PiRate Ratings–NFL for Week 17, January 2-3, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Indianapolis	Las Vegas	17.2	16.9	17.3
Chicago	N.Y. Giants	3.3	3.6	3.7
N.Y. Jets	Tampa Bay	-17.3	-16.9	-16.9
Buffalo	Atlanta	16.7	16.7	16.4
Dallas	Arizona	5.4	6.0	5.6
New Orleans	Carolina	13.7	13.1	14.0
Washington	Philadelphia	-5.4	-5.8	-7.1
Cincinnati	Kansas City	-2.2	-2.2	-2.7
New England	Jacksonville	25.2	24.6	26.0
Tennessee	Miami	5.0	4.5	4.1
LA Chargers	Denver	2.8	2.7	2.9
San Francisco	Houston	16.0	16.6	16.1
Seattle	Detroit	12.3	11.6	11.4
Baltimore	LA Rams	-2.2	-3.1	-3.6
Green Bay	Minnesota	7.7	7.6	8.1
Pittsburgh	Cleveland	0.1	-0.3	0.2

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

Home	Visitor	Total
Indianapolis	Las Vegas	50
Chicago	N.Y. Giants	35
N.Y. Jets	Tampa Bay	53.5
Buffalo	Atlanta	49
Dallas	Arizona	55
New Orleans	Carolina	41.5
Washington	Philadelphia	41.5
Cincinnati	Kansas City	53.5
New England	Jacksonville	38.5
Tennessee	Miami	44
LA Chargers	Denver	43.5
San Francisco	Houston	47
Seattle	Detroit	46.5
Baltimore	LA Rams	50.5
Green Bay	Minnesota	52
Pittsburgh	Cleveland	42

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	108.9	108.7	109.1	108.9	19	9-6
Buffalo	108.2	108.1	108.4	108.2	24.5	9-6
Miami	99.2	99.6	100.2	99.7	18.5	8-7
N. Y. Jets	87.6	87.8	87.8	87.8	24.5	4-11
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Cincinnati	102.7	103.2	102.6	102.8	26	9-6
Baltimore	101.9	101.4	100.9	101.4	23.5	8-7
Cleveland	99.3	99.1	98.6	99.0	22.5	7-8
Pittsburgh	97.4	96.8	96.8	97.0	19.5	7-7-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Indianapolis	107.7	107.7	108.0	107.8	25	9-6
Tennessee	101.1	101.1	101.3	101.2	25.5	10-5
Houston	90.7	90.3	90.9	90.7	22.5	4-11
Jacksonville	86.7	87.1	86.0	86.6	19.5	2-13
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	107.9	108.3	108.4	108.2	27.5	11-4
Denver	99.8	99.8	99.6	99.7	15.5	7-8
LA Chargers	99.6	99.5	99.5	99.5	28	8-7
Las Vegas	93.5	93.8	93.7	93.7	25	8-7
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	106.5	107.3	106.8	106.9	29.5	11-4
Philadelphia	101.9	102.2	103.1	102.4	22	8-7
N.Y. Giants	95.1	94.8	94.5	94.8	17.5	4-11
Washington	94.5	94.4	94.0	94.3	19.5	6-9
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Green Bay	106.2	106.2	106.3	106.2	28	12-3
Minnesota	100.9	101.1	100.8	100.9	24	7-8
Chicago	95.9	95.9	95.7	95.8	17.5	5-10
Detroit	92.3	92.6	92.7	92.5	24.5	2-12-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Tampa Bay	107.4	107.2	107.2	107.3	29	11-4
New Orleans	103.3	102.3	103.2	102.9	20.5	7-8
Atlanta	94.5	94.3	94.9	94.6	24.5	7-8
Carolina	92.6	92.2	92.2	92.4	21	5-10
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
LA Rams	107.1	107.6	107.5	107.4	27	11-4
Arizona	104.1	104.3	104.2	104.2	25.5	10-5
San Francisco	103.7	104.0	104.0	103.9	24.5	8-7
Seattle	101.6	101.3	101.1	101.3	22	5-10

This Week’s Playoff Projections

If Season Ended Today
AFC
1	Kansas City
2	Tennessee
3	Cincinnati
4	Buffalo
5	Indianapolis
6	New England
7	Baltimore
NFC
1	Green Bay
2	Dallas
3	LA Rams
4	Tampa Bay
5	Arizona
6	San Francisco
7	Philadelphia

Playoff Projection Seeds
AFC Seeding
1	Kansas City
2	Tennessee
3	Buffalo
4	Cincinnati
5	Indianapolis
6	New England
7	LA Chargers
NFC Seeding
1	Green Bay
2	LA Rams
3	Tampa Bay
4	Dallas
5	Arizona
6	Philadelphia
7	San Francisco

Wildcard Round
Tennessee over LA Chargers
Buffalo over New England
Indianapolis over Cincinnati
LA Rams over San Francisco
Tampa Bay over Philadelphia
Dallas over Arizona
Divisional Round
Kansas City over Indianapolis
Buffalo over Tennessee
Green Bay over Dallas
LA Rams over Tampa Bay
Conference Championship
Kansas City over Buffalo
LA Rams over Green Bay
Super Bowl 56 (LA)
Kansas City over LA Rams

PiRate Ratings NFL Football–Week 16, Dec. 23-27, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Tennessee	San Francisco	0.2	-0.2	-0.2
Green Bay	Cleveland	10.3	10.7	11.7
Arizona	Indianapolis	-0.2	0.4	0.0
Carolina	Tampa Bay	-10.7	-10.7	-10.5
Philadelphia	N.Y. Giants	7.5	7.7	9.0
Houston	LA Chargers	-10.5	-11.3	-10.6
Atlanta	Detroit	5.2	4.7	5.3
Cincinnati	Baltimore	2.0	2.7	2.5
Minnesota	LA Rams	-2.7	-2.9	-3.2
N.Y. Jets	Jacksonville	3.7	3.5	4.8
New England	Buffalo	5.3	5.5	5.7
Seattle	Chicago	10.3	10.2	10.5
Kansas City	Pittsburgh	12.1	12.9	13.0
Las Vegas	Denver	-4.2	-4.3	-4.3
Dallas	Washington	10.6	11.3	11.0
New Orleans	Miami	8.1	6.9	7.4

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

Home	Visitor	Total
Tennessee	San Francisco	51
Green Bay	Cleveland	50.5
Arizona	Indianapolis	51.5
Carolina	Tampa Bay	51
Philadelphia	N.Y. Giants	39.5
Houston	LA Chargers	48.5
Atlanta	Detroit	50
Cincinnati	Baltimore	48.5
Minnesota	LA Rams	51
N.Y. Jets	Jacksonville	44
New England	Buffalo	42.5
Seattle	Chicago	38.5
Kansas City	Pittsburgh	47
Las Vegas	Denver	41.5
Dallas	Washington	47
New Orleans	Miami	40.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	109.7	109.6	110.1	109.8	18.5	9-5
Buffalo	107.4	107.2	107.4	107.3	24	8-6
Miami	98.7	99.0	99.5	99.1	19.5	7-7
N. Y. Jets	87.5	87.7	87.8	87.7	24.5	3-11
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	102.8	102.4	102.0	102.4	23	8-6
Cincinnati	101.8	102.2	101.5	101.8	25.5	8-6
Cleveland	99.1	98.8	98.1	98.7	22.5	7-7
Pittsburgh	98.1	97.6	97.6	97.8	19.5	7-6-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Indianapolis	107.5	107.3	107.6	107.5	25.5	8-6
Tennessee	101.0	100.9	101.1	101.0	26	9-5
Houston	88.6	88.0	88.6	88.4	21.5	3-11
Jacksonville	86.8	87.2	86.0	86.7	19.5	2-12
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	107.2	107.5	107.6	107.4	27.5	10-4
LA Chargers	101.7	101.8	101.8	101.7	27	8-6
Denver	100.3	100.4	100.3	100.3	16	7-7
Las Vegas	93.0	93.2	93.0	93.1	25.5	7-7
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	104.3	105.0	104.4	104.6	28.5	10-4
Philadelphia	101.2	101.4	102.3	101.6	22	7-7
Washington	96.7	96.7	96.4	96.6	18.5	6-8
N.Y. Giants	95.8	95.6	95.3	95.6	17.5	4-10
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Green Bay	106.4	106.5	106.8	106.6	28	11-3
Minnesota	101.1	101.4	101.1	101.2	24	7-7
Chicago	95.1	95.0	94.7	94.9	17	4-10
Detroit	92.3	92.6	92.7	92.5	25	2-11-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Tampa Bay	106.6	106.3	106.2	106.4	29.5	10-4
New Orleans	103.8	102.9	103.9	103.5	21	7-7
Atlanta	94.5	94.3	94.9	94.6	25	6-8
Carolina	93.4	93.1	93.2	93.3	21.5	5-9
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
LA Rams	106.9	107.3	107.2	107.1	27	10-4
Arizona	104.3	104.7	104.6	104.5	26	10-4
San Francisco	103.8	104.2	104.2	104.1	25	8-6
Seattle	102.4	102.2	102.1	102.2	21.5	5-9

Playoff Projections

If Season Ended Today
AFC
1	Kansas City
2	New England
3	Tennessee
4	Cincinnati
5	Indianapolis
6	LA Chargers
7	Buffalo
NFC
1	Green Bay
2	Dallas
3	Tampa Bay
4	Arizona
5	LA Rams
6	San Francisco
7	Minnesota

Playoff Projection Seeds
AFC Seeding
1	Kansas City
2	New England
3	Indianapolis
4	Pittsburgh
5	LA Chargers
6	Buffalo
7	Tennessee
NFC Seeding
1	Green Bay
2	Tampa Bay
3	Dallas
4	LA Rams
5	Arizona
6	San Francisco
7	Philadelphia

Wildcard Round
New England over Tennessee
Indianapolis over Buffalo
LA Chargers over Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay over Philadelphia
San Francisco over Dallas
LA Rams over Arizona
Divisional Round
Kansas City over LA Chargers
New England over Indianapolis
Green Bay over San Francisco
LA Rams over Tampa Bay
Conference Championship
Kansas City over New England
Green Bay over LA Rams
Super Bowl 56 (LA)
Kansas City over Green Bay

PiRate Ratings College Football–Selection Sunday

This Week’s College Football Game

December 11		PiRate	Mean	Bias
Army	Navy	11.2	11.4	10.4

Final Bowl Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Added Bowl Game*	Ball St.	Nevada
Bahamas	Middle Tennessee	Toledo
Cure	SMU	Appalachian St.
Boca	Kent St.	Liberty
New Mexico	UTEP	San Diego St.
Independence	BYU	UTSA
Lending Tree	Central Michigan	Marshall
L. A.	Utah St.	Oregon St.
New Orleans	UAB	Coastal Carolina
Myrtle Beach	Old Dominion	Georgia St.
Famous Idaho Potato	Western Michigan	Boise St.
Frisco	North Texas	Air Force
Armed Forces	Tulsa	Army
Gasparilla	Louisville	Florida
Hawaii	Memphis	Hawaii
Camellia	Northern Illinois	Louisiana
Quick Lane	Eastern Michigan	Wyoming
Military	Virginia	East Carolina
Birmingham	Houston	South Carolina
First Responder	Western Kentucky	Missouri
Liberty	West Virginia	Mississippi St.
Holiday	North Carolina St.	UCLA
Guaranteed Rate	Maryland	Texas Tech
Fenway	Central Florida	Boston College
Pinstripe	Virginia Tech	Penn St.
Cheez-It	Clemson	Iowa St.
Alamo	Oklahoma	Oregon
Duke’s Mayo	Wake Forest	Tennessee
Music City	Purdue	Auburn
Las Vegas	Wisconsin	Washington St.
Tax Slayer Gator	Miami (Fla.)	Arkansas
Tony The Tiger Sun	North Carolina	Arizona St.
Arizona	Miami (O)	Fresno St.
Citrus	Iowa	Kentucky
Outback	Minnesota	Texas A&M
Texas	Kansas St.	LSU
Peach	Pitt/Wake	Notre Dame
Fiesta	Michigan St.	Oklahoma St.
Rose	Ohio St.	Utah
Sugar	Baylor	Ole Miss
Cotton	Michigan	Georgia
Orange	Alabama	Cincinnati
Championship	Alabama	Georgia

• An extra bowl game was added by the NCAA to ensure all 6-win teams could earn bowl invitations. This extra bowl will be played in the Dallas-Fort Worth area and will include two group of 5 teams.
• Teams in bold have officially accepted the bowl bid.

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	133.8
2	Alabama	132.9
3	Ohio St.	130.4
4	Michigan	127.5
5	Notre Dame	121.9
6	Oklahoma St.	121.5
7	Utah	121.2
8	Oklahoma	120.4
9	Iowa St.	120.1
10	Cincinnati	119.6
11	Texas A&M	118.6
12	Clemson	117.2
13	Wisconsin	116.5
14	Ole Miss	116.2
15	Baylor	116.1
16	U C L A	115.0
17	Penn St.	114.8
18	Arkansas	114.7
19	Auburn	114.1
20	Pittsburgh	113.9
21	Kentucky	113.1
22	NC State	112.7
23	Mississippi St.	112.0
24	Tennessee	111.9
25	L S U	111.5
26	Purdue	111.4
27	Minnesota	111.1
28	Arizona St.	110.3
29	Oregon St.	110.3
30	North Carolina	110.2
31	Miami (Fla.)	110.1
32	BYU	109.8
33	Louisiana	109.7
34	Florida	109.6
35	West Virginia	109.4
36	Wake Forest	109.3
37	Kansas St.	109.3
38	Nebraska	109.3
39	Iowa	109.3
40	Appalachian St.	109.2
41	Washington St.	109.2
42	Oregon	109.0
43	Michigan St.	108.2
44	Texas	107.5
45	Boise St.	106.4
46	Houston	106.0
47	Nevada	105.4
48	Louisville	105.3
49	Florida St.	105.3
50	Coastal Carolina	104.7
51	California	104.6
52	Texas Tech	104.2
53	Fresno St.	104.1
54	Air Force	103.9
55	U S C	103.6
56	Virginia	103.4
57	Washington	103.1
58	Virginia Tech	102.6
59	Army	102.5
60	Central Michigan	102.1
61	T C U	101.8
62	SMU	101.8
63	Illinois	101.6
64	Western Kentucky	101.4
65	South Carolina	100.6
66	Missouri	100.3
67	East Carolina	100.0
68	Maryland	99.9
69	Utah St.	99.5
70	Toledo	99.4
71	Boston College	99.3
72	UCF	98.8
73	Tulsa	98.7
74	Georgia St.	98.7
75	Liberty	98.6
76	Colorado	98.6
77	Miami (Ohio)	98.4
78	San Diego St.	98.4
79	U A B	98.2
80	Syracuse	97.9
81	U T S A	97.7
82	Tulane	95.2
83	Georgia Tech	95.1
84	Memphis	94.6
85	Western Michigan	94.5
86	Stanford	94.3
87	Marshall	94.3
88	Rutgers	93.8
89	Ball St.	93.8
90	Indiana	93.3
91	Hawaii	92.9
92	Wyoming	92.4
93	Arizona	92.3
94	Eastern Michigan	92.1
95	Northwestern	91.9
96	Northern Illinois	91.7
97	Navy	91.5
98	Kent St.	90.4
99	North Texas	90.3
100	Middle Tennessee	90.2
101	South Alabama	89.8
102	Colorado St.	88.9
103	San Jose St.	88.6
104	Buffalo	88.3
105	Troy	88.0
106	USF	87.4
107	Georgia Southern	87.0
108	Florida Atlantic	86.3
109	Ohio	86.1
110	Kansas	85.7
111	Old Dominion	85.7
112	U N L V	85.2
113	U T E P	84.5
114	Vanderbilt	84.0
115	UL-Monroe	83.2
116	Texas St.	83.0
117	Arkansas St.	82.8
118	Duke	80.2
119	Rice	80.0
120	Louisiana Tech	79.7
121	New Mexico	78.0
122	Southern Miss.	77.6
123	Bowling Green	77.1
124	Charlotte	77.0
125	Akron	72.5
126	Temple	72.4
127	New Mexico St.	71.8
128	Connecticut	68.6
129	Florida Int’l.	65.9
130	UMass	64.1

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	119.3	118.9	120.7	119.6
Houston	105.9	105.4	106.6	106.0
SMU	101.7	101.5	102.1	101.8
East Carolina	99.8	99.5	100.8	100.0
UCF	99.0	97.7	99.8	98.8
Tulsa	98.5	98.5	99.1	98.7
Tulane	95.2	94.2	96.1	95.2
Memphis	94.1	94.3	95.3	94.6
Navy	91.3	91.1	92.1	91.5
USF	87.4	86.9	88.0	87.4
Temple	72.3	73.0	71.8	72.4
AAC Averages	96.8	96.5	97.5	96.9
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	116.7	116.8	118.0	117.2
NC State	112.5	112.3	113.2	112.7
Wake Forest	109.3	109.1	109.6	109.3
Louisville	104.9	105.0	105.9	105.3
Florida St.	104.9	105.2	105.7	105.3
Boston College	99.4	99.2	99.3	99.3
Syracuse	98.0	98.0	97.8	97.9
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	113.4	114.3	114.2	113.9
North Carolina	109.7	109.7	111.1	110.2
Miami (Fla.)	110.4	109.8	110.2	110.1
Virginia	103.3	103.8	103.0	103.4
Virginia Tech	103.0	102.5	102.4	102.6
Georgia Tech	95.1	95.1	95.0	95.1
Duke	80.6	80.7	79.3	80.2
ACC Averages	104.4	104.4	104.6	104.5
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma St.	121.8	121.5	121.3	121.5
Oklahoma	121.2	119.6	120.3	120.4
Iowa St.	120.8	119.4	120.1	120.1
Baylor	116.5	115.9	115.8	116.1
West Virginia	110.7	109.1	108.4	109.4
Kansas St.	110.1	109.3	108.5	109.3
Texas	108.5	106.8	107.2	107.5
Texas Tech	104.5	104.5	103.7	104.2
T C U	102.9	101.4	101.2	101.8
Kansas	87.4	85.7	83.9	85.7
Big 12 Averages	110.4	109.3	109.0	109.6
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	130.0	130.0	131.3	130.4
Michigan	126.6	127.5	128.4	127.5
Penn St.	114.0	114.6	115.8	114.8
Michigan St.	108.0	108.1	108.6	108.2
Maryland	100.6	99.7	99.4	99.9
Rutgers	93.2	94.7	93.5	93.8
Indiana	93.3	93.0	93.4	93.3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Wisconsin	116.1	115.9	117.3	116.5
Purdue	110.8	110.8	112.6	111.4
Minnesota	110.3	111.0	112.2	111.1
Nebraska	109.0	109.1	109.8	109.3
Iowa	109.1	108.9	109.9	109.3
Illinois	101.1	101.6	102.2	101.6
Northwestern	92.0	92.0	91.8	91.9
Big Ten Averages	108.2	108.4	109.0	108.5
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Western Kentucky	100.3	101.7	102.2	101.4
Marshall	94.0	94.3	94.7	94.3
Middle Tennessee	89.7	90.2	90.7	90.2
Florida Atlantic	86.0	86.7	86.2	86.3
Old Dominion	84.8	85.9	86.3	85.7
Charlotte	76.6	77.2	77.2	77.0
Florida Int’l.	65.9	65.9	65.8	65.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U A B	98.0	98.4	98.3	98.2
U T S A	97.2	98.0	98.0	97.7
North Texas	89.9	90.5	90.6	90.3
U T E P	84.2	85.2	84.0	84.5
Rice	80.1	80.1	79.8	80.0
Louisiana Tech	80.0	80.2	78.8	79.7
Southern Miss.	77.4	78.0	77.4	77.6
CUSA Averages	86.0	86.6	86.4	86.3
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	121.1	121.9	122.7	121.9
BYU	109.8	109.5	110.0	109.8
Army	102.5	102.5	102.5	102.5
Liberty	98.5	98.6	98.6	98.6
New Mexico St.	72.1	72.7	70.7	71.8
Connecticut	69.0	69.5	67.2	68.6
UMass	65.2	64.6	62.4	64.1
Indep. Averages	91.2	91.3	90.6	91.0
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	99.6	98.3	97.3	98.4
Kent St.	90.4	91.1	89.7	90.4
Buffalo	89.2	88.1	87.5	88.3
Ohio	86.0	86.5	85.9	86.1
Bowling Green	77.6	77.8	75.8	77.1
Akron	73.6	72.6	71.4	72.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Central Michigan	102.9	101.8	101.5	102.1
Toledo	99.8	99.4	98.9	99.4
Western Michigan	94.8	94.8	93.7	94.5
Ball St.	94.8	94.2	92.5	93.8
Eastern Michigan	93.4	92.1	90.8	92.1
Northern Illinois	92.5	91.7	90.9	91.7
MAC Averages	91.2	90.7	89.7	90.5
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	106.1	106.3	106.7	106.4
Air Force	103.5	103.8	104.5	103.9
Utah St.	99.1	99.9	99.6	99.5
Wyoming	92.0	92.4	92.8	92.4
Colorado St.	89.1	88.9	88.8	88.9
New Mexico	78.5	78.3	77.1	78.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Nevada	105.0	106.0	105.3	105.4
Fresno St.	103.2	104.3	104.9	104.1
San Diego St.	98.6	98.4	98.1	98.4
Hawaii	93.0	92.9	92.8	92.9
San Jose St.	88.9	89.0	87.8	88.6
U N L V	85.3	85.0	85.4	85.2
MWC Averages	95.2	95.4	95.3	95.3
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oregon St.	109.9	110.5	110.6	110.3
Washington St.	108.6	109.6	109.4	109.2
Oregon	108.2	109.1	109.7	109.0
California	103.0	105.6	105.3	104.6
Washington	102.7	103.4	103.1	103.1
Stanford	94.2	94.8	94.0	94.3
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	120.9	121.3	121.3	121.2
U C L A	114.5	115.1	115.4	115.0
Arizona St.	109.8	110.5	110.8	110.3
U S C	103.7	103.4	103.6	103.6
Colorado	98.6	98.7	98.4	98.6
Arizona	92.2	92.3	92.3	92.3
Pac-12 Averages	105.5	106.2	106.2	106.0
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	133.4	133.6	134.4	133.8
Kentucky	112.6	113.6	113.1	113.1
Tennessee	111.8	111.7	112.0	111.9
Florida	109.2	110.1	109.4	109.6
South Carolina	101.1	100.7	100.2	100.6
Missouri	100.4	100.7	99.9	100.3
Vanderbilt	84.1	84.0	83.9	84.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	133.0	132.4	133.3	132.9
Texas A&M	118.4	118.8	118.5	118.6
Ole Miss	116.0	116.1	116.3	116.2
Arkansas	114.7	114.7	114.7	114.7
Auburn	114.3	113.7	114.4	114.1
Mississippi St.	111.8	112.1	112.0	112.0
L S U	111.1	111.8	111.7	111.5
SEC Averages	112.3	112.4	112.4	112.4
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Appalachian St.	108.9	108.7	110.1	109.2
Coastal Carolina	105.5	103.8	104.6	104.7
Georgia St.	98.8	98.3	98.9	98.7
Troy	88.1	87.9	88.1	88.0
Georgia Southern	86.9	87.1	87.0	87.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisiana	110.0	109.2	110.0	109.7
South Alabama	90.1	89.8	89.4	89.8
UL-Monroe	83.5	83.4	82.7	83.2
Texas St.	83.8	82.4	82.8	83.0
Arkansas St.	83.1	83.0	82.3	82.8
Sun Averages	93.9	93.4	93.6	93.6

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	112.4
2	Big 12	109.6
3	Big Ten	108.5
4	Pac-12	106.0
5	Atlantic Coast	104.5
6	American Athletic	96.9
7	Mountain West	95.3
8	Sun Belt	93.6
9	Independents	91.0
10	Mid-American	90.5
11	Conference USA	86.3

PiRate Ratings NFL Football–November 25-29, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Detroit	Chicago	-1.3	-1.2	-1.0
Dallas	Las Vegas	12.6	13.3	12.5
New Orleans	Buffalo	2.6	1.5	2.8
New England	Tennessee	8.6	8.5	8.6
Houston	N.Y. Jets	6.2	4.9	6.2
N.Y. Giants	Philadelphia	-2.8	-2.7	-4.1
Indianapolis	Tampa Bay	0.1	0.1	0.3
Jacksonville	Atlanta	-0.8	0.6	-1.5
Miami	Carolina	3.0	3.2	3.5
Cincinnati	Pittsburgh	3.5	4.8	4.1
Denver	LA Chargers	1.5	1.5	1.4
San Francisco	Minnesota	4.3	4.0	4.5
Green Bay	LA Rams	3.9	3.6	4.3
Baltimore	Cleveland	7.2	7.0	7.6
Washington	Seattle	-2.2	-1.7	-2.1

PiRate Ratings Totals

Home	Visitor	Total
Detroit	Chicago	41
Dallas	Las Vegas	54.5
New Orleans	Buffalo	48
New England	Tennessee	46
Houston	N.Y. Jets	47.5
N.Y. Giants	Philadelphia	42
Indianapolis	Tampa Bay	55
Jacksonville	Atlanta	47.5
Miami	Carolina	40.5
Cincinnati	Pittsburgh	44.5
Denver	LA Chargers	42
San Francisco	Minnesota	46.5
Green Bay	LA Rams	53
Baltimore	Cleveland	47.5
Washington	Seattle	41.5

Teams Not Playing This Week

Arizona, Kansas City

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	108.2	108.1	108.7	108.3	19	7-4
Buffalo	105.2	105.1	105.1	105.1	25	6-4
Miami	96.5	96.6	97.1	96.7	19	4-7
N. Y. Jets	87.4	87.9	87.8	87.7	24.5	2-8
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	103.5	103.1	102.9	103.2	23.5	7-3
Cincinnati	101.5	102.1	101.4	101.7	25.5	6-4
Pittsburgh	100.5	99.8	99.8	100.0	19	5-4-1
Cleveland	99.3	99.1	98.3	98.9	24	6-5
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Indianapolis	105.0	104.7	104.7	104.8	25.5	6-5
Tennessee	102.6	102.6	103.1	102.8	27	8-3
Houston	91.1	90.3	91.5	91.0	23	2-8
Jacksonville	89.9	91.1	89.8	90.3	21.5	2-8
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	104.4	104.5	104.3	104.4	28	7-4
LA Chargers	99.9	99.9	99.9	99.9	25.5	6-4
Denver	98.4	98.4	98.3	98.4	16.5	5-5
Las Vegas	94.1	94.1	93.9	94.0	26	5-5
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	103.7	104.4	103.4	103.8	28.5	7-3
Philadelphia	101.1	101.2	102.2	101.5	23	5-6
Washington	96.7	96.9	96.5	96.7	19.5	4-6
N.Y. Giants	96.4	96.4	96.1	96.3	19	3-7
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Green Bay	105.9	105.8	106.1	105.9	26	8-3
Minnesota	102.2	102.6	102.2	102.3	23	5-5
Chicago	95.5	95.6	95.4	95.5	16.5	3-7
Detroit	91.2	91.4	91.4	91.3	24.5	0-9-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Tampa Bay	107.9	107.6	107.4	107.6	29.5	7-3
New Orleans	104.8	103.5	104.9	104.4	23	5-5
Carolina	96.0	95.9	96.1	96.0	21.5	5-6
Atlanta	93.3	93.0	93.8	93.4	26	4-6
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Arizona	107.2	107.8	107.9	107.6	25.5	9-2
LA Rams	105.0	105.2	104.8	105.0	27	7-3
San Francisco	103.5	103.7	103.6	103.6	23.5	5-5
Seattle	101.9	101.6	101.6	101.7	22	3-7

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Playoff Projections

If Season Ended Today
AFC
1	Tennessee
2	Baltimore
3	New England
4	Kansas City
5	Cincinnati
6	LA Chargers
7	Buffalo
NFC
1	Arizona
2	Green Bay
3	Tampa Bay
4	Dallas
5	LA Rams
6	Minnesota
7	New Orleans

Playoff Projection Seeds
AFC Seeding
1	Baltimore
2	New England
3	Tennessee
4	Kansas City
5	LA Chargers
6	Cincinnati
7	Denver
NFC Seeding
1	Arizona
2	Green Bay
3	Tampa Bay
4	Dallas
5	LA Rams
6	Minnesota
7	San Francisco

Wildcard Round
New England over Denver
Cincinnati over Tennessee
LA Chargers over Kansas City
Green Bay over San Francisco
Tampa Bay over Minnesota
LA Rams over Dallas
Divisional Round
LA Chargers over Baltimore
New England over Cincinnati
Arizona over LA Rams
Tampa Bay over Green Bay
Conference Championship
New England over LA Chargers
Arizona over Tampa Bay
Super Bowl 56 (LA)
Arizona over New England

Note: Due to the Thanksgiving Holiday, Our Weekly PiRate Picks Money Line Parlays For This Week Will Publish Tuesday.

PiRate Ratings–NFL for Week 8: October 28-November 1, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Arizona	Green Bay	7.4	8.7	8.0
Atlanta	Carolina	1.1	1.1	1.9
Buffalo	Miami	17.4	16.7	17.2
Chicago	San Francisco	-1.8	-1.4	-1.8
Cleveland	Pittsburgh	2.9	3.7	2.4
Denver	Washington	7.7	7.5	7.9
Detroit	Philadelphia	-2.1	-2.0	-3.2
Houston	LA Rams	-16.2	-18.1	-16.3
Indianapolis	Tennessee	4.3	3.6	3.6
LA Chargers	New England	3.9	5.2	5.0
Minnesota	Dallas	0.8	-0.1	0.5
N.Y. Jets	Cincinnati	-5.1	-5.2	-4.3
New Orleans	Tampa Bay	1.8	0.5	2.9
Seattle	Jacksonville	16.0	14.2	15.8
Kansas City	N.Y. Giants	13.9	14.0	14.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

Home	Visitor	Total
Arizona	Green Bay	53
Atlanta	Carolina	51
Buffalo	Miami	45.5
Chicago	San Francisco	38.5
Cleveland	Pittsburgh	43.5
Denver	Washington	37
Detroit	Philadelphia	47
Houston	LA Rams	51.5
Indianapolis	Tennessee	51.5
LA Chargers	New England	43
Minnesota	Dallas	53
N.Y. Jets	Cincinnati	47
New Orleans	Tampa Bay	50
Seattle	Jacksonville	47.5
Kansas City	N.Y. Giants	50.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Buffalo	110.1	109.9	110.5	110.1	25	4-2
New England	101.8	101.1	101.4	101.4	19	3-4
Miami	95.2	95.5	95.7	95.5	20.5	1-6
N. Y. Jets	88.0	88.5	88.4	88.3	22	1-5
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	105.2	104.8	105.1	105.0	25	5-2
Cincinnati	102.6	103.4	102.7	102.9	25	5-2
Cleveland	101.6	101.7	100.8	101.4	25.5	4-3
Pittsburgh	101.6	100.9	101.3	101.3	18	3-3
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Indianapolis	104.0	103.5	103.8	103.8	24	3-4
Tennessee	103.0	103.2	103.5	103.2	27.5	5-2
Jacksonville	90.0	91.5	89.9	90.5	23	1-5
Houston	88.7	87.4	88.8	88.3	24	1-6
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	102.3	102.2	102.0	102.2	30.5	3-4
LA Chargers	100.9	101.2	101.2	101.1	24	4-2
Las Vegas	97.9	98.2	98.4	98.2	27	5-2
Denver	98.3	98.1	97.9	98.1	17	3-4
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	102.8	103.9	102.4	103.0	30.5	5-1
Philadelphia	95.8	95.7	96.5	96.0	21	2-5
N.Y. Giants	95.7	95.6	95.1	95.5	20	2-5
Washington	93.5	93.6	93.0	93.4	20	2-5
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Green Bay	103.8	103.6	104.0	103.8	26.5	6-1
Minnesota	100.6	100.8	100.0	100.5	22.5	3-3
Chicago	95.3	95.4	94.9	95.2	15.5	3-4
Detroit	91.8	91.9	91.9	91.9	26	0-7
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Tampa Bay	110.2	110.1	109.8	110.0	28.5	6-1
New Orleans	107.8	106.2	108.2	107.4	21.5	4-2
Atlanta	96.3	96.2	97.4	96.6	28.5	3-3
Carolina	95.1	94.9	95.1	95.1	22.5	3-4
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Arizona	108.3	109.3	109.3	109.0	26.5	7-0
LA Rams	108.0	108.5	108.1	108.2	27.5	6-1
Seattle	103.2	103.0	102.9	103.0	24.5	2-5
San Francisco	100.4	100.2	100.0	100.2	23	2-4

This Week’s Playoff Projections

If Season Ended Today
AFC
1	Cincinnati
2	Las Vegas
3	Tennessee
4	Buffalo
5	Baltimore
6	LA Chargers
7	Cleveland
NFC
1	Arizona
2	Tampa Bay
3	Green Bay
4	Dallas
5	LA Rams
6	New Orleans
7	Minnesota

Playoff Projection Seeds
AFC Seeding
1	LA Chargers
2	Buffalo
3	Baltimore
4	Tennessee
5	Cincinnati
6	Las Vegas
7	Cleveland
NFC Seeding
1	Arizona
2	Tampa Bay
3	Green Bay
4	Dallas
5	LA Rams
6	Minnesota
7	New Orleans

Wildcard Round
Buffalo over Cleveland
Las Vegas over Baltimore
Cincinnati over Tennessee
Tampa Bay over New Orleans
Green Bay over Minnesota
LA Rams over Dallas
Divisional Round
LA Chargers over Las Vegas
Buffalo over Cincinnati
LA Rams over Arizona
Tampa Bay over Green Bay
Conference Championship
LA Chargers over Buffalo
LA Rams over Tampa Bay
Super Bowl 56 (LA)
LA Rams over LA Chargers

PiRate Ratings–NFL for Week 7, October 21-25, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Cleveland	Denver	6.3	6.6	5.9
Green Bay	Washington	13.0	12.7	13.8
Tennessee	Kansas City	-0.7	-0.6	-0.3
Miami	Atlanta	1.3	1.9	0.9
New England	N.Y. Jets	11.4	9.8	9.9
N.Y. Giants	Carolina	-0.8	-0.8	-1.9
Baltimore	Cincinnati	12.2	11.1	12.4
Las Vegas	Philadelphia	4.5	4.7	3.7
LA Rams	Detroit	20.1	20.7	20.5
Arizona	Houston	21.7	24.0	22.3
Tampa Bay	Chicago	14.5	13.9	13.9
San Francisco	Indianapolis	2.2	2.7	2.4
Seattle	New Orleans	-1.4	0.4	-2.1

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

Home	Visitor	Total
Cleveland	Denver	43.5
Green Bay	Washington	48
Tennessee	Kansas City	60.5
Miami	Atlanta	50
New England	N.Y. Jets	38.5
N.Y. Giants	Carolina	43.5
Baltimore	Cincinnati	48.5
Las Vegas	Philadelphia	47
LA Rams	Detroit	54
Arizona	Houston	51.5
Tampa Bay	Chicago	44
San Francisco	Indianapolis	47
Seattle	New Orleans	48.5

Teams With Byes This Week

Buffalo

Pittsburgh

Jacksonville

LA Chargers

Dallas

Minnesota

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Buffalo	109.8	109.6	110.2	109.8	25	4-2
New England	99.6	98.7	98.9	99.1	18	2-4
Miami	95.4	95.8	96.0	95.7	21	1-5
N. Y. Jets	91.2	91.9	91.9	91.7	20.5	1-4
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	108.0	107.6	108.1	107.9	24.5	5-1
Cleveland	101.7	101.8	100.9	101.5	26	3-3
Pittsburgh	101.3	100.6	101.0	101.0	18	3-3
Cincinnati	98.8	99.6	98.7	99.0	24	4-2
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Indianapolis	102.6	102.0	102.2	102.3	24	2-4
Tennessee	101.3	101.4	101.6	101.4	28.5	4-2
Jacksonville	89.7	91.2	89.6	90.2	23	1-5
Houston	89.4	88.1	89.6	89.1	24.5	1-5
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	104.5	104.5	104.4	104.5	32	3-3
LA Chargers	100.6	100.9	100.9	100.8	24	4-2
Denver	98.4	98.2	98.0	98.2	17.5	3-3
Las Vegas	97.6	97.8	97.8	97.7	26.5	4-2
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	102.5	103.6	102.1	102.7	30.5	5-1
Philadelphia	96.1	96.1	97.1	96.4	20.5	2-4
Washington	93.6	93.8	93.1	93.5	21	2-4
N.Y. Giants	93.7	93.5	92.8	93.3	20.5	1-5
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Green Bay	103.7	103.4	103.9	103.7	27	5-1
Minnesota	100.3	100.5	99.7	100.2	22.5	3-3
Chicago	97.0	97.3	96.9	97.1	15.5	3-3
Detroit	91.5	91.5	91.4	91.5	26.5	0-6
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Tampa Bay	108.5	108.2	107.8	108.2	28.5	5-1
New Orleans	107.7	105.9	108.1	107.2	22.5	3-2
Carolina	97.4	97.3	97.7	97.5	23	3-3
Atlanta	96.1	95.9	97.1	96.4	29	2-3
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
LA Rams	108.6	109.2	108.9	108.9	27.5	5-1
Arizona	108.1	109.1	109.0	108.7	27	6-0
Seattle	103.3	103.3	103.0	103.2	26	2-4
San Francisco	101.8	101.7	101.6	101.7	23	2-3

Playoff Projections

Current Playoff Seedings

AFC
1	Baltimore
2	LA Chargers
3	Tennessee
4	Buffalo
5	Cincinnati
6	Las Vegas
7	Pittsburgh

NFC
1	Arizona
2	Tampa Bay
3	Green Bay
4	Dallas
5	LA Rams
6	New Orleans
7	Minnesota

PiRate Projections

AFC Seeding
1	Baltimore
2	Buffalo
3	Kansas City
4	Tennessee
5	Pittsburgh
6	Cincinnati
7	Las Vegas
NFC Seeding
1	Tampa Bay
2	Arizona
3	Green Bay
4	Dallas
5	LA Rams
6	Minnesota
7	New Orleans

Projected Playoff Rounds

Wildcard Round
Buffalo over Las Vegas
Kansas City over Cincinnati
Pittsburgh over Tennessee
Arizona over New Orleans
Green Bay over Minnesota
LA Rams over Dallas
Divisional Round
Baltimore over Pittsburgh
Kansas City over Buffalo
Tampa Bay over LA Rams
Arizona over Green Bay
Conference Championship
Kansas City over Baltimore
Tampa Bay over Arizona
Super Bowl 56 (LA)
Kansas City over Tampa Bay

PiRate Ratings–NFL for Week 6, October 14-18, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Philadelphia	Tampa Bay	-9.6	-9.5	-8.1
Jacksonville (N)	Miami	-7.3	-6.2	-8.6
Indianapolis	Houston	13.0	13.5	12.2
Chicago	Green Bay	-3.8	-3.0	-4.0
Washington	Kansas City	-5.8	-5.4	-5.8
Carolina	Minnesota	0.1	-0.2	1.5
Baltimore	LA Chargers	5.6	4.5	5.0
Detroit	Cincinnati	-1.2	-1.8	-0.7
N.Y. Giants	LA Rams	-8.2	-8.8	-9.0
Cleveland	Arizona	0.9	0.2	-0.6
Denver	Las Vegas	6.5	6.5	6.4
New England	Dallas	0.1	-1.9	-0.2
Pittsburgh	Seattle	1.0	0.3	1.0
Tennessee	Buffalo	-7.1	-6.9	-7.8

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

Home	Visitor	Total
Philadelphia	Tampa Bay	49
Jacksonville (N)	Miami	44
Indianapolis	Houston	50
Chicago	Green Bay	43
Washington	Kansas City	54
Carolina	Minnesota	43.5
Baltimore	LA Chargers	49.5
Detroit	Cincinnati	50.5
N.Y. Giants	LA Rams	48
Cleveland	Arizona	53
Denver	Las Vegas	42
New England	Dallas	47.5
Pittsburgh	Seattle	44.5
Tennessee	Buffalo	52.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Buffalo	110.6	110.5	111.3	110.8	24.5	4-1
New England	99.6	98.7	98.9	99.1	17.5	2-3
Miami	96.4	96.8	97.3	96.8	21	1-4
N. Y. Jets	90.9	91.6	91.6	91.4	20.5	1-4
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	105.7	105.1	105.6	105.5	25	4-1
Cleveland	103.7	103.9	103.0	103.5	26	3-2
Pittsburgh	101.3	100.6	101.0	101.0	18	2-3
Cincinnati	97.1	97.9	96.8	97.3	24	3-2
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Indianapolis	101.5	100.8	101.0	101.1	24.5	1-4
Tennessee	100.5	100.5	100.5	100.5	28	3-2
Houston	91.0	89.8	91.3	90.7	25.5	1-4
Jacksonville	89.1	90.6	88.7	89.5	23	0-5
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	103.6	103.5	103.3	103.5	32.5	2-3
LA Chargers	102.6	103.1	103.1	102.9	24.5	4-1
Denver	99.8	99.7	99.6	99.7	16.5	3-2
Las Vegas	96.2	96.3	96.2	96.2	25.5	3-2
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	102.5	103.6	102.1	102.7	30	4-1
Philadelphia	96.0	95.9	96.9	96.3	20.5	2-3
N.Y. Giants	95.7	95.6	95.0	95.4	20.5	1-4
Washington	94.8	95.1	94.5	94.8	21.5	2-3
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Green Bay	103.5	103.1	103.6	103.4	27	4-1
Minnesota	100.3	100.5	99.5	100.1	21.5	2-3
Chicago	97.2	97.6	97.2	97.3	16	3-2
Detroit	93.5	93.5	93.6	93.5	26.5	0-5
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Tampa Bay	108.6	108.4	108.0	108.3	28.5	4-1
New Orleans	107.4	105.6	107.8	106.9	22.5	3-2
Carolina	97.4	97.3	97.9	97.6	22	3-2
Atlanta	95.8	95.6	96.8	96.1	29	2-3
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
LA Rams	106.9	107.4	107.0	107.1	27.5	4-1
Arizona	105.8	106.7	106.6	106.4	27	5-0
Seattle	103.3	103.3	103.0	103.2	26.5	2-3
San Francisco	101.5	101.4	101.3	101.4	23	2-3

This Week’s Playoff Projections

If the Playoffs Began Today

AFC
1	LA Chargers
2	Baltimore
3	Buffalo
4	Tennessee
5	Cincinnati
6	Las Vegas
7	Denver
NFC
1	Arizona
2	Dallas
3	Tampa Bay
4	Green Bay
5	LA Rams
6	Chicago
7	Carolina

Projected Playoff Positions

AFC Seeding
1	Buffalo
2	LA Chargers
3	Cleveland
4	Tennessee
5	Baltimore
6	Cincinnati
7	Denver
NFC Seeding
1	Tampa Bay
2	Arizona
3	Green Bay
4	Dallas
5	LA Rams
6	Chicago
7	Carolina

Projected Playoff Rounds

Wildcard Round
LA Chargers over Denver
Cleveland over Cincinnsti
Baltimore over Tennessee
Arizona over Carolina
Green Bay over Chicago
LA Rams over Dallas
Divisional Round
Buffalo over Baltimore
LA Chargers over Cleveland
Tampa Bay over LA Rams
Arizona over Green Bay
Conference Championship
Buffalo over LA Chargers
Tampa Bay over Arizona
Super Bowl 56 (LA)
Tampa Bay over Buffalo

PiRate Ratings for NFL Week 15: December 17-21, 2020

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Las Vegas	LA Chargers	4.6	4.7	4.4
Denver	Buffalo	-5.7	-6.3	-6.0
Green Bay	Carolina	8.5	9.1	9.0
Tennessee	Detroit	8.3	8.7	9.1
Indianapolis	Houston	8.7	9.3	9.3
LA Rams	N.Y. Jets	21.7	21.4	23.0
Atlanta	Tampa Bay	-2.3	-3.2	-3.2
Miami	New England	1.9	3.2	2.9
Minnesota	Chicago	-0.8	-0.6	-0.8
N.Y. Giants	Cleveland	-3.1	-2.3	-2.9
Washington	Seattle	-3.2	-3.2	-3.1
Baltimore	Jacksonville	18.4	18.4	18.4
Arizona	Philadelphia	7.1	7.1	7.5
New Orleans	Kansas City	-3.7	-4.4	-4.1
Dallas	San Francisco	-5.4	-4.9	-5.5
Cincinnati	Pittsburgh	-15.0	-15.1	-15.2

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

Home	Visitor	Total
Las Vegas	LA Chargers	52
Denver	Buffalo	40
Green Bay	Carolina	52.5
Tennessee	Detroit	55
Indianapolis	Houston	51
LA Rams	N.Y. Jets	42
Atlanta	Tampa Bay	57
Miami	New England	46.5
Minnesota	Chicago	42.5
N.Y. Giants	Cleveland	47
Washington	Seattle	50.5
Baltimore	Jacksonville	45
Arizona	Philadelphia	51.5
New Orleans	Kansas City	52.5
Dallas	San Francisco	50.5
Cincinnati	Pittsburgh	37.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Buffalo	105.4	106.1	106.0	105.9	21	10-3
Miami	100.7	101.7	101.1	101.2	26.5	8-5
New England	100.4	99.9	99.7	100.0	20	6-7
N. Y. Jets	86.1	86.6	85.4	86.0	18	0-13
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	107.3	107.1	107.2	107.2	24.5	8-5
Pittsburgh	104.0	104.4	104.3	104.2	18.5	11-2
Cleveland	99.6	99.7	100.1	99.8	26.5	9-4
Cincinnati	88.0	88.3	88.1	88.1	19	2-10-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Indianapolis	105.1	105.2	105.3	105.2	25	9-4
Tennessee	102.5	102.6	102.9	102.7	28	9-4
Houston	97.9	97.4	97.4	97.6	26	4-9
Jacksonville	90.4	90.2	90.3	90.3	20.5	1-12
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	109.9	110.2	110.1	110.1	27	12-1
Las Vegas	99.5	99.5	99.2	99.4	29.5	7-6
Denver	98.3	98.3	98.5	98.4	19	5-8
LA Chargers	95.8	95.9	95.8	95.8	22.5	4-9
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Washington	98.3	98.5	98.5	98.4	21.5	6-7
Philadelphia	97.8	97.7	97.3	97.6	23.0	4-8-1
N.Y. Giants	95.0	95.9	95.7	95.6	20.5	5-8
Dallas	93.5	93.5	93.0	93.3	25.5	4-9
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Green Bay	105.7	105.8	106.3	105.9	25	10-3
Chicago	100.5	99.9	100.2	100.2	18	6-7
Minnesota	98.7	98.3	98.4	98.4	24.5	6-7
Detroit	95.2	94.9	94.8	94.9	27	5-8
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Tampa Bay	105.7	105.6	106.1	105.8	31	8-5
New Orleans	104.7	104.3	104.5	104.5	25.5	10-3
Atlanta	102.4	101.5	101.9	101.9	26	4-9
Carolina	98.7	98.2	98.7	98.6	27.5	4-9
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
LA Rams	105.8	106.0	106.4	106.1	24	9-4
Seattle	103.4	103.7	103.5	103.6	29	9-4
Arizona	103.0	102.7	102.8	102.8	28.5	7-6
San Francisco	100.8	100.4	100.5	100.6	25	5-8

Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1	Kansas City
2	Buffalo
3	Pittsburgh
4	Tennessee
5	Cleveland
6	Baltimore
7	Indianapolis
NFC Seeding
1	Green Bay
2	New Orleans
3	Los Angeles
4	Washington
5	Seattle
6	Tampa Bay
7	Arizona

Wildcard Round
Buffalo over Indianapolis
Pittsburgh over Baltimore
Cleveland over Tennessee
Arizona over New Orleans
Los Angeles over Tampa Bay
Seattle over Washington
Divisional Round
Kansas City over Cleveland
Buffalo over Pittsburgh
Green Bay over Arizona
Los Angeles over Seattle
Conference Championship
Kansas City over Buffalo
Green Bay over Los Angeles
Super Bowl
Kansas City over Green Bay

PiRate Ratings–NFL For Week 14: December 10-14, 2020

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
LA Rams	New England	5.1	5.6	6.2
Chicago	Houston	-0.5	-0.8	-0.8
Cincinnati	Dallas	1.0	1.3	1.6
Detroit	Green Bay	-9.3	-9.6	-10.4
Miami	Kansas City	-7.2	-6.5	-7.0
N.Y. Giants	Arizona	-2.7	-1.6	-1.7
Tampa Bay	Minnesota	8.4	8.6	8.8
Carolina	Denver	3.5	3.2	3.8
Jacksonville	Tennessee	-7.8	-7.9	-7.9
Las Vegas	Indianapolis	-0.3	-0.2	-0.4
Seattle	N.Y. Jets	16.2	15.5	16.5
Philadelphia	New Orleans	-7.8	-7.7	-8.7
LA Chargers	Atlanta	-6.0	-5.3	-6.0
San Francisco	Washington	5.0	4.3	4.7
Buffalo	Pittsburgh	-0.4	-0.3	-0.5
Cleveland	Baltimore	-5.9	-5.6	-5.3

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

Home	Visitor	Total
LA Rams	New England	45
Chicago	Houston	44
Cincinnati	Dallas	46.5
Detroit	Green Bay	52
Miami	Kansas City	52.5
N.Y. Giants	Arizona	51
Tampa Bay	Minnesota	57
Carolina	Denver	44.5
Jacksonville	Tennessee	49.5
Las Vegas	Indianapolis	52
Seattle	N.Y. Jets	48
Philadelphia	New Orleans	48.5
LA Chargers	Atlanta	50.5
San Francisco	Washington	47
Buffalo	Pittsburgh	39.5
Cleveland	Baltimore	48

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Buffalo	103.6	104.2	104.0	104.0	21	9-3
Miami	100.7	101.7	101.1	101.2	26	8-4
New England	101.5	101.1	100.9	101.2	20.5	6-6
N. Y. Jets	87.9	88.6	87.4	88.0	19.5	0-12
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	107.0	106.8	106.9	106.9	23	7-5
Cincinnati	91.5	91.8	91.6	91.6	20.5	2-9-1
Cleveland	99.6	99.7	100.1	99.8	25	9-3
Pittsburgh	105.5	106.0	106.0	105.8	18.5	11-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Houston	100.2	99.8	99.9	100.0	26	4-8
Indianapolis	103.4	103.4	103.4	103.4	24	8-4
Jacksonville	91.5	91.4	91.6	91.5	21	1-11
Tennessee	101.3	101.3	101.5	101.4	28.5	8-4
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Denver	97.7	97.6	97.7	97.7	18	4-8
Kansas City	109.9	110.2	110.1	110.1	26.5	11-1
Las Vegas	101.1	101.2	101.0	101.1	28	7-5
LA Chargers	94.9	94.9	94.7	94.8	23.5	3-9
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	92.0	92.0	91.5	91.8	26	3-9
N.Y. Giants	96.3	97.2	97.1	96.9	21.5	5-7
Philadelphia	96.6	96.4	95.8	96.2	23	3-8-1
Washington	97.2	97.4	97.3	97.3	21.5	5-7
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Chicago	98.2	97.5	97.7	97.8	18	5-7
Detroit	95.1	94.8	94.6	94.8	27	5-7
Green Bay	105.8	105.9	106.5	106.1	25	9-3
Minnesota	98.9	98.6	98.8	98.7	25.5	6-6
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Atlanta	103.0	102.2	102.7	102.6	27	4-8
Carolina	99.2	98.8	99.4	99.2	26.5	4-8
New Orleans	105.9	105.6	106.0	105.8	25.5	10-2
Tampa Bay	105.3	105.1	105.5	105.3	31.5	7-5
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Arizona	101.6	101.3	101.3	101.4	29.5	6-6
LA Rams	104.6	104.7	105.1	104.8	24.5	8-4
San Francisco	101.6	101.2	101.4	101.4	25.5	5-7
Seattle	101.5	101.6	101.4	101.5	28.5	8-4

Playoff Projections

AFC Seedings

1	Kansas City
2	Pittsburgh
3	Buffalo
4	Indianapolis
5	Cleveland
6	Tennessee
7	Baltimore

NFC Seedings

1	New Orleans
2	Green Bay
3	Los Angeles
4	Washington
5	Tampa Bay
6	Seattle
7	Minnesota

Wildcard Round
Pittsburgh over Baltimore
Buffalo over Tennessee
Cleveland over Indianapolis
Green Bay over Minnesota
Los Angeles over Seattle
Tampa Bay over Washington
Divisional Round
Cleveland over Kansas City
Buffalo over Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay over New Orleans
Green Bay over Los Angeles
Conference Championship
Buffalo over Cleveland
Green Bay over Tampa Bay
Super Bowl
Green Bay over Buffalo

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 14: December 5-9, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

 

Margins

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Chicago	Dallas	2.6	-0.6	-0.2
Atlanta	Carolina	3.3	3.5	2.8
Buffalo	Baltimore	-6.3	-5.3	-6.2
Cleveland	Cincinnati	8.0	8.4	8.1
Green Bay	Washington	13.6	13.0	13.7
Houston	Denver	8.1	8.0	8.1
Minnesota	Detroit	11.5	11.5	11.6
New Orleans	San Francisco	1.4	-1.4	-1.7
N. Y. Jets	Miami	8.5	8.8	8.1
Tampa Bay	Indianapolis	2.6	3.6	4.4
Jacksonville	LA Chargers	-4.3	-3.9	-3.5
Arizona	Pittsburgh	-3.6	-3.7	-3.6
New England	Kansas City	9.0	9.1	8.9
Oakland	Tennessee	-4.5	-5.2	-4.7
LA Rams	Seattle	4.2	3.0	3.1
Philadelphia	N. Y. Giants	12.1	10.4	9.7

 

Totals

 

Home	Visitor	Total
Chicago	Dallas	38
Atlanta	Carolina	51
Buffalo	Baltimore	42
Cleveland	Cincinnati	45.5
Green Bay	Washington	42.5
Houston	Denver	41
Minnesota	Detroit	47.5
New Orleans	San Francisco	49
N. Y. Jets	Miami	48.5
Tampa Bay	Indianapolis	51.5
Jacksonville	LA Chargers	39.5
Arizona	Pittsburgh	44
New England	Kansas City	51.5
Oakland	Tennessee	44
LA Rams	Seattle	50.5
Philadelphia	N. Y. Giants	49.5

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

 

Current NFL PiRate Ratings
A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	108.9	109.6	109.1	109.2	20.5	10-2
Buffalo	101.8	102.9	102.8	102.5	17.5	9-3
N. Y. Jets	94.9	95.6	94.7	95.1	21	4-8
Miami	89.5	89.7	89.5	89.6	27.5	3-9
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	111.1	111.1	112.0	111.4	24.5	10-2
Pittsburgh	99.5	100.0	100.4	99.9	20	7-5
Cleveland	99.2	99.5	99.5	99.4	23	5-7
Cincinnati	93.2	93.1	93.4	93.2	22.5	1-11
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Houston	103.1	103.4	103.2	103.3	23	8-4
Tennessee	100.9	101.4	101.3	101.2	19.5	7-5
Indianapolis	99.3	100.1	99.6	99.7	22.5	6-6
Jacksonville	93.6	93.8	93.6	93.7	18.5	4-8
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	102.9	103.5	103.2	103.2	31	8-4
LA Chargers	101.0	100.7	100.1	100.6	21	4-8
Denver	98.1	98.4	98.1	98.2	18	4-8
Oakland	93.4	93.3	93.6	93.4	24.5	6-6
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	103.3	103.9	103.5	103.6	21	6-6
Philadelphia	102.0	100.4	100.0	100.8	24.5	5-7
N.Y. Giants	91.9	92.0	92.2	92.0	25	2-10
Washington	91.4	92.2	91.8	91.8	18	3-9
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Minnesota	106.4	105.0	105.2	105.6	23	8-4
Green Bay	102.0	102.2	102.5	102.2	24.5	9-3
Chicago	103.0	100.3	100.3	101.2	17	6-6
Detroit	97.4	96.0	96.1	96.5	24.5	3-8-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	107.4	105.5	105.8	106.2	25	10-2
Tampa Bay	98.9	100.6	101.0	100.2	29	5-7
Atlanta	97.5	97.5	97.1	97.3	25.5	3-9
Carolina	96.6	96.5	96.8	96.6	25.5	5-7
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
San Francisco	109.0	109.9	110.5	109.8	24	10-2
LA Rams	105.5	104.3	104.7	104.8	25.5	7-5
Seattle	104.3	104.3	104.6	104.4	25	10-2
Arizona	93.0	93.2	93.8	93.3	24	3-8-1

 

This Week’s Playoff Projections

 

AFC Seeding
1	Baltimore
2	New England
3	Houston
4	Kansas City
5	Buffalo
6	Pittsburgh
NFC Seeding
1	Seattle
2	New Orleans
3	Green Bay
4	Dallas
5	San Francisco
6	Minnesota

Wildcard Round

Houston over Pittsburgh

Buffalo over Kansas City

Green Bay over Minnesota

San Francisco over Dallas

Divisional Round

Buffalo over Baltimore

Houston over New England

Seattle over San Francisco

New Orleans over Green Bay

Conference Championship

Houston over Buffalo

Seattle over New Orleans

Super Bowl 54

Seattle over Houston