PiRate Ratings NFL For Week 1

Week 1 PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Tampa Bay	Dallas	11.3	10.2	12.4
Buffalo	Pittsburgh	7.7	8.6	8.5
Carolina	N.Y. Jets	7.4	6.4	7.5
Houston	Jacksonville	5.0	1.5	5.6
Tennessee	Arizona	3.8	3.4	3.4
Washington	LA Chargers	2.0	2.2	1.5
Atlanta	Philadelphia	6.3	6.4	7.1
Indianapolis	Seattle	1.5	0.8	1.2
Cincinnati	Minnesota	-2.8	-2.7	-2.4
Detroit	San Francisco	-5.8	-5.9	-6.0
Kansas City	Cleveland	7.3	7.4	8.8
New England	Miami	5.3	4.2	3.6
N.Y. Giants	Denver	1.3	1.9	1.1
New Orleans	Green Bay	-0.8	-3.1	-0.1
LA Rams	Chicago	8.0	8.0	7.7
Las Vegas	Baltimore	-4.7	-3.9	-4.8

Week 1 PiRate Rating Totals

Home	Visitor	Total
Tampa Bay	Dallas	54
Buffalo	Pittsburgh	41.5
Carolina	N.Y. Jets	46
Houston	Jacksonville	49
Tennessee	Arizona	56.5
Washington	LA Chargers	43
Atlanta	Philadelphia	48.5
Indianapolis	Seattle	53.5
Cincinnati	Minnesota	46
Detroit	San Francisco	52
Kansas City	Cleveland	55
New England	Miami	40
N.Y. Giants	Denver	38.5
New Orleans	Green Bay	50.5
LA Rams	Chicago	47
Las Vegas	Baltimore	51

Week 1 PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Buffalo	107.1	107.1	107.5	107.2	24	0-0
New England	101.2	100.6	100.6	100.8	19.5	0-0
Miami	98.9	99.4	99.9	99.4	20.5	0-0
N. Y. Jets	92.4	93.5	93.3	93.1	22.5	0-0
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	105.1	104.5	105.5	105.0	25	0-0
Pittsburgh	102.4	101.5	102.0	102.0	17.5	0-0
Cleveland	102.0	102.0	100.6	101.5	25.5	0-0
Cincinnati	94.7	95.4	94.2	94.8	23.5	0-0
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Indianapolis	102.3	101.4	101.8	101.9	25.5	0-0
Tennessee	100.6	100.8	100.6	100.7	29	0-0
Houston	94.5	93.0	95.0	94.2	27	0-0
Jacksonville	92.0	94.0	91.9	92.7	22	0-0
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	106.3	106.4	106.4	106.4	29.5	0-0
LA Chargers	99.7	99.8	99.7	99.7	24.5	0-0
Denver	99.0	98.7	98.6	98.8	18	0-0
Las Vegas	97.3	97.7	97.7	97.6	26	0-0
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	99.2	100.1	97.9	99.1	28	0-0
Washington	98.6	99.1	98.2	98.6	18.5	0-0
N.Y. Giants	97.3	97.6	96.7	97.2	20.5	0-0
Philadelphia	94.8	94.7	95.5	95.0	20	0-0
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Green Bay	105.2	104.8	104.9	105.0	27	0-0
Minnesota	100.0	100.5	99.2	99.9	22.5	0-0
Chicago	99.5	100.0	99.6	99.7	19	0-0
Detroit	93.1	93.0	93.2	93.1	28	0-0
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Tampa Bay	107.5	107.3	107.3	107.4	26	0-0
New Orleans	104.4	101.7	104.8	103.6	23.5	0-0
Atlanta	98.1	98.0	99.6	98.6	28.5	0-0
Carolina	96.8	96.9	97.8	97.2	23.5	0-0
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
LA Rams	104.5	105.0	104.3	104.6	28	0-0
Seattle	103.8	103.7	103.6	103.7	28	0-0
San Francisco	101.9	102.0	102.1	102.0	24	0-0
Arizona	99.8	100.4	100.2	100.1	27.5	0-0

PiRate Ratings College Football–Sep 3-7

This Week’s Games

Favorite	Underdog	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Southern Miss.	South Alabama	7.3	6.5	9.3
Army	Middle Tenn.	5.2	6.9	4.5
Texas St.	SMU	-22.6	-21.1	-24.1
Memphis	Arkansas St.	18.0	13.9	17.7
Navy	BYU	4.9	4.5	3.3

FBS vs. FCS (PiRate Only)

FBS	FCS	PiRate
UAB	Cent. Arkansas	8.6
Marshall	E. Kentucky	21.5
North Texas	Hou. Baptist	26.9
UTEP	S F Austin	7.8

Note: Game Spreads Have Been Adjusted From Ratings Due To Covid-19 Opt-outs.

This Week’s Ratings

#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg.
1	Clemson	123.6	124.5	127.8	125.3
2	L S U	123.2	122.5	125.8	123.8
3	Alabama	121.4	122.3	123.3	122.3
4	Georgia	121.1	119.4	121.9	120.8
5	Florida	119.7	119.3	120.8	119.9
6	Auburn	118.0	116.6	117.9	117.5
7	Notre Dame	117.5	116.5	117.7	117.2
8	Oklahoma	116.9	116.9	117.1	117.0
9	Texas A&M	115.7	115.8	115.9	115.8
10	Texas	115.2	113.6	115.3	114.7
11	Oklahoma St.	113.4	112.8	113.6	113.3
12	N. Carolina	111.3	111.5	112.5	111.8
13	Kentucky	110.3	110.5	111.5	110.8
14	Iowa St.	110.9	110.2	110.7	110.6
15	Louisville	110.3	110.9	109.1	110.1
16	Virginia Tech	109.2	109.2	111.3	109.9
17	UCF	109.2	109.6	110.5	109.8
18	Tennessee	109.1	109.0	109.6	109.2
19	Memphis	110.0	108.0	109.3	109.1
20	Cincinnati	109.5	108.3	109.4	109.1
21	S. Carolina	109.3	107.0	108.7	108.3
22	Baylor	108.0	108.1	108.2	108.1
23	Ole Miss	106.7	106.1	108.4	107.1
24	Kansas St.	107.4	106.0	107.5	107.0
25	Florida St.	107.4	105.8	107.7	107.0
26	Virginia	106.6	106.1	106.3	106.4
27	T C U	105.0	102.8	105.1	104.3
28	Houston	104.7	103.2	103.2	103.7
29	Pittsburgh	102.9	104.7	103.1	103.6
30	Miss. St.	104.1	102.5	103.8	103.4
31	Appal. St.	103.0	102.1	104.4	103.2
32	Navy	104.4	102.4	102.3	103.0
33	Louisiana	102.5	101.9	102.3	102.2
34	SMU	102.1	101.5	101.5	101.7
35	BYU	101.9	100.4	101.5	101.3
36	Miami (Fla.)	100.3	103.0	100.3	101.2
37	W. Virginia	100.6	100.7	100.7	100.7
38	Duke	100.3	101.0	99.5	100.2
39	Missouri	99.1	99.2	100.3	99.5
40	Boston Coll.	99.6	99.3	99.6	99.5
41	Texas Tech	99.7	98.5	99.9	99.4
42	Wake Forest	98.4	99.6	98.1	98.7
43	Georgia Tech	98.7	98.0	97.3	98.0
44	W. Kentucky	96.0	97.1	97.0	96.7
45	Temple	96.4	97.0	95.3	96.2
46	Tulsa	97.6	95.7	95.1	96.1
47	Georgia Sou.	95.2	96.2	96.5	96.0
48	Florida Int’l.	95.4	95.2	95.8	95.5
49	Syracuse	94.3	96.6	95.1	95.4
50	Marshall	95.9	95.5	94.6	95.3
51	Tulane	94.8	95.0	94.1	94.6
52	Arkansas	94.7	95.8	92.4	94.3
53	USF	95.3	94.0	93.4	94.2
54	NC State	93.5	93.7	93.6	93.6
55	U A B	93.3	94.0	93.0	93.4
56	Vanderbilt	93.3	92.7	91.8	92.6
57	Arkansas St.	92.0	94.1	91.6	92.6
58	E. Carolina	92.1	92.6	90.9	91.9
59	Southern Miss.	91.1	91.6	91.2	91.3
60	Army	90.1	92.5	89.8	90.8
61	Kansas	89.8	90.0	88.5	89.5
62	Coastal Car.	88.3	88.9	88.7	88.6
63	Middle Tenn.	87.5	88.1	87.8	87.8
64	Troy	87.0	89.0	87.3	87.8
65	Georgia St.	87.8	87.5	87.7	87.7
66	La. Tech	86.5	88.0	87.7	87.4
67	Liberty	86.2	89.1	86.8	87.4
68	Charlotte	86.2	86.5	86.3	86.4
69	Rice	86.2	84.2	85.6	85.3
70	UL-Monroe	84.7	84.9	83.2	84.3
71	S. Alabama	82.8	84.1	80.9	82.6
72	Fla. Atlantic	81.3	83.0	81.4	81.9
73	North Texas	78.1	79.3	78.5	78.7
74	Texas St.	78.0	78.9	76.0	77.6
75	U T S A	76.6	76.3	75.9	76.3
76	U T E P	64.0	67.0	63.6	64.9

Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	AAC	Overall
UCF	109.2	109.6	110.5	109.8	0-0	0-0
Memphis	110.0	108.0	109.3	109.1	0-0	0-0
Cincinnati	109.5	108.3	109.4	109.1	0-0	0-0
Houston	104.7	103.2	103.2	103.7	0-0	0-0
Navy	104.4	102.4	102.3	103.0	0-0	0-0
SMU	102.1	101.5	101.5	101.7	0-0	0-0
Temple	96.4	97.0	95.3	96.2	0-0	0-0
Tulsa	97.6	95.7	95.1	96.1	0-0	0-0
Tulane	94.8	95.0	94.1	94.6	0-0	0-0
USF	95.3	94.0	93.4	94.2	0-0	0-0
E. Carolina	92.1	92.6	90.9	91.9	0-0	0-0
AAC Averages	101.5	100.7	100.4	100.9
Atlantic Coast Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	ACC	Overall
Clemson	123.6	124.5	127.8	125.3	0-0	0-0
Notre Dame	117.5	116.5	117.7	117.2	0-0	0-0
N. Carolina	111.3	111.5	112.5	111.8	0-0	0-0
Louisville	110.3	110.9	109.1	110.1	0-0	0-0
Virginia Tech	109.2	109.2	111.3	109.9	0-0	0-0
Florida St.	107.4	105.8	107.7	107.0	0-0	0-0
Virginia	106.6	106.1	106.3	106.4	0-0	0-0
Pittsburgh	102.9	104.7	103.1	103.6	0-0	0-0
Miami (Fla.)	100.3	103.0	100.3	101.2	0-0	0-0
Duke	100.3	101.0	99.5	100.2	0-0	0-0
Boston Coll.	99.6	99.3	99.6	99.5	0-0	0-0
Wake Forest	98.4	99.6	98.1	98.7	0-0	0-0
Georgia Tech	98.7	98.0	97.3	98.0	0-0	0-0
Syracuse	94.3	96.6	95.1	95.4	0-0	0-0
NC State	93.5	93.7	93.6	93.6	0-0	0-0
ACC Averages	104.9	105.4	105.3	105.2
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	B12	Overall
Oklahoma	116.9	116.9	117.1	117.0	0-0	0-0
Texas	115.2	113.6	115.3	114.7	0-0	0-0
Oklahoma St.	113.4	112.8	113.6	113.3	0-0	0-0
Iowa St.	110.9	110.2	110.7	110.6	0-0	0-0
Baylor	108.0	108.1	108.2	108.1	0-0	0-0
Kansas St.	107.4	106.0	107.5	107.0	0-0	0-0
T C U	105.0	102.8	105.1	104.3	0-0	0-0
W. Virginia	100.6	100.7	100.7	100.7	0-0	0-0
Texas Tech	99.7	98.5	99.9	99.4	0-0	0-0
Kansas	89.8	90.0	88.5	89.5	0-0	0-0
Big 12 Averages	106.7	106.0	106.7	106.5
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	CUSA	Overall
W. Kentucky	96.0	97.1	97.0	96.7	0-0	0-0
Florida Int’l.	95.4	95.2	95.8	95.5	0-0	0-0
Marshall	95.9	95.5	94.6	95.3	0-0	0-0
U A B	93.3	94.0	93.0	93.4	0-0	0-0
Southern Miss.	91.1	91.6	91.2	91.3	0-0	0-0
Middle Tenn.	87.5	88.1	87.8	87.8	0-0	0-0
La. Tech	86.5	88.0	87.7	87.4	0-0	0-0
Charlotte	86.2	86.5	86.3	86.4	0-0	0-0
Rice	86.2	84.2	85.6	85.3	0-0	0-0
Fla. Atlantic	81.3	83.0	81.4	81.9	0-0	0-0
North Texas	78.1	79.3	78.5	78.7	0-0	0-0
U T S A	76.6	76.3	75.9	76.3	0-0	0-0
U T E P	64.0	67.0	63.6	64.9	0-0	0-0
CUSA Averages	86.0	86.6	86.0	86.2
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
BYU	101.9	100.4	101.5	101.3	x	0-0
Army	90.1	92.5	89.8	90.8	x	0-0
Liberty	86.2	89.1	86.8	87.4	x	0-0
Ind. Averages	92.7	94.0	92.7	93.2
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SEC	Overall
Georgia	121.1	119.4	121.9	120.8	0-0	0-0
Florida	119.7	119.3	120.8	119.9	0-0	0-0
Kentucky	110.3	110.5	111.5	110.8	0-0	0-0
Tennessee	109.1	109.0	109.6	109.2	0-0	0-0
S. Carolina	109.3	107.0	108.7	108.3	0-0	0-0
Missouri	99.1	99.2	100.3	99.5	0-0	0-0
Vanderbilt	93.3	92.7	91.8	92.6	0-0	0-0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SEC	Overall
L S U	123.2	122.5	125.8	123.8	0-0	0-0
Alabama	121.4	122.3	123.3	122.3	0-0	0-0
Auburn	118.0	116.6	117.9	117.5	0-0	0-0
Texas A&M	115.7	115.8	115.9	115.8	0-0	0-0
Miss. St.	106.7	106.1	108.4	107.1	0-0	0-0
Ole Miss	104.1	102.5	103.8	103.4	0-0	0-0
Arkansas	94.7	95.8	92.4	94.3	0-0	0-0
SEC Averages	110.4	109.9	110.9	110.4
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SBC	Overall
Appal. St.	103.0	102.1	104.4	103.2	0-0	0-0
Georgia Sou.	95.2	96.2	96.5	96.0	0-0	0-0
Coastal Car.	88.3	88.9	88.7	88.6	0-0	0-0
Troy	87.0	89.0	87.3	87.8	0-0	0-0
Georgia St.	87.8	87.5	87.7	87.7	0-0	0-0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SBC	Overall
Louisiana	102.5	101.9	102.3	102.2	0-0	0-0
Arkansas St.	92.0	94.1	91.6	92.6	0-0	0-0
UL-Monroe	84.7	84.9	83.2	84.3	0-0	0-0
S. Alabama	82.8	84.1	80.9	82.6	0-0	0-0
Texas St.	78.0	78.9	76.0	77.6	0-0	0-0
SBC Averages	90.1	90.7	89.9	90.2

This Week’s Free College Pick–And You Get What You Pay For!

We are toning down the selections against the spread this year due to the lack of games each week and the uncertainty of available personnel.  We will issue a minimum of selections and highly urge you to not use this non-advice.  All wagers will be done at the pretend amount of $100 units.

 

1. Money Line Parlay (+103)

        Southern Miss over South Alabama

        Navy over BYU

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast For Week 1: September 6-10, 2018

PiRate Ratings NFL Ratings for Week 1

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals
New England	105.4	106.2	105.4	105.7	20
Miami	97.4	96.4	97.4	97.0	21.5
N. Y. Jets	96.8	96.8	97.2	96.9	22.5
Buffalo	95.4	95.3	95.2	95.3	18.5
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals
Pittsburgh	106.0	106.2	105.6	105.9	22
Baltimore	99.6	100.4	99.9	100.0	23
Cincinnati	97.5	97.6	97.3	97.5	20
Cleveland	94.4	94.1	94.6	94.4	22
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals
Jacksonville	103.1	102.9	103.3	103.1	21.5
Houston	99.1	99.1	98.8	99.0	24.5
Tennessee	97.3	97.6	97.1	97.3	21.5
Indianapolis	94.7	92.9	94.4	94.0	22
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals
Kansas City	102.7	102.7	102.8	102.7	23.5
LA Chargers	101.9	103.0	102.2	102.4	20
Denver	98.5	98.1	97.7	98.1	21
Oakland	95.9	96.4	96.2	96.2	21
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals
Philadelphia	102.5	103.1	101.9	102.5	23.5
Dallas	99.7	99.8	99.5	99.7	21
Washington	98.5	97.6	98.6	98.2	22
N.Y. Giants	97.2	97.1	97.2	97.2	19.5
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals
Minnesota	104.5	104.5	104.4	104.5	19.5
Detroit	101.1	100.9	101.0	101.0	24.5
Green Bay	100.6	102.1	100.3	101.0	22.5
Chicago	98.8	98.1	99.3	98.7	18.5
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals
New Orleans	107.2	107.2	107.4	107.3	23.5
Atlanta	104.4	104.3	104.8	104.5	21.5
Carolina	101.9	101.3	102.0	101.7	22
Tampa Bay	94.4	93.9	94.9	94.4	22
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals
LA Rams	104.6	105.7	105.1	105.1	25.5
Seattle	101.0	100.7	101.0	100.9	21.5
San Francisco	98.8	99.3	98.8	99.0	23.5
Arizona	99.3	98.5	98.9	98.9	20.5

Week 1 PiRate Ratings Spread & Totals

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Total
Philadelphia	Atlanta	0.6	1.4	-0.4	45
Cleveland	Pittsburgh	-9.5	-10.1	-9.0	44
Minnesota	San Francisco	9.2	8.7	9.1	43
Indianapolis	Cincinnati	-0.8	-2.8	-0.9	42
Baltimore	Buffalo	7.7	8.6	8.2	41.5
N.Y. Giants	Jacksonville	-3.9	-3.7	-4.1	41
New Orleans	Tampa Bay	15.8	16.3	15.5	45.5
New England	Houston	8.8	9.7	9.1	44.5
Miami	Tennessee	2.0	0.8	2.3	43
L.A. Chargers	Kansas City	2.3	3.3	2.4	43.5
Denver	Seattle	0.1	-0.1	-0.8	42.5
Carolina	Dallas	4.7	4.0	5.0	43
Arizona	Washington	4.3	4.3	3.8	42.5
Green Bay	Chicago	4.7	7.0	4.0	41
Detroit	N.Y. Jets	7.2	7.1	6.8	47
Oakland	L.A. Rams	-6.7	-7.3	-6.9	46.5

2018-19  Won-Loss Projections & Playoff Projections

AFC
East	W	L	T
New England	12	4	0
Miami	6	10	0
N. Y. Jets	6	10	0
Buffalo	4	12	0
North	W	L	T
Pittsburgh	12	4	0
Baltimore	8	8	0
Cincinnati	6	10	0
Cleveland	4	12	0
South	W	L	T
Jacksonville	10	6	0
Houston	9	7	0
Tennessee	8	8	0
Indianapolis	5	11	0
West	W	L	T
Los Angeles	11	5	0
Kansas City	9	7	0
Denver	7	9	0
Oakland	6	10	0
N F C
East	W	L	T
Philadelphia	10	6	0
Dallas	7	9	0
Washington	5	11	0
N.Y. Giants	4	12	0
North	W	L	T
Minnesota	12	4	0
Green Bay	10	6	0
Detroit	9	7	0
Chicago	7	9	0
South	W	L	T
New Orleans	11	5	0
Atlanta	10	6	0
Carolina	9	7	0
Tampa Bay	6	10	0
West	W	L	T
Los Angeles	12	4	0
Seattle	8	8	0
Arizona	7	9	0
San Francisco	6	10	0

This Week’s NFL Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1	Pittsburgh
2	New England
3	L.A. Chargers
4	Jacksonville
5	Kansas City
6	Houston
NFC Seeding
1	L.A. Rams
2	Minnesota
3	New Orleans
4	Philadelphia
5	Green Bay
6	Atlanta

Wildcard Round

L.A. Chargers over Houston

Jacksonville over Kansas City

Philadelphia over Green Bay

Atlanta over New Orleans

Divisional Round

Pittsburgh over Jacksonville

New England over L.A. Chargers

L.A. Rams over Atlanta

Philadelphia over Minnesota

Conference Championship

Pittsburgh over New England

L.A. Rams over Philadelphia

Super Bowl 53

Pittsburgh over L.A. Rams