PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Thursday, January 12, 2023

Home	Visitor	Spread
Appalachian St.	Georgia Southern	4.0
Arkansas St.	Texas St.	-3.7
Austin Peay	Lipscomb	1.2
Bellarmine	Stetson	0.8
BYU	Gonzaga	-6.0
Denver	North Dakota St.	0.8
Detroit	Youngstown St.	-2.8
Eastern Illinois	SIU Edwardsville	-8.4
Eastern Kentucky	Florida Gulf Coast	-4.1
Georgia St.	Troy	-3.3
Grand Canyon	UT Arlington	12.8
Green Bay	Wright St.	-9.3
Houston Christian	Texas A&M-Commerce	-5.3
Incarnate Word	New Orleans	0.8
Iowa	Michigan	5.6
IUPUI	Purdue Ft. Wayne	-16.6
Jacksonville St.	North Florida	0.2
Kennesaw St.	Jacksonville	1.4
Lamar	Nicholls St.	-10.7
Liberty	North Alabama	17.1
Long Beach St.	Cal Poly	7.5
Louisiana Monroe	Louisiana	-6.9
Marshall	Southern Miss.	6.5
Milwaukee	Northern Kentucky	2.5
Montana	Weber St.	4.7
Montana St.	Idaho St.	10.0
Northwestern St.	McNeese St.	7.5
Oakland	Robert Morris	1.9
Ohio St.	Minnesota	18.5
Old Dominion	Coastal Carolina	5.8
Omaha	North Dakota	4.3
Oral Roberts	Western Illinois	14.7
Oregon	Arizona St.	3.0
Oregon St.	Arizona	-15.9
Portland	San Francisco	-2.0
Portland St.	Northern Arizona	6.7
Queens	Central Arkansas	12.0
Sacramento St.	Northern Colorado	5.3
Saint Mary’s	Loyola Marymount	13.0
San Diego	Pepperdine	1.3
Seattle	New Mexico St.	3.1
South Alabama	James Madison	-5.3
Southeast Missouri St.	Lindenwood	7.6
Southern Indiana	Little Rock	7.8
Southern Utah	Sam Houston	-2.6
Stony Brook	Drexel	-5.3
Tennessee St.	UT Martin	2.3
Tennessee Tech	Morehead St.	0.3
Texas A&M-CC	Southeastern Louisiana	7.5
UCLA	Utah	11.2
UMKC	St. Thomas	0.4
UNC Asheville	Longwood	-1.7
USC	Colorado	1.5
Utah Tech	Stephen F. Austin	-0.6
Washington	Stanford	1.1

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Thursday, January 5, 2023

Home	Visitor	Spread
UMBC	Albany	9.4
Holy Cross	American	-8.1
South Alabama	Arkansas St.	9.6
Loyola (MD)	Army	0.7
Vermont	Bryant	3.7
Loyola Marymount	BYU	-0.1
Cal St. Bakersfield	Cal Poly	1.6
UC Riverside	Cal St. Fullerton	6.4
Florida Int’l.	Charlotte	-8.0
Wichita St.	Cincinnati	-1.3
Appalachian St.	Coastal Carolina	3.5
St. Thomas	Denver	6.4
Towson	Drexel	5.2
Tennessee Tech	Eastern Illinois	3.4
Central Arkansas	Eastern Kentucky	-4.4
St. Francis (NY)	Fairleigh Dickinson	1.2
Austin Peay	Florida Gulf Coast	-5.2
Louisiana Monroe	Georgia St.	-1.9
San Francisco	Gonzaga	-10.0
Sam Houston St.	Grand Canyon	6.1
Purdue Ft. Wayne	Green Bay	20.0
UC San Diego	Hawaii	-6.5
Hampton	Hofstra	-10.6
Southeastern Louisiana	Houston Christian	9.8
Iowa	Indiana	0.1
Stetson	Jacksonville	-0.6
Liberty	Jacksonville St.	12.8
North Florida	Kennesaw St.	0.5
Boston U.	Lafayette	4.1
New Orleans	Lamar	6.1
Bucknell	Lehigh	7.5
Cal St. Northridge	Long Beach St.	-4.3
Central Connecticut St.	Long Island	8.9
Rice	Louisiana Tech	1.0
UMass Lowell	Maine	12.6
Georgia Southern	Marshall	-7.4
Rutgers	Maryland	5.8
UTSA	Middle Tennessee	-9.3
Cleveland St.	Milwaukee	4.8
Northern Arizona	Montana	-3.0
Northern Colorado	Montana St.	-2.6
Colgate	Navy	6.7
Binghamton	New Hampshire	-0.8
Texas A&M Commerce	Nicholls St.	-2.2
Lipscomb	North Alabama	6.3
Western Kentucky	North Texas	-4.2
William & Mary	Northeastern	0.4
McNeese St.	Northwestern St.	-3.4
Troy	Old Dominion	4.3
Western Illinois	Omaha	4.1
Colorado	Oregon	2.2
Utah	Oregon St.	16.4
San Diego	Pacific	7.3
Eastern Washington	Portland St.	5.4
Ohio St.	Purdue	2.2
Bellarmine	Queens	-0.7
Youngstown St.	Robert Morris	8.1
Idaho	Sacramento St.	-1.8
Merrimack	Sacred Heart	0.3
Pepperdine	Santa Clara	-1.2
UT Rio Grande Valley	Seattle	-7.1
Houston	SMU	22.4
North Dakota	South Dakota	-1.7
North Dakota St.	South Dakota St.	-2.2
UT Martin	Southeast Missouri St.	1.5
Morehead St.	Southern Indiana	1.5
Louisiana	Southern Miss.	1.2
Tarleton St.	Southern Utah	0.3
Monmouth	Stony Brook	-2.6
SIU Edwardsville	Tennessee St.	7.5
James Madison	Texas St.	14.8
Florida Atlantic	UAB	2.6
UC Davis	UC Irvine	-3.7
UCLA	USC	14.1
Cal Baptist	Utah Tech	3.4
UT Arlington	Utah Valley	-7.4
Stonehill	Wagner	-0.3
Arizona	Washington	17.7
Arizona St.	Washington St.	5.1

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Saturday, December 31, 2022

Saturday, December 31, 2022
Home	Visitor	Spread
Abilene Christian	Tarleton St.	2.1
Air Force	Nevada	-3.6
Albany	New Hampshire	1.2
Arizona St.	Arizona	-5.2
Arkansas St.	Louisiana Monroe	4.4
Bradley	Illinois Chicago	13.8
Bryant	Binghamton	13.7
BYU	Portland	8.2
Cal St. Bakersfield	UC Irvine	-9.6
Cal St. Fullerton	Cal St. Northridge	7.1
California	Colorado	-10.8
Campbell	Longwood	-3.0
Canisius	Rider	-1.3
Central Connecticut St.	St. Francis (NY)	1.4
Charleston Southern	USC Upstate	1.9
Charlotte	Louisiana Tech	6.1
Coastal Carolina	Georgia Southern	4.0
Colorado St.	San Jose St.	7.9
Columbia	Yale	-17.1
Davidson	Dayton	-3.6
Delaware	Elon	11.0
Denver	Oral Roberts	-9.3
Detroit	Milwaukee	5.3
Drexel	William & Mary	8.3
Duke	Florida St.	15.9
Duquesne	Rhode Island	7.3
Eastern Illinois	Southern Indiana	-5.0
Eastern Kentucky	Queens	-0.8
Florida Gulf Coast	Jacksonville	5.0
George Mason	Richmond	1.4
Georgia St.	South Alabama	-1.4
Georgia Tech	Virginia	-7.4
Gonzaga	Pepperdine	19.5
Hawaii	Cal Poly	10.7
High Point	Gardner Webb	-0.5
Hofstra	North Carolina A&T	11.5
Houston	Central Florida	16.0
Idaho St.	Northern Colorado	-0.2
Illinois St.	Northern Iowa	-0.7
Iowa St.	Baylor	-1.6
IUPUI	Northern Kentucky	-13.1
Kansas	Oklahoma St.	8.9
Kansas St.	West Virginia	-0.5
Kennesaw St.	Central Arkansas	10.7
Kentucky	Louisville	22.5
Lamar	McNeese St.	-1.7
Lindenwood	Tennessee Tech	-0.6
Long Beach St.	UC Riverside	0.9
Long Island	Sacred Heart	-3.2
Loyola (Chi)	George Washington	7.1
Marshall	James Madison	1.4
Mercer	Chattanooga	0.8
Middle Tennessee	Western Kentucky	3.8
Montana	Idaho	8.3
Montana St.	Eastern Washington	5.0
New Mexico St.	Sam Houston	-1.1
Niagara	Mount St. Mary’s	1.8
NJIT	UMass Lowell	-11.1
North Florida	Austin Peay	3.3
North Texas	Florida Int’l.	16.7
Northeastern	Stony Brook	7.2
Northwestern St.	Texas A&M-CC	1.3
Oakland	Green Bay	11.4
Oklahoma	Texas	-3.5
Old Dominion	Louisiana	1.3
Omaha	UMKC	1.1
Oregon	Oregon St.	15.9
Pacific	Loyola Marymount	-6.8
Princeton	Harvard	6.5
Radford	Presbyterian	8.7
Robert Morris	Cleveland St,	2.4
Sacramento St.	Portland St.	1.7
Saint Joseph’s	Saint Louis	-6.4
San Francisco	San Diego	9.4
Santa Clara	Saint Mary’s	-5.6
Seattle	Cal Baptist	4.2
Seton Hall	St. John’s	2.0
South Dakota	Western Illinois	2.5
South Dakota St.	St. Thomas	3.3
Southeast Missouri St.	SIU Edwardsville	-2.0
Southern Miss.	Appalachian St.	7.2
Southern Utah	UT Rio Grande Valley	13.7
St. Bonaventure	Massachusetts	0.4
St. Francis PA	Stonehill	1.8
Stanford	Utah	0.8
Syracuse	Boston College	8.7
TCU	Texas Tech	2.2
Tennessee St.	Little Rock	3.6
Texas A&M-Commerce	Incarnate Word	8.3
Texas St.	Troy	-2.7
The Citadel	Samford	-3.4
Towson	Charleston	-1.6
UAB	UTSA	22.6
UC Santa Barbara	UC San Diego	12.0
UNC Wilmington	Hampton	17.2
UNLV	San Diego St	-2.6
UT Arlington	Stephen F. Austin	-3.2
UT Martin	Morehead St.	1.9
Utah St.	Fresno St.	13.1
Utah Valley	Utah Tech	8.4
UTEP	Rice	2.0
VCU	La Salle	11.1
Villanova	Marquette	-0.5
VMI	East Tennessee St.	-2.0
Wagner	Merrimack	9.0
Wake Forest	Virginia Tech	-2.3
Weber St.	Northern Arizona	6.0
Western Carolina	Furman	-9.7
Wichita St.	East Carolina	9.7
Winthrop	UNC Asheville	0.2
Wofford	UNC Greensboro	1.3
Wyoming	New Mexico	-4.3
Xavier	Connecticut	-4.2
Youngstown St.	Purdue Ft. Wayne	3.3

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Thursday, March 24, 2022

Thursday, March 24, 2022
Team	Team	Spread
Gonzaga	Arkansas	10.2
Villanova	Michigan	4.0
Duke	Texas Tech	-0.2
Arizona	Houston	1.3

PiRate Ratings Bracketnomics For Sweet 16

The 2022 edition of the PiRate Bracketnomics fared rather well compared to a large number of other options when looking for bracket-filling strategies. Obviously, neither our system nor any others pick perfect brackets or even ones where we pick 15 of the 16 teams in the Sweet 16.

We still have three of our Final Four and five of our Elite 8 still alive, as well as our picks for the National Championship Game.

We did not pick Saint Peter’s to be the real shocker, so our system missed that one entirely this year. Kentucky’s numbers were just incredibly better than the Peacocks, but the Wildcats looked like deer in the headlights all night in that game. St. Peter’s looked like a clearly superior team when they dismissed Murray State two days later.

Miami of Florida and Iowa State were somewhat of a surprise to us as well, but the Hurricanes’ ball-hawking defense countered being outrebounded by 10 and nine in their two wins. Iowa State relied on excellent half-court defense to get to this round.

The Sweet 16 is like the advances round of TV game shows. You know the type. In the first round, the questions are a little easier, but after the commercial break, the next round brings more difficult questions, and the strong separate themselves from the weak. In the Sweet 16, usually seven of the eight winners will be clearly superior to their victims, while there will be one new surprise making the Elite 8. We previously pointed out that one team that does not have our acceptable national championship resume will sneak into the Final Four. It doesn’t always happen, but like UCLA last year, usually one team will win games three and four in their tournament to make it to the third weekend in the big dome stadium.

Let’s take a look at the most important Bracketnomics numbers for each of the 16 teams.

Team	O-Eff	D-Eff	SOS	37+ 3pt	OReb%	-45% vs. 2pt	FT Rate 37	R + T New Rate	Old R+T
Arizona	7	19	58.1	35.3	34.5	41.7	0.35	6.6	17.6
Arkansas	54	14	58.2	30.5	29.9	46.5	0.38	6.9	12.7
Duke	4	43	58.2	37.0	31.9	46.4	0.29	3.9	12.3
Gonzaga	1	9	57.2	37.4	29.2	41.6	0.31	7.0	21.2
Houston	10	10	56.5	34.2	37.7	44.0	0.29	14.1	22.0
Iowa St.	160	5	60.3	31.9	28.1	50.6	0.28	1.3	3.9
Kansas	6	26	61.8	36.0	33.5	47.1	0.32	6.2	13.3
Miami (Fla.)	18	121	57.9	34.4	22.7	53.2	0.29	-5.4	-3.0
Michigan	19	77	61.8	33.9	30.9	50.5	0.30	7.1	12.3
North Carolina	20	42	59.0	36.4	30.7	48.0	0.30	9.6	16.0
Providence	32	58	57.6	35.0	30.4	47.0	0.38	2.7	8.4
Purdue	2	89	60.1	38.8	35.1	48.7	0.39	11.8	19.3
Saint Peter’s	225	28	49.5	35.5	32.1	43.5	0.38	4.6	8.9
Texas Tech	46	1	61.0	32.2	33.2	44.0	0.36	6.3	18.1
UCLA	12	13	59.4	35.3	31.7	47.3	0.30	10.5	16.9
Villanova	8	30	60.8	36.2	31.2	48.6	0.30	6.5	11.6

To briefly summarize what this data above means: O-Eff and D-Eff are the schedule strength-adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency ratings. The fat numbers are to have an O-Eff in the top 10 and a D-Eff in the top 20.

SOS is our own PiRate Ratings strength of schedule. A SOS of 55.0 is the minimum number to be considered a real national title contender. Going back to the beginning of the then 64-team tournament format, no team with an SOS below 55.0 has won the title.

37+3pt is the threshold for three-point shooting percentage. If it is north of 37%, the team with this big number will force defenses to spread out and open up the middle for easy two-point shots. Overall 3-point percentages have dropped a little in the last few years since the stripe was moved back a few inches.

OReb% is the percentage of missed shots rebounded by the offense. 37% is also the beginning point of excellence. If a team rebounds three out of every eight shots they miss, they can shoot 40% from the field and still win. If this same team shoots 45%, they can cut down the nets after the final game.

-45% vs.2pt is the defensive field goal percentage inside the 3-point line. If a defense allows less than 45% of the 2-point shots to be made, they have a championship-level defense.

FT Rate37 is the free throw ratio. If a team takes 3 foul shot attempts for every 8 field goal attempts, this team has an offense that forces defenses to grab because the offense is too potent.

The last two columns are our own unique R+T ratings. The new one is rate based on Four Factors data, while the old one is a counting stat. We don’t yet have a threshold for the new R+T, but the old R+T has been helping us pick winners in the Big Dance for two decades. If the R+T is 15 or better, this is a team that consistently goes on big scoring spurts, the type that frequently puts games away. 12.5 to 15 is really good. 8 to 12.5 is fairly good. 5-8 is so-so. Under 5 is not good, and below 0 is a 100% no go for the Final Four.

Let’s take a look at the eight Sweet 16 games

Gonzaga vs. Arkansas: Gonzaga has the best overall Bracketnomics resume, as they did last year. Their schedule strength is a mild issue but well within the bounds of a potential national champion. Yet, the Bulldogs have not looked their best in either NCAA Tournament win. Arkansas coach Eric Musselman is worth about 7-10 more points for his team than Penny Hardaway is for Memphis, and if that’s the case, The Razorbacks are good enough to pull off the big upset–if Gonzaga continues to play at a subpar level. There’s the rub. I don’t see Gonzaga coming out flat in this game. Their narrow escape in the Round of 32 should wake the Bulldogs up. Gonzaga’s numbers are clearly superior to Arkansas. Go with the Zags in a potential double digit win.

Villanova vs. Michigan: There is an interesting set of data for this game, where both teams have advantages and disadvantages. Michigan has a better inside presence, and the Wolverines figure to capitalize inside with a few extra baskets in their offensive halfcourt. Villanova’s overall offense is a bit too strong for Michigan’s defense, so the Wildcats’ perimeter is going to penetrate Michigan’s defense for easier shots than Michigan figures to take. Overall, Villanova has a slight advantage in the Bracketnomics data, but the advantage is slim. Let’s go with the Wildcats in a close one.

Duke vs. Texas Tech: Duke’s excellent offense faces Texas Tech’s number one defense–this should make for an exciting game. Usually, when a superior offense plays a superior defense, if all else is equal the superior offense wins more often than not. All else is not equal. If not for this being Coach K’s final year, and it looks like Duke has been benefiting from more than 50% of the 50-50 calls, this would be an easy selection, as the Red Raiders have a better overall team. On a Sweet 16 stage, maybe the referees will be more likely to get calls made correctly with hopes of being chosen for the Final Four, so Duke won’t get that benefit. If so, this might be the finale for Coach K. Texas Tech is just a bit better.

Arizona vs. Houston: What we have here is a failure to see a decisive favorite. Both teams have Final Four resumes and are clearly better than most of the other teams left in the Big Dance. The only issue in this game is the fact that a portion of Houston’s great numbers came with the addition of two former key starters that were lost to season-ending injuries earlier in the season. With their roster intact, this might have been the Houston team to do what Elvin Hayes and Don Chaney couldn’t do in the late 1960’s or what Phi Slama Jama couldn’t do in the mid 1980’s. Arizona doesn’t have the same amount of tournament experience that Houston has, as the Cougars made the Final Four last year. That’s the one thing that concerns us. Kelvin Sampson knows how to prepare a team to pay on the big stage. Arizona is the better team, but Sampson is worth a few extra points–just enough to have a 50-50 shot at the mild upset. I have to pick somebody here, but honestly, it can only be a hunch, as the Bracketnomics show this game as dead even. I’ll go with Sampson to defeat the Pac-12 Goliath by one or two points or in overtime.

Purdue vs. Saint Peter’s: Saint Peter’s has played incredible defense in their two wins, and if they could stop Oscar Tshiebwe and company, they have a chance to limit Zach Edey and Trevion Williams. But, doing so might allow Jaden Ivey to showcase his exceptional talents on the big stage. Purdue has not made the Final Four during the Gene Keady-Matt Painter era. The Boilermakers in the past had issues with R+T Ratings. This Purdue team does not have that issue, and they might run over the Peacocks like a runaway train. I think Cinderella experiences Midnight in this round, and Purdue wins by double digits.

Kansas vs. Providence: Ed Cooley has done an incredible job at Providence, but he is facing a team coming to its peak in efficiency, and Kansas is clearly the superior team across the board. With Remy Martin at full strength, the Jayhawks are better than their Bracketnomics Data indicates. Martin makes KU the best team in the Dance, and I expect Rock Chalk Jayhawk to keep advancing.

UCLA vs. North Carolina: College basketball royalty clashes in this one, and I don’t see this game being a mismatch like the 1968 National Championship Game. Looking at the Bracketnomics data, the two teams are evenly matched. There are secondary and tertiary data in this science, including tournament experience by players and coach. In all but one respect, the Bruins have the advantage in these extras.

Carolina’s one advantage is having an inside force that can dominate in the paint. Mick Cronin is coaching in his 13th NCAA Tournament and coming off a Final Four appearance with most of his key contributors returning. Hubert Davis is coaching in his first NCAA Tournament. That’s enough to pick UCLA to return to the Elite 8.

Miami (Fla.) vs. Iowa St.: This is the unique game in this round, as neither team has an acceptable Final Four Bracketnomics Resume. As previously mentioned, usually one of the four teams in the Final Four does not have the blueprint we use to pick our brackets. At least one team will make the Elite 8.

Iowa State has struggled to generate offense for long stretches of games, and they have had to rely on their defense to keep games close until the offense got on track. Miami’s small but very quick roster might be able to force the Cyclones into playing a style of ball they are not equipped to play. Let’s go with the U to become Elite. Jim Larranaga took George Mason to a Final Four.

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Saturday, March 19, 2022

Saturday’s Games–NCAA, NIT, CBI, and The Basketball Classic

Saturday, March 19, 2022
Team	Team	Spread
Baylor	North Carolina	7.3
Kansas	Creighton	9.0
Tennessee	Michigan	5.4
Providence	Richmond	3.5
UCLA	Saint Mary’s	4.6
Murray St.	Saint Peter’s	9.0
Arkansas	New Mexico St.	7.9
Gonzaga	Memphis	12.0
Texas A&M	Oregon	3.9
Wake Forest	VCU	4.8
BYU	Northern Iowa	6.7
Drake	Purdue Ft. Wayne	9.5
Stephen F. Austin	UNC Asheville	5.7
Middle Tennessee	Cal Baptist	6.8
Ohio	Rice	5.9
UTEP	Western Illinois	6.6
Portland	New Orleans	8.2

Team	O-Eff	D-Eff	SOS	37+ 3pt	OReb%	-45% vs. 2pt	FT Rate 37	R + T New Rate	R+T Old Rate
Baylor	9	14	61.1	34.6	36.3	49.5	28.5	11.4	17.4
N. Carolina	27	64	58.0	36.2	30.4	48.3	29.6	10.0	15.7
Kansas	6	29	61.8	35.5	33.4	47.9	32.8	5.2	12.1
Creighton	124	18	58.6	30.7	28.6	43.5	26.0	-1.8	4.0
Tennessee	36	3	61.8	35.9	32.8	45.8	29.6	8.5	13.9
Michigan	19	91	61.6	34.0	31.2	50.8	28.9	7.8	12.5
Providence	31	79	57.5	34.3	30.5	46.6	38.5	2.1	7.4
Richmond	68	104	54.8	33.7	22.4	50.0	30.9	-3.4	1.5
UCLA	15	12	59.4	35.1	29.8	47.3	36.8	5.7	17.3
Saint Mary’s	63	9	57.3	35.0	27.8	46.0	23.9	7.3	13.2
Murray St.	35	40	48.4	35.3	36.0	48.3	31.3	15.2	24.0
Saint Peter’s	259	34	48.3	35.3	32.0	43.5	37.1	5.0	9.0
Arkansas	40	16	58.4	30.7	30.8	46.4	37.9	7.1	12.8
N. Mexico St.	87	73	50.7	32.6	33.7	45.6	34.8	8.1	14.5
Gonzaga	1	7	56.9	37.9	29.0	41.6	29.8	7.2	21.8
Memphis	50	31	57.3	35.9	37.5	45.3	38.4	6.7	11.7

Bracketnomics Predictions

Baylor vs. North Carolina

Baylor is just a tad stronger across the board and has a lot more NCAA Tournament experience on the bench and on the court.  Baylor should win but not by a large margin.

Kansas vs. Creighton

This has all the looks of a large margin victory for the Jayhawks   Creighton’s offense looks to be in trouble against Kansas’s defense, and spurtability heavily favors KU.

Tennessee vs. Michigan

This should be a close game with several lead changes.  Michigan’s interior defense may be a tad vulnerable to Tennessee’s inside muscle, but, the Wolverines’ offense is considerably better overall than Tennessee’s offense.  Schedule strength and R+T Ratings are basically a wash.  Solely on the interior defense, Tennessee gets the nod.

Providence vs. Richmond

Can Richmond make the Sweet 16 with an R+T Rating that shows the Spiders receive little or no Spurtability?  Providence is not a pushover, but the Friars are most likely not going to advance past the Sweet 16.  Providence has the advantage in every one of these stats.  Richmond beat Iowa by playing a much better half court game than the Big Ten Tournament champs.  Providence’s win over South Dakota St. was a little more hustle points over half court game, and it gets really difficult for a team to keep winning the half court game over and over, especially when the other team has the decided Spurtability advantage.  Look for the Friars to advance.

UCLA vs. Saint Mary’s

This game could stay close for quite a long time.  UCLA has the clear-cut edge in the essential stats, but the edge is not large enough to call the Bruins a prohibitive favorite.  The key here is the FT rate, where UCLA might be a little quicker and force SMC to commit more than their usual number of fouls.  UCLA needs to keep its starters on the floor more than the average tournament team, and the Gaels do not figure to force key players to go to the bench with foul trouble.  Give the edge to the Bruins but don’t expect a big blowout.

Murray St. vs. Saint Peter’s

In all but one respect, these teams are rather evenly matched.  Murray State has a huge R+T Rating advantage, 15 points to be exact in the old counting stat version and three times more in the rate stat version.  What this means is that the Racers are likely to enjoy one major spurt or multiple smaller spurts and pull away from the Peacocks at some point in the game.  Saint Peter’s won’t have the ability to play catch-up after a large spurt.  The Racers will be an interesting Sweet 16 team.

Arkansas vs. New Mexico St.

This game has special meaning with yours truly, ye old PiRate Captain.  Five years ago, when he was the head coach at Nevada, I called Eric Musselman the best Mid-Major head coach and a sure thing success wherever he ended up in a power conference.  When he was hired by Arkansas, I predicted he would return the Razorbacks to the prominence they enjoyed under Eddie Sutton and Nolan Richardson and have Arkansas competing for a shot at the Final Four within five years.  He is only in year three, and he almost made the Final Four last year.  

New Mexico State head coach Chris Jans is my current top Mid-Major coach in college basketball.  It is my belief that when he gets a power five coaching job, he too will produce the results Muss is producing in Fayetteville.

Now, about this game: Arkansas has a bit too much defensive abilities for the Aggies to consistently score in this game.  The difference in schedule strength and the slight evidence that the Razorbacks have a little more quickness is enough to call this one in Arkansas’s favor.  Don’t discount NMSU; Jans can coach undermanned talent and keep games close.  The Aggies can keep this game close and even have a chance to pull the upset, but the Razorbacks have about a 65% chance of winning this game.  Arky goes to the Sweet 16 again.

Gonzaga vs. Memphis

Don’t automatically dismiss Memphis in this game.  While Gonzaga has a decisive Bracketnomics advantage, Memphis has two superior aspects that can be used to exploit the 1-seed, and both work together to strengthen the advantages.  

Memphis has an exceptional offensive rebounding advantage in this game.  The Tigers are one of a small handful that have an O Reb% in excess of the magical 37%.  Memphis also exceeds the 37% margin in FT rate, which shows the Tigers have explosive quickness to the rim.  If Gonzaga gets into foul trouble in this game, all their other advantages will be neutralized.

Gonzaga is still the pick here, but this game should be a lot closer than expected, and Memphis will have a chance to pull off the big upset if Gonzaga fouls too much.

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Thursday, March 17, 2022

Thursday, March 17, 2022
Team	Team	Spread
Colorado St.	Michigan	-2.1
Providence	South Dakota St.	2.9
Boise St.	Memphis	-1.9
Baylor	Norfolk St.	20.2
Tennessee	Longwood	16.6
Iowa	Richmond	10.2
Gonzaga	Georgia St.	23.1
North Carolina	Marquette	1.9
Connecticut	New Mexico St.	9.0
Kentucky	Saint Peter’s	17.3
Saint Mary’s	Indiana	2.3
San Diego St.	Creighton	2.3
Arkansas	Vermont	4.2
Murray St.	San Francisco	-2.3
UCLA	Akron	14.9
Kansas	Texas Southern	18.7
Fresno St.	Eastern Washington	11.8

PiRate Ratings Bracketnomics Analysis 2022

Analytics Based Bracket Picking Method–Updated for 2022

Welcome to the PiRate Ratings Bracket Picking Analysis for the 2022 NCAA Tournament. If you read yesterday’s tutorial post and earned your PhD in Bracketnomics, then you are ready to see all the numbers and pick the brackets in your own way. We will show you our picks as well, but you might do better using our data than we do.

Let’s get right to it with the table of all the numbers. We have divided the numbers into the most important, the moderately important, the the extras used to find the winner in very close matchups.

Team–Most Important	O-Eff	D-Eff	SOS	37+ 3pt	OReb%	-45% vs. 2pt	FT Rate 37
Akron	113	166	46.8	35.7	30.7	46.9	39.7
Alabama	14	94	61.9	30.8	35.6	49.2	33.6
Arizona	5	20	58.2	35.4	34.5	41.9	35.1
Arkansas	40	16	58.4	30.7	30.8	46.4	37.9
Auburn	24	8	59.2	32.0	33.1	42.6	31.6
Baylor	9	14	61.1	34.6	36.3	49.5	28.5
Boise St.	76	17	55.8	34.8	30.6	47.6	35.0
Bryant	154	218	43.7	30.8	33.3	46.2	32.2
Cal St. Fullerton	144	164	47.5	33.0	30.5	47.5	36.0
Chattanooga	58	95	50.5	34.6	32.7	50.7	26.7
Colgate	79	203	45.1	40.3	26.4	47.5	26.6
Colorado St.	20	83	55.5	35.8	22.0	50.4	30.4
Connecticut	21	35	58.5	35.3	37.9	42.8	30.6
Creighton	124	18	58.6	30.7	28.6	43.5	26.0
Davidson	11	152	52.5	38.6	23.8	48.0	32.0
Delaware	100	212	48.3	35.2	27.0	47.0	33.9
Duke	7	44	57.6	36.8	31.8	46.9	28.6
Georgia St.	201	114	48.9	32.9	34.3	43.8	29.3
Gonzaga	1	7	56.9	37.9	29.0	41.6	29.8
Houston	10	11	56.0	34.1	37.8	43.5	28.7
Illinois	23	30	60.7	36.7	33.4	45.4	31.7
Indiana	91	21	59.0	33.9	26.9	43.4	33.5
Iowa	2	77	59.0	32.1	32.1	50.0	30.4
Iowa St	151	10	59.7	36.8	28.2	50.7	28.1
Jacksonville St.	132	178	46.3	38.8	30.0	47.1	30.9
Kansas	6	29	61.8	35.5	33.4	47.9	32.8
Kentucky	4	27	60.2	34.9	37.9	47.1	27.2
Longwood	115	191	43.3	38.0	34.6	51.8	34.9
Loyola (Chi.)	42	22	54.2	38.3	25.1	46.9	31.7
LSU	89	5	59.5	31.9	33.8	47.7	33.0
Marquette	62	46	59.3	34.7	22.4	46.2	26.8
Memphis	50	31	57.3	35.9	37.5	45.3	38.4
Miami (Fla.)	17	157	57.0	35.3	23.4	53.9	28.8
Michigan	19	91	61.6	34.0	31.2	50.8	28.9
Michigan St.	38	53	60.8	37.8	30.7	47.9	30.4
Montana St.	147	129	45.6	36.9	27.3	47.6	38.7
Murray St.	35	40	48.4	35.3	36.0	48.3	31.3
New Mexico St.	87	73	50.7	32.6	33.7	45.6	34.8
Norfolk St.	190	160	41.3	34.8	30.5	44.5	37.7
North Carolina	27	64	58.0	36.2	30.4	48.3	29.6
Notre Dame	29	84	56.8	38.0	22.5	49.3	27.0
Ohio St.	13	131	60.0	37.3	28.8	46.2	33.5
Providence	31	79	57.5	34.3	30.5	46.6	38.5
Purdue	3	100	60.0	39.1	35.2	49.2	36.3
Richmond	68	104	54.8	33.7	22.4	50.0	30.9
Rutgers	107	43	58.5	33.6	29.3	46.5	26.9
Saint Mary’s	63	9	57.3	35.0	27.8	46.0	23.9
Saint Peter’s	259	34	48.3	35.3	32.0	43.5	37.1
San Diego St.	157	2	56.5	35.8	29.6	43.1	31.3
San Francisco	45	19	56.2	35.4	30.4	48.1	28.9
Seton Hall	75	26	59.0	34.0	33.0	44.7	31.4
South Dakota St.	12	220	48.1	44.9	24.4	49.8	33.8
TCU	80	24	60.3	30.4	37.8	47.9	31.2
Tennessee	36	3	61.8	35.9	32.8	45.8	29.6
Texas	32	13	60.2	32.3	31.8	46.1	32.3
Texas A&M-CC	287	181	40.2	33.5	35.3	49.9	36.7
Texas Southern	270	107	44.5	31.7	33.8	45.2	32.7
Texas Tech	65	1	60.8	31.4	33.3	44.3	36.1
UAB	28	89	50.6	37.9	33.9	46.8	28.5
UCLA	15	12	59.4	35.1	29.8	47.3	36.8
USC	47	49	56.3	35.4	33.8	41.7	30.9
Vermont	44	74	45.9	36.4	24.6	44.9	26.4
Villanova	8	28	61.0	35.9	30.9	48.2	30.5
Virginia Tech	18	55	57.5	39.3	28.1	49.4	23.7
Wisconsin	49	38	60.1	31.2	25.9	49.9	32.3
Wright St.	108	262	44.8	32.9	31.2	51.3	31.3
Wyoming	54	66	54.5	34.3	25.5	48.3	35.8
Yale	203	103	49.0	33.0	25.7	50.6	32.6

O-Eff = Offensive efficiency & D-Eff = Defensive efficiency

SOS= PiRate Ratings Strength of Schedule

37+ 3pt = The 3-point shooting percentage where 37% or above is the key number

OReb% = Offensive rebounding rate where 37% or above it also the key number

-45% vs. 2pt = Defensive 2-point field goal percentage where less than 45% is the key number FT Rate = the percentage of free throw attempts per field goal attempts, where again, above 37% is the key number

Team Moderately Important	R + T New Rate	Old R+T	Score Marg	FG% Diff	Win Strk	Pre25	Champions
Akron	6.4	12.1	8.4	3.8	8		T
Alabama	4.9	7.5	3.6	0.6	4	Yes	x
Arizona	7.0	17.9	17.1	10.9	11 & 9		R T
Arkansas	7.1	12.8	8.4	2.9	9 & 9	Yes	x
Auburn	5.9	12.5	11.7	5.5	19	Yes	R
Baylor	11.4	17.4	12.9	3.9	15	Yes	R
Boise St.	11.2	15.0	7.9	2.2	14		R T
Bryant	1.7	6.4	5.2	2.4	9 & 7		T
Cal St. Fullerton	4.3	8.5	4.1	0.9	8		T
Chattanooga	8.7	15.2	10.1	4.6	5 & 5		R T
Colgate	1.7	8.5	9	5.1	15		R T
Colorado St.	-2.1	6.1	8	5.8	11		x
Connecticut	12.1	19.6	10	3.5	5 & 5	Yes	x
Creighton	-1.8	4.0	3.1	5.5	6		x
Davidson	2.7	12.1	6.8	6.4	15		R
Delaware	-3.6	1.3	3.9	4.1	5		T
Duke	4.1	12.7	13.1	7.2	7 & 7	Yes	R
Georgia St.	7.8	11.9	5.8	-1	10		T
Gonzaga	7.2	21.8	22.5	14.8	17 & 6	Yes	R T
Houston	14.3	22.2	16.9	9.6	12 & 6	Yes	R T
Illinois	7.7	12.8	8.2	3.7	6	Yes	R
Indiana	1.8	7.8	5.6	6.8	6		x
Iowa	4.8	11.7	12.5	2.6	7 & 5		T
Iowa St	1.2	3.8	3.5	1.1	12		x
Jacksonville St.	3.4	10.6	7.1	6.4	10		R
Kansas	5.2	12.1	10.5	6.3	8 & 5	Yes	R T
Kentucky	15.7	24.1	13.5	7.4	7 & 6	Yes	x
Longwood	14.9	20.3	11.2	2.6	11 & 8		T
Loyola (Chi.)	3.1	11.2	12.1	7.4	10		T
LSU	5.9	12.2	9.6	5.3	12		x
Marquette	-9.8	-4.5	3.5	4.3	7		x
Memphis	6.7	11.7	7	7.5	6 & 6	Yes	x
Miami (Fla.)	-5.0	1.3	3.8	1.2	9		x
Michigan	7.8	12.5	4.9	2.1	3	Yes	x
Michigan St.	3.0	8.5	3.7	4.1	9		x
Montana St.	4.9	11.4	8.5	5.4	11 & 6		R T
Murray St.	15.2	24.0	17	6.9	20 & 7		R T
New Mexico St.	8.1	14.5	8.3	6.6	10 & 5		R T
Norfolk St.	4.9	14.2	11.4	9.2	6 & 6		R T
North Carolina	10.0	15.7	5.8	1.9	6 & 5	Yes	x
Notre Dame	-2.5	3.8	5.7	3.1	6 & 5		x
Ohio St.	-1.0	6.0	8.3	5.5	5	Yes	x
Providence	2.1	7.4	4.8	2.6	8 & 8		R
Purdue	12.1	19.2	11	6.6	8 & 6	Yes	x
Richmond	-3.4	1.5	3.4	0	6		T
Rutgers	3.4	7.6	2.1	2.9	4		x
Saint Mary’s	7.3	13.2	9.3	3.7	7 & 6		x
Saint Peter’s	5.0	9.0	5.1	4.8	7		T
San Diego St.	4.4	10.5	7.6	5.1	6 & 5		x
San Francisco	8.7	14.2	10.1	3.3	10		x
Seton Hall	5.2	10.1	6.6	2.4	6 & 6		x
South Dakota St.	2.3	13.2	13.3	8.7	21		R T
TCU	12.5	16.9	3.1	1.8	7		x
Tennessee	8.5	13.9	10.4	3	7 & 5	Yes	T
Texas	7.2	10.1	8.7	2.9	6 & 5	Yes	x
Texas A&M-CC	10.2	15.8	7	2.8	8		T
Texas Southern	4.7	8.4	3.7	4.1	6		T
Texas Tech	9.6	17.5	11.4	9.4	6		x
UAB	10.7	19.2	14.4	5.5	7		T
UCLA	5.7	17.3	11.6	3.4	6 & 5	Yes	x
USC	6.3	12.8	6.7	6.5	13 & 6		x
Vermont	7.8	17.9	14.6	8.3	14 & 8		R T
Villanova	4.8	11.5	9.5	2.9	6 & 5	Yes	T
Virginia Tech	2.4	7.4	8.4	4.2	6 & 5		T
Wisconsin	3.4	7.3	4.2	-1.4	7 & 6		R
Wright St.	1.8	5.3	4.4	1.5	7 & 5		T
Wyoming	1.4	8.7	7.5	4.4	8 & 6		x
Yale	-0.7	3.6	3.5	2.1	7		T

R+T New Rate =The new R+T rating using rate stats over counting stats (still experimental)

Old R+T = The original R+T Rating where anything over 17.5 is exceptional, 15 to 17.5 is quite good, 12.5 to 15 is good, 8-12.5 is okay, 5-8 is fair, under 5 is poor, and negative is a loser

Score Marg = Scoring margin where over 8 is very good and over 10 is great

FG% Diff = Field Goal Percentage difference (Offense FG% – Defense FG%) where over 7 is very good and over 10 is exceptional

Win Strk = Best winning streak or streaks during the season (if a team didn’t win 6 in a row in the regular season, how will they do it against the best teams?)

Pre25 = Preseason Top 25 pick (almost every past national champion was in the preseason top 25)

Champions (R = regular season conference champion/co-champion & T = Conference Tournament Champion)

Team–Extras	Coach Exp.	Seniors 8	Juniors 8	1/3 Clutch?	F/C 12/7?	2 F/C 20/12?	Dbl Fig#
Akron	3	0	2	3	Y	Y	3
Alabama	4	2	2	1	N	N	3
Arizona	0	1	1	1	Y	Y	4
Arkansas	4 E8	5	1	1	N	N	4
Auburn	10 F4	1	3	1	Y	Y	4
Baylor	9 CH	2	3	x	N	N	3
Boise St.	2	5	1	1	N	Y	3
Bryant	0	5	1	1	N	N	3
Cal St. Fullerton	1	4	2	1	N	Y	2
Chattanooga	0	5	1	1	N	N	3
Colgate	2	4	2	3	N	N	5
Colorado St.	0	2	4	1	N	N	2
Connecticut	3	4	1	3	Y	N	3
Creighton	9 E8	3	1	x	Y	Y	3
Davidson	9 E8	3	2	3	Y	Y	4
Delaware	0	3	2	x	N	N	4
Duke	35 CH	2	1	1	Y	Y	5
Georgia St.	1	4	1	1	N	N	3
Gonzaga	21 2R	2	2	1	Y	Y	5
Houston	17 F4	5	3	N	N	Y	5
Illinois	5	4	1	1	Y	Y	4
Indiana	0	4	2	1	Y	Y	3
Iowa	10	2	1	1	Y	Y	3
Iowa St	3	4	3	1	N	N	2
Jacksonville St.	3	4	3	1	N	N	3
Kansas	22 CH	5	2	1	N	Y	4
Kentucky	20 CH	2	4	1	Y	Y	5
Longwood	0	3	2	1	N	N	3
Loyola (Chi.)	0	5	2	1	N	N	2
LSU	0	2	0	1	Y	Y	4
Marquette	8 F4	2	1	1	Y	N	2
Memphis	0	3	2	x	Y	Y	3
Miami (Fla.)	9 F4	3	1	1	N	N	4
Michigan	1 E8	3	0	1	Y	Y	4
Michigan St.	23 CH	3	3	x	N	N	1
Montana St.	0	4	2	x	N	N	3
Murray St.	2	1	2	1	Y	Y	3
New Mexico St.	2	3	2	1	N	Y	2
Norfolk St.	1	3	4	1	N	N	3
North Carolina	0	2	1	3	Y	Y	4
Notre Dame	14 E8	6	0	1	Y	Y	3
Ohio St.	6 E8	4	1	1	Y	Y	2
Providence	5	6	1	3	N	Y	4
Purdue	13 E8	3	1	1	Y	Y	4
Richmond	2 S16	6	1	1	Y	Y	3
Rutgers	2	4	1	1	N	N	3
Saint Mary’s	7 S16	4	2	x	N	N	4
Saint Peter’s	1	2	5	x	N	N	2
San Diego St.	2	5	1	1	N	N	1
San Francisco	0	4	1	3	Y	N	3
Seton Hall	4	4	3	1	N	N	1
South Dakota St.	1	1	3	1	N	N	2
TCU	12 E8	1	3	1	N	N	3
Tennessee	25 F4	1	3	1	N	N	2
Texas	4 2R	6	2	x	N	N	3
Texas A&M-CC	0	4	4	x	Y	Y	2
Texas Southern	4	7	1	x	N	N	0
Texas Tech	0	5	3	x	N	N	1
UAB	2	3	4	1	N	N	4
UCLA	12 F4	4	3	1	N	N	4
USC	4 E8	2	4	1	Y	Y	4
Vermont	3	6	2	1	N	Y	2
Villanova	17 CH	4	3	1	N	N	4
Virginia Tech	6	3	2	1	N	Y	3
Wisconsin	3 S16	2	2	1	N	N	3
Wright St.	4	0	5	3	Y	N	3
Wyoming	0	3	0	1	Y	Y	3
Yale	2	2	4	1	N	N	2

Coach Exp = The number of past NCAA Tournament appearances for the head coach and if he got to the Sweet 6, Elite 8, Final 4, CHampionship or Runnerup

Seniors8/Juniors8 = The number of seniors or juniors among the current top 8 players (not as important with the extra Covid year)

1/3Clutch? = Does the team have 1 go to guy or 3 co-go to guys that can hit the crucial basket to win?

F/C 12/7 or 2F/C 20/12 = Does the team have an inside player that averages 12 points and 7 rebounds per game or two that combine for 20 points and 12 rebounds per game?

DblFig# = The number of double figure scorers

Here is the PiRate Ratings Bracket

The event you’ve all been waiting for: I wish I could say it’s this feature, but your madness is directed at the actual games in March (and April).  Hopefully, this guide will guide you in filling out your brackets as we show you our analysis of the pertinent data.  Some of you will take our information and perform better with it making your own analysis.  Feel free to do so; we sometimes cannot see the forest for the trees.

Using our system laid out in Monday’s tutorial, we isolated on seven teams with National Championship Resumes in the 2022 NCAA Tournament plus one more team on the cusp.

Arizona

Baylor

Gonzaga

Houston

Kansas

Kentucky

UCLA

Almost National Championship Resume (1)

Auburn

It has been 31 tournaments since a team from outside the power conferences has won the national championship.  The Power Conference teams with the best resumes are:

Arizona

Baylor

Kansas

Kentucky

UCLA

Houston is a borderline power conference representative, but the American Athletic Conference is not what it once was.  With Marcus Sasser and Tramon Mark, the Cougars would be close to Gonzaga in overall power, but they have not been the same since their season-ending injuries.

Here is our take on the first round of the Tournament.  It is how we will fill out our bracket.  Every year, we receive a comment from somebody telling us how they used our data to outperform our bracket.

First Round NCAA Tournament Matchups

West Region

Gonzaga vs. Georgia St.: Not much to discuss here.  This should be a major blowout win for Gonzaga.  Georgia State will struggle to score points until the Bulldog reserves get mop-up duty, while the Zags could score close to 1.5 points per possession before the starters come out.

Boise St. vs. Memphis: As most 8/9 games should be, this is an interesting game where the two teams are evenly matched.  Memphis has oh so better key stats, and in close games, if the predicted weaker team has a considerably superior R+T rating, we will go with the underdog.  Boise State’s R+T is better but not by much.  We’ll go with Memphis is a close one.

Connecticut vs. New Mexico St.: New Mexico State  coach Chris Jans is our current number one mid-major head coach ready to be offered a big time job.  He has twice taken the Aggies to near major upsets in the opening round.  The last time NMSU was in this situation, they came within a blown referee’s call of upsetting Auburn.  The Tigers went to the Final Four that year.

However, this matchup with Connecticut is not favorable.  We are always leery of the Huskies.  They are the one school that has won the National Championship without having the proper analytical resume, and they have done it twice!  Their resume this year is very similar to the two times they won the title.  They are superior in all respects to the Aggies and should win by double digits.

Arkansas vs. Vermont: This game could be a lot closer than expected.  Vermont’s offense is just as efficient as Arkansas’s, and the Catamounts have a considerably better R+T rating.  A 12.5 points per game tougher schedule favors Arkansas by enough juice to emerge victorious, but it may be by single digits.

Alabama vs. Rutgers/Notre Dame: You get to wait until Thursday morning to submit your brackets, so you will know the winner of all the First Four games.  We can only predict it today.  We think Rutgers has a slight edge in the game in Dayton, because Notre Dame’s R+T rating is too low.  In early games, it doesn’t matter as much if the opponent’s R+T isn’t a good one, and Rutgers’ R+T is okay but not great.

When it comes to playing Alabama Friday, this may be one of the hardest games to figure.  Alabama plays like Tarzan one game and like Jane the next.  The Tide can score points when they are clicking, but they fail to click one game out of three.  Their R+T Rating is mediocre, and they don’t defend well in the paint.  The one superior factor in favor of the Tide is the nation’s strongest schedule.  Whichever team Bama plays in this game, they will have faced a stronger team in at least a dozen prior games.  We don’t expect Alabama to advance far in this tournament, but they should get out of this round with a win.

Texas Tech vs. Montana St.: They key to winning college basketball at the highest level is to have a superior offense and very good defense.  Texas Tech has the best defense in the nation with an average offense.  We don’t expect the Red Raiders to contend for the Final Four, but in early rounds, their resume is scary against teams not in power conferences.  

Montana State may stay in this game a little longer than expected, as Tech might struggle offensively at the start of the game until the nerves settle down.  Once Tech hits their stride, they will hold MSU to less than .8 points per possession for the middle 20-25 minutes of the game.  It might not look pretty, but TTU will eventually run away from the Bobcats.

Michigan St. vs. Davidson: Davidson has a little more overall talent now than they had when Steph Curry led the Wildcats to the Elite 8.  The difference is this Davidson team lacks the overall quickness to replicate the former success.  Additionally, they face a team that plays the same type of game as they do but with overall better athletes.

Michigan State has been upset early by teams that were quicker and unable to take advantage of the quickness.  DC cannot do this.  The Wildcats’ only chance is to hope to dominate in the paint both in points and rebounds, and The Spartans are not the team that will allow this.  Even though this is not the best inside presence during Tom Izzo’s reign in East Lansing, Sparty has just a little too much power for Davidson.  Michigan State will win by five to 12 points.

Duke vs. Cal St. Fullerton:  Coach K’s last team is really not talented enough to get to New Orleans this year, but the Blue Devils will likely play above their talent level until they are put out.  In this first game, the Blue Devils will score points rapidly against a weak team defense.  Fullerton won’t be able to keep the Blue Devil offense from getting easy shots inside of six feet.  Look for the Blue Devils to top their scoring average and coast to an easy victory in this round.

East Region

Baylor vs. Norfolk St.:  The MEAC representative has won opening round games in the Big Dance before, but it was as a #15 seed against a #2.  Norfolk State was oh so close to getting a #15 seed at the expense of Delaware, but they came up short.  In most recent years, the MEAC champ has been placed in Dayton.  Had NSU been put there this year, they would have been prohibitive favorites over any other 16-seed.  

The question now becomes, “can Nofolk State do what UMBC did against Virginia?”  The answer is “no”, because Baylor isn’t Virginia.  They are the defending champs, and even though the Bears are not as good as last year, they still have Final Four talent.  BU will win by around 20-25 points, more if the starters stay in longer than needed.

North Carolina vs. Marquette:  We can make this short and sweet–Marquette’s R+T is an eliminator.  ‘Nuf Sed.  They would be our pick to lose even if they were a top four seed.  Our number one rule is to play against a team with a negative R+T rating.

Saint Mary’s vs. Wyoming/Indiana: Like the region above, you will know who Saint Mary’s will be playing on Thursday.  Ironically, this play-in game may be the most exciting game before the Sweet 16.  There is very little difference between the Hoosiers and Cowboys.  Only because Indiana won’t travel very far to play this game will we give the nod to the Hoosiers.

On Thursday, Saint Mary’s will have a tough time avoiding the upset, because they are a tad weak offensively in the low post area.  Playing at home, the Gaels were able to withstand Gonzaga’s great inside presence, but in the WCC Tournament in Las Vegas, the Bulldogs exploited SMC over and over again in a double-digit win.  We will stil pick Saint Mary’s to win this game, because their opponent will have to fly from Dayton to Portland and play less than 48 hours after they played in Dayton.

UCLA vs. Akron: UCLA has national championship talent, but the Bruins have liabilities that can be exploited.  Unfortunately for the Zips, they do not have the necessary inside strength to exploit the Bruins.  They do have characteristics needed to keep a game with UCLA close for some time, but the Bruins will advance.

Texas vs. Virginia Tech: Texas is the most vulnerable 6-seed in the tournament.  The Longhorns have not adjusted to Chris Beard’s system in year one, and there may be a little dissension within the ranks.  Virginia Tech is the exact opposite.  Mike Young was one of our A+ Mid-major coaches ready for the Big Time when he was at Wofford, and he has not disappointed in his short time in Blacksburg.  Virginia Tech’s players have totally bought in to the system and are peaking at the right time.

Our criteria shows this game to be close to a tossup.  The Hokies have the superior offense, but the Longhorns have the superior defense with more superiority than Va. Tech’s offensive superiority.   Texas has the edge in schedule strength and R+T rating, so we will pick the Longhorns in a squeaker, but this one is ripe for an upset if you are the type that goes for more upsets than average.

Purdue vs. Yale:  Yale caught Princeton on a cold shooting day and upset the Tigers to get a ticket to the Dance.  Their ticket is for one game.  Short of hitting about 15 three-point shots in 25 attempts, there is no way the Bulldogs can stop the inside dominance of the Boilermakers.  The two-headed monster in the low post will likely score 40 points and pull down 15-20 rebounds unless Coach Matt Painter goes to his third team.  While former Gene Keady assistants have never made it to the Final Four, and neither did Keady, those teams from the past did not have the R+T rating that this Purdue team has.  This is PU’s best chance to go to the Final Four since they did so under Lee Rose in 1980.

Murray St. vs. San Francisco: Now it’s time to upset a lot of people in the Bluegrass.  There are a lot of fans heading up to Indianapolis for the weekend hoping to see the two top teams from the Commonwealth face off.  Our criteria shows the Dons to be a slightly better team than the Racers, mostly because Murray State’s schedule was suspect.  USF played a schedule almost as strong as a Power Conference team, and they have multiple wins over teams in this tournament.  Murray State’s biggest win was against Memphis, when the Tigers were not playing well.  Their other big game was a double-digit loss to Auburn, when Auburn was getting ready to go on a run.

We think the schedule strength makes USF’s numbers superior, and we will go with the 10-seed to win in what will be considered an upset.  We think the Dons should be favored.

Kentucky vs. Saint Peter’s: One team in this game had a weak schedule, a weak offense, and a weak inside defense.  The other team had one of the strongest schedules in the nation, one of the best defenses, a very good offense, and the best inside presence in college basketball since Bill Walton.  I bet you can predict what the prediction is here–Kentucky by as many as Coach Cal wants to win by before he removes his key players.

South Region

Arizona vs. Wright St./Bryant: We expect Wright State to win the play-in game, but even if Bryant wins, the outcome of this game will remain the same.  Arizona is much too talented to lose this game, even if the Wildcats play their worst game of the season Friday.  The Wednesday night winner must fly from Dayton to San Diego on short notice to play a UA team that is well-rested and playing just a short flight from home.

Seton Hall vs. TCU: This one is another great tossup between the 8 and 9 seeds.  TCU has the superior R+T rating, and it may be where the game is decided—with one late spurt in the second half.  We’ll take the Horned Frogs in a close one. 

Houston vs. UAB: Poor UAB.  The Blazers actually have the talent and resume to get to the Sweet 16 as long as they have the right bracket.  This one is not the right bracket.  Even without two former starters that were injured weeks ago, Houston has enough talent to get to the Sweet 16, with a good chance to make the Elite 8, and a possible chance to return to the Final Four.  If they still had their two stars, they would be a strong Final Four selection.  The Cougars match up perfectly well with UAB and can neutralize the Blazers’ key attackers.

Illinois vs. Chattanooga: The Mocs have been the darling upset pick of a lot of national media members, but we’re here to say it isn’t going to happen.  Chattanooga enjoyed an incredible season in winning the regular and tournament championships.  They just don’t have the inside defense to slow down the Illini in the paint, and they are not likely to get the Illinois frontcourt into foul trouble.  The Mocs don’t have a pressing defense strong enough to force Illinois into turnovers, so the Illini should have little difficulty winning this game by double digits.

Colorado St. vs. Michigan: Here’s another 11-seed that is clearly better than the 6-seed.  Colorado State’s R+T rating is too low, especially for a Mid-major team playing a Power Conference opponent.  Only a complete meltdown by the Maize and Blue will prevent the Wolverines from advancing.

Tennessee vs. Longwood: Volunteer Head Coach Rick Barnes has been to 25 previous NCAA Tournaments with one Final Four appearance.  He believes his current team has what it takes to go to the Final Four this year.  Tennessee’s resume should get them to the Sweet 16, but they have vulnerabilities that other teams in the South Region can exploit.  Longwood isn’t one of them.  Their schedule strength is much too low to be a factor in this game, but if they hit a bunch of three-pointers, where they are better than average, they could keep the outcome under 20 points.

Ohio St. vs. Loyola (Chi.): Before looking at this game, be advised that Ohio State is really banged up with multiple injuries, and it is unsure if they will have their full roster available.  Also, understand that Loyola will have had 12 days between games and will be fully rested but possibly a little rusted.

Loyola’s offense will find the holes in the Buckeyes’ defense, especially if Ohio State has to play a short rotation that will tire in the second half.  The Ramblers’ defense is good enough to give Ohio State’s superior offense some trouble.  It may come down to spurtability, and Loyola is the hands-down superior team in R+T.  We think Sister Jean will be smiling.

Villanova vs. Delaware: We told you yesterday that usually there is one Final Four team that gets there from outside of the perfect resume world.  It was UCLA last year.  This year’s UCLA could easily be Villanova.  The Wildcats just barely miss out on having a Final Four resume, and they quite frankly have about the best possible bracket arrangement to boot.  

Delaware is disqualified from potential upset possibilities in multiple ways–R+T rating, defense on the perimeter and in the paint, schedule strength, no inside scoring dominance, etc.

Midwest Region

Kansas vs. Texas Southern/Texas A&M-CC: Even though it does not matter in your bracket contests, we believe Texas Southern will run Texas A&M-CC into the ground in Dayton.  TAMCC has the weakest schedule strength of any NCAA Tournament team in the last 22 years!  Texas Southern is playing much better basketball in March than they did before  New Year’s, and they are 18-5 in their last 23 games.  So, we are previewing TSU against Kansas in this game.

Okay, suspense over.  KU will blow out either Texas team in this game.  Neither of the 16-seeds has enough defense to stop the Jayhawks from running up a fat score.  

San Diego St. vs. Creighton: In all but one key metric, these teams are fairly evenly matched.  That key metric is the R+T rating, and the Aztecs have a considerable advantage.  We’ll take SDSU to win thanks to a late run.

Iowa vs. Richmond: Two happy teams on Sunday, but there will only be one happy team Thursday after these two play.  Richmond will have to slow this game down to about a 60 possession game to have a chance to sneak away with an upset, but the Spiders’ R+T rating doesn’t measure up to being a winner.  Iowa will cruise to a double-digit win.

Providence vs. South Dakota St.: Providence is the better overall team in the criteria, but South Dakota State has the one ace up their sleeve in an offense that can score a lot of points in a hurry.  If the Friars come out a little tight and aren’t playing the type of basketball they normally play, they could find themselves down by a lot of points early in the game and then struggle to get in synch and get back in the game.  SDSU has the type of team that comes out loose and ready to play no matter what the stage.  If this game was in Oklahoma City or Denver, we’d take the underdog.  Buffalo will be almost like a home game for Providence, so we think the Friars sneak away with a close win.

LSU vs. Iowa St.: LSU has to go with an interim head coach for the second time in the now concluded Will Wade era.  It pains me to say that I (the Captain) was Wade’s youth coach in the early 1990’s.

It is rare for a team that finished four games under .500 to make the NCAA Tournament, but the Big 12 was quite strong this year.  Cyclone Coach T.J. Otzelberger made the South Dakota State job what it is today, and he should eventually turn the corner in Ames.  Making the Big Dance this quickly is quite an accomplishment.  Doing damage in the Dance may be a year away.  Even with an interim coach, albeit one with lots of years experience as a head coach, LSU has superior numbers and should win by around ten points.

Wisconsin vs. Colgate: This is almost a home game for the Badgers.  It’s one thing to put a Duke or Carolina in Charlotte or Greensboro when either is a number one seed, but to put the Badgers less than 100 miles from home in Milwaukee as a 3-seed is totally different.  Poor Colgate.  The Raiders are actually one of a small handful of Low Major teams that have some talent with an outside chance at an upset, but not playing UW in Milwaukee.  Colgate may hit some three-pointers to keep the game within shouting distance, but the Badgers will take the cheese in this one.

USC vs. Miami (Fla.): Even though Miami has a short flight, while USC most go from the Pacific to the Atlantic Ocean, there is a factor that can never be parsed.  Miami’s R+T rating is too poor to predict the Hurricanes to advance.  USC figures to have a double-digit spurt in this game, and the Trojans will advance.

Auburn vs. Jacksonville St.: There is only one fly in the ointment in saying this game should be a 30-point blowout.  JSU will be playing way over their heads to face off against an in-state rival that won’t play them in the regular season.  Coach Ray Harper is a strict disciplinarian, and his teams play intelligently and force the opponent to play that way or be exploited.

Auburn is not all that exploitable here.  The Tigers have been having shooting trouble as of late, but with the great front line, maybe the second best to Gonzaga’s, the Tigers will get numerous second and third shots on many possessions, and JSU will eventually fall by a lot of points.

Here’s how the rest of our bracket-picking goes.

Round of 32

Gonzaga over Memphis

Connecticut over Arkansas

Texas Tech over Alabama

Duke over Michigan St.

Baylor over North Carolina

UCLA over Saint Mary’s

Purdue over Texas

Kentucky over San Francisco

Arizona over TCU

Houston over Illinois

Tennessee over Michigan

Villanova over Loyola (Chi.)

Kansas over San Diego St.

Iowa over Providence

Wisconsin over LSU

Auburn over USC

Sweet 16

Gonzaga over Connecticut

Texas Tech over Duke

Baylor over UCLA

Kentucky over Purdue

Arizona over Houston

Villanova over Tennessee

Kansas over Iowa

Auburn over Wisconsin

Elite 8

Gonzaga over Texas Tech

Kentucky over Baylor

Villanova over Arizona

Kansas over Auburn

Final 4

Gonzaga over Kentucky

Kansas over Villanova

National Championship

Kansas over Gonzaga

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Tuesday, March 8, 2022

Tuesday’s Conference Tournaments
Atlantic Coast Conference–1st Round
Brooklyn
Higher Seed	Lower Seed	Spread
Boston College	Pittsburgh	2.6
Clemson	North Carolina St.	5.0
Louisville	Georgia Tech	1.8
Atlantic Sun Conference–CHAMPIONSHIP
Higher Seed at Home
Home	Visitor	Spread
Bellarmine	Jacksonville	6.2
Big West Conference–1st Round
Henderson, NV
Higher Seed	Lower Seed	Spread
Cal St. Northridge	Cal St. Bakersfield	-4.6
UC Davis	Cal Poly	6.2
Colonial Athletic Association–CHAMPIONSHIP
Washington, D.C.
Higher Seed	Lower Seed	Spread
Delaware	UNC Wilmington	2.5
Conference USA–1st Round
Frisco, TX
Higher Seed	Lower Seed	Spread
Florida Intl.	Marshall	-2.5
UTSA	Southern Miss.	2.9
Horizon League–CHAMPIONSHIP
Indianapolis
Higher Seed	Lower Seed	Spread
Northern Kentucky	Wright St.	-1.2
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference–1st Round
Atlantic City, NJ
Higher Seed	Lower Seed	Spread
Manhattan	Rider	-0.5
Fairfield	Canisius	1.9
Marist	Quinnipiac	2.6
Northeast Conference–CHAMPIONSHIP
Higher Seed at Home
Home	Visitor	Spread
Bryant	Wagner	-2.5
Summit League–CHAMPIONSHIP
Sioux Falls, SD
Higher Seed	Lower Seed	Spread
South Dakota St.	North Dakota St.	6.7
West Coast Conference–CHAMPIONSHIP
Las Vegas
Higher Seed	Lower Seed	Spread
Gonzaga	Saint Mary’s	11.1
Western Athletic Conference–Opening Round
Las Vegas
Higher Seed	Lower Seed	Spread
California Baptist	UT Rio Grande Valley	6.6
Utah Valley	Chicago St.	14.7

Dance Tickets Punched
1	Murray St.	Ohio Valley	27-2
2	Longwood	Big South	26-6
3	Loyola (Chi.)	Missouri Valley	25-7
4	Chattanooga	Southern	27-7
5	Georgia St.	Sun Belt	18-10

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Monday, March 7, 2022

Monday’s Conference Tournaments
Colonial Athletic Association–Semifinals
Charlotte
Higher Seed	Lower Seed	Spread
Towson	Delaware	6.5
UNC Wilmington	Charleston	-2.0
Horizon League–Semifinals
Indianapolis
Higher Seed	Lower Seed	Spread
Cleveland St.	Wright St.	-0.1
Purdue Ft. Wayne	Northern Kentucky	-1.2
Southern Conference–CHAMPIONSHIP
Asheville, NC
Higher Seed	Lower Seed	Spread
Chattanooga	Furman	-0.2
Summit League–Semifinals
Sioux Falls, SD
Higher Seed	Lower Seed	Spread
South Dakota St.	South Dakota	8.9
North Dakota St.	Oral Roberts	-1.2
Sun Belt Conference–CHAMPIONSHIP
Pensacola, FL
Higher Seed	Lower Seed	Spread
Georgia St.	Louisiana	1.7
West Coast Conference–Semifinals
Las Vegas
Higher Seed	Lower Seed	Spread
Gonzaga	San Francisco	11.7
Saint Mary’s	Santa Clara	5.4

Dance Tickets Punched

1	Murray St.	Ohio Valley	27-2
2	Longwood	Big South	26-6
3	Loyola (Chi.)	Missouri Valley	25-7

Monday’s PiRate Ratings

#	Team	PiRate	Conference
1	Gonzaga	124.6	West Coast
2	Arizona	120.8	Pac-12
3	Kentucky	119.4	Southeastern
4	Baylor	119.2	Big 12
5	Auburn	118.4	Southeastern
6	Duke	118.1	Atlantic Coast
7	Houston	118.1	American Athletic
8	Kansas	118.0	Big 12
9	UCLA	117.7	Pac-12
10	Purdue	117.3	Big Ten
11	Tennessee	117.2	Southeastern
12	Villanova	117.1	Big East
13	Texas Tech	116.9	Big 12
14	Iowa	116.6	Big Ten
15	Illinois	115.5	Big Ten
16	LSU	114.9	Southeastern
17	Texas	114.6	Big 12
18	Arkansas	114.5	Southeastern
19	Connecticut	114.1	Big East
20	Alabama	113.6	Southeastern
21	Saint Mary’s	113.3	West Coast
22	San Francisco	112.9	West Coast
23	Memphis	112.7	American Athletic
24	Ohio St.	112.7	Big Ten
25	Michigan	112.6	Big Ten
26	Seton Hall	112.2	Big East
27	North Carolina	112.2	Atlantic Coast
28	Loyola Chicago	112.0	Missouri Valley
29	Virginia Tech	111.8	Atlantic Coast
30	Wisconsin	111.8	Big Ten
31	San Diego St.	111.7	Mountain West
32	Wake Forest	111.7	Atlantic Coast
33	Michigan St.	111.5	Big Ten
34	USC	111.4	Pac-12
35	Indiana	111.3	Big Ten
36	Oklahoma St.	111.3	Big 12
37	Providence	111.2	Big East
38	Oklahoma	111.0	Big 12
39	Xavier	110.9	Big East
40	Marquette	110.9	Big East
41	Murray St.	110.6	Ohio Valley
42	Boise St.	110.6	Mountain West
43	Florida	110.5	Southeastern
44	Colorado St.	110.4	Mountain West
45	TCU	110.2	Big 12
46	UAB	110.1	Conference USA
47	Notre Dame	110.1	Atlantic Coast
48	Mississippi St.	109.9	Southeastern
49	Washington St.	109.9	Pac-12
50	Iowa St.	109.9	Big 12
51	SMU	109.6	American Athletic
52	St. John’s	109.6	Big East
53	BYU	109.3	West Coast
54	Dayton	109.2	Atlantic 10
55	VCU	109.2	Atlantic 10
56	Davidson	109.2	Atlantic 10
57	Miami FL	109.2	Atlantic Coast
58	Utah St.	109.2	Mountain West
59	Texas A&M	109.1	Southeastern
60	Saint Louis	109.0	Atlantic 10
61	Oregon	108.8	Pac-12
62	West Virginia	108.7	Big 12
63	Kansas St.	108.7	Big 12
64	Northwestern	108.7	Big Ten
65	Toledo	108.5	Mid-American
66	Rutgers	108.4	Big Ten
67	Maryland	108.3	Big Ten
68	Creighton	108.3	Big East
69	Missouri St.	108.2	Missouri Valley
70	North Texas	108.2	Conference USA
71	Colorado	108.2	Pac-12
72	Virginia	108.1	Atlantic Coast
73	Vermont	108.1	America East
74	Wyoming	108.1	Mountain West
75	Clemson	107.9	Atlantic Coast
76	Santa Clara	107.9	West Coast
77	South Dakota St.	107.8	Summit
78	Vanderbilt	107.6	Southeastern
79	Penn St.	107.4	Big Ten
80	Belmont	107.4	Ohio Valley
81	St. Bonaventure	107.3	Atlantic 10
82	Syracuse	107.3	Atlantic Coast
83	Fresno St.	107.3	Mountain West
84	Towson	107.2	Colonial Athletic
85	Furman	107.2	Southern
86	Chattanooga	107.0	Southern
87	Wichita St.	106.8	American Athletic
88	Drake	106.6	Missouri Valley
89	Florida St.	106.5	Atlantic Coast
90	Arizona St.	106.5	Pac-12
91	Richmond	106.5	Atlantic 10
92	South Carolina	106.2	Southeastern
93	UNLV	106.1	Mountain West
94	DePaul	106.1	Big East
95	Iona	106.0	Metro Atlantic
96	New Mexico St.	105.8	Western Athletic
97	UCF	105.8	American Athletic
98	Cincinnati	105.7	American Athletic
99	Northern Iowa	105.6	Missouri Valley
100	Mississippi	105.6	Southeastern
101	Tulane	105.3	American Athletic
102	Grand Canyon	105.3	Western Athletic
103	Bradley	105.2	Missouri Valley
104	Louisiana Tech	105.1	Conference USA
105	Minnesota	104.9	Big Ten
106	Stanford	104.7	Pac-12
107	Princeton	104.3	Ivy League
108	Utah	104.1	Pac-12
109	Buffalo	104.0	Mid-American
110	Western Kentucky	103.9	Conference USA
111	Middle Tennessee	103.8	Conference USA
112	Ohio	103.8	Mid-American
113	Washington	103.6	Pac-12
114	Nevada	103.6	Mountain West
115	Colgate	103.5	Patriot League
116	George Mason	103.5	Atlantic 10
117	Temple	103.3	American Athletic
118	UC Irvine	103.3	Big West
119	Louisville	103.2	Atlantic Coast
120	Stephen F. Austin	103.2	Western Athletic
121	Wofford	103.2	Southern
122	Butler	103.0	Big East
123	N.C. State	102.9	Atlantic Coast
124	Rhode Island	102.8	Atlantic 10
125	Utah Valley	102.8	Western Athletic
126	Liberty	102.7	Atlantic Sun
127	Hofstra	102.7	Colonial Athletic
128	Morehead St.	102.7	Ohio Valley
129	Nebraska	102.6	Big Ten
130	Southern Illinois	102.5	Missouri Valley
131	Wagner	102.5	Northeast
132	Florida Atlantic	102.5	Conference USA
133	UC Santa Barbara	102.5	Big West
134	California	102.4	Pac-12
135	Kent St.	102.3	Mid-American
136	Saint Peter’s	102.0	Metro Atlantic
137	Seattle	102.0	Western Athletic
138	Abilene Christian	102.0	Western Athletic
139	Georgia Tech	101.8	Atlantic Coast
140	Oral Roberts	101.8	Summit
141	South Alabama	101.8	Sun Belt
142	Boston College	101.7	Atlantic Coast
143	Jacksonville St.	101.6	Atlantic Sun
144	Akron	101.6	Mid-American
145	Missouri	101.6	Southeastern
146	Yale	101.5	Ivy League
147	Texas St.	101.5	Sun Belt
148	Montana St.	101.3	Big Sky
149	Longwood	101.2	Big South
150	Georgia St.	101.2	Sun Belt
151	Charleston	101.1	Colonial Athletic
152	Southern Utah	101.0	Big Sky
153	Tulsa	100.9	American Athletic
154	Appalachian St.	100.8	Sun Belt
155	Coastal Carolina	100.8	Sun Belt
156	Drexel	100.8	Colonial Athletic
157	Delaware	100.7	Colonial Athletic
158	Monmouth	100.7	Metro Atlantic
159	North Dakota St.	100.6	Summit
160	Hawaii	100.5	Big West
161	Sam Houston St.	100.5	Western Athletic
162	Saint Joseph’s	100.4	Atlantic 10
163	Weber St.	100.4	Big Sky
164	Georgetown	100.3	Big East
165	Winthrop	100.1	Big South
166	New Mexico	100.1	Mountain West
167	UC Riverside	100.0	Big West
168	VMI	99.9	Southern
169	UTEP	99.9	Conference USA
170	Oakland	99.9	Horizon
171	Old Dominion	99.9	Conference USA
172	Jacksonville	99.8	Atlantic Sun
173	Navy	99.8	Patriot League
174	Long Beach St.	99.8	Big West
175	Wright St.	99.8	Horizon
176	Cleveland St.	99.7	Horizon
177	Pittsburgh	99.7	Atlantic Coast
178	Cal St. Fullerton	99.6	Big West
179	UNC Greensboro	99.6	Southern
180	Norfolk St.	99.5	Mideastern Athletic
181	East Carolina	99.5	American Athletic
182	Louisiana	99.5	Sun Belt
183	Portland	99.3	West Coast
184	Charlotte	99.2	Conference USA
185	Gardner Webb	99.2	Big South
186	UNC Wilmington	99.1	Colonial Athletic
187	East Tennessee St.	99.1	Southern
188	Massachusetts	99.1	Atlantic 10
189	Loyola Marymount	99.0	West Coast
190	Arkansas St.	98.9	Sun Belt
191	South Dakota	98.9	Summit
192	Fordham	98.9	Atlantic 10
193	Illinois St.	98.8	Missouri Valley
194	Troy	98.7	Sun Belt
195	Northern Kentucky	98.7	Horizon
196	Bryant	98.6	Northeast
197	Valparaiso	98.6	Missouri Valley
198	Bellarmine	98.5	Atlantic Sun
199	Georgia	98.5	Southeastern
200	Mercer	98.5	Southern
201	Niagara	98.5	Metro Atlantic
202	Cornell	98.5	Ivy League
203	Florida Gulf Coast	98.4	Atlantic Sun
204	Marist	98.3	Metro Atlantic
205	Northern Colorado	98.3	Big Sky
206	Boston University	98.3	Patriot League
207	Nicholls St.	98.2	Southland
208	Samford	98.2	Southern
209	UMKC	98.1	Summit
210	Cal Baptist	98.1	Western Athletic
211	Texas Southern	98.0	Southwestern Athletic
212	Oregon St.	98.0	Pac-12
213	Dartmouth	97.9	Ivy League
214	Penn	97.9	Ivy League
215	Brown	97.8	Ivy League
216	Eastern Washington	97.7	Big Sky
217	San Diego	97.7	West Coast
218	Purdue Fort Wayne	97.5	Horizon
219	UC Davis	97.5	Big West
220	Rice	97.5	Conference USA
221	James Madison	97.4	Colonial Athletic
222	Campbell	97.3	Big South
223	Fairfield	97.3	Metro Atlantic
224	Tarleton St.	97.3	Western Athletic
225	UT Arlington	97.2	Sun Belt
226	Detroit Mercy	97.2	Horizon
227	Southern	97.2	Southwestern Athletic
228	Montana	97.1	Big Sky
229	UNC Asheville	97.1	Big South
230	Harvard	96.9	Ivy League
231	Kennesaw St.	96.9	Atlantic Sun
232	Indiana St.	96.8	Missouri Valley
233	George Washington	96.8	Atlantic 10
234	La Salle	96.7	Atlantic 10
235	Marshall	96.4	Conference USA
236	New Hampshire	96.4	America East
237	UMBC	96.2	America East
238	LIU	96.2	Northeast
239	UMass Lowell	96.1	America East
240	Western Illinois	96.0	Summit
241	Howard	95.9	Mideastern Athletic
242	Mount St. Mary’s	95.9	Northeast
243	Stony Brook	95.9	America East
244	Miami OH	95.9	Mid-American
245	South Florida	95.7	American Athletic
246	Northeastern	95.7	Colonial Athletic
247	Siena	95.6	Metro Atlantic
248	Eastern Kentucky	95.4	Atlantic Sun
249	Rider	95.4	Metro Atlantic
250	The Citadel	95.3	Southern
251	Georgia Southern	95.3	Sun Belt
252	Youngstown St.	95.1	Horizon
253	Portland St.	95.0	Big Sky
254	High Point	94.9	Big South
255	FIU	94.9	Conference USA
256	Elon	94.9	Colonial Athletic
257	Quinnipiac	94.9	Metro Atlantic
258	Canisius	94.8	Metro Atlantic
259	Ball St.	94.8	Mid-American
260	Southeast Missouri St.	94.8	Ohio Valley
261	Tennessee Tech	94.7	Ohio Valley
262	Air Force	94.5	Mountain West
263	Loyola MD	94.4	Patriot League
264	North Florida	94.4	Atlantic Sun
265	New Orleans	94.4	Southland
266	Louisiana Monroe	94.4	Sun Belt
267	Manhattan	94.3	Metro Atlantic
268	UC San Diego	94.3	Big West
269	Hartford	94.3	America East
270	Cal St. Bakersfield	94.2	Big West
271	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	94.2	Southland
272	Bowling Green	94.2	Mid-American
273	Lipscomb	94.0	Atlantic Sun
274	Tennessee St.	94.0	Ohio Valley
275	Alcorn St.	93.9	Southwestern Athletic
276	Presbyterian	93.8	Big South
277	Illinois Chicago	93.8	Horizon
278	Duquesne	93.8	Atlantic 10
279	Pepperdine	93.7	West Coast
280	Binghamton	93.4	America East
281	Pacific	93.4	West Coast
282	Albany	93.4	America East
283	Jackson St.	93.3	Southwestern Athletic
284	Merrimack	93.2	Northeast
285	Radford	93.1	Big South
286	Dixie St.	92.9	Western Athletic
287	Southeastern Louisiana	92.8	Southland
288	Army	92.8	Patriot League
289	Prairie View A&M	92.7	Southwestern Athletic
290	USC Upstate	92.7	Big South
291	Austin Peay	92.5	Ohio Valley
292	North Carolina Central	92.5	Mideastern Athletic
293	North Carolina A&T	92.3	Big South
294	Northern Illinois	92.2	Mid-American
295	Stetson	92.1	Atlantic Sun
296	Morgan St.	92.1	Mideastern Athletic
297	San Jose St.	92.1	Mountain West
298	Lehigh	92.0	Patriot League
299	SIU Edwardsville	91.9	Ohio Valley
300	Cal Poly	91.8	Big West
301	Denver	91.8	Summit
302	Western Carolina	91.7	Southern
303	Sacramento St.	91.5	Big Sky
304	North Alabama	91.4	Atlantic Sun
305	UTSA	91.4	Conference USA
306	St. Thomas	91.2	Summit
307	UT Rio Grande Valley	91.1	Western Athletic
308	Florida A&M	91.0	Southwestern Athletic
309	Sacred Heart	90.9	Northeast
310	Eastern Michigan	90.9	Mid-American
311	Grambling St.	90.8	Southwestern Athletic
312	Evansville	90.8	Missouri Valley
313	Robert Morris	90.8	Horizon
314	Tennessee Martin	90.7	Ohio Valley
315	Coppin St.	90.7	Mideastern Athletic
316	Maryland Eastern Shore	90.7	Mideastern Athletic
317	Lafayette	90.6	Patriot League
318	St. Francis PA	90.6	Northeast
319	St. Francis NY	90.5	Northeast
320	McNeese St.	90.5	Southland
321	Central Michigan	90.5	Mid-American
322	Little Rock	90.3	Sun Belt
323	Western Michigan	89.9	Mid-American
324	Idaho	89.7	Big Sky
325	Cal St. Northridge	89.6	Big West
326	South Carolina St.	89.6	Mideastern Athletic
327	Central Arkansas	89.6	Atlantic Sun
328	Milwaukee	89.5	Horizon
329	American	89.5	Patriot League
330	Idaho St.	89.4	Big Sky
331	Alabama St.	89.3	Southwestern Athletic
332	Hampton	89.2	Big South
333	Northern Arizona	89.1	Big Sky
334	Alabama A&M	89.1	Southwestern Athletic
335	Bucknell	88.8	Patriot League
336	Southern Miss	88.7	Conference USA
337	Northwestern St.	88.7	Southland
338	NJIT	88.6	America East
339	Green Bay	88.6	Horizon
340	Bethune Cookman	88.2	Southwestern Athletic
341	William & Mary	88.0	Colonial Athletic
342	Houston Baptist	87.5	Southland
343	Holy Cross	87.1	Patriot League
344	Central Connecticut	86.9	Northeast
345	Chicago St.	86.8	Western Athletic
346	North Dakota	86.7	Summit
347	Lamar	86.7	Western Athletic
348	Fairleigh Dickinson	86.5	Northeast
349	Nebraska Omaha	86.4	Summit
350	Maine	85.7	America East
351	Charleston Southern	85.7	Big South
352	Columbia	85.5	Ivy League
353	Incarnate Word	85.3	Southland
354	Arkansas Pine Bluff	84.0	Southwestern Athletic
355	Eastern Illinois	82.7	Ohio Valley
356	Delaware St.	81.6	Mideastern Athletic
357	Mississippi Valley St.	81.2	Southwestern Athletic
358	IUPUI	80.4	Horizon

Alphabetical

#	Team	PiRate	Conference
138	Abilene Christian	102.0	Western Athletic
262	Air Force	94.5	Mountain West
144	Akron	101.6	Mid-American
20	Alabama	113.6	Southeastern
334	Alabama A&M	89.1	Southwestern Athletic
331	Alabama St.	89.3	Southwestern Athletic
282	Albany	93.4	America East
275	Alcorn St.	93.9	Southwestern Athletic
329	American	89.5	Patriot League
154	Appalachian St.	100.8	Sun Belt
2	Arizona	120.8	Pac-12
90	Arizona St.	106.5	Pac-12
18	Arkansas	114.5	Southeastern
354	Arkansas Pine Bluff	84.0	Southwestern Athletic
190	Arkansas St.	98.9	Sun Belt
288	Army	92.8	Patriot League
5	Auburn	118.4	Southeastern
291	Austin Peay	92.5	Ohio Valley
259	Ball St.	94.8	Mid-American
4	Baylor	119.2	Big 12
198	Bellarmine	98.5	Atlantic Sun
80	Belmont	107.4	Ohio Valley
340	Bethune Cookman	88.2	Southwestern Athletic
280	Binghamton	93.4	America East
42	Boise St.	110.6	Mountain West
142	Boston College	101.7	Atlantic Coast
206	Boston University	98.3	Patriot League
272	Bowling Green	94.2	Mid-American
103	Bradley	105.2	Missouri Valley
215	Brown	97.8	Ivy League
196	Bryant	98.6	Northeast
335	Bucknell	88.8	Patriot League
109	Buffalo	104.0	Mid-American
122	Butler	103.0	Big East
53	BYU	109.3	West Coast
210	Cal Baptist	98.1	Western Athletic
300	Cal Poly	91.8	Big West
270	Cal St. Bakersfield	94.2	Big West
178	Cal St. Fullerton	99.6	Big West
325	Cal St. Northridge	89.6	Big West
134	California	102.4	Pac-12
222	Campbell	97.3	Big South
258	Canisius	94.8	Metro Atlantic
327	Central Arkansas	89.6	Atlantic Sun
344	Central Connecticut	86.9	Northeast
321	Central Michigan	90.5	Mid-American
151	Charleston	101.1	Colonial Athletic
351	Charleston Southern	85.7	Big South
184	Charlotte	99.2	Conference USA
86	Chattanooga	107.0	Southern
345	Chicago St.	86.8	Western Athletic
98	Cincinnati	105.7	American Athletic
75	Clemson	107.9	Atlantic Coast
176	Cleveland St.	99.7	Horizon
155	Coastal Carolina	100.8	Sun Belt
115	Colgate	103.5	Patriot League
71	Colorado	108.2	Pac-12
44	Colorado St.	110.4	Mountain West
352	Columbia	85.5	Ivy League
19	Connecticut	114.1	Big East
315	Coppin St.	90.7	Mideastern Athletic
202	Cornell	98.5	Ivy League
68	Creighton	108.3	Big East
213	Dartmouth	97.9	Ivy League
56	Davidson	109.2	Atlantic 10
54	Dayton	109.2	Atlantic 10
157	Delaware	100.7	Colonial Athletic
356	Delaware St.	81.6	Mideastern Athletic
301	Denver	91.8	Summit
94	DePaul	106.1	Big East
226	Detroit Mercy	97.2	Horizon
286	Dixie St.	92.9	Western Athletic
88	Drake	106.6	Missouri Valley
156	Drexel	100.8	Colonial Athletic
6	Duke	118.1	Atlantic Coast
278	Duquesne	93.8	Atlantic 10
181	East Carolina	99.5	American Athletic
187	East Tennessee St.	99.1	Southern
355	Eastern Illinois	82.7	Ohio Valley
248	Eastern Kentucky	95.4	Atlantic Sun
310	Eastern Michigan	90.9	Mid-American
216	Eastern Washington	97.7	Big Sky
256	Elon	94.9	Colonial Athletic
312	Evansville	90.8	Missouri Valley
223	Fairfield	97.3	Metro Atlantic
348	Fairleigh Dickinson	86.5	Northeast
255	FIU	94.9	Conference USA
43	Florida	110.5	Southeastern
308	Florida A&M	91.0	Southwestern Athletic
132	Florida Atlantic	102.5	Conference USA
203	Florida Gulf Coast	98.4	Atlantic Sun
89	Florida St.	106.5	Atlantic Coast
192	Fordham	98.9	Atlantic 10
83	Fresno St.	107.3	Mountain West
85	Furman	107.2	Southern
185	Gardner Webb	99.2	Big South
116	George Mason	103.5	Atlantic 10
233	George Washington	96.8	Atlantic 10
164	Georgetown	100.3	Big East
199	Georgia	98.5	Southeastern
251	Georgia Southern	95.3	Sun Belt
150	Georgia St.	101.2	Sun Belt
139	Georgia Tech	101.8	Atlantic Coast
1	Gonzaga	124.6	West Coast
311	Grambling St.	90.8	Southwestern Athletic
102	Grand Canyon	105.3	Western Athletic
339	Green Bay	88.6	Horizon
332	Hampton	89.2	Big South
269	Hartford	94.3	America East
230	Harvard	96.9	Ivy League
160	Hawaii	100.5	Big West
254	High Point	94.9	Big South
127	Hofstra	102.7	Colonial Athletic
343	Holy Cross	87.1	Patriot League
7	Houston	118.1	American Athletic
342	Houston Baptist	87.5	Southland
241	Howard	95.9	Mideastern Athletic
324	Idaho	89.7	Big Sky
330	Idaho St.	89.4	Big Sky
15	Illinois	115.5	Big Ten
277	Illinois Chicago	93.8	Horizon
193	Illinois St.	98.8	Missouri Valley
353	Incarnate Word	85.3	Southland
35	Indiana	111.3	Big Ten
232	Indiana St.	96.8	Missouri Valley
95	Iona	106.0	Metro Atlantic
14	Iowa	116.6	Big Ten
50	Iowa St.	109.9	Big 12
358	IUPUI	80.4	Horizon
283	Jackson St.	93.3	Southwestern Athletic
172	Jacksonville	99.8	Atlantic Sun
143	Jacksonville St.	101.6	Atlantic Sun
221	James Madison	97.4	Colonial Athletic
8	Kansas	118.0	Big 12
63	Kansas St.	108.7	Big 12
231	Kennesaw St.	96.9	Atlantic Sun
135	Kent St.	102.3	Mid-American
3	Kentucky	119.4	Southeastern
234	La Salle	96.7	Atlantic 10
317	Lafayette	90.6	Patriot League
347	Lamar	86.7	Western Athletic
298	Lehigh	92.0	Patriot League
126	Liberty	102.7	Atlantic Sun
273	Lipscomb	94.0	Atlantic Sun
322	Little Rock	90.3	Sun Belt
238	LIU	96.2	Northeast
174	Long Beach St.	99.8	Big West
149	Longwood	101.2	Big South
182	Louisiana	99.5	Sun Belt
266	Louisiana Monroe	94.4	Sun Belt
104	Louisiana Tech	105.1	Conference USA
119	Louisville	103.2	Atlantic Coast
28	Loyola Chicago	112.0	Missouri Valley
189	Loyola Marymount	99.0	West Coast
263	Loyola MD	94.4	Patriot League
16	LSU	114.9	Southeastern
350	Maine	85.7	America East
267	Manhattan	94.3	Metro Atlantic
204	Marist	98.3	Metro Atlantic
40	Marquette	110.9	Big East
235	Marshall	96.4	Conference USA
67	Maryland	108.3	Big Ten
316	Maryland Eastern Shore	90.7	Mideastern Athletic
188	Massachusetts	99.1	Atlantic 10
320	McNeese St.	90.5	Southland
23	Memphis	112.7	American Athletic
200	Mercer	98.5	Southern
284	Merrimack	93.2	Northeast
57	Miami FL	109.2	Atlantic Coast
244	Miami OH	95.9	Mid-American
25	Michigan	112.6	Big Ten
33	Michigan St.	111.5	Big Ten
111	Middle Tennessee	103.8	Conference USA
328	Milwaukee	89.5	Horizon
105	Minnesota	104.9	Big Ten
100	Mississippi	105.6	Southeastern
48	Mississippi St.	109.9	Southeastern
357	Mississippi Valley St.	81.2	Southwestern Athletic
145	Missouri	101.6	Southeastern
69	Missouri St.	108.2	Missouri Valley
158	Monmouth	100.7	Metro Atlantic
228	Montana	97.1	Big Sky
148	Montana St.	101.3	Big Sky
128	Morehead St.	102.7	Ohio Valley
296	Morgan St.	92.1	Mideastern Athletic
242	Mount St. Mary’s	95.9	Northeast
41	Murray St.	110.6	Ohio Valley
123	N.C. State	102.9	Atlantic Coast
173	Navy	99.8	Patriot League
129	Nebraska	102.6	Big Ten
349	Nebraska Omaha	86.4	Summit
114	Nevada	103.6	Mountain West
236	New Hampshire	96.4	America East
166	New Mexico	100.1	Mountain West
96	New Mexico St.	105.8	Western Athletic
265	New Orleans	94.4	Southland
201	Niagara	98.5	Metro Atlantic
207	Nicholls St.	98.2	Southland
338	NJIT	88.6	America East
180	Norfolk St.	99.5	Mideastern Athletic
304	North Alabama	91.4	Atlantic Sun
27	North Carolina	112.2	Atlantic Coast
293	North Carolina A&T	92.3	Big South
292	North Carolina Central	92.5	Mideastern Athletic
346	North Dakota	86.7	Summit
159	North Dakota St.	100.6	Summit
264	North Florida	94.4	Atlantic Sun
70	North Texas	108.2	Conference USA
246	Northeastern	95.7	Colonial Athletic
333	Northern Arizona	89.1	Big Sky
205	Northern Colorado	98.3	Big Sky
294	Northern Illinois	92.2	Mid-American
99	Northern Iowa	105.6	Missouri Valley
195	Northern Kentucky	98.7	Horizon
64	Northwestern	108.7	Big Ten
337	Northwestern St.	88.7	Southland
47	Notre Dame	110.1	Atlantic Coast
170	Oakland	99.9	Horizon
112	Ohio	103.8	Mid-American
24	Ohio St.	112.7	Big Ten
38	Oklahoma	111.0	Big 12
36	Oklahoma St.	111.3	Big 12
171	Old Dominion	99.9	Conference USA
140	Oral Roberts	101.8	Summit
61	Oregon	108.8	Pac-12
212	Oregon St.	98.0	Pac-12
281	Pacific	93.4	West Coast
214	Penn	97.9	Ivy League
79	Penn St.	107.4	Big Ten
279	Pepperdine	93.7	West Coast
177	Pittsburgh	99.7	Atlantic Coast
183	Portland	99.3	West Coast
253	Portland St.	95.0	Big Sky
289	Prairie View A&M	92.7	Southwestern Athletic
276	Presbyterian	93.8	Big South
107	Princeton	104.3	Ivy League
37	Providence	111.2	Big East
10	Purdue	117.3	Big Ten
218	Purdue Fort Wayne	97.5	Horizon
257	Quinnipiac	94.9	Metro Atlantic
285	Radford	93.1	Big South
124	Rhode Island	102.8	Atlantic 10
220	Rice	97.5	Conference USA
91	Richmond	106.5	Atlantic 10
249	Rider	95.4	Metro Atlantic
313	Robert Morris	90.8	Horizon
66	Rutgers	108.4	Big Ten
303	Sacramento St.	91.5	Big Sky
309	Sacred Heart	90.9	Northeast
162	Saint Joseph’s	100.4	Atlantic 10
60	Saint Louis	109.0	Atlantic 10
21	Saint Mary’s	113.3	West Coast
136	Saint Peter’s	102.0	Metro Atlantic
161	Sam Houston St.	100.5	Western Athletic
208	Samford	98.2	Southern
217	San Diego	97.7	West Coast
31	San Diego St.	111.7	Mountain West
22	San Francisco	112.9	West Coast
297	San Jose St.	92.1	Mountain West
76	Santa Clara	107.9	West Coast
137	Seattle	102.0	Western Athletic
26	Seton Hall	112.2	Big East
247	Siena	95.6	Metro Atlantic
299	SIU Edwardsville	91.9	Ohio Valley
51	SMU	109.6	American Athletic
141	South Alabama	101.8	Sun Belt
92	South Carolina	106.2	Southeastern
326	South Carolina St.	89.6	Mideastern Athletic
191	South Dakota	98.9	Summit
77	South Dakota St.	107.8	Summit
245	South Florida	95.7	American Athletic
260	Southeast Missouri St.	94.8	Ohio Valley
287	Southeastern Louisiana	92.8	Southland
227	Southern	97.2	Southwestern Athletic
130	Southern Illinois	102.5	Missouri Valley
336	Southern Miss	88.7	Conference USA
152	Southern Utah	101.0	Big Sky
81	St. Bonaventure	107.3	Atlantic 10
319	St. Francis NY	90.5	Northeast
318	St. Francis PA	90.6	Northeast
52	St. John’s	109.6	Big East
306	St. Thomas	91.2	Summit
106	Stanford	104.7	Pac-12
120	Stephen F. Austin	103.2	Western Athletic
295	Stetson	92.1	Atlantic Sun
243	Stony Brook	95.9	America East
82	Syracuse	107.3	Atlantic Coast
224	Tarleton St.	97.3	Western Athletic
45	TCU	110.2	Big 12
117	Temple	103.3	American Athletic
11	Tennessee	117.2	Southeastern
314	Tennessee Martin	90.7	Ohio Valley
274	Tennessee St.	94.0	Ohio Valley
261	Tennessee Tech	94.7	Ohio Valley
17	Texas	114.6	Big 12
59	Texas A&M	109.1	Southeastern
271	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	94.2	Southland
211	Texas Southern	98.0	Southwestern Athletic
147	Texas St.	101.5	Sun Belt
13	Texas Tech	116.9	Big 12
250	The Citadel	95.3	Southern
65	Toledo	108.5	Mid-American
84	Towson	107.2	Colonial Athletic
194	Troy	98.7	Sun Belt
101	Tulane	105.3	American Athletic
153	Tulsa	100.9	American Athletic
46	UAB	110.1	Conference USA
219	UC Davis	97.5	Big West
118	UC Irvine	103.3	Big West
167	UC Riverside	100.0	Big West
268	UC San Diego	94.3	Big West
133	UC Santa Barbara	102.5	Big West
97	UCF	105.8	American Athletic
9	UCLA	117.7	Pac-12
239	UMass Lowell	96.1	America East
237	UMBC	96.2	America East
209	UMKC	98.1	Summit
229	UNC Asheville	97.1	Big South
179	UNC Greensboro	99.6	Southern
186	UNC Wilmington	99.1	Colonial Athletic
93	UNLV	106.1	Mountain West
34	USC	111.4	Pac-12
290	USC Upstate	92.7	Big South
225	UT Arlington	97.2	Sun Belt
307	UT Rio Grande Valley	91.1	Western Athletic
108	Utah	104.1	Pac-12
58	Utah St.	109.2	Mountain West
125	Utah Valley	102.8	Western Athletic
169	UTEP	99.9	Conference USA
305	UTSA	91.4	Conference USA
197	Valparaiso	98.6	Missouri Valley
78	Vanderbilt	107.6	Southeastern
55	VCU	109.2	Atlantic 10
73	Vermont	108.1	America East
12	Villanova	117.1	Big East
72	Virginia	108.1	Atlantic Coast
29	Virginia Tech	111.8	Atlantic Coast
168	VMI	99.9	Southern
131	Wagner	102.5	Northeast
32	Wake Forest	111.7	Atlantic Coast
113	Washington	103.6	Pac-12
49	Washington St.	109.9	Pac-12
163	Weber St.	100.4	Big Sky
62	West Virginia	108.7	Big 12
302	Western Carolina	91.7	Southern
240	Western Illinois	96.0	Summit
110	Western Kentucky	103.9	Conference USA
323	Western Michigan	89.9	Mid-American
87	Wichita St.	106.8	American Athletic
341	William & Mary	88.0	Colonial Athletic
165	Winthrop	100.1	Big South
30	Wisconsin	111.8	Big Ten
121	Wofford	103.2	Southern
175	Wright St.	99.8	Horizon
74	Wyoming	108.1	Mountain West
39	Xavier	110.9	Big East
146	Yale	101.5	Ivy League
252	Youngstown St.	95.1	Horizon

PiRate Ratings By Conference

America East
Team	Rating
Vermont	108.1
New Hampshire	96.4
UMBC	96.2
UMass Lowell	96.1
Stony Brook	95.9
Hartford	94.3
Binghamton	93.4
Albany	93.4
NJIT	88.6
Maine	85.7
American Athletic
Team	Rating
Houston	118.1
Memphis	112.7
SMU	109.6
Wichita St.	106.8
UCF	105.8
Cincinnati	105.7
Tulane	105.3
Temple	103.3
Tulsa	100.9
East Carolina	99.5
South Florida	95.7
Atlantic 10
Team	Rating
Dayton	109.2
VCU	109.2
Davidson	109.2
Saint Louis	109.0
St. Bonaventure	107.3
Richmond	106.5
George Mason	103.5
Rhode Island	102.8
Saint Joseph’s	100.4
Massachusetts	99.1
Fordham	98.9
George Washington	96.8
La Salle	96.7
Duquesne	93.8
Atlantic Coast
Team	Rating
Duke	118.1
North Carolina	112.2
Virginia Tech	111.8
Wake Forest	111.7
Notre Dame	110.1
Miami FL	109.2
Virginia	108.1
Clemson	107.9
Syracuse	107.3
Florida St.	106.5
Louisville	103.2
N.C. State	102.9
Georgia Tech	101.8
Boston College	101.7
Pittsburgh	99.7
Atlantic Sun
Team	Rating
Liberty	102.7
Jacksonville St.	101.6
Jacksonville	99.8
Bellarmine	98.5
Florida Gulf Coast	98.4
Kennesaw St.	96.9
Eastern Kentucky	95.4
North Florida	94.4
Lipscomb	94.0
Stetson	92.1
North Alabama	91.4
Central Arkansas	89.6
Big 12
Team	Rating
Baylor	119.2
Kansas	118.0
Texas Tech	116.9
Texas	114.6
Oklahoma St.	111.3
Oklahoma	111.0
TCU	110.2
Iowa St.	109.9
West Virginia	108.7
Kansas St.	108.7
Big East
Team	Rating
Villanova	117.1
Connecticut	114.1
Seton Hall	112.2
Providence	111.2
Xavier	110.9
Marquette	110.9
St. John’s	109.6
Creighton	108.3
DePaul	106.1
Butler	103.0
Georgetown	100.3
Big Sky
Team	Rating
Montana St.	101.3
Southern Utah	101.0
Weber St.	100.4
Northern Colorado	98.3
Eastern Washington	97.7
Montana	97.1
Portland St.	95.0
Sacramento St.	91.5
Idaho	89.7
Idaho St.	89.4
Northern Arizona	89.1
Big South
Team	Rating
Longwood	101.2
Winthrop	100.1
Gardner Webb	99.2
Campbell	97.3
UNC Asheville	97.1
High Point	94.9
Presbyterian	93.8
Radford	93.1
USC Upstate	92.7
North Carolina A&T	92.3
Hampton	89.2
Charleston Southern	85.7
Big Ten
Team	Rating
Purdue	117.3
Iowa	116.6
Illinois	115.5
Ohio St.	112.7
Michigan	112.6
Wisconsin	111.8
Michigan St.	111.5
Indiana	111.3
Northwestern	108.7
Rutgers	108.4
Maryland	108.3
Penn St.	107.4
Minnesota	104.9
Nebraska	102.6
Big West
Team	Rating
UC Irvine	103.3
UC Santa Barbara	102.5
Hawaii	100.5
UC Riverside	100.0
Long Beach St.	99.8
Cal St. Fullerton	99.6
UC Davis	97.5
UC San Diego	94.3
Cal St. Bakersfield	94.2
Cal Poly	91.8
Cal St. Northridge	89.6
Colonial Athletic
Team	Rating
Towson	107.2
Hofstra	102.7
Charleston	101.1
Drexel	100.8
Delaware	100.7
UNC Wilmington	99.1
James Madison	97.4
Northeastern	95.7
Elon	94.9
William & Mary	88.0
Conference USA
Team	Rating
UAB	110.1
North Texas	108.2
Louisiana Tech	105.1
Western Kentucky	103.9
Middle Tennessee	103.8
Florida Atlantic	102.5
UTEP	99.9
Old Dominion	99.9
Charlotte	99.2
Rice	97.5
Marshall	96.4
FIU	94.9
UTSA	91.4
Southern Miss	88.7
Horizon
Team	Rating
Oakland	99.9
Wright St.	99.8
Cleveland St.	99.7
Northern Kentucky	98.7
Purdue Fort Wayne	97.5
Detroit Mercy	97.2
Youngstown St.	95.1
Illinois Chicago	93.8
Robert Morris	90.8
Milwaukee	89.5
Green Bay	88.6
IUPUI	80.4
Ivy League
Team	Rating
Princeton	104.3
Yale	101.5
Cornell	98.5
Dartmouth	97.9
Penn	97.9
Brown	97.8
Harvard	96.9
Columbia	85.5
Metro Atlantic
Team	Rating
Iona	106.0
Saint Peter’s	102.0
Monmouth	100.7
Niagara	98.5
Marist	98.3
Fairfield	97.3
Siena	95.6
Rider	95.4
Quinnipiac	94.9
Canisius	94.8
Manhattan	94.3
Mid-American
Team	Rating
Toledo	108.5
Buffalo	104.0
Ohio	103.8
Kent St.	102.3
Akron	101.6
Miami OH	95.9
Ball St.	94.8
Bowling Green	94.2
Northern Illinois	92.2
Eastern Michigan	90.9
Central Michigan	90.5
Western Michigan	89.9
Mideastern Athletic
Team	Rating
Norfolk St.	99.5
Howard	95.9
North Carolina Central	92.5
Morgan St.	92.1
Coppin St.	90.7
Maryland Eastern Shore	90.7
South Carolina St.	89.6
Delaware St.	81.6
Missouri Valley
Team	Rating
Loyola Chicago	112.0
Missouri St.	108.2
Drake	106.6
Northern Iowa	105.6
Bradley	105.2
Southern Illinois	102.5
Illinois St.	98.8
Valparaiso	98.6
Indiana St.	96.8
Evansville	90.8
Mountain West
Team	Rating
San Diego St.	111.7
Boise St.	110.6
Colorado St.	110.4
Utah St.	109.2
Wyoming	108.1
Fresno St.	107.3
UNLV	106.1
Nevada	103.6
New Mexico	100.1
Air Force	94.5
San Jose St.	92.1
Northeast
Team	Rating
Wagner	102.5
Bryant	98.6
LIU	96.2
Mount St. Mary’s	95.9
Merrimack	93.2
Sacred Heart	90.9
St. Francis PA	90.6
St. Francis NY	90.5
Central Connecticut	86.9
Fairleigh Dickinson	86.5
Ohio Valley
Team	Rating
Murray St.	110.6
Belmont	107.4
Morehead St.	102.7
Southeast Missouri St.	94.8
Tennessee Tech	94.7
Tennessee St.	94.0
Austin Peay	92.5
SIU Edwardsville	91.9
Tennessee Martin	90.7
Eastern Illinois	82.7
Pac-12
Team	Rating
Arizona	120.8
UCLA	117.7
USC	111.4
Washington St.	109.9
Oregon	108.8
Colorado	108.2
Arizona St.	106.5
Stanford	104.7
Utah	104.1
Washington	103.6
California	102.4
Oregon St.	98.0
Patriot League
Team	Rating
Colgate	103.5
Navy	99.8
Boston University	98.3
Loyola MD	94.4
Army	92.8
Lehigh	92.0
Lafayette	90.6
American	89.5
Bucknell	88.8
Holy Cross	87.1
Southeastern
Team	Rating
Kentucky	119.4
Auburn	118.4
Tennessee	117.2
LSU	114.9
Arkansas	114.5
Alabama	113.6
Florida	110.5
Mississippi St.	109.9
Texas A&M	109.1
Vanderbilt	107.6
South Carolina	106.2
Mississippi	105.6
Missouri	101.6
Georgia	98.5
Southern
Team	Rating
Furman	107.2
Chattanooga	107.0
Wofford	103.2
VMI	99.9
UNC Greensboro	99.6
East Tennessee St.	99.1
Mercer	98.5
Samford	98.2
The Citadel	95.3
Western Carolina	91.7
Southland
Team	Rating
Nicholls St.	98.2
New Orleans	94.4
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	94.2
Southeastern Louisiana	92.8
McNeese St.	90.5
Northwestern St.	88.7
Houston Baptist	87.5
Incarnate Word	85.3
Southwestern Athletic
Team	Rating
Texas Southern	98.0
Southern	97.2
Alcorn St.	93.9
Jackson St.	93.3
Prairie View A&M	92.7
Florida A&M	91.0
Grambling St.	90.8
Alabama St.	89.3
Alabama A&M	89.1
Bethune Cookman	88.2
Arkansas Pine Bluff	84.0
Mississippi Valley St.	81.2
Summit
Team	Rating
South Dakota St.	107.8
Oral Roberts	101.8
North Dakota St.	100.6
South Dakota	98.9
UMKC	98.1
Western Illinois	96.0
Denver	91.8
St. Thomas	91.2
North Dakota	86.7
Nebraska Omaha	86.4
Sun Belt
Team	Rating
South Alabama	101.8
Texas St.	101.5
Georgia St.	101.2
Appalachian St.	100.8
Coastal Carolina	100.8
Louisiana	99.5
Arkansas St.	98.9
Troy	98.7
UT Arlington	97.2
Georgia Southern	95.3
Louisiana Monroe	94.4
Little Rock	90.3
West Coast
Team	Rating
Gonzaga	124.6
Saint Mary’s	113.3
San Francisco	112.9
BYU	109.3
Santa Clara	107.9
Portland	99.3
Loyola Marymount	99.0
San Diego	97.7
Pepperdine	93.7
Pacific	93.4
Western Athletic
Team	Rating
New Mexico St.	105.8
Grand Canyon	105.3
Stephen F. Austin	103.2
Utah Valley	102.8
Seattle	102.0
Abilene Christian	102.0
Sam Houston St.	100.5
Cal Baptist	98.1
Tarleton St.	97.3
Dixie St.	92.9
UT Rio Grande Valley	91.1
Chicago St.	86.8
Lamar	86.7

Coming Later Today–Updated Bracketology