The Pi-Rate Ratings

October 17, 2018

PiRate Ratings Selections for October 18-22, 2018

Last week was the first down week for our Land Sharps, as overall, they suffered their first cumulative loss of the season.  Overall, the five geniuses went an accumulated 11-17-1.  Dean615 did have his best record of the season, finishing 4-1, but Buckeye Michelle and Cal Gal Tiffany combined to go 1-6-1.

Don’t even ask about the PiRate Ratings.  This is our worst year making these selections since the 1990’s, and if it wasn’t for a rally on Sunday with three wins out of three, it would have been disastrous.  Of course, it isn’t really disastrous for us, because these picks are only for entertainment purposes, and thus no money was wagered.  Please take this advice and use our selections the same way.

The Land Sharps

Cal Gal Tiffany

Season: 22-14-0  61.1%  18.3% ROI

Arizona St. +3 vs. Stanford

California -6.5 vs. Oregon St.

USC +7 vs. Utah

Wyoming +15.5 vs. Utah St.

Kentucky -11 vs. Vanderbilt

 

Buckeye Michelle

Season: 17-11-1  60.7%  16.9% ROI

Army -8 vs. Miami (O)

UTSA +18 vs. Southern Miss.

Wyoming +15.5 vs. Utah St.

Georgia Southern -12 vs. New Mexico St.

North Carolina St. +17 vs. Clemson

 

Dean 615

Season: 14-10-0  58.3%  12.5% ROI

Michigan St. +7.5 vs. Michigan

Purdue +13.5 vs. Ohio St.

LSU -6.5 vs. Mississippi St.

Penn St. -14 vs. Indiana

SMU +7.5 vs. Tulane

USC +7 vs. Utah

Navy +13 vs. Houston

 

Friday Dog 13

Season: 18-13-1  58.1%  11.6% ROI

Utah St. -14.5 vs. Wyoming

Ohio U -16.5 vs. Bowling Green

Central Florida -21 vs. East Carolina

Hawaii -3 vs. Nevada

LSU -6.5 vs. Mississippi St.

Iowa -9 vs. Maryland

Washington -15.5 vs. Colorado

 

Stewed Meat

Season: 19-19-0  50.0%  -5% ROI

Louisiana-Lafayette +25.5 vs. Appalachian St.

Eastern Michigan -3 vs. Ball St.

Western Michigan -4 vs. Central Michigan

Connecticut +34 vs. South Florida

Kentucky -11 vs. Vanderbilt

Marshall +3 vs. Florida Atlantic

Missouri -9 vs. Memphis

 

The PiRate Ratings Picks For October 18-22, 2018

College 10-point Teasers (3 game parlays at 11-10)

Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Air Force UNLV 1 Air Force
Michigan Michigan St. 17.5 Michigan St.
Toledo Buffalo 10 Buffalo

 

Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Utah St. Wyoming 25.5 Wyoming
Clemson North Carolina St. 27 North Carolina St.
Florida St. Wake Forest 0.5 Florida St.

 

Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Penn St. Indiana 0.5 Penn St.
Memphis Missouri 0.5 Missouri
Georgia Southern New Mexico St. 2.5 Georgia Southern

 

Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Mississippi St. LSU 3.5 LSU
Central Florida East Carolina 11 Central Florida
South Florida Connecticut 44 Connecticut

 

Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Louisiana-Monroe Texas St. 0.5 Louisiana-Monroe
Kentucky Vanderbilt 1 Kentucky
Fresno St. New Mexico 4 Fresno St.

 

College 13-Point Teasers (4 game parlays at 13-10)

Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Stanford Arizona St. 10.5 Arizona St.
TCU Oklahoma 5 Oklahoma
Miami (O) Army 5.5 Army
Maryland Iowa 3 Iowa

 

Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
North Carolina Syracuse 3.5 Syracuse
Oregon St. California 6.5 California
Oregon Washington St. 10.5 Washington St.
Utah USC 19.5 USC

 

College Money Line Parlays

4 Teams @ +254
Winner Loser
Army Miami (O)
Iowa Maryland
Duke Virginia
Western Michigan Central Michigan

 

2 Teams @ +693
Winner Loser
Minnesota Nebraska
USC Utah

 

NFL Picks vs. The Spread

Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Denver Arizona 2 Arizona
Tampa Bay Cleveland 3 Cleveland
Philadelphia Carolina 5 Carolina
Indianapolis Buffalo 7.5 Buffalo
Baltimore New Orleans 2.5 New Orleans

 

NFL 10-Point Teasers (3 Games at 11-10)

Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Tennessee L.A. Chargers 3.5 L.A. Chargers
Chicago New England 7 New England
Philadelphia Carolina 15 Carolina

 

Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Indianapolis Buffalo 17.5 Buffalo
Jacksonville Houston 15.5 Houston
San Francisco L.A. Rams 0.5 L.A. Rams

 

Team A Team B Total Pick
N.Y. Jets Minnesota 37 Over
Washington Dallas 31.5 Over
Philadelphia Carolina 35.5 Over

 

 

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October 15, 2018

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast For Week 7, October 18-22, 2018

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias Total
Arizona Denver 1.4 0.8 1.7 40
L.A. Chargers [London] Tennessee 5.5 6.3 6.6 42.5
Indianapolis Buffalo 4.3 2.9 4.3 40.5
Philadelphia Carolina 2.7 3.4 2.3 45.5
Kansas City Cincinnati 9.9 9.8 10.3 50
Tampa Bay Cleveland 2.8 2.4 2.8 47.5
Miami Detroit -1.0 -1.6 -1.1 48.5
Jacksonville Houston 5.2 5.2 5.7 44
N.Y. Jets Minnesota -0.4 -1.0 -0.2 45.5
Chicago New England 0.0 -1.0 0.3 44
Baltimore New Orleans -0.1 0.5 0.0 47.5
Washington Dallas 1.3 0.6 2.2 42.5
San Francisco L.A. Rams -10.4 -10.8 -10.7 50.5
Atlanta N.Y. Giants 8.3 8.2 8.1 47

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
New England 105.0 105.4 105.1 105.2 22.5 4-2
N. Y. Jets 98.5 98.2 98.7 98.5 24 3-3
Miami 97.2 96.8 97.3 97.1 22 4-2
Buffalo 93.8 93.8 93.5 93.7 15.5 2-4
North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Pittsburgh 105.6 105.7 105.3 105.5 23 3-2-1
Baltimore 104.7 105.3 105.0 105.0 21 4-2
Cincinnati 99.9 100.3 99.9 100.0 23 4-2
Cleveland 95.0 95.3 95.7 95.3 23 2-3-1
South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Jacksonville 101.1 101.0 101.3 101.1 20 3-3
Houston 98.4 98.3 98.1 98.2 24 3-3
Tennessee 96.9 96.9 96.2 96.7 19 3-3
Indianapolis 95.6 94.2 95.3 95.0 25 1-5
West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Kansas City 106.8 107.2 107.2 107.1 27 5-1
LA Chargers 102.4 103.2 102.8 102.8 23.5 4-2
Denver 97.4 97.1 96.8 97.1 21.5 2-4
Oakland 93.1 93.3 92.9 93.1 21 1-5
N F C
East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Philadelphia 102.0 102.1 101.7 101.9 22.5 3-3
Dallas 100.5 100.4 99.9 100.3 20 3-3
Washington 99.3 98.5 99.6 99.1 22.5 3-2
N.Y. Giants 95.5 95.3 95.4 95.4 21.5 1-5
North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Chicago 102.4 102.0 102.9 102.4 21.5 3-2
Minnesota 102.0 102.2 101.9 102.0 21.5 3-2-1
Detroit 100.7 100.9 100.9 100.8 26.5 2-3
Green Bay 99.4 100.1 99.0 99.5 24.5 3-2-1
South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
New Orleans 107.8 107.8 108.0 107.9 26.5 4-1
Carolina 101.9 101.2 101.8 101.6 23 3-2
Atlanta 101.3 101.1 101.0 101.1 25.5 2-4
Tampa Bay 95.3 95.2 96.0 95.5 24.5 2-3
West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
LA Rams 108.1 108.9 108.4 108.5 26.5 6-0
Seattle 102.1 102.0 102.4 102.2 22.5 3-3
Arizona 95.8 95.0 95.5 95.4 18.5 1-5
San Francisco 94.7 95.1 94.7 94.8 24 1-5

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1 Kansas City
2 New England
3 Baltimore
4 Houston
5 L.A. Chargers
6 Pittsburgh

 

NFC Seeding
1 L.A. Rams
2 New Orleans
3 Philadelphia
4 Chicago
5 Carolina
6 Minnesota

 

Wildcard Round
Baltimore over Pittsburgh
L.A. Chargers over Houston
Philadelphia over Minnesota
Carolina over Chicago

 

Divisional Round
L.A. Chargers over Kansas City
Baltimore over New England
L.A. Rams over Carolina
Philadelphia over New Orleans

 

Conference Championship
Baltimore over L.A. Chargers
L.A. Rams over Philadelphia

 

Super Bowl 53
L.A. Rams over Baltimore

 

 

 

October 8, 2018

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast For Week 6, October 11-15, 2018

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias Total
N.Y. Giants Philadelphia -2.6 -2.7 -1.8 44.0
Atlanta Tampa Bay 8.7 8.8 8.1 49.0
Washington Carolina -0.9 -1.4 -1.2 45.5
Oakland [London] Seattle -6.8 -6.3 -6.9 44.0
N.Y. Jets Indianapolis 5.8 6.8 5.7 47.0
Minnesota Arizona 9.2 10.3 9.4 40.0
Cincinnati Pittsburgh -2.3 -1.8 -1.4 46.0
Cleveland L.A. Chargers -1.4 -1.9 -0.7 46.5
Houston Buffalo 8.0 7.7 7.8 40.5
Miami Chicago -2.5 -2.6 -3.2 42.0
Denver L.A. Rams -8.1 -9.4 -9.4 48.0
Tennessee Baltimore -2.0 -2.5 -2.7 42.0
Dallas Jacksonville -1.3 -1.2 -2.1 40.0
New England Kansas City 1.0 1.1 0.5 48.0
Green Bay San Francisco 8.1 8.4 7.7 47.5

Detroit and New Orleans have Byes

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
New England 104.9 105.3 104.9 105.0 21.5 3-2
N. Y. Jets 98.4 98.1 98.4 98.3 23 2-3
Miami 97.1 96.6 97.0 96.9 21.5 3-2
Buffalo 93.6 93.7 93.4 93.5 16 2-3
North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Pittsburgh 105.0 105.0 104.4 104.8 23 2-2-1
Baltimore 103.5 104.0 103.6 103.7 22 3-2
Cincinnati 100.2 100.7 100.5 100.5 23 4-1
Cleveland 96.5 96.8 97.4 96.9 23 2-2-1
South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Jacksonville 103.1 103.0 103.3 103.1 21 3-2
Houston 98.6 98.4 98.2 98.4 24.5 2-3
Tennessee 98.4 98.5 97.9 98.3 20 3-2
Indianapolis 95.7 94.3 95.6 95.2 24 1-4
West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Kansas City 106.9 107.3 107.4 107.2 26.5 5-0
LA Chargers 100.9 101.7 101.1 101.3 23.5 3-2
Denver 97.2 96.8 96.4 96.8 21.5 2-3
Oakland 94.2 94.5 94.2 94.3 21.5 1-4
N F C
East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Philadelphia 101.2 101.2 100.6 101.0 22.5 2-3
Dallas 98.8 98.7 98.2 98.6 19 2-3
Washington 98.9 97.9 98.9 98.6 22.5 2-2
N.Y. Giants 96.6 96.5 96.8 96.6 21.5 1-4
North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Chicago 102.5 102.2 103.2 102.6 20.5 3-1
Minnesota 102.0 102.2 101.9 102.0 21.5 2-2-1
Detroit 100.4 100.6 100.6 100.5 26.5 2-3
Green Bay 99.6 100.3 99.2 99.7 24 2-2-1
South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
New Orleans 107.5 107.5 107.7 107.6 26.5 4-1
Carolina 102.3 101.8 102.5 102.2 23 3-1
Atlanta 101.4 101.3 101.3 101.3 25 1-4
Tampa Bay 95.2 95.0 95.7 95.3 24 2-2
West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
LA Rams 108.3 109.2 108.8 108.8 26.5 5-0
Seattle 101.0 100.8 101.1 101.0 22.5 2-3
Arizona 95.8 95.0 95.5 95.4 18.5 1-4
San Francisco 94.5 94.9 94.5 94.6 23.5 1-4

 

This Week’s Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1 Kansas City
2 New England
3 Cincinnati
4 Jacksonville
5 L.A. Chargers
6 Baltimore

 

NFC Seeding
1 L.A. Rams
2 New Orleans
3 Chicago
4 Philadelphia
5 Carolina
6 Minnesota

 

Wildcard Round
Cincinnati over Baltimore
L.A. Chargers over Jacksonville
Chicago over Minnesota
Carolina over Philadelphia

 

Divisional Round
Kansas City over L.A. Chargers
New England over Cincinnati
L.A. Rams over Carolina
New Orleans over Chicago

 

Conference Championship
Kansas City over New England
L.A. Rams over New Orleans

 

Super Bowl 53
Kansas City over L.A. Rams

 

 

 

 

 

October 2, 2018

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast For Week 5: October 4-8, 2018

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias Total
New England Indianapolis 12.0 14.1 11.9 43.5
Buffalo Tennessee -2.8 -2.9 -2.8 37
Pittsburgh Atlanta 2.9 2.9 2.0 46.5
N.Y. Jets Denver 2.4 2.2 2.7 44.5
Kansas City Jacksonville 4.6 5.2 4.7 47.5
Detroit Green Bay 2.7 1.8 3.2 49.5
Cleveland Baltimore -5.0 -5.7 -4.5 47
Carolina N.Y. Giants 9.1 8.8 9.7 41.5
Cincinnati Miami 5.5 6.6 5.6 44.5
L.A. Chargers Oakland 8.7 9.0 8.5 45.5
San Francisco Arizona 3.7 5.4 4.4 42
Philadelphia Minnesota 2.9 2.6 2.5 44
Seattle L.A. Rams -4.4 -5.9 -5.2 47.5
Houston Dallas 1.7 1.5 1.7 44
New Orleans Washington 6.6 7.6 6.8 47

Chicago and Tampa Bay have Byes

This Week’s PiRate Ratings 

A F C
East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
New England 104.8 105.3 104.7 104.9 20.5 2-2
Miami 97.4 96.9 97.5 97.2 21.5 3-1
N. Y. Jets 97.3 96.9 97.1 97.1 23 1-3
Buffalo 93.4 93.4 93.0 93.2 16.5 1-3
North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Baltimore 103.8 104.5 104.0 104.1 23 3-1
Pittsburgh 103.4 103.3 102.6 103.1 22.5 1-2-1
Cincinnati 99.9 100.4 100.0 100.1 23 3-1
Cleveland 96.2 96.3 97.0 96.5 24 1-2-1
South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Jacksonville 104.0 103.9 104.4 104.1 21 3-1
Tennessee 98.6 98.8 98.3 98.6 20.5 3-1
Houston 98.4 98.2 97.9 98.1 24.5 1-3
Indianapolis 95.8 94.3 95.8 95.3 23 1-3
West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Kansas City 105.7 106.1 106.0 105.9 26.5 4-0
LA Chargers 100.4 101.1 100.4 100.7 23.5 2-2
Denver 98.0 97.7 97.4 97.7 21.5 2-2
Oakland 94.7 95.1 94.9 94.9 22 1-3
N F C
East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Philadelphia 101.5 101.5 101.0 101.3 22.5 2-2
Washington 101.4 100.4 101.4 101.1 21.5 2-1
Dallas 99.2 99.1 98.7 99.0 19.5 2-2
N.Y. Giants 96.5 96.4 96.5 96.5 19.5 1-3
North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Chicago 102.2 101.9 102.9 102.3 20.5 3-1
Minnesota 101.7 101.9 101.5 101.7 21.5 1-2-1
Detroit 100.1 100.1 100.2 100.1 26 1-3
Green Bay 99.9 100.8 99.6 100.1 23.5 2-1-1
South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
New Orleans 105.0 105.0 105.2 105.1 25.5 3-1
Atlanta 103.5 103.5 103.6 103.5 24 1-3
Carolina 102.7 102.2 103.1 102.7 22 2-1
Tampa Bay 94.9 94.7 95.4 95.0 24 2-2
West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
LA Rams 108.3 109.4 109.0 108.9 25.5 4-0
Seattle 100.9 100.5 100.8 100.7 22 2-2
San Francisco 95.9 96.5 96.1 96.2 23.5 1-3
Arizona 94.7 93.7 94.2 94.2 18.5 0-4

 

Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1 Kansas City
2 New England
3 Cincinnati
4 Tennessee
5 Baltimore
6 Jacksonville

 

NFC Seeding
1 L.A. Rams
2 New Orleans
3 Chicago
4 Philadelphia
5 Carolina
6 Green Bay

 

Wildcard Round
Jacksonville over Cincinnati
Baltimore over Tennessee
Green Bay over Chicago
Philadelphia over Carolina

 

Divisional Round
Kansas City over Jacksonville
Baltimore over New England
Los Angeles over Green Bay
Philadelphia over New Orleans

 

Conference Championship
Kansas City over Baltimore
Los Angeles over Philadelphia

 

Super Bowl 53
Los Angeles over Kansas City

 

 

 

September 26, 2018

PiRate Ratings Selections for September 27-October 1, 2018

Another week, another minor profit-maker.  The PiRate Rating selections last week ended with a tiny profit of $60 on $900 invested, finishing 5-4.  For the season, the imaginary bank roll now stands at +$110 on an investment of $3,500 for a meager profit that gives us a Return on Investment of 3.14%.  It beats a loss, but the way the NYSE and Nasdaq have been accruing this year, your real money would be better invested.  On the plus side, that 3.14% return so far has been done in one month, so it isn’t that bad, just not matching some of our outstanding past seasons.

We are issuing a lot of official picks this week, 11 in all.  We have included 3, 10-point teaser picks after not using them last week.

Now, for what many of you really like this year–our 5 guest Land Sharps.  Guess what?  All 5 of our distinguished and honored contributors are in the black for the year.  Last week, Friday Dog 13 went 4-1 to bring his record for the season to 8-3.  With a Return on Investment of 42.7%, he is breathing down the neck of leader Buckeye Michelle, who at 11-4 has a Return on Investment of 44.0%.  Cal Gal Tiffy is 11-6 with a Return on Investment of 25.9%.  Dean615 is 6-5 with a Return on Investment of 4.5%, while the real pro, Stewed Meat is 8-7 with a Return on Investment of 2.0%.  Stewed is a bit stewed this week and says this will not stand.

The Land Sharps’ picks can be found after we issue our “official” PiRate Rating selections for the week.

PiRate Ratings Official Picks for September 27 to October 1, 2018

Games Picked Against the Spread 

Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Army Buffalo 8.5 Army
Ball St. Kent St. 8 Kent St.
Purdue Nebraska 3 Purdue
Appalachian St. South Alabama 26 South Alabama
New Mexico Liberty 6 New Mexico
Hawaii San Jose St. 12.5 San Jose St.
Green Bay Buffalo 10.5 Buffalo
Indiana Houston 1 Indianapolis

 

10-Point Teaser Spreads (3-team parlays)

Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
UCLA Colorado 1 Colorado
North Carolina St. Virginia 15.5 Virginia
Ohio St. Penn St. 14 Penn St.

 

Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Chicago Tampa Bay 13 Tampa Bay
Houston Indianapolis 9 Indianapolis
New England Miami 17 Miami

 

10-Point Teaser Totals (3-team parlay)

Home Visitor Total Pick
Green Bay Buffalo 35 Over
Dallas Detroit 33.5 Over
Jacksonville N.Y. Jets 28.5 Over

 

The Land Sharps Picks

Buckeye Michelle

  1. Bowling Green +28 1/2 vs. Georgia Tech
  2. Louisville +6 1/2 vs. Florida St.
  3. Army +8 1/2 vs.  Buffalo
  4. Kent St. +8 vs. Ball St.
  5. Western Michigan Pk. vs. Miami (O)

 

Friday Dog 13

  1. Purdue -3 vs. Nebraska
  2. Florida St. -6 1/2 vs. Louisville
  3. Penn St. +4 vs. Ohio St.
  4. LSU -11 1/2 vs. Ole Miss
  5. Stanford +5 vs. Notre Dame

 

Cal Gal Tiffany

  1. Tulane +14 vs. Memphis
  2. Colorado -9 vs. UCLA
  3. Arkansas +21 vs. Texas A&M
  4. Syracuse +24 vs. Clemson
  5. Bowling Green +28 1/2 vs. Georgia Tech
  6. Texas Tech +3 1/2 vs. West Virginia
  7. Virginia +5 1/2 vs. North Carolina St.
  8. Purdue -3 vs. Nebraska
  9. Penn St. +4 vs. Ohio St.

 

Dean615

  1. Notre Dame -5 vs. Stanford
  2. Michigan -14 vs. Northwestern
  3. Texas -9 vs. Kansas St.

 

Stewed Meat

  1. Texas Tech +3 1/2 vs. West Virginia
  2. East Carolina -5 vs. Old Dominion
  3. Clemson-Syracuse Under 67
  4. North Carolina St-Virginia Under 53
  5. Oklahoma-Baylor Under 69
  6. Texas-Kansas St. Under 48
  7. Michigan-Northwestern Under 48

 

Reminder:  With the exception of Stewed Meat, who is a professional handicapper, none of us here actually wager real money on our picks.  These are for entertainment purposes only, just for fun.  Additionally, Stewed does not reveal the actual picks played.  These are Stewed’s runner up games that are not used for real.  Stewed has 5 real picks this weekend, none of which are shown above.  Stewed routinely beats the spread 62% of the time over the last 12 years and has no intention of revealing the games Stewed really plays.

Let this be a lesson to all of you.  When a Sharp really is successful against the spread, he or she never lets others know who he or she is wagering on.  He/She wants the odds to stay as much in his/her favor as possible.  If Great Sports Handicapper John Doe can consistently win 5 out of every 8 wagers made, the books will eventually cut John Doe’s maximums if not totally kick him out of their book.

Occasionally, these books may need these John Doe’s to balance out when the public has come in hard on one side, which is why Stewed is still allowed to play at 6 or 7 books in Nevada.

When somebody tells you that he or she has a sure 5-star lock, and all you have to do is pay X dollars to get these picks (or call an 800 number and get the pick for free), believe us–they do not have a sure lock, because if they did, they’d be keeping it to themselves.  

Some of these fake touts are totally dishonest.  Depending on your area code, you might be told to take Team A or Team B on these 800 lines.  Somebody in Hartford, Connecticut, might be told to bet  on State and give the 4 1/2 points, while a customer in Portland, Oregon, might be told to bet on Tech and take the 4 1/2 points.

The goal of these bunko artists is to tell half the customers to take State and half to take Tech, guaranteeing that half will win.  Then, they can sell the big package to the half that won, since a large percentage will believe the bunko artist knows something.

If the crook can get 50,000 people to call his 800 number, and thus 25,000 win, then maybe 10,000 of these winners will then proceed to buy the big package for the rest of the year and pay $129 for this service.  That comes to $1.2 million, not bad for a total con game.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

September 18, 2018

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast For Week 3: September 20-24, 2018

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias Total
Cleveland N.Y. Jets 0.1 0.3 0.6 45
Philadelphia Indianapolis 12.3 14.4 11.9 45
Carolina Cincinnati 5.2 4.1 5.2 43
Jacksonville Tennessee 10.4 10.1 11.2 42.5
Atlanta New Orleans 3.5 3.5 3.7 45
Baltimore Denver 5.9 6.9 6.6 44.5
Houston N.Y. Giants 5.4 5.4 5.1 43
Miami Oakland 7.8 6.8 8.2 42.5
Washington Green Bay 2.1 -0.2 2.2 45
Minnesota Buffalo 16.0 16.3 16.2 38
Kansas City San Francisco 9.5 9.4 9.9 49
L.A. Rams L.A. Chargers 6.7 7.3 7.3 47
Arizona Chicago -1.6 -2.3 -2.8 37.5
Seattle Dallas 3.7 3.2 3.7 41.5
Detroit New England -3.3 -4.3 -3.2 47
Tampa Bay Pittsburgh -5.2 -5.3 -3.9 45.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
New England 104.4 105.1 104.2 104.6 21 1-1
Miami 99.2 98.6 99.6 99.1 21.5 2-0
N. Y. Jets 98.7 98.5 98.9 98.7 23 1-1
Buffalo 91.4 91.3 91.0 91.2 18 0-2
North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Pittsburgh 105.1 105.0 104.3 104.8 22.5 0-1-1
Baltimore 101.2 101.9 101.3 101.5 23 1-1
Cincinnati 99.7 100.3 99.9 100.0 21.5 2-0
Cleveland 95.8 95.8 96.5 96.0 22 0-1-1
South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Jacksonville 104.3 104.2 104.7 104.4 21.5 2-0
Houston 99.2 99.2 98.9 99.1 24 0-2
Tennessee 96.9 97.0 96.5 96.8 21 1-1
Indianapolis 95.0 93.1 94.8 94.3 22 1-1
West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Kansas City 105.3 105.7 105.7 105.6 25.5 2-0
LA Chargers 101.1 101.9 101.4 101.5 22 1-1
Denver 98.3 98.0 97.7 98.0 21.5 2-0
Oakland 94.8 95.3 94.9 95.0 21 0-2
N F C
East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Philadelphia 102.2 102.5 101.8 102.2 23 1-1
Dallas 99.6 99.6 99.3 99.5 19.5 1-1
Washington 99.6 98.4 99.4 99.1 21.5 1-1
N.Y. Giants 96.8 96.7 96.8 96.8 19 0-2
North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Minnesota 104.4 104.5 104.2 104.4 20 1-0-1
Green Bay 100.5 101.6 100.2 100.7 23.5 1-0-1
Chicago 99.3 99.0 100.0 99.4 18.5 1-1
Detroit 98.1 97.9 98.0 98.0 26 0-2
South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Atlanta 104.4 104.3 104.6 104.4 21.5 1-1
New Orleans 103.4 103.3 103.4 103.4 23.5 1-1
Carolina 101.9 101.4 102.1 101.8 21.5 1-1
Tampa Bay 97.9 97.7 98.4 98.0 23 2-0
West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
LA Rams 107.9 109.2 108.7 108.6 25 2-0
Seattle 100.3 99.8 100.0 100.0 22 0-2
San Francisco 98.8 99.3 98.8 99.0 23.5 1-1
Arizona 94.7 93.7 94.2 94.2 19 0-2

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1 Kansas City
2 Jacksonville
3 New England
4 Cincinnati
5 Miami
6 L.A. Chargers

 

NFC Seeding
1 L.A. Rams
2 Minnesota
3 Philadelphia
4 Tampa Bay
5 Green Bay
6 Atlanta

 

Wildcard Round
L.A. Chargers over New England
Miami over Cincinnati
Philadelphia over Atlanta
Green Bay over Tampa Bay

 

Divisional Round
L.A. Chargers over Kansas City
Jacksonville over Miami
L.A. Rams over Green Bay
Minnesota over Philadelphia

 

Conference Championship
Jacksonville over L.A. Chargers
L.A. Rams over Minnesota

 

Super Bowl 53
L.A. Rams over Jacksonville

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

September 11, 2018

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast For Week 2: September 13-17, 2018

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Week Number: 2
Date of Games: September 13-17
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias Total
Cincinnati Baltimore -0.7 -1.0 -1.0 43.5
Washington Indianapolis 10.9 12.3 11.5 44.5
Atlanta Carolina 4.7 4.9 4.5 42
Green Bay Minnesota -1.1 0.1 -1.4 42
Buffalo L.A. Chargers -5.5 -6.3 -5.7 39
Tennessee Houston 0.2 0.4 0.1 46
Pittsburgh Kansas City 4.4 4.2 3.4 46.5
N.Y. Jets Miami 5.1 5.8 5.2 45
Tampa Bay Philadelphia -2.3 -3.4 -1.3 46
New Orleans Cleveland 12.7 12.8 12.4 46.5
L.A. Rams Arizona 11.9 13.9 12.9 45
San Francisco Detroit 3.7 4.4 3.8 49
Jacksonville New England 0.8 -0.3 1.0 41.5
Denver Oakland 6.8 6.0 6.1 42.5
Dallas N.Y. Giants 5.3 5.4 5.0 39.5
Chicago Seattle 1.2 1.1 1.9 40.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
New England 105.3 106.1 105.3 105.6 20 1-0
N. Y. Jets 99.8 99.8 100.2 99.9 23.5 1-0
Miami 97.8 97.0 98.0 97.6 21.5 1-0
Buffalo 92.2 92.1 92.0 92.1 18 0-1
North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Pittsburgh 105.4 105.4 104.7 105.2 22 0-0-1
Baltimore 102.3 103.1 102.6 102.7 23 1-0
Cincinnati 98.6 99.1 98.6 98.8 20.5 1-0
Cleveland 95.0 94.9 95.5 95.1 22 0-0-1
South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Jacksonville 103.1 102.9 103.3 103.1 21.5 1-0
Houston 99.2 99.2 98.9 99.1 24.5 0-1
Tennessee 96.9 97.0 96.5 96.8 21.5 0-1
Indianapolis 93.6 91.4 93.1 92.7 22.5 0-1
West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Kansas City 104.0 104.3 104.3 104.2 24.5 1-0
LA Chargers 100.6 101.4 100.7 100.9 21 0-1
Denver 98.6 98.3 98.0 98.3 21.5 1-0
Oakland 94.8 95.3 94.9 95.0 21 0-1
N F C
East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Philadelphia 102.7 103.3 102.3 102.8 23 1-0
Washington 101.5 100.6 101.6 101.2 22 1-0
Dallas 99.5 99.5 99.2 99.4 20 0-1
N.Y. Giants 97.2 97.1 97.2 97.2 19.5 0-1
North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Minnesota 104.5 104.5 104.4 104.5 19.5 1-0
Green Bay 100.4 101.6 100.0 100.6 22.5 1-0
Chicago 99.0 98.6 99.6 99.1 18.5 0-1
Detroit 98.1 97.9 98.0 98.0 25.5 0-1
South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
New Orleans 104.7 104.7 104.9 104.8 24.5 0-1
Atlanta 104.2 104.1 104.4 104.2 21 0-1
Carolina 102.1 101.6 102.3 102.0 21 1-0
Tampa Bay 97.4 96.9 97.9 97.4 23 1-0
West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
LA Rams 105.7 106.8 106.4 106.3 25.5 1-0
Seattle 100.9 100.5 100.7 100.7 22 0-1
San Francisco 98.8 99.3 98.8 99.0 23.5 0-1
Arizona 96.3 95.5 95.9 95.9 19.5 0-1

This Week’s Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1 New England
2 Kansas City
3 Jacksonville
4 Baltimore
5 Pittsburgh
6 New York Jets
NFC Seeding
1 L.A. Rams
2 Minnesota
3 Philadelphia
4 Carolina
5 Green Bay
6 Washington
Wildcard Round
N.Y. Jets over Jacksonville
Baltimore over Pittsburgh
Philadelphia over Washington
Green Bay over Carolina
Divisional Round
New England over N.Y. Jets
Baltimore over Kansas City
L.A. Rams over Green Bay
Minnesota over Philadelphia
Conference Championship
New England over Baltimore
L.A. Rams over Minnesota
Super Bowl 53
L.A. Rams over New England

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

September 2, 2018

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast For Week 1: September 6-10, 2018

Filed under: Pro Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 11:13 am

PiRate Ratings NFL Ratings for Week 1

A F C
East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals
New England 105.4 106.2 105.4 105.7 20
Miami 97.4 96.4 97.4 97.0 21.5
N. Y. Jets 96.8 96.8 97.2 96.9 22.5
Buffalo 95.4 95.3 95.2 95.3 18.5
North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals
Pittsburgh 106.0 106.2 105.6 105.9 22
Baltimore 99.6 100.4 99.9 100.0 23
Cincinnati 97.5 97.6 97.3 97.5 20
Cleveland 94.4 94.1 94.6 94.4 22
South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals
Jacksonville 103.1 102.9 103.3 103.1 21.5
Houston 99.1 99.1 98.8 99.0 24.5
Tennessee 97.3 97.6 97.1 97.3 21.5
Indianapolis 94.7 92.9 94.4 94.0 22
West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals
Kansas City 102.7 102.7 102.8 102.7 23.5
LA Chargers 101.9 103.0 102.2 102.4 20
Denver 98.5 98.1 97.7 98.1 21
Oakland 95.9 96.4 96.2 96.2 21
N F C
East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals
Philadelphia 102.5 103.1 101.9 102.5 23.5
Dallas 99.7 99.8 99.5 99.7 21
Washington 98.5 97.6 98.6 98.2 22
N.Y. Giants 97.2 97.1 97.2 97.2 19.5
North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals
Minnesota 104.5 104.5 104.4 104.5 19.5
Detroit 101.1 100.9 101.0 101.0 24.5
Green Bay 100.6 102.1 100.3 101.0 22.5
Chicago 98.8 98.1 99.3 98.7 18.5
South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals
New Orleans 107.2 107.2 107.4 107.3 23.5
Atlanta 104.4 104.3 104.8 104.5 21.5
Carolina 101.9 101.3 102.0 101.7 22
Tampa Bay 94.4 93.9 94.9 94.4 22
West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals
LA Rams 104.6 105.7 105.1 105.1 25.5
Seattle 101.0 100.7 101.0 100.9 21.5
San Francisco 98.8 99.3 98.8 99.0 23.5
Arizona 99.3 98.5 98.9 98.9 20.5

Week 1 PiRate Ratings Spread & Totals

Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias Total
Philadelphia Atlanta 0.6 1.4 -0.4 45
Cleveland Pittsburgh -9.5 -10.1 -9.0 44
Minnesota San Francisco 9.2 8.7 9.1 43
Indianapolis Cincinnati -0.8 -2.8 -0.9 42
Baltimore Buffalo 7.7 8.6 8.2 41.5
N.Y. Giants Jacksonville -3.9 -3.7 -4.1 41
New Orleans Tampa Bay 15.8 16.3 15.5 45.5
New England Houston 8.8 9.7 9.1 44.5
Miami Tennessee 2.0 0.8 2.3 43
L.A. Chargers Kansas City 2.3 3.3 2.4 43.5
Denver Seattle 0.1 -0.1 -0.8 42.5
Carolina Dallas 4.7 4.0 5.0 43
Arizona Washington 4.3 4.3 3.8 42.5
Green Bay Chicago 4.7 7.0 4.0 41
Detroit N.Y. Jets 7.2 7.1 6.8 47
Oakland L.A. Rams -6.7 -7.3 -6.9 46.5

2018-19  Won-Loss Projections & Playoff Projections

AFC
East W L T
New England 12 4 0
Miami 6 10 0
N. Y. Jets 6 10 0
Buffalo 4 12 0
North W L T
Pittsburgh 12 4 0
Baltimore 8 8 0
Cincinnati 6 10 0
Cleveland 4 12 0
South W L T
Jacksonville 10 6 0
Houston 9 7 0
Tennessee 8 8 0
Indianapolis 5 11 0
West W L T
Los Angeles 11 5 0
Kansas City 9 7 0
Denver 7 9 0
Oakland 6 10 0
N F C
East W L T
Philadelphia 10 6 0
Dallas 7 9 0
Washington 5 11 0
N.Y. Giants 4 12 0
North W L T
Minnesota 12 4 0
Green Bay 10 6 0
Detroit 9 7 0
Chicago 7 9 0
South W L T
New Orleans 11 5 0
Atlanta 10 6 0
Carolina 9 7 0
Tampa Bay 6 10 0
West W L T
Los Angeles 12 4 0
Seattle 8 8 0
Arizona 7 9 0
San Francisco 6 10 0

This Week’s NFL Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1 Pittsburgh
2 New England
3 L.A. Chargers
4 Jacksonville
5 Kansas City
6 Houston
NFC Seeding
1 L.A. Rams
2 Minnesota
3 New Orleans
4 Philadelphia
5 Green Bay
6 Atlanta
Wildcard Round
L.A. Chargers over Houston
Jacksonville over Kansas City
Philadelphia over Green Bay
Atlanta over New Orleans
Divisional Round
Pittsburgh over Jacksonville
New England over L.A. Chargers
L.A. Rams over Atlanta
Philadelphia over Minnesota
Conference Championship
Pittsburgh over New England
L.A. Rams over Philadelphia
Super Bowl 53
Pittsburgh over L.A. Rams

 

January 24, 2018

PiRate Ratings Super Bowl Teaser

We come to the last football picks post of the season.  The PiRates stayed away from the college bowl season and the NFL playoffs to this point, but we are staring at a little deficit for the season.

For three consecutive years, the PiRate Ratings earned a “profit” with our “imaginary” bank roll.  Wagering an equal fake $100 on every selection, we have enjoyed two marvelous seasons and one minor success in the last three years.

The 2017-18 season brought us back down to Earth, but a late surge brought the losses to the point where one final win would give us a winning season even more miraculous than the Jets beating the Colts in SB III.

So, with that in mind, we issue our final selection for the football season.  And, it is not even a money line selection like almost all of our picks.  We go back to a 10-point teaser parlay, something that used to give us some success, but something we got away from when we became rather lucky with money line parlays.

Because our computer ratings and simulations show this game to be as tight as it can be, and the standard deviation of our simulations comes in rather lean, we believe it is possible to make four picks in this game and combine them into a 4-event parlay at +136 odds.  The deficit sits at $-146, so a win would make a 3% loss become a 2% profit for the year.

So, without further adieu, here is our pretend final play of the season.

The wager for this game is doubled to $200.

SUPER BOWL 52 Pick

Super Bowl 52  Sunday, February 4, 2018 6:30 PM EST 
10-point teaser 
 $200 on 4-team parlay @ +136 $200 wins $472
Team 1 Team 2 Number
New England Philadelphia +4.5
Philadelphia New England +15.5
New England Philadelphia Under 57.5
New England Philadelphia Over 37.5

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast For Super Bowl 52: February 4, 2018

While we have taken a break from doing expanded NFL coverage for this season due to the overwhelming number of you that have indicated your political opposition to the league’s policies or lack thereof, we will expand our coverage just a tad today for Super Bowl 52, but we promise to do it in a tactful way and focus on the real true hero that will be appearing in this game.

You, our patrons, represent an excellent microcosm for football fandom.  The NFL is off a good 10% in television viewership, and pictures of the weekly games have shown all stadiums with more and more empty seats.  The so-called Mainstream Media, with the exception of Fox News, and the top conservative radio hosts like Laura Ingraham, Rush Limbaugh, Sean Hannity, and Michael Savage, blame the increasing decline on things like the high number of concussions, the outlawing of two sports fantasy sites, cord cutting, bad games, and the retirement of Peyton Manning.  Last year, they blamed the Presidential election on the decline, but the decline continued this year, and there was no election.  We all know why a large number of former fans are now former fans and may possibly be permanently former fans.

Read our editorial at the conclusion of this feature.

Super Bowl 52

New England Patriots (15-3-0) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (15-3-0)

Date: Sunday, February 4, 2018

Site: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN

Scheduled Kickoff Time:  6:30 PM EST/5:30 PM CST (local time in Minneapolis)

TV & Announce Crew: NBC with Al Michaels, Chris Collinsworth, Heather Cox, and Michele Tafoya

Radio & Announce Crew: Westwood One with Kevin Harlan and Boomer Esiason

Current Las Vegas Line (on 1/24/2018): New England by 5 1/2

Money Line: New England -220, Philadelphia +180

Total: 47 1/2

The PiRate Ratings Spreads

If you are a new patron to this site, we issue three separate ratings for college and NFL football.  Each rating is a different algorithm based on the same statistical data.

PiRate: New England by 0.3

Mean: New England by 1.5

Bias: Philadelphia by 0.3

Total: 42

100 Computer Simulations 

Every year, we run 100 computer simulations with the help of a college statistics professor’s program.  This might be the last year we can do this, because said professor may move at the end of this term.

If you think last year’s game was exciting, being the first of 51 to go to overtime, you haven’t seen anything yet if the computer is accurate this year.  We’ve never seen a playoff game this close since our simulations began 16 years ago.

Number of New England Wins: 50

Number of Philadelphia Wins: 50

Average Score: New England 22.52  Philadelphia 21.90

Median New England Score: 21

Median Philadelphia Score: 21

New England’s Standard Deviation: 7.04

Philadelphia’s Standard Deviation: 5.04

New England Outlier Win: Pats 38 Eagles 17

Philadelphia Outlier Win: Eagles 30 Pats 14

 

Our Super Bowl 52 MVP (even before kickoff)

You can have Bill Belichick and Doug Pederson as role models.  Maybe you want to look up to Nick Foles or Tom Brady.  However, we at the PiRates Stand Up to admire referee Gene Steratore.  Steratore lives in the Pittsburgh area.  He has been a single parent for close to 20 years.  He owns with his brother (also an NFL Official) a successful and reputable janitorial supply company.  Call this a testimonial, but since delving into his life a bit more, we have decided to purchase some products from Steratore Sanitary Supplies (steratoresanitary.com).

Steratore is also one of the top NCAA basketball officials, doing a large number of Big Ten games as well as NCAA Tournament games.  He may be the best two-sport star you have hardly heard about.

Steratore gets excellent ratings in both sports; his business is outstanding; and he deserves some mention in Father of the Year discussions.

Our hats and hearts go out to such a fine outstanding American, one who believes in hard work as the way to succeed.  You won’t find Steratore making a public statement by dishonoring the flag of the United States of America.

We like to refer to a joke that former President Ronald Reagan made 30+ years ago.  He joked about how Cuba has the same rights as the United States.  In the USA, a citizen can stand up on a street corner and issue his dislike and opposition to the President of the United States.  In Cuba, a citizen can also stand up on a street corner and issue his dislike and opposition to the President of the United States.

Definitely, American citizens have the incredible gift from its founding fathers’ documents that allow them to express their opposition to the government and its laws.  The Bill of Rights belongs as the second document that should be included in the Governing Hall of Fame (Magna Carta number one).

The Flag and the National Anthem of the United States are not members of government.  They are a testament to citizens of this country having the right to publicly oppose and also seek public office ourselves.  Opposing the flag and anthem are indications that a person does not have allegiance to the Constitution of the United States of America.

When NFL players make protests of the anthem and flag, and then the NFL steps into it deeper by refusing to carry a patriotic advertisement (not a freebie either) due to political reasons, this is a line of bunk in the opinions of all 6 PiRates.

How more political can past Super Bowl advertisements, especially last year’s game, be?  Do you remember the Annheiser Busch ad where the original Busch faced all types of hatred from others when he immigrated to this country?  It was sad that Mr. Busch faced trouble when he first moved to the USA (if this is accurate).  However, the timing of this ad when the hot topic of the day was how to deal with illegal immigration created a Budweiser Boycott that has now made the giant corporation reconsider if they will remain a sponsor of the league going forward.

Audi, Coca-Cola, Airbnb, and a hair care company that we cannot remember the name, all ran political ads, ads that offended some part of the population.

How can being patriotic and loving the principles that this country was founded on be considered political, unless it is a covert way of stating that the NFL represents an opposition to our principles of existence, thus implying they lack allegiance to our country?

None of us on the PiRate Ship will watch or listen to the Super Bowl.  We have chosen not to watch or listen to any games all year.  And before, you say we are 100% pro-President Trump or right wing conservatives, 3 of the 6 PiRates voted for Bernie Sanders in the 2016 Primaries.  2 of the 6 supported other GOP candidates that did not win.  The 6th was as usual 100% behind a third party candidate.

However, on the 20th day of January, 2017, all six of us prayed for the well-being of our country, and prayed for the health and well-being of our President and Vice President.  We are 100% behind the system as it was determined in our Constitution.  The flag and anthem are relatives of the Constitution.  You may support no politicians in power today, or you may love them or some of them, but if you do not love your country and do not have 100% allegiance to it, then you are not a real citizen of the country.  If you want to make change to the current status, then do it by playing by the rules laid out in the great document that allowed this nation to continue to exist after 241+ years.

One more thought: this is baseball’s best opportunity to reclaim its birthright as our national pastime.  The 2016 and 2017 baseball seasons were incredible ones, and 2018 might be the best one since six divisional play began.  The New York Yankees and New York Mets should bring fans into the park in larger numbers, while the Los Angeles Dodgers and Los Angeles Angels have great attractions to make it banner years at Dodger Stadium and Angel Stadium of Anaheim.  The Chicago Cubs and St. Louis Cardinals will have to hold off the Milwaukee Brewers in what should be an exciting race.  The Cleveland Indians may make a run at their all-time wins record of 111 in 1954, after winning 102 last year and getting better in the off season.  Then, you have the best team statistics can create in the reigning world champion Houston Astros.  If new Angels’ two-way player Shohei Otani more closely resembles Wes Ferrell than Clint Hartung, then the AL West race should be quite interesting.  This looks like the year to come back to baseball if you haven’t sampled the excitement in recent years.

 

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