The Pi-Rate Ratings

January 25, 2023

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Wednesday, January 25, 2023

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 2:45 am
HomeVisitorSpread
AlabamaMississippi St.14.7
AmericanArmy3.3
AuburnTexas A&M6.9
BinghamtonVermont-7.0
Boston CollegeLouisville9.1
BradleyIllinois St.13.7
BucknellNavy-1.0
Central FloridaHouston-8.6
ChattanoogaWofford5.6
ConnecticutXavier7.1
CreightonSt. John’s8.3
DuquesneLoyola (Chi)8.0
EvansvilleBelmont-12.7
FloridaSouth Carolina18.3
FurmanSamford5.8
Gardner-WebbUSC Upstate8.4
George WashingtonSaint Joseph’s3.5
HartfordStonehill College-5.8
High PointCampbell0.4
Holy CrossLehigh-2.4
LafayetteLoyola (MD)7.9
MaineUMass Lowell-5.9
MarylandWisconsin5.5
MassachusettsRichmond-0.7
MercerEast Tennessee St.3.3
MinnesotaIndiana-11.5
NebraskaNorthwestern-1.3
New HampshireAlbany6.6
NJITUMBC-4.4
Northern IowaValparaiso8.4
PittsburghWake Forest3.2
ProvidenceButler8.9
Purdue Ft. WayneIUPUI20.1
Rhode IslandDayton-8.8
San Diego StUtah St.5.0
St. BonaventureFordham3.4
StanfordChicago St.16.7
Stephen F. AustinUT-Rio Grande Valley11.8
TempleSouth Florida5.2
TennesseeGeorgia18.5
Texas TechWest Virginia1.2
UNC AshevillePresbyterian11.0
UNC GreensboroVMI15.9
UT ArlingtonCal Baptist-4.9
VCUGeorge Mason6.6
Western CarolinaThe Citadel6.3
Wichita St.Tulane0.0
WinthropCharleston Southern3.3

January 23, 2023

PiRate Ratings Bracketology

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 8:15 am
Date1/23/2023
SeedTeamTeamTeamTeamTeamTeam
1PurdueAlabamaKansasHouston
2TennesseeTexasUCLAArizona
3Kansas St.Iowa St.VirginiaConnecticut
4GonzagaTCUXavierMarquette
5BaylorAuburnRutgersMiami (Fla)
6DukeSaint Mary’sSan Diego St.Providence
7North CarolinaIndianaNew MexicoIllinois
8North Carolina St.ArkansasFlorida AtlanticMichigan St.
9IowaBoise St.ClemsonCreighton
10Ohio St.MissouriWisconsinCharleston
11MemphisNorthwesternArizona St.West VirginiaMaryland
12Kent St.VCUOral RobertsPittsburghPenn St.
13LouisianaLibertySeattleBelmont
14UC Santa BarbaraSienaPrincetonColgate
15SamfordNorthern KentuckyUMass LowellEastern Washington
16UNC AshevilleUT-MartinSouthernNicholls St.Md. Eastern ShoreSt. Francis PA

Last 4 Byes: Wisconsin, Memphis, Northwestern, Arizona St.

Last 4 In: West Virginia, Maryland, Pittsburgh, Penn St.

First 4 Out: USC, Nevada, Utah St., Oklahoma St.

Next 4 Out: Kentucky, Oklahoma, Wake Forest, Virginia Tech

January 18, 2023

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Wednesday, January 18. 2023

HomeVisitorSpread
AmericanLafayette5.1
ArmyBucknell5.6
CaliforniaOregon-7.4
CampbellRadford-1.7
Central ArkansasNorth Alabama0.3
Charleston SouthernUNC Asheville-2.3
ChattanoogaFurman1.2
Colorado St.San Diego St-4.9
DePaulXavier-9.1
DrakeMissouri St.6.2
East Tennessee St.Samford-3.7
Grand CanyonUtah Tech10.9
High PointWinthrop1.3
Holy CrossColgate-12.4
Indiana St.Bradley0.1
LongwoodGardner Webb5.1
LouisvillePittsburgh-10.7
Loyola (Chi)Saint Louis-7.3
LSUAuburn-5.1
MarquetteProvidence5.7
MissouriArkansas-1.0
Morgan St.Hartford15.6
NavyBoston U.2.8
NebraskaOhio St.-5.5
Northern IowaIllinois St.6.5
Oklahoma St.Oklahoma2.7
Seton HallConnecticut-4.8
South FloridaCincinnati-3.9
St. BonaventureDuquesne-0.4
TempleEast Carolina7.7
Texas A&MFlorida2.0
TulsaSMU-1.4
UMass LowellUMBC5.9
USC UpstatePresbyterian5.5
Utah ValleyAbilene Christian9.1
VirginiaVirginia Tech6.4
West VirginiaTCU1.8
Western CarolinaWofford-0.7

January 16, 2023

PiRate Ratings Bracketology

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 10:57 am
Date1/16/2023
SeedTeamTeamTeamTeamTeamTeam
1KansasPurdueHoustonAlabama
2UCLATennesseeTexasConnecticut
3GonzagaXavierArizonaKansas St.
4VirginiaIowa St.TCUMiami (Fla)
5MarquetteBaylorRutgersAuburn
6ArkansasDukeSan Diego St.Providence
7Saint Mary’sIllinoisNorth Carolina St.North Carolina
8New MexicoClemsonMissouriMichigan St.
9Florida AtlanticIowaOhio St.Arizona St.
10WisconsinCharlestonIndianaCreighton
11MemphisMarylandPittsburghBoise St.Penn St.
12Kent St.DaytonOral RobertsNorthwesternWest Virginia
13SeattleMarshallIonaBelmont
14LibertyUC-IrvinePrincetonColgate
15Youngstown St.Eastern WashingtonSamfordSIU Edwardsville
16LongwoodUMBCSouthernTexas A&M-CCMorgan St.Fairleigh Dickinson

Last 4 Byes: Creighton, Memphis, Maryland, Pittsburgh

Last 4 In: Boise St., Penn St., Northwestern, West Virginia

First 4 Out: Nevada, Mississippi St., Oklahoma, Virginia Tech

Next 4 Out: Utah St., Wake Forest, Kentucky, USC

Note: The predictions made in PiRate Ratings Bracketology are our opinions on what we believe the NCAA Selection Committee will choose based on the criteria they have at their disposal.

January 13, 2023

PiRate Ratings Bracketology

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 11:30 am
Date1/13/2023
SeedTeamTeamTeamTeamTeamTeam
1KansasPurdueHoustonAlabama
2TennesseeUCLAConnecticutArizona
3TexasKansas St.GonzagaXavier
4Iowa St.MarquetteVirginiaMiami (Fl)
5ArkansasSan Diego St.TCUDuke
6BaylorAuburnRutgersProvidence
7Saint Mary’sOhio St.MissouriIllinois
8North CarolinaNorth Carolina St.Michigan St.Florida Atlantic
9WisconsinNew MexicoArizona St.Maryland
10West VirginiaNorthwesternCharlestonClemson
11CreightonUtah St.Penn St.IowaIndiana
12Kent St.DaytonUtah ValleyMemphisMississippi St.
13IonaOral RobertsLibertyIndiana St.
14UC-IrvinePrincetonUMass LowellTroy
15SamfordColgateLongwoodSIU Edwardsville
16Eastern WashingtonYoungstown St.SouthernTexas A&M-CCFairleigh DickinsonNorfolk St.

Last 4 Byes: Clemson, Creighton, Utah St., Penn St.

Last 4 In: Iowa, Indiana, Memphis, Mississippi St.

First 4 Out: Virginia Tech, Boise St., Pittsburgh, Central Florida

Next 4 Out: Nevada, Wake Forest, Kentucky, Oklahoma St.

January 9, 2023

PiRate Ratings Bracketology

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 11:30 am
Date1/9/2023
SeedTeamTeamTeamTeamTeamTeam
1KansasHoustonPurdueTennessee
2ConnecticutAlabamaUCLAArizona
3TexasGonzagaArkansasVirginia
4Kansas St.XavierOhio St.Miami (Fla)
5DukeIowa St.BaylorSan Diego St.
6IndianaMarquetteTCUWest Virginia
7MissouriNorth CarolinaRutgersProvidence
8WisconsinSaint Mary’sAuburnIllinois
9Virginia TechMichigan St.Florida AtlanticMemphis
10New MexicoMississippi St.MarylandKentucky
11Utah St.North Carolina St.UtahArizona St.PittsburghNorthwestern
12CharlestonKent St.DaytonUtah Valley
13Southern Miss.IonaIndiana St.Oral Roberts
14LibertyUC-IrvinePrincetonUMass Lowell
15ColgateUNC GreensboroLongwoodEastern Washington
16SIU EdwardsvilleYoungstown St.SouthernTexas A&M-CCNorfolk St.Fairleigh Dickinson

Last 4 Byes: Maryland, Kentucky, Utah St., Arizona St.

Last 4 In: Utah, Arizona St., Pittsburgh, Northwestern

First 4 Out: Creighton, Clemson, Oklahoma, Penn St.

Next 4 Out: Boise St., Oklahoma St., Wake Forest, Iowa

Teams With National Champion Resumes: Kansas, Connecticut, Houston, UCLA, Alabama

Top Pretender Resumes: Tennessee, Saint Mary’s, Texas, Arkansas, Arizona, Ohio St.

Top Dark Horse Final Four Quality: Florida Atlantic, Iona, Charleston, Nevada

January 6, 2023

PiRate Ratings Bracketology

Date1/6/2023
SeedTeamTeamTeamTeamTeamTeam
1KansasPurdueHoustonArizona
2TennesseeAlabamaUCLAConnecticut
3TexasArkansasGonzagaVirginia
4BaylorXavierOhio St.Duke
5Iowa St.Kansas St.IndianaMiami (Fla)
6WisconsinTCUSan Diego St.West Virginia
7North CarolinaMarquetteRutgersMissouri
8KentuckyProvidenceVirginia TechAuburn
9New MexicoSaint Mary’sIllinoisCreighton
10MemphisMichigan St.UtahFlorida Atlantic
11CharlestonMarylandPittsburghNorth Carolina St.Mississippi St.Arizona St.
12IonaKent St.DaytonUtah St.
13YaleOral RobertsLibertyGrand Canyon
14U Mass LowellBradleyGeorgia SouthernUC-Irvine
15FurmanColgateMontana St.Youngstown St.
16SIU EdwardsvilleLongwoodGramblingTexas A&M CCNorfolk St.Fairleigh Dickinson

Last Four Byes: Memphis, Michigan St., Utah, Maryland

Last Four In: Pittsburgh, North Carolina St., Mississippi St., Arizona St.

First Four Out: Oklahoma St., Penn St., Texas Tech, LSU

Next Four Out: Northwestern, Clemson, Oklahoma, Wake Forest

October 27, 2022

PiRate Picks — October 27, 2022

Due to overwhelming new scheduling issues, this feature is truncated this week.

Selection #1: 3, team 10-point Teaser (-130)

Miami (O) + 1 1/2 vs. Akron

Penn St. + 25 1/2 vs. Ohio St.

Virginia + 11 1/2 vs. Miami (Fla)

Selection #2: Money Line Parlay @ +169.53

South Carolina over Missouri

SMU over Tulsa

Selection #3: Money Line Parlay @ +166.75

North Carolina over Pittsburgh

Wake Forest over Louisville

September 12, 2022

PiRate Ratings NFL Week 2, September 15-19, 2022

Filed under: Pro Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 7:50 pm

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Kansas CityLA Chargers10.08.911.2
BaltimoreMiami8.37.48.0
ClevelandN.Y. Jets14.312.314.3
DetroitWashington-0.40.70.0
JacksonvilleIndianapolis-8.6-6.5-8.3
New OrleansTampa Bay-6.2-7.1-6.3
N.Y. GiantsCarolina1.12.11.8
PittsburghNew England2.32.01.9
LA RamsAtlanta18.617.718.2
San FranciscoSeattle11.712.010.4
DallasCincinnati2.31.93.0
DenverHouston15.214.514.2
Las VegasArizona9.79.08.7
Green BayChicago18.014.916.5
BuffaloTennessee14.414.114.7
PhiladelphiaMinnesota6.15.55.0

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
Kansas CityLA Chargers54
BaltimoreMiami39.5
ClevelandN.Y. Jets45.5
DetroitWashington46.5
JacksonvilleIndianapolis47
New OrleansTampa Bay46.5
N.Y. GiantsCarolina41
PittsburghNew England44
LA RamsAtlanta47.5
San FranciscoSeattle41.5
DallasCincinnati49
DenverHouston42
Las VegasArizona50
Green BayChicago40.5
BuffaloTennessee46
PhiladelphiaMinnesota48.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Buffalo110.8110.9111.0110.923.51-0
New England99.799.7100.499.9210-1
Miami99.299.799.399.4191-0
N.Y. Jets92.693.492.092.7240-1

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Baltimore104.5104.1104.4104.320.51-0
Cincinnati104.8103.9104.2104.324.50-1
Cleveland103.8102.7103.3103.321.51-0
Pittsburgh99.098.799.399.0231-0

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Indianapolis102.4101.7102.3102.1240-0-1
Tennessee99.499.899.399.522.50-1
Jacksonville90.892.291.191.4230-1
Houston88.290.288.889.021.50-0-1

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Kansas City108.3108.0108.9108.427.51-0
Las Vegas104.8104.7104.1104.5250-1
LA Chargers101.3102.1100.6101.426.51-0
Denver100.9102.2100.5101.220.50-1

N F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Dallas104.1102.9104.1103.724.50-1
Philadelphia104.1103.1103.3103.5251-0
Washington97.496.997.297.2221-0
N.Y. Giants93.094.493.693.719.51-0

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Green Bay106.9105.0106.2106.0220-1
Minnesota101.1100.6101.4101.023.51-0
Detroit94.094.794.294.324.50-1
Chicago91.492.692.292.118.51-0

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Tampa Bay110.7110.1110.6110.525.51-0
New Orleans101.5100.0101.3100.9211-0
Carolina94.995.394.895.021.50-1
Atlanta89.990.890.390.3240-1

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
LA Rams105.6105.4105.4105.523.50-1
San Francisco102.9102.6102.8102.721.50-1
Arizona97.698.297.897.9250-1
Seattle94.193.695.494.4201-0

This Week’s Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1Buffalo
2Kansas City
3Pittsburgh
4Indianapolis
5LA Chargers
6Miami
7Cincinnati

NFC Seeding
1Tampa Bay
2LA Rams
3Minnesota
4Philadelphia
5New Orleans
6Green Bay
7Washington

Wildcard Round
Kansas City over Cincinnati
Miami over Pittsburgh
LA Chargers over Indianapolis
LA Rams over Washington
Minnesota over Green Bay
Philadelphia over New Orleans

Divisional Round
Buffalo over Miami
Kansas City over LA Chargers
Tampa Bay over Philadelphia
Minnesota over LA Rams

Conference Championship
Buffalo over Kansas City
Tampa Bay over Minnesota

Super Bowl 57 (Glendale, AZ)
Buffalo over Tampa Bay

September 1, 2022

PiRate Picks–September 1-5, 2022

You know what they say about a broken clock being accurate twice a day? The PiRate Ratings happened to hit the right time on our broken clock in week one. We began the season with three totals’ plays in Week 0, and by luck, all three won. So, we start the season 3-0 against the spread, but are our picks a broken clock that happened to get lucky and be broken on the right time, or did we legitimately begin the season on a winning note?

In most years, our picks begin seasons on a somewhat mediocre beginning and then hit a hot spot in October and early November. What are we to make of a 3-0 start, where if we had begun with an imaginary bank account of $1,000 and wagered $100 on each of the three picks, we would have $1,300 in our account today? Maybe, if we were smart enough, we’d cash in our winning 30% profit and go away for the season. Not many people can make a 30% profit on an investment in one year.

Ah, but here’s the rub. In actuality a 30% profit on $0 is still $0. We could lose every pick we make the rest of the season, and we will have the same amount of real money we would have if we won every wager the rest of the year, because out real investment in this is $0. We never wager real money on these picks, and please don’t do so either.

Some of you do wager for real. We hope this site is merely an addendum to your process.

We have chosen three more selections in Week 1 of the College Football Season, and the three selections involve three different types of wagers. We are going with one side, one total, and one Money Line Parlay with a potential payoff of 141.77%.

Selection #1: Florida + 2 1/2 vs. Utah

Utah probably has three key games this year, where if the Utes go 3-0, they might be 13-0 when the College Football Playoff Committee chooses the four big teams. This is one of those three. I’d really like to see this game move to 3 1/2 points, because about 1 of every 11 college football games end with a 3-point spread. However, this one is a game where we believe the wrong team might be favored. Florida was much better than their record last year. The Gators basically mailed it in the second half of the year, and Dan Mullen was shown the door. New coach Billy Napier has restored the faith at the Swamp. While this Gator team has some vulnerable areas, maybe on the offensive side of the ball, the thought here is that the defense will be fired up and play above their heads in Napier’s first game. While the average of the three PiRate Ratings show Utah to be more than a 6-point favorite in this game, the thought here is that the Gators will be a touchdown better than their real worth, and that makes Florida a slight favorite. Getting 2 1/2 points when the underdog looks like a 55% outright winner is enough to work and make this a pick.

Selection #2: Michigan and Colorado St. UNDER 61 1/2

The question here to us is, “Can Michigan score over 50 points in this game?” The reason we ask this is that Colorado State is likely to score 10 points or less trying to break in a new offense with a new coach and without the necessary players to make it work? Michigan figures to win this game by more than 4 touchdowns, more likely 5 touchdowns. A score of 45-10 looks about right here, and that’s 6 1/2 points less than the total for this game.

Selection #3: Money Line Parlay–3 games at +141.77

Pittsburgh over West Virginia

TCU over Colorado

Houston over UTSA

The Backyard Brawl to start the season is an incredible first game rivalry. Pittsburgh lost a lot of talent off last year’s team, but the Panthers had a good bit of depth. Meanwhile, West Virginia is slowly building up their talent level, but the Mountaineers have a long way to go. In fact, this could be the year where the game with Kansas determines which team finishes last in the Big 12. Pittsburgh looks 10-13 points better to start the season.

TCU starts a new era in Fort Worth for the first time since 2000. Sonny Dykes tries to give the Horned Frogs a little more offense and brings more of a passing game, air-raid style. After surprising some people in the 2020 Covid year and guiding the Buffs to four consecutive wins to start his tenure in Boulder, Colorado has since gone 4-10. This game looks like a 10-14 point win for TCU.

Houston figures to contend along with Central Florida as Cincinnati’s top competitors in the American Athletic Conference. While UTSA is a top of the food chain team in CUSA, they are not ready to stake a claim to second best team in the Lonestar State after Texas A&M. Even playing in San Antonio, the Cougars are at least a touchdown better than the Roadrunners.

Season to Date

Beginning Bankroll (not real): $1,000

Imaginary Investment Last Week: $300

Outcome 3-0

Imaginary return $600

New Bank Account: $1,300

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