PiRate Ratings College Football–October 12-16, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Louisiana	Appalachian St.	5.2	3.8	3.3
South Alabama	Georgia Southern	5.9	5.3	5.2
Memphis	Navy	8.1	9.2	8.7
Syracuse	Clemson	-16.5	-16.5	-18.6
North Texas	Marshall	-7.9	-7.7	-8.7
San Jose St.	San Diego St.	-5.6	-5.1	-7.0
Oregon	California	18.6	15.6	17.9
Northern Illinois	Bowling Green	17.3	15.3	17.0
North Carolina	Miami (Fla.)	2.0	3.3	4.0
Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	4.9	3.1	3.7
Kansas	Texas Tech	-16.2	-18.9	-20.6
Indiana	Michigan St.	1.1	0.8	2.0
Wisconsin	Army	11.6	11.6	13.6
Buffalo	Ohio U	11.4	9.4	9.6
South Carolina	Vanderbilt	21.0	21.5	21.6
South Florida	Tulsa	-3.3	-4.0	-3.3
Boston College	North Carolina St.	-0.2	0.9	0.8
Minnesota	Nebraska	-1.8	-1.3	-0.4
Miami (O)	Akron	24.2	23.7	24.1
Cincinnati	Central Florida	24.3	25.2	25.0
Virginia	Duke	16.7	17.2	18.0
Northwestern	Rutgers	3.0	1.1	2.1
Eastern Michigan	Ball St.	0.5	-1.2	-0.5
New Mexico	Colorado St.	-8.9	-9.0	-11.0
Colorado	Arizona	11.8	11.8	11.3
Boise St.	Air Force	8.0	7.4	7.6
Utah	Arizona St.	1.4	0.5	0.2
Wyoming	Fresno St.	0.8	-0.1	-0.4
Washington	UCLA	1.4	2.5	2.4
Louisiana-Monroe	Liberty	-29.5	-30.4	-32.9
Baylor	BYU	7.0	6.9	5.4
Missouri	Texas A&M	-12.1	-12.3	-13.0
Texas	Oklahoma St.	11.3	9.8	11.3
Oklahoma	TCU	14.9	14.0	13.9
Central Michigan	Toledo	2.9	2.2	2.9
Southern Miss.	UAB	-14.7	-13.8	-14.7
Iowa	Purdue	17.2	17.2	17.0
Mississippi St.	Alabama	-17.5	-16.4	-18.5
Western Michigan	Kent St.	1.7	0.6	1.3
Old Dominion	Western Kentucky	-9.1	-9.8	-9.6
Georgia	Kentucky	26.6	24.9	27.4
LSU	Florida	-5.9	-6.6	-5.9
Tennessee	Ole Miss	-4.9	-5.0	-4.8
Texas St.	Troy	-4.6	-7.0	-6.8
Kansas St.	Iowa St.	-10.8	-9.4	-11.4
Arkansas	Auburn	1.5	2.4	1.0
UTSA	Rice	16.8	17.5	17.0
UNLV	Utah St.	-1.9	-3.8	-2.2
UTEP	Louisiana Tech	-7.1	-6.7	-7.1
Washington St.	Stanford	-0.4	-0.2	-0.2
Nevada	Hawaii	10.8	12.5	11.1

FBS vs. FCS Game

FBS	FCS	PiRate
Connecticut	Yale	2.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	135.0
2	Alabama	129.1
3	Ohio St.	126.3
4	Oklahoma	124.2
5	Cincinnati	122.0
6	Iowa St.	120.8
7	Iowa	119.5
8	Texas	118.8
9	Florida	118.5
10	Clemson	117.5
11	Ole Miss	116.9
12	Penn St.	116.9
13	Texas A&M	116.3
14	Auburn	115.6
15	Arizona St.	115.2
16	Arkansas	114.3
17	Michigan	114.1
18	Notre Dame	113.4
19	T C U	113.0
20	Utah	112.9
21	Oregon	112.8
22	U S C	112.4
23	Coastal Carolina	112.2
24	Kentucky	111.8
25	Baylor	111.4
26	Oklahoma St.	111.0
27	Nebraska	110.4
28	North Carolina	110.0
29	Oregon St.	109.9
30	Miami (Fla.)	109.8
31	U C L A	109.7
32	Wisconsin	109.7
33	Michigan St.	109.5
34	L S U	109.3
35	West Virginia	109.0
36	Wake Forest	109.0
37	Tennessee	109.0
38	Washington	108.9
39	Mississippi St.	108.7
40	NC State	108.3
41	BYU	107.9
42	Indiana	107.8
43	Liberty	107.4
44	Kansas St.	107.3
45	Virginia Tech	106.7
46	Louisiana	106.4
47	Minnesota	106.2
48	Pittsburgh	105.8
49	Boston College	105.8
50	Purdue	105.3
51	Appalachian St.	105.3
52	Boise St.	105.2
53	Stanford	104.9
54	Virginia	104.7
55	Houston	104.2
56	Maryland	103.0
57	Louisville	102.8
58	SMU	102.2
59	San Diego St.	102.0
60	Texas Tech	101.8
61	Washington St.	101.6
62	Florida St.	101.5
63	Nevada	101.3
64	Missouri	100.8
65	Fresno St.	100.6
66	Air Force	100.5
67	Army	100.4
68	UCF	100.2
69	Georgia Tech	99.8
70	Colorado	99.7
71	South Carolina	99.3
72	California	98.4
73	Miami (Ohio)	98.1
74	East Carolina	97.9
75	Wyoming	97.7
76	Rutgers	97.6
77	Syracuse	97.3
78	Northwestern	97.1
79	U A B	97.0
80	U T S A	96.8
81	Ball St.	96.3
82	Central Michigan	95.8
83	Toledo	95.6
84	Tulsa	95.3
85	Tulane	94.8
86	Kent St.	94.5
87	Hawaii	93.8
88	Buffalo	93.8
89	Georgia St.	93.6
90	San Jose St.	93.6
91	Illinois	93.5
92	Eastern Michigan	93.4
93	Western Michigan	93.2
94	Memphis	93.1
95	Colorado St.	93.0
96	Florida Atlantic	92.6
97	Marshall	92.0
98	Troy	91.7
99	South Alabama	91.4
100	Arizona	91.1
101	Duke	90.4
102	Utah St.	90.4
103	Louisiana Tech	89.7
104	Northern Illinois	88.8
105	USF	88.8
106	Georgia Southern	88.4
107	Western Kentucky	87.9
108	Navy	86.9
109	Middle Tennessee	86.5
110	Ohio	86.1
111	U N L V	85.3
112	Arkansas St.	83.5
113	Texas St.	83.1
114	Charlotte	83.1
115	Rice	82.3
116	Temple	81.5
117	North Texas	81.4
118	Vanderbilt	80.9
119	New Mexico	80.9
120	Southern Miss.	80.6
121	U T E P	80.3
122	Kansas	80.2
123	Florida Int’l.	77.7
124	Old Dominion	76.4
125	Akron	76.1
126	Bowling Green	74.8
127	UL-Monroe	74.5
128	New Mexico St.	71.0
129	UMass	71.0
130	Connecticut	70.1

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	121.4	121.1	123.6	122.0
Houston	104.4	103.4	104.9	104.2
SMU	101.8	102.3	102.5	102.2
UCF	100.1	98.9	101.6	100.2
East Carolina	97.7	97.1	98.8	97.9
Tulsa	95.4	95.4	95.2	95.3
Tulane	95.1	93.6	95.7	94.8
Memphis	92.6	93.1	93.5	93.1
USF	89.1	88.4	89.0	88.8
Navy	87.0	86.5	87.3	86.9
Temple	80.8	82.1	81.6	81.5
AAC Averages	96.8	96.5	97.6	97.0
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	116.8	116.9	118.7	117.5
Wake Forest	109.2	108.5	109.4	109.0
NC State	108.6	108.0	108.2	108.3
Boston College	105.4	105.9	106.0	105.8
Louisville	102.4	102.1	103.8	102.8
Florida St.	101.3	101.5	101.7	101.5
Syracuse	97.4	97.5	97.1	97.3
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
North Carolina	109.3	109.5	111.1	110.0
Miami (Fla.)	110.3	109.2	110.1	109.8
Virginia Tech	107.4	106.3	106.4	106.7
Pittsburgh	105.5	106.3	105.7	105.8
Virginia	104.1	105.4	104.5	104.7
Georgia Tech	99.8	99.9	99.7	99.8
Duke	90.4	91.3	89.5	90.4
ACC Averages	104.8	104.9	105.1	105.0
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma	125.4	123.3	124.0	124.2
Iowa St.	121.4	119.8	121.2	120.8
Texas	119.6	117.9	118.8	118.8
T C U	113.5	112.4	113.1	113.0
Baylor	112.0	111.4	110.7	111.4
Oklahoma St.	111.3	111.1	110.5	111.0
West Virginia	110.6	108.8	107.8	109.0
Kansas St.	107.6	107.5	106.8	107.3
Texas Tech	101.9	102.2	101.2	101.8
Kansas	82.7	80.3	77.6	80.2
Big 12 Averages	110.6	109.5	109.2	109.7
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	125.8	125.7	127.4	126.3
Penn St.	115.7	116.5	118.4	116.9
Michigan	113.4	114.4	114.6	114.1
Michigan St.	109.6	109.6	109.4	109.5
Indiana	107.6	107.4	108.4	107.8
Maryland	104.1	102.7	102.0	103.0
Rutgers	96.7	98.7	97.3	97.6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Iowa	119.1	118.8	120.6	119.5
Nebraska	110.0	110.4	110.7	110.4
Wisconsin	109.1	109.1	110.7	109.7
Minnesota	105.2	106.1	107.3	106.2
Purdue	104.9	104.5	106.6	105.3
Northwestern	97.2	97.3	96.9	97.1
Illinois	93.3	93.4	93.8	93.5
Big Ten Averages	108.0	108.2	108.9	108.4
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Florida Atlantic	91.9	93.2	92.8	92.6
Marshall	92.0	91.8	92.4	92.0
Western Kentucky	87.0	88.5	88.3	87.9
Middle Tennessee	86.2	86.1	87.2	86.5
Charlotte	82.1	83.2	83.9	83.1
Florida Int’l.	77.1	77.7	78.3	77.7
Old Dominion	75.9	76.7	76.7	76.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U A B	96.9	97.0	97.1	97.0
U T S A	96.6	97.2	96.8	96.8
Louisiana Tech	89.9	90.4	88.9	89.7
Rice	82.3	82.2	82.3	82.3
North Texas	81.6	81.5	81.1	81.4
Southern Miss.	80.2	81.1	80.4	80.6
U T E P	80.3	81.2	79.3	80.3
CUSA Averages	85.7	86.3	86.1	86.0
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	112.7	113.3	114.1	113.4
BYU	108.0	107.4	108.3	107.9
Liberty	106.6	107.5	108.1	107.4
Army	100.5	100.5	100.1	100.4
New Mexico St.	71.4	72.1	69.6	71.0
UMass	72.2	71.6	69.3	71.0
Connecticut	70.6	71.3	68.4	70.1
Indep. Averages	91.7	92.0	91.1	91.6
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	99.7	97.7	96.9	98.1
Kent St.	94.2	95.6	93.7	94.5
Buffalo	94.5	93.5	93.4	93.8
Ohio	85.5	86.6	86.3	86.1
Akron	77.5	76.0	74.8	76.1
Bowling Green	75.2	75.7	73.5	74.8
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ball St.	96.9	97.0	95.0	96.3
Central Michigan	96.7	95.4	95.2	95.8
Toledo	96.3	95.7	94.8	95.6
Eastern Michigan	95.0	93.2	92.0	93.4
Western Michigan	93.3	93.7	92.5	93.2
Northern Illinois	90.0	88.5	88.0	88.8
MAC Averages	91.2	90.7	89.7	90.5
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	105.0	104.8	105.7	105.2
Air Force	100.0	100.4	101.1	100.5
Wyoming	97.3	97.7	98.2	97.7
Colorado St.	92.8	92.9	93.4	93.0
Utah St.	90.1	91.0	90.1	90.4
New Mexico	81.3	81.5	79.9	80.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
San Diego St.	102.3	101.8	101.9	102.0
Nevada	100.7	102.1	101.0	101.3
Fresno St.	99.5	100.9	101.6	100.6
Hawaii	93.9	93.6	93.9	93.8
San Jose St.	94.2	94.1	92.4	93.6
U N L V	85.7	84.8	85.4	85.3
MWC Averages	95.2	95.5	95.4	95.4
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oregon	111.9	112.8	113.8	112.8
Oregon St.	109.8	109.8	110.1	109.9
Washington	107.8	109.3	109.5	108.9
Stanford	104.5	105.4	104.7	104.9
Washington St.	101.2	102.2	101.5	101.6
California	96.3	100.2	98.9	98.4
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Arizona St.	114.6	115.4	115.6	115.2
Utah	113.0	112.9	112.8	112.9
U S C	112.1	112.0	113.0	112.4
U C L A	109.4	109.8	110.0	109.7
Colorado	100.2	99.7	99.2	99.7
Arizona	91.4	90.9	90.9	91.1
Pac-12 Averages	106.0	106.7	106.7	106.5
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	134.5	134.6	136.1	135.0
Florida	117.7	119.2	118.5	118.5
Kentucky	110.9	112.7	111.7	111.8
Tennessee	109.0	108.7	109.2	109.0
Missouri	100.9	101.3	100.3	100.8
South Carolina	99.7	99.4	98.9	99.3
Vanderbilt	81.6	80.9	80.3	80.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	129.2	128.3	129.9	129.1
Ole Miss	116.9	116.7	117.0	116.9
Texas A&M	116.0	116.6	116.3	116.3
Auburn	115.9	115.0	116.0	115.6
Arkansas	114.3	114.4	114.0	114.3
L S U	108.8	109.6	109.6	109.3
Mississippi St.	108.7	108.9	108.4	108.7
SEC Averages	111.7	111.9	111.9	111.8
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Coastal Carolina	112.7	110.9	112.8	112.2
Appalachian St.	104.8	104.5	106.6	105.3
Georgia St.	94.0	93.3	93.6	93.6
Troy	91.5	91.9	91.9	91.7
Georgia Southern	88.4	88.8	88.2	88.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisiana	107.1	105.3	106.9	106.4
South Alabama	91.8	91.6	90.9	91.4
Arkansas St.	83.7	84.1	82.8	83.5
Texas St.	84.4	82.4	82.6	83.1
UL-Monroe	75.1	75.1	73.2	74.5
Sun Averages	93.3	92.8	92.9	93.0

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	111.8
2	Big 12	109.7
3	Big Ten	108.4
4	Pac-12	106.5
5	Atlantic Coast	105.0
6	American Athletic	97.0
7	Mountain West	95.4
8	Sun Belt	93.0
9	Independents	91.6
10	Mid-American	90.5
11	Conference USA	86.0

Bowl Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	Florida Atlantic	Northern Illinois
Cure	SMU	Coastal Carolina
Boca	Louisiana	Air Force
New Mexico	UTEP	Wyoming
Independence	BYU	UAB
Lending Tree	Kent St.	San Jose St.
L. A.	San Diego St.	Arizona St.
New Orleans	Louisiana Tech	Liberty
Myrtle Beach	Charlotte	Appalachian St.
Famous Idaho Potato	Western Michigan	Boise St.
Frisco	Utah St.	Washington St.
Armed Forces	Army	Washington
Gasparilla	Western Ky.	Fresno St.
Hawaii	East Carolina	Hawaii
Camellia	Ball St.	South Alabama
Quick Lane	Central Michigan	Marshall
Military	Virginia	Houston
Birmingham	MTSU	Eastern Michigan
First Responder	Memphis	Kansas St.
Liberty	TCU	Arkansas
Holiday	North Carolina St.	Utah
Guaranteed Rate	Indiana	Texas Tech
Fenway	Central Florida	UTSA
Pinstripe	Pittsburgh	Rutgers
Cheez-It	Boston College	Baylor
Alamo	Iowa St.	UCLA
Duke’s Mayo	Wake Forest	Mississippi St.
Music City	Minnesota	Tennessee
Las Vegas	Wisconsin	Oregon St.
Tax Slayer Gator	Virginia Tech	Auburn
Tony The Tiger Sun	North Carolina	USC
Arizona	Toledo	Nevada
Citrus	Penn St.	Ole Miss
Outback	Michigan	Florida
Texas	Texas	Texas A&M
Peach	Clemson	Alabama
Fiesta	Notre Dame	Michigan St.
Rose	Oregon	Iowa
Sugar	Kentucky	Oklahoma St.
Cotton	Ohio St.	Cincinnati
Orange	Georgia	Oklahoma
Championship	Georgia	Ohio St.

PiRate Ratings Bracketology

Date	3/13/2021
Seed	Team	Team	Team	Team	Team	Team
1	Gonzaga	Baylor	Michigan	Illinois
2	Ohio St.	Alabama	Iowa	Oklahoma St.
3	Houston	Arkansas	Kansas	Texas
4	Florida St.	Purdue	West Virginia	Virginia
5	Tennessee	Creighton	Colorado	Villanova
6	Oregon	USC	Texas Tech	Missouri
7	LSU	Oklahoma	Wisconsin	Clemson
8	BYU	Florida	Loyola (Chi.)	North Carolina
9	Rutgers	San Diego St.	Virginia Tech	Connecticut
10	St. Bonaventure	Georgia Tech	VCU	Maryland
11	Wichita St.	Michigan St.	UCLA	Louisville
12	Western Ky.	Winthrop	Syracuse	Drake	Utah St.	Ole Miss
13	UCSB	Liberty	UNCG	Colgate
14	Buffalo	Morehead St.	Abilene Christian	E. Washington
15	Cleveland St.	Grand Canyon	Oral Roberts	Drexel
16	Iona	Mount St. Mary’s	Appalachian St.	Hartford	Norfolk St.	Prairie View A&M

First Four Out–Alternates

69 Saint Louis

70 Colorado St.

71 Boise St.

72 Xavier

Potential Bubble Busters: Memphis. Georgetown, and Oregon St.

PiRate Ratings Bracketology

Date	3/8/2021
Seed	Team	Team	Team	Team	Team	Team
1	Gonzaga	Baylor	Michigan	Illinois
2	Ohio St.	Alabama	Iowa	West Virginia
3	Houston	Arkansas	Kansas	Villanova
4	Purdue	Texas	Oklahoma St.	Florida St.
5	Virginia	Texas Tech	USC	Tennessee
6	Creighton	Colorado	Clemson	Oklahoma
7	Oregon	Missouri	Wisconsin	Florida
8	BYU	LSU	Virginia Tech	Connecticut
9	Rutgers	San Diego St.	Loyola (Chi.)	North Carolina
10	Maryland	St. Bonaventure	UCLA	Louisville
11	Georgia Tech	Michigan St.	VCU	Colorado St.
12	Western Ky.	Toledo	Boise St.	Drake	Wichita St.	Xavier
13	UCSB	Winthrop	Liberty	Colgate
14	UNCG	S. Dakota St.	Morehead St.	Abilene Chr.
15	E. Washington	Georgia St.	Siena	Cleveland St.
16	Northeastern	Bryant	Grand Canyon	Hartford	Norfolk St.	Prairie View A&M

Teams in Bold have secured automatic bids

The Bad Side of the Bubble

69	Ole Miss
70	Syracuse
71	Utah St.
72	Saint Louis
73	Seton Hall
74	SMU
75	St. John’s
76	North Carolina St.

Bracketnomics Tutorial Release Coming This Week!

Until recently, when our breakthrough Sabertooth Baseball Game went viral due to a Facebook post that we still do not know who the benevolent benefactor of great news is, our most popular annual activity here on the PiRate Ratings has been “Bracketnomics.”

For years, we have used technical statistics and other data to isolate the real March Madness contenders from the pretenders and to eliminate certain higher seeds due to their possessing “uh-oh” stats that show them ripe for a quick upset.

We were all set to debut our latest evolution of Bracketnomics last year, until Covidnomics defeated all sports in March of 2020. It gave us extra time to scour our resources and to look for more trends, in addition to the tried and true methods we have used for years.

Coming Friday, we will release our Bracketnomics 2021 Tutorial, so you can have the weekend to look it over and use the information the best way you know how. Please let the best way you know how be a method that involves no financial risk.

The PiRate Ratings personal creation of “R+T” Rating, schedule strength, and the Four Factors still hold considerable importance, but the handicapping of each data point has changed. Other sets of data added to the mix should let you clearly see which teams have the look of past national champions, Final Four participants, and even Cinderella Mid-Majors that might be ready to wear the slipper until there are just eight teams remaining.

Oh, and if you haven’t heard about our advanced analytics tabletop baseball game that went viral over the weekend, you can check it out at our sister site: https://sabertoothbaseball.wordpress.com and order a game at https://sabertooth-baseball.square.site , or click the link in the WordPress site.

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

Tuesday, March 2, 2021

Home	Visitor	Spread
Central Florida	Tulsa	3.4
South Florida	Memphis	-8.4
Pittsburgh	Wake Forest	8.6
Georgia Tech	Duke	2.4
West Virginia	Baylor	-4.2
Iowa St.	Texas	-11.4
Texas Tech	TCU	12.3
Georgetown	Xavier	-2.1
DePaul	Marquette	-2.6
Michigan	Illinois	5.5
Michigan St.	Indiana	-0.1
Purdue	Wisconsin	2.1
Cleveland St.	Purdue Fort Wayne	10.0
Northern Kentucky	Detroit	-0.9
Wright St.	Milwaukee	15.8
Oakland	Youngstown St.	3.0
Buffalo	Akron	5.7
Central Michigan	Toledo	-15.6
Kent St.	Ohio	3.4
Eastern Michigan	Ball St.	-4.7
Northern Illinois	Western Michigan	-2.5
Bowling Green	Miami (O)	5.6
Boise St.	Fresno St.	14.8
Wagner	Merrimack	6.1
South Carolina	Arkansas	-7.5
Alabama	Auburn	10.6
LSU	Vanderbilt	9.8
Ole Miss	Kentucky	1.0
New Mexico St.	UT Rio Grande Valley	6.2

Tuesday Night Must Watch TV

If you were going to choose a weeknight to stay home and watch basketball, this is the penultimate Tuesday night of the regular season. You have multiple excellent games today and tonight.

It all starts with an afternoon game at 2 PM Eastern Time on ESPN3 when Akron visits Buffalo in a key MAC game that will directly affect MAC Tournament seedings.

At 5 PM, West Virginia hosts Baylor on ESPN. After losing at Kansas, the Bears could begin to face a little jeopardy on the 1-seed line with a loss to the Mountaineers, who could move up to a 1-seed if they win out.

The regular season game of the year should have been Gonzaga and Baylor back in December, but that game became a Covid casualty. Tonight’s Michigan-Illinois game in Ann Arbor, at 7 PM on ESPN, could easily be a Final Four preview, as the two Big Ten powers both have the talent and cohesiveness to win four games in March Madness. This game should be as exciting as some of the Duke-North Carolina March games in the past, maybe even more exciting.

The Big Ten festivities don’t end with the biggie in A2. At 8PM on the Big Ten Network, Michigan State hosts Indiana in a must-win game for the Spartans. The Hoosiers have played themselves out of at-large status with too many losses.

At the same time on the ACC Network, Georgia Tech hosts Duke in what in effect is an at-large qualifying game. This is the best Yellow Jacket team in a decade or more, while Duke cannot afford another conference loss and still harbor at-large hopes.

There’s one more really Big game from the Big Ten. At 9PM, Wisconsin visits Purdue in a crucial game for Big Ten Tournament seeding. This game will air on ESPN2.

Finally at 9PM, on ESPN, Ole Miss hosts Kentucky in a must-win game. The Rebels must win tonight, beat Vanderbilt on Saturday, and then advance to the SEC Tournament Championship Game to have an at-large bid possibility.

PiRate Ratings Bracketology

2/19/2021

Seed	Team	Team	Team	Team	Team	Team
1	Gonzaga	Baylor	Michigan	Ohio St.
2	Illinois	Alabama	Villanova	Iowa
3	Oklahoma	Virginia	West Virginia	Houston
4	Florida St.	USC	Texas	Texas Tech
5	Kansas	Virginia Tech	Tennessee	Creighton
6	Purdue	Wisconsin	Arkansas	Missouri
7	Rutgers	Colorado	BYU	Oklahoma St.
8	Clemson	Florida	Louisville	LSU
9	Oregon	UCLA	San Diego St.	Indiana
10	Boise St.	Loyola (Chi.)	North Carolina	Seton Hall
11	Minnesota	Colorado St.	Drake	VCU
12	Belmont	Western Ky.	Stanford	St. Bonaventure	Connecticut	Saint Louis
13	Toledo	Winthrop	Colgate	UCSB
14	Wright St.	S.F. Austin	Liberty	UNCG
15	Vermont	S. Dakota St.	Siena	Grand Canyon
16	James Madison	E. Washington	Texas St.	Wagner	Prairie View	N.C. A&T

Last 4 Byes: Seton Hall, Minnesota, Colorado St., Drake

Last 4 In: Stanford, St. Bonaventure, Connecticut, Saint Louis

First 4 Out: Xavier, Maryland, Wichita St., St. John’s

Next 4 Out: Utah St., Ole Miss, Syracuse, Georgia Tech

Note: After careful perusal of the mock top four seeds released a week ago, we have discovered some new tendencies that the Committee gave more weight to than they usually do when there is a lot more interconference play. Thus, expect our bracketology to change a little next week showing seeds in somewhat different order from what they are this week. For instance, we believe that a team like Colgate may be drastically underrated, while a team like 23-1 Belmont may be overrated a bit even after winning their 20th consecutive game last night.

Update College Football TV Schedule For November 14, 2020

Time (ET)	Network	Home	Visitor
12:00 PM	ABC	Michigan St.	Indiana
12:00 PM	FOX	West Virginia	TCU
12:00 PM	ESPN2	Tulane	Army
12:00 PM	ESPN	Virginia Tech	Miami (Fla.)
12:00 PM	FS1	Nebraska	Penn St.
12:00 PM	CBSSN	Marshall	Middle Tenn.
12:00 PM	SECN	Kentucky	Vanderbilt
12:00 PM	ACCN	North Carolina	Wake Forest
1:00 PM	BTN	Rutgers	Illinois
3:30 PM	ABC	Boston College	Notre Dame
3:30 PM	ESPN	Stanford	Colorado
3:30 PM	ESPN2	Houston	S. Florida
3:30 PM	FOX	Arizona	USC
3:30 PM	CBSSN	Western Ky.	Southern Miss.
3:30 PM	ACCN	Virginia	Louisville
4:00 PM	FS1	Texas Tech	Baylor
5:00 PM	BTN	Purdue	Northwestern
7:00 PM	FOX	Washington St.	Oregon
7:00 PM	ESPN	Florida	Arkansas
7:00 PM	ESPN2	Tulsa	SMU
7:30 PM	ABC	Michigan	Wisconsin
7:30 PM	ESPNU	Central Florida	Temple
7:30 PM	SECN	Ole Miss	South Carolina
7:30 PM	ACCN	NC St.	Florida St.
11:00 PM	FS1	Washington	Oregon St.

Saturday’s College Football TV Schedule

This weekly addition to the PiRate Ratings is supposed to be the easiest edition we put out, but not this year. The TV schedule has already changed twice today after changing on Monday when Baylor postponed their game with Oklahoma St. With the cancellation of Vanderbilt and Missouri, one switch was made. Then, when it became official that Florida and LSU were moving to December 12, another change was made.

So, this is the TV schedule as of Wednesday evening, Eastern Time. We suggest you look at this feature again later in the week if other games are postponed. If the schedule changes, we will do our best to update it all the way until Saturday morning.

Time ET	Network	Home	Visitors	Entertainment Value
12:00 PM	ABC	Georgia Tech	Clemson	Tech turnovers could make this super blowout
12:00 PM	ESPN	South Carolina	Auburn	Should be rather close game–loser’s coach on hot seat
12:00 PM	ESPN2	E. Carolina	Navy	Replaces Tulsa-Cinti.
12:00 PM	FOX	West Virginia	Kansas	Probably a dud game
12:00 PM	SECN	Tennessee	Kentucky	Vols own Cats in this series, but an even matchup
12:00 PM	FSN	Syracuse	Liberty	Flames could win this one and maybe by a lot
12:00 PM	ESPNU	South Alabama	Texas St.	Only if you are a fan of one of the teams
12:00 PM	ACCN	Miami (Fla.)	Pittsburgh	Both teams coming off emotional losses
1:30 PM	CBSSN	UTSA	Army	Game should be over quickly–maybe 120 plays
2:30 PM	NBC	Notre Dame	Louisville	Irish need to win big to let Clemson know they are there
3:30 PM	ABC	Memphis	Central Florida	Could it be a 90 to 100-point total?
3:30 PM	SECN	Arkansas	Ole Miss	Before Hogs were in SEC, this was a rivalry game
3:30 PM	FSN	NC St.	Duke	A backyard brawl that should make Pack 4-1
4:00 PM	ESPN	Mississippi St.	Texas A&M	All’s not well in Starkville all of a sudden
4:00 PM	ACCN	Wake Forest	Virginia	Expect a close game but maybe not entertaining
4:00 PM	ESPN2	Georgia Southern	U Mass	The Minutemen play their first game of the year
6:00 PM	CBSSN	Louisiana Tech	Marshall	Winner of this game most likely wins CUSA regular season
7:30 PM	ABC	Florida St.	North Carolina	UNC needs to top half a hundred again to be a contender
7:30 PM	ESPN2	UTEP	Southern Miss.	CANCELLED
8:00 PM	CBS	Alabama	Georgia	Maybe the Regular Season Game of the Year!
8:00 PM	ESPNU	Charlotte	Florida Int’l.	CANCELLED
8:00 PM	ACCN	Virginia Tech	Boston College	Nice game but not Bama & Dogs

Coming tomorrow: our for entertainment purposes only handicapping selections that have accidentally made a decent imaginary profit this year. We must be due for a big losing week, but maybe we can back into some additional winners. We heard from a few of you that went against our warning and actually wagered on some longshot parlays that happened to win last week. Please do not think for one second that we can be this lucky again. Don’t wager real money on our fun picks!

PiRate Ratings Computer Simulated College Playoffs–Semifinal Round

The Semifinal Round of the 2015-16 PiRate Ratings Computer Simulated Playoffs have been played, and the Final Four has now been whittled down to two.

 

In case you are wondering why Michigan St., Mississippi, Oklahoma, and Stanford are the Final Four teams, this season’s simulation used the Football Championship Series format of 24 teams.  Michigan St. defeated Baylor and Iowa to make it to the semifinals.  Ole Miss defeated Houston, Clemson, and North Carolina, as the Rebels were the #16 seed and had to win a play-in game to make it to the Sweet 16.  Oklahoma defeated Michigan and Ohio St., while Stanford got here by knocking off Florida St. and Alabama.

 

Here are the Final Four Semifinal Results.

Semifinal Round	1	2	3	4	F	FD	Rush	Pass	Total
#16 Ole Miss	3	14	7	3	27	18	129	268	397
#5 Michigan St.	0	7	10	0	17	17	161	158	327
#3 Oklahoma	0	3	21	7	31	22	154	247	401
#7 Stanford	7	6	0	7	20	17	169	158	327

This sets up Simper Bowl IX at Arlington, Texas, next week.  16th-seed Ole Miss will play 3rd-seed Oklahoma.

 

Fear not ye of computer simulation tremors.  Next week, we will run our annual 100 sims on the playoff games–the real ones where that sugar-addicted dude Larry Culpepper will be lurking around somewhere.

 

 

PiRate Ratings Computer Simulated College Playoffs–Quarterfinal Round

The first two rounds of the Computer Simulated NCAA Playoffs have been previously posted here.  Today’s Quarterfinal Round featured three teams from the Big Ten, two from the SEC, and one each from the ACC, Big 12, and Pac-12.

If you have not been following our 2015-16 tournament, we are using the same 24-team format currently in use by the Football Championship Division.  Here are the contests for the football version of the Elite 8.

Quarterfinal Round		1	2	3	4	F	FD	Rush	Pass	Total
#16 Ole Miss	at	10	14	0	3	27	24	163	242	405
#8 North Carolina		7	6	3	0	16	17	145	189	334
#7 Stanford	at	7	0	3	7	17	12	130	169	299
#2 Alabama		3	3	7	0	13	17	202	116	318
#6 Ohio St.	at	0	3	14	3	20	20	221	106	327
#3 Oklahoma		5	7	14	0	26	22	137	303	440
#5 Michigan St.	at	3	3	7	10	23	19	129	222	351
#4 Iowa		0	14	0	7	21	16	172	133	305

The Final Four is now set.  In next week’s semifinal round, it will be:

#16 Ole Miss vs. #5 Michigan St. at the Orange Bowl

#7 Stanford vs. #3 Oklahoma at the Cotton Bowl

College Football Preview: November 3-7, 2015

The 5-Star College Football Week of the Season
This is the biggest week of the college football season so far. Many questions will be answered by this time next Sunday. The second issuing of the NCAA Playoff Committee will be much different than the first one that comes out Tuesday, as many of the contending teams face off against other contending teams this week. Additionally, there are key games that will weed out conference championship pretenders from the contenders. And, in multiple cases, there will be games where the winners take a giant step toward bowl eligibity, while the losers drop out of the picture.

This is the great Bonanza for you the fan this week.

Tuesday
Northern Illinois at Toledo: Toledo is still in the race for a New Year’s Six Bowl bid. The Rockets hold wins over Arkansas and Iowa State, and they would need for Memphis and Houston to lose before they would have a shot, but it is still possible. Northern Illinois is still in the MAC West Division race.

Wednesday
Ohio at Bowling Green: The MAC East Division title goes to Bowling Green if the Falcons win this game. If Ohio upsets BGU, the Falcons still have a one-game lead.

Thursday
Arkansas St. at Appalachian St.: The winner will hold first place to themselves in the Sun Belt Conference. Both teams are going bowling this year, and if Appy St. wins out to finish 11-1, that could set up an incredible GoDaddy.com bowl between two 11-win teams.

Saturday
Duke at North Carolina: A week after getting “hosed” by the referees, Duke must now win at its arch-rival to stay in the ACC Coastal Division race. A Tar Heel win basically puts North Carolina in the ACC Championship Game.

Florida St. at Clemson: Another impressive CU win could vault the Tigers into the upper two spots in the Playoff bracket with no remaining teams to play as strong as FSU or Notre Dame, who Clemson would have already beaten. If Florida St. can win at Clemson and then at Florida, and if they could then win the ACC Championship Game, the Seminoles would have a chance at the #4 seed.

Arkansas at Ole Miss: This could be a trap game for the Rebels. With a game coming up against LSU, Ole Miss can ill-afford to lose to Arkansas and fall below the Alabama-LSU winner. If Ole Miss can win, the Rebels stay in control in the SEC West Race.

Iowa at Indiana: The Hawkeyes can only make the Playoffs if they win out and then beat either Ohio St. or Michigan St. in the Big Ten Championship Game. Indiana was once 4-0, but they have dropped four straight games. The Hoosiers must come up with two wins in their last four games, and besides this game, they face Michigan and Maryland and Purdue on the road. Kevin Wilson’s job could be on the line.

TCU at Oklahoma St.: The winner should move into the top 4 in the following week’s poll, and Oklahoma State has come out of nowhere to be in this position. The Cowboys host the three other contenders in the league, and at this point, we have to consider them the co-favorite to win the Big 12. The other co-favorite is the team they play Saturday. We believe the winner of this game will emerge as the league champion, but if the league champion loses a game, the destination will most likely be New Orleans for the Sugar Bowl and not the Playoffs.

Cincinnati at Houston: The Cougars can smell that New Year’s 6 Bowl Bid. They have the most advantageous schedule of any of the contending teams for the one guaranteed Group of 5 teams. Cincinnati is out of the NY6 picture, but the Bearcats have an offense capable of matching UH point for point.

Utah St. at New Mexico: Bob Davie has the Lobos close to getting back to a bowl. New Mexico is 4-4 and needs two upsets in their final four games from a group that also includes Boise St., Colorado St., and Air Force. If the Lobos can get an upset in this game, we believe they will get one more. As for Utah St., the Mountain West Mountain Division flag is in their grasp with a previous win over Boise St., but the Aggies must still play at Air Force and cannot afford to slip up here.

Navy at Memphis: Memphis must keep pace with Houston and Toledo in the Group of 5 race. A win here would be considered a quality win, especially if the Tigers can win as convincingly as Notre Dame’s win over the Midshipmen. Navy is basically locked into a Military Bowl bid at this point, but if they beat Memphis and win out, while Houston and Toledo both lose a game ,the Middies could find themselves in the Peach or Fiesta Bowl.

LSU at Alabama: This is the top game of the week. How many times in recent history has this game had national championship repercussions? Can Leonard Fournette keep LSU’s offense moving against a Crimson Tide defense that will force the Tigers to throw the ball or face eight men up front? What about Alabama’s offense? It has been Jekyll and Hyde this year when the Tide has the ball. LSU’s run defense might be up to the task to slow the ‘Bama running game. It should be close and lower than average scoring.

This Week’s Ratings

PiRate Ratings
#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
1	Alabama	128.9	126.7	128.5	128.0
2	Ohio St.	129.0	123.6	129.8	127.5
3	Baylor	128.3	124.8	128.8	127.3
4	TCU	129.5	121.0	130.1	126.9
5	Oklahoma	126.4	122.9	126.6	125.3
6	LSU	124.3	121.5	124.7	123.5
7	Clemson	122.6	123.8	123.3	123.2
8	Stanford	122.5	120.7	122.2	121.8
9	Notre Dame	122.8	119.7	122.8	121.8
10	USC	122.7	119.1	123.1	121.6
11	Florida	121.5	118.3	121.9	120.6
12	Ole Miss	122.7	117.7	120.8	120.4
13	Tennessee	121.4	117.3	121.4	120.0
14	Utah	121.7	116.2	120.9	119.6
15	North Carolina	117.8	118.1	117.7	117.9
16	UCLA	120.3	114.3	118.5	117.7
17	Michigan	118.5	115.4	118.1	117.3
18	Texas A&M	117.8	114.5	116.0	116.1
19	Arkansas	118.0	112.5	117.0	115.8
20	Michigan St.	116.6	113.4	116.3	115.4
21	Mississippi St.	115.8	112.5	116.2	114.8
22	Oklahoma St.	115.2	112.8	115.6	114.5
23	California	116.2	110.9	115.6	114.2
24	Florida St.	114.1	114.8	113.4	114.1
25	Georgia	116.9	109.8	115.5	114.1
26	Arizona St.	116.0	110.8	115.0	113.9
27	Oregon	116.0	109.3	115.3	113.5
28	Houston	110.2	117.0	112.9	113.4
29	Wisconsin	113.2	113.5	112.7	113.1
30	Auburn	113.8	111.2	112.8	112.6
31	Iowa	110.7	112.9	111.3	111.6
32	Georgia Tech	112.7	110.3	111.3	111.4
33	Boise St.	112.4	109.0	112.1	111.2
34	West Virginia	113.2	107.5	112.4	111.0
35	Memphis	110.3	111.2	111.1	110.9
36	Virginia Tech	110.2	109.9	110.0	110.0
37	North Carolina St.	109.8	111.2	108.6	109.9
38	Temple	108.8	110.9	109.5	109.7
39	Washington	110.3	107.7	110.9	109.6
40	Bowling Green	106.2	111.0	109.0	108.7
41	Duke	108.4	108.8	108.9	108.7
42	Missouri	109.0	105.4	108.0	107.5
43	Louisville	106.9	109.3	106.2	107.5
44	Pittsburgh	106.9	107.6	107.5	107.3
45	BYU	107.1	106.3	108.0	107.1
46	Western Kentucky	106.4	106.5	107.7	106.9
47	Penn St.	106.7	107.0	106.7	106.8
48	Nebraska	107.8	106.0	106.6	106.8
49	San Diego St.	104.0	108.4	105.5	106.0
50	Cincinnati	105.0	106.1	106.3	105.8
51	Toledo	104.6	105.6	106.3	105.5
52	South Carolina	107.2	103.7	105.5	105.5
53	Miami	104.1	104.7	105.1	104.6
54	Arizona	106.6	100.9	105.4	104.3
55	Washington St.	105.3	101.4	105.1	103.9
56	Minnesota	104.7	103.0	104.0	103.9
57	Northwestern	103.9	104.0	103.5	103.8
58	Texas Tech	106.8	98.3	106.2	103.8
59	Colorado	105.9	100.7	104.3	103.6
60	Texas	104.7	101.4	104.5	103.5
61	Louisiana Tech	102.8	102.2	103.6	102.9
62	Navy	100.3	103.8	100.9	101.7
63	Kansas St.	105.3	95.2	104.3	101.6
64	Illinois	102.6	100.7	101.4	101.6
65	Kentucky	103.3	99.4	101.8	101.5
66	Virginia	101.7	99.7	101.3	100.9
67	Appalachian St.	99.1	102.3	101.3	100.9
68	Utah St.	100.3	100.8	100.8	100.6
69	Boston College	99.8	103.0	98.4	100.4
70	Western Michigan	99.5	100.2	100.6	100.1
71	Iowa St.	99.9	96.4	100.1	98.8
72	Purdue	99.2	98.5	98.0	98.6
73	Vanderbilt	99.9	95.9	99.7	98.5
74	Air Force	96.8	100.8	96.3	98.0
75	Georgia Southern	95.9	98.7	96.8	97.1
76	Northern Illinois	95.3	99.2	96.0	96.8
77	Wake Forest	95.2	98.5	94.5	96.1
78	Indiana	96.2	96.2	95.5	96.0
79	Marshall	95.5	96.6	95.8	96.0
80	East Carolina	93.4	96.9	94.2	94.8
81	South Florida	92.5	98.4	93.3	94.7
82	Syracuse	93.9	96.6	93.3	94.6
83	Maryland	94.5	92.9	94.0	93.8
84	Rutgers	95.1	92.1	93.6	93.6
85	Central Michigan	90.7	95.0	92.8	92.8
86	Southern Mississippi	91.7	93.8	92.5	92.7
87	Middle Tennessee	93.2	92.0	92.7	92.6
88	San Jose St.	91.3	94.2	91.2	92.2
89	Tulsa	90.1	94.4	91.1	91.9
90	Colorado St.	92.2	90.8	91.0	91.3
91	Florida International	90.1	92.7	90.7	91.2
92	Oregon St.	92.6	89.3	90.8	90.9
93	Connecticut	88.6	93.4	89.5	90.5
94	Nevada	88.8	92.5	88.4	89.9
95	Arkansas St.	89.1	89.9	89.9	89.6
96	Ohio	87.0	91.3	88.6	89.0
97	New Mexico	88.2	89.0	86.9	88.0
98	Tulane	85.4	87.7	84.9	86.0
99	Buffalo	83.2	89.5	85.1	85.9
100	Massachusetts	84.6	87.2	85.4	85.7
101	Akron	83.0	88.9	84.4	85.4
102	UL-Lafayette	83.6	86.7	84.1	84.8
103	SMU	83.6	87.5	83.2	84.8
104	Rice	83.3	86.6	83.5	84.5
105	Hawaii	83.4	85.6	83.1	84.0
106	Ball St.	82.7	85.1	83.6	83.8
107	UNLV	82.6	84.6	83.2	83.5
108	Florida Atlantic	81.8	84.9	82.3	83.0
109	Troy	80.7	82.1	82.2	81.7
110	Texas St.	80.4	83.8	79.9	81.4
111	Fresno St.	80.7	84.4	78.9	81.3
112	Army	77.7	86.7	79.1	81.2
113	Wyoming	80.6	82.8	79.8	81.1
114	UT-San Antonio	79.8	82.3	80.6	80.9
115	Kent St.	79.5	82.0	80.0	80.5
116	Central Florida	79.2	82.2	79.5	80.3
117	UTEP	76.6	79.1	76.2	77.3
118	South Alabama	74.7	80.7	75.6	77.0
119	Georgia St.	76.9	76.7	77.4	77.0
120	Old Dominion	75.3	79.7	74.3	76.4
121	UL-Monroe	76.7	75.6	76.7	76.3
122	Idaho	73.1	78.5	74.4	75.3
123	North Texas	73.2	78.0	73.6	74.9
124	Miami (O)	73.1	77.6	73.5	74.7
125	Eastern Michigan	72.2	78.8	71.7	74.2
126	Kansas	76.6	70.2	74.5	73.8
127	New Mexico St.	68.8	70.3	69.0	69.4
128	Charlotte	68.1	70.1	67.7	68.6

 

PiRate Retrodictive
#	Team
1	Ohio St.
2	Alabama
3	TCU
4	Clemson
5	LSU
6	Baylor
7	Oklahoma
8	Michigan St.
9	Notre Dame
10	Utah
11	Iowa
12	Florida
13	Stanford
14	Oklahoma St.
15	Michigan
16	Memphis
17	Ole Miss
18	USC
19	Houston
20	Florida St.
21	North Carolina
22	Mississippi St.
23	Toledo
24	Wisconsin
25	Texas A&M
26	UCLA
27	Navy
28	Temple
29	BYU
30	Tennessee
31	Northwestern
32	Penn St.
33	California
34	Boise St.
35	Appalachian St.
36	Bowling Green
37	Duke
38	Pittsburgh
39	Oregon
40	Washington
41	Western Kentucky
42	Arkansas
43	Miami (Fla)
44	Georgia
45	Cincinnati
46	Texas Tech
47	Washington St.
48	Louisville
49	Utah St.
50	North Carolina St.
51	Georgia Southern
52	Auburn
53	West Virginia
54	Marshall
55	Louisiana Tech
56	Virginia Tech
57	Arizona St.
58	San Diego St.
59	Western Michigan
60	Central Michigan
61	Kansas St.
62	Air Force
63	Georgia Tech
64	Minnesota
65	Illinois
66	Iowa St.
67	Indiana
68	Northern Illinois
69	Virginia
70	Missouri
71	Texas
72	South Carolina
73	Arizona
74	Kentucky
75	Arkansas St.
76	Southern Miss.
77	Tulsa
78	Connecticut
79	South Florida
80	East Carolina
81	Nebraska
82	Colorado
83	Boston College
84	Syracuse
85	Ohio
86	Purdue
87	Vanderbilt
88	Maryland
89	Rutgers
90	Buffalo
91	MTSU
92	Wake Forest
93	Louisiana-Lafayette
94	Colorado St.
95	San Jose St.
96	Kent St.
97	Rice
98	Akron
99	Nevada
100	South Alabama
101	Oregon St.
102	Troy
103	Florida Int’l.
104	Ball St.
105	UNLV
106	New Mexico
107	Tulane
108	SMU
109	Army
110	Old Dominion
111	Texas St.
112	Fresno St.
113	Massachusetts
114	Idaho
115	Florida Atlantic
116	Georgia St.
117	Hawaii
118	Kansas
119	Louisiana-Monroe
120	Wyoming
121	UTSA
122	UTEP
123	Miami (O)
124	Eastern Michigan
125	North Texas
126	Central Florida
127	Charlotte
128	New Mexico St.

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
East Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Temple	4-0	7-1	108.8	110.9	109.5	109.7
Cincinnati	2-2	5-3	105.0	106.1	106.3	105.8
East Carolina	2-3	4-5	93.4	96.9	94.2	94.8
South Florida	2-2	4-4	92.5	98.4	93.3	94.7
Connecticut	2-3	4-5	88.6	93.4	89.5	90.5
Central Florida	0-5	0-9	79.2	82.2	79.5	80.3
West Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Houston	4-0	8-0	110.2	117.0	112.9	113.4
Memphis	4-0	8-0	110.3	111.2	111.1	110.9
Navy	4-0	6-1	100.3	103.8	100.9	101.7
Tulsa	1-3	4-4	90.1	94.4	91.1	91.9
Tulane	1-4	2-6	85.4	87.7	84.9	86.0
SMU	0-4	1-7	83.6	87.5	83.2	84.8
AAC Averages			95.6	99.1	96.4	97.0
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	5-0	8-0	122.6	123.8	123.3	123.2
Florida St.	5-1	7-1	114.1	114.8	113.4	114.1
North Carolina St.	1-3	5-3	109.8	111.2	108.6	109.9
Louisville	3-2	4-4	106.9	109.3	106.2	107.5
Boston College	0-6	3-6	99.8	103.0	98.4	100.4
Wake Forest	1-5	3-6	95.2	98.5	94.5	96.1
Syracuse	1-3	3-5	93.9	96.6	93.3	94.6
Coastal Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
North Carolina	4-0	7-1	117.8	118.1	117.7	117.9
Georgia Tech	1-5	3-6	112.7	110.3	111.3	111.4
Virginia Tech	2-3	4-5	110.2	109.9	110.0	110.0
Duke	3-1	6-2	108.4	108.8	108.9	108.7
Pittsburgh	4-1	6-2	106.9	107.6	107.5	107.3
Miami	2-2	5-3	104.1	104.7	105.1	104.6
Virginia	2-2	3-5	101.7	99.7	101.3	100.9
ACC Averages			107.4	108.3	107.1	107.6
Big 12 Conference
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Baylor	4-0	7-0	128.3	124.8	128.8	127.3
TCU	5-0	8-0	129.5	121.0	130.1	126.9
Oklahoma	4-1	7-1	126.4	122.9	126.6	125.3
Oklahoma St.	5-0	8-0	115.2	112.8	115.6	114.5
West Virginia	0-4	3-4	113.2	107.5	112.4	111.0
Texas Tech	2-4	5-4	106.8	98.3	106.2	103.8
Texas	2-3	3-5	104.7	101.4	104.5	103.5
Kansas St.	0-4	3-4	105.3	95.2	104.3	101.6
Iowa St.	2-3	3-5	99.9	96.4	100.1	98.8
Kansas	0-5	0-8	76.6	70.2	74.5	73.8
Big 12 Averages			110.6	105.1	110.3	108.7
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	4-0	8-0	129.0	123.6	129.8	127.5
Michigan	3-1	6-2	118.5	115.4	118.1	117.3
Michigan St.	4-0	8-0	116.6	113.4	116.3	115.4
Penn St.	4-1	7-2	106.7	107.0	106.7	106.8
Indiana	0-4	4-4	96.2	96.2	95.5	96.0
Maryland	0-4	2-6	94.5	92.9	94.0	93.8
Rutgers	1-4	3-5	95.1	92.1	93.6	93.6
West Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Wisconsin	4-1	7-2	113.2	113.5	112.7	113.1
Iowa	4-0	8-0	110.7	112.9	111.3	111.6
Nebraska	1-4	3-6	107.8	106.0	106.6	106.8
Minnesota	1-3	4-4	104.7	103.0	104.0	103.9
Northwestern	2-2	6-2	103.9	104.0	103.5	103.8
Illinois	1-3	4-4	102.6	100.7	101.4	101.6
Purdue	1-3	2-6	99.2	98.5	98.0	98.6
Big Ten Averages			107.1	105.7	106.5	106.4
Conference USA
East Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Western Kentucky	5-0	7-2	106.4	106.5	107.7	106.9
Marshall	5-0	8-1	95.5	96.6	95.8	96.0
Middle Tennessee	2-2	3-5	93.2	92.0	92.7	92.6
Florida International	2-3	4-5	90.1	92.7	90.7	91.2
Florida Atlantic	2-3	2-6	81.8	84.9	82.3	83.0
Old Dominion	1-3	3-5	75.3	79.7	74.3	76.4
Charlotte	0-5	2-6	68.1	70.1	67.7	68.6
West Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisiana Tech	4-1	6-3	102.8	102.2	103.6	102.9
Southern Mississippi	4-1	6-3	91.7	93.8	92.5	92.7
Rice	2-2	4-4	83.3	86.6	83.5	84.5
UT-San Antonio	1-3	1-7	79.8	82.3	80.6	80.9
UTEP	1-3	3-5	76.6	79.1	76.2	77.3
North Texas	1-4	1-7	73.2	78.0	73.6	74.9
CUSA Averages			86.0	88.0	86.2	86.8
FBS Independents
Team		Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame		7-1	122.8	119.7	122.8	121.8
BYU		6-2	107.1	106.3	108.0	107.1
Army		2-6	77.7	86.7	79.1	81.2
Independents Averages			102.5	104.2	103.3	103.4
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Bowling Green	4-0	6-2	106.2	111.0	109.0	108.7
Ohio	2-2	5-3	87.0	91.3	88.6	89.0
Buffalo	2-2	4-4	83.2	89.5	85.1	85.9
Massachusetts	0-4	1-7	84.6	87.2	85.4	85.7
Akron	1-3	3-5	83.0	88.9	84.4	85.4
Kent St.	2-2	3-5	79.5	82.0	80.0	80.5
Miami (O)	0-5	1-8	73.1	77.6	73.5	74.7
West Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	4-0	7-0	104.6	105.6	106.3	105.5
Western Michigan	4-0	5-3	99.5	100.2	100.6	100.1
Northern Illinois	3-1	5-3	95.3	99.2	96.0	96.8
Central Michigan	4-1	5-4	90.7	95.0	92.8	92.8
Ball St.	2-3	3-6	82.7	85.1	83.6	83.8
Eastern Michigan	0-5	1-8	72.2	78.8	71.7	74.2
MAC Averages			87.8	91.6	89.0	89.5
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	4-1	7-2	112.4	109.0	112.1	111.2
Utah St.	4-1	5-3	100.3	100.8	100.8	100.6
Air Force	4-1	5-3	96.8	100.8	96.3	98.0
Colorado St.	1-3	3-5	92.2	90.8	91.0	91.3
New Mexico	2-2	4-4	88.2	89.0	86.9	88.0
Wyoming	1-4	1-8	80.6	82.8	79.8	81.1
West Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
San Diego St.	5-0	6-3	104.0	108.4	105.5	106.0
San Jose St.	3-2	4-4	91.3	94.2	91.2	92.2
Nevada	2-2	4-4	88.8	92.5	88.4	89.9
Hawaii	0-5	2-7	83.4	85.6	83.1	84.0
UNLV	1-3	2-6	82.6	84.6	83.2	83.5
Fresno St.	1-4	2-6	80.7	84.4	78.9	81.3
MWC Averages			91.8	93.6	91.4	92.3
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Stanford	6-0	7-1	122.5	120.7	122.2	121.8
California	2-3	5-3	116.2	110.9	115.6	114.2
Oregon	3-2	5-3	116.0	109.3	115.3	113.5
Washington	2-3	4-4	110.3	107.7	110.9	109.6
Washington St.	3-2	5-3	105.3	101.4	105.1	103.9
Oregon St.	0-5	2-6	92.6	89.3	90.8	90.9
South Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
USC	3-2	5-3	122.7	119.1	123.1	121.6
Utah	4-1	7-1	121.7	116.2	120.9	119.6
UCLA	3-2	6-2	120.3	114.3	118.5	117.7
Arizona St.	2-3	4-4	116.0	110.8	115.0	113.9
Arizona	2-4	5-4	106.6	100.9	105.4	104.3
Colorado	1-4	4-5	105.9	100.7	104.3	103.6
Pac-12 Averages			113.0	108.4	112.3	111.2
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Florida	5-1	7-1	121.5	118.3	121.9	120.6
Tennessee	2-3	4-4	121.4	117.3	121.4	120.0
Georgia	3-3	5-3	116.9	109.8	115.5	114.1
Missouri	1-4	4-4	109.0	105.4	108.0	107.5
South Carolina	1-5	3-5	107.2	103.7	105.5	105.5
Kentucky	2-4	4-4	103.3	99.4	101.8	101.5
Vanderbilt	1-3	3-5	99.9	95.9	99.7	98.5
West Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	4-1	7-1	128.9	126.7	128.5	128.0
LSU	4-0	7-0	124.3	121.5	124.7	123.5
Ole Miss	4-1	7-2	122.7	117.7	120.8	120.4
Texas A&M	3-2	6-2	117.8	114.5	116.0	116.1
Arkansas	2-2	4-4	118.0	112.5	117.0	115.8
Mississippi St.	2-2	6-2	115.8	112.5	116.2	114.8
Auburn	1-4	4-4	113.8	111.2	112.8	112.6
SEC Averages			115.8	111.9	115.0	114.2
Sunbelt Conference
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Appalachian St.	4-0	7-1	99.1	102.3	101.3	100.9
Georgia Southern	4-1	6-2	95.9	98.7	96.8	97.1
Arkansas St.	4-0	5-3	89.1	89.9	89.9	89.6
UL-Lafayette	2-1	3-4	83.6	86.7	84.1	84.8
Troy	1-3	2-6	80.7	82.1	82.2	81.7
Texas St.	1-2	2-5	80.4	83.8	79.9	81.4
South Alabama	1-2	3-4	74.7	80.7	75.6	77.0
Georgia St.	1-2	2-5	76.9	76.7	77.4	77.0
UL-Monroe	0-4	1-7	76.7	75.6	76.7	76.3
Idaho	2-3	3-5	73.1	78.5	74.4	75.3
New Mexico St.	1-3	1-7	68.8	70.3	69.0	69.4
Sun Belt Averages			81.7	84.1	82.5	82.8

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference
#	League	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
1	SEC	115.8	111.9	115.0	114.2
2	Pac-12	113.0	108.4	112.3	111.2
3	Big 12	110.6	105.1	110.3	108.7
4	ACC	107.4	108.3	107.1	107.6
5	Big Ten	107.1	105.7	106.5	106.4
6	Indep.	102.5	104.2	103.3	103.4
7	AAC	95.6	99.1	96.4	97.0
8	MWC	91.8	93.6	91.4	92.3
9	MAC	87.8	91.6	89.0	89.5
10	CUSA	86.0	88.0	86.2	86.8
11	SBC	81.7	84.1	82.5	82.8

 

NCAA Playoffs
1	Ohio St.
2	LSU
3	Clemson
4	Baylor

 

Group of 5 Contenders For Automatic New Year’s Six Bowl Bid
#	Team
1	Memphis
2	Houston
3	Toleo
4	Temple
5	Navy

 

Power 5 Conferences Bottom 10
#	Team
10	Iowa St.
9	Purdue
8	Vanderbilt
7	Wake Forest
6	Indiana
5	Syracuse
4	Maryland
3	Rutgers
2	Oregon St.
1	Kansas

 

FCS Top 10
#	Team	PiRate
1	Jacksonville St.	96.6
2	Dartmouth	92.8
3	Harvard	92.4
4	Chattanooga	91.3
5	Illinois St.	91.1
6	North Dakota St.	91.0
7	McNeese St.	90.7
8	Dayton	90.6
9	Richmond	90.3
10	Charleston Southern	89.4

 

This Week’s Games
Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Tuesday, November 3
Toledo	Northern Illinois	12.3	9.4	10.1
Wednesday, November 4
Bowling Green	Ohio	21.2	21.7	22.4
Thursday, November 5
Kent St.	Buffalo	-1.2	-5.0	-2.6
Western Michigan	Ball St.	19.8	18.1	20.0
Appalachian St.	Arkansas St.	13.0	15.4	14.4
Kansas St.	Baylor	-20.0	-26.6	-21.5
Missouri	Mississippi St.	-3.8	-4.1	-5.2
Fresno St.	Nevada	-5.1	-5.1	-6.5
Friday, November 6
SMU	Temple	-22.2	-20.4	-23.3
UTEP	Rice	-4.2	-5.0	-4.8
San Jose St.	BYU	-12.8	-9.1	-13.8
Saturday, November 7
Massachusetts	Akron	4.1	0.8	3.5
Western Kentucky	Florida Atlantic	27.6	24.6	28.4
Tulsa	Central Florida	13.9	15.2	14.6
Northwestern	Penn St.	0.2	0.0	-0.2
Purdue	Illinois	-0.4	0.8	-0.4
Florida Int’l.	Charlotte	25.0	25.6	26.0
West Virginia	Texas Tech	9.4	12.2	9.2
North Carolina	Duke	10.9	10.8	10.3
Florida	Vanderbilt	24.6	25.4	25.2
Georgia	Kentucky	16.6	13.4	16.7
Pittsburgh	Notre Dame	-12.9	-9.1	-12.3
Louisville	Syracuse	16.0	15.7	15.9
Boston College	North Carolina St.	-7.0	-5.2	-7.2
Colorado	Stanford	-13.6	-17.0	-14.9
Georgia St.	Louisiana-Lafayette	-4.2	-7.5	-4.2
Miami (O)	Eastern Michigan	3.4	1.3	4.3
South Alabama	Idaho	5.1	5.7	4.7
Wyoming	Colorado St.	-9.6	-6.0	-9.2
Miami (Fla)	Virginia	4.9	7.5	6.3
Clemson	Florida St.	11.5	12.0	12.9
Ole Miss	Arkansas	7.7	8.2	6.8
Air Force	Army	22.1	17.1	20.2
Washington St.	Arizona St.	-7.7	-6.4	-6.9
Indiana	Iowa	-11.5	-13.7	-12.8
Maryland	Wisconsin	-15.7	-17.6	-15.7
Michigan	Rutgers	26.4	26.3	27.5
Oklahoma St.	TCU	-11.3	-5.2	-11.5
Louisiana Tech	North Texas	32.6	27.2	33.0
Middle Tennessee	Marshall	0.7	-1.6	-0.1
Houston	Cincinnati	8.2	13.9	9.6
Troy	Louisiana-Monroe	6.5	9.0	8.0
New Mexico	Utah St.	-9.1	-8.8	-10.9
Texas St.	New Mexico St.	13.6	15.5	12.9
Tulane	Connecticut	-2.0	-2.7	-1.6
Tennessee	South Carolina	17.2	16.6	18.9
Oregon St.	UCLA	-24.7	-22.0	-24.7
UNLV	Hawaii	3.2	3.0	4.1
Memphis	Navy	13.0	10.4	13.2
UTSA	Old Dominion	7.0	5.1	8.8
Oklahoma	Iowa St.	29.5	29.5	29.5
Nebraska	Michigan St.	-5.8	-4.4	-6.7
Washington	Utah	-8.4	-5.5	-7.0
Texas A&M	Auburn	7.0	6.3	6.2
East Carolina	South Florida	3.9	1.5	3.9
Alabama	LSU	7.6	8.2	6.8
Texas	Kansas	31.1	34.2	33.0
Ohio St.	Minnesota	27.3	23.6	28.8
Oregon	California	2.8	1.4	2.7
USC	Arizona	19.1	21.2	20.7

 

Playoff and Bowl Projections

Bowl	Conferences		Team	vs.	Team
Cure	AAC	SBC	Cincinnati	vs.	Arkansas St.
New Mexico	MWC	CUSA	Colorado St.	vs.	Old Dominion
Las Vegas	Pac-12	MWC/BYU	Washington St.	vs.	BYU
Camellia	MAC	SBC	Ohio U	vs.	Georgia Southern
New Orleans	CUSA	SBC	Southern Miss.	vs.	Louisiana-Lafayette
Miami Beach	AAC	CUSA	Memphis	vs.	Western Kentucky
Idaho Potato	MAC	MWC	Western Michigan	vs.	Utah St.
Boca Raton	AAC	MAC	Temple	vs.	Bowling Green
Poinsettia	MWC	Army	Boise St.	vs.	Washington *
GoDaddy	MAC	SBC	Toledo	vs.	Appalachian St.
Bahamas	CUSA	MAC	Louisiana Tech	vs.	Northern Illinois
Hawaii	AAC	MWC/BYU	Tulsa	vs.	San Diego St.
St. Petersburg	AAC	CUSA	South Florida	vs.	Marshall
Sun	ACC	Pac-12	North Carolina	vs.	Oregon
Heart of Dallas	Big 12	CUSA	Texas St. *	vs.	Rice
Pinstripe	ACC	Big Ten	Pittsburgh	vs.	Rutgers ^
Independence	SEC	ACC	Akron *	vs.	Virginia Tech
Foster Farms	Big Ten	Pac-12	Miami (Fla) *	vs.	California
Military	ACC	AAC	North Carolina St.	vs.	Navy
Quick Lane	ACC	Big Ten	Louisville	vs.	Buffalo *
Armed Forces	Big Ten	MWC	Central Michigan *	vs.	Air Force
Russell Athletic	ACC	Big 12	Notre Dame	vs.	Oklahoma
Arizona	CUSA	MWC	Middle Tennessee	vs.	Nevada
Texas	Big 12	SEC	Texas Tech	vs.	Mississippi St.
Birmingham	AAC	SEC	East Carolina	vs.	Auburn
Belk	ACC	SEC	Florida St.	vs.	Georgia
Music City	ACC/Big Ten	SEC	Penn St.	vs.	Kentucky
Peach	N. Y. 6	N. Y. 6	Iowa	vs.	LSU
Cotton	Playoff	Playoff	Ohio St.	vs.	Alabama
Orange	Playoff	Playoff	Clemson	vs.	Oklahoma St.
Holiday	Big Ten	Pac-12	Michigan	vs.	UCLA
Ouback	Big Ten	SEC	Northwestern	vs.	Tennessee
Citrus	Big Ten	SEC	Wisconsin	vs.	Ole Miss
Sugar	Big 12	SEC	TCU	vs.	Florida
Rose	Big Ten	Pac-12	Michigan St.	vs.	Stanford
Fiesta	N. Y. 6	N. Y. 6	Utah	vs.	Houston
TaxSlayer	ACC/Big Ten	SEC	Duke	vs.	Texas A&M
Liberty	Big 12	SEC	West Virginia	vs.	Arkansas
Alamo	Big 12	Pac-12	Baylor	vs.	USC
Cactus	Big 12	Pac-12	Kansas St.	vs.	Arizona St.
Nat’l Champ.	Semifinal	Winners	Ohio St.	vs.	Clemson
* = At-large selection due to contracted conference not having an eligible team for this slot
^ = Rutgers qualifies for a bowl at 5-7 with highest APR score of 5-7 teams