September 25, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football–September 29-October 1

Filed under: College Football — Tags: Alabama, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio St., Penn St., Rankings, spreads, USC, Washington — piratings @ 8:25 am

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
BYU	Utah St.	23.2	21.6	22.5
Houston	Tulane	3.1	2.8	4.0
Middle Tennessee	UTSA	-7.3	-4.7	-5.9
Boise St.	San Diego St.	7.3	6.6	7.5
UCLA	Washington	2.8	1.7	2.9
UNLV	New Mexico	10.7	8.5	11.9
Wisconsin	Illinois	11.3	10.1	12.1
Penn St.	Northwestern	25.1	23.9	26.9
Boston College	Louisville	-10.6	-8.3	-10.9
Coastal Carolina	Georgia Southern	7.7	9.5	9.5
Florida St.	Wake Forest	10.4	10.4	10.5
Army	Georgia St.	6.8	7.8	5.1
Clemson	North Carolina St.	4.5	5.3	5.0
Pittsburgh	Georgia Tech	25.8	25.1	26.4
Maryland	Michigan St.	1.3	2.5	3.0
Duke	Virginia	-8.9	-6.5	-9.5
North Carolina	Virginia Tech	11.6	11.3	13.6
Old Dominion	Liberty	-3.1	-4.6	-5.1
South Florida	East Carolina	-4.6	-5.5	-6.4
Central Florida	SMU	4.9	6.3	5.4
Ball St.	Northern Illinois	-10.9	-10.5	-11.2
Minnesota	Purdue	10.7	11.3	13.2
James Madison	Texas St.	16.2	17.1	20.4
Air Force	Navy	16.2	17.3	19.0
Baylor	Oklahoma St.	1.0	1.5	0.8
Kansas	Iowa St.	-2.7	-4.2	-5.4
Louisiana	South Alabama	1.9	1.4	1.8
Memphis	Temple	20.2	18.3	22.0
Tulsa	Cincinnati	-12.1	-12.1	-13.4
Eastern Michigan	Massachusetts	16.6	16.8	19.3
Utah	Oregon St.	10.3	9.9	11.4
New Mexico St.	Florida Int’l.	15.6	14.9	16.9
Washington St.	California	6.4	6.9	6.1
Arizona	Colorado	7.8	9.5	8.8
USC	Arizona St.	13.9	14.9	14.5
Oregon	Stanford	14.5	16.4	15.9
Ole Miss	Kentucky	7.2	4.8	4.6
Kansas St.	Texas Tech	7.5	7.6	6.3
Ohio St.	Rutgers	33.0	32.4	37.0
Mississippi St.	Texas A&M	6.3	3.8	3.6
TCU	Oklahoma	-3.8	-4.1	-4.6
Iowa	Michigan	-7.4	-7.3	-9.0
Texas	West Virginia	8.8	7.9	9.1
Auburn	LSU	-6.0	-6.8	-7.1
Arkansas	Alabama	-12.9	-13.7	-13.9
Missouri	Georgia	-28.2	-26.3	-30.6
Toledo	Central Michigan	3.4	2.6	2.2
Buffalo	Miami (O)	-4.3	-4.5	-4.8
Connecticut	Fresno St.	-20.6	-19.0	-24.0
Akron	Bowling Green	-9.0	-7.2	-8.8
Kent St.	Ohio	9.2	9.2	8.3
Arkansas St.	Louisiana-Monroe	3.1	4.4	4.4
North Texas	Florida Atlantic	-3.1	-5.3	-2.2
Charlotte	UTEP	-4.4	-3.3	-4.9
Nebraska	Indiana	3.5	4.0	4.8
Western Kentucky	Troy	11.6	11.1	12.3
Rice	UAB	-11.9	-12.4	-13.9
Wyoming	San Jose St.	-0.9	0.7	-0.8

FBS vs. FCS Spreads

FBS	FCS	PiRate
Appalachian St.	The Citadel	32.4
Florida	Eastern Washington	27.4
Marshall	Gardner-Webb	27.7
Western Michigan	New Hampshire	20.4
South Carolina	South Carolina St.	32.5
Syracuse	Wagner	51.0

Teams With A Bye This Week

Colorado St.

Hawaii

Louisiana Tech

Miami (Fla.)

Nevada

Notre Dame

Southern Miss.

Tennessee

Vanderbilt

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	132.8
2	Alabama	131.3
3	Ohio St.	130.9
4	Michigan	123.9
5	Minnesota	121.3
6	Clemson	118.5
7	Oklahoma	118.3
8	Tennessee	117.7
9	Penn St.	117.6
10	Utah	117.0
11	Oklahoma St.	116.8
12	NC State	116.6
13	L S U	115.3
14	Ole Miss	115.1
15	Wisconsin	115.0
16	Baylor	114.9
17	Arkansas	114.8
18	Pittsburgh	114.0
19	Florida St.	113.9
20	Mississippi St.	113.8
21	Iowa	113.0
22	Oregon	113.0
23	Purdue	112.6
24	Cincinnati	112.6
25	Kentucky	112.5
26	U S C	112.5
27	Notre Dame	112.5
28	Texas A&M	112.2
29	Texas	112.2
30	Kansas St.	112.0
31	Michigan St.	111.9
32	T C U	111.6
33	Maryland	111.1
34	Miami (Fla.)	110.3
35	BYU	110.2
36	Louisville	109.9
37	Washington	109.6
38	Oregon St.	109.5
39	Iowa St.	109.4
40	U C L A	109.1
41	Syracuse	107.9
42	Texas Tech	107.8
43	South Carolina	107.4
44	West Virginia	106.6
45	UCF	106.5
46	Wake Forest	106.5
47	Florida	106.4
48	North Carolina	106.2
49	Illinois	105.9
50	Auburn	105.6
51	SMU	104.0
52	Washington St.	103.6
53	Air Force	103.4
54	Kansas	102.3
55	W. Kentucky	102.1
56	Fresno St.	101.9
57	Houston	101.5
58	Missouri	101.4
59	Virginia	101.4
60	Arizona St.	101.1
61	Tulane	100.7
62	Nebraska	100.6
63	Stanford	100.4
64	California	100.1
65	East Carolina	100.0
66	Rutgers	99.8
67	Indiana	99.5
68	Boise St.	99.3
69	U A B	99.1
70	Army	98.6
71	Appalachian St.	98.6
72	Memphis	98.0
73	Boston College	97.4
74	Virginia Tech	97.1
75	Tulsa	97.0
76	Coastal Carolina	96.9
77	U T S A	96.8
78	Liberty	96.8
79	James Madison	96.6
80	N. Illinois	96.4
81	Northwestern	95.3
82	San Diego St.	95.2
83	Arizona	95.2
84	Marshall	94.8
85	Georgia St.	94.5
86	Toledo	94.5
87	Central Mich.	94.3
88	Miami (Ohio)	93.8
89	Vanderbilt	93.7
90	Troy	93.0
91	South Alabama	92.9
92	Louisiana	92.7
93	U N L V	92.1
94	USF	92.0
95	Kent St.	91.5
96	San Jose St.	91.3
97	Georgia Tech	91.2
98	Duke	90.6
99	Old Dominion	90.5
100	Ga. Southern	90.5
101	Western Mich.	90.3
102	Florida Atlantic	90.2
103	Southern Miss.	90.1
104	Colorado	89.5
105	Utah St.	89.3
106	Navy	88.9
107	Middle Tennessee	88.3
108	Wyoming	87.9
109	Buffalo	86.7
110	U T E P	86.6
111	Bowling Green	86.4
112	Eastern Mich.	85.6
113	Nevada	85.4
114	Arkansas St.	85.1
115	Ohio	85.1
116	New Mexico	84.2
117	North Texas	84.2
118	Rice	83.9
119	UL-Monroe	83.6
120	Ball St.	83.6
121	Colorado St.	81.6
122	Texas St.	81.2
123	Louisiana Tech	81.0
124	Temple	80.9
125	Charlotte	79.8
126	Connecticut	77.7
127	Akron	76.0
128	New Mexico St.	75.2
129	Hawaii	71.2
130	Massachusetts	70.6
131	Florida Int’l.	61.9

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	112.2	111.7	113.8	112.6
UCF	106.1	106.8	106.7	106.5
SMU	104.3	103.4	104.3	104.0
Houston	101.7	100.8	102.0	101.5
Tulane	101.1	100.5	100.5	100.7
East Carolina	99.9	99.5	100.6	100.0
Memphis	98.0	98.3	97.7	98.0
Tulsa	97.2	96.6	97.3	97.0
USF	92.8	91.5	91.7	92.0
Navy	89.7	88.8	88.2	88.9
Temple	80.8	83.0	78.7	80.9

AAC	98.5	98.2	98.3	98.4

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	118.5	118.3	118.8	118.5
NC State	117.0	116.0	116.8	116.6
Florida St.	114.1	113.8	113.9	113.9
Louisville	110.6	109.5	109.6	109.9
Syracuse	108.7	107.6	107.3	107.9
Wake Forest	106.7	106.4	106.4	106.5
Boston College	97.4	98.7	96.2	97.4

Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	114.9	113.8	113.4	114.0
Miami (Fla.)	110.8	109.6	110.4	110.3
North Carolina	106.3	106.4	106.1	106.2
Virginia	102.0	102.0	100.2	101.4
Virginia Tech	97.7	98.0	95.5	97.1
Georgia Tech	92.1	91.7	90.0	91.2
Duke	90.6	93.0	88.2	90.6

ACC	106.2	106.0	105.2	105.8

Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma	118.7	117.7	118.6	118.3
Oklahoma St.	117.4	115.9	117.2	116.8
Baylor	115.4	114.4	115.0	114.9
Texas	112.9	111.8	111.8	112.2
Kansas St.	112.7	111.4	111.9	112.0
T C U	112.4	111.1	111.5	111.6
Iowa St.	109.3	109.3	109.5	109.4
Texas Tech	108.1	106.8	108.6	107.8
West Virginia	107.1	106.9	105.7	106.6
Kansas	103.7	102.1	101.1	102.3

Big 12	111.7	110.7	111.1	111.2

Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	131.2	129.7	132.0	130.9
Michigan	124.4	123.2	124.2	123.9
Penn St.	117.7	117.7	117.6	117.6
Michigan St.	112.9	111.7	111.1	111.9
Maryland	111.2	111.2	111.1	111.1
Rutgers	101.1	100.3	98.0	99.8
Indiana	100.7	99.9	98.0	99.5

West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Minnesota	121.3	120.8	121.7	121.3
Wisconsin	115.5	114.9	114.6	115.0
Iowa	114.0	112.9	112.2	113.0
Purdue	113.6	112.5	111.5	112.6
Illinois	106.3	106.9	104.6	105.9
Nebraska	101.2	100.9	99.8	100.6
Northwestern	95.6	96.7	93.7	95.3

Big Ten	111.9	111.4	110.7	111.3

Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
W. Kentucky	101.3	101.4	103.7	102.1
U A B	98.5	98.7	100.1	99.1
U T S A	97.3	95.9	97.2	96.8
Florida Atlantic	89.8	91.1	89.8	90.2
Middle Tennessee	87.5	88.7	88.8	88.3
U T E P	86.7	86.3	86.6	86.6
North Texas	84.2	83.3	85.1	84.2
Rice	84.1	83.8	83.7	83.9
Louisiana Tech	80.9	82.2	79.7	81.0
Charlotte	79.7	80.5	79.3	79.8
Florida Int’l.	61.6	64.2	59.9	61.9

CUSA	86.5	86.9	86.7	86.7

FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	112.9	111.3	113.2	112.5
BYU	110.8	109.2	110.6	110.2
Army	98.4	98.8	98.7	98.6
Liberty	95.6	97.2	97.5	96.8
Connecticut	78.2	79.1	75.8	77.7
New Mexico St.	74.7	76.6	74.3	75.2
Massachusetts	71.3	71.8	68.6	70.6

Independents	91.7	92.0	91.2	91.6

Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	92.1	94.7	94.5	93.8
Kent St.	90.6	92.8	91.1	91.5
Buffalo	85.3	87.7	87.2	86.7
Bowling Green	87.0	85.9	86.2	86.4
Ohio	83.9	86.0	85.3	85.1
Akron	76.0	76.7	75.4	76.0

West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
N. Illinois	96.2	96.6	96.5	96.4
Toledo	93.7	94.7	95.2	94.5
Central Mich.	92.8	94.6	95.5	94.3
Western Mich.	89.8	90.6	90.5	90.3
Eastern Mich.	85.4	86.0	85.4	85.6
Ball St.	83.3	84.2	83.3	83.6

MAC	88.0	89.2	88.8	88.7

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Air Force	102.9	103.1	104.3	103.4
Boise St.	99.5	98.5	99.9	99.3
Utah St.	89.1	89.1	89.6	89.3
Wyoming	86.7	88.9	88.2	87.9
New Mexico	84.5	84.8	83.4	84.2
Colorado St.	81.4	82.2	81.4	81.6

West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	101.8	101.1	102.8	101.9
San Diego St.	95.2	94.9	95.4	95.2
U N L V	92.6	90.7	92.9	92.1
San Jose St.	90.6	91.2	92.0	91.3
Nevada	84.9	86.6	84.8	85.4
Hawaii	70.7	71.9	71.1	71.2

MWC	90.0	90.2	90.5	90.2

Pac-12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	116.8	115.9	118.5	117.0
Oregon	113.4	112.8	112.8	113.0
U S C	111.9	112.5	113.1	112.5
Washington	108.9	109.8	110.2	109.6
Oregon St.	109.4	108.9	110.1	109.5
U C L A	108.7	108.6	110.1	109.1
Washington St.	103.0	103.7	104.0	103.6
Arizona St.	101.0	100.6	101.6	101.1
Stanford	101.9	99.4	99.9	100.4
California	99.6	99.8	101.0	100.1
Arizona	95.3	95.1	95.1	95.2
Colorado	90.5	88.6	89.3	89.5

Pac-12	105.0	104.6	105.5	105.0

Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	132.8	131.4	134.2	132.8
Tennessee	117.5	117.6	117.9	117.7
Kentucky	111.9	112.6	113.1	112.5
South Carolina	107.7	106.9	107.5	107.4
Florida	105.8	107.3	106.2	106.4
Missouri	101.6	102.0	100.6	101.4
Vanderbilt	93.9	94.7	92.4	93.7

West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	131.1	130.3	132.4	131.3
L S U	115.7	115.0	115.1	115.3
Ole Miss	116.2	114.4	114.7	115.1
Arkansas	115.2	113.6	115.5	114.8
Mississippi St.	114.7	113.2	113.5	113.8
Texas A&M	111.4	112.3	112.9	112.2
Auburn	106.7	105.2	105.0	105.6

SEC	113.0	112.6	112.9	112.9

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Appalachian St.	97.2	98.8	99.6	98.6
Coastal Carolina	95.6	97.1	97.9	96.9
James Madison	94.3	96.3	99.2	96.6
Marshall	94.4	95.3	94.7	94.8
Georgia St.	94.1	93.4	96.1	94.5
Old Dominion	90.5	90.6	90.4	90.5
Ga. Southern	90.4	90.1	90.9	90.5

West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Troy	92.2	92.8	93.9	93.0
South Alabama	92.1	92.8	93.9	92.9
Louisiana	92.0	92.2	93.7	92.7
Southern Miss.	89.7	90.3	90.3	90.1
Arkansas St.	84.3	85.8	85.2	85.1
UL-Monroe	83.7	83.9	83.3	83.6
Texas St.	80.6	81.7	81.3	81.2

Sun Belt	90.8	91.5	92.2	91.5

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	112.9
2	Big Ten	111.3
3	Big 12	111.2
4	Atlantic Coast	105.8
5	Pac-12	105.0
6	American Athletic	98.4
7	Independents	91.6
8	Sun Belt	91.5
9	Mountain West	90.2
10	Mid-American	88.7
11	Conference USA	86.7

Coming In October

As October leads the College Football worlds into mostly conference play, it’s time to start looking ahead at the Playoffs and Bowl Projections. The PiRates do it a bit differently from others. We don’t make our projections based on what each team has done to the present time, like most others. We first forecast the rest of the season and then make our projections based on what we believe the standings will be. Additionally, we plan to do our best to explain the inexact rules for where teams can go. No longer can you look and see who will finish 3rd in a conference and then know where the 3rd place team is automatically slotted to go bowling. It’s more like the 1960’s, where the bowls can choose which teams they want with the help of the conferences that have the tie-ins. In the case of many bowls, multiple conferences can be in the mix, and ESPN can steer the teams into the bowls they want them to appear so as to attempt to get their maximum TV ratings.

This Week’s Playoff Projections

1.) Alabama

2.) Ohio State

3.) Georgia

4.) USC

Top Group of 5 (For The Cotton Bowl Bid)

1.) Cincinnati

2.) Central Florida

3.) Coastal Carolina

4.) Air Force

5.) Middle Tennessee

Comments (2)

September 11, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football–September 16-17, 2022

Filed under: College Football — Tags: Alabama, BYU, Clemson, Georgia, Michigan, Ohio St., Oklahoma, September 17, spreads, USC — piratings @ 8:28 am

This Week’s Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Louisville	Florida St.	-0.5	-1.1	-0.9
Wyoming	Air Force	-17.9	-15.3	-18.2
Miami (O)	Cincinnati	-18.8	-15.0	-17.7
Michigan	Connecticut	48.7	45.9	51.5
Syracuse	Purdue	-5.1	-4.9	-4.3
Temple	Rutgers	-22.8	-19.7	-22.5
Baylor	Texas St.	37.5	35.2	36.0
Indiana	Western Kentucky	6.6	6.2	0.9
South Carolina	Georgia	-20.7	-19.7	-22.6
Nebraska	Oklahoma	-11.5	-10.6	-12.9
Coastal Carolina	Buffalo	13.5	12.4	14.2
Iowa St.	Ohio	28.0	25.4	26.3
New Mexico	UTEP	0.7	1.5	-0.5
Virginia	Old Dominion	13.9	14.0	11.9
UCLA	South Alabama	22.1	21.5	22.2
Notre Dame	California	18.1	16.1	17.2
UNLV	North Texas	4.8	3.4	3.5
Kansas St.	Tulane	15.0	14.2	14.7
Wisconsin	New Mexico St.	43.9	41.0	43.3
Auburn	Penn St.	-2.8	-4.2	-3.6
Northern Illinois	Vanderbilt	5.5	4.8	7.8
Minnesota	Colorado	23.5	24.8	25.1
Georgia Tech	Ole Miss	-16.4	-14.6	-16.8
Oregon	BYU	0.8	2.1	-0.1
UAB	Georgia Southern	10.2	10.8	11.2
Appalachian St.	Troy	10.1	11.8	11.6
Houston	Kansas	6.4	8.0	10.7
Alabama	UL-Monroe	49.5	48.0	51.7
Washington St.	Colorado St.	19.2	19.0	19.8
Wake Forest	Liberty	14.6	12.1	11.4
Bowling Green	Marshall	-6.3	-8.9	-7.8
LSU	Mississippi St.	1.2	2.0	1.4
Ohio St.	Toledo	34.5	31.1	33.1
Tennessee	Akron	43.5	42.8	44.5
Georgia St.	Charlotte	23.6	21.6	26.8
North Carolina St.	Texas Tech	12.5	13.0	12.2
Memphis	Arkansas St.	16.6	15.5	15.8
Florida Atlantic	Central Florida	-13.9	-12.8	-14.2
Florida	South Florida	13.9	17.3	15.5
Maryland	SMU	8.8	9.7	8.0
Washington	Michigan St.	-10.1	-7.8	-6.8
Western Michigan	Pittsburgh	-20.1	-17.6	-16.9
Iowa	Nevada	31.1	27.4	28.9
Rice	Lousiana	-13.9	-15.0	-17.6
Texas	UTSA	18.3	18.7	17.2
Clemson	Louisiana Tech	41.9	40.3	44.2
Texas A&M	Miami (Fla.)	-2.6	0.1	-1.0
Utah	San Diego St.	23.6	22.3	25.0
USC	Fresno St.	9.1	10.4	8.7
Arizona St.	Eastern Michigan	21.7	20.9	23.0

FBS vs. FCS Games

FBS	FCS	PiRate
Arizona	North Dakota St.	3.3
Arkansas	Missouri St.	31.3
Army	Villanova	11.8
Ball St.	Murray St.	21.6
Boise St.	UT-Martin	24.3
Boston College	Maine	27.1
Central Michigan	Bucknell	37.3
Duke	North Carolina A&T	25.4
East Carolina	Campbell	30.4
Hawaii	Duquesne	12.0
Kent St.	Long Island	28.8
Kentucky	Youngstown St.	33.7
Massachusetts	Stony Brook	-1.0
Middle Tennessee	Tennessee St.	24.6
Missouri	Abilene Christian	28.4
Northwestern	Southern Illinois	18.6
Oklahoma St.	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	54.3
Oregon St.	Montana St.	18.3
Southern Miss.	Northwestern St.	25.4
Tulsa	Jacksonville St.	20.5
Virginia Tech	Wofford	31.2
West Virginia	Towson St.	32.6

Teams With Bye Weeks

Navy

North Carolina

TCU

Illinois

Florida Int’l.

Utah St.

San Jose St.

Stanford

James Madison

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	133.2
2	Alabama	129.1
3	Ohio St.	126.6
4	Michigan	124.0
5	Clemson	120.5
6	Oklahoma	118.5
7	Michigan St.	117.6
8	NC State	117.1
9	Tennessee	117.0
10	Oklahoma St.	116.4
11	Utah	116.1
12	Arkansas	115.8
13	Purdue	115.7
14	Penn St.	115.6
15	Miami (Fla.)	115.5
16	Wisconsin	115.3
17	Mississippi St.	114.9
18	Baylor	114.6
19	Minnesota	114.5
20	Pittsburgh	114.1
21	Kentucky	113.6
22	L S U	113.5
23	BYU	113.0
24	Ole Miss	113.0
25	Iowa	112.5
26	Texas	112.3
27	Notre Dame	112.2
28	Florida St.	112.2
29	Kansas St.	112.0
30	Cincinnati	111.9
31	Texas A&M	111.4
32	Oregon	111.0
33	T C U	110.4
34	Maryland	110.1
35	U S C	109.9
36	U C L A	109.4
37	Iowa St.	109.3
38	South Carolina	109.2
39	Auburn	109.1
40	Oregon St.	108.6
41	Louisville	108.3
42	Syracuse	107.9
43	Texas Tech	107.5
44	North Carolina	107.4
45	Florida	107.0
46	Wake Forest	106.8
47	Washington	106.3
48	UCF	105.2
49	Illinois	105.2
50	Arizona St.	105.1
51	Houston	105.0
52	Air Force	104.6
53	SMU	104.3
54	Boise St.	104.1
55	Nebraska	103.8
56	West Virginia	103.5
57	Fresno St.	103.5
58	Missouri	102.0
59	Rutgers	101.9
60	Washington St.	101.9
61	Virginia	101.7
62	East Carolina	101.4
63	Stanford	101.1
64	Indiana	100.4
65	Tulane	100.3
66	Appalachian St.	100.2
67	Virginia Tech	100.0
68	Kansas	99.7
69	Georgia St.	99.5
70	Boston College	99.2
71	Northwestern	98.9
72	U A B	98.7
73	Memphis	98.5
74	W. Kentucky	98.3
75	California	98.1
76	Louisiana	98.0
77	U T S A	97.3
78	Army	97.2
79	N. Illinois	97.1
80	Toledo	96.7
81	Liberty	96.6
82	Arizona	96.3
83	Marshall	96.3
84	San Diego St.	95.5
85	Tulsa	94.9
86	James Madison	94.8
87	Georgia Tech	94.0
88	Coastal Carolina	93.8
89	Vanderbilt	93.6
90	USF	93.4
91	Western Mich.	93.4
92	Colorado	93.1
93	Central Mich.	93.0
94	Miami (Ohio)	92.8
95	Troy	91.5
96	Ga. Southern	90.5
97	South Alabama	90.4
98	Old Dominion	90.4
99	Utah St.	90.0
100	Florida Atlantic	89.6
101	Duke	89.4
102	U N L V	88.4
103	Kent St.	88.3
104	San Jose St.	88.1
105	Navy	87.0
106	North Texas	87.0
107	Southern Miss.	86.6
108	Nevada	86.4
109	Eastern Mich.	86.2
110	Bowling Green	86.2
111	Ohio	85.8
112	Colorado St.	85.5
113	U T E P	85.1
114	Wyoming	84.9
115	Arkansas St.	84.5
116	Middle Tennessee	84.0
117	Ball St.	83.4
118	Buffalo	83.4
119	New Mexico	83.2
120	UL-Monroe	82.4
121	Louisiana Tech	81.4
122	Texas St.	80.9
123	Rice	79.9
124	Connecticut	78.3
125	Temple	78.3
126	Charlotte	78.0
127	Akron	76.4
128	New Mexico St.	75.5
129	Hawaii	72.6
130	Massachusetts	71.5
131	Florida Int’l.	65.3

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	111.7	110.8	113.3	111.9
UCF	104.9	105.4	105.4	105.2
Houston	104.8	104.3	106.0	105.0
SMU	104.4	103.6	104.8	104.3
East Carolina	101.1	100.8	102.2	101.4
Tulane	100.8	100.1	100.1	100.3
Memphis	98.4	98.8	98.3	98.5
Tulsa	95.1	94.5	95.1	94.9
USF	94.4	92.8	93.2	93.4
Navy	88.0	87.0	86.1	87.0
Temple	78.3	80.7	75.8	78.3

AAC	98.4	98.1	98.2	98.2

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	120.3	120.2	121.1	120.5
NC State	117.4	116.4	117.5	117.1
Florida St.	112.6	112.0	112.0	112.2
Louisville	109.1	107.9	108.1	108.3
Syracuse	108.7	107.6	107.4	107.9
Wake Forest	107.2	106.7	106.6	106.8
Boston College	99.0	100.6	98.0	99.2

Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Fla.)	116.1	114.7	115.8	115.5
Pittsburgh	115.2	113.9	113.3	114.1
North Carolina	107.3	107.6	107.3	107.4
Virginia	102.3	102.4	100.3	101.7
Virginia Tech	100.5	101.0	98.4	100.0
Georgia Tech	94.8	94.6	92.8	94.0
Duke	89.4	92.0	86.8	89.4

ACC	107.1	107.0	106.1	106.7

Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma	118.8	117.8	118.9	118.5
Oklahoma St.	117.0	115.5	116.8	116.4
Baylor	115.3	114.0	114.5	114.6
Texas	113.0	112.1	111.9	112.3
Kansas St.	112.8	111.3	111.8	112.0
T C U	111.4	109.9	110.1	110.4
Iowa St.	109.3	109.2	109.5	109.3
Texas Tech	107.9	106.4	108.3	107.5
West Virginia	104.1	103.7	102.6	103.5
Kansas	101.4	99.3	98.4	99.7

Big 12	111.1	109.9	110.3	110.4

Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	127.2	125.2	127.6	126.6
Michigan	124.5	123.0	124.5	124.0
Michigan St.	118.6	117.4	116.7	117.6
Penn St.	115.8	115.7	115.4	115.6
Maryland	110.2	110.3	109.9	110.1
Rutgers	103.1	102.4	100.3	101.9
Indiana	101.6	101.0	98.6	100.4

West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Purdue	116.7	115.5	114.7	115.7
Wisconsin	115.8	115.1	114.8	115.3
Minnesota	114.6	114.0	115.0	114.5
Iowa	113.7	112.2	111.7	112.5
Illinois	105.6	106.2	103.9	105.2
Nebraska	104.3	104.2	103.0	103.8
Northwestern	99.2	100.3	97.1	98.9

Big Ten	112.2	111.6	110.9	111.6

Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U A B	98.1	98.3	99.7	98.7
W. Kentucky	97.5	97.3	100.2	98.3
U T S A	97.7	96.3	97.7	97.3
Florida Atlantic	89.0	90.6	89.2	89.6
North Texas	86.9	86.1	88.0	87.0
U T E P	85.2	84.8	85.2	85.1
Middle Tennessee	83.2	84.4	84.5	84.0
Louisiana Tech	81.4	82.9	79.9	81.4
Rice	80.5	79.9	79.4	79.9
Charlotte	77.8	78.9	77.2	78.0
Florida Int’l.	65.0	67.8	63.2	65.3

CUSA	85.7	86.1	85.9	85.9

FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Average	Average
BYU	113.6	111.7	113.7	113.0
Notre Dame	112.8	110.9	113.0	112.2
Army	97.0	97.4	97.3	97.2
Liberty	95.2	97.1	97.6	96.6
Connecticut	78.8	80.0	76.1	78.3
New Mexico St.	75.0	77.1	74.5	75.5
Massachusetts	72.2	72.6	69.7	71.5

Independents	92.1	92.4	91.7	92.1

Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	90.9	93.8	93.6	92.8
Kent St.	87.4	89.7	87.7	88.3
Bowling Green	86.9	85.6	86.0	86.2
Ohio	84.4	86.8	86.1	85.8
Buffalo	82.0	84.6	83.7	83.4
Akron	76.4	77.1	75.7	76.4

West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
N. Illinois	96.9	97.2	97.3	97.1
Toledo	95.7	97.0	97.5	96.7
Western Mich.	92.6	93.8	93.9	93.4
Central Mich.	91.4	93.3	94.2	93.0
Eastern Mich.	86.1	86.6	85.8	86.2
Ball St.	83.1	84.2	83.1	83.4

MAC	87.8	89.1	88.7	88.6

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Air Force	104.1	104.0	105.6	104.6
Boise St.	104.2	103.2	104.8	104.1
Utah St.	89.7	89.9	90.4	90.0
Colorado St.	85.2	86.1	85.4	85.5
Wyoming	83.7	86.2	84.9	84.9
New Mexico	83.4	83.9	82.2	83.2

West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	103.3	102.6	104.5	103.5
San Diego St.	95.4	95.3	95.6	95.5
U N L V	89.2	86.9	89.0	88.4
San Jose St.	87.6	88.0	88.8	88.1
Nevada	85.7	87.8	85.8	86.4
Hawaii	72.0	73.3	72.7	72.6

MWC	90.3	90.6	90.8	90.6

Pac-12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	116.0	114.7	117.6	116.1
Oregon	111.4	110.9	110.6	111.0
U S C	109.4	110.0	110.2	109.9
U C L A	108.9	108.8	110.5	109.4
Oregon St.	108.5	108.0	109.4	108.6
Washington	105.5	106.6	106.9	106.3
Arizona St.	104.8	104.6	105.8	105.1
Washington St.	101.4	102.0	102.2	101.9
Stanford	102.6	100.0	100.6	101.1
California	97.6	97.8	98.8	98.1
Arizona	96.4	96.3	96.3	96.3
Colorado	94.1	92.2	92.9	93.1

Pac-12	104.7	104.3	105.2	104.7

Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	133.2	131.5	134.8	133.2
Tennessee	116.9	116.8	117.2	117.0
Kentucky	112.8	113.6	114.3	113.6
South Carolina	109.6	108.8	109.2	109.2
Florida	106.2	108.1	106.7	107.0
Missouri	102.2	102.6	101.0	102.0
Vanderbilt	93.9	94.9	92.0	93.6

West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	129.1	127.9	130.4	129.1
Arkansas	116.3	114.5	116.7	115.8
Mississippi St.	115.9	114.3	114.7	114.9
L S U	114.1	113.2	113.1	113.5
Ole Miss	114.2	112.2	112.6	113.0
Texas A&M	110.5	111.8	111.8	111.4
Auburn	110.0	108.5	108.7	109.1

SEC	113.2	112.8	113.1	113.0

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Appalachian St.	98.6	100.5	101.3	100.2
Georgia St.	98.9	98.0	101.5	99.5
Marshall	95.6	97.0	96.3	96.3
James Madison	92.5	94.4	97.4	94.8
Coastal Carolina	92.5	94.0	94.8	93.8
Ga. Southern	90.5	90.0	91.0	90.5
Old Dominion	90.4	90.4	90.4	90.4

West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisiana	96.9	97.4	99.5	98.0
Troy	91.0	91.2	92.3	91.5
South Alabama	89.7	90.2	91.3	90.4
Southern Miss.	86.2	86.9	86.8	86.6
Arkansas St.	83.8	85.3	84.5	84.5
UL-Monroe	82.6	82.9	81.7	82.4
Texas St.	80.2	81.4	81.0	80.9

Sun Belt	90.7	91.4	92.1	91.4

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	113.0
2	Big Ten	111.6
3	Big 12	110.4
4	Atlantic Coast	106.7
5	Pac-12	104.7
6	American Athletic	98.2
7	Independents	92.1
8	Sun Belt	91.4
9	Mountain West	90.6
10	Mid-American	88.6
11	Conference USA	85.9

A Tale of Two Conferences

In the mid 1990’s, Conference USA formed when the old Metro Conference dissolved. The league was founded to combine two former basketball conferences into a Midwestern league. At the time, it also had some rather successful football teams. Cincinnati, Louisville, South Florida, Southern Miss., UAB, Memphis, Tulane, Houston, East Carolina, and Army were all early members of the new league. Then, TCU joined and had a top 5 season in the early 2000’s. The league saw early success, and with that, the Big East raided CUSA and took Cincinnati, Louisville, and South Florida. Seeing the writing on the wall, TCU bolted for the Mountain West, where an incredible rivalry with Boise State ensued. CUSA then expanded with new members, making the league quite relevant, as the new teams provided numerous upsets over Power Conference opponents. Central Florida, SMU, Tulsa, Rice, UTEP, and Marshall joined the league and all found some successful seasons. Then, the American Athletic Conference formed, and once again, CUSA lost some significant teams in Memphis, Tulane, Houston, Central Florida, SMU, and Tulsa.

The Sun Belt Conference began as a basketball league back in the mid-1970’s, and in its early years, the league jumped over many others in the Low and Mid-Major area. There was a year where four SBC teams made the NCAA Tournament. The league saw teams come and go, as it struggled financially. They even kicked New Orleans out of the conference because the Privateers did not have a Division 1 level gymnasium.

The Sun Belt decided to sponsor football beginning in the early part of this century. Almost annually, the makeup of the league changed. Teams as far west as Utah State and Idaho joined the conference at times, as they played in the same league with teams from Florida. When Western Kentucky and Middle Tennessee State, North Texas, and UAB all left the Sun Belt for CUSA in a matter of a couple of seasons, it looked like CUSA would force the SBC back to a basketball conference, while CUSA continued to thrive with some respectable programs.

Then, something happened. About the time that the SEC was becoming a super league and superior to all others, and all their member schools began recruiting nationally instead of regionally, a lot of really good Southeastern recruits started to lose out to the elite 5-star and high 4-star talents from all over America. These low 4-star and 3-star players had once filled SEC rosters, but now they needed to find other schools. Many of them chose to stay near their homes, and that mean Sun Belt Conference schools.

Schools like Troy, Georgia Southern, and what was still known as Louisiana-Lafayette started getting players that used to go to Alabama, Auburn, Georgia, and LSU. The addition of Appalachian State, Coastal Carolina, and Georgia State to the league as they moved to FBS brought some solid former FCS programs that further strengthened this league. All of a sudden, the SBC passed CUSA, and it was CUSA that almost died when the 2021 expansion routlette began. Texas and Oklahoma decided to leave the Big 12 for the SEC, so the Big 12 robbed the AAC of its three best schools, and then the AAC robbed CUSA of its largest market schools. Three schools, Marshall, Old Dominion, and Southern Miss quickly petitioned the Sun Belt for admission and were fast-tracked. Then the league found a real diamond in the rough in James Madison. Meanwhile, CUSA had to look for crumbs just to survive. They secured markers for FCS schools Jacksonville State and Sam Houston, and then added Liberty and New Mexico State as future members. It was almost too late, because both Western Kentucky and Middle Tennessee came very close to leaving for the Mid-American Conference.

In just five or six years, the Sun Belt rose from weakeast FBS league by far to possibly the strongest. Once Cincinnati, Houston, and Central Florida leave the American, the SBC should be better than the new AAC with CUSA teams. It has already passed the Mountain West. Meanwhile, Conference USA football as a whole might not be as strong as the FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference once the league is reduced to ashes by the departures of its top markets.

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September 6, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football For September 9-10, 2022

Filed under: College Football — Tags: Alabama, Clemson, Georgia, Michigan, Ohio St., Oklahoma, September 10, spreads, Texas, USC — piratings @ 4:58 am

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Central Florida	Louisville	-0.4	1.7	1.7
New Mexico	Boise St.	-17.8	-16.0	-19.8
Ohio St.	Arkansas St.	48.8	45.1	48.9
Georgia St.	North Carolina	-5.8	-7.1	-2.7
Penn St.	Ohio	34.3	31.0	31.2
Army	UTSA	2.7	4.9	3.4
Miami (Fla.)	Southern Miss.	34.5	32.4	33.8
Northwestern	Duke	17.8	16.3	18.8
Kansas St.	Missouri	10.4	8.8	10.3
Arkansas	South Carolina	9.1	7.7	9.5
Texas	Alabama	-15.6	-15.5	-18.8
Vanderbilt	Wake Forest	-8.4	-6.4	-9.5
Central Michigan	South Alabama	9.0	10.8	11.0
Ball St.	Western Michigan	-7.0	-7.2	-8.5
Notre Dame	Marshall	28.3	25.1	27.8
Charlotte	Maryland	-29.2	-27.9	-29.2
Pittsburgh	Tennessee	1.5	0.2	-0.7
Navy	Memphis	-3.2	-4.2	-4.4
Air Force	Colorado	7.3	9.1	9.8
Texas A&M	Appalachian St.	20.0	19.6	18.8
Wisconsin	Washington St.	22.3	21.0	20.5
Colorado St.	Middle Tennessee	10.1	9.9	9.2
Michigan St.	Akron	44.3	41.8	42.4
Illinois	Virginia	3.1	3.4	2.7
California	UNLV	11.8	14.7	13.6
Texas Tech	Houston	5.9	4.9	5.1
Iowa	Iowa St.	8.7	7.2	6.5
East Carolina	Old Dominion	12.6	12.1	13.5
West Virginia	Kansas	6.8	8.9	9.1
Liberty	UAB	-1.7	0.1	-1.2
Florida	Kentucky	-2.2	-1.1	-2.8
Toledo	Massachusetts	21.1	21.9	25.6
Connecticut	Syracuse	-26.3	-23.5	-27.7
Oklahoma	Kent St.	35.0	31.4	35.0
Louisiana	Eastern Michigan	10.4	10.2	13.3
Tulsa	Northern Illinois	1.0	-0.1	0.4
Texas St.	Florida Int’l.	14.8	12.6	17.2
Auburn	San Jose St.	28.2	26.4	26.1
Nebraska	Georgia Southern	23.0	23.6	21.2
Stanford	USC	-1.4	-5.0	-4.2
Oklahoma St.	Arizona St.	14.9	13.4	13.2
Michigan	Hawaii	55.5	52.6	54.8
Virginia Tech	Boston College	1.7	0.3	-0.2
UTEP	New Mexico St.	12.8	9.9	13.9
BYU	Baylor	1.2	0.5	1.9
Fresno St.	Oregon St.	-2.0	-2.3	-1.5
Arizona	Mississippi St.	-15.9	-13.9	-14.4

FBS vs. FCS Games

FBS	FCS	PiRate
Minnesota	Western Illinois	32.5
North Carolina St.	Charleston Southern	34.1
Utah	Southern Utah	34.8
Temple	Lafayette	9.7
Clemson	Furman	34.2
Cincinnati	Kennesaw St.	29.7
Georgia	Samford	42.3
Washington	Portland St.	23.8
Purdue	Indiana St.	30.1
Rutgers	Wagner	38.4
Wyoming	Northern Colorado	22.4
Bowling Green	Eastern Kentucky	5.8
James Madison	Norfolk St.	32.7
UCLA	Alabama St.	36.8
Nevada	Incarnate Word	10.2
Buffalo	Holy Cross	9.7
Miami (O)	Robert Morris	29.2
Coastal Carolina	Gardner-Webb	29.5
Florida Atlantic	Southeast Louisiana	10.1
Ole Miss	Central Arkansas	29.7
Georgia Tech	Western Carolina	18.8
Utah St.	Weber St.	9.8
Tulane	Alcorn St.	23.7
SMU	Lamar	39.5
South Florida	Howard	26.6
Troy	Alabama A&M	25.3
Louisiana Tech	Stephen F. Austin	10.1
LSU	Southern	32.4
North Texas	Texas Southern	27.1
Rice	McNeese St.	6.6
TCU	Tarleton	31.2
Indiana	Idaho	21.5
San Diego St.	Idaho St.	25.9
UL-Monroe	Nicholls St.	7.5
Oregon	Eastern Washington	21.6

Bye Weeks

Florida St.

Western Kentucky

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	133.4
2	Alabama	130.8
3	Ohio St.	127.9
4	Michigan	123.7
5	Clemson	120.8
6	Oklahoma	118.8
7	Wisconsin	117.9
8	Notre Dame	117.2
9	Michigan St.	117.1
10	Tennessee	116.9
11	NC State	116.4
12	Miami (Fla.)	116.4
13	Oklahoma St.	116.2
14	Arkansas	115.4
15	Penn St.	115.3
16	Utah	115.1
17	Baylor	114.7
18	Purdue	114.7
19	Mississippi St.	114.5
20	Texas A&M	114.4
21	Pittsburgh	114.2
22	Iowa	114.0
23	Minnesota	113.7
24	BYU	112.9
25	Kentucky	112.8
26	L S U	112.2
27	Florida St.	111.9
28	Ole Miss	111.5
29	Cincinnati	111.4
30	Texas	111.2
31	Auburn	110.9
32	Kansas St.	110.7
33	T C U	109.7
34	Maryland	109.7
35	South Carolina	109.6
36	U C L A	109.3
37	U S C	108.7
38	Iowa St.	108.5
39	Oregon St.	108.5
40	Oregon	108.5
41	Louisville	107.9
42	Texas Tech	107.8
43	Florida	107.8
44	Nebraska	107.4
45	North Carolina	107.3
46	Syracuse	107.3
47	UCF	105.9
48	Wake Forest	105.5
49	Washington	105.3
50	Arizona St.	105.3
51	Houston	105.0
52	SMU	105.0
53	West Virginia	104.1
54	Boise St.	104.0
55	Missouri	103.9
56	Fresno St.	103.6
57	Illinois	103.5
58	Virginia	103.4
59	Air Force	102.4
60	Stanford	102.2
61	Northwestern	101.2
62	East Carolina	101.0
63	Indiana	100.9
64	Boston College	100.8
65	Rutgers	100.7
66	Georgia St.	99.6
67	Washington St.	99.6
68	U A B	99.4
69	Kansas	98.8
70	Tulane	98.5
71	California	98.4
72	Virginia Tech	98.4
73	W. Kentucky	98.1
74	Appalachian St.	98.0
75	Army	97.6
76	N. Illinois	97.3
77	U T S A	96.9
78	Arizona	96.8
79	Louisiana	96.6
80	Memphis	96.3
81	Liberty	96.0
82	Colorado	95.7
83	Central Mich.	95.6
84	Coastal Carolina	95.5
85	San Diego St.	95.3
86	Vanderbilt	94.9
87	Tulsa	94.7
88	Toledo	94.6
89	Georgia Tech	94.1
90	USF	93.7
91	Utah St.	93.5
92	James Madison	93.5
93	Miami (Ohio)	93.5
94	Western Mich.	93.5
95	Marshall	93.1
96	Troy	91.6
97	Old Dominion	90.8
98	Navy	89.9
99	Nevada	88.6
100	Colorado St.	88.5
101	Florida Atlantic	88.2
102	U N L V	88.1
103	Kent St.	88.0
104	Ga. Southern	87.9
105	Eastern Mich.	87.8
106	South Alabama	87.8
107	San Jose St.	87.0
108	Bowling Green	86.9
109	North Texas	86.8
110	Duke	86.5
111	Ohio	86.1
112	Southern Miss.	85.8
113	U T E P	85.4
114	Wyoming	84.9
115	Buffalo	84.9
116	Ball St.	83.4
117	Arkansas St.	83.3
118	New Mexico	83.2
119	Middle Tennessee	81.8
120	UL-Monroe	81.2
121	Louisiana Tech	80.2
122	Texas St.	79.5
123	Connecticut	78.9
124	Charlotte	78.4
125	Temple	78.0
126	Rice	77.9
127	Akron	77.2
128	New Mexico St.	75.2
129	Massachusetts	74.3
130	Hawaii	72.9
131	Florida Int’l.	67.2

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	111.2	110.3	112.8	111.4
UCF	105.4	106.1	106.2	105.9
Houston	104.8	104.3	106.0	105.0
SMU	105.1	104.3	105.5	105.0
East Carolina	100.8	100.4	101.8	101.0
Tulane	99.0	98.3	98.3	98.5
Memphis	96.4	96.6	96.0	96.3
Tulsa	95.0	94.3	94.9	94.7
USF	94.7	93.1	93.5	93.7
Navy	90.7	89.9	89.1	89.9
Temple	78.0	80.4	75.5	78.0

AAC	98.3	98.0	98.2	98.1

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	120.6	120.5	121.4	120.8
NC State	116.7	115.7	116.8	116.4
Florida St.	112.3	111.7	111.7	111.9
Louisville	108.8	107.4	107.5	107.9
Syracuse	108.2	106.8	106.8	107.3
Wake Forest	106.0	105.3	105.3	105.5
Boston College	100.4	102.2	99.8	100.8

Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Fla.)	116.9	115.5	116.7	116.4
Pittsburgh	115.3	114.0	113.4	114.2
North Carolina	107.3	107.6	107.0	107.3
Virginia	103.9	104.1	102.2	103.4
Virginia Tech	99.1	99.4	96.6	98.4
Georgia Tech	94.9	94.7	92.9	94.1
Duke	86.6	89.2	83.7	86.5

ACC	106.9	106.7	105.8	106.5

Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma	119.1	117.9	119.3	118.8
Oklahoma St.	116.9	115.2	116.4	116.2
Baylor	115.4	114.1	114.6	114.7
Texas	112.0	111.0	110.5	111.2
Kansas St.	111.6	110.2	110.4	110.7
T C U	110.7	109.2	109.4	109.7
Iowa St.	108.5	108.4	108.7	108.5
Texas Tech	108.2	106.7	108.6	107.8
West Virginia	104.5	104.3	103.4	104.1
Kansas	100.7	98.4	97.3	98.8

Big 12	110.7	109.5	109.9	110.0

Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	128.4	126.3	129.0	127.9
Michigan	124.2	122.7	124.2	123.7
Michigan St.	118.3	116.8	116.1	117.1
Penn St.	115.7	115.3	114.9	115.3
Maryland	109.9	109.8	109.4	109.7
Indiana	102.1	101.5	99.1	100.9
Rutgers	101.9	101.2	99.1	100.7

West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Wisconsin	118.4	117.7	117.4	117.9
Purdue	115.7	114.5	113.7	114.7
Iowa	115.2	113.7	113.2	114.0
Minnesota	113.8	113.2	114.2	113.7
Nebraska	107.9	107.9	106.6	107.4
Illinois	104.0	104.5	102.0	103.5
Northwestern	101.4	102.5	99.6	101.2

Big Ten	112.6	112.0	111.3	112.0

Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U A B	98.7	98.9	100.5	99.4
W. Kentucky	97.3	97.1	100.0	98.1
U T S A	97.5	95.9	97.3	96.9
Florida Atlantic	87.6	89.2	87.8	88.2
North Texas	86.7	85.9	87.8	86.8
U T E P	85.5	84.9	85.8	85.4
Middle Tennessee	81.0	82.1	82.2	81.8
Louisiana Tech	80.2	81.7	78.7	80.2
Charlotte	78.1	79.4	77.7	78.4
Rice	78.5	77.9	77.4	77.9
Florida Int’l.	66.7	69.8	65.0	67.2

CUSA	85.3	85.7	85.5	85.5

FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	117.8	115.9	118.0	117.2
BYU	113.5	111.6	113.6	112.9
Army	97.2	97.8	97.7	97.6
Liberty	94.6	96.5	96.8	96.0
Connecticut	79.3	80.8	76.7	78.9
New Mexico St.	74.7	77.0	73.9	75.2
Massachusetts	75.0	75.5	72.4	74.3

Independents	93.2	93.6	92.7	93.2

Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	91.6	94.5	94.3	93.5
Kent St.	87.1	89.6	87.3	88.0
Bowling Green	87.6	86.3	86.7	86.9
Ohio	84.5	87.2	86.6	86.1
Buffalo	83.5	86.1	85.2	84.9
Akron	77.0	78.0	76.6	77.2

West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
N. Illinois	97.0	97.4	97.5	97.3
Central Mich.	93.8	95.9	97.0	95.6
Toledo	93.6	94.8	95.5	94.6
Western Mich.	92.6	93.8	94.0	93.5
Eastern Mich.	87.7	88.3	87.4	87.8
Ball St.	83.1	84.2	83.0	83.4

MAC	88.3	89.7	89.3	89.1

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	104.2	103.0	104.9	104.0
Air Force	102.0	101.9	103.4	102.4
Utah St.	93.2	93.4	93.9	93.5
Colorado St.	88.1	89.1	88.4	88.5
Wyoming	83.7	86.2	84.9	84.9
New Mexico	83.4	84.1	82.1	83.2

West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	103.4	102.7	104.7	103.6
San Diego St.	95.2	95.1	95.4	95.3
Nevada	87.9	90.0	88.0	88.6
U N L V	89.0	86.5	88.6	88.1
San Jose St.	86.5	86.9	87.6	87.0
Hawaii	72.3	73.6	73.0	72.9

MWC	90.7	91.0	91.2	91.0

Pac-12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	115.0	113.7	116.6	115.1
U C L A	108.8	108.7	110.4	109.3
U S C	108.2	109.0	109.0	108.7
Oregon St.	108.4	107.9	109.2	108.5
Oregon	108.9	108.4	108.1	108.5
Washington	104.5	105.6	105.9	105.3
Arizona St.	104.9	104.9	106.2	105.3
Stanford	103.8	101.0	101.8	102.2
Washington St.	99.1	99.7	99.9	99.6
California	97.8	98.2	99.2	98.4
Arizona	96.7	96.8	96.8	96.8
Colorado	96.7	94.8	95.6	95.7

Pac-12	104.4	104.1	104.9	104.4

Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	133.4	131.7	135.0	133.4
Tennessee	116.8	116.7	117.1	116.9
Kentucky	112.1	112.9	113.4	112.8
South Carolina	109.9	109.3	109.7	109.6
Florida	106.9	108.8	107.6	107.8
Missouri	104.1	104.4	103.1	103.9
Vanderbilt	95.1	96.3	93.3	94.9

West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	130.6	129.5	132.3	130.8
Arkansas	116.0	114.0	116.2	115.4
Mississippi St.	115.6	113.8	114.2	114.5
Texas A&M	113.5	114.9	114.9	114.4
L S U	112.8	111.9	111.8	112.2
Ole Miss	112.7	110.7	111.1	111.5
Auburn	111.8	110.3	110.6	110.9

SEC	113.7	113.2	113.6	113.5

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia St.	98.9	98.0	101.8	99.6
Appalachian St.	96.5	98.3	99.1	98.0
Coastal Carolina	94.2	95.7	96.5	95.5
James Madison	91.2	93.1	96.1	93.5
Marshall	92.4	93.8	93.1	93.1
Old Dominion	90.7	90.8	90.8	90.8
Ga. Southern	87.9	87.3	88.4	87.9

West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisiana	95.6	96.0	98.2	96.6
Troy	91.1	91.3	92.4	91.6
South Alabama	87.3	87.6	88.5	87.8
Southern Miss.	85.4	86.1	85.9	85.8
Arkansas St.	82.6	84.2	83.1	83.3
UL-Monroe	81.4	81.7	80.5	81.2
Texas St.	79.0	79.9	79.7	79.5

Sun Belt	89.6	90.3	91.0	90.3

Rating of Conferences

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	113.5
2	Big Ten	112.0
3	Big 12	110.0
4	Atlantic Coast	106.5
5	Pac-12	104.4
6	American Athletic	98.1
7	Independents	93.2
8	Mountain West	91.0
9	Sun Belt	90.3
10	Mid-American	89.1
11	Conference USA	85.5

Playoff Projections

#1: Alabama

#2: Georgia

#3: Ohio St.

#4: Clemson

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December 23, 2021

A New Gator Bowl

Filed under: College Football — Tags: Gator Bowl, Rutgers, spreads, Texas A&M, Wake Forest — piratings @ 12:30 pm

With Texas A&M having to back out of the Gator Bowl due to multiple positive Covid cases, The Gator Bowl has now extended an invitation to Rutgers to face Wake Forest. Below are the new PiRate Ratings spreads for that game. Let’s hope this is the only game affected.

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Wake Forest	Rutgers	19.1	17.4	19.1

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August 26, 2021

PiRate Picks For August 28, 2021

Filed under: PiRate Picks_College & Pro — Tags: August 28, college football, Illinois, Money Line, Nebraska, New Mexico St., Parlay, spreads, UCLA, UTEP — piratings @ 12:00 am

Welcome to all the newcomers to the PiRate Ratings site for the 2021-2022 football season. Saturday, we have the fortune of having a dress rehearsal for the college football season. Nine FBS teams will be in action, as one FBS team plays an FCS opponent.

The PiRate Ratings enjoy issuing picks against the spread or money line on Thursdays each week until January. Because we are most concerned with Money Line Parlays, there are only five options to combine games this week, and many of the books do not issue a line for FBS vs. FCS games. So, in a quest to obtain the best odds, there really are just four games.

This presents multiple issues that basically make it close to impossible to issue a real wager, because the options don’t fit our paradigm. Let’s take a look.

First, before we get started, you must know and understand one thing. We offer these selections purely for the fun of it. It is math and not gambling to us. We NEVER bet on sports. We play with a pretend bankroll that never runs out. We wager the same amount of fake currency on every selection–$100. It could just as easily be $5, $10, $1000, $5000, whatever, but $100 is an easy number and typical of many wagers in real life.

Second, we urge you with everything we can say about it to NOT use this weekly feature as betting advice, unless you have legitimate advice or are a professional, and then this becomes a secondary reference.

Third, we hunt around for the best possible odds on our pretend wagers. You may or may not be able to find the same odds we do, because you would have to search at the exact same time we do. Because, we are not limited to just the legal books available to us in our state of Tennessee, where betting is legal, we might pick a parlay based on a sports book that is only for people in Nevada, or New Jersey, or even off shore.

Okay, now that you know the ground rules, here is our specialty–Money Line Parlays. The money line is different from the spread of a game, but the number is the equivalent of a spread. If a team is favored by 7 points, their money line is going to be roughly -330, and if a team is a 7-point underdog, their money line is going to be roughly +250.

How does a Money Line work? If the line is a negative number, if you wager the amount of the negative number and win, you will receive $100 plus the amount you wagered. So, if you wager on a team at -300, and you bet $300, if the bet wins, you will get back $400 (your investment money plus $100). If you lose, you are out the $300. On the other hand, if the line is a positive number, you can win that amount of money with a $100 wager. So, if the line on a team is +300, you can wager $100, and if the team wins, you receive $400 (your investment money plus $300).

In Money Line wagers, all that matters is that the team you picked wins the game, be it by 1 point or 63 points. Obviously, if Alabama is playing Mercer, the odds are going to be such that to win $100, you will have to put up maybe $100,000. So, if you bet $100 on Alabama at -100000, when Alabama wins, you receive $100.01. Would you risk $100,000 to win one penny?

When you wager on more than one money line to win as one bet, this is called a parlay. Let’s say that you like Mississippi State to beat Arkansas and Oklahoma State to beat Texas Tech. Mississippi State’s money line number is -275. Oklahoma State’s money line number is -250. By combining these two wagers into one bet, with $100 riding on the outcome, instead of attempting to win a little more than $36 on MSU and $40 on OSU, by combining the two games into a parlay, you stand to win almost $91 if both teams win. If you bet them individually, you would only win $76, so by combining the two, you win $15 more. Of course, if one team wins and the other loses, your losses would be less by playing the games separately.

The question you most likely wanted to ask while reading the above paragraph is, “Why risk playing two separate games that both teams you selected must win and still not get even money?” Did you ask it? The answer to that question is, “You are correct; why wager $100 to just win $91 and then have to be right twice to cash it?” You can bet a regular game against the spread and get 11-10 odds, just a fraction better than the odds of the parlay above.

The ultimate answer is that we are only looking for parlays that pay better than even money. We really don’t want to play any parlays at less than +120 odds, where we would win $6 for every $5 wagered.

The next question you might have is, “Isn’t finding two teams to win and pay off at +120 going to require me to bet an underdog to win outright?”

Our answer to you is, “Yes, but we don’t look for many two-team money line parlays. Let’s take a look at another example with three teams.

Let’s say that we believe that Washington will beat Oregon State, and the money line is -260.

We also believe that Army will beat Temple, and the money line is -240.

And, we believe that Wisconsin will beat Purdue, and the money line is -250.

If you wager $100 on these three teams to win, and all three teams win, your payout is just under $175 plus the $100 you wagered for almost $275 ($274.62 to be exact.)

Let’s take a look at 5 wagers, where we win two and lose three at these odds

We bet $500 at $100 for 5 wagers.

On the two winning wagers, we receive $275 * 2 or $550.

Invest $500 and win $550 by being right 40% of the time. In one week, we have made a 10% return on an investment. What investment on the Stock Market makes a 10% gain in one week after you have paid the commissions on the trip?

Ah, but here’s the rub: how often can you wager on 5 money line parlays that average +175 and win 40% of the parlays? Most people fall into this trap and only win about one of five of these parlays. At 20% success, you lose $225 a week for a 45% loss. Now, where can you loses 45% in the stock market in one week? We put our real money in high-cap value stocks with durable competitive advantages, long histories of consistent increases in earnings, and long histories of consistent dividend payouts. The pretend money is just fine for football wagering.

By now, you want to know who we are picking in Week 0 of the college football season. Maybe, you have figured it out already. We don’t have any official picks this week, because there are not enough games to come up with a parlay better than +120.

Here is a practice parlay that is not an official pick, but shown here to show you what we mean.

The three games involved are: Nebraska versus Illinois, UCLA versus Hawaii, and UTEP versus New Mexico St.

Let’s say that we think Illinois will upset the Cornhuskers, UCLA will take care of Hawaii, and UTEP will win the big rivalry game.

Here are the three Money Lines for these three games.

Illinois +215 vs. Nebraska

UCLA -875 vs. Hawaii

UTEP -390 vs. New Mexico St.

This parlay calculates to +341. If we wager $100 on this game, and Illinois, UCLA, and UTEP all win, we receive $441 in our account (The $100 we wagered plus the $341 on the win).

Why isn’t this an official pick? We believe that Illinois might have been an excellent pick against the spread when the Illinois-Nebraska game spread opened at -9 1/2. But, it has come down to -6 1/2 as of this writing. Sharp money was wagers on Illinois +9 1/2, and also on Nebraska -6 1/2. A three-point middling is too good to be true. Playing both sides, the Sharps only need to have the game win both sides one out of every 19 times (5.26%) to make a profit. The spreads of 7, 8, and 9 account for 10.8% of all FBS college football games. That’s double the amount needed to make a profit. The key is the Sharps can find these spreads when they open. Also, playing the opening lines is the most effective way to win for a Sharp.

The UTEP-New Mexico State game is the biggest issue in this parlay. One axiom that older Sharps believe in is not to rely on a losing program to have to win for you to win. The Miners are probably a 3-9 team, which is almost a good year for this program. The Aggies are really weak and should be an underdog in every game, but this is their big rival, maybe bigger than playing New Mexico. The I-10 rivalry frequently is a tossup game.

Two out of three of these games are iffy. The chances that Illinois pulls off the upset of Nebraska are not good enough to have faith in this parlay winning. Scott Frost is in deep cow poo if the Cornhuskers don’t win at least six games and earn a bowl bid, and losing to the weakest Big Ten team will turn the heater on in his heated seat. This will be Bret Bielema’s first game as Illinois head coach, and he brought in an offensive coordinator that runs a system totally different from what the Illini ran under Lovie Smith. Expect growing pains.

We hope this gets you pumped for next week, when there will be more than enough games to play some parlays.

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October 18, 2020

PiRate Ratings–College Football For October 22-24, 2020

Filed under: College Football — Tags: Alabama, Big Ten, Clemson, Computer Ratings, Michigan, Notre Dame, Ohio St., Oklahoma St., Penn St., spreads — piratings @ 7:16 am

PiRate Ratings Spreads For This Week

Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Appalachian St.	Arkansas St.	10.3	8.0	11.0
USF	Tulsa	-11.4	-11.1	-11.7
Wisconsin	Illinois	20.4	18.4	20.2
UAB	Louisiana	-5.8	-4.7	-5.9
Kansas St.	Kansas	26.2	25.5	27.9
Fresno St.	Hawaii	1.0	1.5	1.7
Clemson	Syracuse	42.4	42.2	45.7
North Carolina	NC St.	12.2	12.0	12.6
Ohio St.	Nebraska	25.3	24.4	26.7
Ole Miss	Auburn	-6.6	-6.1	-6.1
Michigan St.	Rutgers	8.5	9.8	11.0
TCU	Oklahoma	-6.1	-8.0	-6.0
Memphis	Temple	15.4	14.5	15.9
Charlotte	UTEP	20.0	17.6	20.4
Coastal Carolina	Ga. Southern	6.1	5.5	5.9
Louisville	Florida St.	5.7	7.0	4.4
Liberty	Southern Miss.	10.3	12.7	12.2
UCF	Tulane	15.1	15.7	16.9
Marshall	Fla. Atlantic	22.0	20.6	21.3
Tennessee	Alabama	-14.5	-16.1	-16.1
Pittsburgh	Notre Dame	-14.6	-12.3	-14.2
Oklahoma St.	Iowa St.	6.8	6.9	6.5
Indiana	Penn St.	-10.8	-9.0	-9.0
Wake Forest	Va. Tech	-9.4	-9.1	-11.3
Rice	Middle Tenn.	7.9	5.0	7.3
Navy	Houston	-6.4	-6.0	-6.4
Texas	Baylor	4.6	3.0	4.3
Purdue	Iowa	-4.4	-3.2	-4.9
Troy	Georgia St.	-2.1	-0.5	-1.6
Boston College	Georgia Tech	8.1	8.7	9.2
Missouri	Kentucky	-9.2	-9.3	-9.3
Texas Tech	West Va.	-0.7	-1.9	-0.7
LSU	South Carolina	7.2	8.5	9.7
Boise St.	Utah St.	15.8	16.1	16.0
Nevada	Wyoming	-4.4	-5.4	-5.2
South Alabama	UL-Monroe	11.6	12.6	12.6
Minnesota	Michigan	1.9	3.6	2.2
Northwestern	Maryland	10.5	10.5	14.6
Miami (Fla.)	Virginia	8.2	10.7	9.0
UTSA	La. Tech	-3.6	-4.0	-3.6
SMU	Cincinnati	-6.1	-5.5	-6.3
~~Colorado St.~~	~~New Mexico~~	~~9.1~~	~~9.4~~	~~10.2~~
BYU	Texas St.	32.1	30.8	33.6
San Diego St.	UNLV	14.4	14.2	15.9
San Jose St.	Air Force	-13.3	-12.2	-14.1

Games with ~~Strikethrough~~ lines have been called off due to Covid-19.

FBS vs. FCS

FBS	FCS	PiRate
Florida Intl.	J’Ville St.	7.8
Army	Mercer	26.2
Western Ky.	Chattanooga	9.6

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

10/18
#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg.	Conference
1	Clemson	130.5	131.7	134.0	132.1	ACC
2	Ohio St.	131.3	130.0	134.3	131.9	BTen-E
3	Alabama	125.8	126.9	127.8	126.8	SEC-W
4	Georgia	123.6	122.6	124.5	123.6	SEC-E
5	Penn St.	122.2	121.0	122.8	122.0	BTen-E
6	Wisconsin	122.5	119.9	123.3	121.9	BTen-W
7	Florida	119.9	119.2	120.4	119.8	SEC-E
8	Oregon	119.5	117.9	119.3	118.9	P12-N
9	Notre Dame	119.3	118.4	118.8	118.8	ACC
10	L S U	117.6	116.9	119.7	118.1	SEC-W
11	Oklahoma St.	115.5	114.8	115.4	115.2	B12
12	U S C	116.2	113.5	115.2	115.0	P12-S
13	Texas A&M	114.1	114.3	114.6	114.3	SEC-W
14	Oklahoma	114.4	113.7	114.2	114.1	B12
15	Kentucky	113.6	113.7	115.0	114.1	SEC-E
16	Minnesota	112.3	113.2	114.4	113.3	BTen-W
17	Texas	113.5	112.0	113.2	112.9	B12
18	N. Carolina	112.4	112.7	113.5	112.9	ACC
19	Iowa	112.3	112.0	114.1	112.8	BTen-W
20	Michigan	112.3	111.6	114.2	112.7	BTen-E
21	Auburn	113.4	111.8	112.8	112.7	SEC-W
22	Virginia Tech	111.4	111.8	113.2	112.1	ACC
23	S. Carolina	112.3	110.5	112.0	111.6	SEC-E
24	UCF	110.6	110.8	111.3	110.9	AAC
25	Iowa St.	110.7	109.9	110.9	110.5	B12
26	Indiana	109.4	110.0	111.8	110.4	BTen-E
27	Cincinnati	110.7	109.8	110.4	110.3	AAC
28	BYU	110.5	109.8	110.5	110.3	Ind.
29	Miami (Fla.)	109.0	111.5	109.7	110.1	ACC
30	Washington	110.2	108.9	110.9	110.0	P12-N
31	Baylor	109.9	110.0	110.0	110.0	B12
32	Utah	109.3	108.9	110.0	109.4	P12-S
33	Tennessee	109.3	108.8	109.7	109.3	SEC-E
34	Memphis	109.4	108.5	108.6	108.8	AAC
35	Kansas St.	108.8	107.8	109.1	108.6	B12
36	Nebraska	108.0	107.6	109.5	108.4	BTen-W
37	California	107.5	107.7	107.8	107.7	P12-N
38	Arizona St.	107.8	107.4	107.8	107.6	P12-S
39	Boise St.	107.3	107.1	106.8	107.1	MWC-M
40	Purdue	105.9	106.8	107.2	106.6	BTen-W
41	Miss. St.	106.4	105.8	107.3	106.5	SEC-W
42	Louisville	106.8	106.9	105.7	106.4	ACC
43	T C U	106.3	103.7	106.2	105.4	B12
44	Washington St.	104.8	103.5	105.9	104.7	P12-N
45	Ole Miss	104.8	103.7	104.7	104.4	SEC-W
46	Northwestern	103.5	103.4	106.1	104.4	BTen-W
47	Air Force	103.9	104.7	104.1	104.2	MWC-M
48	Illinois	104.1	103.5	105.1	104.2	BTen-W
49	Stanford	105.0	102.5	104.2	103.9	P12-N
50	Louisiana	103.7	103.1	103.3	103.4	SUN-W
51	Pittsburgh	102.7	104.1	102.6	103.1	ACC
52	Michigan St.	102.9	102.7	103.4	103.0	BTen-E
53	Houston	104.0	102.3	102.5	102.9	AAC
54	SMU	103.1	102.8	102.5	102.8	AAC
55	Missouri	102.4	102.4	103.7	102.8	SEC-E
56	Virginia	102.8	102.8	102.7	102.8	ACC
57	Florida St.	103.1	101.9	103.3	102.8	ACC
58	Oregon St.	103.0	103.3	101.8	102.7	P12-N
59	Marshall	102.8	102.6	102.3	102.5	CUSA-E
60	W. Virginia	102.4	102.4	102.5	102.4	B12
61	Appal. St.	102.0	100.9	102.7	101.9	SUN-E
62	NC State	101.2	101.6	101.9	101.6	ACC
63	Tulsa	102.4	100.6	100.7	101.2	AAC
64	Arkansas	101.3	102.0	100.1	101.1	SEC-W
65	U C L A	102.2	100.7	100.3	101.1	P12-S
66	Wake Forest	100.5	101.1	100.4	100.7	ACC
67	Boston Coll.	100.6	100.5	100.7	100.6	ACC
68	Arizona	101.4	99.7	100.4	100.5	P12-S
69	Texas Tech	99.7	98.4	99.9	99.3	B12
70	Coastal Car.	98.0	98.5	98.6	98.4	SUN-E
71	Wyoming	97.0	98.6	98.4	98.0	MWC-M
72	Duke	98.2	98.3	97.4	97.9	ACC
73	Colorado	97.8	99.1	95.7	97.5	P12-S
74	Buffalo	96.7	97.3	97.6	97.2	MAC-E
75	Tulane	97.5	97.1	96.4	97.0	AAC
76	U A B	96.8	97.4	96.4	96.9	CUSA-W
77	San Diego St.	95.9	97.2	96.8	96.6	MWC-W
78	Temple	95.9	96.1	94.7	95.6	AAC
79	Rutgers	96.4	94.9	94.4	95.2	BTen-E
80	Ohio	94.3	95.1	96.0	95.1	MAC-E
81	Liberty	93.6	96.3	94.5	94.8	Ind.
82	Navy	95.6	94.3	94.0	94.6	AAC
83	Maryland	95.1	94.9	93.6	94.5	BTen-E
84	Hawaii	94.8	94.7	93.8	94.4	MWC-W
85	Georgia Sou.	93.4	94.5	94.3	94.1	SUN-E
86	Miami (O)	94.7	93.2	94.0	93.9	MAC-E
87	Georgia Tech	94.5	93.8	93.5	93.9	ACC
88	Arkansas St.	93.3	94.4	93.2	93.6	SUN-W
89	Fresno St.	93.3	93.7	92.9	93.3	MWC-W
90	Utah St.	93.5	93.0	92.9	93.1	MWC-M
91	Central Mich.	93.2	92.7	93.3	93.1	MAC-W
92	Army	92.4	94.1	92.5	93.0	Ind.
93	Florida Int’l.	93.1	92.8	93.1	93.0	CUSA-E
94	Ball St.	92.6	91.9	93.0	92.5	MAC-W
95	E. Carolina	92.3	92.1	90.9	91.8	AAC
96	Georgia St.	91.8	91.7	91.7	91.7	SUN-E
97	Vanderbilt	92.2	91.4	90.8	91.5	SEC-E
98	Colorado St.	91.1	92.1	91.2	91.5	MWC-M
99	Syracuse	90.6	92.0	90.8	91.2	ACC
100	Nevada	90.6	91.1	91.1	91.0	MWC-W
101	W. Kentucky	90.5	91.2	90.6	90.8	CUSA-E
102	Western Mich.	89.1	91.2	90.4	90.2	MAC-W
103	Kent St.	90.1	89.4	89.5	89.7	MAC-E
104	San Jose St.	89.2	91.0	88.5	89.6	MWC-W
105	Troy	88.2	89.6	88.6	88.8	SUN-E
106	Toledo	88.5	89.7	88.0	88.7	MAC-W
107	Charlotte	88.4	88.5	88.7	88.6	CUSA-E
108	USF	89.5	88.0	87.5	88.3	AAC
109	Rice	86.8	84.3	86.1	85.7	CUSA-W
110	La. Tech	85.3	86.2	85.4	85.7	CUSA-W
111	Southern Miss.	84.8	85.1	83.8	84.6	CUSA-W
112	S. Alabama	83.8	84.9	83.4	84.0	SUN-W
113	U N L V	83.5	85.0	83.0	83.8	MWC-W
114	N. Illinois	82.8	84.6	83.2	83.6	MAC-W
115	New Mexico	83.6	84.3	82.4	83.4	MWC-M
116	Fla. Atlantic	82.8	84.0	83.0	83.2	CUSA-E
117	Eastern Mich.	82.4	84.5	82.8	83.2	MAC-W
118	Kansas	83.6	83.3	82.2	83.1	B12
119	Middle Tenn.	80.4	80.8	80.2	80.5	CUSA-E
120	U T S A	80.3	80.7	80.3	80.4	CUSA-W
121	Texas St.	80.4	81.0	78.9	80.1	SUN-W
122	North Texas	76.6	77.1	76.4	76.7	CUSA-W
123	Bowling Green	74.4	76.1	70.6	73.7	MAC-E
124	Akron	73.1	75.5	71.5	73.4	MAC-E
125	UL-Monroe	73.7	73.8	72.3	73.3	SUN-W
126	U T E P	69.9	72.4	69.8	70.7	CUSA-W
127	Mass.	62.1	68.7	59.9	63.6	Ind.

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	AAC	Overall
UCF	110.6	110.8	111.3	110.9	1-2	2-2
Cincinnati	110.7	109.8	110.4	110.3	1-0	3-0
Memphis	109.4	108.5	108.6	108.8	1-1	2-1
Houston	104.0	102.3	102.5	102.9	1-0	1-1
SMU	103.1	102.8	102.5	102.8	2-0	5-0
Tulsa	102.4	100.6	100.7	101.2	1-0	1-1
Tulane	97.5	97.1	96.4	97.0	0-3	2-3
Temple	95.9	96.1	94.7	95.6	1-1	1-1
Navy	95.6	94.3	94.0	94.6	3-0	3-2
E. Carolina	92.3	92.1	90.9	91.8	1-1	1-3
USF	89.5	88.0	87.5	88.3	0-3	1-4


AAC Avg.	101.0	100.2	99.9	100.4


Atlantic Coast Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	ACC	Overall
Clemson	130.5	131.7	134.0	132.1	4-0	5-0
Notre Dame	119.3	118.4	118.8	118.8	3-0	4-0
N. Carolina	112.4	112.7	113.5	112.9	3-1	3-1
Virginia Tech	111.4	111.8	113.2	112.1	3-1	3-1
Miami (Fla.)	109.0	111.5	109.7	110.1	3-1	4-1
Louisville	106.8	106.9	105.7	106.4	0-4	1-4
Pittsburgh	102.7	104.1	102.6	103.1	2-3	3-3
Virginia	102.8	102.8	102.7	102.8	1-3	1-3
Florida St.	103.1	101.9	103.3	102.8	1-3	2-3
NC State	101.2	101.6	101.9	101.6	4-1	4-1
Wake Forest	100.5	101.1	100.4	100.7	1-2	2-2
Boston Coll.	100.6	100.5	100.7	100.6	2-2	3-2
Duke	98.2	98.3	97.4	97.9	1-5	1-5
Georgia Tech	94.5	93.8	93.5	93.9	2-2	2-3
Syracuse	90.6	92.0	90.8	91.2	1-3	1-4


ACC Avg.	105.6	105.9	105.9	105.8


Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	B12	Overall
Oklahoma St.	115.5	114.8	115.4	115.2	2-0	3-0
Oklahoma	114.4	113.7	114.2	114.1	1-2	2-2
Texas	113.5	112.0	113.2	112.9	1-2	2-2
Iowa St.	110.7	109.9	110.9	110.5	3-0	3-1
Baylor	109.9	110.0	110.0	110.0	1-1	1-1
Kansas St.	108.8	107.8	109.1	108.6	3-0	3-1
T C U	106.3	103.7	106.2	105.4	1-2	1-2
W. Virginia	102.4	102.4	102.5	102.4	2-1	3-1
Texas Tech	99.7	98.4	99.9	99.3	0-3	1-3
Kansas	83.6	83.3	82.2	83.1	0-3	0-4


Big 12 Avg.	106.5	105.6	106.4	106.2


Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Ohio St.	131.3	130.0	134.3	131.9	0-0	0-0
Penn St.	122.2	121.0	122.8	122.0	0-0	0-0
Michigan	112.3	111.6	114.2	112.7	0-0	0-0
Indiana	109.4	110.0	111.8	110.4	0-0	0-0
Michigan St.	102.9	102.7	103.4	103.0	0-0	0-0
Rutgers	96.4	94.9	94.4	95.2	0-0	0-0
Maryland	95.1	94.9	93.6	94.5	0-0	0-0

West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Wisconsin	122.5	119.9	123.3	121.9	0-0	0-0
Minnesota	112.3	113.2	114.4	113.3	0-0	0-0
Iowa	112.3	112.0	114.1	112.8	0-0	0-0
Nebraska	108.0	107.6	109.5	108.4	0-0	0-0
Purdue	105.9	106.8	107.2	106.6	0-0	0-0
Northwestern	103.5	103.4	106.1	104.4	0-0	0-0
Illinois	104.1	103.5	105.1	104.2	0-0	0-0

Big Ten Avg.	109.9	109.4	111.0	110.1


Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	CUSA	Overall
Marshall	102.8	102.6	102.3	102.5	2-0	4-0
Florida Int’l.	93.1	92.8	93.1	93.0	0-1	0-2
W. Kentucky	90.5	91.2	90.6	90.8	1-2	1-4
Charlotte	88.4	88.5	88.7	88.6	1-1	1-2
Fla. Atlantic	82.8	84.0	83.0	83.2	1-0	1-0
Middle Tenn.	80.4	80.8	80.2	80.5	1-3	1-5

West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	CUSA	Overall
U A B	96.8	97.4	96.4	96.9	2-0	4-1
Rice	86.8	84.3	86.1	85.7	0-0	0-0
La. Tech	85.3	86.2	85.4	85.7	2-1	3-2
Southern Miss.	84.8	85.1	83.8	84.6	1-1	1-3
U T S A	80.3	80.7	80.3	80.4	1-1	3-3
North Texas	76.6	77.1	76.4	76.7	1-2	2-3
U T E P	69.9	72.4	69.8	70.7	0-1	3-2


CUSA Avg.	86.0	86.4	85.9	86.1


FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
BYU	110.5	109.8	110.5	110.3	x	5-0
Liberty	93.6	96.3	94.5	94.8	x	5-0
Army	92.4	94.1	92.5	93.0	x	4-1
Mass.	62.1	68.7	59.9	63.6	x	0-1



Ind. Avg.	89.6	92.2	89.4	90.4


Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
Buffalo	96.7	97.3	97.6	97.2	0-0	0-0
Ohio	94.3	95.1	96.0	95.1	0-0	0-0
Miami (O)	94.7	93.2	94.0	93.9	0-0	0-0
Kent St.	90.1	89.4	89.5	89.7	0-0	0-0
Bowling Green	74.4	76.1	70.6	73.7	0-0	0-0
Akron	73.1	75.5	71.5	73.4	0-0	0-0


West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
Central Mich.	93.2	92.7	93.3	93.1	0-0	0-0
Ball St.	92.6	91.9	93.0	92.5	0-0	0-0
Western Mich.	89.1	91.2	90.4	90.2	0-0	0-0
Toledo	88.5	89.7	88.0	88.7	0-0	0-0
N. Illinois	82.8	84.6	83.2	83.6	0-0	0-0
Eastern Mich.	82.4	84.5	82.8	83.2	0-0	0-0


MAC Avg.	87.6	88.4	87.5	87.9


Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
Boise St.	107.3	107.1	106.8	107.1	0-0	0-0
Air Force	103.9	104.7	104.1	104.2	0-0	1-0
Wyoming	97.0	98.6	98.4	98.0	0-0	0-0
Utah St.	93.5	93.0	92.9	93.1	0-0	0-0
Colorado St.	91.1	92.1	91.2	91.5	0-0	0-0
New Mexico	83.6	84.3	82.4	83.4	0-0	0-0


West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
San Diego St.	95.9	97.2	96.8	96.6	0-0	0-0
Hawaii	94.8	94.7	93.8	94.4	0-0	0-0
Fresno St.	93.3	93.7	92.9	93.3	0-0	0-0
Nevada	90.6	91.1	91.1	91.0	0-0	0-0
San Jose St.	89.2	91.0	88.5	89.6	0-0	0-0
U N L V	83.5	85.0	83.0	83.8	0-0	0-0


MWC Avg.	93.6	94.4	93.5	93.8


Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
Oregon	119.5	117.9	119.3	118.9	0-0	0-0
Washington	110.2	108.9	110.9	110.0	0-0	0-0
California	107.5	107.7	107.8	107.7	0-0	0-0
Washington St.	104.8	103.5	105.9	104.7	0-0	0-0
Stanford	105.0	102.5	104.2	103.9	0-0	0-0
Oregon St.	103.0	103.3	101.8	102.7	0-0	0-0


South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
U S C	116.2	113.5	115.2	115.0	0-0	0-0
Utah	109.3	108.9	110.0	109.4	0-0	0-0
Arizona St.	107.8	107.4	107.8	107.6	0-0	0-0
U C L A	102.2	100.7	100.3	101.1	0-0	0-0
Arizona	101.4	99.7	100.4	100.5	0-0	0-0
Colorado	97.8	99.1	95.7	97.5	0-0	0-0


P12 Avg.	107.1	106.1	106.6	106.6


Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SEC	Overall
Georgia	123.6	122.6	124.5	123.6	3-1	3-1
Florida	119.9	119.2	120.4	119.8	2-1	2-1
Kentucky	113.6	113.7	115.0	114.1	2-2	2-2
S. Carolina	112.3	110.5	112.0	111.6	2-2	2-2
Tennessee	109.3	108.8	109.7	109.3	2-2	2-2
Missouri	102.4	102.4	103.7	102.8	1-2	1-2
Vanderbilt	92.2	91.4	90.8	91.5	0-3	0-3


West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SEC	Overall
Alabama	125.8	126.9	127.8	126.8	4-0	4-0
L S U	117.6	116.9	119.7	118.1	1-2	1-2
Texas A&M	114.1	114.3	114.6	114.3	3-1	3-1
Auburn	113.4	111.8	112.8	112.7	2-2	2-2
Miss. St.	106.4	105.8	107.3	106.5	1-3	1-3
Ole Miss	104.8	103.7	104.7	104.4	1-3	1-3
Arkansas	101.3	102.0	100.1	101.1	2-2	2-2


SEC Avg.	111.2	110.7	111.6	111.2


Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SBC	Overall
Appal. St.	102.0	100.9	102.7	101.9	0-0	2-1
Coastal Car.	98.0	98.5	98.6	98.4	2-0	4-0
Georgia Sou.	93.4	94.5	94.3	94.1	1-1	3-1
Georgia St.	91.8	91.7	91.7	91.7	0-2	1-2
Troy	88.2	89.6	88.6	88.8	1-0	3-1


West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SBC	Overall
Louisiana	103.7	103.1	103.3	103.4	2-1	3-1
Arkansas St.	93.3	94.4	93.2	93.6	1-1	3-2
S. Alabama	83.8	84.9	83.4	84.0	1-0	2-2
Texas St.	80.4	81.0	78.9	80.1	1-2	1-5
UL-Monroe	73.7	73.8	72.3	73.3	0-2	0-5


Sun Avg.	90.8	91.2	90.7	90.9

Rating of Conferences

#	League	Avg
1	SEC	111.2
2	BTen	110.1
3	P12	106.6
4	B12	106.2
5	ACC	105.8
6	AAC	100.4
7	MWC	93.8
8	Sun	90.9
9	Ind.	90.4
10	MAC	87.9
11	CUSA	86.1

Comments Off

September 20, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Football For September 20, 2020

Filed under: College Football — Tags: Alabama, Clemson, Computer Ratings, Florida, Georgia, LSU, Ohio St., Oklahoma, spreads, Texas — piratings @ 11:27 am

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
S. Alabama	UAB	-6.0	-5.5	-5.8
UTSA	Middle Tenn.	-1.2	-2.2	-1.6
Oklahoma	Kansas St.	15.4	16.6	15.7
Ole Miss	Florida	-13.2	-14.3	-14.5
Wake Forest	Notre Dame	-20.7	-18.9	-20.9
Auburn	Kentucky	10.1	8.7	8.9
East Carolina	UCF	-18.6	-18.4	-21.0
Pittsburgh	Louisville	-1.7	-0.4	-0.4
Louisiana	Ga. Southern	14.5	12.9	13.0
Syracuse	Georgia Tech	-3.2	-0.5	-1.5
Charlotte	Georgia St.	-1.2	-0.6	-0.9
Liberty	Florida Intl.	-5.3	-2.2	-4.9
TCU	Iowa St.	-0.9	-2.2	-0.3
LSU	Mississippi St.	19.0	18.9	19.9
Texas Tech	Texas	-17.6	-17.5	-17.6
Oklahoma St.	West Va.	12.8	11.9	12.5
Cincinnati	Army	18.5	15.2	18.3
UL Monroe	UTEP	18.9	16.4	17.5
Arkansas St.	Tulsa	-1.8	1.1	0.3
Arkansas	Georgia	-23.9	-21.1	-27.0
Virginia	Duke	10.3	9.3	10.6
Boston Coll.	Texas St.	24.4	23.6	26.0
Fla. Atlantic	USF	-8.4	-5.3	-6.3
Missouri	Alabama	-20.3	-21.1	-21.0
Houston	North Texas	28.8	26.5	27.3
Southern Miss.	Tulane	-4.8	-4.3	-4.9
Texas A&M	Vanderbilt	24.9	25.5	26.6
S. Carolina	Tennessee	2.7	0.5	1.6
Miami (Fla.)	Florida St.	1.4	5.8	1.8
Baylor	Kansas	23.7	23.6	25.1
Va. Tech	NC St.	17.2	16.7	19.0
BYU	Troy	19.1	15.6	18.2

FBS vs. FCS
FBS	FCS	PiRate
Appal. St.	Campbell	33.9
La. Tech	Hou. Baptist	25.8
SMU	S.F. Austin	30.7

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Including the Big Ten

9/20/20
#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg.	Conference
1	Ohio St.	131.2	129.6	133.7	131.5	BTen-E
2	Clemson	124.7	125.7	128.6	126.4	ACC
3	L S U	123.2	122.5	125.8	123.8	SEC-W
4	Alabama	121.4	122.3	123.3	122.3	SEC-W
5	Wisconsin	122.4	119.5	122.7	121.5	BTen-W
6	Penn St.	122.1	120.6	122.2	121.6	BTen-E
7	Georgia	121.1	119.4	121.9	120.8	SEC-E
8	Florida	119.7	119.3	120.8	119.9	SEC-E
9	Notre Dame	120.0	119.1	120.1	119.7	ACC
10	Auburn	118.0	116.6	117.9	117.5	SEC-W
11	Oklahoma	117.1	117.1	117.3	117.2	B12
12	Texas	116.3	115.1	116.4	115.9	B12
13	Texas A&M	115.7	115.8	115.9	115.8	SEC-W
14	Minnesota	112.2	112.8	113.8	112.9	BTen-W
15	Michigan	112.2	111.2	113.6	112.4	BTen-E
16	Iowa	112.2	111.6	113.5	112.4	BTen-W
17	UCF	112.1	112.5	113.4	112.7	AAC
18	N. Carolina	111.9	112.4	113.3	112.5	ACC
19	Oklahoma St.	112.2	111.4	112.0	111.9	B12
20	Kentucky	110.3	110.5	111.5	110.8	SEC-E
21	Virginia Tech	109.2	109.2	111.3	109.9	ACC
22	Indiana	109.3	109.6	111.2	110.0	BTen-E
23	Tennessee	109.1	109.0	109.6	109.2	SEC-E
24	Cincinnati	109.7	108.5	109.6	109.3	AAC
25	Nebraska	107.9	107.2	108.9	108.0	BTen-W
26	S. Carolina	109.3	107.0	108.7	108.3	SEC-E
27	Miss. St.	106.7	106.1	108.4	107.1	SEC-W
28	Baylor	108.0	108.1	108.2	108.1	B12
29	Memphis	109.0	107.7	108.2	108.3	AAC
30	Iowa St.	107.9	107.1	107.5	107.5	B12
31	Purdue	105.8	106.4	106.6	106.3	BTen-W
32	Louisville	107.6	108.2	106.5	107.4	ACC
33	Virginia	106.6	106.1	106.3	106.4	ACC
34	BYU	106.7	105.2	106.3	106.1	Ind.
35	Northwestern	103.4	103.0	105.5	104.0	BTen-W
36	Miami (Fla.)	105.1	107.8	105.4	106.1	ACC
37	T C U	105.0	102.8	105.1	104.3	B12
38	Florida St.	105.2	103.6	105.1	104.6	ACC
39	Louisiana	105.2	104.6	105.0	104.9	SUN-W
40	Illinois	104.0	103.1	104.5	103.9	BTen-W
41	Kansas St.	104.2	103.0	104.1	103.8	B12
42	Pittsburgh	103.9	105.7	104.1	104.6	ACC
43	Ole Miss	104.1	102.5	103.8	103.4	SEC-W
44	Houston	104.7	103.2	103.2	103.7	AAC
45	Michigan St.	102.8	102.3	102.8	102.7	BTen-W
46	Appal. St.	101.7	100.8	102.4	101.6	SUN-E
47	Boston Coll.	102.3	102.2	102.4	102.3	ACC
48	W. Virginia	101.4	101.5	101.5	101.5	B12
49	SMU	101.4	101.2	100.8	101.2	AAC
50	Missouri	99.1	99.2	100.3	99.5	SEC-E
51	Marshall	100.3	99.9	99.4	99.8	CUSA
52	Duke	98.4	98.9	97.7	98.3	ACC
53	Wake Forest	97.8	98.7	97.6	98.1	ACC
54	Texas Tech	97.2	96.0	97.4	96.9	B12
55	Georgia Tech	98.2	97.5	97.2	97.6	ACC
56	Tulsa	99.0	97.3	96.9	97.7	AAC
57	Navy	98.2	96.4	96.3	97.0	AAC
58	Florida Int’l.	95.4	95.2	95.8	95.5	CUSA
59	Arkansas St.	95.7	96.9	95.6	96.1	SUN-W
60	Temple	96.4	97.0	95.3	96.2	AAC
61	W. Kentucky	94.0	95.2	94.6	94.6	CUSA
62	NC State	94.0	94.4	94.3	94.2	ACC
63	Syracuse	93.5	95.5	94.1	94.4	ACC
64	Georgia Sou.	92.7	93.7	94.0	93.5	SUN-E
65	Rutgers	96.3	94.5	93.9	94.9	BTen-E
66	Tulane	94.4	94.4	93.3	94.0	AAC
67	Maryland	95.0	94.5	93.1	94.2	BTen-E
68	Army	92.7	94.8	92.7	93.4	Ind.
69	Arkansas	94.7	95.8	92.4	94.3	SEC-W
70	Coastal Car.	91.8	92.4	92.2	92.1	SUN-E
71	U A B	92.6	93.4	92.1	92.7	CUSA
72	Vanderbilt	93.3	92.7	91.8	92.6	SEC-E
73	E. Carolina	92.1	92.6	90.9	91.9	AAC
74	Troy	90.1	92.1	90.6	91.0	SUN-E
75	Georgia St.	89.1	88.9	89.2	89.1	SUN-E
76	USF	91.2	89.8	89.2	90.0	AAC
77	Liberty	88.1	90.9	88.9	89.3	Ind.
78	La. Tech	86.6	88.1	87.7	87.5	CUSA
79	Southern Miss.	88.1	88.6	86.9	87.9	CUSA
80	Charlotte	86.4	86.7	86.8	86.7	CUSA
81	Rice	86.2	84.2	85.6	85.3	CUSA
82	Kansas	86.3	86.5	85.0	86.0	B12
83	S. Alabama	85.1	86.4	84.8	85.4	SUN-W
84	Fla. Atlantic	81.3	83.0	81.4	81.9	CUSA
85	Middle Tenn.	80.3	81.2	80.1	80.5	CUSA
86	UL-Monroe	80.4	81.1	78.9	80.1	SUN-W
87	Texas St.	80.6	80.7	78.8	80.0	SUN-W
88	North Texas	77.3	78.2	77.3	77.6	CUSA
89	U T S A	77.1	77.0	76.5	76.9	CUSA
90	U T E P	63.2	65.8	62.8	63.9	CUSA

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
UCF	112.1	112.5	113.4	112.7
Cincinnati	109.7	108.5	109.6	109.3
Memphis	109.0	107.7	108.2	108.3
Houston	104.7	103.2	103.2	103.7
SMU	101.4	101.2	100.8	101.2
Tulsa	99.0	97.3	96.9	97.7
Navy	98.2	96.4	96.3	97.0
Temple	96.4	97.0	95.3	96.2
Tulane	94.4	94.4	93.3	94.0
E. Carolina	92.1	92.6	90.9	91.9
USF	91.2	89.8	89.2	90.0


AAC Avg.	100.7	100.1	99.7	100.2


Atlantic Coast Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
Clemson	124.7	125.7	128.6	126.4
Notre Dame	120.0	119.1	120.1	119.7
N. Carolina	111.9	112.4	113.3	112.5
Virginia Tech	109.2	109.2	111.3	109.9
Louisville	107.6	108.2	106.5	107.4
Virginia	106.6	106.1	106.3	106.4
Miami (Fla.)	105.1	107.8	105.4	106.1
Florida St.	105.2	103.6	105.1	104.6
Pittsburgh	103.9	105.7	104.1	104.6
Boston Coll.	102.3	102.2	102.4	102.3
Duke	98.4	98.9	97.7	98.3
Wake Forest	97.8	98.7	97.6	98.1
Georgia Tech	98.2	97.5	97.2	97.6
Syracuse	93.5	95.5	94.1	94.4
NC State	94.0	94.4	94.3	94.2


ACC Avg.	105.2	105.7	105.6	105.5


Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
Oklahoma	117.1	117.1	117.3	117.2
Texas	116.3	115.1	116.4	115.9
Oklahoma St.	112.2	111.4	112.0	111.9
Baylor	108.0	108.1	108.2	108.1
Iowa St.	107.9	107.1	107.5	107.5
T C U	105.0	102.8	105.1	104.3
Kansas St.	104.2	103.0	104.1	103.8
W. Virginia	101.4	101.5	101.5	101.5
Texas Tech	97.2	96.0	97.4	96.9
Kansas	86.3	86.5	85.0	86.0


Big 12 Avg.	105.6	104.9	105.5	105.3


Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	131.2	129.6	133.7	131.5
Penn St.	122.1	120.6	122.2	121.6
Michigan	112.2	111.2	113.6	112.4
Indiana	109.3	109.6	111.2	110.0
Michigan St.	102.8	102.3	102.8	102.7
Rutgers	96.3	94.5	93.9	94.9
Maryland	95.0	94.5	93.1	94.2

West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Wisconsin	122.4	119.5	122.7	121.5
Minnesota	112.2	112.8	113.8	112.9
Iowa	112.2	111.6	113.5	112.4
Nebraska	107.9	107.2	108.9	108.0
Purdue	105.8	106.4	106.6	106.3
Northwestern	103.4	103.0	105.5	104.0
Illinois	104.0	103.1	104.5	103.9

Big Ten Avg.	109.8	109.0	110.4	109.7


Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
Marshall	100.3	99.9	99.4	99.8
Florida Int’l.	95.4	95.2	95.8	95.5
W. Kentucky	94.0	95.2	94.6	94.6
U A B	92.6	93.4	92.1	92.7
Southern Miss.	88.1	88.6	86.9	87.9
La. Tech	86.6	88.1	87.7	87.5
Charlotte	86.4	86.7	86.8	86.7
Rice	86.2	84.2	85.6	85.3
Fla. Atlantic	81.3	83.0	81.4	81.9
Middle Tenn.	80.3	81.2	80.1	80.5
North Texas	77.3	78.2	77.3	77.6
U T S A	77.1	77.0	76.5	76.9
U T E P	63.2	65.8	62.8	63.9


CUSA Avg.	85.3	85.9	85.2	85.4


FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
BYU	106.7	105.2	106.3	106.1
Army	92.7	94.8	92.7	93.4
Liberty	88.1	90.9	88.9	89.3


Indep. Avg.	95.8	97.0	96.0	96.3


Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
Georgia	121.1	119.4	121.9	120.8
Florida	119.7	119.3	120.8	119.9
Kentucky	110.3	110.5	111.5	110.8
Tennessee	109.1	109.0	109.6	109.2
S. Carolina	109.3	107.0	108.7	108.3
Missouri	99.1	99.2	100.3	99.5
Vanderbilt	93.3	92.7	91.8	92.6


West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
L S U	123.2	122.5	125.8	123.8
Alabama	121.4	122.3	123.3	122.3
Auburn	118.0	116.6	117.9	117.5
Texas A&M	115.7	115.8	115.9	115.8
Miss. St.	106.7	106.1	108.4	107.1
Ole Miss	104.1	102.5	103.8	103.4
Arkansas	94.7	95.8	92.4	94.3


SEC Avg.	110.4	109.9	110.9	110.4


Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
Appal. St.	101.7	100.8	102.4	101.6
Georgia Sou.	92.7	93.7	94.0	93.5
Coastal Car.	91.8	92.4	92.2	92.1
Troy	90.1	92.1	90.6	91.0
Georgia St.	89.1	88.9	89.2	89.1


West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
Louisiana	105.2	104.6	105.0	104.9
Arkansas St.	95.7	96.9	95.6	96.1
S. Alabama	85.1	86.4	84.8	85.4
Texas St.	80.4	81.1	78.9	80.1
UL-Monroe	80.6	80.7	78.8	80.0


Sun Avg.	91.3	91.7	91.1	91.4

Conference Ratings

#	League	Avg
1	Southeastern	110.4
2	Big Ten	109.7
3	Atlantic Coast	105.5
4	Big 12	105.3
5	American	100.2
6	Independents	96.3
7	Sun Belt	91.4
8	Conference USA	85.4

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September 15, 2020

PiRate Ratings NFL for Week 2

Filed under: Pro Football — Tags: Baltimore, Chicago, Green Bay, Houston, Kansas City, Los Angeles, New Orleans, New York, Ratings, spreads — piratings @ 7:34 am

This Week’s PiRate, Mean, and Bias Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Total
Cleveland	Cincinnati	3.2	2.7	3.1	44
Chicago	N.Y. Giants	7.3	6.4	8.3	41.5
Dallas	Atlanta	2.6	3.9	2.8	49
Green Bay	Detroit	9.2	8.9	9.4	47.5
Tennessee	Jacksonville	5.6	6.2	6.2	41
Indianapolis	Minnesota	0.4	0.3	-0.1	45
Miami	Buffalo	-5.8	-5.5	-6.5	41
N.Y. Jets	San Francisco	-7.9	-6.2	-8.3	44
Philadelphia	LA Rams	0.0	0.1	-1.6	48
Pittsburgh	Denver	5.1	5.8	5.0	32.5
Tampa Bay	Carolina	7.1	7.7	7.5	59.5
Arizona	Washington	8.0	6.9	8.0	49.5
LA Chargers	Kansas City	-7.8	-8.6	-7.5	44.5
Houston	Baltimore	-7.4	-8.1	-7.9	49
Seattle	New England	6.0	6.8	6.0	45.5
Las Vegas	New Orleans	-7.6	-6.8	-7.9	48

This Week’s PiRate, Mean, and Bias Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Buffalo	101.3	102.3	101.4	101.7	15.5	1-0
New England	101.1	100.7	101.1	101.0	18.5	1-0
N. Y. Jets	94.7	95.8	94.1	94.9	19	0-1
Miami	93.5	94.8	92.9	93.7	25.5	0-1

North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	110.2	110.1	110.7	110.3	25.5	1-0
Pittsburgh	102.0	102.6	101.9	102.2	17	1-0
Cleveland	97.0	96.8	96.9	96.9	22	0-1
Cincinnati	94.8	95.1	94.8	94.9	22	0-1

South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Houston	101.3	100.5	101.3	101.0	23.5	0-1
Tennessee	100.0	100.3	100.7	100.3	21.5	1-0
Indianapolis	99.7	99.4	99.3	99.4	21.5	0-1
Jacksonville	95.9	95.6	96.0	95.8	19.5	1-0

West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	107.4	108.2	107.8	107.8	24.5	1-0
Denver	98.9	98.8	98.9	98.9	15.5	0-1
LA Chargers	98.1	98.1	98.8	98.3	20	1-0
Las Vegas	97.8	98.1	97.6	97.8	22.5	1-0

N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	100.8	101.0	100.9	100.9	23.5	0-1
Philadelphia	98.5	98.4	97.9	98.2	23.0	0-1
Washington	95.6	95.9	95.6	95.7	21	1-0
N.Y. Giants	94.4	94.8	93.7	94.3	25.0	0-1

North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Green Bay	103.0	102.9	103.1	103.0	22.5	1-0
Minnesota	100.8	100.6	100.9	100.7	23.5	0-1
Chicago	100.2	99.7	100.5	100.1	16.5	1-0
Detroit	95.3	95.5	95.2	95.3	25	0-1

South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	107.9	107.4	108.0	107.8	25.5	1-0
Tampa Bay	102.0	101.8	101.9	101.9	32	0-1
Atlanta	100.2	99.1	100.1	99.8	25.5	0-1
Carolina	96.4	95.6	95.9	96.0	27.5	0-1

West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
San Francisco	105.1	104.5	104.9	104.9	25	0-1
Seattle	104.6	105.0	104.6	104.8	27	1-0
Arizona	101.1	100.3	101.1	100.8	28.5	1-0
LA Rams	100.5	100.3	101.5	100.8	25	1-0

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September 13, 2020

PiRate Ratings–College Football September 13, 2020

Filed under: College Football — Tags: Central Florida, Clemson, Georgia Tech, Miami, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Power Ratings, spreads, TV Schedule, USA — piratings @ 8:25 am

This Week’s PiRate, Mean, and Bias Spreads

Week 3	Sep. 18-19
Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Oklahoma St.	Tulsa	16.9	18.1	19.6
Georgia St.	Louisiana	-16.9	-16.7	-17.0
Pittsburgh	Syracuse	11.9	11.7	11.5
Western Ky.	Liberty	11.2	9.4	11.4
Tulane	Navy	-1.6	0.6	-0.5
Duke	Boston College	3.0	3.9	2.4
Baylor	Houston	4.3	5.9	6.0
Marshall	Appalachian St.	-2.0	-1.4	-4.3
Notre Dame	USF	24.3	24.6	26.1
North Carolina	Charlotte	26.5	26.6	27.5
Georgia Tech	UCF	-7.1	-8.2	-9.4
Ga. Southern	Fla. Atlantic	12.9	12.2	14.1
Middle Tenn.	Troy	-1.5	-2.5	-1.7
North Texas	SMU	-21.5	-19.8	-20.1
UL-Monroe	Texas St.	4.5	4.1	4.6
Louisville	Miami (Fla.)	11.2	9.1	10.0
Southern Miss.	La. Tech	3.4	2.5	0.9
NC St.	Wake Forest	-3.3	-4.2	-3.3

This Week’s FBS vs. FCS Games

FBS	FCS	PiRate
Coastal Carolina	Campbell	22.3
Cincinnati	Austin Peay	27.4
UTSA	S F Austin	12.0
Clemson	Citadel	47.5
Arkansas St.	Cent. Arkansas	11.8
UTEP	Abilene Chr.	-0.7

This Week’s PiRate, Mean, and Bias Ratings


#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg.	Conference
1	Clemson	123.7	124.7	127.6	125.4	ACC
2	L S U	123.2	122.5	125.8	123.8	SEC-W
3	Alabama	121.4	122.3	123.3	122.3	SEC-W
4	Georgia	121.1	119.4	121.9	120.8	SEC-E
5	Florida	119.7	119.3	120.8	119.9	SEC-E
6	Auburn	118.0	116.6	117.9	117.5	SEC-W
7	Oklahoma	117.1	117.1	117.3	117.2	B12
8	Notre Dame	117.2	116.2	117.2	116.9	ACC
9	Texas	116.3	115.1	116.4	115.9	B12
10	Texas A&M	115.7	115.8	115.9	115.8	SEC-W
11	Oklahoma St.	113.4	112.8	113.6	113.3	B12
12	N. Carolina	111.9	112.4	113.3	112.5	ACC
13	Kentucky	110.3	110.5	111.5	110.8	SEC-E
14	Louisville	110.7	111.3	109.7	110.5	ACC
15	Virginia Tech	109.2	109.2	111.3	109.9	ACC
16	UCF	109.2	109.6	110.5	109.8	AAC
17	Tennessee	109.1	109.0	109.6	109.2	SEC-E
18	Cincinnati	109.5	108.3	109.4	109.1	AAC
19	S. Carolina	109.3	107.0	108.7	108.3	SEC-E
20	Memphis	109.0	107.7	108.2	108.3	AAC
21	Baylor	108.0	108.1	108.2	108.1	B12
22	Iowa St.	107.9	107.1	107.5	107.5	B12
23	Miss. St.	106.7	106.1	108.4	107.1	SEC-W
24	Virginia	106.6	106.1	106.3	106.4	ACC
25	BYU	106.7	105.2	106.3	106.1	Ind.
26	Louisiana	106.2	105.7	106.2	106.0	SUN-W
27	Florida St.	105.5	103.9	105.4	104.9	ACC
28	Pittsburgh	103.9	105.7	104.1	104.6	ACC
29	T C U	105.0	102.8	105.1	104.3	B12
30	Kansas St.	104.2	103.0	104.1	103.8	B12
31	Houston	104.7	103.2	103.2	103.7	AAC
32	Ole Miss	104.1	102.5	103.8	103.4	SEC-W
33	Appal. St.	102.8	101.9	103.9	102.9	SUN-E
34	Miami (Fla.)	101.5	104.1	101.7	102.4	ACC
35	W. Virginia	101.4	101.5	101.5	101.5	B12
36	Duke	100.6	101.3	100.0	100.6	ACC
37	SMU	100.6	100.1	99.6	100.1	AAC
38	Georgia Tech	100.6	99.9	99.6	100.0	ACC
39	Missouri	99.1	99.2	100.3	99.5	SEC-E
40	Boston Coll.	99.6	99.3	99.6	99.5	ACC
41	Wake Forest	98.3	99.4	98.3	98.7	ACC
42	Marshall	98.9	98.5	97.6	98.3	CUSA
43	Texas Tech	97.2	96.0	97.4	96.9	B12
44	Navy	98.1	96.1	96.0	96.7	AAC
45	W. Kentucky	95.9	97.0	96.7	96.5	CUSA
46	Temple	96.4	97.0	95.3	96.2	AAC
47	Tulsa	97.6	95.7	95.1	96.1	AAC
48	Arkansas St.	95.7	96.9	95.6	96.1	SUN-W
49	Florida Int’l.	95.4	95.2	95.8	95.5	CUSA
50	Syracuse	94.0	96.0	94.6	94.9	ACC
51	Arkansas	94.7	95.8	92.4	94.3	SEC-W
52	Tulane	94.5	94.7	93.6	94.3	AAC
53	Army	93.2	95.3	93.2	93.9	Ind.
54	USF	95.0	93.7	93.1	93.9	AAC
55	NC State	93.5	93.7	93.6	93.6	ACC
56	Georgia Sou.	92.7	93.7	94.0	93.5	SUN-E
57	U A B	92.6	93.4	92.1	92.7	CUSA
58	Vanderbilt	93.3	92.7	91.8	92.6	SEC-E
59	Coastal Car.	91.8	92.4	92.2	92.1	SUN-E
60	E. Carolina	92.1	92.6	90.9	91.9	AAC
61	Southern Miss.	88.5	89.0	87.2	88.2	CUSA
62	Troy	87.0	89.0	87.3	87.8	SUN-E
63	Georgia St.	87.8	87.5	87.7	87.7	SUN-E
64	La. Tech	86.5	88.0	87.7	87.4	CUSA
65	Liberty	86.2	89.1	86.8	87.4	Ind.
66	Charlotte	86.4	86.7	86.8	86.7	CUSA
67	Kansas	86.3	86.5	85.0	86.0	B12
68	S. Alabama	85.1	86.4	84.8	85.4	SUN-W
69	Rice	86.2	84.2	85.6	85.3	CUSA
70	Middle Tenn.	84.1	85.0	84.1	84.4	CUSA
71	Fla. Atlantic	81.3	83.0	81.4	81.9	CUSA
72	UL-Monroe	82.0	82.2	80.4	81.5	SUN-W
73	North Texas	78.1	79.3	78.5	78.7	CUSA
74	Texas St.	79.0	79.6	77.3	78.6	SUN-W
75	U T S A	77.1	77.0	76.5	76.9	CUSA
76	U T E P	63.4	66.0	63.0	64.1	CUSA

By Conference

American Athletic Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
UCF	109.2	109.6	110.5	109.8
Cincinnati	109.5	108.3	109.4	109.1
Memphis	109.0	107.7	108.2	108.3
Houston	104.7	103.2	103.2	103.7
SMU	100.6	100.1	99.6	100.1
Navy	98.1	96.1	96.0	96.7
Temple	96.4	97.0	95.3	96.2
Tulsa	97.6	95.7	95.1	96.1
Tulane	94.5	94.7	93.6	94.3
USF	95.0	93.7	93.1	93.9
E. Carolina	92.1	92.6	90.9	91.9


AAC Averages	100.6	99.9	99.5	100.0


Atlantic Coast Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
Clemson	123.7	124.7	127.6	125.4
Notre Dame	117.2	116.2	117.2	116.9
N. Carolina	111.9	112.4	113.3	112.5
Louisville	110.7	111.3	109.7	110.5
Virginia Tech	109.2	109.2	111.3	109.9
Virginia	106.6	106.1	106.3	106.4
Florida St.	105.5	103.9	105.4	104.9
Pittsburgh	103.9	105.7	104.1	104.6
Miami (Fla.)	101.5	104.1	101.7	102.4
Duke	100.6	101.3	100.0	100.6
Georgia Tech	100.6	99.9	99.6	100.0
Boston Coll.	99.6	99.3	99.6	99.5
Wake Forest	98.3	99.4	98.3	98.7
Syracuse	94.0	96.0	94.6	94.9
NC State	93.5	93.7	93.6	93.6


ACC Averages	105.1	105.6	105.5	105.4


Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
Oklahoma	117.1	117.1	117.3	117.2
Texas	116.3	115.1	116.4	115.9
Oklahoma St.	113.4	112.8	113.6	113.3
Baylor	108.0	108.1	108.2	108.1
Iowa St.	107.9	107.1	107.5	107.5
T C U	105.0	102.8	105.1	104.3
Kansas St.	104.2	103.0	104.1	103.8
W. Virginia	101.4	101.5	101.5	101.5
Texas Tech	97.2	96.0	97.4	96.9
Kansas	86.3	86.5	85.0	86.0


Big 12 Averages	105.7	105.0	105.6	105.4


Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
Marshall	98.9	98.5	97.6	98.3
W. Kentucky	95.9	97.0	96.7	96.5
Florida Int’l.	95.4	95.2	95.8	95.5
U A B	92.6	93.4	92.1	92.7
Southern Miss.	88.5	89.0	87.2	88.2
La. Tech	86.5	88.0	87.7	87.4
Charlotte	86.4	86.7	86.8	86.7
Rice	86.2	84.2	85.6	85.3
Middle Tenn.	84.1	85.0	84.1	84.4
Fla. Atlantic	81.3	83.0	81.4	81.9
North Texas	78.1	79.3	78.5	78.7
U T S A	77.1	77.0	76.5	76.9
U T E P	63.4	66.0	63.0	64.1


CUSA Averages	85.7	86.3	85.6	85.9


FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
BYU	106.7	105.2	106.3	106.1
Army	93.2	95.3	93.2	93.9
Liberty	86.2	89.1	86.8	87.4


Ind. Averages	95.4	96.5	95.4	95.8


Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
Georgia	121.1	119.4	121.9	120.8
Florida	119.7	119.3	120.8	119.9
Kentucky	110.3	110.5	111.5	110.8
Tennessee	109.1	109.0	109.6	109.2
S. Carolina	109.3	107.0	108.7	108.3
Missouri	99.1	99.2	100.3	99.5
Vanderbilt	93.3	92.7	91.8	92.6


West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
L S U	123.2	122.5	125.8	123.8
Alabama	121.4	122.3	123.3	122.3
Auburn	118.0	116.6	117.9	117.5
Texas A&M	115.7	115.8	115.9	115.8
Miss. St.	106.7	106.1	108.4	107.1
Ole Miss	104.1	102.5	103.8	103.4
Arkansas	94.7	95.8	92.4	94.3


SEC Averages	110.4	109.9	110.9	110.4


Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
Appal. St.	102.8	101.9	103.9	102.9
Georgia Sou.	92.7	93.7	94.0	93.5
Coastal Car.	91.8	92.4	92.2	92.1
Troy	87.0	89.0	87.3	87.8
Georgia St.	87.8	87.5	87.7	87.7


West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
Louisiana	106.2	105.7	106.2	106.0
Arkansas St.	95.7	96.9	95.6	96.1
S. Alabama	85.1	86.4	84.8	85.4
UL-Monroe	82.0	82.2	80.4	81.5
Texas St.	79.0	79.6	77.3	78.6


SBC Averages	91.0	91.5	90.9	91.2

Conference Ratings

#	League	Avg
1	Southeastern	110.4
2	Big 12	105.4
3	Atlantic Coast	105.4
4	American	100.0
5	Independents	95.8
6	Sun Belt	91.2
7	Conference USA	85.9

This Week’s TV Schedule

Friday, September 18
Time (ET)	Network	Home	Visitor
7:00 PM	ESPN3	Coastal Carolina	Campbell

Saturday, September 19
Time (ET)	Network	Home	Visitor
12:00 PM	Fox	Baylor	Houston
12:00 PM	ESPN	Oklahoma St.	Tulsa
12:00 PM	ESPN3	Duke	Boston College
12:00 PM	ESPN2	Georgia St.	Louisiana
12:00 PM	ACC	Pittsburgh	Syracuse
12:00 PM	ABC	Tulane	Navy
12:00 PM	ESPNU	Western Kentucky	Liberty
12:00 PM	ESPN+	Cincinnati	Austin Peay
1:30 PM	CBSSN	Marshall	Appalachian St.
2:30 PM	USA	Notre Dame	South Florida
3:00 PM	ABC	Georgia Tech	Central Florida
3:30 PM	ESPN3	North Carolina	Charlotte
3:30 PM	ESPN3	UTSA	S. F. Austin
4:00 PM	ACC	Clemson	The Citadel
4:00 PM	ESPN2	Georgia Southern	Florida Atlantic
4:00 PM	ESPNU	Middle Tennessee	Troy
6:00 PM	CBSSN	North Texas	SMU
7:00 PM	ESPN+	Louisville	Miami (Fla.)
7:30 PM	ABC	Arkansas St.	Central Arkansas
7:30 PM	ESPNU	UL Monroe	Texas St.
8:00 PM	ACC	NC State	Weake Forest
9:00 PM	ESPN3	UTEP	Abilene Christian

Comments (2)

October 3, 2018

PiRate Ratings Selections for October 4-8, 2018

Filed under: PiRate Picks_College & Pro — Tags: Alabama, Clemson, Florida, LSU, Money Line, Notre Dame, Parlay, spreads, Teaser, Totals — piratings @ 6:44 am

Another mediocre week by the PiRate Rating selections was offset by another spectacular week by three of our five Land Sharps.

Last week, our official picks went 4-7, to bring the total to date to 22-23-1. This took our minor profit for the season to a minor loss of 5.7% Return on Investment. We will include some Money Line parlays that give us better than +150 odds this week in an attempt to get back into the black. In the past, we have done well when playing 4-game parlays that give us better than +150 odds, but we tend to cash in big on these parlays in November. Hopefully, October will be nice to us.

As for the Land Sharps, Buckeye Michelle, Friday Dog 13, and Cal Gal Tiffany continue to draw the ire of the kind people in the State of Nevada. If they keep up this streak, they will not be allowed to patronize the books (Note–every pick on this site is done strictly for entertainment purposes only, so they really have no connection with any books).

Dean615 and Stewed Meat have treaded water so far, as both as exactly .500 in their picks. In Stewed’s defense, these are this Land Sharp’s “B” picks. Stewed is a real professional, and Stewed A’s picks last week (college and NFL) went 8-3 including a Parlay win that returned 6 to 1 odds for a big profit.

This week, our Land Sharps have picked between 5 and 9 games. Because we try not to do the same thing, and we include the NFL in our official picks, we are going with 9 selections–3 vs. spreads, 4, 10-point teasers, and 2 Money Line Parlays.

PiRate Ratings Official Picks

Margins

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Akron	Miami (O)	3	Akron
Baltimore	Cleveland	3	Baltimore
San Francisco	Arizona	3.5	San Francisco

10-Point Teasers (3-team parlays)

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Louisville	Georgia Tech	6.5	Georgia Tech
Boston College	North Carolina St.	5.5	North Carolina St.
LSU	Florida	13	Florida

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Alabama	Arkansas	24	Alabama
Clemson	Wake Forest	7.5	Clemson
Miami (Fla.)	Florida St.	2.5	Miami (Fla.)

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
South Florida	Massachusetts	4	South Florida
Georgia Southern	South Alabama	3.5	Georgia Southern
Ole Miss	Louisiana-Monroe	2.5	Ole Miss

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Central Florida	SMU	14	Central Florida
Washington St.	Oregon St.	6.5	Washington St.
Fresno St.	Nevada	2	Fresno St.

Money Line Parlays

4 Teams at +168

Winner	Loser
North Carolina St.	Boston College
Troy	Georgia St.
UNLV	New Mexico
Miami (Fla.)	Florida St.

4 Teams at +174

Winner	Loser
Liberty	New Mexico St.
South Florida	Massachusetts
Buffalo	Central Michigan
Georgia Southern	South Alabama

The Land Sharps

Buckeye Michelle

Year to Date: 14-6 70.0%, 37.0% Return on Investment

Connecticut +36 vs. Memphis

Kentucky +6 vs. Texas A&M

Minnesota +7.5 vs. Iowa

Air Force +3.5 vs. Navy

UAB +9.5 vs. Louisiana Tech

Friday Dog 13

Year to Date: 11-5 68.8%, 34.4% Return on Investment

Marshall -6 vs. Middle Tennessee

Akron -3 vs. Miami (O)

Ole Miss -22 vs. Louisiana-Monroe

West Virginia -28.5 vs. Kansas

Central Florida -24 vs. SMU

North Carolina St. -4 vs. Boston College

South Florida -4 vs. Massachusetts

Syracuse -3.5 vs. Pittsburgh

Kentucky +6 vs. Texas A&M

Cal Gal Tiffany

Year to Date: 17-9 65.4%, 27.3% Return on Investment

Utah St. +3 vs. BYU

North Carolina St. -4 vs. Boston College

LSU -2.5 vs. Florida

Florida St. +13 vs. Miami (Fla.)

Georgia Southern -13.5 vs. South Alabama

Auburn -3 vs. Mississippi St.

Georgia -26.5 vs. Vanderbilt

Stewed Meat

Year to Date: 11-11 50.0%, -5% Return on Investment

Georgia Tech -3.5 vs. Louisville

North Carolina St. -4 vs. Boston College

Florida +3 vs. LSU

Akron -3 vs. Miami (O)

Colorado -2.5 vs. Arizona St.

Houston & Tulsa UNDER 70.5

Michigan & Maryland UNDER 49

Dean615

Year to Date: 7-7 50.0%, -5.0% Return on Investment

Notre Dame -6 vs. Virginia Tech

Wisconsin -17.5 vs. Nebraska

Texas A&M -5.5 vs. Kentucky

Florida & LSU UNDER 44.5

Notre Dame & Virginia Tech OVER 56.5

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October 3, 2018

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