Time (ET) | Network | Home | Visitor |
12:00 PM | ABC | Michigan St. | Indiana |
12:00 PM | FOX | West Virginia | TCU |
12:00 PM | ESPN2 | Tulane | Army |
12:00 PM | ESPN | Virginia Tech | Miami (Fla.) |
12:00 PM | FS1 | Nebraska | Penn St. |
12:00 PM | CBSSN | Marshall | Middle Tenn. |
12:00 PM | SECN | Kentucky | Vanderbilt |
12:00 PM | ACCN | North Carolina | Wake Forest |
1:00 PM | BTN | Rutgers | Illinois |
3:30 PM | ABC | Boston College | Notre Dame |
3:30 PM | ESPN | Stanford | Colorado |
3:30 PM | ESPN2 | Houston | S. Florida |
3:30 PM | FOX | Arizona | USC |
3:30 PM | CBSSN | Western Ky. | Southern Miss. |
3:30 PM | ACCN | Virginia | Louisville |
4:00 PM | FS1 | Texas Tech | Baylor |
5:00 PM | BTN | Purdue | Northwestern |
7:00 PM | FOX | Washington St. | Oregon |
7:00 PM | ESPN | Florida | Arkansas |
7:00 PM | ESPN2 | Tulsa | SMU |
7:30 PM | ABC | Michigan | Wisconsin |
7:30 PM | ESPNU | Central Florida | Temple |
7:30 PM | SECN | Ole Miss | South Carolina |
7:30 PM | ACCN | NC St. | Florida St. |
11:00 PM | FS1 | Washington | Oregon St. |
November 14, 2020
Update College Football TV Schedule For November 14, 2020
October 14, 2020
Saturday’s College Football TV Schedule
This weekly addition to the PiRate Ratings is supposed to be the easiest edition we put out, but not this year. The TV schedule has already changed twice today after changing on Monday when Baylor postponed their game with Oklahoma St. With the cancellation of Vanderbilt and Missouri, one switch was made. Then, when it became official that Florida and LSU were moving to December 12, another change was made.
So, this is the TV schedule as of Wednesday evening, Eastern Time. We suggest you look at this feature again later in the week if other games are postponed. If the schedule changes, we will do our best to update it all the way until Saturday morning.
Time ET | Network | Home | Visitors | Entertainment Value |
12:00 PM | ABC | Georgia Tech | Clemson | Tech turnovers could make this super blowout |
12:00 PM | ESPN | South Carolina | Auburn | Should be rather close game–loser’s coach on hot seat |
12:00 PM | ESPN2 | E. Carolina | Navy | Replaces Tulsa-Cinti. |
12:00 PM | FOX | West Virginia | Kansas | Probably a dud game |
12:00 PM | SECN | Tennessee | Kentucky | Vols own Cats in this series, but an even matchup |
12:00 PM | FSN | Syracuse | Liberty | Flames could win this one and maybe by a lot |
12:00 PM | ESPNU | South Alabama | Texas St. | Only if you are a fan of one of the teams |
12:00 PM | ACCN | Miami (Fla.) | Pittsburgh | Both teams coming off emotional losses |
1:30 PM | CBSSN | UTSA | Army | Game should be over quickly–maybe 120 plays |
2:30 PM | NBC | Notre Dame | Louisville | Irish need to win big to let Clemson know they are there |
3:30 PM | ABC | Memphis | Central Florida | Could it be a 90 to 100-point total? |
3:30 PM | SECN | Arkansas | Ole Miss | Before Hogs were in SEC, this was a rivalry game |
3:30 PM | FSN | NC St. | Duke | A backyard brawl that should make Pack 4-1 |
4:00 PM | ESPN | Mississippi St. | Texas A&M | All’s not well in Starkville all of a sudden |
4:00 PM | ACCN | Wake Forest | Virginia | Expect a close game but maybe not entertaining |
4:00 PM | ESPN2 | Georgia Southern | U Mass | The Minutemen play their first game of the year |
6:00 PM | CBSSN | Louisiana Tech | Marshall | Winner of this game most likely wins CUSA regular season |
7:30 PM | ABC | Florida St. | North Carolina | UNC needs to top half a hundred again to be a contender |
CANCELLED | ||||
8:00 PM | CBS | Alabama | Georgia | Maybe the Regular Season Game of the Year! |
CANCELLED | ||||
8:00 PM | ACCN | Virginia Tech | Boston College | Nice game but not Bama & Dogs |
Coming tomorrow: our for entertainment purposes only handicapping selections that have accidentally made a decent imaginary profit this year. We must be due for a big losing week, but maybe we can back into some additional winners. We heard from a few of you that went against our warning and actually wagered on some longshot parlays that happened to win last week. Please do not think for one second that we can be this lucky again. Don’t wager real money on our fun picks!
December 26, 2015
PiRate Ratings Computer Simulated College Playoffs–Semifinal Round
The Semifinal Round of the 2015-16 PiRate Ratings Computer Simulated Playoffs have been played, and the Final Four has now been whittled down to two.
In case you are wondering why Michigan St., Mississippi, Oklahoma, and Stanford are the Final Four teams, this season’s simulation used the Football Championship Series format of 24 teams. Michigan St. defeated Baylor and Iowa to make it to the semifinals. Ole Miss defeated Houston, Clemson, and North Carolina, as the Rebels were the #16 seed and had to win a play-in game to make it to the Sweet 16. Oklahoma defeated Michigan and Ohio St., while Stanford got here by knocking off Florida St. and Alabama.
Here are the Final Four Semifinal Results.
Semifinal Round | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | F | FD | Rush | Pass | Total |
#16 Ole Miss | 3 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 27 | 18 | 129 | 268 | 397 |
#5 Michigan St. | 0 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 17 | 17 | 161 | 158 | 327 |
#3 Oklahoma | 0 | 3 | 21 | 7 | 31 | 22 | 154 | 247 | 401 |
#7 Stanford | 7 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 17 | 169 | 158 | 327 |
This sets up Simper Bowl IX at Arlington, Texas, next week. 16th-seed Ole Miss will play 3rd-seed Oklahoma.
Fear not ye of computer simulation tremors. Next week, we will run our annual 100 sims on the playoff games–the real ones where that sugar-addicted dude Larry Culpepper will be lurking around somewhere.
December 19, 2015
PiRate Ratings Computer Simulated College Playoffs–Quarterfinal Round
The first two rounds of the Computer Simulated NCAA Playoffs have been previously posted here. Today’s Quarterfinal Round featured three teams from the Big Ten, two from the SEC, and one each from the ACC, Big 12, and Pac-12.
If you have not been following our 2015-16 tournament, we are using the same 24-team format currently in use by the Football Championship Division. Here are the contests for the football version of the Elite 8.
Quarterfinal Round | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | F | FD | Rush | Pass | Total | |
#16 Ole Miss | at | 10 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 24 | 163 | 242 | 405 |
#8 North Carolina | 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 17 | 145 | 189 | 334 | |
#7 Stanford | at | 7 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 12 | 130 | 169 | 299 |
#2 Alabama | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 17 | 202 | 116 | 318 | |
#6 Ohio St. | at | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 20 | 20 | 221 | 106 | 327 |
#3 Oklahoma | 5 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 26 | 22 | 137 | 303 | 440 | |
#5 Michigan St. | at | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 19 | 129 | 222 | 351 |
#4 Iowa | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 16 | 172 | 133 | 305 |
The Final Four is now set. In next week’s semifinal round, it will be:
#16 Ole Miss vs. #5 Michigan St. at the Orange Bowl
#7 Stanford vs. #3 Oklahoma at the Cotton Bowl
November 1, 2015
College Football Preview: November 3-7, 2015
The 5-Star College Football Week of the Season
This is the biggest week of the college football season so far. Many questions will be answered by this time next Sunday. The second issuing of the NCAA Playoff Committee will be much different than the first one that comes out Tuesday, as many of the contending teams face off against other contending teams this week. Additionally, there are key games that will weed out conference championship pretenders from the contenders. And, in multiple cases, there will be games where the winners take a giant step toward bowl eligibity, while the losers drop out of the picture.
This is the great Bonanza for you the fan this week.
Tuesday
Northern Illinois at Toledo: Toledo is still in the race for a New Year’s Six Bowl bid. The Rockets hold wins over Arkansas and Iowa State, and they would need for Memphis and Houston to lose before they would have a shot, but it is still possible. Northern Illinois is still in the MAC West Division race.
Wednesday
Ohio at Bowling Green: The MAC East Division title goes to Bowling Green if the Falcons win this game. If Ohio upsets BGU, the Falcons still have a one-game lead.
Thursday
Arkansas St. at Appalachian St.: The winner will hold first place to themselves in the Sun Belt Conference. Both teams are going bowling this year, and if Appy St. wins out to finish 11-1, that could set up an incredible GoDaddy.com bowl between two 11-win teams.
Saturday
Duke at North Carolina: A week after getting “hosed” by the referees, Duke must now win at its arch-rival to stay in the ACC Coastal Division race. A Tar Heel win basically puts North Carolina in the ACC Championship Game.
Florida St. at Clemson: Another impressive CU win could vault the Tigers into the upper two spots in the Playoff bracket with no remaining teams to play as strong as FSU or Notre Dame, who Clemson would have already beaten. If Florida St. can win at Clemson and then at Florida, and if they could then win the ACC Championship Game, the Seminoles would have a chance at the #4 seed.
Arkansas at Ole Miss: This could be a trap game for the Rebels. With a game coming up against LSU, Ole Miss can ill-afford to lose to Arkansas and fall below the Alabama-LSU winner. If Ole Miss can win, the Rebels stay in control in the SEC West Race.
Iowa at Indiana: The Hawkeyes can only make the Playoffs if they win out and then beat either Ohio St. or Michigan St. in the Big Ten Championship Game. Indiana was once 4-0, but they have dropped four straight games. The Hoosiers must come up with two wins in their last four games, and besides this game, they face Michigan and Maryland and Purdue on the road. Kevin Wilson’s job could be on the line.
TCU at Oklahoma St.: The winner should move into the top 4 in the following week’s poll, and Oklahoma State has come out of nowhere to be in this position. The Cowboys host the three other contenders in the league, and at this point, we have to consider them the co-favorite to win the Big 12. The other co-favorite is the team they play Saturday. We believe the winner of this game will emerge as the league champion, but if the league champion loses a game, the destination will most likely be New Orleans for the Sugar Bowl and not the Playoffs.
Cincinnati at Houston: The Cougars can smell that New Year’s 6 Bowl Bid. They have the most advantageous schedule of any of the contending teams for the one guaranteed Group of 5 teams. Cincinnati is out of the NY6 picture, but the Bearcats have an offense capable of matching UH point for point.
Utah St. at New Mexico: Bob Davie has the Lobos close to getting back to a bowl. New Mexico is 4-4 and needs two upsets in their final four games from a group that also includes Boise St., Colorado St., and Air Force. If the Lobos can get an upset in this game, we believe they will get one more. As for Utah St., the Mountain West Mountain Division flag is in their grasp with a previous win over Boise St., but the Aggies must still play at Air Force and cannot afford to slip up here.
Navy at Memphis: Memphis must keep pace with Houston and Toledo in the Group of 5 race. A win here would be considered a quality win, especially if the Tigers can win as convincingly as Notre Dame’s win over the Midshipmen. Navy is basically locked into a Military Bowl bid at this point, but if they beat Memphis and win out, while Houston and Toledo both lose a game ,the Middies could find themselves in the Peach or Fiesta Bowl.
LSU at Alabama: This is the top game of the week. How many times in recent history has this game had national championship repercussions? Can Leonard Fournette keep LSU’s offense moving against a Crimson Tide defense that will force the Tigers to throw the ball or face eight men up front? What about Alabama’s offense? It has been Jekyll and Hyde this year when the Tide has the ball. LSU’s run defense might be up to the task to slow the ‘Bama running game. It should be close and lower than average scoring.
This Week’s Ratings
PiRate Ratings | |||||
# | Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
1 | Alabama | 128.9 | 126.7 | 128.5 | 128.0 |
2 | Ohio St. | 129.0 | 123.6 | 129.8 | 127.5 |
3 | Baylor | 128.3 | 124.8 | 128.8 | 127.3 |
4 | TCU | 129.5 | 121.0 | 130.1 | 126.9 |
5 | Oklahoma | 126.4 | 122.9 | 126.6 | 125.3 |
6 | LSU | 124.3 | 121.5 | 124.7 | 123.5 |
7 | Clemson | 122.6 | 123.8 | 123.3 | 123.2 |
8 | Stanford | 122.5 | 120.7 | 122.2 | 121.8 |
9 | Notre Dame | 122.8 | 119.7 | 122.8 | 121.8 |
10 | USC | 122.7 | 119.1 | 123.1 | 121.6 |
11 | Florida | 121.5 | 118.3 | 121.9 | 120.6 |
12 | Ole Miss | 122.7 | 117.7 | 120.8 | 120.4 |
13 | Tennessee | 121.4 | 117.3 | 121.4 | 120.0 |
14 | Utah | 121.7 | 116.2 | 120.9 | 119.6 |
15 | North Carolina | 117.8 | 118.1 | 117.7 | 117.9 |
16 | UCLA | 120.3 | 114.3 | 118.5 | 117.7 |
17 | Michigan | 118.5 | 115.4 | 118.1 | 117.3 |
18 | Texas A&M | 117.8 | 114.5 | 116.0 | 116.1 |
19 | Arkansas | 118.0 | 112.5 | 117.0 | 115.8 |
20 | Michigan St. | 116.6 | 113.4 | 116.3 | 115.4 |
21 | Mississippi St. | 115.8 | 112.5 | 116.2 | 114.8 |
22 | Oklahoma St. | 115.2 | 112.8 | 115.6 | 114.5 |
23 | California | 116.2 | 110.9 | 115.6 | 114.2 |
24 | Florida St. | 114.1 | 114.8 | 113.4 | 114.1 |
25 | Georgia | 116.9 | 109.8 | 115.5 | 114.1 |
26 | Arizona St. | 116.0 | 110.8 | 115.0 | 113.9 |
27 | Oregon | 116.0 | 109.3 | 115.3 | 113.5 |
28 | Houston | 110.2 | 117.0 | 112.9 | 113.4 |
29 | Wisconsin | 113.2 | 113.5 | 112.7 | 113.1 |
30 | Auburn | 113.8 | 111.2 | 112.8 | 112.6 |
31 | Iowa | 110.7 | 112.9 | 111.3 | 111.6 |
32 | Georgia Tech | 112.7 | 110.3 | 111.3 | 111.4 |
33 | Boise St. | 112.4 | 109.0 | 112.1 | 111.2 |
34 | West Virginia | 113.2 | 107.5 | 112.4 | 111.0 |
35 | Memphis | 110.3 | 111.2 | 111.1 | 110.9 |
36 | Virginia Tech | 110.2 | 109.9 | 110.0 | 110.0 |
37 | North Carolina St. | 109.8 | 111.2 | 108.6 | 109.9 |
38 | Temple | 108.8 | 110.9 | 109.5 | 109.7 |
39 | Washington | 110.3 | 107.7 | 110.9 | 109.6 |
40 | Bowling Green | 106.2 | 111.0 | 109.0 | 108.7 |
41 | Duke | 108.4 | 108.8 | 108.9 | 108.7 |
42 | Missouri | 109.0 | 105.4 | 108.0 | 107.5 |
43 | Louisville | 106.9 | 109.3 | 106.2 | 107.5 |
44 | Pittsburgh | 106.9 | 107.6 | 107.5 | 107.3 |
45 | BYU | 107.1 | 106.3 | 108.0 | 107.1 |
46 | Western Kentucky | 106.4 | 106.5 | 107.7 | 106.9 |
47 | Penn St. | 106.7 | 107.0 | 106.7 | 106.8 |
48 | Nebraska | 107.8 | 106.0 | 106.6 | 106.8 |
49 | San Diego St. | 104.0 | 108.4 | 105.5 | 106.0 |
50 | Cincinnati | 105.0 | 106.1 | 106.3 | 105.8 |
51 | Toledo | 104.6 | 105.6 | 106.3 | 105.5 |
52 | South Carolina | 107.2 | 103.7 | 105.5 | 105.5 |
53 | Miami | 104.1 | 104.7 | 105.1 | 104.6 |
54 | Arizona | 106.6 | 100.9 | 105.4 | 104.3 |
55 | Washington St. | 105.3 | 101.4 | 105.1 | 103.9 |
56 | Minnesota | 104.7 | 103.0 | 104.0 | 103.9 |
57 | Northwestern | 103.9 | 104.0 | 103.5 | 103.8 |
58 | Texas Tech | 106.8 | 98.3 | 106.2 | 103.8 |
59 | Colorado | 105.9 | 100.7 | 104.3 | 103.6 |
60 | Texas | 104.7 | 101.4 | 104.5 | 103.5 |
61 | Louisiana Tech | 102.8 | 102.2 | 103.6 | 102.9 |
62 | Navy | 100.3 | 103.8 | 100.9 | 101.7 |
63 | Kansas St. | 105.3 | 95.2 | 104.3 | 101.6 |
64 | Illinois | 102.6 | 100.7 | 101.4 | 101.6 |
65 | Kentucky | 103.3 | 99.4 | 101.8 | 101.5 |
66 | Virginia | 101.7 | 99.7 | 101.3 | 100.9 |
67 | Appalachian St. | 99.1 | 102.3 | 101.3 | 100.9 |
68 | Utah St. | 100.3 | 100.8 | 100.8 | 100.6 |
69 | Boston College | 99.8 | 103.0 | 98.4 | 100.4 |
70 | Western Michigan | 99.5 | 100.2 | 100.6 | 100.1 |
71 | Iowa St. | 99.9 | 96.4 | 100.1 | 98.8 |
72 | Purdue | 99.2 | 98.5 | 98.0 | 98.6 |
73 | Vanderbilt | 99.9 | 95.9 | 99.7 | 98.5 |
74 | Air Force | 96.8 | 100.8 | 96.3 | 98.0 |
75 | Georgia Southern | 95.9 | 98.7 | 96.8 | 97.1 |
76 | Northern Illinois | 95.3 | 99.2 | 96.0 | 96.8 |
77 | Wake Forest | 95.2 | 98.5 | 94.5 | 96.1 |
78 | Indiana | 96.2 | 96.2 | 95.5 | 96.0 |
79 | Marshall | 95.5 | 96.6 | 95.8 | 96.0 |
80 | East Carolina | 93.4 | 96.9 | 94.2 | 94.8 |
81 | South Florida | 92.5 | 98.4 | 93.3 | 94.7 |
82 | Syracuse | 93.9 | 96.6 | 93.3 | 94.6 |
83 | Maryland | 94.5 | 92.9 | 94.0 | 93.8 |
84 | Rutgers | 95.1 | 92.1 | 93.6 | 93.6 |
85 | Central Michigan | 90.7 | 95.0 | 92.8 | 92.8 |
86 | Southern Mississippi | 91.7 | 93.8 | 92.5 | 92.7 |
87 | Middle Tennessee | 93.2 | 92.0 | 92.7 | 92.6 |
88 | San Jose St. | 91.3 | 94.2 | 91.2 | 92.2 |
89 | Tulsa | 90.1 | 94.4 | 91.1 | 91.9 |
90 | Colorado St. | 92.2 | 90.8 | 91.0 | 91.3 |
91 | Florida International | 90.1 | 92.7 | 90.7 | 91.2 |
92 | Oregon St. | 92.6 | 89.3 | 90.8 | 90.9 |
93 | Connecticut | 88.6 | 93.4 | 89.5 | 90.5 |
94 | Nevada | 88.8 | 92.5 | 88.4 | 89.9 |
95 | Arkansas St. | 89.1 | 89.9 | 89.9 | 89.6 |
96 | Ohio | 87.0 | 91.3 | 88.6 | 89.0 |
97 | New Mexico | 88.2 | 89.0 | 86.9 | 88.0 |
98 | Tulane | 85.4 | 87.7 | 84.9 | 86.0 |
99 | Buffalo | 83.2 | 89.5 | 85.1 | 85.9 |
100 | Massachusetts | 84.6 | 87.2 | 85.4 | 85.7 |
101 | Akron | 83.0 | 88.9 | 84.4 | 85.4 |
102 | UL-Lafayette | 83.6 | 86.7 | 84.1 | 84.8 |
103 | SMU | 83.6 | 87.5 | 83.2 | 84.8 |
104 | Rice | 83.3 | 86.6 | 83.5 | 84.5 |
105 | Hawaii | 83.4 | 85.6 | 83.1 | 84.0 |
106 | Ball St. | 82.7 | 85.1 | 83.6 | 83.8 |
107 | UNLV | 82.6 | 84.6 | 83.2 | 83.5 |
108 | Florida Atlantic | 81.8 | 84.9 | 82.3 | 83.0 |
109 | Troy | 80.7 | 82.1 | 82.2 | 81.7 |
110 | Texas St. | 80.4 | 83.8 | 79.9 | 81.4 |
111 | Fresno St. | 80.7 | 84.4 | 78.9 | 81.3 |
112 | Army | 77.7 | 86.7 | 79.1 | 81.2 |
113 | Wyoming | 80.6 | 82.8 | 79.8 | 81.1 |
114 | UT-San Antonio | 79.8 | 82.3 | 80.6 | 80.9 |
115 | Kent St. | 79.5 | 82.0 | 80.0 | 80.5 |
116 | Central Florida | 79.2 | 82.2 | 79.5 | 80.3 |
117 | UTEP | 76.6 | 79.1 | 76.2 | 77.3 |
118 | South Alabama | 74.7 | 80.7 | 75.6 | 77.0 |
119 | Georgia St. | 76.9 | 76.7 | 77.4 | 77.0 |
120 | Old Dominion | 75.3 | 79.7 | 74.3 | 76.4 |
121 | UL-Monroe | 76.7 | 75.6 | 76.7 | 76.3 |
122 | Idaho | 73.1 | 78.5 | 74.4 | 75.3 |
123 | North Texas | 73.2 | 78.0 | 73.6 | 74.9 |
124 | Miami (O) | 73.1 | 77.6 | 73.5 | 74.7 |
125 | Eastern Michigan | 72.2 | 78.8 | 71.7 | 74.2 |
126 | Kansas | 76.6 | 70.2 | 74.5 | 73.8 |
127 | New Mexico St. | 68.8 | 70.3 | 69.0 | 69.4 |
128 | Charlotte | 68.1 | 70.1 | 67.7 | 68.6 |
PiRate Retrodictive | |
# | Team |
1 | Ohio St. |
2 | Alabama |
3 | TCU |
4 | Clemson |
5 | LSU |
6 | Baylor |
7 | Oklahoma |
8 | Michigan St. |
9 | Notre Dame |
10 | Utah |
11 | Iowa |
12 | Florida |
13 | Stanford |
14 | Oklahoma St. |
15 | Michigan |
16 | Memphis |
17 | Ole Miss |
18 | USC |
19 | Houston |
20 | Florida St. |
21 | North Carolina |
22 | Mississippi St. |
23 | Toledo |
24 | Wisconsin |
25 | Texas A&M |
26 | UCLA |
27 | Navy |
28 | Temple |
29 | BYU |
30 | Tennessee |
31 | Northwestern |
32 | Penn St. |
33 | California |
34 | Boise St. |
35 | Appalachian St. |
36 | Bowling Green |
37 | Duke |
38 | Pittsburgh |
39 | Oregon |
40 | Washington |
41 | Western Kentucky |
42 | Arkansas |
43 | Miami (Fla) |
44 | Georgia |
45 | Cincinnati |
46 | Texas Tech |
47 | Washington St. |
48 | Louisville |
49 | Utah St. |
50 | North Carolina St. |
51 | Georgia Southern |
52 | Auburn |
53 | West Virginia |
54 | Marshall |
55 | Louisiana Tech |
56 | Virginia Tech |
57 | Arizona St. |
58 | San Diego St. |
59 | Western Michigan |
60 | Central Michigan |
61 | Kansas St. |
62 | Air Force |
63 | Georgia Tech |
64 | Minnesota |
65 | Illinois |
66 | Iowa St. |
67 | Indiana |
68 | Northern Illinois |
69 | Virginia |
70 | Missouri |
71 | Texas |
72 | South Carolina |
73 | Arizona |
74 | Kentucky |
75 | Arkansas St. |
76 | Southern Miss. |
77 | Tulsa |
78 | Connecticut |
79 | South Florida |
80 | East Carolina |
81 | Nebraska |
82 | Colorado |
83 | Boston College |
84 | Syracuse |
85 | Ohio |
86 | Purdue |
87 | Vanderbilt |
88 | Maryland |
89 | Rutgers |
90 | Buffalo |
91 | MTSU |
92 | Wake Forest |
93 | Louisiana-Lafayette |
94 | Colorado St. |
95 | San Jose St. |
96 | Kent St. |
97 | Rice |
98 | Akron |
99 | Nevada |
100 | South Alabama |
101 | Oregon St. |
102 | Troy |
103 | Florida Int’l. |
104 | Ball St. |
105 | UNLV |
106 | New Mexico |
107 | Tulane |
108 | SMU |
109 | Army |
110 | Old Dominion |
111 | Texas St. |
112 | Fresno St. |
113 | Massachusetts |
114 | Idaho |
115 | Florida Atlantic |
116 | Georgia St. |
117 | Hawaii |
118 | Kansas |
119 | Louisiana-Monroe |
120 | Wyoming |
121 | UTSA |
122 | UTEP |
123 | Miami (O) |
124 | Eastern Michigan |
125 | North Texas |
126 | Central Florida |
127 | Charlotte |
128 | New Mexico St. |
PiRate Ratings By Conference
American Athletic Conference | ||||||
East Division | ||||||
Team | Conference | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Temple | 4-0 | 7-1 | 108.8 | 110.9 | 109.5 | 109.7 |
Cincinnati | 2-2 | 5-3 | 105.0 | 106.1 | 106.3 | 105.8 |
East Carolina | 2-3 | 4-5 | 93.4 | 96.9 | 94.2 | 94.8 |
South Florida | 2-2 | 4-4 | 92.5 | 98.4 | 93.3 | 94.7 |
Connecticut | 2-3 | 4-5 | 88.6 | 93.4 | 89.5 | 90.5 |
Central Florida | 0-5 | 0-9 | 79.2 | 82.2 | 79.5 | 80.3 |
West Division | ||||||
Team | Conference | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Houston | 4-0 | 8-0 | 110.2 | 117.0 | 112.9 | 113.4 |
Memphis | 4-0 | 8-0 | 110.3 | 111.2 | 111.1 | 110.9 |
Navy | 4-0 | 6-1 | 100.3 | 103.8 | 100.9 | 101.7 |
Tulsa | 1-3 | 4-4 | 90.1 | 94.4 | 91.1 | 91.9 |
Tulane | 1-4 | 2-6 | 85.4 | 87.7 | 84.9 | 86.0 |
SMU | 0-4 | 1-7 | 83.6 | 87.5 | 83.2 | 84.8 |
AAC Averages | 95.6 | 99.1 | 96.4 | 97.0 | ||
Atlantic Coast Conference | ||||||
Atlantic Division | ||||||
Team | Conference | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Clemson | 5-0 | 8-0 | 122.6 | 123.8 | 123.3 | 123.2 |
Florida St. | 5-1 | 7-1 | 114.1 | 114.8 | 113.4 | 114.1 |
North Carolina St. | 1-3 | 5-3 | 109.8 | 111.2 | 108.6 | 109.9 |
Louisville | 3-2 | 4-4 | 106.9 | 109.3 | 106.2 | 107.5 |
Boston College | 0-6 | 3-6 | 99.8 | 103.0 | 98.4 | 100.4 |
Wake Forest | 1-5 | 3-6 | 95.2 | 98.5 | 94.5 | 96.1 |
Syracuse | 1-3 | 3-5 | 93.9 | 96.6 | 93.3 | 94.6 |
Coastal Division | ||||||
Team | Conference | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
North Carolina | 4-0 | 7-1 | 117.8 | 118.1 | 117.7 | 117.9 |
Georgia Tech | 1-5 | 3-6 | 112.7 | 110.3 | 111.3 | 111.4 |
Virginia Tech | 2-3 | 4-5 | 110.2 | 109.9 | 110.0 | 110.0 |
Duke | 3-1 | 6-2 | 108.4 | 108.8 | 108.9 | 108.7 |
Pittsburgh | 4-1 | 6-2 | 106.9 | 107.6 | 107.5 | 107.3 |
Miami | 2-2 | 5-3 | 104.1 | 104.7 | 105.1 | 104.6 |
Virginia | 2-2 | 3-5 | 101.7 | 99.7 | 101.3 | 100.9 |
ACC Averages | 107.4 | 108.3 | 107.1 | 107.6 | ||
Big 12 Conference | ||||||
Team | Conference | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Baylor | 4-0 | 7-0 | 128.3 | 124.8 | 128.8 | 127.3 |
TCU | 5-0 | 8-0 | 129.5 | 121.0 | 130.1 | 126.9 |
Oklahoma | 4-1 | 7-1 | 126.4 | 122.9 | 126.6 | 125.3 |
Oklahoma St. | 5-0 | 8-0 | 115.2 | 112.8 | 115.6 | 114.5 |
West Virginia | 0-4 | 3-4 | 113.2 | 107.5 | 112.4 | 111.0 |
Texas Tech | 2-4 | 5-4 | 106.8 | 98.3 | 106.2 | 103.8 |
Texas | 2-3 | 3-5 | 104.7 | 101.4 | 104.5 | 103.5 |
Kansas St. | 0-4 | 3-4 | 105.3 | 95.2 | 104.3 | 101.6 |
Iowa St. | 2-3 | 3-5 | 99.9 | 96.4 | 100.1 | 98.8 |
Kansas | 0-5 | 0-8 | 76.6 | 70.2 | 74.5 | 73.8 |
Big 12 Averages | 110.6 | 105.1 | 110.3 | 108.7 | ||
Big Ten Conference | ||||||
East Division | ||||||
Team | Conference | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Ohio St. | 4-0 | 8-0 | 129.0 | 123.6 | 129.8 | 127.5 |
Michigan | 3-1 | 6-2 | 118.5 | 115.4 | 118.1 | 117.3 |
Michigan St. | 4-0 | 8-0 | 116.6 | 113.4 | 116.3 | 115.4 |
Penn St. | 4-1 | 7-2 | 106.7 | 107.0 | 106.7 | 106.8 |
Indiana | 0-4 | 4-4 | 96.2 | 96.2 | 95.5 | 96.0 |
Maryland | 0-4 | 2-6 | 94.5 | 92.9 | 94.0 | 93.8 |
Rutgers | 1-4 | 3-5 | 95.1 | 92.1 | 93.6 | 93.6 |
West Division | ||||||
Team | Conference | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Wisconsin | 4-1 | 7-2 | 113.2 | 113.5 | 112.7 | 113.1 |
Iowa | 4-0 | 8-0 | 110.7 | 112.9 | 111.3 | 111.6 |
Nebraska | 1-4 | 3-6 | 107.8 | 106.0 | 106.6 | 106.8 |
Minnesota | 1-3 | 4-4 | 104.7 | 103.0 | 104.0 | 103.9 |
Northwestern | 2-2 | 6-2 | 103.9 | 104.0 | 103.5 | 103.8 |
Illinois | 1-3 | 4-4 | 102.6 | 100.7 | 101.4 | 101.6 |
Purdue | 1-3 | 2-6 | 99.2 | 98.5 | 98.0 | 98.6 |
Big Ten Averages | 107.1 | 105.7 | 106.5 | 106.4 | ||
Conference USA | ||||||
East Division | ||||||
Team | Conference | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Western Kentucky | 5-0 | 7-2 | 106.4 | 106.5 | 107.7 | 106.9 |
Marshall | 5-0 | 8-1 | 95.5 | 96.6 | 95.8 | 96.0 |
Middle Tennessee | 2-2 | 3-5 | 93.2 | 92.0 | 92.7 | 92.6 |
Florida International | 2-3 | 4-5 | 90.1 | 92.7 | 90.7 | 91.2 |
Florida Atlantic | 2-3 | 2-6 | 81.8 | 84.9 | 82.3 | 83.0 |
Old Dominion | 1-3 | 3-5 | 75.3 | 79.7 | 74.3 | 76.4 |
Charlotte | 0-5 | 2-6 | 68.1 | 70.1 | 67.7 | 68.6 |
West Division | ||||||
Team | Conference | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Louisiana Tech | 4-1 | 6-3 | 102.8 | 102.2 | 103.6 | 102.9 |
Southern Mississippi | 4-1 | 6-3 | 91.7 | 93.8 | 92.5 | 92.7 |
Rice | 2-2 | 4-4 | 83.3 | 86.6 | 83.5 | 84.5 |
UT-San Antonio | 1-3 | 1-7 | 79.8 | 82.3 | 80.6 | 80.9 |
UTEP | 1-3 | 3-5 | 76.6 | 79.1 | 76.2 | 77.3 |
North Texas | 1-4 | 1-7 | 73.2 | 78.0 | 73.6 | 74.9 |
CUSA Averages | 86.0 | 88.0 | 86.2 | 86.8 | ||
FBS Independents | ||||||
Team | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average | |
Notre Dame | 7-1 | 122.8 | 119.7 | 122.8 | 121.8 | |
BYU | 6-2 | 107.1 | 106.3 | 108.0 | 107.1 | |
Army | 2-6 | 77.7 | 86.7 | 79.1 | 81.2 | |
Independents Averages | 102.5 | 104.2 | 103.3 | 103.4 | ||
Mid-American Conference | ||||||
East Division | ||||||
Team | Conference | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Bowling Green | 4-0 | 6-2 | 106.2 | 111.0 | 109.0 | 108.7 |
Ohio | 2-2 | 5-3 | 87.0 | 91.3 | 88.6 | 89.0 |
Buffalo | 2-2 | 4-4 | 83.2 | 89.5 | 85.1 | 85.9 |
Massachusetts | 0-4 | 1-7 | 84.6 | 87.2 | 85.4 | 85.7 |
Akron | 1-3 | 3-5 | 83.0 | 88.9 | 84.4 | 85.4 |
Kent St. | 2-2 | 3-5 | 79.5 | 82.0 | 80.0 | 80.5 |
Miami (O) | 0-5 | 1-8 | 73.1 | 77.6 | 73.5 | 74.7 |
West Division | ||||||
Team | Conference | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Toledo | 4-0 | 7-0 | 104.6 | 105.6 | 106.3 | 105.5 |
Western Michigan | 4-0 | 5-3 | 99.5 | 100.2 | 100.6 | 100.1 |
Northern Illinois | 3-1 | 5-3 | 95.3 | 99.2 | 96.0 | 96.8 |
Central Michigan | 4-1 | 5-4 | 90.7 | 95.0 | 92.8 | 92.8 |
Ball St. | 2-3 | 3-6 | 82.7 | 85.1 | 83.6 | 83.8 |
Eastern Michigan | 0-5 | 1-8 | 72.2 | 78.8 | 71.7 | 74.2 |
MAC Averages | 87.8 | 91.6 | 89.0 | 89.5 | ||
Mountain West Conference | ||||||
Mountain Division | ||||||
Team | Conference | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Boise St. | 4-1 | 7-2 | 112.4 | 109.0 | 112.1 | 111.2 |
Utah St. | 4-1 | 5-3 | 100.3 | 100.8 | 100.8 | 100.6 |
Air Force | 4-1 | 5-3 | 96.8 | 100.8 | 96.3 | 98.0 |
Colorado St. | 1-3 | 3-5 | 92.2 | 90.8 | 91.0 | 91.3 |
New Mexico | 2-2 | 4-4 | 88.2 | 89.0 | 86.9 | 88.0 |
Wyoming | 1-4 | 1-8 | 80.6 | 82.8 | 79.8 | 81.1 |
West Division | ||||||
Team | Conference | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
San Diego St. | 5-0 | 6-3 | 104.0 | 108.4 | 105.5 | 106.0 |
San Jose St. | 3-2 | 4-4 | 91.3 | 94.2 | 91.2 | 92.2 |
Nevada | 2-2 | 4-4 | 88.8 | 92.5 | 88.4 | 89.9 |
Hawaii | 0-5 | 2-7 | 83.4 | 85.6 | 83.1 | 84.0 |
UNLV | 1-3 | 2-6 | 82.6 | 84.6 | 83.2 | 83.5 |
Fresno St. | 1-4 | 2-6 | 80.7 | 84.4 | 78.9 | 81.3 |
MWC Averages | 91.8 | 93.6 | 91.4 | 92.3 | ||
Pac-12 Conference | ||||||
North Division | ||||||
Team | Conference | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Stanford | 6-0 | 7-1 | 122.5 | 120.7 | 122.2 | 121.8 |
California | 2-3 | 5-3 | 116.2 | 110.9 | 115.6 | 114.2 |
Oregon | 3-2 | 5-3 | 116.0 | 109.3 | 115.3 | 113.5 |
Washington | 2-3 | 4-4 | 110.3 | 107.7 | 110.9 | 109.6 |
Washington St. | 3-2 | 5-3 | 105.3 | 101.4 | 105.1 | 103.9 |
Oregon St. | 0-5 | 2-6 | 92.6 | 89.3 | 90.8 | 90.9 |
South Division | ||||||
Team | Conference | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
USC | 3-2 | 5-3 | 122.7 | 119.1 | 123.1 | 121.6 |
Utah | 4-1 | 7-1 | 121.7 | 116.2 | 120.9 | 119.6 |
UCLA | 3-2 | 6-2 | 120.3 | 114.3 | 118.5 | 117.7 |
Arizona St. | 2-3 | 4-4 | 116.0 | 110.8 | 115.0 | 113.9 |
Arizona | 2-4 | 5-4 | 106.6 | 100.9 | 105.4 | 104.3 |
Colorado | 1-4 | 4-5 | 105.9 | 100.7 | 104.3 | 103.6 |
Pac-12 Averages | 113.0 | 108.4 | 112.3 | 111.2 | ||
Southeastern Conference | ||||||
East Division | ||||||
Team | Conference | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Florida | 5-1 | 7-1 | 121.5 | 118.3 | 121.9 | 120.6 |
Tennessee | 2-3 | 4-4 | 121.4 | 117.3 | 121.4 | 120.0 |
Georgia | 3-3 | 5-3 | 116.9 | 109.8 | 115.5 | 114.1 |
Missouri | 1-4 | 4-4 | 109.0 | 105.4 | 108.0 | 107.5 |
South Carolina | 1-5 | 3-5 | 107.2 | 103.7 | 105.5 | 105.5 |
Kentucky | 2-4 | 4-4 | 103.3 | 99.4 | 101.8 | 101.5 |
Vanderbilt | 1-3 | 3-5 | 99.9 | 95.9 | 99.7 | 98.5 |
West Division | ||||||
Team | Conference | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Alabama | 4-1 | 7-1 | 128.9 | 126.7 | 128.5 | 128.0 |
LSU | 4-0 | 7-0 | 124.3 | 121.5 | 124.7 | 123.5 |
Ole Miss | 4-1 | 7-2 | 122.7 | 117.7 | 120.8 | 120.4 |
Texas A&M | 3-2 | 6-2 | 117.8 | 114.5 | 116.0 | 116.1 |
Arkansas | 2-2 | 4-4 | 118.0 | 112.5 | 117.0 | 115.8 |
Mississippi St. | 2-2 | 6-2 | 115.8 | 112.5 | 116.2 | 114.8 |
Auburn | 1-4 | 4-4 | 113.8 | 111.2 | 112.8 | 112.6 |
SEC Averages | 115.8 | 111.9 | 115.0 | 114.2 | ||
Sunbelt Conference | ||||||
Team | Conference | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Appalachian St. | 4-0 | 7-1 | 99.1 | 102.3 | 101.3 | 100.9 |
Georgia Southern | 4-1 | 6-2 | 95.9 | 98.7 | 96.8 | 97.1 |
Arkansas St. | 4-0 | 5-3 | 89.1 | 89.9 | 89.9 | 89.6 |
UL-Lafayette | 2-1 | 3-4 | 83.6 | 86.7 | 84.1 | 84.8 |
Troy | 1-3 | 2-6 | 80.7 | 82.1 | 82.2 | 81.7 |
Texas St. | 1-2 | 2-5 | 80.4 | 83.8 | 79.9 | 81.4 |
South Alabama | 1-2 | 3-4 | 74.7 | 80.7 | 75.6 | 77.0 |
Georgia St. | 1-2 | 2-5 | 76.9 | 76.7 | 77.4 | 77.0 |
UL-Monroe | 0-4 | 1-7 | 76.7 | 75.6 | 76.7 | 76.3 |
Idaho | 2-3 | 3-5 | 73.1 | 78.5 | 74.4 | 75.3 |
New Mexico St. | 1-3 | 1-7 | 68.8 | 70.3 | 69.0 | 69.4 |
Sun Belt Averages | 81.7 | 84.1 | 82.5 | 82.8 |
PiRate Ratings By Conference | |||||
# | League | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
1 | SEC | 115.8 | 111.9 | 115.0 | 114.2 |
2 | Pac-12 | 113.0 | 108.4 | 112.3 | 111.2 |
3 | Big 12 | 110.6 | 105.1 | 110.3 | 108.7 |
4 | ACC | 107.4 | 108.3 | 107.1 | 107.6 |
5 | Big Ten | 107.1 | 105.7 | 106.5 | 106.4 |
6 | Indep. | 102.5 | 104.2 | 103.3 | 103.4 |
7 | AAC | 95.6 | 99.1 | 96.4 | 97.0 |
8 | MWC | 91.8 | 93.6 | 91.4 | 92.3 |
9 | MAC | 87.8 | 91.6 | 89.0 | 89.5 |
10 | CUSA | 86.0 | 88.0 | 86.2 | 86.8 |
11 | SBC | 81.7 | 84.1 | 82.5 | 82.8 |
NCAA Playoffs | |
1 | Ohio St. |
2 | LSU |
3 | Clemson |
4 | Baylor |
Group of 5 Contenders For Automatic New Year’s Six Bowl Bid | ||||
# | Team | |||
1 | Memphis | |||
2 | Houston | |||
3 | Toleo | |||
4 | Temple | |||
5 | Navy |
Power 5 Conferences Bottom 10 | ||
# | Team | |
10 | Iowa St. | |
9 | Purdue | |
8 | Vanderbilt | |
7 | Wake Forest | |
6 | Indiana | |
5 | Syracuse | |
4 | Maryland | |
3 | Rutgers | |
2 | Oregon St. | |
1 | Kansas |
FCS Top 10 | ||
# | Team | PiRate |
1 | Jacksonville St. | 96.6 |
2 | Dartmouth | 92.8 |
3 | Harvard | 92.4 |
4 | Chattanooga | 91.3 |
5 | Illinois St. | 91.1 |
6 | North Dakota St. | 91.0 |
7 | McNeese St. | 90.7 |
8 | Dayton | 90.6 |
9 | Richmond | 90.3 |
10 | Charleston Southern | 89.4 |
This Week’s Games | ||||
Home | Visitor | PiRate | Mean | Bias |
Tuesday, November 3 | ||||
Toledo | Northern Illinois | 12.3 | 9.4 | 10.1 |
Wednesday, November 4 | ||||
Bowling Green | Ohio | 21.2 | 21.7 | 22.4 |
Thursday, November 5 | ||||
Kent St. | Buffalo | -1.2 | -5.0 | -2.6 |
Western Michigan | Ball St. | 19.8 | 18.1 | 20.0 |
Appalachian St. | Arkansas St. | 13.0 | 15.4 | 14.4 |
Kansas St. | Baylor | -20.0 | -26.6 | -21.5 |
Missouri | Mississippi St. | -3.8 | -4.1 | -5.2 |
Fresno St. | Nevada | -5.1 | -5.1 | -6.5 |
Friday, November 6 | ||||
SMU | Temple | -22.2 | -20.4 | -23.3 |
UTEP | Rice | -4.2 | -5.0 | -4.8 |
San Jose St. | BYU | -12.8 | -9.1 | -13.8 |
Saturday, November 7 | ||||
Massachusetts | Akron | 4.1 | 0.8 | 3.5 |
Western Kentucky | Florida Atlantic | 27.6 | 24.6 | 28.4 |
Tulsa | Central Florida | 13.9 | 15.2 | 14.6 |
Northwestern | Penn St. | 0.2 | 0.0 | -0.2 |
Purdue | Illinois | -0.4 | 0.8 | -0.4 |
Florida Int’l. | Charlotte | 25.0 | 25.6 | 26.0 |
West Virginia | Texas Tech | 9.4 | 12.2 | 9.2 |
North Carolina | Duke | 10.9 | 10.8 | 10.3 |
Florida | Vanderbilt | 24.6 | 25.4 | 25.2 |
Georgia | Kentucky | 16.6 | 13.4 | 16.7 |
Pittsburgh | Notre Dame | -12.9 | -9.1 | -12.3 |
Louisville | Syracuse | 16.0 | 15.7 | 15.9 |
Boston College | North Carolina St. | -7.0 | -5.2 | -7.2 |
Colorado | Stanford | -13.6 | -17.0 | -14.9 |
Georgia St. | Louisiana-Lafayette | -4.2 | -7.5 | -4.2 |
Miami (O) | Eastern Michigan | 3.4 | 1.3 | 4.3 |
South Alabama | Idaho | 5.1 | 5.7 | 4.7 |
Wyoming | Colorado St. | -9.6 | -6.0 | -9.2 |
Miami (Fla) | Virginia | 4.9 | 7.5 | 6.3 |
Clemson | Florida St. | 11.5 | 12.0 | 12.9 |
Ole Miss | Arkansas | 7.7 | 8.2 | 6.8 |
Air Force | Army | 22.1 | 17.1 | 20.2 |
Washington St. | Arizona St. | -7.7 | -6.4 | -6.9 |
Indiana | Iowa | -11.5 | -13.7 | -12.8 |
Maryland | Wisconsin | -15.7 | -17.6 | -15.7 |
Michigan | Rutgers | 26.4 | 26.3 | 27.5 |
Oklahoma St. | TCU | -11.3 | -5.2 | -11.5 |
Louisiana Tech | North Texas | 32.6 | 27.2 | 33.0 |
Middle Tennessee | Marshall | 0.7 | -1.6 | -0.1 |
Houston | Cincinnati | 8.2 | 13.9 | 9.6 |
Troy | Louisiana-Monroe | 6.5 | 9.0 | 8.0 |
New Mexico | Utah St. | -9.1 | -8.8 | -10.9 |
Texas St. | New Mexico St. | 13.6 | 15.5 | 12.9 |
Tulane | Connecticut | -2.0 | -2.7 | -1.6 |
Tennessee | South Carolina | 17.2 | 16.6 | 18.9 |
Oregon St. | UCLA | -24.7 | -22.0 | -24.7 |
UNLV | Hawaii | 3.2 | 3.0 | 4.1 |
Memphis | Navy | 13.0 | 10.4 | 13.2 |
UTSA | Old Dominion | 7.0 | 5.1 | 8.8 |
Oklahoma | Iowa St. | 29.5 | 29.5 | 29.5 |
Nebraska | Michigan St. | -5.8 | -4.4 | -6.7 |
Washington | Utah | -8.4 | -5.5 | -7.0 |
Texas A&M | Auburn | 7.0 | 6.3 | 6.2 |
East Carolina | South Florida | 3.9 | 1.5 | 3.9 |
Alabama | LSU | 7.6 | 8.2 | 6.8 |
Texas | Kansas | 31.1 | 34.2 | 33.0 |
Ohio St. | Minnesota | 27.3 | 23.6 | 28.8 |
Oregon | California | 2.8 | 1.4 | 2.7 |
USC | Arizona | 19.1 | 21.2 | 20.7 |
Playoff and Bowl Projections
Bowl | Conferences | Team | vs. | Team | |
Cure | AAC | SBC | Cincinnati | vs. | Arkansas St. |
New Mexico | MWC | CUSA | Colorado St. | vs. | Old Dominion |
Las Vegas | Pac-12 | MWC/BYU | Washington St. | vs. | BYU |
Camellia | MAC | SBC | Ohio U | vs. | Georgia Southern |
New Orleans | CUSA | SBC | Southern Miss. | vs. | Louisiana-Lafayette |
Miami Beach | AAC | CUSA | Memphis | vs. | Western Kentucky |
Idaho Potato | MAC | MWC | Western Michigan | vs. | Utah St. |
Boca Raton | AAC | MAC | Temple | vs. | Bowling Green |
Poinsettia | MWC | Army | Boise St. | vs. | Washington * |
GoDaddy | MAC | SBC | Toledo | vs. | Appalachian St. |
Bahamas | CUSA | MAC | Louisiana Tech | vs. | Northern Illinois |
Hawaii | AAC | MWC/BYU | Tulsa | vs. | San Diego St. |
St. Petersburg | AAC | CUSA | South Florida | vs. | Marshall |
Sun | ACC | Pac-12 | North Carolina | vs. | Oregon |
Heart of Dallas | Big 12 | CUSA | Texas St. * | vs. | Rice |
Pinstripe | ACC | Big Ten | Pittsburgh | vs. | Rutgers ^ |
Independence | SEC | ACC | Akron * | vs. | Virginia Tech |
Foster Farms | Big Ten | Pac-12 | Miami (Fla) * | vs. | California |
Military | ACC | AAC | North Carolina St. | vs. | Navy |
Quick Lane | ACC | Big Ten | Louisville | vs. | Buffalo * |
Armed Forces | Big Ten | MWC | Central Michigan * | vs. | Air Force |
Russell Athletic | ACC | Big 12 | Notre Dame | vs. | Oklahoma |
Arizona | CUSA | MWC | Middle Tennessee | vs. | Nevada |
Texas | Big 12 | SEC | Texas Tech | vs. | Mississippi St. |
Birmingham | AAC | SEC | East Carolina | vs. | Auburn |
Belk | ACC | SEC | Florida St. | vs. | Georgia |
Music City | ACC/Big Ten | SEC | Penn St. | vs. | Kentucky |
Peach | N. Y. 6 | N. Y. 6 | Iowa | vs. | LSU |
Cotton | Playoff | Playoff | Ohio St. | vs. | Alabama |
Orange | Playoff | Playoff | Clemson | vs. | Oklahoma St. |
Holiday | Big Ten | Pac-12 | Michigan | vs. | UCLA |
Ouback | Big Ten | SEC | Northwestern | vs. | Tennessee |
Citrus | Big Ten | SEC | Wisconsin | vs. | Ole Miss |
Sugar | Big 12 | SEC | TCU | vs. | Florida |
Rose | Big Ten | Pac-12 | Michigan St. | vs. | Stanford |
Fiesta | N. Y. 6 | N. Y. 6 | Utah | vs. | Houston |
TaxSlayer | ACC/Big Ten | SEC | Duke | vs. | Texas A&M |
Liberty | Big 12 | SEC | West Virginia | vs. | Arkansas |
Alamo | Big 12 | Pac-12 | Baylor | vs. | USC |
Cactus | Big 12 | Pac-12 | Kansas St. | vs. | Arizona St. |
Nat’l Champ. | Semifinal | Winners | Ohio St. | vs. | Clemson |
* = At-large selection due to contracted conference not having an eligible team for this slot | |||||
^ = Rutgers qualifies for a bowl at 5-7 with highest APR score of 5-7 teams |
September 22, 2015
September 15, 2015
September 9, 2015
March 15, 2015
Bracketology Update for Sunday Morning, March 15, 2015
Sunday, March 15, 2015. Note to Ole Miss, Indiana, Boise St., Temple, UCLA, Miami, and even Murray St.: BEWARE THE IDES OF MARCH!
The 21st Century Roman-like Senate meets today to decide your fate, and it looks like most if not all of you will be judged by a modern day conspiratorial conclave led by today’s Brutus and Cassius. Your fate will be a stabbing in the back, and this day will launch the great Civil War known as the NCAA Tournament, where the next Augustus could be sitting in a chair in the Bridgestone Arena in Nashville this afternoon, wearing Royal Blue with the letter “K” emblazoned upon it.
We are down to just five games before the Selection Committee reveals the official brackets at 6PM EDT today. The Sun Belt Conference Championship Game features top seed Georgia State and top challenger Georgia Southern. If State wins, their seed could be as high as 13, while Southern would receive a 14 or 15 seed if they pull off the upset.
The Atlantic 10 Championship Game could be the most exciting of the quintet today, with Virginia Commonwealth and Dayton facing off in Brooklyn. When these two played a couple weeks back, a missed VCU crip shot off an offensive rebound was all that separated the combatants from going to overtime.
Kentucky and Arkansas face off in the SEC Championship Game. A Wildcat win leaves everything the same as it is now, while an Arkansas upset would only life the Razorbacks up one seeding slot if anything.
Wisconsin looks to wrap up a number one seed, as the Badgers face Michigan State in the Big Ten Championship Game. The Spartans are starting to look like some of Coach Tom Izzo’s better teams that played volleyball on the backboards until the ball went in the hoop. Wisconsin has a habit of playing 10 minutes where they could outscore not even Kentucky, but also the Atlanta Hawks, but then they have a five-minute stretch where they would be outscored by not only Maine but by La Follette High in Madison.
The fifth game is the key game for the Selection Committee, because two teams stand to be affected by the outcome. Connecticut faces SMU in the American Athletic Conference Championship in Hartford, and the Huskies are tough to beat at home and in March. Should U Conn come through and win another tournament title when they were a middle of the pack team, then one team currently penciled into the dance will see the eraser remove their name and send it over to the NIT Selection Committee.
It is still early on Sunday morning, so I apologize that I have not heard from all my bracketologist friends that send me their data. They are entitled to a late Saturday night, and if they were like most of us, they were up late watching the Pac-12, Big West, and WAC Championship Games.
Before we show you our current Bracketology, here are the PiRate Ratings for today’s five games.
Team Team Red White Blue
Kentucky Arkansas 14 11 15
Wisconsin Michigan St. 7 6 4
Connecticut SMU -4 -1 1
Georgia St. Georgia Southern 10 5 8
VCU Dayton 1 1 -1
The Bubble
We do not have all our bracketologists reporting this morning, but from what we do have, it all boils down to four teams. Connecticut is the key here. If the Huskies win today, then two of the other three in this list see their bubble burst. If SMU defeats U Conn, then only one bubble bursts, thanks to Wyoming winning the MWC title last night.
We will offer our opinion of what information we have from the 11 geniuses that have sent in their data.
The teams in trouble are Indiana, Ole Miss, BYU, and Temple in that order. The consensus among the group of 11 is that Indiana was ousted by Wyoming’s win last night and Ole Miss stands to go bust should Connecticut win today. One caveat: the three most accurate of our 26 experts have yet to send in their information today.
Here are the consensus seeds according to the 11 Bracketologists we do have this morning.
1 Kentucky
1 Villanova
1 Wisconsin
1 Duke
2 Virginia
2 Arizona
2 Gonzaga
2 Kansas
3 Iowa St.
3 Maryland
3 Notre Dame
3 Baylor
4 Oklahoma
4 North Carolina
4 Northern Iowa
4 Louisville
5 Arkansas
5 West Virginia
5 Wichita St.
5 SMU
6 Utah
6 Providence
6 Georgetown
6 Butler
7 Michigan St.
7 VCU
7 San Diego St.
7 Oregon
8 Xavier
8 Iowa
8 St. John’s
8 Ohio St.
9 Cincinnati
9 N. C. St.
9 Dayton
9 Oklahoma St.
10 Davidson
10 Georgia
10 Texas
10 Colorado St.
11 LSU
11 Purdue
11 Wyoming
11 Boise St.
11 BYU
12 Temple
12 Ole Miss
12 Buffalo
12 S. F. Austin
12 Wofford
13 Valparaiso
13 Harvard
13 Georgia St.
13 UC Irvine
14 Northeastern
14 Albany
14 New Mexico St.
14 E. Washington
15 N. Dakota St.
15 Belmont
15 UAB
15 Coastal Carolina
16 Texas Southern
16 Lafayette
16 North Florida
16 Manhattan
16 Robert Morris
16 Hampton
First 4 Out
Indiana
UCLA
Miami
Murray St.
December 19, 2014
2014-15 Computer Simulated College Football Playoffs—Final Four
The semifinal round of the 2014-15 College Football Computer Simulated Playoffs has been run through the simulation program, and we now know who will play for the Simper Bowl title. If you have not read our entry from December 8 explaining how and why we perform this computer simulation, read here:
https://piratings.wordpress.com/2014/12/08/2014-15-computer-simulated-playoffs/
In the first round, seeds 5-12 faced off on the higher seeds’ home fields, while seeds 1-4 received byes. In that opening round, #5 Baylor defeated #12 Kansas State 38-24; #6 Florida St. edged #11 Auburn 30-28; #7 Ole Miss beat #10 Georgia 31-28 in 2 ot; and #8 Mississippi St. trounced #9 Michigan St. 45-17.
In the quarterfinal round, #1 Alabama knocked off #8 Mississippi St. 30-17; #7 Ole Miss upset #2 Oregon 24-22; #3 TCU dismissed #6 Florida St. 42-24; and #5 Baylor won at #4 Ohio St. 40-38/
The format for the Final Four is identical to the actual FBS Playoffs. In today’s simulation, we have #7 Ole Miss facing #3 TCU in the Rose Bowl, followed by #1 Alabama and #5 Baylor facing off in the Sugar Bowl.
Without further adieu, here are the results of those games.
Rose Bowl
#3 TCU 27 #7 Ole Miss 10
Stats
First Downs: TC 19 OM 13
Rushing: TC 37-149 OM 32-89
Passing: TC 197 OM 239
Passes: TC 19-33-0 OM 21-39-4
Play-Yds: TC 70-346 OM 71-328
After 1st Qtr: TC 0 OM 0
Half: TC 7 OM 7
After 3rd Qtr: TC 20 OM 7
Sugar Bowl
#5 Baylor 26 #1 Alabama 24
Stats
First Downs BA 20 AL 19
Rushing: BA 26-79 AL 35-243
Passing: BA 419 AL 238
Passes: BA 35-53-1 AL 19-34-3
Play-Yds: BA 79-498 AL 69-481
After 1st Qtr: AL 10 BA 3
Half: AL 17 BA 16
After 3rd Qtr: BA 19 AL 17
And lo and behold, look who will be facing off in Simper Bowl VIII? It’s the two Big 12 teams that were not invited to the real inaugural playoffs. The simulator says that TCU and Baylor are the two best teams. As Former Texas Governor Rick Perry might say, “Oops!”
Return to this site on Tuesday, December 23 for the results of the simulation for the National Championship between Baylor and TCU.