PiRate Ratings College Football–December 4, 2022

This Week’s Game

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Army	Navy	0.3	1.1	1.1

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

#	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	132.4
2	Michigan	130.2
3	Ohio St.	129.5
4	Alabama	128.6
5	Penn St.	124.1
6	Tennessee	123.1
7	T C U	121.7
8	Utah	120.8
9	Kansas St.	119.8
10	Clemson	119.5
11	Texas	119.3
12	Florida St.	119.0
13	L S U	116.1
14	Oregon	115.8
15	Minnesota	115.5
16	Notre Dame	115.0
17	Illinois	114.5
18	Mississippi St.	114.1
19	Oregon St.	113.7
20	Washington	113.6
21	Baylor	113.4
22	Iowa	113.0
23	U S C	112.7
24	Arkansas	112.7
25	Wisconsin	112.5
26	Ole Miss	112.4
27	Oklahoma	112.2
28	Louisville	112.1
29	Purdue	111.9
30	Maryland	111.2
31	Pittsburgh	111.0
32	U C L A	111.0
33	Florida	110.1
34	Kentucky	109.9
35	Texas Tech	109.6
36	South Carolina	109.1
37	NC State	108.9
38	Texas A&M	108.8
39	Tulane	108.4
40	Michigan St.	108.4
41	Wake Forest	107.7
42	Cincinnati	107.3
43	Oklahoma St.	107.2
44	Auburn	106.9
45	Washington St.	106.0
46	North Carolina	105.5
47	Iowa St.	104.6
48	West Virginia	104.4
49	Fresno St.	104.3
50	Missouri	104.3
51	UCF	103.9
52	Syracuse	103.8
53	Boise St.	103.7
54	Nebraska	103.6
55	BYU	103.5
56	Air Force	102.4
57	Houston	102.0
58	James Madison	101.8
59	Duke	101.8
60	Kansas	101.8
61	U T S A	101.7
62	SMU	101.2
63	Arizona St.	99.8
64	Memphis	99.6
65	East Carolina	99.2
66	W. Kentucky	98.7
67	Troy	98.7
68	Arizona	98.5
69	Miami (Fla.)	98.4
70	Indiana	98.4
71	Appalachian St.	97.9
72	California	97.8
73	U A B	97.5
74	Army	96.9
75	Marshall	96.7
76	Stanford	96.7
77	Liberty	96.3
78	Georgia St.	96.1
79	Navy	96.1
80	South Alabama	95.6
81	Louisiana	95.6
82	Toledo	95.3
83	Georgia Tech	95.3
84	Virginia	95.2
85	San Diego St.	94.8
86	Ohio	94.7
87	Virginia Tech	94.7
88	Northwestern	94.5
89	Tulsa	94.5
90	Rutgers	93.8
91	Vanderbilt	93.4
92	San Jose St.	93.1
93	Boston College	92.8
94	North Texas	92.1
95	Ga. Southern	90.8
96	Coastal Carolina	90.7
97	Utah St.	90.2
98	Kent St.	90.1
99	Miami (Ohio)	89.7
100	Buffalo	89.5
101	Florida Atlantic	89.3
102	Eastern Mich.	89.1
103	Western Mich.	88.9
104	Southern Miss.	88.9
105	Central Mich.	88.8
106	Wyoming	88.3
107	USF	88.0
108	U T E P	87.3
109	Old Dominion	87.1
110	Ball St.	86.5
111	N. Illinois	86.2
112	Middle Tennessee	85.9
113	U N L V	85.8
114	Connecticut	85.4
115	Bowling Green	84.5
116	Colorado St.	83.1
117	UL-Monroe	82.8
118	Temple	82.7
119	Colorado	81.6
120	Texas St.	81.3
121	Akron	80.7
122	Nevada	79.7
123	New Mexico St.	79.7
124	Arkansas St.	79.7
125	Louisiana Tech	79.0
126	Rice	78.8
127	Hawaii	76.3
128	Charlotte	75.7
129	New Mexico	75.5
130	Massachusetts	71.1
131	Florida Int’l.	65.1

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Tulane	108.2	108.1	108.9	108.4
Cincinnati	107.6	106.7	107.5	107.3
UCF	103.8	104.2	103.8	103.9
Houston	102.4	101.6	102.0	102.0
SMU	101.4	100.7	101.4	101.2
Memphis	99.6	99.8	99.4	99.6
East Carolina	99.1	98.8	99.6	99.2
Navy	96.2	96.0	96.1	96.1
Tulsa	94.9	94.2	94.3	94.5
USF	88.6	87.7	87.7	88.0
Temple	82.4	83.6	82.0	82.7
AAC	98.6	98.3	98.4	98.4
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	119.5	119.3	119.7	119.5
Florida St.	119.0	118.8	119.1	119.0
Louisville	112.3	112.0	112.0	112.1
NC State	109.4	108.8	108.4	108.9
Wake Forest	108.0	107.7	107.5	107.7
Syracuse	104.6	103.6	103.1	103.8
Boston College	93.2	93.4	91.8	92.8
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	111.8	111.0	110.3	111.0
North Carolina	106.1	105.7	104.8	105.5
Duke	101.4	103.1	100.8	101.8
Miami (Fla.)	99.2	98.3	97.7	98.4
Georgia Tech	95.8	95.6	94.5	95.3
Virginia	95.8	95.9	94.0	95.2
Virginia Tech	95.1	95.3	93.7	94.7
ACC	105.1	104.9	104.1	104.7
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
T C U	122.3	121.1	121.8	121.7
Kansas St.	120.2	119.2	119.9	119.8
Texas	119.9	119.1	118.8	119.3
Baylor	114.1	112.8	113.2	113.4
Oklahoma	112.6	111.7	112.4	112.2
Texas Tech	109.8	108.9	110.2	109.6
Oklahoma St.	108.0	106.5	107.0	107.2
Iowa St.	105.1	104.4	104.4	104.6
West Virginia	104.8	104.2	104.2	104.4
Kansas	102.9	101.5	101.0	101.8
Big 12	112.0	110.9	111.3	111.4
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Michigan	130.4	129.9	130.3	130.2
Ohio St.	130.1	128.9	129.6	129.5
Penn St.	124.2	124.1	124.1	124.1
Maryland	111.6	111.3	110.7	111.2
Michigan St.	109.5	108.2	107.4	108.4
Indiana	99.3	98.5	97.4	98.4
Rutgers	95.0	93.9	92.4	93.8
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Minnesota	115.9	115.2	115.4	115.5
Illinois	114.6	115.0	113.9	114.5
Iowa	113.8	112.9	112.3	113.0
Wisconsin	113.1	112.6	111.8	112.5
Purdue	112.9	112.0	110.9	111.9
Nebraska	104.1	103.9	103.0	103.6
Northwestern	94.8	95.2	93.5	94.5
Big Ten	112.1	111.5	110.9	111.5
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U T S A	101.5	101.2	102.2	101.7
W. Kentucky	98.4	98.3	99.4	98.7
U A B	97.4	97.2	97.9	97.5
North Texas	91.8	91.6	93.0	92.1
Florida Atlantic	89.1	90.0	88.9	89.3
U T E P	87.2	87.3	87.2	87.3
Middle Tennessee	85.7	86.3	85.7	85.9
Louisiana Tech	78.9	79.7	78.4	79.0
Rice	79.0	78.9	78.5	78.8
Charlotte	75.4	76.2	75.5	75.7
Florida Int’l.	64.9	66.5	64.0	65.1
CUSA	86.3	86.7	86.4	86.5
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	115.4	114.3	115.4	115.0
BYU	103.9	102.7	103.8	103.5
Army	96.5	97.1	97.2	96.9
Liberty	95.9	96.7	96.2	96.3
Connecticut	85.3	86.5	84.4	85.4
New Mexico St.	79.1	81.0	79.0	79.7
Massachusetts	71.2	72.1	69.9	71.1
Independents	92.5	92.9	92.3	92.5
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio	93.5	95.5	95.2	94.7
Buffalo	88.6	90.3	89.7	89.5
Kent St.	89.5	91.1	89.8	90.1
Miami (Ohio)	88.8	90.5	89.8	89.7
Bowling Green	84.4	84.5	84.7	84.5
Akron	80.4	81.4	80.4	80.7
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	94.8	95.6	95.4	95.3
Eastern Mich.	88.5	89.5	89.2	89.1
Western Mich.	88.2	89.3	89.2	88.9
Central Mich.	87.8	89.2	89.4	88.8
Ball St.	85.8	87.2	86.7	86.5
N. Illinois	86.0	86.5	86.1	86.2
MAC	88.0	89.2	88.8	88.7
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	103.7	103.3	104.1	103.7
Air Force	102.2	102.2	102.9	102.4
Utah St.	90.0	90.1	90.4	90.2
Wyoming	87.4	88.9	88.5	88.3
Colorado St.	82.6	83.5	83.3	83.1
New Mexico	76.1	75.8	74.6	75.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	104.0	104.0	105.0	104.3
San Diego St.	94.8	94.4	95.0	94.8
San Jose St.	92.9	93.1	93.2	93.1
U N L V	86.1	85.0	86.1	85.8
Nevada	79.5	80.5	79.2	79.7
Hawaii	75.5	76.6	76.8	76.3
MWC	89.6	89.8	89.9	89.8
Pac-12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	120.6	120.1	121.8	120.8
Oregon	115.9	115.4	116.0	115.8
Oregon St.	113.4	113.1	114.5	113.7
Washington	113.1	113.4	114.2	113.6
U S C	112.4	112.5	113.3	112.7
U C L A	110.6	110.5	111.8	111.0
Washington St.	105.6	105.9	106.5	106.0
Arizona St.	100.0	99.4	100.1	99.8
Arizona	98.3	98.4	98.9	98.5
California	97.5	97.5	98.3	97.8
Stanford	97.8	95.9	96.4	96.7
Colorado	82.4	81.0	81.5	81.6
Pac-12	105.6	105.3	106.1	105.7
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	132.5	131.7	133.0	132.4
Tennessee	122.7	122.9	123.7	123.1
Florida	109.6	110.7	110.1	110.1
Kentucky	109.5	109.8	110.3	109.9
South Carolina	109.1	108.9	109.2	109.1
Missouri	104.3	104.5	103.9	104.3
Vanderbilt	93.3	94.0	92.7	93.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	128.7	127.8	129.2	128.6
L S U	116.3	115.8	116.1	116.1
Mississippi St.	115.0	113.6	113.9	114.1
Arkansas	113.1	111.9	113.1	112.7
Ole Miss	113.2	111.8	112.1	112.4
Texas A&M	108.7	108.9	108.9	108.8
Auburn	107.5	106.3	106.8	106.9
SEC	113.1	112.8	113.1	113.0
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
James Madison	100.2	101.6	103.7	101.8
Appalachian St.	97.1	98.0	98.5	97.9
Marshall	95.9	96.9	97.3	96.7
Georgia St.	95.6	95.7	97.1	96.1
Ga. Southern	90.4	90.6	91.5	90.8
Coastal Carolina	90.1	90.9	91.1	90.7
Old Dominion	86.9	87.0	87.3	87.1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Troy	97.7	98.7	99.7	98.7
South Alabama	94.8	95.5	96.5	95.6
Louisiana	94.9	95.4	96.4	95.6
Southern Miss.	88.3	88.9	89.4	88.9
UL-Monroe	82.6	82.9	82.8	82.8
Texas St.	80.7	81.7	81.6	81.3
Arkansas St.	79.2	80.2	79.6	79.7
Sun Belt	91.0	91.7	92.3	91.7

Conference Ratings

#	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	113.0
2	Big Ten	111.5
3	Big 12	111.4
4	Pac-12	105.7
5	Atlantic Coast	104.7
6	American Athletic	98.4
7	Independents	92.5
8	Sun Belt	91.7
9	Mountain West	89.8
10	Mid-American	88.7
11	Conference USA	86.5

Playoff & Bowl Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	Miami (O)	UAB
Cure	Marshall	Central Florida
Fenway	Cincinnati	Louisville
New Mexico	Rice	Utah St.
L.A.	Washington St.	Fresno St.
Lending Tree	Buffalo	Southern Miss.
Las Vegas	UCLA	Mississippi St.
Frisco	Louisiana	Air Force
Myrtle Beach	Georgia Southern	Connecticut
Famous Idaho Potato	Ohio	Boise St.
Boca Raton	Coastal Carolina	BYU
New Orleans	Western Kentucky	South Alabama
Armed Forces	SMU	UTSA
Independence	Houston	New Mexico St.
Gasparilla	Missouri	Syracuse
Hawaii	San Diego St.	Middle Tennessee
Quick Lane	Eastern Michigan	Liberty
Camellia	Toledo	Troy
First Responder	San Jose St.	North Texas
Birmingham	Memphis	Kansas
Guaranteed Rate	Baylor	Wisconsin
Military	Wake Forest	East Carolina
Liberty	Arkansas	Oklahoma
Holiday	Florida St.	Oregon
Texas	Oklahoma St.	Florida
Pinstripe	Iowa	Pittsburgh
Cheez-It	North Carolina	Texas Tech
Alamo	Washington	Texas
Duke’s Mayo	Maryland	North Carolina St.
Tony the Tiger Sun	Oregon St.	Duke
Arizona	Wyoming	Bowling Green
Orange	Clemson	Tennessee
Music City	Kentucky	Minnesota
Sugar	Alabama	Kansas St.
TaxSlayer	Notre Dame	South Carolina
Peach	Georgia	Ohio St.
Fiesta	Michigan	TCU
Reliaquest (Outback)	Ole Miss	Illinois
Citrus	LSU	Purdue
Cotton	Tulane	USC
Rose	Utah	Penn St.
National Championship	Georgia	Michigan

PiRate Ratings College Football–Championship Week

This Week’s Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Buffalo	Akron	12.3	13.4	13.9
UTSA	North Texas	11.5	11.2	10.4
Utah	USC	4.1	3.1	4.0
TCU	Kansas St.	4.2	4.2	4.4
Ohio	Toledo	0.7	2.3	2.4
Troy	Coastal Carolina	8.7	8.8	9.4
Georgia	LSU	17.5	17.0	18.0
Tulane	Central Florida	4.7	4.0	5.0
Boise St.	Fresno St.	5.9	5.7	5.8
Michigan	Purdue	15.6	15.8	17.3
Clemson	North Carolina	10.2	10.2	11.5

Conference Championship Schedule

Day	Date	Location	Conference	Team 1	Team 2	Network	Time (EST)
FRI	12/2	San Antonio	C-USA	UTSA	North Texas	CBSSN	7:30 PM
FRI	12/2	Las Vegas	Pac-12	USC	Utah	Fox	8:00 PM
SAT	12/3	Arlington, TX	Big 12	TCU	Kansas St.	ABC	12:00 PM
SAT	12/3	Detroit	Mid-American	Ohio	Toledo	ESPN	12:00 PM
SAT	12/3	Troy, AL	Sun Belt	Troy	Coastal Carolina	ESPN	3:30 PM
SAT	12/3	Atlanta	SEC	Georgia	LSU	CBS	4:00 PM
SAT	12/3	New Orleans	American	Tulane	Central Florida	ABC	4:00 PM
SAT	12/3	Boise, ID	Mountain West	Boise St.	Fresno St.	Fox	4:00 PM
SAT	12/3	Indianapolis	Big Ten	Michigan	Purdue	Fox	8:00 PM
SAT	12/3	Charlotte	ACC	Clemson	North Carolina	ABC	8:00 PM

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

#	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	132.2
2	Michigan	129.9
3	Ohio St.	129.5
4	Alabama	128.6
5	Penn St.	124.1
6	Tennessee	123.1
7	T C U	122.1
8	Kansas St.	119.4
9	Texas	119.3
10	Florida St.	119.0
11	Utah	118.9
12	Clemson	117.8
13	L S U	116.2
14	Oregon	115.8
15	Minnesota	115.5
16	U S C	115.2
17	Notre Dame	115.0
18	Illinois	114.5
19	Mississippi St.	114.1
20	Oregon St.	113.7
21	Washington	113.6
22	Baylor	113.4
23	Iowa	113.0
24	Arkansas	112.7
25	Wisconsin	112.5
26	Ole Miss	112.4
27	Oklahoma	112.2
28	Purdue	112.2
29	Louisville	112.1
30	Maryland	111.2
31	Pittsburgh	111.0
32	U C L A	111.0
33	Florida	110.1
34	Kentucky	109.9
35	Texas Tech	109.6
36	South Carolina	109.1
37	NC State	108.9
38	Texas A&M	108.8
39	Michigan St.	108.4
40	Wake Forest	107.7
41	Cincinnati	107.3
42	Tulane	107.2
43	Oklahoma St.	107.2
44	North Carolina	107.2
45	Auburn	106.9
46	Washington St.	106.0
47	Boise St.	105.4
48	UCF	105.1
49	Iowa St.	104.6
50	West Virginia	104.4
51	Missouri	104.3
52	Syracuse	103.8
53	Nebraska	103.6
54	BYU	103.5
55	Fresno St.	102.6
56	Air Force	102.4
57	Houston	102.0
58	James Madison	101.8
59	Duke	101.8
60	Kansas	101.8
61	SMU	101.2
62	U T S A	100.9
63	Arizona St.	99.8
64	Memphis	99.6
65	East Carolina	99.2
66	W. Kentucky	98.7
67	Arizona	98.5
68	Miami (Fla.)	98.4
69	Indiana	98.4
70	Troy	97.9
71	Appalachian St.	97.9
72	California	97.8
73	U A B	97.5
74	Army	96.9
75	Marshall	96.7
76	Stanford	96.7
77	Liberty	96.3
78	Georgia St.	96.1
79	Navy	96.1
80	Ohio	95.9
81	South Alabama	95.6
82	Louisiana	95.6
83	Georgia Tech	95.3
84	Virginia	95.2
85	San Diego St.	94.8
86	Virginia Tech	94.7
87	Northwestern	94.5
88	Tulsa	94.5
89	Toledo	94.1
90	Rutgers	93.8
91	Vanderbilt	93.4
92	San Jose St.	93.1
93	North Texas	92.9
94	Boston College	92.8
95	Coastal Carolina	91.5
96	Ga. Southern	90.8
97	Buffalo	90.5
98	Utah St.	90.2
99	Kent St.	90.1
100	Miami (Ohio)	89.7
101	Florida Atlantic	89.3
102	Eastern Mich.	89.1
103	Western Mich.	88.9
104	Southern Miss.	88.9
105	Central Mich.	88.8
106	Wyoming	88.3
107	USF	88.0
108	U T E P	87.3
109	Old Dominion	87.1
110	Ball St.	86.5
111	N. Illinois	86.2
112	Middle Tennessee	85.9
113	U N L V	85.8
114	Connecticut	85.4
115	Bowling Green	84.5
116	Colorado St.	83.1
117	UL-Monroe	82.8
118	Temple	82.7
119	Colorado	81.6
120	Texas St.	81.3
121	Akron	79.8
122	Nevada	79.7
123	Arkansas St.	79.7
124	New Mexico St.	79.2
125	Louisiana Tech	79.0
126	Rice	78.8
127	Hawaii	76.3
128	Charlotte	75.7
129	New Mexico	75.5
130	Massachusetts	71.1
131	Florida Int’l.	65.1

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	107.6	106.7	107.5	107.3
Tulane	107.1	106.9	107.6	107.2
UCF	104.9	105.4	105.1	105.1
Houston	102.4	101.6	102.0	102.0
SMU	101.4	100.7	101.4	101.2
Memphis	99.6	99.8	99.4	99.6
East Carolina	99.1	98.8	99.6	99.2
Navy	96.2	96.0	96.1	96.1
Tulsa	94.9	94.2	94.3	94.5
USF	88.6	87.7	87.7	88.0
Temple	82.4	83.6	82.0	82.7
AAC	98.6	98.3	98.4	98.4
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Florida St.	119.0	118.8	119.1	119.0
Clemson	117.9	117.6	118.0	117.8
Louisville	112.3	112.0	112.0	112.1
NC State	109.4	108.8	108.4	108.9
Wake Forest	108.0	107.7	107.5	107.7
Syracuse	104.6	103.6	103.1	103.8
Boston College	93.2	93.4	91.8	92.8
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	111.8	111.0	110.3	111.0
North Carolina	107.7	107.4	106.5	107.2
Duke	101.4	103.1	100.8	101.8
Miami (Fla.)	99.2	98.3	97.7	98.4
Georgia Tech	95.8	95.6	94.5	95.3
Virginia	95.8	95.9	94.0	95.2
Virginia Tech	95.1	95.3	93.7	94.7
ACC	105.1	104.9	104.1	104.7
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
T C U	122.6	121.5	122.3	122.1
Kansas St.	119.9	118.8	119.4	119.4
Texas	119.9	119.1	118.8	119.3
Baylor	114.1	112.8	113.2	113.4
Oklahoma	112.6	111.7	112.4	112.2
Texas Tech	109.8	108.9	110.2	109.6
Oklahoma St.	108.0	106.5	107.0	107.2
Iowa St.	105.1	104.4	104.4	104.6
West Virginia	104.8	104.2	104.2	104.4
Kansas	102.9	101.5	101.0	101.8
Big 12	112.0	110.9	111.3	111.4
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Michigan	130.2	129.6	130.0	129.9
Ohio St.	130.1	128.9	129.6	129.5
Penn St.	124.2	124.1	124.1	124.1
Maryland	111.6	111.3	110.7	111.2
Michigan St.	109.5	108.2	107.4	108.4
Indiana	99.3	98.5	97.4	98.4
Rutgers	95.0	93.9	92.4	93.8
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Minnesota	115.9	115.2	115.4	115.5
Illinois	114.6	115.0	113.9	114.5
Iowa	113.8	112.9	112.3	113.0
Wisconsin	113.1	112.6	111.8	112.5
Purdue	113.1	112.3	111.2	112.2
Nebraska	104.1	103.9	103.0	103.6
Northwestern	94.8	95.2	93.5	94.5
Big Ten	112.1	111.5	110.9	111.5
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U T S A	100.9	100.5	101.3	100.9
W. Kentucky	98.4	98.3	99.4	98.7
U A B	97.4	97.2	97.9	97.5
North Texas	92.4	92.3	93.9	92.9
Florida Atlantic	89.1	90.0	88.9	89.3
U T E P	87.2	87.3	87.2	87.3
Middle Tennessee	85.7	86.3	85.7	85.9
Louisiana Tech	78.9	79.7	78.4	79.0
Rice	79.0	78.9	78.5	78.8
Charlotte	75.4	76.2	75.5	75.7
Florida Int’l.	64.9	66.5	64.0	65.1
CUSA	86.3	86.7	86.4	86.5
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	115.4	114.3	115.4	115.0
BYU	103.9	102.7	103.8	103.5
Army	96.5	97.1	97.2	96.9
Liberty	95.9	96.7	96.2	96.3
Connecticut	85.3	86.5	84.4	85.4
New Mexico St.	78.6	80.5	78.5	79.2
Massachusetts	71.2	72.1	69.9	71.1
Independents	92.4	92.8	92.2	92.5
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio	94.5	96.7	96.5	95.9
Buffalo	89.4	91.3	90.8	90.5
Kent St.	89.5	91.1	89.8	90.1
Miami (Ohio)	88.8	90.5	89.8	89.7
Bowling Green	84.4	84.5	84.7	84.5
Akron	79.6	80.4	79.3	79.8
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	93.8	94.4	94.1	94.1
Eastern Mich.	88.5	89.5	89.2	89.1
Western Mich.	88.2	89.3	89.2	88.9
Central Mich.	87.8	89.2	89.4	88.8
Ball St.	85.8	87.2	86.7	86.5
N. Illinois	86.0	86.5	86.1	86.2
MAC	88.0	89.2	88.8	88.7
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	105.3	105.0	105.9	105.4
Air Force	102.2	102.2	102.9	102.4
Utah St.	90.0	90.1	90.4	90.2
Wyoming	87.4	88.9	88.5	88.3
Colorado St.	82.6	83.5	83.3	83.1
New Mexico	76.1	75.8	74.6	75.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	102.4	102.3	103.2	102.6
San Diego St.	94.8	94.4	95.0	94.8
San Jose St.	92.9	93.1	93.2	93.1
U N L V	86.1	85.0	86.1	85.8
Nevada	79.5	80.5	79.2	79.7
Hawaii	75.5	76.6	76.8	76.3
MWC	89.6	89.8	89.9	89.8
Pac-12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	118.8	118.1	119.8	118.9
Oregon	115.9	115.4	116.0	115.8
U S C	114.7	115.0	115.8	115.2
Oregon St.	113.4	113.1	114.5	113.7
Washington	113.1	113.4	114.2	113.6
U C L A	110.6	110.5	111.8	111.0
Washington St.	105.6	105.9	106.5	106.0
Arizona St.	100.0	99.4	100.1	99.8
Arizona	98.3	98.4	98.9	98.5
California	97.5	97.5	98.3	97.8
Stanford	97.8	95.9	96.4	96.7
Colorado	82.4	81.0	81.5	81.6
Pac-12	105.7	105.3	106.1	105.7
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	132.4	131.5	132.8	132.2
Tennessee	122.7	122.9	123.7	123.1
Florida	109.6	110.7	110.1	110.1
Kentucky	109.5	109.8	110.3	109.9
South Carolina	109.1	108.9	109.2	109.1
Missouri	104.3	104.5	103.9	104.3
Vanderbilt	93.3	94.0	92.7	93.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	128.7	127.8	129.2	128.6
L S U	116.4	116.0	116.3	116.2
Mississippi St.	115.0	113.6	113.9	114.1
Arkansas	113.1	111.9	113.1	112.7
Ole Miss	113.2	111.8	112.1	112.4
Texas A&M	108.7	108.9	108.9	108.8
Auburn	107.5	106.3	106.8	106.9
SEC	113.1	112.8	113.1	113.0
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
James Madison	100.2	101.6	103.7	101.8
Appalachian St.	97.1	98.0	98.5	97.9
Marshall	95.9	96.9	97.3	96.7
Georgia St.	95.6	95.7	97.1	96.1
Coastal Carolina	90.8	91.7	91.9	91.5
Ga. Southern	90.4	90.6	91.5	90.8
Old Dominion	86.9	87.0	87.3	87.1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Troy	97.0	97.9	98.9	97.9
South Alabama	94.8	95.5	96.5	95.6
Louisiana	94.9	95.4	96.4	95.6
Southern Miss.	88.3	88.9	89.4	88.9
UL-Monroe	82.6	82.9	82.8	82.8
Texas St.	80.7	81.7	81.6	81.3
Arkansas St.	79.2	80.2	79.6	79.7
Sun Belt	91.0	91.7	92.3	91.7

Conference Ratings

#	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	113.0
2	Big Ten	111.5
3	Big 12	111.4
4	Pac-12	105.7
5	Atlantic Coast	104.7
6	American Athletic	98.4
7	Independents	92.5
8	Sun Belt	91.7
9	Mountain West	89.8
10	Mid-American	88.7
11	Conference USA	86.5

Bowl Projections

As of this morning, Sunday, November 27, 2022, there are 80 Bowl Eligible teams for 82 slots in bowls. There are three teams that can still become bowl eligible. Buffalo is 5-6. They host Akron in the makeup game that was postponed when Buffalo was blanketed with feet of snow. Army is 5-6, and a win over Navy would make the Black Knights bowl eligible. New Mexico State is 5-6, and it is not yet determined if the Aggies will get the opportunity to makeup their postponed game with San Jose State. In a wild and crazy world, NMSU has two other options that could work to supply them a replacement game. Virginia Tech had their game with Virginia cancelled and could get an extra game. Vanderbilt had the opportunity to play a 13th game having played in Hawaii, and the Commodores could get an extra game. It’s about 99% certain that neither team would play in Las Cruces on Saturday. Only San Jose State might still agree to playing the game.

Appalachian State has six wins, but two came against FCS teams. The rules state that only one FCS win can be counted toward bowl eligibility, but when there are not enough bowl eligible teams, a team may receive a waiver.

If one or two 5-7 teams need to be added to the bowl schedule, the Academic Progress Rate score determines which team(s) can go. This year, if one additional 5-win team is needed, it will be Rice. If a second 5-7 team is needed, it will be UNLV. For now, we will predict Army and Buffalo to get their sixth wins, and Appy State will get their waiver with two FCS wins.

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	Miami (O)	UAB
Cure	Troy	Air Force
Fenway	Pittsburgh	Cincinnati
New Mexico	Wyoming	North Texas
L.A.	Oregon	Boise St.
Lending Tree	Toledo	Southern Miss.
Las Vegas	UCLA	South Carolina
Frisco	Fresno St.	Houston
Myrtle Beach	Marshall	Conecticut
Famous Idaho Potato	Utah St.	Bowling Green
Boca Raton	Coastal Carolina	Liberty
New Orleans	South Alabama	Western Kentucky
Armed Forces	Central Florida	UTSA
Independence	SMU	Army
Gasparilla	Wake Forest	Arkansas
Hawaii	San Diego St.	Middle Tennessee
Quick Lane	Buffalo	Louisiana
Camellia	Ohio	Georgia Southern
First Responder	BYU	Kansas
Birmingham	Memphis	Appalachian St.
Guaranteed Rate	Wisconsin	Baylor
Military	Syracsue	East Carolina
Liberty	Oklahoma	Missouri
Holiday	Utah	Notre Dame
Texas	Texas Tech	Ole Miss
Pinstripe	Iowa	North Carolina St.
Cheez-It	North Carolina	Oklahoma St.
Alamo	Texas	Oregon St.
Duke’s Mayo	Duke	Minnesota
Tony the Tiger Sun	Florida St.	Washington St.
Arizona	San Jose St.	Eastern Michigan
Orange	Clemson	Tennessee
Music City	Maryland	Kentucky
Sugar	Alabama	Kansas St.
TaxSlayer	Florida	Louisville
Peach	Georgia	USC
Fiesta	Michigan	TCU
Reliaquest (Outback)	Mississippi St.	Illinois
Citrus	LSU	Purdue
Cotton	Penn St.	Tulane
Rose	Ohio St.	Washington
National Championship	Georgia	Michigan

PiRate Ratings College Football — November 20, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Ohio	Bowling Green	9.0	11.4	10.9
Miami (O)	Ball St.	5.3	5.7	5.7
Ole Miss	Mississippi St.	0.1	0.1	0.1
North Carolina	North Carolina St.	-0.1	0.7	0.1
Texas	Baylor	6.9	7.1	6.1
Eastern Michigan	Central Michigan	-0.6	-1.4	-2.3
Western Michigan	Toledo	-6.3	-6.0	-6.0
Boise St.	Utah St.	18.3	17.7	18.5
Arizona	Arizona St.	-0.6	0.1	-0.3
Oregon St.	Oregon	-2.0	-2.0	-1.2
Missouri	Arkansas	-8.4	-7.1	-9.5
Colorado St.	New Mexico	7.0	8.2	9.2
Iowa	Nebraska	16.1	15.6	16.1
California	UCLA	-10.2	-10.2	-10.7
Florida St.	Florida	11.1	9.8	10.9
Fresno St.	Wyoming	15.2	13.2	14.5
Kansas St.	Kansas	18.3	18.6	20.0
Indiana	Purdue	-12.1	-12.1	-12.1
Boston College	Syracuse	-8.8	-7.3	-8.9
Georgia	Georgia Tech	40.0	39.4	42.3
Virginia Tech	Virginia	0.8	0.9	1.1
Duke	Wake Forest	-7.0	-5.0	-7.4
Miami (Fla.)	Pittsburgh	-5.1	-5.1	-4.8
Massachusetts	Army	-20.0	-19.5	-21.8
Maryland	Rutgers	15.6	16.3	17.2
Clemson	South Carolina	11.9	12.0	12.4
Kentucky	Louisville	-4.4	-3.9	-3.4
Penn St.	Michigan St.	17.7	18.9	19.7
Cincinnati	Tulane	5.0	4.4	4.6
Liberty	New Mexico St.	27.5	26.3	28.5
South Florida	Central Florida	-15.2	-16.8	-16.9
Temple	East Carolina	-15.2	-13.6	-16.7
Buffalo	Kent St.	3.2	3.7	4.9
Georgia Southern	Appalachian St.	-5.1	-6.1	-5.9
James Madison	Coastal Carolina	5.8	6.0	7.5
Marshall	Georgia St.	3.1	4.0	2.6
Florida Atlantic	Western Kentucky	-6.7	-5.7	-8.5
South Alabama	Old Dominion	10.8	11.6	12.7
Northern Illinois	Akron	17.9	17.7	18.3
Wisconsin	Minnesota	0.5	0.9	0.1
Ohio St.	Michigan	8.9	8.6	9.0
Northwestern	Illinois	-13.6	-13.4	-13.9
Colorado	Utah	-31.5	-32.2	-33.4
North Texas	Rice	15.2	15.2	16.6
Stanford	BYU	-2.7	-3.3	-3.7
UNLV	Nevada	8.4	6.2	9.0
USC	Notre Dame	-0.3	1.1	0.6
Washington St.	Washington	-2.1	-1.9	-1.9
Houston	Tulsa	14.7	14.8	15.3
SMU	Memphis	4.8	3.9	5.2
TCU	Iowa St.	13.7	13.1	13.7
Louisiana Tech	UAB	-16.2	-15.2	-17.8
Texas Tech	Oklahoma	0.3	0.2	0.8
Texas A&M	LSU	-9.5	-8.9	-9.6
Oklahoma St.	West Virginia	9.0	8.2	9.0
San Jose St.	Hawaii	21.1	20.2	20.2
Vanderbilt	Tennessee	-21.7	-21.0	-23.1
Alabama	Auburn	22.7	23.0	23.9
UTSA	UTEP	18.4	17.9	19.4
Arkansas St.	Troy	-12.1	-11.6	-13.3
Louisiana-Monroe	Southern Miss.	-1.8	-2.0	-2.5
Texas St.	Louisiana	-7.7	-7.0	-7.9
Florida Int’l.	Middle Tennessee	-20.5	-19.5	-22.0
San Diego St.	Air Force	-3.8	-3.9	-3.8

Teams With Byes

Navy

Note: Charlotte and Connecticut have concluded their regular seasons

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

#	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	133.3
2	Ohio St.	132.4
3	Alabama	128.6
4	Michigan	126.5
5	Penn St.	124.1
6	Tennessee	119.9
7	Clemson	119.3
8	Kansas St.	119.3
9	Florida St.	119.1
10	Texas	118.9
11	L S U	118.7
12	T C U	118.6
13	Utah	117.7
14	Notre Dame	116.4
15	Oregon	116.3
16	Minnesota	115.0
17	Iowa	114.8
18	Mississippi St.	113.9
19	Arkansas	113.9
20	U S C	113.8
21	Baylor	113.7
22	Louisville	113.7
23	Oregon St.	113.1
24	Wisconsin	113.0
25	Ole Miss	112.6
26	Oklahoma	112.2
27	Purdue	112.1
28	Illinois	112.1
29	Washington	111.8
30	U C L A	111.1
31	Florida	110.0
32	Texas Tech	109.6
33	Maryland	109.4
34	Wake Forest	109.0
35	Oklahoma St.	108.7
36	South Carolina	108.7
37	Pittsburgh	108.7
38	NC State	108.6
39	Michigan St.	108.4
40	Kentucky	108.3
41	Iowa St.	108.1
42	Cincinnati	108.1
43	Washington St.	107.8
44	North Carolina	107.4
45	Auburn	106.9
46	Tulane	106.4
47	Texas A&M	106.4
48	UCF	105.5
49	Boise St.	105.4
50	Houston	104.2
51	Syracuse	103.7
52	BYU	103.2
53	Missouri	103.1
54	West Virginia	103.0
55	U T S A	102.1
56	Air Force	102.0
57	Nebraska	101.8
58	Kansas	101.8
59	SMU	101.2
60	Fresno St.	101.1
61	Miami (Fla.)	100.7
62	Duke	100.5
63	Arizona St.	100.1
64	Liberty	100.0
65	East Carolina	99.8
66	Memphis	99.6
67	W. Kentucky	99.0
68	James Madison	98.6
69	Indiana	98.5
70	Appalachian St.	98.5
71	Arizona	98.3
72	U A B	97.7
73	California	97.7
74	Stanford	97.0
75	Northwestern	96.9
76	Marshall	96.6
77	Vanderbilt	96.5
78	Georgia St.	96.3
79	Troy	96.2
80	South Alabama	95.9
81	Navy	95.9
82	Toledo	95.8
83	Rutgers	95.5
84	Army	95.5
85	Virginia	95.2
86	San Diego St.	95.2
87	Virginia Tech	94.7
88	Coastal Carolina	94.7
89	Ohio	94.7
90	Georgia Tech	94.2
91	Louisiana	93.5
92	San Jose St.	93.4
93	Boston College	92.9
94	North Texas	92.7
95	Tulsa	92.3
96	Buffalo	91.0
97	N. Illinois	90.7
98	Central Mich.	90.4
99	Ga. Southern	90.3
100	Utah St.	90.2
101	Miami (Ohio)	89.9
102	Wyoming	89.8
103	Kent St.	89.6
104	Florida Atlantic	89.0
105	Southern Miss.	88.1
106	Western Mich.	87.7
107	USF	87.6
108	Eastern Mich.	87.5
109	Middle Tennessee	87.1
110	Old Dominion	86.7
111	Ball St.	86.3
112	U T E P	86.1
113	U N L V	85.9
114	Bowling Green	85.8
115	Connecticut	85.4
116	UL-Monroe	83.5
117	Texas St.	83.4
118	Colorado	82.8
119	Colorado St.	82.1
120	Temple	82.1
121	Arkansas St.	81.4
122	Nevada	79.6
123	Rice	79.0
124	Louisiana Tech	78.8
125	New Mexico	76.5
126	Hawaii	75.9
127	Charlotte	75.7
128	New Mexico St.	75.5
129	Akron	75.3
130	Massachusetts	72.5
131	Florida Int’l.	63.9

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	108.3	107.5	108.4	108.1
Tulane	106.4	106.1	106.7	106.4
UCF	105.1	105.7	105.6	105.5
Houston	104.5	103.8	104.3	104.2
SMU	101.4	100.7	101.5	101.2
East Carolina	99.6	99.3	100.4	99.8
Memphis	99.6	99.8	99.3	99.6
Navy	96.0	95.8	95.9	95.9
Tulsa	92.8	92.0	92.0	92.3
USF	88.4	87.4	87.2	87.6
Temple	81.9	83.1	81.2	82.1
AAC	98.6	98.3	98.4	98.4
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	119.3	119.1	119.6	119.3
Florida St.	119.1	118.9	119.3	119.1
Louisville	113.9	113.6	113.6	113.7
Wake Forest	109.2	108.9	108.9	109.0
NC State	109.3	108.5	108.1	108.6
Syracuse	104.6	103.4	103.1	103.7
Boston College	93.2	93.6	91.8	92.9
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	109.6	108.7	107.9	108.7
North Carolina	107.8	107.7	106.8	107.4
Miami (Fla.)	101.4	100.6	100.1	100.7
Duke	100.2	101.9	99.4	100.5
Virginia	95.8	95.9	94.0	95.2
Virginia Tech	95.1	95.3	93.7	94.7
Georgia Tech	94.9	94.6	93.3	94.2
ACC	105.2	105.0	104.2	104.8
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Kansas St.	119.8	118.7	119.4	119.3
Texas	119.7	118.8	118.3	118.9
T C U	119.2	118.0	118.7	118.6
Baylor	114.3	113.1	113.7	113.7
Oklahoma	112.6	111.7	112.4	112.2
Texas Tech	109.8	108.9	110.2	109.6
Oklahoma St.	109.5	108.0	108.7	108.7
Iowa St.	108.5	107.9	108.0	108.1
West Virginia	103.5	102.9	102.7	103.0
Kansas	103.0	101.6	101.0	101.8
Big 12	112.0	111.0	111.3	111.4
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	132.9	131.8	132.6	132.4
Michigan	126.9	126.2	126.5	126.5
Penn St.	124.2	124.1	124.1	124.1
Maryland	109.9	109.5	108.9	109.4
Michigan St.	109.5	108.2	107.4	108.4
Indiana	99.4	98.6	97.5	98.5
Rutgers	96.7	95.7	94.2	95.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Minnesota	115.5	114.7	114.8	115.0
Iowa	115.5	114.7	114.2	114.8
Wisconsin	113.5	113.1	112.4	113.0
Purdue	113.0	112.2	111.1	112.1
Illinois	112.3	112.6	111.4	112.1
Nebraska	102.4	102.1	101.1	101.8
Northwestern	97.1	97.6	96.0	96.9
Big Ten	112.1	111.5	110.9	111.5
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U T S A	102.0	101.6	102.7	102.1
W. Kentucky	98.6	98.5	99.9	99.0
U A B	97.5	97.3	98.3	97.7
North Texas	92.3	92.2	93.5	92.7
Florida Atlantic	88.9	89.8	88.4	89.0
Middle Tennessee	86.8	87.4	87.1	87.1
U T E P	86.1	86.2	85.8	86.1
Rice	79.1	79.0	78.9	79.0
Louisiana Tech	78.8	79.6	78.0	78.8
Charlotte	75.4	76.2	75.5	75.7
Florida Int’l.	63.8	65.4	62.6	63.9
CUSA	86.3	86.7	86.4	86.5
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	116.7	115.6	116.8	116.4
BYU	103.7	102.4	103.5	103.2
Liberty	99.5	100.3	100.1	100.0
Army	95.1	95.6	95.7	95.5
Connecticut	85.3	86.5	84.4	85.4
New Mexico St.	75.0	76.9	74.6	75.5
Massachusetts	72.6	73.6	71.4	72.5
Independents	92.6	93.0	92.4	92.6
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio	93.2	95.5	95.3	94.7
Buffalo	89.8	91.8	91.5	91.0
Miami (Ohio)	88.9	90.7	90.1	89.9
Kent St.	89.1	90.6	89.1	89.6
Bowling Green	85.7	85.7	85.9	85.8
Akron	75.1	75.9	74.8	75.3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	95.4	96.1	95.9	95.8
N. Illinois	90.5	91.0	90.6	90.7
Central Mich.	89.2	90.8	91.2	90.4
Western Mich.	87.1	88.1	87.9	87.7
Eastern Mich.	87.1	87.9	87.4	87.5
Ball St.	85.7	87.0	86.4	86.3
MAC	88.1	89.3	88.8	88.7
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	105.3	104.9	105.9	105.4
Air Force	101.9	101.8	102.4	102.0
Utah St.	90.0	90.2	90.4	90.2
Wyoming	88.8	90.5	90.1	89.8
Colorado St.	81.6	82.5	82.3	82.1
New Mexico	77.1	76.8	75.6	76.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	101.0	100.7	101.6	101.1
San Diego St.	95.1	94.8	95.5	95.2
San Jose St.	93.2	93.4	93.6	93.4
U N L V	86.2	85.1	86.4	85.9
Nevada	79.4	80.4	78.9	79.6
Hawaii	75.2	76.3	76.4	75.9
MWC	89.6	89.8	89.9	89.8
Pac-12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	117.6	116.9	118.6	117.7
Oregon	116.4	116.0	116.6	116.3
U S C	113.4	113.7	114.4	113.8
Oregon St.	112.9	112.5	113.9	113.1
Washington	111.4	111.6	112.3	111.8
U C L A	110.7	110.6	111.9	111.1
Washington St.	107.3	107.7	108.4	107.8
Arizona St.	100.2	99.6	100.4	100.1
Arizona	98.1	98.1	98.6	98.3
California	97.4	97.4	98.2	97.7
Stanford	98.0	96.2	96.7	97.0
Colorado	83.6	82.2	82.7	82.8
Pac-12	105.6	105.2	106.1	105.6
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	133.3	132.5	134.0	133.3
Tennessee	119.6	119.7	120.5	119.9
Florida	109.5	110.6	109.9	110.0
South Carolina	108.9	108.6	108.7	108.7
Kentucky	107.9	108.2	108.7	108.3
Missouri	103.2	103.4	102.5	103.1
Vanderbilt	96.4	97.2	95.9	96.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	128.7	127.8	129.2	128.6
L S U	118.8	118.4	118.9	118.7
Mississippi St.	114.8	113.4	113.7	113.9
Arkansas	114.2	113.0	114.5	113.9
Ole Miss	113.4	112.0	112.3	112.6
Auburn	107.5	106.3	106.8	106.9
Texas A&M	106.3	106.5	106.3	106.4
SEC	113.0	112.7	113.0	112.9
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
James Madison	97.1	98.4	100.3	98.6
Appalachian St.	97.5	98.6	99.2	98.5
Marshall	95.8	96.8	97.0	96.6
Georgia St.	95.7	95.8	97.4	96.3
Coastal Carolina	93.9	94.9	95.3	94.7
Ga. Southern	90.0	90.0	90.8	90.3
Old Dominion	86.7	86.7	86.8	86.7
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Troy	95.4	96.1	97.2	96.2
South Alabama	95.0	95.8	97.0	95.9
Louisiana	92.9	93.3	94.2	93.5
Southern Miss.	87.6	88.1	88.6	88.1
UL-Monroe	83.3	83.7	83.6	83.5
Texas St.	82.7	83.8	83.8	83.4
Arkansas St.	80.8	82.0	81.3	81.4
Sun Belt	91.0	91.7	92.3	91.7

Conference Ratings

#	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	112.9
2	Big Ten	111.5
3	Big 12	111.4
4	Pac-12	105.6
5	Atlantic Coast	104.8
6	American Athletic	98.4
7	Independents	92.6
8	Sun Belt	91.7
9	Mountain West	89.8
10	Mid-American	88.7
11	Conference USA	86.5

Bowl Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	UTSA	Ohio
Cure	Marshall	Southern Miss.
Fenway	Duke	Central Florida
New Mexico	Western Kentucky	Wyoming
L.A.	Utah	Boise St.
Lending Tree	Miami (O)	Appalachian St.
Las Vegas	Washington	Ole Miss
Frisco	San Diego St.	Washington St.
Myrtle Beach	BYU	South Alabama
Famous Idaho Potato	Bowling Green	Utah St.
Boca Raton	Connecticut	Air Force
New Orleans	Florida Atlantic	Coastal Carolina
Armed Forces	Houston	North Texas
Independence	SMU	Army
Gasparilla	Syracuse	East Carolina
Hawaii	UAB	San Jose St.
Quick Lane	Eastern Michigan	Liberty
Camellia	Buffalo	Troy
First Responder	Kansas	Louisiana
Birmingham	Memphis	Middle Tennessee
Guaranteed Rate	Oklahoma	Wisconsin
Military	Louisville	Tulane
Liberty	Baylor	Missouri
Holiday	North Carolina	Oregon
Texas	Texas Tech	Florida
Pinstripe	Pittsburgh	Minnesota
Cheez-It	Notre Dame	Oklahoma St.
Alamo	Texas	Oregon St.
Duke’s Mayo	Wake Forest	Maryland
Tony the Tiger Sun	North Carolina St.	UCLA
Arizona	Toledo	Fresno St.
Orange	Clemson	Alabama
Music City	Illinois	Kentucky
Sugar	LSU	Kansas St.
TaxSlayer	Florida St.	Arkansas
Peach	Georgia	Michigan
Fiesta	Ohio St.	TCU
Reliaquest (Outback)	Iowa	South Carolina
Citrus	Purdue	Mississippi St.
Cotton	Tennessee	Cincinnati
Rose	USC	Penn St.
National Championship	Georgia	Ohio St.

Note: 82 teams are projected to finish bowl eligible, and there are 82 spots available. There is still a chance that a 5-7 team will be needed if there are less than 82 bowl eligible teams.

Teams that figure to finish 5-7 and have the best APR scores to receive a bid include (in order):

Rice

Iowa State

UNLV

Auburn

Michigan State

PiRate Ratings College Football — November 13, 2022

This Week’s Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Toledo	Bowling Green	15.7	16.8	16.6
Ball St.	Ohio	-3.7	-4.8	-5.2
Kent St.	Eastern Michigan	7.1	7.9	7.2
Central Michigan	Western Michigan	4.9	5.9	6.9
Northern Illinois	Miami (O)	6.3	4.8	5.4
Tulane	SMU	2.1	2.3	1.9
Tulsa	South Florida	7.6	7.9	8.0
New Mexico	San Diego St.	-12.4	-12.3	-14.1
Iowa St.	Texas Tech	2.1	2.6	1.4
West Virginia	Kansas St.	-12.6	-11.9	-12.6
Florida St.	Louisiana	28.8	28.0	27.0
Rutgers	Penn St.	-20.2	-21.1	-22.6
South Carolina	Tennessee	-18.5	-19.0	-19.6
Louisville	North Carolina St.	5.0	5.4	5.6
Wake Forest	Syracuse	7.0	7.8	7.8
Pittsburgh	Duke	13.7	10.9	13.2
Michigan St.	Indiana	15.8	15.5	16.2
Liberty	Virginia Tech	7.2	8.1	10.3
Clemson	Miami (Fla)	17.7	18.1	18.9
Maryland	Ohio St.	-20.8	-20.2	-22.3
Michigan	Illinois	19.8	18.7	20.9
Purdue	Northwestern	20.2	18.9	19.8
Virginia	Coastal Carolina	6.6	5.7	3.4
Kentucky	Georgia	-23.9	-22.8	-24.4
Army	Connecticut	11.9	11.0	13.4
East Carolina	Houston	5.8	6.1	6.8
Temple	Cincinnati	-24.1	-22.0	-25.4
Central Florida	Navy	16.8	18.0	18.0
Appalachian St.	Old Dominion	12.9	14.0	14.5
James Madison	Georgia St.	3.9	5.2	5.6
Kansas	Texas	-7.8	-8.1	-8.1
Auburn	Western Kentucky	9.7	8.2	6.9
Minnesota	Iowa	4.9	5.1	6.1
North Carolina	Georgia Tech	20.4	20.8	21.6
Texas A&M	Massachusetts	40.3	39.8	42.1
LSU	UAB	23.1	22.9	21.9
Rice	UTSA	-16.9	-16.4	-17.6
Arizona	Washington St.	-5.8	-6.2	-6.2
Air Force	Colorado St.	23.4	22.3	23.4
Arizona St.	Oregon St.	-6.0	-6.1	-6.4
Utah St.	San Jose St.	-0.7	-0.8	-1.0
Notre Dame	Boston College	21.4	19.7	22.8
California	Stanford	0.5	2.4	2.3
Washington	Colorado	26.3	28.0	28.0
UCLA	USC	-0.6	-0.9	-0.3
Oregon	Utah	0.6	0.7	-0.8
Vanderbilt	Florida	-13.6	-14.0	-15.1
Baylor	TCU	-2.2	-2.2	-2.2
Arkansas	Ole Miss	1.2	1.2	2.4
Southern Miss.	South Alabama	-4.3	-4.4	-5.1
Oklahoma	Oklahoma St.	2.9	3.3	3.1
Nebraska	Wisconsin	-8.7	-8.8	-9.4
Missouri	New Mexico St.	31.3	29.5	30.9
Troy	Louisiana-Monroe	14.2	14.4	15.4
Buffalo	Akron	17.2	18.4	19.1
Charlotte	Louisiana Tech	-2.1	-2.3	-1.4
Middle Tennessee	Florida Atlantic	-4.8	-5.5	-4.4
UTEP	Florida Int’l.	21.8	19.9	22.5
Texas St.	Arkansas St.	4.4	4.3	5.2
Georgia Southern	Marshall	-1.8	-2.7	-1.7
Wyoming	Boise St.	-14.7	-12.6	-14.4
Nevada	Fresno St.	-17.5	-15.7	-18.3
Hawaii	UNLV	-11.7	-9.3	-11.0

FBS vs. FCS Games

FBS	FCS	PiRate
Alabama	Austin Peay	46.9
BYU	Utah Tech	37.7
Mississippi St.	East Tennessee	35.7
Memphis	North Alabama	32.0

Bye Week

North Texas

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

#	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	134.0
2	Ohio St.	133.0
3	Alabama	128.8
4	Michigan	127.8
5	Tennessee	126.9
6	Penn St.	121.7
7	Florida St.	118.8
8	Kansas St.	118.7
9	Utah	118.4
10	T C U	118.1
11	L S U	117.8
12	Clemson	117.7
13	Minnesota	115.7
14	Texas	115.7
15	Oregon	115.6
16	Ole Miss	113.9
17	Notre Dame	113.8
18	Mississippi St.	113.4
19	Wisconsin	113.4
20	Baylor	113.4
21	Iowa	113.4
22	U S C	113.2
23	Purdue	112.7
24	Arkansas	112.5
25	Louisville	112.5
26	Florida	111.6
27	U C L A	111.2
28	Illinois	111.1
29	Oklahoma	111.0
30	Oregon St.	111.0
31	NC State	110.1
32	Michigan St.	110.0
33	Oklahoma St.	109.9
34	North Carolina	109.9
35	Washington	109.5
36	Pittsburgh	109.4
37	Texas Tech	109.4
38	Wake Forest	108.9
39	Maryland	108.8
40	Iowa St.	108.4
41	Texas A&M	108.3
42	Cincinnati	108.3
43	UCF	108.1
44	Washington St.	107.6
45	Kentucky	107.3
46	Boise St.	106.0
47	Auburn	105.6
48	South Carolina	104.9
49	Kansas	104.7
50	SMU	104.0
51	Syracuse	103.8
52	Tulane	103.6
53	BYU	103.5
54	East Carolina	103.5
55	West Virginia	103.3
56	Missouri	103.1
57	Air Force	102.6
58	Miami (Fla.)	102.5
59	Arizona St.	101.9
60	Nebraska	101.4
61	Liberty	100.6
62	Fresno St.	100.4
63	W. Kentucky	100.3
64	Houston	100.2
65	U T S A	100.2
66	Duke	99.8
67	James Madison	98.7
68	Arizona	98.5
69	Memphis	98.4
70	Appalachian St.	98.3
71	U A B	98.1
72	Toledo	98.0
73	Rutgers	97.9
74	California	97.4
75	Stanford	97.2
76	Indiana	97.2
77	Virginia	96.7
78	Georgia St.	96.2
79	Northwestern	96.0
80	Troy	96.0
81	Marshall	95.7
82	South Alabama	95.6
83	Boston College	95.5
84	Army	95.2
85	Vanderbilt	94.9
86	Coastal Carolina	94.5
87	Virginia Tech	94.1
88	Louisiana	93.8
89	San Diego St.	93.8
90	Ohio	93.8
91	San Jose St.	93.7
92	Navy	93.5
93	North Texas	92.5
94	Tulsa	92.5
95	Georgia Tech	92.0
96	N. Illinois	91.8
97	Florida Atlantic	91.8
98	Ga. Southern	91.1
99	Central Mich.	91.0
100	Kent St.	91.0
101	Buffalo	90.8
102	Utah St.	89.9
103	Wyoming	89.1
104	Miami (Ohio)	88.8
105	Southern Miss.	88.5
106	U N L V	87.8
107	USF	87.6
108	Ball St.	87.2
109	Western Mich.	87.1
110	Old Dominion	86.9
111	Eastern Mich.	86.1
112	Connecticut	85.6
113	Colorado	85.1
114	U T E P	84.5
115	Middle Tennessee	84.4
116	UL-Monroe	83.8
117	Bowling Green	83.6
118	Texas St.	83.5
119	Temple	81.9
120	Colorado St.	81.5
121	Arkansas St.	81.3
122	Rice	80.7
123	Nevada	80.3
124	Louisiana Tech	79.5
125	New Mexico	77.9
126	New Mexico St.	75.5
127	Akron	75.1
128	Charlotte	75.0
129	Hawaii	74.1
130	Massachusetts	70.6
131	Florida Int’l.	65.5

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	108.4	107.6	108.8	108.3
UCF	107.6	108.4	108.4	108.1
SMU	104.1	103.5	104.4	104.0
Tulane	103.7	103.3	103.8	103.6
East Carolina	103.3	103.0	104.1	103.5
Houston	100.5	99.8	100.3	100.2
Memphis	98.4	98.6	98.1	98.4
Navy	93.8	93.4	93.4	93.5
Tulsa	93.0	92.2	92.2	92.5
USF	88.4	87.4	87.2	87.6
Temple	81.8	83.0	80.8	81.9
AAC	98.5	98.2	98.3	98.3
Atlantic Coast
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Florida St.	118.9	118.6	118.8	118.8
Clemson	117.8	117.5	117.9	117.7
Louisville	112.8	112.4	112.3	112.5
NC State	110.7	110.0	109.7	110.1
Wake Forest	109.1	108.8	108.7	108.9
Syracuse	104.7	103.5	103.3	103.8
Boston College	95.7	96.3	94.4	95.5
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
North Carolina	110.2	110.2	109.5	109.9
Pittsburgh	110.3	109.3	108.8	109.4
Miami (Fla.)	103.1	102.4	102.0	102.5
Duke	99.5	101.3	98.5	99.8
Virginia	97.3	97.4	95.5	96.7
Virginia Tech	94.7	94.7	92.8	94.1
Georgia Tech	92.8	92.4	90.9	92.0
ACC	105.5	105.3	104.5	105.1
Big 12
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Kansas St.	119.3	118.1	118.7	118.7
T C U	118.7	117.5	118.2	118.1
Texas	116.6	115.6	115.0	115.7
Baylor	114.0	112.8	113.4	113.4
Oklahoma	111.5	110.5	111.1	111.0
Oklahoma St.	110.6	109.2	110.0	109.9
Texas Tech	109.6	108.6	109.9	109.4
Iowa St.	108.7	108.2	108.3	108.4
Kansas	105.8	104.5	104.0	104.7
West Virginia	103.7	103.2	103.1	103.3
Big 12	111.8	110.8	111.2	111.3
Big Ten
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	133.3	132.3	133.4	133.0
Michigan	128.1	127.4	128.0	127.8
Penn St.	121.8	121.7	121.7	121.7
Michigan St.	111.0	109.8	109.2	110.0
Maryland	109.5	109.0	108.1	108.8
Rutgers	99.1	98.1	96.6	97.9
Indiana	98.2	97.3	96.0	97.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Minnesota	116.1	115.4	115.7	115.7
Wisconsin	113.8	113.5	112.9	113.4
Iowa	114.2	113.3	112.6	113.4
Purdue	113.5	112.7	111.8	112.7
Illinois	111.4	111.7	110.2	111.1
Nebraska	102.1	101.7	100.6	101.4
Northwestern	96.3	96.8	95.0	96.0
Big Ten	112.0	111.5	110.8	111.4
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
W. Kentucky	99.7	99.8	101.4	100.3
U T S A	100.1	99.6	100.7	100.2
U A B	97.8	97.7	98.9	98.1
North Texas	92.1	92.0	93.3	92.5
Florida Atlantic	91.5	92.6	91.2	91.8
U T E P	84.6	84.5	84.2	84.5
Middle Tennessee	84.2	84.6	84.3	84.4
Rice	80.7	80.7	80.6	80.7
Louisiana Tech	79.4	80.3	78.7	79.5
Charlotte	74.8	75.5	74.8	75.0
Florida Int’l.	65.3	67.1	64.2	65.5
CUSA	86.4	86.8	86.6	86.6
Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	114.2	112.9	114.2	113.8
BYU	104.0	102.7	103.8	103.5
Liberty	99.9	100.9	101.0	100.6
Army	94.9	95.3	95.5	95.2
Connecticut	85.5	86.8	84.6	85.6
New Mexico St.	75.0	76.9	74.6	75.5
Massachusetts	70.8	71.7	69.3	70.6
Independents	92.0	92.5	91.9	92.1
Mid-American
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio	92.3	94.6	94.4	93.8
Kent St.	90.4	92.0	90.6	91.0
Buffalo	89.6	91.6	91.3	90.8
Miami (Ohio)	87.8	89.7	88.9	88.8
Bowling Green	83.7	83.5	83.6	83.6
Akron	74.9	75.7	74.6	75.1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	97.4	98.3	98.2	98.0
N. Illinois	91.6	92.0	91.8	91.8
Central Mich.	89.6	91.4	92.0	91.0
Ball St.	86.6	87.9	87.3	87.2
Western Mich.	86.7	87.5	87.1	87.1
Eastern Mich.	85.8	86.5	85.9	86.1
MAC	88.0	89.2	88.8	88.7
Mountain West
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	105.9	105.5	106.7	106.0
Air Force	102.4	102.3	103.1	102.6
Utah St.	89.8	89.9	90.0	89.9
Wyoming	88.2	89.9	89.3	89.1
Colorado St.	81.1	82.0	81.6	81.5
New Mexico	78.4	78.2	77.0	77.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	100.4	99.9	100.9	100.4
San Diego St.	93.8	93.4	94.1	93.8
San Jose St.	93.4	93.7	94.0	93.7
U N L V	88.0	86.8	88.4	87.8
Nevada	80.0	81.2	79.6	80.3
Hawaii	73.4	74.6	74.4	74.1
MWC	89.6	89.8	89.9	89.8
Pac-12
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	118.2	117.6	119.5	118.4
Oregon	115.8	115.3	115.7	115.6
U S C	112.8	113.1	113.8	113.2
U C L A	110.8	110.7	112.0	111.2
Oregon St.	110.9	110.4	111.7	111.0
Washington	109.2	109.4	110.0	109.5
Washington St.	107.1	107.5	108.1	107.6
Arizona St.	101.9	101.4	102.3	101.9
Arizona	98.3	98.3	98.9	98.5
California	97.2	97.2	97.9	97.4
Stanford	98.2	96.4	97.0	97.2
Colorado	85.8	84.4	85.0	85.1
Pac-12	105.5	105.1	106.0	105.5
Southeastern
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	133.9	133.1	134.9	134.0
Tennessee	126.6	126.7	127.5	126.9
Florida	111.0	112.2	111.7	111.6
Kentucky	107.0	107.3	107.5	107.3
South Carolina	105.1	104.8	104.9	104.9
Missouri	103.2	103.4	102.5	103.1
Vanderbilt	94.9	95.6	94.1	94.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	128.9	128.0	129.4	128.8
L S U	118.0	117.5	117.8	117.8
Ole Miss	114.7	113.4	113.7	113.9
Mississippi St.	114.3	112.9	113.2	113.4
Arkansas	112.9	111.6	113.1	112.5
Texas A&M	108.1	108.4	108.4	108.3
Auburn	106.4	105.0	105.3	105.6
SEC	113.2	112.9	113.1	113.1
Sunbelt
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
James Madison	97.1	98.5	100.4	98.7
Appalachian St.	97.3	98.4	99.0	98.3
Georgia St.	95.7	95.7	97.3	96.2
Marshall	95.0	96.0	96.0	95.7
Coastal Carolina	93.7	94.7	95.1	94.5
Ga. Southern	90.8	90.8	91.8	91.1
Old Dominion	86.9	86.9	87.0	86.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Troy	95.2	95.8	96.9	96.0
South Alabama	94.7	95.4	96.6	95.6
Louisiana	93.1	93.6	94.7	93.8
Southern Miss.	87.9	88.5	89.0	88.5
UL-Monroe	83.5	84.0	83.9	83.8
Texas St.	82.7	83.8	83.9	83.5
Arkansas St.	80.8	82.0	81.2	81.3
Sun Belt	91.0	91.7	92.4	91.7

Conference Ratings

#	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	113.1
2	Big Ten	111.4
3	Big 12	111.3
4	Pac-12	105.5
5	Atlantic Coast	105.1
6	American Athletic	98.3
7	Independents	92.1
8	Sun Belt	91.7
9	Mountain West	89.8
10	Mid-American	88.7
11	Conference USA	86.6

Bowl Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	Western Kentucky	Ohio
Cure	Troy	Tulane
Fenway	Syracuse	Cincinnati
New Mexico	North Texas	Wyoming
L.A.	Washington	Fresno St.
Lending Tree	Middle Tennessee	Louisiana
Las Vegas	Oregon	Mississippi St.
Frisco	South Alabama	San Jose St.
Myrtle Beach	Coastal Carolina	Liberty
Famous Idaho Potato	Ball St.	Utah St.
Boca Raton	Marshall	Connecticut
New Orleans	Florida Atlantic	Appalachian St.
Armed Forces	Houston	UAB
Independence	SMU	UNLV
Gasparilla	Miami (Fla.)	Maryland
Hawaii	UTSA	Boise St.
Quick Lane	Wisconsin	Eastern Michigan
Camellia	Buffalo	Georgia Southern
First Responder	Arizona	San Diego St.
Birmingham	Louisville	Memphis
Guaranteed Rate	Kansas	Michigan St.
Military	Wake Forest	East Carolina
Liberty	Baylor	Kentucky
Holiday	Notre Dame	UCLA
Texas	Texas Tech	Missouri
Pinstripe	Pittsburgh	Minnesota
Cheez-It	North Carolina	Texas
Alamo	Oklahoma St.	Washington St.
Duke’s Mayo	Duke	Iowa
Tony the Tiger Sun	North Carolina St.	Oregon St.
Arizona	Toledo	Air Force
Orange	Clemson	Alabama
Music City	Illinois	BYU
Sugar	LSU	Kansas St.
TaxSlayer	Florida St.	South Carolina
Peach	Georgia	Tennessee
Fiesta	Ohio St.	TCU
Reliaquest (Outback)	Purdue	Florida
Citrus	Penn St.	Ole Miss
Cotton	Utah	Central Florida
Rose	USC	Michigan
National Championship	Georgia	Ohio St.

PiRate Ratings College Football–November 6, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Akron	Eastern Michigan	-9.1	-9.3	-9.9
Miami (O)	Ohio	0.8	0.4	0.0
Toledo	Ball St.	13.7	13.6	14.4
Western Michigan	Northern Illinois	-2.5	-2.0	-2.2
Central Michigan	Buffalo	2.3	1.8	2.6
Bowling Green	Kent St.	1.1	-0.7	1.2
Memphis	Tulsa	6.7	7.7	6.8
Louisiana	Georgia Southern	2.1	2.3	2.3
Cincinnati	East Carolina	8.6	8.3	8.5
USC	Colorado	28.0	29.9	29.8
UNLV	Fresno St.	-10.1	-11.1	-10.6
Wake Forest	North Carolina	1.6	1.2	1.8
Syracuse	Florida St.	-5.2	-5.8	-5.9
Connecticut	Liberty	-16.5	-16.3	-19.3
Duke	Virginia Tech	5.2	7.1	5.7
Navy (Bal)	Notre Dame	-22.7	-21.9	-23.8
West Virginia	Oklahoma	-6.8	-6.6	-7.4
Virginia	Pittsburgh	-7.6	-6.6	-7.5
Ohio St.	Indiana	37.7	37.4	40.2
Tennessee	Missouri	23.1	22.9	24.6
Penn St.	Maryland	12.1	12.1	12.9
North Carolina St.	Boston College	22.3	20.8	23.2
Florida	South Carolina	3.8	5.4	4.2
Kentucky	Vanderbilt	19.7	19.5	21.6
Michigan	Nebraska	28.8	28.5	30.3
Georgia Tech	Miami (Fla.)	-5.0	-4.2	-5.3
Clemson	Louisville	7.3	7.1	7.4
Texas Tech	Kansas	5.7	5.7	7.7
South Florida	SMU	-12.8	-13.2	-14.4
Coastal Carolina	Southern Miss.	9.2	9.7	9.9
Georgia St.	Louisiana-Monroe	18.1	17.9	20.1
Marshall	Appalachian St.	0.1	-0.2	-1.2
Old Dominion	James Madison	-2.6	-4.0	-6.0
Tulane	Central Florida	-0.5	-1.3	-0.8
Minnesota	Northwestern	22.4	20.8	23.1
Illinois	Purdue	2.3	3.9	3.4
South Alabama	Texas St.	14.3	13.6	14.8
Michigan St.	Rutgers	16.1	16.1	17.4
Houston	Temple	23.8	21.7	25.2
Baylor	Kansas St.	3.7	3.9	4.1
Arkansas St.	Massachusetts	14.1	14.6	16.6
Western Kentucky	Rice	18.3	18.2	19.9
Utah	Stanford	20.4	21.6	22.9
Washington St.	Arizona St.	8.0	8.9	8.6
Oregon St.	California	14.1	13.2	13.6
Oregon	Washington	12.4	11.6	11.9
UCLA	Arizona	19.4	19.5	20.6
San Diego St.	San Jose St.	-0.2	-1.2	-0.9
Texas	TCU	4.2	4.5	3.4
Auburn	Texas A&M	1.0	-0.9	-0.8
Troy	Army	3.5	4.1	5.4
Ole Miss	Alabama	-11.6	-12.4	-13.9
Oklahoma St.	Iowa St.	4.7	3.4	4.1
Iowa	Wisconsin	1.1	0.2	0.0
Arkansas	LSU	-1.8	-2.6	-1.5
Mississippi St.	Georgia	-14.2	-14.6	-16.1
Air Force	New Mexico	26.7	26.5	28.6
Middle Tennessee	Charlotte	12.1	11.8	12.6
UAB	North Texas	5.4	5.2	4.9
UTSA	Louisiana Tech	18.3	16.5	19.4
Colorado St.	Wyoming	-5.4	-6.3	-6.3
Florida Int’l.	Florida Atlantic	-19.9	-18.8	-20.3
Nevada	Boise St.	-20.0	-18.0	-21.0
Hawaii	Utah St.	-13.8	-12.7	-13.4

FBS vs. FCS Game

FBS	FCS	PiRate
New Mexico St.	Lamar	18.2

Teams With Byes

BYU

UTEP

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Note: Our ratings are not reward based on what the teams have done so far. They are predictive in nature, meant to be used for the following week to predict the outcome of games. Thus, a two-loss team is ranked number three over a one-loss team that beat them. Do not confuse power ratings for rankings like the AP, COaches, and Playoff Polls.

#	Team	Rating
1	Ohio St.	132.8
2	Georgia	132.7
3	Alabama	129.2
4	Michigan	127.6
5	Tennessee	125.3
6	Penn St.	119.8
7	L S U	117.5
8	Texas	117.3
9	Clemson	117.2
10	Utah	117.1
11	Oregon	117.1
12	Baylor	116.5
13	T C U	116.2
14	Florida St.	116.0
15	Kansas St.	115.6
16	Notre Dame	115.6
17	Minnesota	115.4
18	Mississippi St.	114.7
19	Wisconsin	114.5
20	Ole Miss	113.5
21	U C L A	113.1
22	Louisville	113.0
23	NC State	112.7
24	Arkansas	112.5
25	U S C	112.3
26	Oklahoma	112.2
27	Iowa	112.0
28	Illinois	111.8
29	Purdue	111.6
30	Michigan St.	110.7
31	Maryland	110.4
32	Oklahoma St.	109.7
33	Kentucky	109.7
34	North Carolina	109.6
35	Oregon St.	109.5
36	Wake Forest	109.2
37	Florida	109.0
38	Cincinnati	108.8
39	Texas Tech	108.7
40	Texas A&M	108.7
41	Iowa St.	108.6
42	Pittsburgh	108.4
43	Washington	108.1
44	South Carolina	107.6
45	Washington St.	107.5
46	UCF	107.4
47	Syracuse	107.3
48	Auburn	105.5
49	Kansas	105.4
50	Missouri	104.7
51	Boise St.	104.2
52	Tulane	104.0
53	SMU	103.8
54	East Carolina	103.3
55	BYU	103.2
56	Liberty	103.1
57	Air Force	102.4
58	West Virginia	102.3
59	Arizona St.	102.0
60	Houston	101.5
61	Nebraska	101.4
62	Miami (Fla.)	101.2
63	Fresno St.	100.6
64	California	98.9
65	Appalachian St.	98.7
66	Duke	98.7
67	W. Kentucky	98.6
68	Stanford	98.5
69	Toledo	98.3
70	Georgia St.	98.1
71	Virginia	98.1
72	Memphis	97.7
73	U T S A	97.5
74	Indiana	97.4
75	Rutgers	97.2
76	U A B	96.6
77	Northwestern	96.3
78	Arizona	96.3
79	Troy	96.3
80	James Madison	95.9
81	Virginia Tech	95.7
82	South Alabama	95.4
83	San Jose St.	95.4
84	Marshall	95.3
85	Army	94.9
86	Coastal Carolina	94.8
87	North Texas	94.0
88	Boston College	93.6
89	Georgia Tech	93.3
90	Tulsa	93.1
91	Ga. Southern	92.6
92	Vanderbilt	92.5
93	Louisiana	92.3
94	Navy	92.2
95	San Diego St.	92.1
96	Ohio	92.1
97	N. Illinois	91.8
98	Buffalo	91.0
99	Central Mich.	90.8
100	Miami (Ohio)	90.5
101	Utah St.	90.2
102	Old Dominion	89.7
103	Wyoming	89.3
104	Florida Atlantic	89.2
105	Southern Miss.	88.2
106	Kent St.	88.0
107	USF	87.8
108	U N L V	87.5
109	Western Mich.	87.1
110	Ball St.	86.9
111	Bowling Green	86.6
112	Eastern Mich.	86.3
113	Colorado	86.0
114	Middle Tennessee	84.5
115	U T E P	84.3
116	Texas St.	83.7
117	Connecticut	83.2
118	Rice	82.3
119	Arkansas St.	82.3
120	Nevada	82.1
121	UL-Monroe	81.9
122	Louisiana Tech	81.9
123	Colorado St.	81.3
124	Temple	80.9
125	New Mexico	78.1
126	Charlotte	74.9
127	Akron	74.9
128	New Mexico St.	74.8
129	Hawaii	73.8
130	Massachusetts	69.7
131	Florida Int’l.	68.1

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	108.8	108.1	109.4	108.8
UCF	107.0	107.6	107.6	107.4
Tulane	104.0	103.8	104.3	104.0
SMU	103.9	103.3	104.2	103.8
East Carolina	103.2	102.8	103.8	103.3
Houston	101.7	100.9	101.8	101.5
Memphis	97.8	98.0	97.3	97.7
Tulsa	93.6	92.8	93.0	93.1
Navy	92.6	92.2	91.9	92.2
USF	88.6	87.6	87.4	87.8
Temple	80.9	82.2	79.6	80.9
AAC	98.4	98.1	98.2	98.2
Atlantic Coast
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	117.4	117.0	117.3	117.2
Florida St.	116.2	115.8	115.9	116.0
Louisville	113.2	112.9	112.9	113.0
NC State	113.2	112.4	112.5	112.7
Wake Forest	109.4	109.1	109.0	109.2
Syracuse	108.1	107.0	106.9	107.3
Boston College	93.9	94.6	92.3	93.6
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
North Carolina	109.9	109.9	109.2	109.6
Pittsburgh	109.3	108.3	107.6	108.4
Miami (Fla.)	101.9	101.0	100.6	101.2
Duke	98.4	100.3	97.2	98.7
Virginia	98.6	98.7	97.0	98.1
Virginia Tech	96.3	96.2	94.6	95.7
Georgia Tech	94.0	93.8	92.3	93.3
ACC	105.7	105.5	104.7	105.3
Big 12
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Texas	118.1	117.2	116.6	117.3
Baylor	117.0	115.9	116.6	116.5
T C U	116.9	115.6	116.3	116.2
Kansas St.	116.3	115.0	115.5	115.6
Oklahoma	112.6	111.7	112.4	112.2
Oklahoma St.	110.5	108.9	109.7	109.7
Texas Tech	109.0	107.9	109.3	108.7
Iowa St.	108.8	108.5	108.6	108.6
Kansas	106.4	105.2	104.6	105.4
West Virginia	102.8	102.2	102.0	102.3
Big 12	111.8	110.8	111.2	111.3
Big Ten
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	133.1	132.0	133.3	132.8
Michigan	127.9	127.2	127.8	127.6
Penn St.	120.0	119.8	119.7	119.8
Michigan St.	111.6	110.5	110.1	110.7
Maryland	111.0	110.6	109.8	110.4
Indiana	98.4	97.6	96.1	97.4
Rutgers	98.5	97.4	95.7	97.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Minnesota	115.9	115.0	115.4	115.4
Wisconsin	114.8	114.6	114.1	114.5
Iowa	112.9	111.9	111.1	112.0
Illinois	112.0	112.5	111.1	111.8
Purdue	112.6	111.6	110.6	111.6
Nebraska	102.1	101.7	100.6	101.4
Northwestern	96.5	97.2	95.3	96.3
Big Ten	112.0	111.4	110.8	111.4
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
W. Kentucky	98.1	98.1	99.7	98.6
U T S A	97.5	96.8	98.0	97.5
U A B	96.4	96.2	97.3	96.6
North Texas	93.5	93.5	94.9	94.0
Florida Atlantic	89.1	90.0	88.6	89.2
Middle Tennessee	84.3	84.7	84.6	84.5
U T E P	84.4	84.3	84.0	84.3
Rice	82.3	82.4	82.3	82.3
Louisiana Tech	81.7	82.8	81.1	81.9
Charlotte	74.7	75.4	74.5	74.9
Florida Int’l.	67.7	69.7	66.8	68.1
CUSA	86.3	86.7	86.5	86.5
Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	115.9	114.6	116.2	115.6
BYU	103.7	102.4	103.5	103.2
Liberty	102.2	103.3	103.7	103.1
Army	94.8	95.0	95.0	94.9
Connecticut	83.2	84.4	81.9	83.2
New Mexico St.	74.3	76.2	73.9	74.8
Massachusetts	70.0	70.8	68.2	69.7
Independents	92.0	92.4	91.8	92.1
Mid-American
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio	90.7	92.9	92.6	92.1
Buffalo	89.7	91.9	91.6	91.0
Miami (Ohio)	89.4	91.4	90.7	90.5
Kent St.	87.5	89.1	87.5	88.0
Bowling Green	86.6	86.4	86.7	86.6
Akron	74.8	75.5	74.3	74.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	97.6	98.6	98.7	98.3
N. Illinois	91.6	92.0	91.8	91.8
Central Mich.	89.5	91.1	91.7	90.8
Western Mich.	86.7	87.5	87.1	87.1
Ball St.	86.4	87.6	86.8	86.9
Eastern Mich.	85.9	86.7	86.2	86.3
MAC	88.0	89.2	88.8	88.7
Mountain West
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	104.2	103.6	104.9	104.2
Air Force	102.2	102.0	102.9	102.4
Utah St.	90.0	90.1	90.4	90.2
Wyoming	88.3	90.1	89.6	89.3
Colorado St.	81.0	81.8	81.3	81.3
New Mexico	78.6	78.5	77.2	78.1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	100.5	100.2	101.2	100.6
San Jose St.	94.9	95.4	95.8	95.4
San Diego St.	92.3	91.7	92.3	92.1
U N L V	87.9	86.5	88.1	87.5
Nevada	81.7	83.1	81.4	82.1
Hawaii	73.2	74.4	74.0	73.8
MWC	89.6	89.8	89.9	89.8
Pac-12
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	116.9	116.3	118.2	117.1
Oregon	117.2	116.7	117.3	117.1
U C L A	112.6	112.6	114.1	113.1
U S C	111.8	112.2	112.8	112.3
Oregon St.	109.6	108.9	110.1	109.5
Washington	107.8	108.0	108.4	108.1
Washington St.	107.0	107.4	108.0	107.5
Arizona St.	102.0	101.5	102.4	102.0
California	98.5	98.7	99.5	98.9
Stanford	99.5	97.7	98.3	98.5
Arizona	96.2	96.1	96.5	96.3
Colorado	86.8	85.3	86.0	86.0
Pac-12	105.5	105.1	106.0	105.5
Southeastern
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	132.7	131.8	133.6	132.7
Tennessee	125.0	125.0	125.8	125.3
Kentucky	109.3	109.7	110.1	109.7
Florida	108.4	109.7	108.9	109.0
South Carolina	107.7	107.3	107.7	107.6
Missouri	104.8	105.1	104.2	104.7
Vanderbilt	92.6	93.2	91.5	92.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	129.1	128.4	130.0	129.2
L S U	117.7	117.2	117.5	117.5
Mississippi St.	115.5	114.2	114.5	114.7
Ole Miss	114.5	113.0	113.1	113.5
Arkansas	112.9	111.6	113.1	112.5
Texas A&M	108.4	108.8	108.9	108.7
Auburn	106.4	104.9	105.1	105.5
SEC	113.2	112.9	113.1	113.1
Sunbelt
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Appalachian St.	97.6	98.8	99.6	98.7
Georgia St.	97.4	97.5	99.4	98.1
James Madison	94.3	95.7	97.7	95.9
Marshall	94.7	95.6	95.4	95.3
Coastal Carolina	93.9	95.0	95.5	94.8
Ga. Southern	92.2	92.3	93.4	92.6
Old Dominion	89.7	89.7	89.7	89.7
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Troy	95.3	96.1	97.4	96.3
South Alabama	94.6	95.1	96.4	95.4
Louisiana	91.7	92.1	93.1	92.3
Southern Miss.	87.7	88.2	88.6	88.2
Texas St.	82.8	84.1	84.1	83.7
Arkansas St.	81.6	82.9	82.3	82.3
UL-Monroe	81.8	82.2	81.8	81.9
Sun Belt	91.1	91.8	92.5	91.8

Conference Ratings

#	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	113.1
2	Big Ten	111.4
3	Big 12	111.3
4	Pac-12	105.5
5	Atlantic Coast	105.3
6	American Athletic	98.2
7	Independents	92.1
8	Sun Belt	91.8
9	Mountain West	89.8
10	Mid-American	88.7
11	Conference USA	86.5

Playoff & Bowl Projections

Four weeks from today, the College Football Playoffs and Postseason Bowl Game participants will be revealed to the public.  With less than a month to go, it’s time to take a more in-depth look at where things stand and where they might go.

The Playoff Race

After yesterday’s Georgia-Tennessee, Alabama-LSU, and Notre Dame-Clemson games played, it left three teams in the clear-cut lead to be in the top four this week.  Georgia has now penned the lone losses on Oregon and Tennessee, and the Bulldogs will ascend to number one.  Ohio State won ugly at Northwestern yesterday, but they played in severe weather.  Michigan once again spotted an opponent an early lead and then steamrolled Rutgers by four touchdowns.  Those three teams will be in the Big Four on Tuesday.  Who will be number four?  We believe it will be Tennessee, as losing at the new number one team by two touchdowns definitely tops Oregon’s blowout loss in Atlanta to the same team.  Should TCU be in the mix?  They most definitely should, but as so many media experts explain, their name drops them a couple spots in the rankings, just like Cincinnati last year at this time.  If the Horned Frogs win out with three tough games to go, they almost assuredly would move into the top four, but that’s a big if, and at the present time, having watched TCU play most of their games, we don’t see this team sitting at 13-0 on December 4.

If we have to make a wild guess, we will say that Georgia will easily win out in the regular season, even if their game in Starkville this week may be a trap game.  We cannot see any of Tennessee’s final three opponents competing against the Vols.  Georgia stopped their offense, because the Bulldogs have a defense not that much weaker than the Detroit Lions (probably more future Pro Bowl players than the Lions).  Neither Ohio State nor Michigan have much in their way prior to the big game at the Giant Horseshoe.  It won’t be popular, but a Big Ten-SEC Challenge in the Playoffs could be in the offing.  As of today, we have Georgia playing Michigan in the Peach Bowl, and Ohio State playing Tennessee in the Fiesta Bowl.  Oregon might win out and finish 12-1 and have to settle for the Rose Bowl.  We can see TCU actually losing twice in the next month, and maybe having to settle for the Cotton Bowl or even the Alamo Bowl, depending on what UCLA or USC does out West.

The New Year’s Six

One thing that happened this weekend was the elimination of Alabama and most likely Clemson from the Playoff picture.  With LSU’s win, the Tigers have a tough rebound game at Arkansas, and if Brian Kelly can lead the Bayou Bengals into Fayetteville and win, they almost have the SEC West clinched.  At 10-2 and a loss to Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, we believe the Sugar Bowl will take them in a heartbeat.  Where would that leave a 10-2 Alabama?  We think they would still get an Orange Bowl bid, where they might face their former nemesis Clemson.  The Rose Bowl would get the Pac-12 champion that would not be Playoff bound, so we’ll slot Oregon in there for now but not rule out the winner of the USC-UCLA game.  That leaves the Cotton Bowl.  The Group of Five team that finishes the highest in the ratings will automatically get a bid here.  If that bid was extended today, the Tulane Green Wave would receive it, but TU must beat Central Florida, Cincinnati, and then one of those two again in the AAC Championship Game to get to 12-1 and secure the bid.  Should TU falter, and we think that’s a very high possibility, the next team in line, one that strengthened their resume with a road win against an SEC team, would be Liberty, if the Flames win out (a much higher probability than Tulane).  The last at-large team in the field would most likely be Penn State at 10-2, but the number two team in the Pac-12 could beat the Nittany Lions out.  With losses to just two teams that we pick to be in the Playoffs, we’d go with Penn State to edge out any two-loss Pac-12 team.

American Athletic

As we previously mentioned, we do not see Tulane winning out, and should the Green Wave lose to both Central Florida and Cincinnati, they won’t even make the AAC Championship Game.  If they beat UCF in New Orleans, they would have to beat Cinti in consecutive weeks to get there, once in the Queen City and then once in the Crescent City.  If the Bearcats win out, and Tulane beats UCF, then Cinti would host Tulane in consecutive weeks.  If UCF wins out, and Cincinnati tops Tulane, then the Bearcats would have to go to Orlando in the conference championship game.

Elsewhere in the AAC, with SMU’s record-setting basketball score win over Houston, the Mustangs are almost a lock to get a bowl bid.  East Carolina is already bowl eligible.  Houston and Memphis have work to do, but the schedule is favorable for both.  As for the Cougars, Dana Holgersen may not be coaching the team by bowl season.

Atlantic Coast & Notre Dame

A half-dozen teams will have to lose games before Clemson has a remote chance to sneak into the playoffs, assuming the Tigers can win out.  If they play like they have the last few weeks, beating North Carolina in the ACC Championship Game would be 50-50 at best, and they might even be vulnerable against South Carolina in the regular season finale.  At best, CU can hope for another ACC title and a trip to the Orange Bowl.  North Carolina may be the weakest 1-loss team from a Power 5 Conference since the 20th Century.  The Tar Heels keep coming up with fourth quarter heroics to be mediocre teams.  We don’t believe Mack Brown’s Heels can make it to a New Year’s Bowl Game, and they need to finish better than one game ahead of Notre Dame just to get the Cheez-it Bowl bid.

Notre Dame can receive any of the ACC’s allotted bowl bids after the Orange Bowl as long as their won-loss record is within one game of the next highest ACC team.  If the Irish lose to USC and finish 9-3, they will be able to jump over a 10-2 team, but not an 11-2 team.  What better bowl to send the Irish to in December than one in Boston?  They’d sell out Fenway Park like a Yankees-Red Sox game in October.

With Notre Dame, this league figures to have 10 bowl eligible teams, which means all the first tier bowl bids will be taken, and one second tier bowl bid will be used.  We believe the Gasparilla Bowl will get the final ACC team.

Big 12

Had Texas been able to edge Alabama in September and not lose their star QB for a few games, the Longhorns might be in the Playoff mix.  The best the Longhorns can do now is to play spoiler and knock TCU out of the Playoff mix.  If Quinn Ewers can remain healthy and not have another three interception day like he did against Oklahoma State, the Longhorns might win out and become Big 12 Champions, getting a Sugar Bowl bid.

TCU must beat Texas and Baylor and then whoever makes the Big 12 Championship Game in order to get to the necessary 13-0 they will need to make the Playoffs, and it looks like too much of a longshot.  It is going to be rough just getting to the Sugar Bowl, and two losses most likely banishes the Frogs to the Alamo Bowl.

Elsewhere in the league, Kansas has now assured themselves of their first bowl bid in 14 years.  Texas Tech and Iowa State are now fighting it out for the last bowl bid in this league, and we believe there will be eight teams playing in the postseason.  If no Big 12 team gets to the Playoffs, there will be one extra team to fill in as an at-large bowl participant, and it is our belief that they will replace a spot that the SEC cannot fill.

Big Ten

We show three of the bowl eligible teams playing in either the Playoffs or New Year’s Six, so Ohio State, Michigan, and Penn State being taken off the table means the other New Year’s Day games against SEC teams will have lesser teams.  The Citrus Bowl is likely to go to the West Division Champion that will then get clobbered in the Big Ten Championship Game.  At the moment, even with a loss this weekend, Illinois has the upper hand.  The Reliaquest (Outback) bowl bid would then probably go to the West Division runner-up. 

There should be 10 Bowl Eligible teams with many of the also-rans beating up on each other, so the Big Ten will be able to fill its allotment all the way down to the Quick Lane Bowl.  That requires Michigan State to win two more games, but we think Sparty does that.

Conference USA

It is the weakest overall conference in FBS football, but geography is on CUSA’s side.  This year, the two best teams are in the Lone Star State as UTSA and North Texas have moved to the top of the standings and figure to play in the title game.  Western Kentucky, Rice, Florida Atlantic, and Middle Tennessee are quite mediocre, but all four could end up with six losses and become bowl eligible.  The last bowl bid available figures to come down to the number six CUSA team and the number eight Mountain West team.  Because that final bowl spot is likely to be from a game east of the Mississippi River, a 6-6 CUSA team should get in over a 6-6 MWC team.

Independents

Notre Dame is not counted as an independent since they can receive an ACC bid.  Army and BYU are guaranteed bowl bids if they are bowl eligible.  BYU should sneak in, but Army is looking at a potential 5-7 or 4-8 season.

Liberty will get a bowl bid, and if the Flames win out, they could be feeling some soft Cotton in Texas.  The big surprise team that few people have taken notice to since September is Connecticut.  The Huskies could very well become bowl eligible in Jim Mora Jr.’s first season in Storrs.

Mid-American

Toledo frequently appears to be the most talented team in the MAC, but the Rockets always stub their toes and fail to win the conference championship.  They will have to look hard for something to bang their feet on this year.  Losing another game would be a major Rocket malfunction.  The rest of this league has a lot of parity, but there should be seven bowl eligible teams the first Sunday in December.  All seven will get bowl bids.  The question is, “who will be forced to spend December in Boise?”

Mountain West

This has been another down year in the MWC, and with rumors swirling that more than one team could be moving to the Pac-12 or even Big 12, this league has lost some prestige.  Having Boise State no longer be great has hurt it even more.  The Broncos lost to a so-so BYU team Saturday, and their upcoming game at Wyoming may determine the Mountain Division champion.  Air Force and Utah State should also receive bowl bids on this side of the Rockies.

On the West side, Fresno State started slowly but is 10 to 14 points better than they were in early September.  San Jose State can still win the division, but the Bulldogs look like they have this race under control.  San Diego State also figures to be bowl eligible on this side.  Once considered a contender for the division title, UNLV is looking at a 6-6 record and quite possibly becoming the lone bowl eligible team that does not receive an invitation.

Pac-12

Too much parity has been the bane of this league for several years.  This year, there is a big division of haves and have-nots, and it likely means that the league will do no better than place a team in the Rose Bowl.  Oregon’s 40+ point loss to Georgia cannot be overlooked, and if the Ducks win out and finish 12-1, two or three teams ahead of the Ducks today will have to lose.  It won’t be easy for Oregon to win out.

UCLA, USC, and Utah are still in the mix for the Pac-12 title, and all three are talented enough to beat Oregon in December.  If UCLA or USC wins out and Oregon wins out, the loser of the Pac-12 Championship Game would still have a fair chance at receiving the Cotton Bowl bid as the last NY6 team.

Oregon State, Washington, and Washington State will also be bowl eligible and will satisfy the rest of the league allotment with no extra teams.  Oregon State could play spoiler in the Civil War game with the Ducks.

SEC

The overwhelming power of this league is most likely to leave the conference one team short of filling its bowl spots.  We see Georgia and Tennessee both making the playoff, and we see LSU and Alabama both getting NY6 bids.  We also see just 10 SEC teams becoming bowl eligible now that Texas A&M has collapsed and Arkansas tripped up at home against Liberty.  The Arkansas-Missouri winner on the final weekend should get the final bowl bid.  As of today, we have the Music City Bowl being the odd bowl out needing an at-large team, and the Big 12 is full of teams with fans that would love some country music during the holidays.

Sun Belt

The SBC pecking order is unique, and it is difficult to place teams in bowls because of it.  ESPN gets the first choice of teams to place in one of the bowl games they sponsor.  It doesn’t have to be the number one team in the league, just the number one choice.  Next, the New Orleans Bowl gets to choose its team after ESPN has taken its first choice.  The 3rd and 4th teams once again are chosen by ESPN for their bowls, and then the 5th team is chosen by the Lending Tree Bowl.  There figures to be seven bowl eligible teams from this league, which is fast becoming the second best G5 conference.  All seven will receive bids.

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	Florida Atlantic	Bowling Green
Cure	South Alabama	Air Force
Fenway	Notre Dame	Cincinnati
New Mexico	Rice	San Jose St.
L.A.	Washington St.	Fresno St.
Lending Tree	Buffalo	Georgia Southern
Las Vegas	USC	Kentucky
Frisco	BYU	San Diego St.
Myrtle Beach	Ball St.	Appalachian St.
Famous Idaho Potato	Eastern Michigan	Utah St.
Boca Raton	Marshall	Connecticut
New Orleans	Western Kentucky	Coastal Carolina
Armed Forces	Tulane	UTSA
Independence	East Carolina	Southern Miss.
Gasparilla	Louisville	Houston
Hawaii	North Texas	Boise St.
Quick Lane	Michigan St.	Miami (O)
Camellia	Toledo	Troy
First Responder	Kansas	SMU
Birmingham	Memphis	Middle Tennessee
Guaranteed Rate	Oklahoma St.	Purdue
Military	Wake Forest	Central Florida
Liberty	Baylor	South Carolina
Holiday	Duke	Washington
Texas	Oklahoma	Missouri
Pinstripe	Pittsburgh	Wisconsin
Cheez-It	North Carolina	Kansas St.
Alamo	TCU	Utah
Duke’s Mayo	North Carolina St.	Maryland
Tony the Tiger Sun	Syracuse	Oregon St.
Arizona	Ohio U	Wyoming
Orange	Clemson	Alabama
Music City	Iowa	Texas Tech
Sugar	LSU	Texas
TaxSlayer	Florida St.	Mississippi St.
Peach	Georgia	Michigan
Fiesta	Ohio St.	Tennessee
Reliaquest (Outback)	Minnesota	Florida
Citrus	Illinois	Ole Miss
Cotton	UCLA	Liberty
Rose	Oregon	Penn St.
National Championship	Georgia	Ohio St.

PiRate Ratings College Football — October 30, 2022

This Week’s Games

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Kent St.	Ball St.	6.4	7.0	6.4
Ohio	Buffalo	-0.4	-0.4	-0.6
Northern Illinois	Central Michigan	8.6	7.4	6.6
Bowling Green	Western Michigan	2.2	1.0	1.5
Rice	UTEP	0.0	0.0	0.0
Coastal Carolina	Appalachian St.	-2.1	-2.3	-2.8
Boston College	Duke	-1.6	-2.9	-1.6
Connecticut	Massachusetts	15.7	16.2	16.1
Washington	Oregon St.	1.0	1.9	1.1
Army (N)	Air Force	-7.6	-7.2	-8.1
Virginia	North Carolina	-8.7	-8.9	-10.2
Rutgers	Michigan	-24.2	-24.3	-27.0
North Carolina St.	Wake Forest	6.1	5.2	5.3
Miami (Fla.)	Florida St.	-5.0	-5.5	-6.0
Virginia Tech	Georgia Tech	5.8	6.1	6.2
Purdue	Iowa	7.0	7.2	7.2
Indiana	Penn St.	-15.4	-16.0	-17.3
Louisville	James Madison	21.6	19.6	17.2
Pittsburgh	Syracuse	3.1	3.0	1.9
Kansas	Oklahoma St.	-6.4	-6.3	-7.8
Cincinnati	Navy	20.6	20.5	22.5
Temple	South Florida	-12.6	-9.8	-13.3
Nebraska	Minnesota	-10.9	-10.3	-11.9
Old Dominion	Marshall	0.0	-0.9	-0.5
Arkansas	Liberty	18.2	15.5	16.9
Illinois	Michigan St.	6.0	8.0	7.0
Wisconsin	Maryland	6.2	5.9	6.3
Kansas St.	Texas	3.3	3.1	4.6
Oklahoma	Baylor	-1.1	-0.9	-0.9
Missouri	Kentucky	-1.1	-1.2	-2.5
Northwestern	Ohio St.	-37.4	-35.5	-39.6
Charlotte	Western Kentucky	-14.9	-14.0	-16.7
Colorado	Oregon	-24.3	-25.3	-24.8
Boise St.	BYU	4.3	5.4	6.1
Utah	Arizona	23.7	22.9	24.7
San Jose St.	Colorado St.	17.4	17.3	18.4
Fresno St.	Hawaii	28.5	26.3	27.7
Stanford	Washington St.	1.0	-1.5	-1.2
USC	California	17.7	18.3	18.3
Louisiana Tech	Middle Tennessee	-4.8	-4.3	-6.5
Arizona St.	UCLA	-6.9	-7.3	-7.9
Texas A&M	Florida	7.7	6.8	8.3
Tulsa	Tulane	-7.3	-7.7	-8.0
SMU	Houston	2.0	2.0	1.8
Louisiana	Troy	-0.5	-0.9	-0.9
Southern Miss.	Georgia St.	-2.3	-1.5	-3.2
Vanderbilt	South Carolina	-12.5	-11.5	-13.9
Mississippi St.	Auburn	12.7	13.1	13.6
Georgia	Tennessee	9.6	8.2	9.3
TCU	Texas Tech	10.0	9.9	8.9
Memphis	Central Florida	-6.2	-6.6	-7.3
Iowa St.	West Virginia	7.4	7.5	7.6
Utah St.	New Mexico	14.2	14.4	16.0
UAB	UTSA	1.6	2.5	2.6
LSU	Alabama	-11.1	-10.8	-12.8
North Texas	Florida Int’l.	25.7	23.1	28.0
Georgia Southern	South Alabama	0.8	0.5	0.7
Louisiana-Monroe	Texas St.	1.5	0.6	0.2
San Diego St.	UNLV	7.6	8.8	7.8
Notre Dame	Clemson	-3.8	-5.0	-3.7

There are no FBS vs. FCS games scheduled this week.

Teams With Bye Weeks

Akron

Arkansas St.

East Carolina

Eastern Michigan

Florida Atlantic

Miami (O)

Nevada

New Mexico St.

Ole Miss

Toledo

Wyoming

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Ohio St.	134.7
2	Georgia	131.9
3	Alabama	130.5
4	Michigan	126.5
5	Tennessee	125.8
6	Clemson	120.0
7	Penn St.	118.2
8	Utah	117.1
9	Kansas St.	116.5
10	Baylor	116.2
11	T C U	115.9
12	L S U	115.9
13	Texas	115.9
14	Minnesota	115.4
15	Oregon	115.3
16	Mississippi St.	115.1
17	Arkansas	114.5
18	Wisconsin	114.2
19	Purdue	114.1
20	Illinois	113.3
21	Ole Miss	113.2
22	U S C	113.1
23	Notre Dame	112.8
24	U C L A	112.7
25	Oklahoma St.	112.7
26	Louisville	112.7
27	Florida St.	112.7
28	NC State	112.4
29	Oklahoma	112.2
30	Texas A&M	111.4
31	Maryland	111.1
32	North Carolina	110.2
33	Iowa	110.0
34	Cincinnati	109.7
35	Oregon St.	109.6
36	Kentucky	109.5
37	Wake Forest	109.4
38	Michigan St.	109.3
39	Texas Tech	108.8
40	Syracuse	108.2
41	Washington	108.0
42	Pittsburgh	107.8
43	Iowa St.	107.7
44	South Carolina	107.6
45	UCF	107.4
46	Florida	106.8
47	Miami (Fla.)	105.2
48	Auburn	105.0
49	Missouri	104.9
50	Boise St.	104.8
51	Washington St.	104.6
52	Tulane	103.7
53	West Virginia	103.2
54	East Carolina	103.1
55	Kansas	102.9
56	Houston	102.7
57	SMU	102.6
58	BYU	102.6
59	Air Force	102.5
60	Arizona St.	102.3
61	Nebraska	101.4
62	Stanford	101.1
63	Liberty	100.6
64	Fresno St.	99.2
65	Appalachian St.	99.2
66	Indiana	99.0
67	Duke	98.4
68	Rutgers	98.3
69	Toledo	98.1
70	California	98.0
71	Virginia	97.9
72	Memphis	97.7
73	U T S A	97.2
74	U A B	96.9
75	Arizona	96.3
76	James Madison	96.2
77	Virginia Tech	96.2
78	W. Kentucky	96.1
79	Troy	95.9
80	San Jose St.	95.7
81	Georgia St.	95.4
82	South Alabama	94.9
83	Army	94.8
84	Northwestern	94.7
85	Coastal Carolina	94.3
86	Boston College	93.9
87	Marshall	93.8
88	N. Illinois	93.8
89	Tulsa	93.5
90	Georgia Tech	93.1
91	Ga. Southern	93.1
92	Buffalo	93.0
93	Louisiana	92.7
94	North Texas	92.6
95	Vanderbilt	92.4
96	San Diego St.	92.4
97	USF	92.1
98	Navy	91.0
99	Old Dominion	90.8
100	Southern Miss.	90.6
101	Miami (Ohio)	90.3
102	Ohio	90.1
103	Utah St.	90.1
104	Kent St.	89.5
105	Wyoming	89.1
106	Florida Atlantic	89.0
107	Central Mich.	88.8
108	Colorado	87.5
109	Western Mich.	87.3
110	U N L V	87.3
111	Middle Tennessee	87.2
112	Bowling Green	86.4
113	Eastern Mich.	86.1
114	Ball St.	85.4
115	U T E P	84.6
116	Texas St.	83.7
117	Connecticut	83.2
118	Arkansas St.	82.1
119	Rice	82.0
120	UL-Monroe	81.9
121	Nevada	81.9
122	Colorado St.	81.0
123	Louisiana Tech	79.5
124	Charlotte	78.4
125	New Mexico	78.2
126	Temple	77.7
127	Hawaii	75.2
128	Akron	74.7
129	New Mexico St.	74.6
130	Massachusetts	69.7
131	Florida Int’l.	69.5

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	109.6	109.0	110.5	109.7
UCF	107.0	107.6	107.6	107.4
Tulane	103.7	103.4	103.9	103.7
East Carolina	103.0	102.6	103.6	103.1
Houston	102.8	102.1	103.1	102.7
SMU	102.8	102.1	102.9	102.6
Memphis	97.8	98.0	97.3	97.7
Tulsa	93.9	93.2	93.4	93.5
USF	92.8	91.6	91.9	92.1
Navy	91.5	91.0	90.5	91.0
Temple	77.7	79.2	76.1	77.7
AAC	98.4	98.1	98.3	98.3
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	120.0	119.8	120.1	120.0
Louisville	113.1	112.6	112.4	112.7
Florida St.	112.9	112.5	112.6	112.7
NC State	113.1	112.1	112.1	112.4
Wake Forest	109.5	109.4	109.4	109.4
Syracuse	108.8	107.8	107.9	108.2
Boston College	94.1	94.8	92.7	93.9
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
North Carolina	110.3	110.4	109.9	110.2
Pittsburgh	108.9	107.8	106.9	107.8
Miami (Fla.)	105.9	105.0	104.6	105.2
Duke	98.2	100.1	96.8	98.4
Virginia	98.5	98.5	96.6	97.9
Virginia Tech	96.7	96.7	95.2	96.2
Georgia Tech	93.9	93.6	92.0	93.1
ACC	106.0	105.8	104.9	105.6
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Kansas St.	117.1	115.9	116.6	116.5
Baylor	116.7	115.6	116.3	116.2
T C U	116.6	115.3	115.9	115.9
Texas	116.8	115.8	115.0	115.9
Oklahoma St.	113.4	111.9	112.8	112.7
Oklahoma	112.6	111.7	112.4	112.2
Texas Tech	109.0	107.9	109.4	108.8
Iowa St.	108.0	107.6	107.6	107.7
West Virginia	103.6	103.1	103.0	103.2
Kansas	104.0	102.7	102.0	102.9
Big 12	111.8	110.8	111.1	111.2
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	134.9	133.8	135.5	134.7
Michigan	126.8	126.0	126.7	126.5
Penn St.	118.4	118.2	118.1	118.2
Maryland	111.5	111.3	110.5	111.1
Michigan St.	110.3	109.0	108.6	109.3
Indiana	100.0	99.2	97.7	99.0
Rutgers	99.6	98.6	96.8	98.3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Minnesota	115.9	115.0	115.4	115.4
Wisconsin	114.6	114.2	113.7	114.2
Purdue	115.0	114.1	113.2	114.1
Illinois	113.3	114.0	112.6	113.3
Iowa	111.0	109.9	109.0	110.0
Nebraska	102.1	101.7	100.6	101.4
Northwestern	95.0	95.7	93.4	94.7
Big Ten	112.0	111.5	110.8	111.4
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U T S A	97.4	96.5	97.6	97.2
U A B	96.5	96.5	97.7	96.9
W. Kentucky	95.6	95.5	97.2	96.1
North Texas	92.2	91.9	93.6	92.6
Florida Atlantic	88.9	89.8	88.4	89.0
Middle Tennessee	86.8	87.3	87.5	87.2
U T E P	84.6	84.6	84.4	84.6
Rice	82.1	82.1	81.9	82.0
Louisiana Tech	79.5	80.5	78.5	79.5
Charlotte	78.2	79.0	78.0	78.4
Florida Int’l.	69.0	71.3	68.1	69.5
CUSA	86.4	86.8	86.6	86.6
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	113.3	111.8	113.4	112.8
BYU	103.3	101.8	102.7	102.6
Liberty	99.7	101.0	101.2	100.6
Army	94.7	94.9	94.9	94.8
Connecticut	83.2	84.4	81.9	83.2
New Mexico St.	74.1	76.0	73.7	74.6
Massachusetts	70.0	70.8	68.2	69.7
Independents	91.2	91.5	90.9	91.2
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Buffalo	91.6	93.9	93.7	93.0
Miami (Ohio)	89.2	91.2	90.5	90.3
Ohio	88.8	90.9	90.5	90.1
Kent St.	88.9	90.6	89.1	89.5
Bowling Green	86.5	86.2	86.4	86.4
Akron	74.6	75.3	74.1	74.7
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	97.4	98.4	98.5	98.1
N. Illinois	93.6	94.0	93.8	93.8
Central Mich.	87.5	89.1	89.7	88.8
Western Mich.	86.8	87.7	87.4	87.3
Eastern Mich.	85.7	86.5	86.0	86.1
Ball St.	85.0	86.1	85.2	85.4
MAC	88.0	89.2	88.7	88.6
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	104.6	104.2	105.7	104.8
Air Force	102.3	102.1	103.0	102.5
Utah St.	89.9	90.0	90.3	90.1
Wyoming	88.1	89.9	89.4	89.1
Colorado St.	80.8	81.5	80.8	81.0
New Mexico	78.7	78.6	77.3	78.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	99.3	98.7	99.7	99.2
San Jose St.	95.1	95.7	96.3	95.7
San Diego St.	92.4	92.0	92.6	92.4
U N L V	87.8	86.2	87.8	87.3
Nevada	81.5	82.9	81.2	81.9
Hawaii	74.4	75.9	75.5	75.2
MWC	89.6	89.8	90.0	89.8
Pac-12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	116.9	116.2	118.2	117.1
Oregon	115.5	115.0	115.4	115.3
U S C	112.5	113.1	113.8	113.1
U C L A	112.3	112.2	113.7	112.7
Oregon St.	109.7	109.0	110.2	109.6
Washington	107.7	107.9	108.3	108.0
Washington St.	104.1	104.6	105.1	104.6
Arizona St.	102.3	101.9	102.8	102.3
Stanford	102.1	100.2	100.9	101.1
California	97.8	97.8	98.5	98.0
Arizona	96.2	96.2	96.5	96.3
Colorado	88.2	86.7	87.6	87.5
Pac-12	105.4	105.1	105.9	105.5
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	132.0	130.9	132.7	131.9
Tennessee	125.4	125.6	126.4	125.8
Kentucky	109.1	109.5	109.9	109.5
South Carolina	107.7	107.3	107.8	107.6
Florida	106.3	107.6	106.5	106.8
Missouri	105.0	105.3	104.4	104.9
Vanderbilt	92.6	93.2	91.4	92.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	130.3	129.6	131.5	130.5
L S U	116.2	115.7	115.7	115.9
Mississippi St.	115.8	114.6	115.1	115.1
Arkansas	114.9	113.4	115.1	114.5
Ole Miss	114.2	112.7	112.8	113.2
Texas A&M	111.0	111.4	111.8	111.4
Auburn	106.1	104.5	104.5	105.0
SEC	113.3	113.0	113.3	113.2
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Appalachian St.	98.0	99.3	100.2	99.2
James Madison	94.4	96.0	98.2	96.2
Georgia St.	94.8	94.7	96.7	95.4
Coastal Carolina	93.5	94.5	94.9	94.3
Marshall	93.3	94.2	93.9	93.8
Ga. Southern	92.6	92.7	94.0	93.1
Old Dominion	90.8	90.8	90.9	90.8
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Troy	95.0	95.8	97.0	95.9
South Alabama	94.2	94.7	95.8	94.9
Louisiana	92.0	92.4	93.5	92.7
Southern Miss.	90.0	90.7	91.0	90.6
Texas St.	82.8	84.1	84.1	83.7
Arkansas St.	81.4	82.7	82.1	82.1
UL-Monroe	81.8	82.2	81.8	81.9
Sun Belt	91.1	91.8	92.4	91.8

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	113.2
2	Big Ten	111.4
3	Big 12	111.2
4	Atlantic Coast	105.6
5	Pac-12	105.5
6	American Athletic	98.3
7	Sun Belt	91.8
8	Independents	91.2
9	Mountain West	89.8
10	Mid-American	88.6
11	Conference USA	86.6

Bowl & Playoff Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	North Texas	Buffalo
Cure	Georgia Southern	Liberty
Fenway	Notre Dame	Cincinnati
New Mexico	Western Kentucky	Wyoming
L.A.	Utah	San Jose St.
Lending Tree	Miami (O)	South Alabama
Las Vegas	USC	LSU
Frisco	SMU	San Diego St.
Myrtle Beach	Appalachian St.	Memphis
Famous Idaho Potato	Ohio U	Air Force
Boca Raton	Houston	Troy
New Orleans	Florida Int’l.	Coastal Carolina
Armed Forces	Tulane	UTSA
Independence	East Carolina	Army
Gasparilla	Miami (Fla.)	South Carolina
Hawaii	UAB	Fresno St.
Quick Lane	Iowa	Bowling Green
Camellia	Toledo	Southern Miss.
First Responder	Kansas	Marshall
Birmingham	Pittsburgh	Missouri
Guaranteed Rate	Baylor	Maryland
Military	Wake Forest	Central Florida
Liberty	Texas	Texas A&M
Holiday	Virginia	Oregon St.
Texas	Texas Tech	Arkansas
Pinstripe	Syracuse	Wisconsin
Cheez-It	North Carolina St.	Oklahoma
Alamo	Oklahoma St.	Washington St.
Duke’s Mayo	Duke	Purdue
Tony the Tiger Sun	Louisville	Washington
Arizona	Eastern Michigan	Utah St.
Orange	North Carolina	Alabama
Music City	Minnesota	Florida
Sugar	Tennessee	Kansas St.
TaxSlayer	Florida St.	Mississippi St.
Peach	Georgia	Clemson
Fiesta	Ohio St.	TCU
Reliaquest (Outback)	Illinois	Kentucky
Citrus	Penn St.	Ole Miss
Cotton	UCLA	Boise St.
Rose	Oregon	Michigan
National Championship	Georgia	Ohio St.

Note: 84 FBS teams are projected to become bowl eligible for 82 available bowl slots. Should the NCAA & ESPN agree to add an extra bowl game like last year, Middle Tennessee State and UNLV would meet in that game.

PiRate Ratings College Football–October 27-29, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
North Carolina St.	Virginia Tech	21.1	19.8	22.3
Southern Miss.	Louisiana	-2.2	-2.1	-3.4
Washington St.	Utah	-10.2	-8.9	-10.9
BYU	East Carolina	4.0	2.8	2.7
Florida Int’l.	Louisiana Tech	-10.3	-9.0	-10.6
Nebraska	Illinois	-6.0	-6.9	-6.4
Connecticut	Boston College	-12.4	-12.1	-12.7
Marshall	Coastal Carolina	5.6	5.6	5.1
Massachusetts	New Mexico St.	-0.1	-1.4	-1.4
Akron	Miami (O)	-12.5	-13.8	-14.3
South Carolina	Missouri	10.3	9.7	11.7
Tennessee	Kentucky	14.0	13.7	13.9
West Virginia	TCU	-10.0	-9.2	-9.9
Florida St.	Georgia Tech	21.4	21.2	23.1
Penn St.	Ohio St.	-13.5	-12.6	-14.6
Louisville	Wake Forest	2.1	1.4	1.0
Syracuse	Notre Dame	2.6	3.5	1.9
Michigan	Michigan St.	17.6	17.9	19.3
Virginia	Miami (Fla.)	-4.6	-3.7	-5.4
Central Florida	Cincinnati	-0.5	0.7	-1.0
Iowa	Northwestern	19.0	16.7	18.4
Eastern Michigan	Toledo	-9.6	-10.2	-11.2
Georgia St.	Old Dominion	4.2	3.7	5.8
North Carolina	Pittsburgh	0.9	2.3	2.5
Minnesota	Rutgers	16.4	16.3	18.7
Arkansas St.	South Alabama	-6.0	-5.2	-6.5
Iowa St.	Oklahoma	1.5	2.4	1.7
Colorado	Arizona St.	-11.3	-12.8	-13.0
Boise St.	Colorado St.	23.8	22.4	24.7
Rice	Charlotte	12.8	12.2	13.4
Arizona	USC	-14.0	-14.8	-15.6
Fresno St.	San Diego St.	10.5	10.4	11.0
UCLA	Stanford	10.4	12.4	13.2
California	Oregon	-14.4	-13.8	-13.6
Houston	South Florida	13.0	13.6	14.3
Tulsa	SMU	-6.0	-5.8	-6.2
Kansas St.	Oklahoma St.	-2.7	-2.6	-3.0
Texas Tech	Baylor	1.0	1.1	2.3
Texas A&M	Ole Miss	0.0	1.9	2.2
Auburn	Arkansas	-5.0	-4.9	-6.5
Navy	Temple	17.2	14.8	18.4
Western Kentucky	North Texas	14.2	14.6	14.8
Georgia	Florida	26.1	23.3	26.8
Hawaii	Wyoming	-10.5	-10.9	-11.0
Florida Atlantic	UAB	-7.7	-7.0	-9.4
UTEP	Middle Tennessee	3.1	2.6	2.4
San Jose St.	Nevada	16.8	15.9	18.8

Note: Georgia vs. Florida is neutral site game in Jacksonville

FBS vs. FCS Games This Week

FBS	FCS	PiRate
Appalachian St.	Robert Morris	43.8

Teams With Bye Weeks

Air Force

Alabama

Army

Ball St.

Bowling Green

Buffalo

Central Michigan

Clemson

Duke

Georgia Southern

Indiana

James Madison

Kansas

Kent St.

Liberty

Louisiana-Monroe

LSU

Maryland

Memphis

Mississippi St.

New Mexico

Northern Illinois

Ohio

Oregon St.

Purdue

Texas

Texas St.

Troy

Tulane

UNLV

Utah St.

UTSA

Vanderbilt

Washington

Western Michigan

Wisconsin

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Ohio St.	134.7
2	Georgia	132.0
3	Alabama	130.2
4	Michigan	126.3
5	Tennessee	123.1
6	Clemson	119.7
7	Penn St.	118.2
8	Oklahoma St.	118.0
9	Utah	117.3
10	T C U	115.9
11	L S U	115.6
12	Texas	115.6
13	Oregon	115.3
14	Mississippi St.	114.8
15	Minnesota	114.1
16	Arkansas	114.0
17	Wisconsin	113.9
18	Purdue	113.8
19	U S C	113.8
20	NC State	113.6
21	Baylor	113.3
22	Ole Miss	113.1
23	Florida St.	112.5
24	Kansas St.	112.2
25	Kentucky	112.2
26	Wake Forest	112.1
27	Illinois	112.1
28	Texas Tech	111.7
29	Texas A&M	111.5
30	U C L A	111.4
31	Notre Dame	110.8
32	Maryland	110.8
33	Oklahoma	110.7
34	Louisville	110.6
35	Syracuse	110.5
36	Cincinnati	110.3
37	South Carolina	110.2
38	Iowa	109.9
39	Pittsburgh	109.7
40	Iowa St.	109.6
41	Michigan St.	109.5
42	Oregon St.	109.3
43	North Carolina	108.6
44	Washington	107.7
45	UCF	107.1
46	Florida	106.6
47	Auburn	105.5
48	Miami (Fla.)	105.3
49	Washington St.	104.3
50	Tulane	103.4
51	Boise St.	103.2
52	West Virginia	103.2
53	BYU	103.1
54	East Carolina	102.9
55	Houston	102.7
56	Nebraska	102.6
57	Missouri	102.6
58	Arizona St.	102.6
59	Kansas	102.6
60	Stanford	102.4
61	SMU	102.3
62	Air Force	102.3
63	Liberty	100.4
64	W. Kentucky	100.2
65	Rutgers	100.0
66	Fresno St.	99.6
67	Appalachian St.	99.1
68	Indiana	98.7
69	Toledo	98.5
70	California	98.3
71	U A B	98.2
72	Duke	98.1
73	Virginia	97.7
74	Memphis	97.5
75	U T S A	97.0
76	Boston College	96.3
77	San Jose St.	96.1
78	James Madison	96.0
79	Arizona	96.0
80	Troy	95.7
81	Virginia Tech	95.5
82	Marshall	95.4
83	Northwestern	94.8
84	Army	94.6
85	Georgia St.	94.3
86	Louisiana	94.3
87	Tulsa	93.8
88	N. Illinois	93.6
89	Georgia Tech	93.6
90	Coastal Carolina	93.0
91	Ga. Southern	92.9
92	South Alabama	92.8
93	Buffalo	92.8
94	Old Dominion	92.2
95	Vanderbilt	92.1
96	USF	92.1
97	San Diego St.	92.0
98	Navy	91.7
99	Miami (Ohio)	90.2
100	Ohio	89.9
101	Utah St.	89.9
102	Wyoming	89.3
103	Kent St.	89.3
104	Southern Miss.	89.2
105	Central Mich.	88.6
106	North Texas	88.2
107	Florida Atlantic	87.7
108	Colorado	87.2
109	Western Mich.	87.1
110	U N L V	87.1
111	Bowling Green	86.2
112	U T E P	86.0
113	Rice	85.9
114	Middle Tennessee	85.8
115	Eastern Mich.	85.7
116	Ball St.	85.2
117	Arkansas St.	84.4
118	Texas St.	83.5
119	Colorado St.	82.6
120	UL-Monroe	81.7
121	Nevada	81.5
122	Connecticut	81.4
123	Louisiana Tech	80.9
124	New Mexico	78.0
125	Temple	77.5
126	Charlotte	75.6
127	Akron	75.2
128	Hawaii	75.0
129	New Mexico St.	73.9
130	Massachusetts	70.4
131	Florida Int’l.	68.4

Note: We have been receiving a large number of comments concerning the ratings, almost all from newcomers to his site. The overwhelming question most asked is why a team is ranked ahead of a team that beat them and is ahead of them in the conference standings. To those new to this site, our ratings are not rankings like the AP and Coaches’ polls. We are not grading teams based on what they have done so far . Our goal is to predict the future. Thus Alabama is rated ahead of Tennessee because it is this system’s prediction that the Tide would beat the Vols on a neutral field if they were to play this week.

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	110.2	109.6	111.2	110.3
UCF	106.7	107.3	107.2	107.1
Tulane	103.4	103.1	103.6	103.4
East Carolina	102.8	102.5	103.4	102.9
Houston	102.8	102.1	103.1	102.7
SMU	102.6	101.8	102.5	102.3
Memphis	97.6	97.8	97.1	97.5
Tulsa	94.1	93.5	93.8	93.8
USF	92.8	91.6	91.9	92.1
Navy	92.2	91.5	91.5	91.7
Temple	77.5	79.2	75.6	77.5
AAC	98.4	98.2	98.3	98.3
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	119.7	119.5	119.8	119.7
NC State	114.2	113.1	113.5	113.6
Florida St.	112.7	112.3	112.5	112.5
Wake Forest	112.0	112.1	112.2	112.1
Louisville	111.2	110.5	110.2	110.6
Syracuse	111.0	110.2	110.2	110.5
Boston College	96.4	97.2	95.2	96.3
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	110.8	109.6	108.8	109.7
North Carolina	108.7	108.9	108.3	108.6
Miami (Fla.)	106.0	105.1	104.8	105.3
Duke	97.9	99.8	96.5	98.1
Virginia	98.4	98.4	96.4	97.7
Virginia Tech	96.1	96.2	94.3	95.5
Georgia Tech	94.4	94.1	92.4	93.6
ACC	106.4	106.2	105.4	106.0
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma St.	118.6	117.2	118.2	118.0
T C U	116.6	115.3	115.9	115.9
Texas	116.5	115.5	114.7	115.6
Baylor	113.9	112.7	113.2	113.3
Kansas St.	112.9	111.6	112.2	112.2
Texas Tech	111.8	110.8	112.5	111.7
Oklahoma	111.2	110.1	110.8	110.7
Iowa St.	109.7	109.5	109.5	109.6
West Virginia	103.6	103.1	103.0	103.2
Kansas	103.7	102.4	101.7	102.6
Big 12	111.8	110.8	111.2	111.3
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	134.9	133.8	135.6	134.7
Michigan	126.6	125.7	126.5	126.3
Penn St.	118.4	118.2	118.0	118.2
Maryland	111.2	111.0	110.2	110.8
Michigan St.	110.5	109.3	108.8	109.5
Rutgers	101.2	100.3	98.4	100.0
Indiana	99.7	98.9	97.4	98.7
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Minnesota	114.6	113.6	114.1	114.1
Wisconsin	114.3	113.9	113.4	113.9
Purdue	114.7	113.8	112.9	113.8
Illinois	112.2	112.8	111.3	112.1
Iowa	111.0	109.7	108.9	109.9
Nebraska	103.2	102.9	101.9	102.6
Northwestern	95.0	95.9	93.5	94.8
Big Ten	112.0	111.4	110.8	111.4
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
W. Kentucky	99.6	99.6	101.4	100.2
U A B	97.8	97.9	99.0	98.2
U T S A	97.2	96.3	97.4	97.0
North Texas	87.9	87.5	89.1	88.2
Florida Atlantic	87.6	88.4	87.1	87.7
U T E P	86.0	86.0	85.9	86.0
Rice	85.8	85.9	85.9	85.9
Middle Tennessee	85.4	85.9	86.0	85.8
Louisiana Tech	80.8	81.8	80.0	80.9
Charlotte	75.5	76.2	75.0	75.6
Florida Int’l.	68.0	70.3	66.9	68.4
CUSA	86.5	86.9	86.7	86.7
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	111.4	109.7	111.4	110.8
BYU	103.8	102.2	103.2	103.1
Liberty	99.5	100.8	101.0	100.4
Army	94.5	94.7	94.7	94.6
Connecticut	81.5	82.6	80.0	81.4
New Mexico St.	73.4	75.3	72.9	73.9
Massachusetts	70.7	71.5	69.0	70.4
Independents	90.7	91.0	90.3	90.7
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Buffalo	91.4	93.7	93.5	92.8
Miami (Ohio)	89.1	91.1	90.4	90.2
Ohio	88.6	90.7	90.3	89.9
Kent St.	88.7	90.4	88.9	89.3
Bowling Green	86.3	86.0	86.2	86.2
Akron	75.1	75.8	74.6	75.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	97.6	98.8	99.1	98.5
N. Illinois	93.4	93.8	93.6	93.6
Central Mich.	87.3	88.9	89.5	88.6
Western Mich.	86.6	87.5	87.2	87.1
Eastern Mich.	85.5	86.1	85.4	85.7
Ball St.	84.8	85.9	85.0	85.2
MAC	87.9	89.1	88.6	88.5
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	103.1	102.5	104.1	103.2
Air Force	102.1	101.9	102.8	102.3
Utah St.	89.7	89.8	90.1	89.9
Wyoming	88.2	90.1	89.7	89.3
Colorado St.	82.3	83.2	82.4	82.6
New Mexico	78.5	78.4	77.1	78.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	99.6	99.1	100.2	99.6
San Jose St.	95.4	96.0	96.9	96.1
San Diego St.	92.1	91.6	92.1	92.0
U N L V	87.6	86.0	87.6	87.1
Nevada	81.2	82.6	80.6	81.5
Hawaii	74.3	75.7	75.2	75.0
MWC	89.5	89.7	89.9	89.7
Pac-12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	117.1	116.4	118.6	117.3
Oregon	115.5	115.0	115.4	115.3
U S C	113.0	113.7	114.6	113.8
U C L A	110.9	110.9	112.4	111.4
Oregon St.	109.4	108.7	109.9	109.3
Washington	107.4	107.6	108.0	107.7
Washington St.	103.9	104.4	104.7	104.3
Arizona St.	102.4	102.2	103.2	102.6
Stanford	103.5	101.5	102.2	102.4
California	98.1	98.1	98.8	98.3
Arizona	96.0	95.9	96.0	96.0
Colorado	88.1	86.4	87.2	87.2
Pac-12	105.4	105.1	105.9	105.5
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	132.2	130.9	133.0	132.0
Tennessee	122.8	122.9	123.6	123.1
Kentucky	111.7	112.2	112.7	112.2
South Carolina	110.2	109.8	110.6	110.2
Florida	106.1	107.6	106.2	106.6
Missouri	102.8	103.1	101.9	102.6
Vanderbilt	92.3	92.9	91.1	92.1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	130.0	129.3	131.2	130.2
L S U	115.9	115.4	115.4	115.6
Mississippi St.	115.5	114.3	114.8	114.8
Arkansas	114.5	112.9	114.6	114.0
Ole Miss	114.1	112.6	112.7	113.1
Texas A&M	111.1	111.5	111.9	111.5
Auburn	106.5	105.0	105.0	105.5
SEC	113.3	112.9	113.2	113.1
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Appalachian St.	97.9	99.2	100.1	99.1
James Madison	94.2	95.8	98.0	96.0
Marshall	94.8	95.8	95.6	95.4
Georgia St.	93.8	93.5	95.6	94.3
Coastal Carolina	92.3	93.2	93.5	93.0
Ga. Southern	92.4	92.5	93.8	92.9
Old Dominion	92.1	92.3	92.3	92.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Troy	94.8	95.6	96.8	95.7
Louisiana	93.5	94.0	95.3	94.3
South Alabama	92.2	92.7	93.6	92.8
Southern Miss.	88.8	89.4	89.5	89.2
Arkansas St.	83.7	85.0	84.6	84.4
Texas St.	82.6	83.9	83.9	83.5
UL-Monroe	81.6	82.0	81.6	81.7
Sun Belt	91.1	91.8	92.5	91.8

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	113.1
2	Big Ten	111.4
3	Big 12	111.3
4	Atlantic Coast	106.0
5	Pac-12	105.5
6	American Athletic	98.3
7	Sun Belt	91.8
8	Independents	90.7
9	Mountain West	89.7
10	Mid-American	88.5
11	Conference USA	86.7

Bowl & Playoff Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	UTSA	Buffalo
Cure	Troy	Liberty
Fenway	Syracuse	Tulane
New Mexico	North Texas	Wyoming
L.A.	Utah	Boise St.
Lending Tree	Miami (O)	South Alabama
Las Vegas	USC	Arkansas
Frisco	Utah St.	Kansas
Myrtle Beach	Marshall	Iowa St.
Famous Idaho Potato	Toledo	San Jose St.
Boca Raton	Coastal Carolina	Air Force
New Orleans	UTEP	Lousiana
Armed Forces	Houston	Western Kentucky
Independence	SMU	Appalachian St.
Gasparilla	Florida	East Carolina
Hawaii	UAB	Fresno St.
Quick Lane	Eastern Michigan	Army
Camellia	Bowling Green	Southern Miss.
First Responder	Stanford	BYU
Birmingham	Louisville	Georgia Southern
Guaranteed Rate	Texas Tech	Wisconsin
Military	Duke	Central Florida
Liberty	Baylor	Ole Miss
Holiday	Virginia	Washington
Texas	Oklahoma	Mississippi St.
Pinstripe	Notre Dame	Nebraska
Cheez-It	Texas	North Carolina St.
Alamo	Kansas St.	UCLA
Duke’s Mayo	Wake Forest	Maryland
Tony the Tiger Sun	Pittsburgh	Oregon St.
Arizona	Ohio U	San Diego St.
Orange	Alabama	North Carolina
Music City	Minnesota	Texas A&M
Sugar	Tennessee	Oklahoma St.
TaxSlayer	Florida St.	South Carolina
Peach	Georgia	Clemson
Fiesta	Ohio St.	TCU
Tampa Bay	Purdue	Kentucky
Citrus	Illinois	LSU
Cotton	Penn St.	Cincinnati
Rose	Oregon	Michigan
National Championship	Georgia	Ohio St.

Note: For the first time this year more than 82 FBS teams were projected to be bowl eligible, and no 5-7 teams made this list. Five projected bowl eligible teams were omitted from this projection: Ball St., Middle Tennessee, Rice, UNLV, and Western Michigan.

PiRate Ratings–College Football for October 12-15, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Marshall	Louisiana	5.0	5.7	3.7
West Virginia	Baylor	-4.8	-4.1	-4.9
Central Florida	Temple	29.4	27.9	32.2
SMU	Navy	12.3	12.2	13.0
Florida Int’l.	UTSA	-31.7	-28.4	-33.9
Toledo	Kent St.	9.9	8.8	10.9
Massachusetts	Buffalo	-14.4	-15.9	-18.1
Tennessee	Alabama	-7.0	-6.0	-7.9
Georgia	Vanderbilt	39.6	37.7	42.3
Virginia Tech	Miami (Fla.)	-11.6	-10.3	-13.1
Michigan	Penn St.	10.6	9.5	10.8
Kentucky	Mississippi St.	-4.6	-3.1	-3.3
Duke	North Carolina	-13.6	-11.7	-15.7
Florida	LSU	-4.0	-1.9	-2.8
Indiana	Maryland	-9.7	-10.5	-12.0
Syracuse	North Carolina St.	-4.1	-4.1	-5.0
Ball St.	Connecticut	6.5	6.5	8.8
Akron	Central Michigan	-12.4	-13.4	-15.0
Purdue	Nebraska	17.0	16.4	16.9
Florida St.	Clemson	-4.6	-5.0	-5.2
East Carolina	Memphis	4.5	3.6	5.2
South Florida	Tulane	-7.6	-8.3	-8.3
Illinois	Minnesota	-6.6	-5.2	-7.7
Bowling Green	Miami (O)	-5.6	-8.8	-8.3
Eastern Michigan	Northern Illinois	-2.6	-2.3	-2.8
Coastal Carolina	Old Dominion	8.3	9.3	10.0
Georgia Southern	James Madison	-4.2	-6.3	-7.9
Southern Miss.	Arkansas St.	7.2	6.3	6.5
BYU	Arkansas	0.3	0.4	0.1
New Mexico St.	New Mexico	-10.6	-8.7	-10.2
Colorado	California	-6.8	-8.8	-9.3
Utah	USC	7.4	6.1	7.6
Oregon St.	Washington St.	6.7	5.1	6.0
Washington	Arizona	15.0	15.8	16.1
Fresno St.	San Jose St.	4.7	3.2	3.3
Troy	Texas St.	15.9	15.5	16.7
Ole Miss	Auburn	13.3	13.3	13.5
South Alabama	Louisiana-Monroe	12.4	12.8	14.4
Oklahoma	Kansas	9.8	10.1	11.3
TCU	Oklahoma St.	0.2	0.4	-0.6
Texas	Iowa St.	11.0	10.2	9.5
Western Michigan	Ohio	4.9	3.5	3.8
Michigan St.	Wisconsin	-0.5	-1.4	-1.4
Middle Tennessee	Western Kentucky	-11.9	-11.2	-13.0
UAB	Charlotte	20.7	20.3	22.7
North Texas	Louisiana Tech	6.9	5.0	8.9
Florida Atlantic	Rice	4.5	5.7	4.3
Hawaii	Nevada	-8.7	-9.0	-7.8
Colorado St.	Utah St.	-6.1	-5.2	-6.6
Notre Dame	Stanford	14.6	15.4	16.6
UNLV	Air Force	-8.2	-9.6	-8.7

FBS vs. FCS Games

FBS	FCS	PiRate
Army	Colgate	28.7
Liberty	Gardner-Webb	29.7

Teams With Bye Weeks

Appalachian St.

Arizona St.

Boise St.

Boston College

Cincinnati

Georgia St.

Georgia Tech

Houston

Iowa

Kansas St.

Louisville

Missouri

Northwestern

Ohio St.

Oregon

Pittsburgh

Rutgers

San Diego St.

South Carolina

Texas A&M

Texas Tech

Tulsa

UCLA

UTEP

Virginia

Wake Forest

Wyoming

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Ohio St.	132.6
2	Alabama	130.9
3	Georgia	130.5
4	Michigan	124.3
5	Tennessee	120.9
6	Clemson	120.1
7	Minnesota	119.0
8	Oklahoma St.	118.1
9	Utah	117.3
10	Penn St.	117.0
11	Mississippi St.	116.9
12	Texas	116.1
13	NC State	115.8
14	Ole Miss	115.6
15	Purdue	115.5
16	T C U	115.1
17	Oregon	114.5
18	Baylor	113.9
19	Wisconsin	113.3
20	U S C	113.2
21	Notre Dame	113.0
22	L S U	112.6
23	Maryland	112.3
24	Florida St.	112.2
25	Kansas St.	112.1
26	Iowa	112.0
27	Arkansas	112.0
28	U C L A	111.6
29	Texas A&M	111.6
30	Pittsburgh	110.6
31	Wake Forest	110.5
32	Cincinnati	110.5
33	Oklahoma	110.4
34	Kentucky	110.3
35	Miami (Fla.)	109.7
36	South Carolina	109.5
37	Illinois	109.5
38	BYU	109.3
39	Michigan St.	109.2
40	Louisville	109.1
41	North Carolina	108.9
42	Iowa St.	108.9
43	Syracuse	108.5
44	Texas Tech	108.3
45	Washington	107.9
46	UCF	107.8
47	Oregon St.	107.5
48	Florida	106.7
49	West Virginia	106.3
50	Auburn	105.2
51	Washington St.	104.6
52	Missouri	103.1
53	Kansas	103.0
54	Tulane	102.7
55	SMU	102.4
56	Boise St.	102.2
57	Arizona St.	102.2
58	Nebraska	101.7
59	Houston	101.3
60	Air Force	100.9
61	Stanford	100.5
62	East Carolina	100.0
63	W. Kentucky	100.0
64	Rutgers	99.4
65	James Madison	99.3
66	California	99.1
67	Indiana	98.6
68	Toledo	98.6
69	U A B	98.5
70	Memphis	98.0
71	U T S A	98.0
72	Boston College	97.6
73	Fresno St.	97.5
74	Liberty	97.5
75	Virginia	96.9
76	Georgia St.	96.7
77	Appalachian St.	96.6
78	Troy	96.4
79	San Jose St.	96.3
80	Coastal Carolina	96.2
81	Arizona	95.3
82	Virginia Tech	95.0
83	Marshall	94.8
84	Duke	94.3
85	Tulsa	93.9
86	Northwestern	93.8
87	Georgia Tech	93.8
88	Army	93.7
89	Vanderbilt	93.6
90	South Alabama	93.5
91	Miami (Ohio)	93.0
92	Navy	92.9
93	N. Illinois	92.5
94	Louisiana	92.5
95	USF	92.1
96	Utah St.	91.4
97	Kent St.	91.2
98	San Diego St.	91.2
99	Central Mich.	91.2
100	Ga. Southern	90.7
101	Buffalo	90.3
102	U N L V	89.6
103	Old Dominion	89.5
104	Southern Miss.	89.1
105	Western Mich.	88.2
106	Florida Atlantic	88.1
107	Colorado	87.8
108	Wyoming	87.7
109	Eastern Mich.	87.5
110	North Texas	86.7
111	Ohio	86.6
112	Middle Tennessee	85.9
113	Ball St.	85.8
114	Rice	85.8
115	U T E P	85.6
116	Arkansas St.	85.0
117	Nevada	84.2
118	Colorado St.	83.0
119	Bowling Green	82.9
120	New Mexico	82.9
121	Texas St.	82.8
122	UL-Monroe	82.8
123	Louisiana Tech	82.3
124	Connecticut	81.0
125	Temple	81.0
126	Charlotte	79.8
127	Akron	75.1
128	Hawaii	72.7
129	Massachusetts	71.7
130	New Mexico St.	71.5
131	Florida Int’l.	64.2

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	110.3	109.7	111.5	110.5
UCF	107.4	108.0	108.1	107.8
Tulane	102.9	102.4	102.8	102.7
SMU	102.7	101.9	102.6	102.4
Houston	101.5	100.7	101.6	101.3
East Carolina	100.0	99.5	100.4	100.0
Memphis	98.0	98.4	97.7	98.0
Tulsa	94.2	93.5	94.1	93.9
Navy	93.3	92.7	92.6	92.9
USF	92.8	91.6	92.0	92.1
Temple	81.0	83.0	78.9	81.0
AAC	98.6	98.3	98.4	98.4

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	120.0	120.0	120.4	120.1
NC State	116.3	115.3	115.9	115.8
Florida St.	112.4	112.0	112.2	112.2
Wake Forest	110.5	110.4	110.6	110.5
Louisville	109.8	109.0	108.7	109.1
Syracuse	109.3	108.2	107.9	108.5
Boston College	97.6	98.6	96.5	97.6
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	111.6	110.5	109.7	110.6
Miami (Fla.)	110.3	109.1	109.7	109.7
North Carolina	108.9	109.1	108.9	108.9
Virginia	97.7	97.6	95.5	96.9
Virginia Tech	95.7	95.8	93.6	95.0
Duke	94.2	96.4	92.1	94.3
Georgia Tech	94.5	94.3	92.7	93.8
ACC	106.3	106.2	105.3	105.9

Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma St.	118.7	117.2	118.5	118.1
Texas	117.0	116.1	115.2	116.1
T C U	115.9	114.6	115.0	115.1
Baylor	114.5	113.4	113.9	113.9
Kansas St.	112.8	111.5	112.1	112.1
Oklahoma	110.9	109.8	110.5	110.4
Iowa St.	109.0	108.8	108.8	108.9
Texas Tech	108.5	107.3	109.1	108.3
West Virginia	106.7	106.3	106.0	106.3
Kansas	104.1	102.8	102.2	103.0
Big 12	111.8	110.8	111.1	111.2

Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	132.8	131.6	133.5	132.6
Michigan	124.8	123.7	124.5	124.3
Penn St.	117.2	117.2	116.8	117.0
Maryland	112.5	112.4	112.2	112.3
Michigan St.	110.2	108.9	108.4	109.2
Rutgers	100.7	99.7	97.7	99.4
Indiana	99.7	98.9	97.2	98.6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Minnesota	119.2	118.5	119.2	119.0
Purdue	116.2	115.4	114.7	115.5
Wisconsin	113.7	113.3	112.7	113.3
Iowa	113.1	111.9	111.0	112.0
Illinois	109.7	110.3	108.5	109.5
Nebraska	102.3	102.0	100.9	101.7
Northwestern	94.1	95.0	92.3	93.8
Big Ten	111.9	111.3	110.7	111.3

Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
W. Kentucky	99.4	99.3	101.2	100.0
U A B	98.0	98.2	99.4	98.5
U T S A	98.1	97.2	98.7	98.0
Florida Atlantic	87.8	88.9	87.6	88.1
North Texas	86.6	85.9	87.7	86.7
Middle Tennessee	85.5	86.1	86.2	85.9
Rice	85.8	85.7	85.8	85.8
U T E P	85.7	85.6	85.5	85.6
Louisiana Tech	82.2	83.4	81.3	82.3
Charlotte	79.8	80.4	79.2	79.8
Florida Int’l.	63.9	66.3	62.3	64.2
CUSA	86.6	87.0	86.8	86.8

FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	113.4	111.9	113.8	113.0
BYU	109.9	108.3	109.6	109.3
Liberty	96.6	98.0	98.0	97.5
Army	93.7	93.8	93.7	93.7
Connecticut	81.2	82.3	79.5	81.0
Massachusetts	72.0	72.8	70.2	71.7
New Mexico St.	71.1	73.0	70.4	71.5
Independents	91.1	91.4	90.7	91.1

Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	91.5	94.0	93.5	93.0
Kent St.	90.3	92.4	90.9	91.2
Buffalo	88.9	91.2	90.9	90.3
Ohio	85.4	87.5	86.9	86.6
Bowling Green	83.5	82.7	82.6	82.9
Akron	75.0	75.7	74.6	75.1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	97.7	98.7	99.3	98.6
N. Illinois	92.4	92.7	92.5	92.5
Central Mich.	89.9	91.5	92.1	91.2
Western Mich.	87.8	88.5	88.2	88.2
Eastern Mich.	87.3	87.9	87.2	87.5
Ball St.	85.2	86.4	85.8	85.8
MAC	87.9	89.1	88.7	88.6

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	102.2	101.5	103.0	102.2
Air Force	100.7	100.6	101.4	100.9
Utah St.	91.2	91.2	91.9	91.4
Wyoming	86.6	88.6	87.9	87.7
Colorado St.	82.6	83.6	82.8	83.0
New Mexico	83.2	83.3	82.1	82.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	97.7	96.9	98.0	97.5
San Jose St.	95.5	96.2	97.2	96.3
San Diego St.	91.4	90.9	91.2	91.2
U N L V	90.0	88.4	90.2	89.6
Nevada	83.8	85.3	83.5	84.2
Hawaii	72.1	73.3	72.7	72.7
MWC	89.7	90.0	90.2	90.0

Pac-12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	117.0	116.3	118.6	117.3
Oregon	114.8	114.2	114.4	114.5
U S C	112.5	113.2	114.0	113.2
U C L A	111.0	111.1	112.8	111.6
Washington	107.5	108.0	108.3	107.9
Oregon St.	107.7	106.8	108.0	107.5
Washington St.	104.0	104.7	105.0	104.6
Arizona St.	102.0	101.8	102.8	102.2
Stanford	101.8	99.6	100.1	100.5
California	98.7	98.8	99.9	99.1
Arizona	95.5	95.2	95.2	95.3
Colorado	88.9	87.0	87.6	87.8
Pac-12	105.1	104.7	105.6	105.1

Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	130.6	129.3	131.6	130.5
Tennessee	120.7	120.8	121.2	120.9
Kentucky	109.8	110.3	110.7	110.3
South Carolina	109.7	109.1	109.8	109.5
Florida	106.1	107.6	106.5	106.7
Missouri	103.1	103.5	102.5	103.1
Vanderbilt	94.0	94.5	92.3	93.6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	130.7	129.9	132.1	130.9
Mississippi St.	117.5	116.4	117.0	116.9
Ole Miss	116.5	115.0	115.2	115.6
L S U	113.2	112.4	112.3	112.6
Arkansas	112.6	110.9	112.5	112.0
Texas A&M	111.0	111.6	112.1	111.6
Auburn	106.2	104.7	104.7	105.2
SEC	113.0	112.6	112.9	112.8

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
James Madison	97.1	99.1	101.8	99.3
Georgia St.	96.2	95.8	98.2	96.7
Appalachian St.	95.4	96.8	97.4	96.6
Coastal Carolina	95.3	96.4	96.9	96.2
Marshall	94.4	95.3	94.7	94.8
Ga. Southern	90.5	90.3	91.4	90.7
Old Dominion	89.5	89.6	89.4	89.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Troy	95.4	96.2	97.5	96.4
South Alabama	92.6	93.3	94.5	93.5
Louisiana	91.9	92.1	93.5	92.5
Southern Miss.	88.8	89.3	89.3	89.1
Arkansas St.	84.1	85.6	85.2	85.0
Texas St.	82.0	83.3	83.2	82.8
UL-Monroe	82.7	83.1	82.6	82.8
Sun Belt	91.1	91.9	92.6	91.9

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	112.8
2	Big Ten	111.3
3	Big 12	111.2
4	Atlantic Coast	105.9
5	Pac-12	105.1
6	American Athletic	98.4
7	Sun Belt	91.9
8	Independents	91.1
9	Mountain West	90.0
10	Mid-American	88.6
11	Conference USA	86.8

This Week’s Bowl Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	UAB	Miami (O)
Cure	Marshall	Kent St.
Fenway	Syracuse	Cincinnati
New Mexico	Western Kentucky	Wyoming
L.A.	Utah	San Jose St.
Lending Tree	Buffalo	Texas St.
Las Vegas	Washington St.	Texas A&M
Frisco	Indiana 5	California 5
Myrtle Beach	Memphis	Liberty
Famous Idaho Potato	Ball St.	Boise St.
Boca Raton	Central Florida	Louisville 5
New Orleans	Middle Tennessee	Appalachian St.
Armed Forces	Houston	North Texas
Independence	SMU	BYU
Gasparilla	Miami (Fla)	Auburn 5
Hawaii	UTSA	UNLV
Quick Lane	Wisconsin	Eastern Michigan
Camellia	Toledo	Troy
First Responder	Iowa St.	South Alabama
Birmingham	South Carolina	Nebraska 5
Guaranteed Rate	Kansas St.	Iowa
Military	Pittsburgh	Tulane
Liberty	Kansas	LSU
Holiday	North Carolina	Oregon
Texas	Oklahoma	[Air Force]
Pinstripe	Georgia Tech	Minnesota
Cheez-It	Notre Dame	Texas
Alamo	Baylor	Washington
Duke’s Mayo	Wake Forest	Purdue
Tony the Tiger Sun	Duke	Oregon St.
Arizona	Ohio	San Diego St.
Orange	North Carolina St.	Tennessee
Music City	Maryland	Kentucky
Sugar	Alabama	Oklahoma St.
TaxSlayer	Florida St.	Arkansas
Peach	Georgia	Clemson
Fiesta	Ohio St.	USC
Tampa Bay	Illinois	Mississippi St.
Citrus	Penn St.	Florida
Cotton	Ole Miss	Coastal Carolina
Rose	Michigan	UCLA
National Championship	Ohio St.	Clemson

5 after team name means projection to be in at 5-7

[Team] is at-large replacement when conference cannot fill an allotment

PiRate Ratings College Football–October 5-8, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Central Florida	SMU	4.9	6.3	5.4
Rutgers	Nebraska	1.8	1.0	0.1
Memphis	Houston	-1.0	0.4	-1.4
Nevada	Colorado St.	6.5	7.5	6.4
San Jose St.	UNLV	2.8	5.3	4.1
Georgia Tech	Duke	2.9	0.4	3.2
Maryland	Purdue	-0.4	0.6	1.2
Virginia	Louisville	-7.5	-6.4	-8.3
Miami (Fla.)	North Carolina	6.1	4.6	5.8
Indiana	Michigan	-22.1	-21.8	-24.7
Bowling Green	Buffalo	3.4	-0.1	0.4
Pittsburgh	Virginia Tech	18.6	17.1	19.0
Georgia	Auburn	26.5	26.5	29.0
Boston College	Clemson	-18.0	-16.6	-19.3
Massachusetts	Liberty	-23.0	-24.0	-27.2
Michigan St.	Ohio St.	-17.0	-16.9	-19.5
Kentucky	South Carolina	6.8	8.2	8.0
North Carolina St.	Florida St.	7.3	6.7	7.6
Kansas	TCU	-9.0	-9.2	-10.6
Florida	Missouri	6.0	7.0	7.0
Cincinnati	South Florida	23.6	24.4	26.2
Georgia St.	Georgia Southern	7.1	6.6	8.3
Miami (O)	Kent St.	3.3	3.6	5.0
Western Michigan	Eastern Michigan	8.4	8.7	9.5
Texas St.	Appalachian St.	-15.9	-16.4	-17.5
Wake Forest	Army	15.2	14.8	14.9
Arkansas St.	James Madison	-7.6	-8.1	-11.4
Iowa St.	Kansas St.	-0.7	0.3	-0.4
Boise St.	Fresno St.	4.9	4.8	5.1
Ohio	Akron	9.9	11.7	11.9
Utah St.	Air Force	-9.4	-9.4	-9.7
Arizona	Oregon	-13.9	-13.3	-13.4
USC	Washington St.	10.8	10.6	10.9
UCLA	Utah	-6.3	-5.5	-6.5
Arizona St.	Washington	-4.6	-5.9	-5.3
Stanford	Oregon St.	-3.1	-4.9	-5.7
Louisiana-Monroe	Coastal Carolina	-10.3	-11.4	-12.8
Vanderbilt	Ole Miss	-20.1	-17.4	-20.1
LSU	Tennessee	0.8	-0.1	-0.4
Tulane	East Carolina	3.4	3.3	2.4
Oklahoma St.	Texas Tech	13.8	13.8	13.5
Oklahoma	Texas	2.1	2.0	3.4
Alabama	Texas A&M	25.0	23.6	25.3
Troy	Southern Miss.	6.9	7.0	8.3
Mississippi St.	Arkansas	4.5	4.8	3.5
Northwestern	Wisconsin	-12.3	-10.6	-12.7
Illinois	Iowa	-1.1	0.7	-0.6
Navy	Tulsa	-4.0	-4.2	-5.3
Central Michigan	Ball St.	8.9	9.8	11.3
Northern Illinois	Toledo	1.9	1.2	0.4
UAB	Middle Tennessee	12.1	11.3	12.4
UTSA	Western Kentucky	1.5	0.5	-0.3
Florida Int’l.	Connecticut	-13.8	-12.1	-13.2
Louisiana Tech	UTEP	-3.2	-1.7	-4.5
New Mexico	Wyoming	2.1	0.3	-0.2
Notre Dame	BYU	3.1	3.0	3.6
San Diego St.	Hawaii	25.2	23.6	24.9

Oklahoma-Texas played in Dallas / Notre Dame-BYU played in Las Vegas

No FBS vs. FCS Games This Week

Teams With Byes This Week

Baylor

California

Charlotte

Colorado

Florida Atlantic

Louisiana

Marshall

Minnesota

New Mexico St.

North Texas

Old Dominion

Penn St.

Rice

South Alabama

Syracuse

Temple

West Virginia

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Alabama	132.2
2	Ohio St.	131.3
3	Georgia	130.2
4	Michigan	124.4
5	Clemson	119.3
6	Utah	118.7
7	Minnesota	118.7
8	Oklahoma St.	118.4
9	Tennessee	118.0
10	Penn St.	116.7
11	NC State	116.1
12	T C U	115.4
13	Oklahoma	115.2
14	Ole Miss	115.2
15	Purdue	115.2
16	Mississippi St.	115.1
17	L S U	115.1
18	Arkansas	113.8
19	Baylor	113.6
20	Oregon	113.2
21	Notre Dame	112.8
22	Texas	112.7
23	Maryland	112.6
24	U S C	112.6
25	Iowa	112.6
26	Cincinnati	112.4
27	Kentucky	112.2
28	Kansas St.	112.1
29	Florida St.	111.9
30	Wisconsin	111.1
31	Pittsburgh	110.7
32	Texas A&M	110.6
33	Miami (Fla.)	110.6
34	Michigan St.	110.5
35	U C L A	109.7
36	BYU	109.5
37	Illinois	109.2
38	Washington	109.2
39	Iowa St.	108.9
40	Wake Forest	108.5
41	Louisville	108.2
42	Syracuse	108.2
43	North Carolina	108.1
44	Oregon St.	107.8
45	Texas Tech	107.7
46	South Carolina	107.6
47	Florida	106.7
48	UCF	106.5
49	West Virginia	106.0
50	Auburn	105.8
51	Washington St.	104.9
52	SMU	104.0
53	Missouri	103.1
54	Kansas	102.8
55	Air Force	102.4
56	Nebraska	101.6
57	Tulane	101.4
58	East Carolina	101.3
59	Houston	101.2
60	Arizona St.	100.9
61	Boise St.	100.8
62	Stanford	100.2
63	W. Kentucky	100.2
64	Rutgers	99.6
65	Appalachian St.	99.3
66	Fresno St.	98.9
67	California	98.8
68	Indiana	98.5
69	Boston College	98.4
70	Virginia	98.3
71	Memphis	98.1
72	Liberty	98.0
73	U T S A	97.8
74	James Madison	97.8
75	Tulsa	97.2
76	U A B	97.1
77	Georgia St.	96.6
78	Arizona	96.6
79	Coastal Carolina	96.5
80	Toledo	96.4
81	Northwestern	96.2
82	Army	96.0
83	Troy	95.2
84	N. Illinois	95.0
85	Virginia Tech	94.9
86	Marshall	94.6
87	Duke	94.2
88	Vanderbilt	94.0
89	Georgia Tech	93.9
90	South Alabama	93.3
91	San Jose St.	93.2
92	Miami (Ohio)	93.1
93	San Diego St.	93.0
94	Central Mich.	92.5
95	Louisiana	92.3
96	U N L V	92.2
97	Kent St.	91.1
98	Western Mich.	91.0
99	Ga. Southern	90.8
100	USF	90.7
101	Southern Miss.	90.3
102	Utah St.	89.9
103	Navy	89.6
104	Old Dominion	89.3
105	Florida Atlantic	87.9
106	Middle Tennessee	87.7
107	Colorado	87.5
108	Buffalo	87.4
109	U T E P	86.8
110	North Texas	86.5
111	Wyoming	86.4
112	Arkansas St.	86.2
113	Bowling Green	86.1
114	Nevada	85.6
115	Rice	85.6
116	Ohio	85.4
117	Ball St.	85.0
118	Eastern Mich.	84.7
119	New Mexico	84.2
120	UL-Monroe	82.5
121	Colorado St.	81.8
122	Louisiana Tech	81.2
123	Temple	80.8
124	Connecticut	80.4
125	Texas St.	80.1
126	Charlotte	79.6
127	Akron	76.3
128	Hawaii	71.4
129	New Mexico St.	71.3
130	Massachusetts	71.2
131	Florida Int’l.	64.8

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	112.1	111.6	113.6	112.4
UCF	106.1	106.8	106.7	106.5
SMU	104.3	103.4	104.3	104.0
Tulane	101.7	101.1	101.3	101.4
East Carolina	101.2	100.8	101.9	101.3
Houston	101.5	100.6	101.6	101.2
Memphis	98.0	98.5	97.7	98.1
Tulsa	97.3	96.7	97.5	97.2
USF	91.5	90.2	90.4	90.7
Navy	90.2	89.5	89.2	89.6
Temple	80.8	82.8	78.7	80.8
AAC	98.6	98.3	98.5	98.5
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	119.3	119.1	119.6	119.3
NC State	116.5	115.5	116.3	116.1
Florida St.	112.2	111.8	111.8	111.9
Wake Forest	108.6	108.4	108.5	108.5
Louisville	109.0	108.0	107.8	108.2
Syracuse	109.0	107.9	107.6	108.2
Boston College	98.3	99.5	97.3	98.4
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	111.7	110.5	109.9	110.7
Miami (Fla.)	111.1	109.9	110.7	110.6
North Carolina	108.1	108.3	107.9	108.1
Virginia	99.0	99.1	96.9	98.3
Virginia Tech	95.6	95.8	93.4	94.9
Duke	94.1	96.4	92.0	94.2
Georgia Tech	94.6	94.3	92.8	93.9
ACC	106.2	106.0	105.2	105.8
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma St.	118.9	117.5	118.9	118.4
T C U	116.0	114.8	115.4	115.4
Oklahoma	115.7	114.6	115.3	115.2
Baylor	114.2	113.1	113.6	113.6
Texas	113.6	112.7	111.8	112.7
Kansas St.	112.8	111.5	112.1	112.1
Iowa St.	109.0	108.8	108.8	108.9
Texas Tech	108.0	106.7	108.4	107.7
West Virginia	106.4	106.0	105.7	106.0
Kansas	104.0	102.6	101.8	102.8
Big 12	111.8	110.8	111.2	111.3
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	131.5	130.2	132.2	131.3
Michigan	124.8	123.7	124.7	124.4
Penn St.	116.9	116.9	116.5	116.7
Maryland	112.7	112.7	112.6	112.6
Michigan St.	111.5	110.3	109.7	110.5
Rutgers	100.9	99.9	97.9	99.6
Indiana	99.7	98.9	97.0	98.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Minnesota	118.9	118.2	118.9	118.7
Purdue	116.0	115.1	114.3	115.2
Iowa	113.6	112.4	111.7	112.6
Wisconsin	111.7	111.1	110.5	111.1
Illinois	109.5	110.1	108.1	109.2
Nebraska	102.2	101.9	100.8	101.6
Northwestern	96.4	97.5	94.8	96.2
Big Ten	111.9	111.3	110.7	111.3
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
W. Kentucky	99.5	99.5	101.6	100.2
U T S A	98.0	97.0	98.3	97.8
U A B	96.7	96.7	97.9	97.1
Florida Atlantic	87.6	88.7	87.4	87.9
Middle Tennessee	87.1	87.9	88.0	87.7
U T E P	86.8	86.6	86.9	86.8
North Texas	86.4	85.7	87.5	86.5
Rice	85.6	85.5	85.6	85.6
Louisiana Tech	81.1	82.4	79.9	81.2
Charlotte	79.6	80.2	79.0	79.6
Florida Int’l.	64.4	67.0	63.0	64.8
CUSA	86.6	87.0	86.8	86.8
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	113.2	111.6	113.5	112.8
BYU	110.1	108.6	109.9	109.5
Liberty	96.8	98.4	98.7	98.0
Army	95.9	96.1	96.1	96.0
Connecticut	80.7	81.6	78.8	80.4
New Mexico St.	70.9	72.8	70.2	71.3
Massachusetts	71.8	72.4	69.5	71.2
Independents	91.3	91.6	91.0	91.3
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	91.5	94.0	93.7	93.1
Kent St.	90.3	92.4	90.7	91.1
Buffalo	85.9	88.4	88.0	87.4
Bowling Green	86.8	85.8	85.8	86.1
Ohio	84.2	86.4	85.7	85.4
Akron	76.2	76.8	75.8	76.3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	95.5	96.5	97.1	96.4
N. Illinois	94.9	95.2	95.0	95.0
Central Mich.	91.0	92.8	93.6	92.5
Western Mich.	90.5	91.3	91.2	91.0
Ball St.	84.6	85.6	84.8	85.0
Eastern Mich.	84.6	85.1	84.2	84.7
MAC	88.0	89.2	88.8	88.7
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Air Force	102.1	102.1	103.0	102.4
Boise St.	100.9	100.1	101.5	100.8
Utah St.	89.8	89.7	90.3	89.9
Wyoming	85.3	87.3	86.6	86.4
New Mexico	84.5	84.6	83.4	84.2
Colorado St.	81.6	82.4	81.6	81.8
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	99.0	98.3	99.5	98.9
San Jose St.	92.4	93.2	94.0	93.2
San Diego St.	93.1	92.6	93.1	93.0
U N L V	92.6	90.9	92.9	92.2
Nevada	85.1	86.8	85.0	85.6
Hawaii	70.9	72.1	71.3	71.4
MWC	89.8	90.0	90.2	90.0
Pac-12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	118.4	117.7	120.2	118.7
Oregon	113.6	112.9	113.0	113.2
U S C	112.0	112.6	113.3	112.6
U C L A	109.1	109.2	110.7	109.7
Washington	108.6	109.3	109.7	109.2
Oregon St.	107.8	107.1	108.4	107.8
Washington St.	104.2	105.0	105.4	104.9
Arizona St.	100.9	100.5	101.4	100.9
Stanford	101.7	99.3	99.7	100.2
California	98.4	98.5	99.6	98.8
Arizona	96.7	96.5	96.6	96.6
Colorado	88.6	86.7	87.3	87.5
Pac-12	105.0	104.6	105.4	105.0
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	130.3	128.9	131.3	130.2
Tennessee	117.8	117.9	118.2	118.0
Kentucky	111.6	112.3	112.8	112.2
South Carolina	107.9	107.1	107.7	107.6
Florida	106.1	107.6	106.5	106.7
Missouri	103.1	103.5	102.5	103.1
Vanderbilt	94.2	95.0	92.7	94.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	132.0	131.2	133.4	132.2
Ole Miss	116.3	114.5	114.8	115.2
Mississippi St.	115.8	114.6	115.0	115.1
L S U	115.6	114.8	114.8	115.1
Arkansas	114.3	112.7	114.5	113.8
Texas A&M	110.0	110.6	111.1	110.6
Auburn	106.8	105.4	105.3	105.8
SEC	113.0	112.6	112.9	112.8
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Appalachian St.	97.9	99.5	100.3	99.3
James Madison	95.5	97.5	100.3	97.8
Georgia St.	96.1	95.6	98.2	96.6
Coastal Carolina	95.4	96.7	97.4	96.5
Marshall	94.2	95.1	94.5	94.6
Ga. Southern	90.6	90.5	91.4	90.8
Old Dominion	89.3	89.4	89.2	89.3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Troy	94.3	95.0	96.3	95.2
South Alabama	92.4	93.1	94.3	93.3
Louisiana	91.7	91.9	93.3	92.3
Southern Miss.	89.9	90.5	90.5	90.3
Arkansas St.	85.4	86.9	86.4	86.2
UL-Monroe	82.6	82.8	82.1	82.5
Texas St.	79.5	80.6	80.3	80.1
Sun Belt	91.1	91.8	92.5	91.8

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	112.8
2	Big Ten	111.3
3	Big 12	111.3
4	Atlantic Coast	105.8
5	Pac-12	105.0
6	American Athletic	98.5
7	Sun Belt	91.8
8	Independents	91.3
9	Mountain West	90.0
10	Mid-American	88.7
11	Conference USA	86.8

2022 Debut of Bowl Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	Rice	Western Michigan
Cure	Middle Tennessee	Southern Miss.
Fenway	Notre Dame	Central Florida
New Mexico	UTSA	New Mexico
L.A.	Oregon St.	San Jose St.
Lending Tree	Kent St.	Marshall
Las Vegas	USC	LSU
Frisco	{Kansas}	BYU
Myrtle Beach	{Iowa St.}	Appalachian St.
Famous Idaho Potato	Boise St.	Ball St.
Boca Raton	{Texas Tech}	Coastal Carolina
New Orleans	Troy	UAB
Armed Forces	Houston	Western Kentucky
Independence	SMU	Army
Gasparilla	[South Carolina]	Memphis
Hawaii	UNLV	UTEP
Quick Lane	{Liberty}	Eastern Michigan
Camellia	Miami (O)	South Alabama
First Responder	Tulsa	{Wyoming}
Birmingham	North Texas	[Louisville]
Guaranteed Rate	Texas	[Wisconsin]
Military	Pittsburgh	Tulane
Liberty	Baylor	{Washington St.}
Holiday	UCLA	Syracuse
Texas	Oklahoma	Texas A&M
Pinstripe	North Carolina	Purdue
Cheez-It	Duke	Kansas St.
Alamo	Oklahoma St.	Oregon
Duke’s Mayo	Wake Forest	Maryland
Tony the Tiger	Miami (Fla.)	Washingon
Arizona	Air Force	Toledo
Orange	North Carolina St.	Tennessee
Music City	Iowa	Florida
Sugar	TCU	Ole Miss
TaxSlayer	Mississippi St.	Florida St.
Peach	Alabama	Clemson
Fiesta	Ohio St.	Georgia
Tampa Bay	Minnesota	Kentucky
Citrus	Illinois	Arkansas
Cotton	Penn St.	Cincinnati
Rose	Utah	Michigan
National Championship	Alabama	Ohio St.

{Team} = At-large replacement when team not available

[Team] = Team projected to be 5-7 but receive bid due to highest APR scores

PiRate Ratings College Football–Selection Sunday

This Week’s College Football Game

December 11		PiRate	Mean	Bias
Army	Navy	11.2	11.4	10.4

Final Bowl Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Added Bowl Game*	Ball St.	Nevada
Bahamas	Middle Tennessee	Toledo
Cure	SMU	Appalachian St.
Boca	Kent St.	Liberty
New Mexico	UTEP	San Diego St.
Independence	BYU	UTSA
Lending Tree	Central Michigan	Marshall
L. A.	Utah St.	Oregon St.
New Orleans	UAB	Coastal Carolina
Myrtle Beach	Old Dominion	Georgia St.
Famous Idaho Potato	Western Michigan	Boise St.
Frisco	North Texas	Air Force
Armed Forces	Tulsa	Army
Gasparilla	Louisville	Florida
Hawaii	Memphis	Hawaii
Camellia	Northern Illinois	Louisiana
Quick Lane	Eastern Michigan	Wyoming
Military	Virginia	East Carolina
Birmingham	Houston	South Carolina
First Responder	Western Kentucky	Missouri
Liberty	West Virginia	Mississippi St.
Holiday	North Carolina St.	UCLA
Guaranteed Rate	Maryland	Texas Tech
Fenway	Central Florida	Boston College
Pinstripe	Virginia Tech	Penn St.
Cheez-It	Clemson	Iowa St.
Alamo	Oklahoma	Oregon
Duke’s Mayo	Wake Forest	Tennessee
Music City	Purdue	Auburn
Las Vegas	Wisconsin	Washington St.
Tax Slayer Gator	Miami (Fla.)	Arkansas
Tony The Tiger Sun	North Carolina	Arizona St.
Arizona	Miami (O)	Fresno St.
Citrus	Iowa	Kentucky
Outback	Minnesota	Texas A&M
Texas	Kansas St.	LSU
Peach	Pitt/Wake	Notre Dame
Fiesta	Michigan St.	Oklahoma St.
Rose	Ohio St.	Utah
Sugar	Baylor	Ole Miss
Cotton	Michigan	Georgia
Orange	Alabama	Cincinnati
Championship	Alabama	Georgia

• An extra bowl game was added by the NCAA to ensure all 6-win teams could earn bowl invitations. This extra bowl will be played in the Dallas-Fort Worth area and will include two group of 5 teams.
• Teams in bold have officially accepted the bowl bid.

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	133.8
2	Alabama	132.9
3	Ohio St.	130.4
4	Michigan	127.5
5	Notre Dame	121.9
6	Oklahoma St.	121.5
7	Utah	121.2
8	Oklahoma	120.4
9	Iowa St.	120.1
10	Cincinnati	119.6
11	Texas A&M	118.6
12	Clemson	117.2
13	Wisconsin	116.5
14	Ole Miss	116.2
15	Baylor	116.1
16	U C L A	115.0
17	Penn St.	114.8
18	Arkansas	114.7
19	Auburn	114.1
20	Pittsburgh	113.9
21	Kentucky	113.1
22	NC State	112.7
23	Mississippi St.	112.0
24	Tennessee	111.9
25	L S U	111.5
26	Purdue	111.4
27	Minnesota	111.1
28	Arizona St.	110.3
29	Oregon St.	110.3
30	North Carolina	110.2
31	Miami (Fla.)	110.1
32	BYU	109.8
33	Louisiana	109.7
34	Florida	109.6
35	West Virginia	109.4
36	Wake Forest	109.3
37	Kansas St.	109.3
38	Nebraska	109.3
39	Iowa	109.3
40	Appalachian St.	109.2
41	Washington St.	109.2
42	Oregon	109.0
43	Michigan St.	108.2
44	Texas	107.5
45	Boise St.	106.4
46	Houston	106.0
47	Nevada	105.4
48	Louisville	105.3
49	Florida St.	105.3
50	Coastal Carolina	104.7
51	California	104.6
52	Texas Tech	104.2
53	Fresno St.	104.1
54	Air Force	103.9
55	U S C	103.6
56	Virginia	103.4
57	Washington	103.1
58	Virginia Tech	102.6
59	Army	102.5
60	Central Michigan	102.1
61	T C U	101.8
62	SMU	101.8
63	Illinois	101.6
64	Western Kentucky	101.4
65	South Carolina	100.6
66	Missouri	100.3
67	East Carolina	100.0
68	Maryland	99.9
69	Utah St.	99.5
70	Toledo	99.4
71	Boston College	99.3
72	UCF	98.8
73	Tulsa	98.7
74	Georgia St.	98.7
75	Liberty	98.6
76	Colorado	98.6
77	Miami (Ohio)	98.4
78	San Diego St.	98.4
79	U A B	98.2
80	Syracuse	97.9
81	U T S A	97.7
82	Tulane	95.2
83	Georgia Tech	95.1
84	Memphis	94.6
85	Western Michigan	94.5
86	Stanford	94.3
87	Marshall	94.3
88	Rutgers	93.8
89	Ball St.	93.8
90	Indiana	93.3
91	Hawaii	92.9
92	Wyoming	92.4
93	Arizona	92.3
94	Eastern Michigan	92.1
95	Northwestern	91.9
96	Northern Illinois	91.7
97	Navy	91.5
98	Kent St.	90.4
99	North Texas	90.3
100	Middle Tennessee	90.2
101	South Alabama	89.8
102	Colorado St.	88.9
103	San Jose St.	88.6
104	Buffalo	88.3
105	Troy	88.0
106	USF	87.4
107	Georgia Southern	87.0
108	Florida Atlantic	86.3
109	Ohio	86.1
110	Kansas	85.7
111	Old Dominion	85.7
112	U N L V	85.2
113	U T E P	84.5
114	Vanderbilt	84.0
115	UL-Monroe	83.2
116	Texas St.	83.0
117	Arkansas St.	82.8
118	Duke	80.2
119	Rice	80.0
120	Louisiana Tech	79.7
121	New Mexico	78.0
122	Southern Miss.	77.6
123	Bowling Green	77.1
124	Charlotte	77.0
125	Akron	72.5
126	Temple	72.4
127	New Mexico St.	71.8
128	Connecticut	68.6
129	Florida Int’l.	65.9
130	UMass	64.1

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	119.3	118.9	120.7	119.6
Houston	105.9	105.4	106.6	106.0
SMU	101.7	101.5	102.1	101.8
East Carolina	99.8	99.5	100.8	100.0
UCF	99.0	97.7	99.8	98.8
Tulsa	98.5	98.5	99.1	98.7
Tulane	95.2	94.2	96.1	95.2
Memphis	94.1	94.3	95.3	94.6
Navy	91.3	91.1	92.1	91.5
USF	87.4	86.9	88.0	87.4
Temple	72.3	73.0	71.8	72.4
AAC Averages	96.8	96.5	97.5	96.9
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	116.7	116.8	118.0	117.2
NC State	112.5	112.3	113.2	112.7
Wake Forest	109.3	109.1	109.6	109.3
Louisville	104.9	105.0	105.9	105.3
Florida St.	104.9	105.2	105.7	105.3
Boston College	99.4	99.2	99.3	99.3
Syracuse	98.0	98.0	97.8	97.9
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	113.4	114.3	114.2	113.9
North Carolina	109.7	109.7	111.1	110.2
Miami (Fla.)	110.4	109.8	110.2	110.1
Virginia	103.3	103.8	103.0	103.4
Virginia Tech	103.0	102.5	102.4	102.6
Georgia Tech	95.1	95.1	95.0	95.1
Duke	80.6	80.7	79.3	80.2
ACC Averages	104.4	104.4	104.6	104.5
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma St.	121.8	121.5	121.3	121.5
Oklahoma	121.2	119.6	120.3	120.4
Iowa St.	120.8	119.4	120.1	120.1
Baylor	116.5	115.9	115.8	116.1
West Virginia	110.7	109.1	108.4	109.4
Kansas St.	110.1	109.3	108.5	109.3
Texas	108.5	106.8	107.2	107.5
Texas Tech	104.5	104.5	103.7	104.2
T C U	102.9	101.4	101.2	101.8
Kansas	87.4	85.7	83.9	85.7
Big 12 Averages	110.4	109.3	109.0	109.6
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	130.0	130.0	131.3	130.4
Michigan	126.6	127.5	128.4	127.5
Penn St.	114.0	114.6	115.8	114.8
Michigan St.	108.0	108.1	108.6	108.2
Maryland	100.6	99.7	99.4	99.9
Rutgers	93.2	94.7	93.5	93.8
Indiana	93.3	93.0	93.4	93.3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Wisconsin	116.1	115.9	117.3	116.5
Purdue	110.8	110.8	112.6	111.4
Minnesota	110.3	111.0	112.2	111.1
Nebraska	109.0	109.1	109.8	109.3
Iowa	109.1	108.9	109.9	109.3
Illinois	101.1	101.6	102.2	101.6
Northwestern	92.0	92.0	91.8	91.9
Big Ten Averages	108.2	108.4	109.0	108.5
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Western Kentucky	100.3	101.7	102.2	101.4
Marshall	94.0	94.3	94.7	94.3
Middle Tennessee	89.7	90.2	90.7	90.2
Florida Atlantic	86.0	86.7	86.2	86.3
Old Dominion	84.8	85.9	86.3	85.7
Charlotte	76.6	77.2	77.2	77.0
Florida Int’l.	65.9	65.9	65.8	65.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U A B	98.0	98.4	98.3	98.2
U T S A	97.2	98.0	98.0	97.7
North Texas	89.9	90.5	90.6	90.3
U T E P	84.2	85.2	84.0	84.5
Rice	80.1	80.1	79.8	80.0
Louisiana Tech	80.0	80.2	78.8	79.7
Southern Miss.	77.4	78.0	77.4	77.6
CUSA Averages	86.0	86.6	86.4	86.3
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	121.1	121.9	122.7	121.9
BYU	109.8	109.5	110.0	109.8
Army	102.5	102.5	102.5	102.5
Liberty	98.5	98.6	98.6	98.6
New Mexico St.	72.1	72.7	70.7	71.8
Connecticut	69.0	69.5	67.2	68.6
UMass	65.2	64.6	62.4	64.1
Indep. Averages	91.2	91.3	90.6	91.0
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	99.6	98.3	97.3	98.4
Kent St.	90.4	91.1	89.7	90.4
Buffalo	89.2	88.1	87.5	88.3
Ohio	86.0	86.5	85.9	86.1
Bowling Green	77.6	77.8	75.8	77.1
Akron	73.6	72.6	71.4	72.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Central Michigan	102.9	101.8	101.5	102.1
Toledo	99.8	99.4	98.9	99.4
Western Michigan	94.8	94.8	93.7	94.5
Ball St.	94.8	94.2	92.5	93.8
Eastern Michigan	93.4	92.1	90.8	92.1
Northern Illinois	92.5	91.7	90.9	91.7
MAC Averages	91.2	90.7	89.7	90.5
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	106.1	106.3	106.7	106.4
Air Force	103.5	103.8	104.5	103.9
Utah St.	99.1	99.9	99.6	99.5
Wyoming	92.0	92.4	92.8	92.4
Colorado St.	89.1	88.9	88.8	88.9
New Mexico	78.5	78.3	77.1	78.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Nevada	105.0	106.0	105.3	105.4
Fresno St.	103.2	104.3	104.9	104.1
San Diego St.	98.6	98.4	98.1	98.4
Hawaii	93.0	92.9	92.8	92.9
San Jose St.	88.9	89.0	87.8	88.6
U N L V	85.3	85.0	85.4	85.2
MWC Averages	95.2	95.4	95.3	95.3
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oregon St.	109.9	110.5	110.6	110.3
Washington St.	108.6	109.6	109.4	109.2
Oregon	108.2	109.1	109.7	109.0
California	103.0	105.6	105.3	104.6
Washington	102.7	103.4	103.1	103.1
Stanford	94.2	94.8	94.0	94.3
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	120.9	121.3	121.3	121.2
U C L A	114.5	115.1	115.4	115.0
Arizona St.	109.8	110.5	110.8	110.3
U S C	103.7	103.4	103.6	103.6
Colorado	98.6	98.7	98.4	98.6
Arizona	92.2	92.3	92.3	92.3
Pac-12 Averages	105.5	106.2	106.2	106.0
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	133.4	133.6	134.4	133.8
Kentucky	112.6	113.6	113.1	113.1
Tennessee	111.8	111.7	112.0	111.9
Florida	109.2	110.1	109.4	109.6
South Carolina	101.1	100.7	100.2	100.6
Missouri	100.4	100.7	99.9	100.3
Vanderbilt	84.1	84.0	83.9	84.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	133.0	132.4	133.3	132.9
Texas A&M	118.4	118.8	118.5	118.6
Ole Miss	116.0	116.1	116.3	116.2
Arkansas	114.7	114.7	114.7	114.7
Auburn	114.3	113.7	114.4	114.1
Mississippi St.	111.8	112.1	112.0	112.0
L S U	111.1	111.8	111.7	111.5
SEC Averages	112.3	112.4	112.4	112.4
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Appalachian St.	108.9	108.7	110.1	109.2
Coastal Carolina	105.5	103.8	104.6	104.7
Georgia St.	98.8	98.3	98.9	98.7
Troy	88.1	87.9	88.1	88.0
Georgia Southern	86.9	87.1	87.0	87.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisiana	110.0	109.2	110.0	109.7
South Alabama	90.1	89.8	89.4	89.8
UL-Monroe	83.5	83.4	82.7	83.2
Texas St.	83.8	82.4	82.8	83.0
Arkansas St.	83.1	83.0	82.3	82.8
Sun Averages	93.9	93.4	93.6	93.6

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	112.4
2	Big 12	109.6
3	Big Ten	108.5
4	Pac-12	106.0
5	Atlantic Coast	104.5
6	American Athletic	96.9
7	Mountain West	95.3
8	Sun Belt	93.6
9	Independents	91.0
10	Mid-American	90.5
11	Conference USA	86.3