The Pi-Rate Ratings

January 21, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For January 21, 2020

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 6:45 am

College Basketball Teams Playing Tuesday

 

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Villanova

Butler

1.1

Kansas

Kansas St.

17.5

Kentucky

Georgia

10.0

South Florida

Wichita St.

-5.0

Northwestern

Maryland

-8.6

Purdue

Illinois

5.0

Kent St.

Northern Illinois

8.5

Ohio

Toledo

-3.6

Bowling Green

Eastern Michigan

7.2

Buffalo

Western Michigan

9.1

LSU

Florida

2.9

Miami (O)

Akron

-6.6

TCU

Texas Tech

-3.1

Clemson

Wake Forest

6.2

Iowa St.

Oklahoma St.

4.7

Duke

Miami

19.2

Wisconsin

Nebraska

12.9

Missouri

Texas A&M

10.2

Marquette

St. John’s

8.5

Saint Joseph’s

VCU

-12.2

Tennessee

Ole Miss

7.7

New Mexico

San Jose St.

14.7

San Diego St.

Wyoming

26.2

Utah St.

Air Force

12.6

 

 

 

January 18, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For January 18, 2020

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 6:59 am

Division 1 College Basketball Teams Playing Saturday

 

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Abilene Christian

SE Louisiana

12.1

Air Force

Colorado St.

1.2

Akron

Toledo

6.9

Alabama

Missouri

5.7

Alabama A&M

Alabama St.

3.4

American

Holy Cross

12.2

Appalachian St.

Little Rock

2.0

Arizona

Colorado

6.1

Arizona St.

Utah

6.1

Arkansas

Kentucky

3.5

Arkansas Pine Bluff

Southern

-1.1

Army

Loyola (MD)

1.2

Ball St.

Miami (O)

9.4

Belmont

Morehead St.

15.6

Bethune Cookman

UNC Central

6.2

Boise St.

Utah St.

-1.1

Bowling Green

Northern Illinois

4.0

Bradley

Northern Iowa

1.3

Bryant

Long Island

4.6

Bucknell

Lehigh

4.8

Cal St. Northridge

UC Davis

1.6

Campbell

Longwood

8.3

Central Florida

South Florida

4.4

Central Michigan

Buffalo

3.3

Charleston

Hofstra

3.5

Coastal Carolina

Arkansas St.

8.1

Colgate

Boston U

5.6

Columbia

Cornell

5.0

Coppin St.

North Carolina A&T

0.5

Creighton

Providence

6.7

Delaware

Elon

10.6

Denver

Omaha

-5.6

DePaul

Butler

-5.2

Drexel

William & Mary

-2.4

Duke

Louisville

9.2

Eastern Illinois

Tennessee Tech

12.2

Eastern Michigan

Ohio

1.3

Evansville

Missouri St.

-2.3

Florida

Auburn

1.9

Florida Atlantic

UAB

1.7

Florida Int’l.

Middle Tennessee

9.3

Gardner-Webb

USC Upstate

8.2

George Mason

Richmond

-3.3

Georgetown

Marquette

1.1

Georgia Tech

Virginia

-0.2

Gonzaga

BYU

9.1

Grambling

Prairie View

-1.6

Green Bay

Detroit

6.6

Harvard

Dartmouth

10.3

Hawaii

UCSB

3.0

High Point

Charleston Southern

-1.8

Houston Baptist

Sam Houston St.

-9.4

Illinois

Northwestern

11.1

IUPUI

Illinois Chicago

-1.1

Jackson St.

Texas Southern

-1.0

Jacksonville

Stetson

7.9

Kansas St.

West Virginia

-7.6

Liberty

Lipscomb

17.2

Long Beach St.

Cal St. Fullerton

0.8

Louisiana

Texas St.

-5.6

Louisiana Monroe

UT-Arlington

-3.9

Louisiana Tech

North Texas

5.5

Manhattan

Monmouth

2.6

Marshall

Old Dominion

4.6

Maryland

Purdue

5.1

Massachusetts

George Washington

5.7

Miami (Fla.)

Florida St.

-5.6

Milwaukee

Oakland

0.7

Mississippi St.

Georgia

6.0

Mississippi Valley

Alcorn St.

-8.3

Montana

Idaho

11.2

Montana St.

Eastern Washington

0.5

Morgan St.

Howard

11.7

Mount St. Mary’s

Central Connecticut

13.4

Navy

Lafayette

1.0

Nebraska

Indiana

-5.0

New Hampshire

UM Baltimore Co.

4.8

New Orleans

McNeese St.

-0.2

Nicholls St.

Central Arkansas

11.0

NJIT

Kennesaw St.

12.5

Norfolk St.

UM Eastern Shore

15.8

North Alabama

Florida Gulf Coast

5.7

North Carolina St.

Clemson

6.4

Northern Colorado

Northern Arizona

10.6

Northern Kentucky

Cleveland St.

15.5

Oklahoma

TCU

4.4

Oklahoma St.

Baylor

-5.3

Ole Miss

LSU

-4.5

Penn

Saint Joseph’s

7.3

Penn St.

Ohio St.

-0.9

Pepperdine

Saint Mary’s

-6.5

Pittsburgh

North Carolina

2.9

Portland

San Diego

0.7

Portland St.

Idaho St.

7.9

Presbyterian

Radford

-9.5

Purdue Ft. Wayne

Oral Robers

-3.1

Quinnipiac

Saint Peter’s

5.8

Rhode Island

LaSalle

11.1

Robert Morris

Merrimack

5.8

Samford

Mercer

2.7

San Diego St.

Nevada

13.0

San Francisco

Loyola Marymount

11.2

Santa Clara

Pacific

3.3

Seattle

New Mexico St.

-4.5

SEMO

Murray St.

-11.1

SIU Edwardsville

Jacksonville St.

-5.0

SMU

Temple

2.3

South Alabama

Georgia Southern

0.4

South Carolna St.

Florida A&M

0.7

Southern Miss.

Rice

-1.0

Southern Utah

Sacramento St.

4.5

St. Francis (PA)

Sacred Heart

5.0

St. John’s

Seton Hall

-4.9

Stephen F. Austin

Incarnate Word

20.8

Stony Brook

Albany

9.0

Tennessee St.

Eastern Kentucky

8.5

Texas

Kansas

-7.8

Texas A&M

South Carolina

0.7

Texas A&M CC

Lamar

0.7

Texas Tech

Iowa St.

7.0

Towson

James Madison

9.0

Troy

Georgia St.

-8.4

Tulane

Tulsa

-0.1

UC Irvine

UC Riverside

9.9

UMKC

Grand Canyon

3.3

UNC Asheville

Hampton

8.2

UNC Wilmington

Northeastern

-8.6

UNCG

Chattanooga

10.1

UNLV

New Mexico

1.5

USC

Stanford

1.8

UT-Martin

Austin Peay

-4.8

Utah Valley

UT Rio Grande Valley

1.7

UTSA

UTEP

0.6

Valparaiso

Indiana St.

0.4

Vanderbilt

Tennessee

-5.4

VCU

Saint Bonaventure

9.0

Vermont

Hartford

18.2

Villanova

Connecticut

9.1

Virginia Tech

Syracuse

3.9

VMI

Citadel

3.0

Wagner

St. Francis (NY)

2.1

Washington

Oregon

-0.4

Washington St.

Oregon St.

-2.1

Western Carolina

East Tennessee St.

-3.8

Western Kentucky

Charlotte

6.4

Western Michigan

Kent St.

-6.5

Wichita St.

Houston

3.1

Wright St.

Youngstown St.

10.4

Wyoming

Fresno St.

-5.8

 

 

 

January 14, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For January 14, 2020

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 6:23 am

Power Conference & Top 25 Teams Playing Tuesday

 

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Ohio St.

Nebraska

16.6

Clemson

Duke

-11.9

Pittsburgh

Louisville

-5.6

Florida

Ole Miss

10.7

Texas A&M

LSU

-6.9

Dayton

VCU

8.8

Kansas St.

Texas Tech

-3.6

Tulane

Central Florida

1.4

Northwestern

Iowa

-6.2

Villanova

DePaul

9.6

Oklahoma

Kansas

-6.6

Wisconsin

Maryland

0.9

West Virginia

TCU

9.5

Mississippi St.

Missouri

2.8

Wake Forest

Virginia Tech

-1.6

Nevada

Wyoming

16.2

Fresno St.

San Diego St.

-8.6

January 13, 2020

PiRate College Football Ratings: Final For 2019-2020 Season

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 11:15 pm

Final PiRate Ratings for 2019-2020

January 14, 2020

 

Congratulations to the LSU Tigers–2019-2020 NCAA FBS National Champions

 

PiRate Ratings

#

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

1

L S U

142.1

140.5

142.9

141.8

2

Ohio St.

141.3

140.2

142.0

141.2

3

Clemson

139.0

137.5

140.2

138.9

4

Alabama

130.2

127.4

130.7

129.4

5

Georgia

126.5

124.9

126.7

126.0

6

Florida

125.1

122.8

124.9

124.2

7

Michigan

124.2

122.6

124.3

123.7

8

Wisconsin

122.6

122.5

123.0

122.7

9

Oregon

122.1

122.0

122.9

122.3

10

Notre Dame

122.1

121.4

122.5

122.0

11

Utah

121.8

120.9

122.4

121.7

12

Penn St.

121.5

120.8

121.8

121.4

13

Auburn

121.7

119.9

121.2

120.9

14

Oklahoma

121.1

120.5

120.8

120.8

15

Iowa

120.1

118.8

119.9

119.6

16

Minnesota

118.4

118.0

118.0

118.1

17

Baylor

117.3

117.1

116.4

116.9

18

Washington

115.5

115.2

116.4

115.7

19

Texas

113.6

113.9

113.5

113.7

20

Texas A&M

115.0

112.5

113.2

113.6

21

Kentucky

112.5

111.6

112.0

112.0

22

Central Florida

111.7

111.2

112.2

111.7

23

Iowa St.

111.6

111.7

111.2

111.5

24

Kansas St.

111.1

111.1

110.9

111.0

25

Virginia Tech

110.4

110.2

110.8

110.5

26

Tennessee

110.7

110.4

110.1

110.4

27

North Carolina

110.2

110.1

110.9

110.4

28

Oklahoma St.

110.4

110.8

109.8

110.3

29

Memphis

110.0

110.1

110.7

110.3

30

U S C

109.3

109.7

109.9

109.7

31

Indiana

109.9

108.9

109.5

109.4

32

Appalachian St.

109.1

108.7

108.3

108.7

33

Missouri

109.9

107.5

108.5

108.6

34

Washington St.

108.8

108.1

108.7

108.5

35

T C U

107.7

109.7

107.9

108.4

36

Cincinnati

108.3

107.9

108.5

108.2

37

Virginia

108.1

107.9

108.5

108.2

38

South Carolina

109.0

107.1

108.0

108.0

39

Arizona St.

108.0

107.5

108.4

108.0

40

Mississippi St.

108.0

104.9

111.0

108.0

41

Ole Miss

107.8

106.9

108.1

107.6

42

Michigan St.

107.7

106.8

106.8

107.1

43

Air Force

105.8

107.5

106.9

106.7

44

Nebraska

106.3

106.5

105.6

106.1

45

Boise St.

105.7

106.1

106.0

105.9

46

California

104.7

104.7

105.3

104.9

47

Florida St.

104.7

104.4

104.6

104.6

48

Texas Tech

104.6

104.9

103.7

104.4

49

Florida Atlantic

103.7

103.9

105.0

104.2

50

Navy

102.9

105.1

104.4

104.1

51

Purdue

104.1

103.9

103.7

103.9

52

Louisiana

103.0

103.1

102.6

102.9

53

Wake Forest

103.1

102.4

103.2

102.9

54

Northwestern

103.4

102.6

102.1

102.7

55

SMU

102.4

102.3

103.0

102.6

56

West Virginia

102.7

102.7

102.3

102.5

57

Miami (Fla.)

102.3

101.8

102.6

102.2

58

Louisville

102.0

101.5

102.2

101.9

59

Pittsburgh

102.1

101.5

101.9

101.8

60

BYU

101.9

102.1

101.2

101.7

61

Oregon St.

101.2

102.1

101.5

101.6

62

Illinois

101.2

101.6

100.7

101.2

63

Stanford

101.6

100.6

100.8

101.0

64

Tulane

100.6

100.8

101.2

100.9

65

San Diego St.

100.1

101.7

100.1

100.6

66

Wyoming

99.7

101.4

100.1

100.4

67

Boston College

99.5

99.0

99.6

99.4

68

Syracuse

99.7

98.9

98.9

99.2

69

Duke

99.4

98.6

99.1

99.0

70

Colorado

98.6

98.5

98.7

98.6

71

U C L A

98.7

98.3

98.2

98.4

72

Ohio

98.4

97.8

98.9

98.4

73

Georgia Southern

97.9

98.0

97.5

97.8

74

Hawaii

97.0

98.3

96.4

97.2

75

Temple

96.9

96.8

98.0

97.2

76

Western Michigan

97.4

96.5

96.9

96.9

77

Arizona

97.0

96.8

96.8

96.9

78

Buffalo

95.7

96.4

97.2

96.4

79

Louisiana Tech

96.1

96.3

96.2

96.2

80

Western Kentucky

95.5

96.0

96.7

96.1

81

Houston

94.8

95.7

96.4

95.6

82

Utah St.

95.6

95.2

95.7

95.5

83

Tulsa

94.1

95.1

95.4

94.9

84

Kansas

93.7

94.7

93.8

94.1

85

Maryland

93.5

92.6

92.0

92.7

86

Fresno St.

92.4

93.4

92.2

92.7

87

Army

92.8

93.0

92.0

92.6

88

Southern Miss.

92.7

92.0

92.7

92.5

89

Marshall

91.9

91.6

92.4

92.0

90

North Carolina St.

92.3

91.4

91.6

91.8

91

Vanderbilt

92.5

90.9

90.9

91.4

92

Liberty

90.6

91.9

91.0

91.1

93

Ball St.

91.0

90.7

91.2

91.0

94

Arkansas St.

90.5

91.0

90.4

90.6

95

Miami (Ohio)

90.6

89.9

91.0

90.5

96

Central Michigan

89.6

90.2

90.6

90.1

97

Nevada

89.8

91.1

89.1

90.0

98

Georgia Tech

90.2

88.9

90.2

89.8

99

Kent St.

89.0

89.1

89.8

89.3

100

Colorado St.

88.0

91.2

88.7

89.3

101

Troy

89.6

89.8

88.1

89.2

102

South Florida

88.8

89.3

88.9

89.0

103

Middle Tennessee

88.9

88.5

89.2

88.9

104

San Jose St.

87.9

89.7

88.1

88.6

105

Florida Int’l.

88.6

88.4

88.6

88.5

106

Eastern Michigan

88.1

88.3

88.6

88.4

107

Georgia St.

88.2

89.0

87.2

88.1

108

Arkansas

88.0

87.8

87.3

87.7

109

Northern Illinois

87.5

86.9

87.8

87.4

110

U A B

86.6

88.2

87.2

87.3

111

Charlotte

87.0

87.3

87.6

87.3

112

Coastal Carolina

86.9

87.8

86.3

87.0

113

Louisiana-Monroe

86.7

87.4

86.4

86.9

114

North Texas

86.3

86.0

86.2

86.2

115

Rutgers

85.1

84.6

83.6

84.4

116

U N L V

83.7

85.4

83.5

84.2

117

Toledo

84.0

83.9

84.1

84.0

118

Rice

82.4

83.7

82.4

82.8

119

East Carolina

82.4

83.6

82.3

82.8

120

New Mexico

79.7

81.7

78.6

80.0

121

Texas St.

79.2

79.9

78.9

79.3

122

South Alabama

77.0

79.5

77.0

77.8

123

Texas-San Antonio

76.1

77.9

76.5

76.8

124

New Mexico St.

75.6

77.3

75.2

76.0

125

Old Dominion

73.5

73.5

73.2

73.4

126

Connecticut

71.3

73.9

70.8

72.0

127

U T E P

68.5

71.8

68.6

69.6

128

Bowling Green

68.1

67.5

67.8

67.8

129

Akron

62.8

62.5

61.7

62.3

130

Massachusetts

56.7

58.2

55.7

56.9

 

By Conference

 

American Athletic Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

AAC

Overall

Central Florida

111.7

111.2

112.2

111.7

6-2

10-3

Cincinnati

108.3

107.9

108.5

108.2

7-1

11-3

Temple

96.9

96.8

98.0

97.2

5-3

8-5

South Florida

88.8

89.3

88.9

89.0

2-6

4-8

East Carolina

82.4

83.6

82.3

82.8

1-7

4-8

Connecticut

71.3

73.9

70.8

72.0

0-8

2-10

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

AAC

Overall

Memphis

110.0

110.1

110.7

110.3

7-1

12-2

Navy

102.9

105.1

104.4

104.1

7-1

11-2

SMU

102.4

102.3

103.0

102.6

6-2

10-3

Tulane

100.6

100.8

101.2

100.9

3-5

7-6

Houston

94.8

95.7

96.4

95.6

2-6

4-8

Tulsa

94.1

95.1

95.4

94.9

2-6

4-8

AAC Averages

97.0

97.6

97.6

97.4

 

 

 

Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

ACC

Overall

Clemson

139.0

137.5

140.2

138.9

8-0

14-1

Florida St.

104.7

104.4

104.6

104.6

4-4

6-7

Wake Forest

103.1

102.4

103.2

102.9

4-4

8-5

Louisville

102.0

101.5

102.2

101.9

5-3

8-5

Boston College

99.5

99.0

99.6

99.4

4-4

7-6

Syracuse

99.7

98.9

98.9

99.2

2-6

5-7

North Carolina St.

92.3

91.4

91.6

91.8

1-7

4-8

Coastal Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

ACC

Overall

Virginia Tech

110.4

110.2

110.8

110.5

5-3

8-5

North Carolina

110.2

110.1

110.9

110.4

4-4

7-6

Virginia

108.1

107.9

108.5

108.2

6-2

9-5

Miami (Fla.)

102.3

101.8

102.6

102.2

4-4

6-7

Pittsburgh

102.1

101.5

101.9

101.8

4-4

8-5

Duke

99.4

98.6

99.1

99.0

3-5

5-7

Georgia Tech

90.2

88.9

90.2

89.8

2-6

3-9

ACC Averages

104.5

103.9

104.6

104.3

 

 

 

Big 12 Conference

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

B12

Overall

Oklahoma

121.1

120.5

120.8

120.8

8-1

12-2

Baylor

117.3

117.1

116.4

116.9

8-1

11-3

Texas

113.6

113.9

113.5

113.7

5-4

8-5

Iowa St.

111.6

111.7

111.2

111.5

5-4

7-6

Kansas St.

111.1

111.1

110.9

111.0

5-4

8-5

Oklahoma St.

110.4

110.8

109.8

110.3

5-4

8-5

T C U

107.7

109.7

107.9

108.4

3-6

5-7

Texas Tech

104.6

104.9

103.7

104.4

2-7

4-8

West Virginia

102.7

102.7

102.3

102.5

3-6

5-7

Kansas

93.7

94.7

93.8

94.1

1-8

3-9

Big 12 Averages

109.4

109.7

109.0

109.4

 

 

 

Big Ten Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

BTen

Overall

Ohio St.

141.3

140.2

142.0

141.2

9-0

13-1

Michigan

124.2

122.6

124.3

123.7

6-3

9-4

Penn St.

121.5

120.8

121.8

121.4

7-2

11-2

Indiana

109.9

108.9

109.5

109.4

5-4

8-5

Michigan St.

107.7

106.8

106.8

107.1

4-5

7-6

Maryland

93.5

92.6

92.0

92.7

1-8

3-9

Rutgers

85.1

84.6

83.6

84.4

0-9

2-10

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

BTen

Overall

Wisconsin

122.6

122.5

123.0

122.7

7-2

10-4

Iowa

120.1

118.8

119.9

119.6

6-3

10-3

Minnesota

118.4

118.0

118.0

118.1

7-2

11-2

Nebraska

106.3

106.5

105.6

106.1

3-6

5-7

Purdue

104.1

103.9

103.7

103.9

3-6

4-8

Northwestern

103.4

102.6

102.1

102.7

1-8

3-9

Illinois

101.2

101.6

100.7

101.2

4-5

6-7

Big Ten Averages

111.4

110.7

110.9

111.0

 

 

 

Conference USA

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

CUSA

Overall

Florida Atlantic

103.7

103.9

105.0

104.2

7-1

11-3

Western Kentucky

95.5

96.0

96.7

96.1

6-2

8-5

Marshall

91.9

91.6

92.4

92.0

6-2

8-5

Middle Tennessee

88.9

88.5

89.2

88.9

3-5

4-8

Florida Int’l.

88.6

88.4

88.6

88.5

4-4

6-7

Charlotte

87.0

87.3

87.6

87.3

5-3

7-6

Old Dominion

73.5

73.5

73.2

73.4

0-8

1-11

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

CUSA

Overall

Louisiana Tech

96.1

96.3

96.2

96.2

6-2

10-3

Southern Miss.

92.7

92.0

92.7

92.5

5-3

7-6

U A B

86.6

88.2

87.2

87.3

6-2

9-5

North Texas

86.3

86.0

86.2

86.2

3-5

4-8

Rice

82.4

83.7

82.4

82.8

3-5

3-9

Texas-San Antonio

76.1

77.9

76.5

76.8

3-5

4-8

U T E P

68.5

71.8

68.6

69.6

0-8

1-11

CUSA Averages

87.0

87.5

87.3

87.3

 

 

 

FBS Independents

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Conf.

Overall

Notre Dame

122.1

121.4

122.5

122.0

x

11-2

BYU

101.9

102.1

101.2

101.7

x

7-6

Army

92.8

93.0

92.0

92.6

x

5-8

Liberty

90.6

91.9

91.0

91.1

x

8-5

New Mexico St.

75.6

77.3

75.2

76.0

x

2-10

Massachusetts

56.7

58.2

55.7

56.9

x

1-11

Indep. Averages

89.9

90.6

89.6

90.1

 

 

 

Mid-American Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

MAC

Overall

Ohio

98.4

97.8

98.9

98.4

5-3

7-6

Buffalo

95.7

96.4

97.2

96.4

5-3

8-5

Miami (Ohio)

90.6

89.9

91.0

90.5

6-2

8-6

Kent St.

89.0

89.1

89.8

89.3

5-3

6-6

Bowling Green

68.1

67.5

67.8

67.8

2-6

3-9

Akron

62.8

62.5

61.7

62.3

0-8

0-12

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

MAC

Overall

Western Michigan

97.4

96.5

96.9

96.9

5-3

7-6

Ball St.

91.0

90.7

91.2

91.0

4-4

5-7

Central Michigan

89.6

90.2

90.6

90.1

6-2

8-6

Eastern Michigan

88.1

88.3

88.6

88.4

3-5

6-7

Northern Illinois

87.5

86.9

87.8

87.4

4-4

5-7

Toledo

84.0

83.9

84.1

84.0

3-5

6-6

MAC Averages

86.9

86.6

87.1

86.9

 

 

 

Mountain West Conference

Mountain Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

MWC

Overall

Air Force

105.8

107.5

106.9

106.7

7-1

11-2

Boise St.

105.7

106.1

106.0

105.9

8-0

12-2

Wyoming

99.7

101.4

100.1

100.4

4-4

8-5

Utah St.

95.6

95.2

95.7

95.5

6-2

7-6

Colorado St.

88.0

91.2

88.7

89.3

3-5

4-8

New Mexico

79.7

81.7

78.6

80.0

0-8

2-10

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

MWC

Overall

San Diego St.

100.1

101.7

100.1

100.6

5-3

10-3

Hawaii

97.0

98.3

96.4

97.2

5-3

10-5

Fresno St.

92.4

93.4

92.2

92.7

2-6

4-8

Nevada

89.8

91.1

89.1

90.0

4-4

7-6

San Jose St.

87.9

89.7

88.1

88.6

2-6

5-7

U N L V

83.7

85.4

83.5

84.2

2-6

4-8

MWC Averages

93.8

95.2

93.8

94.3

 

 

 

Pac-12 Conference

North Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

P12

Overall

Oregon

122.1

122.0

122.9

122.3

8-1

12-2

Washington

115.5

115.2

116.4

115.7

4-5

8-5

Washington St.

108.8

108.1

108.7

108.5

3-6

6-7

California

104.7

104.7

105.3

104.9

4-5

8-5

Oregon St.

101.2

102.1

101.5

101.6

4-5

5-7

Stanford

101.6

100.6

100.8

101.0

3-6

4-8

South Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

P12

Overall

Utah

121.8

120.9

122.4

121.7

8-1

11-3

U S C

109.3

109.7

109.9

109.7

7-2

8-5

Arizona St.

108.0

107.5

108.4

108.0

4-5

8-5

Colorado

98.6

98.5

98.7

98.6

3-6

5-7

U C L A

98.7

98.3

98.2

98.4

4-5

4-8

Arizona

97.0

96.8

96.8

96.9

2-7

4-8

Pac-12 Averages

107.3

107.0

107.5

107.3

 

 

 

Southeastern Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

SEC

Overall

Georgia

126.5

124.9

126.7

126.0

7-1

12-2

Florida

125.1

122.8

124.9

124.2

6-2

11-2

Kentucky

112.5

111.6

112.0

112.0

3-5

8-5

Tennessee

110.7

110.4

110.1

110.4

5-3

8-5

Missouri

109.9

107.5

108.5

108.6

3-5

6-6

South Carolina

109.0

107.1

108.0

108.0

3-5

4-8

Vanderbilt

92.5

90.9

90.9

91.4

1-7

3-9

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

SEC

Overall

L S U

142.1

140.5

142.9

141.8

8-0

15-0

Alabama

130.2

127.4

130.7

129.4

6-2

11-2

Auburn

121.7

119.9

121.2

120.9

5-3

9-4

Texas A&M

115.0

112.5

113.2

113.6

4-4

8-5

Mississippi St.

108.0

104.9

111.0

108.0

3-5

6-7

Ole Miss

107.8

106.9

108.1

107.6

2-6

4-8

Arkansas

88.0

87.8

87.3

87.7

0-8

2-10

SEC Averages

114.1

112.4

113.9

113.5

 

 

 

Sunbelt Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

SBC

Overall

Appalachian St.

109.1

108.7

108.3

108.7

7-1

13-1

Georgia Southern

97.9

98.0

97.5

97.8

5-3

7-6

Troy

89.6

89.8

88.1

89.2

3-5

5-7

Georgia St.

88.2

89.0

87.2

88.1

4-4

7-6

Coastal Carolina

86.9

87.8

86.3

87.0

2-6

5-7

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

SBC

Overall

Louisiana

103.0

103.1

102.6

102.9

7-1

11-3

Arkansas St.

90.5

91.0

90.4

90.6

5-3

8-5

Louisiana-Monroe

86.7

87.4

86.4

86.9

4-4

5-7

Texas St.

79.2

79.9

78.9

79.3

2-6

3-9

South Alabama

77.0

79.5

77.0

77.8

1-7

2-10

SBC Averages

90.8

91.4

90.3

90.8

 

Conference Power Ratings

#

League

Average

1

Southeastern

113.5

2

Big Ten

111.0

3

Big 12

109.4

4

Pac-12

107.3

5

Atlantic Coast

104.3

6

American

97.4

7

Mountain West

94.3

8

Sun Belt

90.8

9

Independents

90.1

10

Conference USA

87.3

11

Mid-American

86.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

January 8, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For January 8, 2020

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 5:19 am

Power Conference & Top 25 Teams Playing Wednesday

 

Home

Visitor

Spread

Alabama

Mississippi St.

3.4

Auburn

Vanderbilt

16.4

Boise St.

UNLV

6.0

Cincinnati

Tulsa

8.0

Connecticut

Tulane

11.0

Georgetown

St. John’s

5.0

Georgia Tech

Duke

-13.1

Indiana

Northwestern

11.1

Iowa St.

Kansas

-7.2

LSU

Arkansas

4.5

North Carolina

Pittsburgh

6.5

North Carolina St.

Notre Dame

5.5

San Jose St.

Nevada

-11.9

SMU

Central Florida

6.1

Texas

Oklahoma

1.4

Wake Forest

Florida St.

-6.4

Wisconsin

Illinois

3.8

Wyoming

San Diego St.

-18.6

Xavier

Seton Hall

0.7

 

January 7, 2020

PiRate College Football Ratings–National Championship Game

Date: Monday, January 13, 2020

 

Site: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans

 

Start Time: 8:00 PM EST

 

TV: ESPN

 

TV Options:  ESPN’s Megacast will give viewers multiple options to watch this game:  Check the link below

https://espnpressroom.com/us/press-releases/2020/01/espn-presents-the-college-football-playoff-national-championship-through-cutting-edge-technology/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=espn-presents-the-college-football-playoff-national-championship-through-cutting-edge-technology

 

Our Personal Favorite Option: The Skycast allows the viewer to have a behind the quarterback view.  With this view, the experienced football follower can see all blocking schemes and defensive alignments and techniques as well as the pass patterns run by the receivers and the defensive coverage.  Best of all–No announcers to tell you the obvious.  The Public Address Announcer gives you all the information you need.

 

Radio–ESPN

 

Teams

LSU Tigers (14-0) vs.

Clemson Tigers (14-0)

 

Las Vegas Spread:  LSU by 5 1/2 to 6 1/2

Las Vegas Totals: 69 1/2

Best Las Vegas Money Line For Both Teams:

LSU -205 

Clemson +190

 

The PiRate Ratings

 

PiRate:  LSU by 1.1

Mean:    LSU by 0.8

Bias:       LSU by 0.1

Predicted Score: LSU 38  Clemson 37

 

Comparing The Legends In The Making

Joe Burrow vs. Trevor Lawrence

 

Statistic

Burrow

Lawrence

Passer Efficiency

204.6

173.2

Yards Per Attempt

10.9

9.3

Adjusted YPA *

12.6

10.2

Rushing Yds/Attempt

3.1

5.5

 

* Adjusted Yards Per Attempt:  [Yards + (20 * TD) – (45 * Int.)] / Attempts

December 14, 2019

PiRate College Football Ratings: Final Regular Season

PiRate Ratings Spreads For 2019-2020 Bowls & Playoffs

Including TV & Start Times 

All Times Given Are Eastern Standard Time

 

Favorite

Underdog

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Dec. 20

Bahamas

ESPN

2:00 PM

Buffalo

Charlotte

6.9

7.1

7.6

 

 

Dec. 20

Frisco

ESPN2

7:30 PM

Utah St.

Kent St.

7.8

7.4

7.3

 

 

Dec. 21

New Mexico

ESPN

2:00 PM

San Diego St.

Central Michigan

5.3

6.1

4.1

 

 

Dec. 21

Cure

CBSSN

2:30 PM

Georgia Southern

Liberty

9.5

8.3

8.9

 

 

Dec. 21

Boca Raton

ABC

3:30 PM

SMU

Florida Atlantic

3.5

3.2

2.8

 

 

Dec.21

Camellia

ESPN

5:30 PM

Arkansas St.

Florida Int’l.

0.9

1.4

0.4

 

 

Dec. 21

Las Vegas

ABC

7:30 PM

Washington

Boise St.

5.0

4.3

5.6

 

 

Dec. 21

New Orleans

ESPN

9:00 PM

Appalachian St.

UAB

23.1

20.9

21.7

 

 

Dec. 23

Gasparilla

ESPN

2:30 PM

Central Florida

Marshall

19.6

19.4

19.6

 

 

Dec. 24

Hawaii

ESPN

8:00 PM

BYU

Hawaii

1.3

0.2

1.6

 

 

Dec. 26

Independence

ESPN

4:00 PM

Miami (Fla.)

Louisiana Tech

10.6

9.9

11.4

 

 

Dec. 26

Quick Lane

ESPN

8:00 PM

Pittsburgh

Eastern Michigan

13.1

12.3

12.6

 

 

Dec. 27

Military

ESPN

12:00 PM

North Carolina

Temple

8.3

8.3

7.9

 

 

Dec. 27

Pinstripe

ESPN

3:20 PM

Michigan St.

Wake Forest

4.6

4.4

3.4

 

 

Dec. 27

Texas

ESPN

6:45 PM

Texas A&M

Oklahoma St.

6.3

3.2

5.1

 

 

Dec. 27

Holiday

FS1

8:00 PM

Iowa

USC

7.4

5.3

6.2

 

 

Dec. 27

Cheez-It

ESPN

10:15 PM

Washington St.

Air Force

5.4

2.8

4.4

 

 

Dec. 28

Camping World

ABC

12:00 PM

Notre Dame

Iowa St.

7.9

6.7

8.3

 

 

Dec. 28

Cotton

ESPN

12:00 PM

Penn St.

Memphis

11.3

10.1

10.3

 

 

Dec. 28

Peach

ESPN

4:00 PM

LSU

Oklahoma

14.5

13.0

15.1

 

 

Dec. 28

Fiesta

ESPN

8:00 PM

Ohio St.

Clemson

1.6

2.3

1.0

 

 

Dec. 30

First Responder

ESPN

12:30 PM

Western Michigan

Western Kentucky

2.3

0.7

0.6

 

 

Dec. 30

Music City

ESPN

4:00 PM

Mississippi St.

Louisville

9.6

6.8

13.4

 

 

Dec. 30

Redbox

Fox

4:00 PM

California

Illinois

4.0

3.2

4.9

 

 

Dec. 30

Orange

ESPN

8:00 PM

Florida

Virginia

21.1

18.8

20.7

 

 

Dec. 31

Belk

ESPN

12:00 PM

Kentucky

Virginia Tech

1.9

0.8

0.4

 

 

Dec. 31

Sun

CBS

2:00 PM

Arizona St.

Florida St.

3.1

2.7

3.2

 

 

Dec. 31

Liberty

ESPN

3:45 PM

Kansas St.

Navy

10.8

8.4

9.3

 

 

Dec. 31

Arizona

CBSSN

4:30 PM

Wyoming

Georgia St.

9.3

10.2

10.5

 

 

Dec. 31

Alamo

ESPN

7:30 PM

Utah

Texas

10.2

9.0

10.9

 

 

Jan. 1

Citrus

ABC

1:00 PM

Alabama

Michigan

3.2

1.4

3.2

 

 

Jan. 1

Outback

ESPN

1:00 PM

Auburn

Minnesota

5.7

4.3

6.2

 

 

Jan. 1

Rose

ESPN

5:00 PM

Wisconsin

Oregon

0.7

0.7

0.3

 

 

Jan. 1

Sugar

ESPN

8:45 PM

Georgia

Baylor

8.8

7.0

9.7

 

 

Jan. 2

Birmingham

ESPN

3:00 PM

Cincinnati

Boston College

4.0

4.1

4.1

 

 

Jan. 2

Gator

ESPN

7:00 PM

Tennessee

Indiana

0.8

1.5

0.6

 

 

Jan. 3

Potato

ESPN

3:30 PM

Ohio U

Nevada

8.6

6.3

9.8

 

 

Jan. 4

Armed Forces

ESPN

11:30 AM

Tulane

Southern Miss.

5.9

9.6

6.1

 

 

Jan. 6

Lending Tree

ESPN

7:30 PM

Louisiana

Miami (O)

12.6

13.8

12.0

 

 

Jan. 13

Championship

ESPN

8:00 PM

Fiesta Bowl

Peach Bowl

 

 

 

 

December 7, 2019

PiRate College Football Ratings: December 8, 2019

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 10:40 pm

PiRate Ratings Final Bowl & Playoff Projections

 

Bowl

Conf

Conf

Team

Team

Bahamas

MAC

CUSA

Buffalo

Charlotte

Frisco

AAC

At-large

SMU

[Marshall]

Cure

AAC

SBC

Central Florida

Georgia St.

New Mexico

CUSA

MWC

UAB

Wyoming

Boca Raton

AAC

MAC

Navy

Ohio

Camellia

MAC

SBC

Western Michigan

Arkansas St.

Las Vegas

MWC #1

Pac-12

Boise St.

Arizona St.

New Orleans

CUSA

SBC #1

Louisiana Tech

Appalachian St.

Gasparilla

AAC

CUSA

Tulane

Southern Miss.

Hawaii

BYU/MWC

AAC/MWC

BYU

Hawaii

Independence

ACC

SEC

Miami (Fla.)

[Western Kentucky]

Quick Lane

ACC

Big Ten

Boston College

[Eastern Michigan]

Military

ACC

AAC

North Carolina

Temple

Pinstripe

ACC

Big Ten

Pittsburgh

Michigan St.

Texas

Big 12

SEC

Oklahoma St.

Mississippi St.

Holiday

Pac-12

Big Ten

USC

Iowa

Cheez-It

Big 12

Pac-12

[Air Force]

Washington St.

Camping World

ACC

Big 12

Notre Dame

Texas

Cotton

At-large

At-large

[Penn St.]

Memphis

First Responder

CUSA

Big 12

Florida Atlantic

[Liberty]

Redbox

Pac-12

Big Ten

California

Illinois

Music City

SEC

ACC

Tennessee

Louisville

Orange

ACC

BTen/SEC

Virginia

Florida

Belk

ACC

SEC

Wake Forest

Texas A&M

Sun

ACC

Pac-12

Virginia Tech

Washington

Liberty

Big 12

SEC

Iowa St.

[Florida Int’l.]

Arizona

SBC

MWC

Georgia Southern

San Diego St.

Alamo

Big 12

Pac-12

Kansas St.

Utah

Citrus

SEC

BTen/ACC

Alabama

Michigan

Outback

Big Ten

SEC

Minnesota

Auburn

Rose

Big Ten

Pac-12

Wisconsin

Oregon

Sugar

Big 12

SEC

Baylor

Georgia

Birmingham

AAC

SEC

Cincinnati

[Florida St.]

Taxslayer/Gator

SEC

Big Ten

Kentucky

Indiana

Idaho Potato

MAC

MWC

Miami (O)

Nevada

Armed Forces

Big Ten

MWC

[Kent St.]

Utah St.

Lending Tree

MAC

SBC

Central Michigan

Louisiana

FBS PLAYOFFS

Fiesta

Top 4

Top 4

Ohio St.

Clemson

Peach

Top 4

Top 4

LSU

Oklahoma

Championship

Fiesta

Peach

Clemson

LSU

Teams in [Brackets] are at-large selections

 

This Week’s Spread

Saturday

December 14

Home

Visitors

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Navy

Army

6.2

8.3

8.2

Game played in Philadelphia

 

PiRate Ratings

#

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

1

Ohio St.

141.7

140.8

142.5

141.7

2

Clemson

140.1

138.5

141.5

140.0

3

L S U

137.6

135.7

138.0

137.1

4

Alabama

128.8

125.7

129.1

127.9

5

Georgia

126.3

124.5

126.4

125.7

6

Michigan

125.6

124.3

125.9

125.3

7

Florida

125.9

123.5

125.8

125.0

8

Utah

124.3

123.4

124.9

124.2

9

Oklahoma

123.1

122.7

122.9

122.9

10

Wisconsin

122.7

122.6

123.1

122.8

11

Oregon

122.0

121.9

122.8

122.2

12

Auburn

122.9

121.1

122.7

122.2

13

Penn St.

121.4

120.5

121.4

121.1

14

Notre Dame

120.8

119.9

121.0

120.6

15

Iowa

118.4

116.9

118.0

117.8

16

Baylor

117.5

117.5

116.7

117.2

17

Minnesota

117.2

116.8

116.5

116.8

18

Texas A&M

115.1

112.5

113.3

113.7

19

Washington

113.1

112.8

114.0

113.3

20

Iowa St.

112.9

113.2

112.7

112.9

21

Kansas St.

112.4

112.3

112.3

112.3

22

Kentucky

112.4

111.3

111.6

111.8

23

Central Florida

111.6

111.1

112.1

111.6

24

U S C

111.0

111.6

111.8

111.5

25

Texas

111.1

111.4

111.0

111.2

26

Virginia Tech

110.5

110.5

111.2

110.7

27

Memphis

110.1

110.4

111.1

110.5

28

Tennessee

110.7

110.4

110.1

110.4

29

Oklahoma St.

110.3

110.8

109.7

110.3

30

Mississippi St.

109.8

106.6

113.3

109.9

31

Washington St.

110.0

109.2

110.0

109.7

32

Indiana

109.9

108.9

109.5

109.4

33

Appalachian St.

109.4

108.9

108.6

109.0

34

Virginia

107.3

107.2

107.6

107.4

35

Missouri

109.9

107.5

108.5

108.6

36

T C U

107.7

109.7

107.9

108.4

37

Boise St.

108.1

108.5

108.4

108.3

38

South Carolina

109.0

107.1

108.0

108.0

39

North Carolina

107.7

107.6

108.4

107.9

40

Arizona St.

107.9

107.3

108.1

107.8

41

Ole Miss

107.8

106.9

108.1

107.6

42

Michigan St.

107.7

106.8

106.7

107.1

43

Nebraska

106.3

106.5

105.6

106.1

44

Cincinnati

105.9

105.5

106.1

105.8

45

Air Force

104.6

106.4

105.6

105.5

46

SMU

104.8

104.7

105.4

105.0

47

Florida St.

104.8

104.6

104.9

104.8

48

Miami (Fla.)

104.5

104.0

105.1

104.5

49

Texas Tech

104.6

104.9

103.7

104.4

50

Purdue

104.1

103.9

103.7

103.9

51

California

103.7

103.5

104.2

103.8

52

Louisiana

103.1

103.4

102.8

103.1

53

Wake Forest

103.1

102.4

103.3

102.9

54

Northwestern

103.4

102.6

102.1

102.7

55

West Virginia

102.7

102.7

102.3

102.5

56

Illinois

102.2

102.8

101.8

102.3

57

Pittsburgh

102.4

101.8

102.3

102.2

58

BYU

102.1

102.3

101.6

102.0

59

Florida Atlantic

101.3

101.5

102.6

101.8

60

Boston College

101.9

101.4

102.0

101.8

61

Oregon St.

101.2

102.1

101.5

101.6

62

Navy

100.3

102.6

101.6

101.5

63

Stanford

101.6

100.6

100.8

101.0

64

Louisville

100.2

99.8

99.9

100.0

65

Tulane

99.6

100.2

100.0

99.9

66

Temple

99.4

99.3

100.5

99.7

67

Wyoming

98.6

100.3

98.9

99.3

68

Syracuse

99.7

98.9

98.9

99.2

69

Duke

99.4

98.6

99.1

99.0

70

Georgia Southern

99.0

99.1

98.7

99.0

71

Colorado

98.6

98.5

98.7

98.6

72

U C L A

98.7

98.3

98.2

98.4

73

Ohio

98.4

97.6

98.9

98.3

74

San Diego St.

97.6

99.2

97.6

98.1

75

Western Michigan

97.6

96.6

97.1

97.1

76

Hawaii

96.8

98.1

96.0

97.0

77

Arizona

97.0

96.8

96.8

96.9

78

Utah St.

96.8

96.5

97.1

96.8

79

Western Kentucky

95.3

95.9

96.5

95.9

80

Houston

94.8

95.7

96.4

95.6

81

Buffalo

94.8

95.4

96.2

95.4

82

Tulsa

94.1

95.1

95.4

94.9

83

Kansas

93.7

94.7

93.8

94.1

84

Army

94.1

94.3

93.4

94.0

85

Louisiana Tech

93.9

94.1

93.7

93.9

86

Southern Miss.

93.7

92.6

93.9

93.4

87

Maryland

93.5

92.6

92.0

92.7

88

Fresno St.

92.4

93.4

92.2

92.7

89

Central Michigan

92.1

92.7

93.1

92.6

90

Marshall

92.0

91.7

92.5

92.1

91

North Carolina St.

92.3

91.4

91.6

91.8

92

Vanderbilt

92.5

90.9

90.9

91.4

93

Ball St.

91.0

90.7

91.2

91.0

94

Miami (Ohio)

90.5

89.6

90.8

90.3

95

Nevada

89.8

91.3

89.1

90.1

96

Arkansas St.

90.0

90.4

89.7

90.0

97

Liberty

89.5

90.8

89.8

90.0

98

Georgia Tech

90.2

88.9

90.2

89.8

99

Kent St.

89.0

89.1

89.8

89.3

100

Colorado St.

88.0

91.2

88.7

89.3

101

Georgia St.

89.3

90.1

88.4

89.3

102

Troy

89.6

89.8

88.1

89.2

103

Florida Int’l.

89.1

89.0

89.3

89.1

104

South Florida

88.8

89.3

88.9

89.0

105

Middle Tennessee

88.9

88.5

89.2

88.9

106

San Jose St.

87.9

89.7

88.1

88.6

107

Charlotte

87.9

88.3

88.6

88.3

108

Eastern Michigan

87.8

88.0

88.2

88.0

109

Arkansas

88.0

87.8

87.3

87.7

110

Northern Illinois

87.5

86.9

87.8

87.4

111

U A B

86.3

88.0

86.9

87.1

112

Coastal Carolina

86.9

87.8

86.3

87.0

113

Louisiana-Monroe

86.7

87.4

86.4

86.9

114

North Texas

86.3

86.0

86.2

86.2

115

Rutgers

85.1

84.6

83.6

84.4

116

U N L V

83.7

85.4

83.5

84.2

117

Toledo

84.0

83.9

84.1

84.0

118

Rice

82.4

83.7

82.4

82.8

119

East Carolina

82.4

83.6

82.3

82.8

120

New Mexico

79.7

81.7

78.6

80.0

121

Texas St.

79.2

79.9

78.9

79.3

122

South Alabama

77.0

79.5

77.0

77.8

123

Texas-San Antonio

76.1

77.9

76.5

76.8

124

New Mexico St.

75.6

77.3

75.2

76.0

125

Old Dominion

73.5

73.5

73.2

73.4

126

Connecticut

71.3

73.9

70.8

72.0

127

U T E P

68.5

71.8

68.6

69.6

128

Bowling Green

68.1

67.5

67.8

67.8

129

Akron

62.8

62.5

61.7

62.3

130

Massachusetts

56.7

58.2

55.7

56.9

Conference Power Ratings

#

League

Average

1

Southeastern

113.1

2

Big Ten

111.2

3

Big 12

109.5

4

Pac-12

107.5

5

Atlantic Coast

104.7

6

American

97.4

7

Mountain West

94.0

8

Sun Belt

90.9

9

Independents

90.1

10

Conf. USA

87.1

11

Mid-American

87.1

PiRate Guess at Top 6

1

LSU

2

Ohio St.

3

Clemson

4

Oklahoma

5

Georgia

6

Utah

Top 5 Group of 5

1

Memphis

2

Boise St.

3

Appalachian St.

4

Florida Atlantic

5

Miami (O)

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference

 

American Athletic Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

AAC

Overall

Central Florida

111.6

111.1

112.1

111.6

6-2

9-3

Cincinnati

105.9

105.5

106.1

105.8

7-1

10-3

Temple

99.4

99.3

100.5

99.7

5-3

8-4

South Florida

88.8

89.3

88.9

89.0

2-6

4-8

East Carolina

82.4

83.6

82.3

82.8

1-7

4-8

Connecticut

71.3

73.9

70.8

72.0

0-8

2-10

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

AAC

Overall

Memphis

110.1

110.4

111.1

110.5

7-1

12-1

SMU

104.8

104.7

105.4

105.0

6-2

10-2

Navy

100.3

102.6

101.6

101.5

7-1

9-2

Tulane

99.6

100.2

100.0

99.9

3-5

6-6

Houston

94.8

95.7

96.4

95.6

2-6

4-8

Tulsa

94.1

95.1

95.4

94.9

2-6

4-8

AAC Averages

96.9

97.6

97.6

97.4

 

 

Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

ACC

Overall

Clemson

140.1

138.5

141.5

140.0

8-0

13-0

Florida St.

104.8

104.6

104.9

104.8

4-4

6-6

Wake Forest

103.1

102.4

103.3

102.9

4-4

8-4

Boston College

101.9

101.4

102.0

101.8

4-4

6-6

Louisville

100.2

99.8

99.9

100.0

5-3

7-5

Syracuse

99.7

98.9

98.9

99.2

2-6

5-7

North Carolina St.

92.3

91.4

91.6

91.8

1-7

4-8

 

 

Coastal Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

ACC

Overall

Virginia Tech

110.5

110.5

111.2

110.7

5-3

8-4

North Carolina

107.7

107.6

108.4

107.9

4-4

6-6

Virginia

107.3

107.2

107.6

107.4

6-2

9-4

Miami (Fla.)

104.5

104.0

105.1

104.5

4-4

6-6

Pittsburgh

102.4

101.8

102.3

102.2

4-4

7-5

Duke

99.4

98.6

99.1

99.0

3-5

5-7

Georgia Tech

90.2

88.9

90.2

89.8

2-6

3-9

ACC Averages

104.6

104.0

104.7

104.4

 

 

Big 12 Conference

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

B12

Overall

Oklahoma

123.1

122.7

122.9

122.9

8-1

12-1

Baylor

117.5

117.5

116.7

117.2

8-1

11-2

Iowa St.

112.9

113.2

112.7

112.9

5-4

7-5

Kansas St.

112.4

112.3

112.3

112.3

5-4

8-4

Texas

111.1

111.4

111.0

111.2

5-4

7-5

Oklahoma St.

110.3

110.8

109.7

110.3

5-4

8-4

T C U

107.7

109.7

107.9

108.4

3-6

5-7

Texas Tech

104.6

104.9

103.7

104.4

2-7

4-8

West Virginia

102.7

102.7

102.3

102.5

3-6

5-7

Kansas

93.7

94.7

93.8

94.1

1-8

3-9

Big 12 Averages

109.6

110.0

109.3

109.6

 

 

Big Ten Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

BTen

Overall

Ohio St.

141.7

140.8

142.5

141.7

9-0

13-0

Michigan

125.6

124.3

125.9

125.3

6-3

9-3

Penn St.

121.4

120.5

121.4

121.1

7-2

10-2

Indiana

109.9

108.9

109.5

109.4

5-4

8-4

Michigan St.

107.7

106.8

106.7

107.1

4-5

6-6

Maryland

93.5

92.6

92.0

92.7

1-8

3-9

Rutgers

85.1

84.6

83.6

84.4

0-9

2-10

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

BTen

Overall

Wisconsin

122.7

122.6

123.1

122.8

7-2

10-3

Iowa

118.4

116.9

118.0

117.8

6-3

9-3

Minnesota

117.2

116.8

116.5

116.8

7-2

10-2

Nebraska

106.3

106.5

105.6

106.1

3-6

5-7

Purdue

104.1

103.9

103.7

103.9

3-6

4-8

Northwestern

103.4

102.6

102.1

102.7

1-8

3-9

Illinois

102.2

102.8

101.8

102.3

4-5

6-6

Big Ten Averages

111.4

110.8

110.9

111.0

 

 

Conference USA

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

CUSA

Overall

Florida Atlantic

101.3

101.5

102.6

101.8

7-1

10-3

Western Kentucky

95.3

95.9

96.5

95.9

6-2

8-4

Marshall

92.0

91.7

92.5

92.1

6-2

8-4

Florida Int’l.

89.1

89.0

89.3

89.1

4-4

6-6

Middle Tennessee

88.9

88.5

89.2

88.9

3-5

4-8

Charlotte

87.9

88.3

88.6

88.3

5-3

7-5

Old Dominion

73.5

73.5

73.2

73.4

0-8

1-11

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

CUSA

Overall

Louisiana Tech

93.9

94.1

93.7

93.9

6-2

9-3

Southern Miss.

93.7

92.6

93.9

93.4

5-3

7-5

U A B

86.3

88.0

86.9

87.1

6-2

9-4

North Texas

86.3

86.0

86.2

86.2

3-5

4-8

Rice

82.4

83.7

82.4

82.8

3-5

3-9

Texas-San Antonio

76.1

77.9

76.5

76.8

3-5

4-8

U T E P

68.5

71.8

68.6

69.6

0-8

1-11

CUSA Averages

86.8

87.3

87.2

87.1

 

 

FBS Independents

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Conf.

Overall

Notre Dame

120.8

119.9

121.0

120.6

x

10-2

BYU

102.1

102.3

101.6

102.0

x

7-5

Army

94.1

94.3

93.4

94.0

x

5-7

Liberty

89.5

90.8

89.8

90.0

x

7-5

New Mexico St.

75.6

77.3

75.2

76.0

x

2-10

Massachusetts

56.7

58.2

55.7

56.9

x

1-11

Indep. Averages

89.8

90.5

89.4

89.9

 

 

Mid-American Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

MAC

Overall

Ohio

98.4

97.6

98.9

98.3

5-3

6-6

Buffalo

94.8

95.4

96.2

95.4

5-3

7-5

Miami (Ohio)

90.5

89.6

90.8

90.3

6-2

8-5

Kent St.

89.0

89.1

89.8

89.3

5-3

6-6

Bowling Green

68.1

67.5

67.8

67.8

2-6

3-9

Akron

62.8

62.5

61.7

62.3

0-8

0-12

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

MAC

Overall

Western Michigan

97.6

96.6

97.1

97.1

5-3

7-5

Central Michigan

92.3

93.1

93.5

92.9

6-2

8-5

Ball St.

91.0

90.7

91.2

91.0

4-4

5-7

Eastern Michigan

87.8

88.0

88.2

88.0

3-5

6-6

Northern Illinois

87.5

86.9

87.8

87.4

4-4

5-7

Toledo

84.0

83.9

84.1

84.0

3-5

6-6

MAC Averages

87.0

86.7

87.2

87.0

 

 

Mountain West Conference

Mountain Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

MWC

Overall

Boise St.

108.1

108.5

108.4

108.3

8-0

12-1

Air Force

104.6

106.4

105.6

105.5

7-1

10-2

Wyoming

98.6

100.3

98.9

99.3

4-4

7-5

Utah St.

96.8

96.5

97.1

96.8

6-2

7-5

Colorado St.

88.0

91.2

88.7

89.3

3-5

4-8

New Mexico

79.7

81.7

78.6

80.0

0-8

2-10

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

MWC

Overall

San Diego St.

97.6

99.2

97.6

98.1

5-3

9-3

Hawaii

96.8

98.1

96.0

97.0

5-3

9-5

Fresno St.

92.4

93.4

92.2

92.7

2-6

4-8

Nevada

89.8

91.3

89.1

90.1

4-4

7-5

San Jose St.

87.9

89.7

88.1

88.6

2-6

5-7

U N L V

83.7

85.4

83.5

84.2

2-6

4-8

MWC Averages

93.7

95.1

93.6

94.2

 

 

Pac-12 Conference

North Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

P12

Overall

Oregon

122.0

121.9

122.8

122.2

8-1

11-2

Washington

113.1

112.8

114.0

113.3

4-5

7-5

Washington St.

110.0

109.2

110.0

109.7

3-6

6-6

California

103.7

103.5

104.2

103.8

4-5

7-5

Oregon St.

101.2

102.1

101.5

101.6

4-5

5-7

Stanford

101.6

100.6

100.8

101.0

3-6

4-8

 

 

South Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

P12

Overall

Utah

124.3

123.4

124.9

124.2

8-1

11-2

U S C

111.0

111.6

111.8

111.5

7-2

8-4

Arizona St.

107.9

107.3

108.1

107.8

4-5

7-5

Colorado

98.6

98.5

98.7

98.6

3-6

5-7

U C L A

98.7

98.3

98.2

98.4

4-5

4-8

Arizona

97.0

96.8

96.8

96.9

2-7

4-8

Pac-12 Averages

107.4

107.2

107.7

107.4

 

 

Southeastern Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

SEC

Overall

Georgia

126.3

124.5

126.4

125.7

7-1

11-2

Florida

125.9

123.5

125.8

125.0

6-2

10-2

Kentucky

112.4

111.3

111.6

111.8

3-5

7-5

Tennessee

110.7

110.4

110.1

110.4

5-3

7-5

Missouri

109.9

107.5

108.5

108.6

3-5

6-6

South Carolina

109.0

107.1

108.0

108.0

3-5

4-8

Vanderbilt

92.5

90.9

90.9

91.4

1-7

3-9

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

SEC

Overall

L S U

137.6

135.7

138.0

137.1

8-0

13-0

Alabama

128.8

125.7

129.1

127.9

6-2

10-2

Auburn

122.9

121.1

122.7

122.2

5-3

9-3

Texas A&M

115.1

112.5

113.3

113.7

4-4

7-5

Mississippi St.

109.8

106.6

113.3

109.9

3-5

6-6

Ole Miss

107.8

106.9

108.1

107.6

2-6

4-8

Arkansas

88.0

87.8

87.3

87.7

0-8

2-10

SEC Averages

114.1

112.2

113.8

113.4

 

 

Sunbelt Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

SBC

Overall

Appalachian St.

109.4

108.9

108.6

109.0

7-1

12-1

Georgia Southern

99.0

99.1

98.7

99.0

5-3

7-5

Georgia St.

89.3

90.1

88.4

89.3

4-4

7-5

Troy

89.6

89.8

88.1

89.2

3-5

5-7

Coastal Carolina

86.9

87.8

86.3

87.0

2-6

5-7

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

SBC

Overall

Louisiana

103.1

103.4

102.8

103.1

7-1

10-3

Arkansas St.

90.0

90.4

89.7

90.0

5-3

7-5

Louisiana-Monroe

86.7

87.4

86.4

86.9

4-4

5-7

Texas St.

79.2

79.9

78.9

79.3

2-6

3-9

South Alabama

77.0

79.5

77.0

77.8

1-7

2-10

SBC Averages

91.0

91.6

90.5

91.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

December 1, 2019

PiRate College Football Ratings: December 1, 2019

This Week’s Conference Championships Spreads

All times given are Eastern Standard

Friday, December 6

Conference

Pac-12

North Division

Oregon 10-2

South Division

Utah 11-1

Site:

Santa Clara

Time:

8:00 PM

TV:

ABC

PiRate:

Utah by 7.1

Mean:

Utah by 6.3

Bias:

Utah by 6.8

 

 

Predicted Score:

Utah 27

Oregon 20

 

 

Saturday, December 7

 

Conference

Sun Belt

East Division

Appalachian St. 11-1

West Division

Louisiana 10-2

Site:

Boone, NC (Appy St.)

Time:

12 Noon

TV:

ESPN

PiRate:

Appy St. by 9.2

Mean:

Appy St. by 8.4

Bias:

Appy St. by 9.1

Predicted Score:

Appalachian St. 35

Louisiana 26

 

 

Conference

Mid-American

East Division

Miami (O) 7-5

West Division

Central Michigan 8-4

Site:

Detroit

Time:

12 Noon

TV:

ESPN 2

PiRate:

CMU by 2.0

Mean:

CMU by 3.9

Bias:

CMU by 3.1

 

 

Predicted Score:

Central Mich. 31

Miami (O) 28

 

 

Conference

Big 12

1st Place

Oklahoma 11-1

2nd Place

Baylor 11-1

Site:

Arlington, TX

Time:

12 Noon

TV:

ABC

PiRate:

Oklahoma by 5.2

Mean:

Oklahoma by 4.6

Bias:

Oklahoma by 5.4

 

 

Predicted Score:

Oklahoma 38

Baylor 33

 

 

Conference

Conference USA

East Division

Florida Atlantic 9-3

West Division

UAB 9-3

Site:

Boca Raton, FL (FAU)

Time:

1:30 PM

TV:

CBSSN

PiRate:

FAU by 11.9

Mean:

FAU by 10.0

Bias:

FAU by 12.2

 

 

Predicted Score:

Florida Atlantic 28

UAB 17

 

 

Conference

American Athletic

East Division

Cincinnati 10-2

West Division

Memphis 11-1

Site:

Memphis

Time:

3:30 PM

TV:

ABC

PiRate:

Memphis by 6.9

Mean:

Memphis by 7.8

Bias:

Memphis by 8.1

 

 

Predicted Score:

Memphis 35

Cincinnati 27

 

 

Conference

Mountain West

Mountain Division

Boise St. 11-1

West Division

Hawaii 9-4

Site:

Boise, ID

Time:

4:00 PM

TV:

ESPN

PiRate:

Boise St. by 16.9

Mean:

Boise St. by 15.7

Bias:

Boise St. by 18.0

 

 

Predicted Score:

Boise St. 48

Hawaii 31

 

 

Conference

Southeastern

East Division

Georgia 11-1

West Division

LSU 12-0

Site:

Atlanta

Time:

4:00 PM

TV:

CBS

PiRate:

LSU by 5.6

Mean:

LSU by 5.3

Bias:

LSU by 5.5

Predicted Score:

LSU 35

Georgia 30

 

 

Conference

Atlantic Coast

Atlantic Division

Clemson 12-0

Coastal Division

Virginia 9-3

Site:

Charlotte

Time:

7:30 PM

TV:

ABC

PiRate:

Clemson by 30.2

Mean:

Clemson by 28.3

Bias:

Clemson by 30.9

 

 

Predicted Score:

Clemson 40

Virginia 10

 

 

Conference

Big Ten

East Division

Ohio St. 12-0

West Division

Wisconsin 10-2

Site:

Indianapolis

Time:

8:00 PM

TV:

Fox

PiRate:

Ohio St. by 19.4

Mean:

Ohio St. by 18.8

Bias:

Ohio St. by 20.5

 

 

Predicted Score:

Ohio St. 44

Wisconsin 24

 

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

 

#

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

1

Ohio St.

141.9

141.1

143.0

142.0

2

Clemson

138.8

137.0

140.0

138.6

3

L S U

135.5

133.5

135.7

134.9

4

Georgia

128.4

126.7

128.7

127.9

5

Alabama

128.8

125.7

129.1

127.9

6

Utah

126.8

125.9

127.5

126.7

7

Michigan

125.6

124.3

125.9

125.3

8

Florida

125.9

123.5

125.8

125.0

9

Oklahoma

122.9

122.4

122.5

122.6

10

Wisconsin

122.5

122.3

122.6

122.5

11

Auburn

122.9

121.1

122.7

122.2

12

Penn St.

121.4

120.5

121.4

121.1

13

Notre Dame

120.8

119.9

121.0

120.6

14

Oregon

119.5

119.4

120.2

119.7

15

Iowa

118.4

116.9

118.0

117.8

16

Baylor

117.7

117.8

117.1

117.5

17

Minnesota

117.2

116.8

116.5

116.8

18

Texas A&M

115.1

112.5

113.3

113.7

19

Washington

113.1

112.8

114.0

113.3

20

Iowa St.

112.9

113.2

112.7

112.9

21

Kansas St.

112.4

112.3

112.3

112.3

22

Kentucky

112.4

111.3

111.6

111.8

23

Central Florida

111.6

111.1

112.1

111.6

24

U S C

111.0

111.6

111.8

111.5

25

Texas

111.1

111.4

111.0

111.2

26

Memphis

110.2

110.6

111.4

110.7

27

Virginia Tech

110.5

110.5

111.2

110.7

28

Tennessee

110.7

110.4

110.1

110.4

29

Oklahoma St.

110.3

110.8

109.7

110.3

30

Mississippi St.

109.8

106.6

113.3

109.9

31

Washington St.

110.0

109.2

110.0

109.7

32

Indiana

109.9

108.9

109.5

109.4

33

Appalachian St.

109.6

109.1

109.0

109.2

34

Virginia

108.6

108.7

109.1

108.8

35

Missouri

109.9

107.5

108.5

108.6

36

T C U

107.7

109.7

107.9

108.4

37

Boise St.

107.9

108.2

108.0

108.0

38

South Carolina

109.0

107.1

108.0

108.0

39

North Carolina

107.7

107.6

108.4

107.9

40

Arizona St.

107.9

107.3

108.1

107.8

41

Ole Miss

107.8

106.9

108.1

107.6

42

Michigan St.

107.7

106.8

106.7

107.1

43

Nebraska

106.3

106.5

105.6

106.1

44

Cincinnati

105.8

105.3

105.8

105.6

45

Air Force

104.6

106.4

105.6

105.5

46

SMU

104.8

104.7

105.4

105.0

47

Florida St.

104.8

104.6

104.9

104.8

48

Miami (Fla.)

104.5

104.0

105.1

104.5

49

Texas Tech

104.6

104.9

103.7

104.4

50

Purdue

104.1

103.9

103.7

103.9

51

California

103.7

103.5

104.2

103.8

52

Wake Forest

103.1

102.4

103.3

102.9

53

Louisiana

102.9

103.2

102.4

102.8

54

Northwestern

103.4

102.6

102.1

102.7

55

West Virginia

102.7

102.7

102.3

102.5

56

Illinois

102.2

102.8

101.8

102.3

57

Pittsburgh

102.4

101.8

102.3

102.2

58

BYU

102.1

102.3

101.6

102.0

59

Boston College

101.9

101.4

102.0

101.8

60

Oregon St.

101.2

102.1

101.5

101.6

61

Navy

100.3

102.6

101.6

101.5

62

Stanford

101.6

100.6

100.8

101.0

63

Louisville

100.2

99.8

99.9

100.0

64

Tulane

99.6

100.2

100.0

99.9

65

Temple

99.4

99.3

100.5

99.7

66

Wyoming

98.6

100.3

98.9

99.3

67

Syracuse

99.7

98.9

98.9

99.2

68

Duke

99.4

98.6

99.1

99.0

69

Georgia Southern

99.0

99.1

98.7

99.0

70

Florida Atlantic

98.5

98.5

99.6

98.9

71

Colorado

98.6

98.5

98.7

98.6

72

U C L A

98.7

98.3

98.2

98.4

73

Ohio

98.4

97.6

98.9

98.3

74

San Diego St.

97.6

99.2

97.6

98.1

75

Hawaii

97.0

98.4

96.4

97.3

76

Western Michigan

97.6

96.6

97.1

97.1

77

Arizona

97.0

96.8

96.8

96.9

78

Utah St.

96.8

96.5

97.1

96.8

79

Western Kentucky

95.3

95.9

96.5

95.9

80

Houston

94.8

95.7

96.4

95.6

81

Buffalo

94.8

95.4

96.2

95.4

82

Tulsa

94.1

95.1

95.4

94.9

83

Kansas

93.7

94.7

93.8

94.1

84

Army

94.1

94.3

93.4

94.0

85

Louisiana Tech

93.9

94.1

93.7

93.9

86

Southern Miss.

93.7

92.6

93.9

93.4

87

Central Michigan

92.3

93.1

93.5

92.9

88

Maryland

93.5

92.6

92.0

92.7

89

Fresno St.

92.4

93.4

92.2

92.7

90

Marshall

92.0

91.7

92.5

92.1

91

North Carolina St.

92.3

91.4

91.6

91.8

92

Vanderbilt

92.5

90.9

90.9

91.4

93

Ball St.

91.0

90.7

91.2

91.0

94

Nevada

89.8

91.3

89.1

90.1

95

Arkansas St.

90.0

90.4

89.7

90.0

96

Liberty

89.5

90.8

89.8

90.0

97

U A B

89.1

91.0

89.9

90.0

98

Miami (Ohio)

90.3

89.2

90.4

90.0

99

Georgia Tech

90.2

88.9

90.2

89.8

100

Kent St.

89.0

89.1

89.8

89.3

101

Colorado St.

88.0

91.2

88.7

89.3

102

Georgia St.

89.3

90.1

88.4

89.3

103

Troy

89.6

89.8

88.1

89.2

104

Florida Int’l.

89.1

89.0

89.3

89.1

105

South Florida

88.8

89.3

88.9

89.0

106

Middle Tennessee

88.9

88.5

89.2

88.9

107

San Jose St.

87.9

89.7

88.1

88.6

108

Charlotte

87.9

88.3

88.6

88.3

109

Eastern Michigan

87.8

88.0

88.2

88.0

110

Arkansas

88.0

87.8

87.3

87.7

111

Northern Illinois

87.5

86.9

87.8

87.4

112

Coastal Carolina

86.9

87.8

86.3

87.0

113

Louisiana-Monroe

86.7

87.4

86.4

86.9

114

North Texas

86.3

86.0

86.2

86.2

115

Rutgers

85.1

84.6

83.6

84.4

116

U N L V

83.7

85.4

83.5

84.2

117

Toledo

84.0

83.9

84.1

84.0

118

Rice

82.4

83.7

82.4

82.8

119

East Carolina

82.4

83.6

82.3

82.8

120

New Mexico

79.7

81.7

78.6

80.0

121

Texas St.

79.2

79.9

78.9

79.3

122

South Alabama

77.0

79.5

77.0

77.8

123

Texas-San Antonio

76.1

77.9

76.5

76.8

124

New Mexico St.

75.6

77.3

75.2

76.0

125

Old Dominion

73.5

73.5

73.2

73.4

126

Connecticut

71.3

73.9

70.8

72.0

127

U T E P

68.5

71.8

68.6

69.6

128

Bowling Green

68.1

67.5

67.8

67.8

129

Akron

62.8

62.5

61.7

62.3

130

Massachusetts

56.7

58.2

55.7

56.9

 

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference

 

American Athletic Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

AAC

Overall

Central Florida

111.6

111.1

112.1

111.6

6-2

9-3

Cincinnati

105.8

105.3

105.8

105.6

7-1

10-2

Temple

99.4

99.3

100.5

99.7

5-3

8-4

South Florida

88.8

89.3

88.9

89.0

2-6

4-8

East Carolina

82.4

83.6

82.3

82.8

1-7

4-8

Connecticut

71.3

73.9

70.8

72.0

0-8

2-10

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

AAC

Overall

Memphis

110.2

110.6

111.4

110.7

7-1

11-1

SMU

104.8

104.7

105.4

105.0

6-2

10-2

Navy

100.3

102.6

101.6

101.5

7-1

9-2

Tulane

99.6

100.2

100.0

99.9

3-5

6-6

Houston

94.8

95.7

96.4

95.6

2-6

4-8

Tulsa

94.1

95.1

95.4

94.9

2-6

4-8

AAC Averages

96.9

97.6

97.6

97.4

 

 

Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

ACC

Overall

Clemson

138.8

137.0

140.0

138.6

8-0

12-0

Florida St.

104.8

104.6

104.9

104.8

4-4

6-6

Wake Forest

103.1

102.4

103.3

102.9

4-4

8-4

Boston College

101.9

101.4

102.0

101.8

4-4

6-6

Louisville

100.2

99.8

99.9

100.0

5-3

7-5

Syracuse

99.7

98.9

98.9

99.2

2-6

5-7

North Carolina St.

92.3

91.4

91.6

91.8

1-7

4-8

Coastal Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

ACC

Overall

Virginia Tech

110.5

110.5

111.2

110.7

5-3

8-4

Virginia

108.6

108.7

109.1

108.8

6-2

9-3

North Carolina

107.7

107.6

108.4

107.9

4-4

6-6

Miami (Fla.)

104.5

104.0

105.1

104.5

4-4

6-6

Pittsburgh

102.4

101.8

102.3

102.2

4-4

7-5

Duke

99.4

98.6

99.1

99.0

3-5

5-7

Georgia Tech

90.2

88.9

90.2

89.8

2-6

3-9

ACC Averages

104.6

104.0

104.7

104.4

 

 

Big 12 Conference

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

B12

Overall

Oklahoma

122.9

122.4

122.5

122.6

8-1

11-1

Baylor

117.7

117.8

117.1

117.5

8-1

11-1

Iowa St.

112.9

113.2

112.7

112.9

5-4

7-5

Kansas St.

112.4

112.3

112.3

112.3

5-4

8-4

Texas

111.1

111.4

111.0

111.2

5-4

7-5

Oklahoma St.

110.3

110.8

109.7

110.3

5-4

8-4

T C U

107.7

109.7

107.9

108.4

3-6

5-7

Texas Tech

104.6

104.9

103.7

104.4

2-7

4-8

West Virginia

102.7

102.7

102.3

102.5

3-6

5-7

Kansas

93.7

94.7

93.8

94.1

1-8

3-9

Big 12 Averages

109.6

110.0

109.3

109.6

 

 

Big Ten Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

BTen

Overall

Ohio St.

141.9

141.1

143.0

142.0

9-0

12-0

Michigan

125.6

124.3

125.9

125.3

6-3

9-3

Penn St.

121.4

120.5

121.4

121.1

7-2

10-2

Indiana

109.9

108.9

109.5

109.4

5-4

8-4

Michigan St.

107.7

106.8

106.7

107.1

4-5

6-6

Maryland

93.5

92.6

92.0

92.7

1-8

3-9

Rutgers

85.1

84.6

83.6

84.4

0-9

2-10

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

BTen

Overall

Wisconsin

122.5

122.3

122.6

122.5

7-2

10-2

Iowa

118.4

116.9

118.0

117.8

6-3

9-3

Minnesota

117.2

116.8

116.5

116.8

7-2

10-2

Nebraska

106.3

106.5

105.6

106.1

3-6

5-7

Purdue

104.1

103.9

103.7

103.9

3-6

4-8

Northwestern

103.4

102.6

102.1

102.7

1-8

3-9

Illinois

102.2

102.8

101.8

102.3

4-5

6-6

Big Ten Averages

111.4

110.8

110.9

111.0

 

 

Conference USA

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

CUSA

Overall

Florida Atlantic

98.5

98.5

99.6

98.9

7-1

9-3

Western Kentucky

95.3

95.9

96.5

95.9

6-2

8-4

Marshall

92.0

91.7

92.5

92.1

6-2

8-4

Florida Int’l.

89.1

89.0

89.3

89.1

4-4

6-6

Middle Tennessee

88.9

88.5

89.2

88.9

3-5

4-8

Charlotte

87.9

88.3

88.6

88.3

5-3

7-5

Old Dominion

73.5

73.5

73.2

73.4

0-8

1-11

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

CUSA

Overall

Louisiana Tech

93.9

94.1

93.7

93.9

6-2

9-3

Southern Miss.

93.7

92.6

93.9

93.4

5-3

7-5

U A B

89.1

91.0

89.9

90.0

6-2

9-3

North Texas

86.3

86.0

86.2

86.2

3-5

4-8

Rice

82.4

83.7

82.4

82.8

3-5

3-9

Texas-San Antonio

76.1

77.9

76.5

76.8

3-5

4-8

U T E P

68.5

71.8

68.6

69.6

0-8

1-11

 

 

CUSA Averages

86.8

87.3

87.2

87.1

 

 

FBS Independents

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Conf.

Overall

Notre Dame

120.8

119.9

121.0

120.6

x

10-2

BYU

102.1

102.3

101.6

102.0

x

7-5

Army

94.1

94.3

93.4

94.0

x

5-7

Liberty

89.5

90.8

89.8

90.0

x

7-5

New Mexico St.

75.6

77.3

75.2

76.0

x

2-10

Massachusetts

56.7

58.2

55.7

56.9

x

1-11

Indep. Averages

89.8

90.5

89.4

89.9

 

 

Mid-American Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

MAC

Overall

Ohio

98.4

97.6

98.9

98.3

5-3

6-6

Buffalo

94.8

95.4

96.2

95.4

5-3

7-5

Miami (Ohio)

90.3

89.2

90.4

90.0

6-2

7-5

Kent St.

89.0

89.1

89.8

89.3

5-3

6-6

Bowling Green

68.1

67.5

67.8

67.8

2-6

3-9

Akron

62.8

62.5

61.7

62.3

0-8

0-12

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

MAC

Overall

Western Michigan

97.6

96.6

97.1

97.1

5-3

7-5

Central Michigan

92.3

93.1

93.5

92.9

6-2

8-4

Ball St.

91.0

90.7

91.2

91.0

4-4

5-7

Eastern Michigan

87.8

88.0

88.2

88.0

3-5

6-6

Northern Illinois

87.5

86.9

87.8

87.4

4-4

5-7

Toledo

84.0

83.9

84.1

84.0

3-5

6-6

MAC Averages

87.0

86.7

87.2

87.0

 

 

Mountain West Conference

Mountain Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

MWC

Overall

Boise St.

107.9

108.2

108.0

108.0

8-0

11-1

Air Force

104.6

106.4

105.6

105.5

7-1

10-2

Wyoming

98.6

100.3

98.9

99.3

4-4

7-5

Utah St.

96.8

96.5

97.1

96.8

6-2

7-5

Colorado St.

88.0

91.2

88.7

89.3

3-5

4-8

New Mexico

79.7

81.7

78.6

80.0

0-8

2-10

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

MWC

Overall

San Diego St.

97.6

99.2

97.6

98.1

5-3

9-3

Hawaii

97.0

98.4

96.4

97.3

5-3

9-4

Fresno St.

92.4

93.4

92.2

92.7

2-6

4-8

Nevada

89.8

91.3

89.1

90.1

4-4

7-5

San Jose St.

87.9

89.7

88.1

88.6

2-6

5-7

U N L V

83.7

85.4

83.5

84.2

2-6

4-8

MWC Averages

93.7

95.1

93.6

94.2

 

 

Pac-12 Conference

North Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

P12

Overall

Oregon

119.5

119.4

120.2

119.7

8-1

10-2

Washington

113.1

112.8

114.0

113.3

4-5

7-5

Washington St.

110.0

109.2

110.0

109.7

3-6

6-6

California

103.7

103.5

104.2

103.8

4-5

7-5

Oregon St.

101.2

102.1

101.5

101.6

4-5

5-7

Stanford

101.6

100.6

100.8

101.0

3-6

4-8

 

 

South Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

P12

Overall

Utah

126.8

125.9

127.5

126.7

8-1

11-1

U S C

111.0

111.6

111.8

111.5

7-2

8-4

Arizona St.

107.9

107.3

108.1

107.8

4-5

7-5

Colorado

98.6

98.5

98.7

98.6

3-6

5-7

U C L A

98.7

98.3

98.2

98.4

4-5

4-8

Arizona

97.0

96.8

96.8

96.9

2-7

4-8

Pac-12 Averages

107.4

107.2

107.7

107.4

 

 

Southeastern Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

SEC

Overall

Georgia

128.4

126.7

128.7

127.9

7-1

11-1

Florida

125.9

123.5

125.8

125.0

6-2

10-2

Kentucky

112.4

111.3

111.6

111.8

3-5

7-5

Tennessee

110.7

110.4

110.1

110.4

5-3

7-5

Missouri

109.9

107.5

108.5

108.6

3-5

6-6

South Carolina

109.0

107.1

108.0

108.0

3-5

4-8

Vanderbilt

92.5

90.9

90.9

91.4

1-7

3-9

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

SEC

Overall

L S U

135.5

133.5

135.7

134.9

8-0

12-0

Alabama

128.8

125.7

129.1

127.9

6-2

10-2

Auburn

122.9

121.1

122.7

122.2

5-3

9-3

Texas A&M

115.1

112.5

113.3

113.7

4-4

7-5

Mississippi St.

109.8

106.6

113.3

109.9

3-5

6-6

Ole Miss

107.8

106.9

108.1

107.6

2-6

4-8

Arkansas

88.0

87.8

87.3

87.7

0-8

2-10

SEC Averages

114.1

112.2

113.8

113.4

 

 

Sunbelt Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

SBC

Overall

Appalachian St.

109.6

109.1

109.0

109.2

7-1

11-1

Georgia Southern

99.0

99.1

98.7

99.0

5-3

7-5

Georgia St.

89.3

90.1

88.4

89.3

4-4

7-5

Troy

89.6

89.8

88.1

89.2

3-5

5-7

Coastal Carolina

86.9

87.8

86.3

87.0

2-6

5-7

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

SBC

Overall

Louisiana

102.9

103.2

102.4

102.8

7-1

10-2

Arkansas St.

90.0

90.4

89.7

90.0

5-3

7-5

Louisiana-Monroe

86.7

87.4

86.4

86.9

4-4

5-7

Texas St.

79.2

79.9

78.9

79.3

2-6

3-9

South Alabama

77.0

79.5

77.0

77.8

1-7

2-10

SBC Averages

91.0

91.6

90.5

91.1

 

Conference Power Ratings

#

League

Average

1

Southeastern

113.4

2

Big Ten

111.0

3

Big 12

109.6

4

Pac-12

107.4

5

Atlantic Coast

104.4

6

American

97.4

7

Mountain West

94.2

8

Sun Belt

91.1

9

Independents

89.9

10

Conference USA

87.1

11

Mid-American

87.0

 

 

Our Guess at Top 6

1

Ohio St.

2

LSU

3

Clemson

4

Georgia

5

Utah

6

Oklahoma

 

 

Top 5 Group of 5

1

Memphis

2

Boise St.

3

Appalachian St.

4

Cincinnati

5

Louisiana

 

PiRate Bowl Projections

One is the loneliest team that you’ll ever know–79 Bowl Eligible Teams For 78 Spots

 

Bowl

Conf

Conf

Team

Team

Bahamas

MAC

CUSA

Buffalo

Charlotte

Frisco

AAC

At-large

SMU

[Louisiana Tech]

Cure

AAC

SBC

Navy

Georgia St.

New Mexico

CUSA

MWC

UAB

Air Force

Boca Raton

AAC

MAC

Central Florida

Miami (O)

Camellia

MAC

SBC

Western Michigan

Arkansas St.

Las Vegas

MWC #1

Pac-12

Boise St.

Washington St.

New Orleans

CUSA

SBC #1

Western Kentucky

Appalachian St.

Gasparilla

AAC

CUSA

Cincinnati

Florida Atlantic

Hawaii

BYU/MWC

AAC/MWC

BYU

Hawaii

Independence

ACC

SEC

North Carolina

[Florida Int’l.]

Quick Lane

ACC

Big Ten

Florida St.

Michigan St.

Military

ACC

AAC

Boston College

Temple

Pinstripe

ACC

Big Ten

Pittsburgh

Michigan

Texas

Big 12

SEC

Texas

Texas A&M

Holiday

Pac-12

Big Ten

Washington

Iowa

Cheez-It

Big 12

Pac-12

[Liberty]

[Nevada]

Camping World

ACC

Big 12

Notre Dame

Iowa St.

Cotton

At-large

At-large

Oklahoma

Memphis

First Responder

CUSA

Big 12

Southern Miss.

[Kent St.]

Redbox

Pac-12

Big Ten

Arizona St.

Illinois

Music City

SEC

ACC

Kentucky

Indiana

Orange

ACC

BTen/SEC

Virginia

Alabama

Belk

ACC

SEC

Wake Forest

[Marshall]

Sun

ACC

Pac-12

Virginia Tech

California

Liberty

Big 12

SEC

Kansas St.

Mississippi St.

Arizona

SBC

MWC

Louisiana

San Diego St.

Alamo

Big 12

Pac-12

Oklahoma St.

USC

Citrus

SEC

BTen/ACC

Florida

Wisconsin

Outback

Big Ten

SEC

Minnesota

Auburn

Rose

Big Ten

Pac-12

Penn St.

Oregon

Sugar

Big 12

SEC

Baylor

Georgia

Birmingham

AAC

SEC

Tulane

[Miami (Fla.)]

Taxslayer/Gator

SEC

Big Ten

Tennessee

Louisville

Idaho Potato

MAC

MWC

Toledo

Utah St.

Armed Forces

Big Ten

MWC

[Ohio]

Wyoming

Lending Tree

MAC

SBC

Central Michigan

Georgia Southern

FBS PLAYOFFS

Fiesta

Top 4

Top 4

LSU

Clemson

Peach

Top 4

Top 4

Ohio St.

Utah

Championship

Fiesta

Peach

Clemson

Ohio St.

Teams in [Brackets] are at-large selections

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

November 24, 2019

PiRate College Football Ratings: November 24, 2019

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 12:48 pm

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Tuesday

November 26

Home

Visitors

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Akron

Ohio

-27.7

-27.1

-29.3

Northern Illinois

Western Michigan

-9.4

-9.2

-9.0

 

 

Thursday

November 28

Home

Visitors

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Mississippi St.

Ole Miss

3.7

1.2

7.5

 

 

Friday

November 29

Home

Visitors

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Arkansas

Missouri

-20.0

-17.5

-19.7

Ball St.

Miami (O)

1.4

2.0

1.1

Buffalo

Bowling Green

27.4

28.6

29.1

Central Florida

South Florida

24.1

22.7

24.1

Central Michigan

Toledo

5.0

5.7

5.7

Colorado St.

Boise St.

-18.1

-15.0

-18.0

Eastern Michigan

Kent St.

3.3

3.6

3.3

Memphis

Cincinnati

7.2

7.9

8.2

Nebraska

Iowa

-9.5

-7.8

-10.2

South Alabama

Arkansas St.

-13.9

-11.7

-14.0

TCU

West Virginia

10.3

12.6

11.2

Texas

Texas Tech

6.6

6.5

7.0

Troy

Appalachian St.

-13.8

-12.7

-14.5

Virginia

Virginia Tech

-1.7

-1.8

-2.5

Washington

Washington St.

2.2

2.4

2.6

 

 

Saturday

November 30

Home

Visitors

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Air Force

Wyoming

7.8

7.7

8.3

Arizona St.

Arizona

12.6

12.5

13.6

Auburn

Alabama

-5.0

-3.7

-5.9

Coastal Carolina

Texas St.

10.9

11.6

11.3

Duke

Miami (Fla.)

-4.6

-5.0

-6.1

East Carolina

Tulsa

-6.6

-5.9

-7.9

Florida

Florida St.

22.5

20.0

22.1

Florida Atlantic

Southern Miss.

6.6

7.7

7.3

Georgia Southern

Georgia St.

7.3

6.2

7.5

Georgia Tech

Georgia

-34.6

-34.0

-34.5

Hawaii

Army

4.6

5.7

4.3

Houston

Navy

0.9

-0.5

1.8

Illinois

Northwestern

4.6

6.4

6.1

Kansas

Baylor

-14.0

-13.1

-13.3

Kansas St.

Iowa St.

-0.4

-1.2

-0.7

Kentucky

Louisville

9.2

8.1

8.1

Liberty

New Mexico St.

16.5

15.7

16.8

Louisiana

UL-Monroe

19.5

19.3

19.7

Louisiana Tech

Texas-San Antonio

20.7

19.1

20.5

LSU

Texas A&M

16.0

15.2

16.6

Marshall

Florida Int’l.

6.3

6.3

7.2

Michigan

Ohio St.

-9.6

-9.9

-10.1

Michigan St.

Maryland

18.6

18.8

19.7

Minnesota

Wisconsin

1.3

1.3

0.9

Nevada

UNLV

8.8

8.8

8.7

New Mexico

Utah St.

-14.8

-12.0

-16.7

North Carolina St.

North Carolina

-10.4

-11.2

-11.6

North Texas

UAB

0.3

-2.1

-0.4

Oklahoma St.

Oklahoma

-10.2

-8.8

-10.0

Old Dominion

Charlotte

-12.0

-12.2

-12.6

Oregon

Oregon St.

20.2

19.2

21.2

Penn St.

Rutgers

42.0

41.6

43.5

Pittsburgh

Boston College

5.9

6.0

6.1

Purdue

Indiana

-4.7

-3.9

-5.1

San Diego St.

BYU

-2.5

-1.0

-2.4

San Jose St.

Fresno St.

-3.4

-2.6

-3.4

SMU

Tulane

6.7

5.9

6.5

South Carolina

Clemson

-27.0

-26.9

-29.2

Stanford

Notre Dame

-15.5

-15.4

-16.3

Syracuse

Wake Forest

-0.6

-0.7

-1.8

Temple

Connecticut

30.4

27.2

32.2

Tennessee

Vanderbilt

19.4

20.7

20.4

UCLA

California

-1.9

-1.9

-2.7

Utah

Colorado

31.2

30.4

31.8

UTEP

Rice

-12.2

-9.6

-11.5

Western Kentucky

Middle Tennessee

8.1

9.5

9.6

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

#

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

1

Ohio St.

139.8

138.9

140.7

139.8

2

Clemson

138.0

136.1

139.2

137.8

3

L S U

131.3

129.1

131.3

130.6

4

Alabama

129.1

126.0

129.6

128.2

5

Michigan

127.2

126.0

127.7

127.0

6

Utah

126.8

125.9

127.5

126.7

7

Georgia

127.2

125.4

127.3

126.6

8

Florida

125.9

123.3

125.7

124.9

9

Penn St.

123.5

122.6

123.5

123.2

10

Oklahoma

122.3

121.6

121.7

121.9

11

Auburn

122.6

120.8

122.2

121.9

12

Wisconsin

120.7

120.4

120.6

120.6

13

Oregon

119.7

119.6

120.7

120.0

14

Notre Dame

120.3

119.3

120.4

120.0

15

Minnesota

119.0

118.7

118.5

118.7

16

Iowa

118.6

117.1

118.4

118.0

17

Texas A&M

118.3

116.9

117.7

117.7

18

Iowa St.

114.2

114.7

114.2

114.3

19

Baylor

113.7

113.8

113.1

113.5

20

Washington

112.0

111.6

112.7

112.1

21

Virginia Tech

111.3

111.4

112.3

111.7

22

U S C

111.0

111.6

111.8

111.5

23

Central Florida

111.5

110.8

111.8

111.4

24

Washington St.

111.4

110.7

111.6

111.2

25

Oklahoma St.

110.6

111.3

110.2

110.7

26

Kansas St.

110.8

110.5

110.5

110.6

27

Memphis

110.1

110.4

111.2

110.6

28

Tennessee

110.7

110.4

110.1

110.4

29

Mississippi St.

109.9

106.6

113.7

110.1

30

Texas

109.9

110.1

109.6

109.9

31

Indiana

110.1

109.1

109.9

109.7

32

T C U

108.8

111.0

109.2

109.7

33

Kentucky

110.0

108.7

108.9

109.2

34

Missouri

110.2

107.7

109.0

109.0

35

Boise St.

108.5

108.7

108.8

108.7

36

South Carolina

109.5

107.7

108.5

108.6

37

Michigan St.

108.9

108.1

108.2

108.4

38

Virginia

108.1

108.1

108.3

108.2

39

Arizona St.

108.0

107.5

108.5

108.0

40

Ole Miss

107.7

106.9

107.7

107.4

41

Appalachian St.

107.5

106.8

106.8

107.0

42

North Carolina

106.1

106.0

106.7

106.3

43

Miami (Fla.)

106.0

105.6

106.9

106.2

44

Nebraska

106.1

106.3

105.2

105.9

45

Cincinnati

105.9

105.5

106.0

105.8

46

Texas Tech

105.8

106.2

105.1

105.7

47

Air Force

104.1

105.8

105.0

105.0

48

Florida St.

104.8

104.8

105.0

104.9

49

Illinois

104.6

105.4

104.5

104.8

50

SMU

104.3

104.1

104.7

104.4

51

Louisiana

103.8

104.2

103.5

103.8

52

Purdue

103.9

103.7

103.3

103.6

53

Pittsburgh

103.6

103.1

103.7

103.5

54

California

103.4

103.1

103.8

103.4

55

Wake Forest

103.2

102.5

103.5

103.1

56

BYU

102.6

102.8

102.3

102.6

57

Louisville

102.3

102.1

102.3

102.2

58

West Virginia

101.6

101.4

101.0

101.3

59

Oregon St.

101.0

101.9

101.0

101.3

60

Stanford

101.8

100.9

101.1

101.3

61

Northwestern

101.5

100.5

99.9

100.7

62

Tulane

100.1

100.8

100.7

100.5

63

Boston College

100.7

100.1

100.6

100.5

64

Navy

98.6

100.9

99.6

99.7

65

Temple

99.3

99.0

100.5

99.6

66

Wyoming

98.8

100.6

99.2

99.5

67

Syracuse

99.6

98.8

98.7

99.0

68

U C L A

99.0

98.7

98.6

98.8

69

Colorado

98.6

98.5

98.7

98.6

70

Florida Atlantic

97.9

97.9

98.9

98.2

71

Western Michigan

98.5

97.6

98.2

98.1

72

Duke

98.4

97.5

97.8

97.9

73

San Diego St.

97.1

98.7

96.9

97.6

74

Houston

96.5

97.4

98.4

97.4

75

Kansas

96.7

97.7

96.8

97.1

76

Utah St.

96.9

96.4

97.5

96.9

77

Arizona

96.9

96.6

96.4

96.6

78

Georgia Southern

96.7

96.6

96.2

96.5

79

Western Kentucky

95.4

96.2

96.9

96.2

80

Ohio

95.9

95.1

96.4

95.8

81

Hawaii

95.6

97.0

94.8

95.8

82

Army

95.5

95.7

95.0

95.4

83

Buffalo

93.7

94.3

95.1

94.3

84

Louisiana Tech

94.1

94.3

94.1

94.1

85

Southern Miss.

94.3

93.2

94.6

94.0

86

North Carolina St.

94.2

93.3

93.6

93.7

87

Tulsa

92.8

93.6

94.0

93.5

88

Fresno St.

92.6

93.6

92.6

92.9

89

Marshall

92.2

92.0

93.0

92.4

90

Maryland

93.3

92.3

91.5

92.4

91

Arkansas St.

91.7

92.1

91.6

91.8

92

Vanderbilt

92.8

91.2

91.2

91.7

93

Georgia St.

90.9

91.9

90.2

91.0

94

Miami (Ohio)

91.2

90.2

91.5

91.0

95

Troy

91.2

91.6

89.8

90.9

96

Georgia Tech

91.1

89.9

91.3

90.8

97

Nevada

90.4

92.0

89.9

90.8

98

Ball St.

90.1

89.7

90.1

90.0

99

Central Michigan

89.2

89.9

90.2

89.7

100

U A B

88.8

90.8

89.5

89.7

101

Liberty

89.3

90.4

89.4

89.7

102

South Florida

88.9

89.6

89.2

89.2

103

Eastern Michigan

88.8

89.1

89.4

89.1

104

Florida Int’l.

88.9

88.7

88.8

88.8

105

Colorado St.

87.4

90.7

87.9

88.7

106

Middle Tennessee

88.8

88.2

88.8

88.6

107

San Jose St.

87.7

89.5

87.7

88.3

108

Kent St.

88.0

88.0

88.6

88.2

109

Charlotte

87.7

88.0

88.2

88.0

110

Coastal Carolina

87.3

88.4

87.0

87.6

111

Arkansas

87.7

87.6

86.8

87.4

112

Toledo

86.7

86.7

87.0

86.8

113

North Texas

86.6

86.2

86.6

86.5

114

Northern Illinois

86.6

85.9

86.7

86.4

115

Louisiana-Monroe

85.8

86.4

85.3

85.9

116

East Carolina

83.7

85.1

83.7

84.2

117

Rutgers

84.5

84.0

83.0

83.8

118

U N L V

83.1

84.7

82.7

83.5

119

Rice

82.3

83.3

82.0

82.5

120

New Mexico

79.6

81.8

78.2

79.9

121

Texas St.

78.8

79.3

78.2

78.8

122

Texas-San Antonio

75.9

77.7

76.1

76.5

123

New Mexico St.

75.8

77.7

75.6

76.3

124

South Alabama

75.3

77.8

75.1

76.1

125

Old Dominion

73.7

73.8

73.6

73.7

126

Connecticut

71.4

74.2

70.8

72.1

127

U T E P

68.6

72.2

69.0

69.9

128

Bowling Green

69.2

68.6

68.9

68.9

129

Akron

66.8

66.5

65.7

66.3

130

Massachusetts

56.7

58.2

55.7

56.9

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Central Florida

111.5

110.8

111.8

111.4

Cincinnati

105.9

105.5

106.0

105.8

Temple

99.3

99.0

100.5

99.6

South Florida

88.9

89.6

89.2

89.2

East Carolina

83.7

85.1

83.7

84.2

Connecticut

71.4

74.2

70.8

72.1

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Memphis

110.1

110.4

111.2

110.6

SMU

104.3

104.1

104.7

104.4

Tulane

100.1

100.8

100.7

100.5

Navy

98.6

100.9

99.6

99.7

Houston

96.5

97.4

98.4

97.4

Tulsa

92.8

93.6

94.0

93.5

AAC Averages

96.9

97.6

97.6

97.4

 

 

Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Clemson

138.0

136.1

139.2

137.8

Florida St.

104.8

104.8

105.0

104.9

Wake Forest

103.2

102.5

103.5

103.1

Louisville

102.3

102.1

102.3

102.2

Boston College

100.7

100.1

100.6

100.5

Syracuse

99.6

98.8

98.7

99.0

North Carolina St.

94.2

93.3

93.6

93.7

 

 

Coastal Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Virginia Tech

111.3

111.4

112.3

111.7

Virginia

108.1

108.1

108.3

108.2

North Carolina

106.1

106.0

106.7

106.3

Miami (Fla.)

106.0

105.6

106.9

106.2

Pittsburgh

103.6

103.1

103.7

103.5

Duke

98.4

97.5

97.8

97.9

Georgia Tech

91.1

89.9

91.3

90.8

ACC Averages

104.8

104.2

105.0

104.7

 

 

Big 12 Conference

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Oklahoma

122.3

121.6

121.7

121.9

Iowa St.

114.2

114.7

114.2

114.3

Baylor

113.7

113.8

113.1

113.5

Oklahoma St.

110.6

111.3

110.2

110.7

Kansas St.

110.8

110.5

110.5

110.6

Texas

109.9

110.1

109.6

109.9

T C U

108.8

111.0

109.2

109.7

Texas Tech

105.8

106.2

105.1

105.7

West Virginia

101.6

101.4

101.0

101.3

Kansas

96.7

97.7

96.8

97.1

Big 12 Averages

109.4

109.8

109.1

109.5

 

 

Big Ten Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Ohio St.

139.8

138.9

140.7

139.8

Michigan

127.2

126.0

127.7

127.0

Penn St.

123.5

122.6

123.5

123.2

Indiana

110.1

109.1

109.9

109.7

Michigan St.

108.9

108.1

108.2

108.4

Maryland

93.3

92.3

91.5

92.4

Rutgers

84.5

84.0

83.0

83.8

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Wisconsin

120.7

120.4

120.6

120.6

Minnesota

119.0

118.7

118.5

118.7

Iowa

118.6

117.1

118.4

118.0

Nebraska

106.1

106.3

105.2

105.9

Illinois

104.6

105.4

104.5

104.8

Purdue

103.9

103.7

103.3

103.6

Northwestern

101.5

100.5

99.9

100.7

Big Ten Averages

111.6

110.9

111.1

111.2

 

 

Conference USA

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Florida Atlantic

97.9

97.9

98.9

98.2

Western Kentucky

95.4

96.2

96.9

96.2

Marshall

92.2

92.0

93.0

92.4

Florida Int’l.

88.9

88.7

88.8

88.8

Middle Tennessee

88.8

88.2

88.8

88.6

Charlotte

87.7

88.0

88.2

88.0

Old Dominion

73.7

73.8

73.6

73.7

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Louisiana Tech

94.1

94.3

94.1

94.1

Southern Miss.

94.3

93.2

94.6

94.0

U A B

88.8

90.8

89.5

89.7

North Texas

86.6

86.2

86.6

86.5

Rice

82.3

83.3

82.0

82.5

Texas-San Antonio

75.9

77.7

76.1

76.5

U T E P

68.6

72.2

69.0

69.9

CUSA Averages

86.8

87.3

87.2

87.1

 

 

FBS Independents

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Notre Dame

120.3

119.3

120.4

120.0

BYU

102.6

102.8

102.3

102.6

Army

95.5

95.7

95.0

95.4

Liberty

89.3

90.4

89.4

89.7

New Mexico St.

75.8

77.7

75.6

76.3

Massachusetts

56.7

58.2

55.7

56.9

Indep. Averages

90.0

90.7

89.7

90.1

 

 

Mid-American Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Ohio

95.9

95.1

96.4

95.8

Buffalo

93.7

94.3

95.1

94.3

Miami (Ohio)

91.2

90.2

91.5

91.0

Kent St.

88.0

88.0

88.6

88.2

Bowling Green

69.2

68.6

68.9

68.9

Akron

66.8

66.5

65.7

66.3

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Western Michigan

98.5

97.6

98.2

98.1

Ball St.

90.1

89.7

90.1

90.0

Central Michigan

89.2

89.9

90.2

89.7

Eastern Michigan

88.8

89.1

89.4

89.1

Toledo

86.7

86.7

87.0

86.8

Northern Illinois

86.6

85.9

86.7

86.4

MAC Averages

87.1

86.8

87.3

87.1

 

 

Mountain West Conference

Mountain Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Boise St.

108.5

108.7

108.8

108.7

Air Force

104.1

105.8

105.0

105.0

Wyoming

98.8

100.6

99.2

99.5

Utah St.

96.9

96.4

97.5

96.9

Colorado St.

87.4

90.7

87.9

88.7

New Mexico

79.6

81.8

78.2

79.9

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

San Diego St.

97.1

98.7

96.9

97.6

Hawaii

95.6

97.0

94.8

95.8

Fresno St.

92.6

93.6

92.6

92.9

Nevada

90.4

92.0

89.9

90.8

San Jose St.

87.7

89.5

87.7

88.3

U N L V

83.1

84.7

82.7

83.5

MWC Averages

93.5

95.0

93.4

94.0

 

 

Pac-12 Conference

North Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Oregon

119.7

119.6

120.7

120.0

Washington

112.0

111.6

112.7

112.1

Washington St.

111.4

110.7

111.6

111.2

California

103.4

103.1

103.8

103.4

Oregon St.

101.0

101.9

101.0

101.3

Stanford

101.8

100.9

101.1

101.3

 

 

South Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Utah

126.8

125.9

127.5

126.7

U S C

111.0

111.6

111.8

111.5

Arizona St.

108.0

107.5

108.5

108.0

U C L A

99.0

98.7

98.6

98.8

Colorado

98.6

98.5

98.7

98.6

Arizona

96.9

96.6

96.4

96.6

Pac-12 Averages

107.5

107.2

107.7

107.5

 

 

Southeastern Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Georgia

127.2

125.4

127.3

126.6

Florida

125.9

123.3

125.7

124.9

Tennessee

110.7

110.4

110.1

110.4

Kentucky

110.0

108.7

108.9

109.2

Missouri

110.2

107.7

109.0

109.0

South Carolina

109.5

107.7

108.5

108.6

Vanderbilt

92.8

91.2

91.2

91.7

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

L S U

131.3

129.1

131.3

130.6

Alabama

129.1

126.0

129.6

128.2

Auburn

122.6

120.8

122.2

121.9

Texas A&M

118.3

116.9

117.7

117.7

Mississippi St.

109.9

106.6

113.7

110.1

Ole Miss

107.7

106.9

107.7

107.4

Arkansas

87.7

87.6

86.8

87.4

SEC Averages

113.8

112.0

113.5

113.1

 

 

Sunbelt Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Appalachian St.

107.5

106.8

106.8

107.0

Georgia Southern

96.7

96.6

96.2

96.5

Georgia St.

90.9

91.9

90.2

91.0

Troy

91.2

91.6

89.8

90.9

Coastal Carolina

87.3

88.4

87.0

87.6

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Louisiana

103.8

104.2

103.5

103.8

Arkansas St.

91.7

92.1

91.6

91.8

Louisiana-Monroe

85.8

86.4

85.3

85.9

Texas St.

78.8

79.3

78.2

78.8

South Alabama

75.3

77.8

75.1

76.1

SBC Averages

90.9

91.5

90.4

90.9

 

Conference Power Ratings

#

League

Average

1

Southeastern

113.1

2

Big Ten

111.2

3

Big 12

109.5

4

Pac-12

107.5

5

Atlantic Coast

104.7

6

American

97.4

7

Mountain West

94.0

8

Sun Belt

90.9

9

Independents

90.1

10

Conf. USA

87.1

11

Mid-American

87.1

 

 

PiRate Guess at Top 6

1

Ohio St.

2

LSU

3

Clemson

4

Georgia

5

Utah

6

Alabama

 

 

Top 5 Group of 5

1

Memphis

2

Cincinnati

3

Boise St.

4

Appalachian St.

5

Navy

 

The Conference Races

With one week to go before conference championship week, there are still some conference division races yet to be clinched. Here at PiRate Central, we will make it easy for you.

American Athletic Conference

Cincinnati has clinched the East Division, no matter what they do at Memphis.

Memphis clinches the West Division, if they beat Cincinnati, or Navy loses to Houston.

The winner of this week’s Cincinnati – Memphis game will host the AAC Championship Game.

Atlantic Coast

Clemson has clinched the Atlantic Division.

The winner of this week’s Virginia – Virginia Tech game wins the Coastal Division. 

If Clemson beats Virginia Tech in the ACC Championship Game, Virginia Tech has about a 95% chance of getting the Orange Bowl bid.

If Clemson beats Virginia in the ACC Championship Game, Virginia has about an 80% chance of getting the Orange Bowl bid.

Should Clemson be upset in the ACC Championship Game, either Virginia or Virginia Tech would get the Orange Bowl bid, and Clemson would likely knock out a team from the Southwest or West for the Cotton Bowl bid.

Big 12

Oklahoma and Baylor have already clinched the top two spots and will play in the Big 12 Championship Game.

If Baylor beats Kansas, and Oklahoma State beats Oklahoma, then BU will be the top seed. Under any other scenario, Oklahoma will be the top seed.

If Oklahoma beats Oklahoma State and Baylor, the Sooners have a 30% chance of making it to the Playoffs, and at worst would be the Sugar Bowl representative for the league.

If Baylor beats Kansas and Oklahoma, there is only a 5% chance that BU would make the playoffs.

If the loser of the Big 12 Championship Game has two losses, that team has a 70% chance to earn the Cotton Bowl bid.

Big Ten

Ohio State has already clinched the East Division title even if Michigan upsets them in the Big House like they did in the big upset 50 years ago.

The winner of the Minnesota-Wisconsin game wins the West Division and has a better than 50-50 chance to earn the Rose Bowl bid if they lose to Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship Game.

If Minnesota beats a 12-0 Ohio State team in the Big Ten Championship, the Gophers have a 30% chance to earn a Playoff bid.

Conference USA

This is the most difficult tie-breaker with one week to go, as both divisions are still up for grabs.

In the East, Florida Atlantic has a one-game lead over Marshall and Western Kentucky, but WKU has been eliminated from the race.

If FAU beats Southern Miss, or Marshall loses to Florida International, then FAU wins the division and hosts the CUSA Championship Game.

If FAU loses to Southern Miss, and Marshall beats FIU, then Marshall wins the East and has a chance to host the CUSA Championship Game.

In the West, there is currently a three-way tie with multiple possible outcomes.
Southern Miss plays Florida Atlantic in the key game. Louisiana Tech plays UTSA, and UAB plays North Texas.

If all three West co-leaders win or they all lose, Southern Miss will win the tiebreaker.

If Southern Miss loses and UAB wins, then UAB wins the West.

If Louisiana Tech wins and Southern Miss loses, then Louisiana Tech wins the division even if Southern Miss beats FAU.

If Southern Miss beats FAU and Louisiana Tech loses to UTSA, then Southern Miss wins the West even if UAB beats North Texas.

All five teams still alive can host the CUSA Championship Game based on a myriad of tiebreakers between multiple teams with 6-2 league records.

Independents (Not Including Notre Dame)

BYU has clinched the Hawaii Bowl Bid.

Liberty is bowl eligible

 

Mid-American

Miami of Ohio has already clinched the East Division.

Western Michigan will clinch the West Division with a win over Northern Illinois OR a loss by Central Michigan to Toledo.

Central Michigan will clinch the West Division with a win over Toledo AND a loss by Western Michigan.

Mountain West

Boise State has already clinched the Mountain Division Championship and has clinched the home field for the Championship Game.

Hawaii has already clinched the West Division Championship and will play at Boise State in the Championship Game.

Boise State still has a chance to make the Cotton Bowl by winning out, while the AAC champion has two overall losses.

Pac-12

Even after a disappointing upset loss to Arizona State, Oregon has already clinched the North Division Championship and still has a chance to go to the Rose Bowl with a slight chance to go to the Cotton Bowl.

Utah will win the South by beating a Colorado team that will be playing for bowl eligibility when the Buffs visit Salt Lake City. Should Utah lose this game, USC will win the South Division Championship.

Utah still has a less than 50-50 chance to make the Playoffs by beating Colorado and Oregon, but the Utes are most likely looking at a Rose Bowl bid. Should they lose to Oregon, Utah still has a 50-50 shot at the Cotton Bowl.

Southeastern

The SEC Championship Game is set between LSU and Georgia. See the feature below on sleuthing the SEC Bowl Tie-Ins and all the open spots.

Sun Belt

Appalachian State will play Louisiana in the Sun Belt Championship Game.

If both teams win this week or both teams lose, Appy State will be the host team based on their regular season win over the Ragin’ Cajuns. UL can only host if Appy State loses to Troy, while Louisiana beats UL-Monroe.

Appalachian State still has a minute chance to earn the Cotton Bowl bid. The Mountaineers must win out; Boise State must lose to Hawaii; and the AAC Champion must have two losses.

————————————–

The SEC Bowl Issue

With the possibility that two SEC teams will make the Playoffs, and then two more will earn New Year’s Six Bowl Games (Sugar and Orange), there is a chance that as many as five SEC tie-in bowls will not have bowl eligible SEC teams and will have to look elsewhere for at-large teams.

Two issues will affect the final week of the regular season. Currently, there are just eight bowl eligible teams–Georgia, Florida, Tennessee, and Kentucky in the East and LSU, Alabama, Auburn, and Texas A&M in the West.

Mississippi State and Missouri can become bowl eligible with wins this week. Missouri has a much easier final regular season game against 0-7 Arkansas, while Mississippi State must beat rival Ole Miss in the Egg Bowl. Missouri can also be eliminated if the NCAA rules negatively on an appeal between tomorrow and December 8.

The PiRates are old buckaroos, so we know that politics play a part in decisions. The SEC has no doubt twisted the NCAA’s arm to not decide on Missouri’s appeal until after the bowls have been played. The SEC needs as many bowl eligible teams as possible.

We wouldn’t be totally surprised if all the close calls in the Egg Bowl go in favor of Mississippi State. If the game is called without any bias, we actually believe Ole Miss is playing better football at this point of the season.

Being that the law of averages tends to side on the side of a split with two 5-6 teams playing to get to 6-6, we will say that one team makes it. For argument purposes, we will award Missouri the 6-6 record and Ole Miss the Egg Bowl Trophy.

At this point, there would be nine SEC Bowl Eligible teams.

Let’s say that LSU wins out and takes one Playoff spot, while Alabama beats Auburn and gets Playoff spot number two–once again politics playing a large part as the Committee can always come up with a reason to include a one-loss Tide team even if the entire first team is out with injuries.

Now, let’s slot Georgia into the Sugar Bowl and Florida into the Orange Bowl. That’s four teams with just five bowl eligible teams left.

The Citrus Bowl gets the next best team, and Auburn would be the logical choice here.

The Independence and Birmingham Bowls can already start looking for at-large teams at this point, as they are the bottom two in the contractual agreement.

That leaves the Outback, Gator, Texas, Belk, Music City, and Liberty Bowls hoping to get Tennessee, Kentucky, Missouri, and Texas A&M. Six bowls and four teams mean that two will be left at the conference altar.

The Outback and Gator Bowls are New Year’s Day Bowls. The SEC isn’t about to allow a 7-5 or 6-6 at-large team from 1,000-2,000 miles away take one of these prized spots. Put Tennessee in the Outback and Kentucky in the Gator.

With Texas A&M still available, it is obvious which bowl would be best for all. The Aggies would head to Houston to play in the Texas Bowl, which sort of has a gentleman’s agreement to get a better draw this year after taking Vanderbilt last year. A Texas A&M-Texas game could be arranged for the Texas Bowl, and it would be a sellout with tickets getting scalped.

That leaves Missouri as the last bowl team. Missouri played in the Liberty Bowl last year, so they would not return to Memphis. The Tigers already played in Nashville against Vanderbilt, and even though Nashville is the hottest destination in the South if not the entire nation, I don’t see the Music City Bowl getting an opportunity to invite the Tigers for their second trip of the season. Put Missouri in the Belk Bowl.

This would leave the Music City and Liberty Bowls out in the cold as the two bowls that would have to find at-large opponents. There will be extra Mountain West, Conference USA, and Mid-American teams that are bowl eligible. The ACC could send Virginia, Wake Forest, or Louisville to Nashville, while the Big 12 could send Iowa State, Kansas State, Texas, or TCU to the Liberty Bowl. We believe that Kansas State or Iowa State is the most likely team to go to Memphis.

If the Mountain West has extra teams, there is a chance that the league would arrange for one of their better teams to come Southeast to one of the two Volunteer State bowls. Air Force, San Diego State, or Utah State might be where the Liberty Bowl can look.

The Music City Bowl will then likely need a Mid-American Conference team, and likewise, a deal could be struck with the MAC to send a 6-6 team to a regular contracted bowl, while bringing the MAC Champion to Nashville. The organizers of the Music City Bowl would probably like to pay Tom Brady to suit up for Mississippi State in the Egg Bowl.

 

This Week’s Playoff and Bowl Projections

Note:  This Section Has Been Edited Late Sunday Night.  It was brought to our attention that the Hawaii Bowl slightly changes their tie-ins.  We originally had this bowl featuring BYU if they were bowl eligible or a Mountain West team or basically a Bowl Eligible Hawaii team versus a team from the American Athletic Conference.  The bowl changed to BYU if bowl eligible versus either an AAC or Mountain West team, but if Hawaii is bowl eligible and not the MWC Champion, then Hawaii gets this bid.

Thus, it started a chain reaction where we had to move about 20 teams from one bowl to another.  Here is the latest version of our Bowl Projections.

 

Bowl

Conf

Conf

Team

Team

Bahamas

MAC

CUSA

Buffalo

Charlotte

Frisco

AAC

At-large

SMU

[UAB]

Cure

AAC

SBC

Navy

Georgia St.

New Mexico

CUSA

MWC

Southern Miss.

San Diego St.

Boca Raton

AAC

MAC

Central Florida

Miami (O)

Camellia

MAC

SBC

Western Michigan

Arkansas St.

Las Vegas

MWC #1

Pac-12

Boise St.

Washington St.

New Orleans

CUSA

SBC #1

Louisiana Tech

Appalachian St.

Gasparilla

AAC

CUSA

Cincinnati

Florida Atlantic

Hawaii

BYU/MWC

AAC/MWC

BYU

Hawaii

Independence

ACC

SEC

Florida St.

[Marshall]

Quick Lane

ACC

Big Ten

Miami (Fla.)

Michigan St.

Military

ACC

AAC

North Carolina

Temple

Pinstripe

ACC

Big Ten

Pittsburgh

Illinois

Texas

Big 12

SEC

Texas

Texas A&M

Holiday

Pac-12

Big Ten

Washington

Michigan

Cheez-It

Big 12

Pac-12

Kansas St.

[Nevada]

Camping World

ACC

Big 12

Notre Dame

Oklahoma St.

Cotton

At-large

At-large

Memphis

Utah

First Responder

CUSA

Big 12

Western Ky.

TCU

Redbox

Pac-12

Big Ten

Arizona St.

Iowa

Music City

SEC

ACC

[Central Michigan]

Louisville

Orange

ACC

BTen/SEC

Virginia Tech

Florida

Belk

ACC

SEC

Wake Forest

Missouri

Sun

ACC

Pac-12

Virginia

California

Liberty

Big 12

SEC

Iowa St.

[Liberty]

Arizona

SBC

MWC

Louisiana

Air Force

Alamo

Big 12

Pac-12

Baylor

USC

Citrus

SEC

BTen/ACC

Auburn

Wisconsin

Outback

Big Ten

SEC

Penn St.

Tennessee

Rose

Big Ten

Pac-12

Minnesota

Oregon

Sugar

Big 12

SEC

Oklahoma

Georgia

Birmingham

AAC

SEC

Tulane

[Florida Int’l.]

Taxslayer/Gator

SEC

Big Ten

Kentucky

Indiana

Idaho Potato

MAC

MWC

Toledo

Wyoming

Armed Forces

Big Ten

MWC

Nebraska

Utah St.

Mobile Alabama

MAC

SBC

Eastern Michigan

Georgia Southern

 

 

FBS PLAYOFFS

Fiesta

Top 4

Top 4

Georgia

Ohio St.

Peach

Top 4

Top 4

Clemson

LSU

 

 

Championship

Fiesta

Peach

Georgia

Clemson

Teams in [Brackets] are at-large selections

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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