The Pi-Rate Ratings

April 8, 2013

Bracketnomics 2013: National Championship Game–April 8, 2013

2013 NCAA Tournament— Championship Game, April 8, 2013

Time Eastern Daylight

 

Site: Georgia Dome in Atlanta

Network: CBS

Time

Favorite

Underdog

Line

9:23 PM

Louisville (34-5)

Michigan (31-7)

 4

Elite 8 Record: 1-1

Tournament Total: 39-23

Teams Remaining In Bracket: 1 of  2  (Louisville)

 

PiRate Ratings Criteria Formula Statistics

Criteria

Louisville

Michigan

Scoring Margin

16.0

12.4

FG% Margin

6.4

6.0

Rebound Margin

3.6

3.1

Turnover Margin

5.9

2.8

Steals

10.8

6.2

R+T

12.84

7.58

SOS

59.41

55.94

RD W%

82.6

70.0

Qualifiers

6

4

PiRate #

84.22

56.53

Modified

123.92

65.03

 

PiRate Criteria Means for 2000-2012 National Champions

 

Criteria

Champ Avg.

Scoring Margin

15.5

FG% Margin

8.7

Rebound Margin

6.2

Turnover Margin

1.3

Steals

7.8

R+T

9.29

SOS

57.09

RD W%

73.8

Qualifiers

7

PiRate #

75.88

Modified

94.78

 

 

Louisville Cardinals

Roster

#

NAME

HT

WT

POS

CL

HOMETOWN (PREVIOUS SCHOOL)

2

Russ Smith

6-00

165

G

JR

Brooklyn, N.Y. (Archbishop Molloy/South Kent)

3

Peyton Siva

6-00

185

G

SR

Seattle, Wash. (Franklin)

5

Kevin Ware

6-02

175

G

SO

Bronx, N.Y. (Rockdale County (Ga.))

10

Gorgui Dieng

6-11

245

C

JR

Kebemer, Senegal (Covenant/Huntington Prep)

11

Luke Hancock

6-06

200

F

JR

Roanoke, Va. (George Mason)

12

Mangok Mathiang

6-10

200

C

FR

Melbourne, Australia (IMG Academy (Fla.))

14

Logan Baumann

6-00

165

G

FR

Hartford, Ky. (Ohio County)

15

Tim Henderson

6-02

195

G

JR

Louisville, Ky. (Christian Academy)

20

Wayne Blackshear

6-05

230

G/F

SO

Chicago, Ill. (Morgan Park)

21

Chane Behanan

6-06

250

F

SO

Cincinnati, Ohio (Bowling Green)

22

Jordan Bond

6-00

165

G

FR

Louisville, Ky. (duPont Manual)

24

Montrezl Harrell

6-08

235

F

FR

Tarboro, N.C. (Hargrave Military Academy)

25

Zach Price

6-10

250

C

SO

Cleveland, Ohio (Jeffersontown)

32

Michael Baffour

6-02

170

G

JR

Lexington, Ky. (Bryan Station)

33

Mike Marra

6-05

215

G

SR

Smithfield, R.I. (Northfield Mt. Hermon School)

44

Stephan Van Treese

6-09

245

F

SR

Indianapolis, Ind. (Lawrence North)

 

Coach: Rick Pitino 12th year at UL: 309-111

28 seasons overall: 663-239

(Hawaii, Boston U, Providence, Kentucky, Louisville)

 

Team Stats—Louisville

Player

G

GS

Min

FG

FGA

FG%

3pt

3ptA

3pt%

FT

FTA

Russ Smith

39

39

1179

229

544

.421

61

183

.333

220

273

Gorgi Dieng

32

31

989

121

228

.531

0

0

.000

73

112

Peyton Siva

39

39

1211

133

329

.404

38

130

.292

79

92

Chane Behanan

38

36

990

146

288

.507

1

12

.083

73

135

Luke Hancock

39

8

867

92

220

.418

58

153

.379

60

78

Wayne Blackshear

38

33

763

102

243

.420

43

136

.316

43

62

Montrezl Harrell

39

3

637

96

167

.575

0

0

.000

32

63

Kevin Ware

37

1

616

59

132

.447

15

37

.405

34

51

Stephan Van Treese

36

1

412

26

40

.650

0

0

.000

12

17

Zach Price

16

7

123

8

15

.533

0

0

.000

4

8

Tim Henderson

26

0

98

8

23

.348

6

20

.300

0

0

Logan Baumann

4

0

11

0

4

.000

0

0

.000

2

2

Michael Baffour

6

0

12

0

3

.000

0

2

.000

2

4

Jordan Bond

5

0

17

0

3

.000

0

2

.000

0

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   
Totals

39

39

7925

1020

2239

.456

222

675

.329

634

897

Opponents

39

39

7925

800

2041

.392

213

678

.314

462

705

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   
Player

FT%

F

DQ

Ast

TO

Bk

Stl

Reb

Avg

Pts

Avg

Russ Smith

.806

98

0

114

105

2

83

131

3.4

739

18.9

Gorgi Dieng

.652

81

3

60

57

80

43

302

9.4

315

9.8

Peyton Siva

.859

100

3

223

104

6

86

88

2.3

383

9.8

Chane Behanan

.541

66

0

41

60

16

53

242

6.4

366

9.6

Luke Hancock

.769

80

1

52

39

3

38

104

2.7

302

7.7

Wayne Blackshear

.694

95

0

24

24

10

33

121

3.2

290

7.6

Montrezl Harrell

.508

50

0

8

23

27

20

145

3.7

224

5.7

Kevin Ware

.667

58

1

31

42

4

39

66

1.8

167

4.5

Stephan Van Treese

.706

45

0

9

13

11

18

114

3.2

64

1.8

Zach Price

.500

23

0

0

5

5

1

22

1.4

20

1.3

Tim Henderson

.000

7

0

3

6

1

6

12

0.5

22

0.8

Logan Baumann

1.000

1

0

0

1

0

0

3

0.8

2

0.5

Michael Baffour

.500

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

0.2

2

0.3

Jordan Bond

.000

1

0

1

0

0

1

3

0.6

0

0.0

Team

 

 

 

 

7

 

 

85

2.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Totals

.707

705

8

566

486

165

421

1439

36.9

2896

74.3

Opponents

.655

751

X

398

718

129

221

1300

33.3

2275

58.3

 

 

Schedule

Opponent

Score

MANHATTAN  

79-51  

SAMFORD  

80-54  

MIAMI (OH)  

80-39  

vs NORTHERN IOWA  (Bahamas)

51-46  

vs MISSOURI  (Bahamas)

84-61  

vs DUKE  (Bahamas)

71-76  

ILLINOIS STATE  

69-66  

at COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON  

80-38  

MISSOURI-KANSAS CITY  

99-47  

at MEMPHIS  

87-78  

FIU  

79-55  

vs WESTERN KENTUCKY  (Nashville)

78-55  

KENTUCKY  

80-77  

PROVIDENCE  

80-62  

at SETON HALL  

73-58  

USF  

64-38  

at CONNECTICUT  

73-58  

SYRACUSE  

68-70  

at VILLANOVA  

64-73  

at GEORGETOWN  

51-53  

PITTSBURGH  

64-61  

MARQUETTE  

70-51  

at RUTGERS  

68-48  

at NOTRE DAME  

101-104  

ST. JOHN‘S  

72-58  

at USF  

59-41  

SETON HALL  

79-61  

at DEPAUL  

79-58  

at SYRACUSE  

58-53  

CINCINNATI  

67-51  

NOTRE DAME  

73-57  

vs VILLANOVA  (BE Tourn.)

74-55  

vs NOTRE DAME  (BE Tourn.)

69-57  

vs SYRACUSE  (BE Tourn.)

78-61  

vs NORTH CAROLINA A&T  (ncaa)

79-48  

vs COLORADO STATE  (ncaa)

82-56  

vs OREGON  (ncaa)

77-69  

vs DUKE  (ncaa)

85-63  

vs WICHITA STATE  (ncaa)

72-68  

 

 

Michigan Wolverines

Roster

#

Name

Ht.

Wt.

Pos.

Year

Hometown (High School)

1

Glenn Robinson III

6-06

210

F

FR

St. John, Ind. (Lake Central)

2

Spike Albrecht

5-11

170

G

FR

Crown Pt., Ind. (Northfield Mt. Hermon Prep MA)

3

Trey Burke

6-01

190

G

SO

Columbus, Ohio (Northland)

4

Mitch McGary

6-10

250

F

FR

Chesterton, Ind. (Brewster Academy [N.H.])

5

Eso Akunne

6-02

225

G

SR

Ann Arbor, Mich. (Gabriel Richard)

10

Tim Hardaway Jr.

6-06

205

G

JR

Miami, Fla. (Palmetto Senior)

11

Nik Stauskas

6-06

190

G

FR

Mississauga, Ontario (St. Mark’s School MA)

13

Matt Vogrich

6-04

200

G

SR

Lake Forest, Ill. (Lake Forest)

15

Jon Horford

6-10

250

F

SO

Grand Ledge, Mich. (Grand Ledge)

20

Josh Bartelstein

6-03

210

G

SR

Highland Pk., Ill. (Phillips Exeter Acad. [N.H.])

22

Blake McLimans

6-10

240

F

SR

Hamburg, N.Y. (Worcester Academy [Mass.])

23

Caris LeVert

6-05

170

G

FR

Pickerington, Ohio (Central)

32

Corey Person

6-03

210

G

GS

Kalamazoo, Mich. (Central)

44

Max Bielfeldt

6-07

245

F

FR

Peoria, Ill. (Notre Dame)

52

Jordan Morgan

6-08

250

F

JR

Detroit, Mich. (University of Detroit Jesuit)

 

Coach: John Beilein 6th year at UM: 122-84

35 seasons overall: 673-402

(Erie CC, Nazareth, LeMoyne, Canisius, Richmond, West Virginia, Michigan)

 

Team Stats

Michigan Wolverines

Player

G

GS

Min

FG

FGA

FG%

3pt

3ptA

3pt%

FT

FTA

Trey Burke

38

38

1352

252

549

.459

73

193

.378

126

157

Tim Hardaway, Jr.

37

37

1289

196

447

.438

73

191

.382

75

107

Nik Stauskas

38

32

1171

137

296

.463

79

180

.439

74

87

Glenn Robinson, III

38

38

1274

164

288

.569

23

70

.329

65

97

Mitch McGary

38

7

740

131

218

.601

0

0

.000

23

52

Jordan Morgan

35

27

565

71

121

.587

0

0

.000

22

41

Jon Horford

31

4

276

34

59

.576

0

0

.000

19

27

Caris LeVert

32

1

344

28

88

.318

13

42

.310

7

14

Spike Albrecht

38

0

289

22

50

.440

14

28

.500

9

10

Eso Akunne

18

0

51

8

26

.308

4

12

.333

1

2

Max Bielfeldt

20

0

106

9

20

.450

0

2

.000

5

12

Matt Vogrich

26

6

125

9

27

.333

5

19

.263

3

4

Corey Person

13

0

43

3

7

.429

2

3

.667

2

3

Blake McLimans

16

0

20

4

15

.267

2

11

.182

1

2

Josh Bartelstein

6

0

10

0

1

.000

0

0

.000

0

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   
Totals

38

38

7655

1068

2212

.483

288

751

.383

432

617

Opponents

38

38

7655

913

2160

.423

234

729

.321

325

480

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   
Player

FT%

F

DQ

Ast

TO

Bk

Stl

Reb

Avg

Pts

Avg

Trey Burke

.803

69

0

257

82

19

62

120

3.2

703

18.5

Tim Hardaway, Jr.

.701

73

0

89

69

17

26

172

4.6

540

14.6

Nik Stauskas

.851

23

0

50

43

9

21

114

3.0

427

11.2

Glenn Robinson, III

.670

43

0

41

32

10

39

209

5.5

416

10.9

Mitch McGary

.442

88

0

24

46

27

41

240

6.3

285

7.5

Jordan Morgan

.537

50

1

13

33

3

15

153

4.4

164

4.7

Jon Horford

.704

45

0

9

14

16

8

69

2.2

87

2.8

Caris LeVert

.500

38

0

25

9

2

5

33

1.0

76

2.4

Spike Albrecht

.900

23

0

28

12

1

12

30

0.8

67

1.8

Eso Akunne

.500

4

0

5

1

0

0

12

0.7

21

1.2

Max Bielfeldt

.417

8

0

3

3

1

3

31

1.6

23

1.2

Matt Vogrich

.750

8

0

5

3

0

2

23

0.9

26

1.0

Corey Person

.667

4

0

2

1

0

0

1

0.1

10

0.8

Blake McLimans

.500

4

0

1

1

1

1

13

0.8

11

0.7

Josh Bartelstein

.000

1

0

1

0

0

1

0

0.0

0

0.0

Team

 

 

 

 

7

 

 

119

3.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Totals

.700

481

1

553

356

106

236

1339

35.2

2856

75.2

Opponents

.677

583

10

476

461

121

200

1219

32.1

2385

62.8

 

 

Schedule

Opponent

Score

vs. Slippery Rock

100-62

vs. IUPUI TV (nit)

91-54

vs. Cleveland State (nit)

77-47

(n) Pittsburgh (nit)

67-62

(n) Kansas State (nit)

71-57

vs. No. 18 North Carolina State

79-72

at Bradley 

74-66

vs. Western Michigan 

73-41

vs. Arkansas 

80-67

vs. Binghamton 

67-39

(n) West Virginia (Brooklyn)

81-66

vs. Eastern Michigan 

93-54

vs. Central Michigan 

88-73

at Northwestern

94-66

vs. Iowa

95-67

vs. Nebraska

62-47

at No. 15 Ohio State

53-56

at No. 9 Minnesota

83-75

vs. Purdue

68-53

at Illinois

74-60

vs. Northwestern

68-46

at No. 3 Indiana

73-81

vs. No. 10 Ohio State

76-74 ot

at Wisconsin

62-65 ot

at Michigan State

52-75

vs. Penn State

79-71

vs. Illinois

71-58

at Penn State

78-84

vs. No. 9 Michigan State

58-57

at Purdue

80-75

vs. No. 2 Indiana

71-72

vs. Penn State (B10)

83-66

vs. No. 22 Wisconsin (B10)

59-68

vs. South Dakota State ncaa

71-56

vs. VCU ncaa

78-53

vs. No. 3 Kansas ncaa

87-85 ot

vs. No. 14 Florida ncaa

79-59

vs. No. 8 Syracuse ncaa

61-56

 

Positional Matchups

Point Guard: Louisville—(3) Peyton Siva               Michigan—(3)Trey Burke

This is where Michigan has to have a big night.  Burke is ice cold in the tournament so far, hitting a paltry 23-71 from the field and 8-31 from three-point territory.  The Wolverines were able to overcome Burke’s cold shooting, but the Cardinals will shut off the UM inside game on enough possessions to force Burke to beat them from the outside.

 

Siva is a talented play-maker and even better defender, so Burke may not get many open looks.  Siva does not have to score to be effective.  He is just one of several secondary options on the Cardinals’ team.  A steal at a key juncture of this game could change momentum and become the deciding factor in a close game, and Siva is much more likely to get that steal than any Michigan player.

 

Advantage: Push

 

Shooting Guard: Louisville—(2) Russ Smith          Michigan—(10) Tim Hardaway, Jr.

Smith has been hot during the tournament, and he has oftentimes carried the offensive load for Pitino.  He can be a streaky shooter, and in the last two weeks, that streak has been scorching to the nets.  Beilein’s game plan must start with keeping the ball away from him as much as possible.

 

Hardaway is a quality 2-guard who would be superior to about 62 of the other teams in the Big Dance.  However, Louisville is not one of those teams.  He will need help handling Smith, and he will need to use a lot of additional energy helping Burke against the Cardinals’ Matchup Press defense.

 

Advantage: Louisville

 

Small Forward: Louisville—(20) Wayne Blackshear        Michigan—(11) Nik Stauskas

This is the weakest position in this game, but it could become vitally important.  Stauskas is a hit or miss proposition.  If he hits a three-pointer early, his confidence could lead him to following that up with several more.  If Louisville’s perimeter is too quick for him, and he cannot get open looks, he will disappear on offense and not be much help on defense.

 

Blackshear is a proven commodity, but that commodity is not blue-chip.  He is a tough, hard-worker who will muscle his way on the boards and play consistent defense, but he will not win or lose this game.  Pitino knows what he will get from him and knows he will be rather consistent.

 

Advantage: Wildcard (It is a push, but only because Stauskas has a 50% chance of having a large advantage or large disadvantage depending on which Stauskas shows up).

 

Power Forward: Louisville—(21) Chane Behanan           Michigan—(1) Glenn Robinson, III

This should be a great matchup between like-minded players.  Both opponents help their teammates and make them look better, but neither player can carry the load.

 

Look for both players to score around 10 points and get 8 rebounds.  Behanan may be a little better inside, while Robinson is a little better helping on the perimeter.

 

Advantage: Push

 

Center: Louisville—(10) Gorgui Dieng       Michigan—(4) Mitch McGary

This position features two future NBA players that are just starting to reach their potentials.  Dieng is a fantastic defensive stopper in the paint, and he can imitate Dikembe Mutombo in the Geico commercials.  He is also a major force on the boards, and he can grab the ball on both ends of the floor.  His ability to stop the dribble-drive gives the rest of the team an opportunity to gamble in the press.

 

McGary is more of a prototypical post player.  He has more moves on the offensive end, and when the inside is crowded, he can locate the open perimeter and deliver a sharp, accurate pass that allows his teammate to shoot quickly.

 

Advantage: Michigan

 

Bench:

Pitino uses his bench more the Beilein, but when the Michigan reserves are in the game, they contribute without weakening the team.

 

The loss of Kevin Ware takes away a considerable part of the Cardinals’ bench production, but on the other hand, his teammates will get a boost with him there to cheer them on.

 

Advantage: Push

Our Pick: Here is how we see this game.  In the first half, both teams will be a little tight, and scoring will be rather low, much like the norm for this season.  It will appear to be dull for the first 10-12 minutes with the scoring at a sub-100-point pace (something like 12-10).

 

The offenses will step up and start to get untracked in the final 8 minutes of the half, and Louisville will finish on a mini-run to go into the locker room with a small lead (28-25 or so).

 

Michigan will gain some momentum early in the second half and have their best showing of the night during the first two of the four-minute stretches.  The Wolverines will take the lead and gain a little momentum, with the score looking like 37-34 with 12 minutes to play.

 

At this point, the Wolverines will start to tire.  Their starters played too many minutes in the semifinal win over Syracuse, and the relentless Cardinal pressure will start to have an effect.  A couple of turnovers and some forced shots due to fatigue will allow Louisville to regain the lead.  Beilein will have to take a timeout with UL leading 43-39 with 9 minutes left.

 

After a brief recovery, the fatigue will prove fatal, and Louisville will go for the jugular with a big run.  By the under 4 timeout, the Cardinals will have a nice cushion, something like 55-46.  Michigan will begin to force multiple ill-advised shots, and Louisville will get a couple of cheap baskets to ice the game.  A couple of late three-pointers will give the Wolverine fans some hope, but the Cardinals will hit some foul shots to clinch the national title.

 

FINAL SCORE: Louisville 62  Michigan 55

 

 

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March 24, 2010

Sweet 16 Preview

 

From Sweet to Elite

Advanced Level Bracketnomics

 

Hello PiRate Basketball fans.  Our system worked well, but the idiots (us) in charge of the data didn’t have the guts to play all the upsets.  We still have nine teams alive, and our top-rated teams according to our system are still there, except for Kansas. 

We told you in the first round that Georgetown and Vanderbilt were the most ripe for upset bids based on their R+T scores just barely above zero.  We were there on other double-digit ups as well.

Before we preview the Sweet 16 games, let’s refresh you on the PiRate formula components.

Scoring Margin—We look for teams with a minimum scoring margin of 8 points per game, give precedence to teams with double-digit scoring margins, and develop huge crushes on teams with scoring margins of 15 or more points per game.  We award one point for as little as a 5-point scoring margin, 3 points for 8 or more, and 5 points for 10 or more. 

Teams with a negative margin who have made it to the Sweet 16 are eliminated and are automatically picked to lose the next game (unless of course there is a rare instance of their opponent also qualifying for elimination.)

Field Goal % Margin—We look for teams that have a +7.5 or better difference in field goal percentage versus opponents’ field goal percentage.  We give special consideration to teams with double-digit field goal percentage margins, and if we see a team hitting better than 48.0% and yielding less than 38.0%, we circle that team in red because they are going to be tough to beat if they are a member of one of the Big Six conferences (ACC, Big East, Big Ten, Big 12, Pac-10, or SEC).  We award one point for FG% margins of 5.0 or more, 3 points for margins of 7.5% or more, and 5 points for double-digit margins. 

Like above, teams arriving at the Sweet 16 with a negative field goal margin are eliminated.

Rebound Margin—This is actually part of a multiple statistical entry, as we combine it with turnover margin as well.  However, we do separate rebounding because offensive put backs are vitally important in the Big Dance.  We are looking for teams with a +5.0 or better rebounding margin.  We award one point for a rebounding margin of 3.0 or better and 3 points for a margin of 5.0 or better. 

Teams with a negative rebounding margin receive -2 points, but they are not eliminated yet.

Turnover Margin & Steals Per Game—Teams with negative rebounding margins can make up for it with exceptional turnover margins, especially if they get a lot of steals that lead to great fast break opportunities.  We don’t award points solely on turnover margin and steals; we incorporate those stats into a multi-statistical formula we call “R+T.” 

R+T is a formula that applies weighted advantages to steals and turnover margin, while adding rebounding margin into the equation.  Rebounding margin is already factored into the formula by itself, but it receives fewer awarded points.  This stat balances out the rebounding with the scoring and field goal margin, and it allows us to look at the number of extra scoring opportunities a team normally receives. 

The Formula for R+T is:  R+ (.2S*1.2T), where R is rebounding margin, S is steals per game, and T is turnover margin.  Whenever this stat is negative, this team is immediately eliminated.  If this stat is less than one, don’t figure on this team staying around in the Dance.  All four teams that fell below one in R+T lost in the first round, including heavy favored Georgetown and Vanderbilt.  We award the result of the R+T in points.

Power Conference & Strength of Schedule—We give extra weight to teams that are members of the Big Six conferences.  We give a little weight to the teams from the top of the mid-majors (such as Missouri Valley, West Coast, Colonial, and Mountain West).  We deduct for teams from the lower conferences (such as America East, MAAC, Big West, and Patriot). 

We look at the strength of schedule as produced by cbssports.com, and multiply that number by 100.  50.00 is a mid-point, so if that number is 52.37, we consider that schedule to be 2.37 points stronger than average.  If the number is 46.28, then that schedule is 3.72 points weaker than average.  This is incorporated into our criteria.

Record Away From Home—Every team is playing on a neutral floor, so we throw out the home won-loss records.  A team that is 26-9 overall, but 17-0 at home is actually a .500 team away from home.  Likewise, in some rare instances a team might be 22-10 with a home record of 14-6 and a record away from home of 8-4.  Winning two –thirds of one’s games away from home would make this team more likely to beat the 26-9 team on a neutral floor, all else being equal.

Before the first round, our formula picked Duke as the overall favorite based on their 34.4 PiRate score.  The Blue Devils no longer own the top score after the first two rounds.  Their criteria score fell a little, while another team elevated just enough to post a higher score.  The new leader in the clubhouse is none other than Kansas State.  This surprised us all here, but the Wildcats were impressive in wins over North Texas and BYU.  Their defense was stifling, and their offense, while not spectacular, clicked in spurts.  KSU controlled the boards in both games as well.

The Wildcats have had few great moments since in the last 20+ years.  This team is starting to bring back memories of the glory days in the Little Apple when Tex Winter introduced his triple-post (triangle) offense and Jack Gardner had the Cats running and gunning.

Of the 16 teams remaining, five come from conferences outside of the Big Six conferences, but each of the quintet’s PiRate criteria scores reveals that they belong in the Sweet 16.  None of the five (none of the entire 16) have scores in single digits.

Now, it’s time to look at the eight, Sweet 16 games, using these criteria.  The number you see in (Parentheses) after the team is their PiRate Criteria Score.  All of these scores have been update to reflect their two wins in the Big Dance.                                                                            

 

East Regional

 

#1 Kentucky (29.22) vs. #12 Cornell (14.56)

The Wildcats are the one team that also qualifies in the 48-38% field goal margin.  John Calipari no longer officially owns any Final Four appearances to his name, after the NCAA upheld the vacating of all Memphis wins during Derrick Rose’s playing career (his U Mass team had to vacate that appearance as well).  So, we can say he is still looking for his first official visit to the Final Four.  We don’t know with 100% certainty if the Wildcats will make it there, but we are safe in saying they will be one of the Elite 8.  Cornell cannot stop DeMarcus Cousins inside unless they totally sell out on the perimeter.  John Wall and Eric Bledsoe will make the Big Red pay for that tactic, and then Patrick Patterson will break their backs if he hits a three.

Cornell might stay close through one or two TV timeouts, but this game should get out of hand before halftime.

 

Prediction: Kentucky 88  Cornell 64

 

#2 West Virginia (29.08) vs. #11 Washington (21.93)

West Virginia wins ugly.  The Mountaineers don’t look pretty, but they keep pounding at opponents until they see an opening.  Then, like a crafty boxer, they exploit that opening and grab the lead on points.  They rarely record a knockout, but they are great at keeping the lead once they get it in the final half.

Washington does look pretty when they play.  Lorenzo Romar’s teams vaguely resemble many of the great UCLA teams from the past.  With Quincy Pondexter and Isaiah Thomas providing a great one-two punch, it is hard to stop the Huskies from scoring 70 or more points.

West Virginia doesn’t usually win games if they give up more than 75 points.  Coach Bob Huggins will devise a game plan to force UW’s big threats to work harder for open shots, and Washington will not reach 75 points in this game.

Prediction: West Virginia 73  Washington 66

 

South Regional

 

#3 Baylor (26.04) vs. #10 St. Mary’s (15.47)

This looks like a classic mismatch between a power team from a power conference and a team that should be just glad to have made it this far.  It could be, but we like the way St. Mary’s plays, and we think Coach Randy Bennett is possibly the next Lute Olsen if he so chooses to move on to a school from one of the Big Six conferences.

This will be a great battle between big men.  Baylor’s Ekpe Udoh and St, Mary’s Omar Samhan should balance each other out.  Samhan is a little better offensively, but Udoh is a little better defensively.  Samhan is the more likely to get in foul trouble.

Baylor has more potent weapons in LaceDarius Dunn and Tweety Carter, but the Gaels have more depth.  We just don’t see the Bears running away with this game.  We will pick them to advance.

Prediction: Baylor 78  St. Mary’s 71

 

#1 Duke (30.48) vs. #4 Purdue (15.37)

Credit must be given to the Boilermakers for making it this far without Robbie Hummel.  They played hard and won a couple of tough games.  Unfortunately, Purdue goes up against one of the big boys.  This is their final game of the season.

Duke may have fallen a notch in winning their first two games, but having to play the play-in winner lowered their strength of schedule.  Emptying the bench may have artificially lowered their criteria score, and we still think Coach K is sitting pretty with his club in a great bracket.

Prediction: Duke 81  Purdue 67

 

Midwest Regional

 

#2 Ohio State (22.24) vs. #6 Tennessee (21.16)

These may not be the two best teams left in the Big Dance, or even in this regional, but they may be the two best-coached teams.  Buckeye head guy Thad Matta has definitely produced a better record than his talent on hand should have produced, and Volunteer coach Bruce Pearl has squeezed every last drop of juice out of his big orange.

Two years ago, when Ohio State was the top-rated team, Tennessee built up a 20-point lead against OSU, before the Buckeyes chipped away and came back for the win in this same round.  Vol center Wayne Chism can remember that game well.

We look for this to possibly be the most entertaining game of this round, but we have to go with the Big Ten in this one.  Tennessee is having to go with players that would be considered bench-warmers at Ohio State for almost one quarter of the available playing time.  Pearl will either have to play five reserves for their usual 48 combined minutes per game or go with his top seven until they drop.  Either way, it tips the scale in favor of Brutus.

Prediction: Ohio State 69  Tennessee 63

 

#5 Michigan State (20.92) vs. #9 Northern Iowa (13.76)

This is another game where we have to discount a team for the loss of a player.  Spartan star guard Kalin Lucas is out for the rest of the year with a ruptured Achilles tendon.  He is the Spartans’ leading scorer, leader at getting to the foul line, leading passer, and best perimeter defender.  Losing him is almost like losing Magic Johnson. 

One thing MSU still has in its favor is a brutalizing inside force with a three-headed rebounding monster.  Raymar Morgan, Draymond Green, and Delvon Roe will see to it that Northern Iowa will not get many second-chance points.

Northern Iowa is primed to exploit MSU’s misfortune, but we expect the Panthers to come out flat following the huge upset over Kansas.  Jordan Eglseder is going to need help inside as the Spartans attempt to force their offense to score inside the paint.  Adam Koch cannot afford to risk foul trouble, so we see some difficulty here for NIU.  We also do not believe that Ali Farokhmanesh will drain threes all night in this game.  We can see him going 2 for 9.

It’s rather obvious that this is going to be a very low-scoring game, at least until the final minutes when one team may be getting a dozen trips to the foul line.

Prediction: Michigan State 56  Northern Iowa 51

 

 

West Regional

 

#1 Syracuse (27.88) vs. #5 Butler (19.35)

Quickness over brute force strength should be the difference in this game.  Syracuse has been flying a little bit under the radar so far, and the Orangemen are about to reveal to the rest of the nation that they are an Elite 8 team. 

Butler cannot be overlooked, as the Bulldogs are now the best team in the Hoosier state.  However, Butler doesn’t have the horses to exploit the cracks in the SU 2-3 matchup zone.  We see the Bulldogs going through stretches where they cannot score, and you can’t beat Syracuse that way.

A ‘Cuse win should set up the best Regional Final of the four, regardless of their opponent on Saturday.

Prediction: Syracuse 74  Butler 60

 

#2 Kansas State (31.21) vs. #6 Xavier (18.37)

Xavier has become a household name in the Big Dance, so it’s no longer much of a surprise to see the Musketeers advancing in this tournament.  They just happened to get the wrong team in the Sweet 16, because we just cannot see them matching up inside against the purple and white.  Kansas State can bring two wide-bodies off the bench, and the Wildcats’ guards can hit the glass as well.

The storyline of this game is that KSU will hold Xavier under 40% from the field and rarely give the Musketeers an offensive rebound.  Teams just don’t win in the Sweet 16 unless they can either control the boards of shoot a high percentage.

We look for the Wildcats to set up the game of the tournament in the West Regional Finals on Saturday.

Prediction: Kansas State 77  Xavier 61

 

Check back with us Saturday before game time for a preview of the Elite 8 Regional Final games.

 

December 29, 2008

Pro Football Computer Simulation: Week 17–December 29, 2008

Pro Football Computer Simulation

Week 17-December 28, 2008

 

The regular season of year two in the Pro Football Computer Simulation League has now concluded with the final week of games simulated Sunday evening.

 

The playoffs will begin next week, and I have included the playoff schedule following this week’s recaps.

 

1981 Cincinnati  31  2003 Kansas City  21

Pete Johnson rushed for 137 yards and two scores, and Ken Anderson passed for two others, as the Bengals finished with a winning record, but just barely missed out on the 6th playoff berth in the AFC.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1981 Cin

10

0

14

7

 

31

2003 KC

0

14

0

7

 

21

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cin

Stat

KC

 

 

 

 

19

FD

17

 

 

 

 

36-154

Rush-Yds

32-115

 

 

 

 

192

Pass Yds

211

 

 

 

 

16-27-0

Passes

19-34-1

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

0-0

 

 

 

 

5-42.4

Punt

6-43.3

 

 

 

 

2-19

PR

3-26

 

 

 

 

6-40

Pen

5-51

 

 

 

 

1-0

Fum

0-0

 

 

 

 

63

Play

66

 

 

 

 

346

Tot Yds

326

 

 

 

1999 St. Louis  27  1998 Atlanta  17

Kurt Warner passed for two touchdowns, and the Rams’ defense forced Atlanta into three turnovers in St. Louis territory, as the Rams earned home field advantage throughout the NFC Playoffs.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1998 Atl

3

0

0

14

 

17

1999 Stl

10

3

7

7

 

27

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Atl

Stat

Stl

 

 

 

 

16

FD

22

 

 

 

 

32-121

Rush-Yds

33-129

 

 

 

 

158

Pass Yds

294

 

 

 

 

13-25-2

Passes

21-34-1

 

 

 

 

2-14

Sacks

1-7

 

 

 

 

6-41.8

Punt

4-42.8

 

 

 

 

2-13

PR

3-51

 

 

 

 

7-68

Pen

5-35

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

59

Play

68

 

 

 

 

265

Tot Yds

416

 

 

 

2007 New England 38  1990 Buffalo  17

Tom Brady completed his first 14 passes and finished the day with 4 TD tosses, as the Patriots topped the 500 point mark for the season.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1990 Buf

0

7

3

7

 

17

2007 NE

14

10

7

7

 

38

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Buf

Stat

NE

 

 

 

 

15

FD

24

 

 

 

 

18-55

Rush-Yds

33-128

 

 

 

 

203

Pass Yds

335

 

 

 

 

18-31-2

Passes

26-36-0

 

 

 

 

3-23

Sacks

1-5

 

 

 

 

6-40.5

Punt

2-39.5

 

 

 

 

0-0

PR

2-43

 

 

 

 

7-55

Pen

6-40

 

 

 

 

1-0

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

52

Play

70

 

 

 

 

235

Tot Yds

458

 

 

 

1996 Green Bay  34  1991 Detroit  14

All season long, the Packers relied on a strong offense to outscore opponents, but in clinching the NFC North, it was the defense that led the way.  The green and gold stop troops held Barry Sanders to 71 yards rushing on 18 attempts; the Packer front line recorded two sacks on crucial third down plays; and they intercepted two passes that set up a touchdown and field goal.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1996 GB

13

7

14

0

 

34

1991 Det

0

0

7

7

 

14

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

GB

Stat

Det

 

 

 

 

20

FD

16

 

 

 

 

34-149

Rush-Yds

26-110

 

 

 

 

289

Pass Yds

167

 

 

 

 

22-35-1

Passes

15-28-2

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

2-15

 

 

 

 

5-47.0

Punt

6-43.7

 

 

 

 

3-79

PR

2-14

 

 

 

 

5-44

Pen

4-33

 

 

 

 

2-0

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

69

Play

56

 

 

 

 

438

Tot Yds

262

 

 

 

2005 Indianapolis 30  2000 Tennessee  16

Peyton Manning completed three touchdown passes to Marvin Harrison, as the Colts knocked off the Titans to claim the final AFC playoff berth.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2005 Ind

14

10

3

3

 

30

2000 Ten

3

3

3

7

 

16

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ind

Stat

Ten

 

 

 

 

23

FD

14

 

 

 

 

41-172

Rush-Yds

25-79

 

 

 

 

257

Pass Yds

155

 

 

 

 

19-27-0

Passes

13-28-2

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

2-19

 

 

 

 

4-41.8

Punt

7-43.9

 

 

 

 

3-26

PR

2-77

 

 

 

 

5-45

Pen

7-62

 

 

 

 

2-2

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

68

Play

55

 

 

 

 

429

Tot Yds

215

 

 

 

2000 Baltimore  20  1999 Jacksonville  10

The Ravens averaged just 14 points all season, but their defense yielded just 13.  Sunday, Baltimore held Jacksonville to just 72 yards and four first downs through the first three quarters and will enter the playoffs with the top defense in the league.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2000 Bal

3

7

10

0

 

20

1999 Jac

0

3

0

7

 

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bal

Stat

Jac

 

 

 

 

16

FD

8

 

 

 

 

42-177

Rush-Yds

27-47

 

 

 

 

129

Pass Yds

138

 

 

 

 

11-21-0

Passes

12-27-3

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

5-39

 

 

 

 

6-42.3

Punt

8-41.5

 

 

 

 

5-69

PR

3-22

 

 

 

 

8-82

Pen

6-47

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

63

Play

59

 

 

 

 

306

Tot Yds

146

 

 

 

1985 Chicago  27  2007 Houston  0

The Bears’ defense kept the Texans on their side of the field all day and posted the shutout, while Walter Payton rushed for 182 yards and two touchdowns.  Chicago finished in a three-way tie for first in the NFC North, but the Packers won the tiebreaker.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2007 Hou

0

0

0

0

 

0

1985 Chi

7

3

7

10

 

27

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hou

Stat

Chi

 

 

 

 

6

FD

24

 

 

 

 

11-19

Rush-Yds

56-242

 

 

 

 

153

Pass Yds

173

 

 

 

 

13-29-2

Passes

11-19-0

 

 

 

 

7-57

Sacks

0-0

 

 

 

 

9-38.8

Punt

5-44.6

 

 

 

 

1-11

PR

6-74

 

 

 

 

6-55

Pen

7-70

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

47

Play

75

 

 

 

 

115

Tot Yds

415

 

 

 

2002 Tampa Bay  26  2000 Oakland  10

The Buccaneers played a solid game for four quarters, as the offense held onto the ball for almost 36 minutes, and the defense held Oakland at bay.  With the win, Tampa Bay clinched the NFC South Division.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2002 TB

3

3

6

14

 

26

2000 Oak

0

7

3

0

 

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TB

Stat

Oak

 

 

 

 

20

FD

13

 

 

 

 

28-103

Rush-Yds

30-89

 

 

 

 

266

Pass Yds

182

 

 

 

 

19-35-1

Passes

13-28-1

 

 

 

 

1-7

Sacks

2-19

 

 

 

 

6-43.2

Punt

7-45.4

 

 

 

 

4-51

PR

2-15

 

 

 

 

5-38

Pen

9-90

 

 

 

 

1-0

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

64

Play

60

 

 

 

 

362

Tot Yds

252

 

 

 

2005 Pittsburgh  27  1987 Cleveland  24

Willie Parker ran for 103 yards, and Chris Hope returned a Bernie Kosar interception 59 yards for a game-clinching score, as the Steelers came from behind to win.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2005 Pit

0

3

14

10

 

27

1987 Cle

7

7

3

7

 

24

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pit

Stat

Cle

 

 

 

 

19

FD

18

 

 

 

 

31-143

Rush-Yds

16-59

 

 

 

 

187

Pass Yds

341

 

 

 

 

15-25-1

Passes

27-48-2

 

 

 

 

2-12

Sacks

3-25

 

 

 

 

5-41.6

Punt

5-40.0

 

 

 

 

2-17

PR

2-23

 

 

 

 

7-60

Pen

6-52

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

58

Play

67

 

 

 

 

318

Tot Yds

375

 

 

 

1998 Minnesota  27  1986 New York Giants  17

Cris Carter and Randy Moss both topped 100 receiving yards, as the Vikings kept pace in the NFC North with Chicago and Green Bay.  The Giants were eliminated from the playoffs with the loss.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1998 Min

3

14

7

3

 

27

1986 NYG

7

0

7

3

 

17

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Min

Stat

NYG

 

 

 

 

19

FD

18

 

 

 

 

36-137

Rush-Yds

29-111

 

 

 

 

242

Pass Yds

238

 

 

 

 

16-28-1

Passes

15-29-2

 

 

 

 

1-8

Sacks

2-21

 

 

 

 

5-42.8

Punt

7-42.7

 

 

 

 

4-57

PR

3-34

 

 

 

 

8-78

Pen

6-45

 

 

 

 

1-1

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

65

Play

60

 

 

 

 

371

Tot Yds

328

 

 

 

1987 New Orleans  28  1996 Carolina  23

Bobby Hebert passed for 201 yards and three touchdowns in the final period, as the Saints came from 16 points down to win and edge out the Panthers for third place in the NFC South.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1987 NO

0

7

0

21

 

28

1996 Car

14

6

3

0

 

23

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NO

Stat

Car

 

 

 

 

23

FD

15

 

 

 

 

21-78

Rush-Yds

26-88

 

 

 

 

401

Pass Yds

170

 

 

 

 

29-51-1

Passes

14-26-1

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

1-9

 

 

 

 

6-43.5

Punt

6-34.7

 

 

 

 

4-69

PR

2-17

 

 

 

 

4-25

Pen

7-50

 

 

 

 

3-3

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

72

Play

53

 

 

 

 

479

Tot Yds

249

 

 

 

2004 Philadelphia  27  1992 Dallas  21

Donovan McNabb ran for 77 yards and two touchdowns, and passed for another, as the Eagles knocked Dallas out of the playoffs.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2004 Phi

3

7

10

7

 

27

1992 Dal

0

7

14

0

 

21

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Phi

Stat

Dal

 

 

 

 

19

FD

18

 

 

 

 

31-116

Rush-Yds

35-143

 

 

 

 

223

Pass Yds

168

 

 

 

 

17-30-1

Passes

14-25-1

 

 

 

 

1-7

Sacks

2-16

 

 

 

 

6-42.7

Punt

5-38.6

 

 

 

 

1-(-2)

PR

4-38

 

 

 

 

5-40

Pen

11-115

 

 

 

 

2-0

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

62

Play

62

 

 

 

 

332

Tot Yds

295

 

 

 

 

1984 Miami  31  1998 New York Jets  21

Dan Marino topped 5,000 yards passing and 40 touchdowns for the season, as the Dolphins evened their record for the season.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1998 NYJ

6

8

7

0

 

21

1984 Mia

14

7

10

0

 

31

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NYJ

Stat

Mia

 

 

 

 

16

FD

25

 

 

 

 

24-91

Rush-Yds

22-60

 

 

 

 

221

Pass Yds

403

 

 

 

 

13-25-0

Passes

31-52-2

 

 

 

 

1-6

Sacks

3-20

 

 

 

 

6-41.8

Punt

5-47.6

 

 

 

 

3-41

PR

2-30

 

 

 

 

8-82

Pen

5-35

 

 

 

 

2-0

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

50

Play

77

 

 

 

 

306

Tot Yds

443

 

 

 

2005 Seattle  24  1998 Arizona  7

In a game with little or nothing on the line, Shaun Alexander topped the 1,500 yard rushing mark, as the Seahawks cruised to the victory.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1998 Ari

0

0

7

0

 

7

2005 Sea

0

7

10

7

 

24

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ari

Stat

Sea

 

 

 

 

12

FD

19

 

 

 

 

26-77

Rush-Yds

34-174

 

 

 

 

172

Pass Yds

157

 

 

 

 

18-37-3

Passes

14-24-0

 

 

 

 

4-31

Sacks

1-6

 

 

 

 

8-43.4

Punt

6-42.7

 

 

 

 

3-22

PR

5-81

 

 

 

 

5-38

Pen

6-44

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

67

Play

59

 

 

 

 

218

Tot Yds

325

 

 

 

1998 Denver  21  2006 San Diego  17

With the AFC West Division title up for grabs, Terrell Davis and LaDainian Tomlinson put on a show for the simulated audience.  Davis rushed for 152 yard and two touchdowns, while Tomlinson rushed for 121 yard and two touchdowns.  The game-winner for the Broncos came when Trevor Pryce sacked Phillip Rivers and forced a fumble, which Rod Smith recovered and returned 39 yards for the score.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2006 SD

3

7

7

0

 

17

1998 Den

7

0

14

0

 

21

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SD

Stat

Den

 

 

 

 

15

FD

17

 

 

 

 

30-137

Rush-Yds

39-171

 

 

 

 

133

Pass Yds

186

 

 

 

 

12-22-1

Passes

17-25-0

 

 

 

 

2-13

Sacks

0-0

 

 

 

 

7-41.9

Punt

6-43.5

 

 

 

 

4-54

PR

5-68

 

 

 

 

6-52

Pen

6-50

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

54

Play

64

 

 

 

 

257

Tot Yds

357

 

 

 

1984 San Francisco  27  1991 Washington  24

Matt Cavanaugh, subbing for the injured Joe Montana, came into the game in the fourth quarter and tossed touchdown passes to Freddie Solomon and Dwight Clark, as the 49ers erased an 11-point deficit to beat the Redskins.  Washington still won the NFC East thanks to losses by the Cowboys and Giants.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1984 SF

10

0

3

14

 

27

1991 Was

7

7

3

7

 

24

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SF

Stat

Was

 

 

 

 

22

FD

18

 

 

 

 

29-121

Rush-Yds

32-119

 

 

 

 

267

Pass Yds

209

 

 

 

 

23-38-1

Passes

16-27-1

 

 

 

 

1-5

Sacks

2-13

 

 

 

 

6-43.0

Punt

6-44.3

 

 

 

 

3-22

PR

5-51

 

 

 

 

5-30

Pen

4-37

 

 

 

 

1-0

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

68

Play

61

 

 

 

 

383

Tot Yds

315

 

 

 

Final Regular Season Standings

Pro Football Computer Simulation League

National Football Conference

East Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

1991 Washington Redskins

9

7

0

327

259

102.0

1992 Dallas Cowboys

9

7

0

328

331

99.4

1986 New York Giants

8

8

0

266

238

100.5

2004 Philadelphia Eagles

6

10

0

283

305

97.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

North Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

1996 Green Bay Packers

12

4

0

481

259

115.6

1998 Minnesota Vikings

12

4

0

462

314

111.8

1985 Chicago Bears

12

4

0

344

218

110.1

1991 Detroit Lions

3

13

0

277

440

94.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

South Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

2002 Tampa Bay Buccaneers

9

7

0

313

273

103.2

1998 Atlanta Falcons

8

8

0

304

390

96.7

1987 New Orleans Saints

7

9

0

321

322

101.6

1996 Carolina Panthers

6

10

0

323

389

96.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

West Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

1999 St. Louis Rams

12

4

0

481

363

105.8

1984 San Francisco 49ers

10

6

0

421

330

103.7

2005 Seattle Seahawks

7

9

0

308

402

94.7

1998 Arizona Cardinals

2

14

0

212

472

84.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

American Football Conference

East Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

2007 New England Patriots

11

5

0

530

360

108.6

1984 Miami Dolphins

8

8

0

470

498

97.3

1990 Buffalo Bills

7

9

0

415

397

99.7

1998 New York Jets

7

9

0

330

402

95.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

North Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

2000 Baltimore Ravens

13

3

0

230

206

99.2

1981 Cincinnati Bengals

9

7

0

328

310

98.5

1987 Cleveland Browns

4

12

0

267

386

92.0

2005 Pittsburgh Steelers

3

13

0

237

323

94.0

           

 

South Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

2000 Tennessee Titans

13

3

0

362

192

109.6

2005 Indianapolis Colts

9

7

0

407

382

102.9

1999 Jacksonville Jaguars

5

11

0

282

359

97.0

2007 Houston Texans

4

12

0

301

470

91.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

West Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

1998 Denver Broncos

12

4

0

465

324

106.7

2006 San Diego Chargers

10

6

0

380

332

102.0

2000 Oakland Raiders

6

10

0

338

383

96.4

2003 Kansas City Chiefs

3

13

0

348

523

90.2

 

 

Pro Football Computer Simulation League Playoffs

 

NFC Seedings

1. 1999 St. Louis Rams

2. 1996 Green Bay Packers

3. 1991 Washington Redskins

4. 2002 Tampa Bay Buccaneers

5. 1985 Chicago Bears

6. 1998 Minnesota Vikings

 

AFC Seedings

1. 2000 Tennessee Titans

2. 2000 Baltimore Ravens

3. 1998 Denver Broncos

4. 2007 New England Patriots

5. 2006 San Diego Chargers

6. 2005 Indianapolis Colts

 

First Round Schedule

 

1998 Minnesota Vikings at 1991 Washington Redskins

1985 Chicago Bears at 2002 Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2005 Indianapolis Colts at 1998 Denver Broncos

2006 San Diego Chargers at 2007 New England Patriots

 

Look here next Monday, January 5, 2009, for the results of the first round of the playoffs.  

 

Coming January 2, 2009: the results from the College Football Simulated Playoff semi-final round games-Southern Cal vs. Oklahoma and Florida vs. Texas.

December 22, 2008

Pro Football Computer Simulation For Week 16: December 22, 2008

Pro Football Computer Simulation For Week 16: December 22, 2008

 

Due to time constraints this week, I will just post the scores, standings, and stats for this week’s simulations.

 

This week’s scores:

2005 Indianapolis

31

1999 Jacksonville

20

2000 Baltimore

20

1992 Dallas

17

1991 Detroit

30

1987 New Orleans

21

1981 Cincinnati

24

1987 Cleveland

16

1984 Miami

35

2003 Kansas City

24

2000 Tennessee

21

2005 Pittsburgh

13

1991 Washington

27

2004 Philadelphia

17

1986 NY Giants

21

1996 Carolina

16

1984 San Francisco

31

1999 St. Louis

27

2007 New England

41

1998 Arizona

14

1998 Minnesota

34

1998 Atlanta

20

2000 Oakland

45

2007 Houston

17

2005 Seattle

24

1998 NY Jets

13

1998 Denver

28

1990 Buffalo

14

2006 San Diego

20

2002 Tampa Bay

19

1996 Green Bay

24

1985 Chicago

21

 

This week’s simulated game stats:

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1999 Jac

3

10

0

7

 

20

2005 Ind

10

7

7

7

 

31

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Jac

Stat

Ind

 

 

 

 

16

FD

22

 

 

 

 

35-117

Rush-Yds

36-172

 

 

 

 

184

Pass Yds

231

 

 

 

 

14-25-1

Passes

19-29-0

 

 

 

 

1-7

Sacks

1-5

 

 

 

 

6-43.2

Punt

4-46.3

 

 

 

 

2-19

PR

3-40

 

 

 

 

7-59

Pen

5-35

 

 

 

 

1-0

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

61

Play

66

 

 

 

 

294

Tot Yds

398

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1992 Dal

0

3

7

7

 

17

2000 Bal

7

3

3

7

 

20

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dal

Stat

Bal

 

 

 

 

9

FD

15

 

 

 

 

32-66

Rush-Yds

42-113

 

 

 

 

139

Pass Yds

127

 

 

 

 

9-22-2

Passes

10-21-1

 

 

 

 

3-18

Sacks

1-12

 

 

 

 

8-41.6

Punt

7-40.6

 

 

 

 

3-79

PR

5-52

 

 

 

 

6-55

Pen

11-106

 

 

 

 

2-0

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

57

Play

64

 

 

 

 

187

Tot Yds

228

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1991 Det

3

10

10

7

 

30

1987 NO

0

7

14

0

 

21

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Det

Stat

NO

 

 

 

 

22

FD

15

 

 

 

 

47-229

Rush-Yds

17-45

 

 

 

 

153

Pass Yds

212

 

 

 

 

13-20-0

Passes

16-30-1

 

 

 

 

2-13

Sacks

2-13

 

 

 

 

3-47.3

Punt

5-44.6

 

 

 

 

2-19

PR

1-17

 

 

 

 

5-38

Pen

4-35

 

 

 

 

1-0

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

69

Play

49

 

 

 

 

369

Tot Yds

244

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1987 Cle

14

0

0

2

 

16

1981 Cin

3

14

7

0

 

24

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cle

Stat

Cin

 

 

 

 

16

FD

21

 

 

 

 

31-138

Rush-Yds

46-215

 

 

 

 

149

Pass Yds

129

 

 

 

 

13-25-1

Passes

11-17-0

 

 

 

 

4-26

Sacks

0-0

 

 

 

 

6-40.3

Punt

4-39.8

 

 

 

 

2-7

PR

4-33

 

 

 

 

5-37

Pen

4-25

 

 

 

 

1-1

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

60

Play

63

 

 

 

 

261

Tot Yds

344

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2003 KC

7

3

14

0

 

24

1984 Mia

14

7

7

7

 

35

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

KC

Stat

Mia

 

 

 

 

18

FD

22

 

 

 

 

25-93

Rush-Yds

31-88

 

 

 

 

228

Pass Yds

341

 

 

 

 

17-32-2

Passes

25-37-0

 

 

 

 

3-20

Sacks

3-18

 

 

 

 

4-38.8

Punt

4-45.5

 

 

 

 

2-23

PR

1-9

 

 

 

 

8-66

Pen

5-30

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

60

Play

71

 

 

 

 

301

Tot Yds

411

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2000 Ten

0

14

7

0

 

21

2005 Pit

3

10

0

0

 

13

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ten

Stat

Pit

 

 

 

 

16

FD

 

 

 

 

 

40-157

Rush-Yds

22-67

 

 

 

 

126

Pass Yds

231

 

 

 

 

10-17-0

Passes

18-35-2

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

4-26

 

 

 

 

5-43.6

Punt

7-41.3

 

 

 

 

3-54

PR

2-15

 

 

 

 

5-42

Pen

7-50

 

 

 

 

1-0

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

57

Play

61

 

 

 

 

283

Tot Yds

272

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1991 Was

3

0

21

3

 

27

2004 Phi

10

0

7

0

 

17

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Was

Stat

Phi

 

 

 

 

21

FD

18

 

 

 

 

41-193

Rush-Yds

24-81

 

 

 

 

218

Pass Yds

248

 

 

 

 

17-26-1

Passes

19-35-3

 

 

 

 

1-7

Sacks

0-0

 

 

 

 

5-42.4

Punt

5-40.8

 

 

 

 

3-29

PR

2-13

 

 

 

 

7-58

Pen

2-37

 

 

 

 

1-0

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

68

Play

59

 

 

 

 

404

Tot Yds

329

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1986 NYG

0

14

7

0

 

21

1996 Car

3

7

3

3

 

16

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NYG

Stat

Car

 

 

 

 

18

FD

15

 

 

 

 

41-149

Rush-Yds

17-62

 

 

 

 

236

Pass Yds

236

 

 

 

 

13-25-1

Passes

18-35-2

 

 

 

 

2-15

Sacks

4-29

 

 

 

 

6-44.8

Punt

7-42.1

 

 

 

 

4-27

PR

2-14

 

 

 

 

4-30

Pen

6-43

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

68

Play

56

 

 

 

 

370

Tot Yds

269

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1999 Stl

10

7

7

3

 

27

1984 SF

14

7

0

10

 

31

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Stl

Stat

SF

 

 

 

 

21

FD

23

 

 

 

 

23-106

Rush-Yds

34-139

 

 

 

 

313

Pass Yds

265

 

 

 

 

27-44-2

Passes

19-29-0

 

 

 

 

1-9

Sacks

0-0

 

 

 

 

4-43.6

Punt

5-43.8

 

 

 

 

2-15

PR

3-34

 

 

 

 

7-65

Pen

4-25

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

0-0

 

 

 

 

68

Play

63

 

 

 

 

410

Tot Yds

404

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2007 NE

17

10

14

0

 

41

1998 Ari

0

0

7

7

 

14

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NE

Stat

Ari

 

 

 

 

24

FD

13

 

 

 

 

37-155

Rush-Yds

24-77

 

 

 

 

298

Pass Yds

159

 

 

 

 

25-29-0

Passes

15-29-2

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

2-19

 

 

 

 

2-41.0

Punt

7-43.9

 

 

 

 

4-83

PR

1-2

 

 

 

 

5-33

Pen

7-48

 

 

 

 

1-1

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

66

Play

55

 

 

 

 

453

Tot Yds

217

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1998 Min

10

10

0

14

 

34

1998 Atl

6

7

7

0

 

20

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Min

Stat

Atl

 

 

 

 

19

FD

15

 

 

 

 

31-108

Rush-Yds

39-113

 

 

 

 

255

Pass Yds

155

 

 

 

 

15-29-1

Passes

15-27-0

 

 

 

 

1-9

Sacks

2-15

 

 

 

 

4-43.0

Punt

6-43.3

 

 

 

 

3-44

PR

1-10

 

 

 

 

6-50

Pen

5-30

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

61

Play

68

 

 

 

 

354

Tot Yds

253

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2000 Oak

14

14

14

3

 

45

2007 Hou

0

0

10

7

 

17

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Oak

Stat

Hou

 

 

 

 

23

FD

10

 

 

 

 

39-161

Rush-Yds

10-33

 

 

 

 

277

Pass Yds

191

 

 

 

 

19-34-0

Passes

16-31-4

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

5-46

 

 

 

 

2-48.5

Punt

7-40.7

 

 

 

 

4-108

PR

2-29

 

 

 

 

7-57

Pen

5-40

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

73

Play

46

 

 

 

 

438

Tot Yds

178

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2005 Sea

0

7

7

10

 

24

1998 NYJ

3

3

7

0

 

13

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sea

Stat

NYJ

 

 

 

 

18

FD

19

 

 

 

 

35-142

Rush-Yds

18-74

 

 

 

 

194

Pass Yds

247

 

 

 

 

16-27-1

Passes

19-36-3

 

 

 

 

1-8

Sacks

1-7

 

 

 

 

5-40.6

Punt

6-43.5

 

 

 

 

2-11

PR

3-23

 

 

 

 

8-66

Pen

6-48

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

63

Play

55

 

 

 

 

328

Tot Yds

314

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1998 Den

7

0

14

7

 

28

1990 Buf

7

0

0

7

 

14

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Den

Stat

Buf

 

 

 

 

18

FD

17

 

 

 

 

29-153

Rush-Yds

19-58

 

 

 

 

172

Pass Yds

313

 

 

 

 

15-25-1

Passes

24-45-2

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

3-17

 

 

 

 

4-51.3

Punt

5-46.2

 

 

 

 

3-47

PR

2-19

 

 

 

 

6-42

Pen

5-51

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

54

Play

67

 

 

 

 

325

Tot Yds

354

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2002 TB

9

3

7

0

 

19

2006 SD

7

3

3

7

 

20

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TB

Stat

SD

 

 

 

 

16

FD

19

 

 

 

 

28-96

Rush-Yds

35-208

 

 

 

 

211

Pass Yds

169

 

 

 

 

18-32-2

Passes

14-26-1

 

 

 

 

2-15

Sacks

1-7

 

 

 

 

7-42.7

Punt

5-43.0

 

 

 

 

2-3

PR

5-45

 

 

 

 

7-52

Pen

5-38

 

 

 

 

1-1

Fum

2-0

 

 

 

 

62

Play

62

 

 

 

 

292

Tot Yds

370

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1985 Chi

10

0

3

8

 

21

1996 GB

0

3

7

14

 

24

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Chi

Stat

GB

 

 

 

 

15

FD

19

 

 

 

 

33-141

Rush-Yds

18-51

 

 

 

 

132

Pass Yds

442

 

 

 

 

11-19-1

Passes

26-43-2

 

 

 

 

2-19

Sacks

1-8

 

 

 

 

6-41.7

Punt

2-44.0

 

 

 

 

1-7

PR

4-53

 

 

 

 

9-88

Pen

5-43

 

 

 

 

2-0

Fum

3-2

 

 

 

 

54

Play

62

 

 

 

 

254

Tot Yds

485

 

 

 

Standings after 15 games:

Pro Football Computer Simulation League

National Football Conference

East Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

1991 Washington Redskins

9

6

0

303

232

102.5

1992 Dallas Cowboys

9

6

0

307

304

99.4

1986 New York Giants

8

7

0

249

211

101.0

2004 Philadelphia Eagles

5

10

0

256

284

97.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

North Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

1996 Green Bay Packers

11

4

0

447

245

115.2

1998 Minnesota Vikings

11

4

0

435

297

111.7

1985 Chicago Bears

11

4

0

317

218

108.9

1991 Detroit Lions

3

12

0

263

406

94.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

South Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

2002 Tampa Bay Buccaneers

8

7

0

287

263

102.2

1998 Atlanta Falcons

8

7

0

287

363

96.9

1987 New Orleans Saints

6

9

0

293

299

101.2

1996 Carolina Panthers

6

9

0

300

361

96.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

West Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

1999 St. Louis Rams

11

4

0

454

346

105.4

1984 San Francisco 49ers

9

6

0

394

306

103.7

2005 Seattle Seahawks

6

9

0

284

395

93.1

1998 Arizona Cardinals

2

13

0

205

448

84.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

American Football Conference

East Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

2007 New England Patriots

10

5

0

492

343

108.0

1990 Buffalo Bills

7

8

0

398

359

101.1

1984 Miami Dolphins

7

8

0

439

477

96.7

1998 New York Jets

7

8

0

309

371

96.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

North Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

2000 Baltimore Ravens

12

3

0

210

196

98.7

1981 Cincinnati Bengals

8

7

0

297

289

97.9

1987 Cleveland Browns

4

11

0

243

359

91.8

2005 Pittsburgh Steelers

2

13

0

210

299

93.5

           

 

South Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

2000 Tennessee Titans

13

2

0

346

162

111.2

2005 Indianapolis Colts

8

7

0

377

366

102.3

1999 Jacksonville Jaguars

5

10

0

272

339

97.6

2007 Houston Texans

4

11

0

301

443

92.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

West Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

1998 Denver Broncos

11

4

0

444

307

107.2

2006 San Diego Chargers

10

5

0

363

311

102.6

2000 Oakland Raiders

6

9

0

328

357

97.5

2003 Kansas City Chiefs

3

12

0

327

492

90.4

December 15, 2008

Pro Football Computer Simulation For Week 15: December 15, 2008

Pro Football Computer Simulation Week 15-December 15, 2008

 

The simulation for Week 15 has just been completed, and there were a couple of interesting games of note.  The rematch of Super Bowl 19 took place in Miami where the 1984 Dolphins knocked the 1984 49ers out of playoff contention, giving the 1999 Rams the NFC West title.  With the win, the Dolphins moved to within just one game of the playoff bubble, as four teams are tied at 7-7 in the AFC and 7-7 is the second best record of potential AFC Wildcard teams.

 

The big upset took place in Oakland.  The 2000 Raiders beat the 2007 Patriots.

 

Here are the results from this week’s simulation:

 

1985 Chicago

24

1987 New Orleans

13

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1985 Chi

7

10

0

7

 

24

1987 NO

3

7

0

3

 

13

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Chi

Stat

NO

 

 

 

 

18

FD

12

 

 

 

 

43-177

Rush-Yds

25-57

 

 

 

 

154

Pass Yds

169

 

 

 

 

13-24-0

Passes

14-27-2

 

 

 

 

1-6

Sacks

3-20

 

 

 

 

6-44.0

Punt

7-42.4

 

 

 

 

3-56

PR

2-11

 

 

 

 

7-55

Pen

5-49

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

68

Play

55

 

 

 

 

325

Tot Yds

206

 

 

                     

The Bears scored 10 points off the two interceptions thrown by Bobby Hebert, and Walter Payton rushed for 129 yards and a score.

 

1981 Cincinnati

30

1991 Washington

17

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1981 Cin

10

14

3

3

 

30

1991 Was

7

3

7

0

 

17

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cin

Stat

Was

 

 

 

 

23

FD

16

 

 

 

 

41-197

Rush-Yds

19-84

 

 

 

 

231

Pass Yds

208

 

 

 

 

18-29-0

Passes

17-30-2

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

3-19

 

 

 

 

4-39.8

Punt

6-40.3

 

 

 

 

2-5

PR

1-7

 

 

 

 

3-15

Pen

8-80

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

70

Play

52

 

 

 

 

428

Tot Yds

273

 

 

                     

Ken Anderson threw three touchdown passes in the first half and Pete Johnson rushed for 132 yards as the Bengals moved into playoff contention.  With the loss, the Redskins fell from first place in the NFC East.

 

1998 Atlanta

27

2002 Tampa Bay

17

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1998 Atl

0

6

14

7

 

27

2002 TB

10

0

7

0

 

17

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Atl

Stat

TB

 

 

 

 

19

FD

17

 

 

 

 

34-168

Rush-Yds

34-121

 

 

 

 

182

Pass Yds

224

 

 

 

 

15-25-0

Passes

19-29-1

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

1-7

 

 

 

 

6-42.5

Punt

7-41.9

 

 

 

 

4-58

PR

2-19

 

 

 

 

4-30

Pen

6-55

 

 

 

 

2-0

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

59

Play

64

 

 

 

 

350

Tot Yds

338

 

 

                     

Jamal Anderson’s two third quarter touchdown runs (17 & 11 yards) brought the Falcons back after Tampa Bay had taken a 17-6 lead.  The two teams are now tied for the lead in the NFC South, with Tampa Bay holding a slim tiebreaker advantage.

 

2000 Tennessee

23

2007 Houston

14

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2007 Hou

0

7

7

0

 

14

2000 Ten

3

6

7

7

 

23

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hou

Stat

Ten

 

 

 

 

14

FD

19

 

 

 

 

28-77

Rush-Yds

40-208

 

 

 

 

184

Pass Yds

139

 

 

 

 

16-28-1

Passes

11-19-0

 

 

 

 

4-23

Sacks

0-0

 

 

 

 

7-42.3

Punt

5-48.2

 

 

 

 

2-27

PR

3-44

 

 

 

 

8-77

Pen

5-40

 

 

 

 

3-1

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

60

Play

59

 

 

 

 

238

Tot Yds

347

 

 

                     

Eddie George rushed for 177 yards and two touchdowns and Jevon Kearse recorded two sacks, as the Titans moved closer to securing home field advantage throughout the playoffs.

 

2005 Indianapolis

38

1991 Detroit

17

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2005 Ind

14

14

3

7

 

38

1991 Det

0

3

7

7

 

17

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ind

Stat

Det

 

 

 

 

24

FD

16

 

 

 

 

41-177

Rush-Yds

21-109

 

 

 

 

285

Pass Yds

173

 

 

 

 

19-32-0

Passes

14-27-2

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

3-20

 

 

 

 

2-42.5

Punt

6-41.7

 

 

 

 

3-23

PR

1-4

 

 

 

 

6-50

Pen

4-30

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

73

Play

51

 

 

 

 

462

Tot Yds

262

 

 

                     

Peyton Manning passed for 3 touchdowns and Edgerrin James rushed for 152 yards and a score, as the Colts moved onto the top side of the Wildcard playoff bubble.

 

2006 San Diego

28

2003 Kansas City

24

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2003 KC

3

7

14

0

 

24

2006 SD

7

7

7

7

 

28

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

KC

Stat

SD

 

 

 

 

20

FD

18

 

 

 

 

16-71

Rush-Yds

41-189

 

 

 

 

256

Pass Yds

142

 

 

 

 

22-38-1

Passes

12-20-0

 

 

 

 

1-8

Sacks

0-0

 

 

 

 

5-43.6

Punt

6-41.8

 

 

 

 

3-19

PR

4-46

 

 

 

 

5-40

Pen

7-57

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

3-1

 

 

 

 

55

Play

61

 

 

 

 

319

Tot Yds

331

 

 

                     

Phillip Rivers passed for two touchdowns and LaDainian Tomlinson rushed for 144 yards and a touchdown, as the Chargers virtually locked up a playoff spot.

 

2000 Baltimore

10

2005 Pittsburgh

6

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2000 Bal

0

3

0

7

 

10

2005 Pit

3

0

3

0

 

6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bal

Stat

Pit

 

 

 

 

14

FD

12

 

 

 

 

33-114

Rush-Yds

31-89

 

 

 

 

129

Pass Yds

158

 

 

 

 

11-24-2

Passes

16-28-2

 

 

 

 

2-11

Sacks

3-18

 

 

 

 

6-42.0

Punt

8-40.8

 

 

 

 

3-41

PR

2-16

 

 

 

 

11-110

Pen

6-52

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

59

Play

62

 

 

 

 

232

Tot Yds

229

 

 

                     

Ray Lewis intercepted a Ben Roethlisberger pass and returned it 47 yards for the winning score in the fourth quarter as the Ravens moved closer to gaining a first round bye in the playoffs.

 

1996 Green Bay

34

1999 Jacksonville

13

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1999 Jac

0

3

3

7

 

13

1996 GB

10

14

7

3

 

34

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Jac

Stat

GB

 

 

 

 

13

FD

24

 

 

 

 

19-44

Rush-Yds

45-185

 

 

 

 

142

Pass Yds

228

 

 

 

 

13-26-1

Passes

19-29-0

 

 

 

 

1-11

Sacks

0-0

 

 

 

 

8-40.3

Punt

4-44.3

 

 

 

 

1-11

PR

6-82

 

 

 

 

5-39

Pen

4-30

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

46

Play

74

 

 

 

 

175

Tot Yds

413

 

 

                     

The Packers held onto the ball for 38:16 to just 21:44 for the Jaguars, as Brett Favre led the green and gold on four touchdown drives of 10 or more plays.  Jacksonville’s lone touchdown came with just 10 seconds to play in the game.  The loss eliminated the Jaguars from the playoffs.

 

1996 Carolina

28

1998 Denver

27

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1996 Car

0

14

7

7

 

28

1998 Den

7

3

7

10

 

27

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Car

Stat

Den

 

 

 

 

19

FD

20

 

 

 

 

28-107

Rush-Yds

35-147

 

 

 

 

242

Pass Yds

204

 

 

 

 

19-34-1

Passes

17-28-1

 

 

 

 

2-10

Sacks

1-8

 

 

 

 

5-43.0

Punt

5-42.4

 

 

 

 

2-17

PR

3-22

 

 

 

 

5-33

Pen

6-35

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

64

Play

64

 

 

 

 

339

Tot Yds

343

 

 

                     

Anthony Johnson broke loose on a draw play and scored on a 42-yard run to give the Panthers the upset victory after John Elway had put the Broncos ahead on a 4th quarter drive.  The Panthers held onto their slim playoff hopes, while Denver fell one game behind Baltimore for a playoff bye.

 

1998 NY Jets

31

1990 Buffalo

28

ot

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1998 NYJ

0

14

14

0

3

31

1990 Buf

7

0

7

14

0

28

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NYJ

Stat

Buf

 

 

 

 

18

FD

21

 

 

 

 

33-109

Rush-Yds

34-117

 

 

 

 

221

Pass Yds

233

 

 

 

 

19-33-2

Passes

19-34-1

 

 

 

 

3-16

Sacks

5-43

 

 

 

 

7-41.7

Punt

5-42.4

 

 

 

 

2-9

PR

3-41

 

 

 

 

8-65

Pen

4-53

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

69

Play

73

 

 

 

 

314

Tot Yds

307

 

 

                       

Aaron Glenn intercepted a Jim Kelly pass and returned it 17 yards to set up John Hall’s 47 yard field goal with 3:11 to go in overtime, as the Jets moved into a second place tie with the Bills in the AFC East.

 

1984 Miami

42

1984 San Francisco

31

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1984 Mia

14

7

14

7

 

42

1984 SF

10

7

7

7

 

31

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mia

Stat

SF

 

 

 

 

25

FD

22

 

 

 

 

19-74

Rush-Yds

35-148

 

 

 

 

403

Pass Yds

277

 

 

 

 

28-44-0

Passes

21-34-1

 

 

 

 

1-6

Sacks

1-6

 

 

 

 

2-53.5

Punt

5-41.6

 

 

 

 

3-14

PR

2-21

 

 

 

 

4-25

Pen

6-48

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

64

Play

70

 

 

 

 

471

Tot Yds

419

 

 

                     

Dan Marino threw four touchdown passes, two each to Mark Duper and Mark Clayton, as the Dolphins eliminated the 49ers from the playoff race and held onto slim hopes of obtaining a wildcard spot themselves.

 

1999 St. Louis

45

2005 Seattle

17

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1999 Stl

21

3

14

7

 

45

2005 Sea

0

7

10

0

 

17

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Stl

Stat

Sea

 

 

 

 

26

FD

18

 

 

 

 

37-177

Rush-Yds

17-55

 

 

 

 

345

Pass Yds

228

 

 

 

 

23-36-0

Passes

16-29-2

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

2-19

 

 

 

 

1-42

Punt

6-43.5

 

 

 

 

3-52

PR

1-7

 

 

 

 

6-44

Pen

5-59

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

73

Play

48

 

 

 

 

522

Tot Yds

264

 

 

                     

Kurt Warner completed touchdown passes to Isaac Bruce, Marshall Faulk, and Az Hakim in the first quarter, as the Rams cruised to the easy win.  Combined with the 49ers loss, St. Louis clinched the NFC West.

 

1998 Minnesota

35

1998 Arizona

10

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1998 Ari

3

7

0

0

 

10

1998 Min

7

7

14

7

 

35

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ari

Stat

Min

 

 

 

 

14

FD

20

 

 

 

 

23-67

Rush-Yds

42-163

 

 

 

 

195

Pass Yds

285

 

 

 

 

13-27-1

Passes

15-26-0

 

 

 

 

4-23

Sacks

0-0

 

 

 

 

7-40.4

Punt

4-39.8

 

 

 

 

0-0

PR

2-21

 

 

 

 

6-55

Pen

4-34

 

 

 

 

1-0

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

54

Play

68

 

 

 

 

239

Tot Yds

448

 

 

                     

Randall Cunningham completed long bombs to Randy Moss (46 yards) and Cris Carter (41 yards) in the third quarter to put a close game out of reach.  Jimmy Hitchcock put the game out of reach with a 44 yard interception return for a touchdown in the final period.

 

2000 Oakland

34

2007 New England

28

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2000 Oak

9

0

18

7

 

34

2007 NE

14

7

0

7

 

28

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Oak

Stat

NE

 

 

 

 

13

FD

24

 

 

 

 

31-98

Rush-Yds

29-121

 

 

 

 

159

Pass Yds

312

 

 

 

 

14-25-0

Passes

23-39-2

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

1-9

 

 

 

 

7-46.6

Punt

2-41.0

 

 

 

 

1-68

PR

4-35

 

 

 

 

10-100

Pen

6-46

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

4-3

 

 

 

 

56

Play

69

 

 

 

 

257

Tot Yds

424

 

 

                     

The Raiders took advantage of five New England turnovers and converted them into two touchdowns and three field goals, and the silver and black forced two safeties as well.  New England still led 28-27 after Tom Brady scrambled for a 5 yard touchdown run with 4:08 left to play, but David Dunn returned the following kickoff 67 yards to the Patriots’ 24 yard line.  Rich Gannon completed back-to-back passes to Tim Brown to move the ball to the four, and Tyrone Wheatley scored on the next play.

 

1992 Dallas

20

1986 NY Giants

17

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1992 Dal

3

3

7

7

 

20

1986 NYG

7

0

7

3

 

17

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dal

Stat

NYG

 

 

 

 

18

FD

16

 

 

 

 

34-141

Rush-Yds

33-108

 

 

 

 

165

Pass Yds

172

 

 

 

 

14-23-0

Passes

12-24-1

 

 

 

 

1-7

Sacks

1-5

 

 

 

 

6-44.5

Punt

6-37.5

 

 

 

 

2-13

PR

3-24

 

 

 

 

4-30

Pen

5-27

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

58

Play

58

 

 

 

 

299

Tot Yds

275

 

 

                     

 Emmitt Smith broke loose on a 26 yard touchdown run with 3:11 to go in the game, and the Cowboys’ defense held the Giants on downs at midfield to move into first place in the NFC East.

 

2004 Philadelphia

31

1987 Cleveland

21

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2004 Phi

13

0

11

7

 

31

1987 Cle

14

0

7

0

 

21

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Phi

Stat

Cle

 

 

 

 

17

FD

18

 

 

 

 

45-190

Rush-Yds

34-122

 

 

 

 

162

Pass Yds

197

 

 

 

 

15-24-0

Passes

17-27-1

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

2-15

 

 

 

 

5-41.8

Punt

7-41.3

 

 

 

 

3-17

PR

2-23

 

 

 

 

6-41

Pen

5-40

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

69

Play

63

 

 

 

 

352

Tot Yds

304

 

 

                     

Three different Eagles rushed for more than 50 yards and a touchdown each, as Philadelphia won for just the fifth time this season.  Brian Westbrook rushed for 72 yards on 17 carries, Dorsey Levens rushed for 67 yards on 19 carries, and Donovan McNabb scrambled for 51 yards on nine attempts.

 

Current Standings

Pro Football Computer Simulation League

National Football Conference

East Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

1992 Dallas Cowboys

9

5

0

290

284

99.7

1991 Washington Redskins

8

6

0

276

215

102.0

1986 New York Giants

7

7

0

228

195

100.9

2004 Philadelphia Eagles

5

9

0

239

257

97.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

North Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

1985 Chicago Bears

11

3

0

296

194

109.9

1996 Green Bay Packers

10

4

0

423

224

116.2

1998 Minnesota Vikings

10

4

0

401

277

111.7

1991 Detroit Lions

2

12

0

233

385

94.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

South Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

2002 Tampa Bay Buccaneers

8

6

0

268

243

102.4

1998 Atlanta Falcons

8

6

0

267

329

97.6

1987 New Orleans Saints

6

8

0

272

269

101.8

1996 Carolina Panthers

6

8

0

284

340

97.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

West Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

1999 St. Louis Rams

11

3

0

427

315

106.2

1984 San Francisco 49ers

8

6

0

363

279

103.8

2005 Seattle Seahawks

5

9

0

260

382

91.9

1998 Arizona Cardinals

2

12

0

191

407

85.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

American Football Conference

East Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

2007 New England Patriots

9

5

0

451

329

106.6

1990 Buffalo Bills

7

7

0

384

331

101.9

1998 New York Jets

7

7

0

296

347

96.3

1984 Miami Dolphins

6

8

0

404

453

95.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

North Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

2000 Baltimore Ravens

11

3

0

190

179

98.5

1981 Cincinnati Bengals

7

7

0

273

273

97.5

1987 Cleveland Browns

4

10

0

227

335

91.9

2005 Pittsburgh Steelers

2

12

0

197

278

93.6

           

 

South Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

2000 Tennessee Titans

12

2

0

325

149

111.7

2005 Indianapolis Colts

7

7

0

346

346

101.8

1999 Jacksonville Jaguars

5

9

0

252

308

98.2

2007 Houston Texans

4

10

0

284

398

93.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

West Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

1998 Denver Broncos

10

4

0

416

293

106.6

2006 San Diego Chargers

9

5

0

343

292

102.3

2000 Oakland Raiders

5

9

0

287

340

95.6

2003 Kansas City Chiefs

3

11

0

303

457

90.1

 

December 8, 2008

Pro Football Computer Simulation League: Week 14–December 8, 2008

Pro Football Computer Simulation League: Week 14-12-08-08

 

As year two of the Pro Football Computer Simulation League begins to reach its conclusion, it is apparent that there are more quality teams in the NFC than the AFC.  If the simulated playoffs were to begin today, the 1984 San Francisco 49ers and 1992 Dallas Cowboys would be out with 8-5 records, while in the AFC, 7-6 would be good enough for the 1990 Buffalo Bills to qualify as a wildcard team.

 

Here is a look at results for this weekend.  The weather played an important part in many games, causing more turnovers and less offense on the average.

 

2006 San Diego

28

2000 Oakland

17

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2006 SD

14

0

7

7

 

28

2000 Oak

3

7

7

0

 

17

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SD

Stat

Oak

 

 

 

 

18

FD

17

 

 

 

 

42-176

Rush-Yds

17-56

 

 

 

 

180

Pass Yds

211

 

 

 

 

17-26-0

Passes

19-33-2

 

 

 

 

1-6

Sacks

1-7

 

 

 

 

5-43.2

Punt

6-45.2

 

 

 

 

2-31

PR

3-31

 

 

 

 

5-35

Pen

7-50

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

69

Play

51

 

 

 

 

350

Tot Yds

260

 

 

 

SD-LaDainian Tomlinson rush: 26-127

 

1998 Atlanta

17

1987 New Orleans

14

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1987 NO

0

7

7

0

 

14

1998 Atl

7

3

7

0

 

17

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NO

Stat

Atl

 

 

 

 

14

FD

17

 

 

 

 

24-79

Rush-Yds

41-193

 

 

 

 

227

Pass Yds

142

 

 

 

 

19-32-1

Passes

11-19-0

 

 

 

 

3-22

Sacks

1-5

 

 

 

 

8-43.4

Punt

6-44.7

 

 

 

 

2-22

PR

4-46

 

 

 

 

6-43

Pen

5-42

 

 

 

 

1-1

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

59

Play

61

 

 

 

 

284

Tot Yds

330

 

 

 

Atl-Jamal Anderson rush: 26-159 & 1 TD

 

2000 Baltimore

16

1991 Washington

13

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2000 Bal

0

7

6

3

 

16

1991 Was

0

6

0

7

 

13

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bal

Stat

Was

 

 

 

 

14

FD

14

 

 

 

 

36-129

Rush-Yds

24-81

 

 

 

 

131

Pass Yds

152

 

 

 

 

11-24-1

Passes

15-29-1

 

 

 

 

2-11

Sacks

3-17

 

 

 

 

7-41.6

Punt

6-42.0

 

 

 

 

4-33

PR

3-41

 

 

 

 

6-42

Pen

4-31

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

62

Play

56

 

 

 

 

249

Tot Yds

216

 

 

 

Ravens Defense held Redskins to 2 FDs and 74 yards in 2nd half

 

1986 NY Giants

20

2004 Philadelphia

14

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1986 NYG

10

0

10

0

 

20

2004 Phi

7

0

7

0

 

14

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NYG

Stat

Phi

 

 

 

 

16

FD

15

 

 

 

 

35-133

Rush-Yds

30-93

 

 

 

 

215

Pass Yds

183

 

 

 

 

15-25-1

Passes

17-32-2

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

2-15

 

 

 

 

5-41.6

Punt

6-42.7

 

 

 

 

3-19

PR

2-31

 

 

 

 

4-20

Pen

3-25

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

60

Play

64

 

 

 

 

348

Tot Yds

261

 

 

 

NYG: Terry Kinard intercepted two passes and returned one 36 yards to set up TD

 

 

1985 Chicago

24

1999 Jacksonville

10

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1985 Chi

3

14

7

0

 

24

1999 Jac

0

0

10

0

 

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Chi

Stat

Jac

 

 

 

 

16

FD

11

 

 

 

 

44-182

Rush-Yds

18-44

 

 

 

 

143

Pass Yds

137

 

 

 

 

12-22-0

Passes

12-27-2

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

4-31

 

 

 

 

5-44.6

Punt

8-43.5

 

 

 

 

4-71

PR

2-19

 

 

 

 

5-40

Pen

4-28

 

 

 

 

1-0

Fum

0-0

 

 

 

 

66

Play

49

 

 

 

 

325

Tot Yds

150

 

 

 

Chi: Leslie Frazier returned a 3rd qtr. Interception for a TD to put game away

 

1998 Minnesota

37

1991 Detroit

20

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1991 Det

10

7

3

0

 

20

1998 Min

9

7

7

14

 

37

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Det

Stat

Min

 

 

 

 

17

FD

21

 

 

 

 

43-198

Rush-Yds

28-111

 

 

 

 

140

Pass Yds

245

 

 

 

 

12-23-1

Passes

18-29-1

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

1-8

 

 

 

 

4-38.8

Punt

5-43.2

 

 

 

 

2-15

PR

1-10

 

 

 

 

5-43

Pen

4-35

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

66

Play

58

 

 

 

 

338

Tot Yds

348

 

 

 

Min: Cris Carter Rec. 7-126 & 2 TD

 

1996 Green Bay

27

2007 Houston

13

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1996 GB

7

3

14

3

 

27

2007 Hou

0

7

3

3

 

13

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

GB

Stat

Hou

 

 

 

 

20

FD

15

 

 

 

 

37-126

Rush-Yds

27-83

 

 

 

 

207

Pass Yds

168

 

 

 

 

17-28-1

Passes

17-31-1

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

2-15

 

 

 

 

4-45.8

Punt

6-41.5

 

 

 

 

3-47

PR

2-10

 

 

 

 

5-34

Pen

5-49

 

 

 

 

1-0

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

65

Play

60

 

 

 

 

333

Tot Yds

236

 

 

 

GB-Santana Dotson 1 QB sack & 1 Fumble Recovery

 

2005 Indianapolis

34

1981 Cincinnati

24

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2005 Ind

14

10

7

3

 

34

1981 Cin

7

10

0

7

 

24

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ind

Stat

Cin

 

 

 

 

20

FD

18

 

 

 

 

34-146

Rush-Yds

29-91

 

 

 

 

229

Pass Yds

266

 

 

 

 

16-22-0

Passes

24-41-2

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

1-6

 

 

 

 

3-44.3

Punt

4-42.3

 

 

 

 

1-6

PR

1-2

 

 

 

 

5-25

Pen

7-50

 

 

 

 

1-0

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

56

Play

71

 

 

 

 

375

Tot Yds

351

 

 

 

Ind-Peyton Manning 4 TD passes

 

2000 Tennessee

23

1987 Cleveland

17

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2000 Ten

3

7

7

6

 

23

1987 Cle

0

7

3

7

 

17

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ten

Stat

Cle

 

 

 

 

16

FD

13

 

 

 

 

38-146

Rush-Yds

29-70

 

 

 

 

137

Pass Yds

155

 

 

 

 

12-21-0

Passes

14-27-2

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

2-15

 

 

 

 

5-43.8

Punt

7-42.3

 

 

 

 

4-56

PR

3-22

 

 

 

 

6-46

Pen

8-55

 

 

 

 

1-0

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

59

Play

58

 

 

 

 

283

Tot Yds

210

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ten-Samari Rolle 2 interceptions and 3 passes broken up

 

1998 Denver

34

2003 Kansas City

14

 
 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1998 Den

14

10

10

0

 

34

2003 KC

0

0

7

7

 

14

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Den

Stat

KC

 

 

 

 

23

FD

9

 

 

 

 

49-221

Rush-Yds

11-36

 

 

 

 

192

Pass Yds

183

 

 

 

 

16-25-0

Passes

15-32-2

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

2-17

 

 

 

 

4-42.0

Punt

9-41.3

 

 

 

 

5-42

PR

2-17

 

 

 

 

3-25

Pen

5-30

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

74

Play

45

 

 

 

 

413

Tot Yds

202

 

 

                     

 

Den-Terrell Davis rush: 32-169 & 2 TD

 

1984 Miami

40

1990 Buffalo

31

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1990 Buf

7

10

0

14

 

31

1984 Mia

14

17

9

0

 

40

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Buf

Stat

Mia

 

 

 

 

22

FD

21

 

 

 

 

26-87

Rush-Yds

27-110

 

 

 

 

311

Pass Yds

284

 

 

 

 

24-49-2

Passes

19-35-1

 

 

 

 

1-7

Sacks

2-13

 

 

 

 

4-31.2

Punt

4-46.3

 

 

 

 

1-17

PR

2-3

 

 

 

 

7-58

Pen

4-20

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

0-0

 

 

 

 

76

Play

64

 

 

 

 

391

Tot Yds

381

 

 

 

Miami scored touchdowns on first four possessions as Dan Marino hooked up with Mark Clayton and Mark Duper twice each for TDs/Dolphins also blocked a punt for a safety

 

1984 San Francisco

26

1998 NY Jets

17

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1984 SF

10

7

3

6

 

26

1998 NYJ

7

0

3

7

 

17

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SF

Stat

NYJ

 

 

 

 

19

FD

 

 

 

 

 

32-119

Rush-Yds

25-107

 

 

 

 

209

Pass Yds

203

 

 

 

 

18-32-0

Passes

18-32-2

 

 

 

 

1-5

Sacks

0-0

 

 

 

 

4-43.0

Punt

6-42.3

 

 

 

 

2-19

PR

0-0

 

 

 

 

5-32

Pen

9-90

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

65

Play

57

 

 

 

 

323

Tot Yds

310

 

 

 

SF-Keena Turner and Dana McLemore picked off a pass to set up two 2nd half field goals

 

1992 Dallas

23

2005 Pittsburgh

13

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2005 Pit

3

10

0

0

 

13

1992 Dal

3

3

14

3

 

23

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pit

Stat

Dal

 

 

 

 

18

FD

18

 

 

 

 

16-71

Rush-Yds

45-203

 

 

 

 

211

Pass Yds

173

 

 

 

 

19-34-2

Passes

15-25-0

 

 

 

 

2-13

Sacks

1-9

 

 

 

 

6-41.8

Punt

5-42.0

 

 

 

 

2-13

PR

4-19

 

 

 

 

4-30

Pen

3-22

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

52

Play

71

 

 

 

 

269

Tot Yds

367

 

 

 

Dal-Emmitt Smith rush: 28-149

 

1999 St. Louis

44

1998 Arizona

17

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1998 Ari

0

0

10

7

 

17

1999 Stl

24

6

7

7

 

44

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ari

Stat

Stl

 

 

 

 

7

FD

26

 

 

 

 

13-21

Rush-Yds

54-247

 

 

 

 

121

Pass Yds

248

 

 

 

 

11-28-3

Passes

17-19-0

 

 

 

 

3-22

Sacks

0-0

 

 

 

 

7-40.7

Punt

1-43

 

 

 

 

1-36

PR

3-31

 

 

 

 

4-25

Pen

6-35

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

0-0

 

 

 

 

44

Play

73

 

 

 

 

120

Tot Yds

495

 

 

 

Stl-Kurt Warner threw three TD passes in 1st qtr./Marshall Faulk ran for 133 yards in the second half to finish with 187 total.

 

2007 New England

30

2005 Seattle

20

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2005 Sea

3

7

0

10

 

20

2007 NE

14

3

10

3

 

30

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sea

Stat

NE

 

 

 

 

17

FD

19

 

 

 

 

30-89

Rush-Yds

31-119

 

 

 

 

191

Pass Yds

267

 

 

 

 

17-31-1

Passes

21-35-0

 

 

 

 

2-13

Sacks

0-0

 

 

 

 

5-43.6

Punt

4-42.5

 

 

 

 

1-0

PR

2-13

 

 

 

 

5-32

Pen

4-30

 

 

 

 

1-1

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

63

Play

66

 

 

 

 

267

Tot Yds

386

 

 

 

NE-Wesley Welker Rec.: 10-144 & 2 TD

 

2002 Tampa Bay

21

1996 Carolina

17

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1996 Car

0

7

10

0

 

17

2002 TB

7

7

7

0

 

21

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Car

Stat

TB

 

 

 

 

19

FD

12

 

 

 

 

31-137

Rush-Yds

34-83

 

 

 

 

219

Pass Yds

137

 

 

 

 

17-37-3

Passes

13-24-0

 

 

 

 

5-27

Sacks

1-6

 

 

 

 

5-34.0

Punt

8-46.4

 

 

 

 

2-11

PR

3-59

 

 

 

 

5-35

Pen

5-40

 

 

 

 

2-2

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

73

Play

59

 

 

 

 

329

Tot Yds

220

 

 

 

Tampa Bay forced 5 turnovers and blocked a punt, scoring all 21 points off Panther miscues

 

Pro Football Computer Simulation League

National Football Conference

East Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

1991 Washington Redskins

8

5

0

259

185

103.5

1992 Dallas Cowboys

8

5

0

270

267

99.9

1986 New York Giants

7

6

0

211

175

101.5

2004 Philadelphia Eagles

4

9

0

208

236

97.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

North Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

1985 Chicago Bears

10

3

0

272

181

109.2

1996 Green Bay Packers

9

4

0

389

211

115.3

1998 Minnesota Vikings

9

4

0

366

267

110.3

1991 Detroit Lions

2

11

0

216

347

94.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

South Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

2002 Tampa Bay Buccaneers

8

5

0

251

216

103.2

1998 Atlanta Falcons

7

6

0

240

312

96.3

1987 New Orleans Saints

6

7

0

259

245

102.6

1996 Carolina Panthers

5

8

0

256

313

96.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

West Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

1999 St. Louis Rams

10

3

0

382

298

105.3

1984 San Francisco 49ers

8

5

0

332

237

105.6

2005 Seattle Seahawks

5

8

0

243

337

93.9

1998 Arizona Cardinals

2

11

0

181

372

86.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

American Football Conference

East Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

2007 New England Patriots

9

4

0

423

295

107.8

1990 Buffalo Bills

7

6

0

356

300

102.7

1998 New York Jets

6

7

0

265

319

96.1

1984 Miami Dolphins

5

8

0

362

422

94.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

North Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

2000 Baltimore Ravens

10

3

0

180

173

98.0

1981 Cincinnati Bengals

6

7

0

243

256

96.4

1987 Cleveland Browns

4

9

0

206

304

92.0

2005 Pittsburgh Steelers

2

11

0

191

268

93.4

           

 

South Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

2000 Tennessee Titans

11

2

0

302

135

111.6

2005 Indianapolis Colts

6

7

0

308

329

100.0

1999 Jacksonville Jaguars

5

8

0

239

274

99.1

2007 Houston Texans

4

9

0

270

375

93.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

West Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

1998 Denver Broncos

10

3

0

389

265

107.3

2006 San Diego Chargers

8

5

0

315

268

102.2

2000 Oakland Raiders

4

9

0

253

312

94.8

2003 Kansas City Chiefs

3

10

0

279

429

89.5

December 1, 2008

Pro Football Computer Simulation: Week 13–December 1, 2008

Pro Football Computer Simulation League: Week 13-December 1, 2008

 

The Pro Football Computer Simulation League for 2008 uses a fantastic season from the past between 1981 and 2007 for each of the 32 current NFL Franchises.  It uses the actual 2008 NFL schedule and then simulates games between the past great teams.  Last year’s simulation involved teams from 1960 to 1979.  The 1967 Oakland Raiders edged the 1968 Dallas Cowboys in the Simper Bowl.

 

Here are the results of this week’s games:

 

2000 Tennessee Titans  24  1991 Detroit Lions  6

Jevon Kearse picked up two sacks and Frank Wycheck caught 5 passes for 77 yards and 2 touchdowns, as the Titans spoiled Thanksgiving for Detroit fans. 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1991 Det

0

3

3

0

 

6

2000 Ten

0

10

7

7

 

24

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Det

Stat

Ten

 

 

 

 

11

FD

17

 

 

 

 

28-92

Rush-Yds

38-147

 

 

 

 

144

Pass Yds

168

 

 

 

 

13-23-1

Passes

15-25-0

 

 

 

 

3-19

Sacks

0-0

 

 

 

 

7-47.3

Punt

5-43.6

 

 

 

 

2-11

PR

4-67

 

 

 

 

6-64

Pen

4-25

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

54

Play

63

 

 

 

 

217

Tot Yds

315

 

 

 

1992 Dallas Cowboys  27  2005 Seattle Seahawks  20

Emmitt Smith rushed for 136 yards on 22 carries and scored the game-clinching touchdown, and the Cowboys’ defense stopped Seattle on downs late in the game at the Dallas 28 yard line.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1992 Dal

7

10

10

0

 

27

2005 Sea

7

3

3

7

 

20

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dal

Stat

Sea

 

 

 

 

19

FD

15

 

 

 

 

41-196

Rush-Yds

31-87

 

 

 

 

174

Pass Yds

193

 

 

 

 

15-25-0

Passes

16-28-2

 

 

 

 

1-6

Sacks

1-7

 

 

 

 

4-41.0

Punt

5-41.8

 

 

 

 

2-29

PR

2-17

 

 

 

 

6-45

Pen

8-87

 

 

 

 

2-0

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

67

Play

60

 

 

 

 

364

Tot Yds

273

 

 

 

2004 Philadelphia Eagles  27  1998 Arizona Cardinals  7

Terrell Owens caught 5 passes for 114 yards and a touchdown, and the Eagles’ defense forced three turnovers, as Philadelphia cruised to an easy win.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2004 Phi

14

7

3

3

 

27

1998 Ari

0

0

0

7

 

7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Phi

Stat

Ari

 

 

 

 

20

FD

14

 

 

 

 

38-114

Rush-Yds

21-55

 

 

 

 

266

Pass Yds

168

 

 

 

 

19-32-0

Passes

17-36-2

 

 

 

 

1-8

Sacks

3-21

 

 

 

 

4-43.3

Punt

6-34.3

 

 

 

 

2-14

PR

1-7

 

 

 

 

3-20

Pen

5-45

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

71

Play

60

 

 

 

 

372

Tot Yds

202

 

 

 

 

1998 New York Jets  25  1998 Denver Broncos  24

Vinny Testaverde threw touchdown passes of 19 and 23 yards to Keyshawn Johnson and Bryan Cox sacked John Elway for a safety as the Jets upset the Broncos at the Meadowlands.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1998 NYJ

9

6

10

0

 

25

1998 Den

3

7

14

0

 

24

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NYJ

Stat

Den

 

 

 

 

16

FD

17

 

 

 

 

42-163

Rush-Yds

25-103

 

 

 

 

152

Pass Yds

214

 

 

 

 

14-24-0

Passes

17-31-1

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

1-9

 

 

 

 

5-44.4

Punt

5-40.4

 

 

 

 

2-9

PR

1-12

 

 

 

 

5-39

Pen

6-55

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

66

Play

57

 

 

 

 

315

Tot Yds

308

 

 

 

1984 Miami Dolphins  45  1999 St. Louis Rams  42 OT

Dan Marino threw 5 touchdown passes including a 42-yard bomb to Mark Clayton in the final minutes of regulation to force overtime.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1999 Stl

7

14

14

7

0

42

1984 Mia

7

7

14

14

3

45

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Stl

Stat

Mia

 

 

 

 

26

FD

27

 

 

 

 

31-127

Rush-Yds

29-88

 

 

 

 

365

Pass Yds

401

 

 

 

 

24-39-1

Passes

29-52-1

 

 

 

 

1-7

Sacks

1-5

 

 

 

 

3-41.3

Punt

3-47.7

 

 

 

 

1-11

PR

1-(-1)

 

 

 

 

4-42

Pen

6-40

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

71

Play

82

 

 

 

 

485

Tot Yds

484

 

 

 

 

1991 Washington Redskins  17  1986 New York Giants  13

Earnest Byner’s 4-yard TD run with 2:11 to play in the game provided the Redskins with the winning points in a game played with first place on the line in the NFC East.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1991 Was

3

7

0

7

 

17

1986 NYG

3

3

7

0

 

13

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Was

Stat

NYG

 

 

 

 

16

FD

15

 

 

 

 

39-143

Rush-Yds

28-77

 

 

 

 

158

Pass Yds

224

 

 

 

 

14-23-1

Passes

14-26-1

 

 

 

 

2-11

Sacks

1-8

 

 

 

 

6-40.3

Punt

8-42.0

 

 

 

 

5-41

PR

3-23

 

 

 

 

4-25

Pen

4-30

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

3-1

 

 

 

 

64

Play

55

 

 

 

 

290

Tot Yds

293

 

 

 

 

1987 New Orleans Saints  19  2002 Tampa Bay Buccaneers  16

Mel Gray returned a fourth quarter punt 42 yards to set up the Saints at the Tampa Bay 31 yard line.  Six plays later Bobby Hebert used a QB sneak to score from inside the 1 yard line with 0:13 to play.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2002 TB

3

7

3

3

 

16

1987 NO

7

5

0

7

 

19

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TB

Stat

NO

 

 

 

 

16

FD

16

 

 

 

 

38-149

Rush-Yds

26-96

 

 

 

 

157

Pass Yds

222

 

 

 

 

13-21-0

Passes

17-29-2

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

2-12

 

 

 

 

9-42.6

Punt

7-40.3

 

 

 

 

4-35

PR

5-102

 

 

 

 

5-50

Pen

4-31

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

59

Play

57

 

 

 

 

306

Tot Yds

306

 

 

 

 

2005 Indianapolis Colts  41  1987 Cleveland Browns  17

Edgerrin James rushed for 119 yards and caught 3 passes for 35 yards and a score, and Marvin Harrison hauled in 7 passes for 113 yards and 3 touchdowns.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1987 Cle

7

0

10

0

 

17

2005 Ind

14

13

14

0

 

41

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cle

Stat

Ind

 

 

 

 

12

FD

23

 

 

 

 

18-55

Rush-Yds

39-181

 

 

 

 

174

Pass Yds

285

 

 

 

 

13-28-3

Passes

19-32-0

 

 

 

 

1-7

Sacks

1-6

 

 

 

 

8-42.1

Punt

4-43.8

 

 

 

 

3-45

PR

4-35

 

 

 

 

5-35

Pen

4-30

 

 

 

 

1-1

Fum

3-1

 

 

 

 

47

Play

72

 

 

 

 

222

Tot Yds

460

 

 

 

 

1990 Buffalo Bills  30  1984 San Francisco 49ers  24

Thurman Thomas rushed 29 times for 203 yards and 2 touchdowns.  The Bills’ defense forced Joe Montana into 2 interceptions and a fumble on a QB sack.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1990 Buf

14

10

3

3

 

30

1984 SF

7

7

3

7

 

24

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Buf

Stat

SF

 

 

 

 

22

FD

21

 

 

 

 

34-216

Rush-Yds

30-122

 

 

 

 

247

Pass Yds

211

 

 

 

 

19-31-1

Passes

19-34-2

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

2-13

 

 

 

 

3-46.3

Punt

5-42.4

 

 

 

 

2-19

PR

1-11

 

 

 

 

4-25

Pen

7-50

 

 

 

 

1-1

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

65

Play

66

 

 

 

 

463

Tot Yds

320

 

 

 

 

1981 Cincinnati Bengals  13  2000 Baltimore Ravens  10

Pete Johnson’s 2 yard touchdown run in the 3rd quarter was set up by Ross Browner’s 33 yard fumble return.  The Bengals’ defense stopped the Baltimore running game.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1981 Cin

3

3

7

0

 

13

2000 Bal

7

0

3

0

 

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cin

Stat

Bal

 

 

 

 

18

FD

13

 

 

 

 

37-136

Rush-Yds

25-85

 

 

 

 

153

Pass Yds

142

 

 

 

 

12-25-1

Passes

13-28-0

 

 

 

 

2-19

Sacks

2-15

 

 

 

 

9-40.2

Punt

8-36.9

 

 

 

 

1-5

PR

4-51

 

 

 

 

4-20

Pen

11-102

 

 

 

 

1-0

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

64

Play

55

 

 

 

 

270

Tot Yds

212

 

 

 

 

1996 Green Bay Packers  34  1996 Carolina Panthers  13

Brett Favre completed a 74 yard TD pass to Don Beebe and a 58 yard TD pass to Antonio Freeman, as the Packers won a rematch of the 1996 NFC Championship Game.  Green Bay won that real game 30-13.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1996 GB

10

10

7

7

 

34

1996 Car

0

3

3

7

 

13

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

GB

Stat

Car

 

 

 

 

19

FD

14

 

 

 

 

41-156

Rush-Yds

17-45

 

 

 

 

269

Pass Yds

220

 

 

 

 

14-25-0

Passes

19-34-3

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

1-8

 

 

 

 

6-45.5

Punt

7-41.4

 

 

 

 

4-53

PR

2-17

 

 

 

 

5-33

Pen

4-35

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

66

Play

52

 

 

 

 

425

Tot Yds

257

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1998 Atlanta Falcons  21  2006 San Diego Chargers  20

Jamal Anderson rushed for 148 yards and 3 touchdowns to give the Falcons all the points they needed.  Atlanta stays in contention in the NFC South, while San Diego falls two games back in the AFC West.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2006 SD

0

6

0

14

 

20

1998 Atl

7

7

7

0

 

21

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SD

Stat

Atl

 

 

 

 

16

FD

17

 

 

 

 

31-116

Rush-Yds

42-192

 

 

 

 

183

Pass Yds

139

 

 

 

 

16-29-1

Passes

11-19-0

 

 

 

 

2-13

Sacks

1-7

 

 

 

 

6-43.2

Punt

6-42.0

 

 

 

 

3-25

PR

2-24

 

 

 

 

5-35

Pen

5-35

 

 

 

 

1-0

Fum

2-0

 

 

 

 

62

Play

62

 

 

 

 

286

Tot Yds

324

 

 

 

2007 New England Patriots  38  2005 Pittsburgh Steelers  16

Randy Moss grabbed 5 passes for 141 yards and 2 TDs.  He took one quick screen at the line of scrimmage and ran 58 yards after the catch.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2007 NE

17

7

7

7

 

38

2005 Pit

3

0

6

7

 

16

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NE

Stat

Pit

 

 

 

 

18

FD

19

 

 

 

 

25-103

Rush-Yds

35-147

 

 

 

 

296

Pass Yds

179

 

 

 

 

21-33-0

Passes

14-27-2

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

3-23

 

 

 

 

3-47.0

Punt

6-41.8

 

 

 

 

3-43

PR

0-0

 

 

 

 

5-40

Pen

6-48

 

 

 

 

1-0

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

58

Play

65

 

 

 

 

399

Tot Yds

303

 

 

 

2003 Kansas City Chiefs  27  2000 Oakland Raiders  21

Trent Green rushed for 1 TD and passed for 2 others as the Chiefs won for just the third time this season.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2000 Oak

7

14

0

0

 

21

2003 KC

3

10

0

14

 

27

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Oak

Stat

KC

 

 

 

 

15

FD

21

 

 

 

 

22-90

Rush-Yds

28-95

 

 

 

 

177

Pass Yds

343

 

 

 

 

15-26-1

Passes

26-45-1

 

 

 

 

1-7

Sacks

1-6

 

 

 

 

6-45.8

Punt

4-40.8

 

 

 

 

2-67

PR

3-44

 

 

 

 

8-80

Pen

4-36

 

 

 

 

1-0

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

49

Play

74

 

 

 

 

260

Tot Yds

432

 

 

 

 

1998 Minnesota Vikings  21  1985 Chicago Bears  17

The 1998 Vikings proved they belong in the playoff chase as they moved in to a tie for second just one game behind Green Bay in the black and blue division.  Chicago had the ball at the Minnesota 6 yard line on 2nd & 1 late in the game.  The Bears were unable to score and turned the ball over on downs at the Viking 2 yard line.  Jimmy Hitchcock’s 56 yard interception return on the first play of the 4th quarter proved to be the winning score.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1998 Min

0

7

7

7

 

21

1985 Chi

7

3

7

0

 

17

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Min

Stat

Chi

 

 

 

 

14

FD

17

 

 

 

 

21-57

Rush-Yds

42-159

 

 

 

 

231

Pass Yds

147

 

 

 

 

16-28-2

Passes

13-24-2

 

 

 

 

3-17

Sacks

1-7

 

 

 

 

7-46.6

Punt

5-44.4

 

 

 

 

3-22

PR

2-19

 

 

 

 

5-30

Pen

7-48

 

 

 

 

1-0

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

52

Play

67

 

 

 

 

271

Tot Yds

299

 

 

 

 

2007 Houston Texans  31  1999 Jacksonville Jaguars  27

Andre Davis returned a kickoff 102 yards for the winning touchdown after Jacksonville had taken a 27-24 lead.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2007 Hou

0

17

7

7

 

31

1999 Jac

3

3

14

7

 

27

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hou

Stat

Jac

 

 

 

 

19

FD

17

 

 

 

 

21-69

Rush-Yds

37-141

 

 

 

 

308

Pass Yds

171

 

 

 

 

25-43-2

Passes

15-26-1

 

 

 

 

4-25

Sacks

1-7

 

 

 

 

4-41.8

Punt

3-42.3

 

 

 

 

1-11

PR

2-17

 

 

 

 

5-39

Pen

6-45

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

68

Play

64

 

 

 

 

352

Tot Yds

305

 

 

 

Current Standings

 

Pro Football Computer Simulation League

National Football Conference

East Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

1991 Washington Redskins

8

4

0

246

169

104.3

1992 Dallas Cowboys

7

5

0

247

254

99.2

1986 New York Giants

6

6

0

191

161

101.3

2004 Philadelphia Eagles

4

8

0

194

216

97.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

North Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

1985 Chicago Bears

9

3

0

248

171

108.5

1996 Green Bay Packers

8</