The Pi-Rate Ratings

January 26, 2023

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Thursday, January 26, 2023

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 3:00 am
HomeVisitorSpread
Abilene ChristianGrand Canyon-4.9
Appalachian St.Georgia St.5.7
BellarmineEastern Kentucky-0.7
Cal PolyLong Beach St.-3.3
Cal St. BakersfieldUC Davis-4.7
Cal St. FullertonUC Irvine-2.8
Cal St. NorthridgeUC San Diego0.9
Central ArkansasNorth Florida-3.2
Central Connecticut St.Merrimack2.7
Eastern WashingtonIdaho St.9.5
ElonHofstra-11.7
Fairleigh DickinsonSt. Francis (PA)2.1
Florida AtlanticMiddle Tennessee9.5
Florida Intl.Western Kentucky-3.2
HamptonDelaware-7.9
IdahoWeber St.-2.0
Incarnate WordMcNeese St.-0.1
Jacksonville St.Lipscomb-3.6
James MadisonCoastal Carolina12.4
Kennesaw St.Austin Peay9.5
LamarTexas A&M-Commerce-6.1
LibertyStetson11.2
LouisianaTroy3.3
Loyola MarymountPortland7.5
MarshallLouisiana Monroe16.7
MemphisSMU14.9
MichiganPurdue-4.7
Michigan St.Iowa1.7
Morehead St.Little Rock7.2
Mount St. Mary’sFairfield-0.1
North AlabamaJacksonville-4.2
North Carolina A&TDrexel-2.8
North TexasUTSA18.9
Northern KentuckyGreen Bay18.2
Northwestern St.Houston Christian13.0
Oral RobertsDenver16.8
OregonColorado3.2
Oregon St.Utah-8.7
PepperdineSan Diego3.7
Portland St.Montana St.-3.2
QueensFlorida Gulf Coast0.1
RadfordLongwood1.6
RiceCharlotte-0.9
Sacramento St.Montana0.3
Sacred HeartLong Island13.2
Sam HoustonSeattle6.1
South AlabamaOld Dominion2.4
Southeast LouisianaNew Orleans8.8
Southeast Missouri St.Tennessee St.5.9
Southern IndianaEastern Illinois10.3
Southern Miss.Arkansas St.14.4
Southern UtahUtah Valley-0.1
St. ThomasSouth Dakota St.-0.3
Tarleton St.Utah Tech3.0
Tennessee TechSIU Edwardsville-2.4
Texas A&M-CCNicholls St.2.6
Texas St.Georgia Southern3.2
TowsonNortheastern9.7
UABLouisiana Tech8.9
UMKCOmaha6.9
UNC WilmingtonMonmouth19.5
USCUCLA-6.0
UT MartinLindenwood9.3
WagnerSt. Francis (NY)10.5
WashingtonArizona St.-1.9
Washington St.Arizona-4.1
Western IllinoisSouth Dakota4.2
William & MaryStony Brook3.7
Wright St.Milwaukee1.8

January 18, 2023

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Wednesday, January 18. 2023

HomeVisitorSpread
AmericanLafayette5.1
ArmyBucknell5.6
CaliforniaOregon-7.4
CampbellRadford-1.7
Central ArkansasNorth Alabama0.3
Charleston SouthernUNC Asheville-2.3
ChattanoogaFurman1.2
Colorado St.San Diego St-4.9
DePaulXavier-9.1
DrakeMissouri St.6.2
East Tennessee St.Samford-3.7
Grand CanyonUtah Tech10.9
High PointWinthrop1.3
Holy CrossColgate-12.4
Indiana St.Bradley0.1
LongwoodGardner Webb5.1
LouisvillePittsburgh-10.7
Loyola (Chi)Saint Louis-7.3
LSUAuburn-5.1
MarquetteProvidence5.7
MissouriArkansas-1.0
Morgan St.Hartford15.6
NavyBoston U.2.8
NebraskaOhio St.-5.5
Northern IowaIllinois St.6.5
Oklahoma St.Oklahoma2.7
Seton HallConnecticut-4.8
South FloridaCincinnati-3.9
St. BonaventureDuquesne-0.4
TempleEast Carolina7.7
Texas A&MFlorida2.0
TulsaSMU-1.4
UMass LowellUMBC5.9
USC UpstatePresbyterian5.5
Utah ValleyAbilene Christian9.1
VirginiaVirginia Tech6.4
West VirginiaTCU1.8
Western CarolinaWofford-0.7

January 12, 2023

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Thursday, January 12, 2023

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 3:30 am
HomeVisitorSpread
Appalachian St.Georgia Southern4.0
Arkansas St.Texas St.-3.7
Austin PeayLipscomb1.2
BellarmineStetson0.8
BYUGonzaga-6.0
DenverNorth Dakota St.0.8
DetroitYoungstown St.-2.8
Eastern IllinoisSIU Edwardsville-8.4
Eastern KentuckyFlorida Gulf Coast-4.1
Georgia St.Troy-3.3
Grand CanyonUT Arlington12.8
Green BayWright St.-9.3
Houston ChristianTexas A&M-Commerce-5.3
Incarnate WordNew Orleans0.8
IowaMichigan5.6
IUPUIPurdue Ft. Wayne-16.6
Jacksonville St.North Florida0.2
Kennesaw St.Jacksonville1.4
LamarNicholls St.-10.7
LibertyNorth Alabama17.1
Long Beach St.Cal Poly7.5
Louisiana MonroeLouisiana-6.9
MarshallSouthern Miss.6.5
MilwaukeeNorthern Kentucky2.5
MontanaWeber St.4.7
Montana St.Idaho St.10.0
Northwestern St.McNeese St.7.5
OaklandRobert Morris1.9
Ohio St.Minnesota18.5
Old DominionCoastal Carolina5.8
OmahaNorth Dakota4.3
Oral RobertsWestern Illinois14.7
OregonArizona St.3.0
Oregon St.Arizona-15.9
PortlandSan Francisco-2.0
Portland St.Northern Arizona6.7
QueensCentral Arkansas12.0
Sacramento St.Northern Colorado5.3
Saint Mary’sLoyola Marymount13.0
San DiegoPepperdine1.3
SeattleNew Mexico St.3.1
South AlabamaJames Madison-5.3
Southeast Missouri St.Lindenwood7.6
Southern IndianaLittle Rock7.8
Southern UtahSam Houston-2.6
Stony BrookDrexel-5.3
Tennessee St.UT Martin2.3
Tennessee TechMorehead St.0.3
Texas A&M-CCSoutheastern Louisiana7.5
UCLAUtah11.2
UMKCSt. Thomas0.4
UNC AshevilleLongwood-1.7
USCColorado1.5
Utah TechStephen F. Austin-0.6
WashingtonStanford1.1

January 5, 2023

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Thursday, January 5, 2023

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 3:30 am
HomeVisitorSpread
UMBCAlbany9.4
Holy CrossAmerican-8.1
South AlabamaArkansas St.9.6
Loyola (MD)Army0.7
VermontBryant3.7
Loyola MarymountBYU-0.1
Cal St. BakersfieldCal Poly1.6
UC RiversideCal St. Fullerton6.4
Florida Int’l.Charlotte-8.0
Wichita St.Cincinnati-1.3
Appalachian St.Coastal Carolina3.5
St. ThomasDenver6.4
TowsonDrexel5.2
Tennessee TechEastern Illinois3.4
Central ArkansasEastern Kentucky-4.4
St. Francis (NY)Fairleigh Dickinson1.2
Austin PeayFlorida Gulf Coast-5.2
Louisiana MonroeGeorgia St.-1.9
San FranciscoGonzaga-10.0
Sam Houston St.Grand Canyon6.1
Purdue Ft. WayneGreen Bay20.0
UC San DiegoHawaii-6.5
HamptonHofstra-10.6
Southeastern LouisianaHouston Christian9.8
IowaIndiana0.1
StetsonJacksonville-0.6
LibertyJacksonville St.12.8
North FloridaKennesaw St.0.5
Boston U.Lafayette4.1
New OrleansLamar6.1
BucknellLehigh7.5
Cal St. NorthridgeLong Beach St.-4.3
Central Connecticut St.Long Island8.9
RiceLouisiana Tech1.0
UMass LowellMaine12.6
Georgia SouthernMarshall-7.4
RutgersMaryland5.8
UTSAMiddle Tennessee-9.3
Cleveland St.Milwaukee4.8
Northern ArizonaMontana-3.0
Northern ColoradoMontana St.-2.6
ColgateNavy6.7
BinghamtonNew Hampshire-0.8
Texas A&M CommerceNicholls St.-2.2
LipscombNorth Alabama6.3
Western KentuckyNorth Texas-4.2
William & MaryNortheastern0.4
McNeese St.Northwestern St.-3.4
TroyOld Dominion4.3
Western IllinoisOmaha4.1
ColoradoOregon2.2
UtahOregon St.16.4
San DiegoPacific7.3
Eastern WashingtonPortland St.5.4
Ohio St.Purdue2.2
BellarmineQueens-0.7
Youngstown St.Robert Morris8.1
IdahoSacramento St.-1.8
MerrimackSacred Heart0.3
PepperdineSanta Clara-1.2
UT Rio Grande ValleySeattle-7.1
HoustonSMU22.4
North DakotaSouth Dakota-1.7
North Dakota St.South Dakota St.-2.2
UT MartinSoutheast Missouri St.1.5
Morehead St.Southern Indiana1.5
LouisianaSouthern Miss.1.2
Tarleton St.Southern Utah0.3
MonmouthStony Brook-2.6
SIU EdwardsvilleTennessee St.7.5
James MadisonTexas St.14.8
Florida AtlanticUAB2.6
UC DavisUC Irvine-3.7
UCLAUSC14.1
Cal BaptistUtah Tech3.4
UT ArlingtonUtah Valley-7.4
StonehillWagner-0.3
ArizonaWashington17.7
Arizona St.Washington St.5.1

November 20, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football — November 20, 2022

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 7:56 am

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
OhioBowling Green9.011.410.9
Miami (O)Ball St.5.35.75.7
Ole MissMississippi St.0.10.10.1
North CarolinaNorth Carolina St.-0.10.70.1
TexasBaylor6.97.16.1
Eastern MichiganCentral Michigan-0.6-1.4-2.3
Western MichiganToledo-6.3-6.0-6.0
Boise St.Utah St.18.317.718.5
ArizonaArizona St.-0.60.1-0.3
Oregon St.Oregon-2.0-2.0-1.2
MissouriArkansas-8.4-7.1-9.5
Colorado St.New Mexico7.08.29.2
IowaNebraska16.115.616.1
CaliforniaUCLA-10.2-10.2-10.7
Florida St.Florida11.19.810.9
Fresno St.Wyoming15.213.214.5
Kansas St.Kansas18.318.620.0
IndianaPurdue-12.1-12.1-12.1
Boston CollegeSyracuse-8.8-7.3-8.9
GeorgiaGeorgia Tech40.039.442.3
Virginia TechVirginia0.80.91.1
DukeWake Forest-7.0-5.0-7.4
Miami (Fla.)Pittsburgh-5.1-5.1-4.8
MassachusettsArmy-20.0-19.5-21.8
MarylandRutgers15.616.317.2
ClemsonSouth Carolina11.912.012.4
KentuckyLouisville-4.4-3.9-3.4
Penn St.Michigan St.17.718.919.7
CincinnatiTulane5.04.44.6
LibertyNew Mexico St.27.526.328.5
South FloridaCentral Florida-15.2-16.8-16.9
TempleEast Carolina-15.2-13.6-16.7
BuffaloKent St.3.23.74.9
Georgia SouthernAppalachian St.-5.1-6.1-5.9
James MadisonCoastal Carolina5.86.07.5
MarshallGeorgia St.3.14.02.6
Florida AtlanticWestern Kentucky-6.7-5.7-8.5
South AlabamaOld Dominion10.811.612.7
Northern IllinoisAkron17.917.718.3
WisconsinMinnesota0.50.90.1
Ohio St.Michigan8.98.69.0
NorthwesternIllinois-13.6-13.4-13.9
ColoradoUtah-31.5-32.2-33.4
North TexasRice15.215.216.6
StanfordBYU-2.7-3.3-3.7
UNLVNevada8.46.29.0
USCNotre Dame-0.31.10.6
Washington St.Washington-2.1-1.9-1.9
HoustonTulsa14.714.815.3
SMUMemphis4.83.95.2
TCUIowa St.13.713.113.7
Louisiana TechUAB-16.2-15.2-17.8
Texas TechOklahoma0.30.20.8
Texas A&MLSU-9.5-8.9-9.6
Oklahoma St.West Virginia9.08.29.0
San Jose St.Hawaii21.120.220.2
VanderbiltTennessee-21.7-21.0-23.1
AlabamaAuburn22.723.023.9
UTSAUTEP18.417.919.4
Arkansas St.Troy-12.1-11.6-13.3
Louisiana-MonroeSouthern Miss.-1.8-2.0-2.5
Texas St.Louisiana-7.7-7.0-7.9
Florida Int’l.Middle Tennessee-20.5-19.5-22.0
San Diego St.Air Force-3.8-3.9-3.8

Teams With Byes

Navy

Note: Charlotte and Connecticut have concluded their regular seasons

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

#TeamRating
1Georgia133.3
2Ohio St.132.4
3Alabama128.6
4Michigan126.5
5Penn St.124.1
6Tennessee119.9
7Clemson119.3
8Kansas St.119.3
9Florida St.119.1
10Texas118.9
11L S U118.7
12T C U118.6
13Utah117.7
14Notre Dame116.4
15Oregon116.3
16Minnesota115.0
17Iowa114.8
18Mississippi St.113.9
19Arkansas113.9
20U S C113.8
21Baylor113.7
22Louisville113.7
23Oregon St.113.1
24Wisconsin113.0
25Ole Miss112.6
26Oklahoma112.2
27Purdue112.1
28Illinois112.1
29Washington111.8
30U C L A111.1
31Florida110.0
32Texas Tech109.6
33Maryland109.4
34Wake Forest109.0
35Oklahoma St.108.7
36South Carolina108.7
37Pittsburgh108.7
38NC State108.6
39Michigan St.108.4
40Kentucky108.3
41Iowa St.108.1
42Cincinnati108.1
43Washington St.107.8
44North Carolina107.4
45Auburn106.9
46Tulane106.4
47Texas A&M106.4
48UCF105.5
49Boise St.105.4
50Houston104.2
51Syracuse103.7
52BYU103.2
53Missouri103.1
54West Virginia103.0
55U T S A102.1
56Air Force102.0
57Nebraska101.8
58Kansas101.8
59SMU101.2
60Fresno St.101.1
61Miami (Fla.)100.7
62Duke100.5
63Arizona St.100.1
64Liberty100.0
65East Carolina99.8
66Memphis99.6
67W. Kentucky99.0
68James Madison98.6
69Indiana98.5
70Appalachian St.98.5
71Arizona98.3
72U A B97.7
73California97.7
74Stanford97.0
75Northwestern96.9
76Marshall96.6
77Vanderbilt96.5
78Georgia St.96.3
79Troy96.2
80South Alabama95.9
81Navy95.9
82Toledo95.8
83Rutgers95.5
84Army95.5
85Virginia95.2
86San Diego St.95.2
87Virginia Tech94.7
88Coastal Carolina94.7
89Ohio94.7
90Georgia Tech94.2
91Louisiana93.5
92San Jose St.93.4
93Boston College92.9
94North Texas92.7
95Tulsa92.3
96Buffalo91.0
97N. Illinois90.7
98Central Mich.90.4
99Ga. Southern90.3
100Utah St.90.2
101Miami (Ohio)89.9
102Wyoming89.8
103Kent St.89.6
104Florida Atlantic89.0
105Southern Miss.88.1
106Western Mich.87.7
107USF87.6
108Eastern Mich.87.5
109Middle Tennessee87.1
110Old Dominion86.7
111Ball St.86.3
112U T E P86.1
113U N L V85.9
114Bowling Green85.8
115Connecticut85.4
116UL-Monroe83.5
117Texas St.83.4
118Colorado82.8
119Colorado St.82.1
120Temple82.1
121Arkansas St.81.4
122Nevada79.6
123Rice79.0
124Louisiana Tech78.8
125New Mexico76.5
126Hawaii75.9
127Charlotte75.7
128New Mexico St.75.5
129Akron75.3
130Massachusetts72.5
131Florida Int’l.63.9

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati108.3107.5108.4108.1
Tulane106.4106.1106.7106.4
UCF105.1105.7105.6105.5
Houston104.5103.8104.3104.2
SMU101.4100.7101.5101.2
East Carolina99.699.3100.499.8
Memphis99.699.899.399.6
Navy96.095.895.995.9
Tulsa92.892.092.092.3
USF88.487.487.287.6
Temple81.983.181.282.1


AAC98.698.398.498.4


Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson119.3119.1119.6119.3
Florida St.119.1118.9119.3119.1
Louisville113.9113.6113.6113.7
Wake Forest109.2108.9108.9109.0
NC State109.3108.5108.1108.6
Syracuse104.6103.4103.1103.7
Boston College93.293.691.892.9

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBias
Average
Pittsburgh109.6108.7107.9108.7
North Carolina107.8107.7106.8107.4
Miami (Fla.)101.4100.6100.1100.7
Duke100.2101.999.4100.5
Virginia95.895.994.095.2
Virginia Tech95.195.393.794.7
Georgia Tech94.994.693.394.2


ACC105.2105.0104.2104.8


Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Kansas St.119.8118.7119.4119.3
Texas119.7118.8118.3118.9
T C U119.2118.0118.7118.6
Baylor114.3113.1113.7113.7
Oklahoma112.6111.7112.4112.2
Texas Tech109.8108.9110.2109.6
Oklahoma St.109.5108.0108.7108.7
Iowa St.108.5107.9108.0108.1
West Virginia103.5102.9102.7103.0
Kansas103.0101.6101.0101.8


Big 12112.0111.0111.3111.4


Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBias
Average
Ohio St.132.9131.8132.6132.4
Michigan126.9126.2126.5126.5
Penn St.124.2124.1124.1124.1
Maryland109.9109.5108.9109.4
Michigan St.109.5108.2107.4108.4
Indiana99.498.697.598.5
Rutgers96.795.794.295.5

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBias
Average
Minnesota115.5114.7114.8115.0
Iowa115.5114.7114.2114.8
Wisconsin113.5113.1112.4113.0
Purdue113.0112.2111.1112.1
Illinois112.3112.6111.4112.1
Nebraska102.4102.1101.1101.8
Northwestern97.197.696.096.9


Big Ten112.1111.5110.9111.5


Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U T S A102.0101.6102.7102.1
W. Kentucky98.698.599.999.0
U A B97.597.398.397.7
North Texas92.392.293.592.7
Florida Atlantic88.989.888.489.0
Middle Tennessee86.887.487.187.1
U T E P86.186.285.886.1
Rice79.179.078.979.0
Louisiana Tech78.879.678.078.8
Charlotte75.476.275.575.7
Florida Int’l.63.865.462.663.9


CUSA86.386.786.486.5


FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame116.7115.6116.8116.4
BYU103.7102.4103.5103.2
Liberty99.5100.3100.1100.0
Army95.195.695.795.5
Connecticut85.386.584.485.4
New Mexico St.75.076.974.675.5
Massachusetts72.673.671.472.5


Independents92.693.092.492.6


Mid-American Conference

East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBias
Average
Ohio93.295.595.394.7
Buffalo89.891.891.591.0
Miami (Ohio)88.990.790.189.9
Kent St.89.190.689.189.6
Bowling Green85.785.785.985.8
Akron75.175.974.875.3

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBias
Average
Toledo95.496.195.995.8
N. Illinois90.591.090.690.7
Central Mich.89.290.891.290.4
Western Mich.87.188.187.987.7
Eastern Mich.87.187.987.487.5
Ball St.85.787.086.486.3


MAC88.189.388.888.7


Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division

Team
PiRateMeanBias
Average
Boise St.105.3104.9105.9105.4
Air Force101.9101.8102.4102.0
Utah St.90.090.290.490.2
Wyoming88.890.590.189.8
Colorado St.81.682.582.382.1
New Mexico77.176.875.676.5

West Division

Team
PiRateMeanBias
Average
Fresno St.101.0100.7101.6101.1
San Diego St.95.194.895.595.2
San Jose St.93.293.493.693.4
U N L V86.285.186.485.9
Nevada79.480.478.979.6
Hawaii75.276.376.475.9


MWC89.689.889.989.8


Pac-12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah117.6116.9118.6117.7
Oregon116.4116.0116.6116.3
U S C113.4113.7114.4113.8
Oregon St.112.9112.5113.9113.1
Washington111.4111.6112.3111.8
U C L A110.7110.6111.9111.1
Washington St.107.3107.7108.4107.8
Arizona St.100.299.6100.4100.1
Arizona98.198.198.698.3
California97.497.498.297.7
Stanford98.096.296.797.0
Colorado83.682.282.782.8


Pac-12105.6105.2106.1105.6


Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia133.3132.5134.0133.3
Tennessee119.6119.7120.5119.9
Florida109.5110.6109.9110.0
South Carolina108.9108.6108.7108.7
Kentucky107.9108.2108.7108.3
Missouri103.2103.4102.5103.1
Vanderbilt96.497.295.996.5

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama128.7127.8129.2128.6
L S U118.8118.4118.9118.7
Mississippi St.114.8113.4113.7113.9
Arkansas114.2113.0114.5113.9
Ole Miss113.4112.0112.3112.6
Auburn107.5106.3106.8106.9
Texas A&M106.3106.5106.3106.4


SEC113.0112.7113.0112.9


Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
James Madison97.198.4100.398.6
Appalachian St.97.598.699.298.5
Marshall95.896.897.096.6
Georgia St.95.795.897.496.3
Coastal Carolina93.994.995.394.7
Ga. Southern90.090.090.890.3
Old Dominion86.786.786.886.7

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Troy95.496.197.296.2
South Alabama95.095.897.095.9
Louisiana92.993.394.293.5
Southern Miss.87.688.188.688.1
UL-Monroe83.383.783.683.5
Texas St.82.783.883.883.4
Arkansas St.80.882.081.381.4


Sun Belt91.091.792.391.7

Conference Ratings

#ConferenceRating
1Southeastern112.9
2Big Ten111.5
3Big 12111.4
4Pac-12105.6
5Atlantic Coast104.8
6American Athletic98.4
7Independents92.6
8Sun Belt91.7
9Mountain West89.8
10Mid-American88.7
11Conference USA86.5

Bowl Projections

BowlTeamTeam
BahamasUTSAOhio
CureMarshallSouthern Miss.
FenwayDukeCentral Florida
New MexicoWestern KentuckyWyoming
L.A.UtahBoise St.
Lending TreeMiami (O)Appalachian St.
Las VegasWashingtonOle Miss
FriscoSan Diego St.Washington St.
Myrtle BeachBYUSouth Alabama
Famous Idaho PotatoBowling GreenUtah St.
Boca RatonConnecticutAir Force
New OrleansFlorida AtlanticCoastal Carolina
Armed ForcesHoustonNorth Texas
IndependenceSMUArmy
GasparillaSyracuseEast Carolina
HawaiiUABSan Jose St.
Quick LaneEastern MichiganLiberty
CamelliaBuffaloTroy
First ResponderKansasLouisiana
BirminghamMemphisMiddle Tennessee
Guaranteed RateOklahomaWisconsin
MilitaryLouisvilleTulane
LibertyBaylorMissouri
HolidayNorth CarolinaOregon
TexasTexas TechFlorida
PinstripePittsburghMinnesota
Cheez-ItNotre DameOklahoma St.
AlamoTexasOregon St.
Duke’s MayoWake ForestMaryland
Tony the Tiger SunNorth Carolina St.UCLA
ArizonaToledoFresno St.
OrangeClemsonAlabama
Music CityIllinoisKentucky
SugarLSUKansas St.
TaxSlayerFlorida St.Arkansas
PeachGeorgiaMichigan
FiestaOhio St.TCU
Reliaquest (Outback)IowaSouth Carolina
CitrusPurdueMississippi St.
CottonTennesseeCincinnati
RoseUSCPenn St.
National ChampionshipGeorgiaOhio St.

Note: 82 teams are projected to finish bowl eligible, and there are 82 spots available. There is still a chance that a 5-7 team will be needed if there are less than 82 bowl eligible teams.

Teams that figure to finish 5-7 and have the best APR scores to receive a bid include (in order):

Rice

Iowa State

UNLV

Auburn

Michigan State

November 6, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football–November 6, 2022

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 9:45 am

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
AkronEastern Michigan-9.1-9.3-9.9
Miami (O)Ohio0.80.40.0
ToledoBall St.13.713.614.4
Western MichiganNorthern Illinois-2.5-2.0-2.2
Central MichiganBuffalo2.31.82.6
Bowling GreenKent St.1.1-0.71.2
MemphisTulsa6.77.76.8
LouisianaGeorgia Southern2.12.32.3
CincinnatiEast Carolina8.68.38.5
USCColorado28.029.929.8
UNLVFresno St.-10.1-11.1-10.6
Wake ForestNorth Carolina1.61.21.8
SyracuseFlorida St.-5.2-5.8-5.9
ConnecticutLiberty-16.5-16.3-19.3
DukeVirginia Tech5.27.15.7
Navy (Bal)Notre Dame-22.7-21.9-23.8
West VirginiaOklahoma-6.8-6.6-7.4
VirginiaPittsburgh-7.6-6.6-7.5
Ohio St.Indiana37.737.440.2
TennesseeMissouri23.122.924.6
Penn St.Maryland12.112.112.9
North Carolina St.Boston College22.320.823.2
FloridaSouth Carolina3.85.44.2
KentuckyVanderbilt19.719.521.6
MichiganNebraska28.828.530.3
Georgia TechMiami (Fla.)-5.0-4.2-5.3
ClemsonLouisville7.37.17.4
Texas TechKansas5.75.77.7
South FloridaSMU-12.8-13.2-14.4
Coastal CarolinaSouthern Miss.9.29.79.9
Georgia St.Louisiana-Monroe18.117.920.1
MarshallAppalachian St.0.1-0.2-1.2
Old DominionJames Madison-2.6-4.0-6.0
TulaneCentral Florida-0.5-1.3-0.8
MinnesotaNorthwestern22.420.823.1
IllinoisPurdue2.33.93.4
South AlabamaTexas St.14.313.614.8
Michigan St.Rutgers16.116.117.4
HoustonTemple23.821.725.2
BaylorKansas St.3.73.94.1
Arkansas St.Massachusetts14.114.616.6
Western KentuckyRice18.318.219.9
UtahStanford20.421.622.9
Washington St.Arizona St.8.08.98.6
Oregon St.California14.113.213.6
OregonWashington12.411.611.9
UCLAArizona19.419.520.6
San Diego St.San Jose St.-0.2-1.2-0.9
TexasTCU4.24.53.4
AuburnTexas A&M1.0-0.9-0.8
TroyArmy3.54.15.4
Ole MissAlabama-11.6-12.4-13.9
Oklahoma St.Iowa St.4.73.44.1
IowaWisconsin1.10.20.0
ArkansasLSU-1.8-2.6-1.5
Mississippi St.Georgia-14.2-14.6-16.1
Air ForceNew Mexico26.726.528.6
Middle TennesseeCharlotte12.111.812.6
UABNorth Texas5.45.24.9
UTSALouisiana Tech18.316.519.4
Colorado St.Wyoming-5.4-6.3-6.3
Florida Int’l.Florida Atlantic-19.9-18.8-20.3
NevadaBoise St.-20.0-18.0-21.0
HawaiiUtah St.-13.8-12.7-13.4

FBS vs. FCS Game

FBSFCSPiRate
New Mexico St.Lamar18.2

Teams With Byes

BYU
UTEP

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Note: Our ratings are not reward based on what the teams have done so far. They are predictive in nature, meant to be used for the following week to predict the outcome of games. Thus, a two-loss team is ranked number three over a one-loss team that beat them. Do not confuse power ratings for rankings like the AP, COaches, and Playoff Polls.

#TeamRating
1Ohio St.132.8
2Georgia132.7
3Alabama129.2
4Michigan127.6
5Tennessee125.3
6Penn St.119.8
7L S U117.5
8Texas117.3
9Clemson117.2
10Utah117.1
11Oregon117.1
12Baylor116.5
13T C U116.2
14Florida St.116.0
15Kansas St.115.6
16Notre Dame115.6
17Minnesota115.4
18Mississippi St.114.7
19Wisconsin114.5
20Ole Miss113.5
21U C L A113.1
22Louisville113.0
23NC State112.7
24Arkansas112.5
25U S C112.3
26Oklahoma112.2
27Iowa112.0
28Illinois111.8
29Purdue111.6
30Michigan St.110.7
31Maryland110.4
32Oklahoma St.109.7
33Kentucky109.7
34North Carolina109.6
35Oregon St.109.5
36Wake Forest109.2
37Florida109.0
38Cincinnati108.8
39Texas Tech108.7
40Texas A&M108.7
41Iowa St.108.6
42Pittsburgh108.4
43Washington108.1
44South Carolina107.6
45Washington St.107.5
46UCF107.4
47Syracuse107.3
48Auburn105.5
49Kansas105.4
50Missouri104.7
51Boise St.104.2
52Tulane104.0
53SMU103.8
54East Carolina103.3
55BYU103.2
56Liberty103.1
57Air Force102.4
58West Virginia102.3
59Arizona St.102.0
60Houston101.5
61Nebraska101.4
62Miami (Fla.)101.2
63Fresno St.100.6
64California98.9
65Appalachian St.98.7
66Duke98.7
67W. Kentucky98.6
68Stanford98.5
69Toledo98.3
70Georgia St.98.1
71Virginia98.1
72Memphis97.7
73U T S A97.5
74Indiana97.4
75Rutgers97.2
76U A B96.6
77Northwestern96.3
78Arizona96.3
79Troy96.3
80James Madison95.9
81Virginia Tech95.7
82South Alabama95.4
83San Jose St.95.4
84Marshall95.3
85Army94.9
86Coastal Carolina94.8
87North Texas94.0
88Boston College93.6
89Georgia Tech93.3
90Tulsa93.1
91Ga. Southern92.6
92Vanderbilt92.5
93Louisiana92.3
94Navy92.2
95San Diego St.92.1
96Ohio92.1
97N. Illinois91.8
98Buffalo91.0
99Central Mich.90.8
100Miami (Ohio)90.5
101Utah St.90.2
102Old Dominion89.7
103Wyoming89.3
104Florida Atlantic89.2
105Southern Miss.88.2
106Kent St.88.0
107USF87.8
108U N L V87.5
109Western Mich.87.1
110Ball St.86.9
111Bowling Green86.6
112Eastern Mich.86.3
113Colorado86.0
114Middle Tennessee84.5
115U T E P84.3
116Texas St.83.7
117Connecticut83.2
118Rice82.3
119Arkansas St.82.3
120Nevada82.1
121UL-Monroe81.9
122Louisiana Tech81.9
123Colorado St.81.3
124Temple80.9
125New Mexico78.1
126Charlotte74.9
127Akron74.9
128New Mexico St.74.8
129Hawaii73.8
130Massachusetts69.7
131Florida Int’l.68.1

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati108.8108.1109.4108.8
UCF107.0107.6107.6107.4
Tulane104.0103.8104.3104.0
SMU103.9103.3104.2103.8
East Carolina103.2102.8103.8103.3
Houston101.7100.9101.8101.5
Memphis97.898.097.397.7
Tulsa93.692.893.093.1
Navy92.692.291.992.2
USF88.687.687.487.8
Temple80.982.279.680.9

AAC98.498.198.298.2

Atlantic Coast
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson117.4117.0117.3117.2
Florida St.116.2115.8115.9116.0
Louisville113.2112.9112.9113.0
NC State113.2112.4112.5112.7
Wake Forest109.4109.1109.0109.2
Syracuse108.1107.0106.9107.3
Boston College93.994.692.393.6

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
North Carolina109.9109.9109.2109.6
Pittsburgh109.3108.3107.6108.4
Miami (Fla.)101.9101.0100.6101.2
Duke98.4100.397.298.7
Virginia98.698.797.098.1
Virginia Tech96.396.294.695.7
Georgia Tech94.093.892.393.3

ACC105.7105.5104.7105.3

Big 12
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Texas118.1117.2116.6117.3
Baylor117.0115.9116.6116.5
T C U116.9115.6116.3116.2
Kansas St.116.3115.0115.5115.6
Oklahoma112.6111.7112.4112.2
Oklahoma St.110.5108.9109.7109.7
Texas Tech109.0107.9109.3108.7
Iowa St.108.8108.5108.6108.6
Kansas106.4105.2104.6105.4
West Virginia102.8102.2102.0102.3

Big 12111.8110.8111.2111.3

Big Ten
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.133.1132.0133.3132.8
Michigan127.9127.2127.8127.6
Penn St.120.0119.8119.7119.8
Michigan St.111.6110.5110.1110.7
Maryland111.0110.6109.8110.4
Indiana98.497.696.197.4
Rutgers98.597.495.797.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Minnesota115.9115.0115.4115.4
Wisconsin114.8114.6114.1114.5
Iowa112.9111.9111.1112.0
Illinois112.0112.5111.1111.8
Purdue112.6111.6110.6111.6
Nebraska102.1101.7100.6101.4
Northwestern96.597.295.396.3

Big Ten112.0111.4110.8111.4

Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
W. Kentucky98.198.199.798.6
U T S A97.596.898.097.5
U A B96.496.297.396.6
North Texas93.593.594.994.0
Florida Atlantic89.190.088.689.2
Middle Tennessee84.384.784.684.5
U T E P84.484.384.084.3
Rice82.382.482.382.3
Louisiana Tech81.782.881.181.9
Charlotte74.775.474.574.9
Florida Int’l.67.769.766.868.1

CUSA86.386.786.586.5

Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame115.9114.6116.2115.6
BYU103.7102.4103.5103.2
Liberty102.2103.3103.7103.1
Army94.895.095.094.9
Connecticut83.284.481.983.2
New Mexico St.74.376.273.974.8
Massachusetts70.070.868.269.7

Independents92.092.491.892.1

Mid-American
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio90.792.992.692.1
Buffalo89.791.991.691.0
Miami (Ohio)89.491.490.790.5
Kent St.87.589.187.588.0
Bowling Green86.686.486.786.6
Akron74.875.574.374.9

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Toledo97.698.698.798.3
N. Illinois91.692.091.891.8
Central Mich.89.591.191.790.8
Western Mich.86.787.587.187.1
Ball St.86.487.686.886.9
Eastern Mich.85.986.786.286.3

MAC88.089.288.888.7

Mountain West
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.104.2103.6104.9104.2
Air Force102.2102.0102.9102.4
Utah St.90.090.190.490.2
Wyoming88.390.189.689.3
Colorado St.81.081.881.381.3
New Mexico78.678.577.278.1

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Fresno St.100.5100.2101.2100.6
San Jose St.94.995.495.895.4
San Diego St.92.391.792.392.1
U N L V87.986.588.187.5
Nevada81.783.181.482.1
Hawaii73.274.474.073.8

MWC89.689.889.989.8

Pac-12
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah116.9116.3118.2117.1
Oregon117.2116.7117.3117.1
U C L A112.6112.6114.1113.1
U S C111.8112.2112.8112.3
Oregon St.109.6108.9110.1109.5
Washington107.8108.0108.4108.1
Washington St.107.0107.4108.0107.5
Arizona St.102.0101.5102.4102.0
California98.598.799.598.9
Stanford99.597.798.398.5
Arizona96.296.196.596.3
Colorado86.885.386.086.0

Pac-12105.5105.1106.0105.5

Southeastern
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia132.7131.8133.6132.7
Tennessee125.0125.0125.8125.3
Kentucky109.3109.7110.1109.7
Florida108.4109.7108.9109.0
South Carolina107.7107.3107.7107.6
Missouri104.8105.1104.2104.7
Vanderbilt92.693.291.592.5

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama129.1128.4130.0129.2
L S U117.7117.2117.5117.5
Mississippi St.115.5114.2114.5114.7
Ole Miss114.5113.0113.1113.5
Arkansas112.9111.6113.1112.5
Texas A&M108.4108.8108.9108.7
Auburn106.4104.9105.1105.5

SEC113.2112.9113.1113.1

Sunbelt
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Appalachian St.97.698.899.698.7
Georgia St.97.497.599.498.1
James Madison94.395.797.795.9
Marshall94.795.695.495.3
Coastal Carolina93.995.095.594.8
Ga. Southern92.292.393.492.6
Old Dominion89.789.789.789.7

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Troy95.396.197.496.3
South Alabama94.695.196.495.4
Louisiana91.792.193.192.3
Southern Miss.87.788.288.688.2
Texas St.82.884.184.183.7
Arkansas St.81.682.982.382.3
UL-Monroe81.882.281.881.9

Sun Belt91.191.892.591.8

Conference Ratings

#ConferenceRating
1Southeastern113.1
2Big Ten111.4
3Big 12111.3
4Pac-12105.5
5Atlantic Coast105.3
6American Athletic98.2
7Independents92.1
8Sun Belt91.8
9Mountain West89.8
10Mid-American88.7
11Conference USA86.5

Playoff & Bowl Projections

Four weeks from today, the College Football Playoffs and Postseason Bowl Game participants will be revealed to the public.  With less than a month to go, it’s time to take a more in-depth look at where things stand and where they might go.

The Playoff Race

After yesterday’s Georgia-Tennessee, Alabama-LSU, and Notre Dame-Clemson games played, it left three teams in the clear-cut lead to be in the top four this week.  Georgia has now penned the lone losses on Oregon and Tennessee, and the Bulldogs will ascend to number one.  Ohio State won ugly at Northwestern yesterday, but they played in severe weather.  Michigan once again spotted an opponent an early lead and then steamrolled Rutgers by four touchdowns.  Those three teams will be in the Big Four on Tuesday.  Who will be number four?  We believe it will be Tennessee, as losing at the new number one team by two touchdowns definitely tops Oregon’s blowout loss in Atlanta to the same team.  Should TCU be in the mix?  They most definitely should, but as so many media experts explain, their name drops them a couple spots in the rankings, just like Cincinnati last year at this time.  If the Horned Frogs win out with three tough games to go, they almost assuredly would move into the top four, but that’s a big if, and at the present time, having watched TCU play most of their games, we don’t see this team sitting at 13-0 on December 4.

If we have to make a wild guess, we will say that Georgia will easily win out in the regular season, even if their game in Starkville this week may be a trap game.  We cannot see any of Tennessee’s final three opponents competing against the Vols.  Georgia stopped their offense, because the Bulldogs have a defense not that much weaker than the Detroit Lions (probably more future Pro Bowl players than the Lions).  Neither Ohio State nor Michigan have much in their way prior to the big game at the Giant Horseshoe.  It won’t be popular, but a Big Ten-SEC Challenge in the Playoffs could be in the offing.  As of today, we have Georgia playing Michigan in the Peach Bowl, and Ohio State playing Tennessee in the Fiesta Bowl.  Oregon might win out and finish 12-1 and have to settle for the Rose Bowl.  We can see TCU actually losing twice in the next month, and maybe having to settle for the Cotton Bowl or even the Alamo Bowl, depending on what UCLA or USC does out West.

The New Year’s Six

One thing that happened this weekend was the elimination of Alabama and most likely Clemson from the Playoff picture.  With LSU’s win, the Tigers have a tough rebound game at Arkansas, and if Brian Kelly can lead the Bayou Bengals into Fayetteville and win, they almost have the SEC West clinched.  At 10-2 and a loss to Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, we believe the Sugar Bowl will take them in a heartbeat.  Where would that leave a 10-2 Alabama?  We think they would still get an Orange Bowl bid, where they might face their former nemesis Clemson.  The Rose Bowl would get the Pac-12 champion that would not be Playoff bound, so we’ll slot Oregon in there for now but not rule out the winner of the USC-UCLA game.  That leaves the Cotton Bowl.  The Group of Five team that finishes the highest in the ratings will automatically get a bid here.  If that bid was extended today, the Tulane Green Wave would receive it, but TU must beat Central Florida, Cincinnati, and then one of those two again in the AAC Championship Game to get to 12-1 and secure the bid.  Should TU falter, and we think that’s a very high possibility, the next team in line, one that strengthened their resume with a road win against an SEC team, would be Liberty, if the Flames win out (a much higher probability than Tulane).  The last at-large team in the field would most likely be Penn State at 10-2, but the number two team in the Pac-12 could beat the Nittany Lions out.  With losses to just two teams that we pick to be in the Playoffs, we’d go with Penn State to edge out any two-loss Pac-12 team.

American Athletic

As we previously mentioned, we do not see Tulane winning out, and should the Green Wave lose to both Central Florida and Cincinnati, they won’t even make the AAC Championship Game.  If they beat UCF in New Orleans, they would have to beat Cinti in consecutive weeks to get there, once in the Queen City and then once in the Crescent City.  If the Bearcats win out, and Tulane beats UCF, then Cinti would host Tulane in consecutive weeks.  If UCF wins out, and Cincinnati tops Tulane, then the Bearcats would have to go to Orlando in the conference championship game.

Elsewhere in the AAC, with SMU’s record-setting basketball score win over Houston, the Mustangs are almost a lock to get a bowl bid.  East Carolina is already bowl eligible.  Houston and Memphis have work to do, but the schedule is favorable for both.  As for the Cougars, Dana Holgersen may not be coaching the team by bowl season.

Atlantic Coast & Notre Dame

A half-dozen teams will have to lose games before Clemson has a remote chance to sneak into the playoffs, assuming the Tigers can win out.  If they play like they have the last few weeks, beating North Carolina in the ACC Championship Game would be 50-50 at best, and they might even be vulnerable against South Carolina in the regular season finale.  At best, CU can hope for another ACC title and a trip to the Orange Bowl.  North Carolina may be the weakest 1-loss team from a Power 5 Conference since the 20th Century.  The Tar Heels keep coming up with fourth quarter heroics to be mediocre teams.  We don’t believe Mack Brown’s Heels can make it to a New Year’s Bowl Game, and they need to finish better than one game ahead of Notre Dame just to get the Cheez-it Bowl bid.

Notre Dame can receive any of the ACC’s allotted bowl bids after the Orange Bowl as long as their won-loss record is within one game of the next highest ACC team.  If the Irish lose to USC and finish 9-3, they will be able to jump over a 10-2 team, but not an 11-2 team.  What better bowl to send the Irish to in December than one in Boston?  They’d sell out Fenway Park like a Yankees-Red Sox game in October.

With Notre Dame, this league figures to have 10 bowl eligible teams, which means all the first tier bowl bids will be taken, and one second tier bowl bid will be used.  We believe the Gasparilla Bowl will get the final ACC team.

Big 12

Had Texas been able to edge Alabama in September and not lose their star QB for a few games, the Longhorns might be in the Playoff mix.  The best the Longhorns can do now is to play spoiler and knock TCU out of the Playoff mix.  If Quinn Ewers can remain healthy and not have another three interception day like he did against Oklahoma State, the Longhorns might win out and become Big 12 Champions, getting a Sugar Bowl bid.

TCU must beat Texas and Baylor and then whoever makes the Big 12 Championship Game in order to get to the necessary 13-0 they will need to make the Playoffs, and it looks like too much of a longshot.  It is going to be rough just getting to the Sugar Bowl, and two losses most likely banishes the Frogs to the Alamo Bowl.

Elsewhere in the league, Kansas has now assured themselves of their first bowl bid in 14 years.  Texas Tech and Iowa State are now fighting it out for the last bowl bid in this league, and we believe there will be eight teams playing in the postseason.  If no Big 12 team gets to the Playoffs, there will be one extra team to fill in as an at-large bowl participant, and it is our belief that they will replace a spot that the SEC cannot fill.

Big Ten

We show three of the bowl eligible teams playing in either the Playoffs or New Year’s Six, so Ohio State, Michigan, and Penn State being taken off the table means the other New Year’s Day games against SEC teams will have lesser teams.  The Citrus Bowl is likely to go to the West Division Champion that will then get clobbered in the Big Ten Championship Game.  At the moment, even with a loss this weekend, Illinois has the upper hand.  The Reliaquest (Outback) bowl bid would then probably go to the West Division runner-up. 

There should be 10 Bowl Eligible teams with many of the also-rans beating up on each other, so the Big Ten will be able to fill its allotment all the way down to the Quick Lane Bowl.  That requires Michigan State to win two more games, but we think Sparty does that.

Conference USA

It is the weakest overall conference in FBS football, but geography is on CUSA’s side.  This year, the two best teams are in the Lone Star State as UTSA and North Texas have moved to the top of the standings and figure to play in the title game.  Western Kentucky, Rice, Florida Atlantic, and Middle Tennessee are quite mediocre, but all four could end up with six losses and become bowl eligible.  The last bowl bid available figures to come down to the number six CUSA team and the number eight Mountain West team.  Because that final bowl spot is likely to be from a game east of the Mississippi River, a 6-6 CUSA team should get in over a 6-6 MWC team.

Independents

Notre Dame is not counted as an independent since they can receive an ACC bid.  Army and BYU are guaranteed bowl bids if they are bowl eligible.  BYU should sneak in, but Army is looking at a potential 5-7 or 4-8 season.

Liberty will get a bowl bid, and if the Flames win out, they could be feeling some soft Cotton in Texas.  The big surprise team that few people have taken notice to since September is Connecticut.  The Huskies could very well become bowl eligible in Jim Mora Jr.’s first season in Storrs.

Mid-American

Toledo frequently appears to be the most talented team in the MAC, but the Rockets always stub their toes and fail to win the conference championship.  They will have to look hard for something to bang their feet on this year.  Losing another game would be a major Rocket malfunction.  The rest of this league has a lot of parity, but there should be seven bowl eligible teams the first Sunday in December.  All seven will get bowl bids.  The question is, “who will be forced to spend December in Boise?”

Mountain West

This has been another down year in the MWC, and with rumors swirling that more than one team could be moving to the Pac-12 or even Big 12, this league has lost some prestige.  Having Boise State no longer be great has hurt it even more.  The Broncos lost to a so-so BYU team Saturday, and their upcoming game at Wyoming may determine the Mountain Division champion.  Air Force and Utah State should also receive bowl bids on this side of the Rockies.

On the West side, Fresno State started slowly but is 10 to 14 points better than they were in early September.  San Jose State can still win the division, but the Bulldogs look like they have this race under control.  San Diego State also figures to be bowl eligible on this side.  Once considered a contender for the division title, UNLV is looking at a 6-6 record and quite possibly becoming the lone bowl eligible team that does not receive an invitation.

Pac-12

Too much parity has been the bane of this league for several years.  This year, there is a big division of haves and have-nots, and it likely means that the league will do no better than place a team in the Rose Bowl.  Oregon’s 40+ point loss to Georgia cannot be overlooked, and if the Ducks win out and finish 12-1, two or three teams ahead of the Ducks today will have to lose.  It won’t be easy for Oregon to win out.

UCLA, USC, and Utah are still in the mix for the Pac-12 title, and all three are talented enough to beat Oregon in December.  If UCLA or USC wins out and Oregon wins out, the loser of the Pac-12 Championship Game would still have a fair chance at receiving the Cotton Bowl bid as the last NY6 team.

Oregon State, Washington, and Washington State will also be bowl eligible and will satisfy the rest of the league allotment with no extra teams.  Oregon State could play spoiler in the Civil War game with the Ducks.

SEC

The overwhelming power of this league is most likely to leave the conference one team short of filling its bowl spots.  We see Georgia and Tennessee both making the playoff, and we see LSU and Alabama both getting NY6 bids.  We also see just 10 SEC teams becoming bowl eligible now that Texas A&M has collapsed and Arkansas tripped up at home against Liberty.  The Arkansas-Missouri winner on the final weekend should get the final bowl bid.  As of today, we have the Music City Bowl being the odd bowl out needing an at-large team, and the Big 12 is full of teams with fans that would love some country music during the holidays.

Sun Belt

The SBC pecking order is unique, and it is difficult to place teams in bowls because of it.  ESPN gets the first choice of teams to place in one of the bowl games they sponsor.  It doesn’t have to be the number one team in the league, just the number one choice.  Next, the New Orleans Bowl gets to choose its team after ESPN has taken its first choice.  The 3rd and 4th teams once again are chosen by ESPN for their bowls, and then the 5th team is chosen by the Lending Tree Bowl.  There figures to be seven bowl eligible teams from this league, which is fast becoming the second best G5 conference.  All seven will receive bids.

BowlTeamTeam
BahamasFlorida AtlanticBowling Green
CureSouth AlabamaAir Force
FenwayNotre DameCincinnati
New MexicoRiceSan Jose St.
L.A.Washington St.Fresno St.
Lending TreeBuffaloGeorgia Southern
Las VegasUSCKentucky
FriscoBYUSan Diego St.
Myrtle BeachBall St.Appalachian St.
Famous Idaho PotatoEastern MichiganUtah St.
Boca RatonMarshallConnecticut
New OrleansWestern KentuckyCoastal Carolina
Armed ForcesTulaneUTSA
IndependenceEast CarolinaSouthern Miss.
GasparillaLouisvilleHouston
HawaiiNorth TexasBoise St.
Quick LaneMichigan St.Miami (O)
CamelliaToledoTroy
First ResponderKansasSMU
BirminghamMemphisMiddle Tennessee
Guaranteed RateOklahoma St.Purdue
MilitaryWake ForestCentral Florida
LibertyBaylorSouth Carolina
HolidayDukeWashington
TexasOklahomaMissouri
PinstripePittsburghWisconsin
Cheez-ItNorth CarolinaKansas St.
AlamoTCUUtah
Duke’s MayoNorth Carolina St.Maryland
Tony the Tiger SunSyracuseOregon St.
ArizonaOhio UWyoming
OrangeClemsonAlabama
Music CityIowaTexas Tech
SugarLSUTexas
TaxSlayerFlorida St.Mississippi St.
PeachGeorgiaMichigan
FiestaOhio St.Tennessee
Reliaquest (Outback)MinnesotaFlorida
CitrusIllinoisOle Miss
CottonUCLALiberty
RoseOregonPenn St.
National ChampionshipGeorgiaOhio St.

October 30, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football — October 30, 2022

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 7:10 am

This Week’s Games

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Kent St.Ball St.6.47.06.4
OhioBuffalo-0.4-0.4-0.6
Northern IllinoisCentral Michigan8.67.46.6
Bowling GreenWestern Michigan2.21.01.5
RiceUTEP0.00.00.0
Coastal CarolinaAppalachian St.-2.1-2.3-2.8
Boston CollegeDuke-1.6-2.9-1.6
ConnecticutMassachusetts15.716.216.1
WashingtonOregon St.1.01.91.1
Army (N)Air Force-7.6-7.2-8.1
VirginiaNorth Carolina-8.7-8.9-10.2
RutgersMichigan-24.2-24.3-27.0
North Carolina St.Wake Forest6.15.25.3
Miami (Fla.)Florida St.-5.0-5.5-6.0
Virginia TechGeorgia Tech5.86.16.2
PurdueIowa7.07.27.2
IndianaPenn St.-15.4-16.0-17.3
LouisvilleJames Madison21.619.617.2
PittsburghSyracuse3.13.01.9
KansasOklahoma St.-6.4-6.3-7.8
CincinnatiNavy20.620.522.5
TempleSouth Florida-12.6-9.8-13.3
NebraskaMinnesota-10.9-10.3-11.9
Old DominionMarshall0.0-0.9-0.5
ArkansasLiberty18.215.516.9
IllinoisMichigan St.6.08.07.0
WisconsinMaryland6.25.96.3
Kansas St.Texas3.33.14.6
OklahomaBaylor-1.1-0.9-0.9
MissouriKentucky-1.1-1.2-2.5
NorthwesternOhio St.-37.4-35.5-39.6
CharlotteWestern Kentucky-14.9-14.0-16.7
ColoradoOregon-24.3-25.3-24.8
Boise St.BYU4.35.46.1
UtahArizona23.722.924.7
San Jose St.Colorado St.17.417.318.4
Fresno St.Hawaii28.526.327.7
StanfordWashington St.1.0-1.5-1.2
USCCalifornia17.718.318.3
Louisiana TechMiddle Tennessee-4.8-4.3-6.5
Arizona St.UCLA-6.9-7.3-7.9
Texas A&MFlorida7.76.88.3
TulsaTulane-7.3-7.7-8.0
SMUHouston2.02.01.8
LouisianaTroy-0.5-0.9-0.9
Southern Miss.Georgia St.-2.3-1.5-3.2
VanderbiltSouth Carolina-12.5-11.5-13.9
Mississippi St.Auburn12.713.113.6
GeorgiaTennessee9.68.29.3
TCUTexas Tech10.09.98.9
MemphisCentral Florida-6.2-6.6-7.3
Iowa St.West Virginia7.47.57.6
Utah St.New Mexico14.214.416.0
UABUTSA1.62.52.6
LSUAlabama-11.1-10.8-12.8
North TexasFlorida Int’l.25.723.128.0
Georgia SouthernSouth Alabama0.80.50.7
Louisiana-MonroeTexas St.1.50.60.2
San Diego St.UNLV7.68.87.8
Notre DameClemson-3.8-5.0-3.7

There are no FBS vs. FCS games scheduled this week.

Teams With Bye Weeks

Akron
Arkansas St.
East Carolina
Eastern Michigan
Florida Atlantic
Miami (O)
Nevada
New Mexico St.
Ole Miss
Toledo
Wyoming

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Ohio St.134.7
2Georgia131.9
3Alabama130.5
4Michigan126.5
5Tennessee125.8
6Clemson120.0
7Penn St.118.2
8Utah117.1
9Kansas St.116.5
10Baylor116.2
11T C U115.9
12L S U115.9
13Texas115.9
14Minnesota115.4
15Oregon115.3
16Mississippi St.115.1
17Arkansas114.5
18Wisconsin114.2
19Purdue114.1
20Illinois113.3
21Ole Miss113.2
22U S C113.1
23Notre Dame112.8
24U C L A112.7
25Oklahoma St.112.7
26Louisville112.7
27Florida St.112.7
28NC State112.4
29Oklahoma112.2
30Texas A&M111.4
31Maryland111.1
32North Carolina110.2
33Iowa110.0
34Cincinnati109.7
35Oregon St.109.6
36Kentucky109.5
37Wake Forest109.4
38Michigan St.109.3
39Texas Tech108.8
40Syracuse108.2
41Washington108.0
42Pittsburgh107.8
43Iowa St.107.7
44South Carolina107.6
45UCF107.4
46Florida106.8
47Miami (Fla.)105.2
48Auburn105.0
49Missouri104.9
50Boise St.104.8
51Washington St.104.6
52Tulane103.7
53West Virginia103.2
54East Carolina103.1
55Kansas102.9
56Houston102.7
57SMU102.6
58BYU102.6
59Air Force102.5
60Arizona St.102.3
61Nebraska101.4
62Stanford101.1
63Liberty100.6
64Fresno St.99.2
65Appalachian St.99.2
66Indiana99.0
67Duke98.4
68Rutgers98.3
69Toledo98.1
70California98.0
71Virginia97.9
72Memphis97.7
73U T S A97.2
74U A B96.9
75Arizona96.3
76James Madison96.2
77Virginia Tech96.2
78W. Kentucky96.1
79Troy95.9
80San Jose St.95.7
81Georgia St.95.4
82South Alabama94.9
83Army94.8
84Northwestern94.7
85Coastal Carolina94.3
86Boston College93.9
87Marshall93.8
88N. Illinois93.8
89Tulsa93.5
90Georgia Tech93.1
91Ga. Southern93.1
92Buffalo93.0
93Louisiana92.7
94North Texas92.6
95Vanderbilt92.4
96San Diego St.92.4
97USF92.1
98Navy91.0
99Old Dominion90.8
100Southern Miss.90.6
101Miami (Ohio)90.3
102Ohio90.1
103Utah St.90.1
104Kent St.89.5
105Wyoming89.1
106Florida Atlantic89.0
107Central Mich.88.8
108Colorado87.5
109Western Mich.87.3
110U N L V87.3
111Middle Tennessee87.2
112Bowling Green86.4
113Eastern Mich.86.1
114Ball St.85.4
115U T E P84.6
116Texas St.83.7
117Connecticut83.2
118Arkansas St.82.1
119Rice82.0
120UL-Monroe81.9
121Nevada81.9
122Colorado St.81.0
123Louisiana Tech79.5
124Charlotte78.4
125New Mexico78.2
126Temple77.7
127Hawaii75.2
128Akron74.7
129New Mexico St.74.6
130Massachusetts69.7
131Florida Int’l.69.5

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati109.6109.0110.5109.7
UCF107.0107.6107.6107.4
Tulane103.7103.4103.9103.7
East Carolina103.0102.6103.6103.1
Houston102.8102.1103.1102.7
SMU102.8102.1102.9102.6
Memphis97.898.097.397.7
Tulsa93.993.293.493.5
USF92.891.691.992.1
Navy91.591.090.591.0
Temple77.779.276.177.7

AAC98.498.198.398.3

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson120.0119.8120.1120.0
Louisville113.1112.6112.4112.7
Florida St.112.9112.5112.6112.7
NC State113.1112.1112.1112.4
Wake Forest109.5109.4109.4109.4
Syracuse108.8107.8107.9108.2
Boston College94.194.892.793.9

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
North Carolina110.3110.4109.9110.2
Pittsburgh108.9107.8106.9107.8
Miami (Fla.)105.9105.0104.6105.2
Duke98.2100.196.898.4
Virginia98.598.596.697.9
Virginia Tech96.796.795.296.2
Georgia Tech93.993.692.093.1

ACC106.0105.8104.9105.6

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Kansas St.117.1115.9116.6116.5
Baylor116.7115.6116.3116.2
T C U116.6115.3115.9115.9
Texas116.8115.8115.0115.9
Oklahoma St.113.4111.9112.8112.7
Oklahoma112.6111.7112.4112.2
Texas Tech109.0107.9109.4108.8
Iowa St.108.0107.6107.6107.7
West Virginia103.6103.1103.0103.2
Kansas104.0102.7102.0102.9

Big 12111.8110.8111.1111.2

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.134.9133.8135.5134.7
Michigan126.8126.0126.7126.5
Penn St.118.4118.2118.1118.2
Maryland111.5111.3110.5111.1
Michigan St.110.3109.0108.6109.3
Indiana100.099.297.799.0
Rutgers99.698.696.898.3

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Minnesota115.9115.0115.4115.4
Wisconsin114.6114.2113.7114.2
Purdue115.0114.1113.2114.1
Illinois113.3114.0112.6113.3
Iowa111.0109.9109.0110.0
Nebraska102.1101.7100.6101.4
Northwestern95.095.793.494.7

Big Ten112.0111.5110.8111.4

Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U T S A97.496.597.697.2
U A B96.596.597.796.9
W. Kentucky95.695.597.296.1
North Texas92.291.993.692.6
Florida Atlantic88.989.888.489.0
Middle Tennessee86.887.387.587.2
U T E P84.684.684.484.6
Rice82.182.181.982.0
Louisiana Tech79.580.578.579.5
Charlotte78.279.078.078.4
Florida Int’l.69.071.368.169.5

CUSA86.486.886.686.6

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame113.3111.8113.4112.8
BYU103.3101.8102.7102.6
Liberty99.7101.0101.2100.6
Army94.794.994.994.8
Connecticut83.284.481.983.2
New Mexico St.74.176.073.774.6
Massachusetts70.070.868.269.7

Independents91.291.590.991.2

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Buffalo91.693.993.793.0
Miami (Ohio)89.291.290.590.3
Ohio88.890.990.590.1
Kent St.88.990.689.189.5
Bowling Green86.586.286.486.4
Akron74.675.374.174.7

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Toledo97.498.498.598.1
N. Illinois93.694.093.893.8
Central Mich.87.589.189.788.8
Western Mich.86.887.787.487.3
Eastern Mich.85.786.586.086.1
Ball St.85.086.185.285.4

MAC88.089.288.788.6

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.104.6104.2105.7104.8
Air Force102.3102.1103.0102.5
Utah St.89.990.090.390.1
Wyoming88.189.989.489.1
Colorado St.80.881.580.881.0
New Mexico78.778.677.378.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Fresno St.99.398.799.799.2
San Jose St.95.195.796.395.7
San Diego St.92.492.092.692.4
U N L V87.886.287.887.3
Nevada81.582.981.281.9
Hawaii74.475.975.575.2

MWC89.689.890.089.8

Pac-12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah116.9116.2118.2117.1
Oregon115.5115.0115.4115.3
U S C112.5113.1113.8113.1
U C L A112.3112.2113.7112.7
Oregon St.109.7109.0110.2109.6
Washington107.7107.9108.3108.0
Washington St.104.1104.6105.1104.6
Arizona St.102.3101.9102.8102.3
Stanford102.1100.2100.9101.1
California97.897.898.598.0
Arizona96.296.296.596.3
Colorado88.286.787.687.5

Pac-12105.4105.1105.9105.5

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia132.0130.9132.7131.9
Tennessee125.4125.6126.4125.8
Kentucky109.1109.5109.9109.5
South Carolina107.7107.3107.8107.6
Florida106.3107.6106.5106.8
Missouri105.0105.3104.4104.9
Vanderbilt92.693.291.492.4

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama130.3129.6131.5130.5
L S U116.2115.7115.7115.9
Mississippi St.115.8114.6115.1115.1
Arkansas114.9113.4115.1114.5
Ole Miss114.2112.7112.8113.2
Texas A&M111.0111.4111.8111.4
Auburn106.1104.5104.5105.0

SEC113.3113.0113.3113.2

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Appalachian St.98.099.3100.299.2
James Madison94.496.098.296.2
Georgia St.94.894.796.795.4
Coastal Carolina93.594.594.994.3
Marshall93.394.293.993.8
Ga. Southern92.692.794.093.1
Old Dominion90.890.890.990.8

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Troy95.095.897.095.9
South Alabama94.294.795.894.9
Louisiana92.092.493.592.7
Southern Miss.90.090.791.090.6
Texas St.82.884.184.183.7
Arkansas St.81.482.782.182.1
UL-Monroe81.882.281.881.9

Sun Belt91.191.892.491.8

Conference Ratings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern113.2
2Big Ten111.4
3Big 12111.2
4Atlantic Coast105.6
5Pac-12105.5
6American Athletic98.3
7Sun Belt91.8
8Independents91.2
9Mountain West89.8
10Mid-American88.6
11Conference USA86.6

Bowl & Playoff Projections

BowlTeamTeam
BahamasNorth TexasBuffalo
CureGeorgia SouthernLiberty
FenwayNotre DameCincinnati
New MexicoWestern KentuckyWyoming
L.A.UtahSan Jose St.
Lending TreeMiami (O)South Alabama
Las VegasUSCLSU
FriscoSMUSan Diego St.
Myrtle BeachAppalachian St.Memphis
Famous Idaho PotatoOhio UAir Force
Boca RatonHoustonTroy
New OrleansFlorida Int’l.Coastal Carolina
Armed ForcesTulaneUTSA
IndependenceEast CarolinaArmy
GasparillaMiami (Fla.)South Carolina
HawaiiUABFresno St.
Quick LaneIowaBowling Green
CamelliaToledoSouthern Miss.
First ResponderKansasMarshall
BirminghamPittsburghMissouri
Guaranteed RateBaylorMaryland
MilitaryWake ForestCentral Florida
LibertyTexasTexas A&M
HolidayVirginiaOregon St.
TexasTexas TechArkansas
PinstripeSyracuseWisconsin
Cheez-ItNorth Carolina St.Oklahoma
AlamoOklahoma St.Washington St.
Duke’s MayoDukePurdue
Tony the Tiger SunLouisvilleWashington
ArizonaEastern MichiganUtah St.
OrangeNorth CarolinaAlabama
Music CityMinnesotaFlorida
SugarTennesseeKansas St.
TaxSlayerFlorida St.Mississippi St.
PeachGeorgiaClemson
FiestaOhio St.TCU
Reliaquest (Outback)IllinoisKentucky
CitrusPenn St.Ole Miss
CottonUCLABoise St.
RoseOregonMichigan
National ChampionshipGeorgiaOhio St.

Note: 84 FBS teams are projected to become bowl eligible for 82 available bowl slots. Should the NCAA & ESPN agree to add an extra bowl game like last year, Middle Tennessee State and UNLV would meet in that game.

October 23, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football–October 27-29, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
North Carolina St.Virginia Tech21.119.822.3
Southern Miss.Louisiana-2.2-2.1-3.4
Washington St.Utah-10.2-8.9-10.9
BYUEast Carolina4.02.82.7
Florida Int’l.Louisiana Tech-10.3-9.0-10.6
NebraskaIllinois-6.0-6.9-6.4
ConnecticutBoston College-12.4-12.1-12.7
MarshallCoastal Carolina5.65.65.1
MassachusettsNew Mexico St.-0.1-1.4-1.4
AkronMiami (O)-12.5-13.8-14.3
South CarolinaMissouri10.39.711.7
TennesseeKentucky14.013.713.9
West VirginiaTCU-10.0-9.2-9.9
Florida St.Georgia Tech21.421.223.1
Penn St.Ohio St.-13.5-12.6-14.6
LouisvilleWake Forest2.11.41.0
SyracuseNotre Dame2.63.51.9
MichiganMichigan St.17.617.919.3
VirginiaMiami (Fla.)-4.6-3.7-5.4
Central FloridaCincinnati-0.50.7-1.0
IowaNorthwestern19.016.718.4
Eastern MichiganToledo-9.6-10.2-11.2
Georgia St.Old Dominion4.23.75.8
North CarolinaPittsburgh0.92.32.5
MinnesotaRutgers16.416.318.7
Arkansas St.South Alabama-6.0-5.2-6.5
Iowa St.Oklahoma1.52.41.7
ColoradoArizona St.-11.3-12.8-13.0
Boise St.Colorado St.23.822.424.7
RiceCharlotte12.812.213.4
ArizonaUSC-14.0-14.8-15.6
Fresno St.San Diego St.10.510.411.0
UCLAStanford10.412.413.2
CaliforniaOregon-14.4-13.8-13.6
HoustonSouth Florida13.013.614.3
TulsaSMU-6.0-5.8-6.2
Kansas St.Oklahoma St.-2.7-2.6-3.0
Texas TechBaylor1.01.12.3
Texas A&MOle Miss0.01.92.2
AuburnArkansas-5.0-4.9-6.5
NavyTemple17.214.818.4
Western KentuckyNorth Texas14.214.614.8
GeorgiaFlorida26.123.326.8
HawaiiWyoming-10.5-10.9-11.0
Florida AtlanticUAB-7.7-7.0-9.4
UTEPMiddle Tennessee3.12.62.4
San Jose St.Nevada16.815.918.8

Note: Georgia vs. Florida is neutral site game in Jacksonville

FBS vs. FCS Games This Week

FBSFCSPiRate
Appalachian St.Robert Morris43.8

Teams With Bye Weeks

Air Force
Alabama
Army
Ball St.
Bowling Green
Buffalo
Central Michigan
Clemson
Duke
Georgia Southern
Indiana
James Madison
Kansas
Kent St.
Liberty
Louisiana-Monroe
LSU
Maryland
Memphis
Mississippi St.
New Mexico
Northern Illinois
Ohio
Oregon St.
Purdue
Texas
Texas St.
Troy
Tulane
UNLV
Utah St.
UTSA
Vanderbilt
Washington
Western Michigan
Wisconsin

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Ohio St.134.7
2Georgia132.0
3Alabama130.2
4Michigan126.3
5Tennessee123.1
6Clemson119.7
7Penn St.118.2
8Oklahoma St.118.0
9Utah117.3
10T C U115.9
11L S U115.6
12Texas115.6
13Oregon115.3
14Mississippi St.114.8
15Minnesota114.1
16Arkansas114.0
17Wisconsin113.9
18Purdue113.8
19U S C113.8
20NC State113.6
21Baylor113.3
22Ole Miss113.1
23Florida St.112.5
24Kansas St.112.2
25Kentucky112.2
26Wake Forest112.1
27Illinois112.1
28Texas Tech111.7
29Texas A&M111.5
30U C L A111.4
31Notre Dame110.8
32Maryland110.8
33Oklahoma110.7
34Louisville110.6
35Syracuse110.5
36Cincinnati110.3
37South Carolina110.2
38Iowa109.9
39Pittsburgh109.7
40Iowa St.109.6
41Michigan St.109.5
42Oregon St.109.3
43North Carolina108.6
44Washington107.7
45UCF107.1
46Florida106.6
47Auburn105.5
48Miami (Fla.)105.3
49Washington St.104.3
50Tulane103.4
51Boise St.103.2
52West Virginia103.2
53BYU103.1
54East Carolina102.9
55Houston102.7
56Nebraska102.6
57Missouri102.6
58Arizona St.102.6
59Kansas102.6
60Stanford102.4
61SMU102.3
62Air Force102.3
63Liberty100.4
64W. Kentucky100.2
65Rutgers100.0
66Fresno St.99.6
67Appalachian St.99.1
68Indiana98.7
69Toledo98.5
70California98.3
71U A B98.2
72Duke98.1
73Virginia97.7
74Memphis97.5
75U T S A97.0
76Boston College96.3
77San Jose St.96.1
78James Madison96.0
79Arizona96.0
80Troy95.7
81Virginia Tech95.5
82Marshall95.4
83Northwestern94.8
84Army94.6
85Georgia St.94.3
86Louisiana94.3
87Tulsa93.8
88N. Illinois93.6
89Georgia Tech93.6
90Coastal Carolina93.0
91Ga. Southern92.9
92South Alabama92.8
93Buffalo92.8
94Old Dominion92.2
95Vanderbilt92.1
96USF92.1
97San Diego St.92.0
98Navy91.7
99Miami (Ohio)90.2
100Ohio89.9
101Utah St.89.9
102Wyoming89.3
103Kent St.89.3
104Southern Miss.89.2
105Central Mich.88.6
106North Texas88.2
107Florida Atlantic87.7
108Colorado87.2
109Western Mich.87.1
110U N L V87.1
111Bowling Green86.2
112U T E P86.0
113Rice85.9
114Middle Tennessee85.8
115Eastern Mich.85.7
116Ball St.85.2
117Arkansas St.84.4
118Texas St.83.5
119Colorado St.82.6
120UL-Monroe81.7
121Nevada81.5
122Connecticut81.4
123Louisiana Tech80.9
124New Mexico78.0
125Temple77.5
126Charlotte75.6
127Akron75.2
128Hawaii75.0
129New Mexico St.73.9
130Massachusetts70.4
131Florida Int’l.68.4

Note: We have been receiving a large number of comments concerning the ratings, almost all from newcomers to his site. The overwhelming question most asked is why a team is ranked ahead of a team that beat them and is ahead of them in the conference standings. To those new to this site, our ratings are not rankings like the AP and Coaches’ polls. We are not grading teams based on what they have done so far . Our goal is to predict the future. Thus Alabama is rated ahead of Tennessee because it is this system’s prediction that the Tide would beat the Vols on a neutral field if they were to play this week.

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati110.2109.6111.2110.3
UCF106.7107.3107.2107.1
Tulane103.4103.1103.6103.4
East Carolina102.8102.5103.4102.9
Houston102.8102.1103.1102.7
SMU102.6101.8102.5102.3
Memphis97.697.897.197.5
Tulsa94.193.593.893.8
USF92.891.691.992.1
Navy92.291.591.591.7
Temple77.579.275.677.5

AAC98.498.298.398.3

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson119.7119.5119.8119.7
NC State114.2113.1113.5113.6
Florida St.112.7112.3112.5112.5
Wake Forest112.0112.1112.2112.1
Louisville111.2110.5110.2110.6
Syracuse111.0110.2110.2110.5
Boston College96.497.295.296.3

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Pittsburgh110.8109.6108.8109.7
North Carolina108.7108.9108.3108.6
Miami (Fla.)106.0105.1104.8105.3
Duke97.999.896.598.1
Virginia98.498.496.497.7
Virginia Tech96.196.294.395.5
Georgia Tech94.494.192.493.6

ACC106.4106.2105.4106.0

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma St.118.6117.2118.2118.0
T C U116.6115.3115.9115.9
Texas116.5115.5114.7115.6
Baylor113.9112.7113.2113.3
Kansas St.112.9111.6112.2112.2
Texas Tech111.8110.8112.5111.7
Oklahoma111.2110.1110.8110.7
Iowa St.109.7109.5109.5109.6
West Virginia103.6103.1103.0103.2
Kansas103.7102.4101.7102.6

Big 12111.8110.8111.2111.3

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.134.9133.8135.6134.7
Michigan126.6125.7126.5126.3
Penn St.118.4118.2118.0118.2
Maryland111.2111.0110.2110.8
Michigan St.110.5109.3108.8109.5
Rutgers101.2100.398.4100.0
Indiana99.798.997.498.7

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Minnesota114.6113.6114.1114.1
Wisconsin114.3113.9113.4113.9
Purdue114.7113.8112.9113.8
Illinois112.2112.8111.3112.1
Iowa111.0109.7108.9109.9
Nebraska103.2102.9101.9102.6
Northwestern95.095.993.594.8

Big Ten112.0111.4110.8111.4

Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
W. Kentucky99.699.6101.4100.2
U A B97.897.999.098.2
U T S A97.296.397.497.0
North Texas87.987.589.188.2
Florida Atlantic87.688.487.187.7
U T E P86.086.085.986.0
Rice85.885.985.985.9
Middle Tennessee85.485.986.085.8
Louisiana Tech80.881.880.080.9
Charlotte75.576.275.075.6
Florida Int’l.68.070.366.968.4

CUSA86.586.986.786.7

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame111.4109.7111.4110.8
BYU103.8102.2103.2103.1
Liberty99.5100.8101.0100.4
Army94.594.794.794.6
Connecticut81.582.680.081.4
New Mexico St.73.475.372.973.9
Massachusetts70.771.569.070.4

Independents90.791.090.390.7

Mid-American Conference

East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Buffalo91.493.793.592.8
Miami (Ohio)89.191.190.490.2
Ohio88.690.790.389.9
Kent St.88.790.488.989.3
Bowling Green86.386.086.286.2
Akron75.175.874.675.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Toledo97.698.899.198.5
N. Illinois93.493.893.693.6
Central Mich.87.388.989.588.6
Western Mich.86.687.587.287.1
Eastern Mich.85.586.185.485.7
Ball St.84.885.985.085.2

MAC87.989.188.688.5

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.103.1102.5104.1103.2
Air Force102.1101.9102.8102.3
Utah St.89.789.890.189.9
Wyoming88.290.189.789.3
Colorado St.82.383.282.482.6
New Mexico78.578.477.178.0

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Fresno St.99.699.1100.299.6
San Jose St.95.496.096.996.1
San Diego St.92.191.692.192.0
U N L V87.686.087.687.1
Nevada81.282.680.681.5
Hawaii74.375.775.275.0

MWC89.589.789.989.7

Pac-12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah117.1116.4118.6117.3
Oregon115.5115.0115.4115.3
U S C113.0113.7114.6113.8
U C L A110.9110.9112.4111.4
Oregon St.109.4108.7109.9109.3
Washington107.4107.6108.0107.7
Washington St.103.9104.4104.7104.3
Arizona St.102.4102.2103.2102.6
Stanford103.5101.5102.2102.4
California98.198.198.898.3
Arizona96.095.996.096.0
Colorado88.186.487.287.2

Pac-12105.4105.1105.9105.5

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia132.2130.9133.0132.0
Tennessee122.8122.9123.6123.1
Kentucky111.7112.2112.7112.2
South Carolina110.2109.8110.6110.2
Florida106.1107.6106.2106.6
Missouri102.8103.1101.9102.6
Vanderbilt92.392.991.192.1

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama130.0129.3131.2130.2
L S U115.9115.4115.4115.6
Mississippi St.115.5114.3114.8114.8
Arkansas114.5112.9114.6114.0
Ole Miss114.1112.6112.7113.1
Texas A&M111.1111.5111.9111.5
Auburn106.5105.0105.0105.5

SEC113.3112.9113.2113.1

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Appalachian St.97.999.2100.199.1
James Madison94.295.898.096.0
Marshall94.895.895.695.4
Georgia St.93.893.595.694.3
Coastal Carolina92.393.293.593.0
Ga. Southern92.492.593.892.9
Old Dominion92.192.392.392.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Troy94.895.696.895.7
Louisiana93.594.095.394.3
South Alabama92.292.793.692.8
Southern Miss.88.889.489.589.2
Arkansas St.83.785.084.684.4
Texas St.82.683.983.983.5
UL-Monroe81.682.081.681.7

Sun Belt91.191.892.591.8

Conference Ratings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern113.1
2Big Ten111.4
3Big 12111.3
4Atlantic Coast106.0
5Pac-12105.5
6American Athletic98.3
7Sun Belt91.8
8Independents90.7
9Mountain West89.7
10Mid-American88.5
11Conference USA86.7

Bowl & Playoff Projections

BowlTeamTeam
BahamasUTSABuffalo
CureTroyLiberty
FenwaySyracuseTulane
New MexicoNorth TexasWyoming
L.A.UtahBoise St.
Lending TreeMiami (O)South Alabama
Las VegasUSCArkansas
FriscoUtah St.Kansas
Myrtle BeachMarshallIowa St.
Famous Idaho PotatoToledoSan Jose St.
Boca RatonCoastal CarolinaAir Force
New OrleansUTEPLousiana
Armed ForcesHoustonWestern Kentucky
IndependenceSMUAppalachian St.
GasparillaFloridaEast Carolina
HawaiiUABFresno St.
Quick LaneEastern MichiganArmy
CamelliaBowling GreenSouthern Miss.
First ResponderStanfordBYU
BirminghamLouisvilleGeorgia Southern
Guaranteed RateTexas TechWisconsin
MilitaryDukeCentral Florida
LibertyBaylorOle Miss
HolidayVirginiaWashington
TexasOklahomaMississippi St.
PinstripeNotre DameNebraska
Cheez-ItTexasNorth Carolina St.
AlamoKansas St.UCLA
Duke’s MayoWake ForestMaryland
Tony the Tiger SunPittsburghOregon St.
ArizonaOhio USan Diego St.
OrangeAlabamaNorth Carolina
Music CityMinnesotaTexas A&M
SugarTennesseeOklahoma St.
TaxSlayerFlorida St.South Carolina
PeachGeorgiaClemson
FiestaOhio St.TCU
Tampa BayPurdueKentucky
CitrusIllinoisLSU
CottonPenn St.Cincinnati
RoseOregonMichigan
National ChampionshipGeorgiaOhio St.

Note: For the first time this year more than 82 FBS teams were projected to be bowl eligible, and no 5-7 teams made this list. Five projected bowl eligible teams were omitted from this projection: Ball St., Middle Tennessee, Rice, UNLV, and Western Michigan.

August 28, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football–Sept. 1-5, 2022

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 6:07 am

This Week’s Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
TennesseeBall St.33.532.033.5
PittsburghWest Virginia13.712.613.3
PurduePenn St.4.74.14.0
MissouriLouisiana Tech26.725.127.2
MinnesotaNew Mexico St.42.039.043.1
Oklahoma St.Central Michigan28.224.024.4
IndianaIllinois0.3-0.8-0.7
Old DominionVirginia Tech-9.0-9.4-6.4
Michigan St.Western Michigan29.826.926.2
DukeTemple5.85.85.0
ColoradoTCU-7.3-7.6-6.6
Ole MissTroy25.723.522.8
FloridaUtah-7.0-3.5-8.6
South FloridaBYU-12.9-12.5-14.0
SyracuseLouisville-2.9-3.3-3.5
Ohio St.Notre Dame14.214.115.2
MarylandBuffalo30.127.428.0
MichiganColorado St.38.235.037.4
Appalachian St.North Carolina-10.0-8.4-6.7
Boston CollegeRutgers2.25.15.0
James MadisonMiddle Tennessee4.04.77.7
Coastal CarolinaArmy-2.8-2.1-1.2
KentuckyMiami (O)23.521.221.9
South CarolinaGeorgia St.13.113.39.3
North TexasSMU-10.5-10.4-9.3
OhioFlorida Atlantic-0.80.41.4
East CarolinaNorth Carolina St.-16.3-15.7-15.6
WyomingTulsa-10.1-6.3-8.8
USCRice27.128.529.0
UCLABowling Green23.825.026.3
Oregon St.Boise St.4.14.63.8
WashingtonKent St.19.817.820.8
San Diego St.Arizona6.46.46.9
NevadaTexas St.9.210.58.1
Georgia (Atlanta)Oregon21.419.823.8
Southern Miss.Liberty-7.8-9.3-10.3
AlabamaUtah St.37.235.538.0
OklahomaUTEP37.236.637.4
Mississippi St.Memphis20.618.019.0
TexasUL-Monroe32.030.331.0
ArkansasCincinnati7.56.56.2
UTSAHouston-5.9-7.4-7.9
TulaneMassachusetts25.924.327.8
HawaiiWestern Kentucky-18.5-16.5-20.2
LSU (New Orleans)Florida St.3.43.33.5
Georgia TechClemson-21.7-21.5-24.4

FBS vs. FCS Games

FBSFCSPiRate
AkronSt. Francis (PA)8.3
Central FloridaS. Carolina St.29.5
Florida Int’l.Bryant8.8
ToledoLong Island39.0
Wake ForestVMI31.7
Northern IllinoisEastern Illinois28.0
UABAlabama A&M28.8
Arizona St.Northern Arizona26.1
Fresno St.Cal Poly SLO31.3
San Jose St.Portland St.12.7
Eastern MichiganEastern Kentucky13.2
CharlotteWilliam & Mary3.8
KansasTennessee Tech25.1
Air ForceNorthern Iowa15.3
New MexicoMaine4.6
Texas A&MSam Houston27.7
ConnecticutCentral Connecticut13.0
IowaSouth Dakota St.16.7
NavyDelaware18.1
VirginiaRichmond22.1
Iowa St.SE Missouri St.33.2
NebraskaNorth Dakota21.1
Miami (Fla.)Bethune-Cookman38.6
MarshallNorfolk St.28.1
CaliforniaUC Davis18.6
South AlabamaNicholls St.9.7
Georgia SouthernMorgan St.28.6
AuburnMercer28.2
VanderbiltElon17.2
Kansas St.South Dakota23.2
WisconsinIllinois St.31.3
LouisianaSE Louisiana18.1
BaylorAlbany38.5
Arkansas St.Grambling21.8
StanfordColgate30.3
Texas TechMurray St.30.0
Washington St.Idaho25.7

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Georgia130.5
2Alabama129.1
3Ohio St.128.3
4Michigan123.0
5Clemson120.0
6Oklahoma119.1
7NC State118.1
8Michigan St.117.7
9Wisconsin117.6
10Oklahoma St.117.5
11Notre Dame116.8
12Utah116.6
13Purdue115.9
14Arkansas115.3
15Tennessee115.1
16Pittsburgh115.0
17Iowa114.7
18Miami (Fla.)114.7
19Penn St.114.6
20Texas A&M114.3
21Mississippi St.113.9
22Minnesota113.6
23Baylor113.5
24Kentucky112.7
25L S U112.5
26Ole Miss112.2
27Florida St.111.6
28BYU111.5
29Cincinnati111.5
30Oregon111.3
31Auburn111.2
32Louisville111.0
33Kansas St.110.3
34Texas110.2
35Maryland110.0
36U C L A109.1
37South Carolina109.1
38Iowa St.108.7
39North Carolina108.2
40T C U107.8
41Nebraska107.6
42Oregon St.107.2
43Texas Tech106.7
44Florida106.7
45Boise St.106.0
46U S C105.9
47Houston105.5
48Wake Forest105.4
49Washington104.9
50Syracuse104.8
51Arizona St.104.5
52UCF104.4
53Illinois103.8
54Missouri103.7
55Virginia103.6
56Fresno St.103.5
57West Virginia103.3
58Stanford102.2
59SMU102.0
60Washington St.101.5
61Air Force101.4
62Northwestern101.2
63Boston College101.2
64Indiana100.9
65Georgia St.100.1
66Rutgers100.1
67East Carolina99.8
68Virginia Tech99.7
69Army99.0
70California98.3
71N. Illinois98.2
72Tulane98.2
73U A B98.1
74Appal. St.97.8
75San Diego St.97.7
76Colorado97.6
77Kansas97.3
78Memphis97.2
79Liberty97.0
80Louisiana96.9
81W. Kentucky96.7
82U T S A96.5
83Tulsa95.5
84Vanderbilt95.4
85USF95.4
86Utah St.95.2
87Georgia Tech95.0
88Central Mich.95.0
89Toledo94.5
90Arizona94.1
91Coastal Car.94.0
92Miami (Ohio)93.5
93Western Mich.93.1
94Navy92.2
95Marshall92.1
96Troy91.2
97North Texas90.4
98J. Madison89.5
99Old Dominion89.4
100Colorado St.89.2
101Florida Atlantic88.6
102Eastern Mich.88.5
103Kent St.88.4
104U N L V88.1
105Nevada87.8
106San Jose St.87.4
107Bowling Green87.1
108Ga. Southern86.6
109Middle Tennessee86.5
110Ohio85.9
111South Alabama85.8
112Southern Miss.85.3
113Ball St.85.1
114U T E P85.1
115Buffalo84.5
116Wyoming84.1
117Duke84.1
118UL-Monroe82.1
119Temple81.1
120Texas St.81.0
121Arkansas St.80.8
122Rice80.7
123Charlotte80.7
124Louisiana Tech80.4
125New Mexico80.2
126Akron78.5
127Connecticut78.2
128New Mexico St.75.3
129Hawaii74.8
130Massachusetts74.7
131Florida Int’l.67.6

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati111.3110.4112.9111.5
Houston105.1104.8106.6105.5
UCF103.9104.6104.7104.4
SMU102.3101.4102.4102.0
East Carolina99.699.2100.599.8
Tulane98.797.898.098.2
Memphis97.197.697.097.2
Tulsa95.994.995.895.5
USF96.394.895.295.4
Navy93.092.291.492.2
Temple81.083.578.781.1

AAC98.698.398.598.4

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson119.8119.6120.6120.0
NC State118.4117.4118.6118.1
Florida St.112.1111.4111.3111.6
Louisville111.8110.6110.8111.0
Wake Forest105.9105.2105.2105.4
Syracuse105.9104.3104.2104.8
Boston College100.6102.6100.3101.2

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Pittsburgh116.0114.7114.3115.0
Miami (Fla.)115.2113.8115.0114.7
North Carolina108.3108.5107.8108.2
Virginia104.1104.3102.4103.6
Virginia Tech100.4100.897.999.7
Georgia Tech95.795.693.795.0
Duke84.386.881.284.1

ACC107.0106.8105.9106.6

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma119.4118.2119.8119.1
Oklahoma St.118.3116.4117.7117.5
Baylor114.2112.9113.4113.5
Kansas St.111.2109.8110.0110.3
Texas111.2110.0109.5110.2
Iowa St.108.7108.6108.9108.7
T C U108.9107.3107.3107.8
Texas Tech107.1105.6107.5106.7
West Virginia103.8103.6102.5103.3
Kansas99.296.995.897.3

Big 12110.2108.9109.2109.5

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.128.7126.7129.6128.3
Michigan123.7121.9123.5123.0
Michigan St.119.0117.4116.8117.7
Penn St.115.1114.6114.1114.6
Maryland110.3110.1109.8110.0
Indiana102.1101.599.1100.9
Rutgers101.4100.598.3100.1

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Wisconsin118.1117.4117.1117.6
Purdue116.8115.7115.0115.9
Iowa115.9114.4113.9114.7
Minnesota113.7113.1114.1113.6
Nebraska108.1108.1106.8107.6
Illinois104.3104.8102.3103.8
Northwestern101.4102.599.6101.2

Big Ten112.8112.0111.4112.1

Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U A B97.497.699.298.1
W. Kentucky96.095.698.696.7
U T S A97.295.496.796.5
North Texas90.289.591.690.4
Florida Atlantic88.089.688.188.6
Middle Tennessee85.786.886.986.5
U T E P85.284.685.385.1
Rice81.380.780.280.7
Charlotte80.481.780.080.7
Louisiana Tech80.382.078.880.4
Florida Int’l.67.170.265.467.6

CUSA86.386.786.586.5

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame117.5115.5117.4116.8
BYU112.2110.2112.2111.5
Army98.699.399.299.0
Liberty95.497.598.097.0
Connecticut78.680.176.078.2
New Mexico St.74.877.174.075.3
Massachusetts75.376.072.774.7

Independents93.293.792.893.2

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)91.694.694.493.5
Kent St.87.490.287.788.4
Bowling Green87.886.586.987.1
Ohio84.387.086.585.9
Buffalo83.185.884.884.5
Akron78.379.377.978.5

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
N. Illinois97.998.398.498.2
Central Mich.93.195.496.495.0
Toledo93.594.795.494.5
Western Mich.92.293.593.693.1
Eastern Mich.88.489.088.188.5
Ball St.84.786.084.885.1

MAC88.590.089.689.4

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.106.1105.0107.0106.0
Air Force101.0100.9102.4101.4
Utah St.94.895.295.695.2
Colorado St.88.689.989.189.2
Wyoming82.885.684.084.1
New Mexico80.481.179.180.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Fresno St.103.3102.6104.6103.5
San Diego St.97.597.597.997.7
U N L V89.086.588.688.1
Nevada87.289.387.087.8
San Jose St.86.987.388.087.4
Hawaii74.175.674.974.8

MWC91.091.491.591.3

Pac-12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah116.5115.0118.4116.6
Oregon111.7111.4110.9111.3
U C L A108.6108.5110.2109.1
Oregon St.107.2106.6107.8107.2
U S C105.4106.2106.2105.9
Washington104.2105.0105.5104.9
Arizona St.104.1104.1105.4104.5
Stanford103.8101.0101.8102.2
Washington St.101.0101.6101.8101.5
California97.798.199.198.3
Colorado98.596.797.797.6
Arizona94.194.194.094.1

Pac-12104.4104.0104.9104.4

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia130.6128.7132.2130.5
Tennessee115.2114.9115.3115.1
Kentucky112.1112.8113.3112.7
South Carolina109.5108.8108.9109.1
Florida105.9108.0106.3106.7
Missouri104.0104.1103.0103.7
Vanderbilt95.696.893.895.4

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama129.0127.7130.6129.1
Arkansas115.9113.9116.1115.3
Texas A&M113.4114.8114.8114.3
Mississippi St.115.2113.1113.5113.9
L S U113.0112.2112.2112.5
Ole Miss113.4111.4111.8112.2
Auburn112.1110.6110.9111.2

SEC113.2112.7113.1113.0

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia St.99.398.5102.6100.1
Appalachian St.96.298.199.097.8
Coastal Carolina92.894.295.094.0
Marshall91.492.892.192.1
James Madison87.289.192.189.5
Old Dominion89.489.489.589.4
Ga. Southern86.686.087.186.6

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana95.996.398.596.9
Troy90.790.992.091.2
South Alabama85.385.686.585.8
Southern Miss.85.185.685.285.3
UL-Monroe82.282.781.582.1
Texas St.80.481.381.481.0
Arkansas St.80.181.780.680.8

Sun Belt88.889.490.289.5

Conference Rankings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern113.0
2Big Ten112.1
3Big 12109.5
4Atlantic Coast106.6
5Pac-12104.4
6American Athletic98.4
7Independents93.2
8Mountain West91.3
9Sun Belt89.5
10Mid-American89.4
11Conference USA86.5

The Best TV Games This Week

Thursday, September 1
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
7:00 PMESPNPittsburghWest Virginia
8:00 PMFoxPurduePenn St.

Friday, September 2
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
7:00 PMESPNMichigan St.Western Michigan
8:00 PMFS1IndianaIllinois
10:00 PMESPNColoradoTCU

Saturday, September 3
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
12:00 PMABCMichiganColorado St.
12:00 PMESPNEast CarolinaNorth Carolina St.
12:00 PMESPNUAppalachian St.North Carolina
12:00 PMFS1IowaSouth Dakota St.
3:30 PMCBSSan Diego St.Arizona
3:30 PMESPNArkansasCincinnati
3:30 PMABCGeorgia (Atl.)Oregon
3:30 PMFoxOklahomaUTEP
7:00 PMESPNFloridaUtah
7:30 PMESPNUMississippi St.Memphis
7:30 PMABCOhio St.Notre Dame
7:30 PMSECNAlabamaUtah St.
10:30 PMESPNOregon St.Boise St.
10:30 PMFS1WashingtonKent St.

Sunday, September 4
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
7:30 PMABCLSU (New Orleans)Florida St.

Monday, September 5
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
8:00 PMESPNGeorgia TechClemson

August 15, 2022

Pac-12 Preview

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 3:00 am

With apologies to William Shakespeare, Alas poor Pac-12. I knew the league, football lovers. No, this conference hasn’t been dead for many years like Yorick in Hamlet, but the league isn’t far from having last rites administered if it cannot find a way to partly replace UCLA and USC when the two most important members leave for the Big Ten.

San Diego State and Fresno State might stop some of the leakage. There has been talk that the league might go after Houston and SMU to get some of the Dallas and Houston markets, but neither team commands huge numbers of the two largest cities in the Southwest.

What this league must worry about is that potentially eight of the remaining teams could try to leave this league.

2022 might produce some irony. In recent seasons, there has been too much parity to produce one undefeated team. In fact, there has never been an undefeated Pac-12 team in the regular season, not even in conference play only. The last time a team ran the table in the league and in the regular season, the league was the Pac-10, when Oregon played Auburn for the National Championship in 2010.

There is a team capable of ending that 12 year drought. Read on to see which team it is. The other big news is that the league has eliminated the two divisions.

Preseason PiRate Ratings For Pac-12 Conference

TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah116.4114.9118.3116.5
Oregon111.6111.3110.8111.2
U C L A108.5108.4110.1109.0
Oregon St.107.1106.5107.7107.1
U S C105.3106.1106.1105.8
Washington104.1104.9105.4104.8
Arizona St.104.0104.0105.3104.4
Stanford103.7100.9101.7102.1
Washington St.100.9101.5101.7101.4
California97.698.099.098.2
Colorado98.496.697.697.5
Arizona94.094.093.994.0
Pac-12104.3103.9104.8104.3

Pac-12 Official Preseason Media Poll

Votes
#Team1st PlaceOverall
1Utah26384
2Oregon2345
3USC5341
4UCLA0289
5Oregon St.0246
6Washington0212
7Washington St.0177
8Stanford0159
9California0154
10Arizona St.0123
11Arizona086
12Colorado058

The PiRate Ratings are designed to look at just the next week’s schedule of games and not to use to look forward. Nevertheless, here are the predicted won-loss records for the league.

Predicted Won-Loss Records

Pac-12ConfOverall
Utah9-013-0
Oregon8-110-3
UCLA7-210-2
USC6-38-4
Washington5-47-5
Oregon St.5-48-4
Washington St.4-56-6
Arizona St.4-56-6
Stanford3-64-8
California1-83-9
Arizona1-82-10
Colorado1-81-11
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