The Pi-Rate Ratings

March 24, 2023

PiRate Ratings College Basketball — Friday, March 24, 2023

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AlabamaSan Diego St.7.6
HoustonMiami (Fla)7.7
CreightonPrinceton10.6
TexasXavier3.2

March 22, 2023

PiRate Ratings Bracketnomics — Sweet 16 Edition

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 6:54 pm

The opening weekend of the NCAA Tournament was not so wonderful for the PiRate Ratings Bracketnomic System, as two of the projected Final Four fell out. Of the 16 teams we projected, 9 are still alive, including Connecticut, who we selected as an alternative pick for the title if you were afraid to go with a Big Ten team.

We didn’t listen to our own advice. The numbers showed Purdue to be the top team according to the Bracketnomics, but we spent multiple paragraphs telling you why Purdue’s style of play, as well as any team out of the past that was coached by a Gene Keady disciple, was not the way to win the NCAA Tournament. We thought it was time for that trend to end, but in the end, Purdue couldn’t handle the pressure defense of #16-seed Fairleigh Dickinson, and the Boilermakers became the second #1 seed to lose to a #16 seed.

There are still multiple teams remaining in the Sweet 16 that we stated had most of the resume of a national champion. Maybe you took our stats and made your own picks, like many have in the past. We know that many of you are better at interpreting this data than we are.

Many bracket pools allow people to redo their brackets each weekend, so here are the sweet 16 matchups with the bracketnomics data. If you don’t know what each item is, refer back to the Bracketnomics Primer of Monday, March, 13.

StatAlabamaS. D. St
O-RTG1870
D-RTG35
SOS61.7057.60
3-Pt34.134.9
O-Reb34.031.9
2PT%D40.949.4
FTR36.933.4
R+T Rate5.09.5
Old R+T14.414.2
Marg14.18.8
Win Strk9 & 56 & 6
Pre25YESYES
ChampYESYES
Coach Exp5:4-4/1S163: 0-3
3 UpperNOYES
F/C 20-12YESNO
DBLFIG31
OReb34.031.9
OStl8.210.3
OTurn15.915.1
DReb27.725.1
DStl9.79.4
DTurn13.617.3
Reb Marg7.34.9
Stl/G6.16.9
D Stl7.26.3
TO Marg-2.11.2

Everything points Alabama’s way in this game, as the Aztecs will have difficulty matching the Tide point-for-point if the first half possessions for both teams tops 35. SDSU’s only chance in this game is to force Alabama into making double digit turnovers in the first 25-28 minutes of the game.


StatCreightonPrinceton
O-RTG23100
D-RTG1396
SOS59.4049.80
3-Pt35.833.9
O-Reb25.429.6
2PT%D45.847.0
FTR28.630.7
R+T Rate0.16.3
Old R+T8.213.5
Marg8.27.6
Win Strk8 & 68 & 6
Pre25YESNO
ChampNoYES
Coach Exp10: 1S161: 0-1
3 UpperNOYES
F/C 20-12YESYES
DBLFIG53
OReb25.429.6
OStl7.47.1
OTurn14.815.3
DReb23.522.2
DStl8.79.0
DTurn12.513.4
Reb Marg3.76.6
Stl/G5.14.9
D Stl6.16.3
TO Marg-1.7-1.9

Princeton has a small chance to win this game. They can dominate the glass and the inside game. If they can hold Creighton’s 3-point shooting under its normal rate and get 8 or more second chance points, they can make this game close. Creighton has about an 80-85% chance of winning, not a sure thing, but almost.


StatFAUTennessee
O-RTG2960
D-RTG341
SOS50.3059.40
3-Pt36.733.0
O-Reb31.236.4
2PT%D44.944.8
FTR28.831.0
R+T Rate9.414.9
Old R+T16.419.9
Marg13.313.4
Win Strk20 & 98 & 5
Pre25NOYES
ChampYESNo
Coach Exp026:1FF28
3 UpperNOYES
F/C 20-12NONO
DBLFIG33
OReb31.236.4
OStl9.712.5
OTurn14.415.4
DReb24.626.6
DStl8.110.1
DTurn16.119.4
Reb Marg5.86.9
Stl/G6.78.3
D Stl5.66.7
TO Marg1.02.6

This game is all over the map. FAU has the superior offense, but Tennessee has the #1 defense. Tennessee’s schedule is considerably stronger, so the Vols make it through the most important factors as the favorite.

Tennessee is still missing one of their top players in Zakai Zeigler, and the Vols are a hot and cold team. When they are hot, they can beat anybody in the nation, like they did against Alabama. When, they are cold, they lose by double digits to Colorado.

FAU is a consistently good team, but the Owls face an uphill battle in this game. The Vols should advance to the Elite 8.


StatKan. St.Mich. St.
O-RTG4737
D-RTG1731
SOS58.3060.50
3-Pt33.638.7
O-Reb30.527.3
2PT%D49.248.2
FTR36.626.9
R+T Rate1.51.0
Old R+T6.57.8
Marg6.63.2
Win Strk9 & 67
Pre25NONO
ChampNoNo
Coach Exp024: 8 FFNC
3 UpperYESYES
F/C 20-12YESNO
DBLFIG33
OReb30.527.3
OStl10.97.2
OTurn17.314.4
DReb29.825.2
DStl10.48.4
DTurn18.113.2
Reb Marg1.62.9
Stl/G7.84.8
D Stl7.45.5
TO Marg0.8-0.9

This is an interesting match up. Neither team has a definite advantage. In a typical year, Michigan State would have a sizable rebounding advantage, but this year has been quite different. Kansas State has the inside advantage in this one.

Michigan State won’t force turnovers on the Wildcats, and when KSU has lost this year, the other team usually forces more turnovers on the Wildcats than they normally commit. We’re going with Kansas State in a close one.


StatHoustonMiami
O-RTG911
D-RTG4108
SOS56.4055.90
3-Pt34.236.8
O-Reb37.432.3
2PT%D42.951.6
FTR28.830.2
R+T Rate16.46.5
Old R+T23.511.1
Marg18.37.5
Win Strk13 & 99 & 7
Pre25YESNO
ChampYESCo
Coach Exp18 & 2FF10 & 1FF
3 UpperYESNO
F/C 20-12YESNO
DBLFIG44
OReb37.432.3
OStl12.510.6
OTurn13.014.2
DReb27.928.4
DStl8.48.7
DTurn18.615.8
Reb Marg7.53.1
Stl/G8.17.3
D Stl5.46.0
TO Marg3.81.2

IF? If Marcus Sasser is healthy enough to play near 100% effectively for 32 minutes, Houston is the clear choice to make it to the Elite 8. A groin injury is a tricky thing, because one wrong move can put the injured player out of commission for a long time. A healthy Sasser makes this game a double-digit win possibility for the Cougars, who would then be one win away from getting a chance to play in the Final Four at home.

If Sasser is unable to play, Miami has the advantage. If Sasser plays at less than full strength, then this game becomes a tossup.


StatXavierTexas
O-RTG715
D-RTG6410
SOS59.0060.00
3-Pt38.934.1
O-Reb30.828.5
2PT%D48.547.4
FTR31.830.7
R+T Rate5.73.9
Old R+T12.87.9
Marg7.410.6
Win Strk11 & 56 & 6
Pre25NOYES
ChampNoYES
Coach Exp11:48|4161: 0-1
3 UpperYESYES
F/C 20-12YESNO
DBLFIG44
OReb30.828.5
OStl9.011.2
OTurn15.114.3
DReb25.229.2
DStl9.68.2
DTurn14.519.6
Reb Marg5.5-0.3
Stl/G6.57.9
D Stl6.95.8
TO Marg-0.64.3

This is another interesting game. Xavier’s offense is national title-worthy, while their defense is right on the edge of eliminating them. Texas’s offense is just barely outside what most national champions have been rated on the attack side, but their defense is good enough.

The most glaring remaining stat is in coaching experience. Sean Miller has taken 11 past teams to the NCAA Tournament with 4 Elite 8’s and 4 (now 5) Sweet 16’s. Rodney Terry took Fresno St. to one NCAA Tournament and lost in the first game.

We’ve changed our opinion on this game twice. At the time of this writing, we’re going with Texas, but only because Xavier cannot exploit the Longhorns’ liability of handling the ball.


StatArkansasUConn
O-RTG513
D-RTG1514
SOS59.2058.30
3-Pt31.336.4
O-Reb30.639.0
2PT%D47.045.4
FTR39.230.9
R+T Rate5.915.6
Old R+T10.621.3
Marg6.913.8
Win Strk714 & 6
Pre25YESNO
ChampNONo
Coach Exp5:2E8|1S164: 0-4
3 UpperYESNO
F/C 20-12NOYES
DBLFIG43
OReb30.639.0
OStl11.99.2
OTurn15.915.8
DReb27.625.6
DStl9.59.7
DTurn17.916.8
Reb Marg2.89.3
Stl/G8.46.3
D Stl6.76.6
TO Marg1.50.1

UConn still has the best resume for a potential national champion, but we’re leery of this game. Throwing out all the criteria you see above, there is one big obvious criterion that cannot be overlooked, even if it isn’t part of this system.

Arkansas Coach Eric Musselman is the best college basketball coach in Division I and second best overall in college (Ben McCollum at Northwest Missouri State is the John Wooden of the 21st Century). Muss has taken two consecutive Razorback teams to the Elite 8, even though neither team had Elite 8 talent. This team is missing a key player and played for much of the season missing two key players. But, the more important piece, Nick Smith, is back.

The criteria favors Connecticut by a sizable margin, but give Arkansas a little bonus for Muss on the bench. It means UConn is favored by a little rather than a lot.


StatGonzagaUCLA
O-RTG121
D-RTG752
SOS57.2058.80
3-Pt38.734.3
O-Reb31.433.6
2PT%D50.646.6
FTR33.827.5
R+T Rate11.014.3
Old R+T18.417.5
Marg14.213.9
Win Strk11 & 1114 & 12
Pre25YESYES
ChampYESYES
Coach Exp22 & 2FF13: 1FF
3 UpperYESYES
F/C 20-12YESNO
DBLFIG43
OReb31.433.6
OStl10.512.5
OTurn12.912.9
DReb25.327.7
DStl7.27.0
DTurn16.720.6
Reb Marg5.43.7
Stl/G7.58.4
D Stl5.24.7
TO Marg3.04.6

This is the best of the Sweet 16 games. You have the top offense in the nation going against the #2 defense in the nation. The schedule strengths are close to even, not really enough to tip the scale much.

Gonzaga has the edge in outside shooting, but UCLA has an equal edge on the inside, but not by dominating with a post player, but by having tall guards like Jaime Jacquez and Amari Bailey. Of note, UCLA is quite banged up coming into this game. In addition to not having the services of star swing man Jaylen Clark, big man Adem Bona and sharpshooting guard David Singleton are nursing injuries. A team like UCLA can beat Northwestern with a depleted roster, but asking it to beat Gonzaga is too much. We believe that Bona and Singleton will play and not be 100% effective. All it takes is for Drew Timme to have his typical output, and Gonzaga is in the Elite 8.

March 16, 2023

PiRate Ratings College Basketball — Thursday, March 16, 2023

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 6:02 am
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AlabamaTexas A&M-CC24.2
ArizonaPrinceton13.5
ArkansasIllinois1.5
DukeOral Roberts5.1
HoustonNorthern Kentucky19.7
IowaAuburn-2.2
KansasHoward19.6
MarylandWest Virginia-0.6
MissouriUtah St.-2.5
NorthwesternBoise St.-0.5
San Diego St.Charleston5.1
TennesseeLouisiana13.3
TexasColgate13.9
Texas A&MPenn St.2.4
UCLAUNC Asheville18.5
VirginiaFurman5.6

March 14, 2023

PiRate Ratings Bracket-Picking 2023

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 12:30 pm

If you earned your PhD in Bracketnomics yesterday, then you are ready to delve right into the numbers that follow and understand the metrics that we use to choose winners in the NCAA Tournament bracket. If you missed it, check it out first before continuing below.

Let’s get right to it.  Here is a look at the 68 teams ranked by each metric, starting with the three most important ones.

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

TeamO-RTG
Gonzaga1
Baylor2
Iowa3
Arizona4
Connecticut6
Purdue7
Marquette8
Xavier9
Missouri10
Houston11
Miami (Fla)12
Utah St.13
Kentucky14
West Virginia15
Providence16
Penn St.17
Texas18
Alabama19
Oral Roberts23
Pittsburgh24
UCLA25
Memphis26
Indiana27
Creighton28
Kansas29
Texas A&M30
Florida Atlantic32
Furman33
Maryland35
North Carolina St.37
Saint Mary’s40
Michigan St.41
Duke42
USC43
Colgate44
Auburn48
Tennessee49
Arkansas51
Kansas St.52
TCU53
Grand Canyon54
Louisiana57
Illinois58
Nevada61
San Diego St.64
Charleston70
UCSB71
Virginia74
Boise St.78
Iona79
Iowa St.96
Drake98
Vermont99
Princeton103
Northwestern109
Kent St.110
Arizona St.133
Texas A&M-CC137
VCU140
Kennesaw St.153
Fairleigh Dickinson155
Mississippi St.164
Montana St.170
UNC Asheville195
Howard204
Northern Kentucky217
SE Missouri St.263
Texas Southern330

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

TeamD-RTG
UCLA1
Tennessee2
Alabama3
Houston4
Mississippi St.6
Kansas7
Iowa St.8
Saint Mary’s9
San Diego St.10
Texas11
Northwestern13
Boise St.14
Creighton15
Arkansas16
VCU17
Connecticut18
Kansas St.19
TCU20
Duke24
Virginia25
Purdue26
Arizona St.28
Auburn29
Illinois32
Maryland33
Memphis35
Florida Atlantic36
Texas A&M37
Kent St.38
Michigan St.40
Arizona41
Nevada42
Indiana43
Drake44
Marquette47
USC48
West Virginia52
Utah St.64
Iona67
Xavier70
Kentucky71
Montana St.73
Charleston75
Gonzaga76
North Carolina St.85
Penn St.101
Baylor104
Oral Roberts107
Providence108
UNC Asheville115
Kennesaw St.116
Northern Kentucky121
Miami (Fla)132
Princeton137
Pittsburgh142
Louisiana146
Vermont153
UCSB163
Iowa167
Missouri178
Furman183
Texas Southern196
Grand Canyon198
Howard212
Texas A&M-CC229
Colgate231
SE Missouri St.243
Fairleigh Dickinson361

Strength of Schedule (PiRate Ratings Formula)

TeamSOS
Kansas62.66
Alabama61.84
West Virginia60.80
Baylor60.64
Michigan St.60.44
Iowa St.60.13
Texas60.07
Tennessee59.39
TCU59.32
Creighton59.21
Xavier59.09
Arkansas59.06
UCLA58.88
Indiana58.87
Purdue58.85
Kentucky58.51
Auburn58.50
Marquette58.43
Penn St.58.38
Connecticut58.33
Kansas St.58.30
Illinois58.22
Iowa58.06
Arizona57.94
Maryland57.87
Arizona St.57.81
San Diego St.57.55
Memphis57.52
Duke57.36
Gonzaga57.29
Missouri57.24
Texas A&M57.19
Mississippi St.57.15
Providence57.13
Saint Mary’s57.09
Northwestern56.73
Houston56.41
Nevada56.36
Boise St.56.35
Utah St.56.26
Virginia56.14
USC56.04
Miami (Fla)55.89
North Carolina St.55.27
Pittsburgh54.58
VCU53.60
Florida Atlantic50.25
Drake50.07
Grand Canyon49.79
Kent St.49.77
Louisiana49.14
Iona49.08
Furman48.80
Montana St.48.22
Kennesaw St.48.04
Vermont47.70
Charleston47.69
Princeton47.34
Oral Roberts47.22
UCSB46.70
Northern Kentucky46.14
UNC Asheville45.68
Colgate44.71
SE Missouri St.44.35
Texas Southern44.23
Howard43.16
Texas A&M-CC40.76
Fairleigh Dickinson40.36

Who Looks Great So Far?

One team has an offensive rating in the top 10 and defensive rating in the top 25 with a schedule strength of 57 or better. That team is Connecticut. Purdue misses this by one defensive spot. Other teams that come close to fitting this criteria are Arizona and Marquette.

Houston, Alabama, and Texas are in the mix here as defensive teams that are close enough in the offensive range to contend. Houston just misses the minimum for schedule strength.


R+T Ratings (Rate Version)

TeamRateRT
Saint Mary’s16.86
Houston16.51
Kentucky15.77
Connecticut15.71
Purdue15.66
Tennessee14.91
Charleston14.69
Fairleigh Dickinson14.63
UCLA14.51
Iowa St.13.14
Mississippi St.11.03
Providence10.97
Gonzaga10.91
Duke10.80
Louisiana10.51
Texas A&M-CC10.34
North Carolina St.10.00
San Diego St.9.43
Florida Atlantic9.37
Iowa8.51
Texas A&M8.23
Northwestern7.49
Kent St.7.31
Illinois6.80
Northern Kentucky6.63
Xavier6.51
West Virginia6.40
Iona6.23
Princeton5.83
TCU5.77
Baylor5.54
Furman5.49
Miami (Fla)5.43
Virginia5.43
Montana St.5.31
Maryland5.31
Arkansas5.03
Alabama4.86
Kennesaw St.4.34
Drake4.23
Colgate4.23
Kansas4.17
Boise St.4.00
UCSB3.49
Arizona3.49
Texas3.37
VCU3.26
Texas Southern2.91
Auburn2.74
Pittsburgh2.74
Howard2.29
UNC Asheville2.17
Utah St.1.89
Oral Roberts1.71
Memphis1.43
SE Missouri St.0.91
Creighton0.57
Michigan St.0.57
Vermont0.51
Kansas St.0.51
Nevada0.46
Marquette0.17
Arizona St.0.11
Indiana-0.80
USC-4.69
Missouri-5.14
Grand Canyon-6.42
Penn St.-8.00

R+T Ratings (Old Version)

TeamR+T
Houston23.80
Purdue23.30
Connecticut21.25
Saint Mary’s20.70
Kentucky20.55
Tennessee19.85
Charleston19.20
Duke18.95
UCLA18.50
Baylor18.05
Gonzaga18.00
Florida Atlantic16.70
Providence16.25
Louisiana16.10
Alabama14.35
Iowa St.13.90
Texas A&M-CC13.80
Mississippi St.13.70
San Diego St.13.65
Texas A&M13.40
Princeton13.15
Xavier12.85
Arizona12.75
North Carolina St.12.15
Illinois11.70
Drake11.50
Kent St.11.05
Boise St.10.95
Colgate10.90
Furman10.70
Iona10.65
Montana St.10.55
Miami (Fla)10.35
Iowa10.10
Fairleigh Dickinson10.00
Utah St.10.00
Arkansas9.80
Maryland9.70
West Virginia9.25
TCU9.20
UCSB9.20
Northwestern8.90
Oral Roberts8.65
Pittsburgh8.50
Creighton8.40
Kansas8.40
Virginia8.35
Grand Canyon8.25
Kennesaw St.8.10
VCU7.85
Texas7.65
Michigan St.7.60
Kansas St.7.25
Northern Kentucky6.90
Memphis6.80
Indiana6.40
Nevada6.15
Auburn5.80
Howard5.50
Texas Southern4.90
Vermont4.10
UNC Asheville3.30
Marquette3.10
SE Missouri St.2.45
Arizona St.2.25
USC1.70
Penn St.-1.50
Missouri-3.45

R+T measures “spurtability,” the ability for a team to go on a wining scoring run. Once again, Connecticut and Purdue shine in these important metrics, while Houston has an incredible spurtability score.

Also important is to note which teams have poor R+T Ratings, the type that can lead to early upset losses. Among those teams are Missouri, USC, Penn St., and Arizona St.


3-point FG%

Getting to the secondary ratings, these are still quite important and very usable when comparing teams head to head. Here are the 3-point shooting percentages for the 68 teams in the Field.

Team3PT%
Colgate40.8
Michigan St.39.5
Xavier39.5
Utah St.39.3
UNC Asheville39.0
Gonzaga38.7
Penn St.38.5
Grand Canyon38.3
Arizona38.2
Louisiana37.8
Howard37.7
Drake37.3
Baylor37.2
Florida Atlantic37.2
Saint Mary’s37.2
Indiana37.0
Oral Roberts36.9
Kennesaw St.36.8
Miami (Fla)36.8
Texas A&M-CC36.8
Boise St.36.5
Missouri36.1
Creighton36.0
Iona36.0
Pittsburgh36.0
Connecticut35.9
Vermont35.9
Kentucky35.4
Memphis35.3
San Diego St.35.3
UCSB35.3
Virginia35.3
Providence35.1
Northern Kentucky35.0
North Carolina St.34.9
Houston34.8
Marquette34.8
West Virginia34.8
Furman34.7
UCLA34.7
VCU34.7
Fairleigh Dickinson34.6
Nevada34.6
USC34.5
Kansas34.4
Princeton34.4
Iowa34.3
Kansas St.34.0
Iowa St.33.9
Texas33.9
Alabama33.8
Montana St.33.8
Duke33.6
Kent St.33.6
Charleston33.4
Maryland33.0
Tennessee32.9
Texas A&M32.8
SE Missouri St.32.7
Purdue32.6
Northwestern32.1
Arkansas31.7
Arizona St.31.4
Auburn31.4
Illinois30.9
TCU30.6
Texas Southern28.4
Mississippi St.26.6

The most glaring part of this is the absence of the top contenders to this point in this category. Against the top defenses, teams are going to need to rely on the three-point shot. Arizona moves up in the contender section with the top percentage among teams appearing near the top in the previous criteria. Purdue is weak here, and the Boilermakers might be vulnerable to a team that can force Purdue to take more perimeter shots than they want to take. Connecticut isn’t great here, but the Huskies don’t have a real liability in this department.


Offensive Rebound Rate

TeamOReb%
Connecticut39.4
Kentucky38.7
Purdue38.3
Tennessee36.8
Houston36.7
Texas A&M36.6
Duke36.2
Charleston35.6
Providence35.3
Mississippi St.35.2
Baylor34.7
Louisiana34.4
Howard34.3
Iowa St.33.9
Alabama33.8
West Virginia33.7
UCLA33.6
Texas A&M-CC33.5
Saint Mary’s33.4
Auburn33.3
TCU32.4
Fairleigh Dickinson32.3
Illinois32.3
Iowa32.2
Northern Kentucky32.1
San Diego St.32.1
Iona32.0
Miami (Fla)32.0
Xavier31.8
Gonzaga31.3
Grand Canyon31.2
Arizona31.1
Texas Southern31.1
Memphis31.0
Florida Atlantic30.7
Kansas30.7
Kent St.30.7
North Carolina St.30.7
Arkansas30.5
Pittsburgh30.4
Maryland30.2
Arizona St.29.6
Furman29.5
Princeton29.4
USC29.0
VCU29.0
Texas28.3
Northwestern28.2
Indiana28.0
Kansas St.28.0
Kennesaw St.28.0
Michigan St.27.4
Utah St.27.3
UCSB27.0
Missouri26.8
SE Missouri St.26.8
Boise St.26.7
Montana St.26.6
Marquette26.5
UNC Asheville26.3
Creighton25.5
Virginia25.5
Colgate25.4
Oral Roberts25.4
Drake24.8
Nevada23.0
Vermont20.5
Penn St.18.8

Offensive Rebound Rate is a part of R+T Rate, so we don’t want to count this twice. This is better used to compare two teams that are evenly matched. Note that three of the contenders are rated #1, #3, and #5 in this metric.


2-Point % Defense

Team2PtD%
Kentucky36.8
Maryland37.2
Alabama41.2
USC42.4
Houston42.8
Arizona St.43.8
Florida Atlantic44.6
Tennessee44.6
Grand Canyon45.0
Illinois45.3
Creighton45.6
Saint Mary’s45.6
Indiana45.7
Connecticut45.8
Arizona45.9
Oral Roberts45.9
Utah St.45.9
Mississippi St.46.2
VCU46.2
Virginia46.5
Northwestern46.6
Duke46.7
Kent St.46.7
Auburn46.8
Princeton46.8
UCLA46.8
Arkansas46.9
Iona47.0
Drake47.1
Texas47.1
Kansas47.2
Purdue47.3
Boise St.47.4
Montana St.47.4
Texas A&M47.4
Memphis47.6
Texas Southern47.9
Northern Kentucky48.4
Pittsburgh48.5
Louisiana48.6
Michigan St.48.6
UCSB48.6
UNC Asheville48.6
Xavier48.7
Kansas St.48.8
Penn St.48.8
Charleston49.1
Kennesaw St.49.1
Nevada49.1
TCU49.1
Iowa St.49.6
Providence49.6
San Diego St.49.9
Vermont49.9
Marquette50.0
SE Missouri St.50.2
Howard50.3
West Virginia50.5
North Carolina St.50.6
Furman50.7
Gonzaga50.8
Colgate51.2
Missouri51.7
Miami (Fla)51.8
Iowa52.6
Texas A&M-CC53.2
Baylor53.3
Fairleigh Dickinson55.4

The contenders all fare well in this category, but there are some teams at the bottom of this metric that might be a bit too generous inside the paint. Baylor, Iowa, Miami, Missouri, and Gonzaga have issues here, which could spell trouble against teams that can pound the ball inside.


Free Throw Rate

TeamFTR
Texas A&M45.9
Montana St.43.7
VCU41.8
UNC Asheville41.2
Nevada39.8
West Virginia39.7
Arkansas38.7
SE Missouri St.37.9
Baylor37.2
Purdue37.2
Louisiana37.1
Providence36.8
Alabama36.7
Grand Canyon36.6
Arizona36.5
Kansas St.36.3
Kennesaw St.36.3
Memphis35.8
Auburn35.5
Utah St.35.0
UCSB34.8
Mississippi St.34.6
Virginia34.5
Texas Southern34.4
Furman34.1
Howard33.9
TCU33.9
Illinois33.8
Maryland33.8
USC33.8
Gonzaga33.7
San Diego St.33.7
Charleston32.8
Iowa32.6
Kentucky32.5
Pittsburgh32.4
Princeton31.8
Connecticut31.6
Texas31.5
Kent St.31.3
Saint Mary’s31.2
Tennessee30.9
Arizona St.30.8
Duke30.8
Xavier30.8
Boise St.30.6
Indiana30.1
Miami (Fla)30.0
Northwestern29.7
Missouri29.5
Florida Atlantic29.3
Iona29.0
Vermont28.7
Northern Kentucky28.4
Drake28.2
Creighton28.1
Houston28.0
Iowa St.27.8
Texas A&M-CC27.6
Colgate27.3
Marquette27.1
UCLA27.1
Fairleigh Dickinson27.0
Michigan St.25.8
Kansas25.3
North Carolina St.25.3
Oral Roberts24.9
Penn St.21.4

The top contenders all fare well here. They can force defenses to foul and get their starters in foul trouble. Not much to see here.


Scoring Margin

TeamMarg
Houston19.4
Gonzaga14.6
Oral Roberts14.1
Florida Atlantic13.8
Tennessee13.8
Alabama13.7
UCLA13.6
Connecticut13.5
Charleston13.4
Drake11.4
Iona11.4
Saint Mary’s11.3
Arizona11.2
Furman10.9
Kent St.10.9
Purdue10.9
Texas10.5
Colgate9.6
Marquette9.3
Utah St.8.9
Duke8.6
Grand Canyon8.5
San Diego St.8.5
VCU8.5
Louisiana8.2
Creighton8.1
Boise St.7.9
Texas A&M-CC7.9
Illinois7.7
Memphis7.7
Montana St.7.6
Virginia7.5
North Carolina St.7.4
Princeton7.4
Miami (Fla)7.3
TCU7.3
Xavier7.3
Maryland7.2
Kentucky7.1
Arkansas7.0
Kansas7.0
Texas A&M7.0
Baylor6.9
Providence6.8
UCSB6.6
Indiana6.5
Kansas St.6.5
Kennesaw St.6.4
UNC Asheville6.4
Vermont6.4
Iowa5.8
Nevada5.7
Auburn5.6
Iowa St.5.6
Pittsburgh5.6
USC5.5
West Virginia5.3
Northwestern5.2
Mississippi St.4.9
Missouri4.9
Northern Kentucky4.6
Penn St.3.9
Howard3.6
Fairleigh Dickinson2.9
Michigan St.2.8
Arizona St.2.6
SE Missouri St.1.7
Texas Southern-2.2

Once again, the previous contenders do well here and fit the criteria. Note the major conference teams with scoring margins under 5.0 points per game.


Regular Season or Conference Tournament Champion

The following teams won either their regular season conference championship or their postseason conference tournament.

Alabama
Arizona
Charleston
Colgate
Drake
Duke
Florida Atlantic
Furman
Gonzaga
Grand Canyon
Houston
Howard
Iona
Kansas
Kennesaw St.
Kent St.
Louisiana
Marquette
Memphis
Montana St.
Northern Kentucky
Oral Roberts
Princeton
Purdue
Saint Mary’s
San Diego St.
SE Missouri St.
Texas
Texas A&M-CC
Texas Southern
UCLA
UCSB
UNC Asheville
VCU
Vermont
Virginia

Miami (Fla) was co-champion of the ACC, but technically not the champion.


Winning Streak of 10 or More

Team10+W
Charleston20
Florida Atlantic20
Oral Roberts17
Vermont15
Connecticut14
Iona14
UCLA14
Houston13
Purdue13
Colgate12
Saint Mary’s12
Gonzaga11
Mississippi St.11
TCU11
Xavier11
Drake10
Kansas10
Kent St.10
Louisiana10
Alabama9
Arizona St.9
Boise St.9
Duke9
Howard9
Kansas St.9
Marquette9
Miami (Fla)9
Missouri9
Providence9
UCSB9
UNC Asheville9
Utah St.9
VCU9
Arizona8
Auburn8
Creighton8
Furman8
Kennesaw St.8
Maryland8
Montana St.8
Princeton8
Tennessee8
Texas A&M-CC8
Virginia8
Arkansas7
Indiana7
Michigan St.7
Texas A&M7
USC7
Baylor6
Fairleigh Dickinson6
Grand Canyon6
Iowa St.6
Memphis6
Nevada6
San Diego St.6
Texas6
Iowa5
Northern Kentucky5
Northwestern5
Penn St.5
Pittsburgh5
Illinois4
Kentucky4
North Carolina St.4
SE Missouri St.4
West Virginia4
Texas Southern3

Don’t expect a team that hasn’t won 6 or more games in a row this year to do so in March Madness. Most past national champions had 8 or more game winning streaks, and many had 10 or more game winning streaks.


Preseason Top 25

Almost every past national champion was in the preseason top 25. The following NCAA Tournament teams were in the preseason top 25.

Team
Alabama
Arizona
Arkansas
Auburn
Baylor
Creighton
Duke
Gonzaga
Houston
Illinois
Indiana
Kansas
Kentucky
San Diego St.
TCU
Tennessee
Texas
UCLA
Virginia

Coach With Past NCAA Tournament Experience

TeamYrs.Deepest
Tennessee261 FF, 2 E8
West Virginia252 FF
Michigan St.241 NC, 8 FF
Kansas231 NC, 4 FF
Iona222 NC, 4 FF
Gonzaga222 FF
Kentucky211NC, 6 FF
Houston182 FF
Purdue145 Swt16
UCLA131 FF
TCU131 E8, 2 Swt16
Iowa116-11 no deep
Xavier114 E8, 4 Swt16
Auburn111 FF, 1 E8
Nevada114 Swt16
Creighton101 Swt16
Baylor101 NC, 2 E8
Virginia101 NC, 1E8, 2 Swt16
Miami (Fla)101 FF, 1 E8, 2 Swt16
Marquette91 FF
Texas A&M81 E8, 3 Swt16
Saint Mary’s81 Swt16
Illinois64-6 no deep
Providence61 Swr16
Alabama51 Swt16
Arkansas52 E8, 1 Swt16
Texas Southern52-5 no deep
USC51 E8, 1 Swt16
Maryland51-5 no deep
Vermont41-4 no deep
Connecticut40-4
Grand Canyon40-4
Iowa St.31 Swt16
Pittsburgh31 E8
Arizona St.31-3 no deep
Mississippi St.31-3 no deep
Boise St.30-3
Colgate30-3
Louisiana30-3
North Carolina St.30-3
San Diego St.30-3
Charleston20-2
VCU20-1*
Northern Kentucky12-1 no deep
Oral Roberts12-1 no deep
Texas A&M-CC10-1
Arizona11 Swt16
Drake11-1 no deep
Indiana11-1 no deep
Memphis11-1 no deep
Northwestern11-1 no deep
Utah St.11-1 no deep
Kent St.10-1
Missouri10-1
Montana St.10-1
Princeton10-1
UCSB10-1
Kennesaw St.00
UNC Asheville00
Duke00
Fairleigh Dickinson00
Florida Atlantic00
Furman00
Howard00
Kansas St.00
Penn St.00
SE Missouri St.00
Texas00
*Mike Rhoades (VCU) couldn’t play in 2022 tourney due to the Rams having issues with Covid.

3 or more Upperclassmen in Starting 5

Almost every team in the Dance has 3 or more seniors and juniors starting, due to Covid, and the NCAA granting an additional year of eligibility. Only the following teams fail to meet this criteria.

Alabama
Connecticut
Creighton
Duke
Florida Atlantic
Miami (Fla)
USC
VCU

Note that two of the key contenders, Alabama and Connecticut do not meet this criteria. Kentucky won the 2012 National Championship without an upperclassmen starting.


Two Front Court Starters Combine for 20 PPG/12 RPG

A team with two starters combining for 20 & 12 is a team that tends to score the most consistently in the NCAA Tournament. These players can get a lot of garbage points, which in the Big Dance, is vital.

Team20:12
AlabamaYES
ArizonaYES
AuburnYES
ConnecticutYES
CreightonYES
DukeYES
GonzagaYES
HoustonYES
IndianaYES
IonaYES
IowaYES
KansasYES
Kansas St.YES
KentuckyYES
LouisianaYES
MarylandYES
MemphisYES
Mississippi St.YES
Montana St.YES
NevadaYES
Oral RobertsYES
PrincetonYES
ProvidenceYES
PurdueYES
Texas A&M-CCYES
Texas SouthernYES
UCSBYES
UNC AshevilleYES
Utah St.YES
VCUYES
XavierYES
Arizona St.NO
ArkansasNO
BaylorNO
Boise St.NO
CharlestonNO
ColgateNO
DrakeNO
Fairleigh DickinsonNO
Florida AtlanticNO
FurmanNO
Grand CanyonNO
HowardNO
IllinoisNO
Iowa St.NO
Kennesaw St.NO
Kent St.NO
MarquetteNO
Miami (Fla)NO
Michigan St.NO
MissouriNO
North Carolina St.NO
Northern KentuckyNO
NorthwesternNO
Penn St.NO
PittsburghNO
Saint Mary’sNO
San Diego St.NO
SE Missouri St.NO
TCUNO
TennesseeNO
TexasNO
Texas A&MNO
UCLANO
USCNO
VermontNO
VirginiaNO
West VirginiaNO

3 Or More Double Figure Scorers

TeamDBL
Arizona5
Boise St.5
Charleston5
Colgate5
Creighton5
Iowa5
Providence5
Utah St.5
Arkansas4
Auburn4
Baylor4
Fairleigh Dickinson4
Furman4
Gonzaga4
Houston4
Kansas4
Kentucky4
Marquette4
Maryland4
Miami (Fla)4
North Carolina St.4
Pittsburgh4
Saint Mary’s4
Texas4
Texas Southern4
West Virginia4
Xavier4
Alabama3
Connecticut3
Florida Atlantic3
Grand Canyon3
Howard3
Iona3
Kansas St.3
Kennesaw St.3
Kent St.3
Louisiana3
Michigan St.3
Missouri3
Montana St.3
Nevada3
Oral Roberts3
Penn St.3
Princeton3
SE Missouri St.3
TCU3
Tennessee3
Texas A&M-CC3
UCLA3
VCU3
Vermont3
Virginia3
Arizona St.2
Drake2
Duke2
Illinois2
Indiana2
Iowa St.2
Memphis2
Northern Kentucky2
Northwestern2
Purdue2
Texas A&M2
UCSB2
UNC Asheville2
USC2
Mississippi St.1
San Diego St.1

Who Has “The Look?”

Unlike most years, the 2023 edition of March Madness has NO single team that stands out above all others. A half-dozen teams possess many of the criteria that past national champions had, but none have across-the-board positive resumes.

If you have read prior publications here, you know how leery I am of teams coached by Gene Keady proteges, and Big Ten teams in general. The style of play in that league, especially with Purdue, has not been the way to win national titles for many years. Michigan State was the last Big Ten team to win the championship 23 years ago, the only time a Big Ten team has cut down the nets in the last 31 tournaments. It will eventually happen again one year, but picking the Boilermakers to win six games with little ability to force turnovers, get cheap fast break points, and consistently hit the 3-point shot makes it hard for us to see Purdue going all the way.

Connecticut has a lot in its favor, namely the top three most important criteria. But, the Huskies did not win their regular season or conference tournament championship. Marquette has issues with their R+T Ratings. Alabama is young and inexperienced, but the Crimson Tide fits almost all other criteria. However, their offensive efficiency is a tad lower than what a typical national champion has.

Let’s go through the bracket and see how the individual matchups look. That will find us our choice this year. You may see different results based on the criteria above, so don’t take our picks as Gospel. We tend to choose very few upsets until the later rounds when the criteria shows the lower seed to be superior. We will list the teams we feel have a chance to upset favored teams in the early rounds.


Round of 64

WinnerLoser
AlabamaPlay-In Winner (TAMCC)
West VirginiaMaryland
San Diego St.Charleston
VirginiaFurman (Upset possible)
CreightonNorth Carolina St.
BaylorUCSB
Utah St.Missouri (Bad R+T)
ArizonaPrinceton
PurduePlay-in Winner (FDU)
MemphisFlorida Atlantic
DukeOral Roberts (close game?)
TennesseeLouisiana (close game?)
KentuckyProvidence (Upset possible)
Kansas St.Montana St.
Michigan St.USC (close game)
MarquetteVermont
HoustonNorthern Kentucky
AuburnIowa
Miami (Fla)Drake (exciting game!)
IndianaKent St.
Play-in Winner (Pittsburgh)Iowa St. (Upset)
XavierKennesaw St.
Texas A&MPenn St. (neg. R+T)
TexasColgate
KansasHoward
ArkansasIllinois
Saint Mary’sVCU
ConnecticutIona
TCUPlay-in Winner (Nevada)
GonzagaGrand Canyon
Boise St.Northwestern
UCLAUNC Asheville

Round of 32

WinnerLoser
AlabamaWest Virginia (close game?)
San Diego St.Virginia
BaylorCreighton (close game)
ArizonaUtah St.
PurdueMemphis
DukeTennessee
KentuckyKansas St.
MarquetteMichigan St. (close game)
HoustonAuburn
Miami (Fla)Indiana (close game)
XavierPittsburgh
TexasTexas A&M (close game)
KansasArkansas
ConnecticutSaint Mary’s
GonzagaTCU (close game)
UCLABoise St.

Sweet 16

WinnerLoser
AlabamaSan Diego St.
ArizonaBaylor
PurdueDuke (could be brutal)
MarquetteKentucky
Miami (Fla)Houston (Sasser injury???)
TexasXavier
ConnecticutKansas (close Game)
GonzagaUCLA (close game)

If Marcus Sasser is healthy, Houston would be favored, but my information tells me he will not be healthy by this time. UCLA also has multiple injury issues.


Elite 8

WinnerLoser
ArizonaAlabama
PurdueMarquette (R+T favors PU)
TexasMiami (Fla)
ConnecticutGonzaga

Arizona gets the nod over Alabama due to having more experienced, game-tested veterans, while Alabama is led by underclassmen. Marquette lacks the R+T rating to win a close game, and we can’t see them blowing Purdue off the floor, which is how they would have to win this game. Texas and Miami are evenly matched, but the Longhorns have just a little better criteria. Gonzaga’s defense isn’t as strong as in recent years, even though their offense is the best in the nation. UConn has much better defensive criteria and almost as good offensive criteria.


Final Four

WinnerLoser
PurdueArizona
ConnecticutTexas

It comes down to the two teams that best fit the most important part of the criteria. Neither the Boilermakers nor the Huskies have a typical national champions resume, but these two teams best fit that criteria.

Purdue’s main Achilles’ Heel is their inability to force turnovers against opponents. They have to buck a long trend and win half-court possession games, something that has not worked in the Final Four since Bobby Knight led Indiana to two championships in the 1980s. However, Purdue’s R+T ratings combined with their efficiency and schedule strength overrule the other liabilities. We don’t personally have total faith in the Boilermakers breaking the 43-year curse of Keadyball, where PU can win playing a halfcourt game against regular season oppoents, but just like Moneyball hasn’t worked for the Oakland A’s in the playoffs, Keadyball does not work in the NCAA Tournament. If it is every going to work, it’s going to work this year, when the Boilermakers have the most dominant player in the nation. Note that PU had the most dominant player in the nation in 1994 in Glenn Robinson, and the Boilermakers were ousted in the Elite 8 (the only Elite 8 appearance since Lee Rose lead PU to the 1980 Final Four).

Connecticut has better metrics than Texas, but the Huskies won neither the Big East regular season or conference tournament championship. National champions tend to win at least one if not both. The last team to cut the nets without cutting them in the regular season was (wait for it)–Connecticut in 2014.


National Championship Game

WinnerLoser
PurdueConnecticut

Can the curse be broken? If you saw the final minutes of the Big Ten Championship Game on Sunday, you saw a Boilermaker team that wilted against Penn State’s full court press defense. The Nittany Lions don’t have a fantastic pressure defensive team, so a team that can play a havoc style of defense might be able to take Purdue out of its game plan. Additionally, Purdue has been weaker than average from behind the 3-point line. They keep winning because they have the top player in the nation in the paint. A dominant big man has not led his team to the national championship in many years, and there are many examples of said post player’s team losing to a quicker, smaller team.

There are two parts to this equation. There has to be a team good enough to exploit the power team’s liabilities. What we see here is an ideal draw for the Boilermakers. The teams that can best employ the tactics needed to stop Purdue are mostly on the other side of the bracket, and the few in their bracket that might be able to stop PU are likely to be eliminated before their line on the bracket coincided with Purdue’s line on the bracket. Additionally, you can know for sure that Purdue has spent extra time in practice preparing for opposing teams to try to pressure Purdue’s guards. Braden Smith and Mason Gillis will need to step up and play their best ball of the season, and that is not a given, but we cannot see Purdue succumbing to the press like they did against Penn State. If teams don’t practice pressing constantly, they aren’t going to be that good using the defense, and if Purdue can break some presses for easy baskets, that ploy will be discontinued.

Connecticut has something going in their favor, but it is quirky. Twice before, the Huskies won the national championship in outlier style. In point of fact, their two national championships in 2011 and 2014 are the only outliers to the PiRate Ratings Criteria in the 21st Century. They are similar in style to Purdue. Don’t count on the Huskies to force opposing offenses out of their normal style of play with pressure defense.

So, there you have it. We are going against our personal biases and relying on the metrics, and the metrics say that Purdue is going to end their curse. Maybe it is 2004 again, but will any Purdue player appear with a bloody sock? The Boston Red Sox broke their 86-year curse by dominating in the new 21st Century metrics. Purdue has the 7th best offensive efficiency and 26th best defensive efficiency ratings with a schedule strength almost nine points above average.

Connecticut has the 6th best offensive efficiency and the 18th best defensive efficiency with a schedule strength that is eight points above average. You can’t go wrong picking the Huskies to go all the way, and if you have two choices to fill out a bracket, you might consider splitting your vote with Purdue and Connecticut. But, officially, our choice to cut the nets is Purdue.

March 12, 2023

PiRate Ratings College Basketball — Sunday, March 12, 2023

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 3:00 am
HomeVisitorSpread
HoustonMemphis4.7
VCUDayton0.1
PurduePenn St.6.2
PrincetonYale-2.6
AlabamaTexas A&M7.3

Sunday’s Conference Championship Games

All Times Eastern DAYLIGHT Time (Did you remember to Spring forward?)


American Athletic Conference — Fort Worth, TX

3:15 PM on ESPN

#1 Houston (31-2) vs. #2 Memphis (25-8)


Atlantic 10 Conference — Brooklyn

1 PM on CBS

#1 VCU (26-7) vs. #2 Dayton (22-11)


Big Ten — Chicago

3:30 PM on CBS

#1 Purdue (28-5) vs. #10 Penn St. (22-12)


Ivy League — Princeton, NJ

12:00 PM on ESPN2

#1 Yale (21-7) vs. #2 Princeton (20-8)


Southeastern Conference — Nashville

1 PM on ESPN

#1 Alabama (28-5) vs. #2 Texas A&M (25-8)


Selection Sunday Shows

6 PM on CBS

7 PM on ESPN

March 10, 2023

PiRate Ratings College Basketball — Saturday, March 11, 2023

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 11:45 pm
HomeVisitorSpread
VermontUMass Lowell3.1
HoustonCincinnati9.6
MemphisTulane6.5
VCUSaint Louis2.4
DaytonFordham6.6
DukeVirginia1.0
KansasTexas0.2
MarquetteXavier-0.3
PurdueOhio St.5.8
Penn St.Indiana-3.2
UCSBCal St. Fullerton1.1
Florida AtlanticUAB1.5
YaleCornell6.4
PrincetonPenn3.5
IonaMarist14.3
ToledoKent St.-0.4
HowardNorfolk St.-2.0
San Diego St.Utah St.0.5
UCLAArizona2.2
AlabamaMissouri10.1
Texas A&MVanderbilt4.9
GramblingTexas Southern6.0
Southern UtahGrand Canyon0.6

March 4, 2023

PiRate Ratings College Basketball — Sunday, March 5, 2023

Sunday’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorSpread
BradleyDrake-0.1
Central FloridaEast Carolina12.6
CharlestonStony Brook18.0
CincinnatiSMU12.5
ColgateArmy10.7
Eastern WashingtonNorthern Arizona6.3
FurmanWestern Carolina10.4
HofstraWilliam & Mary13.9
Houston ChristianNew Orleans-1.0
IndianaMichigan5.3
IowaNebraska10.4
James MadisonSouth Alabama2.0
Kennesaw St.Liberty-4.8
LafayetteAmerican2.6
LouisianaTexas St.6.2
McNeese St.Texas A&M-Commerce-3.0
MemphisHouston-5.2
MinnesotaWisconsin-7.3
Montana St.Northern Colorado6.6
North Dakota St.South Dakota4.6
Penn St.Maryland-0.2
PurdueIllinois7.1
RutgersNorthwestern4.9
TowsonDelaware5.1
TulaneTemple4.9
UNC AshevilleCampbell5.0
UNC WilmingtonDrexel1.2
Western IllinoisSt. Thomas-3.7
Wichita St.South Florida5.2
WoffordChattanooga-2.0

Automatic Bids To NCAA Tournament

Fairleigh-Dickinson (19-14) Northeast Conference

Southeast Missouri St. (19-16) Ohio Valley Conference


Sunday’s Conference Tournament Schedule

All Times Eastern Standard


Atlantic Sun Conference — Higher Seed Hosts

CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (ESPN2)

#2 Liberty (26-7) at #1 Kennesaw St. (25-8) 3 PM


Big Sky Conference — Boise, ID

Quarterfinals Day 1 (Both Games on ESPN+)

#1 Eastern Washington (22-9) vs. #9 Northern Arizona (10-22) 5:30 PM

#2 Montana St. (22-9) vs. #8 Northern Colorado (12-19) 8 PM


Big South Conference — Charlotte

CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (ESPN2)

#1 UNC Asheville (26-7) vs. #7 Campbell (16-17) 1 PM


Colonial Athletic Association — Washington, D.C.

Quarterfinals (All Games on flohoops.com)

#1 Hofstra (23-8) vs. #8 William & Mary (13-19) 12 PM

#4 UNC Wilmington (22-9) vs. #5 Drexel (17-14) 2:30 PM

#2 Charleston (28-3) vs. #10 Stony Brook (11-21) 6 PM

#3 Towson (20-11) vs. #6 Delaware (17-15) 8:30 PM


Missouri Valley Conference — Saint Louis (Arch Madness)

CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (CBS)

#1 Bradley (25-8) vs. #2 Drake (26-7) 2 PM


Patriot League — Higher Seed Hosts

Semifinals (Both Games on CBSSN)

#1 Colgate (24-8) vs. #4 Army (17-15) 2 PM

#6 Lafayette (10-22) vs. #7 American (17-14) 4 PM


Southern Conference — Asheville, NC

Semifinals

#1 Furman (25-7) vs. #4 Western Carolina (18-14) ESPNU 4 PM

#6 Wofford (17-15) vs. #7 Chattanooga (17-16) ESPNEWS 6:30 PM


Southland Conference — Lake Charles, LA

1st Round (Both Games on ESPN+)

#5 Texas A&M-Commerce (13-19) vs. #8 McNeese St. (9-22) 6 PM

#6 Houston Christian (10-21) vs. #7 New Orleans (10-19) 8:30 PM


Summit League — Sioux Falls, SD

Quarterfinals Day 2 (Both Games on ESPN+)

#4 Western Illinois (16-13) vs. #5 St. Thomas (18-13) 7 PM

#3 North Dakota St. (14-16) vs. #6 South Dakota (12-18) 9:30 PM


Sun Belt Conference — Pensacola, FL

Semifinals (Both Games on ESPN+)

#4 James Madison (22-10) vs. #8 South Alabama (18-15) 6 PM

#2 Louisiana (24-7) vs. #11 Texas St. (16-18) 8:30 PM

March 2, 2023

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Thursday, March 2, 2023

Thursday’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorSpread
Arkansas Pine BluffJackson St.0.9
ArmyBoston U3.6
Cal St. NorthridgeHawaii-8.3
Cleveland St.Robert Morris5.0
ColgateLoyola (MD)15.0
Delaware St.Maryland Eastern Shore-6.9
FairfieldQuinnipiac-1.7
Georgia SouthernLouisiana Monroe4.6
GramblingAlabama A&M9.5
HoustonWichita St.19.1
HowardNorfolk St.-1.7
IllinoisMichigan4.5
Indiana St.Evansville17.3
IonaMarist17.9
Kennesaw St.Lipscomb4.3
LehighLafayette2.4
LibertyEastern Kentucky12.8
Long Beach St.Cal St. Bakersfield9.6
Louisiana TechFlorida Intl.6.9
MilwaukeeWright St.-0.9
MinnesotaRutgers-11.3
Mississippi Valley St.Alcorn St.-6.5
Missouri St.Illinois Chicago8.0
Morgan St.Coppin St.7.2
Murray St.Valparaiso2.6
NavyAmerican8.1
North TexasMiddle Tennessee7.2
Northern IowaIllinois St.3.1
Northern KentuckyOakland7.9
Old DominionTexas St.3.7
OregonCalifornia17.8
Oregon St.Stanford-4.6
PacificPepperdine-0.8
PortlandSan Diego2.3
RiceFlorida Atlantic-9.5
Saint Peter’sRider-3.5
SienaManhattan8.8
SMUMemphis-8.7
South AlabamaAppalachian St.3.5
South Carolina St.North Carolina Central-8.4
Southern U.Alabama St.9.3
TempleCentral Florida-1.5
Tennessee St.Southeast Missouri St.-0.5
TroyArkansas St.9.4
UC DavisUC Santa Barbara0.5
UC RiversideUC Irvine-0.6
UC San DiegoCal Poly4.6
UCLAArizona St.12.4
USCArizona-1.7
UT-MartinSIU Edwardsville-0.9
UTEPWestern Kentucky1.0
UTSACharlotte-8.9
WashingtonWashington St.-0.7
WisconsinPurdue-4.9
Youngstown St.Detroit7.6


Thursday’s Conference Tournament Schedule


Atlantic Sun Conference (Higher Seed Hosts)

Semifinals — Both games start at 7 PM EST on ESPN+

#3 Eastern Kentucky (20-12) at #2 Liberty (25-7)

#5 Lipscomb (20-12) at #1 Kennesaw St. (24-8)


Horizon League (Higher Seed Hosts)

Quarterfinals — All Games on ESPN+

#5 Oakland (13-18) at #4 Northern Kentucky (19-12) 7 PM EST

#8 Detroit (14-18) at #1 Youngstown St. (23-8) 8 PM EST

#7 Wright St. (18-14) at #2 Milwaukee (20-10) 8 PM EST

#6 Robert Morris (16-16) at #3 Cleveland St. (19-12) 8 PM EST


Missouri Valley Conference (Arch Madness–St. Louis) (All Games on MVC TV Network)

#8 Northern Iowa (13-17) vs. #9 Illinois St. (11-20) 1 PM EST

#5 Indiana St. (20-11) vs. #12 Evansville (5-26) 3:30 PM EST

#7 Murray St. (16-14) vs. #10 Valparaiso (11-20) 7 PM EST

#6 Missouri St. (16-14) vs. #11 Illinois-Chicaco (12-19) 9:30 PM EST


Ohio Valley Conference — Evansville, IN

Quarterfinals — Both Games on ESPN+

#4 Tennessee St. (18-13) vs. #5 Southeast Missouri St. (16-16) 7:30 PM EST

#3 UT-Martin (18-13) vs. #6 SIU Edwardsville (19-13) 10 PM EST


Patriot League — Higher Seeds Host

Quarterfinals (All Games on ESPN+)

#4 Army (16-15) vs. #5 Boston U (15-16) 6 PM EST

#8 Loyola (MD) (13-19) at #1 Colgate (23-8) 7 PM EST

#6 Lafayette (9-22) at #3 Lehigh (16-13) 7 PM EST

#7 American (16-14) at #2 Navy (18-12) 7 PM EST


Sun Belt Conference — Pensacola, FL

2nd Round (All Games on ESPN+)

#8 South Alabama (16-15) vs. #9 Appalachian St. (16-15) 12:30 PM EST

#5 Troy (19-12) vs. #13 Arkansas St. (13-19) 3 PM EST

#6 Old Dominion (19-11) vs. #11 Texas St. (14-18) 6 PM EST

#7 Georgia Southern (16-15) vs. #10 Louisiana Monroe (11-20) 8:30 PM EST


West Coast Conference — Las Vegas

1st Round (Both Games on BYUtv)

#8 Portland (13-18) vs. #9 San Diego (11-19) 9 PM EST

#7 Pacific (14-17) vs. #10 Pepperdine (9-21) 11:30 PM EST

February 27, 2023

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Monday, February 27, 2023



Monday’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorSpread
Alcorn St.Texas Southern4.9
Bethune-CookmanGrambling-8.3
Delaware St.Coppin St.1.0
Eastern WashingtonMontana St.2.3
Florida A&MSouthern U.-6.2
Florida St.North Carolina-8.9
IdahoMontana-4.7
Iowa St.West Virginia2.2
Jackson St.Prairie View A&M0.2
Maryland Eastern ShoreMorgan St.5.7
North Carolina CentralNorfolk St.1.7
North FloridaBellarmine1.3
Northern ArizonaWeber St.0.7
Northern ColoradoIdaho St.3.6
Oklahoma St.Baylor-1.3
Portland St.Sacramento St.2.2
QueensFlorida Gulf Coast-1.8
South Carolina St.Howard-5.0
WyomingNevada-6.2

Today’s Conference Tournament Schedule

Atlantic Sun

Opening Round – Monday, February 27 (ESPN+) [Both Games at 7 PM EST]

Game 1: #9 Queens (17-14) vs. #10 Florida Gulf Coast (17-14) (@ Kennesaw St.)

Game 2: #7 North Florida (14-16) vs. #8 Bellarmine (14-17) (@ Liberty)


Monday’s PiRate Ratings

#TeamPiRateConference
1Alabama120.4Southeastern
2Houston120.2American Athletic
3Tennessee118.6Southeastern
4UCLA118.5Pac-12
5Connecticut117.4Big East
6Kansas117.3Big 12
7Gonzaga116.7West Coast
8Purdue116.5Big Ten
9Texas116.5Big 12
10Arizona116.3Pac-12
11Baylor115.4Big 12
12Arkansas115.0Southeastern
13Creighton114.9Big East
14Marquette114.8Big East
15Saint Mary’s114.6West Coast
16Xavier114.2Big East
17Indiana114.0Big Ten
18TCU113.8Big 12
19Maryland113.6Big Ten
20Kentucky113.4Southeastern
21Kansas St.113.4Big 12
22San Diego St.113.3Mountain West
23West Virginia113.2Big 12
24Illinois112.5Big Ten
25Auburn112.4Southeastern
26Iowa St.112.4Big 12
27Rutgers112.4Big Ten
28Texas A&M112.3Southeastern
29Duke112.2Atlantic Coast
30Providence111.9Big East
31Michigan St.111.9Big Ten
32Iowa111.8Big Ten
33Miami (Fla)111.8Atlantic Coast
34North Carolina111.8Atlantic Coast
35Memphis111.6American Athletic
36USC111.6Pac-12
37Virginia111.5Atlantic Coast
38Boise St.111.2Mountain West
39Utah St.111.1Mountain West
40Oklahoma St.111.1Big 12
41Michigan111.0Big Ten
42Florida Atlantic110.8Conference USA
43Texas Tech110.7Big 12
44Mississippi St.110.6Southeastern
45North Carolina St.110.5Atlantic Coast
46Northwestern110.4Big Ten
47Oregon110.3Pac-12
48Nevada110.0Mountain West
49Missouri109.8Southeastern
50Penn St.109.7Big Ten
51Florida109.7Southeastern
52New Mexico109.6Mountain West
53Oklahoma109.6Big 12
54Ohio St.109.5Big Ten
55UAB109.2Conference USA
56Cincinnati109.2American Athletic
57Liberty109.1Atlantic Sun
58Villanova109.1Big East
59Arizona St.109.1Pac-12
60Colorado109.1Pac-12
61Clemson109.0Atlantic Coast
62Pittsburgh109.0Atlantic Coast
63Utah108.9Pac-12
64Wisconsin108.6Big Ten
65Dayton108.5Atlantic 10
66Seton Hall108.5Big East
67Washington St.108.5Pac-12
68Charleston108.5Colonial Athletic
69Central Florida108.4American Athletic
70Virginia Tech108.3Atlantic Coast
71VCU108.0Atlantic 10
72Oral Roberts108.0Summit
73Iona107.8Metro Atlantic
74Yale107.8Ivy League
75Drake107.7Missouri Valley
76BYU107.7West Coast
77Bradley107.6Missouri Valley
78North Texas107.5Conference USA
79Wake Forest107.4Atlantic Coast
80Marshall107.4Sun Belt
81Sam Houston St.107.3Western Athletic
82Kent St.107.2Mid-American
83Vanderbilt107.0Southeastern
84St. John’s106.7Big East
85Tulane106.7American Athletic
86Santa Clara106.6West Coast
87Stanford106.3Pac-12
88Furman106.3Southern
89UNLV106.2Mountain West
90Toledo106.2Mid-American
91James Madison105.7Sun Belt
92Utah Valley105.6Western Athletic
93Nebraska105.6Big Ten
94Hofstra105.4Colonial Athletic
95Saint Louis105.3Atlantic 10
96Indiana St.105.0Missouri Valley
97Syracuse104.9Atlantic Coast
98Washington104.8Pac-12
99Mississippi104.7Southeastern
100UC Irvine104.5Big West
101Southern Miss104.3Sun Belt
102Southern Utah104.3Western Athletic
103Akron104.2Mid-American
104Duquesne104.1Atlantic 10
105Louisiana104.1Sun Belt
106Colorado St.104.1Mountain West
107Wichita St.104.1American Athletic
108UNC Greensboro104.0Southern
109Butler104.0Big East
110Loyola Marymount103.9West Coast
111Temple103.9American Athletic
112San Francisco103.8West Coast
113Colgate103.6Patriot League
114South Alabama103.4Sun Belt
115Charlotte103.2Conference USA
116Belmont103.1Missouri Valley
117San Jose St.103.1Mountain West
118Stephen F. Austin103.0Western Athletic
119Youngstown St.102.9Horizon
120Grand Canyon102.9Western Athletic
121Middle Tennessee102.8Conference USA
122Montana St.102.8Big Sky
123Vermont102.8America East
124Princeton102.7Ivy League
125UC Santa Barbara102.7Big West
126Eastern Washington102.6Big Sky
127LSU102.5Southeastern
128Southern Illinois102.5Missouri Valley
129UMass Lowell102.2America East
130Davidson102.2Atlantic 10
131Samford102.2Southern
132DePaul102.1Big East
133George Mason102.0Atlantic 10
134Cal St. Fullerton102.0Big West
135Hawaii102.0Big West
136Georgia102.0Southeastern
137Towson102.0Colonial Athletic
138Troy102.0Sun Belt
139Penn101.9Ivy League
140Seattle101.9Western Athletic
141South Florida101.8American Athletic
142Kennesaw St.101.7Atlantic Sun
143Cornell101.7Ivy League
144UC Riverside101.4Big West
145Notre Dame101.3Atlantic Coast
146Richmond101.2Atlantic 10
147Fordham101.2Atlantic 10
148Ohio101.2Mid-American
149Fresno St.101.2Mountain West
150UNC Asheville101.0Big South
151Missouri St.101.0Missouri Valley
152Wyoming100.8Mountain West
153Louisiana Tech100.8Conference USA
154UC Davis100.7Big West
155Old Dominion100.7Sun Belt
156Longwood100.7Big South
157Boston College100.6Atlantic Coast
158Air Force100.6Mountain West
159Ball St.100.6Mid-American
160South Dakota St.100.6Summit
161Tarleton St.100.3Western Athletic
162Cal Baptist100.3Western Athletic
163Long Beach St.100.3Big West
164Western Kentucky100.2Conference USA
165Georgia Tech100.2Atlantic Coast
166Portland100.1West Coast
167UNC Wilmington99.9Colonial Athletic
168Harvard99.9Ivy League
169SMU99.9American Athletic
170Lipscomb99.9Atlantic Sun
171Appalachian St.99.9Sun Belt
172Florida St.99.9Atlantic Coast
173St. Bonaventure99.8Atlantic 10
174Stetson99.7Atlantic Sun
175Montana99.6Big Sky
176Wright St.99.6Horizon
177Quinnipiac99.5Metro Atlantic
178Norfolk St.99.5Mideastern Athletic
179Northern Kentucky99.4Horizon
180Chattanooga99.4Southern
181Navy99.4Patriot League
182Abilene Christian99.4Western Athletic
183New Mexico St.99.3Western Athletic
184Massachusetts99.3Atlantic 10
185Radford99.2Big South
186Florida Gulf Coast99.2Atlantic Sun
187Brown99.1Ivy League
188Georgetown98.9Big East
189Bryant98.9America East
190Pepperdine98.8West Coast
191Eastern Kentucky98.8Atlantic Sun
192Utah Tech98.8Western Athletic
193Rice98.8Conference USA
194Gardner Webb98.8Big South
195Drexel98.8Colonial Athletic
196Siena98.7Metro Atlantic
197North Carolina Central98.7Mideastern Athletic
198UTEP98.7Conference USA
199Oregon St.98.7Pac-12
200Texas A&M CC98.6Southland
201Cleveland St.98.6Horizon
202Saint Joseph’s98.5Atlantic 10
203Buffalo98.3Mid-American
204Georgia Southern98.2Sun Belt
205Rider98.2Metro Atlantic
206Grambling98.1Southwestern Athletic
207Minnesota98.1Big Ten
208Pacific98.0West Coast
209Northern Iowa97.9Missouri Valley
210Weber St.97.9Big Sky
211East Carolina97.9American Athletic
212Detroit Mercy97.8Horizon
213San Diego97.8West Coast
214St. Thomas97.8Summit
215South Carolina97.7Southeastern
216George Washington97.6Atlantic 10
217Wofford97.5Southern
218Queens97.4Atlantic Sun
219North Dakota St.97.4Summit
220La Salle97.4Atlantic 10
221Northwestern St.97.3Southland
222Texas St.97.0Sun Belt
223Delaware97.0Colonial Athletic
224Mercer97.0Southern
225Murray St.97.0Missouri Valley
226Purdue Fort Wayne96.8Horizon
227Rhode Island96.7Atlantic 10
228North Florida96.5Atlantic Sun
229Jacksonville96.5Atlantic Sun
230East Tennessee St.96.4Southern
231Florida Int’l96.4Conference USA
232Sacramento St.96.2Big Sky
233Loyola (Chi.)96.2Atlantic 10
234Jacksonville St.96.2Atlantic Sun
235Milwaukee96.2Horizon
236Northern Colorado96.1Big Sky
237Robert Morris96.1Horizon
238Northern Arizona96.1Big Sky
239Campbell96.1Big South
240Winthrop96.0Big South
241UT Arlington96.0Western Athletic
242Portland St.95.9Big Sky
243Western Carolina95.8Southern
244Morehead St.95.8Ohio Valley
245UMBC95.8America East
246Army95.5Patriot League
247Maryland Eastern Shore95.5Mideastern Athletic
248California95.5Pac-12
249Nicholls St.95.3Southland
250Howard95.3Mideastern Athletic
251Northern Illinois95.3Mid-American
252SIU Edwardsville95.3Ohio Valley
253Fairfield95.3Metro Atlantic
254Niagara95.2Metro Atlantic
255Bellarmine95.2Atlantic Sun
256North Alabama95.1Atlantic Sun
257Louisville95.1Atlantic Coast
258Idaho St.95.0Big Sky
259Southern95.0Southwestern Athletic
260Canisius94.9Metro Atlantic
261UT Rio Grande Valley94.9Western Athletic
262Illinois St.94.8Missouri Valley
263Alcorn St.94.7Southwestern Athletic
264UT-Martin94.4Ohio Valley
265USC Upstate94.4Big South
266Southern Indiana94.4Ohio Valley
267Boston University94.4Patriot League
268Valparaiso94.4Missouri Valley
269Coastal Carolina94.3Sun Belt
270Southeastern Louisiana94.2Southland
271Western Illinois94.1Summit
272Georgia St.94.1Sun Belt
273Oakland94.0Horizon
274Dartmouth94.0Ivy League
275Prairie View A&M93.9Southwestern Athletic
276Lafayette93.9Patriot League
277UC San Diego93.9Big West
278American93.8Patriot League
279Lehigh93.8Patriot League
280Southeast Missouri St.93.7Ohio Valley
281Louisiana Monroe93.6Sun Belt
282Miami (O)93.6Mid-American
283Bowling Green93.5Mid-American
284Mount St. Mary’s93.5Metro Atlantic
285Maine93.5America East
286Chicago St.93.4Independents
287North Dakota93.2Summit
288Tennessee St.93.2Ohio Valley
289Cal St. Bakersfield93.2Big West
290New Hampshire93.1America East
291Illinois Chicago93.0Missouri Valley
292South Dakota92.9Summit
293Tennessee Tech92.7Ohio Valley
294Arkansas St.92.6Sun Belt
295Wagner92.6Northeast
296Denver92.6Summit
297Bucknell92.5Patriot League
298Manhattan92.4Metro Atlantic
299Idaho92.4Big Sky
300Marist92.4Metro Atlantic
301High Point92.4Big South
302Tulsa92.4American Athletic
303Morgan St.92.3Mideastern Athletic
304UMKC92.3Summit
305Charleston Southern92.3Big South
306Texas Southern92.3Southwestern Athletic
307Northeastern92.3Colonial Athletic
308Saint Peter’s92.2Metro Atlantic
309Binghamton92.1America East
310Texas A&M Commerce92.1Southland
311Merrimack91.9Northeast
312Cal Poly91.8Big West
313North Carolina A&T91.8Colonial Athletic
314UTSA91.8Conference USA
315Eastern Michigan91.6Mid-American
316William & Mary91.6Colonial Athletic
317Western Michigan91.6Mid-American
318Jackson St.91.6Southwestern Athletic
319The Citadel91.4Southern
320Cal St. Northridge91.2Big West
321Fairleigh Dickinson91.1Northeast
322Loyola (MD)91.1Patriot League
323Alabama A&M91.1Southwestern Athletic
324Austin Peay90.8Atlantic Sun
325Central Michigan90.5Mid-American
326Elon90.4Colonial Athletic
327Stony Brook90.3Colonial Athletic
328Little Rock90.3Ohio Valley
329Omaha90.3Summit
330NJIT90.1America East
331Sacred Heart90.1Northeast
332Stonehill90.1Northeast
333Arkansas Pine Bluff90.0Southwestern Athletic
334St. Francis PA89.5Northeast
335Central Connecticut89.4Northeast
336McNeese St.89.0Southland
337Presbyterian88.9Big South
338Lindenwood88.8Ohio Valley
339Central Arkansas88.7Atlantic Sun
340Hampton88.6Colonial Athletic
341Albany88.4America East
342Incarnate Word88.3Southland
343Alabama St.88.2Southwestern Athletic
344Holy Cross88.2Patriot League
345Eastern Illinois88.1Ohio Valley
346South Carolina St.87.8Mideastern Athletic
347Columbia87.7Ivy League
348Evansville87.7Missouri Valley
349VMI87.7Southern
350New Orleans87.7Southland
351Coppin St.87.6Mideastern Athletic
352Bethune Cookman87.3Southwestern Athletic
353Houston Christian87.0Southland
354Monmouth87.0Colonial Athletic
355St. Francis NY86.7Northeast
356Florida A&M86.3Southwestern Athletic
357Delaware St.86.1Mideastern Athletic
358Mississippi Valley St.85.7Southwestern Athletic
359Lamar85.3Southland
360IUPUI83.8Horizon
361Green Bay82.6Horizon
362Hartford81.6Independents
363Long Island79.7Northeast

Alphabetical

#TeamPiRateConference
182Abilene Christian99.4Western Athletic
158Air Force100.6Mountain West
103Akron104.2Mid-American
1Alabama120.4Southeastern
323Alabama A&M91.1Southwestern Athletic
343Alabama St.88.2Southwestern Athletic
341Albany88.4America East
263Alcorn St.94.7Southwestern Athletic
278American93.8Patriot League
171Appalachian St.99.9Sun Belt
10Arizona116.3Pac-12
59Arizona St.109.1Pac-12
12Arkansas115.0Southeastern
333Arkansas Pine Bluff90.0Southwestern Athletic
294Arkansas St.92.6Sun Belt
246Army95.5Patriot League
25Auburn112.4Southeastern
324Austin Peay90.8Atlantic Sun
159Ball St.100.6Mid-American
11Baylor115.4Big 12
255Bellarmine95.2Atlantic Sun
116Belmont103.1Missouri Valley
352Bethune Cookman87.3Southwestern Athletic
309Binghamton92.1America East
38Boise St.111.2Mountain West
157Boston College100.6Atlantic Coast
267Boston University94.4Patriot League
283Bowling Green93.5Mid-American
77Bradley107.6Missouri Valley
187Brown99.1Ivy League
189Bryant98.9America East
297Bucknell92.5Patriot League
203Buffalo98.3Mid-American
109Butler104.0Big East
76BYU107.7West Coast
162Cal Baptist100.3Western Athletic
312Cal Poly91.8Big West
289Cal St. Bakersfield93.2Big West
134Cal St. Fullerton102.0Big West
320Cal St. Northridge91.2Big West
248California95.5Pac-12
239Campbell96.1Big South
260Canisius94.9Metro Atlantic
339Central Arkansas88.7Atlantic Sun
335Central Connecticut89.4Northeast
69Central Florida108.4American Athletic
325Central Michigan90.5Mid-American
68Charleston108.5Colonial Athletic
305Charleston Southern92.3Big South
115Charlotte103.2Conference USA
180Chattanooga99.4Southern
286Chicago St.93.4Independents
56Cincinnati109.2American Athletic
61Clemson109.0Atlantic Coast
201Cleveland St.98.6Horizon
269Coastal Carolina94.3Sun Belt
113Colgate103.6Patriot League
60Colorado109.1Pac-12
106Colorado St.104.1Mountain West
347Columbia87.7Ivy League
5Connecticut117.4Big East
351Coppin St.87.6Mideastern Athletic
143Cornell101.7Ivy League
13Creighton114.9Big East
274Dartmouth94.0Ivy League
130Davidson102.2Atlantic 10
65Dayton108.5Atlantic 10
223Delaware97.0Colonial Athletic
357Delaware St.86.1Mideastern Athletic
296Denver92.6Summit
132DePaul102.1Big East
212Detroit Mercy97.8Horizon
75Drake107.7Missouri Valley
195Drexel98.8Colonial Athletic
29Duke112.2Atlantic Coast
104Duquesne104.1Atlantic 10
211East Carolina97.9American Athletic
230East Tennessee St.96.4Southern
345Eastern Illinois88.1Ohio Valley
191Eastern Kentucky98.8Atlantic Sun
315Eastern Michigan91.6Mid-American
126Eastern Washington102.6Big Sky
326Elon90.4Colonial Athletic
348Evansville87.7Missouri Valley
253Fairfield95.3Metro Atlantic
321Fairleigh Dickinson91.1Northeast
51Florida109.7Southeastern
356Florida A&M86.3Southwestern Athletic
42Florida Atlantic110.8Conference USA
186Florida Gulf Coast99.2Atlantic Sun
231Florida Int’l96.4Conference USA
172Florida St.99.9Atlantic Coast
147Fordham101.2Atlantic 10
149Fresno St.101.2Mountain West
88Furman106.3Southern
194Gardner Webb98.8Big South
133George Mason102.0Atlantic 10
216George Washington97.6Atlantic 10
188Georgetown98.9Big East
136Georgia102.0Southeastern
204Georgia Southern98.2Sun Belt
272Georgia St.94.1Sun Belt
165Georgia Tech100.2Atlantic Coast
7Gonzaga116.7West Coast
206Grambling98.1Southwestern Athletic
120Grand Canyon102.9Western Athletic
361Green Bay82.6Horizon
340Hampton88.6Colonial Athletic
362Hartford81.6Independents
168Harvard99.9Ivy League
135Hawaii102.0Big West
301High Point92.4Big South
94Hofstra105.4Colonial Athletic
344Holy Cross88.2Patriot League
2Houston120.2American Athletic
353Houston Christian87.0Southland
250Howard95.3Mideastern Athletic
299Idaho92.4Big Sky
258Idaho St.95.0Big Sky
24Illinois112.5Big Ten
291Illinois Chicago93.0Missouri Valley
262Illinois St.94.8Missouri Valley
342Incarnate Word88.3Southland
17Indiana114.0Big Ten
96Indiana St.105.0Missouri Valley
73Iona107.8Metro Atlantic
32Iowa111.8Big Ten
26Iowa St.112.4Big 12
360IUPUI83.8Horizon
318Jackson St.91.6Southwestern Athletic
229Jacksonville96.5Atlantic Sun
234Jacksonville St.96.2Atlantic Sun
91James Madison105.7Sun Belt
6Kansas117.3Big 12
21Kansas St.113.4Big 12
142Kennesaw St.101.7Atlantic Sun
82Kent St.107.2Mid-American
20Kentucky113.4Southeastern
220La Salle97.4Atlantic 10
276Lafayette93.9Patriot League
359Lamar85.3Southland
279Lehigh93.8Patriot League
57Liberty109.1Atlantic Sun
338Lindenwood88.8Ohio Valley
170Lipscomb99.9Atlantic Sun
328Little Rock90.3Ohio Valley
163Long Beach St.100.3Big West
363Long Island79.7Northeast
156Longwood100.7Big South
105Louisiana104.1Sun Belt
281Louisiana Monroe93.6Sun Belt
153Louisiana Tech100.8Conference USA
257Louisville95.1Atlantic Coast
233Loyola (Chi.)96.2Atlantic 10
322Loyola (MD)91.1Patriot League
110Loyola Marymount103.9West Coast
127LSU102.5Southeastern
285Maine93.5America East
298Manhattan92.4Metro Atlantic
300Marist92.4Metro Atlantic
14Marquette114.8Big East
80Marshall107.4Sun Belt
19Maryland113.6Big Ten
247Maryland Eastern Shore95.5Mideastern Athletic
184Massachusetts99.3Atlantic 10
336McNeese St.89.0Southland
35Memphis111.6American Athletic
224Mercer97.0Southern
311Merrimack91.9Northeast
33Miami (Fla)111.8Atlantic Coast
282Miami (O)93.6Mid-American
41Michigan111.0Big Ten
31Michigan St.111.9Big Ten
121Middle Tennessee102.8Conference USA
235Milwaukee96.2Horizon
207Minnesota98.1Big Ten
99Mississippi104.7Southeastern
44Mississippi St.110.6Southeastern
358Mississippi Valley St.85.7Southwestern Athletic
49Missouri109.8Southeastern
151Missouri St.101.0Missouri Valley
354Monmouth87.0Colonial Athletic
175Montana99.6Big Sky
122Montana St.102.8Big Sky
244Morehead St.95.8Ohio Valley
303Morgan St.92.3Mideastern Athletic
284Mount St. Mary’s93.5Metro Atlantic
225Murray St.97.0Missouri Valley
181Navy99.4Patriot League
93Nebraska105.6Big Ten
48Nevada110.0Mountain West
290New Hampshire93.1America East
52New Mexico109.6Mountain West
183New Mexico St.99.3Western Athletic
350New Orleans87.7Southland
254Niagara95.2Metro Atlantic
249Nicholls St.95.3Southland
330NJIT90.1America East
178Norfolk St.99.5Mideastern Athletic
256North Alabama95.1Atlantic Sun
34North Carolina111.8Atlantic Coast
313North Carolina A&T91.8Colonial Athletic
197North Carolina Central98.7Mideastern Athletic
45North Carolina St.110.5Atlantic Coast
287North Dakota93.2Summit
219North Dakota St.97.4Summit
228North Florida96.5Atlantic Sun
78North Texas107.5Conference USA
307Northeastern92.3Colonial Athletic
238Northern Arizona96.1Big Sky
236Northern Colorado96.1Big Sky
251Northern Illinois95.3Mid-American
209Northern Iowa97.9Missouri Valley
179Northern Kentucky99.4Horizon
46Northwestern110.4Big Ten
221Northwestern St.97.3Southland
145Notre Dame101.3Atlantic Coast
273Oakland94.0Horizon
148Ohio101.2Mid-American
54Ohio St.109.5Big Ten
53Oklahoma109.6Big 12
40Oklahoma St.111.1Big 12
155Old Dominion100.7Sun Belt
329Omaha90.3Summit
72Oral Roberts108.0Summit
47Oregon110.3Pac-12
199Oregon St.98.7Pac-12
208Pacific98.0West Coast
139Penn101.9Ivy League
50Penn St.109.7Big Ten
190Pepperdine98.8West Coast
62Pittsburgh109.0Atlantic Coast
166Portland100.1West Coast
242Portland St.95.9Big Sky
275Prairie View A&M93.9Southwestern Athletic
337Presbyterian88.9Big South
124Princeton102.7Ivy League
30Providence111.9Big East
8Purdue116.5Big Ten
226Purdue Fort Wayne96.8Horizon
218Queens97.4Atlantic Sun
177Quinnipiac99.5Metro Atlantic
185Radford99.2Big South
227Rhode Island96.7Atlantic 10
193Rice98.8Conference USA
146Richmond101.2Atlantic 10
205Rider98.2Metro Atlantic
237Robert Morris96.1Horizon
27Rutgers112.4Big Ten
232Sacramento St.96.2Big Sky
331Sacred Heart90.1Northeast
202Saint Joseph’s98.5Atlantic 10
95Saint Louis105.3Atlantic 10
15Saint Mary’s114.6West Coast
308Saint Peter’s92.2Metro Atlantic
81Sam Houston St.107.3Western Athletic
131Samford102.2Southern
213San Diego97.8West Coast
22San Diego St.113.3Mountain West
112San Francisco103.8West Coast
117San Jose St.103.1Mountain West
86Santa Clara106.6West Coast
140Seattle101.9Western Athletic
66Seton Hall108.5Big East
196Siena98.7Metro Atlantic
252SIU Edwardsville95.3Ohio Valley
169SMU99.9American Athletic
114South Alabama103.4Sun Belt
215South Carolina97.7Southeastern
346South Carolina St.87.8Mideastern Athletic
292South Dakota92.9Summit
160South Dakota St.100.6Summit
141South Florida101.8American Athletic
280Southeast Missouri St.93.7Ohio Valley
270Southeastern Louisiana94.2Southland
259Southern95.0Southwestern Athletic
128Southern Illinois102.5Missouri Valley
266Southern Indiana94.4Ohio Valley
101Southern Miss104.3Sun Belt
102Southern Utah104.3Western Athletic
173St. Bonaventure99.8Atlantic 10
355St. Francis NY86.7Northeast
334St. Francis PA89.5Northeast
84St. John’s106.7Big East
214St. Thomas97.8Summit
87Stanford106.3Pac-12
118Stephen F. Austin103.0Western Athletic
174Stetson99.7Atlantic Sun
332Stonehill90.1Northeast
327Stony Brook90.3Colonial Athletic
97Syracuse104.9Atlantic Coast
161Tarleton St.100.3Western Athletic
18TCU113.8Big 12
111Temple103.9American Athletic
3Tennessee118.6Southeastern
288Tennessee St.93.2Ohio Valley
293Tennessee Tech92.7Ohio Valley
9Texas116.5Big 12
28Texas A&M112.3Southeastern
200Texas A&M CC98.6Southland
310Texas A&M Commerce92.1Southland
306Texas Southern92.3Southwestern Athletic
222Texas St.97.0Sun Belt
43Texas Tech110.7Big 12
319The Citadel91.4Southern
90Toledo106.2Mid-American
137Towson102.0Colonial Athletic
138Troy102.0Sun Belt
85Tulane106.7American Athletic
302Tulsa92.4American Athletic
55UAB109.2Conference USA
154UC Davis100.7Big West
100UC Irvine104.5Big West
144UC Riverside101.4Big West
277UC San Diego93.9Big West
125UC Santa Barbara102.7Big West
4UCLA118.5Pac-12
129UMass Lowell102.2America East
245UMBC95.8America East
304UMKC92.3Summit
150UNC Asheville101.0Big South
108UNC Greensboro104.0Southern
167UNC Wilmington99.9Colonial Athletic
89UNLV106.2Mountain West
36USC111.6Pac-12
265USC Upstate94.4Big South
241UT Arlington96.0Western Athletic
261UT Rio Grande Valley94.9Western Athletic
264UT-Martin94.4Ohio Valley
63Utah108.9Pac-12
39Utah St.111.1Mountain West
192Utah Tech98.8Western Athletic
92Utah Valley105.6Western Athletic
198UTEP98.7Conference USA
314UTSA91.8Conference USA
268Valparaiso94.4Missouri Valley
83Vanderbilt107.0Southeastern
71VCU108.0Atlantic 10
123Vermont102.8America East
58Villanova109.1Big East
37Virginia111.5Atlantic Coast
70Virginia Tech108.3Atlantic Coast
349VMI87.7Southern
295Wagner92.6Northeast
79Wake Forest107.4Atlantic Coast
98Washington104.8Pac-12
67Washington St.108.5Pac-12
210Weber St.97.9Big Sky
23West Virginia113.2Big 12
243Western Carolina95.8Southern
271Western Illinois94.1Summit
164Western Kentucky100.2Conference USA
317Western Michigan91.6Mid-American
107Wichita St.104.1American Athletic
316William & Mary91.6Colonial Athletic
240Winthrop96.0Big South
64Wisconsin108.6Big Ten
217Wofford97.5Southern
176Wright St.99.6Horizon
152Wyoming100.8Mountain West
16Xavier114.2Big East
74Yale107.8Ivy League
119Youngstown St.102.9Horizon

PiRate Ratings By Conference

America East
TeamRating
Vermont102.8
UMass Lowell102.2
Bryant98.9
UMBC95.8
Maine93.5
New Hampshire93.1
Binghamton92.1
NJIT90.1
Albany88.4
American Athletic
TeamRating
Houston120.2
Memphis111.6
Cincinnati109.2
Central Florida108.4
Tulane106.7
Wichita St.104.1
Temple103.9
South Florida101.8
SMU99.9
East Carolina97.9
Tulsa92.4
Atlantic 10
TeamRating
Dayton108.5
VCU108.0
Saint Louis105.3
Duquesne104.1
Davidson102.2
George Mason102.0
Richmond101.2
Fordham101.2
St. Bonaventure99.8
Massachusetts99.3
Saint Joseph’s98.5
George Washington97.6
La Salle97.4
Rhode Island96.7
Loyola (Chi.)96.2
Atlantic Coast
TeamRating
Duke112.2
Miami (Fla)111.8
North Carolina111.8
Virginia111.5
North Carolina St.110.5
Clemson109.0
Pittsburgh109.0
Virginia Tech108.3
Wake Forest107.4
Syracuse104.9
Notre Dame101.3
Boston College100.6
Georgia Tech100.2
Florida St.99.9
Louisville95.1
Atlantic Sun
TeamRating
Liberty109.1
Kennesaw St.101.7
Lipscomb99.9
Stetson99.7
Florida Gulf Coast99.2
Eastern Kentucky98.8
Queens97.4
North Florida96.5
Jacksonville96.5
Jacksonville St.96.2
Bellarmine95.2
North Alabama95.1
Austin Peay90.8
Central Arkansas88.7
Big 12
TeamRating
Kansas117.3
Texas116.5
Baylor115.4
TCU113.8
Kansas St.113.4
West Virginia113.2
Iowa St.112.4
Oklahoma St.111.1
Texas Tech110.7
Oklahoma109.6
Big East
TeamRating
Connecticut117.4
Creighton114.9
Marquette114.8
Xavier114.2
Providence111.9
Villanova109.1
Seton Hall108.5
St. John’s106.7
Butler104.0
DePaul102.1
Georgetown98.9
Big Sky
TeamRating
Montana St.102.8
Eastern Washington102.6
Montana99.6
Weber St.97.9
Sacramento St.96.2
Northern Colorado96.1
Northern Arizona96.1
Portland St.95.9
Idaho St.95.0
Idaho92.4
Big South
TeamRating
UNC Asheville101.0
Longwood100.7
Radford99.2
Gardner Webb98.8
Campbell96.1
Winthrop96.0
USC Upstate94.4
High Point92.4
Charleston Southern92.3
Presbyterian88.9
Big Ten
TeamRating
Purdue116.5
Indiana114.0
Maryland113.6
Illinois112.5
Rutgers112.4
Michigan St.111.9
Iowa111.8
Michigan111.0
Northwestern110.4
Penn St.109.7
Ohio St.109.5
Wisconsin108.6
Nebraska105.6
Minnesota98.1
Big West
TeamRating
UC Irvine104.5
UC Santa Barbara102.7
Cal St. Fullerton102.0
Hawaii102.0
UC Riverside101.4
UC Davis100.7
Long Beach St.100.3
UC San Diego93.9
Cal St. Bakersfield93.2
Cal Poly91.8
Cal St. Northridge91.2
Colonial Athletic
TeamRating
Charleston108.5
Hofstra105.4
Towson102.0
UNC Wilmington99.9
Drexel98.8
Delaware97.0
Northeastern92.3
North Carolina A&T91.8
William & Mary91.6
Elon90.4
Stony Brook90.3
Hampton88.6
Monmouth87.0
Conference USA
TeamRating
Florida Atlantic110.8
UAB109.2
North Texas107.5
Charlotte103.2
Middle Tennessee102.8
Louisiana Tech100.8
Western Kentucky100.2
Rice98.8
UTEP98.7
Florida Int’l96.4
UTSA91.8
Horizon
TeamRating
Youngstown St.102.9
Wright St.99.6
Northern Kentucky99.4
Cleveland St.98.6
Detroit Mercy97.8
Purdue Fort Wayne96.8
Milwaukee96.2
Robert Morris96.1
Oakland94.0
IUPUI83.8
Green Bay82.6
Independents
TeamRating
Chicago St.93.4
Hartford81.6
Ivy League
TeamRating
Yale107.8
Princeton102.7
Penn101.9
Cornell101.7
Harvard99.9
Brown99.1
Dartmouth94.0
Columbia87.7
Metro Atlantic
TeamRating
Iona107.8
Quinnipiac99.5
Siena98.7
Rider98.2
Fairfield95.3
Niagara95.2
Canisius94.9
Mount St. Mary’s93.5
Manhattan92.4
Marist92.4
Saint Peter’s92.2
Mid-American
TeamRating
Kent St.107.2
Toledo106.2
Akron104.2
Ohio101.2
Ball St.100.6
Buffalo98.3
Northern Illinois95.3
Miami (O)93.6
Bowling Green93.5
Eastern Michigan91.6
Western Michigan91.6
Central Michigan90.5
Mideastern Athletic
TeamRating
Norfolk St.99.5
North Carolina Central98.7
Maryland Eastern Shore95.5
Howard95.3
Morgan St.92.3
South Carolina St.87.8
Coppin St.87.6
Delaware St.86.1
Missouri Valley
TeamRating
Drake107.7
Bradley107.6
Indiana St.105.0
Belmont103.1
Southern Illinois102.5
Missouri St.101.0
Northern Iowa97.9
Murray St.97.0
Illinois St.94.8
Valparaiso94.4
Illinois Chicago93.0
Evansville87.7
Mountain West
TeamRating
San Diego St.113.3
Boise St.111.2
Utah St.111.1
Nevada110.0
New Mexico109.6
UNLV106.2
Colorado St.104.1
San Jose St.103.1
Fresno St.101.2
Wyoming100.8
Air Force100.6
Northeast
TeamRating
Wagner92.6
Merrimack91.9
Fairleigh Dickinson91.1
Sacred Heart90.1
Stonehill90.1
St. Francis PA89.5
Central Connecticut89.4
St. Francis NY86.7
Long Island79.7
Ohio Valley
TeamRating
Morehead St.95.8
SIU Edwardsville95.3
UT-Martin94.4
Southern Indiana94.4
Southeast Missouri St.93.7
Tennessee St.93.2
Tennessee Tech92.7
Little Rock90.3
Lindenwood88.8
Eastern Illinois88.1
Pac-12
TeamRating
UCLA118.5
Arizona116.3
USC111.6
Oregon110.3
Arizona St.109.1
Colorado109.1
Utah108.9
Washington St.108.5
Stanford106.3
Washington104.8
Oregon St.98.7
California95.5
Patriot League
TeamRating
Colgate103.6
Navy99.4
Army95.5
Boston University94.4
Lafayette93.9
American93.8
Lehigh93.8
Bucknell92.5
Loyola (MD)91.1
Holy Cross88.2
Southeastern
TeamRating
Alabama120.4
Tennessee118.6
Arkansas115.0
Kentucky113.4
Auburn112.4
Texas A&M112.3
Mississippi St.110.6
Missouri109.8
Florida109.7
Vanderbilt107.0
Mississippi104.7
LSU102.5
Georgia102.0
South Carolina97.7
Southern
TeamRating
Furman106.3
UNC Greensboro104.0
Samford102.2
Chattanooga99.4
Wofford97.5
Mercer97.0
East Tennessee St.96.4
Western Carolina95.8
The Citadel91.4
VMI87.7
Southland
TeamRating
Texas A&M CC98.6
Northwestern St.97.3
Nicholls St.95.3
Southeastern Louisiana94.2
Texas A&M Commerce92.1
McNeese St.89.0
Incarnate Word88.3
New Orleans87.7
Houston Christian87.0
Lamar85.3
Southwestern Athletic
TeamRating
Grambling98.1
Southern95.0
Alcorn St.94.7
Prairie View A&M93.9
Texas Southern92.3
Jackson St.91.6
Alabama A&M91.1
Arkansas Pine Bluff90.0
Alabama St.88.2
Bethune Cookman87.3
Florida A&M86.3
Mississippi Valley St.85.7
Summit
TeamRating
Oral Roberts108.0
South Dakota St.100.6
St. Thomas97.8
North Dakota St.97.4
Western Illinois94.1
North Dakota93.2
South Dakota92.9
Denver92.6
UMKC92.3
Omaha90.3
Sun Belt
TeamRating
Marshall107.4
James Madison105.7
Southern Miss104.3
Louisiana104.1
South Alabama103.4
Troy102.0
Old Dominion100.7
Appalachian St.99.9
Georgia Southern98.2
Texas St.97.0
Coastal Carolina94.3
Georgia St.94.1
Louisiana Monroe93.6
Arkansas St.92.6
West Coast
TeamRating
Gonzaga116.7
Saint Mary’s114.6
BYU107.7
Santa Clara106.6
Loyola Marymount103.9
San Francisco103.8
Portland100.1
Pepperdine98.8
Pacific98.0
San Diego97.8
Western Athletic
TeamRating
Sam Houston St.107.3
Utah Valley105.6
Southern Utah104.3
Stephen F. Austin103.0
Grand Canyon102.9
Seattle101.9
Tarleton St.100.3
Cal Baptist100.3
Abilene Christian99.4
New Mexico St.99.3
Utah Tech98.8
UT Arlington96.0
UT Rio Grande Valley94.9

Coming Later Today: Updated Bracketology

February 22, 2023

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Wednesday, February 22, 2023

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 2:00 am
HomeVisitorSpread
Abilene ChristianStephen F. Austin-0.4
AmericanNavy-1.9
ArmyBoston U.4.0
AuburnMississippi12.4
BelmontIndiana St.0.0
Boise St.New Mexico5.1
Boston CollegeVirginia-9.8
Central ArkansasJacksonville St.-2.7
Central FloridaSouth Florida10.4
ChattanoogaSamford0.1
CincinnatiTemple8.6
ClemsonSyracuse4.9
ConnecticutProvidence8.2
DavidsonSt. Bonaventure4.4
DePaulButler1.0
DrakeIllinois St.15.2
East Tennessee St.The Citadel6.9
Eastern IllinoisMorehead St.-4.4
EvansvilleIllinois Chicago-2.3
FloridaKentucky1.3
Florida Gulf CoastLipscomb2.8
FurmanMercer12.4
GeorgetownSt. John’s-4.3
Georgia SouthernCoastal Carolina5.8
Georgia St.Appalachian St.-1.7
High PointRadford-5.1
HoustonTulane15.4
JacksonvilleBellarmine4.2
James MadisonMarshall1.1
La SalleDuquesne-2.9
LafayetteColgate-7.0
LehighBucknell3.2
LouisianaArkansas St.14.3
Louisiana MonroeTroy-5.2
Loyola (Chi)Fordham-2.5
Loyola (MD)Holy Cross3.6
LSUVanderbilt-1.2
MarylandMinnesota18.4
MassachusettsDayton-6.3
New HampshireMaine2.6
NJITBryant-6.2
North AlabamaKennesaw St.-2.5
North Carolina St.Wake Forest6.5
North FloridaEastern Kentucky-0.9
Notre DameNorth Carolina-7.6
Old DominionSouthern Miss.-1.4
PresbyterianUSC Upstate-2.0
QueensLiberty-8.9
Rhode IslandGeorge Washington2.5
South CarolinaAlabama-20.7
Southern IllinoisNorthern Iowa6.1
StetsonAustin Peay10.6
Texas St.South Alabama-3.5
UMBCUMass Lowell-3.1
UNC AshevilleCharleston Southern11.0
UNC GreensboroWestern Carolina10.6
ValparaisoBradley-10.6
VermontBinghamton12.9
VMIWofford-7.4
WinthropCampbell2.6
WisconsinIowa-1.1
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