The Pi-Rate Ratings

August 23, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Football For August 28

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 3:00 am

Monday, August 23, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Ratings
Date:August 28, 2021
TeamTeamPiRateMeanBias
IllinoisNebraska-3.8-4.0-3.4
UCLAHawaii19.720.419.9
New Mexico St.UTEP-4.5-4.7-5.3
Fresno St.Connecticut20.221.126.5

FBS vs. FCS

FBSFCSPiRate
San Jose St.Southern Utah23.8

It’s called Week 0. Four FBS college football games will kick off the 2021 season. Included in the quartet of games is a Big Ten conference game with an old Big Ten coach returning to a new Big Ten school to face another coach that is sitting on a very hot seat.

On the West Coast, Chip Kelly’s UCLA Bruins host Hawaii, and a good showing with no injuries could set the Bruins up for a potential upset of LSU next week.

If you have followed our site so far this year, you have now seen the preseason ratings and predictions for all 130 FBS teams. Here are those ratings in full.

The PiRate Ratings for August 23

RankTeamRating
1Alabama130.2
2Oklahoma128.1
3Georgia125.2
4Iowa St.124.8
5Clemson122.2
6Ohio St.121.9
7U S C119.4
8Florida118.2
9Texas A&M118.1
10North Carolina117.7
11Miami (Fla.)116.9
12Cincinnati116.5
13Auburn116.1
14T C U116.0
15Wisconsin115.9
16Texas115.6
17Indiana115.5
18Ole Miss113.3
19Arizona St.113.1
20Oklahoma St.113.1
21Penn St.113.1
22Iowa112.8
23Oregon112.5
24West Virginia112.3
25L S U112.1
26Washington112.1
27Utah111.9
28U C L A110.5
29Notre Dame110.2
30Mississippi St.110.1
31Arkansas109.5
32BYU109.2
33Louisiana109.2
34Coastal Carolina108.4
35Wake Forest107.7
36Kentucky107.4
37Maryland107.2
38Oregon St.106.9
39Missouri106.4
40Minnesota106.1
41NC State106.1
42Northwestern105.8
43Colorado105.7
44Liberty105.5
45Virginia Tech105.3
46Boston College105.2
47Michigan104.9
48Baylor104.5
49Kansas St.104.4
50Tennessee104.0
51Boise St.103.9
52Purdue103.7
53Florida St.103.5
54Nebraska103.2
55Michigan St.103.0
56Stanford103.0
57UCF102.8
58Virginia102.7
59Washington St.102.5
60Louisville102.1
61Texas Tech101.9
62Appalachian St.101.0
63South Carolina100.8
64Houston100.7
65San Jose St.100.3
66Pittsburgh100.2
67San Diego St.100.2
68Tulsa100.1
69Army100.0
70Miami (Ohio)99.7
71Central Michigan99.7
72Tulane99.0
73Nevada98.8
74Wyoming98.5
75California98.4
76Georgia Tech98.2
77Buffalo98.0
78Ball St.97.4
79Toledo96.7
80Air Force96.5
81Georgia St.96.5
82Illinois96.4
83Fresno St.95.3
84East Carolina95.3
85U A B95.2
86SMU95.0
87Rutgers95.0
88Arizona94.6
89Hawaii94.6
90U T S A93.9
91Ohio93.5
92Marshall93.4
93Troy93.4
94Memphis93.2
95Syracuse92.9
96Kent St.91.7
97Georgia Southern91.6
98Eastern Michigan91.4
99South Alabama91.2
100Western Michigan91.0
101USF90.4
102Navy90.3
103Vanderbilt90.1
104Arkansas St.89.9
105Duke89.8
106Colorado St.89.0
107Texas St.87.8
108Florida Atlantic87.7
109Northern Illinois87.5
110Rice87.1
111Louisiana Tech86.5
112Utah St.85.8
113New Mexico85.7
114Kansas85.4
115U N L V84.9
116Southern Miss.84.4
117Middle Tennessee83.7
118Western Kentucky82.7
119North Texas81.7
120Temple81.6
121Akron79.8
122Charlotte79.5
123Florida Int’l.79.0
124Connecticut76.7
125U T E P76.0
126UL-Monroe75.6
127UMass73.1
128Old Dominion71.4
129Bowling Green70.8
130New Mexico St.69.7

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati116.3115.3118.0116.5
UCF102.5101.2104.8102.8
Houston101.199.5101.6100.7
Tulsa100.2100.399.7100.1
Tulane98.897.5100.699.0
East Carolina95.394.396.295.3
SMU94.395.495.495.0
Memphis92.492.894.393.2
USF91.089.790.690.4
Navy90.890.090.390.3
Temple80.682.481.981.6
AAC Averages96.796.297.696.8

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson120.9121.5124.0122.2
Wake Forest108.0106.7108.3107.7
NC State106.5105.8105.9106.1
Boston College104.7105.3105.7105.2
Florida St.103.4103.6103.5103.5
Louisville101.7101.4103.2102.1
Syracuse93.793.192.192.9
Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
North Carolina116.4116.7119.9117.7
Miami (Fla.)117.1116.1117.7116.9
Virginia Tech106.4104.9104.7105.3
Virginia102.1104.1101.8102.7
Pittsburgh99.8100.9100.1100.2
Georgia Tech98.098.398.398.2
Duke89.791.288.589.8
ACC Averages104.9105.0105.3105.0

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma129.3126.7128.2128.1
Iowa St.125.3123.5125.6124.8
T C U116.6115.1116.3116.0
Texas116.7114.5115.6115.6
Oklahoma St.113.5113.2112.5113.1
West Virginia113.8112.0111.1112.3
Baylor104.9104.8103.8104.5
Kansas St.104.9104.7103.5104.4
Texas Tech102.0102.8100.8101.9
Kansas88.185.682.585.4
Big 12 Averages111.5110.3110.0110.6

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.121.1121.3123.2121.9
Indiana114.9115.0116.4115.5
Penn St.111.7112.8114.6113.1
Maryland108.7106.9105.8107.2
Michigan104.3105.1105.3104.9
Michigan St.103.5103.0102.5103.0
Rutgers94.196.394.595.0
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Wisconsin115.2115.2117.3115.9
Iowa112.3111.6114.5112.8
Minnesota104.6106.1107.6106.1
Northwestern105.8105.8105.8105.8
Purdue103.6102.9104.5103.7
Nebraska102.8103.4103.3103.2
Illinois96.096.496.996.4
Big Ten Averages107.0107.3108.0107.5

Conference USA
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Marshall93.493.493.693.4
Florida Atlantic86.788.687.887.7
Middle Tennessee83.483.184.783.7
Western Kentucky81.783.682.882.7
Charlotte78.879.680.279.5
Florida Int’l.77.978.980.179.0
Old Dominion71.271.971.271.4
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U A B95.495.294.995.2
U T S A94.094.593.493.9
Rice87.087.187.387.1
Louisiana Tech86.987.485.286.5
Southern Miss.83.385.284.584.4
North Texas82.181.781.481.7
U T E P76.377.274.476.0
CUSA Averages84.184.884.484.4

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame108.8110.6111.2110.2
BYU109.2108.2110.3109.2
Liberty104.3105.6106.5105.5
Army100.099.8100.2100.0
Connecticut77.478.674.276.7
UMass74.874.070.573.1
New Mexico St.70.371.167.669.7
Indep. Averages92.192.691.592.1

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)101.999.298.199.7
Buffalo98.597.597.998.0
Ohio92.294.494.093.5
Kent St.91.393.490.591.7
Akron81.879.678.179.8
Bowling Green71.672.168.870.8
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Central Michigan100.599.199.599.7
Ball St.98.498.395.597.4
Toledo97.596.795.896.7
Eastern Michigan93.191.289.891.4
Western Michigan91.291.690.191.0
Northern Illinois89.387.086.187.5
MAC Averages92.391.790.491.4

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.103.9103.3104.3103.9
Wyoming97.798.499.598.5
Air Force96.496.396.996.5
Colorado St.88.888.889.389.0
Utah St.85.686.685.285.8
New Mexico85.886.285.285.7
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
San Jose St.100.8101.199.0100.3
San Diego St.100.699.9100.2100.2
Nevada98.499.798.498.8
Fresno St.93.795.796.795.3
Hawaii94.894.194.794.6
U N L V85.884.384.684.9
MWC Averages94.494.594.594.5

Pac-12 Conference
North Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oregon111.0112.4114.1112.5
Washington110.9112.4112.9112.1
Oregon St.106.7106.7107.3106.9
Stanford102.6103.9102.4103.0
Washington St.102.3103.2102.1102.5
California95.7100.599.098.4
South Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U S C118.8118.4120.9119.4
Arizona St.112.4113.5113.6113.1
Utah111.8112.1111.8111.9
U C L A110.5110.5110.6110.5
Colorado106.4105.8104.9105.7
Arizona95.294.594.094.6
Pac-12 Averages107.0107.8107.8107.5

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia124.8124.5126.3125.2
Florida117.0119.4118.1118.2
Kentucky106.7108.8106.8107.4
Missouri106.2106.9106.2106.4
Tennessee104.1103.1104.6104.0
South Carolina101.1101.0100.4100.8
Vanderbilt90.989.989.690.1
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama130.4128.8131.3130.2
Texas A&M117.4118.3118.6118.1
Auburn116.4115.2116.6116.1
Ole Miss113.3113.3113.2113.3
L S U111.0112.4112.8112.1
Mississippi St.110.2110.4109.7110.1
Arkansas110.1109.9108.5109.5
SEC Averages111.4111.6111.6111.5

Sunbelt Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Coastal Carolina109.2106.4109.6108.4
Appalachian St.100.5100.0102.5101.0
Georgia St.97.096.296.396.5
Troy93.193.493.793.4
Georgia Southern91.792.191.291.6
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana109.8107.6110.4109.2
South Alabama91.691.590.691.2
Arkansas St.89.891.088.889.9
Texas St.89.486.787.287.8
UL-Monroe76.476.573.975.6
Sun Averages94.894.194.494.5

Conference Ratings
1Southeastern111.5
2Big 12110.6
3Pac-12107.5
4Big Ten107.5
5Atlantic Coast105.0
6American Athletic96.8
7Sun Belt94.5
8Mountain West94.5
9Independents92.1
10Mid-American91.4
11Conference USA84.4

August 14, 2021

Mid-American Conference Preview

There wasn’t much MACtion in the Mid-American Conference in 2020.  Covid limited MAC play to a minimum number of games with two teams playing just three games, one other playing four times, one team playing eight games, and the rest playing five to seven times.

In the end, two teams emerged as the clear cut best in the league–Buffalo in the East and Ball State in the West.  Ball St. defeated the 5-0 Bulls in the MAC Championship Game, and then both teams won their bowl games, Buffalo over Marshall in the Camellia Bowl, and Ball St. over San Jose St. in the Arizona Bowl.

Buffalo faced a minor rebuild on the offensive end with four new starters needed to replace the best receiving corps in the league, but the Bulls were hit with a very late blow in the Spring.  Coach Lance Leipold had been a candidate for multiple Power 5 coaching gigs in December, but he came up short on all of them.  Then, after Kansas fired Les Miles, Leipold was offered and accepted the job in Lawrence.  Former Dallas Cowboys secondary coach and Michigan co-defensive coordinator Maurice “Mo” Linguist has developed a reputation for being an incredible recruiter, and he should bring some fine talent to The Queen City.

There’s an additional irony to the MAC East, as co-favorite Ohio U had a late head coaching change.  Legendary coach Frank Solich stepped down due to health concerns, and offensive coordinator Tim Albin takes over.  Albin has not been a head coach since 1999, but that Northwestern Oklahoma State team finished 13-0 and won the NAIA football championship.

Kent State and Miami of Ohio have the same head coaches they had last year.  Fans of Kent State are excited about Coach Sean Lewis’s up-tempo offense.  In their abbreviated season, The Golden Flashes averaged almost 50 points per game and more than 600 total yards per game.  Miami’s season ended after playing just three games, but the Redhawks penned the lone loss on the conference champs, topping Ball State by a touchdown. 

Akron and Bowling Green bring up the rear in the East.  Akron won the head-to-head matchup last year, but the two teams combined to go 1-10, both giving up more than 40 points per game.

The race in the MAC West should be one of the most competitive races of any FBS division.  A case could be made for five of the six teams to earn a piece of the first place this year, and only Northern Illinois figures not to challenge for supremacy.

Defending champs Ball State returns the bulk of its starting 22 players from last year, but the Cardinals won four of their five regular season games by seven points or less.  Rarely does a team repeat that feat from year to year.  Usually, if the team isn’t vastly better, they lose a couple of the types of games they won the year before.

Central Michigan and Toledo figure to be much improved in 2021.  Both schools return almost their entire starting lineups on both sides of the ball.  Keep an eye out for these very experienced and talented squads in September games against Power 5 opponents.  CMU plays Missouri, while Toledo takes on Notre Dame.  

Western Michigan and Eastern Michigan return a majority of their 2020 starters but with every player getting a free extra year, having 16 returning starters is almost below average.

Northern Illinois, once the best Group of 5 program in America, has fallen on hard times.  The Huskies went 0-6 last year and figure to be underdogs in almost every game against FBS competition this year.

Here is how the MAC media voted in the preseason poll:

2021 MAC Football Preseason Poll

(First Place Votes in Parentheses)

East Division

1. Kent State (11) – 112 points

2. Ohio (2) – 96 points

3. Miami (5) – 94 points

4. Buffalo (4) – 93 points

5. Akron – 39 points

6. Bowling Green – 28 points

West Division

1. Ball State (11) – 114 points

2. Toledo (7) – 104 points

3. Western Michigan (4) – 103 points

4. Central Michigan – 68 points

5. Eastern Michigan – 44 points

6. Northern Illinois – 29 points

MAC Football Championship Game Winner: Ball State (7), Toledo (5), Kent State (4), Western Michigan (3), Buffalo (2), Miami (1)

The preseason PiRate Ratings differ somewhat.

Mid-American Conference
East Division

TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)101.999.298.199.7
Buffalo98.597.597.998.0
Ohio92.294.494.093.5
Kent St.91.393.490.591.7
Akron81.879.678.179.8
Bowling Green71.672.168.870.8

West Division

Team
PiRateMeanBiasAverage
Central Michigan100.599.199.599.7
Ball St.98.498.395.597.4
Toledo97.596.795.896.7
Eastern Michigan93.191.289.891.4
Western Michigan91.291.690.191.0
Northern Illinois89.387.086.187.5

MAC Averages92.391.790.491.4

The PiRate Ratings are not designed to pick seasonal won-loss records, but we use them any way to make predictions just for fun.

MAC EastConf.Overall
Miami (Ohio)6-28-5*
Buffalo5-37-5
Ohio5-37-5
Kent St.4-45-7
Akron1-72-10
Bowling Green0-81-11

MAC WestConf.Overall
Central Michigan6-28-5
Toledo6-29-3
Ball St.6-28-4
Eastern Michigan5-38-4
Western Michigan2-63-9
Northern Illinois2-63-9
* Miami (Ohio) picked to win MAC Championship Game

August 11, 2021

It’s Football Time!

The PiRate Ship arrived at the port today. Our College PiRate Ratings, The PiRate, Mean, and Bias Ratings to be exact, are ready to go public. As we expected, the top teams in the nation are more experienced as a whole than they were last year, but a large majority of FBS teams are more experienced. In fact, as we hinted earlier this Summer, the total amount of college football experience and average age is at its highest since the late 1940s, when the G.I. Bill allowed former collegians to return from the War and resume their lives where it was before the War.

Because the weakest teams will be better than they have been in normal years, and because our ratings must average 100.0, since 100 is par, that means that the preseason top 10 will have lower then normal power ratings to begin the 2021 season.

As we do every year, we will begin Friday reviewing one conference per day until Monday, February 23. We will start with the weakest conference by average PiRate Ratings, ending with the strongest conference on the 23rd. Here’s the schedule:

Friday, August 13: Conference USA

Saturday, August 14: Mid-American Conference

Sunday, August 15: The FBS Independents

Monday, August 16: Mountain West Conference

Tuesday, August 17: Sun Belt Conference

Wednesday, August 18: American Athletic Conference

Thursday, August 19: Atlantic Coast Conference

Friday, August 20: Big Ten Conference

Saturday, August 21: Pac-12 Conference

Sunday, August 22: Big 12 Conference

Monday, August 23: Southeastern Conference

Later on Monday, August 23, we will post our opening college spreads for Week 0.

June 15, 2021

2021 College Football Season Historically Before It Happens

Hello out there in Pigskinville, especially all of our super fans of the Southeastern Conference. The PiRates have left the harbor in our vessel for 2021, hoping it will get us out into the shipping lanes for the 2021-2022 football season.

Needless to say, this has been the most difficult Spring for updating college football ratings in the 52 years that the ratings have existed. To be more exact, the PiRate Ratings have been utilizing the same formulas with off-season updates since 1996, as pre-Internet, our system was quite a bit more spartan in calculations. Since 1996, off-season updating has been a mechanical process that involved about 8 weeks of working an average of 20 hours per week in the early mornings and evenings, or roughy 160 hours to update 130 teams.

That dastardly little virus totally fouled up the process last year. At first, just a few dozen teams committed to playing a season. Then, it jumped to 76 then 90-something, and finally 127 of the 130 teams played football, even if they only played five games. Then, in the Spring the FCS played a season, but FBS Independent New Mexico State played two FCS games, getting blown out by Tarleton State and barely edging a fledgling program in Dixie State.

The question became, “How do we update teams that played between 0 and 12 games, including three teams that did not play, one of which played two FCS Spring games and trailed one of those teams 40-7 less than a minute into the second half?

Just coming up with an alternate one-year re-calculation that could be applied to our mechanical updating system took most of the Month of April, and applying the one-year substitute formulas in a process that maintained a level statistical playing field gobbled up all of May through Memorial Day weekend.

Alas, by June 5, we had the process finalized. However, acquiring the stats from all 130 FBS schools took another 10 days, with the acquisition of team #130, U Mass, coming this morning.

Now, the hard work begins today in earnest. At two teams per weekday, one in the early morning and one in the evening and four teams per weekend day, it will take a little over 7 weeks to finalize the preseason ratings for the 2021 college football season. Thus, we expect to be ready by August 10 and should begin our previews around Saturday, August 14 through 24. The season kicks off Saturday, August 28, with what is being called, “Week 0.”

The 2021 season is going to be somewhat like the 1946-1949 seasons. World War II led to many war veterans playing college football well into their 20’s. Oklahoma’s 1949 had more war veterans over the age of a normal college senior than they had correct age underclassmen. The Sooners won 31 games in a row during this era, and multiple players commented that playing football was much easier than fighting a war. That 1949 Sooner team could have had a speedy back from Commerce, OK, on the roster, but Mickey Mantle chose to play baseball after visiting Norman on a recruiting trip and discovering that there were men in the locker room, meaning he would see little action until they finally graduated about the time their children were entering grade school.

Because the NCAA granted an extra year for all college football players, the teams will be considerably more mature, both physically and mentally. Add into this equation the rule that has allowed all players a free transfer, and all of a sudden, the transfer list is more important than the freshmen recruiting list and maybe more important than the two year old recruiting list, or players ready to contribute. A relatively new stat that sort of mimics what we have been doing for several years is the returning production ratings made by Billy Connelly, now at ESPN. We don’t know how Billy plans to adjust his ratings, but the PiRates are giving considerable weight to transfers that expect to see extensive playing time. For instance, in less than 48 hours, Georgia picked up two transfers that figure to be major contributors. They previously had two other top-rated transfers. These four players make Georgia almost a full touchdown better than they would be using just returning production. Now, toss into this equation that a couple of point-changing transfers are still undecided on a 2021 team, and the possibility probability that some player or players will make an eleventh hour decision to transfer just before August practices commence, and we will be updating the updated ratings all summer. Our ratings are based on 100.0 being par. With 130 teams playing, the total for each of our three different ratings adds to 13,000. If a team is adjusted, then 129 other teams must adjust by a minute amount. By August, usually 15-20 teams have to be adjusted due to players leaving or entering programs at the last minute. That leads not to 15-20 updates but 15-20 updates of 130 teams.

We hope that our ratings continue to be as accurate as possible. In the past five years, our ratings have remained in the top 10% of all computer football ratings at the Prediction Tracker. Almost every year since we have been part of the Prediction Tracker, our ratings have finished in the top 5 against the Spread and for the all-important Mean Square Error, which basically calculates how close our spreads came to the actual margins. However, we suspect that the opening month of the college football season this year is going to be much more unpredictable than past seasons. We expect many of the computer ratings to begin the season behind the eight ball as the incredible amount of variables affect the game. Hopefully, our unique way of updating our ratings, with the extra attention to the transfer market along with the overall experience of teams that will have multiple six-year personnel, will allow us to get off to a fast start.

Through the years, we have given you our best advice toward football wagering–just don’t do it! At least, we ask that you do not use the PiRate Ratings as your source for gambling your mortgage payment away to corporations that build castles to the clouds in Nevada. We expect the underdogs to cover the spread more than typical in the first two weeks of the college season, unless the books lower lines and find enough people to wrongly choose the favorite. If you have the ability to wager early before the season commences and then play the other side in games where the lines appreciably move, you might be able to find some hot middles to play. Unless you know in advance which lines are likely to move by more than three points, it isn’t going to help you. But, if you have State U at -6 1/2 against Tech and wager on State U on August 12, and then on game week three weeks later, the line has moved to 9 1/2, and you can put the same wager amount on Tech, if you can find three or more of these games, this might be the year to play middles on the opening weekend. Still, we ask you to use some other means as your research if you must donate to Nevada corporations.

There is a group in the Caribbean that uses our ratings as a major part of their gaming selections. However, they have a large computer program that analyzes the spreads and our ratings, knowing when to play a minimal number of games that their program says to wager. They hit over 60% success against the spread, but their method is not possible to utilize unless you can immediately wager on certain line movements at an offshore book. There is also the issue of not just winning from an offshore book; you have to be able to collect from them as well, and some of them are hesitant to allow this.

We look forward to providing you with weekly entertainment. Expect the first conference ratings, preview, and predictions to publish around August 14. Thank you for your support.

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November 8, 2020

PiRate Ratings–College Football For November 10-14, 2020

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 9:15 am

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorsPiRateMeanBias
OhioAkron26.524.829.4
Bowling GreenKent St.-16.7-14.5-20.0
BuffaloMiami (O)3.85.95.3
Ball St.Eastern Mich.10.87.910.6
Western Mich.Toledo3.24.14.8
Northern Ill.Central Mich.-9.3-7.4-9.6
Boise St.Colorado St.16.615.416.2
MinnesotaIowa-2.5-1.7-2.4
Florida Intl.Fla. Atlantic6.75.16.0
CincinnatiE. Carolina28.328.029.7
UCLAUtah-5.8-6.8-8.6
Boston CollegeNotre Dame-18.4-17.8-18.0
Virginia TechMiami (Fla.)0.1-1.60.8
Washington St.Oregon-12.3-11.9-11.2
ArizonaUSC-13.3-12.4-13.4
Arizona St.California2.41.72.1
WashingtonOregon St.9.68.311.5
NebraskaPenn St.-7.1-6.6-6.3
Utah St.Fresno St.-5.4-6.6-6.2
UABNorth Texas20.720.620.2
Texas TechBaylor-7.4-8.4-7.1
West Va.TCU0.12.00.2
RutgersIllinois2.21.70.4
PurdueNorthwestern0.30.9-1.1
MissouriGeorgia-15.0-14.1-14.5
Michigan St.Indiana-13.2-14.2-15.3
TroyCoastal Carolina-10.5-9.910.8
N. CarolinaWake Forest12.412.013.0
KentuckyVanderbilt23.424.125.7
TulaneArmy8.06.27.1
MarshallMiddle Tenn.23.323.322.6
LouisianaS. Alabama18.816.917.7
Appalachian St.Georgia St.15.915.216.6
Arkansas St.UL-Monroe17.017.718.2
UTSAUTEP9.77.99.8
HoustonS. Florida14.414.314.9
MarylandOhio St.-35.3-34.3-38.3
TennesseeTexas A&M-11.7-12.2-12.1
Louisiana TechRice-1.71.2-1.0
NavyMemphis-10.3-10.5-10.6
Georgia SouthernTexas St.13.914.415.8
StanfordColorado7.84.18.8
VirginiaLouisville-2.8-2.3-1.6
Mississippi St.Auburn-11.9-11.3-11.5
San Diego St.Hawaii7.18.48.7
LSUAlabama-12.5-14.5-13.2
Western Ky.Southern Miss.9.710.010.7
New MexicoNevada-8.5-8.7-10.6
FloridaArkansas21.820.523.2
TulsaSMU2.91.61.8
Georgia TechPittsburgh-7.0-8.7-7.8
MichiganWisconsin-13.5-11.8-12.8
NC St.Florida St.3.35.04.3
Ole MissS. Carolina2.53.23.0
UCFTemple24.024.326.1
WyomingAir Force-1.7-1.1-0.6
San Jose St.UNLV16.016.917.0

FBS vs. FCS
FBSFCSPiRate
LibertyWestern Carolina31.1
CharlotteGardner-Webb27.3

Games with Strike-through lines have been cancelled due to Covid. As of Friday at 4:00 PM EST, 15 of 61 scheduled FBS games have been postponed or cancelled (24.5%).

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

#TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg.Conference
1Ohio St.132.0130.9134.4132.4BTen-E
2Alabama130.5131.6132.8131.6SEC-W
3Clemson126.2126.8128.2127.1ACC
4Wisconsin125.0122.7126.0124.6BTen-W
5Florida123.3122.8124.3123.5SEC-E
6Notre Dame123.3122.9123.4123.2ACC
7Georgia121.7120.7122.4121.6SEC-E
8Texas A&M119.6119.6119.9119.7SEC-W
9Oregon119.9118.3119.8119.3P12-N
10Oklahoma119.1118.6119.4119.1B12
11Cincinnati118.5117.9118.6118.3AAC
12Auburn116.9115.6116.9116.5SEC-W
13L S U116.0115.1117.6116.2SEC-W
14Penn St.116.0114.7116.4115.7BTen-E
15N. Carolina115.2115.6116.3115.7ACC
16BYU115.1114.9115.6115.2Ind.
17Oklahoma St.115.2114.3114.8114.8B12
18U S C115.9113.3114.9114.7P12-S
19Indiana113.1113.7115.6114.1BTen-E
20Texas114.1112.9114.0113.7B12
21Iowa112.9112.6114.5113.3BTen-W
22UCF112.9113.0113.6113.2AAC
23Kentucky112.0112.0113.2112.4SEC-E
24Iowa St.111.0110.2111.2110.8B12
25Michigan110.0109.4111.6110.4BTen-E
26Miami (Fla.)109.2111.3109.7110.1ACC
27Washington109.9108.6110.6109.7P12-N
28Minnesota108.9109.4110.5109.6BTen-W
29Utah109.0108.6109.7109.1P12-S
30Northwestern107.6107.8110.3108.6BTen-W
31Louisville108.3108.2107.6108.0ACC
32Arizona St.108.1107.6108.1107.9P12-S
33Virginia Tech107.3107.8108.5107.8ACC
34Kansas St.107.9107.1108.2107.7B12
35California107.2107.4107.5107.4P12-N
36Ole Miss107.6106.5107.5107.2SEC-W
37Purdue106.5107.2107.8107.2BTen-W
38Nebraska106.8106.1108.1107.0BTen-W
39T C U107.3105.2107.4106.7B12
40Baylor106.7106.3106.4106.5B12
41S. Carolina107.0105.3106.5106.3SEC-E
42Tennessee106.4105.9106.3106.2SEC-E
43Boise St.106.3106.2106.0106.2MWC-M
44Washington St.106.0104.9107.1106.0P12-N
45W. Virginia105.4105.3105.6105.4B12
46Memphis106.1104.9104.6105.2AAC
47Missouri104.7104.6105.9105.1SEC-E
48Coastal Car.103.8104.5104.5104.3SUN-E
49Virginia104.0104.3104.4104.3ACC
50Wake Forest103.8104.5104.3104.2ACC
51Arkansas103.5104.3103.1103.6SEC-W
52Stanford104.6102.1103.7103.5P12-N
53Miss. St.103.5102.8103.9103.4SEC-W
54Boston Coll.102.9103.1103.4103.1ACC
55Pittsburgh102.5103.5102.4102.8ACC
56Appal. St.102.8102.1103.3102.7SUN-E
57Tulsa103.6101.9101.9102.4AAC
58SMU102.6102.3102.0102.3AAC
59Marshall102.4102.6101.8102.2CUSA-E
60Louisiana102.3101.6101.4101.8SUN-W
61Oregon St.101.8101.9100.6101.4P12-N
62U C L A101.7100.399.6100.5P12-S
63Houston101.499.9100.1100.5AAC
64NC State100.1100.6100.6100.4ACC
65Arizona101.199.4100.1100.2P12-S
66Tulane100.4100.399.7100.1AAC
67Air Force99.8100.499.599.9MWC-M
68Liberty98.2100.799.499.4Ind.
69Illinois99.298.5100.099.2BTen-W
70Rutgers99.998.798.999.2BTen-E
71San Diego St.98.599.799.199.1MWC-W
72Michigan St.98.498.098.898.4BTen-E
73Florida St.98.797.798.398.2ACC
74Colorado98.399.596.498.0P12-S
75Buffalo97.298.098.397.8MAC-E
76Duke97.897.997.197.6ACC
77Texas Tech97.896.497.897.3B12
78Wyoming96.797.997.497.3MWC-M
79San Jose St.95.997.896.096.6MWC-W
80U A B96.096.595.496.0CUSA-W
81Ohio94.394.995.795.0MAC-E
82Maryland95.295.194.695.0BTen-E
83Army93.995.694.094.5Ind.
84Nevada93.794.694.794.4MWC-W
85Miami (O)94.993.694.594.3MAC-E
86Hawaii94.494.393.494.0MWC-W
87Fresno St.93.694.393.493.8MWC-W
88Georgia Sou.93.294.193.893.7SUN-E
89Western Mich.92.494.693.693.5MAC-W
90Central Mich.93.593.293.993.5MAC-W
91Georgia Tech94.093.393.193.5ACC
92Navy94.392.992.493.2AAC
93Troy92.393.692.792.9SUN-E
94Ball St.92.491.592.592.2MAC-W
95Colorado St.91.292.291.491.6MWC-M
96Florida Int’l.91.391.091.391.2CUSA-E
97E. Carolina91.791.490.391.1AAC
98Toledo90.792.090.291.0MAC-W
99Syracuse89.991.490.590.6ACC
100Temple90.990.789.590.4AAC
101Kent St.89.989.389.389.5MAC-E
102Vanderbilt90.189.388.989.5SEC-E
103W. Kentucky89.189.688.889.2CUSA-E
104Georgia St.88.988.988.788.8SUN-E
105Arkansas St.88.288.988.088.4SUN-W
106Rice88.986.888.288.0CUSA-W
107USF88.587.186.787.4AAC
108La. Tech86.187.086.286.5CUSA-W
109Fla. Atlantic85.686.986.386.2CUSA-E
110Utah St.86.786.285.886.2MWC-M
111S. Alabama85.086.285.285.5SUN-W
112Charlotte85.385.585.285.4CUSA-E
113New Mexico83.784.582.683.6MWC-M
114Eastern Mich.82.684.683.083.4MAC-W
115N. Illinois82.684.282.883.2MAC-W
116U N L V81.482.580.681.5MWC-W
117Middle Tenn.81.181.381.181.2CUSA-E
118Southern Miss.80.981.179.680.5CUSA-W
119Texas St.80.881.279.580.5SUN-W
120U T S A79.279.679.279.3CUSA-W
121Kansas79.679.078.178.9B12
122North Texas76.877.376.676.9CUSA-W
123UL-Monroe72.672.771.472.2SUN-W
124Bowling Green72.273.868.471.4MAC-E
125U T E P70.472.770.571.2CUSA-W
126Akron68.871.167.369.1MAC-E
127Mass.62.068.359.863.4Ind.

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference

TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgAACOverall
Cincinnati118.5117.9118.6118.34-06-0
UCF112.9113.0113.6113.23-24-2
Memphis106.1104.9104.6105.23-24-2
Tulsa103.6101.9101.9102.43-03-1
SMU102.6102.3102.0102.34-17-1
Houston101.499.9100.1100.52-22-3
Tulane100.4100.399.7100.12-44-4
Navy94.392.992.493.23-23-4
E. Carolina91.791.490.391.11-31-5
Temple90.990.789.590.41-41-4
USF88.587.186.787.40-51-6
AAC Avg.101.0100.299.9100.4

Atlantic Coast Conference

TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgACCOverall
Clemson126.2126.8128.2127.16-17-1
Notre Dame123.3122.9123.4123.26-07-0
N. Carolina115.2115.6116.3115.75-25-2
Miami (Fla.)109.2111.3109.7110.15-16-1
Louisville108.3108.2107.6108.01-52-5
Virginia Tech107.3107.8108.5107.84-24-3
Virginia104.0104.3104.4104.32-42-4
Wake Forest103.8104.5104.3104.23-24-2
Boston Coll.102.9103.1103.4103.14-35-3
Pittsburgh102.5103.5102.4102.83-44-4
NC State100.1100.6100.6100.44-34-3
Florida St.98.797.798.398.21-52-5
Duke97.897.997.197.61-62-6
Georgia Tech94.093.393.193.52-42-5
Syracuse89.991.490.590.61-61-7
ACC Avg.105.6105.9105.8105.8

Big 12 Conference

TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgB12Overall
Oklahoma119.1118.6119.4119.14-25-2
Oklahoma St.115.2114.3114.8114.84-15-1
Texas114.1112.9114.0113.74-25-2
Iowa St.111.0110.2111.2110.85-15-2
Kansas St.107.9107.1108.2107.74-24-3
T C U107.3105.2107.4106.73-33-3
Baylor106.7106.3106.4106.51-41-4
W. Virginia105.4105.3105.6105.43-34-3
Texas Tech97.896.497.897.31-52-5
Kansas79.679.078.178.90-60-7
Big 12 Avg.106.4105.5106.3106.1

Big Ten Conference

East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgBTenOverall
Ohio St.132.0130.9134.4132.43-03-0
Penn St.116.0114.7116.4115.70-30-3
Indiana113.1113.7115.6114.13-03-0
Michigan110.0109.4111.6110.41-21-2
Rutgers99.998.798.999.21-21-2
Michigan St.98.498.098.898.41-21-2
Maryland95.295.194.695.02-12-1

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgBTenOverall
Wisconsin125.0122.7126.0124.61-01-0
Iowa112.9112.6114.5113.31-21-2
Minnesota108.9109.4110.5109.61-21-2
Northwestern107.6107.8110.3108.63-03-0
Purdue106.5107.2107.8107.22-02-0
Nebraska106.8106.1108.1107.00-20-2
Illinois99.298.5100.099.20-30-3
Big Ten Avg.109.4108.9110.5109.6

Conference USA

East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgCUSAOverall
Marshall102.4102.6101.8102.23-06-0
Florida Int’l.91.391.091.391.20-10-3
W. Kentucky89.189.688.889.21-32-6
Fla. Atlantic85.686.986.386.23-13-1
Charlotte85.385.585.285.42-12-3
Middle Tenn.81.181.381.181.22-32-5

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgCUSAOverall
U A B96.096.595.496.02-14-3
Rice88.986.888.288.01-11-1
La. Tech86.187.086.286.53-24-3
Southern Miss.80.981.179.680.51-22-5
U T S A79.279.679.279.32-24-4
North Texas76.877.376.676.91-22-3
U T E P70.472.770.571.20-23-3
CUSA Avg.85.686.085.485.7

FBS Independents

TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgConf.Overall
BYU115.1114.9115.6115.2x8-0
Liberty98.2100.799.499.4x7-0
Army93.995.694.094.5x5-1
Mass.62.068.359.863.4x0-2
Ind. Avg.92.394.992.293.1

Mid-American Conference

East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgConf.Overall
Buffalo97.298.098.397.81-01-0
Ohio94.394.995.795.00-10-1
Miami (O)94.993.694.594.31-01-0
Kent St.89.989.389.389.51-01-0
Bowling Green72.273.868.471.40-10-1
Akron68.871.167.369.10-10-1

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgConf.Overall
Western Mich.92.494.693.693.51-01-0
Central Mich.93.593.293.993.51-01-0
Ball St.92.491.592.592.20-10-1
Toledo90.792.090.291.01-01-0
Eastern Mich.82.684.683.083.40-10-1
N. Illinois82.684.282.883.20-10-1
MAC Avg.87.688.487.587.8

Mountain West Conference

Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgConf.Overall
Boise St.106.3106.2106.0106.22-02-1
Air Force99.8100.499.599.90-21-2
Wyoming96.797.997.497.31-21-2
Colorado St.91.292.291.491.61-11-1
Utah St.86.786.285.886.20-30-3
New Mexico83.784.582.683.60-20-2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgConf.Overall
San Diego St.98.599.799.199.12-12-1
San Jose St.95.997.896.096.63-03-0
Nevada93.794.694.794.43-03-0
Hawaii94.494.393.494.02-12-1
Fresno St.93.694.393.493.82-12-1
U N L V81.482.580.681.50-30-3
MWC Avg.93.594.293.393.7

Pac-12 Conference

North Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgConf.Overall
Oregon119.9118.3119.8119.31-01-0
Washington109.9108.6110.6109.70-00-0
California107.2107.4107.5107.40-00-0
Washington St.106.0104.9107.1106.01-01-0
Stanford104.6102.1103.7103.50-10-1
Oregon St.101.8101.9100.6101.40-10-1

South Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgConf.Overall
U S C115.9113.3114.9114.71-01-0
Utah109.0108.6109.7109.10-00-0
Arizona St.108.1107.6108.1107.90-10-1
U C L A101.7100.399.6100.50-10-1
Arizona101.199.4100.1100.20-00-0
Colorado98.399.596.498.01-01-0
P12 Avg.107.0106.0106.5106.5

Southeastern Conference

East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgSECOverall
Florida123.3122.8124.3123.54-14-1
Georgia121.7120.7122.4121.64-24-2
Kentucky112.0112.0113.2112.42-42-4
S. Carolina107.0105.3106.5106.32-42-4
Tennessee106.4105.9106.3106.22-42-4
Missouri104.7104.6105.9105.12-32-3
Vanderbilt90.189.388.989.50-50-5

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgSECOverall
Alabama130.5131.6132.8131.66-06-0
Texas A&M119.6119.6119.9119.75-15-1
Auburn116.9115.6116.9116.54-24-2
L S U116.0115.1117.6116.22-32-3
Ole Miss107.6106.5107.5107.22-42-4
Arkansas103.5104.3103.1103.63-33-3
Miss. St.103.5102.8103.9103.42-42-4
SEC Avg.111.6111.1112.1111.6

Sunbelt Conference

East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgSBCOverall
Coastal Car.103.8104.5104.5104.35-07-0
Appal. St.102.8102.1103.3102.73-05-1
Georgia Sou.93.294.193.893.73-25-2
Troy92.393.692.792.92-24-3
Georgia St.88.988.988.788.82-33-3

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgSBCOverall
Louisiana102.3101.6101.4101.84-16-1
Arkansas St.88.288.988.088.41-43-5
S. Alabama85.086.285.285.52-23-4
Texas St.80.881.279.580.51-41-8
UL-Monroe72.672.771.472.20-50-8
Sun Avg.91.091.490.891.1

#LeagueAvg
1SEC111.6
2BTen109.6
3P12106.5
4B12106.1
5ACC105.8
6AAC100.4
7MWC93.7
8Ind.93.1
9Sun91.1
10MAC87.8
11CUSA85.7

PiRate Ratings Guess For Playoffs If Season Ended Today

1. Alabama

2. Notre Dame

3. Ohio St.

4. Clemson

September 27, 2020

College PiRate Ratings DELAYED

The Reinstatement of the Pac-12, Mountain West, and Mid-American Conferences, as well as Independent UMass, has caused a somewhat lengthy delay in our college football ratings update for this coming week.

Because the PiRate Ratings use an algorithm with a cumulative par rating of 100.0 for the PiRate, Mean, and Bias ratings, we cannot simply place the original August ratings for the teams that decided in the last week to play football. Doing so would throw the cumulative par well below 100.0.

We cannot simply add the necessary amount needed per team to raise the par values to 100.0 for multiple reasons. First, the amount needed to be added to each of the three ratings would be totally different. Why would a team all of a sudden become .2 points better in the Mean, but .4 points better in the Bias? Actually, some teams might gain points in one rating and lose points in another. That would not be just or accurate.

Second, why would you reward a team with points that is obviously struggling at the present time, while at the same time punish a team that hasn’t played yet by keeping their rating where it was when everybody was 0-0?

When the Big Ten returned, we had to raise some ratings and lower others to keep the overall par at 100.0 for our three different algorithms, and to be quite frank, we had to use some one-time extracurricular data to come to a conclusion.

The need to reincorporate the teams is vital thanks to the Navy-Air Force game this weekend. The Mountain West is looking to return at the end of October, but the Air Force Academy is scheduled to play Navy this Saturday as part of the Commander-in-Chief Trophy series. We cannot issue power ratings for Air Force until we have done the work to reincorporate all the teams that will return to play in 2020.

As of this writing, the Pac-12, Mountain West, and Mid-American Conferences are on board with a late October or early November re-start. UMass plans to attempt to find some teams to play and hopefully get in six games. Old Dominion, New Mexico State, and Connecticut still plan to take off this season, but New Mexico State hopes to play a half-dozen games in the Spring against FCS, Division II, and possibly Connecticut with a remote possibility that they could play UMass.

As an aside to this, keep an eye on New Mexico State basketball coach Chris Jans. The Aggies are not completely sure their basketball team will be able to play in 2020-2021. If the Aggies cancel their basketball season, expect multiple Power Conference schools to move Jans up high on their lists of potential head coaches if they have a vacancy. If you follow our college basketball coverage, you know that we rate coaches by their ability to improve their teams’ offensive efficiency, while weakening their opponents’ offensive efficiencies. In the Winter of 2020, our analysis rated Jans as number one overall among Mid-Major and Low-Major coaches in his ability to improve the talent on his roster above the norm. In 2019, we named Eric Musselman, then of Nevada, as number one and predicted that a Power Conference school would hire him and not regret it. Arkansas was that fortunate school to hire Muss, and Muss has the Razorbacks moving forward toward a top 20 program quickly. It is our opinion that Jans has the competency to do for a Power Conference school what Musselman has done for Arkansas. If NMSU does not play basketball this season, we believe Jans will take another job for 2021-2022.

September 13, 2020

PiRate Ratings–College Football September 13, 2020

This Week’s PiRate, Mean, and Bias Spreads

Week 3Sep. 18-19
HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Oklahoma St.Tulsa16.918.119.6
Georgia St.Louisiana-16.9-16.7-17.0
PittsburghSyracuse11.911.711.5
Western Ky.Liberty11.29.411.4
TulaneNavy-1.60.6-0.5
DukeBoston College3.03.92.4
BaylorHouston4.35.96.0
MarshallAppalachian St.-2.0-1.4-4.3
Notre DameUSF24.324.626.1
North CarolinaCharlotte26.526.627.5
Georgia TechUCF-7.1-8.2-9.4
Ga. SouthernFla. Atlantic12.912.214.1
Middle Tenn.Troy-1.5-2.5-1.7
North TexasSMU-21.5-19.8-20.1
UL-MonroeTexas St.4.54.14.6
LouisvilleMiami (Fla.)11.29.110.0
Southern Miss.La. Tech3.42.50.9
NC St.Wake Forest-3.3-4.2-3.3

This Week’s FBS vs. FCS Games

FBSFCSPiRate
Coastal CarolinaCampbell22.3
CincinnatiAustin Peay27.4
UTSAS F Austin12.0
ClemsonCitadel47.5
Arkansas St.Cent. Arkansas11.8
UTEPAbilene Chr.-0.7

This Week’s PiRate, Mean, and Bias Ratings

#TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg.Conference
1Clemson123.7124.7127.6125.4ACC
2L S U123.2122.5125.8123.8SEC-W
3Alabama121.4122.3123.3122.3SEC-W
4Georgia121.1119.4121.9120.8SEC-E
5Florida119.7119.3120.8119.9SEC-E
6Auburn118.0116.6117.9117.5SEC-W
7Oklahoma117.1117.1117.3117.2B12
8Notre Dame117.2116.2117.2116.9ACC
9Texas116.3115.1116.4115.9B12
10Texas A&M115.7115.8115.9115.8SEC-W
11Oklahoma St.113.4112.8113.6113.3B12
12N. Carolina111.9112.4113.3112.5ACC
13Kentucky110.3110.5111.5110.8SEC-E
14Louisville110.7111.3109.7110.5ACC
15Virginia Tech109.2109.2111.3109.9ACC
16UCF109.2109.6110.5109.8AAC
17Tennessee109.1109.0109.6109.2SEC-E
18Cincinnati109.5108.3109.4109.1AAC
19S. Carolina109.3107.0108.7108.3SEC-E
20Memphis109.0107.7108.2108.3AAC
21Baylor108.0108.1108.2108.1B12
22Iowa St.107.9107.1107.5107.5B12
23Miss. St.106.7106.1108.4107.1SEC-W
24Virginia106.6106.1106.3106.4ACC
25BYU106.7105.2106.3106.1Ind.
26Louisiana106.2105.7106.2106.0SUN-W
27Florida St.105.5103.9105.4104.9ACC
28Pittsburgh103.9105.7104.1104.6ACC
29T C U105.0102.8105.1104.3B12
30Kansas St.104.2103.0104.1103.8B12
31Houston104.7103.2103.2103.7AAC
32Ole Miss104.1102.5103.8103.4SEC-W
33Appal. St.102.8101.9103.9102.9SUN-E
34Miami (Fla.)101.5104.1101.7102.4ACC
35W. Virginia101.4101.5101.5101.5B12
36Duke100.6101.3100.0100.6ACC
37SMU100.6100.199.6100.1AAC
38Georgia Tech100.699.999.6100.0ACC
39Missouri99.199.2100.399.5SEC-E
40Boston Coll.99.699.399.699.5ACC
41Wake Forest98.399.498.398.7ACC
42Marshall98.998.597.698.3CUSA
43Texas Tech97.296.097.496.9B12
44Navy98.196.196.096.7AAC
45W. Kentucky95.997.096.796.5CUSA
46Temple96.497.095.396.2AAC
47Tulsa97.695.795.196.1AAC
48Arkansas St.95.796.995.696.1SUN-W
49Florida Int’l.95.495.295.895.5CUSA
50Syracuse94.096.094.694.9ACC
51Arkansas94.795.892.494.3SEC-W
52Tulane94.594.793.694.3AAC
53Army93.295.393.293.9Ind.
54USF95.093.793.193.9AAC
55NC State93.593.793.693.6ACC
56Georgia Sou.92.793.794.093.5SUN-E
57U A B92.693.492.192.7CUSA
58Vanderbilt93.392.791.892.6SEC-E
59Coastal Car.91.892.492.292.1SUN-E
60E. Carolina92.192.690.991.9AAC
61Southern Miss.88.589.087.288.2CUSA
62Troy87.089.087.387.8SUN-E
63Georgia St.87.887.587.787.7SUN-E
64La. Tech86.588.087.787.4CUSA
65Liberty86.289.186.887.4Ind.
66Charlotte86.486.786.886.7CUSA
67Kansas86.386.585.086.0B12
68S. Alabama85.186.484.885.4SUN-W
69Rice86.284.285.685.3CUSA
70Middle Tenn.84.185.084.184.4CUSA
71Fla. Atlantic81.383.081.481.9CUSA
72UL-Monroe82.082.280.481.5SUN-W
73North Texas78.179.378.578.7CUSA
74Texas St.79.079.677.378.6SUN-W
75U T S A77.177.076.576.9CUSA
76U T E P63.466.063.064.1CUSA

By Conference

American Athletic Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
UCF109.2109.6110.5109.8
Cincinnati109.5108.3109.4109.1
Memphis109.0107.7108.2108.3
Houston104.7103.2103.2103.7
SMU100.6100.199.6100.1
Navy98.196.196.096.7
Temple96.497.095.396.2
Tulsa97.695.795.196.1
Tulane94.594.793.694.3
USF95.093.793.193.9
E. Carolina92.192.690.991.9
AAC Averages100.699.999.5100.0
Atlantic Coast Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
Clemson123.7124.7127.6125.4
Notre Dame117.2116.2117.2116.9
N. Carolina111.9112.4113.3112.5
Louisville110.7111.3109.7110.5
Virginia Tech109.2109.2111.3109.9
Virginia106.6106.1106.3106.4
Florida St.105.5103.9105.4104.9
Pittsburgh103.9105.7104.1104.6
Miami (Fla.)101.5104.1101.7102.4
Duke100.6101.3100.0100.6
Georgia Tech100.699.999.6100.0
Boston Coll.99.699.399.699.5
Wake Forest98.399.498.398.7
Syracuse94.096.094.694.9
NC State93.593.793.693.6
ACC Averages105.1105.6105.5105.4
Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
Oklahoma117.1117.1117.3117.2
Texas116.3115.1116.4115.9
Oklahoma St.113.4112.8113.6113.3
Baylor108.0108.1108.2108.1
Iowa St.107.9107.1107.5107.5
T C U105.0102.8105.1104.3
Kansas St.104.2103.0104.1103.8
W. Virginia101.4101.5101.5101.5
Texas Tech97.296.097.496.9
Kansas86.386.585.086.0
Big 12 Averages105.7105.0105.6105.4
Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
Marshall98.998.597.698.3
W. Kentucky95.997.096.796.5
Florida Int’l.95.495.295.895.5
U A B92.693.492.192.7
Southern Miss.88.589.087.288.2
La. Tech86.588.087.787.4
Charlotte86.486.786.886.7
Rice86.284.285.685.3
Middle Tenn.84.185.084.184.4
Fla. Atlantic81.383.081.481.9
North Texas78.179.378.578.7
U T S A77.177.076.576.9
U T E P63.466.063.064.1
CUSA Averages85.786.385.685.9
FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
BYU106.7105.2106.3106.1
Army93.295.393.293.9
Liberty86.289.186.887.4
Ind. Averages95.496.595.495.8
Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
Georgia121.1119.4121.9120.8
Florida119.7119.3120.8119.9
Kentucky110.3110.5111.5110.8
Tennessee109.1109.0109.6109.2
S. Carolina109.3107.0108.7108.3
Missouri99.199.2100.399.5
Vanderbilt93.392.791.892.6
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
L S U123.2122.5125.8123.8
Alabama121.4122.3123.3122.3
Auburn118.0116.6117.9117.5
Texas A&M115.7115.8115.9115.8
Miss. St.106.7106.1108.4107.1
Ole Miss104.1102.5103.8103.4
Arkansas94.795.892.494.3
SEC Averages110.4109.9110.9110.4
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
Appal. St.102.8101.9103.9102.9
Georgia Sou.92.793.794.093.5
Coastal Car.91.892.492.292.1
Troy87.089.087.387.8
Georgia St.87.887.587.787.7
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
Louisiana106.2105.7106.2106.0
Arkansas St.95.796.995.696.1
S. Alabama85.186.484.885.4
UL-Monroe82.082.280.481.5
Texas St.79.079.677.378.6
SBC Averages91.091.590.991.2

Conference Ratings

#LeagueAvg
1Southeastern110.4
2Big 12105.4
3Atlantic Coast105.4
4American100.0
5Independents95.8
6Sun Belt91.2
7Conference USA85.9

This Week’s TV Schedule

Friday, September 18
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
7:00 PMESPN3Coastal CarolinaCampbell
Saturday, September 19
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
12:00 PMFoxBaylorHouston
12:00 PMESPNOklahoma St.Tulsa
12:00 PMESPN3DukeBoston College
12:00 PMESPN2Georgia St.Louisiana
12:00 PMACCPittsburghSyracuse
12:00 PMABCTulaneNavy
12:00 PMESPNUWestern KentuckyLiberty
12:00 PMESPN+CincinnatiAustin Peay
1:30 PMCBSSNMarshallAppalachian St.
2:30 PMUSANotre DameSouth Florida
3:00 PMABCGeorgia TechCentral Florida
3:30 PMESPN3North CarolinaCharlotte
3:30 PMESPN3UTSAS. F. Austin
4:00 PMACCClemsonThe Citadel
4:00 PMESPN2Georgia SouthernFlorida Atlantic
4:00 PMESPNUMiddle TennesseeTroy
6:00 PMCBSSNNorth TexasSMU
7:00 PMESPN+LouisvilleMiami (Fla.)
7:30 PMABCArkansas St.Central Arkansas
7:30 PMESPNUUL MonroeTexas St.
8:00 PMACCNC StateWeake Forest
9:00 PMESPN3UTEPAbilene Christian

August 17, 2020

Fall 2020 College Football Preseason Ratings

Welcome to the start of the potentially most dysfunctional college football season in the history of the sport.

We release this preliminary preseason power ratings submission for your entertainment purposes only.  We make no claims that our preseason ratings this year will be any more accurate than throwing darts at a wall with the names of the teams affixed in tape.  With each toss of a dart, another team that isn’t taped that well might fall onto the floor and reduce the number of teams playing by one or two or 76.

The PiRates design our power ratings so that the average FBS team rates 100.0.  Above that number, a team is better than average by their rating minus 100 points.  Below that number, a team is weaker than average by 100 points minus their rating.

When there are 100 teams in the sample size, the total number of power ratings must equal 13,000  for the average to be 100.0.  Each time a college team announced they would not field a football squad this fall, reducing the number of teams in the sample, the average had to be recalculated based on the new sample.  The only time the ratings would not change would be if the team cancelling had ratings of 100.0 for the PiRate, Mean, and Bias ratings.  Of course, no teams met that qualification, so our ratings continually changed until we made it to where we are today with 76 teams scheduled to play football this Fall and 54 teams potentially scheduled to play football in the Spring.

Additionally, most of the 76 teams will play a conference only schedule.  That makes it quite difficult to compare teams in different leagues with no inter-conference games.  It basically makes every week of the projected college season like a new preseason, because only in the preseason do our ratings reflect zero inter-conference action.  Obviously, in any year, the preseason ratings are the least accurate of the entire season.  Thus, we expect our ratings to be poor when they are used to compare a team in the Atlantic Coast Conference with a team in the Southeastern Conference.  On the bright side, with more conference games now on the schedule, in-season conference ratings should be a bit more accurate later in the year, just like they are in college basketball.

We are issuing our raw preseason ratings today in two forms.  First, we show you the 76-team sample as it is currently configured based on 76 teams continuing to plan to play football in 2020.  Next, we will show you how the season would have previewed had all 130 teams played as regularly planned.

The preseason rating you see will be recalculated before the first games are played, based on the evidence of players opting out and possibly others transferring in from schools that will not be playing.  Obviously, if Trevor Lawrence were to opt out at Clemson, the Tigers would immediately drop by several points in power rating.  And, if somehow Justin Fields was granted immediate eligibility and transferred to Notre Dame, the Irish would move up several points in power rating.  It will be a large task to keep on top of this, and then to monitor rosters during the season—–if there is a season.

Enjoy, if you can.

The New Reality–76 Team PiRate Ratings for Preseason 2020

 

PiRate Rankings 1-76

Rank

Team

Rating

1

Clemson

125.3

2

L S U

123.8

3

Alabama

122.3

4

Georgia

120.8

5

Florida

119.9

6

Auburn

117.5

7

Notre Dame

117.2

8

Oklahoma

117.0

9

Texas A&M

115.8

10

Texas

114.7

11

Oklahoma St.

113.3

12

North Carolina

111.8

13

Kentucky

110.8

14

Iowa St.

110.6

15

Louisville

110.1

16

Virginia Tech

109.9

17

UCF

109.8

18

Tennessee

109.2

19

Memphis

109.1

20

Cincinnati

109.1

21

South Carolina

108.3

22

Baylor

108.1

23

Ole Miss

107.1

24

Kansas St.

107.0

25

Florida St.

107.0

26

Virginia

106.4

27

T C U

104.3

28

Houston

103.7

29

Pittsburgh

103.6

30

Mississippi St.

103.4

31

Appalachian St.

103.2

32

Navy

103.0

33

Louisiana

102.2

34

SMU

101.7

35

BYU

101.3

36

Miami (Fla.)

101.2

37

West Virginia

100.7

38

Duke

100.2

39

Missouri

99.5

40

Boston College

99.5

41

Texas Tech

99.4

42

Wake Forest

98.7

43

Georgia Tech

98.0

44

Western Kentucky

96.7

45

Temple

96.2

46

Tulsa

96.1

47

Georgia Southern

96.0

48

Florida Int’l.

95.5

49

Syracuse

95.4

50

Marshall

95.3

51

Tulane

94.6

52

Arkansas

94.3

53

USF

94.2

54

NC State

93.6

55

U A B

93.4

56

Vanderbilt

92.6

57

Arkansas St.

92.6

58

East Carolina

91.9

59

Southern Miss.

91.3

60

Army

90.8

61

Kansas

89.5

62

Coastal Carolina

88.6

63

Middle Tennessee

87.8

64

Troy

87.8

65

Georgia St.

87.7

66

Louisiana Tech

87.4

67

Liberty

87.4

68

Charlotte

86.4

69

Rice

85.3

70

UL-Monroe

84.3

71

South Alabama

82.6

72

Florida Atlantic

81.9

73

North Texas

78.7

74

Texas St.

77.6

75

U T S A

76.3

76

U T E P

64.9

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

UCF

109.2

109.6

110.5

109.8

Memphis

110.0

108.0

109.3

109.1

Cincinnati

109.5

108.3

109.4

109.1

Houston

104.7

103.2

103.2

103.7

Navy

104.4

102.4

102.3

103.0

SMU

102.1

101.5

101.5

101.7

Temple

96.4

97.0

95.3

96.2

Tulsa

97.6

95.7

95.1

96.1

Tulane

94.8

95.0

94.1

94.6

USF

95.3

94.0

93.4

94.2

East Carolina

92.1

92.6

90.9

91.9

 

 

AAC Averages

101.5

100.7

100.4

100.9

 

 

 

Atlantic Coast Conference

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Clemson

123.6

124.5

127.8

125.3

Notre Dame

117.5

116.5

117.7

117.2

North Carolina

111.3

111.5

112.5

111.8

Louisville

110.3

110.9

109.1

110.1

Virginia Tech

109.2

109.2

111.3

109.9

Florida St.

107.4

105.8

107.7

107.0

Virginia

106.6

106.1

106.3

106.4

Pittsburgh

102.9

104.7

103.1

103.6

Miami (Fla.)

100.3

103.0

100.3

101.2

Duke

100.3

101.0

99.5

100.2

Boston College

99.6

99.3

99.6

99.5

Wake Forest

98.4

99.6

98.1

98.7

Georgia Tech

98.7

98.0

97.3

98.0

Syracuse

94.3

96.6

95.1

95.4

NC State

93.5

93.7

93.6

93.6

 

 

ACC Averages

104.9

105.4

105.3

105.2

 

 

 

Big 12 Conference

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Oklahoma

116.9

116.9

117.1

117.0

Texas

115.2

113.6

115.3

114.7

Oklahoma St.

113.4

112.8

113.6

113.3

Iowa St.

110.9

110.2

110.7

110.6

Baylor

108.0

108.1

108.2

108.1

Kansas St.

107.4

106.0

107.5

107.0

T C U

105.0

102.8

105.1

104.3

West Virginia

100.6

100.7

100.7

100.7

Texas Tech

99.7

98.5

99.9

99.4

Kansas

89.8

90.0

88.5

89.5

 

 

Big 12 Averages

106.7

106.0

106.7

106.5

 

 

 

Conference USA

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Western Kentucky

96.0

97.1

97.0

96.7

Florida Int’l.

95.4

95.2

95.8

95.5

Marshall

95.9

95.5

94.6

95.3

U A B

93.3

94.0

93.0

93.4

Southern Miss.

91.1

91.6

91.2

91.3

Middle Tennessee

87.5

88.1

87.8

87.8

Louisiana Tech

86.5

88.0

87.7

87.4

Charlotte

86.2

86.5

86.3

86.4

Rice

86.2

84.2

85.6

85.3

Florida Atlantic

81.3

83.0

81.4

81.9

North Texas

78.1

79.3

78.5

78.7

U T S A

76.6

76.3

75.9

76.3

U T E P

64.0

67.0

63.6

64.9

 

 

CUSA Averages

86.0

86.6

86.0

86.2

 

 

 

FBS Independents

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

BYU

101.9

100.4

101.5

101.3

Army

90.1

92.5

89.8

90.8

Liberty

86.2

89.1

86.8

87.4

 

 

Indep. Averages

92.7

94.0

92.7

93.2

 

 

 

Southeastern Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Georgia

121.1

119.4

121.9

120.8

Florida

119.7

119.3

120.8

119.9

Kentucky

110.3

110.5

111.5

110.8

Tennessee

109.1

109.0

109.6

109.2

South Carolina

109.3

107.0

108.7

108.3

Missouri

99.1

99.2

100.3

99.5

Vanderbilt

93.3

92.7

91.8

92.6

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

L S U

123.2

122.5

125.8

123.8

Alabama

121.4

122.3

123.3

122.3

Auburn

118.0

116.6

117.9

117.5

Texas A&M

115.7

115.8

115.9

115.8

Ole Miss

106.7

106.1

108.4

107.1

Mississippi St.

104.1

102.5

103.8

103.4

Arkansas

94.7

95.8

92.4

94.3

 

 

SEC Averages

110.4

109.9

110.9

110.4

 

 

 

Sunbelt Conference

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Appalachian St.

103.0

102.1

104.4

103.2

Georgia Southern

95.2

96.2

96.5

96.0

Coastal Carolina

88.3

88.9

88.7

88.6

Troy

87.0

89.0

87.3

87.8

Georgia St.

87.8

87.5

87.7

87.7

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Louisiana

102.5

101.9

102.3

102.2

Arkansas St.

92.0

94.1

91.6

92.6

UL-Monroe

84.7

84.9

83.2

84.3

South Alabama

82.8

84.1

80.9

82.6

Texas St.

78.0

78.9

76.0

77.6

 

 

Sun Averages

90.1

90.7

89.9

90.2

 

Conference Ranking

SEC

110.4

B12

106.5

ACC

105.2

AAC

100.9

Ind

93.2

SUN

90.2

CUSA

86.2

xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

What Might Have Been!

The original 130 team rankings

Rank

Team

Rating

1

Ohio St.

131.5

2

Clemson

126.7

3

L S U

125.2

4

Alabama

123.7

5

Georgia

122.2

6

Penn St.

121.6

7

Wisconsin

121.5

8

Florida

121.3

9

Auburn

118.9

10

Oregon

118.8

11

Notre Dame

118.6

12

Oklahoma

118.4

13

Texas A&M

117.2

14

Texas

116.1

15

U S C

114.9

16

Oklahoma St.

114.7

17

North Carolina

113.2

18

Minnesota

112.9

19

Iowa

112.4

20

Michigan

112.4

21

Kentucky

112.2

22

Iowa St.

112.0

23

Louisville

111.5

24

Virginia Tech

111.3

25

UCF

111.2

26

Tennessee

110.6

27

Memphis

110.5

28

Cincinnati

110.5

29

Indiana

110.0

30

Washington

109.9

31

South Carolina

109.7

32

Baylor

109.5

33

Utah

109.3

34

Ole Miss

108.5

35

Kansas St.

108.4

36

Florida St.

108.4

37

Nebraska

108.0

38

Virginia

107.8

39

California

107.6

40

Arizona St.

107.6

41

Boise St.

107.0

42

Purdue

106.3

43

T C U

105.7

44

Houston

105.1

45

Pittsburgh

105.0

46

Mississippi St.

104.8

47

Washington St.

104.7

48

Appalachian St.

104.6

49

Navy

104.4

50

Northwestern

104.0

51

Illinois

103.9

52

Stanford

103.8

53

Louisiana

103.6

54

SMU

103.1

55

BYU

102.7

56

Michigan St.

102.7

57

Oregon St.

102.6

58

Miami (Fla.)

102.6

59

West Virginia

102.1

60

Duke

101.6

61

U C L A

101.0

62

Missouri

100.9

63

Boston College

100.9

64

Texas Tech

100.8

65

Arizona

100.4

66

Wake Forest

100.1

67

Air Force

100.0

68

Georgia Tech

99.4

69

Western Kentucky

98.1

70

Wyoming

97.9

71

Temple

97.6

72

Tulsa

97.5

73

Colorado

97.4

74

Georgia Southern

97.4

75

Buffalo

97.1

76

Florida Atlantic

96.9

77

Syracuse

96.8

78

Marshall

96.7

79

San Diego St.

96.6

80

Tulane

96.0

81

Arkansas

95.7

82

USF

95.6

83

Ohio

95.1

84

NC State

95.0

85

Rutgers

94.9

86

U A B

94.8

87

Hawaii

94.3

88

Maryland

94.2

89

Vanderbilt

94.0

90

Arkansas St.

94.0

91

Miami (Ohio)

93.9

92

East Carolina

93.3

93

Fresno St.

93.2

94

Utah St.

93.1

95

Central Michigan

93.0

96

Southern Miss.

92.7

97

Ball St.

92.5

98

Army

92.2

99

Colorado St.

91.4

100

Nevada

90.9

101

Kansas

90.9

102

Western Michigan

90.2

103

Coastal Carolina

90.0

104

Kent St.

89.6

105

San Jose St.

89.5

106

Middle Tennessee

89.2

107

Troy

89.2

108

Georgia St.

89.1

109

Louisiana Tech

88.8

110

Liberty

88.8

111

Toledo

88.7

112

Charlotte

87.8

113

Rice

86.7

114

UL-Monroe

85.7

115

South Alabama

84.0

116

U N L V

83.7

117

Northern Illinois

83.5

118

New Mexico

83.4

119

Florida Int’l.

83.3

120

Eastern Michigan

83.1

121

Old Dominion

81.7

122

Connecticut

81.4

123

North Texas

80.1

124

Texas St.

79.0

125

U T S A

77.7

126

New Mexico St.

76.5

127

Bowling Green

73.6

128

Akron

73.3

129

U T E P

66.3

130

UMass

65.7

 

Justin Fields, we feel for you, sir.  This looked like the year your Buckeyes were the class of college football, but we’ll never know what might have been.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

August 16, 2020

College Football Update

Welcome back to the PiRate Ship.  We hope we have now plugged all the leaks onboard, and our vessel is seaworthy for the potential 9-month long, two-part football season.

As of this morning, 76 FBS football teams plan to play football in the Fall, and 54 FBS football teams hope to play in the Spring.

After working many hours more than in a typical season, the Bucs onboard our PiRate Ship have finally calculated the ratings for all 130 teams.

There is a fly in the ointment here.  Our annual ratings are based on a par score of 100.0.  In other words, if you total the ratings for the 130 teams, the PiRate, Mean, and Bias ratings should each total to 13,000.  How can the ratings adjust to par if 54 teams play no games every week until at least February, while 76 teams do play?  Should we then adjust our ratings so that the 76 teams playing total to 7,600?  Doing so, would require changing all the ratings, so that one group totaled 7,600 and another group totaled 5,400.

Ah, but there’s more to this than meets the eyes.  Most of these teams will play a conference only schedule.  How can a computer algorithm properly compare a team in the Atlantic Coast Conference with a team in the Southeastern Conference if there are no inter-conference games?

For many years, Major League Baseball had no inter-league play.  The best team in the American League and the best team in the National League had no common opponents.  The 1954 New York Giants won 13 fewer games than the 1954 Cleveland Indians.  The baseball media believed this World Series could be over in the minimum four games.  They were 100% correct that it took just four games to decide the Series, but the wrong team won the four games.  Other than the Yankees and White Sox, the rest of the AL was about as weak as it has ever been in a non-World War season.   The NL was six-deep in quality that year, and the 6th place St. Louis Cardinals were talented enough to be a first division team in the AL.

With 16 total teams, it may be somewhat possible to compare any eight with any other eight when the two pairs of  eight never play.  That is not possible with 130 or 76 or 54 teams.  Our ratings may need to be adjusted so that each conference averages 100.0.  But, then where would that leave Brigham Young, Army, and Liberty?  These three Independents plan to play some number of games.  How can we possibly make these three teams total 300.0 and then play games against other teams in leagues that average 100.0?

That is where we are at the present time.  Our conclusion today, thanks to the evil Covid-19, Corona, is that we will release separate preseason ratings, three different ways.

Our first set of PiRate, Mean, and Bias ratings will show you all 130 teams rated just like Covid never existed.

Our second set of PiRate, Mean, and Bias ratings will show you the 76 teams playing this Fall.  If any of the remaining 54 teams actually play in the Spring, we will be here to rate those teams the best way we know how.

Our third set of PiRate, Mean, and Bias ratings will show you the rating of teams within their own conference sampling.

Here’s an example, using a rating for State U.

Their normal preseason ratings might be

PiRate: 109.7

Mean: 108.9

Bias: 110.1

Let’s say State U plays in one of the 76 teams that plan to play this Fall.  After removing the ratings of the 54 teams not playing this fall, State U’s preseason ratings will no doubt change, because the exact average of those 54 teams will not be 100.0.  Let’s say that the 54 teams opting out due to Corona average 97.4.  The average of the remaining 76 teams is now 101.8.  Reducing that average to 100.0 might now adjust State U’s ratings to:

PiRate: 107.7

Mean:  106.9

Bias: 108.1

Let’s say that State U plays in the ACC, which will now have Notre Dame playing a full conference schedule this year.  The 15-team league will need to sum up to 1500.0 in all three ratings.  Normally, the ACC might have begun the preseason with a conference average of 110.0, or basically 10-points stronger than an average team.  Now State U’s ratings against a closed league of 15 ACC teams would have to be adjusted to:

PiRate: 99.7

Mean: 99.0

Bias: 100.1

So what ratings would we go with in this unique scenario?  We can submit the regular ratings before the first game is ever played, because nothing would be different in this regard.  Nobody has played a game, so the preseason ratings would be the same.  Definitely, we realize that with limited or no Spring Practice and with assumed 2-deep Depth Charts considerably less accurate than in past years, these ratings cannot be as accurate as past seasons.

If we wait until all 76 teams’ schedules are in place and then adjust the ratings so that every team will be rated on the same scale, then what happens when on Tuesday of a game week, one team has to quarantine and schedule somebody not rated on the same scale?  For instance, let’s say Florida State is scheduled to play North Carolina State, and the Wolf Pack has to cancel due to 20 positive cases.  What if at the same time Florida’s scheduled game with Vanderbilt is also postponed, because the Commodores must cancel.  Might a Florida State versus Florida game be scheduled on the quick?

Our final conclusion is to go with a 76-team ratings’ release that sum as close to 7600 for each rating and then to go with a different 54-team ratings’ release in the Spring, assuming the Spring actually does feature those 54 teams.

Monday afternoon Eastern Time, we will reveal our raw preseason ratings for the entire 130 teams and then separate ratings for the 76-team field, as well as ratings for teams by each conference.  We will then go with the 76-team format for the Fall season.

There will be no conference previews.  We will release ratings and pointspreads for weekly games, hoping that we can keep up with whatever alterations are made to the schedule.  We are sailing into the Corona Triangle this year.  Let’s hope we can get through it to the other side.

Note: In our few hours of spare time, we have been working on a tabletop football game with NFL teams and with college teams.  If you remember the old Avalon Hill/Sports Illustrated games that once existed, our games will be similar but different.  If we ever determine them to be marketable, you will not need the specialized 10-39 dice used by AH/SI.  Regular, 6-sided dice will work.  Hopefully, we will have the first set available to be purchased at a ridiculously cheap price with the chance to purchase future sets at additionally ridiculously cheap prices.  By sending out the charts in PDF form for you to print, we can sell the game for less than $10.  That is if we ever get any of the sets finished.  We have been working on three different sets–a 32-team Best of NFL by franchise from 2000 to 2019; the same best of for each SEC team between 2000 & 2019; and the best of for each Big Ten team between 2000 & 2019.  In the works in the future will be best of teams from each Major Conference between 2000 & 2019, as well as the best of NFL (and AFL) from 1960 to 1979, and from 1940 to 1959.

January 11, 2019

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Preview for January 12-13, 2019

This Weekend’s PiRate Ratings Spreads for Power Conferences and Top 25 Teams

Saturday’s Games

Home Team Visitor Spread
Clemson Virginia -6.6
North Carolina Louisville 12.1
North Carolina St. Pittsburgh 11.8
Notre Dame Boston College 6.5
Florida St. Duke -8
Miami (Fla.) Wake Forest 9.7
Syracuse Georgia Tech 8.7
Temple South Florida 9.6
SMU Tulsa 5.8
Houston Wichita St. 11.2
Cincinnati Connecticut 9.8
Iowa St. Kansas St. 9.3
West Virginia Oklahoma St. 6.9
Texas Texas Tech -2.1
Oklahoma TCU 4.2
Baylor Kansas -4.4
Georgetown Providence 2.0
Marquette Seton Hall 5.9
St. John’s DePaul 9.8
Minnesota Rutgers 6.0
Iowa Ohio St. 1.5
San Jose St. Boise St. -12.0
Air Force San Diego St. -7.8
Colorado St. New Mexico -1.3
Wyoming Utah St. -12.1
Fresno St. Nevada -3.5
Stanford Arizona St. -4.0
Utah Washington St. 6.9
Colorado Washington 0.5
California Arizona -8.7
Mississippi St. Ole Miss 4.7
South Carolina Missouri 2.7
Alabama Texas A&M 5.8
Auburn Georgia 12.5
Florida Tennessee -2.8
Arkansas LSU 0.9
Kentucky Vanderbilt 11.8
San Francisco Gonzaga -8.8

 

Sunday’s Games

Home Team Visitor Spread
Xavier Butler -1.4
Creighton Villanova 1.3
Central Florida East Carolina 17.6
Penn St. Michigan St. -9.0
Tulane Memphis -8.6
Michigan Northwestern 11.0
Oregon USC 6.2
Oregon St. UCLA 2.4

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Thank yous go out to Stephanie in Orlando, Florida, and Brad in Las Vegas for both recommending that we include an alphabetical listing as well as ranking from 1-353 of all the D1 teams.  The alphabetical listing will follow the ratings by conference.

By the way, we believe this is the same Stephanie that first recommended the addition of alternating colors so she could better see the spreads on her iPhone.

If you have requests to make our site’s appearance look easier to read, please contact us through our dormant old website: https://piratings.webs.com/contactus.htm

Rk Team PiRate
1 Duke 123.8
2 Gonzaga 120.3
3 Virginia 119.9
4 Michigan St. 119.4
5 North Carolina 119.2
6 Tennessee 118.1
7 Virginia Tech 116.3
8 Michigan 116.1
9 Kansas 115.9
10 Texas Tech 115.5
11 Auburn 114.9
12 Nevada 114.5
13 Iowa St. 114.3
14 Kentucky 114.2
15 Nebraska 114.1
16 Wisconsin 114.1
17 North Carolina St. 114.0
18 Buffalo 113.3
19 Purdue 113.1
20 Oklahoma 112.9
21 Florida St. 112.8
22 Mississippi St. 112.4
23 Ohio St. 112.3
24 Florida 112.3
25 Indiana 112.3
26 Villanova 112.2
27 Maryland 112.2
28 Cincinnati 112.1
29 TCU 111.7
30 Marquette 111.6
31 Syracuse 111.4
32 Houston 111.1
33 Texas 110.9
34 Iowa 110.8
35 Louisville 110.6
36 Creighton 110.5
37 St. John’s 110.4
38 Clemson 110.3
39 Mississippi 110.2
40 Central Florida 110.1
41 Wofford 110.1
42 Saint Mary’s 110.1
43 Butler 109.8
44 LSU 109.6
45 Arizona St. 109.0
46 San Francisco 109.0
47 Oregon 108.8
48 Seton Hall 108.7
49 Kansas St. 108.5
50 Baylor 108.5
51 Utah St. 108.4
52 West Virginia 108.4
53 Arizona 108.3
54 Washington 108.2
55 Northwestern 108.1
56 Lipscomb 108.0
57 Fresno St. 108.0
58 Miami (Fla) 107.9
59 Alabama 107.8
60 Murray St. 107.7
61 Virginia Commonwealth 107.7
62 Arkansas 107.5
63 Penn St. 107.4
64 Temple 107.4
65 Minnesota 107.2
66 Dayton 107.0
67 UCLA 106.8
68 Ball St. 106.8
69 Liberty 106.7
70 East Tennessee St. 106.7
71 Notre Dame 106.4
72 Toledo 106.4
73 Providence 106.4
74 South Dakota St. 106.2
75 Oregon St. 106.2
76 Hofstra 106.2
77 Vermont 105.9
78 Vanderbilt 105.9
79 Xavier 105.9
80 New Mexico St. 105.8
81 Colorado 105.7
82 Georgia Tech 105.7
83 USC 105.6
84 BYU 105.4
85 Georgetown 105.4
86 SMU 105.4
87 Georgia 105.4
88 Missouri 105.3
89 Western Kentucky 105.3
90 Connecticut 105.3
91 Belmont 105.3
92 Pittsburgh 105.2
93 Davidson 105.2
94 Loyola Chi 105.2
95 Yale 105.2
96 Texas A&M 105.0
97 Oklahoma St. 105.0
98 South Carolina 105.0
99 Georgia St. 104.9
100 Furman 104.9
101 Old Dominion 104.9
102 San Diego 104.8
103 Rhode Island 104.8
104 Memphis 104.7
105 Rutgers 104.7
106 Illinois 104.4
107 Saint Louis 104.4
108 Harvard 104.4
109 Northern Kentucky 104.4
110 Grand Canyon 104.2
111 Akron 104.1
112 UNC Greensboro 103.9
113 Penn 103.8
114 Northeastern 103.7
115 UC Irvine 103.7
116 San Diego St. 103.7
117 Texas St. 103.7
118 North Texas 103.6
119 DePaul 103.6
120 Georgia Southern 103.5
121 Charleston 103.5
122 Austin Peay 103.4
123 Boston College 103.4
124 Boise St. 103.4
125 Montana 103.4
126 Wichita St. 102.9
127 Tulsa 102.6
128 Brown 102.4
129 Southern Illinois 102.4
130 UC Santa Barbara 102.2
131 Jacksonville St. 102.2
132 Utah Valley 102.2
133 Marshall 102.1
134 George Mason 102.1
135 Utah 102.1
136 Stanford 102.0
137 Drake 102.0
138 Louisiana Tech 102.0
139 Northern Illinois 101.9
140 Radford 101.9
141 Loyola Marymount 101.9
142 UNLV 101.5
143 Lehigh 101.4
144 Winthrop 101.3
145 Bucknell 101.3
146 Stony Brook 101.2
147 Gardner Webb 101.1
148 Rider 101.0
149 Louisiana Monroe 101.0
150 Bowling Green 100.9
151 St. Bonaventure 100.8
152 South Florida 100.8
153 Wake Forest 100.7
154 Massachusetts 100.7
155 New Mexico 100.6
156 Purdue Fort Wayne 100.6
157 Valparaiso 100.6
158 Kent St. 100.5
159 Central Michigan 100.5
160 Northern Colorado 100.4
161 Wright St. 100.4
162 Seattle 100.4
163 Louisiana 100.3
164 NJIT 100.2
165 Southern Miss 100.2
166 Holy Cross 100.1
167 Samford 100.0
168 Cal St. Fullerton 99.7
169 Saint Joseph’s 99.6
170 Coastal Carolina 99.6
171 Colgate 99.6
172 Evansville 99.5
173 Princeton 99.5
174 Weber St. 99.5
175 Mercer 99.5
176 UAB 99.4
177 Duquesne 99.4
178 Abilene Christian 99.3
179 Richmond 99.2
180 Illinois St. 99.1
181 Miami (O) 99.0
182 Pacific 98.8
183 IUPUI 98.7
184 Cal St. Bakersfield 98.7
185 Green Bay 98.7
186 Texas Southern 98.7
187 Missouri St. 98.6
188 Indiana St. 98.5
189 Ohio 98.3
190 Pepperdine 98.3
191 Omaha 98.2
192 American 98.2
193 Hawaii 98.2
194 Washington St. 98.2
195 William & Mary 98.1
196 Bradley 98.0
197 Eastern Michigan 97.9
198 Hartford 97.9
199 North Dakota St. 97.8
200 Troy 97.7
201 The Citadel 97.6
202 Northern Iowa 97.5
203 North Florida 97.5
204 Long Beach St. 97.5
205 Dartmouth 97.5
206 Florida Atlantic 97.4
207 UTSA 97.4
208 Western Michigan 97.4
209 Iona 97.2
210 South Dakota 97.2
211 South Alabama 97.2
212 Appalachian St. 97.1
213 Fordham 97.1
214 Boston U 97.0
215 Santa Clara 97.0
216 Stephen F. Austin 96.9
217 Campbell 96.8
218 Illinois Chicago 96.8
219 Canisius 96.8
220 Colorado St. 96.8
221 La Salle 96.7
222 Hampton 96.7
223 High Point 96.7
224 Columbia 96.6
225 California 96.6
226 Delaware 96.6
227 Lamar 96.4
228 Wagner 96.3
229 Florida Int’l. 96.3
230 Cal Baptist 96.3
231 Detroit 96.2
232 UNC Wilmington 96.2
233 Presbyterian 96.2
234 Oakland 96.2
235 Marist 96.1
236 Maryland-Balt. Co. 96.0
237 Fairleigh Dickinson 96.0
238 Fairfield 95.9
239 Little Rock 95.8
240 St. Francis PA 95.8
241 Sam Houston St. 95.8
242 UC Davis 95.7
243 George Washington 95.6
244 Quinnipiac 95.6
245 East Carolina 95.5
246 Cornell 95.5
247 Eastern Kentucky 95.4
248 UT Rio Grande Valley 95.3
249 Army 95.2
250 UT Arlington 95.2
251 Long Island 95.2
252 Charleston Southern 95.2
253 Idaho St. 95.2
254 James Madison 95.1
255 Drexel 95.1
256 UMKC 95.0
257 UTEP 95.0
258 Arkansas St. 94.9
259 Robert Morris 94.9
260 UMass Lowell 94.8
261 Morehead St. 94.6
262 North Dakota 94.6
263 Florida Gulf Coast 94.5
264 Portland St. 94.5
265 Sacramento St. 94.4
266 Siena 94.4
267 Sacred Heart 94.3
268 Jacksonville 94.3
269 Towson 94.3
270 Montana St. 94.2
271 St. Francis BKN 94.1
272 Houston Baptist 94.1
273 North Carolina Central 93.9
274 Cleveland St. 93.9
275 Eastern Washington 93.9
276 Norfolk St. 93.9
277 Longwood 93.6
278 Nicholls St. 93.6
279 Chattanooga 93.6
280 Tulane 93.6
281 Albany 93.6
282 Middle Tennessee 93.5
283 Texas A&M CC 93.4
284 Air Force 93.4
285 Saint Peter’s 93.4
286 Niagara 93.4
287 Southern Utah 93.3
288 Prairie View A&M 93.3
289 Western Illinois 93.3
290 New Orleans 93.1
291 Milwaukee 93.1
292 Southeast Missouri St. 93.1
293 Central Connecticut 93.0
294 Monmouth 93.0
295 Oral Roberts 92.9
296 Lafayette 92.9
297 Howard 92.9
298 Eastern Illinois 92.8
299 UC Riverside 92.8
300 Wyoming 92.8
301 Central Arkansas 92.8
302 Rice 92.7
303 Tennessee St. 92.5
304 Navy 92.4
305 Loyola MD 92.3
306 Youngstown St. 92.3
307 McNeese St. 92.3
308 Grambling 92.2
309 Northern Arizona 91.9
310 Tennessee Martin 91.9
311 North Carolina A&T 91.9
312 Portland 91.9
313 Charlotte 91.8
314 Western Carolina 91.8
315 Cal St. Northridge 91.6
316 Bethune Cookman 91.6
317 Denver 91.5
318 Cal Poly 91.4
319 Alabama St. 91.1
320 Southeastern Louisiana 91.1
321 Binghamton 90.8
322 Idaho 90.7
323 USC Upstate 90.6
324 Manhattan 90.2
325 Tennessee Tech 90.2
326 Arkansas Pine Bluff 90.0
327 Morgan St. 89.9
328 SIU Edwardsville 89.9
329 Bryant 89.9
330 Elon 89.7
331 VMI 89.6
332 Mount St. Mary’s 89.6
333 Maine 89.4
334 Florida A&M 89.1
335 San Jose St. 88.9
336 Jackson St. 88.9
337 North Alabama 88.9
338 South Carolina St. 88.6
339 New Hampshire 88.4
340 Southern 87.8
341 Incarnate Word 87.1
342 Stetson 86.8
343 Northwestern St. 86.1
344 Kennesaw St. 85.9
345 Alcorn St. 85.8
346 UNC Asheville 84.9
347 Alabama A&M 84.8
348 Coppin St. 84.8
349 Savannah St. 84.1
350 Mississippi Valley St. 83.5
351 Maryland Eastern Shore 82.7
352 Chicago St. 82.3
353 Delaware St. 81.3

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference

America East

Vermont 105.9
Stony Brook 101.2
Hartford 97.9
Maryland-Balt. Co. 96.0
UMass Lowell 94.8
Albany 93.6
Binghamton 90.8
Maine 89.4
New Hampshire 88.4
 

American Athletic

Cincinnati 112.1
Houston 111.1
Central Florida 110.1
Temple 107.4
SMU 105.4
Connecticut 105.3
Memphis 104.7
Wichita St. 102.9
Tulsa 102.6
South Florida 100.8
East Carolina 95.5
Tulane 93.6
 

Atlantic 10

Virginia Commonwealth 107.7
Dayton 107.0
Davidson 105.2
Rhode Island 104.8
Saint Louis 104.4
George Mason 102.1
St. Bonaventure 100.8
Massachusetts 100.7
Saint Joseph’s 99.6
Duquesne 99.4
Richmond 99.2
Fordham 97.1
La Salle 96.7
George Washington 95.6
 

Atlantic Coast

Duke 123.8
Virginia 119.9
North Carolina 119.2
Virginia Tech 116.3
North Carolina St. 114.0
Florida St. 112.8
Syracuse 111.4
Louisville 110.6
Clemson 110.3
Miami (Fla) 107.9
Notre Dame 106.4
Georgia Tech 105.7
Pittsburgh 105.2
Boston College 103.4
Wake Forest 100.7
 

Atlantic Sun

Lipscomb 108.0
Liberty 106.7
NJIT 100.2
North Florida 97.5
Florida Gulf Coast 94.5
Jacksonville 94.3
North Alabama 88.9
Stetson 86.8
Kennesaw St. 85.9
 

Big 12

Kansas 115.9
Texas Tech 115.5
Iowa St. 114.3
Oklahoma 112.9
TCU 111.7
Texas 110.9
Kansas St. 108.5
Baylor 108.5
West Virginia 108.4
Oklahoma St. 105.0
 

Big East

Villanova 112.2
Marquette 111.6
Creighton 110.5
St. John’s 110.4
Butler 109.8
Seton Hall 108.7
Providence 106.4
Xavier 105.9
Georgetown 105.4
DePaul 103.6
 

Big Sky

Montana 103.4
Northern Colorado 100.4
Weber St. 99.5
Idaho St. 95.2
Portland St. 94.5
Sacramento St. 94.4
Montana St. 94.2
Eastern Washington 93.9
Southern Utah 93.3
Northern Arizona 91.9
Idaho 90.7
 

Big South

Radford 101.9
Winthrop 101.3
Gardner Webb 101.1
Campbell 96.8
Hampton 96.7
High Point 96.7
Presbyterian 96.2
Charleston Southern 95.2
Longwood 93.6
USC Upstate 90.6
UNC Asheville 84.9
 

Big Ten

Michigan St. 119.4
Michigan 116.1
Nebraska 114.1
Wisconsin 114.1
Purdue 113.1
Ohio St. 112.3
Indiana 112.3
Maryland 112.2
Iowa 110.8
Northwestern 108.1
Penn St. 107.4
Minnesota 107.2
Rutgers 104.7
Illinois 104.4
 

Big West

UC Irvine 103.7
UC Santa Barbara 102.2
Cal St. Fullerton 99.7
Hawaii 98.2
Long Beach St. 97.5
UC Davis 95.7
UC Riverside 92.8
Cal St. Northridge 91.6
Cal Poly 91.4
 

Colonial Athletic

Hofstra 106.2
Northeastern 103.7
Charleston 103.5
William & Mary 98.1
Delaware 96.6
UNC Wilmington 96.2
James Madison 95.1
Drexel 95.1
Towson 94.3
Elon 89.7
 

Conference USA

Western Kentucky 105.3
Old Dominion 104.9
North Texas 103.6
Marshall 102.1
Louisiana Tech 102.0
Southern Miss 100.2
UAB 99.4
Florida Atlantic 97.4
UTSA 97.4
Florida Int’l. 96.3
UTEP 95.0
Middle Tennessee 93.5
Rice 92.7
Charlotte 91.8
 

Horizon

Northern Kentucky 104.4
Wright St. 100.4
IUPUI 98.7
Green Bay 98.7
Illinois Chicago 96.8
Detroit 96.2
Oakland 96.2
Cleveland St. 93.9
Milwaukee 93.1
Youngstown St. 92.3
 

Ivy

Yale 105.2
Harvard 104.4
Penn 103.8
Brown 102.4
Princeton 99.5
Dartmouth 97.5
Columbia 96.6
Cornell 95.5
 

Metro Atlantic

Rider 101.0
Iona 97.2
Canisius 96.8
Marist 96.1
Fairfield 95.9
Quinnipiac 95.6
Siena 94.4
Saint Peter’s 93.4
Niagara 93.4
Monmouth 93.0
Manhattan 90.2
 

Mid-American

Buffalo 113.3
Ball St. 106.8
Toledo 106.4
Akron 104.1
Northern Illinois 101.9
Bowling Green 100.9
Kent St. 100.5
Central Michigan 100.5
Miami (O) 99.0
Ohio 98.3
Eastern Michigan 97.9
Western Michigan 97.4
 

Mideastern Athletic

North Carolina Central 93.9
Norfolk St. 93.9
Howard 92.9
North Carolina A&T 91.9
Bethune Cookman 91.6
Morgan St. 89.9
Florida A&M 89.1
South Carolina St. 88.6
Coppin St. 84.8
Savannah St. 84.1
Maryland Eastern Shore 82.7
Delaware St. 81.3
 

Missouri Valley

Loyola Chi 105.2
Southern Illinois 102.4
Drake 102.0
Valparaiso 100.6
Evansville 99.5
Illinois St. 99.1
Missouri St. 98.6
Indiana St. 98.5
Bradley 98.0
Northern Iowa 97.5
 

Mountain West

Nevada 114.5
Utah St. 108.4
Fresno St. 108.0
San Diego St. 103.7
Boise St. 103.4
UNLV 101.5
New Mexico 100.6
Colorado St. 96.8
Air Force 93.4
Wyoming 92.8
San Jose St. 88.9
 

Northeast

Wagner 96.3
Fairleigh Dickinson 96.0
St. Francis PA 95.8
Long Island 95.2
Robert Morris 94.9
Sacred Heart 94.3
St. Francis BKN 94.1
Central Connecticut 93.0
Bryant 89.9
Mount St. Mary’s 89.6
 

Ohio Valley

Murray St. 107.7
Belmont 105.3
Austin Peay 103.4
Jacksonville St. 102.2
Eastern Kentucky 95.4
Morehead St. 94.6
Southeast Missouri St. 93.1
Eastern Illinois 92.8
Tennessee St. 92.5
Tennessee Martin 91.9
Tennessee Tech 90.2
SIU Edwardsville 89.9
 

Pac-12

Arizona St. 109.0
Oregon 108.8
Arizona 108.3
Washington 108.2
UCLA 106.8
Oregon St. 106.2
Colorado 105.7
USC 105.6
Utah 102.1
Stanford 102.0
Washington St. 98.2
California 96.6
 

Patriot

Lehigh 101.4
Bucknell 101.3
Holy Cross 100.1
Colgate 99.6
American 98.2
Boston U 97.0
Army 95.2
Lafayette 92.9
Navy 92.4
Loyola MD 92.3
 

Southeastern

Tennessee 118.1
Auburn 114.9
Kentucky 114.2
Mississippi St. 112.4
Florida 112.3
Mississippi 110.2
LSU 109.6
Alabama 107.8
Arkansas 107.5
Vanderbilt 105.9
Georgia 105.4
Missouri 105.3
Texas A&M 105.0
South Carolina 105.0
 

Southern

Wofford 110.1
East Tennessee St. 106.7
Furman 104.9
UNC Greensboro 103.9
Samford 100.0
Mercer 99.5
The Citadel 97.6
Chattanooga 93.6
Western Carolina 91.8
VMI 89.6
 

Southland

Abilene Christian 99.3
Stephen F. Austin 96.9
Lamar 96.4
Sam Houston St. 95.8
Houston Baptist 94.1
Nicholls St. 93.6
Texas A&M CC 93.4
New Orleans 93.1
Central Arkansas 92.8
McNeese St. 92.3
Southeastern Louisiana 91.1
Incarnate Word 87.1
Northwestern St. 86.1
 

Southwestern Athletic

Texas Southern 98.7
Prairie View A&M 93.3
Grambling 92.2
Alabama St. 91.1
Arkansas Pine Bluff 90.0
Jackson St. 88.9
Southern 87.8
Alcorn St. 85.8
Alabama A&M 84.8
Mississippi Valley St. 83.5
 

Summit

South Dakota St. 106.2
Purdue Fort Wayne 100.6
Omaha 98.2
North Dakota St. 97.8
South Dakota 97.2
North Dakota 94.6
Western Illinois 93.3
Oral Roberts 92.9
Denver 91.5
 

Sun Belt

Georgia St. 104.9
Texas St. 103.7
Georgia Southern 103.5
Louisiana Monroe 101.0
Louisiana 100.3
Coastal Carolina 99.6
Troy 97.7
South Alabama 97.2
Appalachian St. 97.1
Little Rock 95.8
UT Arlington 95.2
Arkansas St. 94.9
 

West Coast

Gonzaga 120.3
Saint Mary’s 110.1
San Francisco 109.0
BYU 105.4
San Diego 104.8
Loyola Marymount 101.9
Pacific 98.8
Pepperdine 98.3
Santa Clara 97.0
Portland 91.9
 

Western Athletic

New Mexico St. 105.8
Grand Canyon 104.2
Utah Valley 102.2
Seattle 100.4
Cal St. Bakersfield 98.7
Cal Baptist 96.3
UT Rio Grande Valley 95.3
UMKC 95.0
Chicago St. 82.3

 

Alphabetical Ratings

Team Rating
Abilene Christian 99.3
Air Force 93.4
Akron 104.1
Alabama 107.8
Alabama A&M 84.8
Alabama St. 91.1
Albany 93.6
Alcorn St. 85.8
American 98.2
Appalachian St. 97.1
Arizona 108.3
Arizona St. 109.0
Arkansas 107.5
Arkansas Pine Bluff 90.0
Arkansas St. 94.9
Army 95.2
Auburn 114.9
Austin Peay 103.4
Ball St. 106.8
Baylor 108.5
Belmont 105.3
Bethune Cookman 91.6
Binghamton 90.8
Boise St. 103.4
Boston College 103.4
Boston U 97.0
Bowling Green 100.9
Bradley 98.0
Brown 102.4
Bryant 89.9
Bucknell 101.3
Buffalo 113.3
Butler 109.8
BYU 105.4
Cal Baptist 96.3
Cal Poly 91.4
Cal St. Bakersfield 98.7
Cal St. Fullerton 99.7
Cal St. Northridge 91.6
California 96.6
Campbell 96.8
Canisius 96.8
Central Arkansas 92.8
Central Connecticut 93.0
Central Florida 110.1
Central Michigan 100.5
Charleston 103.5
Charleston Southern 95.2
Charlotte 91.8
Chattanooga 93.6
Chicago St. 82.3
Cincinnati 112.1
Clemson 110.3
Cleveland St. 93.9
Coastal Carolina 99.6
Colgate 99.6
Colorado 105.7
Colorado St. 96.8
Columbia 96.6
Connecticut 105.3
Coppin St. 84.8
Cornell 95.5
Creighton 110.5
Dartmouth 97.5
Davidson 105.2
Dayton 107.0
Delaware 96.6
Delaware St. 81.3
Denver 91.5
DePaul 103.6
Detroit 96.2
Drake 102.0
Drexel 95.1
Duke 123.8
Duquesne 99.4
East Carolina 95.5
East Tennessee St. 106.7
Eastern Illinois 92.8
Eastern Kentucky 95.4
Eastern Michigan 97.9
Eastern Washington 93.9
Elon 89.7
Evansville 99.5
Fairfield 95.9
Fairleigh Dickinson 96.0
Florida 112.3
Florida A&M 89.1
Florida Atlantic 97.4
Florida Gulf Coast 94.5
Florida Int’l. 96.3
Florida St. 112.8
Fordham 97.1
Fresno St. 108.0
Furman 104.9
Gardner Webb 101.1
George Mason 102.1
George Washington 95.6
Georgetown 105.4
Georgia 105.4
Georgia Southern 103.5
Georgia St. 104.9
Georgia Tech 105.7
Gonzaga 120.3
Grambling 92.2
Grand Canyon 104.2
Green Bay 98.7
Hampton 96.7
Hartford 97.9
Harvard 104.4
Hawaii 98.2
High Point 96.7
Hofstra 106.2
Holy Cross 100.1
Houston 111.1
Houston Baptist 94.1
Howard 92.9
Idaho 90.7
Idaho St. 95.2
Illinois 104.4
Illinois Chicago 96.8
Illinois St. 99.1
Incarnate Word 87.1
Indiana 112.3
Indiana St. 98.5
Iona 97.2
Iowa 110.8
Iowa St. 114.3
IUPUI 98.7
Jackson St. 88.9
Jacksonville 94.3
Jacksonville St. 102.2
James Madison 95.1
Kansas 115.9
Kansas St. 108.5
Kennesaw St. 85.9
Kent St. 100.5
Kentucky 114.2
La Salle 96.7
Lafayette 92.9
Lamar 96.4
Lehigh 101.4
Liberty 106.7
Lipscomb 108.0
Little Rock 95.8
Long Beach St. 97.5
Long Island 95.2
Longwood 93.6
Louisiana 100.3
Louisiana Monroe 101.0
Louisiana Tech 102.0
Louisville 110.6
Loyola Chi 105.2
Loyola Marymount 101.9
Loyola MD 92.3
LSU 109.6
Maine 89.4
Manhattan 90.2
Marist 96.1
Marquette 111.6
Marshall 102.1
Maryland 112.2
Maryland Eastern Shore 82.7
Maryland-Balt. Co. 96.0
Massachusetts 100.7
McNeese St. 92.3
Memphis 104.7
Mercer 99.5
Miami (Fla) 107.9
Miami (O) 99.0
Michigan 116.1
Michigan St. 119.4
Middle Tennessee 93.5
Milwaukee 93.1
Minnesota 107.2
Mississippi 110.2
Mississippi St. 112.4
Mississippi Valley St. 83.5
Missouri 105.3
Missouri St. 98.6
Monmouth 93.0
Montana 103.4
Montana St. 94.2
Morehead St. 94.6
Morgan St. 89.9
Mount St. Mary’s 89.6
Murray St. 107.7
Navy 92.4
Nebraska 114.1
Nevada 114.5
New Hampshire 88.4
New Mexico 100.6
New Mexico St. 105.8
New Orleans 93.1
Niagara 93.4
Nicholls St. 93.6
NJIT 100.2
Norfolk St. 93.9
North Alabama 88.9
North Carolina 119.2
North Carolina A&T 91.9
North Carolina Central 93.9
North Carolina St. 114.0
North Dakota 94.6
North Dakota St. 97.8
North Florida 97.5
North Texas 103.6
Northeastern 103.7
Northern Arizona 91.9
Northern Colorado 100.4
Northern Illinois 101.9
Northern Iowa 97.5
Northern Kentucky 104.4
Northwestern 108.1
Northwestern St. 86.1
Notre Dame 106.4
Oakland 96.2
Ohio 98.3
Ohio St. 112.3
Oklahoma 112.9
Oklahoma St. 105.0
Old Dominion 104.9
Omaha 98.2
Oral Roberts 92.9
Oregon 108.8
Oregon St. 106.2
Pacific 98.8
Penn 103.8
Penn St. 107.4
Pepperdine 98.3
Pittsburgh 105.2
Portland 91.9
Portland St. 94.5
Prairie View A&M 93.3
Presbyterian 96.2
Princeton 99.5
Providence 106.4
Purdue 113.1
Purdue Fort Wayne 100.6
Quinnipiac 95.6
Radford 101.9
Rhode Island 104.8
Rice 92.7
Richmond 99.2
Rider 101.0
Robert Morris 94.9
Rutgers 104.7
Sacramento St. 94.4
Sacred Heart 94.3
Saint Joseph’s 99.6
Saint Louis 104.4
Saint Mary’s 110.1
Saint Peter’s 93.4
Sam Houston St. 95.8
Samford 100.0
San Diego 104.8
San Diego St. 103.7
San Francisco 109.0
San Jose St. 88.9
Santa Clara 97.0
Savannah St. 84.1
Seattle 100.4
Seton Hall 108.7
Siena 94.4
SIU Edwardsville 89.9
SMU 105.4
South Alabama 97.2
South Carolina 105.0
South Carolina St. 88.6
South Dakota 97.2
South Dakota St. 106.2
South Florida 100.8
Southeast Missouri St. 93.1
Southeastern Louisiana 91.1
Southern 87.8
Southern Illinois 102.4
Southern Miss 100.2
Southern Utah 93.3
St. Bonaventure 100.8
St. Francis BKN 94.1
St. Francis PA 95.8
St. John’s 110.4
Stanford 102.0
Stephen F. Austin 96.9
Stetson 86.8
Stony Brook 101.2
Syracuse 111.4
TCU 111.7
Temple 107.4
Tennessee 118.1
Tennessee Martin 91.9
Tennessee St. 92.5
Tennessee Tech 90.2
Texas 110.9
Texas A&M 105.0
Texas A&M CC 93.4
Texas Southern 98.7
Texas St. 103.7
Texas Tech 115.5
The Citadel 97.6
Toledo 106.4
Towson 94.3
Troy 97.7
Tulane 93.6
Tulsa 102.6
UAB 99.4
UC Davis 95.7
UC Irvine 103.7
UC Riverside 92.8
UC Santa Barbara 102.2
UCLA 106.8
UMass Lowell 94.8
UMKC 95.0
UNC Asheville 84.9
UNC Greensboro 103.9
UNC Wilmington 96.2
UNLV 101.5
USC 105.6
USC Upstate 90.6
UT Arlington 95.2
UT Rio Grande Valley 95.3
Utah 102.1
Utah St. 108.4
Utah Valley 102.2
UTEP 95.0
UTSA 97.4
Valparaiso 100.6
Vanderbilt 105.9
Vermont 105.9
Villanova 112.2
Virginia 119.9
Virginia Commonwealth 107.7
Virginia Tech 116.3
VMI 89.6
Wagner 96.3
Wake Forest 100.7
Washington 108.2
Washington St. 98.2
Weber St. 99.5
West Virginia 108.4
Western Carolina 91.8
Western Illinois 93.3
Western Kentucky 105.3
Western Michigan 97.4
Wichita St. 102.9
William & Mary 98.1
Winthrop 101.3
Wisconsin 114.1
Wofford 110.1
Wright St. 100.4
Wyoming 92.8
Xavier 105.9
Yale 105.2
Youngstown St. 92.3

 

Note: We will add a new update rating on Mondays to reflect the weekend games.  They should be published later in the day, but usually before 6 PM Eastern Time.

The updated Ratings will be presented in a different entry from the regular Bracketology Report.

Also, continuing next week, we will present part 2 of our Fun Stuff For Stats Buffs.  We’ll show you how to calculate stats for individual players.  Then, in part 3, we will attempt to show you how to calculate offensive and defensive efficiency.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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