PiRate Ratings College Basketball For March 4, 2020

Wednesday’s Games

 

Home	Visitor	Spread
Arkansas	LSU	2.8
Auburn	Texas A&M	12.7
Butler	St. John’s	7.6
Central Florida	SMU	-0.2
Charlotte	North Texas	-3.9
Colorado St.	Wyoming	14.3
Creighton	Georgetown	8.9
Eastern Illinois	Jacksonville St.	4.8
Fresno St.	Air Force	4.0
George Mason	Saint Louis	-2.8
George Washington	Fordham	5.7
Georgia	Florida	-2.2
Georgia Tech	Pittsburgh	6.7
Incarnate Word	Houston Baptist	2.8
Indiana	Minnesota	2.9
Iona	Quinnipiac	5.5
Kansas	TCU	18.2
La Salle	Massachusetts	3.3
Long Island	Fairleigh Dickinson	4.8
Louisiana Tech	Florida Intl.	9.2
Marist	Canisius	0.2
Marshall	Florida Atlantic	5.6
Miami (Fla.)	Virginia	-1.4
Middle Tennessee	UTEP	-2.4
Monmouth	Fairfield	8.0
New Mexico	San Jose St.	10.5
Nicholls	McNeese	5.9
Northwestern St.	New Orleans	3.4
Notre Dame	Florida St.	-2.7
Oklahoma St.	Kansas St.	6.2
Old Dominion	UTSA	4.6
Ole Miss	Missouri	4.3
Providence	Xavier	3.1
Rhode Island	Dayton	-4.1
Rider	Manhattan	7.6
Robert Morris	St. Francis (NY)	8.6
Sacred Heart	Mount St. Mary’s	8.6
Seton Hall	Villanova	4.3
Siena	Niagara	10.7
Southeast Louisiana	Central Arkansas	-3.4
Southern Miss	Rice	-0.5
St. Bonaventure	Saint Joseph’s	11.8
St. Francis (PA)	Bryant	6.5
Temple	Tulsa	2.0
Tennessee St.	Morehead St.	6.1
Texas A&M-CC	Sam Houston St.	-2.8
UC Irvine	Cal St. Northridge	12.8
Virginia Tech	Clemson	0.9
Wisconsin	Northwestern	13.5

 

Key TV Games on Wednesday

 

Time (EST)	Network	Home	Visitor
6:30 PM	FS1	Providence	Xavier
7:00 PM	SECN	Arkansas	LSU
8:00 PM	ESPN+	Kansas	TCU
8:30 PM	FS1	Seton Hall	Villanova
9:00 PM	CBSSN	Rhode Island	Dayton

 

Conference Tournament Section

 

Tuesday’s Results

 

Atlantic Sun Tournament
Quarterfinals
Winner	Score	Loser	Score
Liberty	55	NJIT	49
Stetson	82	North Alabama	72
Lipscomb	68	Florida Gulf Coast	63
North Florida	91	Jacksonville	88

 

Semifinals	March 5	at Higher Seed’s Home Court
Home	Visitor	Time (ET)	TV
1 Liberty (28-4)	4 Stetson (16-16)	7:00 PM	ESPN+
2 North Florida (21-11)	3 Lipscomb (15-15)	7:00 PM	ESPN+

 

 

Big South Tournament
1st Round
Winner	Score	Loser	Score
USC Upstate	69	High Point	59
UNC-Asheville	72	Campbell	68
Charleston Southern	81	Presbyterian	64

 

Quarterfinals	March 5	at #1 Seed Radford
Team	Team	Time (ET)	TV
2 Winthrop (21-10)	7 USC Upstate (13-19)	12:00 PM	ESPN3
3 Gardner-Webb (15-15)	6 UNC-Asheville (15-15)	2:00 PM	ESPN3
1 Radford (20-10)	8 Charleston Southern (14-17)	6:00 PM	ESPN3
4 Longwood (14-17)	5 Hampton (13-18)	8:00 PM	ESPN3

 

 

Horizon League Tournament
1st Round
Winner	Score	Loser	Score
Illinois Chicago	93	IUPUI	59
Youngstown St.	63	Milwaukee	57
Oakland	80	Cleveland St.	59

 

Quarterfinals	March 5	at Higher Seed’s Home Court
Home	Visitor	Time (ET)	TV
3 Green Bay (16-15)	6 Oakland (14-18)	8:00 PM	ESPN+
4 Illinois Chicago (15-17)	5 Youngstown (18-14)	8:00 PM	ESPN+

 

Patriot League Tournament
1st Round
Winner	Score	Loser	Score
Bucknell	65	Holy Cross	62
Lehigh	78	Loyola (MD)	75

 

Quarterfinals	March 5	at Higher Seed’s Home Court
Home	Visitor	Time (ET)	TV
2 American (16-13)	7 Bucknell (13-19)	7:00 PM	Pat League Network
3 Boston U (18-13)	6 Navy (14-15)	7:00 PM	Pat League Network
4 Army (15-14)	5 Lafayette (18-11)	7:00 PM	Pat League Network
1 Colgate (23-8)	8 Lehigh (11-20)	7:00 PM	Pat League Network

 

 

Tournaments Beginning Wednesday

 

Mountain West Tournament
1st Round	March 4	Las Vegas (Thomas & Mack Center)
Team	Team	Time (ET)	TV
8 Fresno St. (11-18)	9 Air Force (11-19)	3:00 PM	Mountain West Net.
7 New Mexico (18-13)	10 San Jose St. (7-23)	5:30 PM	Mountain West Net.
6 Colorado St. (20-11)	11 Wyoming (7-23)	8:00 PM	Mountain West Net.

 

 

Northeast Tournament
Quarterfinals	March 4	at Higher Seed’s Home Court
Home	Visitor	Time (ET)	TV
1 Robert Morris (17-14)	8 St. Francis (NY) (13-17)	7:00 PM	http://necfrontrow.com/
2 St. Francis (PA) (20-9)	7 Bryant (15-16)	7:00 PM	http://necfrontrow.com/
3 Sacred Heart (19-12)	6 Mount St. Mary’s (11-20)	7:00 PM	http://necfrontrow.com/
4 Long Island (14-17)	5 Fairleigh-Dickinson (11-18)	7:00 PM	http://necfrontrow.com/

 

 

Ohio Valley Tournament
1st Round	March 4	Evansville, IN (Ford Center)
Team	Team	Time (ET)	TV
5 Tennessee St. (17-14)	8 Morehead St. (13-18)	7:30 PM	ESPN+
6 Eastern Illinois (16-14)	7 Jacksonville St. (13-18)	9:30 PM	ESPN+

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For March 1, 2020

Sunday’s Games

 

Home	Visitor	Spread
Charlotte	Florida Intl.	3.7
Fairfield	Rider	-2.0
Georgetown	Xavier	1.9
Houston	Cincinnati	6.9
Illinois	Indiana	4.6
Louisville	Virginia Tech	13.4
Monmouth	Manhattan	5.8
Nebraska	Northwestern	2.8
North Texas	Western Kentucky	5.5
Northeastern	Towson	4.2
Ohio St.	Michigan	4.4
Old Dominion	Florida Atlantic	4.8
Quinnipiac	Marist	5.1
Rhode Island	Saint Louis	7.0
Rice	Middle Tennessee	7.2
SMU	Wichita St.	-0.9
St. John’s	Creighton	-4.0
Stanford	Colorado	1.3
Temple	South Florida	5.1
UTEP	Southern Miss	6.6
UTSA	UAB	2.2
Wisconsin	Minnesota	4.4

 

Sunday’s Key TV Games

 

Time (EST)	Network	Home	Visitor
1:00 PM	ESPN	Houston	Cincinnati
2:00 PM	CBS	Georgetown	Xavier
2:00 PM	BTN	Illinois	Indiana
2:00 PM	ESPNU	Rhode Island	Saint Louis
4:00 PM	CBS	Ohio St.	Michigan
4:00 PM	ESPNU	SMU	Wichita St.
6:00 PM	ESPNU	Stanford	Colorado
6:30 PM	BTN	Wisconsin	Minnesota

 

Conference Tournaments Start Tuesday Night

Coming Tuesday, we begin our daily conference tournament coverage all the way to Selection Sunday. 

The Atlantic Sun, Big South, Horizon, and Patriot Leagues will get started on Tuesday. 

On Wednesday, the Mountain West, Northeast, and Ohio Valley Conferences commence post-season play. 

On Thursday, the Missouri Valley (Arch Madness) and The West Coast Conference start tournament play.

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For February 18, 2020

Tuesday’s Games

 

Home	Visitor	Spread
Bryant	Merrimack	1.3
Buffalo	Ball St.	1.7
Central Connecticut	Fairleigh Dickinson	-6.8
Eastern Michigan	Kent St.	-2.5
Florida	Arkansas	3.9
Florida St.	Pittsburgh	12.1
Long Island	St. Francis (NY)	6.9
LSU	Kentucky	2.2
Marquette	Creighton	3.4
Maryland	Northwestern	16.6
Massachusetts	Saint Louis	-3.7
Missouri	Ole Miss	2.3
New Mexico	Nevada	-1.7
Ohio	Central Michigan	2.5
Oklahoma	Baylor	-3.1
Penn St.	Illinois	7.1
Saint Joseph’s	Davidson	-11.3
St. Francis (PA)	Robert Morris	5.0
Tennessee	Vanderbilt	12.2
UNLV	Colorado St.	0.1
VCU	Dayton	-3.1
Wagner	Mount St. Mary’s	-2.2
West Virginia	Oklahoma St.	11.5
Western Michigan	Akron	-9.2
Wisconsin	Purdue	2.6

Tuesday’s Top TV Games

(Where both teams are contending for a conference championship or NCAA Tournament at-large bid.)

 

Time (EST)	Network	Home	Visitor
6:30 PM	FS1	Penn St.	Illinois
7:00 PM	ESPNU	Florida	Arkansas
7:00 PM	ESPN	Wisconsin	Purdue
8:30 PM	CBSSN	VCU	Dayton
8:30 PM	FS1	Marquette	Creighton
9:00 PM	ESPN2	Oklahoma	Baylor
9:00 PM	ESPN	LSU	Kentucky

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings Bracketology For January 31, 2020

 

Date	1/31/2020
Seed	Team	Team	Team	Team	Team	Team
1	Baylor	Gonzaga	San Diego St.	Kansas
2	Seton Hall	Duke	Dayton	Louisville
3	Villanova	West Virginia	Oregon	Florida St.
4	Michigan St.	Maryland	Butler	Kentucky
5	Auburn	Penn St.	Iowa	LSU
6	Creighton	Colorado	Illinois	Rutgers
7	Marquette	Arizona	USC	Houston
8	Wichita St.	Arkansas	Ohio St.	Indiana
9	Saint Mary’s	Michigan	Texas Tech	Wisconsin
10	Oklahoma	Florida	BYU	Stanford
11	Memphis	VCU	Northern Iowa	Rhode Island	North Carolina St.
12	Liberty	East Tennessee St.	North Texas	Purdue	Virginia
13	Stephen F. Austin	Harvard	Vermont	Wright St.
14	UC-Irvine	New Mexico St.	Winthrop	Bowling Green
15	Colgate	William & Mary	Little Rock	Murray St.
16	South Dakota St.	Eastern Washington	Monmouth	Prairie View	Robert Morris	Norfolk St.

 

First Four Out
Mississippi St.	Minnesota	Alabama	Texas Tech

Next Four Out
Arizona St.	Texas	Syracuse	Utah St.

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings Bracketology For January 27, 2020

 

Date	1/27/2020
Seed	Team	Team	Team	Team	Team	Team
1	Baylor	Gonzaga	San Diego St.	Kansas
2	Florida St.	Duke	Seton Hall	Louisville
3	West Virginia	Oregon	Michigan St.	Dayton
4	Villanova	Butler	Maryland	Kentucky
5	Iowa	Colorado	Creighton	Penn St.
6	LSU	Illinois	Auburn	Wisconsin
7	Rutgers	Arizona	Marquette	Houston
8	Wichita St.	USC	Indiana	Ohio St.
9	Arkansas	Oklahoma	Stanford	Saint Mary’s
10	Michigan	Florida	BYU	Texas Tech
11	N. Carolina St.	Purdue	East Tennessee St.	VCU	Virginia Tech
12	Northern Iowa	Akron	Stephen F. Austin	Memphis	Minnesota
13	Liberty	New Mexico St.	Harvard	Vermont
14	North Texas	Wright St.	Colgate	Little Rock
15	William & Mary	Murray St.	UC-Irvine	South Dakota St.
16	Winthrop	Montana	Monmouth	Norfolk St.	Prairie View A&M	Robert Morris

First Four Out
DePaul	Arizona St.	Syracuse	Alabama
Next Four Out
Rhode Island	Virginia	Richmond	Tennessee

 

Tonight’s Best TV Games

Time	Network	Home	Visitor
6:00 PM 6:00 PM	ESPNU ESPN	Norfolk St. North Carolina St.	Florida A&M North Carolina
7:30 PM	BigTen	Iowa	Wisconsin
8:00 PM	ESPN2	Oklahoma St.	Kansas

 

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For January 21, 2020

College Basketball Teams Playing Tuesday

 

Home	Visitor	Spread
Villanova	Butler	1.1
Kansas	Kansas St.	17.5
Kentucky	Georgia	10.0
South Florida	Wichita St.	-5.0
Northwestern	Maryland	-8.6
Purdue	Illinois	5.0
Kent St.	Northern Illinois	8.5
Ohio	Toledo	-3.6
Bowling Green	Eastern Michigan	7.2
Buffalo	Western Michigan	9.1
LSU	Florida	2.9
Miami (O)	Akron	-6.6
TCU	Texas Tech	-3.1
Clemson	Wake Forest	6.2
Iowa St.	Oklahoma St.	4.7
Duke	Miami	19.2
Wisconsin	Nebraska	12.9
Missouri	Texas A&M	10.2
Marquette	St. John’s	8.5
Saint Joseph’s	VCU	-12.2
Tennessee	Ole Miss	7.7
New Mexico	San Jose St.	14.7
San Diego St.	Wyoming	26.2
Utah St.	Air Force	12.6

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For January 8, 2020

Power Conference & Top 25 Teams Playing Wednesday

 

Home	Visitor	Spread
Alabama	Mississippi St.	3.4
Auburn	Vanderbilt	16.4
Boise St.	UNLV	6.0
Cincinnati	Tulsa	8.0
Connecticut	Tulane	11.0
Georgetown	St. John’s	5.0
Georgia Tech	Duke	-13.1
Indiana	Northwestern	11.1
Iowa St.	Kansas	-7.2
LSU	Arkansas	4.5
North Carolina	Pittsburgh	6.5
North Carolina St.	Notre Dame	5.5
San Jose St.	Nevada	-11.9
SMU	Central Florida	6.1
Texas	Oklahoma	1.4
Wake Forest	Florida St.	-6.4
Wisconsin	Illinois	3.8
Wyoming	San Diego St.	-18.6
Xavier	Seton Hall	0.7

 

PiRate College Football Ratings: December 8, 2019

PiRate Ratings Final Bowl & Playoff Projections

 

Bowl	Conf	Conf	Team	Team
Bahamas	MAC	CUSA	Buffalo	Charlotte
Frisco	AAC	At-large	SMU	[Marshall]
Cure	AAC	SBC	Central Florida	Georgia St.
New Mexico	CUSA	MWC	UAB	Wyoming
Boca Raton	AAC	MAC	Navy	Ohio
Camellia	MAC	SBC	Western Michigan	Arkansas St.
Las Vegas	MWC #1	Pac-12	Boise St.	Arizona St.
New Orleans	CUSA	SBC #1	Louisiana Tech	Appalachian St.
Gasparilla	AAC	CUSA	Tulane	Southern Miss.
Hawaii	BYU/MWC	AAC/MWC	BYU	Hawaii
Independence	ACC	SEC	Miami (Fla.)	[Western Kentucky]
Quick Lane	ACC	Big Ten	Boston College	[Eastern Michigan]
Military	ACC	AAC	North Carolina	Temple
Pinstripe	ACC	Big Ten	Pittsburgh	Michigan St.
Texas	Big 12	SEC	Oklahoma St.	Mississippi St.
Holiday	Pac-12	Big Ten	USC	Iowa
Cheez-It	Big 12	Pac-12	[Air Force]	Washington St.
Camping World	ACC	Big 12	Notre Dame	Texas
Cotton	At-large	At-large	[Penn St.]	Memphis
First Responder	CUSA	Big 12	Florida Atlantic	[Liberty]
Redbox	Pac-12	Big Ten	California	Illinois
Music City	SEC	ACC	Tennessee	Louisville
Orange	ACC	BTen/SEC	Virginia	Florida
Belk	ACC	SEC	Wake Forest	Texas A&M
Sun	ACC	Pac-12	Virginia Tech	Washington
Liberty	Big 12	SEC	Iowa St.	[Florida Int’l.]
Arizona	SBC	MWC	Georgia Southern	San Diego St.
Alamo	Big 12	Pac-12	Kansas St.	Utah
Citrus	SEC	BTen/ACC	Alabama	Michigan
Outback	Big Ten	SEC	Minnesota	Auburn
Rose	Big Ten	Pac-12	Wisconsin	Oregon
Sugar	Big 12	SEC	Baylor	Georgia
Birmingham	AAC	SEC	Cincinnati	[Florida St.]
Taxslayer/Gator	SEC	Big Ten	Kentucky	Indiana
Idaho Potato	MAC	MWC	Miami (O)	Nevada
Armed Forces	Big Ten	MWC	[Kent St.]	Utah St.
Lending Tree	MAC	SBC	Central Michigan	Louisiana
FBS PLAYOFFS
Fiesta	Top 4	Top 4	Ohio St.	Clemson
Peach	Top 4	Top 4	LSU	Oklahoma
Championship	Fiesta	Peach	Clemson	LSU
Teams in [Brackets] are at-large selections

 

This Week’s Spread

Saturday	December 14
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Navy	Army	6.2	8.3	8.2

Game played in Philadelphia

 

PiRate Ratings
#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
1	Ohio St.	141.7	140.8	142.5	141.7
2	Clemson	140.1	138.5	141.5	140.0
3	L S U	137.6	135.7	138.0	137.1
4	Alabama	128.8	125.7	129.1	127.9
5	Georgia	126.3	124.5	126.4	125.7
6	Michigan	125.6	124.3	125.9	125.3
7	Florida	125.9	123.5	125.8	125.0
8	Utah	124.3	123.4	124.9	124.2
9	Oklahoma	123.1	122.7	122.9	122.9
10	Wisconsin	122.7	122.6	123.1	122.8
11	Oregon	122.0	121.9	122.8	122.2
12	Auburn	122.9	121.1	122.7	122.2
13	Penn St.	121.4	120.5	121.4	121.1
14	Notre Dame	120.8	119.9	121.0	120.6
15	Iowa	118.4	116.9	118.0	117.8
16	Baylor	117.5	117.5	116.7	117.2
17	Minnesota	117.2	116.8	116.5	116.8
18	Texas A&M	115.1	112.5	113.3	113.7
19	Washington	113.1	112.8	114.0	113.3
20	Iowa St.	112.9	113.2	112.7	112.9
21	Kansas St.	112.4	112.3	112.3	112.3
22	Kentucky	112.4	111.3	111.6	111.8
23	Central Florida	111.6	111.1	112.1	111.6
24	U S C	111.0	111.6	111.8	111.5
25	Texas	111.1	111.4	111.0	111.2
26	Virginia Tech	110.5	110.5	111.2	110.7
27	Memphis	110.1	110.4	111.1	110.5
28	Tennessee	110.7	110.4	110.1	110.4
29	Oklahoma St.	110.3	110.8	109.7	110.3
30	Mississippi St.	109.8	106.6	113.3	109.9
31	Washington St.	110.0	109.2	110.0	109.7
32	Indiana	109.9	108.9	109.5	109.4
33	Appalachian St.	109.4	108.9	108.6	109.0
34	Virginia	107.3	107.2	107.6	107.4
35	Missouri	109.9	107.5	108.5	108.6
36	T C U	107.7	109.7	107.9	108.4
37	Boise St.	108.1	108.5	108.4	108.3
38	South Carolina	109.0	107.1	108.0	108.0
39	North Carolina	107.7	107.6	108.4	107.9
40	Arizona St.	107.9	107.3	108.1	107.8
41	Ole Miss	107.8	106.9	108.1	107.6
42	Michigan St.	107.7	106.8	106.7	107.1
43	Nebraska	106.3	106.5	105.6	106.1
44	Cincinnati	105.9	105.5	106.1	105.8
45	Air Force	104.6	106.4	105.6	105.5
46	SMU	104.8	104.7	105.4	105.0
47	Florida St.	104.8	104.6	104.9	104.8
48	Miami (Fla.)	104.5	104.0	105.1	104.5
49	Texas Tech	104.6	104.9	103.7	104.4
50	Purdue	104.1	103.9	103.7	103.9
51	California	103.7	103.5	104.2	103.8
52	Louisiana	103.1	103.4	102.8	103.1
53	Wake Forest	103.1	102.4	103.3	102.9
54	Northwestern	103.4	102.6	102.1	102.7
55	West Virginia	102.7	102.7	102.3	102.5
56	Illinois	102.2	102.8	101.8	102.3
57	Pittsburgh	102.4	101.8	102.3	102.2
58	BYU	102.1	102.3	101.6	102.0
59	Florida Atlantic	101.3	101.5	102.6	101.8
60	Boston College	101.9	101.4	102.0	101.8
61	Oregon St.	101.2	102.1	101.5	101.6
62	Navy	100.3	102.6	101.6	101.5
63	Stanford	101.6	100.6	100.8	101.0
64	Louisville	100.2	99.8	99.9	100.0
65	Tulane	99.6	100.2	100.0	99.9
66	Temple	99.4	99.3	100.5	99.7
67	Wyoming	98.6	100.3	98.9	99.3
68	Syracuse	99.7	98.9	98.9	99.2
69	Duke	99.4	98.6	99.1	99.0
70	Georgia Southern	99.0	99.1	98.7	99.0
71	Colorado	98.6	98.5	98.7	98.6
72	U C L A	98.7	98.3	98.2	98.4
73	Ohio	98.4	97.6	98.9	98.3
74	San Diego St.	97.6	99.2	97.6	98.1
75	Western Michigan	97.6	96.6	97.1	97.1
76	Hawaii	96.8	98.1	96.0	97.0
77	Arizona	97.0	96.8	96.8	96.9
78	Utah St.	96.8	96.5	97.1	96.8
79	Western Kentucky	95.3	95.9	96.5	95.9
80	Houston	94.8	95.7	96.4	95.6
81	Buffalo	94.8	95.4	96.2	95.4
82	Tulsa	94.1	95.1	95.4	94.9
83	Kansas	93.7	94.7	93.8	94.1
84	Army	94.1	94.3	93.4	94.0
85	Louisiana Tech	93.9	94.1	93.7	93.9
86	Southern Miss.	93.7	92.6	93.9	93.4
87	Maryland	93.5	92.6	92.0	92.7
88	Fresno St.	92.4	93.4	92.2	92.7
89	Central Michigan	92.1	92.7	93.1	92.6
90	Marshall	92.0	91.7	92.5	92.1
91	North Carolina St.	92.3	91.4	91.6	91.8
92	Vanderbilt	92.5	90.9	90.9	91.4
93	Ball St.	91.0	90.7	91.2	91.0
94	Miami (Ohio)	90.5	89.6	90.8	90.3
95	Nevada	89.8	91.3	89.1	90.1
96	Arkansas St.	90.0	90.4	89.7	90.0
97	Liberty	89.5	90.8	89.8	90.0
98	Georgia Tech	90.2	88.9	90.2	89.8
99	Kent St.	89.0	89.1	89.8	89.3
100	Colorado St.	88.0	91.2	88.7	89.3
101	Georgia St.	89.3	90.1	88.4	89.3
102	Troy	89.6	89.8	88.1	89.2
103	Florida Int’l.	89.1	89.0	89.3	89.1
104	South Florida	88.8	89.3	88.9	89.0
105	Middle Tennessee	88.9	88.5	89.2	88.9
106	San Jose St.	87.9	89.7	88.1	88.6
107	Charlotte	87.9	88.3	88.6	88.3
108	Eastern Michigan	87.8	88.0	88.2	88.0
109	Arkansas	88.0	87.8	87.3	87.7
110	Northern Illinois	87.5	86.9	87.8	87.4
111	U A B	86.3	88.0	86.9	87.1
112	Coastal Carolina	86.9	87.8	86.3	87.0
113	Louisiana-Monroe	86.7	87.4	86.4	86.9
114	North Texas	86.3	86.0	86.2	86.2
115	Rutgers	85.1	84.6	83.6	84.4
116	U N L V	83.7	85.4	83.5	84.2
117	Toledo	84.0	83.9	84.1	84.0
118	Rice	82.4	83.7	82.4	82.8
119	East Carolina	82.4	83.6	82.3	82.8
120	New Mexico	79.7	81.7	78.6	80.0
121	Texas St.	79.2	79.9	78.9	79.3
122	South Alabama	77.0	79.5	77.0	77.8
123	Texas-San Antonio	76.1	77.9	76.5	76.8
124	New Mexico St.	75.6	77.3	75.2	76.0
125	Old Dominion	73.5	73.5	73.2	73.4
126	Connecticut	71.3	73.9	70.8	72.0
127	U T E P	68.5	71.8	68.6	69.6
128	Bowling Green	68.1	67.5	67.8	67.8
129	Akron	62.8	62.5	61.7	62.3
130	Massachusetts	56.7	58.2	55.7	56.9
Conference Power Ratings
#	League	Average
1	Southeastern	113.1
2	Big Ten	111.2
3	Big 12	109.5
4	Pac-12	107.5
5	Atlantic Coast	104.7
6	American	97.4
7	Mountain West	94.0
8	Sun Belt	90.9
9	Independents	90.1
10	Conf. USA	87.1
11	Mid-American	87.1
PiRate Guess at Top 6
1	LSU
2	Ohio St.
3	Clemson
4	Oklahoma
5	Georgia
6	Utah
Top 5 Group of 5
1	Memphis
2	Boise St.
3	Appalachian St.
4	Florida Atlantic
5	Miami (O)

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference

 

American Athletic Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	AAC	Overall
Central Florida	111.6	111.1	112.1	111.6	6-2	9-3
Cincinnati	105.9	105.5	106.1	105.8	7-1	10-3
Temple	99.4	99.3	100.5	99.7	5-3	8-4
South Florida	88.8	89.3	88.9	89.0	2-6	4-8
East Carolina	82.4	83.6	82.3	82.8	1-7	4-8
Connecticut	71.3	73.9	70.8	72.0	0-8	2-10
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	AAC	Overall
Memphis	110.1	110.4	111.1	110.5	7-1	12-1
SMU	104.8	104.7	105.4	105.0	6-2	10-2
Navy	100.3	102.6	101.6	101.5	7-1	9-2
Tulane	99.6	100.2	100.0	99.9	3-5	6-6
Houston	94.8	95.7	96.4	95.6	2-6	4-8
Tulsa	94.1	95.1	95.4	94.9	2-6	4-8
AAC Averages	96.9	97.6	97.6	97.4
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	ACC	Overall
Clemson	140.1	138.5	141.5	140.0	8-0	13-0
Florida St.	104.8	104.6	104.9	104.8	4-4	6-6
Wake Forest	103.1	102.4	103.3	102.9	4-4	8-4
Boston College	101.9	101.4	102.0	101.8	4-4	6-6
Louisville	100.2	99.8	99.9	100.0	5-3	7-5
Syracuse	99.7	98.9	98.9	99.2	2-6	5-7
North Carolina St.	92.3	91.4	91.6	91.8	1-7	4-8
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	ACC	Overall
Virginia Tech	110.5	110.5	111.2	110.7	5-3	8-4
North Carolina	107.7	107.6	108.4	107.9	4-4	6-6
Virginia	107.3	107.2	107.6	107.4	6-2	9-4
Miami (Fla.)	104.5	104.0	105.1	104.5	4-4	6-6
Pittsburgh	102.4	101.8	102.3	102.2	4-4	7-5
Duke	99.4	98.6	99.1	99.0	3-5	5-7
Georgia Tech	90.2	88.9	90.2	89.8	2-6	3-9
ACC Averages	104.6	104.0	104.7	104.4
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	B12	Overall
Oklahoma	123.1	122.7	122.9	122.9	8-1	12-1
Baylor	117.5	117.5	116.7	117.2	8-1	11-2
Iowa St.	112.9	113.2	112.7	112.9	5-4	7-5
Kansas St.	112.4	112.3	112.3	112.3	5-4	8-4
Texas	111.1	111.4	111.0	111.2	5-4	7-5
Oklahoma St.	110.3	110.8	109.7	110.3	5-4	8-4
T C U	107.7	109.7	107.9	108.4	3-6	5-7
Texas Tech	104.6	104.9	103.7	104.4	2-7	4-8
West Virginia	102.7	102.7	102.3	102.5	3-6	5-7
Kansas	93.7	94.7	93.8	94.1	1-8	3-9
Big 12 Averages	109.6	110.0	109.3	109.6
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Ohio St.	141.7	140.8	142.5	141.7	9-0	13-0
Michigan	125.6	124.3	125.9	125.3	6-3	9-3
Penn St.	121.4	120.5	121.4	121.1	7-2	10-2
Indiana	109.9	108.9	109.5	109.4	5-4	8-4
Michigan St.	107.7	106.8	106.7	107.1	4-5	6-6
Maryland	93.5	92.6	92.0	92.7	1-8	3-9
Rutgers	85.1	84.6	83.6	84.4	0-9	2-10
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Wisconsin	122.7	122.6	123.1	122.8	7-2	10-3
Iowa	118.4	116.9	118.0	117.8	6-3	9-3
Minnesota	117.2	116.8	116.5	116.8	7-2	10-2
Nebraska	106.3	106.5	105.6	106.1	3-6	5-7
Purdue	104.1	103.9	103.7	103.9	3-6	4-8
Northwestern	103.4	102.6	102.1	102.7	1-8	3-9
Illinois	102.2	102.8	101.8	102.3	4-5	6-6
Big Ten Averages	111.4	110.8	110.9	111.0
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	CUSA	Overall
Florida Atlantic	101.3	101.5	102.6	101.8	7-1	10-3
Western Kentucky	95.3	95.9	96.5	95.9	6-2	8-4
Marshall	92.0	91.7	92.5	92.1	6-2	8-4
Florida Int’l.	89.1	89.0	89.3	89.1	4-4	6-6
Middle Tennessee	88.9	88.5	89.2	88.9	3-5	4-8
Charlotte	87.9	88.3	88.6	88.3	5-3	7-5
Old Dominion	73.5	73.5	73.2	73.4	0-8	1-11
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	CUSA	Overall
Louisiana Tech	93.9	94.1	93.7	93.9	6-2	9-3
Southern Miss.	93.7	92.6	93.9	93.4	5-3	7-5
U A B	86.3	88.0	86.9	87.1	6-2	9-4
North Texas	86.3	86.0	86.2	86.2	3-5	4-8
Rice	82.4	83.7	82.4	82.8	3-5	3-9
Texas-San Antonio	76.1	77.9	76.5	76.8	3-5	4-8
U T E P	68.5	71.8	68.6	69.6	0-8	1-11
CUSA Averages	86.8	87.3	87.2	87.1
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	Conf.	Overall
Notre Dame	120.8	119.9	121.0	120.6	x	10-2
BYU	102.1	102.3	101.6	102.0	x	7-5
Army	94.1	94.3	93.4	94.0	x	5-7
Liberty	89.5	90.8	89.8	90.0	x	7-5
New Mexico St.	75.6	77.3	75.2	76.0	x	2-10
Massachusetts	56.7	58.2	55.7	56.9	x	1-11
Indep. Averages	89.8	90.5	89.4	89.9
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MAC	Overall
Ohio	98.4	97.6	98.9	98.3	5-3	6-6
Buffalo	94.8	95.4	96.2	95.4	5-3	7-5
Miami (Ohio)	90.5	89.6	90.8	90.3	6-2	8-5
Kent St.	89.0	89.1	89.8	89.3	5-3	6-6
Bowling Green	68.1	67.5	67.8	67.8	2-6	3-9
Akron	62.8	62.5	61.7	62.3	0-8	0-12
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MAC	Overall
Western Michigan	97.6	96.6	97.1	97.1	5-3	7-5
Central Michigan	92.3	93.1	93.5	92.9	6-2	8-5
Ball St.	91.0	90.7	91.2	91.0	4-4	5-7
Eastern Michigan	87.8	88.0	88.2	88.0	3-5	6-6
Northern Illinois	87.5	86.9	87.8	87.4	4-4	5-7
Toledo	84.0	83.9	84.1	84.0	3-5	6-6
MAC Averages	87.0	86.7	87.2	87.0
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MWC	Overall
Boise St.	108.1	108.5	108.4	108.3	8-0	12-1
Air Force	104.6	106.4	105.6	105.5	7-1	10-2
Wyoming	98.6	100.3	98.9	99.3	4-4	7-5
Utah St.	96.8	96.5	97.1	96.8	6-2	7-5
Colorado St.	88.0	91.2	88.7	89.3	3-5	4-8
New Mexico	79.7	81.7	78.6	80.0	0-8	2-10
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MWC	Overall
San Diego St.	97.6	99.2	97.6	98.1	5-3	9-3
Hawaii	96.8	98.1	96.0	97.0	5-3	9-5
Fresno St.	92.4	93.4	92.2	92.7	2-6	4-8
Nevada	89.8	91.3	89.1	90.1	4-4	7-5
San Jose St.	87.9	89.7	88.1	88.6	2-6	5-7
U N L V	83.7	85.4	83.5	84.2	2-6	4-8
MWC Averages	93.7	95.1	93.6	94.2
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	P12	Overall
Oregon	122.0	121.9	122.8	122.2	8-1	11-2
Washington	113.1	112.8	114.0	113.3	4-5	7-5
Washington St.	110.0	109.2	110.0	109.7	3-6	6-6
California	103.7	103.5	104.2	103.8	4-5	7-5
Oregon St.	101.2	102.1	101.5	101.6	4-5	5-7
Stanford	101.6	100.6	100.8	101.0	3-6	4-8
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	P12	Overall
Utah	124.3	123.4	124.9	124.2	8-1	11-2
U S C	111.0	111.6	111.8	111.5	7-2	8-4
Arizona St.	107.9	107.3	108.1	107.8	4-5	7-5
Colorado	98.6	98.5	98.7	98.6	3-6	5-7
U C L A	98.7	98.3	98.2	98.4	4-5	4-8
Arizona	97.0	96.8	96.8	96.9	2-7	4-8
Pac-12 Averages	107.4	107.2	107.7	107.4
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SEC	Overall
Georgia	126.3	124.5	126.4	125.7	7-1	11-2
Florida	125.9	123.5	125.8	125.0	6-2	10-2
Kentucky	112.4	111.3	111.6	111.8	3-5	7-5
Tennessee	110.7	110.4	110.1	110.4	5-3	7-5
Missouri	109.9	107.5	108.5	108.6	3-5	6-6
South Carolina	109.0	107.1	108.0	108.0	3-5	4-8
Vanderbilt	92.5	90.9	90.9	91.4	1-7	3-9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SEC	Overall
L S U	137.6	135.7	138.0	137.1	8-0	13-0
Alabama	128.8	125.7	129.1	127.9	6-2	10-2
Auburn	122.9	121.1	122.7	122.2	5-3	9-3
Texas A&M	115.1	112.5	113.3	113.7	4-4	7-5
Mississippi St.	109.8	106.6	113.3	109.9	3-5	6-6
Ole Miss	107.8	106.9	108.1	107.6	2-6	4-8
Arkansas	88.0	87.8	87.3	87.7	0-8	2-10
SEC Averages	114.1	112.2	113.8	113.4
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SBC	Overall
Appalachian St.	109.4	108.9	108.6	109.0	7-1	12-1
Georgia Southern	99.0	99.1	98.7	99.0	5-3	7-5
Georgia St.	89.3	90.1	88.4	89.3	4-4	7-5
Troy	89.6	89.8	88.1	89.2	3-5	5-7
Coastal Carolina	86.9	87.8	86.3	87.0	2-6	5-7
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SBC	Overall
Louisiana	103.1	103.4	102.8	103.1	7-1	10-3
Arkansas St.	90.0	90.4	89.7	90.0	5-3	7-5
Louisiana-Monroe	86.7	87.4	86.4	86.9	4-4	5-7
Texas St.	79.2	79.9	78.9	79.3	2-6	3-9
South Alabama	77.0	79.5	77.0	77.8	1-7	2-10
SBC Averages	91.0	91.6	90.5	91.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate College Football Ratings: October 14, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Wednesday	October 16
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Troy	South Alabama	22.4	19.7	21.9
Thursday	October 17
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Arkansas St.	Louisiana	-6.5	-6.3	-6.5
Stanford	UCLA	12.6	12.2	13.5
Friday	October 18
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Florida Atlantic	Marshall	6.7	6.8	6.9
Syracuse	Pittsburgh	2.8	2.4	2.5
Northwestern	Ohio St.	-24.8	-24.4	-26.8
Fresno St.	UNLV	15.2	14.2	15.8
Saturday	October 19
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Virginia	Duke	2.0	2.7	2.0
Miami (Fla.)	Georgia Tech	15.9	16.8	16.4
Louisville	Clemson	-31.4	-28.6	-32.2
Georgia St.	Army	-6.7	-5.2	-6.6
Akron	Buffalo	-13.5	-13.7	-15.5
Maryland	Indiana	-0.6	0.3	-0.8
Connecticut	Houston	-24.5	-21.6	-28.3
Wake Forest	Florida St.	1.5	0.8	1.7
Georgia Southern	Coastal Carolina	10.7	8.9	10.5
Bowling Green	Central Michigan	-7.3	-8.2	-8.0
Central Florida	East Carolina	31.5	28.7	32.5
Cincinnati	Tulsa	21.7	19.8	21.7
Boston College	North Carolina St.	2.1	2.2	2.2
Iowa	Purdue	14.5	12.8	15.1
Ohio	Kent St.	7.2	6.2	7.1
Eastern Michigan	Western Michigan	-10.3	-9.1	-10.0
Texas	Kansas	22.5	21.6	23.0
Illinois	Wisconsin	-25.1	-23.9	-26.2
Utah St.	Nevada	19.8	16.8	21.4
BYU	Boise St.	-6.1	-6.0	-7.0
Wyoming	New Mexico	21.2	20.4	22.7
Utah	Arizona St.	16.0	15.3	15.6
Ball St.	Toledo	0.2	-0.5	-0.3
Miami (O)	Northern Illinois	-1.8	-2.6	-2.1
California	Oregon St.	13.6	12.2	15.3
Washington	Oregon	-1.4	-2.0	-1.7
USC	Arizona	10.3	10.9	10.7
Washington St.	Colorado	16.1	15.4	16.5
South Carolina	Florida	-5.4	-4.1	-4.9
Georgia	Kentucky	23.6	23.4	25.6
Kansas St.	TCU	5.8	2.5	5.2
Mississippi St.	LSU	-14.3	-15.7	-9.1
Alabama	Tennessee	32.0	29.1	34.3
Louisiana Tech	Southern Miss.	-0.9	0.6	-1.1
UAB	Old Dominion	12.9	14.3	13.5
Oklahoma	West Virginia	24.3	23.9	24.6
Oklahoma St.	Baylor	0.9	1.3	1.1
Arkansas	Auburn	-20.7	-18.1	-20.7
Ole Miss	Texas A&M	-8.8	-7.7	-7.4
Memphis	Tulane	5.3	4.2	5.0
Virginia Tech	North Carolina	-2.3	-2.2	-3.1
Rutgers	Minnesota	-25.0	-25.1	-25.3
Texas Tech	Iowa St.	-6.7	-7.0	-7.7
Navy	South Florida	5.2	6.8	5.3
Appalachian St.	Louisiana-Monroe	20.2	18.1	19.8
Vanderbilt	Missouri	-18.8	-17.6	-20.5
San Jose St.	San Diego St.	-10.4	-10.1	-10.8
Western Kentucky	Charlotte	8.0	8.5	9.5
North Texas	Middle Tennessee	4.8	5.3	5.7
UTSA	Rice	-3.9	-2.9	-3.5
SMU	Temple	5.6	6.3	5.6
Florida Int’l.	UTEP	27.8	22.9	27.5
Penn St.	Michigan	6.4	7.2	6.5
Hawaii	Air Force	4.0	4.0	2.5

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings 

Note:  We receive a lot of emails at our sister site asking us how X can be rated ahead of Y when Y beat X in September.  These are not rankings; they are ratings.  They are predictive in nature and not mean to rank the teams based on what they have done earlier in the season.  These ratings try to forecast the next week of games only.  

 

#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
1	Ohio St.	135.3	134.2	136.2	135.2
2	Alabama	135.8	132.5	136.5	134.9
3	Clemson	132.2	129.3	132.9	131.5
4	L S U	128.4	126.1	128.0	127.5
5	Georgia	126.7	124.9	126.9	126.2
6	Wisconsin	124.2	123.9	124.4	124.2
7	Oklahoma	124.4	123.6	124.1	124.0
8	Penn St.	122.5	121.6	122.6	122.3
9	Utah	121.5	120.2	122.0	121.2
10	Florida	122.4	119.4	121.8	121.2
11	Auburn	121.5	119.6	121.1	120.7
12	Notre Dame	120.2	118.5	120.1	119.6
13	Oregon	118.7	118.8	120.0	119.2
14	Michigan	119.1	117.4	119.2	118.6
15	Iowa	118.0	116.1	118.0	117.3
16	Iowa St.	115.7	116.3	115.9	116.0
17	Texas A&M	116.8	115.0	115.3	115.7
18	Missouri	116.4	114.0	116.5	115.6
19	Washington	114.2	113.9	115.3	114.5
20	Michigan St.	114.0	113.2	113.7	113.6
21	Texas	113.3	113.5	113.7	113.5
22	South Carolina	113.9	112.3	113.9	113.4
23	Minnesota	112.4	112.0	111.7	112.0
24	Baylor	112.1	112.2	111.5	111.9
25	Central Florida	111.5	110.6	112.4	111.5
26	Mississipppi St.	111.1	107.4	116.0	111.5
27	Washington St.	110.5	109.5	110.6	110.2
28	Oklahoma St.	110.0	110.5	109.6	110.0
29	Cincinnati	109.0	107.8	109.8	108.9
30	Arizona St.	108.5	107.9	109.4	108.6
31	U S C	108.1	108.8	108.6	108.5
32	Kansas St.	108.2	107.8	107.8	107.9
33	Boise St.	107.5	107.3	108.1	107.6
34	Indiana	108.3	106.8	107.5	107.5
35	Duke	107.7	107.1	107.6	107.5
36	Northwestern	107.5	106.7	106.5	106.9
37	Virginia	106.7	106.8	106.6	106.7
38	Miami (Fla.)	106.4	105.7	107.2	106.4
39	California	106.2	105.9	107.2	106.4
40	T C U	105.3	108.3	105.6	106.4
41	North Carolina	106.0	106.0	107.2	106.4
42	Purdue	106.5	106.3	105.8	106.2
43	Tennessee	106.8	106.4	105.2	106.1
44	Stanford	106.4	105.6	106.2	106.1
45	Texas Tech	106.0	106.3	105.3	105.9
46	Pittsburgh	105.8	105.5	105.9	105.7
47	SMU	105.1	104.9	106.2	105.4
48	Appalachian St.	105.9	104.7	105.5	105.4
49	Syracuse	105.6	105.0	105.4	105.3
50	Kentucky	106.0	104.5	104.3	104.9
51	Ole Miss	105.1	104.2	104.9	104.7
52	Memphis	104.6	104.4	105.1	104.7
53	Florida St.	104.5	104.6	104.5	104.6
54	Utah St.	104.6	103.4	105.6	104.5
55	Maryland	104.7	104.1	103.7	104.2
56	Wake Forest	103.5	102.9	103.8	103.4
57	Nebraska	103.1	103.9	102.5	103.2
58	Tulane	102.3	103.2	103.1	102.9
59	West Virginia	103.2	102.7	102.5	102.8
60	Temple	102.4	101.7	103.6	102.6
61	North Carolina St.	101.3	101.1	101.6	101.3
62	Arizona	100.8	100.9	100.9	100.9
63	Virginia Tech	100.7	100.8	101.1	100.9
64	Boston College	100.5	100.3	100.8	100.5
65	Louisiana	99.8	99.8	99.5	99.7
66	Air Force	98.9	100.3	99.7	99.6
67	Houston	98.0	98.8	100.3	99.0
68	San Diego St.	98.3	100.1	98.3	98.9
69	Hawaii	98.4	99.8	97.7	98.6
70	Wyoming	97.7	99.8	98.2	98.6
71	Western Michigan	98.8	97.7	98.7	98.4
72	BYU	98.4	98.3	98.1	98.3
73	Fresno St.	97.7	98.3	98.0	98.0
74	Arkansas	97.8	98.5	97.3	97.9
75	Louisville	97.9	97.8	97.7	97.8
76	Army	97.4	97.3	96.8	97.2
77	Colorado	97.4	97.1	97.1	97.2
78	U C L A	96.7	96.4	95.7	96.3
79	Illinois	96.1	96.9	95.1	96.1
80	Oregon St.	95.7	96.7	94.9	95.8
81	Southern Miss.	95.8	94.2	96.1	95.4
82	Kansas	93.9	94.9	93.7	94.2
83	Vanderbilt	95.1	93.8	93.5	94.1
84	Navy	93.0	95.6	93.5	94.1
85	Troy	94.2	94.4	93.1	93.9
86	Georgia Southern	94.1	93.5	93.2	93.6
87	Florida Atlantic	93.0	92.6	94.1	93.2
88	Georgia Tech	93.5	91.8	93.8	93.0
89	Ohio	92.9	91.9	93.3	92.7
90	Florida Int’l.	92.5	92.4	92.9	92.6
91	Louisiana Tech	92.4	92.4	92.5	92.4
92	Northern Illinois	92.5	91.6	92.8	92.3
93	Toledo	91.3	91.6	92.0	91.6
94	North Texas	91.3	90.7	92.0	91.3
95	South Florida	90.8	91.8	91.2	91.3
96	Tulsa	90.3	91.1	91.1	90.8
97	Arkansas St.	90.8	91.0	90.5	90.8
98	Western Kentucky	89.8	90.9	91.5	90.7
99	Marshall	89.3	88.8	90.2	89.4
100	Buffalo	88.9	89.3	89.9	89.3
101	Liberty	88.8	90.1	89.1	89.3
102	U A B	88.3	90.2	89.1	89.2
103	Ball St.	89.0	88.6	89.1	88.9
104	Middle Tennessee	89.0	87.9	88.9	88.6
105	Louisiana-Monroe	88.2	89.1	88.2	88.5
106	Georgia St.	88.2	89.6	87.7	88.5
107	Kent St.	88.2	88.2	88.7	88.4
108	Nevada	87.8	89.5	87.2	88.2
109	Miami (Ohio)	88.2	86.5	88.2	87.6
110	Eastern Michigan	85.9	86.1	86.2	86.1
111	Coastal Carolina	86.0	87.1	85.2	86.1
112	San Jose St.	85.4	87.5	85.0	86.0
113	U N L V	85.5	87.1	85.2	85.9
114	Central Michigan	84.8	85.6	85.7	85.3
115	Charlotte	84.4	84.8	84.5	84.6
116	Rutgers	84.9	84.5	83.9	84.4
117	Colorado St.	82.5	86.3	82.8	83.9
118	East Carolina	83.0	84.9	82.9	83.6
119	Texas St.	83.2	84.0	82.8	83.3
120	Rice	80.5	81.9	79.9	80.8
121	New Mexico	79.6	82.4	78.4	80.2
122	New Mexico St.	78.0	80.4	78.3	78.9
123	Old Dominion	78.0	78.4	78.1	78.2
124	South Alabama	74.3	77.2	73.6	75.1
125	Bowling Green	74.9	74.8	75.1	75.0
126	Texas-San Antonio	74.2	76.5	73.9	74.8
127	Akron	72.9	73.1	71.9	72.6
128	Connecticut	71.0	74.6	69.5	71.7
129	U T E P	67.3	72.1	67.9	69.1
130	Massachusetts	62.1	63.9	61.0	62.3

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference

 

American Athletic Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	AAC	Overall
Central Florida	111.5	110.6	112.4	111.5	1-1	4-2
Cincinnati	109.0	107.8	109.8	108.9	2-0	5-1
Temple	102.4	101.7	103.6	102.6	2-0	5-1
South Florida	90.8	91.8	91.2	91.3	1-1	3-3
East Carolina	83.0	84.9	82.9	83.6	0-2	3-3
Connecticut	71.0	74.6	69.5	71.7	0-3	1-5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	AAC	Overall
SMU	105.1	104.9	106.2	105.4	2-0	6-0
Memphis	104.6	104.4	105.1	104.7	1-1	5-1
Tulane	102.3	103.2	103.1	102.9	2-0	5-1
Houston	98.0	98.8	100.3	99.0	0-2	2-4
Navy	93.0	95.6	93.5	94.1	2-1	4-1
Tulsa	90.3	91.1	91.1	90.8	0-2	2-4
AAC Averages	96.7	97.5	97.4	97.2
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	ACC	Overall
Clemson	132.2	129.3	132.9	131.5	4-0	6-0
Syracuse	105.6	105.0	105.4	105.3	0-2	3-3
Florida St.	104.5	104.6	104.5	104.6	2-2	3-3
Wake Forest	103.5	102.9	103.8	103.4	1-1	5-1
North Carolina St.	101.3	101.1	101.6	101.3	1-1	4-2
Boston College	100.5	100.3	100.8	100.5	1-2	3-3
Louisville	97.9	97.8	97.7	97.8	2-1	4-2
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	ACC	Overall
Duke	107.7	107.1	107.6	107.5	2-1	4-2
Virginia	106.7	106.8	106.6	106.7	2-1	4-2
Miami (Fla.)	106.4	105.7	107.2	106.4	1-2	3-3
North Carolina	106.0	106.0	107.2	106.4	2-1	3-3
Pittsburgh	105.8	105.5	105.9	105.7	1-1	4-2
Virginia Tech	100.7	100.8	101.1	100.9	2-2	4-2
Georgia Tech	93.5	91.8	93.8	93.0	0-3	1-5
ACC Averages	105.2	104.6	105.4	105.1
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	B12	Overall
Oklahoma	124.4	123.6	124.1	124.0	3-0	6-0
Iowa St.	115.7	116.3	115.9	116.0	2-1	4-2
Texas	113.3	113.5	113.7	113.5	2-1	4-2
Baylor	112.1	112.2	111.5	111.9	3-0	6-0
Oklahoma St.	110.0	110.5	109.6	110.0	1-2	4-2
Kansas St.	108.2	107.8	107.8	107.9	0-2	3-2
T C U	105.3	108.3	105.6	106.4	1-1	3-2
Texas Tech	106.0	106.3	105.3	105.9	1-2	3-3
West Virginia	103.2	102.7	102.5	102.8	1-2	3-3
Kansas	93.9	94.9	93.7	94.2	0-3	2-4
Big 12 Averages	109.2	109.6	109.0	109.3
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Ohio St.	135.3	134.2	136.2	135.2	3-0	6-0
Penn St.	122.5	121.6	122.6	122.3	3-0	6-0
Michigan	119.1	117.4	119.2	118.6	3-1	5-1
Michigan St.	114.0	113.2	113.7	113.6	2-2	4-3
Indiana	108.3	106.8	107.5	107.5	1-2	4-2
Maryland	104.7	104.1	103.7	104.2	1-2	3-3
Rutgers	84.9	84.5	83.9	84.4	0-4	1-5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Wisconsin	124.2	123.9	124.4	124.2	3-0	6-0
Iowa	118.0	116.1	118.0	117.3	1-2	4-2
Minnesota	112.4	112.0	111.7	112.0	3-0	6-0
Northwestern	107.5	106.7	106.5	106.9	0-3	1-4
Purdue	106.5	106.3	105.8	106.2	1-2	2-4
Nebraska	103.1	103.9	102.5	103.2	2-2	4-3
Illinois	96.1	96.9	95.1	96.1	0-3	2-4
Big Ten Averages	111.2	110.5	110.8	110.8
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	CUSA	Overall
Florida Atlantic	93.0	92.6	94.1	93.2	2-0	4-2
Florida Int’l.	92.5	92.4	92.9	92.6	1-2	3-3
Western Kentucky	89.8	90.9	91.5	90.7	3-0	4-2
Marshall	89.3	88.8	90.2	89.4	1-1	3-3
Middle Tennessee	89.0	87.9	88.9	88.6	1-1	2-4
Charlotte	84.4	84.8	84.5	84.6	0-2	2-4
Old Dominion	78.0	78.4	78.1	78.2	0-2	1-5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	CUSA	Overall
Southern Miss.	95.8	94.2	96.1	95.4	2-0	4-2
Louisiana Tech	92.4	92.4	92.5	92.4	2-0	5-1
North Texas	91.3	90.7	92.0	91.3	1-1	2-4
U A B	88.3	90.2	89.1	89.2	2-1	5-1
Rice	80.5	81.9	79.9	80.8	0-2	0-6
Texas-San Antonio	74.2	76.5	73.9	74.8	1-2	2-4
U T E P	67.3	72.1	67.9	69.1	0-2	1-4
CUSA Averages	86.1	86.7	86.5	86.5
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	Conf.	Overall
Notre Dame	120.2	118.5	120.1	119.6	x	5-1
BYU	98.4	98.3	98.1	98.3	x	2-4
Army	97.4	97.3	96.8	97.2	x	3-3
Liberty	88.8	90.1	89.1	89.3	x	4-2
New Mexico St.	78.0	80.4	78.3	78.9	x	0-7
Massachusetts	62.1	63.9	61.0	62.3	x	1-6
Indep. Averages	90.8	91.4	90.6	90.9
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MAC	Overall
Ohio	92.9	91.9	93.3	92.7	1-1	2-4
Buffalo	88.9	89.3	89.9	89.3	0-2	2-4
Kent St.	88.2	88.2	88.7	88.4	2-0	3-3
Miami (Ohio)	88.2	86.5	88.2	87.6	1-1	2-4
Bowling Green	74.9	74.8	75.1	75.0	1-1	2-4
Akron	72.9	73.1	71.9	72.6	0-2	0-6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MAC	Overall
Western Michigan	98.8	97.7	98.7	98.4	2-1	4-3
Northern Illinois	92.5	91.6	92.8	92.3	1-1	2-4
Toledo	91.3	91.6	92.0	91.6	1-1	4-2
Ball St.	89.0	88.6	89.1	88.9	2-0	3-3
Eastern Michigan	85.9	86.1	86.2	86.1	0-2	3-3
Central Michigan	84.8	85.6	85.7	85.3	2-1	4-3
MAC Averages	87.4	87.1	87.6	87.4
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MWC	Overall
Boise St.	107.5	107.3	108.1	107.6	3-0	6-0
Utah St.	104.6	103.4	105.6	104.5	2-0	3-2
Air Force	98.9	100.3	99.7	99.6	2-1	4-2
Wyoming	97.7	99.8	98.2	98.6	1-1	4-2
Colorado St.	82.5	86.3	82.8	83.9	1-2	2-5
New Mexico	79.6	82.4	78.4	80.2	0-2	2-4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	MWC	Overall
San Diego St.	98.3	100.1	98.3	98.9	2-1	5-1
Hawaii	98.4	99.8	97.7	98.6	1-1	4-2
Fresno St.	97.7	98.3	98.0	98.0	0-1	2-3
Nevada	87.8	89.5	87.2	88.2	1-1	4-2
San Jose St.	85.4	87.5	85.0	86.0	1-2	3-3
U N L V	85.5	87.1	85.2	85.9	1-2	2-4
MWC Averages	93.7	95.1	93.7	94.2
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	P12	Overall
Oregon	118.7	118.8	120.0	119.2	3-0	5-1
Washington	114.2	113.9	115.3	114.5	2-2	5-2
Washington St.	110.5	109.5	110.6	110.2	0-3	3-3
California	106.2	105.9	107.2	106.4	1-2	4-2
Stanford	106.4	105.6	106.2	106.1	2-2	3-3
Oregon St.	95.7	96.7	94.9	95.8	1-2	2-4
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	P12	Overall
Utah	121.5	120.2	122.0	121.2	2-1	5-1
Arizona St.	108.5	107.9	109.4	108.6	2-1	5-1
U S C	108.1	108.8	108.6	108.5	2-1	3-3
Arizona	100.8	100.9	100.9	100.9	2-1	4-2
Colorado	97.4	97.1	97.1	97.2	1-2	3-3
U C L A	96.7	96.4	95.7	96.3	1-2	1-5
Pac-12 Averages	107.1	106.8	107.3	107.1
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SEC	Overall
Georgia	126.7	124.9	126.9	126.2	2-1	5-1
Florida	122.4	119.4	121.8	121.2	4-1	6-1
Missouri	116.4	114.0	116.5	115.6	2-0	5-1
South Carolina	113.9	112.3	113.9	113.4	2-2	3-3
Tennessee	106.8	106.4	105.2	106.1	1-2	2-4
Kentucky	106.0	104.5	104.3	104.9	1-3	3-3
Vanderbilt	95.1	93.8	93.5	94.1	0-3	1-5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SEC	Overall
Alabama	135.8	132.5	136.5	134.9	3-0	6-0
L S U	128.4	126.1	128.0	127.5	2-0	6-0
Auburn	121.5	119.6	121.1	120.7	2-1	5-1
Texas A&M	116.8	115.0	115.3	115.7	1-2	3-3
Mississippi St.	111.1	107.4	116.0	111.5	1-2	3-3
Ole Miss	105.1	104.2	104.9	104.7	2-2	3-4
Arkansas	97.8	98.5	97.3	97.9	0-3	2-4
SEC Averages	114.6	112.7	114.4	113.9
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SBC	Overall
Appalachian St.	105.9	104.7	105.5	105.4	2-0	5-0
Troy	94.2	94.4	93.1	93.9	0-1	2-3
Georgia Southern	94.1	93.5	93.2	93.6	1-1	2-3
Georgia St.	88.2	89.6	87.7	88.5	2-1	4-2
Coastal Carolina	86.0	87.1	85.2	86.1	0-2	3-3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	SBC	Overall
Louisiana	99.8	99.8	99.5	99.7	1-1	4-2
Arkansas St.	90.8	91.0	90.5	90.8	1-1	3-3
Louisiana-Monroe	88.2	89.1	88.2	88.5	2-0	3-3
Texas St.	83.2	84.0	82.8	83.3	1-1	2-4
South Alabama	74.3	77.2	73.6	75.1	0-2	1-5
SBC Averages	90.5	91.0	89.9	90.5

 

 

Conference Power Ratings
#	League	Average
1	SEC	113.9
2	BTen	110.8
3	B12	109.3
4	P12	107.1
5	ACC	105.1
6	AAC	97.2
7	MWC	94.2
8	Ind	90.9
9	SUN	90.5
10	MAC	87.4
11	CUSA	86.5

 

Top 5 Group of 5
1	Boise St.
2	SMU
3	Cincinnati
4	Appalachian St.
5	Temple

 

This Week’s Bowl and Playoff Projections

 

Bowl	Conf	Conf	Team	Team
Bahamas	MAC	CUSA	Ball St.	Florida Atlantic
Frisco	AAC	At-large	Navy	[North Texas]
Cure	AAC	SBC	Central Florida	Arkansas St.
New Mexico	CUSA	MWC	Marshall	Fresno St.
Boca Raton	AAC	MAC	Cincinnati	Western Michigan
Camellia	MAC	SBC	Central Michigan	Troy
Las Vegas	MWC #1	Pac-12	San Diego St.	Arizona
New Orleans	CUSA	SBC #1	Southern Miss.	Appalachian St.
Gasparilla	AAC	CUSA	Memphis	UAB
Hawaii	BYU/MWC	AAC	Hawaii	SMU
Independence	ACC	SEC	Florida St.	[Western Kentucky]
Quick Lane	ACC	Big Ten	Louisville	[Buffalo]
Military	ACC	AAC	North Carolina St.	Temple
Pinstripe	ACC	Big Ten	Duke	Michigan St.
Texas	Big 12	SEC	Oklahoma St.	Texas A&M
Holiday	Pac-12	Big Ten	Arizona St.	Michigan
Cheez-It	Big 12	Pac-12	Texas Tech	Washington St.
Camping World	ACC	Big 12	North Carolina	Iowa St.
Cotton	At-large	At-large	Minnesota	Boise St.
First Responder	CUSA	Big 12	Louisiana Tech	[Nevada]
Redbox	Pac-12	Big Ten	Washington	Purdue
Music City	SEC	ACC	[Georgia Southern]	Wake Forest
Orange	ACC	BTen/SEC	Notre Dame	LSU
Belk	ACC	SEC	Pittsburgh	Mississippi St.
Sun	ACC	Pac-12	Virginia	USC
Liberty	Big 12	SEC	Kansas St.	[California]
Arizona	SBC	MWC	Georgia St.	Utah St.
Alamo	Big 12	Pac-12	Baylor	Utah
Citrus	SEC	BTen/ACC	Florida	Iowa
Outback	Big Ten	SEC	Penn St.	Auburn
Rose	Big Ten	Pac-12	Wisconsin	Oregon
Sugar	Big 12	SEC	Texas	Georgia
Birmingham	AAC	SEC	Tulane	[Miami (Fla.]
Taxslayer/Gator	SEC	Big Ten	South Carolina	Indiana
Idaho Potato	MAC	MWC	Kent St.	Wyoming
Armed Forces	Big Ten	MWC	[Florida Int’l.]	Air Force
Dollar General	MAC	SBC	Toledo	Louisiana
FBS PLAYOFFS
Fiesta	Top 4	Top 4	Clemson	Ohio St.
Peach	Top 4	Top 4	Alabama	Oklahoma
Championship	Fiesta	Peach	Ohio St.	Alabama
Teams in [Brackets] are at-large selections

 

Reverse Engineering the NCAA Playoffs

Here is our best estimate as to which teams would have qualified for the Playoffs in the years before there were playoffs.  This covers the PiRate Ratings era (1969-Present)

 

 

2013: Florida St., Auburn, Alabama, Michigan St.

Auburn and Alabama would have met in a rematch

 

2012: Notre Dame, Alabama, Florida, Oregon

Ohio State was 12-0 but ineligible that year

 

2011: LSU, Alabama, Stanford, Oklahoma St.

Andrew Luck versus the Crimson Tide and Les Myles against his old team

 

2010: Auburn, Oregon, TCU, Wisconsin

3, 12-0 teams and a possible Andy Dalton vs. Cam Newton in the Championship Game

 

2009: Alabama, Texas, TCU, Boise St.

All four teams were 12-0.  Nick Saban’s only undefeated team may have been one of his weaker teams at Alabama.  

 

2008: Florida, Oklahoma, Alabama, Utah

This is a year where an 8-team playoff would have been needed, as there were nine teams that could be considered playoff worthy.  Only Utah was undefeated, and the Utes slaughtered Alabama in the Sugar Bowl.

 

2007: Ohio St., LSU, Kansas, Oklahoma

This would have been a difficult year for a Selection Committee with only three deserving teams.  Number four could have been Missouri, Georgia, or USC.

 

2006: Ohio St., Florida, Michigan, Louisville

Ohio State and Michigan were both 11-0 when they met in Columbus.  The Buckeyes’ home field advantage is historically between 3.5 and 4.5 points, and they only won this game by three.  Might Michigan have been a little better that year?  Florida and Michigan in a semifinal game might have set up a rematch of the bitter rivals.

 

2005: USC, Texas, Penn St., Oregon

This was definitely a year where only two teams were needed for playoffs.  It would have been ashamed if either USC or Texas had been upset in a semifinal game, robbing the nation of one of the best Championship Games ever.

 

2004: USC, Oklahoma, Auburn, Utah

All four of these teams were 12-0 at the end of the regular season.  Auburn and Utah were won impressive bowl games, and this would have been one of the best playoff years ever.

 

2003: USC, LSU, Oklahoma, Michigan

The BCS folks got this one wrong by not taking USC that year, and the AP Poll voted USC the national champion over LSU.

 

2002: Miami, Ohio St., Iowa, Georgia

Ohio State and Iowa did not play each other that year, as this pre-dates the Big Ten Championship Game.

 

2001: Miami, Oregon, Nebraska, Illinois

This was another tough year, and it didn’t need a playoff at all, as Miami was clearly 7-10 points better than anybody else in the nation.  Illinois gets the nod over Maryland and Colorado.

 

2000: Oklahoma, Washington, Miami, Florida St.

This was a year where a 6-team tournament, adding Oregon State and Virginia Tech, would have been needed.  Washington was more deserving than Florida State that year.

 

1999: Florida St., Virginia Tech, Nebraska, Kansas St.

The two teams that played for the title were the only legitimate teams that should have played for a title that year.

 

1998: Tennessee, Ohio St., Florida St., Kansas St.

UCLA might have been the best team headed into the final weeks that year, but the Bruins made a mistake playing at Miami to close out the regular season.  They were not ready for the heat and humidity, or the Miami speed.  Ohio State was more deserving of the Championship Game bid than Florida State.

1997: Nebraska, Michigan, Tennessee, Florida St.

Peyton Manning versus Charles Woodson in a battle of the top two Heisman Trophy candidates.  Then, in all likelihood, it would have been Michigan and Nebraska in one of the best Championship Games never to be played.

1996: Florida St., Arizona St., Florida, Ohio St.

John Cooper had two teams that were probably the best in the land, but his Buckeyes always found a way to lay an egg at some point during the season.  This Buckeyes’ team probably would have beaten Florida St. in a semifinal game.

1995: Nebraska, Florida, Tennessee, Northwestern

Florida, Tennessee, and Northwestern could have combined their rosters and still lost to Nebraska by 14 points.  This was the most dominant team of the last 25 years.

1994: Nebraska, Penn St., Alabama, Miami

A 10-0-1 Texas A&M team was on probation that year.  Nebraska and Penn State would have been an incredible game had they played that year.  In those days, the Big Ten champion went to the Rose Bowl, and there was no guarantee that the top two teams would play each other.

1993: Nebraska, Notre Dame, West Virginia, Florida St.

An 11-0 Auburn team may have been the best in the nation that year, but the Tigers were on probation.  Notre Dame’s upset loss at Boston College kept the Irish out of the National Championship Game, allowing a Florida State team that ND beat to sneak in to the Orange Bowl.  The Irish were probably the best team that year.

1992: Alabama, Miami, Texas A&M, Florida St.

One wide field goal attempt against Miami was all that kept Florida State from going undefeated.  Had the ball been true, there would have been four teams with no losses.  It didn’t matter that year, as ‘Bama was clearly  the best team in the nation with the best defense in modern day football (Wisconsin has a chance to take that moniker away this year if they run the table and stop Ohio State’s offense).

1991: Washington, Miami, Florida, Michigan

Washington and Miami needed to meet for the national championship that year.  The PiRate Ratings had Washington rated about two points ahead of Miami that year.

1990: Georgia Tech, Colorado, Texas, Miami

This was one of the toughest years to pick any of the teams.  At 10-2, Miami was probably the best team that year, as they pasted Texas in the Cotton Bowl 46-3, committing more yards in penalties than Texas had in offense.  Miami’s defense would have shut down Georgia Tech in the semifinals, and none of the triple option teams ever had success against the Hurricane defenses of those times.  Colorado’s I-bone would have been shut down.

 

1989: Colorado, Miami, Notre Dame, Michigan

Colorado was the only undefeated team, but they may have been the weakest of these four teams.  A Notre Dame-Michigan title game would have been a good one that year.

 

1988: Notre Dame, West Virginia, Miami, Auburn

This was another tough year to come up with team number four, as five or six other teams could have slid into this spot.  A third-seeded Miami team would have swept both playoff games by double digit margins.  Miami’s only loss that year was at Notre Dame by one point on one of the worst blown calls ever made in a game with championship implications.  Facing 4th down and 7 at the Notre Dame 11 yard line, Hurricane quarterback Steve Walsh threw a pass to receiver Cleveland Gary inside the five yard line.  Gary caught the ball and stretched forward.  The ball hit the goalline before any other part of Gary’s body touched the ground.  Not only did the referees not award Miami a touchdown, they at first called a fumble that was recovered by Notre Dame, after the ball was dropped just after Gary pounded it on the goalline.  Then to make a second mistake, the referees said it wasn’t a fumble and then gave the ball to Notre Dame on downs, when Miami only needed to get to the four yard line.  Miami would have beaten Notre Dame in a rematch by 14-17 points that year.

I heard a funny quip on sports radio the Monday after that game.  The host said that the referees, O’Brien, O’Malley, O’Sullivan, Kelly, Murphy,  and Ryan, decided that the goalline can cause a fumble.

 

1987: Miami, Oklahoma, Florida St., Syracuse

This was another one of those wide right years for Florida State in a one-point loss to Miami.  These two rivals would have most likely played for the title that year.

 

1986: Miami, Penn St., Oklahoma, Michigan

This would have been an interesting playoff, especially the Miami-Michigan game.  Bo Schembechler’s defense would have given Vinny Testaverde similar fits to the one Penn State gave him in the real Championship Game.  It might have been Penn State and Michigan playing for the title.

 

1985: Penn St., Oklahoma, Iowa, Miami

Florida at 9-1-1 might have been the best team at the end of the year, but the Gators were on probation.  This would have been a fairly even season with three close playoff games.

 

1984: Washington, Oklahoma, South Carolina, BYU

Yes, BYU was the real national champion that year, but they won it only because this was a down year in the major conferences.  Washington would have quickly dismissed BYU in the semifinals, while Oklahoma would have edged South Carolina.  Florida was on probation for the first of two years and went 9-1-1.  The Gators were probably the best team in the nation by the end of November, slaughtering ranked Georgia, Auburn, and Florida State teams by a combined 78-20.

 

1983: Nebraska, Texas, Auburn, Illinois

The actual national champion Miami would not have been invited to the Playoffs that year.  Illinois beat three top 10 teams that year by a combined 66-19 score.  10-1 Auburn only lost to 11-0 Texas.  Nebraska might have had trouble facing Illinois’s passing game since the Cornhuskers did not face a passing offense like this in the Big 8.  Texas beat three top 10 teams during the season and held opponents to less than 10 points per game.  This should have been an interesting Playoff season.

 

1982: Georgia, Penn St., SMU, Nebraska

SMU wasn’t yet on probation, even though this team was the one with all the violations.  The Pony Express would have given Penn State a tough game, while Georgia and Nebraska should have been a close one as well.  Any of the four teams could have won the title.  Nebraska’s lone loss was at Penn State by a field goal.

 

1981: Clemson, Georgia, Pittsburgh, Alabama

The two best teams in the nation that year were Clemson and Pittsburgh.  The Panthers were cruising along as the number one team and had a 10-0 record when they hosted Penn State in the regular season finale.  After scoring two quick touchdowns to take a 14-0 lead on the Nittany Lions.  Pitt outgained Penn State by more than 140 yards in the first quarter, and it looked like this would be a blowout win for the top-rated team.  Then, Penn State woke up and went on a scoring tear like Army in the World War II years, scoring 48 points in the last three quarters on a Pitt team that had given up just 92 points in its first ten games.  Poor Dan Marino–always a bridesmaid and never a bride. 

 

1980: Georgia, Pittsburgh, Florida St., Baylor

Hershel Walker would have rolled over Baylor in the semifinals, setting up an interesting championship game against either Pitt or FSU.  

 

1979: Alabama, Ohio State, USC, Florida St.

All four of these teams went unbeaten (USC had a tie), and this would have been an interesting playoff for sure.  This Alabama team got through the year unscathed against a rather weak schedule.  USC was probably the best team in the nation that year.  The Trojans were stacked with talent.  Both Charles White and Marcus Allen were the featured backs out of the I-formation.  Paul McDonald was one of the best passing quarterbacks the Trojans had up to that time.  Brad Budde was the best offensive lineman in the nation that year.  The USC secondary might have been the best one in college football history with Ronnie Lott, Dennis Smith, Jeff Fisher, Herb Ward, and Joey Browner.

 

1978: USC, Alabama, Oklahoma, Penn St.

Penn State was the only undefeated team that year, but their schedule included a lot of easy wins.  USC won at Alabama and were probably the best team in the nation that year.

 

1977: Texas, Michigan, Alabama, Oklahoma

Actual National Champion Notre Dame would not have made the Playoffs in a year where at least eight if not 12 teams were worthy.  Michigan appeared to be the superior team in the land for the second consecutive year, but the Wolverines came up short for the second year in a row.  Alabama probably had the best team at the end of the regular season, and the Tide won at Number 1 USC earlier in the year.  

 

1976: Pittsburgh, Michigan, USC, Georgia

Johnny Majors had Tony Dorsett as his tailback, and TD was nearly unstoppable.  Throw in a stingy defense that intercepted a lot of passes and recovered a lot of fumbles, and the Panthers would have probably won this Playoffs with ease.  When on their game, Michigan was good enough to play on an even level with Pitt, but up to this point in his career, no Bo Schembechler-coached team had won its final game of the year.

 

1975: Ohio St., Alabama, Oklahoma, Arizona St.

Ohio State was undefeated with Heisman Trophy running back Archie Griffin and bulldozer Pete Johnson both topping 1,000 yards rushing.  Unlike many of Woody Hayes’ teams, this one had a decent passing attack with Cornelius Greene passing to Brian Baschnagel.  The Buckeyes beat four ranked teams in the regular season by a combined 100-29 score.  However, by the end of November, Alabama was clearly the best team in the nation.  An early stumble to open the season at Missouri, a school that pulled off several major upsets during this era, pushed the Tide out to sea.  Bear’s boys were unstoppable after that loss.  Alabama gave up just 46 points after that loss in week one, winning 10 games with ease.  Washington coach Don James after losing to ‘Bama 52-0 said they were the best team he had ever seen as a coach or player.

 

1974: Alabama, Ohio State, Michigan, USC

Oklahoma was the clear cut best team in the nation, but the Sooners were on probation this year.  OU would have easily beaten any of these four teams that year.  These four that weren’t on probation would have played three close games with USC likely coming out on top.

 

 

1973: Notre Dame, Alabama, Penn St., Ohio St.

This was one of the most incredible years in college football history.  Left out in this equation is a 10-0-1 Michigan team that tied 9-0-1 Ohio State but lost their quarterback for the season in the Big Game.

This group of four could have played this tournament a dozen times and each team might have won it three times each.  Our PiRate Ratings had Ohio State the number one team after the bowls that year.

 

1972: USC, Oklahoma, Alabama, Ohio St.

This was a time when the “haves” had a lot more than the “have nots,” and thus as many as 10 teams had playoff-worthy resumes.  In the end, it really didn’t matter this season, because USC was the best team in the nation by at least a touchdown over Oklahoma and more than 10 points over anybody else.  This was the best West Coast team ever. It had two future NFL quarterbacks in Mike Rae and Pat Haden.  Fullback Sam “Bam” Cunnigham blocked for Anthony Davis, while a trio of star receivers, Lynn Swann, J.K. McKay, and Charles Young, forced defenses to play three and four deep in the secondary.

 

1971: Nebraska, Oklahoma, Alabama, Michigan

The 1971 Nebraska team ranks as the all-time best team in PiRate Ratings’ history (1969 to present).  The 1971 Oklahoma team ranks as one of the 10 best in PiRate Ratings’ history.  These two teams were so far ahead of the rest of the nation.  Oklahoma would have beaten Alabama by at least three touchdowns, while Nebraska would have likely beaten Michigan by a score like 31-0.  The rematch for the National Championship might have been the best one ever had there been Playoffs back then.

1970: Ohio St., Texas, Nebraska, Arizona St.

Arizona State didn’t get any respect in 1970, but this undefeated team might have been strong enough to knock off Ohio State.  The schedule was suspect, but if you look at the roster, it was stocked with future NFL players.  Notre Dame and Tennessee were equally qualified to make the Playoffs this year, and a Committee might have given the edge to the Fighting Irish with Joe Theismann at quarterback.

 

1969: Penn St., Texas, Arkansas, USC

This is the year that the PiRate Ratings were born (although not named the PiRate Ratings until 2001).  It was because so  many teams were really good this season that I started making ratings.   If ever a season needed a 12-team Playoff, this is the one.  A case could have been made for 16 teams that year.  

If you ask me, Penn State would have won the title had there been Playoffs.  This Nittany Lion defense and special teams were among the best ever, as they scored or set up more points than they allowed.  When your number two and number three running backs are future All-pros Franco Harris and Lydell Mitchell, and when your starting quarterback went undefeated for his entire football career (Youth league to College), how can you deny this 11-0 team that finished the 1969 season riding a 22-game winning streak and 30 game unbeaten streak?

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings Picks For October 10-14, 2019

Yuck, Yuck, Yuck, I want more luck!  That’s a saying that goes back to the 1960’s, when a certain PiRate Captain was in school trying to impress this really cute blonde-haired, blue-eyed tomboy classmate.  It so happened that she and he were outside on the playground, and he was trying to teach her how to hit foul shots on the basketball goal.  She kept barely missing on those foul shots, when he made this little ditty up as it came to mind.  And, voila!  The pretty girl made three shots in a row.  The rest is history.  In the 1970’s, This girl would go on to become the star of her high school basketball team, setting the all-time single-season and career scoring marks.  She then enjoyed a four-year career as a starting guard for a Division 1 college team, playing in the NCAA Tournament.

 

The Captain figured it wouldn’t hurt to repeat that mantra in hopes that it would turn around the recent misfortunes of the PiRate Ratings.  The ratings in recent weeks have been just barely missing.

How much do you pay for these selections?  Remember, you usually get what you pay for, and that’s what these selections have been worth this season.  So, let’s hope we get more luck this week.

Without further adieu, here are the selections you should avoid like the plague.

 

PiRate Rating Selections

 

10-point Teasers, 3-game parlays

 

#1

Pick	Opponent	Spread
Syracuse	NC St.	+14.5
Virginia	Miami	+12.5
New Mexico	Colorado St.	+13.5

 

 

#2

Pick	Opponent	Spread
Indiana	Rutgers	+38
Navy	Tulsa	+11
Texas	Oklahoma	+21.5

 

 

#3

Pick	Opponent	Spread
Temple	Memphis	+16
Nebraska	Minnesota	+17.5
Boise St.	Hawaii	-1.5

 

 

#4

Pick	Opponent	Spread
Eastern Michigan	Ball St.	+9
Central Michigan	New Mexico St.	Pk
Arizona St.	Washington St.	+11

 

 

#5

Pick	Opponent	Spread
Oregon St.	Utah	+23.5
Ole Miss	Missouri	+22
Ohio	Northern Illinois	+3.5

 

 

#6

Pick	Opponent	Spread
Baylor	Texas Tech	-1
Vanderbilt	UNLV	-4.5
Wisconsin	Michigan St.	-0.5

 

 

#7

Pick	Opponent	Spread
Florida	LSU	+23.5
Nevada	San Jose St.	+8
Alabama	Texas A&M	-6.5

 

 

#8

Pick	Opponent	Spread
Florida Atlantic	Middle Tenn.	-0.5
UAB	UTSA	-2
Notre Dame	USC	-1

 

 

#9

Pick	Opponent	Spread
New England	N.Y. Jets	-6.5
Baltimore	Cincinnati	-1
Cleveland	Seattle	+12

 

 

#10

Pick	Opponent	Spread
New Orleans	Jacksonville	+11.5
Miami	Washington	+13.5
Arizona	Atlanta	+12.5

 

 

#11

Pick	Opponent	Spread
Denver	Tennessee	+7.5
Detroit	Green Bay	+14.5
Carolina	Tampa Bay	+8

 

 

Davey19  Selections

 

Pick	Opponent	Spread
UL-Monroe	Texas St.	-3
Virginia	Miami (Fla.)	+2.5
Colorado	Oregon	+21.5
Illinois	Michigan	+22.5
Nebraska	Minnesota	+8
Arkansas	Kentucky	+7
Air Force	Fresno St.	-3

Coming Friday–We will issue three money line selections, one an outright upset winner currently listed at +200, and two parlays.