The Pi-Rate Ratings

October 17, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Football–October 20-23, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Appalachian St.Coastal Carolina-8.0-6.7-6.7
SMUTulane9.811.89.9
Arkansas St.Louisiana-23.5-21.5-24.5
CharlotteFlorida Atlantic-7.3-7.5-6.3
UNLVSan Jose St.-6.3-7.2-5.1
ConnecticutMiddle Tennessee-12.7-11.9-15.9
Central FloridaMemphis8.66.98.9
Utah St.Colorado St.-1.6-1.0-2.2
ArizonaWashington-15.5-17.4-17.5
ToledoWestern Michigan3.12.02.4
Florida St.Massachusetts32.233.035.6
Georgia St.Texas St.12.213.313.4
IndianaOhio St.-15.9-16.0-17.0
AkronBuffalo-12.8-13.4-14.3
Penn St.Illinois25.426.127.6
VirginiaGeorgia Tech9.610.910.1
LouisvilleBoston College2.62.03.7
Virginia TechSyracuse9.88.68.7
PittsburghClemson-4.2-3.5-5.5
MinnesotaMaryland4.56.88.6
MichiganNorthwestern18.519.219.8
Central MichiganNorthern Illinois9.69.910.3
Ohio UKent St.-2.2-2.6-0.8
NavyCincinnati-33.3-33.5-35.5
Miami (Fla.)North Carolina St.1.91.42.1
ArmyWake Forest-5.8-5.0-6.1
South FloridaTemple10.88.89.9
Bowling GreenEastern Michigan-16.5-14.5-15.1
HoustonEast Carolina9.89.49.1
KansasOklahoma-41.4-41.8-45.2
Ball St.Miami (O)1.33.32.4
WyomingNew Mexico18.719.220.9
CaliforniaColorado-2.02.31.5
Oregon St.Utah-1.5-1.6-1.3
Washington St.BYU-3.3-1.5-2.8
UCLAOregon1.71.30.9
Texas TechKansas St.-1.2-0.7-1.2
TCUWest Virginia5.35.87.4
Iowa St.Oklahoma St.11.19.911.6
UABRice22.022.422.7
AlabamaTennessee25.425.026.0
Texas A&MSouth Carolina21.522.623.0
VanderbiltMississippi St.-22.2-22.8-22.9
PurdueWisconsin1.81.62.4
Ole MissLSU10.08.89.1
Louisiana-MonroeSouth Alabama-13.2-12.9-13.9
North TexasLiberty-20.8-21.7-22.4
Louisiana TechUTSA-8.4-8.5-9.8
Florida Int’l.Western Kentucky-8.5-9.5-8.8
Air ForceSan Diego St.2.23.24.1
Notre DameUSC3.64.34.1
Fresno St.Nevada3.33.34.9
HawaiiNew Mexico St.26.125.127.7

FBS vs. FCS Game

FBSFCSPiRate
ArkansasArkansas-Pine Bluff39.5

Teams Not Playing This Week

Arizona St.
Auburn
Baylor
Boise St.
Duke
Florida
Georgia
Georgia Southern
Iowa
Kentucky
Marshall
Michigan St.
Missouri
Nebraska
North Carolina
Old Dominion
Rutgers
Southern Miss.
Stanford
Texas
Troy
Tulsa
UTEP

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Georgia134.5
2Alabama131.4
3Ohio St.126.6
4Oklahoma124.7
5Cincinnati123.2
6Iowa St.121.0
7Texas A&M117.4
8Penn St.117.2
9Auburn117.1
10Ole Miss116.9
11Florida116.8
12Clemson116.2
13Iowa115.9
14Texas115.8
15Utah114.7
16Michigan114.4
17Arizona St.113.7
18Notre Dame113.7
19Oklahoma St.113.1
20Arkansas112.8
21U S C112.7
22Kentucky112.6
23T C U112.5
24Coastal Carolina112.5
25Oregon112.0
26Baylor111.8
27NC State111.0
28L S U110.6
29U C L A110.3
30Oregon St.110.2
31Michigan St.110.0
32North Carolina110.0
33Miami (Fla.)109.8
34Nebraska109.7
35West Virginia109.3
36Wake Forest109.3
37Wisconsin109.3
38Tennessee109.0
39Louisiana108.9
40Pittsburgh108.7
41Washington108.3
42Purdue108.2
43BYU107.5
44Indiana107.3
45Virginia107.3
46Kansas St.107.1
47Minnesota106.9
48Mississippi St.106.4
49Stanford104.6
50Houston104.5
51Virginia Tech104.3
52Liberty103.4
53Boise St.103.4
54Boston College103.3
55Maryland103.3
56Louisville103.1
57Texas Tech103.1
58Appalachian St.102.8
59SMU102.5
60Fresno St.102.4
61Washington St.101.9
62Air Force101.8
63Florida St.101.8
64San Diego St.101.7
65Colorado101.6
66Nevada101.5
67Army100.7
68Georgia Tech100.1
69Missouri100.1
70U T S A99.3
71California99.2
72U A B99.1
73UCF98.9
74Northwestern98.3
75Syracuse98.2
76East Carolina98.1
77South Carolina98.0
78Miami (Ohio)97.1
79Ball St.97.0
80Western Michigan96.2
81Rutgers95.9
82Toledo95.7
83Central Michigan95.6
84Wyoming95.5
85Tulsa95.3
86Colorado St.95.1
87Tulane95.0
88San Jose St.93.9
89Marshall93.9
90Georgia St.93.8
91Memphis93.8
92Illinois93.8
93Hawaii93.6
94South Alabama93.3
95Eastern Michigan93.0
96Buffalo93.0
97Florida Atlantic92.8
98Troy91.5
99Kent St.90.8
100Utah St.90.5
101Western Kentucky89.3
102USF88.5
103Arizona88.5
104Northern Illinois88.2
105Louisiana Tech87.4
106Duke87.2
107Ohio86.9
108Middle Tennessee86.7
109Navy86.1
110Georgia Southern86.0
111U N L V85.2
112Arkansas St.83.7
113Texas St.83.4
114U T E P83.3
115Charlotte83.3
116Vanderbilt81.7
117Temple81.7
118Rice79.3
119North Texas79.2
120Kansas78.9
121New Mexico78.9
122Southern Miss.78.0
123Florida Int’l.77.9
124UL-Monroe77.5
125Akron77.0
126Bowling Green75.2
127Old Dominion75.0
128New Mexico St.71.2
129UMass71.2
130Connecticut70.2

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati122.6122.3124.9123.2
Houston104.7103.7105.2104.5
SMU102.1102.6102.8102.5
UCF98.997.7100.398.9
East Carolina97.997.399.098.1
Tulsa95.495.495.295.3
Tulane95.393.895.995.0
Memphis93.393.894.493.8
USF88.888.188.788.5
Navy86.385.886.486.1
Temple81.082.381.881.7

AAC Averages96.996.697.797.1


Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson115.6115.6117.2116.2
NC State111.2110.8111.1111.0
Wake Forest109.5108.8109.7109.3
Boston College103.1103.4103.4103.3
Louisville102.7102.4104.1103.1
Florida St.101.6101.8102.0101.8
Syracuse98.298.498.298.2

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
North Carolina109.4109.5111.0110.0
Miami (Fla.)110.2109.2110.2109.8
Pittsburgh108.4109.2108.7108.7
Virginia106.7108.0107.1107.3
Virginia Tech105.0103.9103.9104.3
Georgia Tech100.1100.2100.0100.1
Duke87.288.186.387.2

ACC Averages104.9104.9105.2105.0


Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma125.7123.8124.6124.7
Iowa St.121.5120.1121.4121.0
Texas116.7115.0115.7115.8
Oklahoma St.113.4113.2112.8113.1
T C U113.2111.9112.5112.5
Baylor112.3111.8111.3111.8
West Virginia110.9109.1108.1109.3
Kansas St.107.5107.2106.6107.1
Texas Tech103.3103.5102.4103.1
Kansas81.379.076.478.9

Big 12 Averages110.6109.5109.2109.7


Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.126.1126.0127.7126.6
Penn St.116.0116.8118.7117.2
Michigan113.7114.7114.9114.4
Michigan St.110.0110.0110.1110.0
Indiana107.2107.0107.7107.3
Maryland104.4103.0102.3103.3
Rutgers95.196.995.595.9

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Iowa115.6115.2116.9115.9
Nebraska109.3109.7110.0109.7
Wisconsin108.9108.8110.2109.3
Purdue107.7107.4109.6108.2
Minnesota105.9106.8108.0106.9
Northwestern98.298.598.198.3
Illinois93.693.794.193.8

Big Ten Averages108.0108.2108.8108.3


Conference USA
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Marshall93.893.794.393.9
Florida Atlantic92.193.493.092.8
Western Kentucky88.389.989.889.3
Middle Tennessee86.486.387.486.7
Charlotte82.383.484.183.3
Florida Int’l.77.377.978.577.9
Old Dominion74.675.375.275.0

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U T S A99.099.699.499.3
U A B98.999.299.399.1
Louisiana Tech87.788.186.587.4
U T E P83.284.282.483.3
Rice79.479.379.279.3
North Texas79.579.378.979.2
Southern Miss.77.778.477.778.0

CUSA Averages85.786.386.186.0


FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame113.0113.6114.4113.7
BYU107.7107.0107.7107.5
Liberty102.8103.5103.8103.4
Army100.7100.8100.6100.7
New Mexico St.71.672.369.871.2
UMass72.471.869.571.2
Connecticut70.771.468.570.2

Indep. Averages91.391.590.691.1


Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)98.896.895.897.1
Buffalo93.792.892.693.0
Kent St.90.691.889.990.8
Ohio86.387.387.186.9
Akron78.476.975.977.0
Bowling Green75.576.074.075.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ball St.97.697.695.797.0
Western Michigan96.296.895.696.2
Toledo96.495.895.095.7
Central Michigan96.695.395.095.6
Eastern Michigan94.692.991.693.0
Northern Illinois89.487.987.288.2

MAC Averages91.290.789.690.5


Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.103.2103.0103.8103.4
Air Force101.3101.7102.5101.8
Wyoming95.195.595.995.5
Colorado St.94.895.095.495.1
Utah St.90.291.090.290.5
New Mexico79.379.477.978.9

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Fresno St.101.2102.6103.4102.4
San Diego St.102.1101.5101.4101.7
Nevada100.9102.3101.4101.5
San Jose St.94.494.492.993.9
Hawaii93.793.493.593.6
U N L V85.684.885.385.2

MWC Averages95.195.495.395.3


Pac-12 Conference
North Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oregon111.1112.1112.9112.0
Oregon St.110.1110.1110.4110.2
Washington107.4108.7108.8108.3
Stanford104.3105.1104.3104.6
Washington St.101.4102.5101.9101.9
California97.1100.999.899.2

South Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah114.6114.7114.7114.7
Arizona St.113.3113.9114.0113.7
U S C112.4112.3113.3112.7
U C L A109.8110.4110.7110.3
Colorado102.0101.6101.2101.6
Arizona88.988.388.288.5

Pac-12 Averages106.0106.7106.7106.5


Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia134.0134.2135.3134.5
Florida116.2117.5116.8116.8
Kentucky111.7113.4112.8112.6
Tennessee109.0108.7109.2109.0
Missouri100.2100.599.5100.1
South Carolina98.598.197.598.0
Vanderbilt82.381.781.281.7

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama131.4130.7132.2131.4
Texas A&M117.0117.7117.4117.4
Auburn117.2116.5117.5117.1
Ole Miss116.9116.7117.0116.9
Arkansas113.0112.9112.5112.8
L S U109.9110.9110.9110.6
Mississippi St.106.5106.5106.1106.4

SEC Averages111.7111.9111.9111.8


Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Coastal Carolina113.0111.2113.1112.5
Appalachian St.102.5102.0104.0102.8
Georgia St.94.293.593.893.8
Troy91.491.691.591.5
Georgia Southern86.186.485.786.0

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana109.4107.8109.5108.9
South Alabama93.693.592.993.3
Arkansas St.83.984.383.083.7
Texas St.84.582.783.083.4
UL-Monroe77.978.176.577.5

Sun Averages93.693.193.393.4

Conference Ratings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern111.8
2Big 12109.7
3Big Ten108.3
4Pac-12106.5
5Atlantic Coast105.0
6American Athletic97.1
7Mountain West95.3
8Sun Belt93.4
9Independents91.1
10Mid-American90.5
11Conference USA86.0

This Week’s Bowl Projections

BowlTeamTeam
BahamasUTSANorthern Illinois
CureMemphisAppalachian St.
BocaFlorida AtlanticLiberty
New MexicoUTEPAir Force
IndependenceBYUUAB
Lending TreeCentral MichiganCoastal Carolina
L. A.San Diego St.Washington St.
New OrleansCharlotteLouisiana
Myrtle BeachTulsaTroy
Famous Idaho PotatoToledoUtah St.
FriscoWestern KentuckyMiami (O)
Armed ForcesArmyMarshall
GasparillaBoston CollegeMiddle Tennessee
HawaiiCentral FloridaNevada
CamelliaEastern MichiganUL-Monroe
Quick LaneBall St.Northwestern
MilitaryMarylandEast Carolina
BirminghamKent St.Washington
First ResponderSMUWyoming
LibertyTCUArkansas
HolidayVirginia TechOregon St.
Guaranteed RatePurdueTexas Tech
FenwayHoustonClemson
PinstripeVirginiaMinnesota
Cheez-ItNotre DameBaylor
AlamoIowa St.UCLA
Duke’s MayoNorth Carolina St.Tennessee
Music CityWisconsinKansas St.
Las VegasPenn St.Oregon
Tax Slayer GatorWake ForestLSU
Tony The Tiger SunNorth CarolinaUSC
ArizonaWestern MichiganFresno St.
CitrusMichiganFlorida
OutbackIowaAuburn
TexasTexasTexas A&M
PeachOle MissPittsburgh
FiestaArizona St.Kentucky
RoseMichigan St.Utah
SugarAlabamaOklahoma St.
CottonOklahomaCincinnati
OrangeGeorgiaOhio St.
ChampionshipGeorgiaOklahoma

October 13, 2021

PiRate Picks–October 16-17, 2021

If you are like us here on the aging PiRate ship, you probably grew up in the 1950’s, 1960’s, or 1970’s watching Wile E. Coyote chase the Roadrunner every Saturday morning. He always had a great plan, and of course, he was Acme Products’ best customer. Every plan came “this close” to working. But, in the end, he fell hundreds of feet to the canyon floor and made a splat.

That’s how last week’s episode of the PiRate Picks turned out to be. We chose the best games we saw at Acme Handicapping. We came “this close” to having an incredibly successful week. Two of the long shot parlays won and returned big payouts. With less than five minutes to go in three other selections, we were on the winning side. Alas, at the last second the Roadrunners of the gridiron made their Beep Beep sounds and ran off to safety, leaving our three selections to make a splat at the bottom of the canyon.

Ah, but here’s the rub. Just like Wile E. Coyote, who has endless funds to continue obtaining more great Acme products, our imaginary bank account is just as endless with funds. Just like Wile E., we can go splat on the canyon floor and get right back up and go at it again, because any financial losses are just as fake as the images drawn on a cartoon.

Thus, we have six more Money Line picks this week after suffering a minute net loss last week. For the year, our return on imaginary investment is -1%. It’s not a big negative, but comically, this feature usually returns a small profit every year. However, we would never play these picks, because we prefer to sleep at night. We encourage you to follow our lead. Read it for a laugh, just like you make when you see Wile E. falling off the cliff yet again.

Date:

October 14-18

Odds:+309.14
Must WinOpponent
South AlabamaGeorgia Southern
Northern IllinoisBowling Green
UtahArizona St.


Odds:+218.93
Must WinOpponent
Utah St.UNLV
Boston CollegeNorth Carolina St.


Odds:+185
Must WinOpponent
Virginia TechPittsburgh


Odds:+248
Must WinOpponent
Kent St.Western Michigan


Odds:+187
Must WinOpponent
Central MichiganToledo


Odds:+152.44
Must WinOpponent
MiamiJacksonville
DenverLas Vegas

September 5, 2021

PiRate Ratings NFL For Week 1

Filed under: Pro Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 10:41 am

Week 1 PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Tampa BayDallas11.310.212.4
BuffaloPittsburgh7.78.68.5
CarolinaN.Y. Jets7.46.47.5
HoustonJacksonville5.01.55.6
TennesseeArizona3.83.43.4
WashingtonLA Chargers2.02.21.5
AtlantaPhiladelphia6.36.47.1
IndianapolisSeattle1.50.81.2
CincinnatiMinnesota-2.8-2.7-2.4
DetroitSan Francisco-5.8-5.9-6.0
Kansas CityCleveland7.37.48.8
New EnglandMiami5.34.23.6
N.Y. GiantsDenver1.31.91.1
New OrleansGreen Bay-0.8-3.1-0.1
LA RamsChicago8.08.07.7
Las VegasBaltimore-4.7-3.9-4.8

Week 1 PiRate Rating Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
Tampa BayDallas54
BuffaloPittsburgh41.5
CarolinaN.Y. Jets46
HoustonJacksonville49
TennesseeArizona56.5
WashingtonLA Chargers43
AtlantaPhiladelphia48.5
IndianapolisSeattle53.5
CincinnatiMinnesota46
DetroitSan Francisco52
Kansas City
Cleveland55
New EnglandMiami40
N.Y. GiantsDenver38.5
New OrleansGreen Bay50.5
LA RamsChicago47
Las VegasBaltimore51

Week 1 PiRate Ratings

A F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Buffalo107.1107.1107.5107.2240-0
New England101.2100.6100.6100.819.50-0
Miami98.999.499.999.420.50-0
N. Y. Jets92.493.593.393.122.50-0

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Baltimore105.1104.5105.5105.0250-0
Pittsburgh102.4101.5102.0102.017.50-0
Cleveland102.0102.0100.6101.525.50-0
Cincinnati94.795.494.294.823.50-0

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Indianapolis102.3101.4101.8101.925.50-0
Tennessee100.6100.8100.6100.7290-0
Houston94.593.095.094.2270-0
Jacksonville92.094.091.992.7220-0

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Kansas City106.3106.4106.4106.429.50-0
LA Chargers99.799.899.799.724.50-0
Denver99.098.798.698.8180-0
Las Vegas97.397.797.797.6260-0

N F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Dallas99.2100.197.999.1280-0
Washington98.699.198.298.618.50-0
N.Y. Giants97.397.696.797.220.50-0
Philadelphia94.894.795.595.0200-0

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Green Bay105.2104.8104.9105.0270-0
Minnesota100.0100.599.299.922.50-0
Chicago99.5100.099.699.7190-0
Detroit93.193.093.293.1280-0

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Tampa Bay107.5107.3107.3107.4260-0
New Orleans104.4101.7104.8103.623.50-0
Atlanta98.198.099.698.628.50-0
Carolina96.896.997.897.223.50-0

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
LA Rams104.5105.0104.3104.6280-0
Seattle103.8103.7103.6103.7280-0
San Francisco101.9102.0102.1102.0240-0
Arizona99.8100.4100.2100.127.50-0

June 30, 2021

PiRate Ratings 2021 NFL Draft Grades

Filed under: Pro Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 11:04 am

In recent years, we have heard from you that you would like to see our NFL Draft Grades with an explanation of why our grades are different from the mainstream. We started this service last year mostly to fill space at a time where it looked like there might not be a season. Looking back at the stats for the post, apparently it was about as popular as our March Madness Bracketology reveal, so definitely we are repeating the process this year.

First, to explain the uniqueness of our draft coverage. We do not look at the players drafted trying to predict what type of career they might have. If a team drafts a quarterback in the first round but has no plans to start this player for at least a few years, the selection might be worthy of an A+ selection by other services, and we would agree using their parameters.

However, our draft grades have a different purpose. We are an integrative computerized/human input rating service. The only reason we have to assign a grade to the draft is by calculating how it alters the teams’ ratings between week 17 and the playoffs the previous season and week 1 of the approaching season. That quarterback, for instance Jordan Love, might eventually be the best one in his draft class around 2023. However, when Love was drafted, it was almost a wasted pick as it failed to affect the Packers’ ratings any more than trading a tested backup for an untested backup. In other words, it was an ultra slight negative.

How does each drafted player appear to affect the team that drafted him in week 1 of the coming season? If he figures to see considerable playing time, that means something. If he figures to start, that means something more. If he figures to be an immediate impact player, that really means something. If he was the teams’ first round pick, whether or not he contributes in the coming year is no different than if he is the 7th round pick. Once, the season starts, teams get no bonus or punishment for playing the 7th round pick over the 1st round pick.

Next, say a team only drafted a couple of players due to trades, but the few they have all figure to contribute immediately. At the same time another team might have piled up picks and took 10 to 12 players, only half that may figure to contribute immediately. We don’t reward the few picks team over the several picks team. Having more picks brings a bonus, because the potential is there for many more players to potentially contribute. So, when Mike Ditka traded his entire draft to get the pick that brought New Orleans Ricky Williams, we figured that Williams would immediately start as the featured back, but the Saints’ overall grade that year was a D-. They had numerous holes to fill on that roster and failed to fill any of them. The bump forward from 3.5 yards per rush to 3.7 yards per rush did nothing to make a 6-10 team better, and when they went 3-13 with three different starting quarterbacks finishing with a QB rating under 60, Williams would have needed to average more yards per game than Jim Brown in his prime to make much of a difference.

It is not an exact science, but neither is a any computer power rating update. However, teams must be adjusted from the end of one season to the start of the next. There has to be some criteria used that approximates improvement or decline in the best method available to the update process. Anybody could have guessed that Tom Brady going from New England to Tampa Bay would totally alter the week 1 power rating of the two teams. As a matter of fact, quarterback is by far the most important factor in the update process. Blind-side tackle is the next most important, and the defensive rush ends are next most important. Each position down to long-snapper on special teams has its own handicapped factor that can influence the ratings update.

Now that you know our process, take a look at our grading scale. We don’t actually use a letter grade as you will see here today, as that means nothing to the rating. There is an internal number that becomes part of an algorithmic equation that adds value to a team’s power rating (occasionally deducts from a power rating if a team has a fire sale and starts a major rebuild.

Our grading scale starts at 0 and maxes out at 10, but only in theory. No team has ever come close to either extreme. Realistically, our draft scores range from a low of 3.0 to a high of 9.0 Anything above 8.0 means a team’s draft class should help them immediately in week 1. Of course, the draft is but one of many factors that go into this, and the overall great draft can be reversed by the loss of many regulars from the previous year.

A score of 6.0 is about par. Teams might become Super Bowl contenders with a par draft just because one key player contributed to the cause. A score under 4.0 means the team will see little to no immediate benefit from their draft.

Here are the scores from first to worst for the 2021 NFL Draft.

TeamDraft Rating
Chicago Bears8.38
Cleveland Browns8.13
Los Angeles Chargers8.13
New York Giants7.88
Miami Dolphins7.63
New York Jets7.63
New England Patriots7.25
Denver Broncos7.00
Atlanta Falcons6.88
Jacksonville Jaguars6.88
Detroit Lions6.75
Philadelphia Eagles6.50
Tennessee Titans6.50
Baltimore Ravens6.13
Minnesota Vikings6.13
Buffalo Bills6.00
Washington Football Team6.00
Kansas City Chiefs5.88
San Francisco 49ers5.88
Carolina Panthers5.75
Cincinnati Bengals5.50
Tampa Bay Bucaneers5.38
Dallas Cowboys5.00
Pittsburgh Steelers5.00
Los Angeles Rams4.88
Arizona Cardinals4.63
Indianapolis Colts4.63
Green Bay Packers4.25
New Orleans Saints3.63
Houston Texans3.38
Las Vegas Raiders3.13
Seattle Seahawks3.13

February 17, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

February 17, 2021

HomeVisitorSpread
RichmondVCU-0.1
Central FloridaSouth Florida2.2
PittsburghNC St.2.3
LouisvileSyracuse2.7
North CarolinaNortheastern13.5
Wake ForestDuke-6.8
Kansas St.Kansas-15.4
ButlerMarquette-0.6
Seton HallDePaul10.2
MarylandNebraska8.9
IndianaMinnesota1.9
Loyola (Chi.)Valparaiso20.7
New MexicoWyoming-2.7
Boise St.Utah St.0.1
USCArizona St.10.7
VanderbiltKentucky-3.8
TennesseeSouth Carolina8.6

February 14, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

Sunday, February 14, 2021

HomeVisitorSpread
CincinnatiCentral Florida3.5
South FloridaTulane5.1
SMUWichita St.4.9
Georgia TechPittsburgh3.5
Notre DameMiami (Fla.)8.0
Seton HallMarquette7.3
WisconsinMichigan-2.5
Penn St.Nebraska10.9
MarylandMinnesota0.1
Arizona St.Oregon St.5.1

January 3, 2021

PiRate Ratings For NFL Wildcard Round

PiRate Ratings Spreads For Wildcard Round

Margins

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
BuffaloIndianapolis8.59.49.8
SeattleLA Rams3.03.33.1
WashingtonTampa Bay-9.0-9.1-9.9
TennesseeBaltimore-6.4-6.3-6.4
New OrleansChicago8.68.98.9
PittsburghCleveland4.54.64.4

Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
BuffaloIndianapolis49.5
SeattleLA Rams49.5
WashingtonTampa Bay51.5
TennesseeBaltimore55
New OrleansChicago46.5
PittsburghCleveland44.5

NFL Playoff Schedule–Wildcard Round

DayDateTime (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
SatJan 91:05 PMCBSBuffaloIndianapolis
SatJan 94:40 PMFOXSeattleLA Rams
SatJan 98:15 PMNBCWashingtonTampa Bay
SunJan 101:05 PMESPNTennesseeBaltimore
SunJan 104:40 PMCBSNew OrleansChicago
SunJan 108:15 PMNBCPittsburghCleveland

December 28, 2020

PiRate Ratings For NFL Week 17: January 3, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
BuffaloMiami9.39.19.7
ChicagoGreen Bay-4.7-5.3-5.4
CincinnatiBaltimore-14.7-14.2-14.4
ClevelandPittsburgh-1.0-1.1-0.9
DetroitMinnesota-4.4-4.3-4.3
IndianapolisJacksonville17.718.018.0
Kansas CityLA Chargers14.714.614.4
New EnglandN.Y. Jets8.16.97.3
N.Y. GiantsDallas-1.2-0.7-0.6
PhiladelphiaWashington-0.8-0.9-1.3
Tampa BayAtlanta6.87.57.5
CarolinaNew Orleans-5.1-5.1-4.9
HoustonTennessee-3.4-3.9-4.1
DenverLas Vegas-0.6-0.6-0.1
LA RamsArizona2.63.03.1
San FranciscoSeattle-2.4-3.3-3.2

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
BuffaloMiami48
ChicagoGreen Bay45
CincinnatiBaltimore45.5
ClevelandPittsburgh44.5
DetroitMinnesota54.5
IndianapolisJacksonville47.5
Kansas CityLA Chargers48.5
New EnglandN.Y. Jets37.5
N.Y. GiantsDallas47
PhiladelphiaWashington43.5
Tampa BayAtlanta56
CarolinaNew Orleans53.5
HoustonTennessee56
DenverLas Vegas49
LA RamsArizona51
San FranciscoSeattle52.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Dec. 29, 2020
A F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Buffalo109.2110.0110.1109.822.512-3
Miami101.4102.4101.9101.925.510-5
New England97.196.696.296.619.56-9
N. Y. Jets90.090.789.990.2182-13

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Baltimore107.9107.8108.0107.92510-5
Pittsburgh101.5101.8101.8101.71912-3
Cleveland99.099.299.499.225.510-5
Cincinnati92.292.692.692.420.54-10-1

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Indianapolis104.7104.6104.5104.625.510-5
Tennessee101.5101.6101.8101.62910-5
Houston96.696.296.296.3274-11
Jacksonville88.588.188.088.2221-14

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Kansas City109.5109.6109.4109.526.514-1
Las Vegas99.199.098.698.929.57-8
Denver97.096.997.097.019.55-10
LA Chargers96.396.596.596.4226-9

N F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Washington97.797.697.597.6206-9
Dallas96.696.896.596.626.56-9
Philadelphia95.995.795.295.623.54-10-1
N.Y. Giants93.994.694.494.320.55-10

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Green Bay107.8108.0108.6108.124.512-3
Chicago102.1101.7102.2102.020.58-7
Minnesota97.396.796.696.826.56-9
Detroit91.991.491.391.5285-10

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Tampa Bay108.0108.0108.5108.23110-5
New Orleans105.8105.5105.8105.72711-4
Atlanta102.7102.0102.5102.4254-11
Carolina99.298.999.499.226.55-10

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Seattle104.2104.7104.7104.627.511-4
LA Rams102.9102.9103.0102.9239-6
Arizona101.8101.4101.4101.5288-7
San Francisco100.8100.4100.5100.6256-9

This Week’s Playoff Projections

A F C

1-Seed: Kansas City

2-Seed: Buffalo

3-Seed: Pittsburgh

4- Seed: Indianapolis

5-Seed: Baltimore

6-Seed: Cleveland

7-Seed: Tennessee

NFC

1-Seed: Green Bay

2- Seed: New Orleans

3-Seed: Seattle

4-Seed: Washington

5-Seed: Tampa Bay

6-Seed: LA Rams

7-Seed: Chicago

Wild Card Round

Buffalo over Tennessee

Cleveland over Pittsburgh

Baltimore over Indianapolis

New Orleans over Chicago

Seattle over LA Rams

Tampa Bay over Washington


Divisional Round

Cleveland over Kansas City

Buffalo over Baltimore

Green Bay over Tampa Bay

New Orleans over Seattle


Conference Championships

Buffalo over Cleveland

Green Bay over New Orleans


Super Bowl

Buffalo over Green Bay

December 14, 2020

PiRate Ratings for NFL Week 15: December 17-21, 2020

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Las VegasLA Chargers4.64.74.4
DenverBuffalo-5.7-6.3-6.0
Green BayCarolina8.59.19.0
TennesseeDetroit8.38.79.1
IndianapolisHouston8.79.39.3
LA RamsN.Y. Jets21.721.423.0
AtlantaTampa Bay-2.3-3.2-3.2
MiamiNew England1.93.22.9
MinnesotaChicago-0.8-0.6-0.8
N.Y. GiantsCleveland-3.1-2.3-2.9
WashingtonSeattle-3.2-3.2-3.1
BaltimoreJacksonville18.418.418.4
ArizonaPhiladelphia7.17.17.5
New OrleansKansas City-3.7-4.4-4.1
DallasSan Francisco-5.4-4.9-5.5
CincinnatiPittsburgh-15.0-15.1-15.2

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
Las VegasLA Chargers52
DenverBuffalo40
Green BayCarolina52.5
TennesseeDetroit55
IndianapolisHouston51
LA RamsN.Y. Jets42
AtlantaTampa Bay57
MiamiNew England46.5
MinnesotaChicago42.5
N.Y. GiantsCleveland47
WashingtonSeattle50.5
BaltimoreJacksonville45
ArizonaPhiladelphia51.5
New OrleansKansas City52.5
DallasSan Francisco50.5
CincinnatiPittsburgh37.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Buffalo105.4106.1106.0105.92110-3
Miami100.7101.7101.1101.226.58-5
New England100.499.999.7100.0206-7
N. Y. Jets86.186.685.486.0180-13

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Baltimore107.3107.1107.2107.224.58-5
Pittsburgh104.0104.4104.3104.218.511-2
Cleveland99.699.7100.199.826.59-4
Cincinnati88.088.388.188.1192-10-1

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Indianapolis105.1105.2105.3105.2259-4
Tennessee102.5102.6102.9102.7289-4
Houston97.997.497.497.6264-9
Jacksonville90.490.290.390.320.51-12

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Kansas City109.9110.2110.1110.12712-1
Las Vegas99.599.599.299.429.57-6
Denver98.398.398.598.4195-8
LA Chargers95.895.995.895.822.54-9

N F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Washington98.398.598.598.421.56-7
Philadelphia97.897.797.397.623.04-8-1
N.Y. Giants95.095.995.795.620.55-8
Dallas93.593.593.093.325.54-9

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Green Bay105.7105.8106.3105.92510-3
Chicago100.599.9100.2100.2186-7
Minnesota98.798.398.498.424.56-7
Detroit95.294.994.894.9275-8

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Tampa Bay105.7105.6106.1105.8318-5
New Orleans104.7104.3104.5104.525.510-3
Atlanta102.4101.5101.9101.9264-9
Carolina98.798.298.798.627.54-9

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
LA Rams105.8106.0106.4106.1249-4
Seattle103.4103.7103.5103.6299-4
Arizona103.0102.7102.8102.828.57-6
San Francisco100.8100.4100.5100.6255-8

Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1Kansas City
2Buffalo
3Pittsburgh
4Tennessee
5Cleveland
6Baltimore
7Indianapolis

NFC Seeding
1Green Bay
2New Orleans
3Los Angeles
4Washington
5Seattle
6Tampa Bay
7Arizona

Wildcard Round
Buffalo over Indianapolis
Pittsburgh over Baltimore
Cleveland over Tennessee
Arizona over New Orleans
Los Angeles over Tampa Bay
Seattle over Washington

Divisional Round
Kansas City over Cleveland
Buffalo over Pittsburgh
Green Bay over Arizona
Los Angeles over Seattle

Conference Championship
Kansas City over Buffalo
Green Bay over Los Angeles

Super Bowl
Kansas City over Green Bay

December 2, 2020

PiRate Ratings–NFL For Week 13: December 6-8, 2020

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
ChicagoDetroit7.06.87.4
MiamiCincinnati10.811.411.0
HoustonIndianapolis-1.3-1.5-1.1
MinnesotaJacksonville9.39.39.5
N.Y. JetsLas Vegas-11.1-10.7-11.9
AtlantaNew Orleans-1.2-1.5-1.2
TennesseeCleveland4.84.94.9
SeattleN.Y. Giants10.59.910.0
ArizonaLA Rams-0.7-0.9-1.3
Green BayPhiladelphia10.510.611.6
LA ChargersNew England0.50.70.8
Kansas CityDenver15.215.815.8
San FranciscoBuffalo3.12.12.9
PittsburghWashington14.214.715.2
BaltimoreDallas16.316.116.7

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
ChicagoDetroit43.5
MiamiCincinnati48.5
HoustonIndianapolis50
MinnesotaJacksonville46.5
N.Y. JetsLas Vegas46
AtlantaNew Orleans54
TennesseeCleveland51.5
SeattleN.Y. Giants52
ArizonaLA Rams53
Green BayPhiladelphia48
LA ChargersNew England44
Kansas CityDenver44.5
San FranciscoBuffalo45.5
PittsburghWashington40
BaltimoreDallas49

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Buffalo102.3102.9102.5102.620.58-3
Miami100.7101.7101.1101.226.57-4
New England99.098.698.498.719.55-6
N. Y. Jets87.788.387.087.7190-11

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Baltimore106.9106.7106.8106.8236-5
Cincinnati91.591.891.691.6222-8-1
Cleveland98.898.899.198.9248-3
Pittsburgh107.7108.3108.5108.218.511-0

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Houston100.4100.1100.3100.3264-7
Indianapolis103.2103.1103.0103.1247-4
Jacksonville91.391.191.291.2211-10
Tennessee102.1102.2102.5102.327.58-3

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Denver97.297.097.097.1184-7
Kansas City110.4110.8110.8110.726.510-1
Las Vegas101.3101.5101.4101.4276-5
LA Chargers97.497.497.297.324.53-8

N F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Dallas92.192.191.691.9263-8
N.Y. Giants94.995.795.595.422.54-7
Philadelphia96.796.696.196.4233-7-1
Washington95.095.194.895.021.54-7

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Chicago99.498.899.199.1175-6
Detroit93.993.593.293.526.54-7
Green Bay105.7105.7106.2105.9258-3
Minnesota99.198.999.299.025.55-6

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Atlanta103.1102.4103.0102.827.54-7
Carolina99.298.899.499.226.54-8
New Orleans105.8105.4105.7105.626.59-2
Tampa Bay105.3105.1105.5105.331.57-5

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Arizona102.5102.3102.3102.4296-5
LA Rams103.7103.7104.1103.8247-4
San Francisco102.9102.5102.9102.8255-6
Seattle102.9103.1103.0103.029.58-3

This Week’s Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1Pittsburgh
2Kansas City
3Tennessee
4Buffalo
5Miami
6Indianapolis
7Cleveland

NFC Seeding
1Green Bay
2Seattle
3New Orleans
4Washington
5Los Angeles
6Tampa Bay
7Minnesota

Wildcard Round
Kansas City over Cleveland
Indianapolis over Tennessee
Buffalo over Miami
Minnesota over Seattle
Tampa Bay over New Orleans
Los Angeles over Washington

Divisional Round
Pittsburgh over Indianapolis
Kansas City over Buffalo
Green Bay over Minnesota
Los Angeles over Tampa Bay

Conference Championship
Kansas City over Pittsburgh
Green Bay over Los Angeles

Super Bowl
Kansas City over Green Bay
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