The Pi-Rate Ratings

January 9, 2023

PiRate Ratings College Football–Final 2022-23

Final 2022-23 Ratings

#TeamRating
1Georgia136.2
2Alabama130.4
3Ohio St.129.7
4Michigan128.5
5Penn St.125.3
6Tennessee124.8
7Utah119.6
8L S U119.6
9T C U119.4
10Florida St.118.5
11Kansas St.117.9
12Texas117.8
13Clemson117.8
14Notre Dame116.5
15Oregon St.116.0
16Minnesota115.3
17Oregon115.2
18Washington115.1
19Iowa114.9
20Mississippi St.114.9
21Illinois113.7
22Louisville113.2
23Wisconsin112.9
24Oklahoma112.7
25Arkansas112.1
26U S C112.0
27Maryland111.8
28Texas Tech111.6
29Pittsburgh111.5
30Baylor110.6
31U C L A110.5
32Ole Miss110.4
33Tulane109.1
34Texas A&M108.8
35Purdue108.4
36Michigan St.108.4
37NC State108.3
38Wake Forest108.1
39Kentucky108.0
40Florida107.8
41South Carolina107.6
42Auburn106.9
43Oklahoma St.106.8
44Fresno St.106.7
45Cincinnati106.1
46North Carolina106.0
47Air Force105.2
48Iowa St.104.6
49West Virginia104.4
50Syracuse103.9
51Missouri103.9
52Nebraska103.6
53Washington St.103.6
54Duke103.6
55BYU103.5
56Boise St.103.4
57Kansas102.4
58UCF102.2
59Houston102.0
60James Madison101.8
61Memphis101.5
62SMU101.2
63U T S A100.7
64East Carolina100.7
65W. Kentucky100.6
66Arizona St.99.8
67Troy99.6
68Arizona98.5
69Miami (Fla.)98.4
70Indiana98.4
71Appalachian St.97.9
72California97.8
73U A B97.3
74Army96.9
75Marshall96.9
76Stanford96.7
77Georgia St.96.1
78Navy96.1
79Liberty96.0
80Louisiana95.6
81Toledo95.5
82Georgia Tech95.3
83Virginia95.2
84Virginia Tech94.7
85Northwestern94.5
86Tulsa94.5
87Ohio94.4
88Rutgers93.8
89South Alabama93.7
90San Diego St.93.5
91Vanderbilt93.4
92Boston College92.8
93North Texas92.4
94San Jose St.91.1
95Eastern Mich.91.1
96Ga. Southern90.6
97Kent St.90.1
98Miami (Ohio)89.9
99Buffalo89.7
100Florida Atlantic89.3
101Coastal Carolina89.2
102Southern Miss.89.1
103Western Mich.88.9
104Central Mich.88.8
105Wyoming88.6
106Utah St.88.2
107USF88.0
108U T E P87.3
109Middle Tennessee87.2
110Old Dominion87.1
111Ball St.86.5
112N. Illinois86.2
113U N L V85.8
114Connecticut85.3
115Bowling Green83.4
116Colorado St.83.1
117UL-Monroe82.8
118Temple82.7
119Colorado81.6
120Texas St.81.3
121New Mexico St.80.8
122Akron80.7
123Nevada79.7
124Arkansas St.79.7
125Louisiana Tech79.0
126Rice78.6
127Hawaii76.3
128Charlotte75.7
129New Mexico75.5
130Massachusetts71.1
131Florida Int’l.65.1

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Tulane108.8108.8109.7109.1
Cincinnati106.5105.6106.2106.1
UCF102.1102.5101.9102.2
Houston102.4101.6102.0102.0
Memphis101.4101.7101.5101.5
SMU101.4100.7101.4101.2
East Carolina100.5100.4101.2100.7
Navy96.296.096.196.1
Tulsa94.994.294.394.5
USF88.687.787.788.0
Temple82.483.682.082.7
AAC98.798.498.698.5

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Florida St.118.6118.3118.5118.5
Clemson117.8117.6117.9117.8
Louisville113.4113.1113.3113.2
NC State108.9108.2107.7108.3
Wake Forest108.3108.1108.0108.1
Syracuse104.7103.7103.4103.9
Boston College93.293.491.892.8

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Pittsburgh112.1111.5111.0111.5
North Carolina106.5106.2105.5106.0
Duke103.1104.8102.7103.6
Miami (Fla.)99.298.397.798.4
Georgia Tech95.895.694.595.3
Virginia95.895.994.095.2
Virginia Tech95.195.393.794.7
ACC105.2105.0104.3104.8

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
T C U119.8118.8119.6119.4
Kansas St.118.4117.3118.0117.9
Texas118.4117.6117.3117.8
Oklahoma113.0112.2113.0112.7
Texas Tech111.8110.9112.2111.6
Baylor111.4110.1110.4110.6
Oklahoma St.107.7106.2106.5106.8
Iowa St.105.1104.4104.4104.6
West Virginia104.8104.2104.2104.4
Kansas103.4102.1101.8102.4
Big 12111.4110.4110.7110.8

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.130.2129.1130.0129.7
Michigan128.9128.2128.5128.5
Penn St.125.3125.2125.5125.3
Maryland112.1111.9111.4111.8
Michigan St.109.5108.2107.4108.4
Indiana99.398.597.498.4
Rutgers95.093.992.493.8
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Minnesota115.8115.1115.1115.3
Iowa115.5114.8114.4114.9
Illinois114.0114.2113.1113.7
Wisconsin113.4112.9112.3112.9
Purdue109.4108.5107.4108.4
Nebraska104.1103.9103.0103.6
Northwestern94.895.293.594.5
Big Ten112.0111.4110.8111.4

Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U T S A100.6100.3101.2100.7
W. Kentucky100.1100.2101.4100.6
U A B97.297.197.597.3
North Texas92.091.993.392.4
Florida Atlantic89.190.088.989.3
U T E P87.287.387.287.3
Middle Tennessee86.987.587.187.2
Louisiana Tech78.979.778.479.0
Rice78.878.778.278.6
Charlotte75.476.275.575.7
Florida Int’l.64.966.564.065.1
CUSA86.586.986.686.7

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame116.7115.8116.9116.5
BYU103.9102.7103.8103.5
Army96.597.197.296.9
Liberty95.796.595.996.0
Connecticut85.186.384.485.3
New Mexico St.80.282.080.380.8
Massachusetts71.272.169.971.1
Independents92.893.292.692.9

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio93.395.294.894.4
Kent St.89.591.189.890.1
Miami (Ohio)89.090.690.289.9
Buffalo88.890.490.189.7
Bowling Green83.383.583.483.4
Akron80.481.480.480.7
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Toledo95.095.895.795.5
Eastern Mich.90.391.591.391.1
Western Mich.88.289.389.288.9
Central Mich.87.889.289.488.8
Ball St.85.887.286.786.5
N. Illinois86.086.586.186.2
MAC88.189.388.988.8

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Air Force104.9104.9105.7105.2
Boise St.103.5103.0103.8103.4
Wyoming87.689.288.988.6
Utah St.88.288.288.388.2
Colorado St.82.683.583.383.1
New Mexico76.175.874.675.5
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Fresno St.106.3106.4107.5106.7
San Diego St.93.693.293.693.5
San Jose St.91.191.191.191.1
U N L V86.185.086.185.8
Nevada79.580.579.279.7
Hawaii75.576.676.876.3
MWC89.689.889.989.8

Pac-12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah119.5119.0120.4119.6
Oregon St.115.6115.5116.9116.0
Oregon115.5114.9115.3115.2
Washington114.6114.9115.7115.1
U S C111.8111.8112.5112.0
U C L A110.3110.0111.1110.5
Washington St.103.3103.5104.0103.6
Arizona St.100.099.4100.199.8
Arizona98.398.498.998.5
California97.597.598.397.8
Stanford97.895.996.496.7
Colorado82.481.081.581.6
Pac-12105.6105.2105.9105.5

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia136.4135.5136.6136.2
Tennessee124.4124.6125.5124.8
Kentucky107.8107.9108.2108.0
Florida107.4108.3107.7107.8
South Carolina107.8107.4107.7107.6
Missouri104.0104.1103.4103.9
Vanderbilt93.394.092.793.4
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama130.5129.7131.1130.4
L S U119.8119.3119.6119.6
Mississippi St.115.6114.4114.7114.9
Arkansas112.6111.3112.3112.1
Ole Miss111.2109.8110.1110.4
Texas A&M108.7108.9108.9108.8
Auburn107.5106.3106.8106.9
SEC113.4113.0113.2113.2

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
James Madison100.2101.6103.7101.8
Appalachian St.97.198.098.597.9
Marshall96.197.197.396.9
Georgia St.95.695.797.196.1
Ga. Southern90.290.591.190.6
Coastal Carolina88.789.389.589.2
Old Dominion86.987.087.387.1
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Troy98.699.6100.799.6
Louisiana94.995.496.495.6
South Alabama93.193.694.593.7
Southern Miss.88.589.189.789.1
UL-Monroe82.682.982.882.8
Texas St.80.781.781.681.3
Arkansas St.79.280.279.679.7
Sun Belt90.991.592.191.5

Conference Ratings

#ConferenceRating
1Southeastern113.2
2Big Ten111.4
3Big 12110.8
4Pac-12105.5
5Atlantic Coast104.8
6American Athletic98.5
7Independents92.9
8Sun Belt91.5
9Mountain West89.8
10Mid-American88.8
11Conference USA86.7

Congratulations to the Georgia Bulldogs

December 30, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Friday, December 30, 2022

Friday’s Spreads

HomeVisitorSpread
ArmyLehigh5.0
Boston U.Navy0.6
ClemsonNorth Carolina St.1.4
FairfieldMarist6.5
HartfordMorgan St.-9.7
Holy CrossBucknell-6.5
Houston ChristianNew Orleans1.3
Jacksonville St.North Alabama5.3
LafayetteAmerican-0.4
LipscombStetson5.0
Loyola (MD)Colgate-7.2
Michigan St.Buffalo14.4
NiagaraMount St. Mary’s1.8
North DakotaNorth Dakota St.1.2
Notre DameMiami (Fla)-3.9
OhioChicago St.11.3
PittsburghNorth Carolina-4.3
QuinnipiacSiena3.6
RutgersCoppin St.24.6
Saint Peter’sManhattan5.2
South CarolinaEastern Michigan9.0
Texas A&MPrairie View16.6
VanderbiltSE Louisiana12.8
WashingtonUSC-0.2
Washington St.UCLA-9.6
WisconsinWestern Michigan22.1

Friday’s PiRate Ratings

1Houston121.5American Athletic
2Connecticut121.0Big East
3Tennessee120.2Southeastern
4UCLA119.3Pac-12
5Arizona118.0Pac-12
6Kansas118.0Big 12
7Texas117.6Big 12
8Alabama117.5Southeastern
9Gonzaga117.2West Coast
10Purdue116.5Big Ten
11Arkansas116.4Southeastern
12Baylor115.4Big 12
13Ohio St.114.7Big Ten
14Indiana114.6Big Ten
15Kentucky114.6Southeastern
16Duke114.5Atlantic Coast
17North Carolina114.1Atlantic Coast
18Auburn113.9Southeastern
19Virginia113.9Atlantic Coast
20Rutgers113.9Big Ten
21Xavier113.8Big East
22West Virginia113.6Big 12
23Saint Mary’s113.5West Coast
24Creighton113.5Big East
25Maryland113.2Big Ten
26Marquette113.2Big East
27Texas Tech113.1Big 12
28Illinois112.9Big Ten
29San Diego St.112.9Mountain West
30Memphis112.5American Athletic
31TCU112.3Big 12
32Oklahoma St.112.1Big 12
33Utah St.111.7Mountain West
34Virginia Tech111.6Atlantic Coast
35Missouri111.6Southeastern
36Iowa111.6Big Ten
37Florida111.4Southeastern
38Oklahoma111.1Big 12
39Miami (Fla)111.1Atlantic Coast
40Wisconsin110.8Big Ten
41Iowa St.110.8Big 12
42UAB110.7Conference USA
43Florida Atlantic110.7Conference USA
44Utah110.5Pac-12
45Oregon110.4Pac-12
46Mississippi St.110.3Southeastern
47Michigan St.110.2Big Ten
48Penn St.110.1Big Ten
49Colorado110.1Pac-12
50Kansas St.110.1Big 12
51North Carolina St.110.0Atlantic Coast
52Providence109.9Big East
53Northwestern109.9Big Ten
54Arizona St.109.8Pac-12
55New Mexico109.7Mountain West
56Villanova109.7Big East
57St. John’s109.2Big East
58Boise St.109.0Mountain West
59Dayton109.0Atlantic 10
60Cincinnati108.6American Athletic
61Iona108.5Metro Atlantic
62James Madison108.5Sun Belt
63Central Florida108.5American Athletic
64Kent St.108.5Mid-American
65Clemson108.4Atlantic Coast
66Stanford108.3Pac-12
67Seton Hall108.2Big East
68Michigan108.2Big Ten
69USC108.1Pac-12
70Yale108.1Ivy League
71Mississippi108.0Southeastern
72North Texas107.8Conference USA
73Texas A&M107.7Southeastern
74Marshall107.4Sun Belt
75UNLV107.3Mountain West
76LSU107.2Southeastern
77Saint Louis107.0Atlantic 10
78Nebraska106.8Big Ten
79Pittsburgh106.8Atlantic Coast
80Washington St.106.7Pac-12
81Sam Houston St.106.6Western Athletic
82BYU106.5West Coast
83Wake Forest106.3Atlantic Coast
84Nevada106.3Mountain West
85Butler106.2Big East
86Oral Roberts106.1Summit
87Bradley106.1Missouri Valley
88Charleston106.0Colonial Athletic
89Liberty105.9Atlantic Sun
90Syracuse105.8Atlantic Coast
91San Francisco105.4West Coast
92UC Irvine105.2Big West
93Drake105.1Missouri Valley
94Colorado St.105.0Mountain West
95Wichita St.104.9American Athletic
96Toledo104.9Mid-American
97Washington104.9Pac-12
98Santa Clara104.9West Coast
99Richmond104.8Atlantic 10
100Charlotte104.6Conference USA
101Furman104.6Southern
102Loyola Marymount104.5West Coast
103Tulane104.4American Athletic
104Utah Valley104.4Western Athletic
105Notre Dame104.2Atlantic Coast
106Vanderbilt104.1Southeastern
107Grand Canyon104.1Western Athletic
108VCU104.1Atlantic 10
109Georgia104.1Southeastern
110George Mason103.7Atlantic 10
111Georgia Tech103.5Atlantic Coast
112UMass Lowell103.5America East
113UNC Wilmington103.3Colonial Athletic
114Southern Illinois103.2Missouri Valley
115UC Santa Barbara103.0Big West
116Princeton103.0Ivy League
117New Mexico St.103.0Western Athletic
118Indiana St.102.9Missouri Valley
119Missouri St.102.8Missouri Valley
120Southern Miss102.7Sun Belt
121Massachusetts102.6Atlantic 10
122DePaul102.6Big East
123Akron102.5Mid-American
124Hofstra102.4Colonial Athletic
125Wyoming102.4Mountain West
126Davidson102.4Atlantic 10
127Florida Gulf Coast102.3Atlantic Sun
128Duquesne102.3Atlantic 10
129Temple102.3American Athletic
130Middle Tennessee102.3Conference USA
131Hawaii102.2Big West
132Belmont102.2Missouri Valley
133Youngstown St.102.2Horizon
134Colgate102.1Patriot League
135Southern Utah102.1Western Athletic
136Towson101.9Colonial Athletic
137Cornell101.9Ivy League
138Troy101.8Sun Belt
139Florida St.101.6Atlantic Coast
140Fresno St.101.6Mountain West
141Louisiana101.6Sun Belt
142Chattanooga101.5Southern
143Louisiana Tech101.5Conference USA
144Montana St.101.4Big Sky
145Purdue Fort Wayne101.4Horizon
146Portland101.3West Coast
147Loyola (Chi.)101.3Atlantic 10
148Longwood101.3Big South
149UNC Greensboro101.2Southern
150Seattle101.1Western Athletic
151Western Kentucky101.0Conference USA
152SMU100.7American Athletic
153UC Riverside100.7Big West
154Ohio100.7Mid-American
155Pepperdine100.7West Coast
156Bryant100.5America East
157South Florida100.4American Athletic
158Stephen F. Austin100.3Western Athletic
159Penn100.3Ivy League
160Vermont100.3America East
161Georgetown100.2Big East
162South Alabama100.2Sun Belt
163Ball St.100.1Mid-American
164Gardner Webb100.1Big South
165Boston College100.1Atlantic Coast
166San Jose St.100.1Mountain West
167St. Bonaventure100.0Atlantic 10
168Wofford100.0Southern
169Old Dominion99.9Sun Belt
170Samford99.9Southern
171Mercer99.8Southern
172Jacksonville99.8Atlantic Sun
173Air Force99.7Mountain West
174Tarleton St.99.6Western Athletic
175Cal Baptist99.4Western Athletic
176Murray St.99.4Missouri Valley
177Northern Iowa99.3Missouri Valley
178Quinnipiac99.2Metro Atlantic
179Abilene Christian99.2Western Athletic
180Rice99.1Conference USA
181Long Beach St.99.1Big West
182San Diego99.0West Coast
183Harvard99.0Ivy League
184Eastern Washington98.9Big Sky
185Queens98.9Atlantic Sun
186Fordham98.8Atlantic 10
187Buffalo98.8Mid-American
188Drexel98.7Colonial Athletic
189SIU Edwardsville98.7Ohio Valley
190UC Davis98.7Big West
191Minnesota98.6Big Ten
192South Dakota St.98.6Summit
193UTEP98.6Conference USA
194Utah Tech98.5Western Athletic
195Montana98.5Big Sky
196Navy98.4Patriot League
197Norfolk St.98.4Mideastern Athletic
198Lipscomb98.3Atlantic Sun
199East Carolina98.2American Athletic
200North Carolina Central98.2Mideastern Athletic
201Radford98.2Big South
202Siena98.1Metro Atlantic
203Brown98.1Ivy League
204Appalachian St.98.0Sun Belt
205Rhode Island98.0Atlantic 10
206South Carolina97.9Southeastern
207UNC Asheville97.8Big South
208Kennesaw St.97.8Atlantic Sun
209St. Thomas97.8Summit
210Coastal Carolina97.8Sun Belt
211Detroit Mercy97.7Horizon
212Rider97.6Metro Atlantic
213Wright St.97.6Horizon
214Saint Joseph’s97.6Atlantic 10
215Nicholls St.97.6Southland
216Northern Kentucky97.5Horizon
217American97.5Patriot League
218Delaware97.5Colonial Athletic
219Oregon St.97.5Pac-12
220UMBC97.3America East
221Weber St.97.2Big Sky
222George Washington97.2Atlantic 10
223Portland St.97.1Big Sky
224High Point97.1Big South
225Cleveland St.97.1Horizon
226Robert Morris97.0Horizon
227Tulsa96.9American Athletic
228Cal St. Fullerton96.9Big West
229Texas A&M CC96.7Southland
230Grambling96.7Southwestern Athletic
231Texas St.96.6Sun Belt
232Boston University96.5Patriot League
233Georgia Southern96.3Sun Belt
234California96.3Pac-12
235Sacramento St.96.3Big Sky
236Georgia St.96.3Sun Belt
237Jacksonville St.96.2Atlantic Sun
238Northern Colorado96.2Big Sky
239Mount St. Mary’s96.1Metro Atlantic
240Illinois St.96.1Missouri Valley
241La Salle96.0Atlantic 10
242Bucknell96.0Patriot League
243Southern96.0Southwestern Athletic
244North Florida95.9Atlantic Sun
245Campbell95.8Big South
246Stetson95.8Atlantic Sun
247Northeastern95.8Colonial Athletic
248East Tennessee St.95.7Southern
249Fairfield95.7Metro Atlantic
250Eastern Kentucky95.6Atlantic Sun
251Southern Indiana95.5Ohio Valley
252Northwestern St.95.5Southland
253Winthrop95.5Big South
254Niagara95.4Metro Atlantic
255Texas Southern95.4Southwestern Athletic
256Bellarmine95.4Atlantic Sun
257Pacific95.2West Coast
258Austin Peay95.1Atlantic Sun
259Louisville95.1Atlantic Coast
260Morgan St.95.0Mideastern Athletic
261Milwaukee94.9Horizon
262Illinois Chicago94.8Missouri Valley
263UT Arlington94.6Western Athletic
264Lafayette94.6Patriot League
265Wagner94.5Northeast
266Cal Poly94.5Big West
267Southeastern Louisiana94.3Southland
268Denver94.3Summit
269UMKC94.2Summit
270Southeast Missouri St.94.2Ohio Valley
271Prairie View A&M94.1Southwestern Athletic
272Morehead St.94.1Ohio Valley
273Western Illinois94.0Summit
274The Citadel94.0Southern
275South Dakota94.0Summit
276Canisius93.8Metro Atlantic
277Central Michigan93.7Mid-American
278Northern Arizona93.7Big Sky
279Saint Peter’s93.7Metro Atlantic
280Florida Int’l93.6Conference USA
281Bowling Green93.6Mid-American
282Oakland93.6Horizon
283UT-Martin93.5Ohio Valley
284Idaho St.93.5Big Sky
285UC San Diego93.5Big West
286North Carolina A&T93.4Colonial Athletic
287Valparaiso93.4Missouri Valley
288Arkansas St.93.4Sun Belt
289North Alabama93.4Atlantic Sun
290Maryland Eastern Shore93.2Mideastern Athletic
291Cal St. Bakersfield93.1Big West
292Howard93.1Mideastern Athletic
293Alcorn St.93.0Southwestern Athletic
294Army93.0Patriot League
295William & Mary92.9Colonial Athletic
296Texas A&M Commerce92.8Southland
297Maine92.8America East
298North Dakota St.92.8Summit
299Omaha92.8Summit
300Idaho92.7Big Sky
301Miami (O)92.6Mid-American
302Loyola (MD)92.4Patriot League
303Western Carolina92.4Southern
304Cal St. Northridge92.3Big West
305Tennessee St.92.3Ohio Valley
306Coppin St.92.3Mideastern Athletic
307Northern Illinois92.2Mid-American
308USC Upstate92.2Big South
309Dartmouth92.2Ivy League
310Presbyterian92.0Big South
311Chicago St.91.9Independents
312Eastern Michigan91.9Mid-American
313New Hampshire91.9America East
314Western Michigan91.7Mid-American
315Marist91.7Metro Atlantic
316Charleston Southern91.6Big South
317Jackson St.91.6Southwestern Athletic
318North Dakota91.5Summit
319Louisiana Monroe91.5Sun Belt
320VMI91.2Southern
321Little Rock91.2Ohio Valley
322Stony Brook91.1Colonial Athletic
323Manhattan91.0Metro Atlantic
324UT Rio Grande Valley90.9Western Athletic
325Evansville90.8Missouri Valley
326Tennessee Tech90.7Ohio Valley
327Albany90.6America East
328UTSA90.6Conference USA
329Lehigh90.5Patriot League
330Stonehill90.4Northeast
331Sacred Heart90.3Northeast
332St. Francis NY90.2Northeast
333Fairleigh Dickinson90.1Northeast
334Alabama A&M89.9Southwestern Athletic
335NJIT89.9America East
336St. Francis PA89.7Northeast
337Central Arkansas89.6Atlantic Sun
338Binghamton89.3America East
339Central Connecticut89.1Northeast
340Elon89.0Colonial Athletic
341Hampton88.6Colonial Athletic
342Columbia88.5Ivy League
343Alabama St.88.0Southwestern Athletic
344McNeese St.88.0Southland
345Merrimack88.0Northeast
346Eastern Illinois88.0Ohio Valley
347Lindenwood87.6Ohio Valley
348South Carolina St.87.3Mideastern Athletic
349Incarnate Word87.0Southland
350Arkansas Pine Bluff87.0Southwestern Athletic
351Holy Cross87.0Patriot League
352Bethune Cookman87.0Southwestern Athletic
353New Orleans86.9Southland
354Monmouth86.6Colonial Athletic
355Houston Christian85.7Southland
356Florida A&M85.1Southwestern Athletic
357Green Bay84.7Horizon
358Long Island84.6Northeast
359Delaware St.84.0Mideastern Athletic
360Lamar83.8Southland
361Mississippi Valley St.83.4Southwestern Athletic
362Hartford82.8Independents
363IUPUI81.9Horizon

Alphabetical

179Abilene Christian99.2Western Athletic
173Air Force99.7Mountain West
123Akron102.5Mid-American
8Alabama117.5Southeastern
334Alabama A&M89.9Southwestern Athletic
343Alabama St.88.0Southwestern Athletic
327Albany90.6America East
293Alcorn St.93.0Southwestern Athletic
217American97.5Patriot League
204Appalachian St.98.0Sun Belt
5Arizona118.0Pac-12
54Arizona St.109.8Pac-12
11Arkansas116.4Southeastern
350Arkansas Pine Bluff87.0Southwestern Athletic
288Arkansas St.93.4Sun Belt
294Army93.0Patriot League
18Auburn113.9Southeastern
258Austin Peay95.1Atlantic Sun
163Ball St.100.1Mid-American
12Baylor115.4Big 12
256Bellarmine95.4Atlantic Sun
132Belmont102.2Missouri Valley
352Bethune Cookman87.0Southwestern Athletic
338Binghamton89.3America East
58Boise St.109.0Mountain West
165Boston College100.1Atlantic Coast
232Boston University96.5Patriot League
281Bowling Green93.6Mid-American
87Bradley106.1Missouri Valley
203Brown98.1Ivy League
156Bryant100.5America East
242Bucknell96.0Patriot League
187Buffalo98.8Mid-American
85Butler106.2Big East
82BYU106.5West Coast
175Cal Baptist99.4Western Athletic
266Cal Poly94.5Big West
291Cal St. Bakersfield93.1Big West
228Cal St. Fullerton96.9Big West
304Cal St. Northridge92.3Big West
234California96.3Pac-12
245Campbell95.8Big South
276Canisius93.8Metro Atlantic
337Central Arkansas89.6Atlantic Sun
339Central Connecticut89.1Northeast
63Central Florida108.5American Athletic
277Central Michigan93.7Mid-American
88Charleston106.0Colonial Athletic
316Charleston Southern91.6Big South
100Charlotte104.6Conference USA
142Chattanooga101.5Southern
311Chicago St.91.9Independents
60Cincinnati108.6American Athletic
65Clemson108.4Atlantic Coast
225Cleveland St.97.1Horizon
210Coastal Carolina97.8Sun Belt
134Colgate102.1Patriot League
49Colorado110.1Pac-12
94Colorado St.105.0Mountain West
342Columbia88.5Ivy League
2Connecticut121.0Big East
306Coppin St.92.3Mideastern Athletic
137Cornell101.9Ivy League
24Creighton113.5Big East
309Dartmouth92.2Ivy League
126Davidson102.4Atlantic 10
59Dayton109.0Atlantic 10
218Delaware97.5Colonial Athletic
359Delaware St.84.0Mideastern Athletic
268Denver94.3Summit
122DePaul102.6Big East
211Detroit Mercy97.7Horizon
93Drake105.1Missouri Valley
188Drexel98.7Colonial Athletic
16Duke114.5Atlantic Coast
128Duquesne102.3Atlantic 10
199East Carolina98.2American Athletic
248East Tennessee St.95.7Southern
346Eastern Illinois88.0Ohio Valley
250Eastern Kentucky95.6Atlantic Sun
312Eastern Michigan91.9Mid-American
184Eastern Washington98.9Big Sky
340Elon89.0Colonial Athletic
325Evansville90.8Missouri Valley
249Fairfield95.7Metro Atlantic
333Fairleigh Dickinson90.1Northeast
37Florida111.4Southeastern
356Florida A&M85.1Southwestern Athletic
43Florida Atlantic110.7Conference USA
127Florida Gulf Coast102.3Atlantic Sun
280Florida Int’l93.6Conference USA
139Florida St.101.6Atlantic Coast
186Fordham98.8Atlantic 10
140Fresno St.101.6Mountain West
101Furman104.6Southern
164Gardner Webb100.1Big South
110George Mason103.7Atlantic 10
222George Washington97.2Atlantic 10
161Georgetown100.2Big East
109Georgia104.1Southeastern
233Georgia Southern96.3Sun Belt
236Georgia St.96.3Sun Belt
111Georgia Tech103.5Atlantic Coast
9Gonzaga117.2West Coast
230Grambling96.7Southwestern Athletic
107Grand Canyon104.1Western Athletic
357Green Bay84.7Horizon
341Hampton88.6Colonial Athletic
362Hartford82.8Independents
183Harvard99.0Ivy League
131Hawaii102.2Big West
224High Point97.1Big South
124Hofstra102.4Colonial Athletic
351Holy Cross87.0Patriot League
1Houston121.5American Athletic
355Houston Christian85.7Southland
292Howard93.1Mideastern Athletic
300Idaho92.7Big Sky
284Idaho St.93.5Big Sky
28Illinois112.9Big Ten
262Illinois Chicago94.8Missouri Valley
240Illinois St.96.1Missouri Valley
349Incarnate Word87.0Southland
14Indiana114.6Big Ten
118Indiana St.102.9Missouri Valley
61Iona108.5Metro Atlantic
36Iowa111.6Big Ten
41Iowa St.110.8Big 12
363IUPUI81.9Horizon
317Jackson St.91.6Southwestern Athletic
172Jacksonville99.8Atlantic Sun
237Jacksonville St.96.2Atlantic Sun
62James Madison108.5Sun Belt
6Kansas118.0Big 12
50Kansas St.110.1Big 12
208Kennesaw St.97.8Atlantic Sun
64Kent St.108.5Mid-American
15Kentucky114.6Southeastern
241La Salle96.0Atlantic 10
264Lafayette94.6Patriot League
360Lamar83.8Southland
329Lehigh90.5Patriot League
89Liberty105.9Atlantic Sun
347Lindenwood87.6Ohio Valley
198Lipscomb98.3Atlantic Sun
321Little Rock91.2Ohio Valley
181Long Beach St.99.1Big West
358Long Island84.6Northeast
148Longwood101.3Big South
141Louisiana101.6Sun Belt
319Louisiana Monroe91.5Sun Belt
143Louisiana Tech101.5Conference USA
259Louisville95.1Atlantic Coast
147Loyola (Chi.)101.3Atlantic 10
302Loyola (MD)92.4Patriot League
102Loyola Marymount104.5West Coast
76LSU107.2Southeastern
297Maine92.8America East
323Manhattan91.0Metro Atlantic
315Marist91.7Metro Atlantic
26Marquette113.2Big East
74Marshall107.4Sun Belt
25Maryland113.2Big Ten
290Maryland Eastern Shore93.2Mideastern Athletic
121Massachusetts102.6Atlantic 10
344McNeese St.88.0Southland
30Memphis112.5American Athletic
171Mercer99.8Southern
345Merrimack88.0Northeast
39Miami (Fla)111.1Atlantic Coast
301Miami (O)92.6Mid-American
68Michigan108.2Big Ten
47Michigan St.110.2Big Ten
130Middle Tennessee102.3Conference USA
261Milwaukee94.9Horizon
191Minnesota98.6Big Ten
71Mississippi108.0Southeastern
46Mississippi St.110.3Southeastern
361Mississippi Valley St.83.4Southwestern Athletic
35Missouri111.6Southeastern
119Missouri St.102.8Missouri Valley
354Monmouth86.6Colonial Athletic
195Montana98.5Big Sky
144Montana St.101.4Big Sky
272Morehead St.94.1Ohio Valley
260Morgan St.95.0Mideastern Athletic
239Mount St. Mary’s96.1Metro Atlantic
176Murray St.99.4Missouri Valley
196Navy98.4Patriot League
78Nebraska106.8Big Ten
84Nevada106.3Mountain West
313New Hampshire91.9America East
55New Mexico109.7Mountain West
117New Mexico St.103.0Western Athletic
353New Orleans86.9Southland
254Niagara95.4Metro Atlantic
215Nicholls St.97.6Southland
335NJIT89.9America East
197Norfolk St.98.4Mideastern Athletic
289North Alabama93.4Atlantic Sun
17North Carolina114.1Atlantic Coast
286North Carolina A&T93.4Colonial Athletic
200North Carolina Central98.2Mideastern Athletic
51North Carolina St.110.0Atlantic Coast
318North Dakota91.5Summit
298North Dakota St.92.8Summit
244North Florida95.9Atlantic Sun
72North Texas107.8Conference USA
247Northeastern95.8Colonial Athletic
278Northern Arizona93.7Big Sky
238Northern Colorado96.2Big Sky
307Northern Illinois92.2Mid-American
177Northern Iowa99.3Missouri Valley
216Northern Kentucky97.5Horizon
53Northwestern109.9Big Ten
252Northwestern St.95.5Southland
105Notre Dame104.2Atlantic Coast
282Oakland93.6Horizon
154Ohio100.7Mid-American
13Ohio St.114.7Big Ten
38Oklahoma111.1Big 12
32Oklahoma St.112.1Big 12
169Old Dominion99.9Sun Belt
299Omaha92.8Summit
86Oral Roberts106.1Summit
45Oregon110.4Pac-12
219Oregon St.97.5Pac-12
257Pacific95.2West Coast
159Penn100.3Ivy League
48Penn St.110.1Big Ten
155Pepperdine100.7West Coast
79Pittsburgh106.8Atlantic Coast
146Portland101.3West Coast
223Portland St.97.1Big Sky
271Prairie View A&M94.1Southwestern Athletic
310Presbyterian92.0Big South
116Princeton103.0Ivy League
52Providence109.9Big East
10Purdue116.5Big Ten
145Purdue Fort Wayne101.4Horizon
185Queens98.9Atlantic Sun
178Quinnipiac99.2Metro Atlantic
201Radford98.2Big South
205Rhode Island98.0Atlantic 10
180Rice99.1Conference USA
99Richmond104.8Atlantic 10
212Rider97.6Metro Atlantic
226Robert Morris97.0Horizon
20Rutgers113.9Big Ten
235Sacramento St.96.3Big Sky
331Sacred Heart90.3Northeast
214Saint Joseph’s97.6Atlantic 10
77Saint Louis107.0Atlantic 10
23Saint Mary’s113.5West Coast
279Saint Peter’s93.7Metro Atlantic
81Sam Houston St.106.6Western Athletic
170Samford99.9Southern
182San Diego99.0West Coast
29San Diego St.112.9Mountain West
91San Francisco105.4West Coast
166San Jose St.100.1Mountain West
98Santa Clara104.9West Coast
150Seattle101.1Western Athletic
67Seton Hall108.2Big East
202Siena98.1Metro Atlantic
189SIU Edwardsville98.7Ohio Valley
152SMU100.7American Athletic
162South Alabama100.2Sun Belt
206South Carolina97.9Southeastern
348South Carolina St.87.3Mideastern Athletic
275South Dakota94.0Summit
192South Dakota St.98.6Summit
157South Florida100.4American Athletic
270Southeast Missouri St.94.2Ohio Valley
267Southeastern Louisiana94.3Southland
243Southern96.0Southwestern Athletic
114Southern Illinois103.2Missouri Valley
251Southern Indiana95.5Ohio Valley
120Southern Miss102.7Sun Belt
135Southern Utah102.1Western Athletic
167St. Bonaventure100.0Atlantic 10
332St. Francis NY90.2Northeast
336St. Francis PA89.7Northeast
57St. John’s109.2Big East
209St. Thomas97.8Summit
66Stanford108.3Pac-12
158Stephen F. Austin100.3Western Athletic
246Stetson95.8Atlantic Sun
330Stonehill90.4Northeast
322Stony Brook91.1Colonial Athletic
90Syracuse105.8Atlantic Coast
174Tarleton St.99.6Western Athletic
31TCU112.3Big 12
129Temple102.3American Athletic
3Tennessee120.2Southeastern
305Tennessee St.92.3Ohio Valley
326Tennessee Tech90.7Ohio Valley
7Texas117.6Big 12
73Texas A&M107.7Southeastern
229Texas A&M CC96.7Southland
296Texas A&M Commerce92.8Southland
255Texas Southern95.4Southwestern Athletic
231Texas St.96.6Sun Belt
27Texas Tech113.1Big 12
274The Citadel94.0Southern
96Toledo104.9Mid-American
136Towson101.9Colonial Athletic
138Troy101.8Sun Belt
103Tulane104.4American Athletic
227Tulsa96.9American Athletic
42UAB110.7Conference USA
190UC Davis98.7Big West
92UC Irvine105.2Big West
153UC Riverside100.7Big West
285UC San Diego93.5Big West
115UC Santa Barbara103.0Big West
4UCLA119.3Pac-12
112UMass Lowell103.5America East
220UMBC97.3America East
269UMKC94.2Summit
207UNC Asheville97.8Big South
149UNC Greensboro101.2Southern
113UNC Wilmington103.3Colonial Athletic
75UNLV107.3Mountain West
69USC108.1Pac-12
308USC Upstate92.2Big South
263UT Arlington94.6Western Athletic
324UT Rio Grande Valley90.9Western Athletic
283UT-Martin93.5Ohio Valley
44Utah110.5Pac-12
33Utah St.111.7Mountain West
194Utah Tech98.5Western Athletic
104Utah Valley104.4Western Athletic
193UTEP98.6Conference USA
328UTSA90.6Conference USA
287Valparaiso93.4Missouri Valley
106Vanderbilt104.1Southeastern
108VCU104.1Atlantic 10
160Vermont100.3America East
56Villanova109.7Big East
19Virginia113.9Atlantic Coast
34Virginia Tech111.6Atlantic Coast
320VMI91.2Southern
265Wagner94.5Northeast
83Wake Forest106.3Atlantic Coast
97Washington104.9Pac-12
80Washington St.106.7Pac-12
221Weber St.97.2Big Sky
22West Virginia113.6Big 12
303Western Carolina92.4Southern
273Western Illinois94.0Summit
151Western Kentucky101.0Conference USA
314Western Michigan91.7Mid-American
95Wichita St.104.9American Athletic
295William & Mary92.9Colonial Athletic
253Winthrop95.5Big South
40Wisconsin110.8Big Ten
168Wofford100.0Southern
213Wright St.97.6Horizon
125Wyoming102.4Mountain West
21Xavier113.8Big East
70Yale108.1Ivy League
133Youngstown St.102.2Horizon

PiRate Ratings By Conference

America East
TeamRating
UMass Lowell103.5
Bryant100.5
Vermont100.3
UMBC97.3
Maine92.8
New Hampshire91.9
Albany90.6
NJIT89.9
Binghamton89.3
American Athletic
TeamRating
Houston121.5
Memphis112.5
Cincinnati108.6
Central Florida108.5
Wichita St.104.9
Tulane104.4
Temple102.3
SMU100.7
South Florida100.4
East Carolina98.2
Tulsa96.9
Atlantic 10
TeamRating
Dayton109.0
Saint Louis107.0
Richmond104.8
VCU104.1
George Mason103.7
Massachusetts102.6
Davidson102.4
Duquesne102.3
Loyola (Chi.)101.3
St. Bonaventure100.0
Fordham98.8
Rhode Island98.0
Saint Joseph’s97.6
George Washington97.2
La Salle96.0
Atlantic Coast
TeamRating
Duke114.5
North Carolina114.1
Virginia113.9
Virginia Tech111.6
Miami (Fla)111.1
North Carolina St.110.0
Clemson108.4
Pittsburgh106.8
Wake Forest106.3
Syracuse105.8
Notre Dame104.2
Georgia Tech103.5
Florida St.101.6
Boston College100.1
Louisville95.1
Atlantic Sun
TeamRating
Liberty105.9
Florida Gulf Coast102.3
Jacksonville99.8
Queens98.9
Lipscomb98.3
Kennesaw St.97.8
Jacksonville St.96.2
North Florida95.9
Stetson95.8
Eastern Kentucky95.6
Bellarmine95.4
Austin Peay95.1
North Alabama93.4
Central Arkansas89.6
Big 12
TeamRating
Kansas118.0
Texas117.6
Baylor115.4
West Virginia113.6
Texas Tech113.1
TCU112.3
Oklahoma St.112.1
Oklahoma111.1
Iowa St.110.8
Kansas St.110.1
Big East
TeamRating
Connecticut121.0
Xavier113.8
Creighton113.5
Marquette113.2
Providence109.9
Villanova109.7
St. John’s109.2
Seton Hall108.2
Butler106.2
DePaul102.6
Georgetown100.2
Big Sky
TeamRating
Montana St.101.4
Eastern Washington98.9
Montana98.5
Weber St.97.2
Portland St.97.1
Sacramento St.96.3
Northern Colorado96.2
Northern Arizona93.7
Idaho St.93.5
Idaho92.7
Big South
TeamRating
Longwood101.3
Gardner Webb100.1
Radford98.2
UNC Asheville97.8
High Point97.1
Campbell95.8
Winthrop95.5
USC Upstate92.2
Presbyterian92.0
Charleston Southern91.6
Big Ten
TeamRating
Purdue116.5
Ohio St.114.7
Indiana114.6
Rutgers113.9
Maryland113.2
Illinois112.9
Iowa111.6
Wisconsin110.8
Michigan St.110.2
Penn St.110.1
Northwestern109.9
Michigan108.2
Nebraska106.8
Minnesota98.6
Big West
TeamRating
UC Irvine105.2
UC Santa Barbara103.0
Hawaii102.2
UC Riverside100.7
Long Beach St.99.1
UC Davis98.7
Cal St. Fullerton96.9
Cal Poly94.5
UC San Diego93.5
Cal St. Bakersfield93.1
Cal St. Northridge92.3
Colonial Athletic
TeamRating
Charleston106.0
UNC Wilmington103.3
Hofstra102.4
Towson101.9
Drexel98.7
Delaware97.5
Northeastern95.8
North Carolina A&T93.4
William & Mary92.9
Stony Brook91.1
Elon89.0
Hampton88.6
Monmouth86.6
Conference USA
TeamRating
UAB110.7
Florida Atlantic110.7
North Texas107.8
Charlotte104.6
Middle Tennessee102.3
Louisiana Tech101.5
Western Kentucky101.0
Rice99.1
UTEP98.6
Florida Int’l93.6
UTSA90.6
Horizon
TeamRating
Youngstown St.102.2
Purdue Fort Wayne101.4
Detroit Mercy97.7
Wright St.97.6
Northern Kentucky97.5
Cleveland St.97.1
Robert Morris97.0
Milwaukee94.9
Oakland93.6
Green Bay84.7
IUPUI81.9
Independents
TeamRating
Chicago St.91.9
Hartford82.8
Ivy League
TeamRating
Yale108.1
Princeton103.0
Cornell101.9
Penn100.3
Harvard99.0
Brown98.1
Dartmouth92.2
Columbia88.5
Metro Atlantic
TeamRating
Iona108.5
Quinnipiac99.2
Siena98.1
Rider97.6
Mount St. Mary’s96.1
Fairfield95.7
Niagara95.4
Canisius93.8
Saint Peter’s93.7
Marist91.7
Manhattan91.0
Mid-American
TeamRating
Kent St.108.5
Toledo104.9
Akron102.5
Ohio100.7
Ball St.100.1
Buffalo98.8
Central Michigan93.7
Bowling Green93.6
Miami (O)92.6
Northern Illinois92.2
Eastern Michigan91.9
Western Michigan91.7
Mideastern Athletic
TeamRating
Norfolk St.98.4
North Carolina Central98.2
Morgan St.95.0
Maryland Eastern Shore93.2
Howard93.1
Coppin St.92.3
South Carolina St.87.3
Delaware St.84.0
Missouri Valley
TeamRating
Bradley106.1
Drake105.1
Southern Illinois103.2
Indiana St.102.9
Missouri St.102.8
Belmont102.2
Murray St.99.4
Northern Iowa99.3
Illinois St.96.1
Illinois Chicago94.8
Valparaiso93.4
Evansville90.8
Mountain West
TeamRating
San Diego St.112.9
Utah St.111.7
New Mexico109.7
Boise St.109.0
UNLV107.3
Nevada106.3
Colorado St.105.0
Wyoming102.4
Fresno St.101.6
San Jose St.100.1
Air Force99.7
Northeast
TeamRating
Wagner94.5
Stonehill90.4
Sacred Heart90.3
St. Francis NY90.2
Fairleigh Dickinson90.1
St. Francis PA89.7
Central Connecticut89.1
Merrimack88.0
Long Island84.6
Ohio Valley
TeamRating
SIU Edwardsville98.7
Southern Indiana95.5
Southeast Missouri St.94.2
Morehead St.94.1
UT-Martin93.5
Tennessee St.92.3
Little Rock91.2
Tennessee Tech90.7
Eastern Illinois88.0
Lindenwood87.6
Pac-12
TeamRating
UCLA119.3
Arizona118.0
Utah110.5
Oregon110.4
Colorado110.1
Arizona St.109.8
Stanford108.3
USC108.1
Washington St.106.7
Washington104.9
Oregon St.97.5
California96.3
Patriot League
TeamRating
Colgate102.1
Navy98.4
American97.5
Boston University96.5
Bucknell96.0
Lafayette94.6
Army93.0
Loyola (MD)92.4
Lehigh90.5
Holy Cross87.0
Southeastern
TeamRating
Tennessee120.2
Alabama117.5
Arkansas116.4
Kentucky114.6
Auburn113.9
Missouri111.6
Florida111.4
Mississippi St.110.3
Mississippi108.0
Texas A&M107.7
LSU107.2
Vanderbilt104.1
Georgia104.1
South Carolina97.9
Southern
TeamRating
Furman104.6
Chattanooga101.5
UNC Greensboro101.2
Wofford100.0
Samford99.9
Mercer99.8
East Tennessee St.95.7
The Citadel94.0
Western Carolina92.4
VMI91.2
Southland
TeamRating
Nicholls St.97.6
Texas A&M CC96.7
Northwestern St.95.5
Southeastern Louisiana94.3
Texas A&M Commerce92.8
McNeese St.88.0
Incarnate Word87.0
New Orleans86.9
Houston Christian85.7
Lamar83.8
Southwestern Athletic
TeamRating
Grambling96.7
Southern96.0
Texas Southern95.4
Prairie View A&M94.1
Alcorn St.93.0
Jackson St.91.6
Alabama A&M89.9
Alabama St.88.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff87.0
Bethune Cookman87.0
Florida A&M85.1
Mississippi Valley St.83.4
Summit
TeamRating
Oral Roberts106.1
South Dakota St.98.6
St. Thomas97.8
Denver94.3
UMKC94.2
Western Illinois94.0
South Dakota94.0
North Dakota St.92.8
Omaha92.8
North Dakota91.5
Sun Belt
TeamRating
James Madison108.5
Marshall107.4
Southern Miss102.7
Troy101.8
Louisiana101.6
South Alabama100.2
Old Dominion99.9
Appalachian St.98.0
Coastal Carolina97.8
Texas St.96.6
Georgia Southern96.3
Georgia St.96.3
Arkansas St.93.4
Louisiana Monroe91.5
West Coast
TeamRating
Gonzaga117.2
Saint Mary’s113.5
BYU106.5
San Francisco105.4
Santa Clara104.9
Loyola Marymount104.5
Portland101.3
Pepperdine100.7
San Diego99.0
Pacific95.2
Western Athletic
TeamRating
Sam Houston St.106.6
Utah Valley104.4
Grand Canyon104.1
New Mexico St.103.0
Southern Utah102.1
Seattle101.1
Stephen F. Austin100.3
Tarleton St.99.6
Cal Baptist99.4
Abilene Christian99.2
Utah Tech98.5
UT Arlington94.6
UT Rio Grande Valley90.9

Coming Later today–updated bracketology

December 27, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Tuesday, December 27, 2022

HomeVisitorSpread
Texas A&MNorthwestern State15.9
Notre DameJacksonville6.4
TexasTexas A&M-Commerce27.6
MarquetteSeton Hall6.9
Texas TechSouth Carolina State28.2

November 20, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football — November 20, 2022

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 7:56 am

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
OhioBowling Green9.011.410.9
Miami (O)Ball St.5.35.75.7
Ole MissMississippi St.0.10.10.1
North CarolinaNorth Carolina St.-0.10.70.1
TexasBaylor6.97.16.1
Eastern MichiganCentral Michigan-0.6-1.4-2.3
Western MichiganToledo-6.3-6.0-6.0
Boise St.Utah St.18.317.718.5
ArizonaArizona St.-0.60.1-0.3
Oregon St.Oregon-2.0-2.0-1.2
MissouriArkansas-8.4-7.1-9.5
Colorado St.New Mexico7.08.29.2
IowaNebraska16.115.616.1
CaliforniaUCLA-10.2-10.2-10.7
Florida St.Florida11.19.810.9
Fresno St.Wyoming15.213.214.5
Kansas St.Kansas18.318.620.0
IndianaPurdue-12.1-12.1-12.1
Boston CollegeSyracuse-8.8-7.3-8.9
GeorgiaGeorgia Tech40.039.442.3
Virginia TechVirginia0.80.91.1
DukeWake Forest-7.0-5.0-7.4
Miami (Fla.)Pittsburgh-5.1-5.1-4.8
MassachusettsArmy-20.0-19.5-21.8
MarylandRutgers15.616.317.2
ClemsonSouth Carolina11.912.012.4
KentuckyLouisville-4.4-3.9-3.4
Penn St.Michigan St.17.718.919.7
CincinnatiTulane5.04.44.6
LibertyNew Mexico St.27.526.328.5
South FloridaCentral Florida-15.2-16.8-16.9
TempleEast Carolina-15.2-13.6-16.7
BuffaloKent St.3.23.74.9
Georgia SouthernAppalachian St.-5.1-6.1-5.9
James MadisonCoastal Carolina5.86.07.5
MarshallGeorgia St.3.14.02.6
Florida AtlanticWestern Kentucky-6.7-5.7-8.5
South AlabamaOld Dominion10.811.612.7
Northern IllinoisAkron17.917.718.3
WisconsinMinnesota0.50.90.1
Ohio St.Michigan8.98.69.0
NorthwesternIllinois-13.6-13.4-13.9
ColoradoUtah-31.5-32.2-33.4
North TexasRice15.215.216.6
StanfordBYU-2.7-3.3-3.7
UNLVNevada8.46.29.0
USCNotre Dame-0.31.10.6
Washington St.Washington-2.1-1.9-1.9
HoustonTulsa14.714.815.3
SMUMemphis4.83.95.2
TCUIowa St.13.713.113.7
Louisiana TechUAB-16.2-15.2-17.8
Texas TechOklahoma0.30.20.8
Texas A&MLSU-9.5-8.9-9.6
Oklahoma St.West Virginia9.08.29.0
San Jose St.Hawaii21.120.220.2
VanderbiltTennessee-21.7-21.0-23.1
AlabamaAuburn22.723.023.9
UTSAUTEP18.417.919.4
Arkansas St.Troy-12.1-11.6-13.3
Louisiana-MonroeSouthern Miss.-1.8-2.0-2.5
Texas St.Louisiana-7.7-7.0-7.9
Florida Int’l.Middle Tennessee-20.5-19.5-22.0
San Diego St.Air Force-3.8-3.9-3.8

Teams With Byes

Navy

Note: Charlotte and Connecticut have concluded their regular seasons

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

#TeamRating
1Georgia133.3
2Ohio St.132.4
3Alabama128.6
4Michigan126.5
5Penn St.124.1
6Tennessee119.9
7Clemson119.3
8Kansas St.119.3
9Florida St.119.1
10Texas118.9
11L S U118.7
12T C U118.6
13Utah117.7
14Notre Dame116.4
15Oregon116.3
16Minnesota115.0
17Iowa114.8
18Mississippi St.113.9
19Arkansas113.9
20U S C113.8
21Baylor113.7
22Louisville113.7
23Oregon St.113.1
24Wisconsin113.0
25Ole Miss112.6
26Oklahoma112.2
27Purdue112.1
28Illinois112.1
29Washington111.8
30U C L A111.1
31Florida110.0
32Texas Tech109.6
33Maryland109.4
34Wake Forest109.0
35Oklahoma St.108.7
36South Carolina108.7
37Pittsburgh108.7
38NC State108.6
39Michigan St.108.4
40Kentucky108.3
41Iowa St.108.1
42Cincinnati108.1
43Washington St.107.8
44North Carolina107.4
45Auburn106.9
46Tulane106.4
47Texas A&M106.4
48UCF105.5
49Boise St.105.4
50Houston104.2
51Syracuse103.7
52BYU103.2
53Missouri103.1
54West Virginia103.0
55U T S A102.1
56Air Force102.0
57Nebraska101.8
58Kansas101.8
59SMU101.2
60Fresno St.101.1
61Miami (Fla.)100.7
62Duke100.5
63Arizona St.100.1
64Liberty100.0
65East Carolina99.8
66Memphis99.6
67W. Kentucky99.0
68James Madison98.6
69Indiana98.5
70Appalachian St.98.5
71Arizona98.3
72U A B97.7
73California97.7
74Stanford97.0
75Northwestern96.9
76Marshall96.6
77Vanderbilt96.5
78Georgia St.96.3
79Troy96.2
80South Alabama95.9
81Navy95.9
82Toledo95.8
83Rutgers95.5
84Army95.5
85Virginia95.2
86San Diego St.95.2
87Virginia Tech94.7
88Coastal Carolina94.7
89Ohio94.7
90Georgia Tech94.2
91Louisiana93.5
92San Jose St.93.4
93Boston College92.9
94North Texas92.7
95Tulsa92.3
96Buffalo91.0
97N. Illinois90.7
98Central Mich.90.4
99Ga. Southern90.3
100Utah St.90.2
101Miami (Ohio)89.9
102Wyoming89.8
103Kent St.89.6
104Florida Atlantic89.0
105Southern Miss.88.1
106Western Mich.87.7
107USF87.6
108Eastern Mich.87.5
109Middle Tennessee87.1
110Old Dominion86.7
111Ball St.86.3
112U T E P86.1
113U N L V85.9
114Bowling Green85.8
115Connecticut85.4
116UL-Monroe83.5
117Texas St.83.4
118Colorado82.8
119Colorado St.82.1
120Temple82.1
121Arkansas St.81.4
122Nevada79.6
123Rice79.0
124Louisiana Tech78.8
125New Mexico76.5
126Hawaii75.9
127Charlotte75.7
128New Mexico St.75.5
129Akron75.3
130Massachusetts72.5
131Florida Int’l.63.9

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati108.3107.5108.4108.1
Tulane106.4106.1106.7106.4
UCF105.1105.7105.6105.5
Houston104.5103.8104.3104.2
SMU101.4100.7101.5101.2
East Carolina99.699.3100.499.8
Memphis99.699.899.399.6
Navy96.095.895.995.9
Tulsa92.892.092.092.3
USF88.487.487.287.6
Temple81.983.181.282.1


AAC98.698.398.498.4


Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson119.3119.1119.6119.3
Florida St.119.1118.9119.3119.1
Louisville113.9113.6113.6113.7
Wake Forest109.2108.9108.9109.0
NC State109.3108.5108.1108.6
Syracuse104.6103.4103.1103.7
Boston College93.293.691.892.9

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBias
Average
Pittsburgh109.6108.7107.9108.7
North Carolina107.8107.7106.8107.4
Miami (Fla.)101.4100.6100.1100.7
Duke100.2101.999.4100.5
Virginia95.895.994.095.2
Virginia Tech95.195.393.794.7
Georgia Tech94.994.693.394.2


ACC105.2105.0104.2104.8


Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Kansas St.119.8118.7119.4119.3
Texas119.7118.8118.3118.9
T C U119.2118.0118.7118.6
Baylor114.3113.1113.7113.7
Oklahoma112.6111.7112.4112.2
Texas Tech109.8108.9110.2109.6
Oklahoma St.109.5108.0108.7108.7
Iowa St.108.5107.9108.0108.1
West Virginia103.5102.9102.7103.0
Kansas103.0101.6101.0101.8


Big 12112.0111.0111.3111.4


Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBias
Average
Ohio St.132.9131.8132.6132.4
Michigan126.9126.2126.5126.5
Penn St.124.2124.1124.1124.1
Maryland109.9109.5108.9109.4
Michigan St.109.5108.2107.4108.4
Indiana99.498.697.598.5
Rutgers96.795.794.295.5

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBias
Average
Minnesota115.5114.7114.8115.0
Iowa115.5114.7114.2114.8
Wisconsin113.5113.1112.4113.0
Purdue113.0112.2111.1112.1
Illinois112.3112.6111.4112.1
Nebraska102.4102.1101.1101.8
Northwestern97.197.696.096.9


Big Ten112.1111.5110.9111.5


Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U T S A102.0101.6102.7102.1
W. Kentucky98.698.599.999.0
U A B97.597.398.397.7
North Texas92.392.293.592.7
Florida Atlantic88.989.888.489.0
Middle Tennessee86.887.487.187.1
U T E P86.186.285.886.1
Rice79.179.078.979.0
Louisiana Tech78.879.678.078.8
Charlotte75.476.275.575.7
Florida Int’l.63.865.462.663.9


CUSA86.386.786.486.5


FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame116.7115.6116.8116.4
BYU103.7102.4103.5103.2
Liberty99.5100.3100.1100.0
Army95.195.695.795.5
Connecticut85.386.584.485.4
New Mexico St.75.076.974.675.5
Massachusetts72.673.671.472.5


Independents92.693.092.492.6


Mid-American Conference

East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBias
Average
Ohio93.295.595.394.7
Buffalo89.891.891.591.0
Miami (Ohio)88.990.790.189.9
Kent St.89.190.689.189.6
Bowling Green85.785.785.985.8
Akron75.175.974.875.3

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBias
Average
Toledo95.496.195.995.8
N. Illinois90.591.090.690.7
Central Mich.89.290.891.290.4
Western Mich.87.188.187.987.7
Eastern Mich.87.187.987.487.5
Ball St.85.787.086.486.3


MAC88.189.388.888.7


Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division

Team
PiRateMeanBias
Average
Boise St.105.3104.9105.9105.4
Air Force101.9101.8102.4102.0
Utah St.90.090.290.490.2
Wyoming88.890.590.189.8
Colorado St.81.682.582.382.1
New Mexico77.176.875.676.5

West Division

Team
PiRateMeanBias
Average
Fresno St.101.0100.7101.6101.1
San Diego St.95.194.895.595.2
San Jose St.93.293.493.693.4
U N L V86.285.186.485.9
Nevada79.480.478.979.6
Hawaii75.276.376.475.9


MWC89.689.889.989.8


Pac-12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah117.6116.9118.6117.7
Oregon116.4116.0116.6116.3
U S C113.4113.7114.4113.8
Oregon St.112.9112.5113.9113.1
Washington111.4111.6112.3111.8
U C L A110.7110.6111.9111.1
Washington St.107.3107.7108.4107.8
Arizona St.100.299.6100.4100.1
Arizona98.198.198.698.3
California97.497.498.297.7
Stanford98.096.296.797.0
Colorado83.682.282.782.8


Pac-12105.6105.2106.1105.6


Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia133.3132.5134.0133.3
Tennessee119.6119.7120.5119.9
Florida109.5110.6109.9110.0
South Carolina108.9108.6108.7108.7
Kentucky107.9108.2108.7108.3
Missouri103.2103.4102.5103.1
Vanderbilt96.497.295.996.5

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama128.7127.8129.2128.6
L S U118.8118.4118.9118.7
Mississippi St.114.8113.4113.7113.9
Arkansas114.2113.0114.5113.9
Ole Miss113.4112.0112.3112.6
Auburn107.5106.3106.8106.9
Texas A&M106.3106.5106.3106.4


SEC113.0112.7113.0112.9


Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
James Madison97.198.4100.398.6
Appalachian St.97.598.699.298.5
Marshall95.896.897.096.6
Georgia St.95.795.897.496.3
Coastal Carolina93.994.995.394.7
Ga. Southern90.090.090.890.3
Old Dominion86.786.786.886.7

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Troy95.496.197.296.2
South Alabama95.095.897.095.9
Louisiana92.993.394.293.5
Southern Miss.87.688.188.688.1
UL-Monroe83.383.783.683.5
Texas St.82.783.883.883.4
Arkansas St.80.882.081.381.4


Sun Belt91.091.792.391.7

Conference Ratings

#ConferenceRating
1Southeastern112.9
2Big Ten111.5
3Big 12111.4
4Pac-12105.6
5Atlantic Coast104.8
6American Athletic98.4
7Independents92.6
8Sun Belt91.7
9Mountain West89.8
10Mid-American88.7
11Conference USA86.5

Bowl Projections

BowlTeamTeam
BahamasUTSAOhio
CureMarshallSouthern Miss.
FenwayDukeCentral Florida
New MexicoWestern KentuckyWyoming
L.A.UtahBoise St.
Lending TreeMiami (O)Appalachian St.
Las VegasWashingtonOle Miss
FriscoSan Diego St.Washington St.
Myrtle BeachBYUSouth Alabama
Famous Idaho PotatoBowling GreenUtah St.
Boca RatonConnecticutAir Force
New OrleansFlorida AtlanticCoastal Carolina
Armed ForcesHoustonNorth Texas
IndependenceSMUArmy
GasparillaSyracuseEast Carolina
HawaiiUABSan Jose St.
Quick LaneEastern MichiganLiberty
CamelliaBuffaloTroy
First ResponderKansasLouisiana
BirminghamMemphisMiddle Tennessee
Guaranteed RateOklahomaWisconsin
MilitaryLouisvilleTulane
LibertyBaylorMissouri
HolidayNorth CarolinaOregon
TexasTexas TechFlorida
PinstripePittsburghMinnesota
Cheez-ItNotre DameOklahoma St.
AlamoTexasOregon St.
Duke’s MayoWake ForestMaryland
Tony the Tiger SunNorth Carolina St.UCLA
ArizonaToledoFresno St.
OrangeClemsonAlabama
Music CityIllinoisKentucky
SugarLSUKansas St.
TaxSlayerFlorida St.Arkansas
PeachGeorgiaMichigan
FiestaOhio St.TCU
Reliaquest (Outback)IowaSouth Carolina
CitrusPurdueMississippi St.
CottonTennesseeCincinnati
RoseUSCPenn St.
National ChampionshipGeorgiaOhio St.

Note: 82 teams are projected to finish bowl eligible, and there are 82 spots available. There is still a chance that a 5-7 team will be needed if there are less than 82 bowl eligible teams.

Teams that figure to finish 5-7 and have the best APR scores to receive a bid include (in order):

Rice

Iowa State

UNLV

Auburn

Michigan State

November 6, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football–November 6, 2022

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 9:45 am

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
AkronEastern Michigan-9.1-9.3-9.9
Miami (O)Ohio0.80.40.0
ToledoBall St.13.713.614.4
Western MichiganNorthern Illinois-2.5-2.0-2.2
Central MichiganBuffalo2.31.82.6
Bowling GreenKent St.1.1-0.71.2
MemphisTulsa6.77.76.8
LouisianaGeorgia Southern2.12.32.3
CincinnatiEast Carolina8.68.38.5
USCColorado28.029.929.8
UNLVFresno St.-10.1-11.1-10.6
Wake ForestNorth Carolina1.61.21.8
SyracuseFlorida St.-5.2-5.8-5.9
ConnecticutLiberty-16.5-16.3-19.3
DukeVirginia Tech5.27.15.7
Navy (Bal)Notre Dame-22.7-21.9-23.8
West VirginiaOklahoma-6.8-6.6-7.4
VirginiaPittsburgh-7.6-6.6-7.5
Ohio St.Indiana37.737.440.2
TennesseeMissouri23.122.924.6
Penn St.Maryland12.112.112.9
North Carolina St.Boston College22.320.823.2
FloridaSouth Carolina3.85.44.2
KentuckyVanderbilt19.719.521.6
MichiganNebraska28.828.530.3
Georgia TechMiami (Fla.)-5.0-4.2-5.3
ClemsonLouisville7.37.17.4
Texas TechKansas5.75.77.7
South FloridaSMU-12.8-13.2-14.4
Coastal CarolinaSouthern Miss.9.29.79.9
Georgia St.Louisiana-Monroe18.117.920.1
MarshallAppalachian St.0.1-0.2-1.2
Old DominionJames Madison-2.6-4.0-6.0
TulaneCentral Florida-0.5-1.3-0.8
MinnesotaNorthwestern22.420.823.1
IllinoisPurdue2.33.93.4
South AlabamaTexas St.14.313.614.8
Michigan St.Rutgers16.116.117.4
HoustonTemple23.821.725.2
BaylorKansas St.3.73.94.1
Arkansas St.Massachusetts14.114.616.6
Western KentuckyRice18.318.219.9
UtahStanford20.421.622.9
Washington St.Arizona St.8.08.98.6
Oregon St.California14.113.213.6
OregonWashington12.411.611.9
UCLAArizona19.419.520.6
San Diego St.San Jose St.-0.2-1.2-0.9
TexasTCU4.24.53.4
AuburnTexas A&M1.0-0.9-0.8
TroyArmy3.54.15.4
Ole MissAlabama-11.6-12.4-13.9
Oklahoma St.Iowa St.4.73.44.1
IowaWisconsin1.10.20.0
ArkansasLSU-1.8-2.6-1.5
Mississippi St.Georgia-14.2-14.6-16.1
Air ForceNew Mexico26.726.528.6
Middle TennesseeCharlotte12.111.812.6
UABNorth Texas5.45.24.9
UTSALouisiana Tech18.316.519.4
Colorado St.Wyoming-5.4-6.3-6.3
Florida Int’l.Florida Atlantic-19.9-18.8-20.3
NevadaBoise St.-20.0-18.0-21.0
HawaiiUtah St.-13.8-12.7-13.4

FBS vs. FCS Game

FBSFCSPiRate
New Mexico St.Lamar18.2

Teams With Byes

BYU
UTEP

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Note: Our ratings are not reward based on what the teams have done so far. They are predictive in nature, meant to be used for the following week to predict the outcome of games. Thus, a two-loss team is ranked number three over a one-loss team that beat them. Do not confuse power ratings for rankings like the AP, COaches, and Playoff Polls.

#TeamRating
1Ohio St.132.8
2Georgia132.7
3Alabama129.2
4Michigan127.6
5Tennessee125.3
6Penn St.119.8
7L S U117.5
8Texas117.3
9Clemson117.2
10Utah117.1
11Oregon117.1
12Baylor116.5
13T C U116.2
14Florida St.116.0
15Kansas St.115.6
16Notre Dame115.6
17Minnesota115.4
18Mississippi St.114.7
19Wisconsin114.5
20Ole Miss113.5
21U C L A113.1
22Louisville113.0
23NC State112.7
24Arkansas112.5
25U S C112.3
26Oklahoma112.2
27Iowa112.0
28Illinois111.8
29Purdue111.6
30Michigan St.110.7
31Maryland110.4
32Oklahoma St.109.7
33Kentucky109.7
34North Carolina109.6
35Oregon St.109.5
36Wake Forest109.2
37Florida109.0
38Cincinnati108.8
39Texas Tech108.7
40Texas A&M108.7
41Iowa St.108.6
42Pittsburgh108.4
43Washington108.1
44South Carolina107.6
45Washington St.107.5
46UCF107.4
47Syracuse107.3
48Auburn105.5
49Kansas105.4
50Missouri104.7
51Boise St.104.2
52Tulane104.0
53SMU103.8
54East Carolina103.3
55BYU103.2
56Liberty103.1
57Air Force102.4
58West Virginia102.3
59Arizona St.102.0
60Houston101.5
61Nebraska101.4
62Miami (Fla.)101.2
63Fresno St.100.6
64California98.9
65Appalachian St.98.7
66Duke98.7
67W. Kentucky98.6
68Stanford98.5
69Toledo98.3
70Georgia St.98.1
71Virginia98.1
72Memphis97.7
73U T S A97.5
74Indiana97.4
75Rutgers97.2
76U A B96.6
77Northwestern96.3
78Arizona96.3
79Troy96.3
80James Madison95.9
81Virginia Tech95.7
82South Alabama95.4
83San Jose St.95.4
84Marshall95.3
85Army94.9
86Coastal Carolina94.8
87North Texas94.0
88Boston College93.6
89Georgia Tech93.3
90Tulsa93.1
91Ga. Southern92.6
92Vanderbilt92.5
93Louisiana92.3
94Navy92.2
95San Diego St.92.1
96Ohio92.1
97N. Illinois91.8
98Buffalo91.0
99Central Mich.90.8
100Miami (Ohio)90.5
101Utah St.90.2
102Old Dominion89.7
103Wyoming89.3
104Florida Atlantic89.2
105Southern Miss.88.2
106Kent St.88.0
107USF87.8
108U N L V87.5
109Western Mich.87.1
110Ball St.86.9
111Bowling Green86.6
112Eastern Mich.86.3
113Colorado86.0
114Middle Tennessee84.5
115U T E P84.3
116Texas St.83.7
117Connecticut83.2
118Rice82.3
119Arkansas St.82.3
120Nevada82.1
121UL-Monroe81.9
122Louisiana Tech81.9
123Colorado St.81.3
124Temple80.9
125New Mexico78.1
126Charlotte74.9
127Akron74.9
128New Mexico St.74.8
129Hawaii73.8
130Massachusetts69.7
131Florida Int’l.68.1

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati108.8108.1109.4108.8
UCF107.0107.6107.6107.4
Tulane104.0103.8104.3104.0
SMU103.9103.3104.2103.8
East Carolina103.2102.8103.8103.3
Houston101.7100.9101.8101.5
Memphis97.898.097.397.7
Tulsa93.692.893.093.1
Navy92.692.291.992.2
USF88.687.687.487.8
Temple80.982.279.680.9

AAC98.498.198.298.2

Atlantic Coast
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson117.4117.0117.3117.2
Florida St.116.2115.8115.9116.0
Louisville113.2112.9112.9113.0
NC State113.2112.4112.5112.7
Wake Forest109.4109.1109.0109.2
Syracuse108.1107.0106.9107.3
Boston College93.994.692.393.6

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
North Carolina109.9109.9109.2109.6
Pittsburgh109.3108.3107.6108.4
Miami (Fla.)101.9101.0100.6101.2
Duke98.4100.397.298.7
Virginia98.698.797.098.1
Virginia Tech96.396.294.695.7
Georgia Tech94.093.892.393.3

ACC105.7105.5104.7105.3

Big 12
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Texas118.1117.2116.6117.3
Baylor117.0115.9116.6116.5
T C U116.9115.6116.3116.2
Kansas St.116.3115.0115.5115.6
Oklahoma112.6111.7112.4112.2
Oklahoma St.110.5108.9109.7109.7
Texas Tech109.0107.9109.3108.7
Iowa St.108.8108.5108.6108.6
Kansas106.4105.2104.6105.4
West Virginia102.8102.2102.0102.3

Big 12111.8110.8111.2111.3

Big Ten
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.133.1132.0133.3132.8
Michigan127.9127.2127.8127.6
Penn St.120.0119.8119.7119.8
Michigan St.111.6110.5110.1110.7
Maryland111.0110.6109.8110.4
Indiana98.497.696.197.4
Rutgers98.597.495.797.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Minnesota115.9115.0115.4115.4
Wisconsin114.8114.6114.1114.5
Iowa112.9111.9111.1112.0
Illinois112.0112.5111.1111.8
Purdue112.6111.6110.6111.6
Nebraska102.1101.7100.6101.4
Northwestern96.597.295.396.3

Big Ten112.0111.4110.8111.4

Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
W. Kentucky98.198.199.798.6
U T S A97.596.898.097.5
U A B96.496.297.396.6
North Texas93.593.594.994.0
Florida Atlantic89.190.088.689.2
Middle Tennessee84.384.784.684.5
U T E P84.484.384.084.3
Rice82.382.482.382.3
Louisiana Tech81.782.881.181.9
Charlotte74.775.474.574.9
Florida Int’l.67.769.766.868.1

CUSA86.386.786.586.5

Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame115.9114.6116.2115.6
BYU103.7102.4103.5103.2
Liberty102.2103.3103.7103.1
Army94.895.095.094.9
Connecticut83.284.481.983.2
New Mexico St.74.376.273.974.8
Massachusetts70.070.868.269.7

Independents92.092.491.892.1

Mid-American
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio90.792.992.692.1
Buffalo89.791.991.691.0
Miami (Ohio)89.491.490.790.5
Kent St.87.589.187.588.0
Bowling Green86.686.486.786.6
Akron74.875.574.374.9

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Toledo97.698.698.798.3
N. Illinois91.692.091.891.8
Central Mich.89.591.191.790.8
Western Mich.86.787.587.187.1
Ball St.86.487.686.886.9
Eastern Mich.85.986.786.286.3

MAC88.089.288.888.7

Mountain West
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.104.2103.6104.9104.2
Air Force102.2102.0102.9102.4
Utah St.90.090.190.490.2
Wyoming88.390.189.689.3
Colorado St.81.081.881.381.3
New Mexico78.678.577.278.1

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Fresno St.100.5100.2101.2100.6
San Jose St.94.995.495.895.4
San Diego St.92.391.792.392.1
U N L V87.986.588.187.5
Nevada81.783.181.482.1
Hawaii73.274.474.073.8

MWC89.689.889.989.8

Pac-12
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah116.9116.3118.2117.1
Oregon117.2116.7117.3117.1
U C L A112.6112.6114.1113.1
U S C111.8112.2112.8112.3
Oregon St.109.6108.9110.1109.5
Washington107.8108.0108.4108.1
Washington St.107.0107.4108.0107.5
Arizona St.102.0101.5102.4102.0
California98.598.799.598.9
Stanford99.597.798.398.5
Arizona96.296.196.596.3
Colorado86.885.386.086.0

Pac-12105.5105.1106.0105.5

Southeastern
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia132.7131.8133.6132.7
Tennessee125.0125.0125.8125.3
Kentucky109.3109.7110.1109.7
Florida108.4109.7108.9109.0
South Carolina107.7107.3107.7107.6
Missouri104.8105.1104.2104.7
Vanderbilt92.693.291.592.5

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama129.1128.4130.0129.2
L S U117.7117.2117.5117.5
Mississippi St.115.5114.2114.5114.7
Ole Miss114.5113.0113.1113.5
Arkansas112.9111.6113.1112.5
Texas A&M108.4108.8108.9108.7
Auburn106.4104.9105.1105.5

SEC113.2112.9113.1113.1

Sunbelt
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Appalachian St.97.698.899.698.7
Georgia St.97.497.599.498.1
James Madison94.395.797.795.9
Marshall94.795.695.495.3
Coastal Carolina93.995.095.594.8
Ga. Southern92.292.393.492.6
Old Dominion89.789.789.789.7

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Troy95.396.197.496.3
South Alabama94.695.196.495.4
Louisiana91.792.193.192.3
Southern Miss.87.788.288.688.2
Texas St.82.884.184.183.7
Arkansas St.81.682.982.382.3
UL-Monroe81.882.281.881.9

Sun Belt91.191.892.591.8

Conference Ratings

#ConferenceRating
1Southeastern113.1
2Big Ten111.4
3Big 12111.3
4Pac-12105.5
5Atlantic Coast105.3
6American Athletic98.2
7Independents92.1
8Sun Belt91.8
9Mountain West89.8
10Mid-American88.7
11Conference USA86.5

Playoff & Bowl Projections

Four weeks from today, the College Football Playoffs and Postseason Bowl Game participants will be revealed to the public.  With less than a month to go, it’s time to take a more in-depth look at where things stand and where they might go.

The Playoff Race

After yesterday’s Georgia-Tennessee, Alabama-LSU, and Notre Dame-Clemson games played, it left three teams in the clear-cut lead to be in the top four this week.  Georgia has now penned the lone losses on Oregon and Tennessee, and the Bulldogs will ascend to number one.  Ohio State won ugly at Northwestern yesterday, but they played in severe weather.  Michigan once again spotted an opponent an early lead and then steamrolled Rutgers by four touchdowns.  Those three teams will be in the Big Four on Tuesday.  Who will be number four?  We believe it will be Tennessee, as losing at the new number one team by two touchdowns definitely tops Oregon’s blowout loss in Atlanta to the same team.  Should TCU be in the mix?  They most definitely should, but as so many media experts explain, their name drops them a couple spots in the rankings, just like Cincinnati last year at this time.  If the Horned Frogs win out with three tough games to go, they almost assuredly would move into the top four, but that’s a big if, and at the present time, having watched TCU play most of their games, we don’t see this team sitting at 13-0 on December 4.

If we have to make a wild guess, we will say that Georgia will easily win out in the regular season, even if their game in Starkville this week may be a trap game.  We cannot see any of Tennessee’s final three opponents competing against the Vols.  Georgia stopped their offense, because the Bulldogs have a defense not that much weaker than the Detroit Lions (probably more future Pro Bowl players than the Lions).  Neither Ohio State nor Michigan have much in their way prior to the big game at the Giant Horseshoe.  It won’t be popular, but a Big Ten-SEC Challenge in the Playoffs could be in the offing.  As of today, we have Georgia playing Michigan in the Peach Bowl, and Ohio State playing Tennessee in the Fiesta Bowl.  Oregon might win out and finish 12-1 and have to settle for the Rose Bowl.  We can see TCU actually losing twice in the next month, and maybe having to settle for the Cotton Bowl or even the Alamo Bowl, depending on what UCLA or USC does out West.

The New Year’s Six

One thing that happened this weekend was the elimination of Alabama and most likely Clemson from the Playoff picture.  With LSU’s win, the Tigers have a tough rebound game at Arkansas, and if Brian Kelly can lead the Bayou Bengals into Fayetteville and win, they almost have the SEC West clinched.  At 10-2 and a loss to Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, we believe the Sugar Bowl will take them in a heartbeat.  Where would that leave a 10-2 Alabama?  We think they would still get an Orange Bowl bid, where they might face their former nemesis Clemson.  The Rose Bowl would get the Pac-12 champion that would not be Playoff bound, so we’ll slot Oregon in there for now but not rule out the winner of the USC-UCLA game.  That leaves the Cotton Bowl.  The Group of Five team that finishes the highest in the ratings will automatically get a bid here.  If that bid was extended today, the Tulane Green Wave would receive it, but TU must beat Central Florida, Cincinnati, and then one of those two again in the AAC Championship Game to get to 12-1 and secure the bid.  Should TU falter, and we think that’s a very high possibility, the next team in line, one that strengthened their resume with a road win against an SEC team, would be Liberty, if the Flames win out (a much higher probability than Tulane).  The last at-large team in the field would most likely be Penn State at 10-2, but the number two team in the Pac-12 could beat the Nittany Lions out.  With losses to just two teams that we pick to be in the Playoffs, we’d go with Penn State to edge out any two-loss Pac-12 team.

American Athletic

As we previously mentioned, we do not see Tulane winning out, and should the Green Wave lose to both Central Florida and Cincinnati, they won’t even make the AAC Championship Game.  If they beat UCF in New Orleans, they would have to beat Cinti in consecutive weeks to get there, once in the Queen City and then once in the Crescent City.  If the Bearcats win out, and Tulane beats UCF, then Cinti would host Tulane in consecutive weeks.  If UCF wins out, and Cincinnati tops Tulane, then the Bearcats would have to go to Orlando in the conference championship game.

Elsewhere in the AAC, with SMU’s record-setting basketball score win over Houston, the Mustangs are almost a lock to get a bowl bid.  East Carolina is already bowl eligible.  Houston and Memphis have work to do, but the schedule is favorable for both.  As for the Cougars, Dana Holgersen may not be coaching the team by bowl season.

Atlantic Coast & Notre Dame

A half-dozen teams will have to lose games before Clemson has a remote chance to sneak into the playoffs, assuming the Tigers can win out.  If they play like they have the last few weeks, beating North Carolina in the ACC Championship Game would be 50-50 at best, and they might even be vulnerable against South Carolina in the regular season finale.  At best, CU can hope for another ACC title and a trip to the Orange Bowl.  North Carolina may be the weakest 1-loss team from a Power 5 Conference since the 20th Century.  The Tar Heels keep coming up with fourth quarter heroics to be mediocre teams.  We don’t believe Mack Brown’s Heels can make it to a New Year’s Bowl Game, and they need to finish better than one game ahead of Notre Dame just to get the Cheez-it Bowl bid.

Notre Dame can receive any of the ACC’s allotted bowl bids after the Orange Bowl as long as their won-loss record is within one game of the next highest ACC team.  If the Irish lose to USC and finish 9-3, they will be able to jump over a 10-2 team, but not an 11-2 team.  What better bowl to send the Irish to in December than one in Boston?  They’d sell out Fenway Park like a Yankees-Red Sox game in October.

With Notre Dame, this league figures to have 10 bowl eligible teams, which means all the first tier bowl bids will be taken, and one second tier bowl bid will be used.  We believe the Gasparilla Bowl will get the final ACC team.

Big 12

Had Texas been able to edge Alabama in September and not lose their star QB for a few games, the Longhorns might be in the Playoff mix.  The best the Longhorns can do now is to play spoiler and knock TCU out of the Playoff mix.  If Quinn Ewers can remain healthy and not have another three interception day like he did against Oklahoma State, the Longhorns might win out and become Big 12 Champions, getting a Sugar Bowl bid.

TCU must beat Texas and Baylor and then whoever makes the Big 12 Championship Game in order to get to the necessary 13-0 they will need to make the Playoffs, and it looks like too much of a longshot.  It is going to be rough just getting to the Sugar Bowl, and two losses most likely banishes the Frogs to the Alamo Bowl.

Elsewhere in the league, Kansas has now assured themselves of their first bowl bid in 14 years.  Texas Tech and Iowa State are now fighting it out for the last bowl bid in this league, and we believe there will be eight teams playing in the postseason.  If no Big 12 team gets to the Playoffs, there will be one extra team to fill in as an at-large bowl participant, and it is our belief that they will replace a spot that the SEC cannot fill.

Big Ten

We show three of the bowl eligible teams playing in either the Playoffs or New Year’s Six, so Ohio State, Michigan, and Penn State being taken off the table means the other New Year’s Day games against SEC teams will have lesser teams.  The Citrus Bowl is likely to go to the West Division Champion that will then get clobbered in the Big Ten Championship Game.  At the moment, even with a loss this weekend, Illinois has the upper hand.  The Reliaquest (Outback) bowl bid would then probably go to the West Division runner-up. 

There should be 10 Bowl Eligible teams with many of the also-rans beating up on each other, so the Big Ten will be able to fill its allotment all the way down to the Quick Lane Bowl.  That requires Michigan State to win two more games, but we think Sparty does that.

Conference USA

It is the weakest overall conference in FBS football, but geography is on CUSA’s side.  This year, the two best teams are in the Lone Star State as UTSA and North Texas have moved to the top of the standings and figure to play in the title game.  Western Kentucky, Rice, Florida Atlantic, and Middle Tennessee are quite mediocre, but all four could end up with six losses and become bowl eligible.  The last bowl bid available figures to come down to the number six CUSA team and the number eight Mountain West team.  Because that final bowl spot is likely to be from a game east of the Mississippi River, a 6-6 CUSA team should get in over a 6-6 MWC team.

Independents

Notre Dame is not counted as an independent since they can receive an ACC bid.  Army and BYU are guaranteed bowl bids if they are bowl eligible.  BYU should sneak in, but Army is looking at a potential 5-7 or 4-8 season.

Liberty will get a bowl bid, and if the Flames win out, they could be feeling some soft Cotton in Texas.  The big surprise team that few people have taken notice to since September is Connecticut.  The Huskies could very well become bowl eligible in Jim Mora Jr.’s first season in Storrs.

Mid-American

Toledo frequently appears to be the most talented team in the MAC, but the Rockets always stub their toes and fail to win the conference championship.  They will have to look hard for something to bang their feet on this year.  Losing another game would be a major Rocket malfunction.  The rest of this league has a lot of parity, but there should be seven bowl eligible teams the first Sunday in December.  All seven will get bowl bids.  The question is, “who will be forced to spend December in Boise?”

Mountain West

This has been another down year in the MWC, and with rumors swirling that more than one team could be moving to the Pac-12 or even Big 12, this league has lost some prestige.  Having Boise State no longer be great has hurt it even more.  The Broncos lost to a so-so BYU team Saturday, and their upcoming game at Wyoming may determine the Mountain Division champion.  Air Force and Utah State should also receive bowl bids on this side of the Rockies.

On the West side, Fresno State started slowly but is 10 to 14 points better than they were in early September.  San Jose State can still win the division, but the Bulldogs look like they have this race under control.  San Diego State also figures to be bowl eligible on this side.  Once considered a contender for the division title, UNLV is looking at a 6-6 record and quite possibly becoming the lone bowl eligible team that does not receive an invitation.

Pac-12

Too much parity has been the bane of this league for several years.  This year, there is a big division of haves and have-nots, and it likely means that the league will do no better than place a team in the Rose Bowl.  Oregon’s 40+ point loss to Georgia cannot be overlooked, and if the Ducks win out and finish 12-1, two or three teams ahead of the Ducks today will have to lose.  It won’t be easy for Oregon to win out.

UCLA, USC, and Utah are still in the mix for the Pac-12 title, and all three are talented enough to beat Oregon in December.  If UCLA or USC wins out and Oregon wins out, the loser of the Pac-12 Championship Game would still have a fair chance at receiving the Cotton Bowl bid as the last NY6 team.

Oregon State, Washington, and Washington State will also be bowl eligible and will satisfy the rest of the league allotment with no extra teams.  Oregon State could play spoiler in the Civil War game with the Ducks.

SEC

The overwhelming power of this league is most likely to leave the conference one team short of filling its bowl spots.  We see Georgia and Tennessee both making the playoff, and we see LSU and Alabama both getting NY6 bids.  We also see just 10 SEC teams becoming bowl eligible now that Texas A&M has collapsed and Arkansas tripped up at home against Liberty.  The Arkansas-Missouri winner on the final weekend should get the final bowl bid.  As of today, we have the Music City Bowl being the odd bowl out needing an at-large team, and the Big 12 is full of teams with fans that would love some country music during the holidays.

Sun Belt

The SBC pecking order is unique, and it is difficult to place teams in bowls because of it.  ESPN gets the first choice of teams to place in one of the bowl games they sponsor.  It doesn’t have to be the number one team in the league, just the number one choice.  Next, the New Orleans Bowl gets to choose its team after ESPN has taken its first choice.  The 3rd and 4th teams once again are chosen by ESPN for their bowls, and then the 5th team is chosen by the Lending Tree Bowl.  There figures to be seven bowl eligible teams from this league, which is fast becoming the second best G5 conference.  All seven will receive bids.

BowlTeamTeam
BahamasFlorida AtlanticBowling Green
CureSouth AlabamaAir Force
FenwayNotre DameCincinnati
New MexicoRiceSan Jose St.
L.A.Washington St.Fresno St.
Lending TreeBuffaloGeorgia Southern
Las VegasUSCKentucky
FriscoBYUSan Diego St.
Myrtle BeachBall St.Appalachian St.
Famous Idaho PotatoEastern MichiganUtah St.
Boca RatonMarshallConnecticut
New OrleansWestern KentuckyCoastal Carolina
Armed ForcesTulaneUTSA
IndependenceEast CarolinaSouthern Miss.
GasparillaLouisvilleHouston
HawaiiNorth TexasBoise St.
Quick LaneMichigan St.Miami (O)
CamelliaToledoTroy
First ResponderKansasSMU
BirminghamMemphisMiddle Tennessee
Guaranteed RateOklahoma St.Purdue
MilitaryWake ForestCentral Florida
LibertyBaylorSouth Carolina
HolidayDukeWashington
TexasOklahomaMissouri
PinstripePittsburghWisconsin
Cheez-ItNorth CarolinaKansas St.
AlamoTCUUtah
Duke’s MayoNorth Carolina St.Maryland
Tony the Tiger SunSyracuseOregon St.
ArizonaOhio UWyoming
OrangeClemsonAlabama
Music CityIowaTexas Tech
SugarLSUTexas
TaxSlayerFlorida St.Mississippi St.
PeachGeorgiaMichigan
FiestaOhio St.Tennessee
Reliaquest (Outback)MinnesotaFlorida
CitrusIllinoisOle Miss
CottonUCLALiberty
RoseOregonPenn St.
National ChampionshipGeorgiaOhio St.

October 6, 2022

PiRate Picks — October 6, 2022

After coming back down to Earth last week with a 2-5 record against the spread, our seasonal record now stands at 18-10. That’s still abnormally high. Let’s hope we can get back on the winning side this week with seven selections, hoping to go 4-3 and be happy with a profit.

About 18 other games came within a point or two of being playable for us in our in-house method of picking games either against the spread, the total, or in creating a money line parlay where the odds are +120 or higher, preferably higher than +130 or +140.

Here are this week’s selections. Remember: We never wager real money on our selections, and we suggest you follow this lead.

Selection #1: Alabama and Texas A&M Over 51 1/2

First, we expect Bryce Young to be ready for this game, and he will only need a half or so of time he will be needed, as Alabama exacts some revenge against the Aggies. We chose to take the Over here, because ‘Bama could cover the total by themselves. We aren’t saying that a 52-0 game is in the offing, but 41-14 would be realistic.

Selection #2: Georgia Southern and Georgia St. Under 67 1/2

Both of these teams can put points on the scoreboard and score 35 points against a defense the caliber of their opponent this week, but this heated rivalry game is liable to have added defensive stops. Thus, we think the total is a little too high. We think this game could be 31-28, as high as 35-28, and we still win at 35-31. As long as this game doesn’t go to overtime, we think this is our top play of the week.

Selection #3: Army and Wake Forest Under 66 1/2

Our thinking here is that Army will try to reduce this game to a minimum of plays, and Wake Forest is coming off consecutive big games. Army’s offense isn’t assessing the real estate like it has in recent years, so scoring 20 points is not automatic, as they could only manage 14 against a weaker Georgia State defense last week. Wake Forest gave up 25 points to a Vanderbilt team that is somewhat comparable offensively to Army’s offensive abilities, and the Demon Deacons put up a strong defensive effort last week. We see this game as a 35-14, and 45-21 still wins this one.

Selection #4: Arkansas + 9 1/2 vs. Mississippi State

It is not in our DNA to play an underdog at 9 1/2 points, as 10 1/2 gives us so much better odds for the money. And, we know that teams that play Alabama frequently show the effects of the pasting they received in the next game.

Our internal game projection makes this spread playable for us, as we see this as almost a tossup and only give the Bulldogs the edge due to home field advantage. We don’t see State winning by more than a touchdown, if they win at all.

Selection #5: Money Line Parlay at +144.92

Notre Dame over BYU

Utah over UCLA

We wanted to find a way to get the Utes into our selections this week, and this appears to be the best possible play. After dropping the opener to Florida, the Utes have begun to look like the class of the Pac-12. As for the Notre Dame-BYU game, it is our belief that Notre Dame’s game with Marshall was a wake up call for the Irish. Looking at how close they came to winning at Ohio State compared to how the Buckeyes have fared since, we believe Notre Dame is sitting on their best game of the year this week. This is a neutral site game in Las Vegas, and it could be one of the more exciting TV games. But, we think the outcome is not all that much in doubt.

Selection #6: Money Line Parlay at +148.05

Nevada over Colorado St.

Tulane over East Carolina

These two games are simply a matter of our thinking that the ML is too low for the favorites, and thus, it gives us an inflated potential payout for playing the two favorites.

Money Line Parlay at +202.93

Oklahoma St. over Texas Tech

Kentucky over South Carolina

North Carolina St. over Florida St.

Similar to the #6 selection, our beliefs that these three favorites will win, while not as strong as the two-gamer above, still remains strong enough to make it playable at better than 2-1 odds.

September 14, 2022

PiRate Picks For September 16-17, 2022

That broken clock finally failed to show the correct time on the PiRate Ship. Last week, our five picks came in at 1-4, dropping our profit for the season to $1,211.77 ($1,311.77 left in the imaginary account).

We’re back to where we normally are in September. Usually, when we have a bad week, our saving grace in the past has been Money Line Parlays playing at +140 or higher odds. We had a tough time finding one really good parlay this week. While we like odds in the range of +140 to +180, we couldn’t find the right number of games to make this range work out. We also don’t like to play more than three games in a parlay, so it came down to going with 3 at more than +200 or go to five bigger favorites to get to +155 and change.

We also tend to like to play an odd number of games to eliminate the .500 record that results in a small loss. Of course, when one of those selections is a parlay that pays different than the straight 11-10 odds, a .500 record could be a winning week if one of those wins is the parlay.

Our selections this week are all about the numbers more than the actual teams playing. Without further adieu, here are our selections for the week. Remember: We never wager real money on our picks, and we highly suggest that you follow our lead.

Selection 1: Wyoming +14 1/2 vs. Air Force

This is a nice rivalry game, and the last time the margin of this game exceeded 14 points was 2013. Wyoming’s schedule has been considerably stronger than Air Force’s, as Illinois and Tulsa are both stronger than Colorado. Craig Bohl teams tend to be stronger against the run than the pass, so this looks like a good play to be on the side where the top four margins by frequency come with it (3, 7, 10, and 14 points represent the final margin in 1/4 of all college football games).

Selection #2: Wyoming & Air Force Under 46 1/2

For the same reasons above, this game appeals to us for the total. We think this game is more like a 20-17 game, which falls well under 46 1/2 points.

Selection #3: Maryland -2 1/2 vs. SMU

The PiRates really prefer to go with underdogs that we believe should be favorites, but there were no short ‘dogs this week that really jumped off the page. We believe that Maryland is better than a touchdown stronger than SMU. Game outcomes of 1 and 2 points occur just 5.9% of the time, and that includes 5.9% of the time that the favorite and the underdog win by 1 or 2.

Selection #4: Northern Illinois -2 1/2 vs. Vanderbilt

Ditto the game above. Except, Vanderbilt exposed itself by showing its real weakness last week against Wake Forest. The Huskies were somewhat shocked by Tulsa in week one, but they should rebound in week two.

Selection #5: Nebraska and Oklahoma Under 66 1/2

What do you get when you combine a defensive genius head coach coaching in his third ever game against a big rival with a coach making his debut when a few days ago, he was an assistant coach? Usually, you get a hard-fought game that tends to be a little more defense-oriented. The Cornhuskers should play their best game of the season for interim coach Mickey Joseph, while the Sooners may play it a bit more conservatively. An OU win similar to last year’s game, which ended with 39 total points scored.

Selection #6: California and Notre Dame Over 40 1/2

Notre Dame last started a season 0-3 in 2007. Before Irish fans jump out of buildings, they were 0-2 in 2011 with a loss to a weak South Florida team and proceeded to win eight of their next nine games. Cal isn’t the best defensive team in the land, even though the Bears are only giving up 13.5 points per game so far. UC-Davis and UNLV are not offensive juggernauts.

If this game ends 21-20, it beats the total by a half-point. Notre Dame and Marshall combined for 47 points, and Cal’s offense is better than Marshall’s.

Selection #7: Money Line Parlay at +204.42

Penn State over Auburn

Texas A&M over Miami (Fla.)

North Carolina St. over Texas Tech

Auburn barely beat a mediocre San Jose State team last week. A weaker Penn State team than this year’s squad defeated a stronger Auburn team than this year’s squad last year.

If Texas A&M loses again this week, Jimbo Fisher might be sharing a beer with Scott Frost the following Saturday somewhere outside of a football stadium.

Texas Tech’s win over Houston is getting a lot more accolades than it probably should have gotten. N.C. State’s narrow escape over East Carolina probably got too much as well. This is still a Wolf Pack team capable of winning the ACC Title.

August 28, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football–Sept. 1-5, 2022

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 6:07 am

This Week’s Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
TennesseeBall St.33.532.033.5
PittsburghWest Virginia13.712.613.3
PurduePenn St.4.74.14.0
MissouriLouisiana Tech26.725.127.2
MinnesotaNew Mexico St.42.039.043.1
Oklahoma St.Central Michigan28.224.024.4
IndianaIllinois0.3-0.8-0.7
Old DominionVirginia Tech-9.0-9.4-6.4
Michigan St.Western Michigan29.826.926.2
DukeTemple5.85.85.0
ColoradoTCU-7.3-7.6-6.6
Ole MissTroy25.723.522.8
FloridaUtah-7.0-3.5-8.6
South FloridaBYU-12.9-12.5-14.0
SyracuseLouisville-2.9-3.3-3.5
Ohio St.Notre Dame14.214.115.2
MarylandBuffalo30.127.428.0
MichiganColorado St.38.235.037.4
Appalachian St.North Carolina-10.0-8.4-6.7
Boston CollegeRutgers2.25.15.0
James MadisonMiddle Tennessee4.04.77.7
Coastal CarolinaArmy-2.8-2.1-1.2
KentuckyMiami (O)23.521.221.9
South CarolinaGeorgia St.13.113.39.3
North TexasSMU-10.5-10.4-9.3
OhioFlorida Atlantic-0.80.41.4
East CarolinaNorth Carolina St.-16.3-15.7-15.6
WyomingTulsa-10.1-6.3-8.8
USCRice27.128.529.0
UCLABowling Green23.825.026.3
Oregon St.Boise St.4.14.63.8
WashingtonKent St.19.817.820.8
San Diego St.Arizona6.46.46.9
NevadaTexas St.9.210.58.1
Georgia (Atlanta)Oregon21.419.823.8
Southern Miss.Liberty-7.8-9.3-10.3
AlabamaUtah St.37.235.538.0
OklahomaUTEP37.236.637.4
Mississippi St.Memphis20.618.019.0
TexasUL-Monroe32.030.331.0
ArkansasCincinnati7.56.56.2
UTSAHouston-5.9-7.4-7.9
TulaneMassachusetts25.924.327.8
HawaiiWestern Kentucky-18.5-16.5-20.2
LSU (New Orleans)Florida St.3.43.33.5
Georgia TechClemson-21.7-21.5-24.4

FBS vs. FCS Games

FBSFCSPiRate
AkronSt. Francis (PA)8.3
Central FloridaS. Carolina St.29.5
Florida Int’l.Bryant8.8
ToledoLong Island39.0
Wake ForestVMI31.7
Northern IllinoisEastern Illinois28.0
UABAlabama A&M28.8
Arizona St.Northern Arizona26.1
Fresno St.Cal Poly SLO31.3
San Jose St.Portland St.12.7
Eastern MichiganEastern Kentucky13.2
CharlotteWilliam & Mary3.8
KansasTennessee Tech25.1
Air ForceNorthern Iowa15.3
New MexicoMaine4.6
Texas A&MSam Houston27.7
ConnecticutCentral Connecticut13.0
IowaSouth Dakota St.16.7
NavyDelaware18.1
VirginiaRichmond22.1
Iowa St.SE Missouri St.33.2
NebraskaNorth Dakota21.1
Miami (Fla.)Bethune-Cookman38.6
MarshallNorfolk St.28.1
CaliforniaUC Davis18.6
South AlabamaNicholls St.9.7
Georgia SouthernMorgan St.28.6
AuburnMercer28.2
VanderbiltElon17.2
Kansas St.South Dakota23.2
WisconsinIllinois St.31.3
LouisianaSE Louisiana18.1
BaylorAlbany38.5
Arkansas St.Grambling21.8
StanfordColgate30.3
Texas TechMurray St.30.0
Washington St.Idaho25.7

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Georgia130.5
2Alabama129.1
3Ohio St.128.3
4Michigan123.0
5Clemson120.0
6Oklahoma119.1
7NC State118.1
8Michigan St.117.7
9Wisconsin117.6
10Oklahoma St.117.5
11Notre Dame116.8
12Utah116.6
13Purdue115.9
14Arkansas115.3
15Tennessee115.1
16Pittsburgh115.0
17Iowa114.7
18Miami (Fla.)114.7
19Penn St.114.6
20Texas A&M114.3
21Mississippi St.113.9
22Minnesota113.6
23Baylor113.5
24Kentucky112.7
25L S U112.5
26Ole Miss112.2
27Florida St.111.6
28BYU111.5
29Cincinnati111.5
30Oregon111.3
31Auburn111.2
32Louisville111.0
33Kansas St.110.3
34Texas110.2
35Maryland110.0
36U C L A109.1
37South Carolina109.1
38Iowa St.108.7
39North Carolina108.2
40T C U107.8
41Nebraska107.6
42Oregon St.107.2
43Texas Tech106.7
44Florida106.7
45Boise St.106.0
46U S C105.9
47Houston105.5
48Wake Forest105.4
49Washington104.9
50Syracuse104.8
51Arizona St.104.5
52UCF104.4
53Illinois103.8
54Missouri103.7
55Virginia103.6
56Fresno St.103.5
57West Virginia103.3
58Stanford102.2
59SMU102.0
60Washington St.101.5
61Air Force101.4
62Northwestern101.2
63Boston College101.2
64Indiana100.9
65Georgia St.100.1
66Rutgers100.1
67East Carolina99.8
68Virginia Tech99.7
69Army99.0
70California98.3
71N. Illinois98.2
72Tulane98.2
73U A B98.1
74Appal. St.97.8
75San Diego St.97.7
76Colorado97.6
77Kansas97.3
78Memphis97.2
79Liberty97.0
80Louisiana96.9
81W. Kentucky96.7
82U T S A96.5
83Tulsa95.5
84Vanderbilt95.4
85USF95.4
86Utah St.95.2
87Georgia Tech95.0
88Central Mich.95.0
89Toledo94.5
90Arizona94.1
91Coastal Car.94.0
92Miami (Ohio)93.5
93Western Mich.93.1
94Navy92.2
95Marshall92.1
96Troy91.2
97North Texas90.4
98J. Madison89.5
99Old Dominion89.4
100Colorado St.89.2
101Florida Atlantic88.6
102Eastern Mich.88.5
103Kent St.88.4
104U N L V88.1
105Nevada87.8
106San Jose St.87.4
107Bowling Green87.1
108Ga. Southern86.6
109Middle Tennessee86.5
110Ohio85.9
111South Alabama85.8
112Southern Miss.85.3
113Ball St.85.1
114U T E P85.1
115Buffalo84.5
116Wyoming84.1
117Duke84.1
118UL-Monroe82.1
119Temple81.1
120Texas St.81.0
121Arkansas St.80.8
122Rice80.7
123Charlotte80.7
124Louisiana Tech80.4
125New Mexico80.2
126Akron78.5
127Connecticut78.2
128New Mexico St.75.3
129Hawaii74.8
130Massachusetts74.7
131Florida Int’l.67.6

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati111.3110.4112.9111.5
Houston105.1104.8106.6105.5
UCF103.9104.6104.7104.4
SMU102.3101.4102.4102.0
East Carolina99.699.2100.599.8
Tulane98.797.898.098.2
Memphis97.197.697.097.2
Tulsa95.994.995.895.5
USF96.394.895.295.4
Navy93.092.291.492.2
Temple81.083.578.781.1

AAC98.698.398.598.4

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson119.8119.6120.6120.0
NC State118.4117.4118.6118.1
Florida St.112.1111.4111.3111.6
Louisville111.8110.6110.8111.0
Wake Forest105.9105.2105.2105.4
Syracuse105.9104.3104.2104.8
Boston College100.6102.6100.3101.2

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Pittsburgh116.0114.7114.3115.0
Miami (Fla.)115.2113.8115.0114.7
North Carolina108.3108.5107.8108.2
Virginia104.1104.3102.4103.6
Virginia Tech100.4100.897.999.7
Georgia Tech95.795.693.795.0
Duke84.386.881.284.1

ACC107.0106.8105.9106.6

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma119.4118.2119.8119.1
Oklahoma St.118.3116.4117.7117.5
Baylor114.2112.9113.4113.5
Kansas St.111.2109.8110.0110.3
Texas111.2110.0109.5110.2
Iowa St.108.7108.6108.9108.7
T C U108.9107.3107.3107.8
Texas Tech107.1105.6107.5106.7
West Virginia103.8103.6102.5103.3
Kansas99.296.995.897.3

Big 12110.2108.9109.2109.5

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.128.7126.7129.6128.3
Michigan123.7121.9123.5123.0
Michigan St.119.0117.4116.8117.7
Penn St.115.1114.6114.1114.6
Maryland110.3110.1109.8110.0
Indiana102.1101.599.1100.9
Rutgers101.4100.598.3100.1

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Wisconsin118.1117.4117.1117.6
Purdue116.8115.7115.0115.9
Iowa115.9114.4113.9114.7
Minnesota113.7113.1114.1113.6
Nebraska108.1108.1106.8107.6
Illinois104.3104.8102.3103.8
Northwestern101.4102.599.6101.2

Big Ten112.8112.0111.4112.1

Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U A B97.497.699.298.1
W. Kentucky96.095.698.696.7
U T S A97.295.496.796.5
North Texas90.289.591.690.4
Florida Atlantic88.089.688.188.6
Middle Tennessee85.786.886.986.5
U T E P85.284.685.385.1
Rice81.380.780.280.7
Charlotte80.481.780.080.7
Louisiana Tech80.382.078.880.4
Florida Int’l.67.170.265.467.6

CUSA86.386.786.586.5

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame117.5115.5117.4116.8
BYU112.2110.2112.2111.5
Army98.699.399.299.0
Liberty95.497.598.097.0
Connecticut78.680.176.078.2
New Mexico St.74.877.174.075.3
Massachusetts75.376.072.774.7

Independents93.293.792.893.2

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)91.694.694.493.5
Kent St.87.490.287.788.4
Bowling Green87.886.586.987.1
Ohio84.387.086.585.9
Buffalo83.185.884.884.5
Akron78.379.377.978.5

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
N. Illinois97.998.398.498.2
Central Mich.93.195.496.495.0
Toledo93.594.795.494.5
Western Mich.92.293.593.693.1
Eastern Mich.88.489.088.188.5
Ball St.84.786.084.885.1

MAC88.590.089.689.4

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.106.1105.0107.0106.0
Air Force101.0100.9102.4101.4
Utah St.94.895.295.695.2
Colorado St.88.689.989.189.2
Wyoming82.885.684.084.1
New Mexico80.481.179.180.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Fresno St.103.3102.6104.6103.5
San Diego St.97.597.597.997.7
U N L V89.086.588.688.1
Nevada87.289.387.087.8
San Jose St.86.987.388.087.4
Hawaii74.175.674.974.8

MWC91.091.491.591.3

Pac-12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah116.5115.0118.4116.6
Oregon111.7111.4110.9111.3
U C L A108.6108.5110.2109.1
Oregon St.107.2106.6107.8107.2
U S C105.4106.2106.2105.9
Washington104.2105.0105.5104.9
Arizona St.104.1104.1105.4104.5
Stanford103.8101.0101.8102.2
Washington St.101.0101.6101.8101.5
California97.798.199.198.3
Colorado98.596.797.797.6
Arizona94.194.194.094.1

Pac-12104.4104.0104.9104.4

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia130.6128.7132.2130.5
Tennessee115.2114.9115.3115.1
Kentucky112.1112.8113.3112.7
South Carolina109.5108.8108.9109.1
Florida105.9108.0106.3106.7
Missouri104.0104.1103.0103.7
Vanderbilt95.696.893.895.4

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama129.0127.7130.6129.1
Arkansas115.9113.9116.1115.3
Texas A&M113.4114.8114.8114.3
Mississippi St.115.2113.1113.5113.9
L S U113.0112.2112.2112.5
Ole Miss113.4111.4111.8112.2
Auburn112.1110.6110.9111.2

SEC113.2112.7113.1113.0

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia St.99.398.5102.6100.1
Appalachian St.96.298.199.097.8
Coastal Carolina92.894.295.094.0
Marshall91.492.892.192.1
James Madison87.289.192.189.5
Old Dominion89.489.489.589.4
Ga. Southern86.686.087.186.6

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana95.996.398.596.9
Troy90.790.992.091.2
South Alabama85.385.686.585.8
Southern Miss.85.185.685.285.3
UL-Monroe82.282.781.582.1
Texas St.80.481.381.481.0
Arkansas St.80.181.780.680.8

Sun Belt88.889.490.289.5

Conference Rankings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern113.0
2Big Ten112.1
3Big 12109.5
4Atlantic Coast106.6
5Pac-12104.4
6American Athletic98.4
7Independents93.2
8Mountain West91.3
9Sun Belt89.5
10Mid-American89.4
11Conference USA86.5

The Best TV Games This Week

Thursday, September 1
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
7:00 PMESPNPittsburghWest Virginia
8:00 PMFoxPurduePenn St.

Friday, September 2
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
7:00 PMESPNMichigan St.Western Michigan
8:00 PMFS1IndianaIllinois
10:00 PMESPNColoradoTCU

Saturday, September 3
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
12:00 PMABCMichiganColorado St.
12:00 PMESPNEast CarolinaNorth Carolina St.
12:00 PMESPNUAppalachian St.North Carolina
12:00 PMFS1IowaSouth Dakota St.
3:30 PMCBSSan Diego St.Arizona
3:30 PMESPNArkansasCincinnati
3:30 PMABCGeorgia (Atl.)Oregon
3:30 PMFoxOklahomaUTEP
7:00 PMESPNFloridaUtah
7:30 PMESPNUMississippi St.Memphis
7:30 PMABCOhio St.Notre Dame
7:30 PMSECNAlabamaUtah St.
10:30 PMESPNOregon St.Boise St.
10:30 PMFS1WashingtonKent St.

Sunday, September 4
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
7:30 PMABCLSU (New Orleans)Florida St.

Monday, September 5
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
8:00 PMESPNGeorgia TechClemson

August 13, 2022

FBS Independents Preview

In 1971, there were 34 major college independents playing football. In 2022, there are seven independents, and the ranks are going to shrink soon. Liberty and New Mexico State will join Conference USA next year. BYU is headed to the Big 12. The question remains what will Notre Dame do?

Can the Irish afford to remain an independent? By the time the season starts, we may know the answer. With NBC rumored to be ready to pay big bucks to get a weekly Big Ten game in prime time, there may be little need to offer Notre Dame the vault the Irish desire. The Big Ten may be on the precipice of paying out 9-figures to its teams. If the Irish are only offered 30 to 40 million dollars, they may be willing to become Big Ten team number 17.

Of the seven indies this year, four figure to be good, and three will struggle to win three ball games apiece.

FBS Independents PiRate Ratings

TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame119.0117.0118.9118.3
BYU112.1110.1112.1111.4
Army98.599.299.198.9
Liberty95.397.497.996.9
Connecticut77.579.074.577.0
New Mexico St.74.877.174.075.3
Massachusetts75.275.972.674.6
Independents93.293.792.793.2

There are no official Independent Media Polls like there are for conferences, but I have included the consensus of seven of my friends that produce computer ratings like the PiRate Ratings.

Computer Power Rating Poll

#West1st PlaceOverall
1Notre Dame648
2BYU040
3Army138
4Liberty028
5N. Mexico St.018
6Connecticut015
7U Mass09

The PiRate Rating are designed to be used for the next week of football games and not meant to be used to predict won-loss records. Nevertheless, here are the projected won-loss records.

Predicted Won-Loss Records

TeamW-L
Notre Dame11-1
Army9-3
BYU9-3
Liberty8-4
New Mexico St.3-9
Connecticut3-9
Massachusetts2-10

August 8, 2022

The PiRates Are Leaving The Port For 2022-23

It’s Football Time In Tennessee! Actually it’s football time everywhere, but when you live in the Volunteer State and spent 30+ years listening to the radio play-by-play GOAT, John Ward, say that phrase 11 or 12 times a season, it becomes the adrenaline boosting tagline to put one in the mood for “THE SPORT” that matters.

College football as we know it has reached the dawn of evolutionary change. Massive restructuring of the game is forthcoming, and some of that change will be apparent this season, as the Sun Belt Conference has more teams at the expense of Conference USA. With Texas and Oklahoma possibly becoming SEC members as early as next season, and USC and UCLA making the move to the Big Ten, there are a couple more major dominoes that could fall and send the conventional football alignment falling en masse.

I have tried to stay in the loop with more than a dozen insider contacts developed from my years in sports journalism in radio, TV, and in print. There are many differing opinions about what could happen and what they have heard is in the works. However, nearly every one of them agree on one thing: everything is in a holding pattern concerning the move beyond 16 teams in the Big Ten and SEC, until Notre Dame learns what their potential media contract will be and what the Big Ten media contract will be.

Notre Dame is getting $22 million from NBC and $12 million from the ACC. Next year, the final year of that contract with NBC, it will rise by $2.5 million. The Big Ten is being rumored to distribute possibly $1.2 billion in media revenue share. Notre Dame is seeking $75 million a year from NBC to renew the contract. If the offer is not in that ballpark, the Irish are likely to bite the bullet and join the Big Ten. One or two Southern insiders believes Notre Dame has not completely eliminated the possibility of seeking SEC membership, but my Midwest contacts say that their fan base will demand Big Ten membership so that travel will be minimized.

Let me address something else that has come to my attention. In various ways, I receive comments from others asking what I think about the big conferences forcing the small private schools out of their leagues. It usually goes something like, “Why does the SEC allow Vanderbilt to remain in the conference, when they sponge millions of dollars and don’t contribute much to the total pot?”

Three private schools have departed the SEC through the last eight decades. Sewanee, Georgia Tech, and Tulane left on their own account. Tech and Tulane would gladly return to the league today if they could. Vandy is not leaving the SEC, and the SEC is not kicking the Commodores out either. Even though all this realignment and expansion is 100% about football, and Vanderbilt football is basically a perpetual expansion team, their value to the conference comes in multiple essential ways. First, the league now considers Nashville their most essential city in their footprint. The 2023 Football Media Days will relocate from Atlanta to the Music City. The league’s annual postseason men’s basketball tournament is under contract for Bridgestone Arena in Nashville for many years to come. Yes, the Tennessee Vols are the top college team in the city, but Knoxville is 185 miles to the east.

There is another major reason that every conference wants to have a private school as a member. When every conference member is a public institution, then the entire league is subject to open records laws. With just one private school in the league, that school closes those records. The SEC isn’t going to give up their covert operating methods.

Now for the real reason that 99% of you come to this site to read. Beginning Tuesday, August 9, 2022, the annual PiRate Ratings’ Conference Previews will begin posting here one league at a time, debuting in order of lowest-ranked conference to highest-ranked conference.

Here is the schedule for each preview:

August 9: Conference USA

August 10: Mid-American Conference

August 11: Sun Belt Conference

August 12: Mountain West Conference

August 13: FBS Independents

August 14: American Athletic Conference

August 15: Pac-12 Conference

August 16: Atlantic Coast Conference

August 17: Big 12 Conference

August 18: Big Ten Conference

August 19: Southeastern Conference

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