PiRate Ratings College Football National Championship

Team 1	Team 2	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Georgia	T C U	8.6	8.7	9.0

Note: NFL Ratings and Spreads will be delayed until Tuesday due to the unfortunate incident in Cincinnati.

PiRate Ratings–NFL addendum

Because somehow we left off the MNF Game–Sorry Folks!

Somehow, we left the last game of Week 3 on our weekly spreads. Since there’s still more than 48 hours until kickoff, and it’s a big rivalry game with an all of a sudden first place New York Giants team, here are the spreads for that game.

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
N.Y. Giants	Dallas	-8.0	-5.5	-7.0
Home	Visitor	Total
N.Y. Giants	Dallas	42.5

Super Bowl Special Parlay

The PiRate Ratings chose not to issue any picks during the college bowl season and playoffs nor with the NFL Playoffs. With just one football game remaining this season, there is but one potential parlay remaining.

Normally, we lay off the Super Bowl entirely. It is like betting the Kentucky Derby; there are much better propositions in horse racing, namely in claiming and allowance races.

The PiRates only issue picks against the spread for fun and entertainment. We never wager any real money on games, and we highly advise you not to ever wager money based on what you read here. A few years ago, we had a professional “sharp” who has turned some mighty steep profits over the years pick games against four other “squares,” including two very wise females. The sharp didn’t win the competition. No, the female flight attendant won with ease. Her method was basically looking online at the public and picking games where the public was heavy on one side of a game. She went the opposite way and won about 60% of the games she wagered.

In all the years we participated in our fun wagers, only twice did we ever finish with a success north of 60%. Buckeye Michelle has retired from wagering on games just for fun, and we don’t have the queen of street smarts helping out these days.

What we have left in the tank this year is one final parlay. We are going with a thought that in recent years, the Super Bowls have been tightly battled with low margins and totals in the average range, not to different from the spread and total line. By playing a 4-team, 13-point teaser at -140 at most books but at -130 if you can find it, you are allowed to move pointspreads and/or totals by 13 points in your favor. In other words if Team A is favored by 9 1/2 points over Team B, a 13-point teaser would allow you to move the line 13 points in either direction. Now, Team A would go from a 9 1/2 point favorite to a 3 1/2 point underdog. Or, Team B would go from a 9 1/2 point underdog to a 22 1/2 point underdog.

There is but one game left, and to play a 13-point teaser, we need four different wagers. By wagering on both sides of the spread and both sides of the total, there are four different wager choices.

As of Saturday night, February 6, the line is Kansas City -3, and the total is 56 points.

Here is the possible 4-game, 13-point teaser.

Kansas City +10

Tampa Bay +16

Over 43

Under 69

Our expectation in this game is that the winner will win by no more than eight points, and the game might be a tad lower scoring than expected, but not lower than 43 points which is a critical total line value. If we had to guess a score in this game it would be 31-27 with a 55% chance that Kansas City will win its second Super Bowl in a row and a 45% chance that Tom Brady will become the Babe Ruth of football.

Enjoy the game. The PiRate Ratings hope you have rent money on Monday, so please don’t wager this game based on what we have published.

PiRate Ratings For Super Bowl 55

February 7, 2021

Margins

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Tampa Bay	Kansas City	1.8	1.8	2.0

Total

Home	Visitor	Total
Tampa Bay	Kansas City	58

PiRate Ratings For Conference Championship Round January 19, 2020

Margins

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Kansas City	Tennessee	5.5	6.0	7.0
San Francisco	Green Bay	7.3	7.8	7.5

Totals

Home	Visitor	Total
Kansas City	Tennessee	51
San Francisco	Green Bay	49.5

PiRate College Football Ratings–National Championship Game

Date: Monday, January 13, 2020

 

Site: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans

 

Start Time: 8:00 PM EST

 

TV: ESPN

 

TV Options:  ESPN’s Megacast will give viewers multiple options to watch this game:  Check the link below

https://espnpressroom.com/us/press-releases/2020/01/espn-presents-the-college-football-playoff-national-championship-through-cutting-edge-technology/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=espn-presents-the-college-football-playoff-national-championship-through-cutting-edge-technology

 

Our Personal Favorite Option: The Skycast allows the viewer to have a behind the quarterback view.  With this view, the experienced football follower can see all blocking schemes and defensive alignments and techniques as well as the pass patterns run by the receivers and the defensive coverage.  Best of all–No announcers to tell you the obvious.  The Public Address Announcer gives you all the information you need.

 

Radio–ESPN

 

Teams

LSU Tigers (14-0) vs.

Clemson Tigers (14-0)

 

Las Vegas Spread:  LSU by 5 1/2 to 6 1/2

Las Vegas Totals: 69 1/2

Best Las Vegas Money Line For Both Teams:

LSU -205 

Clemson +190

 

The PiRate Ratings

 

PiRate:  LSU by 1.1

Mean:    LSU by 0.8

Bias:       LSU by 0.1

Predicted Score: LSU 38  Clemson 37

 

Comparing The Legends In The Making

Joe Burrow vs. Trevor Lawrence

 

Statistic	Burrow	Lawrence
Passer Efficiency	204.6	173.2
Yards Per Attempt	10.9	9.3
Adjusted YPA *	12.6	10.2
Rushing Yds/Attempt	3.1	5.5

 

* Adjusted Yards Per Attempt:  [Yards + (20 * TD) – (45 * Int.)] / Attempts

PiRate Ratings Super Bowl LIII Preview

Super Bowl 53 Preview

NFC Champion: Los Angeles Rams 15-3-0

AFC Champion: New England Patriots 13-5-0

Date: Sunday, February 3, 2019

Kickoff Time: Approximately 6:30 PM Eastern Standard Time

TV: CBS

Online: CBSSports.com

Phone: CBS Sports App

TV Announcing Crew

Jim Nantz–Play-by-play

Tony Romo–Booth Analysis

Sideline Reporter–Tracy Wolfson

Sideline Reporter–Evan Washburn

 

This is the best Super Bowl TV talent in this generation, and the equal of Curt Gowdy, Al DeRogatis, and Kyle Rote in Super Bowl III on NBC in January of 1969 50 years ago.

 

Radio Coverage: Westwood One Radio Sports

Top Radio Market Affiliates

City	Radio #	Radio Station
Atlanta	92.9 FM	WZGC
Austin	104.9 FM	WTXX
Baltimore	105.7 FM	WJZ
Boston	850 AM	WEEI
Charlotte	610 AM	WFNZ
Chicago	670 AM	WSCR
Cincinnati	1360 AM	WSAI
Cleveland	92.3 FM	WKRK
Columbus	1460 AM	WBNS
Dallas	105.3 FM	KRLD
Denver	1600 AM	KEPN
Detroit	1270 AM	WXYT
Houston	610 AM	KILT
Indianapolis	1260 AM	WNDE
Kansas City	810 AM	WHB
Las Vegas	1100 AM	KWWN
Los Angeles	550 AM	KLAC
Miami	790 AM	WAXY
Minneapolis	100.3 FM	KFXN
Nashville	104.5 FM	WGFX
New York	660 AM	WFAN
Orlando	580 AM	WDBO
Philadelphia	1210 AM	WPHT
Phoenix	910 AM	KGME
Pittsburgh	93.7 FM	KDKA
Portland	750 AM	KXTG
Sacramento	1140 AM	KHTK
San Antonio	760 AM	KTKR
San Bernardino	1350 AM	KPWK
San Diego	97.3 FM	KWFN
San Francisco Bay Area	95.7 FM	WGMZ
Seattle	950 AM	KJR
St. Louis	101.1 FM	WXOS
Tampa	820 AM	WWBA
Virginia Beach	94.1 FM	WVSP
Washington, DC	106.7 FM	WJFK

 and Sirius XM Channel 88

Radio Broadcast Talent

Kevin Harlan–Play by Play

Kurt Warner–Booth Analysis

Others–Mike Holmgren, Ed Werder, Tony Boselli, Scott Graham, and Jim Gray

Nevada Lines

Line as of 12 Noon EST Wednesday, January 23

New England by 2 1/2

Total 57 1/2

Money Line

New England -135

Los Angeles +115

 

PiRate Ratings Spreads

Pirate: Los Angeles by 1.4

Mean: Los Angeles by 1.4

Bias: Los Angeles by 1.1

Total: 52

 

Computer Simulations

Data Used: Advanced Metric Statistics for both teams adjusted to strengths of schedules and then using a random number generator of potential outcomes, 100 simulations were run.  We feel that 10,000 simulations artificially lowers the variance, which was already quite low.

100 Sims

Los Angeles Wins: 56

New England Wins: 44

Average Score (Rounded) Los Angeles 30  New England 27

Simulations going over the total: 52

Simulations going under the total: 48

Standard Deviation on the Margin: 3.34

Standard Deviation on the Total: 5.22

Outlier Win for LA: Rams 41  Patriots 24

Outlier Win for NE: Patriots 31  Rams 16

This marks the final football publication for the PiRate Ratings until sometime in the Summer, when we will be in the process of updating the college football ratings for the 2019 season.  Thank You to all that patronize this site.  If you haven’t checked out our other ratings, we cover college basketball with new publications on Monday and Friday until the end of the regular season and then daily through Selection Sunday.  Our annual “Bracketnomics 505” comes out the Monday evening after Selection Sunday, and it has been our most read feature through the years.  We offer all this free to you, because we are a group of math geeks that were once athletes in the dark ages.

Our goal is to supply you with fun information and not to encourage you to wager money using our data for your research.  None of the contributors here at this site ever wager money on our recommendations.  We understand that there are professionals that come to this site, and more than one of you has told us that there is something we put out that does influence how you wager.  We hope for your sake, it doesn’t send you to the Poor House, because  we don’t have any more room here.

 

PiRate Ratings Selections for October 18-22, 2018

Last week was the first down week for our Land Sharps, as overall, they suffered their first cumulative loss of the season.  Overall, the five geniuses went an accumulated 11-17-1.  Dean615 did have his best record of the season, finishing 4-1, but Buckeye Michelle and Cal Gal Tiffany combined to go 1-6-1.

Don’t even ask about the PiRate Ratings.  This is our worst year making these selections since the 1990’s, and if it wasn’t for a rally on Sunday with three wins out of three, it would have been disastrous.  Of course, it isn’t really disastrous for us, because these picks are only for entertainment purposes, and thus no money was wagered.  Please take this advice and use our selections the same way.

The Land Sharps

Cal Gal Tiffany

Season: 22-14-0  61.1%  18.3% ROI

Arizona St. +3 vs. Stanford

California -6.5 vs. Oregon St.

USC +7 vs. Utah

Wyoming +15.5 vs. Utah St.

Kentucky -11 vs. Vanderbilt

 

Buckeye Michelle

Season: 17-11-1  60.7%  16.9% ROI

Army -8 vs. Miami (O)

UTSA +18 vs. Southern Miss.

Wyoming +15.5 vs. Utah St.

Georgia Southern -12 vs. New Mexico St.

North Carolina St. +17 vs. Clemson

 

Dean 615

Season: 14-10-0  58.3%  12.5% ROI

Michigan St. +7.5 vs. Michigan

Purdue +13.5 vs. Ohio St.

LSU -6.5 vs. Mississippi St.

Penn St. -14 vs. Indiana

SMU +7.5 vs. Tulane

USC +7 vs. Utah

Navy +13 vs. Houston

 

Friday Dog 13

Season: 18-13-1  58.1%  11.6% ROI

Utah St. -14.5 vs. Wyoming

Ohio U -16.5 vs. Bowling Green

Central Florida -21 vs. East Carolina

Hawaii -3 vs. Nevada

LSU -6.5 vs. Mississippi St.

Iowa -9 vs. Maryland

Washington -15.5 vs. Colorado

 

Stewed Meat

Season: 19-19-0  50.0%  -5% ROI

Louisiana-Lafayette +25.5 vs. Appalachian St.

Eastern Michigan -3 vs. Ball St.

Western Michigan -4 vs. Central Michigan

Connecticut +34 vs. South Florida

Kentucky -11 vs. Vanderbilt

Marshall +3 vs. Florida Atlantic

Missouri -9 vs. Memphis

 

The PiRate Ratings Picks For October 18-22, 2018

College 10-point Teasers (3 game parlays at 11-10)

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Air Force	UNLV	1	Air Force
Michigan	Michigan St.	17.5	Michigan St.
Toledo	Buffalo	10	Buffalo

 

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Utah St.	Wyoming	25.5	Wyoming
Clemson	North Carolina St.	27	North Carolina St.
Florida St.	Wake Forest	0.5	Florida St.

 

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Penn St.	Indiana	0.5	Penn St.
Memphis	Missouri	0.5	Missouri
Georgia Southern	New Mexico St.	2.5	Georgia Southern

 

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Mississippi St.	LSU	3.5	LSU
Central Florida	East Carolina	11	Central Florida
South Florida	Connecticut	44	Connecticut

 

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Louisiana-Monroe	Texas St.	0.5	Louisiana-Monroe
Kentucky	Vanderbilt	1	Kentucky
Fresno St.	New Mexico	4	Fresno St.

 

College 13-Point Teasers (4 game parlays at 13-10)

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Stanford	Arizona St.	10.5	Arizona St.
TCU	Oklahoma	5	Oklahoma
Miami (O)	Army	5.5	Army
Maryland	Iowa	3	Iowa

 

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
North Carolina	Syracuse	3.5	Syracuse
Oregon St.	California	6.5	California
Oregon	Washington St.	10.5	Washington St.
Utah	USC	19.5	USC

 

College Money Line Parlays

4 Teams @ +254
Winner	Loser
Army	Miami (O)
Iowa	Maryland
Duke	Virginia
Western Michigan	Central Michigan

 

2 Teams @ +693
Winner	Loser
Minnesota	Nebraska
USC	Utah

 

NFL Picks vs. The Spread

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Denver	Arizona	2	Arizona
Tampa Bay	Cleveland	3	Cleveland
Philadelphia	Carolina	5	Carolina
Indianapolis	Buffalo	7.5	Buffalo
Baltimore	New Orleans	2.5	New Orleans

 

NFL 10-Point Teasers (3 Games at 11-10)

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Tennessee	L.A. Chargers	3.5	L.A. Chargers
Chicago	New England	7	New England
Philadelphia	Carolina	15	Carolina

 

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Indianapolis	Buffalo	17.5	Buffalo
Jacksonville	Houston	15.5	Houston
San Francisco	L.A. Rams	0.5	L.A. Rams

 

Team A	Team B	Total	Pick
N.Y. Jets	Minnesota	37	Over
Washington	Dallas	31.5	Over
Philadelphia	Carolina	35.5	Over

 

 

PiRate Ratings Selections for October 9-15, 2018

We’ve read your comments.  A couple dozen came in over the weekend telling us to defer to the Land Sharps.  Yes, all five of our guest selectors now have winning records for the season.  You heard that right.  Very few amateur handicappers can sustain a winning record against the spread plus the vigorish over the course of a couple of weeks, yet all five of our Land Sharps have done so after 6 weeks of the season.

As for your official PiRate picks, don’t ask.  We are suffering through a malaise, so by popular demand, we will present the Land Sharp picks first and then follow with our ridiculous 25 selections for the week.  We are going to just toss all the darts at once and hope 13 or more stick to the board.

You may notice that we are presenting this feature a day early this week.  There is a valid reason.  There is a Tuesday night college game, and one Sharp selected it.

This Week’s Sharps’ Selections

Cal Gal Tiffany

Season: 22-11 66.7% vs. the Spread with ROI of 30.0%

Central Florida -4 vs. Memphis
Virginia Tech -5 1/2 vs. North Carolina
Hawaii +14 1/2 vs. BYU

 

Buckeye Michelle

Season: 16-8-1  66.7% vs. the Spread with ROI of 28.8%

Hawaii +14 1/2 vs. BYU
Colorado +7 1/2 vs. USC
UTSA +13 1/2 vs. Louisiana Tech
South Carolina +3 vs. Texas A&M
Kansas St. +7 vs. Oklahoma St.

 

Friday Dog 13

Season: 15-9-1  62.5% vs. the Spread with ROI of 20.4%

Virginia Tech -5 1/2 vs. UNC
Fresno State -19 vs. Wyoming
Central Florida -4 vs. Memphis
Ole Miss -6 vs. Arkansas
Utah State -24 vs. UNLV
Florida -7 vs. Vanderbilt
Northwestern -4 vs. Nebraska

 

Stewed Meat

Season: 16-13  55.2% vs. the Spread with ROI of 5.9%

Arkansas St. +10 1/2 vs. Appalachian St.
Tennessee +15 1/2 vs. Auburn
Arizona +14 vs. Utah
Georgia -7 vs. LSU
Oregon +3 1/2 vs. Washington
Baylor +14 1/2 vs. Texas
Illinois +10 1/2 vs. Purdue
Central Florida -4 1/2 vs. Memphis
New Mexico Pk. vs. Colorado St.

 

Dean615

Season: 10-9  52.6% vs. the Spread with ROI of 0.5%

Notre Dame -20 1/2 vs. Pittsburgh
Iowa -4 1/2 vs. Indiana
Florida -7 vs. Vanderbilt
Texas Tech +7 1/2 vs. TCU
Tennessee +15 1/2 vs. Auburn

 

The Official PiRate Ratings Selections

We are going with an astronomical 25 selections this week, because we keep choosing about 7 each week out of 25 that we like, and we keep choosing the wrong 7.  So, we are going with every selection we liked, since so many we didn’t choose in recent weeks were winners.

Picks vs. the Spread

Ole Miss -6 vs. Arkansas
Hawaii +14 1/2 vs. BYU
Coastal Carolina -4 1/2 vs. UL-Monroe
Central Florida -4 vs. Memphis
Virginia Tech -5 1/2 vs. North Carolina
Northwestern -4 vs. Nebraska
Washington -3 vs. Oregon
Penn St. -13 1/2 vs. Michigan St.
Army -14 1/2 vs. San Jose St.
Georgia Southern -16 1/2 vs. Texas St.
UTSA + 13 1/2 vs. Louisiana Tech
Colorado +7 1/2 vs. USC

10-point Teasers

All 3-game parlays at 11-10

Alabama -18 vs. Missouri
Tennessee +26 1/2 vs. Auburn
Hawaii +24 1/2 vs. BYU

Boston College -3 1/2 vs. Louisville
New Mexico +11 1/2 vs. Colorado St.
Eastern Michigan +11 1/2 vs. Toledo

Duke +12 vs. Georgia Tech
Iowa St. +17 vs. West Virginia
Georgia +3 vs. LSU

Maryland -14 vs. Rutgers
Miami (O) -1/2 vs. Kent St.
Northwestern +6 vs. Nebraska

Ohio St. -19 1/2 vs. Minnesota
UAB -6 vs. Rice
San Diego St.  Pk vs. Air Force

Army -4 1/2 vs. San Jose St.
Texas A&M +8 vs. South Carolina
Texas -4 vs. Baylor

Arizona +24 vs. Utah
Florida +3 vs. Vanderbilt
Miami (Fla.) +4 vs. Virginia

 

Money Line Parlays

@ +191 $100 invested would return $291 with a win

Northwestern over Nebraska  
UAB over Rice  
South Florida over Tulsa 
Boston College over Louisville 

 

@+175 $100 invested would return $275 with a win

Central Florida over Memphis
San Diego St. over Air Force 
Buffalo over Akron 
Texas over Baylor

 

@+151 $100 invested would return $251 with a win

Florida over Vanderbilt 
Western Michigan over Bowling Green 
Georgia over LSU  
Army over San Jose St.

 

NFL 10-point Teasers	(Totals)	@11-10	3-game parlays
Team	Team	Total	Pick
Philadelphia	N.Y. Giants	34	Over
Arizona	Minnesota	33	Over
Carolina	Washington	35	Over
Team	Team	Total	Pick
Indianapolis	N.Y. Jets	35	Over
Cincinnati	Pittsburgh	63	Under
L.A. Chargers	Cleveland	33.5	Over
Team	Team	Total	Pick
Chicago	Miami	32	Over
Jacksonville	Dallas	30	Over
San Francisco	Green Bay	36	Over

 

NOTE: All wagers are strictly for entertainment purposes only.  These are imaginary currencies invested in imaginary books.  We do not bet on these games.  While Stewed Meat is a professional, these are not the actual picks Stewed has invested real currency at a real book in Nevada. 

Stewed is fortunate enough to receive the “Outlaw Line” before the Opening Line is issued.  Stewed’s real strategy is to isolate odds that are off by at least 3 points and then play both sides of the key games. 

For instance, if Team A is a 14 1/2 point favorite on the late Saturday night Outlaw Line, and Stewed believes the true spread should be 11, Stewed will put a 5-figure wager on Team B at +14 1/2.  Then, after the opening line is listed at 12 because Stewed and other Sharps knew better, and then when the line lowers to 11 because many in the general public also think they know better, Stewed wagers the same 5-figure amount on Team A at -11. 

If the actual game score comes in at 12, 13, or 14 (three very frequent game spreads), Stewed wins both wagers and makes a lot of profit.  Otherwise, Stewed will win one of the two wagers, unless the spread is exactly 11 points, in which Stewed wins one wager and pushes on the other.  All Stewed needs to do to turn a profit is to have a game come between the two spreads 1 out of every 19 games.  This is wagering with a margin of safety that none of the rest of us amateurs can do.

PiRate Ratings–College Football Week 1

Since only a handful of games were played in Week 0, and the ratings barely moved, we will dispense with posting a new set of ratings this week and feature just our spreads for Week 1 and combine our Selections against the Spread For Week 1, as there are no NFL games this weekend.

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

Thursday,	August 30
Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Connecticut	Central Florida	-24.2	-23.5	-25.4
Purdue	Northwestern	-4.0	-3.2	-5.8
Minnesota	New Mexico St.	27.5	23.4	26.3
Tulane	Wake Forest	-12.8	-10.4	-10.7
Friday,	August 31
Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Michigan St.	Utah St.	33.9	29.8	33.1
Western Michigan	Syracuse	-12.2	-7.8	-9.2
Wisconsin	Western Kentucky	45.7	37.6	45.2
Colorado (n)	Colorado St.	13.7	13.5	14.5
Stanford	San Diego St.	24.6	21.0	24.2
Duke	Army	20.2	16.5	19.4
Saturday,	September 1
Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Oklahoma	Florida Atlantic	20.5	17.7	19.6
Rice	Houston	-26.2	-24.5	-29.0
Ohio St.	Oregon St.	36.1	35.8	38.2
Penn St.	Appalachian St.	36.8	31.6	35.9
Nebraska	Akron	12.9	9.6	10.0
Boston College	Massachusetts	27.5	21.3	25.2
Illinois	Kent St.	16.2	14.5	15.8
Rutgers	Texas St.	30.5	25.7	28.7
Florida Int’l.	Indiana	-13.3	-7.0	-12.2
Iowa	Northern Illinois	20.0	15.1	18.4
Maryland (n)	Texas	-18.4	-19.2	-19.8
Troy	Boise St.	-14.9	-12.1	-13.7
South Alabama	Louisiana Tech	-9.8	-10.1	-10.0
Miami (O)	Marshall	-0.3	-0.7	0.9
North Texas	SMU	-0.6	3.9	1.1
Vanderbilt	Middle Tennessee	6.9	5.6	4.6
Arizona	BYU	17.0	13.6	16.7
Arizona St.	UTSA	28.2	20.6	25.2
USC	UNLV	26.4	22.9	25.1
UCLA	Cincinnati	18.4	16.7	16.5
Auburn (n)	Washington	-4.6	-2.3	-4.8
Kentucky	Central Michigan	24.5	19.2	23.6
Texas Tech (n)	Ole Miss	0.7	-1.0	-1.9
South Carolina	Coastal Carolina	42.2	37.8	41.1
West Virginia (n)	Tennessee	11.2	9.2	10.7
California	North Carolina	9.5	7.6	10.1
Wyoming	Washington St.	-4.5	-2.8	-2.5
Oregon	Bowling Green	32.3	32.2	32.3
Liberty	Old Dominion	-9.8	-14.9	-12.3
Notre Dame	Michigan	6.9	3.9	4.0
Alabama (n)	Louisville	28.4	25.5	30.7
Hawaii	Navy	-17.6	-18.6	-19.4
Sunday,	September 2
Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
LSU (n)	Miami (Fla.)	-10.2	-7.9	-9.4
Monday,	September 3
Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Florida St.	Virginia Tech	0.2	0.1	0.2

(n) means neutral site game, but some teams may receive a little advantage for playing close to home.

FBS vs. FCS Games–PiRate Rating Spread Only

FBS vs. FCS
Home	Visitor	PiRate
Ball St.	Central Conn.	5.1
Georgia St.	Kennesaw St.	3.6
Oklahoma St.	Missouri St.	40.9
San Jose St.	UC-Davis	-0.9
Texas A&M	Northwestern St.	40.6
UAB	Savannah St.	28.8
Utah	Weber St.	22.0
Eastern Michigan	Monmouth	20.0
Air Force	Stony Brook	13.7
Arkansas	Eastern Illinois	29.8
Arkansas St.	SE Missouri	24.9
Baylor	Abilene Christian	31.3
Buffalo	Delaware St.	38.6
Charlotte	Fordham	10.8
Clemson	Furman	43.7
East Carolina	N.C. A&T	9.9
Florida	Chas. Southern	32.5
Fresno St.	Idaho	21.0
Georgia	Austin Peay	47.8
Georgia Southern	S. Carolina St.	22.3
Georgia Tech	Alcorn St.	39.9
Iowa St.	South Dakota St.	16.5
Kansas	Nicholls St.	10.6
Kansas St.	South Dakota	25.2
La.-Monroe	SE Louisiana	10.1
Louisiana	Grambling	10.2
Memphis	Mercer	32.9
Mississippi St.	S F Austin	44.3
Missouri	UT-Martin	29.3
N. Carolina St.	James Madison	17.2
Nevada	Portland St.	21.0
New Mexico	Incarnate Word	27.8
Ohio U	Howard	34.7
Pittsburgh	Albany	30.1
South Florida	Elon	28.7
Southern Miss.	Jackson St.	35.4
TCU	Southern	47.6
Temple	Villanova	18.8
Toledo	VMI	42.4
Tulsa	Central Arkansas	10.0
UTEP	Northern Arizona	-6.0
Virginia	Richmond	15.6

PiRate Ratings Picks Versus The Spread

This year, we are going to stick our necks out and go with straight spread and totals wagering in our imaginary picks with an imaginary bank account.

Remember: We never lose money on these picks, because they are strictly for fun.  We suggest you use these selections the same way.

Unless otherwise stated, all of our pretend picks will be for $100 imaginary.

Date	8/27-9/3		$100 per pick
Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Purdue	Northwestern	2 1/2	Northwestern
Michigan St.	Utah St.	23	Michigan St.
Penn St.	Appalachian St.	23 1/2	Penn St.
Nebraska	Akron	24 1/2	Akron
Iowa	Northern Illinois	10	Iowa
Texas	Maryland	13	Texas
California	North Carolina	7	California