PiRate Ratings College Basketball Preview for January 12-13, 2019

This Weekend’s PiRate Ratings Spreads for Power Conferences and Top 25 Teams

Saturday’s Games
Home Team	Visitor	Spread
Clemson	Virginia	-6.6
North Carolina	Louisville	12.1
North Carolina St.	Pittsburgh	11.8
Notre Dame	Boston College	6.5
Florida St.	Duke	-8
Miami (Fla.)	Wake Forest	9.7
Syracuse	Georgia Tech	8.7
Temple	South Florida	9.6
SMU	Tulsa	5.8
Houston	Wichita St.	11.2
Cincinnati	Connecticut	9.8
Iowa St.	Kansas St.	9.3
West Virginia	Oklahoma St.	6.9
Texas	Texas Tech	-2.1
Oklahoma	TCU	4.2
Baylor	Kansas	-4.4
Georgetown	Providence	2.0
Marquette	Seton Hall	5.9
St. John’s	DePaul	9.8
Minnesota	Rutgers	6.0
Iowa	Ohio St.	1.5
San Jose St.	Boise St.	-12.0
Air Force	San Diego St.	-7.8
Colorado St.	New Mexico	-1.3
Wyoming	Utah St.	-12.1
Fresno St.	Nevada	-3.5
Stanford	Arizona St.	-4.0
Utah	Washington St.	6.9
Colorado	Washington	0.5
California	Arizona	-8.7
Mississippi St.	Ole Miss	4.7
South Carolina	Missouri	2.7
Alabama	Texas A&M	5.8
Auburn	Georgia	12.5
Florida	Tennessee	-2.8
Arkansas	LSU	0.9
Kentucky	Vanderbilt	11.8
San Francisco	Gonzaga	-8.8

 

Sunday’s Games
Home Team	Visitor	Spread
Xavier	Butler	-1.4
Creighton	Villanova	1.3
Central Florida	East Carolina	17.6
Penn St.	Michigan St.	-9.0
Tulane	Memphis	-8.6
Michigan	Northwestern	11.0
Oregon	USC	6.2
Oregon St.	UCLA	2.4

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Thank yous go out to Stephanie in Orlando, Florida, and Brad in Las Vegas for both recommending that we include an alphabetical listing as well as ranking from 1-353 of all the D1 teams.  The alphabetical listing will follow the ratings by conference.

By the way, we believe this is the same Stephanie that first recommended the addition of alternating colors so she could better see the spreads on her iPhone.

If you have requests to make our site’s appearance look easier to read, please contact us through our dormant old website: https://piratings.webs.com/contactus.htm

Rk	Team	PiRate
1	Duke	123.8
2	Gonzaga	120.3
3	Virginia	119.9
4	Michigan St.	119.4
5	North Carolina	119.2
6	Tennessee	118.1
7	Virginia Tech	116.3
8	Michigan	116.1
9	Kansas	115.9
10	Texas Tech	115.5
11	Auburn	114.9
12	Nevada	114.5
13	Iowa St.	114.3
14	Kentucky	114.2
15	Nebraska	114.1
16	Wisconsin	114.1
17	North Carolina St.	114.0
18	Buffalo	113.3
19	Purdue	113.1
20	Oklahoma	112.9
21	Florida St.	112.8
22	Mississippi St.	112.4
23	Ohio St.	112.3
24	Florida	112.3
25	Indiana	112.3
26	Villanova	112.2
27	Maryland	112.2
28	Cincinnati	112.1
29	TCU	111.7
30	Marquette	111.6
31	Syracuse	111.4
32	Houston	111.1
33	Texas	110.9
34	Iowa	110.8
35	Louisville	110.6
36	Creighton	110.5
37	St. John’s	110.4
38	Clemson	110.3
39	Mississippi	110.2
40	Central Florida	110.1
41	Wofford	110.1
42	Saint Mary’s	110.1
43	Butler	109.8
44	LSU	109.6
45	Arizona St.	109.0
46	San Francisco	109.0
47	Oregon	108.8
48	Seton Hall	108.7
49	Kansas St.	108.5
50	Baylor	108.5
51	Utah St.	108.4
52	West Virginia	108.4
53	Arizona	108.3
54	Washington	108.2
55	Northwestern	108.1
56	Lipscomb	108.0
57	Fresno St.	108.0
58	Miami (Fla)	107.9
59	Alabama	107.8
60	Murray St.	107.7
61	Virginia Commonwealth	107.7
62	Arkansas	107.5
63	Penn St.	107.4
64	Temple	107.4
65	Minnesota	107.2
66	Dayton	107.0
67	UCLA	106.8
68	Ball St.	106.8
69	Liberty	106.7
70	East Tennessee St.	106.7
71	Notre Dame	106.4
72	Toledo	106.4
73	Providence	106.4
74	South Dakota St.	106.2
75	Oregon St.	106.2
76	Hofstra	106.2
77	Vermont	105.9
78	Vanderbilt	105.9
79	Xavier	105.9
80	New Mexico St.	105.8
81	Colorado	105.7
82	Georgia Tech	105.7
83	USC	105.6
84	BYU	105.4
85	Georgetown	105.4
86	SMU	105.4
87	Georgia	105.4
88	Missouri	105.3
89	Western Kentucky	105.3
90	Connecticut	105.3
91	Belmont	105.3
92	Pittsburgh	105.2
93	Davidson	105.2
94	Loyola Chi	105.2
95	Yale	105.2
96	Texas A&M	105.0
97	Oklahoma St.	105.0
98	South Carolina	105.0
99	Georgia St.	104.9
100	Furman	104.9
101	Old Dominion	104.9
102	San Diego	104.8
103	Rhode Island	104.8
104	Memphis	104.7
105	Rutgers	104.7
106	Illinois	104.4
107	Saint Louis	104.4
108	Harvard	104.4
109	Northern Kentucky	104.4
110	Grand Canyon	104.2
111	Akron	104.1
112	UNC Greensboro	103.9
113	Penn	103.8
114	Northeastern	103.7
115	UC Irvine	103.7
116	San Diego St.	103.7
117	Texas St.	103.7
118	North Texas	103.6
119	DePaul	103.6
120	Georgia Southern	103.5
121	Charleston	103.5
122	Austin Peay	103.4
123	Boston College	103.4
124	Boise St.	103.4
125	Montana	103.4
126	Wichita St.	102.9
127	Tulsa	102.6
128	Brown	102.4
129	Southern Illinois	102.4
130	UC Santa Barbara	102.2
131	Jacksonville St.	102.2
132	Utah Valley	102.2
133	Marshall	102.1
134	George Mason	102.1
135	Utah	102.1
136	Stanford	102.0
137	Drake	102.0
138	Louisiana Tech	102.0
139	Northern Illinois	101.9
140	Radford	101.9
141	Loyola Marymount	101.9
142	UNLV	101.5
143	Lehigh	101.4
144	Winthrop	101.3
145	Bucknell	101.3
146	Stony Brook	101.2
147	Gardner Webb	101.1
148	Rider	101.0
149	Louisiana Monroe	101.0
150	Bowling Green	100.9
151	St. Bonaventure	100.8
152	South Florida	100.8
153	Wake Forest	100.7
154	Massachusetts	100.7
155	New Mexico	100.6
156	Purdue Fort Wayne	100.6
157	Valparaiso	100.6
158	Kent St.	100.5
159	Central Michigan	100.5
160	Northern Colorado	100.4
161	Wright St.	100.4
162	Seattle	100.4
163	Louisiana	100.3
164	NJIT	100.2
165	Southern Miss	100.2
166	Holy Cross	100.1
167	Samford	100.0
168	Cal St. Fullerton	99.7
169	Saint Joseph’s	99.6
170	Coastal Carolina	99.6
171	Colgate	99.6
172	Evansville	99.5
173	Princeton	99.5
174	Weber St.	99.5
175	Mercer	99.5
176	UAB	99.4
177	Duquesne	99.4
178	Abilene Christian	99.3
179	Richmond	99.2
180	Illinois St.	99.1
181	Miami (O)	99.0
182	Pacific	98.8
183	IUPUI	98.7
184	Cal St. Bakersfield	98.7
185	Green Bay	98.7
186	Texas Southern	98.7
187	Missouri St.	98.6
188	Indiana St.	98.5
189	Ohio	98.3
190	Pepperdine	98.3
191	Omaha	98.2
192	American	98.2
193	Hawaii	98.2
194	Washington St.	98.2
195	William & Mary	98.1
196	Bradley	98.0
197	Eastern Michigan	97.9
198	Hartford	97.9
199	North Dakota St.	97.8
200	Troy	97.7
201	The Citadel	97.6
202	Northern Iowa	97.5
203	North Florida	97.5
204	Long Beach St.	97.5
205	Dartmouth	97.5
206	Florida Atlantic	97.4
207	UTSA	97.4
208	Western Michigan	97.4
209	Iona	97.2
210	South Dakota	97.2
211	South Alabama	97.2
212	Appalachian St.	97.1
213	Fordham	97.1
214	Boston U	97.0
215	Santa Clara	97.0
216	Stephen F. Austin	96.9
217	Campbell	96.8
218	Illinois Chicago	96.8
219	Canisius	96.8
220	Colorado St.	96.8
221	La Salle	96.7
222	Hampton	96.7
223	High Point	96.7
224	Columbia	96.6
225	California	96.6
226	Delaware	96.6
227	Lamar	96.4
228	Wagner	96.3
229	Florida Int’l.	96.3
230	Cal Baptist	96.3
231	Detroit	96.2
232	UNC Wilmington	96.2
233	Presbyterian	96.2
234	Oakland	96.2
235	Marist	96.1
236	Maryland-Balt. Co.	96.0
237	Fairleigh Dickinson	96.0
238	Fairfield	95.9
239	Little Rock	95.8
240	St. Francis PA	95.8
241	Sam Houston St.	95.8
242	UC Davis	95.7
243	George Washington	95.6
244	Quinnipiac	95.6
245	East Carolina	95.5
246	Cornell	95.5
247	Eastern Kentucky	95.4
248	UT Rio Grande Valley	95.3
249	Army	95.2
250	UT Arlington	95.2
251	Long Island	95.2
252	Charleston Southern	95.2
253	Idaho St.	95.2
254	James Madison	95.1
255	Drexel	95.1
256	UMKC	95.0
257	UTEP	95.0
258	Arkansas St.	94.9
259	Robert Morris	94.9
260	UMass Lowell	94.8
261	Morehead St.	94.6
262	North Dakota	94.6
263	Florida Gulf Coast	94.5
264	Portland St.	94.5
265	Sacramento St.	94.4
266	Siena	94.4
267	Sacred Heart	94.3
268	Jacksonville	94.3
269	Towson	94.3
270	Montana St.	94.2
271	St. Francis BKN	94.1
272	Houston Baptist	94.1
273	North Carolina Central	93.9
274	Cleveland St.	93.9
275	Eastern Washington	93.9
276	Norfolk St.	93.9
277	Longwood	93.6
278	Nicholls St.	93.6
279	Chattanooga	93.6
280	Tulane	93.6
281	Albany	93.6
282	Middle Tennessee	93.5
283	Texas A&M CC	93.4
284	Air Force	93.4
285	Saint Peter’s	93.4
286	Niagara	93.4
287	Southern Utah	93.3
288	Prairie View A&M	93.3
289	Western Illinois	93.3
290	New Orleans	93.1
291	Milwaukee	93.1
292	Southeast Missouri St.	93.1
293	Central Connecticut	93.0
294	Monmouth	93.0
295	Oral Roberts	92.9
296	Lafayette	92.9
297	Howard	92.9
298	Eastern Illinois	92.8
299	UC Riverside	92.8
300	Wyoming	92.8
301	Central Arkansas	92.8
302	Rice	92.7
303	Tennessee St.	92.5
304	Navy	92.4
305	Loyola MD	92.3
306	Youngstown St.	92.3
307	McNeese St.	92.3
308	Grambling	92.2
309	Northern Arizona	91.9
310	Tennessee Martin	91.9
311	North Carolina A&T	91.9
312	Portland	91.9
313	Charlotte	91.8
314	Western Carolina	91.8
315	Cal St. Northridge	91.6
316	Bethune Cookman	91.6
317	Denver	91.5
318	Cal Poly	91.4
319	Alabama St.	91.1
320	Southeastern Louisiana	91.1
321	Binghamton	90.8
322	Idaho	90.7
323	USC Upstate	90.6
324	Manhattan	90.2
325	Tennessee Tech	90.2
326	Arkansas Pine Bluff	90.0
327	Morgan St.	89.9
328	SIU Edwardsville	89.9
329	Bryant	89.9
330	Elon	89.7
331	VMI	89.6
332	Mount St. Mary’s	89.6
333	Maine	89.4
334	Florida A&M	89.1
335	San Jose St.	88.9
336	Jackson St.	88.9
337	North Alabama	88.9
338	South Carolina St.	88.6
339	New Hampshire	88.4
340	Southern	87.8
341	Incarnate Word	87.1
342	Stetson	86.8
343	Northwestern St.	86.1
344	Kennesaw St.	85.9
345	Alcorn St.	85.8
346	UNC Asheville	84.9
347	Alabama A&M	84.8
348	Coppin St.	84.8
349	Savannah St.	84.1
350	Mississippi Valley St.	83.5
351	Maryland Eastern Shore	82.7
352	Chicago St.	82.3
353	Delaware St.	81.3

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference

America East
Vermont	105.9
Stony Brook	101.2
Hartford	97.9
Maryland-Balt. Co.	96.0
UMass Lowell	94.8
Albany	93.6
Binghamton	90.8
Maine	89.4
New Hampshire	88.4
American Athletic
Cincinnati	112.1
Houston	111.1
Central Florida	110.1
Temple	107.4
SMU	105.4
Connecticut	105.3
Memphis	104.7
Wichita St.	102.9
Tulsa	102.6
South Florida	100.8
East Carolina	95.5
Tulane	93.6
Atlantic 10
Virginia Commonwealth	107.7
Dayton	107.0
Davidson	105.2
Rhode Island	104.8
Saint Louis	104.4
George Mason	102.1
St. Bonaventure	100.8
Massachusetts	100.7
Saint Joseph’s	99.6
Duquesne	99.4
Richmond	99.2
Fordham	97.1
La Salle	96.7
George Washington	95.6
Atlantic Coast
Duke	123.8
Virginia	119.9
North Carolina	119.2
Virginia Tech	116.3
North Carolina St.	114.0
Florida St.	112.8
Syracuse	111.4
Louisville	110.6
Clemson	110.3
Miami (Fla)	107.9
Notre Dame	106.4
Georgia Tech	105.7
Pittsburgh	105.2
Boston College	103.4
Wake Forest	100.7
Atlantic Sun
Lipscomb	108.0
Liberty	106.7
NJIT	100.2
North Florida	97.5
Florida Gulf Coast	94.5
Jacksonville	94.3
North Alabama	88.9
Stetson	86.8
Kennesaw St.	85.9
Big 12
Kansas	115.9
Texas Tech	115.5
Iowa St.	114.3
Oklahoma	112.9
TCU	111.7
Texas	110.9
Kansas St.	108.5
Baylor	108.5
West Virginia	108.4
Oklahoma St.	105.0
Big East
Villanova	112.2
Marquette	111.6
Creighton	110.5
St. John’s	110.4
Butler	109.8
Seton Hall	108.7
Providence	106.4
Xavier	105.9
Georgetown	105.4
DePaul	103.6
Big Sky
Montana	103.4
Northern Colorado	100.4
Weber St.	99.5
Idaho St.	95.2
Portland St.	94.5
Sacramento St.	94.4
Montana St.	94.2
Eastern Washington	93.9
Southern Utah	93.3
Northern Arizona	91.9
Idaho	90.7
Big South
Radford	101.9
Winthrop	101.3
Gardner Webb	101.1
Campbell	96.8
Hampton	96.7
High Point	96.7
Presbyterian	96.2
Charleston Southern	95.2
Longwood	93.6
USC Upstate	90.6
UNC Asheville	84.9
Big Ten
Michigan St.	119.4
Michigan	116.1
Nebraska	114.1
Wisconsin	114.1
Purdue	113.1
Ohio St.	112.3
Indiana	112.3
Maryland	112.2
Iowa	110.8
Northwestern	108.1
Penn St.	107.4
Minnesota	107.2
Rutgers	104.7
Illinois	104.4
Big West
UC Irvine	103.7
UC Santa Barbara	102.2
Cal St. Fullerton	99.7
Hawaii	98.2
Long Beach St.	97.5
UC Davis	95.7
UC Riverside	92.8
Cal St. Northridge	91.6
Cal Poly	91.4
Colonial Athletic
Hofstra	106.2
Northeastern	103.7
Charleston	103.5
William & Mary	98.1
Delaware	96.6
UNC Wilmington	96.2
James Madison	95.1
Drexel	95.1
Towson	94.3
Elon	89.7
Conference USA
Western Kentucky	105.3
Old Dominion	104.9
North Texas	103.6
Marshall	102.1
Louisiana Tech	102.0
Southern Miss	100.2
UAB	99.4
Florida Atlantic	97.4
UTSA	97.4
Florida Int’l.	96.3
UTEP	95.0
Middle Tennessee	93.5
Rice	92.7
Charlotte	91.8
Horizon
Northern Kentucky	104.4
Wright St.	100.4
IUPUI	98.7
Green Bay	98.7
Illinois Chicago	96.8
Detroit	96.2
Oakland	96.2
Cleveland St.	93.9
Milwaukee	93.1
Youngstown St.	92.3
Ivy
Yale	105.2
Harvard	104.4
Penn	103.8
Brown	102.4
Princeton	99.5
Dartmouth	97.5
Columbia	96.6
Cornell	95.5
Metro Atlantic
Rider	101.0
Iona	97.2
Canisius	96.8
Marist	96.1
Fairfield	95.9
Quinnipiac	95.6
Siena	94.4
Saint Peter’s	93.4
Niagara	93.4
Monmouth	93.0
Manhattan	90.2
Mid-American
Buffalo	113.3
Ball St.	106.8
Toledo	106.4
Akron	104.1
Northern Illinois	101.9
Bowling Green	100.9
Kent St.	100.5
Central Michigan	100.5
Miami (O)	99.0
Ohio	98.3
Eastern Michigan	97.9
Western Michigan	97.4
Mideastern Athletic
North Carolina Central	93.9
Norfolk St.	93.9
Howard	92.9
North Carolina A&T	91.9
Bethune Cookman	91.6
Morgan St.	89.9
Florida A&M	89.1
South Carolina St.	88.6
Coppin St.	84.8
Savannah St.	84.1
Maryland Eastern Shore	82.7
Delaware St.	81.3
Missouri Valley
Loyola Chi	105.2
Southern Illinois	102.4
Drake	102.0
Valparaiso	100.6
Evansville	99.5
Illinois St.	99.1
Missouri St.	98.6
Indiana St.	98.5
Bradley	98.0
Northern Iowa	97.5
Mountain West
Nevada	114.5
Utah St.	108.4
Fresno St.	108.0
San Diego St.	103.7
Boise St.	103.4
UNLV	101.5
New Mexico	100.6
Colorado St.	96.8
Air Force	93.4
Wyoming	92.8
San Jose St.	88.9
Northeast
Wagner	96.3
Fairleigh Dickinson	96.0
St. Francis PA	95.8
Long Island	95.2
Robert Morris	94.9
Sacred Heart	94.3
St. Francis BKN	94.1
Central Connecticut	93.0
Bryant	89.9
Mount St. Mary’s	89.6
Ohio Valley
Murray St.	107.7
Belmont	105.3
Austin Peay	103.4
Jacksonville St.	102.2
Eastern Kentucky	95.4
Morehead St.	94.6
Southeast Missouri St.	93.1
Eastern Illinois	92.8
Tennessee St.	92.5
Tennessee Martin	91.9
Tennessee Tech	90.2
SIU Edwardsville	89.9
Pac-12
Arizona St.	109.0
Oregon	108.8
Arizona	108.3
Washington	108.2
UCLA	106.8
Oregon St.	106.2
Colorado	105.7
USC	105.6
Utah	102.1
Stanford	102.0
Washington St.	98.2
California	96.6
Patriot
Lehigh	101.4
Bucknell	101.3
Holy Cross	100.1
Colgate	99.6
American	98.2
Boston U	97.0
Army	95.2
Lafayette	92.9
Navy	92.4
Loyola MD	92.3
Southeastern
Tennessee	118.1
Auburn	114.9
Kentucky	114.2
Mississippi St.	112.4
Florida	112.3
Mississippi	110.2
LSU	109.6
Alabama	107.8
Arkansas	107.5
Vanderbilt	105.9
Georgia	105.4
Missouri	105.3
Texas A&M	105.0
South Carolina	105.0
Southern
Wofford	110.1
East Tennessee St.	106.7
Furman	104.9
UNC Greensboro	103.9
Samford	100.0
Mercer	99.5
The Citadel	97.6
Chattanooga	93.6
Western Carolina	91.8
VMI	89.6
Southland
Abilene Christian	99.3
Stephen F. Austin	96.9
Lamar	96.4
Sam Houston St.	95.8
Houston Baptist	94.1
Nicholls St.	93.6
Texas A&M CC	93.4
New Orleans	93.1
Central Arkansas	92.8
McNeese St.	92.3
Southeastern Louisiana	91.1
Incarnate Word	87.1
Northwestern St.	86.1
Southwestern Athletic
Texas Southern	98.7
Prairie View A&M	93.3
Grambling	92.2
Alabama St.	91.1
Arkansas Pine Bluff	90.0
Jackson St.	88.9
Southern	87.8
Alcorn St.	85.8
Alabama A&M	84.8
Mississippi Valley St.	83.5
Summit
South Dakota St.	106.2
Purdue Fort Wayne	100.6
Omaha	98.2
North Dakota St.	97.8
South Dakota	97.2
North Dakota	94.6
Western Illinois	93.3
Oral Roberts	92.9
Denver	91.5
Sun Belt
Georgia St.	104.9
Texas St.	103.7
Georgia Southern	103.5
Louisiana Monroe	101.0
Louisiana	100.3
Coastal Carolina	99.6
Troy	97.7
South Alabama	97.2
Appalachian St.	97.1
Little Rock	95.8
UT Arlington	95.2
Arkansas St.	94.9
West Coast
Gonzaga	120.3
Saint Mary’s	110.1
San Francisco	109.0
BYU	105.4
San Diego	104.8
Loyola Marymount	101.9
Pacific	98.8
Pepperdine	98.3
Santa Clara	97.0
Portland	91.9
Western Athletic
New Mexico St.	105.8
Grand Canyon	104.2
Utah Valley	102.2
Seattle	100.4
Cal St. Bakersfield	98.7
Cal Baptist	96.3
UT Rio Grande Valley	95.3
UMKC	95.0
Chicago St.	82.3

 

Alphabetical Ratings

Team	Rating
Abilene Christian	99.3
Air Force	93.4
Akron	104.1
Alabama	107.8
Alabama A&M	84.8
Alabama St.	91.1
Albany	93.6
Alcorn St.	85.8
American	98.2
Appalachian St.	97.1
Arizona	108.3
Arizona St.	109.0
Arkansas	107.5
Arkansas Pine Bluff	90.0
Arkansas St.	94.9
Army	95.2
Auburn	114.9
Austin Peay	103.4
Ball St.	106.8
Baylor	108.5
Belmont	105.3
Bethune Cookman	91.6
Binghamton	90.8
Boise St.	103.4
Boston College	103.4
Boston U	97.0
Bowling Green	100.9
Bradley	98.0
Brown	102.4
Bryant	89.9
Bucknell	101.3
Buffalo	113.3
Butler	109.8
BYU	105.4
Cal Baptist	96.3
Cal Poly	91.4
Cal St. Bakersfield	98.7
Cal St. Fullerton	99.7
Cal St. Northridge	91.6
California	96.6
Campbell	96.8
Canisius	96.8
Central Arkansas	92.8
Central Connecticut	93.0
Central Florida	110.1
Central Michigan	100.5
Charleston	103.5
Charleston Southern	95.2
Charlotte	91.8
Chattanooga	93.6
Chicago St.	82.3
Cincinnati	112.1
Clemson	110.3
Cleveland St.	93.9
Coastal Carolina	99.6
Colgate	99.6
Colorado	105.7
Colorado St.	96.8
Columbia	96.6
Connecticut	105.3
Coppin St.	84.8
Cornell	95.5
Creighton	110.5
Dartmouth	97.5
Davidson	105.2
Dayton	107.0
Delaware	96.6
Delaware St.	81.3
Denver	91.5
DePaul	103.6
Detroit	96.2
Drake	102.0
Drexel	95.1
Duke	123.8
Duquesne	99.4
East Carolina	95.5
East Tennessee St.	106.7
Eastern Illinois	92.8
Eastern Kentucky	95.4
Eastern Michigan	97.9
Eastern Washington	93.9
Elon	89.7
Evansville	99.5
Fairfield	95.9
Fairleigh Dickinson	96.0
Florida	112.3
Florida A&M	89.1
Florida Atlantic	97.4
Florida Gulf Coast	94.5
Florida Int’l.	96.3
Florida St.	112.8
Fordham	97.1
Fresno St.	108.0
Furman	104.9
Gardner Webb	101.1
George Mason	102.1
George Washington	95.6
Georgetown	105.4
Georgia	105.4
Georgia Southern	103.5
Georgia St.	104.9
Georgia Tech	105.7
Gonzaga	120.3
Grambling	92.2
Grand Canyon	104.2
Green Bay	98.7
Hampton	96.7
Hartford	97.9
Harvard	104.4
Hawaii	98.2
High Point	96.7
Hofstra	106.2
Holy Cross	100.1
Houston	111.1
Houston Baptist	94.1
Howard	92.9
Idaho	90.7
Idaho St.	95.2
Illinois	104.4
Illinois Chicago	96.8
Illinois St.	99.1
Incarnate Word	87.1
Indiana	112.3
Indiana St.	98.5
Iona	97.2
Iowa	110.8
Iowa St.	114.3
IUPUI	98.7
Jackson St.	88.9
Jacksonville	94.3
Jacksonville St.	102.2
James Madison	95.1
Kansas	115.9
Kansas St.	108.5
Kennesaw St.	85.9
Kent St.	100.5
Kentucky	114.2
La Salle	96.7
Lafayette	92.9
Lamar	96.4
Lehigh	101.4
Liberty	106.7
Lipscomb	108.0
Little Rock	95.8
Long Beach St.	97.5
Long Island	95.2
Longwood	93.6
Louisiana	100.3
Louisiana Monroe	101.0
Louisiana Tech	102.0
Louisville	110.6
Loyola Chi	105.2
Loyola Marymount	101.9
Loyola MD	92.3
LSU	109.6
Maine	89.4
Manhattan	90.2
Marist	96.1
Marquette	111.6
Marshall	102.1
Maryland	112.2
Maryland Eastern Shore	82.7
Maryland-Balt. Co.	96.0
Massachusetts	100.7
McNeese St.	92.3
Memphis	104.7
Mercer	99.5
Miami (Fla)	107.9
Miami (O)	99.0
Michigan	116.1
Michigan St.	119.4
Middle Tennessee	93.5
Milwaukee	93.1
Minnesota	107.2
Mississippi	110.2
Mississippi St.	112.4
Mississippi Valley St.	83.5
Missouri	105.3
Missouri St.	98.6
Monmouth	93.0
Montana	103.4
Montana St.	94.2
Morehead St.	94.6
Morgan St.	89.9
Mount St. Mary’s	89.6
Murray St.	107.7
Navy	92.4
Nebraska	114.1
Nevada	114.5
New Hampshire	88.4
New Mexico	100.6
New Mexico St.	105.8
New Orleans	93.1
Niagara	93.4
Nicholls St.	93.6
NJIT	100.2
Norfolk St.	93.9
North Alabama	88.9
North Carolina	119.2
North Carolina A&T	91.9
North Carolina Central	93.9
North Carolina St.	114.0
North Dakota	94.6
North Dakota St.	97.8
North Florida	97.5
North Texas	103.6
Northeastern	103.7
Northern Arizona	91.9
Northern Colorado	100.4
Northern Illinois	101.9
Northern Iowa	97.5
Northern Kentucky	104.4
Northwestern	108.1
Northwestern St.	86.1
Notre Dame	106.4
Oakland	96.2
Ohio	98.3
Ohio St.	112.3
Oklahoma	112.9
Oklahoma St.	105.0
Old Dominion	104.9
Omaha	98.2
Oral Roberts	92.9
Oregon	108.8
Oregon St.	106.2
Pacific	98.8
Penn	103.8
Penn St.	107.4
Pepperdine	98.3
Pittsburgh	105.2
Portland	91.9
Portland St.	94.5
Prairie View A&M	93.3
Presbyterian	96.2
Princeton	99.5
Providence	106.4
Purdue	113.1
Purdue Fort Wayne	100.6
Quinnipiac	95.6
Radford	101.9
Rhode Island	104.8
Rice	92.7
Richmond	99.2
Rider	101.0
Robert Morris	94.9
Rutgers	104.7
Sacramento St.	94.4
Sacred Heart	94.3
Saint Joseph’s	99.6
Saint Louis	104.4
Saint Mary’s	110.1
Saint Peter’s	93.4
Sam Houston St.	95.8
Samford	100.0
San Diego	104.8
San Diego St.	103.7
San Francisco	109.0
San Jose St.	88.9
Santa Clara	97.0
Savannah St.	84.1
Seattle	100.4
Seton Hall	108.7
Siena	94.4
SIU Edwardsville	89.9
SMU	105.4
South Alabama	97.2
South Carolina	105.0
South Carolina St.	88.6
South Dakota	97.2
South Dakota St.	106.2
South Florida	100.8
Southeast Missouri St.	93.1
Southeastern Louisiana	91.1
Southern	87.8
Southern Illinois	102.4
Southern Miss	100.2
Southern Utah	93.3
St. Bonaventure	100.8
St. Francis BKN	94.1
St. Francis PA	95.8
St. John’s	110.4
Stanford	102.0
Stephen F. Austin	96.9
Stetson	86.8
Stony Brook	101.2
Syracuse	111.4
TCU	111.7
Temple	107.4
Tennessee	118.1
Tennessee Martin	91.9
Tennessee St.	92.5
Tennessee Tech	90.2
Texas	110.9
Texas A&M	105.0
Texas A&M CC	93.4
Texas Southern	98.7
Texas St.	103.7
Texas Tech	115.5
The Citadel	97.6
Toledo	106.4
Towson	94.3
Troy	97.7
Tulane	93.6
Tulsa	102.6
UAB	99.4
UC Davis	95.7
UC Irvine	103.7
UC Riverside	92.8
UC Santa Barbara	102.2
UCLA	106.8
UMass Lowell	94.8
UMKC	95.0
UNC Asheville	84.9
UNC Greensboro	103.9
UNC Wilmington	96.2
UNLV	101.5
USC	105.6
USC Upstate	90.6
UT Arlington	95.2
UT Rio Grande Valley	95.3
Utah	102.1
Utah St.	108.4
Utah Valley	102.2
UTEP	95.0
UTSA	97.4
Valparaiso	100.6
Vanderbilt	105.9
Vermont	105.9
Villanova	112.2
Virginia	119.9
Virginia Commonwealth	107.7
Virginia Tech	116.3
VMI	89.6
Wagner	96.3
Wake Forest	100.7
Washington	108.2
Washington St.	98.2
Weber St.	99.5
West Virginia	108.4
Western Carolina	91.8
Western Illinois	93.3
Western Kentucky	105.3
Western Michigan	97.4
Wichita St.	102.9
William & Mary	98.1
Winthrop	101.3
Wisconsin	114.1
Wofford	110.1
Wright St.	100.4
Wyoming	92.8
Xavier	105.9
Yale	105.2
Youngstown St.	92.3

 

Note: We will add a new update rating on Mondays to reflect the weekend games.  They should be published later in the day, but usually before 6 PM Eastern Time.

The updated Ratings will be presented in a different entry from the regular Bracketology Report.

Also, continuing next week, we will present part 2 of our Fun Stuff For Stats Buffs.  We’ll show you how to calculate stats for individual players.  Then, in part 3, we will attempt to show you how to calculate offensive and defensive efficiency.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Preview for January 5-6, 2019

This Weekend’s PiRate Ratings For Power Conferences & Top 25

Saturday’s Games
Home Team	Visitor	Spread
Virginia Tech	Boston College	16.1
Pittsburgh	North Carolina	-9.3
Notre Dame	Syracuse	-0.4
Georgia Tech	Wake Forest	6.5
Virginia	Florida St.	9.5
Duke	Clemson	16.7
Texas Tech	Kansas St.	11.1
Oklahoma	Oklahoma St.	10.6
TCU	Baylor	6.7
Iowa St.	Kansas	0.3
Texas	West Virginia	5.6
Butler	Creighton	1.1
Georgetown	St. John’s	-1.6
Providence	Villanova	-3.1
Ohio St.	Michigan St.	-2.4
Rutgers	Maryland	-3.8
Arizona	Utah	9.1
UCLA	California	12.0
Arizona St.	Colorado	5.3
Oregon	Oregon St.	6.3
Washington	Washington St.	11.0
Alabama	Kentucky	-3.9
Tennessee	Georgia	13.2
Texas A&M	Arkansas	0.6
Florida	South Carolina	12.7
Vanderbilt	Ole Miss	1.8
Gonzaga	Santa Clara	25.8
New Mexico	Nevada	-12.0

 

Sunday’s Games
Home Team	Visitor	Spread
Marquette	Xavier	7.5
DePaul	Seton Hall	-2.7
Northwestern	Illinois	7.2
Wichita St.	Temple	-0.9
Michigan	Indiana	6.4
Iowa	Nebraska	-2.2
Houston	Memphis	8.6
Louisville	Miami (Fla)	4.7
Penn St.	Wisconsin	-2.6
USC	Stanford	5.7

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings 1 to 353

Rk	Team	PiRate
1	Duke	123.3
2	Gonzaga	119.3
3	Virginia	118.6
4	Michigan St.	118.3
5	North Carolina	117.9
6	Virginia Tech	116.7
7	Kansas	116.3
8	Nevada	115.9
9	Tennessee	115.6
10	Auburn	115.6
11	Michigan	115.6
12	Texas Tech	115.6
13	Nebraska	114.7
14	Kentucky	114.5
15	North Carolina St.	114.5
16	Iowa St.	113.6
17	Purdue	113.5
18	Wisconsin	113.1
19	Florida St.	113.1
20	Ohio St.	112.9
21	Oklahoma	112.8
22	Mississippi St.	112.7
23	Cincinnati	112.7
24	Florida	112.7
25	Villanova	112.2
26	Indiana	112.2
27	Buffalo	111.9
28	TCU	111.8
29	Creighton	111.5
30	Texas	111.1
31	Houston	111.1
32	Maryland	110.9
33	Marquette	110.8
34	Syracuse	110.7
35	Clemson	110.6
36	St. John’s	110.2
37	Louisville	110.0
38	UCF	109.5
39	LSU	109.5
40	Iowa	109.5
41	Oregon	109.4
42	Saint Mary’s	109.4
43	Wofford	109.1
44	Butler	109.1
45	San Francisco	109.0
46	Seton Hall	108.8
47	Northwestern	108.8
48	Mississippi	108.6
49	Kansas St.	108.5
50	West Virginia	108.5
51	Utah St.	108.5
52	Arizona	108.4
53	Miami FL	108.3
54	Lipscomb	108.2
55	Toledo	108.2
56	Arizona St.	108.1
57	Baylor	108.1
58	Penn St.	108.0
59	Minnesota	107.9
60	Fresno St.	107.9
61	Alabama	107.6
62	Washington	107.6
63	Murray St.	107.4
64	Vanderbilt	107.4
65	Arkansas	107.3
66	Temple	107.1
67	VCU	106.9
68	Notre Dame	106.8
69	Providence	106.6
70	Ball St.	106.5
71	UCLA	106.4
72	Dayton	106.3
73	Xavier	106.3
74	Hofstra	106.2
75	Loyola Chicago	106.2
76	Missouri	106.1
77	New Mexico St.	105.9
78	BYU	105.9
79	South Dakota St.	105.9
80	Liberty	105.9
81	Colorado	105.8
82	Yale	105.7
83	SMU	105.7
84	Belmont	105.7
85	Oregon St.	105.6
86	Pittsburgh	105.6
87	USC	105.6
88	Georgetown	105.6
89	East Tennessee St.	105.5
90	Georgia	105.4
91	UNC Greensboro	105.4
92	Old Dominion	105.3
93	Connecticut	105.3
94	Davidson	105.2
95	Western Kentucky	105.2
96	Georgia Tech	105.1
97	Memphis	105.0
98	Texas A&M	104.9
99	Montana	104.8
100	San Diego	104.7
101	Saint Louis	104.7
102	Oklahoma St.	104.7
103	Rutgers	104.6
104	Rhode Island	104.4
105	Georgia St.	104.3
106	UC Irvine	104.3
107	Harvard	104.2
108	Vermont	104.2
109	San Diego St.	104.1
110	Akron	104.1
111	Illinois	104.1
112	Boston College	104.1
113	Furman	104.0
114	Penn	103.8
115	North Texas	103.8
116	DePaul	103.6
117	Grand Canyon	103.6
118	Texas St.	103.6
119	South Carolina	103.5
120	Northeastern	103.5
121	Northern Kentucky	103.5
122	Wichita St.	103.2
123	Georgia Southern	103.1
124	Louisiana Tech	102.8
125	Tulsa	102.8
126	Austin Peay	102.7
127	Boise St.	102.5
128	Marshall	102.5
129	Jacksonville St.	102.5
130	UCSB	102.4
131	Southern Illinois	102.4
132	Stanford	102.4
133	Utah	102.3
134	Radford	102.3
135	Saint Joseph’s	102.2
136	Utah Valley	102.2
137	Brown	102.0
138	Drake	101.9
139	Loyola Marymount	101.8
140	George Mason	101.7
141	Rider	101.5
142	Bucknell	101.5
143	Kent St.	101.5
144	Gardner Webb	101.5
145	Charleston	101.4
146	UMass	101.3
147	Winthrop	101.1
148	Northern Colorado	101.1
149	Wake Forest	101.1
150	UNLV	100.8
151	Lehigh	100.8
152	Holy Cross	100.7
153	Seattle	100.6
154	Weber St.	100.6
155	Richmond	100.5
156	Northern Illinois	100.5
157	Stony Brook	100.5
158	Louisiana	100.5
159	Louisiana Monroe	100.4
160	Samford	100.3
161	Miami OH	100.3
162	St. Bonaventure	100.1
163	Purdue Fort Wayne	100.1
164	Cal St. Fullerton	100.1
165	South Florida	100.1
166	NJIT	100.1
167	Southern Miss	100.1
168	Coastal Carolina	100.0
169	Wright St.	99.9
170	New Mexico	99.9
171	Ohio	99.6
172	Indiana St.	99.6
173	Central Michigan	99.5
174	Green Bay	99.5
175	Abilene Christian	99.4
176	Colgate	99.4
177	Duquesne	99.4
178	Princeton	99.3
179	Valparaiso	99.3
180	Mercer	99.2
181	Washington St.	99.1
182	UAB	99.1
183	Charleston Southern	99.1
184	Pacific	99.0
185	Illinois St.	99.0
186	Evansville	98.8
187	Bowling Green	98.7
188	Missouri St.	98.6
189	Cal St. Bakersfield	98.4
190	Bradley	98.4
191	Troy	98.4
192	American	98.4
193	IUPUI	98.4
194	The Citadel	98.2
195	Omaha	98.2
196	Hartford	98.1
197	Appalachian St.	98.1
198	Pepperdine	98.0
199	Texas Southern	97.9
200	South Dakota	97.9
201	Fordham	97.9
202	Northern Iowa	97.7
203	California Baptist	97.7
204	Western Michigan	97.7
205	Hawaii	97.6
206	North Dakota St.	97.6
207	Wagner	97.6
208	Eastern Michigan	97.6
209	Santa Clara	97.5
210	Iona	97.5
211	Florida International	97.5
212	Stephen F. Austin	97.5
213	William & Mary	97.4
214	Dartmouth	97.4
215	Boston University	97.2
216	Oakland	97.1
217	South Alabama	97.1
218	Lamar	97.1
219	UTSA	97.0
220	North Florida	97.0
221	Illinois Chicago	97.0
222	California	96.9
223	Canisius	96.9
224	Long Beach St.	96.8
225	St. Francis PA	96.8
226	Columbia	96.7
227	Presbyterian	96.6
228	UNC Wilmington	96.5
229	Florida Atlantic	96.5
230	Hampton	96.4
231	Detroit	96.3
232	Idaho St.	96.3
233	Campbell	96.2
234	High Point	96.1
235	Delaware	96.0
236	UMBC	95.9
237	Fairfield	95.9
238	Marist	95.8
239	Colorado St.	95.7
240	UMass Lowell	95.6
241	Florida Gulf Coast	95.5
242	LIU Brooklyn	95.5
243	Little Rock	95.5
244	Fairleigh Dickinson	95.5
245	La Salle	95.5
246	Quinnipiac	95.4
247	UC Davis	95.4
248	UTEP	95.3
249	Towson	95.3
250	Drexel	95.3
251	Sacramento St.	95.2
252	Cornell	95.2
253	UMKC	95.0
254	Eastern Kentucky	95.0
255	Robert Morris	94.9
256	Arkansas St.	94.9
257	Morehead St.	94.8
258	Army	94.8
259	Albany	94.8
260	Sam Houston St.	94.8
261	UT Arlington	94.8
262	Siena	94.8
263	Niagara	94.8
264	UT Rio Grande Valley	94.7
265	Western Illinois	94.6
266	James Madison	94.4
267	Houston Baptist	94.3
268	East Carolina	94.3
269	Milwaukee	94.3
270	Tulane	94.2
271	George Washington	94.2
272	Air Force	94.2
273	Middle Tennessee	94.1
274	Saint Peter’s	94.1
275	Cleveland St.	94.0
276	Norfolk St.	94.0
277	North Carolina Central	94.0
278	Nicholls St.	93.9
279	Grambling St.	93.9
280	Eastern Washington	93.9
281	Longwood	93.8
282	St. Francis NY	93.8
283	Sacred Heart	93.8
284	Chattanooga	93.7
285	Portland St.	93.7
286	Southeast Missouri St.	93.6
287	Wyoming	93.6
288	North Dakota	93.4
289	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	93.3
290	Central Arkansas	93.2
291	Loyola MD	93.2
292	Jacksonville	93.1
293	Montana St.	93.1
294	Prairie View A&M	93.1
295	Eastern Illinois	93.0
296	Oral Roberts	92.8
297	Central Connecticut	92.7
298	Denver	92.7
299	Monmouth	92.6
300	UC Riverside	92.6
301	Tennessee St.	92.5
302	McNeese St.	92.5
303	Howard	92.3
304	Southern Utah	92.3
305	Lafayette	92.2
306	UT Martin	92.2
307	New Orleans	92.2
308	Portland	92.1
309	Rice	91.9
310	Navy	91.9
311	Southeastern Louisiana	91.8
312	Bethune Cookman	91.7
313	Charlotte	91.4
314	North Carolina A&T	91.4
315	Cal Poly	91.3
316	Youngstown St.	91.2
317	Cal St. Northridge	91.2
318	Idaho	90.9
319	Northern Arizona	90.8
320	Western Carolina	90.7
321	Binghamton	90.6
322	Morgan St.	90.4
323	Manhattan	90.3
324	USC Upstate	90.2
325	Arkansas Pine Bluff	90.1
326	Maine	90.1
327	VMI	90.1
328	Elon	90.1
329	Mount St. Mary’s	90.0
330	SIU Edwardsville	90.0
331	Alabama St.	89.9
332	Bryant	89.7
333	Tennessee Tech	89.6
334	North Alabama	89.4
335	San Jose St.	89.3
336	South Carolina St.	88.9
337	New Hampshire	88.6
338	Southern	88.4
339	Jackson St.	88.1
340	Florida A&M	88.1
341	Kennesaw St.	87.1
342	Stetson	87.1
343	Incarnate Word	86.6
344	Alcorn St.	86.4
345	Northwestern St.	85.6
346	UNC Asheville	85.0
347	Maryland Eastern Shore	84.5
348	Coppin St.	84.5
349	Alabama A&M	84.3
350	Mississippi Valley St.	83.9
351	Savannah St.	83.6
352	Chicago St.	82.0
353	Delaware St.	81.6

 

PiRate Ratings By Conferences

American Athletic	PiRate Rating
Cincinnati	112.7
Houston	111.1
UCF	109.5
Temple	107.1
SMU	105.7
Connecticut	105.3
Memphis	105.0
Wichita St.	103.2
Tulsa	102.8
South Florida	100.1
East Carolina	94.3
Tulane	94.2
American East	PiRate Rating
Vermont	104.2
Stony Brook	100.5
Hartford	98.1
UMBC	95.9
UMass Lowell	95.6
Albany	94.8
Binghamton	90.6
Maine	90.1
New Hampshire	88.6
Atlantic 10	PiRate Rating
VCU	106.9
Dayton	106.3
Davidson	105.2
Saint Louis	104.7
Rhode Island	104.4
Saint Joseph’s	102.2
George Mason	101.7
UMass	101.3
Richmond	100.5
St. Bonaventure	100.1
Duquesne	99.4
Fordham	97.9
La Salle	95.5
George Washington	94.2
Atlantic Coast	PiRate Rating
Duke	123.3
Virginia	118.6
North Carolina	117.9
Virginia Tech	116.7
North Carolina St.	114.5
Florida St.	113.1
Syracuse	110.7
Clemson	110.6
Louisville	110.0
Miami FL	108.3
Notre Dame	106.8
Pittsburgh	105.6
Georgia Tech	105.1
Boston College	104.1
Wake Forest	101.1
Atlantic Sun	PiRate Rating
Lipscomb	108.2
Liberty	105.9
NJIT	100.1
North Florida	97.0
Florida Gulf Coast	95.5
Jacksonville	93.1
North Alabama	89.4
Kennesaw St.	87.1
Stetson	87.1
Big 12	PiRate Rating
Kansas	116.3
Texas Tech	115.6
Iowa St.	113.6
Oklahoma	112.8
TCU	111.8
Texas	111.1
Kansas St.	108.5
West Virginia	108.5
Baylor	108.1
Oklahoma St.	104.7
Big East	PiRate Rating
Villanova	112.2
Creighton	111.5
Marquette	110.8
St. John’s	110.2
Butler	109.1
Seton Hall	108.8
Providence	106.6
Xavier	106.3
Georgetown	105.6
DePaul	103.6
Big Sky	PiRate Rating
Montana	104.8
Northern Colorado	101.1
Weber St.	100.6
Idaho St.	96.3
Sacramento St.	95.2
Eastern Washington	93.9
Portland St.	93.7
Montana St.	93.1
Southern Utah	92.3
Idaho	90.9
Northern Arizona	90.8
Big South	PiRate Rating
Radford	102.3
Gardner Webb	101.5
Winthrop	101.1
Charleston Southern	99.1
Presbyterian	96.6
Hampton	96.4
Campbell	96.2
High Point	96.1
Longwood	93.8
USC Upstate	90.2
UNC Asheville	85.0
Big Ten	PiRate Rating
Michigan St.	118.3
Michigan	115.6
Nebraska	114.7
Purdue	113.5
Wisconsin	113.1
Ohio St.	112.9
Indiana	112.2
Maryland	110.9
Iowa	109.5
Northwestern	108.8
Penn St.	108.0
Minnesota	107.9
Rutgers	104.6
Illinois	104.1
Big West	PiRate Rating
UC Irvine	104.3
UCSB	102.4
Cal St. Fullerton	100.1
Hawaii	97.6
Long Beach St.	96.8
UC Davis	95.4
UC Riverside	92.6
Cal Poly	91.3
Cal St. Northridge	91.2
Colonial Athletic	PiRate Rating
Hofstra	106.2
Northeastern	103.5
Charleston	101.4
William & Mary	97.4
UNC Wilmington	96.5
Delaware	96.0
Towson	95.3
Drexel	95.3
James Madison	94.4
Elon	90.1
Conference USA	PiRate Rating
Old Dominion	105.3
Western Kentucky	105.2
North Texas	103.8
Louisiana Tech	102.8
Marshall	102.5
Southern Miss	100.1
UAB	99.1
Florida International	97.5
UTSA	97.0
Florida Atlantic	96.5
UTEP	95.3
Middle Tennessee	94.1
Rice	91.9
Charlotte	91.4
Horizon	PiRate Rating
Northern Kentucky	103.5
Wright St.	99.9
Green Bay	99.5
IUPUI	98.4
Oakland	97.1
Illinois Chicago	97.0
Detroit	96.3
Milwaukee	94.3
Cleveland St.	94.0
Youngstown St.	91.2
Ivy	PiRate Rating
Yale	105.7
Harvard	104.2
Penn	103.8
Brown	102.0
Princeton	99.3
Dartmouth	97.4
Columbia	96.7
Cornell	95.2
Metro Atlantic	PiRate Rating
Rider	101.5
Iona	97.5
Canisius	96.9
Fairfield	95.9
Marist	95.8
Quinnipiac	95.4
Siena	94.8
Niagara	94.8
Saint Peter’s	94.1
Monmouth	92.6
Manhattan	90.3
Mid-American	PiRate Rating
Buffalo	111.9
Toledo	108.2
Ball St.	106.5
Akron	104.1
Kent St.	101.5
Northern Illinois	100.5
Miami OH	100.3
Ohio	99.6
Central Michigan	99.5
Bowling Green	98.7
Western Michigan	97.7
Eastern Michigan	97.6
Mideastern Athletic	PiRate Rating
Norfolk St.	94.0
North Carolina Central	94.0
Howard	92.3
Bethune Cookman	91.7
North Carolina A&T	91.4
Morgan St.	90.4
South Carolina St.	88.9
Florida A&M	88.1
Maryland Eastern Shore	84.5
Coppin St.	84.5
Savannah St.	83.6
Delaware St.	81.6
Missouri Valley	PiRate Rating
Loyola Chicago	106.2
Southern Illinois	102.4
Drake	101.9
Indiana St.	99.6
Valparaiso	99.3
Illinois St.	99.0
Evansville	98.8
Missouri St.	98.6
Bradley	98.4
Northern Iowa	97.7
Mountain West	PiRate Rating
Nevada	115.9
Utah St.	108.5
Fresno St.	107.9
San Diego St.	104.1
Boise St.	102.5
UNLV	100.8
New Mexico	99.9
Colorado St.	95.7
Air Force	94.2
Wyoming	93.6
San Jose St.	89.3
Northeast	PiRate Rating
Wagner	97.6
St. Francis PA	96.8
LIU Brooklyn	95.5
Fairleigh Dickinson	95.5
Robert Morris	94.9
St. Francis NY	93.8
Sacred Heart	93.8
Central Connecticut	92.7
Mount St. Mary’s	90.0
Bryant	89.7
Ohio Valley	PiRate Rating
Murray St.	107.4
Belmont	105.7
Austin Peay	102.7
Jacksonville St.	102.5
Eastern Kentucky	95.0
Morehead St.	94.8
Southeast Missouri St.	93.6
Eastern Illinois	93.0
Tennessee St.	92.5
UT Martin	92.2
SIU Edwardsville	90.0
Tennessee Tech	89.6
Pac-12	PiRate Rating
Oregon	109.4
Arizona	108.4
Arizona St.	108.1
Washington	107.6
UCLA	106.4
Colorado	105.8
Oregon St.	105.6
USC	105.6
Stanford	102.4
Utah	102.3
Washington St.	99.1
California	96.9
Patriot	PiRate Rating
Bucknell	101.5
Lehigh	100.8
Holy Cross	100.7
Colgate	99.4
American	98.4
Boston University	97.2
Army	94.8
Loyola MD	93.2
Lafayette	92.2
Navy	91.9
Southeastern	PiRate Rating
Tennessee	115.6
Auburn	115.6
Kentucky	114.5
Mississippi St.	112.7
Florida	112.7
LSU	109.5
Mississippi	108.6
Alabama	107.6
Vanderbilt	107.4
Arkansas	107.3
Missouri	106.1
Georgia	105.4
Texas A&M	104.9
South Carolina	103.5
Southern	PiRate Rating
Wofford	109.1
East Tennessee St.	105.5
UNC Greensboro	105.4
Furman	104.0
Samford	100.3
Mercer	99.2
The Citadel	98.2
Chattanooga	93.7
Western Carolina	90.7
VMI	90.1
Southland	PiRate Rating
Abilene Christian	99.4
Stephen F. Austin	97.5
Lamar	97.1
Sam Houston St.	94.8
Houston Baptist	94.3
Nicholls St.	93.9
Texas A&M-CC	93.3
Central Arkansas	93.2
McNeese St.	92.5
New Orleans	92.2
Southeastern Louisiana	91.8
Incarnate Word	86.6
Northwestern St.	85.6
Southwestern Athletic	PiRate Rating
Texas Southern	97.9
Grambling St.	93.9
Prairie View A&M	93.1
Arkansas Pine Bluff	90.1
Alabama St.	89.9
Southern	88.4
Jackson St.	88.1
Alcorn St.	86.4
Alabama A&M	84.3
Mississippi Valley St.	83.9
Summit	PiRate Rating
South Dakota St.	105.9
Purdue Fort Wayne	100.1
Omaha	98.2
South Dakota	97.9
North Dakota St.	97.6
Western Illinois	94.6
North Dakota	93.4
Oral Roberts	92.8
Denver	92.7
Sun Belt	PiRate Rating
Georgia St.	104.3
Texas St.	103.6
Georgia Southern	103.1
Louisiana	100.5
Louisiana Monroe	100.4
Coastal Carolina	100.0
Troy	98.4
Appalachian St.	98.1
South Alabama	97.1
Little Rock	95.5
Arkansas St.	94.9
UT Arlington	94.8
West Coast	PiRate Rating
Gonzaga	119.3
Saint Mary’s	109.4
San Francisco	109.0
BYU	105.9
San Diego	104.7
Loyola Marymount	101.8
Pacific	99.0
Pepperdine	98.0
Santa Clara	97.5
Portland	92.1
Western Athletic	PiRate Rating
New Mexico St.	105.9
Grand Canyon	103.6
Utah Valley	102.2
Seattle	100.6
Cal St. Bakersfield	98.4
California Baptist	97.7
UMKC	95.0
UT Rio Grande Valley	94.7
Chicago St.	82.0

 

Coming Monday or Tuesday: Our first look this season at our incredibly accurate Bracketology Gurus.  This group’s composite has picked 135 out of 136 teams in the NCAA Tournament in their two years of existence.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The PiRates Are Hard At Work For Football Season

Hello Mates.

This is the head PiRate telling you that we have set sail and are on our way out to the green sea, otherwise known as the Football Field.

We have already begun to update our college football ratings for the 2018 season.  We have a unique way of updating our ratings from the end of the previous season to the beginning of the new season.  We have point values assigned to every starting and backup position on offense and defense plus an overall rating for the components of special teams.

For instance, as it should be obvious, the Quarterback is the most important position in college football.  So, we take special care in determining how many points better or worse each of the 130 teams is in week one compared to their final game of the year before by adding or subtracting points based on the QB.  We look at certain analytics data, just like baseball teams look at advanced statistics.  We actually have our own version of WAR for college football.  Instead of Batting, Fielding, and Pitching WAR, we have offense, defense, and special teams WAR, only instead of putting the final numbers into wins above average, we use points per game above average.  In the PiRate Ratings, a rating of 100.0 is average.  If a quarterback is worth 6.3 points better than an average QB, then before we look at the reserves, a team that is totally average at every other position would begin the season at 106.3 for this particular piece of the ratings’ puzzle.  If a quarterback has been determined to be 3.8 points below average, it would reduce the average team from 100.0 to 96.2.

On offense, the receiving corps is the next most important part of the equation, while the offensive line and running back corps are equal in importance as the last two parts.

Defensively, we look at all three units as they play against the run and the pass.  Stopping the pass is more important these days than stopping the run.  Interceptions, Passes Broken Up, Sacks, and Hurries are all parts of the Pass defense stats we look at.  We also have special ratings for nose guards that have the responsibility of taking up space and keeping blockers away from the linebackers, as these heroes of the trenches rarely show up in box scores, until one of the behemoths gets injured, and his replacement prevents the star will linebacker from making his usual 14 tackles with 2 for loss.

We have an intangible part of this equation as well.  Say a team has a change in coaches.  The old coach was a spread option or flexbone disciple, while the new coach is an air raid disciple.  It’s going to take 2-4 years to fully implement the changes, as that five foot nine inch triple option QB is not going to work as a dropback passer.

Another example in an intangible is the team that had 9 key injuries the year before, and 8 of the 9 return at 100% after missing parts or all of the year before.

In 2018, there will be a case where a potential all-star junior quarterback will transfer from one Power 5 school to another and be immediately eligible.  This will have major effects on his new team, much more than if he were the top incoming freshman in the nation.  This QB has already proven himself in a power conference, while the top incoming freshman only proved himself in Georgia high school action.  There is a difference as deep as the Grand Canyon in comparing the two, even though the incoming freshman might eventually become the next John Elway.  The seasoned starter showed what he could do when he passed for close to 350 yards against Auburn, while the freshman threw for 220 yards against Troup County High School.

This is just one piece of a 5-prong process.  We rate each team against every other team using 5 different processes.  Once we are done, we use three different algorithms to come up with a PiRate, Mean, and Bias rating for each of the 130 teams.  The PiRate and Bias differ by very little, so they will frequently be highly correlated, while the Mean rating is somewhat different than the other two, because it takes the equally-weighted average of the five ratings, while the other two apply heavier weights to some of the five components.  Because they share the exact same weighting of the prong we showed you above, these two tend to stay correlated.

We know we have a lot of advanced mathematicians reading our blog, and we are grateful for your patronage.  We try to make this more analytically dominated than you might get from other sports rating sites and even break down the fourth wall from time to time to show you what we do.

If you are not a math fan and just love football, then fear not.  We still hope to have computer ratings that are as accurate as possible, and we still will make fools of ourselves weekly to issue free picks that you can then take and gift to Las Vegas if you are foolish enough to not realize that these picks are worth exactly what you pay for them.

We have 10 weeks to go.  With a lot of late night work, we hope to have the ratings ready for you in 9 weeks max.

Thanks,

The Captain

College Football Preview–December 12, 2015

There is just one regular season FBS game remaining, and it’s the Army-Navy game this week to be played at Franklin Financial Field in Philadelphia.

 

Because our ratings rely on the results of all teams, we cannot post our bowl predictions until this game is finished. Our spreads of all 40 bowl games/playoff games will be posted after this game concludes.

This Week’s Game
Opponent	Opponent	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Saturday, December 12
Army	Navy	-27.8	-24.3	-27.6
Game to be played in Philadelphia

PiRate Ratings For This Week

PiRate Retrodictive
#	Team
1	Alabama
2	Clemson
3	Oklahoma
4	Ohio St.
5	Michigan St.
6	Stanford
7	Notre Dame
8	Iowa
9	Florida St.
10	TCU
11	Ole Miss
12	North Carolina
13	Houston
14	Oklahoma St.
15	LSU
16	Oregon
17	Baylor
18	Florida
19	Northwestern
20	Michigan
21	Utah
22	USC
23	Tennessee
24	Wisconsin
25	Georgia
26	Navy
27	Memphis
28	Arkansas
29	Western Kentucky
30	Bowling Green
31	Mississippi St.
32	UCLA
33	Toledo
34	Temple
35	Texas A&M
36	BYU
37	California
38	Pittsburgh
39	West Virginia
40	Miami (Fla.)
41	Washington
42	South Florida
43	Washington St.
44	Appalachian St.
45	San Diego St.
46	Texas Tech
47	Louisville
48	Penn St.
49	North Carolina St.
50	Auburn
51	Arizona St.
52	Western Michigan
53	Boise St.
54	Virginia Tech
55	Cincinnati
56	Arkansas St.
57	Nebraska
58	Kansas St.
59	Southern Miss.
60	Indiana
61	Georgia Southern
62	Marshall
63	Duke
64	Texas
65	Northern Illinois
66	Air Force
67	Minnesota
68	Louisiana Tech
69	Illinois
70	Arizona
71	Central Michigan
72	Ohio
73	Georgia Tech
74	Utah St.
75	Connecticut
76	Missouri
77	East Carolina
78	Middle Tennessee
79	Virginia
80	Iowa St.
81	South Carolina
82	Vanderbilt
83	Akron
84	Tulsa
85	Maryland
86	Colorado St.
87	Syracuse
88	Georgia St.
89	Kentucky
90	New Mexico
91	Colorado
92	San Jose St.
93	Rutgers
94	Boston College
95	Wake Forest
96	Nevada
97	Buffalo
98	Oregon St.
99	Purdue
100	South Alabama
101	Troy
102	Florida Int’l.
103	Ball St.
104	Florida Atlantic
105	Rice
106	SMU
107	Idaho
108	Old Dominion
109	Massachusetts
110	UNLV
111	UTEP
112	Louisiana-Lafayette
113	Fresno St.
114	Tulane
115	Kent St.
116	Miami (O)
117	Texas St.
118	UTSA
119	Kansas
120	New Mexico St.
121	Hawaii
122	Wyoming
123	Louisiana-Monroe
124	Army
125	North Texas
126	Charlotte
127	Eastern Michigan
128	Central Florida

 

PiRate Ratings
#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
1	Alabama	131.5	129.1	131.4	130.7
2	Oklahoma	130.2	126.5	130.9	129.2
3	Ohio St.	129.0	124.6	129.8	127.8
4	Stanford	124.5	121.7	124.9	123.7
5	Ole Miss	124.7	120.2	123.9	122.9
6	Clemson	121.8	122.6	122.0	122.1
7	Baylor	122.9	118.8	122.7	121.5
8	North Carolina	121.1	121.4	120.7	121.1
9	TCU	123.1	115.6	124.0	120.9
10	Notre Dame	121.2	118.9	120.9	120.3
11	Arkansas	121.3	116.4	120.8	119.5
12	Michigan St.	119.7	117.2	119.7	118.9
13	Tennessee	120.1	116.2	120.2	118.8
14	LSU	119.8	116.4	119.4	118.5
15	UCLA	120.5	114.8	118.9	118.1
16	USC	119.7	115.0	118.7	117.8
17	Florida St.	117.2	118.4	117.1	117.6
18	Oregon	118.6	113.3	118.8	116.9
19	Utah	118.1	112.3	116.3	115.6
20	Mississippi St.	116.5	113.1	116.5	115.4
21	Washington	115.9	112.6	115.8	114.8
22	Michigan	115.8	113.0	115.3	114.7
23	Texas A&M	116.4	112.9	114.4	114.6
24	Georgia	116.1	111.2	115.4	114.2
25	Oklahoma St.	115.1	111.9	114.7	113.9
26	Florida	114.5	111.4	114.4	113.4
27	California	115.0	109.7	114.1	112.9
28	West Virginia	114.9	109.2	114.3	112.8
29	Arizona St.	114.4	109.5	114.0	112.6
30	Iowa	111.7	113.3	112.5	112.5
31	Houston	109.8	115.2	112.0	112.3
32	Auburn	113.6	110.4	112.3	112.1
33	Wisconsin	111.6	111.2	110.8	111.2
34	Bowling Green	108.5	113.3	111.6	111.1
35	Virginia Tech	110.7	110.4	110.8	110.6
36	Western Kentucky	109.5	110.4	111.2	110.4
37	North Carolina St.	109.4	110.4	107.9	109.2
38	BYU	108.1	108.3	109.3	108.6
39	Louisville	108.0	109.5	107.9	108.5
40	Temple	106.9	109.9	108.4	108.4
41	Memphis	107.7	108.8	108.0	108.2
42	Pittsburgh	107.5	108.1	107.8	107.8
43	Nebraska	108.5	106.9	107.8	107.7
44	Georgia Tech	109.1	106.5	107.5	107.7
45	Washington St.	108.5	105.1	109.3	107.6
46	Navy	105.9	109.9	107.0	107.6
47	San Diego St.	105.7	109.8	106.9	107.5
48	Miami	106.1	106.7	107.2	106.7
49	Northwestern	106.4	106.6	106.6	106.5
50	Boise St.	107.3	105.1	107.2	106.5
51	Texas	107.5	103.4	107.3	106.1
52	South Carolina	107.3	104.2	106.3	105.9
53	Arizona	107.9	102.4	106.8	105.7
54	Texas Tech	108.1	100.4	108.3	105.6
55	Missouri	106.9	103.4	105.6	105.3
56	Toledo	103.7	105.0	104.9	104.5
57	South Florida	102.1	107.8	103.4	104.4
58	Minnesota	105.1	103.6	104.2	104.3
59	Western Michigan	102.6	103.8	104.0	103.5
60	Penn St.	103.8	103.3	103.0	103.4
61	Colorado	105.3	100.5	103.7	103.2
62	Kansas St.	106.0	97.5	105.7	103.1
63	Cincinnati	102.0	103.9	103.3	103.1
64	Duke	103.0	103.0	102.8	102.9
65	Illinois	104.1	101.9	102.8	102.9
66	Virginia	102.7	101.8	103.1	102.5
67	Indiana	101.0	101.3	101.3	101.2
68	Boston College	100.3	102.6	98.8	100.6
69	Kentucky	101.8	98.4	100.1	100.1
70	Air Force	98.7	102.1	99.1	100.0
71	Southern Mississippi	98.8	100.9	99.6	99.8
72	Iowa St.	100.4	96.3	100.1	98.9
73	Georgia Southern	97.2	100.0	99.1	98.8
74	Louisiana Tech	98.3	98.6	99.1	98.7
75	Vanderbilt	100.2	96.0	99.4	98.5
76	Marshall	97.9	98.5	97.6	98.0
77	Appalachian St.	96.4	99.5	97.9	97.9
78	Northern Illinois	96.0	99.8	96.9	97.6
79	Wake Forest	96.5	99.3	96.1	97.3
80	Utah St.	97.6	97.8	96.0	97.1
81	Arkansas St.	95.2	97.0	97.5	96.6
82	Middle Tennessee	96.6	96.2	96.7	96.5
83	East Carolina	94.7	98.5	95.6	96.3
84	Syracuse	95.1	97.9	95.0	96.0
85	Purdue	95.1	94.1	93.4	94.2
86	Maryland	94.5	93.4	94.4	94.1
87	Connecticut	91.0	95.5	92.3	92.9
88	San Jose St.	92.2	94.2	92.2	92.9
89	Colorado St.	92.8	93.3	92.3	92.8
90	New Mexico	92.3	93.4	91.8	92.5
91	Central Michigan	90.3	94.2	91.7	92.1
92	Rutgers	93.5	90.8	91.2	91.8
93	Tulsa	89.8	93.9	90.9	91.5
94	Nevada	89.7	93.6	90.0	91.1
95	Ohio	88.8	93.2	90.9	91.0
96	Akron	86.1	92.9	88.4	89.1
97	Georgia St.	86.2	87.9	87.6	87.2
98	Oregon St.	88.7	85.3	86.6	86.9
99	Florida Atlantic	84.1	87.5	84.9	85.5
100	Troy	84.2	85.5	84.8	84.8
101	Florida International	83.8	86.2	83.9	84.6
102	SMU	83.3	86.9	82.9	84.4
103	Massachusetts	82.6	86.1	83.4	84.0
104	Buffalo	81.1	86.3	81.7	83.0
105	Tulane	82.2	84.7	80.9	82.6
106	UNLV	81.9	83.6	81.9	82.5
107	Fresno St.	81.5	84.2	79.7	81.8
108	Army	78.1	85.6	79.4	81.0
109	Wyoming	80.0	81.6	79.2	80.3
110	Rice	78.6	81.4	78.4	79.5
111	Ball St.	78.7	80.7	78.9	79.4
112	UTEP	78.4	81.0	78.2	79.2
113	Old Dominion	76.7	80.6	76.4	77.9
114	Kent St.	77.1	79.0	77.4	77.8
115	Hawaii	77.9	79.0	76.3	77.7
116	UT-San Antonio	76.8	79.2	77.1	77.7
117	Miami (O)	75.4	80.3	76.3	77.3
118	UL-Lafayette	76.6	79.1	76.3	77.3
119	South Alabama	75.0	79.8	75.9	76.9
120	Idaho	74.1	79.1	75.5	76.2
121	Central Florida	74.9	77.8	74.6	75.8
122	Texas St.	73.2	75.6	72.8	73.9
123	Eastern Michigan	71.5	77.6	71.7	73.6
124	North Texas	72.4	75.8	72.2	73.5
125	New Mexico St.	72.6	73.8	72.0	72.8
126	Kansas	75.5	68.7	72.9	72.4
127	UL-Monroe	71.4	71.4	71.7	71.5
128	Charlotte	67.5	69.1	67.0	67.9

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference
#	League	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
1	SEC	115.1	111.4	114.3	113.6
2	Pac-12	113.1	108.5	112.3	111.3
3	Big 12	110.4	104.8	110.1	108.4
4	ACC	107.8	108.5	107.5	107.9
5	Big Ten	107.1	105.8	106.6	106.5
6	Indep.	102.5	104.3	103.2	103.3
7	AAC	95.9	99.4	96.6	97.3
8	MWC	91.5	93.1	91.1	91.9
9	MAC	87.9	91.7	89.1	89.5
10	CUSA	86.1	88.1	86.3	86.8
11	SBC	82.0	84.4	82.8	83.1

 

Bowl Pairings

Bowl	Conferences		Team	vs.	Team
Cure	AAC	SBC	San Jose St. *	vs.	Georgia St.
New Mexico	MWC	CUSA	New Mexico	vs.	Arizona *
Las Vegas	Pac-12	MWC/BYU	Utah	vs.	BYU
Camellia	MAC	SBC	Ohio	vs.	Appalachian St.
New Orleans	CUSA	SBC	Louisiana Tech	vs.	Arkansas St.
Miami Beach	AAC	CUSA	South Florida	vs.	Western Kentucky
Idaho Potato	MAC	MWC	Akron	vs.	Utah St.
Boca Raton	AAC	MAC	Temple	vs.	Toledo
Poinsettia	MWC	Army	Boise St.	vs.	Northern Illinois
GoDaddy	MAC	SBC	Bowling Green	vs.	Georgia Southern
Bahamas	CUSA	MAC	Middle Tennessee	vs.	Western Michigan
Hawaii	AAC	MWC/BYU	Cincinnati	vs.	San Diego St.
St. Petersburg	AAC	CUSA	Connecticut	vs.	Marshall
Sun	ACC	Pac-12	Miami	vs.	Washington St.
Heart of Dallas	Big 12	CUSA	Washington *	vs.	Southern Miss.
Pinstripe	ACC	Big Ten	Duke	vs.	Indiana
Independence	SEC	ACC	Tulsa *	vs.	Virginia Tech
Foster Farms	Big Ten	Pac-12	Nebraska	vs.	UCLA
Military	ACC	AAC	Pittsburgh	vs.	Navy
Quick Lane	ACC	Big Ten	Central Michigan *	vs.	Minnesota
Armed Forces	Big Ten	MWC	California *	vs.	Air Force
Russell Athletic	ACC	Big 12	North Carolina	vs.	Baylor
Arizona	CUSA	MWC	Colorado St. *	vs.	Nevada
Texas	Big 12	SEC	Texas Tech	vs.	LSU
Birmingham	AAC	SEC	Memphis	vs.	Auburn
Belk	ACC	SEC	North Carolina St.	vs.	Mississippi St.
Music City	ACC/Big Ten	SEC	Louisville	vs.	Texas A&M
Peach	N. Y. 6	N. Y. 6	Florida St.	vs.	Houston
Cotton	Playoff	Playoff	Alabama	vs.	Michigan St.
Orange	Playoff	Playoff	Clemson	vs.	Oklahoma
Holiday	Big Ten	Pac-12	Wisconsin	vs.	USC
Ouback	Big Ten	SEC	Northwestern	vs.	Tennessee
Citrus	Big Ten	SEC	Michigan	vs.	Florida
Sugar	Big 12	SEC	Oklahoma St.	vs.	Ole Miss
Rose	Big Ten	Pac-12	Iowa	vs.	Stanford
Fiesta	N. Y. 6	N. Y. 6	Ohio St.	vs.	Notre Dame
TaxSlayer	ACC/Big Ten	SEC	Penn St.	vs.	Georgia
Liberty	Big 12	SEC	Kansas St.	vs.	Arkansas
Alamo	Big 12	Pac-12	TCU	vs.	Oregon
Cactus	Big 12	Pac-12	West Virginia	vs.	Arizona St.
Nat’l Champ.	Semifinal	Winners	Michigan St.	vs.	Oklahoma
* = At-large selection due to contracted conference not having an eligible team for this slot

 

FCS Playoffs

2nd Round
Jacksonville St.	41	ot
Chattanooga	35
Charleston Sou.	14
Citadel	6
Colgate	44
James Madison	38
Sam Houston	34
McNeese St.	29
North Dakota St.	37
Montana	6
Northern Iowa	29
Portland St.	17
Richmond	48
William & Mary	13
Illinois St.	36
Western Illinois	19

 

Quarterfinal Round Games

Quarterfinals	D. 11-13	All times ET
@ Illinois St.	10-2	D.11 7:30 PM
Richmond	9-3	ESPN3
@ Sam Houston	10-3	D.12 8PM
Colgate	9-4	No TV
@ Jacksonville St.	11-1	D.11 8 PM
Charleston Southern	10-2	ESPN2
@ North Dakota St.	10-2	D.13 12 AM
Northern Iowa	9-4	ESPN

 

 

College Football Preview: October 1-3, 2015

Bowl Me Over
As Autumn leaves begin to turn orange and red, it’s time for the PiRate Ratings to get into the playoff and bowl talk. Unlike most sites where experts give out bowl projections, we try to look forward to the remaining schedules and place teams according to their recent form holding true the rest of the year.

For example, over the weekend, both Ohio State and Michigan State for the second consecutive week appeared not to be as strong as they were supposed to be. Meanwhile, Michigan looked like the Wolverines of the Bo Schembechler 1970’s. Thus, for this opening week, we are picking the Maize and Blue to run the table, knocking off both the Spartans and Buckeyes (both home games) to win the Big Ten title. With their lone loss coming at Utah, a team that looks strong enough to challenge UCLA and Stanford for the Pac-12 title, we have Jim Harbaugh’s team selected to occupy a playoff spot in our first edition; notice that this differs from the PiRate Rating playoff ratings, which simply takes the top four PiRate Rating teams and apply it to the Playoff rules.

For those readers that need a refresher course on the 2015-16 College Football Playoff format, there are four teams in the playoff. The four teams are seeded one through four, with the top seed earning a bid to either the Cotton or Orange Bowl, whichever is more advantageous to that team. The number one seed plays the number four seed, while the number two seed plays the number three seed in the Cotton or Orange Bowl. The winners of the Cotton and Orange Bowl advance to the National Championship Game, which will be played in Glendale, Arizona, on January 11.
The two playoff games plus four other top-tier bowls comprise what is called “The New Year’s Six” bowls. These four other bowls not in the playoffs include the Peach, Sugar, Fiesta, and Rose Bowls. Among the eight teams playing in these four bowls, a guarantee has been made that at least one team not from one of the Power conferences will receive an invitation. The Power conferences are the Atlantic Coast, Big 12, Big Ten, Pac-12, and SEC. The non power conferences, known as “The Group of 5,” are the American Athletic, Conference USA, Mid-American Conference, Mountain West Conference, and Sun Belt Conference.

After the New Year’s Six Bowls are filled, the remaining 33 bowls select teams based on contractual agreements with conferences. There was supposed to be one additional bowl this year, in Tucson, Arizona, but lack of a title sponsor and other issues forced this bowl to try again next year.

With 39 total bowls plus the National Championship Game, 78 teams will play in the postseason. As of this writing, our crystal ball shows that exactly 78 teams will be bowl eligible this year. Our bowl projections follow our PiRate Ratings Spreads for this week’s games.

Exciting Games This Week
October usually means more conference games and less FBS versus FCS games (just two of those this week). Early October presents so many games of interest, because so many teams finish September looking like contenders. By the middle of this month, only a quarter of those teams in contention for conference championships this now will still be in contention. Thus, you get a high number of meaningful and/or interesting contests. Here are the games we like best this week.

Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech–Noon EDT on ESPN3: The ACC Coastal Division race is wide open with six of the seven teams closely matched. Pittsburgh had a bye week to prepare for their trip to Lane Stadium, while Virginia Tech took it on the chin at East Carolina last week. Rumors are running rampant that Hokies’ coach Frank Beamer is now firmly on a hot seat, and calling the ECU loss just an “exhibition game” did not sit well with the fans.

South Carolina at Missouri–Noon EDT on WatchESPN: This could be a bowl elimination game. South Carolina is already 0-2 in the SEC and out of the East Division race. Missouri lost at Kentucky last week, and a home loss to the Gamecocks could send the Tigers crashing to seven or eight losses.

Iowa at Wisconsin–Noon EDT on ESPN: The Big Ten conference races begin this week, and the West Division is wide open. Wisconsin appears to be a little weaker than last season, while Iowa is off to a brilliant 4-0 start, but against a mostly untested slate of opponents. A road win would validate the Hawkeyes, while Badger win would simply give UW a one-game lead in the standings with both teams still in the race.

Minnesota at Northwestern–Noon EDT on Big Ten Network: We could say the same thing about every Big Ten game in week one of conference play. Northwestern struggled in a narrow win over Ball State last week, while Minnesota was very lucky to escape with a home win over Ohio. NU owns a win over Stanford and a road win against Duke, so the Wildcats have a resume good enough to stay in the playoff race if they can continue to win. The Gophers look like a team that could be getting ready to drown in the lake. UM can make a statement by pulling off the upset, while NU could move into the Top 15 with an impressive win.

West Virginia at Oklahoma–Noon EDT on FoxSports 1: Two 3-0 ranked teams square off in the conference opener for both. We are high on the Sooners so far, and an impressive double-digit win in this game may propel OU above TCU and Baylor in the minds of some on the Selection Committee. A WVU upset in Norman could send the Mountaineers to Baylor at 5-0 two weeks later.

Houston at Tulsa–Noon EDT on CBSSN: If the season ended today, Houston would not be the automatic New Year’s Six Bowl choice among the Group of Five conferences. However, the Cougars may have the best shot of running the table of the five or six teams in contention. The Cougars, under first year head coach and former Ohio State offensive coordinator Tom Herman, have won at Louisville, and a win in Tulsa Saturday would leave UH with three future road games against weak competition. All the other tough games are at home. Don’t count the Golden Hurrican out in this one; they had an extra week to prepare after giving Oklahoma fits two weeks ago.

Air Force at Navy–3:30 PM EDT on CBSSN: Not much needs to be said here; it’s a service academy rivalry, but a Midshipmen win would send Navy to South Bend next week at 4-0.

Alabama at Georgia–3:30 PM EDT on CBS: Alabama has not been an underdog since Tim Tebow was quarterbacking Florida. The Tide go to Athens this week as the underdog for the first time in 72 games! That 2009 underdog merely won that game by 19 points and then took the National Championship. This Alabama team does not have 28 future NFL draft picks like the 2009 National Champions. Georgia does not play Alabama in the regular season that often. The last time the Dogs beat the Tide was 2007, and UGA won the Sugar Bowl that year. The previous win before 2007 was in 2002, and UGA won the Sugar Bowl that year as well. If Georgia wins, Alabama then must win out to have any chance of making it to the SEC Championship Game. If Georgia wins, the Bulldogs can already start to smell an extra game down in Atlanta in early December.

Kansas State at Oklahoma State–4:00 PM EDT on FoxSports 1: The winner of this game stays undefeated and the dark horse team behind TCU, Baylor, and Oklahoma.

Ole Miss at Florida–7:00 PM EDT on ESPN: After winning at Alabama, Ole Miss came out flat last week in an unspectacular home win over Vanderbilt, while Florida pulled out a last second thriller win over rival Tennessee. The Gators figure to be the team coming out a bit flat, and if the Rebels revert to form, they could leave Gainesville Saturday night firmly entrenched as one of the top four teams if not number one. If the Gators can pull off another big win, they should go to Baton Rouge in two weeks still undefeated. This game has major playoff repercussions for both teams.

Arkansas at Tennessee–7:00 PM EDT on ESPN2: This is almost assuredly a bowl elimination game. We can see no way that the loser of this game will finish better than 5-7, and even the winner of this game still faces a tough road ahead in what must be called the Disappointment Classic. Additionally, the losing coach in this game may be in serious trouble when they end up below .500 this year.

Arizona State at UCLA–7:30 PM EDT on Fox: Generally, the Pac-12 winner has an experienced at talented junior or senior quarterback leading the team. UCLA has a true freshman, but Josh Rosen’s field smarts may be more similar to Andrew Luck than a true freshman. Throw in one of the best coaches in Jim Mora, Jr., and the Bruins are definitely one of three teams capable of playing in the Cotton or Orange Bowl. Arizona State will come into this game out for blood after suffering a humiliating home loss to USC.

Notre Dame at Clemson–8:00 PM EDT on ABC: The last time an undefeated and highly-ranked Clemson team hosted another undefeated and highly-ranked opponent on the ABC Saturday night prime-time game, the Tigers were sky high as the nation watched one of the greatest pre-game rituals. Clemson then laid a huge egg in a 51-14 loss to Florida State. Notre Dame’s four wins don’t look all that impressive now that both Texas and Georgia Tech have proven to be mediocre, while the Irish’s other two wins (Virginia and Massachusetts) were no Picassos. Any of the next four teams on ND’s schedule could end their Playoff hopes for this season. If the Irish go 4-0 in October, they deserve to be one of the top four teams entering November.

Michigan at Maryland–8:00 PM EDT on Big Ten Network: This game interests us differently than the others here. Maryland is not interesting in and of themselves. After losing the opener at Utah, which now looks a lot better than it did in week one, Michigan has begun to look like the old power team of the decade between 1969 and 1978. The shutout of BYU was spectacular. But, can the Wolverines follow that up with a repeat on the road? If so, then the way the Big Two in the East are playing in the last two weeks, it would not surprise us if Jim Harbaugh can repeat what Bo Schembechler did in his first season in A2. November 22, 1969, was a dark day for fans from that state down south. What was considered the best Ohio State team ever, an unbeatable 8-0 team that destroyed everybody else on the schedule, fell to a heavily underdog Wolverine team.

This Week’s PiRate Ratings
Starting this week, we debut our new Retrodictive Ratings. These ratings are our version of a poll. We do not use them for comparing two teams with a power rating. This is simply a ranking of teams similar to the top 25 weekly poll. You will find our new Retrodictive Ranking at Ken Massey’s College Football Ranking Composite. Ken does a great job at this site, so we encourage you to support his efforts. http://masseyratings.com/cf/compare.htm
Here is our first Retrodictive Ranking.

PiRate Retrodictive
1 Ohio St.
2 Ole Miss
3 Baylor
4 TCU
5 LSU
6 UCLA
7 Notre Dame
8 Georgia
9 Utah
10 Oklahoma
11 Alabama
12 USC
13 Texas A&M
14 Michigan St.
15 California
16 Clemson
17 Michigan
18 Stanford
19 West Virginia
20 Florida St.
21 North Carolina St.
22 Wisconsin
23 Mississippi St.
24 Florida
25 Boise St.
26 Oklahoma St.
27 Miami
28 Texas Tech
29 Oregon
30 Temple
31 Georgia Tech
32 Tennessee
33 Penn St.
34 Northwestern
35 Kentucky
36 Iowa
37 Duke
38 Minnesota
39 Virginia Tech
40 Arizona
41 Missouri
42 Arizona St.
43 North Carolina
44 Illinois
45 Memphis
46 Pittsburgh
47 Kansas St.
48 South Carolina
49 BYU
50 Arkansas
51 Auburn
52 Louisville
53 Nebraska
54 Houston
55 Washington
56 Colorado
57 Cincinnati
58 Western Kentucky
59 Boston College
60 Toledo
61 Louisiana Tech
62 Navy
63 Texas
64 Virginia
65 Bowling Green
66 Middle Tennessee
67 Indiana
68 Vanderbilt
69 Appalachian St.
70 Syracuse
71 Purdue
72 Air Force
73 Western Michigan
74 Washington St.
75 Georgia Southern
76 Wake Forest
77 Northern Illinois
78 San Diego St.
79 Rutgers
80 Utah St.
81 Ohio
82 Marshall
83 East Carolina
84 Iowa St.
85 San Jose St.
86 Tulsa
87 Colorado St.
88 Nevada
89 Hawaii
90 Oregon St.
91 Maryland
92 Florida International
93 Central Florida
94 New Mexico
95 South Florida
96 Massachusetts
97 Arkansas St.
98 SMU
99 Rice
100 Tulane
101 Akron
102 Southern Mississippi
103 Ball St.
104 Central Michigan
105 Buffalo
106 Fresno St.
107 Kent St.
108 UL-Lafayette
109 Connecticut
110 Army
111 Florida Atlantic
112 Texas St.
113 UTEP
114 UL-Monroe
115 UNLV
116 UT-San Antonio
117 North Texas
118 South Alabama
119 Old Dominion
120 Wyoming
121 Miami (O)
122 Kansas
123 Troy
124 Eastern Michigan
125 Georgia St.
126 New Mexico St.
127 Idaho
128 Charlotte

This Week’s PiRate Ratings (The Regular Ones)

PiRate Ratings
#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
1	Ohio St.	131.6	123.3	132.2	129.0
2	Ole Miss	128.6	122.0	126.8	125.8
3	Baylor	124.9	121.4	125.6	124.0
4	TCU	126.8	116.4	127.6	123.6
5	LSU	124.5	121.1	124.1	123.2
6	Alabama	123.9	122.0	123.1	123.0
7	USC	123.8	120.4	124.2	122.8
8	Notre Dame	123.5	119.7	124.0	122.4
9	UCLA	124.7	118.4	122.9	122.0
10	Utah	124.1	118.3	123.5	122.0
11	Georgia	124.5	116.8	123.8	121.7
12	Oklahoma	121.2	118.4	121.5	120.4
13	Texas A&M	120.3	118.2	119.2	119.2
14	Georgia Tech	119.9	116.8	119.3	118.7
15	Tennessee	119.9	115.6	119.5	118.3
16	Stanford	118.2	117.0	118.2	117.8
17	Michigan St.	118.3	114.2	118.1	116.9
18	California	117.8	113.0	118.2	116.3
19	Clemson	115.4	116.5	115.3	115.7
20	Oregon	118.0	110.2	117.2	115.1
21	Arkansas	117.5	111.4	116.5	115.1
22	Michigan	116.3	112.5	115.9	114.9
23	West Virginia	116.8	111.4	116.4	114.9
24	Florida St.	115.0	115.3	113.7	114.7
25	Auburn	115.4	112.9	114.3	114.2
26	North Carolina	113.4	113.4	113.0	113.3
27	Mississippi St.	114.4	110.3	114.5	113.1
28	Boise St.	114.6	109.2	114.3	112.7
29	Oklahoma St.	112.3	112.6	112.8	112.6
30	North Carolina St.	111.8	113.9	111.1	112.3
31	Wisconsin	111.5	112.4	110.7	111.5
32	Virginia Tech	112.2	109.6	112.4	111.4
33	Florida	112.2	108.9	111.8	111.0
34	Arizona St.	112.1	106.9	110.6	109.9
35	Arizona	112.8	105.6	110.6	109.7
36	Miami	109.0	109.9	109.5	109.5
37	Texas Tech	112.0	102.6	112.1	108.9
38	Louisville	107.9	110.4	108.1	108.8
39	Missouri	110.1	107.1	109.2	108.8
40	Temple	107.3	109.4	108.6	108.4
41	Nebraska	109.0	106.3	108.2	107.8
42	Minnesota	107.9	106.5	107.6	107.3
43	Penn St.	105.8	108.1	106.1	106.7
44	Texas	106.8	105.5	106.5	106.3
45	Duke	106.0	105.4	106.8	106.1
46	Kentucky	107.3	103.9	106.6	105.9
47	Iowa	104.5	107.7	105.4	105.9
48	Northwestern	105.7	106.5	105.4	105.9
49	South Carolina	107.5	104.0	106.0	105.8
50	BYU	105.9	103.8	107.0	105.6
51	Illinois	106.7	104.2	105.5	105.5
52	Memphis	104.9	104.8	106.3	105.3
53	Pittsburgh	103.7	105.8	104.9	104.8
54	Kansas St.	109.6	96.3	108.2	104.7
55	Colorado	106.0	101.7	105.3	104.3
56	Houston	100.3	108.3	103.0	103.9
57	Washington	104.0	102.0	104.5	103.5
58	Cincinnati	102.1	102.2	103.2	102.5
59	Western Kentucky	102.1	100.7	103.4	102.1
60	Boston College	100.8	105.5	99.1	101.8
61	Toledo	101.3	99.6	102.5	101.1
62	Louisiana Tech	101.1	98.3	102.0	100.5
63	Navy	98.1	101.3	98.5	99.3
64	Virginia	100.6	97.5	99.7	99.3
65	Bowling Green	97.0	101.1	98.8	99.0
66	Middle Tennessee	98.8	98.5	98.7	98.7
67	Vanderbilt	100.3	94.5	99.6	98.1
68	Appalachian St.	96.1	99.8	98.5	98.1
69	Syracuse	96.0	99.7	95.6	97.1
70	Purdue	97.4	97.0	95.7	96.7
71	Air Force	94.8	100.0	94.6	96.5
72	Indiana	95.6	97.6	95.4	96.2
73	Western Michigan	96.0	95.3	97.2	96.2
74	Washington St.	98.5	93.3	96.7	96.2
75	Georgia Southern	94.7	97.4	95.4	95.8
76	Wake Forest	94.7	98.8	93.7	95.7
77	Northern Illinois	94.6	97.4	95.0	95.7
78	San Diego St.	93.6	98.6	94.5	95.6
79	Rutgers	97.3	94.0	95.1	95.5
80	Utah St.	95.9	94.4	96.0	95.4
81	Ohio	93.2	97.6	95.0	95.3
82	Marshall	95.0	94.8	95.4	95.1
83	East Carolina	93.2	96.5	93.6	94.4
84	Iowa St.	95.7	92.4	94.6	94.2
85	San Jose St.	92.7	96.2	93.0	94.0
86	Tulsa	91.5	97.4	92.9	93.9
87	Colorado St.	94.7	92.6	93.1	93.5
88	Nevada	91.3	95.3	90.9	92.5
89	Hawaii	91.5	93.7	91.9	92.4
90	Oregon St.	93.0	91.4	92.1	92.2
91	Maryland	93.2	90.7	91.9	91.9
92	Florida International	89.5	91.9	91.3	90.9
93	Central Florida	89.2	92.7	90.6	90.8
94	New Mexico	90.7	91.6	90.1	90.8
95	South Florida	88.1	94.9	87.5	90.2
96	Massachusetts	87.4	90.8	89.0	89.1
97	Arkansas St.	88.9	88.4	89.6	89.0
98	SMU	87.6	91.4	87.7	88.9
99	Rice	86.6	91.0	87.2	88.3
100	Tulane	87.9	90.3	86.0	88.1
101	Akron	85.2	91.5	86.8	87.8
102	Southern Mississippi	87.8	88.3	87.2	87.8
103	Ball St.	86.0	89.1	87.2	87.4
104	Central Michigan	85.3	89.3	87.3	87.3
105	Buffalo	83.9	91.3	86.4	87.2
106	Fresno St.	85.6	91.7	83.9	87.1
107	Kent St.	83.5	86.2	84.4	84.7
108	UL-Lafayette	83.1	87.4	83.3	84.6
109	Connecticut	82.0	88.0	82.3	84.1
110	Army	79.2	90.1	80.9	83.4
111	Florida Atlantic	81.7	85.7	82.1	83.2
112	Texas St.	81.2	85.1	80.9	82.4
113	UTEP	81.5	84.3	81.3	82.4
114	UL-Monroe	83.1	79.9	82.8	81.9
115	UNLV	80.2	82.6	80.9	81.2
116	UT-San Antonio	78.3	81.3	79.5	79.7
117	North Texas	77.2	83.3	77.6	79.4
118	South Alabama	75.4	83.2	77.0	78.5
119	Old Dominion	76.6	83.0	75.4	78.3
120	Wyoming	77.9	79.7	76.1	77.9
121	Miami (O)	75.1	80.3	75.0	76.8
122	Kansas	79.1	72.8	77.1	76.3
123	Troy	75.3	75.0	77.0	75.8
124	Eastern Michigan	72.7	82.2	72.3	75.7
125	Georgia St.	75.7	74.4	75.4	75.2
126	New Mexico St.	73.6	74.7	73.5	73.9
127	Idaho	70.4	78.3	71.7	73.5
128	Charlotte	69.0	71.0	68.7	69.6

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
East Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Temple	1-0	3-0	107.3	109.4	108.6	108.4
Cincinnati	0-2	2-2	102.1	102.2	103.2	102.5
East Carolina	0-1	2-2	93.2	96.5	93.6	94.4
Central Florida	0-0	0-4	89.2	92.7	90.6	90.8
South Florida	0-0	2-2	88.1	94.9	87.5	90.2
Connecticut	0-1	2-2	82.0	88.0	82.3	84.1
West Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Memphis	1-0	4-0	104.9	104.8	106.3	105.3
Houston	0-0	3-0	100.3	108.3	103.0	103.9
Navy	2-0	3-0	98.1	101.3	98.5	99.3
Tulsa	0-0	2-1	91.5	97.4	92.9	93.9
SMU	0-0	1-3	87.6	91.4	87.7	88.9
Tulane	0-0	1-2	87.9	90.3	86.0	88.1
AAC Averages			94.4	98.1	95.0	95.8
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	1-0	3-0	115.4	116.5	115.3	115.7
Florida St.	1-0	3-0	115.0	115.3	113.7	114.7
North Carolina St.	0-0	4-0	111.8	113.9	111.1	112.3
Louisville	0-1	1-3	107.9	110.4	108.1	108.8
Boston College	0-1	3-1	100.8	105.5	99.1	101.8
Syracuse	1-0	3-1	96.0	99.7	95.6	97.1
Wake Forest	0-1	2-2	94.7	98.8	93.7	95.7
Coastal Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia Tech	0-1	2-2	119.9	116.8	119.3	118.7
North Carolina	0-0	3-1	113.4	113.4	113.0	113.3
Virginia Tech	0-0	2-2	112.2	109.6	112.4	111.4
Miami	0-0	3-0	109.0	109.9	109.5	109.5
Duke	1-0	3-1	106.0	105.4	106.8	106.1
Pittsburgh	0-0	2-1	103.7	105.8	104.9	104.8
Virginia	0-0	1-3	100.6	97.5	99.7	99.3
ACC Averages			107.6	108.5	107.3	107.8
Big 12 Conference
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Baylor	0-0	3-0	124.9	121.4	125.6	124.0
TCU	1-0	4-0	126.8	116.4	127.6	123.6
Oklahoma	0-0	3-0	121.2	118.4	121.5	120.4
West Virginia	0-0	3-0	116.8	111.4	116.4	114.9
Oklahoma St.	1-0	4-0	112.3	112.6	112.8	112.6
Texas Tech	0-1	3-1	112.0	102.6	112.1	108.9
Texas	0-1	1-3	106.8	105.5	106.5	106.3
Kansas St.	0-0	3-0	109.6	96.3	108.2	104.7
Iowa St.	0-0	1-2	95.7	92.4	94.6	94.2
Kansas	0-0	0-3	79.1	72.8	77.1	76.3
Big 12 Averages			110.5	105.0	110.2	108.6
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	0-0	4-0	131.6	123.3	132.2	129.0
Michigan St.	0-0	4-0	118.3	114.2	118.1	116.9
Michigan	0-0	3-1	116.3	112.5	115.9	114.9
Penn St.	1-0	3-1	105.8	108.1	106.1	106.7
Indiana	0-0	4-0	95.6	97.6	95.4	96.2
Rutgers	0-1	2-2	97.3	94.0	95.1	95.5
Maryland	0-0	2-2	93.2	90.7	91.9	91.9
West Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Wisconsin	0-0	3-1	111.5	112.4	110.7	111.5
Nebraska	0-0	2-2	109.0	106.3	108.2	107.8
Minnesota	0-0	3-1	107.9	106.5	107.6	107.3
Northwestern	0-0	4-0	105.7	106.5	105.4	105.9
Iowa	0-0	4-0	104.5	107.7	105.4	105.9
Illinois	0-0	3-1	106.7	104.2	105.5	105.5
Purdue	0-0	1-3	97.4	97.0	95.7	96.7
Big Ten Averages			107.2	105.8	106.7	106.5
Conference USA
East Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Western Kentucky	1-0	3-1	102.1	100.7	103.4	102.1
Middle Tennessee	1-0	2-2	98.8	98.5	98.7	98.7
Marshall	0-0	3-1	95.0	94.8	95.4	95.1
Florida International	0-1	2-2	89.5	91.9	91.3	90.9
Florida Atlantic	1-0	1-3	81.7	85.7	82.1	83.2
Old Dominion	0-0	2-2	76.6	83.0	75.4	78.3
Charlotte	0-2	2-2	69.0	71.0	68.7	69.6
West Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisiana Tech	1-1	2-2	101.1	98.3	102.0	100.5
Rice	1-0	2-2	86.6	91.0	87.2	88.3
Southern Mississippi	0-0	2-2	87.8	88.3	87.2	87.8
UTEP	0-0	2-2	81.5	84.3	81.3	82.4
UT-San Antonio	0-0	0-4	78.3	81.3	79.5	79.7
North Texas	0-1	0-3	77.2	83.3	77.6	79.4
CUSA Averages			86.6	88.6	86.9	87.4
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