January 8, 2023
Spreads
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias Buffalo Miami 11.7 11.4 11.6 Cincinnati Baltimore 7.0 7.7 8.4 Jacksonville LA Chargers 3.6 3.7 3.6 Minnesota N.Y. Giants 5.4 4.3 4.1 San Francisco Seattle 9.5 9.8 9.7 Tampa Bay Dallas -2.9 -3.3 -3.7
Totals
Home Visitor Total Buffalo Miami 46 Cincinnati Baltimore 42.5 Jacksonville LA Chargers 48 Minnesota N.Y. Giants 47.5 San Francisco Seattle 42.5 Tampa Bay Dallas 47.5
Final Regular Season PiRate Ratings
A F C East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Buffalo 109.0 108.7 108.5 108.7 23.5 13-3 New England 103.1 102.9 103.1 103.0 20 8-9 Miami 100.3 100.3 99.9 100.2 22.5 9-8 N.Y. Jets 98.7 99.1 98.7 98.8 16.5 7-10 North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Cincinnati 106.2 106.4 106.9 106.5 25.5 12-4 Baltimore 102.3 101.7 101.5 101.8 17 10-7 Pittsburgh 100.4 100.7 101.2 100.8 18.5 9-8 Cleveland 99.4 98.9 99.1 99.1 21 7-10 South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Jacksonville 101.7 102.6 102.5 102.3 23 9-8 Tennessee 95.3 95.5 95.4 95.4 18.5 7-10 Indianapolis 92.4 92.2 91.9 92.2 21 4-12-1 Houston 89.9 91.0 90.6 90.5 20.5 3-13-1 West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Kansas City 109.7 109.2 108.7 109.2 28.5 14-3 LA Chargers 101.1 101.9 101.8 101.6 25 10-7 Las Vegas 98.8 98.8 98.6 98.7 25.5 6-11 Denver 97.5 98.1 97.0 97.5 17 5-12 N F C East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Dallas 105.9 105.6 105.9 105.8 26 12-5 Philadelphia 106.0 105.3 105.3 105.5 25 14-3 N.Y. Giants 97.5 98.4 98.7 98.2 20 9-7-1 Washington 96.9 96.4 96.7 96.7 17.5 8-8-1 North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Green Bay 102.9 102.4 102.8 102.7 22.5 8-9 Detroit 100.0 100.7 101.1 100.6 26 9-8 Minnesota 99.9 99.7 99.9 99.8 27.5 13-4 Chicago 90.5 90.7 90.3 90.5 21 3-14 South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L New Orleans 101.1 100.2 100.6 100.6 17.5 7-10 Tampa Bay 100.0 99.3 99.3 99.5 21.5 8-9 Carolina 98.1 98.4 98.6 98.4 21.5 7-10 Atlanta 95.4 95.7 95.6 95.5 23 7-10 West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L San Francisco 105.9 106.2 106.7 106.2 21 13-4 Seattle 99.3 99.4 100.0 99.6 21.5 9-8 LA Rams 99.3 98.8 98.5 98.9 20 5-12 Arizona 95.2 95.0 94.7 95.0 24 4-13
Playoff Projections (not using PiRate Ratings)
Wildcard Round Buffalo over Miami Cincinnati over Baltimore LA Chargers over Jacksonville San Francisco over Seattle N.Y. Giants over Minnesota Dallas over Tampa Bay Divisional Round Kansas City over LA Chargers Buffalo over Cincinnati N.Y. Giants over Philadelphia San Francisco over Dallas Conference Championship Kansas City over Buffalo San Francisco over N.Y. Giants Super Bowl 57 (Glendale, AZ) Kansas City over San Francisco
Comments Off on PiRate Ratings NFL–Wildcard Round, January 14-16, 2023
January 3, 2023
Margins
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias Atlanta Tampa Bay -3.5 -2.5 -2.6 Buffalo New England 8.5 8.3 8.0 Chicago Minnesota -6.1 -5.8 -6.3 Cincinnati Baltimore 5.4 6.1 6.8 Green Bay Detroit 7.3 6.2 6.3 Indianapolis Houston 4.6 3.3 3.7 Jacksonville Tennessee 9.8 10.9 11.3 Miami N.Y. Jets 4.6 4.2 4.3 New Orleans Carolina 6.6 5.4 5.8 Philadelphia N.Y. Giants 9.8 8.1 7.8 Pittsburgh Cleveland 1.9 2.7 2.8 Washington Dallas -8.5 -8.8 -9.1 Denver LA Chargers -2.0 -2.2 -3.2 Las Vegas Kansas City -7.5 -7.0 -6.7 San Francisco Arizona 11.3 11.8 12.5 Seattle LA Rams 3.1 3.6 4.5
Totals
Home Visitor Total Atlanta Tampa Bay 44.5 Buffalo New England 42.5 Chicago Minnesota 49 Cincinnati Baltimore 42.5 Green Bay Detroit 49.5 Indianapolis Houston 39.5 Jacksonville Tennessee 41.5 Miami N.Y. Jets 41 New Orleans Carolina 41 Philadelphia N.Y. Giants 46 Pittsburgh Cleveland 39.5 Washington Dallas 44.5 Denver LA Chargers 41 Las Vegas Kansas City 55 San Francisco Arizona 44 Seattle LA Rams 42.5
Week 18 PiRate Ratings
A F C East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Buffalo 108.8 108.5 108.3 108.5 23 12-3 New England 103.3 103.1 103.3 103.2 19.5 8-8 Miami 100.3 100.3 99.9 100.2 23.5 8-8 N.Y. Jets 98.7 99.1 98.7 98.8 17.5 7-9 North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Cincinnati 105.9 106.1 106.6 106.2 25.5 11-4 Baltimore 102.6 102.0 101.8 102.1 17 10-6 Cleveland 100.2 99.7 100.0 100.0 21 7-9 Pittsburgh 99.6 99.9 100.3 99.9 18.5 8-8 South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Jacksonville 101.9 103.0 103.1 102.7 23 8-8 Tennessee 95.1 95.1 94.8 95.0 18.5 7-9 Indianapolis 92.7 92.5 92.3 92.5 20 4-11-1 Houston 89.6 90.7 90.2 90.1 19.5 2-13-1 West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Kansas City 109.0 108.5 108.0 108.5 29 13-3 LA Chargers 101.3 102.1 102.0 101.8 24.5 10-6 Las Vegas 99.5 99.5 99.3 99.4 26 6-10 Denver 97.3 97.9 96.8 97.3 16.5 4-12 N F C East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Dallas 106.9 106.7 107.1 106.9 26.5 12-4 Philadelphia 106.1 105.4 105.4 105.6 25.5 13-3 N.Y. Giants 97.4 98.3 98.6 98.1 20.5 9-6-1 Washington 95.9 95.3 95.5 95.6 18 7-8-1 North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Green Bay 103.6 103.1 103.6 103.4 23 8-8 Detroit 99.3 100.0 100.3 99.9 26.5 8-8 Minnesota 99.3 99.1 99.3 99.2 27.5 12-4 Chicago 91.1 91.3 90.9 91.1 21.5 3-13 South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L New Orleans 101.9 101.0 101.5 101.5 18.5 7-9 Tampa Bay 100.2 99.5 99.5 99.7 21.5 8-8 Carolina 97.3 97.6 97.7 97.5 22.5 6-10 Atlanta 95.2 95.5 95.4 95.3 23 6-10 West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L San Francisco 104.7 105.0 105.5 105.0 20.5 12-4 Seattle 99.3 99.4 100.0 99.6 22 8-8 LA Rams 99.3 98.8 98.5 98.9 20.5 5-11 Arizona 96.4 96.2 95.9 96.2 23.5 4-12
Playoff Projections
AFC Seeding 1 Kansas City 2 Cincinnati 3 Buffalo 4 Jacksonville 5 LA Chargers 6 Baltimore 7 New England NFC Seeding 1 San Francisco 2 Dallas 3 Minnesota 4 Tampa Bay 5 Philadelphia 6 New York Giants 7 Green Bay
Wildcard Round New England over Cincinnati Baltimore over Buffalo Jacksonville over LA Chargers Green Bay over Dallas N.Y. Giants over Minnesota Tampa Bay over Philadelphia Divisional Round Kansas City over New England Jacksonville over Baltimore San Francisco over Green Bay Tampa Bay over N.Y. Giants Conference Championship Kansas City over Jacksonville San Francisco over Tampa Bay Super Bowl 57 (Glendale, AZ) Kansas City over San Francisco
Comments Off on PiRate Ratings NFL For Week 18–January 7-8, 2023
December 26, 2022
This Week’s Spreads
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias Tennessee Dallas -8.7 -8.3 -8.9 Atlanta Arizona 1.8 2.5 2.6 Baltimore Pittsburgh 7.8 7.1 6.5 Detroit Chicago 7.1 7.4 8.0 Houston Jacksonville -6.2 -6.1 -6.4 Kansas City Denver 16.1 15.0 16.0 New England Miami 6.4 6.3 6.8 N.Y. Giants Indianapolis 3.8 5.0 5.3 Philadelphia New Orleans 10.8 11.2 10.9 Tampa Bay Carolina 5.4 4.2 3.9 Washington Cleveland 0.6 0.7 0.9 Las Vegas San Francisco -2.7 -3.0 -3.7 Seattle N.Y. Jets 0.9 0.3 1.3 Green Bay Minnesota 3.2 2.7 2.9 LA Chargers LA Rams -1.8 -0.5 -0.5 Cincinnati Buffalo -1.8 -1.4 -0.7
This Week’s Totals
Home Visitor Total Tennessee Dallas 45 Atlanta Arizona 47.5 Baltimore Pittsburgh 36.5 Detroit Chicago 48 Houston Jacksonville 43.5 Kansas City Denver 44.5 New England Miami 43 N.Y. Giants Indianapolis 39.5 Philadelphia New Orleans 46 Tampa Bay Carolina 42 Washington Cleveland 40 Las Vegas San Francisco 43.5 Seattle N.Y. Jets 41.5 Green Bay Minnesota 49.5 LA Chargers LA Rams 45 Cincinnati Buffalo 48.5
This Week’s PiRate Ratings
A F C East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Buffalo 111.3 111.0 110.8 111.0 23 12-3 New England 103.4 103.2 103.4 103.3 19.5 7-8 N.Y. Jets 100.0 100.5 100.1 100.2 18.5 7-8 Miami 100.0 100.0 99.6 99.9 23.5 8-7 North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Cincinnati 106.4 106.6 107.1 106.7 25.5 11-4 Baltimore 103.4 102.9 102.7 103.0 17.5 10-5 Pittsburgh 98.6 98.8 99.2 98.9 19 7-8 Cleveland 98.9 98.3 98.5 98.6 21.5 6-9 South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Jacksonville 100.0 101.0 101.0 100.7 23.5 7-8 Tennessee 95.3 95.4 95.2 95.3 18.5 7-8 Indianapolis 94.5 94.3 94.2 94.3 19.5 4-10-1 Houston 91.3 92.5 92.1 91.9 20 2-12-1 West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Kansas City 109.6 109.1 108.8 109.2 28.5 12-3 LA Chargers 99.3 100.1 99.9 99.8 24.5 9-6 Las Vegas 99.4 99.4 99.2 99.3 24.5 6-9 Denver 96.5 97.1 95.8 96.5 16 4-11 N F C East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Philadelphia 107.8 107.2 107.3 107.4 26.5 13-2 Dallas 106.5 106.2 106.5 106.4 26.5 11-4 Washington 97.0 96.5 96.8 96.8 18.5 7-7-1 N.Y. Giants 95.4 96.3 96.5 96.1 20 8-6-1 North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Green Bay 101.7 101.1 101.5 101.4 22.5 7-8 Minnesota 101.0 100.9 101.2 101.0 27 12-3 Detroit 97.4 98.0 98.3 97.9 26.5 7-8 Chicago 92.8 93.1 92.7 92.9 21.5 3-12 South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Tampa Bay 100.1 99.3 99.2 99.5 20.5 7-8 New Orleans 100.0 99.0 99.4 99.5 19.5 6-9 Carolina 97.2 97.6 97.8 97.5 21.5 6-9 Atlanta 95.1 95.5 95.4 95.3 23.5 5-10 West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L San Francisco 104.6 104.9 105.4 104.9 19 11-4 LA Rams 101.1 100.6 100.4 100.7 20.5 5-10 Seattle 97.8 97.8 98.4 98.0 23 7-8 Arizona 96.3 96.0 95.7 96.0 24 4-11
This Week’s Playoff Projections
AFC Seeding 1 Kansas City 2 Cincinnati 3 Buffalo 4 Jacksonville 5 Baltimore 6 LA Chargers 7 New England NFC Seeding 1 Philadelphia 2 Minnesota 3 San Francisco 4 Tampa Bay 5 Dallas 6 New York Giants 7 Washington
Wildcard Round Cincinnati over New England Buffalo over LA Chargers Jacksonville over Baltimore Minnesota over Washington San Francisco over N.Y. Giants Dallas over Tampa Bay Divisional Round Kansas City over Jacksonville Cincinnati over Buffalo Philadelphia over Dallas San Francisco over Minnesota Conference Championship Cincinnati over Kansas City San Francisco over Philadelphia Super Bowl 57 (Glendale, AZ)Cincinnati over San Francisco
Comments Off on PiRate Ratings NFL Football Week 17–Dec. 29-Jan. 2
December 12, 2022
This Week’s Spreads
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias Seattle San Francisco 1.1 1.0 1.6 Buffalo Miami 14.1 13.6 13.9 Cleveland Baltimore -3.0 -3.3 -3.0 Minnesota Indianapolis 10.5 10.9 11.6 New Orleans Atlanta 7.7 6.2 6.8 Washington N.Y. Giants 4.4 2.9 3.3 Carolina Pittsburgh 0.1 0.3 0.1 Chicago Philadelphia -11.3 -10.7 -11.3 Houston Kansas City -18.9 -17.2 -18.2 Jacksonville Dallas -10.3 -8.9 -10.1 N.Y. Jets Detroit 8.8 8.8 8.2 Denver Arizona 5.2 5.6 4.4 LA Chargers Tennessee 2.1 2.6 2.2 Tampa Bay Cincinnati 1.3 0.3 -0.3 Las Vegas New England -1.4 -1.3 -2.1 Green Bay LA Rams 5.0 4.6 5.0
This Week’s Totals
Home Visitor Total Seattle San Francisco 43 Buffalo Miami 45.5 Cleveland Baltimore 43.5 Minnesota Indianapolis 45.5 New Orleans Atlanta 44 Washington N.Y. Giants 38.5 Carolina Pittsburgh 41 Chicago Philadelphia 47 Houston Kansas City 48.5 Jacksonville Dallas 47.5 N.Y. Jets Detroit 46.5 Denver Arizona 39.5 LA Chargers Tennessee 46 Tampa Bay Cincinnati 44.5 Las Vegas New England 44 Green Bay LA Rams 41.5
This Week’s PiRate Ratings
A F C East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Buffalo 111.3 111.0 110.8 111.0 22.5 10-3 New England 103.8 103.8 104.2 103.9 19 7-6 N.Y. Jets 102.3 102.9 102.7 102.6 20 7-6 Miami 100.1 100.3 99.8 100.1 23 8-5 North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Cincinnati 105.2 105.3 105.8 105.4 24.5 9-4 Baltimore 104.4 104.0 103.9 104.1 20 9-4 Cleveland 98.7 98.1 98.3 98.4 23.5 5-8 Pittsburgh 98.2 98.3 98.6 98.4 20 5-8 South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Jacksonville 97.4 98.4 98.1 98.0 23 5-8 Tennessee 96.4 96.5 96.4 96.4 19.5 7-6 Indianapolis 95.6 95.3 95.2 95.4 19.5 4-8-1 Houston 89.5 90.7 90.0 90.0 19.5 1-11-1 West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Kansas City 110.3 109.8 109.7 109.9 29 10-3 Las Vegas 99.1 99.0 98.6 98.9 25 5-8 Denver 98.8 99.3 98.2 98.8 15 3-10 LA Chargers 97.9 98.7 98.3 98.3 26.5 7-6 N F C East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Philadelphia 108.3 107.9 108.2 108.1 25.5 12-1 Dallas 107.6 107.2 107.6 107.5 24.5 10-3 Washington 98.3 97.8 98.3 98.2 18.5 7-5-1 N.Y. Giants 94.5 95.4 95.4 95.1 20 7-5-1 North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Minnesota 101.5 101.5 102.1 101.7 26 10-3 Green Bay 101.0 100.1 100.4 100.5 22.5 5-8 Detroit 97.3 97.9 98.3 97.8 26.5 6-7 Chicago 92.8 93.0 92.6 92.8 21.5 3-10 South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Tampa Bay 101.1 100.1 99.9 100.4 20 6-7 New Orleans 99.5 98.4 98.8 98.9 20 4-9 Carolina 96.7 97.1 97.2 97.0 21 5-8 Atlanta 94.8 95.2 95.0 95.0 24 5-8 West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L San Francisco 103.6 103.8 104.1 103.8 18.5 9-4 LA Rams 98.9 98.5 98.4 98.6 19 4-9 Seattle 98.2 98.3 99.0 98.5 24.5 7-6 Arizona 96.6 96.6 96.4 96.5 24.5 4-9
This Week’s Playoff Projections
AFC Seeding 1 Buffalo 2 Kansas City 3 Cincinnati 4 Tennessee 5 Baltimore 6 Miami 7 LA Chargers NFC Seeding 1 Philadelphia 2 Minnesota 3 San Francisco 4 Tampa Bay 5 Dallas 6 Washington 7 Detroit
Wildcard Round Kansas City over LA Chargers Cincinnati over Miami Baltimore over Tennessee Detroit over Minnesota San Francisco over Washington Dallas over Tampa Bay Divisional Round Buffalo over Baltimore Cincinnati over Kansas City Philadelphia over Detroit Dallas over San Francisco Conference Championship Buffalo over Cincinnati Philadelphia over Dallas Super Bowl 57 (Glendale, AZ)Philadelphia over Buffalo
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November 21, 2022
This Week’s Spreads
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias Detroit Buffalo -14.8 -14.3 -14.0 Dallas N.Y. Giants 13.6 12.2 13.1 Minnesota New England 2.3 2.1 2.0 Carolina Denver -2.6 -3.0 -1.6 Cleveland Tampa Bay -1.9 -1.8 -1.8 Jacksonville Baltimore -6.4 -5.1 -6.0 Miami Houston 14.6 13.2 14.0 N.Y. Jets Chicago 11.2 11.4 11.2 Tennessee Cincinnati -1.6 -0.7 -1.0 Washington Atlanta 6.4 5.5 6.2 Arizona LA Chargers 2.9 2.3 2.8 Seattle Las Vegas 3.2 3.5 5.3 Kansas City LA Rams 14.3 14.5 14.7 San Francisco New Orleans 8.0 9.3 9.0 Philadelphia Green Bay 8.0 8.7 8.6 Indianapolis Pittsburgh 4.3 4.1 4.2
This Week’s Totals
Home Visitor Total Detroit Buffalo 49 Dallas N.Y. Giants 42 Minnesota New England 44.5 Carolina Denver 35.5 Cleveland Tampa Bay 45 Jacksonville Baltimore 43 Miami Houston 42.5 N.Y. Jets Chicago 42.5 Tennessee Cincinnati 44.5 Washington Atlanta 44 Arizona LA Chargers 51.5 Seattle Las Vegas 47.5 Kansas City LA Rams 48.5 San Francisco New Orleans 42 Philadelphia Green Bay 43.5 Indianapolis Pittsburgh 39.5
This Week’s PiRate Ratings
A F C East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Buffalo 111.5 111.3 111.1 111.3 23.5 7-3 New England 103.1 103.2 103.8 103.4 19 6-4 N.Y. Jets 101.6 102.1 101.8 101.8 21 6-4 Miami 100.9 101.1 100.9 101.0 23 7-3 North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Baltimore 105.3 105.0 105.4 105.2 21 7-3 Cincinnati 104.5 104.2 104.6 104.4 25.5 6-4 Cleveland 98.7 97.9 98.0 98.2 24.5 3-7 Pittsburgh 96.9 96.8 96.9 96.9 21 3-7 South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Tennessee 100.0 100.5 100.6 100.3 19 7-3 Indianapolis 98.2 98.0 98.0 98.1 18.5 4-6-1 Jacksonville 96.4 97.4 96.9 96.9 22 3-7 Houston 89.3 90.9 90.0 90.0 19.5 1-8-1 West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Kansas City 110.5 110.1 110.2 110.3 28.5 8-2 Denver 99.6 100.2 98.7 99.5 15 3-7 Las Vegas 98.9 98.8 98.1 98.6 25 3-7 LA Chargers 97.5 98.3 97.8 97.9 27 5-5 N F C East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Dallas 106.5 106.1 106.9 106.5 23 7-3 Philadelphia 105.4 105.0 105.1 105.2 22.5 9-1 Washington 97.9 97.3 97.8 97.7 19 6-5 N.Y. Giants 95.9 96.9 96.8 96.5 19 7-3 North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Minnesota 102.4 102.3 102.8 102.5 25.5 8-2 Green Bay 100.4 99.3 99.5 99.7 21 4-7 Detroit 94.2 94.5 94.6 94.4 25.5 4-6 Chicago 93.3 93.7 93.5 93.5 21.5 3-8 South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Tampa Bay 103.6 102.8 102.8 103.1 20.5 5-5 New Orleans 99.0 97.8 98.2 98.3 22 4-7 Atlanta 94.5 94.9 94.7 94.7 25 5-6 Carolina 94.0 94.2 94.1 94.1 20.5 4-7 West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L San Francisco 104.0 104.1 104.2 104.1 20 6-4 Seattle 99.1 99.3 100.4 99.6 22.5 6-4 LA Rams 99.2 98.6 98.5 98.8 20 3-7 Arizona 97.4 97.6 97.6 97.5 24.5 4-7
Playoff Projections
AFC Seeding 1 Baltimore 2 Kansas City 3 Miami 4 Tennessee 5 Buffalo 6 New England 7 Cincinnati
NFC Seeding 1 Philadelphia 2 Minnesota 3 San Francisco 4 Tampa Bay 5 Dallas 6 New York Giants 7 Seattle
Wildcard Round Kansas City over Cincinnati New England over Miami Buffalo over Tennessee Seattle over Minnesota New York Giants over San Francisco Dallas over Tampa Bay Divisional Round Baltimore over New England Kansas City over Buffalo Philadelphia over Seattle Dallas over New York Giants Conference Championship Kansas City over Baltimore Philadelphia over Dallas Super Bowl 57 (Glendale, AZ) Kansas City over Philadelphia
Comments Off on PiRate Ratings — NFL For Week 12: November 24-28, 2022
November 14, 2022
This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias Green Bay Tennessee 3.4 1.8 2.0 Atlanta Chicago 4.2 4.2 4.1 Baltimore Carolina 13.8 13.4 13.7 Buffalo Cleveland 15.7 16.4 16.1 Houston Washington -6.1 -4.0 -5.4 Indianapolis Philadelphia -4.7 -4.5 -4.6 New England N.Y. Jets 4.0 3.6 4.5 New Orleans LA Rams 2.8 2.1 2.7 N.Y. Giants Detroit 4.7 5.4 5.2 Denver Las Vegas 3.7 4.4 3.6 LA Chargers Kansas City -10.0 -8.8 -9.4 Minnesota Dallas -1.1 -0.8 -1.2 Pittsburgh Cincinnati -5.1 -4.9 -5.2 Arizona San Francisco -6.6 -6.5 -6.5
This Week’s Totals
Home Visitor Total Green Bay Tennessee 40 Atlanta Chicago 46.5 Baltimore Carolina 44 Buffalo Cleveland 48 Houston Washington 38.5 Indianapolis Philadelphia 42 New England N.Y. Jets 42.5 New Orleans LA Rams 42 N.Y. Giants Detroit 44.5 Denver Las Vegas 40 LA Chargers Kansas City 55.5 Minnesota Dallas 49 Pittsburgh Cincinnati 43.5 Arizona San Francisco 44.5
Arizona vs. San Francisco game scheduled for Mexico City.
Teams With Byes
Miami Jacksonville Tampa Bay Seattle
This Week’s PiRate Ratings
A F C East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Buffalo 111.5 111.3 111.1 111.3 23.5 6-3 New England 103.1 103.2 103.8 103.4 20 5-4 N.Y. Jets 101.6 102.1 101.8 101.8 22.5 6-3 Miami 100.9 101.1 100.9 101.0 23 7-3 North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Baltimore 105.3 105.0 105.4 105.2 22 6-3 Cincinnati 104.5 104.2 104.6 104.4 24 5-4 Cleveland 98.7 97.9 98.0 98.2 24.5 3-6 Pittsburgh 96.9 96.8 96.9 96.9 19.5 3-6 South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Tennessee 100.0 100.5 100.6 100.3 19 6-3 Indianapolis 98.2 98.0 98.0 98.1 19 4-5-1 Jacksonville 96.4 97.4 96.9 96.9 22 3-7 Houston 89.3 90.9 90.0 90.0 19.5 1-7-1 West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Kansas City 110.5 110.1 110.2 110.3 28.5 7-2 Denver 99.6 100.2 98.7 99.5 15 3-6 Las Vegas 98.9 98.8 98.1 98.6 25 2-7 LA Chargers 97.5 98.3 97.8 97.9 27 5-4 N F C East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Dallas 106.5 106.1 106.9 106.5 23 6-3 Philadelphia 105.4 105.0 105.1 105.2 23 8-1 Washington 97.9 97.3 97.8 97.7 19 5-5 N.Y. Giants 95.9 96.9 96.8 96.5 19 7-2 North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Minnesota 102.4 102.3 102.8 102.5 26 8-1 Green Bay 100.4 99.3 99.5 99.7 21 4-6 Detroit 94.2 94.5 94.6 94.4 25.5 3-6 Chicago 93.3 93.7 93.5 93.5 21.5 3-7 South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Tampa Bay 103.6 102.8 102.8 103.1 20.5 5-5 New Orleans 99.0 97.8 98.2 98.3 22 3-7 Atlanta 94.5 94.9 94.7 94.7 25 4-6 Carolina 94.0 94.2 94.1 94.1 22 4-6 West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L San Francisco 104.0 104.1 104.2 104.1 20 5-4 Seattle 99.1 99.3 100.4 99.6 22.5 6-4 LA Rams 99.2 98.6 98.5 98.8 20 3-6 Arizona 97.4 97.6 97.6 97.5 24.5 4-6
This Week’s Playoff Projections
AFC Seeding 1 Kansas City 2 Miami 3 Baltimore 4 Tennessee 5 New York Jets 6 Buffalo 7 Cincinnati NFC Seeding 1 Minnesota 2 Philadelphia 3 San Francisco 4 Tampa Bay 5 New York Giants 6 Dallas 7 Seattle
Wildcard Round Miami over Cincinnati Baltimore over Buffalo New York Jets over Tennessee Philadelphia over Seattle Dallas over San Francisco New York Giants over Tampa Bay Divisional Round Kansas City over New York Jets Miami over Baltimore Minnesota over New York Giants Philadelphia over Dallas Conference Championshi pKansas City over Miami Minnesota over Philadelphia Super Bowl 57 (Glendale, AZ) Kansas City over Minnesota
Comments Off on PiRate Ratings–NFL for Week 11, November 17-21, 2022
October 24, 2022
This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias Tampa Bay Baltimore 3.9 3.1 3.1 Jacksonville Denver -4.3 -4.0 -3.2 Atlanta Carolina 3.9 4.3 4.8 Dallas Chicago 15.2 13.8 14.7 Detroit Miami -3.0 -2.7 -2.6 Minnesota Arizona 5.8 4.9 5.3 New Orleans Las Vegas -1.6 -3.0 -2.0 N.Y. Jets New England 1.3 1.8 0.8 Philadelphia Pittsburgh 13.3 12.8 13.0 Houston Tennessee -6.5 -5.2 -6.2 Indianapolis Washington 6.4 6.9 6.7 LA Rams San Francisco 3.7 3.1 2.9 Seattle N.Y. Giants 3.2 1.9 3.3 Buffalo Green Bay 14.1 15.6 15.3 Cleveland Cincinnati -5.0 -5.5 -6.0
This Week’s Totals
Home Visitor Total Tampa Bay Baltimore 44 Jacksonville Denver 38 Atlanta Carolina 45 Dallas Chicago 38 Detroit Miami 45 Minnesota Arizona 47.5 New Orleans Las Vegas 51 N.Y. Jets New England 45 Philadelphia Pittsburgh 43 Houston Tennessee 41.5 Indianapolis Washington 40.5 LA Rams San Francisco 41.5 Seattle N.Y. Giants 42 Buffalo Green Bay 44.5 Cleveland Cincinnati 46.5
Note: Jacksonville vs. Denver game at Wembley Stadium in London.
Teams With Bye Weeks
Kansas City
LA Chargers
This Week’s PiRate Ratings
A F C East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Buffalo 114.2 114.3 114.5 114.3 23 5-1 New England 100.9 100.9 101.5 101.1 21.5 3-4 N.Y. Jets 100.2 100.8 100.3 100.4 23.5 5-2 Miami 98.6 98.7 98.4 98.6 20 4-3 North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Cincinnati 106.1 105.7 106.2 106.0 23 4-3 Baltimore 103.4 103.1 103.3 103.3 22 4-3 Cleveland 98.6 97.7 97.7 98.0 23.5 2-5 Pittsburgh 96.2 96.0 96.2 96.1 20.5 2-5 South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Tennessee 99.2 99.6 99.5 99.4 21 4-2 Indianapolis 99.0 98.8 98.8 98.9 21 3-3-1 Jacksonville 95.2 96.2 95.5 95.6 22.5 2-5 Houston 89.7 91.4 90.3 90.4 20.5 1-4-1 West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Kansas City 110.8 110.4 110.8 110.7 29.5 5-2 Las Vegas 104.2 104.4 103.9 104.2 26.5 2-4 Denver 99.5 100.2 98.7 99.5 15.5 2-5 LA Chargers 96.8 97.5 96.6 97.0 28.5 4-3 N F C East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Philadelphia 106.9 106.4 106.7 106.7 22.5 6-0 Dallas 105.9 105.3 106.1 105.8 20.5 5-2 N.Y. Giants 96.8 98.0 97.9 97.6 19 6-1 Washington 95.6 94.8 95.1 95.2 19.5 3-4 North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Green Bay 101.9 100.6 100.9 101.1 21.5 3-4 Minnesota 100.9 100.5 100.9 100.7 24 5-1 Chicago 93.7 94.5 94.4 94.2 17.5 3-4 Detroit 93.0 93.2 93.0 93.1 25 1-5 South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Tampa Bay 104.2 103.3 103.4 103.6 22 3-4 New Orleans 99.6 98.4 98.9 99.0 24.5 2-5 Atlanta 95.4 96.0 96.3 95.9 25 3-4 Carolina 94.0 94.2 93.9 94.0 20 3-4 West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L LA Rams 102.6 102.1 102.0 102.2 21 3-3 San Francisco 101.9 102.0 102.2 102.0 20.5 3-4 Arizona 97.8 98.3 98.2 98.1 23.5 3-4 Seattle 96.9 96.9 98.2 97.4 23 4-3
This Week’s Playoff Projections
AFC Seeding 1 Buffalo 2 Kansas City 3 Cincinnati 4 Tennessee 5 Baltimore 6 N.Y. Jets 7 Miami NFC Seeding 1 Philadelphia 2 Minnesota 3 Seattle 4 Atlanta 5 N.Y. Giants 6 Dallas 7 LA Rams
Wildcard Round Kansas City over Miami Cincinnati over N.Y. Jets Baltimore over Tennessee LA Rams over Minnesota Seattle over Dallas N.Y. Giants over Atlanta Divisional Round Buffalo over Baltimore Kansas City over Cincinnati LA Rams over Philadelphia Seattle over N.Y. Giants Conference Championship Buffalo over Kansas City Seattle over LA Rams Super Bowl 57 (Glendale, AZ) Buffalo over Seattle
Comments Off on PiRate Ratings Pro Football–Week 8, October 27-31, 2022
October 3, 2022
This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias Denver Indianapolis 4.3 5.7 3.7 Green Bay (n) N.Y. Giants 13.6 10.7 12.3 Buffalo Pittsburgh 17.9 18.2 18.2 Cleveland LA Chargers 6.3 4.3 5.5 Jacksonville Houston 12.1 11.7 12.1 Minnesota Chicago 11.3 9.7 10.8 New England Detroit 7.9 7.4 8.1 New Orleans Seattle 9.8 8.7 8.1 N.Y. Jets Miami -4.0 -3.9 -4.8 Tampa Bay Atlanta 19.0 17.2 17.6 Washington Tennessee 0.3 -1.0 -0.5 Carolina San Francisco -7.4 -7.1 -7.9 Arizona Philadelphia -4.3 -2.8 -3.3 LA Rams Dallas 1.4 2.1 0.8 Baltimore Cincinnati 2.1 2.4 2.3 Kansas City Las Vegas 8.3 7.9 9.3
This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals
Home Visitor Total Denver Indianapolis 40.5 Green Bay (n) N.Y. Giants 40 Buffalo Pittsburgh 45.5 Cleveland LA Chargers 49.5 Jacksonville Houston 44 Minnesota Chicago 41 New England Detroit 49 New Orleans Seattle 42 N.Y. Jets Miami 45 Tampa Bay Atlanta 50.5 Washington Tennessee 43 Carolina San Francisco 39.5 Arizona Philadelphia 47.5 LA Rams Dallas 45 Baltimore Cincinnati 46 Kansas City Las Vegas 54.5
This Week’s PiRate Ratings
A F C East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Buffalo 112.0 112.1 112.2 112.1 23.5 3-1 Miami 101.8 102.2 102.1 102.0 20.5 3-1 New England 99.5 99.4 100.1 99.7 21.5 1-3 N.Y. Jets 94.8 95.3 94.4 94.8 24.5 2-2 North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Cincinnati 105.5 105.0 105.4 105.3 23 2-2 Baltimore 104.7 104.4 104.7 104.6 23 2-2 Cleveland 101.7 100.7 100.9 101.1 22 2-2 Pittsburgh 97.1 96.8 97.0 97.0 22 1-3 South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Indianapolis 99.1 98.7 98.9 98.9 22 1-2-1 Tennessee 98.4 98.7 98.4 98.5 22 2-2 Jacksonville 97.1 98.4 97.7 97.7 22.5 2-2 Houston 88.0 89.8 88.6 88.8 21.5 0-3-1 West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Kansas City 109.0 108.6 109.2 108.9 28.5 3-1 Las Vegas 103.7 103.7 102.9 103.4 26 1-3 Denver 100.4 101.4 99.7 100.5 18.5 2-2 LA Chargers 98.4 99.4 98.3 98.7 27.5 2-2 N F C East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Philadelphia 106.1 105.5 105.7 105.8 23.5 4-0 Dallas 104.5 103.6 104.6 104.2 22.5 3-1 Washington 95.6 94.7 94.8 95.1 21 1-3 N.Y. Giants 93.5 94.8 94.3 94.2 18.5 3-1 North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Green Bay 107.1 105.5 106.6 106.4 21.5 3-1 Minnesota 100.0 99.3 99.9 99.7 23.5 3-1 Detroit 94.6 95.1 95.0 94.9 27.5 1-3 Chicago 91.1 92.1 91.5 91.6 17.5 2-2 South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Tampa Bay 108.8 107.9 108.4 108.4 25 2-2 New Orleans 100.1 98.7 99.4 99.4 20.5 1-3 Carolina 94.4 94.7 94.3 94.5 21 1-3 Atlanta 92.3 93.2 93.3 92.9 25.5 2-2 West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L San Francisco 104.8 104.8 105.2 104.9 18.5 2-2 LA Rams 103.4 103.1 102.9 103.1 22.5 2-2 Arizona 98.9 99.7 99.4 99.3 24 2-2 Seattle 93.3 92.9 94.3 93.5 21.5 2-2
This Week’s NFL Playoff Projections
AFC Seeding 1 Kansas City 2 Buffalo 3 Cincinnati 4 Tennessee 5 Miami 6 Baltimore 7 LA Chargers NFC Seeding 1 Philadelphia 2 Green Bay 3 San Francisco 4 Tampa Bay 5 Dallas 6 N.Y. Giants 7 Minnesota
Wildcard Round Buffalo over LA Chargers Baltimore over Cincinnati Miami over Tennessee Green Bay over Minnesota San Francisco over N.Y. Giants Dallas over Tampa Bay Divisional Round Kansas City over Baltimore Buffalo over Miami Dallas over Philadelphia San Francisco over Green Bay Conference Championship Kansas City over Buffalo San Francisco over Dallas Super Bowl 57 (Glendale, AZ) Kansas City over San Francisco
Comments Off on PiRate Ratings–NFL for Week 5, October 6-10, 2022
September 1, 2022
This Week’s Margins
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias LA Rams Buffalo 3.0 2.8 3.0 N.Y. Jets Baltimore -8.8 -7.6 -8.9 Atlanta New Orleans -9.7 -7.1 -9.5 Miami New England 0.5 0.7 -0.7 Carolina Cleveland -6.9 -5.5 -6.9 Cincinnati Pittsburgh 10.4 10.0 9.9 Chicago San Francisco -11.7 -10.1 -11.2 Detroit Philadelphia -7.9 -6.2 -7.3 Houston Indianapolis -14.3 -11.4 -14.1 Washington Jacksonville 9.3 7.4 9.1 Arizona Kansas City -4.8 -3.9 -4.7 LA Chargers Las Vegas -1.8 -0.9 -2.3 Minnesota Green Bay -7.2 -5.6 -6.5 Tennessee N.Y. Giants 11.5 10.5 11.2 Dallas Tampa Bay -0.8 -1.4 -0.2 Seattle Denver -4.2 -6.4 -2.5
This Week’s Totals
Home Visitor Total LA Rams Buffalo 48 N.Y. Jets Baltimore 46.5 Atlanta New Orleans 44 Miami New England 42.5 Carolina Cleveland 42 Cincinnati Pittsburgh 48.5 Chicago San Francisco 41.5 Detroit Philadelphia 47.5 Houston Indianapolis 45.5 Washington Jacksonville 44 Arizona Kansas City 51.5 LA Chargers Las Vegas 51.5 Minnesota Green Bay 47.5 Tennessee N.Y. Giants 42 Dallas Tampa Bay 52.5 Seattle Denver 42.5
This Week’s PiRate Ratings
Current NFL PiRate Ratings A F C East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Buffalo 108.3 108.4 108.3 108.3 24 0-0 New England 100.7 100.8 101.7 101.1 22.5 0-0 Miami 98.2 98.6 98.0 98.3 20 0-0 N.Y. Jets 92.9 93.7 92.5 93.0 25 0-0 North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Cincinnati 105.6 104.8 105.2 105.2 25 0-0 Baltimore 104.2 103.8 103.9 104.0 21.5 0-0 Cleveland 104.2 103.1 103.9 103.7 21 0-0 Pittsburgh 98.2 97.8 98.3 98.1 23.5 0-0 South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Indianapolis 103.7 102.9 103.8 103.5 24 0-0 Tennessee 100.7 101.1 100.8 100.8 22.5 0-0 Jacksonville 90.7 92.1 90.9 91.2 22.5 0-0 Houston 86.9 89.0 87.3 87.7 21.5 0-0 West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Kansas City 106.6 106.3 107.0 106.6 26.5 0-0 Las Vegas 105.2 105.1 104.8 105.0 25.5 0-0 Denver 101.1 102.6 100.7 101.5 21.5 0-0 LA Chargers 100.9 101.7 99.9 100.9 26 0-0 N F C East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Dallas 105.5 104.3 105.7 105.2 26 0-0 Philadelphia 104.1 103.1 103.5 103.6 24 0-0 Washington 97.5 97.0 97.4 97.3 21.5 0-0 N.Y. Giants 91.7 93.1 92.1 92.3 19.5 0-0 North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Green Bay 109.0 107.0 108.4 108.1 23 0-0 Minnesota 99.3 98.9 99.5 99.2 24.5 0-0 Detroit 93.7 94.4 93.7 93.9 23.5 0-0 Chicago 90.0 91.3 90.6 90.7 19 0-0 South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L Tampa Bay 109.3 108.7 109.0 109.0 26.5 0-0 New Orleans 101.8 100.2 101.8 101.3 20.5 0-0 Carolina 94.8 95.2 94.5 94.8 21 0-0 Atlanta 89.6 90.6 89.8 90.0 23.5 0-0 West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L LA Rams 107.8 107.6 107.8 107.7 24 0-0 San Francisco 104.8 104.4 104.9 104.7 22.5 0-0 Arizona 98.8 99.4 99.2 99.1 25 0-0 Seattle 93.9 93.2 95.2 94.1 21 0-0
Playoff Projections
AFC 1: Buffalo
AFC 2: Kansas City
AFC 3: Cincinnati
AFC 4: Indianapolis
AFC 5: LA Chargers
AFC 6: Las Vegas
AFC 7: Miami
NFC 1: Dallas
NFC 2: LA Rams
NFC 3: Tampa Bay
NFC 4: Green Bay
NFC 5: New Orleans
NFC 6: Minnesota
NFC 7: Arizona
Wildcard Round Kansas City over Miami Las Vegas over Cincinnati LA Chargers over Indianapolis LA Rams over Arizona Minnesota over Tampa Bay Green Bay over New Orleans
Divisional Round Buffalo over Las Vegas Kansas City over LA Chargers Minnesota over Dallas LA Rams over Green Bay
Conference Championship Buffalo over Kansas City LA Rams over Buffalo
Super Bowl 57 (Glendale, AZ) Buffalo over LA Rams
Comments Off on PiRate Ratings–NFL for Week 1, September 8-12, 2022
January 17, 2022
Margins
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias Tennessee Cincinnati 2.8 2.5 3.5 Green Bay San Francisco 3.2 2.7 2.6 Tampa Bay Los Angeles 2.7 2.2 2.6 Kansas City Buffalo 0.9 1.3 1.1
Totals
Home Visitor Total Tennessee Cincinnati 51.5 Green Bay San Francisco 52 Tampa Bay Los Angeles 55.5 Kansas City Buffalo 55
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