Home | Visitor | Spread |
Charlotte | Radford | 3.7 |
Oklahoma St. | North Texas | 5.3 |
Oregon | Wisconsin | 5.0 |
Southern Utah | Eastern Kentucky | 4.1 |
March 21, 2023
PiRate Ratings College Basketball — Tuesday, March 21, 2023
March 8, 2023
PiRate Ratings Bracketology
Date | 3/8/2023 | |||||
Seed | Team | Team | Team | Team | Team | Team |
1 | Alabama | Houston | Kansas | Purdue | ||
2 | UCLA | Texas | Baylor | Arizona | ||
3 | Marquette | Kansas St. | Tennessee | Gonzaga | ||
4 | Connecticut | Xavier | Indiana | Virginia | ||
5 | San Diego St. | Miami (Fla) | TCU | Saint Mary’s | ||
6 | Iowa St. | Duke | Creighton | Texas A&M | ||
7 | Kentucky | Michigan St. | Northwestern | Maryland | ||
8 | Illinois | Iowa | Missouri | Arkansas | ||
9 | Florida Atlantic | Boise St. | Auburn | Providence | ||
10 | Memphis | West Virginia | North Carolina St. | USC | ||
11 | Pittsburgh | Rutgers | Mississippi St. | Nevada | Wisconsin | Penn St. |
12 | Oral Roberts | VCU | Drake | Charleston | ||
13 | Utah Valley | Toledo | Iona | Yale | ||
14 | Louisiana | Furman | UC Santa Barbara | Colgate | ||
15 | Kennesaw St. | Vermont | UNC Asheville | Montana St. | ||
16 | N. Kentucky | Texas A&M-CC | SE Missouri St. | Grambling | Howard | Fairleigh Dickinson |
Last 4 Byes: North Carolina St., USC, Pittsburgh, Rutgers
Last 4 In: Mississippi St., Nevada, Wisconsin, Penn St.
First 4 Out: Utah St., Arizona St., Oklahoma St., North Carolina
Next 4 Out: Clemson, Michigan, Oregon, Vanderbilt
March 7, 2023
PiRate Ratings College Basketball — Wednesday, March 8, 2023
Home | Visitor | Spread |
Alcorn St. | Texas Southern | 2.9 |
Arizona St. | Oregon St. | 11.3 |
Colgate | Lafayette | 9.4 |
Colorado St. | Fresno St. | 2.2 |
Davidson | St. Bonaventure | 2.7 |
Duquesne | La Salle | 6.6 |
Florida Intl. | Louisiana Tech | -3.7 |
George Mason | Richmond | 1.6 |
George Washington | Saint Joseph’s | -0.8 |
Georgia | LSU | -0.7 |
Grambling | Bethune Cookman | 11.2 |
Howard | South Carolina St. | 8.2 |
Iona | Mount St. Mary’s | 13.8 |
Montana St. | Northern Arizona | 6.7 |
Nebraska | Minnesota | 7.3 |
New Mexico | Wyoming | 8.1 |
North Carolina | Boston College | 10.9 |
North Carolina Central | Delaware St. | 12.9 |
North Carolina St. | Virginia Tech | 1.8 |
Oklahoma St. | Oklahoma | 1.3 |
Pittsburgh | Georgia Tech | 7.5 |
Rice | UTSA | 5.6 |
Rider | Marist | 6.5 |
Seton Hall | DePaul | 7.5 |
South Carolina | Mississippi | -6.4 |
St. John’s | Butler | 3.2 |
Syracuse | Wake Forest | -2.4 |
Texas A&M-CC | Northwestern St. | 1.3 |
UNLV | Air Force | 5.3 |
Utah | Stanford | 1.8 |
Villanova | Georgetown | 10.7 |
Washington | Colorado | -4.7 |
Washington St. | California | 13.6 |
West Virginia | Texas Tech | 2.9 |
Western Kentucky | UTEP | 1.0 |
Wisconsin | Ohio St. | -1.4 |
Coming Later Today: Conference Tournament Schedules with TV & Updated Bracketology
March 6, 2023
PiRate Ratings Bracketology
Date | 3/6/2023 | |||||
Seed | Team | Team | Team | Team | Team | Team |
1 | Alabama | Houston | Kansas | Purdue | ||
2 | UCLA | Texas | Baylor | Arizona | ||
3 | Marquette | Kansas St. | Tennessee | Gonzaga | ||
4 | Connecticut | Xavier | Indiana | Virginia | ||
5 | San Diego St. | Saint Mary’s | Miami (Fla) | TCU | ||
6 | Iowa St. | Duke | Creighton | Texas A&M | ||
7 | Kentucky | Michigan St. | Northwestern | Maryland | ||
8 | Illinois | Iowa | Missouri | Arkansas | ||
9 | Florida Atlantic | Boise St. | Auburn | Providence | ||
10 | Memphis | West Virginia | North Carolina St. | USC | ||
11 | Pittsburgh | Rutgers | Mississippi St. | Nevada | Wisconsin | Penn St. |
12 | Oral Roberts | VCU | Drake | Hofstra | ||
13 | Utah Valley | Toledo | Iona | Louisiana | ||
14 | Yale | Furman | UC Santa Barbara | Kennesaw St. | ||
15 | Colgate | Vermont | Montana St. | Youngstown St. | ||
16 | UNC Asheville | Texas A&M-CC | SE Missouri St. | Grambling | Howard | Fairleigh Dickinson |
Last 4 Byes: North Carolina St., USC, Pittsburgh, Rutgers
Last 4 In: Mississippi St., Nevada, Wisconsin, Penn St.
First 4 Out: Utah St., Arizona St., Oklahoma St., North Carolina
Next 4 Out: Clemson, Michigan, Oregon, Vanderbilt
March 5, 2023
PiRate Ratings Bracketology
Date | 3/5/2023 | |||||
Seed | Team | Team | Team | Team | Team | Team |
1 | Alabama | Houston | Kansas | UCLA | ||
2 | Purdue | Texas | Baylor | Arizona | ||
3 | Marquette | Kansas St. | Tennessee | Gonzaga | ||
4 | Connecticut | Xavier | Indiana | Virginia | ||
5 | San Diego St. | Saint Mary’s | Iowa St. | Miami (Fla) | ||
6 | TCU | Creighton | Kentucky | Duke | ||
7 | Texas A&M | Michigan St. | Iowa | Northwestern | ||
8 | Maryland | Missouri | Illinois | Arkansas | ||
9 | Florida Atlantic | Boise St. | Auburn | Providence | ||
10 | West Virginia | Memphis | USC | Rutgers | ||
11 | North Carolina St. | Pittsburgh | Mississippi St. | Nevada | Utah St. | Arizona St. |
12 | Oral Roberts | Hofstra | VCU | Bradley | ||
13 | Kennesaw St. | Utah Valley | Toledo | Iona | ||
14 | Louisiana | Yale | UC Santa Barbara | Furman | ||
15 | Colgate | E. Washington | Vermont | Youngstown St. | ||
16 | UNC Asheville | Grambling | Howard | Texas A&M-CC | SE Missouri St. | Fairleigh-Dickinson |
Last 4 Byes: USC, Rutgers, North Carolina St., Pittsburgh
Last 4 In: Mississippi St., Nevada, Utah St., Arizona St.
First 4 Out: Wisconsin, Oklahoma St., Penn St., North Carolina
Next 4 Out: Clemson, Michigan, Oregon, Vanderbilt
March 3, 2023
PiRate Ratings Bracketology
Date | 3/3/2023 | |||||
Seed | Team | Team | Team | Team | Team | Team |
1 | Alabama | Houston | Kansas | Purdue | ||
2 | UCLA | Texas | Baylor | Arizona | ||
3 | Kansas St. | Tennessee | Marquette | Gonzaga | ||
4 | Connecticut | Xavier | Indiana | Virginia | ||
5 | TCU | San Diego St. | Saint Mary’s | Miami (Fla) | ||
6 | Creighton | Kentucky | Iowa St. | Duke | ||
7 | Michigan St. | Texas A&M | Maryland | Iowa | ||
8 | Northwestern | Missouri | Illinois | Boise St. | ||
9 | Providence | Arkansas | Florida Atlantic | Memphis | ||
10 | North Carolina St. | Nevada | USC | West Virginia | ||
11 | Auburn | Pittsburgh | Mississippi St. | Rutgers | Arizona St. | Wisconsin |
12 | Oral Roberts | Bradley | VCU | Iona | ||
13 | Southern Miss. | Hofstra | Toledo | Utah Valley | ||
14 | Furman | UC-Irvine | Colgate | Youngstown St. | ||
15 | Kennesaw St. | Vermont | E. Washington | Penn | ||
16 | UNC Asheville | Grambling | Texas A&M-CC | Morehead St. | Howard | Fairleigh-Dickinson |
Last 4 Byes: USC, West Virginia, Auburn, Pittsburgh
Last 4 In: Mississippi St., Rutgers, Arizona St., Wisconsin
First 4 Out: North Carolina, Utah St., Penn State, Michigan
Next 4 Out: Oklahoma St., Oregon, Clemson, New Mexico
February 27, 2023
PiRate Ratings Bracketology
Date | 2/27/2023 | |||||
Seed | Team | Team | Team | Team | Team | Team |
1 | Alabama | Houston | Kansas | Purdue | ||
2 | UCLA | Texas | Baylor | Arizona | ||
3 | Kansas St. | Tennessee | Marquette | Gonzaga | ||
4 | Indiana | Connecticut | Xavier | Iowa St. | ||
5 | Virginia | Miami (Fla) | TCU | San Diego St. | ||
6 | Saint Mary’s | Creighton | Northwestern | Maryland | ||
7 | Kentucky | Illinois | Michigan St. | Duke | ||
8 | Providence | Texas A&M | Arkansas | Iowa | ||
9 | Rutgers | Missouri | Nevada | North Carolina St. | ||
10 | Florida Atlantic | Auburn | Boise St. | USC | ||
11 | Mississippi St. | West Virginia | Pittsburgh | Memphis | Wisconsin | Oklahoma St. |
12 | Oral Roberts | VCU | Bradley | Hofstra | ||
13 | Southern Miss. | Utah Valley | Toledo | Iona | ||
14 | Kennesaw St. | UC-Irvine | Colgate | Furman | ||
15 | E. Washington | Vermont | Penn | Youngstown St. | ||
16 | UNC Asheville | Texas A&M-CC | Morehead St. | Grambling | Howard | Fairleigh Dickinson |
Last 4 Byes: Boise St., USC, Mississippi St., West Virginia
Last 4 In: Pittsburgh, Memphis, Wisconsin, Oklahoma St.
First 4 Out: Arizona St., Michigan, North Carolina, Penn St.
Next 4 Out: Clemson, Utah St., New Mexico, Texas Tech
February 26, 2023
PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Sunday, February 26, 2023
Home | Visitor | Spread |
Bradley | Drake | 1.7 |
Canisius | Fairfield | 0.9 |
Colorado | UCLA | -6.6 |
Duquesne | Davidson | 5.1 |
Georgetown | Providence | -9.4 |
Illinois Chicago | Southern Illinois | -7.2 |
Illinois St. | Evansville | 9.1 |
Indiana St. | Missouri St. | 7.3 |
Iona | Siena | 10.3 |
Maryland | Northwestern | 5.5 |
Memphis | Cincinnati | 5.6 |
Michigan | Wisconsin | 5.2 |
Murray St. | Valparaiso | 5.5 |
Niagara | Saint Peter’s | 5.5 |
Northern Iowa | Belmont | -2.2 |
Ohio St. | Illinois | -0.8 |
Penn St. | Rutgers | 0.6 |
Quinnipiac | Manhattan | 9.5 |
Rider | Mount St. Mary’s | 8.1 |
St. Bonaventure | Saint Joseph’s | 3.8 |
Stanford | Washington | 4.0 |
Stephen F. Austin | Cal Baptist | 4.0 |
Tulane | Wichita St. | 6.0 |
Tulsa | Central Florida | -12.5 |
February 24, 2023
PiRate Ratings Bracketology
Date | 2/24/2023 | |||||
Seed | Team | Team | Team | Team | Team | Team |
1 | Alabama | Houston | Kansas | Purdue | ||
2 | Texas | UCLA | Arizona | Baylor | ||
3 | Marquette | Virginia | Kansas St. | Tennessee | ||
4 | Iowa St. | Indiana | Gonzaga | Connecticut | ||
5 | Miami (Fla) | Xavier | Saint Mary’s | Creighton | ||
6 | San Diego St. | Illinois | TCU | Northwestern | ||
7 | Duke | Maryland | Providence | Texas A&M | ||
8 | Michigan St. | Arkansas | Iowa | North Carolina St. | ||
9 | Auburn | Kentucky | Rutgers | Missouri | ||
10 | Florida Atlantic | Pittsburgh | Nevada | Boise St. | ||
11 | Memphis | Oklahoma St. | West Virginia | USC | Mississippi St. | Wisconsin |
12 | Oral Roberts | Drake | Toledo | Marshall | ||
13 | Hofstra | Kennesaw St. | VCU | Iona | ||
14 | Colgate | Utah Valley | UC-Irvine | Eastern Washington | ||
15 | Penn | Cleveland St. | Vermont | Samford | ||
16 | UNC Asheville | Northwestern St. | Morehead St. | Howard | Alcorn St. | St. Francis (PA) |
Last 4 Byes: Nevada, Boise St., Memphis, Oklahoma St.
Last 4 In: West Virginia, USC, Mississippi St., Wisconsin
First 4 Out: Utah St., North Carolina, Texas Tech, Michigan
Next 4 Out: Clemson, New Mexico, Penn St., Arizona St.
What Is My Process?
I have been asked by multiple people how I make my bracketology. It is a multi-step process. I use the same data that the NCAA Selection Committee uses–Net Ratings, Strength of Schedule, Strength of Wins, Eye Test, etc. that the Committee uses.
I begin by choosing the one-bid conference representatives. Each time, I use the team that is in first place at the time. If two or more teams are tied for first, I choose the team with the most current success. Most of these teams automatically move to the 12-16 seed lines. They will be compared to each other and seeded 12 through 16. A couple (like Florida Atlantic this year) may move up. If enough move up, then the at-large field may feature two or even four 12-seeds, but in most years, the last 4 teams in the field will be the 3rd, 4th, 5th, and 6th best 11-seeds.
The next step in the process is to pick the teams that are obviously getting bids from the multiple bid conferences. These include teams like Virginia, Marquette, Alabama, Purdue, Kansas, and UCLA among others at the present time. After that, I then choose about 20 other teams that represent the Bubble. From these 20 Bubble teams, I will closely examine the resumes of each, ranking them from 1 to 20. The big question with the Bubble is, “how many are needed to get to 68 total teams?” This week, it was seven. Seven teams made the field. Eight teams fell into first 4 out or next 4 out, while the other five would be placed in an under consideration list and needing a lot of help. Michigan had been in the under consideration group for weeks until recent victories allowed the Wolverines to jump up to first 4 out status. A couple more wins, and the Maize and Blue might find themselves in the Field.
Once I have the 68 teams chosen, and I have the 12-16 seeds filled in (22 teams), the remaining 46 teams are ranked as I believe the Committee will rank them. When you see my seed lines, they are in the order of my rankings, so that looking at today’s #3 seeds, Marquette is my top 3-seed team. Tennessee has fallen to the last 3-seed team. I do not alter my seed lines to prevent teams from the same conference from playing in the first round. If two Big 12 teams are shown playing in the Round of 64, the Committee will change the S-Curve. I’ll leave the teams where they finish in my rankings.
If I could change one thing in how the Selection Committee chooses the at-large teams, it would be to add conference record into the equation. If the third place team in the ACC beats the sixth place team both times in the regular season and finishes three games ahead in the standings, that should at least mean as much as out of conference results. In my mind, a 13-7 ACC team that sweeps a 10-10 ACC team has proven itself to be the better of the two teams. Yet, every year, the Committee takes one of these teams that finished behind another and that lose to the other team that did not receive a bid. The Committee tends to give more weight to out of conference games in November and December than conference games in January and February.
Championship Fortnight Begins Monday
The greatest five weeks of college basketball action start Monday night when the first conference tournament action begins. The Atlantic Sun Tournament begins with the top 10 finishers in the regular season qualifying. Team #9 will host Team #10 and Team #7 will host Team #8.
The #9 vs. #10 winner will then play the #1 seed, and the #7 vs. #8 winner will then play the #2 seed in the quarterfinals. The #3 seed will play the #6 seed, and the #4 seed will play the #5 seed. Unlike most leagues, this conference will then re-seed the teams, like the NFL Playoffs, in the semifinal round. All A-Sun Tournament games will be played at the home gym of the better seed.
Three more tournaments begin on Tuesday. The Horizon League’s first round will find the #6 through 11 seeds playing to make the quarterfinals, while the top 5 seeds receive first round byes. First Round and Quarterfinal Round games will be played on the better seeds’ home floors, with the semifinals and finals moving to Indianapolis.
The Patriot League will take place exclusively on the better seeds’ home floors. Tuesday’s first round games will see #10 playing at #7 and #9 playing at #8, or a normal first round bracket in a 10-team field.
The Sun Belt Conference features all 14 teams playing in beautiful Pensacola, Florida. The first round begins Tuesday with the #11 seed playing #14 and the #12 seed playing #13. This will be a hotly contested tournament for the one bid, as there are four teams in this league (Marshall, Southern Miss, Louisiana, and James Madison) talented enough to beat a single digit seed in the Round of 64. If Marshall wins the automatic bid, the Thundering Herd’s R+T Rating is going to be high enough to be considered a dark horse for the Sweet 16.
Check back daily once conference tournament action begins. The PiRate Ratings will have daily updates.
February 20, 2023
PiRate Ratings Bracketology
Date | 2/20/2023 | |||||
Seed | Team | Team | Team | Team | Team | Team |
1 | Alabama | Houston | Kansas | Purdue | ||
2 | Texas | Baylor | UCLA | Arizona | ||
3 | Tennessee | Kansas St. | Iowa St. | Virginia | ||
4 | Gonzaga | Marquette | Xavier | Indiana | ||
5 | Connecticut | Saint Mary’s | Iowa | Creighton | ||
6 | TCU | San Diego St. | Northwestern | Illinois | ||
7 | Providence | Duke | Maryland | Iowa | ||
8 | Rutgers | Michigan St. | North Carolina St. | Texas A&M | ||
9 | Auburn | Missouri | Arkansas | Boise St. | ||
10 | Kentucky | Nevada | Oklahoma St. | Pittsburgh | ||
11 | Florida Atlantic | Memphis | Mississippi St. | USC | West Virginia | Wisconsin |
12 | Oral Roberts | Drake | Southern Miss. | Toledo | ||
13 | VCU | Hofstra | Utah Valley | UC-Irvine | ||
14 | Kennesaw St. | Iona | Samford | Colgate | ||
15 | E. Washington | Penn | Vermont | Youngstown St. | ||
16 | UNCA | Texas A&M-CC | Morehead St. | Alcorn St. | Howard | Fairleigh Dickinson |