The Pi-Rate Ratings

September 2, 2015

College Football Preview For Week 1, September 3-7, 2015

Welcome back to the PiRate Ratings.  Many of you have read some of our preseason previews, but by looking at the increased volume to this site in the last 24 hours, we can tell that we have a lot of new readers today.

Yesterday, we posted the spreads for FBS teams only for our three ratings–PiRate, Mean, and Bias.  For those new to this site, a brief explanation follows.

Our ratings are unique in that we do not rely on scores alone to update our ratings.  Most of us here are sports metric statistics lunatics.  Our head man actually works in professional baseball as a “Moneyball” statistician/scout.

We use advanced statistics for each game to come up with the “theoretical score” of the game rather than the actual score, and then we update on our theoretical final score.  For example, if State beats Tech 42-21, this 21-point spread tells us very little.  What if State led 35-0 midway into the second quarter, and they pulled their starters after going five for five in touchdown drives?  What if Tech then scored twice in the final 7 minutes of a 42-7 game?  On the other hand, what if State led 28-21 with 7 minutes to go in the game, and Tech had driven 70 yards to the State 2 yard line, before fumbling at the goal with State returning the ball 100 yards for a TD, and then State added a second TD on an interception return with Tech driving again?

The 42-21 score is the only thing these two examples have in common.  In the first instance, State might have won 63-0 if they had continued to use their starters and top backups; State would win 100 out of 100 times against Tech.  In the second instance, there is a good chance that Tech might beat State 5 times out of 10.  We carefully peruse the play-by-play and statistics of every college football game among FBS teams. 

Our three ratings use the same type of data, but we have three different algorithms to come to the actual number.  The PiRate Rating is the same algorithm in use for the last 30+ years.  The Mean Rating is just that; it takes the mean of all our variables  with no bias.  Of course, the Bias Rating puts a bias on some data at the expense of other data.  Because it is similar to the PiRate Rating, these two will have a much higher correlation than they do to the Mean Rating.

Okay, now for something completely different.  Yesterday, we revealed our spreads for FBS vs. FBS Week One games.  Today, we show you our PiRate Spreads for FBS vs. FCS teams for Week One.  For reasons that involve how our ratings are calculated, we cannot supply Mean or Bias spreads with FCS teams, as it would take maybe 20 additional people to train and work with us.  The FBS vs. FCS PiRate Ratings are purely mechanical, so they are just an approximation of our actual PiRate Ratings.

We have repeated our FBS vs. FBS games so you will not have to look at yesterday’s entry.

This Week’s Games
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias
Thursday, September 3        
North Carolina (N) South Carolina 3.6 6.4 4.0
Central Florida Florida Int’l 8.4 11.2 8.4
Central Michigan Oklahoma St. -30.3 -23.5 -29.0
Vanderbilt Western Kentucky 0.4 -3.8 -2.0
Utah Michigan 9.9 6.4 10.4
Minnesota T C U -17.5 -5.4 -19.1
Idaho Ohio U -16.5 -10.6 -15.9
Tulane Duke -4.0 -1.2 -3.9
Arizona U T S A 49.3 31.3 48.6
Hawaii Colorado -16.8 -7.0 -15.9
Friday, September 4 PiRate Mean Bias
Georgia St. Charlotte 8.2 3.4 7.6
Western Michigan Michigan St. -23.5 -15.5 -22.9
S M U Baylor -40.2 -29.9 -41.8
Illinois Kent St. 21.3 14.4 18.5
Boise St. Washington 16.3 12.3 16.1
Saturday, September 5 PiRate Mean Bias
Georgia Louisiana-Monroe 45.0 39.6 44.4
Northwestern Stanford -12.7 -7.6 -14.6
Eastern Michigan Old Dominion -6.9 -2.8 -6.2
Nebraska B Y U 8.2 5.8 6.2
Temple Penn St. -6.4 -4.9 -6.0
Tulsa Florida Atlantic 7.5 10.5 8.0
Arkansas U T E P 42.3 30.9 42.0
Auburn (N) Louisville 11.8 7.5 9.9
U C L A Virginia 27.2 22.4 26.4
Tennessee (N) Bowling Green 32.2 20.4 29.8
N. Carolina St. Troy 40.5 44.0 39.0
Oklahoma Akron 44.6 31.5 41.5
Texas A&M (N) Arizona St. -0.8 2.6 -2.3
Kentucky Louisiana-Lafayette 25.3 16.5 24.4
Notre Dame Texas 13.1 10.1 12.6
West Virginia Georgia Southern 33.9 25.3 32.9
Florida N. Mexico St. 39.6 33.3 38.6
Northern Illinois U N L V 18.2 18.6 18.8
Alabama (N) Wisconsin 11.4 9.1 10.8
Florida St. Texas St. 33.4 28.1 31.6
Southern Miss. Mississippi St. -25.4 -20.7 -27.1
U S C Arkansas St. 36.8 31.0 40.9
Sunday, September 6 PiRate Mean Bias
Marshall Purdue -1.0 -1.5 1.7
Monday, September 7 PiRate Mean Bias
Virginia Tech Ohio St. -15.0 -6.5 -16.1
FBS vs. FCS Week 1 PiRate
Utah St. S. Utah 37.0
Wake Forest Elon 24.0
Ball St. V M I 28.0
Toledo Stony Brook 28.0
Georgia Tech Alcorn St. 44.0
Connecticut Villanova -7.0
Nevada UC-Davis 25.0
San Jose St. New Hampshire 1.0
Fresno St. Abilene Christian 17.0
Army Fordham 9.0
Syracuse Rhode Island 25.0
Oregon St. Weber St. 31.0
Ole Miss UT-Martin 36.0
Navy Colgate 29.0
Rutgers Norfolk St. 39.0
Kansas S. Dakota St. -1.0
Iowa Illinois St. 11.0
Maryland Richmond 20.0
Clemson Wofford 33.0
Pittsburgh Youngstown St. 18.0
Boston College Maine 22.0
Washington St. Portland St. 22.0
Texas Tech Sam Houston 15.0
Rice Wagner 27.0
Air Force Morgan St. 34.0
Buffalo Albany 13.0
Miami (O) Presbyterian 17.0
Appalachian St. Howard 31.0
Colorado St. Savannah St. 51.0
Wyoming N. Dakota 13.0
Missouri S E M O 40.0
Indiana S. Illinois 17.0
California Grambling 35.0
Miami (Fl) Bethune-Cookman 29.0
East Carolina Towson 28.0
S. Alabama Gardner-Webb 17.0
N. Mexico Mississippi Valley 32.0
Memphis Missouri St. 26.0
S. Florida Florida A&M 21.0
Cincinnati Alabama A&M 39.0
Louisiana Tech Southern 31.0
Middle Tennessee Jackson St. 28.0
Kansas St. S. Dakota 36.0
L S U McNeese St. 34.0
San Diego St. San Diego 28.0
Oregon E. Washington 39.0
Iowa St. N. Iowa 7.0
Houston Tennessee Tech 29.0

Please see our sister site: http://www.piratings.webs.com for complete rankings of all 128 FBS and all 32 NFL teams.

Edit: Special Thanks to Reader Charles for catching mistakes that allowed us to correct on Thursday morning.

Selections Against The Spread

Your voices/emails have been heard.  At our sister site, http://www.piratings.webs.com, we have received exactly 137 requests from you to bring back our selections against the spread.  We are happy that some of you sports fans remember that great 2011-12 season in which our ratings finished at the top of the Prediction Tracker ratings against the spread for the NFL, while our college ratings have had multiple top 10 finishes.

Before reading further, please make sure you read the following paragraph in bold:  He or She that uses these ratings as their lone source before wagering their house on this data might as well just sell their house now and at least have funds to move elsewhere.  We NEVER, EVER use this data to wager on games.  As analytics’ specialists, we understand that the one way to make money wagering in football is to be the book.  Yes, there are the Billy Walters of the world, but if you were he, you wouldn’t be reading this blog.  So, since you are not, be advised that wagering any amount of your hard-earned money on football must be considered in the same light as paying for something, because that is exactly what you will be doing: paying somebody else.

Okay, now here is how we will make our selections this year.  First, we will isolate those games in which our Mean rating differs enough from the official line to make it a possibility.  Second, of those possibilities in step one,  the six of us will pick 5-10 games that we personally like against the spread.  If 4 of us have the same game and nobody has the opposite pick in that game, then we go with that as one of our selections.  Because we believe that it is best to pick an odd number of games to prevent a .500 record and a loss, we will eliminate a game if we have an even amount of games.

Here are our 5 selections for Week 1

Home Visitor Line Our Pick
Arkansas UTEP 33.0 UTEP
Central Michigan Oklahoma St. -24.5 Central Michigan
Florida New Mexico St. 33.0 New Mexico St.
Georgia St. Charlotte 8.0 Charlotte
Texas A&M (N) Arizona St. 3.5 Arizona St.

September 1, 2011

PiRate Picks For September 1-5, 2011

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , — piratings @ 8:52 am

PiRate Picks For September 1-5, 2011

To Paraphrase the legendary former Tennessee Volunteers radio announcer John Ward, “It’s Football Time in America.”

 

For a lot of you reading this, the past year or two or ten have not been the most financially sound years.  We understand your plight; we have been there ourselves.

 

During the Great Depression of the 1930’s, many Americans relied on diversions to forget their plight.  They turned to the new great medium of talkies—movies with sound, making Shirley Temple a great star.

 

Many listened to their large radios, as Jack Benny, Fred Allen, and George and Gracie gave them some laughs.

 

A large part of the nation turned to baseball.  With Babe Ruth and Lou Gehrig, Jimmy Foxx, Hank Greenberg, Mel Ott, Lefty Grove, and later in the decade Ted Williams, Joe Dimaggio, and Bob Feller, the nation was able to forget all their troubles for at least a couple of hours at a time.

 

That is what we are trying to do here with our football selections this year.  We no longer will be charging customers for our picks.  We were only 54.5% correct last year (97-81-3) after finishing above 60% the year before, so we decided to make these picks fun and not serious. 

 

Now, for the disclaimer: we advise against using this information for illegal purposes.  Truth be told: none of us here have placed a monetary wager on any football games outside the state of Nevada EVER!  This is more about having fun than trying to own the Las Vegas Hilton.  So, please do not lose whatever you have left, even if our money is phony fiat currency, because you have taken the advice of this blog.

 _____________________________________________________________________________________ 

1. Wake Forest + 6 ½ vs. SYRACUSE

 

Syracuse is a weaker team this year with the loss of seven key defensive players and their star running back.  They won four games by six points or less.  Three of their other four wins came against Akron, Maine, and Colgate.  We have the Orangemen pegged for the bottom of the Big East this year

 

Wake Forest has suffered through back-to-back losing seasons after earning bowl bids three consecutive seasons.  They have most of their skill position players returning on offense, and they have a lot of experience returning on defense.  Against teams that we believe to be about as strong last year as Syracuse is this year, The Demon Deacons beat Duke by six, lost to Georgia Tech by four, and lost to Navy by one. 

 

We believe Wake Forest has almost a 50% chance of winning this game straight up and do not worry about the tricky six point spread losing by one.  We would take this game at +4 hoping to get one point more than the field goal.

 

2. T C U & Baylor UNDER 56

 

TCU starts life without Andy Dalton and three of the top four receivers from last year’s team that averaged 42 points per game.  Against teams from the automatic qualifying conferences, they averaged less than 26 points per game over the last three seasons.  The Horned Frogs’ defense is still in decent shape, and even with the loss of several starters from 2010, the backups got a lot of playing time and did well.  In those games against AQ conference teams in the last three years, TCU has given up less than 18 points per game.  26+18 = 44.

 

Baylor scored just 10 points on TCU last year.  The Bears averaged more than 31 points per game and gave up almost 31, so on the surface, it appears as if they could get into a shootout with most teams.  However, against teams with good defenses, much like what we expect from TCU, they have averaged just over 17 points per game the last three years.

 

We believe Baylor will be fired up for this home game/revenge game.  A win on national TV against an undefeated Top 3 opponent from last year would verify them as a legitimate minor power.

 

We are looking for a close game with either team winning by a score of about 24-21.  That is 11 points under the total for the game.

 

3. 10-point Teaser

A. North Texas & Florida Int’l UNDER 64

B. Kentucky & Western Kentucky UNDER 61

C. T C U & Baylor UNDER 66

 

4. 10-point Teaser

A. Ohio State & Akron UNDER 58

B. UCLA +13 vs. Houston

C. Michigan -4 vs. Western Michigan

 

5. 10-point Teaser

A. Southern Cal & Minnesota UNDER 61 ½

B. Notre Dame – ½ vs. South Florida

C. Ole Miss +13 vs. B Y U

 

6. 10-point Teaser

A. Ole Miss & Baylor OVER 47

B. California Even vs. Fresno State

C. Army & Northern Illinois UNDER 64 ½

 

7. 10-point Teaser

A. Indiana +4 vs. Ball State

B. New Mexico State + 17 ½ vs. Ohio U

C. Texas A&M -5 vs. S M U

August 31, 2011

PiRate Ratings For Week of September 1-5, 2011

PiRate Ratings—For Games of September 1-5, 2011

 

Is it us, or did this week seem to catch us all by surprise?  It sure feels like there should be another three or four weeks before the season begins.

 

Actually, 45 years ago, the college teams began fall practice around this time and did not play their first game until the Saturday after September 20.  Of course, teams played just 10 games then (some of the Big Ten still played just nine games).

 

With the exception of a few games, most of this week’s opening tilts are real duds.  It could be different if college football took our suggestions and made the opening week of the season a week of bowl classics in lieu of post-season bowl games.

 

See https://piratings.wordpress.com/2011/08/08/the-great-bowlcott/

 

If the bowls were changed to the pre-season, all of them would become vitally important, since every team would be 0-0.  70 teams could open up the season in one of the 35 bowls, and the Little Caesar’s Pizza Bowl would be every bit as important as the Orange and Fiesta Bowls.  These games could decide seeding for the post-season 12-team or 16-team playoff.

 

Here are the opening PiRate Ratings for week one of the college football season.  For an brief explanation of how we formulate these ratings, go to:

 

https://piratings.wordpress.com/2011/08/31/the-pirate-ratings-the-hows-and-whys/

 

 

NCAA Top 25 This Week

Rank

Team

PiRate

Won

Lost

1

Oklahoma

132.8

0

0

2

Alabama

132.4

0

0

3

TexasA&M

130.6

0

0

4

Stanford

126.4

0

0

5

Oregon

125.6

0

0

6

L S U

124.6

0

0

7

Notre Dame

123.9

0

0

8

FloridaState

123.3

0

0

9

Arkansas

122.7

0

0

10

BoiseState

121.7

0

0

11

South Carolina

121.6

0

0

12

OklahomaState

119.8

0

0

13

Southern Cal

117.2

0

0

14

MississippiState

117.0

0

0

15

Florida

116.8

0

0

16

Missouri

116.7

0

0

17

ArizonaState

116.6

0

0

18

Nebraska

116.4

0

0

19

Wisconsin

116.2

0

0

20

Virginia Tech

116.1

0

0

21

Auburn

115.6

0

0

22

Miami(Fl)

115.2

0

0

23

Michigan

114.8

0

0

24

PennState

113.4

0

0

25

Arizona

113.1

0

0

   

 

 

 

Note: Ratings rounded to one decimal point

even though I rank them to two decimal points

 

Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Division

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

FloridaState

0-0

0-0

123.3

Clemson

0-0

0-0

110.3

BostonCollege

0-0

0-0

109.7

North CarolinaState

0-0

0-0

109.1

Maryland

0-0

0-0

106.5

WakeForest

0-0

0-0

98.5

       
Coastal Division

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Virginia Tech

0-0

0-0

116.1

Miami-FL

0-0

0-0

115.2

North Carolina

0-0

0-0

106.8

Duke

0-0

0-0

99.8

Virginia

0-0

0-0

97.9

Georgia Tech

0-0

0-0

97.5

 

 

Big East Conference

 

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Pittsburgh

0-0

0-0

111.5

Cincinnati

0-0

0-0

108.7

West Virginia

0-0

0-0

106.6

Connecticut

0-0

0-0

102.1

South Florida

0-0

0-0

101.4

Syracuse

0-0

0-0

94.8

Rutgers

0-0

0-0

94.5

Louisville

0-0

0-0

92.2

 

 

Big Ten

       
Leaders Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Wisconsin

0-0

0-0

116.2

PennState

0-0

0-0

113.4

OhioState

0-0

0-0

108.1

Illinois

0-0

0-0

107.8

Purdue

0-0

0-0

101.7

Indiana

0-0

0-0

86.5

       
Legends Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Nebraska

0-0

0-0

116.4

Michigan

0-0

0-0

114.8

MichiganState

0-0

0-0

113.5

Iowa

0-0

0-0

107.8

Northwestern

0-0

0-0

101.2

Minnesota

0-0

0-0

101.1

 

 

Big 12

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Oklahoma

0-0

0-0

132.8

TexasA&M

0-0

0-0

130.6

OklahomaState

0-0

0-0

119.8

Missouri

0-0

0-0

116.7

Texas

0-0

0-0

108.3

TexasTech

0-0

0-0

105.5

Baylor

0-0

0-0

104.0

KansasState

0-0

0-0

101.5

IowaState

0-0

0-0

100.9

Kansas

0-0

0-0

95.4

 

 

Conference USA

East Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Southern Mississippi

0-0

0-0

97.0

East Carolina

0-0

0-0

94.8

Central Florida

0-0

0-0

91.9

U A B

0-0

0-0

89.1

Marshall

0-0

0-0

85.8

Memphis

0-0

0-0

72.0

       
West Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Tulsa

0-0

0-0

103.6

S M U

0-0

0-0

102.0

Houston

0-0

0-0

96.7

Rice

0-0

0-0

89.7

Tulane

0-0

0-0

80.9

U T E P

0-0

0-0

76.0

 

 

Independents

       
Team

 

Overall

Rating

Notre Dame  

0-0

123.9

B Y U  

0-0

108.5

Navy  

0-0

96.1

Army  

0-0

86.3

 

 

Mid American Conference

East Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Miami(O)

0-0

0-0

89.4

Temple

0-0

0-0

84.1

OhioU

0-0

0-0

80.8

Kent St.

0-0

0-0

80.6

Bowling Green

0-0

0-0

78.9

Buffalo

0-0

0-0

71.9

Akron

0-0

0-0

69.7

       
West Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Toledo

0-0

0-0

91.4

Western Michigan

0-0

0-0

89.0

Northern Illinois

0-0

0-0

88.5

Central Michigan

0-0

0-0

83.4

BallState

0-0

0-0

76.3

Eastern Michigan

0-0

0-0

69.6

 

 

Mountain West Conference

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

BoiseState

0-0

0-0

121.7

T C U

0-0

0-0

110.0

Air Force

0-0

0-0

106.6

S.D.State

0-0

0-0

100.3

Colo.State

0-0

0-0

92.4

Wyoming

0-0

0-0

90.4

UNLV

0-0

0-0

85.2

New Mexico

0-0

0-0

81.7

 

 

Pac-10 Conference

       
North Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Stanford

0-0

0-0

126.4

Oregon

0-0

0-0

125.6

Washington

0-0

0-0

112.9

OregonState

0-0

0-0

112.9

California

0-0

0-0

111.3

WashingtonState

0-0

0-0

102.8

       
South Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

U S C

0-0

0-0

117.2

ArizonaState

0-0

0-0

116.6

Arizona

0-0

0-0

113.1

U C L A

0-0

0-0

110.9

Utah

0-0

0-0

108.4

Colorado

0-0

0-0

101.8

 

 

Southeastern Conference

East Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

South Carolina

0-0

0-0

121.6

Florida

0-0

0-0

116.8

Georgia

0-0

0-0

112.6

Tennessee

0-0

0-0

106.6

Kentucky

0-0

0-0

102.2

Vanderbilt

0-0

0-0

100.0

       
West Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Alabama

0-0

0-0

132.4

L S U

0-0

0-0

124.6

Arkansas

0-0

0-0

122.7

MississippiState

0-0

0-0

117.0

Auburn

0-0

0-0

115.6

Ole Miss

0-0

0-0

99.6

 

 

Sunbelt Conference

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

FloridaInternational

0-0

0-0

87.1

Louisiana-Monroe

0-0

0-0

82.3

Troy

0-0

0-0

81.3

ArkansasState

0-0

0-0

81.3

Western Kentucky

0-0

0-0

75.1

MiddleTennessee

0-0

0-0

72.8

North Texas

0-0

0-0

71.9

U.ofLouisiana

0-0

0-0

71.7

FloridaAtlantic

0-0

0-0

68.7

 

 

Western Athletic Conference

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Nevada

0-0

0-0

101.4

Hawaii

0-0

0-0

98.4

LouisianaTech

0-0

0-0

93.5

FresnoState

0-0

0-0

93.0

San JoseState

0-0

0-0

91.1

UtahState

0-0

0-0

90.2

Idaho

0-0

0-0

88.2

New MexicoState

0-0

0-0

78.8

 

 

This Week’s Games–PiRate & Mean Ratings

   

 

 

 

Thursday, September 1  

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Score

Line

WISCONSIN U n l v

35.5

49-13

35 ½

Mississippi St. MEMPHIS

43.0

52-9

29   

WakeForest SYRACUSE

0.7

27-26

-6   

IDAHO Bowling Green

12.8

31-18

7 ½

FLORIDAINT’L North Texas

18.2

31-13

13   

Kentucky  (n) Western Kentucky

27.1

37-10

19   

   

 

 

 

Friday, September 2  

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Score

Line

T c u BAYLOR

3.0

20-17

6   

   

 

 

 

Saturday, September 3  

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Score

Line

BOSTONCOLLEGE Northwestern

12.0

32-20

3   

AUBURN UtahState

30.4

40-10

22   

OHIOSTATE Akron

42.4

49-7

33 ½

MISSOURI Miami(O)

31.3

45-14

18   

ALABAMA KentState

56.3

56-0

37   

U c l a HOUSTON

11.2

38-27

-3   

MICHIGAN Western Michigan

29.3

42-13

14   

SOUTHERN CAL Minnesota

20.1

30-10

23   

NOTRE DAME South Florida

26.5

41-14

10 ½

B y u OLE MISS

3.9

27-23

3   

STANFORD San JoseState

38.3

52-14

30   

ColoradoState NEW MEXICO

7.7

28-20

5 ½

PITTSBURGH Buffalo

43.1

49-6

30   

South Carolina(n) East Carolina

26.8

48-21

20 ½

CALIFORNIA FresnoState

20.3

37-17

10   

NORTHERN ILLINOIS Army

5.2

21-16

10   

TEXAS Rice

22.6

37-14

23 ½

Indiana(n) BallState

10.2

27-17

6 ½

OKLAHOMA Tulsa

32.2

52-20

24 ½

NEW MEXICOSTATE OhioU

2.5

24-21

-7   

BoiseState(n) Georgia

5.1

28-23

3   

Oregon(n) L s u

4.0

21-17

3   

SOUTHERN MISS LouisianaTech

6.5

27-20

13   

HAWAII Colorado

1.1

28-27

7   

PURDUE MiddleTennessee

32.9

39-6

17 ½

ILLINOIS ArkansasState

30.5

41-10

21   

FLORIDASTATE Louisiana-Monroe

45.0

59-14

29 ½

CLEMSON Troy

32.5

45-12

15 ½

FLORIDA FloridaAtlantic

51.1

51-0

35   

OKLAHOMASTATE U ofLouisiana

52.1

62-10

36 ½

   

 

 

 

Sunday, September 4  

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Score

Line

WEST VIRGINIA Marshall

23.3

35-12

21   

TEXASA&M S m u

31.6

49-17

15 ½

   

 

 

 

Monday, September 5  

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Score

Line

Miami(Fl) MARYLAND

1.2

25-24

5 ½

 

 

Coming Tomorrow: Our Free Selections For Week One.  Remember, you get what you paid for!!!

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