-2	3-3
Connecticut	71.0	74.6	69.5	71.7	0-3	1-5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	AAC	Overall
SMU	105.1	104.9	106.2	105.4	2-0	6-0
Memphis	104.6	104.4	105.1	104.7	1-1	5-1
Tulane	102.3	103.2	103.1	102.9	2-0	5-1
Houston	98.0	98.8	100.3	99.0	0-2	2-4
Navy	93.0	95.6	93.5	94.1	2-1	4-1
Tulsa	90.3	91.1	91.1	90.8	0-2	2-4
AAC Averages	96.7	97.5	97.4	97.2
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	ACC	Overall
Clemson	132.2	129.3	132.9	131.5	4-0	6-0
Syracuse	105.6	105.0	105.4	105.3	0-2	3-3
Florida St.	104.5	104.6	104.5	104.6	2-2	3-3
Wake Forest	103.5	102.9	103.8	103.4	1-1	5-1
North Carolina St.	101.3	101.1	101.6	101.3	1-1	4-2
Boston College	100.5	100.3	100.8	100.5	1-2	3-3
Louisville	97.9	97.8	97.7	97.8	2-1	4-2
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	ACC	Overall
Duke	107.7	107.1	107.6	107.5	2-1	4-2
Virginia	106.7	106.8	106.6	106.7	2-1	4-2
Miami (Fla.)	106.4	105.7	107.2	106.4	1-2	3-3
North Carolina	106.0	106.0	107.2	106.4	2-1	3-3
Pittsburgh	105.8	105.5	105.9	105.7	1-1	4-2
Virginia Tech	100.7	100.8	101.1	100.9	2-2	4-2
Georgia Tech	93.5	91.8	93.8	93.0	0-3	1-5
ACC Averages	105.2	104.6	105.4	105.1
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	B12	Overall
Oklahoma	124.4	123.6	124.1	124.0	3-0	6-0
Iowa St.	115.7	116.3	115.9	116.0	2-1	4-2
Texas	113.3	113.5	113.7	113.5	2-1	4-2
Baylor	112.1	112.2	111.5	111.9	3-0	6-0
Oklahoma St.	110.0	110.5	109.6	110.0	1-2	4-2
Kansas St.	108.2	107.8	107.8	107.9	0-2	3-2
T C U	105.3	108.3	105.6	106.4	1-1	3-2
Texas Tech	106.0	106.3	105.3	105.9	1-2	3-3
West Virginia	103.2	102.7	102.5	102.8	1-2	3-3
Kansas	93.9	94.9	93.7	94.2	0-3	2-4
Big 12 Averages	109.2	109.6	109.0	109.3
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Ohio St.	135.3	134.2	136.2	135.2	3-0	6-0
Penn St.	122.5	121.6	122.6	122.3	3-0	6-0
Michigan	119.1	117.4	119.2	118.6	3-1	5-1
Michigan St.	114.0	113.2	113.7	113.6	2-2	4-3
Indiana	108.3	106.8	107.5	107.5	1-2	4-2
Maryland	104.7	104.1	103.7	104.2	1-2	3-3
Rutgers	84.9	84.5	83.9	84.4	0-4	1-5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Wisconsin	124.2	123.9	124.4	124.2	3-0	6-0
Iowa	118.0	116.1	118.0	117.3	1-2	4-2
Minnesota	112.4	112.0	111.7	112.0	3-0	6-0
Northwestern	107.5	106.7	106.5	106.9	0-3	1-4
Purdue	106.5	106.3	105.8	106.2	1-2	2-4
Nebraska	103.1	103.9	102.5	103.2	2-2	4-3
Illinois	96.1	96.9	95.1	96.1	0-3	2-4
Big Ten Averages	111.2	110.5	110.8	110.8
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	CUSA	Overall
Florida Atlantic	93.0	92.6	94.1	93.2	2-0	4-2
Florida Int’l.	92.5	92.4	92.9	92.6	1-2	3-3
Western Kentucky	89.8	90.9	91.5	90.7	3-0	4-2
Marshall	89.3	88.8	90.2	89.4	1-1	3-3
Middle Tennessee	89.0	87.9	88.9	88.6	1-1	2-4
Charlotte	84.4	84.8	84.5	84.6	0-2	2-4
Old Dominion	78.0	78.4	78.1	78.2	0-2	1-5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	CUSA	Overall
Southern Miss.	95.8	94.2	96.1	95.4	2-0	4-2
Louisiana Tech	92.4	92.4	92.5	92.4	2-0	5-1
North Texas	91.3	90.7	92.0	91.3	1-1	2-4
U A B	88.3	90.2	89.1	89.2	2-1	5-1
Rice	80.5	81.9	79.9	80.8	0-2	0-6
Texas-San Antonio	74.2	76.5	73.9	74.8	1-2	2-4
U T E P	67.3	72.1	67.9	69.1	0-2	1-4
CUSA Averages	86.1	86.7	86.5	86.5
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	Conf.	Overall
Notre Dame	120.2	118.5	120.1	119.6	x	5-1
BYU	98.4	98.3	98.1	98.3	x	2-4
Army	97.4	97.3	96.8	97.2	x	3-3
Liberty	88.8	90.1	89.1	89.3	x	4-2
New Mexico St.	78.0	80.4	78.3	78.9	x	0-7
Massachusetts	62.1	63.9	61.0	62.3	x	1-6
Indep. Averages	90.8	91.4	90.6	90.9
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MAC	Overall
Ohio	92.9	91.9	93.3	92.7	1-1	2-4
Buffalo	88.9	89.3	89.9	89.3	0-2	2-4
Kent St.	88.2	88.2	88.7	88.4	2-0	3-3
Miami (Ohio)	88.2	86.5	88.2	87.6	1-1	2-4
Bowling Green	74.9	74.8	75.1	75.0	1-1	2-4
Akron	72.9	73.1	71.9	72.6	0-2	0-6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MAC	Overall
Western Michigan	98.8	97.7	98.7	98.4	2-1	4-3
Northern Illinois	92.5	91.6	92.8	92.3	1-1	2-4
Toledo	91.3	91.6	92.0	91.6	1-1	4-2
Ball St.	89.0	88.6	89.1	88.9	2-0	3-3
Eastern Michigan	85.9	86.1	86.2	86.1	0-2	3-3
Central Michigan	84.8	85.6	85.7	85.3	2-1	4-3
MAC Averages	87.4	87.1	87.6	87.4
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MWC	Overall
Boise St.	107.5	107.3	108.1	107.6	3-0	6-0
Utah St.	104.6	103.4	105.6	104.5	2-0	3-2
Air Force	98.9	100.3	99.7	99.6	2-1	4-2
Wyoming	97.7	99.8	98.2	98.6	1-1	4-2
Colorado St.	82.5	86.3	82.8	83.9	1-2	2-5
New Mexico	79.6	82.4	78.4	80.2	0-2	2-4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MWC	Overall
San Diego St.	98.3	100.1	98.3	98.9	2-1	5-1
Hawaii	98.4	99.8	97.7	98.6	1-1	4-2
Fresno St.	97.7	98.3	98.0	98.0	0-1	2-3
Nevada	87.8	89.5	87.2	88.2	1-1	4-2
San Jose St.	85.4	87.5	85.0	86.0	1-2	3-3
U N L V	85.5	87.1	85.2	85.9	1-2	2-4
MWC Averages	93.7	95.1	93.7	94.2
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	P12	Overall
Oregon	118.7	118.8	120.0	119.2	3-0	5-1
Washington	114.2	113.9	115.3	114.5	2-2	5-2
Washington St.	110.5	109.5	110.6	110.2	0-3	3-3
California	106.2	105.9	107.2	106.4	1-2	4-2
Stanford	106.4	105.6	106.2	106.1	2-2	3-3
Oregon St.	95.7	96.7	94.9	95.8	1-2	2-4
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	P12	Overall
Utah	121.5	120.2	122.0	121.2	2-1	5-1
Arizona St.	108.5	107.9	109.4	108.6	2-1	5-1
U S C	108.1	108.8	108.6	108.5	2-1	3-3
Arizona	100.8	100.9	100.9	100.9	2-1	4-2
Colorado	97.4	97.1	97.1	97.2	1-2	3-3
U C L A	96.7	96.4	95.7	96.3	1-2	1-5
Pac-12 Averages	107.1	106.8	107.3	107.1
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SEC	Overall
Georgia	126.7	124.9	126.9	126.2	2-1	5-1
Florida	122.4	119.4	121.8	121.2	4-1	6-1
Missouri	116.4	114.0	116.5	115.6	2-0	5-1
South Carolina	113.9	112.3	113.9	113.4	2-2	3-3
Tennessee	106.8	106.4	105.2	106.1	1-2	2-4
Kentucky	106.0	104.5	104.3	104.9	1-3	3-3
Vanderbilt	95.1	93.8	93.5	94.1	0-3	1-5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SEC	Overall
Alabama	135.8	132.5	136.5	134.9	3-0	6-0
L S U	128.4	126.1	128.0	127.5	2-0	6-0
Auburn	121.5	119.6	121.1	120.7	2-1	5-1
Texas A&M	116.8	115.0	115.3	115.7	1-2	3-3
Mississippi St.	111.1	107.4	116.0	111.5	1-2	3-3
Ole Miss	105.1	104.2	104.9	104.7	2-2	3-4
Arkansas	97.8	98.5	97.3	97.9	0-3	2-4
SEC Averages	114.6	112.7	114.4	113.9
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SBC	Overall
Appalachian St.	105.9	104.7	105.5	105.4	2-0	5-0
Troy	94.2	94.4	93.1	93.9	0-1	2-3
Georgia Southern	94.1	93.5	93.2	93.6	1-1	2-3
Georgia St.	88.2	89.6	87.7	88.5	2-1	4-2
Coastal Carolina	86.0	87.1	85.2	86.1	0-2	3-3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SBC	Overall
Louisiana	99.8	99.8	99.5	99.7	1-1	4-2
Arkansas St.	90.8	91.0	90.5	90.8	1-1	3-3
Louisiana-Monroe	88.2	89.1	88.2	88.5	2-0	3-3
Texas St.	83.2	84.0	82.8	83.3	1-1	2-4
South Alabama	74.3	77.2	73.6	75.1	0-2	1-5
SBC Averages	90.5	91.0	89.9	90.5

 

 

Conference Power Ratings
#	League	Average
1	SEC	113.9
2	BTen	110.8
3	B12	109.3
4	P12	107.1
5	ACC	105.1
6	AAC	97.2
7	MWC	94.2
8	Ind	90.9
9	SUN	90.5
10	MAC	87.4
11	CUSA	86.5

 

Top 5 Group of 5
1	Boise St.
2	SMU
3	Cincinnati
4	Appalachian St.
5	Temple

 

This Week’s Bowl and Playoff Projections

 

Bowl	Conf	Conf	Team	Team
Bahamas	MAC	CUSA	Ball St.	Florida Atlantic
Frisco	AAC	At-large	Navy	[North Texas]
Cure	AAC	SBC	Central Florida	Arkansas St.
New Mexico	CUSA	MWC	Marshall	Fresno St.
Boca Raton	AAC	MAC	Cincinnati	Western Michigan
Camellia	MAC	SBC	Central Michigan	Troy
Las Vegas	MWC #1	Pac-12	San Diego St.	Arizona
New Orleans	CUSA	SBC #1	Southern Miss.	Appalachian St.
Gasparilla	AAC	CUSA	Memphis	UAB
Hawaii	BYU/MWC	AAC	Hawaii	SMU
Independence	ACC	SEC	Florida St.	[Western Kentucky]
Quick Lane	ACC	Big Ten	Louisville	[Buffalo]
Military	ACC	AAC	North Carolina St.	Temple
Pinstripe	ACC	Big Ten	Duke	Michigan St.
Texas	Big 12	SEC	Oklahoma St.	Texas A&M
Holiday	Pac-12	Big Ten	Arizona St.	Michigan
Cheez-It	Big 12	Pac-12	Texas Tech	Washington St.
Camping World	ACC	Big 12	North Carolina	Iowa St.
Cotton	At-large	At-large	Minnesota	Boise St.
First Responder	CUSA	Big 12	Louisiana Tech	[Nevada]
Redbox	Pac-12	Big Ten	Washington	Purdue
Music City	SEC	ACC	[Georgia Southern]	Wake Forest
Orange	ACC	BTen/SEC	Notre Dame	LSU
Belk	ACC	SEC	Pittsburgh	Mississippi St.
Sun	ACC	Pac-12	Virginia	USC
Liberty	Big 12	SEC	Kansas St.	[California]
Arizona	SBC	MWC	Georgia St.	Utah St.
Alamo	Big 12	Pac-12	Baylor	Utah
Citrus	SEC	BTen/ACC	Florida	Iowa
Outback	Big Ten	SEC	Penn St.	Auburn
Rose	Big Ten	Pac-12	Wisconsin	Oregon
Sugar	Big 12	SEC	Texas	Georgia
Birmingham	AAC	SEC	Tulane	[Miami (Fla.]
Taxslayer/Gator	SEC	Big Ten	South Carolina	Indiana
Idaho Potato	MAC	MWC	Kent St.	Wyoming
Armed Forces	Big Ten	MWC	[Florida Int’l.]	Air Force
Dollar General	MAC	SBC	Toledo	Louisiana
FBS PLAYOFFS
Fiesta	Top 4	Top 4	Clemson	Ohio St.
Peach	Top 4	Top 4	Alabama	Oklahoma
Championship	Fiesta	Peach	Ohio St.	Alabama
Teams in [Brackets] are at-large selections

 

Reverse Engineering the NCAA Playoffs

Here is our best estimate as to which teams would have qualified for the Playoffs in the years before there were playoffs.  This covers the PiRate Ratings era (1969-Present)

 

 

2013: Florida St., Auburn, Alabama, Michigan St.

Auburn and Alabama would have met in a rematch

 

2012: Notre Dame, Alabama, Florida, Oregon

Ohio State was 12-0 but ineligible that year

 

2011: LSU, Alabama, Stanford, Oklahoma St.

Andrew Luck versus the Crimson Tide and Les Myles against his old team

 

2010: Auburn, Oregon, TCU, Wisconsin

3, 12-0 teams and a possible Andy Dalton vs. Cam Newton in the Championship Game

 

2009: Alabama, Texas, TCU, Boise St.

All four teams were 12-0.  Nick Saban’s only undefeated team may have been one of his weaker teams at Alabama.  

 

2008: Florida, Oklahoma, Alabama, Utah

This is a year where an 8-team playoff would have been needed, as there were nine teams that could be considered playoff worthy.  Only Utah was undefeated, and the Utes slaughtered Alabama in the Sugar Bowl.

 

2007: Ohio St., LSU, Kansas, Oklahoma

This would have been a difficult year for a Selection Committee with only three deserving teams.  Number four could have been Missouri, Georgia, or USC.

 

2006: Ohio St., Florida, Michigan, Louisville

Ohio State and Michigan were both 11-0 when they met in Columbus.  The Buckeyes’ home field advantage is historically between 3.5 and 4.5 points, and they only won this game by three.  Might Michigan have been a little better that year?  Florida and Michigan in a semifinal game might have set up a rematch of the bitter rivals.

 

2005: USC, Texas, Penn St., Oregon

This was definitely a year where only two teams were needed for playoffs.  It would have been ashamed if either USC or Texas had been upset in a semifinal game, robbing the nation of one of the best Championship Games ever.

 

2004: USC, Oklahoma, Auburn, Utah

All four of these teams were 12-0 at the end of the regular season.  Auburn and Utah were won impressive bowl games, and this would have been one of the best playoff years ever.

 

2003: USC, LSU, Oklahoma, Michigan

The BCS folks got this one wrong by not taking USC that year, and the AP Poll voted USC the national champion over LSU.

 

2002: Miami, Ohio St., Iowa, Georgia

Ohio State and Iowa did not play each other that year, as this pre-dates the Big Ten Championship Game.

 

2001: Miami, Oregon, Nebraska, Illinois

This was another tough year, and it didn’t need a playoff at all, as Miami was clearly 7-10 points better than anybody else in the nation.  Illinois gets the nod over Maryland and Colorado.

 

2000: Oklahoma, Washington, Miami, Florida St.

This was a year where a 6-team tournament, adding Oregon State and Virginia Tech, would have been needed.  Washington was more deserving than Florida State that year.

 

1999: Florida St., Virginia Tech, Nebraska, Kansas St.

The two teams that played for the title were the only legitimate teams that should have played for a title that year.

 

1998: Tennessee, Ohio St., Florida St., Kansas St.

UCLA might have been the best team headed into the final weeks that year, but the Bruins made a mistake playing at Miami to close out the regular season.  They were not ready for the heat and humidity, or the Miami speed.  Ohio State was more deserving of the Championship Game bid than Florida State.

1997: Nebraska, Michigan, Tennessee, Florida St.

Peyton Manning versus Charles Woodson in a battle of the top two Heisman Trophy candidates.  Then, in all likelihood, it would have been Michigan and Nebraska in one of the best Championship Games never to be played.

1996: Florida St., Arizona St., Florida, Ohio St.

John Cooper had two teams that were probably the best in the land, but his Buckeyes always found a way to lay an egg at some point during the season.  This Buckeyes’ team probably would have beaten Florida St. in a semifinal game.

1995: Nebraska, Florida, Tennessee, Northwestern

Florida, Tennessee, and Northwestern could have combined their rosters and still lost to Nebraska by 14 points.  This was the most dominant team of the last 25 years.

1994: Nebraska, Penn St., Alabama, Miami

A 10-0-1 Texas A&M team was on probation that year.  Nebraska and Penn State would have been an incredible game had they played that year.  In those days, the Big Ten champion went to the Rose Bowl, and there was no guarantee that the top two teams would play each other.

1993: Nebraska, Notre Dame, West Virginia, Florida St.

An 11-0 Auburn team may have been the best in the nation that year, but the Tigers were on probation.  Notre Dame’s upset loss at Boston College kept the Irish out of the National Championship Game, allowing a Florida State team that ND beat to sneak in to the Orange Bowl.  The Irish were probably the best team that year.

1992: Alabama, Miami, Texas A&M, Florida St.

One wide field goal attempt against Miami was all that kept Florida State from going undefeated.  Had the ball been true, there would have been four teams with no losses.  It didn’t matter that year, as ‘Bama was clearly  the best team in the nation with the best defense in modern day football (Wisconsin has a chance to take that moniker away this year if they run the table and stop Ohio State’s offense).

1991: Washington, Miami, Florida, Michigan

Washington and Miami needed to meet for the national championship that year.  The PiRate Ratings had Washington rated about two points ahead of Miami that year.

1990: Georgia Tech, Colorado, Texas, Miami

This was one of the toughest years to pick any of the teams.  At 10-2, Miami was probably the best team that year, as they pasted Texas in the Cotton Bowl 46-3, committing more yards in penalties than Texas had in offense.  Miami’s defense would have shut down Georgia Tech in the semifinals, and none of the triple option teams ever had success against the Hurricane defenses of those times.  Colorado’s I-bone would have been shut down.

 

1989: Colorado, Miami, Notre Dame, Michigan

Colorado was the only undefeated team, but they may have been the weakest of these four teams.  A Notre Dame-Michigan title game would have been a good one that year.

 

1988: Notre Dame, West Virginia, Miami, Auburn

This was another tough year to come up with team number four, as five or six other teams could have slid into this spot.  A third-seeded Miami team would have swept both playoff games by double digit margins.  Miami’s only loss that year was at Notre Dame by one point on one of the worst blown calls ever made in a game with championship implications.  Facing 4th down and 7 at the Notre Dame 11 yard line, Hurricane quarterback Steve Walsh threw a pass to receiver Cleveland Gary inside the five yard line.  Gary caught the ball and stretched forward.  The ball hit the goalline before any other part of Gary’s body touched the ground.  Not only did the referees not award Miami a touchdown, they at first called a fumble that was recovered by Notre Dame, after the ball was dropped just after Gary pounded it on the goalline.  Then to make a second mistake, the referees said it wasn’t a fumble and then gave the ball to Notre Dame on downs, when Miami only needed to get to the four yard line.  Miami would have beaten Notre Dame in a rematch by 14-17 points that year.

I heard a funny quip on sports radio the Monday after that game.  The host said that the referees, O’Brien, O’Malley, O’Sullivan, Kelly, Murphy,  and Ryan, decided that the goalline can cause a fumble.

 

1987: Miami, Oklahoma, Florida St., Syracuse

This was another one of those wide right years for Florida State in a one-point loss to Miami.  These two rivals would have most likely played for the title that year.

 

1986: Miami, Penn St., Oklahoma, Michigan

This would have been an interesting playoff, especially the Miami-Michigan game.  Bo Schembechler’s defense would have given Vinny Testaverde similar fits to the one Penn State gave him in the real Championship Game.  It might have been Penn State and Michigan playing for the title.

 

1985: Penn St., Oklahoma, Iowa, Miami

Florida at 9-1-1 might have been the best team at the end of the year, but the Gators were on probation.  This would have been a fairly even season with three close playoff games.

 

1984: Washington, Oklahoma, South Carolina, BYU

Yes, BYU was the real national champion that year, but they won it only because this was a down year in the major conferences.  Washington would have quickly dismissed BYU in the semifinals, while Oklahoma would have edged South Carolina.  Florida was on probation for the first of two years and went 9-1-1.  The Gators were probably the best team in the nation by the end of November, slaughtering ranked Georgia, Auburn, and Florida State teams by a combined 78-20.

 

1983: Nebraska, Texas, Auburn, Illinois

The actual national champion Miami would not have been invited to the Playoffs that year.  Illinois beat three top 10 teams that year by a combined 66-19 score.  10-1 Auburn only lost to 11-0 Texas.  Nebraska might have had trouble facing Illinois’s passing game since the Cornhuskers did not face a passing offense like this in the Big 8.  Texas beat three top 10 teams during the season and held opponents to less than 10 points per game.  This should have been an interesting Playoff season.

 

1982: Georgia, Penn St., SMU, Nebraska

SMU wasn’t yet on probation, even though this team was the one with all the violations.  The Pony Express would have given Penn State a tough game, while Georgia and Nebraska should have been a close one as well.  Any of the four teams could have won the title.  Nebraska’s lone loss was at Penn State by a field goal.

 

1981: Clemson, Georgia, Pittsburgh, Alabama

The two best teams in the nation that year were Clemson and Pittsburgh.  The Panthers were cruising along as the number one team and had a 10-0 record when they hosted Penn State in the regular season finale.  After scoring two quick touchdowns to take a 14-0 lead on the Nittany Lions.  Pitt outgained Penn State by more than 140 yards in the first quarter, and it looked like this would be a blowout win for the top-rated team.  Then, Penn State woke up and went on a scoring tear like Army in the World War II years, scoring 48 points in the last three quarters on a Pitt team that had given up just 92 points in its first ten games.  Poor Dan Marino–always a bridesmaid and never a bride. 

 

1980: Georgia, Pittsburgh, Florida St., Baylor

Hershel Walker would have rolled over Baylor in the semifinals, setting up an interesting championship game against either Pitt or FSU.  

 

1979: Alabama, Ohio State, USC, Florida St.

All four of these teams went unbeaten (USC had a tie), and this would have been an interesting playoff for sure.  This Alabama team got through the year unscathed against a rather weak schedule.  USC was probably the best team in the nation that year.  The Trojans were stacked with talent.  Both Charles White and Marcus Allen were the featured backs out of the I-formation.  Paul McDonald was one of the best passing quarterbacks the Trojans had up to that time.  Brad Budde was the best offensive lineman in the nation that year.  The USC secondary might have been the best one in college football history with Ronnie Lott, Dennis Smith, Jeff Fisher, Herb Ward, and Joey Browner.

 

1978: USC, Alabama, Oklahoma, Penn St.

Penn State was the only undefeated team that year, but their schedule included a lot of easy wins.  USC won at Alabama and were probably the best team in the nation that year.

 

1977: Texas, Michigan, Alabama, Oklahoma

Actual National Champion Notre Dame would not have made the Playoffs in a year where at least eight if not 12 teams were worthy.  Michigan appeared to be the superior team in the land for the second consecutive year, but the Wolverines came up short for the second year in a row.  Alabama probably had the best team at the end of the regular season, and the Tide won at Number 1 USC earlier in the year.  

 

1976: Pittsburgh, Michigan, USC, Georgia

Johnny Majors had Tony Dorsett as his tailback, and TD was nearly unstoppable.  Throw in a stingy defense that intercepted a lot of passes and recovered a lot of fumbles, and the Panthers would have probably won this Playoffs with ease.  When on their game, Michigan was good enough to play on an even level with Pitt, but up to this point in his career, no Bo Schembechler-coached team had won its final game of the year.

 

1975: Ohio St., Alabama, Oklahoma, Arizona St.

Ohio State was undefeated with Heisman Trophy running back Archie Griffin and bulldozer Pete Johnson both topping 1,000 yards rushing.  Unlike many of Woody Hayes’ teams, this one had a decent passing attack with Cornelius Greene passing to Brian Baschnagel.  The Buckeyes beat four ranked teams in the regular season by a combined 100-29 score.  However, by the end of November, Alabama was clearly the best team in the nation.  An early stumble to open the season at Missouri, a school that pulled off several major upsets during this era, pushed the Tide out to sea.  Bear’s boys were unstoppable after that loss.  Alabama gave up just 46 points after that loss in week one, winning 10 games with ease.  Washington coach Don James after losing to ‘Bama 52-0 said they were the best team he had ever seen as a coach or player.

 

1974: Alabama, Ohio State, Michigan, USC

Oklahoma was the clear cut best team in the nation, but the Sooners were on probation this year.  OU would have easily beaten any of these four teams that year.  These four that weren’t on probation would have played three close games with USC likely coming out on top.

 

 

1973: Notre Dame, Alabama, Penn St., Ohio St.

This was one of the most incredible years in college football history.  Left out in this equation is a 10-0-1 Michigan team that tied 9-0-1 Ohio State but lost their quarterback for the season in the Big Game.

This group of four could have played this tournament a dozen times and each team might have won it three times each.  Our PiRate Ratings had Ohio State the number one team after the bowls that year.

 

1972: USC, Oklahoma, Alabama, Ohio St.

This was a time when the “haves” had a lot more than the “have nots,” and thus as many as 10 teams had playoff-worthy resumes.  In the end, it really didn’t matter this season, because USC was the best team in the nation by at least a touchdown over Oklahoma and more than 10 points over anybody else.  This was the best West Coast team ever. It had two future NFL quarterbacks in Mike Rae and Pat Haden.  Fullback Sam “Bam” Cunnigham blocked for Anthony Davis, while a trio of star receivers, Lynn Swann, J.K. McKay, and Charles Young, forced defenses to play three and four deep in the secondary.

 

1971: Nebraska, Oklahoma, Alabama, Michigan

The 1971 Nebraska team ranks as the all-time best team in PiRate Ratings’ history (1969 to present).  The 1971 Oklahoma team ranks as one of the 10 best in PiRate Ratings’ history.  These two teams were so far ahead of the rest of the nation.  Oklahoma would have beaten Alabama by at least three touchdowns, while Nebraska would have likely beaten Michigan by a score like 31-0.  The rematch for the National Championship might have been the best one ever had there been Playoffs back then.

1970: Ohio St., Texas, Nebraska, Arizona St.

Arizona State didn’t get any respect in 1970, but this undefeated team might have been strong enough to knock off Ohio State.  The schedule was suspect, but if you look at the roster, it was stocked with future NFL players.  Notre Dame and Tennessee were equally qualified to make the Playoffs this year, and a Committee might have given the edge to the Fighting Irish with Joe Theismann at quarterback.

 

1969: Penn St., Texas, Arkansas, USC

This is the year that the PiRate Ratings were born (although not named the PiRate Ratings until 2001).  It was because so  many teams were really good this season that I started making ratings.   If ever a season needed a 12-team Playoff, this is the one.  A case could have been made for 16 teams that year.  

If you ask me, Penn State would have won the title had there been Playoffs.  This Nittany Lion defense and special teams were among the best ever, as they scored or set up more points than they allowed.  When your number two and number three running backs are future All-pros Franco Harris and Lydell Mitchell, and when your starting quarterback went undefeated for his entire football career (Youth league to College), how can you deny this 11-0 team that finished the 1969 season riding a 22-game winning streak and 30 game unbeaten streak?

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings Special Money Line Plays

We had an upset pick at +200 a couple nights ago, but since we isolated on this one, a bunch of Sharps obviously saw the same value we did.  So, our upset pick is only going off at +195 for now.  We have three Money Line plays to show you this week, two of which are parlays.

Money Line Play #1

Temple +195 vs. Memphis

It’s true that Temple doesn’t enjoy the best home field advantage, but Memphis has a considerable road team disadvantage.  The Tigers have not been tested on the road, and their stats on both sides of the ball are not Boise State worthy at the moment.

Temple dropped a game at Buffalo, but the Owls would beat the Bulls seven times out of 10.  TU’s defense should be just strong enough to hold the Tigers under 28 points, while the Owl offense has a good chance at 30+.  Thus we have strong feelings that Temple will win this game outright.  If you can find this game anywhere at +200, then play it as a gamble.  Our ratings show this a toss-up game, so +200 is quite a bargain if you can find it.

 

Money Line Play #2

Two-game Parlay at +138

 

Eastern Michigan over Ball St.

Central Michigan over New Mexico St.

 

 

Money Line Play #3

Three-game Parlay at +155

Wake Forest over Louisville

Ohio U over Northern Illinois

Baylor over Texas Tech

 

Remember–We do not charge for our selections, and you should consider this information worth what you pay for it.  Please do not lose your mortgage payment because of something you read on this site.  We NEVER wager real money on sporting events.

PiRate Ratings Picks For October 10-14, 2019

Yuck, Yuck, Yuck, I want more luck!  That’s a saying that goes back to the 1960’s, when a certain PiRate Captain was in school trying to impress this really cute blonde-haired, blue-eyed tomboy classmate.  It so happened that she and he were outside on the playground, and he was trying to teach her how to hit foul shots on the basketball goal.  She kept barely missing on those foul shots, when he made this little ditty up as it came to mind.  And, voila!  The pretty girl made three shots in a row.  The rest is history.  In the 1970’s, This girl would go on to become the star of her high school basketball team, setting the all-time single-season and career scoring marks.  She then enjoyed a four-year career as a starting guard for a Division 1 college team, playing in the NCAA Tournament.

 

The Captain figured it wouldn’t hurt to repeat that mantra in hopes that it would turn around the recent misfortunes of the PiRate Ratings.  The ratings in recent weeks have been just barely missing.

How much do you pay for these selections?  Remember, you usually get what you pay for, and that’s what these selections have been worth this season.  So, let’s hope we get more luck this week.

Without further adieu, here are the selections you should avoid like the plague.

 

PiRate Rating Selections

 

10-point Teasers, 3-game parlays

 

#1

Pick	Opponent	Spread
Syracuse	NC St.	+14.5
Virginia	Miami	+12.5
New Mexico	Colorado St.	+13.5

 

 

#2

Pick	Opponent	Spread
Indiana	Rutgers	+38
Navy	Tulsa	+11
Texas	Oklahoma	+21.5

 

 

#3

Pick	Opponent	Spread
Temple	Memphis	+16
Nebraska	Minnesota	+17.5
Boise St.	Hawaii	-1.5

 

 

#4

Pick	Opponent	Spread
Eastern Michigan	Ball St.	+9
Central Michigan	New Mexico St.	Pk
Arizona St.	Washington St.	+11

 

 

#5

Pick	Opponent	Spread
Oregon St.	Utah	+23.5
Ole Miss	Missouri	+22
Ohio	Northern Illinois	+3.5

 

 

#6

Pick	Opponent	Spread
Baylor	Texas Tech	-1
Vanderbilt	UNLV	-4.5
Wisconsin	Michigan St.	-0.5

 

 

#7

Pick	Opponent	Spread
Florida	LSU	+23.5
Nevada	San Jose St.	+8
Alabama	Texas A&M	-6.5

 

 

#8

Pick	Opponent	Spread
Florida Atlantic	Middle Tenn.	-0.5
UAB	UTSA	-2
Notre Dame	USC	-1

 

 

#9

Pick	Opponent	Spread
New England	N.Y. Jets	-6.5
Baltimore	Cincinnati	-1
Cleveland	Seattle	+12

 

 

#10

Pick	Opponent	Spread
New Orleans	Jacksonville	+11.5
Miami	Washington	+13.5
Arizona	Atlanta	+12.5

 

 

#11

Pick	Opponent	Spread
Denver	Tennessee	+7.5
Detroit	Green Bay	+14.5
Carolina	Tampa Bay	+8

 

 

Davey19  Selections

 

Pick	Opponent	Spread
UL-Monroe	Texas St.	-3
Virginia	Miami (Fla.)	+2.5
Colorado	Oregon	+21.5
Illinois	Michigan	+22.5
Nebraska	Minnesota	+8
Arkansas	Kentucky	+7
Air Force	Fresno St.	-3

Coming Friday–We will issue three money line selections, one an outright upset winner currently listed at +200, and two parlays.

 

 

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 6: October 10-14, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
New England	N. Y. Giants	17.1	17.6	16.1
Tampa Bay	Carolina	-3.1	-0.4	-0.6
Baltimore	Cincinnati	9.9	9.7	10.2
Cleveland	Seattle	-0.5	0.0	0.0
Kansas City	Houston	4.2	4.5	4.2
Jacksonville	New Orleans	-6.0	-2.1	-2.0
Minnesota	Philadelphia	2.1	2.1	2.6
Miami	Washington	-3.1	-4.5	-4.5
LA Rams	San Francisco	7.4	4.0	3.9
Arizona	Atlanta	0.2	0.0	1.2
N. Y. Jets	Dallas	-6.4	-6.2	-7.1
Denver	Tennessee	3.2	3.0	2.9
LA Chargers	Pittsburgh	5.7	5.7	4.4
Green Bay	Detroit	5.9	7.2	6.3

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

Home	Visitor	Total
New England	N. Y. Giants	46
Tampa Bay	Carolina	52
Baltimore	Cincinnati	47.5
Cleveland	Seattle	48
Kansas City	Houston	54
Jacksonville	New Orleans	44
Minnesota	Philadelphia	45
Miami	Washington	46.5
LA Rams	San Francisco	53
Arizona	Atlanta	48
N. Y. Jets	Dallas	42
Denver	Tennessee	36.5
LA Chargers	Pittsburgh	43
Green Bay	Detroit	48

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

 

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	109.0	110.1	109.4	109.5	21.5	5-0
Buffalo	99.5	100.9	100.5	100.3	18	4-1
N. Y. Jets	93.3	94.3	92.9	93.5	21.5	0-4
Miami	86.1	85.9	85.3	85.8	26.5	0-4
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	101.1	100.7	101.7	101.2	23	3-2
Cleveland	99.6	99.9	100.0	99.8	23	2-3
Pittsburgh	97.6	98.0	98.3	97.9	21.5	1-4
Cincinnati	94.3	94.0	94.5	94.3	24.5	0-5
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Houston	103.9	104.1	103.8	104.0	23	3-2
Tennessee	99.3	99.7	99.5	99.5	16.5	2-3
Indianapolis	98.9	99.8	99.2	99.3	22	3-2
Jacksonville	98.1	98.7	99.0	98.6	20	2-3
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	105.1	105.6	105.0	105.2	31	4-1
LA Chargers	100.9	101.2	100.2	100.7	21.5	2-3
Denver	99.6	99.7	99.4	99.6	20	1-4
Oakland	96.8	96.9	97.5	97.1	23.5	3-2
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Philadelphia	106.1	104.1	103.9	104.7	24.5	3-2
Dallas	102.7	103.5	103.0	103.1	20.5	3-2
N.Y. Giants	95.0	95.5	96.3	95.6	24.5	2-3
Washington	91.7	92.9	92.4	92.3	20	0-5
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Minnesota	105.2	103.2	103.4	104.0	20.5	3-2
Green Bay	103.5	103.6	103.8	103.6	25	4-1
Chicago	105.6	102.2	102.6	103.5	19	3-2
Detroit	100.0	98.9	100.0	99.7	23	2-1-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	106.6	103.3	103.5	104.5	24	4-1
Carolina	101.6	101.5	102.2	101.8	24	3-2
Tampa Bay	96.0	98.6	99.1	97.9	28	2-3
Atlanta	96.5	97.0	96.4	96.6	26	1-4
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
LA Rams	107.0	105.1	105.3	105.8	29	3-2
San Francisco	102.6	104.1	104.4	103.7	24	4-0
Seattle	103.1	102.9	103.0	103.0	25	4-1
Arizona	93.7	94.0	94.5	94.1	22	1-3-1

 

Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1	New England
2	Kansas City
3	Houston
4	Baltimore
5	Indianapolis
6	Buffalo

NFC Seeding
1	San Francisco
2	New Orleans
3	Green Bay
4	Philadelphia
5	Seattle
6	Minnesota

Wildcard Round

Buffalo over Houston

Indianapolis over Baltimore

Green Bay over Minnesota

Philadelphia over Seattle

Divisional Round

New England over Buffalo

Kansas City over Indianapolis

Philadelphia over San Francisco

New Orleans over Green Bay

Conference Championship

New England over Kansas City

New Orleans over Philadelphia

Super Bowl 54

New England over New Orleans

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate College Football Ratings: October 7, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

 

October 9 to	October 12
Wednesday	October 9
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Louisiana	Appalchian St.	-2.1	-0.5	-1.6
Thursday	October 10
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Texas St.	Louisiana-Monroe	-1.5	-1.3	-1.5
North Carolina St.	Syracuse	-3.0	-2.7	-2.9
Friday	October 11
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Miami (Fla.)	Virginia	1.0	0.0	1.5
New Mexico	Colorado St.	3.6	2.8	2.5
Oregon	Colorado	19.6	19.8	20.8
Saturday	October 5
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Indiana	Rutgers	24.6	23.7	24.7
Bowling Green	Toledo	-20.9	-21.7	-22.2
Illinois	Michigan	-20.3	-17.6	-21.7
Wake Forest	Louisville	10.8	10.5	11.9
Tulsa	Navy	5.1	3.1	5.8
Texas (n)	Oklahoma	-11.7	-10.6	-11.4
Temple	Memphis	-0.2	-1.3	-0.2
Minnesota	Nebraska	8.5	6.9	8.0
Duke	Georgia Tech	16.9	18.3	16.7
Coastal Carolina	Georgia St.	1.2	1.1	1.3
Purdue	Maryland	-0.8	-0.5	-0.8
West Virginia	Iowa St.	-6.4	-7.5	-7.1
Boise St.	Hawaii	12.0	9.8	13.1
Eastern Michigan	Ball St.	0.0	0.8	0.6
Marshall	Old Dominion	14.1	12.9	14.7
Central Michigan	New Mexico St.	10.1	8.5	10.7
Arizona St.	Washington St.	0.6	1.0	1.3
Oregon St.	Utah	-17.7	-15.0	-18.8
Arizona	Washington	-6.7	-6.0	-7.4
Missouri	Ole Miss	14.5	12.9	15.2
Georgia	South Carolina	19.2	19.3	20.1
Tennessee	Mississippi St.	-5.2	-1.5	-11.9
Akron	Kent St.	-11.5	-11.2	-12.6
Ohio	Northern Illinois	3.8	3.9	4.5
Kentucky	Arkansas	12.1	9.7	11.1
Baylor	Texas Tech	9.7	9.8	10.5
Western Michigan	Miami (O)	12.5	13.2	12.0
South Florida	BYU	-7.2	-6.1	-6.9
Houston	Cincinnati	-7.2	-4.7	-4.9
Tulane	Connecticut	32.1	28.8	34.3
Vanderbilt	UNLV	20.0	16.8	18.9
Wisconsin	Michigan St.	6.6	6.9	6.7
LSU	Florida	8.3	8.7	8.1
Nevada	San Jose St.	5.6	5.2	5.5
Texas A&M	Alabama	-15.8	-13.9	-18.0
Florida Atlantic	Middle Tennessee	6.0	6.5	6.8
UTSA	UAB	-10.7	-10.1	-11.5
Southern Miss.	North Texas	4.8	3.4	4.0
Western Kentucky	Army	-8.9	-8.0	-6.9
Florida Int’l.	Charlotte	7.8	7.0	7.6
Louisiana Tech	Massachusetts	29.6	27.4	30.4
Air Force	Fresno St.	0.9	1.7	1.2
Notre Dame	USC	16.8	14.3	16.6
Clemson	Florida St.	30.7	27.3	31.4
Iowa	Penn St.	-1.1	-2.0	-0.8
San Diego St.	Wyoming	3.3	3.1	2.7
FBS vs. FCS
Virginia Tech	Rhode Island	22.0

 

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

 

PiRate Ratings
#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
1	Ohio St.	135.0	133.9	135.9	134.9
2	Alabama	135.7	132.2	136.4	134.7
3	Clemson	132.2	129.1	132.9	131.4
4	Georgia	128.6	126.9	129.1	128.2
5	L S U	128.0	125.6	127.4	127.0
6	Oklahoma	124.7	123.9	124.6	124.4
7	Penn St.	122.4	121.5	122.3	122.1
8	Florida	122.8	119.9	122.4	121.7
9	Notre Dame	121.1	119.3	121.2	120.5
10	Auburn	121.2	119.3	120.8	120.4
11	Wisconsin	120.5	120.1	120.5	120.4
12	Michigan	119.4	117.6	119.7	118.9
13	Utah	118.7	117.2	119.1	118.3
14	Iowa	118.4	116.5	118.6	117.8
15	Michigan St.	116.9	116.2	116.8	116.6
16	Oregon	116.2	116.2	117.3	116.6
17	Missouri	116.6	114.2	116.9	115.9
18	Texas A&M	116.9	115.3	115.4	115.9
19	Iowa St.	114.0	114.6	114.1	114.2
20	Mississippi St.	112.9	109.0	117.9	113.3
21	Texas	113.0	113.2	113.2	113.1
22	Baylor	112.7	112.9	112.4	112.7
23	Washington	112.2	111.8	113.2	112.4
24	South Carolina	112.3	110.6	112.0	111.6
25	Central Florida	111.2	110.3	112.1	111.2
26	Washington St.	110.9	109.9	111.0	110.6
27	Minnesota	110.5	109.9	109.6	110.0
28	Oklahoma St.	109.7	110.2	109.3	109.7
29	Arizona St.	108.4	107.8	109.3	108.5
30	Cincinnati	108.6	107.1	109.0	108.2
31	Virginia	107.8	108.0	107.9	107.9
32	Kansas St.	107.9	107.5	107.5	107.6
33	U S C	107.2	108.0	107.5	107.6
34	Duke	107.6	107.1	107.5	107.4
35	Maryland	107.8	107.3	107.0	107.4
36	Indiana	107.8	106.3	106.9	107.0
37	Boise St.	106.7	106.2	107.2	106.7
38	Northwestern	107.2	106.4	106.2	106.6
39	Syracuse	106.7	106.2	106.7	106.5
40	California	105.9	105.6	106.9	106.1
41	T C U	105.0	108.0	105.3	106.1
42	North Carolina	105.7	105.7	106.9	106.1
43	Stanford	106.1	105.3	105.9	105.8
44	Miami (Fla.)	105.8	105.0	106.4	105.7
45	Kentucky	106.6	105.0	105.0	105.5
46	Pittsburgh	105.5	105.2	105.6	105.4
47	Memphis	105.0	105.0	105.8	105.3
48	Nebraska	105.0	106.0	104.6	105.2
49	Texas Tech	105.4	105.6	104.4	105.1
50	SMU	104.8	104.6	105.9	105.1
51	Appalachian St.	105.4	104.0	104.8	104.7
52	Wake Forest	104.7	104.2	105.3	104.7
53	Ole Miss	105.1	104.2	104.7	104.7
54	Florida St.	104.5	104.8	104.5	104.6
55	West Virginia	104.6	104.1	104.0	104.2
56	Utah St.	104.3	103.1	105.3	104.2
57	Tennessee	104.7	104.5	103.0	104.1
58	Purdue	104.1	103.8	103.2	103.7
59	Arizona	102.6	102.8	102.8	102.7
60	Tulane	101.6	102.2	102.3	102.0
61	Temple	101.7	100.8	102.6	101.7
62	Virginia Tech	100.9	101.0	101.3	101.1
63	North Carolina St.	100.7	100.4	100.8	100.6
64	Louisiana	100.3	100.5	100.2	100.3
65	Boston College	100.2	100.0	100.5	100.2
66	Army	99.9	99.9	99.4	99.8
67	Houston	98.4	99.5	101.1	99.6
68	BYU	99.7	99.6	99.6	99.6
69	Hawaii	99.2	100.9	98.6	99.6
70	Fresno St.	99.2	99.8	99.6	99.5
71	Colorado	99.6	99.4	99.5	99.5
72	Vanderbilt	99.8	98.3	98.3	98.8
73	San Diego St.	98.2	100.0	98.1	98.8
74	Wyoming	97.8	99.9	98.4	98.7
75	Oregon St.	98.0	99.2	97.3	98.2
76	Western Michigan	98.5	97.4	98.2	98.0
77	Air Force	97.1	98.5	97.8	97.8
78	Arkansas	97.5	98.3	96.9	97.6
79	Louisville	96.4	96.2	95.9	96.1
80	Illinois	96.1	97.0	94.9	96.0
81	U C L A	96.4	96.1	95.4	96.0
82	Toledo	94.6	95.1	95.7	95.1
83	Southern Miss.	94.6	92.8	94.7	94.0
84	Kansas	93.6	94.6	93.4	93.9
85	Troy	94.0	94.2	92.9	93.7
86	Tulsa	93.1	93.8	94.1	93.7
87	Ohio	93.6	92.7	94.3	93.6
88	Georgia Southern	93.9	93.3	93.0	93.4
89	Georgia Tech	93.6	91.8	93.9	93.1
90	North Texas	92.8	92.4	93.7	93.0
91	Florida Atlantic	92.5	92.0	93.4	92.6
92	Northern Illinois	92.3	91.3	92.3	92.0
93	Navy	90.5	93.2	90.8	91.5
94	Louisiana Tech	91.2	91.0	91.1	91.1
95	Florida Int’l.	90.8	90.6	91.0	90.8
96	Arkansas St.	90.6	90.8	90.3	90.6
97	South Florida	89.5	90.5	89.7	89.9
98	Marshall	89.3	88.7	90.2	89.4
99	Middle Tennessee	89.5	88.5	89.6	89.2
100	Buffalo	88.7	89.1	89.7	89.1
101	Liberty	88.6	89.9	88.9	89.1
102	Western Kentucky	88.0	89.0	89.6	88.8
103	U A B	87.8	89.6	88.5	88.7
104	Ball St.	88.7	88.2	88.6	88.5
105	Nevada	87.9	89.6	87.3	88.3
106	Miami (Ohio)	88.5	86.8	88.7	88.0
107	Louisiana-Monroe	87.7	88.5	87.5	87.9
108	Georgia St.	87.5	88.8	86.8	87.7
109	Kent St.	87.3	87.2	87.6	87.4
110	Coastal Carolina	86.7	87.9	86.1	86.9
111	Eastern Michigan	86.2	86.5	86.7	86.5
112	Charlotte	86.1	86.6	86.4	86.4
113	San Jose St.	85.3	87.4	84.8	85.8
114	Rutgers	86.1	85.7	85.2	85.7
115	Central Michigan	84.6	85.4	85.3	85.1
116	Texas St.	83.7	84.6	83.5	83.9
117	East Carolina	82.7	84.6	82.6	83.3
118	U N L V	82.3	84.1	81.9	82.8
119	New Mexico	81.8	84.6	80.7	82.4
120	Colorado St.	80.6	84.4	80.8	81.9
121	Rice	80.3	81.7	79.7	80.6
122	Old Dominion	78.3	78.8	78.4	78.5
123	New Mexico St.	77.5	79.9	77.6	78.3
124	Texas-San Antonio	74.7	77.1	74.5	75.4
125	South Alabama	74.1	77.0	73.4	74.9
126	Akron	73.8	74.1	73.0	73.6
127	Connecticut	72.0	75.9	70.6	72.8
128	Bowling Green	72.1	71.8	71.9	72.0
129	U T E P	67.1	71.9	67.7	68.9
130	Massachusetts	64.6	66.6	63.7	65.0

 

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference

 

American Athletic Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	AAC	Overall
Central Florida	111.2	110.3	112.1	111.2	1-1	4-2
Cincinnati	108.6	107.1	109.0	108.2	1-0	4-1
Temple	101.7	100.8	102.6	101.7	1-0	4-1
South Florida	89.5	90.5	89.7	89.9	1-1	2-3
East Carolina	82.7	84.6	82.6	83.3	0-2	3-3
Connecticut	72.0	75.9	70.6	72.8	0-2	1-4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	AAC	Overall
Memphis	105.0	105.0	105.8	105.3	1-0	5-0
SMU	104.8	104.6	105.9	105.1	2-0	6-0
Tulane	101.6	102.2	102.3	102.0	1-0	4-1
Houston	98.4	99.5	101.1	99.6	0-1	2-3
Tulsa	93.1	93.8	94.1	93.7	0-1	2-3
Navy	90.5	93.2	90.8	91.5	1-1	3-1
AAC Averages	96.6	97.3	97.2	97.0
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	ACC	Overall
Clemson	132.2	129.1	132.9	131.4	3-0	5-0
Syracuse	106.7	106.2	106.7	106.5	0-1	3-2
Wake Forest	104.7	104.2	105.3	104.7	1-0	5-0
Florida St.	104.5	104.8	104.5	104.6	2-1	3-2
North Carolina St.	100.7	100.4	100.8	100.6	0-1	3-2
Boston College	100.2	100.0	100.5	100.2	1-2	3-3
Louisville	96.4	96.2	95.9	96.1	1-1	3-2
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	ACC	Overall
Virginia	107.8	108.0	107.9	107.9	2-0	4-1
Duke	107.6	107.1	107.5	107.4	1-1	3-2
North Carolina	105.7	105.7	106.9	106.1	2-1	3-3
Miami (Fla.)	105.8	105.0	106.4	105.7	0-2	2-3
Pittsburgh	105.5	105.2	105.6	105.4	1-1	4-2
Virginia Tech	100.9	101.0	101.3	101.1	1-2	3-2
Georgia Tech	93.6	91.8	93.9	93.1	0-2	1-4
ACC Averages	105.2	104.6	105.4	105.1
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	B12	Overall
Oklahoma	124.7	123.9	124.6	124.4	2-0	5-0
Iowa St.	114.0	114.6	114.1	114.2	1-1	3-2
Texas	113.0	113.2	113.2	113.1	2-0	4-1
Baylor	112.7	112.9	112.4	112.7	2-0	5-0
Oklahoma St.	109.7	110.2	109.3	109.7	1-2	4-2
Kansas St.	107.9	107.5	107.5	107.6	0-2	3-2
T C U	105.0	108.0	105.3	106.1	1-1	3-2
Texas Tech	105.4	105.6	104.4	105.1	1-1	3-2
West Virginia	104.6	104.1	104.0	104.2	1-1	3-2
Kansas	93.6	94.6	93.4	93.9	0-3	2-4
Big 12 Averages	109.1	109.5	108.8	109.1
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Ohio St.	135.0	133.9	135.9	134.9	3-0	6-0
Penn St.	122.4	121.5	122.3	122.1	2-0	5-0
Michigan	119.4	117.6	119.7	118.9	2-1	4-1
Michigan St.	116.9	116.2	116.8	116.6	2-1	4-2
Maryland	107.8	107.3	107.0	107.4	1-1	3-2
Indiana	107.8	106.3	106.9	107.0	0-2	3-2
Rutgers	86.1	85.7	85.2	85.7	0-3	1-4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Wisconsin	120.5	120.1	120.5	120.4	2-0	5-0
Iowa	118.4	116.5	118.6	117.8	1-1	4-1
Minnesota	110.5	109.9	109.6	110.0	2-0	5-0
Northwestern	107.2	106.4	106.2	106.6	0-3	1-4
Nebraska	105.0	106.0	104.6	105.2	2-1	4-2
Purdue	104.1	103.8	103.2	103.7	0-2	1-4
Illinois	96.1	97.0	94.9	96.0	0-2	2-3
Big Ten Averages	111.2	110.6	110.8	110.9
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	CUSA	Overall
Florida Atlantic	92.5	92.0	93.4	92.6	1-0	3-2
Florida Int’l.	90.8	90.6	91.0	90.8	0-2	2-3
Marshall	89.3	88.7	90.2	89.4	0-1	2-3
Middle Tennessee	89.5	88.5	89.6	89.2	1-0	2-3
Western Kentucky	88.0	89.0	89.6	88.8	3-0	3-2
Charlotte	86.1	86.6	86.4	86.4	0-1	2-3
Old Dominion	78.3	78.8	78.4	78.5	0-1	1-4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	CUSA	Overall
Southern Miss.	94.6	92.8	94.7	94.0	1-0	3-2
North Texas	92.8	92.4	93.7	93.0	1-0	2-3
Louisiana Tech	91.2	91.0	91.1	91.1	2-0	4-1
U A B	87.8	89.6	88.5	88.7	1-1	4-1
Rice	80.3	81.7	79.7	80.6	0-2	0-6
Texas-San Antonio	74.7	77.1	74.5	75.4	1-1	2-3
U T E P	67.1	71.9	67.7	68.9	0-2	1-4
CUSA Averages	85.9	86.5	86.3	86.2
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	Conf.	Overall
Notre Dame	121.1	119.3	121.2	120.5	x	4-1
Army	99.9	99.9	99.4	99.8	x	3-2
BYU	99.7	99.6	99.6	99.6	x	2-3
Liberty	88.6	89.9	88.9	89.1	x	4-2
New Mexico St.	77.5	79.9	77.6	78.3	x	0-6
Massachusetts	64.6	66.6	63.7	65.0	x	1-5
Indep. Averages	91.9	92.5	91.7	92.0
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MAC	Overall
Ohio	93.6	92.7	94.3	93.6	1-0	2-3
Buffalo	88.7	89.1	89.7	89.1	0-2	2-4
Miami (Ohio)	88.5	86.8	88.7	88.0	1-0	2-3
Kent St.	87.3	87.2	87.6	87.4	1-0	2-3
Akron	73.8	74.1	73.0	73.6	0-1	0-5
Bowling Green	72.1	71.8	71.9	72.0	0-1	1-4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MAC	Overall
Western Michigan	98.5	97.4	98.2	98.0	1-1	3-3
Toledo	94.6	95.1	95.7	95.1	1-0	4-1
Northern Illinois	92.3	91.3	92.3	92.0	0-1	1-4
Ball St.	88.7	88.2	88.6	88.5	1-0	2-3
Eastern Michigan	86.2	86.5	86.7	86.5	0-1	3-2
Central Michigan	84.6	85.4	85.3	85.1	2-1	3-3
MAC Averages	87.4	87.1	87.7	87.4
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MWC	Overall
Boise St.	106.7	106.2	107.2	106.7	2-0	5-0
Utah St.	104.3	103.1	105.3	104.2	2-0	3-2
Wyoming	97.8	99.9	98.4	98.7	1-0	4-1
Air Force	97.1	98.5	97.8	97.8	1-1	3-2
New Mexico	81.8	84.6	80.7	82.4	0-1	2-3
Colorado St.	80.6	84.4	80.8	81.9	0-2	1-5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MWC	Overall
Hawaii	99.2	100.9	98.6	99.6	1-0	4-1
Fresno St.	99.2	99.8	99.6	99.5	0-0	2-2
San Diego St.	98.2	100.0	98.1	98.8	1-1	4-1
Nevada	87.9	89.6	87.3	88.3	0-1	3-2
San Jose St.	85.3	87.4	84.8	85.8	1-1	3-2
U N L V	82.3	84.1	81.9	82.8	0-2	1-4
MWC Averages	93.4	94.9	93.4	93.9
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	P12	Overall
Oregon	116.2	116.2	117.3	116.6	2-0	4-1
Washington	112.2	111.8	113.2	112.4	1-2	4-2
Washington St.	110.9	109.9	111.0	110.6	0-2	3-2
California	105.9	105.6	106.9	106.1	1-2	4-2
Stanford	106.1	105.3	105.9	105.8	2-2	3-3
Oregon St.	98.0	99.2	97.3	98.2	1-1	2-3
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	P12	Overall
Utah	118.7	117.2	119.1	118.3	1-1	4-1
Arizona St.	108.4	107.8	109.3	108.5	1-1	4-1
U S C	107.2	108.0	107.5	107.6	2-1	3-2
Arizona	102.6	102.8	102.8	102.7	2-0	4-1
Colorado	99.6	99.4	99.5	99.5	1-1	3-2
U C L A	96.4	96.1	95.4	96.0	1-2	1-5
Pac-12 Averages	106.8	106.6	107.1	106.9
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SEC	Overall
Georgia	128.6	126.9	129.1	128.2	2-0	5-0
Florida	122.8	119.9	122.4	121.7	4-0	6-0
Missouri	116.6	114.2	116.9	115.9	1-0	4-1
South Carolina	112.3	110.6	112.0	111.6	1-2	2-3
Kentucky	106.6	105.0	105.0	105.5	0-3	2-3
Tennessee	104.7	104.5	103.0	104.1	0-2	1-4
Vanderbilt	99.8	98.3	98.3	98.8	0-3	1-4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SEC	Overall
Alabama	135.7	132.2	136.4	134.7	2-0	5-0
L S U	128.0	125.6	127.4	127.0	1-0	5-0
Auburn	121.2	119.3	120.8	120.4	2-1	5-1
Texas A&M	116.9	115.3	115.4	115.9	1-1	3-2
Mississippi St.	112.9	109.0	117.9	113.3	1-1	3-2
Ole Miss	105.1	104.2	104.7	104.7	2-1	3-3
Arkansas	97.5	98.3	96.9	97.6	0-2	2-3
SEC Averages	114.9	113.1	114.7	114.2
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SBC	Overall
Appalachian St.	105.4	104.0	104.8	104.7	1-0	4-0
Troy	94.0	94.2	92.9	93.7	0-1	2-3
Georgia Southern	93.9	93.3	93.0	93.4	1-1	2-3
Georgia St.	87.5	88.8	86.8	87.7	1-1	3-2
Coastal Carolina	86.7	87.9	86.1	86.9	0-1	3-2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SBC	Overall
Louisiana	100.3	100.5	100.2	100.3	1-0	4-1
Arkansas St.	90.6	90.8	90.3	90.6	1-1	3-3
Louisiana-Monroe	87.7	88.5	87.5	87.9	1-0	2-3
Texas St.	83.7	84.6	83.5	83.9	1-0	2-3
South Alabama	74.1	77.0	73.4	74.9	0-2	1-5
SBC Averages	90.4	91.0	89.9	90.4

 

Conference Power Ratings
#	League	Average
1	SEC	114.2
2	BTen	110.9
3	B12	109.1
4	P12	106.9
5	ACC	105.1
6	AAC	97.0
7	MWC	93.9
8	Ind	92.0
9	SUN	90.4
10	MAC	87.4
11	CUSA	86.2

 

Top 5 Group of 5
1	Boise St.
2	Memphis
3	SMU
4	Cincinnati
5	Hawaii

 

 

This Week’s Bowl and Playoff Projections

 

The What-if It Were To Happen Edition

 

Submitted for your disapproval, what happens if Clemson loses a game this year to say Florida State, North Carolina St., South Carolina, or Virginia in the ACC Championship Game?  With their weak schedule, the Tigers would most likely not receive a bid to the NCAA Playoffs.

 

The Pac-12 has already eliminated itself from consideration.  We won’t even give Oregon a chance at 11-1, unless a lot of teams fall victims to upsets–too many to contemplate.

 

The Big Ten has three incredible teams in Ohio State, Penn State, and Wisconsin.  Additionally, Minnesota is still undefeated, and Michigan is, well, Michigan.  More than likely one Big Ten team will run the table and finish 13-0 to guarantee a spot in the Playoffs.  There could be a one-loss team in consideration, but with power at the top, it is possible that there will be only an undefeated or one loss team and multiple two-loss teams.

 

In the Big 12, Oklahoma always tends to slip up against somebody but then recovers to win the Big 12 Championship Game.  If the Sooners were to lose to Texas, Baylor, or Iowa State, or if they lost in the Big 12 Championship Game, would a one-loss OU team be good enough to make the top four?

 

Now consider the giant.  Let’s say Alabama, LSU, and Georgia combine to have one undefeated team and two, one-loss teams.  Say, Alabama goes 12-0 and wins the SEC Championship Game over 12-0 Georgia, while LSU only loses at Alabama in a close game to have a record of 11-1.

 

Could it be that THREE SEC teams would finish ranked in the top 4?  That’s the scenario we present today in our bowl and playoff projections.  We are not saying this is a certainty; we just wanted to show you how it might play out if Alabama, Georgia, and LSU finished ranked in the top 4.

 

You may ask if any conference has ever had three of the top four teams in a season, and not only will we answer, we’ll go one better.  In 1971, Nebraska finished number one; Oklahoma was number two; and Colorado was number three, all from the old Big 8 Conference.  It almost happened in 2011, when Alabama finished number one, LSU number two, and Arkansas number five.   That Arkansas team lost to just Alabama and LSU that year. 

 

Take a look at how this plays out.

 

Bowl	Conf	Conf	Team	Team
Bahamas	MAC	CUSA	Miami (O)	Florida Atlantic
Frisco	AAC	At-large	SMU	[Wyoming]
Cure	AAC	SBC	Navy	Georgia St.
New Mexico	CUSA	MWC	Southern Miss.	San Diego St.
Boca Raton	AAC	MAC	Memphis	Toledo
Camellia	MAC	SBC	Western Michigan	Troy
Las Vegas	MWC #1	Pac-12	Hawaii	Washington St.
New Orleans	CUSA	SBC #1	Louisiana Tech	Louisiana
Gasparilla	AAC	CUSA	Central Florida	UAB
Hawaii	BYU/MWC	AAC	BYU	Tulane
Independence	ACC	SEC	Virginia Tech	[Western Kentucky]
Quick Lane	ACC	Big Ten	Duke	Maryland
Military	ACC	AAC	Syracuse	Temple
Pinstripe	ACC	Big Ten	Pittsburgh	Nebraska
Texas	Big 12	SEC	Iowa St.	Ole Miss
Holiday	Pac-12	Big Ten	Utah	Iowa
Cheez-It	Big 12	Pac-12	Oklahoma St.	Colorado
Camping World	ACC	Big 12	Wake Forest	Baylor
Cotton	At-large	At-large	Boise St.	Notre Dame
First Responder	CUSA	Big 12	North Texas	West Virginia
Redbox	Pac-12	Big Ten	Arizona	Michigan St.
Music City	SEC	ACC	[Army]	Florida St.
Orange	ACC	BTen/SEC	Clemson	Wisconsin
Belk	ACC	SEC	North Carolina	Kentucky
Sun	ACC	Pac-12	North Carolina St.	Washington
Liberty	Big 12	SEC	Texas Tech	[Arkansas St.]
Arizona	SBC	MWC	Georgia Southern	Fresno St.
Alamo	Big 12	Pac-12	Texas	Arizona St.
Citrus	SEC	BTen/ACC	Auburn	Virginia
Outback	Big Ten	SEC	Minnesota	Texas A&M
Rose	Big Ten	Pac-12	Penn St.	Oregon
Sugar	Big 12	SEC	Oklahoma	Florida
Birmingham	AAC	SEC	Cincinnati	[Kansas St.]
Taxslayer/Gator	SEC	Big Ten	Mississippi St.	Michigan
Idaho Potato	MAC	MWC	Eastern Michigan	Utah St.
Armed Forces	Big Ten	MWC	Indiana	Air Force
Dollar General	MAC	SBC	Ohio	Appalachian St.
FBS PLAYOFFS
Fiesta	Top 4	Top 4	Ohio St.	Georgia
Peach	Top 4	Top 4	Alabama	LSU
Champsionship	Fiesta	Peach	Ohio St.	Alabama
Teams in [Brackets] are at-large selections

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings Special Money Line Play(s)

Last week, our special money line parlays delivered mixed results.  If you chose to play Duke and Baylor in your upset parlay, you enjoyed a nice bonanza.  If you added or chose Kansas State or Indiana, then your imaginary investment was shredded.

We did not issue any money line parlay picks in our regular weekly picks yesterday.  We decided to save them for this post.  We just want to stress that these selections are totally off the wall long shots at odds of better than +150.  In other words, they are not likely to win, even though they always look handsome on paper.

We have chosen three college parlays and one NFL parlay this week.  Take a look.

 

Money Line Parlay #1  Odds: +160

San Diego State over Colorado State

UAB over Rice

Texas over West Virginia

Miami (Fla.) over Virginia Tech

 

 

Money Line Parlay #2  Odds: +162

Auburn over Florida

North Carolina over Georgia Tech

Maryland over Rutgers

 

 

Money Line Parlay #3  Odds: +198

Colorado over Arizona

Eastern Michigan over Central Michigan

Oklahoma State over Texas Tech

 

 

Money Line Parlay #4  Odds: +230

Chicago over Oakland

New Orleans over Tampa Bay

LA Chargers over Denver