PiRate Ratings College Football–Final 2022-23

Final 2022-23 Ratings

#	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	136.2
2	Alabama	130.4
3	Ohio St.	129.7
4	Michigan	128.5
5	Penn St.	125.3
6	Tennessee	124.8
7	Utah	119.6
8	L S U	119.6
9	T C U	119.4
10	Florida St.	118.5
11	Kansas St.	117.9
12	Texas	117.8
13	Clemson	117.8
14	Notre Dame	116.5
15	Oregon St.	116.0
16	Minnesota	115.3
17	Oregon	115.2
18	Washington	115.1
19	Iowa	114.9
20	Mississippi St.	114.9
21	Illinois	113.7
22	Louisville	113.2
23	Wisconsin	112.9
24	Oklahoma	112.7
25	Arkansas	112.1
26	U S C	112.0
27	Maryland	111.8
28	Texas Tech	111.6
29	Pittsburgh	111.5
30	Baylor	110.6
31	U C L A	110.5
32	Ole Miss	110.4
33	Tulane	109.1
34	Texas A&M	108.8
35	Purdue	108.4
36	Michigan St.	108.4
37	NC State	108.3
38	Wake Forest	108.1
39	Kentucky	108.0
40	Florida	107.8
41	South Carolina	107.6
42	Auburn	106.9
43	Oklahoma St.	106.8
44	Fresno St.	106.7
45	Cincinnati	106.1
46	North Carolina	106.0
47	Air Force	105.2
48	Iowa St.	104.6
49	West Virginia	104.4
50	Syracuse	103.9
51	Missouri	103.9
52	Nebraska	103.6
53	Washington St.	103.6
54	Duke	103.6
55	BYU	103.5
56	Boise St.	103.4
57	Kansas	102.4
58	UCF	102.2
59	Houston	102.0
60	James Madison	101.8
61	Memphis	101.5
62	SMU	101.2
63	U T S A	100.7
64	East Carolina	100.7
65	W. Kentucky	100.6
66	Arizona St.	99.8
67	Troy	99.6
68	Arizona	98.5
69	Miami (Fla.)	98.4
70	Indiana	98.4
71	Appalachian St.	97.9
72	California	97.8
73	U A B	97.3
74	Army	96.9
75	Marshall	96.9
76	Stanford	96.7
77	Georgia St.	96.1
78	Navy	96.1
79	Liberty	96.0
80	Louisiana	95.6
81	Toledo	95.5
82	Georgia Tech	95.3
83	Virginia	95.2
84	Virginia Tech	94.7
85	Northwestern	94.5
86	Tulsa	94.5
87	Ohio	94.4
88	Rutgers	93.8
89	South Alabama	93.7
90	San Diego St.	93.5
91	Vanderbilt	93.4
92	Boston College	92.8
93	North Texas	92.4
94	San Jose St.	91.1
95	Eastern Mich.	91.1
96	Ga. Southern	90.6
97	Kent St.	90.1
98	Miami (Ohio)	89.9
99	Buffalo	89.7
100	Florida Atlantic	89.3
101	Coastal Carolina	89.2
102	Southern Miss.	89.1
103	Western Mich.	88.9
104	Central Mich.	88.8
105	Wyoming	88.6
106	Utah St.	88.2
107	USF	88.0
108	U T E P	87.3
109	Middle Tennessee	87.2
110	Old Dominion	87.1
111	Ball St.	86.5
112	N. Illinois	86.2
113	U N L V	85.8
114	Connecticut	85.3
115	Bowling Green	83.4
116	Colorado St.	83.1
117	UL-Monroe	82.8
118	Temple	82.7
119	Colorado	81.6
120	Texas St.	81.3
121	New Mexico St.	80.8
122	Akron	80.7
123	Nevada	79.7
124	Arkansas St.	79.7
125	Louisiana Tech	79.0
126	Rice	78.6
127	Hawaii	76.3
128	Charlotte	75.7
129	New Mexico	75.5
130	Massachusetts	71.1
131	Florida Int’l.	65.1

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Tulane	108.8	108.8	109.7	109.1
Cincinnati	106.5	105.6	106.2	106.1
UCF	102.1	102.5	101.9	102.2
Houston	102.4	101.6	102.0	102.0
Memphis	101.4	101.7	101.5	101.5
SMU	101.4	100.7	101.4	101.2
East Carolina	100.5	100.4	101.2	100.7
Navy	96.2	96.0	96.1	96.1
Tulsa	94.9	94.2	94.3	94.5
USF	88.6	87.7	87.7	88.0
Temple	82.4	83.6	82.0	82.7
AAC	98.7	98.4	98.6	98.5
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Florida St.	118.6	118.3	118.5	118.5
Clemson	117.8	117.6	117.9	117.8
Louisville	113.4	113.1	113.3	113.2
NC State	108.9	108.2	107.7	108.3
Wake Forest	108.3	108.1	108.0	108.1
Syracuse	104.7	103.7	103.4	103.9
Boston College	93.2	93.4	91.8	92.8
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	112.1	111.5	111.0	111.5
North Carolina	106.5	106.2	105.5	106.0
Duke	103.1	104.8	102.7	103.6
Miami (Fla.)	99.2	98.3	97.7	98.4
Georgia Tech	95.8	95.6	94.5	95.3
Virginia	95.8	95.9	94.0	95.2
Virginia Tech	95.1	95.3	93.7	94.7
ACC	105.2	105.0	104.3	104.8
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
T C U	119.8	118.8	119.6	119.4
Kansas St.	118.4	117.3	118.0	117.9
Texas	118.4	117.6	117.3	117.8
Oklahoma	113.0	112.2	113.0	112.7
Texas Tech	111.8	110.9	112.2	111.6
Baylor	111.4	110.1	110.4	110.6
Oklahoma St.	107.7	106.2	106.5	106.8
Iowa St.	105.1	104.4	104.4	104.6
West Virginia	104.8	104.2	104.2	104.4
Kansas	103.4	102.1	101.8	102.4
Big 12	111.4	110.4	110.7	110.8
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	130.2	129.1	130.0	129.7
Michigan	128.9	128.2	128.5	128.5
Penn St.	125.3	125.2	125.5	125.3
Maryland	112.1	111.9	111.4	111.8
Michigan St.	109.5	108.2	107.4	108.4
Indiana	99.3	98.5	97.4	98.4
Rutgers	95.0	93.9	92.4	93.8
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Minnesota	115.8	115.1	115.1	115.3
Iowa	115.5	114.8	114.4	114.9
Illinois	114.0	114.2	113.1	113.7
Wisconsin	113.4	112.9	112.3	112.9
Purdue	109.4	108.5	107.4	108.4
Nebraska	104.1	103.9	103.0	103.6
Northwestern	94.8	95.2	93.5	94.5
Big Ten	112.0	111.4	110.8	111.4
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U T S A	100.6	100.3	101.2	100.7
W. Kentucky	100.1	100.2	101.4	100.6
U A B	97.2	97.1	97.5	97.3
North Texas	92.0	91.9	93.3	92.4
Florida Atlantic	89.1	90.0	88.9	89.3
U T E P	87.2	87.3	87.2	87.3
Middle Tennessee	86.9	87.5	87.1	87.2
Louisiana Tech	78.9	79.7	78.4	79.0
Rice	78.8	78.7	78.2	78.6
Charlotte	75.4	76.2	75.5	75.7
Florida Int’l.	64.9	66.5	64.0	65.1
CUSA	86.5	86.9	86.6	86.7
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	116.7	115.8	116.9	116.5
BYU	103.9	102.7	103.8	103.5
Army	96.5	97.1	97.2	96.9
Liberty	95.7	96.5	95.9	96.0
Connecticut	85.1	86.3	84.4	85.3
New Mexico St.	80.2	82.0	80.3	80.8
Massachusetts	71.2	72.1	69.9	71.1
Independents	92.8	93.2	92.6	92.9
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio	93.3	95.2	94.8	94.4
Kent St.	89.5	91.1	89.8	90.1
Miami (Ohio)	89.0	90.6	90.2	89.9
Buffalo	88.8	90.4	90.1	89.7
Bowling Green	83.3	83.5	83.4	83.4
Akron	80.4	81.4	80.4	80.7
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	95.0	95.8	95.7	95.5
Eastern Mich.	90.3	91.5	91.3	91.1
Western Mich.	88.2	89.3	89.2	88.9
Central Mich.	87.8	89.2	89.4	88.8
Ball St.	85.8	87.2	86.7	86.5
N. Illinois	86.0	86.5	86.1	86.2
MAC	88.1	89.3	88.9	88.8
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Air Force	104.9	104.9	105.7	105.2
Boise St.	103.5	103.0	103.8	103.4
Wyoming	87.6	89.2	88.9	88.6
Utah St.	88.2	88.2	88.3	88.2
Colorado St.	82.6	83.5	83.3	83.1
New Mexico	76.1	75.8	74.6	75.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	106.3	106.4	107.5	106.7
San Diego St.	93.6	93.2	93.6	93.5
San Jose St.	91.1	91.1	91.1	91.1
U N L V	86.1	85.0	86.1	85.8
Nevada	79.5	80.5	79.2	79.7
Hawaii	75.5	76.6	76.8	76.3
MWC	89.6	89.8	89.9	89.8
Pac-12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	119.5	119.0	120.4	119.6
Oregon St.	115.6	115.5	116.9	116.0
Oregon	115.5	114.9	115.3	115.2
Washington	114.6	114.9	115.7	115.1
U S C	111.8	111.8	112.5	112.0
U C L A	110.3	110.0	111.1	110.5
Washington St.	103.3	103.5	104.0	103.6
Arizona St.	100.0	99.4	100.1	99.8
Arizona	98.3	98.4	98.9	98.5
California	97.5	97.5	98.3	97.8
Stanford	97.8	95.9	96.4	96.7
Colorado	82.4	81.0	81.5	81.6
Pac-12	105.6	105.2	105.9	105.5
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	136.4	135.5	136.6	136.2
Tennessee	124.4	124.6	125.5	124.8
Kentucky	107.8	107.9	108.2	108.0
Florida	107.4	108.3	107.7	107.8
South Carolina	107.8	107.4	107.7	107.6
Missouri	104.0	104.1	103.4	103.9
Vanderbilt	93.3	94.0	92.7	93.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	130.5	129.7	131.1	130.4
L S U	119.8	119.3	119.6	119.6
Mississippi St.	115.6	114.4	114.7	114.9
Arkansas	112.6	111.3	112.3	112.1
Ole Miss	111.2	109.8	110.1	110.4
Texas A&M	108.7	108.9	108.9	108.8
Auburn	107.5	106.3	106.8	106.9
SEC	113.4	113.0	113.2	113.2
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
James Madison	100.2	101.6	103.7	101.8
Appalachian St.	97.1	98.0	98.5	97.9
Marshall	96.1	97.1	97.3	96.9
Georgia St.	95.6	95.7	97.1	96.1
Ga. Southern	90.2	90.5	91.1	90.6
Coastal Carolina	88.7	89.3	89.5	89.2
Old Dominion	86.9	87.0	87.3	87.1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Troy	98.6	99.6	100.7	99.6
Louisiana	94.9	95.4	96.4	95.6
South Alabama	93.1	93.6	94.5	93.7
Southern Miss.	88.5	89.1	89.7	89.1
UL-Monroe	82.6	82.9	82.8	82.8
Texas St.	80.7	81.7	81.6	81.3
Arkansas St.	79.2	80.2	79.6	79.7
Sun Belt	90.9	91.5	92.1	91.5

Conference Ratings

#	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	113.2
2	Big Ten	111.4
3	Big 12	110.8
4	Pac-12	105.5
5	Atlantic Coast	104.8
6	American Athletic	98.5
7	Independents	92.9
8	Sun Belt	91.5
9	Mountain West	89.8
10	Mid-American	88.8
11	Conference USA	86.7

Congratulations to the Georgia Bulldogs

PiRate Ratings College Football National Championship

Team 1	Team 2	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Georgia	T C U	8.6	8.7	9.0

Note: NFL Ratings and Spreads will be delayed until Tuesday due to the unfortunate incident in Cincinnati.

PiRate Ratings College Football–Playoffs & Bowls

Post-Season Games

Team 1	Team 2	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Miami (O)	UAB	-8.6	-6.7	-8.2
UTSA	Troy	3.8	2.5	2.6
Cincinnati	Louisville	-4.8	-5.5	-4.7
SMU	BYU	-2.5	-2.0	-2.3
Washington St.	Fresno St.	1.6	1.9	1.6
Rice	Southern Miss.	-9.3	-10.1	-10.9
Florida	Oregon St.	-6.3	-5.0	-6.9
North Texas	Boise St.	-10.3	-10.2	-9.6
Marshall	Connecticut	10.6	10.4	13.0
Eastern Michigan	San Jose St.	-4.4	-3.6	-3.9
Liberty	Toledo	1.1	1.0	0.8
Western Kentucky	South Alabama	3.6	2.8	2.9
Baylor	Air Force	12.8	11.7	11.4
Louisiana	Houston	-8.0	-6.7	-6.1
Wake Forest	Missouri	3.7	3.2	3.6
Middle Tennessee	San Diego St.	-9.1	-8.1	-9.3
Bowling Green	New Mexico St.	5.3	3.4	5.7
Georgia Southern	Buffalo	1.7	0.4	1.8
Memphis	Utah St.	9.6	9.7	9.0
East Carolina	Coastal Carolina	9.1	7.9	8.5
Wisconsin	Oklahoma St.	2.6	3.6	2.3
Central Florida	Duke	-0.1	-1.5	0.5
Kansas	Arkansas	-8.7	-8.9	-10.6
Oregon	North Carolina	9.8	9.7	11.2
Ole Miss	Texas Tech	3.4	2.9	1.9
Minnesota	Syracuse	10.4	10.6	11.3
Florida St.	Oklahoma	10.9	11.6	11.2
Texas	Washington	6.8	5.6	4.7
Maryland	North Carolina St.	-1.6	-2.1	-1.7
Pittsburgh	UCLA	-2.3	-3.0	-5.1
Ohio	Wyoming	6.0	6.7	6.8
Tennessee	Clemson	0.7	1.1	1.5
Iowa	Kentucky	4.3	3.1	2.0
Alabama	Kansas St.	6.5	6.6	7.3
Notre Dame	South Carolina	3.8	2.9	3.7
Georgia	Ohio St.	3.9	4.3	4.9
Michigan	TCU	7.6	8.3	8.0
Mississippi St.	Illinois	0.4	-1.4	0.0
LSU	Purdue	3.4	3.8	5.2
USC	Tulane	4.2	4.4	4.4
Utah	Penn St.	-3.6	-4.0	-2.3

Bowl Schedule

Day	Date	Bowl	Time ET	Network	Team	Team
Fri	D 16	Bahamas	11:30 AM	ESPN	Miami (O)	UAB
		Cure	3:00 PM	ESPN	UTSA	Troy
Sat	D 17	Fenway	11:00 AM	ESPN	Cincinnati	Louisville
		New Mexico	2:15 PM	ESPN	SMU	BYU
		L.A.	3:30 PM	ABC	Washington St.	Fresno St.
		Lending Tree	5:45 PM	ESPN	Rice	Southern Miss.
		Las Vegas	7:30 PM	ABC	Florida	Oregon St.
		Frisco	9:15 PM	ESPN	North Texas	Boise St.
Mon	D 19	Myrtle Beach	2:30 PM	ESPN	Marshall	Connecticut
Tue	D 20	Famous Idaho Potato	3:30 PM	ESPN	Eastern Michigan	San Jose St.
		Boca Raton	7:30 PM	ESPN	Liberty	Toledo
Wed	D 21	New Orleans	9:00 PM	ESPN	Western Kentucky	South Alabama
Thu	D 22	Armed Forces	7:30 PM	ESPN	Baylor	Air Force
Fri	D 23	Independence	3:00 PM	ESPN	Louisiana	Houston
		Gasparilla	6:30 PM	ESPN	Wake Forest	Missouri
Sat	D 24	Hawaii	8:00 PM	ESPN	Middle Tennessee	San Diego St.
Mon	D 26	Quick Lane	2:30 PM	ESPN	Bowling Green	New Mexico St.
Tue	D 27	Camellia	12:00 PM	ESPN	Georgia Southern	Buffalo
		First Responder	3:15 PM	ESPN	Memphis	Utah St.
		Birmingham	6:45 PM	ESPN	East Carolina	Coastal Carolina
		Guaranteed Rate	10:15 PM	ESPN	Wisconsin	Oklahoma St.
Wed	D 28	Military	2:00 PM	ESPN	Central Florida	Duke
		Liberty	5:30 PM	ESPN	Kansas	Arkansas
		Holiday	8:00 PM	Fox	Oregon	North Carolina
		Texas	9:00 PM	ESPN	Ole Miss	Texas Tech
Thu	D 29	Pinstripe	2:00 PM	ESPN	Minnesota	Syracuse
		Cheez-It	5:30 PM	ESPN	Florida St.	Oklahoma
		Alamo	9:00 PM	ESPN	Texas	Washington
Fri	D 30	Duke’s Mayo	12:00 PM	ESPN	Maryland	North Carolina St.
		Tony the Tiger	2:00 PM	CBS	Pittsburgh	UCLA
		Arizona	4:30 PM	Barstool	Ohio	Wyoming
		Orange	8:00 PM	ESPN	Tennessee	Clemson
Sat	D 31	Music City	12:00 PM	ABC	Iowa	Kentucky
		Sugar	12:00 PM	ESPN	Alabama	Kansas St.
		TaxSlayer	3:30 PM	ESPN	Notre Dame	South Carolina
		Fiesta	4:00 PM	ESPN	Michigan	TCU
		Peach	8:00 PM	ESPN	Georgia	Ohio St.
Mon	J 2	Reliaquest	12:00 PM	ESPN2	Mississippi St.	Illinois
		Citrus	1:00 PM	ABC	LSU	Purdue
		Cotton	1:00 PM	ESPN	USC	Tulane
		Rose	5:00 PM	ESPN	Utah	Penn St.

PiRate Ratings College Football–December 4, 2022

This Week’s Game

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Army	Navy	0.3	1.1	1.1

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

#	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	132.4
2	Michigan	130.2
3	Ohio St.	129.5
4	Alabama	128.6
5	Penn St.	124.1
6	Tennessee	123.1
7	T C U	121.7
8	Utah	120.8
9	Kansas St.	119.8
10	Clemson	119.5
11	Texas	119.3
12	Florida St.	119.0
13	L S U	116.1
14	Oregon	115.8
15	Minnesota	115.5
16	Notre Dame	115.0
17	Illinois	114.5
18	Mississippi St.	114.1
19	Oregon St.	113.7
20	Washington	113.6
21	Baylor	113.4
22	Iowa	113.0
23	U S C	112.7
24	Arkansas	112.7
25	Wisconsin	112.5
26	Ole Miss	112.4
27	Oklahoma	112.2
28	Louisville	112.1
29	Purdue	111.9
30	Maryland	111.2
31	Pittsburgh	111.0
32	U C L A	111.0
33	Florida	110.1
34	Kentucky	109.9
35	Texas Tech	109.6
36	South Carolina	109.1
37	NC State	108.9
38	Texas A&M	108.8
39	Tulane	108.4
40	Michigan St.	108.4
41	Wake Forest	107.7
42	Cincinnati	107.3
43	Oklahoma St.	107.2
44	Auburn	106.9
45	Washington St.	106.0
46	North Carolina	105.5
47	Iowa St.	104.6
48	West Virginia	104.4
49	Fresno St.	104.3
50	Missouri	104.3
51	UCF	103.9
52	Syracuse	103.8
53	Boise St.	103.7
54	Nebraska	103.6
55	BYU	103.5
56	Air Force	102.4
57	Houston	102.0
58	James Madison	101.8
59	Duke	101.8
60	Kansas	101.8
61	U T S A	101.7
62	SMU	101.2
63	Arizona St.	99.8
64	Memphis	99.6
65	East Carolina	99.2
66	W. Kentucky	98.7
67	Troy	98.7
68	Arizona	98.5
69	Miami (Fla.)	98.4
70	Indiana	98.4
71	Appalachian St.	97.9
72	California	97.8
73	U A B	97.5
74	Army	96.9
75	Marshall	96.7
76	Stanford	96.7
77	Liberty	96.3
78	Georgia St.	96.1
79	Navy	96.1
80	South Alabama	95.6
81	Louisiana	95.6
82	Toledo	95.3
83	Georgia Tech	95.3
84	Virginia	95.2
85	San Diego St.	94.8
86	Ohio	94.7
87	Virginia Tech	94.7
88	Northwestern	94.5
89	Tulsa	94.5
90	Rutgers	93.8
91	Vanderbilt	93.4
92	San Jose St.	93.1
93	Boston College	92.8
94	North Texas	92.1
95	Ga. Southern	90.8
96	Coastal Carolina	90.7
97	Utah St.	90.2
98	Kent St.	90.1
99	Miami (Ohio)	89.7
100	Buffalo	89.5
101	Florida Atlantic	89.3
102	Eastern Mich.	89.1
103	Western Mich.	88.9
104	Southern Miss.	88.9
105	Central Mich.	88.8
106	Wyoming	88.3
107	USF	88.0
108	U T E P	87.3
109	Old Dominion	87.1
110	Ball St.	86.5
111	N. Illinois	86.2
112	Middle Tennessee	85.9
113	U N L V	85.8
114	Connecticut	85.4
115	Bowling Green	84.5
116	Colorado St.	83.1
117	UL-Monroe	82.8
118	Temple	82.7
119	Colorado	81.6
120	Texas St.	81.3
121	Akron	80.7
122	Nevada	79.7
123	New Mexico St.	79.7
124	Arkansas St.	79.7
125	Louisiana Tech	79.0
126	Rice	78.8
127	Hawaii	76.3
128	Charlotte	75.7
129	New Mexico	75.5
130	Massachusetts	71.1
131	Florida Int’l.	65.1

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Tulane	108.2	108.1	108.9	108.4
Cincinnati	107.6	106.7	107.5	107.3
UCF	103.8	104.2	103.8	103.9
Houston	102.4	101.6	102.0	102.0
SMU	101.4	100.7	101.4	101.2
Memphis	99.6	99.8	99.4	99.6
East Carolina	99.1	98.8	99.6	99.2
Navy	96.2	96.0	96.1	96.1
Tulsa	94.9	94.2	94.3	94.5
USF	88.6	87.7	87.7	88.0
Temple	82.4	83.6	82.0	82.7
AAC	98.6	98.3	98.4	98.4
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	119.5	119.3	119.7	119.5
Florida St.	119.0	118.8	119.1	119.0
Louisville	112.3	112.0	112.0	112.1
NC State	109.4	108.8	108.4	108.9
Wake Forest	108.0	107.7	107.5	107.7
Syracuse	104.6	103.6	103.1	103.8
Boston College	93.2	93.4	91.8	92.8
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	111.8	111.0	110.3	111.0
North Carolina	106.1	105.7	104.8	105.5
Duke	101.4	103.1	100.8	101.8
Miami (Fla.)	99.2	98.3	97.7	98.4
Georgia Tech	95.8	95.6	94.5	95.3
Virginia	95.8	95.9	94.0	95.2
Virginia Tech	95.1	95.3	93.7	94.7
ACC	105.1	104.9	104.1	104.7
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
T C U	122.3	121.1	121.8	121.7
Kansas St.	120.2	119.2	119.9	119.8
Texas	119.9	119.1	118.8	119.3
Baylor	114.1	112.8	113.2	113.4
Oklahoma	112.6	111.7	112.4	112.2
Texas Tech	109.8	108.9	110.2	109.6
Oklahoma St.	108.0	106.5	107.0	107.2
Iowa St.	105.1	104.4	104.4	104.6
West Virginia	104.8	104.2	104.2	104.4
Kansas	102.9	101.5	101.0	101.8
Big 12	112.0	110.9	111.3	111.4
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Michigan	130.4	129.9	130.3	130.2
Ohio St.	130.1	128.9	129.6	129.5
Penn St.	124.2	124.1	124.1	124.1
Maryland	111.6	111.3	110.7	111.2
Michigan St.	109.5	108.2	107.4	108.4
Indiana	99.3	98.5	97.4	98.4
Rutgers	95.0	93.9	92.4	93.8
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Minnesota	115.9	115.2	115.4	115.5
Illinois	114.6	115.0	113.9	114.5
Iowa	113.8	112.9	112.3	113.0
Wisconsin	113.1	112.6	111.8	112.5
Purdue	112.9	112.0	110.9	111.9
Nebraska	104.1	103.9	103.0	103.6
Northwestern	94.8	95.2	93.5	94.5
Big Ten	112.1	111.5	110.9	111.5
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U T S A	101.5	101.2	102.2	101.7
W. Kentucky	98.4	98.3	99.4	98.7
U A B	97.4	97.2	97.9	97.5
North Texas	91.8	91.6	93.0	92.1
Florida Atlantic	89.1	90.0	88.9	89.3
U T E P	87.2	87.3	87.2	87.3
Middle Tennessee	85.7	86.3	85.7	85.9
Louisiana Tech	78.9	79.7	78.4	79.0
Rice	79.0	78.9	78.5	78.8
Charlotte	75.4	76.2	75.5	75.7
Florida Int’l.	64.9	66.5	64.0	65.1
CUSA	86.3	86.7	86.4	86.5
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	115.4	114.3	115.4	115.0
BYU	103.9	102.7	103.8	103.5
Army	96.5	97.1	97.2	96.9
Liberty	95.9	96.7	96.2	96.3
Connecticut	85.3	86.5	84.4	85.4
New Mexico St.	79.1	81.0	79.0	79.7
Massachusetts	71.2	72.1	69.9	71.1
Independents	92.5	92.9	92.3	92.5
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio	93.5	95.5	95.2	94.7
Buffalo	88.6	90.3	89.7	89.5
Kent St.	89.5	91.1	89.8	90.1
Miami (Ohio)	88.8	90.5	89.8	89.7
Bowling Green	84.4	84.5	84.7	84.5
Akron	80.4	81.4	80.4	80.7
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	94.8	95.6	95.4	95.3
Eastern Mich.	88.5	89.5	89.2	89.1
Western Mich.	88.2	89.3	89.2	88.9
Central Mich.	87.8	89.2	89.4	88.8
Ball St.	85.8	87.2	86.7	86.5
N. Illinois	86.0	86.5	86.1	86.2
MAC	88.0	89.2	88.8	88.7
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	103.7	103.3	104.1	103.7
Air Force	102.2	102.2	102.9	102.4
Utah St.	90.0	90.1	90.4	90.2
Wyoming	87.4	88.9	88.5	88.3
Colorado St.	82.6	83.5	83.3	83.1
New Mexico	76.1	75.8	74.6	75.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	104.0	104.0	105.0	104.3
San Diego St.	94.8	94.4	95.0	94.8
San Jose St.	92.9	93.1	93.2	93.1
U N L V	86.1	85.0	86.1	85.8
Nevada	79.5	80.5	79.2	79.7
Hawaii	75.5	76.6	76.8	76.3
MWC	89.6	89.8	89.9	89.8
Pac-12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	120.6	120.1	121.8	120.8
Oregon	115.9	115.4	116.0	115.8
Oregon St.	113.4	113.1	114.5	113.7
Washington	113.1	113.4	114.2	113.6
U S C	112.4	112.5	113.3	112.7
U C L A	110.6	110.5	111.8	111.0
Washington St.	105.6	105.9	106.5	106.0
Arizona St.	100.0	99.4	100.1	99.8
Arizona	98.3	98.4	98.9	98.5
California	97.5	97.5	98.3	97.8
Stanford	97.8	95.9	96.4	96.7
Colorado	82.4	81.0	81.5	81.6
Pac-12	105.6	105.3	106.1	105.7
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	132.5	131.7	133.0	132.4
Tennessee	122.7	122.9	123.7	123.1
Florida	109.6	110.7	110.1	110.1
Kentucky	109.5	109.8	110.3	109.9
South Carolina	109.1	108.9	109.2	109.1
Missouri	104.3	104.5	103.9	104.3
Vanderbilt	93.3	94.0	92.7	93.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	128.7	127.8	129.2	128.6
L S U	116.3	115.8	116.1	116.1
Mississippi St.	115.0	113.6	113.9	114.1
Arkansas	113.1	111.9	113.1	112.7
Ole Miss	113.2	111.8	112.1	112.4
Texas A&M	108.7	108.9	108.9	108.8
Auburn	107.5	106.3	106.8	106.9
SEC	113.1	112.8	113.1	113.0
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
James Madison	100.2	101.6	103.7	101.8
Appalachian St.	97.1	98.0	98.5	97.9
Marshall	95.9	96.9	97.3	96.7
Georgia St.	95.6	95.7	97.1	96.1
Ga. Southern	90.4	90.6	91.5	90.8
Coastal Carolina	90.1	90.9	91.1	90.7
Old Dominion	86.9	87.0	87.3	87.1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Troy	97.7	98.7	99.7	98.7
South Alabama	94.8	95.5	96.5	95.6
Louisiana	94.9	95.4	96.4	95.6
Southern Miss.	88.3	88.9	89.4	88.9
UL-Monroe	82.6	82.9	82.8	82.8
Texas St.	80.7	81.7	81.6	81.3
Arkansas St.	79.2	80.2	79.6	79.7
Sun Belt	91.0	91.7	92.3	91.7

Conference Ratings

#	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	113.0
2	Big Ten	111.5
3	Big 12	111.4
4	Pac-12	105.7
5	Atlantic Coast	104.7
6	American Athletic	98.4
7	Independents	92.5
8	Sun Belt	91.7
9	Mountain West	89.8
10	Mid-American	88.7
11	Conference USA	86.5

Playoff & Bowl Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	Miami (O)	UAB
Cure	Marshall	Central Florida
Fenway	Cincinnati	Louisville
New Mexico	Rice	Utah St.
L.A.	Washington St.	Fresno St.
Lending Tree	Buffalo	Southern Miss.
Las Vegas	UCLA	Mississippi St.
Frisco	Louisiana	Air Force
Myrtle Beach	Georgia Southern	Connecticut
Famous Idaho Potato	Ohio	Boise St.
Boca Raton	Coastal Carolina	BYU
New Orleans	Western Kentucky	South Alabama
Armed Forces	SMU	UTSA
Independence	Houston	New Mexico St.
Gasparilla	Missouri	Syracuse
Hawaii	San Diego St.	Middle Tennessee
Quick Lane	Eastern Michigan	Liberty
Camellia	Toledo	Troy
First Responder	San Jose St.	North Texas
Birmingham	Memphis	Kansas
Guaranteed Rate	Baylor	Wisconsin
Military	Wake Forest	East Carolina
Liberty	Arkansas	Oklahoma
Holiday	Florida St.	Oregon
Texas	Oklahoma St.	Florida
Pinstripe	Iowa	Pittsburgh
Cheez-It	North Carolina	Texas Tech
Alamo	Washington	Texas
Duke’s Mayo	Maryland	North Carolina St.
Tony the Tiger Sun	Oregon St.	Duke
Arizona	Wyoming	Bowling Green
Orange	Clemson	Tennessee
Music City	Kentucky	Minnesota
Sugar	Alabama	Kansas St.
TaxSlayer	Notre Dame	South Carolina
Peach	Georgia	Ohio St.
Fiesta	Michigan	TCU
Reliaquest (Outback)	Ole Miss	Illinois
Citrus	LSU	Purdue
Cotton	Tulane	USC
Rose	Utah	Penn St.
National Championship	Georgia	Michigan

PiRate Picks For December 2-3, 2022

We here at the PiRate Ratings believe like Ted Williams that you don’t sit out the final day of the season to protect a .400 average. We could sit out this final weekend of the regular season, not including Army-Navy next week, and be guaranteed our 18th winning season in the last 23 years, albeit imaginary revenue. We are showing a small 3.5% profit for the season, and we could have sat this week out to guarantee the winning year. We could have merely played one or two games, for going 0-2 would still mean we would have a winning season.

Just like The Splendid Splinter, we are in the lineup and taking our cuts this week with five selections. If we can’t go at least 2-3, we don’t deserve to consider it 18 out of 23. We’re attacking this Championship Week like it’s an opportunity to go from .400 to .406.

Our selections this week include three games straight up against the spread and two Money Line Parlays. We are almost always looking for underdogs that we find undervalued to win and like to go with short underdogs. We tend to never play underdogs of more than two touchdowns. Yet, this week, we are going against our grain. We’re taking two short favorites and one heavy underdog to cover. As for the Money Line Parlays, there were limited choices, and it took a little extra work to come up with two parlays that paid out more than +120. Enjoy, but remember the most important advice you will ever read here–do not wager real money on these selections. We wager $0 in real money, and we know best the value of these selections.

Selection #1: USC -2 1/2 vs. Utah

A two-point conversion in Salt Lake City in October is all that separates USC and a 12-0 regular season. Utah’s home field advantage is worth a good 3 points or more, and this game is being played in Las Vegas. With a College Football Playoff berth on the line, we believe the Trojans could win this game by more than a touchdown.

Selection #2: TCU -2 1/2 vs. Kansas St.

Kansas State’s defense couldn’t stop TCU’s offense in October once the Horned Frogs trailed 28-10. TCU stormed back in the final two plus quarters, outscoring KSU 28-0. With a College Football Playoff on the line, we believe the Horned Frogs are peaking at the right time and sitting on a double-digit win. If so, Kansas State might be the weakest Sugar Bowl team in decades.

Selection #3: LSU +18 1/2 vs. Georgia

We don’t see LSU pulling off an incredible upset to clinch a Sugar Bowl bid, and the defending national champions still look like the prohibitive favorite to win back-to-back titles. However, we have this suspicion that LSU is going to make this game a lot closer than people expect. When a 38-21 game wins this wager (or 45-28 or 28-10), we’ll take a Brian Kelly team to cover.

Selection #4: Money Line Parlay 3 games @ +153.47

Buffalo over Akron

UTSA over North Texas

Boise St. over Fresno St.

Selection #5: Money Line Parlay 3 games @ +121.02

Troy over Coastal Carolina

Tulane over Central Florida

Michigan over Purdue

PiRate Ratings College Football–Championship Week

This Week’s Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Buffalo	Akron	12.3	13.4	13.9
UTSA	North Texas	11.5	11.2	10.4
Utah	USC	4.1	3.1	4.0
TCU	Kansas St.	4.2	4.2	4.4
Ohio	Toledo	0.7	2.3	2.4
Troy	Coastal Carolina	8.7	8.8	9.4
Georgia	LSU	17.5	17.0	18.0
Tulane	Central Florida	4.7	4.0	5.0
Boise St.	Fresno St.	5.9	5.7	5.8
Michigan	Purdue	15.6	15.8	17.3
Clemson	North Carolina	10.2	10.2	11.5

Conference Championship Schedule

Day	Date	Location	Conference	Team 1	Team 2	Network	Time (EST)
FRI	12/2	San Antonio	C-USA	UTSA	North Texas	CBSSN	7:30 PM
FRI	12/2	Las Vegas	Pac-12	USC	Utah	Fox	8:00 PM
SAT	12/3	Arlington, TX	Big 12	TCU	Kansas St.	ABC	12:00 PM
SAT	12/3	Detroit	Mid-American	Ohio	Toledo	ESPN	12:00 PM
SAT	12/3	Troy, AL	Sun Belt	Troy	Coastal Carolina	ESPN	3:30 PM
SAT	12/3	Atlanta	SEC	Georgia	LSU	CBS	4:00 PM
SAT	12/3	New Orleans	American	Tulane	Central Florida	ABC	4:00 PM
SAT	12/3	Boise, ID	Mountain West	Boise St.	Fresno St.	Fox	4:00 PM
SAT	12/3	Indianapolis	Big Ten	Michigan	Purdue	Fox	8:00 PM
SAT	12/3	Charlotte	ACC	Clemson	North Carolina	ABC	8:00 PM

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

#	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	132.2
2	Michigan	129.9
3	Ohio St.	129.5
4	Alabama	128.6
5	Penn St.	124.1
6	Tennessee	123.1
7	T C U	122.1
8	Kansas St.	119.4
9	Texas	119.3
10	Florida St.	119.0
11	Utah	118.9
12	Clemson	117.8
13	L S U	116.2
14	Oregon	115.8
15	Minnesota	115.5
16	U S C	115.2
17	Notre Dame	115.0
18	Illinois	114.5
19	Mississippi St.	114.1
20	Oregon St.	113.7
21	Washington	113.6
22	Baylor	113.4
23	Iowa	113.0
24	Arkansas	112.7
25	Wisconsin	112.5
26	Ole Miss	112.4
27	Oklahoma	112.2
28	Purdue	112.2
29	Louisville	112.1
30	Maryland	111.2
31	Pittsburgh	111.0
32	U C L A	111.0
33	Florida	110.1
34	Kentucky	109.9
35	Texas Tech	109.6
36	South Carolina	109.1
37	NC State	108.9
38	Texas A&M	108.8
39	Michigan St.	108.4
40	Wake Forest	107.7
41	Cincinnati	107.3
42	Tulane	107.2
43	Oklahoma St.	107.2
44	North Carolina	107.2
45	Auburn	106.9
46	Washington St.	106.0
47	Boise St.	105.4
48	UCF	105.1
49	Iowa St.	104.6
50	West Virginia	104.4
51	Missouri	104.3
52	Syracuse	103.8
53	Nebraska	103.6
54	BYU	103.5
55	Fresno St.	102.6
56	Air Force	102.4
57	Houston	102.0
58	James Madison	101.8
59	Duke	101.8
60	Kansas	101.8
61	SMU	101.2
62	U T S A	100.9
63	Arizona St.	99.8
64	Memphis	99.6
65	East Carolina	99.2
66	W. Kentucky	98.7
67	Arizona	98.5
68	Miami (Fla.)	98.4
69	Indiana	98.4
70	Troy	97.9
71	Appalachian St.	97.9
72	California	97.8
73	U A B	97.5
74	Army	96.9
75	Marshall	96.7
76	Stanford	96.7
77	Liberty	96.3
78	Georgia St.	96.1
79	Navy	96.1
80	Ohio	95.9
81	South Alabama	95.6
82	Louisiana	95.6
83	Georgia Tech	95.3
84	Virginia	95.2
85	San Diego St.	94.8
86	Virginia Tech	94.7
87	Northwestern	94.5
88	Tulsa	94.5
89	Toledo	94.1
90	Rutgers	93.8
91	Vanderbilt	93.4
92	San Jose St.	93.1
93	North Texas	92.9
94	Boston College	92.8
95	Coastal Carolina	91.5
96	Ga. Southern	90.8
97	Buffalo	90.5
98	Utah St.	90.2
99	Kent St.	90.1
100	Miami (Ohio)	89.7
101	Florida Atlantic	89.3
102	Eastern Mich.	89.1
103	Western Mich.	88.9
104	Southern Miss.	88.9
105	Central Mich.	88.8
106	Wyoming	88.3
107	USF	88.0
108	U T E P	87.3
109	Old Dominion	87.1
110	Ball St.	86.5
111	N. Illinois	86.2
112	Middle Tennessee	85.9
113	U N L V	85.8
114	Connecticut	85.4
115	Bowling Green	84.5
116	Colorado St.	83.1
117	UL-Monroe	82.8
118	Temple	82.7
119	Colorado	81.6
120	Texas St.	81.3
121	Akron	79.8
122	Nevada	79.7
123	Arkansas St.	79.7
124	New Mexico St.	79.2
125	Louisiana Tech	79.0
126	Rice	78.8
127	Hawaii	76.3
128	Charlotte	75.7
129	New Mexico	75.5
130	Massachusetts	71.1
131	Florida Int’l.	65.1

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	107.6	106.7	107.5	107.3
Tulane	107.1	106.9	107.6	107.2
UCF	104.9	105.4	105.1	105.1
Houston	102.4	101.6	102.0	102.0
SMU	101.4	100.7	101.4	101.2
Memphis	99.6	99.8	99.4	99.6
East Carolina	99.1	98.8	99.6	99.2
Navy	96.2	96.0	96.1	96.1
Tulsa	94.9	94.2	94.3	94.5
USF	88.6	87.7	87.7	88.0
Temple	82.4	83.6	82.0	82.7
AAC	98.6	98.3	98.4	98.4
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Florida St.	119.0	118.8	119.1	119.0
Clemson	117.9	117.6	118.0	117.8
Louisville	112.3	112.0	112.0	112.1
NC State	109.4	108.8	108.4	108.9
Wake Forest	108.0	107.7	107.5	107.7
Syracuse	104.6	103.6	103.1	103.8
Boston College	93.2	93.4	91.8	92.8
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	111.8	111.0	110.3	111.0
North Carolina	107.7	107.4	106.5	107.2
Duke	101.4	103.1	100.8	101.8
Miami (Fla.)	99.2	98.3	97.7	98.4
Georgia Tech	95.8	95.6	94.5	95.3
Virginia	95.8	95.9	94.0	95.2
Virginia Tech	95.1	95.3	93.7	94.7
ACC	105.1	104.9	104.1	104.7
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
T C U	122.6	121.5	122.3	122.1
Kansas St.	119.9	118.8	119.4	119.4
Texas	119.9	119.1	118.8	119.3
Baylor	114.1	112.8	113.2	113.4
Oklahoma	112.6	111.7	112.4	112.2
Texas Tech	109.8	108.9	110.2	109.6
Oklahoma St.	108.0	106.5	107.0	107.2
Iowa St.	105.1	104.4	104.4	104.6
West Virginia	104.8	104.2	104.2	104.4
Kansas	102.9	101.5	101.0	101.8
Big 12	112.0	110.9	111.3	111.4
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Michigan	130.2	129.6	130.0	129.9
Ohio St.	130.1	128.9	129.6	129.5
Penn St.	124.2	124.1	124.1	124.1
Maryland	111.6	111.3	110.7	111.2
Michigan St.	109.5	108.2	107.4	108.4
Indiana	99.3	98.5	97.4	98.4
Rutgers	95.0	93.9	92.4	93.8
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Minnesota	115.9	115.2	115.4	115.5
Illinois	114.6	115.0	113.9	114.5
Iowa	113.8	112.9	112.3	113.0
Wisconsin	113.1	112.6	111.8	112.5
Purdue	113.1	112.3	111.2	112.2
Nebraska	104.1	103.9	103.0	103.6
Northwestern	94.8	95.2	93.5	94.5
Big Ten	112.1	111.5	110.9	111.5
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U T S A	100.9	100.5	101.3	100.9
W. Kentucky	98.4	98.3	99.4	98.7
U A B	97.4	97.2	97.9	97.5
North Texas	92.4	92.3	93.9	92.9
Florida Atlantic	89.1	90.0	88.9	89.3
U T E P	87.2	87.3	87.2	87.3
Middle Tennessee	85.7	86.3	85.7	85.9
Louisiana Tech	78.9	79.7	78.4	79.0
Rice	79.0	78.9	78.5	78.8
Charlotte	75.4	76.2	75.5	75.7
Florida Int’l.	64.9	66.5	64.0	65.1
CUSA	86.3	86.7	86.4	86.5
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	115.4	114.3	115.4	115.0
BYU	103.9	102.7	103.8	103.5
Army	96.5	97.1	97.2	96.9
Liberty	95.9	96.7	96.2	96.3
Connecticut	85.3	86.5	84.4	85.4
New Mexico St.	78.6	80.5	78.5	79.2
Massachusetts	71.2	72.1	69.9	71.1
Independents	92.4	92.8	92.2	92.5
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio	94.5	96.7	96.5	95.9
Buffalo	89.4	91.3	90.8	90.5
Kent St.	89.5	91.1	89.8	90.1
Miami (Ohio)	88.8	90.5	89.8	89.7
Bowling Green	84.4	84.5	84.7	84.5
Akron	79.6	80.4	79.3	79.8
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	93.8	94.4	94.1	94.1
Eastern Mich.	88.5	89.5	89.2	89.1
Western Mich.	88.2	89.3	89.2	88.9
Central Mich.	87.8	89.2	89.4	88.8
Ball St.	85.8	87.2	86.7	86.5
N. Illinois	86.0	86.5	86.1	86.2
MAC	88.0	89.2	88.8	88.7
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	105.3	105.0	105.9	105.4
Air Force	102.2	102.2	102.9	102.4
Utah St.	90.0	90.1	90.4	90.2
Wyoming	87.4	88.9	88.5	88.3
Colorado St.	82.6	83.5	83.3	83.1
New Mexico	76.1	75.8	74.6	75.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	102.4	102.3	103.2	102.6
San Diego St.	94.8	94.4	95.0	94.8
San Jose St.	92.9	93.1	93.2	93.1
U N L V	86.1	85.0	86.1	85.8
Nevada	79.5	80.5	79.2	79.7
Hawaii	75.5	76.6	76.8	76.3
MWC	89.6	89.8	89.9	89.8
Pac-12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	118.8	118.1	119.8	118.9
Oregon	115.9	115.4	116.0	115.8
U S C	114.7	115.0	115.8	115.2
Oregon St.	113.4	113.1	114.5	113.7
Washington	113.1	113.4	114.2	113.6
U C L A	110.6	110.5	111.8	111.0
Washington St.	105.6	105.9	106.5	106.0
Arizona St.	100.0	99.4	100.1	99.8
Arizona	98.3	98.4	98.9	98.5
California	97.5	97.5	98.3	97.8
Stanford	97.8	95.9	96.4	96.7
Colorado	82.4	81.0	81.5	81.6
Pac-12	105.7	105.3	106.1	105.7
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	132.4	131.5	132.8	132.2
Tennessee	122.7	122.9	123.7	123.1
Florida	109.6	110.7	110.1	110.1
Kentucky	109.5	109.8	110.3	109.9
South Carolina	109.1	108.9	109.2	109.1
Missouri	104.3	104.5	103.9	104.3
Vanderbilt	93.3	94.0	92.7	93.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	128.7	127.8	129.2	128.6
L S U	116.4	116.0	116.3	116.2
Mississippi St.	115.0	113.6	113.9	114.1
Arkansas	113.1	111.9	113.1	112.7
Ole Miss	113.2	111.8	112.1	112.4
Texas A&M	108.7	108.9	108.9	108.8
Auburn	107.5	106.3	106.8	106.9
SEC	113.1	112.8	113.1	113.0
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
James Madison	100.2	101.6	103.7	101.8
Appalachian St.	97.1	98.0	98.5	97.9
Marshall	95.9	96.9	97.3	96.7
Georgia St.	95.6	95.7	97.1	96.1
Coastal Carolina	90.8	91.7	91.9	91.5
Ga. Southern	90.4	90.6	91.5	90.8
Old Dominion	86.9	87.0	87.3	87.1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Troy	97.0	97.9	98.9	97.9
South Alabama	94.8	95.5	96.5	95.6
Louisiana	94.9	95.4	96.4	95.6
Southern Miss.	88.3	88.9	89.4	88.9
UL-Monroe	82.6	82.9	82.8	82.8
Texas St.	80.7	81.7	81.6	81.3
Arkansas St.	79.2	80.2	79.6	79.7
Sun Belt	91.0	91.7	92.3	91.7

Conference Ratings

#	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	113.0
2	Big Ten	111.5
3	Big 12	111.4
4	Pac-12	105.7
5	Atlantic Coast	104.7
6	American Athletic	98.4
7	Independents	92.5
8	Sun Belt	91.7
9	Mountain West	89.8
10	Mid-American	88.7
11	Conference USA	86.5

Bowl Projections

As of this morning, Sunday, November 27, 2022, there are 80 Bowl Eligible teams for 82 slots in bowls. There are three teams that can still become bowl eligible. Buffalo is 5-6. They host Akron in the makeup game that was postponed when Buffalo was blanketed with feet of snow. Army is 5-6, and a win over Navy would make the Black Knights bowl eligible. New Mexico State is 5-6, and it is not yet determined if the Aggies will get the opportunity to makeup their postponed game with San Jose State. In a wild and crazy world, NMSU has two other options that could work to supply them a replacement game. Virginia Tech had their game with Virginia cancelled and could get an extra game. Vanderbilt had the opportunity to play a 13th game having played in Hawaii, and the Commodores could get an extra game. It’s about 99% certain that neither team would play in Las Cruces on Saturday. Only San Jose State might still agree to playing the game.

Appalachian State has six wins, but two came against FCS teams. The rules state that only one FCS win can be counted toward bowl eligibility, but when there are not enough bowl eligible teams, a team may receive a waiver.

If one or two 5-7 teams need to be added to the bowl schedule, the Academic Progress Rate score determines which team(s) can go. This year, if one additional 5-win team is needed, it will be Rice. If a second 5-7 team is needed, it will be UNLV. For now, we will predict Army and Buffalo to get their sixth wins, and Appy State will get their waiver with two FCS wins.

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	Miami (O)	UAB
Cure	Troy	Air Force
Fenway	Pittsburgh	Cincinnati
New Mexico	Wyoming	North Texas
L.A.	Oregon	Boise St.
Lending Tree	Toledo	Southern Miss.
Las Vegas	UCLA	South Carolina
Frisco	Fresno St.	Houston
Myrtle Beach	Marshall	Conecticut
Famous Idaho Potato	Utah St.	Bowling Green
Boca Raton	Coastal Carolina	Liberty
New Orleans	South Alabama	Western Kentucky
Armed Forces	Central Florida	UTSA
Independence	SMU	Army
Gasparilla	Wake Forest	Arkansas
Hawaii	San Diego St.	Middle Tennessee
Quick Lane	Buffalo	Louisiana
Camellia	Ohio	Georgia Southern
First Responder	BYU	Kansas
Birmingham	Memphis	Appalachian St.
Guaranteed Rate	Wisconsin	Baylor
Military	Syracsue	East Carolina
Liberty	Oklahoma	Missouri
Holiday	Utah	Notre Dame
Texas	Texas Tech	Ole Miss
Pinstripe	Iowa	North Carolina St.
Cheez-It	North Carolina	Oklahoma St.
Alamo	Texas	Oregon St.
Duke’s Mayo	Duke	Minnesota
Tony the Tiger Sun	Florida St.	Washington St.
Arizona	San Jose St.	Eastern Michigan
Orange	Clemson	Tennessee
Music City	Maryland	Kentucky
Sugar	Alabama	Kansas St.
TaxSlayer	Florida	Louisville
Peach	Georgia	USC
Fiesta	Michigan	TCU
Reliaquest (Outback)	Mississippi St.	Illinois
Citrus	LSU	Purdue
Cotton	Penn St.	Tulane
Rose	Ohio St.	Washington
National Championship	Georgia	Michigan

PiRate Ratings College Football — November 20, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Ohio	Bowling Green	9.0	11.4	10.9
Miami (O)	Ball St.	5.3	5.7	5.7
Ole Miss	Mississippi St.	0.1	0.1	0.1
North Carolina	North Carolina St.	-0.1	0.7	0.1
Texas	Baylor	6.9	7.1	6.1
Eastern Michigan	Central Michigan	-0.6	-1.4	-2.3
Western Michigan	Toledo	-6.3	-6.0	-6.0
Boise St.	Utah St.	18.3	17.7	18.5
Arizona	Arizona St.	-0.6	0.1	-0.3
Oregon St.	Oregon	-2.0	-2.0	-1.2
Missouri	Arkansas	-8.4	-7.1	-9.5
Colorado St.	New Mexico	7.0	8.2	9.2
Iowa	Nebraska	16.1	15.6	16.1
California	UCLA	-10.2	-10.2	-10.7
Florida St.	Florida	11.1	9.8	10.9
Fresno St.	Wyoming	15.2	13.2	14.5
Kansas St.	Kansas	18.3	18.6	20.0
Indiana	Purdue	-12.1	-12.1	-12.1
Boston College	Syracuse	-8.8	-7.3	-8.9
Georgia	Georgia Tech	40.0	39.4	42.3
Virginia Tech	Virginia	0.8	0.9	1.1
Duke	Wake Forest	-7.0	-5.0	-7.4
Miami (Fla.)	Pittsburgh	-5.1	-5.1	-4.8
Massachusetts	Army	-20.0	-19.5	-21.8
Maryland	Rutgers	15.6	16.3	17.2
Clemson	South Carolina	11.9	12.0	12.4
Kentucky	Louisville	-4.4	-3.9	-3.4
Penn St.	Michigan St.	17.7	18.9	19.7
Cincinnati	Tulane	5.0	4.4	4.6
Liberty	New Mexico St.	27.5	26.3	28.5
South Florida	Central Florida	-15.2	-16.8	-16.9
Temple	East Carolina	-15.2	-13.6	-16.7
Buffalo	Kent St.	3.2	3.7	4.9
Georgia Southern	Appalachian St.	-5.1	-6.1	-5.9
James Madison	Coastal Carolina	5.8	6.0	7.5
Marshall	Georgia St.	3.1	4.0	2.6
Florida Atlantic	Western Kentucky	-6.7	-5.7	-8.5
South Alabama	Old Dominion	10.8	11.6	12.7
Northern Illinois	Akron	17.9	17.7	18.3
Wisconsin	Minnesota	0.5	0.9	0.1
Ohio St.	Michigan	8.9	8.6	9.0
Northwestern	Illinois	-13.6	-13.4	-13.9
Colorado	Utah	-31.5	-32.2	-33.4
North Texas	Rice	15.2	15.2	16.6
Stanford	BYU	-2.7	-3.3	-3.7
UNLV	Nevada	8.4	6.2	9.0
USC	Notre Dame	-0.3	1.1	0.6
Washington St.	Washington	-2.1	-1.9	-1.9
Houston	Tulsa	14.7	14.8	15.3
SMU	Memphis	4.8	3.9	5.2
TCU	Iowa St.	13.7	13.1	13.7
Louisiana Tech	UAB	-16.2	-15.2	-17.8
Texas Tech	Oklahoma	0.3	0.2	0.8
Texas A&M	LSU	-9.5	-8.9	-9.6
Oklahoma St.	West Virginia	9.0	8.2	9.0
San Jose St.	Hawaii	21.1	20.2	20.2
Vanderbilt	Tennessee	-21.7	-21.0	-23.1
Alabama	Auburn	22.7	23.0	23.9
UTSA	UTEP	18.4	17.9	19.4
Arkansas St.	Troy	-12.1	-11.6	-13.3
Louisiana-Monroe	Southern Miss.	-1.8	-2.0	-2.5
Texas St.	Louisiana	-7.7	-7.0	-7.9
Florida Int’l.	Middle Tennessee	-20.5	-19.5	-22.0
San Diego St.	Air Force	-3.8	-3.9	-3.8

Teams With Byes

Navy

Note: Charlotte and Connecticut have concluded their regular seasons

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

#	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	133.3
2	Ohio St.	132.4
3	Alabama	128.6
4	Michigan	126.5
5	Penn St.	124.1
6	Tennessee	119.9
7	Clemson	119.3
8	Kansas St.	119.3
9	Florida St.	119.1
10	Texas	118.9
11	L S U	118.7
12	T C U	118.6
13	Utah	117.7
14	Notre Dame	116.4
15	Oregon	116.3
16	Minnesota	115.0
17	Iowa	114.8
18	Mississippi St.	113.9
19	Arkansas	113.9
20	U S C	113.8
21	Baylor	113.7
22	Louisville	113.7
23	Oregon St.	113.1
24	Wisconsin	113.0
25	Ole Miss	112.6
26	Oklahoma	112.2
27	Purdue	112.1
28	Illinois	112.1
29	Washington	111.8
30	U C L A	111.1
31	Florida	110.0
32	Texas Tech	109.6
33	Maryland	109.4
34	Wake Forest	109.0
35	Oklahoma St.	108.7
36	South Carolina	108.7
37	Pittsburgh	108.7
38	NC State	108.6
39	Michigan St.	108.4
40	Kentucky	108.3
41	Iowa St.	108.1
42	Cincinnati	108.1
43	Washington St.	107.8
44	North Carolina	107.4
45	Auburn	106.9
46	Tulane	106.4
47	Texas A&M	106.4
48	UCF	105.5
49	Boise St.	105.4
50	Houston	104.2
51	Syracuse	103.7
52	BYU	103.2
53	Missouri	103.1
54	West Virginia	103.0
55	U T S A	102.1
56	Air Force	102.0
57	Nebraska	101.8
58	Kansas	101.8
59	SMU	101.2
60	Fresno St.	101.1
61	Miami (Fla.)	100.7
62	Duke	100.5
63	Arizona St.	100.1
64	Liberty	100.0
65	East Carolina	99.8
66	Memphis	99.6
67	W. Kentucky	99.0
68	James Madison	98.6
69	Indiana	98.5
70	Appalachian St.	98.5
71	Arizona	98.3
72	U A B	97.7
73	California	97.7
74	Stanford	97.0
75	Northwestern	96.9
76	Marshall	96.6
77	Vanderbilt	96.5
78	Georgia St.	96.3
79	Troy	96.2
80	South Alabama	95.9
81	Navy	95.9
82	Toledo	95.8
83	Rutgers	95.5
84	Army	95.5
85	Virginia	95.2
86	San Diego St.	95.2
87	Virginia Tech	94.7
88	Coastal Carolina	94.7
89	Ohio	94.7
90	Georgia Tech	94.2
91	Louisiana	93.5
92	San Jose St.	93.4
93	Boston College	92.9
94	North Texas	92.7
95	Tulsa	92.3
96	Buffalo	91.0
97	N. Illinois	90.7
98	Central Mich.	90.4
99	Ga. Southern	90.3
100	Utah St.	90.2
101	Miami (Ohio)	89.9
102	Wyoming	89.8
103	Kent St.	89.6
104	Florida Atlantic	89.0
105	Southern Miss.	88.1
106	Western Mich.	87.7
107	USF	87.6
108	Eastern Mich.	87.5
109	Middle Tennessee	87.1
110	Old Dominion	86.7
111	Ball St.	86.3
112	U T E P	86.1
113	U N L V	85.9
114	Bowling Green	85.8
115	Connecticut	85.4
116	UL-Monroe	83.5
117	Texas St.	83.4
118	Colorado	82.8
119	Colorado St.	82.1
120	Temple	82.1
121	Arkansas St.	81.4
122	Nevada	79.6
123	Rice	79.0
124	Louisiana Tech	78.8
125	New Mexico	76.5
126	Hawaii	75.9
127	Charlotte	75.7
128	New Mexico St.	75.5
129	Akron	75.3
130	Massachusetts	72.5
131	Florida Int’l.	63.9

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	108.3	107.5	108.4	108.1
Tulane	106.4	106.1	106.7	106.4
UCF	105.1	105.7	105.6	105.5
Houston	104.5	103.8	104.3	104.2
SMU	101.4	100.7	101.5	101.2
East Carolina	99.6	99.3	100.4	99.8
Memphis	99.6	99.8	99.3	99.6
Navy	96.0	95.8	95.9	95.9
Tulsa	92.8	92.0	92.0	92.3
USF	88.4	87.4	87.2	87.6
Temple	81.9	83.1	81.2	82.1
AAC	98.6	98.3	98.4	98.4
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	119.3	119.1	119.6	119.3
Florida St.	119.1	118.9	119.3	119.1
Louisville	113.9	113.6	113.6	113.7
Wake Forest	109.2	108.9	108.9	109.0
NC State	109.3	108.5	108.1	108.6
Syracuse	104.6	103.4	103.1	103.7
Boston College	93.2	93.6	91.8	92.9
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	109.6	108.7	107.9	108.7
North Carolina	107.8	107.7	106.8	107.4
Miami (Fla.)	101.4	100.6	100.1	100.7
Duke	100.2	101.9	99.4	100.5
Virginia	95.8	95.9	94.0	95.2
Virginia Tech	95.1	95.3	93.7	94.7
Georgia Tech	94.9	94.6	93.3	94.2
ACC	105.2	105.0	104.2	104.8
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Kansas St.	119.8	118.7	119.4	119.3
Texas	119.7	118.8	118.3	118.9
T C U	119.2	118.0	118.7	118.6
Baylor	114.3	113.1	113.7	113.7
Oklahoma	112.6	111.7	112.4	112.2
Texas Tech	109.8	108.9	110.2	109.6
Oklahoma St.	109.5	108.0	108.7	108.7
Iowa St.	108.5	107.9	108.0	108.1
West Virginia	103.5	102.9	102.7	103.0
Kansas	103.0	101.6	101.0	101.8
Big 12	112.0	111.0	111.3	111.4
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	132.9	131.8	132.6	132.4
Michigan	126.9	126.2	126.5	126.5
Penn St.	124.2	124.1	124.1	124.1
Maryland	109.9	109.5	108.9	109.4
Michigan St.	109.5	108.2	107.4	108.4
Indiana	99.4	98.6	97.5	98.5
Rutgers	96.7	95.7	94.2	95.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Minnesota	115.5	114.7	114.8	115.0
Iowa	115.5	114.7	114.2	114.8
Wisconsin	113.5	113.1	112.4	113.0
Purdue	113.0	112.2	111.1	112.1
Illinois	112.3	112.6	111.4	112.1
Nebraska	102.4	102.1	101.1	101.8
Northwestern	97.1	97.6	96.0	96.9
Big Ten	112.1	111.5	110.9	111.5
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U T S A	102.0	101.6	102.7	102.1
W. Kentucky	98.6	98.5	99.9	99.0
U A B	97.5	97.3	98.3	97.7
North Texas	92.3	92.2	93.5	92.7
Florida Atlantic	88.9	89.8	88.4	89.0
Middle Tennessee	86.8	87.4	87.1	87.1
U T E P	86.1	86.2	85.8	86.1
Rice	79.1	79.0	78.9	79.0
Louisiana Tech	78.8	79.6	78.0	78.8
Charlotte	75.4	76.2	75.5	75.7
Florida Int’l.	63.8	65.4	62.6	63.9
CUSA	86.3	86.7	86.4	86.5
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	116.7	115.6	116.8	116.4
BYU	103.7	102.4	103.5	103.2
Liberty	99.5	100.3	100.1	100.0
Army	95.1	95.6	95.7	95.5
Connecticut	85.3	86.5	84.4	85.4
New Mexico St.	75.0	76.9	74.6	75.5
Massachusetts	72.6	73.6	71.4	72.5
Independents	92.6	93.0	92.4	92.6
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio	93.2	95.5	95.3	94.7
Buffalo	89.8	91.8	91.5	91.0
Miami (Ohio)	88.9	90.7	90.1	89.9
Kent St.	89.1	90.6	89.1	89.6
Bowling Green	85.7	85.7	85.9	85.8
Akron	75.1	75.9	74.8	75.3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	95.4	96.1	95.9	95.8
N. Illinois	90.5	91.0	90.6	90.7
Central Mich.	89.2	90.8	91.2	90.4
Western Mich.	87.1	88.1	87.9	87.7
Eastern Mich.	87.1	87.9	87.4	87.5
Ball St.	85.7	87.0	86.4	86.3
MAC	88.1	89.3	88.8	88.7
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	105.3	104.9	105.9	105.4
Air Force	101.9	101.8	102.4	102.0
Utah St.	90.0	90.2	90.4	90.2
Wyoming	88.8	90.5	90.1	89.8
Colorado St.	81.6	82.5	82.3	82.1
New Mexico	77.1	76.8	75.6	76.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	101.0	100.7	101.6	101.1
San Diego St.	95.1	94.8	95.5	95.2
San Jose St.	93.2	93.4	93.6	93.4
U N L V	86.2	85.1	86.4	85.9
Nevada	79.4	80.4	78.9	79.6
Hawaii	75.2	76.3	76.4	75.9
MWC	89.6	89.8	89.9	89.8
Pac-12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	117.6	116.9	118.6	117.7
Oregon	116.4	116.0	116.6	116.3
U S C	113.4	113.7	114.4	113.8
Oregon St.	112.9	112.5	113.9	113.1
Washington	111.4	111.6	112.3	111.8
U C L A	110.7	110.6	111.9	111.1
Washington St.	107.3	107.7	108.4	107.8
Arizona St.	100.2	99.6	100.4	100.1
Arizona	98.1	98.1	98.6	98.3
California	97.4	97.4	98.2	97.7
Stanford	98.0	96.2	96.7	97.0
Colorado	83.6	82.2	82.7	82.8
Pac-12	105.6	105.2	106.1	105.6
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	133.3	132.5	134.0	133.3
Tennessee	119.6	119.7	120.5	119.9
Florida	109.5	110.6	109.9	110.0
South Carolina	108.9	108.6	108.7	108.7
Kentucky	107.9	108.2	108.7	108.3
Missouri	103.2	103.4	102.5	103.1
Vanderbilt	96.4	97.2	95.9	96.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	128.7	127.8	129.2	128.6
L S U	118.8	118.4	118.9	118.7
Mississippi St.	114.8	113.4	113.7	113.9
Arkansas	114.2	113.0	114.5	113.9
Ole Miss	113.4	112.0	112.3	112.6
Auburn	107.5	106.3	106.8	106.9
Texas A&M	106.3	106.5	106.3	106.4
SEC	113.0	112.7	113.0	112.9
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
James Madison	97.1	98.4	100.3	98.6
Appalachian St.	97.5	98.6	99.2	98.5
Marshall	95.8	96.8	97.0	96.6
Georgia St.	95.7	95.8	97.4	96.3
Coastal Carolina	93.9	94.9	95.3	94.7
Ga. Southern	90.0	90.0	90.8	90.3
Old Dominion	86.7	86.7	86.8	86.7
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Troy	95.4	96.1	97.2	96.2
South Alabama	95.0	95.8	97.0	95.9
Louisiana	92.9	93.3	94.2	93.5
Southern Miss.	87.6	88.1	88.6	88.1
UL-Monroe	83.3	83.7	83.6	83.5
Texas St.	82.7	83.8	83.8	83.4
Arkansas St.	80.8	82.0	81.3	81.4
Sun Belt	91.0	91.7	92.3	91.7

Conference Ratings

#	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	112.9
2	Big Ten	111.5
3	Big 12	111.4
4	Pac-12	105.6
5	Atlantic Coast	104.8
6	American Athletic	98.4
7	Independents	92.6
8	Sun Belt	91.7
9	Mountain West	89.8
10	Mid-American	88.7
11	Conference USA	86.5

Bowl Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	UTSA	Ohio
Cure	Marshall	Southern Miss.
Fenway	Duke	Central Florida
New Mexico	Western Kentucky	Wyoming
L.A.	Utah	Boise St.
Lending Tree	Miami (O)	Appalachian St.
Las Vegas	Washington	Ole Miss
Frisco	San Diego St.	Washington St.
Myrtle Beach	BYU	South Alabama
Famous Idaho Potato	Bowling Green	Utah St.
Boca Raton	Connecticut	Air Force
New Orleans	Florida Atlantic	Coastal Carolina
Armed Forces	Houston	North Texas
Independence	SMU	Army
Gasparilla	Syracuse	East Carolina
Hawaii	UAB	San Jose St.
Quick Lane	Eastern Michigan	Liberty
Camellia	Buffalo	Troy
First Responder	Kansas	Louisiana
Birmingham	Memphis	Middle Tennessee
Guaranteed Rate	Oklahoma	Wisconsin
Military	Louisville	Tulane
Liberty	Baylor	Missouri
Holiday	North Carolina	Oregon
Texas	Texas Tech	Florida
Pinstripe	Pittsburgh	Minnesota
Cheez-It	Notre Dame	Oklahoma St.
Alamo	Texas	Oregon St.
Duke’s Mayo	Wake Forest	Maryland
Tony the Tiger Sun	North Carolina St.	UCLA
Arizona	Toledo	Fresno St.
Orange	Clemson	Alabama
Music City	Illinois	Kentucky
Sugar	LSU	Kansas St.
TaxSlayer	Florida St.	Arkansas
Peach	Georgia	Michigan
Fiesta	Ohio St.	TCU
Reliaquest (Outback)	Iowa	South Carolina
Citrus	Purdue	Mississippi St.
Cotton	Tennessee	Cincinnati
Rose	USC	Penn St.
National Championship	Georgia	Ohio St.

Note: 82 teams are projected to finish bowl eligible, and there are 82 spots available. There is still a chance that a 5-7 team will be needed if there are less than 82 bowl eligible teams.

Teams that figure to finish 5-7 and have the best APR scores to receive a bid include (in order):

Rice

Iowa State

UNLV

Auburn

Michigan State

PiRate Picks for November 17-19, 2022

What a unique season it has been for this weekly feature. A blistering hot start followed by a long slump and then a rebound last week basically brought the imaginary bank account almost back to where it was before the season began.

Last week, we went heavy into teasers, playing 10 of them plus a Money Line Parlay. Our 10 teaser selections went 7-3, while the lost the big odds parlay. For the year, we are now back on the positive side with two full weeks remaining in the regular season. Can we hold onto this profit to make it our 17th imaginary winning season in 22 years? We’ll have to have another successful week with 7 and 10-point teasers with one big odds Money Line Parlay. Once again, it is more important what numbers we tease to and through than it is the teams involved.

Selection #1: 10-point Teaser at -120

Duke + 17 1/2 vs. Pittsburgh

Michigan St. -1/2 vs. Indiana

TCU +7 1/2 vs. Baylor

Selection #2: 10-point Teaser at -120

Georgia -12 1/2 vs. Kentucky

Stanford + 14 1/2 vs. California

Oklahoma St. +17 1/2 vs. Oklahoma

Selection #3: 7-point Teaser at -130

Connecticut +17 1/2 vs. Army

James Madison -1 1/2 vs. Georgia St.

Selection #4: 7-point Teaser at -130

Buffalo -6 1/2 vs. Akron

Texas -2 1/2 vs. Kansas

Selection #5: Money Line Parlay at +248.51

Florida Atlantic over Middle Tennessee State

Auburn over Western Kentucky

USC over UCLA

PiRate Ratings College Football — November 13, 2022

This Week’s Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Toledo	Bowling Green	15.7	16.8	16.6
Ball St.	Ohio	-3.7	-4.8	-5.2
Kent St.	Eastern Michigan	7.1	7.9	7.2
Central Michigan	Western Michigan	4.9	5.9	6.9
Northern Illinois	Miami (O)	6.3	4.8	5.4
Tulane	SMU	2.1	2.3	1.9
Tulsa	South Florida	7.6	7.9	8.0
New Mexico	San Diego St.	-12.4	-12.3	-14.1
Iowa St.	Texas Tech	2.1	2.6	1.4
West Virginia	Kansas St.	-12.6	-11.9	-12.6
Florida St.	Louisiana	28.8	28.0	27.0
Rutgers	Penn St.	-20.2	-21.1	-22.6
South Carolina	Tennessee	-18.5	-19.0	-19.6
Louisville	North Carolina St.	5.0	5.4	5.6
Wake Forest	Syracuse	7.0	7.8	7.8
Pittsburgh	Duke	13.7	10.9	13.2
Michigan St.	Indiana	15.8	15.5	16.2
Liberty	Virginia Tech	7.2	8.1	10.3
Clemson	Miami (Fla)	17.7	18.1	18.9
Maryland	Ohio St.	-20.8	-20.2	-22.3
Michigan	Illinois	19.8	18.7	20.9
Purdue	Northwestern	20.2	18.9	19.8
Virginia	Coastal Carolina	6.6	5.7	3.4
Kentucky	Georgia	-23.9	-22.8	-24.4
Army	Connecticut	11.9	11.0	13.4
East Carolina	Houston	5.8	6.1	6.8
Temple	Cincinnati	-24.1	-22.0	-25.4
Central Florida	Navy	16.8	18.0	18.0
Appalachian St.	Old Dominion	12.9	14.0	14.5
James Madison	Georgia St.	3.9	5.2	5.6
Kansas	Texas	-7.8	-8.1	-8.1
Auburn	Western Kentucky	9.7	8.2	6.9
Minnesota	Iowa	4.9	5.1	6.1
North Carolina	Georgia Tech	20.4	20.8	21.6
Texas A&M	Massachusetts	40.3	39.8	42.1
LSU	UAB	23.1	22.9	21.9
Rice	UTSA	-16.9	-16.4	-17.6
Arizona	Washington St.	-5.8	-6.2	-6.2
Air Force	Colorado St.	23.4	22.3	23.4
Arizona St.	Oregon St.	-6.0	-6.1	-6.4
Utah St.	San Jose St.	-0.7	-0.8	-1.0
Notre Dame	Boston College	21.4	19.7	22.8
California	Stanford	0.5	2.4	2.3
Washington	Colorado	26.3	28.0	28.0
UCLA	USC	-0.6	-0.9	-0.3
Oregon	Utah	0.6	0.7	-0.8
Vanderbilt	Florida	-13.6	-14.0	-15.1
Baylor	TCU	-2.2	-2.2	-2.2
Arkansas	Ole Miss	1.2	1.2	2.4
Southern Miss.	South Alabama	-4.3	-4.4	-5.1
Oklahoma	Oklahoma St.	2.9	3.3	3.1
Nebraska	Wisconsin	-8.7	-8.8	-9.4
Missouri	New Mexico St.	31.3	29.5	30.9
Troy	Louisiana-Monroe	14.2	14.4	15.4
Buffalo	Akron	17.2	18.4	19.1
Charlotte	Louisiana Tech	-2.1	-2.3	-1.4
Middle Tennessee	Florida Atlantic	-4.8	-5.5	-4.4
UTEP	Florida Int’l.	21.8	19.9	22.5
Texas St.	Arkansas St.	4.4	4.3	5.2
Georgia Southern	Marshall	-1.8	-2.7	-1.7
Wyoming	Boise St.	-14.7	-12.6	-14.4
Nevada	Fresno St.	-17.5	-15.7	-18.3
Hawaii	UNLV	-11.7	-9.3	-11.0

FBS vs. FCS Games

FBS	FCS	PiRate
Alabama	Austin Peay	46.9
BYU	Utah Tech	37.7
Mississippi St.	East Tennessee	35.7
Memphis	North Alabama	32.0

Bye Week

North Texas

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

#	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	134.0
2	Ohio St.	133.0
3	Alabama	128.8
4	Michigan	127.8
5	Tennessee	126.9
6	Penn St.	121.7
7	Florida St.	118.8
8	Kansas St.	118.7
9	Utah	118.4
10	T C U	118.1
11	L S U	117.8
12	Clemson	117.7
13	Minnesota	115.7
14	Texas	115.7
15	Oregon	115.6
16	Ole Miss	113.9
17	Notre Dame	113.8
18	Mississippi St.	113.4
19	Wisconsin	113.4
20	Baylor	113.4
21	Iowa	113.4
22	U S C	113.2
23	Purdue	112.7
24	Arkansas	112.5
25	Louisville	112.5
26	Florida	111.6
27	U C L A	111.2
28	Illinois	111.1
29	Oklahoma	111.0
30	Oregon St.	111.0
31	NC State	110.1
32	Michigan St.	110.0
33	Oklahoma St.	109.9
34	North Carolina	109.9
35	Washington	109.5
36	Pittsburgh	109.4
37	Texas Tech	109.4
38	Wake Forest	108.9
39	Maryland	108.8
40	Iowa St.	108.4
41	Texas A&M	108.3
42	Cincinnati	108.3
43	UCF	108.1
44	Washington St.	107.6
45	Kentucky	107.3
46	Boise St.	106.0
47	Auburn	105.6
48	South Carolina	104.9
49	Kansas	104.7
50	SMU	104.0
51	Syracuse	103.8
52	Tulane	103.6
53	BYU	103.5
54	East Carolina	103.5
55	West Virginia	103.3
56	Missouri	103.1
57	Air Force	102.6
58	Miami (Fla.)	102.5
59	Arizona St.	101.9
60	Nebraska	101.4
61	Liberty	100.6
62	Fresno St.	100.4
63	W. Kentucky	100.3
64	Houston	100.2
65	U T S A	100.2
66	Duke	99.8
67	James Madison	98.7
68	Arizona	98.5
69	Memphis	98.4
70	Appalachian St.	98.3
71	U A B	98.1
72	Toledo	98.0
73	Rutgers	97.9
74	California	97.4
75	Stanford	97.2
76	Indiana	97.2
77	Virginia	96.7
78	Georgia St.	96.2
79	Northwestern	96.0
80	Troy	96.0
81	Marshall	95.7
82	South Alabama	95.6
83	Boston College	95.5
84	Army	95.2
85	Vanderbilt	94.9
86	Coastal Carolina	94.5
87	Virginia Tech	94.1
88	Louisiana	93.8
89	San Diego St.	93.8
90	Ohio	93.8
91	San Jose St.	93.7
92	Navy	93.5
93	North Texas	92.5
94	Tulsa	92.5
95	Georgia Tech	92.0
96	N. Illinois	91.8
97	Florida Atlantic	91.8
98	Ga. Southern	91.1
99	Central Mich.	91.0
100	Kent St.	91.0
101	Buffalo	90.8
102	Utah St.	89.9
103	Wyoming	89.1
104	Miami (Ohio)	88.8
105	Southern Miss.	88.5
106	U N L V	87.8
107	USF	87.6
108	Ball St.	87.2
109	Western Mich.	87.1
110	Old Dominion	86.9
111	Eastern Mich.	86.1
112	Connecticut	85.6
113	Colorado	85.1
114	U T E P	84.5
115	Middle Tennessee	84.4
116	UL-Monroe	83.8
117	Bowling Green	83.6
118	Texas St.	83.5
119	Temple	81.9
120	Colorado St.	81.5
121	Arkansas St.	81.3
122	Rice	80.7
123	Nevada	80.3
124	Louisiana Tech	79.5
125	New Mexico	77.9
126	New Mexico St.	75.5
127	Akron	75.1
128	Charlotte	75.0
129	Hawaii	74.1
130	Massachusetts	70.6
131	Florida Int’l.	65.5

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	108.4	107.6	108.8	108.3
UCF	107.6	108.4	108.4	108.1
SMU	104.1	103.5	104.4	104.0
Tulane	103.7	103.3	103.8	103.6
East Carolina	103.3	103.0	104.1	103.5
Houston	100.5	99.8	100.3	100.2
Memphis	98.4	98.6	98.1	98.4
Navy	93.8	93.4	93.4	93.5
Tulsa	93.0	92.2	92.2	92.5
USF	88.4	87.4	87.2	87.6
Temple	81.8	83.0	80.8	81.9
AAC	98.5	98.2	98.3	98.3
Atlantic Coast
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Florida St.	118.9	118.6	118.8	118.8
Clemson	117.8	117.5	117.9	117.7
Louisville	112.8	112.4	112.3	112.5
NC State	110.7	110.0	109.7	110.1
Wake Forest	109.1	108.8	108.7	108.9
Syracuse	104.7	103.5	103.3	103.8
Boston College	95.7	96.3	94.4	95.5
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
North Carolina	110.2	110.2	109.5	109.9
Pittsburgh	110.3	109.3	108.8	109.4
Miami (Fla.)	103.1	102.4	102.0	102.5
Duke	99.5	101.3	98.5	99.8
Virginia	97.3	97.4	95.5	96.7
Virginia Tech	94.7	94.7	92.8	94.1
Georgia Tech	92.8	92.4	90.9	92.0
ACC	105.5	105.3	104.5	105.1
Big 12
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Kansas St.	119.3	118.1	118.7	118.7
T C U	118.7	117.5	118.2	118.1
Texas	116.6	115.6	115.0	115.7
Baylor	114.0	112.8	113.4	113.4
Oklahoma	111.5	110.5	111.1	111.0
Oklahoma St.	110.6	109.2	110.0	109.9
Texas Tech	109.6	108.6	109.9	109.4
Iowa St.	108.7	108.2	108.3	108.4
Kansas	105.8	104.5	104.0	104.7
West Virginia	103.7	103.2	103.1	103.3
Big 12	111.8	110.8	111.2	111.3
Big Ten
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	133.3	132.3	133.4	133.0
Michigan	128.1	127.4	128.0	127.8
Penn St.	121.8	121.7	121.7	121.7
Michigan St.	111.0	109.8	109.2	110.0
Maryland	109.5	109.0	108.1	108.8
Rutgers	99.1	98.1	96.6	97.9
Indiana	98.2	97.3	96.0	97.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Minnesota	116.1	115.4	115.7	115.7
Wisconsin	113.8	113.5	112.9	113.4
Iowa	114.2	113.3	112.6	113.4
Purdue	113.5	112.7	111.8	112.7
Illinois	111.4	111.7	110.2	111.1
Nebraska	102.1	101.7	100.6	101.4
Northwestern	96.3	96.8	95.0	96.0
Big Ten	112.0	111.5	110.8	111.4
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
W. Kentucky	99.7	99.8	101.4	100.3
U T S A	100.1	99.6	100.7	100.2
U A B	97.8	97.7	98.9	98.1
North Texas	92.1	92.0	93.3	92.5
Florida Atlantic	91.5	92.6	91.2	91.8
U T E P	84.6	84.5	84.2	84.5
Middle Tennessee	84.2	84.6	84.3	84.4
Rice	80.7	80.7	80.6	80.7
Louisiana Tech	79.4	80.3	78.7	79.5
Charlotte	74.8	75.5	74.8	75.0
Florida Int’l.	65.3	67.1	64.2	65.5
CUSA	86.4	86.8	86.6	86.6
Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	114.2	112.9	114.2	113.8
BYU	104.0	102.7	103.8	103.5
Liberty	99.9	100.9	101.0	100.6
Army	94.9	95.3	95.5	95.2
Connecticut	85.5	86.8	84.6	85.6
New Mexico St.	75.0	76.9	74.6	75.5
Massachusetts	70.8	71.7	69.3	70.6
Independents	92.0	92.5	91.9	92.1
Mid-American
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio	92.3	94.6	94.4	93.8
Kent St.	90.4	92.0	90.6	91.0
Buffalo	89.6	91.6	91.3	90.8
Miami (Ohio)	87.8	89.7	88.9	88.8
Bowling Green	83.7	83.5	83.6	83.6
Akron	74.9	75.7	74.6	75.1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	97.4	98.3	98.2	98.0
N. Illinois	91.6	92.0	91.8	91.8
Central Mich.	89.6	91.4	92.0	91.0
Ball St.	86.6	87.9	87.3	87.2
Western Mich.	86.7	87.5	87.1	87.1
Eastern Mich.	85.8	86.5	85.9	86.1
MAC	88.0	89.2	88.8	88.7
Mountain West
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	105.9	105.5	106.7	106.0
Air Force	102.4	102.3	103.1	102.6
Utah St.	89.8	89.9	90.0	89.9
Wyoming	88.2	89.9	89.3	89.1
Colorado St.	81.1	82.0	81.6	81.5
New Mexico	78.4	78.2	77.0	77.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	100.4	99.9	100.9	100.4
San Diego St.	93.8	93.4	94.1	93.8
San Jose St.	93.4	93.7	94.0	93.7
U N L V	88.0	86.8	88.4	87.8
Nevada	80.0	81.2	79.6	80.3
Hawaii	73.4	74.6	74.4	74.1
MWC	89.6	89.8	89.9	89.8
Pac-12
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	118.2	117.6	119.5	118.4
Oregon	115.8	115.3	115.7	115.6
U S C	112.8	113.1	113.8	113.2
U C L A	110.8	110.7	112.0	111.2
Oregon St.	110.9	110.4	111.7	111.0
Washington	109.2	109.4	110.0	109.5
Washington St.	107.1	107.5	108.1	107.6
Arizona St.	101.9	101.4	102.3	101.9
Arizona	98.3	98.3	98.9	98.5
California	97.2	97.2	97.9	97.4
Stanford	98.2	96.4	97.0	97.2
Colorado	85.8	84.4	85.0	85.1
Pac-12	105.5	105.1	106.0	105.5
Southeastern
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	133.9	133.1	134.9	134.0
Tennessee	126.6	126.7	127.5	126.9
Florida	111.0	112.2	111.7	111.6
Kentucky	107.0	107.3	107.5	107.3
South Carolina	105.1	104.8	104.9	104.9
Missouri	103.2	103.4	102.5	103.1
Vanderbilt	94.9	95.6	94.1	94.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	128.9	128.0	129.4	128.8
L S U	118.0	117.5	117.8	117.8
Ole Miss	114.7	113.4	113.7	113.9
Mississippi St.	114.3	112.9	113.2	113.4
Arkansas	112.9	111.6	113.1	112.5
Texas A&M	108.1	108.4	108.4	108.3
Auburn	106.4	105.0	105.3	105.6
SEC	113.2	112.9	113.1	113.1
Sunbelt
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
James Madison	97.1	98.5	100.4	98.7
Appalachian St.	97.3	98.4	99.0	98.3
Georgia St.	95.7	95.7	97.3	96.2
Marshall	95.0	96.0	96.0	95.7
Coastal Carolina	93.7	94.7	95.1	94.5
Ga. Southern	90.8	90.8	91.8	91.1
Old Dominion	86.9	86.9	87.0	86.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Troy	95.2	95.8	96.9	96.0
South Alabama	94.7	95.4	96.6	95.6
Louisiana	93.1	93.6	94.7	93.8
Southern Miss.	87.9	88.5	89.0	88.5
UL-Monroe	83.5	84.0	83.9	83.8
Texas St.	82.7	83.8	83.9	83.5
Arkansas St.	80.8	82.0	81.2	81.3
Sun Belt	91.0	91.7	92.4	91.7

Conference Ratings

#	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	113.1
2	Big Ten	111.4
3	Big 12	111.3
4	Pac-12	105.5
5	Atlantic Coast	105.1
6	American Athletic	98.3
7	Independents	92.1
8	Sun Belt	91.7
9	Mountain West	89.8
10	Mid-American	88.7
11	Conference USA	86.6

Bowl Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	Western Kentucky	Ohio
Cure	Troy	Tulane
Fenway	Syracuse	Cincinnati
New Mexico	North Texas	Wyoming
L.A.	Washington	Fresno St.
Lending Tree	Middle Tennessee	Louisiana
Las Vegas	Oregon	Mississippi St.
Frisco	South Alabama	San Jose St.
Myrtle Beach	Coastal Carolina	Liberty
Famous Idaho Potato	Ball St.	Utah St.
Boca Raton	Marshall	Connecticut
New Orleans	Florida Atlantic	Appalachian St.
Armed Forces	Houston	UAB
Independence	SMU	UNLV
Gasparilla	Miami (Fla.)	Maryland
Hawaii	UTSA	Boise St.
Quick Lane	Wisconsin	Eastern Michigan
Camellia	Buffalo	Georgia Southern
First Responder	Arizona	San Diego St.
Birmingham	Louisville	Memphis
Guaranteed Rate	Kansas	Michigan St.
Military	Wake Forest	East Carolina
Liberty	Baylor	Kentucky
Holiday	Notre Dame	UCLA
Texas	Texas Tech	Missouri
Pinstripe	Pittsburgh	Minnesota
Cheez-It	North Carolina	Texas
Alamo	Oklahoma St.	Washington St.
Duke’s Mayo	Duke	Iowa
Tony the Tiger Sun	North Carolina St.	Oregon St.
Arizona	Toledo	Air Force
Orange	Clemson	Alabama
Music City	Illinois	BYU
Sugar	LSU	Kansas St.
TaxSlayer	Florida St.	South Carolina
Peach	Georgia	Tennessee
Fiesta	Ohio St.	TCU
Reliaquest (Outback)	Purdue	Florida
Citrus	Penn St.	Ole Miss
Cotton	Utah	Central Florida
Rose	USC	Michigan
National Championship	Georgia	Ohio St.

PiRate Picks–November 10, 2022

With apologies to Steve Sabol at NFL Films, the Autumn Wind is a PiRate Pick, blustering in from a sea of football spreads.

After a successful 3-1 week, our annual fake bank account for the season is just three bucks short of break-even, so a successful week of any kind this week will put us back in the black with a positive fake bank account.

There is a reason this weekly feature is late this week by three or four hours; we saw too many playable games, and we could not eliminate one over the other. Thus, we are issuing a whopping 11 selections this week. They are all exotic selections, as we have been doing much better with them than straight picks this year.

Included this week are six, 7-point teaser parlays, four, 10-point teaser parlays, and one money line parlay. Without further adieu, take a look but only wager imaginary money on these games or plan to be looking for a second job in order to pay the bills on your Christmas shopping.

Selection #1: 2 Team, 7-point Teaser @ -130

Georgia Southern +10 1/2 vs. Louisiana

Fresno St. – 2 1/2 vs. UNLV

Selection #2: 2 Team, 7-point Teaser @ -130

Arkansas +10 1/2 vs. LSU

Tennessee -13 1/2 vs. Missouri

Selection #3: 2 Team, 7-point Teaser @ -130

West Virginia +14 1/2 vs. Oklahoma

Pittsburgh +3 1/2 vs. Virginia

Selection #4: 2 Team, 7-point Teaser @ -130

Michigan St. -2 1/2 vs. Rutgers

James Madison – 1/2 vs. Old Dominion

Selection #5: 2 Team, 7-point Teaser @ -130

Clemson Pk. vs. Louisville

North Texas +12 1/2 vs. UAB

Selection #6: 2 Team, 7-point Teaser @ -130

Washington State -1 1/2 vs. Arizona State

Florida -1 1/2 vs. South Carolina

Selection #7: 3 Team, 10-point Teaser @ -120

Notre Dame -5 1/2 vs. Navy

Connecticut +24 1/2 vs. Liberty

Alabama -1 1/2 vs. Ole Miss

Selection #8: 3 Team, 10-point Teaser @ -120

Houston -9 1/2 vs. Temple

Penn St. – 1/2 vs. Maryland

Iowa + 11 1/2 vs. Wisconsin

Selection #9: 3 Team, 10-point Teaser @ -120

Central Florida +11 1/2 vs. Tulane

Iowa State +8 1/2 vs. Oklahoma State

Marshall +11 1/2 vs. Appalachian State

Selection #10: 3 Team, 10-point Teaser @ -120

South Alabama -6 1/2 vs. Texas State

Georgia -6 1/2 vs. Mississippi State

Southern Mississippi +14 1/2 vs. Coastal Carolina

Selection #11: Money Line Parlay @ +180.91

Memphis over Tulsa

Cincinnati over East Carolina

Texas over TCU