The Pi-Rate Ratings

October 17, 2018

PiRate Ratings Selections for October 18-22, 2018

Last week was the first down week for our Land Sharps, as overall, they suffered their first cumulative loss of the season.  Overall, the five geniuses went an accumulated 11-17-1.  Dean615 did have his best record of the season, finishing 4-1, but Buckeye Michelle and Cal Gal Tiffany combined to go 1-6-1.

Don’t even ask about the PiRate Ratings.  This is our worst year making these selections since the 1990’s, and if it wasn’t for a rally on Sunday with three wins out of three, it would have been disastrous.  Of course, it isn’t really disastrous for us, because these picks are only for entertainment purposes, and thus no money was wagered.  Please take this advice and use our selections the same way.

The Land Sharps

Cal Gal Tiffany

Season: 22-14-0  61.1%  18.3% ROI

Arizona St. +3 vs. Stanford

California -6.5 vs. Oregon St.

USC +7 vs. Utah

Wyoming +15.5 vs. Utah St.

Kentucky -11 vs. Vanderbilt

 

Buckeye Michelle

Season: 17-11-1  60.7%  16.9% ROI

Army -8 vs. Miami (O)

UTSA +18 vs. Southern Miss.

Wyoming +15.5 vs. Utah St.

Georgia Southern -12 vs. New Mexico St.

North Carolina St. +17 vs. Clemson

 

Dean 615

Season: 14-10-0  58.3%  12.5% ROI

Michigan St. +7.5 vs. Michigan

Purdue +13.5 vs. Ohio St.

LSU -6.5 vs. Mississippi St.

Penn St. -14 vs. Indiana

SMU +7.5 vs. Tulane

USC +7 vs. Utah

Navy +13 vs. Houston

 

Friday Dog 13

Season: 18-13-1  58.1%  11.6% ROI

Utah St. -14.5 vs. Wyoming

Ohio U -16.5 vs. Bowling Green

Central Florida -21 vs. East Carolina

Hawaii -3 vs. Nevada

LSU -6.5 vs. Mississippi St.

Iowa -9 vs. Maryland

Washington -15.5 vs. Colorado

 

Stewed Meat

Season: 19-19-0  50.0%  -5% ROI

Louisiana-Lafayette +25.5 vs. Appalachian St.

Eastern Michigan -3 vs. Ball St.

Western Michigan -4 vs. Central Michigan

Connecticut +34 vs. South Florida

Kentucky -11 vs. Vanderbilt

Marshall +3 vs. Florida Atlantic

Missouri -9 vs. Memphis

 

The PiRate Ratings Picks For October 18-22, 2018

College 10-point Teasers (3 game parlays at 11-10)

Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Air Force UNLV 1 Air Force
Michigan Michigan St. 17.5 Michigan St.
Toledo Buffalo 10 Buffalo

 

Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Utah St. Wyoming 25.5 Wyoming
Clemson North Carolina St. 27 North Carolina St.
Florida St. Wake Forest 0.5 Florida St.

 

Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Penn St. Indiana 0.5 Penn St.
Memphis Missouri 0.5 Missouri
Georgia Southern New Mexico St. 2.5 Georgia Southern

 

Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Mississippi St. LSU 3.5 LSU
Central Florida East Carolina 11 Central Florida
South Florida Connecticut 44 Connecticut

 

Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Louisiana-Monroe Texas St. 0.5 Louisiana-Monroe
Kentucky Vanderbilt 1 Kentucky
Fresno St. New Mexico 4 Fresno St.

 

College 13-Point Teasers (4 game parlays at 13-10)

Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Stanford Arizona St. 10.5 Arizona St.
TCU Oklahoma 5 Oklahoma
Miami (O) Army 5.5 Army
Maryland Iowa 3 Iowa

 

Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
North Carolina Syracuse 3.5 Syracuse
Oregon St. California 6.5 California
Oregon Washington St. 10.5 Washington St.
Utah USC 19.5 USC

 

College Money Line Parlays

4 Teams @ +254
Winner Loser
Army Miami (O)
Iowa Maryland
Duke Virginia
Western Michigan Central Michigan

 

2 Teams @ +693
Winner Loser
Minnesota Nebraska
USC Utah

 

NFL Picks vs. The Spread

Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Denver Arizona 2 Arizona
Tampa Bay Cleveland 3 Cleveland
Philadelphia Carolina 5 Carolina
Indianapolis Buffalo 7.5 Buffalo
Baltimore New Orleans 2.5 New Orleans

 

NFL 10-Point Teasers (3 Games at 11-10)

Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Tennessee L.A. Chargers 3.5 L.A. Chargers
Chicago New England 7 New England
Philadelphia Carolina 15 Carolina

 

Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Indianapolis Buffalo 17.5 Buffalo
Jacksonville Houston 15.5 Houston
San Francisco L.A. Rams 0.5 L.A. Rams

 

Team A Team B Total Pick
N.Y. Jets Minnesota 37 Over
Washington Dallas 31.5 Over
Philadelphia Carolina 35.5 Over

 

 

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October 9, 2018

PiRate Ratings Selections for October 9-15, 2018

Filed under: PiRate Picks_College & Pro — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 9:47 am

We’ve read your comments.  A couple dozen came in over the weekend telling us to defer to the Land Sharps.  Yes, all five of our guest selectors now have winning records for the season.  You heard that right.  Very few amateur handicappers can sustain a winning record against the spread plus the vigorish over the course of a couple of weeks, yet all five of our Land Sharps have done so after 6 weeks of the season.

As for your official PiRate picks, don’t ask.  We are suffering through a malaise, so by popular demand, we will present the Land Sharp picks first and then follow with our ridiculous 25 selections for the week.  We are going to just toss all the darts at once and hope 13 or more stick to the board.

You may notice that we are presenting this feature a day early this week.  There is a valid reason.  There is a Tuesday night college game, and one Sharp selected it.

This Week’s Sharps’ Selections

Cal Gal Tiffany

Season: 22-11 66.7% vs. the Spread with ROI of 30.0%

Central Florida -4 vs. Memphis
Virginia Tech -5 1/2 vs. North Carolina
Hawaii +14 1/2 vs. BYU

 

Buckeye Michelle

Season: 16-8-1  66.7% vs. the Spread with ROI of 28.8%

Hawaii +14 1/2 vs. BYU
Colorado +7 1/2 vs. USC
UTSA +13 1/2 vs. Louisiana Tech
South Carolina +3 vs. Texas A&M
Kansas St. +7 vs. Oklahoma St.

 

Friday Dog 13

Season: 15-9-1  62.5% vs. the Spread with ROI of 20.4%

Virginia Tech -5 1/2 vs. UNC
Fresno State -19 vs. Wyoming
Central Florida -4 vs. Memphis
Ole Miss -6 vs. Arkansas
Utah State -24 vs. UNLV
Florida -7 vs. Vanderbilt
Northwestern -4 vs. Nebraska

 

Stewed Meat

Season: 16-13  55.2% vs. the Spread with ROI of 5.9%

Arkansas St. +10 1/2 vs. Appalachian St.
Tennessee +15 1/2 vs. Auburn
Arizona +14 vs. Utah
Georgia -7 vs. LSU
Oregon +3 1/2 vs. Washington
Baylor +14 1/2 vs. Texas
Illinois +10 1/2 vs. Purdue
Central Florida -4 1/2 vs. Memphis
New Mexico Pk. vs. Colorado St.

 

Dean615

Season: 10-9  52.6% vs. the Spread with ROI of 0.5%

Notre Dame -20 1/2 vs. Pittsburgh
Iowa -4 1/2 vs. Indiana
Florida -7 vs. Vanderbilt
Texas Tech +7 1/2 vs. TCU
Tennessee +15 1/2 vs. Auburn

 

The Official PiRate Ratings Selections

We are going with an astronomical 25 selections this week, because we keep choosing about 7 each week out of 25 that we like, and we keep choosing the wrong 7.  So, we are going with every selection we liked, since so many we didn’t choose in recent weeks were winners.

Picks vs. the Spread

Ole Miss -6 vs. Arkansas
Hawaii +14 1/2 vs. BYU
Coastal Carolina -4 1/2 vs. UL-Monroe
Central Florida -4 vs. Memphis
Virginia Tech -5 1/2 vs. North Carolina
Northwestern -4 vs. Nebraska
Washington -3 vs. Oregon
Penn St. -13 1/2 vs. Michigan St.
Army -14 1/2 vs. San Jose St.
Georgia Southern -16 1/2 vs. Texas St.
UTSA + 13 1/2 vs. Louisiana Tech
Colorado +7 1/2 vs. USC

10-point Teasers

All 3-game parlays at 11-10

Alabama -18 vs. Missouri
Tennessee +26 1/2 vs. Auburn
Hawaii +24 1/2 vs. BYU

Boston College -3 1/2 vs. Louisville
New Mexico +11 1/2 vs. Colorado St.
Eastern Michigan +11 1/2 vs. Toledo

Duke +12 vs. Georgia Tech
Iowa St. +17 vs. West Virginia
Georgia +3 vs. LSU

Maryland -14 vs. Rutgers
Miami (O) -1/2 vs. Kent St.
Northwestern +6 vs. Nebraska

Ohio St. -19 1/2 vs. Minnesota
UAB -6 vs. Rice
San Diego St.  Pk vs. Air Force

Army -4 1/2 vs. San Jose St.
Texas A&M +8 vs. South Carolina
Texas -4 vs. Baylor

Arizona +24 vs. Utah
Florida +3 vs. Vanderbilt
Miami (Fla.) +4 vs. Virginia

 

Money Line Parlays

@ +191 $100 invested would return $291 with a win

Northwestern over Nebraska  
UAB over Rice  
South Florida over Tulsa 
Boston College over Louisville 

 

@+175 $100 invested would return $275 with a win

Central Florida over Memphis
San Diego St. over Air Force 
Buffalo over Akron 
Texas over Baylor

 

@+151 $100 invested would return $251 with a win

Florida over Vanderbilt 
Western Michigan over Bowling Green 
Georgia over LSU  
Army over San Jose St.

 

NFL 10-point Teasers 
(Totals) @11-10 3-game parlays
Team Team Total Pick
Philadelphia N.Y. Giants 34 Over
Arizona Minnesota 33 Over
Carolina Washington 35 Over
Team Team Total Pick
Indianapolis N.Y. Jets 35 Over
Cincinnati Pittsburgh 63 Under
L.A. Chargers Cleveland 33.5 Over
Team Team Total Pick
Chicago Miami 32 Over
Jacksonville Dallas 30 Over
San Francisco Green Bay 36 Over

 

NOTE: All wagers are strictly for entertainment purposes only.  These are imaginary currencies invested in imaginary books.  We do not bet on these games.  While Stewed Meat is a professional, these are not the actual picks Stewed has invested real currency at a real book in Nevada. 

Stewed is fortunate enough to receive the “Outlaw Line” before the Opening Line is issued.  Stewed’s real strategy is to isolate odds that are off by at least 3 points and then play both sides of the key games. 

For instance, if Team A is a 14 1/2 point favorite on the late Saturday night Outlaw Line, and Stewed believes the true spread should be 11, Stewed will put a 5-figure wager on Team B at +14 1/2.  Then, after the opening line is listed at 12 because Stewed and other Sharps knew better, and then when the line lowers to 11 because many in the general public also think they know better, Stewed wagers the same 5-figure amount on Team A at -11. 

If the actual game score comes in at 12, 13, or 14 (three very frequent game spreads), Stewed wins both wagers and makes a lot of profit.  Otherwise, Stewed will win one of the two wagers, unless the spread is exactly 11 points, in which Stewed wins one wager and pushes on the other.  All Stewed needs to do to turn a profit is to have a game come between the two spreads 1 out of every 19 games.  This is wagering with a margin of safety that none of the rest of us amateurs can do.

August 27, 2018

PiRate Ratings–College Football Week 1

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 9:55 am

Since only a handful of games were played in Week 0, and the ratings barely moved, we will dispense with posting a new set of ratings this week and feature just our spreads for Week 1 and combine our Selections against the Spread For Week 1, as there are no NFL games this weekend.

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

Thursday, August 30
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias
Connecticut Central Florida -24.2 -23.5 -25.4
Purdue Northwestern -4.0 -3.2 -5.8
Minnesota New Mexico St. 27.5 23.4 26.3
Tulane Wake Forest -12.8 -10.4 -10.7
Friday, August 31
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias
Michigan St. Utah St. 33.9 29.8 33.1
Western Michigan Syracuse -12.2 -7.8 -9.2
Wisconsin Western Kentucky 45.7 37.6 45.2
Colorado (n) Colorado St. 13.7 13.5 14.5
Stanford San Diego St. 24.6 21.0 24.2
Duke Army 20.2 16.5 19.4
Saturday, September 1
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias
Oklahoma Florida Atlantic 20.5 17.7 19.6
Rice Houston -26.2 -24.5 -29.0
Ohio St. Oregon St. 36.1 35.8 38.2
Penn St. Appalachian St. 36.8 31.6 35.9
Nebraska Akron 12.9 9.6 10.0
Boston College Massachusetts 27.5 21.3 25.2
Illinois Kent St. 16.2 14.5 15.8
Rutgers Texas St. 30.5 25.7 28.7
Florida Int’l. Indiana -13.3 -7.0 -12.2
Iowa Northern Illinois 20.0 15.1 18.4
Maryland (n) Texas -18.4 -19.2 -19.8
Troy Boise St. -14.9 -12.1 -13.7
South Alabama Louisiana Tech -9.8 -10.1 -10.0
Miami (O) Marshall -0.3 -0.7 0.9
North Texas SMU -0.6 3.9 1.1
Vanderbilt Middle Tennessee 6.9 5.6 4.6
Arizona BYU 17.0 13.6 16.7
Arizona St. UTSA 28.2 20.6 25.2
USC UNLV 26.4 22.9 25.1
UCLA Cincinnati 18.4 16.7 16.5
Auburn (n) Washington -4.6 -2.3 -4.8
Kentucky Central Michigan 24.5 19.2 23.6
Texas Tech (n) Ole Miss 0.7 -1.0 -1.9
South Carolina Coastal Carolina 42.2 37.8 41.1
West Virginia (n) Tennessee 11.2 9.2 10.7
California North Carolina 9.5 7.6 10.1
Wyoming Washington St. -4.5 -2.8 -2.5
Oregon Bowling Green 32.3 32.2 32.3
Liberty Old Dominion -9.8 -14.9 -12.3
Notre Dame Michigan 6.9 3.9 4.0
Alabama (n) Louisville 28.4 25.5 30.7
Hawaii Navy -17.6 -18.6 -19.4
Sunday, September 2
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias
LSU (n) Miami (Fla.) -10.2 -7.9 -9.4
Monday, September 3
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias
Florida St. Virginia Tech 0.2 0.1 0.2

(n) means neutral site game, but some teams may receive a little advantage for playing close to home.

FBS vs. FCS Games–PiRate Rating Spread Only

FBS vs. FCS
Home Visitor PiRate
Ball St. Central Conn. 5.1
Georgia St. Kennesaw St. 3.6
Oklahoma St. Missouri St. 40.9
San Jose St. UC-Davis -0.9
Texas A&M Northwestern St. 40.6
UAB Savannah St. 28.8
Utah Weber St. 22.0
Eastern Michigan Monmouth 20.0
Air Force Stony Brook 13.7
Arkansas Eastern Illinois 29.8
Arkansas St. SE Missouri 24.9
Baylor Abilene Christian 31.3
Buffalo Delaware St. 38.6
Charlotte Fordham 10.8
Clemson Furman 43.7
East Carolina N.C. A&T 9.9
Florida Chas. Southern 32.5
Fresno St. Idaho 21.0
Georgia Austin Peay 47.8
Georgia Southern S. Carolina St. 22.3
Georgia Tech Alcorn St. 39.9
Iowa St. South Dakota St. 16.5
Kansas Nicholls St. 10.6
Kansas St. South Dakota 25.2
La.-Monroe SE Louisiana 10.1
Louisiana Grambling 10.2
Memphis Mercer 32.9
Mississippi St. S F Austin 44.3
Missouri UT-Martin 29.3
N. Carolina St. James Madison 17.2
Nevada Portland St. 21.0
New Mexico Incarnate Word 27.8
Ohio U Howard 34.7
Pittsburgh Albany 30.1
South Florida Elon 28.7
Southern Miss. Jackson St. 35.4
TCU Southern 47.6
Temple Villanova 18.8
Toledo VMI 42.4
Tulsa Central Arkansas 10.0
UTEP Northern Arizona -6.0
Virginia Richmond 15.6

PiRate Ratings Picks Versus The Spread

This year, we are going to stick our necks out and go with straight spread and totals wagering in our imaginary picks with an imaginary bank account.

Remember: We never lose money on these picks, because they are strictly for fun.  We suggest you use these selections the same way.

Unless otherwise stated, all of our pretend picks will be for $100 imaginary.

Date 8/27-9/3 $100 per pick
Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Purdue Northwestern 2 1/2 Northwestern
Michigan St. Utah St. 23 Michigan St.
Penn St. Appalachian St. 23 1/2 Penn St.
Nebraska Akron 24 1/2 Akron
Iowa Northern Illinois 10 Iowa
Texas Maryland 13 Texas
California North Carolina 7 California

 

 

 

January 5, 2017

Ratings & Spreads For 2017 National Championship Game

Just the Facts, Please

NCAA FBS National Championship Game

#1 Alabama Crimson Tide (14-0) vs. #2 Clemson Tigers (13-1) 

Date: Monday, January 9, 2017

Time: 8:00 PM Eastern Standard

TV: ESPN

Online: WatchESPN app

Site: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida

Radio: ESPN Radio and ESPNRadio.com

To find your local radio affiliate: http://www.espn.com/espnradio/affiliate

 

Handicapper’s Corner

Las Vegas Spread: Alabama by 6 1/2

Las Vegas Totals: 51

 

PiRate Rating: Alabama by 7.1

Mean Rating: Alabama by 6.3

Bias Rating: Alabama by 7.7

Note: The firing of offensive coordinator Lane Kiffin and replacing him with Steve Sarkisian has bot been factored into our three ratings.  

100 Simulations

Alabama Wins: 73

Clemson Wins: 27

Average Score: Alabama 31  Clemson 22

Outlier A: Alabama 38  Clemson 7

Outlier B: Clemson 34  Alabama 26

November 20, 2015

Selections Against The Spread–November 20, 2015

We almost decided to take this week off in our selections against the spread and money line parlays.  To start off with, we do not like any of the NFL lines this week, and we eliminated them all from consideration.  Since an overwhelming majority of our readers come to us for NFL information rather than college, it almost did not seem worth it.  However, a couple of you like the college game, so we need to give you something to laugh at.

While our selections against the spread are basically at .500 this year, our money line parlays have been an inconsistent winner.  Because we are playing parlays where the final odds on each game are on the + side, it figures that it would be very hard to win half, but the average payout is about 5-3, so winning 50% is okay, because you come out ahead.

To date, our parlay choices are just 10-12, but our return on the mythical 22 selections has been positive to the turn of 43.5% ROI.

 

However, we do warn you: do not use our selections as your source of investment.  It’s fine if you want to look, but make your own choices.  We do not use ours for anything other than the fun we have doing it.

 

Straight Picks–Sides

11/20/2015      
Home Visitor Line Our Pick
Maryland Indiana 3 Indiana
Connecticut Houston -10 Connecticut
Virginia Tech North Carolina -4 North Carolina
Wisconsin Northwestern 10 1/2 Northwestern
Oklahoma TCU 11 1/2 TCU
Arizona St. Arizona 7 1/2 Arizona
Kansas St. Iowa St. 5 1/2 Kansas St.
Stanford California 11 1/2 California
New Mexico Colorado St. -2 1/2 New Mexico

Money Line Parlay

Money Line Parlay 6 Teams at 8-5   $264 payout on $100
Favorite Underdog   Must Win
Georgia Georgia Southern   Georgia
NC St Syracuse   NC St
Tennessee Missouri   Tennessee
Ohio St. Michigan St.   Ohio St.
Washington Oregon St.   Washington
Notre Dame Boston College   Notre Dame

 

November 13, 2015

Selections Against The Spread–Friday, the 13th of November, 2015

It usually happens once a year–the PiRates decide to go with a slate of underdogs, and this is the week we do it in 2015.

 

We have been looking to this week for the past month believing that there could be trap games galore in college football, and thus the urge to go with some underdogs stimulates us to present you with 11 plays.

 

We have chosen four money line parlays for you with all offering better than even money odds.  Enjoy these picks, but remember, they are worth exactly what you have paid for them.

Straight Sides

11/12/2015      
Home Visitor Line Our Pick
Cincinnati Tulsa 19.5 Tulsa
Syracuse Clemson -30 Syracuse
Rutgers Nebraska -8.5 Rutgers
Old Dominion UTEP 7.5 UTEP
Air Force Utah St. -2 Air Force
Nevada San Jose St. 1 San Jose St.
Idaho Appalachian St. -19.5 Idaho
South Carolina Florida -8.5 South Carolina
Boise St. New Mexico 30.5 New Mexico
Green Bay Detroit 12 Detroit
Vanderbilt Kentucky 3.5 Kentucky

Money Line Parlays

Money Line Parlay 6 Teams at 7-5   $242 payout on $100
Favorite Underdog   Must Win
Ohio St. Illinois   Ohio St.
Northwestern Purdue   Northwestern
Louisville Virginia   Louisville
Michigan St. Maryland   Michigan St.
North Carolina Miami (Fl)   North Carolina
Oklahoma St. Iowa St.   Oklahoma St.
       
Money Line Parlay 4 Teams at 2-1   $294 payout on $100
Favorite Underdog   Must Win
Iowa Minnesota   Iowa
West Virginia Texas   West Virginia
Alabama Mississippi St.   Alabama
Georgia Southern Troy   Georgia Southern
       
Money Line Parlay 4 Teams at 4-3   $228 payout on $100
Favorite Underdog   Must Win
Green Bay Detroit   Green Bay
Cincinnati Houston   Cincinnati
New England N.Y. Giants   New England
St. Louis Chicago   St. Louis
       
Money Line Parlay 3 Teams at 2-1   $292 payout on $100
Favorite Underdog   Must Win
Philadelphia Miami   Philadelphia
Carolina Tennessee   Carolina
Denver Kansas City   Denver

 

November 9, 2015

NFL Preview For Week 10: November 13-17, 2015

Current NFL PiRate Ratings
N F C
East PiRate Mean Bias Average W-L-T Pts Opp
Philadelphia 104.0 103.4 104.5 104.0 4-4-0 193 164
Dallas 102.7 101.1 102.2 102.0 2-6-0 160 204
N.Y. Giants 100.6 100.6 101.1 100.8 5-4-0 247 226
Washington 94.7 94.5 94.5 94.6 3-5-0 158 195
               
North PiRate Mean Bias Average W-L-T Pts Opp
Green Bay 105.9 105.1 105.3 105.4 6-2-0 203 167
Minnesota 102.2 100.7 103.1 102.0 6-2-0 168 140
Chicago 95.5 95.6 96.1 95.7 3-5-0 162 221
Detroit 96.2 94.4 94.7 95.1 1-7-0 149 245
               
South PiRate Mean Bias Average W-L-T Pts Opp
Carolina 104.9 105.1 105.8 105.3 8-0-0 228 165
Atlanta 98.8 98.6 98.8 98.7 6-3-0 229 190
New Orleans 97.3 95.0 97.1 96.5 4-5-0 241 268
Tampa Bay 91.7 92.4 91.4 91.8 3-5-0 181 231
               
West PiRate Mean Bias Average W-L-T Pts Opp
Arizona 107.2 106.8 108.1 107.4 6-2-0 263 153
Seattle 106.5 105.7 106.1 106.1 4-4-0 167 140
St. Louis 98.7 99.7 99.3 99.2 4-4-0 153 146
San Francisco 95.2 93.8 95.0 94.7 3-6-0 126 223
               
A F C
East PiRate Mean Bias Average W-L-T Pts Opp
New England 112.5 113.0 113.0 112.8 8-0-0 276 143
Buffalo 100.6 101.2 100.1 100.6 4-4-0 209 190
N. Y. Jets 100.3 100.8 100.5 100.5 5-3-0 200 162
Miami 97.8 98.6 97.0 97.8 3-5-0 171 206
               
North PiRate Mean Bias Average W-L-T Pts Opp
Cincinnati 106.6 107.7 107.7 107.3 8-0-0 229 142
Pittsburgh 102.9 103.1 102.6 102.9 5-4-0 206 182
Baltimore 102.0 100.9 101.7 101.5 2-6-0 190 214
Cleveland 93.8 92.9 93.4 93.4 2-7-0 177 247
                 
South PiRate Mean Bias Average W-L-T Pts Opp
Indianapolis 100.7 101.1 100.8 100.9 4-5-0 200 227
Houston 95.2 96.6 94.9 95.6 3-5-0 174 205
Tennessee 93.0 92.8 93.2 93.0 2-6-0 159 187
Jacksonville 90.8 94.0 90.5 91.8 2-6-0 170 235
               
West PiRate Mean Bias Average W-L-T Pts Opp
Denver 107.1 106.3 106.6 106.7 7-1-0 192 139
Kansas City 100.5 101.4 100.9 100.9 3-5-0 195 182
Oakland 96.6 99.9 96.8 97.8 4-4-0 213 211
San Diego 97.5 97.2 97.2 97.3 2-7-0 210 249

 

This Week’s Games
         
Week Number: 10      
Date of Games: November 12-16      
         
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias
NY Jets Buffalo 1.7 1.6 2.4
Green Bay Detroit 11.7 12.7 12.6
Tampa Bay Dallas -8.5 -6.2 -8.3
Tennessee Carolina -8.9 -9.3 -9.6
St. Louis Chicago 5.2 6.1 5.2
Washington New Orleans 0.4 2.5 0.4
Philadelphia Miami 9.2 7.8 10.5
Pittsburgh Cleveland 11.6 12.7 11.7
Baltimore Jacksonville 14.2 9.9 14.2
Oakland Minnesota -2.6 2.2 -3.3
NY Giants New England -9.4 -9.9 -9.4
Denver Kansas City 9.6 7.9 8.7
Seattle Arizona 2.3 1.9 1.0
Cincinnati Houston 14.4 14.1 15.8

 

If Season Ended Today
AFC
1 New England
2 Cincinnati
3 Denver
4 Indianapolis
5 N. Y. Jets
6 Pittsburgh
   
NFC
1 Carolina
2 Minnesota
3 Arizona
4 N. Y. Giants
5 Green Bay
6 Atlanta

 

NFL Playoff Projections
AFC SEED TEAM
1 New England
2 Cincinnati
3 Denver
4 Indianapolis
5 N. Y. Jets
6 Pittsburgh
     
NFC SEED TEAM
1 Carolina
2 Arizona
3 Green Bay
4 Philadelphia
5 Minnesota
6 Seattle
     
Wildcard Playoff Round
Denver over Pittsburgh
N. Y. Jets over Indianapolis
Green Bay over Seattle
Minnesota over Philadelphia
 
Divisional Playoff Round
New England over N. Y. Jets
Cincinnati over Denver
Carolina over Minnesota
Arizona over Green Bay
 
Conference Championship Round
New England over Cincinnati
Arizona over Carolina
 
Super Bowl 50
New England over Arizona

November 6, 2015

Selections Against The Spread–November 6, 2015

Due to time constraints this week, the PiRates were not able to put out their selections on Thursday. Here are their picks for the weekend.

 

PiRate  Selections  For  Nov. 6-7, 2015
Home Visitor Line Our Pick
UTEP Rice -6.5 Rice
West Virginia Texas Tech 8 Texas Tech
Georgia St. UL-Lafayette -1.5 UL-Lafayette
Indiana Iowa -7 Indiana
Florida Vanderbilt 21 Florida
Houston Cincinnati 8.5 Cincinnati
Massachusetts Akron -2.5 Akron
Northwestern Penn St. 2.5 Penn St.
Colorado Stanford -16.5 Colorado
Clemson Florida St. 11.5 Florida St.
Alabama LSU 7 LSU
Middle Tennessee Marshall 3 Marshall
N. Y. Jets Jacksonville 7.5 Jacksonville
New Orleans Tennessee 7.5 New Orleans
New England Washington 14 New England
Indianapolis Denver -4.5 Denver
Dallas Philadelphia -2.5 Philadelphia

October 22, 2015

Selections Against The Spread: October 22-26, 2015

Okay folks.  Let’s not get carried away.  We welcome your comments here, and especially to our sister site at http://www.piratings.webs.com.  Yes, we know that a certain part of this weekly edition has been destroying the books in theory, theory being if you actually used these picks.

We will not name names, since you guys probably don’t want your name being called out, but we will post here a couple of the comments to our sister site.

From a small city in Georgia: “If you would have played your Money Line picks the last three weeks, you would be rich today.”

 

From Vancouver, BC: “Do you know what your profit margin would have been this week if you wagered that mythical $100 on each of your four parlays?  That $400 would have won you almost $900.

 

From Henderson, NV: “Your money line selections have been killing it.  You should just do Money Line parlays.  I am going to wager on your selections next week.”

 

From Ada, OK: “Do you realize how well you did with those parlays?  You don’t know jackxxxx about the baseball dude.”

 

From Glenarm IL: “You nailed the parlay picks this week.”

 

We get about 40-50 comments a week, and usually they are not as flattering as these.  We read them all and usually get a laugh, because we perpetually remind you to NEVER, EVER, EVER use these fun-only selections to wager real money.  Just because we are having an incredibly hot streak with our money line selections, it does not mean they will continue.  We could easily go 0-4 with the picks we are going to issue today.

 

You have been warned, especially the gentleman in Henderson, NV, who supposedly is going to wager real money this week against our warnings.

Since you guys and gals like these money line parlays with better than even money odds, that’s all we’re going to submit this week.  We have made four selections again, each with a return that will give you more in winnings than you would invest if it were real.

 

Money Line Parlay 4 Teams at 7-5   $242 payout on $100
Favorite Underdog   Must Win
East Carolina Temple   East Carolina
Alabama Tennessee   Alabama
North Carolina Virginia   North Carolina
Southern Miss. Charlotte   Southern Miss.

 

Money Line Parlay 6 Teams at 13-5   $355 Payout on $100
Favorite Underdog   Must Win
Toledo Massachusetts   Toledo
Michigan St. Indiana   Michigan St.
Rice Army   Rice
Cincinnati Connecticut   Cincinnati
Mississippi St. Kentucky   Mississippi St.
Florida St. Georgia Tech   Florida St.

 

Money Line Parlay 3 Teams at 9-5   $277 payout on $100
Favorite Underdog   Must Win
St. Louis Cleveland   St. Louis
New England N. Y. Jets   New England
Carolina Philadelphia   Carolina

 

Money Line Parlay 2 Teams at 6-5   $218 payout on $100
Favorite Underdog   Must Win
Buffalo Jacksonville   Buffalo
Miami Houston   Miami

 

 

October 1, 2015

Selections Against the Spread–October 1-5, 2015

Have you not had enough angst in your life?  Do you have to come visit this addictive weekly exercise in futility?  Why is it that this no-frills weekly submission is our most read regular post?  Are we doing that well that you must look at our picks before losing your rent money?

We have told you time and again that you should not use these picks to make real wagers, because we sure don’t.  So, why is it that we have dozens of visits from web addresses in Nevada, Delaware, Ontario, and Europe, the places where there are legal storefront sports books?

We have figured out the answer.  Something in the way we select teams has been tipping off the smart bettors.  They know something about our picks we ourselves do not know.  Maybe when we select an NFC West game, and they believe the opposite will be true, they wager more knowing they will be correct, and we will not.  Or, maybe when we select a money line parlay, they take each of the individual components and wager against our selection?

Our more likely, a couple dozen poor souls do not heed our advice and go ahead and use this site as their reference.  When we say “poor” souls, we are hiting the nail on the head, because our picks have been mediocre to this point.

With that in mind, remember that a broken clock is still correct twice a day, and we figure that eventually our broken clock will tell the correct time this year–maybe this week.

We are expanding our picks this week, because in our crazy mixed-up brains, the five of us believe we know things that the books do not.  We believe we have isolated some decent picks this week.  For your sake, we hope you know better.

Sides

10/1/2015      
Home Visitor Line Our Pick
Cincinnati Miami -6.5 Miami
Oklahoma West Virginia 7 Oklahoma
Florida Ole Miss -7.5 Florida
Middle Tenn. Vanderbilt 1.5 Middle Tenn.
New Mexico N. Mexico St. 12.5 New Mexico
Pittsburgh Baltimore -3 Pittsburgh
Carolina Tampa Bay 3 Carolina

10-Point Teasers

Home Visitor Teaser Pick
1
Charlotte Temple -12.5 Temple
Penn St. Army 15 Penn St.
Kent St. Miami (O) 0.5 Kent St.
         
2
Northwestern Minnesota -6 Northwestern
Wisconsin Iowa 16.5 Iowa
Oklahoma St. Kansas St. 17.5 Kansas St.
         
3
Georgia Alabama 12 Alabama
Duke Boston College 17 Boston College
Middle Tennessee Vanderbilt -8.5 Middle Tennessee
         
4
Missouri South Carolina 12.5 South Carolina
Tennessee Arkansas 16.5 Arkansas
Maryland Michigan -6 Michigan
         
5
Miami (@London) N. Y. Jets -11.5 Miami
Arizona St. Louis -3 Arizona
Seattle Detroit Pk. Seattle

Money Line Parlays

Money Line Parlay 5 teams at 43-20   $315 payout on $100
Favorite Underdog   Must Win
Indianapolis Jacksonville   Indianapolis
San Diego Cleveland   San Diego
Denver Minnesota   Denver
Arizona St. Louis   Arizona
Seattle Detroit   Seattle
       
Money Line Parlay 4 teams at 11-10   $210 payout on $100
Favorite Underdog   Must Win
BYU Connecticut   BYU
Kent St. Miami (O)   Kent St.
Oklahoma West Virginia   Oklahoma
Michigan Maryland   Michigan
       
Money Line Parlay 3 teams at 1-1   $200 payout on $100
Favorite Underdog   Must Win
Iowa St. Kansas   Iowa St.
Northwestern Minnesota   Northwestern
Southern Miss. North Texas   Southern Miss.

 

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