PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 14: December 5-9, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

 

Margins

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Chicago	Dallas	2.6	-0.6	-0.2
Atlanta	Carolina	3.3	3.5	2.8
Buffalo	Baltimore	-6.3	-5.3	-6.2
Cleveland	Cincinnati	8.0	8.4	8.1
Green Bay	Washington	13.6	13.0	13.7
Houston	Denver	8.1	8.0	8.1
Minnesota	Detroit	11.5	11.5	11.6
New Orleans	San Francisco	1.4	-1.4	-1.7
N. Y. Jets	Miami	8.5	8.8	8.1
Tampa Bay	Indianapolis	2.6	3.6	4.4
Jacksonville	LA Chargers	-4.3	-3.9	-3.5
Arizona	Pittsburgh	-3.6	-3.7	-3.6
New England	Kansas City	9.0	9.1	8.9
Oakland	Tennessee	-4.5	-5.2	-4.7
LA Rams	Seattle	4.2	3.0	3.1
Philadelphia	N. Y. Giants	12.1	10.4	9.7

 

Totals

 

Home	Visitor	Total
Chicago	Dallas	38
Atlanta	Carolina	51
Buffalo	Baltimore	42
Cleveland	Cincinnati	45.5
Green Bay	Washington	42.5
Houston	Denver	41
Minnesota	Detroit	47.5
New Orleans	San Francisco	49
N. Y. Jets	Miami	48.5
Tampa Bay	Indianapolis	51.5
Jacksonville	LA Chargers	39.5
Arizona	Pittsburgh	44
New England	Kansas City	51.5
Oakland	Tennessee	44
LA Rams	Seattle	50.5
Philadelphia	N. Y. Giants	49.5

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

 

Current NFL PiRate Ratings
A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	108.9	109.6	109.1	109.2	20.5	10-2
Buffalo	101.8	102.9	102.8	102.5	17.5	9-3
N. Y. Jets	94.9	95.6	94.7	95.1	21	4-8
Miami	89.5	89.7	89.5	89.6	27.5	3-9
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	111.1	111.1	112.0	111.4	24.5	10-2
Pittsburgh	99.5	100.0	100.4	99.9	20	7-5
Cleveland	99.2	99.5	99.5	99.4	23	5-7
Cincinnati	93.2	93.1	93.4	93.2	22.5	1-11
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Houston	103.1	103.4	103.2	103.3	23	8-4
Tennessee	100.9	101.4	101.3	101.2	19.5	7-5
Indianapolis	99.3	100.1	99.6	99.7	22.5	6-6
Jacksonville	93.6	93.8	93.6	93.7	18.5	4-8
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	102.9	103.5	103.2	103.2	31	8-4
LA Chargers	101.0	100.7	100.1	100.6	21	4-8
Denver	98.1	98.4	98.1	98.2	18	4-8
Oakland	93.4	93.3	93.6	93.4	24.5	6-6
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	103.3	103.9	103.5	103.6	21	6-6
Philadelphia	102.0	100.4	100.0	100.8	24.5	5-7
N.Y. Giants	91.9	92.0	92.2	92.0	25	2-10
Washington	91.4	92.2	91.8	91.8	18	3-9
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Minnesota	106.4	105.0	105.2	105.6	23	8-4
Green Bay	102.0	102.2	102.5	102.2	24.5	9-3
Chicago	103.0	100.3	100.3	101.2	17	6-6
Detroit	97.4	96.0	96.1	96.5	24.5	3-8-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	107.4	105.5	105.8	106.2	25	10-2
Tampa Bay	98.9	100.6	101.0	100.2	29	5-7
Atlanta	97.5	97.5	97.1	97.3	25.5	3-9
Carolina	96.6	96.5	96.8	96.6	25.5	5-7
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
San Francisco	109.0	109.9	110.5	109.8	24	10-2
LA Rams	105.5	104.3	104.7	104.8	25.5	7-5
Seattle	104.3	104.3	104.6	104.4	25	10-2
Arizona	93.0	93.2	93.8	93.3	24	3-8-1

 

This Week’s Playoff Projections

 

AFC Seeding
1	Baltimore
2	New England
3	Houston
4	Kansas City
5	Buffalo
6	Pittsburgh
NFC Seeding
1	Seattle
2	New Orleans
3	Green Bay
4	Dallas
5	San Francisco
6	Minnesota

Wildcard Round

Houston over Pittsburgh

Buffalo over Kansas City

Green Bay over Minnesota

San Francisco over Dallas

Divisional Round

Buffalo over Baltimore

Houston over New England

Seattle over San Francisco

New Orleans over Green Bay

Conference Championship

Houston over Buffalo

Seattle over New Orleans

Super Bowl 54

Seattle over Houston

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 12: November 21-25, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Margins

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Houston	Indianapolis	4.5	3.9	3.9
Cleveland	Miami	15.1	15.1	15.5
Buffalo	Denver	2.5	3.4	3.2
Cincinnati	Pittsburgh	-5.0	-5.6	-5.7
Chicago	N.Y. Giants	12.9	9.6	9.4
N.Y. Jets	Oakland	-1.0	-0.1	-1.8
New Orleans	Carolina	13.1	10.8	10.9
Atlanta	Tampa Bay	6.5	5.0	4.3
Washington	Detroit	-6.3	-4.3	-5.3
Tennessee	Jacksonville	4.0	4.1	3.5
New England	Dallas	7.1	7.5	7.5
San Francisco	Green Bay	5.4	6.2	6.2
Philadelphia	Seattle	5.5	3.9	3.4
LA Rams	Baltimore	1.4	0.1	-0.7

 

Totals

Home	Visitor	Total
Houston	Indianapolis	45
Cleveland	Miami	48.5
Buffalo	Denver	36
Cincinnati	Pittsburgh	44
Chicago	N.Y. Giants	43.5
N.Y. Jets	Oakland	46.5
New Orleans	Carolina	48.5
Atlanta	Tampa Bay	55
Washington	Detroit	43.5
Tennessee	Jacksonville	36
New England	Dallas	43
San Francisco	Green Bay	49.5
Philadelphia	Seattle	50.5
LA Rams	Baltimore	50.5

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

 

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	109.6	110.5	110.2	110.1	21	9-1
Buffalo	98.9	100.0	99.6	99.5	17.5	7-3
N. Y. Jets	93.3	94.2	93.1	93.5	21.5	3-7
Miami	87.5	87.8	87.5	87.6	26	2-8
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	108.1	108.1	109.2	108.5	25	8-2
Cleveland	99.6	99.9	100.0	99.8	22.5	4-6
Pittsburgh	99.2	99.6	99.9	99.5	20.5	5-5
Cincinnati	91.7	91.4	91.7	91.6	23.5	0-10
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Houston	102.4	102.6	102.3	102.5	23	6-4
Indianapolis	100.9	101.8	101.4	101.4	22	6-4
Tennessee	98.0	98.3	97.9	98.1	17.5	5-5
Jacksonville	97.0	97.3	97.4	97.2	18.5	4-6
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	100.4	100.9	100.5	100.6	31	7-4
LA Chargers	100.8	100.6	100.0	100.4	21	4-7
Denver	99.4	99.6	99.4	99.5	18.5	3-7
Oakland	97.3	97.3	97.9	97.5	25	6-4
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	105.5	106.0	105.7	105.7	22	6-4
Philadelphia	105.2	103.6	103.3	104.0	24.5	5-5
N.Y. Giants	92.8	93.1	93.3	93.1	26	2-8
Washington	89.5	90.2	89.6	89.8	18	1-9
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Minnesota	106.6	105.2	105.5	105.8	23	8-3
Green Bay	103.6	103.7	104.0	103.8	25	8-2
Chicago	103.2	100.2	100.2	101.2	17.5	4-6
Detroit	98.7	97.5	97.8	98.0	25.5	3-6-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	107.9	105.7	106.1	106.6	24	8-2
Atlanta	99.3	99.5	99.1	99.3	25.5	3-7
Carolina	97.8	97.9	98.2	98.0	24.5	5-5
Tampa Bay	95.8	97.5	97.8	97.0	29.5	3-7
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
San Francisco	106.0	106.9	107.2	106.7	24.5	9-1
LA Rams	106.6	105.2	105.5	105.8	25.5	6-4
Seattle	102.7	102.7	102.9	102.8	26	8-2
Arizona	94.7	95.1	95.8	95.2	24	3-7-1

 

 

This Week’s Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1	Baltimore
2	New England
3	Indianapolis
4	Oakland
5	Buffalo
6	Kansas City
NFC Seeding
1	San Francisco
2	Green Bay
3	New Orleans
4	Dallas
5	Seattle
6	Minnesota

Wildcard Round

Kansas City over Indianapolis

Oakland over Buffalo

New Orleans over Minnesota

Seattle over Dallas

Divisional Round

Kansas City over Baltimore

Oakland over New England

Seattle over San Francisco

Green Bay over New Orleans

Conference Championship

Oakland over Kansas City

Green Bay over Seattle

Super Bowl 54

Oakland over Green Bay

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 10: November 7-11, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

 

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Oakland	LA Chargers	-1.2	-1.1	0.0
Tennessee	Kansas City	-0.2	-0.3	-0.2
Cleveland	Buffalo	3.7	3.0	3.4
Tampa Bay	Arizona	5.1	7.1	7.0
N.Y. Jets	N.Y. Giants	-2.1	-1.8	-3.5
New Orleans	Atlanta	17.4	14.6	15.9
Cincinnati	Baltimore	-7.5	-7.5	-8.2
Green Bay	Carolina	5.4	5.2	4.8
Chicago	Detroit	6.6	4.7	4.1
Indianapolis	Miami	15.6	16.0	16.0
Pittsburgh	LA Rams	-5.9	-4.0	-4.0
Dallas	Minnesota	0.4	2.7	2.1
San Francisco	Seattle	7.4	8.7	9.2

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

 

Home	Visitor	Total
Oakland	LA Chargers	46.5
Tennessee	Kansas City	47
Cleveland	Buffalo	41
Tampa Bay	Arizona	53
N.Y. Jets	N.Y. Giants	46
New Orleans	Atlanta	51
Cincinnati	Baltimore	47.5
Green Bay	Carolina	51
Chicago	Detroit	43.5
Indianapolis	Miami	48.5
Pittsburgh	LA Rams	49
Dallas	Minnesota	43
San Francisco	Seattle	50

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

 

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	109.2	110.2	109.8	109.7	21.5	8-1
Buffalo	98.4	99.4	98.9	98.9	17.5	6-2
N. Y. Jets	91.2	92.0	90.6	91.3	20.5	1-7
Miami	87.6	87.9	87.6	87.7	26	1-7
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	103.8	103.6	104.6	104.0	24	6-2
Cleveland	99.6	99.8	99.8	99.7	23.5	2-6
Pittsburgh	98.6	99.1	99.4	99.0	22	4-4
Cincinnati	93.9	93.6	93.9	93.8	23.5	0-8
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Houston	104.5	104.8	104.6	104.7	23	6-3
Indianapolis	100.1	101.0	100.6	100.6	22.5	5-3
Jacksonville	97.9	98.3	98.5	98.2	18.5	4-5
Tennessee	97.5	97.8	97.4	97.6	16.5	4-5
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
LA Chargers	101.6	101.5	101.0	101.3	21.5	4-5
Kansas City	100.2	100.6	100.1	100.3	30.5	6-3
Denver	99.1	99.3	99.1	99.2	18	3-6
Oakland	97.3	97.4	98.0	97.6	25	4-4
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	105.2	105.9	105.5	105.5	21	5-3
Philadelphia	105.3	103.6	103.4	104.1	25	5-4
N.Y. Giants	93.4	93.7	94.1	93.7	25.5	2-7
Washington	91.0	91.8	91.3	91.4	17.5	1-8
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Minnesota	106.8	105.2	105.4	105.8	22	6-3
Green Bay	103.2	103.2	103.4	103.3	25.5	7-2
Chicago	103.6	100.5	100.5	101.5	18.5	3-5
Detroit	98.9	97.8	98.4	98.4	25	3-4-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	109.4	106.8	107.3	107.8	24.5	7-1
Carolina	100.7	101.0	101.6	101.1	25.5	5-3
Tampa Bay	96.5	98.7	99.2	98.1	29.5	2-6
Atlanta	95.0	95.2	94.4	94.8	26.5	1-7
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
San Francisco	106.5	107.6	108.1	107.4	24	8-0
LA Rams	107.5	106.1	106.4	106.7	27	5-3
Seattle	102.1	101.9	101.9	102.0	26	7-2
Arizona	94.4	94.6	95.2	94.7	23.5	3-5-1

 

NFL Playoff Projections

 

AFC Seeding
1	New England
2	Baltimore
3	Houston
4	Kansas City
5	Buffalo
6	Pittsburgh

 

NFC Seeding
1	San Francisco
2	New Orleans
3	Green Bay
4	Philadelphia
5	Seattle
6	LA Rams

 

Wildcard Round

Houston over Pittsburgh

Kansas City over Buffalo

Green Bay over LA Rams

Seattle over Philadelphia

Divisional Round

New England over Kansas City

Baltimore over Houston

San Francisco over Seattle

New Orleans over Green Bay

Conference Championship

New England over Baltimore

New Orleans over San Francisco

Super Bowl 54

New Orleans over New England

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 9: October 31-November 4, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Margins

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Arizona	San Francisco	-9.7	-10.9	-11.1
Jacksonville (n)	Houston	-4.1	-3.9	-3.0
Buffalo	Washington	9.8	9.6	9.5
Carolina	Tennessee	5.5	5.3	6.3
Philadelphia	Chicago	4.3	5.7	5.2
Kansas City	Minnesota	-4.2	-2.2	-3.1
Miami	N.Y. Jets	-3.6	-4.1	-3.2
Pittsburgh	Indianapolis	1.5	1.1	1.8
Oakland	Detroit	0.4	1.6	1.3
Seattle	Tampa Bay	9.6	7.2	6.9
Denver	Cleveland	2.1	1.8	1.5
LA Chargers	Green Bay	-2.8	-3.1	-4.2
Baltimore	New England	-6.0	-7.6	-6.2
N.Y. Giants	Dallas	-7.3	-7.3	-6.2

 

Totals

Home	Visitor	Total
Arizona	San Francisco	47
Jacksonville (n)	Houston	42.5
Buffalo	Washington	35
Carolina	Tennessee	41
Philadelphia	Chicago	44.5
Kansas City	Minnesota	52.5
Miami	N.Y. Jets	46.5
Pittsburgh	Indianapolis	43.5
Oakland	Detroit	49
Seattle	Tampa Bay	54.5
Denver	Cleveland	41.5
LA Chargers	Green Bay	48
Baltimore	New England	44
N.Y. Giants	Dallas	45.5

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	111.0	112.2	111.8	111.7	21	8-0
Buffalo	98.2	99.1	98.5	98.6	17.5	5-2
N. Y. Jets	92.3	93.2	91.9	92.5	20.5	1-6
Miami	86.8	87.0	86.6	86.8	26	0-7
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	102.0	101.6	102.6	102.1	23	5-2
Cleveland	99.8	100.1	100.2	100.0	23.5	2-5
Pittsburgh	98.6	99.1	99.4	99.0	21.5	3-4
Cincinnati	93.6	93.3	93.6	93.5	23.5	0-8
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Houston	103.4	103.6	103.2	103.4	23.5	5-3
Indianapolis	100.1	101.0	100.6	100.6	22	5-2
Jacksonville	99.3	99.8	100.2	99.8	19	4-4
Tennessee	98.0	98.4	98.0	98.1	16	4-4
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	99.9	100.3	99.7	100.0	30.5	5-3
LA Chargers	100.0	99.8	99.1	99.6	22	3-5
Denver	98.9	99.0	98.7	98.9	18	2-6
Oakland	96.8	96.9	97.4	97.0	24.5	3-4
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	104.4	105.0	104.4	104.6	20.5	4-3
Philadelphia	105.1	103.4	103.1	103.8	25.5	4-4
N.Y. Giants	94.2	94.6	95.2	94.7	25	2-6
Washington	91.5	92.4	92.0	92.0	17.5	1-7
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Minnesota	107.1	105.5	105.8	106.2	22	6-2
Green Bay	104.8	104.9	105.3	105.0	26	7-1
Chicago	103.8	100.7	100.8	101.8	19	3-4
Detroit	99.4	98.3	99.0	98.9	24.5	3-3-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	109.1	106.5	107.0	107.5	24.5	7-1
Carolina	100.5	100.7	101.3	100.8	25	4-3
Tampa Bay	96.0	98.2	98.6	97.6	29	2-5
Atlanta	94.7	94.9	94.1	94.5	26.5	1-7
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
San Francisco	106.8	108.1	108.7	107.9	24	7-0
LA Rams	107.2	105.8	106.1	106.4	27	5-3
Seattle	102.6	102.4	102.5	102.5	25.5	7-1
Arizona	94.1	94.1	94.6	94.3	23	3-4-1

 

This Week’s Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1	New England
2	Indianapolis
3	Baltimore
4	Kansas City
5	Houston
6	Jacksonville
NFC Seeding
1	New Orleans
2	San Francisco
3	Green Bay
4	Dallas
5	Minnesota
6	LA Rams

 

Wildcard Round

Jacksonville over Baltimore

Houston over Kansas City

Green Bay over LA Rams

Minnesota over Dallas

Divisional Round

New England over Jacksonville

Indianapolis over Houston

New Orleans over Minnesota

San Francisco over Green Bay

Conference Championship

New England over Indianapolis

New Orleans over San Francisco

Super Bowl 54

New England over New Orleans

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 8: October 24-28, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Margins

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Minnesota	Washington	19.2	16.5	17.7
Detroit	N.Y. Giants	8.5	6.8	7.2
Tennessee	Tampa Bay	4.8	2.7	1.9
Chicago	LA Chargers	8.3	4.6	5.8
Atlanta	Seattle	-4.7	-4.1	-4.8
Jacksonville	N.Y. Jets	9.6	9.0	10.7
Buffalo	Philadelphia	-2.0	1.2	1.1
LA Rams	Cincinnati	13.6	12.3	12.1
New Orleans	Arizona	16.8	13.3	13.1
Houston	Oakland	10.3	10.7	9.7
San Francisco	Carolina	5.0	6.1	5.7
Indianapolis	Denver	4.0	4.7	4.6
New England	Cleveland	14.2	15.1	14.6
Kansas City	Green Bay	-0.7	-0.3	-1.3
Pittsburgh	Miami	15.1	15.2	15.9

 

Totals

Home	Visitor	Total
Minnesota	Washington	41
Detroit	N.Y. Giants	48.5
Tennessee	Tampa Bay	44
Chicago	LA Chargers	41.5
Atlanta	Seattle	52
Jacksonville	N.Y. Jets	39.5
Buffalo	Philadelphia	43
LA Rams	Cincinnati	52
New Orleans	Arizona	48
Houston	Oakland	48
San Francisco	Carolina	47.5
Indianapolis	Denver	41
New England	Cleveland	44.5
Kansas City	Green Bay	56.5
Pittsburgh	Miami	48

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	111.0	112.2	111.8	111.7	21	7-0
Buffalo	99.4	100.6	100.1	100.0	17.5	5-1
N. Y. Jets	92.5	93.5	92.2	92.7	20.5	1-5
Miami	86.8	87.0	86.6	86.8	26.5	0-6
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	101.7	101.3	102.3	101.8	23	5-2
Cleveland	99.8	100.1	100.2	100.0	23.5	2-4
Pittsburgh	98.8	99.3	99.6	99.2	21.5	2-4
Cincinnati	93.6	93.4	93.8	93.6	24	0-7
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Houston	103.9	104.2	103.8	104.0	23.5	4-3
Indianapolis	100.1	101.0	100.6	100.6	22.5	4-2
Jacksonville	99.1	99.5	99.9	99.5	19	3-4
Tennessee	98.1	98.4	98.0	98.2	15.5	3-4
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	100.7	101.2	100.6	100.8	30.5	5-2
LA Chargers	99.5	99.7	98.8	99.3	22	2-5
Denver	99.2	99.3	99.0	99.2	18.5	2-5
Oakland	96.6	96.6	97.1	96.8	24.5	3-3
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	104.1	104.7	104.1	104.3	20.5	4-3
Philadelphia	103.9	101.9	101.5	102.4	25.5	3-4
N.Y. Giants	94.1	94.5	95.0	94.5	24.5	2-5
Washington	91.2	92.2	91.6	91.7	18.5	1-6
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Minnesota	107.4	105.7	106.2	106.5	22.5	5-2
Green Bay	104.5	104.5	104.9	104.6	26	6-1
Chicago	104.8	101.3	101.6	102.6	19.5	3-3
Detroit	99.5	98.4	99.2	99.1	24	2-3-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	108.2	105.2	105.6	106.3	24.5	6-1
Carolina	102.3	102.5	103.3	102.7	24.5	4-2
Tampa Bay	95.9	98.2	98.6	97.6	28.5	2-4
Atlanta	94.8	95.1	94.4	94.7	26.5	1-6
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
LA Rams	107.2	105.7	105.9	106.3	28	4-3
San Francisco	104.3	105.6	106.0	105.3	23	6-0
Seattle	102.5	102.2	102.2	102.3	25.5	6-1
Arizona	94.5	94.9	95.5	95.0	23.5	3-3-1

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Playoff Projections

 

AFC Seeding
1	New England
2	Indianapolis
3	Kansas City
4	Baltimore
5	Buffalo
6	Houston

NFC Seeding
1	Green Bay
2	New Orleans
3	San Francisco
4	Dallas
5	Minnesota
6	LA Rams

Wildcard Round

Kansas City over Houston

Buffalo over Baltimore

LA Rams over San Francisco

Minnesota over Dallas

Divisional Round

New England over Buffalo

Kansas City over Indianapolis

Green Bay over LA Rams

New Orleans over Minnesota

Conference Championship

New England over Kansas City

Green Bay over New Orleans

Super Bowl 54

New England over Green Bay

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 6: October 10-14, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
New England	N. Y. Giants	17.1	17.6	16.1
Tampa Bay	Carolina	-3.1	-0.4	-0.6
Baltimore	Cincinnati	9.9	9.7	10.2
Cleveland	Seattle	-0.5	0.0	0.0
Kansas City	Houston	4.2	4.5	4.2
Jacksonville	New Orleans	-6.0	-2.1	-2.0
Minnesota	Philadelphia	2.1	2.1	2.6
Miami	Washington	-3.1	-4.5	-4.5
LA Rams	San Francisco	7.4	4.0	3.9
Arizona	Atlanta	0.2	0.0	1.2
N. Y. Jets	Dallas	-6.4	-6.2	-7.1
Denver	Tennessee	3.2	3.0	2.9
LA Chargers	Pittsburgh	5.7	5.7	4.4
Green Bay	Detroit	5.9	7.2	6.3

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

Home	Visitor	Total
New England	N. Y. Giants	46
Tampa Bay	Carolina	52
Baltimore	Cincinnati	47.5
Cleveland	Seattle	48
Kansas City	Houston	54
Jacksonville	New Orleans	44
Minnesota	Philadelphia	45
Miami	Washington	46.5
LA Rams	San Francisco	53
Arizona	Atlanta	48
N. Y. Jets	Dallas	42
Denver	Tennessee	36.5
LA Chargers	Pittsburgh	43
Green Bay	Detroit	48

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

 

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	109.0	110.1	109.4	109.5	21.5	5-0
Buffalo	99.5	100.9	100.5	100.3	18	4-1
N. Y. Jets	93.3	94.3	92.9	93.5	21.5	0-4
Miami	86.1	85.9	85.3	85.8	26.5	0-4
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	101.1	100.7	101.7	101.2	23	3-2
Cleveland	99.6	99.9	100.0	99.8	23	2-3
Pittsburgh	97.6	98.0	98.3	97.9	21.5	1-4
Cincinnati	94.3	94.0	94.5	94.3	24.5	0-5
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Houston	103.9	104.1	103.8	104.0	23	3-2
Tennessee	99.3	99.7	99.5	99.5	16.5	2-3
Indianapolis	98.9	99.8	99.2	99.3	22	3-2
Jacksonville	98.1	98.7	99.0	98.6	20	2-3
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	105.1	105.6	105.0	105.2	31	4-1
LA Chargers	100.9	101.2	100.2	100.7	21.5	2-3
Denver	99.6	99.7	99.4	99.6	20	1-4
Oakland	96.8	96.9	97.5	97.1	23.5	3-2
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Philadelphia	106.1	104.1	103.9	104.7	24.5	3-2
Dallas	102.7	103.5	103.0	103.1	20.5	3-2
N.Y. Giants	95.0	95.5	96.3	95.6	24.5	2-3
Washington	91.7	92.9	92.4	92.3	20	0-5
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Minnesota	105.2	103.2	103.4	104.0	20.5	3-2
Green Bay	103.5	103.6	103.8	103.6	25	4-1
Chicago	105.6	102.2	102.6	103.5	19	3-2
Detroit	100.0	98.9	100.0	99.7	23	2-1-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	106.6	103.3	103.5	104.5	24	4-1
Carolina	101.6	101.5	102.2	101.8	24	3-2
Tampa Bay	96.0	98.6	99.1	97.9	28	2-3
Atlanta	96.5	97.0	96.4	96.6	26	1-4
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
LA Rams	107.0	105.1	105.3	105.8	29	3-2
San Francisco	102.6	104.1	104.4	103.7	24	4-0
Seattle	103.1	102.9	103.0	103.0	25	4-1
Arizona	93.7	94.0	94.5	94.1	22	1-3-1

 

Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1	New England
2	Kansas City
3	Houston
4	Baltimore
5	Indianapolis
6	Buffalo

NFC Seeding
1	San Francisco
2	New Orleans
3	Green Bay
4	Philadelphia
5	Seattle
6	Minnesota

Wildcard Round

Buffalo over Houston

Indianapolis over Baltimore

Green Bay over Minnesota

Philadelphia over Seattle

Divisional Round

New England over Buffalo

Kansas City over Indianapolis

Philadelphia over San Francisco

New Orleans over Green Bay

Conference Championship

New England over Kansas City

New Orleans over Philadelphia

Super Bowl 54

New England over New Orleans

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 4: September 26-30, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

 

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Total
Green Bay	Philadelphia	0.7	3.6	4.1	47
Houston	Carolina	5.5	5.9	4.7	45.5
Baltimore	Cleveland	4.6	3.8	5.0	45
N.Y. Giants	Washington	2.4	1.9	2.9	46.5
Miami	LA Chargers	-13.0	-13.4	-12.8	49.5
Indianapolis	Oakland	6.1	6.9	5.8	45
Detroit	Kansas City	-4.2	-6.3	-4.6	52.5
Buffalo	New England	-8.2	-8.0	-8.0	41
Atlanta	Tennessee	3.9	4.7	4.2	44
LA Rams	Tampa Bay	18.3	13.0	12.9	53.5
Arizona	Seattle	-5.1	-4.4	-3.8	48
Chicago	Minnesota	4.4	2.8	3.0	42
Denver	Jacksonville	4.3	3.6	3.0	38
New Orleans	Dallas	5.9	1.0	1.6	45.5
Pittsburgh	Cincinnati	1.5	1.9	1.5	47.5

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

 

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	108.5	109.6	108.9	109.0	22	3-0
Buffalo	97.8	99.1	98.4	98.4	19	3-0
N. Y. Jets	94.4	95.7	94.3	94.8	22.5	0-3
Miami	86.3	86.2	85.7	86.1	27	0-3
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	102.3	101.9	103.1	102.5	22.5	2-1
Cleveland	100.8	101.1	101.1	101.0	22.5	1-2
Cincinnati	97.0	96.8	97.5	97.1	25.5	0-3
Pittsburgh	96.0	96.3	96.5	96.2	22	0-3
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Houston	103.4	103.5	103.1	103.4	22	2-1
Tennessee	99.0	99.2	99.2	99.1	18	1-2
Indianapolis	98.1	99.0	98.4	98.5	22.5	2-1
Jacksonville	97.6	98.3	98.5	98.1	18	1-2
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	106.6	107.4	106.9	107.0	31	3-0
LA Chargers	102.3	102.6	101.6	102.1	22.5	1-2
Denver	98.9	98.9	98.5	98.8	20	0-3
Oakland	95.0	95.1	95.6	95.2	22.5	1-2
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	103.7	104.8	104.4	104.3	20.5	3-0
Philadelphia	104.4	101.8	101.5	102.5	23.5	1-2
Washington	94.7	96.0	95.8	95.5	21.5	0-3
N.Y. Giants	94.6	95.4	96.2	95.4	25	1-2
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Chicago	106.2	102.5	102.8	103.8	20.5	2-1
Minnesota	104.8	102.7	102.8	103.5	21.5	2-1
Green Bay	102.1	102.4	102.6	102.4	23.5	3-0
Detroit	99.4	98.1	99.2	98.9	21.5	2-0-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	107.1	103.3	103.5	104.6	25	2-1
Carolina	100.9	100.6	101.4	101.0	23.5	1-2
Atlanta	100.0	100.9	100.4	100.4	26	1-2
Tampa Bay	93.4	96.5	96.9	95.6	27	1-2
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
LA Rams	108.7	106.5	106.8	107.3	26.5	3-0
Seattle	102.1	101.9	101.8	101.9	25	2-1
San Francisco	99.9	101.4	101.6	101.0	24.5	3-0
Arizona	94.0	94.4	95.0	94.5	23	0-2-1

 

This Week’s Playoff Projections

 

AFC Seeding
1	New England
2	Kansas City
3	Baltimore
4	Indianapolis
5	Buffalo
6	Houston

 

NFC Seeding
1	LA Rams
2	Dallas
3	Green Bay
4	New Orleans
5	Minnesota
6	San Francisco

 

Wildcard Round

Houston over Baltimore

Indianapolis over Buffalo

Green Bay over San Francisco

New Orleans over Minnesota

Divisional Round

New England over Houston

Kansas City over Indianapolis

LA Rams over New Orleans

Green Bay over Dallas

Conference Championship

New England over Kansas City

LA Rams over Green Bay

Super Bowl 53

New England over LA Rams

 

 

 

PiRate College Football Ratings: September 23, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Thursday	September 26
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Memphis	Navy	18.1	15.0	19.5
Friday	September 27
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Virginia Tech	Duke	1.3	1.8	1.6
Maryland	Penn St.	-4.3	-3.8	-4.7
Air Force	San Jose St.	15.5	14.7	17.1
Saturday	September 28
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
California	Arizona St.	3.6	4.3	4.2
Wisconsin	Northwestern	15.0	15.7	16.3
Boston College	Wake Forest	-0.5	-0.1	-0.5
Central Florda	Connecticut	40.6	35.9	43.0
Western Michigan	Central Michigan	21.3	19.4	21.0
South Florida	SMU	-8.6	-7.4	-9.3
Miami (O)	Buffalo	1.9	-0.6	1.1
Temple	Georgia Tech	6.9	7.7	7.4
Florida St.	North Carolina St.	3.6	4.0	3.2
Baylor	Iowa St.	0.7	0.6	0.3
Toledo	BYU	-6.0	-5.6	-5.3
Massachusetts	Akron	-8.8	-6.7	-9.2
Michigan	Rutgers	28.4	26.4	29.1
Purdue	Minnesota	-0.9	-0.2	0.1
Georgia Southern	Louisiana	0.9	0.0	0.5
Iowa	Middle Tennessee	28.3	27.3	28.4
Wyoming	UNLV	13.1	13.0	13.5
Utah	Washington St.	6.7	5.9	6.6
New Mexico St.	Fresno St.	-20.3	-18.4	-21.1
Nevada	Hawaii	-0.4	-0.2	0.0
Oregon St.	Stanford	-6.5	-4.2	-7.5
Michigan St.	Indiana	13.4	14.6	14.9
North Carolina	Clemson	-29.2	-25.6	-29.3
South Carolina	Kentucky	6.3	6.0	7.4
Alabama	Ole Miss	37.1	34.3	39.1
Vanderbilt	Northern Illinois	10.6	10.5	9.3
TCU	Kansas	12.0	14.2	12.4
Oklahoma St.	Kansas St.	1.1	1.9	0.6
Auburn	Mississippi St.	7.0	9.2	7.0
Oklahoma	Texas Tech	19.7	18.6	20.6
Charlotte	Florida Atlantic	-0.3	1.1	-0.5
Notre Dame	Virginia	16.6	14.2	16.8
Appalachian St.	Coastal Carolina	21.0	17.9	21.1
Marshall	Cincinnati	-9.3	-8.2	-8.2
Old Dominion	East Carolina	0.3	-1.3	1.3
Liberty	New Mexico	9.2	7.3	10.5
Troy	Arkansas St.	7.7	8.1	7.2
Louisiana-Monroe	South Alabama	17.0	14.5	18.1
Southern Miss.	UTEP	31.1	23.6	30.8
Rice	Louisiana Tech	-8.9	-7.3	-9.8
Western Kentucky	UAB	1.7	0.4	2.2
Utah St.	Colorado St.	29.1	24.3	30.4
Nebraska	Ohio St.	-22.5	-19.6	-23.7
North Texas	Houston	0.8	-0.6	-0.8
Texas A&M (n)	Arkansas	23.8	21.2	23.3
Washington	USC	9.5	8.0	10.1
Arizona	UCLA	6.6	7.1	8.0

 

FBS vs. FCS
Home	Visitor		PiRate
Syracuse	Holy Cross		35
Pittsburgh	Delaware		29
Florida	Towson St.		36

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

PiRate Ratings
#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
1	Alabama	136.1	132.5	137.2	135.2
2	Clemson	134.9	131.6	135.8	134.1
3	Ohio St.	132.2	130.7	132.9	131.9
4	Georgia	127.7	126.0	128.3	127.3
5	L S U	126.5	123.9	125.5	125.3
6	Oklahoma	122.6	121.7	122.5	122.3
7	Notre Dame	121.0	119.0	121.2	120.4
8	Florida	121.4	118.5	120.8	120.2
9	Wisconsin	119.6	119.3	119.7	119.5
10	Auburn	119.2	117.4	118.8	118.5
11	Michigan St.	117.7	117.3	118.0	117.7
12	Texas A&M	118.3	116.6	117.0	117.3
13	Oregon	116.2	116.2	117.3	116.6
14	Michigan	117.1	115.0	117.2	116.4
15	Penn St.	116.7	115.6	116.3	116.2
16	Utah	116.5	114.8	116.7	116.0
17	Missouri	116.3	113.9	116.6	115.6
18	Iowa	116.0	114.0	116.1	115.3
19	Washington	113.6	113.1	114.7	113.8
20	Mississippi St.	115.2	111.2	114.8	113.7
21	Washington St.	112.8	112.0	113.1	112.6
22	Iowa St.	112.4	112.7	112.3	112.5
23	Texas	112.4	112.5	112.4	112.4
24	Kansas St.	112.1	111.8	112.1	112.0
25	Central Florida	111.5	110.7	112.6	111.6
26	Oklahoma St.	110.1	110.7	109.7	110.2
27	South Carolina	110.8	109.0	110.4	110.1
28	Baylor	110.1	110.2	109.6	110.0
29	Minnesota	109.7	109.0	108.3	109.0
30	Maryland	109.4	108.8	108.6	108.9
31	California	107.6	107.5	108.9	108.0
32	Miami (Fla.)	107.6	106.8	108.5	107.6
33	U S C	107.1	108.1	107.6	107.6
34	Virginia	107.4	107.8	107.4	107.5
35	Nebraska	106.7	108.0	106.3	107.0
36	Arizona St.	107.0	106.2	107.6	107.0
37	Northwestern	107.6	106.6	106.4	106.9
38	Kentucky	107.5	106.0	106.0	106.5
39	Utah St.	106.3	105.3	107.7	106.4
40	Indiana	107.3	105.6	106.1	106.3
41	Pittsburgh	106.3	105.9	106.2	106.1
42	Syracuse	106.3	105.8	106.3	106.1
43	Boise St.	106.2	105.5	106.5	106.1
44	T C U	104.8	108.1	105.1	106.0
45	Purdue	105.8	105.8	105.3	105.6
46	Texas Tech	105.9	106.1	104.9	105.6
47	Memphis	105.3	105.1	106.4	105.6
48	Duke	105.5	105.0	105.4	105.3
49	Cincinnati	105.4	103.8	105.5	104.9
50	Appalachian St.	105.3	103.7	104.8	104.6
51	Stanford	105.0	104.0	104.8	104.6
52	Tennessee	105.0	104.8	103.2	104.3
53	Wake Forest	104.3	103.8	104.9	104.3
54	West Virginia	104.6	104.2	104.2	104.3
55	Virginia Tech	103.7	103.9	104.0	103.9
56	SMU	102.9	102.7	103.9	103.2
57	North Carolina	102.7	103.0	103.6	103.1
58	Arizona	102.5	102.7	102.8	102.7
59	Florida St.	102.6	102.8	102.4	102.6
60	North Carolina St.	102.0	101.8	102.3	102.0
61	Vanderbilt	102.6	101.3	101.3	101.7
62	Ole Miss	102.0	101.1	101.1	101.4
63	Army	101.2	101.3	100.8	101.1
64	Boston College	100.8	100.7	101.4	101.0
65	BYU	100.9	100.9	101.0	100.9
66	Tulane	100.2	100.7	100.8	100.6
67	Temple	100.4	99.4	101.4	100.4
68	Fresno St.	99.7	100.3	100.4	100.1
69	Western Michigan	100.4	99.2	100.4	100.0
70	Colorado	99.5	99.4	99.6	99.5
71	Louisiana	98.7	98.9	98.5	98.7
72	Air Force	97.8	99.0	98.7	98.5
73	San Diego St.	97.9	99.6	97.8	98.4
74	U C L A	98.9	98.5	97.8	98.4
75	Houston	96.1	97.2	98.7	97.3
76	Illinois	96.7	97.6	95.7	96.7
77	Georgia Southern	96.6	95.9	96.0	96.2
78	Kansas	95.9	96.9	95.7	96.2
79	Wyoming	95.2	97.2	95.6	96.0
80	Hawaii	95.7	97.3	94.9	96.0
81	Troy	95.8	96.1	94.9	95.6
82	Arkansas	95.5	96.4	94.7	95.6
83	Georgia Tech	96.0	94.1	96.5	95.5
84	Oregon St.	95.5	96.8	94.3	95.5
85	Louisville	95.9	95.6	95.1	95.5
86	North Texas	94.9	94.5	95.9	95.1
87	Southern Miss.	95.2	93.0	95.5	94.6
88	Marshall	93.6	93.1	94.8	93.8
89	Northern Illinois	93.9	92.8	94.0	93.6
90	Ohio	93.5	92.6	94.4	93.5
91	Tulsa	92.6	93.3	93.5	93.1
92	Toledo	91.9	92.3	92.7	92.3
93	South Florida	91.3	92.3	91.6	91.7
94	Louisiana Tech	91.5	91.3	91.7	91.5
95	Rutgers	91.7	91.6	91.1	91.5
96	Nevada	90.8	92.6	90.4	91.3
97	Navy	90.1	93.1	89.9	91.1
98	Arkansas St.	91.0	91.1	90.7	90.9
99	Florida Atlantic	90.5	89.8	91.2	90.5
100	Middle Tennessee	90.6	89.7	90.7	90.3
101	Eastern Michigan	89.5	89.9	90.2	89.9
102	Buffalo	89.0	89.6	89.9	89.5
103	Liberty	88.7	89.9	89.1	89.2
104	Florida Int’l.	89.1	88.7	89.2	89.0
105	U A B	87.8	89.7	88.5	88.7
106	Kent St.	88.1	88.1	88.6	88.3
107	Charlotte	87.7	88.4	88.2	88.1
108	Louisiana-Monroe	87.6	88.3	87.6	87.8
109	Miami (Ohio)	87.9	86.0	88.0	87.3
110	Western Kentucky	86.5	87.2	87.8	87.1
111	Ball St.	87.0	86.5	86.7	86.7
112	Coastal Carolina	86.4	87.8	85.7	86.6
113	Georgia St.	85.8	87.1	84.9	85.9
114	U N L V	85.1	87.2	85.1	85.8
115	San Jose St.	85.3	87.3	84.6	85.7
116	Texas St.	83.0	83.9	82.8	83.2
117	New Mexico	82.0	85.1	81.0	82.7
118	East Carolina	82.0	84.1	81.5	82.5
119	Colorado St.	80.1	84.0	80.3	81.5
120	Central Michigan	81.1	81.9	81.4	81.4
121	Rice	80.0	81.5	79.3	80.3
122	Old Dominion	79.8	80.3	80.2	80.1
123	New Mexico St.	77.0	79.4	76.8	77.7
124	Akron	76.1	76.3	75.5	75.9
125	Texas-San Antonio	74.3	76.5	73.9	74.9
126	Connecticut	73.9	77.8	72.6	74.8
127	South Alabama	73.1	76.2	72.0	73.8
128	Bowling Green	72.1	71.8	71.9	72.0
129	U T E P	67.1	72.5	67.7	69.1
130	Massachusetts	65.3	67.6	64.3	65.7

 

 

American Athletic Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	AAC	Overall
Central Florida	111.5	110.7	112.6	111.6	0-0	3-1
Cincinnati	105.4	103.8	105.5	104.9	0-0	2-1
Temple	100.4	99.4	101.4	100.4	0-0	2-1
South Florida	91.3	92.3	91.6	91.7	0-0	1-2
East Carolina	82.0	84.1	81.5	82.5	0-1	2-2
Connecticut	73.9	77.8	72.6	74.8	0-0	1-2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	AAC	Overall
Memphis	105.3	105.1	106.4	105.6	0-0	3-0
SMU	102.9	102.7	103.9	103.2	0-0	4-0
Tulane	100.2	100.7	100.8	100.6	1-0	3-1
Houston	96.1	97.2	98.7	97.3	0-1	1-3
Tulsa	92.6	93.3	93.5	93.1	0-0	2-2
Navy	90.1	93.1	89.9	91.1	1-0	2-0
AAC Averages	96.0	96.7	96.5	96.4
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	ACC	Overall
Clemson	134.9	131.6	135.8	134.1	2-0	4-0
Syracuse	106.3	105.8	106.3	106.1	0-1	2-2
Wake Forest	104.3	103.8	104.9	104.3	0-0	4-0
Florida St.	102.6	102.8	102.4	102.6	1-1	2-2
North Carolina St.	102.0	101.8	102.3	102.0	0-0	3-1
Boston College	100.8	100.7	101.4	101.0	1-0	3-1
Louisville	95.9	95.6	95.1	95.5	0-1	2-2
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	ACC	Overall
Miami (Fla.)	107.6	106.8	108.5	107.6	0-1	2-2
Virginia	107.4	107.8	107.4	107.5	2-0	4-0
Pittsburgh	106.3	105.9	106.2	106.1	0-1	2-2
Duke	105.5	105.0	105.4	105.3	0-0	2-1
Virginia Tech	103.7	103.9	104.0	103.9	0-1	2-1
North Carolina	102.7	103.0	103.6	103.1	1-0	2-2
Georgia Tech	96.0	94.1	96.5	95.5	0-1	1-2
ACC Averages	105.4	104.9	105.7	105.3
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	B12	Overall
Oklahoma	122.6	121.7	122.5	122.3	0-0	3-0
Iowa St.	112.4	112.7	112.3	112.5	0-0	2-1
Texas	112.4	112.5	112.4	112.4	1-0	3-1
Kansas St.	112.1	111.8	112.1	112.0	0-0	3-0
Oklahoma St.	110.1	110.7	109.7	110.2	0-1	3-1
Baylor	110.1	110.2	109.6	110.0	0-0	3-0
T C U	104.8	108.1	105.1	106.0	0-0	2-1
Texas Tech	105.9	106.1	104.9	105.6	0-0	2-1
West Virginia	104.6	104.2	104.2	104.3	1-0	3-1
Kansas	95.9	96.9	95.7	96.2	0-1	2-2
Big 12 Averages	109.1	109.5	108.8	109.1
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Ohio St.	132.2	130.7	132.9	131.9	1-0	4-0
Michigan St.	117.7	117.3	118.0	117.7	1-0	3-1
Michigan	117.1	115.0	117.2	116.4	0-1	2-1
Penn St.	116.7	115.6	116.3	116.2	0-0	3-0
Maryland	109.4	108.8	108.6	108.9	0-0	2-1
Indiana	107.3	105.6	106.1	106.3	0-1	3-1
Rutgers	91.7	91.6	91.1	91.5	0-1	1-2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Wisconsin	119.6	119.3	119.7	119.5	1-0	3-0
Iowa	116.0	114.0	116.1	115.3	1-0	3-0
Minnesota	109.7	109.0	108.3	109.0	0-0	3-0
Nebraska	106.7	108.0	106.3	107.0	1-0	3-1
Northwestern	107.6	106.6	106.4	106.9	0-1	1-2
Purdue	105.8	105.8	105.3	105.6	0-0	1-2
Illinois	96.7	97.6	95.7	96.7	0-1	2-2
Big Ten Averages	111.0	110.4	110.6	110.6
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	CUSA	Overall
Marshall	93.6	93.1	94.8	93.8	0-0	2-1
Florida Atlantic	90.5	89.8	91.2	90.5	0-0	2-2
Middle Tennessee	90.6	89.7	90.7	90.3	0-0	1-2
Florida Int’l.	89.1	88.7	89.2	89.0	0-2	1-3
Charlotte	87.7	88.4	88.2	88.1	0-0	2-2
Western Kentucky	86.5	87.2	87.8	87.1	1-0	1-2
Old Dominion	79.8	80.3	80.2	80.1	0-0	1-2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	CUSA	Overall
North Texas	94.9	94.5	95.9	95.1	1-0	2-2
Southern Miss.	95.2	93.0	95.5	94.6	0-0	2-2
Louisiana Tech	91.5	91.3	91.7	91.5	1-0	3-1
U A B	87.8	89.7	88.5	88.7	0-0	3-0
Rice	80.0	81.5	79.3	80.3	0-0	0-4
Texas-San Antonio	74.3	76.5	73.9	74.9	0-1	1-3
U T E P	67.1	72.5	67.7	69.1	0-0	1-2
CUSA Averages	86.3	86.9	86.8	86.7
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	Conf.	Overall
Notre Dame	121.0	119.0	121.2	120.4	x	2-1
Army	101.2	101.3	100.8	101.1	x	3-1
BYU	100.9	100.9	101.0	100.9	x	2-2
Liberty	88.7	89.9	89.1	89.2	x	2-2
New Mexico St.	77.0	79.4	76.8	77.7	x	0-4
Massachusetts	65.3	67.6	64.3	65.7	x	0-4
Indep. Averages	92.3	93.0	92.2	92.5
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MAC	Overall
Ohio	93.5	92.6	94.4	93.5	0-0	1-3
Buffalo	89.0	89.6	89.9	89.5	0-0	2-2
Kent St.	88.1	88.1	88.6	88.3	1-0	2-2
Miami (Ohio)	87.9	86.0	88.0	87.3	0-0	1-3
Akron	76.1	76.3	75.5	75.9	0-1	0-4
Bowling Green	72.1	71.8	71.9	72.0	0-1	1-3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MAC	Overall
Western Michigan	100.4	99.2	100.4	100.0	0-0	2-2
Northern Illinois	93.9	92.8	94.0	93.6	0-0	1-2
Toledo	91.9	92.3	92.7	92.3	0-0	2-1
Eastern Michigan	89.5	89.9	90.2	89.9	0-0	3-1
Ball St.	87.0	86.5	86.7	86.7	0-0	1-3
Central Michigan	81.1	81.9	81.4	81.4	1-0	2-2
MAC Averages	87.5	87.3	87.8	87.5
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MWC	Overall
Utah St.	106.3	105.3	107.7	106.4	1-0	2-1
Boise St.	106.2	105.5	106.5	106.1	1-0	4-0
Air Force	97.8	99.0	98.7	98.5	0-1	2-1
Wyoming	95.2	97.2	95.6	96.0	0-0	3-1
New Mexico	82.0	85.1	81.0	82.7	0-0	2-1
Colorado St.	80.1	84.0	80.3	81.5	0-0	1-3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MWC	Overall
Fresno St.	99.7	100.3	100.4	100.1	0-0	1-2
San Diego St.	97.9	99.6	97.8	98.4	0-1	3-1
Hawaii	95.7	97.3	94.9	96.0	0-0	3-1
Nevada	90.8	92.6	90.4	91.3	0-0	3-1
U N L V	85.1	87.2	85.1	85.8	0-0	1-2
San Jose St.	85.3	87.3	84.6	85.7	0-0	2-1
MWC Averages	93.5	95.0	93.6	94.0
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	P12	Overall
Oregon	116.2	116.2	117.3	116.6	1-0	3-1
Washington	113.6	113.1	114.7	113.8	0-1	3-1
Washington St.	112.8	112.0	113.1	112.6	0-1	3-1
California	107.6	107.5	108.9	108.0	1-0	4-0
Stanford	105.0	104.0	104.8	104.6	0-2	1-3
Oregon St.	95.5	96.8	94.3	95.5	0-0	1-2
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	P12	Overall
Utah	116.5	114.8	116.7	116.0	0-1	3-1
U S C	107.1	108.1	107.6	107.6	2-0	3-1
Arizona St.	107.0	106.2	107.6	107.0	0-1	3-1
Arizona	102.5	102.7	102.8	102.7	0-0	2-1
Colorado	99.5	99.4	99.6	99.5	1-0	3-1
U C L A	98.9	98.5	97.8	98.4	1-0	1-3
Pac-12 Averages	106.8	106.6	107.1	106.9
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SEC	Overall
Georgia	127.7	126.0	128.3	127.3	1-0	4-0
Florida	121.4	118.5	120.8	120.2	2-0	4-0
Missouri	116.3	113.9	116.6	115.6	1-0	3-1
South Carolina	110.8	109.0	110.4	110.1	0-2	1-3
Kentucky	107.5	106.0	106.0	106.5	0-2	2-2
Tennessee	105.0	104.8	103.2	104.3	0-1	1-3
Vanderbilt	102.6	101.3	101.3	101.7	0-2	0-3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SEC	Overall
Alabama	136.1	132.5	137.2	135.2	1-0	4-0
L S U	126.5	123.9	125.5	125.3	1-0	4-0
Auburn	119.2	117.4	118.8	118.5	1-0	4-0
Texas A&M	118.3	116.6	117.0	117.3	0-1	2-2
Mississippi St.	115.2	111.2	114.8	113.7	1-0	3-1
Ole Miss	102.0	101.1	101.1	101.4	1-0	2-2
Arkansas	95.5	96.4	94.7	95.6	0-1	2-2
SEC Averages	114.6	112.7	114.0	113.8
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SBC	Overall
Appalachian St.	105.3	103.7	104.8	104.6	0-0	3-0
Georgia Southern	96.6	95.9	96.0	96.2	0-0	1-2
Troy	95.8	96.1	94.9	95.6	0-0	2-1
Coastal Carolina	86.4	87.8	85.7	86.6	0-0	3-1
Georgia St.	85.8	87.1	84.9	85.9	0-1	2-2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SBC	Overall
Louisiana	98.7	98.9	98.5	98.7	0-0	3-1
Arkansas St.	91.0	91.1	90.7	90.9	0-0	2-2
Louisiana-Monroe	87.6	88.3	87.6	87.8	0-0	1-2
Texas St.	83.0	83.9	82.8	83.2	1-0	1-3
South Alabama	73.1	76.2	72.0	73.8	0-0	1-3
SBC Averages	90.3	90.9	89.8	90.3

 

 

Conference Power Ratings
#	League	Average
1	SEC	113.8
2	BTen	110.6
3	B12	109.1
4	P12	106.9
5	ACC	105.3
6	AAC	96.4
7	MWC	94.0
8	Ind	92.5
9	SUN	90.3
10	MAC	87.5
11	CUSA	86.7

 

 

Top 5 Group of 5
1	Boise St.
2	Memphis
3	SMU
4	UAB
5	Navy

 

Bowl & Playoff Projections

Bowl	Conf	Conf	Team	Team
Bahamas	MAC	CUSA	Eastern Michigan	Marshall
Frisco	AAC	At-large	SMU	[Utah St.]
Cure	AAC	SBC	Navy	Troy
New Mexico	CUSA	MWC	Southern Miss.	Nevada
Boca Raton	AAC	MAC	Memphis	Ohio
Camellia	MAC	SBC	Buffalo	Arkansas St.
Las Vegas	MWC #1	Pac-12	Hawaii	USC
New Orleans	CUSA	SBC #1	Louisiana Tech	Appalachian St.
Gasparilla	AAC	CUSA	Central Florida	UAB
Hawaii	BYU/MWC	AAC	BYU	Houston
Independence	ACC	SEC	Florida St.	[Western Michigan]
Quick Lane	ACC	Big Ten	Duke	Indiana
Military	ACC	AAC	Pittsburgh	Temple
Pinstripe	ACC	Big Ten	Syracuse	Nebraska
Texas	Big 12	SEC	Iowa St.	Kentucky
Holiday	Pac-12	Big Ten	California	Michigan
Cheez-It	Big 12	Pac-12	TCU	Arizona St.
Camping World	ACC	Big 12	Virginia	Kansas St.
Cotton	At-large	At-large	Boise St.	Auburn
First Responder	CUSA	Big 12	North Texas	[Fresno St.]
Redbox	Pac-12	Big Ten	Washington St.	Minnesota
Music City	SEC	ACC	[Colorado]	North Carolina St.
Orange	ACC	BTen/SEC	Notre Dame	LSU
Belk	ACC	SEC	Wake Forest	[Army]
Sun	ACC	Pac-12	Virginia Tech	Oregon
Liberty	Big 12	SEC	Baylor	[Boston College]
Arizona	SBC	MWC	Louisiana	San Diego St.
Alamo	Big 12	Pac-12	Oklahoma St.	Utah
Citrus	SEC	BTen/ACC	Iowa	Florida
Outback	Big Ten	SEC	Penn St.	Texas A&M
Rose	Big Ten	Pac-12	Wisconsin	Washington
Sugar	Big 12	SEC	Texas	Georgia
Birmingham	AAC	SEC	Cincinnati	[Miami (Fla.)]
Taxslayer/Gator	SEC	Big Ten	Mississippi St.	Michigan St.
Idaho Potato	MAC	MWC	Miami (O)	Wyoming
Armed Forces	Big Ten	MWC	Purdue	Air Force
Dollar General	MAC	SBC	Toledo	Georgia Southern
FBS PLAYOFFS
Fiesta	Top 4	Top 4	Oklahoma	Ohio St.
Peach	Top 4	Top 4	Alabama	Clemson
Champsionship	Fiesta	Peach	Ohio St.	Alabama
Teams in [Brackets] are at-large selections

 

Key Games This Week

 

 

Memphis vs. Navy: The winner of this game will have a leg up in the AAC West, and with Central Florida losing at Pitt, there is a possibility that the Western Division champion could win the Conference Championship Game and have a shot at the New Year’s Six Bowl Bid.  Memphis has never been in a major bowl, although they had a team that should have gotten one in 1963, when the Tigers finished 9-0-1 and tied undefeated Ole Miss.  Navy has been in five major bowls, winning the Sugar Bowl in 1955 and the Orange Bowl in 1958, while losing the Cotton Bowl in 1963, when it was for a shot at the National Championship.

California vs. Arizona St.: Had Arizona State beaten Colorado Saturday, this would have been the top game of the day.  Cal is the last undefeated team in the Pac-12, and even if the Bears were to somehow run the table, they have little chance of making the Playoffs.  Still, this is a key game for the West Coast, as the more Cal continues to win, the better off for the Conference of Champions.

Western Michigan vs. Central Michigan: The winner of this game definitely has a path to bowl eligibility.  If CMU wins this game, Jim McElwain will start getting some notice as a potential Power 5 School head coach, because the Chippewas were picked to finish in last place in the MAC West.

Miami (Ohio) vs. Buffalo: The Bulls didn’t just upset Temple Saturday; they pummeled the Owls into submission.  Miami should have done what Indiana did under Lee Corso many years ago–The Wacky Hoosiers’ coach called time out in 1976 just to take a team picture under the scoreboard when his team led the Buckeyes 7-6.  Miami led Ohio State 5-0 in the first quarter.  Corso’s Hoosiers lost their game 47-7.  Miami lost 76-5.  Still, the Redhawks have a shot at bowl eligibility, but they may have to uspet Buffalo to get there.  This is a perfect sandwich game for Buffalo, as they have Ohio U next week.

Florida St. vs. North Carolina St: Two weeks ago, Willie Taggart was sledding on thin ice at Florida State.  After a win over Louisville, the Seminoles are 2-2, and a win over NC State just might lead the Seminoles on a path to bowl eligibility.  Taggart has always had slow turnarounds.  He did so at Western Kentucky and at South Florida.  He was only at Oregon for a season, and this is just year two in Tallahassee.  If the fans and boosters give him a little more time, he will turn the FSU program back into a top tier program.  Dave Doeren has done a credible job in Raleigh with the Wolfpack, but this is looking like a slight down year for NC St.  The winner of this game will get to bowl eligibility.

Baylor vs. Iowa St.: The winner of this game remains a contender for one of the two Big 12 Championship Game spots.  Baylor has yet to play up to its potential to this point of the season.  They have the talent to win double-digit games this year, but they could lose the next two if they don’t bring their “A-game” to this week’s and next week’s games.  Iowa St. took their frustrations out on a Louisiana-Monroe team that isn’t as bad as the 72-20 loss indicates.  This game should be one of the most entertaining games of the weekend.  

Purdue vs. Minnesota: The winner of this game stays in contention for a bowl game.  If Minnesota wins on the road, then the Gophers will have a chance to start the season 8-0 before Penn State comes to Minneapolis.  Purdue must win this game, or the Boilermakers will not have a path to 6-6.

Georgia Southern vs. Louisiana: Why do we call this a key game?  These two teams are stronger than you realize.  The Ragin’ Cajuns just trounced Ohio in Athens, while Georgia Southern is hiding in ambush at 1-2 with losses to undefeated Minnesota and unbelievable LSU.  The Eagles had an extra week to prepare for this game, while UL may be looking forward to their game with Appy State the following week.  The winner of this game will most definitely play a 13th game and maybe even a 14th game.

Utah vs. Washington St.: The loser of this game will have a two-game losing streak, after the two teams lost to the Los Angeles teams.  Utah’s loss at USC was surprising but not shocking.  If you didn’t stay up and watch the Washington State-UCLA game, you might not believe that Washington State scored 63 points.  Quarterback Anthony Gordon threw for 570 yards and nine touchdowns. However, it wasn’t good enough.  UCLA scored 67 points and came from 25 points down to pull off one of the most incredible upsets of the season.  The Bruins had scored 14 points in each of their first three games.  The winner of this game stays in contention for their division title, while the loser is looking at a December bowl.

Nevada vs. Hawaii: This game is for first place in the MAC West.  Hawaii usually plays much better at home than on the road, and playing in Reno gives Nevada a larger than normal home field advantage.  Nevada still has road games with Utah State, Wyoming, San Diego State, and Fresno State.  This is a must win game for the Wolf Pack if they are to make it to the MAC Championship Game.  A Rainbow Warrior win in this game, and it could be lights out for the rest of the division.

Oklahoma St. vs. Kansas St.: Chris Klieman came to the Little Apple having won back to back FCS National Championships at North Dakota State.  He has a personal winning streak of 24 games.  Kansas State had the week off after winning at Mississippi State, and now they entertain the Cowboys, who are coming off a tough loss at Texas.  If KSU wins this game in Stillwater, they then play three consecutive home games against three top contenders.  If Okie St. wins, then they stay in contention for the Big 12 Championship Game.

Auburn vs. Mississippi St.: It’s hard to think about a division game with a potential New Years’s Day Bowl participant as a potential sandwich game, but Auburn faces the Bulldogs between road games against Texas A&M and Florida.  This is the perfect chance for Mississippi State to pull off a big upset.  Auburn may not have enough offensive firepower to exploit State’s vulnerabilities on defense.  Of course, the Tiger defensive line is strong enough to hold the Bullies to less than 17 points, and Auburn will score 20 or more in this game.

Nebraska vs. Ohio St.: The last time the Buckeyes came to Lincoln, Nebraska suffered one of its most devastating home losses ever, losing 56-14.  Last year in Columbus, Nebraska came very close to pulling off the big upset.  Can the Cornhuskers have a shot in this game?  Last year’s Ohio State team was struggling a little bit when Nebraska played at the Horseshoe.  The Ohio State offense should make this game look more like the 2017 game in Lincoln.

Washington vs. USC: If the Trojans can leave Seattle with a win this weekend, Clay Helton might be able to begin to think about renewing his satellite TV subscription at his SoCal home for 2020.  A loss might put UW two games behind Cal, which would almost eliminate the Huskies from the North Division title race.  So, this is a must-win game for UW.

Note: Some of you (several somes of you) have contacted us through our other site wanting to know more information about the “Sharps” that are friends of the PiRate Ratings.  In Friday’s post here, we gave out a 5-game money line parlay with +250 odds that we inferred based on information given to us by one of our friends in Nevada.

So, the parlay won in theory.  If you did not heed our warning and actually played this one, you too won big on Saturday.

Unfortunately, this will not be a recurring thing here.  We cannot reveal the information we receive from Vegas, because the Sharps playing these parlays also have a service where they charge for their advice.  The specific Sharp that gave us this pick has asked not to be identified, and we are fine with that.  After all, we do not condone actual betting of money on sporting events.  Whether this parlay won or not, we were guaranteed not to win or lose, since we did not play it.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate College Football Ratings: September 16, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Thursday	September 19
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Tulane	Houston	7.1	6.3	4.7

 

Friday	September 20
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
La. Tech	Florida Int’l.	3.9	3.8	3.6
USC	Utah	-6.3	-3.8	-6.1
Boise St.	Air Force	10.8	9.0	10.4

 

Saturday	September 21
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Florida	Tennessee	16.0	13.6	16.9
Indiana	Connecticut	35.9	29.9	35.8
Rutgers	Boston College	-5.2	-5.0	-6.0
Syracuse	Western Mich.	6.2	6.6	5.8
Alabama	Southern Miss.	43.5	42.0	44.3
Iowa St.	UL-Monroe	22.3	21.8	21.9
Northwestern	Michigan St.	-3.7	-4.1	-5.0
Ole Miss	California	-2.4	-3.0	-4.6
Vanderbilt	LSU	-21.1	-19.5	-21.0
Wisconsin	Michigan	0.5	2.3	0.1
Massachusetts	Coastal Car.	-13.5	-12.2	-13.4
Ohio	Louisiana	3.7	2.4	5.6
Akron	Troy	-14.3	-14.3	-13.6
Buffalo	Temple	-15.1	-13.4	-15.5
Florida St.	Louisville	9.4	10.1	9.9
North Carolina	Appy St.	-0.4	2.1	1.6
Ohio St.	Miami (O)	40.6	40.8	40.9
Pittsburgh	Central Fla.	-3.1	-2.6	-4.9
TCU	SMU	4.3	8.2	3.9
Texas A&M	Auburn	5.0	5.3	4.6
Tulsa	Wyoming	0.0	-1.8	0.1
UAB	S. Alabama	12.0	10.4	13.6
BYU	Washington	-8.3	-7.7	-9.2
Kent St.	Bowling Green	11.4	11.5	11.7
Miami (Fla.)	Central Mich.	35.7	33.8	36.6
Mississippi St.	Kentucky	10.0	6.9	10.7
Missouri	South Carolina	5.7	4.7	6.0
Kansas	West Virginia	-5.7	-4.3	-5.5
New Mexico	New Mexico St.	6.4	7.5	6.1
N. Carolina St.	Ball St.	18.8	19.3	19.7
Virginia	Old Dominion	32.6	32.7	32.5
Rice	Baylor	-31.7	-30.5	-32.3
Stanford	Oregon	-8.2	-9.2	-9.5
Texas St.	Georgia St.	-0.5	-0.9	0.4
Clemson	Charlotte	48.5	44.4	48.8
Arkansas	San Jose St.	18.6	17.4	18.9
North Texas	UTSA	18.1	15.0	19.3
Texas	Oklahoma St.	5.1	4.5	5.3
Georgia	Notre Dame	9.3	9.6	9.7
Illinois	Nebraska	-6.4	-6.9	-7.0
UTEP	Nevada	-21.9	-18.1	-21.3
Arizona St.	Colorado	10.6	9.8	11.1
Colorado St.	Toledo	-9.1	-5.3	-10.4
San Diego St.	Utah St.	-5.4	-2.2	-6.9
Washington St.	UCLA	16.8	16.4	18.3

 

FBS vs. FCS
Home	Visitor		PiRate
Army	Morgan St.		41
Wake Forest	Elon		30
Eastern Michigan	Central Conn.		31
Florida Atlantic	Wagner		35
Liberty	Hampton		29
East Carolina	William & Mary		16
Arkansas St.	Southern Illinois		22
Fresno St.	Sacramento St.		30
Hawaii	Central Arkansas		20

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

PiRate Ratings
#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
1	Alabama	135.9	132.3	137.0	135.0
2	Clemson	134.5	131.2	135.4	133.7
3	Ohio St.	128.7	127.1	129.2	128.3
4	Georgia	127.5	125.8	128.1	127.1
5	L S U	126.0	123.3	124.8	124.7
6	Oklahoma	122.3	121.4	122.2	122.0
7	Notre Dame	121.2	119.2	121.4	120.6
8	Michigan	119.6	117.5	119.9	119.0
9	Florida	119.9	117.1	119.1	118.7
10	Texas A&M	119.4	117.8	118.3	118.5
11	Wisconsin	117.1	116.8	117.0	117.0
12	Oregon	116.2	116.2	117.3	116.6
13	Auburn	117.4	115.5	116.8	116.6
14	Utah	116.5	114.8	116.7	116.0
15	Michigan St.	116.1	115.6	116.3	116.0
16	Penn St.	116.4	115.3	116.0	115.9
17	Iowa	115.7	113.7	115.8	115.0
18	Missouri	114.9	112.3	115.0	114.1
19	Washington	113.6	113.1	114.7	113.8
20	Mississippi St.	115.0	110.7	114.4	113.4
21	Washington St.	112.8	112.0	113.1	112.6
22	Central Florida	112.1	111.3	113.5	112.3
23	Texas	112.3	112.3	112.2	112.3
24	Baylor	111.9	112.1	111.6	111.9
25	Kansas St.	111.8	111.5	111.8	111.7
26	South Carolina	112.2	110.6	112.0	111.6
27	Miami (Fla.)	110.4	109.5	111.5	110.5
28	Oklahoma St.	110.2	110.9	109.9	110.3
29	Iowa St.	110.2	110.4	109.9	110.2
30	Northwestern	109.9	109.0	108.8	109.2
31	Virginia	108.9	109.4	109.1	109.1
32	Minnesota	109.4	108.7	108.0	108.7
33	Maryland	109.1	108.5	108.3	108.6
34	California	107.6	107.5	108.9	108.0
35	U S C	107.1	108.1	107.6	107.6
36	Kentucky	108.0	106.8	106.7	107.2
37	Nebraska	106.7	108.0	106.3	107.0
38	Arizona St.	107.0	106.2	107.6	107.0
39	T C U	105.2	108.8	105.7	106.6
40	Utah St.	106.3	105.1	107.7	106.3
41	Indiana	107.3	105.4	106.0	106.2
42	Tennessee	106.8	106.5	105.2	106.2
43	Boise St.	106.1	105.4	106.4	106.0
44	Pittsburgh	106.0	105.6	105.6	105.7
45	Purdue	105.5	105.5	105.0	105.3
46	Texas Tech	105.6	105.8	104.6	105.3
47	Memphis	105.0	104.8	106.1	105.3
48	Duke	105.2	104.7	105.1	105.0
49	Syracuse	105.2	104.6	105.0	104.9
50	Cincinnati	105.1	103.5	105.2	104.6
51	Stanford	105.0	104.0	104.8	104.6
52	West Virginia	104.6	104.2	104.2	104.3
53	Appalachian St.	105.2	103.3	104.4	104.3
54	Wake Forest	103.9	103.4	104.5	103.9
55	Virginia Tech	103.4	103.6	103.7	103.6
56	North Carolina	102.8	103.4	104.0	103.4
57	Temple	103.3	102.3	104.5	103.4
58	Arizona	102.5	102.7	102.8	102.7
59	Vanderbilt	103.4	102.2	102.3	102.6
60	North Carolina St.	102.4	102.3	102.9	102.5
61	Florida St.	102.4	102.7	102.2	102.5
62	BYU	102.3	102.4	102.5	102.4
63	SMU	102.0	101.5	102.8	102.1
64	Western Michigan	102.0	100.9	102.2	101.7
65	Ole Miss	102.3	101.5	101.3	101.7
66	Army	101.5	101.6	101.1	101.4
67	Boston College	100.5	100.3	100.9	100.6
68	Tulane	100.2	100.6	100.6	100.5
69	Fresno St.	100.0	100.6	100.7	100.4
70	Colorado	99.5	99.4	99.6	99.5
71	Air Force	98.2	99.4	99.1	98.9
72	San Diego St.	97.9	99.8	97.8	98.5
73	Arkansas	98.3	99.2	97.7	98.4
74	U C L A	98.9	98.5	97.8	98.4
75	Houston	96.1	97.3	98.9	97.4
76	Illinois	97.2	98.1	96.2	97.2
77	Ohio	96.6	95.6	97.9	96.7
78	Wyoming	95.4	97.6	96.0	96.3
79	Kansas	95.9	96.9	95.7	96.2
80	Georgia Southern	96.4	95.7	95.8	96.0
81	Hawaii	95.7	97.3	94.9	96.0
82	Louisiana	95.9	96.2	95.3	95.8
83	Louisville	96.1	95.7	95.3	95.7
84	Oregon St.	95.5	96.8	94.3	95.5
85	Georgia Tech	95.7	93.8	96.2	95.2
86	Southern Miss.	95.4	93.2	95.7	94.8
87	Troy	94.5	94.7	93.4	94.2
88	Marshall	93.4	92.9	94.6	93.6
89	Northern Illinois	93.7	92.6	93.8	93.4
90	North Texas	92.8	92.1	93.7	92.9
91	Tulsa	92.4	92.9	93.1	92.8
92	Toledo	92.1	92.3	93.2	92.5
93	Rutgers	92.3	92.3	91.9	92.2
94	Nevada	91.3	93.0	91.1	91.8
95	South Florida	91.0	92.0	91.3	91.4
96	Arkansas St.	91.3	91.4	91.0	91.2
97	Louisiana-Monroe	90.8	91.6	91.0	91.1
98	Eastern Michigan	90.7	91.1	91.4	91.1
99	Louisiana Tech	91.0	90.7	91.0	90.9
100	Navy	89.8	92.8	89.6	90.8
101	Florida Atlantic	90.4	89.7	91.1	90.4
102	Middle Tennessee	90.4	89.5	90.5	90.1
103	Florida Int’l.	89.6	89.3	89.9	89.6
104	Miami (Ohio)	90.1	88.3	90.4	89.6
105	Liberty	88.5	89.7	88.9	89.0
106	Charlotte	88.1	88.8	88.6	88.5
107	Western Kentucky	86.3	87.0	87.6	86.9
108	U A B	85.7	87.4	86.3	86.5
109	Ball St.	86.6	86.0	86.1	86.2
110	Buffalo	85.8	86.4	86.5	86.2
111	Georgia St.	85.9	87.2	84.9	86.0
112	U N L V	84.9	87.0	84.9	85.6
113	Kent St.	85.3	85.2	85.6	85.4
114	Coastal Carolina	84.1	85.3	83.2	84.2
115	Texas St.	82.9	83.8	82.8	83.2
116	San Jose St.	82.8	84.8	81.9	83.2
117	New Mexico	82.2	85.5	81.4	83.1
118	East Carolina	82.2	84.3	81.7	82.7
119	Colorado St.	79.9	84.0	79.8	81.2
120	Rice	78.7	80.1	77.8	78.9
121	Central Michigan	77.8	78.7	77.9	78.1
122	Old Dominion	77.8	78.2	78.0	78.0
123	Akron	77.7	78.0	77.3	77.6
124	Texas-San Antonio	76.7	79.2	76.4	77.4
125	New Mexico St.	76.8	79.0	76.4	77.4
126	South Alabama	75.2	78.5	74.2	76.0
127	Bowling Green	75.9	75.7	75.9	75.9
128	Connecticut	74.4	78.5	73.2	75.4
129	U T E P	66.9	72.4	67.3	68.8
130	Massachusetts	68.1	70.6	67.3	68.7

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference

 

American Athletic Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	AAC	Overall
Central Florida	112.1	111.3	113.5	112.3	0-0	3-0
Cincinnati	105.1	103.5	105.2	104.6	0-0	2-1
Temple	103.3	102.3	104.5	103.4	0-0	2-0
South Florida	91.0	92.0	91.3	91.4	0-0	1-2
East Carolina	82.2	84.3	81.7	82.7	0-1	1-2
Connecticut	74.4	78.5	73.2	75.4	0-0	1-1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	AAC	Overall
Memphis	105.0	104.8	106.1	105.3	0-0	3-0
SMU	102.0	101.5	102.8	102.1	0-0	3-0
Tulane	100.2	100.6	100.6	100.5	0-0	2-1
Houston	96.1	97.3	98.9	97.4	0-0	1-2
Tulsa	92.4	92.9	93.1	92.8	0-0	1-2
Navy	89.8	92.8	89.6	90.8	1-0	2-0
AAC Averages	96.1	96.8	96.7	96.6
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	ACC	Overall
Clemson	134.5	131.2	135.4	133.7	2-0	3-0
Syracuse	105.2	104.6	105.0	104.9	0-1	1-2
Wake Forest	103.9	103.4	104.5	103.9	0-0	3-0
North Carolina St.	102.4	102.3	102.9	102.5	0-0	2-1
Florida St.	102.4	102.7	102.2	102.5	0-1	1-2
Boston College	100.5	100.3	100.9	100.6	1-0	2-1
Louisville	96.1	95.7	95.3	95.7	0-0	2-1
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	ACC	Overall
Miami (Fla.)	110.4	109.5	111.5	110.5	0-1	1-2
Virginia	108.9	109.4	109.1	109.1	2-0	3-0
Pittsburgh	106.0	105.6	105.6	105.7	0-1	1-2
Duke	105.2	104.7	105.1	105.0	0-0	2-1
Virginia Tech	103.4	103.6	103.7	103.6	0-1	2-1
North Carolina	102.8	103.4	104.0	103.4	1-0	2-1
Georgia Tech	95.7	93.8	96.2	95.2	0-1	1-2
ACC Averages	105.5	105.0	105.8	105.5
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	B12	Overall
Oklahoma	122.3	121.4	122.2	122.0	0-0	3-0
Texas	112.3	112.3	112.2	112.3	0-0	2-1
Baylor	111.9	112.1	111.6	111.9	0-0	2-0
Kansas St.	111.8	111.5	111.8	111.7	0-0	3-0
Oklahoma St.	110.2	110.9	109.9	110.3	0-0	3-0
Iowa St.	110.2	110.4	109.9	110.2	0-0	1-1
T C U	105.2	108.8	105.7	106.6	0-0	2-0
Texas Tech	105.6	105.8	104.6	105.3	0-0	2-1
West Virginia	104.6	104.2	104.2	104.3	0-0	2-1
Kansas	95.9	96.9	95.7	96.2	0-0	2-1
Big 12 Averages	109.0	109.4	108.8	109.1
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Ohio St.	128.7	127.1	129.2	128.3	1-0	3-0
Michigan	119.6	117.5	119.9	119.0	0-0	2-0
Michigan St.	116.1	115.6	116.3	116.0	0-0	2-1
Penn St.	116.4	115.3	116.0	115.9	0-0	3-0
Maryland	109.1	108.5	108.3	108.6	0-0	2-1
Indiana	107.3	105.4	106.0	106.2	0-1	2-1
Rutgers	92.3	92.3	91.9	92.2	0-1	1-1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Wisconsin	117.1	116.8	117.0	117.0	0-0	2-0
Iowa	115.7	113.7	115.8	115.0	1-0	3-0
Northwestern	109.9	109.0	108.8	109.2	0-0	1-1
Minnesota	109.4	108.7	108.0	108.7	0-0	3-0
Nebraska	106.7	108.0	106.3	107.0	0-0	2-1
Purdue	105.5	105.5	105.0	105.3	0-0	1-2
Illinois	97.2	98.1	96.2	97.2	0-0	2-1
Big Ten Averages	110.8	110.1	110.3	110.4
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	CUSA	Overall
Marshall	93.4	92.9	94.6	93.6	0-0	2-1
Florida Atlantic	90.4	89.7	91.1	90.4	0-0	1-2
Middle Tennessee	90.4	89.5	90.5	90.1	0-0	1-2
Florida Int’l.	89.6	89.3	89.9	89.6	0-1	1-2
Charlotte	88.1	88.8	88.6	88.5	0-0	2-1
Western Kentucky	86.3	87.0	87.6	86.9	1-0	1-2
Old Dominion	77.8	78.2	78.0	78.0	0-0	1-1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	CUSA	Overall
Southern Miss.	95.4	93.2	95.7	94.8	0-0	2-1
North Texas	92.8	92.1	93.7	92.9	0-0	1-2
Louisiana Tech	91.0	90.7	91.0	90.9	0-0	2-1
U A B	85.7	87.4	86.3	86.5	0-0	2-0
Rice	78.7	80.1	77.8	78.9	0-0	0-3
Texas-San Antonio	76.7	79.2	76.4	77.4	0-0	1-2
U T E P	66.9	72.4	67.3	68.8	0-0	1-1
CUSA Averages	85.9	86.5	86.3	86.2
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	Conf.	Overall
Notre Dame	121.2	119.2	121.4	120.6	x	2-0
BYU	102.3	102.4	102.5	102.4	x	2-1
Army	101.5	101.6	101.1	101.4	x	2-1
Liberty	88.5	89.7	88.9	89.0	x	1-2
New Mexico St.	76.8	79.0	76.4	77.4	x	0-3
Massachusetts	68.1	70.6	67.3	68.7	x	0-3
Indep. Averages	93.1	93.7	92.9	93.2
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MAC	Overall
Ohio	96.6	95.6	97.9	96.7	0-0	1-2
Miami (Ohio)	90.1	88.3	90.4	89.6	0-0	1-2
Buffalo	85.8	86.4	86.5	86.2	0-0	1-2
Kent St.	85.3	85.2	85.6	85.4	0-0	1-2
Akron	77.7	78.0	77.3	77.6	0-1	0-3
Bowling Green	75.9	75.7	75.9	75.9	0-0	1-2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MAC	Overall
Western Michigan	102.0	100.9	102.2	101.7	0-0	2-1
Northern Illinois	93.7	92.6	93.8	93.4	0-0	1-2
Toledo	92.1	92.3	93.2	92.5	0-0	1-1
Eastern Michigan	90.7	91.1	91.4	91.1	0-0	2-1
Ball St.	86.6	86.0	86.1	86.2	0-0	1-2
Central Michigan	77.8	78.7	77.9	78.1	1-0	2-1
MAC Averages	87.9	87.6	88.2	87.9
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MWC	Overall
Utah St.	106.3	105.1	107.7	106.3	0-0	1-1
Boise St.	106.1	105.4	106.4	106.0	0-0	3-0
Air Force	98.2	99.4	99.1	98.9	0-0	2-0
Wyoming	95.4	97.6	96.0	96.3	0-0	3-0
New Mexico	82.2	85.5	81.4	83.1	0-0	1-1
Colorado St.	79.9	84.0	79.8	81.2	0-0	1-2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MWC	Overall
Fresno St.	100.0	100.6	100.7	100.4	0-0	0-2
San Diego St.	97.9	99.8	97.8	98.5	0-0	3-0
Hawaii	95.7	97.3	94.9	96.0	0-0	2-1
Nevada	91.3	93.0	91.1	91.8	0-0	2-1
U N L V	84.9	87.0	84.9	85.6	0-0	1-2
San Jose St.	82.8	84.8	81.9	83.2	0-0	1-1
MWC Averages	93.4	95.0	93.5	93.9
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	P12	Overall
Oregon	116.2	116.2	117.3	116.6	0-0	2-1
Washington	113.6	113.1	114.7	113.8	0-1	2-1
Washington St.	112.8	112.0	113.1	112.6	0-0	3-0
California	107.6	107.5	108.9	108.0	1-0	3-0
Stanford	105.0	104.0	104.8	104.6	0-1	1-2
Oregon St.	95.5	96.8	94.3	95.5	0-0	1-2
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	P12	Overall
Utah	116.5	114.8	116.7	116.0	0-0	3-0
U S C	107.1	108.1	107.6	107.6	1-0	2-1
Arizona St.	107.0	106.2	107.6	107.0	0-0	3-0
Arizona	102.5	102.7	102.8	102.7	0-0	2-1
Colorado	99.5	99.4	99.6	99.5	0-0	2-1
U C L A	98.9	98.5	97.8	98.4	0-0	0-3
Pac-12 Averages	106.8	106.6	107.1	106.9
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SEC	Overall
Georgia	127.5	125.8	128.1	127.1	1-0	3-0
Florida	119.9	117.1	119.1	118.7	1-0	3-0
Missouri	114.9	112.3	115.0	114.1	0-0	2-1
South Carolina	112.2	110.6	112.0	111.6	0-1	1-2
Kentucky	108.0	106.8	106.7	107.2	0-1	2-1
Tennessee	106.8	106.5	105.2	106.2	0-0	1-2
Vanderbilt	103.4	102.2	102.3	102.6	0-1	0-2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SEC	Overall
Alabama	135.9	132.3	137.0	135.0	1-0	3-0
L S U	126.0	123.3	124.8	124.7	0-0	3-0
Texas A&M	119.4	117.8	118.3	118.5	0-0	2-1
Auburn	117.4	115.5	116.8	116.6	0-0	3-0
Mississippi St.	115.0	110.7	114.4	113.4	0-0	2-1
Ole Miss	102.3	101.5	101.3	101.7	1-0	2-1
Arkansas	98.3	99.2	97.7	98.4	0-1	2-1
SEC Averages	114.8	113.0	114.2	114.0
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SBC	Overall
Appalachian St.	105.2	103.3	104.4	104.3	0-0	2-0
Georgia Southern	96.4	95.7	95.8	96.0	0-0	1-2
Troy	94.5	94.7	93.4	94.2	0-0	1-1
Georgia St.	85.9	87.2	84.9	86.0	0-0	2-1
Coastal Carolina	84.1	85.3	83.2	84.2	0-0	2-1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SBC	Overall
Louisiana	95.9	96.2	95.3	95.8	0-0	2-1
Arkansas St.	91.3	91.4	91.0	91.2	0-0	1-2
Louisiana-Monroe	90.8	91.6	91.0	91.1	0-0	1-1
Texas St.	82.9	83.8	82.8	83.2	0-0	0-3
South Alabama	75.2	78.5	74.2	76.0	0-0	1-2
SBC Averages	90.2	90.8	89.6	90.2

 

Bowl & Playoff Projections

Once again this week, our fearless bowl projections show a lot of at-large teams needed to fill spots.  This week, the number is eight teams.  The Southeastern Conference is looking like an eight-bid league this year, and the league will most likely have 12 spots to fill.  With Alabama, Georgia, and LSU looking like teams that will play in New Year’s Six Bowls or Playoffs, and with Missouri not eligible for a bowl this year, there will probably be just five other bowl eligible teams in the premiere league in FBS Football.  Texas A&M, Florida, Mississippi State, Auburn, and Kentucky should become bowl eligible, but Ole Miss, Arkansas, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Vanderbilt don’t look like they have the strength to reach six wins.

The Big Ten might benefit by an extra bid if Indiana and Northwestern can get to 6-6.  Illinois, Rutgers, and Purdue look like they could supply a little fodder for the other 11 teams to pick up conference wins and allow 11 to become bowl eligible, when only 10 teams will have guaranteed bowl spots.  It figures that if any Big Ten team remains with at-large bowl bids available, the Big Ten will be at the top of the at-large lists.

The Mid-American, Mountain West, and Sun Belt Conferences look like they will have extra bowl eligible teams this year, but at this point of the season, some of these teams may be bowl eligible but not get an invitations.

Here’s our look at the Bowls and Playoffs this week.

 

Bowl	Conf	Conf	Team	Team
Bahamas	MAC	CUSA	Miami (O)	Marshall
Frisco	AAC	At-large	Houston	[UAB]
Cure	AAC	SBC	[Western Michigan]	Troy
New Mexico	CUSA	MWC	Southern Miss.	Fresno St.
Boca Raton	AAC	MAC	Memphis	Toledo
Camellia	MAC	SBC	Northern Illinois	Arkansas St.
Las Vegas	MWC #1	Pac-12	Boise St.	Arizona
New Orleans	CUSA	SBC #1	North Texas	Appalachian St.
Gasparilla	AAC	CUSA	Navy	Charlotte
Hawaii	BYU/MWC	AAC	BYU	SMU
Independence	ACC	SEC	Virginia Tech	[Army]
Quick Lane	ACC	Big Ten	North Carolina St.	Northwestern
Military	ACC	AAC	Pittsburgh	Temple
Pinstripe	ACC	Big Ten	North Carolina	Maryland
Texas	Big 12	SEC	TCU	Mississippi St.
Holiday	Pac-12	Big Ten	Arizona St.	Michigan
Cheez-It	Big 12	Pac-12	Iowa St.	[Hawaii]
Camping World	ACC	Big 12	Virginia	Kansas St.
Cotton	At-large	At-large	Central Florida	California
First Responder	CUSA	Big 12	Louisiana Tech	[Nevada]
Redbox	Pac-12	Big Ten	Washington St.	Minnesota
Music City	SEC	ACC	[Indiana]	Syracuse
Orange	ACC	BTen/SEC	Notre Dame	LSU
Belk	ACC	SEC	Wake Forest	Kentucky
Sun	ACC	Pac-12	Miami (Fla.)	Oregon
Liberty	Big 12	SEC	Baylor	[Wyoming]
Arizona	SBC	MWC	Louisiana	San Diego St.
Alamo	Big 12	Pac-12	Oklahoma St.	Washington
Citrus	SEC	BTen/ACC	Florida	Iowa
Outback	Big Ten	SEC	Penn St.	Texas A&M
Rose	Big Ten	Pac-12	Wisconsin	Utah
Sugar	Big 12	SEC	Texas	Georgia
Birmingham	AAC	SEC	Cincinnati	[Duke]
Taxslayer/Gator	SEC	Big Ten	Auburn	Michigan St.
Idaho Potato	MAC	MWC	Eastern Michigan	Utah St.
Armed Forces	Big Ten	MWC	Nebraska	Air Force
Dollar General	MAC	SBC	Ohio	Georgia Southern
FBS PLAYOFFS
Fiesta	Top 4	Top 4	Alabama	Clemson
Peach	Top 4	Top 4	Ohio St.	Oklahoma
Champsionship	Fiesta	Peach	Alabama	Ohio St.
Teams in [Brackets] are at-large selections

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 14: December 6-10, 2018

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Totals
Tennessee	Jacksonville	0.6	0.9	0.3	39
Kansas City	Baltimore	8.0	8.0	8.1	51
Houston	Indianapolis	5.0	6.3	5.7	49.5
Cleveland	Carolina	-2.1	-1.4	-1.4	49
Green Bay	Atlanta	2.6	3.3	2.6	49.5
Tampa Bay	New Orleans	-13.5	-13.5	-13.1	53.5
Buffalo	N.Y. Jets	0.2	0.7	0.6	41
Miami	New England	-8.2	-9.2	-9.0	44.5
Chicago	L.A. Rams	-0.6	-1.3	0.0	52.5
Washington	N.Y. Giants	1.8	0.9	1.4	44
San Francisco	Denver	-6.1	-6.1	-6.4	43
L.A. Chargers	Cincinnati	13.3	13.9	14.2	47.5
Arizona	Detroit	-1.3	-1.5	-1.0	43
Dallas	Philadelphia	4.1	4.3	4.4	41
Oakland	Pittsburgh	-12.8	-12.7	-12.6	46
Seattle	Minnesota	4.8	4.9	5.8	44

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings 

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	105.9	106.4	106.4	106.2	22.5	9-3
Miami	94.7	94.3	94.4	94.4	22	6-6
N. Y. Jets	94.6	94.1	94.1	94.3	23.5	3-9
Buffalo	92.9	92.8	92.7	92.8	17.5	4-8
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Pittsburgh	106.5	106.5	106.2	106.4	24.5	7-4-1
Baltimore	102.9	103.2	102.9	103.0	21	7-5
Cleveland	96.6	96.9	97.3	96.9	24.5	4-7-1
Cincinnati	94.3	94.4	93.9	94.2	23.5	5-7
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Houston	102.8	103.1	103.6	103.1	24	9-3
Indianapolis	100.3	99.3	100.3	100.0	25.5	6-6
Jacksonville	98.8	98.5	98.6	98.6	19	4-8
Tennessee	96.9	96.8	96.4	96.7	20	6-6
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	107.9	108.2	108.0	108.0	30	10-2
LA Chargers	104.5	105.3	105.1	105.0	24	9-3
Denver	101.8	101.7	101.7	101.7	20.5	6-6
Oakland	90.7	90.8	90.6	90.7	21.5	2-10
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	101.9	102.0	101.7	101.9	19	7-5
Philadelphia	100.7	100.7	100.4	100.6	22	6-6
N.Y. Giants	96.3	96.5	96.6	96.5	22	4-8
Washington	96.2	95.4	96.0	95.9	22	6-6
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Chicago	104.2	104.2	105.0	104.5	23.5	8-4
Minnesota	102.4	102.4	102.1	102.3	21	6-5-1
Green Bay	99.1	99.5	98.7	99.1	24	4-7-1
Detroit	98.4	98.2	97.8	98.1	24.5	4-8
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	112.5	112.6	112.8	112.6	27.5	10-2
Carolina	101.3	100.8	101.1	101.1	24.5	6-6
Atlanta	99.5	99.2	99.1	99.2	25.5	4-8
Tampa Bay	96.0	96.1	96.7	96.3	26	5-7
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
LA Rams	107.9	108.4	108.1	108.1	29	11-1
Seattle	104.2	104.3	104.9	104.5	23	7-5
Arizona	94.6	94.2	94.3	94.4	18.5	3-9
San Francisco	93.2	93.1	92.8	93.0	22.5	2-10

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1	Kansas City
2	New England
3	Houston
4	Pittsburgh
5	L.A. Chargers
6	Baltimore
NFC Seeding
1	L.A. Rams
2	New Orleans
3	Chicago
4	Philadelphia
5	Seattle
6	Minnesota

 

Wildcard Round

Houston over Baltimore

L.A. Chargers over Pittsburgh

Chicago over Minnesota

Philadelphia over Seattle

 

Divisional Round

L.A. Chargers over Kansas City

New England over Houston

New Orleans over Chicago

L.A. Rams over Philadelphia

 

Conference Championship

L.A. Chargers over New England

L.A. Rams over New Orleans

 

Super Bowl 53

L.A. Rams over L.A. Chargers