The Pi-Rate Ratings

November 20, 2013

PiRate Ratings: NFL–November 21-25, 2013

Another Losing Team In The Playoffs?

If the playoffs began today, the AFC’s second wildcard would go to a 5-5 team.  Miami and the New York Jets are 5-5, with a host of other teams with four wins: Oakland, San Diego, Tennessee, Baltimore, Cleveland, Pittsburgh, and Buffalo.  The Dolphins schedule is tough, and we do not see them staying at .500.  The Jets’ offensive woes leaves an 8-8 season in serious doubt.  Of the seven teams with four wins, none have performed well enough to believe they will win four more games.  7-9 could very well place some team in the playoffs against Cincinnati or New England.

 

Could Both Defending Super Bowl Teams Miss The Playoffs?

This is a strong possibility.  The Ravens look like a 7-9 or 6-10 team, as they close the season with games against what could be three division winners.  The 49ers are now struggling at 6-4 with two tough road games as well as games at home with the Rams and Seahawks still to be played.  The 49ers could go 9-7 and miss the playoffs.

 

Super Mess In The Making

When the Super Bowl was announced for East Rutherford, NJ, the immediate response from many football journalist was, “The weather will ruin this Super Bowl.”  This may be true, even if the game time conditions are 45 degrees, no wind, and clear skies.  Bad weather as well as other factors has delayed the construction of a key highway bridge less than six miles from the stadium.  It is the key approach from the west, and people not familiar with Metro New Jersey may get caught in quite a traffic jam.

 

It is always advantageous to take public transportation to Met Life Stadium, but if there is somebody reading this today that will be attending an event at Met Life Stadium in the next several months and will be travelling from west of the stadium, do not take Route 3.  Bridge construction over the Passaic River has reduced lanes and shortened the lane widths.  If you know your way around the Clifton-Passaic area, take Paterson Plank Road (Route 120) east.  Follow the signs to exit right to stay on Route 120 which will merge with Route 3.  The wording on the exit near the stadium is Clifton & Lincoln Tunnel.  Once on this road, there will be a quick exit right for the entire complex—stadium, arena, and race track.  Keep this a little secret, and it will save you a lot of time as you take the road only the locals will know about.

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Current NFL PiRate Ratings

N F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Dallas Cowboys

100.4

101.8

100.2

Philadelphia Eagles

98.9

100.1

99.2

New York Giants

96.5

96.2

95.7

Washington Redskins

96.4

96.5

96.1

       
North

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Chicago Bears

102.2

101.9

101.5

Detroit Lions

101.2

102.0

101.2

Green Bay Packers

98.6

97.6

97.6

Minnesota Vikings

94.2

93.4

93.3

       
South

PiRate

Mean

Biased

New Orleans Saints

108.1

109.8

109.2

Carolina Panthers

106.0

106.3

106.6

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

96.0

95.4

96.0

Atlanta Falcons

94.5

93.4

93.3

 

 

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Biased

San Francisco 49ers

108.7

109.3

109.2

Seattle Seahawks

107.6

107.6

107.8

St. Louis Rams

99.1

99.9

99.7

Arizona Cardinals

98.5

99.9

99.2

       

A F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Biased

New England Patriots

106.5

104.5

106.7

Miami Dolphins

98.7

98.4

99.0

Buffalo Bills

97.5

96.6

97.5

New York Jets

93.4

91.8

93.3

       
North

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Cincinnati Bengals

106.3

106.2

106.4

Baltimore Ravens

102.4

101.9

102.3

Pittsburgh Steelers

98.4

97.9

98.5

Cleveland Browns

97.0

97.2

96.9

       
South

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Indianapolis Colts

103.0

103.0

103.0

Tennessee Titans

97.8

97.8

97.8

Houston Texans

97.0

96.7

97.1

Jacksonville Jaguars

87.0

86.3

86.5

       
West

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Denver Broncos

110.7

111.3

111.2

Kansas City Chiefs

103.3

105.0

103.8

San Diego Chargers

100.3

100.6

100.1

Oakland Raiders

93.8

93.7

94.1

 

This Week’s PiRate Spreads

Home Visitor

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Atlanta New Orleans

-11.1

-13.9

-13.4

Cleveland Pittsburgh

1.1

1.8

0.9

Detroit Tampa Bay

8.2

9.6

8.2

Green Bay Minnesota

6.9

6.7

6.8

Kansas City San Diego

6.0

7.4

6.7

St. Louis Chicago

-0.6

0.5

0.7

Miami Carolina

-4.3

-4.9

-4.6

Baltimore N Y Jets

11.5

12.6

11.5

Houston Jacksonville

13.0

13.4

13.6

Arizona Indianapolis

-1.5

-0.1

-0.8

Oakland Tennessee

-0.5

-0.6

-0.2

N Y Giants Dallas

-0.9

-2.6

-1.5

New England Denver

-0.7

-3.3

-1.0

Washington San Francisco

-8.3

-8.8

-9.1

   

 

 

 

Byes: Buffalo, Cincinnati, Philadelphia, Seattle

 

 

 

 

This Week’s Playoff Projections

 

AFC

1. Denver

2. Indianapolis

3. New England

4. Cincinnati

5. Kansas City

6. Cleveland

 

NFC

1. Seattle

2. New Orleans

3. Detroit

4. Philadelphia

5. Carolina

6. San Francisco

 

Wildcard Round

New England over Cleveland

Cincinnati over Kansas City

Detroit over San Francisco

Carolina over Philadelphia

 

Divisional Round

Denver over Cincinnati

Indianapolis over New England

Seattle over Carolina

New Orleans over Detroit

 

Conference Championships

Denver over Indianapolis

New Orleans over Seattle

 

Super Bowl

New Orleans over Denver

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