The Pi-Rate Ratings

April 4, 2020

The Greatest NCAA Tournament That Never Was–Final Four Saturday

It is hard to believe that this would be the day of the National Semifinals of the Final Four in Atlanta.  Somehow, it feels like the end of the college basketball season was several months ago.  Thursday, March 12, 2020, was the day that a Big East Conference Tournament game between Creighton and St. John’s played the first half and went to the locker rooms never to be seen again, well at least not to finish the game at Madison Square Garden.

In the 23 days since, so much has happened globally that all cancelled sports seem to be just a speck of dust in the importance of every day life.  Most of us are now on house arrest for a crime that somebody else committed.  The punishment for violating this arrest could be death, to us or somebody we care about.  Basketball, and all other sports, doesn’t really seem to matter that much.

We thought about suspending this tournament, as it would be apropos.  We even thought about turning this entire site into a “how to grow a quick vegetable garden” with the most nutrient dense foods you can grow in your yard or patio.  But, we figured that if you have suddenly changed careers to small farmer, you probably already have done hours of research; the majority of you reading this site are analytical in nature.  That’s the perfect general description, and analytical people, like all of us on the PiRate ship, study and study and study before undertaking new endeavors.

Truth be told, our Captain, and his lady have been “farming” for 40 years.  The real reason this conclusion to this simulation almost didn’t happen was that the Captain was busy planting kale, collards, kohlrabi, lettuce, radishes, and several other early Spring crops in the ground while the monsoonal rains took a short hiatus.  These two games were just played early this morning, so the results are delayed being uploaded.

If this is your first time to this site, what you see here is a tabletop board game simulation of the Greatest Teams in College Basketball between 1960 and 2019.  We put them in a standard 68-team tournament just like the current March Madness.  All teams in this tournament received 3-point shooting ratings, even if they played in an era without the 3-point shot.  Outside shooting range was used to estimate the percentage of made shots and frequency taken of players from pre-1987.  For example, had we made a 1966 Kentucky Wildcats team, Louie Dampier’s 3-point shooting percentage would have been about 48%, and his frequency of 3-point shot attempts to 2-point shot attempts would have been about 40% to 60%.

What type of board game was used for this simulation?  The Captain is a wizard at code-breaking.  As early as the late 1960’s, he was buying tabletop games like Strat-o-Matic Baseball and cracking the codes and making his own teams.

In the late 1970’s, The Avalon Hill Company put out a new game called, “Statis-Pro Basketball.”  This was an NBA strategy game, and the Captain, now in college, quickly cracked the codes that rated the players. Soon, he began making college basketball teams.  It wasn’t so easy then to do this, because the Internet did not exist, and there were no periodicals that printed the statistics of the players.  He had to spend hours in a large university library looking at microfilmed old copies of multiple newspapers to get the stats he needed.  It wasn’t 100% accurate, as he had to do a lot of estimating, but it was close enough.

When the Internet brought sites like Sports-reference to peoples’ desktop computers, the Captain spend a lot of his hard-earned money on printing cartridges and created his own printed depository of statistics.  He was able to modify the ratings on all the players that played college basketball and were represented in his team cards, and the game became more accurate.

So, that’s where we are today.  There are four teams remaining,  Here are our Final Four participants.

 

East Region Champion: 1974 North Carolina State Wolf Pack

South Region Champion: 2018 Villanova Wildcats

Midwest Region Champion: 1968 UCLA Bruins

West Region Champion: 1972 UCLA Bruins

 

Note: You see two different shades of pale blue for UCLA above.  Between 1968 and 1972, the Bruins slightly darkened this blue color.

 

Here are the results of the Final Four Games:

 

Tiny Towe Towers over ‘Nova

 

1974 North Carolina St.

97

2018 Villanova

75

 

Monte Towe scored 20 points along with 8 assists and 6 steals, as the 1974 national champion Wolf Pack pulled away from the 2018 national champions in the second half.  Leading 60-56, North Carolina State scored 11 consecutive points to open a 71-56 lead.  Villanova never cut the lead to single digits, and after the Wildcats began to foul, NC State extended the lead past 20 points by connecting on 14 of their final 16 foul shots.

 

Boxscore

North Carolina St.

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Tom Burleson

C

7

13

0

0

4

6

3

6

9

1

0

4

4

3

18

Tim Stoddard

F

6

10

0

0

3

4

2

8

10

0

1

1

2

1

15

David Thompson

F

7

14

2

5

5

7

3

5

8

2

2

2

3

2

21

Mo Rivers

G

4

11

2

7

3

5

1

3

4

3

2

0

1

3

13

Monte Towe

G

5

9

3

6

7

9

0

2

2

8

6

0

2

1

20

Phil Spence

1

2

0

0

2

2

1

3

4

1

0

0

0

3

4

Mark Moeller

1

3

0

1

1

2

0

2

2

2

0

0

1

1

3

Steve Nuce

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

0

1

0

1

1

0

Greg Hawkins

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

0

0

0

3

Team

4

Totals

32

64

8

20

25

35

10

30

44

18

12

7

14

15

97

 

 

 

Villanova

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Omari Spellman

C

2

5

1

3

1

2

2

5

7

0

0

2

4

5

6

Eric Paschall

F

5

14

1

4

0

0

2

3

5

2

0

0

3

5

11

Michael Bridges

F

5

11

2

5

2

3

2

7

9

3

2

0

5

4

14

Phil Booth

G

4

11

2

7

4

5

1

4

5

3

1

0

1

4

14

Jalen Brunson

G

4

10

2

6

3

4

0

3

3

4

1

0

5

3

13

Donte DiVincenzo

4

8

2

5

2

2

0

2

2

1

1

0

2

2

12

Collin Gillespie

2

5

1

3

0

0

0

1

1

0

0

0

1

5

5

Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

1

0

0

0

0

1

0

Tim Delaney

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

0

1

0

0

2

0

Jermaine Samuels

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

Team

3

Totals

26

65

11

33

12

16

8

26

37

13

6

2

21

32

75

Player of the Game

Monte Towe

 

Score By Halves

Team

1

2

Final

N. C. State

51

46

97

Villanova

44

31

75

 

68 Bruins Kareem 72 Bruins

 

1968 UCLA

95

1972 UCLA

92

 

In a game that had more comebacks than Frank Sinatra, the 1968 UCLA Bruins took the lead late and kept it over their four year later counterpart.  The game was fast-paced and exciting with neither team enjoying a lead of more than eight points.

In the first half, the 1972 Bruins took an early 9-4 lead on baskets by Greg Lee and Larry Farmer.  The 1968 squad staged a comeback following a Lucius Allen made three-pointer, and then after a block by Kareem Abdul Jabbar on a shot attempt by Jamaal Wilkes, Mike Warren retrieved the rebound and found Mike Lynn open for a basket.  Lynn was fouled and made the foul shot to tie the game at 9-9.

The remainder of the first half was close with the lead changing hands six times.  On the last possession of the half, 1972’s Tommy Curtis sunk a three-point shot at the buzzer (the last card in the deck), as the 72’s took a 49-46 lead into the locker.

The 1968 Bruins grabbed the lead at 59-58, and then the 1972 team went on a 10-2 run to take a 68-61 lead, their biggest lead of the day.  At that point, the 1968 team, not noted for pressing like many other John Wooden-coached teams, decided to press full court, and they forced the 1972 Bruins into 6 turnovers in the next 9 possessions.  This allowed the 1968 team to make a 14-3 run to take a 75-71 lead.

The 1972 team was not done.  The 1968 team went cold at this point and missed five consecutive shots.  Bill Walton rebounded four of these missed shots, and the 1972 Bruins’ fast break produced eight points off the misses.  The 1972 team ran off 10 consecutive points to go ahead 81-75.

At this point, the 1968 team decided to sink or swim with its big star, the hero that won three national championship in three years in real life.  Jabbar took the 1968 team’s next five shots, hitting four, while the 1972 team committed three turnovers.  The 1972 Bruins enjoyed a 13-4 run to go ahead 88-85, and they held on to the lead for the remainder of the game.

 

Boxscore

1968 UCLA

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Kareem Abdul-Jabbar

C

8

15

0

0

4

7

5

14

19

1

1

5

2

3

20

Mike Lynn

F

6

13

1

2

3

4

1

8

9

2

3

0

5

2

16

Lynn Shackleford

F

4

11

1

4

2

2

0

5

5

0

2

0

4

4

11

Lucius Allen

G

6

14

2

5

3

5

1

4

5

5

4

0

3

4

17

Mike Warren

G

6

14

3

7

5

6

0

2

2

6

2

0

2

1

20

Jim Nielsen

2

5

0

0

0

0

2

4

6

1

0

1

2

3

4

Kenny Heitz

3

8

1

3

0

0

1

2

3

2

1

0

3

4

7

Team

3

Totals

35

80

8

21

17

24

10

39

52

17

13

6

21

21

95

1972 UCLA

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Bill Walton

C

7

13

0

0

3

5

4

11

15

3

2

3

4

5

17

Jamaal Wilkes

F

5

11

2

5

3

4

3

9

12

1

1

1

2

3

15

Larry Farmer

F

4

9

1

3

0

0

1

5

6

0

0

0

6

2

9

Greg Lee

G

4

14

2

8

4

5

1

4

5

2

3

0

3

2

14

Henry Bibby

G

5

12

2

6

5

6

0

3

3

4

2

0

5

3

17

Tommy Curtis

4

11

2

7

3

4

0

1

1

3

2

0

2

2

13

Larry Hollyfield

2

5

1

3

0

0

1

2

3

2

1

0

2

3

5

Swen Nater

1

2

0

0

0

0

1

2

3

0

0

1

1

2

2

Team

3

Totals

32

77

10

32

18

24

11

37

51

15

11

5

25

22

92

Player of the Game

Kareem Abdul-Jabbar

 

Score By Halves

Team

1

2

Final

1968 UCLA

46

49

95

1972 UCLA

49

43

92

 

National Championship Game Monday Night

 

1974 North Carolina State Wolf Pack vs. 1968 UCLA Bruins

 

 

March 28, 2020

The Greatest NCAA Tournament That Never Was–Elite 8 Saturday

We are down to the Elite 8, and after today’s East and South Regional Finals, there will be six teams left in the field.  We’re just 24 hours away from knowing which of these best teams of all time (1960-2019) will make the Final Four.

If you haven’t been following this simulation since its beginning, we took 68 of the best NCAA basketball teams between 1960 and 2019.  No school could have teams from consecutive seasons, or else this would have been the UCLA Invitational.

The games were simulated by actually playing the college made version of Statis-Pro Basketball, a game made by Avalon Hill and Sports Illustrated between the 1970’s and 1980’s.  Our Captain solved the codes for that game and applied them to college.

Here are the results for the East and South Region Championships.

 

EAST REGION

 

Wolf Pack Dominates On Boards/Towe Magnificent

 

1974 North Carolina St.

75

2019 Virginia

64

In it’s first three games in this tournament, Virginia had been able to limit turnovers and force the opponent into bad shots.  In the Elite 8, the Cavaliers committed just seven turnovers, but they could not prevent North Carolina State from getting open shots.  Thanks to point guard Monte Towe’s excellent passing, the Wolf Pack shooters were open more often than a normal UVa opponent.

Towe dished out 10 assists in the game, five in both halves.  Towe also contributed 22  points, hitting all eight of his foul shots in the second half when North Carolina State increased their lead from five to 11 points.

Boxscore

North Carolina St.

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Tom Burleson

C

8

13

0

0

4

6

4

6

10

0

0

3

2

2

20

Tim Stoddard

F

2

5

0

0

2

3

1

7

8

1

0

1

1

2

6

David Thompson

F

5

11

1

3

6

8

3

7

10

2

1

2

2

2

17

Mo Rivers

G

2

7

1

4

1

2

0

3

3

1

1

0

2

3

6

Monte Towe

G

5

12

4

9

8

9

0

1

1

10

2

0

3

0

22

Phil Spence

1

2

0

0

0

0

0

2

2

0

0

1

0

1

2

Greg Hawkins

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

2

3

0

0

0

1

0

0

Steve Nuce

1

2

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

0

0

0

0

2

2

Mark Moeller

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

0

0

0

0

1

0

Team

3

Totals

24

52

6

16

21

28

9

30

39

14

4

7

11

13

75

 

 

 

Virginia

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Mamadi Diakete

C

1

3

0

0

0

0

2

2

4

0

0

1

0

5

2

De’Andre Hunter

F

2

7

0

3

3

4

1

4

5

1

0

0

2

4

7

Ty Jerome

F

5

12

2

6

3

4

0

4

4

6

1

0

2

5

15

Kyle Guy

G

6

14

3

8

3

3

0

4

4

2

0

0

1

4

18

Kihei Clark

G

2

5

1

2

0

0

0

1

1

3

1

0

1

3

5

Braxton Key

5

9

1

2

1

2

1

4

5

0

1

0

1

2

12

Jack Salt

2

5

0

0

1

2

0

3

3

1

0

0

0

2

5

Jay Huff

0

2

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

Team

2

Totals

23

57

7

22

11

15

4

22

28

13

3

1

7

26

64

Player of the Game

Monte Towe

Score By Halves

Team

1

2

Final

N. C. State

34

41

75

Virginia

31

33

64

 

 

WEST REGION

 

Brunson and Bridges Bring Back The Wildcats

 

2018 Villanova

75

1970 UCLA

69

 

Trailing by six points eight minutes into the final half, Villanova’s Jalen Brunson and Michael Bridges scored a combined 19 points to bring the Wildcats back into the lead at 68-67 with less than two minutes remaining.  Foul shooting and multiple missed three point shots sent the Bruins back to Westwood.

 

Boxscore

Villanova

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Omari Spellman

C

0

2

0

1

0

0

2

4

6

0

0

1

1

5

0

Eric Paschall

F

2

5

1

3

6

6

1

5

6

0

0

2

0

2

11

Michael Bridges

F

7

12

3

5

5

5

1

7

8

0

0

0

2

1

22

Phil Booth

G

2

4

2

3

4

6

0

2

2

3

1

1

2

2

10

Jalen Brunson

G

7

17

3

5

6

8

0

1

1

6

2

0

2

3

23

Donte DiVincenzo

2

6

1

4

2

3

0

2

2

3

1

0

3

1

7

Collin Gillespie

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree

1

4

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

0

1

0

0

1

2

Team

3

Totals

21

50

10

21

23

28

4

22

29

12

5

4

10

15

75

 

 

 

UCLA

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Steve Patterson

C

5

11

0

0

2

2

2

7

9

1

0

1

2

4

12

Sidney Wicks

F

7

15

0

2

3

5

4

8

12

3

1

2

5

4

17

Curtis Rowe

F

6

12

1

3

2

3

2

8

10

1

2

0

2

4

15

John Vallely

G

4

8

2

6

3

4

0

2

2

5

1

0

3

3

13

Henry Bibby

G

4

10

2

7

2

2

1

1

2

2

1

0

2

4

12

John Ecker

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

3

0

Jon Chapman

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

0

Bill Seibert

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

3

0

Team

3

Totals

26

56

5

18

12

16

9

26

38

12

5

3

15

26

69

Player of the Game

Jalen Brunson

 

 

Score By Halves

Team

1

2

Final

Villanova

40

35

75

UCLA

41

28

69

 

Coming Tomorrow: The Midwest and West Region Finals

 

Midwest Region Championship: 1968 UCLA vs. 1968 Houston

West Region Championship: 1972 UCLA vs. 1982 North Carolina

 

March 27, 2020

The Greatest NCAA Tournament That Never Was–The Sweet 16 Friday

After last night’s games, we are down to just 12 teams left, and before tonight’s action ends, we will have the Elite 8.  Then, by the end of  the weekend, we’ll be down to the Final Four.

Tonight’s Sweet 16 action involves games in the Midwest and West Regions.

MIDWEST REGION

 

Jabbar Destroys Duke

 

1968 UCLA

83

2015 Duke

57

 

The number one seed in the Midwest Region has reached the Region Finals with relative ease.  The 1968 UCLA Bruins quickly dispatched 2015 Duke with a 19-4 run to begin the game.

UCLA took a 20-point lead at 34-14 after back to back baskets by Kenny Heitz and Mike Lynn.  Once down by 20 points, Duke never got closer than 15 points the rest of the way.

By the time the UCLA reserves entered the game for good, the Bruins led 74-42.  Duke ended the game on a 15-9 run.

 

UCLA

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Kareem Abdul-Jabbar

C

14

23

0

0

3

5

7

9

16

1

1

5

3

1

31

Mike Lynn

F

3

6

0

0

4

6

1

4

5

3

3

0

1

3

10

Lynn Shackleford

F

2

5

0

2

2

2

1

5

6

2

2

1

2

3

6

Lucius Allen

G

3

8

2

5

5

6

0

2

2

4

3

0

3

1

13

Mike Warren

G

4

7

2

4

2

2

0

3

3

3

1

0

4

2

12

Jim Nielsen

0

1

0

0

0

0

1

1

2

0

0

0

0

0

0

Kenny Heitz

2

5

1

3

1

2

0

1

1

2

2

0

1

1

6

Bill Sweek

0

1

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Neville Saner

1

3

0

0

0

0

1

1

2

0

0

1

0

2

2

Gene Sutherland

1

2

1

2

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

0

1

0

3

Team

3

Totals

30

61

6

17

17

23

11

26

40

16

12

7

15

13

83

 

 

 

Duke

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Jahlil Okafor

C

3

9

0

0

0

1

1

4

5

1

1

0

2

4

6

Justise Winslow

F

4

11

2

5

4

5

1

2

3

0

0

1

6

4

14

Quinn Cook

F

3

8

1

5

3

5

1

3

4

2

1

0

3

3

10

Matt Jones

G

5

10

3

6

0

0

0

5

5

1

2

0

4

4

13

Tyus Jones

G

4

12

1

4

3

4

0

3

3

5

2

0

3

2

12

Grayson Allen

1

2

0

0

0

0

1

1

2

0

0

0

3

1

2

Amile Jefferson

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

2

0

0

0

1

2

0

Marshall Plumlee

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

2

3

0

0

0

1

1

0

Nick Pagliuca

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Team

3

Totals

20

52

7

20

10

15

6

21

30

9

6

1

23

21

57

Player of the Game

Kareem Abdul-Jabbar

Score By Halves

Team

1

2

Final

UCLA

50

33

83

Duke

33

24

57

 

 

Cougars Survive Incredible 3 OT Game–Hayes Is Magnificent

 

1968 Houston

122

3 OT

1976 Indiana

121

Elvin Hayes played 52 out of a possible 55 minutes, leading the 1968 Cougars to an incredible triple overtime win to advance to the Elite 8 against an historic rival for a shot at the Final Four on Sunday.

Hayes scored 49 points and grabbed 18 rebounds, connecting on 21-35 from the field and 7-11 at the foul line.   Forward Theodis Lee and guard Don “Duck” Chaney combined for 47 points backing up the Big E.

Indiana appeared to have the game won in the first overtime.  A basket and made foul shot by Bobby Wilkerson, followed by a three-pointer by Tom Abernathy gave the Hoosiers a 102-95 lead with 1:08 remaining.  In the final 68 seconds, Houston forced three turnovers on the Hoosiers.  Hayes hit two baskets, and a three-pointer by George Reynolds tied the game with 12 seconds remaining.   A desperation shot by Quinn Buckner at the buzzer was off target.

In the second overtime, Indiana led 111-108 and had the ball with 12 seconds to go.  Wilkerson went to the foul line with a chance to put IU up by five and missed both foul shot attempts.  Kenny Spain rebounded the ball for Houston and found Chaney open for the tying three-pointer at the buzzer.

In the third overtime, it was Houston’s turn to take the lead and watch Indiana mount a comeback.  With a 120-113 lead, the Hoosiers sent Cougar players to the foul line.  Hayes, Lee, and Chaney combined for 2-6 in the final Houston’s final three possessions.  Indiana crept back with a three-pointer by Wayne Radford and baskets by Scott May and Kent Benson to cut the Houston lead to 122-120.  After the Cougars turned the ball over, Hayed fouled Benson as Benson tried to tie the game up.  Benson hit the first shot and missed the second.  Lee rebounded and threw the outlet pass to Chaney to end the game.

Houston now faces a familiar opponent.  In reality in 1968, the Cougars beat the Bruins at the Astrodome in the Game of the Century, but UCLA blew the Cougars off the floor in the Final Four.  Very few people since realize that Reynolds did not play for Houston in the NCAA Tournament.  He has been eligible in this tournament.

Boxscore

Houston

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Elvin Hayes

C

21

35

0

0

7

11

6

12

18

2

1

4

4

3

49

Ken Spain

F

5

11

0

0

2

4

5

10

15

1

2

3

2

5

12

Theodis Lee

F

11

24

1

5

3

6

3

7

10

3

0

1

2

4

26

Don Chaney

G

7

17

3

8

4

7

2

6

8

8

3

0

5

3

21

George Reynolds

G

4

9

2

5

4

5

0

5

5

6

2

0

4

3

14

Tom Gribben

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

4

0

Vern Lewis

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

2

1

0

1

3

0

Carlos Bell

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

0

0

0

0

1

0

Niemer Hamood

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

Team

4

Totals

48

97

6

18

20

33

16

41

61

22

9

8

18

27

122

 

 

 

Indiana

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Kent Benson

C

10

18

0

0

4

5

2

9

11

2

0

2

2

4

24

Scott May

F

10

21

3

7

6

7

1

7

8

5

2

0

4

4

29

Tom Abernathy

F

8

14

5

11

2

2

2

5

7

2

0

1

3

2

23

Bobby Wilkerson

G

4

13

1

5

4

6

1

7

8

4

1

2

5

5

13

Quinn Buckner

G

4

9

1

3

3

4

1

3

4

6

3

0

3

4

12

Wayne Radford

3

7

1

2

2

3

0

1

1

2

0

0

1

3

9

Jim Wisman

0

1

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

0

0

2

0

Rich Valavicius

2

3

2

3

0

0

1

2

3

0

1

0

0

3

6

Jim Crews

1

2

1

2

2

2

0

2

2

1

1

0

1

2

5

Mark Haymore

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

0

0

0

0

1

0

Jim Roberson

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

Team

5

Totals

42

90

14

34

23

29

8

37

50

23

8

5

19

31

121

Player of the Game

Elvin Hayes

Score By Halves

Team

1

2

OT

OT

OT

Final

Houston

45

44

13

9

11

122

Indiana

41

48

13

9

10

121

WEST REGION

 

Undermined Miners Scare Bracket’s Overall Top Seed But Fall Short

 

The 1972 UCLA Bruins began the game looking like they would advance to the Elite 8 with very  little trouble.  Leading 39-20, UCLA went cold, while Texas Western ran their fast break and scored 12 straight points to cut the lead to 39-32.  After Jamaal Wilkes hit a three-pointer, TW scored the final seven points of the half to cut the lead to three points.

Texas Western actually took the lead briefly in the second half when Orsten Artis hit a jumper to put the Miners of 59-58.  UCLA held a slim 68-66 lead when the Bruins went on a 12-2 run to take an 80-68 lead.  TW couldn’t cut the lead under 10 points until the final possession.

 

Boxscore

UCLA

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Bill Walton

C

9

17

0

0

6

10

5

11

16

5

1

3

2

4

24

Jamaal Wilkes

F

7

14

3

7

2

2

3

8

11

0

0

1

1

2

19

Larry Farmer

F

2

5

1

2

0

0

1

4

5

1

1

0

2

3

5

Greg Lee

G

1

2

0

0

0

0

0

2

2

2

0

0

3

3

2

Henry Bibby

G

8

16

3

7

4

4

0

3

3

6

2

0

5

2

23

Tommy Curtis

4

9

2

5

1

2

0

1

1

3

1

0

4

2

11

Larry Hollyfield

2

6

1

3

0

0

0

4

4

0

0

0

2

4

5

Swen Nater

2

3

0

0

1

2

2

3

5

0

0

0

0

3

5

Team

4

Totals

35

72

10

24

14

20

11

36

51

17

5

4

19

23

94

 

 

 

Texas Western

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Nevil Shed

C

1

5

0

0

0

0

1

4

5

0

0

0

0

5

2

David Lattin

F

7

15

0

0

2

3

3

11

14

1

1

0

1

1

16

Harry Flournoy

F

4

7

0

0

0

0

2

7

9

2

1

1

2

4

8

Orsten Artis

G

5

14

3

9

3

4

0

2

2

4

3

0

3

3

16

Bobby Joe Hill

G

7

17

4

10

5

7

0

1

1

3

2

0

4

2

23

Willie Cager

4

8

1

2

5

6

1

3

4

1

1

0

1

2

14

Willie Worsley

1

5

1

4

3

5

0

0

0

3

2

0

2

1

6

Team

3

Totals

29

71

9

25

18

25

7

28

38

14

10

1

13

18

85

Player of the Game

Bill Walton

 

Score By Halves

Team

1

2

Final

UCLA

42

52

94

Texas Western

39

46

85

 

 

Jordan Puts Tar Heels On His Back–Carolina Going To Elite 8

 

1982 North Carolina

83

1960 Ohio St.

72

 

The 1982 North Carolina Tar Heels needed someone to step up.  Trailing 61-52 midway in the second half, Michael Jordan took matters into his own hands connecting on 6-7 from the field after making just one of his first seven shots.  Three of those six made shots were three-pointers, and he added four foul shots.  His 19 points in the final 10 minutes brought Carolina back fro the brink.  Jordan’s three-pointer with the Buckeyes leading 68-66, gave the Tar Heels their first lead of the game.  Once Ohio State was forced to foul at the end, North Carolina hit seven of eight foul shots.  Ohio State could not connect from behind the arc in crunch time, as UNC pulled away in the last two minutes to win by 11.

 

Boxscore

North Carolina

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Sam Perkins

C

6

11

0

0

5

6

2

5

7

2

0

1

3

3

17

James Worthy

F

7

12

0

0

3

4

2

5

7

3

1

2

1

3

17

Matt Doherty

F

2

5

2

4

5

6

0

3

3

1

0

0

1

2

11

Michael Jordan

G

7

13

3

7

6

8

1

4

5

3

2

0

3

2

23

Jimmy Black

G

3

7

1

3

3

4

0

2

2

5

1

0

2

3

10

Jim Braddock

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

1

1

0

1

2

0

Chris Brust

1

1

0

0

0

0

1

2

3

0

0

0

1

2

2

Buzz Peterson

1

2

1

2

0

0

0

1

1

2

1

0

1

0

3

Warren Martin

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

0

0

1

0

1

0

Team

3

Totals

27

53

7

16

22

28

6

24

33

17

6

4

13

18

83

 

 

 

Ohio St.

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Jerry Lucas

C

9

16

1

2

5

6

3

8

11

3

0

2

2

3

24

Joe Roberts

F

3

8

0

0

1

2

1

3

4

1

0

0

3

4

7

John Havlicek

F

7

14

2

5

4

5

2

7

9

4

3

0

1

4

20

Larry Siegfried

G

4

11

2

6

3

4

0

2

2

3

1

0

3

2

13

Mel Nowell

G

2

5

1

3

1

2

1

1

2

2

1

0

3

3

6

Dick Furry

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

2

1

2

Richie Hoyt

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

0

Bob Knight

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

0

0

0

0

2

0

Team

3

Totals

26

56

6

16

14

19

7

22

32

13

5

2

15

20

72

Player of the Game

Michael Jordan

 

Coming Tomorrow: The East and South Regional Finals

East: 1974 North Carolina St. vs. 2019 Virginia

South: 1970 UCLA vs. 2018 Villanova

March 26, 2020

The Greatest NCAA Tournament That Never Was–The Sweet 16 Thursday

We are down to 16 teams in our greatest teams between 1960 and 2019. Let’s get right to the results for the Sweet 16 Games in the East and South Regions.  The Midwest and West Regions play on Friday.

 

EAST REGION

 

Wolf Pack Pull Away In Second Half

 

1974 North Carolina St.

82

1978 Kentucky

70

After a close first half, the 1974 North Carolina State Wolf Pack pulled away from the 1978 Kentucky Wildcats with a 14-5 run over four minutes that increased a two-point lead to 11.

David Thompson scored 9 of his 21 points during this run, and additionally, in this four-minute segment of the game, he forced Mike Phillips to foul him twice, and he stole the ball away from Rick Robey.

Kentucky led for most of the first half, after the Wildcats started the game connecting on seven of their first 11 shots from the field.  N.C. State turned up the defensive pressure and finished the half on a 10-3 run to take a one-point lead at the half.

After an opening seven minutes of the second half that saw the lead change hands five times, the Wolf Pack went on their run to take command of the game, and they cruised to victory.

 

Boxscore

North Carolina St.

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Tom Burleson

C

8

14

0

0

5

8

3

12

15

1

0

2

2

3

21

Tim Stoddard

F

3

7

0

0

2

2

1

6

7

0

1

1

1

4

8

David Thompson

F

8

17

2

6

3

4

4

4

8

2

1

0

3

3

21

Mo Rivers

G

4

8

2

4

1

2

0

2

2

4

2

0

3

3

11

Monte Towe

G

5

12

3

7

4

4

0

1

1

5

2

0

4

3

17

Phil Spence

2

4

0

0

0

0

2

4

6

0

0

0

1

3

4

Greg Hawkins

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

1

0

0

1

2

0

Team

3

Totals

30

62

7

17

15

20

10

30

43

13

6

3

15

21

82

Kentucky

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Rick Robey

C

7

15

0

0

2

4

1

4

5

0

0

0

4

2

16

Mike Phillips

F

3

7

0

0

1

2

2

7

9

0

0

1

1

4

7

Jack Givens

F

5

13

2

7

5

7

1

3

4

2

1

0

3

2

17

Truman Claytor

G

1

4

1

3

2

2

1

2

3

1

2

0

2

3

5

Kyle Macy

G

3

8

2

6

6

6

0

1

1

4

1

0

2

2

14

James Lee

2

5

0

0

1

2

1

3

4

0

0

0

1

2

5

Jay Shidler

2

4

2

4

0

0

0

1

1

2

0

0

1

1

6

LaVon Williams

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

2

2

1

1

0

0

2

0

Team

3

Totals

23

57

7

20

17

23

6

23

32

10

5

1

14

18

70

Player of the Game

Tom Burleson

Score By Halves

Team

1

2

Final

N.C. State

38

44

82

Kentucky

37

33

70

 

 

Cavaliers’ Defense Shuts Down Hot Shooting Hoosiers

 

2019 Virginia

67

1987 Indiana

60

 

After blistering the nets in their first two NCAA Tournament games, the 1987 Indiana Hoosiers could not solve 2019 Virginia’s Pack Line Defense and shot just 35.3% from the field and 28.6% from behind the arc.

Indiana’s poor shooting night began immediately, as the Hoosiers missed on their first six attempts from the field.  They were only down 8-2 when Rick Callaway made IU’s first basket.

By the time the Hoosiers connected on their next basket, a three-pointer by Steve Alford, they trailed 12-5.

Virginia maintained the lead for the remainder of the game, never leading by less than six points.  The Cavaliers enjoyed an eight-point halftime lead, and they extended the lead to as much as 14 points in the second half at 48-34.

Indiana mounted its only charge of the game with a 13-6 run to cut the lead to 54-47, but UVa extended the lead back to 10 on a three-pointer by Kyle Guy.

Down the stretch, Virginia hit all six of their foul shots when Indiana players sent them to the line.

 

Boxscore

Virginia

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Mamadi Diakete

C

6

11

0

0

2

3

3

4

7

1

0

3

2

2

14

De’Andre Hunter

F

3

8

1

3

0

0

1

5

6

2

0

0

1

4

7

Guy Jerome

F

4

11

1

3

2

2

0

3

3

2

1

1

2

4

11

Kyle Guy

G

5

13

2

5

3

4

0

2

2

3

1

0

1

3

15

Kihei Clark

G

2

4

1

2

5

5

0

3

3

3

2

0

0

2

10

Braxton Key

2

4

0

1

4

5

1

5

6

1

0

0

1

3

8

Jack Salt

1

2

0

0

0

0

0

4

4

0

0

2

0

2

2

Jay Huff

0

2

0

2

0

0

0

1

1

0

0

0

1

1

0

Team

2

Totals

23

55

5

16

16

19

5

27

34

12

4

6

8

21

67

 

 

 

Indiana

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Dean Garrett

C

4

9

0

0

2

4

1

7

8

1

0

2

1

3

10

Daryl Thomas

F

4

10

0

0

4

4

3

4

7

2

0

1

2

2

12

Rick Callaway

F

3

10

0

0

2

3

2

5

7

2

2

1

4

3

8

Keith Smart

G

3

10

2

7

5

5

0

6

6

1

0

0

1

3

13

Steve Alford

G

3

9

2

6

7

7

0

3

3

2

1

0

3

2

15

Steve Eyl

1

1

0

0

0

0

1

4

5

0

0

0

0

2

2

Joe Hillman

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

2

0

0

1

0

0

Kreigh Smith

0

1

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

2

0

Team

1

Totals

18

51

4

14

20

23

7

29

37

10

3

4

12

17

60

Player of the Game

Kyle Guy

 

Score By Halves

Team

1

2

Final

Virginia

31

36

67

Indiana

23

37

60

 

SOUTH REGION

 

’70 Bruins Too Strong For ’64 Bruins

 

1970 UCLA

104

1964 UCLA

93

The 1970 UCLA Bruins are beginning to look like a Final Four contender after winning their third consecutive game by double digits in Simulated March Madness.  In their three tournament wins, their average margin of victory has been 19 points per game.

Even though the 1964 team forced 24 turnovers, the 1970 doubled the 1964 team in rebounding, and blocked 10 of the smaller 1964 team’s shots.

A hot start by their top guards, Walt Hazzard and Gail Goodrich, allowed the 1964 team to keep the game close throughout the first half.  The 1970 team grabbed the lead six minutes into the game on back-to-back shots by Sidney Wicks and John Vallely.

The 1964 team tied the game at 29-29 on a steal by Keith Erickson, and a pass to Goodrich, who then passed across to Jack Hirsch for the basket.  The 1970 then took the lead for good on a basket by Curtis Rowe and then a basket and a foul shot by Henry Bibby.

 

Boxscore

1970 UCLA

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Steve Patterson

C

6

12

0

0

1

2

3

6

9

1

0

2

4

3

13

Sidney Wicks

F

8

15

0

0

6

7

6

13

19

3

1

5

3

4

22

Curtis Rowe

F

9

16

2

3

8

8

4

11

15

2

2

3

3

4

28

John Vallely

G

6

13

3

7

4

7

0

5

5

4

0

0

6

3

19

Henry Bibby

G

5

9

2

4

5

6

0

3

3

4

2

0

4

3

17

John Ecker

0

0

0

0

1

2

1

2

3

0

0

0

2

4

1

Jon Chapman

1

2

0

1

0

0

0

1

1

2

0

0

1

4

2

Bill Seibert

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

1

0

0

1

1

2

Team

4

Totals

36

68

7

15

25

32

14

42

60

17

5

10

24

26

104

 

 

 

1964 UCLA

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Fred Slaughter

C

4

10

0

0

1

3

1

3

4

2

2

0

2

5

9

Keith Erickson

F

4

13

1

5

2

3

2

4

6

3

4

0

1

4

11

Jack Hirsch

F

5

12

1

4

3

4

2

2

4

1

1

0

0

5

14

Walt Hazzard

G

8

16

4

9

5

7

1

2

3

3

2

0

2

3

25

Gail Goodrich

G

9

20

5

12

6

9

0

3

3

4

3

0

3

3

29

Kenny Washington

2

4

0

0

0

2

1

5

6

1

2

1

0

4

4

Doug McIntosh

0

1

0

0

1

1

0

1

1

1

0

0

0

2

1

Kim Stewart

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

3

0

Team

3

Totals

32

77

11

30

18

29

7

20

30

15

14

1

8

29

93

Player of the Game

Sidney Wicks

 

Score By Halves

Team

1

2

Final

1970 UCLA

54

50

104

1964 UCLA

37

56

93

 

 

Big Comeback Sends Villanova To The Elite 8

 

2018 Villanova

78

1992 Duke

72

 

The Duke Blue Devils looked invincible for 24 minutes of their Sweet 16 game against Villanova.  Duke led by as much as 16 points in the first half, before going to the dressing room up by nine at the break.

The Blue Devils increased their halftime lead from nine to 15 to start the second half, and with 16 minutes remaining, they led 48-33.  At that point, the Wildcats began to make their move.  A three-pointer by Jalen Brunson, and then a putback basket by Eric Paschall cut the lead to 48-38.

Trailing 59-50, The Wildcats then held Duke scoreless for almost four minutes, while they scored nine straight points to tie the game at 59-59.  The game remained close until the final moments, when with Villanova nursing a four-point lead, Duke fouled multiple times, while VU connected on 8 of 8 to extend the lead to 78-69.  A Bobby Hurley three-pointer on Duke’s final possession made the game look a little closer.

 

Boxscore

Villanova

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Omari Spellman

C

6

12

2

5

0

0

2

4

6

3

1

2

2

3

14

Eric Paschall

F

2

7

1

3

3

4

2

5

7

1

2

2

1

4

8

Michael Bridges

F

3

7

2

4

4

6

0

4

4

1

0

0

3

2

12

Phil Booth

G

3

7

1

2

6

6

0

2

2

3

1

0

2

2

13

Jalen Brunson

G

8

14

3

6

4

5

0

3

3

4

0

0

4

3

23

Donte DiVincenzo

2

5

2

5

0

0

1

4

5

2

0

0

2

2

6

Collin Gillespie

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

2

2

1

1

1

1

3

0

Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

0

0

0

0

1

2

Team

2

Totals

25

54

11

25

17

21

5

25

32

15

5

5

15

20

78

 

 

 

Duke

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Christian Laettner

C

5

11

1

3

4

6

1

7

8

1

0

2

3

4

15

Brian Davis

F

2

6

0

1

0

0

2

3

5

2

1

0

1

2

4

Grant Hill

F

6

13

0

0

5

6

2

3

5

3

0

2

2

1

17

Thomas Hill

G

3

7

1

3

3

4

1

5

6

2

2

0

3

5

10

Bobby Hurley

G

5

12

3

7

4

4

0

1

1

3

2

0

3

2

17

Antonio Lang

2

3

0

0

0

0

1

4

5

1

0

1

2

2

4

Cherokee Parks

2

4

0

0

1

2

2

2

4

0

0

0

2

2

5

Marty Clark

0

1

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

0

0

1

0

Team

3

Totals

25

57

5

15

17

22

9

25

37

13

5

5

16

19

72

Player of the Game

Jalen Brunson

 

Score By Halves

Team

1

2

Final

Villanova

29

49

78

Duke

38

34

72

Four more Sweet 16 Games Will Be Revealed Friday.

 

 

 

March 21, 2020

The Greatest NCAA Tournament That Never Was–Round Three Saturday

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 1:30 am

Good Saturday morning sports fans.  This is Greg Humble in the studio along with my colleagues here at See BS–Charles Parkly Clark Post, and Kenny Jones. We’re just moments away from a great slate of Saturday games, and at the end of the day four teams will punch their tickets to the Sweet 16.

We’re going to start everybody out with the top-seed in the East, the 2001 Duke Blue Devils taking on the eight seed Kentucky Wildcats of 1978.  Let’s send it out to our See BS crew, Ian Falcon, Jim Snorkel, and Jamie Herdall.

 

EAST REGION

Wildcat Inside Muscle Too Much For The Region’s Top Seed

 

9 Kentucky 1978

89

1 Duke 2001

80

Unassociated Press: The 8-Seed 1978 Kentucky Wildcats took advantage of a huge rebounding edge to hold off the top seed in the East, the 2001 Duke Blue Devils.  The Wildcats enjoyed a huge 51-30 rebounding advantage with the Blue Mist’s Twin Towers both recording double figure boards.

Kentucky broke open a close game midway through the second half.  With a 56-53 lead, the Wildcats went on a 16-5 run to take a commanding 72-58 lead.  Duke frantically mounted a comeback with three-pointers from Jay Williams, Mike Dunleavy, and Nate James to cut the lead to 76-70, but the Wildcats chose to keep the ball in the hands of Kyle Macy down the stretch, and Duke was forced to foul one of the all time great foul shooters.

 

Boxscore

Kentucky

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Rick Robey

C

5

8

0

0

4

6

3

8

11

2

0

4

2

2

14

Mike Phillips

F

2

5

0

0

2

3

2

10

12

0

0

3

4

3

6

Jack Givens

F

5

11

1

3

4

5

1

5

6

3

0

0

1

1

15

Truman Claytor

G

2

6

1

4

0

0

1

1

2

2

2

0

2

1

5

Kyle Macy

G

4

9

3

7

10

11

0

1

1

5

0

0

3

2

21

James Lee

4

8

0

0

1

2

2

4

6

0

0

0

2

3

9

Chuck Aleksinas

2

3

0

0

0

0

2

4

6

0

0

2

2

2

4

Jay Shidler

4

7

4

7

0

0

0

0

0

2

0

0

1

1

12

LaVon Williams

1

2

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

1

1

0

0

1

2

Fred Cowan

0

0

0

0

1

2

1

2

3

0

0

1

1

2

1

Team

3

Totals

29

59

9

21

22

29

12

36

51

15

3

10

18

18

89

 

 

 

Duke

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Carlos Boozer

C

5

9

0

0

2

3

2

5

7

0

0

0

1

5

12

Shane Battier

F

7

18

1

3

4

6

1

4

5

2

2

1

1

3

19

Mike Dunleavy

F

5

15

2

7

2

2

0

1

1

3

1

0

2

2

14

Nate James

G

3

5

2

4

0

0

1

2

3

3

2

0

0

5

8

Jay Williams

G

4

10

3

8

3

4

1

1

2

4

1

0

1

3

14

Chris Duhon

1

4

0

1

1

2

1

0

1

2

1

0

0

2

3

Casey Sanders

2

3

0

0

2

3

1

4

5

0

0

0

1

4

6

Matt Christensen

2

6

0

0

0

0

0

2

2

1

0

0

0

2

4

Team

4

Totals

29

70

8

23

14

20

7

19

30

15

7

1

6

26

80

Player of the Game

Kyle Macy

 

Score By Halves

Team

1

2

Final

Kentucky

46

43

89

Duke

44

36

80

 

 

Tiny Towe Blitz’s Cardinals Press To Lead Pack To Impressive Win

 

4 North Carolina St. 1974

96

12 Louisville 1980

82

 

Unassociated Press: Five foot, six inch guard Monte Towe proved to be impossible to trap by the vaunted Louisville 2-2-1 press defense.  Time and time again, he broke the press and drove until he found an open teammate, forcing Louisville to call the press off.  By the time the Cardinals stopped pressing, the Wolf Pack had turned the ball over twice, but they scored easy baskets or went to the foul line enough times to take a 10-point lead in the first 12 minutes of the game.

A three-minute stretch to end the first half found N.C. State turning the ball over in their own halfcourt four times, while Louisville warmed up from the field and cut the lead to two points.

The Wolf Pack maintained the lead throughout the second half, and once they held a five point lead, they forced Louisville to foul down the stretch, where Towe was 8 of 8 at the charity stripe in the final minutes to preserve the win.

1974 North Carolina State now faces 1978 Kentucky in the Sweet 16 in what should be an incredible matchup, as the two teams have similar styles.  David Thompson and Jack Givens should be worth the price of admission.

Boxscore

North Carolina St.

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Tom Burleson

C

9

14

0

0

4

6

2

11

13

1

0

3

4

3

22

Tim Stoddard

F

3

5

0

0

2

2

1

8

9

0

0

1

1

2

8

David Thompson

F

6

11

1

2

9

12

3

6

9

2

1

2

3

2

22

Mo Rivers

G

1

3

1

3

0

0

0

1

1

2

1

0

2

4

3

Monte Towe

G

3

7

2

5

11

11

0

1

1

8

3

0

3

1

19

Mark Moeller

3

5

1

1

0

0

1

2

3

0

0

0

1

3

7

Steve Nuce

1

3

0

0

3

4

2

2

4

1

0

0

0

2

5

Phil Spence

2

4

0

0

2

2

0

1

1

0

1

0

2

1

6

Greg Hawkins

1

2

0

0

1

2

0

1

1

1

0

0

2

2

3

Bill Lake

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Mike Buurma

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Bruce Dayhuff

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Craig Kuszmaul

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Dwight Johnson

0

1

0

1

1

2

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

Team

3

Totals

29

55

5

12

33

41

9

33

45

15

6

6

18

20

96

 

 

 

Louisville

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Wiley Brown

C

4

8

0

0

2

4

3

2

5

0

1

0

1

5

10

Rodney McCray

F

4

10

1

4

4

5

2

3

5

1

3

0

3

3

13

Derek Smith

F

5

11

0

0

1

2

4

7

11

0

0

1

2

5

11

Darrell Griffith

G

6

17

3

9

4

5

3

3

6

2

1

0

4

4

19

Jerry Eaves

G

2

6

1

5

2

2

1

2

3

5

1

0

2

2

7

Poncho Wright

3

8

1

3

2

3

0

1

1

1

2

0

0

5

9

Roger Burkman

2

7

2

7

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

0

0

4

6

Tony Branch

2

5

0

0

1

1

1

2

3

1

1

0

1

5

5

Daryl Cleveland

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

2

Greg Deuser

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

0

0

0

0

2

0

Marty Pulliam

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

Steve Clark

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Team

3

Totals

29

75

8

28

16

22

14

21

38

11

9

1

13

37

82

Player of the Game

Monte Towe

 

Score By Halves

Team

1

2

Final

N. C. State

47

49

96

Louisville

45

37

82

 

Cavaliers Put Hoyas To Sleep With Slow Pace

 

3 Virginia 2019

60

14 Georgetown 1984

52

Unassociated Press: The 2019 Virginia Cavaliers slowed the game down to 59 possessions, forcing Georgetown to pass away from Patrick Ewing, and then trapping Ewing when he caught the ball in the post.  The tactic worked, as Ewing could only take seven shots in 35 minutes of action.

This had the look of a game where both teams would struggle to score 40 points, as neither team could solve the other’s defense.  Eight minutes into the game, Georgetown led 7-6.  At this point, Braxton Key entered the game for Virginia and gave the Wahoo offense a shot in the arm with six quick points to give the Cavaliers a 16-13 lead, a lead they would not relinquish.

Virginia held the Hoyas to 34.6% shooting in the second half, as Ewing could only score one basket in the final stanza.

Boxscore

Virginia

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Mamadi Diakete

C

1

4

0

0

1

2

2

5

7

1

0

1

2

1

3

De’Andre Hunter

F

5

12

0

0

4

4

2

3

5

2

0

0

1

1

14

Guy Jerome

F

2

6

1

4

0

0

1

5

6

2

0

0

0

1

5

Kyle Guy

G

2

5

1

3

0

0

0

1

1

3

1

0

1

3

5

Kihei Clark

G

4

11

2

3

2

3

0

2

2

3

0

0

2

1

12

Braxton Key

6

10

2

4

5

6

2

6

8

1

1

0

1

2

19

Jack Salt

1

2

0

0

0

0

0

4

4

0

0

0

0

2

2

Team

3

Totals

21

50

6

14

12

15

7

26

36

12

2

1

7

11

60

 

 

 

Georgetown

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Patrick Ewing

C

4

7

0

0

1

2

2

7

9

0

0

2

0

1

9

Reggie Williams

F

3

8

0

0

0

0

1

4

5

1

1

0

0

3

6

Fred Brown

F

3

9

1

6

0

1

1

3

4

2

1

0

1

2

7

David Wingate

G

3

8

2

5

1

2

1

4

5

1

1

1

2

2

9

Michael Jackson

G

4

12

2

7

4

5

0

2

2

2

0

0

1

1

14

Michael Graham

1

2

0

0

1

2

1

2

3

0

0

0

1

2

3

Horace Broadnax

2

6

0

0

0

0

1

1

2

1

0

0

0

1

4

Gene Smith

0

1

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

2

1

0

0

0

0

Bill Martin

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

Team

1

Totals

20

53

5

19

7

12

7

24

32

9

4

3

5

12

52

Player of the Game

Braxton Key

 

Score By Halves

Team

1

2

Final

Virginia

33

27

60

Georgetown

29

23

52

 

Hoosiers Limit Mistakes, Play Excellent Defense In Impressive Win

 

10 Indiana 1987

78

2 North Carolina 2005

63

Unassociated Press: The Hoosiers committed just seven turnovers while limiting North Carolina to 40.7% shooting.  Indiana opened a 15-point lead in the first half, and North Carolina never cut the lead to single digits, getting to within 10 points three times.

The Tar Heel starting front court was held to 10-26 shooting, while the Hoosiers’ front court was 17-34.

This sets up an interesting Sweet 16 game between 1987 Indiana and 2019 Virginia Thursday night.

 

Boxscore

Indiana

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Dean Garrett

C

6

11

0

0

2

4

2

7

9

1

0

0

2

3

14

Daryl Thomas

F

9

14

0

0

4

6

1

6

7

3

2

0

1

2

22

Rick Callaway

F

4

9

1

3

3

4

0

7

7

2

1

1

1

2

12

Keith Smart

G

3

7

1

3

2

2

0

2

2

2

2

0

0

1

9

Steve Alford

G

5

12

3

6

5

6

0

1

1

5

0

0

1

2

18

Steve Eyl

1

4

0

0

1

2

1

1

2

0

1

0

2

2

3

Joe Hillman

0

2

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

3

0

0

0

1

0

Team

3

Totals

28

59

5

13

17

24

4

24

31

16

6

1

7

13

78

 

 

 

North Carolina

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Sean May

C

8

19

0

0

3

4

1

8

9

0

0

2

2

3

19

Jawad Williams

F

2

5

1

3

0

0

1

6

7

1

0

0

0

1

5

Jackie Manuel

F

0

2

0

2

2

3

1

5

6

2

1

0

3

4

2

Rashad McCants

G

4

9

4

9

3

4

2

4

6

1

1

0

5

3

15

Raymond Felton

G

7

16

3

7

2

2

2

2

4

3

2

0

2

4

19

Marvin Williams

0

1

0

0

0

0

1

1

2

1

1

0

0

1

0

Melvin Scott

1

2

0

0

1

2

0

2

2

2

0

0

1

3

3

David Noel

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

2

0

Team

4

Totals

22

54

8

21

11

15

8

28

40

10

5

2

13

21

63

Player of the Game

Daryl Thomas

 

Score By Halves

Team

1

2

Final

Indiana

41

37

78

N. Carolina

29

34

63

 

SOUTH REGION

 

Top Seed Falls To Quick Bruin Quintet

 

8 UCLA 1964

97

1 Kentucky 1996

89

 

Unassociated Press: UCLA’s great backcourt duo of Walt Hazzard and Gail Goodrich combined for 61 points, and the UCLA full-court press was just as devastating as Kentucky’s matchup press.

Kentucky led for most of the first half and the first six minutes of the second half.  With the Wildcats ahead 61-54, the Bruins reeled off 14 point in the next three minutes to take a 68-66 lead.  After Kentucky tied the score at 68-68, back-to-back three point field goals by Hazzard gave UCLA the lead for good.

Boxscore

UCLA

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Fred Slaughter

C

2

6

0

0

2

5

3

8

11

4

2

0

5

3

6

Keith Erickson

F

4

9

0

0

2

3

2

9

11

6

3

0

2

3

10

Jack Hirsch

F

3

8

1

4

1

2

2

5

7

1

1

1

4

4

8

Walt Hazzard

G

9

22

3

10

8

11

1

6

7

2

2

0

3

2

29

Gail Goodrich

G

10

17

5

8

7

9

0

1

1

4

2

0

3

2

32

Kenny Washington

3

6

0

0

2

3

4

2

6

0

1

2

3

3

8

Doug McIntosh

2

3

0

0

0

0

1

1

2

0

1

1

1

3

4

Kim Stewart

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

2

2

0

0

0

0

2

0

Team

4

Totals

33

72

9

22

22

33

13

34

51

17

12

4

21

22

97

 

 

 

Kentucky

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Walter McCarty

C

4

9

0

2

3

5

2

6

8

0

0

1

4

4

11

Antoine Walker

F

7

15

1

2

2

3

1

8

9

0

2

0

1

3

17

Derek Anderson

F

3

7

0

1

0

0

1

4

5

2

1

0

2

5

6

Tony Delk

G

5

13

3

7

4

5

1

3

4

3

2

0

4

2

17

Anthony Epps

G

2

6

1

4

2

3

0

1

1

6

1

0

5

5

7

Ron Mercer

5

8

2

3

3

4

2

3

5

3

2

0

1

2

15

Mark Pope

1

3

0

2

2

2

1

4

5

0

0

1

1

4

4

Jeff Sheppard

2

4

2

4

2

2

0

1

1

1

1

0

2

1

8

Wayne Turner

2

5

0

2

0

0

0

1

1

0

0

0

1

3

4

Allen Edwards

0

2

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

0

0

1

0

Team

3

Totals

31

72

9

27

18

24

8

31

42

16

9

2

21

30

89

Player of the Game

Walt Hazzard

 

Score By Halves

Team

1

2

Final

UCLA

44

53

97

Kentucky

48

41

89

Bruin Muscle Proves Too Much For Cardinals

 

4 UCLA 1970

100

5 Louisville 2013

82

Unassociated Press:  The trio of Steve Patterson, Sidney Wicks, and Curtis Rowe flexed their muscles, scoring almost at will at times in the paint and getting multiple offensive rebounds with putbacks.

After beginning the game matching baskets, the score was knotted at 17-17 with 12 minutes to go in the first half.  UCLA opened a 12-point lead in the next eight minutes, and Louisville could get no closer than seven points the rest of the way.

When the Cardinals cut the lead to seven at 69-62, a Bruin 9-2 run moved the lead out to 14, and Louisville began to rush their offense, committing crucial turnovers that allowed the lead to ballon to 21 points at one point.

The 1970 Bruins now face the 1964 UCLA Bruins in a game of contrasts between 1964’s speed and 1970’s muscle.

 

Boxscore

UCLA

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Steve Patterson

C

6

13

0

0

2

3

2

6

8

1

1

1

2

2

14

Sidney Wicks

F

9

15

0

0

6

8

5

11

16

0

3

4

3

3

24

Curtis Rowe

F

6

11

0

0

4

6

3

9

12

2

2

2

1

1

16

John Vallely

G

6

12

3

6

3

3

0

2

2

5

1

0

4

2

18

Henry Bibby

G

6

14

3

8

5

7

0

3

3

9

1

0

3

2

20

John Ecker

1

2

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

0

0

0

2

3

2

Kenny Booker

1

3

0

1

1

2

1

2

3

0

0

0

1

2

3

Terry Schofield

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

1

1

2

1

0

0

1

3

Bill Siebert

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

Andy Hill

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

0

1

1

0

Team

3

Totals

36

71

7

16

21

29

11

35

49

20

9

7

17

18

100

Louisville

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Gorgiu Dieng

C

7

15

0

0

2

4

2

4

6

1

0

1

2

4

16

Chane Behanen

F

3

8

0

0

1

2

1

6

7

2

0

0

1

5

7

Wayne Blackshear

F

4

11

2

6

2

3

2

6

8

3

1

1

5

4

12

Russ Smith

G

4

9

3

7

6

7

0

4

4

1

2

0

3

3

17

Peyton Siva

G

5

12

2

5

3

3

0

3

3

2

1

0

4

2

15

Luke Hancock

2

4

1

2

0

0

2

1

3

0

0

0

1

4

5

Montrezl Harrell

1

2

0

0

0

0

0

3

3

1

0

0

0

1

2

Stephan Van Treese

2

5

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

2

0

0

2

2

4

Kevin Ware

1

3

1

3

1

2

0

0

0

2

2

0

1

2

4

Team

2

Totals

29

69

9

23

15

21

7

28

37

14

6

2

19

27

82

Player of the Game

Sidney Wicks

 

Score By Halves

Team

1

2

Final

UCLA

52

48

100

Louisville

37

45

82

 

Grant Hill Puts Blue Devils’ Hopes On His Shoulder To Bring Duke Back To Victory

 

6 Duke 1992

78

14 Kansas 1997

73

 

Unassociated Press: In a game with many twists and turns, Duke blew a 10-point first half lead and trailed by as many as nine points in the second half until Grant Hill took control of the game, scoring 14 of his game high 20 points in the final 11 minutes of the game.

Kansas went on a 24-7 scoring run that covered the last six minutes of the first half and first four minutes of the second half to take a 49-42 lead.  After Duke cut the lead to three several times, the Jayhawks scored six straight points to take a 59-50.  That’s when Hill went to work, scoring 14 of Dukes’ final 28 points.

 

Boxscore

Duke

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Christian Laettner

C

7

13

0

0

5

7

3

5

8

0

0

1

2

3

19

Brian Davis

F

2

5

0

0

0

0

1

7

8

2

1

0

1

1

4

Grant Hill

F

6

11

2

3

6

6

0

5

5

4

1

0

3

2

20

Thomas Hill

G

5

9

2

4

3

4

0

2

2

2

2

0

2

1

15

Bobby Hurley

G

3

7

1

3

4

4

0

1

1

5

0

0

2

0

11

Antonio Lang

1

2

0

0

1

2

1

2

3

1

0

0

1

2

3

Cherokee Parks

2

4

0

0

2

3

2

3

5

0

0

1

0

3

6

Marty Clark

0

1

0

1

0

0

0

1

1

0

0

0

1

1

0

Team

3

Totals

26

52

5

11

21

26

7

26

36

14

4

2

12

13

78

 

 

 

Kansas

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Scot Pollard

C

8

15

0

0

3

4

1

6

7

2

0

0

2

4

19

Raef LaFrentz

F

7

12

0

0

1

2

2

5

7

3

0

2

1

2

15

Paul Pierce

F

8

14

0

0

3

5

2

3

5

2

2

1

0

3

19

Jerod Haase

G

2

5

2

5

0

0

0

3

3

2

1

0

3

4

6

Jacque Vaughn

G

2

6

2

5

2

2

0

2

2

4

2

0

1

4

8

Ryan Robertson

1

3

1

3

1

2

0

0

0

0

1

0

0

2

4

Billy Thomas

0

1

0

1

0

0

1

1

2

1

0

0

1

2

0

T.J. Pugh

1

4

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

3

2

Team

3

Totals

29

60

5

14

10

15

6

20

29

14

6

3

8

24

73

Player of the Game

Christian Laettner

 

Score By Halves

Team

1

2

Final

Duke

37

41

78

Kansas

31

42

73

 

 

Wildcats Hot For Three Minutes, But It’s Enough To Advance

 

2 Villanova 2018

64

7 Florida 2007

51

 

Unassociated Press: Villanova couldn’t buy a basket for 3/4 of the game, but then neither could the Gators as both teams had trouble finding the range.  Then, a brief barrage of baskets on 4 of 7 shooting that included a couple of three-point shots broke open a close game to allow ‘Nova to pull away to a safe lead.  Leading just 39-38 in the second half, an 11-0 run gave The Wildcats a 12-point lead.  Florida never could mount a move at this point, and Villanova cruised to victory.

Villanova advances to Thursday’s Sweet 16 round against 1992 Duke.

 

 

Boxscore

Villanova

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Omari Spellman

C

3

6

0

0

2

3

2

4

6

0

0

1

3

2

8

Eric Paschall

F

4

7

0

0

4

4

1

8

9

1

0

2

1

1

12

Michael Bridges

F

5

12

2

5

0

2

3

5

8

0

2

0

2

3

12

Phil Booth

G

3

9

1

4

3

4

1

3

4

3

1

0

5

2

10

Jalen Brunson

G

3

7

2

6

4

5

0

2

2

2

1

0

2

4

12

Donte DiVincenzo

3

9

1

4

2

2

1

3

4

1

0

0

1

2

9

Collin Gillespie

0

0

0

0

1

2

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

0

1

0

0

1

0

Team

5

Totals

21

51

6

19

16

22

8

26

39

7

5

3

14

16

64

 

 

 

Florida

Start

FG

FGA

3P

3PA

FT

FTA

ORB

DRB

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

Joakim Noah

C

6

11

0

0

3

5

2

8

10

2

0

2

1

2

15

Al Horford

F

5

10

0

0

2

4

3

6

9

0

0

3

1

4

12

Corey Brewer

F

3

12

1

7

3

3

1

5

6

1

2

1

2

3

10

Lee Humphrey

G

2

9

1

4

0

0

0

2

2

3

0

0

3

4

5

Taurean Green

G

1

7

0

5

2

4

0

1

1

2

0

0

5

2

4

Walter Hodge

1

2

0

1

0

0

0

2

2

0

1

0

1

3

2

Chris Richard

1

1

0

0

1

2

1

1

2

1

1

0

0

1

3

Dan Werner

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

0

Team

2

Totals

19

52

2

17

11

18

7

25

34

9

4

6

14

20

51

Player of the Game

Eric Paschall

 

Score By Halves

Team

1

2

Final

Villanova

26

38

64

Florida

23

28

51

Sweet 16 Schedule For East and South Regions

 

East 

4 – North Carolina St.  1974 vs. 9 – Kentucky 1978

3 – Virginia 2019 vs. 10 – Indiana 1987

South 

4 – UCLA 1970 vs. 8 – UCLA 1964

2 – Villanova 2018 vs. 6 – Duke 1992

 

Coming Tomorrow–Third Round Action From the Midwest and West Regions

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

March 15, 2020

The Greatest March Madness That Never Was

Due to the cancellation of the 2020 Men’s NCAA Basketball Tournament, we cannot issue our great Bracketnomics 505 Course for 2020.  2020 figured to be the year where we debuted many new pieces to our bracket-picking formula, as we spent well dozens of days researching and back-testing data, as well as research what we call the morphing of the game, where one style of play became more successful over another style of play, and where one metric proved more accurate in predicting March Madness success over other metrics.   

Alas, all that research must now go into hibernation until such a time that an NCAA Tournament can be played.  If the tournament re-schedules to May, June, July, or August, we will not issue a Bracketnomics tutorial, since this will be totally uncharted water.  We hear that the NCAA is trying to salvage something by possibly conducting a 16-team tournament much like the old NIT where all 16 teams gather in one venue.  This was the last gasp plan before the tournament was  completely cancelled, and there is talk that the top 16 teams, which would have been the top four seeds in each region could still be put into one venue for five days, just like 16 teams played at Madison Square Garden.

Our unique plan would be to play a tournament like this outdoors in a warm weather and dry climate where rain would not be a factor.  Games have been played outdoors in the past, including in the Olympics.

In place of the real tournament, The PiRate Selection Committee has seeded 68 of the greatest  teams in modern day history in the “Greatest NCAA Tournament That Never Was.”

This simulated tournament will consist of 44 past National Champions and the best teams that fell a little short.  The only rules in our selection system is that no single school can have teams picked from consecutive seasons.  That means that we could not award all three of Kareem Abdul Jabbar’s UCLA teams bids.  And, because the 1968 team rates the highest of the three, we did not select the 1967 and 1969 Bruins in order to get the great 1968 team.

Additionally, because we wanted National Champions first and foremost, great teams like the 1975 Indiana Hoosiers and 1991 UNLV Runnin’ Rebels were ineligible for the tournament, since the 1976 IU and 1990 UNLV teams received automatic bids.

 
Four regions with 17 teams in each region have been seeded and games have been scheduled, starting Tuesday night with two first round games in Dayton, Ohio.

These games will be played via a tabletop game created by our Captain and inspired by the Avalon Hill/Sports Illustrated Professional Game called Statis-Pro Basketball.  If you want to take a peak at this out of print game, go to the following link:  https://boardgamegeek.com/boardgame/4453/statis-pro-basketball

The Captain is the utmost sports boardgame geek.  Games like the one above and Strat-O-Matic Baseball led to his falling in love with statistics.  The Captain cracked the ratings codes for many of these games, including Statis-Pro,  and he decided to create his own college version of the game.  He even added three-point shooting to the game with the addition of a few simple rules, and voila, he had created a homemade board game that supplied him (and friends) with many hours of great fun.  Teams were made from the 1960’s through the 1980’s and later into the 1990’s.  After many years of use, when Mrs. PiRate placed the ring on his finger, the game was put away in a storage closet in the Captain’s basement.  When the Coronavirus claimed almost all sports as its victims, the Captain’s Lady thought it might be a good idea for him to play out a tournament by using the old game and reporting the results on this website.

The first thought was to make 68 teams from the 2020 season based on regular season conference champions and at-large teams that his bracketology showed to be the right 68.  There was a problem with that, because he could not make 68 new teams from 2020 and play this tournament beginning Tuesday, as it would be April before he could make 68 teams.  So, since he had dozens of the greatest teams from 1960 to about 1997, he only needed to update the set of teams from 1998 to 2019, which he spent most of Thursday and Friday and some of Saturday night making.  The 68 teams have been chosen and are ready to begin “The Greatest NCAA Basketball Tournament Never Played.”

The Selection Committee, otherwise known as the Simple Rating System at Sports Reference, has chosen and seeded the field.  Let’s get to it.

First, we began with the East Region. These games will be played in Hartford, Connecticut, on Thursday and will not be broadcast on CBS.  Our PiRate Ratings Network is “See BS.”

The number one seed in the East Region is—————- 

The 2001 Duke Blue Devils.   Coach Mike Krzyzewski has a roster stacked with talent, including Shane Battier, Jay Williams, and Mike Dunleavy.

Duke will play the winner of the 16-seeded play-in game Tuesday night between the 1984 North Carolina Tar Heels, with eight McDonald’s All-Americans on the roster, and the 1970 St. Bonaventure Bonnies.  Just so you know, Bob Lanier will be healthy for all NCAA Tournament games St. Bonaventure plays. In real life, Lanier’s injury in the Eastern Regional Final cost his team any chance to compete against Jacksonville in the National Semifinal Game.

The number eight seed is the 1979 Michigan State Spartans featuring the great Magic Johnson. They will play the nine-seed Kentucky Wildcats of 1978.  This was Wildcats’ coach Joe B. Hall’s lone national title with a team featuring Jack “Goose” Givens and the Twin Towers of Rick Robey and Mike Phillips.

The number four seed is the 1974 North Carolina State Wolf Pack, with Norm Sloan coaching the great David Thompson along with tiny Monte Towe and huge Tom Burleson. NC State will play the number 13 seed 1999 Duke Blue Devils, one of the at-large non-national champions.  This Blue Devil team had eight McDonald’s All-Americans, including Trajan Langdon, Shane Battier, and Elton Brand.

And, the final game in this Hartford pod features the number five-seed 1999 Connecticut Huskies.  UConn was led by Richard Hamilton and Khalid El-Amin.  The Huskies will be  playing the number 12-seed Louisville Cardinals of 1980 with the great Darrell Griffith leading the way.

Now, let’s go to the bottom half of the bracket in the East Region. These games will take place in Greensboro, North Carolina, at the Greensboro Coliseum on Friday.

The number three-seed Virginia Cavaliers of 2019, the team that avenged the embarrassment of being the first number one seed to lose to a 16-seed in 2018 by winning the national championship in 2019.  The Wahoos will take on the number 14-seed Arkansas Razorbacks of 1991, another at-large team that failed to win the national championship.  This Razorback squad featured three big stars in Todd May, Lee Mayberry, and Oliver Miller.

The next game features the number six-seed Villanova Wildcats of 2016 playing the number 11-seed Georgetown Hoyas of 1984, two hot rivals that won national championships. In this simulation, trying not to have multiple teams from the same school in each region was more important than having teams from the same conference playing each other, and that is why two Big East teams are playing in their first game.

Let’s move on. The number seven-seed UCLA Bruins of 1995 will play the number 10-seed Indiana Hoosiers of 1987, the team that won the title on a last second shot by Keith Smart.  And, rounding out the East Region, the number two-seed North Carolina Tar Heels of 2005 will take on the number 15-seed Ohio State Buckeyes of 1962, a heavy favorite that lost their national championship game that year to in-state rival Cincinnati, in a game played by the previous two national champions.

East Region

Play-in Round for #16 Seed
North Carolina 1984 vs. St. Bonaventure 1970

1-Duke 2001 vs. 16-UNC/St. Bonaventure
8-Michigan St. 1979 vs. 9-Kentucky 1978
4-North Carolina St. 1974 vs. 13-Duke 1999
5-Connecticut 1999 vs. 12-Louisville 1980
3-Virginia 2019 vs. 14-Arkansas 1991
6-Villanova 2016 vs. 11-Georgetown 1984
7-UCLA 1995 vs. 10-Indiana 1987
2-North Carolina 2005 vs. 15-Ohio St. 1962

Now, let’s look at the South Region. These next four games will play Thursday at Thompson-Boling Arena in Knoxville, Tennessee. The top seed in the South is the 1996 Kentucky Wildcats. Rick Pitino finally won his first national championship with a team loaded with talent that could go 10-deep without the Wildcats missing a beat.

 

The Big Blue will play the winner of the play-in round Tuesday night between the 1974 Maryland Terrapins and the 1970 Florida State Seminoles. Maryland did not make the NCAA Tournament, and partly because one of the top three teams in the nation was just the number two team in the ACC, the NCAA expanded to 32 teams in 1975 and began to allow two teams from each conference to make the tournament. The 1970 Seminoles were definitely one of the top teams in the nation, but they were on probation and ineligible for the tournament that year. In our simulation world, a great team with the terrific Dave Cowens is getting a ticket to this dance.

 

The next game in this pod features the number eight-seed UCLA Bruins of 1964, featuring Walt Hazzard, Gail Goodrich, and Keith Erickson. They will face the nine-seed Indiana Hoosiers of 1981 with the great Isaiah Thomas in what should be an excellent study in contrasts.

 

Moving on, the number four-seed is the 1970 UCLA Bruins, the semi-surprise champion in Westwood after Kareem Abdul Jabbar graduated. They will play the number 13-seed Oklahoma Sooners of 1988, another at-large non-champion.

 

Rounding out this pod, the number five-seed is the 2013 Louisville Cardinals, and they will take on the 12-seed North Carolina State Wolf Pack of 1983, the Cinderella champion of the great Jim Valvano.

 

The other half of the pod in the South Region will take place in Chicago on Friday at the United Center. The number three-seed North Carolina Tar Heels of 2009 will play the number 14-seed Kansas Jayhawks of 1997, another at-large power that did not win the national championship. Coach Roy Williams of the Tar Heels will go up against Coach Roy Williams of the Jayhawks.

The number six-seed is the 1992 Duke Blue Devils, and Coach Mike Krzyzewski’s second ever champion will take on the number 11-seed Connecticut Huskies of 2014, a team that almost lost their first tournament game in real life and won it in overtime before reeling off five more victories.

The number seven-seed is the 2007 Florida Gators, the better of Billy Donovan’s consecutive national champions. Florida will play the number 10-seed Syracuse Orangemen on 2003.

And,  rounding out the South Region, the number two-seed Villanova Wildcats of 2018 will play the number 15-seed Illinois Fighting Illini of 2005, another at-large team that came up a few minutes short in the title game.

Half the field is now chosen. Are you hoping your favorite team will make this dance? If they won the national championship, and it isn’t a consecutive season from another national championship, they will be in the field, but there are still eight at-large teams that will be in one of the final two regions.

 

South Region

Play-In Round for 16-seed
Maryland 1974 vs. Florida St. 1970

1-Kentucky 1996 vs. 16 Maryland/Florida St.
8-UCLA 1964 vs. 9-Indiana 1981
4-UCLA 1970 vs. 13-Oklahoma 1988
5-Louisville 2013 vs. 12-North Carolina St. 1983
3-North Carolina 2009 vs. 14-Kansas 1997
6-Duke 1992 vs. 11 Connecticut 2014
7-Florida 2007 vs. 10-Syracuse 2003
2-Villanova 2018 vs. 15-Illinois 2005

Let’s go to the Midwest Region. These four games will be played on Friday at the KFC Yum Center in Louisville, Kentucky. The top seed in the Midwest is the 1968 UCLA Bruins, the best of the three seasons when Kareem Abdul Jabbar was in Westwood. The Bruins will face the winner of Wednesday’s play-in round game in Dayton between the 2008 Memphis Tigers and the 1973 Providence Friars. This Providence team will have a healthy Marvin Barnes, unlike the team that lost to Memphis State in the Final Four.

 

The number eight seed is the 1962 Cincinnati Bearcats, the repeat national champion that beat in-state rival Ohio State for the second year in a row. Cinti will take on the number nine-seed Loyola of Chicago Ramblers of 1963, the closest opening round game that was actually played in a national championship.

 

The number four seed in the Midwest is the 2015 Duke Blue Devils, Coach K’s most recent national champion. Duke plays the number 13-seed Connecticut Huskies of 2011 led by the incredible Kemba Walker.

 

The number five seed is the 2017 North Carolina Tar Heels, and Roy Williams’ squad will face the 12-seed Villanova Wildcats of 1985, one of the biggest upset winners in national championship game history.

 

Now moving on to the bottom half of this region’s bracket, these four games will take place Thursday in Kansas City. The number three seed is the 1976 Indiana Hoosiers, Coach Bob Knight’s first title team and the last team to go undefeated. Their opponent is the number 14-seed Stanford Cardinal of 2001, another of the at-large teams that did not win the national championship.

 

The number six seed is the 1994 Arkansas Razorbacks, and Arkansas will take on the number 11-seed Kansas Jayhawks of 1988, the surprise national champion led by the great Danny Manning.

 

The number seven seed is the 1998 Kentucky Wildcats, the team led by Coach Tubby Smith. The Big Blue will face the 10-seed UCLA Bruins of 1975, Coach Wooden’s final national champion.

 

Rounding out the Midwest Region, the number two seed Michigan Wolverines of 1989 will play the number 15-seed Houston Cougars of 1968, another at-large team that did not win the national title, featuring the Big E, Elvin Hayes, and Donald “Duck” Chaney.

 

Midwest Region

Play-In Round for 16-seed
Memphis 2008 vs. Providence 1973

1-UCLA 1968 vs. 16-Memphis/Providence
8-Cincinnati 1962 vs. 9-Loyola (Chi.) 1963
4-Duke 2015 vs. 13-Connecticut 2011
5-North Carolina 2017 vs. 12-Villanova 1985
3-Indiana 1976 vs. 14-Stanford 2001
6-Arkansas 1994 vs. 11-Kansas 1988
7-Kentucky 1998 vs. 10-UCLA 1975
2-Michigan 1989 vs. 15-Houston 1968

 

That’s three regions down and just one to go. Here’s the seeding for the West Region. These next four games will take place at the Key Arena in Seattle on Friday. The number one seed and the top seed in the entire tournament is the 1972 UCLA Bruins, led by Bill Walton, Jamaal Wilkes, and Henry Bibby. They will face the winner of Wednesday’s play-in game in Dayton between 16-seeds 1972 North Carolina and 1983 Houston, two teams that fell a tad short in the Final Four.

 

The number eight seed Connecticut Huskies of 2004 led by Emeka Okafor will face the nine-seed Arizona Wildcats of 1997, Coach Lute Olson’s lone national champion.

 

The number four seed is the 2000 Michigan State Spartans, the last Big Ten team to win the title. Sparty will face the number 13-seed 1986 Louisville Cardinals with Never Nervous Pervis Ellison.

 

The number five seed is the 2012 Kentucky Wildcats, John Calipari’s national championship team. Kentucky will play the 12-seed Texas Western Miners of 1966, a team that spoiled another Kentucky team’s hopes and dreams.

 

And in the last pod, these games that will be played Thursday at the Marriott Center in Provo, Utah.  The number three seed is the 1960 Ohio State Buckeyes with Jerry Lucas, John Havlicek, and Larry Siegfried. The Buckeyes will square off against the number 14-seed Cincinnati Bearcats of 1960, an exact match from the 1960 Final Four. This is the Cinti team led by one of the all-time greats in the Big O, Oscar Robertson.

 

The number six seed is the 1990 UNLV Runnin’ Rebels, the team that holds the record for largest margin of victory in the National Championship Game. The Rebels will face the number 11-seed Marquette Warriors of 1977, Coach Al McGuire’s only national champions that came in his final year of coaching.

 

The number seven seed is the 2002 Maryland Terrapins, and the Terps will face the 10-seed 1982 North Carolina Tar Heels, featuring the great Michael Jordan, along with James Worthy and Sam Perkins.

 

And, finally, rounding out the field of 68, the two seed is the 2008 Kansas Jayhawks, and Rock Chalk, Jayhawk, KU faces the 15-seed Gonzaga Bulldogs of 2017, the last of our at-large field.

 

West Region

Play-in Round For 16-seed
North Carolina 1972 vs. Houston 1983

1-UCLA 1972 vs. 16-UNC/Houston
8-Connecticut vs. 9-Arizona 1997
4-Michigan St. 2000 vs. 13-Louisville 1986
5-Kentucky 2012 vs. 12-Texas Western 1966
3-Ohio St. 1960 vs. 14-Cincinnati 1960
6-UNLV 1990 vs. 11-Marquette 1977
7-Maryland 2002 vs. 10-North Carolina 1982
2-Kansas 2008 vs. 15-Gonzaga 2017

 

Who were the teams that just barely missed out on getting into this dance?

The First Four Out were in order, the 1975 Kentucky Wildcats, the 1986 Duke Blue Devils, the 1993 Michigan Wolverines, and the 1969 Purdue Boilermakers.

The Next Four Out were the 2007 Ohio State Buckeyes, the 1996 Massachusetts Minutemen, the 1960 California Golden Bears, and the 1989 Seton Hall Pirates.

We’ll be back Tuesday Night with the results of the first two games in Dayton.

 

Tuesday Night:
East Region: 1984 North Carolina Tar Heels vs. 1970 St. Bonaventure Bonnies

South Region: 1974 Maryland Terrapins vs. 1970 Florida State Seminoles

March 12, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For March 12, 2020

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 6:01 am

Thursday’s Games

 

Home

Visitor

Spread

Massachusetts

VCU

-8.1

St. Bonaventure

George Mason

2.6

Davidson

La Salle

8.4

Duquesne

Fordham

10.5

Central Florida

South Florida

0.1

Connecticut

Tulane

9.7

SMU

Temple

1.5

Memphis

East Carolina

12.4

Florida St.

Clemson

7.1

Duke

North Carolina St.

9.5

Virginia

Notre Dame

1.2

Louisville

Syracuse

6.7

Texas

Texas Tech

-5.5

Kansas

Oklahoma St.

12.0

Baylor

Kansas St.

11.1

Oklahoma

West Virginia

-3.6

Creighton

St. John’s

5.3

Providence

Butler

-1.8

Villanova

DePaul

8.9

Seton Hall

Marquette

1.4

Eastern Washington

Sacramento St.

4.3

Portland St.

Montana St.

2.9

Northern Colorado

Southern Utah

5.3

Montana

Idaho St.

8.9

Rutgers

Michigan

-2.1

Iowa

Minnesota

1.1

Ohio St.

Purdue

2.8

Penn St.

Indiana

1.1

Cal St. Northridge

Cal St. Fullerton

1.2

UC Santa Barbara

UC Riverside

3.0

UC Irvine

Long Beach St.

12.1

Hawaii

UC Davis

1.2

North Texas

Florida Atlantic

7.9

Charlotte

Florida Intl.

-0.6

Western Kentucky

UAB

5.2

Louisiana Tech

Marshall

5.6

Rider

Niagara

7.4

Monmouth

Quinnipiac

3.3

Akron

Ohio

6.6

Northern Illinois

Miami (O)

3.1

Bowling Green

Toledo

-1.4

Ball St.

Kent St.

0.8

Bethune-Cookman

Morgan St.

2.4

Norfolk St.

Coppin St.

6.3

Oregon

Oregon St.

7.3

USC

Arizona

-5.8

UCLA

California

6.8

Arizona St.

Washington St.

6.4

Tennessee

Alabama

-1.1

Florida

Georgia

6.8

Texas A&M

Missouri

-2.7

South Carolina

Arkansas

-2.4

Sam Houston St.

Northwestern St.

5.4

Nicholls St.

Lamar

3.9

New Mexico St.

Chicago St.

29.3

Grand Canyon

UMKC

-1.9

UT Rio Grande Valley

Cal St. Bakersfield

0.3

Seattle

Utah Valley

3.1

 

Today’s TV Schedule

 

Time (EST)

Network

Team

Team

12:00 PM

FS1

Creighton

St. John’s

12:00 PM

NBCSN

Massachusetts

VCU

12:00 PM

BTN

Rutgers

Michigan

12:00 PM

ESPN+

Akron

Ohio

12:30 PM

ESPN

Florida St.

Clemson

12:30 PM

ESPN2

Texas

Texas Tech

1:00 PM

ESPNU

Central Florida

South Florida

1:00 PM

SECN

Tennessee

Alabama

2:00 PM

watchbigsky.com

Eastern Washington

Sacramento State

2:25 PM

BTN

Iowa

Minnesota

2:30 PM

ESPN2

Kansas

Oklahoma State

2:30 PM

ESPN

Duke

NC State

2:30 PM

FS1

Providence

Butler

2:30 PM

NBCSN

St. Bonaventure

George Mason

2:30 PM

ESPN+

Northern Illinois

Miami (O)

3:00 PM

PAC12

Oregon

Oregon St.

3:00 PM

ESPNU

Connecticut

Tulane

3:00 PM

ESPN+

New Mexico St.

Chicago St.

3:00 PM

ESPN3

Cal St. Northridge

Cal St. Fullerton

3:00 PM

SECN

Florida

Georgia

4:30 PM

watchbigsky.com

Portland St.

Montana St.

5:30 PM

ESPN3

UC Santa Barbara

UC Riverside

5:30 PM

ESPN+

Grand Canyon

UMKC

5:30 PM

PAC12

USC

Arizona

6:00 PM

ESPN+

Sam Houston St.

Northwestern St.

6:00 PM

Flohoops pay

Bethune-Cookman

Morgan St.

6:00 PM

NBCSN

Davidson

La Salle

6:30 PM

BTN

Ohio St.

Purdue

6:30 PM

ESPN+

Bowling Green

Toledo

7:00 PM

ESPN2

Baylor

Kansas St.

7:00 PM

FS1

Villanova

DePaul

7:00 PM

ESPN

Virginia

Notre Dame

7:00 PM

SECN

Texas A&M

Missouri

7:00 PM

ESPN3

Rider

Niagara

7:00 PM

Stadium

North Texas

Florida Atlantic

7:30 PM

Facebook

Charlotte

Florida Intl.

7:30 PM

watchbigsky.com

Northern Colorado

Southern Utah

8:00 PM

ESPNU

SMU

Temple

8:30 PM

ESPN+

Nicholls

Lamar

8:30 PM

NBCSN

Duquesne

Fordham

8:30 PM

Flohoops pay

Norfolk St.

Coppin St.

8:55 PM

BTN

Penn St.

Indiana

9:00 PM

ESPN

Louisville

Syracuse

9:00 PM

ESPN2

Oklahoma

West Virginia

9:00 PM

ESPN+

UT Rio Grande Valley

Cal St. Bakersfield

9:00 PM

ESPN3

UC Irvine

Long Beach St.

9:00 PM

SECN

South Carolina

Arkansas

9:00 PM

ESPN+

Ball St.

Kent St.

9:00 PM

PAC12

UCLA

California

9:30 PM

FS1

Seton Hall

Marquette

9:30 PM

ESPN3

Monmouth

Quinnipiac

9:30 PM

Stadium

Western Kentucky

UAB

10:00 PM

watchbigsky.com

Montana

Idaho St.

10:00 PM

Facebook

Louisiana Tech

Marshall

10:00 PM

ESPNU

Memphis

East Carolina

11:30 PM

FS1

Arizona St.

Washington St.

11:30 PM

ESPN3

Hawaii

UC Davis

11:30 PM

ESPN+

Seattle

Utah Valley

 

CONFERENCE TOURNAMENTS UPDATE

 

Yesterday’s Championship Game

 

Patriot League Tournament

Championship

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Boston U

64

Colgate

61

 

Yesterday’s Other Results

 

Atlantic 10 Tournament

1st Round

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

George Mason

77

Saint Joseph’s

70

Fordham

72

George Washington

52

 

 

Atlantic Coast Tournament

2nd Round

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Clemson

69

Miami (Fla.)

64

North Carolina St.

73

Pittsburgh

58

Notre Dame

80

Boston College

58

Syracuse

81

North Carolina

53

 

 

Big 12 Tournament

1st Round

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Oklahoma St.

72

Iowa St.

71

Kansas St.

53

TCU

49

 

 

Big East Tournament

1st Round

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

St. John’s

75

Georgetown

62

DePaul

71

Xavier

67

 

 

Big Sky Tournament

1st Round

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Sacramento St.

62

Weber St.

54

Southern Utah

75

Idaho

69

Idaho St.

64

Northern Arizona

62

 

 

Big Ten Tournament

1st Round

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Minnesota

74

Northwestern

57

Indiana

89

Nebraska

64

 

 

Conference USA Tournament

1st Round

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Florida Atlantic

66

Old Dominion

56

Florida Intl.

85

Rice

76

UAB

74

UTSA

69

Marshall

86

UTEP

78

 

 

Metro Atlantic Athletic Tournament

Quarterfinals

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Siena

63

Manhattan

49

St. Peter’s

56

Iona

54

 

 

Mid-Eastern Athletic Tournament

Quarterfinals

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

North Carolina Central

92

Delaware St.

75

North Carolina A&T

86

Howard

77

 

 

Pac-12 Tournament

1st Round

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Oregon St.

71

Utah

69

Arizona

77

Washington

70

California

63

Stanford

51

Washington St.

82

Colorado

68

 

 

Southeastern Tournament

1st Round

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Georgia

81

Ole Miss

63

Arkansas

86

Vanderbilt

73

 

 

Southland Tournament

1st Round

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Northwestern St.

79

Texas A&M-CC

62

Lamar

80

McNeese St.

59

 

 

Sun Belt Tournament

Quarterfinals

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Georgia Southern

81

Georgia St.

62

Texas St.

85

Appalachian St.

68

 

 

Today’s Schedule

 

American Athletic Tournament

1st Round

March 12

Forth Worth, TX (Dickies Arena)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

8 Central Florida (16-14)

9 South Florida (14-17)

1:00 PM

ESPNU

5 Connecticut (19-12)

12 Tulane (12-18)

3:00 PM

ESPNU

7 SMU (19-11)

10 Temple (14-17)

8:00 PM

ESPNU

6 Memphis (21-10)

11 East Carolina (11-20)

10:00 PM

ESPNU

 

 

Atlantic 10 Tournament

2nd Round

March 12

Brooklyn (Barclays Center)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

8 Massachusetts (14-17)

9 VCU (18-13)

12:00 PM

NBCSN

5 St. Bonaventure (19-12)

12 George Mason (17-15)

2:30 PM

NBCSN

7 Davidson (16-14)

10 La Salle (15-15)

6:00 PM

NBCSN

6 Duquesne (21-9)

14 Fordham (9-22)

8:30 PM

NBCSN

 

 

Atlantic Coast Tournament

Quarterfinals

March 12

Greensboro, NC (Greensboro Coliseum)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

1 Florida St. (26-5)

8 Clemson (16-15)

12:30 PM

ESPN

4 Duke (25-6)

5 North Carolina St. (20-12)

2:30 PM

ESPN

2 Virginia (23-7)

7 Notre Dame (20-12)

7:00 PM

ESPN

3 Louisville (24-7)

6 Syracuse (18-14)

9:00 PM

ESPN

 

 

Big 12 Tournament

Quarterfinals

March 12

Kansas City (Sprint Center)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

4 Texas (19-12)

5 Texas Tech (18-13)

12:30 PM

ESPN2

1 Kansas (28-3)

8 Oklahoma St. (18-14)

2:30 PM

ESPN2

2 Baylor (26-4)

10 Kansas St. (11-21)

7:00 PM

ESPN2

3 Oklahoma (19-12)

6 West Virginia (21-10)

9:00 PM

ESPN2

 

 

Big East Tournament

Quarterfinals

March 12

New York (Madison Square Garden)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

1 Creighton (24-7)

9 St. John’s (17-15)

12:00 PM

FS1

4 Providence (19-12)

5 Butler (22-9)

2:30 PM

FS1

2 Villanova (24-7)

10 DePaul (16-16)

7:00 PM

FS1

3 Seton Hall (21-9)

6 Marquette (18-12)

9:00 PM

FS1

 

Big Sky Tournament

Quarterfinals

March 12

Boise, ID (Century Link Arena)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

1 Eastern Washington (23-8)

9 Sacramento St. (16-14)

2:00 PM

watchbigsky.com

4 Portland St. (18-14)

5 Montana St. (16-15)

4:30 PM

watchbigsky.com

2 Northern Colorado (22-9)

7 Southern Utah (17-15)

7:30 PM

watchbigsky.com

3 Montana (18-13)

11 Idaho St. (8-22)

10:00 PM

watchbigsky.com

 

 

Big Ten Tournament

2nd Round

March 12

Indianapolis (Bankers Life Fieldhouse)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

8 Rutgers (20-11)

9 Michigan (19-12)

12:00 PM

Big Ten Network

5 Iowa (20-11)

12 Minnesota (15-16)

2:30 PM

Big Ten Network

7 Ohio St. (21-10)

10 Purdue (16-15)

6:30 PM

Big Ten Network

6 Penn St. (21-10)

11 Indiana (20-12)

9:00 PM

Big Ten Network

 

 

Big West Tournament

Quarterfinals

March 12

Anaheim, CA (Honda Center)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

2 Cal St. Northridge (15-17)

7 Cal St. Fullerton (11-20)

3:00 PM

ESPN3

3 UC Santa Barbara (21-10)

6 UC Riverside (17-15)

5:30 PM

ESPN3

1 UC Irvine (21-11)

8 Long Beach St. (11-21)

9:00 PM

ESPN3

4 Hawaii (17-13)

5 UC Davis (14-18)

11:30 PM

ESPN3

 

Conference USA Tournament

Quarterfinals

March 12

Frisco, TX (Ford Center)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

1 North Texas (20-11)

9 Florida Atlantic (17-15)

7:00 PM Court A

Stadium

4 Charlotte (16-13)

5 Florida Intl. (19-13)

7:30 PM Court B

Facebook

2 Western Kentucky (20-10)

7 UAB (19-13)

9:30 PM Court A

Stadium

3 Louisiana Tech (22-8)

6 Marshall (17-15)

10:00 PM Court B

Facebook

 

 

Metro Atlantic Athletic Tournament

Quarterfinals

March 12

Atlantic City, NJ (Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

3 Rider (18-12)

6 Niagara (12-20)

7:00 PM 

ESPN3

4 Monmouth (18-13)

5 Quinnipiac (15-15)

9:30 PM 

ESPN3

 

 

Mid-American Tournament (MACtion)

Quarterfinals

March 12

Cleveland (Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

1 Akron (24-7)

8 Ohio U (17-15)

12:00 PM

ESPN+

4 Northern Illinois (18-13)

12 Miami (O) (13-19)

2:30 PM

ESPN+

2 Bowling Green (21-10)

7 Toledo (17-15)

6:30 PM

ESPN+

3 Ball St. (18-13)

6 Kent St. (20-12)

9:00 PM

ESPN+

 

 

Mid-Eastern Athletic Tournament

Quarterfinals

March 12

Norfolk, VA (Scope Arena)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

4 Bethune-Cookman (16-14)

5 Morgan St. (15-16)

6:00 PM 

Flohoops (pay)

3 Norfolk St. (16-15)

6 Coppin St. (11-20)

8:00 PM 

Flohoops (pay)

 

 

Pac-12 Tournament

Quarterfinals

March 12

Las Vegas (T-Mobile Arena)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

1 Oregon (24-7)

8 Oregon St. (18-13)

3:00 PM

Pac-12 Network

4 USC (22-9)

5 Arizona (21-11)

5:30 PM

Pac-12 Network

2 UCLA (19-12)

10 California (14-18)

9:00 PM

Pac-12 Network

3 Arizona St. (20-11)

11 Washington St. (16-16)

11:30 PM

FS1

 

 

Southeastern Tournament

2nd Round

March 12

Nashville (Bridgestone Arena)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

8 Tennessee (17-14)

9 Alabama (16-15)

1:00 PM

SEC Network

5 Florida (19-12)

13 Georgia (16-16)

3:30 PM

SEC Network

7 Texas A&M (16-14)

10 Missouri (15-16)

7:00 PM

SEC Network

6 South Carolina (18-13)

11 Arkansas (20-12)

9:30 PM

SEC Network

 

 

Southland Tournament

2nd Round

March 12

Katy, TX (Leonard E. Merrell Center)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

4 Sam Houston St. (18-13)

5 Northwestern St. (15-15)

6:00 PM

ESPN+

3 Nicholls St. (21-10)

6 Lamar (17-15)

8:30 PM

ESPN+

 

 

Western Athletic Tournament

Quarterfinals

March 12

Las Vegas (Orleans Arena)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

1 New Mexico St. (25-6)

8 Chicago St. (4-25)

3:00 PM

ESPN+

4 Grand Canyon (12-17)

5 Seattle (14-15)

5:30 PM

ESPN+

2 UT Rio Grande Valley (14-16)

7 Utah Valley (11-19)

9:00 PM

ESPN+

3 Kansas City (16-14)

6 Cal St. Bakersfield (12-18)

11:30 PM

ESPN+

 

 

 

March 7, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For March 7, 2020

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 7:08 am

Saturday’s Games

 

Home

Visitor

Spread

Alabama A&M

Jackson St.

-3.9

Alabama St.

Grambling

-0.1

Alcorn St.

Texas Southern

-0.8

Arizona

Washington

10.0

Arizona St.

Washington St.

9.9

Arkansas Pine Bluff

Mississippi Valley St.

8.3

Belmont

Murray St.

2.9

Bradley

Drake

3.0

Cal St. Fullerton

Long Beach St.

4.1

Cal St. Northridge

Hawaii

1.4

Central Arkansas

Northwestern St.

4.7

Cincinnati

Temple

9.8

Creighton

Seton Hall

3.0

Dartmouth

Brown

5.2

Dayton

George Washington

23.8

Drexel

UNC Wilmington

3.1

Duke

North Carolina

12.5

East Tennessee St.

VMI

13.9

Eastern Washington

Weber St.

12.0

Elon

James Madison

1.0

Florida

Kentucky

2.7

Florida Intl.

Western Kentucky

-0.4

Florida St.

Boston College

17.8

Fordham

George Mason

-2.1

Furman

Wofford

6.3

Georgetown

Villanova

-2.2

Grand Canyon

Cal St. Bakersfield

3.0

Hartford

UMass Lowell

3.0

Harvard

Yale

-1.6

Idaho

Idaho St.

-1.0

Incarnate Word

Abilene Christian

-11.7

Indiana

Wisconsin

2.1

Kansas St.

Iowa St.

2.1

Lamar

McNeese

3.5

Louisiana

Arkansas St.

1.7

Louisiana Tech

Charlotte

9.1

LSU

Georgia

8.8

Massachusetts

Rhode Island

-5.2

Mercer

Western Carolina

-2.2

Miami (Fla.)

Syracuse

-0.5

Middle Tennessee

Southern Miss.

2.6

Mississippi St.

Ole Miss

5.3

Missouri

Alabama

-0.8

Missouri St.

Valparaiso

2.1

Montana

Southern Utah

4.2

Montana St.

Northern Colorado

-5.8

New Orleans

Southeastern Louisiana

5.4

North Dakota St.

Denver

11.7

Northwestern

Penn St.

-8.2

Notre Dame

Virginia Tech

6.1

Oregon

Stanford

7.0

Oregon St.

California

9.6

Pacific

San Francisco

-3.4

Penn

Columbia

12.2

Portland St.

Sacramento St.

3.8

Princeton

Cornell

10.9

Providence

DePaul

7.9

Purdue

Rutgers

4.5

Rice

UTEP

2.3

Robert Morris

Long Island

5.0

Saint Joseph’s

La Salle

-3.4

Saint Louis

St. Bonaventure

6.3

Saint Mary’s

Pepperdine

8.5

San Diego St.

Utah St.

5.2

South Dakota St.

Purdue Fort Wayne

9.9

South Florida

SMU

0.6

Southern

Prairie View

0.1

St. Francis (PA)

Sacred Heart

4.6

St. John’s

Marquette

-1.6

Stephen F. Austin

Sam Houston

10.0

Stony Brook

Albany

9.0

TCU

Oklahoma

-0.7

Tennessee

Auburn

1.1

Texas

Oklahoma St.

4.1

Texas A&M

Arkansas

-4.5

Texas A&M-CC

Houston Baptist

9.8

Texas Tech

Kansas

-4.0

UAB

Old Dominion

1.2

UC Santa Barbara

Cal Poly

13.2

UMBC

New Hampshire

2.2

UNC Greensboro

Chattanooga

5.9

USC

UCLA

3.8

UT Rio Grande Valley

California Baptist

-0.9

UT-Arlington

Coastal Carolina

6.8

Utah

Colorado

-4.8

UTSA

Marshall

-0.4

Vanderbilt

South Carolina

-5.1

Vermont

Maine

20.3

Virginia

Louisville

-2.3

West Virginia

Baylor

0.4

Xavier

Butler

1.4

 

Saturday’s Key Games on TV

 

Time (EST)

Network

Home

Visitor

12:00 PM

ESPN

Indiana

Wisconsin

12:00 PM

ESPN2

Tennessee

Auburn

12:00 PM

ESPN3

St. Francis (PA)

Sacred Heart

1:00 PM

CBS

Florida

Kentucky

1:00 PM

ESPN+

West Virginia

Baylor

2:00 PM

ESPN

Texas Tech

Kansas

2:00 PM

ESPN3

Robert Morris

Long Island

2:30 PM

Fox

Creighton

Seton Hall

3:15 PM

CBS

USC

UCLA

3:35 PM

CBSSN

Bradley

Drake

4:00 PM

ESPN

Virginia

Louisville

5:30 PM

CBS

San Diego St.

Utah St.

5:30 PM

ESPN3

Stephen F. Austin

Sam Houston St.

6:00 PM

ESPN+

Penn

Columbia

6:00 PM

ESPN+

Princeton

Cornell

6:00 PM

ESPN2

TCU

Oklahoma

6:05 PM

CBSSN

Missouri St.

Valparaiso

7:00 PM

ESPN+

Harvard

Yale

8:00 PM

ESPN2

Belmont

Murray St.

8:30 PM

ESPN+

UNC Greensboro

Chattanooga

8:30 PM

FS1

Xavier

Butler

11:00 PM

FS1

Oregon

Stanford

12:00 AM

ESPN2

Saint Mary’s

Pepperdine

 

CONFERENCE  TOURNAMENTS  UPDATE

 

America East Tournament

Quarterfinals

March 7

at Higher Seed’s Home Court

Home

Visitor

Time (ET)

TV

1 Vermont (24-7)

8 Maine (9-21)

7:00 PM

ESPN3

2 Stony Brook (19-12)

7 Albany (14-17)

7:00 PM

ESPN3

3 Hartford (16-15)

6 UMass Lowell (13-18)

5:00 PM

ESPN3

4 UMBC (15-16)

5 New Hampshire (15-14)

1:00 PM

ESPN3

Vermont is the heavy favorite to repeat as AEC Champions.  The Catamounts will host every game they play in this tournament, and while Vermont’s two conference losses did come at home, it would be a major upset if another team represented the league in the NCAA Tournament.  Vermont is certainly an upset-worthy double-digit seed in the Big Dance, while no other team in this league is talented enough to win anything other than a play-in game in Dayton.

 

 

 

Big South Tournament

Semifinals

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Winthrop

78

Gardner-Webb

66

Hampton

86

Radford

78

With top seed Radford losing to Hampton, Winthrop now becomes host team for Sunday’s Big South Championship Game.  The Eagles will host the surprise Hampton Pirates at 1:00 PM tomorrow in a game televised on ESPN.

 

 

 

Colonial Athletic Tournament

1st Round

March 7

Washington, D.C. (Entertainment & Sports Arena)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

8 Drexel (13-18)

9 UNC Wilmington (10-21)

4:00 PM

FloHoops (Subscrip.)

7 Elon (11-20)

10 James Madison (9-20)

6:30 PM

FloHoops (Subscrip.)

 

Five CAA Teams finished with double-digit conference wins, and none of them play today, as they received byes to the quarterfinals.  We don’t expect any of today’s combatants to be around by the semifinals.  

The #’s 5 & 6 seeds in this tournament, Delaware and Northeastern, are the two dark horses that could create some havoc during the the next few days.  Hofstra and William and Mary are the top two seeds, but neither is a shoo-in to make the conference championship game.

 

 

 

Missouri Valley Tournament (Arch Madness)

Quarterfinals

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Drake

77

Northern Iowa

56

Bradley

64

Southern Illinois

59

Valparaiso

74

Loyola (Chi.)

73 ot

Missouri St.

78

Indiana St.

51

 

Missouri Valley Tournament (Arch Madness)

Semifinals

March 7

St. Louis (Enterprise Center)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

4 Bradley (21-11)

8 Drake (20-13)

3:30 PM

CBSSN

6 Missouri St. (16-16)

7 Valparaiso (18-15)

6:00 PM

CBSSN

 

As we mentioned in our first preview of Arch Madness, this tournament has been won by a team coming from back in the pack as often as it has been won by the top seed.  Well, after yesterday, you can kiss the top three seeds good bye!  Northern Iowa, Loyola of Chicago, and Indiana State all went home, and we are left with a 4, 6, 7, and 8 seed.  And, the 8-seeded Drake Bulldogs looked the most impressive by far in the quarterfinal shellacking of UNI.  

Missouri State vastly played beneath the level of its talent in the regular season, so it would not be surprising to see the Bears playing for a spot in the NCAA Tournament tomorrow.  MSU coach Dana Ford comes from the Gregg Marshall coaching tree, and his team plays a similar style, which tends to bring teams to their peak performance in March.

 

 

 

Mountain West Tournament

Semifinals

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

San Diego St.

81

Boise St.

68

Utah St.

89

Wyoming

82

 

Mountain West Tournament

Championship

March 7

Las Vegas (Thomas & Mack Center)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

1 San Diego St. (30-1)

2 Utah St. (25-8)

5:30 PM

CBS

 

With the top two teams making it to the Championship Game, the league is now guaranteed to have two Dance tickets punched.  Utah St. has now moved off the Bubble into the safe part of the projected field.  

San Diego State started cold last night and trailed by 16 points before a barrage of three-pointers brought the Aztecs back and allowed them to tie the game at the half and then run away in the second half in a similar manner to their blowout of Iowa across town in a mid-season tournament in Vegas.  A win today could secure a number one seed for SDSU, as they are locked in a fierce battle with Dayton for the fourth number one seed as of this moment.

 

 

 

Northeast Tournament

Quarterfinals

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Robert Morris

59

St. Francis (NY)

58

St. Francis (PA)

87

Bryant

61

Sacred Heart

61

Mount St. Mary’s

59

Long Island

73

Fairleigh-Dickinson

72

Northeast Tournament

Semifinals

March 7

at Higher Seed’s Home Court

Home

Visitor

Time (ET)

TV

2 St. Francis (PA) (21-9)

3 Sacred Heart (20-12)

12:00 PM

ESPN3

1 Robert Morris (18-14)

4 Long Island (15-17)

2:00 PM

ESPN3

 

 

 

Ohio Valley Tournament

Semifinals

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Belmont

60

Eastern Kentucky

50

Murray St.

73

Austin Peay

61

 

Ohio Valley Tournament

Championship

March 7

Evansville, IN (Ford Center)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

1 Belmont (25-7)

2 Murray St. (23-8)

8:00 PM

ESPN2

 

This tournament can almost schedule this game as part of its regular season package.  Belmont and Murray State have met in the OVC Title Game numerous times since the Bruins entered the league.  Last year, both teams made the NCAA Tournament and won their first games.  Neither are as strong as they were last year, but that doesn’t mean that the winner of this game must be taken lightly in the Big Dance.  The champion will receive a #14 or #15 seed in the field, and some #2 or 3 seed will be in for a real fight.

 

 

Southern Tournament

1st Round

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

VMI

96

Samford

78

Wofford

93

The Citadel

76

Southern Tournament

Quarterfinals

March 7

Asheville, NC (Harrah’s Cherokee Center)

Team

Team

Time ET

TV

1 East Tennessee St. (27-4)

9 VMI (9-23)

12:00 PM

ESPN+

4 Mercer (17-14)

5 Western Carolina (18-11)

2:30 PM

ESPN+

2 Furman (25-6)

7 Wofford (17-15)

6:00 PM

ESPN+

3 UNC Greensboro (23-8)

6 Chattanooga (19-12)

8:30 PM

ESPN+

East Tennessee coach Steve Forbes doesn’t let his troops rest on their laurels.  When Northern Iowa was upset yesterday in the quarterfinal round of the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament, you can bet he used this to make sure his team knew it better come ready to play against VMI today.  The Keydets can score points in a hurry, and if ETSU comes out flat thinking they can walk over VMI like Sherman marched through Atlanta, the Bucs may find themselves in a big hole.

All four of these games are worth watching.  Any of the remaining eight teams are strong enough and talented enough to win three games in the next three days.  Even the lowest remaining seed, Wofford, can cut the nets, as they did last year.  

If East Tennessee wins two games in this tournament and then loses to a Furman or UNC Greensboro, the Buccaneers could still receive an at-large bid, but it isn’t a sure thing.  The chances that two SoCon teams get bids are rather slim, which makes this tournament so exciting with eight quality teams remaining.  If you like contrasting styles of play, this is a tournament you want to watch even if you have no dog in the fight.

 

 

 

Summit Tournament

Quarterfinals

March 7 & 8

Sioux Falls, SD (Sanford Premier Center)

Home

Visitor

Time (ET)

TV

1 North Dakota St. (22-8)

8 Denver (7-23)

7:00 PM 3/7

ESPN+

4 Oral Roberts (16-13)

5 Omaha (16-15)

7:00 PM 3/8

ESPN+

2 South Dakota St. (22-9)

7 Purdue Fort Wayne (13-18)

9:30 PM 3/7

ESPN+

3 South Dakota (20-11)

6 North Dakota (13-17)

9:30 PM 3/8

ESPN+

 

Depending on which way you drive into the Denny Sanford Premier Center, you might think the building is a giant cylinder or you might think it is a long rectangular complex.  Take it from somebody that was there and mistook the building for something else because he arrived on the back side of the arena rather than the front.

This year’s Summit League Tournament may have the same feeling.  On the front side of the league, South Dakota State and North Dakota State look like potent teams destined to make the championship round.  But, on the back side of the league, teams like Omaha and Oral Roberts might look like they belong in a different league, but when the front end and back end are brought together (the venue looks like a giant barge), the tournament takes on a different style with some potentially interesting games.  Don’t put the top two seeds in the Championship Game bracket in pen.  

Having no connection to Sioux Falls, South Dakota, let me highly endorse visiting this beautiful city.  The Falls here are nothing like those in Niagara, but they are incredibly wonderful in their own way.  There is a traquilizing effect to seeing multiple falls at the level of the falls as opposed to being well above in Niagara or in the Maid of the Mist in the water.  While Niagara is a power plant of water flow, Sioux Falls has more peaceful water.  Consider Sioux Falls in a future Summer Vacation when you plan a visit to Mount Rushmore.

 

 

 

Sun Belt Tournament

1st Round

March 7

at Higher Seed’s Home Court

Home

Visitor

Time (ET)

TV

8 Louisiana (13-18)

9 Arkansas St. (16-15)

12:00 PM

ESPN+

7 UT-Arlington (14-17)

10 Coastal Carolina (15-16)

3:00 PM

ESPN+

 

The Sun Belt Conference plays its tournament in a similar manner to the Ohio Valley and West Coast Conferences.  The bottom four teams play in the first round with the two winners advancing to play the next two teams above them in the seed line.  Then, the two winners in the second round advance to play the next two teams above them in the seed line.  Meanwhile, the top two seeds receive byes to the Semifinal Round.

Unlike the OVC and WCC, the first three rounds are played on the home courts of the higher-seeded teams, so it really makes the regular season standings meaningful.

This format gives the top two seeds, Little Rock and South Alabama, huge advantages over the rest of the field, since they can plan to be in Le Vieux Carre while the other teams must earn their way to the Smoothie King Center.

In this tournament, the 3rd-seeded Texas State Bobcats are probably the best team, and they should make it to New Orleans to face 2nd-seed South Alabama.  If they beat the Jaguars in the semifinal round, they stand a better than 50-50 chance of knocking off Little Rock if the Trojans knock of 4th-seed Georgia Southern or an upset winner in the prior rounds.

 

 

 

West Coast Tournament

2nd Round

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

San Francisco

82

Loyola Marymount

53

Pepperdine

84

Santa Clara

73

West Coast Tournament

Quarterfinals

March 7

Las Vegas (Orleans Arena)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

4 Pacific (23-9)

5 San Francisco (21-11)

10:00 PM

ESPN2

3 Saint Mary’s (24-7)

6 Pepperdine (16-15)

12:30 AM

ESPN2

The two winners last night looked very impressive beating teams they were favored to beat.  Now, the competition gets a little tougher, and tonight’s games should be tense and close.  Gonzaga faces the winner of the Pacific-San Francisco game, while BYU faces the winner of the SMC-Pepperdine game.  The remainder of this tournament is going to be uber interesting, and you should stay up late and catch all the action.  Hopefully, the zebras won’t become too much of a factor like last night’s Pepperdine-Santa Clara game, when they whistled more technical fouls in a three-minute stretch than most conference tournaments have in the entire meet.

 

Don’t Forget–Spring Forward Tonight Before Bedtime–Turn up your clocks one hour for daylight savings time and realize you are “losing an hour of sleep.”  I’ve heard about that thing called sleep; maybe some time, I will try it out.

March 4, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For March 4, 2020

Wednesday’s Games

 

Home

Visitor

Spread

Arkansas

LSU

2.8

Auburn

Texas A&M

12.7

Butler

St. John’s

7.6

Central Florida

SMU

-0.2

Charlotte

North Texas

-3.9

Colorado St.

Wyoming

14.3

Creighton

Georgetown

8.9

Eastern Illinois

Jacksonville St.

4.8

Fresno St.

Air Force

4.0

George Mason

Saint Louis

-2.8

George Washington

Fordham

5.7

Georgia

Florida

-2.2

Georgia Tech

Pittsburgh

6.7

Incarnate Word

Houston Baptist

2.8

Indiana

Minnesota

2.9

Iona

Quinnipiac

5.5

Kansas

TCU

18.2

La Salle

Massachusetts

3.3

Long Island

Fairleigh Dickinson

4.8

Louisiana Tech

Florida Intl.

9.2

Marist

Canisius

0.2

Marshall

Florida Atlantic

5.6

Miami (Fla.)

Virginia

-1.4

Middle Tennessee

UTEP

-2.4

Monmouth

Fairfield

8.0

New Mexico

San Jose St.

10.5

Nicholls

McNeese

5.9

Northwestern St.

New Orleans

3.4

Notre Dame

Florida St.

-2.7

Oklahoma St.

Kansas St.

6.2

Old Dominion

UTSA

4.6

Ole Miss

Missouri

4.3

Providence

Xavier

3.1

Rhode Island

Dayton

-4.1

Rider

Manhattan

7.6

Robert Morris

St. Francis (NY)

8.6

Sacred Heart

Mount St. Mary’s

8.6

Seton Hall

Villanova

4.3

Siena

Niagara

10.7

Southeast Louisiana

Central Arkansas

-3.4

Southern Miss

Rice

-0.5

St. Bonaventure

Saint Joseph’s

11.8

St. Francis (PA)

Bryant

6.5

Temple

Tulsa

2.0

Tennessee St.

Morehead St.

6.1

Texas A&M-CC

Sam Houston St.

-2.8

UC Irvine

Cal St. Northridge

12.8

Virginia Tech

Clemson

0.9

Wisconsin

Northwestern

13.5

 

Key TV Games on Wednesday

 

Time (EST)

Network

Home

Visitor

6:30 PM

FS1

Providence

Xavier

7:00 PM

SECN

Arkansas

LSU

8:00 PM

ESPN+

Kansas

TCU

8:30 PM

FS1

Seton Hall

Villanova

9:00 PM

CBSSN

Rhode Island

Dayton

 

Conference Tournament Section

 

Tuesday’s Results

 

Atlantic Sun Tournament 

Quarterfinals

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Liberty

55

NJIT

49

Stetson

82

North Alabama

72

Lipscomb

68

Florida Gulf Coast

63

North Florida

91

Jacksonville

88

 

Semifinals

March 5

at Higher Seed’s Home Court

Home

Visitor

Time (ET)

TV

1 Liberty (28-4)

4 Stetson (16-16)

7:00 PM

ESPN+

2 North Florida (21-11)

3 Lipscomb (15-15)

7:00 PM

ESPN+

 

 

Big South Tournament

1st Round

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

USC Upstate

69

High Point

59

UNC-Asheville

72

Campbell

68

Charleston Southern

81

Presbyterian

64

 

Quarterfinals

March 5

at #1 Seed Radford

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

2 Winthrop (21-10)

7 USC Upstate (13-19)

12:00 PM

ESPN3

3 Gardner-Webb (15-15)

6 UNC-Asheville (15-15)

2:00 PM

ESPN3

1 Radford (20-10)

8 Charleston Southern (14-17)

6:00 PM

ESPN3

4 Longwood (14-17)

5 Hampton (13-18)

8:00 PM

ESPN3

 

 

Horizon League Tournament

1st Round

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Illinois Chicago

93

IUPUI

59

Youngstown St.

63

Milwaukee

57

Oakland

80

Cleveland St.

59

 

Quarterfinals

March 5

at Higher Seed’s Home Court

Home

Visitor

Time (ET)

TV

3 Green Bay (16-15)

6 Oakland (14-18)

8:00 PM

ESPN+

4 Illinois Chicago (15-17)

5 Youngstown (18-14)

8:00 PM

ESPN+

 

Patriot League Tournament

1st Round

Winner

Score

Loser

Score

Bucknell

65

Holy Cross

62

Lehigh

78

Loyola (MD)

75

 

Quarterfinals

March 5

at Higher Seed’s Home Court

Home

Visitor

Time (ET)

TV

2 American (16-13)

7 Bucknell (13-19)

7:00 PM

Pat League Network

3 Boston U (18-13)

6 Navy (14-15)

7:00 PM

Pat League Network

4 Army (15-14)

5 Lafayette (18-11)

7:00 PM

Pat League Network

1 Colgate (23-8)

8 Lehigh (11-20)

7:00 PM

Pat League Network

 

 

Tournaments Beginning Wednesday

 

Mountain West Tournament

1st Round

March 4

Las Vegas (Thomas & Mack Center)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

8 Fresno St. (11-18)

9 Air Force (11-19)

3:00 PM

Mountain West Net.

7 New Mexico (18-13)

10 San Jose St. (7-23)

5:30 PM

Mountain West Net.

6 Colorado St. (20-11)

11 Wyoming (7-23)

8:00 PM

Mountain West Net.

 

 

Northeast Tournament

Quarterfinals

March 4

at Higher Seed’s Home Court

Home

Visitor

Time (ET)

TV

1 Robert Morris (17-14)

8 St. Francis (NY) (13-17)

7:00 PM

http://necfrontrow.com/

2 St. Francis (PA) (20-9)

7 Bryant (15-16)

7:00 PM

http://necfrontrow.com/

3 Sacred Heart (19-12)

6 Mount St. Mary’s (11-20)

7:00 PM

http://necfrontrow.com/

4 Long Island (14-17)

5 Fairleigh-Dickinson (11-18)

7:00 PM

http://necfrontrow.com/

 

 

Ohio Valley Tournament

1st Round

March 4

Evansville, IN (Ford Center)

Team

Team

Time (ET)

TV

5 Tennessee St. (17-14)

8 Morehead St. (13-18)

7:30 PM

ESPN+

6 Eastern Illinois (16-14)

7 Jacksonville St. (13-18)

9:30 PM

ESPN+

 

 

 

February 19, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For February 19, 2020

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 7:08 am

Wednesday’s Games

 

Home

Visitor

Spread

Alabama

Texas A&M

13.1

American

Navy

4.9

Arkansas St.

UL Monroe

7.0

Bradley

Missouri St.

4.9

Cincinnati

Central Florida

11.2

Citadel

Chattanooga

-8.4

Colgate

Lehigh

15.3

DePaul

Villanova

-3.4

Drake

Valparaiso

2.4

Duquesne

George Washington

11.4

East Tennessee St.

Furman

4.6

Fresno St.

Air Force

6.2

Georgetown

Providence

4.8

Georgia

Auburn

-3.4

Houston

Tulsa

10.0

Houston Baptist

Abilene Christian

-10.7

Incarnate Word

McNeese

-7.3

La Salle

Fordham

7.6

Lafayette

Boston U

-0.3

Louisville

Syracuse

10.0

Loyola (Chi.)

Illinois St.

11.4

Loyola (MD)

Army

2.6

Memphis

East Carolina

15.8

Mercer

Samford

7.5

Minnesota

Indiana

4.9

Mississippi St.

South Carolina

5.5

North Carolina St.

Duke

-8.4

North Dakota

South Dakota St.

-4.1

Northwestern St.

Nicholls St.

-4.3

Richmond

George Mason

11.8

Rutgers

Michigan

1.2

Sam Houston St.

Lamar

8.8

San Jose St.

Boise St.

-11.5

Seton Hall

Butler

5.7

Siena

Iona

7.0

South Dakota

North Dakota St.

0.3

Stephen F. Austin

Central Arkansas

14.0

Texas

TCU

4.1

Texas Tech

Kansas St.

12.0

Tulane

SMU

-6.1

UC Irvine

Long Beach St.

15.7

UMKC

California Baptist

-0.2

UNC Greensboro

Wofford

10.1

Utah St.

Wyoming

21.1

Virginia

Boston College

11.6

Virginia Tech

Miami

4.9

Wake Forest

Georgia Tech

1.3

Washington St.

California

6.6

Western Carolina

VMI

9.5

 

Wednesday’s Key TV Games

 

Time (EST)

Network

Home

Visitor

6:30 PM

FS1

Seton Hall

Butler

7:00 PM

ESPN

Louisville

Syracuse

7:00 PM

BTN

Rutgers

Michigan

7:00 PM

ESPN+

East Tennessee St.

Furman

8:00 PM

ESPN3

South Dakota

North Dakota St.

8:30 PM

FS1

Georgetown

Providence

9:00 PM

ESPN

North Carolina St.

Duke

9:00 PM

ESPNU

Houston

Tulsa

9:00 PM

BTN

Minnesota

Indiana

9:00 PM

SECN

Mississippi St.

South Carolina

In Order To Perform A More Perfect Metric

 

If you follow this website on a semi-regular basis, you know that our R+T Rating has been the one unique metric used by us when predicting NCAA Tournament favorites.

For those of you that are new to this site, our R+T Rating was created two decades ago to estimate the extra scoring opportunities (by points) each team might be better than average in the NCAA Tournament.  We realized long ago that just like the “Money Ball” type of baseball strategies did not work well in the Major League Playoffs, the NCAA Tournament presented its own unique differences and required more than the Four Factors to determine winners when only the good to great teams remain.

The current formula for R+T consists of counting stats, but we have realized for some time that rate stats are much more accurate.  Using baseball as an example, a counting stat would be Johnny Horsehide hitting 43 home runs and driving in 118 runs.  These two stats might lead the Majors, but these stats may not reveal what we want them to reveal.  Gary Goodeye might hit just 34 home runs and drive in 95 runs, but Good Ole Gary might be a better home run hitter than Johnny.  How many times did Horsehide come to the plate?  What if Horsehide walked 34 times in 702 plate appearances while playing for a team that had three all-stars hitting in front of him, all of whom have on-base percentages of .400 or better?

What if Goodeye had 650 plate appearances playing on a team that was quite weak offensively?  Let’s say his teammates that batted in front of him had one-base percentages between .320 and .335.  Let’s say that Goodeye didn’t always get good pitches when he appeared in the batter’s box, and he walked 125 times.

Now, if we look at the number of home runs hit per at bat or plate appearances that did not end in a walk (or hit by pitch or sacrifice), we will see that Goodeye actually hit home runs at a slightly better rate than Horsehide.  As for runs batted in, that statistic is close to meaningless, because in order to drive runs in, runners must be on base.  So, the RBI stat is more reliant on the other players on the team.  It could be that Goodeye drove in runners better than Horsehide, because when we look at how many runners were on base and what base they were on, Goodeye might have had a better percentage at driving those runners in.

Back to basketball.  A team with a rebounding advantage of 43-37 has a +6 margin.  A team with a rebounding advantage of 35-30 has a +5 margin.  Using counting stats, the 43-37 team is one better than the 35-30 team.  But, the 35-30 team rebounded 53.85% of the missed shots, while the 43-37 team only rebounded 53.75% of the shots.  So, the 35-30 team is a little better than the 43-37 team on the surface.

However, it is harder to get offensive rebounds than it is to get defensive rebounds.  In fact, data throughout the calculated history of college basketball shows that an offensive rebound is worth better than 2 1/2 defensive rebounds.  The Four Factors breaks rebounding rate down into offensive and defensive rates.  

Let’s say that in a game,  Team A shot 25 of 60 for 41.7% while shooting 16-22 at the foul line for 72.7%.  Team B shot 28 of 58 for 48.3% while shooting 10-17 at the foul line for 58.8%.  Team A hit one more three point basket than Team B and one by a point.  

Now, let’s look at the rebounding for this game.  First, there were five dead ball rebounds, which we do not count as actual rebounds.  The statistical rules in basketball is that for every missed shot, there must be a rebound.  When a player is at the foul line for two shots, and he misses the first shot, there is not a real rebound.  The foul shooting team gets credited with a dead ball rebound.

To the contrary, team rebounds do count, because these are rebounds in which possession is determined.  When a missed shot ends up out of bounds before possession can be guaranteed, the team that gets possession out of bounds receives an offensive rebound.

In this game after removing the five dead ball rebounds, there were 73 rebounds to be had.  When Team A shot, there were 39 potential rebounds following misses, while when Team B shot, there were 34 potential rebounds following misses.

Looking at the stats, Team A finished with 13 offensive rebounds and 23 defensive rebounds for 36 total rebounds.  Team B finished with 11 offensive rebounds and 26 defensive rebounds for 37 total rebounds.

Team B had a counting rebounding margin of +1, while Team A had a margin of -1.  However, let’s now look at the percentage of offensive rebounds each team enjoyed.  Team A had 13 offensive rebounds out of 39 missed shots, which is 33.3% of the missed shots at their offensive end.  Team B had 11 offensive rebounds out of 34 missed shots for 32.4% of the missed shots at their offensive end. 

Looking at the rate stats, Team A may have retrieved fewer total rebounds than Team B, but they were actually the better rebounding team in this game by almost 1%.

The rate data is obviously more telling than counting data, but how can we determine a point value to substitute rate data for counting data in our R+T Rating, which in the past has picked a lot of surprise NCAA Tournament winners?

We’ve been back-testing values daily for two months.  We had to include a constant in our formulas to smooth out the results to make the numbers mean something.  Without the constant, the results were too far apart to mean something.  Tiny differences led to major spreads, and that did not tell us what we wanted.  

After about 150 to 175 different attempts, we believe (HOPE) that we have finally had a breakthrough.  The following formula will be explained after we reveal it:

((R*8)+(S*2+((5-Opp S)*2)+(T*4)))/2.75

 

This formula now refers to Rate Stats.  The “R” in the formula now stands for Rebounding Rate.  This is a combination of both offensive and defensive rebounding rate and it is a deviation from the norm and not just a percentage.  The norm in our experiment is 28.1%.  If a team has an offensive rebounding rate above this number, it is above average, and if it is below this number, it is below average.  Thus, the norm for defensive rebounding rate is the opposite of the above number, or 71.9%.  We then calculate our R part of the formula by taking each team’s offensive rate minus 28.1 plus their defensive rate minus 71.9 and then add the two results and divide by 2.

Example: Today, Houston has an offensive rebounding rate of 38.5%, which is 10.4% higher than average (we experimented with using the actual percentage better which would have been 37% better than average, but we never arrived at a usable final number doing so.)  Houston’s defensive rebounding rate is 74.5%, which is 2.6% better than average. 

We then take both numbers (+10.4 & +2.6), sum the numbers, and divide by 2 to get +6.5.  That would be the R number for Houston in the new formula.

Let’s now update our formula:

((6.5*8)+(S*2+((5-Opp S)*2)+(T*4)))/2.75

 

The rest of this formula uses the same system as above.  The norm for steals (S) is 9.2% for both offense and defense.

Houston has a 7.4% steal rate, which is 1.8% below average.  Houston’s opponents have a 7.5% steal rate against them, which is 1.7% above average for Houston.  Once again, we update the formula.

 

((6.5*8)+(-1.8*2+((5- [-1.7])*2)+(T*4)))/2.75

 

Now, we need Turnover rates, both offensive and defensive.  The norm for turnover rate is 16.9%.  Obviously, the lower the offensive turnover rate is, the better, and the higher the defensive turnover rate is, the better.  Houston’s offensive turnover rate is 14.9%, which is 2.0% better than average.  The Cougars’ defensive turnover rate is 15.8%, which is 1.1% below average.  We sum the two numbers and divide by 2:  2.0 + (-1.1) = 0.9 and divided by 2 = 0.45.  The 0.45 is now our T in the equation and we are ready to solve the equation.  The 2.75 by the way is our constant that when used brings the results into what we hope is a usable formula.

 

((6.5*8)+(-1.8*2+((5- [-1.7])*2)+(.45*4)))/2.75

 

We will simplify the formula in case you have math anxiety like one of our PiRate lasses.

 

((52)+(-3.6+(6.7*2)+(1.8)))/2.75

 

(52+9.8+1.8)/2.75

 

63.6/2.75 = 23.13

 

We will have some growing pains with this new formula, and there’s a good chance that the numbers will be tweaked in the future, but this is the Rate Version of the R+T Rating that we will use in the NCAA Tournament.  Because it is an experiment, we will also use the original R+T formula when we issue our Bracketnomics 2020 edition.

 

Here are the two formulas together for you to compare.

 

Original R+T using actual counting margins and averages

 

(R * 2) + (S * .5) + (6 – Opp S) + T

R = Rebounding Margin
S = Average Steals Per Game
T = Turnover Margin

 

New Experimental R+T using rate the percentage number difference from the norm

 

((R*8)+(S*2+((5-Opp S)*2)+(T*4)))/2.75

The 2020 Norms

Offensive Rebounding:        28.1%

Defensive Rebounding:       71.9%

Steals (O&D):                         9.2%

Turnovers (O&D)                16.9%

 

 

 

 

 

Older Posts »

Create a free website or blog at WordPress.com.