The 5-Star College Football Week of the Season
This is the biggest week of the college football season so far. Many questions will be answered by this time next Sunday. The second issuing of the NCAA Playoff Committee will be much different than the first one that comes out Tuesday, as many of the contending teams face off against other contending teams this week. Additionally, there are key games that will weed out conference championship pretenders from the contenders. And, in multiple cases, there will be games where the winners take a giant step toward bowl eligibity, while the losers drop out of the picture.
This is the great Bonanza for you the fan this week.
Tuesday
Northern Illinois at Toledo: Toledo is still in the race for a New Year’s Six Bowl bid. The Rockets hold wins over Arkansas and Iowa State, and they would need for Memphis and Houston to lose before they would have a shot, but it is still possible. Northern Illinois is still in the MAC West Division race.
Wednesday
Ohio at Bowling Green: The MAC East Division title goes to Bowling Green if the Falcons win this game. If Ohio upsets BGU, the Falcons still have a one-game lead.
Thursday
Arkansas St. at Appalachian St.: The winner will hold first place to themselves in the Sun Belt Conference. Both teams are going bowling this year, and if Appy St. wins out to finish 11-1, that could set up an incredible GoDaddy.com bowl between two 11-win teams.
Saturday
Duke at North Carolina: A week after getting “hosed” by the referees, Duke must now win at its arch-rival to stay in the ACC Coastal Division race. A Tar Heel win basically puts North Carolina in the ACC Championship Game.
Florida St. at Clemson: Another impressive CU win could vault the Tigers into the upper two spots in the Playoff bracket with no remaining teams to play as strong as FSU or Notre Dame, who Clemson would have already beaten. If Florida St. can win at Clemson and then at Florida, and if they could then win the ACC Championship Game, the Seminoles would have a chance at the #4 seed.
Arkansas at Ole Miss: This could be a trap game for the Rebels. With a game coming up against LSU, Ole Miss can ill-afford to lose to Arkansas and fall below the Alabama-LSU winner. If Ole Miss can win, the Rebels stay in control in the SEC West Race.
Iowa at Indiana: The Hawkeyes can only make the Playoffs if they win out and then beat either Ohio St. or Michigan St. in the Big Ten Championship Game. Indiana was once 4-0, but they have dropped four straight games. The Hoosiers must come up with two wins in their last four games, and besides this game, they face Michigan and Maryland and Purdue on the road. Kevin Wilson’s job could be on the line.
TCU at Oklahoma St.: The winner should move into the top 4 in the following week’s poll, and Oklahoma State has come out of nowhere to be in this position. The Cowboys host the three other contenders in the league, and at this point, we have to consider them the co-favorite to win the Big 12. The other co-favorite is the team they play Saturday. We believe the winner of this game will emerge as the league champion, but if the league champion loses a game, the destination will most likely be New Orleans for the Sugar Bowl and not the Playoffs.
Cincinnati at Houston: The Cougars can smell that New Year’s 6 Bowl Bid. They have the most advantageous schedule of any of the contending teams for the one guaranteed Group of 5 teams. Cincinnati is out of the NY6 picture, but the Bearcats have an offense capable of matching UH point for point.
Utah St. at New Mexico: Bob Davie has the Lobos close to getting back to a bowl. New Mexico is 4-4 and needs two upsets in their final four games from a group that also includes Boise St., Colorado St., and Air Force. If the Lobos can get an upset in this game, we believe they will get one more. As for Utah St., the Mountain West Mountain Division flag is in their grasp with a previous win over Boise St., but the Aggies must still play at Air Force and cannot afford to slip up here.
Navy at Memphis: Memphis must keep pace with Houston and Toledo in the Group of 5 race. A win here would be considered a quality win, especially if the Tigers can win as convincingly as Notre Dame’s win over the Midshipmen. Navy is basically locked into a Military Bowl bid at this point, but if they beat Memphis and win out, while Houston and Toledo both lose a game ,the Middies could find themselves in the Peach or Fiesta Bowl.
LSU at Alabama: This is the top game of the week. How many times in recent history has this game had national championship repercussions? Can Leonard Fournette keep LSU’s offense moving against a Crimson Tide defense that will force the Tigers to throw the ball or face eight men up front? What about Alabama’s offense? It has been Jekyll and Hyde this year when the Tide has the ball. LSU’s run defense might be up to the task to slow the ‘Bama running game. It should be close and lower than average scoring.
This Week’s Ratings
PiRate Ratings |
# |
Team |
PiRate |
Mean |
Bias |
Average |
1 |
Alabama |
128.9 |
126.7 |
128.5 |
128.0 |
2 |
Ohio St. |
129.0 |
123.6 |
129.8 |
127.5 |
3 |
Baylor |
128.3 |
124.8 |
128.8 |
127.3 |
4 |
TCU |
129.5 |
121.0 |
130.1 |
126.9 |
5 |
Oklahoma |
126.4 |
122.9 |
126.6 |
125.3 |
6 |
LSU |
124.3 |
121.5 |
124.7 |
123.5 |
7 |
Clemson |
122.6 |
123.8 |
123.3 |
123.2 |
8 |
Stanford |
122.5 |
120.7 |
122.2 |
121.8 |
9 |
Notre Dame |
122.8 |
119.7 |
122.8 |
121.8 |
10 |
USC |
122.7 |
119.1 |
123.1 |
121.6 |
11 |
Florida |
121.5 |
118.3 |
121.9 |
120.6 |
12 |
Ole Miss |
122.7 |
117.7 |
120.8 |
120.4 |
13 |
Tennessee |
121.4 |
117.3 |
121.4 |
120.0 |
14 |
Utah |
121.7 |
116.2 |
120.9 |
119.6 |
15 |
North Carolina |
117.8 |
118.1 |
117.7 |
117.9 |
16 |
UCLA |
120.3 |
114.3 |
118.5 |
117.7 |
17 |
Michigan |
118.5 |
115.4 |
118.1 |
117.3 |
18 |
Texas A&M |
117.8 |
114.5 |
116.0 |
116.1 |
19 |
Arkansas |
118.0 |
112.5 |
117.0 |
115.8 |
20 |
Michigan St. |
116.6 |
113.4 |
116.3 |
115.4 |
21 |
Mississippi St. |
115.8 |
112.5 |
116.2 |
114.8 |
22 |
Oklahoma St. |
115.2 |
112.8 |
115.6 |
114.5 |
23 |
California |
116.2 |
110.9 |
115.6 |
114.2 |
24 |
Florida St. |
114.1 |
114.8 |
113.4 |
114.1 |
25 |
Georgia |
116.9 |
109.8 |
115.5 |
114.1 |
26 |
Arizona St. |
116.0 |
110.8 |
115.0 |
113.9 |
27 |
Oregon |
116.0 |
109.3 |
115.3 |
113.5 |
28 |
Houston |
110.2 |
117.0 |
112.9 |
113.4 |
29 |
Wisconsin |
113.2 |
113.5 |
112.7 |
113.1 |
30 |
Auburn |
113.8 |
111.2 |
112.8 |
112.6 |
31 |
Iowa |
110.7 |
112.9 |
111.3 |
111.6 |
32 |
Georgia Tech |
112.7 |
110.3 |
111.3 |
111.4 |
33 |
Boise St. |
112.4 |
109.0 |
112.1 |
111.2 |
34 |
West Virginia |
113.2 |
107.5 |
112.4 |
111.0 |
35 |
Memphis |
110.3 |
111.2 |
111.1 |
110.9 |
36 |
Virginia Tech |
110.2 |
109.9 |
110.0 |
110.0 |
37 |
North Carolina St. |
109.8 |
111.2 |
108.6 |
109.9 |
38 |
Temple |
108.8 |
110.9 |
109.5 |
109.7 |
39 |
Washington |
110.3 |
107.7 |
110.9 |
109.6 |
40 |
Bowling Green |
106.2 |
111.0 |
109.0 |
108.7 |
41 |
Duke |
108.4 |
108.8 |
108.9 |
108.7 |
42 |
Missouri |
109.0 |
105.4 |
108.0 |
107.5 |
43 |
Louisville |
106.9 |
109.3 |
106.2 |
107.5 |
44 |
Pittsburgh |
106.9 |
107.6 |
107.5 |
107.3 |
45 |
BYU |
107.1 |
106.3 |
108.0 |
107.1 |
46 |
Western Kentucky |
106.4 |
106.5 |
107.7 |
106.9 |
47 |
Penn St. |
106.7 |
107.0 |
106.7 |
106.8 |
48 |
Nebraska |
107.8 |
106.0 |
106.6 |
106.8 |
49 |
San Diego St. |
104.0 |
108.4 |
105.5 |
106.0 |
50 |
Cincinnati |
105.0 |
106.1 |
106.3 |
105.8 |
51 |
Toledo |
104.6 |
105.6 |
106.3 |
105.5 |
52 |
South Carolina |
107.2 |
103.7 |
105.5 |
105.5 |
53 |
Miami |
104.1 |
104.7 |
105.1 |
104.6 |
54 |
Arizona |
106.6 |
100.9 |
105.4 |
104.3 |
55 |
Washington St. |
105.3 |
101.4 |
105.1 |
103.9 |
56 |
Minnesota |
104.7 |
103.0 |
104.0 |
103.9 |
57 |
Northwestern |
103.9 |
104.0 |
103.5 |
103.8 |
58 |
Texas Tech |
106.8 |
98.3 |
106.2 |
103.8 |
59 |
Colorado |
105.9 |
100.7 |
104.3 |
103.6 |
60 |
Texas |
104.7 |
101.4 |
104.5 |
103.5 |
61 |
Louisiana Tech |
102.8 |
102.2 |
103.6 |
102.9 |
62 |
Navy |
100.3 |
103.8 |
100.9 |
101.7 |
63 |
Kansas St. |
105.3 |
95.2 |
104.3 |
101.6 |
64 |
Illinois |
102.6 |
100.7 |
101.4 |
101.6 |
65 |
Kentucky |
103.3 |
99.4 |
101.8 |
101.5 |
66 |
Virginia |
101.7 |
99.7 |
101.3 |
100.9 |
67 |
Appalachian St. |
99.1 |
102.3 |
101.3 |
100.9 |
68 |
Utah St. |
100.3 |
100.8 |
100.8 |
100.6 |
69 |
Boston College |
99.8 |
103.0 |
98.4 |
100.4 |
70 |
Western Michigan |
99.5 |
100.2 |
100.6 |
100.1 |
71 |
Iowa St. |
99.9 |
96.4 |
100.1 |
98.8 |
72 |
Purdue |
99.2 |
98.5 |
98.0 |
98.6 |
73 |
Vanderbilt |
99.9 |
95.9 |
99.7 |
98.5 |
74 |
Air Force |
96.8 |
100.8 |
96.3 |
98.0 |
75 |
Georgia Southern |
95.9 |
98.7 |
96.8 |
97.1 |
76 |
Northern Illinois |
95.3 |
99.2 |
96.0 |
96.8 |
77 |
Wake Forest |
95.2 |
98.5 |
94.5 |
96.1 |
78 |
Indiana |
96.2 |
96.2 |
95.5 |
96.0 |
79 |
Marshall |
95.5 |
96.6 |
95.8 |
96.0 |
80 |
East Carolina |
93.4 |
96.9 |
94.2 |
94.8 |
81 |
South Florida |
92.5 |
98.4 |
93.3 |
94.7 |
82 |
Syracuse |
93.9 |
96.6 |
93.3 |
94.6 |
83 |
Maryland |
94.5 |
92.9 |
94.0 |
93.8 |
84 |
Rutgers |
95.1 |
92.1 |
93.6 |
93.6 |
85 |
Central Michigan |
90.7 |
95.0 |
92.8 |
92.8 |
86 |
Southern Mississippi |
91.7 |
93.8 |
92.5 |
92.7 |
87 |
Middle Tennessee |
93.2 |
92.0 |
92.7 |
92.6 |
88 |
San Jose St. |
91.3 |
94.2 |
91.2 |
92.2 |
89 |
Tulsa |
90.1 |
94.4 |
91.1 |
91.9 |
90 |
Colorado St. |
92.2 |
90.8 |
91.0 |
91.3 |
91 |
Florida International |
90.1 |
92.7 |
90.7 |
91.2 |
92 |
Oregon St. |
92.6 |
89.3 |
90.8 |
90.9 |
93 |
Connecticut |
88.6 |
93.4 |
89.5 |
90.5 |
94 |
Nevada |
88.8 |
92.5 |
88.4 |
89.9 |
95 |
Arkansas St. |
89.1 |
89.9 |
89.9 |
89.6 |
96 |
Ohio |
87.0 |
91.3 |
88.6 |
89.0 |
97 |
New Mexico |
88.2 |
89.0 |
86.9 |
88.0 |
98 |
Tulane |
85.4 |
87.7 |
84.9 |
86.0 |
99 |
Buffalo |
83.2 |
89.5 |
85.1 |
85.9 |
100 |
Massachusetts |
84.6 |
87.2 |
85.4 |
85.7 |
101 |
Akron |
83.0 |
88.9 |
84.4 |
85.4 |
102 |
UL-Lafayette |
83.6 |
86.7 |
84.1 |
84.8 |
103 |
SMU |
83.6 |
87.5 |
83.2 |
84.8 |
104 |
Rice |
83.3 |
86.6 |
83.5 |
84.5 |
105 |
Hawaii |
83.4 |
85.6 |
83.1 |
84.0 |
106 |
Ball St. |
82.7 |
85.1 |
83.6 |
83.8 |
107 |
UNLV |
82.6 |
84.6 |
83.2 |
83.5 |
108 |
Florida Atlantic |
81.8 |
84.9 |
82.3 |
83.0 |
109 |
Troy |
80.7 |
82.1 |
82.2 |
81.7 |
110 |
Texas St. |
80.4 |
83.8 |
79.9 |
81.4 |
111 |
Fresno St. |
80.7 |
84.4 |
78.9 |
81.3 |
112 |
Army |
77.7 |
86.7 |
79.1 |
81.2 |
113 |
Wyoming |
80.6 |
82.8 |
79.8 |
81.1 |
114 |
UT-San Antonio |
79.8 |
82.3 |
80.6 |
80.9 |
115 |
Kent St. |
79.5 |
82.0 |
80.0 |
80.5 |
116 |
Central Florida |
79.2 |
82.2 |
79.5 |
80.3 |
117 |
UTEP |
76.6 |
79.1 |
76.2 |
77.3 |
118 |
South Alabama |
74.7 |
80.7 |
75.6 |
77.0 |
119 |
Georgia St. |
76.9 |
76.7 |
77.4 |
77.0 |
120 |
Old Dominion |
75.3 |
79.7 |
74.3 |
76.4 |
121 |
UL-Monroe |
76.7 |
75.6 |
76.7 |
76.3 |
122 |
Idaho |
73.1 |
78.5 |
74.4 |
75.3 |
123 |
North Texas |
73.2 |
78.0 |
73.6 |
74.9 |
124 |
Miami (O) |
73.1 |
77.6 |
73.5 |
74.7 |
125 |
Eastern Michigan |
72.2 |
78.8 |
71.7 |
74.2 |
126 |
Kansas |
76.6 |
70.2 |
74.5 |
73.8 |
127 |
New Mexico St. |
68.8 |
70.3 |
69.0 |
69.4 |
128 |
Charlotte |
68.1 |
70.1 |
67.7 |
68.6 |
PiRate Retrodictive |
# |
Team |
1 |
Ohio St. |
2 |
Alabama |
3 |
TCU |
4 |
Clemson |
5 |
LSU |
6 |
Baylor |
7 |
Oklahoma |
8 |
Michigan St. |
9 |
Notre Dame |
10 |
Utah |
11 |
Iowa |
12 |
Florida |
13 |
Stanford |
14 |
Oklahoma St. |
15 |
Michigan |
16 |
Memphis |
17 |
Ole Miss |
18 |
USC |
19 |
Houston |
20 |
Florida St. |
21 |
North Carolina |
22 |
Mississippi St. |
23 |
Toledo |
24 |
Wisconsin |
25 |
Texas A&M |
26 |
UCLA |
27 |
Navy |
28 |
Temple |
29 |
BYU |
30 |
Tennessee |
31 |
Northwestern |
32 |
Penn St. |
33 |
California |
34 |
Boise St. |
35 |
Appalachian St. |
36 |
Bowling Green |
37 |
Duke |
38 |
Pittsburgh |
39 |
Oregon |
40 |
Washington |
41 |
Western Kentucky |
42 |
Arkansas |
43 |
Miami (Fla) |
44 |
Georgia |
45 |
Cincinnati |
46 |
Texas Tech |
47 |
Washington St. |
48 |
Louisville |
49 |
Utah St. |
50 |
North Carolina St. |
51 |
Georgia Southern |
52 |
Auburn |
53 |
West Virginia |
54 |
Marshall |
55 |
Louisiana Tech |
56 |
Virginia Tech |
57 |
Arizona St. |
58 |
San Diego St. |
59 |
Western Michigan |
60 |
Central Michigan |
61 |
Kansas St. |
62 |
Air Force |
63 |
Georgia Tech |
64 |
Minnesota |
65 |
Illinois |
66 |
Iowa St. |
67 |
Indiana |
68 |
Northern Illinois |
69 |
Virginia |
70 |
Missouri |
71 |
Texas |
72 |
South Carolina |
73 |
Arizona |
74 |
Kentucky |
75 |
Arkansas St. |
76 |
Southern Miss. |
77 |
Tulsa |
78 |
Connecticut |
79 |
South Florida |
80 |
East Carolina |
81 |
Nebraska |
82 |
Colorado |
83 |
Boston College |
84 |
Syracuse |
85 |
Ohio |
86 |
Purdue |
87 |
Vanderbilt |
88 |
Maryland |
89 |
Rutgers |
90 |
Buffalo |
91 |
MTSU |
92 |
Wake Forest |
93 |
Louisiana-Lafayette |
94 |
Colorado St. |
95 |
San Jose St. |
96 |
Kent St. |
97 |
Rice |
98 |
Akron |
99 |
Nevada |
100 |
South Alabama |
101 |
Oregon St. |
102 |
Troy |
103 |
Florida Int’l. |
104 |
Ball St. |
105 |
UNLV |
106 |
New Mexico |
107 |
Tulane |
108 |
SMU |
109 |
Army |
110 |
Old Dominion |
111 |
Texas St. |
112 |
Fresno St. |
113 |
Massachusetts |
114 |
Idaho |
115 |
Florida Atlantic |
116 |
Georgia St. |
117 |
Hawaii |
118 |
Kansas |
119 |
Louisiana-Monroe |
120 |
Wyoming |
121 |
UTSA |
122 |
UTEP |
123 |
Miami (O) |
124 |
Eastern Michigan |
125 |
North Texas |
126 |
Central Florida |
127 |
Charlotte |
128 |
New Mexico St. |
PiRate Ratings By Conference
American Athletic Conference |
East Division |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Team |
Conference |
Overall |
PiRate |
Mean |
Bias |
Average |
Temple |
4-0 |
7-1 |
108.8 |
110.9 |
109.5 |
109.7 |
Cincinnati |
2-2 |
5-3 |
105.0 |
106.1 |
106.3 |
105.8 |
East Carolina |
2-3 |
4-5 |
93.4 |
96.9 |
94.2 |
94.8 |
South Florida |
2-2 |
4-4 |
92.5 |
98.4 |
93.3 |
94.7 |
Connecticut |
2-3 |
4-5 |
88.6 |
93.4 |
89.5 |
90.5 |
Central Florida |
0-5 |
0-9 |
79.2 |
82.2 |
79.5 |
80.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
West Division |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Team |
Conference |
Overall |
PiRate |
Mean |
Bias |
Average |
Houston |
4-0 |
8-0 |
110.2 |
117.0 |
112.9 |
113.4 |
Memphis |
4-0 |
8-0 |
110.3 |
111.2 |
111.1 |
110.9 |
Navy |
4-0 |
6-1 |
100.3 |
103.8 |
100.9 |
101.7 |
Tulsa |
1-3 |
4-4 |
90.1 |
94.4 |
91.1 |
91.9 |
Tulane |
1-4 |
2-6 |
85.4 |
87.7 |
84.9 |
86.0 |
SMU |
0-4 |
1-7 |
83.6 |
87.5 |
83.2 |
84.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
AAC Averages |
|
|
95.6 |
99.1 |
96.4 |
97.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Atlantic Coast Conference |
Atlantic Division |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Team |
Conference |
Overall |
PiRate |
Mean |
Bias |
Average |
Clemson |
5-0 |
8-0 |
122.6 |
123.8 |
123.3 |
123.2 |
Florida St. |
5-1 |
7-1 |
114.1 |
114.8 |
113.4 |
114.1 |
North Carolina St. |
1-3 |
5-3 |
109.8 |
111.2 |
108.6 |
109.9 |
Louisville |
3-2 |
4-4 |
106.9 |
109.3 |
106.2 |
107.5 |
Boston College |
0-6 |
3-6 |
99.8 |
103.0 |
98.4 |
100.4 |
Wake Forest |
1-5 |
3-6 |
95.2 |
98.5 |
94.5 |
96.1 |
Syracuse |
1-3 |
3-5 |
93.9 |
96.6 |
93.3 |
94.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Coastal Division |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Team |
Conference |
Overall |
PiRate |
Mean |
Bias |
Average |
North Carolina |
4-0 |
7-1 |
117.8 |
118.1 |
117.7 |
117.9 |
Georgia Tech |
1-5 |
3-6 |
112.7 |
110.3 |
111.3 |
111.4 |
Virginia Tech |
2-3 |
4-5 |
110.2 |
109.9 |
110.0 |
110.0 |
Duke |
3-1 |
6-2 |
108.4 |
108.8 |
108.9 |
108.7 |
Pittsburgh |
4-1 |
6-2 |
106.9 |
107.6 |
107.5 |
107.3 |
Miami |
2-2 |
5-3 |
104.1 |
104.7 |
105.1 |
104.6 |
Virginia |
2-2 |
3-5 |
101.7 |
99.7 |
101.3 |
100.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ACC Averages |
|
|
107.4 |
108.3 |
107.1 |
107.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Big 12 Conference |
Team |
Conference |
Overall |
PiRate |
Mean |
Bias |
Average |
Baylor |
4-0 |
7-0 |
128.3 |
124.8 |
128.8 |
127.3 |
TCU |
5-0 |
8-0 |
129.5 |
121.0 |
130.1 |
126.9 |
Oklahoma |
4-1 |
7-1 |
126.4 |
122.9 |
126.6 |
125.3 |
Oklahoma St. |
5-0 |
8-0 |
115.2 |
112.8 |
115.6 |
114.5 |
West Virginia |
0-4 |
3-4 |
113.2 |
107.5 |
112.4 |
111.0 |
Texas Tech |
2-4 |
5-4 |
106.8 |
98.3 |
106.2 |
103.8 |
Texas |
2-3 |
3-5 |
104.7 |
101.4 |
104.5 |
103.5 |
Kansas St. |
0-4 |
3-4 |
105.3 |
95.2 |
104.3 |
101.6 |
Iowa St. |
2-3 |
3-5 |
99.9 |
96.4 |
100.1 |
98.8 |
Kansas |
0-5 |
0-8 |
76.6 |
70.2 |
74.5 |
73.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Big 12 Averages |
|
|
110.6 |
105.1 |
110.3 |
108.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Big Ten Conference |
East Division |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Team |
Conference |
Overall |
PiRate |
Mean |
Bias |
Average |
Ohio St. |
4-0 |
8-0 |
129.0 |
123.6 |
129.8 |
127.5 |
Michigan |
3-1 |
6-2 |
118.5 |
115.4 |
118.1 |
117.3 |
Michigan St. |
4-0 |
8-0 |
116.6 |
113.4 |
116.3 |
115.4 |
Penn St. |
4-1 |
7-2 |
106.7 |
107.0 |
106.7 |
106.8 |
Indiana |
0-4 |
4-4 |
96.2 |
96.2 |
95.5 |
96.0 |
Maryland |
0-4 |
2-6 |
94.5 |
92.9 |
94.0 |
93.8 |
Rutgers |
1-4 |
3-5 |
95.1 |
92.1 |
93.6 |
93.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
West Division |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Team |
Conference |
Overall |
PiRate |
Mean |
Bias |
Average |
Wisconsin |
4-1 |
7-2 |
113.2 |
113.5 |
112.7 |
113.1 |
Iowa |
4-0 |
8-0 |
110.7 |
112.9 |
111.3 |
111.6 |
Nebraska |
1-4 |
3-6 |
107.8 |
106.0 |
106.6 |
106.8 |
Minnesota |
1-3 |
4-4 |
104.7 |
103.0 |
104.0 |
103.9 |
Northwestern |
2-2 |
6-2 |
103.9 |
104.0 |
103.5 |
103.8 |
Illinois |
1-3 |
4-4 |
102.6 |
100.7 |
101.4 |
101.6 |
Purdue |
1-3 |
2-6 |
99.2 |
98.5 |
98.0 |
98.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Big Ten Averages |
|
|
107.1 |
105.7 |
106.5 |
106.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Conference USA |
East Division |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Team |
Conference |
Overall |
PiRate |
Mean |
Bias |
Average |
Western Kentucky |
5-0 |
7-2 |
106.4 |
106.5 |
107.7 |
106.9 |
Marshall |
5-0 |
8-1 |
95.5 |
96.6 |
95.8 |
96.0 |
Middle Tennessee |
2-2 |
3-5 |
93.2 |
92.0 |
92.7 |
92.6 |
Florida International |
2-3 |
4-5 |
90.1 |
92.7 |
90.7 |
91.2 |
Florida Atlantic |
2-3 |
2-6 |
81.8 |
84.9 |
82.3 |
83.0 |
Old Dominion |
1-3 |
3-5 |
75.3 |
79.7 |
74.3 |
76.4 |
Charlotte |
0-5 |
2-6 |
68.1 |
70.1 |
67.7 |
68.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
West Division |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Team |
Conference |
Overall |
PiRate |
Mean |
Bias |
Average |
Louisiana Tech |
4-1 |
6-3 |
102.8 |
102.2 |
103.6 |
102.9 |
Southern Mississippi |
4-1 |
6-3 |
91.7 |
93.8 |
92.5 |
92.7 |
Rice |
2-2 |
4-4 |
83.3 |
86.6 |
83.5 |
84.5 |
UT-San Antonio |
1-3 |
1-7 |
79.8 |
82.3 |
80.6 |
80.9 |
UTEP |
1-3 |
3-5 |
76.6 |
79.1 |
76.2 |
77.3 |
North Texas |
1-4 |
1-7 |
73.2 |
78.0 |
73.6 |
74.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CUSA Averages |
|
|
86.0 |
88.0 |
86.2 |
86.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
FBS Independents |
Team |
|
Overall |
PiRate |
Mean |
Bias |
Average |
Notre Dame |
|
7-1 |
122.8 |
119.7 |
122.8 |
121.8 |
BYU |
|
6-2 |
107.1 |
106.3 |
108.0 |
107.1 |
Army |
|
2-6 |
77.7 |
86.7 |
79.1 |
81.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Independents Averages |
|
|
102.5 |
104.2 |
103.3 |
103.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-American Conference |
East Division |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Team |
Conference |
Overall |
PiRate |
Mean |
Bias |
Average |
Bowling Green |
4-0 |
6-2 |
106.2 |
111.0 |
109.0 |
108.7 |
Ohio |
2-2 |
5-3 |
87.0 |
91.3 |
88.6 |
89.0 |
Buffalo |
2-2 |
4-4 |
83.2 |
89.5 |
85.1 |
85.9 |
Massachusetts |
0-4 |
1-7 |
84.6 |
87.2 |
85.4 |
85.7 |
Akron |
1-3 |
3-5 |
83.0 |
88.9 |
84.4 |
85.4 |
Kent St. |
2-2 |
3-5 |
79.5 |
82.0 |
80.0 |
80.5 |
Miami (O) |
0-5 |
1-8 |
73.1 |
77.6 |
73.5 |
74.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
West Division |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Team |
Conference |
Overall |
PiRate |
Mean |
Bias |
Average |
Toledo |
4-0 |
7-0 |
104.6 |
105.6 |
106.3 |
105.5 |
Western Michigan |
4-0 |
5-3 |
99.5 |
100.2 |
100.6 |
100.1 |
Northern Illinois |
3-1 |
5-3 |
95.3 |
99.2 |
96.0 |
96.8 |
Central Michigan |
4-1 |
5-4 |
90.7 |
95.0 |
92.8 |
92.8 |
Ball St. |
2-3 |
3-6 |
82.7 |
85.1 |
83.6 |
83.8 |
Eastern Michigan |
0-5 |
1-8 |
72.2 |
78.8 |
71.7 |
74.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
MAC Averages |
|
|
87.8 |
91.6 |
89.0 |
89.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mountain West Conference |
Mountain Division |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Team |
Conference |
Overall |
PiRate |
Mean |
Bias |
Average |
Boise St. |
4-1 |
7-2 |
112.4 |
109.0 |
112.1 |
111.2 |
Utah St. |
4-1 |
5-3 |
100.3 |
100.8 |
100.8 |
100.6 |
Air Force |
4-1 |
5-3 |
96.8 |
100.8 |
96.3 |
98.0 |
Colorado St. |
1-3 |
3-5 |
92.2 |
90.8 |
91.0 |
91.3 |
New Mexico |
2-2 |
4-4 |
88.2 |
89.0 |
86.9 |
88.0 |
Wyoming |
1-4 |
1-8 |
80.6 |
82.8 |
79.8 |
81.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
West Division |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Team |
Conference |
Overall |
PiRate |
Mean |
Bias |
Average |
San Diego St. |
5-0 |
6-3 |
104.0 |
108.4 |
105.5 |
106.0 |
San Jose St. |
3-2 |
4-4 |
91.3 |
94.2 |
91.2 |
92.2 |
Nevada |
2-2 |
4-4 |
88.8 |
92.5 |
88.4 |
89.9 |
Hawaii |
0-5 |
2-7 |
83.4 |
85.6 |
83.1 |
84.0 |
UNLV |
1-3 |
2-6 |
82.6 |
84.6 |
83.2 |
83.5 |
Fresno St. |
1-4 |
2-6 |
80.7 |
84.4 |
78.9 |
81.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
MWC Averages |
|
|
91.8 |
93.6 |
91.4 |
92.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pac-12 Conference |
North Division |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Team |
Conference |
Overall |
PiRate |
Mean |
Bias |
Average |
Stanford |
6-0 |
7-1 |
122.5 |
120.7 |
122.2 |
121.8 |
California |
2-3 |
5-3 |
116.2 |
110.9 |
115.6 |
114.2 |
Oregon |
3-2 |
5-3 |
116.0 |
109.3 |
115.3 |
113.5 |
Washington |
2-3 |
4-4 |
110.3 |
107.7 |
110.9 |
109.6 |
Washington St. |
3-2 |
5-3 |
105.3 |
101.4 |
105.1 |
103.9 |
Oregon St. |
0-5 |
2-6 |
92.6 |
89.3 |
90.8 |
90.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
South Division |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Team |
Conference |
Overall |
PiRate |
Mean |
Bias |
Average |
USC |
3-2 |
5-3 |
122.7 |
119.1 |
123.1 |
121.6 |
Utah |
4-1 |
7-1 |
121.7 |
116.2 |
120.9 |
119.6 |
UCLA |
3-2 |
6-2 |
120.3 |
114.3 |
118.5 |
117.7 |
Arizona St. |
2-3 |
4-4 |
116.0 |
110.8 |
115.0 |
113.9 |
Arizona |
2-4 |
5-4 |
106.6 |
100.9 |
105.4 |
104.3 |
Colorado |
1-4 |
4-5 |
105.9 |
100.7 |
104.3 |
103.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pac-12 Averages |
|
|
113.0 |
108.4 |
112.3 |
111.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Southeastern Conference |
East Division |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Team |
Conference |
Overall |
PiRate |
Mean |
Bias |
Average |
Florida |
5-1 |
7-1 |
121.5 |
118.3 |
121.9 |
120.6 |
Tennessee |
2-3 |
4-4 |
121.4 |
117.3 |
121.4 |
120.0 |
Georgia |
3-3 |
5-3 |
116.9 |
109.8 |
115.5 |
114.1 |
Missouri |
1-4 |
4-4 |
109.0 |
105.4 |
108.0 |
107.5 |
South Carolina |
1-5 |
3-5 |
107.2 |
103.7 |
105.5 |
105.5 |
Kentucky |
2-4 |
4-4 |
103.3 |
99.4 |
101.8 |
101.5 |
Vanderbilt |
1-3 |
3-5 |
99.9 |
95.9 |
99.7 |
98.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
West Division |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Team |
Conference |
Overall |
PiRate |
Mean |
Bias |
Average |
Alabama |
4-1 |
7-1 |
128.9 |
126.7 |
128.5 |
128.0 |
LSU |
4-0 |
7-0 |
124.3 |
121.5 |
124.7 |
123.5 |
Ole Miss |
4-1 |
7-2 |
122.7 |
117.7 |
120.8 |
120.4 |
Texas A&M |
3-2 |
6-2 |
117.8 |
114.5 |
116.0 |
116.1 |
Arkansas |
2-2 |
4-4 |
118.0 |
112.5 |
117.0 |
115.8 |
Mississippi St. |
2-2 |
6-2 |
115.8 |
112.5 |
116.2 |
114.8 |
Auburn |
1-4 |
4-4 |
113.8 |
111.2 |
112.8 |
112.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
SEC Averages |
|
|
115.8 |
111.9 |
115.0 |
114.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sunbelt Conference |
Team |
Conference |
Overall |
PiRate |
Mean |
Bias |
Average |
Appalachian St. |
4-0 |
7-1 |
99.1 |
102.3 |
101.3 |
100.9 |
Georgia Southern |
4-1 |
6-2 |
95.9 |
98.7 |
96.8 |
97.1 |
Arkansas St. |
4-0 |
5-3 |
89.1 |
89.9 |
89.9 |
89.6 |
UL-Lafayette |
2-1 |
3-4 |
83.6 |
86.7 |
84.1 |
84.8 |
Troy |
1-3 |
2-6 |
80.7 |
82.1 |
82.2 |
81.7 |
Texas St. |
1-2 |
2-5 |
80.4 |
83.8 |
79.9 |
81.4 |
South Alabama |
1-2 |
3-4 |
74.7 |
80.7 |
75.6 |
77.0 |
Georgia St. |
1-2 |
2-5 |
76.9 |
76.7 |
77.4 |
77.0 |
UL-Monroe |
0-4 |
1-7 |
76.7 |
75.6 |
76.7 |
76.3 |
Idaho |
2-3 |
3-5 |
73.1 |
78.5 |
74.4 |
75.3 |
New Mexico St. |
1-3 |
1-7 |
68.8 |
70.3 |
69.0 |
69.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sun Belt Averages |
|
|
81.7 |
84.1 |
82.5 |
82.8 |
PiRate Ratings By Conference |
# |
League |
PiRate |
Mean |
Bias |
Average |
1 |
SEC |
115.8 |
111.9 |
115.0 |
114.2 |
2 |
Pac-12 |
113.0 |
108.4 |
112.3 |
111.2 |
3 |
Big 12 |
110.6 |
105.1 |
110.3 |
108.7 |
4 |
ACC |
107.4 |
108.3 |
107.1 |
107.6 |
5 |
Big Ten |
107.1 |
105.7 |
106.5 |
106.4 |
6 |
Indep. |
102.5 |
104.2 |
103.3 |
103.4 |
7 |
AAC |
95.6 |
99.1 |
96.4 |
97.0 |
8 |
MWC |
91.8 |
93.6 |
91.4 |
92.3 |
9 |
MAC |
87.8 |
91.6 |
89.0 |
89.5 |
10 |
CUSA |
86.0 |
88.0 |
86.2 |
86.8 |
11 |
SBC |
81.7 |
84.1 |
82.5 |
82.8 |
NCAA Playoffs |
1 |
Ohio St. |
2 |
LSU |
3 |
Clemson |
4 |
Baylor |
Group of 5 Contenders For Automatic New Year’s Six Bowl Bid |
# |
Team |
|
|
|
1 |
Memphis |
|
|
|
2 |
Houston |
|
|
|
3 |
Toleo |
|
|
|
4 |
Temple |
|
|
|
5 |
Navy |
|
|
|
Power 5 Conferences Bottom 10 |
# |
Team |
|
10 |
Iowa St. |
|
9 |
Purdue |
|
8 |
Vanderbilt |
|
7 |
Wake Forest |
|
6 |
Indiana |
|
5 |
Syracuse |
|
4 |
Maryland |
|
3 |
Rutgers |
|
2 |
Oregon St. |
|
1 |
Kansas |
|
FCS Top 10 |
# |
Team |
PiRate |
1 |
Jacksonville St. |
96.6 |
2 |
Dartmouth |
92.8 |
3 |
Harvard |
92.4 |
4 |
Chattanooga |
91.3 |
5 |
Illinois St. |
91.1 |
6 |
North Dakota St. |
91.0 |
7 |
McNeese St. |
90.7 |
8 |
Dayton |
90.6 |
9 |
Richmond |
90.3 |
10 |
Charleston Southern |
89.4 |
This Week’s Games |
|
|
|
|
|
Home |
Visitor |
PiRate |
Mean |
Bias |
Tuesday, November 3 |
|
|
|
|
Toledo |
Northern Illinois |
12.3 |
9.4 |
10.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Wednesday, November 4 |
|
|
|
|
Bowling Green |
Ohio |
21.2 |
21.7 |
22.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Thursday, November 5 |
|
|
|
|
Kent St. |
Buffalo |
-1.2 |
-5.0 |
-2.6 |
Western Michigan |
Ball St. |
19.8 |
18.1 |
20.0 |
Appalachian St. |
Arkansas St. |
13.0 |
15.4 |
14.4 |
Kansas St. |
Baylor |
-20.0 |
-26.6 |
-21.5 |
Missouri |
Mississippi St. |
-3.8 |
-4.1 |
-5.2 |
Fresno St. |
Nevada |
-5.1 |
-5.1 |
-6.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Friday, November 6 |
|
|
|
|
SMU |
Temple |
-22.2 |
-20.4 |
-23.3 |
UTEP |
Rice |
-4.2 |
-5.0 |
-4.8 |
San Jose St. |
BYU |
-12.8 |
-9.1 |
-13.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
Saturday, November 7 |
|
|
|
|
Massachusetts |
Akron |
4.1 |
0.8 |
3.5 |
Western Kentucky |
Florida Atlantic |
27.6 |
24.6 |
28.4 |
Tulsa |
Central Florida |
13.9 |
15.2 |
14.6 |
Northwestern |
Penn St. |
0.2 |
0.0 |
-0.2 |
Purdue |
Illinois |
-0.4 |
0.8 |
-0.4 |
Florida Int’l. |
Charlotte |
25.0 |
25.6 |
26.0 |
West Virginia |
Texas Tech |
9.4 |
12.2 |
9.2 |
North Carolina |
Duke |
10.9 |
10.8 |
10.3 |
Florida |
Vanderbilt |
24.6 |
25.4 |
25.2 |
Georgia |
Kentucky |
16.6 |
13.4 |
16.7 |
Pittsburgh |
Notre Dame |
-12.9 |
-9.1 |
-12.3 |
Louisville |
Syracuse |
16.0 |
15.7 |
15.9 |
Boston College |
North Carolina St. |
-7.0 |
-5.2 |
-7.2 |
Colorado |
Stanford |
-13.6 |
-17.0 |
-14.9 |
Georgia St. |
Louisiana-Lafayette |
-4.2 |
-7.5 |
-4.2 |
Miami (O) |
Eastern Michigan |
3.4 |
1.3 |
4.3 |
South Alabama |
Idaho |
5.1 |
5.7 |
4.7 |
Wyoming |
Colorado St. |
-9.6 |
-6.0 |
-9.2 |
Miami (Fla) |
Virginia |
4.9 |
7.5 |
6.3 |
Clemson |
Florida St. |
11.5 |
12.0 |
12.9 |
Ole Miss |
Arkansas |
7.7 |
8.2 |
6.8 |
Air Force |
Army |
22.1 |
17.1 |
20.2 |
Washington St. |
Arizona St. |
-7.7 |
-6.4 |
-6.9 |
Indiana |
Iowa |
-11.5 |
-13.7 |
-12.8 |
Maryland |
Wisconsin |
-15.7 |
-17.6 |
-15.7 |
Michigan |
Rutgers |
26.4 |
26.3 |
27.5 |
Oklahoma St. |
TCU |
-11.3 |
-5.2 |
-11.5 |
Louisiana Tech |
North Texas |
32.6 |
27.2 |
33.0 |
Middle Tennessee |
Marshall |
0.7 |
-1.6 |
-0.1 |
Houston |
Cincinnati |
8.2 |
13.9 |
9.6 |
Troy |
Louisiana-Monroe |
6.5 |
9.0 |
8.0 |
New Mexico |
Utah St. |
-9.1 |
-8.8 |
-10.9 |
Texas St. |
New Mexico St. |
13.6 |
15.5 |
12.9 |
Tulane |
Connecticut |
-2.0 |
-2.7 |
-1.6 |
Tennessee |
South Carolina |
17.2 |
16.6 |
18.9 |
Oregon St. |
UCLA |
-24.7 |
-22.0 |
-24.7 |
UNLV |
Hawaii |
3.2 |
3.0 |
4.1 |
Memphis |
Navy |
13.0 |
10.4 |
13.2 |
UTSA |
Old Dominion |
7.0 |
5.1 |
8.8 |
Oklahoma |
Iowa St. |
29.5 |
29.5 |
29.5 |
Nebraska |
Michigan St. |
-5.8 |
-4.4 |
-6.7 |
Washington |
Utah |
-8.4 |
-5.5 |
-7.0 |
Texas A&M |
Auburn |
7.0 |
6.3 |
6.2 |
East Carolina |
South Florida |
3.9 |
1.5 |
3.9 |
Alabama |
LSU |
7.6 |
8.2 |
6.8 |
Texas |
Kansas |
31.1 |
34.2 |
33.0 |
Ohio St. |
Minnesota |
27.3 |
23.6 |
28.8 |
Oregon |
California |
2.8 |
1.4 |
2.7 |
USC |
Arizona |
19.1 |
21.2 |
20.7 |
Playoff and Bowl Projections
Bowl |
Conferences |
Team |
vs. |
Team |
Cure |
AAC |
SBC |
Cincinnati |
vs. |
Arkansas St. |
New Mexico |
MWC |
CUSA |
Colorado St. |
vs. |
Old Dominion |
Las Vegas |
Pac-12 |
MWC/BYU |
Washington St. |
vs. |
BYU |
Camellia |
MAC |
SBC |
Ohio U |
vs. |
Georgia Southern |
New Orleans |
CUSA |
SBC |
Southern Miss. |
vs. |
Louisiana-Lafayette |
Miami Beach |
AAC |
CUSA |
Memphis |
vs. |
Western Kentucky |
Idaho Potato |
MAC |
MWC |
Western Michigan |
vs. |
Utah St. |
Boca Raton |
AAC |
MAC |
Temple |
vs. |
Bowling Green |
Poinsettia |
MWC |
Army |
Boise St. |
vs. |
Washington * |
GoDaddy |
MAC |
SBC |
Toledo |
vs. |
Appalachian St. |
Bahamas |
CUSA |
MAC |
Louisiana Tech |
vs. |
Northern Illinois |
Hawaii |
AAC |
MWC/BYU |
Tulsa |
vs. |
San Diego St. |
St. Petersburg |
AAC |
CUSA |
South Florida |
vs. |
Marshall |
Sun |
ACC |
Pac-12 |
North Carolina |
vs. |
Oregon |
Heart of Dallas |
Big 12 |
CUSA |
Texas St. * |
vs. |
Rice |
Pinstripe |
ACC |
Big Ten |
Pittsburgh |
vs. |
Rutgers ^ |
Independence |
SEC |
ACC |
Akron * |
vs. |
Virginia Tech |
Foster Farms |
Big Ten |
Pac-12 |
Miami (Fla) * |
vs. |
California |
Military |
ACC |
AAC |
North Carolina St. |
vs. |
Navy |
Quick Lane |
ACC |
Big Ten |
Louisville |
vs. |
Buffalo * |
Armed Forces |
Big Ten |
MWC |
Central Michigan * |
vs. |
Air Force |
Russell Athletic |
ACC |
Big 12 |
Notre Dame |
vs. |
Oklahoma |
Arizona |
CUSA |
MWC |
Middle Tennessee |
vs. |
Nevada |
Texas |
Big 12 |
SEC |
Texas Tech |
vs. |
Mississippi St. |
Birmingham |
AAC |
SEC |
East Carolina |
vs. |
Auburn |
Belk |
ACC |
SEC |
Florida St. |
vs. |
Georgia |
Music City |
ACC/Big Ten |
SEC |
Penn St. |
vs. |
Kentucky |
Peach |
N. Y. 6 |
N. Y. 6 |
Iowa |
vs. |
LSU |
Cotton |
Playoff |
Playoff |
Ohio St. |
vs. |
Alabama |
Orange |
Playoff |
Playoff |
Clemson |
vs. |
Oklahoma St. |
Holiday |
Big Ten |
Pac-12 |
Michigan |
vs. |
UCLA |
Ouback |
Big Ten |
SEC |
Northwestern |
vs. |
Tennessee |
Citrus |
Big Ten |
SEC |
Wisconsin |
vs. |
Ole Miss |
Sugar |
Big 12 |
SEC |
TCU |
vs. |
Florida |
Rose |
Big Ten |
Pac-12 |
Michigan St. |
vs. |
Stanford |
Fiesta |
N. Y. 6 |
N. Y. 6 |
Utah |
vs. |
Houston |
TaxSlayer |
ACC/Big Ten |
SEC |
Duke |
vs. |
Texas A&M |
Liberty |
Big 12 |
SEC |
West Virginia |
vs. |
Arkansas |
Alamo |
Big 12 |
Pac-12 |
Baylor |
vs. |
USC |
Cactus |
Big 12 |
Pac-12 |
Kansas St. |
vs. |
Arizona St. |
Nat’l Champ. |
Semifinal |
Winners |
Ohio St. |
vs. |
Clemson |
|
|
|
|
|
|
* = At-large selection due to contracted conference not having an eligible team for this slot |
^ = Rutgers qualifies for a bowl at 5-7 with highest APR score of 5-7 teams |