The Pi-Rate Ratings

March 26, 2021

PiRate Ratings Sweet 16 Spreads

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 5:13 am

Friday, March 26, 2021

FavoriteUnderdogSpread
Loyola (Chi.)Oregon St.6.5
BaylorVillanova5.2
ArkansasOral Roberts13.3
HoustonSyracuse7.0
GonzagaCreighton13.3
MichiganFlorida St.3.4
AlabamaUCLA5.7
USCOregon3.4

Bracketnomics Took A Beating

Like 99% of the public, our brackets are destroyed thanks to all the lower seeded teams winning in the first two rounds. Obviously, the Big Ten was highly overrated, and the Pac-12 was highly underrated. A lack of non-conference games this year made the schedule strengths too biased. There are only four teams in the Sweet 16 with resumes similar to past national champions.

Gonzaga is the only remaining team that meets 90% of the criteria of a national champion. Michigan would also meet the criteria, but their star playmaker is still injured and out. So, the Wolverines have to be discounted somewhat.

Baylor and Houston meet more than 75% of the criteria, but they are missing one key important stat. Connecticut is the only past national champion of the 21st Century to win the national title with this type of criteria.

If Gonzaga wins the title, then the bracketnomics data will have proven itself to be accurate for the year, even if our interpretation of the data was wrong. If Michigan, Houston, or Baylor wins the title, then it will be another Connecticut type of deal, where the criteria was valid but not identifiable enough to be considered a success. If anybody else cuts the nets, then the criteria failed for this year.

What should we make of this data this year? Do we throw this year out due to the highly dysfunctional season? So many games were cancelled this year, while other games were scheduled on as little as 48-72 hours notice. Included in the cancellations was a Gonzaga vs. Baylor game that should have been played, in all places, in Indianapolis in December!

One thing we will note in 2021-2022 is to consider the Big Ten Conference to be a tad overrated and the Pac-12 Conference a tad underrated. Maybe, it is time for “The Conference of Champions” to return to its prominence it enjoyed in the second half of the 20th Century.

What to Make of Gonzaga

Gonzaga’s strength of schedule just barely qualifies for national championship-worthy criteria. However, no team from outside the Power Conferences (AAC, ACC, Big East, Big Ten, Big 12, Pac-12, or SEC) has won the national championship since 1990, when UNLV cut down the nets. In three decades, Gonzaga came within a made basket, and Butler came within a rimmed out prayer of pulling off the Mid-Major miracle.

Gonzaga has been compared all season to the 1991 UNLV team that ran the table during the regular season with a scoring margin of close to 30 points, only to fall to Duke in the Final Four.

Could Gonzaga meet a power conference blue blood and meet the same fate as UNLV 30 years ago? Creighton would not be considered a blue blood, and we cannot see the Bulldogs losing Saturday. A win in the Sweet 16 would have GU playing a Pac-12 team in the Elite 8, either USC or Oregon. We cannot count either of these teams as a Duke-like blue blood.

In the National Semifinals, Gonzaga would face either Michigan, Florida State, UCLA, or Alabama. With Isaiah Livers able to play, Michigan would definitely be considered blue blood material. Florida State is in the blue blood neighborhood. UCLA and Alabama are both a little too green to be blue these days.

The Championship Game would present a potential opponent in Baylor that would be a true blue blood team this year. Syracuse might be a powder blue blood with their matchup zone so hard to prepare for when teams have not faced it before.

However, we here on the PiRate ship do not see Gonzaga as the UNLV team three decades later. We see this Bulldogs team more like the 1964 UCLA Bruins 57 years later. By this, we do not refer to playing style. The two teams couldn’t be any more different. Coach John Wooden’s first national champions were small in size; no starter was taller than 6 foot 5 inches. Gonzaga has size and muscle inside.

The 1964 Bruins used a devastating 2-2-1, 3/4 court zone press and occasionally a 1-2-1-1 full court zone press to force tempo and turnovers, while Gonzaga uses a standard half-court defense that relies on pressuring the ball and forcing poor shots, where they can control the boards and run the fast break and secondary break for cheap baskets and then hit the offensive glass for additional chances.

Where the two teams are quite similar is their method for winning games. In going 30-0 in 1964, UCLA put every game away with a 2 to 3 minute scoring run. The best example occurred in the national title game, where a favored Duke team, with two 6 foot 10 inch starters towering over the Bruins, fell under pressure in just 2 1/2 minutes, as the Bruins ran off 16 points in a row.

Gonzaga has this same ability to take a three-point lead and make it a 15-point lead in just a couple minutes of playing time. Their game against BYU in the West Coast Conference Championship Game is a testament to this ability. BYU held a 10-point lead and looked like they were going to do what Saint Mary’s had done in the prior WCC Championship Game. Then, in very little clock time, GU went from 10 down to 10 up, and the game was over.

There is another team remaining with the same ability to go on a major game-clinching scoring run, and that is Houston. Funny how comparing Gonzaga to UCLA brings Houston into the conversation, as Houston and UCLA conjure up memories of past titanic rivals like Dempsey-Tunney, Affirmed-Alydar, and New York Yankees and Brooklyn Dodgers.

Houston is most definitely not considered the favorite to make it to the National Championship Game. They still have to solve the Syracuse zone and then possibly beat the most underrated team in the field in Loyola of Chicago or the team that found lightning in a bottle in Oregon State. Then, they most likely have to dismiss Baylor to make it to their third national championship game in the school’s history.

A Houston-Gonzaga national championship tilt would be quite memorable, and it would be one where both teams enjoy scoring runs that make the outcome unpredictable.

March 22, 2021

PiRate Ratings NCAA Tournament Spreads

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 4:59 am

Monday, March 22, 2021

FavoriteUnderdogSpread
GonzagaOklahoma16.0
CreightonOhio6.2
USCKansas2.2
IowaOregon6.5
MichiganLSU5.5
ColoradoFlorida St.1.1
UCLAAbilene Christian4.3
AlabamaMaryland6.0

March 19, 2021

PiRate Ratings NCAA Tournament Spreads

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 6:27 pm

Saturday, March 20, 2021

FavoriteUnderdogSpread
GonzagaNorfolk St.29.8
OklahomaMissouri0.9
CreightonUCSB6.6
VirginiaOhio6.1
USCDrake5.1
KansasEastern Washington9.6
OregonVCU0.7
IowaGrand Canyon15.6
MichiganTexas Southern24.9
LSUSt. Bonaventure0.2
ColoradoGeorgetown4.6
Florida St.UNCG10.0
BYUUCLA3.9
TexasAbilene Christian7.2
ConnecticutMaryland2.2
AlabamaIona19.2

March 12, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

Friday, March 12, 2021

Team 1Team 2Spread
Wichita St.South Florida8.9
SMUCincinnati5.6
HoustonTulane16.8
MemphisCentral Florida6.2
Virginia (forfeit due to Covid)Georgia Tech1.3
Florida St.North Carolina1.4
BaylorOklahoma St.8.0
KansasTexas0.3
Seton HallGeorgetown2.2
CreightonConnecticut1.3
Southern UtahMontana St.6.0
Eastern WashingtonMontana5.4
MichiganMaryland8.2
PurdueOhio St.-1.6
IllinoisRutgers8.0
IowaWisconsin5.8
UCSBUC Davis10.7
UC-IrvineUC Riverside-0.9
Western Ky.UAB0.1
Louisiana TechNorth Texas0.4
IonaNiagara3.5
Saint Peter’sFairfield5.8
ToledoOhio3.1
BuffaloAkron4.2
Coppin St.Morgan St.-3.5
North Carolina A&T (forfeit due to Covid)Norfolk St.-4.6
San Diego St.Nevada7.2
Utah St.Colorado St.1.8
OregonOregon St.7.0
USCColorado0.4
AlabamaMississippi St.9.6
TennesseeFlorida1.4
ArkansasMissouri5.5
LSUOle Miss3.4
NichollsNorthwestern St.8.2
Abilene ChristianLamar14.4
Jackson St.Texas Southern-1.5
Prairie View A&MGrambling5.8
Grand CanyonSeattle6.0
Utah ValleyNew Mexico St.-3.5

Conference Tournaments Update

America East Conference

Championship Game–Saturday, March 13, 11 AM, ESPN2

6 U Mass-Lowell at 4 Hartford

American Athletic Conference

Quarterfinals–Friday, March 12 @ Fort Worth, TX

1 Wichita St. vs. 8 South Florida 

4 SMU vs. 5 Cincinnati Friday

2 Houston vs. 10 Tulane

3 Memphis vs. 6 Central Florida 

Atlantic Coast Conference

Semifinals, Friday, March 12

1 Virginia vs. 4 Georgia Tech (Georgia Tech wins by forfeit)

2 Florida St. vs. 6 North Carolina

Atlantic 10 Conference

Championship Game–Sunday, March 14, 1PM, CBS @ Dayton, OH

1 Saint Bonaventure vs. 2 Virginia Commonwealth

Big East Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ New York, NY

5 Seton Hall vs. 8 Georgetown

2 Creighton vs. 3 Connecticut

Big Sky Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Boise, ID

1 Southern Utah vs. 5 Montana St.

2 Eastern Washington vs. 6 Montana

Big Ten Conference

Quarterfinals–Friday, March 12 @ Indianapolis, IN

1 Michigan vs. 8 Maryland

4 Purdue vs. 5 Ohio St.

2 Illinois vs. 7 Rutgers

3 Iowa vs. 6 Wisconsin

Big 12 Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Kansas City, MO

1 Baylor vs. 5 Oklahoma St.

2 Kansas vs. 3 Texas

Big West Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Las Vegas

1 UCSB vs. 5 UC-Davis

2 UC-Irvine vs. 3 UC-Riverside

Conference USA

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Frisco, TX (Dallas Cowboys Practice Facility)

1E Western Kentucky vs. 2W UAB 

1W Louisiana Tech vs. 3W North Texas

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference

Semifinals, Friday, March 12 @ Atlantic City, NJ

5 Niagara vs. 9 Iona

3 St. Peter’s vs. 7 Fairfield

Mid-American Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Cleveland

1 Toledo vs. 5 Ohio U

2 Buffalo vs. 3 Akron 

Mideastern Athletic Conference

Semifinals, Friday, March 12 @ Norfolk, VA

1N Coppin St. vs. 3N Morgan St.

1S North Carolina A&T vs. 2N Norfolk St. (Norfolk St. wins by forfeit)

Mountain West Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Las Vegas

1 San Diego St. vs. 5 Nevada

2 Utah St. vs. 3 Colorado St.

Pac-12 Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Las Vegas

1 Oregon vs. 5 Oregon St.

2 USC vs. 3 Colorado

Patriot League

Championship Game, Sunday March 14, 12 PM EST, CBSSN

9 Loyola (MD) at 2 Colgate

Southeastern Conference

Quarterfinals–Friday, March 12 @ Nashville, TN

1 Alabama vs. 9 Mississippi St. 

4 Tennessee vs. 5 Florida

2 Arkansas vs. 7 Missouri

3 LSU vs. 6 Ole Miss

Southland Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Katy, TX (Greater Houston)

1 Nicholls vs. 4 Northwestern St.

2 Abilene Christian vs. 6 Lamar

Southwestern Athletic Conference

Semifinals, Friday, March 12 @ Birmingham, AL

1 Prairie View A&M vs. 4 Grambling

2 Jackson St. vs. 3 Texas Southern 

Western Athletic Conference

Quarterfinals–Thursday, March 11 @ Las Vegas

1 Grand Canyon vs. 5 Seattle 

2 Utah Valley vs. 3 New Mexico St.

Automatic Qualifiers

Liberty 23-5

Winthrop 23-1

Loyola (Chi.) 24-4

Morehead St. 23-7

UNC-Greensboro 21-8

Appalachian St. 17-11

Drexel 12-7

Cleveland St. 19-7

Mount St. Mary’s 12-10

Oral Roberts 16-10

Gonzaga 26-0

March 4, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

Thursday, March 4, 2021

HomeVisitorSpread
RichmondDuquesne6.7
MassachusettsSaint Joseph’s4.7
DaytonRhode Island0.8
George MasonGeorge Washington6.6
East CarolinaCentral Florida-1.7
CincinnatiVanderbilt2.0
LibertyKennesaw St.19.1
North FloridaNorth Alabama2.0
BellarmineStetson4.6
LipscombFlorida Gulf Coast3.9
BaylorOklahoma St.11.0
West VirginiaTCU14.2
Texas TechIowa St.15.8
OklahomaTexas0.3
KansasUTEP15.3
Weber St.Northern Colorado10.6
Portland St.Southern Utah-2.0
RadfordCampbell1.7
WinthropLongwood11.8
MichiganMichigan St.13.7
IowaNebraska15.8
Florida AtlanticMiddle Tennessee7.1
QuinnipiacSaint Peter’s-2.7
RiderMonmouth-5.0
ManhattanFairfield4.4
SienaCanisius6.8
North Carolina CentralFlorida A&M-0.4
BradleySouthern Illinois4.2
Northern IowaIllinois St.2.5
Utah St.Wyoming14.7
Jacksonville St.Murray St.-0.1
Eastern KentuckyAustin Peay3.3
ColoradoArizona St.11.0
McNeeseNicholls-7.6
Prairie View A&MSouthern5.7
Texas SouthernAlcorn St.9.8
GramblingAlabama St.8.4
Jackson St.Alabama A&M7.9
San FranciscoSan Diego7.4
Santa ClaraPortland12.5

Conference Tournament Update

America East

Semifinals, Saturday, March 6 at higher seed home court

#1 UMBC vs. #6 U Mass-Lowell

#2 Vermont vs. #4 Hartford

Atlantic Sun

Quarterfinal Round Tonight (All Games in Jacksonville)

#1 Liberty vs. #8 Kennesaw St.

#4 North Florida vs. #5 North Alabama

#2 Bellarmine vs. #7 Stetson

#3 Lipscomb vs. #6 Florida Gulf Coast

Atlantic 10

2nd Round Tonight (All Games in Richmond)

#8 Richmond vs. #9 Duquesne

#5 Massachusetts vs. #13 Saint Joseph’s

#7 Dayton vs. #10 Rhode Island

#6 George Mason vs. #11 George Washington

Big South

Semifinals Tonight at Higher Seed Home Floor

#1 Winthrop vs. #5 Longwood

#2 Radford vs. #3 Campbell

Colonial Athletic

First Round, Saturday, March 6 at Harrisonburg, VA

#8 Elon vs. #9 Towson

#7 William & Mary vs. #10 UNC-Wilmington

Horizon League

Semifinals, Monday, March 8 at Indianapolis

#1 Cleveland St. vs. #8 Milwaukee

#3 Oakland vs. #4 Northern Kentucky

Missouri Valley

1st Round, Tonight at Saint Louis

#8 Bradley vs. #9 Southern Illinois

#7 Northern Iowa vs. #10 Illinois St.

Northeast

Semifinals, Saturday, March 6, at higher seeds home court

#1 Wagner vs. #4 Mount St. Mary’s

#2 Bryant vs. #3 Sacred Heart

Ohio Valley

Quarterfinals continue, Tonight at Evansville, IN

#4 Jacksonville St. vs. #5 Murray St.

#3 Eastern Kentucky vs. #6 Austin Peay

Patriot League

Quarterfinals, Saturday, March 6 at Higher Seed Home Courts

#1 Navy vs. #9 Loyola (MD)

#4 Army vs. #5 American

#2 Colgate vs. #7 Boston U

#3 Lafayette vs. #6 Bucknell

Southern

1st Round, Friday, March 5, at Asheville, NC

#8 The Citadel vs. #9 Western Carolina

#7 Mercer vs. #9 Samford

Summit League

1st Round, Saturday March 6 and Sunday March 7 at Sioux Falls, SD

#1 South Dakota St. vs. #8 Omaha

#4 Oral Roberts vs. #5 North Dakota

#2 South Dakota vs. #7 Western Illinois

#3 North Dakota St. vs. #6 Kansas City

Sun Belt Conference

1st Round, Friday, March 5, at Pensacola, FL

#4W Arkansas St. vs. #5E Georgia Southern

#3E South Alabama vs. #6W Louisiana-Monroe

#4E Appalachian St. vs. #5W Little Rock

#3W UT-Arlington vs. #6E Troy

West Coast

1st Round, Tonight at Las Vegas

#8 San Francisco vs. #9 San Diego

#7 Santa Clara vs. #10 Portland

March 2, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

Tuesday, March 2, 2021

HomeVisitorSpread
Central FloridaTulsa3.4
South FloridaMemphis-8.4
PittsburghWake Forest8.6
Georgia TechDuke2.4
West VirginiaBaylor-4.2
Iowa St.Texas-11.4
Texas TechTCU12.3
GeorgetownXavier-2.1
DePaulMarquette-2.6
MichiganIllinois5.5
Michigan St.Indiana-0.1
PurdueWisconsin2.1
Cleveland St.Purdue Fort Wayne10.0
Northern KentuckyDetroit-0.9
Wright St.Milwaukee15.8
OaklandYoungstown St.3.0
BuffaloAkron5.7
Central MichiganToledo-15.6
Kent St.Ohio3.4
Eastern MichiganBall St.-4.7
Northern IllinoisWestern Michigan-2.5
Bowling GreenMiami (O)5.6
Boise St.Fresno St.14.8
WagnerMerrimack6.1
South CarolinaArkansas-7.5
AlabamaAuburn10.6
LSUVanderbilt9.8
Ole MissKentucky1.0
New Mexico St.UT Rio Grande Valley6.2

Tuesday Night Must Watch TV

If you were going to choose a weeknight to stay home and watch basketball, this is the penultimate Tuesday night of the regular season. You have multiple excellent games today and tonight.

It all starts with an afternoon game at 2 PM Eastern Time on ESPN3 when Akron visits Buffalo in a key MAC game that will directly affect MAC Tournament seedings.

At 5 PM, West Virginia hosts Baylor on ESPN. After losing at Kansas, the Bears could begin to face a little jeopardy on the 1-seed line with a loss to the Mountaineers, who could move up to a 1-seed if they win out.

The regular season game of the year should have been Gonzaga and Baylor back in December, but that game became a Covid casualty. Tonight’s Michigan-Illinois game in Ann Arbor, at 7 PM on ESPN, could easily be a Final Four preview, as the two Big Ten powers both have the talent and cohesiveness to win four games in March Madness. This game should be as exciting as some of the Duke-North Carolina March games in the past, maybe even more exciting.

The Big Ten festivities don’t end with the biggie in A2. At 8PM on the Big Ten Network, Michigan State hosts Indiana in a must-win game for the Spartans. The Hoosiers have played themselves out of at-large status with too many losses.

At the same time on the ACC Network, Georgia Tech hosts Duke in what in effect is an at-large qualifying game. This is the best Yellow Jacket team in a decade or more, while Duke cannot afford another conference loss and still harbor at-large hopes.

There’s one more really Big game from the Big Ten. At 9PM, Wisconsin visits Purdue in a crucial game for Big Ten Tournament seeding. This game will air on ESPN2.

Finally at 9PM, on ESPN, Ole Miss hosts Kentucky in a must-win game. The Rebels must win tonight, beat Vanderbilt on Saturday, and then advance to the SEC Tournament Championship Game to have an at-large bid possibility.

March 1, 2021

PiRate Ratings Conference Tournament Preview

Some conference tournaments are already in progress, but no multi-bid conference tournaments have tipped off yet.  In the past, we tried to show you where to watch the conference tournaments, but it is quite easy to find that information on the Internet.  Starting this season, we will tell you the things you won’t easily find until the tournaments actually commence.  This year, not all conferences are holding their usual formats.  Some leagues are going with fewer teams and fewer days.  

We will tell you when and where each tournament will be played along with a bracket if the tournament is set.  Then, we will tell you the better “Bracketnomics” data.  We will explain our 2021 Bracketnomics criteria just before the NCAA Tournament begins play in a couple weeks. So without further adieu, let’s start the previews.

American Athletic Conference

Dates: March 11-14

Site: Fort Worth, TX

Teams participating: 11 in a regular format where 6 plays 11, 7 plays 10, and 8 plays 9 in the first round and then the three winners play the top 3 seeds in the quarterfinals (3 vs. 6 or 11, 2 vs. 7 or 10, and 1 vs. 8 or 9).

Houston is the only team guaranteed a spot in the field, but Wichita St. has been moving up on the better side of the Bubble in recent weeks.  Memphis is making a late charge to get into consideration, but the Tigers don’t have enough games to impress the Selection Committee.

Favorable Bracketnomics: Houston has  many of the basic data needed to advance to the Elite 8.  Their schedule is a tad weak, so calling the Cougars a Final Four contender is a bit hard.  Maybe their schedule strength will improve enough if they can beat Wichita St. in the AAC Tournament and then beat a couple of tough teams in the Big Dance.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Dates: March 9-13

Site: Greensboro, NC

Teams participating: All 15 in a regular format with teams 10-15 playing in the opening round (10-15, 11-14, 12-13), and teams 5 through 9 plus the three winners in round one playing in the second round, while teams 1-4 receive double byes.

A four game winning streak has moved Georgia Tech up onto the good side of the Bubble, while a tough overtime loss to Louisville, has moved Duke down into a situation Mike Krzyzewski has not dealt with before–looking at the Dance from outside the ballroom window.  A late surge by North Carolina St. has given Kevin Keatts’ Wolf Pack a puncher’s chance if they can win their final three games against beatable opposition.

Favorable Bracketnomics: Believe it or not, but as of today, no ACC teams have bracketnomic criteria tailor-made to advance to the Final  4.  Florida St. has a great offense but not great defense.  Virginia is very good offensively and good defensively but not exactly good enough at either.  Virginia Tech looks like a team that will not get to the Sweet 16.  Louisville and Clemson lack the offensive firepower.  North Carolina’s offense is better than UL and CU, but not Final 4 worthy.  Duke isn’t playing defense this year.

America East Conference

Dates: February 27 – March 13

Site: Higher Seed for remainder of tournament

Teams participating: There are 4 teams left.  UMass Lowell has eliminated Stony Brook and New Hampshire to advance to the semifinals as the #7 seed.  They now face #1 seed UMBC in Baltimore this Saturday.  On the other side of the bracket, #4-seed Hartford topped Binghamton and Albany and will venture to Vermont on Saturday.

Favorable Bracketnomics: Vermont has much better credentials than UMBC, but the Catamounts are not talented enough to make it to the Sweet 16.  One win would still be remarkable.

Atlantic 10 Conference

Dates: March 3-6, 14

Site: Richmond, VA with championship game in Dayton, OH

Teams participating: All 14 teams will play in a regularly-seeded tournament with the 11 & 14 and 12 & 13 seeds playing in the first round, and seeds 5-10 plus the two first round winners playing in the second round, while seeds 1-4 receive double byes.

Both Richmond and VCU will be hosting the early rounds, and each will play on the other’s home court.  Because there are games tonight just 48 hours before the A-10 Tourney tips off, the brackets are still not set.  

Favorable Bracketnomics: St. Bonaventure, Richmond,  and Saint Louis have stats typical of teams that can win an opening round and possible second game.  Schedule strength is weak for both teams, but this is a weird year with Covid, so schedule strength may be out of whack until the Sweet 16.

Atlantic Sun Conference

Dates: March 3-7

Site: Jacksonville (at North Florida and Jacksonville)

Teams participating: 9 in a regular seeding with #8 & 9 playing to get to the quarterfinals.  Bellarmine, not eligible for the NCAA Tournament as a first-year Division 1 team, is eligible for the A-Sun Tournament, and they might be considered the co-favorite with Liberty.  LU has about a 90% chance of getting the league’s automatic bid.

Favorable Bracketnomics:  None this year.  This is not a strong enough Liberty team to compete for an opening round upset.  Bellarmine might have had a slightly better chance had they been eligible.

Big 12 Conference

Dates: March 10-13

Site: Kansas City

Teams participating: 10 in a regular format with teams 7-10 playing in the first round and teams 1-6 receiving byes to the semifinals.

Favorable Bracketnomics: First, and most importantly, Baylor does not have a grand resume of bracketnomically-favorable data.  The Bears give up points in the paint too easily, and their long layoff has removed a lot of the polish from this team.  Unless something changes between today and Selection Sunday, we will be looking at other teams that can knock out BU as early as the Round of 32 or Sweet 16.

West Virginia, Texas Tech, and Texas have resumes that shout Sweet 16 with a chance to make it to the Elite 8 and even sneak into the Final 4, but none of the three have championship resumes as of today.  Oklahoma and Oklahoma St. are a tad weaker in criteria.

As for Kansas, watch out!  The Jayhawks’ offense is inconsistent.  If the wrong offense shows up, the Jayhawks could be upset early in the tournament.  The win over Baylor shows the nation that this team has talent enough to beat anybody at the Phog, but away from home like in the blowout loss to Tennessee, KU may be more chalk than rock.

Big East

Dates: March 10-13

Site: New York City (Madison Square Garden)

Teams participating: 11 teams in a regular format where 6 plays 11, 7 plays 10, and 8 plays 9 in the first round and then the three winners play the top 3 seeds in the quarterfinals (3 vs. 6 or 11, 2 vs. 7 or 10, and 1 vs. 8 or 9).

Villanova, Creighton, and Seton Hall have seen their best games appear farther and farther away from the present.  UConn is looking better and better as each week passes.  Xavier is on the Bubble and may have a chance to earn a spot in the Dance after other bubblers have lost recently.

Favorable Bracketnomics: Villanova’s offense is stellar, but they play matador defense a bit too much.  Rarely does a team with their defensive efficiency make it to the Final 4, and it is less than 50-50 that playing the same way will get the Wildcats past the Sweet 16.

Creighton doesn’t have enough muscle inside to advance past the Sweet 16.  They give up too many easy inside baskets and cannot rebound well enough to compete against power opposition like what is played in the Big Ten and Big 12.

UConn doesn’t have a terrific resume either, but the Huskies can score cheap baskets in low possession games.

Big Sky Conference

Dates: March 10-13

Site: Boise, ID

Teams participating: 11 teams in a regular bracket with teams 1-5 receiving byes to the quarterfinals and teams 6-11 playing in an opening round.

Eastern Washington, Southern Utah, and Weber St. have been dominating the rest of the league in the last five weeks.  One of these three should win the automatic bid in Boise.  None of the three have enough defensive mite to win a game in the Big Dance.

Favorable Bracketnomics: None

Big South Conference

Dates: February 27-March 7

Sites: Higher seed home courts

Teams participating: This tournament has already begun, and they are down to 8.  The top 8 seeds remain with Hampton and High Point winning opening round games.  Top seed Winthrop is a prohibitive favorite.  4-seed UNC-Asheville is the team that beat Winthrop this year, but we don’t see a semifinal repeat if the two meet.

Favorable Bracketnomics: Winthrop could be a 13-seed in the NCAA Tournament, but their criteria is hard to judge  as their only quality wins came against UNC-Greensboro and Furman, neither of which can be confused for Virginia or Florida.  The Eagles could actually be an easy win for a 4-seed opponent.

Big Ten Conference

Dates: March 10-14

Site: Indianapolis

Teams participating: 14 in a regular format with #11 & #14 and #12 & #13 playing in the opening round, seeds 5-10 plus the two opening round winners playing in the second round, and then the top 4 seeds receiving double byes.

Michigan, Illinois, Iowa, Purdue, Ohio St., Wisconsin, and Maryland have made it to the safe status for the Big Dance.  Rutgers is close to earning its way in.  Indiana and Minnesota have fallen off the dance floor; both could be looking for new coaches in March.  Michigan St. has work to do to get in after falling to Maryland yesterday.

Favorable Bracketnomics: Michigan has a close to perfect resume as of today.  If the tournament began today, the Wolverines would be our favorite to win the National Championship.  In fact, looking at their data, it resembles that of past champions like North Carolina, Duke, and UCLA.

Illinois also has a Final 4 worthy resume as of today.  Purdue and Maryland have resumes that look like potential Elite 8 teams.  On the other hand, Iowa, Ohio St., and Wisconsin have chinks in their armors and are upset prone prior to the Elite 8 as of today.

Big West Conference

Dates: March 9-13

Site: Las Vegas

Teams participating: 10 in a regular format with #7 & 10 and #8 & 9 playing in the opening round, while teams 1-6 receive byes in one of 5 tournaments to be held in Vegas.

In the past, this has been the UC-Irvine Invitational, but this tournament is open for new championship blood this year.  UCSB was cruising along with a long winning streak until UC-Riverside broke it with a win Saturday after almost doing the trick the night before.  UC-Davis is the hot team at this point, but the Aggies lost almost as many games to Covid as they played.

Favorable Bracketnomics: UCSB actually has decent enough data to contend for a first round upset bid against the right #2 or #3 seed.

Colonial Athletic Association

Dates: March 6-9

Site: Harrisonburg, VA (James Madison)

Teams participating: 10 in a regular format.  This tournament is now set.  In round 1, #7 William & Mary faces #10 UNC-Wilmington, and #8 Elon faces #9 Towson.  The 7-10 winner will play #2 Northeastern and the 8-9 winner will play top-seed and host James Madison in the quarterfinals.

Favorable Bracketnomics: #6 Drexel is our dark horse to sneak into the CAA Finals against JMU, but nobody has a worthy set of statistical data to win a game in the Big Dance.

Conference USA

Dates: March 10-13

Site: Frisco, TX (Cowboys’ practice field with two adjacent gyms)

Teams participating: 14 divided into two divisions.  The opening round will see seeds 6 & 7 from the same divisions playing each other.  The winners will play the #3 seeds from the opposite divisions.  4 N will play 5 S with the winner playing 1 S, and 4 S will play 5 N with the winner playing 1 N.  2 S will play 3 N and 2 N will play 3 S.

This is a wide open tournament.  In the North Division, Western Kentucky and Old Dominion are 1 & 2 with back to back games still to be played at Western.  Louisiana Tech, North Texas, and UAB are alive for the top South Division seed.  Marshall is #3 in the North, but the Thundering Herd are a force to be reckoned with and could sneak into the CUSA Championship Game.

Favorable Bracketnomics: North Texas and La. Tech have talented defenses.  Marshall has a fantastic offense.  Western Kentucky is solid but not spectacular on both sides of the court.  The league champion could foreseeably win one game in the Big Dance, but this isn’t a Sweet 16 year for this league.

Horizon League

Dates: February 25-March 9

Sites: Quarterfinals at Higher Seeds Then Indianapolis

Teams Participating: This tournament began last Thursday with Detroit beating Robert Morris, Youngstown St. beating Illinois-Chicago, Purdue Fort Wayne beating Green Bay, and Milwaukee beating IUPUI. 

The quarterfinals commence tomorrow with #1 Cleveland St. hosting Purdue Fort Wayne. #2 Wright St. hosting Milwaukee, #3 Oakland hosting Youngstown St., and #4 Northern Kentucky hosting Detroit.

Favorable Bracketnomics: Wright St. has the clear-cut best potential data for the NCAA Tournament, but the Raiders will not get an at-large bid if they don’t win the Horizon Tournament.  Cleveland St. and Detroit have just enough talent to upset the Raiders in this tournament, but neither has the criteria to make any damage in the Big Dance.  Wright St. just barely qualifies as a potential first round upset winner.

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference

Dates: March 8-13

Site: Atlantic City, NJ

Teams participating: 11 teams in a regular seeding with the top 5 seeds receiving byes and teams 6-11 playing in an opening round.

Siena, Iona, and Monmouth have been pacing this race for most of the year, but there is no clear-cut favorite in this tournament.  Rick Pitino’s Iona Gaels might have the best chance of pulling off a first round upset in the Big Dance, but the MAAC is not likely to produce a winner in the Round of 64.

Favorable Bracketnomics: None

Mid-American Conference

Dates: March 11-13

Site: Cleveland

Teams participating: The top 8 in a regular seed format.

Toledo, Akron, Kent St., Buffalo, Ohio, Bowling Green, Miami (O), and Ball St. will be the 8 teams getting into the tournament, and probably 6 of the 8 could win this tournament.

Favorable Bracketnomics: Toledo has a potent offense, but their defense isn’t quite tournament tough.  The Rockets might be a 12-seed and no worse than a 13-seed, and they would be a scary first round opponent for a 4 or 5.

Buffalo can get the ball up the court and score quickly, and their defense is better overall than Toledo.  The Bulls are not as potent overall, but if they were to get in as a probable 13 or 14 seed, they could give the favored opponent a good game in the Round of 64.

Mideastern Athletic Conference

Dates: March 7-13

Site: Norfolk, VA (round 1 at higher seed)

Teams participating: The MEAC Tournament has been modified with three teams not playing due to Covid opt-outs.  The MEAC split into North and South Divisions to minimize travel, and the tournament will keep the divisional seeding.  The first round game, to be played at the higher-seed’s home court will pit the #4 South seed playing the #3 South seed.  In the quarterfinals, 3N plays 2S, and 1N plays the winner of the first round game.  In the semifinals, 1 N plays the winner of the 3N/2S game, while 1S plays the winner of the other quarterfinal (2N, 3S, or 4N).

While North Carolina A&T has had the best overall record all year, Norfolk St. is the host team for this tournament, and the Spartans will be the team to beat.  Morgan St. may be the best overall team, but unless the Bears can move up to the North 1-seed, they will have to win an extra game that the top two seeds won’t in order to get the automatic bid.

Favorable Bracketnomics: There is no such thing as a favorable bracketnomic for this conference, as the best this league can hope for is an avoidance of the dreaded 16-seed play-in game.  Norfolk St. and Morgan St., in theory, have slim chances to avoid the bottom four seeds and become a regular 16-seed or even 15-seed, if they win out in the regular season and take the automatic bid at the conference tournament.  They would then need help from other low-major conferences with tournament winners from back in the pack.

Missouri Valley Conference

Dates: March 4-7

Site: Saint Louis (Arch Madness)

Teams participating: 10 in a regular format with 7 & 10 and 8 & 9 playing in the first round, while the top 6 receive byes to the quarterfinals.

This is an important tournament.  The Valley currently has two teams that look like near safe locks to get into the Big Dance.  Loyola of Chicago and Drake both have the needed resumes to receive at-large bids.  In recent years, a regular season also-ran has pulled off the upset in Saint Louis, and if one of the co-favorites fails to make the Championship Game, while an also-ran wins the automatic bid, that upset loser will be in jeopardy of missing out on getting into the field.

3-seed Missouri St. looks like the team with the best chance to sneak into the finals, but the Bears would have to beat a 24-3 Drake team to do it.  If you are looking for a surprise team, then take a gander at 8-seed Bradley.  The Braves would have to win four games in four days to pull off the trick, and it would include a quarterfinal upset of Loyola.

Favorable Bracketnomics: Loyola has the most efficient defense in college basketball this year, and their offense is strong but not strong enough to be considered a real contender for the Final 4.  However, their criteria at the moment is better than the criteria of their actual Final 4 surprise team of a few years back.

That said, Drake has a much better offense than Loyola, while their defense is a tad suspect.  The Bulldogs don’t look like a Final 4 team either, but in the early rounds, the strong offense tends to top a team with a strong defense, if the weak defense matches up against a weak offense.

Mountain West Conference

Dates: March 10-13

Site: Las Vegas

Teams participating: 11 teams in a standard format with the top five seeds receiving first round byes, while the 6-11 seeds play (6-11, 7-10, 8-9)

Brian Dutcher deserves some national coach of the year votes this year, after losing the best players off last year’s team and then after starting slowly, coming on strong with a 10-game winning streak that propelled the Aztecs from middle of the pack to the top of the MWC.  SDSU will be a tough out in the NCAA Tournament.

How many teams get in the Big Dance from this league is a mystery.  Colorado St. and Boise St. are deserving.  On paper, Utah St. looks to be a tad better overall than CSU and BSU, but their overall resume isn’t as impressive.  The Aggies have work to do in this tournament in order to impress the Selection Committee, and at a minimum, USU may need to make it to the Championship Game and definitely must win its final two regular season games.

Favorable Bracketnomics: All four of the top teams have the bracketnomic criteria to advance to the Sweet 16 under the right circumstances, but none of the four have strong enough offenses to advance past that round.  Additionally, SDSU, CSU, and BSU lack the inside muscle to win against power conference teams that get to the Sweet 16.  Utah St. actually has the best Bracketnomic resume today, and they may not even get an invitation.

Northeast Conference

Dates: March 6 & 9

Sites: Higher seed

Teams participating: just the top 4 this year.  The NEC greatly truncated their conference tournament, limiting it to the top four seeds.  Bryant had clinched a top 2 seed and home game in the semifinals, but the Bulldogs’ season is now in jeopardy after positive Covid tests.  Wagner, Mount St. Mary’s, and Sacred Heart have clinched spots in the tournament, so the league must now make a determination on whether its best team can participate.

Favorable Bracketnomics: While no team comes close to having the right stuff to advance in the Dance, Bryant’s fast pace could have made an opening round game interesting and given the Bulldogs the favorite status if forced to play in the 16-seed play-in game.  Without Bryant, the automatic qualified can almost be guaranteed a spot in that play-in game as the underdog.

Ohio Valley Conference

Dates: March 3-6

Site: Evansville, IN

Teams participating: The top 8 only in a standard format with 1-8, 4-5, 3-6, and 2-7 in the quarterfinals.

Belmont looked like the sure winner and possible #12 seed in the Field of 68 until closing with a lost weekend in the Kentucky mountains, as top contenders Eastern Kentucky and Morehead St. trounced the Bruins.

For years, this tournament was held in Nashville, where the hometown Bruins had the edge.  Now, that it has moved to Evansville, the Kentucky teams have had the edge, but obviously this year it will be purely neutral.

Favorable Bracketnomics:  Belmont does not have the criteria to pull off an upset in the NCAA Tournament.  Morehead St. has slightly better criteria at the moment, while Eastern Kentucky is the potentially most dangerous team in a round of 64 game thanks to their unorthodox style of play.  However, Jacksonville St. and Murray St. cannot be counted out to pull off an upset or two and make it to the finals of the OVC Tournament.  This tournament should be one of the most exciting to watch, but it doesn’t look like the year that an OVC team advances to the Round of 32.

Pacific 12 Conference

Dates: March 10-13

Site: Las Vegas

Teams participating: 11 (Arizona ineligible) in a regular format with the top five teams receiving first round byes, while the 6-11 seeds play an opening round game (6-11. 7-10, 8-9)

The Pac-12 has been down for a generation, mostly because UCLA is no longer the UCLA of the 20th Century.  Oregon is the only league team to advance to the Final four in a dozen years.

UCLA, Oregon, and USC are still contending for the regular season title, while Colorado is mathematically alive.  Stanford has lost three games in a row to fall off the Bubble and will now have to earn the automatic bid to make the Field.

Favorable Bracketnomics: UCLA, USC, Oregon, and Colorado all have criteria favorable of making the Sweet 16, but none of the quartet looks like a Final 4 team.  UCLA, Colorado, and Oregon are too generous in the paint, while USC has begun to swoon at the wrong time.

Patriot League

Dates: March 3-6-10-14

Sites: Higher Seed Home Floors

Teams participating: 10 teams in a regular format where the top 6 receive byes to the quarterfinals while 7 plays 10 and 8 plays 9 in the first round.

What are we to make of Colgate?  The Raiders, winners of 10 consecutive games and mostly by lopsided scores, are in the top 10 of the very important Net Ratings, made more important this year with the limited interconference play.  On Net Ratings alone, Colgate would be deserving of the highest seed ever given to a Patriot League team, maybe a 6 or 7 seed!  There is no way the Committee can do this, considering that the Raiders have played no non-conference games, and the Patriot isn’t the Big Ten.  Navy has a win over Georgetown, but beating GU doesn’t move the needle much these days.  Army pinned the only league losses on the Raiders and Midshipmen, and the Black Knights would be the serious spoiler in the conference tournament.

Favorable Bracketnomics:  Not a chance to make the Sweet 16.  If Colgate wins the bid, the Raiders might have a good showing and keep an opening round game close enough to pull out an upset, but they won’t be in the Sweet 16.  Nobody else in this league can win anything more than a possible play-in game, but the Patriot League should avoid the 16-seed line, unless a bottom-seed like Lehigh or Holy Cross pulls off a huge upset.

Southeastern Conference

Dates: March 10-14

Site: Nashville

Teams participating: 13 (Auburn ineligible) in a regular format where #12 & 13 play on opening night, with the winner facing #5 the next day, while 6 plays 11, 7 plays 10, and 8 plays 9.  The top 4 seeds receive double byes.

Alabama clinched the top seed, but the Crimson Tide are starting to look like a somewhat fatigued team.  Arkansas and Florida are close to securing double byes, while the last double bye is still up for grabs between LSU, Tennessee, Ole Miss, and Missouri.

You haven’t seen Kentucky in this group, and the Wildcats will have to win four games in four days to earn an automatic bid.  This team lacks the consistency to do this, and the Blue Mist will have to wait a year to make its next appearance in the NCAA Tournament.

Tennessee and Missouri, two teams that looked like locks in early February, now find themselves needing to do a little work to guarantee dance tickets.  Ole Miss took a crucial bad loss over the weekend and will have to win their final two regular season games and then make it to the SEC Tournament finals to have a chance at an at-large bid.

Favorable Bracketnomics: When Alabama’s three-point shots are falling, they can play Michigan and Gonzaga to a close and competitive game.  When their shots aren’t falling, they can lose at home to Vanderbilt.  Don’t expect the Tide’s shots to fall for four games in a row against NCAA-level defenses.  Additionally, Alabama gives up too much inside defensively, and they cannot rebound well enough to make up for poor shooting games.  Count the Tide out at the Sweet 16.

Arkansas has what Alabama lacks, but Arkansas lacks what Alabama has.  The Razorbacks could also make it to the Sweet 16 this year, but that’s as far as we can see them progressing.

Florida is on the periphery in a lot of criteria, but the Gators come up short in most of them.  A big stretch finish with a conference tournament win could move the Gators’ data into the Elite 8 status, but as of now, we don’t even show them as a strong Sweet 16 candidate.

LSU and Tennessee have been much too inconsistent, and both teams are below .500 in recent weeks.  This looks like a wait-until-next-year scenario for this league.

Southern Conference

Dates: March 5-8

Site: Asheville, NC

Teams participating: 10 in a regular format with teams 1-6 receiving byes to the quarterfinals and teams 7-10 playing a first round.

This race was nip and tuck for weeks with multiple teams holding the top spot at times. UNCG finally won the regular conference championship in the final weekend, while Wofford came on strong to sneak into the number two slot.  UNCG definitely has the easier pass to the title game than Furman and Wofford.

Favorable Bracketnomics: Not this year.  None of the teams in the SoCon have favorable resumes at this time.  It’s not likely the league will produce a tournament win.

Southland Conference

Dates: March 10-14

Site: Katy, TX  (greater Houston)

Teams participating: The top 8 (Stephen F. Austin ineligible) in a ladder system, where the #5 & 8 and the #6 & 7 play in the opening round; the #5/8 winner faces #4 and the #6/7 winner plays #3 in the next round, and the #1 and 2 teams receive byes to the semifinals.

With Stephen F. Austin becoming ineligible 10 days ago, it threw a giant wrench into the workings of the potentially best conference tournament.  Four teams clearly separated from the pack, and a final four of SFA, Abilene Christian, Sam Houston, and Nicholls would have been the best this tournament has ever seen.  

Favorable Bracketnomics: Abilene Christian’s defense is no piece of cake to attack, but the Wildcats lack the offensive firepower to be anything more than a game first round loser.  Sam Houston and Nicholls most likely would go down much easier in a Round of 64 game.

Southwestern Athletic Conference

Dates: March 10-13

Site: Birmingham

Teams participating: The top 8 seeds in a standard 1-8, 4-5, 3-6, 2-7 format

Covid may turn out to help the SWAC, because there is a chance that two league teams will finish conference play undefeated.  If Prairie View and Jackson St. keep winning, and the two teams meet for the automatic bid, there’s even a chance that the winner could become the first SWAC team in years to avoid that play-in game.

Favorable Bracketnomics: The bad news is that not playing in a play-in game would eliminate this league’s chances to at least see their representative win a tournament game.  The two top contenders are fairly adequate defensively, but neither has the offensive efficiency to score 65 points against a 1-seed much less compete.

Summit League

Dates: March 6-9

Site: Sioux Falls, SD

Teams participating: 8 in a regular 1-8, 4-5, 3-6, 2-7 format

South Dakota St. won its final two regular season games to sneak past #2 South Dakota and #3 North Dakota St.  Oral Roberts had a strong final close to earn the #4 seed.  One of these four teams should cut the nets at the Falls.

Favorable Bracketnomics: South Dakota St. and Oral Roberts have just enough offensive efficiency to make an opening round game as a #14 seed interesting versus a #3 seed.  Neither look strong enough to pull off the upset, but a respectable 10-15 point loss wouldn’t be out of the question.

Sun Belt Conference

Dates: March 5-8

Site: Pensacola, FL

Teams participating: 12 in a divisional setting.  Games will be played in two arenas.  The top two teams in both divisions receive first round byes.  In the opening round, 4W Arkansas St. plays 5E Georgia Southern, with the winner playing 1E Georgia St.  4E Appalachian St. plays 5W Little Rock with the winner playing 1W Texas St.  3E South Alabama plays 6W UL-Monroe, with the winner playing 2W Louisiana, and 3W UT-Arlington plays 6E Troy with the winner playing 2E Coastal Carolina.

Favorable Bracketnomics: The only favorable possibility here is avoiding a 16-seed, especially a play-in game.  Texas St. and Coastal Carolina have the most favorable data, but neither can challenge a Michigan, Gonzaga, Baylor, Ohio St., Illinois, or Iowa.

West Coast Conference

Dates: March 4-9

Site: Las Vegas

Teams participating: 10 but seeded totally different from any other conference tournament ever.  The league is going to seed its teams in the order that basketball analytics’ Einstein Ken Pomeroy rates them by adjusted win percentage.  It doesn’t take an Einstein to know that Gonzaga and BYU will be the top two seeds.

Favorable Bracketnomics:  It is no surprise that Gonzaga has one of the three best overall bracketnomics criteria today.  They have the look of an all-time great team not much different than the 1991 UNLV team that ran the table to the Final 4 before losing to eventual champion Duke in a major upset.

BYU also has a favorable criteria.  The Cougars are not Final 4 worthy, but they have a Sweet 16 criteria and even a potential Elite 8 set of data.

Western Athletic Conference

Dates: March 10-13

Site: Las Vegas

Teams participating: 6 (all that are eligible)  The number 3 team will play the number 6 team, with the winner advancing to play the number 2 team.  The number 4 team will play the number 5 team, with the winner facing the number 1 team.

This league has been hit hard by Covid cancellations, and multiple teams are not yet eligible to go to the NCAA Tournament, so this once proud league that had the likes of Arizona, Arizona St, Utah, and BYU has been reduced to Grand Canyon, Utah Valley, California Baptist, and UT Rio Grande Valley.  Still, there are two schools with Final Four banners in their gyms in Seattle and New Mexico St.

Favorable Bracketnomics: Nobody this year has a resume anything close to what New Mexico St. had last year when the tournament was cancelled.  The Aggies had a Sweet 16 resume in 2020, but they will have to come up with a monumental performance from one of the bottom four seeds to win the WAC Tournament.  If anybody other than GCU wins the tournament, they are looking at a 16-seed play-in game.

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

Monday, March 1, 2021

HomeVisitorSpread
St. BonaventureDayton7.7
Saint LouisMassachusetts8.0
RichmondSaint Joseph’s14.5
VirginiaMiami (Fla.)14.4
SyracuseNorth Carolina-1.0
Oklahoma St.Oklahoma2.1
RadfordHampton8.8
WinthropHigh Point14.1
CampbellGardner-Webb-1.5
UNC AshevilleLongwood3.6
NebraskaRutgers-6.5
Western KentuckyFlorida Intl.17.3
MaristQuinnipiac2.8
Colorado St.Air Force20.7
Arizona St.Washington St.2.7
OregonArizona1.9
Central ArkansasStephen F. Austin-10.1
LamarTexas A&M-CC5.1
Incarnate WordNew Orleans-0.4
Arkansas-Pine BluffJackson St.-7.3
Mississippi Valley St.Grambling-18.8
Alabama A&MTexas Southern-6.4
Alabama St.Prairie View A&M-10.9

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rk.TeamRatings
1Gonzaga127.5
2Michigan122.9
3Baylor121.6
4Iowa120.7
5Houston119.6
6Illinois119.4
7Alabama118.2
8Ohio St.117.2
9Florida St.116.5
10Arkansas116.1
11Creighton115.7
12West Virginia115.4
13Villanova115.3
14Purdue115.2
15Wisconsin115.1
16Kansas115.1
17Loyola Chicago115.0
18Colorado114.9
19USC114.5
20San Diego St.114.5
21BYU114.4
22Texas114.1
23Tennessee114.0
24Texas Tech113.9
25Florida113.9
26Virginia113.8
27Rutgers113.7
28LSU113.5
29Maryland113.2
30North Carolina113.1
31Connecticut112.9
32Oklahoma St.112.7
33Oklahoma112.6
34Georgia Tech112.6
35Duke112.2
36St. Bonaventure112.1
37Indiana111.6
38Penn St.111.6
39Memphis111.6
40Utah St.111.3
41Arizona111.3
42Clemson111.3
43Oregon111.2
44Seton Hall111.1
45VCU111.0
46Missouri111.0
47Louisville110.9
48SMU110.9
49UCLA110.8
50Toledo110.7
51Saint Louis110.7
52Boise St.110.7
53Xavier110.7
54Kentucky110.7
55Virginia Tech110.7
56Richmond110.5
57Minnesota110.5
58Wright St.110.3
59Drake110.3
60Syracuse110.1
61Mississippi109.7
62Auburn109.6
63Michigan St.109.5
64Colorado St.109.3
65St. John’s109.1
66Buffalo109.0
67Notre Dame108.9
68Stanford108.8
69Mississippi St.108.7
70North Texas108.7
71Northwestern108.6
72Providence108.5
73N.C. State108.5
74Marshall108.4
75Wichita St.108.2
76Davidson108.2
77Louisiana Tech107.9
78Marquette107.8
79UC Santa Barbara107.7
80Pittsburgh107.3
81Saint Mary’s107.3
82Utah107.1
83Western Kentucky107.0
84Belmont106.9
85Georgia106.9
86Kent St.106.8
87South Carolina106.6
88Colgate106.6
89Georgetown106.6
90Missouri St.106.5
91Liberty106.5
92Dayton106.4
93Rhode Island106.3
94Furman106.2
95Arizona St.105.9
96UCF105.9
97Nevada105.7
98Vanderbilt105.7
99Cincinnati105.6
100Abilene Christian105.6
101Ohio105.4
102San Francisco105.3
103Akron105.3
104Winthrop105.3
105Oregon St.105.3
106Washington St.105.2
107Loyola Marymount105.2
108Nebraska105.2
109UC Riverside105.0
110UNC Greensboro104.9
111Bowling Green104.8
112Butler104.7
113UC Irvine104.7
114Massachusetts104.7
115Eastern Washington104.7
116South Dakota St.104.6
117Tulsa104.5
118UAB104.3
119Pepperdine104.2
120Indiana St.104.1
121Duquesne103.9
122Vermont103.9
123Pacific103.8
124TCU103.6
125Boston College103.6
126George Mason103.5
127Wofford103.3
128Weber St.103.2
129DePaul103.2
130Texas A&M103.0
131Temple103.0
132East Tennessee St.102.7
133Grand Canyon102.4
134Bradley102.3
135Morehead St.102.3
136East Carolina102.2
137UTEP101.8
138Tulane101.7
139Detroit101.6
140Navy101.6
141Cal St. Bakersfield101.6
142Mercer101.4
143Georgia St.101.4
144Miami FL101.4
145North Dakota St.101.3
146Miami OH101.2
147Ball St.101.2
148VMI101.2
149South Florida101.2
150Santa Clara101.1
151Cleveland St.101.1
152Chattanooga101.0
153UMBC100.7
154Drexel100.7
155Wake Forest100.7
156Iowa St.100.7
157Murray St.100.6
158Northern Iowa100.6
159Jacksonville St.100.6
160Stephen F. Austin100.5
161Old Dominion100.4
162Oral Roberts100.4
163UTSA100.3
164Northeastern100.3
165Eastern Kentucky100.3
166California100.3
167Siena100.3
168UNLV100.2
169Southern Utah100.1
170James Madison100.1
171Gardner Webb100.0
172New Mexico St.100.0
173Hofstra99.9
174Texas St.99.8
175Coastal Carolina99.8
176Sam Houston St.99.8
177Bellarmine99.7
178Washington99.7
179South Dakota99.6
180Kansas St.99.3
181Bryant99.0
182Northern Kentucky98.7
183Valparaiso98.7
184La Salle98.6
185Wyoming98.5
186Montana98.2
187Rice98.2
188Evansville98.1
189Monmouth98.1
190Illinois St.98.1
191Saint Joseph’s98.0
192Southern Illinois98.0
193Iona98.0
194San Diego98.0
195Florida Atlantic97.9
196Fresno St.97.9
197Hawaii97.9
198Nicholls St.97.8
199Army97.8
200Saint Peter’s97.7
201Louisiana97.6
202Oakland97.2
203Wagner97.2
204Hartford97.1
205Austin Peay97.1
206George Washington97.1
207South Alabama97.0
208Delaware96.9
209UMKC96.9
210UNC Asheville96.8
211Charleston96.7
212UNC Wilmington96.5
213Milwaukee96.5
214Campbell96.5
215Loyola MD96.5
216Radford96.5
217Lipscomb96.4
218Utah Valley96.3
219UMass Lowell96.2
220Montana St.96.2
221Youngstown St.96.2
222Stony Brook96.1
223UC Davis96.1
224Little Rock96.1
225Mount St. Mary’s96.0
226Appalachian St.96.0
227Albany96.0
228Charlotte95.9
229Norfolk St.95.9
230UT Rio Grande Valley95.8
231Niagara95.8
232Portland St.95.8
233Elon95.8
234Western Carolina95.7
235Prairie View A&M95.7
236Canisius95.6
237Green Bay95.5
238UT Arlington95.4
239American95.4
240UC San Diego95.4
241Longwood95.2
242Lafayette95.2
243The Citadel95.2
244Cal Baptist95.2
245Stetson95.1
246Texas Southern95.0
247Seattle94.9
248Morgan St.94.9
249Arkansas St.94.8
250Southern Miss94.7
251Northern Colorado94.7
252Eastern Michigan94.5
253Marist94.4
254Boston University94.4
255Sacramento St.94.2
256Samford94.2
257Cal St. Fullerton94.2
258IUPUI94.2
259New Hampshire94.0
260Western Michigan94.0
261Towson93.7
262Bucknell93.7
263Southeast Missouri St.93.6
264Quinnipiac93.6
265Georgia Southern93.4
266High Point93.2
267Illinois Chicago93.2
268LIU93.2
269Merrimack93.1
270Florida A&M93.1
271Central Michigan93.1
272Purdue Fort Wayne93.1
273Idaho St.93.0
274Long Beach St.92.9
275Cal St. Northridge92.9
276Fordham92.8
277Middle Tennessee92.8
278Jackson St.92.8
279Robert Morris92.8
280North Carolina A&T92.6
281Florida Gulf Coast92.5
282New Mexico92.5
283NJIT92.4
284Louisiana Monroe92.4
285North Dakota92.4
286North Florida92.3
287Manhattan92.3
288Fairleigh Dickinson92.0
289Southern91.9
290Jacksonville91.8
291St. Francis NY91.8
292William & Mary91.8
293Holy Cross91.8
294Tarleton St.91.7
295FIU91.7
296St. Francis PA91.6
297New Orleans91.6
298North Carolina Central91.5
299Troy91.5
300Eastern Illinois91.5
301Howard91.4
302Western Illinois91.4
303Sacred Heart91.4
304North Alabama91.3
305Coppin St.91.3
306Tennessee Tech91.1
307Rider91.0
308Grambling St.90.6
309Air Force90.6
310Northwestern St.90.6
311SIU Edwardsville90.5
312Binghamton90.5
313Nebraska Omaha90.4
314Lamar90.2
315USC Upstate90.2
316Tennessee St.90.2
317Presbyterian90.1
318Fairfield89.9
319Hampton89.7
320San Jose St.89.5
321Northern Illinois89.5
322Incarnate Word89.2
323Lehigh89.2
324Southeastern Louisiana88.9
325McNeese St.88.7
326Northern Arizona88.7
327Portland88.6
328Central Arkansas88.4
329Dixie St.88.0
330Maine88.0
331Houston Baptist87.6
332Charleston Southern87.6
333Kennesaw St.87.3
334Cal Poly87.2
335Alcorn St.87.1
336Texas A&M Corpus Chris87.1
337Central Connecticut86.9
338Alabama A&M86.6
339Tennessee Martin86.3
340Denver86.0
341Arkansas Pine Bluff83.5
342Idaho83.0
343Alabama St.82.8
344South Carolina St.82.6
345Delaware St.81.6
346Chicago St.80.7
347Mississippi Valley St.69.8

PiRate Ratings By Conference

Atlantic 10
TeamRating
St. Bonaventure112.1
VCU111.0
Saint Louis110.7
Richmond110.5
Davidson108.2
Dayton106.4
Rhode Island106.3
Massachusetts104.7
Duquesne103.9
George Mason103.5
La Salle98.6
Saint Joseph’s98.0
George Washington97.1
Fordham92.8
American
TeamRating
Houston119.6
Memphis111.6
SMU110.9
Wichita St.108.2
UCF105.9
Cincinnati105.6
Tulsa104.5
Temple103.0
East Carolina102.2
Tulane101.7
South Florida101.2
Atlantic Coast
TeamRating
Florida St.116.5
Virginia113.8
North Carolina113.1
Georgia Tech112.6
Duke112.2
Clemson111.3
Louisville110.9
Virginia Tech110.7
Syracuse110.1
Notre Dame108.9
N.C. State108.5
Pittsburgh107.3
Boston College103.6
Miami FL101.4
Wake Forest100.7
America East
TeamRating
Vermont103.9
UMBC100.7
Hartford97.1
UMass Lowell96.2
Stony Brook96.1
Albany96.0
New Hampshire94.0
NJIT92.4
Binghamton90.5
Maine88.0
Atlantic Sun
TeamRating
Liberty106.5
Bellarmine99.7
Lipscomb96.4
Stetson95.1
Florida Gulf Coast92.5
North Florida92.3
Jacksonville91.8
North Alabama91.3
Kennesaw St.87.3
Big 12
TeamRating
Baylor121.6
West Virginia115.4
Kansas115.1
Texas114.1
Texas Tech113.9
Oklahoma St.112.7
Oklahoma112.6
TCU103.6
Iowa St.100.7
Kansas St.99.3
Big East
TeamRating
Creighton115.7
Villanova115.3
Connecticut112.9
Seton Hall111.1
Xavier110.7
St. John’s109.1
Providence108.5
Marquette107.8
Georgetown106.6
Butler104.7
DePaul103.2
Big Sky
TeamRating
Eastern Washington104.7
Weber St.103.2
Southern Utah100.1
Montana98.2
Montana St.96.2
Portland St.95.8
Northern Colorado94.7
Sacramento St.94.2
Idaho St.93.0
Northern Arizona88.7
Idaho83.0
Big South
TeamRating
Winthrop105.3
Gardner Webb100.0
UNC Asheville96.8
Campbell96.5
Radford96.5
Longwood95.2
High Point93.2
USC Upstate90.2
Presbyterian90.1
Hampton89.7
Charleston Southern87.6
Big Ten
TeamRating
Michigan122.9
Iowa120.7
Illinois119.4
Ohio St.117.2
Purdue115.2
Wisconsin115.1
Rutgers113.7
Maryland113.2
Indiana111.6
Penn St.111.6
Minnesota110.5
Michigan St.109.5
Northwestern108.6
Nebraska105.2
Big West
TeamRating
UC Santa Barbara107.7
UC Riverside105.0
UC Irvine104.7
Cal St. Bakersfield101.6
Hawaii97.9
UC Davis96.1
UC San Diego95.4
Cal St. Fullerton94.2
Long Beach St.92.9
Cal St. Northridge92.9
Cal Poly87.2
Colonial
TeamRating
Drexel100.7
Northeastern100.3
James Madison100.1
Hofstra99.9
Delaware96.9
Charleston96.7
UNC Wilmington96.5
Elon95.8
Towson93.7
William & Mary91.8
Conference USA
TeamRating
North Texas108.7
Marshall108.4
Louisiana Tech107.9
Western Kentucky107.0
UAB104.3
UTEP101.8
Old Dominion100.4
UTSA100.3
Rice98.2
Florida Atlantic97.9
Charlotte95.9
Southern Miss94.7
Middle Tennessee92.8
FIU91.7
Horizon
TeamRating
Wright St.110.3
Detroit101.6
Cleveland St.101.1
Northern Kentucky98.7
Oakland97.2
Milwaukee96.5
Youngstown St.96.2
Green Bay95.5
IUPUI94.2
Illinois Chicago93.2
Purdue Fort Wayne93.1
Robert Morris92.8
Metro Atlantic
TeamRating
Siena100.3
Monmouth98.1
Iona98.0
Saint Peter’s97.7
Niagara95.8
Canisius95.6
Marist94.4
Quinnipiac93.6
Manhattan92.3
Rider91.0
Fairfield89.9
Mid-American
TeamRating
Toledo110.7
Buffalo109.0
Kent St.106.8
Ohio105.4
Akron105.3
Bowling Green104.8
Miami OH101.2
Ball St.101.2
Eastern Michigan94.5
Western Michigan94.0
Central Michigan93.1
Northern Illinois89.5
Mideastern Athletic
TeamRating
Norfolk St.95.9
Morgan St.94.9
Florida A&M93.1
North Carolina A&T92.6
North Carolina Central91.5
Howard91.4
Coppin St.91.3
South Carolina St.82.6
Delaware St.81.6
Missouri Valley
TeamRating
Loyola Chicago115.0
Drake110.3
Missouri St.106.5
Indiana St.104.1
Bradley102.3
Northern Iowa100.6
Valparaiso98.7
Evansville98.1
Illinois St.98.1
Southern Illinois98.0
Mountain West
TeamRating
San Diego St.114.5
Utah St.111.3
Boise St.110.7
Colorado St.109.3
Nevada105.7
UNLV100.2
Wyoming98.5
Fresno St.97.9
New Mexico92.5
Air Force90.6
San Jose St.89.5
Northeast
TeamRating
Bryant99.0
Wagner97.2
Mount St. Mary’s96.0
LIU93.2
Merrimack93.1
Fairleigh Dickinson92.0
St. Francis NY91.8
St. Francis PA91.6
Sacred Heart91.4
Central Connecticut86.9
Ohio Valley
TeamRating
Belmont106.9
Morehead St.102.3
Murray St.100.6
Jacksonville St.100.6
Eastern Kentucky100.3
Austin Peay97.1
Southeast Missouri St.93.6
Eastern Illinois91.5
Tennessee Tech91.1
SIU Edwardsville90.5
Tennessee St.90.2
Tennessee Martin86.3
Pac-12
TeamRating
Colorado114.9
USC114.5
Arizona111.3
Oregon111.2
UCLA110.8
Stanford108.8
Utah107.1
Arizona St.105.9
Oregon St.105.3
Washington St.105.2
California100.3
Washington99.7
Patriot
TeamRating
Colgate106.6
Navy101.6
Army97.8
Loyola MD96.5
American95.4
Lafayette95.2
Boston University94.4
Bucknell93.7
Holy Cross91.8
Lehigh89.2
Southeastern
TeamRating
Alabama118.2
Arkansas116.1
Tennessee114.0
Florida113.9
LSU113.5
Missouri111.0
Kentucky110.7
Mississippi109.7
Auburn109.6
Mississippi St.108.7
Georgia106.9
South Carolina106.6
Vanderbilt105.7
Texas A&M103.0
Southern
TeamRating
Furman106.2
UNC Greensboro104.9
Wofford103.3
East Tennessee St.102.7
Mercer101.4
VMI101.2
Chattanooga101.0
Western Carolina95.7
The Citadel95.2
Samford94.2
Southland
TeamRating
Abilene Christian105.6
Stephen F. Austin100.5
Sam Houston St.99.8
Nicholls St.97.8
New Orleans91.6
Northwestern St.90.6
Lamar90.2
Incarnate Word89.2
Southeastern Louisiana88.9
McNeese St.88.7
Central Arkansas88.4
Houston Baptist87.6
Texas A&M Corpus Chris87.1
Summit
TeamRating
South Dakota St.104.6
North Dakota St.101.3
Oral Roberts100.4
South Dakota99.6
UMKC96.9
North Dakota92.4
Western Illinois91.4
Nebraska Omaha90.4
Denver86.0
Southwestern Athletic
TeamRating
Prairie View A&M95.7
Texas Southern95.0
Jackson St.92.8
Southern91.9
Grambling St.90.6
Alcorn St.87.1
Alabama A&M86.6
Arkansas Pine Bluff83.5
Alabama St.82.8
Mississippi Valley St.69.8
Sun Belt
TeamRating
Georgia St.101.4
Texas St.99.8
Coastal Carolina99.8
Louisiana97.6
South Alabama97.0
Little Rock96.1
Appalachian St.96.0
UT Arlington95.4
Arkansas St.94.8
Georgia Southern93.4
Louisiana Monroe92.4
Troy91.5
Western Athletic
TeamRating
Grand Canyon102.4
New Mexico St.100.0
Utah Valley96.3
UT Rio Grande Valley95.8
Cal Baptist95.2
Seattle94.9
Tarleton St.91.7
Dixie St.88.0
Chicago St.80.7
West Coast
TeamRating
Gonzaga127.5
BYU114.4
Saint Mary’s107.3
San Francisco105.3
Loyola Marymount105.2
Pepperdine104.2
Pacific103.8
Santa Clara101.1
San Diego98.0
Portland88.6

PiRate Ratings Alphabetically

RkTeamRating
100Abilene Christian105.6
309Air Force90.6
103Akron105.3
7Alabama118.2
338Alabama A&M86.6
343Alabama St.82.8
227Albany96.0
335Alcorn St.87.1
239American95.4
226Appalachian St.96.0
41Arizona111.3
95Arizona St.105.9
10Arkansas116.1
341Arkansas Pine Bluff83.5
249Arkansas St.94.8
199Army97.8
62Auburn109.6
205Austin Peay97.1
147Ball St.101.2
3Baylor121.6
177Bellarmine99.7
84Belmont106.9
312Binghamton90.5
52Boise St.110.7
125Boston College103.6
254Boston University94.4
111Bowling Green104.8
134Bradley102.3
181Bryant99.0
262Bucknell93.7
66Buffalo109.0
112Butler104.7
21BYU114.4
244Cal Baptist95.2
334Cal Poly87.2
141Cal St. Bakersfield101.6
257Cal St. Fullerton94.2
275Cal St. Northridge92.9
166California100.3
214Campbell96.5
236Canisius95.6
328Central Arkansas88.4
337Central Connecticut86.9
271Central Michigan93.1
211Charleston96.7
332Charleston Southern87.6
228Charlotte95.9
152Chattanooga101.0
346Chicago St.80.7
99Cincinnati105.6
42Clemson111.3
151Cleveland St.101.1
175Coastal Carolina99.8
88Colgate106.6
18Colorado114.9
64Colorado St.109.3
31Connecticut112.9
305Coppin St.91.3
11Creighton115.7
76Davidson108.2
92Dayton106.4
208Delaware96.9
345Delaware St.81.6
340Denver86.0
129DePaul103.2
139Detroit101.6
329Dixie St.88.0
59Drake110.3
154Drexel100.7
35Duke112.2
121Duquesne103.9
136East Carolina102.2
132East Tennessee St.102.7
300Eastern Illinois91.5
165Eastern Kentucky100.3
252Eastern Michigan94.5
115Eastern Washington104.7
233Elon95.8
188Evansville98.1
318Fairfield89.9
288Fairleigh Dickinson92.0
295FIU91.7
25Florida113.9
270Florida A&M93.1
195Florida Atlantic97.9
281Florida Gulf Coast92.5
9Florida St.116.5
276Fordham92.8
196Fresno St.97.9
94Furman106.2
171Gardner Webb100.0
126George Mason103.5
206George Washington97.1
89Georgetown106.6
85Georgia106.9
265Georgia Southern93.4
143Georgia St.101.4
34Georgia Tech112.6
1Gonzaga127.5
308Grambling St.90.6
133Grand Canyon102.4
237Green Bay95.5
319Hampton89.7
204Hartford97.1
197Hawaii97.9
266High Point93.2
173Hofstra99.9
293Holy Cross91.8
5Houston119.6
331Houston Baptist87.6
301Howard91.4
342Idaho83.0
273Idaho St.93.0
6Illinois119.4
267Illinois Chicago93.2
190Illinois St.98.1
322Incarnate Word89.2
37Indiana111.6
120Indiana St.104.1
193Iona98.0
4Iowa120.7
156Iowa St.100.7
258IUPUI94.2
278Jackson St.92.8
290Jacksonville91.8
159Jacksonville St.100.6
170James Madison100.1
16Kansas115.1
180Kansas St.99.3
333Kennesaw St.87.3
86Kent St.106.8
54Kentucky110.7
184La Salle98.6
242Lafayette95.2
314Lamar90.2
323Lehigh89.2
91Liberty106.5
217Lipscomb96.4
224Little Rock96.1
268LIU93.2
274Long Beach St.92.9
241Longwood95.2
201Louisiana97.6
284Louisiana Monroe92.4
77Louisiana Tech107.9
47Louisville110.9
17Loyola Chicago115.0
107Loyola Marymount105.2
215Loyola MD96.5
28LSU113.5
330Maine88.0
287Manhattan92.3
253Marist94.4
78Marquette107.8
74Marshall108.4
29Maryland113.2
114Massachusetts104.7
325McNeese St.88.7
39Memphis111.6
142Mercer101.4
269Merrimack93.1
144Miami FL101.4
146Miami OH101.2
2Michigan122.9
63Michigan St.109.5
277Middle Tennessee92.8
213Milwaukee96.5
57Minnesota110.5
61Mississippi109.7
69Mississippi St.108.7
347Mississippi Valley St.69.8
46Missouri111.0
90Missouri St.106.5
189Monmouth98.1
186Montana98.2
220Montana St.96.2
135Morehead St.102.3
248Morgan St.94.9
225Mount St. Mary’s96.0
157Murray St.100.6
73N.C. State108.5
140Navy101.6
108Nebraska105.2
313Nebraska Omaha90.4
97Nevada105.7
259New Hampshire94.0
282New Mexico92.5
172New Mexico St.100.0
297New Orleans91.6
231Niagara95.8
198Nicholls St.97.8
283NJIT92.4
229Norfolk St.95.9
304North Alabama91.3
30North Carolina113.1
280North Carolina A&T92.6
298North Carolina Central91.5
285North Dakota92.4
145North Dakota St.101.3
286North Florida92.3
70North Texas108.7
164Northeastern100.3
326Northern Arizona88.7
251Northern Colorado94.7
321Northern Illinois89.5
158Northern Iowa100.6
182Northern Kentucky98.7
71Northwestern108.6
310Northwestern St.90.6
67Notre Dame108.9
202Oakland97.2
101Ohio105.4
8Ohio St.117.2
33Oklahoma112.6
32Oklahoma St.112.7
161Old Dominion100.4
162Oral Roberts100.4
43Oregon111.2
105Oregon St.105.3
123Pacific103.8
38Penn St.111.6
119Pepperdine104.2
80Pittsburgh107.3
327Portland88.6
232Portland St.95.8
235Prairie View A&M95.7
317Presbyterian90.1
72Providence108.5
14Purdue115.2
272Purdue Fort Wayne93.1
264Quinnipiac93.6
216Radford96.5
93Rhode Island106.3
187Rice98.2
56Richmond110.5
307Rider91.0
279Robert Morris92.8
27Rutgers113.7
255Sacramento St.94.2
303Sacred Heart91.4
191Saint Joseph’s98.0
51Saint Louis110.7
81Saint Mary’s107.3
200Saint Peter’s97.7
176Sam Houston St.99.8
256Samford94.2
194San Diego98.0
20San Diego St.114.5
102San Francisco105.3
320San Jose St.89.5
150Santa Clara101.1
247Seattle94.9
44Seton Hall111.1
167Siena100.3
311SIU Edwardsville90.5
48SMU110.9
207South Alabama97.0
87South Carolina106.6
344South Carolina St.82.6
179South Dakota99.6
116South Dakota St.104.6
149South Florida101.2
263Southeast Missouri St.93.6
324Southeastern Louisiana88.9
289Southern91.9
192Southern Illinois98.0
250Southern Miss94.7
169Southern Utah100.1
36St. Bonaventure112.1
291St. Francis NY91.8
296St. Francis PA91.6
65St. John’s109.1
68Stanford108.8
160Stephen F. Austin100.5
245Stetson95.1
222Stony Brook96.1
60Syracuse110.1
294Tarleton St.91.7
124TCU103.6
131Temple103.0
23Tennessee114.0
339Tennessee Martin86.3
316Tennessee St.90.2
306Tennessee Tech91.1
22Texas114.1
130Texas A&M103.0
336Texas A&M Corpus Chris87.1
246Texas Southern95.0
174Texas St.99.8
24Texas Tech113.9
243The Citadel95.2
50Toledo110.7
261Towson93.7
299Troy91.5
138Tulane101.7
117Tulsa104.5
118UAB104.3
223UC Davis96.1
113UC Irvine104.7
109UC Riverside105.0
240UC San Diego95.4
79UC Santa Barbara107.7
96UCF105.9
49UCLA110.8
219UMass Lowell96.2
153UMBC100.7
209UMKC96.9
210UNC Asheville96.8
110UNC Greensboro104.9
212UNC Wilmington96.5
168UNLV100.2
19USC114.5
315USC Upstate90.2
238UT Arlington95.4
230UT Rio Grande Valley95.8
82Utah107.1
40Utah St.111.3
218Utah Valley96.3
137UTEP101.8
163UTSA100.3
183Valparaiso98.7
98Vanderbilt105.7
45VCU111.0
122Vermont103.9
13Villanova115.3
26Virginia113.8
55Virginia Tech110.7
148VMI101.2
203Wagner97.2
155Wake Forest100.7
178Washington99.7
106Washington St.105.2
128Weber St.103.2
12West Virginia115.4
234Western Carolina95.7
302Western Illinois91.4
83Western Kentucky107.0
260Western Michigan94.0
75Wichita St.108.2
292William & Mary91.8
104Winthrop105.3
15Wisconsin115.1
127Wofford103.3
58Wright St.110.3
185Wyoming98.5
53Xavier110.7
221Youngstown St.96.2

Coming Later Today: Our conference tournament coverage begins with a look at dates, sites, numbers of teams, and more.

Also Later Today: Our Updated Bracketology–There was a lot of movement over the weekend.

February 27, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 12:00 am

Saturday, February 27, 2021

Multiple Bid League Games

HomeVisitorSpread
DavidsonVCU-1.6
George MasonLa Salle5.0
DuquesneRhode Island-1.4
Georgia TechSyracuse4.4
Boston CollegeNotre Dame-3.9
North CarolinaFlorida St.-2.2
Virginia TechWake Forest10.2
DukeLouisville4.5
Central FloridaTemple4.9
Texas TechTexas1.0
OklahomaOklahoma St.2.6
West VirginiaKansas St.17.5
Iowa St.TCU-0.3
KansasBaylor-6.6
DePaulGeorgetown-0.6
ConnecticutMarquette6.1
XavierCreighton-4.2
IndianaMichigan-8.1
WisconsinIllinois-2.0
NebraskaMinnesota-3.7
Loyola (Chi.)Southern Illinois21.3
Illinois St.Northern Iowa1.4
ValparaisoIndiana St.-3.6
EvansvilleMissouri St.-7.2
BradleyDrake-7.0
San Diego St.Boise St.6.0
Colorado St.Air Force20.3
WyomingSan Jose St.10.9
ArizonaWashington14.7
CaliforniaOregon-8.7
StanfordOregon St.7.1
UtahUSC-6.7
Arizona St.Washington St.3.0
ColoradoUCLA5.8
AuburnTennessee-2.9
GeorgiaSouth Carolina4.4
ArkansasLSU4.2
VanderbiltOle Miss-2.9
KentuckyFlorida-1.0
Mississippi St.Alabama-7.7
San DiegoPepperdine-3.9
GonzagaLoyola Marymount24.9
BYUSaint Mary’s8.7
PacificSan Francisco-0.2

February 25, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 5:25 am

Thursday, February 25, 2021

HomeVisitorSpread
HoustonWestern Kentucky12.9
Sacramento St.Weber St.-6.5
Northern ColoradoPortland St.2.4
Idaho St.Montana-3.1
MichiganIowa1.8
IllinoisNebraska18.1
Michigan St.Ohio St.-7.3
MinnesotaNorthwestern5.0
DetroitRobert Morris10.7
Youngstown St.Illinois-Chicago3.8
Green BayPurdue Fort Wayne5.3
MilwaukeeIUPUI3.6
Western MichiganMiami (O)-3.3
OhioEastern Michigan12.4
BuffaloCentral Michigan14.3
South Carolina St.Florida A&M-10.4
San Diego St.Boise St.5.3
MerrimackSt. Francis (NY)4.6
St. Francis (PA)Mount St. Mary’s-1.9
Sacred HeartFairleigh Dickinson2.5
BryantLong Island University8.1
Central ConnecticutWagner-8.1
SIU EdwardsvilleUT Martin6.8
Morehead St.Tennessee St.14.0
Eastern KentuckyBelmont-7.1
Jacksonville St.Murray St.-0.3
Eastern IllinoisSoutheast Missouri St.0.7
Tennessee TechAustin Peay-5.8
Arizona St.Washington8.0
UtahUCLA-1.1
ColoradoUSC0.7
StanfordOregon0.2
CaliforniaOregon St.-2.0
ArizonaWashington St.7.8
Prairie View A&MMississippi Valley St.27.1
Texas SouthernArkansas-Pine Bluff13.6
GonzagaSanta Clara30.3
BYUSan Francisco11.0
PepperdineLoyola Marymount2.4
San DiegoPortland11.9
Saint Mary’sPacific5.8

Bracketnomics 2021 is Coming!

Our most popular feature at the PiRate Ratings is coming soon. Our annual Bracketnomics series will commence once conference tournament action begins. We made a major upgrade to the system last year, incorporating a host of new back-tested factors that separated contenders from pretenders in the past.

This new back-engineered data was ready to debut last year, but the virus ended up defeating the Big Dance. This year, the virus still brings special situations to the tournament, as everybody will be brought into a small area of Central Indiana, much like an Olympiad. But, we expect the Bracketnomics data to hold its weight in determining which teams have the best chances to win six games in 17 days.

For what it’s worth, here’s a little tease. The top two teams, the undefeated Gonzaga and undefeated Baylor, currently do not have the ideal resumes for a national champion. On the other hand, if the tournament commenced today, no team would have a perfect resume, but two teams have better resumes than the rest. Those two teams are Michigan and Illinois. A lot can change in the next two weeks, so don’t go placing wagers on the Wolverines and Ilini to make the Final Four. Just remember to check here daily once the conference tournament action begins.

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