The Pi-Rate Ratings

February 22, 2019

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For Friday, February 22, 2019

PiRate Ratings Spreads

For Major Conferences and Top 25 Teams

Games Scheduled for:

Saturday

Home

Rating

HCA

Visitor

Rating

Spread

Louisville

114.1

3.0

Virginia

122.0

-4.9

Clemson

111.4

3.0

Boston College

104.2

10.2

Miami (Fla)

107.3

2.5

Georgia Tech

104.4

5.4

North Carolina

120.4

3.0

Florida St.

114.9

8.5

Notre Dame

105.5

3.0

Virginia Tech

116.0

-7.5

Syracuse

111.3

3.0

Duke

124.1

-9.8

Temple

106.8

3.0

Tulsa

103.2

6.6

Houston

114.4

3.0

South Florida

103.5

13.9

Tulane

92.3

2.0

East Carolina

93.9

0.4

Wichita St.

104.5

3.0

Memphis

106.2

1.3

Oklahoma

111.4

3.0

Texas

112.2

2.2

Baylor

111.0

3.0

West Virginia

103.9

10.1

TCU

110.3

3.0

Iowa St.

115.3

-2.0

Kansas St.

111.8

3.0

Oklahoma St.

104.5

10.3

Texas Tech

116.7

3.0

Kansas

115.5

4.2

Providence

106.2

2.5

Marquette

112.9

-4.2

Creighton

109.3

3.0

Georgetown

106.8

5.5

St. John’s

108.9

2.0

Seton Hall

108.1

2.8

Illinois

107.2

2.5

Penn St.

108.6

1.1

Maryland

113.7

3.0

Ohio St.

111.2

5.5

Nebraska

110.9

3.0

Purdue

116.4

-2.5

Northwestern

107.1

2.0

Wisconsin

115.3

-6.2

Nevada

115.3

2.5

Fresno St.

107.2

10.6

USC

106.3

3.0

Oregon St.

106.0

3.3

Washington St.

98.7

3.0

Utah

103.5

-1.8

UCLA

105.2

3.0

Oregon

107.6

0.6

Washington

110.6

3.0

Colorado

106.3

7.3

LSU

113.1

3.0

Tennessee

118.2

-2.1

Kentucky

118.2

3.0

Auburn

116.2

5.0

Ole Miss

109.9

3.0

Georgia

103.5

9.4

Florida

112.2

3.0

Missouri

104.6

10.6

Mississippi St.

112.9

3.0

South Carolina

106.1

9.8

Alabama

108.1

3.0

Vanderbilt

103.3

7.8

Arkansas

107.2

3.0

Texas A&M

105.4

4.8

Gonzaga

123.8

3.0

BYU

106.1

20.7

 

Games Scheduled for:

Sunday

Home

Rating

HCA

Visitor

Rating

Spread

North Carolina St.

112.6

2.5

Wake Forest

99.8

15.3

Central Florida

108.8

3.0

SMU

105.0

6.8

Connectucut

105.5

3.0

Cincinnati

112.0

-3.5

Xavier

105.5

3.0

Villanova

113.5

-5.0

Michigan

117.4

1.5

Michigan St.

120.2

-1.3

Rutgers

105.4

2.5

Minnesota

108.5

-0.6

Arizona St.

108.8

3.0

California

93.6

18.2

Arizona

106.2

3.0

Stanford

104.0

5.2

 

Current PiRate Ratings (1-353)

Rk

Team

PiRate

Conf

1

Duke

124.1

ACC

2

Gonzaga

123.8

West Coast

3

Virginia

122.0

ACC

4

North Carolina

120.4

ACC

5

Michigan St.

120.2

Big Ten

6

Kentucky

118.2

SEC

7

Tennessee

118.2

SEC

8

Michigan

117.4

Big Ten

9

Texas Tech

116.7

Big 12

10

Purdue

116.4

Big Ten

11

Auburn

116.2

SEC

12

Virginia Tech

116.0

ACC

13

Kansas

115.5

Big 12

14

Nevada

115.3

Mtn West

15

Wisconsin

115.3

Big Ten

16

Iowa St.

115.3

Big 12

17

Florida St.

114.9

ACC

18

Houston

114.4

AAC

19

Louisville

114.1

ACC

20

Buffalo

113.9

Mid-Amer

21

Maryland

113.7

Big Ten

22

Villanova

113.5

Big East

23

LSU

113.1

SEC

24

Marquette

112.9

Big East

25

Mississippi St.

112.9

SEC

26

North Carolina St.

112.6

ACC

27

Iowa

112.3

Big Ten

28

Florida

112.2

SEC

29

Texas

112.2

Big 12

30

Cincinnati

112.0

AAC

31

Wofford

111.9

SoCon

32

Kansas St.

111.8

Big 12

33

Oklahoma

111.4

Big 12

34

Clemson

111.4

ACC

35

Syracuse

111.3

ACC

36

Ohio St.

111.2

Big Ten

37

Baylor

111.0

Big 12

38

Nebraska

110.9

Big Ten

39

Washington

110.6

Pac-12

40

Virginia Commonwealth

110.4

Atl 10

41

TCU

110.3

Big 12

42

Saint Mary’s

110.0

West Coast

43

Mississippi

109.9

SEC

44

Utah St.

109.6

Mtn West

45

Lipscomb

109.5

Atl Sun

46

Indiana

109.4

Big Ten

47

Creighton

109.3

Big East

48

Butler

109.1

Big East

49

St. John’s

108.9

Big East

50

Arizona St.

108.8

Pac-12

51

Central Florida

108.8

AAC

52

San Francisco

108.7

West Coast

53

Penn St.

108.6

Big Ten

54

Minnesota

108.5

Big Ten

55

Belmont

108.2

OH Valley

56

Alabama

108.1

SEC

57

Seton Hall

108.1

Big East

58

Murray St.

107.9

OH Valley

59

Furman

107.7

SoCon

60

Oregon

107.6

Pac-12

61

Dayton

107.5

Atl 10

62

Toledo

107.4

Mid-Amer

63

New Mexico St.

107.3

WAC

64

Miami (Fla)

107.3

ACC

65

Illinois

107.2

Big Ten

66

Arkansas

107.2

SEC

67

Fresno St.

107.2

Mtn West

68

Northwestern

107.1

Big Ten

69

East Tennessee St.

106.9

SoCon

70

Georgetown

106.8

Big East

71

Temple

106.8

AAC

72

Hofstra

106.6

Colonial

73

Vermont

106.6

Am East

74

Liberty

106.5

Atl Sun

75

South Dakota St.

106.3

Summit

76

USC

106.3

Pac-12

77

Colorado

106.3

Pac-12

78

Memphis

106.2

AAC

79

Providence

106.2

Big East

80

Yale

106.2

Ivy

81

Arizona

106.2

Pac-12

82

BYU

106.1

West Coast

83

South Carolina

106.1

SEC

84

Oregon St.

106.0

Pac-12

85

Davidson

106.0

Atl 10

86

Pittsburgh

105.7

ACC

87

Grand Canyon

105.7

WAC

88

Notre Dame

105.5

ACC

89

Xavier

105.5

Big East

90

Connecticut

105.5

AAC

91

Texas A&M

105.4

SEC

92

Rutgers

105.4

Big Ten

93

UCLA

105.2

Pac-12

94

SMU

105.0

AAC

95

Northern Kentucky

105.0

Horizon

96

San Diego

104.9

West Coast

97

UNC Greensboro

104.8

SoCon

98

Northeastern

104.7

Colonial

99

Missouri

104.6

SEC

100

Wichita St.

104.5

AAC

101

Oklahoma St.

104.5

Big 12

102

Old Dominion

104.5

CUSA

103

Georgia Tech

104.4

ACC

104

UC Irvine

104.4

Big West

105

Bowling Green

104.3

Mid-Amer

106

Georgia Southern

104.2

Sun Belt

107

Boston College

104.2

ACC

108

San Diego St.

104.2

Mtn West

109

Ball St.

104.1

Mid-Amer

110

Stanford

104.0

Pac-12

111

West Virginia

103.9

Big 12

112

Montana

103.9

Big Sky

113

Loyola (Chi)

103.9

Mo Valley

114

Texas St.

103.8

Sun Belt

115

DePaul

103.8

Big East

116

Akron

103.6

Mid-Amer

117

Harvard

103.6

Ivy

118

South Florida

103.5

AAC

119

Utah

103.5

Pac-12

120

Austin Peay

103.5

OH Valley

121

Georgia St.

103.5

Sun Belt

122

Georgia

103.5

SEC

123

Utah Valley

103.4

WAC

124

Vanderbilt

103.3

SEC

125

Charleston

103.3

Colonial

126

Tulsa

103.2

AAC

127

Jacksonville St.

103.2

OH Valley

128

Saint Louis

103.2

Atl 10

129

Penn

103.1

Ivy

130

Western Kentucky

103.1

CUSA

131

Boise St.

102.7

Mtn West

132

Southern Miss

102.6

CUSA

133

Radford

102.5

Big South

134

North Texas

102.3

CUSA

135

Wright St.

102.3

Horizon

136

Drake

102.3

Mo Valley

137

Louisiana Tech

102.1

CUSA

138

St. Bonaventure

101.9

Atl 10

139

Loyola Marymount

101.8

West Coast

140

Central Michigan

101.7

Mid-Amer

141

George Mason

101.7

Atl 10

142

Bucknell

101.6

Patriot

143

Colgate

101.5

Patriot

144

Miami (O)

101.4

Mid-Amer

145

Louisiana Monroe

101.3

Sun Belt

146

Kent St.

101.3

Mid-Amer

147

Southern Illinois

101.3

Mo Valley

148

Rhode Island

101.2

Atl 10

149

UC Santa Barbara

101.2

Big West

150

Brown

101.1

Ivy

151

Lehigh

100.9

Patriot

152

UNLV

100.8

Mtn West

153

Northern Illinois

100.7

Mid-Amer

154

Abilene Christian

100.6

Sthland

155

Duquesne

100.6

Atl 10

156

Samford

100.6

SoCon

157

Coastal Carolina

100.5

Sun Belt

158

Missouri St.

100.4

Mo Valley

159

Cal St. Fullerton

100.3

Big West

160

Winthrop

100.3

Big South

161

Eastern Michigan

100.3

Mid-Amer

162

UTSA

100.2

CUSA

163

Pepperdine

100.0

West Coast

164

Stony Brook

100.0

Am East

165

Omaha

99.9

Summit

166

New Mexico

99.9

Mtn West

167

Northern Colorado

99.8

Big Sky

168

Wake Forest

99.8

ACC

169

Princeton

99.8

Ivy

170

UAB

99.6

CUSA

171

Purdue Fort Wayne

99.6

Summit

172

Mercer

99.6

SoCon

173

Weber St.

99.5

Big Sky

174

Northern Iowa

99.4

Mo Valley

175

Sam Houston St.

99.3

Sthland

176

Bradley

99.2

Mo Valley

177

Louisiana

99.2

Sun Belt

178

Florida Atlantic

99.1

CUSA

179

Gardner Webb

99.0

Big South

180

Richmond

99.0

Atl 10

181

Hartford

98.8

Am East

182

Washington St.

98.7

Pac-12

183

NJIT

98.7

Atl Sun

184

Dartmouth

98.6

Ivy

185

Saint Joseph’s

98.6

Atl 10

186

Campbell

98.6

Big South

187

Rider

98.6

Metro Atl

188

Valparaiso

98.5

Mo Valley

189

Hawaii

98.5

Big West

190

Appalachian St.

98.4

Sun Belt

191

IUPUI

98.4

Horizon

192

Seattle

98.3

WAC

193

UT Arlington

98.3

Sun Belt

194

Presbyterian

98.3

Big South

195

Colorado St.

98.2

Mtn West

196

Marshall

98.1

CUSA

197

Massachusetts

98.0

Atl 10

198

North Dakota St.

98.0

Summit

199

Illinois St.

97.9

Mo Valley

200

Charleston Southern

97.9

Big South

201

Maryland Baltimore Co.

97.9

Am East

202

American

97.8

Patriot

203

Green Bay

97.7

Horizon

204

UT Rio Grande Valley

97.7

WAC

205

Indiana St.

97.6

Mo Valley

206

Texas Southern

97.5

SWAC

207

North Florida

97.5

Atl Sun

208

La Salle

97.4

Atl 10

209

Oakland

97.4

Horizon

210

Cal St. Bakersfield

97.3

WAC

211

Little Rock

97.3

Sun Belt

212

Santa Clara

97.2

West Coast

213

William & Mary

97.2

Colonial

214

Illinois Chicago

97.1

Horizon

215

Pacific

97.1

West Coast

216

Hampton

97.0

Big South

217

South Alabama

97.0

Sun Belt

218

Lamar

97.0

Sthland

219

Fordham

96.9

Atl 10

220

Iona

96.8

Metro Atl

221

High Point

96.7

Big South

222

Cornell

96.7

Ivy

223

South Dakota

96.7

Summit

224

Troy

96.6

Sun Belt

225

Florida Int’l.

96.6

CUSA

226

UC Davis

96.5

Big West

227

Quinnipiac

96.5

Metro Atl

228

California Baptist

96.5

WAC

229

Boston University

96.5

Patriot

230

Long Beach St.

96.4

Big West

231

Holy Cross

96.4

Patriot

232

Evansville

96.3

Mo Valley

233

Ohio

96.3

Mid-Amer

234

Marist

96.2

Metro Atl

235

St. Francis (PA)

96.2

Northeast

236

Columbia

96.0

Ivy

237

Fairleigh Dickinson

95.9

Northeast

238

Florida Gulf Coast

95.9

Atl Sun

239

Army

95.7

Patriot

240

Drexel

95.5

Colonial

241

Missouri Kansas City

95.4

WAC

242

Delaware

95.4

Colonial

243

Robert Morris

95.3

Northeast

244

Prairie View A&M

95.3

SWAC

245

Jacksonville

95.2

Atl Sun

246

Norfolk St.

95.2

MEAC

247

Canisius

95.1

Metro Atl

248

Air Force

95.1

Mtn West

249

The Citadel

95.1

SoCon

250

Siena

95.0

Metro Atl

251

Towson

95.0

Colonial

252

Sacramento St.

95.0

Big Sky

253

Morehead St.

95.0

OH Valley

254

UMass Lowell

95.0

Am East

255

Detroit

94.9

Horizon

256

Eastern Kentucky

94.9

OH Valley

257

UNC Wilmington

94.8

Colonial

258

Montana St.

94.8

Big Sky

259

Sacred Heart

94.8

Northeast

260

George Washington

94.7

Atl 10

261

Chattanooga

94.6

SoCon

262

St. Francis (Bklyn)

94.4

Northeast

263

Middle Tennessee

94.4

CUSA

264

Eastern Washington

94.4

Big Sky

265

Arkansas St.

94.4

Sun Belt

266

Rice

94.3

CUSA

267

Western Michigan

94.3

Mid-Amer

268

New Orleans

94.2

Sthland

269

James Madison

94.2

Colonial

270

Grambling St.

94.1

SWAC

271

Youngstown St.

94.1

Horizon

272

Houston Baptist

94.0

Sthland

273

Long Island

94.0

Northeast

274

Wagner

93.9

Northeast

275

Portland St.

93.9

Big Sky

276

North Dakota

93.9

Summit

277

Texas A&M CC

93.9

Sthland

278

East Carolina

93.9

AAC

279

Southeastern Louisiana

93.8

Sthland

280

Southern Utah

93.8

Big Sky

281

North Carolina Central

93.7

MEAC

282

Albany

93.6

Am East

283

Loyola (MD)

93.6

Patriot

284

California

93.6

Pac-12

285

UTEP

93.5

CUSA

286

Monmouth

93.4

Metro Atl

287

Western Carolina

93.4

SoCon

288

Lafayette

93.3

Patriot

289

Fairfield

93.1

Metro Atl

290

UT Martin

93.0

OH Valley

291

Cal St. Northridge

93.0

Big West

292

Western Illinois

92.9

Summit

293

Eastern Illinois

92.9

OH Valley

294

Oral Roberts

92.8

Summit

295

Tennessee St.

92.8

OH Valley

296

Bethune Cookman

92.8

MEAC

297

Milwaukee

92.6

Horizon

298

Niagara

92.6

Metro Atl

299

Stephen F. Austin

92.6

Sthland

300

Longwood

92.4

Big South

301

Tulane

92.3

AAC

302

Charlotte

92.2

CUSA

303

Navy

92.0

Patriot

304

Central Arkansas

91.9

Sthland

305

UC Riverside

91.9

Big West

306

Cleveland St.

91.8

Horizon

307

Central Connecticut

91.7

Northeast

308

Northern Arizona

91.6

Big Sky

309

North Carolina A&T

91.6

MEAC

310

Idaho St.

91.6

Big Sky

311

Manhattan

91.3

Metro Atl

312

Southeast Missouri St.

91.3

OH Valley

313

Alabama St.

91.1

SWAC

314

Saint Peter’s

91.1

Metro Atl

315

Howard

91.0

MEAC

316

Denver

91.0

Summit

317

Nicholls St.

90.8

Sthland

318

Maine

90.7

Am East

319

North Alabama

90.7

Atl Sun

320

VMI

90.7

SoCon

321

Elon

90.4

Colonial

322

Florida A&M

90.2

MEAC

323

Wyoming

90.2

Mtn West

324

Mount St. Mary’s

90.1

Northeast

325

McNeese St.

90.1

Sthland

326

Portland

89.9

West Coast

327

Arkansas Pine Bluff

89.8

SWAC

328

Tennessee Tech

89.3

OH Valley

329

Jackson St.

88.8

SWAC

330

Binghamton

88.8

Am East

331

Bryant

88.7

Northeast

332

Cal Poly

88.6

Big West

333

Morgan St.

88.5

MEAC

334

USC Upstate

88.5

Big South

335

SIU Edwardsville

88.2

OH Valley

336

Stetson

87.8

Atl Sun

337

South Carolina St.

87.3

MEAC

338

Northwestern St.

87.3

Sthland

339

Southern

86.6

SWAC

340

Kennesaw St.

85.7

Atl Sun

341

UNC Asheville

85.6

Big South

342

San Jose St.

85.5

Mtn West

343

Incarnate Word

85.4

Sthland

344

Coppin St.

85.3

MEAC

345

New Hampshire

85.3

Am East

346

Alabama A&M

85.3

SWAC

347

Savannah St.

85.1

MEAC

348

Alcorn St.

84.9

SWAC

349

Idaho

84.8

Big Sky

350

Mississippi Valley St.

83.0

SWAC

351

Maryland Eastern Shore

80.8

MEAC

352

Delaware St.

79.8

MEAC

353

Chicago St.

79.3

WAC

PiRate Ratings (Alphabetical)

Rk

Team

PiRate

Conf

154

Abilene Christian

100.6

Sthland

248

Air Force

95.1

Mtn West

116

Akron

103.6

Mid-Amer

56

Alabama

108.1

SEC

346

Alabama A&M

85.3

SWAC

313

Alabama St.

91.1

SWAC

282

Albany

93.6

Am East

348

Alcorn St.

84.9

SWAC

202

American

97.8

Patriot

190

Appalachian St.

98.4

Sun Belt

81

Arizona

106.2

Pac-12

50

Arizona St.

108.8

Pac-12

66

Arkansas

107.2

SEC

327

Arkansas Pine Bluff

89.8

SWAC

265

Arkansas St.

94.4

Sun Belt

239

Army

95.7

Patriot

11

Auburn

116.2

SEC

120

Austin Peay

103.5

OH Valley

109

Ball St.

104.1

Mid-Amer

37

Baylor

111.0

Big 12

55

Belmont

108.2

OH Valley

296

Bethune Cookman

92.8

MEAC

330

Binghamton

88.8

Am East

131

Boise St.

102.7

Mtn West

107

Boston College

104.2

ACC

229

Boston University

96.5

Patriot

105

Bowling Green

104.3

Mid-Amer

176

Bradley

99.2

Mo Valley

150

Brown

101.1

Ivy

331

Bryant

88.7

Northeast

142

Bucknell

101.6

Patriot

20

Buffalo

113.9

Mid-Amer

48

Butler

109.1

Big East

82

BYU

106.1

West Coast

332

Cal Poly

88.6

Big West

210

Cal St. Bakersfield

97.3

WAC

159

Cal St. Fullerton

100.3

Big West

291

Cal St. Northridge

93.0

Big West

284

California

93.6

Pac-12

228

California Baptist

96.5

WAC

186

Campbell

98.6

Big South

247

Canisius

95.1

Metro Atl

304

Central Arkansas

91.9

Sthland

307

Central Connecticut

91.7

Northeast

51

Central Florida

108.8

AAC

140

Central Michigan

101.7

Mid-Amer

125

Charleston

103.3

Colonial

200

Charleston Southern

97.9

Big South

302

Charlotte

92.2

CUSA

261

Chattanooga

94.6

SoCon

353

Chicago St.

79.3

WAC

30

Cincinnati

112.0

AAC

34

Clemson

111.4

ACC

306

Cleveland St.

91.8

Horizon

157

Coastal Carolina

100.5

Sun Belt

143

Colgate

101.5

Patriot

77

Colorado

106.3

Pac-12

195

Colorado St.

98.2

Mtn West

236

Columbia

96.0

Ivy

90

Connecticut

105.5

AAC

344

Coppin St.

85.3

MEAC

222

Cornell

96.7

Ivy

47

Creighton

109.3

Big East

184

Dartmouth

98.6

Ivy

85

Davidson

106.0

Atl 10

61

Dayton

107.5

Atl 10

242

Delaware

95.4

Colonial

352

Delaware St.

79.8

MEAC

316

Denver

91.0

Summit

115

DePaul

103.8

Big East

255

Detroit

94.9

Horizon

136

Drake

102.3

Mo Valley

240

Drexel

95.5

Colonial

1

Duke

124.1

ACC

155

Duquesne

100.6

Atl 10

278

East Carolina

93.9

AAC

69

East Tennessee St.

106.9

SoCon

293

Eastern Illinois

92.9

OH Valley

256

Eastern Kentucky

94.9

OH Valley

161

Eastern Michigan

100.3

Mid-Amer

264

Eastern Washington

94.4

Big Sky

321

Elon

90.4

Colonial

232

Evansville

96.3

Mo Valley

289

Fairfield

93.1

Metro Atl

237

Fairleigh Dickinson

95.9

Northeast

28

Florida

112.2

SEC

322

Florida A&M

90.2

MEAC

178

Florida Atlantic

99.1

CUSA

238

Florida Gulf Coast

95.9

Atl Sun

225

Florida Int’l.

96.6

CUSA

17

Florida St.

114.9

ACC

219

Fordham

96.9

Atl 10

67

Fresno St.

107.2

Mtn West

59

Furman

107.7

SoCon

179

Gardner Webb

99.0

Big South

141

George Mason

101.7

Atl 10

260

George Washington

94.7

Atl 10

70

Georgetown

106.8

Big East

122

Georgia

103.5

SEC

106

Georgia Southern

104.2

Sun Belt

121

Georgia St.

103.5

Sun Belt

103

Georgia Tech

104.4

ACC

2

Gonzaga

123.8

West Coast

270

Grambling St.

94.1

SWAC

87

Grand Canyon

105.7

WAC

203

Green Bay

97.7

Horizon

216

Hampton

97.0

Big South

181

Hartford

98.8

Am East

117

Harvard

103.6

Ivy

189

Hawaii

98.5

Big West

221

High Point

96.7

Big South

72

Hofstra

106.6

Colonial

231

Holy Cross

96.4

Patriot

18

Houston

114.4

AAC

272

Houston Baptist

94.0

Sthland

315

Howard

91.0

MEAC

349

Idaho

84.8

Big Sky

310

Idaho St.

91.6

Big Sky

65

Illinois

107.2

Big Ten

214

Illinois Chicago

97.1

Horizon

199

Illinois St.

97.9

Mo Valley

343

Incarnate Word

85.4

Sthland

46

Indiana

109.4

Big Ten

205

Indiana St.

97.6

Mo Valley

220

Iona

96.8

Metro Atl

27

Iowa

112.3

Big Ten

16

Iowa St.

115.3

Big 12

191

IUPUI

98.4

Horizon

329

Jackson St.

88.8

SWAC

245

Jacksonville

95.2

Atl Sun

127

Jacksonville St.

103.2

OH Valley

269

James Madison

94.2

Colonial

13

Kansas

115.5

Big 12

32

Kansas St.

111.8

Big 12

340

Kennesaw St.

85.7

Atl Sun

146

Kent St.

101.3

Mid-Amer

6

Kentucky

118.2

SEC

208

La Salle

97.4

Atl 10

288

Lafayette

93.3

Patriot

218

Lamar

97.0

Sthland

151

Lehigh

100.9

Patriot

74

Liberty

106.5

Atl Sun

45

Lipscomb

109.5

Atl Sun

211

Little Rock

97.3

Sun Belt

230

Long Beach St.

96.4

Big West

273

Long Island

94.0

Northeast

300

Longwood

92.4

Big South

177

Louisiana

99.2

Sun Belt

145

Louisiana Monroe

101.3

Sun Belt

137

Louisiana Tech

102.1

CUSA

19

Louisville

114.1

ACC

113

Loyola (Chi)

103.9

Mo Valley

283

Loyola (MD)

93.6

Patriot

139

Loyola Marymount

101.8

West Coast

23

LSU

113.1

SEC

318

Maine

90.7

Am East

311

Manhattan

91.3

Metro Atl

234

Marist

96.2

Metro Atl

24

Marquette

112.9

Big East

196

Marshall

98.1

CUSA

21

Maryland

113.7

Big Ten

201

Maryland Baltimore Co.

97.9

Am East

351

Maryland Eastern Shore

80.8

MEAC

197

Massachusetts

98.0

Atl 10

325

McNeese St.

90.1

Sthland

78

Memphis

106.2

AAC

172

Mercer

99.6

SoCon

64

Miami (Fla)

107.3

ACC

144

Miami (O)

101.4

Mid-Amer

8

Michigan

117.4

Big Ten

5

Michigan St.

120.2

Big Ten

263

Middle Tennessee

94.4

CUSA

297

Milwaukee

92.6

Horizon

54

Minnesota

108.5

Big Ten

43

Mississippi

109.9

SEC

25

Mississippi St.

112.9

SEC

350

Mississippi Valley St.

83.0

SWAC

99

Missouri

104.6

SEC

241

Missouri Kansas City

95.4

WAC

158

Missouri St.

100.4

Mo Valley

286

Monmouth

93.4

Metro Atl

112

Montana

103.9

Big Sky

258

Montana St.

94.8

Big Sky

253

Morehead St.

95.0

OH Valley

333

Morgan St.

88.5

MEAC

324

Mount St. Mary’s

90.1

Northeast

58

Murray St.

107.9

OH Valley

303

Navy

92.0

Patriot

38

Nebraska

110.9

Big Ten

14

Nevada

115.3

Mtn West

345

New Hampshire

85.3

Am East

166

New Mexico

99.9

Mtn West

63

New Mexico St.

107.3

WAC

268

New Orleans

94.2

Sthland

298

Niagara

92.6

Metro Atl

317

Nicholls St.

90.8

Sthland

183

NJIT

98.7

Atl Sun

246

Norfolk St.

95.2

MEAC

319

North Alabama

90.7

Atl Sun

4

North Carolina

120.4

ACC

309

North Carolina A&T

91.6

MEAC

281

North Carolina Central

93.7

MEAC

26

North Carolina St.

112.6

ACC

276

North Dakota

93.9

Summit

198

North Dakota St.

98.0

Summit

207

North Florida

97.5

Atl Sun

134

North Texas

102.3

CUSA

98

Northeastern

104.7

Colonial

308

Northern Arizona

91.6

Big Sky

167

Northern Colorado

99.8

Big Sky

153

Northern Illinois

100.7

Mid-Amer

174

Northern Iowa

99.4

Mo Valley

95

Northern Kentucky

105.0

Horizon

68

Northwestern

107.1

Big Ten

338

Northwestern St.

87.3

Sthland

88

Notre Dame

105.5

ACC

209

Oakland

97.4

Horizon

233

Ohio

96.3

Mid-Amer

36

Ohio St.

111.2

Big Ten

33

Oklahoma

111.4

Big 12

101

Oklahoma St.

104.5

Big 12

102

Old Dominion

104.5

CUSA

165

Omaha

99.9

Summit

294

Oral Roberts

92.8

Summit

60

Oregon

107.6

Pac-12

84

Oregon St.

106.0

Pac-12

215

Pacific

97.1

West Coast

129

Penn

103.1

Ivy

53

Penn St.

108.6

Big Ten

163

Pepperdine

100.0

West Coast

86

Pittsburgh

105.7

ACC

326

Portland

89.9

West Coast

275

Portland St.

93.9

Big Sky

244

Prairie View A&M

95.3

SWAC

194

Presbyterian

98.3

Big South

169

Princeton

99.8

Ivy

79

Providence

106.2

Big East

10

Purdue

116.4

Big Ten

171

Purdue Fort Wayne

99.6

Summit

227

Quinnipiac

96.5

Metro Atl

133

Radford

102.5

Big South

148

Rhode Island

101.2

Atl 10

266

Rice

94.3

CUSA

180

Richmond

99.0

Atl 10

187

Rider

98.6

Metro Atl

243

Robert Morris

95.3

Northeast

92

Rutgers

105.4

Big Ten

252

Sacramento St.

95.0

Big Sky

259

Sacred Heart

94.8

Northeast

185

Saint Joseph’s

98.6

Atl 10

128

Saint Louis

103.2

Atl 10

42

Saint Mary’s

110.0

West Coast

314

Saint Peter’s

91.1

Metro Atl

175

Sam Houston St.

99.3

Sthland

156

Samford

100.6

SoCon

96

San Diego

104.9

West Coast

108

San Diego St.

104.2

Mtn West

52

San Francisco

108.7

West Coast

342

San Jose St.

85.5

Mtn West

212

Santa Clara

97.2

West Coast

347

Savannah St.

85.1

MEAC

192

Seattle

98.3

WAC

57

Seton Hall

108.1

Big East

250

Siena

95.0

Metro Atl

335

SIU Edwardsville

88.2

OH Valley

94

SMU

105.0

AAC

217

South Alabama

97.0

Sun Belt

83

South Carolina

106.1

SEC

337

South Carolina St.

87.3

MEAC

223

South Dakota

96.7

Summit

75

South Dakota St.

106.3

Summit

118

South Florida

103.5

AAC

312

Southeast Missouri St.

91.3

OH Valley

279

Southeastern Louisiana

93.8

Sthland

339

Southern

86.6

SWAC

147

Southern Illinois

101.3

Mo Valley

132

Southern Miss

102.6

CUSA

280

Southern Utah

93.8

Big Sky

138

St. Bonaventure

101.9

Atl 10

262

St. Francis (Bklyn)

94.4

Northeast

235

St. Francis (PA)

96.2

Northeast

49

St. John’s

108.9

Big East

110

Stanford

104.0

Pac-12

299

Stephen F. Austin

92.6

Sthland

336

Stetson

87.8

Atl Sun

164

Stony Brook

100.0

Am East

35

Syracuse

111.3

ACC

41

TCU

110.3

Big 12

71

Temple

106.8

AAC

7

Tennessee

118.2

SEC

295

Tennessee St.

92.8

OH Valley

328

Tennessee Tech

89.3

OH Valley

29

Texas

112.2

Big 12

91

Texas A&M

105.4

SEC

277

Texas A&M CC

93.9

Sthland

206

Texas Southern

97.5

SWAC

114

Texas St.

103.8

Sun Belt

9

Texas Tech

116.7

Big 12

249

The Citadel

95.1

SoCon

62

Toledo

107.4

Mid-Amer

251

Towson

95.0

Colonial

224

Troy

96.6

Sun Belt

301

Tulane

92.3

AAC

126

Tulsa

103.2

AAC

170

UAB

99.6

CUSA

226

UC Davis

96.5

Big West

104

UC Irvine

104.4

Big West

305

UC Riverside

91.9

Big West

149

UC Santa Barbara

101.2

Big West

93

UCLA

105.2

Pac-12

254

UMass Lowell

95.0

Am East

341

UNC Asheville

85.6

Big South

97

UNC Greensboro

104.8

SoCon

257

UNC Wilmington

94.8

Colonial

152

UNLV

100.8

Mtn West

76

USC

106.3

Pac-12

334

USC Upstate

88.5

Big South

193

UT Arlington

98.3

Sun Belt

290

UT Martin

93.0

OH Valley

204

UT Rio Grande Valley

97.7

WAC

119

Utah

103.5

Pac-12

44

Utah St.

109.6

Mtn West

123

Utah Valley

103.4

WAC

285

UTEP

93.5

CUSA

162

UTSA

100.2

CUSA

188

Valparaiso

98.5

Mo Valley

124

Vanderbilt

103.3

SEC

73

Vermont

106.6

Am East

22

Villanova

113.5

Big East

3

Virginia

122.0

ACC

40

Virginia Commonwealth

110.4

Atl 10

12

Virginia Tech

116.0

ACC

320

VMI

90.7

SoCon

274

Wagner

93.9

Northeast

168

Wake Forest

99.8

ACC

39

Washington

110.6

Pac-12

182

Washington St.

98.7

Pac-12

173

Weber St.

99.5

Big Sky

111

West Virginia

103.9

Big 12

287

Western Carolina

93.4

SoCon

292

Western Illinois

92.9

Summit

130

Western Kentucky

103.1

CUSA

267

Western Michigan

94.3

Mid-Amer

100

Wichita St.

104.5

AAC

213

William & Mary

97.2

Colonial

160

Winthrop

100.3

Big South

15

Wisconsin

115.3

Big Ten

31

Wofford

111.9

SoCon

135

Wright St.

102.3

Horizon

323

Wyoming

90.2

Mtn West

89

Xavier

105.5

Big East

80

Yale

106.2

Ivy

271

Youngstown St.

94.1

Horizon

 

PiRate Ratings (by Conference)

#

America East

PiRate

73

Vermont

106.6

164

Stony Brook

100.0

181

Hartford

98.8

201

Maryland Baltimore Co.

97.9

254

UMass Lowell

95.0

282

Albany

93.6

318

Maine

90.7

330

Binghamton

88.8

345

New Hampshire

85.3

#

American Athletic

PiRate

18

Houston

114.4

30

Cincinnati

112.0

51

Central Florida

108.8

71

Temple

106.8

78

Memphis

106.2

90

Connecticut

105.5

94

SMU

105.0

100

Wichita St.

104.5

118

South Florida

103.5

126

Tulsa

103.2

278

East Carolina

93.9

301

Tulane

92.3

#

Atlantic 10

PiRate

40

Virginia Commonwealth

110.4

61

Dayton

107.5

85

Davidson

106.0

128

Saint Louis

103.2

138

St. Bonaventure

101.9

141

George Mason

101.7

148

Rhode Island

101.2

155

Duquesne

100.6

180

Richmond

99.0

185

Saint Joseph’s

98.6

197

Massachusetts

98.0

208

La Salle

97.4

219

Fordham

96.9

260

George Washington

94.7

#

Atlantic Coast

PiRate

1

Duke

124.1

3

Virginia

122.0

4

North Carolina

120.4

12

Virginia Tech

116.0

17

Florida St.

114.9

19

Louisville

114.1

26

North Carolina St.

112.6

34

Clemson

111.4

35

Syracuse

111.3

64

Miami (Fla)

107.3

86

Pittsburgh

105.7

88

Notre Dame

105.5

103

Georgia Tech

104.4

107

Boston College

104.2

168

Wake Forest

99.8

#

Atlantic Sun

PiRate

45

Lipscomb

109.5

74

Liberty

106.5

183

NJIT

98.7

207

North Florida

97.5

238

Florida Gulf Coast

95.9

245

Jacksonville

95.2

319

North Alabama

90.7

336

Stetson

87.8

340

Kennesaw St.

85.7

#

Big 12

PiRate

9

Texas Tech

116.7

13

Kansas

115.5

16

Iowa St.

115.3

29

Texas

112.2

32

Kansas St.

111.8

33

Oklahoma

111.4

37

Baylor

111.0

41

TCU

110.3

101

Oklahoma St.

104.5

111

West Virginia

103.9

#

Big East

PiRate

22

Villanova

113.5

24

Marquette

112.9

47

Creighton

109.3

48

Butler

109.1

49

St. John’s

108.9

57

Seton Hall

108.1

70

Georgetown

106.8

79

Providence

106.2

89

Xavier

105.5

115

DePaul

103.8

#

Big Sky

PiRate

112

Montana

103.9

167

Northern Colorado

99.8

173

Weber St.

99.5

252

Sacramento St.

95.0

258

Montana St.

94.8

264

Eastern Washington

94.4

275

Portland St.

93.9

280

Southern Utah

93.8

308

Northern Arizona

91.6

310

Idaho St.

91.6

349

Idaho

84.8

#

Big South

PiRate

133

Radford

102.5

160

Winthrop

100.3

179

Gardner Webb

99.0

186

Campbell

98.6

194

Presbyterian

98.3

200

Charleston Southern

97.9

216

Hampton

97.0

221

High Point

96.7

300

Longwood

92.4

334

USC Upstate

88.5

341

UNC Asheville

85.6

#

Big Ten

PiRate

5

Michigan St.

120.2

8

Michigan

117.4

10

Purdue

116.4

15

Wisconsin

115.3

21

Maryland

113.7

27

Iowa

112.3

36

Ohio St.

111.2

38

Nebraska

110.9

46

Indiana

109.4

53

Penn St.

108.6

54

Minnesota

108.5

65

Illinois

107.2

68

Northwestern

107.1

92

Rutgers

105.4

#

Big West

PiRate

104

UC Irvine

104.4

149

UC Santa Barbara

101.2

159

Cal St. Fullerton

100.3

189

Hawaii

98.5

226

UC Davis

96.5

230

Long Beach St.

96.4

291

Cal St. Northridge

93.0

305

UC Riverside

91.9

332

Cal Poly

88.6

#

Colonial Athletic

PiRate

72

Hofstra

106.6

98

Northeastern

104.7

125

Charleston

103.3

213

William & Mary

97.2

240

Drexel

95.5

242

Delaware

95.4

251

Towson

95.0

257

UNC Wilmington

94.8

269

James Madison

94.2

321

Elon

90.4

#

Conference USA

PiRate

102

Old Dominion

104.5

130

Western Kentucky

103.1

132

Southern Miss

102.6

134

North Texas

102.3

137

Louisiana Tech

102.1

162

UTSA

100.2

170

UAB

99.6

178

Florida Atlantic

99.1

196

Marshall

98.1

225

Florida Int’l.

96.6

263

Middle Tennessee

94.4

266

Rice

94.3

285

UTEP

93.5

302

Charlotte

92.2

#

Horizon

PiRate

95

Northern Kentucky

105.0

135

Wright St.

102.3

191

IUPUI

98.4

203

Green Bay

97.7

209

Oakland

97.4

214

Illinois Chicago

97.1

255

Detroit

94.9

271

Youngstown St.

94.1

297

Milwaukee

92.6

306

Cleveland St.

91.8

#

Ivy

PiRate

80

Yale

106.2

117

Harvard

103.6

129

Penn

103.1

150

Brown

101.1

169

Princeton

99.8

184

Dartmouth

98.6

222

Cornell

96.7

236

Columbia

96.0

#

Metro Atlantic

PiRate

187

Rider

98.6

220

Iona

96.8

227

Quinnipiac

96.5

234

Marist

96.2

247

Canisius

95.1

250

Siena

95.0

286

Monmouth

93.4

289

Fairfield

93.1

298

Niagara

92.6

311

Manhattan

91.3

314

Saint Peter’s

91.1

#

Mid-American

PiRate

20

Buffalo

113.9

62

Toledo

107.4

105

Bowling Green

104.3

109

Ball St.

104.1

116

Akron

103.6

140

Central Michigan

101.7

144

Miami (O)

101.4

146

Kent St.

101.3

153

Northern Illinois

100.7

161

Eastern Michigan

100.3

233

Ohio

96.3

267

Western Michigan

94.3

#

Mideastern Athletic

PiRate

246

Norfolk St.

95.2

281

North Carolina Central

93.7

296

Bethune Cookman

92.8

309

North Carolina A&T

91.6

315

Howard

91.0

322

Florida A&M

90.2

333

Morgan St.

88.5

337

South Carolina St.

87.3

344

Coppin St.

85.3

347

Savannah St.

85.1

351

Maryland Eastern Shore

80.8

352

Delaware St.

79.8

#

Missouri Valley

PiRate

113

Loyola (Chi)

103.9

136

Drake

102.3

147

Southern Illinois

101.3

158

Missouri St.

100.4

174

Northern Iowa

99.4

176

Bradley

99.2

188

Valparaiso

98.5

199

Illinois St.

97.9

205

Indiana St.

97.6

232

Evansville

96.3

#

Mountain West

PiRate

14

Nevada

115.3

44

Utah St.

109.6

67

Fresno St.

107.2

108

San Diego St.

104.2

131

Boise St.

102.7

152

UNLV

100.8

166

New Mexico

99.9

195

Colorado St.

98.2

248

Air Force

95.1

323

Wyoming

90.2

342

San Jose St.

85.5

#

Northeast

PiRate

235

St. Francis (PA)

96.2

237

Fairleigh Dickinson

95.9

243

Robert Morris

95.3

259

Sacred Heart

94.8

262

St. Francis (Bklyn)

94.4

273

Long Island

94.0

274

Wagner

93.9

307

Central Connecticut

91.7

324

Mount St. Mary’s

90.1

331

Bryant

88.7

#

Ohio Valley

PiRate

55

Belmont

108.2

58

Murray St.

107.9

120

Austin Peay

103.5

127

Jacksonville St.

103.2

253

Morehead St.

95.0

256

Eastern Kentucky

94.9

290

UT Martin

93.0

293

Eastern Illinois

92.9

295

Tennessee St.

92.8

312

Southeast Missouri St.

91.3

328

Tennessee Tech

89.3

335

SIU Edwardsville

88.2

#

Pac-12

PiRate

39

Washington

110.6

50

Arizona St.

108.8

60

Oregon

107.6

76

USC

106.3

77

Colorado

106.3

81

Arizona

106.2

84

Oregon St.

106.0

93

UCLA

105.2

110

Stanford

104.0

119

Utah

103.5

182

Washington St.

98.7

284

California

93.6

#

Patriot

PiRate

142

Bucknell

101.6

143

Colgate

101.5

151

Lehigh

100.9

202

American

97.8

229

Boston University

96.5

231

Holy Cross

96.4

239

Army

95.7

283

Loyola (MD)

93.6

288

Lafayette

93.3

303

Navy

92.0

#

Southeastern

PiRate

6

Kentucky

118.2

7

Tennessee

118.2

11

Auburn

116.2

23

LSU

113.1

25

Mississippi St.

112.9

28

Florida

112.2

43

Mississippi

109.9

56

Alabama

108.1

66

Arkansas

107.2

83

South Carolina

106.1

91

Texas A&M

105.4

99

Missouri

104.6

122

Georgia

103.5

124

Vanderbilt

103.3

#

Southern

PiRate

31

Wofford

111.9

59

Furman

107.7

69

East Tennessee St.

106.9

97

UNC Greensboro

104.8

156

Samford

100.6

172

Mercer

99.6

249

The Citadel

95.1

261

Chattanooga

94.6

287

Western Carolina

93.4

320

VMI

90.7

#

Southland

PiRate

154

Abilene Christian

100.6

175

Sam Houston St.

99.3

218

Lamar

97.0

268

New Orleans

94.2

272

Houston Baptist

94.0

277

Texas A&M CC

93.9

279

Southeastern Louisiana

93.8

299

Stephen F. Austin

92.6

304

Central Arkansas

91.9

317

Nicholls St.

90.8

325

McNeese St.

90.1

338

Northwestern St.

87.3

343

Incarnate Word

85.4

#

Southwestern Athletic

PiRate

206

Texas Southern

97.5

244

Prairie View A&M

95.3

270

Grambling St.

94.1

313

Alabama St.

91.1

327

Arkansas Pine Bluff

89.8

329

Jackson St.

88.8

339

Southern

86.6

346

Alabama A&M

85.3

348

Alcorn St.

84.9

350

Mississippi Valley St.

83.0

#

Summit

PiRate

75

South Dakota St.

106.3

165

Omaha

99.9

171

Purdue Fort Wayne

99.6

198

North Dakota St.

98.0

223

South Dakota

96.7

276

North Dakota

93.9

292

Western Illinois

92.9

294

Oral Roberts

92.8

316

Denver

91.0

#

Sun Belt

PiRate

106

Georgia Southern

104.2

114

Texas St.

103.8

121

Georgia St.

103.5

145

Louisiana Monroe

101.3

157

Coastal Carolina

100.5

177

Louisiana

99.2

190

Appalachian St.

98.4

193

UT Arlington

98.3

211

Little Rock

97.3

217

South Alabama

97.0

224

Troy

96.6

265

Arkansas St.

94.4

#

West Coast

PiRate

2

Gonzaga

123.8

42

Saint Mary’s

110.0

52

San Francisco

108.7

82

BYU

106.1

96

San Diego

104.9

139

Loyola Marymount

101.8

163

Pepperdine

100.0

212

Santa Clara

97.2

215

Pacific

97.1

326

Portland

89.9

#

Western Athletic

PiRate

63

New Mexico St.

107.3

87

Grand Canyon

105.7

123

Utah Valley

103.4

192

Seattle

98.3

204

UT Rio Grande Valley

97.7

210

Cal St. Bakersfield

97.3

228

California Baptist

96.5

241

Missouri Kansas City

95.4

353

Chicago St.

79.3

 

Ratings of the Conferences

#

League

PiRate Avg.

1

Big Ten

111.7

2

Atlantic Coast

111.6

3

Big 12

111.3

4

Southeastern

109.9

5

Big East

108.4

6

Pac-12

104.7

7

American Athletic

104.7

8

West Coast

104.0

9

Mid-American

102.4

10

Atlantic 10

101.2

11

Mountain West

100.8

12

Ivy

100.6

13

Southern

100.5

14

Missouri Valley

99.7

15

Sun Belt

99.5

16

Conference USA

98.8

17

Western Athletic

97.9

18

Colonial Athletic

97.7

19

Horizon

97.1

20

Patriot

96.9

21

Summit

96.8

22

Big West

96.8

23

Ohio Valley

96.7

24

Atlantic Sun

96.4

25

Big South

96.1

26

America East

95.2

27

Big Sky

94.8

28

Metro Atlantic

94.5

29

Northeast

93.5

30

Southland

93.1

31

Southwestern Athletic

89.6

32

Mideastern Athletic

88.5

 

Note About The PiRate Basketball Ratings

So that we don’t have to answer this question multiple times, and there are always newcomers to this website who might wonder about this, let us re-state from past years that the basketball PiRate Ratings do not account for player injuries like Zion Williamson at Duke.  Our ratings do not account for issues with the coaching staffs, such as what is going on with an interim coach Murray Bartow at UCLA, or even the repercussions of the situation at Syracuse with Coach Jim Boeheim.

The basketball ratings use strength of schedules and Four Factors statistics with an algorithm that is slightly tweaked after every season.  How we calculate strengths of schedule is also slightly tweaked after every season.

If you follow us during football season, our football ratings do account for player injuries and mid-season coaching changes, since they are calculated differently.

 

Coming Later Today: Our Updated Bracketology 

Beginning Monday, March 4: Daily Bracketology Updates & Intensive Conference Tournament Reports

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

January 22, 2019

Fun Stuff For Stats Buffs-Part 3: Efficiency

Before getting into the meat of this final installment, I must apologize in advance for the brevity in this last segment.  Time constraints have made it impossible to thoroughly peruse individual offensive and defensive efficiency.

That may be a good thing for you the reader, because you can read the dictionary about as quickly as you can go through all the steps involved in calculating individual efficiency.  Suffice it to say that there are several parts to this calculation.  One must have a lengthy formula on a spreadsheet where a player’s and his team’s statistics can be inputted, and the spreadsheet spits out the numbers.

If you really want to know the entire process, then you absolutely must purchase the book by the number one authoritative source on the matter.

The book is: Basketball on Paper: Rules and Tools for Performance Analysis by Dean Oliver.  You might be able to find it in a library, as it is included in the catalog of more than 750 libraries throughout the nation, more than likely at a local college or university library near you.

Just to show you how involved the formulas are, it takes 18 separate calculations from start to finish for each player’s offensive number and almost as many for his defensive number.

The NCAA Selection Committee will use Team Offensive Efficiency and Team Defensive Efficiency in their process of picking the at-large teams and seeding all 68 teams.  This is rather simple and can be explained briefly.

Offensive Efficiency = Points scored per 100 possessions

Defensive Efficiency = Points allowed per 100 possessions.

In the 21st Century, possessions are kept as a statistic, but if you cannot find this number, you can estimate it very accurately by this formula.

Team Possessions = FG Attempts + (.475* FT Attempts) – Offensive Rebounds + Turnovers

In the NBA, substitute .44 for .475 in FT Attempts.

Obviously, round the product from the Free Throw Attempts formula to the nearest whole number.

Let’s look at some examples for a game, a season to date, and some past seasons.

Example #1. Nevada vs. Air Force, January 19, 2019

Nevada defeated Air Force 67-52 last Saturday in Reno.  The Wolfpack totally shut down the Falcons’ offense, while Air Force played capable defense on the perimeter, forcing Nevada players to hurry their three-point shots.

For the game, Nevada had 57 total field goal attempts, 23 free throw attempts, 9 offensive rebounds, and 14 turnovers.

To calculate possessions, plug the numbers into the equation:

57 + (.475 * 23) -9 + 14 = 73

For Air Force, their stat line included 51 total field goal attempts, just 9 free throw attempts, 3 offensive rebounds, and 21 turnovers.

51 + (.475 * 9) -3 + 21 = 73

Possessions must be equal or off by one or two between the teams, because after one team completes a possession, the other team gets the ball.  Two is the most advantageous one team can have over the other in possessions.  This comes about when the team that gets the opening tap also gets the last possession of the first half, as well as the first and last possession of the game.  It happens very rarely, because in order to have the first and last possession of both halves, there must be an odd number of jump ball calls in the first half so that the team that got the opening tap also gets the first possession of the second half..

Let’s get back to the calculation.

Nevada scored 67 points on 73 possessions

67/73 = 0.918 or 91.8 points per 100 possessions

Air Force scored 52 points on 73 possessions

52/73 = .712 or 71.2 points per 100 possessions

 

Example #2: Gonzaga vs. San Francisco, January 12, 2019

In this key West Coast Conference game with first place in the league on the line, Gonzaga went to the Bay and beat the Dons 96-83.

Gonzaga: 69 FGA, 21 FTA, 12 Off Reb, 4 TOV

69 + (.475 * 21) – 12 + 4 = 71 possessions

USF: 69 FGA, 25 FTA, 14 Off Reb, 5 TOV

69 + (.475 * 25) – 14 + 5 = 72 possessions

Gonzaga 96 points on 71 possessions = 1.352 points per possession or 135.2 points per 100 possessions.

San Francisco 83 points on 72 possessions = 1.153 points per possession or 115.3 points per 100 possessions.

 

Example 3: Michigan Wolverines to date

Michigan used to win games by three-point barrages and fast break points and limited defense.  Then, after assistant coach Luke Yaklich came to Ann Arbor to install his multiple defenses, the Maize and Blue became just as tough on the defensive side if not better defensively.

So far this year, the Wolverines have these offensive and defensive stats through 18 games.

Offense: 1,021 FGA, 318 FTA, 165 Off. Rebounds, 175 Turnovers in 18 games

1021 + (.475 * 318) – 165 + 175 = 1,182 total possessions and 65.7 possessions per game.

Michigan has scored 1,306 points in 18 games.

1,306 / 1,182 * 100 = 110.5 points per 100 possessions.

Michigan’s Defense has given up: 1,003 FGA, 210 FTA, 142 off. Rebounds, and  237 turnovers.

1,003 + (.475 * 210) – 142 + 237 = 1,198 total possessions and 66.6 possessions per game.

Michigan has surrendered 1,027 points in 18 games.

1,027 / 1,198 * 100 = 85.7 points per 100 possessions.

A raw point spread between two teams can be estimated by combining their offensive and defensive points 100 possessions and factoring in strengths of schedule and home court advantage.

Let’s look at State vs. Tech in an imaginary matchup.

State has an offensive efficiency of 110 points per 100 possessions and a defensive efficiency of 90 points per 100 possessions against a schedule 3 points weaker than average.  They average 76 possessions per game, and their home court advantage is worth 3 points.

Tech has an offensive efficiency of 102 points per 100 possessions and a defensive efficiency of 99 points per 100 possessions against a schedule 8 points better than average.  They average 66 possessions per game.

For the year in question, the national average for possessions is 70 per game, so State plays at a tempo of about 8.6% above average, while Tech plays at a tempo of about 5.7% below average.  Because it is easier for one team to slow pace down more than it is for another team to speed pace up (unless they press full court for most of the game), it can be estimated that this game will have about 69 possessions.

If State outscores its opponents by 20 points per 100 possessions, in 69 possessions, this equates to 13.8 points.

If Tech outscores its opponents by 3 points per 100 possessions, in 69 possessions, this equates to 2.07 points.

To this point, State looks like an 11.73 point favorite over Tech, but this is not the case.  Schedule strength and home court advantage must be included.

If Tech’s schedule on average has been about 11 points tougher per game than State, you then add those 11 points in Tech’s favor.  Now, the State’s advantage has been reduced to 0.73 points.  Tech’s home court advantage is 3 points, so the expected outcome would be State by 3.73, or 4 points.

This is a crude method once used by the PiRate Ratings, as the Blue Rating.  We no longer use this method, as there are more accurate ways to determine pointspreads, namely using algorithms of the Four Factors with schedule strengths, home court advantage, and road team disadvantage.

Example 4: Villanova 2018 season

The Wildcats won their second national championship in three years last season, finishing with a 36-4 record.  They scored 3,463 points and allowed 2,807 points in 40 games.

Here are their pertinent stats to calculate efficiency.

Field Goal Attempts: 2,440

Opponents: 2,401

Free Throw Attempts: 718

Opponents: 641

Offensive Rebounds: 380

Opponents: 378

Turnovers: 426

Opponents: 512

Possessions: 2,440 + (.475 * 718) – 380 + 426 = 2,827 (70.7 possessions per game)

Opponents: 2,401 + (.475 * 641) – 378 + 512 = 2,839 (71.0 possessions per game)

Offensive Efficiency

3,463/2,827 * 100 = 122.5 points per 100 possessions

Defensive Efficiency

2,807/2839 * 100 = 98.9 points per 100 possessions

 

How does this compare to past national champions?  Because offensive rebounding stats were not officially kept until this century, it can only be estimated for the 20th Century.  No doubt the UCLA teams of 1967 thru 1969 and 1972 and 1973 would be off the charts great, as the Bruins dominated in every aspect of the game during their dynasty years.

There are some very fine teams that won championships in recent years, so let’s look at the national champions during this time.  The number shown is the total scoring margin per 100 possessions.  Of course, schedule strength is not equal for these teams, but on the whole, there is not a lot of difference, as these champions all played schedules between 5 and 10 points above the national average.

When adjusted to schedule strength, here are the 10 best teams in the 21st Century using the PiRate Ratings formula.

2008: Kansas 124.0

2001: Duke 123.6

2018: Villanova 122.9

2010: Duke 122.1

2013: Louisville 121.8

2005: North Carolina 121.7

2012: Kentucky 121.5

2015: Duke 121.3 

2016: Villanova 120.9

2009: North Carolina 120.3

2007: Florida 120.1

2002: Maryland 119.6

2004: Connecticut 117.9

2006: Florida 117.1

2017: North Carolina 117.0

2011: Connecticut 115.8

2003: Syracuse 115.1

2014: Connecticut 111.6

Note that the national champions through these seasons were not necessarily the highest rated team by efficiency.  For instance, Connecticut was not considered a factor at the end of the 2011 regular season.  They finished tied for 9th in the Big East, and thus they had to play in the opening round of the conference tournament.  To win the conference tournament, they would have to do something never done before or since–win five games in five days.  The Huskies became the big story of Championship Week win Coach Jim Calhoun rode his star guard Kemba Walker to the title, winning five games in five days at Madison Square Garden, as Walker performed for his friends and family from the Bronx, averaging 26 points per game by taking it to the hoop and drawing enough fouls to shoot 54 free throws in just five games.

The Huskies were on a roll, and they won six more games in the Big Dance.  They finished 11-0 and still only rose to 15.8 points better than average against an average schedule.  Before this 11-game streak, UConn was just 9-9 in the conference.  However, the Huskies had played a very difficult schedule that included 18 ranked opponents, in which they went 12-6 in those games.  All nine of their losses came to NCAA Tournament teams, so strength of schedule was terribly important in factoring their adjusted efficiency.

 

2019 Top Efficiency

By now, you must want to know which teams are at the top in total efficiency?  It should come as no surprise that the NET Ratings and the Efficiency Ratings are about the same.

Virginia, Duke, Michigan State, Gonzaga, and Tennessee are at the tops in adjusted efficiency, or to put it bluntly, what the NCAA Selection Committee will look at.  Likewise, these are also the top five teams in NET Ratings, so if the Selection Committed picked the bracket today, four of these five would be your number one seeds, and the fifth would be the top number two seed.

This doesn’t mean that one of these five teams will win the national championship, but the odds are that from this group of five, there is about a 50-50 chance that one will win the title.  Of course, this is only a mid-season ranking.  The ranking on March 17.

 

Individual Efficiency

I won’t begin to explain individual offensive and defensive efficiency, as my only recommendation it to read Basketball on Paper, as Oliver is the Bill James (or Tom Tango) of basketball analysis.

Let me just list which players from the power conferences rate at the top.

Can you guess who is the current number one player in efficiency?  I bet if you had one free guess to win a car on a game show, you’d win the car.

The best player in college ball today is the best player in total efficiency.  It comes as no surprise that Duke’s Zion Williamson is number one, and he is far ahead of the field.  Gonzaga’s Brandon Clarke is a distant number two, and Wisconin’s Ethan Happ is almost as far being Clarke in third place as Clarke is behind Williamson.

Before you think that this rating is due to just these three players being great, let me add that their coaches and teammates are also important in this rating.  Coach Mike Krzyzewski has produced a lot of highly efficient players.  Sure, most of them were McDonald’s All-Americans, but there are some of these 5-star players in recent history that are not all that efficient.

Vanderbilt’s Simi Shittu was the Number 7 overall player in this current freshman class, a 5-star McDonald’s All-American.  The Commodores are one of the least efficient teams from a Power Conference, and Shittu’s numbers have headed south once SEC play began, and the opposition quickly learned his liabilities.  Shittu actually owns a negative offensive efficiency rating through 17 games, and an even worse rating in five conference games, as he has negative efficiency in both offense and defense.  It doesn’t help his efficiency when he has a 7.8% three-point accuracy, low free throw percentage, and a high turnover percentage.  I have heard comparisons made to former St. John’s 5-star player Wayne McKoy from the 1970’s, when McKoy went from top player in the freshman class to never playing in the NBA.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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