The Pi-Rate Ratings

December 22, 2009

College Football Computer Simulated Playoffs–Round One

2009-10 NCAA College Football Computer Simulated Playoffs

Round One

 

The opening round of the computer simulated playoffs are in the books, and four teams have advanced to the quarterfinals to play the top four seeds, all of whom received first round byes.

For a better understanding of these playoffs, see my December 7, 2009, post.  In the opening round, the four bowls hosting these games were the Outback Bowl, Alamo Bowl, Holiday Bowl, and Gator Bowl.  

In the Outback Bowl, #5-Seed Florida did nothing offensively in the first half against #12 seed LSU, but the Gators outscored the Tigers 13-3 in the second half to win 16-9.

In the Alamo Bowl,  #6 Boise State started the game with a nine play, 80-yard touchdown drive and never looked back in t 34-13 win over  #11 Virginia Tech. 

In the Holiday Bowl,  #7 Oregon scored two touchdowns in the final 6:41 to come back and beat #10 Iowa 27-19.

In the Gator Bowl, #9 Georgia Tech rushed for 145 yards in the first quarter while building a 14-0 lead over #8 Ohio State and then held on as the Buckeyes rallied in the second half to make it a 30-24 final

 

Here are the statistics for the games:

Outback Bowl

Team 1 2 3 4 F
Florida 0 3 10 3 16
L S U 3 3 3 0 9
           
    Florida Team L S U  
    15 FD 13  
    45-171 Rushing 37-117  
    156 Passing 138  
    13-21-1 Passes 12-25-1  
    5-41.4 Punt 7-40.6  
    41 Returns 26  
    1-0 Fumbles 0-0  
    6-45 Penalties 7-60  
    66 Plays 62  
    327 Total Yds 255  

 

Alamo Bowl

Team 1 2 3 4 F
Boise St. 10 7 14 3 34
Va. Tech 0 7 0 6 13
           
    Boise Team Va Tech  
    25 FD 16  
    49-281 Rushing 42-153  
    176 Passing 87  
    15-24-0 Passes 9-22-2  
    1-38.0 Punt 6-42.3  
    18 Returns 0  
    1-0 Fumbles 2-1  
    5-35 Penalties 6-53  
    73 Plays 64  
    457 Total Yds 230  
           

Holiday Bowl

Team 1 2 3 4 F
Oregon 0 7 6 14 27
Iowa 9 3 7 0 19
           
    Oregon Team Iowa  
    22 FD 16  
    41-180 Rushing 31-117  
    251 Passing 164  
    20-29-0 Passes 16-28-2  
    2-44.5 Punt 6-37.8  
    18 Returns -2  
    2-1 Fumbles 3-1  
    4-30 Penalties 9-65  
    70 Plays 59  
    431 Total Yds 281  

 

Gator Bowl

Team 1 2 3 4 F
Ga. Tech 14 6 7 3 30
Ohio St. 0 7 7 10 24
           
    Ga Tech Team Ohio St  
    24 FD 17  
    58-311 Rushing 38-164  
    108 Passing 183  
    6-14-1 Passes 17-29-2  
    0-0 Punt 4-41.5  
    39 Returns 0  
    3-2 Fumbles 2-1  
    9-80 Penalties 6-43  
    72 Plays 67  
    419 Total Yds 347  

 

Quarterfinal Round

In the next round, #5 Florida takes on #4 T C U in the Cotton Bowl; #6 Boise State plays #3 Cincinnati in the Capital One Bowl; #7 Oregon plays #2 Texas in the Rose Bowl; and #9 Georgia Tech plays #1 Alabama in the Sugar Bowl.

These games would be the four New Year’s Day Bowl Games.  Wouldn’t it be great when all four January 1 bowls would actually mean something and guarantee that every game contributed to the real National Championship?

Check back on January 2 for results of the college football Elite Eight.

December 14, 2008

NCAA Football Playoff Simulation: Round One–December 13, 2008

NCAA 2008 College Football Playoff Simulation

Round One

 

Welcome to season number two of the NCAA College Football Playoff Simulation.  For those reading this blog for the first time, the PiRate College Football Playoffs take the champions of the ACC, Big East, Big Ten, Big 12, Pac-10, and SEC as automatic qualifiers.  Any of the remaining conference champions (including the top independent) that finish in the top 16 in the final regular season BCS Standings also qualify automatically.  At-large teams are then selected in the order of BCS finish until 12 total teams have been selected.  The 12 teams are seeded by BCS ranking.

 

Here is how the 12 teams were selected for the 2008 playoffs.

 

Top Six Conference Champions

ACC-Virginia Tech 9-4 seeded 12th

Big East Champion-Cincinnati 11-2 seeded 11th

Big Ten-Penn State 11-1 seeded 8th

Big 12-Oklahoma 12-1 seeded 1st

Pac-10-Southern Cal 11-1 seeded 5th

SEC-Florida 12-1 seeded 2nd

 

Automatic Qualifiers By Virtue Of Top 16 In BCS

MWC-Utah 12-0 seeded 6th

WAC-Boise State 12-0 seeded 9th

 

Top Four At-Large To Fill Out 12-Team Field

Texas 11-1 seeded 3rd

Alabama 12-1 seeded 4th

Texas Tech 11-1 seeded 7th

Ohio State 10-2 seeded 10th

 

The PiRate Playoff System uses the top 11 bowl games to play the four rounds.  The 5th through 12th seeds must play in the first round, while the top four seeds receive byes to the quarterfinals.

 

The First Round games were simulated Saturday, December 13.  Here are the results of those games.

 

Insight Bowl: #5 Southern Cal vs. #12 Virginia Tech

 

Final Score: Southern Cal 20  Virginia Tech 6

 

Will Harris returned an interception 55 yards for a touchdown and Stafon Johnson scored on an 8-yard run in the second quarter to give the Trojans all the points they needed.  The USC defense held the Hokies to 14 total yards and no first downs in the second half.  USC now advances to the Gator Bowl to play #4 seed Alabama.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

U S C

0

14

3

3

 

20

Va. Tech

3

3

0

0

 

6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

USC

Stat

VT

 

 

 

 

19

FD

8

 

 

 

 

43-156

Rush-Yds

35-29

 

 

 

 

177

Pass Yds

108

 

 

 

 

15-26-1

Passes

11-24-2

 

 

 

 

5-39.8

Punt

9-41.1

 

 

 

 

4-71

PR

2-20

 

 

 

 

6-45

Pen

4-30

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

69

Play

59

 

 

 

 

333

Tot Yds

137

 

 

 

Cotton Bowl: #6 Utah vs. #11 Cincinnati

 

Final Score: Utah 23 Cincinnati 20 2ot

 

Running Back Matt Asiata lined up in the Wildcat Formation and then through a 29 yard running pass to David Reed for a touchdown to tie the game with less than a minute remaining in regulation, and quarterback Brian Johnson completed a 25 yard pass to Asiata on the first play of the second overtime, as Utah advanced to the Capital One Bowl and the quarterfinals.  The Utes’ opponent will be #3 seed Texas

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

Utah

0

0

3

7

13

23

Cinti

0

7

3

0

10

20

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Utah

Stat

Cin

 

 

 

 

19

FD

18

 

 

 

 

47-174

Rush-Yds

44-159

 

 

 

 

213

Pass Yds

229

 

 

 

 

19-36-2

Passes

18-34-1

 

 

 

 

8-43.4

Punt

7-39.4

 

 

 

 

3-23

PR

6-47

 

 

 

 

5-40

Pen

7-48

 

 

 

 

1-0

Fum

3-2

 

 

 

 

83

Play

78

 

 

 

 

387

Tot Yds

388

 

 

 

Chick-Fil-a Bowl: #7 Texas Tech vs. #10 Ohio State

 

Final Score: Ohio State 45  Texas Tech 31

 

Terrelle Pryor ran for two scores and passed for two others and Marcus Freeman sacked Texas Tech quarterback Graham Harrell three times, as the Buckeyes beat higher-seeded Texas Tech.  Pryor scored his first touchdown on a 14 yard scamper early in the second quarter after Brian Hartline set the Buckeyes up with a 32 yard punt return.  Pryor’s first touchdown pass went to Hartline from 26 yards out.  In the third quarter, Pryor hit Brian Robiskie for a 13-yard score, and in the final period, Pryor scampered 17 yards for the game-clinching touchdown, after Texas Tech had scored on a blocked punt and return.

 

Ohio State now moves on to the Sugar Bowl for a date against #2 seed Florida.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

Tx Tech

7

7

14

3

 

31

Oh St

3

14

14

14

 

45

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TTU

Stat

OSU

 

 

 

 

18

FD

24

 

 

 

 

18-39

Rush-Yds

37-215

 

 

 

 

301

Pass Yds

177

 

 

 

 

27-56-3

Passes

16-26-0

 

 

 

 

4-41.5

Punt

4-34.4

 

 

 

 

1-7

PR

2-34

 

 

 

 

7-65

Pen

5-33

 

 

 

 

1-1

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

74

Play

63

 

 

 

 

340

Tot Yds

392

 

 

 

Outback Bowl: #8 Penn State vs. #9 Boise State

 

Final Score: Boise State 34  Penn State 23

 

Ian Johnson and Kyle Wilson starred for the Broncos in this mild upset.  Johnson gave BSU the quick lead when he returned the opening kickoff 92 yards for a touchdown.  Wilson’s 62 yard punt return following Penn State’s first possession set up another Bronco score.

 

Johnson rushed for 142 yards and a touchdown, while Wilson intercepted two second half passes.

 

Boise State advances to the Fiesta Bowl to take on top-seeded Oklahoma.

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

Penn St

6

7

0

10

 

23

Boise St

14

0

13

7

 

34

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PSU

Stat

BSU

 

 

 

 

17

FD

23

 

 

 

 

37-155

Rush-Yds

44-189

 

 

 

 

171

Pass Yds

226

 

 

 

 

16-29-3

Passes

19-28-0

 

 

 

 

7-42.7

Punt

5-41.6

 

 

 

 

3-20

PR

5-43

 

 

 

 

6-50

Pen

5-35

 

 

 

 

3-2

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

66

Play

72

 

 

 

 

326

Tot Yds

415

 

 

 

Quarterfinal Round Matches

To Be Simulated December 20

 

Fiesta Bowl

#1 Oklahoma 12-1 vs. #9 Boise State 13-0

 

Sugar Bowl

#2 Florida 12-1 vs. #10 Ohio State 11-2

 

Capital One Bowl

#3 Texas 11-1 vs. #6 Utah 13-0

 

Gator Bowl

#4 Alabama 12-1 vs. #5 Southern Cal 12-1

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