PiRate Picks For August 28, 2021

Welcome to all the newcomers to the PiRate Ratings site for the 2021-2022 football season. Saturday, we have the fortune of having a dress rehearsal for the college football season. Nine FBS teams will be in action, as one FBS team plays an FCS opponent.

The PiRate Ratings enjoy issuing picks against the spread or money line on Thursdays each week until January. Because we are most concerned with Money Line Parlays, there are only five options to combine games this week, and many of the books do not issue a line for FBS vs. FCS games. So, in a quest to obtain the best odds, there really are just four games.

This presents multiple issues that basically make it close to impossible to issue a real wager, because the options don’t fit our paradigm. Let’s take a look.

First, before we get started, you must know and understand one thing. We offer these selections purely for the fun of it. It is math and not gambling to us. We NEVER bet on sports. We play with a pretend bankroll that never runs out. We wager the same amount of fake currency on every selection–$100. It could just as easily be $5, $10, $1000, $5000, whatever, but $100 is an easy number and typical of many wagers in real life.

Second, we urge you with everything we can say about it to NOT use this weekly feature as betting advice, unless you have legitimate advice or are a professional, and then this becomes a secondary reference.

Third, we hunt around for the best possible odds on our pretend wagers. You may or may not be able to find the same odds we do, because you would have to search at the exact same time we do. Because, we are not limited to just the legal books available to us in our state of Tennessee, where betting is legal, we might pick a parlay based on a sports book that is only for people in Nevada, or New Jersey, or even off shore.

Okay, now that you know the ground rules, here is our specialty–Money Line Parlays. The money line is different from the spread of a game, but the number is the equivalent of a spread. If a team is favored by 7 points, their money line is going to be roughly -330, and if a team is a 7-point underdog, their money line is going to be roughly +250.

How does a Money Line work? If the line is a negative number, if you wager the amount of the negative number and win, you will receive $100 plus the amount you wagered. So, if you wager on a team at -300, and you bet $300, if the bet wins, you will get back $400 (your investment money plus $100). If you lose, you are out the $300. On the other hand, if the line is a positive number, you can win that amount of money with a $100 wager. So, if the line on a team is +300, you can wager $100, and if the team wins, you receive $400 (your investment money plus $300).

In Money Line wagers, all that matters is that the team you picked wins the game, be it by 1 point or 63 points. Obviously, if Alabama is playing Mercer, the odds are going to be such that to win $100, you will have to put up maybe $100,000. So, if you bet $100 on Alabama at -100000, when Alabama wins, you receive $100.01. Would you risk $100,000 to win one penny?

When you wager on more than one money line to win as one bet, this is called a parlay. Let’s say that you like Mississippi State to beat Arkansas and Oklahoma State to beat Texas Tech. Mississippi State’s money line number is -275. Oklahoma State’s money line number is -250. By combining these two wagers into one bet, with $100 riding on the outcome, instead of attempting to win a little more than $36 on MSU and $40 on OSU, by combining the two games into a parlay, you stand to win almost $91 if both teams win. If you bet them individually, you would only win $76, so by combining the two, you win $15 more. Of course, if one team wins and the other loses, your losses would be less by playing the games separately.

The question you most likely wanted to ask while reading the above paragraph is, “Why risk playing two separate games that both teams you selected must win and still not get even money?” Did you ask it? The answer to that question is, “You are correct; why wager $100 to just win $91 and then have to be right twice to cash it?” You can bet a regular game against the spread and get 11-10 odds, just a fraction better than the odds of the parlay above.

The ultimate answer is that we are only looking for parlays that pay better than even money. We really don’t want to play any parlays at less than +120 odds, where we would win $6 for every $5 wagered.

The next question you might have is, “Isn’t finding two teams to win and pay off at +120 going to require me to bet an underdog to win outright?”

Our answer to you is, “Yes, but we don’t look for many two-team money line parlays. Let’s take a look at another example with three teams.

Let’s say that we believe that Washington will beat Oregon State, and the money line is -260.

We also believe that Army will beat Temple, and the money line is -240.

And, we believe that Wisconsin will beat Purdue, and the money line is -250.

If you wager $100 on these three teams to win, and all three teams win, your payout is just under $175 plus the $100 you wagered for almost $275 ($274.62 to be exact.)

Let’s take a look at 5 wagers, where we win two and lose three at these odds

We bet $500 at $100 for 5 wagers.

On the two winning wagers, we receive $275 * 2 or $550.

Invest $500 and win $550 by being right 40% of the time. In one week, we have made a 10% return on an investment. What investment on the Stock Market makes a 10% gain in one week after you have paid the commissions on the trip?

Ah, but here’s the rub: how often can you wager on 5 money line parlays that average +175 and win 40% of the parlays? Most people fall into this trap and only win about one of five of these parlays. At 20% success, you lose $225 a week for a 45% loss. Now, where can you loses 45% in the stock market in one week? We put our real money in high-cap value stocks with durable competitive advantages, long histories of consistent increases in earnings, and long histories of consistent dividend payouts. The pretend money is just fine for football wagering.

By now, you want to know who we are picking in Week 0 of the college football season. Maybe, you have figured it out already. We don’t have any official picks this week, because there are not enough games to come up with a parlay better than +120.

Here is a practice parlay that is not an official pick, but shown here to show you what we mean.

The three games involved are: Nebraska versus Illinois, UCLA versus Hawaii, and UTEP versus New Mexico St.

Let’s say that we think Illinois will upset the Cornhuskers, UCLA will take care of Hawaii, and UTEP will win the big rivalry game.

Here are the three Money Lines for these three games.

Illinois +215 vs. Nebraska

UCLA -875 vs. Hawaii

UTEP -390 vs. New Mexico St.

This parlay calculates to +341. If we wager $100 on this game, and Illinois, UCLA, and UTEP all win, we receive $441 in our account (The $100 we wagered plus the $341 on the win).

Why isn’t this an official pick? We believe that Illinois might have been an excellent pick against the spread when the Illinois-Nebraska game spread opened at -9 1/2. But, it has come down to -6 1/2 as of this writing. Sharp money was wagers on Illinois +9 1/2, and also on Nebraska -6 1/2. A three-point middling is too good to be true. Playing both sides, the Sharps only need to have the game win both sides one out of every 19 times (5.26%) to make a profit. The spreads of 7, 8, and 9 account for 10.8% of all FBS college football games. That’s double the amount needed to make a profit. The key is the Sharps can find these spreads when they open. Also, playing the opening lines is the most effective way to win for a Sharp.

The UTEP-New Mexico State game is the biggest issue in this parlay. One axiom that older Sharps believe in is not to rely on a losing program to have to win for you to win. The Miners are probably a 3-9 team, which is almost a good year for this program. The Aggies are really weak and should be an underdog in every game, but this is their big rival, maybe bigger than playing New Mexico. The I-10 rivalry frequently is a tossup game.

Two out of three of these games are iffy. The chances that Illinois pulls off the upset of Nebraska are not good enough to have faith in this parlay winning. Scott Frost is in deep cow poo if the Cornhuskers don’t win at least six games and earn a bowl bid, and losing to the weakest Big Ten team will turn the heater on in his heated seat. This will be Bret Bielema’s first game as Illinois head coach, and he brought in an offensive coordinator that runs a system totally different from what the Illini ran under Lovie Smith. Expect growing pains.

We hope this gets you pumped for next week, when there will be more than enough games to play some parlays.

PiRate Ratings–College Football For October 22-24, 2020

PiRate Ratings Spreads For This Week

Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Appalachian St.	Arkansas St.	10.3	8.0	11.0
USF	Tulsa	-11.4	-11.1	-11.7
Wisconsin	Illinois	20.4	18.4	20.2
UAB	Louisiana	-5.8	-4.7	-5.9
Kansas St.	Kansas	26.2	25.5	27.9
Fresno St.	Hawaii	1.0	1.5	1.7
Clemson	Syracuse	42.4	42.2	45.7
North Carolina	NC St.	12.2	12.0	12.6
Ohio St.	Nebraska	25.3	24.4	26.7
Ole Miss	Auburn	-6.6	-6.1	-6.1
Michigan St.	Rutgers	8.5	9.8	11.0
TCU	Oklahoma	-6.1	-8.0	-6.0
Memphis	Temple	15.4	14.5	15.9
Charlotte	UTEP	20.0	17.6	20.4
Coastal Carolina	Ga. Southern	6.1	5.5	5.9
Louisville	Florida St.	5.7	7.0	4.4
Liberty	Southern Miss.	10.3	12.7	12.2
UCF	Tulane	15.1	15.7	16.9
Marshall	Fla. Atlantic	22.0	20.6	21.3
Tennessee	Alabama	-14.5	-16.1	-16.1
Pittsburgh	Notre Dame	-14.6	-12.3	-14.2
Oklahoma St.	Iowa St.	6.8	6.9	6.5
Indiana	Penn St.	-10.8	-9.0	-9.0
Wake Forest	Va. Tech	-9.4	-9.1	-11.3
Rice	Middle Tenn.	7.9	5.0	7.3
Navy	Houston	-6.4	-6.0	-6.4
Texas	Baylor	4.6	3.0	4.3
Purdue	Iowa	-4.4	-3.2	-4.9
Troy	Georgia St.	-2.1	-0.5	-1.6
Boston College	Georgia Tech	8.1	8.7	9.2
Missouri	Kentucky	-9.2	-9.3	-9.3
Texas Tech	West Va.	-0.7	-1.9	-0.7
LSU	South Carolina	7.2	8.5	9.7
Boise St.	Utah St.	15.8	16.1	16.0
Nevada	Wyoming	-4.4	-5.4	-5.2
South Alabama	UL-Monroe	11.6	12.6	12.6
Minnesota	Michigan	1.9	3.6	2.2
Northwestern	Maryland	10.5	10.5	14.6
Miami (Fla.)	Virginia	8.2	10.7	9.0
UTSA	La. Tech	-3.6	-4.0	-3.6
SMU	Cincinnati	-6.1	-5.5	-6.3
Colorado St.	New Mexico	9.1	9.4	10.2
BYU	Texas St.	32.1	30.8	33.6
San Diego St.	UNLV	14.4	14.2	15.9
San Jose St.	Air Force	-13.3	-12.2	-14.1

Games with Strikethrough lines have been called off due to Covid-19.

FBS vs. FCS

FBS	FCS	PiRate
Florida Intl.	J’Ville St.	7.8
Army	Mercer	26.2
Western Ky.	Chattanooga	9.6

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

10/18
#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg.	Conference
1	Clemson	130.5	131.7	134.0	132.1	ACC
2	Ohio St.	131.3	130.0	134.3	131.9	BTen-E
3	Alabama	125.8	126.9	127.8	126.8	SEC-W
4	Georgia	123.6	122.6	124.5	123.6	SEC-E
5	Penn St.	122.2	121.0	122.8	122.0	BTen-E
6	Wisconsin	122.5	119.9	123.3	121.9	BTen-W
7	Florida	119.9	119.2	120.4	119.8	SEC-E
8	Oregon	119.5	117.9	119.3	118.9	P12-N
9	Notre Dame	119.3	118.4	118.8	118.8	ACC
10	L S U	117.6	116.9	119.7	118.1	SEC-W
11	Oklahoma St.	115.5	114.8	115.4	115.2	B12
12	U S C	116.2	113.5	115.2	115.0	P12-S
13	Texas A&M	114.1	114.3	114.6	114.3	SEC-W
14	Oklahoma	114.4	113.7	114.2	114.1	B12
15	Kentucky	113.6	113.7	115.0	114.1	SEC-E
16	Minnesota	112.3	113.2	114.4	113.3	BTen-W
17	Texas	113.5	112.0	113.2	112.9	B12
18	N. Carolina	112.4	112.7	113.5	112.9	ACC
19	Iowa	112.3	112.0	114.1	112.8	BTen-W
20	Michigan	112.3	111.6	114.2	112.7	BTen-E
21	Auburn	113.4	111.8	112.8	112.7	SEC-W
22	Virginia Tech	111.4	111.8	113.2	112.1	ACC
23	S. Carolina	112.3	110.5	112.0	111.6	SEC-E
24	UCF	110.6	110.8	111.3	110.9	AAC
25	Iowa St.	110.7	109.9	110.9	110.5	B12
26	Indiana	109.4	110.0	111.8	110.4	BTen-E
27	Cincinnati	110.7	109.8	110.4	110.3	AAC
28	BYU	110.5	109.8	110.5	110.3	Ind.
29	Miami (Fla.)	109.0	111.5	109.7	110.1	ACC
30	Washington	110.2	108.9	110.9	110.0	P12-N
31	Baylor	109.9	110.0	110.0	110.0	B12
32	Utah	109.3	108.9	110.0	109.4	P12-S
33	Tennessee	109.3	108.8	109.7	109.3	SEC-E
34	Memphis	109.4	108.5	108.6	108.8	AAC
35	Kansas St.	108.8	107.8	109.1	108.6	B12
36	Nebraska	108.0	107.6	109.5	108.4	BTen-W
37	California	107.5	107.7	107.8	107.7	P12-N
38	Arizona St.	107.8	107.4	107.8	107.6	P12-S
39	Boise St.	107.3	107.1	106.8	107.1	MWC-M
40	Purdue	105.9	106.8	107.2	106.6	BTen-W
41	Miss. St.	106.4	105.8	107.3	106.5	SEC-W
42	Louisville	106.8	106.9	105.7	106.4	ACC
43	T C U	106.3	103.7	106.2	105.4	B12
44	Washington St.	104.8	103.5	105.9	104.7	P12-N
45	Ole Miss	104.8	103.7	104.7	104.4	SEC-W
46	Northwestern	103.5	103.4	106.1	104.4	BTen-W
47	Air Force	103.9	104.7	104.1	104.2	MWC-M
48	Illinois	104.1	103.5	105.1	104.2	BTen-W
49	Stanford	105.0	102.5	104.2	103.9	P12-N
50	Louisiana	103.7	103.1	103.3	103.4	SUN-W
51	Pittsburgh	102.7	104.1	102.6	103.1	ACC
52	Michigan St.	102.9	102.7	103.4	103.0	BTen-E
53	Houston	104.0	102.3	102.5	102.9	AAC
54	SMU	103.1	102.8	102.5	102.8	AAC
55	Missouri	102.4	102.4	103.7	102.8	SEC-E
56	Virginia	102.8	102.8	102.7	102.8	ACC
57	Florida St.	103.1	101.9	103.3	102.8	ACC
58	Oregon St.	103.0	103.3	101.8	102.7	P12-N
59	Marshall	102.8	102.6	102.3	102.5	CUSA-E
60	W. Virginia	102.4	102.4	102.5	102.4	B12
61	Appal. St.	102.0	100.9	102.7	101.9	SUN-E
62	NC State	101.2	101.6	101.9	101.6	ACC
63	Tulsa	102.4	100.6	100.7	101.2	AAC
64	Arkansas	101.3	102.0	100.1	101.1	SEC-W
65	U C L A	102.2	100.7	100.3	101.1	P12-S
66	Wake Forest	100.5	101.1	100.4	100.7	ACC
67	Boston Coll.	100.6	100.5	100.7	100.6	ACC
68	Arizona	101.4	99.7	100.4	100.5	P12-S
69	Texas Tech	99.7	98.4	99.9	99.3	B12
70	Coastal Car.	98.0	98.5	98.6	98.4	SUN-E
71	Wyoming	97.0	98.6	98.4	98.0	MWC-M
72	Duke	98.2	98.3	97.4	97.9	ACC
73	Colorado	97.8	99.1	95.7	97.5	P12-S
74	Buffalo	96.7	97.3	97.6	97.2	MAC-E
75	Tulane	97.5	97.1	96.4	97.0	AAC
76	U A B	96.8	97.4	96.4	96.9	CUSA-W
77	San Diego St.	95.9	97.2	96.8	96.6	MWC-W
78	Temple	95.9	96.1	94.7	95.6	AAC
79	Rutgers	96.4	94.9	94.4	95.2	BTen-E
80	Ohio	94.3	95.1	96.0	95.1	MAC-E
81	Liberty	93.6	96.3	94.5	94.8	Ind.
82	Navy	95.6	94.3	94.0	94.6	AAC
83	Maryland	95.1	94.9	93.6	94.5	BTen-E
84	Hawaii	94.8	94.7	93.8	94.4	MWC-W
85	Georgia Sou.	93.4	94.5	94.3	94.1	SUN-E
86	Miami (O)	94.7	93.2	94.0	93.9	MAC-E
87	Georgia Tech	94.5	93.8	93.5	93.9	ACC
88	Arkansas St.	93.3	94.4	93.2	93.6	SUN-W
89	Fresno St.	93.3	93.7	92.9	93.3	MWC-W
90	Utah St.	93.5	93.0	92.9	93.1	MWC-M
91	Central Mich.	93.2	92.7	93.3	93.1	MAC-W
92	Army	92.4	94.1	92.5	93.0	Ind.
93	Florida Int’l.	93.1	92.8	93.1	93.0	CUSA-E
94	Ball St.	92.6	91.9	93.0	92.5	MAC-W
95	E. Carolina	92.3	92.1	90.9	91.8	AAC
96	Georgia St.	91.8	91.7	91.7	91.7	SUN-E
97	Vanderbilt	92.2	91.4	90.8	91.5	SEC-E
98	Colorado St.	91.1	92.1	91.2	91.5	MWC-M
99	Syracuse	90.6	92.0	90.8	91.2	ACC
100	Nevada	90.6	91.1	91.1	91.0	MWC-W
101	W. Kentucky	90.5	91.2	90.6	90.8	CUSA-E
102	Western Mich.	89.1	91.2	90.4	90.2	MAC-W
103	Kent St.	90.1	89.4	89.5	89.7	MAC-E
104	San Jose St.	89.2	91.0	88.5	89.6	MWC-W
105	Troy	88.2	89.6	88.6	88.8	SUN-E
106	Toledo	88.5	89.7	88.0	88.7	MAC-W
107	Charlotte	88.4	88.5	88.7	88.6	CUSA-E
108	USF	89.5	88.0	87.5	88.3	AAC
109	Rice	86.8	84.3	86.1	85.7	CUSA-W
110	La. Tech	85.3	86.2	85.4	85.7	CUSA-W
111	Southern Miss.	84.8	85.1	83.8	84.6	CUSA-W
112	S. Alabama	83.8	84.9	83.4	84.0	SUN-W
113	U N L V	83.5	85.0	83.0	83.8	MWC-W
114	N. Illinois	82.8	84.6	83.2	83.6	MAC-W
115	New Mexico	83.6	84.3	82.4	83.4	MWC-M
116	Fla. Atlantic	82.8	84.0	83.0	83.2	CUSA-E
117	Eastern Mich.	82.4	84.5	82.8	83.2	MAC-W
118	Kansas	83.6	83.3	82.2	83.1	B12
119	Middle Tenn.	80.4	80.8	80.2	80.5	CUSA-E
120	U T S A	80.3	80.7	80.3	80.4	CUSA-W
121	Texas St.	80.4	81.0	78.9	80.1	SUN-W
122	North Texas	76.6	77.1	76.4	76.7	CUSA-W
123	Bowling Green	74.4	76.1	70.6	73.7	MAC-E
124	Akron	73.1	75.5	71.5	73.4	MAC-E
125	UL-Monroe	73.7	73.8	72.3	73.3	SUN-W
126	U T E P	69.9	72.4	69.8	70.7	CUSA-W
127	Mass.	62.1	68.7	59.9	63.6	Ind.

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	AAC	Overall
UCF	110.6	110.8	111.3	110.9	1-2	2-2
Cincinnati	110.7	109.8	110.4	110.3	1-0	3-0
Memphis	109.4	108.5	108.6	108.8	1-1	2-1
Houston	104.0	102.3	102.5	102.9	1-0	1-1
SMU	103.1	102.8	102.5	102.8	2-0	5-0
Tulsa	102.4	100.6	100.7	101.2	1-0	1-1
Tulane	97.5	97.1	96.4	97.0	0-3	2-3
Temple	95.9	96.1	94.7	95.6	1-1	1-1
Navy	95.6	94.3	94.0	94.6	3-0	3-2
E. Carolina	92.3	92.1	90.9	91.8	1-1	1-3
USF	89.5	88.0	87.5	88.3	0-3	1-4
AAC Avg.	101.0	100.2	99.9	100.4
Atlantic Coast Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	ACC	Overall
Clemson	130.5	131.7	134.0	132.1	4-0	5-0
Notre Dame	119.3	118.4	118.8	118.8	3-0	4-0
N. Carolina	112.4	112.7	113.5	112.9	3-1	3-1
Virginia Tech	111.4	111.8	113.2	112.1	3-1	3-1
Miami (Fla.)	109.0	111.5	109.7	110.1	3-1	4-1
Louisville	106.8	106.9	105.7	106.4	0-4	1-4
Pittsburgh	102.7	104.1	102.6	103.1	2-3	3-3
Virginia	102.8	102.8	102.7	102.8	1-3	1-3
Florida St.	103.1	101.9	103.3	102.8	1-3	2-3
NC State	101.2	101.6	101.9	101.6	4-1	4-1
Wake Forest	100.5	101.1	100.4	100.7	1-2	2-2
Boston Coll.	100.6	100.5	100.7	100.6	2-2	3-2
Duke	98.2	98.3	97.4	97.9	1-5	1-5
Georgia Tech	94.5	93.8	93.5	93.9	2-2	2-3
Syracuse	90.6	92.0	90.8	91.2	1-3	1-4
ACC Avg.	105.6	105.9	105.9	105.8
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	B12	Overall
Oklahoma St.	115.5	114.8	115.4	115.2	2-0	3-0
Oklahoma	114.4	113.7	114.2	114.1	1-2	2-2
Texas	113.5	112.0	113.2	112.9	1-2	2-2
Iowa St.	110.7	109.9	110.9	110.5	3-0	3-1
Baylor	109.9	110.0	110.0	110.0	1-1	1-1
Kansas St.	108.8	107.8	109.1	108.6	3-0	3-1
T C U	106.3	103.7	106.2	105.4	1-2	1-2
W. Virginia	102.4	102.4	102.5	102.4	2-1	3-1
Texas Tech	99.7	98.4	99.9	99.3	0-3	1-3
Kansas	83.6	83.3	82.2	83.1	0-3	0-4
Big 12 Avg.	106.5	105.6	106.4	106.2
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Ohio St.	131.3	130.0	134.3	131.9	0-0	0-0
Penn St.	122.2	121.0	122.8	122.0	0-0	0-0
Michigan	112.3	111.6	114.2	112.7	0-0	0-0
Indiana	109.4	110.0	111.8	110.4	0-0	0-0
Michigan St.	102.9	102.7	103.4	103.0	0-0	0-0
Rutgers	96.4	94.9	94.4	95.2	0-0	0-0
Maryland	95.1	94.9	93.6	94.5	0-0	0-0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Wisconsin	122.5	119.9	123.3	121.9	0-0	0-0
Minnesota	112.3	113.2	114.4	113.3	0-0	0-0
Iowa	112.3	112.0	114.1	112.8	0-0	0-0
Nebraska	108.0	107.6	109.5	108.4	0-0	0-0
Purdue	105.9	106.8	107.2	106.6	0-0	0-0
Northwestern	103.5	103.4	106.1	104.4	0-0	0-0
Illinois	104.1	103.5	105.1	104.2	0-0	0-0
Big Ten Avg.	109.9	109.4	111.0	110.1
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	CUSA	Overall
Marshall	102.8	102.6	102.3	102.5	2-0	4-0
Florida Int’l.	93.1	92.8	93.1	93.0	0-1	0-2
W. Kentucky	90.5	91.2	90.6	90.8	1-2	1-4
Charlotte	88.4	88.5	88.7	88.6	1-1	1-2
Fla. Atlantic	82.8	84.0	83.0	83.2	1-0	1-0
Middle Tenn.	80.4	80.8	80.2	80.5	1-3	1-5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	CUSA	Overall
U A B	96.8	97.4	96.4	96.9	2-0	4-1
Rice	86.8	84.3	86.1	85.7	0-0	0-0
La. Tech	85.3	86.2	85.4	85.7	2-1	3-2
Southern Miss.	84.8	85.1	83.8	84.6	1-1	1-3
U T S A	80.3	80.7	80.3	80.4	1-1	3-3
North Texas	76.6	77.1	76.4	76.7	1-2	2-3
U T E P	69.9	72.4	69.8	70.7	0-1	3-2
CUSA Avg.	86.0	86.4	85.9	86.1
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
BYU	110.5	109.8	110.5	110.3	x	5-0
Liberty	93.6	96.3	94.5	94.8	x	5-0
Army	92.4	94.1	92.5	93.0	x	4-1
Mass.	62.1	68.7	59.9	63.6	x	0-1
Ind. Avg.	89.6	92.2	89.4	90.4
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
Buffalo	96.7	97.3	97.6	97.2	0-0	0-0
Ohio	94.3	95.1	96.0	95.1	0-0	0-0
Miami (O)	94.7	93.2	94.0	93.9	0-0	0-0
Kent St.	90.1	89.4	89.5	89.7	0-0	0-0
Bowling Green	74.4	76.1	70.6	73.7	0-0	0-0
Akron	73.1	75.5	71.5	73.4	0-0	0-0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
Central Mich.	93.2	92.7	93.3	93.1	0-0	0-0
Ball St.	92.6	91.9	93.0	92.5	0-0	0-0
Western Mich.	89.1	91.2	90.4	90.2	0-0	0-0
Toledo	88.5	89.7	88.0	88.7	0-0	0-0
N. Illinois	82.8	84.6	83.2	83.6	0-0	0-0
Eastern Mich.	82.4	84.5	82.8	83.2	0-0	0-0
MAC Avg.	87.6	88.4	87.5	87.9
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
Boise St.	107.3	107.1	106.8	107.1	0-0	0-0
Air Force	103.9	104.7	104.1	104.2	0-0	1-0
Wyoming	97.0	98.6	98.4	98.0	0-0	0-0
Utah St.	93.5	93.0	92.9	93.1	0-0	0-0
Colorado St.	91.1	92.1	91.2	91.5	0-0	0-0
New Mexico	83.6	84.3	82.4	83.4	0-0	0-0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
San Diego St.	95.9	97.2	96.8	96.6	0-0	0-0
Hawaii	94.8	94.7	93.8	94.4	0-0	0-0
Fresno St.	93.3	93.7	92.9	93.3	0-0	0-0
Nevada	90.6	91.1	91.1	91.0	0-0	0-0
San Jose St.	89.2	91.0	88.5	89.6	0-0	0-0
U N L V	83.5	85.0	83.0	83.8	0-0	0-0
MWC Avg.	93.6	94.4	93.5	93.8
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
Oregon	119.5	117.9	119.3	118.9	0-0	0-0
Washington	110.2	108.9	110.9	110.0	0-0	0-0
California	107.5	107.7	107.8	107.7	0-0	0-0
Washington St.	104.8	103.5	105.9	104.7	0-0	0-0
Stanford	105.0	102.5	104.2	103.9	0-0	0-0
Oregon St.	103.0	103.3	101.8	102.7	0-0	0-0
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
U S C	116.2	113.5	115.2	115.0	0-0	0-0
Utah	109.3	108.9	110.0	109.4	0-0	0-0
Arizona St.	107.8	107.4	107.8	107.6	0-0	0-0
U C L A	102.2	100.7	100.3	101.1	0-0	0-0
Arizona	101.4	99.7	100.4	100.5	0-0	0-0
Colorado	97.8	99.1	95.7	97.5	0-0	0-0
P12 Avg.	107.1	106.1	106.6	106.6
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SEC	Overall
Georgia	123.6	122.6	124.5	123.6	3-1	3-1
Florida	119.9	119.2	120.4	119.8	2-1	2-1
Kentucky	113.6	113.7	115.0	114.1	2-2	2-2
S. Carolina	112.3	110.5	112.0	111.6	2-2	2-2
Tennessee	109.3	108.8	109.7	109.3	2-2	2-2
Missouri	102.4	102.4	103.7	102.8	1-2	1-2
Vanderbilt	92.2	91.4	90.8	91.5	0-3	0-3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SEC	Overall
Alabama	125.8	126.9	127.8	126.8	4-0	4-0
L S U	117.6	116.9	119.7	118.1	1-2	1-2
Texas A&M	114.1	114.3	114.6	114.3	3-1	3-1
Auburn	113.4	111.8	112.8	112.7	2-2	2-2
Miss. St.	106.4	105.8	107.3	106.5	1-3	1-3
Ole Miss	104.8	103.7	104.7	104.4	1-3	1-3
Arkansas	101.3	102.0	100.1	101.1	2-2	2-2
SEC Avg.	111.2	110.7	111.6	111.2
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SBC	Overall
Appal. St.	102.0	100.9	102.7	101.9	0-0	2-1
Coastal Car.	98.0	98.5	98.6	98.4	2-0	4-0
Georgia Sou.	93.4	94.5	94.3	94.1	1-1	3-1
Georgia St.	91.8	91.7	91.7	91.7	0-2	1-2
Troy	88.2	89.6	88.6	88.8	1-0	3-1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SBC	Overall
Louisiana	103.7	103.1	103.3	103.4	2-1	3-1
Arkansas St.	93.3	94.4	93.2	93.6	1-1	3-2
S. Alabama	83.8	84.9	83.4	84.0	1-0	2-2
Texas St.	80.4	81.0	78.9	80.1	1-2	1-5
UL-Monroe	73.7	73.8	72.3	73.3	0-2	0-5
Sun Avg.	90.8	91.2	90.7	90.9

Rating of Conferences

#	League	Avg
1	SEC	111.2
2	BTen	110.1
3	P12	106.6
4	B12	106.2
5	ACC	105.8
6	AAC	100.4
7	MWC	93.8
8	Sun	90.9
9	Ind.	90.4
10	MAC	87.9
11	CUSA	86.1

PiRate Ratings College Football For September 20, 2020

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
S. Alabama	UAB	-6.0	-5.5	-5.8
UTSA	Middle Tenn.	-1.2	-2.2	-1.6
Oklahoma	Kansas St.	15.4	16.6	15.7
Ole Miss	Florida	-13.2	-14.3	-14.5
Wake Forest	Notre Dame	-20.7	-18.9	-20.9
Auburn	Kentucky	10.1	8.7	8.9
East Carolina	UCF	-18.6	-18.4	-21.0
Pittsburgh	Louisville	-1.7	-0.4	-0.4
Louisiana	Ga. Southern	14.5	12.9	13.0
Syracuse	Georgia Tech	-3.2	-0.5	-1.5
Charlotte	Georgia St.	-1.2	-0.6	-0.9
Liberty	Florida Intl.	-5.3	-2.2	-4.9
TCU	Iowa St.	-0.9	-2.2	-0.3
LSU	Mississippi St.	19.0	18.9	19.9
Texas Tech	Texas	-17.6	-17.5	-17.6
Oklahoma St.	West Va.	12.8	11.9	12.5
Cincinnati	Army	18.5	15.2	18.3
UL Monroe	UTEP	18.9	16.4	17.5
Arkansas St.	Tulsa	-1.8	1.1	0.3
Arkansas	Georgia	-23.9	-21.1	-27.0
Virginia	Duke	10.3	9.3	10.6
Boston Coll.	Texas St.	24.4	23.6	26.0
Fla. Atlantic	USF	-8.4	-5.3	-6.3
Missouri	Alabama	-20.3	-21.1	-21.0
Houston	North Texas	28.8	26.5	27.3
Southern Miss.	Tulane	-4.8	-4.3	-4.9
Texas A&M	Vanderbilt	24.9	25.5	26.6
S. Carolina	Tennessee	2.7	0.5	1.6
Miami (Fla.)	Florida St.	1.4	5.8	1.8
Baylor	Kansas	23.7	23.6	25.1
Va. Tech	NC St.	17.2	16.7	19.0
BYU	Troy	19.1	15.6	18.2

FBS vs. FCS
FBS	FCS	PiRate
Appal. St.	Campbell	33.9
La. Tech	Hou. Baptist	25.8
SMU	S.F. Austin	30.7

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Including the Big Ten

9/20/20
#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg.	Conference
1	Ohio St.	131.2	129.6	133.7	131.5	BTen-E
2	Clemson	124.7	125.7	128.6	126.4	ACC
3	L S U	123.2	122.5	125.8	123.8	SEC-W
4	Alabama	121.4	122.3	123.3	122.3	SEC-W
5	Wisconsin	122.4	119.5	122.7	121.5	BTen-W
6	Penn St.	122.1	120.6	122.2	121.6	BTen-E
7	Georgia	121.1	119.4	121.9	120.8	SEC-E
8	Florida	119.7	119.3	120.8	119.9	SEC-E
9	Notre Dame	120.0	119.1	120.1	119.7	ACC
10	Auburn	118.0	116.6	117.9	117.5	SEC-W
11	Oklahoma	117.1	117.1	117.3	117.2	B12
12	Texas	116.3	115.1	116.4	115.9	B12
13	Texas A&M	115.7	115.8	115.9	115.8	SEC-W
14	Minnesota	112.2	112.8	113.8	112.9	BTen-W
15	Michigan	112.2	111.2	113.6	112.4	BTen-E
16	Iowa	112.2	111.6	113.5	112.4	BTen-W
17	UCF	112.1	112.5	113.4	112.7	AAC
18	N. Carolina	111.9	112.4	113.3	112.5	ACC
19	Oklahoma St.	112.2	111.4	112.0	111.9	B12
20	Kentucky	110.3	110.5	111.5	110.8	SEC-E
21	Virginia Tech	109.2	109.2	111.3	109.9	ACC
22	Indiana	109.3	109.6	111.2	110.0	BTen-E
23	Tennessee	109.1	109.0	109.6	109.2	SEC-E
24	Cincinnati	109.7	108.5	109.6	109.3	AAC
25	Nebraska	107.9	107.2	108.9	108.0	BTen-W
26	S. Carolina	109.3	107.0	108.7	108.3	SEC-E
27	Miss. St.	106.7	106.1	108.4	107.1	SEC-W
28	Baylor	108.0	108.1	108.2	108.1	B12
29	Memphis	109.0	107.7	108.2	108.3	AAC
30	Iowa St.	107.9	107.1	107.5	107.5	B12
31	Purdue	105.8	106.4	106.6	106.3	BTen-W
32	Louisville	107.6	108.2	106.5	107.4	ACC
33	Virginia	106.6	106.1	106.3	106.4	ACC
34	BYU	106.7	105.2	106.3	106.1	Ind.
35	Northwestern	103.4	103.0	105.5	104.0	BTen-W
36	Miami (Fla.)	105.1	107.8	105.4	106.1	ACC
37	T C U	105.0	102.8	105.1	104.3	B12
38	Florida St.	105.2	103.6	105.1	104.6	ACC
39	Louisiana	105.2	104.6	105.0	104.9	SUN-W
40	Illinois	104.0	103.1	104.5	103.9	BTen-W
41	Kansas St.	104.2	103.0	104.1	103.8	B12
42	Pittsburgh	103.9	105.7	104.1	104.6	ACC
43	Ole Miss	104.1	102.5	103.8	103.4	SEC-W
44	Houston	104.7	103.2	103.2	103.7	AAC
45	Michigan St.	102.8	102.3	102.8	102.7	BTen-W
46	Appal. St.	101.7	100.8	102.4	101.6	SUN-E
47	Boston Coll.	102.3	102.2	102.4	102.3	ACC
48	W. Virginia	101.4	101.5	101.5	101.5	B12
49	SMU	101.4	101.2	100.8	101.2	AAC
50	Missouri	99.1	99.2	100.3	99.5	SEC-E
51	Marshall	100.3	99.9	99.4	99.8	CUSA
52	Duke	98.4	98.9	97.7	98.3	ACC
53	Wake Forest	97.8	98.7	97.6	98.1	ACC
54	Texas Tech	97.2	96.0	97.4	96.9	B12
55	Georgia Tech	98.2	97.5	97.2	97.6	ACC
56	Tulsa	99.0	97.3	96.9	97.7	AAC
57	Navy	98.2	96.4	96.3	97.0	AAC
58	Florida Int’l.	95.4	95.2	95.8	95.5	CUSA
59	Arkansas St.	95.7	96.9	95.6	96.1	SUN-W
60	Temple	96.4	97.0	95.3	96.2	AAC
61	W. Kentucky	94.0	95.2	94.6	94.6	CUSA
62	NC State	94.0	94.4	94.3	94.2	ACC
63	Syracuse	93.5	95.5	94.1	94.4	ACC
64	Georgia Sou.	92.7	93.7	94.0	93.5	SUN-E
65	Rutgers	96.3	94.5	93.9	94.9	BTen-E
66	Tulane	94.4	94.4	93.3	94.0	AAC
67	Maryland	95.0	94.5	93.1	94.2	BTen-E
68	Army	92.7	94.8	92.7	93.4	Ind.
69	Arkansas	94.7	95.8	92.4	94.3	SEC-W
70	Coastal Car.	91.8	92.4	92.2	92.1	SUN-E
71	U A B	92.6	93.4	92.1	92.7	CUSA
72	Vanderbilt	93.3	92.7	91.8	92.6	SEC-E
73	E. Carolina	92.1	92.6	90.9	91.9	AAC
74	Troy	90.1	92.1	90.6	91.0	SUN-E
75	Georgia St.	89.1	88.9	89.2	89.1	SUN-E
76	USF	91.2	89.8	89.2	90.0	AAC
77	Liberty	88.1	90.9	88.9	89.3	Ind.
78	La. Tech	86.6	88.1	87.7	87.5	CUSA
79	Southern Miss.	88.1	88.6	86.9	87.9	CUSA
80	Charlotte	86.4	86.7	86.8	86.7	CUSA
81	Rice	86.2	84.2	85.6	85.3	CUSA
82	Kansas	86.3	86.5	85.0	86.0	B12
83	S. Alabama	85.1	86.4	84.8	85.4	SUN-W
84	Fla. Atlantic	81.3	83.0	81.4	81.9	CUSA
85	Middle Tenn.	80.3	81.2	80.1	80.5	CUSA
86	UL-Monroe	80.4	81.1	78.9	80.1	SUN-W
87	Texas St.	80.6	80.7	78.8	80.0	SUN-W
88	North Texas	77.3	78.2	77.3	77.6	CUSA
89	U T S A	77.1	77.0	76.5	76.9	CUSA
90	U T E P	63.2	65.8	62.8	63.9	CUSA

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
UCF	112.1	112.5	113.4	112.7
Cincinnati	109.7	108.5	109.6	109.3
Memphis	109.0	107.7	108.2	108.3
Houston	104.7	103.2	103.2	103.7
SMU	101.4	101.2	100.8	101.2
Tulsa	99.0	97.3	96.9	97.7
Navy	98.2	96.4	96.3	97.0
Temple	96.4	97.0	95.3	96.2
Tulane	94.4	94.4	93.3	94.0
E. Carolina	92.1	92.6	90.9	91.9
USF	91.2	89.8	89.2	90.0
AAC Avg.	100.7	100.1	99.7	100.2
Atlantic Coast Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
Clemson	124.7	125.7	128.6	126.4
Notre Dame	120.0	119.1	120.1	119.7
N. Carolina	111.9	112.4	113.3	112.5
Virginia Tech	109.2	109.2	111.3	109.9
Louisville	107.6	108.2	106.5	107.4
Virginia	106.6	106.1	106.3	106.4
Miami (Fla.)	105.1	107.8	105.4	106.1
Florida St.	105.2	103.6	105.1	104.6
Pittsburgh	103.9	105.7	104.1	104.6
Boston Coll.	102.3	102.2	102.4	102.3
Duke	98.4	98.9	97.7	98.3
Wake Forest	97.8	98.7	97.6	98.1
Georgia Tech	98.2	97.5	97.2	97.6
Syracuse	93.5	95.5	94.1	94.4
NC State	94.0	94.4	94.3	94.2
ACC Avg.	105.2	105.7	105.6	105.5
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
Oklahoma	117.1	117.1	117.3	117.2
Texas	116.3	115.1	116.4	115.9
Oklahoma St.	112.2	111.4	112.0	111.9
Baylor	108.0	108.1	108.2	108.1
Iowa St.	107.9	107.1	107.5	107.5
T C U	105.0	102.8	105.1	104.3
Kansas St.	104.2	103.0	104.1	103.8
W. Virginia	101.4	101.5	101.5	101.5
Texas Tech	97.2	96.0	97.4	96.9
Kansas	86.3	86.5	85.0	86.0
Big 12 Avg.	105.6	104.9	105.5	105.3
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	131.2	129.6	133.7	131.5
Penn St.	122.1	120.6	122.2	121.6
Michigan	112.2	111.2	113.6	112.4
Indiana	109.3	109.6	111.2	110.0
Michigan St.	102.8	102.3	102.8	102.7
Rutgers	96.3	94.5	93.9	94.9
Maryland	95.0	94.5	93.1	94.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Wisconsin	122.4	119.5	122.7	121.5
Minnesota	112.2	112.8	113.8	112.9
Iowa	112.2	111.6	113.5	112.4
Nebraska	107.9	107.2	108.9	108.0
Purdue	105.8	106.4	106.6	106.3
Northwestern	103.4	103.0	105.5	104.0
Illinois	104.0	103.1	104.5	103.9
Big Ten Avg.	109.8	109.0	110.4	109.7
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
Marshall	100.3	99.9	99.4	99.8
Florida Int’l.	95.4	95.2	95.8	95.5
W. Kentucky	94.0	95.2	94.6	94.6
U A B	92.6	93.4	92.1	92.7
Southern Miss.	88.1	88.6	86.9	87.9
La. Tech	86.6	88.1	87.7	87.5
Charlotte	86.4	86.7	86.8	86.7
Rice	86.2	84.2	85.6	85.3
Fla. Atlantic	81.3	83.0	81.4	81.9
Middle Tenn.	80.3	81.2	80.1	80.5
North Texas	77.3	78.2	77.3	77.6
U T S A	77.1	77.0	76.5	76.9
U T E P	63.2	65.8	62.8	63.9
CUSA Avg.	85.3	85.9	85.2	85.4
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
BYU	106.7	105.2	106.3	106.1
Army	92.7	94.8	92.7	93.4
Liberty	88.1	90.9	88.9	89.3
Indep. Avg.	95.8	97.0	96.0	96.3
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
Georgia	121.1	119.4	121.9	120.8
Florida	119.7	119.3	120.8	119.9
Kentucky	110.3	110.5	111.5	110.8
Tennessee	109.1	109.0	109.6	109.2
S. Carolina	109.3	107.0	108.7	108.3
Missouri	99.1	99.2	100.3	99.5
Vanderbilt	93.3	92.7	91.8	92.6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
L S U	123.2	122.5	125.8	123.8
Alabama	121.4	122.3	123.3	122.3
Auburn	118.0	116.6	117.9	117.5
Texas A&M	115.7	115.8	115.9	115.8
Miss. St.	106.7	106.1	108.4	107.1
Ole Miss	104.1	102.5	103.8	103.4
Arkansas	94.7	95.8	92.4	94.3
SEC Avg.	110.4	109.9	110.9	110.4
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
Appal. St.	101.7	100.8	102.4	101.6
Georgia Sou.	92.7	93.7	94.0	93.5
Coastal Car.	91.8	92.4	92.2	92.1
Troy	90.1	92.1	90.6	91.0
Georgia St.	89.1	88.9	89.2	89.1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
Louisiana	105.2	104.6	105.0	104.9
Arkansas St.	95.7	96.9	95.6	96.1
S. Alabama	85.1	86.4	84.8	85.4
Texas St.	80.4	81.1	78.9	80.1
UL-Monroe	80.6	80.7	78.8	80.0
Sun Avg.	91.3	91.7	91.1	91.4

Conference Ratings

#	League	Avg
1	Southeastern	110.4
2	Big Ten	109.7
3	Atlantic Coast	105.5
4	Big 12	105.3
5	American	100.2
6	Independents	96.3
7	Sun Belt	91.4
8	Conference USA	85.4

PiRate Ratings NFL for Week 2

This Week’s PiRate, Mean, and Bias Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Total
Cleveland	Cincinnati	3.2	2.7	3.1	44
Chicago	N.Y. Giants	7.3	6.4	8.3	41.5
Dallas	Atlanta	2.6	3.9	2.8	49
Green Bay	Detroit	9.2	8.9	9.4	47.5
Tennessee	Jacksonville	5.6	6.2	6.2	41
Indianapolis	Minnesota	0.4	0.3	-0.1	45
Miami	Buffalo	-5.8	-5.5	-6.5	41
N.Y. Jets	San Francisco	-7.9	-6.2	-8.3	44
Philadelphia	LA Rams	0.0	0.1	-1.6	48
Pittsburgh	Denver	5.1	5.8	5.0	32.5
Tampa Bay	Carolina	7.1	7.7	7.5	59.5
Arizona	Washington	8.0	6.9	8.0	49.5
LA Chargers	Kansas City	-7.8	-8.6	-7.5	44.5
Houston	Baltimore	-7.4	-8.1	-7.9	49
Seattle	New England	6.0	6.8	6.0	45.5
Las Vegas	New Orleans	-7.6	-6.8	-7.9	48

This Week’s PiRate, Mean, and Bias Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Buffalo	101.3	102.3	101.4	101.7	15.5	1-0
New England	101.1	100.7	101.1	101.0	18.5	1-0
N. Y. Jets	94.7	95.8	94.1	94.9	19	0-1
Miami	93.5	94.8	92.9	93.7	25.5	0-1
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	110.2	110.1	110.7	110.3	25.5	1-0
Pittsburgh	102.0	102.6	101.9	102.2	17	1-0
Cleveland	97.0	96.8	96.9	96.9	22	0-1
Cincinnati	94.8	95.1	94.8	94.9	22	0-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Houston	101.3	100.5	101.3	101.0	23.5	0-1
Tennessee	100.0	100.3	100.7	100.3	21.5	1-0
Indianapolis	99.7	99.4	99.3	99.4	21.5	0-1
Jacksonville	95.9	95.6	96.0	95.8	19.5	1-0
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	107.4	108.2	107.8	107.8	24.5	1-0
Denver	98.9	98.8	98.9	98.9	15.5	0-1
LA Chargers	98.1	98.1	98.8	98.3	20	1-0
Las Vegas	97.8	98.1	97.6	97.8	22.5	1-0
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	100.8	101.0	100.9	100.9	23.5	0-1
Philadelphia	98.5	98.4	97.9	98.2	23.0	0-1
Washington	95.6	95.9	95.6	95.7	21	1-0
N.Y. Giants	94.4	94.8	93.7	94.3	25.0	0-1
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Green Bay	103.0	102.9	103.1	103.0	22.5	1-0
Minnesota	100.8	100.6	100.9	100.7	23.5	0-1
Chicago	100.2	99.7	100.5	100.1	16.5	1-0
Detroit	95.3	95.5	95.2	95.3	25	0-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	107.9	107.4	108.0	107.8	25.5	1-0
Tampa Bay	102.0	101.8	101.9	101.9	32	0-1
Atlanta	100.2	99.1	100.1	99.8	25.5	0-1
Carolina	96.4	95.6	95.9	96.0	27.5	0-1
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
San Francisco	105.1	104.5	104.9	104.9	25	0-1
Seattle	104.6	105.0	104.6	104.8	27	1-0
Arizona	101.1	100.3	101.1	100.8	28.5	1-0
LA Rams	100.5	100.3	101.5	100.8	25	1-0

PiRate Ratings–College Football September 13, 2020

This Week’s PiRate, Mean, and Bias Spreads

Week 3	Sep. 18-19
Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Oklahoma St.	Tulsa	16.9	18.1	19.6
Georgia St.	Louisiana	-16.9	-16.7	-17.0
Pittsburgh	Syracuse	11.9	11.7	11.5
Western Ky.	Liberty	11.2	9.4	11.4
Tulane	Navy	-1.6	0.6	-0.5
Duke	Boston College	3.0	3.9	2.4
Baylor	Houston	4.3	5.9	6.0
Marshall	Appalachian St.	-2.0	-1.4	-4.3
Notre Dame	USF	24.3	24.6	26.1
North Carolina	Charlotte	26.5	26.6	27.5
Georgia Tech	UCF	-7.1	-8.2	-9.4
Ga. Southern	Fla. Atlantic	12.9	12.2	14.1
Middle Tenn.	Troy	-1.5	-2.5	-1.7
North Texas	SMU	-21.5	-19.8	-20.1
UL-Monroe	Texas St.	4.5	4.1	4.6
Louisville	Miami (Fla.)	11.2	9.1	10.0
Southern Miss.	La. Tech	3.4	2.5	0.9
NC St.	Wake Forest	-3.3	-4.2	-3.3

This Week’s FBS vs. FCS Games

FBS	FCS	PiRate
Coastal Carolina	Campbell	22.3
Cincinnati	Austin Peay	27.4
UTSA	S F Austin	12.0
Clemson	Citadel	47.5
Arkansas St.	Cent. Arkansas	11.8
UTEP	Abilene Chr.	-0.7

This Week’s PiRate, Mean, and Bias Ratings

#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg.	Conference
1	Clemson	123.7	124.7	127.6	125.4	ACC
2	L S U	123.2	122.5	125.8	123.8	SEC-W
3	Alabama	121.4	122.3	123.3	122.3	SEC-W
4	Georgia	121.1	119.4	121.9	120.8	SEC-E
5	Florida	119.7	119.3	120.8	119.9	SEC-E
6	Auburn	118.0	116.6	117.9	117.5	SEC-W
7	Oklahoma	117.1	117.1	117.3	117.2	B12
8	Notre Dame	117.2	116.2	117.2	116.9	ACC
9	Texas	116.3	115.1	116.4	115.9	B12
10	Texas A&M	115.7	115.8	115.9	115.8	SEC-W
11	Oklahoma St.	113.4	112.8	113.6	113.3	B12
12	N. Carolina	111.9	112.4	113.3	112.5	ACC
13	Kentucky	110.3	110.5	111.5	110.8	SEC-E
14	Louisville	110.7	111.3	109.7	110.5	ACC
15	Virginia Tech	109.2	109.2	111.3	109.9	ACC
16	UCF	109.2	109.6	110.5	109.8	AAC
17	Tennessee	109.1	109.0	109.6	109.2	SEC-E
18	Cincinnati	109.5	108.3	109.4	109.1	AAC
19	S. Carolina	109.3	107.0	108.7	108.3	SEC-E
20	Memphis	109.0	107.7	108.2	108.3	AAC
21	Baylor	108.0	108.1	108.2	108.1	B12
22	Iowa St.	107.9	107.1	107.5	107.5	B12
23	Miss. St.	106.7	106.1	108.4	107.1	SEC-W
24	Virginia	106.6	106.1	106.3	106.4	ACC
25	BYU	106.7	105.2	106.3	106.1	Ind.
26	Louisiana	106.2	105.7	106.2	106.0	SUN-W
27	Florida St.	105.5	103.9	105.4	104.9	ACC
28	Pittsburgh	103.9	105.7	104.1	104.6	ACC
29	T C U	105.0	102.8	105.1	104.3	B12
30	Kansas St.	104.2	103.0	104.1	103.8	B12
31	Houston	104.7	103.2	103.2	103.7	AAC
32	Ole Miss	104.1	102.5	103.8	103.4	SEC-W
33	Appal. St.	102.8	101.9	103.9	102.9	SUN-E
34	Miami (Fla.)	101.5	104.1	101.7	102.4	ACC
35	W. Virginia	101.4	101.5	101.5	101.5	B12
36	Duke	100.6	101.3	100.0	100.6	ACC
37	SMU	100.6	100.1	99.6	100.1	AAC
38	Georgia Tech	100.6	99.9	99.6	100.0	ACC
39	Missouri	99.1	99.2	100.3	99.5	SEC-E
40	Boston Coll.	99.6	99.3	99.6	99.5	ACC
41	Wake Forest	98.3	99.4	98.3	98.7	ACC
42	Marshall	98.9	98.5	97.6	98.3	CUSA
43	Texas Tech	97.2	96.0	97.4	96.9	B12
44	Navy	98.1	96.1	96.0	96.7	AAC
45	W. Kentucky	95.9	97.0	96.7	96.5	CUSA
46	Temple	96.4	97.0	95.3	96.2	AAC
47	Tulsa	97.6	95.7	95.1	96.1	AAC
48	Arkansas St.	95.7	96.9	95.6	96.1	SUN-W
49	Florida Int’l.	95.4	95.2	95.8	95.5	CUSA
50	Syracuse	94.0	96.0	94.6	94.9	ACC
51	Arkansas	94.7	95.8	92.4	94.3	SEC-W
52	Tulane	94.5	94.7	93.6	94.3	AAC
53	Army	93.2	95.3	93.2	93.9	Ind.
54	USF	95.0	93.7	93.1	93.9	AAC
55	NC State	93.5	93.7	93.6	93.6	ACC
56	Georgia Sou.	92.7	93.7	94.0	93.5	SUN-E
57	U A B	92.6	93.4	92.1	92.7	CUSA
58	Vanderbilt	93.3	92.7	91.8	92.6	SEC-E
59	Coastal Car.	91.8	92.4	92.2	92.1	SUN-E
60	E. Carolina	92.1	92.6	90.9	91.9	AAC
61	Southern Miss.	88.5	89.0	87.2	88.2	CUSA
62	Troy	87.0	89.0	87.3	87.8	SUN-E
63	Georgia St.	87.8	87.5	87.7	87.7	SUN-E
64	La. Tech	86.5	88.0	87.7	87.4	CUSA
65	Liberty	86.2	89.1	86.8	87.4	Ind.
66	Charlotte	86.4	86.7	86.8	86.7	CUSA
67	Kansas	86.3	86.5	85.0	86.0	B12
68	S. Alabama	85.1	86.4	84.8	85.4	SUN-W
69	Rice	86.2	84.2	85.6	85.3	CUSA
70	Middle Tenn.	84.1	85.0	84.1	84.4	CUSA
71	Fla. Atlantic	81.3	83.0	81.4	81.9	CUSA
72	UL-Monroe	82.0	82.2	80.4	81.5	SUN-W
73	North Texas	78.1	79.3	78.5	78.7	CUSA
74	Texas St.	79.0	79.6	77.3	78.6	SUN-W
75	U T S A	77.1	77.0	76.5	76.9	CUSA
76	U T E P	63.4	66.0	63.0	64.1	CUSA

By Conference

American Athletic Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
UCF	109.2	109.6	110.5	109.8
Cincinnati	109.5	108.3	109.4	109.1
Memphis	109.0	107.7	108.2	108.3
Houston	104.7	103.2	103.2	103.7
SMU	100.6	100.1	99.6	100.1
Navy	98.1	96.1	96.0	96.7
Temple	96.4	97.0	95.3	96.2
Tulsa	97.6	95.7	95.1	96.1
Tulane	94.5	94.7	93.6	94.3
USF	95.0	93.7	93.1	93.9
E. Carolina	92.1	92.6	90.9	91.9
AAC Averages	100.6	99.9	99.5	100.0
Atlantic Coast Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
Clemson	123.7	124.7	127.6	125.4
Notre Dame	117.2	116.2	117.2	116.9
N. Carolina	111.9	112.4	113.3	112.5
Louisville	110.7	111.3	109.7	110.5
Virginia Tech	109.2	109.2	111.3	109.9
Virginia	106.6	106.1	106.3	106.4
Florida St.	105.5	103.9	105.4	104.9
Pittsburgh	103.9	105.7	104.1	104.6
Miami (Fla.)	101.5	104.1	101.7	102.4
Duke	100.6	101.3	100.0	100.6
Georgia Tech	100.6	99.9	99.6	100.0
Boston Coll.	99.6	99.3	99.6	99.5
Wake Forest	98.3	99.4	98.3	98.7
Syracuse	94.0	96.0	94.6	94.9
NC State	93.5	93.7	93.6	93.6
ACC Averages	105.1	105.6	105.5	105.4
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
Oklahoma	117.1	117.1	117.3	117.2
Texas	116.3	115.1	116.4	115.9
Oklahoma St.	113.4	112.8	113.6	113.3
Baylor	108.0	108.1	108.2	108.1
Iowa St.	107.9	107.1	107.5	107.5
T C U	105.0	102.8	105.1	104.3
Kansas St.	104.2	103.0	104.1	103.8
W. Virginia	101.4	101.5	101.5	101.5
Texas Tech	97.2	96.0	97.4	96.9
Kansas	86.3	86.5	85.0	86.0
Big 12 Averages	105.7	105.0	105.6	105.4
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
Marshall	98.9	98.5	97.6	98.3
W. Kentucky	95.9	97.0	96.7	96.5
Florida Int’l.	95.4	95.2	95.8	95.5
U A B	92.6	93.4	92.1	92.7
Southern Miss.	88.5	89.0	87.2	88.2
La. Tech	86.5	88.0	87.7	87.4
Charlotte	86.4	86.7	86.8	86.7
Rice	86.2	84.2	85.6	85.3
Middle Tenn.	84.1	85.0	84.1	84.4
Fla. Atlantic	81.3	83.0	81.4	81.9
North Texas	78.1	79.3	78.5	78.7
U T S A	77.1	77.0	76.5	76.9
U T E P	63.4	66.0	63.0	64.1
CUSA Averages	85.7	86.3	85.6	85.9
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
BYU	106.7	105.2	106.3	106.1
Army	93.2	95.3	93.2	93.9
Liberty	86.2	89.1	86.8	87.4
Ind. Averages	95.4	96.5	95.4	95.8
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
Georgia	121.1	119.4	121.9	120.8
Florida	119.7	119.3	120.8	119.9
Kentucky	110.3	110.5	111.5	110.8
Tennessee	109.1	109.0	109.6	109.2
S. Carolina	109.3	107.0	108.7	108.3
Missouri	99.1	99.2	100.3	99.5
Vanderbilt	93.3	92.7	91.8	92.6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
L S U	123.2	122.5	125.8	123.8
Alabama	121.4	122.3	123.3	122.3
Auburn	118.0	116.6	117.9	117.5
Texas A&M	115.7	115.8	115.9	115.8
Miss. St.	106.7	106.1	108.4	107.1
Ole Miss	104.1	102.5	103.8	103.4
Arkansas	94.7	95.8	92.4	94.3
SEC Averages	110.4	109.9	110.9	110.4
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
Appal. St.	102.8	101.9	103.9	102.9
Georgia Sou.	92.7	93.7	94.0	93.5
Coastal Car.	91.8	92.4	92.2	92.1
Troy	87.0	89.0	87.3	87.8
Georgia St.	87.8	87.5	87.7	87.7
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg
Louisiana	106.2	105.7	106.2	106.0
Arkansas St.	95.7	96.9	95.6	96.1
S. Alabama	85.1	86.4	84.8	85.4
UL-Monroe	82.0	82.2	80.4	81.5
Texas St.	79.0	79.6	77.3	78.6
SBC Averages	91.0	91.5	90.9	91.2

Conference Ratings

#	League	Avg
1	Southeastern	110.4
2	Big 12	105.4
3	Atlantic Coast	105.4
4	American	100.0
5	Independents	95.8
6	Sun Belt	91.2
7	Conference USA	85.9

This Week’s TV Schedule

Friday, September 18
Time (ET)	Network	Home	Visitor
7:00 PM	ESPN3	Coastal Carolina	Campbell
Saturday, September 19
Time (ET)	Network	Home	Visitor
12:00 PM	Fox	Baylor	Houston
12:00 PM	ESPN	Oklahoma St.	Tulsa
12:00 PM	ESPN3	Duke	Boston College
12:00 PM	ESPN2	Georgia St.	Louisiana
12:00 PM	ACC	Pittsburgh	Syracuse
12:00 PM	ABC	Tulane	Navy
12:00 PM	ESPNU	Western Kentucky	Liberty
12:00 PM	ESPN+	Cincinnati	Austin Peay
1:30 PM	CBSSN	Marshall	Appalachian St.
2:30 PM	USA	Notre Dame	South Florida
3:00 PM	ABC	Georgia Tech	Central Florida
3:30 PM	ESPN3	North Carolina	Charlotte
3:30 PM	ESPN3	UTSA	S. F. Austin
4:00 PM	ACC	Clemson	The Citadel
4:00 PM	ESPN2	Georgia Southern	Florida Atlantic
4:00 PM	ESPNU	Middle Tennessee	Troy
6:00 PM	CBSSN	North Texas	SMU
7:00 PM	ESPN+	Louisville	Miami (Fla.)
7:30 PM	ABC	Arkansas St.	Central Arkansas
7:30 PM	ESPNU	UL Monroe	Texas St.
8:00 PM	ACC	NC State	Weake Forest
9:00 PM	ESPN3	UTEP	Abilene Christian

PiRate Ratings Selections for October 4-8, 2018

Another mediocre week by the PiRate Rating selections was offset by another spectacular week by three of our five Land Sharps.

Last week, our official picks went 4-7, to bring the total to date to 22-23-1.  This took our minor profit for the season to a minor loss of 5.7% Return on Investment.  We will include some Money Line parlays that give us better than +150 odds this week in an attempt to get back into the black.  In the past, we have done well when playing 4-game parlays that give us better than +150 odds, but we tend to cash in big on these parlays in November.  Hopefully, October will be nice to us.

As for the Land Sharps, Buckeye Michelle, Friday Dog 13, and Cal Gal Tiffany continue to draw the ire of the kind people in the State of Nevada.  If they keep up this streak, they will not be allowed to patronize the books (Note–every pick on this site is done strictly for entertainment purposes only, so they really have no connection with any books).

Dean615 and Stewed Meat have treaded water so far, as both as exactly .500 in their picks.  In Stewed’s defense, these are this Land Sharp’s “B” picks.  Stewed is a real professional, and Stewed A’s picks last week (college and NFL) went 8-3 including a Parlay win that returned 6 to 1 odds for a big profit.

This week, our Land Sharps have picked between 5 and 9 games.  Because we try not to do the same thing, and we include the NFL in our official picks, we are going with 9 selections–3 vs. spreads, 4, 10-point teasers, and 2 Money Line Parlays.

PiRate Ratings Official Picks 

Margins

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Akron	Miami (O)	3	Akron
Baltimore	Cleveland	3	Baltimore
San Francisco	Arizona	3.5	San Francisco

10-Point Teasers (3-team parlays)

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Louisville	Georgia Tech	6.5	Georgia Tech
Boston College	North Carolina St.	5.5	North Carolina St.
LSU	Florida	13	Florida

 

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Alabama	Arkansas	24	Alabama
Clemson	Wake Forest	7.5	Clemson
Miami (Fla.)	Florida St.	2.5	Miami (Fla.)

 

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
South Florida	Massachusetts	4	South Florida
Georgia Southern	South Alabama	3.5	Georgia Southern
Ole Miss	Louisiana-Monroe	2.5	Ole Miss

 

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Central Florida	SMU	14	Central Florida
Washington St.	Oregon St.	6.5	Washington St.
Fresno St.	Nevada	2	Fresno St.

 

Money Line Parlays

4 Teams at +168

Winner	Loser
North Carolina St.	Boston College
Troy	Georgia St.
UNLV	New Mexico
Miami (Fla.)	Florida St.

 

4 Teams at +174

Winner	Loser
Liberty	New Mexico St.
South Florida	Massachusetts
Buffalo	Central Michigan
Georgia Southern	South Alabama

 

The Land Sharps

Buckeye Michelle

Year to Date: 14-6  70.0%, 37.0% Return on Investment

Connecticut +36 vs. Memphis

Kentucky +6 vs. Texas A&M

Minnesota +7.5 vs. Iowa

Air Force +3.5 vs. Navy

UAB +9.5 vs. Louisiana Tech

 

Friday Dog 13

Year to Date: 11-5 68.8%, 34.4% Return on Investment

Marshall -6 vs. Middle Tennessee

Akron -3 vs. Miami (O)

Ole Miss -22 vs. Louisiana-Monroe

West Virginia -28.5 vs. Kansas

Central Florida -24 vs. SMU

North Carolina St. -4 vs. Boston College

South Florida -4 vs. Massachusetts

Syracuse -3.5 vs. Pittsburgh

Kentucky +6 vs. Texas A&M

 

Cal Gal Tiffany

Year to Date: 17-9  65.4%, 27.3% Return on Investment

Utah St. +3 vs. BYU

North Carolina St. -4 vs. Boston College

LSU -2.5 vs. Florida

Florida St. +13 vs. Miami (Fla.)

Georgia Southern -13.5 vs. South Alabama

Auburn -3 vs. Mississippi St.

Georgia -26.5 vs. Vanderbilt

 

Stewed Meat

Year to Date: 11-11  50.0%, -5% Return on Investment

Georgia Tech -3.5 vs. Louisville

North Carolina St. -4 vs. Boston College

Florida +3 vs. LSU

Akron -3 vs. Miami (O)

Colorado -2.5 vs. Arizona St.

Houston & Tulsa UNDER 70.5

Michigan & Maryland UNDER 49

 

Dean615

Year to Date: 7-7  50.0%, -5.0% Return on Investment

Notre Dame -6 vs. Virginia Tech

Wisconsin -17.5 vs. Nebraska

Texas A&M -5.5 vs. Kentucky

Florida & LSU UNDER 44.5

Notre Dame & Virginia Tech OVER 56.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NFL Ratings And Spreads For Week 14: December 8-12, 2016

Week 13 begins the final stretch in the NFL, as the 32 teams are all on the same closing schedule with 12 games played and four to go.  The Flex Scheduling has kicked in, and it becomes time to look at tiebreakers with competing teams.

If you want to take a look at the lengthy tiebreaker rules, you can find them at the NFL’s webpage at http://www.nfl.com/standings/tiebreakingprocedures.

Here is a look at who would be in the playoffs if the season ended today.

AFC
1	Oakland
2	New England
3	Baltimore
4	Houston
5	Kansas City
6	Denver
NFC
1	Dallas
2	Seattle
3	Detroit
4	Atlanta
5	N.Y. Giants
6	Tampa Bay

Of course, the season does not end today, and our new projections show some changes in the rankings above, especially in the AFC West, where Oakland faces a difficult closing stretch, and Kansas City has a somewhat easier road in the final four games.

Our Projected Playoffs

AFC Seeding
1	New England
2	Kansas City
3	Pittsburgh
4	Indianapolis
5	Oakland
6	Denver
NFC Seeding
1	Dallas
2	Seattle
3	Detroit
4	Tampa Bay
5	N.Y. Giants
6	Washington

And, our projected playoff outcomes for this week

Wildcard Round

Pittsburgh over Denver

Oakland over Indianapolis

Detroit over Washington

N. Y. Giants over Tampa Bay

Divisional Round

New England over Oakland

Kansas City over Pittsburgh

Dallas over N. Y. Giants

Seattle over Detroit

Conference Championship

Kansas City over New England

Seattle over Dallas

Super Bowl 51

Seattle over Kansas City

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Off	Def
New England	109.1	107.9	110.0	109.0	67	42
Buffalo	102.1	102.3	102.4	102.3	63	39
Miami	97.0	97.4	97.1	97.1	59	38
N. Y. Jets	95.6	94.5	96.0	95.4	57	38
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Off	Def
Pittsburgh	104.8	104.4	105.4	104.9	63	42
Cincinnati	101.5	101.2	101.7	101.5	60	42
Baltimore	100.8	101.8	100.6	101.1	61	40
Cleveland	87.7	88.6	87.4	87.9	55	33
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Off	Def
Indianapolis	98.4	99.9	98.0	98.8	62	37
Tennessee	97.8	98.9	97.5	98.1	61	37
Houston	97.0	97.8	96.3	97.0	61	36
Jacksonville	93.1	94.5	92.7	93.4	58	35
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Off	Def
Denver	105.6	104.5	105.2	105.1	63	42
Kansas City	104.0	103.8	104.5	104.1	64	40
Oakland	102.3	102.8	103.1	102.7	67	36
San Diego	99.3	100.1	99.1	99.5	64	36
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Off	Def
Dallas	104.9	104.2	105.5	104.9	63	42
Washington	101.6	101.3	101.6	101.5	63	39
Philadelphia	100.0	98.8	99.5	99.4	60	39
N.Y. Giants	99.2	98.8	99.3	99.1	62	37
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Off	Def
Minnesota	102.4	101.7	102.2	102.1	59	43
Detroit	101.4	101.1	101.3	101.3	62	39
Green Bay	99.8	99.6	99.7	99.7	64	36
Chicago	93.7	92.7	93.5	93.3	56	37
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Off	Def
Atlanta	104.7	105.4	104.7	104.9	70	35
Tampa Bay	101.5	101.6	101.6	101.6	63	39
Carolina	101.1	101.1	101.1	101.1	60	41
New Orleans	100.1	100.9	100.3	100.4	67	33
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Off	Def
Seattle	108.3	106.1	108.8	107.7	63	45
Arizona	102.7	101.6	102.7	102.3	63	39
Los Angeles	96.5	97.3	96.1	96.7	55	42
San Francisco	88.5	89.5	87.9	88.6	54	35

This Week’s NBA Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Totals
Kansas City	Oakland	4.7	4.0	4.4	57
Buffalo	Pittsburgh	-0.2	0.4	-0.5	46
Carolina	San Diego	4.8	4.0	5.0	45
Cleveland	Cincinnati	-11.8	-10.6	-12.3	41
Detroit	Chicago	10.2	10.9	10.3	40
Indianapolis	Houston	4.4	5.1	4.7	51
Jacksonville	Minnesota	-6.3	-4.2	-6.5	38
Miami	Arizona	-2.7	-1.2	-2.6	47
Philadelphia	Washington	0.4	-0.5	-0.1	47
Tampa Bay	New Orleans	4.4	3.7	4.3	59
Tennessee	Denver	-4.8	-2.6	-4.7	47
San Francisco	New York Jets	-4.1	-2.0	-5.1	38
Green Bay	Seattle	-5.5	-3.5	-6.1	48
Los Angeles	Atlanta	-5.2	-5.1	-5.6	48
New York Giants	Dallas	-2.7	-2.4	-3.2	48
New England	Baltimore	10.3	9.1	12.4	48

 

 

 

NFL Ratings And Spreads For Week 3: September 22-26,2016

Quarterback Issues Abound

It is almost inevitable that in today’s philosophy of passing the ball more than running, and with a 16- game schedule, that quarterback injuries would increase from the prior generation of NFL Football.

Certain teams lack pass blockers sufficient to deter the superior pass rushers of today’s game, and all sorts of inventive disguising of pass rush have contributed as much if not more to the troubles.

Just two weeks into the 2016 NFL season, two teams are already on quarterback number three, and others have gone to quarterback number two.

In Cleveland, where the Browns were weak enough before losing Robert Griffin, III and Josh McCown, rookie Cody Kessler will get the start this week at Miami.  Adam Gase’s defense is not the issue in Dolphinland.  Expect Kessler to be running for his life early and often.

New England is down to quarterback number three only due to Tom Brady’d suspension.  If the Pats can sneak through two weeks with Jacoby Brissett, then the king can return.  And, if something should happen to Brissett Thursday night against Houston, we may see wide receiver Julian Edelman move to quarterback.  Edelman has beaten Buffalo and Miami while playing quarterback, but that was when he was at Kent State, and the two teams were the Buffalo Bulls and Miami of Ohio Redhawks.

Jay Cutler’s thumb injury could be reason for John Fox to go with Brian Hoyer.  The Bears, already struggling on offense, may have a difficult time matching the Rams for points in the near future.

Then there is the case of a possible Wally Pipp injury.  When Tony Romo went down in Dallas, rookie Dak Prescott entered and drew comparisons to Roger Staubach.  Staubach once came in as a replacement to Craig Morton.  It took a little shuffling, but Morton soon became a bench-warmer before becoming a New York Giant and Denver Bronco.  Staubach led the Cowboys to two Super Bowl Championships and two others, where Dallas came very close to winning.

And, there is Sam Bradford in Minnesota.  This Vikings team may have to totally change the way it plays now with Adrian Peterson out for a lengthy time and maybe the season.  Bradford showed signs of returning to form in the Sunday night win over Green Bay.  The Vikings have been down this road before.  After the Joe Kapp, Dave Osborn, Bill Brown days of plodding offense, and the two-year babysitting of the job by Gary Cuozzo, Fran Tarkenton came back to Bloomington after a five-year sojourn in the Big Apple, and he teamed up with John Gilliam and Jim Lash, while the Purple People Eaters’ defense continued to dominate, leading the Vikings to the Super Bowl three times in four seasons.  Might this be the year the Vikings make it back?  The NFC looks like a wide-open race this year.

 

Two Weeks Are Not A Trend, But

Through two weeks of the season, the average score of an NFL game comes to less than 42 points per game, or less than 21 points per team.  The Los Angeles Rams have three field goals in two games.  The Seattle Seahawks have three field goals and a touchdown in two games, and that one TD came with 30 seconds remaining at home against Miami.  Is it because the Dolphins and Rams have great defenses that Seattle is averaging just 7.5 points per game?  Are the 49ers and Seahawks so strong defensively that LA averages just 4.5 points per game?

San Francisco gave up close to 50 to Carolina last week.  The problem at the L.A. Coliseum is an archaic offense that Jeff Fisher refuses to alter.  He is a Mike Ditka disciple, but he needs to realize that the 1985 Bears are not coming through the Coliseum locker room doors.  He does not have Eddie George in his backfield, even though Todd Gurley is talented.

Sports metric experts have shown that the key to winning in the NFL is being able to pass the ball and being able to stop the pass.  Running stats are padded by winning teams because they usually run the ball to eat the clock when they lead in the last 20 minutes of games, and the losing team abandons the run to try to catch up.  Fisher is basically the Gene Mauch of football.  Mauch took a lot of excellent baseball teams and guided them to respectable 90-win seasons, while the talent on hand was good enough to win 100 games.

Fisher isn’t alone.  Mike Mularkey and Rex Ryan think you can be the 1985 Bears or even 1963 Bears and win the Super Bowl.  It is true that Denver won last year without a dominating passing game, but they did not have a dominating running game.  They dominated by stopping the pass and by getting just enough passing yards to win.  Even a damaged Peyton Manning was good enough to accumulate necessary passing yards.  The Broncos did not run early and often.  They did not run on first down, run on second down and then pass conservatively on third down.  The metrics actually show that passing on first and second down and on third and less than five is the better percentage play, while running becomes the better option only on third and six to 12 yards.  And, for that matter, going for it on fourth down and less than 4 when outside your own 30 yard line is the  better statistical move (as is going for it on 4th and less than 4 when in field goal range).

Certainly, going against the traditional methods will occasionally cost a team a win, but in rebuttal, going against tradition will allow teams to win games they would have lost by using the old playbook tendencies.  And, the ignorant media will run a coach out of town on a rail for going against tradition and losing while never complimenting the coach that bucks the system and wins.  Hey, they are in the business, because they didn’t do so well in math class.

This Week’s Ratings

Current NFL PiRate Ratings
A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Off	Def
N. Y. Jets	103.9	101.6	105.1	103.5	62	42
New England	101.4	99.3	101.8	100.8	60	41
Buffalo	98.6	99.5	98.7	98.9	59	40
Miami	96.1	96.9	96.1	96.3	58	38
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Off	Def
Cincinnati	106.9	106.3	107.8	107.0	64	43
Pittsburgh	105.9	105.5	107.2	106.2	65	41
Baltimore	98.7	100.9	98.4	99.3	61	38
Cleveland	89.9	90.9	89.3	90.0	57	33
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Off	Def
Houston	101.8	103.0	102.1	102.3	64	38
Indianapolis	97.1	98.9	96.0	97.3	61	36
Jacksonville	95.1	96.9	94.4	95.5	58	38
Tennessee	93.9	95.9	93.4	94.4	54	40
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Off	Def
Denver	106.4	103.1	106.5	105.3	62	43
Kansas City	101.8	101.5	102.5	101.9	63	39
San Diego	99.9	100.9	99.7	100.2	64	36
Oakland	97.7	98.4	97.6	97.9	63	35
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Off	Def
Philadelphia	101.0	98.0	100.4	99.8	62	38
N.Y. Giants	99.0	98.3	98.7	98.7	62	37
Washington	97.3	98.1	97.0	97.5	61	37
Dallas	94.6	94.9	94.1	94.5	56	39
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Off	Def
Green Bay	104.4	103.7	104.4	104.2	64	40
Minnesota	102.9	101.9	103.4	102.7	60	43
Detroit	99.2	99.0	98.8	99.0	62	37
Chicago	95.4	93.3	95.1	94.6	56	39
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Off	Def
Carolina	109.4	108.2	110.3	109.3	65	44
New Orleans	99.1	101.5	98.4	99.7	64	36
Atlanta	96.9	99.8	96.8	97.8	62	36
Tampa Bay	95.9	96.8	95.1	95.9	59	37
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Off	Def
Arizona	110.0	107.5	110.9	109.5	69	41
Seattle	106.4	103.3	107.1	105.6	63	43
Los Angeles	97.9	99.4	97.4	98.3	56	42
San Francisco	95.6	96.8	95.7	96.0	56	40

 

This Week’s PiRate Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Score
New England	Houston	2.6	-0.7	2.7	23-21
Buffalo	Arizona	-7.9	-4.5	-8.7	20-27
Carolina	Minnesota	9.5	9.3	9.9	24-14
Cincinnati	Denver	3.5	6.2	4.3	21-16
Green Bay	Detroit	7.7	7.2	8.1	28-20
Jacksonville	Baltimore	-0.6	-1.0	-1.0	20-21
Miami	Cleveland	9.2	9.0	9.8	26-17
New York Giants	Washington	4.2	2.7	4.5	27-23
Tennessee	Oakland	-0.8	0.5	-1.2	20-21
Seattle	San Francisco	13.8	9.5	14.4	23-10
Tampa Bay	Los Angeles	1.5	0.9	1.2	17-16
Indianapolis	San Diego	0.2	1.0	-0.7	28-27
Kansas City	New York Jets	0.9	2.9	0.4	24-23
Philadelphia	Pittsburgh	-2.9	-5.5	-4.8	23-27
Dallas	Chicago	2.2	4.6	2.0	20-17
New Orleans	Atlanta	5.2	4.7	4.6	31-26

 

Selections Against The Spread: November 26, 2015

It’s time to stuff your wallet with money.  And, how best may we recommend that your wallet gets stuffed?  Keep it there and do not use all these picks to lose it all.  There are retailers anxiously waiting to remove all that cash you have saved in the last 52 weeks, so waste it on that cheap drone toy that will be broken by January 10.

 

We have opened the vault and come forward with the most selections of the season for this week’s slate.  Rivalry games, games that are must win contests for bowl eligibility, and teams that are reversing earlier trends lead our selections this week.  A season high six money line parlays anchor 13 straight picks.  Enjoy, but only to look at them.  Don’t be like a certain reader here from the Las Vegas area that informed us three weeks ago that SHE played every money line parlay selection we issued and won a few hundred dollars after losing every week prior during this season by using other information.  Yes, she won some money that week, but if she followed our advice the following week, she gave a chunk back to Vegas.

 

Which brings us to another point:  for some reason, women seem to be following this blog more than men, or at least, they contact us more than the guys.  As some of you know, this site is run by a majority of the fairer sex.  Our founder is the only male contributing here.

 

Happy Thanksgiving to all our American followers.  Happy Autumn/Spring to all our followers on the other side of the pond and on the lower side of the Earth.

 

11/27/2015
Home	Visitor	Line	Our Pick
Buffalo	Massachusetts	6.5	Buffalo
Georgia St.	Troy	1	Georgia St.
Tulane	Tulsa	-6.5	Tulsa
San Jose St.	Boise St.	-7.5	San Jose St.
Kentucky	Louisville	-4.5	Kentucky
Michigan St.	Penn St.	11	Penn St.
Purdue	Indiana	-6.5	Indiana
Illinois (@Chi.)	Northwestern	-3.5	Northwestern
Stanford	Notre Dame	3.5	Stanford
Detroit	Philadelphia	2	Detroit
Dallas	Carolina	1	Carolina
Green Bay	Chicago	9	Chicago
Houston	New Orleans	3	Houston

Money Line Parlay	3 Teams at 7-5		$245 payout on $100
Favorite	Underdog		Must Win
Pittsburgh	Miami (Fla)		Pittsburgh
Buffalo	Massachusetts		Buffalo
Akron	Kent St.		Akron
Money Line Parlay	4 Teams at 13-10		$230 payout on $100
Favorite	Underdog		Must Win
Toledo	Western Michigan		Toledo
Tulsa	Tulane		Tulsa
West Virginia	Iowa St.		West Virginia
Tennessee	Vanderbilt		Tennessee
Money Line Parlay	4 Teams at 7-3		$325 payout on $100
Favorite	Underdog		Must Win
Utah	Colorado		Utah
Florida St.	Florida		Florida St.
Georgia	Georgia Tech		Georgia
Clemson	South Carolina		Clemson
Money Line Parlay	4 Teams at 3-2		$256 payout on $100
Favorite	Underdog		Must Win
LSU	Texas A&M		LSU
Alabama	Auburn		Alabama
Oklahoma	Oklahoma St.		Oklahoma
San Diego St.	Nevada		San Diego St.
Money Line Parlay	3 Teams at 8-3		$358 payout on $100
Favorite	Underdog		Must Win
Houston	New Orleans		Houston
Kansas City	Buffalo		Kansas City
New York Jets	Miami		New York Jets
Money Line Parlay	3 Teams at 13-10		$233 payout on $100
Favorite	Underdog		Must Win
Cincinnati	St. Louis		Cincinnati
Arizona	San Francisco		Arizona
New England	Denver		New England

 

 

College Football Preview: November 10-14, 2015

The Week That Was–The Big Skakedown
It started last Tuesday with Northern Illinois knocking off unbeaten Toledo. Memphis, Michigan State, TCU, and LSU followed suit, and now it’s down to Clemson, Oklahoma State, Baylor, Ohio State, and Iowa. Five unbeaten teams remain, but at least two of the quintet must lose, because Ohio State and Iowa would meet in the Big Ten Championship Game if they won out, and Baylor and Oklahoma State must play in the regular season.

Does this mean that #1 Clemson’s path is clear and easy? No, because the Tigers may not be the best team in the ACC at the present time. North Carolina had a bump in the road in the opening week of the season, blowing a lead and losing to South Carolina to open the season. Since then, the Tar Heels have dominated on both sides of the ball. The most recent win, a blowout of rival Duke, moves UNC into the driver’s seat in the Coastal Division.

The schedule does not have as many great games this week, but there are many important ones. Not only are conference races still up for grabs, there are about 20 teams competing for the final six to eight bowl bids. As we believed last week, we continue to believe this week that only 79 teams will reach bowl eligibility. That means one 5-7 team will back into a bowl game. The rule states that if it comes down to 5-7 teams, the tiebreaker is the last football APR (academic progress rate) score. In case you were wondering, Nebraska is number one in line with a 985 score, followed by Vanderbilt (983), Army (981), Rutgers (980), Boston College (980), Georgia Tech (978), Virginia Tech (977), Washington (977), and Kansas St. (976) (teams already bowl eligible were not included in the APR rankings.)

Let’s break the conference races down and show you just how dysfunctional the race to the Playoffs could be.

Power Five Conferences

Atlantic Coast
Clemson sits pretty at 6-0/9-0 with little competition in their site in the regular season. However, North Carolina looks to be headed to an 8-0 finish. We believe that the Tar Heels have a better than 50-50 chance of beating Clemson and securing the automatic New Year’s Six Bowl Bid.

Notre Dame is included in the ACC write-up, since the Irish can receive an ACC bowl bid and even jump over an ACC team with one additional win. The Irish must close out the season at Stanford, and as of now, we believe the Cardinal will win a close one. At 10-2, Notre Dame would jump over everybody else in the ACC that isn’t automatically in a NY6 Bowl.

Florida State will look much better if the Seminoles edge Florida in three weeks, while Duke and Pittsburgh will decide who rates ahead of the other when they face off in Durham this week.

Miami, North Carolina State, and Louisville will go somewhere, while Virginia Tech still has a strong chance of getting a sixth win. Syracuse, Wake Forest, Boston College, Georgia Tech, and Virginia are out for now.

Big Ten
Ohio State and Iowa look like they are headed to an epic 12-0 vs. 12-0 battle in the Big Ten Championship Game, but those sneaky PiRates believe there is going to be a little fly in the Buckeye ointment. All season long, we have been looking at the upstart rival up north. Michigan may be repeating history from 1969. If you didn’t read our analogy from October, we compared this season to 1969, when defending national champion Ohio State entered the final game undefeated and ranked number one, while Michigan came into the game with two losses, one to a conference champion from another power conference, and one to Michigan State. In 1969, Michigan’s defense shut down Ohio State in the second half and pulled off a big upset at the Big House to win the Big Ten title. The PiRates believe history can and will repeat itself, and Michigan will win the East by upsetting Ohio State again.

Iowa must lost twice for Wisconsin to pass them in the standings, and the Hawkeyes close with Minnesota and Purdue at home and Nebraska on the road. The Hawkeyes might run the table, but we believe Michigan or Ohio State would beat them in the Big Ten Championship Game. Should Michigan State upset Ohio State and take the East Division flag, then Iowa might take the conference title and advance to the playoffs at 13-0. For now, we say Michigan over Iowa in the Big Ten Championship Game. That would leave an Ohio State team at 11-1 probably as the number four seed in the playoffs.

Besides the five teams previously mentioned, Penn State and Northwestern are sure things for bowls. Indiana and Rutgers have the next two best chances to get to 6-6, while Illinois, Minnesota, and Nebraska have minor chances.

Big 12
TCU can still win the Big 12 Championship, but the Horned Frogs are out of the playoff picture. Oklahoma State and Baylor, remain undefeated, while Oklahoma sits a game back with one loss. Baylor still must play all three of the contenders consecutively, and we believe the Bears are going to lose at least one game and more likely two of the three.

Oklahoma cannot lose another game and win the league, and the Sooners close with the other three contenders, with Baylor and Oklahoma State coming on the road.

Oklahoma State has a winnable road game against Iowa State, and then the Cowboys close with home games against Baylor and Oklahoma. After OSU dismissed TCU, it looks like the boys from Stillwater have the best chance of running the table and entering the playoffs at 12-0.

There is quite a drop after the top four. We see three additional bowl eligible teams in West Virginia, Texas Tech, and Kansas State. As for Texas, the Longhorns are 4-5 with games at West Virginia, home against Texas Tech, and a finale at Baylor. It looks like 5-7 for the Longhorns, and 5-7 may not allow Coach Charlie Strong to keep his job.

Pac-12
This is an interesting race, and it may be so balanced at this point that no team emerges with just one loss. In the North, Stanford needs one more conference win to clinch the division. The Cardinal can do that this week against Oregon, but if the Ducks win, the race is still alive. The Ducks could then win the division by knocking off USC and Oregon State, if California beats Stanford.

Washington State can still tie for the division crown by winning at UCLA, home against Colorado, and at Washington, if Stanford loses to Oregon and Cal, and Oregon wins out. However, the Cougars have been eliminated from the Pac-12 Championship Game, because Oregon would edge WSU with a better intradivisional record.

California needs one more win to become bowl eligible, and the Bears should get that against Oregon State this week. Washington might finish 5-7 with losses at Arizona State and against Washington State, but the Huskies might be the one lucky 5-7 team to make it to a bowl thanks to their APR score.

The South Division title is still undecided with Utah holding a one game lead over USC and UCLA. The Trojans beat the Utes earlier this year, while Utah and UCLA have yet to play, and of course USC and UCLA have yet to play. Utah is not getting much respect, and the Utes are not totally out of the playoff race themselves. If they beat UCLA and then knock off Stanford in the Pac-12 Championship Game, a 12-1 Utah team could make a case, especially if USC continues to win.

Arizona State is a wounded team coming in with just one engine, but the Seminoles have the best shot of the rest of getting to 6-6.

Southeastern
Who is going to beat Alabama the rest of the way? The Crimson Tide are supposed to be headed for a trap game at Mississippi State this week, but the Bulldogs do not have enough talent to upset the Tide, unless ‘Bama gives them 14 points in turnovers like they did against Ole Miss.

Ole Miss played themselves out of the conference championship picture with the loss to Arkansas. Facemask penalties can be big. LSU could only win the West if they win out and Alabama loses. It may be even harder for the Tigers to win out than for someone else to beat Alabama.

The rest of this division will also be bowl eligible, an incredible seven out of seven. Because of this, a 12-1 Alabama team might deserve to be the overal number one seed regardless of who else goes undefeated.

Florida has already clinched the East Division, but the Gators might still lose two more games. A team that scores just nine points at home on Vanderbilt could easily lose at South Carolina or at home to Florida State, and they will lose to Alabama in the SEC Championship Game.

Tennessee was 3-4 two weeks ago, but the Volunteers should win out to finish 8-4 and take second in the division. Georgia has a tough finishing conference game at Auburn, but the Bulldogs finish with two sure things out of conference against Georgia Southern and Georgia Tech. If they lose either one, then Mark Richt becomed unemployed.

Kentucky has now lost four games in a row to fall to 4-5, but the Wildcats’ next two games are winnable. This week’s game at Vanderbilt could be tough, but the Commodores’ offense is as weak as any Power Six Conference team, and a couple of scores could be all the Wildcats need to secure a win. The following week’s game against Charlotte should get the ‘Cats bowl eligible if they knock off the Commodores this week.

South Carolina, Vanderbilt, and Missouri are out of the bowl race, and Missouri’s team could be looking at one or more forfeit losses to close the season due to racial tensions on the campus leading to a team walkout. Missouri’s proposed finishing schedule includes a game against BYU in Kansas City this weekend, followed by a home game against Tennessee and a road game against Arkansas.

Group of Five Conferences

American Athletic
Navy’s upset of Memphis ruined the big game for this week, when the Tigers go to Houston. Houston is still in control of the New Year’s Six Bowl that goes to the best Group of Five team, but the Cougars have three tough games to go. Besides needing to beat Memphis, they have to beat Navy and then Temple in the AAC Championship Game.

Don’t count out Navy just yet. The Midshipmen’s lone loss is to Notre Dame, and they did not look like the underdog pulling off a surprise in the win at Memphis. Navy could do the same thing to Houston and take the West Division flag.

Tulsa is not in contention in the West, but the Golden Hurricane needs just one more win to become bowl eligible. The season-ended against Tulane ought to give UT that win.

Temple has a two-game lead in the East Division, but they have a tough closing schedule. The Owls play at the hot South Florida Bulls this week, and USF is still alive in the division race. TU then finishes with home games against Memphis and Connecticut. We believe TU will win out and then win the Conference Championship Game to earn the New Year’s Six Bowl bid.

Besides USF, Cincinnati appears to be the only other team headed to bowl eligibility, as Connecticut and East Carolina don’t appear to have enough winnable games left.

Conference USA
Any chance that a C-USA team could make it to the New Year’s Six Bowl was lost when Marshall lost at Middle Tennessee this past weekend. Western Kentucky already had two losses, and even if the Hilltoppers win out, they will not jump over every AAC team.

The Middle Tennessee win virtually locked up a bowl bid for the Blue Raiders, while Old Dominion and Florida International still hold slim chances of making it to six wins.

In the West, Louisiana Tech looks invincible at this point, but Southern Miss. still has a shot. We believe the winner of that game will eventually emerge as the overall conference champion and have first dibs on which of seven contracted bowls they wish to accept, or in other words accepts the Bahamas Bowl.

Rice and UTEP still have even money odds’ chances of finishing 6-6.

Independents
BYU has already clinched a bowl, and they will be invited to either the Las Vegas or Hawaii Bowl.

Army already has seven losses, but if the Black Knights beat Tulane, Rutgers, and Navy, they could still earn a bowl bid with a superior APR score. We think West Point will lose an eighth, ninth, and tenth game, so it is a moot point.

Mid-American
Bowling Green is up two games with three to play in the East, and the Falcons would have to lose all three for Buffalo to surpass them. The Bulls need just one more win to become bowl eligible, and that should happen with a game against UMass on November 27, if not at Akron the week before.

Akron needs two more wins, and the Zips still have Miami of Ohio and Kent State on their schedule. Call it 6-6 for Terry Bowden’s crew, as Akron makes it to a bowl for the second time ever.

Ohio needs one more win to earn a bowl bid. The Bobcats were once a leading contender to win the division, but the season soured at the halfway point. Weak opponents in consecutive weeks against Kent State and Ball State should get Ohio to 7-5.

The West Division is a mess thanks to last week’s results. Western Michigan is now alone in first place at 5-0, but the Broncos have a killer finishing schedule against Bowling Green, Northern Illinois, and Toledo, the latter two on the road.

Toledo, Northern Illinois, and Central Michigan are in a three-way tie at 4-1. TU has a schedule the equal of WMU with games at CMU, at BGU, and at home against WMU. NIU has it a little easier with games at Buffalo, and home against WMU and Ohio. CMU closes with Toledo at home but their final two games are easy wins against Kent State and Eastern Michigan. The Chippewas were a consensus 5th place choice in the preseason, and first year coach John Bonamego will draw a lot of attention from bigger schools after spending most of his career coaching in the NFL.

Mountain West
It was supposed to be a slam dunk 13-0 season for Boise State, but the Broncos stumbled early against BYU and lost at Utah State. Still, BSU can win the Mountain Division with a closing schedule of New Mexico, Air Force, and San Jose State. The Broncos will not be the favored team in the conference championship game if they win the division title.

Air Force still controls its own destiny in the Mountain Division, and hiding in the bushes, New Mexico also controls its own destiny. Bob Davie’s Lobos may not win out and take the division flag, but UNM needs just one more win to earn their first bowl bid since 2007. Utah State needs help to win the division and appears headed to a 6-6 finish.

Colorado State must win two more games to get to six wins, and the Rams should do it by defeating UNLV and Fresno State. That would mean five of the six Mountain teams would earn a bowl bid.

The West Division is not so fortunate. Only San Diego State is assured of earning a bowl bid at this point, and the Aztecs appear to be the class of the entire league this year.

Nevada should finish 6-6, but there is no guarantee that the Wolfpack will win another game with San Jose State, Utah State, and San Diego State left to play. As for San Jose State, the Spartans are 4-5 after a close loss to BYU, and they close with Nevada, Hawaii, and Boise State. The winner of the Nevada-San Jose State game should finish 6-6, but that is not for sure.

Sun Belt
In a weeknight surprise, Arkansas State upset Appalachian State to take command in the SBC. The Red Wolves have three easy marks in their way to the SBC title in Louisiana-Monroe, New Mexico State, and Texas State. The fans in Jonesboro might be getting nervous, not because ASU could be upset, but because someone may come calling for Coach Blake Anderson.

Appalachian State will still go bowling this year, as will Georgia Southern and Louisiana-Lafayette.

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

PiRate Ratings
#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
1	Alabama	129.6	127.4	129.5	128.8
2	Ohio St.	128.5	123.1	129.3	127.0
3	Baylor	127.8	124.0	128.1	126.6
4	Oklahoma	127.0	123.7	127.6	126.1
5	Stanford	124.2	122.3	124.6	123.7
6	Clemson	122.9	124.1	123.6	123.5
7	TCU	126.0	117.7	126.4	123.4
8	LSU	123.6	120.8	123.7	122.7
9	Notre Dame	123.1	120.2	123.1	122.1
10	USC	122.0	118.1	122.0	120.7
11	North Carolina	120.3	120.8	120.6	120.6
12	Utah	121.9	116.8	121.4	120.0
13	UCLA	122.2	116.2	120.8	119.7
14	Ole Miss	122.2	116.9	120.1	119.7
15	Tennessee	120.6	116.5	120.4	119.2
16	Oklahoma St.	119.2	116.6	119.8	118.5
17	Florida	119.4	116.0	119.4	118.3
18	Michigan	119.0	116.2	119.1	118.1
19	Arkansas	118.8	113.6	118.0	116.8
20	Mississippi St.	116.7	113.4	117.2	115.8
21	Auburn	116.0	113.6	115.4	115.0
22	Oregon	117.1	110.8	116.7	114.9
23	Georgia	117.2	110.7	116.1	114.7
24	Michigan St.	115.5	112.3	114.8	114.2
25	Florida St.	114.1	114.8	113.4	114.1
26	Texas A&M	115.6	112.1	113.4	113.7
27	California	115.1	109.4	114.2	112.9
28	Houston	109.9	115.9	112.1	112.6
29	Wisconsin	112.7	112.3	111.8	112.3
30	Iowa	110.7	112.9	111.3	111.6
31	Georgia Tech	112.7	110.3	111.3	111.4
32	Arizona St.	113.6	108.1	112.1	111.3
33	Boise St.	112.4	109.0	112.1	111.2
34	North Carolina St.	110.4	112.2	109.4	110.7
35	West Virginia	112.9	106.9	111.9	110.6
36	Bowling Green	107.8	112.8	110.9	110.5
37	Virginia Tech	110.2	109.9	110.0	110.0
38	Temple	108.8	110.9	109.5	109.7
39	Washington	110.1	107.1	110.4	109.2
40	Louisville	107.5	110.2	107.3	108.3
41	Nebraska	108.4	106.6	107.6	107.5
42	Pittsburgh	106.8	107.3	107.4	107.2
43	Memphis	106.5	107.4	107.1	107.0
44	Missouri	108.4	104.8	107.3	106.8
45	South Carolina	108.3	104.8	106.8	106.6
46	Cincinnati	105.3	107.2	107.1	106.5
47	Penn St.	106.5	106.7	106.3	106.5
48	Washington St.	107.4	103.8	107.7	106.3
49	Duke	106.1	106.3	106.2	106.2
50	BYU	106.2	105.6	106.8	106.2
51	Navy	104.6	108.1	105.4	106.0
52	Western Kentucky	105.6	105.7	106.6	106.0
53	San Diego St.	104.0	108.4	105.5	106.0
54	Arizona	107.3	101.9	106.5	105.2
55	Miami	104.2	104.7	105.1	104.7
56	Illinois	105.4	103.9	104.5	104.6
57	Minnesota	105.2	103.5	104.5	104.4
58	Texas Tech	107.1	98.9	106.7	104.2
59	Northwestern	104.1	104.3	103.9	104.1
60	Toledo	103.2	104.2	104.7	104.0
61	Texas	105.0	101.7	105.0	103.9
62	Louisiana Tech	103.4	103.6	104.5	103.8
63	Western Michigan	102.3	103.2	103.7	103.1
64	Kansas St.	106.1	96.3	105.3	102.6
65	Colorado	104.7	99.6	102.4	102.2
66	Virginia	101.6	99.7	101.3	100.9
67	Kentucky	102.5	98.0	100.7	100.4
68	Vanderbilt	101.5	97.7	101.7	100.3
69	Utah St.	99.5	99.8	99.5	99.6
70	Boston College	99.2	102.0	97.6	99.6
71	Northern Illinois	97.0	100.9	97.9	98.6
72	Iowa St.	99.6	95.9	99.4	98.3
73	Appalachian St.	96.4	99.3	98.2	98.0
74	Air Force	96.6	100.8	96.0	97.8
75	Georgia Southern	95.9	98.7	96.8	97.1
76	Indiana	96.5	96.5	95.8	96.3
77	Wake Forest	95.2	98.5	94.5	96.1
78	Marshall	95.4	96.3	95.6	95.8
79	South Florida	93.3	99.1	94.4	95.6
80	Purdue	96.4	95.3	94.9	95.5
81	Maryland	95.0	94.1	94.9	94.7
82	East Carolina	92.6	96.2	93.1	94.0
83	Syracuse	93.3	95.7	92.2	93.7
84	Rutgers	94.7	91.4	92.7	92.9
85	Arkansas St.	92.1	93.2	93.3	92.9
86	Middle Tennessee	93.3	92.3	92.9	92.8
87	Central Michigan	90.7	95.0	92.8	92.8
88	Southern Mississippi	91.7	93.8	92.5	92.7
89	San Jose St.	91.7	94.4	91.9	92.7
90	Colorado St.	92.7	92.0	91.9	92.2
91	Tulsa	90.2	94.5	91.2	92.0
92	Connecticut	88.8	93.7	90.0	90.8
93	Florida International	89.8	92.2	89.9	90.6
94	Nevada	89.1	93.0	88.9	90.3
95	New Mexico	89.0	90.0	88.2	89.1
96	Oregon St.	90.4	87.1	88.2	88.6
97	Ohio	85.7	89.8	87.0	87.5
98	Buffalo	83.2	89.3	85.0	85.8
99	Tulane	85.2	87.4	84.4	85.7
100	Akron	83.2	88.9	84.7	85.6
101	UNLV	84.0	86.5	85.4	85.3
102	Massachusetts	84.1	86.9	84.8	85.3
103	SMU	83.9	87.8	83.5	85.1
104	Troy	83.7	85.1	85.2	84.7
105	UL-Lafayette	83.5	86.2	83.8	84.5
106	Rice	82.8	85.9	82.7	83.8
107	Florida Atlantic	82.3	85.4	83.1	83.6
108	Hawaii	82.0	83.7	80.9	82.2
109	Army	77.9	86.7	79.4	81.3
110	Ball St.	80.4	82.6	81.0	81.3
111	Fresno St.	80.1	83.6	78.1	80.6
112	Kent St.	79.5	82.2	80.1	80.6
113	Wyoming	80.1	81.6	78.9	80.2
114	Central Florida	79.1	82.1	79.4	80.2
115	UT-San Antonio	78.8	81.3	79.2	79.8
116	UTEP	77.1	79.8	77.0	78.0
117	Georgia St.	77.3	77.5	78.0	77.6
118	Old Dominion	76.3	80.7	75.7	77.6
119	Texas St.	76.6	79.8	76.2	77.5
120	South Alabama	74.8	80.9	75.9	77.2
121	Miami (O)	74.1	79.0	74.7	75.9
122	Idaho	73.0	78.3	74.1	75.1
123	North Texas	72.6	76.6	72.7	74.0
124	Kansas	75.7	69.3	73.4	72.8
125	UL-Monroe	73.2	72.1	73.2	72.8
126	Eastern Michigan	70.7	76.9	70.0	72.5
127	New Mexico St.	71.6	73.3	71.7	72.2
128	Charlotte	68.4	70.6	68.5	69.2

PiRate Retrodictive
#	Team
1	Alabama
2	Ohio St.
3	Clemson
4	Baylor
5	Notre Dame
6	LSU
7	Oklahoma
8	Stanford
9	Iowa
10	Utah
11	TCU
12	Florida
13	Oklahoma St.
14	Michigan
15	Michigan St.
16	Houston
17	USC
18	Mississippi St.
19	North Carolina
20	Memphis
21	Ole Miss
22	Navy
23	UCLA
24	Florida St.
25	Northwestern
26	Temple
27	BYU
28	Wisconsin
29	Tennessee
30	Boise St.
31	Toledo
32	Texas A&M
33	Bowling Green
34	Oregon
35	Penn St.
36	Western Kentucky
37	Arkansas
38	Washington St.
39	Georgia
40	Pittsburgh
41	California
42	Miami (Fla)
43	West Virginia
44	Auburn
45	Washington
46	Cincinnati
47	Duke
48	Louisville
49	North Carolina St.
50	Appalachian St.
51	Western Michigan
52	Louisiana Tech
53	San Diego St.
54	Northern Illinois
55	Illinois
56	Texas Tech
57	Georgia Southern
58	Arizona St.
59	Nebraska
60	Georgia Tech
61	Central Michigan
62	Air Force
63	Kansas St.
64	Minnesota
65	Virginia Tech
66	Marshall
67	South Florida
68	Utah St.
69	Arkansas St.
70	Texas
71	Indiana
72	Arizona
73	South Carolina
74	Connecticut
75	Southern Miss.
76	Tulsa
77	Virginia
78	Iowa St.
79	Kentucky
80	Missouri
81	Buffalo
82	Vanderbilt
83	Maryland
84	Middle Tennessee
85	San Jose St.
86	East Carolina
87	Ohio
88	Rutgers
89	Syracuse
90	Boston College
91	Colorado
92	Louisiana-Lafayette
93	Colorado St.
94	Akron
95	New Mexico
96	Nevada
97	South Alabama
98	Purdue
99	Wake Forest
100	Oregon St.
101	Troy
102	Florida Int’l.
103	Old Dominion
104	UNLV
105	Rice
106	Kent St.
107	Ball St.
108	Tulane
109	SMU
110	Army
111	Texas St.
112	UTEP
113	Idaho
114	Massachusetts
115	Florida Atlantic
116	Georgia St.
117	Fresno St.
118	Hawaii
119	Miami (O)
120	Kansas
121	UTSA
122	New Mexico St.
123	Wyoming
124	Louisiana-Monroe
125	North Texas
126	Charlotte
127	Eastern Michigan
128	Central Florida

PiRate Ratings By Conference
#	League	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
1	SEC	115.7	111.9	115.0	114.2
2	Pac-12	113.0	108.4	112.3	111.2
3	Big 12	110.6	105.1	110.4	108.7
4	ACC	107.5	108.3	107.1	107.6
5	Big Ten	107.0	105.7	106.5	106.4
6	Indep.	102.4	104.2	103.1	103.2
7	AAC	95.7	99.2	96.4	97.1
8	MWC	91.8	93.6	91.4	92.3
9	MAC	87.8	91.7	89.0	89.5
10	CUSA	86.0	88.0	86.2	86.7
11	SBC	81.6	84.0	82.4	82.7

American Athletic Conference
East Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Temple	5-0	8-1	108.8	110.9	109.5	109.7
Cincinnati	2-3	5-4	105.3	107.2	107.1	106.5
South Florida	3-2	5-4	93.3	99.1	94.4	95.6
East Carolina	2-4	4-6	92.6	96.2	93.1	94.0
Connecticut	3-3	5-5	88.8	93.7	90.0	90.8
Central Florida	0-6	0-10	79.1	82.1	79.4	80.2
West Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Houston	5-0	9-0	109.9	115.9	112.1	112.6
Memphis	4-1	8-1	106.5	107.4	107.1	107.0
Navy	5-0	7-1	104.6	108.1	105.4	106.0
Tulsa	2-3	5-4	90.2	94.5	91.2	92.0
Tulane	1-5	2-7	85.2	87.4	84.4	85.7
SMU	0-5	1-8	83.9	87.8	83.5	85.1
AAC Averages			95.7	99.2	96.4	97.1
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	6-0	9-0	122.9	124.1	123.6	123.5
Florida St.	5-2	7-2	114.1	114.8	113.4	114.1
North Carolina St.	2-3	6-3	110.4	112.2	109.4	110.7
Louisville	4-2	5-4	107.5	110.2	107.3	108.3
Boston College	0-7	3-7	99.2	102.0	97.6	99.6
Wake Forest	1-5	3-6	95.2	98.5	94.5	96.1
Syracuse	1-4	3-6	93.3	95.7	92.2	93.7
Coastal Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
North Carolina	5-0	8-1	120.3	120.8	120.6	120.6
Georgia Tech	1-5	3-6	112.7	110.3	111.3	111.4
Virginia Tech	2-3	4-5	110.2	109.9	110.0	110.0
Pittsburgh	4-1	6-3	106.8	107.3	107.4	107.2
Duke	3-2	6-3	106.1	106.3	106.2	106.2
Miami	3-2	6-3	104.2	104.7	105.1	104.7
Virginia	2-3	3-6	101.6	99.7	101.3	100.9
ACC Averages			107.5	108.3	107.1	107.6
Big 12 Conference
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Baylor	5-0	8-0	127.8	124.0	128.1	126.6
Oklahoma	5-1	8-1	127.0	123.7	127.6	126.1
TCU	5-1	8-1	126.0	117.7	126.4	123.4
Oklahoma St.	6-0	9-0	119.2	116.6	119.8	118.5
West Virginia	1-4	4-4	112.9	106.9	111.9	110.6
Texas Tech	2-5	5-5	107.1	98.9	106.7	104.2
Texas	3-3	4-5	105.0	101.7	105.0	103.9
Kansas St.	0-5	3-5	106.1	96.3	105.3	102.6
Iowa St.	2-4	3-6	99.6	95.9	99.4	98.3
Kansas	0-6	0-9	75.7	69.3	73.4	72.8
Big 12 Averages			110.6	105.1	110.4	108.7
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	5-0	9-0	128.5	123.1	129.3	127.0
Michigan	4-1	7-2	119.0	116.2	119.1	118.1
Michigan St.	4-1	8-1	115.5	112.3	114.8	114.2
Penn St.	4-2	7-3	106.5	106.7	106.3	106.5
Indiana	0-5	4-5	96.5	96.5	95.8	96.3
Maryland	0-5	2-7	95.0	94.1	94.9	94.7
Rutgers	1-5	3-6	94.7	91.4	92.7	92.9
West Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Wisconsin	5-1	8-2	112.7	112.3	111.8	112.3
Iowa	5-0	9-0	110.7	112.9	111.3	111.6
Nebraska	2-4	4-6	108.4	106.6	107.6	107.5
Illinois	2-3	5-4	105.4	103.9	104.5	104.6
Minnesota	1-4	4-5	105.2	103.5	104.5	104.4
Northwestern	3-2	7-2	104.1	104.3	103.9	104.1
Purdue	1-4	2-7	96.4	95.3	94.9	95.5
Big Ten Averages			107.0	105.7	106.5	106.4
Conference USA
East Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Western Kentucky	6-0	8-2	105.6	105.7	106.6	106.0
Marshall	5-1	8-2	95.4	96.3	95.6	95.8
Middle Tennessee	3-2	4-5	93.3	92.3	92.9	92.8
Florida International	3-3	5-5	89.8	92.2	89.9	90.6
Florida Atlantic	2-4	2-7	82.3	85.4	83.1	83.6
Old Dominion	2-3	4-5	76.3	80.7	75.7	77.6
Charlotte	0-6	2-7	68.4	70.6	68.5	69.2
West Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisiana Tech	5-1	7-3	103.4	103.6	104.5	103.8
Southern Mississippi	4-1	6-3	91.7	93.8	92.5	92.7
Rice	2-3	4-5	82.8	85.9	82.7	83.8
UT-San Antonio	1-4	1-8	78.8	81.3	79.2	79.8
UTEP	2-3	4-5	77.1	79.8	77.0	78.0
North Texas	1-5	1-8	72.6	76.6	72.7	74.0
CUSA Averages			86.0	88.0	86.2	86.7
FBS Independents
Team		Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame		8-1	123.1	120.2	123.1	122.1
BYU		7-2	106.2	105.6	106.8	106.2
Army		2-7	77.9	86.7	79.4	81.3
Independents Averages			102.4	104.2	103.1	103.2
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Bowling Green	5-0	7-2	107.8	112.8	110.9	110.5
Ohio	2-3	5-4	85.7	89.8	87.0	87.5
Buffalo	3-2	5-4	83.2	89.3	85.0	85.8
Akron	2-3	4-5	83.2	88.9	84.7	85.6
Massachusetts	0-5	1-8	84.1	86.9	84.8	85.3
Kent St.	2-3	3-6	79.5	82.2	80.1	80.6
Miami (O)	1-5	2-8	74.1	79.0	74.7	75.9
West Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	4-1	7-1	103.2	104.2	104.7	104.0
Western Michigan	5-0	6-3	102.3	103.2	103.7	103.1
Northern Illinois	4-1	6-3	97.0	100.9	97.9	98.6
Central Michigan	4-1	5-4	90.7	95.0	92.8	92.8
Ball St.	2-4	3-7	80.4	82.6	81.0	81.3
Eastern Michigan	0-6	1-9	70.7	76.9	70.0	72.5
MAC Averages			87.8	91.7	89.0	89.5
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	4-1	7-2	112.4	109.0	112.1	111.2
Utah St.	4-2	5-4	99.5	99.8	99.5	99.6
Air Force	4-1	6-3	96.6	100.8	96.0	97.8
Colorado St.	2-3	4-5	92.7	92.0	91.9	92.2
New Mexico	3-2	5-4	89.0	90.0	88.2	89.1
Wyoming	1-5	1-9	80.1	81.6	78.9	80.2
West Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
San Diego St.	5-0	6-3	104.0	108.4	105.5	106.0
San Jose St.	3-2	4-5	91.7	94.4	91.9	92.7
Nevada	3-2	5-4	89.1	93.0	88.9	90.3
UNLV	2-3	3-6	84.0	86.5	85.4	85.3
Hawaii	0-6	2-8	82.0	83.7	80.9	82.2
Fresno St.	1-5	2-7	80.1	83.6	78.1	80.6
MWC Averages			91.8	93.6	91.4	92.3
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Stanford	7-0	8-1	124.2	122.3	124.6	123.7
Oregon	4-2	6-3	117.1	110.8	116.7	114.9
California	2-4	5-4	115.1	109.4	114.2	112.9
Washington	2-4	4-5	110.1	107.1	110.4	109.2
Washington St.	4-2	6-3	107.4	103.8	107.7	106.3
Oregon St.	0-6	2-7	90.4	87.1	88.2	88.6
South Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
USC	4-2	6-3	122.0	118.1	122.0	120.7
Utah	5-1	8-1	121.9	116.8	121.4	120.0
UCLA	4-2	7-2	122.2	116.2	120.8	119.7
Arizona St.	2-4	4-5	113.6	108.1	112.1	111.3
Arizona	2-5	5-5	107.3	101.9	106.5	105.2
Colorado	1-5	4-6	104.7	99.6	102.4	102.2
Pac-12 Averages			113.0	108.4	112.3	111.2
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Tennessee	3-3	5-4	120.6	116.5	120.4	119.2
Florida	6-1	8-1	119.4	116.0	119.4	118.3
Georgia	4-3	6-3	117.2	110.7	116.1	114.7
Missouri	1-5	4-5	108.4	104.8	107.3	106.8
South Carolina	1-6	3-6	108.3	104.8	106.8	106.6
Kentucky	2-5	4-5	102.5	98.0	100.7	100.4
Vanderbilt	1-4	3-6	101.5	97.7	101.7	100.3
West Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	5-1	8-1	129.6	127.4	129.5	128.8
LSU	4-1	7-1	123.6	120.8	123.7	122.7
Ole Miss	4-2	7-3	122.2	116.9	120.1	119.7
Arkansas	3-2	5-4	118.8	113.6	118.0	116.8
Mississippi St.	3-2	7-2	116.7	113.4	117.2	115.8
Auburn	2-4	5-4	116.0	113.6	115.4	115.0
Texas A&M	3-3	6-3	115.6	112.1	113.4	113.7
SEC Averages			115.7	111.9	115.0	114.2
Sunbelt Conference
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Appalachian St.	4-1	7-2	96.4	99.3	98.2	98.0
Georgia Southern	4-1	6-2	95.9	98.7	96.8	97.1
Arkansas St.	5-0	6-3	92.1	93.2	93.3	92.9
Troy	2-3	3-6	83.7	85.1	85.2	84.7
UL-Lafayette	3-1	4-4	83.5	86.2	83.8	84.5
Georgia St.	1-3	2-6	77.3	77.5	78.0	77.6
Texas St.	1-3	2-6	76.6	79.8	76.2	77.5
South Alabama	2-2	4-4	74.8	80.9	75.9	77.2
Idaho	2-4	3-6	73.0	78.3	74.1	75.1
UL-Monroe	0-5	1-8	73.2	72.1	73.2	72.8
New Mexico St.	2-3	2-7	71.6	73.3	71.7	72.2
Sun Belt Averages			81.6	84.0	82.4	82.7

NCAA Playoff Projections
1	Clemson
2	Alabama
3	Ohio St.
4	Notre Dame

Group of 5 Contenders For Automatic New Year’s Six Bowl Bid
#	Team
1	Houston
2	Navy
3	Temple
4	Memphis
5	Boise St.

Power 5 Conferences Bottom 10
#	Team
10	Boston College
9	Iowa St.
8	Indiana
7	Wake Forest
6	Purdue
5	Maryland
4	Syracuse
3	Rutgers
2	Oregon St.
1	Kansas

FCS Top 10
#	Team	PiRate
1	Jacksonville St.	96.9
2	Harvard	94.2
3	North Dakota St.	91.9
4	McNeese St.	91.7
5	Dartmouth	91.5
6	Dayton	91.3
7	Charleston Southern	90.2
8	South Dakota St.	90.0
9	Illinois St.	89.6
10	Coastal Carolina	89.6

This Week’s Games
Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Tuesday, November 10
Ohio	Kent St.	8.7	10.1	9.4
Central Michigan	Toledo	-10.0	-6.7	9.4
Wednesday, November 11
Buffalo	Northern Illinois	-10.8	-8.6	-9.9
Western Michigan	Bowling Green	-2.5	-6.6	-4.2
Thursday, November 12
South Alabama	Louisiana-Lafayette	-6.2	-2.8	-5.4
Georgia Tech	Virginia Tech	5.5	3.4	4.3
Friday, November 13
Colorado	USC	-14.3	-15.5	-16.6
Saturday, November 14
Duke	Pittsburgh	1.8	1.5	1.3
Auburn	Georgia	1.8	5.9	2.3
South Carolina	Florida	-8.1	-8.2	-9.6
Tennessee	North Texas	51.0	42.9	50.7
Army	Tulane	-4.3	2.3	-2.0
West Virginia	Texas	10.9	8.2	9.9
Illinois	Ohio St.	-20.1	-16.2	-21.8
TCU	Kansas	53.3	51.4	56.0
Michigan St.	Maryland	23.5	21.2	22.9
Northwestern	Purdue	10.2	11.5	11.5
Florida Atlantic	Middle Tennessee	-8.5	-4.4	-7.3
Miami (O)	Akron	-7.1	-7.9	-8.0
Old Dominion	UTEP	2.2	3.9	1.7
Florida St.	North Carolina St.	6.7	5.6	7.0
Louisville	Virginia	8.9	13.5	9.0
Charlotte	UTSA	-7.9	-8.2	-8.2
Air Force	Utah St.	0.1	4.0	-0.5
Eastern Michigan	Massachusetts	-11.4	-8.0	-12.8
Louisana-Monroe	Arkansas St.	-16.4	-18.6	-17.6
Arizona St.	Washington	6.5	4.0	4.7
North Carolina	Miami (Fla.)	19.1	19.1	18.5
Notre Dame	Wake Forest	30.9	24.7	31.6
Syracuse	Clemson	-26.6	-25.4	-28.4
Mississippi St.	Alabama	-9.9	-11	-9.3
Iowa St.	Oklahoma St.	-16.6	-17.7	-17.4
Marshall	Florida Int’l.	8.6	7.1	8.7
Rutgers	Nebraska	-11.2	-12.7	-12.4
Texas Tech	Kansas St.	4.0	5.6	4.4
Indiana	Michigan	-19.5	-16.7	-20.3
Troy	Georgia Southern	-9.7	-11.1	-9.1
Rice	Southern Miss.	-6.4	-5.4	-7.3
Navy	SMU	23.7	23.3	24.9
Nevada	San Jose St.	-0.1	1.1	-0.5
Texas St.	Georgia St.	1.8	4.8	0.7
Vanderbilt	Kentucky	1.0	1.7	3.0
Idaho	Appalachian St.	-20.4	-18.0	-21.1
South Florida	Temple	-12.5	-8.8	-12.1
Colorado St.	UNLV	11.7	8.5	9.5
Houston	Memphis	6.4	11.5	8.0
LSU	Arkansas	7.8	10.2	8.7
Stanford	Oregon	10.1	14.5	10.9
Missouri *	BYU	[3.2]	[0.2]	[1.5]
Cincinnati	Tulsa	18.1	15.7	18.9
Baylor	Oklahoma	3.8	3.3	3.5
Iowa	Minnesota	8.5	12.4	9.8
Arizona	Utah	-11.6	-11.9	-11.9
Boise St.	New Mexico	26.4	22.0	26.9
San Diego St.	Wyoming	26.9	29.8	29.6
California	Oregon St.	27.7	25.3	29.0
UCLA	Washington St.	17.8	15.4	16.1
Hawaii	Fresno St.	5.9	4.1	6.8
FBS vs. FCS	Week 11	PiRate
Texas A&M	Western Carolina	29
* Ongoing Strike of Missouri Football Team May Force Forfeiture Of This Game In Kansas City

Bowl	Conferences		Team	vs.	Team
Cure	AAC	SBC	Cincinnati	vs.	Appalachian St.
New Mexico	MWC	CUSA	New Mexico	vs.	Rice
Las Vegas	Pac-12	MWC/BYU	Washington St.	vs.	San Diego St.
Camellia	MAC	SBC	Western Michigan	vs.	Georgia Southern
New Orleans	CUSA	SBC	Southern Miss.	vs.	Louisiana-Lafayette
Miami Beach	AAC	CUSA	South Florida	vs.	Western Kentucky
Idaho Potato	MAC	MWC	Central Michigan	vs.	Utah St.
Boca Raton	AAC	MAC	Washington * ^	vs.	Northern Illinois
Poinsettia	MWC	Army	Boise St.	vs.	California *
GoDaddy	MAC	SBC	Bowling Green	vs.	Arkansas St.
Bahamas	CUSA	MAC	Louisiana Tech	vs.	Toledo
Hawaii	AAC	MWC/BYU	Tulsa	vs.	BYU
St. Petersburg	AAC	CUSA	Houston	vs.	Marshall
Sun	ACC	Pac-12	Pittsburgh	vs.	Oregon
Heart of Dallas	Big 12	CUSA	Akron *	vs.	UTEP
Pinstripe	ACC	Big Ten	North Carolina St.	vs.	Rutgers
Independence	SEC	ACC	Arkansas	vs.	Miami (Fla)
Foster Farms	Big Ten	Pac-12	Indiana	vs.	UCLA
Military	ACC	AAC	Navy	vs.	Virginia Tech
Quick Lane	ACC	Big Ten	Ohio *	vs.	Nevada *
Armed Forces	Big Ten	MWC	Buffalo *	vs.	Air Force
Russell Athletic	ACC	Big 12	Florida St.	vs.	Oklahoma
Arizona	CUSA	MWC	Middle Tennessee	vs.	Colorado St.
Texas	Big 12	SEC	Texas Tech	vs.	Texas A&M
Birmingham	AAC	SEC	Memphis	vs.	Kentucky
Belk	ACC	SEC	Duke	vs.	Auburn
Music City	ACC/Big Ten	SEC	Penn St.	vs.	Georgia
Peach	N. Y. 6	N. Y. 6	North Carolina	vs.	Michigan
Cotton	Playoff	Playoff	Oklahoma St.	vs.	Stanford
Orange	Playoff	Playoff	Alabama	vs.	Ohio St.
Holiday	Big Ten	Pac-12	Northwestern	vs.	USC
Ouback	Big Ten	SEC	Wisconsin	vs.	Tennessee
Citrus	Big Ten	SEC	Michigan St.	vs.	Florida
Sugar	Big 12	SEC	Baylor	vs.	LSU
Rose	Big Ten	Pac-12	Iowa	vs.	Notre Dame
Fiesta	N. Y. 6	N. Y. 6	Clemson	vs.	Temple
TaxSlayer	ACC/Big Ten	SEC	Louisville	vs.	Mississippi St.
Liberty	Big 12	SEC	West Virginia	vs.	Ole Miss
Alamo	Big 12	Pac-12	TCU	vs.	Utah
Cactus	Big 12	Pac-12	Kansas St.	vs.	Arizona St.
Nat’l Champ.	Semifinal	Winners	Stanford	vs.	Alabama
* = At-large selection due to contracted conference not having an eligible team for this slot
^ = Washington qualifies for a bowl at 5-7 with highest APR score of 5-7 teams