PiRate Ratings College Football — November 20, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Ohio	Bowling Green	9.0	11.4	10.9
Miami (O)	Ball St.	5.3	5.7	5.7
Ole Miss	Mississippi St.	0.1	0.1	0.1
North Carolina	North Carolina St.	-0.1	0.7	0.1
Texas	Baylor	6.9	7.1	6.1
Eastern Michigan	Central Michigan	-0.6	-1.4	-2.3
Western Michigan	Toledo	-6.3	-6.0	-6.0
Boise St.	Utah St.	18.3	17.7	18.5
Arizona	Arizona St.	-0.6	0.1	-0.3
Oregon St.	Oregon	-2.0	-2.0	-1.2
Missouri	Arkansas	-8.4	-7.1	-9.5
Colorado St.	New Mexico	7.0	8.2	9.2
Iowa	Nebraska	16.1	15.6	16.1
California	UCLA	-10.2	-10.2	-10.7
Florida St.	Florida	11.1	9.8	10.9
Fresno St.	Wyoming	15.2	13.2	14.5
Kansas St.	Kansas	18.3	18.6	20.0
Indiana	Purdue	-12.1	-12.1	-12.1
Boston College	Syracuse	-8.8	-7.3	-8.9
Georgia	Georgia Tech	40.0	39.4	42.3
Virginia Tech	Virginia	0.8	0.9	1.1
Duke	Wake Forest	-7.0	-5.0	-7.4
Miami (Fla.)	Pittsburgh	-5.1	-5.1	-4.8
Massachusetts	Army	-20.0	-19.5	-21.8
Maryland	Rutgers	15.6	16.3	17.2
Clemson	South Carolina	11.9	12.0	12.4
Kentucky	Louisville	-4.4	-3.9	-3.4
Penn St.	Michigan St.	17.7	18.9	19.7
Cincinnati	Tulane	5.0	4.4	4.6
Liberty	New Mexico St.	27.5	26.3	28.5
South Florida	Central Florida	-15.2	-16.8	-16.9
Temple	East Carolina	-15.2	-13.6	-16.7
Buffalo	Kent St.	3.2	3.7	4.9
Georgia Southern	Appalachian St.	-5.1	-6.1	-5.9
James Madison	Coastal Carolina	5.8	6.0	7.5
Marshall	Georgia St.	3.1	4.0	2.6
Florida Atlantic	Western Kentucky	-6.7	-5.7	-8.5
South Alabama	Old Dominion	10.8	11.6	12.7
Northern Illinois	Akron	17.9	17.7	18.3
Wisconsin	Minnesota	0.5	0.9	0.1
Ohio St.	Michigan	8.9	8.6	9.0
Northwestern	Illinois	-13.6	-13.4	-13.9
Colorado	Utah	-31.5	-32.2	-33.4
North Texas	Rice	15.2	15.2	16.6
Stanford	BYU	-2.7	-3.3	-3.7
UNLV	Nevada	8.4	6.2	9.0
USC	Notre Dame	-0.3	1.1	0.6
Washington St.	Washington	-2.1	-1.9	-1.9
Houston	Tulsa	14.7	14.8	15.3
SMU	Memphis	4.8	3.9	5.2
TCU	Iowa St.	13.7	13.1	13.7
Louisiana Tech	UAB	-16.2	-15.2	-17.8
Texas Tech	Oklahoma	0.3	0.2	0.8
Texas A&M	LSU	-9.5	-8.9	-9.6
Oklahoma St.	West Virginia	9.0	8.2	9.0
San Jose St.	Hawaii	21.1	20.2	20.2
Vanderbilt	Tennessee	-21.7	-21.0	-23.1
Alabama	Auburn	22.7	23.0	23.9
UTSA	UTEP	18.4	17.9	19.4
Arkansas St.	Troy	-12.1	-11.6	-13.3
Louisiana-Monroe	Southern Miss.	-1.8	-2.0	-2.5
Texas St.	Louisiana	-7.7	-7.0	-7.9
Florida Int’l.	Middle Tennessee	-20.5	-19.5	-22.0
San Diego St.	Air Force	-3.8	-3.9	-3.8

Teams With Byes

Navy

Note: Charlotte and Connecticut have concluded their regular seasons

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

#	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	133.3
2	Ohio St.	132.4
3	Alabama	128.6
4	Michigan	126.5
5	Penn St.	124.1
6	Tennessee	119.9
7	Clemson	119.3
8	Kansas St.	119.3
9	Florida St.	119.1
10	Texas	118.9
11	L S U	118.7
12	T C U	118.6
13	Utah	117.7
14	Notre Dame	116.4
15	Oregon	116.3
16	Minnesota	115.0
17	Iowa	114.8
18	Mississippi St.	113.9
19	Arkansas	113.9
20	U S C	113.8
21	Baylor	113.7
22	Louisville	113.7
23	Oregon St.	113.1
24	Wisconsin	113.0
25	Ole Miss	112.6
26	Oklahoma	112.2
27	Purdue	112.1
28	Illinois	112.1
29	Washington	111.8
30	U C L A	111.1
31	Florida	110.0
32	Texas Tech	109.6
33	Maryland	109.4
34	Wake Forest	109.0
35	Oklahoma St.	108.7
36	South Carolina	108.7
37	Pittsburgh	108.7
38	NC State	108.6
39	Michigan St.	108.4
40	Kentucky	108.3
41	Iowa St.	108.1
42	Cincinnati	108.1
43	Washington St.	107.8
44	North Carolina	107.4
45	Auburn	106.9
46	Tulane	106.4
47	Texas A&M	106.4
48	UCF	105.5
49	Boise St.	105.4
50	Houston	104.2
51	Syracuse	103.7
52	BYU	103.2
53	Missouri	103.1
54	West Virginia	103.0
55	U T S A	102.1
56	Air Force	102.0
57	Nebraska	101.8
58	Kansas	101.8
59	SMU	101.2
60	Fresno St.	101.1
61	Miami (Fla.)	100.7
62	Duke	100.5
63	Arizona St.	100.1
64	Liberty	100.0
65	East Carolina	99.8
66	Memphis	99.6
67	W. Kentucky	99.0
68	James Madison	98.6
69	Indiana	98.5
70	Appalachian St.	98.5
71	Arizona	98.3
72	U A B	97.7
73	California	97.7
74	Stanford	97.0
75	Northwestern	96.9
76	Marshall	96.6
77	Vanderbilt	96.5
78	Georgia St.	96.3
79	Troy	96.2
80	South Alabama	95.9
81	Navy	95.9
82	Toledo	95.8
83	Rutgers	95.5
84	Army	95.5
85	Virginia	95.2
86	San Diego St.	95.2
87	Virginia Tech	94.7
88	Coastal Carolina	94.7
89	Ohio	94.7
90	Georgia Tech	94.2
91	Louisiana	93.5
92	San Jose St.	93.4
93	Boston College	92.9
94	North Texas	92.7
95	Tulsa	92.3
96	Buffalo	91.0
97	N. Illinois	90.7
98	Central Mich.	90.4
99	Ga. Southern	90.3
100	Utah St.	90.2
101	Miami (Ohio)	89.9
102	Wyoming	89.8
103	Kent St.	89.6
104	Florida Atlantic	89.0
105	Southern Miss.	88.1
106	Western Mich.	87.7
107	USF	87.6
108	Eastern Mich.	87.5
109	Middle Tennessee	87.1
110	Old Dominion	86.7
111	Ball St.	86.3
112	U T E P	86.1
113	U N L V	85.9
114	Bowling Green	85.8
115	Connecticut	85.4
116	UL-Monroe	83.5
117	Texas St.	83.4
118	Colorado	82.8
119	Colorado St.	82.1
120	Temple	82.1
121	Arkansas St.	81.4
122	Nevada	79.6
123	Rice	79.0
124	Louisiana Tech	78.8
125	New Mexico	76.5
126	Hawaii	75.9
127	Charlotte	75.7
128	New Mexico St.	75.5
129	Akron	75.3
130	Massachusetts	72.5
131	Florida Int’l.	63.9

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	108.3	107.5	108.4	108.1
Tulane	106.4	106.1	106.7	106.4
UCF	105.1	105.7	105.6	105.5
Houston	104.5	103.8	104.3	104.2
SMU	101.4	100.7	101.5	101.2
East Carolina	99.6	99.3	100.4	99.8
Memphis	99.6	99.8	99.3	99.6
Navy	96.0	95.8	95.9	95.9
Tulsa	92.8	92.0	92.0	92.3
USF	88.4	87.4	87.2	87.6
Temple	81.9	83.1	81.2	82.1
AAC	98.6	98.3	98.4	98.4
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	119.3	119.1	119.6	119.3
Florida St.	119.1	118.9	119.3	119.1
Louisville	113.9	113.6	113.6	113.7
Wake Forest	109.2	108.9	108.9	109.0
NC State	109.3	108.5	108.1	108.6
Syracuse	104.6	103.4	103.1	103.7
Boston College	93.2	93.6	91.8	92.9
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	109.6	108.7	107.9	108.7
North Carolina	107.8	107.7	106.8	107.4
Miami (Fla.)	101.4	100.6	100.1	100.7
Duke	100.2	101.9	99.4	100.5
Virginia	95.8	95.9	94.0	95.2
Virginia Tech	95.1	95.3	93.7	94.7
Georgia Tech	94.9	94.6	93.3	94.2
ACC	105.2	105.0	104.2	104.8
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Kansas St.	119.8	118.7	119.4	119.3
Texas	119.7	118.8	118.3	118.9
T C U	119.2	118.0	118.7	118.6
Baylor	114.3	113.1	113.7	113.7
Oklahoma	112.6	111.7	112.4	112.2
Texas Tech	109.8	108.9	110.2	109.6
Oklahoma St.	109.5	108.0	108.7	108.7
Iowa St.	108.5	107.9	108.0	108.1
West Virginia	103.5	102.9	102.7	103.0
Kansas	103.0	101.6	101.0	101.8
Big 12	112.0	111.0	111.3	111.4
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	132.9	131.8	132.6	132.4
Michigan	126.9	126.2	126.5	126.5
Penn St.	124.2	124.1	124.1	124.1
Maryland	109.9	109.5	108.9	109.4
Michigan St.	109.5	108.2	107.4	108.4
Indiana	99.4	98.6	97.5	98.5
Rutgers	96.7	95.7	94.2	95.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Minnesota	115.5	114.7	114.8	115.0
Iowa	115.5	114.7	114.2	114.8
Wisconsin	113.5	113.1	112.4	113.0
Purdue	113.0	112.2	111.1	112.1
Illinois	112.3	112.6	111.4	112.1
Nebraska	102.4	102.1	101.1	101.8
Northwestern	97.1	97.6	96.0	96.9
Big Ten	112.1	111.5	110.9	111.5
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U T S A	102.0	101.6	102.7	102.1
W. Kentucky	98.6	98.5	99.9	99.0
U A B	97.5	97.3	98.3	97.7
North Texas	92.3	92.2	93.5	92.7
Florida Atlantic	88.9	89.8	88.4	89.0
Middle Tennessee	86.8	87.4	87.1	87.1
U T E P	86.1	86.2	85.8	86.1
Rice	79.1	79.0	78.9	79.0
Louisiana Tech	78.8	79.6	78.0	78.8
Charlotte	75.4	76.2	75.5	75.7
Florida Int’l.	63.8	65.4	62.6	63.9
CUSA	86.3	86.7	86.4	86.5
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	116.7	115.6	116.8	116.4
BYU	103.7	102.4	103.5	103.2
Liberty	99.5	100.3	100.1	100.0
Army	95.1	95.6	95.7	95.5
Connecticut	85.3	86.5	84.4	85.4
New Mexico St.	75.0	76.9	74.6	75.5
Massachusetts	72.6	73.6	71.4	72.5
Independents	92.6	93.0	92.4	92.6
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio	93.2	95.5	95.3	94.7
Buffalo	89.8	91.8	91.5	91.0
Miami (Ohio)	88.9	90.7	90.1	89.9
Kent St.	89.1	90.6	89.1	89.6
Bowling Green	85.7	85.7	85.9	85.8
Akron	75.1	75.9	74.8	75.3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	95.4	96.1	95.9	95.8
N. Illinois	90.5	91.0	90.6	90.7
Central Mich.	89.2	90.8	91.2	90.4
Western Mich.	87.1	88.1	87.9	87.7
Eastern Mich.	87.1	87.9	87.4	87.5
Ball St.	85.7	87.0	86.4	86.3
MAC	88.1	89.3	88.8	88.7
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	105.3	104.9	105.9	105.4
Air Force	101.9	101.8	102.4	102.0
Utah St.	90.0	90.2	90.4	90.2
Wyoming	88.8	90.5	90.1	89.8
Colorado St.	81.6	82.5	82.3	82.1
New Mexico	77.1	76.8	75.6	76.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	101.0	100.7	101.6	101.1
San Diego St.	95.1	94.8	95.5	95.2
San Jose St.	93.2	93.4	93.6	93.4
U N L V	86.2	85.1	86.4	85.9
Nevada	79.4	80.4	78.9	79.6
Hawaii	75.2	76.3	76.4	75.9
MWC	89.6	89.8	89.9	89.8
Pac-12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	117.6	116.9	118.6	117.7
Oregon	116.4	116.0	116.6	116.3
U S C	113.4	113.7	114.4	113.8
Oregon St.	112.9	112.5	113.9	113.1
Washington	111.4	111.6	112.3	111.8
U C L A	110.7	110.6	111.9	111.1
Washington St.	107.3	107.7	108.4	107.8
Arizona St.	100.2	99.6	100.4	100.1
Arizona	98.1	98.1	98.6	98.3
California	97.4	97.4	98.2	97.7
Stanford	98.0	96.2	96.7	97.0
Colorado	83.6	82.2	82.7	82.8
Pac-12	105.6	105.2	106.1	105.6
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	133.3	132.5	134.0	133.3
Tennessee	119.6	119.7	120.5	119.9
Florida	109.5	110.6	109.9	110.0
South Carolina	108.9	108.6	108.7	108.7
Kentucky	107.9	108.2	108.7	108.3
Missouri	103.2	103.4	102.5	103.1
Vanderbilt	96.4	97.2	95.9	96.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	128.7	127.8	129.2	128.6
L S U	118.8	118.4	118.9	118.7
Mississippi St.	114.8	113.4	113.7	113.9
Arkansas	114.2	113.0	114.5	113.9
Ole Miss	113.4	112.0	112.3	112.6
Auburn	107.5	106.3	106.8	106.9
Texas A&M	106.3	106.5	106.3	106.4
SEC	113.0	112.7	113.0	112.9
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
James Madison	97.1	98.4	100.3	98.6
Appalachian St.	97.5	98.6	99.2	98.5
Marshall	95.8	96.8	97.0	96.6
Georgia St.	95.7	95.8	97.4	96.3
Coastal Carolina	93.9	94.9	95.3	94.7
Ga. Southern	90.0	90.0	90.8	90.3
Old Dominion	86.7	86.7	86.8	86.7
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Troy	95.4	96.1	97.2	96.2
South Alabama	95.0	95.8	97.0	95.9
Louisiana	92.9	93.3	94.2	93.5
Southern Miss.	87.6	88.1	88.6	88.1
UL-Monroe	83.3	83.7	83.6	83.5
Texas St.	82.7	83.8	83.8	83.4
Arkansas St.	80.8	82.0	81.3	81.4
Sun Belt	91.0	91.7	92.3	91.7

Conference Ratings

#	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	112.9
2	Big Ten	111.5
3	Big 12	111.4
4	Pac-12	105.6
5	Atlantic Coast	104.8
6	American Athletic	98.4
7	Independents	92.6
8	Sun Belt	91.7
9	Mountain West	89.8
10	Mid-American	88.7
11	Conference USA	86.5

Bowl Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	UTSA	Ohio
Cure	Marshall	Southern Miss.
Fenway	Duke	Central Florida
New Mexico	Western Kentucky	Wyoming
L.A.	Utah	Boise St.
Lending Tree	Miami (O)	Appalachian St.
Las Vegas	Washington	Ole Miss
Frisco	San Diego St.	Washington St.
Myrtle Beach	BYU	South Alabama
Famous Idaho Potato	Bowling Green	Utah St.
Boca Raton	Connecticut	Air Force
New Orleans	Florida Atlantic	Coastal Carolina
Armed Forces	Houston	North Texas
Independence	SMU	Army
Gasparilla	Syracuse	East Carolina
Hawaii	UAB	San Jose St.
Quick Lane	Eastern Michigan	Liberty
Camellia	Buffalo	Troy
First Responder	Kansas	Louisiana
Birmingham	Memphis	Middle Tennessee
Guaranteed Rate	Oklahoma	Wisconsin
Military	Louisville	Tulane
Liberty	Baylor	Missouri
Holiday	North Carolina	Oregon
Texas	Texas Tech	Florida
Pinstripe	Pittsburgh	Minnesota
Cheez-It	Notre Dame	Oklahoma St.
Alamo	Texas	Oregon St.
Duke’s Mayo	Wake Forest	Maryland
Tony the Tiger Sun	North Carolina St.	UCLA
Arizona	Toledo	Fresno St.
Orange	Clemson	Alabama
Music City	Illinois	Kentucky
Sugar	LSU	Kansas St.
TaxSlayer	Florida St.	Arkansas
Peach	Georgia	Michigan
Fiesta	Ohio St.	TCU
Reliaquest (Outback)	Iowa	South Carolina
Citrus	Purdue	Mississippi St.
Cotton	Tennessee	Cincinnati
Rose	USC	Penn St.
National Championship	Georgia	Ohio St.

Note: 82 teams are projected to finish bowl eligible, and there are 82 spots available. There is still a chance that a 5-7 team will be needed if there are less than 82 bowl eligible teams.

Teams that figure to finish 5-7 and have the best APR scores to receive a bid include (in order):

Rice

Iowa State

UNLV

Auburn

Michigan State

PiRate Ratings College Football–October 19-22, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Appalachian St.	Georgia St.	2.2	4.0	2.2
Georgia Tech	Virginia	-0.2	-0.3	0.1
South Alabama	Troy	0.3	0.2	0.1
Temple	Tulsa	-14.3	-11.9	-16.4
Western Kentucky	UAB	5.0	4.9	5.8
TCU	Kansas St.	6.0	6.0	5.9
Army	Louisiana-Monroe	13.6	13.2	13.4
Miami (Fla.)	Duke	18.2	14.8	19.0
South Carolina	Texas A&M	1.6	0.5	0.7
Rutgers	Indiana	4.1	3.8	3.2
Ohio St.	Iowa	22.7	22.7	25.5
Wake Forest	Boston College	15.9	14.8	17.1
Louisville	Pittsburgh	1.2	1.5	2.0
East Carolina	Central Florida	-7.5	-8.8	-7.8
Liberty	BYU	-9.7	-6.7	-7.8
Navy	Houston	-5.3	-5.1	-5.9
Buffalo	Toledo	-6.3	-5.3	-6.2
Central Michigan	Bowling Green	8.4	10.8	11.4
Kent St.	Akron	16.4	17.8	17.7
Miami (O)	Western Michigan	7.9	9.3	9.1
Ohio	Northern Illinois	-4.6	-2.8	-3.1
James Madison	Marshall	5.3	6.3	9.3
Old Dominion	Georgia Southern	3.7	3.9	2.6
Clemson	Syracuse	12.1	13.0	13.4
Wyoming	Utah St.	-1.3	0.7	-0.6
Colorado St.	Hawaii	11.5	11.2	11.2
New Mexico	Fresno St.	-14.3	-13.4	-15.9
New Mexico St.	San Jose St.	-19.6	-18.2	-21.4
Ball St.	Eastern Michigan	2.7	3.3	3.3
Notre Dame	UNLV	27.1	27.1	27.2
Oregon St.	Colorado	21.7	22.7	23.1
Louisiana Tech	Rice	-2.7	-1.8	-3.8
Stanford	Arizona St.	4.3	2.5	2.3
California	Washington	-6.0	-6.5	-5.8
Oregon	UCLA	6.8	6.1	4.6
UTSA	North Texas	12.3	12.0	11.5
Oklahoma St.	Texas	4.9	4.4	6.3
Alabama	Mississippi St.	16.7	17.0	18.4
LSU	Ole Miss	0.0	1.1	0.7
Baylor	Kansas	13.0	13.1	14.1
Texas Tech	West Virginia	4.8	3.8	5.8
SMU	Cincinnati	-5.2	-5.3	-6.5
Tulane	Memphis	7.6	6.7	7.9
Missouri	Vanderbilt	14.2	14.1	15.1
Texas St.	Southern Miss.	-3.3	-2.5	-2.3
Maryland	Northwestern	20.8	19.8	22.0
Charlotte	Florida Int’l.	18.2	16.6	19.1
Wisconsin	Purdue	0.8	1.1	1.3
Louisiana	Arkansas St.	11.1	9.9	11.6
UTEP	Florida Atlantic	0.7	-0.3	0.9
Air Force	Boise St.	3.5	3.9	3.4
Penn St.	Minnesota	1.7	2.5	1.3
Nevada	San Diego St.	-7.4	-5.5	-7.6

FBS vs. FCS Game

FBS	FCS	PiRate
Tennessee	UT-Martin	40.4

Teams With Byes

Arizona

Arkansas

Auburn

Coastal Carolina

Connecticut

Florida

Florida St.

Georgia

Illinois

Iowa St.

Kentucky

Massachusetts

Michigan

Michigan St.

Middle Tennessee

Nebraska

North Carolina

North Carolina St.

Oklahoma

South Florida

USC

Utah

Virginia Tech

Washington St.

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Ohio St.	132.9
2	Georgia	131.7
3	Alabama	129.7
4	Michigan	126.0
5	Tennessee	122.6
6	Clemson	120.1
7	Oklahoma St.	117.9
8	Utah	117.0
9	Minnesota	116.9
10	Penn St.	115.7
11	Texas	115.7
12	Ole Miss	115.6
13	T C U	115.4
14	Mississippi St.	115.3
15	Purdue	114.8
16	Oregon	114.8
17	Arkansas	113.7
18	U S C	113.5
19	NC State	113.3
20	L S U	113.1
21	Baylor	113.1
22	Wisconsin	112.9
23	Kansas St.	112.4
24	Iowa	112.3
25	Florida St.	112.2
26	Maryland	112.0
27	U C L A	111.9
28	Kentucky	111.9
29	Texas A&M	111.9
30	Illinois	111.8
31	Notre Dame	111.0
32	Pittsburgh	110.9
33	Wake Forest	110.8
34	Cincinnati	110.8
35	Oklahoma	110.4
36	UCF	110.4
37	Syracuse	110.3
38	South Carolina	109.8
39	Louisville	109.4
40	Iowa St.	109.3
41	Michigan St.	109.2
42	Miami (Fla.)	109.2
43	Texas Tech	108.6
44	North Carolina	108.3
45	Oregon St.	108.0
46	Washington	107.6
47	BYU	107.3
48	West Virginia	106.8
49	Florida	106.3
50	Auburn	105.2
51	Washington St.	104.0
52	Missouri	103.4
53	Air Force	103.1
54	Tulane	103.0
55	Kansas	102.7
56	Stanford	102.5
57	Arizona St.	102.5
58	Boise St.	102.4
59	Nebraska	102.3
60	SMU	102.1
61	Houston	101.6
62	W. Kentucky	100.3
63	Toledo	99.9
64	East Carolina	99.9
65	Rutgers	99.7
66	Indiana	99.0
67	California	98.4
68	Memphis	98.1
69	U A B	98.1
70	James Madison	97.9
71	Boston College	97.9
72	Fresno St.	97.7
73	U T S A	97.5
74	Virginia	97.2
75	Georgia St.	96.9
76	Appalachian St.	96.8
77	Liberty	96.2
78	San Jose St.	96.1
79	Arizona	95.7
80	Troy	95.4
81	Virginia Tech	95.2
82	Duke	94.9
83	N. Illinois	94.7
84	Tulsa	94.1
85	Northwestern	94.1
86	Georgia Tech	94.1
87	Louisiana	93.6
88	Army	93.5
89	Marshall	93.5
90	South Alabama	93.1
91	Navy	93.1
92	Old Dominion	93.0
93	Coastal Carolina	92.7
94	Ga. Southern	92.1
95	Vanderbilt	91.9
96	USF	91.8
97	Miami (Ohio)	91.8
98	Buffalo	91.5
99	San Diego St.	91.4
100	Central Mich.	91.4
101	Utah St.	91.3
102	Kent St.	89.9
103	Southern Miss.	88.9
104	Ohio	88.7
105	Colorado	88.5
106	North Texas	88.0
107	Wyoming	87.9
108	Florida Atlantic	87.9
109	U N L V	86.9
110	Rice	86.0
111	U T E P	85.8
112	Ball St.	85.6
113	Middle Tennessee	85.6
114	Western Mich.	85.5
115	Arkansas St.	85.2
116	Eastern Mich.	85.0
117	Texas St.	83.8
118	Bowling Green	83.7
119	UL-Monroe	83.1
120	Colorado St.	83.1
121	Nevada	82.0
122	Connecticut	81.2
123	Louisiana Tech	80.8
124	Charlotte	80.2
125	New Mexico	80.2
126	Temple	77.4
127	Hawaii	74.8
128	Akron	74.6
129	New Mexico St.	73.9
130	Massachusetts	70.2
131	Florida Int’l.	64.7

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	110.6	110.0	111.8	110.8
UCF	109.9	110.7	110.6	110.4
Tulane	103.2	102.7	103.2	103.0
SMU	102.5	101.7	102.2	102.1
Houston	101.8	101.0	101.9	101.6
East Carolina	99.9	99.4	100.3	99.9
Memphis	98.1	98.5	97.8	98.1
Tulsa	94.4	93.7	94.3	94.1
Navy	93.5	92.9	93.0	93.1
USF	92.5	91.3	91.6	91.8
Temple	77.5	79.3	75.4	77.4
AAC	98.5	98.3	98.4	98.4
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	120.0	120.0	120.4	120.1
NC State	113.9	112.8	113.2	113.3
Florida St.	112.4	112.0	112.2	112.2
Wake Forest	110.8	110.7	110.9	110.8
Syracuse	111.0	110.0	109.9	110.3
Louisville	110.1	109.3	109.0	109.4
Boston College	97.9	98.9	96.8	97.9
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	111.9	110.8	110.0	110.9
Miami (Fla.)	109.9	108.7	109.0	109.2
North Carolina	108.4	108.6	108.0	108.3
Virginia	98.0	97.9	95.8	97.2
Virginia Tech	95.8	95.9	94.0	95.2
Duke	94.7	96.9	93.0	94.9
Georgia Tech	94.8	94.6	93.0	94.1
ACC	106.4	106.2	105.4	106.0
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma St.	118.5	117.0	118.1	117.9
Texas	116.6	115.7	114.8	115.7
T C U	116.1	114.8	115.4	115.4
Baylor	113.8	112.6	113.0	113.1
Kansas St.	113.1	111.8	112.4	112.4
Oklahoma	110.9	109.8	110.5	110.4
Iowa St.	109.4	109.2	109.2	109.3
Texas Tech	108.8	107.6	109.4	108.6
West Virginia	107.1	106.8	106.6	106.8
Kansas	103.8	102.5	101.9	102.7
Big 12	111.8	110.8	111.1	111.2
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	133.1	131.9	133.8	132.9
Michigan	126.3	125.4	126.2	126.0
Penn St.	116.0	115.8	115.4	115.7
Maryland	112.3	112.1	111.6	112.0
Michigan St.	110.2	109.0	108.5	109.2
Rutgers	101.0	100.0	98.0	99.7
Indiana	99.9	99.2	97.8	99.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Minnesota	117.3	116.3	117.0	116.9
Purdue	115.6	114.8	114.0	114.8
Wisconsin	113.4	112.9	112.3	112.9
Iowa	113.4	112.2	111.3	112.3
Illinois	111.9	112.5	111.0	111.8
Nebraska	102.9	102.6	101.6	102.3
Northwestern	94.4	95.3	92.6	94.1
Big Ten	112.0	111.4	110.8	111.4
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
W. Kentucky	99.7	99.7	101.6	100.3
U A B	97.7	97.8	98.8	98.1
U T S A	97.6	96.8	97.9	97.5
North Texas	87.8	87.3	88.9	88.0
Florida Atlantic	87.7	88.6	87.3	87.9
Rice	85.9	86.0	86.1	86.0
U T E P	85.9	85.8	85.7	85.8
Middle Tennessee	85.2	85.7	85.8	85.6
Louisiana Tech	80.7	81.7	79.8	80.8
Charlotte	80.1	80.8	79.8	80.2
Florida Int’l.	64.4	66.7	63.1	64.7
CUSA	86.6	87.0	86.8	86.8
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	111.6	109.9	111.6	111.0
BYU	108.0	106.3	107.5	107.3
Liberty	95.3	96.7	96.7	96.2
Army	93.5	93.6	93.5	93.5
Connecticut	81.3	82.4	79.8	81.2
New Mexico St.	73.4	75.3	72.9	73.9
Massachusetts	70.5	71.3	68.8	70.2
Independents	90.5	90.8	90.1	90.5
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	90.5	92.7	92.1	91.8
Buffalo	90.1	92.4	92.0	91.5
Kent St.	89.1	91.0	89.6	89.9
Ohio	87.5	89.6	89.1	88.7
Bowling Green	84.0	83.5	83.5	83.7
Akron	74.7	75.2	73.9	74.6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	98.9	100.1	100.6	99.9
N. Illinois	94.5	94.9	94.8	94.7
Central Mich.	89.9	91.7	92.5	91.4
Ball St.	85.1	86.3	85.5	85.6
Western Mich.	85.2	85.9	85.5	85.5
Eastern Mich.	84.9	85.4	84.6	85.0
MAC	87.9	89.1	88.6	88.5
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Air Force	102.8	102.7	103.7	103.1
Boise St.	102.4	101.7	103.2	102.4
Utah St.	91.1	91.1	91.7	91.3
Wyoming	86.8	88.8	88.1	87.9
Colorado St.	82.7	83.7	83.0	83.1
New Mexico	80.6	80.7	79.3	80.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	97.8	97.1	98.3	97.7
San Jose St.	95.4	96.0	96.9	96.1
San Diego St.	91.6	91.1	91.4	91.4
U N L V	87.4	85.8	87.4	86.9
Nevada	81.7	83.1	81.3	82.0
Hawaii	74.2	75.5	74.9	74.8
MWC	89.5	89.8	89.9	89.7
Pac-12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	116.8	116.1	118.3	117.0
Oregon	115.1	114.5	114.7	114.8
U S C	112.7	113.4	114.3	113.5
U C L A	111.3	111.4	113.1	111.9
Oregon St.	108.1	107.4	108.6	108.0
Washington	107.3	107.6	107.8	107.6
Washington St.	103.6	104.1	104.4	104.0
Stanford	103.6	101.6	102.3	102.5
Arizona St.	102.3	102.1	103.1	102.5
California	98.2	98.1	99.0	98.4
Arizona	95.7	95.6	95.7	95.7
Colorado	89.4	87.7	88.5	88.5
Pac-12	105.3	105.0	105.8	105.4
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	131.9	130.6	132.7	131.7
Tennessee	122.3	122.4	123.1	122.6
Kentucky	111.4	111.9	112.4	111.9
South Carolina	110.0	109.4	110.1	109.8
Florida	105.8	107.3	105.9	106.3
Missouri	103.4	103.8	102.8	103.4
Vanderbilt	92.2	92.7	90.7	91.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	129.6	128.8	130.7	129.7
Ole Miss	116.5	115.0	115.2	115.6
Mississippi St.	115.9	114.8	115.3	115.3
Arkansas	114.2	112.6	114.3	113.7
L S U	113.5	113.0	112.9	113.1
Texas A&M	111.3	111.9	112.4	111.9
Auburn	106.2	104.7	104.7	105.2
SEC	113.2	112.8	113.1	113.0
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
James Madison	95.9	97.7	100.2	97.9
Georgia St.	96.4	96.0	98.4	96.9
Appalachian St.	95.6	97.0	97.6	96.8
Marshall	93.1	93.9	93.4	93.5
Old Dominion	92.8	93.1	93.1	93.0
Coastal Carolina	92.0	92.9	93.2	92.7
Ga. Southern	91.7	91.7	93.0	92.1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Troy	94.6	95.3	96.4	95.4
Louisiana	92.9	93.2	94.5	93.6
South Alabama	92.4	93.0	94.0	93.1
Southern Miss.	88.6	89.1	89.1	88.9
Arkansas St.	84.3	85.8	85.4	85.2
Texas St.	82.8	84.2	84.3	83.8
UL-Monroe	82.9	83.4	83.1	83.1
Sun Belt	91.2	91.9	92.6	91.9

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	113.0
2	Big Ten	111.4
3	Big 12	111.2
4	Atlantic Coast	106.0
5	Pac-12	105.4
6	American Athletic	98.4
7	Sun Belt	91.9
8	Independents	90.5
9	Mountain West	89.7
10	Mid-American	88.5
11	Conference USA	86.8

This Week’s Bowl Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	UTSA	Buffalo
Cure	Coastal Carolina	BYU
Fenway	Pittsburgh	Central Florida
New Mexico	Rice	Fresno St.
L.A.	Utah	Boise St.
Lending Tree	Ball St.	Marshall
Las Vegas	USC	Mississippi St.
Frisco	Utah St.	Western Kentucky
Myrtle Beach	Middle Tennessee	Appalachian St.
Famous Idaho Potato	Eastern Michigan	San Jose St.
Boca Raton	Georgia Southern	Stanford 5
New Orleans	North Texas	Troy
Armed Forces	Houston	Texas St.
Independence	SMU	Army
Gasparilla	Duke	Washington St.
Hawaii	UTEP	Air Force
Quick Lane	Ohio U	Liberty
Camellia	Toledo	South Alabama
First Responder	UAB	UNLV
Birmingham	Southern Miss.	Old Dominion
Guaranteed Rate	Wisconsin	Wyoming
Military	Louisville 5	Tulane
Liberty	Oklahoma	LSU
Holiday	Syracuse	UCLA
Texas	Kansas	Florida
Pinstripe	Notre Dame	Minnesota
Cheez-It	Miami (Fla.)	Texas
Alamo	Kansas St.	Washington
Duke’s Mayo	Wake Forest	Purdue
Tony the Tiger Sun	North Carolina St.	Oregon St.
Arizona	Miami (O)	San Diego St.
Orange	North Carolina	Alabama
Music City	Maryland	Texas A&M
Sugar	Tennessee	Oklahoma St.
TaxSlayer	Florida St.	South Carolina
Peach	Georgia	TCU
Fiesta	Ohio St.	Clemson
Tampa Bay	Illinois	Kentucky
Citrus	Penn St.	Arkansas
Cotton	Ole Miss	Cincinnati
Rose	Oregon	Michigan
National Championship	Georgia	Ohio St.

“5″ after team name indicates a team with an expected 5-7 record that has a high enough APR score to earn a bowl bid over other 5-7 schools.

PiRate Ratings College Football–October 5-8, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Central Florida	SMU	4.9	6.3	5.4
Rutgers	Nebraska	1.8	1.0	0.1
Memphis	Houston	-1.0	0.4	-1.4
Nevada	Colorado St.	6.5	7.5	6.4
San Jose St.	UNLV	2.8	5.3	4.1
Georgia Tech	Duke	2.9	0.4	3.2
Maryland	Purdue	-0.4	0.6	1.2
Virginia	Louisville	-7.5	-6.4	-8.3
Miami (Fla.)	North Carolina	6.1	4.6	5.8
Indiana	Michigan	-22.1	-21.8	-24.7
Bowling Green	Buffalo	3.4	-0.1	0.4
Pittsburgh	Virginia Tech	18.6	17.1	19.0
Georgia	Auburn	26.5	26.5	29.0
Boston College	Clemson	-18.0	-16.6	-19.3
Massachusetts	Liberty	-23.0	-24.0	-27.2
Michigan St.	Ohio St.	-17.0	-16.9	-19.5
Kentucky	South Carolina	6.8	8.2	8.0
North Carolina St.	Florida St.	7.3	6.7	7.6
Kansas	TCU	-9.0	-9.2	-10.6
Florida	Missouri	6.0	7.0	7.0
Cincinnati	South Florida	23.6	24.4	26.2
Georgia St.	Georgia Southern	7.1	6.6	8.3
Miami (O)	Kent St.	3.3	3.6	5.0
Western Michigan	Eastern Michigan	8.4	8.7	9.5
Texas St.	Appalachian St.	-15.9	-16.4	-17.5
Wake Forest	Army	15.2	14.8	14.9
Arkansas St.	James Madison	-7.6	-8.1	-11.4
Iowa St.	Kansas St.	-0.7	0.3	-0.4
Boise St.	Fresno St.	4.9	4.8	5.1
Ohio	Akron	9.9	11.7	11.9
Utah St.	Air Force	-9.4	-9.4	-9.7
Arizona	Oregon	-13.9	-13.3	-13.4
USC	Washington St.	10.8	10.6	10.9
UCLA	Utah	-6.3	-5.5	-6.5
Arizona St.	Washington	-4.6	-5.9	-5.3
Stanford	Oregon St.	-3.1	-4.9	-5.7
Louisiana-Monroe	Coastal Carolina	-10.3	-11.4	-12.8
Vanderbilt	Ole Miss	-20.1	-17.4	-20.1
LSU	Tennessee	0.8	-0.1	-0.4
Tulane	East Carolina	3.4	3.3	2.4
Oklahoma St.	Texas Tech	13.8	13.8	13.5
Oklahoma	Texas	2.1	2.0	3.4
Alabama	Texas A&M	25.0	23.6	25.3
Troy	Southern Miss.	6.9	7.0	8.3
Mississippi St.	Arkansas	4.5	4.8	3.5
Northwestern	Wisconsin	-12.3	-10.6	-12.7
Illinois	Iowa	-1.1	0.7	-0.6
Navy	Tulsa	-4.0	-4.2	-5.3
Central Michigan	Ball St.	8.9	9.8	11.3
Northern Illinois	Toledo	1.9	1.2	0.4
UAB	Middle Tennessee	12.1	11.3	12.4
UTSA	Western Kentucky	1.5	0.5	-0.3
Florida Int’l.	Connecticut	-13.8	-12.1	-13.2
Louisiana Tech	UTEP	-3.2	-1.7	-4.5
New Mexico	Wyoming	2.1	0.3	-0.2
Notre Dame	BYU	3.1	3.0	3.6
San Diego St.	Hawaii	25.2	23.6	24.9

Oklahoma-Texas played in Dallas / Notre Dame-BYU played in Las Vegas

No FBS vs. FCS Games This Week

Teams With Byes This Week

Baylor

California

Charlotte

Colorado

Florida Atlantic

Louisiana

Marshall

Minnesota

New Mexico St.

North Texas

Old Dominion

Penn St.

Rice

South Alabama

Syracuse

Temple

West Virginia

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Alabama	132.2
2	Ohio St.	131.3
3	Georgia	130.2
4	Michigan	124.4
5	Clemson	119.3
6	Utah	118.7
7	Minnesota	118.7
8	Oklahoma St.	118.4
9	Tennessee	118.0
10	Penn St.	116.7
11	NC State	116.1
12	T C U	115.4
13	Oklahoma	115.2
14	Ole Miss	115.2
15	Purdue	115.2
16	Mississippi St.	115.1
17	L S U	115.1
18	Arkansas	113.8
19	Baylor	113.6
20	Oregon	113.2
21	Notre Dame	112.8
22	Texas	112.7
23	Maryland	112.6
24	U S C	112.6
25	Iowa	112.6
26	Cincinnati	112.4
27	Kentucky	112.2
28	Kansas St.	112.1
29	Florida St.	111.9
30	Wisconsin	111.1
31	Pittsburgh	110.7
32	Texas A&M	110.6
33	Miami (Fla.)	110.6
34	Michigan St.	110.5
35	U C L A	109.7
36	BYU	109.5
37	Illinois	109.2
38	Washington	109.2
39	Iowa St.	108.9
40	Wake Forest	108.5
41	Louisville	108.2
42	Syracuse	108.2
43	North Carolina	108.1
44	Oregon St.	107.8
45	Texas Tech	107.7
46	South Carolina	107.6
47	Florida	106.7
48	UCF	106.5
49	West Virginia	106.0
50	Auburn	105.8
51	Washington St.	104.9
52	SMU	104.0
53	Missouri	103.1
54	Kansas	102.8
55	Air Force	102.4
56	Nebraska	101.6
57	Tulane	101.4
58	East Carolina	101.3
59	Houston	101.2
60	Arizona St.	100.9
61	Boise St.	100.8
62	Stanford	100.2
63	W. Kentucky	100.2
64	Rutgers	99.6
65	Appalachian St.	99.3
66	Fresno St.	98.9
67	California	98.8
68	Indiana	98.5
69	Boston College	98.4
70	Virginia	98.3
71	Memphis	98.1
72	Liberty	98.0
73	U T S A	97.8
74	James Madison	97.8
75	Tulsa	97.2
76	U A B	97.1
77	Georgia St.	96.6
78	Arizona	96.6
79	Coastal Carolina	96.5
80	Toledo	96.4
81	Northwestern	96.2
82	Army	96.0
83	Troy	95.2
84	N. Illinois	95.0
85	Virginia Tech	94.9
86	Marshall	94.6
87	Duke	94.2
88	Vanderbilt	94.0
89	Georgia Tech	93.9
90	South Alabama	93.3
91	San Jose St.	93.2
92	Miami (Ohio)	93.1
93	San Diego St.	93.0
94	Central Mich.	92.5
95	Louisiana	92.3
96	U N L V	92.2
97	Kent St.	91.1
98	Western Mich.	91.0
99	Ga. Southern	90.8
100	USF	90.7
101	Southern Miss.	90.3
102	Utah St.	89.9
103	Navy	89.6
104	Old Dominion	89.3
105	Florida Atlantic	87.9
106	Middle Tennessee	87.7
107	Colorado	87.5
108	Buffalo	87.4
109	U T E P	86.8
110	North Texas	86.5
111	Wyoming	86.4
112	Arkansas St.	86.2
113	Bowling Green	86.1
114	Nevada	85.6
115	Rice	85.6
116	Ohio	85.4
117	Ball St.	85.0
118	Eastern Mich.	84.7
119	New Mexico	84.2
120	UL-Monroe	82.5
121	Colorado St.	81.8
122	Louisiana Tech	81.2
123	Temple	80.8
124	Connecticut	80.4
125	Texas St.	80.1
126	Charlotte	79.6
127	Akron	76.3
128	Hawaii	71.4
129	New Mexico St.	71.3
130	Massachusetts	71.2
131	Florida Int’l.	64.8

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	112.1	111.6	113.6	112.4
UCF	106.1	106.8	106.7	106.5
SMU	104.3	103.4	104.3	104.0
Tulane	101.7	101.1	101.3	101.4
East Carolina	101.2	100.8	101.9	101.3
Houston	101.5	100.6	101.6	101.2
Memphis	98.0	98.5	97.7	98.1
Tulsa	97.3	96.7	97.5	97.2
USF	91.5	90.2	90.4	90.7
Navy	90.2	89.5	89.2	89.6
Temple	80.8	82.8	78.7	80.8
AAC	98.6	98.3	98.5	98.5
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	119.3	119.1	119.6	119.3
NC State	116.5	115.5	116.3	116.1
Florida St.	112.2	111.8	111.8	111.9
Wake Forest	108.6	108.4	108.5	108.5
Louisville	109.0	108.0	107.8	108.2
Syracuse	109.0	107.9	107.6	108.2
Boston College	98.3	99.5	97.3	98.4
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	111.7	110.5	109.9	110.7
Miami (Fla.)	111.1	109.9	110.7	110.6
North Carolina	108.1	108.3	107.9	108.1
Virginia	99.0	99.1	96.9	98.3
Virginia Tech	95.6	95.8	93.4	94.9
Duke	94.1	96.4	92.0	94.2
Georgia Tech	94.6	94.3	92.8	93.9
ACC	106.2	106.0	105.2	105.8
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma St.	118.9	117.5	118.9	118.4
T C U	116.0	114.8	115.4	115.4
Oklahoma	115.7	114.6	115.3	115.2
Baylor	114.2	113.1	113.6	113.6
Texas	113.6	112.7	111.8	112.7
Kansas St.	112.8	111.5	112.1	112.1
Iowa St.	109.0	108.8	108.8	108.9
Texas Tech	108.0	106.7	108.4	107.7
West Virginia	106.4	106.0	105.7	106.0
Kansas	104.0	102.6	101.8	102.8
Big 12	111.8	110.8	111.2	111.3
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	131.5	130.2	132.2	131.3
Michigan	124.8	123.7	124.7	124.4
Penn St.	116.9	116.9	116.5	116.7
Maryland	112.7	112.7	112.6	112.6
Michigan St.	111.5	110.3	109.7	110.5
Rutgers	100.9	99.9	97.9	99.6
Indiana	99.7	98.9	97.0	98.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Minnesota	118.9	118.2	118.9	118.7
Purdue	116.0	115.1	114.3	115.2
Iowa	113.6	112.4	111.7	112.6
Wisconsin	111.7	111.1	110.5	111.1
Illinois	109.5	110.1	108.1	109.2
Nebraska	102.2	101.9	100.8	101.6
Northwestern	96.4	97.5	94.8	96.2
Big Ten	111.9	111.3	110.7	111.3
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
W. Kentucky	99.5	99.5	101.6	100.2
U T S A	98.0	97.0	98.3	97.8
U A B	96.7	96.7	97.9	97.1
Florida Atlantic	87.6	88.7	87.4	87.9
Middle Tennessee	87.1	87.9	88.0	87.7
U T E P	86.8	86.6	86.9	86.8
North Texas	86.4	85.7	87.5	86.5
Rice	85.6	85.5	85.6	85.6
Louisiana Tech	81.1	82.4	79.9	81.2
Charlotte	79.6	80.2	79.0	79.6
Florida Int’l.	64.4	67.0	63.0	64.8
CUSA	86.6	87.0	86.8	86.8
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	113.2	111.6	113.5	112.8
BYU	110.1	108.6	109.9	109.5
Liberty	96.8	98.4	98.7	98.0
Army	95.9	96.1	96.1	96.0
Connecticut	80.7	81.6	78.8	80.4
New Mexico St.	70.9	72.8	70.2	71.3
Massachusetts	71.8	72.4	69.5	71.2
Independents	91.3	91.6	91.0	91.3
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	91.5	94.0	93.7	93.1
Kent St.	90.3	92.4	90.7	91.1
Buffalo	85.9	88.4	88.0	87.4
Bowling Green	86.8	85.8	85.8	86.1
Ohio	84.2	86.4	85.7	85.4
Akron	76.2	76.8	75.8	76.3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	95.5	96.5	97.1	96.4
N. Illinois	94.9	95.2	95.0	95.0
Central Mich.	91.0	92.8	93.6	92.5
Western Mich.	90.5	91.3	91.2	91.0
Ball St.	84.6	85.6	84.8	85.0
Eastern Mich.	84.6	85.1	84.2	84.7
MAC	88.0	89.2	88.8	88.7
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Air Force	102.1	102.1	103.0	102.4
Boise St.	100.9	100.1	101.5	100.8
Utah St.	89.8	89.7	90.3	89.9
Wyoming	85.3	87.3	86.6	86.4
New Mexico	84.5	84.6	83.4	84.2
Colorado St.	81.6	82.4	81.6	81.8
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	99.0	98.3	99.5	98.9
San Jose St.	92.4	93.2	94.0	93.2
San Diego St.	93.1	92.6	93.1	93.0
U N L V	92.6	90.9	92.9	92.2
Nevada	85.1	86.8	85.0	85.6
Hawaii	70.9	72.1	71.3	71.4
MWC	89.8	90.0	90.2	90.0
Pac-12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	118.4	117.7	120.2	118.7
Oregon	113.6	112.9	113.0	113.2
U S C	112.0	112.6	113.3	112.6
U C L A	109.1	109.2	110.7	109.7
Washington	108.6	109.3	109.7	109.2
Oregon St.	107.8	107.1	108.4	107.8
Washington St.	104.2	105.0	105.4	104.9
Arizona St.	100.9	100.5	101.4	100.9
Stanford	101.7	99.3	99.7	100.2
California	98.4	98.5	99.6	98.8
Arizona	96.7	96.5	96.6	96.6
Colorado	88.6	86.7	87.3	87.5
Pac-12	105.0	104.6	105.4	105.0
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	130.3	128.9	131.3	130.2
Tennessee	117.8	117.9	118.2	118.0
Kentucky	111.6	112.3	112.8	112.2
South Carolina	107.9	107.1	107.7	107.6
Florida	106.1	107.6	106.5	106.7
Missouri	103.1	103.5	102.5	103.1
Vanderbilt	94.2	95.0	92.7	94.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	132.0	131.2	133.4	132.2
Ole Miss	116.3	114.5	114.8	115.2
Mississippi St.	115.8	114.6	115.0	115.1
L S U	115.6	114.8	114.8	115.1
Arkansas	114.3	112.7	114.5	113.8
Texas A&M	110.0	110.6	111.1	110.6
Auburn	106.8	105.4	105.3	105.8
SEC	113.0	112.6	112.9	112.8
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Appalachian St.	97.9	99.5	100.3	99.3
James Madison	95.5	97.5	100.3	97.8
Georgia St.	96.1	95.6	98.2	96.6
Coastal Carolina	95.4	96.7	97.4	96.5
Marshall	94.2	95.1	94.5	94.6
Ga. Southern	90.6	90.5	91.4	90.8
Old Dominion	89.3	89.4	89.2	89.3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Troy	94.3	95.0	96.3	95.2
South Alabama	92.4	93.1	94.3	93.3
Louisiana	91.7	91.9	93.3	92.3
Southern Miss.	89.9	90.5	90.5	90.3
Arkansas St.	85.4	86.9	86.4	86.2
UL-Monroe	82.6	82.8	82.1	82.5
Texas St.	79.5	80.6	80.3	80.1
Sun Belt	91.1	91.8	92.5	91.8

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	112.8
2	Big Ten	111.3
3	Big 12	111.3
4	Atlantic Coast	105.8
5	Pac-12	105.0
6	American Athletic	98.5
7	Sun Belt	91.8
8	Independents	91.3
9	Mountain West	90.0
10	Mid-American	88.7
11	Conference USA	86.8

2022 Debut of Bowl Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	Rice	Western Michigan
Cure	Middle Tennessee	Southern Miss.
Fenway	Notre Dame	Central Florida
New Mexico	UTSA	New Mexico
L.A.	Oregon St.	San Jose St.
Lending Tree	Kent St.	Marshall
Las Vegas	USC	LSU
Frisco	{Kansas}	BYU
Myrtle Beach	{Iowa St.}	Appalachian St.
Famous Idaho Potato	Boise St.	Ball St.
Boca Raton	{Texas Tech}	Coastal Carolina
New Orleans	Troy	UAB
Armed Forces	Houston	Western Kentucky
Independence	SMU	Army
Gasparilla	[South Carolina]	Memphis
Hawaii	UNLV	UTEP
Quick Lane	{Liberty}	Eastern Michigan
Camellia	Miami (O)	South Alabama
First Responder	Tulsa	{Wyoming}
Birmingham	North Texas	[Louisville]
Guaranteed Rate	Texas	[Wisconsin]
Military	Pittsburgh	Tulane
Liberty	Baylor	{Washington St.}
Holiday	UCLA	Syracuse
Texas	Oklahoma	Texas A&M
Pinstripe	North Carolina	Purdue
Cheez-It	Duke	Kansas St.
Alamo	Oklahoma St.	Oregon
Duke’s Mayo	Wake Forest	Maryland
Tony the Tiger	Miami (Fla.)	Washingon
Arizona	Air Force	Toledo
Orange	North Carolina St.	Tennessee
Music City	Iowa	Florida
Sugar	TCU	Ole Miss
TaxSlayer	Mississippi St.	Florida St.
Peach	Alabama	Clemson
Fiesta	Ohio St.	Georgia
Tampa Bay	Minnesota	Kentucky
Citrus	Illinois	Arkansas
Cotton	Penn St.	Cincinnati
Rose	Utah	Michigan
National Championship	Alabama	Ohio St.

{Team} = At-large replacement when team not available

[Team] = Team projected to be 5-7 but receive bid due to highest APR scores

PiRate Ratings College Football–Sept. 1-5, 2022

This Week’s Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Tennessee	Ball St.	33.5	32.0	33.5
Pittsburgh	West Virginia	13.7	12.6	13.3
Purdue	Penn St.	4.7	4.1	4.0
Missouri	Louisiana Tech	26.7	25.1	27.2
Minnesota	New Mexico St.	42.0	39.0	43.1
Oklahoma St.	Central Michigan	28.2	24.0	24.4
Indiana	Illinois	0.3	-0.8	-0.7
Old Dominion	Virginia Tech	-9.0	-9.4	-6.4
Michigan St.	Western Michigan	29.8	26.9	26.2
Duke	Temple	5.8	5.8	5.0
Colorado	TCU	-7.3	-7.6	-6.6
Ole Miss	Troy	25.7	23.5	22.8
Florida	Utah	-7.0	-3.5	-8.6
South Florida	BYU	-12.9	-12.5	-14.0
Syracuse	Louisville	-2.9	-3.3	-3.5
Ohio St.	Notre Dame	14.2	14.1	15.2
Maryland	Buffalo	30.1	27.4	28.0
Michigan	Colorado St.	38.2	35.0	37.4
Appalachian St.	North Carolina	-10.0	-8.4	-6.7
Boston College	Rutgers	2.2	5.1	5.0
James Madison	Middle Tennessee	4.0	4.7	7.7
Coastal Carolina	Army	-2.8	-2.1	-1.2
Kentucky	Miami (O)	23.5	21.2	21.9
South Carolina	Georgia St.	13.1	13.3	9.3
North Texas	SMU	-10.5	-10.4	-9.3
Ohio	Florida Atlantic	-0.8	0.4	1.4
East Carolina	North Carolina St.	-16.3	-15.7	-15.6
Wyoming	Tulsa	-10.1	-6.3	-8.8
USC	Rice	27.1	28.5	29.0
UCLA	Bowling Green	23.8	25.0	26.3
Oregon St.	Boise St.	4.1	4.6	3.8
Washington	Kent St.	19.8	17.8	20.8
San Diego St.	Arizona	6.4	6.4	6.9
Nevada	Texas St.	9.2	10.5	8.1
Georgia (Atlanta)	Oregon	21.4	19.8	23.8
Southern Miss.	Liberty	-7.8	-9.3	-10.3
Alabama	Utah St.	37.2	35.5	38.0
Oklahoma	UTEP	37.2	36.6	37.4
Mississippi St.	Memphis	20.6	18.0	19.0
Texas	UL-Monroe	32.0	30.3	31.0
Arkansas	Cincinnati	7.5	6.5	6.2
UTSA	Houston	-5.9	-7.4	-7.9
Tulane	Massachusetts	25.9	24.3	27.8
Hawaii	Western Kentucky	-18.5	-16.5	-20.2
LSU (New Orleans)	Florida St.	3.4	3.3	3.5
Georgia Tech	Clemson	-21.7	-21.5	-24.4

FBS vs. FCS Games

FBS	FCS	PiRate
Akron	St. Francis (PA)	8.3
Central Florida	S. Carolina St.	29.5
Florida Int’l.	Bryant	8.8
Toledo	Long Island	39.0
Wake Forest	VMI	31.7
Northern Illinois	Eastern Illinois	28.0
UAB	Alabama A&M	28.8
Arizona St.	Northern Arizona	26.1
Fresno St.	Cal Poly SLO	31.3
San Jose St.	Portland St.	12.7
Eastern Michigan	Eastern Kentucky	13.2
Charlotte	William & Mary	3.8
Kansas	Tennessee Tech	25.1
Air Force	Northern Iowa	15.3
New Mexico	Maine	4.6
Texas A&M	Sam Houston	27.7
Connecticut	Central Connecticut	13.0
Iowa	South Dakota St.	16.7
Navy	Delaware	18.1
Virginia	Richmond	22.1
Iowa St.	SE Missouri St.	33.2
Nebraska	North Dakota	21.1
Miami (Fla.)	Bethune-Cookman	38.6
Marshall	Norfolk St.	28.1
California	UC Davis	18.6
South Alabama	Nicholls St.	9.7
Georgia Southern	Morgan St.	28.6
Auburn	Mercer	28.2
Vanderbilt	Elon	17.2
Kansas St.	South Dakota	23.2
Wisconsin	Illinois St.	31.3
Louisiana	SE Louisiana	18.1
Baylor	Albany	38.5
Arkansas St.	Grambling	21.8
Stanford	Colgate	30.3
Texas Tech	Murray St.	30.0
Washington St.	Idaho	25.7

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	130.5
2	Alabama	129.1
3	Ohio St.	128.3
4	Michigan	123.0
5	Clemson	120.0
6	Oklahoma	119.1
7	NC State	118.1
8	Michigan St.	117.7
9	Wisconsin	117.6
10	Oklahoma St.	117.5
11	Notre Dame	116.8
12	Utah	116.6
13	Purdue	115.9
14	Arkansas	115.3
15	Tennessee	115.1
16	Pittsburgh	115.0
17	Iowa	114.7
18	Miami (Fla.)	114.7
19	Penn St.	114.6
20	Texas A&M	114.3
21	Mississippi St.	113.9
22	Minnesota	113.6
23	Baylor	113.5
24	Kentucky	112.7
25	L S U	112.5
26	Ole Miss	112.2
27	Florida St.	111.6
28	BYU	111.5
29	Cincinnati	111.5
30	Oregon	111.3
31	Auburn	111.2
32	Louisville	111.0
33	Kansas St.	110.3
34	Texas	110.2
35	Maryland	110.0
36	U C L A	109.1
37	South Carolina	109.1
38	Iowa St.	108.7
39	North Carolina	108.2
40	T C U	107.8
41	Nebraska	107.6
42	Oregon St.	107.2
43	Texas Tech	106.7
44	Florida	106.7
45	Boise St.	106.0
46	U S C	105.9
47	Houston	105.5
48	Wake Forest	105.4
49	Washington	104.9
50	Syracuse	104.8
51	Arizona St.	104.5
52	UCF	104.4
53	Illinois	103.8
54	Missouri	103.7
55	Virginia	103.6
56	Fresno St.	103.5
57	West Virginia	103.3
58	Stanford	102.2
59	SMU	102.0
60	Washington St.	101.5
61	Air Force	101.4
62	Northwestern	101.2
63	Boston College	101.2
64	Indiana	100.9
65	Georgia St.	100.1
66	Rutgers	100.1
67	East Carolina	99.8
68	Virginia Tech	99.7
69	Army	99.0
70	California	98.3
71	N. Illinois	98.2
72	Tulane	98.2
73	U A B	98.1
74	Appal. St.	97.8
75	San Diego St.	97.7
76	Colorado	97.6
77	Kansas	97.3
78	Memphis	97.2
79	Liberty	97.0
80	Louisiana	96.9
81	W. Kentucky	96.7
82	U T S A	96.5
83	Tulsa	95.5
84	Vanderbilt	95.4
85	USF	95.4
86	Utah St.	95.2
87	Georgia Tech	95.0
88	Central Mich.	95.0
89	Toledo	94.5
90	Arizona	94.1
91	Coastal Car.	94.0
92	Miami (Ohio)	93.5
93	Western Mich.	93.1
94	Navy	92.2
95	Marshall	92.1
96	Troy	91.2
97	North Texas	90.4
98	J. Madison	89.5
99	Old Dominion	89.4
100	Colorado St.	89.2
101	Florida Atlantic	88.6
102	Eastern Mich.	88.5
103	Kent St.	88.4
104	U N L V	88.1
105	Nevada	87.8
106	San Jose St.	87.4
107	Bowling Green	87.1
108	Ga. Southern	86.6
109	Middle Tennessee	86.5
110	Ohio	85.9
111	South Alabama	85.8
112	Southern Miss.	85.3
113	Ball St.	85.1
114	U T E P	85.1
115	Buffalo	84.5
116	Wyoming	84.1
117	Duke	84.1
118	UL-Monroe	82.1
119	Temple	81.1
120	Texas St.	81.0
121	Arkansas St.	80.8
122	Rice	80.7
123	Charlotte	80.7
124	Louisiana Tech	80.4
125	New Mexico	80.2
126	Akron	78.5
127	Connecticut	78.2
128	New Mexico St.	75.3
129	Hawaii	74.8
130	Massachusetts	74.7
131	Florida Int’l.	67.6

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	111.3	110.4	112.9	111.5
Houston	105.1	104.8	106.6	105.5
UCF	103.9	104.6	104.7	104.4
SMU	102.3	101.4	102.4	102.0
East Carolina	99.6	99.2	100.5	99.8
Tulane	98.7	97.8	98.0	98.2
Memphis	97.1	97.6	97.0	97.2
Tulsa	95.9	94.9	95.8	95.5
USF	96.3	94.8	95.2	95.4
Navy	93.0	92.2	91.4	92.2
Temple	81.0	83.5	78.7	81.1
AAC	98.6	98.3	98.5	98.4
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	119.8	119.6	120.6	120.0
NC State	118.4	117.4	118.6	118.1
Florida St.	112.1	111.4	111.3	111.6
Louisville	111.8	110.6	110.8	111.0
Wake Forest	105.9	105.2	105.2	105.4
Syracuse	105.9	104.3	104.2	104.8
Boston College	100.6	102.6	100.3	101.2
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	116.0	114.7	114.3	115.0
Miami (Fla.)	115.2	113.8	115.0	114.7
North Carolina	108.3	108.5	107.8	108.2
Virginia	104.1	104.3	102.4	103.6
Virginia Tech	100.4	100.8	97.9	99.7
Georgia Tech	95.7	95.6	93.7	95.0
Duke	84.3	86.8	81.2	84.1
ACC	107.0	106.8	105.9	106.6
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma	119.4	118.2	119.8	119.1
Oklahoma St.	118.3	116.4	117.7	117.5
Baylor	114.2	112.9	113.4	113.5
Kansas St.	111.2	109.8	110.0	110.3
Texas	111.2	110.0	109.5	110.2
Iowa St.	108.7	108.6	108.9	108.7
T C U	108.9	107.3	107.3	107.8
Texas Tech	107.1	105.6	107.5	106.7
West Virginia	103.8	103.6	102.5	103.3
Kansas	99.2	96.9	95.8	97.3
Big 12	110.2	108.9	109.2	109.5
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	128.7	126.7	129.6	128.3
Michigan	123.7	121.9	123.5	123.0
Michigan St.	119.0	117.4	116.8	117.7
Penn St.	115.1	114.6	114.1	114.6
Maryland	110.3	110.1	109.8	110.0
Indiana	102.1	101.5	99.1	100.9
Rutgers	101.4	100.5	98.3	100.1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Wisconsin	118.1	117.4	117.1	117.6
Purdue	116.8	115.7	115.0	115.9
Iowa	115.9	114.4	113.9	114.7
Minnesota	113.7	113.1	114.1	113.6
Nebraska	108.1	108.1	106.8	107.6
Illinois	104.3	104.8	102.3	103.8
Northwestern	101.4	102.5	99.6	101.2
Big Ten	112.8	112.0	111.4	112.1
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U A B	97.4	97.6	99.2	98.1
W. Kentucky	96.0	95.6	98.6	96.7
U T S A	97.2	95.4	96.7	96.5
North Texas	90.2	89.5	91.6	90.4
Florida Atlantic	88.0	89.6	88.1	88.6
Middle Tennessee	85.7	86.8	86.9	86.5
U T E P	85.2	84.6	85.3	85.1
Rice	81.3	80.7	80.2	80.7
Charlotte	80.4	81.7	80.0	80.7
Louisiana Tech	80.3	82.0	78.8	80.4
Florida Int’l.	67.1	70.2	65.4	67.6
CUSA	86.3	86.7	86.5	86.5
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	117.5	115.5	117.4	116.8
BYU	112.2	110.2	112.2	111.5
Army	98.6	99.3	99.2	99.0
Liberty	95.4	97.5	98.0	97.0
Connecticut	78.6	80.1	76.0	78.2
New Mexico St.	74.8	77.1	74.0	75.3
Massachusetts	75.3	76.0	72.7	74.7
Independents	93.2	93.7	92.8	93.2
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	91.6	94.6	94.4	93.5
Kent St.	87.4	90.2	87.7	88.4
Bowling Green	87.8	86.5	86.9	87.1
Ohio	84.3	87.0	86.5	85.9
Buffalo	83.1	85.8	84.8	84.5
Akron	78.3	79.3	77.9	78.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
N. Illinois	97.9	98.3	98.4	98.2
Central Mich.	93.1	95.4	96.4	95.0
Toledo	93.5	94.7	95.4	94.5
Western Mich.	92.2	93.5	93.6	93.1
Eastern Mich.	88.4	89.0	88.1	88.5
Ball St.	84.7	86.0	84.8	85.1
MAC	88.5	90.0	89.6	89.4
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	106.1	105.0	107.0	106.0
Air Force	101.0	100.9	102.4	101.4
Utah St.	94.8	95.2	95.6	95.2
Colorado St.	88.6	89.9	89.1	89.2
Wyoming	82.8	85.6	84.0	84.1
New Mexico	80.4	81.1	79.1	80.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	103.3	102.6	104.6	103.5
San Diego St.	97.5	97.5	97.9	97.7
U N L V	89.0	86.5	88.6	88.1
Nevada	87.2	89.3	87.0	87.8
San Jose St.	86.9	87.3	88.0	87.4
Hawaii	74.1	75.6	74.9	74.8
MWC	91.0	91.4	91.5	91.3
Pac-12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	116.5	115.0	118.4	116.6
Oregon	111.7	111.4	110.9	111.3
U C L A	108.6	108.5	110.2	109.1
Oregon St.	107.2	106.6	107.8	107.2
U S C	105.4	106.2	106.2	105.9
Washington	104.2	105.0	105.5	104.9
Arizona St.	104.1	104.1	105.4	104.5
Stanford	103.8	101.0	101.8	102.2
Washington St.	101.0	101.6	101.8	101.5
California	97.7	98.1	99.1	98.3
Colorado	98.5	96.7	97.7	97.6
Arizona	94.1	94.1	94.0	94.1
Pac-12	104.4	104.0	104.9	104.4
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	130.6	128.7	132.2	130.5
Tennessee	115.2	114.9	115.3	115.1
Kentucky	112.1	112.8	113.3	112.7
South Carolina	109.5	108.8	108.9	109.1
Florida	105.9	108.0	106.3	106.7
Missouri	104.0	104.1	103.0	103.7
Vanderbilt	95.6	96.8	93.8	95.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	129.0	127.7	130.6	129.1
Arkansas	115.9	113.9	116.1	115.3
Texas A&M	113.4	114.8	114.8	114.3
Mississippi St.	115.2	113.1	113.5	113.9
L S U	113.0	112.2	112.2	112.5
Ole Miss	113.4	111.4	111.8	112.2
Auburn	112.1	110.6	110.9	111.2
SEC	113.2	112.7	113.1	113.0
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia St.	99.3	98.5	102.6	100.1
Appalachian St.	96.2	98.1	99.0	97.8
Coastal Carolina	92.8	94.2	95.0	94.0
Marshall	91.4	92.8	92.1	92.1
James Madison	87.2	89.1	92.1	89.5
Old Dominion	89.4	89.4	89.5	89.4
Ga. Southern	86.6	86.0	87.1	86.6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisiana	95.9	96.3	98.5	96.9
Troy	90.7	90.9	92.0	91.2
South Alabama	85.3	85.6	86.5	85.8
Southern Miss.	85.1	85.6	85.2	85.3
UL-Monroe	82.2	82.7	81.5	82.1
Texas St.	80.4	81.3	81.4	81.0
Arkansas St.	80.1	81.7	80.6	80.8
Sun Belt	88.8	89.4	90.2	89.5

Conference Rankings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	113.0
2	Big Ten	112.1
3	Big 12	109.5
4	Atlantic Coast	106.6
5	Pac-12	104.4
6	American Athletic	98.4
7	Independents	93.2
8	Mountain West	91.3
9	Sun Belt	89.5
10	Mid-American	89.4
11	Conference USA	86.5

The Best TV Games This Week

Thursday, September 1
Time (ET)	Network	Home	Visitor
7:00 PM	ESPN	Pittsburgh	West Virginia
8:00 PM	Fox	Purdue	Penn St.
Friday, September 2
Time (ET)	Network	Home	Visitor
7:00 PM	ESPN	Michigan St.	Western Michigan
8:00 PM	FS1	Indiana	Illinois
10:00 PM	ESPN	Colorado	TCU
Saturday, September 3
Time (ET)	Network	Home	Visitor
12:00 PM	ABC	Michigan	Colorado St.
12:00 PM	ESPN	East Carolina	North Carolina St.
12:00 PM	ESPNU	Appalachian St.	North Carolina
12:00 PM	FS1	Iowa	South Dakota St.
3:30 PM	CBS	San Diego St.	Arizona
3:30 PM	ESPN	Arkansas	Cincinnati
3:30 PM	ABC	Georgia (Atl.)	Oregon
3:30 PM	Fox	Oklahoma	UTEP
7:00 PM	ESPN	Florida	Utah
7:30 PM	ESPNU	Mississippi St.	Memphis
7:30 PM	ABC	Ohio St.	Notre Dame
7:30 PM	SECN	Alabama	Utah St.
10:30 PM	ESPN	Oregon St.	Boise St.
10:30 PM	FS1	Washington	Kent St.
Sunday, September 4
Time (ET)	Network	Home	Visitor
7:30 PM	ABC	LSU (New Orleans)	Florida St.
Monday, September 5
Time (ET)	Network	Home	Visitor
8:00 PM	ESPN	Georgia Tech	Clemson

PiRate College Football Game Debuts

After months of planning and design, the makers of the PiRate Ratings have created a college football game that can be played by one person in solitaire mode or by two people in head-to-head mode. All teams have been designed to perform as they did in real life using the PiRate Ratings’ Strength of Schedule formula to adjust their statistics to account for quality of opposition.

If you played the Sports Illustrated and Avalon Hill games of Bowl Bound and Pay Dirt, you will find this game a little more strategically involved while a little easier to play, as it used standard dice to see the results.

For the low price of $8, we will send you a zip file with all the charts, rules, and a scoreboard and numbers that you can print out to keep track of the action. We also send you a blank statistics sheet so you can record the action for posterity.

All you need are the dice, or to use one of many different free online dice rollers available online.

Go to https://pirate-football.square.site/ to purchase.

Our debut college game is the 1960-1979 Best of the Big Ten Conference. Here are the teams included in this set.

1963 Illinois–The greatest linebacker of all time, Dick Butkus, played center as well and made All-American with a powerful team

1967 Indiana–One of the most exciting teams of all time, the “Cardiac Kids” kept pulling out late victories week after week until they won a trip to the Rose Bowl

1960 Iowa–Some computer formulas say the Hawkeyes were the best team in the nation, as they beat 7 ranked teams and finished 8-1

1973 Michigan–Bo Schembechler’s Wolverines went 10-0-1 but had to stay home for the Holidays thanks to the archaic Big Ten rules of the time

1966 Michigan St.–Duffy Daugherty stockpiled some of the best talent ever to appear on a Big Ten campus at the same time. Bubba Smith anchored a stellar defense, while Gene Washington stretched defenses with his quickness and deceptive moves

1960 Minnesota–Coach Murray Warmath played for General Robert Neyland at Tennessee and continued to follow the General’s philosophy of playing conservative football and waiting for the other team to make the mistakes. He had a great squad in 1960, featuring the multi-tooled Sandy Stephens, who was the starting quarterback, a starting defensive back, the team’s punter, and the top punt returner. Future All-Pro Bobby Bell led the defensive charge and also opened up running lanes as an offensive lineman

1962 Northwestern–Before he became a multiple national championship winning coach at Notre Dame, Ara Parseghian took the Wildcat to Number 1 in the polls for a couple weeks in 1962

1973 Ohio State–Woody Hayes had no trouble stockpiling talent, and he had it on both sides of the ball in 1973, as the Buckeyes went 10-0-1 with a 21-point win in the Rose Bowl

1967 Purdue–The Boilermakers split the conference championship, as Leroy Keyes may have deserved the Heisman Trophy with his ability to catch passes out of the backfield, run the sweep and off-tackle as competently as anybody in the game, and to pull up and throw a halfback option pass like a pro. Having future pro quarterback Mike Phipps made the offense click

1962 Wisconsin-The Badgers came within one close incomplete pass of coming back from a 42-14 deficit to win the Rose Bowl

PiRate Ratings College Football–November 16-20, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Eastern Michigan	Western Michigan	4.5	3.4	3.6
Ohio U	Toledo	-7.9	-6.7	-6.2
Miami (O)	Bowling Green	26.3	24.6	25.8
Ball St.	Central Michigan	0.3	0.9	-0.7
Buffalo	Northern Illinois	1.6	1.8	2.0
Duke	Louisville	-19.5	-19.2	-22.0
Louisiana Tech	Southern Miss.	12.2	12.0	11.4
Houston	Memphis	14.6	13.5	14.0
Washington St.	Arizona	13.4	14.2	13.5
Nevada	Air Force	3.8	4.5	3.1
UNLV	San Diego St.	-12.4	-12.6	-12.0
Pittsburgh	Virginia	8.9	8.7	9.4
Cincinnati	SMU	15.5	14.7	15.7
Army	Massachusetts	39.0	39.5	41.5
Central Florida	Connecticut	34.0	32.4	37.6
Miami (Fla.)	Virginia Tech	9.1	9.0	9.6
North Carolina St.	Syracuse	16.2	15.8	16.4
Akron	Kent St.	-9.9	-12.2	-11.4
Ohio St.	Michigan St.	22.6	22.5	23.7
Coastal Carolina	Texas St.	28.7	28.8	29.9
Maryland	Michigan	-11.0	-13.2	-14.0
Missouri	Florida	-7.0	-8.0	-8.3
West Virginia	Texas	3.6	3.7	2.8
Tennessee	South Alabama	21.4	21.5	22.6
Boston College	Florida St.	1.4	1.3	1.1
Liberty	Louisiana	-2.4	-0.6	-1.3
Northwestern (Wrig)	Purdue	-11.3	-11.0	-13.0
Indiana	Minnesota	-6.6	-7.7	-8.3
Penn St.	Rutgers	20.0	18.6	21.4
Clemson	Wake Forest	4.5	4.7	5.0
Wisconsin	Nebraska	11.8	11.4	12.6
Western Kentucky	Florida Atlantic	7.8	8.4	9.7
Iowa	Illinois	18.0	17.2	17.9
Boise St.	New Mexico	28.1	28.4	30.4
Utah	Oregon	6.9	5.8	4.8
Colorado	Washington	-5.4	-6.8	-7.0
Notre Dame	Georgia Tech	20.2	21.1	22.0
Stanford	California	0.6	-2.0	-2.2
Oregon St.	Arizona St.	1.0	0.7	0.3
USC	UCLA	-0.3	-0.8	-0.4
Navy	East Carolina	-7.2	-7.2	-7.9
South Carolina	Auburn	-10.9	-10.7	-12.1
Tulsa	Temple	23.7	22.9	24.0
Troy	Appalachian St.	-11.0	-10.8	-12.1
Ole Miss	Vanderbilt	39.1	39.4	40.0
Middle Tennessee	Old Dominion	11.3	10.6	11.3
Alabama	Arkansas	21.1	20.5	22.1
LSU	Louisiana-Monroe	33.2	34.1	35.2
Tulane	South Florida	6.5	5.8	6.8
Oklahoma	Iowa St.	4.7	4.5	4.4
TCU	Kansas	24.8	25.6	28.2
Kentucky	New Mexico St.	41.3	41.7	43.0
Charlotte	Marshall	-15.9	-15.2	-15.6
UTSA	UAB	6.0	6.4	6.1
Texas Tech	Oklahoma St.	-14.4	-14.1	-14.8
Kansas St.	Baylor	-0.7	-0.6	-1.0
Georgia St.	Arkansas St.	17.4	16.6	18.2
UTEP	Rice	6.4	7.5	5.9
Georgia Southern	BYU	-20.1	-19.6	-20.6
Florida Int’l.	North Texas	-10.2	-10.4	-10.2
Utah St.	Wyoming	7.5	7.9	6.8
Hawaii	Colorado St.	0.8	0.4	-0.1

The Northwestern and Purdue game will be played at Wrigley Field.

FBS vs. FCS Games

FBS	FCS	PiRate
Georgia	Charleston Southern	48.4
Texas A&M	Prairie View	36.4
Mississippi St.	Tennessee St.	36.4
North Carolina	Wofford	33.2

Teams Not Playing This Week

Fresno St.

San Jose St.

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	136.0
2	Alabama	131.6
3	Ohio St.	130.3
4	Oklahoma St.	121.2
5	Oklahoma	120.2
6	Texas A&M	119.6
7	Iowa St.	118.6
8	Wisconsin	118.5
9	Ole Miss	117.5
10	Notre Dame	117.3
11	Cincinnati	117.2
12	Utah	117.0
13	Michigan	116.3
14	Auburn	115.0
15	Penn St.	115.0
16	Baylor	114.7
17	Oregon	114.2
18	Clemson	113.5
19	Arkansas	113.3
20	Iowa	113.0
21	Mississippi St.	112.5
22	NC State	112.2
23	Wake Forest	111.8
24	Arizona St.	111.6
25	L S U	111.5
26	Kansas St.	110.9
27	Florida	110.4
28	Michigan St.	110.4
29	North Carolina	110.4
30	U C L A	110.1
31	Pittsburgh	110.0
32	Kentucky	110.0
33	Tennessee	109.8
34	BYU	109.7
35	Nebraska	109.5
36	West Virginia	109.3
37	Oregon St.	109.2
38	Texas	108.9
39	Purdue	108.8
40	Miami (Fla.)	108.5
41	U S C	108.1
42	Louisiana	108.0
43	Minnesota	107.9
44	Coastal Carolina	107.7
45	Louisville	106.8
46	Washington	106.7
47	Boise St.	106.6
48	Appalachian St.	106.6
49	Houston	105.7
50	T C U	105.7
51	SMU	104.9
52	Florida St.	104.7
53	Washington St.	104.6
54	Virginia	104.0
55	Texas Tech	103.8
56	Liberty	103.6
57	Boston College	102.9
58	Nevada	102.5
59	Virginia Tech	102.3
60	California	101.8
61	Air Force	101.7
62	San Diego St.	101.5
63	Army	101.4
64	U T S A	101.1
65	Fresno St.	101.1
66	South Carolina	100.8
67	East Carolina	100.6
68	Maryland	100.5
69	UCF	99.8
70	Missouri	99.7
71	Georgia Tech	99.3
72	Syracuse	99.1
73	Stanford	99.1
74	Miami (Ohio)	98.5
75	Toledo	98.5
76	Illinois	98.3
77	U A B	97.9
78	Indiana	97.9
79	Georgia St.	97.6
80	Central Michigan	97.5
81	Colorado	97.3
82	Rutgers	97.0
83	Marshall	96.8
84	Utah St.	96.7
85	Tulsa	96.0
86	Western Kentucky	96.0
87	Northwestern	95.6
88	Ball St.	95.2
89	Memphis	94.7
90	Arizona	93.9
91	Eastern Michigan	93.6
92	Tulane	93.2
93	Troy	92.7
94	Colorado St.	92.7
95	Wyoming	92.3
96	Western Michigan	91.8
97	South Alabama	91.0
98	San Jose St.	90.7
99	Middle Tennessee	90.5
100	Northern Illinois	90.4
101	Florida Atlantic	90.3
102	Navy	90.2
103	Kent St.	90.0
104	Buffalo	89.7
105	Ohio	89.5
106	USF	89.3
107	Hawaii	89.0
108	Georgia Southern	86.6
109	U N L V	86.6
110	U T E P	84.3
111	Duke	84.1
112	Louisiana Tech	83.5
113	North Texas	83.1
114	Arkansas St.	82.7
115	Kansas	82.5
116	Old Dominion	81.9
117	Texas St.	81.5
118	Vanderbilt	81.0
119	New Mexico	80.6
120	Rice	80.2
121	UL-Monroe	79.3
122	Charlotte	78.7
123	Akron	76.8
124	Temple	75.5
125	Bowling Green	74.9
126	Southern Miss.	74.2
127	New Mexico St.	71.0
128	Florida Int’l.	70.4
129	Connecticut	68.1
130	UMass	64.4

Note: The PiRate Ratings are predictive (forward thinking) and not rankings based on what teams have done to date.

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	117.1	116.4	118.1	117.2
Houston	105.7	105.0	106.4	105.7
SMU	104.6	104.7	105.4	104.9
East Carolina	100.3	100.1	101.5	100.6
UCF	99.8	98.6	101.1	99.8
Tulsa	96.0	95.9	96.2	96.0
Memphis	94.1	94.5	95.4	94.7
Tulane	93.3	92.1	94.1	93.2
Navy	90.1	89.9	90.7	90.2
USF	89.3	88.9	89.8	89.3
Temple	75.3	76.0	75.2	75.5
AAC Averages	96.9	96.6	97.6	97.0
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	113.2	113.1	114.2	113.5
NC State	112.1	111.9	112.6	112.2
Wake Forest	111.7	111.4	112.2	111.8
Louisville	106.4	106.4	107.7	106.8
Florida St.	104.4	104.6	105.0	104.7
Boston College	102.8	102.9	103.1	102.9
Syracuse	99.0	99.1	99.2	99.1
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
North Carolina	109.9	109.9	111.3	110.4
Pittsburgh	109.7	110.4	110.1	110.0
Miami (Fla.)	108.9	108.1	108.6	108.5
Virginia	103.8	104.6	103.7	104.0
Virginia Tech	102.8	102.1	102.0	102.3
Georgia Tech	99.3	99.3	99.2	99.3
Duke	84.4	84.8	83.2	84.1
ACC Averages	104.9	104.9	105.2	105.0
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma St.	121.5	121.2	121.0	121.2
Oklahoma	121.1	119.4	120.0	120.2
Iowa St.	119.3	117.9	118.6	118.6
Baylor	115.2	114.5	114.4	114.7
Kansas St.	111.4	110.9	110.4	110.9
West Virginia	110.6	109.0	108.3	109.3
Texas	110.0	108.2	108.6	108.9
T C U	106.4	105.2	105.4	105.7
Texas Tech	104.1	104.1	103.2	103.8
Kansas	84.6	82.6	80.3	82.5
Big 12 Averages	110.4	109.3	109.0	109.6
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	129.8	129.8	131.3	130.3
Michigan	115.5	116.4	116.9	116.3
Penn St.	114.1	114.6	116.1	115.0
Michigan St.	110.2	110.3	110.6	110.4
Maryland	101.4	100.2	99.9	100.5
Indiana	97.9	97.6	98.0	97.9
Rutgers	96.1	98.0	96.7	97.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Wisconsin	117.9	117.8	119.6	118.5
Iowa	112.9	112.5	113.7	113.0
Nebraska	109.2	109.4	110.0	109.5
Purdue	108.3	108.2	110.0	108.8
Minnesota	107.1	107.8	108.8	107.9
Illinois	97.9	98.3	98.8	98.3
Northwestern	95.5	95.7	95.5	95.6
Big Ten Averages	108.1	108.4	109.0	108.5
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Marshall	96.5	96.7	97.2	96.8
Western Kentucky	94.7	96.3	96.9	96.0
Middle Tennessee	90.0	90.3	91.1	90.5
Florida Atlantic	89.9	90.8	90.2	90.3
Old Dominion	81.2	82.2	82.3	81.9
Charlotte	78.1	78.9	79.0	78.7
Florida Int’l.	70.2	70.4	70.5	70.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U T S A	100.7	101.4	101.3	101.1
U A B	97.7	98.0	98.1	97.9
U T E P	84.1	85.2	83.5	84.3
Louisiana Tech	83.8	84.1	82.7	83.5
North Texas	82.9	83.3	83.2	83.1
Rice	80.2	80.2	80.2	80.2
Southern Miss.	74.1	74.5	73.8	74.2
CUSA Averages	86.0	86.6	86.4	86.3
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	116.5	117.3	118.2	117.3
BYU	109.8	109.4	110.0	109.7
Liberty	103.2	103.7	103.9	103.6
Army	101.5	101.4	101.2	101.4
New Mexico St.	71.3	71.9	69.8	71.0
Connecticut	68.7	69.2	66.5	68.1
UMass	65.5	64.9	62.8	64.4
Indep. Averages	90.9	91.1	90.3	90.8
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	99.8	98.3	97.4	98.5
Kent St.	89.8	91.0	89.3	90.0
Buffalo	90.5	89.5	89.1	89.7
Ohio	89.1	89.9	89.6	89.5
Akron	77.9	76.8	75.9	76.8
Bowling Green	75.5	75.7	73.5	74.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	99.1	98.5	97.8	98.5
Central Michigan	98.5	97.2	96.9	97.5
Ball St.	96.2	95.6	93.7	95.2
Eastern Michigan	94.8	93.6	92.4	93.6
Western Michigan	92.2	92.2	90.8	91.8
Northern Illinois	91.3	90.2	89.6	90.4
MAC Averages	91.2	90.7	89.7	90.5
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	106.2	106.4	107.1	106.6
Air Force	101.3	101.6	102.2	101.7
Utah St.	96.3	97.2	96.7	96.7
Colorado St.	92.7	92.6	92.7	92.7
Wyoming	91.8	92.3	92.9	92.3
New Mexico	81.1	81.0	79.7	80.6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Nevada	102.1	103.1	102.3	102.5
San Diego St.	101.7	101.5	101.3	101.5
Fresno St.	100.2	101.2	101.9	101.1
San Jose St.	91.0	91.2	89.9	90.7
Hawaii	89.4	89.0	88.6	89.0
U N L V	86.8	86.4	86.8	86.6
MWC Averages	95.0	95.3	95.2	95.2
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oregon	113.1	114.4	115.2	114.2
Oregon St.	108.9	109.4	109.4	109.2
Washington	106.1	107.1	107.0	106.7
Washington St.	104.2	105.1	104.6	104.6
California	100.0	103.0	102.4	101.8
Stanford	99.0	99.5	98.7	99.1
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	117.0	117.1	117.0	117.0
Arizona St.	111.0	111.7	112.1	111.6
U C L A	109.8	110.1	110.3	110.1
U S C	108.0	107.8	108.4	108.1
Colorado	97.6	97.4	96.9	97.3
Arizona	93.7	93.9	94.1	93.9
Pac-12 Averages	105.7	106.4	106.3	106.1
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	135.5	135.9	136.8	136.0
Florida	109.9	111.0	110.4	110.4
Kentucky	109.6	110.6	109.8	110.0
Tennessee	109.7	109.6	110.1	109.8
South Carolina	101.3	100.9	100.2	100.8
Missouri	99.9	100.0	99.1	99.7
Vanderbilt	81.3	81.0	80.6	81.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	131.6	130.9	132.2	131.6
Texas A&M	119.3	119.8	119.6	119.6
Ole Miss	117.4	117.4	117.6	117.5
Auburn	115.2	114.6	115.3	115.0
Arkansas	113.4	113.4	113.1	113.3
Mississippi St.	112.2	112.7	112.7	112.5
L S U	111.0	111.7	111.7	111.5
SEC Averages	112.0	112.1	112.1	112.1
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Coastal Carolina	108.3	106.7	107.9	107.7
Appalachian St.	106.1	106.0	107.6	106.6
Georgia St.	97.8	97.1	97.8	97.6
Troy	92.6	92.7	93.0	92.7
Georgia Southern	86.7	86.9	86.4	86.6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisiana	108.6	107.3	108.3	108.0
South Alabama	91.3	91.1	90.5	91.0
Arkansas St.	82.9	83.0	82.1	82.7
Texas St.	82.6	80.9	81.1	81.5
UL-Monroe	79.8	79.6	78.5	79.3
Sun Averages	93.7	93.1	93.3	93.4

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	112.1
2	Big 12	109.6
3	Big Ten	108.5
4	Pac-12	106.1
5	Atlantic Coast	105.0
6	American Athletic	97.0
7	Mountain West	95.2
8	Sun Belt	93.4
9	Independents	90.8
10	Mid-American	90.5
11	Conference USA	86.3

Playoff and Bowl Projections

Note: This is the first week where we do not project 82 teams to have six or more wins. This week, we project two 5-7 teams to receive bowl bids, both from the Pac-12–Washington and California.

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	UAB	Northern Illinois
Cure	Liberty	Appalachian St.
Boca	Middle Tennessee	Miami (O)
New Mexico	UTEP	Utah St.
Independence	BYU	Western Kentucky
Lending Tree	Central Michigan	San Jose St.
L. A.	San Diego St.	USC
New Orleans	Florida Atlantic	Louisiana
Myrtle Beach	West Virginia	Coastal Carolina
Famous Idaho Potato	Kent St.	Boise St.
Frisco	Houston	UTSA
Armed Forces	Army	Marshall
Gasparilla	California	Florida
Hawaii	East Carolina	Nevada
Camellia	Toledo	Georgia St.
Quick Lane	Eastern Michigan	Wyoming
Military	Virginia	SMU
Birmingham	Memphis	Ball St.
First Responder	Washington	Fresno St.
Liberty	Iowa St.	Missouri
Holiday	North Carolina	UCLA
Guaranteed Rate	Rutgers	Texas Tech
Fenway	Boston College	Central Florida
Pinstripe	North Carolina St.	Minnesota
Cheez-It	Baylor	Wake Forest
Alamo	Oklahoma	Arizona St.
Duke’s Mayo	Miami (Fla.)	Auburn
Music City	Penn St.	Tennessee
Las Vegas	Purdue	Washington St.
Tax Slayer Gator	Clemson	Mississippi St.
Tony The Tiger Sun	Louisville	Oregon St.
Arizona	Western Michigan	Air Force
Citrus	Iowa	Texas A&M
Outback	Wisconsin	Kentucky
Texas	Kansas St.	Arkansas
Peach	Cincinnati	Michigan St.
Fiesta	Notre Dame	Pittsburgh
Rose	Michigan	Utah
Sugar	Ole Miss	Oklahoma St.
Cotton	Oregon	Ohio St.
Orange	Georgia	Alabama
Championship	Georgia	Ohio St.

Where Cincinnati Rates Historically Among Other Unbeatens

With Cincinnati sitting at 10-0 and just on the outside, looking in on a potential College Football Playoff invitation, where do the Bearcats fit in the historical picture of Division 1 teams that won all their games but were not members of a major conference or top independent?

This may be putting the cart before the horse, because CU must win three more games against three better than average teams to get to 13-0 and have a chance to be in the Final Four.  A home game this week against SMU could be tricky.  A regular season finale at East Carolina is going to be somewhat trickier, as the Pirates have been sneaky good for two months.  But, even if Cinti wins those two games, they will have to beat a Houston team that has looked better than the Bearcats in the last month.

Here is a look at all the Division 1 teams with perfect records between 1960 and 2000.  I chose these years as a basis for comparing the Bearcats because the sample size was extremely large.

1960–New Mexico State and Yale

Both teams finished in the national top 20, but neither team was at the level of 2021 Cincinnati.  While the Ivy League was still Division 1 up until the late 1970’s, by 1960, it was about on par with Conference USA today and maybe not that strong.  Yale beat U Conn and Colgate out of conference.  NMSU was much better and deserving of their 11-0 season that included a win in the Sun Bowl.  With future NFL QB Charley Johnson running the offense, the Aggies were as good as UTSA and Louisiana today, but not Cincinnati.

1961–Rutgers

This is one of the weakest undefeated D1 teams in modern times.  Rutgers went 9-0 with five wins over small college opponents and four wins over Ivy League opponents.  

1962–Dartmouth

Coach Bob Blackman was a defensive wizard, and he built Dartmouth into a small power.  This was his first of three 9-0 teams.  Dartmouth gave up just 9 points in their first seven games, but this team was never ranked and not on Cincinnati’s level.  That would change.

1964–Princeton

The 9-0 Tigers were one of the last teams to run a single wing offense, and Princeton won a lot of close games to win the Ivy.  PU was never ranked, and this Tiger team was little better than the 1961 Rutgers team.

1965–Dartmouth

This Dartmouth team was somewhat better than the 1962 team with a more consistent running game that controlled the clock.  Eight of nine wins were never in doubt, but the DC was not on Cincinnati’s level this season.  We’re not through with this team though.

1969–San Diego State, Toledo

The Aztecs became classified as a major college team after years of being a dynasty small college team.  Coach Don Coryell was in the middle of sending quarterbacks to the NFL, and in Dennis Shaw, he may have had the best passer in the nation, as SDSU went 11-0, while averaging 45 points per game.  This team did not earn a ranking in the polls, and their schedule was not worthy of that honor.  Not only was this team not on par with 2021 Cincinnati, the 2021 SDSU team would have beaten the 1969 team.

Toledo began a three-year string from 1969 to 1971 where the Rockets won every game.  This was not their best in the three-year run, but they did briefly crack the AP Poll.

1970–Arizona State, Toledo, Dartmouth

Now, we have some interesting undefeated teams.  Arizona State finished #6 in the final polls with an 11-0 record that included wins over Kansas State, Washington State, Utah, and North Carolina in the Peach Bowl.  The Sun Devils might have been a tad better than this Cincinnati team.  ASU was loaded with future NFL players.

Toledo’s 1970 team finished #12 in the final poll, but this Rockets team was considerably underrated in 1970.  Toledo should have been a Top 10 team that year.  Their schedule lacked a power team, which is why they finished #12, but they outgained opponents by close to 200 yards a game when 300 yards was considered an offensive outburst.  They won the Tangerine Bowl by four touchdowns.  I believe this Toledo team was about as good as this year’s Cincinnati.

Now, for Dartmouth.  This was Bob Blackman’s and the Ivy League’s best team post World War II.  Dartmouth became the last Ivy League team to finish ranked in the national polls at a way underrated #14.  This team went 9-0, finishing in the top 10 nationally in both offense and defense, as they outgained opponents by close to 250 yards per game.  They shut out six of their nine opponents, including their final four games.  Football experts that saw this team play say they would have defeated Penn State that year, and DC was awarded the Lambert Trophy as the best team in the East.  This team might have been strong enough to win a New Year’s Bowl game that year.  

1971–Toledo

The third year run of undefeated Rocket teams, they finished #14 in the final polls, but this team was not as good as the 1970 team.  Interestingly, this Toledo team became one of just two major college teams to post back-to-back perfect seasons with different coaches.  Michigan was the other in 1947 and 1948.

1973–Miami of Ohio

What makes 1973 a bit different from the previous years mentioned in this section is that half of the MAC teams were ranked in the top 20 at some point in 1973.  Miami not only beat the other ranked MAC teams, they dominated Florida in the Tangerine Bowl, totally stopping a Gators’ offense that had defeated rival Florida State 49-0 in the regular season finale.  Miami allowed less than 7 points per game and less than 200 total yards per game.  In a year where six major conference teams did not lose a regular season game, this Miami team got lost in the mix, but I would have favored them over this year’s Cincinnati team.

1975–Arizona State, Arkansas State

This Sun Devils team was not as good as the 1970 team, but they finished #2 in the final rankings thanks to come-from-behind wins over ranked Arizona and Nebraska teams, the Cornhusker upset coming in the Fiesta Bowl.  It also helped that there were no other undefeated teams in Division 1 that year, as 11-1 Oklahoma won the national championship after Ohio State lost the Rose Bowl.  2021 Cincinnati probably would beat this ASU team.

Arkansas State went 11-0 with a powerful wishbone offense.  Included in the 11 wins were victories over 7-4 Memphis and 6-5 Cincinnati, but this team was about as strong as Louisiana and Appalachian State are today.  

1976–Rutgers

1976 was a great year for Scarlet Knight fans.  The football team went 11-0 following a basketball team that went undefeated until the Final Four, where they lost a heartbreaker to Michigan in the nation semifinals.  This 11-0 football team finished #17 in the polls, but they were not on the level of this year’s Cincinnati.  Their best win was over a Colgate team that went 8-2, but it was a controversial win with questionable officiating calls.

1984–BYU

Did BYU deserve to win the 1984 National Championship?  Were they better than this year’s Cincinnati team?  I don’t think so.  This wasn’t even the best BYU team in this era, just the one that was fortunate to go 13-0 against a weak schedule and win a bowl game over the weakest Michigan team in the Bo Schembechler era.  BYU’s key wins were against a 3-7-1 Pitt team and a 5-6 Baylor team.  In the Fiesta Bowl against 6-5 Michigan, BYU had to rally from behind to win by seven.  Quarterback Robbie Bosco continuing to play while injured made for a great copy, but this year’s BYU team might beat that one.  They were not deserving of the title that year, as Washington was the real best team in 1984.

1998–Tulane

The Green Wave finished #7 in the final polls with a dominant offense and average defense.  TU defeated BYU in the Liberty Bowl but defeated no ranked teams.  The 1998 Green Wave was not in this year’s Cincinnati’s class.

1999–Marshall

The Thundering Herd played in the MAC for a few years, and in 1999, they went 13-0 and finished 10th in the final polls behind future NFL QB Chad Pennington.  All the Herd could manage to earn was a Motor City Bowl game, where they beat BYU.  While Marshall defeated Clemson in the regular season, that CU team went just 6-6 and fired their coach.

PiRate Ratings College Football–October 28-30, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Coastal Carolina	Troy	22.9	20.8	22.8
East Carolina	South Florida	12.1	12.0	13.3
Tulsa	Navy	9.9	10.3	9.4
Nevada	UNLV	17.0	19.2	18.1
Wisconsin	Iowa	-2.0	-1.6	-1.8
Buffalo	Bowling Green	24.9	23.9	25.7
Wake Forest	Duke	24.5	23.1	25.8
Michigan St.	Michigan	-2.3	-3.3	-3.6
North Carolina St.	Louisville	10.2	9.8	8.7
Syracuse	Boston College	1.1	1.1	1.0
Georgia Southern	Georgia St.	-6.4	-5.5	-6.4
West Virginia	Iowa St.	-5.6	-5.9	-7.7
Maryland	Indiana	3.5	2.5	1.2
Florida Atlantic	UTEP	13.8	14.2	15.5
Pittsburgh	Miami (Fla.)	2.8	4.6	3.5
Illinois	Rutgers	3.8	2.3	4.2
Northwestern	Minnesota	-6.9	-7.4	-9.0
Temple	Central Florida	-16.2	-14.2	-17.2
Georgia Tech	Virginia Tech	0.0	1.3	1.4
Clemson	Florida St.	12.3	12.1	13.3
Liberty	Massachusetts	33.8	34.9	37.3
Rice	North Texas	3.4	3.4	3.5
Utah St.	Hawaii	1.4	2.5	2.0
BYU	Virginia	4.2	2.5	4.1
Utah	UCLA	7.1	6.6	6.2
Arizona St.	Washington St.	15.5	15.1	15.7
California	Oregon St.	-8.5	-4.9	-6.2
USC	Arizona	24.7	25.0	25.9
San Jose St.	Wyoming	7.5	7.0	5.1
Oregon	Colorado	15.4	16.8	18.3
Marshall	Florida Int’l.	20.1	19.4	19.5
Oklahoma St.	Kansas	32.9	35.0	37.4
Old Dominion	Louisiana Tech	-8.7	-8.3	-6.8
Louisiana	Texas St.	26.4	26.7	27.7
Middle Tennessee	Southern Miss.	12.8	12.1	13.8
Nebraska	Purdue	6.9	7.6	5.8
Vanderbilt	Missouri	-18.6	-19.6	-19.2
Kansas St.	TCU	-0.8	0.3	-0.7
Mississippi St.	Kentucky	-0.6	-2.2	-1.9
Oklahoma	Texas Tech	21.9	20.0	21.8
Ohio St.	Penn St.	19.9	19.3	19.3
Houston	SMU	2.8	1.3	2.2
Baylor	Texas	-2.4	-1.2	-2.4
Auburn	Ole Miss	3.3	2.7	3.3
Florida (N)	Georgia	-17.7	-16.7	-18.5
Tulane	Cincinnati	-23.8	-24.7	-25.3
Appalachian St.	Louisiana-Monroe	26.2	25.5	29.0
South Alabama	Arkansas St.	8.9	8.4	8.5
Western Kentucky	Charlotte	10.9	11.4	10.9
Colorado St.	Boise St.	-6.4	-5.9	-6.6
Notre Dame	North Carolina	7.4	8.0	7.3
Stanford	Washington	1.7	1.3	0.5
San Diego St.	Fresno St.	5.1	3.2	2.7

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	134.8
2	Alabama	131.6
3	Ohio St.	130.9
4	Oklahoma	121.2
5	Iowa St.	120.7
6	Cincinnati	120.2
7	Texas A&M	118.6
8	Auburn	117.4
9	Ole Miss	117.2
10	Florida	117.1
11	Iowa	116.2
12	Texas	116.1
13	Michigan	114.9
14	Notre Dame	114.8
15	Penn St.	114.4
16	Clemson	114.2
17	Arizona St.	114.0
18	Utah	113.6
19	Oklahoma St.	113.5
20	Arkansas	113.0
21	Kentucky	112.9
22	Oregon	112.4
23	Baylor	112.1
24	U S C	111.6
25	Wisconsin	111.4
26	Oregon St.	111.3
27	West Virginia	111.3
28	NC State	111.1
29	Coastal Carolina	110.8
30	T C U	110.6
31	Pittsburgh	110.4
32	Michigan St.	110.3
33	North Carolina	110.3
34	L S U	110.2
35	Nebraska	110.0
36	Wake Forest	110.0
37	U C L A	109.9
38	Miami (Fla.)	109.8
39	Tennessee	108.8
40	Mississippi St.	108.4
41	Minnesota	108.1
42	BYU	107.6
43	Louisiana	107.3
44	Kansas St.	107.2
45	Virginia	107.0
46	Washington	106.7
47	Purdue	106.2
48	Stanford	104.9
49	Florida St.	104.6
50	Louisville	104.5
51	SMU	104.4
52	Appalachian St.	104.2
53	Houston	104.0
54	Boise St.	103.6
55	Texas Tech	103.0
56	San Diego St.	102.9
57	Virginia Tech	102.4
58	Indiana	102.4
59	Fresno St.	102.2
60	Liberty	101.8
61	California	101.8
62	Maryland	101.8
63	Nevada	101.7
64	Boston College	101.7
65	Washington St.	101.6
66	U T S A	101.6
67	Air Force	101.1
68	Missouri	100.4
69	Georgia Tech	100.4
70	Army	100.1
71	Syracuse	99.8
72	UCF	99.5
73	East Carolina	98.6
74	Colorado	98.6
75	Northwestern	97.8
76	Miami (Ohio)	97.8
77	Toledo	97.5
78	South Carolina	97.1
79	Illinois	96.6
80	U A B	96.3
81	Ball St.	96.3
82	Rutgers	96.2
83	Tulsa	95.5
84	Buffalo	95.4
85	Florida Atlantic	95.0
86	Colorado St.	94.8
87	Eastern Michigan	94.6
88	Western Michigan	94.5
89	Central Michigan	94.3
90	Marshall	94.2
91	San Jose St.	94.0
92	Georgia St.	93.8
93	Memphis	93.3
94	Tulane	93.1
95	Hawaii	92.8
96	Troy	91.7
97	Kent St.	91.3
98	South Alabama	90.9
99	Utah St.	90.7
100	Wyoming	90.5
101	Northern Illinois	89.8
102	Western Kentucky	89.7
103	Arizona	89.3
104	USF	89.1
105	Navy	88.7
106	Middle Tennessee	88.6
107	Duke	87.5
108	Ohio	86.3
109	Georgia Southern	86.2
110	Louisiana Tech	85.2
111	U N L V	85.1
112	Arkansas St.	84.8
113	U T E P	83.5
114	Texas St.	83.4
115	New Mexico	82.4
116	Rice	81.8
117	Kansas	81.4
118	Charlotte	81.1
119	Temple	81.1
120	North Texas	80.3
121	UL-Monroe	80.3
122	Vanderbilt	79.2
123	Southern Miss.	78.2
124	Florida Int’l.	77.5
125	Old Dominion	75.2
126	Akron	74.6
127	Bowling Green	73.6
128	New Mexico St.	72.0
129	UMass	69.0
130	Connecticut	68.3

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	119.7	119.3	121.7	120.2
SMU	104.0	104.4	104.9	104.4
Houston	104.3	103.2	104.6	104.0
UCF	99.3	98.3	100.9	99.5
East Carolina	98.3	97.8	99.6	98.6
Tulsa	95.6	95.6	95.4	95.5
Memphis	92.9	93.2	93.8	93.3
Tulane	93.4	92.0	93.8	93.1
USF	89.2	88.8	89.4	89.1
Navy	88.7	88.3	89.1	88.7
Temple	80.6	81.6	81.1	81.1
AAC Averages	96.9	96.6	97.7	97.0

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	113.7	113.7	115.0	114.2
NC State	111.2	110.8	111.2	111.1
Wake Forest	110.0	109.5	110.4	110.0
Florida St.	104.4	104.6	104.7	104.6
Louisville	104.0	103.9	105.5	104.5
Boston College	101.6	101.7	101.8	101.7
Syracuse	99.7	99.9	99.8	99.8
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	110.0	110.8	110.6	110.4
North Carolina	109.7	109.8	111.3	110.3
Miami (Fla.)	110.2	109.2	110.1	109.8
Virginia	106.6	107.7	106.7	107.0
Virginia Tech	103.2	102.1	102.0	102.4
Georgia Tech	100.2	100.5	100.4	100.4
Duke	87.5	88.4	86.6	87.5
ACC Averages	105.1	105.2	105.4	105.3

Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma	122.2	120.3	121.1	121.2
Iowa St.	121.2	119.8	120.9	120.7
Texas	117.0	115.3	116.0	116.1
Oklahoma St.	113.7	113.5	113.3	113.5
Baylor	112.6	112.1	111.6	112.1
West Virginia	112.7	111.0	110.2	111.3
T C U	111.4	110.0	110.4	110.6
Kansas St.	107.6	107.3	106.7	107.2
Texas Tech	103.2	103.4	102.3	103.0
Kansas	83.8	81.5	78.9	81.4
Big 12 Averages	110.5	109.4	109.1	109.7

Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	130.3	130.3	132.0	130.9
Michigan	114.1	115.1	115.4	114.9
Penn St.	113.4	114.0	115.7	114.4
Michigan St.	110.3	110.3	110.4	110.3
Indiana	102.3	102.0	102.7	102.4
Maryland	102.8	101.5	100.9	101.8
Rutgers	95.4	97.2	95.8	96.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Iowa	115.9	115.5	117.2	116.2
Wisconsin	110.9	110.8	112.3	111.4
Nebraska	109.6	110.0	110.3	110.0
Minnesota	107.2	108.0	109.1	108.1
Purdue	105.7	105.4	107.5	106.2
Northwestern	97.8	98.1	97.6	97.8
Illinois	96.2	96.5	97.1	96.6
Big Ten Averages	108.0	108.2	108.9	108.4

Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Florida Atlantic	94.2	95.6	95.2	95.0
Marshall	94.1	94.0	94.6	94.2
Western Kentucky	88.6	90.2	90.3	89.7
Middle Tennessee	88.2	88.3	89.2	88.6
Charlotte	80.2	81.2	81.9	81.1
Florida Int’l.	77.0	77.6	78.0	77.5
Old Dominion	74.8	75.5	75.4	75.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U T S A	101.2	101.9	101.7	101.6
U A B	96.2	96.4	96.4	96.3
Louisiana Tech	85.5	85.8	84.2	85.2
U T E P	83.4	84.4	82.6	83.5
Rice	81.8	81.8	81.8	81.8
North Texas	80.4	80.4	80.2	80.3
Southern Miss.	77.9	78.6	77.9	78.2
CUSA Averages	86.0	86.5	86.4	86.3

FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	114.1	114.7	115.6	114.8
BYU	107.8	107.2	107.8	107.6
Liberty	101.4	101.9	102.0	101.8
Army	100.2	100.1	99.9	100.1
New Mexico St.	72.3	73.0	70.8	72.0
UMass	70.1	69.5	67.3	69.0
Connecticut	68.9	69.4	66.7	68.3
Indep. Averages	90.7	90.8	90.0	90.5

Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	99.3	97.6	96.6	97.8
Buffalo	96.1	95.2	95.0	95.4
Kent St.	91.0	92.3	90.7	91.3
Ohio	85.9	86.8	86.3	86.3
Akron	76.0	74.5	73.5	74.6
Bowling Green	74.1	74.3	72.3	73.6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	98.0	97.6	96.9	97.5
Ball St.	97.1	96.8	94.9	96.3
Eastern Michigan	96.0	94.6	93.3	94.6
Western Michigan	94.6	95.0	93.7	94.5
Central Michigan	95.4	94.0	93.5	94.3
Northern Illinois	90.9	89.5	89.0	89.8
MAC Averages	91.2	90.7	89.6	90.5

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	103.4	103.2	104.0	103.6
Air Force	100.8	101.0	101.6	101.1
Colorado St.	94.6	94.8	95.0	94.8
Utah St.	90.4	91.2	90.6	90.7
Wyoming	90.1	90.5	90.9	90.5
New Mexico	82.8	82.9	81.4	82.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
San Diego St.	103.1	102.7	102.8	102.9
Fresno St.	101.1	102.5	103.1	102.2
Nevada	101.0	102.4	101.7	101.7
San Jose St.	94.5	94.5	93.0	94.0
Hawaii	93.0	92.7	92.5	92.8
U N L V	85.5	84.7	85.2	85.1
MWC Averages	95.0	95.3	95.1	95.1

Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oregon	111.4	112.5	113.4	112.4
Oregon St.	111.1	111.2	111.6	111.3
Washington	106.0	107.1	107.1	106.7
Stanford	104.6	105.4	104.6	104.9
California	99.7	103.3	102.4	101.8
Washington St.	101.1	102.1	101.6	101.6
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Arizona St.	113.6	114.2	114.3	114.0
Utah	113.6	113.6	113.5	113.6
U S C	111.3	111.2	112.1	111.6
U C L A	109.5	110.0	110.2	109.9
Colorado	98.9	98.7	98.1	98.6
Arizona	89.6	89.2	89.2	89.3
Pac-12 Averages	105.9	106.5	106.5	106.3

Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	134.3	134.5	135.6	134.8
Florida	116.5	117.8	117.1	117.1
Kentucky	112.0	113.7	113.1	112.9
Tennessee	108.8	108.5	109.0	108.8
Missouri	100.5	100.8	99.8	100.4
South Carolina	97.6	97.2	96.6	97.1
Vanderbilt	79.9	79.2	78.6	79.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	131.6	130.9	132.4	131.6
Texas A&M	118.2	118.9	118.6	118.6
Auburn	117.5	116.8	117.8	117.4
Ole Miss	117.1	117.1	117.4	117.2
Arkansas	113.2	113.1	112.7	113.0
L S U	109.7	110.5	110.5	110.2
Mississippi St.	108.4	108.5	108.2	108.4
SEC Averages	111.8	112.0	112.0	111.9

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Coastal Carolina	111.4	109.6	111.4	110.8
Appalachian St.	103.8	103.3	105.4	104.2
Georgia St.	94.2	93.5	93.8	93.8
Troy	91.6	91.8	91.7	91.7
Georgia Southern	86.3	86.6	85.9	86.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisiana	107.9	106.4	107.7	107.3
South Alabama	91.2	91.1	90.3	90.9
Arkansas St.	84.9	85.2	84.3	84.8
Texas St.	84.5	82.7	83.0	83.4
UL-Monroe	80.6	80.8	79.4	80.3
Sun Averages	93.6	93.1	93.3	93.3

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	111.9
2	Big 12	109.7
3	Big Ten	108.4
4	Pac-12	106.3
5	Atlantic Coast	105.3
6	American Athletic	97.0
7	Mountain West	95.1
8	Sun Belt	93.3
9	Independents	90.5
10	Mid-American	90.5
11	Conference USA	86.3

Playoff and Bowl Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	Marshall	Toledo
Cure	SMU	Coastal Carolina
Boca	Louisiana Tech	Air Force
New Mexico	UTEP	Northern Illinois
Independence	BYU	Florida Atlantic
Lending Tree	Western Michigan	Appalachian St.
L. A.	San Diego St.	UCLA
New Orleans	UTSA	Louisiana
Myrtle Beach	Central Michigan	Charlotte
Famous Idaho Potato	Eastern Michigan	Boise St.
Frisco	Nevada	UL-Monroe
Armed Forces	Army	UAB
Gasparilla	Middle Tennessee	Buffalo
Hawaii	Central Florida	Fresno St.
Camellia	Kent St.	Troy
Quick Lane	Ball St.	Wyoming
Military	North Carolina	Tulsa
Birmingham	Memphis	Liberty
First Responder	Western Kentucky	Texas Tech
Liberty	Texas	LSU
Holiday	Miami (Fla.)	USC
Guaranteed Rate	Purdue	West Virginia
Fenway	Houston	Boston College
Pinstripe	North Carolina St.	Penn St.
Cheez-It	Wake Forest	Iowa St.
Alamo	Baylor	Arizona St.
Duke’s Mayo	Clemson	Tennessee
Music City	Maryland	Arkansas
Las Vegas	Wisconsin	Oregon St.
Tax Slayer Gator	Virginia	Florida
Tony The Tiger Sun	Louisville	Utah
Arizona	Miami (O)	Utah St.
Citrus	Iowa	Ole Miss
Outback	Minnesota	Texas A&M
Texas	Kansas St.	Auburn
Peach	Pittsburgh	Kentucky
Fiesta	Notre Dame	Michigan
Rose	Oregon	Michigan St.
Sugar	Oklahoma St.	Alabama
Cotton	Oklahoma	Ohio St.
Orange	Georgia	Cincinnati
Championship	Georgia	Ohio St.

NCAA Strikes Out On New Overtime Rule

Did you watch the Penn State-Illinois game Saturday?  It was tied 10-10 after 60 minutes of excellent defensive football.  The Illini shut down the Penn State passing game while controlling the clock by running and running and more running.

Both teams scored field goals in the first two overtimes to make the score 16-16.  The new overtime rule states that starting with the third overtime, both teams get a two-point conversion attempt.  If the score remains tied, then successive two-point conversion attempts are taken until one team scores and the other team does not.

Additionally, after the first overtime, there are no more coin flips.  The teams rotate the choice.  And, what happens is the home team always wants to play on the side of the field where the student body cheers in the end zone, while the opponent wants to play at the other end of the field.  After each overtime, the players, officials, chain gang, and hundreds of fans must make the 100-yard walk to the other end of the field.

It’s no longer much of a secret that making two-point conversions is about as difficult as making 55-yard field goals.  That became a huge problem yesterday in Happy Valley, Pennsylvania.  Penn State and Illinois could not convert their two-point conversion attempts.  Overtimes three, four, five, six, and seven produced 10 consecutive botched conversions.  As each overtime ended, everybody had to move to the other end of the field, and the longer into this mess it continued, the big tubby linemen began to walk at a snail’s pace to get back.

Illinois finally scored in the eighth overtime, but then Penn State did the same forcing a ninth overtime.  The game was finally decided when the Nittany Lions missed their ninth overtime attempt, while Illinois scored to win the game 20-18.

In the amount of time it took to play the nine overtimes, another game that kicked off at the same time as the first overtime began the second quarter of their game just before the nine-overtime game concluded.  In other words, it took a little longer than one full quarter to play the nine overtimes.

Imagine a game in late November with sloppy playing conditions where regulation ends in a tie game, and nobody can score in the overtimes for 10 or more of these ridiculous two-point conversion attempts.  If it took nine yesterday, there is a possibility that somebody else will need 10 or more.

The NCAA must re-evaluate this fiasco of a rule.  In fact, the NCAA needs to have a constitutional convention and modify a lot of the rules to get into the 21st century.  Here is our suggestion for rules changes–use the same rules the NFL uses.  To wit:

1. Overtime should be one, 10-minute period with a touchdown on the first possession winning the game, but a field goal allowing the other team to have a possession.  If the game is still tied after 10 minutes, it stands as a tie game.

2. Intentional pass interference is now a definite defensive option to stop a big gain.  Players will even deliver cheap shots knowing that giving up 15 yards beats giving up 50 or a touchdown.  Because passing the ball is tantamount to winning, the pass interference penalty needs to go back to giving the offense the ball at the spot of interference, be it 12 yards past the line or 50.

3. The clock should not stop on first downs.  That rule was in effect when chain gangs were the only way to spot the ball.  In today’s world, the ball can be spotted quickly via computerization and an extra referee.  Let the clock move on first downs.

4. Add the two-minute warning.  In lieu of the clock stopping on first downs, add a two-minute warning to both halves.  That is when teams need the clock to stop, and the networks can get an extra commercial break before halftime or the end of the game.

5. Allow a player that falls to the ground with the ball but having been untouched by the defense to get up and advance.  Why should poor playing conditions be responsible for making a defensive stop?  

Here’s one additional rule change that should be considered.  Targeting happens too much these days when the ball carrier lowers his head to invite the targeting penalty.  This is almost like the flop in basketball.  The rule needs to be changed so that when the ball carrier initiates the targeting by putting himself into position for any tackle to become a potential targeting penalty, the offense should be penalized 15 yards for a personal foul.

Additionally, ejection is much too harsh of a penalty.  How about making targeting a 20-yard penalty and automatic first down, and also allowing it to supersede the half the distance to the goal and be allowed to go all the way to the 1-yard line if the offense is in the Red Zone?  A penalty in one game shouldn’t be allowed to stay in effect for a half of another game.  This may be the most ridiculous rule in college football history.  Think of a basketball game where a Syracuse player commits an intentional foul on a Connecticut player late in the second half of a game, and then three days later when Syracuse plays Duke, Duke gets to start the game with 2 foul shots from the intentional foul three days back.

PiRate Ratings 2020-2021 Final College Football Rankings

#	Team
1	Alabama
2	Ohio St.
3	Clemson
4	Oklahoma
5	Georgia
6	Texas A&M
7	Iowa St.
8	Notre Dame
9	Iowa
10	Texas
11	Florida
12	Wisconsin
13	BYU
14	Cincinnati
15	Oklahoma St.
16	Indiana
17	U S C
18	Oregon
19	N. Carolina
20	Northwestern
21	Auburn
22	L S U
23	Penn St.
24	T C U
25	Miami (Fla.)
26	UCF
27	Arizona St.
28	Kentucky
29	Utah
30	Ole Miss
31	Washington
32	Minnesota
33	U C L A
34	Coastal Car.
35	Louisville
36	Pittsburgh
37	Miss. St.
38	Tennessee
39	Nebraska
40	Louisiana
41	Michigan
42	Wake Forest
43	California
44	Buffalo
45	W. Virginia
46	Virginia
47	Virginia Tech
48	Missouri
49	Tulane
50	Boise St.
51	Stanford
52	Boston Coll.
53	Tulsa
54	Memphis
55	Appal. St.
56	Purdue
57	Oregon St.
58	Arkansas
59	Washington St.
60	Baylor
61	Liberty
62	NC State
63	Houston
64	Air Force
65	Colorado
66	San Jose St.
67	Illinois
68	Kansas St.
69	Rutgers
70	SMU
71	S. Carolina
72	Ball St.
73	Michigan St.
74	San Diego St.
75	Texas Tech
76	Nevada
77	Marshall
78	Florida St.
79	U A B
80	Wyoming
81	Army
82	Georgia Sou.
83	Georgia Tech
84	Hawaii
85	E. Carolina
86	Maryland
87	Ohio
88	Arizona
89	Fresno St.
90	Western Mich.
91	Georgia St.
92	Toledo
93	Troy
94	Central Mich.
95	Miami (O)
96	Navy
97	W. Kentucky
98	Kent St.
99	Syracuse
100	Duke
101	Colorado St.
102	Vanderbilt
103	Arkansas St.
104	Temple
105	Rice
106	USF
107	Fla. Atlantic
108	New Mexico
109	Florida Int’l.
110	U T S A
111	Eastern Mich.
112	Utah St.
113	La. Tech
114	Charlotte
115	Middle Tenn.
116	Southern Miss.
117	S. Alabama
118	N. Illinois
119	Texas St.
120	U N L V
121	Kansas
122	North Texas
123	U T E P
124	Akron
125	UL-Monroe
126	Bowling Green
127	Mass.

NCAA FBS Football Championship Spreads

Jan 11	Championship
Team	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Alabama	Ohio St.	6.2	7.6	5.8

PiRate Ratings–College Football For December 3-6, 2020

We originally planned to publish the weekly spreads and ratings Tuesday afternoon, but the scheduled Tuesday morning game between Charlotte and Western Kentucky was cancelled due to the 49ers having multiple Covid-19 positives.

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

Thursday, December 3
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
North Texas	Louisiana Tech	-8.3	-8.9	-8.6
Utah St.	Air Force	-13.6	-14.6	-14.3
Friday, December 4
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Appalachian St.	Louisiana	0.4	0.3	1.3
UNLV	Boise St.	-26.3	-25.1	-26.8
Saturday, December 5
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Coastal Carolina (ADDED)	BYU	-8.1	-7.2	-7.7
Illinois	Iowa	-10.8	-11.1	-11.5
Nevada	Fresno St.	1.3	1.5	1.9
Washington	Stanford	10.1	10.9	11.7
Arizona St.	UCLA	1.9	2.5	3.0
Rutgers	Penn St.	-9.0	-8.5	-9.7
Michigan St.	Ohio St.	-29.5	-28.7	-30.9
Auburn	Texas A&M	-2.9	-3.8	-3.6
Kansas St.	Texas	-8.1	-7.7	-7.7
Marshall	Rice	19.5	21.8	20.0
TCU	Oklahoma St.	-2.0	-2.7	-1.2
Purdue	Nebraska	1.5	2.6	1.1
Texas Tech	Kansas	23.0	22.7	24.9
Northern Illinois	Toledo	-8.3	-8.1	-7.5
Charlotte	Florida Intl.	0.9	1.3	1.2
Miami (O)	Kent St.	2.7	2.3	2.9
Tulane	Memphis	-1.1	0.2	0.1
Missouri	Arkansas	6.5	5.8	7.9
South Alabama	Troy	-2.2	-2.1	-2.1
Akron	Bowling Green	0.5	1.3	2.5
Western Mich.	Eastern Mich.	14.1	14.3	14.7
Notre Dame	Syracuse	38.2	36.6	37.9
Arkansas St.	UL-Monroe	18.2	18.8	19.1
Tennessee	Florida	-16.0	-16.2	-16.7
Wisconsin	Indiana	10.8	8.4	9.6
Iowa St.	West Virginia	12.9	12.3	12.7
Navy	Tulsa	-7.3	-7.1	-7.3
Virginia	Boston College	3.6	3.6	3.4
Michigan	Maryland	12.4	11.4	13.5
Ohio	Buffalo	-8.4	-8.4	-8.3
Georgia	Vanderbilt	34.3	33.9	35.6
San Jose St.	Hawaii	6.2	7.9	6.7
NC St.	Georgia Tech	6.7	7.7	7.7
Central Mich.	Ball St.	3.7	4.4	4.1
Georgia Southern	Florida Atlantic	4.9	4.4	4.1
California	Oregon	-10.4	-9.2	-10.7
Arizona	Colorado	1.6	-1.2	2.0
San Diego St.	Colorado St.	10.4	10.7	10.7
Virginia Tech	Clemson	-23.2	-23.3	-24.4
Kentucky	South Carolina	7.5	9.1	9.1
LSU	Alabama	-18.9	-20.8	-20.3
Oklahoma	Baylor	18.2	18.3	19.2
Duke	Miami (Fla.)	-13.6	-15.8	-14.9
SMU	Houston	-1.1	-0.3	-1.0
New Mexico	Wyoming	-15.9	-16.7	-17.8
Utah	Oregon St.	4.5	4.2	6.0
Sunday, December 6
Home	Visitors	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Middle Tennessee	UAB	-11.7	-11.8	-10.8
USC	Washington St.	13.5	12.0	11.3
Added Sunday Game Charlotte	Western Kentucky	PiRate -4.0	Mean -4.2	Bias -3.5
FBS vs. FCS Game
FBS	FCS	PiRate
North Carolina	Western Carolina	46.7

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg.	Conference
1	Alabama	135.8	136.8	138.1	136.9	SEC-W
2	Ohio St.	131.0	129.9	133.2	131.4	BTen-E
3	Clemson	128.1	128.8	130.2	129.1	ACC
4	Notre Dame	125.2	124.9	125.4	125.2	ACC
5	Wisconsin	124.3	122.4	125.5	124.1	BTen-W
6	Florida	123.8	123.4	124.6	123.9	SEC-E
7	Oklahoma	121.9	121.5	122.4	122.0	B12
8	Georgia	121.5	120.5	122.1	121.4	SEC-E
9	Texas A&M	120.7	120.7	121.3	120.9	SEC-W
10	Cincinnati	119.2	118.7	119.4	119.1	AAC
11	Iowa St.	117.7	116.9	117.9	117.5	B12
12	Iowa	116.8	116.5	118.5	117.3	BTen-W
13	Indiana	115.5	116.0	117.9	116.5	BTen-E
14	BYU	116.2	116.0	116.7	116.3	Ind.
15	Oregon	116.7	115.1	116.3	116.0	P12-N
16	U S C	116.9	114.1	115.6	115.6	P12-S
17	Auburn	115.8	114.8	115.8	115.5	SEC-W
18	N. Carolina	115.0	115.1	115.5	115.2	ACC
19	L S U	114.9	114.0	115.8	114.9	SEC-W
20	Texas	114.0	112.8	113.9	113.6	B12
21	Northwestern	110.9	111.0	113.4	111.8	BTen-W
22	Penn St.	111.5	110.1	111.9	111.2	BTen-E
23	Oklahoma St.	111.8	110.7	111.0	111.2	B12
24	Miami (Fla.)	109.9	111.9	110.3	110.7	ACC
25	Washington	110.8	109.5	111.5	110.6	P12-N
26	UCF	110.4	110.3	110.7	110.5	AAC
27	Ole Miss	109.0	107.9	109.0	108.6	SEC-W
28	Missouri	107.9	107.8	109.2	108.3	SEC-E
29	Kentucky	107.9	107.8	108.8	108.2	SEC-E
30	T C U	107.8	106.0	107.8	107.2	B12
31	Arizona St.	107.4	106.9	107.4	107.2	P12-S
32	Boise St.	107.2	107.2	106.9	107.1	MWC-M
33	Utah	106.9	106.7	107.7	107.1	P12-S
34	W. Virginia	106.8	106.6	107.2	106.9	B12
35	Louisville	107.1	107.0	106.5	106.8	ACC
36	U C L A	107.5	106.4	106.3	106.7	P12-S
37	Coastal Car.	106.1	106.8	107.0	106.6	SUN-E
38	Minnesota	106.0	106.5	107.4	106.6	BTen-W
39	Virginia	105.8	106.2	106.3	106.1	ACC
40	Tennessee	105.9	105.2	105.8	105.6	SEC-E
41	Pittsburgh	105.2	106.1	105.4	105.6	ACC
42	Michigan	105.4	104.5	106.3	105.4	BTen-E
43	Baylor	105.8	105.2	105.3	105.4	B12
44	Washington St.	105.4	104.2	106.3	105.3	P12-N
45	Wake Forest	104.7	105.5	105.5	105.3	ACC
46	Nebraska	104.9	104.2	106.2	105.1	BTen-W
47	Purdue	104.5	104.8	105.4	104.9	BTen-W
48	Louisiana	105.2	104.8	104.6	104.9	SUN-W
49	Buffalo	104.3	105.0	105.1	104.8	MAC-E
50	Memphis	105.8	104.5	104.1	104.8	AAC
51	Boston Coll.	104.2	104.6	105.0	104.6	ACC
52	Miss. St.	104.6	104.0	105.2	104.6	SEC-W
53	Oregon St.	104.4	104.6	103.7	104.2	P12-N
54	Illinois	104.0	103.4	105.0	104.1	BTen-W
55	California	104.2	103.9	103.7	103.9	P12-N
56	Kansas St.	103.9	103.1	104.2	103.7	B12
57	Arkansas	103.4	104.0	103.3	103.6	SEC-W
58	Appal. St.	103.6	103.1	103.9	103.5	SUN-E
59	Virginia Tech	102.9	103.5	103.8	103.4	ACC
60	Tulane	103.2	103.2	102.7	103.0	AAC
61	Marshall	103.1	103.4	102.7	103.0	CUSA-E
62	Tulsa	103.3	101.8	101.7	102.2	AAC
63	Stanford	102.7	100.6	101.8	101.7	P12-N
64	S. Carolina	102.4	100.7	101.7	101.6	SEC-E
65	NC State	101.3	101.8	101.6	101.6	ACC
66	Houston	102.3	100.9	101.2	101.5	AAC
67	Liberty	100.0	102.9	100.8	101.2	Ind.
68	Air Force	100.6	101.3	100.5	100.8	MWC-M
69	Rutgers	101.0	100.1	100.7	100.6	BTen-E
70	Colorado	100.7	101.8	99.3	100.6	P12-S
71	SMU	100.1	99.6	99.2	99.7	AAC
72	Michigan St.	99.5	99.2	100.2	99.7	BTen-E
73	Arizona	100.3	98.6	99.3	99.4	P12-S
74	Texas Tech	99.5	98.4	99.9	99.3	B12
75	San Diego St.	98.1	99.1	98.2	98.5	MWC-W
76	Wyoming	97.8	99.1	98.6	98.5	MWC-M
77	San Jose St.	95.6	97.4	95.6	96.2	MWC-W
78	Florida St.	96.5	95.6	96.1	96.1	ACC
79	Nevada	95.4	96.2	95.9	95.9	MWC-W
80	Fresno St.	95.6	96.3	95.5	95.8	MWC-W
81	Georgia Tech	96.1	95.6	95.4	95.7	ACC
82	U A B	95.3	95.8	94.7	95.3	CUSA-W
83	E. Carolina	95.6	95.4	94.5	95.2	AAC
84	Western Mich.	94.1	96.0	95.1	95.1	MAC-W
85	Maryland	95.1	95.1	94.8	95.0	BTen-E
86	Ohio	94.4	95.1	95.3	94.9	MAC-E
87	Central Mich.	94.7	94.9	95.0	94.9	MAC-W
88	Duke	94.8	94.7	93.9	94.4	ACC
89	Army	92.8	94.3	92.7	93.3	Ind.
90	Navy	94.0	92.7	92.3	93.0	AAC
91	Hawaii	92.9	93.1	92.4	92.8	MWC-W
92	Ball St.	92.4	92.0	92.4	92.3	MAC-W
93	Georgia Sou.	91.9	92.6	92.0	92.2	SUN-E
94	Georgia St.	91.8	92.1	92.3	92.1	SUN-E
95	Miami (O)	92.4	91.5	92.1	92.0	MAC-E
96	Toledo	91.5	92.6	91.1	91.7	MAC-W
97	Kent St.	91.2	90.7	90.7	90.9	MAC-E
98	W. Kentucky	90.1	90.5	89.5	90.0	CUSA-E
99	Colorado St.	89.6	90.4	89.6	89.9	MWC-M
100	Syracuse	89.0	90.3	89.5	89.6	ACC
101	Fla. Atlantic	88.5	89.7	89.4	89.2	CUSA-E
102	Vanderbilt	89.2	88.5	88.5	88.8	SEC-E
103	Troy	87.9	88.8	87.8	88.2	SUN-E
104	Temple	87.9	87.6	86.3	87.3	AAC
105	USF	87.8	86.5	86.2	86.8	AAC
106	Arkansas St.	86.3	86.8	85.6	86.2	SUN-W
107	La. Tech	85.4	86.3	85.5	85.8	CUSA-W
108	Florida Int’l.	85.7	85.5	85.3	85.5	CUSA-E
109	U T S A	85.2	85.6	85.4	85.4	CUSA-W
110	Utah St.	85.5	85.2	84.7	85.1	MWC-M
111	Charlotte	84.6	84.8	84.5	84.6	CUSA-E
112	Rice	85.6	83.6	84.7	84.6	CUSA-W
113	S. Alabama	84.2	85.2	84.3	84.6	SUN-W
114	Middle Tenn.	82.2	82.5	82.3	82.3	CUSA-E
115	N. Illinois	81.6	83.0	82.1	82.3	MAC-W
116	Eastern Mich.	81.5	83.2	81.9	82.2	MAC-W
117	New Mexico	81.9	82.4	80.7	81.7	MWC-M
118	Texas St.	81.0	81.5	80.2	80.9	SUN-W
119	Southern Miss.	80.5	80.8	79.6	80.3	CUSA-W
120	U N L V	79.5	80.6	78.7	79.6	MWC-W
121	Kansas	78.5	77.7	76.9	77.7	B12
122	North Texas	75.6	75.9	75.4	75.7	CUSA-W
123	UL-Monroe	70.0	70.0	68.6	69.5	SUN-W
124	U T E P	67.8	70.2	67.7	68.6	CUSA-W
125	Akron	67.7	69.8	66.3	67.9	MAC-E
126	Bowling Green	68.2	69.5	64.9	67.5	MAC-E
127	Mass.	61.7	67.5	59.9	63.0	Ind.

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	AAC	Overall
Cincinnati	119.2	118.7	119.4	119.1	6-0	8-0
UCF	110.4	110.3	110.7	110.5	5-3	6-3
Memphis	105.8	104.5	104.1	104.8	4-2	6-2
Tulane	103.2	103.2	102.7	103.0	2-5	5-5
Tulsa	103.3	101.8	101.7	102.2	5-0	5-1
Houston	102.3	100.9	101.2	101.5	3-2	3-3
SMU	100.1	99.6	99.2	99.7	4-3	7-3
E. Carolina	95.6	95.4	94.5	95.2	3-4	3-6
Navy	94.0	92.7	92.3	93.0	3-3	3-5
Temple	87.9	87.6	86.3	87.3	1-6	1-6
USF	87.8	86.5	86.2	86.8	0-7	1-8
AAC Avg.	100.9	100.1	99.8	100.3
Atlantic Coast Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	ACC	Overall
Clemson	128.1	128.8	130.2	129.1	7-1	8-1
Notre Dame	125.2	124.9	125.4	125.2	8-0	9-0
N. Carolina	115.0	115.1	115.5	115.2	6-3	6-3
Miami (Fla.)	109.9	111.9	110.3	110.7	6-1	7-1
Louisville	107.1	107.0	106.5	106.8	2-7	3-7
Virginia	105.8	106.2	106.3	106.1	3-4	4-4
Pittsburgh	105.2	106.1	105.4	105.6	4-5	5-5
Wake Forest	104.7	105.5	105.5	105.3	3-3	4-3
Boston Coll.	104.2	104.6	105.0	104.6	5-4	6-4
Virginia Tech	102.9	103.5	103.8	103.4	4-4	4-5
NC State	101.3	101.8	101.6	101.6	6-3	7-3
Florida St.	96.5	95.6	96.1	96.1	1-6	2-6
Georgia Tech	96.1	95.6	95.4	95.7	3-4	3-5
Duke	94.8	94.7	93.9	94.4	1-7	2-7
Syracuse	89.0	90.3	89.5	89.6	1-8	1-9
ACC Avg.	105.7	106.1	106.0	106.0
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	B12	Overall
Oklahoma	121.9	121.5	122.4	122.0	5-2	6-2
Iowa St.	117.7	116.9	117.9	117.5	7-1	7-2
Texas	114.0	112.8	113.9	113.6	4-3	5-3
Oklahoma St.	111.8	110.7	111.0	111.2	5-2	6-2
T C U	107.8	106.0	107.8	107.2	4-4	4-4
W. Virginia	106.8	106.6	107.2	106.9	4-3	5-3
Baylor	105.8	105.2	105.3	105.4	2-5	2-5
Kansas St.	103.9	103.1	104.2	103.7	4-4	4-5
Texas Tech	99.5	98.4	99.9	99.3	2-6	3-6
Kansas	78.5	77.7	76.9	77.7	0-7	0-8
Big 12 Avg.	106.8	105.9	106.7	106.4
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Ohio St.	131.0	129.9	133.2	131.4	4-0	4-0
Indiana	115.5	116.0	117.9	116.5	5-1	5-1
Penn St.	111.5	110.1	111.9	111.2	1-5	1-5
Michigan	105.4	104.5	106.3	105.4	2-4	2-4
Rutgers	101.0	100.1	100.7	100.6	2-4	2-4
Michigan St.	99.5	99.2	100.2	99.7	2-3	2-3
Maryland	95.1	95.1	94.8	95.0	2-2	2-2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Wisconsin	124.3	122.4	125.5	124.1	2-1	2-1
Iowa	116.8	116.5	118.5	117.3	4-2	4-2
Northwestern	110.9	111.0	113.4	111.8	5-1	5-1
Minnesota	106.0	106.5	107.4	106.6	2-3	2-3
Nebraska	104.9	104.2	106.2	105.1	1-4	1-4
Purdue	104.5	104.8	105.4	104.9	2-3	2-3
Illinois	104.0	103.4	105.0	104.1	2-3	2-3
Big Ten Avg.	109.3	108.9	110.5	109.5
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	CUSA	Overall
Marshall	103.1	103.4	102.7	103.0	4-0	7-0
W. Kentucky	90.1	90.5	89.5	90.0	3-3	4-6
Fla. Atlantic	88.5	89.7	89.4	89.2	4-1	5-1
Florida Int’l.	85.7	85.5	85.3	85.5	0-3	0-5
Charlotte	84.6	84.8	84.5	84.6	2-1	2-3
Middle Tenn.	82.2	82.5	82.3	82.3	2-4	3-6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	CUSA	Overall
U A B	95.3	95.8	94.7	95.3	2-1	4-3
La. Tech	85.4	86.3	85.5	85.8	3-2	4-3
U T S A	85.2	85.6	85.4	85.4	5-2	7-4
Rice	85.6	83.6	84.7	84.6	1-2	1-2
Southern Miss.	80.5	80.8	79.6	80.3	1-4	2-7
North Texas	75.6	75.9	75.4	75.7	2-3	3-4
U T E P	67.8	70.2	67.7	68.6	0-3	3-4
CUSA Avg.	85.4	85.7	85.1	85.4
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
BYU	116.2	116.0	116.7	116.3	x	9-0
Liberty	100.0	102.9	100.8	101.2	x	9-1
Army	92.8	94.3	92.7	93.3	x	6-2
Mass.	61.7	67.5	59.9	63.0	x	0-4
Ind. Avg.	92.7	95.2	92.5	93.5
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
Buffalo	104.3	105.0	105.1	104.8	4-0	4-0
Ohio	94.4	95.1	95.3	94.9	2-1	2-1
Miami (O)	92.4	91.5	92.1	92.0	2-1	2-1
Kent St.	91.2	90.7	90.7	90.9	3-1	3-1
Akron	67.7	69.8	66.3	67.9	0-4	0-4
Bowling Green	68.2	69.5	64.9	67.5	0-4	0-4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
Western Mich.	94.1	96.0	95.1	95.1	4-0	4-0
Central Mich.	94.7	94.9	95.0	94.9	3-1	3-1
Ball St.	92.4	92.0	92.4	92.3	3-1	3-1
Toledo	91.5	92.6	91.1	91.7	2-2	2-2
N. Illinois	81.6	83.0	82.1	82.3	0-4	0-4
Eastern Mich.	81.5	83.2	81.9	82.2	0-4	0-4
MAC Avg.	87.8	88.6	87.7	88.0
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
Boise St.	107.2	107.2	106.9	107.1	4-0	4-1
Air Force	100.6	101.3	100.5	100.8	1-2	2-2
Wyoming	97.8	99.1	98.6	98.5	2-2	2-2
Colorado St.	89.6	90.4	89.6	89.9	1-2	1-2
Utah St.	85.5	85.2	84.7	85.1	1-4	1-4
New Mexico	81.9	82.4	80.7	81.7	0-5	0-5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
San Diego St.	98.1	99.1	98.2	98.5	3-2	3-3
San Jose St.	95.6	97.4	95.6	96.2	4-0	4-0
Nevada	95.4	96.2	95.9	95.9	5-1	5-1
Fresno St.	95.6	96.3	95.5	95.8	3-1	3-1
Hawaii	92.9	93.1	92.4	92.8	3-3	3-3
U N L V	79.5	80.6	78.7	79.6	0-5	0-5
MWC Avg.	93.3	94.0	93.1	93.5
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
Oregon	116.7	115.1	116.3	116.0	3-1	3-1
Washington	110.8	109.5	111.5	110.6	3-0	3-0
Washington St.	105.4	104.2	106.3	105.3	1-1	1-1
Oregon St.	104.4	104.6	103.7	104.2	2-2	2-2
California	104.2	103.9	103.7	103.9	0-3	0-3
Stanford	102.7	100.6	101.8	101.7	1-2	1-2
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
U S C	116.9	114.1	115.6	115.6	3-0	3-0
Arizona St.	107.4	106.9	107.4	107.2	0-1	0-1
Utah	106.9	106.7	107.7	107.1	0-2	0-2
U C L A	107.5	106.4	106.3	106.7	2-2	2-2
Colorado	100.7	101.8	99.3	100.6	2-0	3-0
Arizona	100.3	98.6	99.3	99.4	0-3	0-3
P12 Avg.	107.0	106.0	106.6	106.5
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SEC	Overall
Florida	123.8	123.4	124.6	123.9	7-1	7-1
Georgia	121.5	120.5	122.1	121.4	6-2	6-2
Missouri	107.9	107.8	109.2	108.3	4-3	4-3
Kentucky	107.9	107.8	108.8	108.2	3-6	3-6
Tennessee	105.9	105.2	105.8	105.6	2-5	2-5
S. Carolina	102.4	100.7	101.7	101.6	2-7	2-7
Vanderbilt	89.2	88.5	88.5	88.8	0-8	0-8
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SEC	Overall
Alabama	135.8	136.8	138.1	136.9	8-0	8-0
Texas A&M	120.7	120.7	121.3	120.9	6-1	6-1
Auburn	115.8	114.8	115.8	115.5	5-3	5-3
L S U	114.9	114.0	115.8	114.9	3-4	3-4
Ole Miss	109.0	107.9	109.0	108.6	4-4	4-4
Miss. St.	104.6	104.0	105.2	104.6	2-6	2-6
Arkansas	103.4	104.0	103.3	103.6	3-5	3-5
SEC Avg.	111.6	111.1	112.1	111.6
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SBC	Overall
Coastal Car.	106.1	106.8	107.0	106.6	7-0	9-0
Appal. St.	103.6	103.1	103.9	103.5	5-1	7-2
Georgia Sou.	91.9	92.6	92.0	92.2	4-3	6-4
Georgia St.	91.8	92.1	92.3	92.1	4-4	5-4
Troy	87.9	88.8	87.8	88.2	2-3	4-5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SBC	Overall
Louisiana	105.2	104.8	104.6	104.9	6-1	8-1
Arkansas St.	86.3	86.8	85.6	86.2	1-6	3-7
S. Alabama	84.2	85.2	84.3	84.6	3-4	4-6
Texas St.	81.0	81.5	80.2	80.9	2-6	2-10
UL-Monroe	70.0	70.0	68.6	69.5	0-6	0-9
Sun Avg.	90.8	91.2	90.6	90.9

Conference Ratings

#	League	Avg
1	SEC	111.6
2	BTen	109.5
3	P12	106.5
4	B12	106.4
5	ACC	106.0
6	AAC	100.3
7	MWC	93.5
8	Ind.	93.5
9	Sun	90.9
10	MAC	88.0
11	CUSA	85.4