PiRate Ratings College Football Final 2021-22 Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	138.1
2	Alabama	132.8
3	Ohio St.	129.7
4	Michigan	124.3
5	Utah	121.9
6	Oklahoma St.	121.8
7	Notre Dame	121.6
8	Oklahoma	121.1
9	Clemson	119.3
10	Baylor	118.7
11	Texas A&M	118.6
12	Cincinnati	118.5
13	Iowa St.	118.1
14	Arkansas	117.4
15	Wisconsin	116.5
16	U C L A	115.0
17	Minnesota	113.5
18	Ole Miss	113.5
19	Kentucky	113.2
20	NC State	112.7
21	Penn St.	112.2
22	Purdue	111.7
23	Tennessee	111.6
24	Kansas St.	111.4
25	Auburn	111.2
26	Michigan St.	111.1
27	Pittsburgh	111.1
28	Wake Forest	110.4
29	Texas Tech	110.3
30	Arizona St.	110.3
31	Miami (Fla.)	110.1
32	Louisiana	109.6
33	L S U	109.4
34	Nebraska	109.3
35	Iowa	109.2
36	Houston	108.9
37	Oregon	108.2
38	Texas	107.5
39	Washington St.	107.3
40	Western Kentucky	107.1
41	West Virginia	107.0
42	Maryland	106.9
43	BYU	106.6
44	Oregon St.	106.5
45	Boise St.	106.4
46	Mississippi St.	105.9
47	North Carolina	105.4
48	South Carolina	105.4
49	Florida St.	105.3
50	Louisville	104.9
51	Florida	104.6
52	California	104.6
53	Liberty	104.4
54	Air Force	104.3
55	Georgia St.	104.1
56	Coastal Carolina	104.0
57	Central Michigan	104.0
58	UCF	103.7
59	U S C	103.6
60	Appalachian St.	103.5
61	Virginia	103.4
62	Utah St.	103.3
63	Washington	103.1
64	Fresno St.	103.0
65	T C U	101.8
66	SMU	101.8
67	Illinois	101.6
68	San Diego St.	101.5
69	U A B	101.4
70	Army	101.2
71	Western Michigan	101.2
72	Missouri	100.3
73	East Carolina	100.0
74	Boston College	99.3
75	Miami (Ohio)	99.2
76	Tulsa	98.7
77	Nevada	98.7
78	Colorado	98.6
79	Syracuse	97.9
80	Toledo	96.6
81	Virginia Tech	95.6
82	Tulane	95.2
83	Georgia Tech	95.1
84	U T S A	94.6
85	Memphis	94.6
86	Marshall	94.4
87	Stanford	94.3
88	Wyoming	94.3
89	Indiana	93.3
90	Middle Tennessee	93.0
91	Hawaii	92.9
92	Navy	92.8
93	Rutgers	92.8
94	Northern Illinois	92.4
95	Arizona	92.3
96	Northwestern	91.9
97	South Alabama	89.8
98	North Texas	89.5
99	Colorado St.	88.9
100	San Jose St.	88.6
101	Kent St.	88.5
102	Ball St.	88.4
103	Buffalo	88.3
104	Troy	88.0
105	USF	87.4
106	Georgia Southern	87.0
107	Eastern Michigan	86.3
108	Florida Atlantic	86.3
109	Ohio	86.1
110	Kansas	85.7
111	Old Dominion	85.7
112	U T E P	85.6
113	U N L V	85.2
114	Vanderbilt	84.0
115	UL-Monroe	83.2
116	Texas St.	83.0
117	Arkansas St.	82.8
118	Duke	80.2
119	Rice	80.0
120	Louisiana Tech	79.7
121	New Mexico	78.0
122	Southern Miss.	77.6
123	Bowling Green	77.1
124	Charlotte	77.0
125	Akron	72.5
126	Temple	72.4
127	New Mexico St.	71.8
128	Connecticut	68.6
129	Florida Int’l.	65.9
130	UMass	64.1

PiRate Ratings College Football Championship Game Spreads

Team 1	Team 2	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Alabama	Georgia	-1.5	-2.3	-2.1

PiRate Ratings College Football–Selection Sunday

This Week’s College Football Game

December 11		PiRate	Mean	Bias
Army	Navy	11.2	11.4	10.4

Final Bowl Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Added Bowl Game*	Ball St.	Nevada
Bahamas	Middle Tennessee	Toledo
Cure	SMU	Appalachian St.
Boca	Kent St.	Liberty
New Mexico	UTEP	San Diego St.
Independence	BYU	UTSA
Lending Tree	Central Michigan	Marshall
L. A.	Utah St.	Oregon St.
New Orleans	UAB	Coastal Carolina
Myrtle Beach	Old Dominion	Georgia St.
Famous Idaho Potato	Western Michigan	Boise St.
Frisco	North Texas	Air Force
Armed Forces	Tulsa	Army
Gasparilla	Louisville	Florida
Hawaii	Memphis	Hawaii
Camellia	Northern Illinois	Louisiana
Quick Lane	Eastern Michigan	Wyoming
Military	Virginia	East Carolina
Birmingham	Houston	South Carolina
First Responder	Western Kentucky	Missouri
Liberty	West Virginia	Mississippi St.
Holiday	North Carolina St.	UCLA
Guaranteed Rate	Maryland	Texas Tech
Fenway	Central Florida	Boston College
Pinstripe	Virginia Tech	Penn St.
Cheez-It	Clemson	Iowa St.
Alamo	Oklahoma	Oregon
Duke’s Mayo	Wake Forest	Tennessee
Music City	Purdue	Auburn
Las Vegas	Wisconsin	Washington St.
Tax Slayer Gator	Miami (Fla.)	Arkansas
Tony The Tiger Sun	North Carolina	Arizona St.
Arizona	Miami (O)	Fresno St.
Citrus	Iowa	Kentucky
Outback	Minnesota	Texas A&M
Texas	Kansas St.	LSU
Peach	Pitt/Wake	Notre Dame
Fiesta	Michigan St.	Oklahoma St.
Rose	Ohio St.	Utah
Sugar	Baylor	Ole Miss
Cotton	Michigan	Georgia
Orange	Alabama	Cincinnati
Championship	Alabama	Georgia

• An extra bowl game was added by the NCAA to ensure all 6-win teams could earn bowl invitations. This extra bowl will be played in the Dallas-Fort Worth area and will include two group of 5 teams.
• Teams in bold have officially accepted the bowl bid.

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	133.8
2	Alabama	132.9
3	Ohio St.	130.4
4	Michigan	127.5
5	Notre Dame	121.9
6	Oklahoma St.	121.5
7	Utah	121.2
8	Oklahoma	120.4
9	Iowa St.	120.1
10	Cincinnati	119.6
11	Texas A&M	118.6
12	Clemson	117.2
13	Wisconsin	116.5
14	Ole Miss	116.2
15	Baylor	116.1
16	U C L A	115.0
17	Penn St.	114.8
18	Arkansas	114.7
19	Auburn	114.1
20	Pittsburgh	113.9
21	Kentucky	113.1
22	NC State	112.7
23	Mississippi St.	112.0
24	Tennessee	111.9
25	L S U	111.5
26	Purdue	111.4
27	Minnesota	111.1
28	Arizona St.	110.3
29	Oregon St.	110.3
30	North Carolina	110.2
31	Miami (Fla.)	110.1
32	BYU	109.8
33	Louisiana	109.7
34	Florida	109.6
35	West Virginia	109.4
36	Wake Forest	109.3
37	Kansas St.	109.3
38	Nebraska	109.3
39	Iowa	109.3
40	Appalachian St.	109.2
41	Washington St.	109.2
42	Oregon	109.0
43	Michigan St.	108.2
44	Texas	107.5
45	Boise St.	106.4
46	Houston	106.0
47	Nevada	105.4
48	Louisville	105.3
49	Florida St.	105.3
50	Coastal Carolina	104.7
51	California	104.6
52	Texas Tech	104.2
53	Fresno St.	104.1
54	Air Force	103.9
55	U S C	103.6
56	Virginia	103.4
57	Washington	103.1
58	Virginia Tech	102.6
59	Army	102.5
60	Central Michigan	102.1
61	T C U	101.8
62	SMU	101.8
63	Illinois	101.6
64	Western Kentucky	101.4
65	South Carolina	100.6
66	Missouri	100.3
67	East Carolina	100.0
68	Maryland	99.9
69	Utah St.	99.5
70	Toledo	99.4
71	Boston College	99.3
72	UCF	98.8
73	Tulsa	98.7
74	Georgia St.	98.7
75	Liberty	98.6
76	Colorado	98.6
77	Miami (Ohio)	98.4
78	San Diego St.	98.4
79	U A B	98.2
80	Syracuse	97.9
81	U T S A	97.7
82	Tulane	95.2
83	Georgia Tech	95.1
84	Memphis	94.6
85	Western Michigan	94.5
86	Stanford	94.3
87	Marshall	94.3
88	Rutgers	93.8
89	Ball St.	93.8
90	Indiana	93.3
91	Hawaii	92.9
92	Wyoming	92.4
93	Arizona	92.3
94	Eastern Michigan	92.1
95	Northwestern	91.9
96	Northern Illinois	91.7
97	Navy	91.5
98	Kent St.	90.4
99	North Texas	90.3
100	Middle Tennessee	90.2
101	South Alabama	89.8
102	Colorado St.	88.9
103	San Jose St.	88.6
104	Buffalo	88.3
105	Troy	88.0
106	USF	87.4
107	Georgia Southern	87.0
108	Florida Atlantic	86.3
109	Ohio	86.1
110	Kansas	85.7
111	Old Dominion	85.7
112	U N L V	85.2
113	U T E P	84.5
114	Vanderbilt	84.0
115	UL-Monroe	83.2
116	Texas St.	83.0
117	Arkansas St.	82.8
118	Duke	80.2
119	Rice	80.0
120	Louisiana Tech	79.7
121	New Mexico	78.0
122	Southern Miss.	77.6
123	Bowling Green	77.1
124	Charlotte	77.0
125	Akron	72.5
126	Temple	72.4
127	New Mexico St.	71.8
128	Connecticut	68.6
129	Florida Int’l.	65.9
130	UMass	64.1

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	119.3	118.9	120.7	119.6
Houston	105.9	105.4	106.6	106.0
SMU	101.7	101.5	102.1	101.8
East Carolina	99.8	99.5	100.8	100.0
UCF	99.0	97.7	99.8	98.8
Tulsa	98.5	98.5	99.1	98.7
Tulane	95.2	94.2	96.1	95.2
Memphis	94.1	94.3	95.3	94.6
Navy	91.3	91.1	92.1	91.5
USF	87.4	86.9	88.0	87.4
Temple	72.3	73.0	71.8	72.4
AAC Averages	96.8	96.5	97.5	96.9
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	116.7	116.8	118.0	117.2
NC State	112.5	112.3	113.2	112.7
Wake Forest	109.3	109.1	109.6	109.3
Louisville	104.9	105.0	105.9	105.3
Florida St.	104.9	105.2	105.7	105.3
Boston College	99.4	99.2	99.3	99.3
Syracuse	98.0	98.0	97.8	97.9
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	113.4	114.3	114.2	113.9
North Carolina	109.7	109.7	111.1	110.2
Miami (Fla.)	110.4	109.8	110.2	110.1
Virginia	103.3	103.8	103.0	103.4
Virginia Tech	103.0	102.5	102.4	102.6
Georgia Tech	95.1	95.1	95.0	95.1
Duke	80.6	80.7	79.3	80.2
ACC Averages	104.4	104.4	104.6	104.5
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma St.	121.8	121.5	121.3	121.5
Oklahoma	121.2	119.6	120.3	120.4
Iowa St.	120.8	119.4	120.1	120.1
Baylor	116.5	115.9	115.8	116.1
West Virginia	110.7	109.1	108.4	109.4
Kansas St.	110.1	109.3	108.5	109.3
Texas	108.5	106.8	107.2	107.5
Texas Tech	104.5	104.5	103.7	104.2
T C U	102.9	101.4	101.2	101.8
Kansas	87.4	85.7	83.9	85.7
Big 12 Averages	110.4	109.3	109.0	109.6
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	130.0	130.0	131.3	130.4
Michigan	126.6	127.5	128.4	127.5
Penn St.	114.0	114.6	115.8	114.8
Michigan St.	108.0	108.1	108.6	108.2
Maryland	100.6	99.7	99.4	99.9
Rutgers	93.2	94.7	93.5	93.8
Indiana	93.3	93.0	93.4	93.3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Wisconsin	116.1	115.9	117.3	116.5
Purdue	110.8	110.8	112.6	111.4
Minnesota	110.3	111.0	112.2	111.1
Nebraska	109.0	109.1	109.8	109.3
Iowa	109.1	108.9	109.9	109.3
Illinois	101.1	101.6	102.2	101.6
Northwestern	92.0	92.0	91.8	91.9
Big Ten Averages	108.2	108.4	109.0	108.5
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Western Kentucky	100.3	101.7	102.2	101.4
Marshall	94.0	94.3	94.7	94.3
Middle Tennessee	89.7	90.2	90.7	90.2
Florida Atlantic	86.0	86.7	86.2	86.3
Old Dominion	84.8	85.9	86.3	85.7
Charlotte	76.6	77.2	77.2	77.0
Florida Int’l.	65.9	65.9	65.8	65.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U A B	98.0	98.4	98.3	98.2
U T S A	97.2	98.0	98.0	97.7
North Texas	89.9	90.5	90.6	90.3
U T E P	84.2	85.2	84.0	84.5
Rice	80.1	80.1	79.8	80.0
Louisiana Tech	80.0	80.2	78.8	79.7
Southern Miss.	77.4	78.0	77.4	77.6
CUSA Averages	86.0	86.6	86.4	86.3
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	121.1	121.9	122.7	121.9
BYU	109.8	109.5	110.0	109.8
Army	102.5	102.5	102.5	102.5
Liberty	98.5	98.6	98.6	98.6
New Mexico St.	72.1	72.7	70.7	71.8
Connecticut	69.0	69.5	67.2	68.6
UMass	65.2	64.6	62.4	64.1
Indep. Averages	91.2	91.3	90.6	91.0
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	99.6	98.3	97.3	98.4
Kent St.	90.4	91.1	89.7	90.4
Buffalo	89.2	88.1	87.5	88.3
Ohio	86.0	86.5	85.9	86.1
Bowling Green	77.6	77.8	75.8	77.1
Akron	73.6	72.6	71.4	72.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Central Michigan	102.9	101.8	101.5	102.1
Toledo	99.8	99.4	98.9	99.4
Western Michigan	94.8	94.8	93.7	94.5
Ball St.	94.8	94.2	92.5	93.8
Eastern Michigan	93.4	92.1	90.8	92.1
Northern Illinois	92.5	91.7	90.9	91.7
MAC Averages	91.2	90.7	89.7	90.5
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	106.1	106.3	106.7	106.4
Air Force	103.5	103.8	104.5	103.9
Utah St.	99.1	99.9	99.6	99.5
Wyoming	92.0	92.4	92.8	92.4
Colorado St.	89.1	88.9	88.8	88.9
New Mexico	78.5	78.3	77.1	78.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Nevada	105.0	106.0	105.3	105.4
Fresno St.	103.2	104.3	104.9	104.1
San Diego St.	98.6	98.4	98.1	98.4
Hawaii	93.0	92.9	92.8	92.9
San Jose St.	88.9	89.0	87.8	88.6
U N L V	85.3	85.0	85.4	85.2
MWC Averages	95.2	95.4	95.3	95.3
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oregon St.	109.9	110.5	110.6	110.3
Washington St.	108.6	109.6	109.4	109.2
Oregon	108.2	109.1	109.7	109.0
California	103.0	105.6	105.3	104.6
Washington	102.7	103.4	103.1	103.1
Stanford	94.2	94.8	94.0	94.3
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	120.9	121.3	121.3	121.2
U C L A	114.5	115.1	115.4	115.0
Arizona St.	109.8	110.5	110.8	110.3
U S C	103.7	103.4	103.6	103.6
Colorado	98.6	98.7	98.4	98.6
Arizona	92.2	92.3	92.3	92.3
Pac-12 Averages	105.5	106.2	106.2	106.0
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	133.4	133.6	134.4	133.8
Kentucky	112.6	113.6	113.1	113.1
Tennessee	111.8	111.7	112.0	111.9
Florida	109.2	110.1	109.4	109.6
South Carolina	101.1	100.7	100.2	100.6
Missouri	100.4	100.7	99.9	100.3
Vanderbilt	84.1	84.0	83.9	84.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	133.0	132.4	133.3	132.9
Texas A&M	118.4	118.8	118.5	118.6
Ole Miss	116.0	116.1	116.3	116.2
Arkansas	114.7	114.7	114.7	114.7
Auburn	114.3	113.7	114.4	114.1
Mississippi St.	111.8	112.1	112.0	112.0
L S U	111.1	111.8	111.7	111.5
SEC Averages	112.3	112.4	112.4	112.4
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Appalachian St.	108.9	108.7	110.1	109.2
Coastal Carolina	105.5	103.8	104.6	104.7
Georgia St.	98.8	98.3	98.9	98.7
Troy	88.1	87.9	88.1	88.0
Georgia Southern	86.9	87.1	87.0	87.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisiana	110.0	109.2	110.0	109.7
South Alabama	90.1	89.8	89.4	89.8
UL-Monroe	83.5	83.4	82.7	83.2
Texas St.	83.8	82.4	82.8	83.0
Arkansas St.	83.1	83.0	82.3	82.8
Sun Averages	93.9	93.4	93.6	93.6

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	112.4
2	Big 12	109.6
3	Big Ten	108.5
4	Pac-12	106.0
5	Atlantic Coast	104.5
6	American Athletic	96.9
7	Mountain West	95.3
8	Sun Belt	93.6
9	Independents	91.0
10	Mid-American	90.5
11	Conference USA	86.3

PiRate Picks–December 3-4, 2021

A November To Remember!

The last three weeks of PiRate Picks have seen an incredible winning streak only seen twice before at this site. In that time, we wagered on 11 different Money Line parlays and single games, all at odds of +150 or more. At 100 imaginary dollars per imaginary wager, we have seen an imaginary return of $2,770.35, for an imaginary profit of $1,670.35. That comes to an imaginary return on investment of 152% !

Last week, we placed a governor on our wagering engine informing you that we had guaranteed ourselves a winning season in imaginary funds, and we had no plans to give the imaginary windfall profits back to the books. We selected two high odds parlays at +201.37 and +150.77. Both of them won for us, although we had to sweat out Alabama’s beating Auburn.

This week being Championship Week, there are few options to choose from with just a tad over a dozen games. We did not have a parlay jump off the sheet. We had to go looking for value and really found very little. If this were for real, we would pocket our profits and withdraw it from the books. But, to not play any parlays would mean you have no reason to read this week’s publication. So, we painstakingly compared odds trying to shop for an extra 5% benefit, and we came up with two parlays that have the odds we want.

If this is your first visit to this site or this weekly feature, here is an important disclaimer: We never play these selections for real. It is strictly an exercise in mathematical fun. We strongly urge you not to play these picks, unless they simply verify the selections you have already considered. We know that about 25-30 of you reading this feature would be considered professional handicappers/players in Nevada and offshore. We don’t worry about your profit/loss from wagering, because that’s your profession and you look at dozens of references. But, if you are reading this and have a legal account with one of the big handicapping corporations, you most likely won’t be able to play these selections at the odds we issue, because we shop around until we find the best odds. In order to replicate our odds, you would have to open accounts with six different books that we have found the best odds this year. Next year, it could be different books entirely.

Here are our two parlays for this week.

December 3-4

Odds:	+185.49
Must Win	Opponent
Kent St.	Northern Illinois
Pittsburgh	Wake Forest
Odds:	+205.60
Must Win	Opponent
Oklahoma St.	Baylor
San Diego St.	Utah St.
Georgia	Alabama

PiRate Ratings College Football–Championship Week

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

Champ 1	Champ 2	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Dec. 3 C-USA Championship Game–7 PM EST on CBSSN
UTSA	Western Kentucky	-1.5	-2.5	-3.5
Dec. 3 Pac-12 Championship Game–8 PM EST on ABC–Las Vegas
Utah	Oregon	8.1	7.3	6.6
Dec. 4 Big 12 Championship Game–12 PM EST on ABC–Arlington, TX
Oklahoma St.	Baylor	8.2	8.6	8.7
Dec. 4 MAC Championship Game–12 PM EST on ESPN–Detroit
Northern Illinois	Kent St.	-3.4	-5.7	-5.0
Dec. 4 Mountain West Championship Game–3 PM EST on FOX
San Diego St.	Utah St.	10.9	9.8	10.3
Dec. 4 Sun Belt Championship Game–3:30 PM EST on ESPN
Louisiana	Appalachian St.	3.4	2.5	1.9
Dec. 4 SEC Championship Game–4 PM EST on CBS–Atlanta
Georgia	Alabama	7.0	8.2	8.3
Dec. 4 AAC Championship Game–4 PM EST on ABC
Cincinnati	Houston	16.4	16.5	17.1
Dec. 4 Big Ten Championship Game–8 PM EST on FOX–Indianapolis
Michigan	Iowa	9.9	11.1	10.6
Dec. 4 ACC Championship Game–8 PM EST on ABC–Charlotte
Pittsburgh	Wake Forest	-1.9	-0.8	-1.8
Regular Season Game
Home	Visitor
California	USC	-0.4	2.8	1.8

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	136.7
2	Ohio St.	130.4
3	Alabama	129.9
4	Michigan	123.6
5	Oklahoma St.	123.0
6	Notre Dame	121.9
7	Oklahoma	120.4
8	Iowa St.	120.1
9	Cincinnati	119.6
10	Utah	118.7
11	Texas A&M	118.6
12	Clemson	117.2
13	Wisconsin	116.5
14	Ole Miss	116.2
15	U C L A	115.0
16	Penn St.	114.8
17	Arkansas	114.7
18	Baylor	114.6
19	Auburn	114.1
20	Iowa	113.2
21	Kentucky	113.1
22	NC State	112.7
23	Wake Forest	112.4
24	Mississippi St.	112.0
25	Tennessee	111.9
26	L S U	111.5
27	Purdue	111.4
28	Oregon	111.4
29	Minnesota	111.1
30	Pittsburgh	110.9
31	Arizona St.	110.3
32	Oregon St.	110.3
33	North Carolina	110.2
34	Miami (Fla.)	110.1
35	BYU	109.8
36	Appalachian St.	109.7
37	Florida	109.6
38	West Virginia	109.4
39	Kansas St.	109.3
40	Nebraska	109.3
41	Louisiana	109.3
42	Washington St.	109.2
43	Michigan St.	108.2
44	Texas	107.5
45	Boise St.	106.4
46	Houston	106.0
47	Nevada	105.4
48	Louisville	105.3
49	Florida St.	105.3
50	U S C	104.9
51	Coastal Carolina	104.7
52	Texas Tech	104.2
53	Fresno St.	104.1
54	Air Force	103.9
55	Virginia	103.4
56	California	103.3
57	San Diego St.	103.1
58	Washington	103.1
59	Virginia Tech	102.6
60	Army	102.5
61	Western Kentucky	102.3
62	Central Michigan	102.1
63	T C U	101.8
64	SMU	101.8
65	Illinois	101.6
66	South Carolina	100.6
67	Missouri	100.3
68	East Carolina	100.0
69	Maryland	99.9
70	Toledo	99.4
71	Boston College	99.3
72	UCF	98.8
73	Tulsa	98.7
74	Georgia St.	98.7
75	Liberty	98.6
76	Colorado	98.6
77	Miami (Ohio)	98.4
78	U A B	98.2
79	Syracuse	97.9
80	U T S A	96.8
81	Tulane	95.2
82	Georgia Tech	95.1
83	Utah St.	94.8
84	Memphis	94.6
85	Western Michigan	94.5
86	Stanford	94.3
87	Marshall	94.3
88	Rutgers	93.8
89	Ball St.	93.8
90	Kent St.	93.4
91	Indiana	93.3
92	Hawaii	92.9
93	Wyoming	92.4
94	Arizona	92.3
95	Eastern Michigan	92.1
96	Northwestern	91.9
97	Navy	91.5
98	North Texas	90.3
99	Middle Tennessee	90.2
100	South Alabama	89.8
101	Colorado St.	88.9
102	Northern Illinois	88.7
103	San Jose St.	88.6
104	Buffalo	88.3
105	Troy	88.0
106	USF	87.4
107	Georgia Southern	87.0
108	Florida Atlantic	86.3
109	Ohio	86.1
110	Kansas	85.7
111	Old Dominion	85.7
112	U N L V	85.2
113	U T E P	84.5
114	Vanderbilt	84.0
115	UL-Monroe	83.2
116	Texas St.	83.0
117	Arkansas St.	82.8
118	Duke	80.2
119	Rice	80.0
120	Louisiana Tech	79.7
121	New Mexico	78.0
122	Southern Miss.	77.6
123	Bowling Green	77.1
124	Charlotte	77.0
125	Akron	72.5
126	Temple	72.4
127	New Mexico St.	71.8
128	Connecticut	68.6
129	Florida Int’l.	65.9
130	UMass	64.1

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	119.3	118.9	120.7	119.6
Houston	105.9	105.4	106.6	106.0
SMU	101.7	101.5	102.1	101.8
East Carolina	99.8	99.5	100.8	100.0
UCF	99.0	97.7	99.8	98.8
Tulsa	98.5	98.5	99.1	98.7
Tulane	95.2	94.2	96.1	95.2
Memphis	94.1	94.3	95.3	94.6
Navy	91.3	91.1	92.1	91.5
USF	87.4	86.9	88.0	87.4
Temple	72.3	73.0	71.8	72.4
AAC Averages	96.8	96.5	97.5	96.9
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	116.7	116.8	118.0	117.2
NC State	112.5	112.3	113.2	112.7
Wake Forest	112.3	112.1	112.8	112.4
Louisville	104.9	105.0	105.9	105.3
Florida St.	104.9	105.2	105.7	105.3
Boston College	99.4	99.2	99.3	99.3
Syracuse	98.0	98.0	97.8	97.9
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	110.4	111.3	111.0	110.9
North Carolina	109.7	109.7	111.1	110.2
Miami (Fla.)	110.4	109.8	110.2	110.1
Virginia	103.3	103.8	103.0	103.4
Virginia Tech	103.0	102.5	102.4	102.6
Georgia Tech	95.1	95.1	95.0	95.1
Duke	80.6	80.7	79.3	80.2
ACC Averages	104.4	104.4	104.6	104.5
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma St.	123.2	123.0	122.9	123.0
Oklahoma	121.2	119.6	120.3	120.4
Iowa St.	120.8	119.4	120.1	120.1
Baylor	115.1	114.4	114.2	114.6
West Virginia	110.7	109.1	108.4	109.4
Kansas St.	110.1	109.3	108.5	109.3
Texas	108.5	106.8	107.2	107.5
Texas Tech	104.5	104.5	103.7	104.2
T C U	102.9	101.4	101.2	101.8
Kansas	87.4	85.7	83.9	85.7
Big 12 Averages	110.4	109.3	109.0	109.6
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	130.0	130.0	131.3	130.4
Michigan	122.8	123.7	124.4	123.6
Penn St.	114.0	114.6	115.8	114.8
Michigan St.	108.0	108.1	108.6	108.2
Maryland	100.6	99.7	99.4	99.9
Rutgers	93.2	94.7	93.5	93.8
Indiana	93.3	93.0	93.4	93.3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Wisconsin	116.1	115.9	117.3	116.5
Iowa	112.9	112.7	113.9	113.2
Purdue	110.8	110.8	112.6	111.4
Minnesota	110.3	111.0	112.2	111.1
Nebraska	109.0	109.1	109.8	109.3
Illinois	101.1	101.6	102.2	101.6
Northwestern	92.0	92.0	91.8	91.9
Big Ten Averages	108.2	108.4	109.0	108.5
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Western Kentucky	101.0	102.6	103.3	102.3
Marshall	94.0	94.3	94.7	94.3
Middle Tennessee	89.7	90.2	90.7	90.2
Florida Atlantic	86.0	86.7	86.2	86.3
Old Dominion	84.8	85.9	86.3	85.7
Charlotte	76.6	77.2	77.2	77.0
Florida Int’l.	65.9	65.9	65.8	65.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U A B	98.0	98.4	98.3	98.2
U T S A	96.5	97.1	96.9	96.8
North Texas	89.9	90.5	90.6	90.3
U T E P	84.2	85.2	84.0	84.5
Rice	80.1	80.1	79.8	80.0
Louisiana Tech	80.0	80.2	78.8	79.7
Southern Miss.	77.4	78.0	77.4	77.6
CUSA Averages	86.0	86.6	86.4	86.3
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	121.1	121.9	122.7	121.9
BYU	109.8	109.5	110.0	109.8
Army	102.5	102.5	102.5	102.5
Liberty	98.5	98.6	98.6	98.6
New Mexico St.	72.1	72.7	70.7	71.8
Connecticut	69.0	69.5	67.2	68.6
UMass	65.2	64.6	62.4	64.1
Indep. Averages	91.2	91.3	90.6	91.0
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	99.6	98.3	97.3	98.4
Kent St.	93.2	94.2	92.8	93.4
Buffalo	89.2	88.1	87.5	88.3
Ohio	86.0	86.5	85.9	86.1
Bowling Green	77.6	77.8	75.8	77.1
Akron	73.6	72.6	71.4	72.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Central Michigan	102.9	101.8	101.5	102.1
Toledo	99.8	99.4	98.9	99.4
Western Michigan	94.8	94.8	93.7	94.5
Ball St.	94.8	94.2	92.5	93.8
Eastern Michigan	93.4	92.1	90.8	92.1
Northern Illinois	89.7	88.6	87.8	88.7
MAC Averages	91.2	90.7	89.7	90.5
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	106.1	106.3	106.7	106.4
Air Force	103.5	103.8	104.5	103.9
Utah St.	94.4	95.2	94.7	94.8
Wyoming	92.0	92.4	92.8	92.4
Colorado St.	89.1	88.9	88.8	88.9
New Mexico	78.5	78.3	77.1	78.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Nevada	105.0	106.0	105.3	105.4
Fresno St.	103.2	104.3	104.9	104.1
San Diego St.	103.3	103.1	103.0	103.1
Hawaii	93.0	92.9	92.8	92.9
San Jose St.	88.9	89.0	87.8	88.6
U N L V	85.3	85.0	85.4	85.2
MWC Averages	95.2	95.4	95.3	95.3
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oregon	110.5	111.6	112.2	111.4
Oregon St.	109.9	110.5	110.6	110.3
Washington St.	108.6	109.6	109.4	109.2
California	101.7	104.4	103.9	103.3
Washington	102.7	103.4	103.1	103.1
Stanford	94.2	94.8	94.0	94.3
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	118.6	118.8	118.8	118.7
U C L A	114.5	115.1	115.4	115.0
Arizona St.	109.8	110.5	110.8	110.3
U S C	105.0	104.6	105.0	104.9
Colorado	98.6	98.7	98.4	98.6
Arizona	92.2	92.3	92.3	92.3
Pac-12 Averages	105.5	106.2	106.2	106.0
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	136.2	136.6	137.5	136.7
Kentucky	112.6	113.6	113.1	113.1
Tennessee	111.8	111.7	112.0	111.9
Florida	109.2	110.1	109.4	109.6
South Carolina	101.1	100.7	100.2	100.6
Missouri	100.4	100.7	99.9	100.3
Vanderbilt	84.1	84.0	83.9	84.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	130.2	129.4	130.2	129.9
Texas A&M	118.4	118.8	118.5	118.6
Ole Miss	116.0	116.1	116.3	116.2
Arkansas	114.7	114.7	114.7	114.7
Auburn	114.3	113.7	114.4	114.1
Mississippi St.	111.8	112.1	112.0	112.0
L S U	111.1	111.8	111.7	111.5
SEC Averages	112.3	112.4	112.4	112.4
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Appalachian St.	109.2	109.2	110.6	109.7
Coastal Carolina	105.5	103.8	104.6	104.7
Georgia St.	98.8	98.3	98.9	98.7
Troy	88.1	87.9	88.1	88.0
Georgia Southern	86.9	87.1	87.0	87.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisiana	109.7	108.7	109.5	109.3
South Alabama	90.1	89.8	89.4	89.8
UL-Monroe	83.5	83.4	82.7	83.2
Texas St.	83.8	82.4	82.8	83.0
Arkansas St.	83.1	83.0	82.3	82.8
Sun Averages	93.9	93.4	93.6	93.6

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	112.4
2	Big 12	109.6
3	Big Ten	108.5
4	Pac-12	106.0
5	Atlantic Coast	104.5
6	American Athletic	96.9
7	Mountain West	95.3
8	Sun Belt	93.6
9	Independents	91.0
10	Mid-American	90.5
11	Conference USA	86.3

Playoff and Bowl Projections

Note: 83 teams gained bowl eligibility. There are spots for 82 teams. One team will be left out. As of today, we project Wyoming to be that team.

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	Western Kentucky	Central Michigan
Cure	Memphis	Georgia St.
Boca	Liberty	Miami (O)
New Mexico	UTEP	Utah St.
Independence	BYU	UTSA
Lending Tree	Kent St.	Old Dominion
L. A.	Fresno St.	Arizona St.
New Orleans	UAB	Louisiana
Myrtle Beach	SMU	Coastal Carolina
Famous Idaho Potato	Eastern Michigan	Boise St.
Frisco	Nevada	Ball St.
Armed Forces	Army	Marshall
Gasparilla	Virginia	Florida
Hawaii	Houston	San Diego St.
Camellia	Northern Illinois	Appalachian St/
Quick Lane	Toledo	Missouri
Military	Louisville	South Carolina
Birmingham	Central Florida	Auburn
First Responder	Tulsa	North Texas
Liberty	Kansas St.	Mississippi St.
Holiday	Virginia Tech	UCLA
Guaranteed Rate	Maryland	Middle Tennessee
Fenway	East Carolina	Boston College
Pinstripe	North Carolina	Penn St.
Cheez-It	Wake Forest	West Virginia
Alamo	Iowa St.	Oregon St.
Duke’s Mayo	North Carolina St.	Texas A&M
Music City	Purdue	Tennessee
Las Vegas	Wisconsin	Oregon
Tax Slayer Gator	Clemson	Arkansas
Tony The Tiger Sun	Miami (Fla.)	Washington St.
Arizona	Western Michigan	Air Force
Citrus	Michigan St.	Ole Miss
Outback	Minnesota	Kentucky
Texas	Texas Tech	LSU
Peach	Pittsburgh	Ohio St.
Fiesta	Oklahoma	Notre Dame
Rose	Iowa	Utah
Sugar	Alabama	Baylor
Cotton	Michigan	Oklahoma St.
Orange	Georgia	Cincinnati
Championship	Georgia	Michigan

PiRate Ratings College Football–November 16-20, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Eastern Michigan	Western Michigan	4.5	3.4	3.6
Ohio U	Toledo	-7.9	-6.7	-6.2
Miami (O)	Bowling Green	26.3	24.6	25.8
Ball St.	Central Michigan	0.3	0.9	-0.7
Buffalo	Northern Illinois	1.6	1.8	2.0
Duke	Louisville	-19.5	-19.2	-22.0
Louisiana Tech	Southern Miss.	12.2	12.0	11.4
Houston	Memphis	14.6	13.5	14.0
Washington St.	Arizona	13.4	14.2	13.5
Nevada	Air Force	3.8	4.5	3.1
UNLV	San Diego St.	-12.4	-12.6	-12.0
Pittsburgh	Virginia	8.9	8.7	9.4
Cincinnati	SMU	15.5	14.7	15.7
Army	Massachusetts	39.0	39.5	41.5
Central Florida	Connecticut	34.0	32.4	37.6
Miami (Fla.)	Virginia Tech	9.1	9.0	9.6
North Carolina St.	Syracuse	16.2	15.8	16.4
Akron	Kent St.	-9.9	-12.2	-11.4
Ohio St.	Michigan St.	22.6	22.5	23.7
Coastal Carolina	Texas St.	28.7	28.8	29.9
Maryland	Michigan	-11.0	-13.2	-14.0
Missouri	Florida	-7.0	-8.0	-8.3
West Virginia	Texas	3.6	3.7	2.8
Tennessee	South Alabama	21.4	21.5	22.6
Boston College	Florida St.	1.4	1.3	1.1
Liberty	Louisiana	-2.4	-0.6	-1.3
Northwestern (Wrig)	Purdue	-11.3	-11.0	-13.0
Indiana	Minnesota	-6.6	-7.7	-8.3
Penn St.	Rutgers	20.0	18.6	21.4
Clemson	Wake Forest	4.5	4.7	5.0
Wisconsin	Nebraska	11.8	11.4	12.6
Western Kentucky	Florida Atlantic	7.8	8.4	9.7
Iowa	Illinois	18.0	17.2	17.9
Boise St.	New Mexico	28.1	28.4	30.4
Utah	Oregon	6.9	5.8	4.8
Colorado	Washington	-5.4	-6.8	-7.0
Notre Dame	Georgia Tech	20.2	21.1	22.0
Stanford	California	0.6	-2.0	-2.2
Oregon St.	Arizona St.	1.0	0.7	0.3
USC	UCLA	-0.3	-0.8	-0.4
Navy	East Carolina	-7.2	-7.2	-7.9
South Carolina	Auburn	-10.9	-10.7	-12.1
Tulsa	Temple	23.7	22.9	24.0
Troy	Appalachian St.	-11.0	-10.8	-12.1
Ole Miss	Vanderbilt	39.1	39.4	40.0
Middle Tennessee	Old Dominion	11.3	10.6	11.3
Alabama	Arkansas	21.1	20.5	22.1
LSU	Louisiana-Monroe	33.2	34.1	35.2
Tulane	South Florida	6.5	5.8	6.8
Oklahoma	Iowa St.	4.7	4.5	4.4
TCU	Kansas	24.8	25.6	28.2
Kentucky	New Mexico St.	41.3	41.7	43.0
Charlotte	Marshall	-15.9	-15.2	-15.6
UTSA	UAB	6.0	6.4	6.1
Texas Tech	Oklahoma St.	-14.4	-14.1	-14.8
Kansas St.	Baylor	-0.7	-0.6	-1.0
Georgia St.	Arkansas St.	17.4	16.6	18.2
UTEP	Rice	6.4	7.5	5.9
Georgia Southern	BYU	-20.1	-19.6	-20.6
Florida Int’l.	North Texas	-10.2	-10.4	-10.2
Utah St.	Wyoming	7.5	7.9	6.8
Hawaii	Colorado St.	0.8	0.4	-0.1

The Northwestern and Purdue game will be played at Wrigley Field.

FBS vs. FCS Games

FBS	FCS	PiRate
Georgia	Charleston Southern	48.4
Texas A&M	Prairie View	36.4
Mississippi St.	Tennessee St.	36.4
North Carolina	Wofford	33.2

Teams Not Playing This Week

Fresno St.

San Jose St.

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	136.0
2	Alabama	131.6
3	Ohio St.	130.3
4	Oklahoma St.	121.2
5	Oklahoma	120.2
6	Texas A&M	119.6
7	Iowa St.	118.6
8	Wisconsin	118.5
9	Ole Miss	117.5
10	Notre Dame	117.3
11	Cincinnati	117.2
12	Utah	117.0
13	Michigan	116.3
14	Auburn	115.0
15	Penn St.	115.0
16	Baylor	114.7
17	Oregon	114.2
18	Clemson	113.5
19	Arkansas	113.3
20	Iowa	113.0
21	Mississippi St.	112.5
22	NC State	112.2
23	Wake Forest	111.8
24	Arizona St.	111.6
25	L S U	111.5
26	Kansas St.	110.9
27	Florida	110.4
28	Michigan St.	110.4
29	North Carolina	110.4
30	U C L A	110.1
31	Pittsburgh	110.0
32	Kentucky	110.0
33	Tennessee	109.8
34	BYU	109.7
35	Nebraska	109.5
36	West Virginia	109.3
37	Oregon St.	109.2
38	Texas	108.9
39	Purdue	108.8
40	Miami (Fla.)	108.5
41	U S C	108.1
42	Louisiana	108.0
43	Minnesota	107.9
44	Coastal Carolina	107.7
45	Louisville	106.8
46	Washington	106.7
47	Boise St.	106.6
48	Appalachian St.	106.6
49	Houston	105.7
50	T C U	105.7
51	SMU	104.9
52	Florida St.	104.7
53	Washington St.	104.6
54	Virginia	104.0
55	Texas Tech	103.8
56	Liberty	103.6
57	Boston College	102.9
58	Nevada	102.5
59	Virginia Tech	102.3
60	California	101.8
61	Air Force	101.7
62	San Diego St.	101.5
63	Army	101.4
64	U T S A	101.1
65	Fresno St.	101.1
66	South Carolina	100.8
67	East Carolina	100.6
68	Maryland	100.5
69	UCF	99.8
70	Missouri	99.7
71	Georgia Tech	99.3
72	Syracuse	99.1
73	Stanford	99.1
74	Miami (Ohio)	98.5
75	Toledo	98.5
76	Illinois	98.3
77	U A B	97.9
78	Indiana	97.9
79	Georgia St.	97.6
80	Central Michigan	97.5
81	Colorado	97.3
82	Rutgers	97.0
83	Marshall	96.8
84	Utah St.	96.7
85	Tulsa	96.0
86	Western Kentucky	96.0
87	Northwestern	95.6
88	Ball St.	95.2
89	Memphis	94.7
90	Arizona	93.9
91	Eastern Michigan	93.6
92	Tulane	93.2
93	Troy	92.7
94	Colorado St.	92.7
95	Wyoming	92.3
96	Western Michigan	91.8
97	South Alabama	91.0
98	San Jose St.	90.7
99	Middle Tennessee	90.5
100	Northern Illinois	90.4
101	Florida Atlantic	90.3
102	Navy	90.2
103	Kent St.	90.0
104	Buffalo	89.7
105	Ohio	89.5
106	USF	89.3
107	Hawaii	89.0
108	Georgia Southern	86.6
109	U N L V	86.6
110	U T E P	84.3
111	Duke	84.1
112	Louisiana Tech	83.5
113	North Texas	83.1
114	Arkansas St.	82.7
115	Kansas	82.5
116	Old Dominion	81.9
117	Texas St.	81.5
118	Vanderbilt	81.0
119	New Mexico	80.6
120	Rice	80.2
121	UL-Monroe	79.3
122	Charlotte	78.7
123	Akron	76.8
124	Temple	75.5
125	Bowling Green	74.9
126	Southern Miss.	74.2
127	New Mexico St.	71.0
128	Florida Int’l.	70.4
129	Connecticut	68.1
130	UMass	64.4

Note: The PiRate Ratings are predictive (forward thinking) and not rankings based on what teams have done to date.

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	117.1	116.4	118.1	117.2
Houston	105.7	105.0	106.4	105.7
SMU	104.6	104.7	105.4	104.9
East Carolina	100.3	100.1	101.5	100.6
UCF	99.8	98.6	101.1	99.8
Tulsa	96.0	95.9	96.2	96.0
Memphis	94.1	94.5	95.4	94.7
Tulane	93.3	92.1	94.1	93.2
Navy	90.1	89.9	90.7	90.2
USF	89.3	88.9	89.8	89.3
Temple	75.3	76.0	75.2	75.5
AAC Averages	96.9	96.6	97.6	97.0
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	113.2	113.1	114.2	113.5
NC State	112.1	111.9	112.6	112.2
Wake Forest	111.7	111.4	112.2	111.8
Louisville	106.4	106.4	107.7	106.8
Florida St.	104.4	104.6	105.0	104.7
Boston College	102.8	102.9	103.1	102.9
Syracuse	99.0	99.1	99.2	99.1
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
North Carolina	109.9	109.9	111.3	110.4
Pittsburgh	109.7	110.4	110.1	110.0
Miami (Fla.)	108.9	108.1	108.6	108.5
Virginia	103.8	104.6	103.7	104.0
Virginia Tech	102.8	102.1	102.0	102.3
Georgia Tech	99.3	99.3	99.2	99.3
Duke	84.4	84.8	83.2	84.1
ACC Averages	104.9	104.9	105.2	105.0
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma St.	121.5	121.2	121.0	121.2
Oklahoma	121.1	119.4	120.0	120.2
Iowa St.	119.3	117.9	118.6	118.6
Baylor	115.2	114.5	114.4	114.7
Kansas St.	111.4	110.9	110.4	110.9
West Virginia	110.6	109.0	108.3	109.3
Texas	110.0	108.2	108.6	108.9
T C U	106.4	105.2	105.4	105.7
Texas Tech	104.1	104.1	103.2	103.8
Kansas	84.6	82.6	80.3	82.5
Big 12 Averages	110.4	109.3	109.0	109.6
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	129.8	129.8	131.3	130.3
Michigan	115.5	116.4	116.9	116.3
Penn St.	114.1	114.6	116.1	115.0
Michigan St.	110.2	110.3	110.6	110.4
Maryland	101.4	100.2	99.9	100.5
Indiana	97.9	97.6	98.0	97.9
Rutgers	96.1	98.0	96.7	97.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Wisconsin	117.9	117.8	119.6	118.5
Iowa	112.9	112.5	113.7	113.0
Nebraska	109.2	109.4	110.0	109.5
Purdue	108.3	108.2	110.0	108.8
Minnesota	107.1	107.8	108.8	107.9
Illinois	97.9	98.3	98.8	98.3
Northwestern	95.5	95.7	95.5	95.6
Big Ten Averages	108.1	108.4	109.0	108.5
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Marshall	96.5	96.7	97.2	96.8
Western Kentucky	94.7	96.3	96.9	96.0
Middle Tennessee	90.0	90.3	91.1	90.5
Florida Atlantic	89.9	90.8	90.2	90.3
Old Dominion	81.2	82.2	82.3	81.9
Charlotte	78.1	78.9	79.0	78.7
Florida Int’l.	70.2	70.4	70.5	70.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U T S A	100.7	101.4	101.3	101.1
U A B	97.7	98.0	98.1	97.9
U T E P	84.1	85.2	83.5	84.3
Louisiana Tech	83.8	84.1	82.7	83.5
North Texas	82.9	83.3	83.2	83.1
Rice	80.2	80.2	80.2	80.2
Southern Miss.	74.1	74.5	73.8	74.2
CUSA Averages	86.0	86.6	86.4	86.3
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	116.5	117.3	118.2	117.3
BYU	109.8	109.4	110.0	109.7
Liberty	103.2	103.7	103.9	103.6
Army	101.5	101.4	101.2	101.4
New Mexico St.	71.3	71.9	69.8	71.0
Connecticut	68.7	69.2	66.5	68.1
UMass	65.5	64.9	62.8	64.4
Indep. Averages	90.9	91.1	90.3	90.8
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	99.8	98.3	97.4	98.5
Kent St.	89.8	91.0	89.3	90.0
Buffalo	90.5	89.5	89.1	89.7
Ohio	89.1	89.9	89.6	89.5
Akron	77.9	76.8	75.9	76.8
Bowling Green	75.5	75.7	73.5	74.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	99.1	98.5	97.8	98.5
Central Michigan	98.5	97.2	96.9	97.5
Ball St.	96.2	95.6	93.7	95.2
Eastern Michigan	94.8	93.6	92.4	93.6
Western Michigan	92.2	92.2	90.8	91.8
Northern Illinois	91.3	90.2	89.6	90.4
MAC Averages	91.2	90.7	89.7	90.5
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	106.2	106.4	107.1	106.6
Air Force	101.3	101.6	102.2	101.7
Utah St.	96.3	97.2	96.7	96.7
Colorado St.	92.7	92.6	92.7	92.7
Wyoming	91.8	92.3	92.9	92.3
New Mexico	81.1	81.0	79.7	80.6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Nevada	102.1	103.1	102.3	102.5
San Diego St.	101.7	101.5	101.3	101.5
Fresno St.	100.2	101.2	101.9	101.1
San Jose St.	91.0	91.2	89.9	90.7
Hawaii	89.4	89.0	88.6	89.0
U N L V	86.8	86.4	86.8	86.6
MWC Averages	95.0	95.3	95.2	95.2
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oregon	113.1	114.4	115.2	114.2
Oregon St.	108.9	109.4	109.4	109.2
Washington	106.1	107.1	107.0	106.7
Washington St.	104.2	105.1	104.6	104.6
California	100.0	103.0	102.4	101.8
Stanford	99.0	99.5	98.7	99.1
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	117.0	117.1	117.0	117.0
Arizona St.	111.0	111.7	112.1	111.6
U C L A	109.8	110.1	110.3	110.1
U S C	108.0	107.8	108.4	108.1
Colorado	97.6	97.4	96.9	97.3
Arizona	93.7	93.9	94.1	93.9
Pac-12 Averages	105.7	106.4	106.3	106.1
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	135.5	135.9	136.8	136.0
Florida	109.9	111.0	110.4	110.4
Kentucky	109.6	110.6	109.8	110.0
Tennessee	109.7	109.6	110.1	109.8
South Carolina	101.3	100.9	100.2	100.8
Missouri	99.9	100.0	99.1	99.7
Vanderbilt	81.3	81.0	80.6	81.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	131.6	130.9	132.2	131.6
Texas A&M	119.3	119.8	119.6	119.6
Ole Miss	117.4	117.4	117.6	117.5
Auburn	115.2	114.6	115.3	115.0
Arkansas	113.4	113.4	113.1	113.3
Mississippi St.	112.2	112.7	112.7	112.5
L S U	111.0	111.7	111.7	111.5
SEC Averages	112.0	112.1	112.1	112.1
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Coastal Carolina	108.3	106.7	107.9	107.7
Appalachian St.	106.1	106.0	107.6	106.6
Georgia St.	97.8	97.1	97.8	97.6
Troy	92.6	92.7	93.0	92.7
Georgia Southern	86.7	86.9	86.4	86.6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisiana	108.6	107.3	108.3	108.0
South Alabama	91.3	91.1	90.5	91.0
Arkansas St.	82.9	83.0	82.1	82.7
Texas St.	82.6	80.9	81.1	81.5
UL-Monroe	79.8	79.6	78.5	79.3
Sun Averages	93.7	93.1	93.3	93.4

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	112.1
2	Big 12	109.6
3	Big Ten	108.5
4	Pac-12	106.1
5	Atlantic Coast	105.0
6	American Athletic	97.0
7	Mountain West	95.2
8	Sun Belt	93.4
9	Independents	90.8
10	Mid-American	90.5
11	Conference USA	86.3

Playoff and Bowl Projections

Note: This is the first week where we do not project 82 teams to have six or more wins. This week, we project two 5-7 teams to receive bowl bids, both from the Pac-12–Washington and California.

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	UAB	Northern Illinois
Cure	Liberty	Appalachian St.
Boca	Middle Tennessee	Miami (O)
New Mexico	UTEP	Utah St.
Independence	BYU	Western Kentucky
Lending Tree	Central Michigan	San Jose St.
L. A.	San Diego St.	USC
New Orleans	Florida Atlantic	Louisiana
Myrtle Beach	West Virginia	Coastal Carolina
Famous Idaho Potato	Kent St.	Boise St.
Frisco	Houston	UTSA
Armed Forces	Army	Marshall
Gasparilla	California	Florida
Hawaii	East Carolina	Nevada
Camellia	Toledo	Georgia St.
Quick Lane	Eastern Michigan	Wyoming
Military	Virginia	SMU
Birmingham	Memphis	Ball St.
First Responder	Washington	Fresno St.
Liberty	Iowa St.	Missouri
Holiday	North Carolina	UCLA
Guaranteed Rate	Rutgers	Texas Tech
Fenway	Boston College	Central Florida
Pinstripe	North Carolina St.	Minnesota
Cheez-It	Baylor	Wake Forest
Alamo	Oklahoma	Arizona St.
Duke’s Mayo	Miami (Fla.)	Auburn
Music City	Penn St.	Tennessee
Las Vegas	Purdue	Washington St.
Tax Slayer Gator	Clemson	Mississippi St.
Tony The Tiger Sun	Louisville	Oregon St.
Arizona	Western Michigan	Air Force
Citrus	Iowa	Texas A&M
Outback	Wisconsin	Kentucky
Texas	Kansas St.	Arkansas
Peach	Cincinnati	Michigan St.
Fiesta	Notre Dame	Pittsburgh
Rose	Michigan	Utah
Sugar	Ole Miss	Oklahoma St.
Cotton	Oregon	Ohio St.
Orange	Georgia	Alabama
Championship	Georgia	Ohio St.

Where Cincinnati Rates Historically Among Other Unbeatens

With Cincinnati sitting at 10-0 and just on the outside, looking in on a potential College Football Playoff invitation, where do the Bearcats fit in the historical picture of Division 1 teams that won all their games but were not members of a major conference or top independent?

This may be putting the cart before the horse, because CU must win three more games against three better than average teams to get to 13-0 and have a chance to be in the Final Four.  A home game this week against SMU could be tricky.  A regular season finale at East Carolina is going to be somewhat trickier, as the Pirates have been sneaky good for two months.  But, even if Cinti wins those two games, they will have to beat a Houston team that has looked better than the Bearcats in the last month.

Here is a look at all the Division 1 teams with perfect records between 1960 and 2000.  I chose these years as a basis for comparing the Bearcats because the sample size was extremely large.

1960–New Mexico State and Yale

Both teams finished in the national top 20, but neither team was at the level of 2021 Cincinnati.  While the Ivy League was still Division 1 up until the late 1970’s, by 1960, it was about on par with Conference USA today and maybe not that strong.  Yale beat U Conn and Colgate out of conference.  NMSU was much better and deserving of their 11-0 season that included a win in the Sun Bowl.  With future NFL QB Charley Johnson running the offense, the Aggies were as good as UTSA and Louisiana today, but not Cincinnati.

1961–Rutgers

This is one of the weakest undefeated D1 teams in modern times.  Rutgers went 9-0 with five wins over small college opponents and four wins over Ivy League opponents.  

1962–Dartmouth

Coach Bob Blackman was a defensive wizard, and he built Dartmouth into a small power.  This was his first of three 9-0 teams.  Dartmouth gave up just 9 points in their first seven games, but this team was never ranked and not on Cincinnati’s level.  That would change.

1964–Princeton

The 9-0 Tigers were one of the last teams to run a single wing offense, and Princeton won a lot of close games to win the Ivy.  PU was never ranked, and this Tiger team was little better than the 1961 Rutgers team.

1965–Dartmouth

This Dartmouth team was somewhat better than the 1962 team with a more consistent running game that controlled the clock.  Eight of nine wins were never in doubt, but the DC was not on Cincinnati’s level this season.  We’re not through with this team though.

1969–San Diego State, Toledo

The Aztecs became classified as a major college team after years of being a dynasty small college team.  Coach Don Coryell was in the middle of sending quarterbacks to the NFL, and in Dennis Shaw, he may have had the best passer in the nation, as SDSU went 11-0, while averaging 45 points per game.  This team did not earn a ranking in the polls, and their schedule was not worthy of that honor.  Not only was this team not on par with 2021 Cincinnati, the 2021 SDSU team would have beaten the 1969 team.

Toledo began a three-year string from 1969 to 1971 where the Rockets won every game.  This was not their best in the three-year run, but they did briefly crack the AP Poll.

1970–Arizona State, Toledo, Dartmouth

Now, we have some interesting undefeated teams.  Arizona State finished #6 in the final polls with an 11-0 record that included wins over Kansas State, Washington State, Utah, and North Carolina in the Peach Bowl.  The Sun Devils might have been a tad better than this Cincinnati team.  ASU was loaded with future NFL players.

Toledo’s 1970 team finished #12 in the final poll, but this Rockets team was considerably underrated in 1970.  Toledo should have been a Top 10 team that year.  Their schedule lacked a power team, which is why they finished #12, but they outgained opponents by close to 200 yards a game when 300 yards was considered an offensive outburst.  They won the Tangerine Bowl by four touchdowns.  I believe this Toledo team was about as good as this year’s Cincinnati.

Now, for Dartmouth.  This was Bob Blackman’s and the Ivy League’s best team post World War II.  Dartmouth became the last Ivy League team to finish ranked in the national polls at a way underrated #14.  This team went 9-0, finishing in the top 10 nationally in both offense and defense, as they outgained opponents by close to 250 yards per game.  They shut out six of their nine opponents, including their final four games.  Football experts that saw this team play say they would have defeated Penn State that year, and DC was awarded the Lambert Trophy as the best team in the East.  This team might have been strong enough to win a New Year’s Bowl game that year.  

1971–Toledo

The third year run of undefeated Rocket teams, they finished #14 in the final polls, but this team was not as good as the 1970 team.  Interestingly, this Toledo team became one of just two major college teams to post back-to-back perfect seasons with different coaches.  Michigan was the other in 1947 and 1948.

1973–Miami of Ohio

What makes 1973 a bit different from the previous years mentioned in this section is that half of the MAC teams were ranked in the top 20 at some point in 1973.  Miami not only beat the other ranked MAC teams, they dominated Florida in the Tangerine Bowl, totally stopping a Gators’ offense that had defeated rival Florida State 49-0 in the regular season finale.  Miami allowed less than 7 points per game and less than 200 total yards per game.  In a year where six major conference teams did not lose a regular season game, this Miami team got lost in the mix, but I would have favored them over this year’s Cincinnati team.

1975–Arizona State, Arkansas State

This Sun Devils team was not as good as the 1970 team, but they finished #2 in the final rankings thanks to come-from-behind wins over ranked Arizona and Nebraska teams, the Cornhusker upset coming in the Fiesta Bowl.  It also helped that there were no other undefeated teams in Division 1 that year, as 11-1 Oklahoma won the national championship after Ohio State lost the Rose Bowl.  2021 Cincinnati probably would beat this ASU team.

Arkansas State went 11-0 with a powerful wishbone offense.  Included in the 11 wins were victories over 7-4 Memphis and 6-5 Cincinnati, but this team was about as strong as Louisiana and Appalachian State are today.  

1976–Rutgers

1976 was a great year for Scarlet Knight fans.  The football team went 11-0 following a basketball team that went undefeated until the Final Four, where they lost a heartbreaker to Michigan in the nation semifinals.  This 11-0 football team finished #17 in the polls, but they were not on the level of this year’s Cincinnati.  Their best win was over a Colgate team that went 8-2, but it was a controversial win with questionable officiating calls.

1984–BYU

Did BYU deserve to win the 1984 National Championship?  Were they better than this year’s Cincinnati team?  I don’t think so.  This wasn’t even the best BYU team in this era, just the one that was fortunate to go 13-0 against a weak schedule and win a bowl game over the weakest Michigan team in the Bo Schembechler era.  BYU’s key wins were against a 3-7-1 Pitt team and a 5-6 Baylor team.  In the Fiesta Bowl against 6-5 Michigan, BYU had to rally from behind to win by seven.  Quarterback Robbie Bosco continuing to play while injured made for a great copy, but this year’s BYU team might beat that one.  They were not deserving of the title that year, as Washington was the real best team in 1984.

1998–Tulane

The Green Wave finished #7 in the final polls with a dominant offense and average defense.  TU defeated BYU in the Liberty Bowl but defeated no ranked teams.  The 1998 Green Wave was not in this year’s Cincinnati’s class.

1999–Marshall

The Thundering Herd played in the MAC for a few years, and in 1999, they went 13-0 and finished 10th in the final polls behind future NFL QB Chad Pennington.  All the Herd could manage to earn was a Motor City Bowl game, where they beat BYU.  While Marshall defeated Clemson in the regular season, that CU team went just 6-6 and fired their coach.

PiRate Ratings College Football–November 9-13, 2021

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This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Miami (O)	Buffalo	7.7	7.0	6.0
Eastern Michigan	Ohio U	11.7	9.9	9.1
Western Michigan	Akron	19.2	20.6	20.4
Bowling Green	Toledo	-19.4	-18.7	-19.8
Central Michigan	Kent St.	8.0	5.7	6.7
Northern Illinois	Ball St.	-3.2	-3.9	-2.6
Pittsburgh	North Carolina	3.0	3.7	2.0
South Florida	Cincinnati	-25.4	-25.3	-26.5
Boise St.	Wyoming	17.9	17.7	18.3
Kansas St.	West Virginia	0.6	1.6	1.6
Coastal Carolina	Georgia St.	17.2	16.2	17.1
Clemson	Connecticut	46.8	46.3	50.0
Iowa	Minnesota	9.2	8.1	8.5
Virginia Tech	Duke	18.9	17.5	18.8
Georgia Tech	Boston College	1.8	1.9	1.8
Penn St.	Michigan	3.7	3.5	4.9
Indiana	Rutgers	11.6	9.4	11.1
Temple	Houston	-26.8	-25.0	-27.2
Michigan St.	Maryland	10.4	11.7	12.3
Louisville	Syracuse	5.2	4.8	6.1
Oklahoma St.	TCU	10.6	11.5	11.1
Texas	Kansas	35.9	36.1	38.8
Wake Forest	North Carolina St.	0.9	0.8	0.9
Baylor	Oklahoma	-7.3	-6.4	-7.4
Virginia	Notre Dame	-5.6	-5.4	-7.4
Wisconsin	Northwestern	22.8	22.3	24.3
Rice	Western Kentucky	-9.5	-11.1	-11.5
Arizona	Utah	-22.2	-22.3	-22.2
Appalachian St.	South Alabama	16.8	16.7	19.1
UCLA	Colorado	12.7	13.3	13.8
Washington	Arizona St.	-1.5	-0.9	-1.3
UNLV	Hawaii	-1.7	-2.0	-1.4
Oregon	Washington St.	11.3	11.4	12.8
Oregon St.	Stanford	11.0	10.6	11.4
California	USC	-5.1	-1.8	-3.1
Memphis	East Carolina	-3.8	-3.0	-4.1
Auburn	Mississippi St.	10.0	9.1	9.9
Louisiana Tech	Charlotte	8.0	7.3	5.4
Texas Tech	Iowa St.	-16.0	-14.7	-16.6
Troy	Louisiana	-13.5	-11.9	-12.8
Old Dominion	Florida Atlantic	-11.1	-11.3	-10.5
SMU	Central Florida	3.6	4.9	2.5
Missouri	South Carolina	1.5	1.9	1.5
Vanderbilt	Kentucky	-27.1	-28.8	-28.6
UTSA	Southern Miss.	31.2	31.4	32.0
Alabama	New Mexico St.	61.3	60.0	63.4
Ole Miss	Texas A&M	-1.4	-2.3	-2.1
Tennessee	Georgia	-22.0	-22.5	-23.0
Ohio St.	Purdue	23.6	23.5	23.0
Florida St.	Miami (Fla.)	-3.7	-2.8	-3.3
Marshall	UAB	4.3	4.4	5.1
LSU	Arkansas	0.6	1.5	2.2
Texas St.	Georgia Southern	-1.0	-2.9	-2.0
Middle Tennessee	Florida Int’l.	17.6	17.5	18.0
Tulane	Tulsa	1.0	0.2	2.2
North Texas	UTEP	0.6	-0.3	1.3
Louisiana-Monroe	Arkansas St.	0.1	-0.3	-0.5
Fresno St.	New Mexico	21.4	22.6	24.7
Colorado St.	Air Force	-6.5	-6.6	-7.2
San Jose St.	Utah St.	5.3	4.6	4.0
San Diego St.	Nevada	2.6	1.2	1.7

FBS vs. FCS Games This Week

FBS	FCS	PiRate
Florida	Samford	31.2
Massachusetts	Maine	1.8
Army	Bucknell	38.8

FBS Teams With The Week Off

BYU

Illinois

Liberty

Navy

Nebraska

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	135.4
2	Alabama	130.6
3	Ohio St.	129.5
4	Oklahoma	122.4
5	Texas A&M	120.8
6	Iowa St.	120.6
7	Utah	117.9
8	Cincinnati	117.6
9	Wisconsin	117.4
10	Oklahoma St.	117.2
11	Auburn	117.0
12	Penn St.	115.9
13	Ole Miss	115.8
14	Notre Dame	115.0
15	Michigan	114.8
16	Oregon	113.7
17	Texas	113.4
18	Clemson	113.4
19	Iowa	113.3
20	Arkansas	113.2
21	Baylor	112.4
22	NC State	112.3
23	Wake Forest	111.7
24	Florida	111.6
25	L S U	111.6
26	Arizona St.	111.3
27	West Virginia	110.7
28	Kentucky	110.6
29	Mississippi St.	110.3
30	North Carolina	110.3
31	Pittsburgh	110.1
32	Tennessee	109.9
33	Michigan St.	109.7
34	Coastal Carolina	109.6
35	BYU	109.4
36	Miami (Fla.)	109.4
37	Nebraska	109.2
38	T C U	109.2
39	Purdue	109.1
40	Kansas St.	109.0
41	U C L A	108.8
42	Oregon St.	108.4
43	U S C	108.1
44	Louisiana	108.0
45	Minnesota	107.6
46	Washington	107.0
47	Boise St.	106.9
48	Appalachian St.	106.0
49	Virginia	105.9
50	Washington St.	104.9
51	Houston	104.7
52	Louisville	104.1
53	Florida St.	104.1
54	Liberty	103.3
55	SMU	102.7
56	Nevada	102.6
57	U T S A	102.4
58	UCF	102.0
59	Indiana	101.9
60	Texas Tech	101.8
61	Syracuse	101.8
62	California	101.8
63	Boston College	101.4
64	San Diego St.	101.4
65	Air Force	101.3
66	Maryland	101.2
67	Virginia Tech	101.1
68	South Carolina	100.9
69	Fresno St.	100.8
70	Georgia Tech	100.8
71	East Carolina	100.7
72	Stanford	100.4
73	Army	100.4
74	Missouri	99.5
75	Colorado	98.5
76	Illinois	98.0
77	Marshall	98.0
78	Toledo	97.1
79	Miami (Ohio)	96.6
80	U A B	96.4
81	Northwestern	96.2
82	Central Michigan	95.9
83	Ball St.	95.6
84	Eastern Michigan	95.4
85	Georgia St.	95.3
86	Tulsa	95.3
87	Memphis	94.6
88	San Jose St.	94.5
89	Western Kentucky	94.5
90	Rutgers	94.2
91	Tulane	93.9
92	Western Michigan	93.2
93	Colorado St.	93.0
94	Utah St.	92.9
95	Troy	92.8
96	Arizona	92.7
97	Florida Atlantic	92.5
98	Buffalo	92.1
99	Wyoming	92.0
100	Kent St.	91.6
101	South Alabama	91.5
102	Hawaii	90.8
103	Navy	90.0
104	Northern Illinois	89.9
105	USF	88.9
106	Middle Tennessee	88.3
107	Ohio	87.7
108	Georgia Southern	86.3
109	Duke	85.7
110	U N L V	85.1
111	U T E P	84.5
112	Louisiana Tech	83.3
113	North Texas	83.0
114	Arkansas St.	82.4
115	Texas St.	81.9
116	Rice	81.3
117	New Mexico	80.9
118	Vanderbilt	80.4
119	UL-Monroe	79.6
120	Kansas	79.5
121	Old Dominion	79.0
122	Charlotte	78.9
123	Bowling Green	76.3
124	Temple	75.8
125	Akron	75.7
126	Southern Miss.	73.4
127	Florida Int’l.	73.1
128	New Mexico St.	72.0
129	Connecticut	68.7
130	UMass	66.1

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	117.4	116.8	118.7	117.6
Houston	104.8	103.9	105.3	104.7
SMU	102.5	102.6	103.0	102.7
UCF	101.9	100.7	103.5	102.0
East Carolina	100.3	100.1	101.7	100.7
Tulsa	95.4	95.2	95.3	95.3
Memphis	94.1	94.5	95.2	94.6
Tulane	93.9	92.8	95.0	93.9
Navy	89.9	89.7	90.5	90.0
USF	89.0	88.5	89.2	88.9
Temple	75.5	76.4	75.6	75.8
AAC Averages	96.8	96.5	97.5	96.9
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	113.1	113.0	114.1	113.4
NC State	112.2	112.0	112.7	112.3
Wake Forest	111.6	111.3	112.1	111.7
Louisville	103.8	103.6	105.0	104.1
Florida St.	103.9	104.1	104.3	104.1
Syracuse	101.6	101.9	101.9	101.8
Boston College	101.4	101.4	101.5	101.4
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
North Carolina	109.8	109.8	111.2	110.3
Pittsburgh	109.8	110.5	110.2	110.1
Miami (Fla.)	109.7	108.9	109.6	109.4
Virginia	105.6	106.5	105.5	105.9
Virginia Tech	101.7	100.8	100.7	101.1
Georgia Tech	100.7	100.8	100.8	100.8
Duke	85.8	86.4	84.8	85.7
ACC Averages	105.0	105.1	105.3	105.1
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma	123.3	121.6	122.4	122.4
Iowa St.	121.2	119.8	120.7	120.6
Oklahoma St.	117.5	117.2	117.0	117.2
Texas	114.5	112.7	113.1	113.4
Baylor	113.0	112.3	112.0	112.4
West Virginia	112.0	110.4	109.8	110.7
T C U	109.9	108.7	108.9	109.2
Kansas St.	109.5	109.0	108.4	109.0
Texas Tech	102.2	102.2	101.1	101.8
Kansas	81.6	79.6	77.3	79.5
Big 12 Averages	110.5	109.3	109.1	109.6
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	129.1	129.0	130.4	129.5
Penn St.	114.9	115.5	117.2	115.9
Michigan	114.2	115.0	115.3	114.8
Michigan St.	109.5	109.6	109.9	109.7
Indiana	101.9	101.6	102.0	101.9
Maryland	102.1	100.9	100.6	101.2
Rutgers	93.3	95.2	93.9	94.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Wisconsin	116.9	116.7	118.5	117.4
Iowa	113.1	112.7	114.0	113.3
Nebraska	108.9	109.1	109.7	109.2
Purdue	108.5	108.5	110.4	109.1
Minnesota	106.9	107.6	108.5	107.6
Illinois	97.6	98.0	98.5	98.0
Northwestern	96.1	96.4	96.2	96.2
Big Ten Averages	108.1	108.3	108.9	108.4
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Marshall	97.6	97.9	98.6	98.0
Western Kentucky	93.3	94.9	95.4	94.5
Florida Atlantic	92.0	93.0	92.4	92.5
Middle Tennessee	87.9	88.1	88.8	88.3
Old Dominion	78.4	79.3	79.4	79.0
Charlotte	78.2	79.1	79.4	78.9
Florida Int’l.	72.8	73.1	73.3	73.1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U T S A	102.0	102.7	102.6	102.4
U A B	96.3	96.5	96.4	96.4
U T E P	84.2	85.4	83.7	84.5
Louisiana Tech	83.7	83.9	82.3	83.3
North Texas	82.8	83.1	83.0	83.0
Rice	81.3	81.3	81.4	81.3
Southern Miss.	73.3	73.7	73.0	73.4
CUSA Averages	86.0	86.6	86.4	86.3
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	114.2	114.9	115.9	115.0
BYU	109.5	109.1	109.7	109.4
Liberty	102.9	103.4	103.6	103.3
Army	100.5	100.4	100.2	100.4
New Mexico St.	72.3	72.9	70.8	72.0
Connecticut	69.3	69.8	67.1	68.7
UMass	67.2	66.6	64.5	66.1
Indep. Averages	90.9	91.0	90.3	90.7
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	98.0	96.4	95.3	96.6
Buffalo	92.8	91.9	91.7	92.1
Kent St.	91.4	92.5	91.0	91.6
Ohio	87.3	88.1	87.7	87.7
Bowling Green	76.8	77.0	75.0	76.3
Akron	76.9	75.6	74.6	75.7
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	97.8	97.2	96.3	97.1
Central Michigan	96.9	95.7	95.2	95.9
Ball St.	96.6	96.1	94.2	95.6
Eastern Michigan	96.6	95.4	94.3	95.4
Western Michigan	93.5	93.7	92.4	93.2
Northern Illinois	90.9	89.7	89.1	89.9
MAC Averages	91.3	90.8	89.7	90.6
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	106.4	106.7	107.6	106.9
Air Force	101.0	101.2	101.8	101.3
Colorado St.	93.0	93.0	93.1	93.0
Utah St.	92.5	93.4	92.8	92.9
Wyoming	91.6	92.0	92.4	92.0
New Mexico	81.4	81.3	79.9	80.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Nevada	102.1	103.2	102.4	102.6
San Diego St.	101.7	101.4	101.2	101.4
Fresno St.	99.9	100.9	101.7	100.8
San Jose St.	94.8	95.0	93.8	94.5
Hawaii	91.1	90.8	90.5	90.8
U N L V	85.4	84.9	85.2	85.1
MWC Averages	95.1	95.3	95.2	95.2
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oregon	112.7	113.9	114.7	113.7
Oregon St.	108.2	108.5	108.5	108.4
Washington	106.3	107.4	107.4	107.0
Washington St.	104.4	105.4	104.9	104.9
California	100.0	103.0	102.4	101.8
Stanford	100.2	100.9	100.1	100.4
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	117.8	118.0	118.0	117.9
Arizona St.	110.8	111.4	111.7	111.3
U C L A	108.6	108.9	109.0	108.8
U S C	108.0	107.8	108.4	108.1
Colorado	98.8	98.6	98.2	98.5
Arizona	92.6	92.7	92.8	92.7
Pac-12 Averages	105.7	106.4	106.3	106.1
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	134.9	135.3	136.2	135.4
Florida	111.1	112.2	111.6	111.6
Kentucky	110.0	111.2	110.5	110.6
Tennessee	109.8	109.7	110.2	109.9
South Carolina	101.4	101.0	100.4	100.9
Missouri	99.8	99.9	98.9	99.5
Vanderbilt	80.9	80.4	79.9	80.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	130.6	129.9	131.2	130.6
Texas A&M	120.3	121.0	120.9	120.8
Auburn	117.1	116.6	117.4	117.0
Ole Miss	115.9	115.7	115.8	115.8
Arkansas	113.4	113.3	112.8	113.2
L S U	111.0	111.8	112.0	111.6
Mississippi St.	110.1	110.5	110.4	110.3
SEC Averages	111.9	112.0	112.0	112.0
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Coastal Carolina	110.2	108.6	110.0	109.6
Appalachian St.	105.6	105.4	107.1	106.0
Georgia St.	95.6	94.9	95.4	95.3
Troy	92.6	92.8	93.0	92.8
Georgia Southern	86.4	86.6	86.0	86.3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisiana	108.6	107.2	108.3	108.0
South Alabama	91.8	91.7	91.0	91.5
Arkansas St.	82.6	82.7	81.8	82.4
Texas St.	82.9	81.2	81.5	81.9
UL-Monroe	80.1	79.9	78.8	79.6
Sun Averages	93.6	93.1	93.3	93.3

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	112.0
2	Big 12	109.6
3	Big Ten	108.4
4	Pac-12	106.1
5	Atlantic Coast	105.1
6	American Athletic	96.9
7	Mountain West	95.2
8	Sun Belt	93.3
9	Independents	90.7
10	Mid-American	90.6
11	Conference USA	86.3

Playoff and Bowl Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	UTSA	Kent St.
Cure	Air Force	Coastal Carolina
Boca	Memphis	Florida Atlantic
New Mexico	UTEP	Fresno St.
Independence	BYU	Marshall
Lending Tree	Central Michigan	Appalachian St.
L. A.	San Diego St.	USC
New Orleans	UAB	Louisiana
Myrtle Beach	Middle Tennessee	Miami (O)
Famous Idaho Potato	Northern Illinois	Boise St.
Frisco	San Jose St.	Western Michigan
Armed Forces	Washington St.	Army
Gasparilla	Florida	Houston
Hawaii	Central Florida	Nevada
Camellia	Ball St.	Troy
Quick Lane	Eastern Michigan	Wyoming
Military	Louisville	East Carolina
Birmingham	Liberty	Western Kentucky
First Responder	Syracuse	Oregon St.
Liberty	West Virginia	Missouri
Holiday	Virginia	UCLA
Guaranteed Rate	Maryland	Texas
Fenway	SMU	Boston College
Pinstripe	Clemson	Minnesota
Cheez-It	Miami (Fla.)	Iowa St.
Alamo	Baylor	Utah
Duke’s Mayo	Wake Forest	Mississippi St.
Music City	Penn St.	Tennessee
Las Vegas	Purdue	Arizona St.
Tax Slayer Gator	Pittsburgh	Arkansas
Tony The Tiger Sun	North Carolina	Washington
Arizona	Toledo	Utah St.
Citrus	Wisconsin	Ole Miss
Outback	Iowa	Kentucky
Texas	Kansas St.	Auburn
Peach	North Carolina St.	Cincinnati
Fiesta	Notre Dame	Michigan
Rose	Oregon	Michigan St.
Sugar	Oklahoma St.	Texas A&M
Cotton	Ohio St.	Oklahoma
Orange	Georgia	Alabama
Championship	Georgia	Ohio St.

Fire The Coach!

The firing of football coaches began early this year. Quick openings at USC, Connecticut, Georgia Southern, LSU, Texas Tech, and TCU plus the firing of Washington State coach Nick Rolovich for failure to obtain the required Covid Vaccine, makes a record seven coaches fired in the middle of a season. If fans in the Sunshine State had their way, two more head coaches would join that list, maybe three if Florida International had a fanbase.

I never publish the over-the-top negative emails, texts, and comments when an upset fan wants to go on a tirade seeking the loss of a coach’s job. Instead, I usually reply privately to the commenter asking him to explain what the coach is not doing that other successful coaches are doing. Usually, the answer is always either play-calling or personnel decisions.

“If Coach Smith had put Billy Jones in at quarterback in September, and sent in longer passing plays, we’d be 9-0 right now,” is a typical type of response. My reply back to them most of the time includes video of the fan’s team and the top team in the country, running virtually the same offense. Whereas. the top team’s QB gets 3.5 seconds to locate a receiver, and he’s passing to three future NFL receivers, the fan’s teams’ QB gets less than 2 seconds to locate a receiver that is months away from selling insurance, teaching at a Middle School, or working at a sports radio station. When the top team plays a Cover 2 Combo defense, their five underneath defenders stick to the other team’s receivers like glue, and the safeties can play a but closer to the line of scrimmage, because they are sprinters that won’t be beaten deep. When the fan’s team uses the same defense, two or three of the underneath defenders lose their assignment, and the safeties have to play another 5 yards off the ball to keep from being beat deep by superior athletes. When the top team runs an inside zone blast play, their offensive line quickly controls the initial defensive surge and then take care of the linebackers. The fan’s team’s offensive line briefly opens a running lane in the first second after the snap, but by the time the running back gets the ball and arrives at the line of scrimmage, he faces a blockade.

How much of football success in a college game is determined by which team has more talent? The correct answer is somewhere between 80 and 90%! As legendary coach John Wooden stated in one of his famous quotes, “The team with the better players almost always wins.” He said that about basketball, and it is even more true in football, where quicker, and stronger means more to the sport’s success than everything else.

Look at the top recruiting classes of the last five seasons. The best cumulative classes and the best teams this year are strongly correlated. It isn’t a perfect one to one, but if your favorite team has had five consecutive top 10 classes, and your buddy’s favorite teas has had five consecutive recruiting classes in the 20-40 range, chances are about 90% that your team is going to beat his team when they play.

Coaching is not a difficult task. 130 head coaches at the collegiate level know how to teach the game to their players. 130 college strength and conditioning coaches know how to get players beefed up. Find 130 people between the ages of 35 and 60 in your neighborhood with driver’s licenses. How much difference is there in driving their cars down the road? I am not talking about speed; I am talking about keeping the car in the proper lane, not running over the kids waiting at the school bus stop, and not wrapping their vehicle around the telephone pole. The differences will be subtle.

Now say that of these 130 drivers in your neighborhood, 20 have brand new 2022 models that almost do the driving for the driver. 30 others have a 2020 or 2021 model that is easy to drive, but unlike the 2022 models above that parallel park for the driver, the driver must do more work on those one and two year old cars. The rest of the drivers have older model cars, and the bottom 30-50 have cars with issues that impair the drivers’ abilities to keep the car on the road as perfectly as those elite 20. Maybe some of the cars have faulty brakes. Others have leaking oil. Some have bald tires, and the steering on some is a bit loose, and the car “floats” a little.

The best driver of the 130 neighbors will have issues dirving the faulty cars. The least competent of the 130 drivers will still parallel park a new 2022 car easily and effortlessly.

College team fans can sometimes be the number one hindrance in a coach’s ability to recruit. Putting Coach Smith on a hot seat and creating a Fire Coach Smith website, accelerates the issue. When Coach Smith is given a private vote of confidence by his school, but the school’s fans and media say his days are numbered, 18 year old kids hear and see this and become hesitant to sign at State. Maybe, it’s just one or two players, but these could be the ones that move the needle in a couple of years. Rival schools quickly let these 4-star and 5-star talents know that State is on the verge of firing Coach Smith, so come to Tech and play for Coach Williams, who just got a major contract extension and could run for Mayor in Techtown and win by a landslide.

Let me use one example about how insane fandom can be. I will use the hometown college team, Vanderbilt. The Commodores have strict academic restrictions on who coaches can recruit. Of the top 1,000 recruits in a season, about 75 have the academic talent to earn admission to the school. Unfortunately, none of these 75 are required to put Vanderbilt on their list of potential colleges. The A+ student with ACT/SAT scores high enough to gain admission to Vanderbilt, or for that matter, Harvard, Yale, Cal Tech, and MIT, frequently uses that intelligence to realize that four years in Tuscaloosa, Alabama, or Columbus, Ohio, will allow him to be a star in the classroom and on the football field. By becoming a star at Alabama or Ohio State, his ticket for life is virtually guaranteed to be a skybox seat with private valet parking.

First year Vanderbilt head football coach Clark Lea faces a near impossible task of trying to recruit enough players in the high three-star range and up to compete in an SEC that is light years tougher than it was 10 years ago. With Oklahoma and Texas headed to the league, the small private school that shares more in common with former SEC member Sewanee and former Big Ten member Chicago than Alabama or Georgia is in an impossible position to succeed. The talent level between Vanderbilt and the next weakest team in the SEC is almost as far apart as the number 13 SEC team is to Alabama and Georgia. Lea has talent that could not win the Conference USA divisions. 20 FCS teams have more talent, and East Tennessee State totally dominated the Commodores in the season opener.

Vanderbilt defeated 1-8 Connecticut, a team that only beat Yale and then just barely, when the Huskies had to use their backup quarterback. The Commodores won the game on a final play field goal by a kicker that had been #2 at Alabama and was not going to see action. That UConn team lost to UMass, a team that was just dominated by Rhode Island.

Lea took over a car that had brake, transmission, steering, and suspension issues along with bald tires and a leaking head gasket. He has to drive on the same street with 13 brand new state of the art smart cars. Yet, there are deluded fans that believe he should be at the head of the motorcade and is to blame for the car not being able to stay in its lane or even start on cold mornings.

The monumental task of trying to build this program into one that can compete for minor bowls once every three years is already suffering from the arrows being publicly shot by a small amount of vocal fans, three of which have sent me emails venting about how Lea cannot coach. Since I do not participate in any of the public sports forums for Vanderbilt athletics, as I basically stopped following the program as a fan over a decade ago, I only see what these fans send me, but I can easily see that when recruits read this scathing criticism on these forums, and both their parents and they do read them, it creates reasonable doubt, and players begin to decommit, which has happened in the last fortnight.

Years ago, I made a public statement on a sports radio show that trying to win SEC football games at Vanderbilt was akin to beating a similarly skilled opponent in chess when he has both queens, and you have nine pawns. These vociferous fans have now robbed Lea of a bishop. Lea will be the coach at Vanderbilt for at least three more years after this season, and a minority of Vanderbilt fans may see their opinions become fact somewhat because the three recruits per year they turn away makes the difference in a couple of wins per year.

If you are a fan of a fledgling football program like Arizona, Kansas, or Vanderbilt, anything you can legally do to enhance your school’s recruiting efforts should be the obvious way to support your school other than with your checkbook. Successful recruiting is the only way a school can overcome bad times and improve to mediocre to decent to above average to really good. In the SEC of the mid 2020’s, Vanderbilt may face a situation similar to what Sewanee and Chicago faced in the late 1930’s. The task for Coach Lea is already close to impossible; if you root for the Commodores, don’t remove the “close.”

PiRate Ratings College Football–November 2-6, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Toledo	Eastern Michigan	4.5	5.5	6.1
Akron	Ball St.	-18.7	-19.8	-18.9
Ohio U	Miami (O)	-11.4	-8.8	-8.3
Kent St.	Northern Illinois	2.5	5.4	4.2
Western Michigan	Central Michigan	1.3	3.0	2.2
Louisiana	Georgia St.	18.0	17.2	18.2
Boston College	Virginia Tech	-0.6	0.3	0.3
Stanford	Utah	-8.0	-7.6	-8.4
Air Force (n)	Army	0.6	1.0	1.8
Duke	Pittsburgh	-20.6	-20.5	-22.0
Florida St.	North Caroina St.	-3.7	-3.1	-3.4
Miami (Fla.)	Georgia Tech	13.8	12.9	14.0
Rutgers	Wisconsin	-13.9	-12.0	-14.7
Louisville	Clemson	-6.3	-6.4	-6.1
UAB	Louisiana Tech	15.3	15.3	17.0
Northwestern	Iowa	-15.3	-14.6	-16.7
South Florida	Houston	-13.0	-12.6	-13.3
Michigan	Indiana	14.4	15.6	15.3
North Carolina	Wake Forest	-0.2	0.1	0.7
Georgia Southern	Coastal Carolina	-21.6	-19.6	-21.7
Central Florida	Tulane	11.4	11.4	12.4
Minnesota	Illinois	17.4	17.9	18.7
Cincinnati	Tulsa	28.0	27.6	29.9
Kansas	Kansas St.	-26.6	-28.5	-30.7
South Carolina	Florida	-15.1	-16.4	-16.5
East Carolina	Temple	24.3	22.7	25.3
Ole Miss	Liberty	16.7	15.9	16.2
TCU	Baylor	-1.8	-2.7	-2.2
Maryland	Penn St.	-8.4	-10.4	-12.6
New Mexico St.	Utah St.	-17.3	-17.5	-19.0
Colorado	Oregon St.	-7.2	-7.7	-8.2
Arizona St.	USC	3.3	4.2	3.5
Southern Miss.	North Texas	-2.3	-1.8	-2.4
Georgia	Missouri	37.7	38.1	40.2
Arkansas St.	Appalachian St.	-17.6	-17.0	-19.8
Nebraska	Ohio St.	-18.1	-17.7	-18.9
Arkansas	Mississippi St.	6.5	6.0	5.8
Memphis	SMU	-8.2	-8.1	-8.0
Notre Dame	Navy	27.3	28.3	28.4
Troy	South Alabama	2.4	2.5	3.4
Charlotte	Rice	-1.3	-0.1	0.5
West Virginia	Oklahoma St.	1.4	0.2	0.1
Kentucky	Tennessee	4.3	6.0	4.8
Texas St.	Louisiana-Monroe	4.9	3.0	4.4
Iowa St.	Texas	6.5	6.7	7.0
Purdue	Michigan St.	-0.5	-0.8	1.0
Texas A&M	Auburn	3.1	4.3	3.1
Western Kentucky	Middle Tennessee	3.1	4.5	3.9
Washington	Oregon	-4.8	-4.8	-6.2
Arizona	California	-7.6	-11.4	-10.6
Wyoming	Colorado St.	-1.4	-1.0	-0.9
UTEP	UTSA	-14.4	-13.8	-15.2
Florida Atlantic	Marshall	0.5	1.7	0.3
Fresno St.	Boise St.	1.9	3.2	3.3
New Mexico	UNLV	1.4	2.2	0.4
Florida Int’l.	Old Domimion	1.7	1.3	1.6
Alabama	LSU	24.9	23.4	24.9
Nevada	San Jose St.	10.4	11.6	12.6
Hawaii	San Diego St.	-6.6	-6.6	-6.7

FBS vs. FCS Games
FBS	FCS	PiRate
BYU	Idaho St.	35.0
Massachusetts	Rhode Island	4.1

BYES

Bowling Green

Buffalo

Connecticut

Oklahoma

Syracuse

Texas Tech

UCLA

Vanderbilt

Virginia

Washington St.

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	135.2
2	Alabama	131.9
3	Ohio St.	130.0
4	Oklahoma	122.1
5	Cincinnati	119.7
6	Iowa St.	118.9
7	Texas A&M	118.9
8	Auburn	118.4
9	Florida	116.4
10	Ole Miss	116.2
11	Penn St.	115.3
12	Oklahoma St.	115.2
13	Texas	115.1
14	Notre Dame	115.0
15	Utah	114.9
16	Michigan	114.4
17	Wisconsin	113.8
18	Iowa	113.8
19	Clemson	113.4
20	Arkansas	113.3
21	Oregon	112.9
22	Baylor	112.8
23	West Virginia	112.7
24	Wake Forest	111.9
25	NC State	111.4
26	Kentucky	111.1
27	Michigan St.	110.8
28	L S U	110.5
29	Minnesota	110.5
30	Miami (Fla.)	110.3
31	Mississippi St.	110.2
32	North Carolina	110.1
33	Arizona St.	110.0
34	Pittsburgh	109.9
35	Coastal Carolina	109.7
36	U S C	109.4
37	Kansas St.	109.3
38	Louisiana	109.2
39	Tennessee	109.1
40	BYU	109.0
41	Oregon St.	108.8
42	Nebraska	108.8
43	U C L A	108.5
44	T C U	108.5
45	Purdue	107.7
46	Washington	107.4
47	Virginia	105.6
48	Florida St.	105.0
49	Washington St.	104.6
50	Appalachian St.	104.5
51	Houston	104.4
52	Louisville	104.1
53	SMU	104.1
54	California	103.9
55	Stanford	103.9
56	Boise St.	103.8
57	Fresno St.	103.6
58	Nevada	103.1
59	Virginia Tech	103.0
60	Liberty	102.9
61	UCF	102.3
62	Indiana	102.3
63	Maryland	101.8
64	U T S A	101.8
65	Texas Tech	101.5
66	Syracuse	101.5
67	San Diego St.	101.4
68	Air Force	101.4
69	Army	100.3
70	Boston College	100.0
71	Georgia Tech	99.8
72	Missouri	99.5
73	East Carolina	98.8
74	Colorado	98.1
75	Miami (Ohio)	98.0
76	Toledo	97.7
77	South Carolina	97.4
78	Rutgers	97.3
79	U A B	96.5
80	Ball St.	96.5
81	Marshall	96.2
82	Northwestern	95.7
83	Illinois	95.5
84	Eastern Michigan	94.8
85	Western Michigan	94.7
86	Colorado St.	94.6
87	Central Michigan	94.5
88	Tulsa	94.2
89	San Jose St.	94.0
90	Florida Atlantic	94.0
91	Georgia St.	93.8
92	Tulane	93.6
93	Memphis	93.5
94	Utah St.	92.7
95	Troy	92.5
96	Western Kentucky	92.1
97	Buffalo	91.9
98	South Alabama	91.8
99	Kent St.	91.5
100	Arizona	91.0
101	Hawaii	90.8
102	Middle Tennessee	90.7
103	Wyoming	90.5
104	Navy	90.0
105	Northern Illinois	90.0
106	USF	88.9
107	Ohio	86.5
108	Georgia Southern	86.2
109	Duke	85.9
110	U T E P	84.8
111	Arkansas St.	83.9
112	U N L V	83.7
113	Louisiana Tech	83.2
114	New Mexico	82.6
115	Texas St.	81.5
116	Rice	81.5
117	North Texas	80.6
118	Vanderbilt	80.1
119	UL-Monroe	80.0
120	Kansas	79.2
121	Charlotte	78.7
122	Temple	77.7
123	Old Dominion	76.5
124	Bowling Green	76.1
125	Southern Miss.	76.0
126	Florida Int’l.	75.6
127	Akron	74.8
128	New Mexico St.	72.2
129	Connecticut	68.5
130	UMass	67.8

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	119.4	118.8	121.0	119.7
Houston	104.5	103.6	105.0	104.4
SMU	103.8	104.0	104.5	104.1
UCF	102.1	101.0	104.0	102.3
East Carolina	98.5	98.1	99.8	98.8
Tulsa	94.4	94.2	94.0	94.2
Tulane	93.7	92.5	94.5	93.6
Memphis	93.1	93.4	94.0	93.5
Navy	89.9	89.7	90.5	90.0
USF	89.0	88.5	89.2	88.9
Temple	77.3	78.4	77.5	77.7
AAC Averages	96.9	96.6	97.6	97.0
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	113.1	113.0	114.1	113.4
Wake Forest	111.8	111.5	112.3	111.9
NC State	111.4	111.1	111.7	111.4
Florida St.	104.7	105.0	105.3	105.0
Louisville	103.8	103.6	105.0	104.1
Syracuse	101.3	101.6	101.6	101.5
Boston College	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Fla.)	110.6	109.8	110.7	110.3
North Carolina	109.6	109.6	111.0	110.1
Pittsburgh	109.6	110.2	110.0	109.9
Virginia	105.3	106.2	105.2	105.6
Virginia Tech	103.6	102.7	102.7	103.0
Georgia Tech	99.8	99.9	99.7	99.8
Duke	86.0	86.7	85.0	85.9
ACC Averages	105.0	105.1	105.3	105.1
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma	123.0	121.3	122.1	122.1
Iowa St.	119.6	118.1	118.9	118.9
Oklahoma St.	115.5	115.2	114.9	115.2
Texas	116.1	114.4	114.9	115.1
Baylor	113.2	112.7	112.4	112.8
West Virginia	114.0	112.4	111.9	112.7
Kansas St.	109.6	109.3	108.9	109.3
T C U	109.4	108.0	108.2	108.5
Texas Tech	101.9	101.9	100.8	101.5
Kansas	81.5	79.3	76.8	79.2
Big 12 Averages	110.4	109.3	109.0	109.5
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	129.5	129.4	131.0	130.0
Penn St.	114.2	114.9	116.7	115.3
Michigan	113.8	114.6	114.8	114.4
Michigan St.	110.6	110.8	111.0	110.8
Indiana	102.3	102.0	102.5	102.3
Maryland	102.8	101.5	101.1	101.8
Rutgers	96.4	98.2	97.1	97.3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Wisconsin	113.3	113.2	114.8	113.8
Iowa	113.5	113.1	114.7	113.8
Minnesota	109.6	110.4	111.5	110.5
Nebraska	108.5	108.7	109.1	108.8
Purdue	107.1	107.0	109.0	107.7
Northwestern	95.7	96.0	95.5	95.7
Illinois	95.2	95.5	95.8	95.5
Big Ten Averages	108.0	108.3	108.9	108.4
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Marshall	95.9	96.0	96.7	96.2
Florida Atlantic	93.4	94.6	94.0	94.0
Western Kentucky	90.9	92.5	92.8	92.1
Middle Tennessee	90.3	90.5	91.4	90.7
Charlotte	77.9	78.9	79.4	78.7
Old Dominion	76.0	76.8	76.8	76.5
Florida Int’l.	75.2	75.6	75.9	75.6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U T S A	101.4	102.1	101.9	101.8
U A B	96.4	96.6	96.6	96.5
U T E P	84.5	85.7	84.1	84.8
Louisiana Tech	83.6	83.8	82.1	83.2
Rice	81.6	81.5	81.4	81.5
North Texas	80.6	80.7	80.6	80.6
Southern Miss.	75.8	76.4	75.7	76.0
CUSA Averages	86.0	86.5	86.4	86.3
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	114.2	114.9	115.9	115.0
BYU	109.1	108.7	109.3	109.0
Liberty	102.6	103.1	103.1	102.9
Army	100.4	100.3	100.1	100.3
New Mexico St.	72.5	73.2	71.0	72.2
Connecticut	69.1	69.6	66.9	68.5
UMass	68.9	68.3	66.2	67.8
Indep. Averages	91.0	91.2	90.4	90.8
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	99.5	97.8	96.8	98.0
Buffalo	92.6	91.7	91.5	91.9
Kent St.	91.2	92.5	90.9	91.5
Ohio	86.1	87.0	86.5	86.5
Bowling Green	76.6	76.8	74.8	76.1
Akron	76.2	74.7	73.7	74.8
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	98.2	97.8	97.1	97.7
Ball St.	97.3	97.0	95.1	96.5
Eastern Michigan	96.2	94.8	93.5	94.8
Western Michigan	94.8	95.2	93.9	94.7
Central Michigan	95.6	94.2	93.7	94.5
Northern Illinois	91.1	89.7	89.2	90.0
MAC Averages	91.3	90.8	89.7	90.6
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	103.5	103.5	104.3	103.8
Air Force	101.1	101.3	101.9	101.4
Colorado St.	94.5	94.5	94.7	94.6
Utah St.	92.3	93.1	92.6	92.7
Wyoming	90.1	90.5	90.8	90.5
New Mexico	83.0	83.1	81.6	82.6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	102.5	103.8	104.7	103.6
Nevada	102.4	103.7	103.1	103.1
San Diego St.	101.7	101.4	101.2	101.4
San Jose St.	94.5	94.5	93.1	94.0
Hawaii	91.1	90.8	90.5	90.8
U N L V	84.1	83.4	83.8	83.7
MWC Averages	95.1	95.3	95.2	95.2
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oregon	111.9	113.0	113.8	112.9
Oregon St.	108.6	108.9	109.0	108.8
Washington	106.6	107.8	107.8	107.4
Washington St.	104.1	105.1	104.6	104.6
California	101.9	105.3	104.7	103.9
Stanford	103.7	104.4	103.6	103.9
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	114.8	115.0	115.0	114.9
Arizona St.	109.6	110.2	110.3	110.0
U S C	109.2	109.0	109.8	109.4
U C L A	108.3	108.6	108.7	108.5
Colorado	98.4	98.2	97.7	98.1
Arizona	91.2	90.9	91.0	91.0
Pac-12 Averages	105.7	106.4	106.3	106.1
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	134.6	135.0	136.0	135.2
Florida	115.9	117.0	116.4	116.4
Kentucky	110.4	111.8	111.1	111.1
Tennessee	109.1	108.8	109.3	109.1
Missouri	99.8	99.9	98.8	99.5
South Carolina	97.9	97.5	96.9	97.4
Vanderbilt	80.6	80.1	79.6	80.1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	131.9	131.2	132.7	131.9
Texas A&M	118.5	119.2	118.9	118.9
Auburn	118.4	117.9	118.9	118.4
Ole Miss	116.2	116.0	116.3	116.2
Arkansas	113.5	113.4	113.0	113.3
L S U	110.0	110.8	110.8	110.5
Mississippi St.	110.0	110.4	110.2	110.2
SEC Averages	111.9	112.1	112.1	112.0
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Coastal Carolina	110.3	108.6	110.1	109.7
Appalachian St.	104.1	103.8	105.6	104.5
Georgia St.	94.2	93.5	93.8	93.8
Troy	92.4	92.5	92.7	92.5
Georgia Southern	86.3	86.6	85.9	86.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisiana	109.7	108.3	109.6	109.2
South Alabama	92.0	92.0	91.3	91.8
Arkansas St.	84.1	84.3	83.3	83.9
Texas St.	82.7	80.8	81.1	81.5
UL-Monroe	80.3	80.3	79.2	80.0
Sun Averages	93.6	93.1	93.3	93.3

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	112.0
2	Big 12	109.5
3	Big Ten	108.4
4	Pac-12	106.1
5	Atlantic Coast	105.1
6	American Athletic	97.0
7	Mountain West	95.2
8	Sun Belt	93.3
9	Independents	90.8
10	Mid-American	90.6
11	Conference USA	86.3

Playoffs and Bowl Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	Western Kentucky	Eastern Michigan
Cure	Memphis	Georgia St.
Boca	Coastal Carolina	Florida Atlantic
New Mexico	Air Force	UTEP
Independence	BYU	Marshall
Lending Tree	Western Michigan	UL-Monroe
L. A.	San Diego St.	UCLA
New Orleans	UTSA	Louisiana
Myrtle Beach	Liberty	Central Michigan
Famous Idaho Potato	Miami (O)	Boise St.
Frisco	Nevada	UAB
Armed Forces	Army	Washington St.
Gasparilla	SMU	California
Hawaii	Houston	Fresno St.
Camellia	Northern Illinois	Appalachian St.
Quick Lane	Kent St.	Rutgers
Military	Miami (Fla.)	East Carolina
Birmingham	Middle Tennesee	Ball St.
First Responder	Wyoming	San Jose St.
Liberty	Texas	Auburn
Holiday	Virginia Tech	Arizona St.
Guaranteed Rate	Purdue	West Virginia
Fenway	Virginia	Central Florida
Pinstripe	Syracuse	Wisconsin
Cheez-It	Pittsburgh	Iowa St.
Alamo	Baylor	Washington
Duke’s Mayo	North Carolina St.	Mississippi St.
Music City	Iowa	Tennessee
Las Vegas	Penn St.	Oregon St.
Tax Slayer Gator	Clemson	Arkansas
Tony The Tiger Sun	Louisville	USC
Arizona	Toledo	Utah St.
Citrus	Michigan	Ole Miss
Outback	Minnesota	Florida
Texas	Kansas St.	Texas A&M
Peach	Wake Forest	Kentucky
Fiesta	Notre Dame	Utah
Rose	Oregon	Michigan St.
Sugar	Alabama	Oklahoma St.
Cotton	Oklahoma	Ohio St.
Orange	Georgia	Cincinnati
Championship	Georgia	Oklahoma

The First FBS Playoff Ratings Debut Tuesday

The NCAA FBS Playoff Committee releases its first playoff rankings Tuesday night. We expect the first release will have Georgia at number one, and then in either Oklahoma and Alabama at #2 and #3 or vice versa. The fourth spot is the mystery. Will it be Cincinnati? What about the Ohio State/Oregon situation, where the Ducks beat the Buckeyes at the Giant Horseshoe? Then, how will they count Michigan State and Wake Forest, both undefeated Power 5 teams?

If you look at our playoff predictions, you will see Georgia, Oklahoma, Ohio St., and Cincinnati for now. Our projections are forward looking, so for now, we call for Georgia to beat Alabama in the SEC Championship Game, and the Playoff Committee unable to find a loophole to place a 2-loss team in the Playoffs with undefeated teams left out. As for Michigan State, they still have to beat Penn State, Ohio State, and either Wisconsin or Minnesota in the Big Ten Championship Game. Wake Forest has to win at Clemson and in the ACC Championship Game. They even face a trap game this week at North Carolina.

For now, we are calling for Cincinnati to win the AAC Championship Game and finish 13-0, but there are two games they will have to win where they could face trouble. Houston may split two games with the Bearcats, and at 12-1, Cinti won’t make the field.

If Ohio State and Oregon both win out, and are both 12-1, both could make the field, if Cincinnati loses. The big wildcard is what happens if Alabama wins out and knocks off Georgia in the SEC Championship Game. Alabama and Georgia would both make the playoffs, and Oklahoma would be number three, assuming they don’t lose to Baylor or Oklahoma State.

In the past, it comes down to six teams by the time the official four are named. There are four more weeks of regular season football to be played, and probably three of the contenders are going to play themselves out of contention before the Conference Championship Games are played.

If you ask us today who the four best teams in college football are, regardless of their won-loss record, we might go with Georgia at number one, Alabama at number two, Oklahoma at number three, and Oregon at number four. And, if the Committee picks these four teams Tuesday night, we will endorse their picks.

PiRate Ratings College Football–October 28-30, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Coastal Carolina	Troy	22.9	20.8	22.8
East Carolina	South Florida	12.1	12.0	13.3
Tulsa	Navy	9.9	10.3	9.4
Nevada	UNLV	17.0	19.2	18.1
Wisconsin	Iowa	-2.0	-1.6	-1.8
Buffalo	Bowling Green	24.9	23.9	25.7
Wake Forest	Duke	24.5	23.1	25.8
Michigan St.	Michigan	-2.3	-3.3	-3.6
North Carolina St.	Louisville	10.2	9.8	8.7
Syracuse	Boston College	1.1	1.1	1.0
Georgia Southern	Georgia St.	-6.4	-5.5	-6.4
West Virginia	Iowa St.	-5.6	-5.9	-7.7
Maryland	Indiana	3.5	2.5	1.2
Florida Atlantic	UTEP	13.8	14.2	15.5
Pittsburgh	Miami (Fla.)	2.8	4.6	3.5
Illinois	Rutgers	3.8	2.3	4.2
Northwestern	Minnesota	-6.9	-7.4	-9.0
Temple	Central Florida	-16.2	-14.2	-17.2
Georgia Tech	Virginia Tech	0.0	1.3	1.4
Clemson	Florida St.	12.3	12.1	13.3
Liberty	Massachusetts	33.8	34.9	37.3
Rice	North Texas	3.4	3.4	3.5
Utah St.	Hawaii	1.4	2.5	2.0
BYU	Virginia	4.2	2.5	4.1
Utah	UCLA	7.1	6.6	6.2
Arizona St.	Washington St.	15.5	15.1	15.7
California	Oregon St.	-8.5	-4.9	-6.2
USC	Arizona	24.7	25.0	25.9
San Jose St.	Wyoming	7.5	7.0	5.1
Oregon	Colorado	15.4	16.8	18.3
Marshall	Florida Int’l.	20.1	19.4	19.5
Oklahoma St.	Kansas	32.9	35.0	37.4
Old Dominion	Louisiana Tech	-8.7	-8.3	-6.8
Louisiana	Texas St.	26.4	26.7	27.7
Middle Tennessee	Southern Miss.	12.8	12.1	13.8
Nebraska	Purdue	6.9	7.6	5.8
Vanderbilt	Missouri	-18.6	-19.6	-19.2
Kansas St.	TCU	-0.8	0.3	-0.7
Mississippi St.	Kentucky	-0.6	-2.2	-1.9
Oklahoma	Texas Tech	21.9	20.0	21.8
Ohio St.	Penn St.	19.9	19.3	19.3
Houston	SMU	2.8	1.3	2.2
Baylor	Texas	-2.4	-1.2	-2.4
Auburn	Ole Miss	3.3	2.7	3.3
Florida (N)	Georgia	-17.7	-16.7	-18.5
Tulane	Cincinnati	-23.8	-24.7	-25.3
Appalachian St.	Louisiana-Monroe	26.2	25.5	29.0
South Alabama	Arkansas St.	8.9	8.4	8.5
Western Kentucky	Charlotte	10.9	11.4	10.9
Colorado St.	Boise St.	-6.4	-5.9	-6.6
Notre Dame	North Carolina	7.4	8.0	7.3
Stanford	Washington	1.7	1.3	0.5
San Diego St.	Fresno St.	5.1	3.2	2.7

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	134.8
2	Alabama	131.6
3	Ohio St.	130.9
4	Oklahoma	121.2
5	Iowa St.	120.7
6	Cincinnati	120.2
7	Texas A&M	118.6
8	Auburn	117.4
9	Ole Miss	117.2
10	Florida	117.1
11	Iowa	116.2
12	Texas	116.1
13	Michigan	114.9
14	Notre Dame	114.8
15	Penn St.	114.4
16	Clemson	114.2
17	Arizona St.	114.0
18	Utah	113.6
19	Oklahoma St.	113.5
20	Arkansas	113.0
21	Kentucky	112.9
22	Oregon	112.4
23	Baylor	112.1
24	U S C	111.6
25	Wisconsin	111.4
26	Oregon St.	111.3
27	West Virginia	111.3
28	NC State	111.1
29	Coastal Carolina	110.8
30	T C U	110.6
31	Pittsburgh	110.4
32	Michigan St.	110.3
33	North Carolina	110.3
34	L S U	110.2
35	Nebraska	110.0
36	Wake Forest	110.0
37	U C L A	109.9
38	Miami (Fla.)	109.8
39	Tennessee	108.8
40	Mississippi St.	108.4
41	Minnesota	108.1
42	BYU	107.6
43	Louisiana	107.3
44	Kansas St.	107.2
45	Virginia	107.0
46	Washington	106.7
47	Purdue	106.2
48	Stanford	104.9
49	Florida St.	104.6
50	Louisville	104.5
51	SMU	104.4
52	Appalachian St.	104.2
53	Houston	104.0
54	Boise St.	103.6
55	Texas Tech	103.0
56	San Diego St.	102.9
57	Virginia Tech	102.4
58	Indiana	102.4
59	Fresno St.	102.2
60	Liberty	101.8
61	California	101.8
62	Maryland	101.8
63	Nevada	101.7
64	Boston College	101.7
65	Washington St.	101.6
66	U T S A	101.6
67	Air Force	101.1
68	Missouri	100.4
69	Georgia Tech	100.4
70	Army	100.1
71	Syracuse	99.8
72	UCF	99.5
73	East Carolina	98.6
74	Colorado	98.6
75	Northwestern	97.8
76	Miami (Ohio)	97.8
77	Toledo	97.5
78	South Carolina	97.1
79	Illinois	96.6
80	U A B	96.3
81	Ball St.	96.3
82	Rutgers	96.2
83	Tulsa	95.5
84	Buffalo	95.4
85	Florida Atlantic	95.0
86	Colorado St.	94.8
87	Eastern Michigan	94.6
88	Western Michigan	94.5
89	Central Michigan	94.3
90	Marshall	94.2
91	San Jose St.	94.0
92	Georgia St.	93.8
93	Memphis	93.3
94	Tulane	93.1
95	Hawaii	92.8
96	Troy	91.7
97	Kent St.	91.3
98	South Alabama	90.9
99	Utah St.	90.7
100	Wyoming	90.5
101	Northern Illinois	89.8
102	Western Kentucky	89.7
103	Arizona	89.3
104	USF	89.1
105	Navy	88.7
106	Middle Tennessee	88.6
107	Duke	87.5
108	Ohio	86.3
109	Georgia Southern	86.2
110	Louisiana Tech	85.2
111	U N L V	85.1
112	Arkansas St.	84.8
113	U T E P	83.5
114	Texas St.	83.4
115	New Mexico	82.4
116	Rice	81.8
117	Kansas	81.4
118	Charlotte	81.1
119	Temple	81.1
120	North Texas	80.3
121	UL-Monroe	80.3
122	Vanderbilt	79.2
123	Southern Miss.	78.2
124	Florida Int’l.	77.5
125	Old Dominion	75.2
126	Akron	74.6
127	Bowling Green	73.6
128	New Mexico St.	72.0
129	UMass	69.0
130	Connecticut	68.3

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	119.7	119.3	121.7	120.2
SMU	104.0	104.4	104.9	104.4
Houston	104.3	103.2	104.6	104.0
UCF	99.3	98.3	100.9	99.5
East Carolina	98.3	97.8	99.6	98.6
Tulsa	95.6	95.6	95.4	95.5
Memphis	92.9	93.2	93.8	93.3
Tulane	93.4	92.0	93.8	93.1
USF	89.2	88.8	89.4	89.1
Navy	88.7	88.3	89.1	88.7
Temple	80.6	81.6	81.1	81.1
AAC Averages	96.9	96.6	97.7	97.0

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	113.7	113.7	115.0	114.2
NC State	111.2	110.8	111.2	111.1
Wake Forest	110.0	109.5	110.4	110.0
Florida St.	104.4	104.6	104.7	104.6
Louisville	104.0	103.9	105.5	104.5
Boston College	101.6	101.7	101.8	101.7
Syracuse	99.7	99.9	99.8	99.8
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	110.0	110.8	110.6	110.4
North Carolina	109.7	109.8	111.3	110.3
Miami (Fla.)	110.2	109.2	110.1	109.8
Virginia	106.6	107.7	106.7	107.0
Virginia Tech	103.2	102.1	102.0	102.4
Georgia Tech	100.2	100.5	100.4	100.4
Duke	87.5	88.4	86.6	87.5
ACC Averages	105.1	105.2	105.4	105.3

Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma	122.2	120.3	121.1	121.2
Iowa St.	121.2	119.8	120.9	120.7
Texas	117.0	115.3	116.0	116.1
Oklahoma St.	113.7	113.5	113.3	113.5
Baylor	112.6	112.1	111.6	112.1
West Virginia	112.7	111.0	110.2	111.3
T C U	111.4	110.0	110.4	110.6
Kansas St.	107.6	107.3	106.7	107.2
Texas Tech	103.2	103.4	102.3	103.0
Kansas	83.8	81.5	78.9	81.4
Big 12 Averages	110.5	109.4	109.1	109.7

Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	130.3	130.3	132.0	130.9
Michigan	114.1	115.1	115.4	114.9
Penn St.	113.4	114.0	115.7	114.4
Michigan St.	110.3	110.3	110.4	110.3
Indiana	102.3	102.0	102.7	102.4
Maryland	102.8	101.5	100.9	101.8
Rutgers	95.4	97.2	95.8	96.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Iowa	115.9	115.5	117.2	116.2
Wisconsin	110.9	110.8	112.3	111.4
Nebraska	109.6	110.0	110.3	110.0
Minnesota	107.2	108.0	109.1	108.1
Purdue	105.7	105.4	107.5	106.2
Northwestern	97.8	98.1	97.6	97.8
Illinois	96.2	96.5	97.1	96.6
Big Ten Averages	108.0	108.2	108.9	108.4

Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Florida Atlantic	94.2	95.6	95.2	95.0
Marshall	94.1	94.0	94.6	94.2
Western Kentucky	88.6	90.2	90.3	89.7
Middle Tennessee	88.2	88.3	89.2	88.6
Charlotte	80.2	81.2	81.9	81.1
Florida Int’l.	77.0	77.6	78.0	77.5
Old Dominion	74.8	75.5	75.4	75.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U T S A	101.2	101.9	101.7	101.6
U A B	96.2	96.4	96.4	96.3
Louisiana Tech	85.5	85.8	84.2	85.2
U T E P	83.4	84.4	82.6	83.5
Rice	81.8	81.8	81.8	81.8
North Texas	80.4	80.4	80.2	80.3
Southern Miss.	77.9	78.6	77.9	78.2
CUSA Averages	86.0	86.5	86.4	86.3

FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	114.1	114.7	115.6	114.8
BYU	107.8	107.2	107.8	107.6
Liberty	101.4	101.9	102.0	101.8
Army	100.2	100.1	99.9	100.1
New Mexico St.	72.3	73.0	70.8	72.0
UMass	70.1	69.5	67.3	69.0
Connecticut	68.9	69.4	66.7	68.3
Indep. Averages	90.7	90.8	90.0	90.5

Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	99.3	97.6	96.6	97.8
Buffalo	96.1	95.2	95.0	95.4
Kent St.	91.0	92.3	90.7	91.3
Ohio	85.9	86.8	86.3	86.3
Akron	76.0	74.5	73.5	74.6
Bowling Green	74.1	74.3	72.3	73.6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	98.0	97.6	96.9	97.5
Ball St.	97.1	96.8	94.9	96.3
Eastern Michigan	96.0	94.6	93.3	94.6
Western Michigan	94.6	95.0	93.7	94.5
Central Michigan	95.4	94.0	93.5	94.3
Northern Illinois	90.9	89.5	89.0	89.8
MAC Averages	91.2	90.7	89.6	90.5

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	103.4	103.2	104.0	103.6
Air Force	100.8	101.0	101.6	101.1
Colorado St.	94.6	94.8	95.0	94.8
Utah St.	90.4	91.2	90.6	90.7
Wyoming	90.1	90.5	90.9	90.5
New Mexico	82.8	82.9	81.4	82.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
San Diego St.	103.1	102.7	102.8	102.9
Fresno St.	101.1	102.5	103.1	102.2
Nevada	101.0	102.4	101.7	101.7
San Jose St.	94.5	94.5	93.0	94.0
Hawaii	93.0	92.7	92.5	92.8
U N L V	85.5	84.7	85.2	85.1
MWC Averages	95.0	95.3	95.1	95.1

Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oregon	111.4	112.5	113.4	112.4
Oregon St.	111.1	111.2	111.6	111.3
Washington	106.0	107.1	107.1	106.7
Stanford	104.6	105.4	104.6	104.9
California	99.7	103.3	102.4	101.8
Washington St.	101.1	102.1	101.6	101.6
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Arizona St.	113.6	114.2	114.3	114.0
Utah	113.6	113.6	113.5	113.6
U S C	111.3	111.2	112.1	111.6
U C L A	109.5	110.0	110.2	109.9
Colorado	98.9	98.7	98.1	98.6
Arizona	89.6	89.2	89.2	89.3
Pac-12 Averages	105.9	106.5	106.5	106.3

Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	134.3	134.5	135.6	134.8
Florida	116.5	117.8	117.1	117.1
Kentucky	112.0	113.7	113.1	112.9
Tennessee	108.8	108.5	109.0	108.8
Missouri	100.5	100.8	99.8	100.4
South Carolina	97.6	97.2	96.6	97.1
Vanderbilt	79.9	79.2	78.6	79.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	131.6	130.9	132.4	131.6
Texas A&M	118.2	118.9	118.6	118.6
Auburn	117.5	116.8	117.8	117.4
Ole Miss	117.1	117.1	117.4	117.2
Arkansas	113.2	113.1	112.7	113.0
L S U	109.7	110.5	110.5	110.2
Mississippi St.	108.4	108.5	108.2	108.4
SEC Averages	111.8	112.0	112.0	111.9

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Coastal Carolina	111.4	109.6	111.4	110.8
Appalachian St.	103.8	103.3	105.4	104.2
Georgia St.	94.2	93.5	93.8	93.8
Troy	91.6	91.8	91.7	91.7
Georgia Southern	86.3	86.6	85.9	86.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisiana	107.9	106.4	107.7	107.3
South Alabama	91.2	91.1	90.3	90.9
Arkansas St.	84.9	85.2	84.3	84.8
Texas St.	84.5	82.7	83.0	83.4
UL-Monroe	80.6	80.8	79.4	80.3
Sun Averages	93.6	93.1	93.3	93.3

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	111.9
2	Big 12	109.7
3	Big Ten	108.4
4	Pac-12	106.3
5	Atlantic Coast	105.3
6	American Athletic	97.0
7	Mountain West	95.1
8	Sun Belt	93.3
9	Independents	90.5
10	Mid-American	90.5
11	Conference USA	86.3

Playoff and Bowl Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	Marshall	Toledo
Cure	SMU	Coastal Carolina
Boca	Louisiana Tech	Air Force
New Mexico	UTEP	Northern Illinois
Independence	BYU	Florida Atlantic
Lending Tree	Western Michigan	Appalachian St.
L. A.	San Diego St.	UCLA
New Orleans	UTSA	Louisiana
Myrtle Beach	Central Michigan	Charlotte
Famous Idaho Potato	Eastern Michigan	Boise St.
Frisco	Nevada	UL-Monroe
Armed Forces	Army	UAB
Gasparilla	Middle Tennessee	Buffalo
Hawaii	Central Florida	Fresno St.
Camellia	Kent St.	Troy
Quick Lane	Ball St.	Wyoming
Military	North Carolina	Tulsa
Birmingham	Memphis	Liberty
First Responder	Western Kentucky	Texas Tech
Liberty	Texas	LSU
Holiday	Miami (Fla.)	USC
Guaranteed Rate	Purdue	West Virginia
Fenway	Houston	Boston College
Pinstripe	North Carolina St.	Penn St.
Cheez-It	Wake Forest	Iowa St.
Alamo	Baylor	Arizona St.
Duke’s Mayo	Clemson	Tennessee
Music City	Maryland	Arkansas
Las Vegas	Wisconsin	Oregon St.
Tax Slayer Gator	Virginia	Florida
Tony The Tiger Sun	Louisville	Utah
Arizona	Miami (O)	Utah St.
Citrus	Iowa	Ole Miss
Outback	Minnesota	Texas A&M
Texas	Kansas St.	Auburn
Peach	Pittsburgh	Kentucky
Fiesta	Notre Dame	Michigan
Rose	Oregon	Michigan St.
Sugar	Oklahoma St.	Alabama
Cotton	Oklahoma	Ohio St.
Orange	Georgia	Cincinnati
Championship	Georgia	Ohio St.

NCAA Strikes Out On New Overtime Rule

Did you watch the Penn State-Illinois game Saturday?  It was tied 10-10 after 60 minutes of excellent defensive football.  The Illini shut down the Penn State passing game while controlling the clock by running and running and more running.

Both teams scored field goals in the first two overtimes to make the score 16-16.  The new overtime rule states that starting with the third overtime, both teams get a two-point conversion attempt.  If the score remains tied, then successive two-point conversion attempts are taken until one team scores and the other team does not.

Additionally, after the first overtime, there are no more coin flips.  The teams rotate the choice.  And, what happens is the home team always wants to play on the side of the field where the student body cheers in the end zone, while the opponent wants to play at the other end of the field.  After each overtime, the players, officials, chain gang, and hundreds of fans must make the 100-yard walk to the other end of the field.

It’s no longer much of a secret that making two-point conversions is about as difficult as making 55-yard field goals.  That became a huge problem yesterday in Happy Valley, Pennsylvania.  Penn State and Illinois could not convert their two-point conversion attempts.  Overtimes three, four, five, six, and seven produced 10 consecutive botched conversions.  As each overtime ended, everybody had to move to the other end of the field, and the longer into this mess it continued, the big tubby linemen began to walk at a snail’s pace to get back.

Illinois finally scored in the eighth overtime, but then Penn State did the same forcing a ninth overtime.  The game was finally decided when the Nittany Lions missed their ninth overtime attempt, while Illinois scored to win the game 20-18.

In the amount of time it took to play the nine overtimes, another game that kicked off at the same time as the first overtime began the second quarter of their game just before the nine-overtime game concluded.  In other words, it took a little longer than one full quarter to play the nine overtimes.

Imagine a game in late November with sloppy playing conditions where regulation ends in a tie game, and nobody can score in the overtimes for 10 or more of these ridiculous two-point conversion attempts.  If it took nine yesterday, there is a possibility that somebody else will need 10 or more.

The NCAA must re-evaluate this fiasco of a rule.  In fact, the NCAA needs to have a constitutional convention and modify a lot of the rules to get into the 21st century.  Here is our suggestion for rules changes–use the same rules the NFL uses.  To wit:

1. Overtime should be one, 10-minute period with a touchdown on the first possession winning the game, but a field goal allowing the other team to have a possession.  If the game is still tied after 10 minutes, it stands as a tie game.

2. Intentional pass interference is now a definite defensive option to stop a big gain.  Players will even deliver cheap shots knowing that giving up 15 yards beats giving up 50 or a touchdown.  Because passing the ball is tantamount to winning, the pass interference penalty needs to go back to giving the offense the ball at the spot of interference, be it 12 yards past the line or 50.

3. The clock should not stop on first downs.  That rule was in effect when chain gangs were the only way to spot the ball.  In today’s world, the ball can be spotted quickly via computerization and an extra referee.  Let the clock move on first downs.

4. Add the two-minute warning.  In lieu of the clock stopping on first downs, add a two-minute warning to both halves.  That is when teams need the clock to stop, and the networks can get an extra commercial break before halftime or the end of the game.

5. Allow a player that falls to the ground with the ball but having been untouched by the defense to get up and advance.  Why should poor playing conditions be responsible for making a defensive stop?  

Here’s one additional rule change that should be considered.  Targeting happens too much these days when the ball carrier lowers his head to invite the targeting penalty.  This is almost like the flop in basketball.  The rule needs to be changed so that when the ball carrier initiates the targeting by putting himself into position for any tackle to become a potential targeting penalty, the offense should be penalized 15 yards for a personal foul.

Additionally, ejection is much too harsh of a penalty.  How about making targeting a 20-yard penalty and automatic first down, and also allowing it to supersede the half the distance to the goal and be allowed to go all the way to the 1-yard line if the offense is in the Red Zone?  A penalty in one game shouldn’t be allowed to stay in effect for a half of another game.  This may be the most ridiculous rule in college football history.  Think of a basketball game where a Syracuse player commits an intentional foul on a Connecticut player late in the second half of a game, and then three days later when Syracuse plays Duke, Duke gets to start the game with 2 foul shots from the intentional foul three days back.

PiRate Ratings College Football–October 20-23, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Appalachian St.	Coastal Carolina	-8.0	-6.7	-6.7
SMU	Tulane	9.8	11.8	9.9
Arkansas St.	Louisiana	-23.5	-21.5	-24.5
Charlotte	Florida Atlantic	-7.3	-7.5	-6.3
UNLV	San Jose St.	-6.3	-7.2	-5.1
Connecticut	Middle Tennessee	-12.7	-11.9	-15.9
Central Florida	Memphis	8.6	6.9	8.9
Utah St.	Colorado St.	-1.6	-1.0	-2.2
Arizona	Washington	-15.5	-17.4	-17.5
Toledo	Western Michigan	3.1	2.0	2.4
Florida St.	Massachusetts	32.2	33.0	35.6
Georgia St.	Texas St.	12.2	13.3	13.4
Indiana	Ohio St.	-15.9	-16.0	-17.0
Akron	Buffalo	-12.8	-13.4	-14.3
Penn St.	Illinois	25.4	26.1	27.6
Virginia	Georgia Tech	9.6	10.9	10.1
Louisville	Boston College	2.6	2.0	3.7
Virginia Tech	Syracuse	9.8	8.6	8.7
Pittsburgh	Clemson	-4.2	-3.5	-5.5
Minnesota	Maryland	4.5	6.8	8.6
Michigan	Northwestern	18.5	19.2	19.8
Central Michigan	Northern Illinois	9.6	9.9	10.3
Ohio U	Kent St.	-2.2	-2.6	-0.8
Navy	Cincinnati	-33.3	-33.5	-35.5
Miami (Fla.)	North Carolina St.	1.9	1.4	2.1
Army	Wake Forest	-5.8	-5.0	-6.1
South Florida	Temple	10.8	8.8	9.9
Bowling Green	Eastern Michigan	-16.5	-14.5	-15.1
Houston	East Carolina	9.8	9.4	9.1
Kansas	Oklahoma	-41.4	-41.8	-45.2
Ball St.	Miami (O)	1.3	3.3	2.4
Wyoming	New Mexico	18.7	19.2	20.9
California	Colorado	-2.0	2.3	1.5
Oregon St.	Utah	-1.5	-1.6	-1.3
Washington St.	BYU	-3.3	-1.5	-2.8
UCLA	Oregon	1.7	1.3	0.9
Texas Tech	Kansas St.	-1.2	-0.7	-1.2
TCU	West Virginia	5.3	5.8	7.4
Iowa St.	Oklahoma St.	11.1	9.9	11.6
UAB	Rice	22.0	22.4	22.7
Alabama	Tennessee	25.4	25.0	26.0
Texas A&M	South Carolina	21.5	22.6	23.0
Vanderbilt	Mississippi St.	-22.2	-22.8	-22.9
Purdue	Wisconsin	1.8	1.6	2.4
Ole Miss	LSU	10.0	8.8	9.1
Louisiana-Monroe	South Alabama	-13.2	-12.9	-13.9
North Texas	Liberty	-20.8	-21.7	-22.4
Louisiana Tech	UTSA	-8.4	-8.5	-9.8
Florida Int’l.	Western Kentucky	-8.5	-9.5	-8.8
Air Force	San Diego St.	2.2	3.2	4.1
Notre Dame	USC	3.6	4.3	4.1
Fresno St.	Nevada	3.3	3.3	4.9
Hawaii	New Mexico St.	26.1	25.1	27.7

FBS vs. FCS Game

FBS	FCS	PiRate
Arkansas	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	39.5

Teams Not Playing This Week

Arizona St.

Auburn

Baylor

Boise St.

Duke

Florida

Georgia

Georgia Southern

Iowa

Kentucky

Marshall

Michigan St.

Missouri

Nebraska

North Carolina

Old Dominion

Rutgers

Southern Miss.

Stanford

Texas

Troy

Tulsa

UTEP

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	134.5
2	Alabama	131.4
3	Ohio St.	126.6
4	Oklahoma	124.7
5	Cincinnati	123.2
6	Iowa St.	121.0
7	Texas A&M	117.4
8	Penn St.	117.2
9	Auburn	117.1
10	Ole Miss	116.9
11	Florida	116.8
12	Clemson	116.2
13	Iowa	115.9
14	Texas	115.8
15	Utah	114.7
16	Michigan	114.4
17	Arizona St.	113.7
18	Notre Dame	113.7
19	Oklahoma St.	113.1
20	Arkansas	112.8
21	U S C	112.7
22	Kentucky	112.6
23	T C U	112.5
24	Coastal Carolina	112.5
25	Oregon	112.0
26	Baylor	111.8
27	NC State	111.0
28	L S U	110.6
29	U C L A	110.3
30	Oregon St.	110.2
31	Michigan St.	110.0
32	North Carolina	110.0
33	Miami (Fla.)	109.8
34	Nebraska	109.7
35	West Virginia	109.3
36	Wake Forest	109.3
37	Wisconsin	109.3
38	Tennessee	109.0
39	Louisiana	108.9
40	Pittsburgh	108.7
41	Washington	108.3
42	Purdue	108.2
43	BYU	107.5
44	Indiana	107.3
45	Virginia	107.3
46	Kansas St.	107.1
47	Minnesota	106.9
48	Mississippi St.	106.4
49	Stanford	104.6
50	Houston	104.5
51	Virginia Tech	104.3
52	Liberty	103.4
53	Boise St.	103.4
54	Boston College	103.3
55	Maryland	103.3
56	Louisville	103.1
57	Texas Tech	103.1
58	Appalachian St.	102.8
59	SMU	102.5
60	Fresno St.	102.4
61	Washington St.	101.9
62	Air Force	101.8
63	Florida St.	101.8
64	San Diego St.	101.7
65	Colorado	101.6
66	Nevada	101.5
67	Army	100.7
68	Georgia Tech	100.1
69	Missouri	100.1
70	U T S A	99.3
71	California	99.2
72	U A B	99.1
73	UCF	98.9
74	Northwestern	98.3
75	Syracuse	98.2
76	East Carolina	98.1
77	South Carolina	98.0
78	Miami (Ohio)	97.1
79	Ball St.	97.0
80	Western Michigan	96.2
81	Rutgers	95.9
82	Toledo	95.7
83	Central Michigan	95.6
84	Wyoming	95.5
85	Tulsa	95.3
86	Colorado St.	95.1
87	Tulane	95.0
88	San Jose St.	93.9
89	Marshall	93.9
90	Georgia St.	93.8
91	Memphis	93.8
92	Illinois	93.8
93	Hawaii	93.6
94	South Alabama	93.3
95	Eastern Michigan	93.0
96	Buffalo	93.0
97	Florida Atlantic	92.8
98	Troy	91.5
99	Kent St.	90.8
100	Utah St.	90.5
101	Western Kentucky	89.3
102	USF	88.5
103	Arizona	88.5
104	Northern Illinois	88.2
105	Louisiana Tech	87.4
106	Duke	87.2
107	Ohio	86.9
108	Middle Tennessee	86.7
109	Navy	86.1
110	Georgia Southern	86.0
111	U N L V	85.2
112	Arkansas St.	83.7
113	Texas St.	83.4
114	U T E P	83.3
115	Charlotte	83.3
116	Vanderbilt	81.7
117	Temple	81.7
118	Rice	79.3
119	North Texas	79.2
120	Kansas	78.9
121	New Mexico	78.9
122	Southern Miss.	78.0
123	Florida Int’l.	77.9
124	UL-Monroe	77.5
125	Akron	77.0
126	Bowling Green	75.2
127	Old Dominion	75.0
128	New Mexico St.	71.2
129	UMass	71.2
130	Connecticut	70.2

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	122.6	122.3	124.9	123.2
Houston	104.7	103.7	105.2	104.5
SMU	102.1	102.6	102.8	102.5
UCF	98.9	97.7	100.3	98.9
East Carolina	97.9	97.3	99.0	98.1
Tulsa	95.4	95.4	95.2	95.3
Tulane	95.3	93.8	95.9	95.0
Memphis	93.3	93.8	94.4	93.8
USF	88.8	88.1	88.7	88.5
Navy	86.3	85.8	86.4	86.1
Temple	81.0	82.3	81.8	81.7
AAC Averages	96.9	96.6	97.7	97.1
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	115.6	115.6	117.2	116.2
NC State	111.2	110.8	111.1	111.0
Wake Forest	109.5	108.8	109.7	109.3
Boston College	103.1	103.4	103.4	103.3
Louisville	102.7	102.4	104.1	103.1
Florida St.	101.6	101.8	102.0	101.8
Syracuse	98.2	98.4	98.2	98.2
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
North Carolina	109.4	109.5	111.0	110.0
Miami (Fla.)	110.2	109.2	110.2	109.8
Pittsburgh	108.4	109.2	108.7	108.7
Virginia	106.7	108.0	107.1	107.3
Virginia Tech	105.0	103.9	103.9	104.3
Georgia Tech	100.1	100.2	100.0	100.1
Duke	87.2	88.1	86.3	87.2
ACC Averages	104.9	104.9	105.2	105.0
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma	125.7	123.8	124.6	124.7
Iowa St.	121.5	120.1	121.4	121.0
Texas	116.7	115.0	115.7	115.8
Oklahoma St.	113.4	113.2	112.8	113.1
T C U	113.2	111.9	112.5	112.5
Baylor	112.3	111.8	111.3	111.8
West Virginia	110.9	109.1	108.1	109.3
Kansas St.	107.5	107.2	106.6	107.1
Texas Tech	103.3	103.5	102.4	103.1
Kansas	81.3	79.0	76.4	78.9
Big 12 Averages	110.6	109.5	109.2	109.7
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	126.1	126.0	127.7	126.6
Penn St.	116.0	116.8	118.7	117.2
Michigan	113.7	114.7	114.9	114.4
Michigan St.	110.0	110.0	110.1	110.0
Indiana	107.2	107.0	107.7	107.3
Maryland	104.4	103.0	102.3	103.3
Rutgers	95.1	96.9	95.5	95.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Iowa	115.6	115.2	116.9	115.9
Nebraska	109.3	109.7	110.0	109.7
Wisconsin	108.9	108.8	110.2	109.3
Purdue	107.7	107.4	109.6	108.2
Minnesota	105.9	106.8	108.0	106.9
Northwestern	98.2	98.5	98.1	98.3
Illinois	93.6	93.7	94.1	93.8
Big Ten Averages	108.0	108.2	108.8	108.3
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Marshall	93.8	93.7	94.3	93.9
Florida Atlantic	92.1	93.4	93.0	92.8
Western Kentucky	88.3	89.9	89.8	89.3
Middle Tennessee	86.4	86.3	87.4	86.7
Charlotte	82.3	83.4	84.1	83.3
Florida Int’l.	77.3	77.9	78.5	77.9
Old Dominion	74.6	75.3	75.2	75.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U T S A	99.0	99.6	99.4	99.3
U A B	98.9	99.2	99.3	99.1
Louisiana Tech	87.7	88.1	86.5	87.4
U T E P	83.2	84.2	82.4	83.3
Rice	79.4	79.3	79.2	79.3
North Texas	79.5	79.3	78.9	79.2
Southern Miss.	77.7	78.4	77.7	78.0
CUSA Averages	85.7	86.3	86.1	86.0
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	113.0	113.6	114.4	113.7
BYU	107.7	107.0	107.7	107.5
Liberty	102.8	103.5	103.8	103.4
Army	100.7	100.8	100.6	100.7
New Mexico St.	71.6	72.3	69.8	71.2
UMass	72.4	71.8	69.5	71.2
Connecticut	70.7	71.4	68.5	70.2
Indep. Averages	91.3	91.5	90.6	91.1
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	98.8	96.8	95.8	97.1
Buffalo	93.7	92.8	92.6	93.0
Kent St.	90.6	91.8	89.9	90.8
Ohio	86.3	87.3	87.1	86.9
Akron	78.4	76.9	75.9	77.0
Bowling Green	75.5	76.0	74.0	75.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ball St.	97.6	97.6	95.7	97.0
Western Michigan	96.2	96.8	95.6	96.2
Toledo	96.4	95.8	95.0	95.7
Central Michigan	96.6	95.3	95.0	95.6
Eastern Michigan	94.6	92.9	91.6	93.0
Northern Illinois	89.4	87.9	87.2	88.2
MAC Averages	91.2	90.7	89.6	90.5
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	103.2	103.0	103.8	103.4
Air Force	101.3	101.7	102.5	101.8
Wyoming	95.1	95.5	95.9	95.5
Colorado St.	94.8	95.0	95.4	95.1
Utah St.	90.2	91.0	90.2	90.5
New Mexico	79.3	79.4	77.9	78.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	101.2	102.6	103.4	102.4
San Diego St.	102.1	101.5	101.4	101.7
Nevada	100.9	102.3	101.4	101.5
San Jose St.	94.4	94.4	92.9	93.9
Hawaii	93.7	93.4	93.5	93.6
U N L V	85.6	84.8	85.3	85.2
MWC Averages	95.1	95.4	95.3	95.3
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oregon	111.1	112.1	112.9	112.0
Oregon St.	110.1	110.1	110.4	110.2
Washington	107.4	108.7	108.8	108.3
Stanford	104.3	105.1	104.3	104.6
Washington St.	101.4	102.5	101.9	101.9
California	97.1	100.9	99.8	99.2
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	114.6	114.7	114.7	114.7
Arizona St.	113.3	113.9	114.0	113.7
U S C	112.4	112.3	113.3	112.7
U C L A	109.8	110.4	110.7	110.3
Colorado	102.0	101.6	101.2	101.6
Arizona	88.9	88.3	88.2	88.5
Pac-12 Averages	106.0	106.7	106.7	106.5
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	134.0	134.2	135.3	134.5
Florida	116.2	117.5	116.8	116.8
Kentucky	111.7	113.4	112.8	112.6
Tennessee	109.0	108.7	109.2	109.0
Missouri	100.2	100.5	99.5	100.1
South Carolina	98.5	98.1	97.5	98.0
Vanderbilt	82.3	81.7	81.2	81.7
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	131.4	130.7	132.2	131.4
Texas A&M	117.0	117.7	117.4	117.4
Auburn	117.2	116.5	117.5	117.1
Ole Miss	116.9	116.7	117.0	116.9
Arkansas	113.0	112.9	112.5	112.8
L S U	109.9	110.9	110.9	110.6
Mississippi St.	106.5	106.5	106.1	106.4
SEC Averages	111.7	111.9	111.9	111.8
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Coastal Carolina	113.0	111.2	113.1	112.5
Appalachian St.	102.5	102.0	104.0	102.8
Georgia St.	94.2	93.5	93.8	93.8
Troy	91.4	91.6	91.5	91.5
Georgia Southern	86.1	86.4	85.7	86.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisiana	109.4	107.8	109.5	108.9
South Alabama	93.6	93.5	92.9	93.3
Arkansas St.	83.9	84.3	83.0	83.7
Texas St.	84.5	82.7	83.0	83.4
UL-Monroe	77.9	78.1	76.5	77.5
Sun Averages	93.6	93.1	93.3	93.4

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	111.8
2	Big 12	109.7
3	Big Ten	108.3
4	Pac-12	106.5
5	Atlantic Coast	105.0
6	American Athletic	97.1
7	Mountain West	95.3
8	Sun Belt	93.4
9	Independents	91.1
10	Mid-American	90.5
11	Conference USA	86.0

This Week’s Bowl Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	UTSA	Northern Illinois
Cure	Memphis	Appalachian St.
Boca	Florida Atlantic	Liberty
New Mexico	UTEP	Air Force
Independence	BYU	UAB
Lending Tree	Central Michigan	Coastal Carolina
L. A.	San Diego St.	Washington St.
New Orleans	Charlotte	Louisiana
Myrtle Beach	Tulsa	Troy
Famous Idaho Potato	Toledo	Utah St.
Frisco	Western Kentucky	Miami (O)
Armed Forces	Army	Marshall
Gasparilla	Boston College	Middle Tennessee
Hawaii	Central Florida	Nevada
Camellia	Eastern Michigan	UL-Monroe
Quick Lane	Ball St.	Northwestern
Military	Maryland	East Carolina
Birmingham	Kent St.	Washington
First Responder	SMU	Wyoming
Liberty	TCU	Arkansas
Holiday	Virginia Tech	Oregon St.
Guaranteed Rate	Purdue	Texas Tech
Fenway	Houston	Clemson
Pinstripe	Virginia	Minnesota
Cheez-It	Notre Dame	Baylor
Alamo	Iowa St.	UCLA
Duke’s Mayo	North Carolina St.	Tennessee
Music City	Wisconsin	Kansas St.
Las Vegas	Penn St.	Oregon
Tax Slayer Gator	Wake Forest	LSU
Tony The Tiger Sun	North Carolina	USC
Arizona	Western Michigan	Fresno St.
Citrus	Michigan	Florida
Outback	Iowa	Auburn
Texas	Texas	Texas A&M
Peach	Ole Miss	Pittsburgh
Fiesta	Arizona St.	Kentucky
Rose	Michigan St.	Utah
Sugar	Alabama	Oklahoma St.
Cotton	Oklahoma	Cincinnati
Orange	Georgia	Ohio St.
Championship	Georgia	Oklahoma