The Pi-Rate Ratings

March 11, 2023

PiRate Ratings Conference Tournament Schedule

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 7:30 am

Saturday, March 11, 2023 All Times Eastern Standard


America East Conference — Higher Seed Hosts

CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (ESPN2) 11 AM

#2 UMass Lowell (26-7) at #1 Vermont (22-10)


American Athletic Conference — Fort Worth, TX

Semifinals (ESPN2)

#1 Houston (30-2) vs. #4 Cincinnati (21-11) 3 PM

#2 Memphis (24-8) vs. #3 Tulane (20-10) 5:30 PM


Atlantic 10 Conference — Brooklyn

Semifinals (CBSSN)

#1 VCU (25-7) vs. #4 Saint Louis (21-11) 1 PM

#2 Dayton (21-11) vs. #3 Fordham (25-7) 3:30 PM


Atlantic Coast Conference — Greensboro, NC

CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (ESPN) 8:30 PM

#3 Virginia (25-6) vs. #4 Duke (25-8)


Big 12 Conference — Kansas City

CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (ESPN) 6 PM

#1 Kansas (27-6) vs. #2 Texas (25-8)


Big East Conference — New York

CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (Fox Sports) 6:30 PM

#1 Marquette (27-6) vs. #2 Xavier (25-8)


Big Ten Conference — Chicago

Semifinals (CBS)

#1 Purdue (27-5) vs. #13 Ohio St, (16-18) 1 PM

#3 Indiana (22-10) vs. #10 Penn St. (21-12) 3:30 PM


Big West Conference — Henderson, NV (Las Vegas)

CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (ESPN2) 9:30 PM

#2 UC Santa Barbara (26-7) vs. #4 Cal St. Fullerton (20-12)


Conference USA — Frisco, TX

CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (CBSSN) 8:30 PM

#1 Florida Atlantic (30-3) vs. #3 UAB (25-8)


Ivy League — Princeton, NJ

Semifinals (ESPNU)

#1 Yale (20-7) vs. #4 Cornell (17-10) 11 AM

#2 Princeton (19-8) vs. #3 Penn (17-12) 1:30 PM


Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference — Atlantic City, NJ

CHAMPIONSHIP (ESPNU) 7:30 PM

#1 Iona (26-7) vs. #11 Marist (13-19)


Mid-American Conference — Cleveland

CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (ESPN2) 7:30 PM

#1 Toledo (27-6) vs. #2 Kent St. (27-6)


Mideastern Athletic Conference — Norfolk, VA

CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (ESPN+) 1 PM

#1 Howard (20-12) vs. #3 Norfolk St. (22-10)


Mountain West Conference — Las Vegas

CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (CBS) 6 PM

#1 San Diego St. (26-6) vs. #3 Utah St. (26-7)


Pac-12 Conference — Las Vegas

CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (ESPN) 10:30 PM

#1 UCLA (29-4) vs. #2 Arizona (27-6)


Southeastern Conference — Nashville

Semifinals (ESPN)

#1 Alabama (27-5) vs. #4 Missouri (24-8) 2 PM

#2 Texas A&M (24-8) vs. #6 Vanderbilt (20-13) 4 PM


Southwestern Athletic Conference — Birmingham, AL

CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (ESPNU) 5:30 PM

#2 Grambling (24-8) vs. #8 Texas Southern (13-20)


Western Athletic Conference — Las Vegas

CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (ESPN2) 11:30 PM

#3 Southern Utah (22-11) vs. #5 Grand Canyon (23-11)


Dance Tickets Punched

Atlantic Sun: Kennesaw St.

Big Sky: Montana St.

Big South: UNC Asheville

Colonial: Charleston

Horizon: Northern Kentucky

Missouri Valley: Drake

Northeast: Fairleigh Dickinson

Ohio Valley: SE Missouri St.

Patriot: Colgate

Southern: Furman

Southland: Texas A&M-CC

Summit: Oral Roberts

Sun Belt: Louisiana

West Coast: Gonzaga

March 10, 2023

PiRate Ratings Conference Tournament Schedules

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 7:45 am

Friday, March 10, 2023 All Times Eastern Standard


American Athletic Conference — Fort Worth, TX

Quarterfinals

#1 Houston (29-2) vs. #9 East Carolina (16-16) 1 PM (ESPN2)

#4 Cincinnati (20-11) vs. #5 Temple (16-15) 3 PM (ESPN2)

#2 Memphis (23-8) vs. #7 Central Florida (18-13) 7 PM (ESPNU)

#3 Tulane (19-10) vs. #6 Wichita St. (17-14) 9 PM (ESPNU)


Atlantic Coast Conference — Greensboro, NC

Semifinals (ESPN2)

#1 Miami (Fla) (25-6) vs. #4 Duke (24-8) 7 PM

#2 Virginia (24-6) vs. #3 Clemson (23-9) 9:30 PM


Big East Conference — New York

Semifinals (FS1)

#1 Marquette (26-6) vs. #4 Connecticut (25-7) 6:30 PM

#2 Xavier (24-8) vs. #3 Creighton (21-11) 9 PM


Big Ten Conference — Chicago

Quarterfinals (Big Ten Network)

#1 Purdue (26-5) vs. #9 Rutgers (19-13) 12 PM

#4 Michigan St. (19-11) vs. #13 Ohio St. (15-18) 2:30 PM

#2 Northwestern (21-10) vs. #10 Penn St. (20-12) 6:30 PM

#3 Indiana (21-10) vs/ #6 Maryland (21-11) 9 PM


Big West Conference — Henderson, NV (Las Vegas)

Semifinals

#1 UC-Irvine (23-10) vs. #4 Cal St. Fullerton (19-12) 9 PM (ESPN+)

#2 UC Santa Barbara (25-7) vs. #3 UC Riverside (22-11) 11:30 PM (ESPNU)


Conference USA — Frisco, TX

Semifinals (CBSSN)

#1 Florida Atlantic (29-3) vs. #5 Middle Tennessee (19-13) 12:30 PM

#2 North Texas (26-6) vs. #3 UAB (24-8) 3 PM


Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference — Atlantic City, NJ

Semifinals (ESPNews)

#1 Iona (25-7) vs. #5 Niagara (16-14) 6 PM

#10 Saint Peter’s (14-17) vs. #11 Marist (12-19) 8:30 PM


Mid-American Conference — Cleveland

Semifinals (CBSSN)

#1 Toledo (26-6) vs. #5 Ohio U (19-13) 5 PM

#2 Kent St. (26-6) vs. #3 Akron (22-10) 7:30 PM


Mideastern Athletic Conference — Norfolk, VA

Semifinals (ESPN+)

#1 Howard (20-12) vs. #4 Maryland Eastern Shore (18-12) 6 PM

#2 North Carolina Central (18-11) vs. #3 Norfolk St. (21-10) 8:30 PM


Mountain West Conference — Las Vegas

Semifinals (CBSSN)

#1 San Diego St. (25-6) vs. #5 San Jose St. (20-12) 9:30 PM

#2 Boise St. (24-8) vs. #3 Utah St. (25-7) 12 AM


Pac-12 Conference — Las Vegas

Semifinals

#1 UCLA (28-4) vs. #4 Oregon (19-13) 9 PM (Pac-12 Network)

#2 Arizona (26-6) vs. #3 Arizona St. (22-11) 11:30 PM (ESPN)


Southeastern Conference — Nashville

Quarterfinals

#1 Alabama (26-5) vs. #9 Mississippi St. (21-11) 1 PM (ESPN)

#4 Missouri (23-8) vs. #5 Tennessee (23-9) 3 PM (ESPN)

#2 Texas A&M (23-8) vs. #7 Arkansas (19-13) (SEC Network)

#3 Kentucky (21-10) vs. #6 Vanderbilt (19-13) (SEC Network)


Southwestern Athletic Conference — Birmingham, AL

Semifinals (ESPN+)

#5 Alabama A&M (15-17) vs. #8 Texas Southern (12-20) 3 PM

#2 Grambling (23-8) vs. #3 Jackson St. (14-18) 9:30 PM


Western Athletic Conference — Las Vegas

Semifinals (ESPN+)

#1 Sam Houston St. (25-6) vs. #5 Grand Canyon (22-11) 9 PM

#2 Utah Valley (25-7) vs. #3 Southern Utah (21-11) 11 PM


Dance Tickets Punched

Atlantic Sun: Kennesaw St.

Big Sky: Montana St.

Big South: UNC Asheville

Colonial: Charleston

Horizon: Northern Kentucky

Missouri Valley: Drake

Northeast: Fairleigh Dickinson

Ohio Valley: SE Missouri St.

Patriot: Colgate

Southern: Furman

Southland: Texas A&M-CC

Summit: Oral Roberts

Sun Belt: Louisiana

West Coast: Gonzaga

March 9, 2023

PiRate Ratings Conference Tournament Schedule

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 7:06 am

Thursday, March 9, 2023 — All Times Eastern Standard


American Athletic Conference — Fort Worth, TX

1st Round (ESPNU)

#8 South Florida (14-17) vs. #9 East Carolina (15-16) 12:30 PM

#7 Central Florida (17-13) vs. #10 SMU (10-21) 2:30 PM

#6 Wichita St. (16-14) vs. #11 Tulsa (5-24) 7 PM


Atlantic 10 Conference — Brooklyn

Quarterfinals (USA Network)

#1 VCU (24-7) vs. #8 Davidson (16-15) 11:30 AM

#4 Saint Louis (20-11) vs. #5 George Mason (20-12) 2 PM

#2 Dayton (20-11) vs. #10 Saint Joseph’s (16-16) 5 PM

#3 Fordham (24-7) vs. #11 La Salle (15-18) 7:30 PM


Atlantic Coast Conference — Greensboro, NC

Quarterfinals (ESPN or ESPN2)

#1 Miami (Fla) (24-6) vs. #9 Wake Forest (19-13) 12 PM

#4 Duke (23-8) vs. #5 Pittsburgh (22-10) 2:30 PM

#2 Virginia (23-6) vs. #7 North Carolina (20-12) 7 PM

#3 Clemson (22-9) vs. #6 North Carolina St. (23-9) 9:30 PM


Big 12 Conference — Kansas City

Quarterfinals (ESPN or ESPN2)

#4 Baylor (22-9) vs. #5 Iowa St. (18-12) 1:30 PM

#1 Kansas (25-6) vs. #8 West Virginia (19-13) 4 PM

#2 Texas (23-8) vs. #7 Oklahoma St. (17-14) 8 PM

#3 Kansas St. (23-8) vs. #6 TCU (20-11) 10:30 PM


Big East Conference — New York

Quarterfinals (FS1)

#1 Marquette (25-6) vs. #8 St. John’s (18-14) 12 PM

#4 Connecticut (24-7) vs. #5 Providence (21-10) 2:30 PM

#2 Xavier (23-8) vs. #10 DePaul (10-22) 7 PM

#3 Creighton (20-11) vs. #6 Vilanova (17-15) 9:30 PM


Big Ten Conference — Chicago

2nd Round (Big Ten Network)

#8 Michigan (17-14) vs. #9 Rutgers (18-13) 1 PM

#5 Iowa (19-12) vs. #13 Ohio St. (15-18) 3:30 PM

#7 Illinois (20-11) vs. #10 Penn St. (19-12) 7:30 PM

#6 Maryland (20-11) vs. #14 Minnesota (9-21) 10 PM


Big West Conference — Henderson, NV (Las Vegas)

Quarterfinals (ESPN+)

#1 UC-Irvine (22-10) vs. #8 Cal St. Bakersfield (11-21) 3 PM

#4 Cal St. Fullerton (18-12) vs. #5 Hawaii (22-10) 5:30 PM

#2 UC Santa Barbara (24-7) vs. #10 Cal Poly (8-24) 9 PM

#3 UC Riverside (21-11) vs. #6 Cal Davis (18-13) 11:30 PM


Conference USA — Frisco, TX

Quarterfinals (ESPN+)

#1 Florida Atlantic (28-3) vs. #8 Western Kentucky (17-15) 7:30 PM

#4 Middle Tennessee (18-13) vs. #5 Charlotte (18-13) 8 PM

#2 North Texas (25-6) vs. #10 Louisiana Tech (15-17) 10 PM

#3 UAB (23-8) vs. #6 Rice (18-14) 10:30 PM

Tournament uses two courts separated by giant curtain


Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference — Atlantic City, NJ

Quarterfinals (Day 2) (ESPN+)

#3 Quinnipiac (20-11) vs. #11 Marist (11-19) 7 PM

#4 Siena (17-14) vs. #5 Niagara (15-14) 9:30 PM


Mid-American Conference — Cleveland

Quarterfinals (ESPN+)

#1 Toledo (25-6) vs. #8 Miami (O) (12-19) 11 AM

#4 Ball St. (20-11) vs. #5 Ohio U (18-13) 1:30 PM

#2 Kent St. (25-6) vs. #7 Northern Illinois (13-18) 4PM

#3 Akron (21-10) vs. #6 Buffalo (15-16) 6:30 PM


Mideastern Athletic Conference — Norfolk, VA

Quarterfinals (Day 2) (ESPN+)

#4 Maryland Eastern Shore (17-12) vs. #5 Morgan St. (15-15) 6 PM

#3 Norfolk St. (20-10) vs. #6 Coppin St. (9-22) 8 PM


Mountain West Conference — Las Vegas

Quarterfinals (CBSSN)

#1 San Diego St. (24-6) vs. #8 Colorado St. (15-17) 3 PM

#4 Nevada (22-9) vs. #5 San Jose St. (19-12) 5:30 PM

#2 Boise St. (23-8) vs. #7 UNLV (19-12) 9 PM

#3 Utah St. (24-7) vs. #6 New Mexico (22-10) 11:30 PM


Pac-12 Conference — Las Vegas

Quarterfinals (1st 3 games Pac-12 Network/Game 4 ESPN)

#1 UCLA (27-4) vs. #9 Colorado (17-15) 3 PM

#4 Oregon (18-13) vs. #5 Washington St. (17-15) 5:30 PM

#2 Arizona (25-6) vs. #10 Stanford (14-18) 9 PM

#3 USC (22-9) vs. #6 Arizona St. (22-9) 11:30 PM


Southeastern Conference — Nashville

Quarterfinals (SEC Network)

#8 Florida (16-15) vs. #9 Mississippi St. (20-11) 1 PM

#5 Tennessee (22-9) vs. #13 Ole Miss (12-20) 3 PM

#7 Auburn (20-11) vs. #10 Arkansas (19-12) 7 PM

#6 Vanderbilt (18-13) vs. #14 LSU (15-18) 9 PM


Southwestern Athletic Conference — Birmingham, AL

Quarterfinals (Day 2) (ESPN+)

#3 Jackson St. (13-18) vs. #6 Prairie View A&M (13-18) 9:30 PM

#4 Southern (15-16) vs. #5 Alabama A&M (14-17) 3 PM


Western Athletic Conference — Las Vegas

Quarterfinals (ESPN+)

#1 Sam Houston St. (24-6) vs. #8 Cal Baptist (17-15) 3 PM

#4 Seattle (20-11) vs. #5 Grand Canyon (21-11) 5:30 PM

#2 Utah Valley (24-7) vs. #7 Tarleton St. (17-15) 9 PM

#3 Southern Utah (20-11) vs. #11 Utah Tech (14-18) 11:30 PM


Automatic Qualifiers

Atlantic Sun: Kennesaw St.

Big Sky: Montana St.

Big South: UNC Asheville

Colonial: Charleston

Horizon: Northern Kentucky

Missouri Valley: Drake

Northeast: Fairleigh Dickinson

Ohio Valley: SE Missouri St.

Patriot: Colgate

Southern: Furman

Southland: Texas A&M-CC

Summit: Oral Roberts

Sun Belt: Louisiana

West Coast: Gonzaga

March 8, 2023

PiRate Ratings Conference Tournament Schedule

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 7:05 am

Wednesday, March 8, 2023

All Times Eastern Standard


Atlantic 10 Conference – Brooklyn

2nd Round (USA Network)

#8 Davidson (15-15) vs. #9 St. Bonaventure (14-17)  11:30 AM

#5 George Mason (19-12) vs. #12 Richmond (15-17)  2 PM

#7 George Washington (16-15) vs. #10 Saint Joseph’s (15-16)  5 PM

#6 Duquesne (20-11) vs. #11 La Salle (14-18)  7:30 PM


Atlantic Coast Conference — Greensboro, NC

2nd Round

#8 Syracuse (17-14) vs. #9 Wake Forest (18-13)  12 PM (ESPN)

#5 Pittsburgh (21-10) vs. #13 Georgia Tech (15-17)  2:30 PM (ESPN)

#7 North Carolina (19-12) vs. #10 Boston College (16-16) 7 PM (ESPN2/ESPNU)

#6 North Carolina St. (22-9) vs. #11 Virginia Tech (19-13) 9:30 PM (ESPN2/ESPNU)


Big 12 Conference – Kansas City

1st Round

#8 West Virginia (18-13) vs. #9 Texas Tech (16-15)  7 PM (ESPN2/U)

#7 Oklahoma St. (17-14) vs. #10 Oklahoma (15-16) 9:30 PM (ESPN2/U)


Big East Conference – New York

1st Round (FS1)

#8 St. John’s (17-14) vs. #9 Butler (14-17)  3 PM

#7 Seton Hall (17-14) vs. #10 DePaul (9-22)  5:30 PM

#6 Villanova (16-15) vs. #11 Georgetown (7-24) 8 PM


Big Sky Conference – Boise, ID

CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (ESPN2)

#2 Montana St. (24-9) vs. #9 Northern Arizona (12-22) 11:30 PM


Big Ten Conference — Chicago

1st Round (Big Ten Network)

#12 Wisconsin (17-13) vs. #13 Ohio St. (13-18)  6:30 PM

#11 Nebraska (16-15) vs. #14 Minnesota (8-21)  9 PM


Conference USA – Frisco, TX

1st Round (ESPN+)

#8 Western Kentucky (16-15) vs. #9 UTEP (14-17)  6:30 PM

#7 Florida Intl. (14-17) vs. #10 Louisiana Tech (14-17) 9 PM

#6 Rice (17-14) vs. #11 UTSA (10-21) 9:30 PM

CUSA uses a 2-court setup where two games can be played simultaneously


Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference – Atlantic City, NJ

Quarterfinals Day 1 (ESPN+)

#1 Iona (24-7) vs. #8 Mount St. Mary’s (13-19) 7 PM

#2 Rider (16-13) vs. #11 Marist (13-19)  9:30 PM


Mideastern Athletic Conference – Norfolk, VA

Quarterfinals Day 1 (ESPN+)

#1 Howard (19-12) vs. #8 South Carolina St. (5-25)  6 PM

#2 UNC Central (17-11) vs. #7 Delaware St. (6-23) 8 PM


Mountain West Conference – Las Vegas

1st Round (Mountain West Network)

#8 Colorado St. (14-17) vs. #9 Fresno St. (11-19)  2 PM

#7 UNLV (18-12) vs. #10 Air Force (14-17)  4:30 PM

#6 New Mexico (21-10) vs. #11 Wyoming (9-21)  7 PM


Pac-12 Conference – Las Vegas

1st Round (Pac 12 Network)

#8 Washington (16-15) vs. #9 Colorado (16-15)  3 PM

#5 Washington St. (16-15) vs. #12 California (3-28)  5:30 PM

#7 Utah (17-14) vs. #10 Stanford (13-18)  9 PM

#6 Arizona St. (20-11) vs. #11 Oregon St. (11-20)  11:30 PM


Patriot League – Colgate Hosts

CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (CBSSN)

#1 Colgate (25-8) vs. #6 Lafayette (11-22)  7:30 PM


Southeastern Conference – Nashville

1st Round (SEC Network)

#12 South Carolina (11-20) vs. #13 Ole Miss (11-20) 7 PM

#11 Georgia (16-15) vs. #14 LSU (13-18)  9 PM


Southland Conference – Lake Charles, LA

CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (ESPN2)

#1 Texas A&M-CC (22-10) vs. #2 Northwestern St. (22-10)  5 PM


Southwestern Athletic Conference – Birmingham, AL

Quarterfinals Day 1 (ESPN+)

#2 Grambling (22-8) vs. #7 Bethune Cookman (12-19)  3 PM

#1 Alcorn St. (18-12) vs. #8 Texas Southern (11-20) 9:30 PM


Still to Come: Updated Bracketology

August 15, 2022

Pac-12 Preview

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 3:00 am

With apologies to William Shakespeare, Alas poor Pac-12. I knew the league, football lovers. No, this conference hasn’t been dead for many years like Yorick in Hamlet, but the league isn’t far from having last rites administered if it cannot find a way to partly replace UCLA and USC when the two most important members leave for the Big Ten.

San Diego State and Fresno State might stop some of the leakage. There has been talk that the league might go after Houston and SMU to get some of the Dallas and Houston markets, but neither team commands huge numbers of the two largest cities in the Southwest.

What this league must worry about is that potentially eight of the remaining teams could try to leave this league.

2022 might produce some irony. In recent seasons, there has been too much parity to produce one undefeated team. In fact, there has never been an undefeated Pac-12 team in the regular season, not even in conference play only. The last time a team ran the table in the league and in the regular season, the league was the Pac-10, when Oregon played Auburn for the National Championship in 2010.

There is a team capable of ending that 12 year drought. Read on to see which team it is. The other big news is that the league has eliminated the two divisions.

Preseason PiRate Ratings For Pac-12 Conference

TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah116.4114.9118.3116.5
Oregon111.6111.3110.8111.2
U C L A108.5108.4110.1109.0
Oregon St.107.1106.5107.7107.1
U S C105.3106.1106.1105.8
Washington104.1104.9105.4104.8
Arizona St.104.0104.0105.3104.4
Stanford103.7100.9101.7102.1
Washington St.100.9101.5101.7101.4
California97.698.099.098.2
Colorado98.496.697.697.5
Arizona94.094.093.994.0
Pac-12104.3103.9104.8104.3

Pac-12 Official Preseason Media Poll

Votes
#Team1st PlaceOverall
1Utah26384
2Oregon2345
3USC5341
4UCLA0289
5Oregon St.0246
6Washington0212
7Washington St.0177
8Stanford0159
9California0154
10Arizona St.0123
11Arizona086
12Colorado058

The PiRate Ratings are designed to look at just the next week’s schedule of games and not to use to look forward. Nevertheless, here are the predicted won-loss records for the league.

Predicted Won-Loss Records

Pac-12ConfOverall
Utah9-013-0
Oregon8-110-3
UCLA7-210-2
USC6-38-4
Washington5-47-5
Oregon St.5-48-4
Washington St.4-56-6
Arizona St.4-56-6
Stanford3-64-8
California1-83-9
Arizona1-82-10
Colorado1-81-11

August 8, 2022

The PiRates Are Leaving The Port For 2022-23

It’s Football Time In Tennessee! Actually it’s football time everywhere, but when you live in the Volunteer State and spent 30+ years listening to the radio play-by-play GOAT, John Ward, say that phrase 11 or 12 times a season, it becomes the adrenaline boosting tagline to put one in the mood for “THE SPORT” that matters.

College football as we know it has reached the dawn of evolutionary change. Massive restructuring of the game is forthcoming, and some of that change will be apparent this season, as the Sun Belt Conference has more teams at the expense of Conference USA. With Texas and Oklahoma possibly becoming SEC members as early as next season, and USC and UCLA making the move to the Big Ten, there are a couple more major dominoes that could fall and send the conventional football alignment falling en masse.

I have tried to stay in the loop with more than a dozen insider contacts developed from my years in sports journalism in radio, TV, and in print. There are many differing opinions about what could happen and what they have heard is in the works. However, nearly every one of them agree on one thing: everything is in a holding pattern concerning the move beyond 16 teams in the Big Ten and SEC, until Notre Dame learns what their potential media contract will be and what the Big Ten media contract will be.

Notre Dame is getting $22 million from NBC and $12 million from the ACC. Next year, the final year of that contract with NBC, it will rise by $2.5 million. The Big Ten is being rumored to distribute possibly $1.2 billion in media revenue share. Notre Dame is seeking $75 million a year from NBC to renew the contract. If the offer is not in that ballpark, the Irish are likely to bite the bullet and join the Big Ten. One or two Southern insiders believes Notre Dame has not completely eliminated the possibility of seeking SEC membership, but my Midwest contacts say that their fan base will demand Big Ten membership so that travel will be minimized.

Let me address something else that has come to my attention. In various ways, I receive comments from others asking what I think about the big conferences forcing the small private schools out of their leagues. It usually goes something like, “Why does the SEC allow Vanderbilt to remain in the conference, when they sponge millions of dollars and don’t contribute much to the total pot?”

Three private schools have departed the SEC through the last eight decades. Sewanee, Georgia Tech, and Tulane left on their own account. Tech and Tulane would gladly return to the league today if they could. Vandy is not leaving the SEC, and the SEC is not kicking the Commodores out either. Even though all this realignment and expansion is 100% about football, and Vanderbilt football is basically a perpetual expansion team, their value to the conference comes in multiple essential ways. First, the league now considers Nashville their most essential city in their footprint. The 2023 Football Media Days will relocate from Atlanta to the Music City. The league’s annual postseason men’s basketball tournament is under contract for Bridgestone Arena in Nashville for many years to come. Yes, the Tennessee Vols are the top college team in the city, but Knoxville is 185 miles to the east.

There is another major reason that every conference wants to have a private school as a member. When every conference member is a public institution, then the entire league is subject to open records laws. With just one private school in the league, that school closes those records. The SEC isn’t going to give up their covert operating methods.

Now for the real reason that 99% of you come to this site to read. Beginning Tuesday, August 9, 2022, the annual PiRate Ratings’ Conference Previews will begin posting here one league at a time, debuting in order of lowest-ranked conference to highest-ranked conference.

Here is the schedule for each preview:

August 9: Conference USA

August 10: Mid-American Conference

August 11: Sun Belt Conference

August 12: Mountain West Conference

August 13: FBS Independents

August 14: American Athletic Conference

August 15: Pac-12 Conference

August 16: Atlantic Coast Conference

August 17: Big 12 Conference

August 18: Big Ten Conference

August 19: Southeastern Conference

March 12, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Saturday, March 12, 2022

Saturday’s Conference Tournaments
America East Conference–CHAMPIONSHIP
Higher Seed at Home
HomeVisitorSpread
VermontMaryland Baltimore Co.14.3
American Athletic Conference–Semifinals
Fort Worth, TX
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
HoustonTulane12.5
SMUMemphis-2.7
Atlantic 10 Conference–Semifinals
Washington, D.C.
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
DavidsonSaint Louis0.2
DaytonRichmond2.1
Atlantic Coast Conference–CHAMPIONSHIP
Brooklyn
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
DukeVirginia Tech5.6
Big 12 Conference–CHAMPIONSHIP
Kansas City
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
KansasTexas Tech1.1
Big East Conference–CHAMPIONSHIP
New York
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
VillanovaCreighton7.2
Big Sky Conference–CHAMPIONSHIP
Boise, ID
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Montana St.Northern Colorado3.4
Big Ten Conference–Semifinals
Indianapolis
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
IowaIndiana5.6
PurdueMichigan St.5.4
Big West Conference–CHAMPIONSHIP
Henderson, NV
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Long Beach St.Cal St. Fullerton-0.5
Conference USA–CHAMPIONSHIP
Frisco, TX
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
UABLouisiana Tech4.8
Ivy League–Semifinals
Boston
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
PrincetonCornell5.8
YalePenn3.6
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference–CHAMPIONSHIP
Atlantic City, NJ
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Saint Peter’sMonmouth1.8
Mid-American Conference–CHAMPIONSHIP
Cleveland
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Kent St.Akron0.4
Mideastern Athletic Conference–CHAMPIONSHIP
Norfolk, VA
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Norfolk St.Coppin St.8.1
Mountain West Conference–CHAMPIONSHIP
Las Vegas
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Boise St.San Diego St.-1.4
Pac-12 Conference–CHAMPIONSHIP
Las Vegas
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
ArizonaUCLA2.5
Southeastern Conference–Semifinals
Tampa
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
ArkansasTexas A&M5.3
TennesseeKentucky-1.8
Southland Conference–CHAMPIONSHIP
Katy, TX
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Southeast LouisianaTexas A&M-CC-1.6
Southwestern Athletic Conference–CHAMPIONSHIP
Birmingham
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Texas SouthernAlcorn St.4.5
Western Athletic Conference–CHAMPIONSHIP
Las Vegas
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
New Mexico St.Abilene Christian3.1

Dance Tickets Punched
1Murray St.Ohio Valley27-2
2LongwoodBig South26-6
3Loyola (Chi.)Missouri Valley25-7
4ChattanoogaSouthern27-7
5Georgia St.Sun Belt18-10
6Jacksonville St.Atlantic Sun21-10
7BryantNortheast22-9
8DelawareColonial Athletic22-12
9Wright St.Horizon21-13
10South Dakota St.Summit30-4
11GonzagaWest Coast26-3
12ColgatePatriot23-11

Hunkered Down In The Hull

The PiRates have had their tea and bickies and swabbed the deck. It’s time to head down to the hull and hunker down with typical PiRate ship tools. We have no torpedos and no swords. Our weapons are power ratings, strengths of schedule, quad ratings, and strengths of record. We will be carefully perusing the field to see which team to pillage and which team to let pass into the Dancing waters.

The Florida Gators have been scuttled and sunk to the bottom where they have met the sandy silt known as NIT. Texas A&M just might pass through if the Aggies can fire more shots at the SS Razorback today then they take on.

With a late Winter storm plunging most of the Eastern half of the nation back into January-like weather, this is a good day to stay indoors and watch teams qualify for the Big Dance. We will be looking at a lot of Bubble teams as well as teams that can greatly alter our Bracketology.

Our final Bracketology prediction will be published here tomorrow afternoon. Depending on the games to be played after 1 PM EDT (yes, remember it will be D and not S tomorrow), we may have to have two different brackets prepared and waiting to use one over the other depending on the outcome of the final games. Fortunately, almost all the Cinderella teams that could only get into the Field of 68 by qualifying automatically lost yesterday. Colorado, Penn State, Vanderbilt, Mississippi State, Cincinnati, and Central Florida helped teams like Wake Forest, BYU, and Xavier feel a little better when they bowed out of their tournaments. Indiana probably worked their way into the field by topping Michigan and Illinois, so the Hoosiers can win or lose today and tomorrow and not change the teams getting bids.

There are still some potential bid-stealers where the top seed could lose and still get an at-large bid, but if the top seed wins, the conference in question will not receive the extra bid. In the Atlantic 10, Davidson is now a lock to make the field without winning their tournament. If Saint Louis wins today, or if today’s Richmond-Dayton winner beats Davidson tomorrow, the A-10 will get one extra team in the field, and one bubble will burst. In the American Athletic, should Tulane upset Houston today and then beat the winner of today’s SMU-Memphis game, the AAC will receive an extra bid, and another bubble will burst. If Tulane is put out of the tournament today, then the only game that will affect the 68 teams tomorrow would be the A-10 Championship Game. That game should end between 2:45 and 3:00 PM EDT, so our final projections should publish soon after the conclusion of that game and possibly earlier if this game is a blowout.

March 11, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Friday, March 11, 2022

Friday’s Conference Tournament Games
American Athletic Conference–Quarterfinals
Fort Worth, TX
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
HoustonCincinnati12.2
TempleTulane-1.8
SMUTulsa8.5
MemphisCentral Florida7.1
Atlantic 10 Conference–Quarterfinals
Washington, D.C.
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
DavidsonFordham10.0
St. BonaventureSaint Louis-1.9
DaytonMassachusetts9.8
VCURichmond2.7
Atlantic Coast Conference–Semfinals
Brooklyn
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
DukeMiami (Fla.)9.0
North CarolinaVirginia Tech0.9
Big 12 Conference Semifinals
Kansas City
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
KansasTCU7.9
Texas TechOklahoma6.2
Big East Conference–Semifinals
New York
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
ProvidenceCreighton2.3
VillanovaConnecticut2.5
Big Sky Conference–Semifinals
Boise, ID
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Montana St.Weber St.1.0
Northern ColoradoPortland St.2.4
Big Ten Conference–Quarterfinals
Indianapolis
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
IllinoisIndiana3.9
RutgersIowa-8.8
WisconsinMichigan St.0.2
PurduePenn St.9.4
Big West Conference–Semifinals
Henderson, NV
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Long Beach St.UCSB-2.8
HawaiiCal St. Fullerton0.4
Conference USA–Semifinals
Frisco, TX
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
North TexasLouisiana Tech3.4
Middle TennesseeUAB-6.6
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference–Semifinals
Atlantic City, NJ
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
MonmouthRider4.6
St. Peter’sQuinnipiac6.4
Mid-American Conference–Semifinals
Cleveland
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
ToledoAkron6.3
Kent St.Ohio-1.5
Mideastern Athletic Conference–Semifinals
Norfolk, VA
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Norfolk St.Morgan St.6.9
UNC CentralCoppin St.1.9
Mountain West Conference–Semifinals
Las Vegas
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Boise St.Wyoming2.2
Colorado St.San Diego St.-1.4
Pac-12 Conference–Semifinals
Las Vegas
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
ArizonaColorado11.8
UCLAUSC6.5
Southeastern Conference–Quarterfinals
Tampa
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
AuburnTexas A&M9.2
ArkansasLSU-0.2
TennesseeMississippi St.6.8
KentuckyVanderbilt10.9
Southland Conference–Semifinals
Katy, TX
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Nicholls St.Texas A&M–CC3.8
Southeast LouisianaNew Orleans-1.6
Southwestern Athletic Conference–Semifinals
Birmingham
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Alcorn St.Alabama A&M4.6
Texas SouthernGrambling6.9
Western Athletic Conference–Semifinals
Las Vegas
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
New Mexico St.Grand Canyon0.5
SeattleAbilene Christian-0.9

Dance Tickets Punched
1Murray St.Ohio Valley27-2
2LongwoodBig South26-6
3Loyola (Chi.)Missouri Valley25-7
4ChattanoogaSouthern27-7
5Georgia St.Sun Belt18-10
6Jacksonville St.Atlantic Sun21-10
7BryantNortheast22-9
8DelawareColonial Athletic22-12
9Wright St.Horizon21-13
10South Dakota St.Summit30-4
11GonzagaWest Coast26-3
12ColgatePatriot23-11

March 10, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Thursday, March 10, 2022

Thursday’s Conference Tournaments
American Athletic Conference–1st Round
Fort Worth, TX
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
CincinnatiEast Carolina6.1
Wichita St.Tulsa5.9
Central FloridaSouth Florida10.1
Atlantic 10 Conference–2nd Round
Washington, D.C.
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
FordhamGeorge Mason-4.6
Saint LouisLa Salle12.0
George WashingtonMassachusetts-2.3
RichmondRhode Island3.9
Atlantic Coast Conference–Quarterfinals
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
DukeSyracuse9.9
Miami (Fla.)Boston College6.5
Notre DameVirginia Tech-1.6
North CarolinaVirginia4.2
Big 12 Conference–Quarterfinals
Kansas City
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
TexasTCU4.4
KansasWest Virginia9.1
BaylorOklahoma8.1
Texas TechIowa St.7.1
Big East Conference–Quarterfinals
New York
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
ProvidenceButler7.8
CreightonMarquette-2.6
VillanovaSt. John’s7.1
ConnecticutSeton Hall2.2
Big Sky Conference–Quarterfinals
Boise, ID
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Montana St.Sacramento St.9.9
Weber St.Montana3.3
Southern UtahPortland St.5.7
Northern ColoradoEastern Washington0.8
Big Ten Conference–2nd Round
Indianapolis
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
MichiganIndiana1.3
IowaNorthwestern8.1
Michigan St.Maryland3.1
Ohio St.Penn St.5.0
Big West Conference–Quarterfinals
Henderson, NV
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Long Beach St.Cal St. Bakersfield5.2
UC-IrvineUC Santa Barbara0.9
HawaiiUC Riverside0.6
Cal St. FullertonUC Davis2.0
Conference USA–Quarterfinals
Frisco, TX
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
North TexasRice10.4
Western KentuckyLouisiana Tech-1.2
Middle TennesseeUTEP3.6
UABFlorida Atlantic7.3
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference–Quarterfinals Continue
Atlantic City, NJ
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
SienaQuinnipiac-0.3
MonmouthNiagara2.2
Mid-American Conference–Quarterfinals
Cleveland
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
ToledoCentral Michigan18.1
AkronBuffalo-2.4
Kent St.Miami (O)6.3
OhioBall St.8.9
Mideastern Athletic Conference–Quarterfinals Continue
Norfolk, VA
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Morgan St.South Carolina St.2.5
UNC CentralMaryland Eastern Shore2.0
Mountain West Conference–Quarterfinals
Las Vegas
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Boise St.Nevada6.9
WyomingUNLV2.1
Colorado St.Utah St.0.9
San DIego St.Fresno St.4.9
Pac-12 Conference–Quarterfinals
Las Vegas
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
ArizonaStanford16.0
ColoradoOregon-0.7
UCLAWashington St.7.8
USCWashington7.3
Southeastern Conference–2nd Round
Tampa
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Texas A&MFlorida-1.4
LSUMissouri12.8
South CarolinaMississippi St.-3.7
AlabamaVanderbilt5.4
Southland Conference–Quarterfinals
Katy, TX
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Texas A&M–CCHouston Baptist6.4
New OrleansMcNeese3.5
Southwestern Athletic Conference–Quarterfinals Continue
Birmingham
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
SouthernGrambling6.4
Florida A&MAlabama A&M1.9
Western Athletic Conference–2nd Round
Las Vegas
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Grand CanyonSam Houston4.0
Stephen F. AustinAbilene Christian1.0

Dance Tickets Punched
1Murray St.Ohio Valley27-2
2LongwoodBig South26-6
3Loyola (Chi.)Missouri Valley25-7
4ChattanoogaSouthern27-7
5Georgia St.Sun Belt18-10
6Jacksonville St.Atlantic Sun21-10
7BryantNortheast22-9
8DelawareColonial Athletic22-12
9Wright St.Horizon21-13
10South Dakota St.Summit30-4
11GonzagaWest Coast26-3
12ColgatePatriot23-11

March 9, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Wednesday, March 9, 2022

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 5:56 am
Wednesday’s Conference Tournaments
America East Conference–Semifinals
Higher Seed at Home
HomeVisitorSpread
VermontBinghamton18.7
Maryland Baltimore Co.Hartford6.3
Atlantic 10 Conference–1st Round
Washington, D.C.
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
La SalleSt. Joseph’s-3.2
Rhode IslandDuquesne8.9
Atlantic Coast Conference–2nd Round
Brooklyn
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Florida St.Syracuse0.7
Wake ForestBoston College9.3
Virginia TechClemson5.1
VirginiaLouisville5.9
Big 12 Conference–1st Round
Kansas City
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Kansas St.West Virginia1.2
Big East Conference–1st Round
New York
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
XavierButler8.5
St. John’sDePaul6.4
Seton HallGeorgetown12.4
Big Sky Conference–1st Round
Boise, ID
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Sacramento St.Idaho3.3
Portland St.Idaho St.6.5
Eastern WashingtonNorthern Arizona8.9
Big Ten Conference–1st Round
Indianapolis
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
NorthwesternNebraska5.4
Penn St.Minnesota3.2
Conference USA–2nd Round
Frisco, TX
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
CharlotteRice3.1
Louisiana TechMarshall9.2
UTEPOld Dominion3.0
Florida AtlanticSouthern Miss.12.9
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference–Quarterfinals
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
IonaRider10.1
St. Peter’sFairfield4.7
Mideastern Athletic Conference–Quarterfinals
Norfolk, VA
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Norfolk St.Delaware St.12.1
HowardCoppin St.5.8
Mountain West Conference–1st Round
Las Vegas
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
NevadaNew Mexico4.0
Utah St.Air Force13.6
Fresno St.San Jose St.10.7
Pac-12 Conference–1st Round
Las Vegas
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Arizona St.Stanford3.5
OregonOregon St.11.6
Washington St.California7.2
WashingtonUtah2.3
Patriot League–CHAMPIONSHIP
Higher Seed at Home
HomeVisitorSpread
ColgateNavy4.6
Southeastern Conference–1st Round
Tampa
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
MissouriMississippi-3.6
VanderbiltGeorgia10.2
Southland Conference–1st Round
Katy, TX
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Incarnate WordHouston Baptist-3.8
Northwestern St.McNeese-1.1
Southwestern Athletic Conference–Quarterfinals
Birmingham, AL
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Texas SouthernJackson St.5.9
Alcorn St.Prairie View2.6
Western Athletic Conference–1st Round
Las Vegas
Higher SeedLower SeedSpread
Sam HoustonCalifornia Baptist3.3
Abilene ChristianUtah Valley0.4

Dance Tickets Punched
1Murray St.Ohio Valley27-2
2LongwoodBig South26-6
3Loyola (Chi.)Missouri Valley25-7
4ChattanoogaSouthern27-7
5Georgia St.Sun Belt18-10
6Jacksonville St.Atlantic Sun21-10
7BryantNortheast22-9
8DelawareColonial Athletic22-12
9Wright St.Horizon21-13
10South Dakota St.Summit30-4
11GonzagaWest Coast26-3

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