The Pi-Rate Ratings

January 21, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For January 21, 2020

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 6:45 am

College Basketball Teams Playing Tuesday

 

Home

Visitor

Spread

Villanova

Butler

1.1

Kansas

Kansas St.

17.5

Kentucky

Georgia

10.0

South Florida

Wichita St.

-5.0

Northwestern

Maryland

-8.6

Purdue

Illinois

5.0

Kent St.

Northern Illinois

8.5

Ohio

Toledo

-3.6

Bowling Green

Eastern Michigan

7.2

Buffalo

Western Michigan

9.1

LSU

Florida

2.9

Miami (O)

Akron

-6.6

TCU

Texas Tech

-3.1

Clemson

Wake Forest

6.2

Iowa St.

Oklahoma St.

4.7

Duke

Miami

19.2

Wisconsin

Nebraska

12.9

Missouri

Texas A&M

10.2

Marquette

St. John’s

8.5

Saint Joseph’s

VCU

-12.2

Tennessee

Ole Miss

7.7

New Mexico

San Jose St.

14.7

San Diego St.

Wyoming

26.2

Utah St.

Air Force

12.6

 

 

 

January 13, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For January 13, 2020

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 7:13 am

Power Conference and Top 25 Teams Playing Monday

No Power Conference or Top 25 Teams Playing on Monday–There may be another college sporting event taking place tonight???

Non Power Conference Teams Playing Monday

Home

Visitor

Spread

Southern

Jackson St.

2.4

Loyola (MD)

Boston U

0.4

Bethune-Cookman

Morgan St.

5.6

Delaware St.

North Carolina A&T

-6.1

Howard

South Carolina St.

-2.8

MD Eastern Shore

North Carolina Central

-6.7

Florida A&M

Coppin St.

3.8

Alcorn St.

Grambling

0.1

Alabama A&M

Mississippi Valley

12.9

Alabama St.

Arkansas Pine Bluff

4.8

Montana

Portland St.

3.6

 

Monday’s PiRate Ratings

 

#

Team

PiRate

Conference

1

Duke

121.4

Atlantic Coast

2

Kansas

119.0

Big 12

3

Michigan St.

117.4

Big Ten

4

Gonzaga

116.8

West Coast

5

Baylor

115.7

Big 12

6

Ohio St.

115.4

Big Ten

7

Dayton

115.3

Atlantic 10

8

Butler

115.2

Big East

9

Louisville

114.9

Atlantic Coast

10

Arizona

114.7

Pac-12

11

Maryland

114.7

Big Ten

12

Auburn

114.2

Southeastern

13

West Virginia

114.2

Big 12

14

Florida St.

114.0

Atlantic Coast

15

Seton Hall

113.9

Big East

16

Oregon

113.7

Pac-12

17

San Diego St.

113.6

Mountain West

18

Purdue

113.1

Big Ten

19

Kentucky

113.0

Southeastern

20

Iowa

112.8

Big Ten

21

Michigan

112.5

Big Ten

22

Villanova

112.3

Big East

23

Wisconsin

112.1

Big Ten

24

Colorado

111.9

Pac-12

25

BYU

111.9

West Coast

26

LSU

111.7

Southeastern

27

Florida

111.7

Southeastern

28

Texas Tech

111.6

Big 12

29

Arkansas

111.4

Southeastern

30

Illinois

111.4

Big Ten

31

Penn St.

111.3

Big Ten

32

Wichita St.

111.3

Big East

33

Houston

111.1

American Athletic

34

Marquette

111.0

Big East

35

Memphis

110.9

American Athletic

36

Rutgers

110.9

Big Ten

37

Indiana

110.7

Big Ten

38

Minnesota

110.6

Big Ten

39

Saint Mary’s

110.4

West Coast

40

Creighton

110.4

Big East

41

Cincinnati

109.7

American Athletic

42

North Carolina St.

109.6

Atlantic Coast

43

VCU

109.5

Atlantic 10

44

Virginia

109.3

Atlantic Coast

45

Georgetown

109.1

Big East

46

Stanford

109.1

Pac-12

47

Xavier

109.1

Big East

48

Tennessee

109.0

Southeastern

49

Missouri

109.0

Southeastern

50

Oklahoma

108.9

Big 12

51

Alabama

108.9

Southeastern

52

Iowa St.

108.8

Big 12

53

Washington

108.7

Pac-12

54

TCU

108.7

Big 12

55

Utah St.

108.6

Mountain West

56

Virginia Tech

108.5

Atlantic Coast

57

Liberty

108.5

Atlantic Sun

58

Mississippi St.

108.3

Southeastern

59

Notre Dame

108.2

Atlantic Coast

60

Oregon St.

108.1

Pac-12

61

Yale

108.1

Ivy

62

Oklahoma St.

107.9

Big 12

63

Syracuse

107.8

Atlantic Coast

64

East Tennessee St.

107.8

Southern

65

Texas

107.4

Big 12

66

Duquesne

107.4

Atlantic 10

67

Rhode Island

107.3

Atlantic 10

68

Northern Iowa

107.3

Missouri Valley

69

Louisiana Tech

107.3

Conference USA

70

Vermont

107.2

American East

71

USC

107.2

Pac-12

72

UNC Greensboro

107.1

Southern

73

Providence

107.1

Big East

74

North Carolina

106.9

Atlantic Coast

75

Richmond

106.9

Atlantic 10

76

Furman

106.9

Southern

77

St. John’s

106.7

Big East

78

Belmont

106.7

Ohio Valley

79

Arizona St.

106.7

Pac-12

80

Georgia Tech

106.6

Atlantic Coast

81

Connecticut

106.6

American Athletic

82

Akron

106.6

Mid-American

83

Clemson

106.5

Atlantic Coast

84

Pittsburgh

106.3

Atlantic Coast

85

DePaul

106.2

Big East

86

Temple

106.2

American Athletic

87

Georgia

106.1

Southeastern

88

SMU

106.1

American Athletic

89

Davidson

105.9

Atlantic 10

90

Miami (Fla.)

105.8

Atlantic Coast

91

Harvard

105.4

Ivy

92

Nevada

105.2

Mountain West

93

New Mexico St.

105.1

Western Athletic

94

San Francisco

105.1

West Coast

95

Kansas St.

105.0

Big 12

96

Georgia St.

104.9

Sun Belt

97

New Mexico

104.8

Mountain West

98

Bradley

104.7

Missouri Valley

99

Kent St.

104.7

Mid-American

100

Mississippi

104.5

Southeastern

101

Boise St.

104.5

Mountain West

102

Loyola (Chi.)

104.4

Missouri Valley

103

Saint Louis

104.3

Atlantic 10

104

Western Kentucky

104.3

Conference USA

105

North Texas

104.0

Conference USA

106

Toledo

103.9

Mid-American

107

Utah

103.9

Pac-12

108

Wake Forest

103.9

Atlantic Coast

109

South Carolina

103.9

Southeastern

110

Ball St.

103.8

Mid-American

111

Northwestern

103.6

Big Ten

112

Northern Colorado

103.5

Big Sky

113

Wright St.

103.5

Horizon

114

UC Irvine

103.3

Big West

115

St. Bonaventure

103.2

Atlantic 10

116

Tulsa

103.2

American Athletic

117

Central Florida

103.1

American Athletic

118

Stony Brook

103.1

American East

119

South Florida

102.8

American Athletic

120

Texas St.

102.7

Sun Belt

121

Murray St.

102.7

Ohio Valley

122

Northern Kentucky

102.6

Horizon

123

UCLA

102.5

Pac-12

124

Nebraska

102.3

Big Ten

125

Colgate

102.2

Patriot

126

Indiana St.

102.2

Missouri Valley

127

Stephen F. Austin

102.2

Southland

128

Charleston

102.1

Colonial Athletic

129

Fresno St.

102.0

Mountain West

130

Radford

102.0

Big South

131

Northeastern

102.0

Colonial Athletic

132

Penn

102.0

Ivy

133

Santa Clara

101.9

West Coast

134

UNLV

101.9

Mountain West

135

Wofford

101.8

Southern

136

Hofstra

101.8

Colonial Athletic

137

Colorado St.

101.7

Mountain West

138

North Dakota St.

101.6

Summit

139

Tulane

101.5

American Athletic

140

Winthrop

101.5

Big South

141

Washington St.

101.5

Pac-12

142

Vanderbilt

101.4

Southeastern

143

George Mason

101.3

Atlantic 10

144

Texas A&M

101.3

Southeastern

145

South Dakota St.

101.3

Summit

146

William & Mary

101.2

Colonial Athletic

147

Marshall

101.2

Conference USA

148

UT Arlington

101.2

Southland

149

Southern Utah

101.2

Big Sky

150

Georgia Southern

101.1

Sun Belt

151

Coastal Carolina

101.1

Sun Belt

152

Oral Roberts

101.0

Summit

153

Boston College

101.0

Atlantic Coast

154

Western Carolina

100.9

Southern

155

UC Santa Barbara

100.9

Big West

156

Drake

100.8

Missouri Valley

157

Air Force

100.8

Mountain West

158

Pepperdine

100.8

West Coast

159

Missouri St.

100.7

Missouri Valley

160

UTEP

100.6

Conference USA

161

Buffalo

100.6

Mid-American

162

Pacific

100.6

West Coast

163

Towson

100.2

Colonial Athletic

164

Charlotte

100.0

Conference USA

165

UAB

100.0

Conference USA

166

Central Michigan

99.9

Mid-American

167

California Baptist

99.8

Western Athletic

168

Sacramento St.

99.7

Big Sky

169

Rider

99.7

Metro Atlantic

170

Chattanooga

99.7

Southern

171

California

99.7

Pac-12

172

Northern Illinois

99.7

Mid-American

173

Bowling Green

99.7

Mid-American

174

Hawaii

99.6

Big West

175

St. Francis (PA)

99.6

Northeast

176

Eastern Washington

99.6

Big Sky

177

Valparaiso

99.5

Missouri Valley

178

South Alabama

99.5

Sun Belt

179

Massachusetts

99.4

Atlantic 10

180

Nicholls St.

99.4

Southland

181

La Salle

99.3

Atlantic 10

182

North Florida

99.3

Atlantic Sun

183

Appalachian St.

99.2

Sun Belt

184

Sam Houston St.

99.0

Southland

185

Little Rock

99.0

Sun Belt

186

Montana

99.0

Big Sky

187

Old Dominion

99.0

Conference USA

188

Delaware

98.9

Colonial Athletic

189

Princeton

98.7

Ivy

190

Austin Peay

98.7

Ohio Valley

191

Florida Int’l.

98.5

Conference USA

192

Southern Illinois

98.4

Missouri Valley

193

Lafayette

98.4

Patriot

194

Sacred Heart

98.4

Northeast

195

Portland St.

98.4

Big Sky

196

Boston U

98.2

Patriot

197

UTSA

98.0

Conference USA

198

Dartmouth

97.9

Ivy

199

Omaha

97.9

Summit

200

Ohio

97.8

Mid-American

201

Abilene Christian

97.8

Southland

202

Miami (O)

97.8

Mid-American

203

Florida Atlantic

97.7

Conference USA

204

Quinnipiac

97.7

Metro Atlantic

205

Green Bay

97.6

Horizon

206

Eastern Illinois

97.6

Ohio Valley

207

UC Riverside

97.5

Big West

208

South Dakota

97.5

Summit

209

North Dakota

97.5

Summit

210

Brown

97.5

Ivy

211

San Diego

97.3

West Coast

212

Oakland

97.3

Horizon

213

Siena

97.3

Metro Atlantic

214

Monmouth

97.2

Metro Atlantic

215

Bryant

97.2

Northeast

216

Illinois St.

97.0

Missouri Valley

217

Montana St.

96.9

Big Sky

218

Seattle

96.9

Western Athletic

219

Missouri-KC

96.9

Western Athletic

220

Campbell

96.9

Big South

221

Loyola Marymount

96.9

West Coast

222

American

96.9

Patriot

223

Robert Morris

96.7

Northeast

224

Rice

96.7

Conference USA

225

Eastern Michigan

96.7

Mid-American

226

Prairie View A&M

96.7

Southwestern Athl.

227

Albany

96.6

American East

228

East Carolina

96.6

American Athletic

229

Youngstown St.

96.5

Horizon

230

Navy

96.3

Patriot

231

George Washington

96.3

Atlantic 10

232

Northern Arizona

96.3

Big Sky

233

Jacksonville St.

96.1

Ohio Valley

234

Bucknell

96.1

Patriot

235

Cal St. Bakersfield

96.1

Western Athletic

236

Iona

96.0

Metro Atlantic

237

Manhattan

95.9

Metro Atlantic

238

Canisius

95.9

Metro Atlantic

239

UC Davis

95.9

Big West

240

Gardner-Webb

95.9

Big South

241

Jacksonville

95.8

Atlantic Sun

242

Drexel

95.7

Colonial Athletic

243

Grand Canyon

95.7

Western Athletic

244

UT Rio Grande Valley

95.7

Western Athletic

245

Columbia

95.6

Ivy

246

Loyola (MD)

95.6

Patriot

247

Tennessee St.

95.6

Ohio Valley

248

Milwaukee

95.5

Horizon

249

UNC Asheville

95.5

Big South

250

Fairfield

95.5

Metro Atlantic

251

Purdue Fort Wayne

95.4

Summit

252

UMass Lowell

95.4

American East

253

Long Island

95.3

Northeast

254

Samford

95.3

Southern

255

Western Michigan

95.2

Mid-American

256

Lipscomb

95.1

Atlantic Sun

257

Portland

95.1

West Coast

258

McNeese St.

95.0

Southland

259

Arkansas St.

95.0

Sun Belt

260

Morehead St.

95.0

Ohio Valley

261

Evansville

94.9

Missouri Valley

262

Lehigh

94.9

Patriot

263

Louisiana

94.8

Sun Belt

264

Mercer

94.8

Southern

265

Saint Peter’s

94.7

Metro Atlantic

266

Saint Joseph’s

94.7

Atlantic 10

267

Louisiana Monroe

94.6

Sun Belt

268

Lamar

94.5

Southland

269

Troy

94.5

Sun Belt

270

Fordham

94.4

Atlantic 10

271

Cal St. Fullerton

94.3

Big West

272

Illinois Chicago

94.3

Horizon

273

Norfolk St.

94.3

Mideastern Athletic

274

Texas Southern

94.3

Southwestern Athl.

275

New Hampshire

94.2

American East

276

James Madison

94.2

Colonial Athletic

277

Bethune Cookman

94.2

Mideastern Athletic

278

VMI

94.1

Southern

279

North Alabama

94.1

Atlantic Sun

280

Citadel

94.1

Southern

281

Weber St.

93.9

Big Sky

282

Cal St. Northridge

93.8

Big West

283

Utah Valley

93.7

Western Athletic

284

Merrimack

93.6

Northeast

285

Idaho St.

93.5

Big Sky

286

Detroit

93.5

Horizon

287

Middle Tennessee

93.4

Conference USA

288

Grambling

93.3

Southwestern Athl.

289

Mount St. Mary’s

93.3

Northeast

290

NJIT

93.3

Atlantic Sun

291

Cornell

93.2

Ivy

292

Southern Miss.

93.2

Conference USA

293

UM Baltimore Co.

92.6

American East

294

Hartford

92.4

American East

295

UT-Martin

92.4

Ohio Valley

296

Texas A&M CC

92.2

Southland

297

Fairleigh Dickinson

92.1

Northeast

298

Niagara

92.0

Metro Atlantic

299

Wyoming

92.0

Mountain West

300

New Orleans

91.8

Southland

301

St. Francis (NY)

91.8

Northeast

302

Army

91.8

Patriot

303

Long Beach St.

91.7

Big West

304

Morgan St.

91.6

Mideastern Athletic

305

North Carolina A&T

91.5

Mideastern Athletic

306

San Jose St.

91.5

Mountain West

307

Elon

91.4

Colonial Athletic

308

Idaho

91.2

Big Sky

309

North Carolina Central

91.2

Mideastern Athletic

310

Eastern Kentucky

91.1

Ohio Valley

311

Longwood

91.0

Big South

312

Wagner

90.8

Northeast

313

Florida A&M

90.8

Mideastern Athletic

314

Cal Poly

90.7

Big West

315

Jackson St.

90.6

Southwestern Athl.

316

Central Arkansas

90.5

Southland

317

UNC Wilmington

90.5

Colonial Athletic

318

Alcorn St.

90.4

Southwestern Athl.

319

Charleston Southern

90.4

Big South

320

Cleveland St.

90.4

Horizon

321

USC Upstate

90.4

Big South

322

Stetson

90.4

Atlantic Sun

323

IUPUI

90.3

Horizon

324

Florida Gulf Coast

90.2

Atlantic Sun

325

Western Illinois

90.2

Summit

326

Hampton

90.1

Big South

327

SE Missouri

90.1

Ohio Valley

328

Southern

90.0

Southwestern Athl.

329

Coppin St.

90.0

Mideastern Athletic

330

Binghamton

89.5

American East

331

Denver

89.5

Summit

332

Alabama A&M

88.9

Southwestern Athl.

333

Presbyterian

88.9

Big South

334

South Carolina St.

88.9

Mideastern Athletic

335

Northwestern St.

88.9

Southland

336

SIU Edwardsville

88.7

Ohio Valley

337

SE Louisiana

88.7

Southland

338

Holy Cross

88.1

Patriot

339

Tennessee Tech

88.1

Ohio Valley

340

Marist

88.0

Metro Atlantic

341

Maine

87.7

American East

342

Houston Baptist

87.4

Southland

343

Alabama St.

87.3

Southwestern Athl.

344

High Point

85.9

Big South

345

Arkansas Pine Bluff

85.5

Southwestern Athl.

346

Kennesaw St.

85.2

Atlantic Sun

347

Incarnate Word

84.8

Southland

348

Howard

83.1

Mideastern Athletic

349

Delaware St.

82.4

Mideastern Athletic

350

Central Connecticut

82.3

Northeast

351

MD Eastern Shore

81.5

Mideastern Athletic

352

Mississippi Valley St.

79.0

Southwestern Athl.

353

Chicago St.

78.3

Western Athletic

Alphabetical 

 

#

Team

PiRate

Conf.

1

Abilene Christian

97.8

Southland

2

Air Force

100.8

Mountain West

3

Akron

106.6

Mid-American

4

Alabama

108.9

Southeastern

5

Alabama A&M

88.9

Southwestern Athl.

6

Alabama St.

87.3

Southwestern Athl.

7

Albany

96.6

American East

8

Alcorn St.

90.4

Southwestern Athl.

9

American

96.9

Patriot

10

Appalachian St.

99.2

Sun Belt

11

Arizona

114.7

Pac-12

12

Arizona St.

106.7

Pac-12

13

Arkansas

111.4

Southeastern

14

Arkansas Pine Bluff

85.5

Southwestern Athl.

15

Arkansas St.

95.0

Sun Belt

16

Army

91.8

Patriot

17

Auburn

114.2

Southeastern

18

Austin Peay

98.7

Ohio Valley

19

Ball St.

103.8

Mid-American

20

Baylor

115.7

Big 12

21

Belmont

106.7

Ohio Valley

22

Bethune Cookman

94.2

Mideastern Athletic

23

Binghamton

89.5

American East

24

Boise St.

104.5

Mountain West

25

Boston College

101.0

Atlantic Coast

26

Boston U

98.2

Patriot

27

Bowling Green

99.7

Mid-American

28

Bradley

104.7

Missouri Valley

29

Brown

97.5

Ivy

30

Bryant

97.2

Northeast

31

Bucknell

96.1

Patriot

32

Buffalo

100.6

Mid-American

33

Butler

115.2

Big East

34

BYU

111.9

West Coast

35

Cal Poly

90.7

Big West

36

Cal St. Bakersfield

96.1

Western Athletic

37

Cal St. Fullerton

94.3

Big West

38

Cal St. Northridge

93.8

Big West

39

California

99.7

Pac-12

40

California Baptist

99.8

Western Athletic

41

Campbell

96.9

Big South

42

Canisius

95.9

Metro Atlantic

43

Central Arkansas

90.5

Southland

44

Central Connecticut

82.3

Northeast

45

Central Florida

103.1

American Athletic

46

Central Michigan

99.9

Mid-American

47

Charleston

102.1

Colonial Athletic

48

Charleston Southern

90.4

Big South

49

Charlotte

100.0

Conference USA

50

Chattanooga

99.7

Southern

51

Chicago St.

78.3

Western Athletic

52

Cincinnati

109.7

American Athletic

53

Citadel

94.1

Southern

54

Clemson

106.5

Atlantic Coast

55

Cleveland St.

90.4

Horizon

56

Coastal Carolina

101.1

Sun Belt

57

Colgate

102.2

Patriot

58

Colorado

111.9

Pac-12

59

Colorado St.

101.7

Mountain West

60

Columbia

95.6

Ivy

61

Connecticut

106.6

American Athletic

62

Coppin St.

90.0

Mideastern Athletic

63

Cornell

93.2

Ivy

64

Creighton

110.4

Big East

65

Dartmouth

97.9

Ivy

66

Davidson

105.9

Atlantic 10

67

Dayton

115.3

Atlantic 10

68

Delaware

98.9

Colonial Athletic

69

Delaware St.

82.4

Mideastern Athletic

70

Denver

89.5

Summit

71

DePaul

106.2

Big East

72

Detroit

93.5

Horizon

73

Drake

100.8

Missouri Valley

74

Drexel

95.7

Colonial Athletic

75

Duke

121.4

Atlantic Coast

76

Duquesne

107.4

Atlantic 10

77

East Carolina

96.6

American Athletic

78

East Tennessee St.

107.8

Southern

79

Eastern Illinois

97.6

Ohio Valley

80

Eastern Kentucky

91.1

Ohio Valley

81

Eastern Michigan

96.7

Mid-American

82

Eastern Washington

99.6

Big Sky

83

Elon

91.4

Colonial Athletic

84

Evansville

94.9

Missouri Valley

85

Fairfield

95.5

Metro Atlantic

86

Fairleigh Dickinson

92.1

Northeast

87

Florida

111.7

Southeastern

88

Florida A&M

90.8

Mideastern Athletic

89

Florida Atlantic

97.7

Conference USA

90

Florida Gulf Coast

90.2

Atlantic Sun

91

Florida Int’l.

98.5

Conference USA

92

Florida St.

114.0

Atlantic Coast

93

Fordham

94.4

Atlantic 10

94

Fresno St.

102.0

Mountain West

95

Furman

106.9

Southern

96

Gardner-Webb

95.9

Big South

97

George Mason

101.3

Atlantic 10

98

George Washington

96.3

Atlantic 10

99

Georgetown

109.1

Big East

100

Georgia

106.1

Southeastern

101

Georgia Southern

101.1

Sun Belt

102

Georgia St.

104.9

Sun Belt

103

Georgia Tech

106.6

Atlantic Coast

104

Gonzaga

116.8

West Coast

105

Grambling

93.3

Southwestern Athl.

106

Grand Canyon

95.7

Western Athletic

107

Green Bay

97.6

Horizon

108

Hampton

90.1

Big South

109

Hartford

92.4

American East

110

Harvard

105.4

Ivy

111

Hawaii

99.6

Big West

112

High Point

85.9

Big South

113

Hofstra

101.8

Colonial Athletic

114

Holy Cross

88.1

Patriot

115

Houston

111.1

American Athletic

116

Houston Baptist

87.4

Southland

117

Howard

83.1

Mideastern Athletic

118

Idaho

91.2

Big Sky

119

Idaho St.

93.5

Big Sky

120

Illinois

111.4

Big Ten

121

Illinois Chicago

94.3

Horizon

122

Illinois St.

97.0

Missouri Valley

123

Incarnate Word

84.8

Southland

124

Indiana

110.7

Big Ten

125

Indiana St.

102.2

Missouri Valley

126

Iona

96.0

Metro Atlantic

127

Iowa

112.8

Big Ten

128

Iowa St.

108.8

Big 12

129

IUPUI

90.3

Horizon

130

Jackson St.

90.6

Southwestern Athl.

131

Jacksonville

95.8

Atlantic Sun

132

Jacksonville St.

96.1

Ohio Valley

133

James Madison

94.2

Colonial Athletic

134

Kansas

119.0

Big 12

135

Kansas St.

105.0

Big 12

136

Kennesaw St.

85.2

Atlantic Sun

137

Kent St.

104.7

Mid-American

138

Kentucky

113.0

Southeastern

139

La Salle

99.3

Atlantic 10

140

Lafayette

98.4

Patriot

141

Lamar

94.5

Southland

142

Lehigh

94.9

Patriot

143

Liberty

108.5

Atlantic Sun

144

Lipscomb

95.1

Atlantic Sun

145

Little Rock

99.0

Sun Belt

146

Long Beach St.

91.7

Big West

147

Long Island

95.3

Northeast

148

Longwood

91.0

Big South

149

Louisiana

94.8

Sun Belt

150

Louisiana Monroe

94.6

Sun Belt

151

Louisiana Tech

107.3

Conference USA

152

Louisville

114.9

Atlantic Coast

153

Loyola (Chi.)

104.4

Missouri Valley

154

Loyola Marymount

96.9

West Coast

155

Loyola (MD)

95.6

Patriot

156

LSU

111.7

Southeastern

157

Maine

87.7

American East

158

Manhattan

95.9

Metro Atlantic

159

Marist

88.0

Metro Atlantic

160

Marquette

111.0

Big East

161

Marshall

101.2

Conference USA

162

Maryland

114.7

Big Ten

163

Massachusetts

99.4

Atlantic 10

164

McNeese St.

95.0

Southland

165

MD Eastern Shore

81.5

Mideastern Athletic

166

Memphis

110.9

American Athletic

167

Mercer

94.8

Southern

168

Merrimack

93.6

Northeast

169

Miami (Fla.)

105.8

Atlantic Coast

170

Miami (O)

97.8

Mid-American

171

Michigan

112.5

Big Ten

172

Michigan St.

117.4

Big Ten

173

Middle Tennessee

93.4

Conference USA

174

Milwaukee

95.5

Horizon

175

Minnesota

110.6

Big Ten

176

Mississippi

104.5

Southeastern

177

Mississippi St.

108.3

Southeastern

178

Mississippi Valley St.

79.0

Southwestern Athl.

179

Missouri

109.0

Southeastern

180

Missouri-KC

96.9

Western Athletic

181

Missouri St.

100.7

Missouri Valley

182

Monmouth

97.2

Metro Atlantic

183

Montana

99.0

Big Sky

184

Montana St.

96.9

Big Sky

185

Morehead St.

95.0

Ohio Valley

186

Morgan St.

91.6

Mideastern Athletic

187

Mount St. Mary’s

93.3

Northeast

188

Murray St.

102.7

Ohio Valley

189

Navy

96.3

Patriot

190

Nebraska

102.3

Big Ten

191

Nevada

105.2

Mountain West

192

New Hampshire

94.2

American East

193

New Mexico

104.8

Mountain West

194

New Mexico St.

105.1

Western Athletic

195

New Orleans

91.8

Southland

196

Niagara

92.0

Metro Atlantic

197

Nicholls St.

99.4

Southland

198

NJIT

93.3

Atlantic Sun

199

Norfolk St.

94.3

Mideastern Athletic

200

North Alabama

94.1

Atlantic Sun

201

North Carolina

106.9

Atlantic Coast

202

North Carolina A&T

91.5

Mideastern Athletic

203

North Carolina Central

91.2

Mideastern Athletic

204

North Carolina St.

109.6

Atlantic Coast

205

North Dakota

97.5

Summit

206

North Dakota St.

101.6

Summit

207

North Florida

99.3

Atlantic Sun

208

North Texas

104.0

Conference USA

209

Northeastern

102.0

Colonial Athletic

210

Northern Arizona

96.3

Big Sky

211

Northern Colorado

103.5

Big Sky

212

Northern Illinois

99.7

Mid-American

213

Northern Iowa

107.3

Missouri Valley

214

Northern Kentucky

102.6

Horizon

215

Northwestern

103.6

Big Ten

216

Northwestern St.

88.9

Southland

217

Notre Dame

108.2

Atlantic Coast

218

Oakland

97.3

Horizon

219

Ohio

97.8

Mid-American

220

Ohio St.

115.4

Big Ten

221

Oklahoma

108.9

Big 12

222

Oklahoma St.

107.9

Big 12

223

Old Dominion

99.0

Conference USA

224

Omaha

97.9

Summit

225

Oral Roberts

101.0

Summit

226

Oregon

113.7

Pac-12

227

Oregon St.

108.1

Pac-12

228

Pacific

100.6

West Coast

229

Penn

102.0

Ivy

230

Penn St.

111.3

Big Ten

231

Pepperdine

100.8

West Coast

232

Pittsburgh

106.3

Atlantic Coast

233

Portland

95.1

West Coast

234

Portland St.

98.4

Big Sky

235

Prairie View A&M

96.7

Southwestern Athl.

236

Presbyterian

88.9

Big South

237

Princeton

98.7

Ivy

238

Providence

107.1

Big East

239

Purdue

113.1

Big Ten

240

Purdue Fort Wayne

95.4

Summit

241

Quinnipiac

97.7

Metro Atlantic

242

Radford

102.0

Big South

243

Rhode Island

107.3

Atlantic 10

244

Rice

96.7

Conference USA

245

Richmond

106.9

Atlantic 10

246

Rider

99.7

Metro Atlantic

247

Robert Morris

96.7

Northeast

248

Rutgers

110.9

Big Ten

249

Sacramento St.

99.7

Big Sky

250

Sacred Heart

98.4

Northeast

251

Saint Joseph’s

94.7

Atlantic 10

252

Saint Louis

104.3

Atlantic 10

253

Saint Mary’s

110.4

West Coast

254

Saint Peter’s

94.7

Metro Atlantic

255

Sam Houston St.

99.0

Southland

256

Samford

95.3

Southern

257

San Diego

97.3

West Coast

258

San Diego St.

113.6

Mountain West

259

San Francisco

105.1

West Coast

260

San Jose St.

91.5

Mountain West

261

Santa Clara

101.9

West Coast

262

SE Louisiana

88.7

Southland

263

SE Missouri

90.1

Ohio Valley

264

Seattle

96.9

Western Athletic

265

Seton Hall

113.9

Big East

266

Siena

97.3

Metro Atlantic

267

SIU Edwardsville

88.7

Ohio Valley

268

SMU

106.1

American Athletic

269

South Alabama

99.5

Sun Belt

270

South Carolina

103.9

Southeastern

271

South Carolina St.

88.9

Mideastern Athletic

272

South Dakota

97.5

Summit

273

South Dakota St.

101.3

Summit

274

South Florida

102.8

American Athletic

275

Southern

90.0

Southwestern Athl.

276

Southern Illinois

98.4

Missouri Valley

277

Southern Miss.

93.2

Conference USA

278

Southern Utah

101.2

Big Sky

279

St. Bonaventure

103.2

Atlantic 10

280

St. Francis (NY)

91.8

Northeast

281

St. Francis (PA)

99.6

Northeast

282

St. John’s

106.7

Big East

283

Stanford

109.1

Pac-12

284

Stephen F. Austin

102.2

Southland

285

Stetson

90.4

Atlantic Sun

286

Stony Brook

103.1

American East

287

Syracuse

107.8

Atlantic Coast

288

TCU

108.7

Big 12

289

Temple

106.2

American Athletic

290

Tennessee

109.0

Southeastern

291

Tennessee St.

95.6

Ohio Valley

292

Tennessee Tech

88.1

Ohio Valley

293

Texas

107.4

Big 12

294

Texas A&M

101.3

Southeastern

295

Texas A&M CC

92.2

Southland

296

Texas Southern

94.3

Southwestern Athl.

297

Texas St.

102.7

Sun Belt

298

Texas Tech

111.6

Big 12

299

Toledo

103.9

Mid-American

300

Towson

100.2

Colonial Athletic

301

Troy

94.5

Sun Belt

302

Tulane

101.5

American Athletic

303

Tulsa

103.2

American Athletic

304

UAB

100.0

Conference USA

305

UC Davis

95.9

Big West

306

UC Irvine

103.3

Big West

307

UC Riverside

97.5

Big West

308

UC Santa Barbara

100.9

Big West

309

UCLA

102.5

Pac-12

310

UM Baltimore Co.

92.6

American East

311

UMass Lowell

95.4

American East

312

UNC Asheville

95.5

Big South

313

UNC Greensboro

107.1

Southern

314

UNC Wilmington

90.5

Colonial Athletic

315

UNLV

101.9

Mountain West

316

USC

107.2

Pac-12

317

USC Upstate

90.4

Big South

318

UT Arlington

101.2

Southland

319

UT Rio Grande Valley

95.7

Western Athletic

320

UT-Martin

92.4

Ohio Valley

321

Utah

103.9

Pac-12

322

Utah St.

108.6

Mountain West

323

Utah Valley

93.7

Western Athletic

324

UTEP

100.6

Conference USA

325

UTSA

98.0

Conference USA

326

Valparaiso

99.5

Missouri Valley

327

Vanderbilt

101.4

Southeastern

328

VCU

109.5

Atlantic 10

329

Vermont

107.2

American East

330

Villanova

112.3

Big East

331

Virginia

109.3

Atlantic Coast

332

Virginia Tech

108.5

Atlantic Coast

333

VMI

94.1

Southern

334

Wagner

90.8

Northeast

335

Wake Forest

103.9

Atlantic Coast

336

Washington

108.7

Pac-12

337

Washington St.

101.5

Pac-12

338

Weber St.

93.9

Big Sky

339

West Virginia

114.2

Big 12

340

Western Carolina

100.9

Southern

341

Western Illinois

90.2

Summit

342

Western Kentucky

104.3

Conference USA

343

Western Michigan

95.2

Mid-American

344

Wichita St.

111.3

Big East

345

William & Mary

101.2

Colonial Athletic

346

Winthrop

101.5

Big South

347

Wisconsin

112.1

Big Ten

348

Wofford

101.8

Southern

349

Wright St.

103.5

Horizon

350

Wyoming

92.0

Mountain West

351

Xavier

109.1

Big East

352

Yale

108.1

Ivy

353

Youngstown St.

96.5

Horizon

 

PiRate Rating By Conference

 

#

American Athletic

PiRate

1

Houston

111.1

2

Memphis

110.9

3

Cincinnati

109.7

4

Connecticut

106.6

5

Temple

106.2

6

SMU

106.1

7

Tulsa

103.2

8

Central Florida

103.1

9

South Florida

102.8

10

Tulane

101.5

11

East Carolina

96.6

Avg

American Athletic

105.2

 

 

#

American East

PiRate

1

Vermont

107.2

2

Stony Brook

103.1

3

Albany

96.6

4

UMass Lowell

95.4

5

New Hampshire

94.2

6

UM Baltimore Co.

92.6

7

Hartford

92.4

8

Binghamton

89.5

9

Maine

87.7

Avg

American East

95.4

 

 

#

Atlantic 10

PiRate

1

Dayton

115.3

2

VCU

109.5

3

Duquesne

107.4

4

Rhode Island

107.3

5

Richmond

106.9

6

Davidson

105.9

7

Saint Louis

104.3

8

St. Bonaventure

103.2

9

George Mason

101.3

10

Massachusetts

99.4

11

La Salle

99.3

12

George Washington

96.3

13

Saint Joseph’s

94.7

14

Fordham

94.4

Avg.

Atlantic 10

103.2

 

 

#

Atlantic Coast

PiRate

1

Duke

121.4

2

Louisville

114.9

3

Florida St.

114.0

4

North Carolina St.

109.6

5

Virginia

109.3

6

Virginia Tech

108.5

7

Notre Dame

108.2

8

Syracuse

107.8

9

North Carolina

106.9

10

Georgia Tech

106.6

11

Clemson

106.5

12

Pittsburgh

106.3

13

Miami (Fla.)

105.8

14

Wake Forest

103.9

15

Boston College

101.0

Avg

Atlantic Coast

108.7

 

 

#

Atlantic Sun

PiRate

1

Liberty

108.5

2

North Florida

99.3

3

Jacksonville

95.8

4

Lipscomb

95.1

5

North Alabama

94.1

6

NJIT

93.3

7

Stetson

90.4

8

Florida Gulf Coast

90.2

9

Kennesaw St.

85.2

Avg

Atlantic Sun

94.6

 

 

#

Big 12

PiRate

1

Kansas

119.0

2

Baylor

115.7

3

West Virginia

114.2

4

Texas Tech

111.6

5

Oklahoma

108.9

6

Iowa St.

108.8

7

TCU

108.7

8

Oklahoma St.

107.9

9

Texas

107.4

10

Kansas St.

105.0

Avg

Big 12

110.7

 

 

#

Big East

PiRate

1

Butler

115.2

2

Seton Hall

113.9

3

Villanova

112.3

4

Wichita St.

111.3

5

Marquette

111.0

6

Creighton

110.4

7

Georgetown

109.1

8

Xavier

109.1

9

Providence

107.1

10

St. John’s

106.7

11

DePaul

106.2

Avg

Big East

110.2

 

 

#

Big Sky

PiRate

1

Northern Colorado

103.5

2

Southern Utah

101.2

3

Sacramento St.

99.7

4

Eastern Washington

99.6

5

Montana

99.0

6

Portland St.

98.4

7

Montana St.

96.9

8

Northern Arizona

96.3

9

Weber St.

93.9

10

Idaho St.

93.5

11

Idaho

91.2

#

Big Sky

97.6

 

 

#

Big South

PiRate

1

Radford

102.0

2

Winthrop

101.5

3

Campbell

96.9

4

Gardner-Webb

95.9

5

UNC Asheville

95.5

6

Longwood

91.0

7

Charleston Southern

90.4

8

USC Upstate

90.4

9

Hampton

90.1

10

Presbyterian

88.9

11

High Point

85.9

Avg

Big South

93.5

 

 

#

Big Ten

PiRate

1

Michigan St.

117.4

2

Ohio St.

115.4

3

Maryland

114.7

4

Purdue

113.1

5

Iowa

112.8

6

Michigan

112.5

7

Wisconsin

112.1

8

Illinois

111.4

9

Penn St.

111.3

10

Rutgers

110.9

11

Indiana

110.7

12

Minnesota

110.6

13

Northwestern

103.6

14

Nebraska

102.3

Avg

Big Ten

111.3

 

 

#

Big West

PiRate

1

UC Irvine

103.3

2

UC Santa Barbara

100.9

3

Hawaii

99.6

4

UC Riverside

97.5

5

UC Davis

95.9

6

Cal St. Fullerton

94.3

7

Cal St. Northridge

93.8

8

Long Beach St.

91.7

9

Cal Poly

90.7

Avg

Big West

96.4

 

 

#

Colonial Athletic

PiRate

1

Charleston

102.1

2

Northeastern

102.0

3

Hofstra

101.8

4

William & Mary

101.2

5

Towson

100.2

6

Delaware

98.9

7

Drexel

95.7

8

James Madison

94.2

9

Elon

91.4

10

UNC Wilmington

90.5

Avg

Colonial Athletic

97.8

 

 

#

Conference USA

PiRate

1

Louisiana Tech

107.3

2

Western Kentucky

104.3

3

North Texas

104.0

4

Marshall

101.2

5

UTEP

100.6

6

Charlotte

100.0

7

UAB

100.0

8

Old Dominion

99.0

9

Florida Int’l.

98.5

10

UTSA

98.0

11

Florida Atlantic

97.7

12

Rice

96.7

13

Middle Tennessee

93.4

14

Southern Miss.

93.2

Avg

Conference USA

99.6

 

 

#

Horizon

PiRate

1

Wright St.

103.5

2

Northern Kentucky

102.6

3

Green Bay

97.6

4

Oakland

97.3

5

Youngstown St.

96.5

6

Milwaukee

95.5

7

Illinois Chicago

94.3

8

Detroit

93.5

9

Cleveland St.

90.4

10

IUPUI

90.3

Avg

Horizon

96.2

 

 

#

Ivy

PiRate

1

Yale

108.1

2

Harvard

105.4

3

Penn

102.0

4

Princeton

98.7

5

Dartmouth

97.9

6

Brown

97.5

7

Columbia

95.6

8

Cornell

93.2

Avg

Ivy

99.8

 

 

#

Metro Atlantic

PiRate

1

Rider

99.7

2

Quinnipiac

97.7

3

Siena

97.3

4

Monmouth

97.2

5

Iona

96.0

6

Manhattan

95.9

7

Canisius

95.9

8

Fairfield

95.5

9

Saint Peter’s

94.7

10

Niagara

92.0

11

Marist

88.0

Avg

Metro Atlantic

95.4

 

 

#

Mid-American

PiRate

1

Akron

106.6

2

Kent St.

104.7

3

Toledo

103.9

4

Ball St.

103.8

5

Buffalo

100.6

6

Central Michigan

99.9

7

Northern Illinois

99.7

8

Bowling Green

99.7

9

Ohio

97.8

10

Miami (O)

97.8

11

Eastern Michigan

96.7

12

Western Michigan

95.2

Avg

Mid-American

100.5

 

 

#

Mideastern Athletic

PiRate

1

Norfolk St.

94.3

2

Bethune Cookman

94.2

3

Morgan St.

91.6

4

North Carolina A&T

91.5

5

North Carolina Central

91.2

6

Florida A&M

90.8

7

Coppin St.

90.0

8

South Carolina St.

88.9

9

Howard

83.1

10

Delaware St.

82.4

11

MD Eastern Shore

81.5

Avg

Mideastern Athletic

89.0

 

 

#

Missouri Valley

PiRate

1

Northern Iowa

107.3

2

Bradley

104.7

3

Loyola (Chi.)

104.4

4

Indiana St.

102.2

5

Drake

100.8

6

Missouri St.

100.7

7

Valparaiso

99.5

8

Southern Illinois

98.4

9

Illinois St.

97.0

10

Evansville

94.9

Avg

Missouri Valley

101.0

 

 

#

Mountain West

PiRate

1

San Diego St.

113.6

2

Utah St.

108.6

3

Nevada

105.2

4

New Mexico

104.8

5

Boise St.

104.5

6

Fresno St.

102.0

7

UNLV

101.9

8

Colorado St.

101.7

9

Air Force

100.8

10

Wyoming

92.0

11

San Jose St.

91.5

Avg

Mountain West

102.4

 

 

#

Northeast

PiRate

1

St. Francis (PA)

99.6

2

Sacred Heart

98.4

3

Bryant

97.2

4

Robert Morris

96.7

5

Long Island

95.3

6

Merrimack

93.6

7

Mount St. Mary’s

93.3

8

Fairleigh Dickinson

92.1

9

St. Francis (NY)

91.8

10

Wagner

90.8

11

Central Connecticut

82.3

Avg

Northeast

93.7

 

 

#

Ohio Valley

PiRate

1

Belmont

106.7

2

Murray St.

102.7

3

Austin Peay

98.7

4

Eastern Illinois

97.6

5

Jacksonville St.

96.1

6

Tennessee St.

95.6

7

Morehead St.

95.0

8

UT-Martin

92.4

9

Eastern Kentucky

91.1

10

SE Missouri

90.1

11

SIU Edwardsville

88.7

12

Tennessee Tech

88.1

Avg

Ohio Valley

95.2

 

 

#

Pac-12

PiRate

1

Arizona

114.7

2

Oregon

113.7

3

Colorado

111.9

4

Stanford

109.1

5

Washington

108.7

6

Oregon St.

108.1

7

USC

107.2

8

Arizona St.

106.7

9

Utah

103.9

10

UCLA

102.5

11

Washington St.

101.5

12

California

99.7

Avg

Pac-12

107.3

 

 

#

Patriot

PiRate

1

Colgate

102.2

2

Lafayette

98.4

3

Boston U

98.2

4

American

96.9

5

Navy

96.3

6

Bucknell

96.1

7

Loyola (MD)

95.6

8

Lehigh

94.9

9

Army

91.8

10

Holy Cross

88.1

Avg

Patriot

95.9

 

 

#

Southeastern

PiRate

1

Auburn

114.2

2

Kentucky

113.0

3

LSU

111.7

4

Florida

111.7

5

Arkansas

111.4

6

Tennessee

109.0

7

Missouri

109.0

8

Alabama

108.9

9

Mississippi St.

108.3

10

Georgia

106.1

11

Mississippi

104.5

12

South Carolina

103.9

13

Vanderbilt

101.4

14

Texas A&M

101.3

Avg

Southeastern

108.2

 

 

#

Southern

PiRate

1

East Tennessee St.

107.8

2

UNC Greensboro

107.1

3

Furman

106.9

4

Wofford

101.8

5

Western Carolina

100.9

6

Chattanooga

99.7

7

Samford

95.3

8

Mercer

94.8

9

VMI

94.1

10

Citadel

94.1

Avg

Southern

100.2

 

 

#

Southland

PiRate

1

Stephen F. Austin

102.2

2

UT Arlington

101.2

3

Nicholls St.

99.4

4

Sam Houston St.

99.0

5

Abilene Christian

97.8

6

McNeese St.

95.0

7

Lamar

94.5

8

Texas A&M CC

92.2

9

New Orleans

91.8

10

Central Arkansas

90.5

11

Northwestern St.

88.9

12

SE Louisiana

88.7

13

Houston Baptist

87.4

14

Incarnate Word

84.8

Avg

Southland

93.8

 

 

#

Southwestern Athletic

PiRate

1

Prairie View A&M

96.7

2

Texas Southern

94.3

3

Grambling

93.3

4

Jackson St.

90.6

5

Alcorn St.

90.4

6

Southern

90.0

7

Alabama A&M

88.9

8

Alabama St.

87.3

9

Arkansas Pine Bluff

85.5

10

Mississippi Valley St.

79.0

Avg

Southwestern Athletic

89.6

 

 

#

Summit

PiRate

1

North Dakota St.

101.6

2

South Dakota St.

101.3

3

Oral Roberts

101.0

4

Omaha

97.9

5

South Dakota

97.5

6

North Dakota

97.5

7

Purdue Fort Wayne

95.4

8

Western Illinois

90.2

9

Denver

89.5

Avg

Summit

96.9

 

 

#

Sun Belt

PiRate

1

Georgia St.

104.9

2

Texas St.

102.7

3

Georgia Southern

101.1

4

Coastal Carolina

101.1

5

South Alabama

99.5

6

Appalachian St.

99.2

7

Little Rock

99.0

8

Arkansas St.

95.0

9

Louisiana

94.8

10

Louisiana Monroe

94.6

11

Troy

94.5

Avg

Sun Belt

98.8

 

 

#

West Coast

PiRate

1

Gonzaga

116.8

2

BYU

111.9

3

Saint Mary’s

110.4

4

San Francisco

105.1

5

Santa Clara

101.9

6

Pepperdine

100.8

7

Pacific

100.6

8

San Diego

97.3

9

Loyola Marymount

96.9

10

Portland

95.1

Avg

West Coast

103.7

 

 

#

Western Athletic

PiRate

1

New Mexico St.

105.1

2

California Baptist

99.8

3

Seattle

96.9

4

Missouri-KC

96.9

5

Cal St. Bakersfield

96.1

6

Grand Canyon

95.7

7

UT Rio Grande Valley

95.7

8

Utah Valley

93.7

9

Chicago St.

78.3

Avg

Western Athletic

95.4

 

Conference Ratings

 

#

Conference

PiRate

1

Big Ten

111.3

2

Big 12

110.7

3

Big East

110.2

4

Atlantic Coast

108.7

5

Southeastern

108.2

6

Pac-12

107.3

7

American Athletic

105.2

8

West Coast

103.7

9

Atlantic 10

103.2

10

Mountain West

102.4

11

Missouri Valley

101.0

12

Mid-American

100.5

13

Southern

100.2

14

Ivy

99.8

15

Conference USA

99.6

16

Sun Belt

98.8

17

Colonial Athletic

97.8

18

Big Sky

97.6

19

Summit

96.9

20

Big West

96.4

21

Horizon

96.2

22

Patriot

95.9

23

Metro Atlantic

95.4

24

American East

95.4

25

Western Athletic

95.4

26

Ohio Valley

95.2

27

Atlantic Sun

94.6

28

Southland

93.8

29

Northeast

93.7

30

Big South

93.5

31

Southwestern Athletic

89.6

32

Mideastern Athletic

89.0

Coming Later Today–Updated Bracketology

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

January 9, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For January 9, 2020

Power Conference Games & Top 25 Teams Playing Thursday

 

Home

Visitor

Spread

Michigan

Purdue

5.1

Wichita St.

Memphis

2.5

Michigan St.

Minnesota

12.1

Oregon

Arizona

1.2

Stanford

Washington

1.7

California

Washington St.

-0.1

Oregon St.

Arizona St.

4.7

Saint Mary’s

BYU

2.3

 

Coming Tomorrow–Updated Ratings and Bracketology

January 5, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For January 5, 2020

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 5:16 am

Power Conference & Top 25 Teams Playing Sunday

 

Home

Visitor

Spread

Saint Joseph’s

Dayton

-18.6

Michigan St.

Michigan

7.4

Xavier

St. John’s

6.9

Colorado

Oregon St.

8.5

Minnesota

Northwestern

11.0

Illinois

Purdue

-0.2

Washington

USC

4.3

March 30, 2019

Bracketnomics 2019: Picking The Elite 8

Team

SOS

TS Marg

OReb%

DReb%

TOV%

DTOV%

R+T

Gonzaga

56.36

17.3

30.7

73.6

12.9

16.5

15.0

Texas Tech

59.03

10.2

27.6

72.0

16.0

20.0

4.2

Texas Tech enjoys a slight SOS edge, but Gonzaga’s exceptional R+T Rating is a major factor in this game.  Gonzaga will enjoy a modest rebounding advantage at both ends of the court, while the Bulldogs will be able to withstand the Red Raiders’ ball-hawking ability.  Thus, turnover margin should be close to even.  Gonzaga’s TS% Margin is somewhat better here, and the SOS advantage by TTU is mostly negated.

Prediction: Gonzaga by 6 to 11 points

 

Team

SOS

TS Marg

OReb%

DReb%

TOV%

DTOV%

R+T

Virginia

59.89

12.3

29.7

75.0

12.9

15.8

10.2

Purdue

61.14

3.6

34.0

74.0

13.5

16.6

11.5

Purdue’s SOS and R+T Rating are marginally better, while Virginia holds a commanding TS% Margin advantage.  Purdue should grab a few additional offensive rebounds in this game, while turnovers should be relatively close.  This has the makings of an exciting close game, just like so many others in this year’s tournament.  In this game, the Bracketnomics cannot pick a conclusive winner, so other factors must be included.  Virginia has been a little more consistent in matching their statistical data, while Purdue has been a little more varied.  I will go with the more consistent team.

Prediction: Virginia by 2 to 7 points

 

Team

SOS

TS Marg

OReb%

DReb%

TOV%

DTOV%

R+T

Kentucky

60.76

9.8

36.6

74.7

15.8

16.0

16.2

Auburn

60.34

1.9

32.2

67.8

14.6

21.8

2.7

The effect of the Chuma Okeke injury can only be estimated for Auburn, while Kentucky’s P.J. Washington appears to be close to 100% for this game after playing well against Houston.

You would expect conference rivals at this point of the season to have similar SOS’s, and these two teams do.  Kentucky’s R+T Rating is so superior in this game, and their TS% Margin is considerably better, so this makes it a potential blowout game.  Auburn will force the Wildcats into a few extra turnovers, but the rebounding edge could be scary in this game, as the Big Blue might be able to win the boards by more than a 60-40% advantage.  

During the regular season, Kentucky beat Auburn both times.  It was a close game in Auburn, but the Wildcats breezed to an easy win in Lexington.

Prediction: Kentucky by 10 to 15 points

 

Team

SOS

TS Marg

OReb%

DReb%

TOV%

DTOV%

R+T

Duke

62.63

9.8

35.5

71.0

14.7

17.0

12.1

Michigan St.

61.29

14.0

33.8

74.1

16.4

12.7

12.3

This game has the makings of another classic.  The data predicts a close contest.  Duke’s SOS advantage is minimal, and the R+T Ratings basically wash.  Michigan State’s TS% Margin mostly comes from a better 3-point shooting ability, and only slightly better defense.  Duke’s big advantage comes in turnover margin.  The Blue Devils have the ability to exploit the Spartans’ real liability, as Sparty is prone to turning the ball over, while Duke is a competent team when it comes to forcing turnovers.  Michigan State’s normal rebounding strength will be somewhat negated if not totally negated in this game.

It isn’t a slam dunk win for Coach K over Coach Izzo, but the Blue Devils have more going for themselves in the data for this one.

Prediction: Duke by 5 to 10 points

 

 

 

 

 

March 28, 2019

PiRate Ratings NCAA Tournament For Thursday, March 28, 2019

Home

Rating

HCA

Visitor

Rating

Spread

Gonzaga

123.1

0.0

Florida St.

115.7

7.4

Tennessee

117.8

0.0

Purdue

117.6

0.2

Michigan

119.1

0.0

Texas Tech

118.4

0.7

Virginia

120.6

0.0

Oregon

111.2

9.4

 

Tonight’s Schedule

Team

Team

TIME (EDT)

TV

LOCATION

Florida St.

Gonzaga

7:09 PM

CBS

Anaheim

Purdue

Tennessee

7:29 PM

TBS

Louisville

Texas Tech

Michigan

9:39 PM

CBS

Anaheim

Oregon

Virginia

9:59 PM

TBS

Louisville

 

March 27, 2019

Bracketnomics 2019: Picking The Sweet 16

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 8:32 am

What a Sweet 16 we have!  My experience in watching the NCAA Tournament goes back to the 1964 season as UCLA went 30-0 using a small lineup with no starter over 6 foot 5.  The 16-0 run in 2 1/2 minutes made me a Bruin fan on the spot, especially because one of the catalysts was small,left-handed guard Gail Goodrich; I was also a small, left-handed guard.

On the whole, my memory now includes 56 different NCAA Tournaments.  I had a difficult time finding a Sweet 16 as strong as this one.  I had to go back to the 1970 season to find the equivalent in power teams still in the Dance.  Of course, in 1970,  there were just 25 teams invited to the Tournament, so 18 teams competed in the opening round, while another seven received express bids to the Sweet 16.

Among that talented group of 1970 teams, there were:

  1. UCLA was not supposed to win the 1970 tournament, as Kareem Abdul Jabbar and his fantastic class of 1969 graduated.  Sidney Wicks, Curtis Rowe, and Henry Bibby gave John Wooden an incredibly talented trio to build around as he went back to his high post offense.

  2. Jacksonville had Artis Gilmore and Rex Morgan as an incredible inside-outside attack.  The Dolphins averaged close to 100 points per game and had a second starter in their lineup, Pembroke Burrows, who was over 7 feet tall.

  3. St. Bonaventure had the best player in college basketball not named Maravich in Bob Lanier.  Lanier led the Bonnies to the top of the Eastern Elite, and SBU made it to the Final Four.  However, Lanier was injured in the East Regional Final and SBU had no chance in the Final Four against Jacksonville.

  4. New Mexico State was in the top 5 all year long with future NBA stars Charlie Criss and Sam Lacey as well as hot shooting Jimmy Collins.  The Aggies were picked by many as capable of beating UCLA in the national semifinals.  Wicks and Rowe put NMSU out of their misery early in the second half.

  5. Kentucky might have had the best team in the nation in 1970 had star guard Mike Casey not have suffered season-ending injuries in a car wreck the summer before.  With Dan Issel, Mike Pratt, Tom Parker, and Larry Steele, the Wildcats might have gone 30-0 had Casey not hurt his leg.

  6. Niagara had the incomparable 5 foot 9 inch Calvin Murphy who was the total package on the hardwoods.  Murphy averaged well over 30 ppg for his career with the Purple Eagles and enjoyed a lengthy pro career.  He once scored 68 points against Syracuse.  He was a lot more than a scorer.  His defensive pressure broke down opposing teams.  He could drive quickly through defenses and pass to open teammates under the basket, and he was the best baton twirler in the college ranks.

  7. Villanova had two future NBA All-Stars in Howard Porter and Chris Ford, as well as Fran O’Hanlon, who played in the ABA.  It was Ford that tripped Lanier in the Eastern Regional Championship Game that doomed St. Bonaventure.

  8. Notre Dame had the best offensive player in the tournament in Austin Carr.  Carr was unstoppable on offense with the way officials called fouls in 1970.  He averaged over 38 points per game, but he made history in this tournament by scoring 61 points in the opening round win over Ohio U.  He hit for more than 50 in the Sweet 16 against Kentucky.

  9. Iowa set the Big Ten record for points per game in 1970, almost averaging 100 points per night.  Among their stars was Downtown Freddie Brown, who would become one of the best 6th men in NBA history.  Before he became known as “Instant Offense” off the Seattle Supersonics’ bench, he was a dynamic starter for the Hawkeyes along with John Johnson, who averaged close to 30 ppg.

14 of the 16 teams in that tournament were what I consider strong teams according to today’s statistical standards, and 14 of this year’s 16 remaining teams fit that same description.

It’s no coincidence that of the 16 teams left, the Bracketnomics correctly picked 14 of the 16.

NOTE: The data that follows may be a little different than the original Bracketnomics’ posting at the beginning of the tournament.  Stats have been altered, especially the Strengths of Schedule (SOS) for some of the teams.

If you get to re-select your brackets at this point, ignore the original predictions and use these updated stats.  The originals predictions are still our “official bracket-picks,” but in this round, there is new and improved analytics.

NOTE 2: Do not confuse the Bracketnomics’ selections with the PiRate Ratings, which may contradict these picks in a couple of games.  The PiRate Ratings are strictly mechanical with no objective reasoning applied.  Bracketnomics are more subjective based on back-tested data usable only in the NCAA Tournament.

 

Team

SOS

TS Marg

OReb%

DReb%

TOV%

DTOV%

R+T

Gonzaga

56.14

17.6

31.1

73.2

12.8

16.5

15.1

Florida St.

59.85

3.7

33.0

73.5

16.2

18.0

9.1

After two rounds in this tournament, Gonzaga still owns the best criteria in the field, and nothing has changed in our beliefs that they have the best chance to run the table.  The Bulldogs only potential weakness is schedule strength, but at 56%+, it is more than adequate for a national champion.  The True Shooting % Margin combined with the R+T make The Zags the much better team here.  Florida State relies on offensive rebounding and forcing turnovers, but Gonzaga is not the team that the Seminoles can exploit enough times to come up with the win.  Gonzaga gets revenge for last year’s Sweet 16.

Prediction:  Gonzaga by 10-15 points

 

Team

SOS

TS Marg

OReb%

DReb%

TOV%

DTOV%

R+T

Tennessee

59.50

5.3

31.1

70.5

13.9

15.8

5.5

Purdue

60.82

3.5

34.3

74.0

13.6

16.9

11.6

Purdue hasn’t been in the Elite 8 since 2000, and they have not made it to the Final Four since 1980.  The Boilermakers have historically been unable to get scoring spurts in the Gene Keady-Matt Painter years.  They played excellent half-court offense and defense defense, but their style did not allow them to be overpowering on the boards or to gamble for steals on defense.  Like Money Ball does not work in the Major League Playoffs, possession basketball doesn’t work well in the Big Dance.  Teams need to have that spurtability, which is what the R+T rating shows, and Purdue has rarely had a great R+T rating.  That was the past; this Boilermaker squad has a very good R+T rating, and it comes from both an excellent rebounding strength combined with an adequate ability to force turnovers and not cough the ball up enough times to matter.

Tennessee is more like the old Purdue teams.  The Volunteers have excellent half-court presence on both sides of the ball, but they cannot dominate on the glass, and they do not force enough turnovers.  In this game, I look for Purdue to get numerous second chance scoring opportunities, and eventually, the Boilermakers will go for the kill shot with a scoring run that gives them the victory.

Prediction: Purdue by 6 to 11 points

 

Team

SOS

TS Marg

OReb%

DReb%

TOV%

DTOV%

R+T

Michigan

59.87

8.8

24.0

75.6

12.1

15.9

4.0

Texas Tech

58.42

10.1

28.1

71.7

16.1

20.0

4.4

 

This has the chance to be a classic game that will generate headlines for a long time.  This is the closest thing to a 50-50 tossup there can be.  If you had to choose one game to go to triple overtime, this is the one I’d pick (I just gave it the kiss of death and it will be a blowout now).

With Michigan’s 1 1/2 point SOS advantage, it basically makes all the criteria dead even.  Two teams with excellent defensive efficiency should lead to the game being decided on rebounding and turnovers.  The Red Raiders are better on the offensive glass, but the Wolverines are better on the defensive glass.  Texas Tech is considerably better forcing turnovers, but Michigan is considerably better holding onto the ball.  The R+T is dead even.  The only tiny little stat where there is a difference is TS% Margin, where even with the better SOS, Michigan comes up just a tad short, but not enough to matter more than one point on the scoreboard.

I have to go to extracurricular statistics here to select a winner in this game.  Texas Tech has been more consistent with their production, while Michigan’s standard deviation of statistics has been greater.  The Wolverines have been up for five consecutive games, while Texas Tech has been on an even keel since January.  Michigan has experience from making it to the Championship Game last year, while Texas Tech made it to the Elite 8 last year, so once again this washes.  Michigan is 7-3 against ranked teams this year.  TTU is 3-2.  Maybe, this is the only stat I can use to pick a winner, and it is still a total guess.  I’ll have my eyes glued to this game.

Prediction: Michigan by 1 to 5 points, possibly in overtime

 

Team

SOS

TS Marg

OReb%

DReb%

TOV%

DTOV%

R+T

Virginia

59.95

12.9

29.9

74.8

13.0

15.7

10.4

Oregon

55.83

4.5

29.4

71.7

15.4

18.3

4.3

Oregon coach Dana Altman deserves a ton of credit.  If you don’t think losing a 5-star McDonald’s All-American freshman phenom when you have another one on the roster  hurts, look at what happened to Bryce Drew at Vanderbilt.  Drew lost Darius Garland early in the year but still had another 5-star freshman phenom in Simi Shittu.  Vanderbilt lost their final 20 games in a row, and Drew was dismissed.  Altman lost superstar Bol Bol early in the year, and the Ducks were counted out.  Altman rallied Oregon and won the Pac-12 Tournament.  Then, they knocked out mid-major darling UC-Irvine to make it back to the Sweet 16 for the third time in four years.

Virginia survived a scare against Gardner-Webb, but the Cavaliers righted the ship and stormed back to win by 15, and then the Cavs ousted Oklahoma much more easily in the Round of 32.  On the surface, some may believe that UVA is strictly a half-court possession wonder, the type that usually disappoints in the Big Dance.  This is not so.  The Cavaliers have a double-digit R+T rating, which makes them capable of benefiting from scoring spurts, like they did in 2016, when they made it to the Elite 8 and watched a second half double-digit lead against Syracuse turn into a loss when the Orangemen went on a huge scoring run.

This game looks like the most lopsided in this round.  Virginia has the advantage across the board, and Oregon has not beaten a team this good all year.  The Ducks only played one ranked team in the regular season.  Think of Bol Bol as twice the player Tacko Fall is for Central Florida.  That’s why  Oregon should be happy they made the Sweet 16.

Prediction: Virginia by 12-17 points

 

Team

SOS

TS Marg

OReb%

DReb%

TOV%

DTOV%

R+T

Michigan St.

61.11

14.0

33.8

74.1

16.4

12.7

12.3

LSU

58.71

3.4

36.5

69.8

15.2

17.6

9.4

The fact that four SEC teams made the Sweet 16, and LSU won the conference championship shows that the Tigers are good enough to keep playing into April, even with acting coach Tony Benford taking over for Will Wade.

On the other side, Michigan State is almost perfect when you look at the resume of a Final Four team.  The Spartans do not force turnovers like most Final Four teams in the past, and they are vulnerable to a team that can pressure them into turnovers.

LSU has the personnel to force MSU out of their normal offense and negate any potential rebounding advantage Sparty has.  This game still looks favorable to Michigan State due to a great difference in True Shooting Percentage Margin.  LSU might not get enough open looks and second chance points to match the inside scoring of Nick Ward and Xavier Tillman combined with the three-point shooting of Cassius Winston.

Prediction: Michigan State by 4 to 9 points

 

Team

SOS

TS Marg

OReb%

DReb%

TOV%

DTOV%

R+T

North Carolina

62.05

5.4

34.8

77.7

14.6

16.5

18.9

Auburn

59.91

1.9

32.2

67.8

14.6

21.8

2.7

 

This game should be played at a tempo of 75 possessions per team.  Auburn was the best up-tempo team in the SEC this year, but North Carolina was the best up-tempo team in the ACC.

Can Auburn force North Carolina, namely point guard Coby White to make enough mistakes to keep this game close?  White has been prone to force the issue a bit at times, but in the games against the best pressure man-to-man teams, he did not make enough mistakes to cost Carolina the win, and in several games, his deft handling of the ball was the reason the Tar Heels won.

North Carolina remains the second best team in the tournament according to Bracketnomics, and this game has the potential to get out of hand.  The Tar Heels have a huge advantage on the offensive glass, and this should be the deciding factor.  UNC will score on several consecutive possessions at some point in this game and take a commanding lead that forces Auburn to panic on offense and commit some mistakes of their own.

Prediction: North Carolina by 10-15 points

Team

SOS

TS Marg

OReb%

DReb%

TOV%

DTOV%

R+T

Duke

62.61

9.8

35.5

71.0

14.7

17.0

12.1

Virginia Tech

58.20

8.5

29.0

72.9

15.3

19.1

6.1

 

Virginia Tech’s home court advantage in a game with Duke was three points and change, but let’s round it back to 3.  They beat Duke in Blacksburg by five points.  Duke didn’t have Zion Williamson.  Is Zion worth three points more for Duke than his backup?  Of course, he is; he’s worth a lot more than three extra points in Duke’s overall production.

Duke has an exploitable liability, and Central Florida exposed it.  Buzz Williams will do everything to try to force the Blue Devils to beat his squad by not being weak in their perimeter shooting.  UCF had two big guys inside that could force Duke to shoot from the perimeter.  Virginia Tech has one big guy, Kerry Blackshear, who probably cannot stop the Duke inside game.

In my opinion, there are a couple teams that can force Duke to have a better than average perimeter shooting night to beat them, but Virginia Tech is not one of them.

Prediction: Duke by 8 to 13 points

Team

SOS

TS Marg

OReb%

DReb%

TOV%

DTOV%

R+T

Kentucky

60.44

9.8

36.6

74.7

15.8

16.0

16.2

Houston

55.45

8.3

34.2

74.8

14.0

15.8

14.6

This game could be very interesting in a different way than the Michigan and Texas Tech game.  You get contrasting styles in this contest, and there are many variables, some of which favor the underdog Cougars in this cat fight.

There is a giant variable here, one that is enough to take this game from a relatively safe victory for Kentucky to a toss-up.  Star forward P.J. Washington might play in this game, and he might not be healthy enough.  Even if he plays, he cannot possibly be all that effective.  What bothers me is that he went from a protective boot to a cast, which means the injury was worse than first thought.  He’s going to one of the top foot specialists in the nation, and I think the goal here is to make sure Washington is ready for the NBA Draft.

If Washington does not play in this game, it becomes one where Houston has a 40-45% chance of winning.  If Washington plays sparingly, Kentucky’s chances increase by another 5-10%.  If miraculously Washington can play near full strength for 25 minutes, then the Big Blue win this game going away.

I will select this game based on the assumption that Washington will play but at much less than full strength.  Reid Travis is ready to have a big game for Kentucky now that he is basically 100% at full strength following his injury, and I look for John Calipari to direct his team to play intelligently and take advantage of their muscle advantage.

Prediction: Kentucky but 5-10 points

 

 

 

 

 

March 23, 2019

PiRate Ratings NCAA Tournament For Saturday, March 23, 2019

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 4:57 am

Home

Rating

HCA

Visitor

Rating

Spread

LSU

114.6

0.0

Maryland

113.0

1.6

Kentucky

118.5

0.0

Wofford

113.9

4.6

Michigan

119.0

0.0

Florida

111.9

7.1

Florida St.

115.2

0.0

Murray St.

110.4

4.8

Gonzaga

123.1

0.0

Baylor

110.5

12.6

Michigan St.

120.9

0.0

Minnesota

110.2

10.7

Purdue

117.1

0.0

Villanova

111.8

5.3

Kansas

115.3

0.0

Auburn

115.7

-0.4

Saturday’s Schedule

TIME (ET)

GAME

TV

SITE

12:10 p.m.

(6) Maryland vs. (3) LSU

CBS

Jacksonville

Approx. 2:55 p.m.

(7) Wofford vs. (2) Kentucky

CBS

Jacksonville

5:15 p.m.

(10) Florida vs. (2) Michigan

CBS

Des Moines

6:10 p.m.

(12) Murray St. vs. (4) Florida St.

TNT

Hartford

7:10 p.m.

(9) Baylor vs. (1) Gonzaga

TBS

Salt Lake City

Approx. 8:00 p.m.

(10) Minnesota vs. (2) Michigan St.

CBS

Des Moines

Approx 8:55 p.m.

(6) Villanova vs. (3) Pudue

TNT

Hartford

Approx 9:55 p.m.

(5) Auburn vs. (4) Kansas

TBS

Salt Lake City

 

January 15, 2019

Advanced Basketball Statistics–Fun Stuff for Stats Buffs, Part 2

Last week, we introduced you to the basics of advanced basketball statistics, the Four Factors.

If you missed that feature, you can find it here:

https://piratings.wordpress.com/2019/01/09/advanced-basketball-statistics-fun-stuff-for-stats-buffs/

This week, we hope to explain how to apply advanced stats to individual players. It is a bit more involved, but if you break it down, it is not difficult to understand.

Then, in our final installment next week, we will attempt to explain offensive and defensive efficiency, which is a multiple step process and quite involved, but once you have the formulas placed in a spreadsheet, you can have the same data that the Selection Committee will have in the room when they meet to select the field and seed the teams.

Let’s start with individual statistics.

True Shooting %
The basic shooting stat for an individual is True Shooting Percentage. It incorporates field goal shooting from behind the three-point line, inside the line, and foul shooting into one percentage that provides a decent look at how efficient a player is when he shoots the ball to his basket.

 
The formula for TS% is: College: Pts/(2*(FGA+(.465*FTA))) &

NBA Pts/(2*(FGA+(.44*FTA)))

Example: Let’s take a look at the incredible Markus Howard of Marquette. As of this afternoon (January 15, 2019), Howard has scored 439 points for the season. He has taken 301 field goal attempts and 116 free throw attempts.

439/(2*(301+(.465*116))) = .618 or 61.8%

Let’s now take a look at a big man and how Howard stacks up as a perimeter player. Let’s look at Gonzaga’s Rui Hachimura. As of this afternoon, the Bulldogs’ power forward has scored 374 points on 233 field goal attempts and 117 free throw attempts.

374/(2*(233+(.465*117)))= .651 or 65.1%
Hachimura is a little more efficient in scoring points when he shoots the ball for any reason than Howard, but they are both quite excellent at scoring for their teams.
How do they compare with a couple of all-time greats from the past?

Let’s look at Steph Curry’s and Bill Walton’s final years at Davidson and UCLA respectively.

Curry: 974/(2*(687+(.465*251)))= .606 or 60.6%, not as good as Howard so far this year.

Walton: 522/(2*(349+(.465*100)))=.660 or 66.%, which is a little better than Hachimura.

Hachimura has benefitted from some three-pointers that did not exist when Walton played at UCLA, but Walton would have never attempted a three-point shot playing in the low post for the Bruins. Walton also missed some games his senior year due to knee troubles, and he was a lousy foul shooter his last two years in Westwood, or else his TS% would have been even higher.

Offensive, Defensive, and Total Rebounding Percentage
For an individual player, the formula for offensive rebounding percentage is:

100 * [(Individual Player’s Offensive Rebounds * (Team Minutes Played/5)) / (Individual Player’s Minutes Played * (Team Offensive Rebounds + Opposing Team Defensive Rebounds))]

The formula looks bulky but it is quite easy to calculate and once you plug them into a spreadsheet, it is a quick process.

Defensive Rebounding percentage is just the opposite formula
100 * [(Individual Player’s Defensive Rebounds * (Team Minutes Played/5)) / (Individual Player’s Minutes Played * (Team Defensive Rebounds + Opposing Team Offensive Rebounds))]

And Total Rebounding Rebounding Percentage brings the whole into the parts.
100 * [(Individual Player’s Total Rebounds * Team Minutes Played/5) / (Individual Player’s Minutes Played * (Team Total Rebounds + Opposing Team Total Rebounds))]

Examples: Let’s compare the key board men from the hot rivals in the Big Ten: Kenny Goins of Michigan State and Jon Teske of Michigan

Goins offensive rebounding: 100 * [(41*3425/5)) / (450 * (201 + 356))] = 11.2%
Goins defensive rebounding: 100* [(119*3425/5)) / 450 * (543 + 185))] = 24.9%
Goins total rebounding: 100 * [(160 * 3425/5) / (450 * (744 + 541))] = 19.0%

Teske offensive rebounding: 100 * [(31 * 3400/5)) / (458 * (156 + 415))] = 8.1%
Teske defensive rebounding: 100 * [(82 * 3400/5)) / (458 * (463+135))] = 20.4%
Teske total rebounding: 100 * [(113 * 3400/5)) / (450 * (619+550))] = 14.6%

Because Michigan and Michigan State have played comparable schedules this year, Goins is a little better on both the offensive and defensive glass than the seven-foot Teske.

For what it is worth, Blake Griffin’s total rebounding percentage in 2009 at Oklahoma was 24.0, so Goins and Teske are not quite up to his lofty standards.

Turnover Percentage

The formula for individual TOV% is: 100 * TOV / (FGA + (.465 * FTA) + TOV)

It is rather simple to calculate, but it has its limitations, because point guards handle the ball much more per possession than other players, and this formula does not include assists which might show that it is worth a couple extra points of TOV% for a point guard to have higher numbers of assists. Additionally, some point guards do not attempt many shots, so the denominator of this equation is skewed too low.

We’ll combine this stat with the next stat to come up with an improvement over assist to turnover rate.

Let’s look at a couple of outstanding playmakers–Cassius Winston of Michigan State and Jared Harper of Auburn.

Winston: 100 * 42 / (205 + (.465 * 69) + 42) = 15.0%
Harper: 100 * 32 / (183 + (.465 * 53) + 32) = 13.4%

Assist Percentage
Now we give the playmakers a chance to shine and balance out the bad turnover percentages they receive for having possession of the ball more than others (like a running back in football will fumble the ball more than the tight end per team possession).
The formula for individial AST% is: 100 * AST / (((MP / (Team MP/5)) * Team FG) – FG)

Winston: 100 * 125 / (((528/(3425/5)) * 517) – 100) = 41.9%
Harper: 100 * 101 / (((506/(3050/5)) * 452) -69) = 33.0%

Assist Percentage to Turnover Percentage

Simply divide AST%/TOV% to get a better ratio than the standard AST/TOV.

Winston: 41.9/15.0 = 2.8
Harper: 33.0/13.4 = 2.5

Both of these rates are outstanding. For Michigan State, the Spartans have an outstanding playmaker in Winston, an outstanding dominator on the glass in Goins, and an outstanding group of shooters and defenders. Coach Tom Izzo has a Final Four caliber team for sure.

Block Percentage
Blocks are very important defensive tools. Obviously every time a player blocks a shot, it is also a missed field goal attempt for the other team. Obviously, a blocked shot is not as valuable as the non-blocked missed field goal attempt, because not every blocked shot would have been a made shot, and more blocked shots become offensive rebounds or offensive team rebounds than regular missed shots. However, an intimidator underneath the basket can influence a lot of shots that he does not block, thus lowering non-blocked field goal percentages. There are multiple algorithms used to calculate how valuable a blocked shot is worth in points with and without the inclusion of intimidation.

We like to compare this variable to baseball’s stolen base variable, where traditional sabermetrics lovers hate the stolen base attempt due to the effects on WAR not being great and needing a base stealer that can consistently steal better than 75% of the bases he attempts. They don’t factor in the extracurricular events such as middle infielders having to cheat a step closer to second base, pitchers worried about throwing off-speed (non fastball) pitches, pitchers having to throw to first a lot to reduce leads, and even the first baseman having to delay by a fraction of a second before moving out to cover his area.

For instance, when Maury Wills was stealing bases left and right for the Los Angeles Dodgers in the early 1960’s, Jim Gilliam benefited from being the next batter in the batting order. Gilliam liked to take a lot of pitches, so taking a couple to give Wills a chance to steal didn’t harm him. Actually, because pitchers worried so much, Gilliam was frequently ahead in the count. A veteran with a 2-0 count can hit about 100 points higher than when he has an 0-2 count. Also, Gilliam was an excellent placement hitter. He could hit the ball in the open space created by the first baseman holding Wills on base. When the switch-hitting Gilliam faced a left-handed batter, and the second baseman was covering the bag, while the first baseman was holding Wills on, Gilliam saw a monstrous hole to slap grounders towards right field that allowed Wills to take third base.

Editorial over

Here is the formula for Block Percentage
100 * (Blk * (Team MP/5)) / (MP * (Opponents FGA – Opponents 3-Point Attempts))

Example: Brandon Clarke of Gonzaga is a true intimidator in the paint. His ability to swat balls away has helped the Zags hold teams to just 38.8% field goal shooting. Here is his BLK%.

100 * (58 * (3600/5)) / 497 * (1148-418) = 11.5%

When a player has a double digit BLK%, it is almost a fact that he is also an intimidator in the paint, which means other teams will miss three or four shots that they normally would make against other teams. This is in addition to the blocks that would have been made baskets had they not been blocked.
If an opposing team normally averages 27 field goals on 58 attempts for 46.6%, but with Clarke’s blocks and intimidation this opponent hits only 21 of their 58 attempts for 36.2%. That is a 10% difference created mostly by one intimidating player. Block percentage is one of the most underrated defensive tools in basketball.

Steal Percentage
The steal is a dying art but for a reason. Ninety-five to ninety-nine percent of the time, the steal comes from an intercepted pass and not from a player actually stealing the ball off a player’s dribble. So, steals should be renamed as interceptions like in football. Because so many teams cannot pass the ball worth a darn these days, steals have been dropping in number for several years. This does not mean that the monotonous dribbling of the ball is the way for offenses to score. It is easier to guard the movement of a dribbled ball opposed to the movement of a passed ball, because a dribbler can rarely exceed 15 MPH, while a weak pass is double that speed and a crisp pass is triple that speed or more. When you see a player dribble the ball all the way up the floor on a fast break attempt, he is actually hurting his team’s chances of scoring points on that break. Two quick passes up the floor can result in a wide open basket and/or defensive foul. Many times, the dribbling player is the last of the 10 players to enter the scoring zone, and then the fast break is dead.

Once again editorial over.

The formula for steal percentage is: (100 * Steals * (Team MP/5)) / (Player MP * Opponents Possessions)

You can find team possessions in many locations today, but if you need to calculate this from scratch, team possessions can be very accurately estimated by this calculation:

FGA + (.465 * FTA) – Off. Rebounds + Turnovers {for college}

FGA + (.44 * FTA) – Off. Rebounds + Turnovers {for NBA}

If you are trying to calculate this for your high school, middle school, or youth league team, you will have to adjust the constant that you multiple with FTA. Unfortunately, we do not know what to use for the constants.

Example: Tremont Waters of LSU has come close this year to recording a triple double the hard way with points, assists, and steals. He needed two more steals against UL-Monroe to pull off a feat that is extremely rare in the 21st Century.
Here is Waters’ Steal %.
(100 * 45 * 3050/5) (478 * 1088) = 5.28%

This is an excellent percentage, but it does not approach the percentages of past years, especially when more teams used full-court pressure defense for 40 minutes per game. Some of the Kentucky players under Coach Rick Pitino exceeded 6%.

Usage Percentage
Usage percentage attempts tp gauge the percentage of team plays in which a specific player was key to the possession. It actually measures percentage of team plays USED by an individual while he was on the floor.

The formula for USG % is: 100 * ((FGA + (.465*FTA) + TOV) * (Team MP/5)) / (MP * (Team FGA + (.465* Team FTA)+Team TOV))

Example: Carsen Edwards of Purdue is heavily involved in all of the Boilermakers’ possessions.

100 * ((313 + (.465 * 90) + 52) * (3225/5)) / (537 * (985 + (.465*194)+174)) = 39.1%

At the same time, teammate Ryan Cline plays about the same number of minutes per game but has a USG% that is less than half of Edwards. Thus, Edwards is vital to Purdue’s offensive success. If Edwards gets in foul trouble, Purdue is in much worse shape than if Cline gets in foul trouble. Of course, Matt Painter doesn’t want either star getting into foul trouble, as they both play better than 33 minutes per game.

In our final installment of Fun Stuff for Stats Buffs, we will attempt to explain offensive and defensive efficiency ratings, the big advance metric that the Selection Committee will use as part of their selection and seeding criteria. It is quite bulky and involves multiple steps to figure. If you ever tried to calculate Base Runs in baseball, you know how involved that calculation was. oRAT and dRAT make base runs calculations look like simple addition.

March 23, 2018

PiRate Ratings Spreads For NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Games of Friday, March 23

Sweet 16–Friday, March 23

Higher Seed Lower Seed Spread
Kansas Clemson 1.7
Villanova West Virginia 6.4
Duke Syracuse 5.1
Purdue Texas Tech 3.3

Friday Night’s Schedule

Friday, Mar 23, 2018
TIME (EDT) Higher Seed Lower Seed City TV
7:07 PM 1 Kansas 5 Clemson Omaha CBS
7:27 PM 1 Villanova 5 West Virginia Boston TBS
9:37 PM 2 Duke 11 Syracuse Omaha CBS
9:57 PM 2 Purdue 3 Texas Tech Boston TBS

 

 

 

 

Older Posts »

Create a free website or blog at WordPress.com.