The Pi-Rate Ratings

January 10, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football Final 2021-22 Ratings

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 9:15 pm
RankTeamRating
1Georgia138.1
2Alabama132.8
3Ohio St.129.7
4Michigan124.3
5Utah121.9
6Oklahoma St.121.8
7Notre Dame121.6
8Oklahoma121.1
9Clemson119.3
10Baylor118.7
11Texas A&M118.6
12Cincinnati118.5
13Iowa St.118.1
14Arkansas117.4
15Wisconsin116.5
16U C L A115.0
17Minnesota113.5
18Ole Miss113.5
19Kentucky113.2
20NC State112.7
21Penn St.112.2
22Purdue111.7
23Tennessee111.6
24Kansas St.111.4
25Auburn111.2
26Michigan St.111.1
27Pittsburgh111.1
28Wake Forest110.4
29Texas Tech110.3
30Arizona St.110.3
31Miami (Fla.)110.1
32Louisiana109.6
33L S U109.4
34Nebraska109.3
35Iowa109.2
36Houston108.9
37Oregon108.2
38Texas107.5
39Washington St.107.3
40Western Kentucky107.1
41West Virginia107.0
42Maryland106.9
43BYU106.6
44Oregon St.106.5
45Boise St.106.4
46Mississippi St.105.9
47North Carolina105.4
48South Carolina105.4
49Florida St.105.3
50Louisville104.9
51Florida104.6
52California104.6
53Liberty104.4
54Air Force104.3
55Georgia St.104.1
56Coastal Carolina104.0
57Central Michigan104.0
58UCF103.7
59U S C103.6
60Appalachian St.103.5
61Virginia103.4
62Utah St.103.3
63Washington103.1
64Fresno St.103.0
65T C U101.8
66SMU101.8
67Illinois101.6
68San Diego St.101.5
69U A B101.4
70Army101.2
71Western Michigan101.2
72Missouri100.3
73East Carolina100.0
74Boston College99.3
75Miami (Ohio)99.2
76Tulsa98.7
77Nevada98.7
78Colorado98.6
79Syracuse97.9
80Toledo96.6
81Virginia Tech95.6
82Tulane95.2
83Georgia Tech95.1
84U T S A94.6
85Memphis94.6
86Marshall94.4
87Stanford94.3
88Wyoming94.3
89Indiana93.3
90Middle Tennessee93.0
91Hawaii92.9
92Navy92.8
93Rutgers92.8
94Northern Illinois92.4
95Arizona92.3
96Northwestern91.9
97South Alabama89.8
98North Texas89.5
99Colorado St.88.9
100San Jose St.88.6
101Kent St.88.5
102Ball St.88.4
103Buffalo88.3
104Troy88.0
105USF87.4
106Georgia Southern87.0
107Eastern Michigan86.3
108Florida Atlantic86.3
109Ohio86.1
110Kansas85.7
111Old Dominion85.7
112U T E P85.6
113U N L V85.2
114Vanderbilt84.0
115UL-Monroe83.2
116Texas St.83.0
117Arkansas St.82.8
118Duke80.2
119Rice80.0
120Louisiana Tech79.7
121New Mexico78.0
122Southern Miss.77.6
123Bowling Green77.1
124Charlotte77.0
125Akron72.5
126Temple72.4
127New Mexico St.71.8
128Connecticut68.6
129Florida Int’l.65.9
130UMass64.1

January 3, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football Championship Game Spreads

Team 1Team 2PiRateMeanBias
AlabamaGeorgia-1.5-2.3-2.1

December 27, 2021

A New Sun Bowl

With Miami of Florida having to back out of the Sun Bowl and Boise State having to back out of the Arizona Bowl due to multiple positive Covid cases, The Arizona Bowl has been cancelled, and the Sun Bowl has now extended an invitation to Central Michigan to face Washington State. Below are the new PiRate Ratings spreads for that game.

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Washington St.Central Michigan7.29.39.4

December 23, 2021

A New Gator Bowl

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , — piratings @ 12:30 pm

With Texas A&M having to back out of the Gator Bowl due to multiple positive Covid cases, The Gator Bowl has now extended an invitation to Rutgers to face Wake Forest. Below are the new PiRate Ratings spreads for that game. Let’s hope this is the only game affected.

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Wake ForestRutgers19.117.419.1

December 5, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Football–Selection Sunday

This Week’s College Football Game

December 11PiRateMeanBias
ArmyNavy11.211.410.4

Final Bowl Projections

BowlTeamTeam
Added Bowl Game*Ball St.Nevada
BahamasMiddle TennesseeToledo
CureSMUAppalachian St.
BocaKent St.Liberty
New MexicoUTEPSan Diego St.
IndependenceBYUUTSA
Lending TreeCentral MichiganMarshall
L. A.Utah St.Oregon St.
New OrleansUABCoastal Carolina
Myrtle BeachOld DominionGeorgia St.
Famous Idaho PotatoWestern MichiganBoise St.
FriscoNorth TexasAir Force
Armed ForcesTulsaArmy
GasparillaLouisvilleFlorida
HawaiiMemphisHawaii
CamelliaNorthern IllinoisLouisiana
Quick LaneEastern MichiganWyoming
MilitaryVirginiaEast Carolina
BirminghamHoustonSouth Carolina
First ResponderWestern KentuckyMissouri
LibertyWest VirginiaMississippi St.
HolidayNorth Carolina St.UCLA
Guaranteed RateMarylandTexas Tech
FenwayCentral FloridaBoston College
PinstripeVirginia TechPenn St.
Cheez-ItClemsonIowa St.
AlamoOklahomaOregon
Duke’s MayoWake ForestTennessee
Music CityPurdueAuburn
Las VegasWisconsinWashington St.
Tax Slayer GatorMiami (Fla.)Arkansas
Tony The Tiger SunNorth CarolinaArizona St.
ArizonaMiami (O)Fresno St.
CitrusIowaKentucky
OutbackMinnesotaTexas A&M
TexasKansas St.LSU
PeachPitt/WakeNotre Dame
FiestaMichigan St.Oklahoma St.
RoseOhio St.Utah
SugarBaylorOle Miss
CottonMichiganGeorgia
OrangeAlabamaCincinnati
ChampionshipAlabamaGeorgia
  • An extra bowl game was added by the NCAA to ensure all 6-win teams could earn bowl invitations. This extra bowl will be played in the Dallas-Fort Worth area and will include two group of 5 teams.
  • Teams in bold have officially accepted the bowl bid.

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Georgia133.8
2Alabama132.9
3Ohio St.130.4
4Michigan127.5
5Notre Dame121.9
6Oklahoma St.121.5
7Utah121.2
8Oklahoma120.4
9Iowa St.120.1
10Cincinnati119.6
11Texas A&M118.6
12Clemson117.2
13Wisconsin116.5
14Ole Miss116.2
15Baylor116.1
16U C L A115.0
17Penn St.114.8
18Arkansas114.7
19Auburn114.1
20Pittsburgh113.9
21Kentucky113.1
22NC State112.7
23Mississippi St.112.0
24Tennessee111.9
25L S U111.5
26Purdue111.4
27Minnesota111.1
28Arizona St.110.3
29Oregon St.110.3
30North Carolina110.2
31Miami (Fla.)110.1
32BYU109.8
33Louisiana109.7
34Florida109.6
35West Virginia109.4
36Wake Forest109.3
37Kansas St.109.3
38Nebraska109.3
39Iowa109.3
40Appalachian St.109.2
41Washington St.109.2
42Oregon109.0
43Michigan St.108.2
44Texas107.5
45Boise St.106.4
46Houston106.0
47Nevada105.4
48Louisville105.3
49Florida St.105.3
50Coastal Carolina104.7
51California104.6
52Texas Tech104.2
53Fresno St.104.1
54Air Force103.9
55U S C103.6
56Virginia103.4
57Washington103.1
58Virginia Tech102.6
59Army102.5
60Central Michigan102.1
61T C U101.8
62SMU101.8
63Illinois101.6
64Western Kentucky101.4
65South Carolina100.6
66Missouri100.3
67East Carolina100.0
68Maryland99.9
69Utah St.99.5
70Toledo99.4
71Boston College99.3
72UCF98.8
73Tulsa98.7
74Georgia St.98.7
75Liberty98.6
76Colorado98.6
77Miami (Ohio)98.4
78San Diego St.98.4
79U A B98.2
80Syracuse97.9
81U T S A97.7
82Tulane95.2
83Georgia Tech95.1
84Memphis94.6
85Western Michigan94.5
86Stanford94.3
87Marshall94.3
88Rutgers93.8
89Ball St.93.8
90Indiana93.3
91Hawaii92.9
92Wyoming92.4
93Arizona92.3
94Eastern Michigan92.1
95Northwestern91.9
96Northern Illinois91.7
97Navy91.5
98Kent St.90.4
99North Texas90.3
100Middle Tennessee90.2
101South Alabama89.8
102Colorado St.88.9
103San Jose St.88.6
104Buffalo88.3
105Troy88.0
106USF87.4
107Georgia Southern87.0
108Florida Atlantic86.3
109Ohio86.1
110Kansas85.7
111Old Dominion85.7
112U N L V85.2
113U T E P84.5
114Vanderbilt84.0
115UL-Monroe83.2
116Texas St.83.0
117Arkansas St.82.8
118Duke80.2
119Rice80.0
120Louisiana Tech79.7
121New Mexico78.0
122Southern Miss.77.6
123Bowling Green77.1
124Charlotte77.0
125Akron72.5
126Temple72.4
127New Mexico St.71.8
128Connecticut68.6
129Florida Int’l.65.9
130UMass64.1

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati119.3118.9120.7119.6
Houston105.9105.4106.6106.0
SMU101.7101.5102.1101.8
East Carolina99.899.5100.8100.0
UCF99.097.799.898.8
Tulsa98.598.599.198.7
Tulane95.294.296.195.2
Memphis94.194.395.394.6
Navy91.391.192.191.5
USF87.486.988.087.4
Temple72.373.071.872.4

AAC Averages96.896.597.596.9


Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson116.7116.8118.0117.2
NC State112.5112.3113.2112.7
Wake Forest109.3109.1109.6109.3
Louisville104.9105.0105.9105.3
Florida St.104.9105.2105.7105.3
Boston College99.499.299.399.3
Syracuse98.098.097.897.9

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Pittsburgh113.4114.3114.2113.9
North Carolina109.7109.7111.1110.2
Miami (Fla.)110.4109.8110.2110.1
Virginia103.3103.8103.0103.4
Virginia Tech103.0102.5102.4102.6
Georgia Tech95.195.195.095.1
Duke80.680.779.380.2

ACC Averages104.4104.4104.6104.5


Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma St.121.8121.5121.3121.5
Oklahoma121.2119.6120.3120.4
Iowa St.120.8119.4120.1120.1
Baylor116.5115.9115.8116.1
West Virginia110.7109.1108.4109.4
Kansas St.110.1109.3108.5109.3
Texas108.5106.8107.2107.5
Texas Tech104.5104.5103.7104.2
T C U102.9101.4101.2101.8
Kansas87.485.783.985.7

Big 12 Averages110.4109.3109.0109.6


Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.130.0130.0131.3130.4
Michigan126.6127.5128.4127.5
Penn St.114.0114.6115.8114.8
Michigan St.108.0108.1108.6108.2
Maryland100.699.799.499.9
Rutgers93.294.793.593.8
Indiana93.393.093.493.3

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Wisconsin116.1115.9117.3116.5
Purdue110.8110.8112.6111.4
Minnesota110.3111.0112.2111.1
Nebraska109.0109.1109.8109.3
Iowa109.1108.9109.9109.3
Illinois101.1101.6102.2101.6
Northwestern92.092.091.891.9

Big Ten Averages108.2108.4109.0108.5


Conference USA
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Western Kentucky100.3101.7102.2101.4
Marshall94.094.394.794.3
Middle Tennessee89.790.290.790.2
Florida Atlantic86.086.786.286.3
Old Dominion84.885.986.385.7
Charlotte76.677.277.277.0
Florida Int’l.65.965.965.865.9

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U A B98.098.498.398.2
U T S A97.298.098.097.7
North Texas89.990.590.690.3
U T E P84.285.284.084.5
Rice80.180.179.880.0
Louisiana Tech80.080.278.879.7
Southern Miss.77.478.077.477.6

CUSA Averages86.086.686.486.3


FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame121.1121.9122.7121.9
BYU109.8109.5110.0109.8
Army102.5102.5102.5102.5
Liberty98.598.698.698.6
New Mexico St.72.172.770.771.8
Connecticut69.069.567.268.6
UMass65.264.662.464.1

Indep. Averages91.291.390.691.0


Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)99.698.397.398.4
Kent St.90.491.189.790.4
Buffalo89.288.187.588.3
Ohio86.086.585.986.1
Bowling Green77.677.875.877.1
Akron73.672.671.472.5

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Central Michigan102.9101.8101.5102.1
Toledo99.899.498.999.4
Western Michigan94.894.893.794.5
Ball St.94.894.292.593.8
Eastern Michigan93.492.190.892.1
Northern Illinois92.591.790.991.7

MAC Averages91.290.789.790.5


Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.106.1106.3106.7106.4
Air Force103.5103.8104.5103.9
Utah St.99.199.999.699.5
Wyoming92.092.492.892.4
Colorado St.89.188.988.888.9
New Mexico78.578.377.178.0

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Nevada105.0106.0105.3105.4
Fresno St.103.2104.3104.9104.1
San Diego St.98.698.498.198.4
Hawaii93.092.992.892.9
San Jose St.88.989.087.888.6
U N L V85.385.085.485.2

MWC Averages95.295.495.395.3


Pac-12 Conference
North Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oregon St.109.9110.5110.6110.3
Washington St.108.6109.6109.4109.2
Oregon108.2109.1109.7109.0
California103.0105.6105.3104.6
Washington102.7103.4103.1103.1
Stanford94.294.894.094.3

South Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah120.9121.3121.3121.2
U C L A114.5115.1115.4115.0
Arizona St.109.8110.5110.8110.3
U S C103.7103.4103.6103.6
Colorado98.698.798.498.6
Arizona92.292.392.392.3

Pac-12 Averages105.5106.2106.2106.0


Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia133.4133.6134.4133.8
Kentucky112.6113.6113.1113.1
Tennessee111.8111.7112.0111.9
Florida109.2110.1109.4109.6
South Carolina101.1100.7100.2100.6
Missouri100.4100.799.9100.3
Vanderbilt84.184.083.984.0

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama133.0132.4133.3132.9
Texas A&M118.4118.8118.5118.6
Ole Miss116.0116.1116.3116.2
Arkansas114.7114.7114.7114.7
Auburn114.3113.7114.4114.1
Mississippi St.111.8112.1112.0112.0
L S U111.1111.8111.7111.5

SEC Averages112.3112.4112.4112.4


Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Appalachian St.108.9108.7110.1109.2
Coastal Carolina105.5103.8104.6104.7
Georgia St.98.898.398.998.7
Troy88.187.988.188.0
Georgia Southern86.987.187.087.0

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana110.0109.2110.0109.7
South Alabama90.189.889.489.8
UL-Monroe83.583.482.783.2
Texas St.83.882.482.883.0
Arkansas St.83.183.082.382.8

Sun Averages93.993.493.693.6

Conference Ratings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern112.4
2Big 12109.6
3Big Ten108.5
4Pac-12106.0
5Atlantic Coast104.5
6American Athletic96.9
7Mountain West95.3
8Sun Belt93.6
9Independents91.0
10Mid-American90.5
11Conference USA86.3

November 28, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Football–Championship Week

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 7:59 am

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

Champ 1Champ 2PiRateMeanBias
Dec. 3 C-USA Championship Game–7 PM EST on CBSSN

UTSAWestern Kentucky-1.5-2.5-3.5

Dec. 3 Pac-12 Championship Game–8 PM EST on ABC–Las Vegas

UtahOregon8.17.36.6

Dec. 4 Big 12 Championship Game–12 PM EST on ABC–Arlington, TX

Oklahoma St.Baylor8.28.68.7

Dec. 4 MAC Championship Game–12 PM EST on ESPN–Detroit

Northern IllinoisKent St.-3.4-5.7-5.0

Dec. 4 Mountain West Championship Game–3 PM EST on FOX

San Diego St.Utah St.10.99.810.3

Dec. 4 Sun Belt Championship Game–3:30 PM EST on ESPN

LouisianaAppalachian St.3.42.51.9

Dec. 4 SEC Championship Game–4 PM EST on CBS–Atlanta

GeorgiaAlabama7.08.28.3

Dec. 4 AAC Championship Game–4 PM EST on ABC

CincinnatiHouston16.416.517.1

Dec. 4 Big Ten Championship Game–8 PM EST on FOX–Indianapolis

MichiganIowa9.911.110.6

Dec. 4 ACC Championship Game–8 PM EST on ABC–Charlotte

PittsburghWake Forest-1.9-0.8-1.8

Regular Season Game

Home
Visitor
CaliforniaUSC-0.42.81.8

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Georgia136.7
2Ohio St.130.4
3Alabama129.9
4Michigan123.6
5Oklahoma St.123.0
6Notre Dame121.9
7Oklahoma120.4
8Iowa St.120.1
9Cincinnati119.6
10Utah118.7
11Texas A&M118.6
12Clemson117.2
13Wisconsin116.5
14Ole Miss116.2
15U C L A115.0
16Penn St.114.8
17Arkansas114.7
18Baylor114.6
19Auburn114.1
20Iowa113.2
21Kentucky113.1
22NC State112.7
23Wake Forest112.4
24Mississippi St.112.0
25Tennessee111.9
26L S U111.5
27Purdue111.4
28Oregon111.4
29Minnesota111.1
30Pittsburgh110.9
31Arizona St.110.3
32Oregon St.110.3
33North Carolina110.2
34Miami (Fla.)110.1
35BYU109.8
36Appalachian St.109.7
37Florida109.6
38West Virginia109.4
39Kansas St.109.3
40Nebraska109.3
41Louisiana109.3
42Washington St.109.2
43Michigan St.108.2
44Texas107.5
45Boise St.106.4
46Houston106.0
47Nevada105.4
48Louisville105.3
49Florida St.105.3
50U S C104.9
51Coastal Carolina104.7
52Texas Tech104.2
53Fresno St.104.1
54Air Force103.9
55Virginia103.4
56California103.3
57San Diego St.103.1
58Washington103.1
59Virginia Tech102.6
60Army102.5
61Western Kentucky102.3
62Central Michigan102.1
63T C U101.8
64SMU101.8
65Illinois101.6
66South Carolina100.6
67Missouri100.3
68East Carolina100.0
69Maryland99.9
70Toledo99.4
71Boston College99.3
72UCF98.8
73Tulsa98.7
74Georgia St.98.7
75Liberty98.6
76Colorado98.6
77Miami (Ohio)98.4
78U A B98.2
79Syracuse97.9
80U T S A96.8
81Tulane95.2
82Georgia Tech95.1
83Utah St.94.8
84Memphis94.6
85Western Michigan94.5
86Stanford94.3
87Marshall94.3
88Rutgers93.8
89Ball St.93.8
90Kent St.93.4
91Indiana93.3
92Hawaii92.9
93Wyoming92.4
94Arizona92.3
95Eastern Michigan92.1
96Northwestern91.9
97Navy91.5
98North Texas90.3
99Middle Tennessee90.2
100South Alabama89.8
101Colorado St.88.9
102Northern Illinois88.7
103San Jose St.88.6
104Buffalo88.3
105Troy88.0
106USF87.4
107Georgia Southern87.0
108Florida Atlantic86.3
109Ohio86.1
110Kansas85.7
111Old Dominion85.7
112U N L V85.2
113U T E P84.5
114Vanderbilt84.0
115UL-Monroe83.2
116Texas St.83.0
117Arkansas St.82.8
118Duke80.2
119Rice80.0
120Louisiana Tech79.7
121New Mexico78.0
122Southern Miss.77.6
123Bowling Green77.1
124Charlotte77.0
125Akron72.5
126Temple72.4
127New Mexico St.71.8
128Connecticut68.6
129Florida Int’l.65.9
130UMass64.1

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati119.3118.9120.7119.6
Houston105.9105.4106.6106.0
SMU101.7101.5102.1101.8
East Carolina99.899.5100.8100.0
UCF99.097.799.898.8
Tulsa98.598.599.198.7
Tulane95.294.296.195.2
Memphis94.194.395.394.6
Navy91.391.192.191.5
USF87.486.988.087.4
Temple72.373.071.872.4

AAC Averages96.896.597.596.9


Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson116.7116.8118.0117.2
NC State112.5112.3113.2112.7
Wake Forest112.3112.1112.8112.4
Louisville104.9105.0105.9105.3
Florida St.104.9105.2105.7105.3
Boston College99.499.299.399.3
Syracuse98.098.097.897.9

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Pittsburgh110.4111.3111.0110.9
North Carolina109.7109.7111.1110.2
Miami (Fla.)110.4109.8110.2110.1
Virginia103.3103.8103.0103.4
Virginia Tech103.0102.5102.4102.6
Georgia Tech95.195.195.095.1
Duke80.680.779.380.2

ACC Averages104.4104.4104.6104.5


Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma St.123.2123.0122.9123.0
Oklahoma121.2119.6120.3120.4
Iowa St.120.8119.4120.1120.1
Baylor115.1114.4114.2114.6
West Virginia110.7109.1108.4109.4
Kansas St.110.1109.3108.5109.3
Texas108.5106.8107.2107.5
Texas Tech104.5104.5103.7104.2
T C U102.9101.4101.2101.8
Kansas87.485.783.985.7

Big 12 Averages110.4109.3109.0109.6


Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.130.0130.0131.3130.4
Michigan122.8123.7124.4123.6
Penn St.114.0114.6115.8114.8
Michigan St.108.0108.1108.6108.2
Maryland100.699.799.499.9
Rutgers93.294.793.593.8
Indiana93.393.093.493.3

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Wisconsin116.1115.9117.3116.5
Iowa112.9112.7113.9113.2
Purdue110.8110.8112.6111.4
Minnesota110.3111.0112.2111.1
Nebraska109.0109.1109.8109.3
Illinois101.1101.6102.2101.6
Northwestern92.092.091.891.9

Big Ten Averages108.2108.4109.0108.5


Conference USA
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Western Kentucky101.0102.6103.3102.3
Marshall94.094.394.794.3
Middle Tennessee89.790.290.790.2
Florida Atlantic86.086.786.286.3
Old Dominion84.885.986.385.7
Charlotte76.677.277.277.0
Florida Int’l.65.965.965.865.9

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U A B98.098.498.398.2
U T S A96.597.196.996.8
North Texas89.990.590.690.3
U T E P84.285.284.084.5
Rice80.180.179.880.0
Louisiana Tech80.080.278.879.7
Southern Miss.77.478.077.477.6

CUSA Averages86.086.686.486.3


FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame121.1121.9122.7121.9
BYU109.8109.5110.0109.8
Army102.5102.5102.5102.5
Liberty98.598.698.698.6
New Mexico St.72.172.770.771.8
Connecticut69.069.567.268.6
UMass65.264.662.464.1

Indep. Averages91.291.390.691.0


Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)99.698.397.398.4
Kent St.93.294.292.893.4
Buffalo89.288.187.588.3
Ohio86.086.585.986.1
Bowling Green77.677.875.877.1
Akron73.672.671.472.5

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Central Michigan102.9101.8101.5102.1
Toledo99.899.498.999.4
Western Michigan94.894.893.794.5
Ball St.94.894.292.593.8
Eastern Michigan93.492.190.892.1
Northern Illinois89.788.687.888.7

MAC Averages91.290.789.790.5


Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.106.1106.3106.7106.4
Air Force103.5103.8104.5103.9
Utah St.94.495.294.794.8
Wyoming92.092.492.892.4
Colorado St.89.188.988.888.9
New Mexico78.578.377.178.0

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Nevada105.0106.0105.3105.4
Fresno St.103.2104.3104.9104.1
San Diego St.103.3103.1103.0103.1
Hawaii93.092.992.892.9
San Jose St.88.989.087.888.6
U N L V85.385.085.485.2

MWC Averages95.295.495.395.3


Pac-12 Conference
North Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oregon110.5111.6112.2111.4
Oregon St.109.9110.5110.6110.3
Washington St.108.6109.6109.4109.2
California101.7104.4103.9103.3
Washington102.7103.4103.1103.1
Stanford94.294.894.094.3

South Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah118.6118.8118.8118.7
U C L A114.5115.1115.4115.0
Arizona St.109.8110.5110.8110.3
U S C105.0104.6105.0104.9
Colorado98.698.798.498.6
Arizona92.292.392.392.3

Pac-12 Averages105.5106.2106.2106.0


Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia136.2136.6137.5136.7
Kentucky112.6113.6113.1113.1
Tennessee111.8111.7112.0111.9
Florida109.2110.1109.4109.6
South Carolina101.1100.7100.2100.6
Missouri100.4100.799.9100.3
Vanderbilt84.184.083.984.0

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama130.2129.4130.2129.9
Texas A&M118.4118.8118.5118.6
Ole Miss116.0116.1116.3116.2
Arkansas114.7114.7114.7114.7
Auburn114.3113.7114.4114.1
Mississippi St.111.8112.1112.0112.0
L S U111.1111.8111.7111.5

SEC Averages112.3112.4112.4112.4


Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Appalachian St.109.2109.2110.6109.7
Coastal Carolina105.5103.8104.6104.7
Georgia St.98.898.398.998.7
Troy88.187.988.188.0
Georgia Southern86.987.187.087.0

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana109.7108.7109.5109.3
South Alabama90.189.889.489.8
UL-Monroe83.583.482.783.2
Texas St.83.882.482.883.0
Arkansas St.83.183.082.382.8

Sun Averages93.993.493.693.6

Conference Ratings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern112.4
2Big 12109.6
3Big Ten108.5
4Pac-12106.0
5Atlantic Coast104.5
6American Athletic96.9
7Mountain West95.3
8Sun Belt93.6
9Independents91.0
10Mid-American90.5
11Conference USA86.3

Playoff and Bowl Projections

Note: 83 teams gained bowl eligibility. There are spots for 82 teams. One team will be left out. As of today, we project Wyoming to be that team.

BowlTeamTeam
BahamasWestern KentuckyCentral Michigan
CureMemphisGeorgia St.
BocaLibertyMiami (O)
New MexicoUTEPUtah St.
IndependenceBYUUTSA
Lending TreeKent St.Old Dominion
L. A.Fresno St.Arizona St.
New OrleansUABLouisiana
Myrtle BeachSMUCoastal Carolina
Famous Idaho PotatoEastern MichiganBoise St.
FriscoNevadaBall St.
Armed ForcesArmyMarshall
GasparillaVirginiaFlorida
HawaiiHoustonSan Diego St.
CamelliaNorthern IllinoisAppalachian St/
Quick LaneToledoMissouri
MilitaryLouisvilleSouth Carolina
BirminghamCentral FloridaAuburn
First ResponderTulsaNorth Texas
LibertyKansas St.Mississippi St.
HolidayVirginia TechUCLA
Guaranteed RateMarylandMiddle Tennessee
FenwayEast CarolinaBoston College
PinstripeNorth CarolinaPenn St.
Cheez-ItWake ForestWest Virginia
AlamoIowa St.Oregon St.
Duke’s MayoNorth Carolina St.Texas A&M
Music CityPurdueTennessee
Las VegasWisconsinOregon
Tax Slayer GatorClemsonArkansas
Tony The Tiger SunMiami (Fla.)Washington St.
ArizonaWestern MichiganAir Force
CitrusMichigan St.Ole Miss
OutbackMinnesotaKentucky
TexasTexas TechLSU
PeachPittsburghOhio St.
FiestaOklahomaNotre Dame
RoseIowaUtah
SugarAlabamaBaylor
CottonMichiganOklahoma St.
OrangeGeorgiaCincinnati
ChampionshipGeorgiaMichigan

November 14, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Football–November 16-20, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Eastern MichiganWestern Michigan4.53.43.6
Ohio UToledo-7.9-6.7-6.2
Miami (O)Bowling Green26.324.625.8
Ball St.Central Michigan0.30.9-0.7
BuffaloNorthern Illinois1.61.82.0
DukeLouisville-19.5-19.2-22.0
Louisiana TechSouthern Miss.12.212.011.4
HoustonMemphis14.613.514.0
Washington St.Arizona13.414.213.5
NevadaAir Force3.84.53.1
UNLVSan Diego St.-12.4-12.6-12.0
PittsburghVirginia8.98.79.4
CincinnatiSMU15.514.715.7
ArmyMassachusetts39.039.541.5
Central FloridaConnecticut34.032.437.6
Miami (Fla.)Virginia Tech9.19.09.6
North Carolina St.Syracuse16.215.816.4
AkronKent St.-9.9-12.2-11.4
Ohio St.Michigan St.22.622.523.7
Coastal CarolinaTexas St.28.728.829.9
MarylandMichigan-11.0-13.2-14.0
MissouriFlorida-7.0-8.0-8.3
West VirginiaTexas3.63.72.8
TennesseeSouth Alabama21.421.522.6
Boston CollegeFlorida St.1.41.31.1
LibertyLouisiana-2.4-0.6-1.3
Northwestern (Wrig)Purdue-11.3-11.0-13.0
IndianaMinnesota-6.6-7.7-8.3
Penn St.Rutgers20.018.621.4
ClemsonWake Forest4.54.75.0
WisconsinNebraska11.811.412.6
Western KentuckyFlorida Atlantic7.88.49.7
IowaIllinois18.017.217.9
Boise St.New Mexico28.128.430.4
UtahOregon6.95.84.8
ColoradoWashington-5.4-6.8-7.0
Notre DameGeorgia Tech20.221.122.0
StanfordCalifornia0.6-2.0-2.2
Oregon St.Arizona St.1.00.70.3
USCUCLA-0.3-0.8-0.4
NavyEast Carolina-7.2-7.2-7.9
South CarolinaAuburn-10.9-10.7-12.1
TulsaTemple23.722.924.0
TroyAppalachian St.-11.0-10.8-12.1
Ole MissVanderbilt39.139.440.0
Middle TennesseeOld Dominion11.310.611.3
AlabamaArkansas21.120.522.1
LSULouisiana-Monroe33.234.135.2
TulaneSouth Florida6.55.86.8
OklahomaIowa St.4.74.54.4
TCUKansas24.825.628.2
KentuckyNew Mexico St.41.341.743.0
CharlotteMarshall-15.9-15.2-15.6
UTSAUAB6.06.46.1
Texas TechOklahoma St.-14.4-14.1-14.8
Kansas St.Baylor-0.7-0.6-1.0
Georgia St.Arkansas St.17.416.618.2
UTEPRice6.47.55.9
Georgia SouthernBYU-20.1-19.6-20.6
Florida Int’l.North Texas-10.2-10.4-10.2
Utah St.Wyoming7.57.96.8
HawaiiColorado St.0.80.4-0.1

The Northwestern and Purdue game will be played at Wrigley Field.

FBS vs. FCS Games

FBSFCSPiRate
GeorgiaCharleston Southern48.4
Texas A&MPrairie View36.4
Mississippi St.Tennessee St.36.4
North CarolinaWofford33.2

Teams Not Playing This Week

Fresno St.
San Jose St.

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Georgia136.0
2Alabama131.6
3Ohio St.130.3
4Oklahoma St.121.2
5Oklahoma120.2
6Texas A&M119.6
7Iowa St.118.6
8Wisconsin118.5
9Ole Miss117.5
10Notre Dame117.3
11Cincinnati117.2
12Utah117.0
13Michigan116.3
14Auburn115.0
15Penn St.115.0
16Baylor114.7
17Oregon114.2
18Clemson113.5
19Arkansas113.3
20Iowa113.0
21Mississippi St.112.5
22NC State112.2
23Wake Forest111.8
24Arizona St.111.6
25L S U111.5
26Kansas St.110.9
27Florida110.4
28Michigan St.110.4
29North Carolina110.4
30U C L A110.1
31Pittsburgh110.0
32Kentucky110.0
33Tennessee109.8
34BYU109.7
35Nebraska109.5
36West Virginia109.3
37Oregon St.109.2
38Texas108.9
39Purdue108.8
40Miami (Fla.)108.5
41U S C108.1
42Louisiana108.0
43Minnesota107.9
44Coastal Carolina107.7
45Louisville106.8
46Washington106.7
47Boise St.106.6
48Appalachian St.106.6
49Houston105.7
50T C U105.7
51SMU104.9
52Florida St.104.7
53Washington St.104.6
54Virginia104.0
55Texas Tech103.8
56Liberty103.6
57Boston College102.9
58Nevada102.5
59Virginia Tech102.3
60California101.8
61Air Force101.7
62San Diego St.101.5
63Army101.4
64U T S A101.1
65Fresno St.101.1
66South Carolina100.8
67East Carolina100.6
68Maryland100.5
69UCF99.8
70Missouri99.7
71Georgia Tech99.3
72Syracuse99.1
73Stanford99.1
74Miami (Ohio)98.5
75Toledo98.5
76Illinois98.3
77U A B97.9
78Indiana97.9
79Georgia St.97.6
80Central Michigan97.5
81Colorado97.3
82Rutgers97.0
83Marshall96.8
84Utah St.96.7
85Tulsa96.0
86Western Kentucky96.0
87Northwestern95.6
88Ball St.95.2
89Memphis94.7
90Arizona93.9
91Eastern Michigan93.6
92Tulane93.2
93Troy92.7
94Colorado St.92.7
95Wyoming92.3
96Western Michigan91.8
97South Alabama91.0
98San Jose St.90.7
99Middle Tennessee90.5
100Northern Illinois90.4
101Florida Atlantic90.3
102Navy90.2
103Kent St.90.0
104Buffalo89.7
105Ohio89.5
106USF89.3
107Hawaii89.0
108Georgia Southern86.6
109U N L V86.6
110U T E P84.3
111Duke84.1
112Louisiana Tech83.5
113North Texas83.1
114Arkansas St.82.7
115Kansas82.5
116Old Dominion81.9
117Texas St.81.5
118Vanderbilt81.0
119New Mexico80.6
120Rice80.2
121UL-Monroe79.3
122Charlotte78.7
123Akron76.8
124Temple75.5
125Bowling Green74.9
126Southern Miss.74.2
127New Mexico St.71.0
128Florida Int’l.70.4
129Connecticut68.1
130UMass64.4

Note: The PiRate Ratings are predictive (forward thinking) and not rankings based on what teams have done to date.

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati117.1116.4118.1117.2
Houston105.7105.0106.4105.7
SMU104.6104.7105.4104.9
East Carolina100.3100.1101.5100.6
UCF99.898.6101.199.8
Tulsa96.095.996.296.0
Memphis94.194.595.494.7
Tulane93.392.194.193.2
Navy90.189.990.790.2
USF89.388.989.889.3
Temple75.376.075.275.5

AAC Averages96.996.697.697.0


Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson113.2113.1114.2113.5
NC State112.1111.9112.6112.2
Wake Forest111.7111.4112.2111.8
Louisville106.4106.4107.7106.8
Florida St.104.4104.6105.0104.7
Boston College102.8102.9103.1102.9
Syracuse99.099.199.299.1

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
North Carolina109.9109.9111.3110.4
Pittsburgh109.7110.4110.1110.0
Miami (Fla.)108.9108.1108.6108.5
Virginia103.8104.6103.7104.0
Virginia Tech102.8102.1102.0102.3
Georgia Tech99.399.399.299.3
Duke84.484.883.284.1

ACC Averages104.9104.9105.2105.0


Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma St.121.5121.2121.0121.2
Oklahoma121.1119.4120.0120.2
Iowa St.119.3117.9118.6118.6
Baylor115.2114.5114.4114.7
Kansas St.111.4110.9110.4110.9
West Virginia110.6109.0108.3109.3
Texas110.0108.2108.6108.9
T C U106.4105.2105.4105.7
Texas Tech104.1104.1103.2103.8
Kansas84.682.680.382.5

Big 12 Averages110.4109.3109.0109.6


Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.129.8129.8131.3130.3
Michigan115.5116.4116.9116.3
Penn St.114.1114.6116.1115.0
Michigan St.110.2110.3110.6110.4
Maryland101.4100.299.9100.5
Indiana97.997.698.097.9
Rutgers96.198.096.797.0

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Wisconsin117.9117.8119.6118.5
Iowa112.9112.5113.7113.0
Nebraska109.2109.4110.0109.5
Purdue108.3108.2110.0108.8
Minnesota107.1107.8108.8107.9
Illinois97.998.398.898.3
Northwestern95.595.795.595.6

Big Ten Averages108.1108.4109.0108.5


Conference USA
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Marshall96.596.797.296.8
Western Kentucky94.796.396.996.0
Middle Tennessee90.090.391.190.5
Florida Atlantic89.990.890.290.3
Old Dominion81.282.282.381.9
Charlotte78.178.979.078.7
Florida Int’l.70.270.470.570.4

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U T S A100.7101.4101.3101.1
U A B97.798.098.197.9
U T E P84.185.283.584.3
Louisiana Tech83.884.182.783.5
North Texas82.983.383.283.1
Rice80.280.280.280.2
Southern Miss.74.174.573.874.2

CUSA Averages86.086.686.486.3


FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame116.5117.3118.2117.3
BYU109.8109.4110.0109.7
Liberty103.2103.7103.9103.6
Army101.5101.4101.2101.4
New Mexico St.71.371.969.871.0
Connecticut68.769.266.568.1
UMass65.564.962.864.4

Indep. Averages90.991.190.390.8


Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)99.898.397.498.5
Kent St.89.891.089.390.0
Buffalo90.589.589.189.7
Ohio89.189.989.689.5
Akron77.976.875.976.8
Bowling Green75.575.773.574.9

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Toledo99.198.597.898.5
Central Michigan98.597.296.997.5
Ball St.96.295.693.795.2
Eastern Michigan94.893.692.493.6
Western Michigan92.292.290.891.8
Northern Illinois91.390.289.690.4

MAC Averages91.290.789.790.5


Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.106.2106.4107.1106.6
Air Force101.3101.6102.2101.7
Utah St.96.397.296.796.7
Colorado St.92.792.692.792.7
Wyoming91.892.392.992.3
New Mexico81.181.079.780.6

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Nevada102.1103.1102.3102.5
San Diego St.101.7101.5101.3101.5
Fresno St.100.2101.2101.9101.1
San Jose St.91.091.289.990.7
Hawaii89.489.088.689.0
U N L V86.886.486.886.6

MWC Averages95.095.395.295.2


Pac-12 Conference
North Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oregon113.1114.4115.2114.2
Oregon St.108.9109.4109.4109.2
Washington106.1107.1107.0106.7
Washington St.104.2105.1104.6104.6
California100.0103.0102.4101.8
Stanford99.099.598.799.1

South Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah117.0117.1117.0117.0
Arizona St.111.0111.7112.1111.6
U C L A109.8110.1110.3110.1
U S C108.0107.8108.4108.1
Colorado97.697.496.997.3
Arizona93.793.994.193.9
Pac-12 Averages105.7106.4106.3106.1


Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia135.5135.9136.8136.0
Florida109.9111.0110.4110.4
Kentucky109.6110.6109.8110.0
Tennessee109.7109.6110.1109.8
South Carolina101.3100.9100.2100.8
Missouri99.9100.099.199.7
Vanderbilt81.381.080.681.0

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama131.6130.9132.2131.6
Texas A&M119.3119.8119.6119.6
Ole Miss117.4117.4117.6117.5
Auburn115.2114.6115.3115.0
Arkansas113.4113.4113.1113.3
Mississippi St.112.2112.7112.7112.5
L S U111.0111.7111.7111.5

SEC Averages112.0112.1112.1112.1


Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Coastal Carolina108.3106.7107.9107.7
Appalachian St.106.1106.0107.6106.6
Georgia St.97.897.197.897.6
Troy92.692.793.092.7
Georgia Southern86.786.986.486.6

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana108.6107.3108.3108.0
South Alabama91.391.190.591.0
Arkansas St.82.983.082.182.7
Texas St.82.680.981.181.5
UL-Monroe79.879.678.579.3

Sun Averages93.793.193.393.4

Conference Ratings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern112.1
2Big 12109.6
3Big Ten108.5
4Pac-12106.1
5Atlantic Coast105.0
6American Athletic97.0
7Mountain West95.2
8Sun Belt93.4
9Independents90.8
10Mid-American90.5
11Conference USA86.3

Playoff and Bowl Projections

Note: This is the first week where we do not project 82 teams to have six or more wins. This week, we project two 5-7 teams to receive bowl bids, both from the Pac-12–Washington and California.

BowlTeamTeam
BahamasUABNorthern Illinois
CureLibertyAppalachian St.
BocaMiddle TennesseeMiami (O)
New MexicoUTEPUtah St.
IndependenceBYUWestern Kentucky
Lending TreeCentral MichiganSan Jose St.
L. A.San Diego St.USC
New OrleansFlorida AtlanticLouisiana
Myrtle BeachWest VirginiaCoastal Carolina
Famous Idaho PotatoKent St.Boise St.
FriscoHoustonUTSA
Armed ForcesArmyMarshall
GasparillaCaliforniaFlorida
HawaiiEast CarolinaNevada
CamelliaToledoGeorgia St.
Quick LaneEastern MichiganWyoming
MilitaryVirginiaSMU
BirminghamMemphisBall St.
First ResponderWashingtonFresno St.
LibertyIowa St.Missouri
HolidayNorth CarolinaUCLA
Guaranteed RateRutgersTexas Tech
FenwayBoston CollegeCentral Florida
PinstripeNorth Carolina St.Minnesota
Cheez-ItBaylorWake Forest
AlamoOklahomaArizona St.
Duke’s MayoMiami (Fla.)Auburn
Music CityPenn St.Tennessee
Las VegasPurdueWashington St.
Tax Slayer GatorClemsonMississippi St.
Tony The Tiger SunLouisvilleOregon St.
ArizonaWestern MichiganAir Force
CitrusIowaTexas A&M
OutbackWisconsinKentucky
TexasKansas St.Arkansas
PeachCincinnatiMichigan St.
FiestaNotre DamePittsburgh
RoseMichiganUtah
SugarOle MissOklahoma St.
CottonOregonOhio St.
OrangeGeorgiaAlabama
ChampionshipGeorgiaOhio St.

Where Cincinnati Rates Historically Among Other Unbeatens

With Cincinnati sitting at 10-0 and just on the outside, looking in on a potential College Football Playoff invitation, where do the Bearcats fit in the historical picture of Division 1 teams that won all their games but were not members of a major conference or top independent?

This may be putting the cart before the horse, because CU must win three more games against three better than average teams to get to 13-0 and have a chance to be in the Final Four.  A home game this week against SMU could be tricky.  A regular season finale at East Carolina is going to be somewhat trickier, as the Pirates have been sneaky good for two months.  But, even if Cinti wins those two games, they will have to beat a Houston team that has looked better than the Bearcats in the last month.

Here is a look at all the Division 1 teams with perfect records between 1960 and 2000.  I chose these years as a basis for comparing the Bearcats because the sample size was extremely large.

1960–New Mexico State and Yale

Both teams finished in the national top 20, but neither team was at the level of 2021 Cincinnati.  While the Ivy League was still Division 1 up until the late 1970’s, by 1960, it was about on par with Conference USA today and maybe not that strong.  Yale beat U Conn and Colgate out of conference.  NMSU was much better and deserving of their 11-0 season that included a win in the Sun Bowl.  With future NFL QB Charley Johnson running the offense, the Aggies were as good as UTSA and Louisiana today, but not Cincinnati.

1961–Rutgers

This is one of the weakest undefeated D1 teams in modern times.  Rutgers went 9-0 with five wins over small college opponents and four wins over Ivy League opponents.  

1962–Dartmouth

Coach Bob Blackman was a defensive wizard, and he built Dartmouth into a small power.  This was his first of three 9-0 teams.  Dartmouth gave up just 9 points in their first seven games, but this team was never ranked and not on Cincinnati’s level.  That would change.

1964–Princeton

The 9-0 Tigers were one of the last teams to run a single wing offense, and Princeton won a lot of close games to win the Ivy.  PU was never ranked, and this Tiger team was little better than the 1961 Rutgers team.

1965–Dartmouth

This Dartmouth team was somewhat better than the 1962 team with a more consistent running game that controlled the clock.  Eight of nine wins were never in doubt, but the DC was not on Cincinnati’s level this season.  We’re not through with this team though.

1969–San Diego State, Toledo

The Aztecs became classified as a major college team after years of being a dynasty small college team.  Coach Don Coryell was in the middle of sending quarterbacks to the NFL, and in Dennis Shaw, he may have had the best passer in the nation, as SDSU went 11-0, while averaging 45 points per game.  This team did not earn a ranking in the polls, and their schedule was not worthy of that honor.  Not only was this team not on par with 2021 Cincinnati, the 2021 SDSU team would have beaten the 1969 team.

Toledo began a three-year string from 1969 to 1971 where the Rockets won every game.  This was not their best in the three-year run, but they did briefly crack the AP Poll.

1970–Arizona State, Toledo, Dartmouth

Now, we have some interesting undefeated teams.  Arizona State finished #6 in the final polls with an 11-0 record that included wins over Kansas State, Washington State, Utah, and North Carolina in the Peach Bowl.  The Sun Devils might have been a tad better than this Cincinnati team.  ASU was loaded with future NFL players.

Toledo’s 1970 team finished #12 in the final poll, but this Rockets team was considerably underrated in 1970.  Toledo should have been a Top 10 team that year.  Their schedule lacked a power team, which is why they finished #12, but they outgained opponents by close to 200 yards a game when 300 yards was considered an offensive outburst.  They won the Tangerine Bowl by four touchdowns.  I believe this Toledo team was about as good as this year’s Cincinnati.

Now, for Dartmouth.  This was Bob Blackman’s and the Ivy League’s best team post World War II.  Dartmouth became the last Ivy League team to finish ranked in the national polls at a way underrated #14.  This team went 9-0, finishing in the top 10 nationally in both offense and defense, as they outgained opponents by close to 250 yards per game.  They shut out six of their nine opponents, including their final four games.  Football experts that saw this team play say they would have defeated Penn State that year, and DC was awarded the Lambert Trophy as the best team in the East.  This team might have been strong enough to win a New Year’s Bowl game that year.  

1971–Toledo

The third year run of undefeated Rocket teams, they finished #14 in the final polls, but this team was not as good as the 1970 team.  Interestingly, this Toledo team became one of just two major college teams to post back-to-back perfect seasons with different coaches.  Michigan was the other in 1947 and 1948.

1973–Miami of Ohio

What makes 1973 a bit different from the previous years mentioned in this section is that half of the MAC teams were ranked in the top 20 at some point in 1973.  Miami not only beat the other ranked MAC teams, they dominated Florida in the Tangerine Bowl, totally stopping a Gators’ offense that had defeated rival Florida State 49-0 in the regular season finale.  Miami allowed less than 7 points per game and less than 200 total yards per game.  In a year where six major conference teams did not lose a regular season game, this Miami team got lost in the mix, but I would have favored them over this year’s Cincinnati team.

1975–Arizona State, Arkansas State

This Sun Devils team was not as good as the 1970 team, but they finished #2 in the final rankings thanks to come-from-behind wins over ranked Arizona and Nebraska teams, the Cornhusker upset coming in the Fiesta Bowl.  It also helped that there were no other undefeated teams in Division 1 that year, as 11-1 Oklahoma won the national championship after Ohio State lost the Rose Bowl.  2021 Cincinnati probably would beat this ASU team.

Arkansas State went 11-0 with a powerful wishbone offense.  Included in the 11 wins were victories over 7-4 Memphis and 6-5 Cincinnati, but this team was about as strong as Louisiana and Appalachian State are today.  

1976–Rutgers

1976 was a great year for Scarlet Knight fans.  The football team went 11-0 following a basketball team that went undefeated until the Final Four, where they lost a heartbreaker to Michigan in the nation semifinals.  This 11-0 football team finished #17 in the polls, but they were not on the level of this year’s Cincinnati.  Their best win was over a Colgate team that went 8-2, but it was a controversial win with questionable officiating calls.

1984–BYU

Did BYU deserve to win the 1984 National Championship?  Were they better than this year’s Cincinnati team?  I don’t think so.  This wasn’t even the best BYU team in this era, just the one that was fortunate to go 13-0 against a weak schedule and win a bowl game over the weakest Michigan team in the Bo Schembechler era.  BYU’s key wins were against a 3-7-1 Pitt team and a 5-6 Baylor team.  In the Fiesta Bowl against 6-5 Michigan, BYU had to rally from behind to win by seven.  Quarterback Robbie Bosco continuing to play while injured made for a great copy, but this year’s BYU team might beat that one.  They were not deserving of the title that year, as Washington was the real best team in 1984.

1998–Tulane

The Green Wave finished #7 in the final polls with a dominant offense and average defense.  TU defeated BYU in the Liberty Bowl but defeated no ranked teams.  The 1998 Green Wave was not in this year’s Cincinnati’s class.

1999–Marshall

The Thundering Herd played in the MAC for a few years, and in 1999, they went 13-0 and finished 10th in the final polls behind future NFL QB Chad Pennington.  All the Herd could manage to earn was a Motor City Bowl game, where they beat BYU.  While Marshall defeated Clemson in the regular season, that CU team went just 6-6 and fired their coach.

November 7, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Football–November 9-13, 2021

PiRate Pro Football Game — NFL Edition

Our PiRate Ratings’ statistically-accurate Pro Football Game recently added the NFL Greats from 1960-1975 to the previously issued AFL Greats. These games come to you in Zip Files where you can print your own and save $50 off the cost of purchasing a boxed game. Check it out:

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Miami (O)Buffalo7.77.06.0
Eastern MichiganOhio U11.79.99.1
Western MichiganAkron19.220.620.4
Bowling GreenToledo-19.4-18.7-19.8
Central MichiganKent St.8.05.76.7
Northern IllinoisBall St.-3.2-3.9-2.6
PittsburghNorth Carolina3.03.72.0
South FloridaCincinnati-25.4-25.3-26.5
Boise St.Wyoming17.917.718.3
Kansas St.West Virginia0.61.61.6
Coastal CarolinaGeorgia St.17.216.217.1
ClemsonConnecticut46.846.350.0
IowaMinnesota9.28.18.5
Virginia TechDuke18.917.518.8
Georgia TechBoston College1.81.91.8
Penn St.Michigan3.73.54.9
IndianaRutgers11.69.411.1
TempleHouston-26.8-25.0-27.2
Michigan St.Maryland10.411.712.3
LouisvilleSyracuse5.24.86.1
Oklahoma St.TCU10.611.511.1
TexasKansas35.936.138.8
Wake ForestNorth Carolina St.0.90.80.9
BaylorOklahoma-7.3-6.4-7.4
VirginiaNotre Dame-5.6-5.4-7.4
WisconsinNorthwestern22.822.324.3
RiceWestern Kentucky-9.5-11.1-11.5
ArizonaUtah-22.2-22.3-22.2
Appalachian St.South Alabama16.816.719.1
UCLAColorado12.713.313.8
WashingtonArizona St.-1.5-0.9-1.3
UNLVHawaii-1.7-2.0-1.4
OregonWashington St.11.311.412.8
Oregon St.Stanford11.010.611.4
CaliforniaUSC-5.1-1.8-3.1
MemphisEast Carolina-3.8-3.0-4.1
AuburnMississippi St.10.09.19.9
Louisiana TechCharlotte8.07.35.4
Texas TechIowa St.-16.0-14.7-16.6
TroyLouisiana-13.5-11.9-12.8
Old DominionFlorida Atlantic-11.1-11.3-10.5
SMUCentral Florida3.64.92.5
MissouriSouth Carolina1.51.91.5
VanderbiltKentucky-27.1-28.8-28.6
UTSASouthern Miss.31.231.432.0
AlabamaNew Mexico St.61.360.063.4
Ole MissTexas A&M-1.4-2.3-2.1
TennesseeGeorgia-22.0-22.5-23.0
Ohio St.Purdue23.623.523.0
Florida St.Miami (Fla.)-3.7-2.8-3.3
MarshallUAB4.34.45.1
LSUArkansas0.61.52.2
Texas St.Georgia Southern-1.0-2.9-2.0
Middle TennesseeFlorida Int’l.17.617.518.0
TulaneTulsa1.00.22.2
North TexasUTEP0.6-0.31.3
Louisiana-MonroeArkansas St.0.1-0.3-0.5
Fresno St.New Mexico21.422.624.7
Colorado St.Air Force-6.5-6.6-7.2
San Jose St.Utah St.5.34.64.0
San Diego St.Nevada2.61.21.7

FBS vs. FCS Games This Week

FBSFCSPiRate
FloridaSamford31.2
MassachusettsMaine1.8
ArmyBucknell38.8

FBS Teams With The Week Off

BYU
Illinois
Liberty
Navy
Nebraska

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Georgia135.4
2Alabama130.6
3Ohio St.129.5
4Oklahoma122.4
5Texas A&M120.8
6Iowa St.120.6
7Utah117.9
8Cincinnati117.6
9Wisconsin117.4
10Oklahoma St.117.2
11Auburn117.0
12Penn St.115.9
13Ole Miss115.8
14Notre Dame115.0
15Michigan114.8
16Oregon113.7
17Texas113.4
18Clemson113.4
19Iowa113.3
20Arkansas113.2
21Baylor112.4
22NC State112.3
23Wake Forest111.7
24Florida111.6
25L S U111.6
26Arizona St.111.3
27West Virginia110.7
28Kentucky110.6
29Mississippi St.110.3
30North Carolina110.3
31Pittsburgh110.1
32Tennessee109.9
33Michigan St.109.7
34Coastal Carolina109.6
35BYU109.4
36Miami (Fla.)109.4
37Nebraska109.2
38T C U109.2
39Purdue109.1
40Kansas St.109.0
41U C L A108.8
42Oregon St.108.4
43U S C108.1
44Louisiana108.0
45Minnesota107.6
46Washington107.0
47Boise St.106.9
48Appalachian St.106.0
49Virginia105.9
50Washington St.104.9
51Houston104.7
52Louisville104.1
53Florida St.104.1
54Liberty103.3
55SMU102.7
56Nevada102.6
57U T S A102.4
58UCF102.0
59Indiana101.9
60Texas Tech101.8
61Syracuse101.8
62California101.8
63Boston College101.4
64San Diego St.101.4
65Air Force101.3
66Maryland101.2
67Virginia Tech101.1
68South Carolina100.9
69Fresno St.100.8
70Georgia Tech100.8
71East Carolina100.7
72Stanford100.4
73Army100.4
74Missouri99.5
75Colorado98.5
76Illinois98.0
77Marshall98.0
78Toledo97.1
79Miami (Ohio)96.6
80U A B96.4
81Northwestern96.2
82Central Michigan95.9
83Ball St.95.6
84Eastern Michigan95.4
85Georgia St.95.3
86Tulsa95.3
87Memphis94.6
88San Jose St.94.5
89Western Kentucky94.5
90Rutgers94.2
91Tulane93.9
92Western Michigan93.2
93Colorado St.93.0
94Utah St.92.9
95Troy92.8
96Arizona92.7
97Florida Atlantic92.5
98Buffalo92.1
99Wyoming92.0
100Kent St.91.6
101South Alabama91.5
102Hawaii90.8
103Navy90.0
104Northern Illinois89.9
105USF88.9
106Middle Tennessee88.3
107Ohio87.7
108Georgia Southern86.3
109Duke85.7
110U N L V85.1
111U T E P84.5
112Louisiana Tech83.3
113North Texas83.0
114Arkansas St.82.4
115Texas St.81.9
116Rice81.3
117New Mexico80.9
118Vanderbilt80.4
119UL-Monroe79.6
120Kansas79.5
121Old Dominion79.0
122Charlotte78.9
123Bowling Green76.3
124Temple75.8
125Akron75.7
126Southern Miss.73.4
127Florida Int’l.73.1
128New Mexico St.72.0
129Connecticut68.7
130UMass66.1

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati117.4116.8118.7117.6
Houston104.8103.9105.3104.7
SMU102.5102.6103.0102.7
UCF101.9100.7103.5102.0
East Carolina100.3100.1101.7100.7
Tulsa95.495.295.395.3
Memphis94.194.595.294.6
Tulane93.992.895.093.9
Navy89.989.790.590.0
USF89.088.589.288.9
Temple75.576.475.675.8

AAC Averages96.896.597.596.9


Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson113.1113.0114.1113.4
NC State112.2112.0112.7112.3
Wake Forest111.6111.3112.1111.7
Louisville103.8103.6105.0104.1
Florida St.103.9104.1104.3104.1
Syracuse101.6101.9101.9101.8
Boston College101.4101.4101.5101.4

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
North Carolina109.8109.8111.2110.3
Pittsburgh109.8110.5110.2110.1
Miami (Fla.)109.7108.9109.6109.4
Virginia105.6106.5105.5105.9
Virginia Tech101.7100.8100.7101.1
Georgia Tech100.7100.8100.8100.8
Duke85.886.484.885.7

ACC Averages105.0105.1105.3105.1


Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma123.3121.6122.4122.4
Iowa St.121.2119.8120.7120.6
Oklahoma St.117.5117.2117.0117.2
Texas114.5112.7113.1113.4
Baylor113.0112.3112.0112.4
West Virginia112.0110.4109.8110.7
T C U109.9108.7108.9109.2
Kansas St.109.5109.0108.4109.0
Texas Tech102.2102.2101.1101.8
Kansas81.679.677.379.5

Big 12 Averages110.5109.3109.1109.6


Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.129.1129.0130.4129.5
Penn St.114.9115.5117.2115.9
Michigan114.2115.0115.3114.8
Michigan St.109.5109.6109.9109.7
Indiana101.9101.6102.0101.9
Maryland102.1100.9100.6101.2
Rutgers93.395.293.994.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Wisconsin116.9116.7118.5117.4
Iowa113.1112.7114.0113.3
Nebraska108.9109.1109.7109.2
Purdue108.5108.5110.4109.1
Minnesota106.9107.6108.5107.6
Illinois97.698.098.598.0
Northwestern96.196.496.296.2

Big Ten Averages108.1108.3108.9108.4


Conference USA
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Marshall97.697.998.698.0
Western Kentucky93.394.995.494.5
Florida Atlantic92.093.092.492.5
Middle Tennessee87.988.188.888.3
Old Dominion78.479.379.479.0
Charlotte78.279.179.478.9
Florida Int’l.72.873.173.373.1

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U T S A102.0102.7102.6102.4
U A B96.396.596.496.4
U T E P84.285.483.784.5
Louisiana Tech83.783.982.383.3
North Texas82.883.183.083.0
Rice81.381.381.481.3
Southern Miss.73.373.773.073.4

CUSA Averages86.086.686.486.3

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame114.2114.9115.9115.0
BYU109.5109.1109.7109.4
Liberty102.9103.4103.6103.3
Army100.5100.4100.2100.4
New Mexico St.72.372.970.872.0
Connecticut69.369.867.168.7
UMass67.266.664.566.1

Indep. Averages90.991.090.390.7


Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)98.096.495.396.6
Buffalo92.891.991.792.1
Kent St.91.492.591.091.6
Ohio87.388.187.787.7
Bowling Green76.877.075.076.3
Akron76.975.674.675.7

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Toledo97.897.296.397.1
Central Michigan96.995.795.295.9
Ball St.96.696.194.295.6
Eastern Michigan96.695.494.395.4
Western Michigan93.593.792.493.2
Northern Illinois90.989.789.189.9

MAC Averages91.390.889.790.6


Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.106.4106.7107.6106.9
Air Force101.0101.2101.8101.3
Colorado St.93.093.093.193.0
Utah St.92.593.492.892.9
Wyoming91.692.092.492.0
New Mexico81.481.379.980.9

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Nevada102.1103.2102.4102.6
San Diego St.101.7101.4101.2101.4
Fresno St.99.9100.9101.7100.8
San Jose St.94.895.093.894.5
Hawaii91.190.890.590.8
U N L V85.484.985.285.1

MWC Averages95.195.395.295.2


Pac-12 Conference
North Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oregon112.7113.9114.7113.7
Oregon St.108.2108.5108.5108.4
Washington106.3107.4107.4107.0
Washington St.104.4105.4104.9104.9
California100.0103.0102.4101.8
Stanford100.2100.9100.1100.4

South Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah117.8118.0118.0117.9
Arizona St.110.8111.4111.7111.3
U C L A108.6108.9109.0108.8
U S C108.0107.8108.4108.1
Colorado98.898.698.298.5
Arizona92.692.792.892.7

Pac-12 Averages105.7106.4106.3106.1


Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia134.9135.3136.2135.4
Florida111.1112.2111.6111.6
Kentucky110.0111.2110.5110.6
Tennessee109.8109.7110.2109.9
South Carolina101.4101.0100.4100.9
Missouri99.899.998.999.5
Vanderbilt80.980.479.980.4

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama130.6129.9131.2130.6
Texas A&M120.3121.0120.9120.8
Auburn117.1116.6117.4117.0
Ole Miss115.9115.7115.8115.8
Arkansas113.4113.3112.8113.2
L S U111.0111.8112.0111.6
Mississippi St.110.1110.5110.4110.3

SEC Averages111.9112.0112.0112.0


Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Coastal Carolina110.2108.6110.0109.6
Appalachian St.105.6105.4107.1106.0
Georgia St.95.694.995.495.3
Troy92.692.893.092.8
Georgia Southern86.486.686.086.3

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana108.6107.2108.3108.0
South Alabama91.891.791.091.5
Arkansas St.82.682.781.882.4
Texas St.82.981.281.581.9
UL-Monroe80.179.978.879.6

Sun Averages93.693.193.393.3

Conference Ratings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern112.0
2Big 12109.6
3Big Ten108.4
4Pac-12106.1
5Atlantic Coast105.1
6American Athletic96.9
7Mountain West95.2
8Sun Belt93.3
9Independents90.7
10Mid-American90.6
11Conference USA86.3

Playoff and Bowl Projections

BowlTeamTeam
BahamasUTSAKent St.
CureAir ForceCoastal Carolina
BocaMemphisFlorida Atlantic
New MexicoUTEPFresno St.
IndependenceBYUMarshall
Lending TreeCentral MichiganAppalachian St.
L. A.San Diego St.USC
New OrleansUABLouisiana
Myrtle BeachMiddle TennesseeMiami (O)
Famous Idaho PotatoNorthern IllinoisBoise St.
FriscoSan Jose St.Western Michigan
Armed ForcesWashington St.Army
GasparillaFloridaHouston
HawaiiCentral FloridaNevada
CamelliaBall St.Troy
Quick LaneEastern MichiganWyoming
MilitaryLouisvilleEast Carolina
BirminghamLibertyWestern Kentucky
First ResponderSyracuseOregon St.
LibertyWest VirginiaMissouri
HolidayVirginiaUCLA
Guaranteed RateMarylandTexas
FenwaySMUBoston College
PinstripeClemsonMinnesota
Cheez-ItMiami (Fla.)Iowa St.
AlamoBaylorUtah
Duke’s MayoWake ForestMississippi St.
Music CityPenn St.Tennessee
Las VegasPurdueArizona St.
Tax Slayer GatorPittsburghArkansas
Tony The Tiger SunNorth CarolinaWashington
ArizonaToledoUtah St.
CitrusWisconsinOle Miss
OutbackIowaKentucky
TexasKansas St.Auburn
PeachNorth Carolina St.Cincinnati
FiestaNotre DameMichigan
RoseOregonMichigan St.
SugarOklahoma St.Texas A&M
CottonOhio St.Oklahoma
OrangeGeorgiaAlabama
ChampionshipGeorgiaOhio St.

Fire The Coach!

The firing of football coaches began early this year. Quick openings at USC, Connecticut, Georgia Southern, LSU, Texas Tech, and TCU plus the firing of Washington State coach Nick Rolovich for failure to obtain the required Covid Vaccine, makes a record seven coaches fired in the middle of a season. If fans in the Sunshine State had their way, two more head coaches would join that list, maybe three if Florida International had a fanbase.

I never publish the over-the-top negative emails, texts, and comments when an upset fan wants to go on a tirade seeking the loss of a coach’s job. Instead, I usually reply privately to the commenter asking him to explain what the coach is not doing that other successful coaches are doing. Usually, the answer is always either play-calling or personnel decisions.

“If Coach Smith had put Billy Jones in at quarterback in September, and sent in longer passing plays, we’d be 9-0 right now,” is a typical type of response. My reply back to them most of the time includes video of the fan’s team and the top team in the country, running virtually the same offense. Whereas. the top team’s QB gets 3.5 seconds to locate a receiver, and he’s passing to three future NFL receivers, the fan’s teams’ QB gets less than 2 seconds to locate a receiver that is months away from selling insurance, teaching at a Middle School, or working at a sports radio station. When the top team plays a Cover 2 Combo defense, their five underneath defenders stick to the other team’s receivers like glue, and the safeties can play a but closer to the line of scrimmage, because they are sprinters that won’t be beaten deep. When the fan’s team uses the same defense, two or three of the underneath defenders lose their assignment, and the safeties have to play another 5 yards off the ball to keep from being beat deep by superior athletes. When the top team runs an inside zone blast play, their offensive line quickly controls the initial defensive surge and then take care of the linebackers. The fan’s team’s offensive line briefly opens a running lane in the first second after the snap, but by the time the running back gets the ball and arrives at the line of scrimmage, he faces a blockade.

How much of football success in a college game is determined by which team has more talent? The correct answer is somewhere between 80 and 90%! As legendary coach John Wooden stated in one of his famous quotes, “The team with the better players almost always wins.” He said that about basketball, and it is even more true in football, where quicker, and stronger means more to the sport’s success than everything else.

Look at the top recruiting classes of the last five seasons. The best cumulative classes and the best teams this year are strongly correlated. It isn’t a perfect one to one, but if your favorite team has had five consecutive top 10 classes, and your buddy’s favorite teas has had five consecutive recruiting classes in the 20-40 range, chances are about 90% that your team is going to beat his team when they play.

Coaching is not a difficult task. 130 head coaches at the collegiate level know how to teach the game to their players. 130 college strength and conditioning coaches know how to get players beefed up. Find 130 people between the ages of 35 and 60 in your neighborhood with driver’s licenses. How much difference is there in driving their cars down the road? I am not talking about speed; I am talking about keeping the car in the proper lane, not running over the kids waiting at the school bus stop, and not wrapping their vehicle around the telephone pole. The differences will be subtle.

Now say that of these 130 drivers in your neighborhood, 20 have brand new 2022 models that almost do the driving for the driver. 30 others have a 2020 or 2021 model that is easy to drive, but unlike the 2022 models above that parallel park for the driver, the driver must do more work on those one and two year old cars. The rest of the drivers have older model cars, and the bottom 30-50 have cars with issues that impair the drivers’ abilities to keep the car on the road as perfectly as those elite 20. Maybe some of the cars have faulty brakes. Others have leaking oil. Some have bald tires, and the steering on some is a bit loose, and the car “floats” a little.

The best driver of the 130 neighbors will have issues dirving the faulty cars. The least competent of the 130 drivers will still parallel park a new 2022 car easily and effortlessly.

College team fans can sometimes be the number one hindrance in a coach’s ability to recruit. Putting Coach Smith on a hot seat and creating a Fire Coach Smith website, accelerates the issue. When Coach Smith is given a private vote of confidence by his school, but the school’s fans and media say his days are numbered, 18 year old kids hear and see this and become hesitant to sign at State. Maybe, it’s just one or two players, but these could be the ones that move the needle in a couple of years. Rival schools quickly let these 4-star and 5-star talents know that State is on the verge of firing Coach Smith, so come to Tech and play for Coach Williams, who just got a major contract extension and could run for Mayor in Techtown and win by a landslide.

Let me use one example about how insane fandom can be. I will use the hometown college team, Vanderbilt. The Commodores have strict academic restrictions on who coaches can recruit. Of the top 1,000 recruits in a season, about 75 have the academic talent to earn admission to the school. Unfortunately, none of these 75 are required to put Vanderbilt on their list of potential colleges. The A+ student with ACT/SAT scores high enough to gain admission to Vanderbilt, or for that matter, Harvard, Yale, Cal Tech, and MIT, frequently uses that intelligence to realize that four years in Tuscaloosa, Alabama, or Columbus, Ohio, will allow him to be a star in the classroom and on the football field. By becoming a star at Alabama or Ohio State, his ticket for life is virtually guaranteed to be a skybox seat with private valet parking.

First year Vanderbilt head football coach Clark Lea faces a near impossible task of trying to recruit enough players in the high three-star range and up to compete in an SEC that is light years tougher than it was 10 years ago. With Oklahoma and Texas headed to the league, the small private school that shares more in common with former SEC member Sewanee and former Big Ten member Chicago than Alabama or Georgia is in an impossible position to succeed. The talent level between Vanderbilt and the next weakest team in the SEC is almost as far apart as the number 13 SEC team is to Alabama and Georgia. Lea has talent that could not win the Conference USA divisions. 20 FCS teams have more talent, and East Tennessee State totally dominated the Commodores in the season opener.

Vanderbilt defeated 1-8 Connecticut, a team that only beat Yale and then just barely, when the Huskies had to use their backup quarterback. The Commodores won the game on a final play field goal by a kicker that had been #2 at Alabama and was not going to see action. That UConn team lost to UMass, a team that was just dominated by Rhode Island.

Lea took over a car that had brake, transmission, steering, and suspension issues along with bald tires and a leaking head gasket. He has to drive on the same street with 13 brand new state of the art smart cars. Yet, there are deluded fans that believe he should be at the head of the motorcade and is to blame for the car not being able to stay in its lane or even start on cold mornings.

The monumental task of trying to build this program into one that can compete for minor bowls once every three years is already suffering from the arrows being publicly shot by a small amount of vocal fans, three of which have sent me emails venting about how Lea cannot coach. Since I do not participate in any of the public sports forums for Vanderbilt athletics, as I basically stopped following the program as a fan over a decade ago, I only see what these fans send me, but I can easily see that when recruits read this scathing criticism on these forums, and both their parents and they do read them, it creates reasonable doubt, and players begin to decommit, which has happened in the last fortnight.

Years ago, I made a public statement on a sports radio show that trying to win SEC football games at Vanderbilt was akin to beating a similarly skilled opponent in chess when he has both queens, and you have nine pawns. These vociferous fans have now robbed Lea of a bishop. Lea will be the coach at Vanderbilt for at least three more years after this season, and a minority of Vanderbilt fans may see their opinions become fact somewhat because the three recruits per year they turn away makes the difference in a couple of wins per year.

If you are a fan of a fledgling football program like Arizona, Kansas, or Vanderbilt, anything you can legally do to enhance your school’s recruiting efforts should be the obvious way to support your school other than with your checkbook. Successful recruiting is the only way a school can overcome bad times and improve to mediocre to decent to above average to really good. In the SEC of the mid 2020’s, Vanderbilt may face a situation similar to what Sewanee and Chicago faced in the late 1930’s. The task for Coach Lea is already close to impossible; if you root for the Commodores, don’t remove the “close.”

October 31, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Football–November 2-6, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
ToledoEastern Michigan4.55.56.1
AkronBall St.-18.7-19.8-18.9
Ohio UMiami (O)-11.4-8.8-8.3
Kent St.Northern Illinois2.55.44.2
Western MichiganCentral Michigan1.33.02.2
LouisianaGeorgia St.18.017.218.2
Boston CollegeVirginia Tech-0.60.30.3
StanfordUtah-8.0-7.6-8.4
Air Force (n)Army0.61.01.8
DukePittsburgh-20.6-20.5-22.0
Florida St.North Caroina St.-3.7-3.1-3.4
Miami (Fla.)Georgia Tech13.812.914.0
RutgersWisconsin-13.9-12.0-14.7
LouisvilleClemson-6.3-6.4-6.1
UABLouisiana Tech15.315.317.0
NorthwesternIowa-15.3-14.6-16.7
South FloridaHouston-13.0-12.6-13.3
MichiganIndiana14.415.615.3
North CarolinaWake Forest-0.20.10.7
Georgia SouthernCoastal Carolina-21.6-19.6-21.7
Central FloridaTulane11.411.412.4
MinnesotaIllinois17.417.918.7
CincinnatiTulsa28.027.629.9
KansasKansas St.-26.6-28.5-30.7
South CarolinaFlorida-15.1-16.4-16.5
East CarolinaTemple24.322.725.3
Ole MissLiberty16.715.916.2
TCUBaylor-1.8-2.7-2.2
MarylandPenn St.-8.4-10.4-12.6
New Mexico St.Utah St.-17.3-17.5-19.0
ColoradoOregon St.-7.2-7.7-8.2
Arizona St.USC3.34.23.5
Southern Miss.North Texas-2.3-1.8-2.4
GeorgiaMissouri37.738.140.2
Arkansas St.Appalachian St.-17.6-17.0-19.8
NebraskaOhio St.-18.1-17.7-18.9
ArkansasMississippi St.6.56.05.8
MemphisSMU-8.2-8.1-8.0
Notre DameNavy27.328.328.4
TroySouth Alabama2.42.53.4
CharlotteRice-1.3-0.10.5
West VirginiaOklahoma St.1.40.20.1
KentuckyTennessee4.36.04.8
Texas St.Louisiana-Monroe4.93.04.4
Iowa St.Texas6.56.77.0
PurdueMichigan St.-0.5-0.81.0
Texas A&MAuburn3.14.33.1
Western KentuckyMiddle Tennessee3.14.53.9
WashingtonOregon-4.8-4.8-6.2
ArizonaCalifornia-7.6-11.4-10.6
WyomingColorado St.-1.4-1.0-0.9
UTEPUTSA-14.4-13.8-15.2
Florida AtlanticMarshall0.51.70.3
Fresno St.Boise St.1.93.23.3
New MexicoUNLV1.42.20.4
Florida Int’l.Old Domimion1.71.31.6
AlabamaLSU24.923.424.9
NevadaSan Jose St.10.411.612.6
HawaiiSan Diego St.-6.6-6.6-6.7
FBS vs. FCS Games
FBSFCSPiRate
BYUIdaho St.35.0
MassachusettsRhode Island4.1
BYES
Bowling Green
Buffalo
Connecticut
Oklahoma
Syracuse
Texas Tech
UCLA
Vanderbilt
Virginia
Washington St.

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Georgia135.2
2Alabama131.9
3Ohio St.130.0
4Oklahoma122.1
5Cincinnati119.7
6Iowa St.118.9
7Texas A&M118.9
8Auburn118.4
9Florida116.4
10Ole Miss116.2
11Penn St.115.3
12Oklahoma St.115.2
13Texas115.1
14Notre Dame115.0
15Utah114.9
16Michigan114.4
17Wisconsin113.8
18Iowa113.8
19Clemson113.4
20Arkansas113.3
21Oregon112.9
22Baylor112.8
23West Virginia112.7
24Wake Forest111.9
25NC State111.4
26Kentucky111.1
27Michigan St.110.8
28L S U110.5
29Minnesota110.5
30Miami (Fla.)110.3
31Mississippi St.110.2
32North Carolina110.1
33Arizona St.110.0
34Pittsburgh109.9
35Coastal Carolina109.7
36U S C109.4
37Kansas St.109.3
38Louisiana109.2
39Tennessee109.1
40BYU109.0
41Oregon St.108.8
42Nebraska108.8
43U C L A108.5
44T C U108.5
45Purdue107.7
46Washington107.4
47Virginia105.6
48Florida St.105.0
49Washington St.104.6
50Appalachian St.104.5
51Houston104.4
52Louisville104.1
53SMU104.1
54California103.9
55Stanford103.9
56Boise St.103.8
57Fresno St.103.6
58Nevada103.1
59Virginia Tech103.0
60Liberty102.9
61UCF102.3
62Indiana102.3
63Maryland101.8
64U T S A101.8
65Texas Tech101.5
66Syracuse101.5
67San Diego St.101.4
68Air Force101.4
69Army100.3
70Boston College100.0
71Georgia Tech99.8
72Missouri99.5
73East Carolina98.8
74Colorado98.1
75Miami (Ohio)98.0
76Toledo97.7
77South Carolina97.4
78Rutgers97.3
79U A B96.5
80Ball St.96.5
81Marshall96.2
82Northwestern95.7
83Illinois95.5
84Eastern Michigan94.8
85Western Michigan94.7
86Colorado St.94.6
87Central Michigan94.5
88Tulsa94.2
89San Jose St.94.0
90Florida Atlantic94.0
91Georgia St.93.8
92Tulane93.6
93Memphis93.5
94Utah St.92.7
95Troy92.5
96Western Kentucky92.1
97Buffalo91.9
98South Alabama91.8
99Kent St.91.5
100Arizona91.0
101Hawaii90.8
102Middle Tennessee90.7
103Wyoming90.5
104Navy90.0
105Northern Illinois90.0
106USF88.9
107Ohio86.5
108Georgia Southern86.2
109Duke85.9
110U T E P84.8
111Arkansas St.83.9
112U N L V83.7
113Louisiana Tech83.2
114New Mexico82.6
115Texas St.81.5
116Rice81.5
117North Texas80.6
118Vanderbilt80.1
119UL-Monroe80.0
120Kansas79.2
121Charlotte78.7
122Temple77.7
123Old Dominion76.5
124Bowling Green76.1
125Southern Miss.76.0
126Florida Int’l.75.6
127Akron74.8
128New Mexico St.72.2
129Connecticut68.5
130UMass67.8

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati119.4118.8121.0119.7
Houston104.5103.6105.0104.4
SMU103.8104.0104.5104.1
UCF102.1101.0104.0102.3
East Carolina98.598.199.898.8
Tulsa94.494.294.094.2
Tulane93.792.594.593.6
Memphis93.193.494.093.5
Navy89.989.790.590.0
USF89.088.589.288.9
Temple77.378.477.577.7

AAC Averages96.996.697.697.0


Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson113.1113.0114.1113.4
Wake Forest111.8111.5112.3111.9
NC State111.4111.1111.7111.4
Florida St.104.7105.0105.3105.0
Louisville103.8103.6105.0104.1
Syracuse101.3101.6101.6101.5
Boston College100.0100.0100.0100.0

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Fla.)110.6109.8110.7110.3
North Carolina109.6109.6111.0110.1
Pittsburgh109.6110.2110.0109.9
Virginia105.3106.2105.2105.6
Virginia Tech103.6102.7102.7103.0
Georgia Tech99.899.999.799.8
Duke86.086.785.085.9

ACC Averages105.0105.1105.3105.1


Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma123.0121.3122.1122.1
Iowa St.119.6118.1118.9118.9
Oklahoma St.115.5115.2114.9115.2
Texas116.1114.4114.9115.1
Baylor113.2112.7112.4112.8
West Virginia114.0112.4111.9112.7
Kansas St.109.6109.3108.9109.3
T C U109.4108.0108.2108.5
Texas Tech101.9101.9100.8101.5
Kansas81.579.376.879.2

Big 12 Averages110.4109.3109.0109.5


Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.129.5129.4131.0130.0
Penn St.114.2114.9116.7115.3
Michigan113.8114.6114.8114.4
Michigan St.110.6110.8111.0110.8
Indiana102.3102.0102.5102.3
Maryland102.8101.5101.1101.8
Rutgers96.498.297.197.3

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Wisconsin113.3113.2114.8113.8
Iowa113.5113.1114.7113.8
Minnesota109.6110.4111.5110.5
Nebraska108.5108.7109.1108.8
Purdue107.1107.0109.0107.7
Northwestern95.796.095.595.7
Illinois95.295.595.895.5

Big Ten Averages108.0108.3108.9108.4


Conference USA
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Marshall95.996.096.796.2
Florida Atlantic93.494.694.094.0
Western Kentucky90.992.592.892.1
Middle Tennessee90.390.591.490.7
Charlotte77.978.979.478.7
Old Dominion76.076.876.876.5
Florida Int’l.75.275.675.975.6

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U T S A101.4102.1101.9101.8
U A B96.496.696.696.5
U T E P84.585.784.184.8
Louisiana Tech83.683.882.183.2
Rice81.681.581.481.5
North Texas80.680.780.680.6
Southern Miss.75.876.475.776.0

CUSA Averages86.086.586.486.3


FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame114.2114.9115.9115.0
BYU109.1108.7109.3109.0
Liberty102.6103.1103.1102.9
Army100.4100.3100.1100.3
New Mexico St.72.573.271.072.2
Connecticut69.169.666.968.5
UMass68.968.366.267.8

Indep. Averages91.091.290.490.8


Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)99.597.896.898.0
Buffalo92.691.791.591.9
Kent St.91.292.590.991.5
Ohio86.187.086.586.5
Bowling Green76.676.874.876.1
Akron76.274.773.774.8

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Toledo98.297.897.197.7
Ball St.97.397.095.196.5
Eastern Michigan96.294.893.594.8
Western Michigan94.895.293.994.7
Central Michigan95.694.293.794.5
Northern Illinois91.189.789.290.0

MAC Averages91.390.889.790.6


Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.103.5103.5104.3103.8
Air Force101.1101.3101.9101.4
Colorado St.94.594.594.794.6
Utah St.92.393.192.692.7
Wyoming90.190.590.890.5
New Mexico83.083.181.682.6

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Fresno St.102.5103.8104.7103.6
Nevada102.4103.7103.1103.1
San Diego St.101.7101.4101.2101.4
San Jose St.94.594.593.194.0
Hawaii91.190.890.590.8
U N L V84.183.483.883.7

MWC Averages95.195.395.295.2


Pac-12 Conference
North Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oregon111.9113.0113.8112.9
Oregon St.108.6108.9109.0108.8
Washington106.6107.8107.8107.4
Washington St.104.1105.1104.6104.6
California101.9105.3104.7103.9
Stanford103.7104.4103.6103.9

South Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah114.8115.0115.0114.9
Arizona St.109.6110.2110.3110.0
U S C109.2109.0109.8109.4
U C L A108.3108.6108.7108.5
Colorado98.498.297.798.1
Arizona91.290.991.091.0

Pac-12 Averages105.7106.4106.3106.1


Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia134.6135.0136.0135.2
Florida115.9117.0116.4116.4
Kentucky110.4111.8111.1111.1
Tennessee109.1108.8109.3109.1
Missouri99.899.998.899.5
South Carolina97.997.596.997.4
Vanderbilt80.680.179.680.1

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama131.9131.2132.7131.9
Texas A&M118.5119.2118.9118.9
Auburn118.4117.9118.9118.4
Ole Miss116.2116.0116.3116.2
Arkansas113.5113.4113.0113.3
L S U110.0110.8110.8110.5
Mississippi St.110.0110.4110.2110.2

SEC Averages111.9112.1112.1112.0


Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Coastal Carolina110.3108.6110.1109.7
Appalachian St.104.1103.8105.6104.5
Georgia St.94.293.593.893.8
Troy92.492.592.792.5
Georgia Southern86.386.685.986.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana109.7108.3109.6109.2
South Alabama92.092.091.391.8
Arkansas St.84.184.383.383.9
Texas St.82.780.881.181.5
UL-Monroe80.380.379.280.0

Sun Averages93.693.193.393.3

Conference Ratings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern112.0
2Big 12109.5
3Big Ten108.4
4Pac-12106.1
5Atlantic Coast105.1
6American Athletic97.0
7Mountain West95.2
8Sun Belt93.3
9Independents90.8
10Mid-American90.6
11Conference USA86.3

Playoffs and Bowl Projections

BowlTeamTeam
BahamasWestern KentuckyEastern Michigan
CureMemphisGeorgia St.
BocaCoastal CarolinaFlorida Atlantic
New MexicoAir ForceUTEP
IndependenceBYUMarshall
Lending TreeWestern MichiganUL-Monroe
L. A.San Diego St.UCLA
New OrleansUTSALouisiana
Myrtle BeachLibertyCentral Michigan
Famous Idaho PotatoMiami (O)Boise St.
FriscoNevadaUAB
Armed ForcesArmyWashington St.
GasparillaSMUCalifornia
HawaiiHoustonFresno St.
CamelliaNorthern IllinoisAppalachian St.
Quick LaneKent St.Rutgers
MilitaryMiami (Fla.)East Carolina
BirminghamMiddle TenneseeBall St.
First ResponderWyomingSan Jose St.
LibertyTexasAuburn
HolidayVirginia TechArizona St.
Guaranteed RatePurdueWest Virginia
FenwayVirginiaCentral Florida
PinstripeSyracuseWisconsin
Cheez-ItPittsburghIowa St.
AlamoBaylorWashington
Duke’s MayoNorth Carolina St.Mississippi St.
Music CityIowaTennessee
Las VegasPenn St.Oregon St.
Tax Slayer GatorClemsonArkansas
Tony The Tiger SunLouisvilleUSC
ArizonaToledoUtah St.
CitrusMichiganOle Miss
OutbackMinnesotaFlorida
TexasKansas St.Texas A&M
PeachWake ForestKentucky
FiestaNotre DameUtah
RoseOregonMichigan St.
SugarAlabamaOklahoma St.
CottonOklahomaOhio St.
OrangeGeorgiaCincinnati
ChampionshipGeorgiaOklahoma

The First FBS Playoff Ratings Debut Tuesday

The NCAA FBS Playoff Committee releases its first playoff rankings Tuesday night. We expect the first release will have Georgia at number one, and then in either Oklahoma and Alabama at #2 and #3 or vice versa. The fourth spot is the mystery. Will it be Cincinnati? What about the Ohio State/Oregon situation, where the Ducks beat the Buckeyes at the Giant Horseshoe? Then, how will they count Michigan State and Wake Forest, both undefeated Power 5 teams?

If you look at our playoff predictions, you will see Georgia, Oklahoma, Ohio St., and Cincinnati for now. Our projections are forward looking, so for now, we call for Georgia to beat Alabama in the SEC Championship Game, and the Playoff Committee unable to find a loophole to place a 2-loss team in the Playoffs with undefeated teams left out. As for Michigan State, they still have to beat Penn State, Ohio State, and either Wisconsin or Minnesota in the Big Ten Championship Game. Wake Forest has to win at Clemson and in the ACC Championship Game. They even face a trap game this week at North Carolina.

For now, we are calling for Cincinnati to win the AAC Championship Game and finish 13-0, but there are two games they will have to win where they could face trouble. Houston may split two games with the Bearcats, and at 12-1, Cinti won’t make the field.

If Ohio State and Oregon both win out, and are both 12-1, both could make the field, if Cincinnati loses. The big wildcard is what happens if Alabama wins out and knocks off Georgia in the SEC Championship Game. Alabama and Georgia would both make the playoffs, and Oklahoma would be number three, assuming they don’t lose to Baylor or Oklahoma State.

In the past, it comes down to six teams by the time the official four are named. There are four more weeks of regular season football to be played, and probably three of the contenders are going to play themselves out of contention before the Conference Championship Games are played.

If you ask us today who the four best teams in college football are, regardless of their won-loss record, we might go with Georgia at number one, Alabama at number two, Oklahoma at number three, and Oregon at number four. And, if the Committee picks these four teams Tuesday night, we will endorse their picks.

October 24, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Football–October 28-30, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Coastal CarolinaTroy22.920.822.8
East CarolinaSouth Florida12.112.013.3
TulsaNavy9.910.39.4
NevadaUNLV17.019.218.1
WisconsinIowa-2.0-1.6-1.8
BuffaloBowling Green24.923.925.7
Wake ForestDuke24.523.125.8
Michigan St.Michigan-2.3-3.3-3.6
North Carolina St.Louisville10.29.88.7
SyracuseBoston College1.11.11.0
Georgia SouthernGeorgia St.-6.4-5.5-6.4
West VirginiaIowa St.-5.6-5.9-7.7
MarylandIndiana3.52.51.2
Florida AtlanticUTEP13.814.215.5
PittsburghMiami (Fla.)2.84.63.5
IllinoisRutgers3.82.34.2
NorthwesternMinnesota-6.9-7.4-9.0
TempleCentral Florida-16.2-14.2-17.2
Georgia TechVirginia Tech0.01.31.4
ClemsonFlorida St.12.312.113.3
LibertyMassachusetts33.834.937.3
RiceNorth Texas3.43.43.5
Utah St.Hawaii1.42.52.0
BYUVirginia4.22.54.1
UtahUCLA7.16.66.2
Arizona St.Washington St.15.515.115.7
CaliforniaOregon St.-8.5-4.9-6.2
USCArizona24.725.025.9
San Jose St.Wyoming7.57.05.1
OregonColorado15.416.818.3
MarshallFlorida Int’l.20.119.419.5
Oklahoma St.Kansas32.935.037.4
Old DominionLouisiana Tech-8.7-8.3-6.8
LouisianaTexas St.26.426.727.7
Middle TennesseeSouthern Miss.12.812.113.8
NebraskaPurdue6.97.65.8
VanderbiltMissouri-18.6-19.6-19.2
Kansas St.TCU-0.80.3-0.7
Mississippi St.Kentucky-0.6-2.2-1.9
OklahomaTexas Tech21.920.021.8
Ohio St.Penn St.19.919.319.3
HoustonSMU2.81.32.2
BaylorTexas-2.4-1.2-2.4
AuburnOle Miss3.32.73.3
Florida (N)Georgia-17.7-16.7-18.5
TulaneCincinnati-23.8-24.7-25.3
Appalachian St.Louisiana-Monroe26.225.529.0
South AlabamaArkansas St.8.98.48.5
Western KentuckyCharlotte10.911.410.9
Colorado St.Boise St.-6.4-5.9-6.6
Notre DameNorth Carolina7.48.07.3
StanfordWashington1.71.30.5
San Diego St.Fresno St.5.13.22.7

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Georgia134.8
2Alabama131.6
3Ohio St.130.9
4Oklahoma121.2
5Iowa St.120.7
6Cincinnati120.2
7Texas A&M118.6
8Auburn117.4
9Ole Miss117.2
10Florida117.1
11Iowa116.2
12Texas116.1
13Michigan114.9
14Notre Dame114.8
15Penn St.114.4
16Clemson114.2
17Arizona St.114.0
18Utah113.6
19Oklahoma St.113.5
20Arkansas113.0
21Kentucky112.9
22Oregon112.4
23Baylor112.1
24U S C111.6
25Wisconsin111.4
26Oregon St.111.3
27West Virginia111.3
28NC State111.1
29Coastal Carolina110.8
30T C U110.6
31Pittsburgh110.4
32Michigan St.110.3
33North Carolina110.3
34L S U110.2
35Nebraska110.0
36Wake Forest110.0
37U C L A109.9
38Miami (Fla.)109.8
39Tennessee108.8
40Mississippi St.108.4
41Minnesota108.1
42BYU107.6
43Louisiana107.3
44Kansas St.107.2
45Virginia107.0
46Washington106.7
47Purdue106.2
48Stanford104.9
49Florida St.104.6
50Louisville104.5
51SMU104.4
52Appalachian St.104.2
53Houston104.0
54Boise St.103.6
55Texas Tech103.0
56San Diego St.102.9
57Virginia Tech102.4
58Indiana102.4
59Fresno St.102.2
60Liberty101.8
61California101.8
62Maryland101.8
63Nevada101.7
64Boston College101.7
65Washington St.101.6
66U T S A101.6
67Air Force101.1
68Missouri100.4
69Georgia Tech100.4
70Army100.1
71Syracuse99.8
72UCF99.5
73East Carolina98.6
74Colorado98.6
75Northwestern97.8
76Miami (Ohio)97.8
77Toledo97.5
78South Carolina97.1
79Illinois96.6
80U A B96.3
81Ball St.96.3
82Rutgers96.2
83Tulsa95.5
84Buffalo95.4
85Florida Atlantic95.0
86Colorado St.94.8
87Eastern Michigan94.6
88Western Michigan94.5
89Central Michigan94.3
90Marshall94.2
91San Jose St.94.0
92Georgia St.93.8
93Memphis93.3
94Tulane93.1
95Hawaii92.8
96Troy91.7
97Kent St.91.3
98South Alabama90.9
99Utah St.90.7
100Wyoming90.5
101Northern Illinois89.8
102Western Kentucky89.7
103Arizona89.3
104USF89.1
105Navy88.7
106Middle Tennessee88.6
107Duke87.5
108Ohio86.3
109Georgia Southern86.2
110Louisiana Tech85.2
111U N L V85.1
112Arkansas St.84.8
113U T E P83.5
114Texas St.83.4
115New Mexico82.4
116Rice81.8
117Kansas81.4
118Charlotte81.1
119Temple81.1
120North Texas80.3
121UL-Monroe80.3
122Vanderbilt79.2
123Southern Miss.78.2
124Florida Int’l.77.5
125Old Dominion75.2
126Akron74.6
127Bowling Green73.6
128New Mexico St.72.0
129UMass69.0
130Connecticut68.3

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati119.7119.3121.7120.2
SMU104.0104.4104.9104.4
Houston104.3103.2104.6104.0
UCF99.398.3100.999.5
East Carolina98.397.899.698.6
Tulsa95.695.695.495.5
Memphis92.993.293.893.3
Tulane93.492.093.893.1
USF89.288.889.489.1
Navy88.788.389.188.7
Temple80.681.681.181.1

AAC Averages96.996.697.797.0
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson113.7113.7115.0114.2
NC State111.2110.8111.2111.1
Wake Forest110.0109.5110.4110.0
Florida St.104.4104.6104.7104.6
Louisville104.0103.9105.5104.5
Boston College101.6101.7101.8101.7
Syracuse99.799.999.899.8

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Pittsburgh110.0110.8110.6110.4
North Carolina109.7109.8111.3110.3
Miami (Fla.)110.2109.2110.1109.8
Virginia106.6107.7106.7107.0
Virginia Tech103.2102.1102.0102.4
Georgia Tech100.2100.5100.4100.4
Duke87.588.486.687.5

ACC Averages105.1105.2105.4105.3
Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma122.2120.3121.1121.2
Iowa St.121.2119.8120.9120.7
Texas117.0115.3116.0116.1
Oklahoma St.113.7113.5113.3113.5
Baylor112.6112.1111.6112.1
West Virginia112.7111.0110.2111.3
T C U111.4110.0110.4110.6
Kansas St.107.6107.3106.7107.2
Texas Tech103.2103.4102.3103.0
Kansas83.881.578.981.4

Big 12 Averages110.5109.4109.1109.7
Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.130.3130.3132.0130.9
Michigan114.1115.1115.4114.9
Penn St.113.4114.0115.7114.4
Michigan St.110.3110.3110.4110.3
Indiana102.3102.0102.7102.4
Maryland102.8101.5100.9101.8
Rutgers95.497.295.896.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Iowa115.9115.5117.2116.2
Wisconsin110.9110.8112.3111.4
Nebraska109.6110.0110.3110.0
Minnesota107.2108.0109.1108.1
Purdue105.7105.4107.5106.2
Northwestern97.898.197.697.8
Illinois96.296.597.196.6

Big Ten Averages108.0108.2108.9108.4
Conference USA
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Florida Atlantic94.295.695.295.0
Marshall94.194.094.694.2
Western Kentucky88.690.290.389.7
Middle Tennessee88.288.389.288.6
Charlotte80.281.281.981.1
Florida Int’l.77.077.678.077.5
Old Dominion74.875.575.475.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U T S A101.2101.9101.7101.6
U A B96.296.496.496.3
Louisiana Tech85.585.884.285.2
U T E P83.484.482.683.5
Rice81.881.881.881.8
North Texas80.480.480.280.3
Southern Miss.77.978.677.978.2

CUSA Averages86.086.586.486.3
FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame114.1114.7115.6114.8
BYU107.8107.2107.8107.6
Liberty101.4101.9102.0101.8
Army100.2100.199.9100.1
New Mexico St.72.373.070.872.0
UMass70.169.567.369.0
Connecticut68.969.466.768.3

Indep. Averages90.790.890.090.5
Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)99.397.696.697.8
Buffalo96.195.295.095.4
Kent St.91.092.390.791.3
Ohio85.986.886.386.3
Akron76.074.573.574.6
Bowling Green74.174.372.373.6

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Toledo98.097.696.997.5
Ball St.97.196.894.996.3
Eastern Michigan96.094.693.394.6
Western Michigan94.695.093.794.5
Central Michigan95.494.093.594.3
Northern Illinois90.989.589.089.8

MAC Averages91.290.789.690.5
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.103.4103.2104.0103.6
Air Force100.8101.0101.6101.1
Colorado St.94.694.895.094.8
Utah St.90.491.290.690.7
Wyoming90.190.590.990.5
New Mexico82.882.981.482.4

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
San Diego St.103.1102.7102.8102.9
Fresno St.101.1102.5103.1102.2
Nevada101.0102.4101.7101.7
San Jose St.94.594.593.094.0
Hawaii93.092.792.592.8
U N L V85.584.785.285.1
MWC Averages95.095.395.195.1
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oregon111.4112.5113.4112.4
Oregon St.111.1111.2111.6111.3
Washington106.0107.1107.1106.7
Stanford104.6105.4104.6104.9
California99.7103.3102.4101.8
Washington St.101.1102.1101.6101.6

South Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Arizona St.113.6114.2114.3114.0
Utah113.6113.6113.5113.6
U S C111.3111.2112.1111.6
U C L A109.5110.0110.2109.9
Colorado98.998.798.198.6
Arizona89.689.289.289.3

Pac-12 Averages105.9106.5106.5106.3
Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia134.3134.5135.6134.8
Florida116.5117.8117.1117.1
Kentucky112.0113.7113.1112.9
Tennessee108.8108.5109.0108.8
Missouri100.5100.899.8100.4
South Carolina97.697.296.697.1
Vanderbilt79.979.278.679.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama131.6130.9132.4131.6
Texas A&M118.2118.9118.6118.6
Auburn117.5116.8117.8117.4
Ole Miss117.1117.1117.4117.2
Arkansas113.2113.1112.7113.0
L S U109.7110.5110.5110.2
Mississippi St.108.4108.5108.2108.4

SEC Averages111.8112.0112.0111.9
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Coastal Carolina111.4109.6111.4110.8
Appalachian St.103.8103.3105.4104.2
Georgia St.94.293.593.893.8
Troy91.691.891.791.7
Georgia Southern86.386.685.986.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana107.9106.4107.7107.3
South Alabama91.291.190.390.9
Arkansas St.84.985.284.384.8
Texas St.84.582.783.083.4
UL-Monroe80.680.879.480.3

Sun Averages93.693.193.393.3

Conference Ratings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern111.9
2Big 12109.7
3Big Ten108.4
4Pac-12106.3
5Atlantic Coast105.3
6American Athletic97.0
7Mountain West95.1
8Sun Belt93.3
9Independents90.5
10Mid-American90.5
11Conference USA86.3

Playoff and Bowl Projections

BowlTeamTeam
BahamasMarshallToledo
CureSMUCoastal Carolina
BocaLouisiana TechAir Force
New MexicoUTEPNorthern Illinois
IndependenceBYUFlorida Atlantic
Lending TreeWestern MichiganAppalachian St.
L. A.San Diego St.UCLA
New OrleansUTSALouisiana
Myrtle BeachCentral MichiganCharlotte
Famous Idaho PotatoEastern MichiganBoise St.
FriscoNevadaUL-Monroe
Armed ForcesArmyUAB
GasparillaMiddle TennesseeBuffalo
HawaiiCentral FloridaFresno St.
CamelliaKent St.Troy
Quick LaneBall St.Wyoming
MilitaryNorth CarolinaTulsa
BirminghamMemphisLiberty
First ResponderWestern KentuckyTexas Tech
LibertyTexasLSU
HolidayMiami (Fla.)USC
Guaranteed RatePurdueWest Virginia
FenwayHoustonBoston College
PinstripeNorth Carolina St.Penn St.
Cheez-ItWake ForestIowa St.
AlamoBaylorArizona St.
Duke’s MayoClemsonTennessee
Music CityMarylandArkansas
Las VegasWisconsinOregon St.
Tax Slayer GatorVirginiaFlorida
Tony The Tiger SunLouisvilleUtah
ArizonaMiami (O)Utah St.
CitrusIowaOle Miss
OutbackMinnesotaTexas A&M
TexasKansas St.Auburn
PeachPittsburghKentucky
FiestaNotre DameMichigan
RoseOregonMichigan St.
SugarOklahoma St.Alabama
CottonOklahomaOhio St.
OrangeGeorgiaCincinnati
ChampionshipGeorgiaOhio St.

NCAA Strikes Out On New Overtime Rule

Did you watch the Penn State-Illinois game Saturday?  It was tied 10-10 after 60 minutes of excellent defensive football.  The Illini shut down the Penn State passing game while controlling the clock by running and running and more running.

Both teams scored field goals in the first two overtimes to make the score 16-16.  The new overtime rule states that starting with the third overtime, both teams get a two-point conversion attempt.  If the score remains tied, then successive two-point conversion attempts are taken until one team scores and the other team does not.

Additionally, after the first overtime, there are no more coin flips.  The teams rotate the choice.  And, what happens is the home team always wants to play on the side of the field where the student body cheers in the end zone, while the opponent wants to play at the other end of the field.  After each overtime, the players, officials, chain gang, and hundreds of fans must make the 100-yard walk to the other end of the field.

It’s no longer much of a secret that making two-point conversions is about as difficult as making 55-yard field goals.  That became a huge problem yesterday in Happy Valley, Pennsylvania.  Penn State and Illinois could not convert their two-point conversion attempts.  Overtimes three, four, five, six, and seven produced 10 consecutive botched conversions.  As each overtime ended, everybody had to move to the other end of the field, and the longer into this mess it continued, the big tubby linemen began to walk at a snail’s pace to get back.

Illinois finally scored in the eighth overtime, but then Penn State did the same forcing a ninth overtime.  The game was finally decided when the Nittany Lions missed their ninth overtime attempt, while Illinois scored to win the game 20-18.

In the amount of time it took to play the nine overtimes, another game that kicked off at the same time as the first overtime began the second quarter of their game just before the nine-overtime game concluded.  In other words, it took a little longer than one full quarter to play the nine overtimes.

Imagine a game in late November with sloppy playing conditions where regulation ends in a tie game, and nobody can score in the overtimes for 10 or more of these ridiculous two-point conversion attempts.  If it took nine yesterday, there is a possibility that somebody else will need 10 or more.

The NCAA must re-evaluate this fiasco of a rule.  In fact, the NCAA needs to have a constitutional convention and modify a lot of the rules to get into the 21st century.  Here is our suggestion for rules changes–use the same rules the NFL uses.  To wit:

1. Overtime should be one, 10-minute period with a touchdown on the first possession winning the game, but a field goal allowing the other team to have a possession.  If the game is still tied after 10 minutes, it stands as a tie game.

2. Intentional pass interference is now a definite defensive option to stop a big gain.  Players will even deliver cheap shots knowing that giving up 15 yards beats giving up 50 or a touchdown.  Because passing the ball is tantamount to winning, the pass interference penalty needs to go back to giving the offense the ball at the spot of interference, be it 12 yards past the line or 50.

3. The clock should not stop on first downs.  That rule was in effect when chain gangs were the only way to spot the ball.  In today’s world, the ball can be spotted quickly via computerization and an extra referee.  Let the clock move on first downs.

4. Add the two-minute warning.  In lieu of the clock stopping on first downs, add a two-minute warning to both halves.  That is when teams need the clock to stop, and the networks can get an extra commercial break before halftime or the end of the game.

5. Allow a player that falls to the ground with the ball but having been untouched by the defense to get up and advance.  Why should poor playing conditions be responsible for making a defensive stop?  

Here’s one additional rule change that should be considered.  Targeting happens too much these days when the ball carrier lowers his head to invite the targeting penalty.  This is almost like the flop in basketball.  The rule needs to be changed so that when the ball carrier initiates the targeting by putting himself into position for any tackle to become a potential targeting penalty, the offense should be penalized 15 yards for a personal foul.

Additionally, ejection is much too harsh of a penalty.  How about making targeting a 20-yard penalty and automatic first down, and also allowing it to supersede the half the distance to the goal and be allowed to go all the way to the 1-yard line if the offense is in the Red Zone?  A penalty in one game shouldn’t be allowed to stay in effect for a half of another game.  This may be the most ridiculous rule in college football history.  Think of a basketball game where a Syracuse player commits an intentional foul on a Connecticut player late in the second half of a game, and then three days later when Syracuse plays Duke, Duke gets to start the game with 2 foul shots from the intentional foul three days back.

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