The Pi-Rate Ratings

November 13, 2015

Selections Against The Spread–Friday, the 13th of November, 2015

It usually happens once a year–the PiRates decide to go with a slate of underdogs, and this is the week we do it in 2015.

 

We have been looking to this week for the past month believing that there could be trap games galore in college football, and thus the urge to go with some underdogs stimulates us to present you with 11 plays.

 

We have chosen four money line parlays for you with all offering better than even money odds.  Enjoy these picks, but remember, they are worth exactly what you have paid for them.

Straight Sides

11/12/2015      
Home Visitor Line Our Pick
Cincinnati Tulsa 19.5 Tulsa
Syracuse Clemson -30 Syracuse
Rutgers Nebraska -8.5 Rutgers
Old Dominion UTEP 7.5 UTEP
Air Force Utah St. -2 Air Force
Nevada San Jose St. 1 San Jose St.
Idaho Appalachian St. -19.5 Idaho
South Carolina Florida -8.5 South Carolina
Boise St. New Mexico 30.5 New Mexico
Green Bay Detroit 12 Detroit
Vanderbilt Kentucky 3.5 Kentucky

Money Line Parlays

Money Line Parlay 6 Teams at 7-5   $242 payout on $100
Favorite Underdog   Must Win
Ohio St. Illinois   Ohio St.
Northwestern Purdue   Northwestern
Louisville Virginia   Louisville
Michigan St. Maryland   Michigan St.
North Carolina Miami (Fl)   North Carolina
Oklahoma St. Iowa St.   Oklahoma St.
       
Money Line Parlay 4 Teams at 2-1   $294 payout on $100
Favorite Underdog   Must Win
Iowa Minnesota   Iowa
West Virginia Texas   West Virginia
Alabama Mississippi St.   Alabama
Georgia Southern Troy   Georgia Southern
       
Money Line Parlay 4 Teams at 4-3   $228 payout on $100
Favorite Underdog   Must Win
Green Bay Detroit   Green Bay
Cincinnati Houston   Cincinnati
New England N.Y. Giants   New England
St. Louis Chicago   St. Louis
       
Money Line Parlay 3 Teams at 2-1   $292 payout on $100
Favorite Underdog   Must Win
Philadelphia Miami   Philadelphia
Carolina Tennessee   Carolina
Denver Kansas City   Denver

 

November 9, 2015

NFL Preview For Week 10: November 13-17, 2015

Current NFL PiRate Ratings
N F C
East PiRate Mean Bias Average W-L-T Pts Opp
Philadelphia 104.0 103.4 104.5 104.0 4-4-0 193 164
Dallas 102.7 101.1 102.2 102.0 2-6-0 160 204
N.Y. Giants 100.6 100.6 101.1 100.8 5-4-0 247 226
Washington 94.7 94.5 94.5 94.6 3-5-0 158 195
               
North PiRate Mean Bias Average W-L-T Pts Opp
Green Bay 105.9 105.1 105.3 105.4 6-2-0 203 167
Minnesota 102.2 100.7 103.1 102.0 6-2-0 168 140
Chicago 95.5 95.6 96.1 95.7 3-5-0 162 221
Detroit 96.2 94.4 94.7 95.1 1-7-0 149 245
               
South PiRate Mean Bias Average W-L-T Pts Opp
Carolina 104.9 105.1 105.8 105.3 8-0-0 228 165
Atlanta 98.8 98.6 98.8 98.7 6-3-0 229 190
New Orleans 97.3 95.0 97.1 96.5 4-5-0 241 268
Tampa Bay 91.7 92.4 91.4 91.8 3-5-0 181 231
               
West PiRate Mean Bias Average W-L-T Pts Opp
Arizona 107.2 106.8 108.1 107.4 6-2-0 263 153
Seattle 106.5 105.7 106.1 106.1 4-4-0 167 140
St. Louis 98.7 99.7 99.3 99.2 4-4-0 153 146
San Francisco 95.2 93.8 95.0 94.7 3-6-0 126 223
               
A F C
East PiRate Mean Bias Average W-L-T Pts Opp
New England 112.5 113.0 113.0 112.8 8-0-0 276 143
Buffalo 100.6 101.2 100.1 100.6 4-4-0 209 190
N. Y. Jets 100.3 100.8 100.5 100.5 5-3-0 200 162
Miami 97.8 98.6 97.0 97.8 3-5-0 171 206
               
North PiRate Mean Bias Average W-L-T Pts Opp
Cincinnati 106.6 107.7 107.7 107.3 8-0-0 229 142
Pittsburgh 102.9 103.1 102.6 102.9 5-4-0 206 182
Baltimore 102.0 100.9 101.7 101.5 2-6-0 190 214
Cleveland 93.8 92.9 93.4 93.4 2-7-0 177 247
                 
South PiRate Mean Bias Average W-L-T Pts Opp
Indianapolis 100.7 101.1 100.8 100.9 4-5-0 200 227
Houston 95.2 96.6 94.9 95.6 3-5-0 174 205
Tennessee 93.0 92.8 93.2 93.0 2-6-0 159 187
Jacksonville 90.8 94.0 90.5 91.8 2-6-0 170 235
               
West PiRate Mean Bias Average W-L-T Pts Opp
Denver 107.1 106.3 106.6 106.7 7-1-0 192 139
Kansas City 100.5 101.4 100.9 100.9 3-5-0 195 182
Oakland 96.6 99.9 96.8 97.8 4-4-0 213 211
San Diego 97.5 97.2 97.2 97.3 2-7-0 210 249

 

This Week’s Games
         
Week Number: 10      
Date of Games: November 12-16      
         
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias
NY Jets Buffalo 1.7 1.6 2.4
Green Bay Detroit 11.7 12.7 12.6
Tampa Bay Dallas -8.5 -6.2 -8.3
Tennessee Carolina -8.9 -9.3 -9.6
St. Louis Chicago 5.2 6.1 5.2
Washington New Orleans 0.4 2.5 0.4
Philadelphia Miami 9.2 7.8 10.5
Pittsburgh Cleveland 11.6 12.7 11.7
Baltimore Jacksonville 14.2 9.9 14.2
Oakland Minnesota -2.6 2.2 -3.3
NY Giants New England -9.4 -9.9 -9.4
Denver Kansas City 9.6 7.9 8.7
Seattle Arizona 2.3 1.9 1.0
Cincinnati Houston 14.4 14.1 15.8

 

If Season Ended Today
AFC
1 New England
2 Cincinnati
3 Denver
4 Indianapolis
5 N. Y. Jets
6 Pittsburgh
   
NFC
1 Carolina
2 Minnesota
3 Arizona
4 N. Y. Giants
5 Green Bay
6 Atlanta

 

NFL Playoff Projections
AFC SEED TEAM
1 New England
2 Cincinnati
3 Denver
4 Indianapolis
5 N. Y. Jets
6 Pittsburgh
     
NFC SEED TEAM
1 Carolina
2 Arizona
3 Green Bay
4 Philadelphia
5 Minnesota
6 Seattle
     
Wildcard Playoff Round
Denver over Pittsburgh
N. Y. Jets over Indianapolis
Green Bay over Seattle
Minnesota over Philadelphia
 
Divisional Playoff Round
New England over N. Y. Jets
Cincinnati over Denver
Carolina over Minnesota
Arizona over Green Bay
 
Conference Championship Round
New England over Cincinnati
Arizona over Carolina
 
Super Bowl 50
New England over Arizona

November 6, 2015

Selections Against The Spread–November 6, 2015

Due to time constraints this week, the PiRates were not able to put out their selections on Thursday. Here are their picks for the weekend.

 

PiRate  Selections  For  Nov. 6-7, 2015
Home Visitor Line Our Pick
UTEP Rice -6.5 Rice
West Virginia Texas Tech 8 Texas Tech
Georgia St. UL-Lafayette -1.5 UL-Lafayette
Indiana Iowa -7 Indiana
Florida Vanderbilt 21 Florida
Houston Cincinnati 8.5 Cincinnati
Massachusetts Akron -2.5 Akron
Northwestern Penn St. 2.5 Penn St.
Colorado Stanford -16.5 Colorado
Clemson Florida St. 11.5 Florida St.
Alabama LSU 7 LSU
Middle Tennessee Marshall 3 Marshall
N. Y. Jets Jacksonville 7.5 Jacksonville
New Orleans Tennessee 7.5 New Orleans
New England Washington 14 New England
Indianapolis Denver -4.5 Denver
Dallas Philadelphia -2.5 Philadelphia

October 22, 2015

Selections Against The Spread: October 22-26, 2015

Okay folks.  Let’s not get carried away.  We welcome your comments here, and especially to our sister site at http://www.piratings.webs.com.  Yes, we know that a certain part of this weekly edition has been destroying the books in theory, theory being if you actually used these picks.

We will not name names, since you guys probably don’t want your name being called out, but we will post here a couple of the comments to our sister site.

From a small city in Georgia: “If you would have played your Money Line picks the last three weeks, you would be rich today.”

 

From Vancouver, BC: “Do you know what your profit margin would have been this week if you wagered that mythical $100 on each of your four parlays?  That $400 would have won you almost $900.

 

From Henderson, NV: “Your money line selections have been killing it.  You should just do Money Line parlays.  I am going to wager on your selections next week.”

 

From Ada, OK: “Do you realize how well you did with those parlays?  You don’t know jackxxxx about the baseball dude.”

 

From Glenarm IL: “You nailed the parlay picks this week.”

 

We get about 40-50 comments a week, and usually they are not as flattering as these.  We read them all and usually get a laugh, because we perpetually remind you to NEVER, EVER, EVER use these fun-only selections to wager real money.  Just because we are having an incredibly hot streak with our money line selections, it does not mean they will continue.  We could easily go 0-4 with the picks we are going to issue today.

 

You have been warned, especially the gentleman in Henderson, NV, who supposedly is going to wager real money this week against our warnings.

Since you guys and gals like these money line parlays with better than even money odds, that’s all we’re going to submit this week.  We have made four selections again, each with a return that will give you more in winnings than you would invest if it were real.

 

Money Line Parlay 4 Teams at 7-5   $242 payout on $100
Favorite Underdog   Must Win
East Carolina Temple   East Carolina
Alabama Tennessee   Alabama
North Carolina Virginia   North Carolina
Southern Miss. Charlotte   Southern Miss.

 

Money Line Parlay 6 Teams at 13-5   $355 Payout on $100
Favorite Underdog   Must Win
Toledo Massachusetts   Toledo
Michigan St. Indiana   Michigan St.
Rice Army   Rice
Cincinnati Connecticut   Cincinnati
Mississippi St. Kentucky   Mississippi St.
Florida St. Georgia Tech   Florida St.

 

Money Line Parlay 3 Teams at 9-5   $277 payout on $100
Favorite Underdog   Must Win
St. Louis Cleveland   St. Louis
New England N. Y. Jets   New England
Carolina Philadelphia   Carolina

 

Money Line Parlay 2 Teams at 6-5   $218 payout on $100
Favorite Underdog   Must Win
Buffalo Jacksonville   Buffalo
Miami Houston   Miami

 

 

October 1, 2015

Selections Against the Spread–October 1-5, 2015

Have you not had enough angst in your life?  Do you have to come visit this addictive weekly exercise in futility?  Why is it that this no-frills weekly submission is our most read regular post?  Are we doing that well that you must look at our picks before losing your rent money?

We have told you time and again that you should not use these picks to make real wagers, because we sure don’t.  So, why is it that we have dozens of visits from web addresses in Nevada, Delaware, Ontario, and Europe, the places where there are legal storefront sports books?

We have figured out the answer.  Something in the way we select teams has been tipping off the smart bettors.  They know something about our picks we ourselves do not know.  Maybe when we select an NFC West game, and they believe the opposite will be true, they wager more knowing they will be correct, and we will not.  Or, maybe when we select a money line parlay, they take each of the individual components and wager against our selection?

Our more likely, a couple dozen poor souls do not heed our advice and go ahead and use this site as their reference.  When we say “poor” souls, we are hiting the nail on the head, because our picks have been mediocre to this point.

With that in mind, remember that a broken clock is still correct twice a day, and we figure that eventually our broken clock will tell the correct time this year–maybe this week.

We are expanding our picks this week, because in our crazy mixed-up brains, the five of us believe we know things that the books do not.  We believe we have isolated some decent picks this week.  For your sake, we hope you know better.

Sides

10/1/2015      
Home Visitor Line Our Pick
Cincinnati Miami -6.5 Miami
Oklahoma West Virginia 7 Oklahoma
Florida Ole Miss -7.5 Florida
Middle Tenn. Vanderbilt 1.5 Middle Tenn.
New Mexico N. Mexico St. 12.5 New Mexico
Pittsburgh Baltimore -3 Pittsburgh
Carolina Tampa Bay 3 Carolina

10-Point Teasers

Home Visitor Teaser Pick
1
Charlotte Temple -12.5 Temple
Penn St. Army 15 Penn St.
Kent St. Miami (O) 0.5 Kent St.
         
2
Northwestern Minnesota -6 Northwestern
Wisconsin Iowa 16.5 Iowa
Oklahoma St. Kansas St. 17.5 Kansas St.
         
3
Georgia Alabama 12 Alabama
Duke Boston College 17 Boston College
Middle Tennessee Vanderbilt -8.5 Middle Tennessee
         
4
Missouri South Carolina 12.5 South Carolina
Tennessee Arkansas 16.5 Arkansas
Maryland Michigan -6 Michigan
         
5
Miami (@London) N. Y. Jets -11.5 Miami
Arizona St. Louis -3 Arizona
Seattle Detroit Pk. Seattle

Money Line Parlays

Money Line Parlay 5 teams at 43-20   $315 payout on $100
Favorite Underdog   Must Win
Indianapolis Jacksonville   Indianapolis
San Diego Cleveland   San Diego
Denver Minnesota   Denver
Arizona St. Louis   Arizona
Seattle Detroit   Seattle
       
Money Line Parlay 4 teams at 11-10   $210 payout on $100
Favorite Underdog   Must Win
BYU Connecticut   BYU
Kent St. Miami (O)   Kent St.
Oklahoma West Virginia   Oklahoma
Michigan Maryland   Michigan
       
Money Line Parlay 3 teams at 1-1   $200 payout on $100
Favorite Underdog   Must Win
Iowa St. Kansas   Iowa St.
Northwestern Minnesota   Northwestern
Southern Miss. North Texas   Southern Miss.

 

September 10, 2015

Selections Against The Spread–September 10-14, 2015

It started out great for the PiRate Ratings last week, as we hit on both of our early games to begin the season at 2-0.  Saturday was the reverse of fortune, as we tripped up on all three selections to finish 2-3 for the first week.  Once again, we are going with five games.  This week, we selected three college games and two NFL games.  It might be noted that we were more in agreement on these five games this week than we were on last week’s games.  Take that for what it’s worth.  In the past, when we had one really good prognosticator, often he was right on a game, while the rest of us were wrong.

Remember this: these are free selections against the spread, and you are getting what you paid for.  We highly advise using our selections strictly for entertainment purposes.  You are free to reply to this post with your own picks, as long as your time stamp pre-dates the day of the game you select.  This is strictly for fun.

Here are our selections for the week of September 10-14, 2015.

Home Visitor Line Our Pick
Rutgers Washington St. 2.5 Rutgers
Ohio U Marshall -3 Marshall
Arkansas St. Missouri -10.5 Missouri
San Francisco Minnesota -2.5 49ers
Arizona New Orleans 1 Cardinals
 

September 2, 2015

College Football Preview For Week 1, September 3-7, 2015

Welcome back to the PiRate Ratings.  Many of you have read some of our preseason previews, but by looking at the increased volume to this site in the last 24 hours, we can tell that we have a lot of new readers today.

Yesterday, we posted the spreads for FBS teams only for our three ratings–PiRate, Mean, and Bias.  For those new to this site, a brief explanation follows.

Our ratings are unique in that we do not rely on scores alone to update our ratings.  Most of us here are sports metric statistics lunatics.  Our head man actually works in professional baseball as a “Moneyball” statistician/scout.

We use advanced statistics for each game to come up with the “theoretical score” of the game rather than the actual score, and then we update on our theoretical final score.  For example, if State beats Tech 42-21, this 21-point spread tells us very little.  What if State led 35-0 midway into the second quarter, and they pulled their starters after going five for five in touchdown drives?  What if Tech then scored twice in the final 7 minutes of a 42-7 game?  On the other hand, what if State led 28-21 with 7 minutes to go in the game, and Tech had driven 70 yards to the State 2 yard line, before fumbling at the goal with State returning the ball 100 yards for a TD, and then State added a second TD on an interception return with Tech driving again?

The 42-21 score is the only thing these two examples have in common.  In the first instance, State might have won 63-0 if they had continued to use their starters and top backups; State would win 100 out of 100 times against Tech.  In the second instance, there is a good chance that Tech might beat State 5 times out of 10.  We carefully peruse the play-by-play and statistics of every college football game among FBS teams. 

Our three ratings use the same type of data, but we have three different algorithms to come to the actual number.  The PiRate Rating is the same algorithm in use for the last 30+ years.  The Mean Rating is just that; it takes the mean of all our variables  with no bias.  Of course, the Bias Rating puts a bias on some data at the expense of other data.  Because it is similar to the PiRate Rating, these two will have a much higher correlation than they do to the Mean Rating.

Okay, now for something completely different.  Yesterday, we revealed our spreads for FBS vs. FBS Week One games.  Today, we show you our PiRate Spreads for FBS vs. FCS teams for Week One.  For reasons that involve how our ratings are calculated, we cannot supply Mean or Bias spreads with FCS teams, as it would take maybe 20 additional people to train and work with us.  The FBS vs. FCS PiRate Ratings are purely mechanical, so they are just an approximation of our actual PiRate Ratings.

We have repeated our FBS vs. FBS games so you will not have to look at yesterday’s entry.

This Week’s Games
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias
Thursday, September 3        
North Carolina (N) South Carolina 3.6 6.4 4.0
Central Florida Florida Int’l 8.4 11.2 8.4
Central Michigan Oklahoma St. -30.3 -23.5 -29.0
Vanderbilt Western Kentucky 0.4 -3.8 -2.0
Utah Michigan 9.9 6.4 10.4
Minnesota T C U -17.5 -5.4 -19.1
Idaho Ohio U -16.5 -10.6 -15.9
Tulane Duke -4.0 -1.2 -3.9
Arizona U T S A 49.3 31.3 48.6
Hawaii Colorado -16.8 -7.0 -15.9
Friday, September 4 PiRate Mean Bias
Georgia St. Charlotte 8.2 3.4 7.6
Western Michigan Michigan St. -23.5 -15.5 -22.9
S M U Baylor -40.2 -29.9 -41.8
Illinois Kent St. 21.3 14.4 18.5
Boise St. Washington 16.3 12.3 16.1
Saturday, September 5 PiRate Mean Bias
Georgia Louisiana-Monroe 45.0 39.6 44.4
Northwestern Stanford -12.7 -7.6 -14.6
Eastern Michigan Old Dominion -6.9 -2.8 -6.2
Nebraska B Y U 8.2 5.8 6.2
Temple Penn St. -6.4 -4.9 -6.0
Tulsa Florida Atlantic 7.5 10.5 8.0
Arkansas U T E P 42.3 30.9 42.0
Auburn (N) Louisville 11.8 7.5 9.9
U C L A Virginia 27.2 22.4 26.4
Tennessee (N) Bowling Green 32.2 20.4 29.8
N. Carolina St. Troy 40.5 44.0 39.0
Oklahoma Akron 44.6 31.5 41.5
Texas A&M (N) Arizona St. -0.8 2.6 -2.3
Kentucky Louisiana-Lafayette 25.3 16.5 24.4
Notre Dame Texas 13.1 10.1 12.6
West Virginia Georgia Southern 33.9 25.3 32.9
Florida N. Mexico St. 39.6 33.3 38.6
Northern Illinois U N L V 18.2 18.6 18.8
Alabama (N) Wisconsin 11.4 9.1 10.8
Florida St. Texas St. 33.4 28.1 31.6
Southern Miss. Mississippi St. -25.4 -20.7 -27.1
U S C Arkansas St. 36.8 31.0 40.9
Sunday, September 6 PiRate Mean Bias
Marshall Purdue -1.0 -1.5 1.7
Monday, September 7 PiRate Mean Bias
Virginia Tech Ohio St. -15.0 -6.5 -16.1
FBS vs. FCS Week 1 PiRate
Utah St. S. Utah 37.0
Wake Forest Elon 24.0
Ball St. V M I 28.0
Toledo Stony Brook 28.0
Georgia Tech Alcorn St. 44.0
Connecticut Villanova -7.0
Nevada UC-Davis 25.0
San Jose St. New Hampshire 1.0
Fresno St. Abilene Christian 17.0
Army Fordham 9.0
Syracuse Rhode Island 25.0
Oregon St. Weber St. 31.0
Ole Miss UT-Martin 36.0
Navy Colgate 29.0
Rutgers Norfolk St. 39.0
Kansas S. Dakota St. -1.0
Iowa Illinois St. 11.0
Maryland Richmond 20.0
Clemson Wofford 33.0
Pittsburgh Youngstown St. 18.0
Boston College Maine 22.0
Washington St. Portland St. 22.0
Texas Tech Sam Houston 15.0
Rice Wagner 27.0
Air Force Morgan St. 34.0
Buffalo Albany 13.0
Miami (O) Presbyterian 17.0
Appalachian St. Howard 31.0
Colorado St. Savannah St. 51.0
Wyoming N. Dakota 13.0
Missouri S E M O 40.0
Indiana S. Illinois 17.0
California Grambling 35.0
Miami (Fl) Bethune-Cookman 29.0
East Carolina Towson 28.0
S. Alabama Gardner-Webb 17.0
N. Mexico Mississippi Valley 32.0
Memphis Missouri St. 26.0
S. Florida Florida A&M 21.0
Cincinnati Alabama A&M 39.0
Louisiana Tech Southern 31.0
Middle Tennessee Jackson St. 28.0
Kansas St. S. Dakota 36.0
L S U McNeese St. 34.0
San Diego St. San Diego 28.0
Oregon E. Washington 39.0
Iowa St. N. Iowa 7.0
Houston Tennessee Tech 29.0

Please see our sister site: http://www.piratings.webs.com for complete rankings of all 128 FBS and all 32 NFL teams.

Edit: Special Thanks to Reader Charles for catching mistakes that allowed us to correct on Thursday morning.

Selections Against The Spread

Your voices/emails have been heard.  At our sister site, http://www.piratings.webs.com, we have received exactly 137 requests from you to bring back our selections against the spread.  We are happy that some of you sports fans remember that great 2011-12 season in which our ratings finished at the top of the Prediction Tracker ratings against the spread for the NFL, while our college ratings have had multiple top 10 finishes.

Before reading further, please make sure you read the following paragraph in bold:  He or She that uses these ratings as their lone source before wagering their house on this data might as well just sell their house now and at least have funds to move elsewhere.  We NEVER, EVER use this data to wager on games.  As analytics’ specialists, we understand that the one way to make money wagering in football is to be the book.  Yes, there are the Billy Walters of the world, but if you were he, you wouldn’t be reading this blog.  So, since you are not, be advised that wagering any amount of your hard-earned money on football must be considered in the same light as paying for something, because that is exactly what you will be doing: paying somebody else.

Okay, now here is how we will make our selections this year.  First, we will isolate those games in which our Mean rating differs enough from the official line to make it a possibility.  Second, of those possibilities in step one,  the six of us will pick 5-10 games that we personally like against the spread.  If 4 of us have the same game and nobody has the opposite pick in that game, then we go with that as one of our selections.  Because we believe that it is best to pick an odd number of games to prevent a .500 record and a loss, we will eliminate a game if we have an even amount of games.

Here are our 5 selections for Week 1

Home Visitor Line Our Pick
Arkansas UTEP 33.0 UTEP
Central Michigan Oklahoma St. -24.5 Central Michigan
Florida New Mexico St. 33.0 New Mexico St.
Georgia St. Charlotte 8.0 Charlotte
Texas A&M (N) Arizona St. 3.5 Arizona St.

December 12, 2013

PiRate Picks for December 12-16, 2013

Filed under: PiRate Picks_College & Pro — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 12:44 pm

Cutting Back

Drat the luck!  We go 4-1 to extend a secular winning streak, and we run out of college games to wrap into a parlay.  The only way to get a 13-point teaser out of Army-Navy is to take both sides and both totals.  Because the weather forecast calls for 1-3 inches of snow during the game, we cannot consider teasing the OVER.  The Philadelphia Eagles and Detroit Lions compensated in the bad Philly weather last Sunday, but we are not as confident in the service academies having enough speed and cutting ability to remove doubt about scoring.  This could be an 8-6 game with one successful two-point conversion making the difference.

 

So, we must go only with NFL picks this week and probably next week as well, unless the December 21 bowls bring us an opportunity.

 

1. 13-point Teaser

San Diego +23 ½ vs. Denver

Atlanta +6 vs. Washington

Tampa Bay +18 vs. San Francisco

Arizona +10 vs. Tennessee

 

2. 13-point Teaser

New Orleans +7 ½ vs. St. Louis

NY Giants +20 vs. Seattle

Chicago +12 vs. Cleveland

Indianapolis +7 ½ vs. Houston

 

3. 13-point Teaser

Jacksonville +15 vs. Buffalo

Miami +13 vs. New England

Philadelphia +8 ½ vs. Minnesota

Carolina +2 vs. NY Jets

 

4. 13-point Teaser

Oakland +17 ½ vs. Kansas City

Green Bay +20 vs. Dallas

Cincinnati +10 ½ vs. Pittsburgh

Baltimore +19 vs. Detroit

 

5. Money Line Parlay @ -112

Atlanta over Washington

Indianapolis over Houston

November 27, 2013

PiRate Picks For Thanksgiving through December 2, 2013

Filed under: PiRate Picks_College & Pro — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 7:56 pm

Our Festive 11

Our five-week winning streak came to an end last week with a 3-4 record, but we are not afraid to pick 11 selections this week.  Remember, we do not speculate on games of chance of any kind.  Well, if you count investing in long-term value stocks with a margin of safety a game of chance, then maybe we do.  But, to make sure you know: we never wager on the games we publish or any games at all.  We are math nerds, and it is the mathematics that make this our passion.

 

In other news, if you follow all of our computer selections at Todd Beck’s incredible site, “The Prediction Tracker” (www.thepredictiontracker.com), our college ratings are sitting in 3rd place out of dozens, just two games out of the lead.  Usually, our NFL ratings perform better (we won the 2011 vs. the spread title), but this year, it has been our college ratings that have remained consistently high.

 

Once again, we go with college money line parlays and NFL teasers.  We bring back the totals teasers this week.

 

1. Money Line Parlay @ -116

Rutgers over Connecticut

Colorado St. over Air Force

 

2. Money Line Parlay @-113

Fresno St. over San Jose St.

B Y U over Nevada

Utah St. over Wyoming

Central Michigan over Eastern Michigan

 

3. Money Line Parlay @-101

Toledo over Akron

Ohio St. over Michigan

Michigan St. over Minnesota

Kansas St. over Kansas

 

4. Money Line Parlay @ -120

Memphis over Temple

Virginia Tech over Virginia

Vanderbilt over Wake Forest

 

5. 10-point Teaser

Green Bay +16 vs. Detroit

Dallas + ½ vs. Oakland

Pittsburgh +13 vs. Baltimore

 

6. 10-point Teaser

Tampa Bay +18 ½ vs. Carolina

Miami +11 ½ vs. NY Jets

New England + 2 ½ vs. Houston

 

7. 13-point Teaser

Indianapolis +9 vs. Tennessee

Kansas City +17 ½ vs. Denver

Chicago +12 vs. Minnesota

Buffalo +9 ½ vs. Atlanta

 

8. 13-point Teaser

San Francisco +4 vs. St. Louis

San Diego +11 ½ vs. Cincinnati

NY Giants +12 vs. Washington

Seattle +7 ½ vs. New Orleans

 

9. 13-point Teaser

Green Bay & Detroit Under 63

Pittsburgh & Baltimore Under 53 ½

Denver & Kansas City Under 62

Chicago & Minnesota Under 62

 

10. 13-point Teaser

Dallas & Oakland Over 33 ½

Indianapolis & Tennessee Over 31 ½

Arizona & Philadelphia Over 35 ½

Miami & NY Jets Over 25 ½

 

11. 13-point Teaser

San Francisco & St. Louis Over 29

New England & Houston Over 34

NY Giants & Washington Over 33

Seattle & New Orleans Over 34

November 7, 2013

PiRate Picks for November 6-11, 2013

Filed under: Uncategorized — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 1:01 pm

The saying goes that when picking football games against Las Vegas, the fools play the exotic wagers, while the smarts play the sides and totals.

We are the anti-fools here on the PiRate ship.  We tried our hand at going with mostly sides last week with nine selections, and we threw four exotic selections in as well.

The nine straight side selections went 2-7.  The four exotic selections finished 3-1.  We’ll let those with the sayings make their wagers, and we’ll go back to what has worked for us for the long term.

This week, we are picking no straight sides.  It’s all teasers and money line parlays.

1. 10-point Teaser

Oklahoma +26 vs. Baylor

Cincinnati +1 vs. SMU

Duke + ½ vs. North Carolina St.

 

2. 10-point Teaser

Missouri -4 vs. Kentucky

Florida Pk. vs. Vanderbilt

Colorado St. + ½ vs. Nevada

 

3. 10-point Teaser

USC -6 ½ vs. California

Central Florida – ½ vs. Houston

Alabama -2 ½ vs. L S U

 

4. 13-point Teaser

UL-Lafayette -1 vs. Troy

Iowa -2 vs. Purdue

Western Kentucky +7 ½ vs. Army

East Carolina -4 vs. Tulsa

 

5. 13-point Teaser

Minnesota +11 vs. Penn St.

North Carolina – ½ vs. Virginia

Wyoming +22 vs. Fresno St.

Ole Miss -4 vs. Arkansas

 

6. 13-point Teaser

Navy -4 vs. Hawaii

Notre Dame +8 ½ vs. Pittsburgh

Arizona +14 vs. U C L A

San Jose St. +6 ½ vs. San Diego St.

 

7. Money Line Parlay @ -116

Texas A&M over Mississippi St.

East Carolina over Tulsa

Navy over Hawaii

Ole Miss over Arkansas

North Carolina over Virginia

 

8. Money Line Parlay @ -102

Texas A&M over Mississippi St.

Missouri over Kentucky

Alabama over L S U

Florida over Vanderbilt

 

9. Money Line Parlay @ -112

Texas A&M over Mississippi St.

Colorado St. over Nevada

Auburn over Tennessee

 

10. 13-point Teaser

Washington +11 ½ vs. Minnesota

Tennessee +1 vs. Jacksonville

Philadelphia +14 vs. Green Bay

Indianapolis +3 ½ vs. St. Louis

 

11. 13-point Teaser

Seattle +7 ½ vs. Atlanta

Cincinnati +11 ½ vs. Baltimore

Detroit +13 vs. Chicago

Dallas +19 ½ vs. New Orleans

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