PiRate Ratings College Football–September 30-October 2, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Miami (Fla.)	Virginia	11.8	9.0	11.8
Tulsa	Houston	0.9	2.5	0.6
Maryland	Iowa	-0.3	-1.2	-4.2
Utah St.	BYU	-18.9	-17.5	-20.0
Florida St.	Syracuse	4.6	4.6	5.5
North Carolina	Duke	22.0	21.1	25.5
East Carolina	Tulane	-1.6	-1.2	-2.1
Clemson	Boston College	15.8	15.6	17.8
Purdue	Minnesota	5.2	3.7	5.2
Georgia Tech	Pittsburgh	3.2	2.5	3.4
North Carolina St.	Louisiana Tech	23.8	22.6	24.9
Georgia St.	Appalachian St.	-6.2	-6.4	-8.2
South Carolina	Troy	13.5	12.9	12.6
Ball St.	Army	-8.5	-8.8	-11.2
Penn St.	Indiana	8.8	10.0	10.6
Temple	Memphis	-12.4	-11.5	-12.9
Iowa St.	Kansas	40.0	40.6	45.4
Massachusetts	Toledo	-20.6	-21.2	-22.7
Illinois	Charlotte	17.6	17.0	16.7
Wake Forest	Louisville	11.4	10.9	10.4
Buffalo	Western Michigan	4.6	3.0	4.6
Rutgers	Ohio St.	-15.3	-13.1	-15.6
Coastal Carolina	Louisiana-Monroe	34.8	31.9	36.7
Northern Illinois	Eastern Michigan	-5.1	-5.4	-4.5
Boise St.	Nevada	10.0	8.3	10.6
New Mexico	Air Force	-10.6	-10.5	-12.7
Colorado	USC	-8.8	-9.2	-11.1
Notre Dame	Cincinnati	-4.1	-2.1	-4.0
San Jose St.	New Mexico St.	31.3	30.7	31.6
Oregon St.	Washington	7.5	6.0	6.5
California	Washington St.	3.3	6.8	6.6
Stanford	Oregon	-4.7	-4.8	-7.2
Miami (O)	Central Michigan	5.0	4.0	2.9
Kent St.	Bowling Green	19.3	20.5	20.7
Alabama	Ole Miss	16.5	15.4	16.8
Navy	Central Florida	-13.4	-13.1	-15.8
SMU	South Florida	13.7	15.3	14.6
Oklahoma St.	Baylor	3.6	3.7	3.7
Georgia	Arkansas	18.8	18.7	21.1
Akron	Ohio U	-4.5	-7.7	-8.6
Missouri	Tennessee	6.7	7.9	6.7
TCU	Texas	-4.2	-3.8	-3.9
Kentucky	Florida	-8.6	-8.4	-9.3
Kansas St.	Oklahoma	-16.2	-13.8	-15.8
Florida Atlantic	Florida Int’l.	9.6	10.6	9.0
Vanderbilt	Connecticut	13.6	11.7	14.7
West Virginia	Texas Tech	16.4	13.8	14.3
LSU	Auburn	-0.8	1.5	0.9
Wisconsin	Michigan	2.6	1.4	3.2
Texas A&M	Mississippi St.	12.3	12.9	13.0
Georgia Southern	Arkansas St.	2.1	1.2	2.2
UTSA	UNLV	14.8	16.6	15.6
Rice	Southern Miss.	1.8	0.2	0.9
South Alabama	Louisiana	-13.5	-11.5	-14.5
UAB	Liberty	-3.7	-4.9	-5.2
Middle Tennessee	Marshall	-8.1	-8.2	-7.7
Nebraska	Northwestern	7.8	8.1	8.8
Michigan St.	Western Kentucky	25.6	23.6	23.7
UTEP	Old Dominion	6.4	6.4	4.0
UCLA	Arizona St.	2.0	1.9	2.0
Hawaii	Fresno St.	-2.0	-4.4	-4.9

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	132.2
2	Alabama	130.8
3	Oklahoma	124.5
4	Cincinnati	120.3
5	Iowa St.	119.9
6	Florida	119.3
7	Ohio St.	119.1
8	Texas	118.5
9	Clemson	118.0
10	Ole Miss	117.6
11	Texas A&M	116.4
12	Penn St.	116.2
13	Arkansas	115.7
14	Auburn	115.1
15	Iowa	114.8
16	Notre Dame	113.9
17	U S C	113.6
18	West Virginia	113.6
19	Oregon	113.3
20	North Carolina	113.3
21	L S U	112.6
22	Arizona St.	112.2
23	Oregon St.	112.0
24	U C L A	111.7
25	Michigan	111.7
26	T C U	111.6
27	Miami (Fla.)	111.1
28	Wisconsin	111.1
29	Wake Forest	110.6
30	BYU	110.2
31	Coastal Carolina	110.0
32	Oklahoma St.	109.9
33	Maryland	109.9
34	Utah	109.8
35	NC State	109.4
36	Indiana	109.4
37	Baylor	109.2
38	Michigan St.	108.8
39	Washington	108.3
40	Kentucky	107.5
41	Louisiana	107.1
42	Mississippi St.	106.7
43	Missouri	106.7
44	Purdue	106.6
45	Nebraska	106.6
46	Virginia Tech	106.3
47	Kansas St.	106.2
48	Boise St.	105.8
49	Liberty	105.3
50	Minnesota	104.8
51	Stanford	104.7
52	Boston College	104.6
53	Virginia	103.3
54	Army	102.8
55	Louisville	102.7
56	Georgia Tech	102.7
57	Appalachian St.	102.7
58	Pittsburgh	102.6
59	Tennessee	102.6
60	UCF	102.5
61	Texas Tech	101.8
62	San Diego St.	101.7
63	South Carolina	101.4
64	Rutgers	101.4
65	Northwestern	101.3
66	SMU	101.3
67	Colorado	100.9
68	Fresno St.	100.9
69	Houston	100.5
70	California	100.4
71	Nevada	99.1
72	Tulane	98.9
73	Tulsa	98.8
74	Florida St.	98.7
75	Wyoming	97.9
76	Miami (Ohio)	97.9
77	Washington St.	97.8
78	San Jose St.	97.8
79	U A B	97.7
80	Air Force	97.6
81	U T S A	97.3
82	Central Michigan	96.9
83	Buffalo	96.7
84	Marshall	96.4
85	Syracuse	96.3
86	Illinois	95.7
87	Toledo	95.3
88	Western Michigan	95.1
89	Memphis	95.0
90	East Carolina	94.3
91	Eastern Michigan	94.2
92	Kent St.	94.2
93	Georgia St.	93.7
94	Hawaii	93.1
95	Troy	91.4
96	Duke	91.4
97	Arizona	91.3
98	South Alabama	90.9
99	Ball St.	90.7
100	Colorado St.	90.7
101	Florida Atlantic	90.7
102	Utah St.	89.9
103	USF	89.7
104	Louisiana Tech	88.6
105	Western Kentucky	87.5
106	Arkansas St.	86.6
107	Northern Illinois	86.2
108	Georgia Southern	86.0
109	Navy	85.4
110	Middle Tennessee	85.4
111	Ohio	85.0
112	U N L V	84.6
113	New Mexico	83.4
114	Southern Miss.	83.3
115	Texas St.	82.5
116	Vanderbilt	82.4
117	Florida Int’l.	82.0
118	Rice	81.8
119	Charlotte	81.6
120	Kansas	80.9
121	Temple	80.7
122	North Texas	80.0
123	UL-Monroe	78.5
124	U T E P	78.0
125	Bowling Green	76.5
126	Akron	75.6
127	Old Dominion	74.9
128	UMass	71.7
129	Connecticut	71.1
130	New Mexico St.	69.6

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	120.0	119.2	121.8	120.3
UCF	102.2	101.1	104.2	102.5
SMU	100.7	101.5	101.6	101.3
Houston	100.9	99.5	101.0	100.5
Tulane	99.0	97.7	100.1	98.9
Tulsa	98.8	99.0	98.5	98.8
Memphis	94.3	94.9	95.7	95.0
East Carolina	94.3	93.6	95.0	94.3
USF	90.0	89.2	90.0	89.7
Navy	85.8	85.0	85.4	85.4
Temple	79.9	81.4	80.7	80.7
AAC Averages	96.9	96.6	97.6	97.0
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	117.2	117.4	119.4	118.0
Wake Forest	110.7	110.0	111.2	110.6
NC State	109.6	109.0	109.5	109.4
Boston College	104.4	104.8	104.7	104.6
Louisville	102.3	102.0	103.8	102.7
Florida St.	98.6	98.7	98.8	98.7
Syracuse	96.6	96.6	95.8	96.3
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
North Carolina	112.4	112.6	114.8	113.3
Miami (Fla.)	111.6	110.3	111.6	111.1
Virginia Tech	107.2	105.9	105.9	106.3
Virginia	102.8	104.3	102.8	103.3
Georgia Tech	102.6	102.7	102.8	102.7
Pittsburgh	102.4	103.2	102.4	102.6
Duke	91.4	92.5	90.3	91.4
ACC Averages	105.0	105.0	105.3	105.1
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma	125.8	123.3	124.3	124.5
Iowa St.	120.4	118.7	120.4	119.9
Texas	119.3	117.7	118.6	118.5
West Virginia	115.2	113.2	112.5	113.6
T C U	112.1	110.9	111.7	111.6
Oklahoma St.	110.3	110.0	109.3	109.9
Baylor	109.8	109.3	108.6	109.2
Kansas St.	106.5	106.6	105.5	106.2
Texas Tech	101.7	102.4	101.2	101.8
Kansas	83.4	81.1	78.1	80.9
Big 12 Averages	110.5	109.3	109.0	109.6
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	118.6	118.6	120.1	119.1
Penn St.	114.9	115.9	117.6	116.2
Michigan	111.0	112.0	112.0	111.7
Maryland	111.1	109.7	108.7	109.9
Indiana	109.1	108.9	110.0	109.4
Michigan St.	109.1	108.7	108.6	108.8
Rutgers	100.3	102.5	101.4	101.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Iowa	114.4	113.9	116.0	114.8
Wisconsin	110.5	110.4	112.2	111.1
Purdue	106.1	105.6	108.0	106.6
Nebraska	106.2	106.6	106.9	106.6
Minnesota	103.9	104.9	105.8	104.8
Northwestern	101.4	101.5	101.1	101.3
Illinois	95.4	95.7	96.1	95.7
Big Ten Averages	108.0	108.2	108.9	108.4
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Marshall	96.2	96.1	96.9	96.4
Florida Atlantic	89.8	91.4	90.8	90.7
Western Kentucky	86.5	88.2	87.9	87.5
Middle Tennessee	85.1	84.9	86.1	85.4
Florida Int’l.	81.2	81.9	82.8	82.0
Charlotte	80.8	81.7	82.3	81.6
Old Dominion	74.4	75.2	75.2	74.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U A B	97.8	97.6	97.7	97.7
U T S A	97.0	97.7	97.3	97.3
Louisiana Tech	88.9	89.4	87.6	88.6
Southern Miss.	82.6	83.9	83.3	83.3
Rice	81.9	81.6	81.8	81.8
North Texas	80.3	80.1	79.6	80.0
U T E P	78.3	79.0	76.7	78.0
CUSA Averages	85.8	86.3	86.2	86.1
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	112.9	114.0	114.8	113.9
BYU	110.1	109.6	110.9	110.2
Liberty	104.5	105.4	105.9	105.3
Army	102.7	102.8	102.7	102.8
UMass	73.1	72.2	69.9	71.7
Connecticut	71.4	72.5	69.3	71.1
New Mexico St.	70.0	70.7	68.0	69.6
Indep. Averages	92.1	92.5	91.6	92.1
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	99.6	97.4	96.6	97.9
Buffalo	97.3	96.3	96.6	96.7
Kent St.	93.8	95.4	93.4	94.2
Ohio	84.2	85.6	85.1	85.0
Bowling Green	76.9	77.4	75.2	76.5
Akron	77.3	75.4	74.1	75.6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Central Michigan	97.6	96.4	96.6	96.9
Toledo	95.8	95.4	94.6	95.3
Western Michigan	95.1	95.7	94.5	95.1
Eastern Michigan	95.8	94.1	92.7	94.2
Ball St.	91.7	91.5	89.0	90.7
Northern Illinois	87.6	85.8	85.2	86.2
MAC Averages	91.1	90.5	89.5	90.4
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	105.6	105.3	106.3	105.8
Wyoming	97.4	97.9	98.5	97.9
Air Force	97.3	97.5	98.1	97.6
Colorado St.	90.5	90.5	91.1	90.7
Utah St.	89.7	90.6	89.4	89.9
New Mexico	83.7	84.0	82.4	83.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
San Diego St.	102.0	101.5	101.6	101.7
Fresno St.	99.5	101.2	102.0	100.9
Nevada	98.6	100.0	98.7	99.1
San Jose St.	98.3	98.3	96.7	97.8
Hawaii	93.4	92.8	93.0	93.1
U N L V	85.2	84.1	84.7	84.6
MWC Averages	95.1	95.3	95.2	95.2
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oregon	112.2	113.2	114.5	113.3
Oregon St.	111.8	111.8	112.4	112.0
Washington	107.3	108.8	108.9	108.3
Stanford	104.4	105.3	104.3	104.7
California	98.0	102.2	101.0	100.4
Washington St.	97.7	98.4	97.4	97.8
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U S C	113.2	113.1	114.5	113.6
Arizona St.	111.8	112.4	112.5	112.2
U C L A	111.3	111.8	112.0	111.7
Utah	110.1	109.9	109.5	109.8
Colorado	101.4	101.0	100.4	100.9
Arizona	91.6	91.1	91.2	91.3
Pac-12 Averages	105.9	106.6	106.5	106.3
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	131.7	131.7	133.3	132.2
Florida	118.4	120.0	119.4	119.3
Kentucky	106.9	108.6	107.1	107.5
Missouri	106.5	107.2	106.3	106.7
Tennessee	102.8	102.2	102.6	102.6
South Carolina	101.7	101.5	101.2	101.4
Vanderbilt	83.0	82.2	82.0	82.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	130.9	129.8	131.7	130.8
Ole Miss	117.3	117.4	117.9	117.6
Texas A&M	116.1	116.8	116.3	116.4
Arkansas	115.8	115.9	115.2	115.7
Auburn	115.6	114.4	115.4	115.1
L S U	111.8	112.9	113.2	112.6
Mississippi St.	106.8	106.9	106.3	106.7
SEC Averages	111.8	112.0	112.0	111.9
Sunbelt Conference
East Division	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Coastal Carolina	110.8	108.3	110.8	110.0
Appalachian St.	102.2	101.8	104.0	102.7
Georgia St.	94.1	93.4	93.7	93.7
Troy	91.2	91.6	91.6	91.4
Georgia Southern	86.1	86.3	85.6	86.0
West Division	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisiana	107.7	105.8	107.8	107.1
South Alabama	91.2	91.3	90.2	90.9
Arkansas St.	86.5	87.5	85.9	86.6
Texas St.	83.9	81.7	81.9	82.5
UL-Monroe	79.0	79.4	77.1	78.5
Sun Averages	93.3	92.7	92.9	92.9

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	111.9
2	Big 12	109.6
3	Big Ten	108.4
4	Pac-12	106.3
5	Atlantic Coast	105.1
6	American Athletic	97.0
7	Mountain West	95.2
8	Sun Belt	92.9
9	Independents	92.1
10	Mid-American	90.4
11	Conference USA	86.1

Excellent TV Schedule For A 14-Hour Marathon

After a week with a minimum of outstanding TV games, you will have a feast of great games this coming weekend. It will be possible to sit on your sofa in your man cave from Noon Eastern Time until 2 AM Sunday and be presented with excellent football game choices. This is a weekend where you might want to have multiple monitors at the ready. Here are our starred games on the tube.

All Times Eastern Daylight

Friday Night

Maryland vs. Iowa

The Terrapins haven’t been 5-0 since 2001, when they won the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship and lost to Florida in the Orange Bowl. Maryland Stadium should be jam-packed as Coach Mike Locksley leads his charges onto the field to face the presumptive Big Ten West favorites in this battle of unbeaten teams. It’s still early, but a Hawkeye win to make Iowa 5-0 could put them on pace to run the table to the Big Ten Championship Game.

TV Info: 8 PM on FS1

Saturday Games

Georgia vs. Arkansas

Georgia’s quick 35-0 first quarter lead over Vanderbilt was achieved almost effortlessly, and Coach Kirby Smart took his starters out after the first quarter. It was like a walk-through practice for their regulars.

Arkansas played a tough 60-minute game against old Southwest Conference rival Texas A&M, knocking off the Aggies in a mild upset to start the season 4-0 for the first time since 2003. If you’re wondering when the last time Arkansas was 5-0, it was 1998. A week from today, that should still be true, but this should be an interesting game to watch to start the day. Beating Vanderbilt 62-0 this year is almost inevitable. Beating Arkansas by three touchdowns or more would justify moving the Bulldogs to number one in the nation. Of course, we did that this week.

TV Info: 12 Noon on ESPN

Wisconsin vs. Michigan

This is a fact-finding tour game for both teams. Can Wisconsin play a game without making multiple mental mistakes, or is this ingrained in their 2021 DNA? The Badgers could possibly be undefeated today if not for those crucial game-crushing mistakes. Was that Graham or Ethel Mertz throwing those touchdown passes to Notre Dame defenders at Soldier Field?

What are we to make of Michigan’s lack of offensive production against Rutgers? The Wolverines were leading the FBS in rushing yardage before the Scarlet Knights shut it down. The Maize and Blue need to control this game and win convincingly if they are really contenders for the Big Ten East title this year.

TV Info: 12 Noon on Fox

Missouri vs. Tennessee

Call this game a bowl qualifier. The winner has a strong path to bowl eligibility, while the loser will need to pull off at least one if not two upsets to get to 6-6. What makes this a much-watch game is that this is the middle of the SEC, and these teams have just enough talent to pull off an upset down the road against a potential Playoff-contender.

TV Info: 12 Noon on SEC Network

TCU vs. Texas

Some of the shine came off this game when TCU fell to Metroplex rival SMU. However, both teams are still undefeated in the Big 12, and the winner becomes the top contender to Oklahoma, who all of a sudden looks quite vulnerable. This should be your typical Southwestern Shootout with up to 90 total points scored, and if Texas wins handily like they did against Texas Tech, the Sooners better take notice before they head to the State Fair the week after.

TV Info: 12 Noon on ABC

Notre Dame vs. Cincinnati

Clemson has played itself out of the Playoff race with two losses. Ohio State will follow the Tigers if they lose another game. Texas A&M and Iowa State couldn’t live up to their preseason hype. If the Playoff Committee has to choose four teams today, Alabama, Georgia, and Oklahoma would be three of the choices, but choice number four would be wide open between Penn State, Oregon, Notre Dame, Cincinnati, and Florida. The winner of this game in South Bend is going to be in great shape to run the table. Notre Dame’s remaining schedule looks soft. Cinti has one tough game at home against SMU and a possible rematch in the AAC Championship Game. We pronounce this one to be the top game of the day. Clear your schedule. This game should be close and may not be decided until the closing minutes.

TV Info: 2:30 PM on NBC

Alabama vs. Ole Miss

For the rest of the nation not reading this feature, this will be their game of the week. The top two Heisman Trophy Award contenders will face off in Tuscaloosa. Tide quarterback Bryce Young is being called the best game manager in college football. You want to know another former Alabama quarterback that was an excellent game manager? Bart Starr merely led the Green Bay Packers to five NFL Championships.

Matt Corral is the exciting, dual threat superstar that has given Alabama all of its defeats in the last decade. Ole Miss could score 40 or more points in this game and still lose by double digits. It should be an interesting game, but the Tide has a bit more talent, and Nick Saban owns part of Lane Kiffin’s subconscious.

TV Info: 3:30 PM on CBS

Kansas St. vs. Oklahoma

Oklahoma doesn’t look anything like a Playoff contender, as they were lucky to survive at home against a fair but not great West Virginia team. Kansas State laid an egg against an Oklahoma State team that has not been the most dominant 4-0 team.

The loser of this game will most likely lose at least one other conference game, and that will eliminate that team from Playoff contention. Kansas State lost to Arkansas State the week before going to Norman last year and handing the Sooners a loss. The Wildcats have the talent to repeat the upset, especially if the OU offense doesn’t get a tune-up this week in practice.

TV Info: 3:30 PM on Fox

Stanford vs. Oregon

The Ducks earned a lot of Playoff Committee bonus points by winning at Ohio State, but their other games have not been totally impressive. The Pac-12 has so much parity that the also-ran teams have better chances to upset the contenders than in any other Power 5 league. Stanford hasn’t defeated a quality team this year, as USC has now proven to be mediocre at best. The Ducks have had difficulty winning in Palo Alto through the years, and a loss here would kill their chances of making the Playoffs, especially with road games against Washington, UCLA, and Utah still to be played.

TV Info: 3:30 PM on ABC

Rutgers vs. Ohio St.

As John McEnroe might say, “you cannot be serious!” Rutgers playing Ohio State is a key TV game? The Buckeyes might be walking into a garden ambush at SHI Stadium in Piscataway. Rutgers had a chance to win in Ann Arbor, and they stopped a btter running game than Ohio State has this year. Can they also stop a top passing game? It should be interesting and worth watching.

TV Info: 3:30 PM on Big Ten Network

Kentucky vs. Florida

Who will play top contender for the Georgia Bulldogs in the SEC East? Kentucky has been improving year by year on the defensive side but has been lacking offensively due to problems passing the ball. Coach Mark Stoops brought Liam Coen to Lexington after running the Los Angeles Rams’ offense. The Wildcats still have a top notch defense, but the passing game is struggling a bit.

In the second half of their game against Alabama, Florida looked like the superior team. A lousy first half did the Gators in. Not having Anthony Richardson to play these last two games have played a little toll on the Gator offense. If Richardson is full strength, Florida should be able to top Kentucky in Lexington. Florida must keep winning every week to make the Georgia game essential. The Gators are still very much in the Playoff race.

TV Info: 6 PM on ESPN

Oklahoma St. vs. Baylor

Who would have predicted that these teams would both be 4-0 when they faced off? Both teams have to be considered Big 12 Championship Game contenders, but the Cowboys are probably a legitimate contender, where the Bears must still prove they are for real. A win here adds to the proof given when they beat Iowa State.

TV Info: 7 PM on ESPN2

Clemson vs. Boston College

It’s obvious by now that Clemson’s offense has suffered too many losses from last year’s team, as many defenses have successfully held that tiger. Boston College survived a 56-yard field goal to pick up a rare ACC win over an SEC team. At 4-0, the Eagles are one of two remaining undefeated teams left in the league (Wake Forest). If BC can win this game and look like it was not a fluke, then at least, the league can pretend to still have a playoff contender.

TV Info: 7:30 PM on ACC Network

Oregon State vs. Washington

Oregon State played one bad quarter against Purdue in the season opener, and that’s why the Beavers are not 4-0 and threatening to make the Pac-12 North a two-team race. Washington lost to Montana in week one and then fell to Michigan in week two. The Huskies still might win the North Division title, but they have no chance to make the Playoffs.

The winner of this game will be tied for first at the minimum and in sole possession of first if Stanford beats Oregon. OSU looked like a serious contender in their pasting of USC in the Coliseum. The last time the Beavers had won at the Coliseum was 1960, when Tommy Prothro was coaching the team, and future Heisman Trophy quarterback Terry Baker was leading it. If Tristan Gebbia can stay healthy, Oregon State just might be the team that Oregon has to worry about.

TV Info: 9 PM on Pac-12 Network

UCLA vs. Arizona St.

This is a battle for first place in the Pac-12 South, but neither team is in contention for a Playoff bid. ASU lost to BYU, while the Bruins lost to Fresno State. At 12-1, neither team would get in against a third place SEC school that is 11-1.

The PiRates begin updating the ratings during the second half of the late Pac-12 game, so we always have the audio up on these games while working through the wee hours of the morning. These games are always exciting and keep us alert. You get your money’s worth with Pac-12 games, even if it no longer really is the “conference of champions.”

TV Info: 10:30 PM on FS1

PiRate Ratings NCAA Tournament Spreads

Sunday, March 21, 2021

Favorite	Underdog	Spread
Baylor	Wisconsin	5.4
Villanova	North Texas	5.7
Arkansas	Texas Tech	1.9
Florida	Oral Roberts	9.9
Illinois	Loyola (Chi.)	6.2
Oklahoma St.	Oregon St.	5.6
West Virginia	Syracuse	2.8
Houston	Rutgers	7.1

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

Tuesday, February 23, 2021

Home	Visitor	Spread
Richmond	Massachusetts	7.2
VCU	Saint Louis	2.6
Virginia Tech	Georgia Tech	2.1
Louisville	Notre Dame	2.3
Liberty	North Alabama	14.8
TCU	West Virginia	-9.6
Baylor	Iowa St.	25.6
Kansas St.	Oklahoma	-12.9
Texas	Kansas	2.3
Villanova	St. John’s	8.4
Georgetown	Connecticut	-3.0
Campbell	High Point	3.7
Michigan St.	Illinois	-9.2
Nebraska	Penn St.	-6.4
Ohio	Akron	0.5
Central Michigan	Miami (O)	-3.3
Northern Illinois	Buffalo	-13.2
Eastern Michigan	Bowling Green	-6.9
Arizona St.	Washington	8.0
Georgia St.	Appalachian St.	6.1
Georgia	LSU	-5.3
Auburn	Florida	-0.8
Missouri	Ole Miss	0.1
Prairie View A&M	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	14.3
Texas Southern	Mississippi Valley St.	26.4
San Diego	Pacific	-2.7

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

Saturday, February 20, 2021

Home	Visitor	Spread
St. Joseph’s	La Salle	-1.5
VCU	George Mason	12.0
Richmond	Duquesne	7.4
Miami (Fla.)	Georgia Tech	-5.0
Syracuse	Notre Dame	2.2
Wake Forest	NC St.	-2.2
Pittsburgh	Florida St.	-6.6
North Carolina	Louisville	2.0
Duke	Virginia	0.3
Tulane	Central Florida	-2.0
Kansas	Texas Tech	2.0
Texas	West Virginia	1.8
TCU	Kansas St.	8.5
Iowa St.	Oklahoma	-11.1
Villanova	Connecticut	6.0
Georgetown	Seton Hall	-4.2
St. John’s	DePaul	8.4
Indiana	Michigan St.	6.3
Minnesota	Illinois	-5.1
Nebraska	Purdue	-7.6
Fresno St.	San Diego St.	-13.9
Washington St.	Stanford	-2.9
USC	Arizona	7.4
Oregon St.	Colorado	-8.0
Oregon	Utah	6.7
Washington	California	0.6
UCLA	Arizona St.	6.8
Alabama	Vanderbilt	17.1
Tennessee	Kentucky	7.2
South Carolina	Missouri	-1.8
Florida	Georgia	8.0
LSU	Auburn	4.8
Ole Miss	Mississippi St.	5.5
Loyola Marymount	BYU	-6.6
Portland	Pacific	-12.6
Santa Clara	Pepperdine	-1.1
Gonzaga	San Diego	32.2

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

February 16, 2021

Home	Visitor	Spread
Rhode Island	Dayton	3.1
Saint Louis	La Salle	14.1
Tulsa	Temple	3.9
Oklahoma St.	Iowa St.	12.0
Connecticut	Providence	4.4
St. John’s	Xavier	0.3
Maryland	Nebraska	8.9
Purdue	Michigan St.	6.3
Illinois	Northwestern	11.8
Georgia	Missouri	-3.6
Arkansas	Florida	2.8
Santa Clara	Loyola Marymount	-0.7

PiRate Ratings 2020-2021 Final College Football Rankings

#	Team
1	Alabama
2	Ohio St.
3	Clemson
4	Oklahoma
5	Georgia
6	Texas A&M
7	Iowa St.
8	Notre Dame
9	Iowa
10	Texas
11	Florida
12	Wisconsin
13	BYU
14	Cincinnati
15	Oklahoma St.
16	Indiana
17	U S C
18	Oregon
19	N. Carolina
20	Northwestern
21	Auburn
22	L S U
23	Penn St.
24	T C U
25	Miami (Fla.)
26	UCF
27	Arizona St.
28	Kentucky
29	Utah
30	Ole Miss
31	Washington
32	Minnesota
33	U C L A
34	Coastal Car.
35	Louisville
36	Pittsburgh
37	Miss. St.
38	Tennessee
39	Nebraska
40	Louisiana
41	Michigan
42	Wake Forest
43	California
44	Buffalo
45	W. Virginia
46	Virginia
47	Virginia Tech
48	Missouri
49	Tulane
50	Boise St.
51	Stanford
52	Boston Coll.
53	Tulsa
54	Memphis
55	Appal. St.
56	Purdue
57	Oregon St.
58	Arkansas
59	Washington St.
60	Baylor
61	Liberty
62	NC State
63	Houston
64	Air Force
65	Colorado
66	San Jose St.
67	Illinois
68	Kansas St.
69	Rutgers
70	SMU
71	S. Carolina
72	Ball St.
73	Michigan St.
74	San Diego St.
75	Texas Tech
76	Nevada
77	Marshall
78	Florida St.
79	U A B
80	Wyoming
81	Army
82	Georgia Sou.
83	Georgia Tech
84	Hawaii
85	E. Carolina
86	Maryland
87	Ohio
88	Arizona
89	Fresno St.
90	Western Mich.
91	Georgia St.
92	Toledo
93	Troy
94	Central Mich.
95	Miami (O)
96	Navy
97	W. Kentucky
98	Kent St.
99	Syracuse
100	Duke
101	Colorado St.
102	Vanderbilt
103	Arkansas St.
104	Temple
105	Rice
106	USF
107	Fla. Atlantic
108	New Mexico
109	Florida Int’l.
110	U T S A
111	Eastern Mich.
112	Utah St.
113	La. Tech
114	Charlotte
115	Middle Tenn.
116	Southern Miss.
117	S. Alabama
118	N. Illinois
119	Texas St.
120	U N L V
121	Kansas
122	North Texas
123	U T E P
124	Akron
125	UL-Monroe
126	Bowling Green
127	Mass.

PiRate Ratings College Football For The Playoffs and Bowls

Spreads for Bowls and Playoff Semifinals

Team	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Dec. 21	Myrtle Beach
Appalachian St.	North Texas	28.0	27.3	28.7
Dec. 22	Idaho Potato
Tulane	Nevada	9.1	8.2	8.2
Dec 22	Boca Raton
Central Florida	BYU	-3.3	-3.2	-3.2
Dec 23	New Orleans
Louisiana Tech	Georgia Southern	-8.6	-8.8	-8.8
Dec 23	Montgomery
Memphis	Florida Atlantic	18.5	16.4	16.4
Dec 24	New Mexico
Houston	Hawaii	10.6	8.9	10.2
Dec 25	Camellia
Marshall	Buffalo	-6.3	-7.0	-7.5
Dec 26	Gasparilla
South Carolina	UAB	3.6	1.4	3.2
Dec 26	Cure
Coastal Carolina	Liberty	7.0	4.6	6.9
Dec 26	First Responder
UTSA	Louisiana	-20.5	-19.7	-19.9
Dec 26	LendingTree
Western Ky.	Georgia St.	-0.6	-0.4	-1.5
Dec 29	Cheez-It
Miami (Fla.)	Oklahoma St.	-2.7	0.5	-1.3
Dec 29	Alamo
Texas	Colorado	17.0	15.0	18.1
Dec 30	Duke’s Mayo
Wake Forest	Wisconsin	-13.7	-11.2	-13.9
Dec 30	Music City
Iowa	Missouri	15.6	15.7	16.7
Dec 30	Cotton
Oklahoma	Florida	-1.2	-1.2	-1.6
Dec 31	Armed Forces
Tulsa	Mississippi St.	-1.0	-1.6	-2.7
Dec 31	Liberty
Army (replaces Tenn.)	West Va.	-10.0	-8.2	-10.0
Dec 31	Arizona
Ball St.	San Jose St.	-1.6	-3.3	-1.9
Dec 31	Texas
TCU	Arkansas	8.3	6.6	8.6
Jan 1	Peach
Georgia	Cincinnati	7.8	7.7	8.8
Jan 1	Citrus
Auburn	Northwestern	3.3	2.4	0.7
Jan 1	Rose *
Alabama	Notre Dame	17.0	17.9	19.0
Jan 1	Sugar
Clemson	Ohio St.	0.0	1.7	0.2
Jan 2	Gator
N.C. State	Kentucky	-7.7	-7.0	-8.3
Jan 2	Outback
Ole Miss	Indiana	-8.0	-9.4	-10.3
Jan 2	Fiesta
Oregon	Iowa St.	-3.4	-4.2	-4.1
Jan 2	Orange
Texas A&M	North Carolina	2.1	2.1	2.5

Final Regular Season PiRate Ratings

#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg.	Conference
1	Alabama	139.5	140.2	141.5	140.4	SEC-W
2	Clemson	131.1	131.9	133.3	132.1	ACC
3	Ohio St.	131.1	130.2	133.2	131.5	BTen-E
4	Georgia	124.4	123.6	125.2	124.4	SEC-E
5	Florida	123.1	122.8	124.0	123.3	SEC-E
6	Notre Dame	122.5	122.3	122.5	122.4	ACC
7	Texas A&M	121.9	122.0	122.8	122.2	SEC-W
8	Oklahoma	121.9	121.5	122.3	121.9	B12
9	Iowa	119.7	119.3	121.4	120.1	BTen-W
10	Iowa St.	120.2	119.4	120.4	120.0	B12
11	N. Carolina	119.8	119.9	120.3	120.0	ACC
12	Wisconsin	118.9	117.2	120.0	118.7	BTen-W
13	Indiana	117.1	117.5	119.6	118.1	BTen-E
14	Cincinnati	118.1	117.4	118.0	117.8	AAC
15	Texas	117.0	115.8	116.9	116.6	B12
16	U S C	117.3	114.7	116.3	116.1	P12-S
17	Oregon	116.8	115.2	116.3	116.1	P12-N
18	Auburn	115.6	114.7	115.7	115.3	SEC-W
19	BYU	114.7	114.5	114.9	114.7	Ind.
20	L S U	114.2	113.4	115.1	114.2	SEC-W
21	Penn St.	114.3	113.1	115.1	114.2	BTen-E
22	Oklahoma St.	114.5	113.2	113.6	113.8	B12
23	Northwestern	112.2	112.3	114.9	113.2	BTen-W
24	Miami (Fla.)	110.8	112.7	111.3	111.6	ACC
25	UCF	110.4	110.3	110.7	110.5	AAC
26	T C U	110.5	109.3	110.9	110.3	B12
27	Arizona St.	110.2	109.7	110.0	109.9	P12-S
28	Utah	109.3	109.4	110.2	109.6	P12-S
29	Kentucky	109.1	109.0	110.1	109.4	SEC-E
30	Washington	109.4	108.0	109.8	109.1	P12-N
31	Ole Miss	109.1	108.1	109.3	108.8	SEC-W
32	Minnesota	107.5	108.0	109.2	108.2	BTen-W
33	Coastal Car.	107.0	107.6	107.7	107.4	SUN-E
34	U C L A	108.0	106.9	107.0	107.3	P12-S
35	Louisville	107.1	107.0	106.5	106.8	ACC
36	Pittsburgh	105.5	106.4	105.8	105.9	ACC
37	Tennessee	106.0	105.3	105.9	105.7	SEC-E
38	Miss. St.	105.6	105.0	106.2	105.6	SEC-W
39	Nebraska	105.2	104.7	106.5	105.5	BTen-W
40	Michigan	105.4	104.5	106.3	105.4	BTen-E
41	Louisiana	105.7	105.3	105.3	105.4	SUN-W
42	Wake Forest	104.7	105.5	105.5	105.3	ACC
43	California	105.4	105.1	105.1	105.2	P12-N
44	Virginia	104.6	105.0	105.1	104.9	ACC
45	Buffalo	104.3	105.2	104.9	104.8	MAC-E
46	W. Virginia	104.7	104.4	104.9	104.7	B12
47	Virginia Tech	103.9	104.5	104.9	104.4	ACC
48	Tulane	104.3	104.3	103.9	104.2	AAC
49	Missouri	104.1	103.7	104.7	104.2	SEC-E
50	Boise St.	104.2	104.2	103.8	104.1	MWC-M
51	Stanford	104.6	103.1	104.4	104.0	P12-N
52	Boston Coll.	103.6	103.9	104.2	103.9	ACC
53	Tulsa	104.6	103.4	103.5	103.8	AAC
54	Purdue	103.4	103.5	104.1	103.7	BTen-W
55	Memphis	104.4	103.1	102.6	103.4	AAC
56	Appal. St.	103.4	102.9	103.5	103.3	SUN-E
57	Oregon St.	103.0	102.6	102.0	102.5	P12-N
58	Arkansas	102.2	102.8	102.4	102.5	SEC-W
59	Washington St.	102.6	101.2	102.9	102.2	P12-N
60	Baylor	102.3	101.8	102.1	102.1	B12
61	NC State	101.4	101.9	101.8	101.7	ACC
62	Houston	102.3	100.9	101.2	101.5	AAC
63	Liberty	100.0	102.9	100.8	101.2	Ind.
64	Air Force	100.9	101.6	100.7	101.1	MWC-M
65	Colorado	101.0	101.8	99.8	100.9	P12-S
66	San Jose St.	99.9	101.6	100.5	100.7	MWC-W
67	Illinois	100.4	99.7	101.1	100.4	BTen-W
68	Kansas St.	100.4	99.6	100.7	100.2	B12
69	Rutgers	100.4	99.4	99.8	99.9	BTen-E
70	SMU	100.1	99.6	99.2	99.7	AAC
71	S. Carolina	100.5	98.8	99.7	99.7	SEC-E
72	Michigan St.	99.1	98.6	99.7	99.2	BTen-E
73	San Diego St.	98.5	99.5	98.8	98.9	MWC-W
74	Texas Tech	98.8	97.6	98.9	98.4	B12
75	Ball St.	98.2	98.3	98.6	98.4	MAC-W
76	Marshall	98.0	98.2	97.4	97.8	CUSA-E
77	Florida St.	97.9	97.2	97.7	97.6	ACC
78	U A B	96.9	97.4	96.5	96.9	CUSA-W
79	Wyoming	96.0	97.1	96.4	96.5	MWC-M
80	Nevada	95.2	96.1	95.6	95.7	MWC-W
81	Army	94.7	96.1	94.9	95.3	Ind.
82	Georgia Tech	95.7	95.2	94.8	95.2	ACC
83	E. Carolina	95.6	95.4	94.5	95.2	AAC
84	Maryland	95.2	95.2	95.0	95.1	BTen-E
85	Ohio	94.4	95.1	95.3	94.9	MAC-E
86	Arizona	94.1	92.5	92.9	93.2	P12-S
87	Georgia Sou.	92.7	93.5	93.0	93.1	SUN-E
88	Fresno St.	92.7	93.2	92.2	92.7	MWC-W
89	Hawaii	92.7	93.0	92.0	92.5	MWC-W
90	Western Mich.	91.6	93.3	92.4	92.4	MAC-W
91	Toledo	92.1	93.2	91.9	92.4	MAC-W
92	Troy	91.8	92.9	92.2	92.3	SUN-E
93	Central Mich.	92.0	92.1	92.2	92.1	MAC-W
94	Georgia St.	91.8	92.1	92.3	92.1	SUN-E
95	Miami (O)	92.4	91.5	92.1	92.0	MAC-E
96	Navy	92.7	91.4	90.7	91.6	AAC
97	W. Kentucky	91.2	91.7	90.8	91.2	CUSA-E
98	Kent St.	91.2	90.7	90.7	90.9	MAC-E
99	Syracuse	90.1	91.3	90.8	90.8	ACC
100	Duke	90.5	90.3	89.3	90.0	ACC
101	Colorado St.	89.5	90.3	89.5	89.8	MWC-M
102	Vanderbilt	88.3	87.5	87.4	87.8	SEC-E
103	Arkansas St.	87.6	88.2	87.0	87.6	SUN-W
104	Temple	87.9	87.6	86.3	87.3	AAC
105	Rice	88.1	86.2	87.2	87.2	CUSA-W
106	USF	87.8	86.5	86.2	86.8	AAC
107	Fla. Atlantic	85.9	86.8	86.2	86.3	CUSA-E
108	New Mexico	86.0	86.8	85.4	86.1	MWC-M
109	Florida Int’l.	85.7	85.5	85.3	85.5	CUSA-E
110	U T S A	85.2	85.6	85.4	85.4	CUSA-W
111	Eastern Mich.	83.8	85.6	84.5	84.6	MAC-W
112	Utah St.	84.4	84.1	83.5	84.0	MWC-M
113	La. Tech	83.6	84.2	83.6	83.8	CUSA-W
114	Charlotte	83.5	83.6	83.2	83.4	CUSA-E
115	Middle Tenn.	82.2	82.5	82.3	82.3	CUSA-E
116	Southern Miss.	82.3	82.8	81.8	82.3	CUSA-W
117	S. Alabama	81.8	82.7	81.7	82.1	SUN-W
118	N. Illinois	80.7	82.0	80.8	81.2	MAC-W
119	Texas St.	81.0	81.5	80.2	80.9	SUN-W
120	U N L V	79.5	80.6	78.7	79.6	MWC-W
121	Kansas	78.7	78.0	77.4	78.1	B12
122	North Texas	75.4	75.6	74.8	75.3	CUSA-W
123	U T E P	67.9	70.3	68.0	68.7	CUSA-W
124	Akron	67.5	69.2	66.1	67.6	MAC-E
125	UL-Monroe	68.0	67.9	66.5	67.5	SUN-W
126	Bowling Green	65.1	66.4	61.8	64.4	MAC-E
127	Mass.	61.7	67.5	59.9	63.0	Ind.

PiRate Rating By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	AAC	Overall
Cincinnati	118.1	117.4	118.0	117.8	6-0	9-0
UCF	110.4	110.3	110.7	110.5	5-3	6-3
Tulane	104.3	104.3	103.9	104.2	3-5	6-5
Tulsa	104.6	103.4	103.5	103.8	6-0	6-2
Memphis	104.4	103.1	102.6	103.4	5-3	7-3
Houston	102.3	100.9	101.2	101.5	3-3	3-4
SMU	100.1	99.6	99.2	99.7	4-3	7-3
E. Carolina	95.6	95.4	94.5	95.2	3-4	3-6
Navy	92.7	91.4	90.7	91.6	3-4	3-7
Temple	87.9	87.6	86.3	87.3	1-6	1-6
USF	87.8	86.5	86.2	86.8	0-7	1-8
AAC Avg.	100.7	100.0	99.7	100.1
Atlantic Coast Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	ACC	Overall
Clemson	131.1	131.9	133.3	132.1	8-1	10-1
Notre Dame	122.5	122.3	122.5	122.4	9-0	10-1
N. Carolina	119.8	119.9	120.3	120.0	7-3	8-3
Miami (Fla.)	110.8	112.7	111.3	111.6	7-2	8-2
Louisville	107.1	107.0	106.5	106.8	3-7	4-7
Pittsburgh	105.5	106.4	105.8	105.9	5-5	6-5
Wake Forest	104.7	105.5	105.5	105.3	3-4	4-4
Virginia	104.6	105.0	105.1	104.9	4-5	5-5
Virginia Tech	103.9	104.5	104.9	104.4	5-5	5-6
Boston Coll.	103.6	103.9	104.2	103.9	5-5	6-5
NC State	101.4	101.9	101.8	101.7	7-3	8-3
Florida St.	97.9	97.2	97.7	97.6	2-6	3-6
Georgia Tech	95.7	95.2	94.8	95.2	3-6	3-7
Syracuse	90.1	91.3	90.8	90.8	1-9	1-10
Duke	90.5	90.3	89.3	90.0	1-9	2-9
ACC Avg.	106.0	106.3	106.2	106.2
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	B12	Overall
Oklahoma	121.9	121.5	122.3	121.9	6-2	8-2
Iowa St.	120.2	119.4	120.4	120.0	8-1	8-3
Texas	117.0	115.8	116.9	116.6	5-3	6-3
Oklahoma St.	114.5	113.2	113.6	113.8	6-3	7-3
T C U	110.5	109.3	110.9	110.3	5-4	6-4
W. Virginia	104.7	104.4	104.9	104.7	4-4	5-4
Baylor	102.3	101.8	102.1	102.1	2-7	2-7
Kansas St.	100.4	99.6	100.7	100.2	4-5	4-6
Texas Tech	98.8	97.6	98.9	98.4	3-6	4-6
Kansas	78.7	78.0	77.4	78.1	0-8	0-9
Big 12 Avg.	106.9	106.1	106.8	106.6
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Ohio St.	131.1	130.2	133.2	131.5	5-0	6-0
Indiana	117.1	117.5	119.6	118.1	6-1	6-1
Penn St.	114.3	113.1	115.1	114.2	4-5	4-5
Michigan	105.4	104.5	106.3	105.4	2-4	2-4
Rutgers	100.4	99.4	99.8	99.9	3-6	3-6
Michigan St.	99.1	98.6	99.7	99.2	2-5	2-5
Maryland	95.2	95.2	95.0	95.1	2-3	2-3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Iowa	119.7	119.3	121.4	120.1	6-2	6-2
Wisconsin	118.9	117.2	120.0	118.7	3-3	3-3
Northwestern	112.2	112.3	114.9	113.2	6-1	6-2
Minnesota	107.5	108.0	109.2	108.2	3-4	3-4
Nebraska	105.2	104.7	106.5	105.5	3-5	3-5
Purdue	103.4	103.5	104.1	103.7	2-4	2-4
Illinois	100.4	99.7	101.1	100.4	2-6	2-6
Big Ten Avg.	109.3	108.8	110.4	109.5
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	CUSA	Overall
Marshall	98.0	98.2	97.4	97.8	4-1	7-2
W. Kentucky	91.2	91.7	90.8	91.2	4-3	5-6
Fla. Atlantic	85.9	86.8	86.2	86.3	4-2	5-3
Florida Int’l.	85.7	85.5	85.3	85.5	0-3	0-5
Charlotte	83.5	83.6	83.2	83.4	2-2	2-4
Middle Tenn.	82.2	82.5	82.3	82.3	2-4	3-6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	CUSA	Overall
U A B	96.9	97.4	96.5	96.9	3-1	6-3
Rice	88.1	86.2	87.2	87.2	2-3	2-3
U T S A	85.2	85.6	85.4	85.4	5-2	7-4
La. Tech	83.6	84.2	83.6	83.8	4-2	5-4
Southern Miss.	82.3	82.8	81.8	82.3	2-4	3-7
North Texas	75.4	75.6	74.8	75.3	3-4	4-5
U T E P	67.9	70.3	68.0	68.7	0-4	3-5
CUSA Avg.	85.1	85.4	84.8	85.1
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
BYU	114.7	114.5	114.9	114.7	x	10-1
Liberty	100.0	102.9	100.8	101.2	x	9-1
Army	94.7	96.1	94.9	95.3	x	9-2
Mass.	61.7	67.5	59.9	63.0	x	0-4
Ind. Avg.	92.8	95.3	92.6	93.6
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
Buffalo	104.3	105.2	104.9	104.8	5-0	5-1
Ohio	94.4	95.1	95.3	94.9	2-1	2-1
Miami (O)	92.4	91.5	92.1	92.0	2-1	2-1
Kent St.	91.2	90.7	90.7	90.9	3-1	3-1
Akron	67.5	69.2	66.1	67.6	1-5	1-5
Bowling Green	65.1	66.4	61.8	64.4	0-5	0-5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
Ball St.	98.2	98.3	98.6	98.4	5-1	6-1
Western Mich.	91.6	93.3	92.4	92.4	4-2	4-2
Toledo	92.1	93.2	91.9	92.4	4-2	4-2
Central Mich.	92.0	92.1	92.2	92.1	3-3	3-3
Eastern Mich.	83.8	85.6	84.5	84.6	2-4	2-4
N. Illinois	80.7	82.0	80.8	81.2	0-6	0-6
MAC Avg.	87.8	88.5	87.6	88.0
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
Boise St.	104.2	104.2	103.8	104.1	5-0	5-2
Air Force	100.9	101.6	100.7	101.1	2-2	3-3
Wyoming	96.0	97.1	96.4	96.5	2-4	2-4
Colorado St.	89.5	90.3	89.5	89.8	1-3	1-3
New Mexico	86.0	86.8	85.4	86.1	2-5	2-5
Utah St.	84.4	84.1	83.5	84.0	1-5	1-5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
San Jose St.	99.9	101.6	100.5	100.7	6-0	7-0
San Diego St.	98.5	99.5	98.8	98.9	4-2	4-4
Nevada	95.2	96.1	95.6	95.7	6-2	6-2
Fresno St.	92.7	93.2	92.2	92.7	3-3	3-3
Hawaii	92.7	93.0	92.0	92.5	4-4	4-4
U N L V	79.5	80.6	78.7	79.6	0-6	0-6
MWC Avg.	93.3	94.0	93.1	93.5
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
Oregon	116.8	115.2	116.3	116.1	3-2	4-2
Washington	109.4	108.0	109.8	109.1	3-1	3-1
California	105.4	105.1	105.1	105.2	1-3	1-3
Stanford	104.6	103.1	104.4	104.0	4-2	4-2
Oregon St.	103.0	102.6	102.0	102.5	2-5	2-5
Washington St.	102.6	101.2	102.9	102.2	1-3	1-3
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
U S C	117.3	114.7	116.3	116.1	5-0	5-1
Arizona St.	110.2	109.7	110.0	109.9	2-2	2-2
Utah	109.3	109.4	110.2	109.6	3-2	3-2
U C L A	108.0	106.9	107.0	107.3	3-4	3-4
Colorado	101.0	101.8	99.8	100.9	3-1	4-1
Arizona	94.1	92.5	92.9	93.2	0-5	0-5
P12 Avg.	106.8	105.8	106.4	106.4
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SEC	Overall
Georgia	124.4	123.6	125.2	124.4	7-2	7-2
Florida	123.1	122.8	124.0	123.3	8-2	8-3
Kentucky	109.1	109.0	110.1	109.4	4-6	4-6
Tennessee	106.0	105.3	105.9	105.7	3-7	3-7
Missouri	104.1	103.7	104.7	104.2	5-5	5-5
S. Carolina	100.5	98.8	99.7	99.7	2-8	2-8
Vanderbilt	88.3	87.5	87.4	87.8	0-9	0-9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SEC	Overall
Alabama	139.5	140.2	141.5	140.4	10-0	11-0
Texas A&M	121.9	122.0	122.8	122.2	8-1	8-1
Auburn	115.6	114.7	115.7	115.3	6-4	6-4
L S U	114.2	113.4	115.1	114.2	5-5	5-5
Ole Miss	109.1	108.1	109.3	108.8	4-5	4-5
Miss. St.	105.6	105.0	106.2	105.6	3-7	3-7
Arkansas	102.2	102.8	102.4	102.5	3-7	3-7
SEC Avg.	111.7	111.2	112.1	111.7
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SBC	Overall
Coastal Car.	107.0	107.6	107.7	107.4	8-0	11-0
Appal. St.	103.4	102.9	103.5	103.3	6-2	8-3
Georgia Sou.	92.7	93.5	93.0	93.1	4-4	7-5
Georgia St.	91.8	92.1	92.3	92.1	4-4	5-4
Troy	91.8	92.9	92.2	92.3	3-6	5-6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SBC	Overall
Louisiana	105.7	105.3	105.3	105.4	7-1	9-1
Arkansas St.	87.6	88.2	87.0	87.6	2-6	4-7
S. Alabama	81.8	82.7	81.7	82.1	3-5	4-7
Texas St.	81.0	81.5	80.2	80.9	2-6	2-10
UL-Monroe	68.0	67.9	66.5	67.5	0-7	0-10
Sun Avg.	91.1	91.4	90.9	91.2

Conference Ratings

#	League	Avg
1	SEC	111.7
2	BTen	109.5
3	B12	106.6
4	P12	106.4
5	ACC	106.2
6	AAC	100.1
7	Ind.	93.6
8	MWC	93.5
9	Sun	91.2
10	MAC	88.0
11	CUSA	85.1

PiRate Ratings College Football For December 17-19, 2020

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

We apologize for having to totally re-work this section, but the crazy off-the-cuff scheduling and cancellations have done a number on all of the power ratings specialists throughout the land. We keep in touch with many of our brethren, and they too are having to deal with hourly changes to the sports schedules.

This schedule is up to date as of Monday afternoon, 12/14/2020 at 4:00 PM EST.

Monday night update: Vanderbilt & Georgia game cancelled. Georgia is attempting to find a replacement team from outside the SEC.

SMU has opted out of Saturday’s Frisco Bowl. A replacement will be attempted by the bowl.

Tuesday update–The Frisco Bowl has been cancelled. Troy and UL-Monroe have cancelled. And, the Old Oaken Bucket Game–Indiana and Purdue has been cancelled. Michigan’s game with Iowa has been cancelled. The Michigan State-Maryland game has been cancelled.

Thursday update– The Sun Belt Conference Championship Game between Coastal Carolina and Louisiana has been cancelled.

Friday update–Florida State and Wake Forest game has been cancelled.

Regular Season Games
Thursday, December 17
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Troy	UL-Monroe	25.3	26.5	27.3
Friday, December 18
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Indiana	Purdue	14.7	15.0	16.5
Rutgers	Nebraska	-2.9	-3.4	-4.8
Saturday, December 19
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Wake Forest	Florida St.	7.8	9.4	8.8
Wisconsin	Minnesota	14.0	11.8	13.5
Penn St.	Illinois	10.8	10.2	10.6
Iowa	Michigan	16.3	16.8	17.0
Maryland	Michigan St.	-2.4	-1.9	-3.2
Army	Air Force	-5.3	-4.6	-5.3
Utah	Washington St.	6.4	8.0	6.7
UCLA	Stanford	5.3	6.1	4.9
Oregon St.	Arizona St.	-3.2	-2.7	-3.6
Georgia	Vanderbilt	38.1	38.0	39.8
Tennessee	Texas A&M	-13.8	-14.4	-14.4
LSU	Ole Miss	6.8	7.2	7.9
Mississippi St.	Missouri	0.6	0.2	0.2
CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP GAMES
Friday, December 18
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Buffalo (n)	Ball St.	11.3	12.5	11.9
Marshall	UAB	6.2	6.2	6.5
USC	Oregon	5.2	4.2	4.8
Saturday, December 19
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Cincinnati	Tulsa	17.2	18.1	18.8
Clemson (n)	Notre Dame	5.8	6.8	8.0
Iowa St. (n)	Oklahoma	-1.1	-1.3	-0.9
Ohio St. (n)	Northwestern	19.5	18.5	19.2
Alabama (n)	Florida	18.1	19.7	19.9
Coastal Carolina	Louisiana	3.3	4.3	4.5
San Jose St. (n)	Boise St.	-10.4	-8.5	-9.5
(n): Neutral Site
BOWL GAME
Frisco Bowl—Cancelled
Team	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias
SMU	UTSA	15.9	15.0	14.8

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg.	Conference
1	Alabama	140.4	141.3	142.7	141.5	SEC-W
2	Ohio St.	131.4	130.5	133.7	131.9	BTen-E
3	Clemson	129.2	130.0	131.4	130.2	ACC
4	Georgia	124.4	123.6	125.2	124.4	SEC-E
5	Notre Dame	124.4	124.2	124.4	124.3	ACC
6	Florida	122.2	121.7	122.8	122.2	SEC-E
7	Texas A&M	121.6	121.6	122.3	121.8	SEC-W
8	Oklahoma	121.6	121.1	121.8	121.5	B12
9	Iowa St.	120.5	119.8	120.9	120.4	B12
10	Iowa	119.7	119.3	121.4	120.1	BTen-W
11	N. Carolina	119.8	119.9	120.3	120.0	ACC
12	Wisconsin	119.7	118.0	120.9	119.5	BTen-W
13	Cincinnati	119.2	118.7	119.4	119.1	AAC
14	Indiana	117.1	117.5	119.6	118.1	BTen-E
15	U S C	118.6	116.0	117.7	117.5	P12-S
16	Texas	117.0	115.8	116.9	116.6	B12
17	Auburn	115.6	114.7	115.7	115.3	SEC-W
18	Oregon	115.5	113.9	114.9	114.8	P12-N
19	BYU	114.7	114.5	114.9	114.7	Ind.
20	L S U	114.3	113.6	115.4	114.4	SEC-W
21	Oklahoma St.	114.5	113.2	113.6	113.8	B12
22	Northwestern	111.9	112.0	114.4	112.8	BTen-W
23	Miami (Fla.)	110.8	112.7	111.3	111.6	ACC
24	Penn St.	111.8	110.5	112.4	111.6	BTen-E
25	UCF	110.4	110.3	110.7	110.5	AAC
26	T C U	110.5	109.3	110.9	110.3	B12
27	Kentucky	109.1	109.0	110.1	109.4	SEC-E
28	Washington	109.4	108.0	109.8	109.1	P12-N
29	Arizona St.	109.2	108.5	108.8	108.8	P12-S
30	Ole Miss	109.0	107.9	109.0	108.6	SEC-W
31	Utah	108.2	108.3	108.9	108.5	P12-S
32	U C L A	108.2	107.3	107.4	107.6	P12-S
33	Buffalo	106.9	108.0	107.7	107.5	MAC-E
34	Coastal Car.	107.0	107.6	107.7	107.4	SUN-E
35	Minnesota	106.7	107.2	108.3	107.4	BTen-W
36	Boise St.	107.2	107.2	106.9	107.1	MWC-M
37	Louisville	107.1	107.0	106.5	106.8	ACC
38	Tennessee	106.3	105.7	106.4	106.1	SEC-E
39	Pittsburgh	105.5	106.4	105.8	105.9	ACC
40	Missouri	105.3	105.0	106.1	105.5	SEC-E
41	Michigan	105.4	104.5	106.3	105.4	BTen-E
42	Louisiana	105.7	105.3	105.3	105.4	SUN-W
43	Nebraska	105.0	104.5	106.3	105.3	BTen-W
44	Wake Forest	104.7	105.5	105.5	105.3	ACC
45	California	105.4	105.1	105.1	105.2	P12-N
46	Virginia	104.6	105.0	105.1	104.9	ACC
47	W. Virginia	104.7	104.4	104.9	104.7	B12
48	Virginia Tech	103.9	104.5	104.9	104.4	ACC
49	Miss. St.	104.4	103.7	104.8	104.3	SEC-W
50	Tulane	104.3	104.3	103.9	104.2	AAC
51	Boston Coll.	103.6	103.9	104.2	103.9	ACC
52	Stanford	104.4	102.7	104.0	103.7	P12-N
53	Oregon St.	104.0	103.8	103.2	103.7	P12-N
54	Purdue	103.4	103.5	104.1	103.7	BTen-W
55	Washington St.	103.7	102.3	104.2	103.4	P12-N
56	Memphis	104.4	103.1	102.6	103.4	AAC
57	Appal. St.	103.4	102.9	103.5	103.3	SUN-E
58	Illinois	102.9	102.3	103.8	103.0	BTen-W
59	Tulsa	103.5	102.1	102.1	102.5	AAC
60	Arkansas	102.2	102.8	102.4	102.5	SEC-W
61	Baylor	102.3	101.8	102.1	102.1	B12
62	Air Force	101.7	102.4	101.7	101.9	MWC-M
63	NC State	101.4	101.9	101.8	101.7	ACC
64	Houston	102.3	100.9	101.2	101.5	AAC
65	Liberty	100.0	102.9	100.8	101.2	Ind.
66	Colorado	101.0	101.8	99.8	100.9	P12-S
67	Kansas St.	100.4	99.6	100.7	100.2	B12
68	Rutgers	100.6	99.6	100.0	100.1	BTen-E
69	SMU	100.1	99.6	99.2	99.7	AAC
70	S. Carolina	100.5	98.8	99.7	99.7	SEC-E
71	Marshall	99.6	99.9	99.2	99.5	CUSA-E
72	Michigan St.	99.1	98.6	99.7	99.2	BTen-E
73	San Diego St.	98.5	99.5	98.8	98.9	MWC-W
74	Texas Tech	98.8	97.6	98.9	98.4	B12
75	San Jose St.	96.9	98.6	97.4	97.6	MWC-W
76	Florida St.	97.9	97.2	97.7	97.6	ACC
77	Wyoming	96.0	97.1	96.4	96.5	MWC-M
78	Nevada	95.2	96.1	95.6	95.7	MWC-W
79	Ball St.	95.6	95.5	95.8	95.7	MAC-W
80	U A B	95.3	95.7	94.7	95.2	CUSA-W
81	Georgia Tech	95.7	95.2	94.8	95.2	ACC
82	E. Carolina	95.6	95.4	94.5	95.2	AAC
83	Maryland	95.2	95.2	95.0	95.1	BTen-E
84	Ohio	94.4	95.1	95.3	94.9	MAC-E
85	Army	93.9	95.3	93.9	94.4	Ind.
86	Arizona	94.1	92.5	92.9	93.2	P12-S
87	Georgia Sou.	92.7	93.5	93.0	93.1	SUN-E
88	Fresno St.	92.7	93.2	92.2	92.7	MWC-W
89	Hawaii	92.7	93.0	92.0	92.5	MWC-W
90	Western Mich.	91.6	93.3	92.4	92.4	MAC-W
91	Toledo	92.1	93.2	91.9	92.4	MAC-W
92	Troy	91.8	92.9	92.2	92.3	SUN-E
93	Central Mich.	92.0	92.1	92.2	92.1	MAC-W
94	Georgia St.	91.8	92.1	92.3	92.1	SUN-E
95	Miami (O)	92.4	91.5	92.1	92.0	MAC-E
96	Navy	92.7	91.4	90.7	91.6	AAC
97	W. Kentucky	91.2	91.7	90.8	91.2	CUSA-E
98	Kent St.	91.2	90.7	90.7	90.9	MAC-E
99	Syracuse	90.1	91.3	90.8	90.8	ACC
100	Duke	90.5	90.3	89.3	90.0	ACC
101	Colorado St.	89.5	90.3	89.5	89.8	MWC-M
102	Vanderbilt	88.3	87.5	87.4	87.8	SEC-E
103	Arkansas St.	87.6	88.2	87.0	87.6	SUN-W
104	Temple	87.9	87.6	86.3	87.3	AAC
105	Rice	88.1	86.2	87.2	87.2	CUSA-W
106	USF	87.8	86.5	86.2	86.8	AAC
107	Fla. Atlantic	85.9	86.8	86.2	86.3	CUSA-E
108	New Mexico	86.0	86.8	85.4	86.1	MWC-M
109	Florida Int’l.	85.7	85.5	85.3	85.5	CUSA-E
110	U T S A	85.2	85.6	85.4	85.4	CUSA-W
111	Eastern Mich.	83.8	85.6	84.5	84.6	MAC-W
112	Utah St.	84.4	84.1	83.5	84.0	MWC-M
113	La. Tech	83.6	84.2	83.6	83.8	CUSA-W
114	Charlotte	83.5	83.6	83.2	83.4	CUSA-E
115	Middle Tenn.	82.2	82.5	82.3	82.3	CUSA-E
116	Southern Miss.	82.3	82.8	81.8	82.3	CUSA-W
117	S. Alabama	81.8	82.7	81.7	82.1	SUN-W
118	N. Illinois	80.7	82.0	80.8	81.2	MAC-W
119	Texas St.	81.0	81.5	80.2	80.9	SUN-W
120	U N L V	79.5	80.6	78.7	79.6	MWC-W
121	Kansas	78.7	78.0	77.4	78.1	B12
122	North Texas	75.4	75.6	74.8	75.3	CUSA-W
123	U T E P	67.9	70.3	68.0	68.7	CUSA-W
124	Akron	67.5	69.2	66.1	67.6	MAC-E
125	UL-Monroe	68.0	67.9	66.5	67.5	SUN-W
126	Bowling Green	65.1	66.4	61.8	64.4	MAC-E
127	Mass.	61.7	67.5	59.9	63.0	Ind.

PiRate Rating By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	AAC	Overall
Cincinnati	119.2	118.7	119.4	119.1	6-0	8-0
UCF	110.4	110.3	110.7	110.5	5-3	6-3
Tulane	104.3	104.3	103.9	104.2	3-5	6-5
Memphis	104.4	103.1	102.6	103.4	5-3	7-3
Tulsa	103.5	102.1	102.1	102.5	6-0	6-1
Houston	102.3	100.9	101.2	101.5	3-3	3-4
SMU	100.1	99.6	99.2	99.7	4-3	7-3
E. Carolina	95.6	95.4	94.5	95.2	3-4	3-6
Navy	92.7	91.4	90.7	91.6	3-4	3-7
Temple	87.9	87.6	86.3	87.3	1-6	1-6
USF	87.8	86.5	86.2	86.8	0-7	1-8
AAC Avg.	100.7	100.0	99.7	100.1
Atlantic Coast Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	ACC	Overall
Clemson	129.2	130.0	131.4	130.2	8-1	9-1
Notre Dame	124.4	124.2	124.4	124.3	9-0	10-0
N. Carolina	119.8	119.9	120.3	120.0	7-3	8-3
Miami (Fla.)	110.8	112.7	111.3	111.6	7-2	8-2
Louisville	107.1	107.0	106.5	106.8	3-7	4-7
Pittsburgh	105.5	106.4	105.8	105.9	5-5	6-5
Wake Forest	104.7	105.5	105.5	105.3	3-4	4-4
Virginia	104.6	105.0	105.1	104.9	4-5	5-5
Virginia Tech	103.9	104.5	104.9	104.4	5-5	5-6
Boston Coll.	103.6	103.9	104.2	103.9	5-5	6-5
NC State	101.4	101.9	101.8	101.7	7-3	8-3
Florida St.	97.9	97.2	97.7	97.6	2-6	3-6
Georgia Tech	95.7	95.2	94.8	95.2	3-6	3-7
Syracuse	90.1	91.3	90.8	90.8	1-9	1-10
Duke	90.5	90.3	89.3	90.0	1-9	2-9
ACC Avg.	106.0	106.3	106.2	106.2
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	B12	Overall
Oklahoma	121.6	121.1	121.8	121.5	6-2	7-2
Iowa St.	120.5	119.8	120.9	120.4	8-1	8-2
Texas	117.0	115.8	116.9	116.6	5-3	6-3
Oklahoma St.	114.5	113.2	113.6	113.8	6-3	7-3
T C U	110.5	109.3	110.9	110.3	5-4	6-4
W. Virginia	104.7	104.4	104.9	104.7	4-4	5-4
Baylor	102.3	101.8	102.1	102.1	2-7	2-7
Kansas St.	100.4	99.6	100.7	100.2	4-5	4-6
Texas Tech	98.8	97.6	98.9	98.4	3-6	4-6
Kansas	78.7	78.0	77.4	78.1	0-8	0-9
Big 12 Avg.	106.9	106.1	106.8	106.6
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Ohio St.	131.4	130.5	133.7	131.9	5-0	5-0
Indiana	117.1	117.5	119.6	118.1	6-1	6-1
Penn St.	111.8	110.5	112.4	111.6	3-5	3-5
Michigan	105.4	104.5	106.3	105.4	2-4	2-4
Rutgers	100.6	99.6	100.0	100.1	3-5	3-5
Michigan St.	99.1	98.6	99.7	99.2	2-5	2-5
Maryland	95.2	95.2	95.0	95.1	2-3	2-3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Iowa	119.7	119.3	121.4	120.1	6-2	6-2
Wisconsin	119.7	118.0	120.9	119.5	2-3	2-3
Northwestern	111.9	112.0	114.4	112.8	6-1	6-1
Minnesota	106.7	107.2	108.3	107.4	3-3	3-3
Nebraska	105.0	104.5	106.3	105.3	2-5	2-5
Purdue	103.4	103.5	104.1	103.7	2-4	2-4
Illinois	102.9	102.3	103.8	103.0	2-5	2-5
Big Ten Avg.	109.3	108.8	110.4	109.5
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	CUSA	Overall
Marshall	99.6	99.9	99.2	99.5	4-1	7-1
W. Kentucky	91.2	91.7	90.8	91.2	4-3	5-6
Fla. Atlantic	85.9	86.8	86.2	86.3	4-2	5-3
Florida Int’l.	85.7	85.5	85.3	85.5	0-3	0-5
Charlotte	83.5	83.6	83.2	83.4	2-2	2-4
Middle Tenn.	82.2	82.5	82.3	82.3	2-4	3-6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	CUSA	Overall
U A B	95.3	95.7	94.7	95.2	3-1	5-3
Rice	88.1	86.2	87.2	87.2	2-3	2-3
U T S A	85.2	85.6	85.4	85.4	5-2	7-4
La. Tech	83.6	84.2	83.6	83.8	4-2	5-4
Southern Miss.	82.3	82.8	81.8	82.3	2-4	3-7
North Texas	75.4	75.6	74.8	75.3	3-4	4-5
U T E P	67.9	70.3	68.0	68.7	0-4	3-5
CUSA Avg.	85.1	85.4	84.8	85.1
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
BYU	114.7	114.5	114.9	114.7	x	10-1
Liberty	100.0	102.9	100.8	101.2	x	9-1
Army	93.9	95.3	93.9	94.4	x	8-2
Mass.	61.7	67.5	59.9	63.0	x	0-4
Ind. Avg.	92.6	95.1	92.4	93.3
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
Buffalo	106.9	108.0	107.7	107.5	5-0	5-0
Ohio	94.4	95.1	95.3	94.9	2-1	2-1
Miami (O)	92.4	91.5	92.1	92.0	2-1	2-1
Kent St.	91.2	90.7	90.7	90.9	3-1	3-1
Akron	67.5	69.2	66.1	67.6	1-5	1-5
Bowling Green	65.1	66.4	61.8	64.4	0-5	0-5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
Ball St.	95.6	95.5	95.8	95.7	5-1	5-1
Western Mich.	91.6	93.3	92.4	92.4	4-2	4-2
Toledo	92.1	93.2	91.9	92.4	4-2	4-2
Central Mich.	92.0	92.1	92.2	92.1	3-3	3-3
Eastern Mich.	83.8	85.6	84.5	84.6	2-4	2-4
N. Illinois	80.7	82.0	80.8	81.2	0-6	0-6
MAC Avg.	87.8	88.5	87.6	88.0
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
Boise St.	107.2	107.2	106.9	107.1	5-0	5-1
Air Force	101.7	102.4	101.7	101.9	2-2	3-2
Wyoming	96.0	97.1	96.4	96.5	2-4	2-4
Colorado St.	89.5	90.3	89.5	89.8	1-3	1-3
New Mexico	86.0	86.8	85.4	86.1	2-5	2-5
Utah St.	84.4	84.1	83.5	84.0	1-5	1-5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
San Diego St.	98.5	99.5	98.8	98.9	4-2	4-4
San Jose St.	96.9	98.6	97.4	97.6	6-0	6-0
Nevada	95.2	96.1	95.6	95.7	6-2	6-2
Fresno St.	92.7	93.2	92.2	92.7	3-3	3-3
Hawaii	92.7	93.0	92.0	92.5	4-4	4-4
U N L V	79.5	80.6	78.7	79.6	0-6	0-6
MWC Avg.	93.3	94.1	93.2	93.5
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
Oregon	115.5	113.9	114.9	114.8	3-2	3-2
Washington	109.4	108.0	109.8	109.1	3-1	3-1
California	105.4	105.1	105.1	105.2	1-3	1-3
Stanford	104.4	102.7	104.0	103.7	3-2	3-2
Oregon St.	104.0	103.8	103.2	103.7	2-4	2-4
Washington St.	103.7	102.3	104.2	103.4	1-2	1-2
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
U S C	118.6	116.0	117.7	117.5	5-0	5-0
Arizona St.	109.2	108.5	108.8	108.8	1-2	1-2
Utah	108.2	108.3	108.9	108.5	2-2	2-2
U C L A	108.2	107.3	107.4	107.6	3-3	3-3
Colorado	101.0	101.8	99.8	100.9	3-1	4-1
Arizona	94.1	92.5	92.9	93.2	0-5	0-5
P12 Avg.	106.8	105.8	106.4	106.4
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SEC	Overall
Georgia	124.4	123.6	125.2	124.4	7-2	7-2
Florida	122.2	121.7	122.8	122.2	8-2	8-2
Kentucky	109.1	109.0	110.1	109.4	4-6	4-6
Tennessee	106.3	105.7	106.4	106.1	3-6	3-6
Missouri	105.3	105.0	106.1	105.5	5-4	5-4
S. Carolina	100.5	98.8	99.7	99.7	2-8	2-8
Vanderbilt	88.3	87.5	87.4	87.8	0-9	0-9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SEC	Overall
Alabama	140.4	141.3	142.7	141.5	10-0	10-0
Texas A&M	121.6	121.6	122.3	121.8	7-1	7-1
Auburn	115.6	114.7	115.7	115.3	6-4	6-4
L S U	114.3	113.6	115.4	114.4	4-5	4-5
Ole Miss	109.0	107.9	109.0	108.6	4-4	4-4
Miss. St.	104.4	103.7	104.8	104.3	2-7	2-7
Arkansas	102.2	102.8	102.4	102.5	3-7	3-7
SEC Avg.	111.7	111.2	112.1	111.7
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SBC	Overall
Coastal Car.	107.0	107.6	107.7	107.4	8-0	11-0
Appal. St.	103.4	102.9	103.5	103.3	6-2	8-3
Georgia Sou.	92.7	93.5	93.0	93.1	4-4	7-5
Georgia St.	91.8	92.1	92.3	92.1	4-4	5-4
Troy	91.8	92.9	92.2	92.3	3-6	5-6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SBC	Overall
Louisiana	105.7	105.3	105.3	105.4	7-1	9-1
Arkansas St.	87.6	88.2	87.0	87.6	2-6	4-7
S. Alabama	81.8	82.7	81.7	82.1	3-5	4-7
Texas St.	81.0	81.5	80.2	80.9	2-6	2-10
UL-Monroe	68.0	67.9	66.5	67.5	0-7	0-10
Sun Avg.	91.1	91.4	90.9	91.2

Conference Ratings

#	League	Avg
1	SEC	111.7
2	BTen	109.5
3	B12	106.6
4	P12	106.4
5	ACC	106.2
6	AAC	100.1
7	MWC	93.5
8	Ind.	93.3
9	Sun	91.2
10	MAC	88.0
11	CUSA	85.1

The Playoffs–What Will Be This Week & What Should Be

The Playoff Committee won’t adjust this week’s top four teams. Only one of the four from last week played a game this past weekend, and Alabama basically showed the nation that they look like the best team in college football since the 2001 Miami of Florida Hurricanes. If somebody tells you that the playoffs need to be expanded from 4 to either 6, 8, or 12 teams, because Cincinnati, Coastal Carolina, Buffalo, and San Jose St. deserve a chance this year, you should reply that they are incorrect when talking about this year only. If the NCAA Playoff Committee wanted to make any changes to make the 2020-2021 college season end the right way, they should change the number of teams in the playoffs–from four to zero!

Alabama is clearly the best team in the nation. If they played Notre Dame, Ohio State, or Clemson next week, the Tide would be favored by two touchdowns minimum over any of the three contenders. If you are old enough to remember UCLA basketball during the three seasons that Kareem Abdul-Jabbar and his additional all-American teammates suited up for the Bruins, the NCAA Tournaments were less eventful than the middle of the season Christmas and New Year’s tournaments. For three years, UCLA was the basketball equivalent of the 1927 New York Yankees. The NCAA Tournament was no different than the Bruin Invitational, as UCLA beat Dayton, North Carolina, and Purdue so handily that the games were not meaningful. Alabama is going to do the same thing this year.

We believe that Clemson will edge Notre Dame in the ACC Championship, as the Tigers almost beat the Irish in South Bend without having Trevor Lawrence available. Notre Dame will assuredly drop to #4 in the playoff rankings, but they will stay in the top 4 to be Sugar Bowl fodder for Alabama. Ohio State and Clemson would then face off in the Rose Bowl. Ten days later, Alabama will run roughshod over the Ohio State-Clemson winner, most likely Clemson, and it will be like the Yankees-Dodgers in the World Series during the 1950’s, with Alabama being the Yankees.

If you ask us whether Ohio State deserves to be in the Playoffs, as they have only played five games, when the Big Ten had previously stated that a team had to play at least six games to be eligible for the Big Ten Championship, we have a somewhat divided opinion. First, we 100% agree that Ohio State should be in the Big Ten Championship Game.

Let’s say that rather than declare the Michigan game postponed, that Ohio State forfeited the game to show a six-game slate. Even with the one loss, Ohio State beats out Indiana on the tiebreaker, and it doesn’t affect their eye test rating. So, the Buckeyes deserve the East Division championship. We kind of compare this to the rule where a Major League batter can be the batting champion even if he fails to get the required 502 plate appearances in a 162-game schedule, if you take his at-bats and include additional outs until you reach the 502 required PA’s. If the batter still has the highest batting average with those outs added, he is the batting champion.

For example, in 1996, legendary hitter Tony Gwynn batted .353, but he only made 498 plate appearances, which did not qualify for the batting crown. He needed four additional plate appearances. With four outs added to Gwynn’s actual record, his batting average dropped to .349, which was still better than the next highest average, Rockies’ star Ellis Burks at .344. So, Gwynn won the batting title at .353.

Likewise, adding one loss to Ohio State’s record still allows the Buckeyes to win the Big Ten East in a tiebreaker with Indiana.

That being said, do we believe that Ohio State is one of the four best teams in the nation this year? The short answer is that our own ratings show the Buckeyes to be the second best team. However, if we were on the Playoff Committee, we would be totally at a loss to separate Ohio State and USC. As for any of the G5 teams, we hate to say it, but none of them can play either Ohio State or USC to within 10 points. A G5 Playoff with Cincinnati, Coastal Carolina, Buffalo, and San Jose State would be quite entertaining and much better TV choices than the bowl games, even the New Year’s Six games. But, the only teams outside the current top four that should be in consideration for the Playoffs are USC and Texas A&M. Additionally, it is more accurate to state that the loser of the ACC Championship Game should be removed in favor of an undefeated USC team this year. A one-loss Texas A&M team that beat Florida and played Alabama better than any other opponent might be the second best team in the nation, and it would be hard to convince us that they don’t belong in the Big Four if the ACC loser loses by a substantial margin.

Here is our belief as to what will happen depending on whether each of the contenders win or lose this week.

Alabama–If the Crimson Tide wins, they are in the Sugar Bowl as the #1 seed. If the Crimson Tide loses, they are in the Rose Bowl as the #3 seed.

Ohio State–If the Buckeyes win, they are in the Rose Bowl as the #2 or #3 seed. If the Buckeyes lose, they are in a NY6 bowl and not in the playoffs.

Notre Dame–If the Irish win, they are in the Rose Bowl as the #2 seed or Sugar Bowl as the #1 seed if Bama were to lose. If the Irish lose, they are in the Sugar Bowl as the #4 seed.

Clemson–If the Tigers win, they are in the Rose Bowl as the #2 or #3 seed based on what Ohio State does. If the Tigers lose, they are in the Orange Bowl and not in the playoffs.

Texas A&M–The Aggies must win and then hope for Clemson or Ohio State to lose, possibly Notre Dame to lose by 20 or more points. If the Aggies back into the Playoffs, they will be headed to the Sugar Bowl as the #4 seed if Alabama is #1, or to the Rose Bowl if Ohio State or Notre Dame is #1

USC–Notre Dame must beat Clemson, and Northwestern must upset Ohio State, while USC beats Washington by 28 or more points, and Texas A&M doesn’t slaughter Tennessee.

Cincinnati–Clemson, Ohio State, and USC must lose, and maybe even Texas A&M.

Any 2-loss team–We don’t see any scenario where Oklahoma, Iowa State, Florida, or Clemson could make the playoffs with two losses.

PiRate Picks for December 11-14, 2020

Picking Games That Will Actually Be Played Harder Than Picking Winners

We moved this feature from Thursday to Friday beginning last week, in hopes that we would stop issuing selections only to have them be cancelled later in the day when games in our parlays and teasers were virus victims. So, what happened last week? Literally five minutes after we posted our selections, our number one selection as far as our confidence in thinking it would be a winner, was cancelled.

We cannot possibly send this out an hour before the Noon Eastern kickoffs, so Friday morning is about as late as we can release this weekly feature. Maybe, we should try to predict who will cancel in the final 24 hours before kickoff?

We were quite hesitant to use Tennessee and Vanderbilt in our selections this week, because the Commodores’ roster looks like a retail store about five weeks after they have begun to liquidate with a “going out of business” sale. They have 44 players remaining on the team, but they have just one defensive end left on the roster, and two real linebackers. They have been forced to use small defensive backs at linebacker and offensive linemen in the defensive line. One of the healthy defensive backs, a true freshman and one of the very few 4-star recruits suffered the tragic loss of his mother and has been left with three siblings that he will now become their legal guardian. He’s all of 18 years old.

If you want to contribute something to this family facing a tragic loss of having both father and mother pass away, the four teenage kids could use a little Holiday Season support. For what it’s worth, the Vanderbilt freshman, DeRickey Wright, is not only on athletic scholarship at Vanderbilt, he is on academic scholarship. His three sisters are aged 16, 14, and 10. A Go Fund Me account has been set up to help the family. Rather than ask you not to use our selections here as real betting advice, we ask you to consider donating a little to help this family in their worst time of grief.

https://www.gofundme.com/f/j3m97-wright-family

This Week’s Selections

1. College 10-point Teaser
Selection	Opponent	Spread
Arizona St.	Arizona	-0.5
Georgia	Missouri	-3
Nebraska	Minnesota	-0.5
2. College 10-point Teaser
Selection	Opponent	Spread
Ball St.	Western Mich.	+8
Toledo	Central Mich.	-1
Troy	Coastal Carolina	+23.5
3. College 10-point Teaser
Selection	Opponent	Spread
North Carolina	Miami (Fla.)	+13
Tennessee	Vanderbilt	-5.5
Boise St.	Wyoming	-1
4. College 10-point Teaser
Selection	Opponent	Spread
Florida	LSU	-13
Auburn	Mississippi St.	+3.5
USC	UCLA	+7.5
5. Money Line Parlay @+131.55
Must Win	Opponent	Odds
Army	Navy
Virginia Tech	Virginia	+131.55
6. Money Line Parlay @ +160
Must Win	Opponent	Odds
Utah	Colorado
Northwestern	Illinois	+160
7. NFL 10-point Teaser
Selection	Opponent	Spread
Chicago	Houston	+11.5
N.Y. Giants	Arizona	+12.5
Detroit	Green Bay	+17.5

This Week’s College Football TV Schedule

Friday, December 11
Time (ET)	Network	Home	Visitor
7:00 PM	ESPN	Arizona	Arizona St.
10:00 PM	CBSSN	San Jose St *	Nevada
		* In Las Vegas
Saturday, December 12
Time (ET)	Network	Home	Visitor
12:00 PM	ABC	West Va.	Oklahoma
12:00 PM 12:00 PM	ABC FOX	Penn St. Colorado	Michigan St. Utah
12:00 PM	ESPN	Arkansas	Alabama
12:00 PM	ESPN2	Northwestern	Illinois
12:00 PM	FS1	Nebraska	Minnesota
12:00 PM	SECN	Missouri	Georgia
12:00 PM	BTN	Maryland	Rutgers
12:00 PM	ACCN	Louisville	Wake Forest
2:30 PM	CBSSN	Buffalo	Akron
3:00 PM	CBS	Army	Navy
3:30 PM	ABC	Miami (Fla.)	North Carolina
3:30 PM	FS1	Iowa	Wisconsin
3:45 PM	ESPN2	Memphis	Houston
4:00 PM	ESPN2	Kansas	Texas
4:00 PM	SECN	Vanderbilt	Tennessee
4:00 PM	ACCN	Florida St.	Duke
4:00 PM 6:00 PM	FOX CBSSN	Washington St. Wyoming	California Boise St.
7:00 PM	ESPN	Florida	LSU
7:00 PM	FS1	TCU	Louisiana Tech
7:00 PM	ESPNU	Baylor	Oklahoma St.
7:30 PM	ABC	UCLA	USC
7:30 PM	SECN	Mississippi St.	Auburn
8:00 PM	ACCN	Virginia Tech	Virginia
9:30 PM	CBSSN	Colorado St.	Utah St.
10:00 PM	ESPN2	BYU	San Diego St.
10:30 PM	FS1	Fresno St.	New Mexico
10:30 PM	ESPNU	Oregon St.	Stanford

Up to date through Saturday morning, December 12