The Pi-Rate Ratings

January 13, 2020

PiRate Ratings For Conference Championship Round January 19, 2020

Margins

Home

Visitor

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Kansas City

Tennessee

5.5

6.0

7.0

San Francisco

Green Bay

7.3

7.8

7.5

Totals

Home

Visitor

Total

Kansas City

Tennessee

51

 

San Francisco

Green Bay

49.5

December 23, 2019

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 17: December 29, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

 

Home

Visitor

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Baltimore

Pittsburgh

13.8

13.6

14.0

Buffalo

N.Y. Jets

8.3

8.6

9.4

Carolina

New Orleans

-14.7

-13.4

-13.7

Cincinnati

Cleveland

-4.1

-4.5

-4.3

Dallas

Washington

16.0

15.4

15.5

Detroit

Green Bay

-7.2

-8.7

-9.2

Houston

Tennessee

1.4

1.7

1.7

Jacksonville

Indianapolis

-7.8

-8.5

-8.0

Kansas City

LA Chargers

9.2

10.2

10.9

Minnesota

Chicago

6.7

7.8

8.0

New England

Miami

21.7

22.0

21.6

N. Y. Giants

Philadelphia

-7.2

-5.7

-5.0

Tampa Bay

Atlanta

1.5

2.5

2.9

Denver

Oakland

7.1

7.6

7.3

LA Rams

Arizona

9.4

8.3

8.1

Seattle

San Francisco

-3.0

-3.9

-3.9

 

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

 

Home

Visitor

Total

Baltimore

Pittsburgh

44

Buffalo

N.Y. Jets

38

Carolina

New Orleans

53

Cincinnati

Cleveland

47.5

Dallas

Washington

41.5

Detroit

Green Bay

47.5

Houston

Tennessee

45

Jacksonville

Indianapolis

41

Kansas City

LA Chargers

51.5

Minnesota

Chicago

38.5

New England

Miami

48

N. Y. Giants

Philadelphia

49

Tampa Bay

Atlanta

55.5

Denver

Oakland

44.5

LA Rams

Arizona

51

Seattle

San Francisco

49.5

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

 

Current NFL PiRate Ratings

A F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New England

108.0

108.7

108.2

108.3

19.5

12-3

Buffalo

102.0

103.0

103.0

102.7

17

10-5

N. Y. Jets

94.7

95.4

94.6

94.9

21

6-9

Miami

89.4

89.7

89.6

89.6

28.5

4-11

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Baltimore

111.7

111.9

112.7

112.1

25

13-2

Pittsburgh

98.9

99.4

99.7

99.3

19

8-7

Cleveland

97.8

97.9

97.8

97.8

24

6-9

Cincinnati

92.7

92.4

92.5

92.5

23.5

1-14

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Houston

102.2

102.7

102.7

102.6

23.5

10-5

Tennessee

101.8

102.0

102.0

101.9

21.5

8-7

Indianapolis

100.1

100.9

100.3

100.4

23

7-8

Jacksonville

91.3

91.4

91.3

91.3

18

5-10

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Kansas City

107.0

107.7

107.7

107.5

29.5

11-4

LA Chargers

100.4

100.0

99.3

99.9

22

5-10

Denver

99.0

99.3

99.1

99.1

19

6-9

Oakland

92.8

92.7

92.8

92.8

25.5

7-8

N F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Dallas

104.2

104.3

103.9

104.1

22

7-8

Philadelphia

101.9

100.7

100.5

101.0

23.5

8-7

N.Y. Giants

93.7

94.0

94.4

94.0

25.5

4-11

Washington

91.3

91.9

91.4

91.5

19.5

3-12

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Minnesota

106.8

105.7

105.8

106.1

21.5

10-5

Green Bay

103.8

103.8

104.2

103.9

24

12-3

Chicago

101.1

98.9

98.8

99.6

17

7-8

Detroit

95.0

93.6

93.5

94.1

23.5

3-11-1

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New Orleans

108.7

107.2

107.7

107.9

27

12-3

Tampa Bay

101.1

102.3

102.6

102.0

29.5

7-8

Atlanta

100.6

100.8

100.7

100.7

26

6-9

Carolina

93.0

92.8

93.0

92.9

26

5-10

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

San Francisco

107.2

107.9

108.1

107.7

26

12-3

LA Rams

104.5

103.6

104.0

104.0

26.5

8-7

Seattle

101.2

101.0

101.2

101.1

23.5

11-4

Arizona

96.1

96.3

96.9

96.4

24.5

5-9-1

 

 

 

Week 17 Playoff Scenarios

 

NFC

If San Francisco, New Orleans, and Green Bay all win, San Francisco is  the #1 seed, Green Bay the #2 seed, and New Orleans the #3 seed.

If Seattle beats San Francisco, then Green Bay will get #1 seed with win over Detroit.

If Seattle beats San Francisco, and Detroit beats Green Bay, then New Orleans gets #1 seed with a win over Carolina.

If Seatlle beats San Francisco, and Green Bay and New Orleans lose, Seattle gets the #1 seed.

Philadelphia wins the NFC East with a win over the Giants or a Dallas loss to Washington. Any ties in the standings would go to Dallas.

Minnesota is #6 seed regardless of week 17 results.

 

AFC

Houston has clinched the #1 seed in the AFC

New England clinches the #2 seed with a win over Miami or a Kansas City loss to the Chargers.

Houston can pass Kansas City for the #3 seed with a win over Tennessee and a loss by Kansas City.

Buffalo is the #5 seed regardless of week 17 results.

Tennessee wins the #6 seed if they beat Houston, or with a loss with Pittsburgh losing to Baltimore while both Oakland and Indianapolis do not win.

Pittsburgh wins the #6 seed only if they win and the Titans lose.

Oakland can clinch the #6 seed with a win over Denver, plus losses by Tennessee and Pittsburgh and Indianapolis beating Jacksonville.

 

PiRate Ratings Playoff Projections

 

What are the chances that the Oakland Raiders, in their last season playing in Oakland, could sneak into the NFL Playoffs?  It ranges from + or – 10-15% depending on which advanced metric expert you listen to.  We’re sabermetric experts that do not perform these type of metrics on pro football.

The way we look at things, Baltimore has nothing to gain this week against Pittsburgh in their season finale.  Their key players should play little or not at all.  Can the Steelers with poor quarterback play rise up and beat the Ravens’ reserves if they couldn’t beat the Jets last week?

Tennessee has now dropped two games in a row to playoff teams in Houston and New Orleans, both at home.  Houston may have a chance to move up to a #3 seed if Kansas City is upset earlier in the day.  

Oakland closes out regular season play at Denver, where the Broncos have nothing to play for in Week 17.

Indianapolis is playing solely to get to 8-8, while Jacksonville has nothing to play for in Week 17.

We think Oakland’s chances to sneak in as the final playoff team is considerably better than 15%.  In fact, just because it would make such a great story, we are going to select the Raiders as our 6th seed to set up a probably Oakland finale against their most hated rivals.

 

AFC Seeding

1

Baltimore

2

New England

3

Kansas City

4

Houston

5

Buffalo

6

Oakland

 

 

NFC Seeding

1

Green Bay

2

New Orleans

3

Seattle

4

Philadelphia

5

San Francisco

6

Minnesota

 

Wildcard Round

Kansas City over Oakland

Buffalo over Houston

Minnesota over Seattle

San Francisco over Philadelphia

 

 

Divisional Round

Buffalo over Baltimore

Kansas City over New England

Green Bay over Minnesota

New Orleans over San Francisco

 

 

Conference Championship

Kansas City over Buffalo

New Orleans over Green Bay

 

 

Super Bowl 54

New Orleans over Kansas City

 

 

December 16, 2019

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 16: December 21-23, 2019

Filed under: Pro Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 10:33 pm

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home

Visitor

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Tampa Bay

Houston

2.2

3.4

4.1

New England

Buffalo

9.2

8.9

8.4

San Francisco

LA Rams

5.9

7.7

7.7

Atlanta

Jacksonville

11.8

11.9

11.9

Tennessee

New Orleans

-4.0

-1.9

-2.4

Washington

N. Y. Giants

0.7

1.2

0.5

N. Y. Jets

Pittsburgh

-2.7

-2.7

-4.2

Miami

Cincinnati

-1.2

-0.8

-1.2

Indianapolis

Carolina

5.7

6.7

5.9

Cleveland

Baltimore

-10.8

-10.6

-11.5

LA Chargers

Oakland

12.7

12.7

12.1

Denver

Detroit

6.7

8.5

8.2

Seattle

Arizona

12.1

11.6

11.3

Philadelphia

Dallas

-0.6

-2.2

-2.3

Chicago

Kansas City

0.1

-2.9

-2.8

Minnesota

Green Bay

9.6

8.5

8.4

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

Home

Visitor

Total

Tampa Bay

Houston

54

New England

Buffalo

36.5

San Francisco

LA Rams

51.5

Atlanta

Jacksonville

44

Tennessee

New Orleans

46.5

Washington

N. Y. Giants

43

N. Y. Jets

Pittsburgh

41

Miami

Cincinnati

50

Indianapolis

Carolina

49

Cleveland

Baltimore

49

LA Chargers

Oakland

47.5

Denver

Detroit

42.5

Seattle

Arizona

49

Philadelphia

Dallas

47.5

Chicago

Kansas City

47.5

Minnesota

Green Bay

46.5

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New England

108.1

108.8

108.3

108.4

19.5

11-3

Buffalo

101.9

102.9

102.9

102.6

17

10-4

N. Y. Jets

94.2

94.8

93.8

94.3

21.5

5-9

Miami

89.2

89.4

89.2

89.3

27.5

3-11

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Baltimore

111.6

111.7

112.5

112.0

25

12-2

Pittsburgh

99.4

100.0

100.5

99.9

19.5

8-6

Cleveland

97.9

98.1

98.0

98.0

24

6-8

Cincinnati

92.9

92.7

92.9

92.8

22.5

1-13

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Tennessee

102.0

102.4

102.4

102.3

20.5

8-6

Houston

102.0

102.3

102.1

102.2

24

9-5

Indianapolis

97.9

98.7

98.1

98.2

23

6-8

Jacksonville

91.3

91.4

91.3

91.3

18

5-9

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Kansas City

105.2

106.0

105.9

105.7

30

10-4

LA Chargers

102.0

101.7

101.1

101.6

22

5-9

Denver

98.9

99.2

98.9

99.0

19

5-9

Oakland

91.2

91.0

91.0

91.1

25.5

6-8

 

 

N F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Dallas

104.8

105.1

104.8

104.9

23

7-7

Philadelphia

101.3

99.9

99.6

100.2

24.5

7-7

N.Y. Giants

93.4

93.6

93.9

93.6

24.5

3-11

Washington

91.6

92.3

91.9

91.9

18.5

3-11

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Minnesota

108.6

107.5

107.7

108.0

22

10-4

Green Bay

102.0

102.0

102.3

102.1

24.5

11-3

Chicago

102.9

100.6

100.6

101.4

17.5

7-7

Detroit

95.1

93.7

93.7

94.2

23.5

3-10-1

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New Orleans

108.5

106.8

107.3

107.5

26

11-3

Tampa Bay

101.3

102.7

103.2

102.4

30

7-7

Atlanta

100.6

100.8

100.7

100.7

26

5-9

Carolina

95.2

95.0

95.2

95.1

26

5-9

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

San Francisco

107.3

108.1

108.4

107.9

25.5

11-3

LA Rams

104.4

103.4

103.7

103.8

26

8-6

Seattle

103.2

103.0

103.2

103.1

24

11-3

Arizona

94.1

94.3

94.9

94.4

25

4-9-1

 

Playoff Projections

 

AFC Seeding

1

Baltimore

2

New England

3

Kansas City

4

Houston

5

Buffalo

6

Pittsburgh

NFC Seeding

1

New Orleans

2

Seattle

3

Green Bay

4

Philadelphia

5

San Francisco

6

Minnesota

 

Wildcard Round

Kansas City over Pittsburgh

Buffalo over Houston

Green Bay over Minnesota

San Francisco over Philadelphia

 

 

Divisional Round

Baltimore over Buffalo

New England over Kansas City

New Orleans over San Francisco

Seattle over Green Bay

 

 

Conference Championship

Baltimore over New England

Seattle over New Orleans

 

 

Super Bowl 54

Seattle over Baltimore

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

December 2, 2019

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 14: December 5-9, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

 

Margins

Home

Visitor

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Chicago

Dallas

2.6

-0.6

-0.2

Atlanta

Carolina

3.3

3.5

2.8

Buffalo

Baltimore

-6.3

-5.3

-6.2

Cleveland

Cincinnati

8.0

8.4

8.1

Green Bay

Washington

13.6

13.0

13.7

Houston

Denver

8.1

8.0

8.1

Minnesota

Detroit

11.5

11.5

11.6

New Orleans

San Francisco

1.4

-1.4

-1.7

N. Y. Jets

Miami

8.5

8.8

8.1

Tampa Bay

Indianapolis

2.6

3.6

4.4

Jacksonville

LA Chargers

-4.3

-3.9

-3.5

Arizona

Pittsburgh

-3.6

-3.7

-3.6

New England

Kansas City

9.0

9.1

8.9

Oakland

Tennessee

-4.5

-5.2

-4.7

LA Rams

Seattle

4.2

3.0

3.1

Philadelphia

N. Y. Giants

12.1

10.4

9.7

 

Totals

 

Home

Visitor

Total

Chicago

Dallas

38

Atlanta

Carolina

51

Buffalo

Baltimore

42

Cleveland

Cincinnati

45.5

Green Bay

Washington

42.5

Houston

Denver

41

Minnesota

Detroit

47.5

New Orleans

San Francisco

49

N. Y. Jets

Miami

48.5

Tampa Bay

Indianapolis

51.5

Jacksonville

LA Chargers

39.5

Arizona

Pittsburgh

44

New England

Kansas City

51.5

Oakland

Tennessee

44

LA Rams

Seattle

50.5

Philadelphia

N. Y. Giants

49.5

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

 

Current NFL PiRate Ratings

A F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New England

108.9

109.6

109.1

109.2

20.5

10-2

Buffalo

101.8

102.9

102.8

102.5

17.5

9-3

N. Y. Jets

94.9

95.6

94.7

95.1

21

4-8

Miami

89.5

89.7

89.5

89.6

27.5

3-9

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Baltimore

111.1

111.1

112.0

111.4

24.5

10-2

Pittsburgh

99.5

100.0

100.4

99.9

20

7-5

Cleveland

99.2

99.5

99.5

99.4

23

5-7

Cincinnati

93.2

93.1

93.4

93.2

22.5

1-11

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Houston

103.1

103.4

103.2

103.3

23

8-4

Tennessee

100.9

101.4

101.3

101.2

19.5

7-5

Indianapolis

99.3

100.1

99.6

99.7

22.5

6-6

Jacksonville

93.6

93.8

93.6

93.7

18.5

4-8

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Kansas City

102.9

103.5

103.2

103.2

31

8-4

LA Chargers

101.0

100.7

100.1

100.6

21

4-8

Denver

98.1

98.4

98.1

98.2

18

4-8

Oakland

93.4

93.3

93.6

93.4

24.5

6-6

 

 

N F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Dallas

103.3

103.9

103.5

103.6

21

6-6

Philadelphia

102.0

100.4

100.0

100.8

24.5

5-7

N.Y. Giants

91.9

92.0

92.2

92.0

25

2-10

Washington

91.4

92.2

91.8

91.8

18

3-9

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Minnesota

106.4

105.0

105.2

105.6

23

8-4

Green Bay

102.0

102.2

102.5

102.2

24.5

9-3

Chicago

103.0

100.3

100.3

101.2

17

6-6

Detroit

97.4

96.0

96.1

96.5

24.5

3-8-1

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New Orleans

107.4

105.5

105.8

106.2

25

10-2

Tampa Bay

98.9

100.6

101.0

100.2

29

5-7

Atlanta

97.5

97.5

97.1

97.3

25.5

3-9

Carolina

96.6

96.5

96.8

96.6

25.5

5-7

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

San Francisco

109.0

109.9

110.5

109.8

24

10-2

LA Rams

105.5

104.3

104.7

104.8

25.5

7-5

Seattle

104.3

104.3

104.6

104.4

25

10-2

Arizona

93.0

93.2

93.8

93.3

24

3-8-1

 

This Week’s Playoff Projections

 

AFC Seeding

1

Baltimore

2

New England

3

Houston

4

Kansas City

5

Buffalo

6

Pittsburgh

 

 

NFC Seeding

1

Seattle

2

New Orleans

3

Green Bay

4

Dallas

5

San Francisco

6

Minnesota

Wildcard Round

Houston over Pittsburgh

Buffalo over Kansas City

Green Bay over Minnesota

San Francisco over Dallas

 

 

Divisional Round

Buffalo over Baltimore

Houston over New England

Seattle over San Francisco

New Orleans over Green Bay

 

 

Conference Championship

Houston over Buffalo

Seattle over New Orleans

 

 

Super Bowl 54

Seattle over Houston

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

November 26, 2019

PiRate Ratings Picks For November 28-December 2, 2019

Filed under: PiRate Picks_College & Pro — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 11:08 am

We are putting out this feature a couple days early this week for the obvious reason that in the United States, Thursday is Thanksgiving Day (for those two to three thousand of you reading this from South America, Europe, Africa, and Asia).

We received a request to show you what our results have been in picking games this year.  At first, we felt like this is something that should not be published for two reasons.  First, this is a downright terrible year for our selections, and I am sure that if I took the hours of time needed to calculate pretend money exchange, and then I pretended that each game considered of a $100 base for the wager, that the result would be quite negative.

On the other hand, I have done a couple weeks of calculating, and actually, the results are positive, especially on the Davey19 experimental selections.  And, mostly for this reason, I didn’t want to publish the results, because it would contribute to some guy or gal out there all of a sudden reading this with the false idea that we are smart here on the PiRate ship.  I am an old softie.  I don’t want to imagine somebody reading this post, thinking that this is the best advice since Benjamin Graham wrote The Intelligent Investor, and then proceed to lose the money that would pay for Christmas, their house note, and their car note.

Please, please, please, do not wager real money from information you read on this site.  Does it not speak volumes that nobody here in PiRate Land has ever bet $1 on anything published here?  Actually, the only “betting” any of us have ever done has been made on the premise that contrarian value investing of blue chip stocks will always post positive returns in a 10-year period.  If you want to take any advice from her today, it’s that as early as possible in your lifetime, try to invest regularly in your future and do so by reading as much as you can about what has worked for small individual investors for 130 years.

That said, please take the following with a grain of wet salt.  Last week’s Davey19 selections went 7-0.  Wagering the $100 in imaginary dollars on every game, your return on $700 invested would have been $1,400 with a return on investment of 100%.  

We looked back at the week before, and the Davey19 picks went 4-2-1 for a return on investment of 28.6% (700 invested and 900 returned).

As for the regular PiRate Picks, since each game has a different potential return, we are not going to spend all the time to figure out each week’s return, especially since we don’t want you thinking that we have discovered the elixir that some of the Smarts in Nevada and in the Caribbean drank from.

Last week, if you count each wager as a $100 wager, we issued 5 selections for $500.  The return on the wins at hot odds would have been $637 for a profit of $137 or a return on investment of 27.4%.

Without going back a couple months, I know for sure that some of our weekly picks would have cost you several C-notes.  So, once again, these picks cost you nothing, and you should consider the value to be worth your expense.

Here are our picks for this week.

PiRate Picks

7-point

Teasers

14-10

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Iowa

Nebraska

12.5

Nebraska

Missouri

Arkansas

5

Missouri

Boise St.

Colorado St.

6.5

Boise St.

 

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Appalachian St.

Troy

6

Appy St.

Illinois

Northwestern

2.5

Illinois

Purdue

Indiana

0.5

Indiana

 

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Marshall

Florida Int’l.

Pk

Marshall

Charlotte

Old Dominion

1.5

Charlotte

West. Kentucky

Middle Tenn.

1.5

West. Kentucky

 

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

UTEP

Rice

0.5

Rice

Florida Atlantic

Southern Miss.

1.5

Fla. Atlantic

North Carolina

NC St.

1

North Carolina

 

 

10-point

Teasers

10-12

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Texas

Texas Tech

Pk

Texas

Ball St.

Miami (O)

13

Miami (O)

Toledo

Central Michigan

0.5

Central Mich.

 

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Memphis

Cincinnati

1

Memphis

Arkansas St.

South Alabama

3

Arkansas St.

Notre Dame

Stanford

6

Notre Dame

 

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

North Texas

UAB

10

UAB

Georgia Southern

Georgia St.

17.5

Georgia St.

UCLA

California

12.5

California

 

 

13-point

Teasers

10-13

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Northern Illinois

Western Michigan

4.5

Western Mich.

Miss. State

Ole Miss

16

Ole Miss

Virginia

Virginia Tech

10.5

Va. Tech

TCU

West Virginia

Pk

TCU

 

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Kentucky

Louisville

16

Louisville

Michigan

Ohio St.

4

Ohio St.

Liberty

N. Mexico St.

0.5

Liberty

Wisconsin

Minnesota

15.5

Minnesota

 

 

Money Line

Parlays

#1  3-Teams

@+227

Winner

Loser

UAB

North Texas

Western Ky.

Middle Tenn.

Texas

Texas Tech

 

 

#2 3-Teams

@+207

Winner

Loser

Virginia Tech

Virginia

Rice

UTEP

Utah St.

New Mexico

 

 

#3 4-Teams

@+211

Winner

Loser

North Carolina

NC St.

Washington

Washington St.

Illinois

Northwestern

Temple

Connecticut

 

 

NFL 7-point

Teaser

14-10

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Jacksonville

Tampa Bay

8.5

Tampa Bay

Cleveland

Pittsburgh

9

Pittsburgh

Kansas City

Oakland

3

Kansas City

 

 

NFL 10-point

Teaser

10-12

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Detroit

Chicago

7.5

Chicago

Buffalo

Dallas

3.5

Dallas

Carolina

Washington

17

Washington

 

 

NFL 13-point

Teaser

10-13

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Tennessee

Indianapolis

10.5

Indianapolis

Cincinnati

N.Y. Jets

9.5

N.Y. Jets

N.Y. Giants

Green Bay

7

Green Bay

Denver

LA Chargers

10.5

LA Chargers

 

 

Davey19

Experimental and Mechanical Picks

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Mississippi St.

Ole Miss

3

Ole Miss

Virginia Tech

Virginia

2.5

Virginia Tech

Wake Forest

Syracuse

3.5

Wake Forest

Air Force

Wyoming

10.5

Wyoming

Rice

UTEP

6.5

Rice

UAB

North Texas

Pk

UAB

UCLA

California

2.5

California

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

November 18, 2019

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 12: November 21-25, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Margins

Home

Visitor

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Houston

Indianapolis

4.5

3.9

3.9

Cleveland

Miami

15.1

15.1

15.5

Buffalo

Denver

2.5

3.4

3.2

Cincinnati

Pittsburgh

-5.0

-5.6

-5.7

Chicago

N.Y. Giants

12.9

9.6

9.4

N.Y. Jets

Oakland

-1.0

-0.1

-1.8

New Orleans

Carolina

13.1

10.8

10.9

Atlanta

Tampa Bay

6.5

5.0

4.3

Washington

Detroit

-6.3

-4.3

-5.3

Tennessee

Jacksonville

4.0

4.1

3.5

New England

Dallas

7.1

7.5

7.5

San Francisco

Green Bay

5.4

6.2

6.2

Philadelphia

Seattle

5.5

3.9

3.4

LA Rams

Baltimore

1.4

0.1

-0.7

 

Totals

Home

Visitor

Total

Houston

Indianapolis

45

Cleveland

Miami

48.5

Buffalo

Denver

36

Cincinnati

Pittsburgh

44

Chicago

N.Y. Giants

43.5

N.Y. Jets

Oakland

46.5

New Orleans

Carolina

48.5

Atlanta

Tampa Bay

55

Washington

Detroit

43.5

Tennessee

Jacksonville

36

New England

Dallas

43

San Francisco

Green Bay

49.5

Philadelphia

Seattle

50.5

LA Rams

Baltimore

50.5

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

 

A F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New England

109.6

110.5

110.2

110.1

21

9-1

Buffalo

98.9

100.0

99.6

99.5

17.5

7-3

N. Y. Jets

93.3

94.2

93.1

93.5

21.5

3-7

Miami

87.5

87.8

87.5

87.6

26

2-8

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Baltimore

108.1

108.1

109.2

108.5

25

8-2

Cleveland

99.6

99.9

100.0

99.8

22.5

4-6

Pittsburgh

99.2

99.6

99.9

99.5

20.5

5-5

Cincinnati

91.7

91.4

91.7

91.6

23.5

0-10

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Houston

102.4

102.6

102.3

102.5

23

6-4

Indianapolis

100.9

101.8

101.4

101.4

22

6-4

Tennessee

98.0

98.3

97.9

98.1

17.5

5-5

Jacksonville

97.0

97.3

97.4

97.2

18.5

4-6

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Kansas City

100.4

100.9

100.5

100.6

31

7-4

LA Chargers

100.8

100.6

100.0

100.4

21

4-7

Denver

99.4

99.6

99.4

99.5

18.5

3-7

Oakland

97.3

97.3

97.9

97.5

25

6-4

 

 

N F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Dallas

105.5

106.0

105.7

105.7

22

6-4

Philadelphia

105.2

103.6

103.3

104.0

24.5

5-5

N.Y. Giants

92.8

93.1

93.3

93.1

26

2-8

Washington

89.5

90.2

89.6

89.8

18

1-9

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Minnesota

106.6

105.2

105.5

105.8

23

8-3

Green Bay

103.6

103.7

104.0

103.8

25

8-2

Chicago

103.2

100.2

100.2

101.2

17.5

4-6

Detroit

98.7

97.5

97.8

98.0

25.5

3-6-1

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New Orleans

107.9

105.7

106.1

106.6

24

8-2

Atlanta

99.3

99.5

99.1

99.3

25.5

3-7

Carolina

97.8

97.9

98.2

98.0

24.5

5-5

Tampa Bay

95.8

97.5

97.8

97.0

29.5

3-7

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

San Francisco

106.0

106.9

107.2

106.7

24.5

9-1

LA Rams

106.6

105.2

105.5

105.8

25.5

6-4

Seattle

102.7

102.7

102.9

102.8

26

8-2

Arizona

94.7

95.1

95.8

95.2

24

3-7-1

 

 

This Week’s Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding

1

Baltimore

2

New England

3

Indianapolis

4

Oakland

5

Buffalo

6

Kansas City

 

 

NFC Seeding

1

San Francisco

2

Green Bay

3

New Orleans

4

Dallas

5

Seattle

6

Minnesota

Wildcard Round

Kansas City over Indianapolis

Oakland over Buffalo

New Orleans over Minnesota

Seattle over Dallas

 

 

Divisional Round

Kansas City over Baltimore

Oakland over New England

Seattle over San Francisco

Green Bay over New Orleans

 

 

Conference Championship

Oakland over Kansas City

Green Bay over Seattle

 

 

Super Bowl 54

Oakland over Green Bay

 

 

 

October 28, 2019

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 9: October 31-November 4, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Margins

Home

Visitor

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Arizona

San Francisco

-9.7

-10.9

-11.1

Jacksonville (n)

Houston

-4.1

-3.9

-3.0

Buffalo

Washington

9.8

9.6

9.5

Carolina

Tennessee

5.5

5.3

6.3

Philadelphia

Chicago

4.3

5.7

5.2

Kansas City

Minnesota

-4.2

-2.2

-3.1

Miami

N.Y. Jets

-3.6

-4.1

-3.2

Pittsburgh

Indianapolis

1.5

1.1

1.8

Oakland

Detroit

0.4

1.6

1.3

Seattle

Tampa Bay

9.6

7.2

6.9

Denver

Cleveland

2.1

1.8

1.5

LA Chargers

Green Bay

-2.8

-3.1

-4.2

Baltimore

New England

-6.0

-7.6

-6.2

N.Y. Giants

Dallas

-7.3

-7.3

-6.2

 

Totals

Home

Visitor

Total

Arizona

San Francisco

47

Jacksonville (n)

Houston

42.5

Buffalo

Washington

35

Carolina

Tennessee

41

Philadelphia

Chicago

44.5

Kansas City

Minnesota

52.5

Miami

N.Y. Jets

46.5

Pittsburgh

Indianapolis

43.5

Oakland

Detroit

49

Seattle

Tampa Bay

54.5

Denver

Cleveland

41.5

LA Chargers

Green Bay

48

Baltimore

New England

44

N.Y. Giants

Dallas

45.5

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New England

111.0

112.2

111.8

111.7

21

8-0

Buffalo

98.2

99.1

98.5

98.6

17.5

5-2

N. Y. Jets

92.3

93.2

91.9

92.5

20.5

1-6

Miami

86.8

87.0

86.6

86.8

26

0-7

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Baltimore

102.0

101.6

102.6

102.1

23

5-2

Cleveland

99.8

100.1

100.2

100.0

23.5

2-5

Pittsburgh

98.6

99.1

99.4

99.0

21.5

3-4

Cincinnati

93.6

93.3

93.6

93.5

23.5

0-8

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Houston

103.4

103.6

103.2

103.4

23.5

5-3

Indianapolis

100.1

101.0

100.6

100.6

22

5-2

Jacksonville

99.3

99.8

100.2

99.8

19

4-4

Tennessee

98.0

98.4

98.0

98.1

16

4-4

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Kansas City

99.9

100.3

99.7

100.0

30.5

5-3

LA Chargers

100.0

99.8

99.1

99.6

22

3-5

Denver

98.9

99.0

98.7

98.9

18

2-6

Oakland

96.8

96.9

97.4

97.0

24.5

3-4

 

 

N F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Dallas

104.4

105.0

104.4

104.6

20.5

4-3

Philadelphia

105.1

103.4

103.1

103.8

25.5

4-4

N.Y. Giants

94.2

94.6

95.2

94.7

25

2-6

Washington

91.5

92.4

92.0

92.0

17.5

1-7

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Minnesota

107.1

105.5

105.8

106.2

22

6-2

Green Bay

104.8

104.9

105.3

105.0

26

7-1

Chicago

103.8

100.7

100.8

101.8

19

3-4

Detroit

99.4

98.3

99.0

98.9

24.5

3-3-1

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New Orleans

109.1

106.5

107.0

107.5

24.5

7-1

Carolina

100.5

100.7

101.3

100.8

25

4-3

Tampa Bay

96.0

98.2

98.6

97.6

29

2-5

Atlanta

94.7

94.9

94.1

94.5

26.5

1-7

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

San Francisco

106.8

108.1

108.7

107.9

24

7-0

LA Rams

107.2

105.8

106.1

106.4

27

5-3

Seattle

102.6

102.4

102.5

102.5

25.5

7-1

Arizona

94.1

94.1

94.6

94.3

23

3-4-1

 

This Week’s Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding

1

New England

2

Indianapolis

3

Baltimore

4

Kansas City

5

Houston

6

Jacksonville

 

 

NFC Seeding

1

New Orleans

2

San Francisco

3

Green Bay

4

Dallas

5

Minnesota

6

LA Rams

 

Wildcard Round

Jacksonville over Baltimore

Houston over Kansas City

Green Bay over LA Rams

Minnesota over Dallas

 

Divisional Round

New England over Jacksonville

Indianapolis over Houston

New Orleans over Minnesota

San Francisco over Green Bay

 

Conference Championship

New England over Indianapolis

New Orleans over San Francisco

 

Super Bowl 54

New England over New Orleans

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

October 21, 2019

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 8: October 24-28, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Margins

Home

Visitor

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Minnesota

Washington

19.2

16.5

17.7

Detroit

N.Y. Giants

8.5

6.8

7.2

Tennessee

Tampa Bay

4.8

2.7

1.9

Chicago

LA Chargers

8.3

4.6

5.8

Atlanta

Seattle

-4.7

-4.1

-4.8

Jacksonville

N.Y. Jets

9.6

9.0

10.7

Buffalo

Philadelphia

-2.0

1.2

1.1

LA Rams

Cincinnati

13.6

12.3

12.1

New Orleans

Arizona

16.8

13.3

13.1

Houston

Oakland

10.3

10.7

9.7

San Francisco

Carolina

5.0

6.1

5.7

Indianapolis

Denver

4.0

4.7

4.6

New England

Cleveland

14.2

15.1

14.6

Kansas City

Green Bay

-0.7

-0.3

-1.3

Pittsburgh

Miami

15.1

15.2

15.9

 

Totals

Home

Visitor

Total

Minnesota

Washington

41

Detroit

N.Y. Giants

48.5

Tennessee

Tampa Bay

44

Chicago

LA Chargers

41.5

Atlanta

Seattle

52

Jacksonville

N.Y. Jets

39.5

Buffalo

Philadelphia

43

LA Rams

Cincinnati

52

New Orleans

Arizona

48

Houston

Oakland

48

San Francisco

Carolina

47.5

Indianapolis

Denver

41

New England

Cleveland

44.5

Kansas City

Green Bay

56.5

Pittsburgh

Miami

48

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New England

111.0

112.2

111.8

111.7

21

7-0

Buffalo

99.4

100.6

100.1

100.0

17.5

5-1

N. Y. Jets

92.5

93.5

92.2

92.7

20.5

1-5

Miami

86.8

87.0

86.6

86.8

26.5

0-6

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Baltimore

101.7

101.3

102.3

101.8

23

5-2

Cleveland

99.8

100.1

100.2

100.0

23.5

2-4

Pittsburgh

98.8

99.3

99.6

99.2

21.5

2-4

Cincinnati

93.6

93.4

93.8

93.6

24

0-7

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Houston

103.9

104.2

103.8

104.0

23.5

4-3

Indianapolis

100.1

101.0

100.6

100.6

22.5

4-2

Jacksonville

99.1

99.5

99.9

99.5

19

3-4

Tennessee

98.1

98.4

98.0

98.2

15.5

3-4

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Kansas City

100.7

101.2

100.6

100.8

30.5

5-2

LA Chargers

99.5

99.7

98.8

99.3

22

2-5

Denver

99.2

99.3

99.0

99.2

18.5

2-5

Oakland

96.6

96.6

97.1

96.8

24.5

3-3

 

 

N F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Dallas

104.1

104.7

104.1

104.3

20.5

4-3

Philadelphia

103.9

101.9

101.5

102.4

25.5

3-4

N.Y. Giants

94.1

94.5

95.0

94.5

24.5

2-5

Washington

91.2

92.2

91.6

91.7

18.5

1-6

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Minnesota

107.4

105.7

106.2

106.5

22.5

5-2

Green Bay

104.5

104.5

104.9

104.6

26

6-1

Chicago

104.8

101.3

101.6

102.6

19.5

3-3

Detroit

99.5

98.4

99.2

99.1

24

2-3-1

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New Orleans

108.2

105.2

105.6

106.3

24.5

6-1

Carolina

102.3

102.5

103.3

102.7

24.5

4-2

Tampa Bay

95.9

98.2

98.6

97.6

28.5

2-4

Atlanta

94.8

95.1

94.4

94.7

26.5

1-6

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

LA Rams

107.2

105.7

105.9

106.3

28

4-3

San Francisco

104.3

105.6

106.0

105.3

23

6-0

Seattle

102.5

102.2

102.2

102.3

25.5

6-1

Arizona

94.5

94.9

95.5

95.0

23.5

3-3-1

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Playoff Projections

 

AFC Seeding

1

New England

2

Indianapolis

3

Kansas City

4

Baltimore

5

Buffalo

6

Houston

NFC Seeding

1

Green Bay

2

New Orleans

3

San Francisco

4

Dallas

5

Minnesota

6

LA Rams

Wildcard Round

Kansas City over Houston

Buffalo over Baltimore

LA Rams over San Francisco

Minnesota over Dallas

Divisional Round

New England over Buffalo

Kansas City over Indianapolis

Green Bay over LA Rams

New Orleans over Minnesota

Conference Championship

New England over Kansas City

Green Bay over New Orleans

Super Bowl 54

New England over Green Bay

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

October 16, 2019

PiRate Ratings Picks For October 17-21, 2019

Hooray, Hooray!  Maybe our little ditty we recited at the beginning of last week’s picks really worked!  That ditty went this way, “Yuck, Yuck, Yuck, I want more luck!”  It has to do with a childhood saying, and it worked then and apparently worked last week.

Both our PiRate Picks and Experimental Davey19 picks won.  The PiRate Picks enjoyed a windfall weekend with big wins.  Another 6 or 7 weeks in a row just like this, and we might even get back to level in our imaginary bank accounts.

While we have been trying to issue our money line parlay picks on Friday, we have a Thursday night game that is included in our selections, we have to issue those picks today as well.

Remember, the PiRates never wager real money on the outcomes of these games, and we also remind you that you frequently get what you pay for, and this is totally free.

 

PiRate Ratings Picks

 

10-point Teasers, 3 Game Parlays

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Louisiana

Arkansas St.

17

Arkansas St.

Ohio

Kent St.

17.5

Kent St.

Utah St.

Nevada

31

Nevada

 

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

California

Oregon St.

21

Oregon St.

Washington

Oregon

7

Oregon

South Carolina

Florida

15.5

Florida

 

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Louisiana Tech

Southern Miss.

9

Southern Miss.

Auburn

Arkansas

29

Arkansas

Virginia Tech

North Carolina

13.5

North Carolina

 

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Iowa St.

Texas Tech

17

Texas Tech

Rice

UTSA

14.5

UTSA

SMU

Temple

17.5

Temple

 

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Denver

Kansas City

7

Kansas City

N.Y. Giants

Arizona

13

Arizona

Houston

Indianapolis

10

Indianapolis

 

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Minnesota

Detroit

11

Detroit

Green Bay

Oakland

15.5

Oakland

LA Rams

Atlanta

13

Atlanta

 

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Seattle

Baltimore

13

Baltimore

Philadelphia

Dallas

7

Dallas

New England

N.Y. Jets

20.5

N.Y. Jets

 

 

Money Line Parlays

 

All 3-game parlays 

 

WIN

LOSE

Spread

Oregon

Washington

Penn St.

Michigan

+188

Western Ky.

Charlotte

 

 

WIN

LOSE

Spread

North Carolina

Virginia Tech

Western Mich.

Eastern Mich.

+193

Boise St.

BYU

 

 

WIN

LOSE

Spread

Stanford

UCLA

Florida

South Carolina

+224

Georgia Southern

Coastal Carolina

 

Davey19 Experimental Picks

 

Margins Plays

Pick

Opponent

Spread

Kent St.

Ohio

+7.5

Boise St.

BYU

-6.5

Oregon

Washington

-2.5

Florida

South Carolina

-4.5

North Carolina

Va Tech

-3

Hawaii

AFA

+3

Houston

Indianapolis

+1

Oakland

Green Bay

+5.5

Washington

San Francisco

+10.5

LA Chargers

Tennessee

+2.5

 

Totals Plays

 

Team

Team

Total

Pick

UCLA

Stanford

52.5

Under

Georgia Tech

Miami (Fla.)

46

Under

Florida St.

Wake Forest

69

Under

North Carolina

Virginia Tech

57

Under

Tennessee

LA Chargers

40

Under

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

October 14, 2019

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 7: October 17-21, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home

Visitor

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Denver

Kansas City

-0.8

-0.9

-0.4

N.Y. Giants

Arizona

4.0

4.2

4.3

Indianapolis

Houston

-2.3

-1.7

-2.1

Buffalo

Miami

16.6

18.0

18.1

Detroit

Minnesota

-4.1

-3.1

-2.4

Green Bay

Oakland

9.7

9.5

9.2

Cincinnati

Jacksonville

-1.2

-1.8

-1.4

Atlanta

LA Rams

-5.8

-3.6

-3.7

Washington

San Francisco

-10.2

-10.5

-11.5

Tennessee

LA Chargers

1.4

1.5

2.2

Seattle

Baltimore

5.5

5.8

5.0

Chicago

New Orleans

2.3

2.0

2.1

Dallas

Philadelphia

-0.1

2.7

2.3

N.Y. Jets

New England

-13.0

-13.0

-13.7

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New England

109.3

110.4

109.9

109.9

21.5

6-0

Buffalo

99.8

101.2

100.8

100.6

18

4-1

N. Y. Jets

93.8

94.9

93.7

94.1

21.5

1-4

Miami

86.2

86.2

85.7

86.0

26

0-5

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Baltimore

100.7

100.2

101.1

100.7

23

4-2

Cleveland

99.5

99.8

99.9

99.7

23.5

2-4

Pittsburgh

98.5

99.0

99.3

98.9

21.5

2-4

Cincinnati

94.4

94.2

94.8

94.5

24

0-6

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Houston

104.5

104.8

104.6

104.7

23

4-2

Indianapolis

99.2

100.1

99.5

99.6

22

3-2

Jacksonville

98.1

98.5

98.7

98.4

19

2-4

Tennessee

97.9

98.2

97.9

98.0

15

2-4

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Kansas City

104.2

104.6

103.9

104.2

31

4-2

Denver

100.5

100.7

100.5

100.6

19.5

2-4

LA Chargers

99.5

99.7

98.7

99.3

21.5

2-4

Oakland

97.1

97.2

97.8

97.4

23.5

3-2

 

 

N F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Philadelphia

105.3

103.2

102.9

103.8

25.5

3-3

Dallas

102.2

102.9

102.2

102.4

20.5

3-3

N.Y. Giants

94.7

95.2

95.8

95.2

24.5

2-4

Washington

91.1

92.1

91.5

91.6

19

1-5

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Minnesota

106.6

104.7

105.0

105.5

21.5

4-2

Green Bay

103.8

103.7

104.0

103.8

25

5-1

Chicago

105.9

102.5

102.9

103.8

19

3-2

Detroit

100.0

99.1

100.1

99.8

23

2-2-1

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New Orleans

106.6

103.5

103.8

104.6

23.5

5-1

Carolina

102.0

102.2

103.0

102.4

24.5

4-2

Tampa Bay

95.6

97.9

98.3

97.3

28.5

2-4

Atlanta

96.5

97.0

96.4

96.6

27.5

1-5

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

San Francisco

104.3

105.6

106.0

105.3

23.5

5-0

LA Rams

105.3

103.6

103.7

104.2

28

3-3

Seattle

103.2

103.0

103.1

103.1

25.5

5-1

Arizona

93.7

94.0

94.5

94.1

23.5

2-3-1

 

Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding

1

New England

2

Houston

3

Kansas City

4

Baltimore

5

Buffalo

6

Indianapolis

 

 

NFC Seeding

1

San Francisco

2

New Orleans

3

Green Bay

4

Philadelphia

5

Seattle

6

Minnesota

 

Wildcard Round

Kansas City over Indianapolis

Buffalo over Baltimore

Green Bay over Minnesota

Seattle over Philadelphia

 

 

Divisional Round

New England over Buffalo

Houston over Kansas City

San Francisco over Seattle

New Orleans over Green Bay

 

 

Conference Championship

New England over Houston

San Francisco over New Orleans

 

 

Super Bowl 54

San Francisco over New England

 

 

 

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