The Pi-Rate Ratings

January 4, 2010

Final Regular Season PiRate Ratings: January 4, 2010

PLAYOFFS!!! DO TALK ABOUT PLAYOFFS!!!

With Apologies to Jim Mora, Sr.

 

The folks at ESPN and other networks carrying the college bowls need to look at their ratings for these meaningless games they have been carrying for the last couple of weeks.  Take a look at the ratings for this coming weekend’s playoff games.  The Alamo Bowl and Gator Bowl equivalents will be played this weekend and known as the Wildcard Playoff Round.  Both of those bowls had a news angle to them.  Bobby Bowden coached in his final game in the Gator Bowl, and Texas Tech minus Coach Mike Leach played in the Alamo Bowl.  I didn’t watch either game, as the baseball book I read Friday and Saturday was much more entertaining. 

Note: If you want to be floored by just how much a drop-dead gorgeous actress knows about baseball, read Alyssa Milano’s new book Safe at Home. She just picked up a new customer, as I will be purchasing Twins’ clothing for my female relatives on their next birthdays.

 

The irony of this week’s opening slate of playoff games is that three of the four games are sequels of yesterday’s week 17 games.  Arizona and Green Bay will hook up again in Phoenix and Dallas and Philadelphia will do it over again in Arlington, Texas.  The Jets and Bengals will be a little more democratic than the other two games; they will switch venues from the Meadowlands to Paul Brown Stadium.

At first glance, this seems to make these games less electrifying, since the teams will play two games in a row, and in less than a week in the case of the two Saturday games (Jets-Bengals & Cowboys-Eagles).  Nothing could be further from the truth.  It will add to the excitement.  Football is a lot more than just blood and guts.  It is perhaps the one sport that is affected by coaching strategy than any other.  It is a chess game with human pieces.

Imagine how much different the games would be if the coaches were forced to share their game plans in advance.  In the case of Philadelphia and Dallas, this game meant a lot as homefield advantage and a possible bye were riding on the outcome.  Both teams had to show the other team everything they had in preparation for this game, and now both teams have one less day to prepare for the rematch. 

Cincinnati had little to play for against the Jets, so they benefitted from getting a good luck at everything Coach Rex Ryan’s team had, since the Jets had to win the game.  Think of it as one team getting to see the other team’s game plan.  Even with Cincinnati swooning in the second half of the season, one has to believe this repeat game gives the Bengals twice the homefield advantage of a normal NFL game.

Green Bay and Arizona really didn’t gain much repeat advantage when the two squared off yesterday.  In this case, it was the devastating results of personnel injuries.  The Packers saw ace defensive back Charles Woodson go down with a shoulder injury, while Arizona saw star receiver Anquan Boldin leave the game with an ankle injury; defensive end Calais Campbell suffered a broken thumb, and defensive back Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie injured his knee.  Even if these four players can play again this week, none will be at 100%.

The one game that isn’t a rematch of week 17 finds Baltimore going to New England.  Both of these teams are talented enough to run the table and get a ticker tape parade in February.

Now, throw into the equation that the two AFC games will have serious weather issues this weekend.  It’s still too early to know for sure, but it looks like the Bengals-Jets game will be played in temperatures around 20 degrees with a chance of snow.  The Patriots-Ravens game should have clear skies, but the temperature should be in the upper teens.  When it’s this cold, it becomes much more difficult to pass and catch the ball and slightly more difficult to hold onto the ball on running plays and field kicks.  In the old days, players would just put enough “stick-em” on their hands to become a ball magnet.  The leather gets really slippery when the temperature dips below 25. 

For those of you who have chosen to purchase our weekly picks on the webpage (www.piratings.webs.com), we will have a different approach for the playoffs.  We concluded the regular season with a 5-2 record for the week, and that brought our seasonal record to 94-61-2 (60.6%).  For the NFL playoffs, we will offer a $10 package that is good for all playoff games.  Instead of giving you an exact card to play, we will diagnose every game and give you the PiRate Rating predicted score, the Mean Rating predicted score, the Bias Rating predicted score, and the infamous 100 simulations results from the research lab computer that proved that garbage in, garbage out isn’t always the case.  If you want to know more about the 100 simulations playoff results, check in on last year’s Super Bowl blog here: https://piratings.wordpress.com/2009/01/30/pirate-ratings-super-bowl-43-preview/ .  You will find the computer simulator was very accurate in the 2008-2009 playoffs.  Check it out on the webpage at “Playoff Winners: $10.

NFL Regular Season Epilog

 

The NFL regular season concluded with a couple of important games, while the other games proved to be about as important as the Sun Bowl.  Here are some points to ponder.

1. The Cincinnati Bengals finished the season 3-4.  They averaged only 15.8 points per game in the nine weeks after their bye week.  They gave up 26 points per game in their final four games.  Is this the look of a playoff team?  Cleveland looked more like the playoff team, winning their final four games by an average of 8.5 points per game.

2. Denver has swooned for the second year in a row.  Second verse was same as the first.  A fast start, a mediocre middle, and an 0-4 conclusion saw the Broncos eliminated from the playoffs yet again.  The 44-24 loss to the Chiefs capped a 2-8 finish after a 6-0 start.  During the 2009 flop, the Broncos were outscored 258-193 and lost to both Kansas City and Oakland, as well as lowly Washington.  The Broncos could finish in last place in the AFC West in 2010, as they will have a harder schedule than the Raiders and Chiefs.

3. The New York Giants began the season 5-0 and finished 8-8.   Their defense gave up 14.2 points per game in the 5-0 start and 32.4 points per game in the 3-8 finish.

4. The Tennessee Titans and Carolina Panthers were the opposites of the Broncos and Giants.  Carolina found itself in an 0-3 hole and slowly climbed back to finish 8-8.  Tennessee began 0-6 and finished 8-2 with Vince Young at quarterback.

5. The two hottest teams in the league are the Chargers and Packers.  While New Orleans, Indianapolis, and Minnesota were hogging the headlines, San Diego won their last 11 games by more than a 13-point average margin.  Included in this string were victories over three playoff teams—Philadelphia, Dallas, and Cincinnati.  Green Bay found itself in a hole after losing to then winless Tampa Bay and falling to 4-4.  In the second half of the season, the Packers finished 7-1 with an average scoring margin of 30.8 to 15.6.

6. Speaking of Indy and New Orleans, no team has every won the Super Bowl after beginning the year with a 10+-game winning streak and tailing off at the end of the year.  Look at last year’s Titans.  They were 10-0 and finished 13-3.  The Titans promptly exited in their first playoff game and then saw it mount to an 0-6 start this season.  You may ask when was the last time a team lost its final two (as in the Colts) or three (as in the Saints) games of the regular season and then won the Super Bowl?  The Green Bay Packers of 1967 dropped their final two regular season games and then won Super Bowl II.  No team has ever lost their last three regular season games and won the Super Bowl.  In fact, going back to the pre-Super Bowl days, no team has every won the league championship after losing their final three regular season games.

7. There has been a consistent predictor of NFL playoff winners over the course of four plus decades.  Almost every NFL Champion since 1960 has possessed a trio of shared traits.  Of course, it’s not that easy.  In many years, three or more teams possessed these traits.  However, in only a couple of years did the champion not possess the traits we speak of.  If you want to know what these traits are, you’ll have to sign up for our postseason coverage at www.piratings.webs.com.  $10 will buy you analysis on every playoff game.

Final Regular Season NFL PiRate Ratings

           
               

NFC East

PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
Dallas  106.3 107.4 107.2 11-5-0 361 250
Philadelphia  105.1 105.3 105.3 11-5-0 429 337
New York Giants 98.8 99.6 99.9 8-8-0 402 427
Washington  96.9 96.2 95.3 4-12-0 266 336
               
NFC North PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
Green Bay  108.2 108.3 108.3 11-5-0 461 297
Minnesota 106.3 106.6 106.4 12-4-0 470 312
Chicago 97.1 97.2 98.5 7-9-0 327 375
Detroit 87.8 87.6 86.9 2-14-0 262 494
               
NFC South PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
New Orleans 106.9 107.3 106.1 13-3-0 510 341
Carolina 106.1 103.7 103.4 8-8-0 315 308
Atlanta   103.9 103.6 103.6 9-7-0 363 325
Tampa Bay 94.3 94.5 95.0 3-13-0 244 400
               
NFC West PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
San Francisco 102.3 101.3 101.6 8-8-0 330 281
Arizona 101.3 99.9 102.3 10-6-0 375 325
Seattle 88.0 90.5 90.6 5-11-0 280 390
St. Louis 84.4 85.5 84.6 1-15-0 175 436
               
AFC East PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
New England 107.8 107.8 106.4 10-6-0 427 285
NY Jets 105.1 106.7 105.6 9-7-0 348 236
Miami 97.9 99.8 99.2 7-9-0 360 390
Buffalo 95.4 97.7 97.1 6-10-0 258 326
               
AFC North PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
Baltimore 108.8 105.9 105.6 9-7-0 391 261
Pittsburgh 104.3 101.8 103.9 9-7-0 368 324
Cincinnati 98.8 99.7 101.7 10-6-0 305 291
Cleveland 94.9 96.7 98.0 5-11-0 245 375
               
AFC South PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
Indianapolis 107.3 104.4 106.2 14-2-0 416 307
Houston   103.3 101.9 103.1 9-7-0 388 333
Tennessee 100.4 98.5 101.8 8-8-0 354 402
Jacksonville 93.7 94.2 97.2 7-9-0 290 380
               
AFC West PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
San Diego 111.5 106.8 109.3 13-3-0 454 320
Denver 95.3 99.3 99.8 8-8-0 326 324
Oakland   92.8 91.6 92.9 5-11-0 197 379
Kansas City 91.4 92.6 92.3 4-12-0 294 424
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December 29, 2009

PiRate Ratings and Spreads For NFL Week 17: January 3, 2010

NFL Week 17 Preview

Warning: Electrifying Playoffs Ahead!!!

 

All of a sudden what seemed to be an ironclad cut and dry Super Bowl between New Orleans and Indianapolis now looks like it could just as easily be Green Bay and The Jets.  Parity has come along late in the season, and the best teams no longer look unbeatable, while some of the worst may be among the best.

The Saints have dropped consecutive games.  Only one other time in NFL history has a team been undefeated until three games to go and then lost all three.  The 1969 Los Angeles Rams opened 11-0 before losing their final three games.  They promptly lost in the first round of the playoffs to the Vikings a possible playoff opponent in the second round if Minnesota and Philadelphia lose this week while Arizona wins.

The six NFC playoff teams are known.  New Orleans has secured the top spot.  Philadelphia currently holds down the number two seed, but the Eagles must win at Dallas to keep it. The Eagles hold the tiebreaker over Minnesota if both teams finish 12-4.  Should Dallas beat Philadelphia, the Vikings hold the tiebreaker over the Cowboys.  Should Dallas win and Minnesota lose, Arizona could take the second seed with a win over Green Bay.  Dallas would get the bye only if they beat Philadelphia and both Minnesota and Arizona lost.

Green Bay holds the tiebreaker edge over Dallas if they finish tied in the wildcard position.  They could possibly play at Arizona in consecutive weeks, which would be quite interesting.

The AFC is a big mess.  And, to make matters worse, some of the larger websites are wrong on which teams control their own destiny.  If you have read that Denver is in with a win, then you have been victimized by shoddy information.

The two AFC teams in control of their own destiny are New York and Baltimore.  Denver needs help to make the playoffs even though if the playoffs started today, they would be in.  The problem is this week’s schedule changes to formula.  So, The Jets and Ravens are the teams who get in if they win.

Denver can get in with a win and losses or ties by either Baltimore or Pittsburgh; or a loss by the Jets and a Houston win.  If the Broncos lose, then they would make the playoffs with a slew of losses by other teams (more than we can list and so improbable that there is no reason to list).

Houston can clinch a playoff spot with a win and at two from among Baltimore, Denver, and The Jets lose and/or tie.

Pittsburgh can make the playoffs with a win and: Houston and either Jets or Ravens lose and/or tie;  or Jets, Baltimore and Denver lose and/or tie.

Miami and Jacksonville can only get to 8-8 with wins, and too many things must happen for either to qualify.  For the Dolphins to sneak in, they must beat Pittsburgh and then have the Jets, Ravens, and Texans lose and Jacksonville lose or tie.  Jacksonville needs a win over Cleveland plus losses by four more teams (several combinations but most include Pittsburgh, Baltimore, and Denver).

New England holds the tiebreaker over Cincinnati in the battle for the third seed.

Looking at this week’s closing schedule, the Jets and the Ravens have tough opponents, but both teams should win if they play up to their capacity.  Oakland knocked Tampa Bay out of the playoffs last year, but we cannot see the Raiders beating the hard-nosed Ravens.  The Jets face Cincinnati at home, and the Bengals may be the weakest division winner in several years. 

If things go the way the PiRate Ratings say they should, here’s how the playoffs should look:

Wildcard Round

NFC

#6 Dallas at #3 Minnesota

#5 Green Bay at #4 Arizona

 

AFC

#6 Baltimore at #3 New England

#5 New York Jets at #4 Cincinnati

 

Divisional Round

 

NFC

#1 New Orleans hosts lower remaining seed

#2 Philadelphia hosts higher remaining seed

 

AFC

#1 Indianapolis hosts lower remaining seed

#2 San Diego hosts higher remaining seed

 

Current NFL PiRate Ratings
               
               
Bitmap

NFC East

 

PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
Philadelphia 106.4 106.5 107.6 11-4-0 429 313
Dallas 105.0 104.4 105.7 10-5-0 337 250
New York Giants 100.9 101.1 101.9 8-7-0 395 383
Washington 95.3 96.0 91.3 4-11-0 246 313
               
NFC North PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
Green Bay 106.2 105.7 106.8 10-5-0 428 290
Minnesota 104.2 106.1 105.3 11-4-0 426 305
Chicago 96.1 96.6 96.4 6-9-0 290 352
Detroit 88.8 88.5 84.9 2-13-0 239 457
               
NFC South PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
New Orleans 108.1 109.9 108.0 13-2-0 500 318
Carolina 104.9 100.3 100.7 7-8-0 292 298
Atlanta   103.2 102.0 103.1 8-7-0 343 315
Tampa Bay 95.0 93.1 93.1 3-12-0 234 380
               
NFC West PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
Arizona 103.3 102.4 104.4 10-5-0 368 292
San Francisco 100.0 101.5 99.4 7-8-0 302 275
Seattle 87.2 91.9 89.5 5-10-0 267 373
St. Louis 86.7 86.6 86.5 1-14-0 169 408
               
AFC East PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
New England 108.6 108.7 107.3 10-5-0 400 251
NY Jets 103.3 104.7 104.2 8-7-0 311 236
Miami 99.1 101.0 100.9 7-8-0 336 360
Buffalo 94.3 95.9 94.1 5-10-0 228 319
               
AFC North PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
Baltimore 109.5 106.5 105.8 8-7-0 370 248
Pittsburgh 103.1 100.7 104.0 8-7-0 338 300
Cincinnati 100.6 101.6 103.1 10-5-0 305 254
Cleveland 94.2 91.8 94.4 4-11-0 222 358
               
AFC South PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
Indianapolis 108.4 108.6 109.6 14-1-0 409 277
Houston   102.5 102.2 103.0 8-7-0 354 306
Tennessee 101.2 100.1 102.3 7-8-0 337 389
Jacksonville 94.4 95.8 98.3 7-8-0 273 357
               
AFC West PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
San Diego 109.9 106.6 108.9 12-3-0 431 300
Denver 98.3 102.2 102.2 8-7-0 302 280
Oakland   92.1 90.9 90.8 5-10-0 184 358
Kansas City 88.4 90.4 86.4 3-12-0 250 400

 

This Week’s Games
Home Team in CAPS (N) Denotes Neutral Site          
             
HFA for Week 17 = 2.4            
Vegas Line as of 8:30PM EDT Tuesday            
Sunday, January 3, 2010            
Favorite Underdog PiRate Mean Bias Vegas Totals
Indianapolis BUFFALO 11.7 10.3 13.1 NL NL
New Orleans CAROLINA 0.8 7.2 4.9 NL NL
CLEVELAND Jacksonville 2.2 -1.6 -1.5 Pk 37   
DALLAS Philadelphia 1.0 0.3 0.5 3    47   
Chicago DETROIT 4.9 5.7 9.1 3    45   
New England HOUSTON 3.7 4.1 1.9 -8    46   
Pittsburgh MIAMI 1.6 -2.7 0.7 NL NL
MINNESOTA New York Giants 5.7 7.4 5.8 8 1/2 48   
NEW YORK JETS Cincinnati 5.1 5.5 3.5 10    35   
San Francisco ST. LOUIS 10.9 12.5 10.5 7 1/2 40 1/2
Atlanta TAMPA BAY 5.8 6.5 7.6 3    41 1/2
Green Bay ARIZONA 0.5 0.9 0.0 3 1/2 43 1/2
DENVER Kansas City 12.3 14.2 18.2 13    38   
Baltimore OAKLAND 15.0 13.2 12.3 10 1/2 38   
SAN DIEGO Washington 17.0 13.0 20.0 3 1/2 38 1/2
Tennessee SEATTLE 11.6 5.8 10.4 4    44   

December 22, 2009

PiRate Ratings and Spreads For NFL Week 16: December 25-28, 2009

Week 16 NFL Preview

 

It’s crunch time in the NFL, so there’s no need to begin with some flashy witticism or catch phrase.  Let’s just dig right in with what is important—the playoffs.

In the NFC, New Orleans has clinched a first-round bye and needs only a win or tie or a Viking loss or tie to clinch homefield advantage throughout the playoffs.  They will be the number one seed.

Minnesota has clinched the North, while Arizona has clinched the West.  Philadelphia clinches the East with one more win and a Dallas loss or tie, or of course, two wins.

The Wildcard race is not much of a nail-biter, as only three teams are left to compete for the two spots.  Green Bay and Dallas, both at 9-5, hold a one-game lead over the Giants.  7-7 Atlanta has been eliminated.

Dallas closes at Washington and at home with Philadelphia.  If the Redskins can upset their rival this weekend, the Cowboys could wind up the odd team out.  The Giants finish at home against Carolina and at Minnesota, and if they split those games, they hold the tiebreaker over Dallas. 

Green Bay should clinch a playoff spot this weekend when they host Seattle.  The Packers finish at Arizona.

The AFC is a little more muddled than the NFC.  Indianapolis is the number one seed and gets homefield advantage through the playoffs.  San Diego has clinched the West.  Cincinnati needs one more win or one Baltimore loss to clinch the North, while New England is one win or one Miami loss away from clinching the East (The Jets cannot win the division).

Denver and Baltimore, both at 8-6, hold a one-game lead over six other teams (Miami, NY Jets, Houston, Jacksonville, Tennessee, and Pittsburgh.)  Obviously if just two teams finish 9-7, those teams will be the Wildcards.  That’s not going to happen.

Denver closes at Philadelphia and at home against Kansas City.  The won’t lose to the Chiefs, so they will be at least 9-7.  Baltimore has a slightly harder road, as they finish on the road at Pittsburgh and the surging Raiders.  The Ravens should win at least one of these games to finish 9-7.

Miami finishes at home against Houston and Pittsburgh, and these will be playoff eliminators.  The Jets have a difficult closing schedule at Indianapolis and at home with Cincinnati.  We don’t see them finishing 9-7.

Tennessee hosts San Diego on Christmas night and finishes at Seattle.  The Titans and Chargers are the two best current AFC teams after Indy, and it should be a great game.  If the Titans win and then knock off lowly Seattle, they will have done the unthinkable and finished 9-7 after starting 0-6.  Jacksonville has a tough game at New England and finishes at home with Cleveland.  We see 8-8 in their future.

In the end, we believe Baltimore and Denver will hold on to take the two Wildcard spots.

If this scenario holds out, here’s how the first round would look January 9 and 10.

NFC

#6 Dallas at #3 Philadelphia

#5 Green Bay at #4 Arizona

 

AFC

#6 Denver at #3 New England

#5 Baltimore at #4 Cincinnati

 

We would go with Philadelphia, Green Bay, New England, and Baltimore to win those games, setting up this scenario the following week.

NFC

#5 Green Bay at #1 New Orleans

#3 Philadelphia at #2 Minnesota

 

AFC

#5 Baltimore at #1 Indianapolis

#3 New England at #2 San Diego

 

               

Current NFL PiRate Ratings

             
 

 

NFC East

PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
Philadelphia  107.0 106.8 107.3 10-4-0 399 286
Dallas 104.3 104.3 106.2 9-5-0 320 250
New York Giants 104.1 102.8 103.5 8-6-0 386 342
Washington 96.0 97.3 94.2 4-10-0 246 296
               
NFC North PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
Minnesota 106.3 105.7 106.9 11-3-0 396 269
Green Bay 103.7 104.4 106.1 9-5-0 380 280
Chicago 94.0 95.6 93.4 5-9-0 254 322
Detroit 88.8 88.1 86.1 2-12-0 233 437
               
NFC South PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
New Orleans 110.8 109.5 108.6 13-1-0 483 298
Carolina 101.7 99.8 98.8 6-8-0 251 289
Atlanta   101.2 100.7 101.9 7-7-0 312 312
Tampa Bay 92.3 93.1 91.4 2-12-0 214 363
               
NFC West PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
Arizona 103.1 102.3 103.8 9-5-0 337 282
San Francisco 100.0 101.0 98.1 6-8-0 282 269
Seattle 89.7 92.9 92.0 5-9-0 257 325
St. Louis 86.9 87.9 84.5 1-13-0 159 377
               
AFC East PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
New England 107.5 107.3 106.9 9-5-0 365 244
NY Jets 101.8 102.8 102.4 7-7-0 282 221
Miami 100.5 100.7 101.7 7-7-0 316 333
Buffalo 96.3 96.9 95.9 5-9-0 225 288
               
AFC North PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
Baltimore 110.7 106.3 107.3 8-6-0 350 225
Pittsburgh 101.9 100.3 101.9 7-7-0 315 280
Cincinnati 101.8 101.4 102.7 9-5-0 288 244
Cleveland 92.6 92.5 91.9 3-11-0 199 349
               
AFC South PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
Indianapolis 109.9 107.8 109.2 14-0-0 394 248
Tennessee 103.4 101.7 104.3 7-7-0 320 347
Houston   101.1 101.5 101.4 7-7-0 327 286
Jacksonville 95.5 97.9 100.2 7-7-0 266 322
               
AFC West PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
San Diego 107.7 106.2 107.3 11-3-0 389 283
Denver 97.7 101.0 102.4 8-6-0 275 250
Oakland   93.7 92.7 94.0 5-9-0 175 335
Kansas City 87.2 90.8 87.5 3-11-0 240 383

 

This Week’s Games
Home Team in CAPS (N) Denotes Neutral Site          
             
HFA for Week 16 = 2.5            
Vegas Line as of 12:30PM EDT Tuesday            
Friday, December 25            
Favorite Underdog PiRate Mean Bias Vegas Totals
San Diego TENNESSEE 1.8 2.0 0.5 -3    47   
             
Sunday, December 27, 2009            
Favorite Underdog PiRate Mean Bias Vegas Totals
GREEN BAY Seattle 16.5 14.0 16.6 14    42   
CLEVELAND Oakland 1.4 2.3 0.4 3 1/2 38   
CINCINNATI Kansas City 17.1 13.1 17.7 13 1/2 40 1/2
ATLANTA Buffalo 7.4 6.3 8.5 9    41   
MIAMI Houston 1.9 1.7 2.8 3    45   
NEW YORK GIANTS Carolina 4.9 5.5 7.2 7    42   
NEW ORLEANS Tampa Bay 21.0 18.9 19.7 14    49   
NEW ENGLAND Jacksonville 14.5 11.9 9.2 7 1/2 43 1/2
Baltimore PITTSBURGH 6.3 3.5 2.9 -2 1/2 41   
PHILADELPHIA Denver 11.8 8.3 7.4 7    41 1/2
ARIZONA St. Louis 18.7 16.9 21.8 14    43   
SAN FRANCISCO Detroit 13.7 15.4 14.5 12 1/2 41 1/2
INDIANAPOLIS New York Jets 10.6 7.5 9.3 5    40 1/2
Dallas WASHINGTON 5.8 4.5 9.5 7    42   
             
Monday, December 28, 2009            
Favorite Underdog PiRate Mean Bias Vegas Totals
Minnesota CHICAGO 9.8 7.6 11.0 7    41   

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