The Pi-Rate Ratings

November 3, 2016

PiRate Ratings Money Line Parlay Picks–November 3-7, 2016

Time to Punt
We thought we would be a bit clever and go with a slate of longshots that if just one selection won, it would be a big “fake” payout last week. Alas, we came up a game short in every selection, and none of the parlays cashed a winning ticket.

We also decided not to play any NFL parlays last week, and as luck would have it, most of the favorites won, and almost any parlay we might have played would have won. Such is life. But, even had every parlay we selected won last week, our bank account would have remained the same. As we try to make sure everybody reading this weekly entry, we do this just for fun and never wager a penny. These days, when it is almost time to ask, “Brother can you spare a dime,” betting anything on anything would be quite foolish. And, when happy days were here again way back when, we didn’t want to part with any of that hard-earned money. Thus, the only real advice we can give is, “work hard, be frugal, and save for the future.”

In past years, we have offered our predictions about a once-every-four-year event that happens the day following the first Monday in November. We are totally unsure of what will happen, next Tuesday, so we will not go there this year. Our hope is that whatever happens Tuesday, that the nation will come together and realize that we all must pull the rope from the same side and not against each other, or else we might lose what took 240 years to put together.

Now, returning to football and mathematics, here is what we are going with this week.

College Selections
We decided to select a couple of underdogs to win outright this week, but we did not bundle them together for the almost 6 to 1 odds. We’d rather guarantee a small profit if just one wins rather than a windfall requiring both to win.

1. Oklahoma State +133 vs. Kansas State.
Our members here believe this is a 50-50 tossup, so getting better than 13-10 odds is a plus in this game. Oklahoma State seems to play up to its competition, while Kansas State has been quiet this year and has not really played what many believe could be its best game. Also, when a team pulls off a big upset at home one week and then goes on the road to face a quality opponent the next week, the opponent usually has a better chance to win. That is why we believe the Money Line odds are so high, and because we believe this Cowboys’ team knows the Big 12 Championship is possible, we believe OSU will overcome the trend and win this one outright.

2. Arkansas +174 vs. Florida
Everything we just said about Oklahoma State could apply to Florida this week. The Gators come off a big win over rival Georgia and now go on the road to face a quality team. There are two differences in this selection from the selection above. Arkansas had a bye week last week, giving the Razorbacks two weeks to prepare for this game. Also, Arkansas quarterback Austin Allen is expected to be near 100% for this game after suffering a knee injury against Auburn two weeks ago. Arkansas needs an upset win in November to guarantee bowl eligibility, and we believe a team like Florida is vulnerable in this game. An Arky loss could mean the Hogs would be 5-6 when they go to Missouri in the final game.

3. 3-team parlay @ +121

Wyoming over Utah State
Colorado over UCLA
North Carolina over Georgia Tech

Wyoming beat Boise State last week in Laramie, and the Cowboys now have the Mountain Division title in their crosshairs after being the consensus choice to finish in last place. Coach Craig Bohl might be positioning himself to be a top candidate for some Power 5 conference job openings. In the past, numerous former Wyoming coaches have gone on to bigger and better things, because winning on a state with miles and miles of open space and few high school football programs says that this coach is a great recruiter, great organizer, and great leader.
Just down the road in Boulder, Mike MacIntyre has the Colorado Buffaloes within striking distance of winning the Pac-12 South Division. UCLA is a wounded bear and limping to the finish with what looks like a losing record this year. Josh Rosen’s season-ending injury seems like Deja vu for the men from Westwood, as just about every great quarterback since Gary Beban seems to have suffered an injury at some point. We’ll go with the Buffs to win big in Boulder in a prime-time Thursday night game.
North Carolina had an extra week to prepare for Georgia Tech’s spread option offense. That is worth an extra 7-10 points to the Tar Heel defense, and UNC doesn’t need that many extra points to make this a comfortable win for Coastal Division co-leader.

4. 4-team parlay @ +180

South Carolina over Missouri
Virginia Tech over Duke
Temple over Connecticut
BYU over Cincinnati
South Carolina coach Will Muschamp was barbecued for his job at Florida, and a lot of fans and media thought his hiring at South Carolina was a mistake. The Gamecocks were picked to finish in last place inthe SEC East and overall by many sources, yet it looks like USC will become bowl eligible rather than settle in last place. To get to six wins, a win over struggling Missouri is a must, and we think the Gamecocks are not too cocky approaching this game coming off the upset of Tennessee.

Virginia Tech probably must run the table in the ACC in November to win the Coastal Division, because North Carolina might not lose another conference game. The Hokies hold the tiebreaker, but it probably won’t matter if they are 6-2. Duke can still get a bowl bid, mostly because they hold the number one spot in APR scores and would be the first team in the 5-7 sweepstakes if 5-7 teams are needed to fill bowl spots (expect at least 1 if not 3 to 5). Tech is plain better in this game and should win by double digits.

Temple coach Matt Rhule is one of the 10 best college coaches in America, and a bigger fish will eventually offer him a large payday to become their coach. It could be that Rhule will hold out until a certain big state school in the Keystone State has a job opening (for awhile that appeared to be ready to happen in 2017). The Owls are back in control of the AAC East with wins over the top three contenders in the division. A win at U Conn this weekend basically wraps up the division title for the second consecutive year.

BYU travels to the Queen City to take on a Cincinnati team that has dissension, and when a team is not on the same page, they suffer results similar to what the Bearcats are experiencing this year. We’ll go with the school playing as a team to beat the maybe more talented team on their home field.

4. 3-team Parlay at +117

Penn State over Iowa
Old Dominion over Marshall
Tulsa over East Carolina
Penn State is still alive for the Rose Bowl! Who could have imagined this a month ago when Coach James Franklin was on a very hot seat and not looking all that happy to be in Happy Valley? A win over Ohio State was a major shot in the arm for this once great program trying to find its way back from purgatory. If the Nittany Lions run the table, which they are capable of doing, and if Michigan wins out and makes the College Football Playoffs, the Rose Bowl could easily select Penn State as its substitute. Of course, this means that the home team must defeat a so-so Iowa team that hasn’t played consistently well this year after a great 2015 season.

Old Dominion has not been to a bowl in its short time in FBS football, but that is going to change this year. The Monarchs need just one more win to become bowl eligible, and their schedule is very favorable for as many as nine wins overall and almost assuredly eight. Marshall is suffering through a rebuilding year at 2-6 and still must play the four best teams in the division. We like ODU to become bowl eligible this week.

Tulsa was a dark horse candidate in the AAC West in the preseason–not to win the division, but just to become bowl eligible for a second year in a row after finishing 6-7 last year. Having to face Ohio State, Houston, Memphis, Navy, and Central Florida on the road would leave the Golden Hurricanes in a precarious position where they would have to all their home games just to guarantee a repeat of 6-6 in the regular season. Coach Phillip Montgomery has quietly installed the spread offense he brought from Baylor and has TU in line to win the West after the Hurricanes knocked off Memphis at the Liberty Bowl last week. The closing schedule is difficult, and the big game at Navy looms next week. In order for that game to really matter, Tulsa must win this week over a rebuilding East Carolina team that will give TU all they can handle, because ECU still holds very slim chances of becoming bowl eligible, and at 3-5, they must win this game. We’ll go with the home team and their big play offense.

6. NFL 3-team Parlay at +178

Kansas City over Jacksonville
Dallas over Cleveland
New Orleans over San Francisco
The 2016 version of the NFL does not allow us (or anybody else) to state matter of factly that any team is a sure thing to beat their next opponent. So, we will not tell you that these three favorites are so much better than the underdogs they are playing that this is almost free money this week. With the way things are going in 2016, chances are rather high that one of these weaker underdogs will win at home.

Jacksonville looked like an expansion team against Tennessee a week ago, so the Jaguars will probably play their best game of the season this week. However, the Chiefs are starting to resemble their teams in the last couple years where they get better and better every week, and their defense is creating a lot of offense with their takeaways.

Dallas is only a slim favorite against winless Cleveland, even though the Cowboys currently hold the number one seed in the NFC! The only sure thing in Cleveland this year is that the Browns will use as many quarterbacks as Terry Francona used pitchers in the World Series.

San Francisco looked terrific in week one, shutting out the hapless Los Angeles Rams. Since then, they have looked worse than Cleveland, while the Rams find themselves in contention for the playoffs. New Orleans began the year looking the exact opposite–like a team destined to lose double-digit games and maybe bring on regime change in the Crescent City. Now, the Saints are breathing down the Falcons’ necks, and it figures that Drew Brees and company should win this game by double digits.

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October 5, 2016

PiRate Ratings Money Line Parlay Picks–October 6-10, 2016

As Mr. Whipple might have said had he worked in our little firm, “Please don’t squeeze the PiRate Picks!”

Okay, so we have enjoyed two very successful weeks in a row with these money line parlay selections.  We followed up a 75% return on investment two weeks ago with a 24% return last week.  It only took one winning parlay to pull off the profit.  BUT, we only one thanks to a Hail Mary, and we didn’t even go to confession.

Yes, the Tennessee game appeared to doom us to total defeat last week, but the incredible finish did as much for us as it did for Butch Jones–it brought us to our knees.  Aside from Tennessee, the rest of the parlay included wins by Akron, Old Dominion, and Florida, giving us a return of $373 on our $100 investment.  Remember this, our bankroll and investments are entirely mere illusion; we do not ever wager any real currency on our selections, and we highly recommend that you do not either.  We know from our site statistics that some of you reading this weekly entry do so from Las Vegas.  We don’t think Billy Walters, or any of his “friends” are reading this, because Mr. Walters is intelligent and knows how to win.  What we fear is that Billy Doe has his rent money at the betting window with his iPhone in hand looking at our picks, while Mrs. Doe and brood cannot find food in their refrigerator back home.

For the season, our total picks now show a minor loss of 6%, which is about where we were this time last year, before we went on a six-week winning streak that took us north of +50%.

There are two reasons why this week’s picks were very difficult for us.  First, the number of NFL teams getting byes moves from two to four teams.  Second, Hurricane Matthew is causing a lot of logistic issues as teams in Florida, South Carolina, and North Carolina scramble to re-schedule games–some to later dates; some moving up a day; and some moving the location of the game.  If we like a home team at a certain line, and then the game moves to another state or does not play at all, it wrecks the selection.  So, we had to greatly limit the pool this week and barely scraped together three selections.  Because we would have to go 2-1 to make a profit, it would not be worth going with three long shot parlays when we can make a profit by going 1-1.  This then presented an additional problem; which parlay would we eliminate?

Four hours later, we realized that our choosing to eliminate what we liked was like playing Tic-Tac-Toe with a computer that always knows the correct response.  Infinite draws lead to a lot of head-banging, and we already have too many concussions between us.  So, we did what we thought best and added a fourth game that will allow us to go 2-2 and make a profit.  However, the fourth game is not a parlay at all; it is a straight wager on the underdog to win outright.

Selection #1: College Parlay at +155

Memphis over Temple

Alabama over Arkansas

Auburn over Mississippi St.

Memphis looked like an SEC team playing at Ole Miss last week.  The Tigers don’t have Paxton Lynch, but the rest of the team looks a little better than last year’s edition.  Temple has regressed a bit this year, and we think the home team from the Bluff City will win the game.

Until somebody actually pins a loss on the defending champs, we are not going to select against Alabama.  To date in 2016, the Crimson Tide have looked like they could score 70 points per game if the offense needed to.  And, the defense is still among the best in the nation.  This team reminds us some of the 1966 Tide team, which went undefeated.

Auburn is slightly favored in Starkville against the Bulldogs.  Mississippi State is 10-14 points weaker this year without Dak Prescott.  Prescott hid some liabilities in last year’s Maroon and White.

 

Selection #2: College Parlay at +189 

Tulsa over SMU

Oklahoma St. over Iowa St.

Utah over Arizona

Michigan St. over BYU

Ohio U over Bowling Green

Tulsa had an extra week to prepare for their game against SMU, while the Mustangs faced Temple on the road after playing TCU the week before.  Now, SMU has to play at Skelly Stadium, and it has the makings of a 20 or more point win for TU.

Iowa State had a tough and emotional loss at home to Baylor last week and now goes on the road to play an Oklahoma State team that has a little added confidence after shredding Texas.

Utah rarely loses at home, and when the Utes’ do lose in Salt Lake City, it is usually against a powerhouse team.  Arizona is no powerhouse; they are more like a wind-up dynamo for an emergency radio.  In other words, Utah should win by double digits this week.

Michigan State is in a must-win situation this week with non-conference foe BYU coming to East Lansing.  A loss puts the Spartans in danger of finishing under .500 for the season, and we cannot see a Mark Dantonio team go 5-7.  BYU is having a rough re-adjustment under new management, and Bronco Mendenhall’s recent success in his first year at Virginia shows us that he was worth a lot more points as a coach than his average peer.

The Ohio U-Bowling Green line is a bit odd to us.  We feel it should be much more in favor of the Bobcats, but we will gladly take what we feel is some extra juice.  What Coach Mendenhall was to BYU, current Syracuse coach Dino Babers was to BGU.  This brings us to the next contest.

 

Selection #3: College Money Line Game @ +130

Syracuse over Wake Forest

This is not a parlay; it is a straight pick of the underdog to pull off the upset.  There is a tiny bit of concern here, because weather could be a factor in Winston-Salem.  The Demon Deacons’ athletic department has no plans to change the time or place of this game, but still, it could be wet and windy.  Wet doesn’t bother us, and in fact, we like passing teams playing on wet surfaces.  Wind does bother us.  A gentle breeze is not that much of a factor, but a 25 mile per hour gust can adjust a thrown football by enough to turn a completion into an incomplete or even intercepted pass.

Nevertheless, we like the Orangemen in this game.  Wake Forest is a close-to-the-vest conservative team.  They own a win over a more wide open Indiana team two weeks ago, but the Hoosiers wrapped that game up as a gift to the Deacs.

Meanwhile, Syracuse has looked better and better offensively every week under the Babers version of the spread passing game.  We believe SU will outscore Wake and pull off the upset.

 

Selection #4: NFL Parlay @ +199

Pittsburgh over N.Y. Jets

Baltimore over Washington

Indianapolis over Chicago

Honestly, we did not love any of the NFL picks this week.  These are the only three games that we could combine into a parlay worth playing.  Our selections were more about the losing team than the predicted winner.

Ryan Fitzpatrick has reverted back to his old Pickpatrick days.  He has thrown nine intereceptions the last two weeks, and the Jets have begun to look like the Browns during that time.  Meanwhile, the Steelers had the look of an AFC Champion contender last week, and they host this game this week.

Baltimore needs to win to keep pace with the Steelers and stay ahead of the Bengals, while the Redskins look to us to be a paper tiger at 2-2.

Indianapolis is now facing a must-win situation at home against the lowly Bears.  Already two games in back of Houston, the Colts cannot afford to lose a home game to a probable double-digit loss team.  With Houston having to face Minnesota, it gives the Colts a chance to get back to within a game of the Texans in a division that is almost assured to produce just one playoff team.

September 10, 2013

PiRate Ratings For College Football–September 12-14, 2013

College Football Ratings And Spreads For September 12-14, 2013

 

FBS Power Ratings

PiRate Regular

1

Alabama

132.4

2

Oregon

131.8

3

Stanford

126.5

4

Oklahoma St.

122.3

5

Texas A&M

122.1

6

Georgia

121.5

7

Ole Miss

121.2

8

L S U

121.1

9

Ohio St.

120.6

10

Texas

120.4

11

Arizona

120.3

12

South Carolina

119.5

13

Michigan

119.1

14

Washington

118.7

15

Baylor

117.5

16

Florida

117.5

17

Notre Dame

117.1

18

Arizona St.

116.9

19

Louisville

116.7

20

Clemson

116.7

21

T C U

116.3

22

Oregon St.

115.8

23

Northwestern

115.7

24

U C L A

115.6

25

Wisconsin

115.3

26

Florida St.

115.1

27

Missouri

115.1

28

Miami

114.6

29

Oklahoma

114.2

30

Nebraska

113.7

31

Georgia Tech

113.5

32

Michigan St.

113.5

33

Virginia Tech

111.8

34

U S C

111.8

35

Penn St.

111.5

36

B Y U

110.8

37

Kansas St.

110.5

38

Vanderbilt

109.6

39

Mississippi St.

108.9

40

Cincinnati

108.8

41

Tennessee

108.0

42

North Carolina

106.9

43

Auburn

106.9

44

Texas Tech

105.8

45

Washington St.

104.5

46

West Virginia

103.7

47

Fresno St.

103.2

48

Minnesota

102.7

49

Utah

102.4

50

Bowling Green

101.7

51

Boston College

101.4

52

Utah St.

101.0

53

San Jose St.

101.0

54

Indiana

100.8

55

Arkansas

100.8

56

Syracuse

100.6

57

Illinois

100.0

58

Central Florida

99.8

59

Rutgers

99.7

60

Iowa

99.6

61

Boise St.

99.5

62

Toledo

99.4

63

Northern Illinois

99.1

64

Pittsburgh

98.9

65

Duke

98.7

66

Kentucky

98.7

67

Maryland

98.5

68

Ball St.

98.5

69

Iowa St.

98.4

70

Marshall

97.6

71

East Carolina

97.6

72

Rice

97.4

73

Wake Forest

97.3

74

North Carolina St.

96.7

75

California

96.4

76

Navy

96.0

77

Louisiana–Monroe

95.7

78

Tulsa

95.3

79

Purdue

94.8

80

Kansas

94.2

81

Arkansas St.

94.1

82

S M U

93.9

83

Virginia

93.7

84

San Diego St.

92.5

85

Colorado

92.0

86

Western Kentucky

92.0

87

Louisiana–Lafayette

91.9

88

South Florida

91.8

89

North Texas

91.8

90

Ohio

90.8

91

Nevada

90.8

92

Wyoming

90.7

93

Houston

90.5

94

Buffalo

90.5

95

Connecticut

90.5

96

Temple

89.9

97

Colorado St.

89.0

98

Memphis

88.7

99

Kent St.

88.2

100

U T S A

87.9

101

U A B

87.3

102

Middle Tennessee

86.7

103

Troy

86.6

104

Hawaii

85.6

105

Louisiana Tech

84.4

106

U T E P

83.9

107

U N L V

83.7

108

Western Michigan

83.6

109

Army

83.4

110

Central Michigan

83.3

111

Tulane

83.2

112

Florida Atlantic

83.0

113

Southern Miss.

81.4

114

Texas St.

81.2

115

South Alabama

80.6

116

Air Force

80.3

117

New Mexico

79.8

118

Akron

79.3

119

Eastern Michigan

78.8

120

Miami (O)

78.4

121

New Mexico St.

75.4

122

Florida Int’l

71.3

123

Massachusetts

70.3

124

Idaho

68.5

125

Georgia St.

60.2

 

PiRate Mean

1

Oregon

126.1

2

Alabama

124.8

3

L S U

120.3

4

Arizona St.

119.6

5

Georgia

118.6

6

Michigan

118.1

7

Ohio St.

117.9

8

Stanford

117.4

9

South Carolina

117.4

10

Texas A&M

116.9

11

Ole Miss

116.5

12

Clemson

115.7

13

Florida St.

115.7

14

Miami

115.7

15

Wisconsin

115.7

16

Penn St.

114.7

17

Arizona

114.5

18

Washington

114.3

19

Northwestern

114.0

20

Michigan St.

114.0

21

Louisville

113.8

22

Notre Dame

113.6

23

Florida

113.3

24

Oklahoma St.

112.3

25

Nebraska

112.3

26

Missouri

112.2

27

Virginia Tech

112.1

28

Georgia Tech

112.0

29

Texas

110.9

30

T C U

110.8

31

North Carolina

109.2

32

Oklahoma

109.0

33

B Y U

109.0

34

Tennessee

109.0

35

U S C

108.7

36

Baylor

107.8

37

Arkansas

107.2

38

Maryland

107.0

39

Auburn

106.9

40

Vanderbilt

106.8

41

Cincinnati

106.7

42

U C L A

106.3

43

Mississippi St.

104.9

44

Illinois

104.0

45

Oregon St.

103.8

46

Indiana

103.7

47

North Carolina St.

103.0

48

Texas Tech

102.9

49

Minnesota

102.9

50

Washington St.

102.9

51

Utah

102.9

52

Marshall

102.7

53

Fresno St.

102.6

54

Rutgers

102.4

55

Bowling Green

102.3

56

Ball St.

102.0

57

Houston

101.7

58

Wake Forest

101.3

59

Kansas St.

101.0

60

Rice

101.0

61

Duke

100.5

62

Boston College

100.3

63

Northern Illinois

100.1

64

Toledo

100.0

65

East Carolina

99.7

66

Kentucky

99.5

67

Central Florida

99.0

68

Iowa

98.8

69

S M U

98.3

70

Navy

98.2

71

Utah St.

97.9

72

Memphis

97.7

73

Syracuse

97.6

74

Colorado

97.5

75

Virginia

97.1

76

Nevada

96.6

77

San Jose St.

95.9

78

Pittsburgh

95.6

79

West Virginia

94.3

80

Western Kentucky

93.8

81

Ohio

93.6

82

North Texas

93.4

83

Louisiana–Monroe

93.4

84

Tulsa

93.3

85

Middle Tennessee

92.5

86

Boise St.

92.5

87

Wyoming

92.0

88

California

91.9

89

Louisiana–Lafayette

91.5

90

Kent St.

91.4

91

Buffalo

90.8

92

Kansas

90.7

93

Purdue

90.7

94

Army

90.6

95

U T S A

90.3

96

Tulane

89.6

97

U A B

89.4

98

San Diego St.

89.4

99

Colorado St.

89.3

100

U T E P

89.1

101

Troy

88.7

102

Texas St.

88.6

103

Iowa St.

88.1

104

Arkansas St.

87.6

105

New Mexico

87.2

106

Temple

86.6

107

Hawaii

86.3

108

Louisiana Tech

86.1

109

Central Michigan

86.1

110

U N L V

85.7

111

Air Force

85.6

112

South Alabama

84.9

113

South Florida

84.4

114

Western Michigan

84.1

115

Akron

83.9

116

Eastern Michigan

83.7

117

Connecticut

83.6

118

New Mexico St.

82.7

119

Miami (O)

82.3

120

Florida Atlantic

82.1

121

Southern Miss.

80.9

122

Massachusetts

80.9

123

Idaho

78.1

124

Florida Int’l

74.1

125

Georgia St.

71.0

 

PiRate Bias

1

Alabama

133.5

2

Oregon

132.9

3

Stanford

126.0

4

Oklahoma St.

123.1

5

Texas A&M

122.2

6

L S U

122.1

7

Georgia

122.0

8

Ohio St.

120.9

9

Ole Miss

120.9

10

Texas

119.7

11

Washington

119.6

12

Arizona

119.5

13

Michigan

119.1

14

South Carolina

119.0

15

Louisville

118.8

16

Baylor

117.9

17

Clemson

117.8

18

Arizona St.

117.3

19

T C U

116.9

20

Florida St.

116.0

21

Northwestern

115.6

22

Florida

115.5

23

Notre Dame

115.4

24

U C L A

115.1

25

Wisconsin

114.9

26

Miami

114.8

27

Oregon St.

114.2

28

Missouri

114.0

29

Oklahoma

113.9

30

Georgia Tech

113.8

31

B Y U

112.0

32

Nebraska

111.8

33

Michigan St.

111.6

34

Virginia Tech

111.5

35

U S C

111.1

36

Penn St.

110.9

37

Cincinnati

110.4

38

Kansas St.

109.4

39

Vanderbilt

109.3

40

Mississippi St.

108.7

41

Tennessee

107.8

42

North Carolina

107.5

43

Texas Tech

105.7

44

Auburn

105.6

45

Bowling Green

104.6

46

Washington St.

104.3

47

Fresno St.

104.1

48

Utah St.

103.0

49

Boston College

102.2

50

West Virginia

102.0

51

Utah

101.8

52

Minnesota

101.6

53

San Jose St.

101.6

54

Northern Illinois

100.8

55

Boise St.

100.8

56

Illinois

100.7

57

Rutgers

100.6

58

Maryland

100.6

59

Central Florida

100.5

60

Marshall

99.9

61

Toledo

99.9

62

Ball St.

99.9

63

Indiana

99.8

64

Syracuse

99.7

65

Arkansas

99.3

66

Iowa

98.8

67

East Carolina

98.8

68

Rice

98.7

69

Pittsburgh

98.4

70

Duke

98.1

71

North Carolina St.

97.5

72

Wake Forest

97.3

73

Iowa St.

97.0

74

Kentucky

96.8

75

Louisiana–Monroe

96.3

76

Navy

95.9

77

Tulsa

94.6

78

California

94.4

79

Virginia

94.0

80

Arkansas St.

93.7

81

S M U

93.3

82

Kansas

93.1

83

Wyoming

92.9

84

Western Kentucky

92.8

85

San Diego St.

92.5

86

Houston

92.0

87

Purdue

92.0

88

Ohio

91.7

89

North Texas

91.3

90

Louisiana–Lafayette

91.3

91

Nevada

91.2

92

Connecticut

91.1

93

South Florida

90.8

94

Buffalo

90.6

95

Colorado

90.1

96

Memphis

89.7

97

Colorado St.

89.4

98

Kent St.

88.8

99

Temple

88.4

100

Troy

88.0

101

U A B

87.5

102

U T S A

87.2

103

Middle Tennessee

86.9

104

Hawaii

86.7

105

Western Michigan

85.4

106

U T E P

84.2

107

Louisiana Tech

84.0

108

U N L V

84.0

109

Army

83.9

110

Central Michigan

83.1

111

Tulane

83.0

112

Florida Atlantic

82.6

113

Southern Miss.

81.4

114

South Alabama

81.2

115

Texas St.

80.4

116

New Mexico

80.2

117

Air Force

79.8

118

Akron

79.0

119

Eastern Michigan

78.5

120

Miami (O)

76.8

121

New Mexico St.

75.3

122

Florida Int’l

71.2

123

Massachusetts

69.9

124

Idaho

67.1

125

Georgia St.

61.6

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Louisville

0-0

2-0

117.9

115.7

120.0

Cincinnati

0-0

1-1

103.4

103.9

104.1

Central Florida

0-0

2-0

101.4

103.4

102.2

Rutgers

0-0

1-1

99.8

103.2

100.7

S M U

0-0

1-1

93.5

98.6

92.9

South Florida

0-0

0-2

93.3

87.1

92.7

Houston

1-0

2-0

91.2

102.1

92.5

Connecticut

0-0

0-1

90.5

84.3

91.1

Temple

0-1

0-2

89.2

87.6

87.9

Memphis

0-0

0-1

87.7

96.1

88.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

League Averages

 

 

96.8

98.2

97.2

 

Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Clemson

0-0

2-0

116.7

115.7

117.8

Florida St.

1-0

1-0

115.1

115.7

116.0

Boston College

1-0

2-0

101.4

100.3

102.2

Syracuse

0-0

0-2

100.6

97.6

99.7

Maryland

0-0

2-0

98.5

107.0

100.6

Wake Forest

0-1

1-1

97.3

101.3

97.3

North Carolina St.

0-0

2-0

96.7

103.0

97.5

     

 

 

 

Coastal Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Miami

0-0

2-0

114.6

115.7

114.8

Georgia Tech

0-0

1-0

113.5

112.0

113.8

Virginia Tech

0-0

1-1

111.8

112.1

111.5

North Carolina

0-0

1-1

106.9

109.2

107.5

Pittsburgh

0-1

0-1

98.9

95.6

98.4

Duke

0-0

2-0

98.7

100.5

98.1

Virginia

0-0

1-1

93.7

97.1

94.0

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

104.6

105.9

104.9

 

Big 12 Conference

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Oklahoma St.

0-0

2-0

122.3

112.3

123.1

Texas

0-0

1-1

120.4

110.9

119.7

Baylor

0-0

2-0

117.5

107.8

117.9

T C U

0-0

1-1

116.3

110.8

116.9

Oklahoma

1-0

2-0

114.2

109.0

113.9

Kansas St.

0-0

1-1

110.5

101.0

109.4

Texas Tech

0-0

2-0

105.8

102.9

105.7

West Virginia

0-1

1-1

103.7

94.3

102.0

Iowa St.

0-0

0-1

98.4

88.1

97.0

Kansas

0-0

1-0

94.2

90.7

93.1

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

110.3

102.8

109.9

 

Big Ten Conference

Leaders Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Ohio St.

0-0

2-0

120.6

117.9

120.9

Wisconsin

0-0

2-0

115.3

115.7

114.9

Penn St.

0-0

2-0

111.5

114.7

110.9

Indiana

0-0

1-1

100.8

103.7

99.8

Illinois

0-0

2-0

100.0

104.0

100.7

Purdue

0-0

1-1

94.8

90.7

92.0

     

 

 

 

Legends Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Michigan

0-0

2-0

119.1

118.1

119.1

Northwestern

0-0

2-0

115.7

114.0

115.6

Nebraska

0-0

2-0

113.7

112.3

111.8

Michigan St.

0-0

2-0

113.5

114.0

111.6

Minnesota

0-0

2-0

102.7

102.9

101.6

Iowa

0-0

1-1

99.6

98.8

98.8

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

108.9

108.9

108.1

 

Conference USA

East Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Marshall

0-0

2-0

97.6

102.7

99.9

East Carolina

0-0

2-0

97.6

99.7

98.8

U A B

0-0

0-2

87.3

89.4

87.5

Middle Tennessee

0-0

1-1

86.7

92.5

86.9

Florida Atlantic

0-0

0-2

83.0

82.1

82.6

Southern Miss.

0-0

0-2

81.4

80.9

81.4

Florida Int’l

0-0

0-2

71.3

74.1

71.2

     

 

 

 

West Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Rice

0-0

0-1

97.4

101.0

98.7

Tulsa

0-0

1-1

95.3

93.3

94.6

North Texas

0-0

1-1

91.8

93.4

91.3

U T S A

0-0

1-1

87.9

90.3

87.2

Louisiana Tech

0-0

1-1

84.4

86.1

84.0

U T E P

0-0

0-1

83.9

89.1

84.2

Tulane

0-0

1-1

83.2

89.6

83.0

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

87.8

90.3

88.0

 

Independents

Team

 

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Notre Dame

 

1-1

117.1

113.6

115.4

B Y U

 

1-1

110.8

109.0

112.0

Navy

 

1-0

96.0

98.2

95.9

Army

 

1-1

83.4

90.6

83.9

New Mexico St.

 

0-2

75.4

82.7

75.3

Idaho

 

0-2

68.5

78.1

67.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

Independent Avg’s.

 

 

91.9

95.4

91.6

 

Mid-American Conference

East Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Bowling Green

1-0

2-0

101.7

102.3

104.6

Ohio

0-0

1-1

90.8

93.6

91.7

Buffalo

0-0

0-2

90.5

90.8

90.6

Kent St.

0-1

1-1

88.2

91.4

88.8

Akron

0-0

1-1

79.3

83.9

79.0

Miami (O)

0-0

0-2

78.4

82.3

76.8

Massachusetts

0-0

0-2

70.3

80.9

69.9

     

 

 

 

West Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Toledo

0-0

0-2

99.4

100.0

99.9

Northern Illinois

0-0

1-0

99.3

100.3

101.0

Ball St.

0-0

2-0

98.5

102.0

99.9

Western Michigan

0-0

0-2

83.6

84.1

85.4

Central Michigan

0-0

1-1

83.3

86.1

83.1

Eastern Michigan

0-0

1-1

78.8

83.7

78.5

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

87.9

90.9

88.4

 

Mountain West Conference

Mountain Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Utah St.

1-0

1-1

101.0

97.9

103.0

Boise St.

0-0

1-1

99.5

92.5

100.8

Wyoming

0-0

1-1

90.7

92.0

92.9

Colorado St.

0-0

0-2

89.0

89.3

89.4

Air Force

0-1

1-1

80.3

85.6

79.8

New Mexico

0-0

1-1

79.8

87.2

80.2

     

 

 

 

West Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Fresno St.

0-0

2-0

103.2

102.6

104.1

San Jose St.

0-0

1-1

101.0

95.9

101.6

San Diego St.

0-0

0-2

92.5

89.4

92.5

Nevada

0-0

1-1

90.8

96.6

91.2

Hawaii

0-0

0-2

85.6

86.3

86.7

U N L V

0-0

0-2

83.7

85.7

84.0

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

91.4

91.8

92.2

 

Pacific 12 Conference

North Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Oregon

0-0

2-0

131.8

126.1

132.9

Stanford

0-0

1-0

126.5

117.4

126.0

Washington

0-0

1-0

118.7

114.3

119.6

Oregon St.

0-0

1-1

115.8

103.8

114.2

Washington St.

1-0

1-1

104.5

102.9

104.3

California

0-0

1-1

96.4

91.9

94.4

     

 

 

 

South Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Arizona

0-0

2-0

120.3

114.5

119.5

Arizona St.

0-0

1-0

116.9

119.6

117.3

U C L A

0-0

1-0

115.9

106.6

115.4

U S C

0-1

1-1

111.8

108.7

111.1

Utah

0-0

2-0

102.4

102.9

101.8

Colorado

0-0

2-0

92.0

97.5

90.1

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

112.8

108.9

112.2

 

Southeastern Conference

East Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Georgia

1-0

1-1

121.5

118.6

122.0

South Carolina

0-1

1-1

119.5

117.4

119.0

Florida

0-0

1-1

117.5

113.3

115.5

Missouri

0-0

2-0

115.1

112.2

114.0

Vanderbilt

0-1

1-1

109.6

106.8

109.3

Tennessee

0-0

2-0

108.0

109.0

107.8

Kentucky

0-0

1-1

98.7

99.5

96.8

     

 

 

 

West Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Alabama

0-0

1-0

132.4

124.8

133.5

Texas A&M

0-0

2-0

122.1

116.9

122.2

Ole Miss

1-0

2-0

121.2

116.5

120.9

L S U

0-0

2-0

121.1

120.3

122.1

Mississippi St.

0-0

1-1

108.9

104.9

108.7

Auburn

0-0

2-0

106.9

106.9

105.6

Arkansas

0-0

2-0

100.8

107.2

99.3

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

114.5

112.5

114.1

 

Sunbelt Conference

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Louisiana–Monroe

0-0

1-1

95.7

93.4

96.3

Arkansas St.

0-0

1-1

94.1

87.6

93.7

Western Kentucky

0-0

1-1

92.0

93.8

92.8

Louisiana–Lafayette

0-0

0-2

91.9

91.5

91.3

Troy

0-0

2-0

86.6

88.7

88.0

Texas St.

0-0

2-0

81.2

88.6

80.4

South Alabama

0-0

1-1

80.6

84.9

81.2

Georgia St.

0-0

0-2

60.2

71.0

61.6

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

85.3

87.4

85.7

 

Transitioning Teams

Team

 

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Georgia Southern

 

2-0

86.7

89.1

93.8

Old Dominion

 

0-2

79.4

80.2

86.2

Appalachian St.

 

0-2

78.6

77.3

85.7

Charlotte

 

2-0

58.0

62.6

65.1

           
Not figured in regular averages to 100      

 

This Week’s Spreads

 

Date:

September 12-14, 2013

   

 

 

 

Home Visitor

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Arizona U T S A

35.4

27.2

35.3

Arizona St. Wisconsin

5.1

7.4

5.9

Arkansas Southern Miss.

22.4

29.3

20.9

Arkansas St. Troy

10.0

1.4

8.2

Army Stanford

-39.6

-23.3

-38.6

Auburn Mississippi St.

1.0

5.0

-0.1

Boise St. Air Force

22.2

9.9

24.0

California Ohio St.

-20.7

-22.5

-23.0

Colorado Fresno St.

-8.2

-2.1

-11.0

Connecticut Maryland

-5.0

-19.7

-6.5

Duke Georgia Tech

-12.3

-9.0

-13.2

East Carolina Virginia Tech

-11.2

-9.4

-9.7

Florida St. Nevada

28.3

23.1

28.8

Idaho Northern Illinois

-27.3

-18.7

-30.4

Illinois (a) Washington

-15.7

-7.3

-15.9

Indiana Bowling Green

1.6

3.9

-2.3

Iowa St. Iowa

0.8

-8.7

0.2

Kansas St. Massachusetts

43.2

23.1

42.5

Kentucky Louisville

-17.2

-14.2

-21.2

L S U Kent St.

36.4

32.4

36.8

Louisiana Tech Tulane

3.2

-1.5

3.0

Michigan Akron

42.8

37.2

43.1

Middle Tennessee Memphis

1.5

-1.1

1.1

Nebraska U C L A

1.3

9.2

-0.1

New Mexico St. U T E P

-6.5

-4.4

-6.9

North Texas Ball St.

-3.7

-5.6

-5.6

Northwestern Western Michigan

35.1

32.9

33.2

Ohio U Marshall

-4.3

-6.6

-5.7

Oklahoma Tulsa

20.9

17.7

21.3

Oregon Tennessee

27.3

20.6

28.6

Penn St. Central Florida

13.1

14.3

11.7

Pittsburgh New Mexico

22.6

11.9

21.7

Purdue Notre Dame

-20.3

-20.9

-21.4

Rice Kansas

5.7

12.8

8.1

Rutgers Eastern Michigan

24.0

22.5

25.2

South Alabama Western Kentucky

-8.9

-6.4

-9.1

South Carolina Vanderbilt

12.9

13.6

12.7

South Florida Florida Atlantic

12.8

7.5

12.6

Texas Ole Miss

2.2

-2.6

1.8

Texas A&M Alabama

-7.3

-4.9

-8.3

Texas Tech T C U

-8.0

-5.4

-8.7

U N L V Central Michigan

3.4

2.6

3.9

U S C Boston College

14.4

12.4

12.9

Utah Oregon St.

-10.4

2.1

-9.4

Wake Forest UL-Monroe

4.6

10.9

4.0

West Virginia Georgia St.

46.5

26.3

43.4

(a) Game Played at Soldier Field in Chicago

 

 

 

 

PiRate Bowl Projections

GAME

Team

vs.

Team

New Mexico

Wyoming

vs.

Utah

MAACO Bowl Las Vegas

Fresno St.

vs.

Washington

Famous Idaho Potato

Boise St.

vs.

Northern Illinois

New Orleans

UL-Monroe

vs.

Middle Tennessee

Beef ‘O’ Brady’s

(Notre Dame)

vs.

Tulsa

Hawai’i

(Toledo)

vs.

North Texas

Little Caesars Pizza

Ball St.

vs.

(UL-Lafayette)

Poinsettia

Utah St.

vs.

(Ohio U)

Military Bowl

Boston College

vs.

East Carolina

Texas

Michigan St.

vs.

T C U

Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl

Oregon St.

vs.

BYU

Pinstripe

Cincinnati

vs.

Kansas St.

Belk

Rutgers

vs.

Virginia Tech

Russell Athletic

Central Florida

vs.

Georgia Tech

Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl

Texas

vs.

Illinois

Armed Forces

San Jose St.

vs.

Navy

Music City

North Carolina

vs.

Missouri

Alamo

Baylor

vs.

Stanford

Holiday

Texas Tech

vs.

Arizona

AdvoCare V100 Bowl

(Western Kentucky)

vs.

North Carolina St.

Sun

Maryland

vs.

U C L A

Liberty

Tennessee

vs.

Marshall

Chick-fil-A

Miami (Fla)

vs.

South Carolina

Heart Of Dallas

Rice

vs.

Minnesota

Gator

Northwestern

vs.

Florida

Outback

Texas A&M

vs.

Nebraska

Capital One

Wisconsin

vs.

Georgia

Rose

Ohio St.

vs.

Arizona St.

Fiesta

Oklahoma St.

vs.

Louisville

Sugar

L S U

vs.

Florida St.

Cotton

Ole Miss

vs.

Oklahoma

Orange

Clemson

vs.

Michigan

BBVA Compass Bowl

Houston

vs.

Auburn

GoDaddy.com

Arkansas St.

vs.

Bowling Green

BCS Championship

Oregon

vs.

Alabama

 

January 1, 2012

2011-12 NCAA Simulated Football Playoffs–Semifinal Round

The Road To Simper Bowl V

The semifinal round of the PiRate Ratings Computer Simulated College Football Playoffs was simulated Friday, December 30, and the results and statistics are listed below.

 

For those of you new to this experiment, here is how the PiRates conduct this simulated National Championship playoff:

 

The champions of the ACC, Big East, Big Ten, Big 12, Pac-12, and SEC receive automatic bids.

 

Any other conference champion that finishes in the top 12 of the BCS rankings also receives an automatic bid.

 

After these two rules have been applied, at-large invitations are extended to the number of teams needed to complete a 12-team tournament, based on BCS ranking.

 

Our 12-team tournament gives the top four BCS-ranked teams a bye, while teams seeded 5-12 play in the opening round. 

 

The Dandy Dozen For This Season Are:

Automatic Bids

ACC Champion: Clemson 10-3  BCS #15

Big East Champion: West Virginia 9-3   BCS #23

Big Ten Champion: Wisconsin 11-2   BCS # 10

Big 12 Champion: Oklahoma State 11-1   BCS #3

Pac-12 Champion: Oregon 11-2   BCS #5

SEC Champion: L S U 13-0   BCS #1

 

Other Qualifying Conference Champions

No other conference champions finished in the BCS top 12.

 

At-large Bids (6)

BCS #2: Alabama 11-1

BCS #4: Stanford 11-1

BCS #6: Arkansas 10-2

BCS #7: Boise State 11-1

BCS #8: Kansas State 10-2

BCS #9: South Carolina 10-2

 

The Opening Round Results

Kansas State 30  South Carolina 20

Oregon 41  West Virginia 17

Wisconsin 38  Boise State 26

Clemson 50  Arkansas 44 3ot

The Elite 8 Results

L S U  44  Kansas State  16

Oregon 38  Stanford 27

Wisconsin 24  Alabama 19

Oklahoma State 44  Clemson 20

 

The Final Four

Oregon at LSU

Wisconsin at Oklahoma State

 

The Results

Oregon 39  L S U 34

 

LSU

Team

Ore

 

 

 

19

FD

20

 

 

 

45-166

Rush

49-260

 

 

 

179

Passing

181

 

 

 

16-28-2

Passes

10-17-0

 

 

 

73

Plays

66

 

 

 

345

Tot Yds

441

 

 

 

5-116

KR

4-107

 

 

 

1-34

PR

3-23

 

 

 

0-0

Int Ret

2-76

 

 

 

1-0

Fum-Lst

2-0

 

 

 

7-57

Pen

5-35

 

 

 

5-42.6

Punt

3-29.3

 

 

 

32:11

Time

27:49

 

 

 

1-4

Sacks

3-22

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

Final

LSU

7

3

10

14

34

Ore

15

14

7

3

39

Summary

The Ducks Struck early when LSU quarterback Jordan Jefferson’s
first pass was batted at the line of scrimmage and intercepted by
Oregon linebacker Josh Kaddu and returned for a touchdown.
LaMichael James broke loose for a 53-yard touchdown run to give
the Ducks a 15-0 lead 10 minutes into the game.
After Jefferson was benched in the third quarter following his
second interception of the game, Jarrett Lee brought LSU back
within striking distance, but a final drive was squashed at the OU
19-yard line when Lee’s pass to the end zone was batted away by
John Boyett.
James rushed for 143 yards and quarterback Darron Thomas
rushed for one score and passed for two others.

 

Wisconsin 41  Oklahoma State 38

 

OSU

Team

Wis

 

 

 

26

FD

22

 

 

 

34-156

Rush

45-261

 

 

 

254

Passing

232

 

 

 

24-41-1

Passes

19-26-0

 

 

 

75

Plays

71

 

 

 

410

Tot Yds

493

 

 

 

4-83

KR

5-106

 

 

 

3-19

PR

2-22

 

 

 

0-0

Int Ret

1-13

 

 

 

2-1

Fum-Lst

1-0

 

 

 

11-100

Pen

3-20

 

 

 

4-40.0

Punt

4-41.8

 

 

 

28:47

Time

31:13

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

4-25

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

Final

OSU

10

14

14

0

38

Wis

6

6

21

8

41

Summary

Wisconsin rallied from a 38-19 deficit with three touchdowns in the
last 21 minutes of the game.  Russell Wilson ran 32 yards for the
first of these scores.  Then, the Badgers recovered an onside kick
and relied on a trick play to score.  Montee Ball threw a halfback
pass to Nick Toon for 48 yards and a touchdown.
UW completed the comeback with a 14-play, 82-yard touchdown
drive culminated by James White’s three-yard plunge.
The drive ate more than seven minutes off the clock leaving
Oklahoma State just 1:18 to try to get into field goal range.
Brandon Weeden completed three passes for 46 yards, but Quinn
Sharp’s 51-yard FG attempt on the final play was short.

 

Championship Game Set

Join us Friday afternoon, January 6, 2012, for Simper Bowl V, as the Oregon Ducks and Wisconsin Badgers face off at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum.  This marks the second time that the computer simulated National Championship Game has featured teams actually squaring off in a bowl.

 

On Monday, January 9, 2012, we will reveal the results of 100 simulations of the BCS’s mythical national title game between L S U and Alabama.

December 27, 2011

2011-12 NCAA Simulated Football Playoffs–Quarterfinal Round

The Road To Simper Bowl V

The quarterfinal round of the PiRate Ratings Computer Simulated College Football Playoffs was simulated Friday, December 23, and the results and statistics are listed below.

 

For those of you new to this experiment, here is how the PiRates conduct this simulated National Championship playoff:

 

The champions of the ACC, Big East, Big Ten, Big 12, Pac-12, and SEC receive automatic bids.

 

Any other conference champion that finishes in the top 12 of the BCS rankings also receives an automatic bid.

 

After these two rules have been applied, at-large invitations are extended to the number of teams needed to complete a 12-team tournament, based on BCS ranking.

 

Our 12-team tournament gives the top four BCS-ranked teams a bye, while teams seeded 5-12 play in the opening round. 

 

The Dandy Dozen For This Season Are:

Automatic Bids

ACC Champion: Clemson 10-3  BCS #15

Big East Champion: West Virginia 9-3   BCS #23

Big Ten Champion: Wisconsin 11-2   BCS # 10

Big 12 Champion: Oklahoma State 11-1   BCS #3

Pac-12 Champion: Oregon 11-2   BCS #5

SEC Champion: L S U 13-0   BCS #1

 

Other Qualifying Conference Champions

No other conference champions finished in the BCS top 12.

 

At-large Bids (6)

BCS #2: Alabama 11-1

BCS #4: Stanford 11-1

BCS #6: Arkansas 10-2

BCS #7: Boise State 11-1

BCS #8: Kansas State 10-2

BCS #9: South Carolina 10-2

 

The Opening Round Results

Kansas State 30  South Carolina 20

Oregon 41  West Virginia 17

Wisconsin 38  Boise State 26

Clemson 50  Arkansas 44 3ot

Today’s Elite 8 Matchups

#8 Kansas State 11-2 at #1 L S U 13-0

#5 Oregon 12-2 at #4 Stanford 11-1

#10 Wisconsin 12-2 at #2 Alabama 11-1

#11 Clemson 11-3 at #3 Oklahoma State 11-1

 

Results

L S U  44  Kansas State  16

 

LSU

Team

KSU

 

 

 

21

FD

12

 

 

 

44-251

Rush

29-83

 

 

 

153

Passing

235

 

 

 

11-19-0

Passes

18-42-2

 

 

 

63

Plays

71

 

 

 

404

Tot Yds

318

 

 

 

1-42

KR

6-118

 

 

 

5-42

PR

2-1

 

 

 

2-34

Int Ret

0-0

 

 

 

0-0

Fum-Lst

1-0

 

 

 

6-38

Pen

7-50

 

 

 

3-42.3

Punt

7-41.6

 

 

 

30:34

Time

29:26

 

 

 

3-19

Sacks

0-0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

Final

LSU

3

24

14

3

44

KSU

0

0

0

16

16

Summary

LSU broke open a tight game in the second quarter starting with
a 31 yard interception return for touchdown by Tyrann Mathieu.
 
Following a three-and-out by Kansas State, the Tigers ensuing drive was a nine-play, 68-yard touchdown march culminated by QB Jordan Jefferson’s six yard scamper around left end.
 
Kansas State did not get on the scoreboard until they trailed 41-0
with 9:32 left to play in the game.

 

Oregon 38  Stanford 27

 

Stan

Team

Ore

 

 

 

23

FD

28

 

 

 

26-99

Rush

42-213

 

 

 

311

Passing

223

 

 

 

26-45-2

Passes

18-26-1

 

 

 

71

Plays

68

 

 

 

410

Tot Yds

436

 

 

 

4-87

KR

4-102

 

 

 

2-11

PR

0-0

 

 

 

1-11

Int Ret

2-31

 

 

 

1-0

Fum-Lst

2-0

 

 

 

7-52

Pen

6-43

 

 

 

4-39.8

Punt

2-41.0

 

 

 

27:51

Time

32:09

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

2-13

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

Final

Stan

10

10

0

7

27

Ore

7

14

10

7

38

Summary

Oregon broke open a tight game in the 3rd qtr with a 12-play,
80-yard drive that consumed over seven minutes off the clock.
Darron Thomas completed a 12-yard pass to Lavasier Tuinei for
the touchdown.
 
Following a LaMichael James 46-yard run to the Cardinal 11 yard
line, Alejandro Maldonado kicked a 26-yard field goal to put the
Ducks up by 11 points.  Both teams scored a TD in the final quarter.
 
Andrew Luck completed a 41-yard pass for a score to Coby
Fleener, while James sprinted 16 yards for the game-clincher.
James led all players with 176 yards rushing.

 

Wisconsin 24  Alabama 19

Ala

Team

Wis

 

 

 

14

FD

19

 

 

 

38-134

Rush

52-213

 

 

 

187

Passing

171

 

 

 

19-32-1

Passes

15-22-0

 

 

 

70

Plays

74

 

 

 

321

Tot Yds

384

 

 

 

3-62

KR

2-41

 

 

 

5-19

PR

2-17

 

 

 

0-0

Int Ret

1-0

 

 

 

3-2

Fum-Lst

1-0

 

 

 

9-62

Pen

5-35

 

 

 

7-39.4

Punt

6-41.5

 

 

 

26:48

Time

33:12

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

2-13

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

Final

Ala

0

6

6

7

19

Wis

7

3

7

7

24

Summary

The Badgers pulled off the first major upset of the tournament, and they did so by playing old-style football better than the favored Crimson Tide.
 
On the first possession of the game, UW drove 77 yards on 14 plays, using almost eight minutes of the clock.  The Badgers ran the ball 12 times for 58 yards and passed twice for 19 to gain a lead they kept for the duration of the game.
 
Montee Ball rushed for 152 yards on 31 carries, many times gaining a first down in crucial moments.  In the fourth quarter, with UW leading 17-12, the Badgers were backed up at their own 10 yard line facing a 3rd and 6.  Ball broke two tackles to pick up
the first down, and UW drove to midfield before punting to the ‘Bama 7.  The defense forced the Tide to punt from the 3, and it gave UW excellent field possession at the Tide 38.  Russell Wilson completed a TD pass to Nick Toon to sew up the victory.

 

Oklahoma State 44  Clemson 20

OSU

Team

Clem

 

 

 

31

FD

16

 

 

 

31-156

Rush

31-119

 

 

 

433

Passing

104

 

 

 

29-43-0

Passes

11-26-1

 

 

 

74

Plays

57

 

 

 

589

Tot Yds

223

 

 

 

2-39

KR

7-229

 

 

 

5-44

PR

0-0

 

 

 

1-(-2)

Int Ret

0-0

 

 

 

1-0

Fum-Lst

2-1

 

 

 

4-25

Pen

7-55

 

 

 

1-46.0

Punt

6-40.3

 

 

 

36:19

Time

23:41

 

 

 

3-20

Sacks

0-0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

Final

OSU

23

14

7

0

44

Clem

0

14

0

6

20

Summary

This game was never in doubt, starting with the first play from
scrimmage.  Cowboy QB Brandon Weeden tossed a quick screen
pass to Joseph Randle, who ran 74 yards for a touchdown.
Moment later, a Clemson punt attempt was blocked through the
end zone for a safety, and after the ensuing free kick, Oklahoma
State drove 62 yards for their second touchdown, culminated by
Weeden’s 23 yard pass to Justin Blackmon to give OSU a 16-0 lead just five minutes into the game.
 
Clemson did not score until they trailed 30-0, when Sammy Watkins returned a kick 97 yards for a touchdown.
 
Randle led all rushers with 128 yards on 18 carries.  The
Cowboys held Andre Ellington to 67 rushing yards.

 

The Final Four Is Set

Oregon ventures to Baton Rouge to face L S U for the second time this season, while Wisconsin travels to Stillwater to take on Oklahoma State in the other semifinal game.  The winners of these games will advance to the Simper Bowl at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum.

 

Check back New Year’s Eve for the results of those two simulations.

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