The Pi-Rate Ratings

September 3, 2019

PiRate College Football Ratings: September 3, 2019

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 8:13 am

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Friday

September 6

Home

Visitors

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Rice

Wake Forest

-21.7

-19.5

-22.2

Boise St.

Marshall

16.3

16.3

16.0

Saturday

September 7

Home

Visitors

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Pittsburgh

Ohio

13.7

14.6

11.6

Virginia Tech

Old Dominion

35.6

35.7

36.2

Akron

UAB

-1.6

-3.5

-2.3

Michigan

Army

21.5

19.6

22.1

Purdue

Vanderbilt

6.9

8.1

7.2

Iowa

Rutgers

25.8

23.0

25.7

Maryland

Syracuse

-4.9

-5.0

-6.2

Missouri

West Virginia

9.6

6.9

10.0

Ohio St.

Cincinnati

16.5

16.2

16.6

Kansas St.

Bowling Green

30.1

30.0

29.4

Utah

Northern Illinois

25.1

24.8

25.4

Georgia Tech

South Florida

12.7

10.1

13.5

Colorado

Nebraska

-2.7

-4.9

-2.3

Clemson

Texas A&M

18.2

15.5

20.4

Wisconsin

Central Michigan

39.1

37.5

38.7

Appalachian St.

Charlotte

21.3

18.5

19.9

Mississippi St.

Southern Miss.

23.8

21.5

23.0

Connecticut

Illinois

-23.6

-20.2

-24.6

Baylor

UTSA

35.1

32.2

34.9

Alabama

New Mexico St.

60.8

53.3

61.9

UCLA

San Diego St.

14.5

12.0

14.0

Florida St.

Louisiana-Monroe

19.1

19.2

19.3

Texas St.

Wyoming

-9.9

-11.4

-11.0

SMU

North Texas

8.0

7.9

7.5

Tennessee

BYU

8.5

8.2

6.7

Florida Atlantic

Central Florida

-15.9

-15.7

-16.3

Florida Int’l.

Western Kentucky

8.8

7.9

7.8

Kansas

Coastal Carolina

16.7

16.8

17.5

Louisiana

Liberty

8.7

7.3

7.3

Michigan St.

Western Michigan

17.8

18.8

17.7

Texas

LSU

-11.2

-8.4

-10.6

Auburn

Tulane

21.5

18.5

20.3

Ole Miss

Arkansas

5.4

3.4

5.0

Oregon

Nevada

21.7

20.0

23.0

Penn St.

Buffalo

33.1

31.1

32.0

Kentucky

Eastern Michigan

22.3

20.8

20.4

Texas Tech

UTEP

44.3

38.6

42.9

North Carolina

Miami (Fla.)

-7.1

-4.4

-6.8

USC

Stanford

-2.4

0.0

-2.1

Washington

California

9.3

8.4

9.2

Fresno St.

Minnesota

-8.4

-7.2

-6.5

Hawaii

Oregon St.

6.7

7.5

7.7

San Jose St.

Tulsa

-4.3

-2.4

-6.2

UNLV

Arkansas St.

-1.5

0.9

-1.0

 

FBS vs. FCS Games

 

Home

Visitor

PiRate

Virginia

William & Mary

35.8

Arizona St.

Sacramento St.

33.7

South Carolina

Charleston Sou.

38.6

Memphis

Southern U

36.4

Kent St.

Kennesaw St.

-1.8

North Carolina St.

Western Carolina

41.0

Ball St.

Fordham

25.9

Miami (O)

Tennessee Tech

35.1

Massachusetts

Southern Illinois

4.6

Indiana

Eastern Illinois

32.1

Boston College

Richmond

35.0

Louisiana Tech

Grambling

26.4

Georgia

Murray St.

52.3

Colorado St.

Western Illinois

6.4

Washington St.

Northern Colorado

41.9

East Carolina

Gardner-Webb

24.1

Georgia Southern

Maine

10.2

Duke

North Carolina A&T

26.9

Georgia St.

Furman

7.0

Louisville

Eastern Kentucky

19.9

Oklahoma St.

McNeese St.

36.8

South Alabama

Jackson St.

24.4

Oklahoma

South Dakota

38.3

Middle Tennessee

Tennessee St.

25.9

Florida

UT-Martin

42.6

Utah St.

Stony Brook

27.5

Houston

Prairie View

28.6

Arizona

Northern Arizona

23.6

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

 

PiRate Ratings

#

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

1

Alabama

135.8

131.5

136.7

134.6

2

Clemson

134.0

130.3

135.0

133.1

3

Georgia

125.9

123.9

126.3

125.4

4

L S U

126.1

123.3

125.0

124.8

5

Ohio St.

121.6

119.8

121.8

121.1

6

Michigan

121.3

119.3

121.8

120.8

7

Notre Dame

120.2

118.4

120.2

119.6

8

Oklahoma

119.9

118.9

119.6

119.5

9

Florida

120.0

117.1

119.0

118.7

10

Texas A&M

118.6

117.1

117.2

117.7

11

Penn St.

117.0

115.9

116.9

116.6

12

Utah

116.8

115.2

117.2

116.4

13

Auburn

117.2

114.8

116.5

116.2

14

Michigan St.

115.9

115.6

116.1

115.9

15

Mississippi St.

116.5

111.8

116.0

114.8

16

Wisconsin

114.4

113.9

114.1

114.1

17

Iowa

115.0

112.5

114.7

114.0

18

Oregon

113.1

113.1

114.2

113.5

19

Washington

113.3

112.5

114.4

113.4

20

Washington St.

113.1

112.3

113.5

113.0

21

Syracuse

112.0

111.8

112.3

112.0

22

Texas

111.9

111.8

111.5

111.7

23

Missouri

112.5

109.6

112.4

111.5

24

South Carolina

111.0

109.6

111.0

110.5

25

Minnesota

111.0

110.4

109.8

110.4

26

Baylor

110.4

110.3

109.9

110.2

27

Iowa St.

110.0

110.4

109.9

110.1

28

Northwestern

110.7

109.7

109.7

110.0

29

Miami (Fla.)

110.0

108.7

111.2

110.0

30

Oklahoma St.

109.8

110.4

109.3

109.8

31

Central Florida

109.3

108.3

110.4

109.3

32

Virginia

108.9

109.4

109.1

109.1

33

Stanford

109.3

108.2

109.4

109.0

34

Virginia Tech

107.7

108.0

108.2

108.0

35

Purdue

108.2

108.1

107.6

108.0

36

Texas Tech

108.0

108.1

107.1

107.7

37

Indiana

108.6

106.8

107.4

107.6

38

Kentucky

108.4

107.2

107.2

107.6

39

Kansas St.

107.7

107.5

107.3

107.5

40

California

107.0

107.0

108.3

107.4

41

Arizona St.

107.3

106.3

107.7

107.1

42

Cincinnati

107.6

106.0

107.7

107.1

43

Tennessee

107.1

106.9

105.5

106.5

44

Boise St.

106.5

105.9

107.0

106.5

45

Nebraska

105.6

107.3

105.2

106.0

46

U C L A

106.0

105.6

105.3

105.7

47

West Virginia

105.9

105.7

105.4

105.6

48

Pittsburgh

105.9

105.6

105.2

105.6

49

Utah St.

105.4

104.2

106.8

105.4

50

Boston College

104.9

104.6

105.6

105.0

51

Florida St.

104.4

104.8

104.4

104.6

52

Appalachian St.

105.5

103.4

104.6

104.5

53

U S C

103.8

105.2

104.3

104.5

54

Memphis

104.0

103.5

105.1

104.2

55

Vanderbilt

104.3

103.0

103.4

103.6

56

North Carolina St.

103.2

103.2

104.0

103.5

57

Maryland

104.0

103.5

102.8

103.4

58

Wake Forest

103.6

102.9

103.7

103.4

59

Duke

103.5

102.9

103.2

103.2

60

North Carolina

102.0

103.2

103.4

102.9

61

Army

102.8

102.7

102.6

102.7

62

T C U

101.1

104.9

101.5

102.5

63

Temple

102.4

101.2

103.7

102.4

64

BYU

101.6

101.7

101.8

101.7

65

Ole Miss

102.0

100.9

100.8

101.2

66

Arizona

100.8

100.9

101.0

100.9

67

Fresno St.

99.6

100.2

100.3

100.0

68

Illinois

99.9

100.8

99.3

100.0

69

Western Michigan

100.1

98.7

100.4

99.7

70

Colorado

99.9

99.4

99.9

99.7

71

SMU

99.5

98.7

99.9

99.4

72

Georgia Tech

99.6

97.6

100.3

99.2

73

Arkansas

99.0

100.0

98.3

99.1

74

Tulane

98.7

99.3

99.1

99.0

75

Air Force

97.7

99.0

98.5

98.4

76

Hawaii

97.3

99.3

96.9

97.8

77

Wyoming

96.7

99.1

97.6

97.8

78

Houston

96.0

97.2

98.7

97.3

79

Ohio

96.3

95.0

97.8

96.4

80

Georgia Southern

95.9

95.1

95.1

95.4

81

Kansas

95.0

96.2

94.7

95.3

82

Nevada

94.4

96.1

94.2

94.9

83

Louisville

95.5

94.9

94.3

94.9

84

Troy

94.9

95.5

93.9

94.8

85

San Diego St.

94.1

96.1

93.8

94.7

86

Oregon St.

94.6

95.8

93.2

94.5

87

Northern Illinois

94.7

93.4

94.8

94.3

88

Southern Miss.

94.7

92.3

95.0

94.0

89

Louisiana

93.8

93.9

92.9

93.5

90

Marshall

93.1

92.6

94.0

93.2

91

North Texas

93.0

92.3

93.9

93.1

92

Rutgers

92.2

92.5

92.0

92.2

93

Middle Tennessee

91.8

91.0

92.1

91.6

94

Tulsa

91.2

91.6

92.1

91.6

95

Toledo

91.2

91.4

92.3

91.6

96

Florida Atlantic

91.4

90.6

92.1

91.4

97

Florida Int’l.

91.2

91.0

91.7

91.3

98

Arkansas St.

91.3

91.4

91.0

91.2

99

South Florida

90.4

91.5

90.5

90.8

100

Miami (Ohio)

90.8

89.1

91.3

90.4

101

Louisiana Tech

90.6

90.2

90.4

90.4

102

Eastern Michigan

89.1

89.4

89.8

89.5

103

Louisiana-Monroe

89.1

89.8

89.1

89.3

104

Georgia St.

88.7

90.3

87.8

88.9

105

Liberty

88.1

89.6

88.6

88.7

106

Navy

86.9

89.9

86.5

87.8

107

U N L V

86.8

89.3

86.9

87.7

108

Buffalo

87.0

87.8

88.0

87.6

109

Ball St.

87.1

86.7

86.8

86.9

110

Charlotte

86.3

86.9

86.7

86.6

111

Western Kentucky

85.4

86.2

86.9

86.1

112

Kent St.

85.6

85.8

86.0

85.8

113

U A B

84.7

86.6

85.2

85.5

114

East Carolina

84.5

86.6

84.2

85.1

115

San Jose St.

83.9

86.1

83.0

84.3

116

Texas St.

83.8

84.7

83.6

84.0

117

New Mexico

83.1

86.2

82.5

84.0

118

Coastal Carolina

81.3

82.4

80.2

81.3

119

Colorado St.

79.5

83.8

79.7

81.0

120

Bowling Green

80.5

80.5

80.9

80.7

121

Akron

80.6

80.7

80.5

80.6

122

Rice

79.2

80.8

78.7

79.6

123

New Mexico St.

78.0

81.2

77.8

79.0

124

Central Michigan

78.3

79.4

78.4

78.7

125

Texas-San Antonio

77.8

80.6

77.5

78.6

126

South Alabama

76.4

80.0

75.4

77.3

127

Old Dominion

75.0

75.3

75.0

75.1

128

Massachusetts

73.7

76.8

73.3

74.6

129

Connecticut

73.3

77.6

71.8

74.2

130

U T E P

66.3

72.0

66.7

68.3

 

PiRate Ratings by Conference

 

American Athletic Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

AAC

Overall

Central Florida

109.3

108.3

110.4

109.3

0-0

1-0

Cincinnati

107.6

106.0

107.7

107.1

0-0

1-0

Temple

102.4

101.2

103.7

102.4

0-0

1-0

South Florida

90.4

91.5

90.5

90.8

0-0

0-1

East Carolina

84.5

86.6

84.2

85.1

0-0

0-1

Connecticut

73.3

77.6

71.8

74.2

0-0

1-0

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

AAC

Overall

Memphis

104.0

103.5

105.1

104.2

0-0

1-0

SMU

99.5

98.7

99.9

99.4

0-0

1-0

Tulane

98.7

99.3

99.1

99.0

0-0

1-0

Houston

96.0

97.2

98.7

97.3

0-0

0-1

Tulsa

91.2

91.6

92.1

91.6

0-0

0-1

Navy

86.9

89.9

86.5

87.8

0-0

1-0

AAC Averages

95.3

96.0

95.8

95.7

Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

ACC

Overall

Clemson

134.0

130.3

135.0

133.1

1-0

1-0

Syracuse

112.0

111.8

112.3

112.0

0-0

1-0

Boston College

104.9

104.6

105.6

105.0

1-0

1-0

Florida St.

104.4

104.8

104.4

104.6

0-0

0-1

North Carolina St.

103.2

103.2

104.0

103.5

0-0

1-0

Wake Forest

103.6

102.9

103.7

103.4

0-0

1-0

Louisville

95.5

94.9

94.3

94.9

0-0

0-1

Coastal Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

ACC

Overall

Miami (Fla.)

110.0

108.7

111.2

110.0

0-0

0-1

Virginia

108.9

109.4

109.1

109.1

1-0

1-0

Virginia Tech

107.7

108.0

108.2

108.0

0-1

0-1

Pittsburgh

105.9

105.6

105.2

105.6

0-1

0-1

Duke

103.5

102.9

103.2

103.2

0-0

0-1

North Carolina

102.0

103.2

103.4

102.9

0-0

1-0

Georgia Tech

99.6

97.6

100.3

99.2

0-1

0-1

ACC Averages

106.8

106.3

107.1

106.7

Big 12 Conference

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

B12

Overall

Oklahoma

119.9

118.9

119.6

119.5

0-0

1-0

Texas

111.9

111.8

111.5

111.7

0-0

1-0

Baylor

110.4

110.3

109.9

110.2

0-0

1-0

Iowa St.

110.0

110.4

109.9

110.1

0-0

1-0

Oklahoma St.

109.8

110.4

109.3

109.8

0-0

1-0

Texas Tech

108.0

108.1

107.1

107.7

0-0

1-0

Kansas St.

107.7

107.5

107.3

107.5

0-0

1-0

West Virginia

105.9

105.7

105.4

105.6

0-0

1-0

T C U

101.1

104.9

101.5

102.5

0-0

1-0

Kansas

95.0

96.2

94.7

95.3

0-0

1-0

Big 12 Averages

108.0

108.4

107.6

108.0

Big Ten Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

BTen

Overall

Ohio St.

121.6

119.8

121.8

121.1

0-0

1-0

Michigan

121.3

119.3

121.8

120.8

0-0

1-0

Penn St.

117.0

115.9

116.9

116.6

0-0

1-0

Michigan St.

115.9

115.6

116.1

115.9

0-0

1-0

Indiana

108.6

106.8

107.4

107.6

0-0

1-0

Maryland

104.0

103.5

102.8

103.4

0-0

1-0

Rutgers

92.2

92.5

92.0

92.2

0-0

1-0

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

BTen

Overall

Wisconsin

114.4

113.9

114.1

114.1

0-0

1-0

Iowa

115.0

112.5

114.7

114.0

0-0

1-0

Minnesota

111.0

110.4

109.8

110.4

0-0

1-0

Northwestern

110.7

109.7

109.7

110.0

0-0

0-1

Purdue

108.2

108.1

107.6

108.0

0-0

0-1

Nebraska

105.6

107.3

105.2

106.0

0-0

1-0

Illinois

99.9

100.8

99.3

100.0

0-0

1-0

Big Ten Averages

110.4

109.7

109.9

110.0

Conference USA

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

CUSA

Overall

Marshall

93.1

92.6

94.0

93.2

0-0

1-0

Middle Tennessee

91.8

91.0

92.1

91.6

0-0

0-1

Florida Atlantic

91.4

90.6

92.1

91.4

0-0

0-1

Florida Int’l.

91.2

91.0

91.7

91.3

0-0

0-1

Charlotte

86.3

86.9

86.7

86.6

0-0

1-0

Western Kentucky

85.4

86.2

86.9

86.1

0-0

0-1

Old Dominion

75.0

75.3

75.0

75.1

0-0

1-0

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

CUSA

Overall

Southern Miss.

94.7

92.3

95.0

94.0

0-0

1-0

North Texas

93.0

92.3

93.9

93.1

0-0

1-0

Louisiana Tech

90.6

90.2

90.4

90.4

0-0

0-1

U A B

84.7

86.6

85.2

85.5

0-0

1-0

Rice

79.2

80.8

78.7

79.6

0-0

0-1

Texas-San Antonio

77.8

80.6

77.5

78.6

0-0

1-0

U T E P

66.3

72.0

66.7

68.3

0-0

1-0

CUSA Averages

85.7

86.3

86.1

86.1

FBS Independents

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Conf.

Overall

Notre Dame

120.2

118.4

120.2

119.6

x

1-0

BYU

101.4

101.2

101.4

101.3

x

0-1

Army

100.2

100.2

99.8

100.1

x

1-0

Liberty

88.0

89.3

88.3

88.5

x

0-1

New Mexico St.

76.6

79.3

76.2

77.3

x

0-1

Massachusetts

73.4

76.2

72.8

74.1

x

0-1

Indep. Averages

93.3

94.1

93.1

93.5

Mid-American Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

MAC

Overall

Ohio

96.3

95.0

97.8

96.4

0-0

1-0

Miami (Ohio)

90.8

89.1

91.3

90.4

0-0

0-1

Buffalo

87.0

87.8

88.0

87.6

0-0

1-0

Kent St.

85.6

85.8

86.0

85.8

0-0

0-1

Bowling Green

80.5

80.5

80.9

80.7

0-0

1-0

Akron

80.6

80.7

80.5

80.6

0-0

0-1

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

MAC

Overall

Western Michigan

100.1

98.7

100.4

99.7

0-0

1-0

Northern Illinois

94.7

93.4

94.8

94.3

0-0

1-0

Toledo

91.2

91.4

92.3

91.6

0-0

0-1

Eastern Michigan

89.1

89.4

89.8

89.5

0-0

1-0

Ball St.

87.1

86.7

86.8

86.9

0-0

0-1

Central Michigan

78.3

79.4

78.4

78.7

0-0

1-0

MAC Averages

88.4

88.2

88.9

88.5

Mountain West Conference

Mountain Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

MWC

Overall

Boise St.

106.5

105.9

107.0

106.5

0-0

1-0

Utah St.

105.4

104.2

106.8

105.4

0-0

0-1

Air Force

97.7

99.0

98.5

98.4

0-0

1-0

Wyoming

96.7

99.1

97.6

97.8

0-0

1-0

New Mexico

83.1

86.2

82.5

84.0

0-0

1-0

Colorado St.

79.5

83.8

79.7

81.0

0-0

0-1

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

MWC

Overall

Fresno St.

99.6

100.2

100.3

100.0

0-0

0-1

Hawaii

97.3

99.3

96.9

97.8

0-0

1-0

Nevada

94.4

96.1

94.2

94.9

0-0

1-0

San Diego St.

94.1

96.1

93.8

94.7

0-0

1-0

U N L V

86.8

89.3

86.9

87.7

0-0

1-0

San Jose St.

83.9

86.1

83.0

84.3

0-0

1-0

MWC Averages

93.8

95.4

93.9

94.4

Pac-12 Conference

North Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

P12

Overall

Oregon

113.1

113.1

114.2

113.5

0-0

0-1

Washington

113.3

112.5

114.4

113.4

0-0

1-0

Washington St.

113.1

112.3

113.5

113.0

0-0

1-0

Stanford

109.3

108.2

109.4

109.0

0-0

1-0

California

107.0

107.0

108.3

107.4

0-0

1-0

Oregon St.

94.6

95.8

93.2

94.5

0-0

0-1

South Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

P12

Overall

Utah

116.8

115.2

117.2

116.4

0-0

1-0

Arizona St.

107.3

106.3

107.7

107.1

0-0

1-0

U C L A

106.0

105.6

105.3

105.7

0-0

0-1

U S C

103.8

105.2

104.3

104.5

0-0

1-0

Arizona

100.8

100.9

101.0

100.9

0-0

0-1

Colorado

99.9

99.4

99.9

99.7

0-0

1-0

Pac-12 Averages

107.1

106.8

107.4

107.1

Southeastern Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

SEC

Overall

Georgia

125.9

123.9

126.3

125.4

1-0

1-0

Florida

120.0

117.1

119.0

118.7

0-0

1-0

Missouri

112.5

109.6

112.4

111.5

0-0

0-1

South Carolina

111.0

109.6

111.0

110.5

0-0

0-1

Kentucky

108.4

107.2

107.2

107.6

0-0

1-0

Tennessee

107.1

106.9

105.5

106.5

0-0

0-1

Vanderbilt

104.3

103.0

103.4

103.6

0-1

0-1

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

SEC

Overall

Alabama

135.8

131.5

136.7

134.6

0-0

1-0

L S U

126.1

123.3

125.0

124.8

0-0

1-0

Texas A&M

118.6

117.1

117.2

117.7

0-0

1-0

Auburn

117.2

114.8

116.5

116.2

0-0

1-0

Mississippi St.

116.5

111.8

116.0

114.8

0-0

1-0

Ole Miss

102.0

100.9

100.8

101.2

0-0

0-1

Arkansas

99.0

100.0

98.3

99.1

0-0

1-0

SEC Averages

114.6

112.6

113.9

113.7

Sunbelt Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

SBC

Overall

Appalachian St.

105.5

103.4

104.6

104.5

0-0

1-0

Georgia Southern

95.9

95.1

95.1

95.4

0-0

0-1

Troy

94.9

95.5

93.9

94.8

0-0

1-0

Georgia St.

88.7

90.3

87.8

88.9

0-0

1-0

Coastal Carolina

81.3

82.4

80.2

81.3

0-0

0-1

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

SBC

Overall

Louisiana

93.8

93.9

92.9

93.5

0-0

0-1

Arkansas St.

91.3

91.4

91.0

91.2

0-0

0-1

Louisiana-Monroe

89.1

89.8

89.1

89.3

0-0

1-0

Texas St.

83.8

84.7

83.6

84.0

0-0

0-1

South Alabama

76.4

80.0

75.4

77.3

0-0

0-1

SBC Averages

90.1

90.7

89.4

90.0

Conference Power Ratings

#

League

Average

1

SEC

113.7

2

BTen

110.0

3

B12

108.0

4

P12

107.1

5

ACC

106.7

6

AAC

95.7

7

MWC

94.4

8

Ind

93.5

9

SUN

90.0

10

MAC

88.5

11

CUSA

86.1

Top 5 Group of 5

1

Central Florida

2

Cincinnati

3

Boise St.

4

Utah St.

5

Appalachian St.

 

Bowl Projections

 

Bowl Conf Conf Team Team
Bahamas MAC CUSA Northern Illinois Marshall
Frisco AAC At-large SMU [Miami (O)]
Cure AAC SBC Cincinnati Louisiana-Monroe
New Mexico CUSA MWC Louisiana Tech Fresno St.
Boca Raton AAC MAC Memphis Ohio
Camellia MAC SBC Western Michigan Louisiana
Las Vegas MWC Pac-12 Boise St. California
New Orleans CUSA SBC #1 Florida Int’l. Georgia St.
Gasparilla AAC CUSA [Purdue] Southern Miss.
Hawaii BYU/MWC AAC Hawaii Houston
Independence ACC SEC Wake Forest [UAB]
Quick Lane ACC Big Ten Pittsburgh Maryland
Military ACC AAC Boston College Temple
Pinstripe ACC Big Ten Syracuse Nebraska
Texas Big 12 SEC Oklahoma St. Mississippi St.
Holiday Pac-12 Big Ten Washington Iowa
Cheez-It Big 12 Pac-12 Texas Tech Stanford
Camping World ACC Big 12 Virginia Baylor
Cotton At-large At-large Georgia Central Florida
First Responder CUSA Big 12 North Texas Kansas St.
Redbox Pac-12 Big Ten Arizona St. Minnesota
Music City SEC ACC [Indiana] Miami (Fla.)
Orange ACC BTen/SEC Notre Dame LSU
Belk ACC SEC North Carolina St. Arkansas
Sun ACC Pac-12 North Carolina Oregon
Liberty Big 12 SEC TCU Vanderbilt
Arizona SBC MWC Troy Utah St.
Alamo Big 12 Pac-12 Iowa St. Utah
Citrus SEC BTen/ACC Florida Michigan St.
Outback Big Ten SEC Penn St. Auburn
Rose Big Ten Pac-12 Michigan Washington St.
Sugar Big 12 SEC Texas Texas A&M
Birmingham AAC SEC Tulane [Army]
Taxslayer/Gator SEC Big Ten Kentucky Wisconsin
Idaho Potato MAC MWC Toledo Wyoming
Armed Forces Big Ten MWC Northwestern Air Force
Dollar General MAC SBC Eastern Michigan Appalachian St.
 

 

FBS PLAYOFFS
Fiesta Top 4 Top 4 Clemson Ohio St.
Peach Top 4 Top 4 Alabama Oklahoma
 

 

Champsionship Fiesta Peach Clemson Alabama
 

 

Teams in [Brackets] are at-large selections

 

Woe To Us

One week into the season, panic has set in at a number of schools after unexpected losses or even unimpressive wins have sent the fans of certain schools into full-scale panic.

Worst of the lot is the University of Tennessee.  The Volunteers, 25-point favorites, lost at home to Georgia State in a game that Vols were clearly manhandled by the team picked to finish last in the Sun Belt Eastern Division in 2019.

Calls have come from within a lot of the fan base for massive changes to be made just 13 games into Coach Jeremy Pruitt’s head coaching career.  There are even calls to rid Athletics Director Phil Fulmer of his duties as well.

Today, in our little old folks reminiscing feature, I will tell you that contrary to the current popular belief, that this loss in Knoxville is not the worst loss in modern day history.

Let’s set the Time Machine back to 1958.  Coach Bowden Wyatt led an archaic Tennessee Single Wing offense that as recently as 1956 had allowed the Big Orange to run the table in the regular season and finish 2nd nationally to champion Oklahoma.

The following year, Tennessee won eight games including the Gator Bowl.  Two of their three losses came to top 5 teams.

In 1958, the Vols stumbled coming out of the gate.  In a 2-4 start that produced little offense and strong defense, Coach Wyatt all of a sudden found himself in hot water.  Tennessee fans, spoiled under the long reign of General Robert Neyland, reacted to this 2-4 start like former New York Yankees manager George Steinbrenner used to react when his team won only 90 games and missed out on the American League Division title.

Game seven was one of those automatic wins against tiny in-state rival Chattanooga.  The Mocs at times in the 20th Century were classified as Major College, or the equivalent of today’s FBS.  However, in 1958, they were Small College, or the equivalent of FCS.

Chattanooga entered this game coming off a loss at Tennessee Tech, and nobody gave Coach Scrappy Moore’s team any hope playing the mighty Vols at Shield-Watkins Field.  When the game started, Chattanooga’s defense, led by future American Football League starter Charlie Long at linebacker (he was also a starting offensive guard and played that position with the Boston Patriots), had little problem stopping Tennessee’s balanced-line Single Wing offense.  Time and time again, Tennessee ran line bucks, off-tackle plays, sweeps, and traps, and the Mocs defense stopped the attack and forced punts.

Chattanooga’s offense was not a juggernaut, but on this day, the Mocs would garner two touchdown drives and led 14-0 with precious little time remaining.  The stadium began to lose its home fans rapidly, as the then 46,000 seat stadium had about 30,000 people in seats.  This was a good thing because of what would happen in a few minutes.

Tennessee mounted one final desperation drive with the forward pass, something Wyatt-coached Vols teams used infrequently.  Chattanooga played a loose defense, allowing the Vols to use up the rest of the clock but finally scoring points in the last few seconds of the game.  The extra point was blocked, and Chattanooga pulled off its greatest ever upset, beating Tennessee in Knoxville 14-6.

The Chattanooga fans, totally excited over their impossible feat, stormed the field and tore down the goalposts.  What happens next has been told to me in the past by older acquaintances that lived in Chattanooga and have passed on to their reward.  Here’s a composite of these stories told to me many years ago:

The Tennessee fans that remained until the end of the game took offense at the Chattanooga fans storming their field and tearing down their goalposts.  When about 100 Vols’ fans decided to let the mob rule, they began to attack the Mocs fans, and within a few seconds, this became a full-scale riot.

In what has been described to me to have resembled the streets of Chicago during the 1968 Democratic National Convention, the Knoxville police had to bring their riot gear and paddy wagons to the campus.  Eventually, tear gas was lobbed onto the field to stop the violence that had gotten well out of control.  Many Chattanooga fans and a handful of Tennessee fans had been detained and carted off to vehicles to be transferred to jail.

Here’s the most outrageous part of this story.  The sheriff of Hamilton County (Chattanooga as the county seat) was at this game as a fan.  He rounded up a “posse” of Mocs to attempt to overpower the Knoxville police and emancipate the arrested Chattanooga fans.  The sheriff was then arrested by the Knoxville police.

Tennessee had two home games remaining in 1958, and the administration decided they would not purchase new goalposts.  Instead, they erected very cheap wooden goalposts, the type anybody could construct by going to Home Depot, Lowe’s, or Menard’s today.

Coach Wyatt was barbecued in the local newspapers.  The Knoxville Journal and the Knoxville News-Sentinel opposed each other in 1958 like Fox News and CNN oppose each other today.  Yet, the two papers were in agreement that something needed to be done.  At 2-5, Tennessee now faced a closing three games against a top-5 Ole Miss team that had lost only to eventual national champion LSU; a decent Kentucky team under future Cleveland Browns head coach Blanton Collier; and a Vanderbilt team that would lose only one game prior to the season-ending contest with the Vols.

Staring a potential 2-8 season in the face, there was no joy in “The Marble City.”  Tennessee football was to Knoxville on Saturdays what it is to Green Bay on Sundays.

With the makeshift goalposts, Tennessee entered their game with Ole Miss as double-digit underdogs at home.  Having done exhaustive research, this was a first at Shields-Watkins Field.  Rarely had the Vols been underdogs at home under Neyland, so being a double-digit underdog to the Rebels was a new low.

As unexpected as their loss was to Chattanooga the previous week, the Vols went the opposite way against Coach Johnny Vaught’s Rebels.  Ole Miss had just scored 56 points the previous week against Houston, and their defense was giving up less than six points per game.  Even LSU could muster only 14 points, so the Vols’ Single Wing offense looked to be in a huge bind, and it was conceivable that Tennessee would be lucky to even cross midfield.

Not only did Tennessee move the ball across midfield, they moved it up and down the field for most of the day, while their defense slowed a great Split-T attack and Ole Miss’s top back, Charlie Flowers, had trouble moving the ball for most of the day.  An 18-16 upset was as big as the upset loss to Chattanooga.

Ironically, the Vols’ fans stormed the field after this game and quickly made short work of the cheap, makeshift goalposts.  Tennessee had to erect another set of wooden goalposts for its final home game.  Also ironically, goalposts would not be needed in that final home game, as neither Tennessee nor Kentucky attempted an extra point that day.  The Vol offense returned to its inept depths and failed to produce points.  A safety by the defense prevented the goose egg from staying on the old scoreboard.  Kentucky scored a lone touchdown and missed a two-point conversion but won 6-2.  This guaranteed a losing season for the Vols.

The season ended with Tennessee visiting their in-state rival Vanderbilt in Nashville.  This Vanderbilt team was ranked number 15 and looking at a likely Sun, Gator, or Bluegrass Bowl bid with a win over the lowly Vols.  Vanderbilt entered this game without an SEC loss and only one overall, which came against a Clemson team that won the Atlantic Coast Conference championship and would face LSU in the Sugar Bowl.

After Coach Neyland came to Knoxville, Vanderbilt was rarely favored to beat their nemesis down the road on US Highway 70.  On this late November day, the Commodores were expected to win easily and give some of their second team players extra experience.

Once again, the Vols came out fired up and stopped Vanderbilt’s version of the Split-T and Wing-T offense.  The UT Single Wing offense was not potent by any means, but they moved the ball.  In 1958, few teams made more than two or three field goals in an entire season, and many did not make even one.  On this day, a field goal gave the Vols a surprising early lead, and Tennessee led 10-6 in the fourth quarter.  Two long Vanderbilt drives ended with turnovers, a fumble on the first and an interception on the second.  The Vol player (cannot remember his name) that recovered the fumble also picked off the pass, and Tennessee shocked Vandy at Dudley Field.  As a result, the Commodores were passed over for the bowl bids.  The Sun Bowl took Hardin-Simmons; the Bluegrass Bowl in Louisville took Florida State; and the Gator Bowl chose Florida and Ole Miss.

To all the Vols fans, as well as those that cheer for Tennessee to lose, let this be a warning to you.  The same can be said to Florida State, South Carolina, Missouri, UCLA, and Arizona fans this week.  Your team failed miserably in game one, but you never know what might happen in game two.  This going to the extremes, believing your team might be Playoff bound if they win their first game, and believing that the sky is falling if they lose their first game, is a ridiculous emotion.  It’s just the first game.  Teams have stunk in their first game and proceeded to win the national championship.  Not that this will happen in 2019, but the Seminoles, Gamecocks, Tigers, Bruins, Wildcats, and Vols fans still have reason to believe that this current low point will be replaced with multiple reversals of misfortune.

Week Two–Some Marquee Games

This will be a Saturday to make plans to watch a lot of football if you are a big college fan.

Noon, EDT

Michigan vs. Army–Fox Sports

This is the best early game.  The Wolverines had some trouble against Middle Tennessee in week one, while Army struggled with Rice.  This game may be lower scoring than first expected, but both teams did not show their entire playbooks last week.  I expect more offense and will look at the totals numbers for this game.  If Army can pull off the upset, the Black Knights can easily run the table for the regular season and possibly earn a spot in the Cotton Bowl.  Army is not eligible for the guaranteed Group of 5 New Year’s Bowl bid, as this goes to the highest-rated Group of 5 Conference Champion.  However, if the men from West Point beat Michigan and proceed to go 13-0 in the regular season, they could still be selected as an at-large team for the Cotton Bowl.

Of course, Michigan is a tough team to beat at The Big House, and Army does not wear scarlet and gray uniforms.

Purdue vs. Vanderbilt–Big Ten Network

This looks like a bowl eliminator game, even in week 2.  Purdue watched a 17-point lead disappear in Reno against Nevada.  Vanderbilt suffered against national contender Georgia and has injuries on its already thin offensive line.  The team that emerges 1-1 will still hold bowl hopes for 2019.  The loser has little path to six wins.

3:30 PM EDT

Clemson vs. Texas A&M–ABC

The Aggies gave the Tigers one of their two toughest battles last year in College Station, and Coach Jimbo Fisher certainly knows how to prepare for a game against his former rival when he coached at Florida State.  Having to go to Deaf Valley to place Trevor the Great may be asking the Aggies to do the impossible, but Clemson didn’t look like a super team against Georgia Tech last week, and Lawrence actually completed two passes to the wrong colored jersey.  This game might be quite interesting if the Aggies can contain the CU running game and make Clemson one dimensional.

7:30 PM EDT

Texas vs. LSU–ABC

This may be the overall best game of the week.  Texas looked just as strong if not stronger beating Louisiana Tech in week one as they looked like last year when they beat Georgia in the Sugar Bowl.  LSU looked like a team that Alabama fans need to worry about, as the new Tiger offense did things through the air that it had not done before, even in the Bert Jones days.  Joe Burrow added his name to Heisman Trophy contention after week one.  The winner of this game stays in Playoff contention.  The loser is already looking at top tier bowl but no Playoffs.

8:00 PM EDT

North Carolina vs. Miami–ACC Network

Kudos to Coach Mack Brown for showing the nation that old guys can still teach new tricks to the youngsters.  North Carolina can now become a co-favorite for the Coastal Division flag with a win over Miami in week two.  Meanwhile, the Hurricanes have had an extra week to lick their wounds after falling to rival Florida in a game that Miami had a chance to win at the end.

10:30 PM EDT

Washington vs. California–FS1

After Oregon lost in the final nine seconds to Auburn, the Pac-12 was placed behind the 8-ball.  It is going to take a 12-0 team from the Pac-12 to make the Playoffs, so this game will see one team emerge as having accomplished what is mandatory for that to happen.  Washington quarterback Jacob Eason looked like a potential first team All Pac-12 player in game one, but then Eastern Washington’s defense is not the standard to judge excellence.

Cal had to come from behind to beat FCS rival UC Davis.  Having to go to Seattle for this game makes the Bears a solid underdog, but Coach Justin Wilcox is impressing us with his handling of the boys from Berkeley.  Expect this game to be closer than expected and most likely quite exciting.  Cal stopped the Huskies last year in a 12-10 win.

Stanford vs. USC–ESPN

When USC quarterback J.T. Daniels went down with a season-ending injury in the middle of the Fresno State game, you could just see Coach Clay Helton’s subconscious brain imagining the help-wanted ads in the Los Angeles Times.  With an incredibly difficult schedule and a mandate to win 8 or 9 games this year, how does Helton survive the season much less get through it to the end with a true freshman signal caller?

Helton and the Trojans may have a shot against the Cardinal, because Stanford quarterback K.J. Costello might not play after suffering a gruesome hit in what should have been called a targeting penalty against Northwestern.  Costello might be in the concussion protocol and unable to play in this game, and backup Davis Mills did not produce any points after entering the game for the second half.

The winner of this game will be an unconvincing 2-0 team, but the loser will be in dire straits at 1-1.  USC faces four consecutive games where they will be the underdog, while Stanford decided to play Central Florida and Notre Dame as two of its three non-conference games.  The Cardinal may not have five more wins on their schedule if they lose this game.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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March 22, 2019

PiRate Ratings NCAA Tournament For Friday, March 22, 2019

Home

Rating

HCA

Visitor

Rating

Spread

Cincinnati

110.8

1.5

Iowa

111.1

1.2

Ole Miss

110.3

0.0

Oklahoma

110.7

-0.4

Texas Tech

117.8

0.0

Northern Kentucky

104.5

13.3

Kansas St.

112.7

0.0

UC-Irvine

106.2

6.5

Tennessee

118.3

0.0

Colgate

102.8

15.5

Gardner-Webb

99.5

1.0

Virginia

121.1

-20.6

Buffalo

115.0

0.0

Arizona St.

107.9

7.1

Wisconsin

115.1

0.0

Oregon

109.7

5.4

Utah St.

111.3

0.0

Washington

108.8

2.5

Duke

123.1

0.0

North Dakota St.

97.9

25.2

Houston

114.8

0.0

Georgia St.

103.9

10.9

Mississippi St.

113.9

0.0

Liberty

106.7

7.2

North Carolina

121.7

0.0

Iona

97.8

23.9

Virginia Commonwealth

110.7

0.0

Central Florida

109.4

1.3

Iowa St.

114.8

0.0

Ohio St.

109.9

4.9

Virginia Tech

115.5

0.0

Saint Louis

104.1

11.4

 

Today’s Schedule

All Times EDT

TIME

MATCHUP

NETWORK

SITE

12:15 PM

(10) Iowa vs. (7) Cincinnati

CBS

Columbus 

12:40 PM

(9) Oklahoma vs. (8) Ole Miss

truTV

Columbia 

1:30 PM

(14) Northern Kentucky vs. (3) Texas Tech

TNT

Tulsa 

2 PM

(13) UC Irvine vs. (4) Kansas State

TBS

San Jose 

Approx. 3 PM

(15) Colgate vs. (2) Tennessee

CBS

Columbus 

Approx. 3:25 PM

(16) Gardner-Webb vs. (1) Virginia

truTV

Columbia 

Approx. 4:15 PM

(11) St. John’s / Arizona State vs. (6) Buffalo

TNT

Tulsa 

Approx. 4:45 PM

(12) Oregon vs. (5) Wisconsin

TBS

San Jose 

6:50 PM

(9) Washington vs. (8) Utah State

TNT

Columbus 

7:10 PM

(16) NC Central / North Dakota St. vs. (1) Duke

CBS

Columbia 

7:20 PM

(14) Georgia State vs. (3) Houston

TBS

Tulsa 

7:27 PM

(12) Liberty vs. (5) Mississippi State

truTV

San Jose 

Approx. 9:35 PM

(16) Iona vs. (1) North Carolina

TNT

Columbus 

Approx. 9:55 PM

(9) UCF vs. (8) VCU

CBS

Columbia 

Approx. 10:05 PM

(11) Ohio State vs. (6) Iowa State

TBS

Tulsa

Approx. 10:12 PM

(13) Saint Louis vs. (4) Virginia Tech

truTV

San Jose 

 

 

 

March 10, 2019

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For Sunday, March 10, 2019

Today’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home

Rating

HCA

Visitor

Rating

Spread

Lipscomb

109.0

3.0

Liberty

105.9

6.1

Radford

102.7

2.5

Gardner-Webb

99.3

5.9

Hofstra

106.5

0.0

James Madison

93.8

12.7

William & Mary

97.6

0.0

Delaware

94.7

2.9

Northeastern

105.6

0.0

UNC Wilmington

94.7

10.9

Charleston

103.4

1.0

Drexel

95.2

9.2

Siena

95.4

2.5

Iona

97.7

0.2

Canisius

95.1

0.0

Monmouth

93.3

1.8

Northern Iowa

99.1

0.0

Bradley

99.5

-0.4

Colgate

102.1

2.5

Navy

92.8

11.8

Bucknell

101.4

2.5

Lehigh

100.3

3.6

Wofford

112.9

0.0

East Tennessee St.

106.6

6.3

UNC Greensboro

105.5

0.0

Furman

107.9

-2.4

North Dakota St.

97.5

0.0

Oral Roberts

92.8

4.7

South Dakota

97.4

1.0

Purdue Fort Wayne

98.7

-0.3

Cincinnati

111.8

3.0

Houston

114.5

0.3

Penn St.

109.9

2.5

Illinois

106.5

5.9

Indiana

110.4

3.0

Rutgers

106.3

7.1

East Carolina

93.7

2.5

Connecticut

105.2

-9.0

Nebraska

110.5

3.0

Iowa

110.8

2.7

South Florida

103.5

3.0

SMU

103.8

2.7

Ohio St.

110.3

3.0

Wisconsin

115.5

-2.2

Conference Tournaments Update

America East Conference

All games at home floor of higher seeds

Quarterfinals–Saturday, March 9

Md.-Baltimore Co.

62

Albany

54

Vermont

73

Maine

57

Binghamton

73

Stony Brook

71

Hartford

78

UMass Lowell

70

 

Semifinals–Tuesday, March 12

Seed

Home

Seed

Visitor

1

Vermont (25-6)

7

Binghamton (10-22)

3

Maryland-Baltimore Co. (20-12)

4

Hartford (18-14)

 

 

Atlantic Sun Conference

*** Championship Game–Sunday, March 10 ***

Seed

Home

Seed

Visitor

1

Lipscomb (25-6)

2

Liberty (27-6)

 

 

Big South Conference

*** Championship Game–Sunday, March 10 (at Radford) ***

Seed

Home Team

Seed

Visitors

2

Radford (22-10)

4

Gardner-Webb (22-11)

 

 

Colonial Athletic Association

Site: North Charleston Coliseum, North Charleston, SC

First Round–Saturday, March 9

James Madison

74

Towson

73

UNC Wilmington

93

Elon

86

Quarterfinals–Sunday, March 10

Seed

Team

Seed

Team

1

Hofstra (25-6)

8

James Madison (14-18)

4

William & Mary (14-16)

5

Delaware (16-15)

2

Northeastern (20-10)

10

UNC Wilmington (10-22)

3

Charleston (23-8)

6

Drexel (13-18)

 

 

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference

Site: Times Union Center, Albany, NY (Siena)

Quarterfinals–Saturday, March 9

Monmouth

98

Quinnipiac

92

Siena

87

Rider

81

 

Semifinals–Sunday, March 10

Seed

Team

Seed

Team

1

Iona (15-15)

5

Siena (17-15)

2

Canisius (15-16)

6

Monmouth (13-20)

 

 

Missouri Valley Conference (Arch Madness)

Site: Enterprise Center, St. Louis, MO

Semifinals–Saturday, March 9

Bradley

53

Loyola (Chi)

51

Northern Iowa

60

Drake

58

*** Championship Game–Sunday, March 10 ***

Seed

Team

Seed

Team

6

Northern Iowa (16-17)

5

Bradley (19-14)

 

Northeast Conference

All games at home floor of higher seeds

Semifinals–Saturday, March 9

St. Francis (PA)

72

Long Island

64

Fairleigh-Dickinson

66

Robert Morris

62

 

Championship Game–Tuesday, March 12

Seed

Home

Seed

Visitor

1

St. Francis (PA) (18-13)

2

Fairleigh-Dickinson (19-13)

 

 

Ohio Valley Conference

*** Championship Game–Saturday, March 9 ***

Murray St.

77

Belmont

65

Champion:  Murray St.  27-4

 

 

 

Patriot League

All games at home floor of higher seeds

Semifinals–Sunday, March 10

Seed

Home

Seed

Visitor

1

Colgate (22-10)

5

Navy (12-18)

2

Bucknell (20-10)

3

Lehigh (20-10)

 

 

Southern Conference

Site: US Cellular Center, Asheville, NC

Quarterfinals–Saturday, March 9

Wofford

99

VMI

72

East Tennessee St.

68

Chattanooga

64

UNC Greensboro

77

Samford

70

Furman

85

Mercer

74

 

Semifinals–Sunday, March 10

Seed

Team

Seed

Team

1

Wofford (27-4)

4/5

East Tennessee St. (24-8)

2

UNC Greensboro (27-5)

3

Furman (25-6)

 

 

Summit League

Site: Denny Sanford Premier Center, Sioux Falls, SD

Quarterfinals–Saturday, March 9

Western Illinois

79

South Dakota St.

76

Omaha

81

North Dakota

76

 

Quarterfinals–Sunday, March 10

Seed

Team

Seed

Team

Purdue Fort Wayne (17-14)

5

South Dakota (13-16)

North Dakota St. (15-15)

6

Oral Roberts (11-20)

 

 

West Coast Conference

Site: Orleans Arena, Las Vegas, NV

Quarterfinals–Saturday, March 9

San Diego

80

BYU

57

Pepperdine

89

San Francisco

72

 

Semifinals–Monday, March 11

Seed

Team

Seed

Team

2

Saint Mary’s (20-11)

6

San Diego (21-13)

1

Gonzaga (29-2)

8

Pepperdine (16-17)

 

Teams In The Big Dance

Murray St.  (OVC)  27-4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

March 7, 2019

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For Thursday, March 7, 2019

Today’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home

Rating

HCA

Visitor

Rating

Spread

Radford

103.4

0.0

Presbyterian

98.3

5.1

Winthrop

99.7

0.0

Charleston Southern

99.5

0.2

Campbell

99.1

2.5

Hampton

98.6

3.0

Gardner-Webb

98.2

0.0

High Point

96.7

1.5

Lipscomb

110.1

3.0

NJIT

99.1

14.0

Liberty

106.5

3.0

North Florida

99.0

10.5

Marist

94.2

0.0

Saint Peter’s

91.1

3.1

Manhattan

90.5

0.0

Fairfield

92.5

-2.0

Monmouth

92.4

0.0

Niagara

90.7

1.7

Indiana St.

98.0

0.0

Valparaiso

96.2

1.8

Illinois St.

97.9

0.0

Evansville

96.5

1.4

Austin Peay

102.7

0.0

Morehead St.

95.0

7.7

Jacksonville St.

103.5

0.0

UT-Martin

92.1

11.4

Colgate

102.7

3.0

Boston U

96.1

9.6

Bucknell

101.1

3.0

Holy Cross

95.6

8.5

Lehigh

100.1

2.5

Army

95.3

7.3

American

98.5

2.5

Navy

92.8

8.2

San Diego

104.0

0.0

Portland

89.7

14.3

Pepperdine

99.9

0.0

Pacific

97.2

2.7

Appalachian St.

97.8

2.5

Troy

94.2

6.1

Little Rock

97.2

2.5

Louisiana

98.9

0.8

Central Florida

110.5

3.0

Cincinnati

110.8

2.7

Coastal Carolina

101.1

2.5

South Alabama

96.9

6.7

Connecticut

104.9

3.0

Temple

106.2

1.7

Florida A&M

90.3

2.5

Bethune-Cookman

92.4

0.4

Maryland Eastern Shore

81.0

2.5

Delaware St.

79.1

4.4

Morgan St.

89.0

2.5

Coppin St.

84.1

7.4

North Carolina A&T

91.8

2.5

North Carolina Central

92.4

1.9

South Carolina St.

87.5

2.5

Savannah St.

85.5

4.5

Wisconsin

114.7

3.0

Iowa

111.1

6.6

Arkansas St.

94.7

3.0

Louisiana Monroe

100.9

-3.2

Grambling

93.2

2.5

Alabama St.

90.6

5.1

Illinois

107.6

3.0

Indiana

109.2

1.4

Jackson St.

89.7

2.5

Alabama A&M

85.3

6.9

Norfolk St.

95.3

2.5

Howard

90.8

7.0

Prairie View

95.2

2.5

Southern

87.2

10.5

Southern Utah

92.9

2.5

Northern Colorado

99.5

-4.1

UT Rio Grande Valley

99.5

2.5

California Baptist

97.9

4.1

Texas Southern

98.0

2.5

Alcorn St.

84.6

15.9

Colorado

106.3

3.0

UCLA

105.1

4.2

Houston

114.2

2.5

SMU

102.6

14.1

Idaho St.

90.7

2.5

Eastern Washington

93.6

-0.4

Utah Valley

104.8

2.5

Grand Canyon

105.4

1.9

Weber St.

97.6

2.5

Idaho

84.2

15.9

Cal Poly

89.2

2.5

UC-Irvine

105.1

-13.4

Cal St. Northridge

94.2

2.5

UC Santa Barbara

99.9

-3.2

UC-Davis

95.8

3.5

Hawaii

97.1

2.2

Portland St.

92.3

2.5

Montana

102.6

-7.8

Sacramento St.

93.5

2.5

Montana St.

95.4

0.6

Seattle

98.8

2.5

Cal St. Bakersfield

97.4

3.9

Utah

103.4

3.0

USC

105.4

1.0

Stanford

104.5

1.5

California

94.5

11.5

 

Conference Tournaments Update

Atlantic Sun Conference

Both Games Played at Higher Seed

Semifinals–Thursday, March 7

Seed

Home

Seed

Visitor

1

Lipscomb (24-6)

5

NJIT (21-11)

2

Liberty (26-6)

3

North Florida (16-16)

 

Big South Conference

At Campbell University, Buies Creek, NC

Quarterfinals–Thursday, March 7 

Seed

Team

Seed

Team

2

Radford (20-10)

7

Presbyterian (18-14)

3

Winthrop (18-11)

6

Charleston Southern (16-14)

1

Campbell (19-11)

8

Hampton (15-15)

4

Gardner-Webb (20-11)

5

High Point (16-14)

Horizon League  (Motor City Madness)

Wednesday’s Games Played At Higher Seeds

Quarterfinals–Wednesday, March 6

Oakland

88

Youngstown St.

84

Northern Kentucky

99

Detroit

88

Site: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI

Semifinals–Friday, March 15 

Seed

Team

Seed

Team

1

Wright St. (20-12)

4

Green Bay 17-15

2

Northern Kentucky (24-8)

3/6

Oakland (16-16)

 

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference

Site: Times Union Center, Albany, NY (Siena)

First Round–Thursday, March 7

Seed

Team

Seed

Team

8

Marist (12-18)

9

Saint Peter’s (9-21)

7

Manhattan (10-20)

10

Fairfield (9-21)

6

Monmouth (11-20)

11

Niagara (13-18)

 

Missouri Valley Conference  (Arch Madness)

Site: Enterprise Center, St. Louis, MO

First Round–Thursday, March 7

Seed

Team

Seed

Team

8

Indiana St. (15-15)

9

Valparaiso (14-17)

7

Illinois St. (16-15)

10

Evansville (11-20)

 

Northeast Conference

All games at home floor of higher seeds

Quarterfinals–Wednesday, March 6

St. Francis (PA)

67

Bryant

63

Fairleigh-Dickinson

84

Wagner

46

Long Island

71

Sacred Heart

62

Robert Morris

69

St. Francis (Bklyn)

65 ot

 

Semifinals–Saturday, March 9

Seed

Home

Seed

Visitor

1

St. Francis (PA) (17-13)

6

Long Island (16-15)

2

Fairleigh-Dickinson (18-13)

4

Robert Morris (17-15)

 

Ohio Valley Conference

Site: Ford Center, Evansville, IN

Morehead St.

72

SIU Edwardsville

68

UT-Martin

78

Eastern Illinois

71

 

Quarterfinals–Thursday, March 7

Seed

Team

Seed

Team

4

Austin Peay (21-10)

5

Morehead St. (13-19)

3

Jacksonville St. (23-8)

7

UT-Martin (12-18)

 

Patriot League

All games at home floor of higher seeds

Quarterfinals–Thursday, March 7

Seed

Home

Seed

Visitor

1

Colgate (21-10)

8

Boston U (15-17)

2

Bucknell (19-10)

10

Holy Cross (16-16)

3

Lehigh (19-10)

6

Army (13-18)

4

American (15-14)

5

Navy (11-18)

 

West Coast Conference

Site: Orleans Arena, Las Vegas, NV

First Round–Thursday, March 7

Seed

Home Team

Seed

Visitors

7

San Diego (18-13)

10

Portland (7-24)

8

Pepperdine (13-17)

9

Pacific (14-17)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

February 4, 2019

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For Monday, February 4, 2019

Monday’s PiRate Ratings (1-353)

Rk

Team

PiRate

Conf

1

Duke

124.0

ACC

2

Gonzaga

122.5

WCC

3

Virginia

122.1

ACC

4

Michigan St.

120.1

B10

5

North Carolina

119.6

ACC

6

Tennessee

119.3

SEC

7

Virginia Tech

117.6

ACC

8

Kentucky

117.4

SEC

9

Michigan

117.0

B10

10

Purdue

116.4

B10

11

Auburn

116.0

SEC

12

Iowa St.

115.7

B12

13

Wisconsin

115.6

B10

14

Kansas

115.3

B12

15

Nevada

115.1

MWC

16

Louisville

114.3

ACC

17

Texas Tech

114.2

B12

18

Villanova

113.9

BE

19

Buffalo

113.2

MAC

20

Houston

112.9

Amer

21

Marquette

112.6

BE

22

Maryland

112.6

B10

23

Nebraska

112.5

B10

24

Florida St.

112.5

ACC

25

Iowa

112.5

B10

26

Mississippi St.

112.4

SEC

27

LSU

112.2

SEC

28

North Carolina St.

112.2

ACC

29

Cincinnati

112.0

Amer

30

Baylor

111.8

B12

31

Ohio St.

111.6

B10

32

Syracuse

111.5

ACC

33

Florida

111.3

SEC

34

Texas

111.3

B12

35

Oklahoma

111.2

B12

36

Wofford

111.1

SC

37

TCU

110.7

B12

38

Kansas St.

110.6

B12

39

Washington

110.5

P12

40

Indiana

110.5

B10

41

Saint Mary’s

110.4

WCC

42

Clemson

110.3

ACC

43

Lipscomb

110.2

ASun

44

Utah St.

109.6

MWC

45

St. John’s

109.6

BE

46

Creighton

109.5

BE

47

San Francisco

109.5

WCC

48

Mississippi

109.4

SEC

49

Alabama

109.0

SEC

50

Arizona St.

109.0

P12

51

Butler

108.8

BE

52

Central Florida

108.5

Amer

53

Oregon

108.4

P12

54

Virginia Commonwealth

108.2

A10

55

Arkansas

108.1

SEC

56

Northwestern

107.9

B10

57

Minnesota

107.7

B10

58

New Mexico St.

107.5

WAC

59

Arizona

107.5

P12

60

Seton Hall

107.4

BE

61

Toledo

107.4

MAC

62

Murray St.

107.3

OVC

63

Fresno St.

107.3

MWC

64

East Tennessee St.

107.1

SC

65

Vermont

107.0

AE

66

Hofstra

106.9

CAA

67

Liberty

106.9

ASun

68

Belmont

106.8

OVC

69

Oregon St.

106.7

P12

70

Dayton

106.6

A10

71

Temple

106.6

Amer

72

Penn St.

106.6

B10

73

Connecticut

106.5

Amer

74

South Dakota St.

106.2

Sum

75

Miami (Fla)

106.2

ACC

76

Pittsburgh

106.2

ACC

77

Grand Canyon

106.1

WAC

78

Georgetown

106.1

BE

79

Providence

106.0

BE

80

Davidson

106.0

A10

81

West Virginia

105.9

B12

82

Notre Dame

105.8

ACC

83

Illinois

105.8

B10

84

Yale

105.7

Ivy

85

Georgia Tech

105.7

ACC

86

Memphis

105.6

Amer

87

Furman

105.6

SC

88

Colorado

105.3

P12

89

San Diego

105.3

WCC

90

South Carolina

105.2

SEC

91

BYU

105.2

WCC

92

Northeastern

105.2

CAA

93

Xavier

105.1

BE

94

Missouri

104.9

SEC

95

SMU

104.8

Amer

96

Northern Kentucky

104.7

Horz

97

UCLA

104.7

P12

98

Rutgers

104.6

B10

99

Oklahoma St.

104.5

B12

100

Georgia

104.5

SEC

101

Harvard

104.3

Ivy

102

DePaul

104.2

BE

103

Ball St.

104.2

MAC

104

Texas St.

104.1

SB

105

Old Dominion

104.0

CUSA

106

Rhode Island

103.9

A10

107

USC

103.9

P12

108

Montana

103.8

BSky

109

Loyola (Chi)

103.7

MVC

110

Boston College

103.7

ACC

111

Georgia St.

103.6

SB

112

Western Kentucky

103.6

CUSA

113

Texas A&M

103.5

SEC

114

South Florida

103.5

Amer

115

Penn

103.5

Ivy

116

Austin Peay

103.5

OVC

117

San Diego St.

103.4

MWC

118

Georgia Southern

103.4

SB

119

Jacksonville St.

103.3

OVC

120

Akron

103.3

MAC

121

Charleston

103.2

CAA

122

Bowling Green

103.2

MAC

123

George Mason

103.2

A10

124

Saint Louis

103.1

A10

125

Vanderbilt

103.1

SEC

126

Utah

103.0

P12

127

Utah Valley

103.0

WAC

128

Drake

102.9

MVC

129

Stanford

102.8

P12

130

Wichita St.

102.7

Amer

131

Boise St.

102.7

MWC

132

North Texas

102.7

CUSA

133

Radford

102.6

BSth

134

Tulsa

102.5

Amer

135

Northern Illinois

102.1

MAC

136

Bucknell

101.8

Pat

137

Southern Miss

101.8

CUSA

138

Brown

101.8

Ivy

139

Louisiana Tech

101.8

CUSA

140

Loyola Marymount

101.7

WCC

141

Coastal Carolina

101.5

SB

142

Central Michigan

101.5

MAC

143

Lehigh

101.4

Pat

144

St. Bonaventure

101.2

A10

145

Miami (O)

101.1

MAC

146

Kent St.

101.1

MAC

147

UC Irvine

101.0

BW

148

Wright St.

100.9

Horz

149

Princeton

100.8

Ivy

150

Southern Illinois

100.7

MVC

151

Louisiana Monroe

100.6

SB

152

Samford

100.6

SC

153

Colgate

100.2

Pat

154

Duquesne

100.2

A10

155

Missouri St.

100.1

MVC

156

Northern Colorado

100.1

BSky

157

Rider

100.1

MAAC

158

Pepperdine

100.1

WCC

159

Illinois St.

100.0

MVC

160

Stony Brook

100.0

AE

161

Cal St. Fullerton

100.0

BW

162

Winthrop

99.9

BSth

163

Weber St.

99.8

BSky

164

UMass Lowell

99.7

AE

165

Wake Forest

99.6

ACC

166

Mercer

99.6

SC

167

Abilene Christian

99.6

Slnd

168

Omaha

99.6

Sum

169

UC Santa Barbara

99.5

BW

170

NJIT

99.5

ASun

171

UAB

99.5

CUSA

172

Eastern Michigan

99.4

MAC

173

New Mexico

99.4

MWC

174

Marshall

99.4

CUSA

175

UTSA

99.1

CUSA

176

American

99.1

Pat

177

Purdue Fort Wayne

99.0

Sum

178

Louisiana

98.9

SB

179

Massachusetts

98.9

A10

180

Sam Houston St.

98.9

Slnd

181

UNC Greensboro

98.9

SC

182

Saint Joseph’s

98.8

A10

183

Gardner Webb

98.8

BSth

184

UNLV

98.6

MWC

185

IUPUI

98.6

Horz

186

Colorado St.

98.5

MWC

187

Seattle

98.4

WAC

188

Dartmouth

98.3

Ivy

189

Campbell

98.2

BSth

190

Valparaiso

98.2

MVC

191

Evansville

98.2

MVC

192

Presbyterian

98.1

BSth

193

Richmond

98.1

A10

194

Hartford

98.0

AE

195

UNC Wilmington

98.0

CAA

196

Appalachian St.

98.0

SB

197

Hawaii

98.0

BW

198

Northern Iowa

98.0

MVC

199

Cal St. Bakersfield

97.8

WAC

200

Florida Atlantic

97.8

CUSA

201

Ohio

97.8

MAC

202

Texas Southern

97.7

SWAC

203

Troy

97.7

SB

204

North Dakota St.

97.6

Sum

205

Maryland Baltimore Co.

97.6

AE

206

Green Bay

97.5

Horz

207

Pacific

97.5

WCC

208

Oakland

97.5

Horz

209

Indiana St.

97.4

MVC

210

Bradley

97.2

MVC

211

Charleston Southern

97.1

BSth

212

Illinois Chicago

97.0

Horz

213

Holy Cross

97.0

Pat

214

North Florida

96.9

ASun

215

South Alabama

96.8

SB

216

Boston University

96.8

Pat

217

High Point

96.7

BSth

218

La Salle

96.7

A10

219

Long Beach St.

96.7

BW

220

Hampton

96.6

BSth

221

William & Mary

96.6

CAA

222

Lamar

96.5

Slnd

223

Florida Int’l.

96.4

CUSA

224

Iona

96.4

MAAC

225

South Dakota

96.4

Sum

226

UC Riverside

96.3

BW

227

Quinnipiac

96.3

MAAC

228

Washington St.

96.3

P12

229

Santa Clara

96.2

WCC

230

Little Rock

96.2

SB

231

Fairleigh Dickinson

96.1

NEC

232

Robert Morris

96.1

NEC

233

Army

96.0

Pat

234

Sacred Heart

95.8

NEC

235

Eastern Kentucky

95.8

OVC

236

California Baptist

95.8

WAC

237

Detroit

95.7

Horz

238

Fordham

95.7

A10

239

Canisius

95.6

MAAC

240

Florida Gulf Coast

95.6

ASun

241

USC Upstate

95.6

BSth

242

Drexel

95.5

CAA

243

Columbia

95.5

Ivy

244

George Washington

95.5

A10

245

St. Francis PA

95.4

NEC

246

UT Rio Grande Valley

95.3

WAC

247

Delaware

95.3

CAA

248

Cornell

95.3

Ivy

249

Sacramento St.

95.1

BSky

250

UC Davis

95.1

BW

251

The Citadel

94.9

SC

252

St. Francis (BKN)

94.9

NEC

253

Siena

94.9

MAAC

254

Norfolk St.

94.9

MEAC

255

Western Michigan

94.9

MAC

256

UT Arlington

94.7

SB

257

Morehead St.

94.7

OVC

258

Rice

94.7

CUSA

259

Prairie View A&M

94.7

SWAC

260

Missouri Kansas City

94.7

WAC

261

Jacksonville

94.6

ASun

262

Towson

94.6

CAA

263

Air Force

94.6

MWC

264

UTEP

94.5

CUSA

265

Marist

94.5

MAAC

266

Long Island

94.4

NEC

267

Arkansas St.

94.4

SB

268

Portland St.

94.3

BSky

269

Montana St.

94.3

BSky

270

Chattanooga

94.2

SC

271

James Madison

94.2

CAA

272

Stephen F. Austin

94.2

Slnd

273

Albany

94.1

AE

274

North Dakota

94.1

Sum

275

Fairfield

94.0

MAAC

276

East Carolina

94.0

Amer

277

UT Martin

94.0

OVC

278

Wagner

94.0

NEC

279

Western Illinois

93.9

Sum

280

Texas A&M CC

93.8

Slnd

281

California

93.7

P12

282

Milwaukee

93.7

Horz

283

New Orleans

93.5

Slnd

284

Loyola (MD)

93.4

Pat

285

Tulane

93.4

Amer

286

Middle Tennessee

93.4

CUSA

287

Cal St. Northridge

93.3

BW

288

Niagara

93.3

MAAC

289

Southern Utah

93.2

BSky

290

Grambling

93.2

SWAC

291

Monmouth

93.2

MAAC

292

Youngstown St.

93.1

Horz

293

North Carolina Central

93.1

MEAC

294

Houston Baptist

93.0

Slnd

295

Tennessee St.

92.9

OVC

296

Eastern Washington

92.9

BSky

297

Central Arkansas

92.8

Slnd

298

Eastern Illinois

92.8

OVC

299

Western Carolina

92.7

SC

300

Southeastern Louisiana

92.7

Slnd

301

Denver

92.3

Sum

302

Cleveland St.

92.2

Horz

303

Longwood

92.2

BSth

304

North Carolina A&T

92.1

MEAC

305

Navy

92.0

Pat

306

Bethune Cookman

92.0

MEAC

307

Idaho St.

92.0

BSky

308

Oral Roberts

92.0

Sum

309

Lafayette

91.9

Pat

310

Charlotte

91.9

CUSA

311

Northern Arizona

91.9

BSky

312

Central Connecticut

91.8

NEC

313

Saint Peter’s

91.8

MAAC

314

McNeese St.

91.4

Slnd

315

Southeast Missouri St.

91.1

OVC

316

Alabama St.

91.1

SWAC

317

Maine

91.0

AE

318

Howard

91.0

MEAC

319

VMI

90.8

SC

320

Nicholls St.

90.8

Slnd

321

Elon

90.7

CAA

322

Portland

90.4

WCC

323

Florida A&M

90.3

MEAC

324

North Alabama

90.2

ASun

325

Wyoming

90.2

MWC

326

Manhattan

90.1

MAAC

327

Jackson St.

90.0

SWAC

328

Tennessee Tech

90.0

OVC

329

Cal Poly

89.7

BW

330

SIU Edwardsville

89.4

OVC

331

Mount St. Mary’s

89.0

NEC

332

Bryant

88.9

NEC

333

Binghamton

88.8

AE

334

Arkansas Pine Bluff

88.7

SWAC

335

Morgan St.

88.7

MEAC

336

South Carolina St.

88.5

MEAC

337

UNC Asheville

88.2

BSth

338

Southern

87.9

SWAC

339

Idaho

87.2

BSky

340

San Jose St.

86.9

MWC

341

Northwestern St.

86.7

Slnd

342

Stetson

86.5

ASun

343

Incarnate Word

85.8

Slnd

344

Kennesaw St.

85.7

ASun

345

New Hampshire

85.7

AE

346

Coppin St.

85.3

MEAC

347

Alcorn St.

84.8

SWAC

348

Alabama A&M

84.7

SWAC

349

Savannah St.

84.2

MEAC

350

Mississippi Valley St.

83.3

SWAC

351

Maryland Eastern Shore

81.3

MEAC

352

Chicago St.

80.9

WAC

353

Delaware St.

80.7

MEAC

 

Ratings Alphabetically

Rk

Team

PiRate

Conf

167

Abilene Christian

99.6

Slnd

263

Air Force

94.6

MWC

120

Akron

103.3

MAC

49

Alabama

109.0

SEC

348

Alabama A&M

84.7

SWAC

316

Alabama St.

91.1

SWAC

273

Albany

94.1

AE

347

Alcorn St.

84.8

SWAC

176

American

99.1

Pat

196

Appalachian St.

98.0

SB

59

Arizona

107.5

P12

50

Arizona St.

109.0

P12

55

Arkansas

108.1

SEC

334

Arkansas Pine Bluff

88.7

SWAC

267

Arkansas St.

94.4

SB

233

Army

96.0

Pat

11

Auburn

116.0

SEC

116

Austin Peay

103.5

OVC

103

Ball St.

104.2

MAC

30

Baylor

111.8

B12

68

Belmont

106.8

OVC

306

Bethune Cookman

92.0

MEAC

333

Binghamton

88.8

AE

131

Boise St.

102.7

MWC

110

Boston College

103.7

ACC

216

Boston University

96.8

Pat

122

Bowling Green

103.2

MAC

210

Bradley

97.2

MVC

138

Brown

101.8

Ivy

332

Bryant

88.9

NEC

136

Bucknell

101.8

Pat

19

Buffalo

113.2

MAC

51

Butler

108.8

BE

91

BYU

105.2

WCC

329

Cal Poly

89.7

BW

199

Cal St. Bakersfield

97.8

WAC

161

Cal St. Fullerton

100.0

BW

287

Cal St. Northridge

93.3

BW

281

California

93.7

P12

236

California Baptist

95.8

WAC

189

Campbell

98.2

BSth

239

Canisius

95.6

MAAC

297

Central Arkansas

92.8

Slnd

312

Central Connecticut

91.8

NEC

52

Central Florida

108.5

Amer

142

Central Michigan

101.5

MAC

121

Charleston

103.2

CAA

211

Charleston Southern

97.1

BSth

310

Charlotte

91.9

CUSA

270

Chattanooga

94.2

SC

352

Chicago St.

80.9

WAC

29

Cincinnati

112.0

Amer

42

Clemson

110.3

ACC

302

Cleveland St.

92.2

Horz

141

Coastal Carolina

101.5

SB

153

Colgate

100.2

Pat

88

Colorado

105.3

P12

186

Colorado St.

98.5

MWC

243

Columbia

95.5

Ivy

73

Connecticut

106.5

Amer

346

Coppin St.

85.3

MEAC

248

Cornell

95.3

Ivy

46

Creighton

109.5

BE

188

Dartmouth

98.3

Ivy

80

Davidson

106.0

A10

70

Dayton

106.6

A10

247

Delaware

95.3

CAA

353

Delaware St.

80.7

MEAC

301

Denver

92.3

Sum

102

DePaul

104.2

BE

237

Detroit

95.7

Horz

128

Drake

102.9

MVC

242

Drexel

95.5

CAA

1

Duke

124.0

ACC

154

Duquesne

100.2

A10

276

East Carolina

94.0

Amer

64

East Tennessee St.

107.1

SC

298

Eastern Illinois

92.8

OVC

235

Eastern Kentucky

95.8

OVC

172

Eastern Michigan

99.4

MAC

296

Eastern Washington

92.9

BSky

321

Elon

90.7

CAA

191

Evansville

98.2

MVC

275

Fairfield

94.0

MAAC

231

Fairleigh Dickinson

96.1

NEC

33

Florida

111.3

SEC

323

Florida A&M

90.3

MEAC

200

Florida Atlantic

97.8

CUSA

240

Florida Gulf Coast

95.6

ASun

223

Florida Int’l.

96.4

CUSA

24

Florida St.

112.5

ACC

238

Fordham

95.7

A10

63

Fresno St.

107.3

MWC

87

Furman

105.6

SC

183

Gardner Webb

98.8

BSth

123

George Mason

103.2

A10

244

George Washington

95.5

A10

78

Georgetown

106.1

BE

100

Georgia

104.5

SEC

118

Georgia Southern

103.4

SB

111

Georgia St.

103.6

SB

85

Georgia Tech

105.7

ACC

2

Gonzaga

122.5

WCC

290

Grambling

93.2

SWAC

77

Grand Canyon

106.1

WAC

206

Green Bay

97.5

Horz

220

Hampton

96.6

BSth

194

Hartford

98.0

AE

101

Harvard

104.3

Ivy

197

Hawaii

98.0

BW

217

High Point

96.7

BSth

66

Hofstra

106.9

CAA

213

Holy Cross

97.0

Pat

20

Houston

112.9

Amer

294

Houston Baptist

93.0

Slnd

318

Howard

91.0

MEAC

339

Idaho

87.2

BSky

307

Idaho St.

92.0

BSky

83

Illinois

105.8

B10

212

Illinois Chicago

97.0

Horz

159

Illinois St.

100.0

MVC

343

Incarnate Word

85.8

Slnd

40

Indiana

110.5

B10

209

Indiana St.

97.4

MVC

224

Iona

96.4

MAAC

25

Iowa

112.5

B10

12

Iowa St.

115.7

B12

185

IUPUI

98.6

Horz

327

Jackson St.

90.0

SWAC

261

Jacksonville

94.6

ASun

119

Jacksonville St.

103.3

OVC

271

James Madison

94.2

CAA

14

Kansas

115.3

B12

38

Kansas St.

110.6

B12

344

Kennesaw St.

85.7

ASun

146

Kent St.

101.1

MAC

8

Kentucky

117.4

SEC

218

La Salle

96.7

A10

309

Lafayette

91.9

Pat

222

Lamar

96.5

Slnd

143

Lehigh

101.4

Pat

67

Liberty

106.9

ASun

43

Lipscomb

110.2

ASun

230

Little Rock

96.2

SB

219

Long Beach St.

96.7

BW

266

Long Island

94.4

NEC

303

Longwood

92.2

BSth

178

Louisiana

98.9

SB

151

Louisiana Monroe

100.6

SB

139

Louisiana Tech

101.8

CUSA

16

Louisville

114.3

ACC

109

Loyola (Chi)

103.7

MVC

284

Loyola (MD)

93.4

Pat

140

Loyola Marymount

101.7

WCC

27

LSU

112.2

SEC

317

Maine

91.0

AE

326

Manhattan

90.1

MAAC

265

Marist

94.5

MAAC

21

Marquette

112.6

BE

174

Marshall

99.4

CUSA

22

Maryland

112.6

B10

205

Maryland Baltimore Co.

97.6

AE

351

Maryland Eastern Shore

81.3

MEAC

179

Massachusetts

98.9

A10

314

McNeese St.

91.4

Slnd

86

Memphis

105.6

Amer

166

Mercer

99.6

SC

75

Miami (Fla)

106.2

ACC

145

Miami (O)

101.1

MAC

9

Michigan

117.0

B10

4

Michigan St.

120.1

B10

286

Middle Tennessee

93.4

CUSA

282

Milwaukee

93.7

Horz

57

Minnesota

107.7

B10

48

Mississippi

109.4

SEC

26

Mississippi St.

112.4

SEC

350

Mississippi Valley St.

83.3

SWAC

94

Missouri

104.9

SEC

260

Missouri Kansas City

94.7

WAC

155

Missouri St.

100.1

MVC

291

Monmouth

93.2

MAAC

108

Montana

103.8

BSky

269

Montana St.

94.3

BSky

257

Morehead St.

94.7

OVC

335

Morgan St.

88.7

MEAC

331

Mount St. Mary’s

89.0

NEC

62

Murray St.

107.3

OVC

305

Navy

92.0

Pat

23

Nebraska

112.5

B10

15

Nevada

115.1

MWC

345

New Hampshire

85.7

AE

173

New Mexico

99.4

MWC

58

New Mexico St.

107.5

WAC

283

New Orleans

93.5

Slnd

288

Niagara

93.3

MAAC

320

Nicholls St.

90.8

Slnd

170

NJIT

99.5

ASun

254

Norfolk St.

94.9

MEAC

324

North Alabama

90.2

ASun

5

North Carolina

119.6

ACC

304

North Carolina A&T

92.1

MEAC

293

North Carolina Central

93.1

MEAC

28

North Carolina St.

112.2

ACC

274

North Dakota

94.1

Sum

204

North Dakota St.

97.6

Sum

214

North Florida

96.9

ASun

132

North Texas

102.7

CUSA

92

Northeastern

105.2

CAA

311

Northern Arizona

91.9

BSky

156

Northern Colorado

100.1

BSky

135

Northern Illinois

102.1

MAC

198

Northern Iowa

98.0

MVC

96

Northern Kentucky

104.7

Horz

56

Northwestern

107.9

B10

341

Northwestern St.

86.7

Slnd

82

Notre Dame

105.8

ACC

208

Oakland

97.5

Horz

201

Ohio

97.8

MAC

31

Ohio St.

111.6

B10

35

Oklahoma

111.2

B12

99

Oklahoma St.

104.5

B12

105

Old Dominion

104.0

CUSA

168

Omaha

99.6

Sum

308

Oral Roberts

92.0

Sum

53

Oregon

108.4

P12

69

Oregon St.

106.7

P12

207

Pacific

97.5

WCC

115

Penn

103.5

Ivy

72

Penn St.

106.6

B10

158

Pepperdine

100.1

WCC

76

Pittsburgh

106.2

ACC

322

Portland

90.4

WCC

268

Portland St.

94.3

BSky

259

Prairie View A&M

94.7

SWAC

192

Presbyterian

98.1

BSth

149

Princeton

100.8

Ivy

79

Providence

106.0

BE

10

Purdue

116.4

B10

177

Purdue Fort Wayne

99.0

Sum

227

Quinnipiac

96.3

MAAC

133

Radford

102.6

BSth

106

Rhode Island

103.9

A10

258

Rice

94.7

CUSA

193

Richmond

98.1

A10

157

Rider

100.1

MAAC

232

Robert Morris

96.1

NEC

98

Rutgers

104.6

B10

249

Sacramento St.

95.1

BSky

234

Sacred Heart

95.8

NEC

182

Saint Joseph’s

98.8

A10

124

Saint Louis

103.1

A10

41

Saint Mary’s

110.4

WCC

313

Saint Peter’s

91.8

MAAC

180

Sam Houston St.

98.9

Slnd

152

Samford

100.6

SC

89

San Diego

105.3

WCC

117

San Diego St.

103.4

MWC

47

San Francisco

109.5

WCC

340

San Jose St.

86.9

MWC

229

Santa Clara

96.2

WCC

349

Savannah St.

84.2

MEAC

187

Seattle

98.4

WAC

60

Seton Hall

107.4

BE

253

Siena

94.9

MAAC

330

SIU Edwardsville

89.4

OVC

95

SMU

104.8

Amer

215

South Alabama

96.8

SB

90

South Carolina

105.2

SEC

336

South Carolina St.

88.5

MEAC

225

South Dakota

96.4

Sum

74

South Dakota St.

106.2

Sum

114

South Florida

103.5

Amer

315

Southeast Missouri St.

91.1

OVC

300

Southeastern Louisiana

92.7

Slnd

338

Southern

87.9

SWAC

150

Southern Illinois

100.7

MVC

137

Southern Miss

101.8

CUSA

289

Southern Utah

93.2

BSky

144

St. Bonaventure

101.2

A10

252

St. Francis (BKN)

94.9

NEC

245

St. Francis PA

95.4

NEC

45

St. John’s

109.6

BE

129

Stanford

102.8

P12

272

Stephen F. Austin

94.2

Slnd

342

Stetson

86.5

ASun

160

Stony Brook

100.0

AE

32

Syracuse

111.5

ACC

37

TCU

110.7

B12

71

Temple

106.6

Amer

6

Tennessee

119.3

SEC

295

Tennessee St.

92.9

OVC

328

Tennessee Tech

90.0

OVC

34

Texas

111.3

B12

113

Texas A&M

103.5

SEC

280

Texas A&M CC

93.8

Slnd

202

Texas Southern

97.7

SWAC

104

Texas St.

104.1

SB

17

Texas Tech

114.2

B12

251

The Citadel

94.9

SC

61

Toledo

107.4

MAC

262

Towson

94.6

CAA

203

Troy

97.7

SB

285

Tulane

93.4

Amer

134

Tulsa

102.5

Amer

171

UAB

99.5

CUSA

250

UC Davis

95.1

BW

147

UC Irvine

101.0

BW

226

UC Riverside

96.3

BW

169

UC Santa Barbara

99.5

BW

97

UCLA

104.7

P12

164

UMass Lowell

99.7

AE

337

UNC Asheville

88.2

BSth

181

UNC Greensboro

98.9

SC

195

UNC Wilmington

98.0

CAA

184

UNLV

98.6

MWC

107

USC

103.9

P12

241

USC Upstate

95.6

BSth

256

UT Arlington

94.7

SB

277

UT Martin

94.0

OVC

246

UT Rio Grande Valley

95.3

WAC

126

Utah

103.0

P12

44

Utah St.

109.6

MWC

127

Utah Valley

103.0

WAC

264

UTEP

94.5

CUSA

175

UTSA

99.1

CUSA

190

Valparaiso

98.2

MVC

125

Vanderbilt

103.1

SEC

65

Vermont

107.0

AE

18

Villanova

113.9

BE

3

Virginia

122.1

ACC

54

Virginia Commonwealth

108.2

A10

7

Virginia Tech

117.6

ACC

319

VMI

90.8

SC

278

Wagner

94.0

NEC

165

Wake Forest

99.6

ACC

39

Washington

110.5

P12

228

Washington St.

96.3

P12

163

Weber St.

99.8

BSky

81

West Virginia

105.9

B12

299

Western Carolina

92.7

SC

279

Western Illinois

93.9

Sum

112

Western Kentucky

103.6

CUSA

255

Western Michigan

94.9

MAC

130

Wichita St.

102.7

Amer

221

William & Mary

96.6

CAA

162

Winthrop

99.9

BSth

13

Wisconsin

115.6

B10

36

Wofford

111.1

SC

148

Wright St.

100.9

Horz

325

Wyoming

90.2

MWC

93

Xavier

105.1

BE

84

Yale

105.7

Ivy

292

Youngstown St.

93.1

Horz

 

Ratings By Conference

#

America East

PiRate

65

Vermont

107.0

160

Stony Brook

100.0

164

UMass Lowell

99.7

194

Hartford

98.0

205

Maryland Baltimore Co.

97.6

273

Albany

94.1

317

Maine

91.0

333

Binghamton

88.8

345

New Hampshire

85.7

#

American Athletic

PiRate

20

Houston

112.9

29

Cincinnati

112.0

52

Central Florida

108.5

71

Temple

106.6

73

Connecticut

106.5

86

Memphis

105.6

95

SMU

104.8

114

South Florida

103.5

130

Wichita St.

102.7

134

Tulsa

102.5

276

East Carolina

94.0

285

Tulane

93.4

#

Atlantic 10

PiRate

54

Virginia Commonwealth

108.2

70

Dayton

106.6

80

Davidson

106.0

106

Rhode Island

103.9

123

George Mason

103.2

124

Saint Louis

103.1

144

St. Bonaventure

101.2

154

Duquesne

100.2

179

Massachusetts

98.9

182

Saint Joseph’s

98.8

193

Richmond

98.1

218

La Salle

96.7

238

Fordham

95.7

244

George Washington

95.5

#

Atlantic Coast

PiRate

1

Duke

124.0

3

Virginia

122.1

5

North Carolina

119.6

7

Virginia Tech

117.6

16

Louisville

114.3

24

Florida St.

112.5

28

North Carolina St.

112.2

32

Syracuse

111.5

42

Clemson

110.3

75

Miami (Fla)

106.2

76

Pittsburgh

106.2

82

Notre Dame

105.8

85

Georgia Tech

105.7

110

Boston College

103.7

165

Wake Forest

99.6

#

Atlantic Sun

PiRate

43

Lipscomb

110.2

67

Liberty

106.9

170

NJIT

99.5

214

North Florida

96.9

240

Florida Gulf Coast

95.6

261

Jacksonville

94.6

324

North Alabama

90.2

342

Stetson

86.5

344

Kennesaw St.

85.7

#

Big 12

PiRate

12

Iowa St.

115.7

14

Kansas

115.3

17

Texas Tech

114.2

30

Baylor

111.8

34

Texas

111.3

35

Oklahoma

111.2

37

TCU

110.7

38

Kansas St.

110.6

81

West Virginia

105.9

99

Oklahoma St.

104.5

#

Big East

PiRate

18

Villanova

113.9

21

Marquette

112.6

45

St. John’s

109.6

46

Creighton

109.5

51

Butler

108.8

60

Seton Hall

107.4

78

Georgetown

106.1

79

Providence

106.0

93

Xavier

105.1

102

DePaul

104.2

#

Big Sky

PiRate

108

Montana

103.8

156

Northern Colorado

100.1

163

Weber St.

99.8

249

Sacramento St.

95.1

268

Portland St.

94.3

269

Montana St.

94.3

289

Southern Utah

93.2

296

Eastern Washington

92.9

307

Idaho St.

92.0

311

Northern Arizona

91.9

339

Idaho

87.2

#

Big South

PiRate

133

Radford

102.6

162

Winthrop

99.9

183

Gardner Webb

98.8

189

Campbell

98.2

192

Presbyterian

98.1

211

Charleston Southern

97.1

217

High Point

96.7

220

Hampton

96.6

241

USC Upstate

95.6

303

Longwood

92.2

337

UNC Asheville

88.2

#

Big Ten

PiRate

4

Michigan St.

120.1

9

Michigan

117.0

10

Purdue

116.4

13

Wisconsin

115.6

22

Maryland

112.6

23

Nebraska

112.5

25

Iowa

112.5

31

Ohio St.

111.6

40

Indiana

110.5

56

Northwestern

107.9

57

Minnesota

107.7

72

Penn St.

106.6

83

Illinois

105.8

98

Rutgers

104.6

#

Big West

PiRate

147

UC Irvine

101.0

161

Cal St. Fullerton

100.0

169

UC Santa Barbara

99.5

197

Hawaii

98.0

219

Long Beach St.

96.7

226

UC Riverside

96.3

250

UC Davis

95.1

287

Cal St. Northridge

93.3

329

Cal Poly

89.7

#

Colonial Athletic

PiRate

66

Hofstra

106.9

92

Northeastern

105.2

121

Charleston

103.2

195

UNC Wilmington

98.0

221

William & Mary

96.6

242

Drexel

95.5

247

Delaware

95.3

262

Towson

94.6

271

James Madison

94.2

321

Elon

90.7

#

Conference USA

PiRate

105

Old Dominion

104.0

112

Western Kentucky

103.6

132

North Texas

102.7

137

Southern Miss

101.8

139

Louisiana Tech

101.8

171

UAB

99.5

174

Marshall

99.4

175

UTSA

99.1

200

Florida Atlantic

97.8

223

Florida Int’l.

96.4

258

Rice

94.7

264

UTEP

94.5

286

Middle Tennessee

93.4

310

Charlotte

91.9

#

Horizon

PiRate

96

Northern Kentucky

104.7

148

Wright St.

100.9

185

IUPUI

98.6

206

Green Bay

97.5

208

Oakland

97.5

212

Illinois Chicago

97.0

237

Detroit

95.7

282

Milwaukee

93.7

292

Youngstown St.

93.1

302

Cleveland St.

92.2

#

Ivy

PiRate

84

Yale

105.7

101

Harvard

104.3

115

Penn

103.5

138

Brown

101.8

149

Princeton

100.8

188

Dartmouth

98.3

243

Columbia

95.5

248

Cornell

95.3

#

Metro Atlantic

PiRate

157

Rider

100.1

224

Iona

96.4

227

Quinnipiac

96.3

239

Canisius

95.6

253

Siena

94.9

265

Marist

94.5

275

Fairfield

94.0

288

Niagara

93.3

291

Monmouth

93.2

313

Saint Peter’s

91.8

326

Manhattan

90.1

#

Mid-American

PiRate

19

Buffalo

113.2

61

Toledo

107.4

103

Ball St.

104.2

120

Akron

103.3

122

Bowling Green

103.2

135

Northern Illinois

102.1

142

Central Michigan

101.5

145

Miami (O)

101.1

146

Kent St.

101.1

172

Eastern Michigan

99.4

201

Ohio

97.8

255

Western Michigan

94.9

#

Mideastern Athletic

PiRate

254

Norfolk St.

94.9

293

North Carolina Central

93.1

304

North Carolina A&T

92.1

306

Bethune Cookman

92.0

318

Howard

91.0

323

Florida A&M

90.3

335

Morgan St.

88.7

336

South Carolina St.

88.5

346

Coppin St.

85.3

349

Savannah St.

84.2

351

Maryland Eastern Shore

81.3

353

Delaware St.

80.7

#

Missouri Valley

PiRate

109

Loyola (Chi)

103.7

128

Drake

102.9

150

Southern Illinois

100.7

155

Missouri St.

100.1

159

Illinois St.

100.0

190

Valparaiso

98.2

191

Evansville

98.2

198

Northern Iowa

98.0

209

Indiana St.

97.4

210

Bradley

97.2

#

Mountain West

PiRate

15

Nevada

115.1

44

Utah St.

109.6

63

Fresno St.

107.3

117

San Diego St.

103.4

131

Boise St.

102.7

173

New Mexico

99.4

184

UNLV

98.6

186

Colorado St.

98.5

263

Air Force

94.6

325

Wyoming

90.2

340

San Jose St.

86.9

#

Northeast

PiRate

231

Fairleigh Dickinson

96.1

232

Robert Morris

96.1

234

Sacred Heart

95.8

245

St. Francis PA

95.4

252

St. Francis (BKN)

94.9

266

Long Island

94.4

278

Wagner

94.0

312

Central Connecticut

91.8

331

Mount St. Mary’s

89.0

332

Bryant

88.9

#

Ohio Valley

PiRate

62

Murray St.

107.3

68

Belmont

106.8

116

Austin Peay

103.5

119

Jacksonville St.

103.3

235

Eastern Kentucky

95.8

257

Morehead St.

94.7

277

UT Martin

94.0

295

Tennessee St.

92.9

298

Eastern Illinois

92.8

315

Southeast Missouri St.

91.1

328

Tennessee Tech

90.0

330

SIU Edwardsville

89.4

#

Pac-12

PiRate

39

Washington

110.5

50

Arizona St.

109.0

53

Oregon

108.4

59

Arizona

107.5

69

Oregon St.

106.7

88

Colorado

105.3

97

UCLA

104.7

107

USC

103.9

126

Utah

103.0

129

Stanford

102.8

228

Washington St.

96.3

281

California

93.7

#

Patriot

PiRate

136

Bucknell

101.8

143

Lehigh

101.4

153

Colgate

100.2

176

American

99.1

213

Holy Cross

97.0

216

Boston University

96.8

233

Army

96.0

284

Loyola (MD)

93.4

305

Navy

92.0

309

Lafayette

91.9

#

Southeastern

PiRate

6

Tennessee

119.3

8

Kentucky

117.4

11

Auburn

116.0

26

Mississippi St.

112.4

27

LSU

112.2

33

Florida

111.3

48

Mississippi

109.4

49

Alabama

109.0

55

Arkansas

108.1

90

South Carolina

105.2

94

Missouri

104.9

100

Georgia

104.5

113

Texas A&M

103.5

125

Vanderbilt

103.1

#

Southern

PiRate

36

Wofford

111.1

64

East Tennessee St.

107.1

87

Furman

105.6

152

Samford

100.6

166

Mercer

99.6

181

UNC Greensboro

98.9

251

The Citadel

94.9

270

Chattanooga

94.2

299

Western Carolina

92.7

319

VMI

90.8

#

Southland

PiRate

167

Abilene Christian

99.6

180

Sam Houston St.

98.9

222

Lamar

96.5

272

Stephen F. Austin

94.2

280

Texas A&M CC

93.8

283

New Orleans

93.5

294

Houston Baptist

93.0

297

Central Arkansas

92.8

300

Southeastern Louisiana

92.7

314

McNeese St.

91.4

320

Nicholls St.

90.8

341

Northwestern St.

86.7

343

Incarnate Word

85.8

#

Southwestern Athletic

PiRate

202

Texas Southern

97.7

259

Prairie View A&M

94.7

290

Grambling

93.2

316

Alabama St.

91.1

327

Jackson St.

90.0

334

Arkansas Pine Bluff

88.7

338

Southern

87.9

347

Alcorn St.

84.8

348

Alabama A&M

84.7

350

Mississippi Valley St.

83.3

#

Summit

PiRate

74

South Dakota St.

106.2

168

Omaha

99.6

177

Purdue Fort Wayne

99.0

204

North Dakota St.

97.6

225

South Dakota

96.4

274

North Dakota

94.1

279

Western Illinois

93.9

301

Denver

92.3

308

Oral Roberts

92.0

#

Sun Belt

PiRate

104

Texas St.

104.1

111

Georgia St.

103.6

118

Georgia Southern

103.4

141

Coastal Carolina

101.5

151

Louisiana Monroe

100.6

178

Louisiana

98.9

196

Appalachian St.

98.0

203

Troy

97.7

215

South Alabama

96.8

230

Little Rock

96.2

256

UT Arlington

94.7

267

Arkansas St.

94.4

#

West Coast

PiRate

2

Gonzaga

122.5

41

Saint Mary’s

110.4

47

San Francisco

109.5

89

San Diego

105.3

91

BYU

105.2

140

Loyola Marymount

101.7

158

Pepperdine

100.1

207

Pacific

97.5

229

Santa Clara

96.2

322

Portland

90.4

#

Western Athletic

PiRate

58

New Mexico St.

107.5

77

Grand Canyon

106.1

127

Utah Valley

103.0

187

Seattle

98.4

199

Cal St. Bakersfield

97.8

236

California Baptist

95.8

246

UT Rio Grande Valley

95.3

260

Missouri Kansas City

94.7

352

Chicago St.

80.9

 

Conferences Rated

#

League

PiRate Avg.

1

Big Ten

111.5

2

Atlantic Coast

111.4

3

Big 12

111.1

4

Southeastern

109.7

5

Big East

108.3

6

American Athletic

104.4

7

Pac-12

104.3

8

West Coast

103.9

9

Mid-American

102.4

10

Atlantic 10

101.1

11

Ivy

100.7

12

Mountain West

100.6

13

Missouri Valley

99.6

14

Southern

99.6

15

Sun Belt

99.2

16

Conference USA

98.6

17

Colonial Athletic

98.0

18

Western Athletic

97.7

19

Horizon

97.1

20

Patriot

97.0

21

Ohio Valley

96.8

22

Summit

96.8

23

Big South

96.7

24

Big West

96.6

25

Atlantic Sun

96.2

26

America East

95.8

27

Big Sky

95.0

28

Metro Atlantic

94.6

29

Northeast

93.6

30

Southland

93.1

31

Southwestern Athletic

89.6

32

Mideastern Athletic

88.5

 

Looking Ahead At March Madness

We are less than six weeks away from Selection Sunday, and if you have followed the PiRate Ratings for any amount of time, you know that Selection Sunday is our busiest time of the year.  We have become known for our course in Bracketnomics where we apply numerical data and compare it historically to past national champions in an effort to pick the next champion or at the least isolate the handful of teams that have a championship resume based on numerical data.

Over the weekend, we ran the data on a group of contenders to see how they look at this point in the season.  Of course, most of the power conferences have played less than 50% of their league schedules, and these statistics will swing wildly in the next 40 days.  Let’s look at who has that championship look in early February.

The Four Factors

We hope that most if not all of you reading this post today know what the four factors are, and you know they are actually two sets of four factors, since we need to know the data for every team offensively and defensively.

If you need a primer on the four factors, you can find an excellent discussion of it at: https://www.basketball-reference.com/about/factors.html

Please note that the PiRate Ratings’ Four Factors differ from these NBA Four Factors by a tad, especially in FT Rate formula and the calculation of TO Rate, because the rules in the NBA free throw rules differ from the NCAA.

The PiRate Ratings also weight these four factors a little differently than the way they are rated for NBA teams.  It is our own proprietary formula.

Here is a factor by factor list of 18 teams that are shining just two months before that one shining moment.

Effective Field Goal % Difference

Team FG% Diff
Virginia 24.2
Gonzaga 15.3
Michigan St. 14.0
Tennessee 11.4
Duke 11.4
Virginia Tech 11.0
Wisconsin 9.7
Houston 9.5
Marquette 8.5
Iowa St. 8.3
Michigan 7.8
Washington 7.7
Nevada 7.6
Kentucky 5.9
Villanova 5.7
North Carolina 5.3
Purdue 3.1

The Virginia number just pops off the page.  This is a number not seen very often in the past.  I am sure that if you went back to the 1960’s and 1970’s, and you somehow factor in which shots would have counted for three points back then if there had been a three-point shot, then maybe one or two of the great UCLA teams with exceptional outside shooters combined with a Kareem Abdul Jabbar or Bill Walton, might have enjoyed an effective FG% difference of 24%.

The next five on this list have really fat differences in effective shooting percentages, and you probably know that this stat is worth in the neighborhood of half the value of the Factors.  The name of the game is to put the ball into the basket more than the other team, so obviously shooting percentage on offense and defense is the key factor.

Turnover Rate Difference

Team TO Rate
Michigan 5.2
Nevada 5.0
Virginia Tech 4.7
Purdue 4.6
Gonzaga 4.5
Iowa St. 3.9
Virginia 3.8
Duke 3.7
Tennessee 3.1
Wisconsin 2.6
Kentucky 2.0
North Carolina 2.0
Houston 1.8
Washington 1.8
Villanova 1.1
Marquette -2.0
Michigan St. -3.7

Anything over 3 is really good in this stat, so there are nine teams that are exploiting their opposition in this department.  As you will see later down, there is an additional step we take that includes turnovers that helps us determine who can take more advantage than other teams.

In the case of Marquette and Michigan State, their TO rates are negative, which means this is an exploitable opportunity for their opponents.  Michigan State does not force a lot of turnovers, and this hurt the Spartans when they lost to Purdue recently.

Rebound Rate Difference

Team Reb Rate
North Carolina 12.0
Kentucky 11.7
Houston 8.8
Duke 8.0
Michigan St. 7.7
Purdue 7.5
Virginia 7.1
Gonzaga 4.6
Villanova 4.5
Marquette 3.7
Tennessee 2.6
Virginia Tech 2.6
Michigan 2.4
Nevada -0.1
Iowa St. -0.5
Washington -2.0
Wisconsin -3.5

Kentucky and North Carolina basically retrieve 56% of the normalized rebounds in their games.  Normalized refers to the factoring of potential offensive rebounds and potential defensive rebounds into one stat that predicts what an average team would be expected to perform given the offensive and defensive rebounding opportunities.

The bottom four on this list have negative rebound rates, something you rarely see by a Final Four team.  In the Big Dance, after you arrive at the Sweet 16, your opponent usually forces you to miss more shots that you normally miss, thus making rebounding more important after March 20 than before March 20.

Free Throw Rate Difference

Team FT Rate
Kentucky 10.7
Nevada 9.4
Gonzaga 7.6
Tennessee 6.4
Michigan 5.3
Iowa St. 5.2
Virginia 5.2
Virginia Tech 5.0
Villanova 4.9
Marquette 3.9
North Carolina 2.9
Washington 2.4
Houston 1.7
Duke 0.6
Michigan St. 0.3
Wisconsin 0.2
Purdue -0.4

This is the least important of the Four Factors, but there is a reason to look at this stat.  Most of the teams at the top get the ball inside and force the other team to foul.  The fact that the other team’s players might get into foul trouble is what makes this stat important.  If the other team has one star player, getting that one player into foul trouble where he plays 24 minutes instead of 36 minutes has reduced his playing time by 1/3.  It can then be worth the equivalent of a 10-point swing.

Still, a team with a low FT Rate difference can overcome this liability and still get to the Final Four.

Weighted Four Factors Subtotal

What we refer to as wFF, is simply our calculation of the four factors and weighting them by each factor with Field Goal percentage rating as the most important and Free Throw percentage rating as the least important.  The final number is a good starting point in determining which teams have the best dancing resumes.

Team wFF
Virginia 15.1
Gonzaga 10.4
Duke 8.0
Tennessee 7.7
Virginia Tech 7.7
Michigan St. 7.6
Houston 6.9
Kentucky 6.3
Michigan 6.1
Nevada 6.0
Iowa St. 5.7
North Carolina 5.3
Wisconsin 5.2
Marquette 4.9
Villanova 4.4
Washington 4.4
Purdue 3.7

The top four might easily be the #1 seeds in six weeks.  Isn’t this interesting in seeing that the weighted Four Factors gives us the potential top four?   Of course, these stats have been compiled against different strengths of schedule.  Let’s show you each of the 18 teams’ strengths of schedule.

Team SOS
Michigan St. 61.6
Purdue 61.6
North Carolina 61.3
Duke 60.5
Wisconsin 60.4
Kentucky 58.6
Virginia 58.1
Michigan 57.6
Tennessee 57.2
Iowa St. 57.2
Villanova 56.6
Marquette 56.3
Gonzaga 56.1
Virginia Tech 56.1
Washington 54.7
Nevada 53.1
Houston 51.3

This number might not mean anything to you unless you follow our site like it is your hobby.  A SOS of 50 is average, but that means average for all 353 teams.  For a power conference team, anything under 55.5 means this team played a weak schedule.  When you see a team with an SOS of 58 or more, they have played a strong schedule.  When the SOS tops 60, it is a brutally tough schedule.

Sometimes, an SOS over 60 can work against a team, as they tire in March from playing such a brutal schedule.  When a team’s schedule is between 58 and 60, this is usually the optimum number, but there have been NCAA Champions from the ACC with 60+ SOS.

When you see a team with an SOS under 55, they have only a remote chance of making the Final Four, and basically no chance of winning the national championship.  Washington’s pathetic 54.7 does not bode well for the lone potential NCAA At-large team from the Pac-12.  Virginia Tech’s SOS is low for an ACC team, which can only mean that the Hokies have a tough schedule the rest of the way.

The Four Factors Meet SOS

Let’s combine the wFF with SOS to see which teams have the most impressive resumes to date.  This is another one of our own formulas that apply multiply SOS layers to the wFF number.

Team PiRate
Virginia 84
Michigan St. 81
Duke 78
North Carolina 73
Wisconsin 70
Purdue 69
Kentucky 68
Tennessee 66
Gonzaga 65
Michigan 64
Iowa St. 62
Virginia Tech 62
Villanova 58
Marquette 58
Washington 54
Nevada 50
Houston 45

This certainly looks good for Virginia, but then again, the Cavaliers looked almost this good last year and then became the first #1 seed to lose to a #16 seed.  Might Virginia have an ax to grind in the heads of six opponents this year?  Before their coronation, let us remind you of the DePaul Blue Demons two generations ago.  DePaul was a number one seed three consecutive years, including the top overall seed in two of those years, and they lost in their opening round game all three times!  In these days of yore, there were 48 teams in the NCAA Tournament.  Depaul lost to #8 seed UCLA in 1980, #9 seed Saint Joseph’s in 1981, and #8 seed Boston College in 1982.

Adding Some PiRate Ratings Exclusive Data

The PiRate Ratings created the R+T rating, using a formula that has shown that there are a select few teams that have the ability to go on scoring spurts that put the opponent away.

The R+T estimates the number of extra scoring opportunities a team enjoys in an average game.  It takes rebounding and turnover margin into account, but it further breaks down turnovers into steals and not steals.  When a team throws the ball away or commits a travelling turnover, the game stops, and the referee hands the ball to the other team but only after the defense is set in place.  When a steal is made, the team with the ball has an immediate scoring opportunity, so steals are more important than any other turnover as well as more important than defensive rebounds.

Here are the R+T ratings for the 18 teams

Team R+T
North Carolina 24.1
Kentucky 24.0
Duke 23.0
Gonzaga 21.6
Houston 20.6
Virginia 20.2
Michigan St. 18.5
Purdue 16.5
Tennessee 15.5
Virginia Tech 14.2
Michigan 13.9
Nevada 11.8
Villanova 11.4
Iowa St. 10.7
Marquette 10.6
Washington 6.4
Wisconsin 6.3

Pay careful attention to those six teams with 20+ R+T Ratings.  These are teams that will go on scoring spurts to put the other team out of its misery.  North Carolina, Kentucky, Duke, Gonzaga, Houston, and Virginia have fantastic advantages over the rest of the field.  In a tight game in the last half of March, a 10-0 spurt in three minutes is like a three-run homer to break up a tie game in the World Series in the 6th inning or later.

The six teams at the bottom of this list are what we might call upset victims.  Of course, these ratings can change in the next six weeks, but if the tournament began today, we would quickly discard these six teams with sub 12 R+T ratings.

The Four Best Resumes

After looking at the resumes for these 18, four have better overall numbers than the rest.  Three of them are the ACC powers, Duke, North Carolina, and Virginia.  The fourth is Michigan State, but the Spartans have just lost star wing player Joshua Langford for the season and did not play well against Indiana without him.  We expect MSU’s stats to suffer enough that they will fall well behind the other top teams in the next six weeks.  That moves Kentucky into this group as the fourth of the four superior teams.  John Calipari deserves a lot of credit, because his team regularly improves from November to March.  Tennessee might be number one in the nation again this week, but we believe Kentucky is the best SEC team just by looking at this data.

 

 

 

 

 

September 12, 2018

PiRate Ratings Selections for September 13-17, 2018

Filed under: PiRate Picks_College & Pro — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 5:56 pm

We received a lot of comments last week from regular readers to this site that know how to contact us through another site.  We tend to keep our comments sections closed, because it becomes a task to monitor it for stuff that does not need to appear here.

The comments had nothing to do with our own picks last week.  We introduced five guest pickers, three of them members of the fairer sex, and overall, they had quite a successful week.

By far the overwhelming amount of responses were aimed at Buckeye Michelle.  The Ohio Transplant to the Sunny South merely went 5-0 picking 5 underdogs, and we received all kinds of comments pertaining to her, including a couple of marriage proposals.

Friday Dog 13 went 3-0 picking three prohibitive favorites that won by even larger scores than the line they were asked to cover.

Cal Gal Tiffany went 5-2 in her seven picks, again, a very successful week that equates to a 56% Return on Investment.

Stewed Meat narrowly missed having a winning week, as Stewed went 2-3.  Bringing up the rear at 1-2 was Dean 615.

What about our own picks?  We suffered a lot of near misses and finished the week losing $90 imaginary after wagering $1,100 and going 5-6.  For the years, after two weeks, we are down $220 on a total of $1,700 wagered in our pretend bank account, so we are off to a bad year so far.

Just remember, all the picks you receive here this week and every week are free, and you should consider them worth exactly what you pay for them.

First, here are the PiRate’s official selections for the week.

Straight Spreads and Totals Selections–7

Favorite Underdog Spread/Total Pick
Army Hawaii           6 Army
Baylor Duke          6.5 Duke
Minnesota Miami (Ohio)          13 Minnesota
Denver Oakland          46 Under
Washington Indianapolis          47 Under
Cincinnati Baltimore           1 Baltimore
Dallas N.Y. Giants           3 Dallas

10-point Teaser Parlays–2

If you are unfamiliar with 10-point teasers, you can move the line by 10 points in your favor and play at less favorable odds than if you wager a straight wager against the spread or total.  By combining more than one game into a parlay, you can adjust the odds.  A 10-point teaser using three games makes the odds the same as wagering a straight wager.  You put up $11 of your money against $10 of the books, or what is referred to as -110 (You wager $110 versus the book wagering $100).

10-point teaser 3-team parlay -110
Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Florida Colorado St. 31 Colorado St.
Texas USC 13.5 USC
Boston College Wake Forest 15 Wake Forest

 

10-point teaser 3-team parlay -110
Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Indiana Ball St. 4 Indiana
Penn St. Kent St. 24.5 Penn St.
Wisconsin BYU 11 Wisconsin

The Land Sharps

Now for our special sharps–our 5 guest pickers.  They have been tasked with selecting 3, 5, 7, or 9 college games each week.  None of the 5 know what the other 4 are picking, so in some cases, more than one guest is picking the same game, and even though it did not happen this week, we are sure that at some point, they could be on opposite sides of the same game.

We search for the best available line at oddshark.com.

Buckeye Michelle (5-0 for the season)

Syracuse + 3 1/2 vs. Florida St.

LSU +10 vs. Auburn

Duke +6 1/2 vs. Baylor

San Diego St. +5 1/2 vs. Arizona St.

Toledo +10 1/2 vs. Miami (Fla.)

 

Friday Dog 13 (3-0 for the season)

Missouri -6 vs. Purdue

Tennessee -30 1/2 vs. UTEP

Virginia -3 1/2 vs. Ohio

 

Cal Gal Tiffany  (5-2 for the season)

Florida Int’l. -4 vs. U Mass.

Army -6 vs. Hawaii

Oklahoma St. -2 1/2 vs. Boise St.

Washington – 6 1/2 vs. Utah

Georgia Tech +4 vs. Pittsburgh

 

Stewed Meat (2-3 for the season)

Colorado St. +20 1/2 vs. Florida

Buffalo -3 vs. Eastern Michigan

Oregon St. +3 1/2 vs. Nevada

Washington -6 1/2 vs. Utah

Oklahoma St. -2 1/2 vs. Boise St.

 

Dean 615 (1-2 for the season)

Notre Dame -14 vs. Vanderbilt

North Texas +7 vs. Arkansas

TCU +14 vs. Ohio St.

 

 

 

March 2, 2018

PiRate Ratings Conference Tournament Update–March 2, 2018

Championship Fortnight is now in full force, as in just a little over 24 hours from this writing, the first automatic bid to the Big Dance will be awarded.  That bid will go to the winner of the Ohio Valley Conference, which is now down to four teams.  Murray State and Belmont have yet to play in the tournament, as the top two seeds receive byes to the semifinals.  It will be a major surprise if Austin Peay or Jacksonville St. steal this bid, as both Murray and Belmont have the talent to win an opening round game in the NCAA Tournament.

Here’s a look at Thursday’s exciting conference tournament action.  A lot of games came down to the last minute.

Atlantic Sun Semifinals

Florida Gulf Coast   95     North Florida   72

Lipscomb   77                     Jacksonville   62

Championship–March 4
Time Home Visitors TV
3:00 PM #1 Florida Gulf Coast #2 Lipscomb ESPN

 

Big South Quarterfinals

Radford   59               Longwood   53

Winthrop   72            Gardner-Webb   68

UNC-Asheville   71   Charleston Southern   66

Liberty   73                  Campbell   59

Semifinals–March 2
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
6:00 PM #2 Radford #3 Winthrop ESPN3
8:30 PM #1 UNC-Asheville #5 Liberty ESPN3
       
Championship–March 4
Time Home Visitors TV
1:00 PM Higher Seed Lower Seed ESPN

 

Big Ten Second Round

Wisconsin   59   Maryland 54

Michigan   77     Iowa   71   ot

Penn St.   65       Northwestern   57

Rutgers   76        Indiana   69

Quarterfinals–March 2
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
12:00 PM #1 Michigan St. #9 Wisconsin Big Ten
2:15 PM #4 Nebraska #5 Michigan Big Ten
6:30 PM #2 Ohio St. #7 Penn St. Big Ten
8:45 PM #3 Purdue #14 Rutgers Big Ten
       
Semifinals–March 3
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
2:00 PM Michigan St. or Wisconsin Nebraska or Michigan CBS
4:30 PM Ohio St. or Penn St. Purdue or Rutgers CBS
       
Championship–March 4
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
4:30 PM     CBS

 

Metro Atlantic First Round

St. Peter’s   60      Monmouth   58

Quinnipiac   67    Siena   58

Fairfield   71        Marist   57

Quarterfinals–March 2
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
7:00 PM #1 Rider #9 St. Peter’s ESPN3
9:30 PM #2 Canisius #7 Quinnipiac ESPN3
       
Quarterfinals–March 3
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
7:00 PM #3 Niagara #6 Fairfield ESPN3
9:30 PM #4 Iona #5 Manhattan ESPN3
       
Semifinals–March 4
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
7:00 PM Rider or St. Peter’s Iona or Manhattan ESPN3
9:30 PM Canisius or Quinnipiac Niagara or Fairfield ESPN3
       
Championship–March 5
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
7:00 PM     TBA

 

Missouri Valley First Round

Northern Iowa   60    Evansville   50

Missouri St.   83          Valparaiso   79

Quarterfinals–March 2
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
12:00 PM #1 Loyola (Chi.) #9 Northern Iowa ESPN3
2:30 PM #4 Drake #5 Bradley ESPN3
6:00 PM #2 Southern Illinois #7 Missouri St. ESPN3
8:30 PM #3 Illinois St. #6 Indiana St. ESPN3
       
Semifinals–March 3
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
2:30 PM Loyola/Evans/UNI Drake or Bradley CBSSN
5:00 PM SIU/MSU/Valpo Ill St. or Ind St. CBSSN
       
Championship–March 4
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
1:00 PM     CBS

 

Ohio Valley Quarterfinals

Jacksonville St.   73     Tennessee Tech   70

Austin Peay   73           Eastern Illinois   66

Semifinals–March 2
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
7:00 PM #1 Murray St. #4 Jacksonville St. ESPNU
9:30 PM #2 Belmont #3 Austin Peay ESPNU
       
Championship–March 3
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
7:00 PM     ESPN2

 

Patriot League Quarterfinals

Bucknell   83        Loyola (MD)   78

Boston U   88        Lehigh   82

Colgate   76           Lafayette   54

Holy Cross   81     Navy   65

Semifinals–March 4
Time Home Visitors TV
12:00 PM #2 Colgate #6 Holy Cross CBSSN
2:00 PM #1 Bucknell #5 Boston U CBSSN
       
Championship–March 7
Time Home Visitors TV
7:30 PM     CBSSN

 

 


Conference Tournaments Beginning Today

Horizon League Tournament
Detroit (Motor City Madness)
All Times EST
       
First Round–March 2
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
5:30 PM #7 Green Bay #10 Detroit ESPN3
8:00 PM #8 Cleveland St. #9 Youngstown St. ESPN3
       
Quarterfinals–March 3
5:30 PM #2 Wright St. GB or Detroit ESPN3
8:00 PM #1 Northern Kentucky Clev St or Youngs St. ESPN3
       
       
Quarterfinals–March 4
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
5:00 PM #3 UIC #6 Milwaukee ESPN3
7:30 PM #4 Oakland #5 IUPUI ESPN3
       
Semifinals–March 5
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
7:00 PM NKU/CSU/YSU Oakland or IUPUI ESPNU
9:30 PM Wright St./GB/Det UIC or Milwaukee ESPNU
       
Championship–March 6
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
7:00 PM     TBA

 

Southern Conference Tournament
Asheville, NC
All Times EST
       
First Round–March 2
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
5:00 PM #8 The Citadel #9 VMI ESPN3
7:30 PM #7 Samford #10 Chattanooga ESPN3
       
Quarterfinals–March 3
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
12:00 PM #1 UNC-Greensboro Citadel or VMI ESPN3
2:30 PM #4 Mercer #5 Wofford ESPN3
6:00 PM #2 East Tennessee St. Samford or Chatt. ESPN3
8:30 PM #3 Furman #6 Western Carolina ESPN3
       
Semifinals–March 4
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
4:00 PM UNCG/Cit/VMI Mercer or Wofford ESPN3
6:30 PM ETSU/Sam/Chatt Furman or WCU ESPN3
       
Championship–March 5
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
9:00 PM     ESPN2

 

West Coast Conference Tournament
Las Vegas
All Times PST
       
First Round–March 2
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
6:00 PM #8 Loyola Marymount #9 Portland NBCSN
8:00 PM #7 Santa Clara #10 Pepperdine NBCSN
       
Quarterfinals–March 3
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
1:00 PM #3 BYU #6 San Diego NBCSN
3:00 PM #4 San Francisco #5 Pacific NBCSN
7:00 PM #1 Gonzaga LMU or Portland ESPN2
9:00 PM #2 Saint Mary’s Santa Clara or Pepperdine ESPN2
       
Semifinals–March 4
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
6:00 PM Gonz/LMU/Portland USF or Pacific ESPN
8:00 PM SMU/SCU/Pepperdine BYU or USD ESPN2
       
Championship–March 6
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
6:00 PM     ESPN

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Top 25

Rank Team PiRate Rating Conf.
1 Virginia 118.0 ACC
2 Villanova 117.8 BIGE
3 Duke 117.3 ACC
4 Purdue 116.9 BTEN
5 Michigan St. 116.6 BTEN
6 Cincinnati 116.5 AAC
7 Kansas 114.3 B12
8 West Virginia 113.8 B12
9 North Carolina 113.8 ACC
10 Texas Tech 113.7 B12
11 Gonzaga 113.5 WCC
12 Tennessee 113.1 SEC
13 Xavier 112.5 BIGE
14 Auburn 112.4 SEC
15 Nevada 112.4 MWC
16 Wichita St. 112.1 AAC
17 Ohio St. 111.9 BTEN
18 Michigan 111.8 BTEN
19 Clemson 111.7 ACC
20 Kentucky 111.4 SEC
21 Houston 111.2 AAC
22 Florida 111.2 SEC
23 Butler 111.0 BIGE
24 Creighton 110.9 BIGE
25 TCU 110.6 B12

This Week’s PiRate Ratings For Power Conferences

And Top Mid-Majors

Team PiRate Conf.
Rhode Island 108.9 A10
Davidson 106.5 A10
St. Bonaventure 105.1 A10
St. Louis 102.8 A10
St. Joseph’s 101.5 A10
VCU 100.5 A10
LaSalle 100.2 A10
Dayton 99.2 A10
George Washington 98.0 A10
Duquesne 98.0 A10
Richmond 97.6 A10
George Mason 96.9 A10
Massachusetts 96.6 A10
Fordham 94.0 A10
Cincinnati 116.5 AAC
Wichita St. 112.1 AAC
Houston 111.2 AAC
SMU 106.0 AAC
Temple 104.9 AAC
UCF 104.4 AAC
Tulsa 102.4 AAC
Connecticut 99.5 AAC
Memphis 99.5 AAC
Tulane 99.1 AAC
South Florida 92.0 AAC
East Carolina 92.0 AAC
Virginia 118.0 ACC
Duke 117.3 ACC
North Carolina 113.8 ACC
Clemson 111.7 ACC
Louisville 110.4 ACC
Miami FL 109.6 ACC
Florida St. 109.5 ACC
Virginia Tech 109.3 ACC
Notre Dame 109.3 ACC
Syracuse 108.0 ACC
North Carolina St. 107.9 ACC
Boston College 105.2 ACC
Wake Forest 104.1 ACC
Georgia Tech 102.7 ACC
Pittsburgh 96.2 ACC
Kansas 114.3 B12
West Virginia 113.8 B12
Texas Tech 113.7 B12
TCU 110.6 B12
Baylor 110.3 B12
Texas 109.6 B12
Oklahoma 108.7 B12
Kansas St. 108.4 B12
Oklahoma St. 107.1 B12
Iowa St. 103.7 B12
Villanova 117.8 BIGE
Xavier 112.5 BIGE
Butler 111.0 BIGE
Creighton 110.9 BIGE
Seton Hall 109.9 BIGE
Marquette 107.1 BIGE
St. John’s 106.8 BIGE
Providence 106.5 BIGE
Georgetown 103.9 BIGE
DePaul 103.4 BIGE
Purdue 116.9 BTEN
Michigan St. 116.6 BTEN
Ohio St. 111.9 BTEN
Michigan 111.8 BTEN
Penn St. 110.2 BTEN
Maryland 108.5 BTEN
Nebraska 107.3 BTEN
Indiana 106.2 BTEN
Wisconsin 106.0 BTEN
Northwestern 105.5 BTEN
Illinois 103.9 BTEN
Iowa 103.5 BTEN
Minnesota 103.5 BTEN
Rutgers 102.8 BTEN
Arizona 110.1 PAC12
Arizona St. 108.9 PAC12
USC 108.3 PAC12
UCLA 106.9 PAC12
Oregon 106.8 PAC12
Utah 106.3 PAC12
Stanford 104.3 PAC12
Washington 103.8 PAC12
Oregon St. 103.1 PAC12
Colorado 102.7 PAC12
Washington St. 97.8 PAC12
California 95.4 PAC12
Tennessee 113.1 SEC
Auburn 112.4 SEC
Kentucky 111.4 SEC
Florida 111.2 SEC
Texas A&M 110.6 SEC
Arkansas 109.7 SEC
Missouri 108.9 SEC
Alabama 108.3 SEC
Mississippi St. 107.3 SEC
Georgia 106.7 SEC
South Carolina 106.4 SEC
LSU 105.8 SEC
Vanderbilt 103.9 SEC
Mississippi 103.7 SEC
Gonzaga 113.5 WCC
Saint Mary’s 109.2 WCC
BYU 105.6 WCC
San Diego 101.8 WCC
San Francisco 100.8 WCC
Pacific 98.4 WCC
Loyola Marymount 94.5 WCC
Portland 93.6 WCC
Santa Clara 93.5 WCC
Pepperdine 91.5 WCC
Middle Tennessee 109.4 CUSA
Loyola (Chi.) 108.2 MVC
Nevada 112.4 MWC
Boise St. 108.7 MWC
New Mexico St. 107.4 WAC

Today’s PiRate Rating Spreads For Power Conference Games

and Conference Tournament Games

Home Team or Higher Seed Visitor or Lower Seed Spread
Belmont Austin Peay 6.9
Canisius Quinnipiac 8.4
Citadel VMI -2.7
Cleveland St. Youngstown St. 1.2
Davidson Rhode Island 1.1
Drake Bradley -0.7
Green Bay Detroit 2.8
Illinois St. Indiana St. -0.3
Loyola (Chi.) Northern Iowa 6.5
Michigan St. Wisconsin 10.6
Murray St. Jacksonville St. 5.2
Nebraska Michigan -4.5
Ohio St. Penn St. 1.7
Oklahoma Iowa St. 8.5
Purdue Rutgers 14.1
Radford Winthrop -3.2
Rider St. Peter’s 6.4
Samford Chattanooga 3.0
Santa Clara Pepperdine 2.0
Southern Illinois Missouri St. -0.9
UNCA Liberty 4.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

March 1, 2018

PiRate Ratings Conference Tournament Update–March 1, 2018

Conference Tournament Action From Last Night

Big Ten Conference Tournament
First Round–February 28
   
Iowa 96 Illinois 87
Rutgers 65 Minnesota 54

Updated Big Ten Bracket

Second Round–March 1
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
12:00 PM #8 Maryland #9 Wisconsin Big Ten
2:15 PM #5 Michigan Iowa Big Ten
6:30 PM #7 Penn St. #10 Northwestern Big Ten
8:45 PM #6 Indiana Rutgers Big Ten
       
Quarterfinals–March 2
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
12:00 PM #1 Michigan St. Mary or Wisc Big Ten
2:15 PM #4 Nebraska Michigan or Iowa Big Ten
6:30 PM #2 Ohio St. PSU or N’Western Big Ten
8:45 PM #3 Purdue Indiana or Rutgers Big Ten
       
Semifinals–March 3
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
2:00 PM MSU/Mary/Wisc Neb/Mich/Iowa CBS
4:30 PM OSU/Purd/NW Purd/Ind/Rutg CBS
       
Championship–March 4
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
4:30 PM     CBS

 

Northeast Conference Tournament
First Round–February 28
   
Wagner 73 Central Connecticut 61
Robert Morris 60 Mount St. Mary’s 56
Fairleigh-Dickinson 84 St. Francis (Pa) 75
Long Island 73 St. Francis (Bkn) 50

Updated Northeast Conference Bracket

Semifinals–March 3
Time Home Team Visitors TV
12:00 PM #1 Wagner #7 Robert Morris ESPN3
2:00 PM #4 Long Island #6 Fairleigh-Dickinson ESPN3
       
Championship–March 6
Time Home Team Visitors TV
7:00 PM Higher Seed Lower Seed ESPN2

 

Ohio Valley Conference Tournament
First Round–February 28
   
Tennessee Tech 60 SIU-Edwardsville 51
Eastern Illinois 73 Tennessee St. 71

Updated Ohio Valley Conference Bracket

Quarterfinals–March 1
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
6:30 PM #4 Jacksonville St. Tennessee Tech OVC
9:00 PM #3 Austin Peay Eastern Illinois OVC
       
Semifinals–March 2
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
7:00 PM #1 Murray St. Jax. St. or Tenn Tech ESPNU
9:30 PM #2 Belmont APSU or E. Illinois ESPNU
       
Championship–March 3
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
7:00 PM     ESPN2

 

Other Conference Tournaments in Action Today

Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament
All Games Played at Higher Seed
All Times EST
Semifinals–March 1
Time Home Visitors TV
7:00 PM #1 Florida Gulf Coast #5 North Florida ESPN3
8:00 PM #2 Lipscomb #3 Jacksonville ESPN3

 

Big South Conference Tournament
Championship Game at Higher Seed
Quarterfinals and Semfinals at #1 Seed UNC-Asheville
All Times EST
Quarterfinals–March 1
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
1:00 PM #2 Radford #10 Longwood ESPN3
3:30 PM #3 Winthrop #6 Gardner-Webb ESPN3
7:00 PM #1 UNC-Asheville #8 Charleston Southern ESPN3
9:30 PM #4 Campbell #5 Liberty ESPN3

 

Patriot League Tournament
All Games Played at Higher Seed
All Times EST
Quarterfinals–March 1
Time Home Visitors TV
7:00 PM #1 Bucknell #8 Loyola (MD) Stadium
7:00 PM #4 Lehigh #5 Boston U Stadium
7:00 PM #2 Colgate #7 Lafayette Stadium
7:00 PM #3 Navy #6 Holy Cross Stadium

 

Conference Tournaments Beginning Today

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference Tournament
Albany, NY
All Times EST
       
First Round–March 1
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
5:00 PM #8 Monmouth #9 St. Peter’s ESPN3
7:30 PM #7 Quinnipiac #10 Siena ESPN3
10:00 PM #6 Fairfield #11 Marist ESPN3
       
Quarterfinals–March 2
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
7:00 PM #1 Rider Monmouth or St. Peter’s ESPN3
9:30 PM #2 Canisius Quinn. or Siena ESPN3
       
Quarterfinals–March 3
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
7:00 PM #3 Niagara Fair. or Marist ESPN3
9:30 PM #4 Iona #5 Manhattan ESPN3
       
Semifinals–March 4
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
7:00 PM Rider/Monm/St. P Iona or Manhattan ESPN3
9:30 PM Can/Quinn/Siena Niag/Fair/Marist ESPN3
       
Championship–March 5
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
7:00 PM     TBA

While Rider and Canisius tied for the regular season conference championship, there are two other teams to watch closely in this tournament.  Iona has the best offense in the league, and in a tournament, sometimes the team that plays loose and can fill it up from outside will get a large lead against the other team that begins tight and cannot hit their perimeter shots.  Iona is the two-time defending tournament champion, and until the Gaels lose, they are our favorite to win it again, even as the four-seed.

The other team to watch from back of the pack is Fairfield, the hottest team in the league entering the tournament.  The Stags match up quite well with Niagara, who they would face in the quarterfinal round if they win tonight.

 

Missouri Valley Conference Tournament
St. Louis (Arch Madness)
All Times CST
       
First Round–March 1
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
6:00 PM #8 Evansville #9 Northern Iowa ESPN3
8:30 PM #7 Missouri St. #10 Valparaiso ESPN3
       
Quarterfinals–March 2
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
12:00 PM #1 Loyola (Chi.) Evansville or UNI ESPN3
2:30 PM #4 Drake #5 Bradley ESPN3
6:00 PM #2 Southern Illinois MSU or Valpo ESPN3
8:30 PM #3 Illinois St. #6 Indiana St. ESPN3
       
Semifinals–March 3
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
2:30 PM Loyola/Evans/UNI Drake or Bradley CBSSN
5:00 PM SIU/MSU/Valpo Ill St. or Ind St. CBSSN
       
Championship–March 4
Time Higher Seed Lower Seed TV
1:00 PM     CBS

Without Wichita State playing bully on the rest of the league, it was thought that the Valley would be a wide open race this year with a host of teams competing for the regular season and tournament championships.  However, Loyola (Chi.), with five players averaging double figure scoring, has been nearly unstoppable in conference play this year.  The Ramblers have only been to a single NCAA Tournament since their heydays of the 1960’s,   Loyola enters Arch Madness on a 14 for 15 winning streak.

If any other team wins this tournament, it will be a major upset and will produce a 15-seed or worse.  Loyola could be a 13-seed as the Tournament Champions.

There is one team from way back in the pack that has the potential to sneak into the semifinals.  Northern Iowa is the number 9 seed.  If they beat Evansville tonight, they might be the team that can match up best with Loyola, who they would face tomorrow.  If they were to eliminate the Goliath, then there isn’t another team in the field any better than the Panthers.

 

January 9, 2018

PiRate Ratings 2017-18 College Football Final Polls

Congratulations go to Coach Nick Saban and the Alabama Crimson Tide for winning the National Championship in a thrilling overtime victory over the Georgia Bulldogs.  Alabama wins the top spot in all three ratings, plus the retro rankings.  Here’s how the final numbers crunched.

Retrodictive Rankings

PiRate Retrodictive
# Team
1 Alabama
2 Georgia
3 Ohio St.
4 Wisconsin
5 Central Florida
6 Penn St.
7 Clemson
8 Oklahoma
9 Notre Dame
10 Auburn
11 TCU
12 Michigan St.
13 Miami (Fla)
14 USC
15 Washington
16 Oklahoma St.
17 Northwestern
18 North Carolina St.
19 Iowa
20 Stanford
21 Virginia Tech
22 Mississippi St.
23 LSU
24 Memphis
25 Boise St.
26 Michigan
27 Iowa St.
28 Wake Forest
29 South Florida
30 Louisville
31 South Carolina
32 Washington St.
33 Toledo
34 Florida Atlantic
35 Boston College
36 Florida St.
37 Texas
38 Purdue
39 Kansas St.
40 San Diego St.
41 Fresno St.
42 Troy
43 Army
44 Navy
45 Texas A&M
46 Duke
47 Georgia Tech
48 Oregon
49 Utah
50 West Virginia
51 Missouri
52 Arizona St.
53 Houston
54 Texas Tech
55 Kentucky
56 Arizona
57 UCLA
58 Appalachian St.
59 Ohio
60 Indiana
61 Ole Miss
62 Pittsburgh
63 California
64 Northern Illinois
65 Temple
66 SMU
67 Minnesota
68 Marshall
69 North Texas
70 Virginia
71 Wyoming
72 Florida
73 Syracuse
74 Maryland
75 Central Michigan
76 Colorado
77 Colorado St.
78 Nebraska
79 Western Michigan
80 Louisiana Tech
81 Tulane
82 Vanderbilt
83 Arkansas St.
84 Southern Miss.
85 Florida Int’l.
86 Arkansas
87 Akron
88 Buffalo
89 Middle Tennessee
90 Utah St.
91 Tennessee
92 North Carolina
93 UAB
94 Eastern Michigan
95 Rutgers
96 Air Force
97 New Mexico St.
98 UTSA
99 Miami (O)
100 Cincinnati
101 Tulsa
102 UNLV
103 Western Kentucky
104 Baylor
105 BYU
106 East Carolina
107 Nevada
108 Georgia St.
109 Massachusetts
110 Connecticut
111 Illinois
112 Old Dominion
113 UL-Monroe
114 Bowling Green
115 New Mexico
116 Idaho
117 South Alabama
118 UL-Lafayette
119 Oregon St.
120 Hawaii
121 Coastal Carolina
122 Georgia Southern
123 Kansas
124 Kent St.
125 Ball St.
126 Rice
127 Charlotte
128 Texas St.
129 San Jose St.
130 UTEP

The PiRate, Mean, and Bias Ratings

PiRate Ratings
# Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
1 Alabama 136.9 133.5 135.8 135.4
2 Ohio St. 132.3 130.2 132.6 131.7
3 Georgia 130.8 130.0 131.4 130.7
4 Clemson 131.3 128.6 130.9 130.3
5 Penn St. 129.4 128.1 129.8 129.1
6 Oklahoma 128.2 126.7 129.4 128.1
7 Auburn 127.0 125.2 127.2 126.5
8 Washington 126.2 124.2 126.1 125.5
9 Wisconsin 126.4 123.9 125.5 125.3
10 Oklahoma St. 121.2 120.4 121.6 121.1
11 Stanford 120.6 119.0 119.9 119.8
12 U S C 120.1 119.2 119.8 119.7
13 L S U 118.5 116.3 118.8 117.9
14 Virginia Tech 118.1 117.6 117.9 117.8
15 Miami 118.6 117.4 117.5 117.8
16 T C U 118.0 116.5 118.2 117.6
17 N. Carolina St. 117.1 116.2 117.0 116.8
18 Central Florida 116.0 116.9 117.2 116.7
19 Louisville 116.8 116.0 116.5 116.4
20 Notre Dame 116.6 115.4 116.8 116.2
21 Florida St. 116.9 116.0 115.7 116.2
22 Northwestern 115.4 114.2 115.5 115.0
23 Iowa 114.3 114.5 113.6 114.2
24 Michigan 114.2 114.0 113.4 113.9
25 Mississippi St. 113.5 113.3 113.3 113.4
26 Memphis 113.2 112.5 114.0 113.2
27 Iowa State 112.8 112.8 113.9 113.2
28 Texas 112.9 112.9 113.5 113.1
29 Kansas St. 112.9 112.7 113.0 112.9
30 Boston College 112.6 112.3 112.6 112.5
31 Michigan St. 111.0 111.6 112.1 111.6
32 Wake Forest 112.1 110.4 112.2 111.6
33 Duke 111.1 110.0 110.4 110.5
34 Utah 109.9 109.9 110.1 110.0
35 Oregon 110.5 108.6 109.9 109.7
36 Georgia Tech 110.2 108.4 108.7 109.1
37 Washington St. 109.8 107.7 109.3 108.9
38 South Florida 109.0 108.2 109.3 108.8
39 S. Carolina 109.1 108.3 108.2 108.5
40 Pittsburgh 108.8 108.1 108.7 108.5
41 Missouri 108.5 107.1 107.8 107.8
42 Boise St. 107.5 106.1 107.6 107.1
43 Texas A&M 107.9 106.0 107.0 107.0
44 West Virginia 106.7 107.4 106.7 106.9
45 Arizona St. 106.4 105.3 106.0 105.9
46 Kentucky 106.4 105.7 105.0 105.7
47 Purdue 105.6 105.4 106.1 105.7
48 Indiana 105.5 105.6 105.9 105.7
49 Ole Miss 106.3 105.0 105.4 105.6
50 Florida 105.7 105.4 105.1 105.4
51 Arizona 106.0 104.9 104.9 105.3
52 Texas Tech 105.2 104.9 104.8 105.0
53 Florida Atlantic 103.4 104.9 105.3 104.5
54 California 105.3 103.2 103.8 104.1
55 Navy 103.5 104.1 103.7 103.8
56 Colorado 104.5 103.4 102.4 103.4
57 U C L A 103.0 102.4 102.3 102.6
58 N. Carolina 102.9 102.0 102.0 102.3
59 San Diego St. 101.5 101.5 102.5 101.8
60 Houston 101.4 101.1 101.5 101.3
61 Syracuse 102.0 100.8 101.1 101.3
62 Army 100.9 100.8 101.3 101.0
63 Appalachian St. 101.2 100.0 101.4 100.9
64 Toledo 100.1 100.1 102.1 100.8
65 Minnesota 100.3 101.2 99.2 100.2
66 Vanderbilt 100.8 99.8 99.7 100.1
67 Troy 99.7 99.8 99.9 99.8
68 Fresno St. 99.9 98.6 100.8 99.8
69 Colo. State 99.8 99.1 99.7 99.5
70 Virginia 99.6 98.6 99.9 99.4
71 Ohio U 98.3 99.6 99.3 99.1
72 Arkansas 99.4 98.5 99.2 99.1
73 Baylor 98.1 99.4 98.2 98.6
74 Temple 98.2 98.5 98.8 98.5
75 Wyoming 97.8 96.9 97.2 97.3
76 Tennessee 97.3 95.9 95.3 96.2
77 Western Michigan 95.8 95.2 96.5 95.8
78 Northern Illinois 95.0 95.0 95.8 95.2
79 Nebraska 94.9 95.4 94.4 94.9
80 Eastern Michigan 94.7 94.8 95.1 94.9
81 Maryland 94.5 95.8 93.9 94.7
82 Arkansas St. 93.8 95.0 94.7 94.5
83 Tulane 94.2 94.4 94.6 94.4
84 SMU 94.0 94.5 94.3 94.3
85 Utah St. 94.0 93.3 93.7 93.7
86 Marshall 92.4 93.5 93.8 93.3
87 Central Michigan 92.8 93.1 93.4 93.1
88 Tulsa 93.1 92.8 92.7 92.9
89 Air Force 92.2 92.5 92.2 92.3
90 Louisiana Tech 90.8 92.4 91.6 91.6
91 Middle Tennessee 90.4 91.4 91.6 91.1
92 Rutgers 91.1 91.1 90.7 91.0
93 BYU 90.0 89.9 89.9 89.9
94 Nevada 88.9 90.5 90.0 89.8
95 Miami (O) 88.7 90.7 89.9 89.8
96 Oregon St. 90.0 89.9 88.4 89.4
97 Massachusetts 88.9 88.4 89.0 88.8
98 U T S A 87.6 90.0 88.4 88.6
99 Buffalo 87.3 89.3 89.3 88.6
100 Florida Int’l. 87.6 88.0 88.4 88.0
101 Illinois 87.9 89.0 86.8 87.9
102 Southern Miss. 87.5 88.4 87.8 87.9
103 N. Texas 86.4 87.8 86.9 87.0
104 U N L V 86.2 87.7 86.3 86.8
105 N. Mexico St. 86.8 85.7 86.9 86.5
106 W. Kentucky 85.7 86.2 86.1 86.0
107 Connecticut 84.5 86.3 84.8 85.2
108 Akron 84.2 86.1 84.9 85.1
109 Cincinnati 83.9 85.7 84.6 84.7
110 New Mexico 84.4 84.4 84.9 84.6
111 East Carolina 83.2 84.5 83.3 83.7
112 Georgia St. 82.7 82.7 82.5 82.7
113 Kansas 81.8 85.1 80.5 82.5
114 Bowling Green 81.5 82.6 81.8 82.0
115 Hawaii 81.8 82.9 81.1 81.9
116 UL-Monroe 81.9 82.8 81.0 81.9
117 S. Alabama 81.1 83.0 81.3 81.8
118 Idaho 80.8 81.6 81.7 81.3
119 Old Dominion 80.3 82.7 80.5 81.2
120 UAB 79.6 79.9 81.3 80.3
121 UL-Lafayette 79.3 80.5 79.0 79.6
122 Georgia Southern 79.1 80.4 78.5 79.3
123 Coastal Carolina 74.5 75.7 75.3 75.2
124 Kent St. 73.9 75.4 74.2 74.5
125 Rice 72.6 74.1 73.0 73.2
126 San Jose St. 72.3 72.4 71.6 72.1
127 Texas St. 70.3 72.5 69.4 70.7
128 Charlotte 69.5 71.8 69.7 70.3
129 U T E P 67.9 70.7 67.9 68.9
130 Ball St. 65.7 67.7 66.4 66.6
           
PiRate Ratings By Conference
# League PiRate Mean Bias Average
1 ACC 112.7 111.6 112.2 112.2
2 SEC 112.0 110.7 111.4 111.4
3 B12 109.8 109.9 110.0 109.9
4 P-12 109.4 108.1 108.6 108.7
5 BTEN 108.8 108.6 108.5 108.6
6 IND 99.1 98.6 99.2 99.0
7 AAC 97.9 98.3 98.2 98.1
8 MWC 92.2 92.2 92.3 92.2
9 MAC 88.2 89.1 89.0 88.8
10 CUSA 84.4 85.8 85.2 85.1
11 SBC 84.3 85.0 84.3 84.5

 

 

 

December 3, 2017

PiRate Ratings College Football Final Regular Season Polls

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 8:08 am

The PiRate Poll has been updated after the Conference Championship Games, and our ratings show something different from what the Playoff Committee will decide later today.

Our Retrodictive Ratings are our closest approximation to merit based rewards.  It only factors who you beat, where you beat them, when you beat them, and in minimal fashion how you beat them.  Here are our final Retro Ratings prior to the bowls and playoffs.

PiRate Retrodictive
# Team
1 Clemson
2 Georgia
3 Oklahoma
4 Alabama
5 Ohio St.
6 Wisconsin
7 Central Florida
8 Penn St.
9 Auburn
10 Washington
11 Miami (Fla)
12 USC
13 Notre Dame
14 TCU
15 Virginia Tech
16 Oklahoma St.
17 Stanford
18 Michigan St.
19 Michigan
20 Washington St.
21 Northwestern
22 Memphis
23 LSU
24 North Carolina St.
25 Iowa
26 Louisville
27 Mississippi St.
28 Boston College
29 South Florida
30 Iowa St.
31 Boise St.
32 Toledo
33 Wake Forest
34 South Carolina
35 San Diego St.
36 Oregon
37 Florida Atlantic
38 Florida St.
39 Arizona St.
40 Texas A&M
41 Texas
42 West Virginia
43 Purdue
44 Georgia Tech
45 Kansas St.
46 Missouri
47 Arizona
48 Fresno St.
49 UCLA
50 Navy
51 Troy
52 Houston
53 Texas Tech
54 Utah
55 Army
56 Kentucky
57 Duke
58 SMU
59 Northern Illinois
60 Indiana
61 Virginia
62 North Texas
63 California
64 Ole Miss
65 Ohio
66 Pittsburgh
67 Central Michigan
68 Minnesota
69 Florida
70 Syracuse
71 Maryland
72 Wyoming
73 Marshall
74 Appalachian St.
75 Colorado
76 Colorado St.
77 Temple
78 Nebraska
79 Western Michigan
80 Tulane
81 Arkansas St.
82 Florida Int’l.
83 Akron
84 Southern Miss.
85 Vanderbilt
86 Buffalo
87 Arkansas
88 UAB
89 Tennessee
90 Utah St.
91 North Carolina
92 Eastern Michigan
93 Rutgers
94 Air Force
95 Louisiana Tech
96 Middle Tennessee
97 UTSA
98 Miami (O)
99 Cincinnati
100 Western Kentucky
101 Tulsa
102 UNLV
103 Baylor
104 New Mexico St.
105 BYU
106 East Carolina
107 Nevada
108 Georgia St.
109 Massachusetts
110 Connecticut
111 Illinois
112 Old Dominion
113 UL-Monroe
114 Bowling Green
115 New Mexico
116 Idaho
117 South Alabama
118 UL-Lafayette
119 Oregon St.
120 Hawaii
121 Coastal Carolina
122 Georgia Southern
123 Kansas
124 Kent St.
125 Ball St.
126 Rice
127 Charlotte
128 Texas St.
129 San Jose St.
130 UTEP

While our ratings show that Alabama should be chosen ahead of Ohio State, we believe there will be too much pressure to take two SEC teams and leave out the Big Ten and Pac-12, especially when the Rose Bowl is one of the semifinal games.

Our ratings reflect a 34-point loss by Ohio State at a mediocre Iowa team combined with a home loss to Oklahoma, which slightly offsets their wins over Michigan State, Penn State, and Wisconsin.  Alabama’s best wins were not as impressive as the Buckeyes, but as a whole, they did beat more decent teams, and the SEC is several points better than the Big Ten.  Plus, their one loss was at Auburn, a team that had just blown Georgia off the Jordan-Hare Field.  Truth be told, if the Committee deferred to the smart guys in Nevada, Alabama would be the number one seed in the playoffs.

Our Predictive ratings back us up on this point.  However, the predictive ratings show that Ohio State is one of the four best teams at this point of the season.  We are scratching our heads on why Oklahoma is so low in the predictive ratings, because they have been improving week by week.  Unfortunately, they may have fallen between the cracks in how we update.  We have a mechanical update based on statistics and the point in which an easy win was already guaranteed, and maybe OU kept missing out on extra points due to a few yards here or there.

PiRate Ratings
# Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
1 Alabama 135.6 132.3 134.3 134.1
2 Clemson 132.8 129.9 132.6 131.8
3 Ohio St. 132.0 129.9 132.3 131.4
4 Georgia 130.6 129.9 131.2 130.6
5 Auburn 129.4 127.3 129.6 128.8
6 Penn St. 129.0 127.9 129.3 128.7
7 Oklahoma 128.2 126.7 129.4 128.1
8 Washington 126.6 124.4 126.6 125.9
9 Wisconsin 125.7 123.2 124.8 124.6
10 Oklahoma St. 120.6 119.9 121.0 120.5
11 U S C 120.4 119.5 120.1 120.0
12 Stanford 120.7 119.1 120.1 120.0
13 Miami 119.3 118.1 118.2 118.5
14 L S U 119.1 116.7 119.6 118.5
15 Virginia Tech 118.7 118.1 118.5 118.4
16 Louisville 117.9 116.9 117.8 117.5
17 T C U 117.9 116.4 118.0 117.4
18 Florida St. 116.9 115.9 115.4 116.1
19 Notre Dame 116.0 115.0 116.0 115.6
20 N. Carolina St. 115.9 115.1 115.7 115.6
21 Michigan 115.8 115.5 115.1 115.5
22 Northwestern 115.6 114.4 115.7 115.2
23 Central Florida 113.6 114.8 114.8 114.4
24 Iowa 114.1 114.4 113.3 114.0
25 Memphis 113.5 112.7 114.4 113.5
26 Iowa State 112.5 112.6 113.5 112.9
27 Boston College 112.8 112.4 112.9 112.7
28 Washington St. 113.3 111.2 112.8 112.4
29 Mississippi St. 112.4 112.4 112.0 112.3
30 Texas 111.8 112.1 112.4 112.1
31 Kansas St. 111.8 111.8 111.8 111.8
32 Wake Forest 112.2 110.5 112.3 111.7
33 Oregon 112.3 110.2 111.7 111.4
34 Duke 110.4 109.4 109.5 109.8
35 Georgia Tech 110.2 108.4 108.7 109.1
36 South Florida 109.0 108.2 109.3 108.8
37 Missouri 109.6 107.9 108.9 108.8
38 West Virginia 108.4 109.0 108.5 108.6
39 Pittsburgh 108.8 108.1 108.7 108.5
40 Utah 108.2 108.3 108.3 108.3
41 Michigan St. 107.5 108.1 108.6 108.1
42 Arizona St. 107.6 106.4 107.3 107.1
43 S. Carolina 107.5 106.8 106.5 106.9
44 Texas A&M 107.8 105.9 106.9 106.9
45 Indiana 105.5 105.6 105.9 105.7
46 Ole Miss 106.3 105.0 105.4 105.6
47 Purdue 105.4 105.3 105.9 105.5
48 Kentucky 106.2 105.5 104.8 105.5
49 Arizona 106.2 105.0 105.1 105.4
50 Florida 105.7 105.4 105.1 105.4
51 Boise St. 105.7 104.5 105.8 105.3
52 Texas Tech 105.2 104.9 104.8 105.0
53 Toledo 103.6 103.6 105.6 104.3
54 California 105.3 103.2 103.8 104.1
55 U C L A 104.1 103.3 103.5 103.6
56 Colorado 104.5 103.4 102.4 103.4
57 Virginia 103.1 102.1 103.4 102.9
58 San Diego St. 102.4 102.3 103.5 102.7
59 Houston 102.4 102.1 102.5 102.3
60 N. Carolina 102.9 102.0 102.0 102.3
61 Syracuse 102.0 100.8 101.1 101.3
62 Florida Atlantic 99.9 101.4 101.8 101.0
63 Colo. State 101.3 100.3 101.1 100.9
64 Navy 100.2 100.8 100.4 100.4
65 Minnesota 100.3 101.2 99.2 100.2
66 Vanderbilt 100.8 99.8 99.7 100.1
67 Army 99.8 99.8 100.1 99.9
68 Troy 99.3 99.4 99.3 99.3
69 Arkansas 99.4 98.5 99.2 99.1
70 Fresno St. 98.9 97.6 99.8 98.8
71 Baylor 98.1 99.4 98.2 98.6
72 SMU 97.5 98.0 97.8 97.8
73 Appalachian St. 97.7 96.5 97.9 97.4
74 Ohio U 96.3 97.9 97.1 97.1
75 Temple 96.3 96.8 96.7 96.6
76 Tennessee 97.3 95.9 95.3 96.2
77 Northern Illinois 95.7 95.6 96.7 96.0
78 Western Michigan 95.8 95.2 96.5 95.8
79 Arkansas St. 95.0 96.1 96.0 95.7
80 Central Michigan 95.1 95.4 96.0 95.5
81 Nebraska 94.9 95.4 94.4 94.9
82 Wyoming 95.5 94.6 94.6 94.9
83 Eastern Michigan 94.7 94.8 95.1 94.9
84 Maryland 94.5 95.8 93.9 94.7
85 Utah St. 95.0 94.3 94.7 94.7
86 Tulane 94.2 94.4 94.6 94.4
87 Tulsa 93.1 92.8 92.7 92.9
88 Air Force 92.2 92.5 92.2 92.3
89 Marshall 90.9 92.3 92.4 91.9
90 Rutgers 91.1 91.1 90.7 91.0
91 Middle Tennessee 89.2 90.3 90.3 89.9
92 BYU 90.0 89.9 89.9 89.9
93 Florida Int’l. 89.5 89.7 90.5 89.9
94 Nevada 88.9 90.5 90.0 89.8
95 Miami (O) 88.7 90.7 89.9 89.8
96 Oregon St. 90.0 89.9 88.4 89.4
97 Massachusetts 88.9 88.4 89.0 88.8
98 U T S A 87.6 90.0 88.4 88.6
99 Buffalo 87.3 89.3 89.3 88.6
100 Akron 87.7 89.6 88.4 88.6
101 Louisiana Tech 87.3 88.9 88.1 88.1
102 Southern Miss. 87.5 88.5 88.1 88.0
103 Illinois 87.9 89.0 86.8 87.9
104 W. Kentucky 87.5 87.9 88.0 87.8
105 N. Texas 86.8 88.2 87.5 87.5
106 U N L V 86.2 87.7 86.3 86.8
107 N. Mexico St. 85.8 84.7 85.9 85.5
108 Connecticut 84.5 86.3 84.8 85.2
109 Cincinnati 83.9 85.7 84.6 84.7
110 New Mexico 84.4 84.4 84.9 84.6
111 East Carolina 83.2 84.5 83.3 83.7
112 Kansas 81.8 85.1 80.5 82.5
113 UAB 81.6 81.6 83.5 82.2
114 Bowling Green 81.5 82.6 81.8 82.0
115 Hawaii 81.8 82.9 81.1 81.9
116 UL-Monroe 81.9 82.8 81.0 81.9
117 S. Alabama 81.1 83.0 81.3 81.8
118 Idaho 80.8 81.6 81.7 81.3
119 Old Dominion 80.3 82.7 80.5 81.2
120 Georgia St. 80.9 81.0 80.6 80.9
121 UL-Lafayette 79.3 80.5 79.0 79.6
122 Georgia Southern 79.1 80.4 78.5 79.3
123 Coastal Carolina 74.5 75.7 75.3 75.2
124 Kent St. 73.9 75.4 74.2 74.5
125 Rice 72.6 74.1 73.0 73.2
126 San Jose St. 72.3 72.4 71.6 72.1
127 Texas St. 70.3 72.5 69.4 70.7
128 Charlotte 69.5 71.8 69.7 70.3
129 U T E P 67.9 70.7 67.9 68.9
130 Ball St. 65.7 67.7 66.4 66.6

Ratings by Conference

American Athletic Conference
East Division            
Team AAC Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Central Florida 8-0 12-0 113.6 114.8 114.8 114.4
South Florida 6-2 9-2 109.0 108.2 109.3 108.8
Temple 4-4 6-6 96.3 96.8 96.7 96.6
Connecticut 2-6 3-9 84.5 86.3 84.8 85.2
Cincinnati 2-6 4-8 83.9 85.7 84.6 84.7
East Carolina 2-6 3-9 83.2 84.5 83.3 83.7
             
West Division            
Team AAC Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Memphis 7-1 10-2 113.5 112.7 114.4 113.5
Houston 5-3 7-4 102.4 102.1 102.5 102.3
Navy 4-4 6-5 100.2 100.8 100.4 100.4
SMU 4-4 7-5 97.5 98.0 97.8 97.8
Tulane 3-5 5-7 94.2 94.4 94.6 94.4
Tulsa 1-7 2-10 93.1 92.8 92.7 92.9
             
AAC Averages     97.6 98.1 98.0 97.9
             
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division            
Team ACC Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Clemson 7-1 12-1 132.8 129.9 132.6 131.8
Louisville 4-4 8-4 117.9 116.9 117.8 117.5
Florida St. 3-5 6-6 116.9 115.9 115.4 116.1
N. Carolina St. 6-2 8-4 115.9 115.1 115.7 115.6
Boston College 4-4 7-5 112.8 112.4 112.9 112.7
Wake Forest 4-4 7-5 112.2 110.5 112.3 111.7
Syracuse 2-6 4-8 102.0 100.8 101.1 101.3
             
Coastal Division            
Team ACC Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Miami 7-1 10-2 119.3 118.1 118.2 118.5
Virginia Tech 5-3 9-3 118.7 118.1 118.5 118.4
Duke 3-5 6-6 110.4 109.4 109.5 109.8
Georgia Tech 4-4 5-6 110.2 108.4 108.7 109.1
Pittsburgh 3-5 5-7 108.8 108.1 108.7 108.5
Virginia 3-5 6-6 103.1 102.1 103.4 102.9
N. Carolina 1-7 3-9 102.9 102.0 102.0 102.3
             
ACC Averages     113.1 112.0 112.6 112.6
             
Big 12 Conference
Team B12 Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Oklahoma 8-1 12-1 128.2 126.7 129.4 128.1
Oklahoma St. 6-3 9-3 120.6 119.9 121.0 120.5
T C U 7-2 10-3 117.9 116.4 118.0 117.4
Iowa State 5-4 7-5 112.5 112.6 113.5 112.9
Texas 5-4 6-6 111.8 112.1 112.4 112.1
Kansas St. 5-4 7-5 111.8 111.8 111.8 111.8
West Virginia 5-4 7-5 108.4 109.0 108.5 108.6
Texas Tech 3-6 6-6 105.2 104.9 104.8 105.0
Baylor 1-8 1-11 98.1 99.4 98.2 98.6
Kansas 0-9 1-11 81.8 85.1 80.5 82.5
             
Big 12 Averages     109.6 109.8 109.8 109.8
             
Big Ten Conference
East Division            
Team BTen Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Ohio St. 8-1 11-2 132.0 129.9 132.3 131.4
Penn St. 7-2 10-2 129.0 127.9 129.3 128.7
Michigan 5-4 8-4 115.8 115.5 115.1 115.5
Michigan St. 7-2 9-3 107.5 108.1 108.6 108.1
Indiana 2-7 5-7 105.5 105.6 105.9 105.7
Maryland 2-7 4-8 94.5 95.8 93.9 94.7
Rutgers 3-6 4-8 91.1 91.1 90.7 91.0
             
West Division            
Team BTen Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Wisconsin 9-0 12-1 125.7 123.2 124.8 124.6
Northwestern 7-2 9-3 115.6 114.4 115.7 115.2
Iowa 4-5 7-5 114.1 114.4 113.3 114.0
Purdue 4-5 6-6 105.4 105.3 105.9 105.5
Minnesota 2-7 5-7 100.3 101.2 99.2 100.2
Nebraska 3-6 4-8 94.9 95.4 94.4 94.9
Illinois 0-9 2-10 87.9 89.0 86.8 87.9
             
Big Ten Averages     108.5 108.3 108.3 108.4
             
Conference USA
East Division            
Team CUSA Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Florida Atlantic 8-0 10-3 99.9 101.4 101.8 101.0
Marshall 4-4 7-5 90.9 92.3 92.4 91.9
Middle Tennessee 4-4 6-6 89.2 90.3 90.3 89.9
Florida Int’l. 5-3 8-4 89.5 89.7 90.5 89.9
W. Kentucky 4-4 6-6 87.5 87.9 88.0 87.8
Old Dominion 3-5 5-7 80.3 82.7 80.5 81.2
Charlotte 1-7 1-11 69.5 71.8 69.7 70.3
             
West Division            
Team CUSA Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
U T S A 3-5 6-5 87.6 90.0 88.4 88.6
Louisiana Tech 4-4 6-6 87.3 88.9 88.1 88.1
Southern Miss. 6-2 8-4 87.5 88.5 88.1 88.0
N. Texas 7-1 9-4 86.8 88.2 87.5 87.5
UAB 6-2 8-4 81.6 81.6 83.5 82.2
Rice 1-7 1-11 72.6 74.1 73.0 73.2
U T E P 0-8 0-12 67.9 70.7 67.9 68.9
             
CUSA Averages     84.2 85.6 85.0 84.9
             
FBS Independents
Team   Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Notre Dame   9-3 116.0 115.0 116.0 115.6
Army   8-3 99.8 99.8 100.1 99.9
Massachusetts   4-8 88.9 88.4 89.0 88.8
BYU   4-9 90.0 89.9 89.9 89.9
             
Indep. Averages     98.7 98.3 98.7 98.6
             
Mid-American Conference
East Division            
Team MAC Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Ohio U 5-3 8-4 96.3 97.9 97.1 97.1
Miami (O) 4-4 5-7 88.7 90.7 89.9 89.8
Buffalo 4-4 6-6 87.3 89.3 89.3 88.6
Akron 6-2 7-6 87.7 89.6 88.4 88.6
Bowling Green 2-6 2-10 81.5 82.6 81.8 82.0
Kent St. 1-7 2-10 73.9 75.4 74.2 74.5
             
West Division            
Team MAC Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Toledo 7-1 11-2 103.6 103.6 105.6 104.3
Northern Illinois 6-2 8-4 95.7 95.6 96.7 96.0
Western Michigan 4-4 6-6 95.8 95.2 96.5 95.8
Central Michigan 6-2 8-4 95.1 95.4 96.0 95.5
Eastern Michigan 3-5 5-7 94.7 94.8 95.1 94.9
Ball St. 0-8 2-10 65.7 67.7 66.4 66.6
             
MAC Averages     88.8 89.8 89.7 89.5
             
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division            
Team MWC Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Boise St. 7-1 10-3 105.7 104.5 105.8 105.3
Colo. State 5-3 7-5 101.3 100.3 101.1 100.9
Wyoming 5-3 7-5 95.5 94.6 94.6 94.9
Utah St. 4-4 6-6 95.0 94.3 94.7 94.7
Air Force 4-4 5-7 92.2 92.5 92.2 92.3
New Mexico 1-7 3-9 84.4 84.4 84.9 84.6
             
West Division            
Team MWC Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
San Diego St. 6-2 10-2 102.4 102.3 103.5 102.7
Fresno St. 7-1 9-4 98.9 97.6 99.8 98.8
Nevada 3-5 3-9 88.9 90.5 90.0 89.8
U N L V 4-4 5-7 86.2 87.7 86.3 86.8
Hawaii 1-8 3-9 81.8 82.9 81.1 81.9
San Jose St. 1-7 2-11 72.3 72.4 71.6 72.1
             
MWC Averages     92.0 92.0 92.1 92.1
             
Pac-12 Conference
North Division            
Team P12 Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Washington 7-2 10-2 126.6 124.4 126.6 125.9
Stanford 7-2 9-4 120.7 119.1 120.1 120.0
Washington St. 6-3 9-3 113.3 111.2 112.8 112.4
Oregon 4-5 7-5 112.3 110.2 111.7 111.4
California 2-7 5-7 105.3 103.2 103.8 104.1
Oregon St. 0-9 1-11 90.0 89.9 88.4 89.4
             
South Division            
Team P12 Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
U S C 8-1 11-2 120.4 119.5 120.1 120.0
Utah 3-6 6-6 108.2 108.3 108.3 108.3
Arizona St. 6-3 7-5 107.6 106.4 107.3 107.1
Arizona 5-4 7-5 106.2 105.0 105.1 105.4
U C L A 4-5 6-6 104.1 103.3 103.5 103.6
Colorado 2-7 5-7 104.5 103.4 102.4 103.4
             
Pac-12 Averages     109.9 108.6 109.2 109.3
             
Southeastern Conference
East Division            
Team SEC Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Georgia 7-1 12-1 130.6 129.9 131.2 130.6
Missouri 4-4 7-5 109.6 107.9 108.9 108.8
S. Carolina 5-3 8-4 107.5 106.8 106.5 106.9
Kentucky 4-4 7-5 106.2 105.5 104.8 105.5
Florida 3-5 4-7 105.7 105.4 105.1 105.4
Vanderbilt 1-7 5-7 100.8 99.8 99.7 100.1
Tennessee 0-8 4-8 97.3 95.9 95.3 96.2
             
West Division            
Team SEC Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Alabama 7-1 11-1 135.6 132.3 134.3 134.1
Auburn 7-1 10-3 129.4 127.3 129.6 128.8
L S U 6-2 9-3 119.1 116.7 119.6 118.5
Mississippi St. 4-4 8-4 112.4 112.4 112.0 112.3
Texas A&M 4-4 7-5 107.8 105.9 106.9 106.9
Ole Miss 3-5 6-6 106.3 105.0 105.4 105.6
Arkansas 1-7 4-8 99.4 98.5 99.2 99.1
             
SEC Averages     112.0 110.7 111.3 111.3
             
Sunbelt Conference
Team SBC Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Troy 7-1 10-2 99.3 99.4 99.3 99.3
Appalachian St. 7-1 8-4 97.7 96.5 97.9 97.4
Arkansas St. 6-2 7-4 95.0 96.1 96.0 95.7
N. Mexico St. 4-4 6-6 85.8 84.7 85.9 85.5
UL-Monroe 4-4 4-8 81.9 82.8 81.0 81.9
S. Alabama 3-5 4-8 81.1 83.0 81.3 81.8
Idaho 3-5 4-8 80.8 81.6 81.7 81.3
Georgia St. 5-3 6-5 80.9 81.0 80.6 80.9
UL-Lafayette 4-4 5-7 79.3 80.5 79.0 79.6
Georgia Southern 2-6 2-10 79.1 80.4 78.5 79.3
Coastal Carolina 2-6 3-9 74.5 75.7 75.3 75.2
Texas St. 1-7 2-10 70.3 72.5 69.4 70.7
             
Sun Belt Averages     83.8 84.5 83.8 84.1

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference
# League PiRate Mean Bias Average
1 ACC 113.1