The Pi-Rate Ratings

January 27, 2023

PiRate Ratings Bracketology

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 11:25 am
Date1/27/2023
SeedTeamTeamTeamTeamTeamTeam
1PurdueAlabamaHoustonTennessee
2ArizonaKansasTexasUCLA
3Iowa St.Kansas St.VirginiaXavier
4GonzagaBaylorTCUMarquette
5ConnecticutAuburnRutgersSaint Mary’s
6Miami (Fla)San Diego St.ProvidenceIndiana
7IllinoisNew MexicoDukeFlorida Atlantic
8North CarolinaMichigan St.ArkansasNorth Carolina St.
9MemphisCreightonBoise St.Clemson
10MissouriIowaNorthwesternMaryland
11USCNevadaCharlestonKentuckyArizona St.
12Oral RobertsKent St.VCUWisconsinWest Virginia
13Southern Miss.LibertyUCSBSouthern Illinois
14SeattlePrincetonColgateUNC Greensboro
15E. WashingtonSienaVermontUNC Asheville
16Northern KentuckySE LouisianaAlcorn St.UM Eastern ShoreUT-MartinFairleigh Dickinson

Last 4 Byes: Northwestern, Maryland, USC, Nevada

Last 4 In: Kentucky, Arizona State, Wisconsin, West Virginia

First 4 Out: Texas A&M, Pittsburgh, Ohio State, Utah State

Next 4 Out: Oklahoma State, Penn State, Utah, Virginia Tech

January 10, 2023

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Wednesday, January 11, 2023

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 8:44 pm
HomeVisitorSpread
ArkansasAlabama0.0
ArmyAmerican-0.7
BradleyEvansville19.5
BryantAlbany10.3
BucknellLoyola (MD)7.7
Cal BaptistUtah Valley-1.9
Cal St. BakersfieldUC Santa Barbara-7.7
Cal St. NorthridgeUC Davis-5.9
Central FloridaMemphis1.4
Charleston SouthernHigh Point-0.4
ChattanoogaWestern Carolina8.2
CincinnatiEast Carolina11.5
ClemsonLouisville17.9
ColgateBoston U.10.3
DavidsonRichmond0.6
DelawareTowson-1.9
DukePittsburgh8.3
ElonNorth Carolina A&T-2.8
Florida Int’l.Florida Atlantic-12.6
GeorgiaMississippi St.-1.7
HofstraMonmouth20.1
HoustonSouth Florida24.5
Illinois St.Missouri St.-4.5
Indiana St.Southern Illinois4.2
LehighHoly Cross5.0
MaineNew Hampshire2.4
MarquetteConnecticut-2.3
MassachusettsLa Salle8.6
MercerFurman-5.0
Miami (Fla)Boston College13.5
NavyLafayette6.1
NJITBinghamton2.8
North TexasLouisiana Tech8.5
NorthwesternRutgers-1.1
Penn St.Indiana-1.5
PresbyterianGardner Webb-6.8
Rhode IslandSt. Bonaventure0.7
RiceMiddle Tennessee0.0
Saint Joseph’sDuquesne-3.0
Saint LouisGeorge Mason5.9
SamfordWofford3.0
SMUTulane-3.0
SyracuseVirginia Tech-1.9
Tarleton St.Chicago St.10.4
TexasTCU6.9
Texas A&MMissouri0.4
The CitadelEast Tennessee St.0.1
UABWestern Kentucky11.1
UC IrvineCal St. Fullerton9.3
UC San DiegoUC Riverside-4.8
UMass LowellVermont2.5
UNC WilmingtonCharleston-0.4
UNLVBoise St.0.8
USC UpstateCampbell1.4
UT Rio Grande ValleyAbilene Christian-5.0
UTEPUTSA9.5
VMIUNC Greensboro-8.4
Wake ForestFlorida St.7.9
Washington St.California13.0
West VirginiaBaylor2.1
William & MaryHampton7.9
WinthropRadford-1.2
XavierCreighton3.5

January 2, 2023

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Monday, January 2, 2023

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 6:43 am

Monday’s Games

HomeVisitorSpread
Alabama A&MArkansas Pine Bluff5.5
LafayetteArmy3.5
North AlabamaBellarmine1.1
Florida A&MBethune Cookman0.5
BucknellBoston U.2.7
LehighColgate-10.2
Kennesaw St.Eastern Kentucky4.4
Central ArkansasFlorida Gulf Coast-11.1
Prairie ViewGrambling-0.3
NavyHoly Cross14.1
Alcorn St.Jackson St.4.0
JacksonvilleJacksonville St.6.6
LibertyLipscomb10.6
AmericanLoyola (MD)9.6
Alabama St.Mississippi Valley St.7.4
CanisiusMount St. Mary’s1.1
StetsonNorth Florida3.2
BrownPenn0.4
NiagaraRider0.9
PurdueRutgers5.0
Texas SouthernSouthern2.0
Oklahoma St.West Virginia1.9
IUPUIWright St.-13.1

Power Ratings

#TeamPiRateConference
1Houston121.0American Athletic
2Connecticut120.2Big East
3Tennessee120.2Southeastern
4UCLA119.3Pac-12
5Arizona118.2Pac-12
6Kansas117.4Big 12
7Texas117.4Big 12
8Alabama117.2Southeastern
9Gonzaga117.2West Coast
10Arkansas116.5Southeastern
11Purdue116.4Big Ten
12Ohio St.115.6Big Ten
13Duke114.6Atlantic Coast
14Indiana114.5Big Ten
15Virginia114.5Atlantic Coast
16Kentucky114.5Southeastern
17Xavier114.5Big East
18Rutgers114.4Big Ten
19Baylor114.4Big 12
20North Carolina113.9Atlantic Coast
21Auburn113.9Southeastern
22Creighton113.5Big East
23Saint Mary’s113.4West Coast
24West Virginia113.4Big 12
25Marquette113.2Big East
26San Diego St.113.2Mountain West
27Illinois112.9Big Ten
28Texas Tech112.9Big 12
29TCU112.5Big 12
30Oklahoma St.112.3Big 12
31Memphis111.9American Athletic
32Utah St.111.8Mountain West
33Iowa St.111.7Big 12
34Maryland111.6Big Ten
35Iowa111.6Big Ten
36Missouri111.5Southeastern
37Florida111.4Southeastern
38Miami (Fla)111.4Atlantic Coast
39Virginia Tech111.4Atlantic Coast
40Oklahoma111.3Big 12
41Utah111.0Pac-12
42Kansas St.110.6Big 12
43Florida Atlantic110.6Conference USA
44Providence110.6Big East
45UAB110.5Conference USA
46Michigan St.110.3Big Ten
47Mississippi St.110.3Southeastern
48Wisconsin110.1Big Ten
49Penn St.110.1Big Ten
50Michigan109.9Big Ten
51Oregon109.8Pac-12
52Arizona St.109.6Pac-12
53New Mexico109.5Mountain West
54Dayton109.5Atlantic 10
55North Carolina St.109.4Atlantic Coast
56Villanova109.3Big East
57Seton Hall109.2Big East
58Central Florida109.1American Athletic
59Colorado109.0Pac-12
60James Madison109.0Sun Belt
61Northwestern108.9Big Ten
62Boise St.108.9Mountain West
63Clemson108.8Atlantic Coast
64Iona108.8Metro Atlantic
65Kent St.108.4Mid-American
66USC108.2Pac-12
67St. John’s108.2Big East
68Mississippi108.1Southeastern
69Cincinnati108.0American Athletic
70Stanford107.8Pac-12
71North Texas107.6Conference USA
72Texas A&M107.6Southeastern
73Sam Houston St.107.6Western Athletic
74Washington St.107.5Pac-12
75Butler107.5Big East
76Yale107.3Ivy League
77Pittsburgh107.3Atlantic Coast
78LSU107.2Southeastern
79UNLV107.1Mountain West
80Bradley107.0Missouri Valley
81Marshall107.0Sun Belt
82BYU106.9West Coast
83Saint Louis106.8Atlantic 10
84Nebraska106.7Big Ten
85Wake Forest106.5Atlantic Coast
86Nevada106.5Mountain West
87Oral Roberts106.5Summit
88Charleston106.0Colonial Athletic
89Syracuse105.9Atlantic Coast
90Liberty105.9Atlantic Sun
91Vanderbilt105.1Southeastern
92Tulane105.1American Athletic
93Santa Clara105.0West Coast
94Toledo105.0Mid-American
95UC Irvine105.0Big West
96Drake104.9Missouri Valley
97Richmond104.6Atlantic 10
98Utah Valley104.5Western Athletic
99VCU104.2Atlantic 10
100San Francisco104.2West Coast
101Charlotte104.2Conference USA
102Georgia104.1Southeastern
103Grand Canyon104.0Western Athletic
104Colorado St.104.0Mountain West
105George Mason103.9Atlantic 10
106Southern Illinois103.8Missouri Valley
107Loyola Marymount103.8West Coast
108Wichita St.103.7American Athletic
109Notre Dame103.7Atlantic Coast
110UC Santa Barbara103.7Big West
111Indiana St.103.6Missouri Valley
112Washington103.5Pac-12
113Colgate103.4Patriot League
114UNC Wilmington103.3Colonial Athletic
115Furman103.2Southern
116Chattanooga103.1Southern
117UMass Lowell103.1America East
118Georgia Tech103.0Atlantic Coast
119Missouri St.103.0Missouri Valley
120Temple102.9American Athletic
121Southern Miss102.8Sun Belt
122Florida Gulf Coast102.7Atlantic Sun
123Princeton102.6Ivy League
124Duquesne102.6Atlantic 10
125Longwood102.4Big South
126Akron102.4Mid-American
127Wyoming102.4Mountain West
128Middle Tennessee102.4Conference USA
129Hawaii102.3Big West
130New Mexico St.102.3Western Athletic
131Cornell102.3Ivy League
132Purdue Fort Wayne101.9Horizon
133Hofstra101.8Colonial Athletic
134Youngstown St.101.8Horizon
135Troy101.8Sun Belt
136Louisiana Tech101.7Conference USA
137DePaul101.7Big East
138UNC Greensboro101.7Southern
139Towson101.6Colonial Athletic
140Davidson101.6Atlantic 10
141SMU101.6American Athletic
142Fresno St.101.5Mountain West
143Louisiana101.5Sun Belt
144Belmont101.5Missouri Valley
145Southern Utah101.5Western Athletic
146Massachusetts101.4Atlantic 10
147Florida St.101.3Atlantic Coast
148Seattle101.1Western Athletic
149Ohio101.0Mid-American
150San Jose St.101.0Mountain West
151St. Bonaventure101.0Atlantic 10
152Vermont101.0America East
153Portland101.0West Coast
154Western Kentucky100.9Conference USA
155UC Riverside100.9Big West
156Montana St.100.9Big Sky
157Pepperdine100.8West Coast
158Gardner Webb100.7Big South
159Stephen F. Austin100.5Western Athletic
160Penn100.3Ivy League
161South Florida100.3American Athletic
162Ball St.100.3Mid-American
163Samford100.2Southern
164San Diego100.1West Coast
165Old Dominion100.0Sun Belt
166Loyola (Chi.)100.0Atlantic 10
167Murray St.99.8Missouri Valley
168Boston College99.8Atlantic Coast
169Bryant99.8America East
170Jacksonville99.7Atlantic Sun
171Rice99.7Conference USA
172Northern Iowa99.6Missouri Valley
173Eastern Washington99.6Big Sky
174South Alabama99.5Sun Belt
175Air Force99.5Mountain West
176Wofford99.4Southern
177Quinnipiac99.4Metro Atlantic
178Siena99.4Metro Atlantic
179Cal Baptist99.4Western Athletic
180Tarleton St.99.3Western Athletic
181Abilene Christian99.3Western Athletic
182Navy99.2Patriot League
183East Carolina99.1American Athletic
184Harvard99.1Ivy League
185Long Beach St.99.0Big West
186Drexel98.9Colonial Athletic
187Fordham98.9Atlantic 10
188South Dakota St.98.8Summit
189Montana98.8Big Sky
190UC Davis98.8Big West
191Radford98.8Big South
192Georgetown98.7Big East
193Buffalo98.7Mid-American
194Minnesota98.7Big Ten
195Queens98.6Atlantic Sun
196Utah Tech98.5Western Athletic
197Norfolk St.98.4Mideastern Athletic
198SIU Edwardsville98.3Ohio Valley
199Mercer98.3Southern
200North Carolina Central98.3Mideastern Athletic
201American98.2Patriot League
202UTEP98.2Conference USA
203George Washington98.2Atlantic 10
204Brown98.2Ivy League
205UNC Asheville98.0Big South
206Appalachian St.97.9Sun Belt
207Kennesaw St.97.9Atlantic Sun
208Rhode Island97.9Atlantic 10
209Lipscomb97.8Atlantic Sun
210Cleveland St.97.8Horizon
211St. Thomas97.8Summit
212South Carolina97.7Southeastern
213Rider97.6Metro Atlantic
214Saint Joseph’s97.6Atlantic 10
215Weber St.97.6Big Sky
216Nicholls St.97.6Southland
217Oregon St.97.6Pac-12
218Northern Kentucky97.6Horizon
219Wright St.97.5Horizon
220Texas A&M CC97.3Southland
221Detroit Mercy97.2Horizon
222Delaware97.2Colonial Athletic
223Georgia Southern97.1Sun Belt
224California97.1Pac-12
225Cal St. Fullerton97.0Big West
226Coastal Carolina96.9Sun Belt
227High Point96.8Big South
228Sacramento St.96.8Big Sky
229Georgia St.96.7Sun Belt
230Grambling96.7Southwestern Athletic
231Portland St.96.7Big Sky
232Texas St.96.7Sun Belt
233Stetson96.6Atlantic Sun
234UMBC96.4America East
235East Tennessee St.96.3Southern
236Robert Morris96.2Horizon
237Eastern Kentucky96.0Atlantic Sun
238Niagara96.0Metro Atlantic
239North Florida95.9Atlantic Sun
240Southern95.8Southwestern Athletic
241Northern Colorado95.8Big Sky
242La Salle95.8Atlantic 10
243Pacific95.8West Coast
244Tulsa95.7American Athletic
245Bucknell95.7Patriot League
246Illinois St.95.7Missouri Valley
247Jacksonville St.95.6Atlantic Sun
248Mount St. Mary’s95.6Metro Atlantic
249Milwaukee95.5Horizon
250Fairfield95.5Metro Atlantic
251Boston University95.5Patriot League
252Winthrop95.4Big South
253UMKC95.4Summit
254Bellarmine95.4Atlantic Sun
255Texas Southern95.3Southwestern Athletic
256Northwestern St.95.2Southland
257Austin Peay95.0Atlantic Sun
258Northeastern95.0Colonial Athletic
259Southern Indiana94.9Ohio Valley
260Morgan St.94.9Mideastern Athletic
261Southeast Missouri St.94.7Ohio Valley
262Louisville94.7Atlantic Coast
263UT Arlington94.6Western Athletic
264Campbell94.5Big South
265South Dakota94.5Summit
266Cal Poly94.4Big West
267Canisius94.2Metro Atlantic
268North Carolina A&T94.2Colonial Athletic
269North Dakota St.94.1Summit
270North Alabama94.0Atlantic Sun
271Oakland93.9Horizon
272Prairie View A&M93.9Southwestern Athletic
273Illinois Chicago93.9Missouri Valley
274Lafayette93.9Patriot League
275Denver93.9Summit
276Idaho St.93.9Big Sky
277Morehead St.93.9Ohio Valley
278Florida Int’l93.7Conference USA
279Central Michigan93.7Mid-American
280UT-Martin93.7Ohio Valley
281Western Carolina93.7Southern
282The Citadel93.7Southern
283Saint Peter’s93.6Metro Atlantic
284Bowling Green93.6Mid-American
285Wagner93.5Northeast
286Cal St. Bakersfield93.5Big West
287Western Illinois93.4Summit
288Northern Arizona93.3Big Sky
289Maryland Eastern Shore93.3Mideastern Athletic
290Tennessee St.93.3Ohio Valley
291UC San Diego93.3Big West
292Southeastern Louisiana93.3Southland
293New Hampshire93.2America East
294Howard93.1Mideastern Athletic
295Alcorn St.93.1Southwestern Athletic
296Valparaiso93.0Missouri Valley
297Maine93.0America East
298William & Mary92.9Colonial Athletic
299Army92.9Patriot League
300Texas A&M Commerce92.9Southland
301Idaho92.5Big Sky
302Miami (O)92.5Mid-American
303Western Michigan92.5Mid-American
304Arkansas St.92.4Sun Belt
305Louisiana Monroe92.3Sun Belt
306Northern Illinois92.2Mid-American
307Cal St. Northridge92.2Big West
308USC Upstate92.1Big South
309Eastern Michigan92.0Mid-American
310Charleston Southern91.9Big South
311Dartmouth91.9Ivy League
312Coppin St.91.8Mideastern Athletic
313Omaha91.8Summit
314Chicago St.91.8Independents
315Stony Brook91.7Colonial Athletic
316Jackson St.91.6Southwestern Athletic
317UT Rio Grande Valley91.5Western Athletic
318Sacred Heart91.3Northeast
319Presbyterian91.3Big South
320Loyola (MD)91.1Patriot League
321Marist91.0Metro Atlantic
322Lehigh90.7Patriot League
323Stonehill90.7Northeast
324UTSA90.6Conference USA
325VMI90.5Southern
326NJIT90.4America East
327Fairleigh Dickinson90.4Northeast
328Evansville90.3Missouri Valley
329North Dakota90.3Summit
330Alabama A&M90.1Southwestern Athletic
331Little Rock90.0Ohio Valley
332Binghamton89.9America East
333St. Francis PA89.9Northeast
334Tennessee Tech89.9Ohio Valley
335Manhattan89.8Metro Atlantic
336Central Connecticut89.8Northeast
337Albany89.5America East
338Columbia89.5Ivy League
339McNeese St.89.3Southland
340Elon89.2Colonial Athletic
341Merrimack89.1Northeast
342St. Francis NY89.1Northeast
343Central Arkansas89.1Atlantic Sun
344Eastern Illinois89.0Ohio Valley
345Lindenwood88.9Ohio Valley
346Hampton88.7Colonial Athletic
347Alabama St.88.2Southwestern Athletic
348Holy Cross87.6Patriot League
349South Carolina St.87.6Mideastern Athletic
350Arkansas Pine Bluff87.1Southwestern Athletic
351Incarnate Word87.1Southland
352Bethune Cookman87.1Southwestern Athletic
353New Orleans86.7Southland
354Monmouth86.6Colonial Athletic
355Houston Christian86.0Southland
356Florida A&M85.1Southwestern Athletic
357Green Bay84.4Horizon
358Delaware St.84.0Mideastern Athletic
359Long Island83.4Northeast
360Mississippi Valley St.83.3Southwestern Athletic
361Lamar83.1Southland
362Hartford82.7Independents
363IUPUI81.9Horizon

Alphabetical

#TeamPiRateConference
181Abilene Christian99.3Western Athletic
175Air Force99.5Mountain West
126Akron102.4Mid-American
8Alabama117.2Southeastern
330Alabama A&M90.1Southwestern Athletic
347Alabama St.88.2Southwestern Athletic
337Albany89.5America East
295Alcorn St.93.1Southwestern Athletic
201American98.2Patriot League
206Appalachian St.97.9Sun Belt
5Arizona118.2Pac-12
52Arizona St.109.6Pac-12
10Arkansas116.5Southeastern
350Arkansas Pine Bluff87.1Southwestern Athletic
304Arkansas St.92.4Sun Belt
299Army92.9Patriot League
21Auburn113.9Southeastern
257Austin Peay95.0Atlantic Sun
162Ball St.100.3Mid-American
19Baylor114.4Big 12
254Bellarmine95.4Atlantic Sun
144Belmont101.5Missouri Valley
352Bethune Cookman87.1Southwestern Athletic
332Binghamton89.9America East
62Boise St.108.9Mountain West
168Boston College99.8Atlantic Coast
251Boston University95.5Patriot League
284Bowling Green93.6Mid-American
80Bradley107.0Missouri Valley
204Brown98.2Ivy League
169Bryant99.8America East
245Bucknell95.7Patriot League
193Buffalo98.7Mid-American
75Butler107.5Big East
82BYU106.9West Coast
179Cal Baptist99.4Western Athletic
266Cal Poly94.4Big West
286Cal St. Bakersfield93.5Big West
225Cal St. Fullerton97.0Big West
307Cal St. Northridge92.2Big West
224California97.1Pac-12
264Campbell94.5Big South
267Canisius94.2Metro Atlantic
343Central Arkansas89.1Atlantic Sun
336Central Connecticut89.8Northeast
58Central Florida109.1American Athletic
279Central Michigan93.7Mid-American
88Charleston106.0Colonial Athletic
310Charleston Southern91.9Big South
101Charlotte104.2Conference USA
116Chattanooga103.1Southern
314Chicago St.91.8Independents
69Cincinnati108.0American Athletic
63Clemson108.8Atlantic Coast
210Cleveland St.97.8Horizon
226Coastal Carolina96.9Sun Belt
113Colgate103.4Patriot League
59Colorado109.0Pac-12
104Colorado St.104.0Mountain West
338Columbia89.5Ivy League
2Connecticut120.2Big East
312Coppin St.91.8Mideastern Athletic
131Cornell102.3Ivy League
22Creighton113.5Big East
311Dartmouth91.9Ivy League
140Davidson101.6Atlantic 10
54Dayton109.5Atlantic 10
222Delaware97.2Colonial Athletic
358Delaware St.84.0Mideastern Athletic
275Denver93.9Summit
137DePaul101.7Big East
221Detroit Mercy97.2Horizon
96Drake104.9Missouri Valley
186Drexel98.9Colonial Athletic
13Duke114.6Atlantic Coast
124Duquesne102.6Atlantic 10
183East Carolina99.1American Athletic
235East Tennessee St.96.3Southern
344Eastern Illinois89.0Ohio Valley
237Eastern Kentucky96.0Atlantic Sun
309Eastern Michigan92.0Mid-American
173Eastern Washington99.6Big Sky
340Elon89.2Colonial Athletic
328Evansville90.3Missouri Valley
250Fairfield95.5Metro Atlantic
327Fairleigh Dickinson90.4Northeast
37Florida111.4Southeastern
356Florida A&M85.1Southwestern Athletic
43Florida Atlantic110.6Conference USA
122Florida Gulf Coast102.7Atlantic Sun
278Florida Int’l93.7Conference USA
147Florida St.101.3Atlantic Coast
187Fordham98.9Atlantic 10
142Fresno St.101.5Mountain West
115Furman103.2Southern
158Gardner Webb100.7Big South
105George Mason103.9Atlantic 10
203George Washington98.2Atlantic 10
192Georgetown98.7Big East
102Georgia104.1Southeastern
223Georgia Southern97.1Sun Belt
229Georgia St.96.7Sun Belt
118Georgia Tech103.0Atlantic Coast
9Gonzaga117.2West Coast
230Grambling96.7Southwestern Athletic
103Grand Canyon104.0Western Athletic
357Green Bay84.4Horizon
346Hampton88.7Colonial Athletic
362Hartford82.7Independents
184Harvard99.1Ivy League
129Hawaii102.3Big West
227High Point96.8Big South
133Hofstra101.8Colonial Athletic
348Holy Cross87.6Patriot League
1Houston121.0American Athletic
355Houston Christian86.0Southland
294Howard93.1Mideastern Athletic
301Idaho92.5Big Sky
276Idaho St.93.9Big Sky
27Illinois112.9Big Ten
273Illinois Chicago93.9Missouri Valley
246Illinois St.95.7Missouri Valley
351Incarnate Word87.1Southland
14Indiana114.5Big Ten
111Indiana St.103.6Missouri Valley
64Iona108.8Metro Atlantic
35Iowa111.6Big Ten
33Iowa St.111.7Big 12
363IUPUI81.9Horizon
316Jackson St.91.6Southwestern Athletic
170Jacksonville99.7Atlantic Sun
247Jacksonville St.95.6Atlantic Sun
60James Madison109.0Sun Belt
6Kansas117.4Big 12
42Kansas St.110.6Big 12
207Kennesaw St.97.9Atlantic Sun
65Kent St.108.4Mid-American
16Kentucky114.5Southeastern
242La Salle95.8Atlantic 10
274Lafayette93.9Patriot League
361Lamar83.1Southland
322Lehigh90.7Patriot League
90Liberty105.9Atlantic Sun
345Lindenwood88.9Ohio Valley
209Lipscomb97.8Atlantic Sun
331Little Rock90.0Ohio Valley
185Long Beach St.99.0Big West
359Long Island83.4Northeast
125Longwood102.4Big South
143Louisiana101.5Sun Belt
305Louisiana Monroe92.3Sun Belt
136Louisiana Tech101.7Conference USA
262Louisville94.7Atlantic Coast
166Loyola (Chi.)100.0Atlantic 10
320Loyola (MD)91.1Patriot League
107Loyola Marymount103.8West Coast
78LSU107.2Southeastern
297Maine93.0America East
335Manhattan89.8Metro Atlantic
321Marist91.0Metro Atlantic
25Marquette113.2Big East
81Marshall107.0Sun Belt
34Maryland111.6Big Ten
289Maryland Eastern Shore93.3Mideastern Athletic
146Massachusetts101.4Atlantic 10
339McNeese St.89.3Southland
31Memphis111.9American Athletic
199Mercer98.3Southern
341Merrimack89.1Northeast
38Miami (Fla)111.4Atlantic Coast
302Miami (O)92.5Mid-American
50Michigan109.9Big Ten
46Michigan St.110.3Big Ten
128Middle Tennessee102.4Conference USA
249Milwaukee95.5Horizon
194Minnesota98.7Big Ten
68Mississippi108.1Southeastern
47Mississippi St.110.3Southeastern
360Mississippi Valley St.83.3Southwestern Athletic
36Missouri111.5Southeastern
119Missouri St.103.0Missouri Valley
354Monmouth86.6Colonial Athletic
189Montana98.8Big Sky
156Montana St.100.9Big Sky
277Morehead St.93.9Ohio Valley
260Morgan St.94.9Mideastern Athletic
248Mount St. Mary’s95.6Metro Atlantic
167Murray St.99.8Missouri Valley
182Navy99.2Patriot League
84Nebraska106.7Big Ten
86Nevada106.5Mountain West
293New Hampshire93.2America East
53New Mexico109.5Mountain West
130New Mexico St.102.3Western Athletic
353New Orleans86.7Southland
238Niagara96.0Metro Atlantic
216Nicholls St.97.6Southland
326NJIT90.4America East
197Norfolk St.98.4Mideastern Athletic
270North Alabama94.0Atlantic Sun
20North Carolina113.9Atlantic Coast
268North Carolina A&T94.2Colonial Athletic
200North Carolina Central98.3Mideastern Athletic
55North Carolina St.109.4Atlantic Coast
329North Dakota90.3Summit
269North Dakota St.94.1Summit
239North Florida95.9Atlantic Sun
71North Texas107.6Conference USA
258Northeastern95.0Colonial Athletic
288Northern Arizona93.3Big Sky
241Northern Colorado95.8Big Sky
306Northern Illinois92.2Mid-American
172Northern Iowa99.6Missouri Valley
218Northern Kentucky97.6Horizon
61Northwestern108.9Big Ten
256Northwestern St.95.2Southland
109Notre Dame103.7Atlantic Coast
271Oakland93.9Horizon
149Ohio101.0Mid-American
12Ohio St.115.6Big Ten
40Oklahoma111.3Big 12
30Oklahoma St.112.3Big 12
165Old Dominion100.0Sun Belt
313Omaha91.8Summit
87Oral Roberts106.5Summit
51Oregon109.8Pac-12
217Oregon St.97.6Pac-12
243Pacific95.8West Coast
160Penn100.3Ivy League
49Penn St.110.1Big Ten
157Pepperdine100.8West Coast
77Pittsburgh107.3Atlantic Coast
153Portland101.0West Coast
231Portland St.96.7Big Sky
272Prairie View A&M93.9Southwestern Athletic
319Presbyterian91.3Big South
123Princeton102.6Ivy League
44Providence110.6Big East
11Purdue116.4Big Ten
132Purdue Fort Wayne101.9Horizon
195Queens98.6Atlantic Sun
177Quinnipiac99.4Metro Atlantic
191Radford98.8Big South
208Rhode Island97.9Atlantic 10
171Rice99.7Conference USA
97Richmond104.6Atlantic 10
213Rider97.6Metro Atlantic
236Robert Morris96.2Horizon
18Rutgers114.4Big Ten
228Sacramento St.96.8Big Sky
318Sacred Heart91.3Northeast
214Saint Joseph’s97.6Atlantic 10
83Saint Louis106.8Atlantic 10
23Saint Mary’s113.4West Coast
283Saint Peter’s93.6Metro Atlantic
73Sam Houston St.107.6Western Athletic
163Samford100.2Southern
164San Diego100.1West Coast
26San Diego St.113.2Mountain West
100San Francisco104.2West Coast
150San Jose St.101.0Mountain West
93Santa Clara105.0West Coast
148Seattle101.1Western Athletic
57Seton Hall109.2Big East
178Siena99.4Metro Atlantic
198SIU Edwardsville98.3Ohio Valley
141SMU101.6American Athletic
174South Alabama99.5Sun Belt
212South Carolina97.7Southeastern
349South Carolina St.87.6Mideastern Athletic
265South Dakota94.5Summit
188South Dakota St.98.8Summit
161South Florida100.3American Athletic
261Southeast Missouri St.94.7Ohio Valley
292Southeastern Louisiana93.3Southland
240Southern95.8Southwestern Athletic
106Southern Illinois103.8Missouri Valley
259Southern Indiana94.9Ohio Valley
121Southern Miss102.8Sun Belt
145Southern Utah101.5Western Athletic
151St. Bonaventure101.0Atlantic 10
342St. Francis NY89.1Northeast
333St. Francis PA89.9Northeast
67St. John’s108.2Big East
211St. Thomas97.8Summit
70Stanford107.8Pac-12
159Stephen F. Austin100.5Western Athletic
233Stetson96.6Atlantic Sun
323Stonehill90.7Northeast
315Stony Brook91.7Colonial Athletic
89Syracuse105.9Atlantic Coast
180Tarleton St.99.3Western Athletic
29TCU112.5Big 12
120Temple102.9American Athletic
3Tennessee120.2Southeastern
290Tennessee St.93.3Ohio Valley
334Tennessee Tech89.9Ohio Valley
7Texas117.4Big 12
72Texas A&M107.6Southeastern
220Texas A&M CC97.3Southland
300Texas A&M Commerce92.9Southland
255Texas Southern95.3Southwestern Athletic
232Texas St.96.7Sun Belt
28Texas Tech112.9Big 12
282The Citadel93.7Southern
94Toledo105.0Mid-American
139Towson101.6Colonial Athletic
135Troy101.8Sun Belt
92Tulane105.1American Athletic
244Tulsa95.7American Athletic
45UAB110.5Conference USA
190UC Davis98.8Big West
95UC Irvine105.0Big West
155UC Riverside100.9Big West
291UC San Diego93.3Big West
110UC Santa Barbara103.7Big West
4UCLA119.3Pac-12
117UMass Lowell103.1America East
234UMBC96.4America East
253UMKC95.4Summit
205UNC Asheville98.0Big South
138UNC Greensboro101.7Southern
114UNC Wilmington103.3Colonial Athletic
79UNLV107.1Mountain West
66USC108.2Pac-12
308USC Upstate92.1Big South
263UT Arlington94.6Western Athletic
317UT Rio Grande Valley91.5Western Athletic
280UT-Martin93.7Ohio Valley
41Utah111.0Pac-12
32Utah St.111.8Mountain West
196Utah Tech98.5Western Athletic
98Utah Valley104.5Western Athletic
202UTEP98.2Conference USA
324UTSA90.6Conference USA
296Valparaiso93.0Missouri Valley
91Vanderbilt105.1Southeastern
99VCU104.2Atlantic 10
152Vermont101.0America East
56Villanova109.3Big East
15Virginia114.5Atlantic Coast
39Virginia Tech111.4Atlantic Coast
325VMI90.5Southern
285Wagner93.5Northeast
85Wake Forest106.5Atlantic Coast
112Washington103.5Pac-12
74Washington St.107.5Pac-12
215Weber St.97.6Big Sky
24West Virginia113.4Big 12
281Western Carolina93.7Southern
287Western Illinois93.4Summit
154Western Kentucky100.9Conference USA
303Western Michigan92.5Mid-American
108Wichita St.103.7American Athletic
298William & Mary92.9Colonial Athletic
252Winthrop95.4Big South
48Wisconsin110.1Big Ten
176Wofford99.4Southern
219Wright St.97.5Horizon
127Wyoming102.4Mountain West
17Xavier114.5Big East
76Yale107.3Ivy League
134Youngstown St.101.8Horizon

By Conference

America East
TeamRating
UMass Lowell103.1
Vermont101.0
Bryant99.8
UMBC96.4
New Hampshire93.2
Maine93.0
NJIT90.4
Binghamton89.9
Albany89.5
American Athletic
TeamRating
Houston121.0
Memphis111.9
Central Florida109.1
Cincinnati108.0
Tulane105.1
Wichita St.103.7
Temple102.9
SMU101.6
South Florida100.3
East Carolina99.1
Tulsa95.7
Atlantic 10
TeamRating
Dayton109.5
Saint Louis106.8
Richmond104.6
VCU104.2
George Mason103.9
Duquesne102.6
Davidson101.6
Massachusetts101.4
St. Bonaventure101.0
Loyola (Chi.)100.0
Fordham98.9
George Washington98.2
Rhode Island97.9
Saint Joseph’s97.6
La Salle95.8
Atlantic Coast
TeamRating
Duke114.6
Virginia114.5
North Carolina113.9
Miami (Fla)111.4
Virginia Tech111.4
North Carolina St.109.4
Clemson108.8
Pittsburgh107.3
Wake Forest106.5
Syracuse105.9
Notre Dame103.7
Georgia Tech103.0
Florida St.101.3
Boston College99.8
Louisville94.7
Atlantic Sun
TeamRating
Liberty105.9
Florida Gulf Coast102.7
Jacksonville99.7
Queens98.6
Kennesaw St.97.9
Lipscomb97.8
Stetson96.6
Eastern Kentucky96.0
North Florida95.9
Jacksonville St.95.6
Bellarmine95.4
Austin Peay95.0
North Alabama94.0
Central Arkansas89.1
Big 12
TeamRating
Kansas117.4
Texas117.4
Baylor114.4
West Virginia113.4
Texas Tech112.9
TCU112.5
Oklahoma St.112.3
Iowa St.111.7
Oklahoma111.3
Kansas St.110.6
Big East
TeamRating
Connecticut120.2
Xavier114.5
Creighton113.5
Marquette113.2
Providence110.6
Villanova109.3
Seton Hall109.2
St. John’s108.2
Butler107.5
DePaul101.7
Georgetown98.7
Big Sky
TeamRating
Montana St.100.9
Eastern Washington99.6
Montana98.8
Weber St.97.6
Sacramento St.96.8
Portland St.96.7
Northern Colorado95.8
Idaho St.93.9
Northern Arizona93.3
Idaho92.5
Big South
TeamRating
Longwood102.4
Gardner Webb100.7
Radford98.8
UNC Asheville98.0
High Point96.8
Winthrop95.4
Campbell94.5
USC Upstate92.1
Charleston Southern91.9
Presbyterian91.3
Big Ten
TeamRating
Purdue116.4
Ohio St.115.6
Indiana114.5
Rutgers114.4
Illinois112.9
Maryland111.6
Iowa111.6
Michigan St.110.3
Wisconsin110.1
Penn St.110.1
Michigan109.9
Northwestern108.9
Nebraska106.7
Minnesota98.7
Big West
TeamRating
UC Irvine105.0
UC Santa Barbara103.7
Hawaii102.3
UC Riverside100.9
Long Beach St.99.0
UC Davis98.8
Cal St. Fullerton97.0
Cal Poly94.4
Cal St. Bakersfield93.5
UC San Diego93.3
Cal St. Northridge92.2
Colonial Athletic
TeamRating
Charleston106.0
UNC Wilmington103.3
Hofstra101.8
Towson101.6
Drexel98.9
Delaware97.2
Northeastern95.0
North Carolina A&T94.2
William & Mary92.9
Stony Brook91.7
Elon89.2
Hampton88.7
Monmouth86.6
Conference USA
TeamRating
Florida Atlantic110.6
UAB110.5
North Texas107.6
Charlotte104.2
Middle Tennessee102.4
Louisiana Tech101.7
Western Kentucky100.9
Rice99.7
UTEP98.2
Florida Int’l93.7
UTSA90.6
Horizon
TeamRating
Purdue Fort Wayne101.9
Youngstown St.101.8
Cleveland St.97.8
Northern Kentucky97.6
Wright St.97.5
Detroit Mercy97.2
Robert Morris96.2
Milwaukee95.5
Oakland93.9
Green Bay84.4
IUPUI81.9
Independents
TeamRating
Chicago St.91.8
Hartford82.7
Ivy League
TeamRating
Yale107.3
Princeton102.6
Cornell102.3
Penn100.3
Harvard99.1
Brown98.2
Dartmouth91.9
Columbia89.5
Metro Atlantic
TeamRating
Iona108.8
Quinnipiac99.4
Siena99.4
Rider97.6
Niagara96.0
Mount St. Mary’s95.6
Fairfield95.5
Canisius94.2
Saint Peter’s93.6
Marist91.0
Manhattan89.8
Mid-American
TeamRating
Kent St.108.4
Toledo105.0
Akron102.4
Ohio101.0
Ball St.100.3
Buffalo98.7
Central Michigan93.7
Bowling Green93.6
Miami (O)92.5
Western Michigan92.5
Northern Illinois92.2
Eastern Michigan92.0
Mideastern Athletic
TeamRating
Norfolk St.98.4
North Carolina Central98.3
Morgan St.94.9
Maryland Eastern Shore93.3
Howard93.1
Coppin St.91.8
South Carolina St.87.6
Delaware St.84.0
Missouri Valley
TeamRating
Bradley107.0
Drake104.9
Southern Illinois103.8
Indiana St.103.6
Missouri St.103.0
Belmont101.5
Murray St.99.8
Northern Iowa99.6
Illinois St.95.7
Illinois Chicago93.9
Valparaiso93.0
Evansville90.3
Mountain West
TeamRating
San Diego St.113.2
Utah St.111.8
New Mexico109.5
Boise St.108.9
UNLV107.1
Nevada106.5
Colorado St.104.0
Wyoming102.4
Fresno St.101.5
San Jose St.101.0
Air Force99.5
Northeast
TeamRating
Wagner93.5
Sacred Heart91.3
Stonehill90.7
Fairleigh Dickinson90.4
St. Francis PA89.9
Central Connecticut89.8
Merrimack89.1
St. Francis NY89.1
Long Island83.4
Ohio Valley
TeamRating
SIU Edwardsville98.3
Southern Indiana94.9
Southeast Missouri St.94.7
Morehead St.93.9
UT-Martin93.7
Tennessee St.93.3
Little Rock90.0
Tennessee Tech89.9
Eastern Illinois89.0
Lindenwood88.9
Pac-12
TeamRating
UCLA119.3
Arizona118.2
Utah111.0
Oregon109.8
Arizona St.109.6
Colorado109.0
USC108.2
Stanford107.8
Washington St.107.5
Washington103.5
Oregon St.97.6
California97.1
Patriot League
TeamRating
Colgate103.4
Navy99.2
American98.2
Bucknell95.7
Boston University95.5
Lafayette93.9
Army92.9
Loyola (MD)91.1
Lehigh90.7
Holy Cross87.6
Southeastern
TeamRating
Tennessee120.2
Alabama117.2
Arkansas116.5
Kentucky114.5
Auburn113.9
Missouri111.5
Florida111.4
Mississippi St.110.3
Mississippi108.1
Texas A&M107.6
LSU107.2
Vanderbilt105.1
Georgia104.1
South Carolina97.7
Southern
TeamRating
Furman103.2
Chattanooga103.1
UNC Greensboro101.7
Samford100.2
Wofford99.4
Mercer98.3
East Tennessee St.96.3
Western Carolina93.7
The Citadel93.7
VMI90.5
Southland
TeamRating
Nicholls St.97.6
Texas A&M CC97.3
Northwestern St.95.2
Southeastern Louisiana93.3
Texas A&M Commerce92.9
McNeese St.89.3
Incarnate Word87.1
New Orleans86.7
Houston Christian86.0
Lamar83.1
Southwestern Athletic
TeamRating
Grambling96.7
Southern95.8
Texas Southern95.3
Prairie View A&M93.9
Alcorn St.93.1
Jackson St.91.6
Alabama A&M90.1
Alabama St.88.2
Arkansas Pine Bluff87.1
Bethune Cookman87.1
Florida A&M85.1
Mississippi Valley St.83.3
Summit
TeamRating
Oral Roberts106.5
South Dakota St.98.8
St. Thomas97.8
UMKC95.4
South Dakota94.5
North Dakota St.94.1
Denver93.9
Western Illinois93.4
Omaha91.8
North Dakota90.3
Sun Belt
TeamRating
James Madison109.0
Marshall107.0
Southern Miss102.8
Troy101.8
Louisiana101.5
Old Dominion100.0
South Alabama99.5
Appalachian St.97.9
Georgia Southern97.1
Coastal Carolina96.9
Georgia St.96.7
Texas St.96.7
Arkansas St.92.4
Louisiana Monroe92.3
West Coast
TeamRating
Gonzaga117.2
Saint Mary’s113.4
BYU106.9
Santa Clara105.0
San Francisco104.2
Loyola Marymount103.8
Portland101.0
Pepperdine100.8
San Diego100.1
Pacific95.8
Western Athletic
TeamRating
Sam Houston St.107.6
Utah Valley104.5
Grand Canyon104.0
New Mexico St.102.3
Southern Utah101.5
Seattle101.1
Stephen F. Austin100.5
Cal Baptist99.4
Tarleton St.99.3
Abilene Christian99.3
Utah Tech98.5
UT Arlington94.6
UT Rio Grande Valley91.5

Coming Later Today: Updated Bracketology

September 1, 2022

PiRate Picks–September 1-5, 2022

You know what they say about a broken clock being accurate twice a day? The PiRate Ratings happened to hit the right time on our broken clock in week one. We began the season with three totals’ plays in Week 0, and by luck, all three won. So, we start the season 3-0 against the spread, but are our picks a broken clock that happened to get lucky and be broken on the right time, or did we legitimately begin the season on a winning note?

In most years, our picks begin seasons on a somewhat mediocre beginning and then hit a hot spot in October and early November. What are we to make of a 3-0 start, where if we had begun with an imaginary bank account of $1,000 and wagered $100 on each of the three picks, we would have $1,300 in our account today? Maybe, if we were smart enough, we’d cash in our winning 30% profit and go away for the season. Not many people can make a 30% profit on an investment in one year.

Ah, but here’s the rub. In actuality a 30% profit on $0 is still $0. We could lose every pick we make the rest of the season, and we will have the same amount of real money we would have if we won every wager the rest of the year, because out real investment in this is $0. We never wager real money on these picks, and please don’t do so either.

Some of you do wager for real. We hope this site is merely an addendum to your process.

We have chosen three more selections in Week 1 of the College Football Season, and the three selections involve three different types of wagers. We are going with one side, one total, and one Money Line Parlay with a potential payoff of 141.77%.

Selection #1: Florida + 2 1/2 vs. Utah

Utah probably has three key games this year, where if the Utes go 3-0, they might be 13-0 when the College Football Playoff Committee chooses the four big teams. This is one of those three. I’d really like to see this game move to 3 1/2 points, because about 1 of every 11 college football games end with a 3-point spread. However, this one is a game where we believe the wrong team might be favored. Florida was much better than their record last year. The Gators basically mailed it in the second half of the year, and Dan Mullen was shown the door. New coach Billy Napier has restored the faith at the Swamp. While this Gator team has some vulnerable areas, maybe on the offensive side of the ball, the thought here is that the defense will be fired up and play above their heads in Napier’s first game. While the average of the three PiRate Ratings show Utah to be more than a 6-point favorite in this game, the thought here is that the Gators will be a touchdown better than their real worth, and that makes Florida a slight favorite. Getting 2 1/2 points when the underdog looks like a 55% outright winner is enough to work and make this a pick.

Selection #2: Michigan and Colorado St. UNDER 61 1/2

The question here to us is, “Can Michigan score over 50 points in this game?” The reason we ask this is that Colorado State is likely to score 10 points or less trying to break in a new offense with a new coach and without the necessary players to make it work? Michigan figures to win this game by more than 4 touchdowns, more likely 5 touchdowns. A score of 45-10 looks about right here, and that’s 6 1/2 points less than the total for this game.

Selection #3: Money Line Parlay–3 games at +141.77

Pittsburgh over West Virginia

TCU over Colorado

Houston over UTSA

The Backyard Brawl to start the season is an incredible first game rivalry. Pittsburgh lost a lot of talent off last year’s team, but the Panthers had a good bit of depth. Meanwhile, West Virginia is slowly building up their talent level, but the Mountaineers have a long way to go. In fact, this could be the year where the game with Kansas determines which team finishes last in the Big 12. Pittsburgh looks 10-13 points better to start the season.

TCU starts a new era in Fort Worth for the first time since 2000. Sonny Dykes tries to give the Horned Frogs a little more offense and brings more of a passing game, air-raid style. After surprising some people in the 2020 Covid year and guiding the Buffs to four consecutive wins to start his tenure in Boulder, Colorado has since gone 4-10. This game looks like a 10-14 point win for TCU.

Houston figures to contend along with Central Florida as Cincinnati’s top competitors in the American Athletic Conference. While UTSA is a top of the food chain team in CUSA, they are not ready to stake a claim to second best team in the Lonestar State after Texas A&M. Even playing in San Antonio, the Cougars are at least a touchdown better than the Roadrunners.

Season to Date

Beginning Bankroll (not real): $1,000

Imaginary Investment Last Week: $300

Outcome 3-0

Imaginary return $600

New Bank Account: $1,300

August 17, 2022

Big 12 Preview

This will be the final year that the Big 12 will have 10 teams. Next year, Central Florida, Houston, Cincinnati, and BYU will join the league, and for one to two years, the league will have 14 teams. Texas and Oklahoma are committed for now to remain in the Big 12 through the 2024 season. Things could change, as new league Commissioner Brett Yormark has indicated that he would be fine finding a win-win situation that would allow the Sooners and Longhorns to leave for the SEC before their scheduled July 1, 2025 date.

2022 expects to be an interesting year in the Big 12. Oklahoma welcomes a new head coach in Brent Venables, the former defensive coordinator at Clemson. There was a lot of player movement in Norman when former coach Lincoln Riley bolted for USC, but Venables has a lot of depth and talent remaining. Oklahoma is still the team to beat.

Rival Oklahoma State should see marked improvement on the defensive side, and the Cowboys must be considered the leading contender to earn the second spot in the Big 12 Championship Game.

Baylor, Texas, Iowa State, and Kansas State figure to fight it out in the next tier with TCU just behind. These seven teams should all make bowl games. The bottom three could potentially tie for last at 1-8. Texas Tech has a lot of talent but a lot of holes. West Virginia is at a crossroads. Kansas is still the least talented team in the league, but second year coach Lance Leipold has the Jayhawks trending upward.

Preseason PiRate Ratings

TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma119.3118.1119.7119.0
Oklahoma St.118.2116.3117.6117.4
Baylor114.1112.8113.3113.4
Texas111.7110.5110.0110.7
Kansas St.111.1109.7109.9110.2
Iowa St.108.6108.5108.8108.6
T C U108.8107.2107.2107.7
Texas Tech107.0105.5107.4106.6
West Virginia103.7103.5102.4103.2
Kansas99.196.895.797.2

Big 12110.1108.9109.2109.4

Preseason Big 12 Official Media Poll

Votes
#Team1st PlaceOverall
1Baylor17365
2Oklahoma12354
3Oklahoma St.9342
4Texas2289
5Kansas St.0261
6Iowa St.1180
7TCU0149
8West Virginia0147
9Texas Tech0119
10Kansas048

The PiRate Ratings are designed to look at just the next week’s schedule of games and not to use to look forward. Nevertheless, here are the predicted won-loss records for the league.

Predicted Won-Loss Records

TeamConf.Overall
Oklahoma9-013-0
Oklahoma St.8-111-2
Baylor6-38-4
Texas6-38-4
TCU5-48-4
Kansas St.4-57-5
Iowa St.4-56-6
Texas Tech2-74-8
West Virginia1-82-10
Kansas0-92-10

January 28, 2022

PiRate Ratings Bracketology

Date1/28/2022
SeedTeamTeamTeamTeamTeamTeam
1GonzagaAuburnBaylorKansas
2ArizonaPurdueUCLADuke
3HoustonVillanovaKentuckyWisconsin
4IllinoisTennesseeTexas TechMichigan St.
5LSUProvidenceOhio St.Connecticut
6MarquetteAlabamaUSCTexas
7XavierIowa St.IowaColorado St.
8Wake ForestIndianaBYUMiami (Fla.)
9Saint Mary’sLoyola (Chi.)Boise St.Florida St.
10ArkansasNorth CarolinaOregonDavidson
11CreightonMurray St.TCUOklahoma
12UABIonaSan FranciscoWyomingSan Diego St.Notre Dame
13ChattanoogaToledoVermontSouth Dakota St.
14WagnerPrincetonSeattleJacksonville St.
15Cleveland St.Appalachian St.Cal St. FullertonWeber St.
16LongwoodColgateNorfolk St.SouthernUNC-WilmingtonNew Orleans

Best Of The Rest

69Mississippi St.
70Florida
71Michigan
72West Virginia
73Seton Hall
74Texas A&M
75SMU
76Belmont

Method

I try to mimic what the Selection Committee Does each year. I weigh several factors, including the NET Rankings, Strength of Record, a few select computer ratings (not my own, since as far as I know, only one former Committee member has ever acknowledged knowledge of the PiRate Ratings), wins against Quadrant 1 opponents and Quadrant 2 opponents versus losses against Quadrant 4 opponents, results away from home, and to a lesser extent conference record, and even though they will never admit it, there is a political aspect involved. The eighth best team in the Atlantic Coast or Big Ten Conference will beat out the second best team in the Missouri Valley Conference nine out of ten times when their resumes are similar.

Every year, the selection criteria claimed to be the most important by the Committee changes a little to fit what I believe are the desired results. For instance, in one year, in order to include a team like Syracuse at 19-14 over a team like Murray State at 29-4 that lost in the OVC Tournament to Belmont, the Committee referred to the fact that Syracuse went 2-8 against Quad 1 teams on the road, while Murray State went 1-1, and thus Syracuse’s schedule was so much stronger.

Then the next year, Kansas State gets in at 19-14 over Wofford at 30-4 that lost in the SoCon Tournament Championship to UNC-Greensboro; the Committee ignores the fact that Wofford went 5-2 against Quadrant 1 opponents while Kansas State went 3-9. Now, they state that Kansas State’s overall schedule strength was number 11, while Wofford’s was number 103. Never mind that West Virginia swept Kansas State during the regular season and then knocked the Mountaineers out of the Big 12 Tournament quarterfinals, while Wofford beat WVU by eight points in Hawaii in November.

One additional factor used in today’s Bracketology was conference record to date. If a team is three games under .500 in their conference at the halfway point of their conference season, such as Seton Hall at 3-6, the rest of their resume is strong enough to be considered, but if The Hall finishes 7-11 or worse in the Big East, I don’t see them getting into the field with so many strong teams in conferences that normally receive a maximum of two teams getting into the Field.

Mid-Major Spoilers

This year, there are more Mid-Major teams in the running for at-large bids, and if a couple are upset in their conference’s tournament, they are still likely to be considered. Let’s take a look.

Atlantic 10: Davidson will most likely receive a bid if they don’t earn the league’s automatic berth. A team like Dayton, Saint Louis, or VCU is capable of winning the automatic bid, and personally, I think the Billekens are the team to beat in March in DC.

Conference USA: Andy Kennedy has done a fantastic job at UAB, but if the Blazers don’t win the CUSA Tournament at the Cowboys’ practice facility in Frisco, Texas, they have a decent shot at getting in as an at-large team. Louisiana Tech and North Texas must be considered co-favorites to win the conference tournament, especially with Frisco being almost a home game for the Mean Green from nearby Denton. Keep an eye on both Charlotte and Middle Tennessee, as the 49ers and Blue Raiders are rounding into shape.

Metro Atlantic: Rick Pitino knows how to win, even if he may cut corners at times. His Iona Gaels are definitely a Bubble team if they are 29-5 but runners up in the MAAC Tournament to Monmouth or Saint Peter’s.

Mid-American: Both Toledo and Ohio U are on the cusp of being at-large worthy. If the Rockets meet the Bobcats in the MACtion Title Game, the loser has a small chance to earn a spot.

Missouri Valley: Loyola of Chicago is a near lock to get into the Dance even if they fall short in Arch Madness. The MVC has multiple teams with enough talent and excellent coaching to win in Saint Louis. Missouri State, Drake, Northern Iowa, and Bradley are teams to watch.

Mountain West: It is likely that at least three and possibly four MWC teams will hear their names called on Selection Sunday. Colorado State and Boise State are near locks at this point, while San Diego State and Wyoming are strong candidates. Also, Utah State is recovering from a rough patch, but even at 2-5 in the league, the Aggies are talented enough to win the conference tournament if totally healthy.

Ohio Valley: Murray State might be deserving of a single-digit seed if the Racers win out from here. Even if they lose a game to Morehead State or Belmont, and they lose in the finals of their conference tournament, the Racers could still get in, just like Belmont a couple years ago.

West Coast: The WCC is used to getting Gonzaga and Saint Mary’s into the Field in the same year, but this year four teams have Tournament-worthy resumes. BYU and San Francisco also have decent shots to get into the field.

January 21, 2022

PiRate Ratings Bracketology

Date1/21/2022
SeedTeamTeamTeamTeamTeamTeam
1ArizonaGonzagaHoustonBaylor
2AuburnVillanovaKansasKentucky
3PurdueLSUIllinoisTennessee
4DukeTexas TechConnecticutXavier
5WisconsinTexasUCLAOhio St.
6Loyola (Chi.)AlabamaIowaIowa St.
7Michigan St.USCIndianaSeton Hall
8MarquetteOklahomaFloridaProvidence
9BYUSan Diego St.North CarolinaMiami (Fla.)
10Colorado St.DavidsonCreightonWake Forest
11Saint Mary’sBoise St.West VirginiaOregonFlorida St.
12Murray St.UABChattanoogaTCUSan Francisco
13IonaVermontOhioTowson
14WagnerGrand CanyonSouth Dakota St.Oakland
15LibertyTexas St.UC-IrvinePrinceton
16NavyMontana St.LongwoodNorfolk St.Texas A&M-CCTexas Southern

Last Four Byes: Wake Forest, Saint Mary’s, Boise St., West Virginia

Last Four In: Oregon, Florida St., TCU, San Francisco

First Four Out: Wyoming, Mississippi St., Texas A&M, Michigan

Next Four Out: Belmont, Arkansas, Dayton, Fresno St.

January 18, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Tuesday, January 18, 2022

HomeVisitorsSpread
Saint Peter’sCanisius7.4
West VirginiaBaylor-6.5
AkronWestern Michigan16.2
OklahomaKansas-4.0
Ohio St.IUPUI34.9
ConnecticutButler14.2
DaytonSt. Bonaventure0.8
MonmouthIona-0.9
VCUDavidson0.8
ManhattanNiagara-0.8
East CarolinaCentral Florida-4.6
Miami (Fla.)North Carolina-3.9
StetsonFlorida Gulf Coast-3.0
LibertyJacksonville8.2
Eastern KentuckyLipscomb6.9
BellarmineNorth Alabama7.0
Eastern MichiganKent St.-3.7
ToledoBall St.14.9
Miami (O)Ohio-1.2
ArkansasSouth Carolina10.1
MississippiMissouri9.1
MichiganMaryland7.7
HoustonSouth Florida24.1
EvansvilleLoyola (Chi.)-15.7
FordhamRichmond-5.3
Central ArkansasJacksonville St.-12.5
Northern IllinoisBowling Green-6.1
TexasKansas St.10.0
Florida St.Duke-4.8
NorthwesternWisconsin-0.5
Texas TechIowa St.6.3
VanderbiltTennessee-7.1
SyracuseClemson1.5
Boise St.Air Force18.2
Cal St. BakersfieldCal Poly6.7
Fresno St.Utah St.1.3

January 1, 2022

PiRate Ratings–College Basketball Spreads

Saturday, January 1, 2022

HomeVisitorsSpread
TexasWest Virginia6.6
Wichita St.Memphis-1.7
South FloridaEast Carolina-0.3
MarquetteCreighton1.6
Iowa St.Baylor-8.5
Seton HallVillanova-0.1
DePaulProvidence-0.2
North Carolina St.Florida St.-4.5
UNLVSan Diego St.-4.1
Fresno St.Air Force16.0
KansasGeorge Mason20.0
RutgersCentral Connecticut20.5
Miami (Fla.)Wake Forest-0.6
SyracuseVirginia3.8
CincinnatiTulane10.2
Saint Mary’sSan Francisco2.2
OklahomaKansas St.8.0
NevadaNew Mexico11.1
OregonUtah5.2

November 11, 2021

PiRate Picks–November 11-13, 2021

We almost made it, but a small miss is as good as a long mile. Last week, with a fourth consecutive winning week looking promising, a couple of fourth quarters went against us, and alas we suffered a tiny loss of 0.9%, or less than $5 on $500 invested in imaginary currency.

For the year, our net profit is now 4.88%, so we are still in the black, just barely. This week, we delayed by a day putting this feature online. The reason is that we did not like the overall numbers and wanted the betting public to help us out by moving the money lines just enough for our program to show the parlays to have an edge by finding the best lines. After looking at 11 different books, we still could only find three wagers to play. Four more were monitored closely and might have eventually moved to make them playable, but we like to publish this before Noon on Thursday, and the movements aren’t moving this morning (Thursday at 9:30 AM EST).

These next two weeks historically have seen monumental upsets in college football when teams that appear to be superior to the opponents they are playing have hidden depth issues. It’s not just players that don’t dress out. By this point in the schedule most college teams have 10-20 players that are playing with minor injuries and are not the same as they were four weeks ago. We look for teams that win consistently through the first week in November but tend to lose power ratings while winning, because instead of producing a statistics box that looks like a 20-point win, they produce a statistics box of 15-17 points, and then 10-14 points. We do not update our ratings by final score. We look at the statistics and make a score adjustment based on the domination or lack thereof and then update. A team that wins by 28 points and is out-gained by 50 yards where the opponent lost fumbles in the Red Zone may actually receive credit for a 14-point “effective win.” A team that wins by 11 points but ends the game at the opponent’s five yard line and chooses to take a knee may receive credit for an 18-point effective win.

You will also notice that since early in the season, we have stopped playing NFL parlays in this feature. The variance in the games is making it impossible for our method to isolate on enough games to make a favorable parlay. We think there are two reasons for this. First, even though there are lousy teams like Detroit, there are no dominant teams that can be counted on to win when they are favored by less than a touchdown. Second, now that many millions more people can legally wager, the odds no longer move by large enough amounts to create favorable odds. There are 60+ college games to find favorable numbers, and the public may not find a Mountain West Conference game worth much, while we do. There are 13-16 NFL games per week, and even Detroit, San Francisco, and Miami get heavy action. We’d like to play three underdogs this week, but the numbers are not favorable according to our program.

Here are our three selections for this week. Remember, we never wager real money on these picks. If we don’t, do you think you should?

Odds:+185
Must WinOpponent
East CarolinaMemphis

Odds:+205.47
Must WinOpponent
Kansas St.West Virginia
Air ForceColorado St.
Oklahoma St.TCU

Odds:+152.71
Must WinOpponent
LouisianaTroy
OklahomaBaylor
OregonWashington St.
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