Conference Action Gets Into Full Swing
Historically week five is the start of conference action in earnest. Teams that play eight conference games have either already played one conference foe or will be doing so this week. Let’s take a look at some of the key games on tap.
Atlantic Coast Conference
In an early contest of unbeatens, surprising Clemson visits Virginia Tech. It’s possible these two teams could meet again in December. The last time either of these teams were 4-0, they lost their fifth game, which both times happened to come against Georgia Tech.
Speaking of Georgia Tech, the 4-0 Yellow Jackets visit a wounded North Carolina State team in Raleigh, where the Wolfpack are reeling from a Thursday night drubbing in the Queen City of Ohio. Tech lost big at home to State last year, but the Wolfpack lost Russell Wilson to college free agency.
Wake Forest appears to be stronger this season and possibly talented enough to gain bowl eligibility. The Demon Deacons face an important road game at disappointing Boston College. The Eagles must win this game, or they are virtually assured of suffering their first losing season this century.
Big East Conference
South Florida is the only remaining unbeaten team in the Big East, and the Bulls put their 4-0 mark on the line in a Thursday night game at 2-2 Pittsburgh. The Panthers appeared to be in a malaise against Notre Dame after losing at Iowa the week before. This is the fourth time in the last five years that USF has opened 4-0.
Syracuse, fresh off a controversial win over Toledo (one that was given to them by one of the worst officiating calls in years), hosts Rutgers in a game that will have a lot of Big Apple fans interested. The loser will have to hustle to find enough wins to earn a bowl bid, while the winner will be in very good shape.
Big Ten
There are a few really big games across the land this week, and the primetime highlight game will take place in Madison, Wisconsin. The 4-0 Wisconsin Badgers will take on the 4-0 Nebraska Cornhuskers in what will be the boys from Lincoln’s very first Big Ten Conference game. This game could be a preview of the Big Ten’s very first conference championship game in December.
Illinois has not been 4-0, or 5-0 for that matter, since they went 9-0-1 and won the Rose Bowl in 1951. The Illini own a win over Arizona State, so the 4-0 record is not a complete sham. They host in-state rival Northwestern this weekend. If you remember last year’s game, these two faced off at Wrigley Field in a game that forced both teams to go in the same direction for the entire day. After the teams fought to a 24-24 tie, Illinois ran off two touchdowns and a field goal in a short amount of time to put this one away.
Michigan State visits the giant horseshoe to take on Ohio State in a battle of once-beaten teams. Both teams feasted on weak opponents last week, and they should be ready to square off in a hotly-contested conference opener. Ohio State must go to Lincoln next week to face Nebraska in the Cornhusker’s first ever Big Ten home game, while the Spartans get a week off to prepare for arch-rival Michigan. The schedule is tailor-made for an MSU run to the division title, if they can get by the Buckeyes.
After a two-year hiatus from the schedule, the Little Brown Jug is up for grabs this week, as Michigan hosts Minnesota. Brady Hoke has Michigan off to a 4-0 start, and the Wolverines have a good shot at starting 6-0 before visiting Michigan State in Mid-October. As long as he stays healthy, Denard Robinson has to be considered a leading Heisman Trophy candidate. Minnesota has rarely had the opportunity of housing the jug, as since Minnesota last earned a share of the Big Ten title in 1967, the Gophers have won this game in 2005, 1986, and 1977, while losing 33 others (they did not play in four different seasons).
Big 12
This conference is the cat of college football, as it has nine lives. Just when it appeared as though final rites were ready to be administered for the second year in a row, an eleventh hour reprieve has saved the league for at least a short time. We believe Texas A&M is still headed to the SEC, and we won’t believe Missouri isn’t going to be the 14th team until it is carved in stone.
Texas visits Iowa State in a surprising battle of unbeatens. The Cyclones have enjoyed a string of fortunate happenings so far, but we believe that string has reached the end of the line. Texas is not the powerhouse of old, but the Longhorns’ defense should be tough enough to move Mack Brown’s boys to 4-0 before the Red River Rivalry game a week later.
Baylor visits the Little Apple to face Kansas State in another surprising game of unbeatens. The winner of this game is almost assured of an eight-win season with the possibility of getting to nine, while the loser is likely to fall back to 7-5 with the possibility of falling to 6-6. BU quarterback Robert Griffin III leads the nation in passing efficiency.
Pac-12
After a week off, Stanford hosts a mediocre UCLA team. For a leading Heisman Trophy contender, Andrew Luck has almost remained anonymous through three games. He may have to wait four more weeks until the Cardinal face Southern Cal at the L.A. Coliseum before he gets a big enough stage to state his case. He is currently number 11 in passer efficiency rating.
The Utah Utes play their first Pac-12 Conference home game when the Washington Huskies visit Salt Lake City. While neither team is likely to figure in their respective divisional races, both should be bowl eligible at the conclusion of their schedules.
Arizona State is in the driver’s seat in the Southern Division after blitzing Southern Cal Saturday night. Coach Dennis Erickson has been there before, and his Sun Devils take on one of his former teams this week in winless Oregon State. The Beavers have not been this weak since they were this weak every year from about 1970 to 1998.
Southeastern Conference
Outside of Madison, Wisconsin, the other big conference headliner this week finds Alabama going to the Swamp to take on Florida. Both teams are 4-0. Both teams rank near the top in both total offense and total defense. Florida averages 40.3 points per game with 462 yards of total offense, while yielding nine points and 232 yards per game. Alabama averages 38.5 points and 456 yards per game, while yielding just eight points and 184 yards per game. The winner of this game will need to get by LSU to have a chance to play for the national title later in the season.
It will be a Bulldog battle in Athens, when Georgia faces Mississippi State. The loser will have three losses, and if that team is the home team, it could be the beginning of the end for Coach Mark Richt. A Georgia win keeps the Bulldogs in contention for the SEC East title, especially if Florida loses to Alabama. Georgia does not play Alabama, Arkansas, or LSU.
South Carolina hosts Auburn, and the Gamecocks will be looking for revenge after losing twice to the defending national champs last year. Running back Marcus Lattimore is the co-best rusher in the nation along with LaMichael James at Oregon (not counting Mr. Robinson in Ann Arbor).
L S U owns wins over three top 25 teams in the four games they have played thus far. The Tigers are home for their next four games, and they could be 8-0 when they visit Tuscaloosa in early November. This week, Kentucky should be fodder for the Bayou Bengals.
Here is a look at this week’s FBS teams ranked from 1 to 120.
# |
Team |
PiRate |
1 |
Alabama |
133.5 |
2 |
Oklahoma |
131.2 |
3 |
Stanford |
130.4 |
4 |
L S U |
129.4 |
5 |
Oregon |
127.6 |
6 |
Oklahoma St. |
126.2 |
7 |
TexasA&M |
125.6 |
8 |
Boise St. |
124.7 |
9 |
Florida |
123.1 |
10 |
Wisconsin |
123.0 |
11 |
Notre Dame |
120.3 |
12 |
Florida St. |
118.9 |
13 |
Arkansas |
117.7 |
14 |
S. Carolina |
117.4 |
15 |
Missouri |
116.6 |
16 |
Nebraska |
116.5 |
17 |
Arizona St. |
115.6 |
18 |
Virginia Tech |
114.4 |
19 |
Utah |
114.2 |
20 |
Michigan |
114.1 |
21 |
Clemson |
113.7 |
22 |
Georgia |
112.9 |
23 |
Michigan St. |
112.7 |
24 |
Texas |
112.5 |
25 |
Southern Cal |
112.4 |
26 |
Miami(FL) |
111.5 |
27 |
Mississippi St. |
111.3 |
28 |
Washington |
111.0 |
29 |
Cincinnati |
109.9 |
30 |
California |
109.7 |
31 |
T C U |
109.3 |
32 |
Tennessee |
108.9 |
33 |
Penn St. |
108.7 |
34 |
Baylor |
108.2 |
35 |
W. Virginia |
107.9 |
36 |
Iowa |
107.8 |
37 |
Arizona |
106.6 |
38 |
Pittsburgh |
106.6 |
39 |
TexasTech |
106.5 |
40 |
Ohio St. |
106.4 |
41 |
Georgia Tech |
106.3 |
42 |
Illinois |
106.1 |
43 |
S. Florida |
105.7 |
44 |
N. Carolina |
105.0 |
45 |
Auburn |
104.9 |
46 |
U C L A |
104.7 |
47 |
Washington St. |
104.5 |
48 |
Kansas St. |
104.1 |
49 |
Air Force |
103.6 |
50 |
Tulsa |
103.5 |
51 |
Vanderbilt |
103.4 |
52 |
N. Carolina St. |
102.7 |
53 |
Navy |
102.6 |
54 |
Iowa St. |
102.4 |
55 |
Oregon St. |
102.3 |
56 |
San Diego St. |
102.0 |
57 |
Maryland |
101.8 |
58 |
WakeForest |
101.8 |
59 |
Nevada |
101.8 |
60 |
B Y U |
101.6 |
61 |
S M U |
100.5 |
62 |
Northwestern |
100.1 |
63 |
Houston |
99.5 |
64 |
Colorado |
99.4 |
65 |
Connecticut |
99.1 |
66 |
Duke |
99.1 |
67 |
Minnesota |
98.4 |
68 |
BostonColl. |
98.4 |
69 |
Hawaii |
98.4 |
70 |
Central Florida |
97.4 |
71 |
Temple |
97.4 |
72 |
Fresno St. |
97.2 |
73 |
LouisianaTech |
96.7 |
74 |
Southern Miss. |
96.6 |
75 |
Purdue |
96.5 |
76 |
Virginia |
96.4 |
77 |
Utah St. |
95.8 |
78 |
Rutgers |
95.6 |
79 |
Western Michigan |
95.1 |
80 |
Toledo |
94.5 |
81 |
Ole Miss |
94.4 |
82 |
East Carolina |
93.7 |
83 |
Syracuse |
93.4 |
84 |
San Jose St. |
92.1 |
85 |
Louisville |
91.9 |
86 |
Kentucky |
91.7 |
87 |
Colorado St. |
91.7 |
88 |
Arkansas St. |
91.3 |
89 |
Kansas |
91.1 |
90 |
Northern Illinois |
91.0 |
91 |
Rice |
90.2 |
92 |
OhioU |
90.2 |
93 |
FloridaInt’l |
89.6 |
94 |
Wyoming |
89.5 |
95 |
Bowling Green |
89.2 |
96 |
Miami(O) |
88.9 |
97 |
UL-Monroe |
85.4 |
98 |
Marshall |
84.3 |
99 |
Ball St. |
83.9 |
100 |
Troy |
83.8 |
101 |
Tulane |
83.1 |
102 |
U N L V |
82.9 |
103 |
U A B |
82.5 |
104 |
Idaho |
82.2 |
105 |
Indiana |
81.7 |
106 |
Army |
81.0 |
107 |
UL-Lafayette |
80.4 |
108 |
U T E P |
79.9 |
109 |
CentrralMichigan |
79.5 |
110 |
New Mexico St. |
79.5 |
111 |
New Mexico |
78.5 |
112 |
MiddleTennessee |
77.9 |
113 |
Buffalo |
77.8 |
114 |
Kent St. |
75.6 |
115 |
FloridaAtlantic |
75.6 |
116 |
North Texas |
75.4 |
117 |
Eastern Michigan |
74.5 |
118 |
WesternKy. |
73.1 |
119 |
Akron |
66.7 |
120 |
Memphis |
61.9 |
Here are the PiRate Ratings By Conference
Atlantic Coast Conference |
|||
Atlantic Division |
|
|
|
Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
FloridaState |
0-1 |
2-2 |
118.9 |
Clemson |
1-0 |
4-0 |
113.7 |
North CarolinaState |
0-1 |
2-2 |
102.7 |
Maryland |
1-0 |
1-2 |
101.8 |
WakeForest |
1-0 |
2-1 |
101.8 |
BostonCollege |
0-1 |
1-3 |
98.4 |
Coastal Division |
|
|
|
Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
Virginia Tech |
0-0 |
4-0 |
114.4 |
Miami-FL |
0-1 |
1-2 |
111.5 |
Georgia Tech |
1-0 |
4-0 |
106.3 |
North Carolina |
1-1 |
3-1 |
105.0 |
Duke |
1-0 |
2-2 |
99.1 |
Virginia |
0-1 |
2-2 |
96.4 |
Big East Conference |
|||
|
|
|
|
Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
Cincinnati |
0-0 |
3-1 |
109.9 |
West Virginia |
0-0 |
3-1 |
107.9 |
Pittsburgh |
0-0 |
2-2 |
106.6 |
South Florida |
0-0 |
4-0 |
105.7 |
Connecticut |
0-0 |
2-2 |
99.1 |
Rutgers |
0-0 |
2-1 |
95.6 |
Syracuse |
0-0 |
3-1 |
93.4 |
Louisville |
0-0 |
2-1 |
91.9 |
Big Ten |
|||
Leaders Division | |||
Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
Wisconsin |
0-0 |
4-0 |
123.0 |
PennState |
0-0 |
3-1 |
108.7 |
OhioState |
0-0 |
3-1 |
106.4 |
Illinois |
0-0 |
4-0 |
106.1 |
Purdue |
0-0 |
2-1 |
96.5 |
Indiana |
0-0 |
1-3 |
81.7 |
Legends Division | |||
Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
Nebraska |
0-0 |
4-0 |
116.5 |
Michigan |
0-0 |
4-0 |
114.1 |
MichiganState |
0-0 |
3-1 |
112.7 |
Iowa |
0-0 |
3-1 |
107.8 |
Northwestern |
0-0 |
2-1 |
100.1 |
Minnesota |
0-0 |
1-3 |
98.4 |
Big 12 |
|||
Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
Oklahoma |
1-0 |
3-0 |
131.2 |
OklahomaState |
1-0 |
4-0 |
126.2 |
TexasA&M |
0-1 |
2-1 |
125.6 |
Missouri |
0-1 |
2-2 |
116.6 |
Texas |
0-0 |
3-0 |
112.5 |
Baylor |
0-0 |
3-0 |
108.2 |
TexasTech |
0-0 |
3-0 |
106.5 |
KansasState |
0-0 |
3-0 |
104.1 |
IowaState |
0-0 |
3-0 |
102.4 |
Kansas |
0-0 |
2-1 |
91.1 |
Conference USA |
|||
East Division | |||
Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
Central Florida |
0-0 |
2-2 |
97.4 |
Southern Mississippi |
0-1 |
3-1 |
96.6 |
East Carolina |
1-0 |
1-2 |
93.7 |
Marshall |
1-0 |
1-3 |
84.3 |
U A B |
0-2 |
0-3 |
82.5 |
Memphis |
0-0 |
1-3 |
61.9 |
West Division | |||
Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
Tulsa |
1-0 |
1-3 |
103.5 |
S M U |
2-0 |
3-1 |
100.5 |
Houston |
0-0 |
4-0 |
99.5 |
Rice |
0-0 |
1-2 |
90.2 |
Tulane |
1-1 |
2-2 |
83.1 |
U T E P |
0-1 |
2-2 |
79.9 |
Independents |
|||
Team |
|
Overall |
Rating |
Notre Dame |
2-2 |
120.3 |
|
Navy |
2-1 |
102.6 |
|
B Y U |
2-2 |
101.6 |
|
Army |
1-3 |
81.0 |
Mid American Conference |
|||
East Division | |||
Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
Temple |
1-0 |
3-1 |
97.4 |
OhioU |
0-0 |
3-1 |
90.2 |
Bowling Green |
1-0 |
3-1 |
89.2 |
Miami(O) |
0-1 |
0-3 |
88.9 |
Buffalo |
0-1 |
1-3 |
77.8 |
Kent St. |
0-0 |
1-3 |
75.6 |
Akron |
0-1 |
1-3 |
66.7 |
West Division | |||
Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
Western Michigan |
1-0 |
2-2 |
95.1 |
Toledo |
0-0 |
1-3 |
94.5 |
Northern Illinois |
0-0 |
2-2 |
91.0 |
BallState |
1-0 |
3-1 |
83.9 |
Central Michigan |
0-1 |
1-3 |
79.5 |
Eastern Michigan |
0-0 |
2-2 |
74.5 |
Mountain West Conference |
|||
Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
BoiseState |
0-0 |
3-0 |
124.7 |
T C U |
1-0 |
3-1 |
109.3 |
Air Force |
0-1 |
2-1 |
103.6 |
San DiegoState |
0-0 |
3-1 |
102.0 |
ColoradoState |
1-0 |
3-1 |
91.7 |
Wyoming |
0-0 |
3-1 |
89.5 |
UNLV |
0-0 |
1-3 |
82.9 |
New Mexico |
0-1 |
0-4 |
78.5 |
Pac-12 Conference |
|||
North Division | |||
Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
Stanford |
1-0 |
3-0 |
130.4 |
Oregon |
1-0 |
3-1 |
127.6 |
Washington |
1-0 |
3-1 |
111.0 |
California |
0-1 |
3-1 |
109.7 |
WashingtonState |
0-0 |
2-1 |
104.5 |
OregonState |
0-1 |
0-3 |
102.3 |
South Division | |||
Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
ArizonaState |
1-0 |
3-1 |
115.6 |
Utah |
0-1 |
2-1 |
114.2 |
U S C |
1-1 |
3-1 |
112.4 |
Arizona |
0-1 |
1-3 |
106.6 |
U C L A |
1-0 |
2-2 |
104.7 |
Colorado |
0-0 |
1-3 |
99.4 |
Southeastern Conference |
|||
East Division | |||
Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
Florida |
2-0 |
4-0 |
123.1 |
South Carolina |
2-0 |
4-0 |
117.4 |
Georgia |
1-1 |
2-2 |
112.9 |
Tennessee |
0-1 |
2-1 |
108.9 |
Vanderbilt |
1-1 |
3-1 |
103.4 |
Kentucky |
0-1 |
2-2 |
91.7 |
West Division | |||
Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
Alabama |
1-0 |
4-0 |
133.5 |
L S U |
1-0 |
4-0 |
129.4 |
Arkansas |
0-1 |
3-1 |
117.7 |
MississippiState |
0-2 |
2-2 |
111.3 |
Auburn |
1-0 |
3-1 |
104.9 |
Ole Miss |
0-2 |
1-3 |
94.4 |
Sunbelt Conference |
|||
Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
ArkansasState |
0-0 |
2-2 |
91.3 |
FloridaInternational |
1-1 |
3-1 |
89.6 |
Louisiana-Monroe |
0-0 |
1-3 |
85.4 |
Troy |
1-0 |
1-2 |
83.8 |
U.ofLouisiana |
1-0 |
3-1 |
80.4 |
MiddleTennessee |
0-1 |
0-3 |
77.9 |
FloridaAtlantic |
0-0 |
0-3 |
75.6 |
North Texas |
0-1 |
1-3 |
75.4 |
Western Kentucky |
0-0 |
0-3 |
73.1 |
Western Athletic Conference |
|||
Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
Nevada |
1-0 |
1-2 |
101.8 |
Hawaii |
0-0 |
2-2 |
98.4 |
FresnoState |
1-0 |
2-2 |
97.2 |
LouisianaTech |
0-0 |
1-3 |
96.7 |
UtahState |
0-0 |
1-2 |
95.8 |
San JoseState |
1-1 |
1-3 |
92.1 |
Idaho |
0-1 |
1-3 |
82.2 |
New MexicoState |
0-1 |
1-3 |
79.5 |
Here is a look at this week’s games with the PiRate Ratings, Predicted Scores, and Official Opening Lines.
This Week’s Games–PiRate Ratings |
||||
|
|
|
||
Thursday, September 29 |
PiRate Spread |
|
|
|
Favorite | Underdog |
Score |
Line |
|
PITTSBURGH | South Florida |
4.4 |
27-23 |
Pk |
Houston | U T E P |
17.1 |
45-28 |
17 1/2 |
|
|
|
||
Friday, September 30 |
PiRate Spread |
|
|
|
Favorite | Underdog |
Score |
Line |
|
B Y U | UtahState |
8.8 |
28-19 |
12 1/2 |
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
||
Saturday, October 1 |
PiRate Spread |
|
|
|
Favorite | Underdog |
Score |
Line |
|
NAVY | Air Force |
2.5 |
27-24 |
2 1/2 |
ILLINOIS | Northwestern |
9.0 |
26-17 |
7 1/2 |
MICHIGAN | Minnesota |
19.2 |
35-16 |
20 |
BOSTONCOLLEGE | WakeForest |
0.1 |
27-27 to ot |
-1 |
SYRACUSE | Rutgers |
0.3 |
24-24 to ot |
1 |
TEMPLE | Toledo |
5.4 |
28-23 |
6 |
WEST VIRGINIA | Bowling Green |
22.2 |
38-16 |
17 |
VIRGINIA | Idaho |
18.2 |
35-17 |
17 |
TENNESSEE | Buffalo |
35.1 |
42-7 |
28 |
ARMY | Tulane |
0.9 |
21-20 |
6 |
Penn St. | INDIANA |
24.0 |
31-7 |
18 |
Georgia Tech | NORTH CAROLINA ST. |
0.6 |
28-27 |
10 |
CONNECTICUT | Western Michigan |
7.0 |
24-17 |
3 |
EASTERN MICHIGAN | Akron |
10.3 |
27-17 |
9 1/2 |
Cincinnati | MIAMI(O) |
18.5 |
42-23 |
13 |
OHIOU | Kent St. |
17.1 |
34-17 |
13 1/2 |
TexasTech | KANSAS |
12.4 |
33-21 |
9 1/2 |
BOISE ST. | Nevada |
26.4 |
45-19 |
28 |
Washington St. | COLORADO |
1.6 |
26-24 |
-3 |
Northern Illinois | CENTRAL MICHIGAN |
9.0 |
28-19 |
10 |
STANFORD | U c l a |
29.2 |
42-13 |
21 |
Texas | IOWA ST. |
6.6 |
30-23 |
9 |
Michigan St. | OHIO ST. |
2.8 |
24-21 |
-2 1/2 |
Alabama | FLORIDA |
6.9 |
24-17 |
5 |
LOUISVILLE | Marshall |
10.1 |
28-18 |
10 1/2 |
TexasA&M (n) | Arkansas |
7.9 |
38-30 |
3 1/2 |
SOUTHERN CAL | Arizona |
9.8 |
26-16 |
12 1/2 |
UTAH | Washington |
6.7 |
28-21 |
7 1/2 |
COLORADO ST. | San Jose St. |
2.6 |
26-23 |
3 1/2 |
ARIZONA ST. | Oregon St. |
16.8 |
34-17 |
17 |
Baylor | KANSAS ST. |
0.6 |
35-34 |
3 1/2 |
OKLAHOMA | Ball St. |
51.3 |
61-10 |
38 |
LOUISIANATECH | Hawaii |
2.3 |
33-31 |
4 |
GEORGIA | Mississippi St. |
22.0 |
38-16 |
7 1/2 |
SOUTH CAROLINA | Auburn |
16.0 |
40-24 |
11 1/2 |
SOUTHERN MISS | Rice |
9.4 |
37-28 |
14 |
VIRGINIATECH | Clemson |
4.2 |
24-20 |
7 1/2 |
NEW MEXICO | New Mexico St. |
1.0 |
21-20 |
-1 1/2 |
North Carolina | EAST CAROLINA |
8.8 |
35-26 |
6 |
WISCONSIN | Nebraska |
10.0 |
34-24 |
8 |
L S U | Kentucky |
41.2 |
48-7 |
28 |
Notre Dame | PURDUE |
20.8 |
35-14 |
13 |
FRESNO ST. | Ole Miss |
6.3 |
30-24 |
4 |
Arkansas St. | WESTERN KENTUCKY |
15.7 |
41-25 |
10 1/2 |
Duke | FLORIDAINT’L |
6.5 |
27-20 |
NL |
TROY | U a b |
3.8 |
28-24 |
NL |
UL-LAFAYETTE | FloridaAtlantic |
7.8 |
28-20 |
9 |
MIDDLETENNESSEE | Memphis |
18.5 |
39-20 |
21 |
TULSA | North Texas |
31.1 |
52-21 |
21 1/2 |
T C U | S m u |
11.3 |
28-17 |
11 1/2 |