The Pi-Rate Ratings

March 22, 2023

PiRate Ratings College Basketball — Wednesday, March 22, 2023

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 5:44 am
HomeVisitorSpread
CharlotteEastern Kentucky3.3
VanderbiltUAB1.2
Utah ValleyCincinnati-0.2

September 25, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football–September 29-October 1

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 8:25 am

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
BYUUtah St.23.221.622.5
HoustonTulane3.12.84.0
Middle TennesseeUTSA-7.3-4.7-5.9
Boise St.San Diego St.7.36.67.5
UCLAWashington2.81.72.9
UNLVNew Mexico10.78.511.9
WisconsinIllinois11.310.112.1
Penn St.Northwestern25.123.926.9
Boston CollegeLouisville-10.6-8.3-10.9
Coastal CarolinaGeorgia Southern7.79.59.5
Florida St.Wake Forest10.410.410.5
ArmyGeorgia St.6.87.85.1
ClemsonNorth Carolina St.4.55.35.0
PittsburghGeorgia Tech25.825.126.4
MarylandMichigan St.1.32.53.0
DukeVirginia-8.9-6.5-9.5
North CarolinaVirginia Tech11.611.313.6
Old DominionLiberty-3.1-4.6-5.1
South FloridaEast Carolina-4.6-5.5-6.4
Central FloridaSMU4.96.35.4
Ball St.Northern Illinois-10.9-10.5-11.2
MinnesotaPurdue10.711.313.2
James MadisonTexas St.16.217.120.4
Air ForceNavy16.217.319.0
BaylorOklahoma St.1.01.50.8
KansasIowa St.-2.7-4.2-5.4
LouisianaSouth Alabama1.91.41.8
MemphisTemple20.218.322.0
TulsaCincinnati-12.1-12.1-13.4
Eastern MichiganMassachusetts16.616.819.3
UtahOregon St.10.39.911.4
New Mexico St.Florida Int’l.15.614.916.9
Washington St.California6.46.96.1
ArizonaColorado7.89.58.8
USCArizona St.13.914.914.5
OregonStanford14.516.415.9
Ole MissKentucky7.24.84.6
Kansas St.Texas Tech7.57.66.3
Ohio St.Rutgers33.032.437.0
Mississippi St.Texas A&M6.33.83.6
TCUOklahoma-3.8-4.1-4.6
IowaMichigan-7.4-7.3-9.0
TexasWest Virginia8.87.99.1
AuburnLSU-6.0-6.8-7.1
ArkansasAlabama-12.9-13.7-13.9
MissouriGeorgia-28.2-26.3-30.6
ToledoCentral Michigan3.42.62.2
BuffaloMiami (O)-4.3-4.5-4.8
ConnecticutFresno St.-20.6-19.0-24.0
AkronBowling Green-9.0-7.2-8.8
Kent St.Ohio9.29.28.3
Arkansas St.Louisiana-Monroe3.14.44.4
North TexasFlorida Atlantic-3.1-5.3-2.2
CharlotteUTEP-4.4-3.3-4.9
NebraskaIndiana3.54.04.8
Western KentuckyTroy11.611.112.3
RiceUAB-11.9-12.4-13.9
WyomingSan Jose St.-0.90.7-0.8

FBS vs. FCS Spreads

FBSFCSPiRate
Appalachian St.The Citadel32.4
FloridaEastern Washington27.4
MarshallGardner-Webb27.7
Western MichiganNew Hampshire20.4
South CarolinaSouth Carolina St.32.5
SyracuseWagner51.0

Teams With A Bye This Week

Colorado St.
Hawaii
Louisiana Tech
Miami (Fla.)
Nevada
Notre Dame
Southern Miss.
Tennessee
Vanderbilt

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Georgia132.8
2Alabama131.3
3Ohio St.130.9
4Michigan123.9
5Minnesota121.3
6Clemson118.5
7Oklahoma118.3
8Tennessee117.7
9Penn St.117.6
10Utah117.0
11Oklahoma St.116.8
12NC State116.6
13L S U115.3
14Ole Miss115.1
15Wisconsin115.0
16Baylor114.9
17Arkansas114.8
18Pittsburgh114.0
19Florida St.113.9
20Mississippi St.113.8
21Iowa113.0
22Oregon113.0
23Purdue112.6
24Cincinnati112.6
25Kentucky112.5
26U S C112.5
27Notre Dame112.5
28Texas A&M112.2
29Texas112.2
30Kansas St.112.0
31Michigan St.111.9
32T C U111.6
33Maryland111.1
34Miami (Fla.)110.3
35BYU110.2
36Louisville109.9
37Washington109.6
38Oregon St.109.5
39Iowa St.109.4
40U C L A109.1
41Syracuse107.9
42Texas Tech107.8
43South Carolina107.4
44West Virginia106.6
45UCF106.5
46Wake Forest106.5
47Florida106.4
48North Carolina106.2
49Illinois105.9
50Auburn105.6
51SMU104.0
52Washington St.103.6
53Air Force103.4
54Kansas102.3
55W. Kentucky102.1
56Fresno St.101.9
57Houston101.5
58Missouri101.4
59Virginia101.4
60Arizona St.101.1
61Tulane100.7
62Nebraska100.6
63Stanford100.4
64California100.1
65East Carolina100.0
66Rutgers99.8
67Indiana99.5
68Boise St.99.3
69U A B99.1
70Army98.6
71Appalachian St.98.6
72Memphis98.0
73Boston College97.4
74Virginia Tech97.1
75Tulsa97.0
76Coastal Carolina96.9
77U T S A96.8
78Liberty96.8
79James Madison96.6
80N. Illinois96.4
81Northwestern95.3
82San Diego St.95.2
83Arizona95.2
84Marshall94.8
85Georgia St.94.5
86Toledo94.5
87Central Mich.94.3
88Miami (Ohio)93.8
89Vanderbilt93.7
90Troy93.0
91South Alabama92.9
92Louisiana92.7
93U N L V92.1
94USF92.0
95Kent St.91.5
96San Jose St.91.3
97Georgia Tech91.2
98Duke90.6
99Old Dominion90.5
100Ga. Southern90.5
101Western Mich.90.3
102Florida Atlantic90.2
103Southern Miss.90.1
104Colorado89.5
105Utah St.89.3
106Navy88.9
107Middle Tennessee88.3
108Wyoming87.9
109Buffalo86.7
110U T E P86.6
111Bowling Green86.4
112Eastern Mich.85.6
113Nevada85.4
114Arkansas St.85.1
115Ohio85.1
116New Mexico84.2
117North Texas84.2
118Rice83.9
119UL-Monroe83.6
120Ball St.83.6
121Colorado St.81.6
122Texas St.81.2
123Louisiana Tech81.0
124Temple80.9
125Charlotte79.8
126Connecticut77.7
127Akron76.0
128New Mexico St.75.2
129Hawaii71.2
130Massachusetts70.6
131Florida Int’l.61.9

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati112.2111.7113.8112.6
UCF106.1106.8106.7106.5
SMU104.3103.4104.3104.0
Houston101.7100.8102.0101.5
Tulane101.1100.5100.5100.7
East Carolina99.999.5100.6100.0
Memphis98.098.397.798.0
Tulsa97.296.697.397.0
USF92.891.591.792.0
Navy89.788.888.288.9
Temple80.883.078.780.9

AAC98.598.298.398.4

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson118.5118.3118.8118.5
NC State117.0116.0116.8116.6
Florida St.114.1113.8113.9113.9
Louisville110.6109.5109.6109.9
Syracuse108.7107.6107.3107.9
Wake Forest106.7106.4106.4106.5
Boston College97.498.796.297.4

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Pittsburgh114.9113.8113.4114.0
Miami (Fla.)110.8109.6110.4110.3
North Carolina106.3106.4106.1106.2
Virginia102.0102.0100.2101.4
Virginia Tech97.798.095.597.1
Georgia Tech92.191.790.091.2
Duke90.693.088.290.6

ACC106.2106.0105.2105.8

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma118.7117.7118.6118.3
Oklahoma St.117.4115.9117.2116.8
Baylor115.4114.4115.0114.9
Texas112.9111.8111.8112.2
Kansas St.112.7111.4111.9112.0
T C U112.4111.1111.5111.6
Iowa St.109.3109.3109.5109.4
Texas Tech108.1106.8108.6107.8
West Virginia107.1106.9105.7106.6
Kansas103.7102.1101.1102.3

Big 12111.7110.7111.1111.2

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.131.2129.7132.0130.9
Michigan124.4123.2124.2123.9
Penn St.117.7117.7117.6117.6
Michigan St.112.9111.7111.1111.9
Maryland111.2111.2111.1111.1
Rutgers101.1100.398.099.8
Indiana100.799.998.099.5

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Minnesota121.3120.8121.7121.3
Wisconsin115.5114.9114.6115.0
Iowa114.0112.9112.2113.0
Purdue113.6112.5111.5112.6
Illinois106.3106.9104.6105.9
Nebraska101.2100.999.8100.6
Northwestern95.696.793.795.3

Big Ten111.9111.4110.7111.3

Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
W. Kentucky101.3101.4103.7102.1
U A B98.598.7100.199.1
U T S A97.395.997.296.8
Florida Atlantic89.891.189.890.2
Middle Tennessee87.588.788.888.3
U T E P86.786.386.686.6
North Texas84.283.385.184.2
Rice84.183.883.783.9
Louisiana Tech80.982.279.781.0
Charlotte79.780.579.379.8
Florida Int’l.61.664.259.961.9

CUSA86.586.986.786.7

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame112.9111.3113.2112.5
BYU110.8109.2110.6110.2
Army98.498.898.798.6
Liberty95.697.297.596.8
Connecticut78.279.175.877.7
New Mexico St.74.776.674.375.2
Massachusetts71.371.868.670.6

Independents91.792.091.291.6

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)92.194.794.593.8
Kent St.90.692.891.191.5
Buffalo85.387.787.286.7
Bowling Green87.085.986.286.4
Ohio83.986.085.385.1
Akron76.076.775.476.0

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
N. Illinois96.296.696.596.4
Toledo93.794.795.294.5
Central Mich.92.894.695.594.3
Western Mich.89.890.690.590.3
Eastern Mich.85.486.085.485.6
Ball St.83.384.283.383.6

MAC88.089.288.888.7

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Air Force102.9103.1104.3103.4
Boise St.99.598.599.999.3
Utah St.89.189.189.689.3
Wyoming86.788.988.287.9
New Mexico84.584.883.484.2
Colorado St.81.482.281.481.6

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Fresno St.101.8101.1102.8101.9
San Diego St.95.294.995.495.2
U N L V92.690.792.992.1
San Jose St.90.691.292.091.3
Nevada84.986.684.885.4
Hawaii70.771.971.171.2

MWC90.090.290.590.2

Pac-12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah116.8115.9118.5117.0
Oregon113.4112.8112.8113.0
U S C111.9112.5113.1112.5
Washington108.9109.8110.2109.6
Oregon St.109.4108.9110.1109.5
U C L A108.7108.6110.1109.1
Washington St.103.0103.7104.0103.6
Arizona St.101.0100.6101.6101.1
Stanford101.999.499.9100.4
California99.699.8101.0100.1
Arizona95.395.195.195.2
Colorado90.588.689.389.5

Pac-12105.0104.6105.5105.0

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia132.8131.4134.2132.8
Tennessee117.5117.6117.9117.7
Kentucky111.9112.6113.1112.5
South Carolina107.7106.9107.5107.4
Florida105.8107.3106.2106.4
Missouri101.6102.0100.6101.4
Vanderbilt93.994.792.493.7

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama131.1130.3132.4131.3
L S U115.7115.0115.1115.3
Ole Miss116.2114.4114.7115.1
Arkansas115.2113.6115.5114.8
Mississippi St.114.7113.2113.5113.8
Texas A&M111.4112.3112.9112.2
Auburn106.7105.2105.0105.6

SEC113.0112.6112.9112.9

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Appalachian St.97.298.899.698.6
Coastal Carolina95.697.197.996.9
James Madison94.396.399.296.6
Marshall94.495.394.794.8
Georgia St.94.193.496.194.5
Old Dominion90.590.690.490.5
Ga. Southern90.490.190.990.5

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Troy92.292.893.993.0
South Alabama92.192.893.992.9
Louisiana92.092.293.792.7
Southern Miss.89.790.390.390.1
Arkansas St.84.385.885.285.1
UL-Monroe83.783.983.383.6
Texas St.80.681.781.381.2

Sun Belt90.891.592.291.5

Conference Ratings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern112.9
2Big Ten111.3
3Big 12111.2
4Atlantic Coast105.8
5Pac-12105.0
6American Athletic98.4
7Independents91.6
8Sun Belt91.5
9Mountain West90.2
10Mid-American88.7
11Conference USA86.7

Coming In October

As October leads the College Football worlds into mostly conference play, it’s time to start looking ahead at the Playoffs and Bowl Projections. The PiRates do it a bit differently from others. We don’t make our projections based on what each team has done to the present time, like most others. We first forecast the rest of the season and then make our projections based on what we believe the standings will be. Additionally, we plan to do our best to explain the inexact rules for where teams can go. No longer can you look and see who will finish 3rd in a conference and then know where the 3rd place team is automatically slotted to go bowling. It’s more like the 1960’s, where the bowls can choose which teams they want with the help of the conferences that have the tie-ins. In the case of many bowls, multiple conferences can be in the mix, and ESPN can steer the teams into the bowls they want them to appear so as to attempt to get their maximum TV ratings.

This Week’s Playoff Projections

1.) Alabama

2.) Ohio State

3.) Georgia

4.) USC

Top Group of 5 (For The Cotton Bowl Bid)

1.) Cincinnati

2.) Central Florida

3.) Coastal Carolina

4.) Air Force

5.) Middle Tennessee

September 11, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football–September 16-17, 2022

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 8:28 am

This Week’s Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
LouisvilleFlorida St.-0.5-1.1-0.9
WyomingAir Force-17.9-15.3-18.2
Miami (O)Cincinnati-18.8-15.0-17.7
MichiganConnecticut48.745.951.5
SyracusePurdue-5.1-4.9-4.3
TempleRutgers-22.8-19.7-22.5
BaylorTexas St.37.535.236.0
IndianaWestern Kentucky6.66.20.9
South CarolinaGeorgia-20.7-19.7-22.6
NebraskaOklahoma-11.5-10.6-12.9
Coastal CarolinaBuffalo13.512.414.2
Iowa St.Ohio28.025.426.3
New MexicoUTEP0.71.5-0.5
VirginiaOld Dominion13.914.011.9
UCLASouth Alabama22.121.522.2
Notre DameCalifornia18.116.117.2
UNLVNorth Texas4.83.43.5
Kansas St.Tulane15.014.214.7
WisconsinNew Mexico St.43.941.043.3
AuburnPenn St.-2.8-4.2-3.6
Northern IllinoisVanderbilt5.54.87.8
MinnesotaColorado23.524.825.1
Georgia TechOle Miss-16.4-14.6-16.8
OregonBYU0.82.1-0.1
UABGeorgia Southern10.210.811.2
Appalachian St.Troy10.111.811.6
HoustonKansas6.48.010.7
AlabamaUL-Monroe49.548.051.7
Washington St.Colorado St.19.219.019.8
Wake ForestLiberty14.612.111.4
Bowling GreenMarshall-6.3-8.9-7.8
LSUMississippi St.1.22.01.4
Ohio St.Toledo34.531.133.1
TennesseeAkron43.542.844.5
Georgia St.Charlotte23.621.626.8
North Carolina St.Texas Tech12.513.012.2
MemphisArkansas St.16.615.515.8
Florida AtlanticCentral Florida-13.9-12.8-14.2
FloridaSouth Florida13.917.315.5
MarylandSMU8.89.78.0
WashingtonMichigan St.-10.1-7.8-6.8
Western MichiganPittsburgh-20.1-17.6-16.9
IowaNevada31.127.428.9
RiceLousiana-13.9-15.0-17.6
TexasUTSA18.318.717.2
ClemsonLouisiana Tech41.940.344.2
Texas A&MMiami (Fla.)-2.60.1-1.0
UtahSan Diego St.23.622.325.0
USCFresno St.9.110.48.7
Arizona St.Eastern Michigan21.720.923.0

FBS vs. FCS Games

FBSFCSPiRate
ArizonaNorth Dakota St.3.3
ArkansasMissouri St.31.3
ArmyVillanova11.8
Ball St.Murray St.21.6
Boise St.UT-Martin24.3
Boston CollegeMaine27.1
Central MichiganBucknell37.3
DukeNorth Carolina A&T25.4
East CarolinaCampbell30.4
HawaiiDuquesne12.0
Kent St.Long Island28.8
KentuckyYoungstown St.33.7
MassachusettsStony Brook-1.0
Middle TennesseeTennessee St.24.6
MissouriAbilene Christian28.4
NorthwesternSouthern Illinois18.6
Oklahoma St.Arkansas-Pine Bluff54.3
Oregon St.Montana St.18.3
Southern Miss.Northwestern St.25.4
TulsaJacksonville St.20.5
Virginia TechWofford31.2
West VirginiaTowson St.32.6

Teams With Bye Weeks

Navy
North Carolina
TCU
Illinois
Florida Int’l.
Utah St.
San Jose St.
Stanford
James Madison

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Georgia133.2
2Alabama129.1
3Ohio St.126.6
4Michigan124.0
5Clemson120.5
6Oklahoma118.5
7Michigan St.117.6
8NC State117.1
9Tennessee117.0
10Oklahoma St.116.4
11Utah116.1
12Arkansas115.8
13Purdue115.7
14Penn St.115.6
15Miami (Fla.)115.5
16Wisconsin115.3
17Mississippi St.114.9
18Baylor114.6
19Minnesota114.5
20Pittsburgh114.1
21Kentucky113.6
22L S U113.5
23BYU113.0
24Ole Miss113.0
25Iowa112.5
26Texas112.3
27Notre Dame112.2
28Florida St.112.2
29Kansas St.112.0
30Cincinnati111.9
31Texas A&M111.4
32Oregon111.0
33T C U110.4
34Maryland110.1
35U S C109.9
36U C L A109.4
37Iowa St.109.3
38South Carolina109.2
39Auburn109.1
40Oregon St.108.6
41Louisville108.3
42Syracuse107.9
43Texas Tech107.5
44North Carolina107.4
45Florida107.0
46Wake Forest106.8
47Washington106.3
48UCF105.2
49Illinois105.2
50Arizona St.105.1
51Houston105.0
52Air Force104.6
53SMU104.3
54Boise St.104.1
55Nebraska103.8
56West Virginia103.5
57Fresno St.103.5
58Missouri102.0
59Rutgers101.9
60Washington St.101.9
61Virginia101.7
62East Carolina101.4
63Stanford101.1
64Indiana100.4
65Tulane100.3
66Appalachian St.100.2
67Virginia Tech100.0
68Kansas99.7
69Georgia St.99.5
70Boston College99.2
71Northwestern98.9
72U A B98.7
73Memphis98.5
74W. Kentucky98.3
75California98.1
76Louisiana98.0
77U T S A97.3
78Army97.2
79N. Illinois97.1
80Toledo96.7
81Liberty96.6
82Arizona96.3
83Marshall96.3
84San Diego St.95.5
85Tulsa94.9
86James Madison94.8
87Georgia Tech94.0
88Coastal Carolina93.8
89Vanderbilt93.6
90USF93.4
91Western Mich.93.4
92Colorado93.1
93Central Mich.93.0
94Miami (Ohio)92.8
95Troy91.5
96Ga. Southern90.5
97South Alabama90.4
98Old Dominion90.4
99Utah St.90.0
100Florida Atlantic89.6
101Duke89.4
102U N L V88.4
103Kent St.88.3
104San Jose St.88.1
105Navy87.0
106North Texas87.0
107Southern Miss.86.6
108Nevada86.4
109Eastern Mich.86.2
110Bowling Green86.2
111Ohio85.8
112Colorado St.85.5
113U T E P85.1
114Wyoming84.9
115Arkansas St.84.5
116Middle Tennessee84.0
117Ball St.83.4
118Buffalo83.4
119New Mexico83.2
120UL-Monroe82.4
121Louisiana Tech81.4
122Texas St.80.9
123Rice79.9
124Connecticut78.3
125Temple78.3
126Charlotte78.0
127Akron76.4
128New Mexico St.75.5
129Hawaii72.6
130Massachusetts71.5
131Florida Int’l.65.3

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati111.7110.8113.3111.9
UCF104.9105.4105.4105.2
Houston104.8104.3106.0105.0
SMU104.4103.6104.8104.3
East Carolina101.1100.8102.2101.4
Tulane100.8100.1100.1100.3
Memphis98.498.898.398.5
Tulsa95.194.595.194.9
USF94.492.893.293.4
Navy88.087.086.187.0
Temple78.380.775.878.3

AAC98.498.198.298.2

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson120.3120.2121.1120.5
NC State117.4116.4117.5117.1
Florida St.112.6112.0112.0112.2
Louisville109.1107.9108.1108.3
Syracuse108.7107.6107.4107.9
Wake Forest107.2106.7106.6106.8
Boston College99.0100.698.099.2

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Fla.)116.1114.7115.8115.5
Pittsburgh115.2113.9113.3114.1
North Carolina107.3107.6107.3107.4
Virginia102.3102.4100.3101.7
Virginia Tech100.5101.098.4100.0
Georgia Tech94.894.692.894.0
Duke89.492.086.889.4

ACC107.1107.0106.1106.7

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma118.8117.8118.9118.5
Oklahoma St.117.0115.5116.8116.4
Baylor115.3114.0114.5114.6
Texas113.0112.1111.9112.3
Kansas St.112.8111.3111.8112.0
T C U111.4109.9110.1110.4
Iowa St.109.3109.2109.5109.3
Texas Tech107.9106.4108.3107.5
West Virginia104.1103.7102.6103.5
Kansas101.499.398.499.7

Big 12111.1109.9110.3110.4

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.127.2125.2127.6126.6
Michigan124.5123.0124.5124.0
Michigan St.118.6117.4116.7117.6
Penn St.115.8115.7115.4115.6
Maryland110.2110.3109.9110.1
Rutgers103.1102.4100.3101.9
Indiana101.6101.098.6100.4

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Purdue116.7115.5114.7115.7
Wisconsin115.8115.1114.8115.3
Minnesota114.6114.0115.0114.5
Iowa113.7112.2111.7112.5
Illinois105.6106.2103.9105.2
Nebraska104.3104.2103.0103.8
Northwestern99.2100.397.198.9

Big Ten112.2111.6110.9111.6

Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U A B98.198.399.798.7
W. Kentucky97.597.3100.298.3
U T S A97.796.397.797.3
Florida Atlantic89.090.689.289.6
North Texas86.986.188.087.0
U T E P85.284.885.285.1
Middle Tennessee83.284.484.584.0
Louisiana Tech81.482.979.981.4
Rice80.579.979.479.9
Charlotte77.878.977.278.0
Florida Int’l.65.067.863.265.3

CUSA85.786.185.985.9

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanAverageAverage
BYU113.6111.7113.7113.0
Notre Dame112.8110.9113.0112.2
Army97.097.497.397.2
Liberty95.297.197.696.6
Connecticut78.880.076.178.3
New Mexico St.75.077.174.575.5
Massachusetts72.272.669.771.5
Independents92.192.491.792.1

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)90.993.893.692.8
Kent St.87.489.787.788.3
Bowling Green86.985.686.086.2
Ohio84.486.886.185.8
Buffalo82.084.683.783.4
Akron76.477.175.776.4

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
N. Illinois96.997.297.397.1
Toledo95.797.097.596.7
Western Mich.92.693.893.993.4
Central Mich.91.493.394.293.0
Eastern Mich.86.186.685.886.2
Ball St.83.184.283.183.4

MAC87.889.188.788.6

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Air Force104.1104.0105.6104.6
Boise St.104.2103.2104.8104.1
Utah St.89.789.990.490.0
Colorado St.85.286.185.485.5
Wyoming83.786.284.984.9
New Mexico83.483.982.283.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Fresno St.103.3102.6104.5103.5
San Diego St.95.495.395.695.5
U N L V89.286.989.088.4
San Jose St.87.688.088.888.1
Nevada85.787.885.886.4
Hawaii72.073.372.772.6

MWC90.390.690.890.6

Pac-12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah116.0114.7117.6116.1
Oregon111.4110.9110.6111.0
U S C109.4110.0110.2109.9
U C L A108.9108.8110.5109.4
Oregon St.108.5108.0109.4108.6
Washington105.5106.6106.9106.3
Arizona St.104.8104.6105.8105.1
Washington St.101.4102.0102.2101.9
Stanford102.6100.0100.6101.1
California97.697.898.898.1
Arizona96.496.396.396.3
Colorado94.192.292.993.1

Pac-12104.7104.3105.2104.7

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia133.2131.5134.8133.2
Tennessee116.9116.8117.2117.0
Kentucky112.8113.6114.3113.6
South Carolina109.6108.8109.2109.2
Florida106.2108.1106.7107.0
Missouri102.2102.6101.0102.0
Vanderbilt93.994.992.093.6

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama129.1127.9130.4129.1
Arkansas116.3114.5116.7115.8
Mississippi St.115.9114.3114.7114.9
L S U114.1113.2113.1113.5
Ole Miss114.2112.2112.6113.0
Texas A&M110.5111.8111.8111.4
Auburn110.0108.5108.7109.1

SEC113.2112.8113.1113.0

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Appalachian St.98.6100.5101.3100.2
Georgia St.98.998.0101.599.5
Marshall95.697.096.396.3
James Madison92.594.497.494.8
Coastal Carolina92.594.094.893.8
Ga. Southern90.590.091.090.5
Old Dominion90.490.490.490.4

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana96.997.499.598.0
Troy91.091.292.391.5
South Alabama89.790.291.390.4
Southern Miss.86.286.986.886.6
Arkansas St.83.885.384.584.5
UL-Monroe82.682.981.782.4
Texas St.80.281.481.080.9

Sun Belt90.791.492.191.4

Conference Ratings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern113.0
2Big Ten111.6
3Big 12110.4
4Atlantic Coast106.7
5Pac-12104.7
6American Athletic98.2
7Independents92.1
8Sun Belt91.4
9Mountain West90.6
10Mid-American88.6
11Conference USA85.9

A Tale of Two Conferences

In the mid 1990’s, Conference USA formed when the old Metro Conference dissolved. The league was founded to combine two former basketball conferences into a Midwestern league. At the time, it also had some rather successful football teams. Cincinnati, Louisville, South Florida, Southern Miss., UAB, Memphis, Tulane, Houston, East Carolina, and Army were all early members of the new league. Then, TCU joined and had a top 5 season in the early 2000’s. The league saw early success, and with that, the Big East raided CUSA and took Cincinnati, Louisville, and South Florida. Seeing the writing on the wall, TCU bolted for the Mountain West, where an incredible rivalry with Boise State ensued. CUSA then expanded with new members, making the league quite relevant, as the new teams provided numerous upsets over Power Conference opponents. Central Florida, SMU, Tulsa, Rice, UTEP, and Marshall joined the league and all found some successful seasons. Then, the American Athletic Conference formed, and once again, CUSA lost some significant teams in Memphis, Tulane, Houston, Central Florida, SMU, and Tulsa.

The Sun Belt Conference began as a basketball league back in the mid-1970’s, and in its early years, the league jumped over many others in the Low and Mid-Major area. There was a year where four SBC teams made the NCAA Tournament. The league saw teams come and go, as it struggled financially. They even kicked New Orleans out of the conference because the Privateers did not have a Division 1 level gymnasium.

The Sun Belt decided to sponsor football beginning in the early part of this century. Almost annually, the makeup of the league changed. Teams as far west as Utah State and Idaho joined the conference at times, as they played in the same league with teams from Florida. When Western Kentucky and Middle Tennessee State, North Texas, and UAB all left the Sun Belt for CUSA in a matter of a couple of seasons, it looked like CUSA would force the SBC back to a basketball conference, while CUSA continued to thrive with some respectable programs.

Then, something happened. About the time that the SEC was becoming a super league and superior to all others, and all their member schools began recruiting nationally instead of regionally, a lot of really good Southeastern recruits started to lose out to the elite 5-star and high 4-star talents from all over America. These low 4-star and 3-star players had once filled SEC rosters, but now they needed to find other schools. Many of them chose to stay near their homes, and that mean Sun Belt Conference schools.

Schools like Troy, Georgia Southern, and what was still known as Louisiana-Lafayette started getting players that used to go to Alabama, Auburn, Georgia, and LSU. The addition of Appalachian State, Coastal Carolina, and Georgia State to the league as they moved to FBS brought some solid former FCS programs that further strengthened this league. All of a sudden, the SBC passed CUSA, and it was CUSA that almost died when the 2021 expansion routlette began. Texas and Oklahoma decided to leave the Big 12 for the SEC, so the Big 12 robbed the AAC of its three best schools, and then the AAC robbed CUSA of its largest market schools. Three schools, Marshall, Old Dominion, and Southern Miss quickly petitioned the Sun Belt for admission and were fast-tracked. Then the league found a real diamond in the rough in James Madison. Meanwhile, CUSA had to look for crumbs just to survive. They secured markers for FCS schools Jacksonville State and Sam Houston, and then added Liberty and New Mexico State as future members. It was almost too late, because both Western Kentucky and Middle Tennessee came very close to leaving for the Mid-American Conference.

In just five or six years, the Sun Belt rose from weakeast FBS league by far to possibly the strongest. Once Cincinnati, Houston, and Central Florida leave the American, the SBC should be better than the new AAC with CUSA teams. It has already passed the Mountain West. Meanwhile, Conference USA football as a whole might not be as strong as the FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference once the league is reduced to ashes by the departures of its top markets.

September 6, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football For September 9-10, 2022

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 4:58 am

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Central FloridaLouisville-0.41.71.7
New MexicoBoise St.-17.8-16.0-19.8
Ohio St.Arkansas St.48.845.148.9
Georgia St.North Carolina-5.8-7.1-2.7
Penn St.Ohio34.331.031.2
ArmyUTSA2.74.93.4
Miami (Fla.)Southern Miss.34.532.433.8
NorthwesternDuke17.816.318.8
Kansas St.Missouri10.48.810.3
ArkansasSouth Carolina9.17.79.5
TexasAlabama-15.6-15.5-18.8
VanderbiltWake Forest-8.4-6.4-9.5
Central MichiganSouth Alabama9.010.811.0
Ball St.Western Michigan-7.0-7.2-8.5
Notre DameMarshall28.325.127.8
CharlotteMaryland-29.2-27.9-29.2
PittsburghTennessee1.50.2-0.7
NavyMemphis-3.2-4.2-4.4
Air ForceColorado7.39.19.8
Texas A&MAppalachian St.20.019.618.8
WisconsinWashington St.22.321.020.5
Colorado St.Middle Tennessee10.19.99.2
Michigan St.Akron44.341.842.4
IllinoisVirginia3.13.42.7
CaliforniaUNLV11.814.713.6
Texas TechHouston5.94.95.1
IowaIowa St.8.77.26.5
East CarolinaOld Dominion12.612.113.5
West VirginiaKansas6.88.99.1
LibertyUAB-1.70.1-1.2
FloridaKentucky-2.2-1.1-2.8
ToledoMassachusetts21.121.925.6
ConnecticutSyracuse-26.3-23.5-27.7
OklahomaKent St.35.031.435.0
LouisianaEastern Michigan10.410.213.3
TulsaNorthern Illinois1.0-0.10.4
Texas St.Florida Int’l.14.812.617.2
AuburnSan Jose St.28.226.426.1
NebraskaGeorgia Southern23.023.621.2
StanfordUSC-1.4-5.0-4.2
Oklahoma St.Arizona St.14.913.413.2
MichiganHawaii55.552.654.8
Virginia TechBoston College1.70.3-0.2
UTEPNew Mexico St.12.89.913.9
BYUBaylor1.20.51.9
Fresno St.Oregon St.-2.0-2.3-1.5
ArizonaMississippi St.-15.9-13.9-14.4

FBS vs. FCS Games

FBSFCSPiRate
MinnesotaWestern Illinois32.5
North Carolina St.Charleston Southern34.1
UtahSouthern Utah34.8
TempleLafayette9.7
ClemsonFurman34.2
CincinnatiKennesaw St.29.7
GeorgiaSamford42.3
WashingtonPortland St.23.8
PurdueIndiana St.30.1
RutgersWagner38.4
WyomingNorthern Colorado22.4
Bowling GreenEastern Kentucky5.8
James MadisonNorfolk St.32.7
UCLAAlabama St.36.8
NevadaIncarnate Word10.2
BuffaloHoly Cross9.7
Miami (O)Robert Morris29.2
Coastal CarolinaGardner-Webb29.5
Florida AtlanticSoutheast Louisiana10.1
Ole MissCentral Arkansas29.7
Georgia TechWestern Carolina18.8
Utah St.Weber St.9.8
TulaneAlcorn St.23.7
SMULamar39.5
South FloridaHoward26.6
TroyAlabama A&M25.3
Louisiana TechStephen F. Austin10.1
LSUSouthern32.4
North TexasTexas Southern27.1
RiceMcNeese St.6.6
TCUTarleton31.2
IndianaIdaho21.5
San Diego St.Idaho St.25.9
UL-MonroeNicholls St.7.5
OregonEastern Washington21.6

Bye Weeks

Florida St.
Western Kentucky

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Georgia133.4
2Alabama130.8
3Ohio St.127.9
4Michigan123.7
5Clemson120.8
6Oklahoma118.8
7Wisconsin117.9
8Notre Dame117.2
9Michigan St.117.1
10Tennessee116.9
11NC State116.4
12Miami (Fla.)116.4
13Oklahoma St.116.2
14Arkansas115.4
15Penn St.115.3
16Utah115.1
17Baylor114.7
18Purdue114.7
19Mississippi St.114.5
20Texas A&M114.4
21Pittsburgh114.2
22Iowa114.0
23Minnesota113.7
24BYU112.9
25Kentucky112.8
26L S U112.2
27Florida St.111.9
28Ole Miss111.5
29Cincinnati111.4
30Texas111.2
31Auburn110.9
32Kansas St.110.7
33T C U109.7
34Maryland109.7
35South Carolina109.6
36U C L A109.3
37U S C108.7
38Iowa St.108.5
39Oregon St.108.5
40Oregon108.5
41Louisville107.9
42Texas Tech107.8
43Florida107.8
44Nebraska107.4
45North Carolina107.3
46Syracuse107.3
47UCF105.9
48Wake Forest105.5
49Washington105.3
50Arizona St.105.3
51Houston105.0
52SMU105.0
53West Virginia104.1
54Boise St.104.0
55Missouri103.9
56Fresno St.103.6
57Illinois103.5
58Virginia103.4
59Air Force102.4
60Stanford102.2
61Northwestern101.2
62East Carolina101.0
63Indiana100.9
64Boston College100.8
65Rutgers100.7
66Georgia St.99.6
67Washington St.99.6
68U A B99.4
69Kansas98.8
70Tulane98.5
71California98.4
72Virginia Tech98.4
73W. Kentucky98.1
74Appalachian St.98.0
75Army97.6
76N. Illinois97.3
77U T S A96.9
78Arizona96.8
79Louisiana96.6
80Memphis96.3
81Liberty96.0
82Colorado95.7
83Central Mich.95.6
84Coastal Carolina95.5
85San Diego St.95.3
86Vanderbilt94.9
87Tulsa94.7
88Toledo94.6
89Georgia Tech94.1
90USF93.7
91Utah St.93.5
92James Madison93.5
93Miami (Ohio)93.5
94Western Mich.93.5
95Marshall93.1
96Troy91.6
97Old Dominion90.8
98Navy89.9
99Nevada88.6
100Colorado St.88.5
101Florida Atlantic88.2
102U N L V88.1
103Kent St.88.0
104Ga. Southern87.9
105Eastern Mich.87.8
106South Alabama87.8
107San Jose St.87.0
108Bowling Green86.9
109North Texas86.8
110Duke86.5
111Ohio86.1
112Southern Miss.85.8
113U T E P85.4
114Wyoming84.9
115Buffalo84.9
116Ball St.83.4
117Arkansas St.83.3
118New Mexico83.2
119Middle Tennessee81.8
120UL-Monroe81.2
121Louisiana Tech80.2
122Texas St.79.5
123Connecticut78.9
124Charlotte78.4
125Temple78.0
126Rice77.9
127Akron77.2
128New Mexico St.75.2
129Massachusetts74.3
130Hawaii72.9
131Florida Int’l.67.2

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati111.2110.3112.8111.4
UCF105.4106.1106.2105.9
Houston104.8104.3106.0105.0
SMU105.1104.3105.5105.0
East Carolina100.8100.4101.8101.0
Tulane99.098.398.398.5
Memphis96.496.696.096.3
Tulsa95.094.394.994.7
USF94.793.193.593.7
Navy90.789.989.189.9
Temple78.080.475.578.0

AAC98.398.098.298.1

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson120.6120.5121.4120.8
NC State116.7115.7116.8116.4
Florida St.112.3111.7111.7111.9
Louisville108.8107.4107.5107.9
Syracuse108.2106.8106.8107.3
Wake Forest106.0105.3105.3105.5
Boston College100.4102.299.8100.8

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Fla.)116.9115.5116.7116.4
Pittsburgh115.3114.0113.4114.2
North Carolina107.3107.6107.0107.3
Virginia103.9104.1102.2103.4
Virginia Tech99.199.496.698.4
Georgia Tech94.994.792.994.1
Duke86.689.283.786.5

ACC106.9106.7105.8106.5

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma119.1117.9119.3118.8
Oklahoma St.116.9115.2116.4116.2
Baylor115.4114.1114.6114.7
Texas112.0111.0110.5111.2
Kansas St.111.6110.2110.4110.7
T C U110.7109.2109.4109.7
Iowa St.108.5108.4108.7108.5
Texas Tech108.2106.7108.6107.8
West Virginia104.5104.3103.4104.1
Kansas100.798.497.398.8
Big 12110.7109.5109.9110.0

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.128.4126.3129.0127.9
Michigan124.2122.7124.2123.7
Michigan St.118.3116.8116.1117.1
Penn St.115.7115.3114.9115.3
Maryland109.9109.8109.4109.7
Indiana102.1101.599.1100.9
Rutgers101.9101.299.1100.7
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Wisconsin118.4117.7117.4117.9
Purdue115.7114.5113.7114.7
Iowa115.2113.7113.2114.0
Minnesota113.8113.2114.2113.7
Nebraska107.9107.9106.6107.4
Illinois104.0104.5102.0103.5
Northwestern101.4102.599.6101.2

Big Ten112.6112.0111.3112.0

Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U A B98.798.9100.599.4
W. Kentucky97.397.1100.098.1
U T S A97.595.997.396.9
Florida Atlantic87.689.287.888.2
North Texas86.785.987.886.8
U T E P85.584.985.885.4
Middle Tennessee81.082.182.281.8
Louisiana Tech80.281.778.780.2
Charlotte78.179.477.778.4
Rice78.577.977.477.9
Florida Int’l.66.769.865.067.2

CUSA85.385.785.585.5

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame117.8115.9118.0117.2
BYU113.5111.6113.6112.9
Army97.297.897.797.6
Liberty94.696.596.896.0
Connecticut79.380.876.778.9
New Mexico St.74.777.073.975.2
Massachusetts75.075.572.474.3

Independents93.293.692.793.2

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)91.694.594.393.5
Kent St.87.189.687.388.0
Bowling Green87.686.386.786.9
Ohio84.587.286.686.1
Buffalo83.586.185.284.9
Akron77.078.076.677.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
N. Illinois97.097.497.597.3
Central Mich.93.895.997.095.6
Toledo93.694.895.594.6
Western Mich.92.693.894.093.5
Eastern Mich.87.788.387.487.8
Ball St.83.184.283.083.4

MAC88.389.789.389.1

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.104.2103.0104.9104.0
Air Force102.0101.9103.4102.4
Utah St.93.293.493.993.5
Colorado St.88.189.188.488.5
Wyoming83.786.284.984.9
New Mexico83.484.182.183.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Fresno St.103.4102.7104.7103.6
San Diego St.95.295.195.495.3
Nevada87.990.088.088.6
U N L V89.086.588.688.1
San Jose St.86.586.987.687.0
Hawaii72.373.673.072.9

MWC90.791.091.291.0

Pac-12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah115.0113.7116.6115.1
U C L A108.8108.7110.4109.3
U S C108.2109.0109.0108.7
Oregon St.108.4107.9109.2108.5
Oregon108.9108.4108.1108.5
Washington104.5105.6105.9105.3
Arizona St.104.9104.9106.2105.3
Stanford103.8101.0101.8102.2
Washington St.99.199.799.999.6
California97.898.299.298.4
Arizona96.796.896.896.8
Colorado96.794.895.695.7

Pac-12104.4104.1104.9104.4

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia133.4131.7135.0133.4
Tennessee116.8116.7117.1116.9
Kentucky112.1112.9113.4112.8
South Carolina109.9109.3109.7109.6
Florida106.9108.8107.6107.8
Missouri104.1104.4103.1103.9
Vanderbilt95.196.393.394.9

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama130.6129.5132.3130.8
Arkansas116.0114.0116.2115.4
Mississippi St.115.6113.8114.2114.5
Texas A&M113.5114.9114.9114.4
L S U112.8111.9111.8112.2
Ole Miss112.7110.7111.1111.5
Auburn111.8110.3110.6110.9

SEC113.7113.2113.6113.5

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia St.98.998.0101.899.6
Appalachian St.96.598.399.198.0
Coastal Carolina94.295.796.595.5
James Madison91.293.196.193.5
Marshall92.493.893.193.1
Old Dominion90.790.890.890.8
Ga. Southern87.987.388.487.9

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana95.696.098.296.6
Troy91.191.392.491.6
South Alabama87.387.688.587.8
Southern Miss.85.486.185.985.8
Arkansas St.82.684.283.183.3
UL-Monroe81.481.780.581.2
Texas St.79.079.979.779.5

Sun Belt89.690.391.090.3

Rating of Conferences

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern113.5
2Big Ten112.0
3Big 12110.0
4Atlantic Coast106.5
5Pac-12104.4
6American Athletic98.1
7Independents93.2
8Mountain West91.0
9Sun Belt90.3
10Mid-American89.1
11Conference USA85.5

Playoff Projections

#1: Alabama

#2: Georgia

#3: Ohio St.

#4: Clemson

December 23, 2021

A New Gator Bowl

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , — piratings @ 12:30 pm

With Texas A&M having to back out of the Gator Bowl due to multiple positive Covid cases, The Gator Bowl has now extended an invitation to Rutgers to face Wake Forest. Below are the new PiRate Ratings spreads for that game. Let’s hope this is the only game affected.

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Wake ForestRutgers19.117.419.1

August 26, 2021

PiRate Picks For August 28, 2021

Welcome to all the newcomers to the PiRate Ratings site for the 2021-2022 football season. Saturday, we have the fortune of having a dress rehearsal for the college football season. Nine FBS teams will be in action, as one FBS team plays an FCS opponent.

The PiRate Ratings enjoy issuing picks against the spread or money line on Thursdays each week until January. Because we are most concerned with Money Line Parlays, there are only five options to combine games this week, and many of the books do not issue a line for FBS vs. FCS games. So, in a quest to obtain the best odds, there really are just four games.

This presents multiple issues that basically make it close to impossible to issue a real wager, because the options don’t fit our paradigm. Let’s take a look.

First, before we get started, you must know and understand one thing. We offer these selections purely for the fun of it. It is math and not gambling to us. We NEVER bet on sports. We play with a pretend bankroll that never runs out. We wager the same amount of fake currency on every selection–$100. It could just as easily be $5, $10, $1000, $5000, whatever, but $100 is an easy number and typical of many wagers in real life.

Second, we urge you with everything we can say about it to NOT use this weekly feature as betting advice, unless you have legitimate advice or are a professional, and then this becomes a secondary reference.

Third, we hunt around for the best possible odds on our pretend wagers. You may or may not be able to find the same odds we do, because you would have to search at the exact same time we do. Because, we are not limited to just the legal books available to us in our state of Tennessee, where betting is legal, we might pick a parlay based on a sports book that is only for people in Nevada, or New Jersey, or even off shore.

Okay, now that you know the ground rules, here is our specialty–Money Line Parlays. The money line is different from the spread of a game, but the number is the equivalent of a spread. If a team is favored by 7 points, their money line is going to be roughly -330, and if a team is a 7-point underdog, their money line is going to be roughly +250.

How does a Money Line work? If the line is a negative number, if you wager the amount of the negative number and win, you will receive $100 plus the amount you wagered. So, if you wager on a team at -300, and you bet $300, if the bet wins, you will get back $400 (your investment money plus $100). If you lose, you are out the $300. On the other hand, if the line is a positive number, you can win that amount of money with a $100 wager. So, if the line on a team is +300, you can wager $100, and if the team wins, you receive $400 (your investment money plus $300).

In Money Line wagers, all that matters is that the team you picked wins the game, be it by 1 point or 63 points. Obviously, if Alabama is playing Mercer, the odds are going to be such that to win $100, you will have to put up maybe $100,000. So, if you bet $100 on Alabama at -100000, when Alabama wins, you receive $100.01. Would you risk $100,000 to win one penny?

When you wager on more than one money line to win as one bet, this is called a parlay. Let’s say that you like Mississippi State to beat Arkansas and Oklahoma State to beat Texas Tech. Mississippi State’s money line number is -275. Oklahoma State’s money line number is -250. By combining these two wagers into one bet, with $100 riding on the outcome, instead of attempting to win a little more than $36 on MSU and $40 on OSU, by combining the two games into a parlay, you stand to win almost $91 if both teams win. If you bet them individually, you would only win $76, so by combining the two, you win $15 more. Of course, if one team wins and the other loses, your losses would be less by playing the games separately.

The question you most likely wanted to ask while reading the above paragraph is, “Why risk playing two separate games that both teams you selected must win and still not get even money?” Did you ask it? The answer to that question is, “You are correct; why wager $100 to just win $91 and then have to be right twice to cash it?” You can bet a regular game against the spread and get 11-10 odds, just a fraction better than the odds of the parlay above.

The ultimate answer is that we are only looking for parlays that pay better than even money. We really don’t want to play any parlays at less than +120 odds, where we would win $6 for every $5 wagered.

The next question you might have is, “Isn’t finding two teams to win and pay off at +120 going to require me to bet an underdog to win outright?”

Our answer to you is, “Yes, but we don’t look for many two-team money line parlays. Let’s take a look at another example with three teams.

Let’s say that we believe that Washington will beat Oregon State, and the money line is -260.

We also believe that Army will beat Temple, and the money line is -240.

And, we believe that Wisconsin will beat Purdue, and the money line is -250.

If you wager $100 on these three teams to win, and all three teams win, your payout is just under $175 plus the $100 you wagered for almost $275 ($274.62 to be exact.)

Let’s take a look at 5 wagers, where we win two and lose three at these odds

We bet $500 at $100 for 5 wagers.

On the two winning wagers, we receive $275 * 2 or $550.

Invest $500 and win $550 by being right 40% of the time. In one week, we have made a 10% return on an investment. What investment on the Stock Market makes a 10% gain in one week after you have paid the commissions on the trip?

Ah, but here’s the rub: how often can you wager on 5 money line parlays that average +175 and win 40% of the parlays? Most people fall into this trap and only win about one of five of these parlays. At 20% success, you lose $225 a week for a 45% loss. Now, where can you loses 45% in the stock market in one week? We put our real money in high-cap value stocks with durable competitive advantages, long histories of consistent increases in earnings, and long histories of consistent dividend payouts. The pretend money is just fine for football wagering.

By now, you want to know who we are picking in Week 0 of the college football season. Maybe, you have figured it out already. We don’t have any official picks this week, because there are not enough games to come up with a parlay better than +120.

Here is a practice parlay that is not an official pick, but shown here to show you what we mean.

The three games involved are: Nebraska versus Illinois, UCLA versus Hawaii, and UTEP versus New Mexico St.

Let’s say that we think Illinois will upset the Cornhuskers, UCLA will take care of Hawaii, and UTEP will win the big rivalry game.

Here are the three Money Lines for these three games.

Illinois +215 vs. Nebraska

UCLA -875 vs. Hawaii

UTEP -390 vs. New Mexico St.

This parlay calculates to +341. If we wager $100 on this game, and Illinois, UCLA, and UTEP all win, we receive $441 in our account (The $100 we wagered plus the $341 on the win).

Why isn’t this an official pick? We believe that Illinois might have been an excellent pick against the spread when the Illinois-Nebraska game spread opened at -9 1/2. But, it has come down to -6 1/2 as of this writing. Sharp money was wagers on Illinois +9 1/2, and also on Nebraska -6 1/2. A three-point middling is too good to be true. Playing both sides, the Sharps only need to have the game win both sides one out of every 19 times (5.26%) to make a profit. The spreads of 7, 8, and 9 account for 10.8% of all FBS college football games. That’s double the amount needed to make a profit. The key is the Sharps can find these spreads when they open. Also, playing the opening lines is the most effective way to win for a Sharp.

The UTEP-New Mexico State game is the biggest issue in this parlay. One axiom that older Sharps believe in is not to rely on a losing program to have to win for you to win. The Miners are probably a 3-9 team, which is almost a good year for this program. The Aggies are really weak and should be an underdog in every game, but this is their big rival, maybe bigger than playing New Mexico. The I-10 rivalry frequently is a tossup game.

Two out of three of these games are iffy. The chances that Illinois pulls off the upset of Nebraska are not good enough to have faith in this parlay winning. Scott Frost is in deep cow poo if the Cornhuskers don’t win at least six games and earn a bowl bid, and losing to the weakest Big Ten team will turn the heater on in his heated seat. This will be Bret Bielema’s first game as Illinois head coach, and he brought in an offensive coordinator that runs a system totally different from what the Illini ran under Lovie Smith. Expect growing pains.

We hope this gets you pumped for next week, when there will be more than enough games to play some parlays.

October 18, 2020

PiRate Ratings–College Football For October 22-24, 2020

PiRate Ratings Spreads For This Week

HomeVisitorsPiRateMeanBias
Appalachian St.Arkansas St.10.38.011.0
USFTulsa-11.4-11.1-11.7
WisconsinIllinois20.418.420.2
UABLouisiana-5.8-4.7-5.9
Kansas St.Kansas26.225.527.9
Fresno St.Hawaii1.01.51.7
ClemsonSyracuse42.442.245.7
North CarolinaNC St.12.212.012.6
Ohio St.Nebraska25.324.426.7
Ole MissAuburn-6.6-6.1-6.1
Michigan St.Rutgers8.59.811.0
TCUOklahoma-6.1-8.0-6.0
MemphisTemple15.414.515.9
CharlotteUTEP20.017.620.4
Coastal CarolinaGa. Southern6.15.55.9
LouisvilleFlorida St.5.77.04.4
LibertySouthern Miss.10.312.712.2
UCFTulane15.115.716.9
MarshallFla. Atlantic22.020.621.3
TennesseeAlabama-14.5-16.1-16.1
PittsburghNotre Dame-14.6-12.3-14.2
Oklahoma St.Iowa St.6.86.96.5
IndianaPenn St.-10.8-9.0-9.0
Wake ForestVa. Tech-9.4-9.1-11.3
RiceMiddle Tenn.7.95.07.3
NavyHouston-6.4-6.0-6.4
TexasBaylor4.63.04.3
PurdueIowa-4.4-3.2-4.9
TroyGeorgia St.-2.1-0.5-1.6
Boston CollegeGeorgia Tech8.18.79.2
MissouriKentucky-9.2-9.3-9.3
Texas TechWest Va.-0.7-1.9-0.7
LSUSouth Carolina7.28.59.7
Boise St.Utah St.15.816.116.0
NevadaWyoming-4.4-5.4-5.2
South AlabamaUL-Monroe11.612.612.6
MinnesotaMichigan1.93.62.2
NorthwesternMaryland10.510.514.6
Miami (Fla.)Virginia8.210.79.0
UTSALa. Tech-3.6-4.0-3.6
SMUCincinnati-6.1-5.5-6.3
Colorado St.New Mexico9.19.410.2
BYUTexas St.32.130.833.6
San Diego St.UNLV14.414.215.9
San Jose St.Air Force-13.3-12.2-14.1

Games with Strikethrough lines have been called off due to Covid-19.

FBS vs. FCS

FBSFCSPiRate
Florida Intl.J’Ville St.7.8
ArmyMercer26.2
Western Ky.Chattanooga9.6

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

10/18
#TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg.Conference
1Clemson130.5131.7134.0132.1ACC
2Ohio St.131.3130.0134.3131.9BTen-E
3Alabama125.8126.9127.8126.8SEC-W
4Georgia123.6122.6124.5123.6SEC-E
5Penn St.122.2121.0122.8122.0BTen-E
6Wisconsin122.5119.9123.3121.9BTen-W
7Florida119.9119.2120.4119.8SEC-E
8Oregon119.5117.9119.3118.9P12-N
9Notre Dame119.3118.4118.8118.8ACC
10L S U117.6116.9119.7118.1SEC-W
11Oklahoma St.115.5114.8115.4115.2B12
12U S C116.2113.5115.2115.0P12-S
13Texas A&M114.1114.3114.6114.3SEC-W
14Oklahoma114.4113.7114.2114.1B12
15Kentucky113.6113.7115.0114.1SEC-E
16Minnesota112.3113.2114.4113.3BTen-W
17Texas113.5112.0113.2112.9B12
18N. Carolina112.4112.7113.5112.9ACC
19Iowa112.3112.0114.1112.8BTen-W
20Michigan112.3111.6114.2112.7BTen-E
21Auburn113.4111.8112.8112.7SEC-W
22Virginia Tech111.4111.8113.2112.1ACC
23S. Carolina112.3110.5112.0111.6SEC-E
24UCF110.6110.8111.3110.9AAC
25Iowa St.110.7109.9110.9110.5B12
26Indiana109.4110.0111.8110.4BTen-E
27Cincinnati110.7109.8110.4110.3AAC
28BYU110.5109.8110.5110.3Ind.
29Miami (Fla.)109.0111.5109.7110.1ACC
30Washington110.2108.9110.9110.0P12-N
31Baylor109.9110.0110.0110.0B12
32Utah109.3108.9110.0109.4P12-S
33Tennessee109.3108.8109.7109.3SEC-E
34Memphis109.4108.5108.6108.8AAC
35Kansas St.108.8107.8109.1108.6B12
36Nebraska108.0107.6109.5108.4BTen-W
37California107.5107.7107.8107.7P12-N
38Arizona St.107.8107.4107.8107.6P12-S
39Boise St.107.3107.1106.8107.1MWC-M
40Purdue105.9106.8107.2106.6BTen-W
41Miss. St.106.4105.8107.3106.5SEC-W
42Louisville106.8106.9105.7106.4ACC
43T C U106.3103.7106.2105.4B12
44Washington St.104.8103.5105.9104.7P12-N
45Ole Miss104.8103.7104.7104.4SEC-W
46Northwestern103.5103.4106.1104.4BTen-W
47Air Force103.9104.7104.1104.2MWC-M
48Illinois104.1103.5105.1104.2BTen-W
49Stanford105.0102.5104.2103.9P12-N
50Louisiana103.7103.1103.3103.4SUN-W
51Pittsburgh102.7104.1102.6103.1ACC
52Michigan St.102.9102.7103.4103.0BTen-E
53Houston104.0102.3102.5102.9AAC
54SMU103.1102.8102.5102.8AAC
55Missouri102.4102.4103.7102.8SEC-E
56Virginia102.8102.8102.7102.8ACC
57Florida St.103.1101.9103.3102.8ACC
58Oregon St.103.0103.3101.8102.7P12-N
59Marshall102.8102.6102.3102.5CUSA-E
60W. Virginia102.4102.4102.5102.4B12
61Appal. St.102.0100.9102.7101.9SUN-E
62NC State101.2101.6101.9101.6ACC
63Tulsa102.4100.6100.7101.2AAC
64Arkansas101.3102.0100.1101.1SEC-W
65U C L A102.2100.7100.3101.1P12-S
66Wake Forest100.5101.1100.4100.7ACC
67Boston Coll.100.6100.5100.7100.6ACC
68Arizona101.499.7100.4100.5P12-S
69Texas Tech99.798.499.999.3B12
70Coastal Car.98.098.598.698.4SUN-E
71Wyoming97.098.698.498.0MWC-M
72Duke98.298.397.497.9ACC
73Colorado97.899.195.797.5P12-S
74Buffalo96.797.397.697.2MAC-E
75Tulane97.597.196.497.0AAC
76U A B96.897.496.496.9CUSA-W
77San Diego St.95.997.296.896.6MWC-W
78Temple95.996.194.795.6AAC
79Rutgers96.494.994.495.2BTen-E
80Ohio94.395.196.095.1MAC-E
81Liberty93.696.394.594.8Ind.
82Navy95.694.394.094.6AAC
83Maryland95.194.993.694.5BTen-E
84Hawaii94.894.793.894.4MWC-W
85Georgia Sou.93.494.594.394.1SUN-E
86Miami (O)94.793.294.093.9MAC-E
87Georgia Tech94.593.893.593.9ACC
88Arkansas St.93.394.493.293.6SUN-W
89Fresno St.93.393.792.993.3MWC-W
90Utah St.93.593.092.993.1MWC-M
91Central Mich.93.292.793.393.1MAC-W
92Army92.494.192.593.0Ind.
93Florida Int’l.93.192.893.193.0CUSA-E
94Ball St.92.691.993.092.5MAC-W
95E. Carolina92.392.190.991.8AAC
96Georgia St.91.891.791.791.7SUN-E
97Vanderbilt92.291.490.891.5SEC-E
98Colorado St.91.192.191.291.5MWC-M
99Syracuse90.692.090.891.2ACC
100Nevada90.691.191.191.0MWC-W
101W. Kentucky90.591.290.690.8CUSA-E
102Western Mich.89.191.290.490.2MAC-W
103Kent St.90.189.489.589.7MAC-E
104San Jose St.89.291.088.589.6MWC-W
105Troy88.289.688.688.8SUN-E
106Toledo88.589.788.088.7MAC-W
107Charlotte88.488.588.788.6CUSA-E
108USF89.588.087.588.3AAC
109Rice86.884.386.185.7CUSA-W
110La. Tech85.386.285.485.7CUSA-W
111Southern Miss.84.885.183.884.6CUSA-W
112S. Alabama83.884.983.484.0SUN-W
113U N L V83.585.083.083.8MWC-W
114N. Illinois82.884.683.283.6MAC-W
115New Mexico83.684.382.483.4MWC-M
116Fla. Atlantic82.884.083.083.2CUSA-E
117Eastern Mich.82.484.582.883.2MAC-W
118Kansas83.683.382.283.1B12
119Middle Tenn.80.480.880.280.5CUSA-E
120U T S A80.380.780.380.4CUSA-W
121Texas St.80.481.078.980.1SUN-W
122North Texas76.677.176.476.7CUSA-W
123Bowling Green74.476.170.673.7MAC-E
124Akron73.175.571.573.4MAC-E
125UL-Monroe73.773.872.373.3SUN-W
126U T E P69.972.469.870.7CUSA-W
127Mass.62.168.759.963.6Ind.

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgAACOverall
UCF110.6110.8111.3110.91-22-2
Cincinnati110.7109.8110.4110.31-03-0
Memphis109.4108.5108.6108.81-12-1
Houston104.0102.3102.5102.91-01-1
SMU103.1102.8102.5102.82-05-0
Tulsa102.4100.6100.7101.21-01-1
Tulane97.597.196.497.00-32-3
Temple95.996.194.795.61-11-1
Navy95.694.394.094.63-03-2
E. Carolina92.392.190.991.81-11-3
USF89.588.087.588.30-31-4
AAC Avg.101.0100.299.9100.4

Atlantic Coast Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgACCOverall
Clemson130.5131.7134.0132.14-05-0
Notre Dame119.3118.4118.8118.83-04-0
N. Carolina112.4112.7113.5112.93-13-1
Virginia Tech111.4111.8113.2112.13-13-1
Miami (Fla.)109.0111.5109.7110.13-14-1
Louisville106.8106.9105.7106.40-41-4
Pittsburgh102.7104.1102.6103.12-33-3
Virginia102.8102.8102.7102.81-31-3
Florida St.103.1101.9103.3102.81-32-3
NC State101.2101.6101.9101.64-14-1
Wake Forest100.5101.1100.4100.71-22-2
Boston Coll.100.6100.5100.7100.62-23-2
Duke98.298.397.497.91-51-5
Georgia Tech94.593.893.593.92-22-3
Syracuse90.692.090.891.21-31-4
ACC Avg.105.6105.9105.9105.8

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgB12Overall
Oklahoma St.115.5114.8115.4115.22-03-0
Oklahoma114.4113.7114.2114.11-22-2
Texas113.5112.0113.2112.91-22-2
Iowa St.110.7109.9110.9110.53-03-1
Baylor109.9110.0110.0110.01-11-1
Kansas St.108.8107.8109.1108.63-03-1
T C U106.3103.7106.2105.41-21-2
W. Virginia102.4102.4102.5102.42-13-1
Texas Tech99.798.499.999.30-31-3
Kansas83.683.382.283.10-30-4
Big 12 Avg.106.5105.6106.4106.2

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverageBTenOverall
Ohio St.131.3130.0134.3131.90-00-0
Penn St.122.2121.0122.8122.00-00-0
Michigan112.3111.6114.2112.70-00-0
Indiana109.4110.0111.8110.40-00-0
Michigan St.102.9102.7103.4103.00-00-0
Rutgers96.494.994.495.20-00-0
Maryland95.194.993.694.50-00-0

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverageBTenOverall
Wisconsin122.5119.9123.3121.90-00-0
Minnesota112.3113.2114.4113.30-00-0
Iowa112.3112.0114.1112.80-00-0
Nebraska108.0107.6109.5108.40-00-0
Purdue105.9106.8107.2106.60-00-0
Northwestern103.5103.4106.1104.40-00-0
Illinois104.1103.5105.1104.20-00-0
Big Ten Avg.109.9109.4111.0110.1

Conference USA
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgCUSAOverall
Marshall102.8102.6102.3102.52-04-0
Florida Int’l.93.192.893.193.00-10-2
W. Kentucky90.591.290.690.81-21-4
Charlotte88.488.588.788.61-11-2
Fla. Atlantic82.884.083.083.21-01-0
Middle Tenn.80.480.880.280.51-31-5

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgCUSAOverall
U A B96.897.496.496.92-04-1
Rice86.884.386.185.70-00-0
La. Tech85.386.285.485.72-13-2
Southern Miss.84.885.183.884.61-11-3
U T S A80.380.780.380.41-13-3
North Texas76.677.176.476.71-22-3
U T E P69.972.469.870.70-13-2
CUSA Avg.86.086.485.986.1

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgConf.Overall
BYU110.5109.8110.5110.3x5-0
Liberty93.696.394.594.8x5-0
Army92.494.192.593.0x4-1
Mass.62.168.759.963.6x0-1
Ind. Avg.89.692.289.490.4

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgConf.Overall
Buffalo96.797.397.697.20-00-0
Ohio94.395.196.095.10-00-0
Miami (O)94.793.294.093.90-00-0
Kent St.90.189.489.589.70-00-0
Bowling Green74.476.170.673.70-00-0
Akron73.175.571.573.40-00-0

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgConf.Overall
Central Mich.93.292.793.393.10-00-0
Ball St.92.691.993.092.50-00-0
Western Mich.89.191.290.490.20-00-0
Toledo88.589.788.088.70-00-0
N. Illinois82.884.683.283.60-00-0
Eastern Mich.82.484.582.883.20-00-0
MAC Avg.87.688.487.587.9

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgConf.Overall
Boise St.107.3107.1106.8107.10-00-0
Air Force103.9104.7104.1104.20-01-0
Wyoming97.098.698.498.00-00-0
Utah St.93.593.092.993.10-00-0
Colorado St.91.192.191.291.50-00-0
New Mexico83.684.382.483.40-00-0

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgConf.Overall
San Diego St.95.997.296.896.60-00-0
Hawaii94.894.793.894.40-00-0
Fresno St.93.393.792.993.30-00-0
Nevada90.691.191.191.00-00-0
San Jose St.89.291.088.589.60-00-0
U N L V83.585.083.083.80-00-0
MWC Avg.93.694.493.593.8

Pac-12 Conference
North Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgConf.Overall
Oregon119.5117.9119.3118.90-00-0
Washington110.2108.9110.9110.00-00-0
California107.5107.7107.8107.70-00-0
Washington St.104.8103.5105.9104.70-00-0
Stanford105.0102.5104.2103.90-00-0
Oregon St.103.0103.3101.8102.70-00-0

South Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgConf.Overall
U S C116.2113.5115.2115.00-00-0
Utah109.3108.9110.0109.40-00-0
Arizona St.107.8107.4107.8107.60-00-0
U C L A102.2100.7100.3101.10-00-0
Arizona101.499.7100.4100.50-00-0
Colorado97.899.195.797.50-00-0
P12 Avg.107.1106.1106.6106.6

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgSECOverall
Georgia123.6122.6124.5123.63-13-1
Florida119.9119.2120.4119.82-12-1
Kentucky113.6113.7115.0114.12-22-2
S. Carolina112.3110.5112.0111.62-22-2
Tennessee109.3108.8109.7109.32-22-2
Missouri102.4102.4103.7102.81-21-2
Vanderbilt92.291.490.891.50-30-3

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgSECOverall
Alabama125.8126.9127.8126.84-04-0
L S U117.6116.9119.7118.11-21-2
Texas A&M114.1114.3114.6114.33-13-1
Auburn113.4111.8112.8112.72-22-2
Miss. St.106.4105.8107.3106.51-31-3
Ole Miss104.8103.7104.7104.41-31-3
Arkansas101.3102.0100.1101.12-22-2
SEC Avg.111.2110.7111.6111.2

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgSBCOverall
Appal. St.102.0100.9102.7101.90-02-1
Coastal Car.98.098.598.698.42-04-0
Georgia Sou.93.494.594.394.11-13-1
Georgia St.91.891.791.791.70-21-2
Troy88.289.688.688.81-03-1

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvgSBCOverall
Louisiana103.7103.1103.3103.42-13-1
Arkansas St.93.394.493.293.61-13-2
S. Alabama83.884.983.484.01-02-2
Texas St.80.481.078.980.11-21-5
UL-Monroe73.773.872.373.30-20-5
Sun Avg.90.891.290.790.9

Rating of Conferences

#LeagueAvg
1SEC111.2
2BTen110.1
3P12106.6
4B12106.2
5ACC105.8
6AAC100.4
7MWC93.8
8Sun90.9
9Ind.90.4
10MAC87.9
11CUSA86.1

September 20, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Football For September 20, 2020

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 11:27 am

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

HomeVisitorsPiRateMeanBias
S. AlabamaUAB-6.0-5.5-5.8
UTSAMiddle Tenn.-1.2-2.2-1.6
OklahomaKansas St.15.416.615.7
Ole MissFlorida-13.2-14.3-14.5
Wake ForestNotre Dame-20.7-18.9-20.9
AuburnKentucky10.18.78.9
East CarolinaUCF-18.6-18.4-21.0
PittsburghLouisville-1.7-0.4-0.4
LouisianaGa. Southern14.512.913.0
SyracuseGeorgia Tech-3.2-0.5-1.5
CharlotteGeorgia St.-1.2-0.6-0.9
LibertyFlorida Intl.-5.3-2.2-4.9
TCUIowa St.-0.9-2.2-0.3
LSUMississippi St.19.018.919.9
Texas TechTexas-17.6-17.5-17.6
Oklahoma St.West Va.12.811.912.5
CincinnatiArmy18.515.218.3
UL MonroeUTEP18.916.417.5
Arkansas St.Tulsa-1.81.10.3
ArkansasGeorgia-23.9-21.1-27.0
VirginiaDuke10.39.310.6
Boston Coll.Texas St.24.423.626.0
Fla. AtlanticUSF-8.4-5.3-6.3
MissouriAlabama-20.3-21.1-21.0
HoustonNorth Texas28.826.527.3
Southern Miss.Tulane-4.8-4.3-4.9
Texas A&MVanderbilt24.925.526.6
S. CarolinaTennessee2.70.51.6
Miami (Fla.)Florida St.1.45.81.8
BaylorKansas23.723.625.1
Va. TechNC St.17.216.719.0
BYUTroy19.115.618.2
FBS vs. FCS
FBSFCSPiRate
Appal. St.Campbell33.9
La. TechHou. Baptist25.8
SMUS.F. Austin30.7

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Including the Big Ten

9/20/20
#TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg.Conference
1Ohio St.131.2129.6133.7131.5BTen-E
2Clemson124.7125.7128.6126.4ACC
3L S U123.2122.5125.8123.8SEC-W
4Alabama121.4122.3123.3122.3SEC-W
5Wisconsin122.4119.5122.7121.5BTen-W
6Penn St.122.1120.6122.2121.6BTen-E
7Georgia121.1119.4121.9120.8SEC-E
8Florida119.7119.3120.8119.9SEC-E
9Notre Dame120.0119.1120.1119.7ACC
10Auburn118.0116.6117.9117.5SEC-W
11Oklahoma117.1117.1117.3117.2B12
12Texas116.3115.1116.4115.9B12
13Texas A&M115.7115.8115.9115.8SEC-W
14Minnesota112.2112.8113.8112.9BTen-W
15Michigan112.2111.2113.6112.4BTen-E
16Iowa112.2111.6113.5112.4BTen-W
17UCF112.1112.5113.4112.7AAC
18N. Carolina111.9112.4113.3112.5ACC
19Oklahoma St.112.2111.4112.0111.9B12
20Kentucky110.3110.5111.5110.8SEC-E
21Virginia Tech109.2109.2111.3109.9ACC
22Indiana109.3109.6111.2110.0BTen-E
23Tennessee109.1109.0109.6109.2SEC-E
24Cincinnati109.7108.5109.6109.3AAC
25Nebraska107.9107.2108.9108.0BTen-W
26S. Carolina109.3107.0108.7108.3SEC-E
27Miss. St.106.7106.1108.4107.1SEC-W
28Baylor108.0108.1108.2108.1B12
29Memphis109.0107.7108.2108.3AAC
30Iowa St.107.9107.1107.5107.5B12
31Purdue105.8106.4106.6106.3BTen-W
32Louisville107.6108.2106.5107.4ACC
33Virginia106.6106.1106.3106.4ACC
34BYU106.7105.2106.3106.1Ind.
35Northwestern103.4103.0105.5104.0BTen-W
36Miami (Fla.)105.1107.8105.4106.1ACC
37T C U105.0102.8105.1104.3B12
38Florida St.105.2103.6105.1104.6ACC
39Louisiana105.2104.6105.0104.9SUN-W
40Illinois104.0103.1104.5103.9BTen-W
41Kansas St.104.2103.0104.1103.8B12
42Pittsburgh103.9105.7104.1104.6ACC
43Ole Miss104.1102.5103.8103.4SEC-W
44Houston104.7103.2103.2103.7AAC
45Michigan St.102.8102.3102.8102.7BTen-W
46Appal. St.101.7100.8102.4101.6SUN-E
47Boston Coll.102.3102.2102.4102.3ACC
48W. Virginia101.4101.5101.5101.5B12
49SMU101.4101.2100.8101.2AAC
50Missouri99.199.2100.399.5SEC-E
51Marshall100.399.999.499.8CUSA
52Duke98.498.997.798.3ACC
53Wake Forest97.898.797.698.1ACC
54Texas Tech97.296.097.496.9B12
55Georgia Tech98.297.597.297.6ACC
56Tulsa99.097.396.997.7AAC
57Navy98.296.496.397.0AAC
58Florida Int’l.95.495.295.895.5CUSA
59Arkansas St.95.796.995.696.1SUN-W
60Temple96.497.095.396.2AAC
61W. Kentucky94.095.294.694.6CUSA
62NC State94.094.494.394.2ACC
63Syracuse93.595.594.194.4ACC
64Georgia Sou.92.793.794.093.5SUN-E
65Rutgers96.394.593.994.9BTen-E
66Tulane94.494.493.394.0AAC
67Maryland95.094.593.194.2BTen-E
68Army92.794.892.793.4Ind.
69Arkansas94.795.892.494.3SEC-W
70Coastal Car.91.892.492.292.1SUN-E
71U A B92.693.492.192.7CUSA
72Vanderbilt93.392.791.892.6SEC-E
73E. Carolina92.192.690.991.9AAC
74Troy90.192.190.691.0SUN-E
75Georgia St.89.188.989.289.1SUN-E
76USF91.289.889.290.0AAC
77Liberty88.190.988.989.3Ind.
78La. Tech86.688.187.787.5CUSA
79Southern Miss.88.188.686.987.9CUSA
80Charlotte86.486.786.886.7CUSA
81Rice86.284.285.685.3CUSA
82Kansas86.386.585.086.0B12
83S. Alabama85.186.484.885.4SUN-W
84Fla. Atlantic81.383.081.481.9CUSA
85Middle Tenn.80.381.280.180.5CUSA
86UL-Monroe80.481.178.980.1SUN-W
87Texas St.80.680.778.880.0SUN-W
88North Texas77.378.277.377.6CUSA
89U T S A77.177.076.576.9CUSA
90U T E P63.265.862.863.9CUSA

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
UCF112.1112.5113.4112.7
Cincinnati109.7108.5109.6109.3
Memphis109.0107.7108.2108.3
Houston104.7103.2103.2103.7
SMU101.4101.2100.8101.2
Tulsa99.097.396.997.7
Navy98.296.496.397.0
Temple96.497.095.396.2
Tulane94.494.493.394.0
E. Carolina92.192.690.991.9
USF91.289.889.290.0
AAC Avg.100.7100.199.7100.2
Atlantic Coast Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
Clemson124.7125.7128.6126.4
Notre Dame120.0119.1120.1119.7
N. Carolina111.9112.4113.3112.5
Virginia Tech109.2109.2111.3109.9
Louisville107.6108.2106.5107.4
Virginia106.6106.1106.3106.4
Miami (Fla.)105.1107.8105.4106.1
Florida St.105.2103.6105.1104.6
Pittsburgh103.9105.7104.1104.6
Boston Coll.102.3102.2102.4102.3
Duke98.498.997.798.3
Wake Forest97.898.797.698.1
Georgia Tech98.297.597.297.6
Syracuse93.595.594.194.4
NC State94.094.494.394.2
ACC Avg.105.2105.7105.6105.5
Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
Oklahoma117.1117.1117.3117.2
Texas116.3115.1116.4115.9
Oklahoma St.112.2111.4112.0111.9
Baylor108.0108.1108.2108.1
Iowa St.107.9107.1107.5107.5
T C U105.0102.8105.1104.3
Kansas St.104.2103.0104.1103.8
W. Virginia101.4101.5101.5101.5
Texas Tech97.296.097.496.9
Kansas86.386.585.086.0
Big 12 Avg.105.6104.9105.5105.3
Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.131.2129.6133.7131.5
Penn St.122.1120.6122.2121.6
Michigan112.2111.2113.6112.4
Indiana109.3109.6111.2110.0
Michigan St.102.8102.3102.8102.7
Rutgers96.394.593.994.9
Maryland95.094.593.194.2
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Wisconsin122.4119.5122.7121.5
Minnesota112.2112.8113.8112.9
Iowa112.2111.6113.5112.4
Nebraska107.9107.2108.9108.0
Purdue105.8106.4106.6106.3
Northwestern103.4103.0105.5104.0
Illinois104.0103.1104.5103.9
Big Ten Avg.109.8109.0110.4109.7
Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
Marshall100.399.999.499.8
Florida Int’l.95.495.295.895.5
W. Kentucky94.095.294.694.6
U A B92.693.492.192.7
Southern Miss.88.188.686.987.9
La. Tech86.688.187.787.5
Charlotte86.486.786.886.7
Rice86.284.285.685.3
Fla. Atlantic81.383.081.481.9
Middle Tenn.80.381.280.180.5
North Texas77.378.277.377.6
U T S A77.177.076.576.9
U T E P63.265.862.863.9
CUSA Avg.85.385.985.285.4
FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
BYU106.7105.2106.3106.1
Army92.794.892.793.4
Liberty88.190.988.989.3
Indep. Avg.95.897.096.096.3
Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
Georgia121.1119.4121.9120.8
Florida119.7119.3120.8119.9
Kentucky110.3110.5111.5110.8
Tennessee109.1109.0109.6109.2
S. Carolina109.3107.0108.7108.3
Missouri99.199.2100.399.5
Vanderbilt93.392.791.892.6
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
L S U123.2122.5125.8123.8
Alabama121.4122.3123.3122.3
Auburn118.0116.6117.9117.5
Texas A&M115.7115.8115.9115.8
Miss. St.106.7106.1108.4107.1
Ole Miss104.1102.5103.8103.4
Arkansas94.795.892.494.3
SEC Avg.110.4109.9110.9110.4
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
Appal. St.101.7100.8102.4101.6
Georgia Sou.92.793.794.093.5
Coastal Car.91.892.492.292.1
Troy90.192.190.691.0
Georgia St.89.188.989.289.1
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
Louisiana105.2104.6105.0104.9
Arkansas St.95.796.995.696.1
S. Alabama85.186.484.885.4
Texas St.80.481.178.980.1
UL-Monroe80.680.778.880.0
Sun Avg.91.391.791.191.4

Conference Ratings

#LeagueAvg
1Southeastern110.4
2Big Ten109.7
3Atlantic Coast105.5
4Big 12105.3
5American100.2
6Independents96.3
7Sun Belt91.4
8Conference USA85.4

September 15, 2020

PiRate Ratings NFL for Week 2

Filed under: Pro Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 7:34 am

This Week’s PiRate, Mean, and Bias Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBiasTotal
ClevelandCincinnati3.22.73.144
ChicagoN.Y. Giants7.36.48.341.5
DallasAtlanta2.63.92.849
Green BayDetroit9.28.99.447.5
TennesseeJacksonville5.66.26.241
IndianapolisMinnesota0.40.3-0.145
MiamiBuffalo-5.8-5.5-6.541
N.Y. JetsSan Francisco-7.9-6.2-8.344
PhiladelphiaLA Rams0.00.1-1.648
PittsburghDenver5.15.85.032.5
Tampa BayCarolina7.17.77.559.5
ArizonaWashington8.06.98.049.5
LA ChargersKansas City-7.8-8.6-7.544.5
HoustonBaltimore-7.4-8.1-7.949
SeattleNew England6.06.86.045.5
Las VegasNew Orleans-7.6-6.8-7.948

This Week’s PiRate, Mean, and Bias Ratings

A F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Buffalo101.3102.3101.4101.715.51-0
New England101.1100.7101.1101.018.51-0
N. Y. Jets94.795.894.194.9190-1
Miami93.594.892.993.725.50-1

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Baltimore110.2110.1110.7110.325.51-0
Pittsburgh102.0102.6101.9102.2171-0
Cleveland97.096.896.996.9220-1
Cincinnati94.895.194.894.9220-1

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Houston101.3100.5101.3101.023.50-1
Tennessee100.0100.3100.7100.321.51-0
Indianapolis99.799.499.399.421.50-1
Jacksonville95.995.696.095.819.51-0

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Kansas City107.4108.2107.8107.824.51-0
Denver98.998.898.998.915.50-1
LA Chargers98.198.198.898.3201-0
Las Vegas97.898.197.697.822.51-0


N F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Dallas100.8101.0100.9100.923.50-1
Philadelphia98.598.497.998.223.00-1
Washington95.695.995.695.7211-0
N.Y. Giants94.494.893.794.325.00-1

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Green Bay103.0102.9103.1103.022.51-0
Minnesota100.8100.6100.9100.723.50-1
Chicago100.299.7100.5100.116.51-0
Detroit95.395.595.295.3250-1

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
New Orleans107.9107.4108.0107.825.51-0
Tampa Bay102.0101.8101.9101.9320-1
Atlanta100.299.1100.199.825.50-1
Carolina96.495.695.996.027.50-1

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
San Francisco105.1104.5104.9104.9250-1
Seattle104.6105.0104.6104.8271-0
Arizona101.1100.3101.1100.828.51-0
LA Rams100.5100.3101.5100.8251-0

September 13, 2020

PiRate Ratings–College Football September 13, 2020

This Week’s PiRate, Mean, and Bias Spreads

Week 3Sep. 18-19
HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Oklahoma St.Tulsa16.918.119.6
Georgia St.Louisiana-16.9-16.7-17.0
PittsburghSyracuse11.911.711.5
Western Ky.Liberty11.29.411.4
TulaneNavy-1.60.6-0.5
DukeBoston College3.03.92.4
BaylorHouston4.35.96.0
MarshallAppalachian St.-2.0-1.4-4.3
Notre DameUSF24.324.626.1
North CarolinaCharlotte26.526.627.5
Georgia TechUCF-7.1-8.2-9.4
Ga. SouthernFla. Atlantic12.912.214.1
Middle Tenn.Troy-1.5-2.5-1.7
North TexasSMU-21.5-19.8-20.1
UL-MonroeTexas St.4.54.14.6
LouisvilleMiami (Fla.)11.29.110.0
Southern Miss.La. Tech3.42.50.9
NC St.Wake Forest-3.3-4.2-3.3

This Week’s FBS vs. FCS Games

FBSFCSPiRate
Coastal CarolinaCampbell22.3
CincinnatiAustin Peay27.4
UTSAS F Austin12.0
ClemsonCitadel47.5
Arkansas St.Cent. Arkansas11.8
UTEPAbilene Chr.-0.7

This Week’s PiRate, Mean, and Bias Ratings

#TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg.Conference
1Clemson123.7124.7127.6125.4ACC
2L S U123.2122.5125.8123.8SEC-W
3Alabama121.4122.3123.3122.3SEC-W
4Georgia121.1119.4121.9120.8SEC-E
5Florida119.7119.3120.8119.9SEC-E
6Auburn118.0116.6117.9117.5SEC-W
7Oklahoma117.1117.1117.3117.2B12
8Notre Dame117.2116.2117.2116.9ACC
9Texas116.3115.1116.4115.9B12
10Texas A&M115.7115.8115.9115.8SEC-W
11Oklahoma St.113.4112.8113.6113.3B12
12N. Carolina111.9112.4113.3112.5ACC
13Kentucky110.3110.5111.5110.8SEC-E
14Louisville110.7111.3109.7110.5ACC
15Virginia Tech109.2109.2111.3109.9ACC
16UCF109.2109.6110.5109.8AAC
17Tennessee109.1109.0109.6109.2SEC-E
18Cincinnati109.5108.3109.4109.1AAC
19S. Carolina109.3107.0108.7108.3SEC-E
20Memphis109.0107.7108.2108.3AAC
21Baylor108.0108.1108.2108.1B12
22Iowa St.107.9107.1107.5107.5B12
23Miss. St.106.7106.1108.4107.1SEC-W
24Virginia106.6106.1106.3106.4ACC
25BYU106.7105.2106.3106.1Ind.
26Louisiana106.2105.7106.2106.0SUN-W
27Florida St.105.5103.9105.4104.9ACC
28Pittsburgh103.9105.7104.1104.6ACC
29T C U105.0102.8105.1104.3B12
30Kansas St.104.2103.0104.1103.8B12
31Houston104.7103.2103.2103.7AAC
32Ole Miss104.1102.5103.8103.4SEC-W
33Appal. St.102.8101.9103.9102.9SUN-E
34Miami (Fla.)101.5104.1101.7102.4ACC
35W. Virginia101.4101.5101.5101.5B12
36Duke100.6101.3100.0100.6ACC
37SMU100.6100.199.6100.1AAC
38Georgia Tech100.699.999.6100.0ACC
39Missouri99.199.2100.399.5SEC-E
40Boston Coll.99.699.399.699.5ACC
41Wake Forest98.399.498.398.7ACC
42Marshall98.998.597.698.3CUSA
43Texas Tech97.296.097.496.9B12
44Navy98.196.196.096.7AAC
45W. Kentucky95.997.096.796.5CUSA
46Temple96.497.095.396.2AAC
47Tulsa97.695.795.196.1AAC
48Arkansas St.95.796.995.696.1SUN-W
49Florida Int’l.95.495.295.895.5CUSA
50Syracuse94.096.094.694.9ACC
51Arkansas94.795.892.494.3SEC-W
52Tulane94.594.793.694.3AAC
53Army93.295.393.293.9Ind.
54USF95.093.793.193.9AAC
55NC State93.593.793.693.6ACC
56Georgia Sou.92.793.794.093.5SUN-E
57U A B92.693.492.192.7CUSA
58Vanderbilt93.392.791.892.6SEC-E
59Coastal Car.91.892.492.292.1SUN-E
60E. Carolina92.192.690.991.9AAC
61Southern Miss.88.589.087.288.2CUSA
62Troy87.089.087.387.8SUN-E
63Georgia St.87.887.587.787.7SUN-E
64La. Tech86.588.087.787.4CUSA
65Liberty86.289.186.887.4Ind.
66Charlotte86.486.786.886.7CUSA
67Kansas86.386.585.086.0B12
68S. Alabama85.186.484.885.4SUN-W
69Rice86.284.285.685.3CUSA
70Middle Tenn.84.185.084.184.4CUSA
71Fla. Atlantic81.383.081.481.9CUSA
72UL-Monroe82.082.280.481.5SUN-W
73North Texas78.179.378.578.7CUSA
74Texas St.79.079.677.378.6SUN-W
75U T S A77.177.076.576.9CUSA
76U T E P63.466.063.064.1CUSA

By Conference

American Athletic Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
UCF109.2109.6110.5109.8
Cincinnati109.5108.3109.4109.1
Memphis109.0107.7108.2108.3
Houston104.7103.2103.2103.7
SMU100.6100.199.6100.1
Navy98.196.196.096.7
Temple96.497.095.396.2
Tulsa97.695.795.196.1
Tulane94.594.793.694.3
USF95.093.793.193.9
E. Carolina92.192.690.991.9
AAC Averages100.699.999.5100.0
Atlantic Coast Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
Clemson123.7124.7127.6125.4
Notre Dame117.2116.2117.2116.9
N. Carolina111.9112.4113.3112.5
Louisville110.7111.3109.7110.5
Virginia Tech109.2109.2111.3109.9
Virginia106.6106.1106.3106.4
Florida St.105.5103.9105.4104.9
Pittsburgh103.9105.7104.1104.6
Miami (Fla.)101.5104.1101.7102.4
Duke100.6101.3100.0100.6
Georgia Tech100.699.999.6100.0
Boston Coll.99.699.399.699.5
Wake Forest98.399.498.398.7
Syracuse94.096.094.694.9
NC State93.593.793.693.6
ACC Averages105.1105.6105.5105.4
Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
Oklahoma117.1117.1117.3117.2
Texas116.3115.1116.4115.9
Oklahoma St.113.4112.8113.6113.3
Baylor108.0108.1108.2108.1
Iowa St.107.9107.1107.5107.5
T C U105.0102.8105.1104.3
Kansas St.104.2103.0104.1103.8
W. Virginia101.4101.5101.5101.5
Texas Tech97.296.097.496.9
Kansas86.386.585.086.0
Big 12 Averages105.7105.0105.6105.4
Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
Marshall98.998.597.698.3
W. Kentucky95.997.096.796.5
Florida Int’l.95.495.295.895.5
U A B92.693.492.192.7
Southern Miss.88.589.087.288.2
La. Tech86.588.087.787.4
Charlotte86.486.786.886.7
Rice86.284.285.685.3
Middle Tenn.84.185.084.184.4
Fla. Atlantic81.383.081.481.9
North Texas78.179.378.578.7
U T S A77.177.076.576.9
U T E P63.466.063.064.1
CUSA Averages85.786.385.685.9
FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
BYU106.7105.2106.3106.1
Army93.295.393.293.9
Liberty86.289.186.887.4
Ind. Averages95.496.595.495.8
Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
Georgia121.1119.4121.9120.8
Florida119.7119.3120.8119.9
Kentucky110.3110.5111.5110.8
Tennessee109.1109.0109.6109.2
S. Carolina109.3107.0108.7108.3
Missouri99.199.2100.399.5
Vanderbilt93.392.791.892.6
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
L S U123.2122.5125.8123.8
Alabama121.4122.3123.3122.3
Auburn118.0116.6117.9117.5
Texas A&M115.7115.8115.9115.8
Miss. St.106.7106.1108.4107.1
Ole Miss104.1102.5103.8103.4
Arkansas94.795.892.494.3
SEC Averages110.4109.9110.9110.4
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
Appal. St.102.8101.9103.9102.9
Georgia Sou.92.793.794.093.5
Coastal Car.91.892.492.292.1
Troy87.089.087.387.8
Georgia St.87.887.587.787.7
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
Louisiana106.2105.7106.2106.0
Arkansas St.95.796.995.696.1
S. Alabama85.186.484.885.4
UL-Monroe82.082.280.481.5
Texas St.79.079.677.378.6
SBC Averages91.091.590.991.2

Conference Ratings

#LeagueAvg
1Southeastern110.4
2Big 12105.4
3Atlantic Coast105.4
4American100.0
5Independents95.8
6Sun Belt91.2
7Conference USA85.9

This Week’s TV Schedule

Friday, September 18
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
7:00 PMESPN3Coastal CarolinaCampbell
Saturday, September 19
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
12:00 PMFoxBaylorHouston
12:00 PMESPNOklahoma St.Tulsa
12:00 PMESPN3DukeBoston College
12:00 PMESPN2Georgia St.Louisiana
12:00 PMACCPittsburghSyracuse
12:00 PMABCTulaneNavy
12:00 PMESPNUWestern KentuckyLiberty
12:00 PMESPN+CincinnatiAustin Peay
1:30 PMCBSSNMarshallAppalachian St.
2:30 PMUSANotre DameSouth Florida
3:00 PMABCGeorgia TechCentral Florida
3:30 PMESPN3North CarolinaCharlotte
3:30 PMESPN3UTSAS. F. Austin
4:00 PMACCClemsonThe Citadel
4:00 PMESPN2Georgia SouthernFlorida Atlantic
4:00 PMESPNUMiddle TennesseeTroy
6:00 PMCBSSNNorth TexasSMU
7:00 PMESPN+LouisvilleMiami (Fla.)
7:30 PMABCArkansas St.Central Arkansas
7:30 PMESPNUUL MonroeTexas St.
8:00 PMACCNC StateWeake Forest
9:00 PMESPN3UTEPAbilene Christian
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