The Pi-Rate Ratings

September 27, 2020

College PiRate Ratings DELAYED

The Reinstatement of the Pac-12, Mountain West, and Mid-American Conferences, as well as Independent UMass, has caused a somewhat lengthy delay in our college football ratings update for this coming week.

Because the PiRate Ratings use an algorithm with a cumulative par rating of 100.0 for the PiRate, Mean, and Bias ratings, we cannot simply place the original August ratings for the teams that decided in the last week to play football. Doing so would throw the cumulative par well below 100.0.

We cannot simply add the necessary amount needed per team to raise the par values to 100.0 for multiple reasons. First, the amount needed to be added to each of the three ratings would be totally different. Why would a team all of a sudden become .2 points better in the Mean, but .4 points better in the Bias? Actually, some teams might gain points in one rating and lose points in another. That would not be just or accurate.

Second, why would you reward a team with points that is obviously struggling at the present time, while at the same time punish a team that hasn’t played yet by keeping their rating where it was when everybody was 0-0?

When the Big Ten returned, we had to raise some ratings and lower others to keep the overall par at 100.0 for our three different algorithms, and to be quite frank, we had to use some one-time extracurricular data to come to a conclusion.

The need to reincorporate the teams is vital thanks to the Navy-Air Force game this weekend. The Mountain West is looking to return at the end of October, but the Air Force Academy is scheduled to play Navy this Saturday as part of the Commander-in-Chief Trophy series. We cannot issue power ratings for Air Force until we have done the work to reincorporate all the teams that will return to play in 2020.

As of this writing, the Pac-12, Mountain West, and Mid-American Conferences are on board with a late October or early November re-start. UMass plans to attempt to find some teams to play and hopefully get in six games. Old Dominion, New Mexico State, and Connecticut still plan to take off this season, but New Mexico State hopes to play a half-dozen games in the Spring against FCS, Division II, and possibly Connecticut with a remote possibility that they could play UMass.

As an aside to this, keep an eye on New Mexico State basketball coach Chris Jans. The Aggies are not completely sure their basketball team will be able to play in 2020-2021. If the Aggies cancel their basketball season, expect multiple Power Conference schools to move Jans up high on their lists of potential head coaches if they have a vacancy. If you follow our college basketball coverage, you know that we rate coaches by their ability to improve their teams’ offensive efficiency, while weakening their opponents’ offensive efficiencies. In the Winter of 2020, our analysis rated Jans as number one overall among Mid-Major and Low-Major coaches in his ability to improve the talent on his roster above the norm. In 2019, we named Eric Musselman, then of Nevada, as number one and predicted that a Power Conference school would hire him and not regret it. Arkansas was that fortunate school to hire Muss, and Muss has the Razorbacks moving forward toward a top 20 program quickly. It is our opinion that Jans has the competency to do for a Power Conference school what Musselman has done for Arkansas. If NMSU does not play basketball this season, we believe Jans will take another job for 2021-2022.

September 13, 2020

PiRate Ratings–College Football September 13, 2020

This Week’s PiRate, Mean, and Bias Spreads

Week 3Sep. 18-19
HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Oklahoma St.Tulsa16.918.119.6
Georgia St.Louisiana-16.9-16.7-17.0
PittsburghSyracuse11.911.711.5
Western Ky.Liberty11.29.411.4
TulaneNavy-1.60.6-0.5
DukeBoston College3.03.92.4
BaylorHouston4.35.96.0
MarshallAppalachian St.-2.0-1.4-4.3
Notre DameUSF24.324.626.1
North CarolinaCharlotte26.526.627.5
Georgia TechUCF-7.1-8.2-9.4
Ga. SouthernFla. Atlantic12.912.214.1
Middle Tenn.Troy-1.5-2.5-1.7
North TexasSMU-21.5-19.8-20.1
UL-MonroeTexas St.4.54.14.6
LouisvilleMiami (Fla.)11.29.110.0
Southern Miss.La. Tech3.42.50.9
NC St.Wake Forest-3.3-4.2-3.3

This Week’s FBS vs. FCS Games

FBSFCSPiRate
Coastal CarolinaCampbell22.3
CincinnatiAustin Peay27.4
UTSAS F Austin12.0
ClemsonCitadel47.5
Arkansas St.Cent. Arkansas11.8
UTEPAbilene Chr.-0.7

This Week’s PiRate, Mean, and Bias Ratings

#TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg.Conference
1Clemson123.7124.7127.6125.4ACC
2L S U123.2122.5125.8123.8SEC-W
3Alabama121.4122.3123.3122.3SEC-W
4Georgia121.1119.4121.9120.8SEC-E
5Florida119.7119.3120.8119.9SEC-E
6Auburn118.0116.6117.9117.5SEC-W
7Oklahoma117.1117.1117.3117.2B12
8Notre Dame117.2116.2117.2116.9ACC
9Texas116.3115.1116.4115.9B12
10Texas A&M115.7115.8115.9115.8SEC-W
11Oklahoma St.113.4112.8113.6113.3B12
12N. Carolina111.9112.4113.3112.5ACC
13Kentucky110.3110.5111.5110.8SEC-E
14Louisville110.7111.3109.7110.5ACC
15Virginia Tech109.2109.2111.3109.9ACC
16UCF109.2109.6110.5109.8AAC
17Tennessee109.1109.0109.6109.2SEC-E
18Cincinnati109.5108.3109.4109.1AAC
19S. Carolina109.3107.0108.7108.3SEC-E
20Memphis109.0107.7108.2108.3AAC
21Baylor108.0108.1108.2108.1B12
22Iowa St.107.9107.1107.5107.5B12
23Miss. St.106.7106.1108.4107.1SEC-W
24Virginia106.6106.1106.3106.4ACC
25BYU106.7105.2106.3106.1Ind.
26Louisiana106.2105.7106.2106.0SUN-W
27Florida St.105.5103.9105.4104.9ACC
28Pittsburgh103.9105.7104.1104.6ACC
29T C U105.0102.8105.1104.3B12
30Kansas St.104.2103.0104.1103.8B12
31Houston104.7103.2103.2103.7AAC
32Ole Miss104.1102.5103.8103.4SEC-W
33Appal. St.102.8101.9103.9102.9SUN-E
34Miami (Fla.)101.5104.1101.7102.4ACC
35W. Virginia101.4101.5101.5101.5B12
36Duke100.6101.3100.0100.6ACC
37SMU100.6100.199.6100.1AAC
38Georgia Tech100.699.999.6100.0ACC
39Missouri99.199.2100.399.5SEC-E
40Boston Coll.99.699.399.699.5ACC
41Wake Forest98.399.498.398.7ACC
42Marshall98.998.597.698.3CUSA
43Texas Tech97.296.097.496.9B12
44Navy98.196.196.096.7AAC
45W. Kentucky95.997.096.796.5CUSA
46Temple96.497.095.396.2AAC
47Tulsa97.695.795.196.1AAC
48Arkansas St.95.796.995.696.1SUN-W
49Florida Int’l.95.495.295.895.5CUSA
50Syracuse94.096.094.694.9ACC
51Arkansas94.795.892.494.3SEC-W
52Tulane94.594.793.694.3AAC
53Army93.295.393.293.9Ind.
54USF95.093.793.193.9AAC
55NC State93.593.793.693.6ACC
56Georgia Sou.92.793.794.093.5SUN-E
57U A B92.693.492.192.7CUSA
58Vanderbilt93.392.791.892.6SEC-E
59Coastal Car.91.892.492.292.1SUN-E
60E. Carolina92.192.690.991.9AAC
61Southern Miss.88.589.087.288.2CUSA
62Troy87.089.087.387.8SUN-E
63Georgia St.87.887.587.787.7SUN-E
64La. Tech86.588.087.787.4CUSA
65Liberty86.289.186.887.4Ind.
66Charlotte86.486.786.886.7CUSA
67Kansas86.386.585.086.0B12
68S. Alabama85.186.484.885.4SUN-W
69Rice86.284.285.685.3CUSA
70Middle Tenn.84.185.084.184.4CUSA
71Fla. Atlantic81.383.081.481.9CUSA
72UL-Monroe82.082.280.481.5SUN-W
73North Texas78.179.378.578.7CUSA
74Texas St.79.079.677.378.6SUN-W
75U T S A77.177.076.576.9CUSA
76U T E P63.466.063.064.1CUSA

By Conference

American Athletic Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
UCF109.2109.6110.5109.8
Cincinnati109.5108.3109.4109.1
Memphis109.0107.7108.2108.3
Houston104.7103.2103.2103.7
SMU100.6100.199.6100.1
Navy98.196.196.096.7
Temple96.497.095.396.2
Tulsa97.695.795.196.1
Tulane94.594.793.694.3
USF95.093.793.193.9
E. Carolina92.192.690.991.9
AAC Averages100.699.999.5100.0
Atlantic Coast Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
Clemson123.7124.7127.6125.4
Notre Dame117.2116.2117.2116.9
N. Carolina111.9112.4113.3112.5
Louisville110.7111.3109.7110.5
Virginia Tech109.2109.2111.3109.9
Virginia106.6106.1106.3106.4
Florida St.105.5103.9105.4104.9
Pittsburgh103.9105.7104.1104.6
Miami (Fla.)101.5104.1101.7102.4
Duke100.6101.3100.0100.6
Georgia Tech100.699.999.6100.0
Boston Coll.99.699.399.699.5
Wake Forest98.399.498.398.7
Syracuse94.096.094.694.9
NC State93.593.793.693.6
ACC Averages105.1105.6105.5105.4
Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
Oklahoma117.1117.1117.3117.2
Texas116.3115.1116.4115.9
Oklahoma St.113.4112.8113.6113.3
Baylor108.0108.1108.2108.1
Iowa St.107.9107.1107.5107.5
T C U105.0102.8105.1104.3
Kansas St.104.2103.0104.1103.8
W. Virginia101.4101.5101.5101.5
Texas Tech97.296.097.496.9
Kansas86.386.585.086.0
Big 12 Averages105.7105.0105.6105.4
Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
Marshall98.998.597.698.3
W. Kentucky95.997.096.796.5
Florida Int’l.95.495.295.895.5
U A B92.693.492.192.7
Southern Miss.88.589.087.288.2
La. Tech86.588.087.787.4
Charlotte86.486.786.886.7
Rice86.284.285.685.3
Middle Tenn.84.185.084.184.4
Fla. Atlantic81.383.081.481.9
North Texas78.179.378.578.7
U T S A77.177.076.576.9
U T E P63.466.063.064.1
CUSA Averages85.786.385.685.9
FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
BYU106.7105.2106.3106.1
Army93.295.393.293.9
Liberty86.289.186.887.4
Ind. Averages95.496.595.495.8
Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
Georgia121.1119.4121.9120.8
Florida119.7119.3120.8119.9
Kentucky110.3110.5111.5110.8
Tennessee109.1109.0109.6109.2
S. Carolina109.3107.0108.7108.3
Missouri99.199.2100.399.5
Vanderbilt93.392.791.892.6
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
L S U123.2122.5125.8123.8
Alabama121.4122.3123.3122.3
Auburn118.0116.6117.9117.5
Texas A&M115.7115.8115.9115.8
Miss. St.106.7106.1108.4107.1
Ole Miss104.1102.5103.8103.4
Arkansas94.795.892.494.3
SEC Averages110.4109.9110.9110.4
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
Appal. St.102.8101.9103.9102.9
Georgia Sou.92.793.794.093.5
Coastal Car.91.892.492.292.1
Troy87.089.087.387.8
Georgia St.87.887.587.787.7
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAvg
Louisiana106.2105.7106.2106.0
Arkansas St.95.796.995.696.1
S. Alabama85.186.484.885.4
UL-Monroe82.082.280.481.5
Texas St.79.079.677.378.6
SBC Averages91.091.590.991.2

Conference Ratings

#LeagueAvg
1Southeastern110.4
2Big 12105.4
3Atlantic Coast105.4
4American100.0
5Independents95.8
6Sun Belt91.2
7Conference USA85.9

This Week’s TV Schedule

Friday, September 18
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
7:00 PMESPN3Coastal CarolinaCampbell
Saturday, September 19
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
12:00 PMFoxBaylorHouston
12:00 PMESPNOklahoma St.Tulsa
12:00 PMESPN3DukeBoston College
12:00 PMESPN2Georgia St.Louisiana
12:00 PMACCPittsburghSyracuse
12:00 PMABCTulaneNavy
12:00 PMESPNUWestern KentuckyLiberty
12:00 PMESPN+CincinnatiAustin Peay
1:30 PMCBSSNMarshallAppalachian St.
2:30 PMUSANotre DameSouth Florida
3:00 PMABCGeorgia TechCentral Florida
3:30 PMESPN3North CarolinaCharlotte
3:30 PMESPN3UTSAS. F. Austin
4:00 PMACCClemsonThe Citadel
4:00 PMESPN2Georgia SouthernFlorida Atlantic
4:00 PMESPNUMiddle TennesseeTroy
6:00 PMCBSSNNorth TexasSMU
7:00 PMESPN+LouisvilleMiami (Fla.)
7:30 PMABCArkansas St.Central Arkansas
7:30 PMESPNUUL MonroeTexas St.
8:00 PMACCNC StateWeake Forest
9:00 PMESPN3UTEPAbilene Christian

August 17, 2020

Fall 2020 College Football Preseason Ratings

Welcome to the start of the potentially most dysfunctional college football season in the history of the sport.

We release this preliminary preseason power ratings submission for your entertainment purposes only.  We make no claims that our preseason ratings this year will be any more accurate than throwing darts at a wall with the names of the teams affixed in tape.  With each toss of a dart, another team that isn’t taped that well might fall onto the floor and reduce the number of teams playing by one or two or 76.

The PiRates design our power ratings so that the average FBS team rates 100.0.  Above that number, a team is better than average by their rating minus 100 points.  Below that number, a team is weaker than average by 100 points minus their rating.

When there are 100 teams in the sample size, the total number of power ratings must equal 13,000  for the average to be 100.0.  Each time a college team announced they would not field a football squad this fall, reducing the number of teams in the sample, the average had to be recalculated based on the new sample.  The only time the ratings would not change would be if the team cancelling had ratings of 100.0 for the PiRate, Mean, and Bias ratings.  Of course, no teams met that qualification, so our ratings continually changed until we made it to where we are today with 76 teams scheduled to play football this Fall and 54 teams potentially scheduled to play football in the Spring.

Additionally, most of the 76 teams will play a conference only schedule.  That makes it quite difficult to compare teams in different leagues with no inter-conference games.  It basically makes every week of the projected college season like a new preseason, because only in the preseason do our ratings reflect zero inter-conference action.  Obviously, in any year, the preseason ratings are the least accurate of the entire season.  Thus, we expect our ratings to be poor when they are used to compare a team in the Atlantic Coast Conference with a team in the Southeastern Conference.  On the bright side, with more conference games now on the schedule, in-season conference ratings should be a bit more accurate later in the year, just like they are in college basketball.

We are issuing our raw preseason ratings today in two forms.  First, we show you the 76-team sample as it is currently configured based on 76 teams continuing to plan to play football in 2020.  Next, we will show you how the season would have previewed had all 130 teams played as regularly planned.

The preseason rating you see will be recalculated before the first games are played, based on the evidence of players opting out and possibly others transferring in from schools that will not be playing.  Obviously, if Trevor Lawrence were to opt out at Clemson, the Tigers would immediately drop by several points in power rating.  And, if somehow Justin Fields was granted immediate eligibility and transferred to Notre Dame, the Irish would move up several points in power rating.  It will be a large task to keep on top of this, and then to monitor rosters during the season—–if there is a season.

Enjoy, if you can.

The New Reality–76 Team PiRate Ratings for Preseason 2020

 

PiRate Rankings 1-76

Rank

Team

Rating

1

Clemson

125.3

2

L S U

123.8

3

Alabama

122.3

4

Georgia

120.8

5

Florida

119.9

6

Auburn

117.5

7

Notre Dame

117.2

8

Oklahoma

117.0

9

Texas A&M

115.8

10

Texas

114.7

11

Oklahoma St.

113.3

12

North Carolina

111.8

13

Kentucky

110.8

14

Iowa St.

110.6

15

Louisville

110.1

16

Virginia Tech

109.9

17

UCF

109.8

18

Tennessee

109.2

19

Memphis

109.1

20

Cincinnati

109.1

21

South Carolina

108.3

22

Baylor

108.1

23

Ole Miss

107.1

24

Kansas St.

107.0

25

Florida St.

107.0

26

Virginia

106.4

27

T C U

104.3

28

Houston

103.7

29

Pittsburgh

103.6

30

Mississippi St.

103.4

31

Appalachian St.

103.2

32

Navy

103.0

33

Louisiana

102.2

34

SMU

101.7

35

BYU

101.3

36

Miami (Fla.)

101.2

37

West Virginia

100.7

38

Duke

100.2

39

Missouri

99.5

40

Boston College

99.5

41

Texas Tech

99.4

42

Wake Forest

98.7

43

Georgia Tech

98.0

44

Western Kentucky

96.7

45

Temple

96.2

46

Tulsa

96.1

47

Georgia Southern

96.0

48

Florida Int’l.

95.5

49

Syracuse

95.4

50

Marshall

95.3

51

Tulane

94.6

52

Arkansas

94.3

53

USF

94.2

54

NC State

93.6

55

U A B

93.4

56

Vanderbilt

92.6

57

Arkansas St.

92.6

58

East Carolina

91.9

59

Southern Miss.

91.3

60

Army

90.8

61

Kansas

89.5

62

Coastal Carolina

88.6

63

Middle Tennessee

87.8

64

Troy

87.8

65

Georgia St.

87.7

66

Louisiana Tech

87.4

67

Liberty

87.4

68

Charlotte

86.4

69

Rice

85.3

70

UL-Monroe

84.3

71

South Alabama

82.6

72

Florida Atlantic

81.9

73

North Texas

78.7

74

Texas St.

77.6

75

U T S A

76.3

76

U T E P

64.9

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

UCF

109.2

109.6

110.5

109.8

Memphis

110.0

108.0

109.3

109.1

Cincinnati

109.5

108.3

109.4

109.1

Houston

104.7

103.2

103.2

103.7

Navy

104.4

102.4

102.3

103.0

SMU

102.1

101.5

101.5

101.7

Temple

96.4

97.0

95.3

96.2

Tulsa

97.6

95.7

95.1

96.1

Tulane

94.8

95.0

94.1

94.6

USF

95.3

94.0

93.4

94.2

East Carolina

92.1

92.6

90.9

91.9

 

 

AAC Averages

101.5

100.7

100.4

100.9

 

 

 

Atlantic Coast Conference

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Clemson

123.6

124.5

127.8

125.3

Notre Dame

117.5

116.5

117.7

117.2

North Carolina

111.3

111.5

112.5

111.8

Louisville

110.3

110.9

109.1

110.1

Virginia Tech

109.2

109.2

111.3

109.9

Florida St.

107.4

105.8

107.7

107.0

Virginia

106.6

106.1

106.3

106.4

Pittsburgh

102.9

104.7

103.1

103.6

Miami (Fla.)

100.3

103.0

100.3

101.2

Duke

100.3

101.0

99.5

100.2

Boston College

99.6

99.3

99.6

99.5

Wake Forest

98.4

99.6

98.1

98.7

Georgia Tech

98.7

98.0

97.3

98.0

Syracuse

94.3

96.6

95.1

95.4

NC State

93.5

93.7

93.6

93.6

 

 

ACC Averages

104.9

105.4

105.3

105.2

 

 

 

Big 12 Conference

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Oklahoma

116.9

116.9

117.1

117.0

Texas

115.2

113.6

115.3

114.7

Oklahoma St.

113.4

112.8

113.6

113.3

Iowa St.

110.9

110.2

110.7

110.6

Baylor

108.0

108.1

108.2

108.1

Kansas St.

107.4

106.0

107.5

107.0

T C U

105.0

102.8

105.1

104.3

West Virginia

100.6

100.7

100.7

100.7

Texas Tech

99.7

98.5

99.9

99.4

Kansas

89.8

90.0

88.5

89.5

 

 

Big 12 Averages

106.7

106.0

106.7

106.5

 

 

 

Conference USA

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Western Kentucky

96.0

97.1

97.0

96.7

Florida Int’l.

95.4

95.2

95.8

95.5

Marshall

95.9

95.5

94.6

95.3

U A B

93.3

94.0

93.0

93.4

Southern Miss.

91.1

91.6

91.2

91.3

Middle Tennessee

87.5

88.1

87.8

87.8

Louisiana Tech

86.5

88.0

87.7

87.4

Charlotte

86.2

86.5

86.3

86.4

Rice

86.2

84.2

85.6

85.3

Florida Atlantic

81.3

83.0

81.4

81.9

North Texas

78.1

79.3

78.5

78.7

U T S A

76.6

76.3

75.9

76.3

U T E P

64.0

67.0

63.6

64.9

 

 

CUSA Averages

86.0

86.6

86.0

86.2

 

 

 

FBS Independents

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

BYU

101.9

100.4

101.5

101.3

Army

90.1

92.5

89.8

90.8

Liberty

86.2

89.1

86.8

87.4

 

 

Indep. Averages

92.7

94.0

92.7

93.2

 

 

 

Southeastern Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Georgia

121.1

119.4

121.9

120.8

Florida

119.7

119.3

120.8

119.9

Kentucky

110.3

110.5

111.5

110.8

Tennessee

109.1

109.0

109.6

109.2

South Carolina

109.3

107.0

108.7

108.3

Missouri

99.1

99.2

100.3

99.5

Vanderbilt

93.3

92.7

91.8

92.6

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

L S U

123.2

122.5

125.8

123.8

Alabama

121.4

122.3

123.3

122.3

Auburn

118.0

116.6

117.9

117.5

Texas A&M

115.7

115.8

115.9

115.8

Ole Miss

106.7

106.1

108.4

107.1

Mississippi St.

104.1

102.5

103.8

103.4

Arkansas

94.7

95.8

92.4

94.3

 

 

SEC Averages

110.4

109.9

110.9

110.4

 

 

 

Sunbelt Conference

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Appalachian St.

103.0

102.1

104.4

103.2

Georgia Southern

95.2

96.2

96.5

96.0

Coastal Carolina

88.3

88.9

88.7

88.6

Troy

87.0

89.0

87.3

87.8

Georgia St.

87.8

87.5

87.7

87.7

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Louisiana

102.5

101.9

102.3

102.2

Arkansas St.

92.0

94.1

91.6

92.6

UL-Monroe

84.7

84.9

83.2

84.3

South Alabama

82.8

84.1

80.9

82.6

Texas St.

78.0

78.9

76.0

77.6

 

 

Sun Averages

90.1

90.7

89.9

90.2

 

Conference Ranking

SEC

110.4

B12

106.5

ACC

105.2

AAC

100.9

Ind

93.2

SUN

90.2

CUSA

86.2

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What Might Have Been!

The original 130 team rankings

Rank

Team

Rating

1

Ohio St.

131.5

2

Clemson

126.7

3

L S U

125.2

4

Alabama

123.7

5

Georgia

122.2

6

Penn St.

121.6

7

Wisconsin

121.5

8

Florida

121.3

9

Auburn

118.9

10

Oregon

118.8

11

Notre Dame

118.6

12

Oklahoma

118.4

13

Texas A&M

117.2

14

Texas

116.1

15

U S C

114.9

16

Oklahoma St.

114.7

17

North Carolina

113.2

18

Minnesota

112.9

19

Iowa

112.4

20

Michigan

112.4

21

Kentucky

112.2

22

Iowa St.

112.0

23

Louisville

111.5

24

Virginia Tech

111.3

25

UCF

111.2

26

Tennessee

110.6

27

Memphis

110.5

28

Cincinnati

110.5

29

Indiana

110.0

30

Washington

109.9

31

South Carolina

109.7

32

Baylor

109.5

33

Utah

109.3

34

Ole Miss

108.5

35

Kansas St.

108.4

36

Florida St.

108.4

37

Nebraska

108.0

38

Virginia

107.8

39

California

107.6

40

Arizona St.

107.6

41

Boise St.

107.0

42

Purdue

106.3

43

T C U

105.7

44

Houston

105.1

45

Pittsburgh

105.0

46

Mississippi St.

104.8

47

Washington St.

104.7

48

Appalachian St.

104.6

49

Navy

104.4

50

Northwestern

104.0

51

Illinois

103.9

52

Stanford

103.8

53

Louisiana

103.6

54

SMU

103.1

55

BYU

102.7

56

Michigan St.

102.7

57

Oregon St.

102.6

58

Miami (Fla.)

102.6

59

West Virginia

102.1

60

Duke

101.6

61

U C L A

101.0

62

Missouri

100.9

63

Boston College

100.9

64

Texas Tech

100.8

65

Arizona

100.4

66

Wake Forest

100.1

67

Air Force

100.0

68

Georgia Tech

99.4

69

Western Kentucky

98.1

70

Wyoming

97.9

71

Temple

97.6

72

Tulsa

97.5

73

Colorado

97.4

74

Georgia Southern

97.4

75

Buffalo

97.1

76

Florida Atlantic

96.9

77

Syracuse

96.8

78

Marshall

96.7

79

San Diego St.

96.6

80

Tulane

96.0

81

Arkansas

95.7

82

USF

95.6

83

Ohio

95.1

84

NC State

95.0

85

Rutgers

94.9

86

U A B

94.8

87

Hawaii

94.3

88

Maryland

94.2

89

Vanderbilt

94.0

90

Arkansas St.

94.0

91

Miami (Ohio)

93.9

92

East Carolina

93.3

93

Fresno St.

93.2

94

Utah St.

93.1

95

Central Michigan

93.0

96

Southern Miss.

92.7

97

Ball St.

92.5

98

Army

92.2

99

Colorado St.

91.4

100

Nevada

90.9

101

Kansas

90.9

102

Western Michigan

90.2

103

Coastal Carolina

90.0

104

Kent St.

89.6

105

San Jose St.

89.5

106

Middle Tennessee

89.2

107

Troy

89.2

108

Georgia St.

89.1

109

Louisiana Tech

88.8

110

Liberty

88.8

111

Toledo

88.7

112

Charlotte

87.8

113

Rice

86.7

114

UL-Monroe

85.7

115

South Alabama

84.0

116

U N L V

83.7

117

Northern Illinois

83.5

118

New Mexico

83.4

119

Florida Int’l.

83.3

120

Eastern Michigan

83.1

121

Old Dominion

81.7

122

Connecticut

81.4

123

North Texas

80.1

124

Texas St.

79.0

125

U T S A

77.7

126

New Mexico St.

76.5

127

Bowling Green

73.6

128

Akron

73.3

129

U T E P

66.3

130

UMass

65.7

 

Justin Fields, we feel for you, sir.  This looked like the year your Buckeyes were the class of college football, but we’ll never know what might have been.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

August 16, 2020

College Football Update

Welcome back to the PiRate Ship.  We hope we have now plugged all the leaks onboard, and our vessel is seaworthy for the potential 9-month long, two-part football season.

As of this morning, 76 FBS football teams plan to play football in the Fall, and 54 FBS football teams hope to play in the Spring.

After working many hours more than in a typical season, the Bucs onboard our PiRate Ship have finally calculated the ratings for all 130 teams.

There is a fly in the ointment here.  Our annual ratings are based on a par score of 100.0.  In other words, if you total the ratings for the 130 teams, the PiRate, Mean, and Bias ratings should each total to 13,000.  How can the ratings adjust to par if 54 teams play no games every week until at least February, while 76 teams do play?  Should we then adjust our ratings so that the 76 teams playing total to 7,600?  Doing so, would require changing all the ratings, so that one group totaled 7,600 and another group totaled 5,400.

Ah, but there’s more to this than meets the eyes.  Most of these teams will play a conference only schedule.  How can a computer algorithm properly compare a team in the Atlantic Coast Conference with a team in the Southeastern Conference if there are no inter-conference games?

For many years, Major League Baseball had no inter-league play.  The best team in the American League and the best team in the National League had no common opponents.  The 1954 New York Giants won 13 fewer games than the 1954 Cleveland Indians.  The baseball media believed this World Series could be over in the minimum four games.  They were 100% correct that it took just four games to decide the Series, but the wrong team won the four games.  Other than the Yankees and White Sox, the rest of the AL was about as weak as it has ever been in a non-World War season.   The NL was six-deep in quality that year, and the 6th place St. Louis Cardinals were talented enough to be a first division team in the AL.

With 16 total teams, it may be somewhat possible to compare any eight with any other eight when the two pairs of  eight never play.  That is not possible with 130 or 76 or 54 teams.  Our ratings may need to be adjusted so that each conference averages 100.0.  But, then where would that leave Brigham Young, Army, and Liberty?  These three Independents plan to play some number of games.  How can we possibly make these three teams total 300.0 and then play games against other teams in leagues that average 100.0?

That is where we are at the present time.  Our conclusion today, thanks to the evil Covid-19, Corona, is that we will release separate preseason ratings, three different ways.

Our first set of PiRate, Mean, and Bias ratings will show you all 130 teams rated just like Covid never existed.

Our second set of PiRate, Mean, and Bias ratings will show you the 76 teams playing this Fall.  If any of the remaining 54 teams actually play in the Spring, we will be here to rate those teams the best way we know how.

Our third set of PiRate, Mean, and Bias ratings will show you the rating of teams within their own conference sampling.

Here’s an example, using a rating for State U.

Their normal preseason ratings might be

PiRate: 109.7

Mean: 108.9

Bias: 110.1

Let’s say State U plays in one of the 76 teams that plan to play this Fall.  After removing the ratings of the 54 teams not playing this fall, State U’s preseason ratings will no doubt change, because the exact average of those 54 teams will not be 100.0.  Let’s say that the 54 teams opting out due to Corona average 97.4.  The average of the remaining 76 teams is now 101.8.  Reducing that average to 100.0 might now adjust State U’s ratings to:

PiRate: 107.7

Mean:  106.9

Bias: 108.1

Let’s say that State U plays in the ACC, which will now have Notre Dame playing a full conference schedule this year.  The 15-team league will need to sum up to 1500.0 in all three ratings.  Normally, the ACC might have begun the preseason with a conference average of 110.0, or basically 10-points stronger than an average team.  Now State U’s ratings against a closed league of 15 ACC teams would have to be adjusted to:

PiRate: 99.7

Mean: 99.0

Bias: 100.1

So what ratings would we go with in this unique scenario?  We can submit the regular ratings before the first game is ever played, because nothing would be different in this regard.  Nobody has played a game, so the preseason ratings would be the same.  Definitely, we realize that with limited or no Spring Practice and with assumed 2-deep Depth Charts considerably less accurate than in past years, these ratings cannot be as accurate as past seasons.

If we wait until all 76 teams’ schedules are in place and then adjust the ratings so that every team will be rated on the same scale, then what happens when on Tuesday of a game week, one team has to quarantine and schedule somebody not rated on the same scale?  For instance, let’s say Florida State is scheduled to play North Carolina State, and the Wolf Pack has to cancel due to 20 positive cases.  What if at the same time Florida’s scheduled game with Vanderbilt is also postponed, because the Commodores must cancel.  Might a Florida State versus Florida game be scheduled on the quick?

Our final conclusion is to go with a 76-team ratings’ release that sum as close to 7600 for each rating and then to go with a different 54-team ratings’ release in the Spring, assuming the Spring actually does feature those 54 teams.

Monday afternoon Eastern Time, we will reveal our raw preseason ratings for the entire 130 teams and then separate ratings for the 76-team field, as well as ratings for teams by each conference.  We will then go with the 76-team format for the Fall season.

There will be no conference previews.  We will release ratings and pointspreads for weekly games, hoping that we can keep up with whatever alterations are made to the schedule.  We are sailing into the Corona Triangle this year.  Let’s hope we can get through it to the other side.

Note: In our few hours of spare time, we have been working on a tabletop football game with NFL teams and with college teams.  If you remember the old Avalon Hill/Sports Illustrated games that once existed, our games will be similar but different.  If we ever determine them to be marketable, you will not need the specialized 10-39 dice used by AH/SI.  Regular, 6-sided dice will work.  Hopefully, we will have the first set available to be purchased at a ridiculously cheap price with the chance to purchase future sets at additionally ridiculously cheap prices.  By sending out the charts in PDF form for you to print, we can sell the game for less than $10.  That is if we ever get any of the sets finished.  We have been working on three different sets–a 32-team Best of NFL by franchise from 2000 to 2019; the same best of for each SEC team between 2000 & 2019; and the best of for each Big Ten team between 2000 & 2019.  In the works in the future will be best of teams from each Major Conference between 2000 & 2019, as well as the best of NFL (and AFL) from 1960 to 1979, and from 1940 to 1959.

January 11, 2019

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Preview for January 12-13, 2019

This Weekend’s PiRate Ratings Spreads for Power Conferences and Top 25 Teams

Saturday’s Games

Home Team Visitor Spread
Clemson Virginia -6.6
North Carolina Louisville 12.1
North Carolina St. Pittsburgh 11.8
Notre Dame Boston College 6.5
Florida St. Duke -8
Miami (Fla.) Wake Forest 9.7
Syracuse Georgia Tech 8.7
Temple South Florida 9.6
SMU Tulsa 5.8
Houston Wichita St. 11.2
Cincinnati Connecticut 9.8
Iowa St. Kansas St. 9.3
West Virginia Oklahoma St. 6.9
Texas Texas Tech -2.1
Oklahoma TCU 4.2
Baylor Kansas -4.4
Georgetown Providence 2.0
Marquette Seton Hall 5.9
St. John’s DePaul 9.8
Minnesota Rutgers 6.0
Iowa Ohio St. 1.5
San Jose St. Boise St. -12.0
Air Force San Diego St. -7.8
Colorado St. New Mexico -1.3
Wyoming Utah St. -12.1
Fresno St. Nevada -3.5
Stanford Arizona St. -4.0
Utah Washington St. 6.9
Colorado Washington 0.5
California Arizona -8.7
Mississippi St. Ole Miss 4.7
South Carolina Missouri 2.7
Alabama Texas A&M 5.8
Auburn Georgia 12.5
Florida Tennessee -2.8
Arkansas LSU 0.9
Kentucky Vanderbilt 11.8
San Francisco Gonzaga -8.8

 

Sunday’s Games

Home Team Visitor Spread
Xavier Butler -1.4
Creighton Villanova 1.3
Central Florida East Carolina 17.6
Penn St. Michigan St. -9.0
Tulane Memphis -8.6
Michigan Northwestern 11.0
Oregon USC 6.2
Oregon St. UCLA 2.4

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Thank yous go out to Stephanie in Orlando, Florida, and Brad in Las Vegas for both recommending that we include an alphabetical listing as well as ranking from 1-353 of all the D1 teams.  The alphabetical listing will follow the ratings by conference.

By the way, we believe this is the same Stephanie that first recommended the addition of alternating colors so she could better see the spreads on her iPhone.

If you have requests to make our site’s appearance look easier to read, please contact us through our dormant old website: https://piratings.webs.com/contactus.htm

Rk Team PiRate
1 Duke 123.8
2 Gonzaga 120.3
3 Virginia 119.9
4 Michigan St. 119.4
5 North Carolina 119.2
6 Tennessee 118.1
7 Virginia Tech 116.3
8 Michigan 116.1
9 Kansas 115.9
10 Texas Tech 115.5
11 Auburn 114.9
12 Nevada 114.5
13 Iowa St. 114.3
14 Kentucky 114.2
15 Nebraska 114.1
16 Wisconsin 114.1
17 North Carolina St. 114.0
18 Buffalo 113.3
19 Purdue 113.1
20 Oklahoma 112.9
21 Florida St. 112.8
22 Mississippi St. 112.4
23 Ohio St. 112.3
24 Florida 112.3
25 Indiana 112.3
26 Villanova 112.2
27 Maryland 112.2
28 Cincinnati 112.1
29 TCU 111.7
30 Marquette 111.6
31 Syracuse 111.4
32 Houston 111.1
33 Texas 110.9
34 Iowa 110.8
35 Louisville 110.6
36 Creighton 110.5
37 St. John’s 110.4
38 Clemson 110.3
39 Mississippi 110.2
40 Central Florida 110.1
41 Wofford 110.1
42 Saint Mary’s 110.1
43 Butler 109.8
44 LSU 109.6
45 Arizona St. 109.0
46 San Francisco 109.0
47 Oregon 108.8
48 Seton Hall 108.7
49 Kansas St. 108.5
50 Baylor 108.5
51 Utah St. 108.4
52 West Virginia 108.4
53 Arizona 108.3
54 Washington 108.2
55 Northwestern 108.1
56 Lipscomb 108.0
57 Fresno St. 108.0
58 Miami (Fla) 107.9
59 Alabama 107.8
60 Murray St. 107.7
61 Virginia Commonwealth 107.7
62 Arkansas 107.5
63 Penn St. 107.4
64 Temple 107.4
65 Minnesota 107.2
66 Dayton 107.0
67 UCLA 106.8
68 Ball St. 106.8
69 Liberty 106.7
70 East Tennessee St. 106.7
71 Notre Dame 106.4
72 Toledo 106.4
73 Providence 106.4
74 South Dakota St. 106.2
75 Oregon St. 106.2
76 Hofstra 106.2
77 Vermont 105.9
78 Vanderbilt 105.9
79 Xavier 105.9
80 New Mexico St. 105.8
81 Colorado 105.7
82 Georgia Tech 105.7
83 USC 105.6
84 BYU 105.4
85 Georgetown 105.4
86 SMU 105.4
87 Georgia 105.4
88 Missouri 105.3
89 Western Kentucky 105.3
90 Connecticut 105.3
91 Belmont 105.3
92 Pittsburgh 105.2
93 Davidson 105.2
94 Loyola Chi 105.2
95 Yale 105.2
96 Texas A&M 105.0
97 Oklahoma St. 105.0
98 South Carolina 105.0
99 Georgia St. 104.9
100 Furman 104.9
101 Old Dominion 104.9
102 San Diego 104.8
103 Rhode Island 104.8
104 Memphis 104.7
105 Rutgers 104.7
106 Illinois 104.4
107 Saint Louis 104.4
108 Harvard 104.4
109 Northern Kentucky 104.4
110 Grand Canyon 104.2
111 Akron 104.1
112 UNC Greensboro 103.9
113 Penn 103.8
114 Northeastern 103.7
115 UC Irvine 103.7
116 San Diego St. 103.7
117 Texas St. 103.7
118 North Texas 103.6
119 DePaul 103.6
120 Georgia Southern 103.5
121 Charleston 103.5
122 Austin Peay 103.4
123 Boston College 103.4
124 Boise St. 103.4
125 Montana 103.4
126 Wichita St. 102.9
127 Tulsa 102.6
128 Brown 102.4
129 Southern Illinois 102.4
130 UC Santa Barbara 102.2
131 Jacksonville St. 102.2
132 Utah Valley 102.2
133 Marshall 102.1
134 George Mason 102.1
135 Utah 102.1
136 Stanford 102.0
137 Drake 102.0
138 Louisiana Tech 102.0
139 Northern Illinois 101.9
140 Radford 101.9
141 Loyola Marymount 101.9
142 UNLV 101.5
143 Lehigh 101.4
144 Winthrop 101.3
145 Bucknell 101.3
146 Stony Brook 101.2
147 Gardner Webb 101.1
148 Rider 101.0
149 Louisiana Monroe 101.0
150 Bowling Green 100.9
151 St. Bonaventure 100.8
152 South Florida 100.8
153 Wake Forest 100.7
154 Massachusetts 100.7
155 New Mexico 100.6
156 Purdue Fort Wayne 100.6
157 Valparaiso 100.6
158 Kent St. 100.5
159 Central Michigan 100.5
160 Northern Colorado 100.4
161 Wright St. 100.4
162 Seattle 100.4
163 Louisiana 100.3
164 NJIT 100.2
165 Southern Miss 100.2
166 Holy Cross 100.1
167 Samford 100.0
168 Cal St. Fullerton 99.7
169 Saint Joseph’s 99.6
170 Coastal Carolina 99.6
171 Colgate 99.6
172 Evansville 99.5
173 Princeton 99.5
174 Weber St. 99.5
175 Mercer 99.5
176 UAB 99.4
177 Duquesne 99.4
178 Abilene Christian 99.3
179 Richmond 99.2
180 Illinois St. 99.1
181 Miami (O) 99.0
182 Pacific 98.8
183 IUPUI 98.7
184 Cal St. Bakersfield 98.7
185 Green Bay 98.7
186 Texas Southern 98.7
187 Missouri St. 98.6
188 Indiana St. 98.5
189 Ohio 98.3
190 Pepperdine 98.3
191 Omaha 98.2
192 American 98.2
193 Hawaii 98.2
194 Washington St. 98.2
195 William & Mary 98.1
196 Bradley 98.0
197 Eastern Michigan 97.9
198 Hartford 97.9
199 North Dakota St. 97.8
200 Troy 97.7
201 The Citadel 97.6
202 Northern Iowa 97.5
203 North Florida 97.5
204 Long Beach St. 97.5
205 Dartmouth 97.5
206 Florida Atlantic 97.4
207 UTSA 97.4
208 Western Michigan 97.4
209 Iona 97.2
210 South Dakota 97.2
211 South Alabama 97.2
212 Appalachian St. 97.1
213 Fordham 97.1
214 Boston U 97.0
215 Santa Clara 97.0
216 Stephen F. Austin 96.9
217 Campbell 96.8
218 Illinois Chicago 96.8
219 Canisius 96.8
220 Colorado St. 96.8
221 La Salle 96.7
222 Hampton 96.7
223 High Point 96.7
224 Columbia 96.6
225 California 96.6
226 Delaware 96.6
227 Lamar 96.4
228 Wagner 96.3
229 Florida Int’l. 96.3
230 Cal Baptist 96.3
231 Detroit 96.2
232 UNC Wilmington 96.2
233 Presbyterian 96.2
234 Oakland 96.2
235 Marist 96.1
236 Maryland-Balt. Co. 96.0
237 Fairleigh Dickinson 96.0
238 Fairfield 95.9
239 Little Rock 95.8
240 St. Francis PA 95.8
241 Sam Houston St. 95.8
242 UC Davis 95.7
243 George Washington 95.6
244 Quinnipiac 95.6
245 East Carolina 95.5
246 Cornell 95.5
247 Eastern Kentucky 95.4
248 UT Rio Grande Valley 95.3
249 Army 95.2
250 UT Arlington 95.2
251 Long Island 95.2
252 Charleston Southern 95.2
253 Idaho St. 95.2
254 James Madison 95.1
255 Drexel 95.1
256 UMKC 95.0
257 UTEP 95.0
258 Arkansas St. 94.9
259 Robert Morris 94.9
260 UMass Lowell 94.8
261 Morehead St. 94.6
262 North Dakota 94.6
263 Florida Gulf Coast 94.5
264 Portland St. 94.5
265 Sacramento St. 94.4
266 Siena 94.4
267 Sacred Heart 94.3
268 Jacksonville 94.3
269 Towson 94.3
270 Montana St. 94.2
271 St. Francis BKN 94.1
272 Houston Baptist 94.1
273 North Carolina Central 93.9
274 Cleveland St. 93.9
275 Eastern Washington 93.9
276 Norfolk St. 93.9
277 Longwood 93.6
278 Nicholls St. 93.6
279 Chattanooga 93.6
280 Tulane 93.6
281 Albany 93.6
282 Middle Tennessee 93.5
283 Texas A&M CC 93.4
284 Air Force 93.4
285 Saint Peter’s 93.4
286 Niagara 93.4
287 Southern Utah 93.3
288 Prairie View A&M 93.3
289 Western Illinois 93.3
290 New Orleans 93.1
291 Milwaukee 93.1
292 Southeast Missouri St. 93.1
293 Central Connecticut 93.0
294 Monmouth 93.0
295 Oral Roberts 92.9
296 Lafayette 92.9
297 Howard 92.9
298 Eastern Illinois 92.8
299 UC Riverside 92.8
300 Wyoming 92.8
301 Central Arkansas 92.8
302 Rice 92.7
303 Tennessee St. 92.5
304 Navy 92.4
305 Loyola MD 92.3
306 Youngstown St. 92.3
307 McNeese St. 92.3
308 Grambling 92.2
309 Northern Arizona 91.9
310 Tennessee Martin 91.9
311 North Carolina A&T 91.9
312 Portland 91.9
313 Charlotte 91.8
314 Western Carolina 91.8
315 Cal St. Northridge 91.6
316 Bethune Cookman 91.6
317 Denver 91.5
318 Cal Poly 91.4
319 Alabama St. 91.1
320 Southeastern Louisiana 91.1
321 Binghamton 90.8
322 Idaho 90.7
323 USC Upstate 90.6
324 Manhattan 90.2
325 Tennessee Tech 90.2
326 Arkansas Pine Bluff 90.0
327 Morgan St. 89.9
328 SIU Edwardsville 89.9
329 Bryant 89.9
330 Elon 89.7
331 VMI 89.6
332 Mount St. Mary’s 89.6
333 Maine 89.4
334 Florida A&M 89.1
335 San Jose St. 88.9
336 Jackson St. 88.9
337 North Alabama 88.9
338 South Carolina St. 88.6
339 New Hampshire 88.4
340 Southern 87.8
341 Incarnate Word 87.1
342 Stetson 86.8
343 Northwestern St. 86.1
344 Kennesaw St. 85.9
345 Alcorn St. 85.8
346 UNC Asheville 84.9
347 Alabama A&M 84.8
348 Coppin St. 84.8
349 Savannah St. 84.1
350 Mississippi Valley St. 83.5
351 Maryland Eastern Shore 82.7
352 Chicago St. 82.3
353 Delaware St. 81.3

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference

America East

Vermont 105.9
Stony Brook 101.2
Hartford 97.9
Maryland-Balt. Co. 96.0
UMass Lowell 94.8
Albany 93.6
Binghamton 90.8
Maine 89.4
New Hampshire 88.4
 

American Athletic

Cincinnati 112.1
Houston 111.1
Central Florida 110.1
Temple 107.4
SMU 105.4
Connecticut 105.3
Memphis 104.7
Wichita St. 102.9
Tulsa 102.6
South Florida 100.8
East Carolina 95.5
Tulane 93.6
 

Atlantic 10

Virginia Commonwealth 107.7
Dayton 107.0
Davidson 105.2
Rhode Island 104.8
Saint Louis 104.4
George Mason 102.1
St. Bonaventure 100.8
Massachusetts 100.7
Saint Joseph’s 99.6
Duquesne 99.4
Richmond 99.2
Fordham 97.1
La Salle 96.7
George Washington 95.6
 

Atlantic Coast

Duke 123.8
Virginia 119.9
North Carolina 119.2
Virginia Tech 116.3
North Carolina St. 114.0
Florida St. 112.8
Syracuse 111.4
Louisville 110.6
Clemson 110.3
Miami (Fla) 107.9
Notre Dame 106.4
Georgia Tech 105.7
Pittsburgh 105.2
Boston College 103.4
Wake Forest 100.7
 

Atlantic Sun

Lipscomb 108.0
Liberty 106.7
NJIT 100.2
North Florida 97.5
Florida Gulf Coast 94.5
Jacksonville 94.3
North Alabama 88.9
Stetson 86.8
Kennesaw St. 85.9
 

Big 12

Kansas 115.9
Texas Tech 115.5
Iowa St. 114.3
Oklahoma 112.9
TCU 111.7
Texas 110.9
Kansas St. 108.5
Baylor 108.5
West Virginia 108.4
Oklahoma St. 105.0
 

Big East

Villanova 112.2
Marquette 111.6
Creighton 110.5
St. John’s 110.4
Butler 109.8
Seton Hall 108.7
Providence 106.4
Xavier 105.9
Georgetown 105.4
DePaul 103.6
 

Big Sky

Montana 103.4
Northern Colorado 100.4
Weber St. 99.5
Idaho St. 95.2
Portland St. 94.5
Sacramento St. 94.4
Montana St. 94.2
Eastern Washington 93.9
Southern Utah 93.3
Northern Arizona 91.9
Idaho 90.7
 

Big South

Radford 101.9
Winthrop 101.3
Gardner Webb 101.1
Campbell 96.8
Hampton 96.7
High Point 96.7
Presbyterian 96.2
Charleston Southern 95.2
Longwood 93.6
USC Upstate 90.6
UNC Asheville 84.9
 

Big Ten

Michigan St. 119.4
Michigan 116.1
Nebraska 114.1
Wisconsin 114.1
Purdue 113.1
Ohio St. 112.3
Indiana 112.3
Maryland 112.2
Iowa 110.8
Northwestern 108.1
Penn St. 107.4
Minnesota 107.2
Rutgers 104.7
Illinois 104.4
 

Big West

UC Irvine 103.7
UC Santa Barbara 102.2
Cal St. Fullerton 99.7
Hawaii 98.2
Long Beach St. 97.5
UC Davis 95.7
UC Riverside 92.8
Cal St. Northridge 91.6
Cal Poly 91.4
 

Colonial Athletic

Hofstra 106.2
Northeastern 103.7
Charleston 103.5
William & Mary 98.1
Delaware 96.6
UNC Wilmington 96.2
James Madison 95.1
Drexel 95.1
Towson 94.3
Elon 89.7
 

Conference USA

Western Kentucky 105.3
Old Dominion 104.9
North Texas 103.6
Marshall 102.1
Louisiana Tech 102.0
Southern Miss 100.2
UAB 99.4
Florida Atlantic 97.4
UTSA 97.4
Florida Int’l. 96.3
UTEP 95.0
Middle Tennessee 93.5
Rice 92.7
Charlotte 91.8
 

Horizon

Northern Kentucky 104.4
Wright St. 100.4
IUPUI 98.7
Green Bay 98.7
Illinois Chicago 96.8
Detroit 96.2
Oakland 96.2
Cleveland St. 93.9
Milwaukee 93.1
Youngstown St. 92.3
 

Ivy

Yale 105.2
Harvard 104.4
Penn 103.8
Brown 102.4
Princeton 99.5
Dartmouth 97.5
Columbia 96.6
Cornell 95.5
 

Metro Atlantic

Rider 101.0
Iona 97.2
Canisius 96.8
Marist 96.1
Fairfield 95.9
Quinnipiac 95.6
Siena 94.4
Saint Peter’s 93.4
Niagara 93.4
Monmouth 93.0
Manhattan 90.2
 

Mid-American

Buffalo 113.3
Ball St. 106.8
Toledo 106.4
Akron 104.1
Northern Illinois 101.9
Bowling Green 100.9
Kent St. 100.5
Central Michigan 100.5
Miami (O) 99.0
Ohio 98.3
Eastern Michigan 97.9
Western Michigan 97.4
 

Mideastern Athletic

North Carolina Central 93.9
Norfolk St. 93.9
Howard 92.9
North Carolina A&T 91.9
Bethune Cookman 91.6
Morgan St. 89.9
Florida A&M 89.1
South Carolina St. 88.6
Coppin St. 84.8
Savannah St. 84.1
Maryland Eastern Shore 82.7
Delaware St. 81.3
 

Missouri Valley

Loyola Chi 105.2
Southern Illinois 102.4
Drake 102.0
Valparaiso 100.6
Evansville 99.5
Illinois St. 99.1
Missouri St. 98.6
Indiana St. 98.5
Bradley 98.0
Northern Iowa 97.5
 

Mountain West

Nevada 114.5
Utah St. 108.4
Fresno St. 108.0
San Diego St. 103.7
Boise St. 103.4
UNLV 101.5
New Mexico 100.6
Colorado St. 96.8
Air Force 93.4
Wyoming 92.8
San Jose St. 88.9
 

Northeast

Wagner 96.3
Fairleigh Dickinson 96.0
St. Francis PA 95.8
Long Island 95.2
Robert Morris 94.9
Sacred Heart 94.3
St. Francis BKN 94.1
Central Connecticut 93.0
Bryant 89.9
Mount St. Mary’s 89.6
 

Ohio Valley

Murray St. 107.7
Belmont 105.3
Austin Peay 103.4
Jacksonville St. 102.2
Eastern Kentucky 95.4
Morehead St. 94.6
Southeast Missouri St. 93.1
Eastern Illinois 92.8
Tennessee St. 92.5
Tennessee Martin 91.9
Tennessee Tech 90.2
SIU Edwardsville 89.9
 

Pac-12

Arizona St. 109.0
Oregon 108.8
Arizona 108.3
Washington 108.2
UCLA 106.8
Oregon St. 106.2
Colorado 105.7
USC 105.6
Utah 102.1
Stanford 102.0
Washington St. 98.2
California 96.6
 

Patriot

Lehigh 101.4
Bucknell 101.3
Holy Cross 100.1
Colgate 99.6
American 98.2
Boston U 97.0
Army 95.2
Lafayette 92.9
Navy 92.4
Loyola MD 92.3
 

Southeastern

Tennessee 118.1
Auburn 114.9
Kentucky 114.2
Mississippi St. 112.4
Florida 112.3
Mississippi 110.2
LSU 109.6
Alabama 107.8
Arkansas 107.5
Vanderbilt 105.9
Georgia 105.4
Missouri 105.3
Texas A&M 105.0
South Carolina 105.0
 

Southern

Wofford 110.1
East Tennessee St. 106.7
Furman 104.9
UNC Greensboro 103.9
Samford 100.0
Mercer 99.5
The Citadel 97.6
Chattanooga 93.6
Western Carolina 91.8
VMI 89.6
 

Southland

Abilene Christian 99.3
Stephen F. Austin 96.9
Lamar 96.4
Sam Houston St. 95.8
Houston Baptist 94.1
Nicholls St. 93.6
Texas A&M CC 93.4
New Orleans 93.1
Central Arkansas 92.8
McNeese St. 92.3
Southeastern Louisiana 91.1
Incarnate Word 87.1
Northwestern St. 86.1
 

Southwestern Athletic

Texas Southern 98.7
Prairie View A&M 93.3
Grambling 92.2
Alabama St. 91.1
Arkansas Pine Bluff 90.0
Jackson St. 88.9
Southern 87.8
Alcorn St. 85.8
Alabama A&M 84.8
Mississippi Valley St. 83.5
 

Summit

South Dakota St. 106.2
Purdue Fort Wayne 100.6
Omaha 98.2
North Dakota St. 97.8
South Dakota 97.2
North Dakota 94.6
Western Illinois 93.3
Oral Roberts 92.9
Denver 91.5
 

Sun Belt

Georgia St. 104.9
Texas St. 103.7
Georgia Southern 103.5
Louisiana Monroe 101.0
Louisiana 100.3
Coastal Carolina 99.6
Troy 97.7
South Alabama 97.2
Appalachian St. 97.1
Little Rock 95.8
UT Arlington 95.2
Arkansas St. 94.9
 

West Coast

Gonzaga 120.3
Saint Mary’s 110.1
San Francisco 109.0
BYU 105.4
San Diego 104.8
Loyola Marymount 101.9
Pacific 98.8
Pepperdine 98.3
Santa Clara 97.0
Portland 91.9
 

Western Athletic

New Mexico St. 105.8
Grand Canyon 104.2
Utah Valley 102.2
Seattle 100.4
Cal St. Bakersfield 98.7
Cal Baptist 96.3
UT Rio Grande Valley 95.3
UMKC 95.0
Chicago St. 82.3

 

Alphabetical Ratings

Team Rating
Abilene Christian 99.3
Air Force 93.4
Akron 104.1
Alabama 107.8
Alabama A&M 84.8
Alabama St. 91.1
Albany 93.6
Alcorn St. 85.8
American 98.2
Appalachian St. 97.1
Arizona 108.3
Arizona St. 109.0
Arkansas 107.5
Arkansas Pine Bluff 90.0
Arkansas St. 94.9
Army 95.2
Auburn 114.9
Austin Peay 103.4
Ball St. 106.8
Baylor 108.5
Belmont 105.3
Bethune Cookman 91.6
Binghamton 90.8
Boise St. 103.4
Boston College 103.4
Boston U 97.0
Bowling Green 100.9
Bradley 98.0
Brown 102.4
Bryant 89.9
Bucknell 101.3
Buffalo 113.3
Butler 109.8
BYU 105.4
Cal Baptist 96.3
Cal Poly 91.4
Cal St. Bakersfield 98.7
Cal St. Fullerton 99.7
Cal St. Northridge 91.6
California 96.6
Campbell 96.8
Canisius 96.8
Central Arkansas 92.8
Central Connecticut 93.0
Central Florida 110.1
Central Michigan 100.5
Charleston 103.5
Charleston Southern 95.2
Charlotte 91.8
Chattanooga 93.6
Chicago St. 82.3
Cincinnati 112.1
Clemson 110.3
Cleveland St. 93.9
Coastal Carolina 99.6
Colgate 99.6
Colorado 105.7
Colorado St. 96.8
Columbia 96.6
Connecticut 105.3
Coppin St. 84.8
Cornell 95.5
Creighton 110.5
Dartmouth 97.5
Davidson 105.2
Dayton 107.0
Delaware 96.6
Delaware St. 81.3
Denver 91.5
DePaul 103.6
Detroit 96.2
Drake 102.0
Drexel 95.1
Duke 123.8
Duquesne 99.4
East Carolina 95.5
East Tennessee St. 106.7
Eastern Illinois 92.8
Eastern Kentucky 95.4
Eastern Michigan 97.9
Eastern Washington 93.9
Elon 89.7
Evansville 99.5
Fairfield 95.9
Fairleigh Dickinson 96.0
Florida 112.3
Florida A&M 89.1
Florida Atlantic 97.4
Florida Gulf Coast 94.5
Florida Int’l. 96.3
Florida St. 112.8
Fordham 97.1
Fresno St. 108.0
Furman 104.9
Gardner Webb 101.1
George Mason 102.1
George Washington 95.6
Georgetown 105.4
Georgia 105.4
Georgia Southern 103.5
Georgia St. 104.9
Georgia Tech 105.7
Gonzaga 120.3
Grambling 92.2
Grand Canyon 104.2
Green Bay 98.7
Hampton 96.7
Hartford 97.9
Harvard 104.4
Hawaii 98.2
High Point 96.7
Hofstra 106.2
Holy Cross 100.1
Houston 111.1
Houston Baptist 94.1
Howard 92.9
Idaho 90.7
Idaho St. 95.2
Illinois 104.4
Illinois Chicago 96.8
Illinois St. 99.1
Incarnate Word 87.1
Indiana 112.3
Indiana St. 98.5
Iona 97.2
Iowa 110.8
Iowa St. 114.3
IUPUI 98.7
Jackson St. 88.9
Jacksonville 94.3
Jacksonville St. 102.2
James Madison 95.1
Kansas 115.9
Kansas St. 108.5
Kennesaw St. 85.9
Kent St. 100.5
Kentucky 114.2
La Salle 96.7
Lafayette 92.9
Lamar 96.4
Lehigh 101.4
Liberty 106.7
Lipscomb 108.0
Little Rock 95.8
Long Beach St. 97.5
Long Island 95.2
Longwood 93.6
Louisiana 100.3
Louisiana Monroe 101.0
Louisiana Tech 102.0
Louisville 110.6
Loyola Chi 105.2
Loyola Marymount 101.9
Loyola MD 92.3
LSU 109.6
Maine 89.4
Manhattan 90.2
Marist 96.1
Marquette 111.6
Marshall 102.1
Maryland 112.2
Maryland Eastern Shore 82.7
Maryland-Balt. Co. 96.0
Massachusetts 100.7
McNeese St. 92.3
Memphis 104.7
Mercer 99.5
Miami (Fla) 107.9
Miami (O) 99.0
Michigan 116.1
Michigan St. 119.4
Middle Tennessee 93.5
Milwaukee 93.1
Minnesota 107.2
Mississippi 110.2
Mississippi St. 112.4
Mississippi Valley St. 83.5
Missouri 105.3
Missouri St. 98.6
Monmouth 93.0
Montana 103.4
Montana St. 94.2
Morehead St. 94.6
Morgan St. 89.9
Mount St. Mary’s 89.6
Murray St. 107.7
Navy 92.4
Nebraska 114.1
Nevada 114.5
New Hampshire 88.4
New Mexico 100.6
New Mexico St. 105.8
New Orleans 93.1
Niagara 93.4
Nicholls St. 93.6
NJIT 100.2
Norfolk St. 93.9
North Alabama 88.9
North Carolina 119.2
North Carolina A&T 91.9
North Carolina Central 93.9
North Carolina St. 114.0
North Dakota 94.6
North Dakota St. 97.8
North Florida 97.5
North Texas 103.6
Northeastern 103.7
Northern Arizona 91.9
Northern Colorado 100.4
Northern Illinois 101.9
Northern Iowa 97.5
Northern Kentucky 104.4
Northwestern 108.1
Northwestern St. 86.1
Notre Dame 106.4
Oakland 96.2
Ohio 98.3
Ohio St. 112.3
Oklahoma 112.9
Oklahoma St. 105.0
Old Dominion 104.9
Omaha 98.2
Oral Roberts 92.9
Oregon 108.8
Oregon St. 106.2
Pacific 98.8
Penn 103.8
Penn St. 107.4
Pepperdine 98.3
Pittsburgh 105.2
Portland 91.9
Portland St. 94.5
Prairie View A&M 93.3
Presbyterian 96.2
Princeton 99.5
Providence 106.4
Purdue 113.1
Purdue Fort Wayne 100.6
Quinnipiac 95.6
Radford 101.9
Rhode Island 104.8
Rice 92.7
Richmond 99.2
Rider 101.0
Robert Morris 94.9
Rutgers 104.7
Sacramento St. 94.4
Sacred Heart 94.3
Saint Joseph’s 99.6
Saint Louis 104.4
Saint Mary’s 110.1
Saint Peter’s 93.4
Sam Houston St. 95.8
Samford 100.0
San Diego 104.8
San Diego St. 103.7
San Francisco 109.0
San Jose St. 88.9
Santa Clara 97.0
Savannah St. 84.1
Seattle 100.4
Seton Hall 108.7
Siena 94.4
SIU Edwardsville 89.9
SMU 105.4
South Alabama 97.2
South Carolina 105.0
South Carolina St. 88.6
South Dakota 97.2
South Dakota St. 106.2
South Florida 100.8
Southeast Missouri St. 93.1
Southeastern Louisiana 91.1
Southern 87.8
Southern Illinois 102.4
Southern Miss 100.2
Southern Utah 93.3
St. Bonaventure 100.8
St. Francis BKN 94.1
St. Francis PA 95.8
St. John’s 110.4
Stanford 102.0
Stephen F. Austin 96.9
Stetson 86.8
Stony Brook 101.2
Syracuse 111.4
TCU 111.7
Temple 107.4
Tennessee 118.1
Tennessee Martin 91.9
Tennessee St. 92.5
Tennessee Tech 90.2
Texas 110.9
Texas A&M 105.0
Texas A&M CC 93.4
Texas Southern 98.7
Texas St. 103.7
Texas Tech 115.5
The Citadel 97.6
Toledo 106.4
Towson 94.3
Troy 97.7
Tulane 93.6
Tulsa 102.6
UAB 99.4
UC Davis 95.7
UC Irvine 103.7
UC Riverside 92.8
UC Santa Barbara 102.2
UCLA 106.8
UMass Lowell 94.8
UMKC 95.0
UNC Asheville 84.9
UNC Greensboro 103.9
UNC Wilmington 96.2
UNLV 101.5
USC 105.6
USC Upstate 90.6
UT Arlington 95.2
UT Rio Grande Valley 95.3
Utah 102.1
Utah St. 108.4
Utah Valley 102.2
UTEP 95.0
UTSA 97.4
Valparaiso 100.6
Vanderbilt 105.9
Vermont 105.9
Villanova 112.2
Virginia 119.9
Virginia Commonwealth 107.7
Virginia Tech 116.3
VMI 89.6
Wagner 96.3
Wake Forest 100.7
Washington 108.2
Washington St. 98.2
Weber St. 99.5
West Virginia 108.4
Western Carolina 91.8
Western Illinois 93.3
Western Kentucky 105.3
Western Michigan 97.4
Wichita St. 102.9
William & Mary 98.1
Winthrop 101.3
Wisconsin 114.1
Wofford 110.1
Wright St. 100.4
Wyoming 92.8
Xavier 105.9
Yale 105.2
Youngstown St. 92.3

 

Note: We will add a new update rating on Mondays to reflect the weekend games.  They should be published later in the day, but usually before 6 PM Eastern Time.

The updated Ratings will be presented in a different entry from the regular Bracketology Report.

Also, continuing next week, we will present part 2 of our Fun Stuff For Stats Buffs.  We’ll show you how to calculate stats for individual players.  Then, in part 3, we will attempt to show you how to calculate offensive and defensive efficiency.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

January 4, 2019

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Preview for January 5-6, 2019

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 11:24 am

This Weekend’s PiRate Ratings For Power Conferences & Top 25

Saturday’s Games
Home Team Visitor Spread
Virginia Tech Boston College 16.1
Pittsburgh North Carolina -9.3
Notre Dame Syracuse -0.4
Georgia Tech Wake Forest 6.5
Virginia Florida St. 9.5
Duke Clemson 16.7
Texas Tech Kansas St. 11.1
Oklahoma Oklahoma St. 10.6
TCU Baylor 6.7
Iowa St. Kansas 0.3
Texas West Virginia 5.6
Butler Creighton 1.1
Georgetown St. John’s -1.6
Providence Villanova -3.1
Ohio St. Michigan St. -2.4
Rutgers Maryland -3.8
Arizona Utah 9.1
UCLA California 12.0
Arizona St. Colorado 5.3
Oregon Oregon St. 6.3
Washington Washington St. 11.0
Alabama Kentucky -3.9
Tennessee Georgia 13.2
Texas A&M Arkansas 0.6
Florida South Carolina 12.7
Vanderbilt Ole Miss 1.8
Gonzaga Santa Clara 25.8
New Mexico Nevada -12.0

 

Sunday’s Games
Home Team Visitor Spread
Marquette Xavier 7.5
DePaul Seton Hall -2.7
Northwestern Illinois 7.2
Wichita St. Temple -0.9
Michigan Indiana 6.4
Iowa Nebraska -2.2
Houston Memphis 8.6
Louisville Miami (Fla) 4.7
Penn St. Wisconsin -2.6
USC Stanford 5.7

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings 1 to 353

Rk Team PiRate
1 Duke 123.3
2 Gonzaga 119.3
3 Virginia 118.6
4 Michigan St. 118.3
5 North Carolina 117.9
6 Virginia Tech 116.7
7 Kansas 116.3
8 Nevada 115.9
9 Tennessee 115.6
10 Auburn 115.6
11 Michigan 115.6
12 Texas Tech 115.6
13 Nebraska 114.7
14 Kentucky 114.5
15 North Carolina St. 114.5
16 Iowa St. 113.6
17 Purdue 113.5
18 Wisconsin 113.1
19 Florida St. 113.1
20 Ohio St. 112.9
21 Oklahoma 112.8
22 Mississippi St. 112.7
23 Cincinnati 112.7
24 Florida 112.7
25 Villanova 112.2
26 Indiana 112.2
27 Buffalo 111.9
28 TCU 111.8
29 Creighton 111.5
30 Texas 111.1
31 Houston 111.1
32 Maryland 110.9
33 Marquette 110.8
34 Syracuse 110.7
35 Clemson 110.6
36 St. John’s 110.2
37 Louisville 110.0
38 UCF 109.5
39 LSU 109.5
40 Iowa 109.5
41 Oregon 109.4
42 Saint Mary’s 109.4
43 Wofford 109.1
44 Butler 109.1
45 San Francisco 109.0
46 Seton Hall 108.8
47 Northwestern 108.8
48 Mississippi 108.6
49 Kansas St. 108.5
50 West Virginia 108.5
51 Utah St. 108.5
52 Arizona 108.4
53 Miami FL 108.3
54 Lipscomb 108.2
55 Toledo 108.2
56 Arizona St. 108.1
57 Baylor 108.1
58 Penn St. 108.0
59 Minnesota 107.9
60 Fresno St. 107.9
61 Alabama 107.6
62 Washington 107.6
63 Murray St. 107.4
64 Vanderbilt 107.4
65 Arkansas 107.3
66 Temple 107.1
67 VCU 106.9
68 Notre Dame 106.8
69 Providence 106.6
70 Ball St. 106.5
71 UCLA 106.4
72 Dayton 106.3
73 Xavier 106.3
74 Hofstra 106.2
75 Loyola Chicago 106.2
76 Missouri 106.1
77 New Mexico St. 105.9
78 BYU 105.9
79 South Dakota St. 105.9
80 Liberty 105.9
81 Colorado 105.8
82 Yale 105.7
83 SMU 105.7
84 Belmont 105.7
85 Oregon St. 105.6
86 Pittsburgh 105.6
87 USC 105.6
88 Georgetown 105.6
89 East Tennessee St. 105.5
90 Georgia 105.4
91 UNC Greensboro 105.4
92 Old Dominion 105.3
93 Connecticut 105.3
94 Davidson 105.2
95 Western Kentucky 105.2
96 Georgia Tech 105.1
97 Memphis 105.0
98 Texas A&M 104.9
99 Montana 104.8
100 San Diego 104.7
101 Saint Louis 104.7
102 Oklahoma St. 104.7
103 Rutgers 104.6
104 Rhode Island 104.4
105 Georgia St. 104.3
106 UC Irvine 104.3
107 Harvard 104.2
108 Vermont 104.2
109 San Diego St. 104.1
110 Akron 104.1
111 Illinois 104.1
112 Boston College 104.1
113 Furman 104.0
114 Penn 103.8
115 North Texas 103.8
116 DePaul 103.6
117 Grand Canyon 103.6
118 Texas St. 103.6
119 South Carolina 103.5
120 Northeastern 103.5
121 Northern Kentucky 103.5
122 Wichita St. 103.2
123 Georgia Southern 103.1
124 Louisiana Tech 102.8
125 Tulsa 102.8
126 Austin Peay 102.7
127 Boise St. 102.5
128 Marshall 102.5
129 Jacksonville St. 102.5
130 UCSB 102.4
131 Southern Illinois 102.4
132 Stanford 102.4
133 Utah 102.3
134 Radford 102.3
135 Saint Joseph’s 102.2
136 Utah Valley 102.2
137 Brown 102.0
138 Drake 101.9
139 Loyola Marymount 101.8
140 George Mason 101.7
141 Rider 101.5
142 Bucknell 101.5
143 Kent St. 101.5
144 Gardner Webb 101.5
145 Charleston 101.4
146 UMass 101.3
147 Winthrop 101.1
148 Northern Colorado 101.1
149 Wake Forest 101.1
150 UNLV 100.8
151 Lehigh 100.8
152 Holy Cross 100.7
153 Seattle 100.6
154 Weber St. 100.6
155 Richmond 100.5
156 Northern Illinois 100.5
157 Stony Brook 100.5
158 Louisiana 100.5
159 Louisiana Monroe 100.4
160 Samford 100.3
161 Miami OH 100.3
162 St. Bonaventure 100.1
163 Purdue Fort Wayne 100.1
164 Cal St. Fullerton 100.1
165 South Florida 100.1
166 NJIT 100.1
167 Southern Miss 100.1
168 Coastal Carolina 100.0
169 Wright St. 99.9
170 New Mexico 99.9
171 Ohio 99.6
172 Indiana St. 99.6
173 Central Michigan 99.5
174 Green Bay 99.5
175 Abilene Christian 99.4
176 Colgate 99.4
177 Duquesne 99.4
178 Princeton 99.3
179 Valparaiso 99.3
180 Mercer 99.2
181 Washington St. 99.1
182 UAB 99.1
183 Charleston Southern 99.1
184 Pacific 99.0
185 Illinois St. 99.0
186 Evansville 98.8
187 Bowling Green 98.7
188 Missouri St. 98.6
189 Cal St. Bakersfield 98.4
190 Bradley 98.4
191 Troy 98.4
192 American 98.4
193 IUPUI 98.4
194 The Citadel 98.2
195 Omaha 98.2
196 Hartford 98.1
197 Appalachian St. 98.1
198 Pepperdine 98.0
199 Texas Southern 97.9
200 South Dakota 97.9
201 Fordham 97.9
202 Northern Iowa 97.7
203 California Baptist 97.7
204 Western Michigan 97.7
205 Hawaii 97.6
206 North Dakota St. 97.6
207 Wagner 97.6
208 Eastern Michigan 97.6
209 Santa Clara 97.5
210 Iona 97.5
211 Florida International 97.5
212 Stephen F. Austin 97.5
213 William & Mary 97.4
214 Dartmouth 97.4
215 Boston University 97.2
216 Oakland 97.1
217 South Alabama 97.1
218 Lamar 97.1
219 UTSA 97.0
220 North Florida 97.0
221 Illinois Chicago 97.0
222 California 96.9
223 Canisius 96.9
224 Long Beach St. 96.8
225 St. Francis PA 96.8
226 Columbia 96.7
227 Presbyterian 96.6
228 UNC Wilmington 96.5
229 Florida Atlantic 96.5
230 Hampton 96.4
231 Detroit 96.3
232 Idaho St. 96.3
233 Campbell 96.2
234 High Point 96.1
235 Delaware 96.0
236 UMBC 95.9
237 Fairfield 95.9
238 Marist 95.8
239 Colorado St. 95.7
240 UMass Lowell 95.6
241 Florida Gulf Coast 95.5
242 LIU Brooklyn 95.5
243 Little Rock 95.5
244 Fairleigh Dickinson 95.5
245 La Salle 95.5
246 Quinnipiac 95.4
247 UC Davis 95.4
248 UTEP 95.3
249 Towson 95.3
250 Drexel 95.3
251 Sacramento St. 95.2
252 Cornell 95.2
253 UMKC 95.0
254 Eastern Kentucky 95.0
255 Robert Morris 94.9
256 Arkansas St. 94.9
257 Morehead St. 94.8
258 Army 94.8
259 Albany 94.8
260 Sam Houston St. 94.8
261 UT Arlington 94.8
262 Siena 94.8
263 Niagara 94.8
264 UT Rio Grande Valley 94.7
265 Western Illinois 94.6
266 James Madison 94.4
267 Houston Baptist 94.3
268 East Carolina 94.3
269 Milwaukee 94.3
270 Tulane 94.2
271 George Washington 94.2
272 Air Force 94.2
273 Middle Tennessee 94.1
274 Saint Peter’s 94.1
275 Cleveland St. 94.0
276 Norfolk St. 94.0
277 North Carolina Central 94.0
278 Nicholls St. 93.9
279 Grambling St. 93.9
280 Eastern Washington 93.9
281 Longwood 93.8
282 St. Francis NY 93.8
283 Sacred Heart 93.8
284 Chattanooga 93.7
285 Portland St. 93.7
286 Southeast Missouri St. 93.6
287 Wyoming 93.6
288 North Dakota 93.4
289 Texas A&M Corpus Chris 93.3
290 Central Arkansas 93.2
291 Loyola MD 93.2
292 Jacksonville 93.1
293 Montana St. 93.1
294 Prairie View A&M 93.1
295 Eastern Illinois 93.0
296 Oral Roberts 92.8
297 Central Connecticut 92.7
298 Denver 92.7
299 Monmouth 92.6
300 UC Riverside 92.6
301 Tennessee St. 92.5
302 McNeese St. 92.5
303 Howard 92.3
304 Southern Utah 92.3
305 Lafayette 92.2
306 UT Martin 92.2
307 New Orleans 92.2
308 Portland 92.1
309 Rice 91.9
310 Navy 91.9
311 Southeastern Louisiana 91.8
312 Bethune Cookman 91.7
313 Charlotte 91.4
314 North Carolina A&T 91.4
315 Cal Poly 91.3
316 Youngstown St. 91.2
317 Cal St. Northridge 91.2
318 Idaho 90.9
319 Northern Arizona 90.8
320 Western Carolina 90.7
321 Binghamton 90.6
322 Morgan St. 90.4
323 Manhattan 90.3
324 USC Upstate 90.2
325 Arkansas Pine Bluff 90.1
326 Maine 90.1
327 VMI 90.1
328 Elon 90.1
329 Mount St. Mary’s 90.0
330 SIU Edwardsville 90.0
331 Alabama St. 89.9
332 Bryant 89.7
333 Tennessee Tech 89.6
334 North Alabama 89.4
335 San Jose St. 89.3
336 South Carolina St. 88.9
337 New Hampshire 88.6
338 Southern 88.4
339 Jackson St. 88.1
340 Florida A&M 88.1
341 Kennesaw St. 87.1
342 Stetson 87.1
343 Incarnate Word 86.6
344 Alcorn St. 86.4
345 Northwestern St. 85.6
346 UNC Asheville 85.0
347 Maryland Eastern Shore 84.5
348 Coppin St. 84.5
349 Alabama A&M 84.3
350 Mississippi Valley St. 83.9
351 Savannah St. 83.6
352 Chicago St. 82.0
353 Delaware St. 81.6

 

PiRate Ratings By Conferences

American Athletic PiRate Rating
Cincinnati 112.7
Houston 111.1
UCF 109.5
Temple 107.1
SMU 105.7
Connecticut 105.3
Memphis 105.0
Wichita St. 103.2
Tulsa 102.8
South Florida 100.1
East Carolina 94.3
Tulane 94.2
American East PiRate Rating
Vermont 104.2
Stony Brook 100.5
Hartford 98.1
UMBC 95.9
UMass Lowell 95.6
Albany 94.8
Binghamton 90.6
Maine 90.1
New Hampshire 88.6
Atlantic 10 PiRate Rating
VCU 106.9
Dayton 106.3
Davidson 105.2
Saint Louis 104.7
Rhode Island 104.4
Saint Joseph’s 102.2
George Mason 101.7
UMass 101.3
Richmond 100.5
St. Bonaventure 100.1
Duquesne 99.4
Fordham 97.9
La Salle 95.5
George Washington 94.2
Atlantic Coast PiRate Rating
Duke 123.3
Virginia 118.6
North Carolina 117.9
Virginia Tech 116.7
North Carolina St. 114.5
Florida St. 113.1
Syracuse 110.7
Clemson 110.6
Louisville 110.0
Miami FL 108.3
Notre Dame 106.8
Pittsburgh 105.6
Georgia Tech 105.1
Boston College 104.1
Wake Forest 101.1
Atlantic Sun PiRate Rating
Lipscomb 108.2
Liberty 105.9
NJIT 100.1
North Florida 97.0
Florida Gulf Coast 95.5
Jacksonville 93.1
North Alabama 89.4
Kennesaw St. 87.1
Stetson 87.1
Big 12 PiRate Rating
Kansas 116.3
Texas Tech 115.6
Iowa St. 113.6
Oklahoma 112.8
TCU 111.8
Texas 111.1
Kansas St. 108.5
West Virginia 108.5
Baylor 108.1
Oklahoma St. 104.7
Big East PiRate Rating
Villanova 112.2
Creighton 111.5
Marquette 110.8
St. John’s 110.2
Butler 109.1
Seton Hall 108.8
Providence 106.6
Xavier 106.3
Georgetown 105.6
DePaul 103.6
Big Sky PiRate Rating
Montana 104.8
Northern Colorado 101.1
Weber St. 100.6
Idaho St. 96.3
Sacramento St. 95.2
Eastern Washington 93.9
Portland St. 93.7
Montana St. 93.1
Southern Utah 92.3
Idaho 90.9
Northern Arizona 90.8
Big South PiRate Rating
Radford 102.3
Gardner Webb 101.5
Winthrop 101.1
Charleston Southern 99.1
Presbyterian 96.6
Hampton 96.4
Campbell 96.2
High Point 96.1
Longwood 93.8
USC Upstate 90.2
UNC Asheville 85.0
Big Ten PiRate Rating
Michigan St. 118.3
Michigan 115.6
Nebraska 114.7
Purdue 113.5
Wisconsin 113.1
Ohio St. 112.9
Indiana 112.2
Maryland 110.9
Iowa 109.5
Northwestern 108.8
Penn St. 108.0
Minnesota 107.9
Rutgers 104.6
Illinois 104.1
Big West PiRate Rating
UC Irvine 104.3
UCSB 102.4
Cal St. Fullerton 100.1
Hawaii 97.6
Long Beach St. 96.8
UC Davis 95.4
UC Riverside 92.6
Cal Poly 91.3
Cal St. Northridge 91.2
Colonial Athletic PiRate Rating
Hofstra 106.2
Northeastern 103.5
Charleston 101.4
William & Mary 97.4
UNC Wilmington 96.5
Delaware 96.0
Towson 95.3
Drexel 95.3
James Madison 94.4
Elon 90.1
Conference USA PiRate Rating
Old Dominion 105.3
Western Kentucky 105.2
North Texas 103.8
Louisiana Tech 102.8
Marshall 102.5
Southern Miss 100.1
UAB 99.1
Florida International 97.5
UTSA 97.0
Florida Atlantic 96.5
UTEP 95.3
Middle Tennessee 94.1
Rice 91.9
Charlotte 91.4
Horizon PiRate Rating
Northern Kentucky 103.5
Wright St. 99.9
Green Bay 99.5
IUPUI 98.4
Oakland 97.1
Illinois Chicago 97.0
Detroit 96.3
Milwaukee 94.3
Cleveland St. 94.0
Youngstown St. 91.2
Ivy PiRate Rating
Yale 105.7
Harvard 104.2
Penn 103.8
Brown 102.0
Princeton 99.3
Dartmouth 97.4
Columbia 96.7
Cornell 95.2
Metro Atlantic PiRate Rating
Rider 101.5
Iona 97.5
Canisius 96.9
Fairfield 95.9
Marist 95.8
Quinnipiac 95.4
Siena 94.8
Niagara 94.8
Saint Peter’s 94.1
Monmouth 92.6
Manhattan 90.3
Mid-American PiRate Rating
Buffalo 111.9
Toledo 108.2
Ball St. 106.5
Akron 104.1
Kent St. 101.5
Northern Illinois 100.5
Miami OH 100.3
Ohio 99.6
Central Michigan 99.5
Bowling Green 98.7
Western Michigan 97.7
Eastern Michigan 97.6
Mideastern Athletic PiRate Rating
Norfolk St. 94.0
North Carolina Central 94.0
Howard 92.3
Bethune Cookman 91.7
North Carolina A&T 91.4
Morgan St. 90.4
South Carolina St. 88.9
Florida A&M 88.1
Maryland Eastern Shore 84.5
Coppin St. 84.5
Savannah St. 83.6
Delaware St. 81.6
Missouri Valley PiRate Rating
Loyola Chicago 106.2
Southern Illinois 102.4
Drake 101.9
Indiana St. 99.6
Valparaiso 99.3
Illinois St. 99.0
Evansville 98.8
Missouri St. 98.6
Bradley 98.4
Northern Iowa 97.7
Mountain West PiRate Rating
Nevada 115.9
Utah St. 108.5
Fresno St. 107.9
San Diego St. 104.1
Boise St. 102.5
UNLV 100.8
New Mexico 99.9
Colorado St. 95.7
Air Force 94.2
Wyoming 93.6
San Jose St. 89.3
Northeast PiRate Rating
Wagner 97.6
St. Francis PA 96.8
LIU Brooklyn 95.5
Fairleigh Dickinson 95.5
Robert Morris 94.9
St. Francis NY 93.8
Sacred Heart 93.8
Central Connecticut 92.7
Mount St. Mary’s 90.0
Bryant 89.7
Ohio Valley PiRate Rating
Murray St. 107.4
Belmont 105.7
Austin Peay 102.7
Jacksonville St. 102.5
Eastern Kentucky 95.0
Morehead St. 94.8
Southeast Missouri St. 93.6
Eastern Illinois 93.0
Tennessee St. 92.5
UT Martin 92.2
SIU Edwardsville 90.0
Tennessee Tech 89.6
Pac-12 PiRate Rating
Oregon 109.4
Arizona 108.4
Arizona St. 108.1
Washington 107.6
UCLA 106.4
Colorado 105.8
Oregon St. 105.6
USC 105.6
Stanford 102.4
Utah 102.3
Washington St. 99.1
California 96.9
Patriot PiRate Rating
Bucknell 101.5
Lehigh 100.8
Holy Cross 100.7
Colgate 99.4
American 98.4
Boston University 97.2
Army 94.8
Loyola MD 93.2
Lafayette 92.2
Navy 91.9
Southeastern PiRate Rating
Tennessee 115.6
Auburn 115.6
Kentucky 114.5
Mississippi St. 112.7
Florida 112.7
LSU 109.5
Mississippi 108.6
Alabama 107.6
Vanderbilt 107.4
Arkansas 107.3
Missouri 106.1
Georgia 105.4
Texas A&M 104.9
South Carolina 103.5
Southern PiRate Rating
Wofford 109.1
East Tennessee St. 105.5
UNC Greensboro 105.4
Furman 104.0
Samford 100.3
Mercer 99.2
The Citadel 98.2
Chattanooga 93.7
Western Carolina 90.7
VMI 90.1
Southland PiRate Rating
Abilene Christian 99.4
Stephen F. Austin 97.5
Lamar 97.1
Sam Houston St. 94.8
Houston Baptist 94.3
Nicholls St. 93.9
Texas A&M-CC 93.3
Central Arkansas 93.2
McNeese St. 92.5
New Orleans 92.2
Southeastern Louisiana 91.8
Incarnate Word 86.6
Northwestern St. 85.6
Southwestern Athletic PiRate Rating
Texas Southern 97.9
Grambling St. 93.9
Prairie View A&M 93.1
Arkansas Pine Bluff 90.1
Alabama St. 89.9
Southern 88.4
Jackson St. 88.1
Alcorn St. 86.4
Alabama A&M 84.3
Mississippi Valley St. 83.9
Summit PiRate Rating
South Dakota St. 105.9
Purdue Fort Wayne 100.1
Omaha 98.2
South Dakota 97.9
North Dakota St. 97.6
Western Illinois 94.6
North Dakota 93.4
Oral Roberts 92.8
Denver 92.7
Sun Belt PiRate Rating
Georgia St. 104.3
Texas St. 103.6
Georgia Southern 103.1
Louisiana 100.5
Louisiana Monroe 100.4
Coastal Carolina 100.0
Troy 98.4
Appalachian St. 98.1
South Alabama 97.1
Little Rock 95.5
Arkansas St. 94.9
UT Arlington 94.8
West Coast PiRate Rating
Gonzaga 119.3
Saint Mary’s 109.4
San Francisco 109.0
BYU 105.9
San Diego 104.7
Loyola Marymount 101.8
Pacific 99.0
Pepperdine 98.0
Santa Clara 97.5
Portland 92.1
Western Athletic PiRate Rating
New Mexico St. 105.9
Grand Canyon 103.6
Utah Valley 102.2
Seattle 100.6
Cal St. Bakersfield 98.4
California Baptist 97.7
UMKC 95.0
UT Rio Grande Valley 94.7
Chicago St. 82.0

 

Coming Monday or Tuesday: Our first look this season at our incredibly accurate Bracketology Gurus.  This group’s composite has picked 135 out of 136 teams in the NCAA Tournament in their two years of existence.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

June 10, 2018

The PiRates Are Hard At Work For Football Season

Hello Mates.

This is the head PiRate telling you that we have set sail and are on our way out to the green sea, otherwise known as the Football Field.

We have already begun to update our college football ratings for the 2018 season.  We have a unique way of updating our ratings from the end of the previous season to the beginning of the new season.  We have point values assigned to every starting and backup position on offense and defense plus an overall rating for the components of special teams.

For instance, as it should be obvious, the Quarterback is the most important position in college football.  So, we take special care in determining how many points better or worse each of the 130 teams is in week one compared to their final game of the year before by adding or subtracting points based on the QB.  We look at certain analytics data, just like baseball teams look at advanced statistics.  We actually have our own version of WAR for college football.  Instead of Batting, Fielding, and Pitching WAR, we have offense, defense, and special teams WAR, only instead of putting the final numbers into wins above average, we use points per game above average.  In the PiRate Ratings, a rating of 100.0 is average.  If a quarterback is worth 6.3 points better than an average QB, then before we look at the reserves, a team that is totally average at every other position would begin the season at 106.3 for this particular piece of the ratings’ puzzle.  If a quarterback has been determined to be 3.8 points below average, it would reduce the average team from 100.0 to 96.2.

On offense, the receiving corps is the next most important part of the equation, while the offensive line and running back corps are equal in importance as the last two parts.

Defensively, we look at all three units as they play against the run and the pass.  Stopping the pass is more important these days than stopping the run.  Interceptions, Passes Broken Up, Sacks, and Hurries are all parts of the Pass defense stats we look at.  We also have special ratings for nose guards that have the responsibility of taking up space and keeping blockers away from the linebackers, as these heroes of the trenches rarely show up in box scores, until one of the behemoths gets injured, and his replacement prevents the star will linebacker from making his usual 14 tackles with 2 for loss.

We have an intangible part of this equation as well.  Say a team has a change in coaches.  The old coach was a spread option or flexbone disciple, while the new coach is an air raid disciple.  It’s going to take 2-4 years to fully implement the changes, as that five foot nine inch triple option QB is not going to work as a dropback passer.

Another example in an intangible is the team that had 9 key injuries the year before, and 8 of the 9 return at 100% after missing parts or all of the year before.

In 2018, there will be a case where a potential all-star junior quarterback will transfer from one Power 5 school to another and be immediately eligible.  This will have major effects on his new team, much more than if he were the top incoming freshman in the nation.  This QB has already proven himself in a power conference, while the top incoming freshman only proved himself in Georgia high school action.  There is a difference as deep as the Grand Canyon in comparing the two, even though the incoming freshman might eventually become the next John Elway.  The seasoned starter showed what he could do when he passed for close to 350 yards against Auburn, while the freshman threw for 220 yards against Troup County High School.

This is just one piece of a 5-prong process.  We rate each team against every other team using 5 different processes.  Once we are done, we use three different algorithms to come up with a PiRate, Mean, and Bias rating for each of the 130 teams.  The PiRate and Bias differ by very little, so they will frequently be highly correlated, while the Mean rating is somewhat different than the other two, because it takes the equally-weighted average of the five ratings, while the other two apply heavier weights to some of the five components.  Because they share the exact same weighting of the prong we showed you above, these two tend to stay correlated.

We know we have a lot of advanced mathematicians reading our blog, and we are grateful for your patronage.  We try to make this more analytically dominated than you might get from other sports rating sites and even break down the fourth wall from time to time to show you what we do.

If you are not a math fan and just love football, then fear not.  We still hope to have computer ratings that are as accurate as possible, and we still will make fools of ourselves weekly to issue free picks that you can then take and gift to Las Vegas if you are foolish enough to not realize that these picks are worth exactly what you pay for them.

We have 10 weeks to go.  With a lot of late night work, we hope to have the ratings ready for you in 9 weeks max.

Thanks,

The Captain

December 7, 2015

College Football Preview–December 12, 2015

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 6:42 am

There is just one regular season FBS game remaining, and it’s the Army-Navy game this week to be played at Franklin Financial Field in Philadelphia.

 

Because our ratings rely on the results of all teams, we cannot post our bowl predictions until this game is finished. Our spreads of all 40 bowl games/playoff games will be posted after this game concludes.

This Week’s Game
         
Opponent Opponent PiRate Mean Bias
Saturday, December 12
Army Navy -27.8 -24.3 -27.6
Game to be played in Philadelphia

PiRate Ratings For This Week

PiRate Retrodictive
# Team
1 Alabama
2 Clemson
3 Oklahoma
4 Ohio St.
5 Michigan St.
6 Stanford
7 Notre Dame
8 Iowa
9 Florida St.
10 TCU
11 Ole Miss
12 North Carolina
13 Houston
14 Oklahoma St.
15 LSU
16 Oregon
17 Baylor
18 Florida
19 Northwestern
20 Michigan
21 Utah
22 USC
23 Tennessee
24 Wisconsin
25 Georgia
26 Navy
27 Memphis
28 Arkansas
29 Western Kentucky
30 Bowling Green
31 Mississippi St.
32 UCLA
33 Toledo
34 Temple
35 Texas A&M
36 BYU
37 California
38 Pittsburgh
39 West Virginia
40 Miami (Fla.)
41 Washington
42 South Florida
43 Washington St.
44 Appalachian St.
45 San Diego St.
46 Texas Tech
47 Louisville
48 Penn St.
49 North Carolina St.
50 Auburn
51 Arizona St.
52 Western Michigan
53 Boise St.
54 Virginia Tech
55 Cincinnati
56 Arkansas St.
57 Nebraska
58 Kansas St.
59 Southern Miss.
60 Indiana
61 Georgia Southern
62 Marshall
63 Duke
64 Texas
65 Northern Illinois
66 Air Force
67 Minnesota
68 Louisiana Tech
69 Illinois
70 Arizona
71 Central Michigan
72 Ohio
73 Georgia Tech
74 Utah St.
75 Connecticut
76 Missouri
77 East Carolina
78 Middle Tennessee
79 Virginia
80 Iowa St.
81 South Carolina
82 Vanderbilt
83 Akron
84 Tulsa
85 Maryland
86 Colorado St.
87 Syracuse
88 Georgia St.
89 Kentucky
90 New Mexico
91 Colorado
92 San Jose St.
93 Rutgers
94 Boston College
95 Wake Forest
96 Nevada
97 Buffalo
98 Oregon St.
99 Purdue
100 South Alabama
101 Troy
102 Florida Int’l.
103 Ball St.
104 Florida Atlantic
105 Rice
106 SMU
107 Idaho
108 Old Dominion
109 Massachusetts
110 UNLV
111 UTEP
112 Louisiana-Lafayette
113 Fresno St.
114 Tulane
115 Kent St.
116 Miami (O)
117 Texas St.
118 UTSA
119 Kansas
120 New Mexico St.
121 Hawaii
122 Wyoming
123 Louisiana-Monroe
124 Army
125 North Texas
126 Charlotte
127 Eastern Michigan
128 Central Florida

 

PiRate Ratings
# Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
1 Alabama 131.5 129.1 131.4 130.7
2 Oklahoma 130.2 126.5 130.9 129.2
3 Ohio St. 129.0 124.6 129.8 127.8
4 Stanford 124.5 121.7 124.9 123.7
5 Ole Miss 124.7 120.2 123.9 122.9
6 Clemson 121.8 122.6 122.0 122.1
7 Baylor 122.9 118.8 122.7 121.5
8 North Carolina 121.1 121.4 120.7 121.1
9 TCU 123.1 115.6 124.0 120.9
10 Notre Dame 121.2 118.9 120.9 120.3
11 Arkansas 121.3 116.4 120.8 119.5
12 Michigan St. 119.7 117.2 119.7 118.9
13 Tennessee 120.1 116.2 120.2 118.8
14 LSU 119.8 116.4 119.4 118.5
15 UCLA 120.5 114.8 118.9 118.1
16 USC 119.7 115.0 118.7 117.8
17 Florida St. 117.2 118.4 117.1 117.6
18 Oregon 118.6 113.3 118.8 116.9
19 Utah 118.1 112.3 116.3 115.6
20 Mississippi St. 116.5 113.1 116.5 115.4
21 Washington 115.9 112.6 115.8 114.8
22 Michigan 115.8 113.0 115.3 114.7
23 Texas A&M 116.4 112.9 114.4 114.6
24 Georgia 116.1 111.2 115.4 114.2
25 Oklahoma St. 115.1 111.9 114.7 113.9
26 Florida 114.5 111.4 114.4 113.4
27 California 115.0 109.7 114.1 112.9
28 West Virginia 114.9 109.2 114.3 112.8
29 Arizona St. 114.4 109.5 114.0 112.6
30 Iowa 111.7 113.3 112.5 112.5
31 Houston 109.8 115.2 112.0 112.3
32 Auburn 113.6 110.4 112.3 112.1
33 Wisconsin 111.6 111.2 110.8 111.2
34 Bowling Green 108.5 113.3 111.6 111.1
35 Virginia Tech 110.7 110.4 110.8 110.6
36 Western Kentucky 109.5 110.4 111.2 110.4
37 North Carolina St. 109.4 110.4 107.9 109.2
38 BYU 108.1 108.3 109.3 108.6
39 Louisville 108.0 109.5 107.9 108.5
40 Temple 106.9 109.9 108.4 108.4
41 Memphis 107.7 108.8 108.0 108.2
42 Pittsburgh 107.5 108.1 107.8 107.8
43 Nebraska 108.5 106.9 107.8 107.7
44 Georgia Tech 109.1 106.5 107.5 107.7
45 Washington St. 108.5 105.1 109.3 107.6
46 Navy 105.9 109.9 107.0 107.6
47 San Diego St. 105.7 109.8 106.9 107.5
48 Miami 106.1 106.7 107.2 106.7
49 Northwestern 106.4 106.6 106.6 106.5
50 Boise St. 107.3 105.1 107.2 106.5
51 Texas 107.5 103.4 107.3 106.1
52 South Carolina 107.3 104.2 106.3 105.9
53 Arizona 107.9 102.4 106.8 105.7
54 Texas Tech 108.1 100.4 108.3 105.6
55 Missouri 106.9 103.4 105.6 105.3
56 Toledo 103.7 105.0 104.9 104.5
57 South Florida 102.1 107.8 103.4 104.4
58 Minnesota 105.1 103.6 104.2 104.3
59 Western Michigan 102.6 103.8 104.0 103.5
60 Penn St. 103.8 103.3 103.0 103.4
61 Colorado 105.3 100.5 103.7 103.2
62 Kansas St. 106.0 97.5 105.7 103.1
63 Cincinnati 102.0 103.9 103.3 103.1
64 Duke 103.0 103.0 102.8 102.9
65 Illinois 104.1 101.9 102.8 102.9
66 Virginia 102.7 101.8 103.1 102.5
67 Indiana 101.0 101.3 101.3 101.2
68 Boston College 100.3 102.6 98.8 100.6
69 Kentucky 101.8 98.4 100.1 100.1
70 Air Force 98.7 102.1 99.1 100.0
71 Southern Mississippi 98.8 100.9 99.6 99.8
72 Iowa St. 100.4 96.3 100.1 98.9
73 Georgia Southern 97.2 100.0 99.1 98.8
74 Louisiana Tech 98.3 98.6 99.1 98.7
75 Vanderbilt 100.2 96.0 99.4 98.5
76 Marshall 97.9 98.5 97.6 98.0
77 Appalachian St. 96.4 99.5 97.9 97.9
78 Northern Illinois 96.0 99.8 96.9 97.6
79 Wake Forest 96.5 99.3 96.1 97.3
80 Utah St. 97.6 97.8 96.0 97.1
81 Arkansas St. 95.2 97.0 97.5 96.6
82 Middle Tennessee 96.6 96.2 96.7 96.5
83 East Carolina 94.7 98.5 95.6 96.3
84 Syracuse 95.1 97.9 95.0 96.0
85 Purdue 95.1 94.1 93.4 94.2
86 Maryland 94.5 93.4 94.4 94.1
87 Connecticut 91.0 95.5 92.3 92.9
88 San Jose St. 92.2 94.2 92.2 92.9
89 Colorado St. 92.8 93.3 92.3 92.8
90 New Mexico 92.3 93.4 91.8 92.5
91 Central Michigan 90.3 94.2 91.7 92.1
92 Rutgers 93.5 90.8 91.2 91.8
93 Tulsa 89.8 93.9 90.9 91.5
94 Nevada 89.7 93.6 90.0 91.1
95 Ohio 88.8 93.2 90.9 91.0
96 Akron 86.1 92.9 88.4 89.1
97 Georgia St. 86.2 87.9 87.6 87.2
98 Oregon St. 88.7 85.3 86.6 86.9
99 Florida Atlantic 84.1 87.5 84.9 85.5
100 Troy 84.2 85.5 84.8 84.8
101 Florida International 83.8 86.2 83.9 84.6
102 SMU 83.3 86.9 82.9 84.4
103 Massachusetts 82.6 86.1 83.4 84.0
104 Buffalo 81.1 86.3 81.7 83.0
105 Tulane 82.2 84.7 80.9 82.6
106 UNLV 81.9 83.6 81.9 82.5
107 Fresno St. 81.5 84.2 79.7 81.8
108 Army 78.1 85.6 79.4 81.0
109 Wyoming 80.0 81.6 79.2 80.3
110 Rice 78.6 81.4 78.4 79.5
111 Ball St. 78.7 80.7 78.9 79.4
112 UTEP 78.4 81.0 78.2 79.2
113 Old Dominion 76.7 80.6 76.4 77.9
114 Kent St. 77.1 79.0 77.4 77.8
115 Hawaii 77.9 79.0 76.3 77.7
116 UT-San Antonio 76.8 79.2 77.1 77.7
117 Miami (O) 75.4 80.3 76.3 77.3
118 UL-Lafayette 76.6 79.1 76.3 77.3
119 South Alabama 75.0 79.8 75.9 76.9
120 Idaho 74.1 79.1 75.5 76.2
121 Central Florida 74.9 77.8 74.6 75.8
122 Texas St. 73.2 75.6 72.8 73.9
123 Eastern Michigan 71.5 77.6 71.7 73.6
124 North Texas 72.4 75.8 72.2 73.5
125 New Mexico St. 72.6 73.8 72.0 72.8<