The Pi-Rate Ratings

March 17, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Thursday, March 17, 2022

Thursday, March 17, 2022
TeamTeamSpread
Colorado St.Michigan-2.1
ProvidenceSouth Dakota St.2.9
Boise St.Memphis-1.9
BaylorNorfolk St.20.2
TennesseeLongwood16.6
IowaRichmond10.2
GonzagaGeorgia St.23.1
North CarolinaMarquette1.9
ConnecticutNew Mexico St.9.0
KentuckySaint Peter’s17.3
Saint Mary’sIndiana2.3
San Diego St.Creighton2.3
ArkansasVermont4.2
Murray St.San Francisco-2.3
UCLAAkron14.9
KansasTexas Southern18.7
Fresno St.Eastern Washington11.8

February 27, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Sunday, February 27, 2022

HomeVisitorsSpread
GeorgetownConnecticut-14.7
HarvardPrinceton-5.1
HoustonSMU12.8
QuinnipiacCanisius1.1
MichiganIllinois-0.1
ManhattanFairfield-0.2
Saint Peter’sNiagara4.9
SienaMonmouth-5.5
RiderIona-12.1
MemphisWichita St.8.1
George MasonGeorge Washington11.5
TempleTulane1.0
MarylandOhio St.2.5
UNC GreensboroEast Tennessee St.3.4
DePaulSt. John’s-1.6
MontanaMontana St.-2.8
MinnesotaIndiana-3.3
Penn St.Nebraska12.6

February 22, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Tuesday, February 22, 2022

HomeVisitorsSpread
North DakotaSt. Thomas-0.9
DartmouthYale-2.2
MissouriTennessee-12.5
FloridaArkansas-0.6
IowaMichigan St.5.6
NortheasternCharleston-1.1
MonmouthSiena9.2
St. BonaventureRhode Island7.1
George WashingtonRichmond-6.4
Eastern MichiganNorthern Illinois2.6
Kent St.Ball St.9.6
AkronBowling Green8.1
Miami (O)Buffalo-6.5
Western MichiganToledo-15.3
OhioCentral Michigan17.6
Texas A&MGeorgia12.2
ConnecticutVillanova0.4
Texas TechOklahoma9.3
PittsburghMiami (Fla.)-4.4
Saint LouisSaint Joseph’s11.8
NorthwesternNebraska11.2
KansasKansas St.13.0
VanderbiltAlabama-3.8
Air ForceFresno St.-8.7
Boise St.San Diego St.2.0
Cal PolyCal St. Bakersfield-1.5
Utah St.New Mexico12.1
NevadaUNLV0.3

February 13, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Sunday, February 13, 2022

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 3:00 am
HomeVisitorsSpread
St. John’sConnecticut-3.7
Youngstown St.Robert Morris7.4
Wright St.Northern Kentucky5.2
PurdueMaryland14.8
MaineStony Brook-8.0
OaklandDetroit6.4
IonaMonmouth7.5
RiderSiena2.3
IllinoisNorthwestern9.8
Old DominionUAB-10.4
MilwaukeeGreen Bay3.7
QuinnipiacManhattan4.8
IowaNebraska16.9
UTEPMarshall6.8
Middle TennesseeCharlotte5.9
UNC GreensboroMercer5.1
Boise St.Colorado St.3.8
Loyola (Chi.)Northern Iowa8.2

Coming Tomorrow: Updated ratings in the morning and updated Bracketology in the afternoon.

January 21, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Friday, January 21, 2022

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 6:41 am

Friday’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorsSpread
OhioToledo1.9
MarylandIllinois-7.5
Illinois St.Evansville7.2
St. Francis (PA)Central Connecticut7.7
Mount St. Mary’sSacred Heart2.6
MerrimackBryant-2.1
Long IslandWagner-5.0
Fairleigh DickinsonSt. Francis (NY)-0.1
Cleveland St.Youngstown St.7.0
Purdue Fort WayneRobert Morris5.8
DuquesneSt. Bonaventure-7.0
CanisiusRider3.6
NiagaraSaint Peter’s2.9
ManhattanSiena3.2
BuffaloKent St.7.5
WisconsinMichigan St.2.3
NevadaFresno St.0.1

PiRate Ratings

#TeamPiRateConference
1Gonzaga124.1West Coast
2Arizona121.9Pac-12
3Baylor119.9Big 12
4Kentucky119.5Southeastern
5Purdue119.3Big Ten
6Auburn119.2Southeastern
7Kansas119.1Big 12
8Houston118.6American Athletic
9Villanova118.0Big East
10LSU118.0Southeastern
11Illinois117.7Big Ten
12Duke117.4Atlantic Coast
13UCLA116.5Pac-12
14Tennessee116.2Southeastern
15Alabama115.8Southeastern
16Texas Tech115.4Big 12
17Connecticut115.2Big East
18Xavier114.7Big East
19Texas114.4Big 12
20Iowa114.4Big Ten
21Ohio St.113.9Big Ten
22Seton Hall113.8Big East
23Indiana113.6Big Ten
24Michigan St.113.5Big Ten
25USC113.2Pac-12
26Michigan112.9Big Ten
27Wisconsin112.8Big Ten
28Loyola Chicago112.8Missouri Valley
29Florida112.5Southeastern
30BYU112.2West Coast
31Virginia Tech112.1Atlantic Coast
32Arkansas112.1Southeastern
33Oklahoma112.1Big 12
34North Carolina112.0Atlantic Coast
35Iowa St.111.6Big 12
36San Francisco111.2West Coast
37San Diego St.111.2Mountain West
38Saint Mary’s111.1West Coast
39Marquette110.8Big East
40UAB110.8Conference USA
41Oklahoma St.110.7Big 12
42Memphis110.6American Athletic
43Murray St.110.4Ohio Valley
44Mississippi St.110.3Southeastern
45Wake Forest110.3Atlantic Coast
46West Virginia110.3Big 12
47Oregon110.2Pac-12
48Colorado St.110.1Mountain West
49Florida St.110.0Atlantic Coast
50Boise St.109.7Mountain West
51Washington St.109.7Pac-12
52Providence109.6Big East
53Davidson109.3Atlantic 10
54Creighton109.3Big East
55SMU109.1American Athletic
56Northwestern109.1Big Ten
57Kansas St.108.7Big 12
58TCU108.6Big 12
59Texas A&M108.5Southeastern
60Cincinnati108.4American Athletic
61Belmont108.4Ohio Valley
62Wyoming108.4Mountain West
63Penn St.108.4Big Ten
64Notre Dame108.3Atlantic Coast
65Miami FL108.2Atlantic Coast
66Clemson108.1Atlantic Coast
67Missouri St.108.0Missouri Valley
68Utah St.107.9Mountain West
69Syracuse107.8Atlantic Coast
70UCF107.7American Athletic
71Dayton107.7Atlantic 10
72Vermont107.7America East
73VCU107.7Atlantic 10
74St. Bonaventure107.6Atlantic 10
75Saint Louis107.6Atlantic 10
76Iona107.5Metro Atlantic
77Fresno St.107.3Mountain West
78Colorado107.3Pac-12
79Maryland107.2Big Ten
80Virginia107.2Atlantic Coast
81North Texas107.2Conference USA
82South Dakota St.107.1Summit
83Toledo107.1Mid-American
84Chattanooga107.0Southern
85Vanderbilt107.0Southeastern
86Wichita St.106.9American Athletic
87Louisiana Tech106.8Conference USA
88St. John’s106.7Big East
89Rutgers106.7Big Ten
90Minnesota106.6Big Ten
91Rhode Island106.6Atlantic 10
92Ohio106.5Mid-American
93Louisville106.5Atlantic Coast
94Santa Clara106.3West Coast
95DePaul106.2Big East
96Richmond106.2Atlantic 10
97Stanford106.0Pac-12
98Towson105.6Colonial Athletic
99Furman105.4Southern
100N.C. State105.2Atlantic Coast
101Northern Iowa105.2Missouri Valley
102Buffalo105.0Mid-American
103Drake104.9Missouri Valley
104Wofford104.8Southern
105Utah104.8Pac-12
106Liberty104.5Atlantic Sun
107Oakland104.5Horizon
108South Carolina104.5Southeastern
109Nevada104.4Mountain West
110Grand Canyon104.2Western Athletic
111UC Irvine104.2Big West
112California104.0Pac-12
113Wagner103.9Northeast
114New Mexico St.103.9Western Athletic
115Mississippi103.8Southeastern
116Western Kentucky103.8Conference USA
117UNLV103.7Mountain West
118Bradley103.6Missouri Valley
119Colgate103.5Patriot League
120Monmouth103.3Metro Atlantic
121Arizona St.103.3Pac-12
122Utah Valley103.2Western Athletic
123Oral Roberts103.1Summit
124Hofstra103.1Colonial Athletic
125George Mason102.9Atlantic 10
126Jacksonville St.102.6Atlantic Sun
127Washington102.4Pac-12
128Georgia Tech102.3Atlantic Coast
129Temple102.3American Athletic
130Weber St.102.2Big Sky
131Akron102.2Mid-American
132Butler102.1Big East
133Yale102.1Ivy League
134Southern Illinois102.1Missouri Valley
135Tulane102.0American Athletic
136Tulsa101.9American Athletic
137Morehead St.101.9Ohio Valley
138Loyola Marymount101.8West Coast
139Princeton101.8Ivy League
140Navy101.7Patriot League
141Boston College101.6Atlantic Coast
142Drexel101.4Colonial Athletic
143Oregon St.101.4Pac-12
144Stephen F. Austin101.4Western Athletic
145Seattle101.4Western Athletic
146South Alabama101.3Sun Belt
147Abilene Christian101.3Western Athletic
148Southern Utah101.3Big Sky
149Massachusetts101.1Atlantic 10
150Texas St.101.1Sun Belt
151Delaware101.0Colonial Athletic
152UC Riverside101.0Big West
153Nebraska100.9Big Ten
154Missouri100.9Southeastern
155Florida Atlantic100.8Conference USA
156Middle Tennessee100.6Conference USA
157UC Santa Barbara100.5Big West
158Georgetown100.5Big East
159Pittsburgh100.4Atlantic Coast
160East Carolina100.3American Athletic
161Cleveland St.100.3Horizon
162Miami OH100.3Mid-American
163Montana St.100.3Big Sky
164Coastal Carolina100.2Sun Belt
165Saint Joseph’s100.1Atlantic 10
166Kent St.100.0Mid-American
167Cal St. Fullerton100.0Big West
168Rice100.0Conference USA
169Montana99.9Big Sky
170San Diego99.9West Coast
171Hawaii99.9Big West
172Marist99.7Metro Atlantic
173Brown99.7Ivy League
174Appalachian St.99.7Sun Belt
175James Madison99.6Colonial Athletic
176East Tennessee St.99.6Southern
177Sam Houston St.99.6Western Athletic
178Indiana St.99.5Missouri Valley
179VMI99.5Southern
180Boston University99.4Patriot League
181Louisiana99.4Sun Belt
182UNC Greensboro99.4Southern
183Longwood99.4Big South
184Texas Southern99.4Southwestern Athletic
185UTEP99.2Conference USA
186Old Dominion99.2Conference USA
187Winthrop99.1Big South
188Georgia St.99.0Sun Belt
189Troy98.9Sun Belt
190Harvard98.9Ivy League
191Charleston98.8Colonial Athletic
192Valparaiso98.7Missouri Valley
193Arkansas St.98.7Sun Belt
194Niagara98.7Metro Atlantic
195Northern Colorado98.6Big Sky
196North Dakota St.98.6Summit
197Fairfield98.5Metro Atlantic
198Wright St.98.4Horizon
199Bowling Green98.4Mid-American
200Tarleton St.98.4Western Athletic
201New Mexico98.3Mountain West
202Saint Peter’s98.3Metro Atlantic
203Charlotte98.2Conference USA
204Nicholls St.98.2Southland
205Bellarmine98.2Atlantic Sun
206Marshall98.2Conference USA
207Western Illinois98.1Summit
208Duquesne98.1Atlantic 10
209UC Davis98.1Big West
210South Florida98.1American Athletic
211Georgia98.1Southeastern
212Fordham98.1Atlantic 10
213Florida Gulf Coast98.0Atlantic Sun
214Mercer98.0Southern
215Illinois St.98.0Missouri Valley
216Eastern Kentucky98.0Atlantic Sun
217Northeastern97.9Colonial Athletic
218Campbell97.9Big South
219Gardner Webb97.7Big South
220Kennesaw St.97.7Atlantic Sun
221Detroit Mercy97.7Horizon
222Bryant97.6Northeast
223New Hampshire97.6America East
224Eastern Washington97.5Big Sky
225Penn97.5Ivy League
226Cornell97.3Ivy League
227Cal Baptist97.1Western Athletic
228Stony Brook97.1America East
229UT Arlington97.0Sun Belt
230Howard97.0Mideastern Athletic
231Norfolk St.96.6Mideastern Athletic
232Georgia Southern96.5Sun Belt
233LIU96.4Northeast
234UNC Asheville96.4Big South
235Jacksonville96.4Atlantic Sun
236Southern96.4Southwestern Athletic
237La Salle96.4Atlantic 10
238South Dakota96.2Summit
239Cal St. Bakersfield96.1Big West
240UMass Lowell96.1America East
241Long Beach St.96.1Big West
242Quinnipiac96.1Metro Atlantic
243Dartmouth96.0Ivy League
244FIU96.0Conference USA
245Portland95.9West Coast
246UMKC95.8Summit
247Youngstown St.95.8Horizon
248Air Force95.8Mountain West
249Northern Kentucky95.7Horizon
250Texas A&M Corpus Chris95.3Southland
251UNC Wilmington95.2Colonial Athletic
252Pacific95.2West Coast
253Purdue Fort Wayne95.2Horizon
254UMBC95.1America East
255Louisiana Monroe95.1Sun Belt
256Loyola MD95.0Patriot League
257Illinois Chicago95.0Horizon
258Ball St.94.9Mid-American
259Samford94.9Southern
260Manhattan94.7Metro Atlantic
261Portland St.94.7Big Sky
262Albany94.7America East
263Elon94.7Colonial Athletic
264Jackson St.94.6Southwestern Athletic
265Tennessee Tech94.6Ohio Valley
266Milwaukee94.5Horizon
267Alcorn St.94.5Southwestern Athletic
268The Citadel94.4Southern
269Army94.3Patriot League
270Pepperdine94.3West Coast
271St. Thomas94.3Summit
272UC San Diego94.1Big West
273North Carolina A&T94.0Big South
274Siena94.0Metro Atlantic
275High Point93.8Big South
276North Alabama93.7Atlantic Sun
277UT Rio Grande Valley93.7Western Athletic
278Hartford93.6America East
279Canisius93.4Metro Atlantic
280Eastern Michigan93.3Mid-American
281Evansville93.3Missouri Valley
282George Washington93.3Atlantic 10
283Radford93.2Big South
284SIU Edwardsville93.2Ohio Valley
285Mount St. Mary’s93.2Northeast
286Sacred Heart93.1Northeast
287New Orleans93.0Southland
288Merrimack93.0Northeast
289Lipscomb93.0Atlantic Sun
290Presbyterian93.0Big South
291North Florida92.6Atlantic Sun
292Austin Peay92.6Ohio Valley
293Stetson92.5Atlantic Sun
294St. Francis PA92.5Northeast
295Dixie St.92.3Western Athletic
296Prairie View A&M92.3Southwestern Athletic
297Binghamton92.3America East
298Rider92.3Metro Atlantic
299San Jose St.92.3Mountain West
300Coppin St.92.2Mideastern Athletic
301Southeastern Louisiana92.1Southland
302NJIT92.0America East
303Sacramento St.92.0Big Sky
304Robert Morris91.9Horizon
305USC Upstate91.8Big South
306Cal Poly91.6Big West
307Little Rock91.4Sun Belt
308Western Carolina91.3Southern
309McNeese St.91.2Southland
310Lafayette91.2Patriot League
311Tennessee St.91.1Ohio Valley
312Lehigh91.1Patriot League
313Northern Illinois91.0Mid-American
314Morgan St.90.9Mideastern Athletic
315Cal St. Northridge90.8Big West
316Southeast Missouri St.90.8Ohio Valley
317Southern Miss90.8Conference USA
318Denver90.7Summit
319Northern Arizona90.6Big Sky
320Florida A&M90.5Southwestern Athletic
321North Carolina Central90.4Mideastern Athletic
322Green Bay90.3Horizon
323UTSA89.9Conference USA
324St. Francis NY89.8Northeast
325Grambling St.89.8Southwestern Athletic
326Tennessee Martin89.7Ohio Valley
327Hampton89.3Big South
328Alabama A&M88.9Southwestern Athletic
329Western Michigan88.8Mid-American
330Maryland Eastern Shore88.7Mideastern Athletic
331Alabama St.88.6Southwestern Athletic
332Bucknell88.6Patriot League
333Idaho88.4Big Sky
334Lamar88.3Western Athletic
335American88.2Patriot League
336Central Arkansas88.1Atlantic Sun
337Idaho St.88.0Big Sky
338Central Michigan87.7Mid-American
339William & Mary87.5Colonial Athletic
340Columbia87.3Ivy League
341Central Connecticut87.3Northeast
342Fairleigh Dickinson87.2Northeast
343Bethune Cookman87.0Southwestern Athletic
344South Carolina St.86.9Mideastern Athletic
345Northwestern St.86.8Southland
346Nebraska Omaha86.8Summit
347Holy Cross86.7Patriot League
348North Dakota86.3Summit
349Maine85.5America East
350Chicago St.85.5Western Athletic
351Charleston Southern84.7Big South
352Houston Baptist84.5Southland
353Incarnate Word84.4Southland
354Eastern Illinois83.4Ohio Valley
355Arkansas Pine Bluff82.8Southwestern Athletic
356IUPUI80.8Horizon
357Delaware St.78.8Mideastern Athletic
358Mississippi Valley St.77.1Southwestern Athletic

Alphabetically

#TeamPiRateConference
147Abilene Christian101.3Western Athletic
248Air Force95.8Mountain West
131Akron102.2Mid-American
15Alabama115.8Southeastern
328Alabama A&M88.9Southwestern Athletic
331Alabama St.88.6Southwestern Athletic
262Albany94.7America East
267Alcorn St.94.5Southwestern Athletic
335American88.2Patriot League
174Appalachian St.99.7Sun Belt
2Arizona121.9Pac-12
121Arizona St.103.3Pac-12
32Arkansas112.1Southeastern
355Arkansas Pine Bluff82.8Southwestern Athletic
193Arkansas St.98.7Sun Belt
269Army94.3Patriot League
6Auburn119.2Southeastern
292Austin Peay92.6Ohio Valley
258Ball St.94.9Mid-American
3Baylor119.9Big 12
205Bellarmine98.2Atlantic Sun
61Belmont108.4Ohio Valley
343Bethune Cookman87.0Southwestern Athletic
297Binghamton92.3America East
50Boise St.109.7Mountain West
141Boston College101.6Atlantic Coast
180Boston University99.4Patriot League
199Bowling Green98.4Mid-American
118Bradley103.6Missouri Valley
173Brown99.7Ivy League
222Bryant97.6Northeast
332Bucknell88.6Patriot League
102Buffalo105.0Mid-American
132Butler102.1Big East
30BYU112.2West Coast
227Cal Baptist97.1Western Athletic
306Cal Poly91.6Big West
239Cal St. Bakersfield96.1Big West
167Cal St. Fullerton100.0Big West
315Cal St. Northridge90.8Big West
112California104.0Pac-12
218Campbell97.9Big South
279Canisius93.4Metro Atlantic
336Central Arkansas88.1Atlantic Sun
341Central Connecticut87.3Northeast
338Central Michigan87.7Mid-American
191Charleston98.8Colonial Athletic
351Charleston Southern84.7Big South
203Charlotte98.2Conference USA
84Chattanooga107.0Southern
350Chicago St.85.5Western Athletic
60Cincinnati108.4American Athletic
66Clemson108.1Atlantic Coast
161Cleveland St.100.3Horizon
164Coastal Carolina100.2Sun Belt
119Colgate103.5Patriot League
78Colorado107.3Pac-12
48Colorado St.110.1Mountain West
340Columbia87.3Ivy League
17Connecticut115.2Big East
300Coppin St.92.2Mideastern Athletic
226Cornell97.3Ivy League
54Creighton109.3Big East
243Dartmouth96.0Ivy League
53Davidson109.3Atlantic 10
71Dayton107.7Atlantic 10
151Delaware101.0Colonial Athletic
357Delaware St.78.8Mideastern Athletic
318Denver90.7Summit
95DePaul106.2Big East
221Detroit Mercy97.7Horizon
295Dixie St.92.3Western Athletic
103Drake104.9Missouri Valley
142Drexel101.4Colonial Athletic
12Duke117.4Atlantic Coast
208Duquesne98.1Atlantic 10
160East Carolina100.3American Athletic
176East Tennessee St.99.6Southern
354Eastern Illinois83.4Ohio Valley
216Eastern Kentucky98.0Atlantic Sun
280Eastern Michigan93.3Mid-American
224Eastern Washington97.5Big Sky
263Elon94.7Colonial Athletic
281Evansville93.3Missouri Valley
197Fairfield98.5Metro Atlantic
342Fairleigh Dickinson87.2Northeast
244FIU96.0Conference USA
29Florida112.5Southeastern
320Florida A&M90.5Southwestern Athletic
155Florida Atlantic100.8Conference USA
213Florida Gulf Coast98.0Atlantic Sun
49Florida St.110.0Atlantic Coast
212Fordham98.1Atlantic 10
77Fresno St.107.3Mountain West
99Furman105.4Southern
219Gardner Webb97.7Big South
125George Mason102.9Atlantic 10
282George Washington93.3Atlantic 10
158Georgetown100.5Big East
211Georgia98.1Southeastern
232Georgia Southern96.5Sun Belt
188Georgia St.99.0Sun Belt
128Georgia Tech102.3Atlantic Coast
1Gonzaga124.1West Coast
325Grambling St.89.8Southwestern Athletic
110Grand Canyon104.2Western Athletic
322Green Bay90.3Horizon
327Hampton89.3Big South
278Hartford93.6America East
190Harvard98.9Ivy League
171Hawaii99.9Big West
275High Point93.8Big South
124Hofstra103.1Colonial Athletic
347Holy Cross86.7Patriot League
8Houston118.6American Athletic
352Houston Baptist84.5Southland
230Howard97.0Mideastern Athletic
333Idaho88.4Big Sky
337Idaho St.88.0Big Sky
11Illinois117.7Big Ten
257Illinois Chicago95.0Horizon
215Illinois St.98.0Missouri Valley
353Incarnate Word84.4Southland
23Indiana113.6Big Ten
178Indiana St.99.5Missouri Valley
76Iona107.5Metro Atlantic
20Iowa114.4Big Ten
35Iowa St.111.6Big 12
356IUPUI80.8Horizon
264Jackson St.94.6Southwestern Athletic
235Jacksonville96.4Atlantic Sun
126Jacksonville St.102.6Atlantic Sun
175James Madison99.6Colonial Athletic
7Kansas119.1Big 12
57Kansas St.108.7Big 12
220Kennesaw St.97.7Atlantic Sun
166Kent St.100.0Mid-American
4Kentucky119.5Southeastern
237La Salle96.4Atlantic 10
310Lafayette91.2Patriot League
334Lamar88.3Western Athletic
312Lehigh91.1Patriot League
106Liberty104.5Atlantic Sun
289Lipscomb93.0Atlantic Sun
307Little Rock91.4Sun Belt
233LIU96.4Northeast
241Long Beach St.96.1Big West
183Longwood99.4Big South
181Louisiana99.4Sun Belt
255Louisiana Monroe95.1Sun Belt
87Louisiana Tech106.8Conference USA
93Louisville106.5Atlantic Coast
28Loyola Chicago112.8Missouri Valley
138Loyola Marymount101.8West Coast
256Loyola MD95.0Patriot League
10LSU118.0Southeastern
349Maine85.5America East
260Manhattan94.7Metro Atlantic
172Marist99.7Metro Atlantic
39Marquette110.8Big East
206Marshall98.2Conference USA
79Maryland107.2Big Ten
330Maryland Eastern Shore88.7Mideastern Athletic
149Massachusetts101.1Atlantic 10
309McNeese St.91.2Southland
42Memphis110.6American Athletic
214Mercer98.0Southern
288Merrimack93.0Northeast
65Miami FL108.2Atlantic Coast
162Miami OH100.3Mid-American
26Michigan112.9Big Ten
24Michigan St.113.5Big Ten
156Middle Tennessee100.6Conference USA
266Milwaukee94.5Horizon
90Minnesota106.6Big Ten
115Mississippi103.8Southeastern
44Mississippi St.110.3Southeastern
358Mississippi Valley St.77.1Southwestern Athletic
154Missouri100.9Southeastern
67Missouri St.108.0Missouri Valley
120Monmouth103.3Metro Atlantic
169Montana99.9Big Sky
163Montana St.100.3Big Sky
137Morehead St.101.9Ohio Valley
314Morgan St.90.9Mideastern Athletic
285Mount St. Mary’s93.2Northeast
43Murray St.110.4Ohio Valley
100N.C. State105.2Atlantic Coast
140Navy101.7Patriot League
153Nebraska100.9Big Ten
346Nebraska Omaha86.8Summit
109Nevada104.4Mountain West
223New Hampshire97.6America East
201New Mexico98.3Mountain West
114New Mexico St.103.9Western Athletic
287New Orleans93.0Southland
194Niagara98.7Metro Atlantic
204Nicholls St.98.2Southland
302NJIT92.0America East
231Norfolk St.96.6Mideastern Athletic
276North Alabama93.7Atlantic Sun
34North Carolina112.0Atlantic Coast
273North Carolina A&T94.0Big South
321North Carolina Central90.4Mideastern Athletic
348North Dakota86.3Summit
196North Dakota St.98.6Summit
291North Florida92.6Atlantic Sun
81North Texas107.2Conference USA
217Northeastern97.9Colonial Athletic
319Northern Arizona90.6Big Sky
195Northern Colorado98.6Big Sky
313Northern Illinois91.0Mid-American
101Northern Iowa105.2Missouri Valley
249Northern Kentucky95.7Horizon
56Northwestern109.1Big Ten
345Northwestern St.86.8Southland
64Notre Dame108.3Atlantic Coast
107Oakland104.5Horizon
92Ohio106.5Mid-American
21Ohio St.113.9Big Ten
33Oklahoma112.1Big 12
41Oklahoma St.110.7Big 12
186Old Dominion99.2Conference USA
123Oral Roberts103.1Summit
47Oregon110.2Pac-12
143Oregon St.101.4Pac-12
252Pacific95.2West Coast
225Penn97.5Ivy League
63Penn St.108.4Big Ten
270Pepperdine94.3West Coast
159Pittsburgh100.4Atlantic Coast
245Portland95.9West Coast
261Portland St.94.7Big Sky
296Prairie View A&M92.3Southwestern Athletic
290Presbyterian93.0Big South
139Princeton101.8Ivy League
52Providence109.6Big East
5Purdue119.3Big Ten
253Purdue Fort Wayne95.2Horizon
242Quinnipiac96.1Metro Atlantic
283Radford93.2Big South
91Rhode Island106.6Atlantic 10
168Rice100.0Conference USA
96Richmond106.2Atlantic 10
298Rider92.3Metro Atlantic
304Robert Morris91.9Horizon
89Rutgers106.7Big Ten
303Sacramento St.92.0Big Sky
286Sacred Heart93.1Northeast
165Saint Joseph’s100.1Atlantic 10
75Saint Louis107.6Atlantic 10
38Saint Mary’s111.1West Coast
202Saint Peter’s98.3Metro Atlantic
177Sam Houston St.99.6Western Athletic
259Samford94.9Southern
170San Diego99.9West Coast
37San Diego St.111.2Mountain West
36San Francisco111.2West Coast
299San Jose St.92.3Mountain West
94Santa Clara106.3West Coast
145Seattle101.4Western Athletic
22Seton Hall113.8Big East
274Siena94.0Metro Atlantic
284SIU Edwardsville93.2Ohio Valley
55SMU109.1American Athletic
146South Alabama101.3Sun Belt
108South Carolina104.5Southeastern
344South Carolina St.86.9Mideastern Athletic
238South Dakota96.2Summit
82South Dakota St.107.1Summit
210South Florida98.1American Athletic
316Southeast Missouri St.90.8Ohio Valley
301Southeastern Louisiana92.1Southland
236Southern96.4Southwestern Athletic
134Southern Illinois102.1Missouri Valley
317Southern Miss90.8Conference USA
148Southern Utah101.3Big Sky
74St. Bonaventure107.6Atlantic 10
324St. Francis NY89.8Northeast
294St. Francis PA92.5Northeast
88St. John’s106.7Big East
271St. Thomas94.3Summit
97Stanford106.0Pac-12
144Stephen F. Austin101.4Western Athletic
293Stetson92.5Atlantic Sun
228Stony Brook97.1America East
69Syracuse107.8Atlantic Coast
200Tarleton St.98.4Western Athletic
58TCU108.6Big 12
129Temple102.3American Athletic
14Tennessee116.2Southeastern
326Tennessee Martin89.7Ohio Valley
311Tennessee St.91.1Ohio Valley
265Tennessee Tech94.6Ohio Valley
19Texas114.4Big 12
59Texas A&M108.5Southeastern
250Texas A&M Corpus Chris95.3Southland
184Texas Southern99.4Southwestern Athletic
150Texas St.101.1Sun Belt
16Texas Tech115.4Big 12
268The Citadel94.4Southern
83Toledo107.1Mid-American
98Towson105.6Colonial Athletic
189Troy98.9Sun Belt
135Tulane102.0American Athletic
136Tulsa101.9American Athletic
40UAB110.8Conference USA
209UC Davis98.1Big West
111UC Irvine104.2Big West
152UC Riverside101.0Big West
272UC San Diego94.1Big West
157UC Santa Barbara100.5Big West
70UCF107.7American Athletic
13UCLA116.5Pac-12
240UMass Lowell96.1America East
254UMBC95.1America East
246UMKC95.8Summit
234UNC Asheville96.4Big South
182UNC Greensboro99.4Southern
251UNC Wilmington95.2Colonial Athletic
117UNLV103.7Mountain West
25USC113.2Pac-12
305USC Upstate91.8Big South
229UT Arlington97.0Sun Belt
277UT Rio Grande Valley93.7Western Athletic
105Utah104.8Pac-12
68Utah St.107.9Mountain West
122Utah Valley103.2Western Athletic
185UTEP99.2Conference USA
323UTSA89.9Conference USA
192Valparaiso98.7Missouri Valley
85Vanderbilt107.0Southeastern
73VCU107.7Atlantic 10
72Vermont107.7America East
9Villanova118.0Big East
80Virginia107.2Atlantic Coast
31Virginia Tech112.1Atlantic Coast
179VMI99.5Southern
113Wagner103.9Northeast
45Wake Forest110.3Atlantic Coast
127Washington102.4Pac-12
51Washington St.109.7Pac-12
130Weber St.102.2Big Sky
46West Virginia110.3Big 12
308Western Carolina91.3Southern
207Western Illinois98.1Summit
116Western Kentucky103.8Conference USA
329Western Michigan88.8Mid-American
86Wichita St.106.9American Athletic
339William & Mary87.5Colonial Athletic
187Winthrop99.1Big South
27Wisconsin112.8Big Ten
104Wofford104.8Southern
198Wright St.98.4Horizon
62Wyoming108.4Mountain West
18Xavier114.7Big East
133Yale102.1Ivy League
247Youngstown St.95.8Horizon

PiRate Ratings By Conference

America East
TeamRating
Vermont107.7
New Hampshire97.6
Stony Brook97.1
UMass Lowell96.1
UMBC95.1
Albany94.7
Hartford93.6
Binghamton92.3
NJIT92.0
Maine85.5
American Athletic
TeamRating
Houston118.6
Memphis110.6
SMU109.1
Cincinnati108.4
UCF107.7
Wichita St.106.9
Temple102.3
Tulane102.0
Tulsa101.9
East Carolina100.3
South Florida98.1
Atlantic 10
TeamRating
Davidson109.3
Dayton107.7
VCU107.7
St. Bonaventure107.6
Saint Louis107.6
Rhode Island106.6
Richmond106.2
George Mason102.9
Massachusetts101.1
Saint Joseph’s100.1
Duquesne98.1
Fordham98.1
La Salle96.4
George Washington93.3
Atlantic Coast
TeamRating
Duke117.4
Virginia Tech112.1
North Carolina112.0
Wake Forest110.3
Florida St.110.0
Notre Dame108.3
Miami FL108.2
Clemson108.1
Syracuse107.8
Virginia107.2
Louisville106.5
N.C. State105.2
Georgia Tech102.3
Boston College101.6
Pittsburgh100.4
Atlantic Sun
TeamRating
Liberty104.5
Jacksonville St.102.6
Bellarmine98.2
Florida Gulf Coast98.0
Eastern Kentucky98.0
Kennesaw St.97.7
Jacksonville96.4
North Alabama93.7
Lipscomb93.0
North Florida92.6
Stetson92.5
Central Arkansas88.1
Big 12
TeamRating
Baylor119.9
Kansas119.1
Texas Tech115.4
Texas114.4
Oklahoma112.1
Iowa St.111.6
Oklahoma St.110.7
West Virginia110.3
Kansas St.108.7
TCU108.6
Big East
TeamRating
Villanova118.0
Connecticut115.2
Xavier114.7
Seton Hall113.8
Marquette110.8
Providence109.6
Creighton109.3
St. John’s106.7
DePaul106.2
Butler102.1
Georgetown100.5
Big Sky
TeamRating
Weber St.102.2
Southern Utah101.3
Montana St.100.3
Montana99.9
Northern Colorado98.6
Eastern Washington97.5
Portland St.94.7
Sacramento St.92.0
Northern Arizona90.6
Idaho88.4
Idaho St.88.0
Big South
TeamRating
Longwood99.4
Winthrop99.1
Campbell97.9
Gardner Webb97.7
UNC Asheville96.4
North Carolina A&T94.0
High Point93.8
Radford93.2
Presbyterian93.0
USC Upstate91.8
Hampton89.3
Charleston Southern84.7
Big Ten
TeamRating
Purdue119.3
Illinois117.7
Iowa114.4
Ohio St.113.9
Indiana113.6
Michigan St.113.5
Michigan112.9
Wisconsin112.8
Northwestern109.1
Penn St.108.4
Maryland107.2
Rutgers106.7
Minnesota106.6
Nebraska100.9
Big West
TeamRating
UC Irvine104.2
UC Riverside101.0
UC Santa Barbara100.5
Cal St. Fullerton100.0
Hawaii99.9
UC Davis98.1
Cal St. Bakersfield96.1
Long Beach St.96.1
UC San Diego94.1
Cal Poly91.6
Cal St. Northridge90.8
Colonial Athletic
TeamRating
Towson105.6
Hofstra103.1
Drexel101.4
Delaware101.0
James Madison99.6
Charleston98.8
Northeastern97.9
UNC Wilmington95.2
Elon94.7
William & Mary87.5
Conference USA
TeamRating
UAB110.8
North Texas107.2
Louisiana Tech106.8
Western Kentucky103.8
Florida Atlantic100.8
Middle Tennessee100.6
Rice100.0
UTEP99.2
Old Dominion99.2
Charlotte98.2
Marshall98.2
FIU96.0
Southern Miss90.8
UTSA89.9
Horizon
TeamRating
Oakland104.5
Cleveland St.100.3
Wright St.98.4
Detroit Mercy97.7
Youngstown St.95.8
Northern Kentucky95.7
Purdue Fort Wayne95.2
Illinois Chicago95.0
Milwaukee94.5
Robert Morris91.9
Green Bay90.3
IUPUI80.8
Ivy League
TeamRating
Yale102.1
Princeton101.8
Brown99.7
Harvard98.9
Penn97.5
Cornell97.3
Dartmouth96.0
Columbia87.3
Metro Atlantic
TeamRating
Iona107.5
Monmouth103.3
Marist99.7
Niagara98.7
Fairfield98.5
Saint Peter’s98.3
Quinnipiac96.1
Manhattan94.7
Siena94.0
Canisius93.4
Rider92.3
Mid-American
TeamRating
Toledo107.1
Ohio106.5
Buffalo105.0
Akron102.2
Miami OH100.3
Kent St.100.0
Bowling Green98.4
Ball St.94.9
Eastern Michigan93.3
Northern Illinois91.0
Western Michigan88.8
Central Michigan87.7
Mideastern Athletic
TeamRating
Howard97.0
Norfolk St.96.6
Coppin St.92.2
Morgan St.90.9
North Carolina Central90.4
Maryland Eastern Shore88.7
South Carolina St.86.9
Delaware St.78.8
Missouri Valley
TeamRating
Loyola Chicago112.8
Missouri St.108.0
Northern Iowa105.2
Drake104.9
Bradley103.6
Southern Illinois102.1
Indiana St.99.5
Valparaiso98.7
Illinois St.98.0
Evansville93.3
Mountain West
TeamRating
San Diego St.111.2
Colorado St.110.1
Boise St.109.7
Wyoming108.4
Utah St.107.9
Fresno St.107.3
Nevada104.4
UNLV103.7
New Mexico98.3
Air Force95.8
San Jose St.92.3
Northeast
TeamRating
Wagner103.9
Bryant97.6
LIU96.4
Mount St. Mary’s93.2
Sacred Heart93.1
Merrimack93.0
St. Francis PA92.5
St. Francis NY89.8
Central Connecticut87.3
Fairleigh Dickinson87.2
Ohio Valley
TeamRating
Murray St.110.4
Belmont108.4
Morehead St.101.9
Tennessee Tech94.6
SIU Edwardsville93.2
Austin Peay92.6
Tennessee St.91.1
Southeast Missouri St.90.8
Tennessee Martin89.7
Eastern Illinois83.4
Pac-12
TeamRating
Arizona121.9
UCLA116.5
USC113.2
Oregon110.2
Washington St.109.7
Colorado107.3
Stanford106.0
Utah104.8
California104.0
Arizona St.103.3
Washington102.4
Oregon St.101.4
Patriot League
TeamRating
Colgate103.5
Navy101.7
Boston University99.4
Loyola MD95.0
Army94.3
Lafayette91.2
Lehigh91.1
Bucknell88.6
American88.2
Holy Cross86.7
Southeastern
TeamRating
Kentucky119.5
Auburn119.2
LSU118.0
Tennessee116.2
Alabama115.8
Florida112.5
Arkansas112.1
Mississippi St.110.3
Texas A&M108.5
Vanderbilt107.0
South Carolina104.5
Mississippi103.8
Missouri100.9
Georgia98.1
Southern
TeamRating
Chattanooga107.0
Furman105.4
Wofford104.8
East Tennessee St.99.6
VMI99.5
UNC Greensboro99.4
Mercer98.0
Samford94.9
The Citadel94.4
Western Carolina91.3
Southland
TeamRating
Nicholls St.98.2
Texas A&M Corpus Chris95.3
New Orleans93.0
Southeastern Louisiana92.1
McNeese St.91.2
Northwestern St.86.8
Houston Baptist84.5
Incarnate Word84.4
Southwestern Athletic
TeamRating
Texas Southern99.4
Southern96.4
Jackson St.94.6
Alcorn St.94.5
Prairie View A&M92.3
Florida A&M90.5
Grambling St.89.8
Alabama A&M88.9
Alabama St.88.6
Bethune Cookman87.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff82.8
Mississippi Valley St.77.1
Summit
TeamRating
South Dakota St.107.1
Oral Roberts103.1
North Dakota St.98.6
Western Illinois98.1
South Dakota96.2
UMKC95.8
St. Thomas94.3
Denver90.7
Nebraska Omaha86.8
North Dakota86.3
Sun Belt
TeamRating
South Alabama101.3
Texas St.101.1
Coastal Carolina100.2
Appalachian St.99.7
Louisiana99.4
Georgia St.99.0
Troy98.9
Arkansas St.98.7
UT Arlington97.0
Georgia Southern96.5
Louisiana Monroe95.1
Little Rock91.4
West Coast
TeamRating
Gonzaga124.1
BYU112.2
San Francisco111.2
Saint Mary’s111.1
Santa Clara106.3
Loyola Marymount101.8
San Diego99.9
Portland95.9
Pacific95.2
Pepperdine94.3
Western Athletic
TeamRating
Grand Canyon104.2
New Mexico St.103.9
Utah Valley103.2
Stephen F. Austin101.4
Seattle101.4
Abilene Christian101.3
Sam Houston St.99.6
Tarleton St.98.4
Cal Baptist97.1
UT Rio Grande Valley93.7
Dixie St.92.3
Lamar88.3
Chicago St.85.5

Coming later today: Updated Bracketology–The most bracket-changing upsets happened this week!

January 20, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Thursday, January 20, 2022

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 3:00 am
HomeVisitorsSpread
Florida St.North Florida20.7
ProvidenceGeorgetown12.1
PresbyterianWinthrop-3.7
IndianaPurdue-2.8
Bowling GreenAkron0.5
MassachusettsSaint Louis-4.8
MemphisSMU6.8
Tennessee TechSIU Edwardsville3.5
Morehead St.Belmont-5.2
Tennessee MartinAustin Peay1.4
Florida InternationalMarshall0.0
Florida AtlanticWestern Kentucky-3.0
North TexasCharlotte9.9
IUPUIWright St.-13.5
Georgia SouthernCoastal Carolina-0.6
Georgia St.Appalachian St.2.6
Western IllinoisSouth Dakota4.6
VMISamford5.8
UNC GreensboroChattanooga-4.8
DrexelElon8.6
DelawareWilliam & Mary15.5
James MadisonUNC Wilmington10.2
TowsonCharleston8.1
ColoradoUSC-3.1
Sam HoustonNew Mexico St.-5.0
Stephen F. AustinGrand Canyon-2.7
Little RockTexas St.-6.8
Louisiana MonroeTroy-0.6
FairfieldMonmouth-2.4
Southeast Missouri St.Tennessee St.1.1
Murray St.Eastern Illinois28.4
RiceOld Dominion2.8
Northern ArizonaMontana St.-7.3
Nicholls St.Northwestern St.14.2
New OrleansSE Louisiana3.2
Utah ValleyUT Rio Grande Valley12.1
Tarleton St.California Baptist4.3
Abilene ChristianSeattle4.2
Illinois ChicagoNorthern Kentucky2.4
MilwaukeeOakland-8.9
Green BayDetroit-6.2
Arkansas St.UT Arlington3.9
LouisianaSouth Alabama1.5
Oral RobertsNorth Dakota21.1
St. ThomasSouth Dakota St.-9.7
UMKCNorth Dakota St.0.6
Incarnate WordHouston Baptist3.1
Texas A&M-CCMcNeese St.7.0
ButlerConnecticut-8.2
Utah St.Boise St.0.6
Air ForceUNLV-6.3
CincinnatiTulsa8.2
UTEPUTSA12.6
Weber St.Idaho St.14.7
IdahoNorthern Colorado-7.1
Eastern WashingtonSacramento St.7.6
Dixie St.Lamar5.8
BYUSan Diego15.9
Saint Mary’sSanta Clara7.7
UC IrvineCal St. Fullerton8.1
UC San DiegoLong Beach St.2.5
Cal St. NorthridgeUC Davis-3.3
Cal St. BakersfieldHawaii-0.9
Portland St.Montana-2.4
GonzagaSan Francisco15.9
StanfordArizona-11.3
UtahUCLA-8.9
Loyola MarymountPepperdine10.7
Oregon St.Washington3.5

August 23, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Football For August 28

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 3:00 am

Monday, August 23, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Ratings
Date:August 28, 2021
TeamTeamPiRateMeanBias
IllinoisNebraska-3.8-4.0-3.4
UCLAHawaii19.720.419.9
New Mexico St.UTEP-4.5-4.7-5.3
Fresno St.Connecticut20.221.126.5

FBS vs. FCS

FBSFCSPiRate
San Jose St.Southern Utah23.8

It’s called Week 0. Four FBS college football games will kick off the 2021 season. Included in the quartet of games is a Big Ten conference game with an old Big Ten coach returning to a new Big Ten school to face another coach that is sitting on a very hot seat.

On the West Coast, Chip Kelly’s UCLA Bruins host Hawaii, and a good showing with no injuries could set the Bruins up for a potential upset of LSU next week.

If you have followed our site so far this year, you have now seen the preseason ratings and predictions for all 130 FBS teams. Here are those ratings in full.

The PiRate Ratings for August 23

RankTeamRating
1Alabama130.2
2Oklahoma128.1
3Georgia125.2
4Iowa St.124.8
5Clemson122.2
6Ohio St.121.9
7U S C119.4
8Florida118.2
9Texas A&M118.1
10North Carolina117.7
11Miami (Fla.)116.9
12Cincinnati116.5
13Auburn116.1
14T C U116.0
15Wisconsin115.9
16Texas115.6
17Indiana115.5
18Ole Miss113.3
19Arizona St.113.1
20Oklahoma St.113.1
21Penn St.113.1
22Iowa112.8
23Oregon112.5
24West Virginia112.3
25L S U112.1
26Washington112.1
27Utah111.9
28U C L A110.5
29Notre Dame110.2
30Mississippi St.110.1
31Arkansas109.5
32BYU109.2
33Louisiana109.2
34Coastal Carolina108.4
35Wake Forest107.7
36Kentucky107.4
37Maryland107.2
38Oregon St.106.9
39Missouri106.4
40Minnesota106.1
41NC State106.1
42Northwestern105.8
43Colorado105.7
44Liberty105.5
45Virginia Tech105.3
46Boston College105.2
47Michigan104.9
48Baylor104.5
49Kansas St.104.4
50Tennessee104.0
51Boise St.103.9
52Purdue103.7
53Florida St.103.5
54Nebraska103.2
55Michigan St.103.0
56Stanford103.0
57UCF102.8
58Virginia102.7
59Washington St.102.5
60Louisville102.1
61Texas Tech101.9
62Appalachian St.101.0
63South Carolina100.8
64Houston100.7
65San Jose St.100.3
66Pittsburgh100.2
67San Diego St.100.2
68Tulsa100.1
69Army100.0
70Miami (Ohio)99.7
71Central Michigan99.7
72Tulane99.0
73Nevada98.8
74Wyoming98.5
75California98.4
76Georgia Tech98.2
77Buffalo98.0
78Ball St.97.4
79Toledo96.7
80Air Force96.5
81Georgia St.96.5
82Illinois96.4
83Fresno St.95.3
84East Carolina95.3
85U A B95.2
86SMU95.0
87Rutgers95.0
88Arizona94.6
89Hawaii94.6
90U T S A93.9
91Ohio93.5
92Marshall93.4
93Troy93.4
94Memphis93.2
95Syracuse92.9
96Kent St.91.7
97Georgia Southern91.6
98Eastern Michigan91.4
99South Alabama91.2
100Western Michigan91.0
101USF90.4
102Navy90.3
103Vanderbilt90.1
104Arkansas St.89.9
105Duke89.8
106Colorado St.89.0
107Texas St.87.8
108Florida Atlantic87.7
109Northern Illinois87.5
110Rice87.1
111Louisiana Tech86.5
112Utah St.85.8
113New Mexico85.7
114Kansas85.4
115U N L V84.9
116Southern Miss.84.4
117Middle Tennessee83.7
118Western Kentucky82.7
119North Texas81.7
120Temple81.6
121Akron79.8
122Charlotte79.5
123Florida Int’l.79.0
124Connecticut76.7
125U T E P76.0
126UL-Monroe75.6
127UMass73.1
128Old Dominion71.4
129Bowling Green70.8
130New Mexico St.69.7

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati116.3115.3118.0116.5
UCF102.5101.2104.8102.8
Houston101.199.5101.6100.7
Tulsa100.2100.399.7100.1
Tulane98.897.5100.699.0
East Carolina95.394.396.295.3
SMU94.395.495.495.0
Memphis92.492.894.393.2
USF91.089.790.690.4
Navy90.890.090.390.3
Temple80.682.481.981.6
AAC Averages96.796.297.696.8

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson120.9121.5124.0122.2
Wake Forest108.0106.7108.3107.7
NC State106.5105.8105.9106.1
Boston College104.7105.3105.7105.2
Florida St.103.4103.6103.5103.5
Louisville101.7101.4103.2102.1
Syracuse93.793.192.192.9
Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
North Carolina116.4116.7119.9117.7
Miami (Fla.)117.1116.1117.7116.9
Virginia Tech106.4104.9104.7105.3
Virginia102.1104.1101.8102.7
Pittsburgh99.8100.9100.1100.2
Georgia Tech98.098.398.398.2
Duke89.791.288.589.8
ACC Averages104.9105.0105.3105.0

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma129.3126.7128.2128.1
Iowa St.125.3123.5125.6124.8
T C U116.6115.1116.3116.0
Texas116.7114.5115.6115.6
Oklahoma St.113.5113.2112.5113.1
West Virginia113.8112.0111.1112.3
Baylor104.9104.8103.8104.5
Kansas St.104.9104.7103.5104.4
Texas Tech102.0102.8100.8101.9
Kansas88.185.682.585.4
Big 12 Averages111.5110.3110.0110.6

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.121.1121.3123.2121.9
Indiana114.9115.0116.4115.5
Penn St.111.7112.8114.6113.1
Maryland108.7106.9105.8107.2
Michigan104.3105.1105.3104.9
Michigan St.103.5103.0102.5103.0
Rutgers94.196.394.595.0
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Wisconsin115.2115.2117.3115.9
Iowa112.3111.6114.5112.8
Minnesota104.6106.1107.6106.1
Northwestern105.8105.8105.8105.8
Purdue103.6102.9104.5103.7
Nebraska102.8103.4103.3103.2
Illinois96.096.496.996.4
Big Ten Averages107.0107.3108.0107.5

Conference USA
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Marshall93.493.493.693.4
Florida Atlantic86.788.687.887.7
Middle Tennessee83.483.184.783.7
Western Kentucky81.783.682.882.7
Charlotte78.879.680.279.5
Florida Int’l.77.978.980.179.0
Old Dominion71.271.971.271.4
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U A B95.495.294.995.2
U T S A94.094.593.493.9
Rice87.087.187.387.1
Louisiana Tech86.987.485.286.5
Southern Miss.83.385.284.584.4
North Texas82.181.781.481.7
U T E P76.377.274.476.0
CUSA Averages84.184.884.484.4

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame108.8110.6111.2110.2
BYU109.2108.2110.3109.2
Liberty104.3105.6106.5105.5
Army100.099.8100.2100.0
Connecticut77.478.674.276.7
UMass74.874.070.573.1
New Mexico St.70.371.167.669.7
Indep. Averages92.192.691.592.1

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)101.999.298.199.7
Buffalo98.597.597.998.0
Ohio92.294.494.093.5
Kent St.91.393.490.591.7
Akron81.879.678.179.8
Bowling Green71.672.168.870.8
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Central Michigan100.599.199.599.7
Ball St.98.498.395.597.4
Toledo97.596.795.896.7
Eastern Michigan93.191.289.891.4
Western Michigan91.291.690.191.0
Northern Illinois89.387.086.187.5
MAC Averages92.391.790.491.4

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.103.9103.3104.3103.9
Wyoming97.798.499.598.5
Air Force96.496.396.996.5
Colorado St.88.888.889.389.0
Utah St.85.686.685.285.8
New Mexico85.886.285.285.7
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
San Jose St.100.8101.199.0100.3
San Diego St.100.699.9100.2100.2
Nevada98.499.798.498.8
Fresno St.93.795.796.795.3
Hawaii94.894.194.794.6
U N L V85.884.384.684.9
MWC Averages94.494.594.594.5

Pac-12 Conference
North Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oregon111.0112.4114.1112.5
Washington110.9112.4112.9112.1
Oregon St.106.7106.7107.3106.9
Stanford102.6103.9102.4103.0
Washington St.102.3103.2102.1102.5
California95.7100.599.098.4
South Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U S C118.8118.4120.9119.4
Arizona St.112.4113.5113.6113.1
Utah111.8112.1111.8111.9
U C L A110.5110.5110.6110.5
Colorado106.4105.8104.9105.7
Arizona95.294.594.094.6
Pac-12 Averages107.0107.8107.8107.5

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia124.8124.5126.3125.2
Florida117.0119.4118.1118.2
Kentucky106.7108.8106.8107.4
Missouri106.2106.9106.2106.4
Tennessee104.1103.1104.6104.0
South Carolina101.1101.0100.4100.8
Vanderbilt90.989.989.690.1
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama130.4128.8131.3130.2
Texas A&M117.4118.3118.6118.1
Auburn116.4115.2116.6116.1
Ole Miss113.3113.3113.2113.3
L S U111.0112.4112.8112.1
Mississippi St.110.2110.4109.7110.1
Arkansas110.1109.9108.5109.5
SEC Averages111.4111.6111.6111.5

Sunbelt Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Coastal Carolina109.2106.4109.6108.4
Appalachian St.100.5100.0102.5101.0
Georgia St.97.096.296.396.5
Troy93.193.493.793.4
Georgia Southern91.792.191.291.6
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana109.8107.6110.4109.2
South Alabama91.691.590.691.2
Arkansas St.89.891.088.889.9
Texas St.89.486.787.287.8
UL-Monroe76.476.573.975.6
Sun Averages94.894.194.494.5

Conference Ratings
1Southeastern111.5
2Big 12110.6
3Pac-12107.5
4Big Ten107.5
5Atlantic Coast105.0
6American Athletic96.8
7Sun Belt94.5
8Mountain West94.5
9Independents92.1
10Mid-American91.4
11Conference USA84.4

August 15, 2021

FBS Independents Preview

While 2020 was one strange logistical nightmare for college football conferences, it was a walk in the park compared to what the FBS Independents endured.

First, Notre Dame decided to join the Atlantic Coast Conference as a full-fledged member for one season.  Then, the Irish ran the table, upsetting Clemson to win the ACC regular season title.  That NBC TV contract must mean a lot to the Irish, because full-time membership in the ACC might have allowed the once top program in football to increase its recruiting base and return to the glory of their earlier times.  Alas, the NBC money meant more than membership in one of the top four leagues.

BYU, Army, and Liberty had to move mountains to play a full schedule, sometimes scheduling a Saturday three or four days before.  It was almost a 21st Century barnstorming tour for the three schools, but it seemed to work as the Cougars went 11-1, the Black Knights went 9-3, and the Flames finished 10-1.  BYU’s lone loss came at the hands of Coastal Carolina in one of those last-minute scheduled games.  Trying to prepare for CCU’s highly unorthodox offense with no advance notice may have been something the Baltimore Ravens might have struggled pulling off.  

Army finished first in the nation in total defense, allowing just 275 yards per game, and they finished runner-up in scoring defense, allowing 14.8 points per game.  Liberty lost by one point at North Carolina State, which is all that kept the Flames from running the table.  Liberty knocked off previously undefeated Coastal Carolina in overtime in the Cure Bowl.

Connecticut, New Mexico State, and UMass didn’t fare so well in the year of Covid.  UConn cancelled their season and never played a game.  This comes off a 2019 season where the Huskies went just 2-10 with one FBS win over UMass.

UMass didn’t play until Mid-October and then the Minutemen played just 240 minutes, going 0-4 and scoring just one touchdown, one field goal, and one safety.  The Minutemen were outgained by more than 400 yards in their season-ending loss to Liberty 45-0.  In the nine years since UMass has been a full FBS member, they have a 19-81 record, with nothing better than a couple of 4-8 seasons.

Then, there is New Mexico State.  The Aggies were one of three FBS schools to cancel their entire 2020 season.  NMSU is just barely hanging on as an FBS football program, and losing the entire season was a big financial tragedy.  However, there was an even bigger tragedy in Las Cruces this Spring.

The Aggies decided to play a couple of FCS opponents that were playing Spring schedules.  On February 21, NMSU welcomed Tarleton State to Aggie Memorial Stadium for a Sunday afternoon contest.  Tarleton State had just lost to McNeese State and would lose again the week after the NMSU game to upstart football program Dixie State.  This should have been a game where the last player on the Aggie bench saw at least a quarter of action when the game was a 35-point blowout.

Sure enough, the game was a blowout, and NMSU got to empty their bench in the final quarter.  Unfortunately, Tarleton State scored two touchdowns in the first four and a half minutes.  Three plays into the third quarter, the Texans led the Aggies 40-7.  They won 43-17 after emptying the bench.

How does a hopeful normal season look for the Independents?  There is no official Independent Media poll.  Instead of showing you how the media voted, here is a composite look at how 20 other computer power ratings see the Independents finishing this year.

  1. Notre Dame
  2. Liberty
  3. Army
  4. BYU
  5. Connecticut
  6. UMass
  7. New Mexico St.

How do the three PiRate Ratings see the 2021 season for this septet?

Notre Dame returns to full Independent status this year.  The Irish face a major rebuild on the offensive side of the ball.  If Wisconsin transfer Jack Coan can find some of the spark that made him shine two years ago, Notre Dame may not suffer greatly from the loss of Ian Book.  However, the offensive line will be inexperienced, and the receiving corps needs a go-to big play receiver.

The Irish return half of their defensive regulars from 2020, but they lose their defensive coordinator, Clark Lea.  Lea’s defense was tops in the ACC, and the 19.7 points per game allowed is incredible when you consider that they played Clemson twice, Alabama, and North Carolina. 

Notre Dame faces a weaker schedule this year, but there are still potential tough games against Florida State, Wisconsin, Cincinnati, Virginia Tech, USC, North Carolina, Virginia, and Stanford.  Don’t expect another undefeated regular season in South Bend, and don’t expect a return to the Playoffs.  The schedule is full of trap games.  Toledo, Purdue, Cincinnati, Virginia Tech, USC, North Carolina, and Stanford will be tough contests, and it is possible that the Irish do no better than 3-4 in these seven games and at best 5-2.

Liberty should be more talented and will be a much more experienced team this year.  The Flames were 10-1 last year, but 2021 presents LU with a considerably tougher schedule.  Coach Hugh Freeze takes the Flames to Oxford, Mississippi, in November, where LU will take on his former team, Ole Miss.  It should be one of the most exciting games of the season, and the final score might look more like a basketball game.  Games against Louisiana and Army follow the Ole Miss game.  If Liberty wins two of their last three, they could win 10 games again.

Army’s offense didn’t click on all cylinders last year, but the Black Knights’ defense surrendered less than 115 rushing and 160 passing yards per game to lead the nation in total defense.  That great defense returns an intact defensive line and an experienced secondary, so it might be even tougher to move the ball on the Black Knights this year.  Unfortunately, a new quarterback and inexperienced offensive line probably means the Cadets will regress a bit this year.

BYU finished third nationally in scoring and fourth nationally in scoring defense.  Key players on both sides of the ball must be replaced, foremost being quarterback Zach Wilson, who now wears a New York Jets’ uniform.  At least, the Cougars should know who they are going to play the following Saturday when they wake up Monday mornings this year.

Connecticut last won a game on October 26, 2019, when they topped a 1-win UMass team.  The Huskies have not defeated a legitimate FBS program since they beat Tulsa in October of 2017.  Expect UConn to show an improved passing game and better all around defense this year, but the Huskies have a long way to go before they will be competing for winning records as a new Independent.

As for UMass and New Mexico State, these two teams may be the weakest among the 130 FBS teams.  They both are definitely in the bottom five.  The two teams close out the 2021 season facing off in Las Cruces.  Unless these schools can find a conference during the upcoming round of realignment, they both face the possibility of joining former FBS Independent Idaho at the FCS level.

Here are the preseason PiRate Ratings for the Independents.

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame108.8110.6111.2110.2
BYU109.2108.2110.3109.2
Liberty104.3105.6106.5105.5
Army100.099.8100.2100.0
Connecticut77.478.674.276.7
UMass74.874.070.573.1
New Mexico St.70.371.167.669.7
Indep. Averages92.192.691.592.1

While the PiRate Ratings are designed only to compare teams’ power ratings in their next scheduled game, we can still have a little fun trying to predict won-loss records.  

IndependentsOverall
Liberty11-1
Notre Dame8-4
BYU8-4
Army7-5
UMass3-9
Connecticut2-10
New Mexico St.2-10

March 10, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 9:07 pm

Thursday, March 11, 2021

HomeVisitorSpread
South FloridaTemple-2.6
TulsaTulane2.7
Central FloridaEast Carolina4.7
VirginiaSyracuse3.4
Georgia TechMiami11.1
Florida St.Duke4.8
Virginia TechNorth Carolina-3.0
West VirginiaOklahoma St.1.4
BaylorKansas St.22.7
KansasOklahoma2.6
TexasTexas Tech0.3
VillanovaGeorgetown8.6
St. John’sSeton Hall-0.2
CreightonButler11.0
ConnecticutDePaul11.0
Southern UtahNorthern Colorado6.7
Idaho St.Montana St.-1.6
Eastern WashingtonNorthern Arizona15.2
Weber St.Montana4.9
MarylandMichigan St.2.2
Ohio St.Minnesota7.3
RutgersIndiana1.3
WisconsinPenn St.2.3
UCSBLong Beach St.14.8
UC DavisCal St. Bakersfield-5.4
UC IrvineCal Poly17.1
UC RiversideHawaii7.0
Western KentuckyUTSA5.3
UABRice7.8
Louisiana TechFlorida Atlantic8.9
Old DominionNorth Texas-6.1
Saint Peter’sRider6.2
MaristNiagara-1.0
ToledoBall St.8.3
Kent St.Ohio U1.1
BuffaloMiami (O)8.0
AkronBowling Green1.2
Florida A&MMorgan St.-1.2
Norfolk St.North Carolina Central4.6
San Diego St.Wyoming15.2
Boise St.Nevada4.0
Utah St.UNLV11.1
Colorado St.Fresno St.10.9
OregonArizona St.7.7
UCLAOregon St.5.4
USCUtah7.3
ColoradoCalifornia14.8
KentuckyMississippi St.2.5
FloridaVanderbilt7.0
MissouriGeorgia4.2
Ole MissSouth Carolina5.1
Northwestern St.New Orleans-2.2
Sam Houston St.Lamar8.8
Texas SouthernAlcorn St.7.1
GramblingSouthern-1.7
California BaptistSeattle0.2
New Mexico St.UT Rio Grande Valley7.9

Conference Tournaments Update

America East Conference

Championship Game–Saturday, March 13, 11 AM, ESPN2

6 U Mass-Lowell at 4 Hartford

American Athletic Conference

1st Round–Thursday, March 11 @ Fort Worth, TX

8 South Florida vs. 9 Temple (winner plays 1 Wichita St. Friday)

(4 SMU plays 5 Cincinnati Friday)

7 Tulsa vs. 10 Tulane (winner plays 2 Houston Friday)

6 Central Florida vs. 11 East Carolina (winner plays 3 Memphis Friday)

Atlantic Coast Conference

Quarterfinals, Thursday, March 11

1 Virginia vs. 8 Syracuse

4 Georgia Tech vs. 13 Miami (Fla.)

2 Florida St. vs. 10 Duke

3 Virginia Tech vs. 6 North Carolina

Atlantic 10 Conference

Championship Game–Sunday, March 14, 1PM, CBS @ Dayton, OH

1 Saint Bonaventure vs. 2 Virginia Commonwealth

Big East Conference

Quarterfinals–Thursday, March 11 @ New York, NY

1 Villanova vs. 8 Georgetown

4 St. John’s vs. 5 Seton Hall

2 Creighton vs. 10 Butler

3 Connecticut vs. 11 DePaul

Big Sky Conference

Quarterfinals–Thursday, March 11 @ Boise, ID

1 Southern Utah vs. 8 Northern Colorado

4 Idaho St. vs. 5 Montana St.

2 Eastern Washington vs. 10 Northern Arizona

3 Weber St. vs. 6 Montana

Big Ten Conference

2nd Round–Thursday, March 11 @ Indianapolis, IN

8 Maryland vs. 9 Michigan St.

5 Ohio St. vs. 13 Minnesota

7 Rutgers vs. 10 Indiana

6 Wisconsin vs. 11 Penn St.

Big 12 Conference

Quarterfinals–Thursday, March 11 @ Kansas City, MO

1 Baylor vs. 9 Kansas St.

4 West Virginia vs. 5 Oklahoma St.

2 Kansas vs. 7 Oklahoma

3 Texas vs. 6 Texas Tech

Big West Conference

Quarterfinals–Thursday, March 11 @ Las Vegas

1 UCSB vs. 9 Long Beach St.

4 Cal St. Bakersfield vs. 5 UC-Davis

2 UC-Irvine vs. 10 Cal Poly

3 UC-Riverside vs. 6 Hawaii

Conference USA

Quarterfinals–Thursday, March 11 @ Frisco, TX (Dallas Cowboys Practice Facility)

1E Western Kentucky vs. 4W UTSA

2W UAB vs. 6W Rice

1W Louisiana Tech vs. 4E Florida Atlantic

2E Old Dominion vs. 3W North Texas

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference

Quarterfinals Continue, Thursday, March 11 @ Atlantic City, NJ

4 Marist vs. 5 Niagara

3 St. Peter’s vs. 11 Rider

Mid-American Conference

Quarterfinals–Thursday, March 11 @ Cleveland

1 Toledo vs. 8 Ball St.

4 Kent St. vs. 5 Ohio U

2 Buffalo vs. 7 Miami (O)

3 Akron vs. 6 Bowling Green

Mideastern Athletic Conference

Quarterfinals, Thursday, March 11 @ Norfolk, VA

2S Florida A&M vs. 3N Morgan St.

2N Norfolk St. vs. 3S UNC-Central

Mountain West Conference

Quarterfinals–Thursday, March 11 @ Las Vegas

1 San Diego St. vs. 8 Wyoming

4 Boise St. vs. 5 Nevada

2 Utah St. vs. 7 UNLV

3 Colorado St. vs. 6 Fresno St.

Pac-12 Conference

Quarterfinals–Thursday, March 11 @ Las Vegas

1 Oregon vs. 8 Arizona St.

4 UCLA vs. 5 Oregon St.

2 USC vs. 7 Utah

3 Colorado vs. 11 California

Patriot League

Championship Game, Sunday March 14, 12 PM EST, CBSSN

9 Loyola (MD) at 2 Colgate

Southeastern Conference

2nd Round–Thursday, March 11 @ Nashville, TN

8 Kentucky vs. 9 Mississippi St. (winner plays 1 Alabama Friday)

5 Florida vs. 13 Vanderbilt (winner plays 4 Tennessee Friday)

7 Missouri vs. 10 Georgia (winner plays 2 Arkansas Friday)

6 Ole Miss vs. 11 South Carolina (winner plays 3 LSU Friday)

Southland Conference

Quarterfinals–Thursday, March 11 @ Katy, TX (Greater Houston)

4 Northwestern St. vs. 5 New Orleans

3 Sam Houston St. vs. 6 Lamar

Southwestern Athletic Conference

Quarterfinals Continue, Thursday, March 11 @ Birmingham, AL

4 Grambling vs. 5 Southern

3 Texas Southern vs. 6 Alcorn St.

Western Athletic Conference

Quarterfinals–Thursday, March 11 @ Las Vegas

4 California-Baptist vs. 5 Seattle (winner plays 1 Grand Canyon Friday)

3 New Mexico St. vs. 6 UT-Rio Grande Valley (winner plays 2 Utah Valley Friday)

Automatic Qualifiers

Liberty 23-5

Winthrop 23-1

Loyola (Chi.) 24-4

Morehead St. 23-7

UNC-Greensboro 21-8

Appalachian St. 17-11

Drexel 12-7

Cleveland St. 19-7

Mount St. Mary’s 12-10

Oral Roberts 16-10

Gonzaga 26-0

February 26, 2021

PiRate Ratings Bracketology

2/26/2021

SeedTeamTeamTeamTeamTeamTeam
1GonzagaBaylorMichiganOhio St.
2IllinoisAlabamaVillanovaIowa
3West VirginiaHoustonFlorida St.Oklahoma
4KansasCreightonTexasUSC
5VirginiaTennesseeWisconsinArkansas
6Texas TechPurdueColoradoClemson
7Oklahoma St.FloridaMissouriBYU
8RutgersVirginia TechLSULoyola (Chi.)
9UCLASan Diego St.OregonMaryland
10North CarolinaBoise St.LouisvilleDrake
11VCUSt. BonaventureColorado St.Connecticut
12ToledoWestern Ky.Seton HallXavierIndianaGeorgia Tech
13BelmontColgateWinthropUCSB
14Wright St.LibertyFurmanAbilene Christian
15IonaVermontE. WashingtonGrand Canyon
16James MadisonS. Dakota St.Texas St.Prairie ViewWagnerN.C. A&T

First 8 Out

69Michigan St.
70Wichita St.
71Stanford
72Duke
73Richmond
74Utah St.
75Minnesota
76Ole Miss

Conference Tournaments underway!

With March getting ready to come in like a lion, here’s a look at each of the conferences heading into conference tournament play.

One-Bid Leagues

America East: Maryland-Baltimore Co. & Vermont are tied at 10-4 in the league. The teams split a weekend series in Maryland. Vermont is the team more likely to contend in a #15 vs. #2 seed game in the NCAA Tournament.

Atlantic Sun: Liberty is 10-2 in the league but not as strong as last year’s team. Bellarmine is not eligible for the NCAA Tournament but will play in the A-Sun tournament. If they win, then Liberty gets the automatic bid. Lipscomb is 9-5 in the league and the hottest team of the contenders.

Big Sky: There will be many mid-major and low-major tournaments this year that should be wide open. This is one. Eastern Washington at 11-2 in conference play currently leads for the top seed, with Southern Utah (9-2) and Weber St. (10-3) vying for second place. Weber St. is probably the best of the three, but we wouldn’t be shocked if Montana (just 6-9 in the league) sneaks into the semifinals with a chance to win it from well back in the field.

Big South: Winthrop ran way with the league title and has lapped the field. At 17-1/20-1, the Eagles are contending for a #12 seed. If anybody else wins, it’s 16-seed almost for sure. Winthrop will be the biggest favorite to win their conference tournament, even more than Gonzaga.

Big West: UCSB will end UC-Irvine’s reign as regular season champions. The Gauchos (12-2/16-3) will still likely have to face either UCI (9-4/12-8) or UC Riverside (7-4/10-6) in the Big West Championship Game.

Colonial: It’s a down year in the CAA. In past years, four or five teams had the talent to do damage in a Round of 64 game. This year, we don’t see a win in the cards for this league. James Madison (8-1/13-5) and Northeastern (8-2/9-8) are the leading contenders for the automatic bid.

Conference USA: This is a conference with at least five teams talented enough to upset a higher seeded team in the Big Dance. Western Kentucky (8-2/15-5) has been at the top of the league all year. North Texas (8-2/12-6) and UAB (10-4/18-5) have been right there with the Hilltoppers. Louisiana Tech (10-4/17-6) and Marshall (6-4/12-5) are the hot contenders late in the season. Marshall may be the best of the bunch.

Horizon: This has been a two-team race like Easy Goer and Sunday Silence in past Triple Crown horse racing. Wright St. and Cleveland St. share the conference lead at 16-4. The only other team in the picture is Detroit at 10-6. WSU or CSU could win an opening round game in the Dance.

Metro Atlantic: This looks like a three-team race for the MAAC automatic bid. Siena (9-3) has led the league most of the season, with Monmouth (10-6) trailing. But, Iona (6-3) has started playing again after a long Covid layoff. They have an experienced tournament coach in New Rochelle; if you didn’t know, Rick Pitino is in charge, and the Gaels are the team to beat in our opinion. For declaration purposes, Monmouth coach King Rice is a friend of the PiRate Captain, and he’s rooting for the Hawks to fly high.

Mid-American: Of all the conference tournaments, this one historically has been the most exciting, because rarely has there been a clear-cut favorite. More teams from back in the pack have won this tourney in our memories than any other league. Toledo (13-3/18-6) has led the West all year with no competition, but the East looks like the 1967 American League pennant race. Akron (12-4/14-5) leads Ohio (9-3/13-6) only because of more games played. Kent St. (11-5/14-6) and Buffalo (9-5/11-7) are right there. Any of these five could win the lone bid, and then again, someone from back in the pack could do it again. Toledo could be a #12 seed if they win out.

Mideastern: This league has been really hit by Covid issues, with two teams choosing not to play and a third opting out in mid-season. North Carolina A&T (6-1) has been in first place all year. Norfolk St. (8-4) may be a little better come March. But, Morgan St. (6-4) is coming on strong and might be the true favorite to take the MEAC Tournament. The winner is looking squarely at a 16-seed play-in game.

Northeast: The NEC usually places their automatic qualifier in the Dayton play-in game for a 16-seed. The only difference this year, is the game will be played in the Hoosier State. Wagner (11-4) leads Bryant (9-4) with the rest of the field out of the race. Bryant might be the better team.

Ohio Valley: Belmont looked unbeatable in this league, until the Bruins went up to Eastern Kentucky and found out how tough the Colonels are on their home, even with no fans. Belmont (18-1/24-2) now must face an even tougher Morehead St. team (16-3 in the OViC) tomorrow. This league tournament is no longer just a rubber stamp for Belmont. The Morehead/EKU winner in a likely semifinal game will have a 40% chance of knocking out the Bruins.

Patriot: Colgate is in the top 20 of the NET ratings, the one data point that the NCAA Selection Committee places as the primary seeding factor. At 11-1 overall, all their games were played in the league. Four of those games came against Army, where the Raiders won three but lost once at home to the Black Knights. Colgate is an enigma. We don’t understand why they are rated so highly with no non-conference games, because the Patriot League is not highly-rated. Navy at 10-1/13-2 looks like a better team, and Army 6-6/10-7 already knows they can beat the heavy favorite. Colgate could be a 12-seed if they win out, and in this case, their 5-seed opponent will not be on upset alert.

Southern: This league has produced multiple bids in the past, but it won’t happen this year. There are five good but not great teams in contention, and the eventual winner will not be highly regarded as an upset special possibility. Furman (10-4/16-7) is methodically better than average but not flashy. They stay on an even keel with talent not quite as deep as the other contenders, but with more consistency. UNCG (12-5/17-8) plays a style of play that opponents don’t like to face, but when a team is solid handling the ball, the Spartans are not that hard to beat. Wofford (11-5/14-8) has been a snake in the tall grass, sneaking into the top of the league. East Tennessee St. (8-6/12-10) is a mere shell of its former self left by Steve Forbes, while Chattanooga (9-7/18-7) has been a major underperformer since New Year’s Day.

Southland: The potential seeding of this league took a big turn last week, when Stephen F. Austin decided to become ineligible this year rather than next year. What would have been an incredible 4-team scramble has lost one of its scramblers. Abilene Christian (11-1/19-3) is a team no Power Conference opponent wants to see in their bracket. The Wildcats are really tough on the defensive side of the ball, and a poor passing team can turn ACU into an efficient offensive puncher, because the Wildcats can intercept passes like the 1963 Chicago Bears! Sam Houston (11-2/17-7) and Nicholls (11-2/14-6) are the top contenders without SFA.

Summit: This should be another wide open conference tournament with four co-favorites. South Dakota (10-3/12-9), North Dakota St. (10-4/12-10), South Dakota St. (7-3/13-6) and Oral Roberts (8-5/11-10) are on close to equal terms at the end of February. We think SDSU is the favorite to win the tournament.

Sun Belt: This league is slowly falling in overall strength, and it is in danger of joining the NEC, MEAC, and SWAC in the annual play-in round for a 16-seed. Texas St. (10-3/16-6) has held the SBC lead for several weeks, but South Alabama (10-5/16-8), Louisiana (9-6/15-7), and Georgia St. (6-4/12-5) are lurking close behind. We like GSU from this group to win the conference tournament.

Southwestern: Covid may have helped this league a tad. The co-leaders, Prairie View (9-0/10-4) and Jackson St. (7-0/7-5) don’t play each other in the regular season. It could lead to a SWAC title game between two undefeated teams in conference play, making it one of the most exciting of the postseason. Texas Southern (6-3/9-8) is the dark horse.

Western: After the MEAC, the WAC has been next most affected by Covid issues. Technically, UT Rio Grande Valley leads the league today at 2-0 in the WAC and 9-4 overall. But, Grand Canyon (7-1/13-4) is two games ahead in the won-loss, even if UTRGV is 1.000 in percentage. Utah Valley is third at 6-3 in the WAC, but we wouldn’t rule out New Mexico St. (3-5/6-6). The Aggies not only couldn’t play home games, they couldn’t even return home during the shutdown of the Land of Enchantment. Chris Jans is the type of coach that can motivate and use the right strategy to win this tournament.

Multi-Bid Leagues

American: Houston is a lock, but the Cougars are in second place in the AAC to a Wichita St. team that beat them. WSU is likely to earn the top seed in the AAC Tournament, and the Shockers are on the Bubble and need a little more to add to their resume. Memphis has more than enough talent to win the tournament, but the Tigers don’t play cohesively.

Atlantic Coast: In the past, any team with a winning record in conference play was close to assured of earning a bid. Syracuse went 10-8 in 2017 and didn’t get a bid. This year, Florida St., Virginia, Virginia Tech, North Carolina, Louisville, and Clemson are Dancing. Duke, Georgia Tech, and North Carolina St., in that order, are still in contention. We think the Seminoles are strong enough to advance past the Sweet 16.

Atlantic 10: St. Bonaventure and VCU share the lead at 10-3, and the Bonnies and Rams are close to becoming locks for the Big Dance. Richmond, at 6-3, has been on the Bubble for most of the season. Saint Louis (4-4) has suffered the same fate as New Mexico State, missing weeks of scheduled games. The Billikens may be the best team in the league if they have completely dusted off the cobwebs in March.

Big 12: Undefeated Baylor probably won’t enter the Big 12 Tournament without a blemish. The Bears could even have two league losses. BU is still rusty from a long layoff, and they must play at Kansas, at West Virginia, and at home against Oklahoma St. and Texas Tech. This league is probably set in tournament teams. Baylor, Kansas, West Virginia, Texas, Oklahoma, Texas Tech, and Oklahoma St. should be in the field. TCU is too far back to sneak into the field without earning the automatic bid.

Big East: Villanova and Creighton are locks, while Seton Hall, Connecticut, and Xavier still have work to do before they are safely in the field. Xavier faces a must-win game at home against Creighton tomorrow.

Big Ten: This league is still in a state of flux. The teams that were close to being safe at the back of the field have done everything they could to play themselves out, while Michigan St., once given up for dead, has done everything to play themselves in.

As of today, Michigan, Illinois, Ohio St., Iowa, Wisconsin, and Purdue are locks. The Big Ten will probably get nine teams in the field. Rutgers, Maryland, Michigan St., Indiana, and Minnesota are competing for three bids. If Indiana or Minnesota fall short, there could be a coaching availability or two in the Big Ten in March.

Missouri Valley: With Wichita State relocated to the AAC, one would think the days of the venerable Valley earning multiple bids was over. Guess again. Drake and Loyola are close to sure things before Arch Madness starts in Saint Louis. There is even a scenario where if one of the two co-leaders loses in the semifinals of the conference tournament, and the other loses in the finals, that three teams could earn spots in the Field of 68.

Mountain West: How about four MWC teams in the Big Dance? San Diego St. is one of the hottest teams in the nation at the end of February. They’ve made a move like Whirlaway, swatting their long tail at the rest of the field as the Aztecs head to the finish line gaining distance from the place and show teams.

Boise St. and Colorado St. have tournament-worthy resumes, while Utah St. is now well back on the bad side of the Bubble. The Aggies need to win the conference tournament. Watch out for Steve Alford’s Nevada Wolfpack! Nevada has won four consecutive ga,es to move into fifth place.

Pac-12: What looked like a five-bid league has lessened to four bids and a prayer. USC, UCLA, Oregon, and Colorado have done enough to win bids. Stanford has lost five of nine games, including two in a row to teams they needed to beat. The Cardinal need to win at USC next Wednesday, or they may be forced to win the Pac-12 Tournament to get in.

Southeastern: Don’t count out Kentucky just yet! The Wildcats (7-7/8-13) look like the team they were supposed to be. UK cannot earn an at-large bid with just three regular season games remaining, but once they get to Nashville, The Music City turns into the Bluegrass City. Calipari’s Cats can win four games in four days.

Alabama, Arkansas, LSU, Florida, and Tennessee are in the field. Missouri was in for sure, but losses in four of their last five has created a shadow of doubt. Ole Miss has moved a half-game ahead of Mizzou in the league. The Tigers must close with Florida and LSU, while Ole Miss gets two games against last place Vanderbilt and a home game with Kentucky.

If there is a dark horse possibility in the SEC, then Georgia and Mississippi St. can stake claims to it. If Ole Miss and Missouri falter at the finish, the two Bulldogs can get into contention by winning out headed to Nashville.

West Coast: Gonzaga has yet to face any real competition. The Bulldogs look like the 1991 UNLV team that ran the table to the Final Four without opposition. Then, the Runnin’ Rebels ran into a Duke team that had not forgotten the 30+-point loss dealt to them in 1990’s Championship. The Bulldogs look like a potential run-the-table team, more like John Wooden’s UCLA teams than the 1991 UNLV team. Outside of the WCC, Gonzaga easily dismissed Kansas, West Virginia, Iowa, and Virginia. Normally, this would have been enough to show the nation that the Zags were without a doubt the best team in the nation. Had Baylor not cancelled their scheduled game, Gonzaga might be sitting with the appropriate strength of schedule typical of a national champion in our Bracketnomics criteria.

BYU is the other team with an NCAA Tournament guarantee. The Cougars have been distant number two to Gonzaga, but at 9-3/18-5, BYU has a win at San Diego St.

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