PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Thursday, January 26, 2023

Home	Visitor	Spread
Abilene Christian	Grand Canyon	-4.9
Appalachian St.	Georgia St.	5.7
Bellarmine	Eastern Kentucky	-0.7
Cal Poly	Long Beach St.	-3.3
Cal St. Bakersfield	UC Davis	-4.7
Cal St. Fullerton	UC Irvine	-2.8
Cal St. Northridge	UC San Diego	0.9
Central Arkansas	North Florida	-3.2
Central Connecticut St.	Merrimack	2.7
Eastern Washington	Idaho St.	9.5
Elon	Hofstra	-11.7
Fairleigh Dickinson	St. Francis (PA)	2.1
Florida Atlantic	Middle Tennessee	9.5
Florida Intl.	Western Kentucky	-3.2
Hampton	Delaware	-7.9
Idaho	Weber St.	-2.0
Incarnate Word	McNeese St.	-0.1
Jacksonville St.	Lipscomb	-3.6
James Madison	Coastal Carolina	12.4
Kennesaw St.	Austin Peay	9.5
Lamar	Texas A&M-Commerce	-6.1
Liberty	Stetson	11.2
Louisiana	Troy	3.3
Loyola Marymount	Portland	7.5
Marshall	Louisiana Monroe	16.7
Memphis	SMU	14.9
Michigan	Purdue	-4.7
Michigan St.	Iowa	1.7
Morehead St.	Little Rock	7.2
Mount St. Mary’s	Fairfield	-0.1
North Alabama	Jacksonville	-4.2
North Carolina A&T	Drexel	-2.8
North Texas	UTSA	18.9
Northern Kentucky	Green Bay	18.2
Northwestern St.	Houston Christian	13.0
Oral Roberts	Denver	16.8
Oregon	Colorado	3.2
Oregon St.	Utah	-8.7
Pepperdine	San Diego	3.7
Portland St.	Montana St.	-3.2
Queens	Florida Gulf Coast	0.1
Radford	Longwood	1.6
Rice	Charlotte	-0.9
Sacramento St.	Montana	0.3
Sacred Heart	Long Island	13.2
Sam Houston	Seattle	6.1
South Alabama	Old Dominion	2.4
Southeast Louisiana	New Orleans	8.8
Southeast Missouri St.	Tennessee St.	5.9
Southern Indiana	Eastern Illinois	10.3
Southern Miss.	Arkansas St.	14.4
Southern Utah	Utah Valley	-0.1
St. Thomas	South Dakota St.	-0.3
Tarleton St.	Utah Tech	3.0
Tennessee Tech	SIU Edwardsville	-2.4
Texas A&M-CC	Nicholls St.	2.6
Texas St.	Georgia Southern	3.2
Towson	Northeastern	9.7
UAB	Louisiana Tech	8.9
UMKC	Omaha	6.9
UNC Wilmington	Monmouth	19.5
USC	UCLA	-6.0
UT Martin	Lindenwood	9.3
Wagner	St. Francis (NY)	10.5
Washington	Arizona St.	-1.9
Washington St.	Arizona	-4.1
Western Illinois	South Dakota	4.2
William & Mary	Stony Brook	3.7
Wright St.	Milwaukee	1.8

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Wednesday, January 18. 2023

Home	Visitor	Spread
American	Lafayette	5.1
Army	Bucknell	5.6
California	Oregon	-7.4
Campbell	Radford	-1.7
Central Arkansas	North Alabama	0.3
Charleston Southern	UNC Asheville	-2.3
Chattanooga	Furman	1.2
Colorado St.	San Diego St	-4.9
DePaul	Xavier	-9.1
Drake	Missouri St.	6.2
East Tennessee St.	Samford	-3.7
Grand Canyon	Utah Tech	10.9
High Point	Winthrop	1.3
Holy Cross	Colgate	-12.4
Indiana St.	Bradley	0.1
Longwood	Gardner Webb	5.1
Louisville	Pittsburgh	-10.7
Loyola (Chi)	Saint Louis	-7.3
LSU	Auburn	-5.1
Marquette	Providence	5.7
Missouri	Arkansas	-1.0
Morgan St.	Hartford	15.6
Navy	Boston U.	2.8
Nebraska	Ohio St.	-5.5
Northern Iowa	Illinois St.	6.5
Oklahoma St.	Oklahoma	2.7
Seton Hall	Connecticut	-4.8
South Florida	Cincinnati	-3.9
St. Bonaventure	Duquesne	-0.4
Temple	East Carolina	7.7
Texas A&M	Florida	2.0
Tulsa	SMU	-1.4
UMass Lowell	UMBC	5.9
USC Upstate	Presbyterian	5.5
Utah Valley	Abilene Christian	9.1
Virginia	Virginia Tech	6.4
West Virginia	TCU	1.8
Western Carolina	Wofford	-0.7

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Thursday, January 12, 2023

Home	Visitor	Spread
Appalachian St.	Georgia Southern	4.0
Arkansas St.	Texas St.	-3.7
Austin Peay	Lipscomb	1.2
Bellarmine	Stetson	0.8
BYU	Gonzaga	-6.0
Denver	North Dakota St.	0.8
Detroit	Youngstown St.	-2.8
Eastern Illinois	SIU Edwardsville	-8.4
Eastern Kentucky	Florida Gulf Coast	-4.1
Georgia St.	Troy	-3.3
Grand Canyon	UT Arlington	12.8
Green Bay	Wright St.	-9.3
Houston Christian	Texas A&M-Commerce	-5.3
Incarnate Word	New Orleans	0.8
Iowa	Michigan	5.6
IUPUI	Purdue Ft. Wayne	-16.6
Jacksonville St.	North Florida	0.2
Kennesaw St.	Jacksonville	1.4
Lamar	Nicholls St.	-10.7
Liberty	North Alabama	17.1
Long Beach St.	Cal Poly	7.5
Louisiana Monroe	Louisiana	-6.9
Marshall	Southern Miss.	6.5
Milwaukee	Northern Kentucky	2.5
Montana	Weber St.	4.7
Montana St.	Idaho St.	10.0
Northwestern St.	McNeese St.	7.5
Oakland	Robert Morris	1.9
Ohio St.	Minnesota	18.5
Old Dominion	Coastal Carolina	5.8
Omaha	North Dakota	4.3
Oral Roberts	Western Illinois	14.7
Oregon	Arizona St.	3.0
Oregon St.	Arizona	-15.9
Portland	San Francisco	-2.0
Portland St.	Northern Arizona	6.7
Queens	Central Arkansas	12.0
Sacramento St.	Northern Colorado	5.3
Saint Mary’s	Loyola Marymount	13.0
San Diego	Pepperdine	1.3
Seattle	New Mexico St.	3.1
South Alabama	James Madison	-5.3
Southeast Missouri St.	Lindenwood	7.6
Southern Indiana	Little Rock	7.8
Southern Utah	Sam Houston	-2.6
Stony Brook	Drexel	-5.3
Tennessee St.	UT Martin	2.3
Tennessee Tech	Morehead St.	0.3
Texas A&M-CC	Southeastern Louisiana	7.5
UCLA	Utah	11.2
UMKC	St. Thomas	0.4
UNC Asheville	Longwood	-1.7
USC	Colorado	1.5
Utah Tech	Stephen F. Austin	-0.6
Washington	Stanford	1.1

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Thursday, January 5, 2023

Home	Visitor	Spread
UMBC	Albany	9.4
Holy Cross	American	-8.1
South Alabama	Arkansas St.	9.6
Loyola (MD)	Army	0.7
Vermont	Bryant	3.7
Loyola Marymount	BYU	-0.1
Cal St. Bakersfield	Cal Poly	1.6
UC Riverside	Cal St. Fullerton	6.4
Florida Int’l.	Charlotte	-8.0
Wichita St.	Cincinnati	-1.3
Appalachian St.	Coastal Carolina	3.5
St. Thomas	Denver	6.4
Towson	Drexel	5.2
Tennessee Tech	Eastern Illinois	3.4
Central Arkansas	Eastern Kentucky	-4.4
St. Francis (NY)	Fairleigh Dickinson	1.2
Austin Peay	Florida Gulf Coast	-5.2
Louisiana Monroe	Georgia St.	-1.9
San Francisco	Gonzaga	-10.0
Sam Houston St.	Grand Canyon	6.1
Purdue Ft. Wayne	Green Bay	20.0
UC San Diego	Hawaii	-6.5
Hampton	Hofstra	-10.6
Southeastern Louisiana	Houston Christian	9.8
Iowa	Indiana	0.1
Stetson	Jacksonville	-0.6
Liberty	Jacksonville St.	12.8
North Florida	Kennesaw St.	0.5
Boston U.	Lafayette	4.1
New Orleans	Lamar	6.1
Bucknell	Lehigh	7.5
Cal St. Northridge	Long Beach St.	-4.3
Central Connecticut St.	Long Island	8.9
Rice	Louisiana Tech	1.0
UMass Lowell	Maine	12.6
Georgia Southern	Marshall	-7.4
Rutgers	Maryland	5.8
UTSA	Middle Tennessee	-9.3
Cleveland St.	Milwaukee	4.8
Northern Arizona	Montana	-3.0
Northern Colorado	Montana St.	-2.6
Colgate	Navy	6.7
Binghamton	New Hampshire	-0.8
Texas A&M Commerce	Nicholls St.	-2.2
Lipscomb	North Alabama	6.3
Western Kentucky	North Texas	-4.2
William & Mary	Northeastern	0.4
McNeese St.	Northwestern St.	-3.4
Troy	Old Dominion	4.3
Western Illinois	Omaha	4.1
Colorado	Oregon	2.2
Utah	Oregon St.	16.4
San Diego	Pacific	7.3
Eastern Washington	Portland St.	5.4
Ohio St.	Purdue	2.2
Bellarmine	Queens	-0.7
Youngstown St.	Robert Morris	8.1
Idaho	Sacramento St.	-1.8
Merrimack	Sacred Heart	0.3
Pepperdine	Santa Clara	-1.2
UT Rio Grande Valley	Seattle	-7.1
Houston	SMU	22.4
North Dakota	South Dakota	-1.7
North Dakota St.	South Dakota St.	-2.2
UT Martin	Southeast Missouri St.	1.5
Morehead St.	Southern Indiana	1.5
Louisiana	Southern Miss.	1.2
Tarleton St.	Southern Utah	0.3
Monmouth	Stony Brook	-2.6
SIU Edwardsville	Tennessee St.	7.5
James Madison	Texas St.	14.8
Florida Atlantic	UAB	2.6
UC Davis	UC Irvine	-3.7
UCLA	USC	14.1
Cal Baptist	Utah Tech	3.4
UT Arlington	Utah Valley	-7.4
Stonehill	Wagner	-0.3
Arizona	Washington	17.7
Arizona St.	Washington St.	5.1

PiRate Ratings College Football — November 20, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Ohio	Bowling Green	9.0	11.4	10.9
Miami (O)	Ball St.	5.3	5.7	5.7
Ole Miss	Mississippi St.	0.1	0.1	0.1
North Carolina	North Carolina St.	-0.1	0.7	0.1
Texas	Baylor	6.9	7.1	6.1
Eastern Michigan	Central Michigan	-0.6	-1.4	-2.3
Western Michigan	Toledo	-6.3	-6.0	-6.0
Boise St.	Utah St.	18.3	17.7	18.5
Arizona	Arizona St.	-0.6	0.1	-0.3
Oregon St.	Oregon	-2.0	-2.0	-1.2
Missouri	Arkansas	-8.4	-7.1	-9.5
Colorado St.	New Mexico	7.0	8.2	9.2
Iowa	Nebraska	16.1	15.6	16.1
California	UCLA	-10.2	-10.2	-10.7
Florida St.	Florida	11.1	9.8	10.9
Fresno St.	Wyoming	15.2	13.2	14.5
Kansas St.	Kansas	18.3	18.6	20.0
Indiana	Purdue	-12.1	-12.1	-12.1
Boston College	Syracuse	-8.8	-7.3	-8.9
Georgia	Georgia Tech	40.0	39.4	42.3
Virginia Tech	Virginia	0.8	0.9	1.1
Duke	Wake Forest	-7.0	-5.0	-7.4
Miami (Fla.)	Pittsburgh	-5.1	-5.1	-4.8
Massachusetts	Army	-20.0	-19.5	-21.8
Maryland	Rutgers	15.6	16.3	17.2
Clemson	South Carolina	11.9	12.0	12.4
Kentucky	Louisville	-4.4	-3.9	-3.4
Penn St.	Michigan St.	17.7	18.9	19.7
Cincinnati	Tulane	5.0	4.4	4.6
Liberty	New Mexico St.	27.5	26.3	28.5
South Florida	Central Florida	-15.2	-16.8	-16.9
Temple	East Carolina	-15.2	-13.6	-16.7
Buffalo	Kent St.	3.2	3.7	4.9
Georgia Southern	Appalachian St.	-5.1	-6.1	-5.9
James Madison	Coastal Carolina	5.8	6.0	7.5
Marshall	Georgia St.	3.1	4.0	2.6
Florida Atlantic	Western Kentucky	-6.7	-5.7	-8.5
South Alabama	Old Dominion	10.8	11.6	12.7
Northern Illinois	Akron	17.9	17.7	18.3
Wisconsin	Minnesota	0.5	0.9	0.1
Ohio St.	Michigan	8.9	8.6	9.0
Northwestern	Illinois	-13.6	-13.4	-13.9
Colorado	Utah	-31.5	-32.2	-33.4
North Texas	Rice	15.2	15.2	16.6
Stanford	BYU	-2.7	-3.3	-3.7
UNLV	Nevada	8.4	6.2	9.0
USC	Notre Dame	-0.3	1.1	0.6
Washington St.	Washington	-2.1	-1.9	-1.9
Houston	Tulsa	14.7	14.8	15.3
SMU	Memphis	4.8	3.9	5.2
TCU	Iowa St.	13.7	13.1	13.7
Louisiana Tech	UAB	-16.2	-15.2	-17.8
Texas Tech	Oklahoma	0.3	0.2	0.8
Texas A&M	LSU	-9.5	-8.9	-9.6
Oklahoma St.	West Virginia	9.0	8.2	9.0
San Jose St.	Hawaii	21.1	20.2	20.2
Vanderbilt	Tennessee	-21.7	-21.0	-23.1
Alabama	Auburn	22.7	23.0	23.9
UTSA	UTEP	18.4	17.9	19.4
Arkansas St.	Troy	-12.1	-11.6	-13.3
Louisiana-Monroe	Southern Miss.	-1.8	-2.0	-2.5
Texas St.	Louisiana	-7.7	-7.0	-7.9
Florida Int’l.	Middle Tennessee	-20.5	-19.5	-22.0
San Diego St.	Air Force	-3.8	-3.9	-3.8

Teams With Byes

Navy

Note: Charlotte and Connecticut have concluded their regular seasons

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

#	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	133.3
2	Ohio St.	132.4
3	Alabama	128.6
4	Michigan	126.5
5	Penn St.	124.1
6	Tennessee	119.9
7	Clemson	119.3
8	Kansas St.	119.3
9	Florida St.	119.1
10	Texas	118.9
11	L S U	118.7
12	T C U	118.6
13	Utah	117.7
14	Notre Dame	116.4
15	Oregon	116.3
16	Minnesota	115.0
17	Iowa	114.8
18	Mississippi St.	113.9
19	Arkansas	113.9
20	U S C	113.8
21	Baylor	113.7
22	Louisville	113.7
23	Oregon St.	113.1
24	Wisconsin	113.0
25	Ole Miss	112.6
26	Oklahoma	112.2
27	Purdue	112.1
28	Illinois	112.1
29	Washington	111.8
30	U C L A	111.1
31	Florida	110.0
32	Texas Tech	109.6
33	Maryland	109.4
34	Wake Forest	109.0
35	Oklahoma St.	108.7
36	South Carolina	108.7
37	Pittsburgh	108.7
38	NC State	108.6
39	Michigan St.	108.4
40	Kentucky	108.3
41	Iowa St.	108.1
42	Cincinnati	108.1
43	Washington St.	107.8
44	North Carolina	107.4
45	Auburn	106.9
46	Tulane	106.4
47	Texas A&M	106.4
48	UCF	105.5
49	Boise St.	105.4
50	Houston	104.2
51	Syracuse	103.7
52	BYU	103.2
53	Missouri	103.1
54	West Virginia	103.0
55	U T S A	102.1
56	Air Force	102.0
57	Nebraska	101.8
58	Kansas	101.8
59	SMU	101.2
60	Fresno St.	101.1
61	Miami (Fla.)	100.7
62	Duke	100.5
63	Arizona St.	100.1
64	Liberty	100.0
65	East Carolina	99.8
66	Memphis	99.6
67	W. Kentucky	99.0
68	James Madison	98.6
69	Indiana	98.5
70	Appalachian St.	98.5
71	Arizona	98.3
72	U A B	97.7
73	California	97.7
74	Stanford	97.0
75	Northwestern	96.9
76	Marshall	96.6
77	Vanderbilt	96.5
78	Georgia St.	96.3
79	Troy	96.2
80	South Alabama	95.9
81	Navy	95.9
82	Toledo	95.8
83	Rutgers	95.5
84	Army	95.5
85	Virginia	95.2
86	San Diego St.	95.2
87	Virginia Tech	94.7
88	Coastal Carolina	94.7
89	Ohio	94.7
90	Georgia Tech	94.2
91	Louisiana	93.5
92	San Jose St.	93.4
93	Boston College	92.9
94	North Texas	92.7
95	Tulsa	92.3
96	Buffalo	91.0
97	N. Illinois	90.7
98	Central Mich.	90.4
99	Ga. Southern	90.3
100	Utah St.	90.2
101	Miami (Ohio)	89.9
102	Wyoming	89.8
103	Kent St.	89.6
104	Florida Atlantic	89.0
105	Southern Miss.	88.1
106	Western Mich.	87.7
107	USF	87.6
108	Eastern Mich.	87.5
109	Middle Tennessee	87.1
110	Old Dominion	86.7
111	Ball St.	86.3
112	U T E P	86.1
113	U N L V	85.9
114	Bowling Green	85.8
115	Connecticut	85.4
116	UL-Monroe	83.5
117	Texas St.	83.4
118	Colorado	82.8
119	Colorado St.	82.1
120	Temple	82.1
121	Arkansas St.	81.4
122	Nevada	79.6
123	Rice	79.0
124	Louisiana Tech	78.8
125	New Mexico	76.5
126	Hawaii	75.9
127	Charlotte	75.7
128	New Mexico St.	75.5
129	Akron	75.3
130	Massachusetts	72.5
131	Florida Int’l.	63.9

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	108.3	107.5	108.4	108.1
Tulane	106.4	106.1	106.7	106.4
UCF	105.1	105.7	105.6	105.5
Houston	104.5	103.8	104.3	104.2
SMU	101.4	100.7	101.5	101.2
East Carolina	99.6	99.3	100.4	99.8
Memphis	99.6	99.8	99.3	99.6
Navy	96.0	95.8	95.9	95.9
Tulsa	92.8	92.0	92.0	92.3
USF	88.4	87.4	87.2	87.6
Temple	81.9	83.1	81.2	82.1
AAC	98.6	98.3	98.4	98.4
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	119.3	119.1	119.6	119.3
Florida St.	119.1	118.9	119.3	119.1
Louisville	113.9	113.6	113.6	113.7
Wake Forest	109.2	108.9	108.9	109.0
NC State	109.3	108.5	108.1	108.6
Syracuse	104.6	103.4	103.1	103.7
Boston College	93.2	93.6	91.8	92.9
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	109.6	108.7	107.9	108.7
North Carolina	107.8	107.7	106.8	107.4
Miami (Fla.)	101.4	100.6	100.1	100.7
Duke	100.2	101.9	99.4	100.5
Virginia	95.8	95.9	94.0	95.2
Virginia Tech	95.1	95.3	93.7	94.7
Georgia Tech	94.9	94.6	93.3	94.2
ACC	105.2	105.0	104.2	104.8
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Kansas St.	119.8	118.7	119.4	119.3
Texas	119.7	118.8	118.3	118.9
T C U	119.2	118.0	118.7	118.6
Baylor	114.3	113.1	113.7	113.7
Oklahoma	112.6	111.7	112.4	112.2
Texas Tech	109.8	108.9	110.2	109.6
Oklahoma St.	109.5	108.0	108.7	108.7
Iowa St.	108.5	107.9	108.0	108.1
West Virginia	103.5	102.9	102.7	103.0
Kansas	103.0	101.6	101.0	101.8
Big 12	112.0	111.0	111.3	111.4
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	132.9	131.8	132.6	132.4
Michigan	126.9	126.2	126.5	126.5
Penn St.	124.2	124.1	124.1	124.1
Maryland	109.9	109.5	108.9	109.4
Michigan St.	109.5	108.2	107.4	108.4
Indiana	99.4	98.6	97.5	98.5
Rutgers	96.7	95.7	94.2	95.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Minnesota	115.5	114.7	114.8	115.0
Iowa	115.5	114.7	114.2	114.8
Wisconsin	113.5	113.1	112.4	113.0
Purdue	113.0	112.2	111.1	112.1
Illinois	112.3	112.6	111.4	112.1
Nebraska	102.4	102.1	101.1	101.8
Northwestern	97.1	97.6	96.0	96.9
Big Ten	112.1	111.5	110.9	111.5
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U T S A	102.0	101.6	102.7	102.1
W. Kentucky	98.6	98.5	99.9	99.0
U A B	97.5	97.3	98.3	97.7
North Texas	92.3	92.2	93.5	92.7
Florida Atlantic	88.9	89.8	88.4	89.0
Middle Tennessee	86.8	87.4	87.1	87.1
U T E P	86.1	86.2	85.8	86.1
Rice	79.1	79.0	78.9	79.0
Louisiana Tech	78.8	79.6	78.0	78.8
Charlotte	75.4	76.2	75.5	75.7
Florida Int’l.	63.8	65.4	62.6	63.9
CUSA	86.3	86.7	86.4	86.5
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	116.7	115.6	116.8	116.4
BYU	103.7	102.4	103.5	103.2
Liberty	99.5	100.3	100.1	100.0
Army	95.1	95.6	95.7	95.5
Connecticut	85.3	86.5	84.4	85.4
New Mexico St.	75.0	76.9	74.6	75.5
Massachusetts	72.6	73.6	71.4	72.5
Independents	92.6	93.0	92.4	92.6
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio	93.2	95.5	95.3	94.7
Buffalo	89.8	91.8	91.5	91.0
Miami (Ohio)	88.9	90.7	90.1	89.9
Kent St.	89.1	90.6	89.1	89.6
Bowling Green	85.7	85.7	85.9	85.8
Akron	75.1	75.9	74.8	75.3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	95.4	96.1	95.9	95.8
N. Illinois	90.5	91.0	90.6	90.7
Central Mich.	89.2	90.8	91.2	90.4
Western Mich.	87.1	88.1	87.9	87.7
Eastern Mich.	87.1	87.9	87.4	87.5
Ball St.	85.7	87.0	86.4	86.3
MAC	88.1	89.3	88.8	88.7
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	105.3	104.9	105.9	105.4
Air Force	101.9	101.8	102.4	102.0
Utah St.	90.0	90.2	90.4	90.2
Wyoming	88.8	90.5	90.1	89.8
Colorado St.	81.6	82.5	82.3	82.1
New Mexico	77.1	76.8	75.6	76.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	101.0	100.7	101.6	101.1
San Diego St.	95.1	94.8	95.5	95.2
San Jose St.	93.2	93.4	93.6	93.4
U N L V	86.2	85.1	86.4	85.9
Nevada	79.4	80.4	78.9	79.6
Hawaii	75.2	76.3	76.4	75.9
MWC	89.6	89.8	89.9	89.8
Pac-12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	117.6	116.9	118.6	117.7
Oregon	116.4	116.0	116.6	116.3
U S C	113.4	113.7	114.4	113.8
Oregon St.	112.9	112.5	113.9	113.1
Washington	111.4	111.6	112.3	111.8
U C L A	110.7	110.6	111.9	111.1
Washington St.	107.3	107.7	108.4	107.8
Arizona St.	100.2	99.6	100.4	100.1
Arizona	98.1	98.1	98.6	98.3
California	97.4	97.4	98.2	97.7
Stanford	98.0	96.2	96.7	97.0
Colorado	83.6	82.2	82.7	82.8
Pac-12	105.6	105.2	106.1	105.6
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	133.3	132.5	134.0	133.3
Tennessee	119.6	119.7	120.5	119.9
Florida	109.5	110.6	109.9	110.0
South Carolina	108.9	108.6	108.7	108.7
Kentucky	107.9	108.2	108.7	108.3
Missouri	103.2	103.4	102.5	103.1
Vanderbilt	96.4	97.2	95.9	96.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	128.7	127.8	129.2	128.6
L S U	118.8	118.4	118.9	118.7
Mississippi St.	114.8	113.4	113.7	113.9
Arkansas	114.2	113.0	114.5	113.9
Ole Miss	113.4	112.0	112.3	112.6
Auburn	107.5	106.3	106.8	106.9
Texas A&M	106.3	106.5	106.3	106.4
SEC	113.0	112.7	113.0	112.9
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
James Madison	97.1	98.4	100.3	98.6
Appalachian St.	97.5	98.6	99.2	98.5
Marshall	95.8	96.8	97.0	96.6
Georgia St.	95.7	95.8	97.4	96.3
Coastal Carolina	93.9	94.9	95.3	94.7
Ga. Southern	90.0	90.0	90.8	90.3
Old Dominion	86.7	86.7	86.8	86.7
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Troy	95.4	96.1	97.2	96.2
South Alabama	95.0	95.8	97.0	95.9
Louisiana	92.9	93.3	94.2	93.5
Southern Miss.	87.6	88.1	88.6	88.1
UL-Monroe	83.3	83.7	83.6	83.5
Texas St.	82.7	83.8	83.8	83.4
Arkansas St.	80.8	82.0	81.3	81.4
Sun Belt	91.0	91.7	92.3	91.7

Conference Ratings

#	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	112.9
2	Big Ten	111.5
3	Big 12	111.4
4	Pac-12	105.6
5	Atlantic Coast	104.8
6	American Athletic	98.4
7	Independents	92.6
8	Sun Belt	91.7
9	Mountain West	89.8
10	Mid-American	88.7
11	Conference USA	86.5

Bowl Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	UTSA	Ohio
Cure	Marshall	Southern Miss.
Fenway	Duke	Central Florida
New Mexico	Western Kentucky	Wyoming
L.A.	Utah	Boise St.
Lending Tree	Miami (O)	Appalachian St.
Las Vegas	Washington	Ole Miss
Frisco	San Diego St.	Washington St.
Myrtle Beach	BYU	South Alabama
Famous Idaho Potato	Bowling Green	Utah St.
Boca Raton	Connecticut	Air Force
New Orleans	Florida Atlantic	Coastal Carolina
Armed Forces	Houston	North Texas
Independence	SMU	Army
Gasparilla	Syracuse	East Carolina
Hawaii	UAB	San Jose St.
Quick Lane	Eastern Michigan	Liberty
Camellia	Buffalo	Troy
First Responder	Kansas	Louisiana
Birmingham	Memphis	Middle Tennessee
Guaranteed Rate	Oklahoma	Wisconsin
Military	Louisville	Tulane
Liberty	Baylor	Missouri
Holiday	North Carolina	Oregon
Texas	Texas Tech	Florida
Pinstripe	Pittsburgh	Minnesota
Cheez-It	Notre Dame	Oklahoma St.
Alamo	Texas	Oregon St.
Duke’s Mayo	Wake Forest	Maryland
Tony the Tiger Sun	North Carolina St.	UCLA
Arizona	Toledo	Fresno St.
Orange	Clemson	Alabama
Music City	Illinois	Kentucky
Sugar	LSU	Kansas St.
TaxSlayer	Florida St.	Arkansas
Peach	Georgia	Michigan
Fiesta	Ohio St.	TCU
Reliaquest (Outback)	Iowa	South Carolina
Citrus	Purdue	Mississippi St.
Cotton	Tennessee	Cincinnati
Rose	USC	Penn St.
National Championship	Georgia	Ohio St.

Note: 82 teams are projected to finish bowl eligible, and there are 82 spots available. There is still a chance that a 5-7 team will be needed if there are less than 82 bowl eligible teams.

Teams that figure to finish 5-7 and have the best APR scores to receive a bid include (in order):

Rice

Iowa State

UNLV

Auburn

Michigan State

PiRate Ratings College Football–November 6, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Akron	Eastern Michigan	-9.1	-9.3	-9.9
Miami (O)	Ohio	0.8	0.4	0.0
Toledo	Ball St.	13.7	13.6	14.4
Western Michigan	Northern Illinois	-2.5	-2.0	-2.2
Central Michigan	Buffalo	2.3	1.8	2.6
Bowling Green	Kent St.	1.1	-0.7	1.2
Memphis	Tulsa	6.7	7.7	6.8
Louisiana	Georgia Southern	2.1	2.3	2.3
Cincinnati	East Carolina	8.6	8.3	8.5
USC	Colorado	28.0	29.9	29.8
UNLV	Fresno St.	-10.1	-11.1	-10.6
Wake Forest	North Carolina	1.6	1.2	1.8
Syracuse	Florida St.	-5.2	-5.8	-5.9
Connecticut	Liberty	-16.5	-16.3	-19.3
Duke	Virginia Tech	5.2	7.1	5.7
Navy (Bal)	Notre Dame	-22.7	-21.9	-23.8
West Virginia	Oklahoma	-6.8	-6.6	-7.4
Virginia	Pittsburgh	-7.6	-6.6	-7.5
Ohio St.	Indiana	37.7	37.4	40.2
Tennessee	Missouri	23.1	22.9	24.6
Penn St.	Maryland	12.1	12.1	12.9
North Carolina St.	Boston College	22.3	20.8	23.2
Florida	South Carolina	3.8	5.4	4.2
Kentucky	Vanderbilt	19.7	19.5	21.6
Michigan	Nebraska	28.8	28.5	30.3
Georgia Tech	Miami (Fla.)	-5.0	-4.2	-5.3
Clemson	Louisville	7.3	7.1	7.4
Texas Tech	Kansas	5.7	5.7	7.7
South Florida	SMU	-12.8	-13.2	-14.4
Coastal Carolina	Southern Miss.	9.2	9.7	9.9
Georgia St.	Louisiana-Monroe	18.1	17.9	20.1
Marshall	Appalachian St.	0.1	-0.2	-1.2
Old Dominion	James Madison	-2.6	-4.0	-6.0
Tulane	Central Florida	-0.5	-1.3	-0.8
Minnesota	Northwestern	22.4	20.8	23.1
Illinois	Purdue	2.3	3.9	3.4
South Alabama	Texas St.	14.3	13.6	14.8
Michigan St.	Rutgers	16.1	16.1	17.4
Houston	Temple	23.8	21.7	25.2
Baylor	Kansas St.	3.7	3.9	4.1
Arkansas St.	Massachusetts	14.1	14.6	16.6
Western Kentucky	Rice	18.3	18.2	19.9
Utah	Stanford	20.4	21.6	22.9
Washington St.	Arizona St.	8.0	8.9	8.6
Oregon St.	California	14.1	13.2	13.6
Oregon	Washington	12.4	11.6	11.9
UCLA	Arizona	19.4	19.5	20.6
San Diego St.	San Jose St.	-0.2	-1.2	-0.9
Texas	TCU	4.2	4.5	3.4
Auburn	Texas A&M	1.0	-0.9	-0.8
Troy	Army	3.5	4.1	5.4
Ole Miss	Alabama	-11.6	-12.4	-13.9
Oklahoma St.	Iowa St.	4.7	3.4	4.1
Iowa	Wisconsin	1.1	0.2	0.0
Arkansas	LSU	-1.8	-2.6	-1.5
Mississippi St.	Georgia	-14.2	-14.6	-16.1
Air Force	New Mexico	26.7	26.5	28.6
Middle Tennessee	Charlotte	12.1	11.8	12.6
UAB	North Texas	5.4	5.2	4.9
UTSA	Louisiana Tech	18.3	16.5	19.4
Colorado St.	Wyoming	-5.4	-6.3	-6.3
Florida Int’l.	Florida Atlantic	-19.9	-18.8	-20.3
Nevada	Boise St.	-20.0	-18.0	-21.0
Hawaii	Utah St.	-13.8	-12.7	-13.4

FBS vs. FCS Game

FBS	FCS	PiRate
New Mexico St.	Lamar	18.2

Teams With Byes

BYU

UTEP

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Note: Our ratings are not reward based on what the teams have done so far. They are predictive in nature, meant to be used for the following week to predict the outcome of games. Thus, a two-loss team is ranked number three over a one-loss team that beat them. Do not confuse power ratings for rankings like the AP, COaches, and Playoff Polls.

#	Team	Rating
1	Ohio St.	132.8
2	Georgia	132.7
3	Alabama	129.2
4	Michigan	127.6
5	Tennessee	125.3
6	Penn St.	119.8
7	L S U	117.5
8	Texas	117.3
9	Clemson	117.2
10	Utah	117.1
11	Oregon	117.1
12	Baylor	116.5
13	T C U	116.2
14	Florida St.	116.0
15	Kansas St.	115.6
16	Notre Dame	115.6
17	Minnesota	115.4
18	Mississippi St.	114.7
19	Wisconsin	114.5
20	Ole Miss	113.5
21	U C L A	113.1
22	Louisville	113.0
23	NC State	112.7
24	Arkansas	112.5
25	U S C	112.3
26	Oklahoma	112.2
27	Iowa	112.0
28	Illinois	111.8
29	Purdue	111.6
30	Michigan St.	110.7
31	Maryland	110.4
32	Oklahoma St.	109.7
33	Kentucky	109.7
34	North Carolina	109.6
35	Oregon St.	109.5
36	Wake Forest	109.2
37	Florida	109.0
38	Cincinnati	108.8
39	Texas Tech	108.7
40	Texas A&M	108.7
41	Iowa St.	108.6
42	Pittsburgh	108.4
43	Washington	108.1
44	South Carolina	107.6
45	Washington St.	107.5
46	UCF	107.4
47	Syracuse	107.3
48	Auburn	105.5
49	Kansas	105.4
50	Missouri	104.7
51	Boise St.	104.2
52	Tulane	104.0
53	SMU	103.8
54	East Carolina	103.3
55	BYU	103.2
56	Liberty	103.1
57	Air Force	102.4
58	West Virginia	102.3
59	Arizona St.	102.0
60	Houston	101.5
61	Nebraska	101.4
62	Miami (Fla.)	101.2
63	Fresno St.	100.6
64	California	98.9
65	Appalachian St.	98.7
66	Duke	98.7
67	W. Kentucky	98.6
68	Stanford	98.5
69	Toledo	98.3
70	Georgia St.	98.1
71	Virginia	98.1
72	Memphis	97.7
73	U T S A	97.5
74	Indiana	97.4
75	Rutgers	97.2
76	U A B	96.6
77	Northwestern	96.3
78	Arizona	96.3
79	Troy	96.3
80	James Madison	95.9
81	Virginia Tech	95.7
82	South Alabama	95.4
83	San Jose St.	95.4
84	Marshall	95.3
85	Army	94.9
86	Coastal Carolina	94.8
87	North Texas	94.0
88	Boston College	93.6
89	Georgia Tech	93.3
90	Tulsa	93.1
91	Ga. Southern	92.6
92	Vanderbilt	92.5
93	Louisiana	92.3
94	Navy	92.2
95	San Diego St.	92.1
96	Ohio	92.1
97	N. Illinois	91.8
98	Buffalo	91.0
99	Central Mich.	90.8
100	Miami (Ohio)	90.5
101	Utah St.	90.2
102	Old Dominion	89.7
103	Wyoming	89.3
104	Florida Atlantic	89.2
105	Southern Miss.	88.2
106	Kent St.	88.0
107	USF	87.8
108	U N L V	87.5
109	Western Mich.	87.1
110	Ball St.	86.9
111	Bowling Green	86.6
112	Eastern Mich.	86.3
113	Colorado	86.0
114	Middle Tennessee	84.5
115	U T E P	84.3
116	Texas St.	83.7
117	Connecticut	83.2
118	Rice	82.3
119	Arkansas St.	82.3
120	Nevada	82.1
121	UL-Monroe	81.9
122	Louisiana Tech	81.9
123	Colorado St.	81.3
124	Temple	80.9
125	New Mexico	78.1
126	Charlotte	74.9
127	Akron	74.9
128	New Mexico St.	74.8
129	Hawaii	73.8
130	Massachusetts	69.7
131	Florida Int’l.	68.1

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	108.8	108.1	109.4	108.8
UCF	107.0	107.6	107.6	107.4
Tulane	104.0	103.8	104.3	104.0
SMU	103.9	103.3	104.2	103.8
East Carolina	103.2	102.8	103.8	103.3
Houston	101.7	100.9	101.8	101.5
Memphis	97.8	98.0	97.3	97.7
Tulsa	93.6	92.8	93.0	93.1
Navy	92.6	92.2	91.9	92.2
USF	88.6	87.6	87.4	87.8
Temple	80.9	82.2	79.6	80.9
AAC	98.4	98.1	98.2	98.2
Atlantic Coast
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	117.4	117.0	117.3	117.2
Florida St.	116.2	115.8	115.9	116.0
Louisville	113.2	112.9	112.9	113.0
NC State	113.2	112.4	112.5	112.7
Wake Forest	109.4	109.1	109.0	109.2
Syracuse	108.1	107.0	106.9	107.3
Boston College	93.9	94.6	92.3	93.6
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
North Carolina	109.9	109.9	109.2	109.6
Pittsburgh	109.3	108.3	107.6	108.4
Miami (Fla.)	101.9	101.0	100.6	101.2
Duke	98.4	100.3	97.2	98.7
Virginia	98.6	98.7	97.0	98.1
Virginia Tech	96.3	96.2	94.6	95.7
Georgia Tech	94.0	93.8	92.3	93.3
ACC	105.7	105.5	104.7	105.3
Big 12
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Texas	118.1	117.2	116.6	117.3
Baylor	117.0	115.9	116.6	116.5
T C U	116.9	115.6	116.3	116.2
Kansas St.	116.3	115.0	115.5	115.6
Oklahoma	112.6	111.7	112.4	112.2
Oklahoma St.	110.5	108.9	109.7	109.7
Texas Tech	109.0	107.9	109.3	108.7
Iowa St.	108.8	108.5	108.6	108.6
Kansas	106.4	105.2	104.6	105.4
West Virginia	102.8	102.2	102.0	102.3
Big 12	111.8	110.8	111.2	111.3
Big Ten
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	133.1	132.0	133.3	132.8
Michigan	127.9	127.2	127.8	127.6
Penn St.	120.0	119.8	119.7	119.8
Michigan St.	111.6	110.5	110.1	110.7
Maryland	111.0	110.6	109.8	110.4
Indiana	98.4	97.6	96.1	97.4
Rutgers	98.5	97.4	95.7	97.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Minnesota	115.9	115.0	115.4	115.4
Wisconsin	114.8	114.6	114.1	114.5
Iowa	112.9	111.9	111.1	112.0
Illinois	112.0	112.5	111.1	111.8
Purdue	112.6	111.6	110.6	111.6
Nebraska	102.1	101.7	100.6	101.4
Northwestern	96.5	97.2	95.3	96.3
Big Ten	112.0	111.4	110.8	111.4
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
W. Kentucky	98.1	98.1	99.7	98.6
U T S A	97.5	96.8	98.0	97.5
U A B	96.4	96.2	97.3	96.6
North Texas	93.5	93.5	94.9	94.0
Florida Atlantic	89.1	90.0	88.6	89.2
Middle Tennessee	84.3	84.7	84.6	84.5
U T E P	84.4	84.3	84.0	84.3
Rice	82.3	82.4	82.3	82.3
Louisiana Tech	81.7	82.8	81.1	81.9
Charlotte	74.7	75.4	74.5	74.9
Florida Int’l.	67.7	69.7	66.8	68.1
CUSA	86.3	86.7	86.5	86.5
Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	115.9	114.6	116.2	115.6
BYU	103.7	102.4	103.5	103.2
Liberty	102.2	103.3	103.7	103.1
Army	94.8	95.0	95.0	94.9
Connecticut	83.2	84.4	81.9	83.2
New Mexico St.	74.3	76.2	73.9	74.8
Massachusetts	70.0	70.8	68.2	69.7
Independents	92.0	92.4	91.8	92.1
Mid-American
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio	90.7	92.9	92.6	92.1
Buffalo	89.7	91.9	91.6	91.0
Miami (Ohio)	89.4	91.4	90.7	90.5
Kent St.	87.5	89.1	87.5	88.0
Bowling Green	86.6	86.4	86.7	86.6
Akron	74.8	75.5	74.3	74.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	97.6	98.6	98.7	98.3
N. Illinois	91.6	92.0	91.8	91.8
Central Mich.	89.5	91.1	91.7	90.8
Western Mich.	86.7	87.5	87.1	87.1
Ball St.	86.4	87.6	86.8	86.9
Eastern Mich.	85.9	86.7	86.2	86.3
MAC	88.0	89.2	88.8	88.7
Mountain West
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	104.2	103.6	104.9	104.2
Air Force	102.2	102.0	102.9	102.4
Utah St.	90.0	90.1	90.4	90.2
Wyoming	88.3	90.1	89.6	89.3
Colorado St.	81.0	81.8	81.3	81.3
New Mexico	78.6	78.5	77.2	78.1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	100.5	100.2	101.2	100.6
San Jose St.	94.9	95.4	95.8	95.4
San Diego St.	92.3	91.7	92.3	92.1
U N L V	87.9	86.5	88.1	87.5
Nevada	81.7	83.1	81.4	82.1
Hawaii	73.2	74.4	74.0	73.8
MWC	89.6	89.8	89.9	89.8
Pac-12
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	116.9	116.3	118.2	117.1
Oregon	117.2	116.7	117.3	117.1
U C L A	112.6	112.6	114.1	113.1
U S C	111.8	112.2	112.8	112.3
Oregon St.	109.6	108.9	110.1	109.5
Washington	107.8	108.0	108.4	108.1
Washington St.	107.0	107.4	108.0	107.5
Arizona St.	102.0	101.5	102.4	102.0
California	98.5	98.7	99.5	98.9
Stanford	99.5	97.7	98.3	98.5
Arizona	96.2	96.1	96.5	96.3
Colorado	86.8	85.3	86.0	86.0
Pac-12	105.5	105.1	106.0	105.5
Southeastern
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	132.7	131.8	133.6	132.7
Tennessee	125.0	125.0	125.8	125.3
Kentucky	109.3	109.7	110.1	109.7
Florida	108.4	109.7	108.9	109.0
South Carolina	107.7	107.3	107.7	107.6
Missouri	104.8	105.1	104.2	104.7
Vanderbilt	92.6	93.2	91.5	92.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	129.1	128.4	130.0	129.2
L S U	117.7	117.2	117.5	117.5
Mississippi St.	115.5	114.2	114.5	114.7
Ole Miss	114.5	113.0	113.1	113.5
Arkansas	112.9	111.6	113.1	112.5
Texas A&M	108.4	108.8	108.9	108.7
Auburn	106.4	104.9	105.1	105.5
SEC	113.2	112.9	113.1	113.1
Sunbelt
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Appalachian St.	97.6	98.8	99.6	98.7
Georgia St.	97.4	97.5	99.4	98.1
James Madison	94.3	95.7	97.7	95.9
Marshall	94.7	95.6	95.4	95.3
Coastal Carolina	93.9	95.0	95.5	94.8
Ga. Southern	92.2	92.3	93.4	92.6
Old Dominion	89.7	89.7	89.7	89.7
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Troy	95.3	96.1	97.4	96.3
South Alabama	94.6	95.1	96.4	95.4
Louisiana	91.7	92.1	93.1	92.3
Southern Miss.	87.7	88.2	88.6	88.2
Texas St.	82.8	84.1	84.1	83.7
Arkansas St.	81.6	82.9	82.3	82.3
UL-Monroe	81.8	82.2	81.8	81.9
Sun Belt	91.1	91.8	92.5	91.8

Conference Ratings

#	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	113.1
2	Big Ten	111.4
3	Big 12	111.3
4	Pac-12	105.5
5	Atlantic Coast	105.3
6	American Athletic	98.2
7	Independents	92.1
8	Sun Belt	91.8
9	Mountain West	89.8
10	Mid-American	88.7
11	Conference USA	86.5

Playoff & Bowl Projections

Four weeks from today, the College Football Playoffs and Postseason Bowl Game participants will be revealed to the public.  With less than a month to go, it’s time to take a more in-depth look at where things stand and where they might go.

The Playoff Race

After yesterday’s Georgia-Tennessee, Alabama-LSU, and Notre Dame-Clemson games played, it left three teams in the clear-cut lead to be in the top four this week.  Georgia has now penned the lone losses on Oregon and Tennessee, and the Bulldogs will ascend to number one.  Ohio State won ugly at Northwestern yesterday, but they played in severe weather.  Michigan once again spotted an opponent an early lead and then steamrolled Rutgers by four touchdowns.  Those three teams will be in the Big Four on Tuesday.  Who will be number four?  We believe it will be Tennessee, as losing at the new number one team by two touchdowns definitely tops Oregon’s blowout loss in Atlanta to the same team.  Should TCU be in the mix?  They most definitely should, but as so many media experts explain, their name drops them a couple spots in the rankings, just like Cincinnati last year at this time.  If the Horned Frogs win out with three tough games to go, they almost assuredly would move into the top four, but that’s a big if, and at the present time, having watched TCU play most of their games, we don’t see this team sitting at 13-0 on December 4.

If we have to make a wild guess, we will say that Georgia will easily win out in the regular season, even if their game in Starkville this week may be a trap game.  We cannot see any of Tennessee’s final three opponents competing against the Vols.  Georgia stopped their offense, because the Bulldogs have a defense not that much weaker than the Detroit Lions (probably more future Pro Bowl players than the Lions).  Neither Ohio State nor Michigan have much in their way prior to the big game at the Giant Horseshoe.  It won’t be popular, but a Big Ten-SEC Challenge in the Playoffs could be in the offing.  As of today, we have Georgia playing Michigan in the Peach Bowl, and Ohio State playing Tennessee in the Fiesta Bowl.  Oregon might win out and finish 12-1 and have to settle for the Rose Bowl.  We can see TCU actually losing twice in the next month, and maybe having to settle for the Cotton Bowl or even the Alamo Bowl, depending on what UCLA or USC does out West.

The New Year’s Six

One thing that happened this weekend was the elimination of Alabama and most likely Clemson from the Playoff picture.  With LSU’s win, the Tigers have a tough rebound game at Arkansas, and if Brian Kelly can lead the Bayou Bengals into Fayetteville and win, they almost have the SEC West clinched.  At 10-2 and a loss to Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, we believe the Sugar Bowl will take them in a heartbeat.  Where would that leave a 10-2 Alabama?  We think they would still get an Orange Bowl bid, where they might face their former nemesis Clemson.  The Rose Bowl would get the Pac-12 champion that would not be Playoff bound, so we’ll slot Oregon in there for now but not rule out the winner of the USC-UCLA game.  That leaves the Cotton Bowl.  The Group of Five team that finishes the highest in the ratings will automatically get a bid here.  If that bid was extended today, the Tulane Green Wave would receive it, but TU must beat Central Florida, Cincinnati, and then one of those two again in the AAC Championship Game to get to 12-1 and secure the bid.  Should TU falter, and we think that’s a very high possibility, the next team in line, one that strengthened their resume with a road win against an SEC team, would be Liberty, if the Flames win out (a much higher probability than Tulane).  The last at-large team in the field would most likely be Penn State at 10-2, but the number two team in the Pac-12 could beat the Nittany Lions out.  With losses to just two teams that we pick to be in the Playoffs, we’d go with Penn State to edge out any two-loss Pac-12 team.

American Athletic

As we previously mentioned, we do not see Tulane winning out, and should the Green Wave lose to both Central Florida and Cincinnati, they won’t even make the AAC Championship Game.  If they beat UCF in New Orleans, they would have to beat Cinti in consecutive weeks to get there, once in the Queen City and then once in the Crescent City.  If the Bearcats win out, and Tulane beats UCF, then Cinti would host Tulane in consecutive weeks.  If UCF wins out, and Cincinnati tops Tulane, then the Bearcats would have to go to Orlando in the conference championship game.

Elsewhere in the AAC, with SMU’s record-setting basketball score win over Houston, the Mustangs are almost a lock to get a bowl bid.  East Carolina is already bowl eligible.  Houston and Memphis have work to do, but the schedule is favorable for both.  As for the Cougars, Dana Holgersen may not be coaching the team by bowl season.

Atlantic Coast & Notre Dame

A half-dozen teams will have to lose games before Clemson has a remote chance to sneak into the playoffs, assuming the Tigers can win out.  If they play like they have the last few weeks, beating North Carolina in the ACC Championship Game would be 50-50 at best, and they might even be vulnerable against South Carolina in the regular season finale.  At best, CU can hope for another ACC title and a trip to the Orange Bowl.  North Carolina may be the weakest 1-loss team from a Power 5 Conference since the 20th Century.  The Tar Heels keep coming up with fourth quarter heroics to be mediocre teams.  We don’t believe Mack Brown’s Heels can make it to a New Year’s Bowl Game, and they need to finish better than one game ahead of Notre Dame just to get the Cheez-it Bowl bid.

Notre Dame can receive any of the ACC’s allotted bowl bids after the Orange Bowl as long as their won-loss record is within one game of the next highest ACC team.  If the Irish lose to USC and finish 9-3, they will be able to jump over a 10-2 team, but not an 11-2 team.  What better bowl to send the Irish to in December than one in Boston?  They’d sell out Fenway Park like a Yankees-Red Sox game in October.

With Notre Dame, this league figures to have 10 bowl eligible teams, which means all the first tier bowl bids will be taken, and one second tier bowl bid will be used.  We believe the Gasparilla Bowl will get the final ACC team.

Big 12

Had Texas been able to edge Alabama in September and not lose their star QB for a few games, the Longhorns might be in the Playoff mix.  The best the Longhorns can do now is to play spoiler and knock TCU out of the Playoff mix.  If Quinn Ewers can remain healthy and not have another three interception day like he did against Oklahoma State, the Longhorns might win out and become Big 12 Champions, getting a Sugar Bowl bid.

TCU must beat Texas and Baylor and then whoever makes the Big 12 Championship Game in order to get to the necessary 13-0 they will need to make the Playoffs, and it looks like too much of a longshot.  It is going to be rough just getting to the Sugar Bowl, and two losses most likely banishes the Frogs to the Alamo Bowl.

Elsewhere in the league, Kansas has now assured themselves of their first bowl bid in 14 years.  Texas Tech and Iowa State are now fighting it out for the last bowl bid in this league, and we believe there will be eight teams playing in the postseason.  If no Big 12 team gets to the Playoffs, there will be one extra team to fill in as an at-large bowl participant, and it is our belief that they will replace a spot that the SEC cannot fill.

Big Ten

We show three of the bowl eligible teams playing in either the Playoffs or New Year’s Six, so Ohio State, Michigan, and Penn State being taken off the table means the other New Year’s Day games against SEC teams will have lesser teams.  The Citrus Bowl is likely to go to the West Division Champion that will then get clobbered in the Big Ten Championship Game.  At the moment, even with a loss this weekend, Illinois has the upper hand.  The Reliaquest (Outback) bowl bid would then probably go to the West Division runner-up. 

There should be 10 Bowl Eligible teams with many of the also-rans beating up on each other, so the Big Ten will be able to fill its allotment all the way down to the Quick Lane Bowl.  That requires Michigan State to win two more games, but we think Sparty does that.

Conference USA

It is the weakest overall conference in FBS football, but geography is on CUSA’s side.  This year, the two best teams are in the Lone Star State as UTSA and North Texas have moved to the top of the standings and figure to play in the title game.  Western Kentucky, Rice, Florida Atlantic, and Middle Tennessee are quite mediocre, but all four could end up with six losses and become bowl eligible.  The last bowl bid available figures to come down to the number six CUSA team and the number eight Mountain West team.  Because that final bowl spot is likely to be from a game east of the Mississippi River, a 6-6 CUSA team should get in over a 6-6 MWC team.

Independents

Notre Dame is not counted as an independent since they can receive an ACC bid.  Army and BYU are guaranteed bowl bids if they are bowl eligible.  BYU should sneak in, but Army is looking at a potential 5-7 or 4-8 season.

Liberty will get a bowl bid, and if the Flames win out, they could be feeling some soft Cotton in Texas.  The big surprise team that few people have taken notice to since September is Connecticut.  The Huskies could very well become bowl eligible in Jim Mora Jr.’s first season in Storrs.

Mid-American

Toledo frequently appears to be the most talented team in the MAC, but the Rockets always stub their toes and fail to win the conference championship.  They will have to look hard for something to bang their feet on this year.  Losing another game would be a major Rocket malfunction.  The rest of this league has a lot of parity, but there should be seven bowl eligible teams the first Sunday in December.  All seven will get bowl bids.  The question is, “who will be forced to spend December in Boise?”

Mountain West

This has been another down year in the MWC, and with rumors swirling that more than one team could be moving to the Pac-12 or even Big 12, this league has lost some prestige.  Having Boise State no longer be great has hurt it even more.  The Broncos lost to a so-so BYU team Saturday, and their upcoming game at Wyoming may determine the Mountain Division champion.  Air Force and Utah State should also receive bowl bids on this side of the Rockies.

On the West side, Fresno State started slowly but is 10 to 14 points better than they were in early September.  San Jose State can still win the division, but the Bulldogs look like they have this race under control.  San Diego State also figures to be bowl eligible on this side.  Once considered a contender for the division title, UNLV is looking at a 6-6 record and quite possibly becoming the lone bowl eligible team that does not receive an invitation.

Pac-12

Too much parity has been the bane of this league for several years.  This year, there is a big division of haves and have-nots, and it likely means that the league will do no better than place a team in the Rose Bowl.  Oregon’s 40+ point loss to Georgia cannot be overlooked, and if the Ducks win out and finish 12-1, two or three teams ahead of the Ducks today will have to lose.  It won’t be easy for Oregon to win out.

UCLA, USC, and Utah are still in the mix for the Pac-12 title, and all three are talented enough to beat Oregon in December.  If UCLA or USC wins out and Oregon wins out, the loser of the Pac-12 Championship Game would still have a fair chance at receiving the Cotton Bowl bid as the last NY6 team.

Oregon State, Washington, and Washington State will also be bowl eligible and will satisfy the rest of the league allotment with no extra teams.  Oregon State could play spoiler in the Civil War game with the Ducks.

SEC

The overwhelming power of this league is most likely to leave the conference one team short of filling its bowl spots.  We see Georgia and Tennessee both making the playoff, and we see LSU and Alabama both getting NY6 bids.  We also see just 10 SEC teams becoming bowl eligible now that Texas A&M has collapsed and Arkansas tripped up at home against Liberty.  The Arkansas-Missouri winner on the final weekend should get the final bowl bid.  As of today, we have the Music City Bowl being the odd bowl out needing an at-large team, and the Big 12 is full of teams with fans that would love some country music during the holidays.

Sun Belt

The SBC pecking order is unique, and it is difficult to place teams in bowls because of it.  ESPN gets the first choice of teams to place in one of the bowl games they sponsor.  It doesn’t have to be the number one team in the league, just the number one choice.  Next, the New Orleans Bowl gets to choose its team after ESPN has taken its first choice.  The 3rd and 4th teams once again are chosen by ESPN for their bowls, and then the 5th team is chosen by the Lending Tree Bowl.  There figures to be seven bowl eligible teams from this league, which is fast becoming the second best G5 conference.  All seven will receive bids.

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	Florida Atlantic	Bowling Green
Cure	South Alabama	Air Force
Fenway	Notre Dame	Cincinnati
New Mexico	Rice	San Jose St.
L.A.	Washington St.	Fresno St.
Lending Tree	Buffalo	Georgia Southern
Las Vegas	USC	Kentucky
Frisco	BYU	San Diego St.
Myrtle Beach	Ball St.	Appalachian St.
Famous Idaho Potato	Eastern Michigan	Utah St.
Boca Raton	Marshall	Connecticut
New Orleans	Western Kentucky	Coastal Carolina
Armed Forces	Tulane	UTSA
Independence	East Carolina	Southern Miss.
Gasparilla	Louisville	Houston
Hawaii	North Texas	Boise St.
Quick Lane	Michigan St.	Miami (O)
Camellia	Toledo	Troy
First Responder	Kansas	SMU
Birmingham	Memphis	Middle Tennessee
Guaranteed Rate	Oklahoma St.	Purdue
Military	Wake Forest	Central Florida
Liberty	Baylor	South Carolina
Holiday	Duke	Washington
Texas	Oklahoma	Missouri
Pinstripe	Pittsburgh	Wisconsin
Cheez-It	North Carolina	Kansas St.
Alamo	TCU	Utah
Duke’s Mayo	North Carolina St.	Maryland
Tony the Tiger Sun	Syracuse	Oregon St.
Arizona	Ohio U	Wyoming
Orange	Clemson	Alabama
Music City	Iowa	Texas Tech
Sugar	LSU	Texas
TaxSlayer	Florida St.	Mississippi St.
Peach	Georgia	Michigan
Fiesta	Ohio St.	Tennessee
Reliaquest (Outback)	Minnesota	Florida
Citrus	Illinois	Ole Miss
Cotton	UCLA	Liberty
Rose	Oregon	Penn St.
National Championship	Georgia	Ohio St.

PiRate Ratings College Football — October 30, 2022

This Week’s Games

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Kent St.	Ball St.	6.4	7.0	6.4
Ohio	Buffalo	-0.4	-0.4	-0.6
Northern Illinois	Central Michigan	8.6	7.4	6.6
Bowling Green	Western Michigan	2.2	1.0	1.5
Rice	UTEP	0.0	0.0	0.0
Coastal Carolina	Appalachian St.	-2.1	-2.3	-2.8
Boston College	Duke	-1.6	-2.9	-1.6
Connecticut	Massachusetts	15.7	16.2	16.1
Washington	Oregon St.	1.0	1.9	1.1
Army (N)	Air Force	-7.6	-7.2	-8.1
Virginia	North Carolina	-8.7	-8.9	-10.2
Rutgers	Michigan	-24.2	-24.3	-27.0
North Carolina St.	Wake Forest	6.1	5.2	5.3
Miami (Fla.)	Florida St.	-5.0	-5.5	-6.0
Virginia Tech	Georgia Tech	5.8	6.1	6.2
Purdue	Iowa	7.0	7.2	7.2
Indiana	Penn St.	-15.4	-16.0	-17.3
Louisville	James Madison	21.6	19.6	17.2
Pittsburgh	Syracuse	3.1	3.0	1.9
Kansas	Oklahoma St.	-6.4	-6.3	-7.8
Cincinnati	Navy	20.6	20.5	22.5
Temple	South Florida	-12.6	-9.8	-13.3
Nebraska	Minnesota	-10.9	-10.3	-11.9
Old Dominion	Marshall	0.0	-0.9	-0.5
Arkansas	Liberty	18.2	15.5	16.9
Illinois	Michigan St.	6.0	8.0	7.0
Wisconsin	Maryland	6.2	5.9	6.3
Kansas St.	Texas	3.3	3.1	4.6
Oklahoma	Baylor	-1.1	-0.9	-0.9
Missouri	Kentucky	-1.1	-1.2	-2.5
Northwestern	Ohio St.	-37.4	-35.5	-39.6
Charlotte	Western Kentucky	-14.9	-14.0	-16.7
Colorado	Oregon	-24.3	-25.3	-24.8
Boise St.	BYU	4.3	5.4	6.1
Utah	Arizona	23.7	22.9	24.7
San Jose St.	Colorado St.	17.4	17.3	18.4
Fresno St.	Hawaii	28.5	26.3	27.7
Stanford	Washington St.	1.0	-1.5	-1.2
USC	California	17.7	18.3	18.3
Louisiana Tech	Middle Tennessee	-4.8	-4.3	-6.5
Arizona St.	UCLA	-6.9	-7.3	-7.9
Texas A&M	Florida	7.7	6.8	8.3
Tulsa	Tulane	-7.3	-7.7	-8.0
SMU	Houston	2.0	2.0	1.8
Louisiana	Troy	-0.5	-0.9	-0.9
Southern Miss.	Georgia St.	-2.3	-1.5	-3.2
Vanderbilt	South Carolina	-12.5	-11.5	-13.9
Mississippi St.	Auburn	12.7	13.1	13.6
Georgia	Tennessee	9.6	8.2	9.3
TCU	Texas Tech	10.0	9.9	8.9
Memphis	Central Florida	-6.2	-6.6	-7.3
Iowa St.	West Virginia	7.4	7.5	7.6
Utah St.	New Mexico	14.2	14.4	16.0
UAB	UTSA	1.6	2.5	2.6
LSU	Alabama	-11.1	-10.8	-12.8
North Texas	Florida Int’l.	25.7	23.1	28.0
Georgia Southern	South Alabama	0.8	0.5	0.7
Louisiana-Monroe	Texas St.	1.5	0.6	0.2
San Diego St.	UNLV	7.6	8.8	7.8
Notre Dame	Clemson	-3.8	-5.0	-3.7

There are no FBS vs. FCS games scheduled this week.

Teams With Bye Weeks

Akron

Arkansas St.

East Carolina

Eastern Michigan

Florida Atlantic

Miami (O)

Nevada

New Mexico St.

Ole Miss

Toledo

Wyoming

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Ohio St.	134.7
2	Georgia	131.9
3	Alabama	130.5
4	Michigan	126.5
5	Tennessee	125.8
6	Clemson	120.0
7	Penn St.	118.2
8	Utah	117.1
9	Kansas St.	116.5
10	Baylor	116.2
11	T C U	115.9
12	L S U	115.9
13	Texas	115.9
14	Minnesota	115.4
15	Oregon	115.3
16	Mississippi St.	115.1
17	Arkansas	114.5
18	Wisconsin	114.2
19	Purdue	114.1
20	Illinois	113.3
21	Ole Miss	113.2
22	U S C	113.1
23	Notre Dame	112.8
24	U C L A	112.7
25	Oklahoma St.	112.7
26	Louisville	112.7
27	Florida St.	112.7
28	NC State	112.4
29	Oklahoma	112.2
30	Texas A&M	111.4
31	Maryland	111.1
32	North Carolina	110.2
33	Iowa	110.0
34	Cincinnati	109.7
35	Oregon St.	109.6
36	Kentucky	109.5
37	Wake Forest	109.4
38	Michigan St.	109.3
39	Texas Tech	108.8
40	Syracuse	108.2
41	Washington	108.0
42	Pittsburgh	107.8
43	Iowa St.	107.7
44	South Carolina	107.6
45	UCF	107.4
46	Florida	106.8
47	Miami (Fla.)	105.2
48	Auburn	105.0
49	Missouri	104.9
50	Boise St.	104.8
51	Washington St.	104.6
52	Tulane	103.7
53	West Virginia	103.2
54	East Carolina	103.1
55	Kansas	102.9
56	Houston	102.7
57	SMU	102.6
58	BYU	102.6
59	Air Force	102.5
60	Arizona St.	102.3
61	Nebraska	101.4
62	Stanford	101.1
63	Liberty	100.6
64	Fresno St.	99.2
65	Appalachian St.	99.2
66	Indiana	99.0
67	Duke	98.4
68	Rutgers	98.3
69	Toledo	98.1
70	California	98.0
71	Virginia	97.9
72	Memphis	97.7
73	U T S A	97.2
74	U A B	96.9
75	Arizona	96.3
76	James Madison	96.2
77	Virginia Tech	96.2
78	W. Kentucky	96.1
79	Troy	95.9
80	San Jose St.	95.7
81	Georgia St.	95.4
82	South Alabama	94.9
83	Army	94.8
84	Northwestern	94.7
85	Coastal Carolina	94.3
86	Boston College	93.9
87	Marshall	93.8
88	N. Illinois	93.8
89	Tulsa	93.5
90	Georgia Tech	93.1
91	Ga. Southern	93.1
92	Buffalo	93.0
93	Louisiana	92.7
94	North Texas	92.6
95	Vanderbilt	92.4
96	San Diego St.	92.4
97	USF	92.1
98	Navy	91.0
99	Old Dominion	90.8
100	Southern Miss.	90.6
101	Miami (Ohio)	90.3
102	Ohio	90.1
103	Utah St.	90.1
104	Kent St.	89.5
105	Wyoming	89.1
106	Florida Atlantic	89.0
107	Central Mich.	88.8
108	Colorado	87.5
109	Western Mich.	87.3
110	U N L V	87.3
111	Middle Tennessee	87.2
112	Bowling Green	86.4
113	Eastern Mich.	86.1
114	Ball St.	85.4
115	U T E P	84.6
116	Texas St.	83.7
117	Connecticut	83.2
118	Arkansas St.	82.1
119	Rice	82.0
120	UL-Monroe	81.9
121	Nevada	81.9
122	Colorado St.	81.0
123	Louisiana Tech	79.5
124	Charlotte	78.4
125	New Mexico	78.2
126	Temple	77.7
127	Hawaii	75.2
128	Akron	74.7
129	New Mexico St.	74.6
130	Massachusetts	69.7
131	Florida Int’l.	69.5

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	109.6	109.0	110.5	109.7
UCF	107.0	107.6	107.6	107.4
Tulane	103.7	103.4	103.9	103.7
East Carolina	103.0	102.6	103.6	103.1
Houston	102.8	102.1	103.1	102.7
SMU	102.8	102.1	102.9	102.6
Memphis	97.8	98.0	97.3	97.7
Tulsa	93.9	93.2	93.4	93.5
USF	92.8	91.6	91.9	92.1
Navy	91.5	91.0	90.5	91.0
Temple	77.7	79.2	76.1	77.7
AAC	98.4	98.1	98.3	98.3
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	120.0	119.8	120.1	120.0
Louisville	113.1	112.6	112.4	112.7
Florida St.	112.9	112.5	112.6	112.7
NC State	113.1	112.1	112.1	112.4
Wake Forest	109.5	109.4	109.4	109.4
Syracuse	108.8	107.8	107.9	108.2
Boston College	94.1	94.8	92.7	93.9
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
North Carolina	110.3	110.4	109.9	110.2
Pittsburgh	108.9	107.8	106.9	107.8
Miami (Fla.)	105.9	105.0	104.6	105.2
Duke	98.2	100.1	96.8	98.4
Virginia	98.5	98.5	96.6	97.9
Virginia Tech	96.7	96.7	95.2	96.2
Georgia Tech	93.9	93.6	92.0	93.1
ACC	106.0	105.8	104.9	105.6
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Kansas St.	117.1	115.9	116.6	116.5
Baylor	116.7	115.6	116.3	116.2
T C U	116.6	115.3	115.9	115.9
Texas	116.8	115.8	115.0	115.9
Oklahoma St.	113.4	111.9	112.8	112.7
Oklahoma	112.6	111.7	112.4	112.2
Texas Tech	109.0	107.9	109.4	108.8
Iowa St.	108.0	107.6	107.6	107.7
West Virginia	103.6	103.1	103.0	103.2
Kansas	104.0	102.7	102.0	102.9
Big 12	111.8	110.8	111.1	111.2
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	134.9	133.8	135.5	134.7
Michigan	126.8	126.0	126.7	126.5
Penn St.	118.4	118.2	118.1	118.2
Maryland	111.5	111.3	110.5	111.1
Michigan St.	110.3	109.0	108.6	109.3
Indiana	100.0	99.2	97.7	99.0
Rutgers	99.6	98.6	96.8	98.3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Minnesota	115.9	115.0	115.4	115.4
Wisconsin	114.6	114.2	113.7	114.2
Purdue	115.0	114.1	113.2	114.1
Illinois	113.3	114.0	112.6	113.3
Iowa	111.0	109.9	109.0	110.0
Nebraska	102.1	101.7	100.6	101.4
Northwestern	95.0	95.7	93.4	94.7
Big Ten	112.0	111.5	110.8	111.4
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U T S A	97.4	96.5	97.6	97.2
U A B	96.5	96.5	97.7	96.9
W. Kentucky	95.6	95.5	97.2	96.1
North Texas	92.2	91.9	93.6	92.6
Florida Atlantic	88.9	89.8	88.4	89.0
Middle Tennessee	86.8	87.3	87.5	87.2
U T E P	84.6	84.6	84.4	84.6
Rice	82.1	82.1	81.9	82.0
Louisiana Tech	79.5	80.5	78.5	79.5
Charlotte	78.2	79.0	78.0	78.4
Florida Int’l.	69.0	71.3	68.1	69.5
CUSA	86.4	86.8	86.6	86.6
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	113.3	111.8	113.4	112.8
BYU	103.3	101.8	102.7	102.6
Liberty	99.7	101.0	101.2	100.6
Army	94.7	94.9	94.9	94.8
Connecticut	83.2	84.4	81.9	83.2
New Mexico St.	74.1	76.0	73.7	74.6
Massachusetts	70.0	70.8	68.2	69.7
Independents	91.2	91.5	90.9	91.2
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Buffalo	91.6	93.9	93.7	93.0
Miami (Ohio)	89.2	91.2	90.5	90.3
Ohio	88.8	90.9	90.5	90.1
Kent St.	88.9	90.6	89.1	89.5
Bowling Green	86.5	86.2	86.4	86.4
Akron	74.6	75.3	74.1	74.7
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	97.4	98.4	98.5	98.1
N. Illinois	93.6	94.0	93.8	93.8
Central Mich.	87.5	89.1	89.7	88.8
Western Mich.	86.8	87.7	87.4	87.3
Eastern Mich.	85.7	86.5	86.0	86.1
Ball St.	85.0	86.1	85.2	85.4
MAC	88.0	89.2	88.7	88.6
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	104.6	104.2	105.7	104.8
Air Force	102.3	102.1	103.0	102.5
Utah St.	89.9	90.0	90.3	90.1
Wyoming	88.1	89.9	89.4	89.1
Colorado St.	80.8	81.5	80.8	81.0
New Mexico	78.7	78.6	77.3	78.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	99.3	98.7	99.7	99.2
San Jose St.	95.1	95.7	96.3	95.7
San Diego St.	92.4	92.0	92.6	92.4
U N L V	87.8	86.2	87.8	87.3
Nevada	81.5	82.9	81.2	81.9
Hawaii	74.4	75.9	75.5	75.2
MWC	89.6	89.8	90.0	89.8
Pac-12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	116.9	116.2	118.2	117.1
Oregon	115.5	115.0	115.4	115.3
U S C	112.5	113.1	113.8	113.1
U C L A	112.3	112.2	113.7	112.7
Oregon St.	109.7	109.0	110.2	109.6
Washington	107.7	107.9	108.3	108.0
Washington St.	104.1	104.6	105.1	104.6
Arizona St.	102.3	101.9	102.8	102.3
Stanford	102.1	100.2	100.9	101.1
California	97.8	97.8	98.5	98.0
Arizona	96.2	96.2	96.5	96.3
Colorado	88.2	86.7	87.6	87.5
Pac-12	105.4	105.1	105.9	105.5
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	132.0	130.9	132.7	131.9
Tennessee	125.4	125.6	126.4	125.8
Kentucky	109.1	109.5	109.9	109.5
South Carolina	107.7	107.3	107.8	107.6
Florida	106.3	107.6	106.5	106.8
Missouri	105.0	105.3	104.4	104.9
Vanderbilt	92.6	93.2	91.4	92.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	130.3	129.6	131.5	130.5
L S U	116.2	115.7	115.7	115.9
Mississippi St.	115.8	114.6	115.1	115.1
Arkansas	114.9	113.4	115.1	114.5
Ole Miss	114.2	112.7	112.8	113.2
Texas A&M	111.0	111.4	111.8	111.4
Auburn	106.1	104.5	104.5	105.0
SEC	113.3	113.0	113.3	113.2
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Appalachian St.	98.0	99.3	100.2	99.2
James Madison	94.4	96.0	98.2	96.2
Georgia St.	94.8	94.7	96.7	95.4
Coastal Carolina	93.5	94.5	94.9	94.3
Marshall	93.3	94.2	93.9	93.8
Ga. Southern	92.6	92.7	94.0	93.1
Old Dominion	90.8	90.8	90.9	90.8
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Troy	95.0	95.8	97.0	95.9
South Alabama	94.2	94.7	95.8	94.9
Louisiana	92.0	92.4	93.5	92.7
Southern Miss.	90.0	90.7	91.0	90.6
Texas St.	82.8	84.1	84.1	83.7
Arkansas St.	81.4	82.7	82.1	82.1
UL-Monroe	81.8	82.2	81.8	81.9
Sun Belt	91.1	91.8	92.4	91.8

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	113.2
2	Big Ten	111.4
3	Big 12	111.2
4	Atlantic Coast	105.6
5	Pac-12	105.5
6	American Athletic	98.3
7	Sun Belt	91.8
8	Independents	91.2
9	Mountain West	89.8
10	Mid-American	88.6
11	Conference USA	86.6

Bowl & Playoff Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	North Texas	Buffalo
Cure	Georgia Southern	Liberty
Fenway	Notre Dame	Cincinnati
New Mexico	Western Kentucky	Wyoming
L.A.	Utah	San Jose St.
Lending Tree	Miami (O)	South Alabama
Las Vegas	USC	LSU
Frisco	SMU	San Diego St.
Myrtle Beach	Appalachian St.	Memphis
Famous Idaho Potato	Ohio U	Air Force
Boca Raton	Houston	Troy
New Orleans	Florida Int’l.	Coastal Carolina
Armed Forces	Tulane	UTSA
Independence	East Carolina	Army
Gasparilla	Miami (Fla.)	South Carolina
Hawaii	UAB	Fresno St.
Quick Lane	Iowa	Bowling Green
Camellia	Toledo	Southern Miss.
First Responder	Kansas	Marshall
Birmingham	Pittsburgh	Missouri
Guaranteed Rate	Baylor	Maryland
Military	Wake Forest	Central Florida
Liberty	Texas	Texas A&M
Holiday	Virginia	Oregon St.
Texas	Texas Tech	Arkansas
Pinstripe	Syracuse	Wisconsin
Cheez-It	North Carolina St.	Oklahoma
Alamo	Oklahoma St.	Washington St.
Duke’s Mayo	Duke	Purdue
Tony the Tiger Sun	Louisville	Washington
Arizona	Eastern Michigan	Utah St.
Orange	North Carolina	Alabama
Music City	Minnesota	Florida
Sugar	Tennessee	Kansas St.
TaxSlayer	Florida St.	Mississippi St.
Peach	Georgia	Clemson
Fiesta	Ohio St.	TCU
Reliaquest (Outback)	Illinois	Kentucky
Citrus	Penn St.	Ole Miss
Cotton	UCLA	Boise St.
Rose	Oregon	Michigan
National Championship	Georgia	Ohio St.

Note: 84 FBS teams are projected to become bowl eligible for 82 available bowl slots. Should the NCAA & ESPN agree to add an extra bowl game like last year, Middle Tennessee State and UNLV would meet in that game.

PiRate Ratings College Football–October 27-29, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
North Carolina St.	Virginia Tech	21.1	19.8	22.3
Southern Miss.	Louisiana	-2.2	-2.1	-3.4
Washington St.	Utah	-10.2	-8.9	-10.9
BYU	East Carolina	4.0	2.8	2.7
Florida Int’l.	Louisiana Tech	-10.3	-9.0	-10.6
Nebraska	Illinois	-6.0	-6.9	-6.4
Connecticut	Boston College	-12.4	-12.1	-12.7
Marshall	Coastal Carolina	5.6	5.6	5.1
Massachusetts	New Mexico St.	-0.1	-1.4	-1.4
Akron	Miami (O)	-12.5	-13.8	-14.3
South Carolina	Missouri	10.3	9.7	11.7
Tennessee	Kentucky	14.0	13.7	13.9
West Virginia	TCU	-10.0	-9.2	-9.9
Florida St.	Georgia Tech	21.4	21.2	23.1
Penn St.	Ohio St.	-13.5	-12.6	-14.6
Louisville	Wake Forest	2.1	1.4	1.0
Syracuse	Notre Dame	2.6	3.5	1.9
Michigan	Michigan St.	17.6	17.9	19.3
Virginia	Miami (Fla.)	-4.6	-3.7	-5.4
Central Florida	Cincinnati	-0.5	0.7	-1.0
Iowa	Northwestern	19.0	16.7	18.4
Eastern Michigan	Toledo	-9.6	-10.2	-11.2
Georgia St.	Old Dominion	4.2	3.7	5.8
North Carolina	Pittsburgh	0.9	2.3	2.5
Minnesota	Rutgers	16.4	16.3	18.7
Arkansas St.	South Alabama	-6.0	-5.2	-6.5
Iowa St.	Oklahoma	1.5	2.4	1.7
Colorado	Arizona St.	-11.3	-12.8	-13.0
Boise St.	Colorado St.	23.8	22.4	24.7
Rice	Charlotte	12.8	12.2	13.4
Arizona	USC	-14.0	-14.8	-15.6
Fresno St.	San Diego St.	10.5	10.4	11.0
UCLA	Stanford	10.4	12.4	13.2
California	Oregon	-14.4	-13.8	-13.6
Houston	South Florida	13.0	13.6	14.3
Tulsa	SMU	-6.0	-5.8	-6.2
Kansas St.	Oklahoma St.	-2.7	-2.6	-3.0
Texas Tech	Baylor	1.0	1.1	2.3
Texas A&M	Ole Miss	0.0	1.9	2.2
Auburn	Arkansas	-5.0	-4.9	-6.5
Navy	Temple	17.2	14.8	18.4
Western Kentucky	North Texas	14.2	14.6	14.8
Georgia	Florida	26.1	23.3	26.8
Hawaii	Wyoming	-10.5	-10.9	-11.0
Florida Atlantic	UAB	-7.7	-7.0	-9.4
UTEP	Middle Tennessee	3.1	2.6	2.4
San Jose St.	Nevada	16.8	15.9	18.8

Note: Georgia vs. Florida is neutral site game in Jacksonville

FBS vs. FCS Games This Week

FBS	FCS	PiRate
Appalachian St.	Robert Morris	43.8

Teams With Bye Weeks

Air Force

Alabama

Army

Ball St.

Bowling Green

Buffalo

Central Michigan

Clemson

Duke

Georgia Southern

Indiana

James Madison

Kansas

Kent St.

Liberty

Louisiana-Monroe

LSU

Maryland

Memphis

Mississippi St.

New Mexico

Northern Illinois

Ohio

Oregon St.

Purdue

Texas

Texas St.

Troy

Tulane

UNLV

Utah St.

UTSA

Vanderbilt

Washington

Western Michigan

Wisconsin

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Ohio St.	134.7
2	Georgia	132.0
3	Alabama	130.2
4	Michigan	126.3
5	Tennessee	123.1
6	Clemson	119.7
7	Penn St.	118.2
8	Oklahoma St.	118.0
9	Utah	117.3
10	T C U	115.9
11	L S U	115.6
12	Texas	115.6
13	Oregon	115.3
14	Mississippi St.	114.8
15	Minnesota	114.1
16	Arkansas	114.0
17	Wisconsin	113.9
18	Purdue	113.8
19	U S C	113.8
20	NC State	113.6
21	Baylor	113.3
22	Ole Miss	113.1
23	Florida St.	112.5
24	Kansas St.	112.2
25	Kentucky	112.2
26	Wake Forest	112.1
27	Illinois	112.1
28	Texas Tech	111.7
29	Texas A&M	111.5
30	U C L A	111.4
31	Notre Dame	110.8
32	Maryland	110.8
33	Oklahoma	110.7
34	Louisville	110.6
35	Syracuse	110.5
36	Cincinnati	110.3
37	South Carolina	110.2
38	Iowa	109.9
39	Pittsburgh	109.7
40	Iowa St.	109.6
41	Michigan St.	109.5
42	Oregon St.	109.3
43	North Carolina	108.6
44	Washington	107.7
45	UCF	107.1
46	Florida	106.6
47	Auburn	105.5
48	Miami (Fla.)	105.3
49	Washington St.	104.3
50	Tulane	103.4
51	Boise St.	103.2
52	West Virginia	103.2
53	BYU	103.1
54	East Carolina	102.9
55	Houston	102.7
56	Nebraska	102.6
57	Missouri	102.6
58	Arizona St.	102.6
59	Kansas	102.6
60	Stanford	102.4
61	SMU	102.3
62	Air Force	102.3
63	Liberty	100.4
64	W. Kentucky	100.2
65	Rutgers	100.0
66	Fresno St.	99.6
67	Appalachian St.	99.1
68	Indiana	98.7
69	Toledo	98.5
70	California	98.3
71	U A B	98.2
72	Duke	98.1
73	Virginia	97.7
74	Memphis	97.5
75	U T S A	97.0
76	Boston College	96.3
77	San Jose St.	96.1
78	James Madison	96.0
79	Arizona	96.0
80	Troy	95.7
81	Virginia Tech	95.5
82	Marshall	95.4
83	Northwestern	94.8
84	Army	94.6
85	Georgia St.	94.3
86	Louisiana	94.3
87	Tulsa	93.8
88	N. Illinois	93.6
89	Georgia Tech	93.6
90	Coastal Carolina	93.0
91	Ga. Southern	92.9
92	South Alabama	92.8
93	Buffalo	92.8
94	Old Dominion	92.2
95	Vanderbilt	92.1
96	USF	92.1
97	San Diego St.	92.0
98	Navy	91.7
99	Miami (Ohio)	90.2
100	Ohio	89.9
101	Utah St.	89.9
102	Wyoming	89.3
103	Kent St.	89.3
104	Southern Miss.	89.2
105	Central Mich.	88.6
106	North Texas	88.2
107	Florida Atlantic	87.7
108	Colorado	87.2
109	Western Mich.	87.1
110	U N L V	87.1
111	Bowling Green	86.2
112	U T E P	86.0
113	Rice	85.9
114	Middle Tennessee	85.8
115	Eastern Mich.	85.7
116	Ball St.	85.2
117	Arkansas St.	84.4
118	Texas St.	83.5
119	Colorado St.	82.6
120	UL-Monroe	81.7
121	Nevada	81.5
122	Connecticut	81.4
123	Louisiana Tech	80.9
124	New Mexico	78.0
125	Temple	77.5
126	Charlotte	75.6
127	Akron	75.2
128	Hawaii	75.0
129	New Mexico St.	73.9
130	Massachusetts	70.4
131	Florida Int’l.	68.4

Note: We have been receiving a large number of comments concerning the ratings, almost all from newcomers to his site. The overwhelming question most asked is why a team is ranked ahead of a team that beat them and is ahead of them in the conference standings. To those new to this site, our ratings are not rankings like the AP and Coaches’ polls. We are not grading teams based on what they have done so far . Our goal is to predict the future. Thus Alabama is rated ahead of Tennessee because it is this system’s prediction that the Tide would beat the Vols on a neutral field if they were to play this week.

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	110.2	109.6	111.2	110.3
UCF	106.7	107.3	107.2	107.1
Tulane	103.4	103.1	103.6	103.4
East Carolina	102.8	102.5	103.4	102.9
Houston	102.8	102.1	103.1	102.7
SMU	102.6	101.8	102.5	102.3
Memphis	97.6	97.8	97.1	97.5
Tulsa	94.1	93.5	93.8	93.8
USF	92.8	91.6	91.9	92.1
Navy	92.2	91.5	91.5	91.7
Temple	77.5	79.2	75.6	77.5
AAC	98.4	98.2	98.3	98.3
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	119.7	119.5	119.8	119.7
NC State	114.2	113.1	113.5	113.6
Florida St.	112.7	112.3	112.5	112.5
Wake Forest	112.0	112.1	112.2	112.1
Louisville	111.2	110.5	110.2	110.6
Syracuse	111.0	110.2	110.2	110.5
Boston College	96.4	97.2	95.2	96.3
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	110.8	109.6	108.8	109.7
North Carolina	108.7	108.9	108.3	108.6
Miami (Fla.)	106.0	105.1	104.8	105.3
Duke	97.9	99.8	96.5	98.1
Virginia	98.4	98.4	96.4	97.7
Virginia Tech	96.1	96.2	94.3	95.5
Georgia Tech	94.4	94.1	92.4	93.6
ACC	106.4	106.2	105.4	106.0
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma St.	118.6	117.2	118.2	118.0
T C U	116.6	115.3	115.9	115.9
Texas	116.5	115.5	114.7	115.6
Baylor	113.9	112.7	113.2	113.3
Kansas St.	112.9	111.6	112.2	112.2
Texas Tech	111.8	110.8	112.5	111.7
Oklahoma	111.2	110.1	110.8	110.7
Iowa St.	109.7	109.5	109.5	109.6
West Virginia	103.6	103.1	103.0	103.2
Kansas	103.7	102.4	101.7	102.6
Big 12	111.8	110.8	111.2	111.3
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	134.9	133.8	135.6	134.7
Michigan	126.6	125.7	126.5	126.3
Penn St.	118.4	118.2	118.0	118.2
Maryland	111.2	111.0	110.2	110.8
Michigan St.	110.5	109.3	108.8	109.5
Rutgers	101.2	100.3	98.4	100.0
Indiana	99.7	98.9	97.4	98.7
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Minnesota	114.6	113.6	114.1	114.1
Wisconsin	114.3	113.9	113.4	113.9
Purdue	114.7	113.8	112.9	113.8
Illinois	112.2	112.8	111.3	112.1
Iowa	111.0	109.7	108.9	109.9
Nebraska	103.2	102.9	101.9	102.6
Northwestern	95.0	95.9	93.5	94.8
Big Ten	112.0	111.4	110.8	111.4
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
W. Kentucky	99.6	99.6	101.4	100.2
U A B	97.8	97.9	99.0	98.2
U T S A	97.2	96.3	97.4	97.0
North Texas	87.9	87.5	89.1	88.2
Florida Atlantic	87.6	88.4	87.1	87.7
U T E P	86.0	86.0	85.9	86.0
Rice	85.8	85.9	85.9	85.9
Middle Tennessee	85.4	85.9	86.0	85.8
Louisiana Tech	80.8	81.8	80.0	80.9
Charlotte	75.5	76.2	75.0	75.6
Florida Int’l.	68.0	70.3	66.9	68.4
CUSA	86.5	86.9	86.7	86.7
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	111.4	109.7	111.4	110.8
BYU	103.8	102.2	103.2	103.1
Liberty	99.5	100.8	101.0	100.4
Army	94.5	94.7	94.7	94.6
Connecticut	81.5	82.6	80.0	81.4
New Mexico St.	73.4	75.3	72.9	73.9
Massachusetts	70.7	71.5	69.0	70.4
Independents	90.7	91.0	90.3	90.7
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Buffalo	91.4	93.7	93.5	92.8
Miami (Ohio)	89.1	91.1	90.4	90.2
Ohio	88.6	90.7	90.3	89.9
Kent St.	88.7	90.4	88.9	89.3
Bowling Green	86.3	86.0	86.2	86.2
Akron	75.1	75.8	74.6	75.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	97.6	98.8	99.1	98.5
N. Illinois	93.4	93.8	93.6	93.6
Central Mich.	87.3	88.9	89.5	88.6
Western Mich.	86.6	87.5	87.2	87.1
Eastern Mich.	85.5	86.1	85.4	85.7
Ball St.	84.8	85.9	85.0	85.2
MAC	87.9	89.1	88.6	88.5
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	103.1	102.5	104.1	103.2
Air Force	102.1	101.9	102.8	102.3
Utah St.	89.7	89.8	90.1	89.9
Wyoming	88.2	90.1	89.7	89.3
Colorado St.	82.3	83.2	82.4	82.6
New Mexico	78.5	78.4	77.1	78.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	99.6	99.1	100.2	99.6
San Jose St.	95.4	96.0	96.9	96.1
San Diego St.	92.1	91.6	92.1	92.0
U N L V	87.6	86.0	87.6	87.1
Nevada	81.2	82.6	80.6	81.5
Hawaii	74.3	75.7	75.2	75.0
MWC	89.5	89.7	89.9	89.7
Pac-12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	117.1	116.4	118.6	117.3
Oregon	115.5	115.0	115.4	115.3
U S C	113.0	113.7	114.6	113.8
U C L A	110.9	110.9	112.4	111.4
Oregon St.	109.4	108.7	109.9	109.3
Washington	107.4	107.6	108.0	107.7
Washington St.	103.9	104.4	104.7	104.3
Arizona St.	102.4	102.2	103.2	102.6
Stanford	103.5	101.5	102.2	102.4
California	98.1	98.1	98.8	98.3
Arizona	96.0	95.9	96.0	96.0
Colorado	88.1	86.4	87.2	87.2
Pac-12	105.4	105.1	105.9	105.5
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	132.2	130.9	133.0	132.0
Tennessee	122.8	122.9	123.6	123.1
Kentucky	111.7	112.2	112.7	112.2
South Carolina	110.2	109.8	110.6	110.2
Florida	106.1	107.6	106.2	106.6
Missouri	102.8	103.1	101.9	102.6
Vanderbilt	92.3	92.9	91.1	92.1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	130.0	129.3	131.2	130.2
L S U	115.9	115.4	115.4	115.6
Mississippi St.	115.5	114.3	114.8	114.8
Arkansas	114.5	112.9	114.6	114.0
Ole Miss	114.1	112.6	112.7	113.1
Texas A&M	111.1	111.5	111.9	111.5
Auburn	106.5	105.0	105.0	105.5
SEC	113.3	112.9	113.2	113.1
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Appalachian St.	97.9	99.2	100.1	99.1
James Madison	94.2	95.8	98.0	96.0
Marshall	94.8	95.8	95.6	95.4
Georgia St.	93.8	93.5	95.6	94.3
Coastal Carolina	92.3	93.2	93.5	93.0
Ga. Southern	92.4	92.5	93.8	92.9
Old Dominion	92.1	92.3	92.3	92.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Troy	94.8	95.6	96.8	95.7
Louisiana	93.5	94.0	95.3	94.3
South Alabama	92.2	92.7	93.6	92.8
Southern Miss.	88.8	89.4	89.5	89.2
Arkansas St.	83.7	85.0	84.6	84.4
Texas St.	82.6	83.9	83.9	83.5
UL-Monroe	81.6	82.0	81.6	81.7
Sun Belt	91.1	91.8	92.5	91.8

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	113.1
2	Big Ten	111.4
3	Big 12	111.3
4	Atlantic Coast	106.0
5	Pac-12	105.5
6	American Athletic	98.3
7	Sun Belt	91.8
8	Independents	90.7
9	Mountain West	89.7
10	Mid-American	88.5
11	Conference USA	86.7

Bowl & Playoff Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	UTSA	Buffalo
Cure	Troy	Liberty
Fenway	Syracuse	Tulane
New Mexico	North Texas	Wyoming
L.A.	Utah	Boise St.
Lending Tree	Miami (O)	South Alabama
Las Vegas	USC	Arkansas
Frisco	Utah St.	Kansas
Myrtle Beach	Marshall	Iowa St.
Famous Idaho Potato	Toledo	San Jose St.
Boca Raton	Coastal Carolina	Air Force
New Orleans	UTEP	Lousiana
Armed Forces	Houston	Western Kentucky
Independence	SMU	Appalachian St.
Gasparilla	Florida	East Carolina
Hawaii	UAB	Fresno St.
Quick Lane	Eastern Michigan	Army
Camellia	Bowling Green	Southern Miss.
First Responder	Stanford	BYU
Birmingham	Louisville	Georgia Southern
Guaranteed Rate	Texas Tech	Wisconsin
Military	Duke	Central Florida
Liberty	Baylor	Ole Miss
Holiday	Virginia	Washington
Texas	Oklahoma	Mississippi St.
Pinstripe	Notre Dame	Nebraska
Cheez-It	Texas	North Carolina St.
Alamo	Kansas St.	UCLA
Duke’s Mayo	Wake Forest	Maryland
Tony the Tiger Sun	Pittsburgh	Oregon St.
Arizona	Ohio U	San Diego St.
Orange	Alabama	North Carolina
Music City	Minnesota	Texas A&M
Sugar	Tennessee	Oklahoma St.
TaxSlayer	Florida St.	South Carolina
Peach	Georgia	Clemson
Fiesta	Ohio St.	TCU
Tampa Bay	Purdue	Kentucky
Citrus	Illinois	LSU
Cotton	Penn St.	Cincinnati
Rose	Oregon	Michigan
National Championship	Georgia	Ohio St.

Note: For the first time this year more than 82 FBS teams were projected to be bowl eligible, and no 5-7 teams made this list. Five projected bowl eligible teams were omitted from this projection: Ball St., Middle Tennessee, Rice, UNLV, and Western Michigan.

PiRate Ratings College Football–Sept. 1-5, 2022

This Week’s Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Tennessee	Ball St.	33.5	32.0	33.5
Pittsburgh	West Virginia	13.7	12.6	13.3
Purdue	Penn St.	4.7	4.1	4.0
Missouri	Louisiana Tech	26.7	25.1	27.2
Minnesota	New Mexico St.	42.0	39.0	43.1
Oklahoma St.	Central Michigan	28.2	24.0	24.4
Indiana	Illinois	0.3	-0.8	-0.7
Old Dominion	Virginia Tech	-9.0	-9.4	-6.4
Michigan St.	Western Michigan	29.8	26.9	26.2
Duke	Temple	5.8	5.8	5.0
Colorado	TCU	-7.3	-7.6	-6.6
Ole Miss	Troy	25.7	23.5	22.8
Florida	Utah	-7.0	-3.5	-8.6
South Florida	BYU	-12.9	-12.5	-14.0
Syracuse	Louisville	-2.9	-3.3	-3.5
Ohio St.	Notre Dame	14.2	14.1	15.2
Maryland	Buffalo	30.1	27.4	28.0
Michigan	Colorado St.	38.2	35.0	37.4
Appalachian St.	North Carolina	-10.0	-8.4	-6.7
Boston College	Rutgers	2.2	5.1	5.0
James Madison	Middle Tennessee	4.0	4.7	7.7
Coastal Carolina	Army	-2.8	-2.1	-1.2
Kentucky	Miami (O)	23.5	21.2	21.9
South Carolina	Georgia St.	13.1	13.3	9.3
North Texas	SMU	-10.5	-10.4	-9.3
Ohio	Florida Atlantic	-0.8	0.4	1.4
East Carolina	North Carolina St.	-16.3	-15.7	-15.6
Wyoming	Tulsa	-10.1	-6.3	-8.8
USC	Rice	27.1	28.5	29.0
UCLA	Bowling Green	23.8	25.0	26.3
Oregon St.	Boise St.	4.1	4.6	3.8
Washington	Kent St.	19.8	17.8	20.8
San Diego St.	Arizona	6.4	6.4	6.9
Nevada	Texas St.	9.2	10.5	8.1
Georgia (Atlanta)	Oregon	21.4	19.8	23.8
Southern Miss.	Liberty	-7.8	-9.3	-10.3
Alabama	Utah St.	37.2	35.5	38.0
Oklahoma	UTEP	37.2	36.6	37.4
Mississippi St.	Memphis	20.6	18.0	19.0
Texas	UL-Monroe	32.0	30.3	31.0
Arkansas	Cincinnati	7.5	6.5	6.2
UTSA	Houston	-5.9	-7.4	-7.9
Tulane	Massachusetts	25.9	24.3	27.8
Hawaii	Western Kentucky	-18.5	-16.5	-20.2
LSU (New Orleans)	Florida St.	3.4	3.3	3.5
Georgia Tech	Clemson	-21.7	-21.5	-24.4

FBS vs. FCS Games

FBS	FCS	PiRate
Akron	St. Francis (PA)	8.3
Central Florida	S. Carolina St.	29.5
Florida Int’l.	Bryant	8.8
Toledo	Long Island	39.0
Wake Forest	VMI	31.7
Northern Illinois	Eastern Illinois	28.0
UAB	Alabama A&M	28.8
Arizona St.	Northern Arizona	26.1
Fresno St.	Cal Poly SLO	31.3
San Jose St.	Portland St.	12.7
Eastern Michigan	Eastern Kentucky	13.2
Charlotte	William & Mary	3.8
Kansas	Tennessee Tech	25.1
Air Force	Northern Iowa	15.3
New Mexico	Maine	4.6
Texas A&M	Sam Houston	27.7
Connecticut	Central Connecticut	13.0
Iowa	South Dakota St.	16.7
Navy	Delaware	18.1
Virginia	Richmond	22.1
Iowa St.	SE Missouri St.	33.2
Nebraska	North Dakota	21.1
Miami (Fla.)	Bethune-Cookman	38.6
Marshall	Norfolk St.	28.1
California	UC Davis	18.6
South Alabama	Nicholls St.	9.7
Georgia Southern	Morgan St.	28.6
Auburn	Mercer	28.2
Vanderbilt	Elon	17.2
Kansas St.	South Dakota	23.2
Wisconsin	Illinois St.	31.3
Louisiana	SE Louisiana	18.1
Baylor	Albany	38.5
Arkansas St.	Grambling	21.8
Stanford	Colgate	30.3
Texas Tech	Murray St.	30.0
Washington St.	Idaho	25.7

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	130.5
2	Alabama	129.1
3	Ohio St.	128.3
4	Michigan	123.0
5	Clemson	120.0
6	Oklahoma	119.1
7	NC State	118.1
8	Michigan St.	117.7
9	Wisconsin	117.6
10	Oklahoma St.	117.5
11	Notre Dame	116.8
12	Utah	116.6
13	Purdue	115.9
14	Arkansas	115.3
15	Tennessee	115.1
16	Pittsburgh	115.0
17	Iowa	114.7
18	Miami (Fla.)	114.7
19	Penn St.	114.6
20	Texas A&M	114.3
21	Mississippi St.	113.9
22	Minnesota	113.6
23	Baylor	113.5
24	Kentucky	112.7
25	L S U	112.5
26	Ole Miss	112.2
27	Florida St.	111.6
28	BYU	111.5
29	Cincinnati	111.5
30	Oregon	111.3
31	Auburn	111.2
32	Louisville	111.0
33	Kansas St.	110.3
34	Texas	110.2
35	Maryland	110.0
36	U C L A	109.1
37	South Carolina	109.1
38	Iowa St.	108.7
39	North Carolina	108.2
40	T C U	107.8
41	Nebraska	107.6
42	Oregon St.	107.2
43	Texas Tech	106.7
44	Florida	106.7
45	Boise St.	106.0
46	U S C	105.9
47	Houston	105.5
48	Wake Forest	105.4
49	Washington	104.9
50	Syracuse	104.8
51	Arizona St.	104.5
52	UCF	104.4
53	Illinois	103.8
54	Missouri	103.7
55	Virginia	103.6
56	Fresno St.	103.5
57	West Virginia	103.3
58	Stanford	102.2
59	SMU	102.0
60	Washington St.	101.5
61	Air Force	101.4
62	Northwestern	101.2
63	Boston College	101.2
64	Indiana	100.9
65	Georgia St.	100.1
66	Rutgers	100.1
67	East Carolina	99.8
68	Virginia Tech	99.7
69	Army	99.0
70	California	98.3
71	N. Illinois	98.2
72	Tulane	98.2
73	U A B	98.1
74	Appal. St.	97.8
75	San Diego St.	97.7
76	Colorado	97.6
77	Kansas	97.3
78	Memphis	97.2
79	Liberty	97.0
80	Louisiana	96.9
81	W. Kentucky	96.7
82	U T S A	96.5
83	Tulsa	95.5
84	Vanderbilt	95.4
85	USF	95.4
86	Utah St.	95.2
87	Georgia Tech	95.0
88	Central Mich.	95.0
89	Toledo	94.5
90	Arizona	94.1
91	Coastal Car.	94.0
92	Miami (Ohio)	93.5
93	Western Mich.	93.1
94	Navy	92.2
95	Marshall	92.1
96	Troy	91.2
97	North Texas	90.4
98	J. Madison	89.5
99	Old Dominion	89.4
100	Colorado St.	89.2
101	Florida Atlantic	88.6
102	Eastern Mich.	88.5
103	Kent St.	88.4
104	U N L V	88.1
105	Nevada	87.8
106	San Jose St.	87.4
107	Bowling Green	87.1
108	Ga. Southern	86.6
109	Middle Tennessee	86.5
110	Ohio	85.9
111	South Alabama	85.8
112	Southern Miss.	85.3
113	Ball St.	85.1
114	U T E P	85.1
115	Buffalo	84.5
116	Wyoming	84.1
117	Duke	84.1
118	UL-Monroe	82.1
119	Temple	81.1
120	Texas St.	81.0
121	Arkansas St.	80.8
122	Rice	80.7
123	Charlotte	80.7
124	Louisiana Tech	80.4
125	New Mexico	80.2
126	Akron	78.5
127	Connecticut	78.2
128	New Mexico St.	75.3
129	Hawaii	74.8
130	Massachusetts	74.7
131	Florida Int’l.	67.6

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	111.3	110.4	112.9	111.5
Houston	105.1	104.8	106.6	105.5
UCF	103.9	104.6	104.7	104.4
SMU	102.3	101.4	102.4	102.0
East Carolina	99.6	99.2	100.5	99.8
Tulane	98.7	97.8	98.0	98.2
Memphis	97.1	97.6	97.0	97.2
Tulsa	95.9	94.9	95.8	95.5
USF	96.3	94.8	95.2	95.4
Navy	93.0	92.2	91.4	92.2
Temple	81.0	83.5	78.7	81.1
AAC	98.6	98.3	98.5	98.4
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	119.8	119.6	120.6	120.0
NC State	118.4	117.4	118.6	118.1
Florida St.	112.1	111.4	111.3	111.6
Louisville	111.8	110.6	110.8	111.0
Wake Forest	105.9	105.2	105.2	105.4
Syracuse	105.9	104.3	104.2	104.8
Boston College	100.6	102.6	100.3	101.2
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	116.0	114.7	114.3	115.0
Miami (Fla.)	115.2	113.8	115.0	114.7
North Carolina	108.3	108.5	107.8	108.2
Virginia	104.1	104.3	102.4	103.6
Virginia Tech	100.4	100.8	97.9	99.7
Georgia Tech	95.7	95.6	93.7	95.0
Duke	84.3	86.8	81.2	84.1
ACC	107.0	106.8	105.9	106.6
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma	119.4	118.2	119.8	119.1
Oklahoma St.	118.3	116.4	117.7	117.5
Baylor	114.2	112.9	113.4	113.5
Kansas St.	111.2	109.8	110.0	110.3
Texas	111.2	110.0	109.5	110.2
Iowa St.	108.7	108.6	108.9	108.7
T C U	108.9	107.3	107.3	107.8
Texas Tech	107.1	105.6	107.5	106.7
West Virginia	103.8	103.6	102.5	103.3
Kansas	99.2	96.9	95.8	97.3
Big 12	110.2	108.9	109.2	109.5
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	128.7	126.7	129.6	128.3
Michigan	123.7	121.9	123.5	123.0
Michigan St.	119.0	117.4	116.8	117.7
Penn St.	115.1	114.6	114.1	114.6
Maryland	110.3	110.1	109.8	110.0
Indiana	102.1	101.5	99.1	100.9
Rutgers	101.4	100.5	98.3	100.1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Wisconsin	118.1	117.4	117.1	117.6
Purdue	116.8	115.7	115.0	115.9
Iowa	115.9	114.4	113.9	114.7
Minnesota	113.7	113.1	114.1	113.6
Nebraska	108.1	108.1	106.8	107.6
Illinois	104.3	104.8	102.3	103.8
Northwestern	101.4	102.5	99.6	101.2
Big Ten	112.8	112.0	111.4	112.1
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U A B	97.4	97.6	99.2	98.1
W. Kentucky	96.0	95.6	98.6	96.7
U T S A	97.2	95.4	96.7	96.5
North Texas	90.2	89.5	91.6	90.4
Florida Atlantic	88.0	89.6	88.1	88.6
Middle Tennessee	85.7	86.8	86.9	86.5
U T E P	85.2	84.6	85.3	85.1
Rice	81.3	80.7	80.2	80.7
Charlotte	80.4	81.7	80.0	80.7
Louisiana Tech	80.3	82.0	78.8	80.4
Florida Int’l.	67.1	70.2	65.4	67.6
CUSA	86.3	86.7	86.5	86.5
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	117.5	115.5	117.4	116.8
BYU	112.2	110.2	112.2	111.5
Army	98.6	99.3	99.2	99.0
Liberty	95.4	97.5	98.0	97.0
Connecticut	78.6	80.1	76.0	78.2
New Mexico St.	74.8	77.1	74.0	75.3
Massachusetts	75.3	76.0	72.7	74.7
Independents	93.2	93.7	92.8	93.2
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	91.6	94.6	94.4	93.5
Kent St.	87.4	90.2	87.7	88.4
Bowling Green	87.8	86.5	86.9	87.1
Ohio	84.3	87.0	86.5	85.9
Buffalo	83.1	85.8	84.8	84.5
Akron	78.3	79.3	77.9	78.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
N. Illinois	97.9	98.3	98.4	98.2
Central Mich.	93.1	95.4	96.4	95.0
Toledo	93.5	94.7	95.4	94.5
Western Mich.	92.2	93.5	93.6	93.1
Eastern Mich.	88.4	89.0	88.1	88.5
Ball St.	84.7	86.0	84.8	85.1
MAC	88.5	90.0	89.6	89.4
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	106.1	105.0	107.0	106.0
Air Force	101.0	100.9	102.4	101.4
Utah St.	94.8	95.2	95.6	95.2
Colorado St.	88.6	89.9	89.1	89.2
Wyoming	82.8	85.6	84.0	84.1
New Mexico	80.4	81.1	79.1	80.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	103.3	102.6	104.6	103.5
San Diego St.	97.5	97.5	97.9	97.7
U N L V	89.0	86.5	88.6	88.1
Nevada	87.2	89.3	87.0	87.8
San Jose St.	86.9	87.3	88.0	87.4
Hawaii	74.1	75.6	74.9	74.8
MWC	91.0	91.4	91.5	91.3
Pac-12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	116.5	115.0	118.4	116.6
Oregon	111.7	111.4	110.9	111.3
U C L A	108.6	108.5	110.2	109.1
Oregon St.	107.2	106.6	107.8	107.2
U S C	105.4	106.2	106.2	105.9
Washington	104.2	105.0	105.5	104.9
Arizona St.	104.1	104.1	105.4	104.5
Stanford	103.8	101.0	101.8	102.2
Washington St.	101.0	101.6	101.8	101.5
California	97.7	98.1	99.1	98.3
Colorado	98.5	96.7	97.7	97.6
Arizona	94.1	94.1	94.0	94.1
Pac-12	104.4	104.0	104.9	104.4
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	130.6	128.7	132.2	130.5
Tennessee	115.2	114.9	115.3	115.1
Kentucky	112.1	112.8	113.3	112.7
South Carolina	109.5	108.8	108.9	109.1
Florida	105.9	108.0	106.3	106.7
Missouri	104.0	104.1	103.0	103.7
Vanderbilt	95.6	96.8	93.8	95.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	129.0	127.7	130.6	129.1
Arkansas	115.9	113.9	116.1	115.3
Texas A&M	113.4	114.8	114.8	114.3
Mississippi St.	115.2	113.1	113.5	113.9
L S U	113.0	112.2	112.2	112.5
Ole Miss	113.4	111.4	111.8	112.2
Auburn	112.1	110.6	110.9	111.2
SEC	113.2	112.7	113.1	113.0
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia St.	99.3	98.5	102.6	100.1
Appalachian St.	96.2	98.1	99.0	97.8
Coastal Carolina	92.8	94.2	95.0	94.0
Marshall	91.4	92.8	92.1	92.1
James Madison	87.2	89.1	92.1	89.5
Old Dominion	89.4	89.4	89.5	89.4
Ga. Southern	86.6	86.0	87.1	86.6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisiana	95.9	96.3	98.5	96.9
Troy	90.7	90.9	92.0	91.2
South Alabama	85.3	85.6	86.5	85.8
Southern Miss.	85.1	85.6	85.2	85.3
UL-Monroe	82.2	82.7	81.5	82.1
Texas St.	80.4	81.3	81.4	81.0
Arkansas St.	80.1	81.7	80.6	80.8
Sun Belt	88.8	89.4	90.2	89.5

Conference Rankings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	113.0
2	Big Ten	112.1
3	Big 12	109.5
4	Atlantic Coast	106.6
5	Pac-12	104.4
6	American Athletic	98.4
7	Independents	93.2
8	Mountain West	91.3
9	Sun Belt	89.5
10	Mid-American	89.4
11	Conference USA	86.5

The Best TV Games This Week

Thursday, September 1
Time (ET)	Network	Home	Visitor
7:00 PM	ESPN	Pittsburgh	West Virginia
8:00 PM	Fox	Purdue	Penn St.
Friday, September 2
Time (ET)	Network	Home	Visitor
7:00 PM	ESPN	Michigan St.	Western Michigan
8:00 PM	FS1	Indiana	Illinois
10:00 PM	ESPN	Colorado	TCU
Saturday, September 3
Time (ET)	Network	Home	Visitor
12:00 PM	ABC	Michigan	Colorado St.
12:00 PM	ESPN	East Carolina	North Carolina St.
12:00 PM	ESPNU	Appalachian St.	North Carolina
12:00 PM	FS1	Iowa	South Dakota St.
3:30 PM	CBS	San Diego St.	Arizona
3:30 PM	ESPN	Arkansas	Cincinnati
3:30 PM	ABC	Georgia (Atl.)	Oregon
3:30 PM	Fox	Oklahoma	UTEP
7:00 PM	ESPN	Florida	Utah
7:30 PM	ESPNU	Mississippi St.	Memphis
7:30 PM	ABC	Ohio St.	Notre Dame
7:30 PM	SECN	Alabama	Utah St.
10:30 PM	ESPN	Oregon St.	Boise St.
10:30 PM	FS1	Washington	Kent St.
Sunday, September 4
Time (ET)	Network	Home	Visitor
7:30 PM	ABC	LSU (New Orleans)	Florida St.
Monday, September 5
Time (ET)	Network	Home	Visitor
8:00 PM	ESPN	Georgia Tech	Clemson

Pac-12 Preview

With apologies to William Shakespeare, Alas poor Pac-12. I knew the league, football lovers. No, this conference hasn’t been dead for many years like Yorick in Hamlet, but the league isn’t far from having last rites administered if it cannot find a way to partly replace UCLA and USC when the two most important members leave for the Big Ten.

San Diego State and Fresno State might stop some of the leakage. There has been talk that the league might go after Houston and SMU to get some of the Dallas and Houston markets, but neither team commands huge numbers of the two largest cities in the Southwest.

What this league must worry about is that potentially eight of the remaining teams could try to leave this league.

2022 might produce some irony. In recent seasons, there has been too much parity to produce one undefeated team. In fact, there has never been an undefeated Pac-12 team in the regular season, not even in conference play only. The last time a team ran the table in the league and in the regular season, the league was the Pac-10, when Oregon played Auburn for the National Championship in 2010.

There is a team capable of ending that 12 year drought. Read on to see which team it is. The other big news is that the league has eliminated the two divisions.

Preseason PiRate Ratings For Pac-12 Conference

Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	116.4	114.9	118.3	116.5
Oregon	111.6	111.3	110.8	111.2
U C L A	108.5	108.4	110.1	109.0
Oregon St.	107.1	106.5	107.7	107.1
U S C	105.3	106.1	106.1	105.8
Washington	104.1	104.9	105.4	104.8
Arizona St.	104.0	104.0	105.3	104.4
Stanford	103.7	100.9	101.7	102.1
Washington St.	100.9	101.5	101.7	101.4
California	97.6	98.0	99.0	98.2
Colorado	98.4	96.6	97.6	97.5
Arizona	94.0	94.0	93.9	94.0
Pac-12	104.3	103.9	104.8	104.3

Pac-12 Official Preseason Media Poll

		Votes
#	Team	1st Place	Overall
1	Utah	26	384
2	Oregon	2	345
3	USC	5	341
4	UCLA	0	289
5	Oregon St.	0	246
6	Washington	0	212
7	Washington St.	0	177
8	Stanford	0	159
9	California	0	154
10	Arizona St.	0	123
11	Arizona	0	86
12	Colorado	0	58

The PiRate Ratings are designed to look at just the next week’s schedule of games and not to use to look forward. Nevertheless, here are the predicted won-loss records for the league.

Predicted Won-Loss Records

Pac-12	Conf	Overall
Utah	9-0	13-0
Oregon	8-1	10-3
UCLA	7-2	10-2
USC	6-3	8-4
Washington	5-4	7-5
Oregon St.	5-4	8-4
Washington St.	4-5	6-6
Arizona St.	4-5	6-6
Stanford	3-6	4-8
California	1-8	3-9
Arizona	1-8	2-10
Colorado	1-8	1-11