This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads
Home | Visitor | PiRate | Mean | Bias |
BYU | Utah St. | 23.2 | 21.6 | 22.5 |
Houston | Tulane | 3.1 | 2.8 | 4.0 |
Middle Tennessee | UTSA | -7.3 | -4.7 | -5.9 |
Boise St. | San Diego St. | 7.3 | 6.6 | 7.5 |
UCLA | Washington | 2.8 | 1.7 | 2.9 |
UNLV | New Mexico | 10.7 | 8.5 | 11.9 |
Wisconsin | Illinois | 11.3 | 10.1 | 12.1 |
Penn St. | Northwestern | 25.1 | 23.9 | 26.9 |
Boston College | Louisville | -10.6 | -8.3 | -10.9 |
Coastal Carolina | Georgia Southern | 7.7 | 9.5 | 9.5 |
Florida St. | Wake Forest | 10.4 | 10.4 | 10.5 |
Army | Georgia St. | 6.8 | 7.8 | 5.1 |
Clemson | North Carolina St. | 4.5 | 5.3 | 5.0 |
Pittsburgh | Georgia Tech | 25.8 | 25.1 | 26.4 |
Maryland | Michigan St. | 1.3 | 2.5 | 3.0 |
Duke | Virginia | -8.9 | -6.5 | -9.5 |
North Carolina | Virginia Tech | 11.6 | 11.3 | 13.6 |
Old Dominion | Liberty | -3.1 | -4.6 | -5.1 |
South Florida | East Carolina | -4.6 | -5.5 | -6.4 |
Central Florida | SMU | 4.9 | 6.3 | 5.4 |
Ball St. | Northern Illinois | -10.9 | -10.5 | -11.2 |
Minnesota | Purdue | 10.7 | 11.3 | 13.2 |
James Madison | Texas St. | 16.2 | 17.1 | 20.4 |
Air Force | Navy | 16.2 | 17.3 | 19.0 |
Baylor | Oklahoma St. | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
Kansas | Iowa St. | -2.7 | -4.2 | -5.4 |
Louisiana | South Alabama | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.8 |
Memphis | Temple | 20.2 | 18.3 | 22.0 |
Tulsa | Cincinnati | -12.1 | -12.1 | -13.4 |
Eastern Michigan | Massachusetts | 16.6 | 16.8 | 19.3 |
Utah | Oregon St. | 10.3 | 9.9 | 11.4 |
New Mexico St. | Florida Int’l. | 15.6 | 14.9 | 16.9 |
Washington St. | California | 6.4 | 6.9 | 6.1 |
Arizona | Colorado | 7.8 | 9.5 | 8.8 |
USC | Arizona St. | 13.9 | 14.9 | 14.5 |
Oregon | Stanford | 14.5 | 16.4 | 15.9 |
Ole Miss | Kentucky | 7.2 | 4.8 | 4.6 |
Kansas St. | Texas Tech | 7.5 | 7.6 | 6.3 |
Ohio St. | Rutgers | 33.0 | 32.4 | 37.0 |
Mississippi St. | Texas A&M | 6.3 | 3.8 | 3.6 |
TCU | Oklahoma | -3.8 | -4.1 | -4.6 |
Iowa | Michigan | -7.4 | -7.3 | -9.0 |
Texas | West Virginia | 8.8 | 7.9 | 9.1 |
Auburn | LSU | -6.0 | -6.8 | -7.1 |
Arkansas | Alabama | -12.9 | -13.7 | -13.9 |
Missouri | Georgia | -28.2 | -26.3 | -30.6 |
Toledo | Central Michigan | 3.4 | 2.6 | 2.2 |
Buffalo | Miami (O) | -4.3 | -4.5 | -4.8 |
Connecticut | Fresno St. | -20.6 | -19.0 | -24.0 |
Akron | Bowling Green | -9.0 | -7.2 | -8.8 |
Kent St. | Ohio | 9.2 | 9.2 | 8.3 |
Arkansas St. | Louisiana-Monroe | 3.1 | 4.4 | 4.4 |
North Texas | Florida Atlantic | -3.1 | -5.3 | -2.2 |
Charlotte | UTEP | -4.4 | -3.3 | -4.9 |
Nebraska | Indiana | 3.5 | 4.0 | 4.8 |
Western Kentucky | Troy | 11.6 | 11.1 | 12.3 |
Rice | UAB | -11.9 | -12.4 | -13.9 |
Wyoming | San Jose St. | -0.9 | 0.7 | -0.8 |
FBS vs. FCS Spreads
FBS | FCS | PiRate |
Appalachian St. | The Citadel | 32.4 |
Florida | Eastern Washington | 27.4 |
Marshall | Gardner-Webb | 27.7 |
Western Michigan | New Hampshire | 20.4 |
South Carolina | South Carolina St. | 32.5 |
Syracuse | Wagner | 51.0 |
Teams With A Bye This Week
Colorado St. |
Hawaii |
Louisiana Tech |
Miami (Fla.) |
Nevada |
Notre Dame |
Southern Miss. |
Tennessee |
Vanderbilt |
This Week’s PiRate Ratings
Rank | Team | Rating |
1 | Georgia | 132.8 |
2 | Alabama | 131.3 |
3 | Ohio St. | 130.9 |
4 | Michigan | 123.9 |
5 | Minnesota | 121.3 |
6 | Clemson | 118.5 |
7 | Oklahoma | 118.3 |
8 | Tennessee | 117.7 |
9 | Penn St. | 117.6 |
10 | Utah | 117.0 |
11 | Oklahoma St. | 116.8 |
12 | NC State | 116.6 |
13 | L S U | 115.3 |
14 | Ole Miss | 115.1 |
15 | Wisconsin | 115.0 |
16 | Baylor | 114.9 |
17 | Arkansas | 114.8 |
18 | Pittsburgh | 114.0 |
19 | Florida St. | 113.9 |
20 | Mississippi St. | 113.8 |
21 | Iowa | 113.0 |
22 | Oregon | 113.0 |
23 | Purdue | 112.6 |
24 | Cincinnati | 112.6 |
25 | Kentucky | 112.5 |
26 | U S C | 112.5 |
27 | Notre Dame | 112.5 |
28 | Texas A&M | 112.2 |
29 | Texas | 112.2 |
30 | Kansas St. | 112.0 |
31 | Michigan St. | 111.9 |
32 | T C U | 111.6 |
33 | Maryland | 111.1 |
34 | Miami (Fla.) | 110.3 |
35 | BYU | 110.2 |
36 | Louisville | 109.9 |
37 | Washington | 109.6 |
38 | Oregon St. | 109.5 |
39 | Iowa St. | 109.4 |
40 | U C L A | 109.1 |
41 | Syracuse | 107.9 |
42 | Texas Tech | 107.8 |
43 | South Carolina | 107.4 |
44 | West Virginia | 106.6 |
45 | UCF | 106.5 |
46 | Wake Forest | 106.5 |
47 | Florida | 106.4 |
48 | North Carolina | 106.2 |
49 | Illinois | 105.9 |
50 | Auburn | 105.6 |
51 | SMU | 104.0 |
52 | Washington St. | 103.6 |
53 | Air Force | 103.4 |
54 | Kansas | 102.3 |
55 | W. Kentucky | 102.1 |
56 | Fresno St. | 101.9 |
57 | Houston | 101.5 |
58 | Missouri | 101.4 |
59 | Virginia | 101.4 |
60 | Arizona St. | 101.1 |
61 | Tulane | 100.7 |
62 | Nebraska | 100.6 |
63 | Stanford | 100.4 |
64 | California | 100.1 |
65 | East Carolina | 100.0 |
66 | Rutgers | 99.8 |
67 | Indiana | 99.5 |
68 | Boise St. | 99.3 |
69 | U A B | 99.1 |
70 | Army | 98.6 |
71 | Appalachian St. | 98.6 |
72 | Memphis | 98.0 |
73 | Boston College | 97.4 |
74 | Virginia Tech | 97.1 |
75 | Tulsa | 97.0 |
76 | Coastal Carolina | 96.9 |
77 | U T S A | 96.8 |
78 | Liberty | 96.8 |
79 | James Madison | 96.6 |
80 | N. Illinois | 96.4 |
81 | Northwestern | 95.3 |
82 | San Diego St. | 95.2 |
83 | Arizona | 95.2 |
84 | Marshall | 94.8 |
85 | Georgia St. | 94.5 |
86 | Toledo | 94.5 |
87 | Central Mich. | 94.3 |
88 | Miami (Ohio) | 93.8 |
89 | Vanderbilt | 93.7 |
90 | Troy | 93.0 |
91 | South Alabama | 92.9 |
92 | Louisiana | 92.7 |
93 | U N L V | 92.1 |
94 | USF | 92.0 |
95 | Kent St. | 91.5 |
96 | San Jose St. | 91.3 |
97 | Georgia Tech | 91.2 |
98 | Duke | 90.6 |
99 | Old Dominion | 90.5 |
100 | Ga. Southern | 90.5 |
101 | Western Mich. | 90.3 |
102 | Florida Atlantic | 90.2 |
103 | Southern Miss. | 90.1 |
104 | Colorado | 89.5 |
105 | Utah St. | 89.3 |
106 | Navy | 88.9 |
107 | Middle Tennessee | 88.3 |
108 | Wyoming | 87.9 |
109 | Buffalo | 86.7 |
110 | U T E P | 86.6 |
111 | Bowling Green | 86.4 |
112 | Eastern Mich. | 85.6 |
113 | Nevada | 85.4 |
114 | Arkansas St. | 85.1 |
115 | Ohio | 85.1 |
116 | New Mexico | 84.2 |
117 | North Texas | 84.2 |
118 | Rice | 83.9 |
119 | UL-Monroe | 83.6 |
120 | Ball St. | 83.6 |
121 | Colorado St. | 81.6 |
122 | Texas St. | 81.2 |
123 | Louisiana Tech | 81.0 |
124 | Temple | 80.9 |
125 | Charlotte | 79.8 |
126 | Connecticut | 77.7 |
127 | Akron | 76.0 |
128 | New Mexico St. | 75.2 |
129 | Hawaii | 71.2 |
130 | Massachusetts | 70.6 |
131 | Florida Int’l. | 61.9 |
PiRate Ratings By Conference
American Athletic Conference | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Cincinnati | 112.2 | 111.7 | 113.8 | 112.6 |
UCF | 106.1 | 106.8 | 106.7 | 106.5 |
SMU | 104.3 | 103.4 | 104.3 | 104.0 |
Houston | 101.7 | 100.8 | 102.0 | 101.5 |
Tulane | 101.1 | 100.5 | 100.5 | 100.7 |
East Carolina | 99.9 | 99.5 | 100.6 | 100.0 |
Memphis | 98.0 | 98.3 | 97.7 | 98.0 |
Tulsa | 97.2 | 96.6 | 97.3 | 97.0 |
USF | 92.8 | 91.5 | 91.7 | 92.0 |
Navy | 89.7 | 88.8 | 88.2 | 88.9 |
Temple | 80.8 | 83.0 | 78.7 | 80.9 |
AAC | 98.5 | 98.2 | 98.3 | 98.4 |
Atlantic Coast Conference | ||||
Atlantic Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Clemson | 118.5 | 118.3 | 118.8 | 118.5 |
NC State | 117.0 | 116.0 | 116.8 | 116.6 |
Florida St. | 114.1 | 113.8 | 113.9 | 113.9 |
Louisville | 110.6 | 109.5 | 109.6 | 109.9 |
Syracuse | 108.7 | 107.6 | 107.3 | 107.9 |
Wake Forest | 106.7 | 106.4 | 106.4 | 106.5 |
Boston College | 97.4 | 98.7 | 96.2 | 97.4 |
Coastal Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Pittsburgh | 114.9 | 113.8 | 113.4 | 114.0 |
Miami (Fla.) | 110.8 | 109.6 | 110.4 | 110.3 |
North Carolina | 106.3 | 106.4 | 106.1 | 106.2 |
Virginia | 102.0 | 102.0 | 100.2 | 101.4 |
Virginia Tech | 97.7 | 98.0 | 95.5 | 97.1 |
Georgia Tech | 92.1 | 91.7 | 90.0 | 91.2 |
Duke | 90.6 | 93.0 | 88.2 | 90.6 |
ACC | 106.2 | 106.0 | 105.2 | 105.8 |
Big 12 Conference | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Oklahoma | 118.7 | 117.7 | 118.6 | 118.3 |
Oklahoma St. | 117.4 | 115.9 | 117.2 | 116.8 |
Baylor | 115.4 | 114.4 | 115.0 | 114.9 |
Texas | 112.9 | 111.8 | 111.8 | 112.2 |
Kansas St. | 112.7 | 111.4 | 111.9 | 112.0 |
T C U | 112.4 | 111.1 | 111.5 | 111.6 |
Iowa St. | 109.3 | 109.3 | 109.5 | 109.4 |
Texas Tech | 108.1 | 106.8 | 108.6 | 107.8 |
West Virginia | 107.1 | 106.9 | 105.7 | 106.6 |
Kansas | 103.7 | 102.1 | 101.1 | 102.3 |
Big 12 | 111.7 | 110.7 | 111.1 | 111.2 |
Big Ten Conference | ||||
East Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Ohio St. | 131.2 | 129.7 | 132.0 | 130.9 |
Michigan | 124.4 | 123.2 | 124.2 | 123.9 |
Penn St. | 117.7 | 117.7 | 117.6 | 117.6 |
Michigan St. | 112.9 | 111.7 | 111.1 | 111.9 |
Maryland | 111.2 | 111.2 | 111.1 | 111.1 |
Rutgers | 101.1 | 100.3 | 98.0 | 99.8 |
Indiana | 100.7 | 99.9 | 98.0 | 99.5 |
West Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Minnesota | 121.3 | 120.8 | 121.7 | 121.3 |
Wisconsin | 115.5 | 114.9 | 114.6 | 115.0 |
Iowa | 114.0 | 112.9 | 112.2 | 113.0 |
Purdue | 113.6 | 112.5 | 111.5 | 112.6 |
Illinois | 106.3 | 106.9 | 104.6 | 105.9 |
Nebraska | 101.2 | 100.9 | 99.8 | 100.6 |
Northwestern | 95.6 | 96.7 | 93.7 | 95.3 |
Big Ten | 111.9 | 111.4 | 110.7 | 111.3 |
Conference USA | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
W. Kentucky | 101.3 | 101.4 | 103.7 | 102.1 |
U A B | 98.5 | 98.7 | 100.1 | 99.1 |
U T S A | 97.3 | 95.9 | 97.2 | 96.8 |
Florida Atlantic | 89.8 | 91.1 | 89.8 | 90.2 |
Middle Tennessee | 87.5 | 88.7 | 88.8 | 88.3 |
U T E P | 86.7 | 86.3 | 86.6 | 86.6 |
North Texas | 84.2 | 83.3 | 85.1 | 84.2 |
Rice | 84.1 | 83.8 | 83.7 | 83.9 |
Louisiana Tech | 80.9 | 82.2 | 79.7 | 81.0 |
Charlotte | 79.7 | 80.5 | 79.3 | 79.8 |
Florida Int’l. | 61.6 | 64.2 | 59.9 | 61.9 |
CUSA | 86.5 | 86.9 | 86.7 | 86.7 |
FBS Independents | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Notre Dame | 112.9 | 111.3 | 113.2 | 112.5 |
BYU | 110.8 | 109.2 | 110.6 | 110.2 |
Army | 98.4 | 98.8 | 98.7 | 98.6 |
Liberty | 95.6 | 97.2 | 97.5 | 96.8 |
Connecticut | 78.2 | 79.1 | 75.8 | 77.7 |
New Mexico St. | 74.7 | 76.6 | 74.3 | 75.2 |
Massachusetts | 71.3 | 71.8 | 68.6 | 70.6 |
Independents | 91.7 | 92.0 | 91.2 | 91.6 |
Mid-American Conference | ||||
East Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Miami (Ohio) | 92.1 | 94.7 | 94.5 | 93.8 |
Kent St. | 90.6 | 92.8 | 91.1 | 91.5 |
Buffalo | 85.3 | 87.7 | 87.2 | 86.7 |
Bowling Green | 87.0 | 85.9 | 86.2 | 86.4 |
Ohio | 83.9 | 86.0 | 85.3 | 85.1 |
Akron | 76.0 | 76.7 | 75.4 | 76.0 |
West Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
N. Illinois | 96.2 | 96.6 | 96.5 | 96.4 |
Toledo | 93.7 | 94.7 | 95.2 | 94.5 |
Central Mich. | 92.8 | 94.6 | 95.5 | 94.3 |
Western Mich. | 89.8 | 90.6 | 90.5 | 90.3 |
Eastern Mich. | 85.4 | 86.0 | 85.4 | 85.6 |
Ball St. | 83.3 | 84.2 | 83.3 | 83.6 |
MAC | 88.0 | 89.2 | 88.8 | 88.7 |
Mountain West Conference | ||||
Mountain Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Air Force | 102.9 | 103.1 | 104.3 | 103.4 |
Boise St. | 99.5 | 98.5 | 99.9 | 99.3 |
Utah St. | 89.1 | 89.1 | 89.6 | 89.3 |
Wyoming | 86.7 | 88.9 | 88.2 | 87.9 |
New Mexico | 84.5 | 84.8 | 83.4 | 84.2 |
Colorado St. | 81.4 | 82.2 | 81.4 | 81.6 |
West Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Fresno St. | 101.8 | 101.1 | 102.8 | 101.9 |
San Diego St. | 95.2 | 94.9 | 95.4 | 95.2 |
U N L V | 92.6 | 90.7 | 92.9 | 92.1 |
San Jose St. | 90.6 | 91.2 | 92.0 | 91.3 |
Nevada | 84.9 | 86.6 | 84.8 | 85.4 |
Hawaii | 70.7 | 71.9 | 71.1 | 71.2 |
MWC | 90.0 | 90.2 | 90.5 | 90.2 |
Pac-12 Conference | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Utah | 116.8 | 115.9 | 118.5 | 117.0 |
Oregon | 113.4 | 112.8 | 112.8 | 113.0 |
U S C | 111.9 | 112.5 | 113.1 | 112.5 |
Washington | 108.9 | 109.8 | 110.2 | 109.6 |
Oregon St. | 109.4 | 108.9 | 110.1 | 109.5 |
U C L A | 108.7 | 108.6 | 110.1 | 109.1 |
Washington St. | 103.0 | 103.7 | 104.0 | 103.6 |
Arizona St. | 101.0 | 100.6 | 101.6 | 101.1 |
Stanford | 101.9 | 99.4 | 99.9 | 100.4 |
California | 99.6 | 99.8 | 101.0 | 100.1 |
Arizona | 95.3 | 95.1 | 95.1 | 95.2 |
Colorado | 90.5 | 88.6 | 89.3 | 89.5 |
Pac-12 | 105.0 | 104.6 | 105.5 | 105.0 |
Southeastern Conference | ||||
East Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Georgia | 132.8 | 131.4 | 134.2 | 132.8 |
Tennessee | 117.5 | 117.6 | 117.9 | 117.7 |
Kentucky | 111.9 | 112.6 | 113.1 | 112.5 |
South Carolina | 107.7 | 106.9 | 107.5 | 107.4 |
Florida | 105.8 | 107.3 | 106.2 | 106.4 |
Missouri | 101.6 | 102.0 | 100.6 | 101.4 |
Vanderbilt | 93.9 | 94.7 | 92.4 | 93.7 |
West Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Alabama | 131.1 | 130.3 | 132.4 | 131.3 |
L S U | 115.7 | 115.0 | 115.1 | 115.3 |
Ole Miss | 116.2 | 114.4 | 114.7 | 115.1 |
Arkansas | 115.2 | 113.6 | 115.5 | 114.8 |
Mississippi St. | 114.7 | 113.2 | 113.5 | 113.8 |
Texas A&M | 111.4 | 112.3 | 112.9 | 112.2 |
Auburn | 106.7 | 105.2 | 105.0 | 105.6 |
SEC | 113.0 | 112.6 | 112.9 | 112.9 |
Sunbelt Conference | ||||
East Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Appalachian St. | 97.2 | 98.8 | 99.6 | 98.6 |
Coastal Carolina | 95.6 | 97.1 | 97.9 | 96.9 |
James Madison | 94.3 | 96.3 | 99.2 | 96.6 |
Marshall | 94.4 | 95.3 | 94.7 | 94.8 |
Georgia St. | 94.1 | 93.4 | 96.1 | 94.5 |
Old Dominion | 90.5 | 90.6 | 90.4 | 90.5 |
Ga. Southern | 90.4 | 90.1 | 90.9 | 90.5 |
West Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Troy | 92.2 | 92.8 | 93.9 | 93.0 |
South Alabama | 92.1 | 92.8 | 93.9 | 92.9 |
Louisiana | 92.0 | 92.2 | 93.7 | 92.7 |
Southern Miss. | 89.7 | 90.3 | 90.3 | 90.1 |
Arkansas St. | 84.3 | 85.8 | 85.2 | 85.1 |
UL-Monroe | 83.7 | 83.9 | 83.3 | 83.6 |
Texas St. | 80.6 | 81.7 | 81.3 | 81.2 |
Sun Belt | 90.8 | 91.5 | 92.2 | 91.5 |
Conference Ratings
Rank | Conference | Rating |
1 | Southeastern | 112.9 |
2 | Big Ten | 111.3 |
3 | Big 12 | 111.2 |
4 | Atlantic Coast | 105.8 |
5 | Pac-12 | 105.0 |
6 | American Athletic | 98.4 |
7 | Independents | 91.6 |
8 | Sun Belt | 91.5 |
9 | Mountain West | 90.2 |
10 | Mid-American | 88.7 |
11 | Conference USA | 86.7 |
Coming In October
As October leads the College Football worlds into mostly conference play, it’s time to start looking ahead at the Playoffs and Bowl Projections. The PiRates do it a bit differently from others. We don’t make our projections based on what each team has done to the present time, like most others. We first forecast the rest of the season and then make our projections based on what we believe the standings will be. Additionally, we plan to do our best to explain the inexact rules for where teams can go. No longer can you look and see who will finish 3rd in a conference and then know where the 3rd place team is automatically slotted to go bowling. It’s more like the 1960’s, where the bowls can choose which teams they want with the help of the conferences that have the tie-ins. In the case of many bowls, multiple conferences can be in the mix, and ESPN can steer the teams into the bowls they want them to appear so as to attempt to get their maximum TV ratings.
This Week’s Playoff Projections
1.) Alabama
2.) Ohio State
3.) Georgia
4.) USC
Top Group of 5 (For The Cotton Bowl Bid)
1.) Cincinnati
2.) Central Florida
3.) Coastal Carolina
4.) Air Force
5.) Middle Tennessee