As of this morning, Sunday, November 27, 2022, there are 80 Bowl Eligible teams for 82 slots in bowls. There are three teams that can still become bowl eligible. Buffalo is 5-6. They host Akron in the makeup game that was postponed when Buffalo was blanketed with feet of snow. Army is 5-6, and a win over Navy would make the Black Knights bowl eligible. New Mexico State is 5-6, and it is not yet determined if the Aggies will get the opportunity to makeup their postponed game with San Jose State. In a wild and crazy world, NMSU has two other options that could work to supply them a replacement game. Virginia Tech had their game with Virginia cancelled and could get an extra game. Vanderbilt had the opportunity to play a 13th game having played in Hawaii, and the Commodores could get an extra game. It’s about 99% certain that neither team would play in Las Cruces on Saturday. Only San Jose State might still agree to playing the game.
Appalachian State has six wins, but two came against FCS teams. The rules state that only one FCS win can be counted toward bowl eligibility, but when there are not enough bowl eligible teams, a team may receive a waiver.
If one or two 5-7 teams need to be added to the bowl schedule, the Academic Progress Rate score determines which team(s) can go. This year, if one additional 5-win team is needed, it will be Rice. If a second 5-7 team is needed, it will be UNLV. For now, we will predict Army and Buffalo to get their sixth wins, and Appy State will get their waiver with two FCS wins.
Bowl
Team
Team
Bahamas
Miami (O)
UAB
Cure
Troy
Air Force
Fenway
Pittsburgh
Cincinnati
New Mexico
Wyoming
North Texas
L.A.
Oregon
Boise St.
Lending Tree
Toledo
Southern Miss.
Las Vegas
UCLA
South Carolina
Frisco
Fresno St.
Houston
Myrtle Beach
Marshall
Conecticut
Famous Idaho Potato
Utah St.
Bowling Green
Boca Raton
Coastal Carolina
Liberty
New Orleans
South Alabama
Western Kentucky
Armed Forces
Central Florida
UTSA
Independence
SMU
Army
Gasparilla
Wake Forest
Arkansas
Hawaii
San Diego St.
Middle Tennessee
Quick Lane
Buffalo
Louisiana
Camellia
Ohio
Georgia Southern
First Responder
BYU
Kansas
Birmingham
Memphis
Appalachian St.
Guaranteed Rate
Wisconsin
Baylor
Military
Syracsue
East Carolina
Liberty
Oklahoma
Missouri
Holiday
Utah
Notre Dame
Texas
Texas Tech
Ole Miss
Pinstripe
Iowa
North Carolina St.
Cheez-It
North Carolina
Oklahoma St.
Alamo
Texas
Oregon St.
Duke’s Mayo
Duke
Minnesota
Tony the Tiger Sun
Florida St.
Washington St.
Arizona
San Jose St.
Eastern Michigan
Orange
Clemson
Tennessee
Music City
Maryland
Kentucky
Sugar
Alabama
Kansas St.
TaxSlayer
Florida
Louisville
Peach
Georgia
USC
Fiesta
Michigan
TCU
Reliaquest (Outback)
Mississippi St.
Illinois
Citrus
LSU
Purdue
Cotton
Penn St.
Tulane
Rose
Ohio St.
Washington
National Championship
Georgia
Michigan
Comments Off on PiRate Ratings College Football–Championship Week
Note: Charlotte and Connecticut have concluded their regular seasons
This Week’s PiRate Ratings
#
Team
Rating
1
Georgia
133.3
2
Ohio St.
132.4
3
Alabama
128.6
4
Michigan
126.5
5
Penn St.
124.1
6
Tennessee
119.9
7
Clemson
119.3
8
Kansas St.
119.3
9
Florida St.
119.1
10
Texas
118.9
11
L S U
118.7
12
T C U
118.6
13
Utah
117.7
14
Notre Dame
116.4
15
Oregon
116.3
16
Minnesota
115.0
17
Iowa
114.8
18
Mississippi St.
113.9
19
Arkansas
113.9
20
U S C
113.8
21
Baylor
113.7
22
Louisville
113.7
23
Oregon St.
113.1
24
Wisconsin
113.0
25
Ole Miss
112.6
26
Oklahoma
112.2
27
Purdue
112.1
28
Illinois
112.1
29
Washington
111.8
30
U C L A
111.1
31
Florida
110.0
32
Texas Tech
109.6
33
Maryland
109.4
34
Wake Forest
109.0
35
Oklahoma St.
108.7
36
South Carolina
108.7
37
Pittsburgh
108.7
38
NC State
108.6
39
Michigan St.
108.4
40
Kentucky
108.3
41
Iowa St.
108.1
42
Cincinnati
108.1
43
Washington St.
107.8
44
North Carolina
107.4
45
Auburn
106.9
46
Tulane
106.4
47
Texas A&M
106.4
48
UCF
105.5
49
Boise St.
105.4
50
Houston
104.2
51
Syracuse
103.7
52
BYU
103.2
53
Missouri
103.1
54
West Virginia
103.0
55
U T S A
102.1
56
Air Force
102.0
57
Nebraska
101.8
58
Kansas
101.8
59
SMU
101.2
60
Fresno St.
101.1
61
Miami (Fla.)
100.7
62
Duke
100.5
63
Arizona St.
100.1
64
Liberty
100.0
65
East Carolina
99.8
66
Memphis
99.6
67
W. Kentucky
99.0
68
James Madison
98.6
69
Indiana
98.5
70
Appalachian St.
98.5
71
Arizona
98.3
72
U A B
97.7
73
California
97.7
74
Stanford
97.0
75
Northwestern
96.9
76
Marshall
96.6
77
Vanderbilt
96.5
78
Georgia St.
96.3
79
Troy
96.2
80
South Alabama
95.9
81
Navy
95.9
82
Toledo
95.8
83
Rutgers
95.5
84
Army
95.5
85
Virginia
95.2
86
San Diego St.
95.2
87
Virginia Tech
94.7
88
Coastal Carolina
94.7
89
Ohio
94.7
90
Georgia Tech
94.2
91
Louisiana
93.5
92
San Jose St.
93.4
93
Boston College
92.9
94
North Texas
92.7
95
Tulsa
92.3
96
Buffalo
91.0
97
N. Illinois
90.7
98
Central Mich.
90.4
99
Ga. Southern
90.3
100
Utah St.
90.2
101
Miami (Ohio)
89.9
102
Wyoming
89.8
103
Kent St.
89.6
104
Florida Atlantic
89.0
105
Southern Miss.
88.1
106
Western Mich.
87.7
107
USF
87.6
108
Eastern Mich.
87.5
109
Middle Tennessee
87.1
110
Old Dominion
86.7
111
Ball St.
86.3
112
U T E P
86.1
113
U N L V
85.9
114
Bowling Green
85.8
115
Connecticut
85.4
116
UL-Monroe
83.5
117
Texas St.
83.4
118
Colorado
82.8
119
Colorado St.
82.1
120
Temple
82.1
121
Arkansas St.
81.4
122
Nevada
79.6
123
Rice
79.0
124
Louisiana Tech
78.8
125
New Mexico
76.5
126
Hawaii
75.9
127
Charlotte
75.7
128
New Mexico St.
75.5
129
Akron
75.3
130
Massachusetts
72.5
131
Florida Int’l.
63.9
PiRate Ratings By Conference
American Athletic Conference
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Cincinnati
108.3
107.5
108.4
108.1
Tulane
106.4
106.1
106.7
106.4
UCF
105.1
105.7
105.6
105.5
Houston
104.5
103.8
104.3
104.2
SMU
101.4
100.7
101.5
101.2
East Carolina
99.6
99.3
100.4
99.8
Memphis
99.6
99.8
99.3
99.6
Navy
96.0
95.8
95.9
95.9
Tulsa
92.8
92.0
92.0
92.3
USF
88.4
87.4
87.2
87.6
Temple
81.9
83.1
81.2
82.1
AAC
98.6
98.3
98.4
98.4
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Clemson
119.3
119.1
119.6
119.3
Florida St.
119.1
118.9
119.3
119.1
Louisville
113.9
113.6
113.6
113.7
Wake Forest
109.2
108.9
108.9
109.0
NC State
109.3
108.5
108.1
108.6
Syracuse
104.6
103.4
103.1
103.7
Boston College
93.2
93.6
91.8
92.9
Coastal Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Pittsburgh
109.6
108.7
107.9
108.7
North Carolina
107.8
107.7
106.8
107.4
Miami (Fla.)
101.4
100.6
100.1
100.7
Duke
100.2
101.9
99.4
100.5
Virginia
95.8
95.9
94.0
95.2
Virginia Tech
95.1
95.3
93.7
94.7
Georgia Tech
94.9
94.6
93.3
94.2
ACC
105.2
105.0
104.2
104.8
Big 12 Conference
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Kansas St.
119.8
118.7
119.4
119.3
Texas
119.7
118.8
118.3
118.9
T C U
119.2
118.0
118.7
118.6
Baylor
114.3
113.1
113.7
113.7
Oklahoma
112.6
111.7
112.4
112.2
Texas Tech
109.8
108.9
110.2
109.6
Oklahoma St.
109.5
108.0
108.7
108.7
Iowa St.
108.5
107.9
108.0
108.1
West Virginia
103.5
102.9
102.7
103.0
Kansas
103.0
101.6
101.0
101.8
Big 12
112.0
111.0
111.3
111.4
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Ohio St.
132.9
131.8
132.6
132.4
Michigan
126.9
126.2
126.5
126.5
Penn St.
124.2
124.1
124.1
124.1
Maryland
109.9
109.5
108.9
109.4
Michigan St.
109.5
108.2
107.4
108.4
Indiana
99.4
98.6
97.5
98.5
Rutgers
96.7
95.7
94.2
95.5
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Minnesota
115.5
114.7
114.8
115.0
Iowa
115.5
114.7
114.2
114.8
Wisconsin
113.5
113.1
112.4
113.0
Purdue
113.0
112.2
111.1
112.1
Illinois
112.3
112.6
111.4
112.1
Nebraska
102.4
102.1
101.1
101.8
Northwestern
97.1
97.6
96.0
96.9
Big Ten
112.1
111.5
110.9
111.5
Conference USA
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
U T S A
102.0
101.6
102.7
102.1
W. Kentucky
98.6
98.5
99.9
99.0
U A B
97.5
97.3
98.3
97.7
North Texas
92.3
92.2
93.5
92.7
Florida Atlantic
88.9
89.8
88.4
89.0
Middle Tennessee
86.8
87.4
87.1
87.1
U T E P
86.1
86.2
85.8
86.1
Rice
79.1
79.0
78.9
79.0
Louisiana Tech
78.8
79.6
78.0
78.8
Charlotte
75.4
76.2
75.5
75.7
Florida Int’l.
63.8
65.4
62.6
63.9
CUSA
86.3
86.7
86.4
86.5
FBS Independents
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Notre Dame
116.7
115.6
116.8
116.4
BYU
103.7
102.4
103.5
103.2
Liberty
99.5
100.3
100.1
100.0
Army
95.1
95.6
95.7
95.5
Connecticut
85.3
86.5
84.4
85.4
New Mexico St.
75.0
76.9
74.6
75.5
Massachusetts
72.6
73.6
71.4
72.5
Independents
92.6
93.0
92.4
92.6
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Ohio
93.2
95.5
95.3
94.7
Buffalo
89.8
91.8
91.5
91.0
Miami (Ohio)
88.9
90.7
90.1
89.9
Kent St.
89.1
90.6
89.1
89.6
Bowling Green
85.7
85.7
85.9
85.8
Akron
75.1
75.9
74.8
75.3
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Toledo
95.4
96.1
95.9
95.8
N. Illinois
90.5
91.0
90.6
90.7
Central Mich.
89.2
90.8
91.2
90.4
Western Mich.
87.1
88.1
87.9
87.7
Eastern Mich.
87.1
87.9
87.4
87.5
Ball St.
85.7
87.0
86.4
86.3
MAC
88.1
89.3
88.8
88.7
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Boise St.
105.3
104.9
105.9
105.4
Air Force
101.9
101.8
102.4
102.0
Utah St.
90.0
90.2
90.4
90.2
Wyoming
88.8
90.5
90.1
89.8
Colorado St.
81.6
82.5
82.3
82.1
New Mexico
77.1
76.8
75.6
76.5
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Fresno St.
101.0
100.7
101.6
101.1
San Diego St.
95.1
94.8
95.5
95.2
San Jose St.
93.2
93.4
93.6
93.4
U N L V
86.2
85.1
86.4
85.9
Nevada
79.4
80.4
78.9
79.6
Hawaii
75.2
76.3
76.4
75.9
MWC
89.6
89.8
89.9
89.8
Pac-12 Conference
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Utah
117.6
116.9
118.6
117.7
Oregon
116.4
116.0
116.6
116.3
U S C
113.4
113.7
114.4
113.8
Oregon St.
112.9
112.5
113.9
113.1
Washington
111.4
111.6
112.3
111.8
U C L A
110.7
110.6
111.9
111.1
Washington St.
107.3
107.7
108.4
107.8
Arizona St.
100.2
99.6
100.4
100.1
Arizona
98.1
98.1
98.6
98.3
California
97.4
97.4
98.2
97.7
Stanford
98.0
96.2
96.7
97.0
Colorado
83.6
82.2
82.7
82.8
Pac-12
105.6
105.2
106.1
105.6
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Georgia
133.3
132.5
134.0
133.3
Tennessee
119.6
119.7
120.5
119.9
Florida
109.5
110.6
109.9
110.0
South Carolina
108.9
108.6
108.7
108.7
Kentucky
107.9
108.2
108.7
108.3
Missouri
103.2
103.4
102.5
103.1
Vanderbilt
96.4
97.2
95.9
96.5
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Alabama
128.7
127.8
129.2
128.6
L S U
118.8
118.4
118.9
118.7
Mississippi St.
114.8
113.4
113.7
113.9
Arkansas
114.2
113.0
114.5
113.9
Ole Miss
113.4
112.0
112.3
112.6
Auburn
107.5
106.3
106.8
106.9
Texas A&M
106.3
106.5
106.3
106.4
SEC
113.0
112.7
113.0
112.9
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
James Madison
97.1
98.4
100.3
98.6
Appalachian St.
97.5
98.6
99.2
98.5
Marshall
95.8
96.8
97.0
96.6
Georgia St.
95.7
95.8
97.4
96.3
Coastal Carolina
93.9
94.9
95.3
94.7
Ga. Southern
90.0
90.0
90.8
90.3
Old Dominion
86.7
86.7
86.8
86.7
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Troy
95.4
96.1
97.2
96.2
South Alabama
95.0
95.8
97.0
95.9
Louisiana
92.9
93.3
94.2
93.5
Southern Miss.
87.6
88.1
88.6
88.1
UL-Monroe
83.3
83.7
83.6
83.5
Texas St.
82.7
83.8
83.8
83.4
Arkansas St.
80.8
82.0
81.3
81.4
Sun Belt
91.0
91.7
92.3
91.7
Conference Ratings
#
Conference
Rating
1
Southeastern
112.9
2
Big Ten
111.5
3
Big 12
111.4
4
Pac-12
105.6
5
Atlantic Coast
104.8
6
American Athletic
98.4
7
Independents
92.6
8
Sun Belt
91.7
9
Mountain West
89.8
10
Mid-American
88.7
11
Conference USA
86.5
Bowl Projections
Bowl
Team
Team
Bahamas
UTSA
Ohio
Cure
Marshall
Southern Miss.
Fenway
Duke
Central Florida
New Mexico
Western Kentucky
Wyoming
L.A.
Utah
Boise St.
Lending Tree
Miami (O)
Appalachian St.
Las Vegas
Washington
Ole Miss
Frisco
San Diego St.
Washington St.
Myrtle Beach
BYU
South Alabama
Famous Idaho Potato
Bowling Green
Utah St.
Boca Raton
Connecticut
Air Force
New Orleans
Florida Atlantic
Coastal Carolina
Armed Forces
Houston
North Texas
Independence
SMU
Army
Gasparilla
Syracuse
East Carolina
Hawaii
UAB
San Jose St.
Quick Lane
Eastern Michigan
Liberty
Camellia
Buffalo
Troy
First Responder
Kansas
Louisiana
Birmingham
Memphis
Middle Tennessee
Guaranteed Rate
Oklahoma
Wisconsin
Military
Louisville
Tulane
Liberty
Baylor
Missouri
Holiday
North Carolina
Oregon
Texas
Texas Tech
Florida
Pinstripe
Pittsburgh
Minnesota
Cheez-It
Notre Dame
Oklahoma St.
Alamo
Texas
Oregon St.
Duke’s Mayo
Wake Forest
Maryland
Tony the Tiger Sun
North Carolina St.
UCLA
Arizona
Toledo
Fresno St.
Orange
Clemson
Alabama
Music City
Illinois
Kentucky
Sugar
LSU
Kansas St.
TaxSlayer
Florida St.
Arkansas
Peach
Georgia
Michigan
Fiesta
Ohio St.
TCU
Reliaquest (Outback)
Iowa
South Carolina
Citrus
Purdue
Mississippi St.
Cotton
Tennessee
Cincinnati
Rose
USC
Penn St.
National Championship
Georgia
Ohio St.
Note: 82 teams are projected to finish bowl eligible, and there are 82 spots available. There is still a chance that a 5-7 team will be needed if there are less than 82 bowl eligible teams.
Teams that figure to finish 5-7 and have the best APR scores to receive a bid include (in order):
Rice
Iowa State
UNLV
Auburn
Michigan State
Comments Off on PiRate Ratings College Football — November 20, 2022
Note: Our ratings are not reward based on what the teams have done so far. They are predictive in nature, meant to be used for the following week to predict the outcome of games. Thus, a two-loss team is ranked number three over a one-loss team that beat them. Do not confuse power ratings for rankings like the AP, COaches, and Playoff Polls.
#
Team
Rating
1
Ohio St.
132.8
2
Georgia
132.7
3
Alabama
129.2
4
Michigan
127.6
5
Tennessee
125.3
6
Penn St.
119.8
7
L S U
117.5
8
Texas
117.3
9
Clemson
117.2
10
Utah
117.1
11
Oregon
117.1
12
Baylor
116.5
13
T C U
116.2
14
Florida St.
116.0
15
Kansas St.
115.6
16
Notre Dame
115.6
17
Minnesota
115.4
18
Mississippi St.
114.7
19
Wisconsin
114.5
20
Ole Miss
113.5
21
U C L A
113.1
22
Louisville
113.0
23
NC State
112.7
24
Arkansas
112.5
25
U S C
112.3
26
Oklahoma
112.2
27
Iowa
112.0
28
Illinois
111.8
29
Purdue
111.6
30
Michigan St.
110.7
31
Maryland
110.4
32
Oklahoma St.
109.7
33
Kentucky
109.7
34
North Carolina
109.6
35
Oregon St.
109.5
36
Wake Forest
109.2
37
Florida
109.0
38
Cincinnati
108.8
39
Texas Tech
108.7
40
Texas A&M
108.7
41
Iowa St.
108.6
42
Pittsburgh
108.4
43
Washington
108.1
44
South Carolina
107.6
45
Washington St.
107.5
46
UCF
107.4
47
Syracuse
107.3
48
Auburn
105.5
49
Kansas
105.4
50
Missouri
104.7
51
Boise St.
104.2
52
Tulane
104.0
53
SMU
103.8
54
East Carolina
103.3
55
BYU
103.2
56
Liberty
103.1
57
Air Force
102.4
58
West Virginia
102.3
59
Arizona St.
102.0
60
Houston
101.5
61
Nebraska
101.4
62
Miami (Fla.)
101.2
63
Fresno St.
100.6
64
California
98.9
65
Appalachian St.
98.7
66
Duke
98.7
67
W. Kentucky
98.6
68
Stanford
98.5
69
Toledo
98.3
70
Georgia St.
98.1
71
Virginia
98.1
72
Memphis
97.7
73
U T S A
97.5
74
Indiana
97.4
75
Rutgers
97.2
76
U A B
96.6
77
Northwestern
96.3
78
Arizona
96.3
79
Troy
96.3
80
James Madison
95.9
81
Virginia Tech
95.7
82
South Alabama
95.4
83
San Jose St.
95.4
84
Marshall
95.3
85
Army
94.9
86
Coastal Carolina
94.8
87
North Texas
94.0
88
Boston College
93.6
89
Georgia Tech
93.3
90
Tulsa
93.1
91
Ga. Southern
92.6
92
Vanderbilt
92.5
93
Louisiana
92.3
94
Navy
92.2
95
San Diego St.
92.1
96
Ohio
92.1
97
N. Illinois
91.8
98
Buffalo
91.0
99
Central Mich.
90.8
100
Miami (Ohio)
90.5
101
Utah St.
90.2
102
Old Dominion
89.7
103
Wyoming
89.3
104
Florida Atlantic
89.2
105
Southern Miss.
88.2
106
Kent St.
88.0
107
USF
87.8
108
U N L V
87.5
109
Western Mich.
87.1
110
Ball St.
86.9
111
Bowling Green
86.6
112
Eastern Mich.
86.3
113
Colorado
86.0
114
Middle Tennessee
84.5
115
U T E P
84.3
116
Texas St.
83.7
117
Connecticut
83.2
118
Rice
82.3
119
Arkansas St.
82.3
120
Nevada
82.1
121
UL-Monroe
81.9
122
Louisiana Tech
81.9
123
Colorado St.
81.3
124
Temple
80.9
125
New Mexico
78.1
126
Charlotte
74.9
127
Akron
74.9
128
New Mexico St.
74.8
129
Hawaii
73.8
130
Massachusetts
69.7
131
Florida Int’l.
68.1
PiRate Ratings By Conference
American Athletic
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Cincinnati
108.8
108.1
109.4
108.8
UCF
107.0
107.6
107.6
107.4
Tulane
104.0
103.8
104.3
104.0
SMU
103.9
103.3
104.2
103.8
East Carolina
103.2
102.8
103.8
103.3
Houston
101.7
100.9
101.8
101.5
Memphis
97.8
98.0
97.3
97.7
Tulsa
93.6
92.8
93.0
93.1
Navy
92.6
92.2
91.9
92.2
USF
88.6
87.6
87.4
87.8
Temple
80.9
82.2
79.6
80.9
AAC
98.4
98.1
98.2
98.2
Atlantic Coast
Atlantic Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Clemson
117.4
117.0
117.3
117.2
Florida St.
116.2
115.8
115.9
116.0
Louisville
113.2
112.9
112.9
113.0
NC State
113.2
112.4
112.5
112.7
Wake Forest
109.4
109.1
109.0
109.2
Syracuse
108.1
107.0
106.9
107.3
Boston College
93.9
94.6
92.3
93.6
Coastal Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
North Carolina
109.9
109.9
109.2
109.6
Pittsburgh
109.3
108.3
107.6
108.4
Miami (Fla.)
101.9
101.0
100.6
101.2
Duke
98.4
100.3
97.2
98.7
Virginia
98.6
98.7
97.0
98.1
Virginia Tech
96.3
96.2
94.6
95.7
Georgia Tech
94.0
93.8
92.3
93.3
ACC
105.7
105.5
104.7
105.3
Big 12
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Texas
118.1
117.2
116.6
117.3
Baylor
117.0
115.9
116.6
116.5
T C U
116.9
115.6
116.3
116.2
Kansas St.
116.3
115.0
115.5
115.6
Oklahoma
112.6
111.7
112.4
112.2
Oklahoma St.
110.5
108.9
109.7
109.7
Texas Tech
109.0
107.9
109.3
108.7
Iowa St.
108.8
108.5
108.6
108.6
Kansas
106.4
105.2
104.6
105.4
West Virginia
102.8
102.2
102.0
102.3
Big 12
111.8
110.8
111.2
111.3
Big Ten
East Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Ohio St.
133.1
132.0
133.3
132.8
Michigan
127.9
127.2
127.8
127.6
Penn St.
120.0
119.8
119.7
119.8
Michigan St.
111.6
110.5
110.1
110.7
Maryland
111.0
110.6
109.8
110.4
Indiana
98.4
97.6
96.1
97.4
Rutgers
98.5
97.4
95.7
97.2
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Minnesota
115.9
115.0
115.4
115.4
Wisconsin
114.8
114.6
114.1
114.5
Iowa
112.9
111.9
111.1
112.0
Illinois
112.0
112.5
111.1
111.8
Purdue
112.6
111.6
110.6
111.6
Nebraska
102.1
101.7
100.6
101.4
Northwestern
96.5
97.2
95.3
96.3
Big Ten
112.0
111.4
110.8
111.4
Conference USA
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
W. Kentucky
98.1
98.1
99.7
98.6
U T S A
97.5
96.8
98.0
97.5
U A B
96.4
96.2
97.3
96.6
North Texas
93.5
93.5
94.9
94.0
Florida Atlantic
89.1
90.0
88.6
89.2
Middle Tennessee
84.3
84.7
84.6
84.5
U T E P
84.4
84.3
84.0
84.3
Rice
82.3
82.4
82.3
82.3
Louisiana Tech
81.7
82.8
81.1
81.9
Charlotte
74.7
75.4
74.5
74.9
Florida Int’l.
67.7
69.7
66.8
68.1
CUSA
86.3
86.7
86.5
86.5
Independents
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Notre Dame
115.9
114.6
116.2
115.6
BYU
103.7
102.4
103.5
103.2
Liberty
102.2
103.3
103.7
103.1
Army
94.8
95.0
95.0
94.9
Connecticut
83.2
84.4
81.9
83.2
New Mexico St.
74.3
76.2
73.9
74.8
Massachusetts
70.0
70.8
68.2
69.7
Independents
92.0
92.4
91.8
92.1
Mid-American
East Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Ohio
90.7
92.9
92.6
92.1
Buffalo
89.7
91.9
91.6
91.0
Miami (Ohio)
89.4
91.4
90.7
90.5
Kent St.
87.5
89.1
87.5
88.0
Bowling Green
86.6
86.4
86.7
86.6
Akron
74.8
75.5
74.3
74.9
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Toledo
97.6
98.6
98.7
98.3
N. Illinois
91.6
92.0
91.8
91.8
Central Mich.
89.5
91.1
91.7
90.8
Western Mich.
86.7
87.5
87.1
87.1
Ball St.
86.4
87.6
86.8
86.9
Eastern Mich.
85.9
86.7
86.2
86.3
MAC
88.0
89.2
88.8
88.7
Mountain West
Mountain Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Boise St.
104.2
103.6
104.9
104.2
Air Force
102.2
102.0
102.9
102.4
Utah St.
90.0
90.1
90.4
90.2
Wyoming
88.3
90.1
89.6
89.3
Colorado St.
81.0
81.8
81.3
81.3
New Mexico
78.6
78.5
77.2
78.1
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Fresno St.
100.5
100.2
101.2
100.6
San Jose St.
94.9
95.4
95.8
95.4
San Diego St.
92.3
91.7
92.3
92.1
U N L V
87.9
86.5
88.1
87.5
Nevada
81.7
83.1
81.4
82.1
Hawaii
73.2
74.4
74.0
73.8
MWC
89.6
89.8
89.9
89.8
Pac-12
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Utah
116.9
116.3
118.2
117.1
Oregon
117.2
116.7
117.3
117.1
U C L A
112.6
112.6
114.1
113.1
U S C
111.8
112.2
112.8
112.3
Oregon St.
109.6
108.9
110.1
109.5
Washington
107.8
108.0
108.4
108.1
Washington St.
107.0
107.4
108.0
107.5
Arizona St.
102.0
101.5
102.4
102.0
California
98.5
98.7
99.5
98.9
Stanford
99.5
97.7
98.3
98.5
Arizona
96.2
96.1
96.5
96.3
Colorado
86.8
85.3
86.0
86.0
Pac-12
105.5
105.1
106.0
105.5
Southeastern
East Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Georgia
132.7
131.8
133.6
132.7
Tennessee
125.0
125.0
125.8
125.3
Kentucky
109.3
109.7
110.1
109.7
Florida
108.4
109.7
108.9
109.0
South Carolina
107.7
107.3
107.7
107.6
Missouri
104.8
105.1
104.2
104.7
Vanderbilt
92.6
93.2
91.5
92.5
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Alabama
129.1
128.4
130.0
129.2
L S U
117.7
117.2
117.5
117.5
Mississippi St.
115.5
114.2
114.5
114.7
Ole Miss
114.5
113.0
113.1
113.5
Arkansas
112.9
111.6
113.1
112.5
Texas A&M
108.4
108.8
108.9
108.7
Auburn
106.4
104.9
105.1
105.5
SEC
113.2
112.9
113.1
113.1
Sunbelt
East Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Appalachian St.
97.6
98.8
99.6
98.7
Georgia St.
97.4
97.5
99.4
98.1
James Madison
94.3
95.7
97.7
95.9
Marshall
94.7
95.6
95.4
95.3
Coastal Carolina
93.9
95.0
95.5
94.8
Ga. Southern
92.2
92.3
93.4
92.6
Old Dominion
89.7
89.7
89.7
89.7
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Troy
95.3
96.1
97.4
96.3
South Alabama
94.6
95.1
96.4
95.4
Louisiana
91.7
92.1
93.1
92.3
Southern Miss.
87.7
88.2
88.6
88.2
Texas St.
82.8
84.1
84.1
83.7
Arkansas St.
81.6
82.9
82.3
82.3
UL-Monroe
81.8
82.2
81.8
81.9
Sun Belt
91.1
91.8
92.5
91.8
Conference Ratings
#
Conference
Rating
1
Southeastern
113.1
2
Big Ten
111.4
3
Big 12
111.3
4
Pac-12
105.5
5
Atlantic Coast
105.3
6
American Athletic
98.2
7
Independents
92.1
8
Sun Belt
91.8
9
Mountain West
89.8
10
Mid-American
88.7
11
Conference USA
86.5
Playoff & Bowl Projections
Four weeks from today, the College Football Playoffs and Postseason Bowl Game participants will be revealed to the public. With less than a month to go, it’s time to take a more in-depth look at where things stand and where they might go.
The Playoff Race
After yesterday’s Georgia-Tennessee, Alabama-LSU, and Notre Dame-Clemson games played, it left three teams in the clear-cut lead to be in the top four this week. Georgia has now penned the lone losses on Oregon and Tennessee, and the Bulldogs will ascend to number one. Ohio State won ugly at Northwestern yesterday, but they played in severe weather. Michigan once again spotted an opponent an early lead and then steamrolled Rutgers by four touchdowns. Those three teams will be in the Big Four on Tuesday. Who will be number four? We believe it will be Tennessee, as losing at the new number one team by two touchdowns definitely tops Oregon’s blowout loss in Atlanta to the same team. Should TCU be in the mix? They most definitely should, but as so many media experts explain, their name drops them a couple spots in the rankings, just like Cincinnati last year at this time. If the Horned Frogs win out with three tough games to go, they almost assuredly would move into the top four, but that’s a big if, and at the present time, having watched TCU play most of their games, we don’t see this team sitting at 13-0 on December 4.
If we have to make a wild guess, we will say that Georgia will easily win out in the regular season, even if their game in Starkville this week may be a trap game. We cannot see any of Tennessee’s final three opponents competing against the Vols. Georgia stopped their offense, because the Bulldogs have a defense not that much weaker than the Detroit Lions (probably more future Pro Bowl players than the Lions). Neither Ohio State nor Michigan have much in their way prior to the big game at the Giant Horseshoe. It won’t be popular, but a Big Ten-SEC Challenge in the Playoffs could be in the offing. As of today, we have Georgia playing Michigan in the Peach Bowl, and Ohio State playing Tennessee in the Fiesta Bowl. Oregon might win out and finish 12-1 and have to settle for the Rose Bowl. We can see TCU actually losing twice in the next month, and maybe having to settle for the Cotton Bowl or even the Alamo Bowl, depending on what UCLA or USC does out West.
The New Year’s Six
One thing that happened this weekend was the elimination of Alabama and most likely Clemson from the Playoff picture. With LSU’s win, the Tigers have a tough rebound game at Arkansas, and if Brian Kelly can lead the Bayou Bengals into Fayetteville and win, they almost have the SEC West clinched. At 10-2 and a loss to Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, we believe the Sugar Bowl will take them in a heartbeat. Where would that leave a 10-2 Alabama? We think they would still get an Orange Bowl bid, where they might face their former nemesis Clemson. The Rose Bowl would get the Pac-12 champion that would not be Playoff bound, so we’ll slot Oregon in there for now but not rule out the winner of the USC-UCLA game. That leaves the Cotton Bowl. The Group of Five team that finishes the highest in the ratings will automatically get a bid here. If that bid was extended today, the Tulane Green Wave would receive it, but TU must beat Central Florida, Cincinnati, and then one of those two again in the AAC Championship Game to get to 12-1 and secure the bid. Should TU falter, and we think that’s a very high possibility, the next team in line, one that strengthened their resume with a road win against an SEC team, would be Liberty, if the Flames win out (a much higher probability than Tulane). The last at-large team in the field would most likely be Penn State at 10-2, but the number two team in the Pac-12 could beat the Nittany Lions out. With losses to just two teams that we pick to be in the Playoffs, we’d go with Penn State to edge out any two-loss Pac-12 team.
American Athletic
As we previously mentioned, we do not see Tulane winning out, and should the Green Wave lose to both Central Florida and Cincinnati, they won’t even make the AAC Championship Game. If they beat UCF in New Orleans, they would have to beat Cinti in consecutive weeks to get there, once in the Queen City and then once in the Crescent City. If the Bearcats win out, and Tulane beats UCF, then Cinti would host Tulane in consecutive weeks. If UCF wins out, and Cincinnati tops Tulane, then the Bearcats would have to go to Orlando in the conference championship game.
Elsewhere in the AAC, with SMU’s record-setting basketball score win over Houston, the Mustangs are almost a lock to get a bowl bid. East Carolina is already bowl eligible. Houston and Memphis have work to do, but the schedule is favorable for both. As for the Cougars, Dana Holgersen may not be coaching the team by bowl season.
Atlantic Coast & Notre Dame
A half-dozen teams will have to lose games before Clemson has a remote chance to sneak into the playoffs, assuming the Tigers can win out. If they play like they have the last few weeks, beating North Carolina in the ACC Championship Game would be 50-50 at best, and they might even be vulnerable against South Carolina in the regular season finale. At best, CU can hope for another ACC title and a trip to the Orange Bowl. North Carolina may be the weakest 1-loss team from a Power 5 Conference since the 20th Century. The Tar Heels keep coming up with fourth quarter heroics to be mediocre teams. We don’t believe Mack Brown’s Heels can make it to a New Year’s Bowl Game, and they need to finish better than one game ahead of Notre Dame just to get the Cheez-it Bowl bid.
Notre Dame can receive any of the ACC’s allotted bowl bids after the Orange Bowl as long as their won-loss record is within one game of the next highest ACC team. If the Irish lose to USC and finish 9-3, they will be able to jump over a 10-2 team, but not an 11-2 team. What better bowl to send the Irish to in December than one in Boston? They’d sell out Fenway Park like a Yankees-Red Sox game in October.
With Notre Dame, this league figures to have 10 bowl eligible teams, which means all the first tier bowl bids will be taken, and one second tier bowl bid will be used. We believe the Gasparilla Bowl will get the final ACC team.
Big 12
Had Texas been able to edge Alabama in September and not lose their star QB for a few games, the Longhorns might be in the Playoff mix. The best the Longhorns can do now is to play spoiler and knock TCU out of the Playoff mix. If Quinn Ewers can remain healthy and not have another three interception day like he did against Oklahoma State, the Longhorns might win out and become Big 12 Champions, getting a Sugar Bowl bid.
TCU must beat Texas and Baylor and then whoever makes the Big 12 Championship Game in order to get to the necessary 13-0 they will need to make the Playoffs, and it looks like too much of a longshot. It is going to be rough just getting to the Sugar Bowl, and two losses most likely banishes the Frogs to the Alamo Bowl.
Elsewhere in the league, Kansas has now assured themselves of their first bowl bid in 14 years. Texas Tech and Iowa State are now fighting it out for the last bowl bid in this league, and we believe there will be eight teams playing in the postseason. If no Big 12 team gets to the Playoffs, there will be one extra team to fill in as an at-large bowl participant, and it is our belief that they will replace a spot that the SEC cannot fill.
Big Ten
We show three of the bowl eligible teams playing in either the Playoffs or New Year’s Six, so Ohio State, Michigan, and Penn State being taken off the table means the other New Year’s Day games against SEC teams will have lesser teams. The Citrus Bowl is likely to go to the West Division Champion that will then get clobbered in the Big Ten Championship Game. At the moment, even with a loss this weekend, Illinois has the upper hand. The Reliaquest (Outback) bowl bid would then probably go to the West Division runner-up.
There should be 10 Bowl Eligible teams with many of the also-rans beating up on each other, so the Big Ten will be able to fill its allotment all the way down to the Quick Lane Bowl. That requires Michigan State to win two more games, but we think Sparty does that.
Conference USA
It is the weakest overall conference in FBS football, but geography is on CUSA’s side. This year, the two best teams are in the Lone Star State as UTSA and North Texas have moved to the top of the standings and figure to play in the title game. Western Kentucky, Rice, Florida Atlantic, and Middle Tennessee are quite mediocre, but all four could end up with six losses and become bowl eligible. The last bowl bid available figures to come down to the number six CUSA team and the number eight Mountain West team. Because that final bowl spot is likely to be from a game east of the Mississippi River, a 6-6 CUSA team should get in over a 6-6 MWC team.
Independents
Notre Dame is not counted as an independent since they can receive an ACC bid. Army and BYU are guaranteed bowl bids if they are bowl eligible. BYU should sneak in, but Army is looking at a potential 5-7 or 4-8 season.
Liberty will get a bowl bid, and if the Flames win out, they could be feeling some soft Cotton in Texas. The big surprise team that few people have taken notice to since September is Connecticut. The Huskies could very well become bowl eligible in Jim Mora Jr.’s first season in Storrs.
Mid-American
Toledo frequently appears to be the most talented team in the MAC, but the Rockets always stub their toes and fail to win the conference championship. They will have to look hard for something to bang their feet on this year. Losing another game would be a major Rocket malfunction. The rest of this league has a lot of parity, but there should be seven bowl eligible teams the first Sunday in December. All seven will get bowl bids. The question is, “who will be forced to spend December in Boise?”
Mountain West
This has been another down year in the MWC, and with rumors swirling that more than one team could be moving to the Pac-12 or even Big 12, this league has lost some prestige. Having Boise State no longer be great has hurt it even more. The Broncos lost to a so-so BYU team Saturday, and their upcoming game at Wyoming may determine the Mountain Division champion. Air Force and Utah State should also receive bowl bids on this side of the Rockies.
On the West side, Fresno State started slowly but is 10 to 14 points better than they were in early September. San Jose State can still win the division, but the Bulldogs look like they have this race under control. San Diego State also figures to be bowl eligible on this side. Once considered a contender for the division title, UNLV is looking at a 6-6 record and quite possibly becoming the lone bowl eligible team that does not receive an invitation.
Pac-12
Too much parity has been the bane of this league for several years. This year, there is a big division of haves and have-nots, and it likely means that the league will do no better than place a team in the Rose Bowl. Oregon’s 40+ point loss to Georgia cannot be overlooked, and if the Ducks win out and finish 12-1, two or three teams ahead of the Ducks today will have to lose. It won’t be easy for Oregon to win out.
UCLA, USC, and Utah are still in the mix for the Pac-12 title, and all three are talented enough to beat Oregon in December. If UCLA or USC wins out and Oregon wins out, the loser of the Pac-12 Championship Game would still have a fair chance at receiving the Cotton Bowl bid as the last NY6 team.
Oregon State, Washington, and Washington State will also be bowl eligible and will satisfy the rest of the league allotment with no extra teams. Oregon State could play spoiler in the Civil War game with the Ducks.
SEC
The overwhelming power of this league is most likely to leave the conference one team short of filling its bowl spots. We see Georgia and Tennessee both making the playoff, and we see LSU and Alabama both getting NY6 bids. We also see just 10 SEC teams becoming bowl eligible now that Texas A&M has collapsed and Arkansas tripped up at home against Liberty. The Arkansas-Missouri winner on the final weekend should get the final bowl bid. As of today, we have the Music City Bowl being the odd bowl out needing an at-large team, and the Big 12 is full of teams with fans that would love some country music during the holidays.
Sun Belt
The SBC pecking order is unique, and it is difficult to place teams in bowls because of it. ESPN gets the first choice of teams to place in one of the bowl games they sponsor. It doesn’t have to be the number one team in the league, just the number one choice. Next, the New Orleans Bowl gets to choose its team after ESPN has taken its first choice. The 3rd and 4th teams once again are chosen by ESPN for their bowls, and then the 5th team is chosen by the Lending Tree Bowl. There figures to be seven bowl eligible teams from this league, which is fast becoming the second best G5 conference. All seven will receive bids.
Bowl
Team
Team
Bahamas
Florida Atlantic
Bowling Green
Cure
South Alabama
Air Force
Fenway
Notre Dame
Cincinnati
New Mexico
Rice
San Jose St.
L.A.
Washington St.
Fresno St.
Lending Tree
Buffalo
Georgia Southern
Las Vegas
USC
Kentucky
Frisco
BYU
San Diego St.
Myrtle Beach
Ball St.
Appalachian St.
Famous Idaho Potato
Eastern Michigan
Utah St.
Boca Raton
Marshall
Connecticut
New Orleans
Western Kentucky
Coastal Carolina
Armed Forces
Tulane
UTSA
Independence
East Carolina
Southern Miss.
Gasparilla
Louisville
Houston
Hawaii
North Texas
Boise St.
Quick Lane
Michigan St.
Miami (O)
Camellia
Toledo
Troy
First Responder
Kansas
SMU
Birmingham
Memphis
Middle Tennessee
Guaranteed Rate
Oklahoma St.
Purdue
Military
Wake Forest
Central Florida
Liberty
Baylor
South Carolina
Holiday
Duke
Washington
Texas
Oklahoma
Missouri
Pinstripe
Pittsburgh
Wisconsin
Cheez-It
North Carolina
Kansas St.
Alamo
TCU
Utah
Duke’s Mayo
North Carolina St.
Maryland
Tony the Tiger Sun
Syracuse
Oregon St.
Arizona
Ohio U
Wyoming
Orange
Clemson
Alabama
Music City
Iowa
Texas Tech
Sugar
LSU
Texas
TaxSlayer
Florida St.
Mississippi St.
Peach
Georgia
Michigan
Fiesta
Ohio St.
Tennessee
Reliaquest (Outback)
Minnesota
Florida
Citrus
Illinois
Ole Miss
Cotton
UCLA
Liberty
Rose
Oregon
Penn St.
National Championship
Georgia
Ohio St.
Comments Off on PiRate Ratings College Football–November 6, 2022
There are no FBS vs. FCS games scheduled this week.
Teams With Bye Weeks
Akron
Arkansas St.
East Carolina
Eastern Michigan
Florida Atlantic
Miami (O)
Nevada
New Mexico St.
Ole Miss
Toledo
Wyoming
This Week’s PiRate Ratings
Rank
Team
Rating
1
Ohio St.
134.7
2
Georgia
131.9
3
Alabama
130.5
4
Michigan
126.5
5
Tennessee
125.8
6
Clemson
120.0
7
Penn St.
118.2
8
Utah
117.1
9
Kansas St.
116.5
10
Baylor
116.2
11
T C U
115.9
12
L S U
115.9
13
Texas
115.9
14
Minnesota
115.4
15
Oregon
115.3
16
Mississippi St.
115.1
17
Arkansas
114.5
18
Wisconsin
114.2
19
Purdue
114.1
20
Illinois
113.3
21
Ole Miss
113.2
22
U S C
113.1
23
Notre Dame
112.8
24
U C L A
112.7
25
Oklahoma St.
112.7
26
Louisville
112.7
27
Florida St.
112.7
28
NC State
112.4
29
Oklahoma
112.2
30
Texas A&M
111.4
31
Maryland
111.1
32
North Carolina
110.2
33
Iowa
110.0
34
Cincinnati
109.7
35
Oregon St.
109.6
36
Kentucky
109.5
37
Wake Forest
109.4
38
Michigan St.
109.3
39
Texas Tech
108.8
40
Syracuse
108.2
41
Washington
108.0
42
Pittsburgh
107.8
43
Iowa St.
107.7
44
South Carolina
107.6
45
UCF
107.4
46
Florida
106.8
47
Miami (Fla.)
105.2
48
Auburn
105.0
49
Missouri
104.9
50
Boise St.
104.8
51
Washington St.
104.6
52
Tulane
103.7
53
West Virginia
103.2
54
East Carolina
103.1
55
Kansas
102.9
56
Houston
102.7
57
SMU
102.6
58
BYU
102.6
59
Air Force
102.5
60
Arizona St.
102.3
61
Nebraska
101.4
62
Stanford
101.1
63
Liberty
100.6
64
Fresno St.
99.2
65
Appalachian St.
99.2
66
Indiana
99.0
67
Duke
98.4
68
Rutgers
98.3
69
Toledo
98.1
70
California
98.0
71
Virginia
97.9
72
Memphis
97.7
73
U T S A
97.2
74
U A B
96.9
75
Arizona
96.3
76
James Madison
96.2
77
Virginia Tech
96.2
78
W. Kentucky
96.1
79
Troy
95.9
80
San Jose St.
95.7
81
Georgia St.
95.4
82
South Alabama
94.9
83
Army
94.8
84
Northwestern
94.7
85
Coastal Carolina
94.3
86
Boston College
93.9
87
Marshall
93.8
88
N. Illinois
93.8
89
Tulsa
93.5
90
Georgia Tech
93.1
91
Ga. Southern
93.1
92
Buffalo
93.0
93
Louisiana
92.7
94
North Texas
92.6
95
Vanderbilt
92.4
96
San Diego St.
92.4
97
USF
92.1
98
Navy
91.0
99
Old Dominion
90.8
100
Southern Miss.
90.6
101
Miami (Ohio)
90.3
102
Ohio
90.1
103
Utah St.
90.1
104
Kent St.
89.5
105
Wyoming
89.1
106
Florida Atlantic
89.0
107
Central Mich.
88.8
108
Colorado
87.5
109
Western Mich.
87.3
110
U N L V
87.3
111
Middle Tennessee
87.2
112
Bowling Green
86.4
113
Eastern Mich.
86.1
114
Ball St.
85.4
115
U T E P
84.6
116
Texas St.
83.7
117
Connecticut
83.2
118
Arkansas St.
82.1
119
Rice
82.0
120
UL-Monroe
81.9
121
Nevada
81.9
122
Colorado St.
81.0
123
Louisiana Tech
79.5
124
Charlotte
78.4
125
New Mexico
78.2
126
Temple
77.7
127
Hawaii
75.2
128
Akron
74.7
129
New Mexico St.
74.6
130
Massachusetts
69.7
131
Florida Int’l.
69.5
PiRate Ratings By Conference
American Athletic Conference
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Cincinnati
109.6
109.0
110.5
109.7
UCF
107.0
107.6
107.6
107.4
Tulane
103.7
103.4
103.9
103.7
East Carolina
103.0
102.6
103.6
103.1
Houston
102.8
102.1
103.1
102.7
SMU
102.8
102.1
102.9
102.6
Memphis
97.8
98.0
97.3
97.7
Tulsa
93.9
93.2
93.4
93.5
USF
92.8
91.6
91.9
92.1
Navy
91.5
91.0
90.5
91.0
Temple
77.7
79.2
76.1
77.7
AAC
98.4
98.1
98.3
98.3
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Clemson
120.0
119.8
120.1
120.0
Louisville
113.1
112.6
112.4
112.7
Florida St.
112.9
112.5
112.6
112.7
NC State
113.1
112.1
112.1
112.4
Wake Forest
109.5
109.4
109.4
109.4
Syracuse
108.8
107.8
107.9
108.2
Boston College
94.1
94.8
92.7
93.9
Coastal Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
North Carolina
110.3
110.4
109.9
110.2
Pittsburgh
108.9
107.8
106.9
107.8
Miami (Fla.)
105.9
105.0
104.6
105.2
Duke
98.2
100.1
96.8
98.4
Virginia
98.5
98.5
96.6
97.9
Virginia Tech
96.7
96.7
95.2
96.2
Georgia Tech
93.9
93.6
92.0
93.1
ACC
106.0
105.8
104.9
105.6
Big 12 Conference
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Kansas St.
117.1
115.9
116.6
116.5
Baylor
116.7
115.6
116.3
116.2
T C U
116.6
115.3
115.9
115.9
Texas
116.8
115.8
115.0
115.9
Oklahoma St.
113.4
111.9
112.8
112.7
Oklahoma
112.6
111.7
112.4
112.2
Texas Tech
109.0
107.9
109.4
108.8
Iowa St.
108.0
107.6
107.6
107.7
West Virginia
103.6
103.1
103.0
103.2
Kansas
104.0
102.7
102.0
102.9
Big 12
111.8
110.8
111.1
111.2
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Ohio St.
134.9
133.8
135.5
134.7
Michigan
126.8
126.0
126.7
126.5
Penn St.
118.4
118.2
118.1
118.2
Maryland
111.5
111.3
110.5
111.1
Michigan St.
110.3
109.0
108.6
109.3
Indiana
100.0
99.2
97.7
99.0
Rutgers
99.6
98.6
96.8
98.3
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Minnesota
115.9
115.0
115.4
115.4
Wisconsin
114.6
114.2
113.7
114.2
Purdue
115.0
114.1
113.2
114.1
Illinois
113.3
114.0
112.6
113.3
Iowa
111.0
109.9
109.0
110.0
Nebraska
102.1
101.7
100.6
101.4
Northwestern
95.0
95.7
93.4
94.7
Big Ten
112.0
111.5
110.8
111.4
Conference USA
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
U T S A
97.4
96.5
97.6
97.2
U A B
96.5
96.5
97.7
96.9
W. Kentucky
95.6
95.5
97.2
96.1
North Texas
92.2
91.9
93.6
92.6
Florida Atlantic
88.9
89.8
88.4
89.0
Middle Tennessee
86.8
87.3
87.5
87.2
U T E P
84.6
84.6
84.4
84.6
Rice
82.1
82.1
81.9
82.0
Louisiana Tech
79.5
80.5
78.5
79.5
Charlotte
78.2
79.0
78.0
78.4
Florida Int’l.
69.0
71.3
68.1
69.5
CUSA
86.4
86.8
86.6
86.6
FBS Independents
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Notre Dame
113.3
111.8
113.4
112.8
BYU
103.3
101.8
102.7
102.6
Liberty
99.7
101.0
101.2
100.6
Army
94.7
94.9
94.9
94.8
Connecticut
83.2
84.4
81.9
83.2
New Mexico St.
74.1
76.0
73.7
74.6
Massachusetts
70.0
70.8
68.2
69.7
Independents
91.2
91.5
90.9
91.2
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Buffalo
91.6
93.9
93.7
93.0
Miami (Ohio)
89.2
91.2
90.5
90.3
Ohio
88.8
90.9
90.5
90.1
Kent St.
88.9
90.6
89.1
89.5
Bowling Green
86.5
86.2
86.4
86.4
Akron
74.6
75.3
74.1
74.7
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Toledo
97.4
98.4
98.5
98.1
N. Illinois
93.6
94.0
93.8
93.8
Central Mich.
87.5
89.1
89.7
88.8
Western Mich.
86.8
87.7
87.4
87.3
Eastern Mich.
85.7
86.5
86.0
86.1
Ball St.
85.0
86.1
85.2
85.4
MAC
88.0
89.2
88.7
88.6
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Boise St.
104.6
104.2
105.7
104.8
Air Force
102.3
102.1
103.0
102.5
Utah St.
89.9
90.0
90.3
90.1
Wyoming
88.1
89.9
89.4
89.1
Colorado St.
80.8
81.5
80.8
81.0
New Mexico
78.7
78.6
77.3
78.2
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Fresno St.
99.3
98.7
99.7
99.2
San Jose St.
95.1
95.7
96.3
95.7
San Diego St.
92.4
92.0
92.6
92.4
U N L V
87.8
86.2
87.8
87.3
Nevada
81.5
82.9
81.2
81.9
Hawaii
74.4
75.9
75.5
75.2
MWC
89.6
89.8
90.0
89.8
Pac-12 Conference
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Utah
116.9
116.2
118.2
117.1
Oregon
115.5
115.0
115.4
115.3
U S C
112.5
113.1
113.8
113.1
U C L A
112.3
112.2
113.7
112.7
Oregon St.
109.7
109.0
110.2
109.6
Washington
107.7
107.9
108.3
108.0
Washington St.
104.1
104.6
105.1
104.6
Arizona St.
102.3
101.9
102.8
102.3
Stanford
102.1
100.2
100.9
101.1
California
97.8
97.8
98.5
98.0
Arizona
96.2
96.2
96.5
96.3
Colorado
88.2
86.7
87.6
87.5
Pac-12
105.4
105.1
105.9
105.5
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Georgia
132.0
130.9
132.7
131.9
Tennessee
125.4
125.6
126.4
125.8
Kentucky
109.1
109.5
109.9
109.5
South Carolina
107.7
107.3
107.8
107.6
Florida
106.3
107.6
106.5
106.8
Missouri
105.0
105.3
104.4
104.9
Vanderbilt
92.6
93.2
91.4
92.4
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Alabama
130.3
129.6
131.5
130.5
L S U
116.2
115.7
115.7
115.9
Mississippi St.
115.8
114.6
115.1
115.1
Arkansas
114.9
113.4
115.1
114.5
Ole Miss
114.2
112.7
112.8
113.2
Texas A&M
111.0
111.4
111.8
111.4
Auburn
106.1
104.5
104.5
105.0
SEC
113.3
113.0
113.3
113.2
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Appalachian St.
98.0
99.3
100.2
99.2
James Madison
94.4
96.0
98.2
96.2
Georgia St.
94.8
94.7
96.7
95.4
Coastal Carolina
93.5
94.5
94.9
94.3
Marshall
93.3
94.2
93.9
93.8
Ga. Southern
92.6
92.7
94.0
93.1
Old Dominion
90.8
90.8
90.9
90.8
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Troy
95.0
95.8
97.0
95.9
South Alabama
94.2
94.7
95.8
94.9
Louisiana
92.0
92.4
93.5
92.7
Southern Miss.
90.0
90.7
91.0
90.6
Texas St.
82.8
84.1
84.1
83.7
Arkansas St.
81.4
82.7
82.1
82.1
UL-Monroe
81.8
82.2
81.8
81.9
Sun Belt
91.1
91.8
92.4
91.8
Conference Ratings
Rank
Conference
Rating
1
Southeastern
113.2
2
Big Ten
111.4
3
Big 12
111.2
4
Atlantic Coast
105.6
5
Pac-12
105.5
6
American Athletic
98.3
7
Sun Belt
91.8
8
Independents
91.2
9
Mountain West
89.8
10
Mid-American
88.6
11
Conference USA
86.6
Bowl & Playoff Projections
Bowl
Team
Team
Bahamas
North Texas
Buffalo
Cure
Georgia Southern
Liberty
Fenway
Notre Dame
Cincinnati
New Mexico
Western Kentucky
Wyoming
L.A.
Utah
San Jose St.
Lending Tree
Miami (O)
South Alabama
Las Vegas
USC
LSU
Frisco
SMU
San Diego St.
Myrtle Beach
Appalachian St.
Memphis
Famous Idaho Potato
Ohio U
Air Force
Boca Raton
Houston
Troy
New Orleans
Florida Int’l.
Coastal Carolina
Armed Forces
Tulane
UTSA
Independence
East Carolina
Army
Gasparilla
Miami (Fla.)
South Carolina
Hawaii
UAB
Fresno St.
Quick Lane
Iowa
Bowling Green
Camellia
Toledo
Southern Miss.
First Responder
Kansas
Marshall
Birmingham
Pittsburgh
Missouri
Guaranteed Rate
Baylor
Maryland
Military
Wake Forest
Central Florida
Liberty
Texas
Texas A&M
Holiday
Virginia
Oregon St.
Texas
Texas Tech
Arkansas
Pinstripe
Syracuse
Wisconsin
Cheez-It
North Carolina St.
Oklahoma
Alamo
Oklahoma St.
Washington St.
Duke’s Mayo
Duke
Purdue
Tony the Tiger Sun
Louisville
Washington
Arizona
Eastern Michigan
Utah St.
Orange
North Carolina
Alabama
Music City
Minnesota
Florida
Sugar
Tennessee
Kansas St.
TaxSlayer
Florida St.
Mississippi St.
Peach
Georgia
Clemson
Fiesta
Ohio St.
TCU
Reliaquest (Outback)
Illinois
Kentucky
Citrus
Penn St.
Ole Miss
Cotton
UCLA
Boise St.
Rose
Oregon
Michigan
National Championship
Georgia
Ohio St.
Note: 84 FBS teams are projected to become bowl eligible for 82 available bowl slots. Should the NCAA & ESPN agree to add an extra bowl game like last year, Middle Tennessee State and UNLV would meet in that game.
Comments Off on PiRate Ratings College Football — October 30, 2022
Note: Georgia vs. Florida is neutral site game in Jacksonville
FBS vs. FCS Games This Week
FBS
FCS
PiRate
Appalachian St.
Robert Morris
43.8
Teams With Bye Weeks
Air Force
Alabama
Army
Ball St.
Bowling Green
Buffalo
Central Michigan
Clemson
Duke
Georgia Southern
Indiana
James Madison
Kansas
Kent St.
Liberty
Louisiana-Monroe
LSU
Maryland
Memphis
Mississippi St.
New Mexico
Northern Illinois
Ohio
Oregon St.
Purdue
Texas
Texas St.
Troy
Tulane
UNLV
Utah St.
UTSA
Vanderbilt
Washington
Western Michigan
Wisconsin
This Week’s PiRate Ratings
Rank
Team
Rating
1
Ohio St.
134.7
2
Georgia
132.0
3
Alabama
130.2
4
Michigan
126.3
5
Tennessee
123.1
6
Clemson
119.7
7
Penn St.
118.2
8
Oklahoma St.
118.0
9
Utah
117.3
10
T C U
115.9
11
L S U
115.6
12
Texas
115.6
13
Oregon
115.3
14
Mississippi St.
114.8
15
Minnesota
114.1
16
Arkansas
114.0
17
Wisconsin
113.9
18
Purdue
113.8
19
U S C
113.8
20
NC State
113.6
21
Baylor
113.3
22
Ole Miss
113.1
23
Florida St.
112.5
24
Kansas St.
112.2
25
Kentucky
112.2
26
Wake Forest
112.1
27
Illinois
112.1
28
Texas Tech
111.7
29
Texas A&M
111.5
30
U C L A
111.4
31
Notre Dame
110.8
32
Maryland
110.8
33
Oklahoma
110.7
34
Louisville
110.6
35
Syracuse
110.5
36
Cincinnati
110.3
37
South Carolina
110.2
38
Iowa
109.9
39
Pittsburgh
109.7
40
Iowa St.
109.6
41
Michigan St.
109.5
42
Oregon St.
109.3
43
North Carolina
108.6
44
Washington
107.7
45
UCF
107.1
46
Florida
106.6
47
Auburn
105.5
48
Miami (Fla.)
105.3
49
Washington St.
104.3
50
Tulane
103.4
51
Boise St.
103.2
52
West Virginia
103.2
53
BYU
103.1
54
East Carolina
102.9
55
Houston
102.7
56
Nebraska
102.6
57
Missouri
102.6
58
Arizona St.
102.6
59
Kansas
102.6
60
Stanford
102.4
61
SMU
102.3
62
Air Force
102.3
63
Liberty
100.4
64
W. Kentucky
100.2
65
Rutgers
100.0
66
Fresno St.
99.6
67
Appalachian St.
99.1
68
Indiana
98.7
69
Toledo
98.5
70
California
98.3
71
U A B
98.2
72
Duke
98.1
73
Virginia
97.7
74
Memphis
97.5
75
U T S A
97.0
76
Boston College
96.3
77
San Jose St.
96.1
78
James Madison
96.0
79
Arizona
96.0
80
Troy
95.7
81
Virginia Tech
95.5
82
Marshall
95.4
83
Northwestern
94.8
84
Army
94.6
85
Georgia St.
94.3
86
Louisiana
94.3
87
Tulsa
93.8
88
N. Illinois
93.6
89
Georgia Tech
93.6
90
Coastal Carolina
93.0
91
Ga. Southern
92.9
92
South Alabama
92.8
93
Buffalo
92.8
94
Old Dominion
92.2
95
Vanderbilt
92.1
96
USF
92.1
97
San Diego St.
92.0
98
Navy
91.7
99
Miami (Ohio)
90.2
100
Ohio
89.9
101
Utah St.
89.9
102
Wyoming
89.3
103
Kent St.
89.3
104
Southern Miss.
89.2
105
Central Mich.
88.6
106
North Texas
88.2
107
Florida Atlantic
87.7
108
Colorado
87.2
109
Western Mich.
87.1
110
U N L V
87.1
111
Bowling Green
86.2
112
U T E P
86.0
113
Rice
85.9
114
Middle Tennessee
85.8
115
Eastern Mich.
85.7
116
Ball St.
85.2
117
Arkansas St.
84.4
118
Texas St.
83.5
119
Colorado St.
82.6
120
UL-Monroe
81.7
121
Nevada
81.5
122
Connecticut
81.4
123
Louisiana Tech
80.9
124
New Mexico
78.0
125
Temple
77.5
126
Charlotte
75.6
127
Akron
75.2
128
Hawaii
75.0
129
New Mexico St.
73.9
130
Massachusetts
70.4
131
Florida Int’l.
68.4
Note: We have been receiving a large number of comments concerning the ratings, almost all from newcomers to his site. The overwhelming question most asked is why a team is ranked ahead of a team that beat them and is ahead of them in the conference standings. To those new to this site, our ratings are not rankings like the AP and Coaches’ polls. We are not grading teams based on what they have done so far . Our goal is to predict the future. Thus Alabama is rated ahead of Tennessee because it is this system’s prediction that the Tide would beat the Vols on a neutral field if they were to play this week.
PiRate Ratings By Conference
American Athletic Conference
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Cincinnati
110.2
109.6
111.2
110.3
UCF
106.7
107.3
107.2
107.1
Tulane
103.4
103.1
103.6
103.4
East Carolina
102.8
102.5
103.4
102.9
Houston
102.8
102.1
103.1
102.7
SMU
102.6
101.8
102.5
102.3
Memphis
97.6
97.8
97.1
97.5
Tulsa
94.1
93.5
93.8
93.8
USF
92.8
91.6
91.9
92.1
Navy
92.2
91.5
91.5
91.7
Temple
77.5
79.2
75.6
77.5
AAC
98.4
98.2
98.3
98.3
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Clemson
119.7
119.5
119.8
119.7
NC State
114.2
113.1
113.5
113.6
Florida St.
112.7
112.3
112.5
112.5
Wake Forest
112.0
112.1
112.2
112.1
Louisville
111.2
110.5
110.2
110.6
Syracuse
111.0
110.2
110.2
110.5
Boston College
96.4
97.2
95.2
96.3
Coastal Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Pittsburgh
110.8
109.6
108.8
109.7
North Carolina
108.7
108.9
108.3
108.6
Miami (Fla.)
106.0
105.1
104.8
105.3
Duke
97.9
99.8
96.5
98.1
Virginia
98.4
98.4
96.4
97.7
Virginia Tech
96.1
96.2
94.3
95.5
Georgia Tech
94.4
94.1
92.4
93.6
ACC
106.4
106.2
105.4
106.0
Big 12 Conference
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Oklahoma St.
118.6
117.2
118.2
118.0
T C U
116.6
115.3
115.9
115.9
Texas
116.5
115.5
114.7
115.6
Baylor
113.9
112.7
113.2
113.3
Kansas St.
112.9
111.6
112.2
112.2
Texas Tech
111.8
110.8
112.5
111.7
Oklahoma
111.2
110.1
110.8
110.7
Iowa St.
109.7
109.5
109.5
109.6
West Virginia
103.6
103.1
103.0
103.2
Kansas
103.7
102.4
101.7
102.6
Big 12
111.8
110.8
111.2
111.3
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Ohio St.
134.9
133.8
135.6
134.7
Michigan
126.6
125.7
126.5
126.3
Penn St.
118.4
118.2
118.0
118.2
Maryland
111.2
111.0
110.2
110.8
Michigan St.
110.5
109.3
108.8
109.5
Rutgers
101.2
100.3
98.4
100.0
Indiana
99.7
98.9
97.4
98.7
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Minnesota
114.6
113.6
114.1
114.1
Wisconsin
114.3
113.9
113.4
113.9
Purdue
114.7
113.8
112.9
113.8
Illinois
112.2
112.8
111.3
112.1
Iowa
111.0
109.7
108.9
109.9
Nebraska
103.2
102.9
101.9
102.6
Northwestern
95.0
95.9
93.5
94.8
Big Ten
112.0
111.4
110.8
111.4
Conference USA
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
W. Kentucky
99.6
99.6
101.4
100.2
U A B
97.8
97.9
99.0
98.2
U T S A
97.2
96.3
97.4
97.0
North Texas
87.9
87.5
89.1
88.2
Florida Atlantic
87.6
88.4
87.1
87.7
U T E P
86.0
86.0
85.9
86.0
Rice
85.8
85.9
85.9
85.9
Middle Tennessee
85.4
85.9
86.0
85.8
Louisiana Tech
80.8
81.8
80.0
80.9
Charlotte
75.5
76.2
75.0
75.6
Florida Int’l.
68.0
70.3
66.9
68.4
CUSA
86.5
86.9
86.7
86.7
FBS Independents
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Notre Dame
111.4
109.7
111.4
110.8
BYU
103.8
102.2
103.2
103.1
Liberty
99.5
100.8
101.0
100.4
Army
94.5
94.7
94.7
94.6
Connecticut
81.5
82.6
80.0
81.4
New Mexico St.
73.4
75.3
72.9
73.9
Massachusetts
70.7
71.5
69.0
70.4
Independents
90.7
91.0
90.3
90.7
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Buffalo
91.4
93.7
93.5
92.8
Miami (Ohio)
89.1
91.1
90.4
90.2
Ohio
88.6
90.7
90.3
89.9
Kent St.
88.7
90.4
88.9
89.3
Bowling Green
86.3
86.0
86.2
86.2
Akron
75.1
75.8
74.6
75.2
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Toledo
97.6
98.8
99.1
98.5
N. Illinois
93.4
93.8
93.6
93.6
Central Mich.
87.3
88.9
89.5
88.6
Western Mich.
86.6
87.5
87.2
87.1
Eastern Mich.
85.5
86.1
85.4
85.7
Ball St.
84.8
85.9
85.0
85.2
MAC
87.9
89.1
88.6
88.5
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Boise St.
103.1
102.5
104.1
103.2
Air Force
102.1
101.9
102.8
102.3
Utah St.
89.7
89.8
90.1
89.9
Wyoming
88.2
90.1
89.7
89.3
Colorado St.
82.3
83.2
82.4
82.6
New Mexico
78.5
78.4
77.1
78.0
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Fresno St.
99.6
99.1
100.2
99.6
San Jose St.
95.4
96.0
96.9
96.1
San Diego St.
92.1
91.6
92.1
92.0
U N L V
87.6
86.0
87.6
87.1
Nevada
81.2
82.6
80.6
81.5
Hawaii
74.3
75.7
75.2
75.0
MWC
89.5
89.7
89.9
89.7
Pac-12 Conference
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Utah
117.1
116.4
118.6
117.3
Oregon
115.5
115.0
115.4
115.3
U S C
113.0
113.7
114.6
113.8
U C L A
110.9
110.9
112.4
111.4
Oregon St.
109.4
108.7
109.9
109.3
Washington
107.4
107.6
108.0
107.7
Washington St.
103.9
104.4
104.7
104.3
Arizona St.
102.4
102.2
103.2
102.6
Stanford
103.5
101.5
102.2
102.4
California
98.1
98.1
98.8
98.3
Arizona
96.0
95.9
96.0
96.0
Colorado
88.1
86.4
87.2
87.2
Pac-12
105.4
105.1
105.9
105.5
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Georgia
132.2
130.9
133.0
132.0
Tennessee
122.8
122.9
123.6
123.1
Kentucky
111.7
112.2
112.7
112.2
South Carolina
110.2
109.8
110.6
110.2
Florida
106.1
107.6
106.2
106.6
Missouri
102.8
103.1
101.9
102.6
Vanderbilt
92.3
92.9
91.1
92.1
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Alabama
130.0
129.3
131.2
130.2
L S U
115.9
115.4
115.4
115.6
Mississippi St.
115.5
114.3
114.8
114.8
Arkansas
114.5
112.9
114.6
114.0
Ole Miss
114.1
112.6
112.7
113.1
Texas A&M
111.1
111.5
111.9
111.5
Auburn
106.5
105.0
105.0
105.5
SEC
113.3
112.9
113.2
113.1
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Appalachian St.
97.9
99.2
100.1
99.1
James Madison
94.2
95.8
98.0
96.0
Marshall
94.8
95.8
95.6
95.4
Georgia St.
93.8
93.5
95.6
94.3
Coastal Carolina
92.3
93.2
93.5
93.0
Ga. Southern
92.4
92.5
93.8
92.9
Old Dominion
92.1
92.3
92.3
92.2
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Troy
94.8
95.6
96.8
95.7
Louisiana
93.5
94.0
95.3
94.3
South Alabama
92.2
92.7
93.6
92.8
Southern Miss.
88.8
89.4
89.5
89.2
Arkansas St.
83.7
85.0
84.6
84.4
Texas St.
82.6
83.9
83.9
83.5
UL-Monroe
81.6
82.0
81.6
81.7
Sun Belt
91.1
91.8
92.5
91.8
Conference Ratings
Rank
Conference
Rating
1
Southeastern
113.1
2
Big Ten
111.4
3
Big 12
111.3
4
Atlantic Coast
106.0
5
Pac-12
105.5
6
American Athletic
98.3
7
Sun Belt
91.8
8
Independents
90.7
9
Mountain West
89.7
10
Mid-American
88.5
11
Conference USA
86.7
Bowl & Playoff Projections
Bowl
Team
Team
Bahamas
UTSA
Buffalo
Cure
Troy
Liberty
Fenway
Syracuse
Tulane
New Mexico
North Texas
Wyoming
L.A.
Utah
Boise St.
Lending Tree
Miami (O)
South Alabama
Las Vegas
USC
Arkansas
Frisco
Utah St.
Kansas
Myrtle Beach
Marshall
Iowa St.
Famous Idaho Potato
Toledo
San Jose St.
Boca Raton
Coastal Carolina
Air Force
New Orleans
UTEP
Lousiana
Armed Forces
Houston
Western Kentucky
Independence
SMU
Appalachian St.
Gasparilla
Florida
East Carolina
Hawaii
UAB
Fresno St.
Quick Lane
Eastern Michigan
Army
Camellia
Bowling Green
Southern Miss.
First Responder
Stanford
BYU
Birmingham
Louisville
Georgia Southern
Guaranteed Rate
Texas Tech
Wisconsin
Military
Duke
Central Florida
Liberty
Baylor
Ole Miss
Holiday
Virginia
Washington
Texas
Oklahoma
Mississippi St.
Pinstripe
Notre Dame
Nebraska
Cheez-It
Texas
North Carolina St.
Alamo
Kansas St.
UCLA
Duke’s Mayo
Wake Forest
Maryland
Tony the Tiger Sun
Pittsburgh
Oregon St.
Arizona
Ohio U
San Diego St.
Orange
Alabama
North Carolina
Music City
Minnesota
Texas A&M
Sugar
Tennessee
Oklahoma St.
TaxSlayer
Florida St.
South Carolina
Peach
Georgia
Clemson
Fiesta
Ohio St.
TCU
Tampa Bay
Purdue
Kentucky
Citrus
Illinois
LSU
Cotton
Penn St.
Cincinnati
Rose
Oregon
Michigan
National Championship
Georgia
Ohio St.
Note: For the first time this year more than 82 FBS teams were projected to be bowl eligible, and no 5-7 teams made this list. Five projected bowl eligible teams were omitted from this projection: Ball St., Middle Tennessee, Rice, UNLV, and Western Michigan.
Comments Off on PiRate Ratings College Football–October 27-29, 2022
An extra bowl game was added by the NCAA to ensure all 6-win teams could earn bowl invitations. This extra bowl will be played in the Dallas-Fort Worth area and will include two group of 5 teams.
Teams in bold have officially accepted the bowl bid.
This Week’s PiRate Ratings
Rank
Team
Rating
1
Georgia
133.8
2
Alabama
132.9
3
Ohio St.
130.4
4
Michigan
127.5
5
Notre Dame
121.9
6
Oklahoma St.
121.5
7
Utah
121.2
8
Oklahoma
120.4
9
Iowa St.
120.1
10
Cincinnati
119.6
11
Texas A&M
118.6
12
Clemson
117.2
13
Wisconsin
116.5
14
Ole Miss
116.2
15
Baylor
116.1
16
U C L A
115.0
17
Penn St.
114.8
18
Arkansas
114.7
19
Auburn
114.1
20
Pittsburgh
113.9
21
Kentucky
113.1
22
NC State
112.7
23
Mississippi St.
112.0
24
Tennessee
111.9
25
L S U
111.5
26
Purdue
111.4
27
Minnesota
111.1
28
Arizona St.
110.3
29
Oregon St.
110.3
30
North Carolina
110.2
31
Miami (Fla.)
110.1
32
BYU
109.8
33
Louisiana
109.7
34
Florida
109.6
35
West Virginia
109.4
36
Wake Forest
109.3
37
Kansas St.
109.3
38
Nebraska
109.3
39
Iowa
109.3
40
Appalachian St.
109.2
41
Washington St.
109.2
42
Oregon
109.0
43
Michigan St.
108.2
44
Texas
107.5
45
Boise St.
106.4
46
Houston
106.0
47
Nevada
105.4
48
Louisville
105.3
49
Florida St.
105.3
50
Coastal Carolina
104.7
51
California
104.6
52
Texas Tech
104.2
53
Fresno St.
104.1
54
Air Force
103.9
55
U S C
103.6
56
Virginia
103.4
57
Washington
103.1
58
Virginia Tech
102.6
59
Army
102.5
60
Central Michigan
102.1
61
T C U
101.8
62
SMU
101.8
63
Illinois
101.6
64
Western Kentucky
101.4
65
South Carolina
100.6
66
Missouri
100.3
67
East Carolina
100.0
68
Maryland
99.9
69
Utah St.
99.5
70
Toledo
99.4
71
Boston College
99.3
72
UCF
98.8
73
Tulsa
98.7
74
Georgia St.
98.7
75
Liberty
98.6
76
Colorado
98.6
77
Miami (Ohio)
98.4
78
San Diego St.
98.4
79
U A B
98.2
80
Syracuse
97.9
81
U T S A
97.7
82
Tulane
95.2
83
Georgia Tech
95.1
84
Memphis
94.6
85
Western Michigan
94.5
86
Stanford
94.3
87
Marshall
94.3
88
Rutgers
93.8
89
Ball St.
93.8
90
Indiana
93.3
91
Hawaii
92.9
92
Wyoming
92.4
93
Arizona
92.3
94
Eastern Michigan
92.1
95
Northwestern
91.9
96
Northern Illinois
91.7
97
Navy
91.5
98
Kent St.
90.4
99
North Texas
90.3
100
Middle Tennessee
90.2
101
South Alabama
89.8
102
Colorado St.
88.9
103
San Jose St.
88.6
104
Buffalo
88.3
105
Troy
88.0
106
USF
87.4
107
Georgia Southern
87.0
108
Florida Atlantic
86.3
109
Ohio
86.1
110
Kansas
85.7
111
Old Dominion
85.7
112
U N L V
85.2
113
U T E P
84.5
114
Vanderbilt
84.0
115
UL-Monroe
83.2
116
Texas St.
83.0
117
Arkansas St.
82.8
118
Duke
80.2
119
Rice
80.0
120
Louisiana Tech
79.7
121
New Mexico
78.0
122
Southern Miss.
77.6
123
Bowling Green
77.1
124
Charlotte
77.0
125
Akron
72.5
126
Temple
72.4
127
New Mexico St.
71.8
128
Connecticut
68.6
129
Florida Int’l.
65.9
130
UMass
64.1
PiRate Ratings By Conference
American Athletic Conference
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Cincinnati
119.3
118.9
120.7
119.6
Houston
105.9
105.4
106.6
106.0
SMU
101.7
101.5
102.1
101.8
East Carolina
99.8
99.5
100.8
100.0
UCF
99.0
97.7
99.8
98.8
Tulsa
98.5
98.5
99.1
98.7
Tulane
95.2
94.2
96.1
95.2
Memphis
94.1
94.3
95.3
94.6
Navy
91.3
91.1
92.1
91.5
USF
87.4
86.9
88.0
87.4
Temple
72.3
73.0
71.8
72.4
AAC Averages
96.8
96.5
97.5
96.9
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Clemson
116.7
116.8
118.0
117.2
NC State
112.5
112.3
113.2
112.7
Wake Forest
109.3
109.1
109.6
109.3
Louisville
104.9
105.0
105.9
105.3
Florida St.
104.9
105.2
105.7
105.3
Boston College
99.4
99.2
99.3
99.3
Syracuse
98.0
98.0
97.8
97.9
Coastal Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Pittsburgh
113.4
114.3
114.2
113.9
North Carolina
109.7
109.7
111.1
110.2
Miami (Fla.)
110.4
109.8
110.2
110.1
Virginia
103.3
103.8
103.0
103.4
Virginia Tech
103.0
102.5
102.4
102.6
Georgia Tech
95.1
95.1
95.0
95.1
Duke
80.6
80.7
79.3
80.2
ACC Averages
104.4
104.4
104.6
104.5
Big 12 Conference
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Oklahoma St.
121.8
121.5
121.3
121.5
Oklahoma
121.2
119.6
120.3
120.4
Iowa St.
120.8
119.4
120.1
120.1
Baylor
116.5
115.9
115.8
116.1
West Virginia
110.7
109.1
108.4
109.4
Kansas St.
110.1
109.3
108.5
109.3
Texas
108.5
106.8
107.2
107.5
Texas Tech
104.5
104.5
103.7
104.2
T C U
102.9
101.4
101.2
101.8
Kansas
87.4
85.7
83.9
85.7
Big 12 Averages
110.4
109.3
109.0
109.6
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Ohio St.
130.0
130.0
131.3
130.4
Michigan
126.6
127.5
128.4
127.5
Penn St.
114.0
114.6
115.8
114.8
Michigan St.
108.0
108.1
108.6
108.2
Maryland
100.6
99.7
99.4
99.9
Rutgers
93.2
94.7
93.5
93.8
Indiana
93.3
93.0
93.4
93.3
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Wisconsin
116.1
115.9
117.3
116.5
Purdue
110.8
110.8
112.6
111.4
Minnesota
110.3
111.0
112.2
111.1
Nebraska
109.0
109.1
109.8
109.3
Iowa
109.1
108.9
109.9
109.3
Illinois
101.1
101.6
102.2
101.6
Northwestern
92.0
92.0
91.8
91.9
Big Ten Averages
108.2
108.4
109.0
108.5
Conference USA
East Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Western Kentucky
100.3
101.7
102.2
101.4
Marshall
94.0
94.3
94.7
94.3
Middle Tennessee
89.7
90.2
90.7
90.2
Florida Atlantic
86.0
86.7
86.2
86.3
Old Dominion
84.8
85.9
86.3
85.7
Charlotte
76.6
77.2
77.2
77.0
Florida Int’l.
65.9
65.9
65.8
65.9
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
U A B
98.0
98.4
98.3
98.2
U T S A
97.2
98.0
98.0
97.7
North Texas
89.9
90.5
90.6
90.3
U T E P
84.2
85.2
84.0
84.5
Rice
80.1
80.1
79.8
80.0
Louisiana Tech
80.0
80.2
78.8
79.7
Southern Miss.
77.4
78.0
77.4
77.6
CUSA Averages
86.0
86.6
86.4
86.3
FBS Independents
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Notre Dame
121.1
121.9
122.7
121.9
BYU
109.8
109.5
110.0
109.8
Army
102.5
102.5
102.5
102.5
Liberty
98.5
98.6
98.6
98.6
New Mexico St.
72.1
72.7
70.7
71.8
Connecticut
69.0
69.5
67.2
68.6
UMass
65.2
64.6
62.4
64.1
Indep. Averages
91.2
91.3
90.6
91.0
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Miami (Ohio)
99.6
98.3
97.3
98.4
Kent St.
90.4
91.1
89.7
90.4
Buffalo
89.2
88.1
87.5
88.3
Ohio
86.0
86.5
85.9
86.1
Bowling Green
77.6
77.8
75.8
77.1
Akron
73.6
72.6
71.4
72.5
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Central Michigan
102.9
101.8
101.5
102.1
Toledo
99.8
99.4
98.9
99.4
Western Michigan
94.8
94.8
93.7
94.5
Ball St.
94.8
94.2
92.5
93.8
Eastern Michigan
93.4
92.1
90.8
92.1
Northern Illinois
92.5
91.7
90.9
91.7
MAC Averages
91.2
90.7
89.7
90.5
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Boise St.
106.1
106.3
106.7
106.4
Air Force
103.5
103.8
104.5
103.9
Utah St.
99.1
99.9
99.6
99.5
Wyoming
92.0
92.4
92.8
92.4
Colorado St.
89.1
88.9
88.8
88.9
New Mexico
78.5
78.3
77.1
78.0
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Nevada
105.0
106.0
105.3
105.4
Fresno St.
103.2
104.3
104.9
104.1
San Diego St.
98.6
98.4
98.1
98.4
Hawaii
93.0
92.9
92.8
92.9
San Jose St.
88.9
89.0
87.8
88.6
U N L V
85.3
85.0
85.4
85.2
MWC Averages
95.2
95.4
95.3
95.3
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Oregon St.
109.9
110.5
110.6
110.3
Washington St.
108.6
109.6
109.4
109.2
Oregon
108.2
109.1
109.7
109.0
California
103.0
105.6
105.3
104.6
Washington
102.7
103.4
103.1
103.1
Stanford
94.2
94.8
94.0
94.3
South Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Utah
120.9
121.3
121.3
121.2
U C L A
114.5
115.1
115.4
115.0
Arizona St.
109.8
110.5
110.8
110.3
U S C
103.7
103.4
103.6
103.6
Colorado
98.6
98.7
98.4
98.6
Arizona
92.2
92.3
92.3
92.3
Pac-12 Averages
105.5
106.2
106.2
106.0
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Georgia
133.4
133.6
134.4
133.8
Kentucky
112.6
113.6
113.1
113.1
Tennessee
111.8
111.7
112.0
111.9
Florida
109.2
110.1
109.4
109.6
South Carolina
101.1
100.7
100.2
100.6
Missouri
100.4
100.7
99.9
100.3
Vanderbilt
84.1
84.0
83.9
84.0
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Alabama
133.0
132.4
133.3
132.9
Texas A&M
118.4
118.8
118.5
118.6
Ole Miss
116.0
116.1
116.3
116.2
Arkansas
114.7
114.7
114.7
114.7
Auburn
114.3
113.7
114.4
114.1
Mississippi St.
111.8
112.1
112.0
112.0
L S U
111.1
111.8
111.7
111.5
SEC Averages
112.3
112.4
112.4
112.4
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Appalachian St.
108.9
108.7
110.1
109.2
Coastal Carolina
105.5
103.8
104.6
104.7
Georgia St.
98.8
98.3
98.9
98.7
Troy
88.1
87.9
88.1
88.0
Georgia Southern
86.9
87.1
87.0
87.0
West Division
Team
PiRate
Mean
Bias
Average
Louisiana
110.0
109.2
110.0
109.7
South Alabama
90.1
89.8
89.4
89.8
UL-Monroe
83.5
83.4
82.7
83.2
Texas St.
83.8
82.4
82.8
83.0
Arkansas St.
83.1
83.0
82.3
82.8
Sun Averages
93.9
93.4
93.6
93.6
Conference Ratings
Rank
Conference
Rating
1
Southeastern
112.4
2
Big 12
109.6
3
Big Ten
108.5
4
Pac-12
106.0
5
Atlantic Coast
104.5
6
American Athletic
96.9
7
Mountain West
95.3
8
Sun Belt
93.6
9
Independents
91.0
10
Mid-American
90.5
11
Conference USA
86.3
Comments Off on PiRate Ratings College Football–Selection Sunday
Marjorie Miller Designs
Our favorite handmade jewelry artisan (art critics call her designs “Wearable Masterpieces”)
The Bracket Matrix
The PiRate Ratings (Pi) are included in the best college basketball bracketology site on the Internet. Check out the Bracket Project Blog at: https://bracketproject.blogspot.com/
The PiRate Ratings
See the most current PiRate Ratings and Spreads for college and NFL football