PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Saturday, March 19, 2022

Saturday’s Games–NCAA, NIT, CBI, and The Basketball Classic

Saturday, March 19, 2022
Team	Team	Spread
Baylor	North Carolina	7.3
Kansas	Creighton	9.0
Tennessee	Michigan	5.4
Providence	Richmond	3.5
UCLA	Saint Mary’s	4.6
Murray St.	Saint Peter’s	9.0
Arkansas	New Mexico St.	7.9
Gonzaga	Memphis	12.0
Texas A&M	Oregon	3.9
Wake Forest	VCU	4.8
BYU	Northern Iowa	6.7
Drake	Purdue Ft. Wayne	9.5
Stephen F. Austin	UNC Asheville	5.7
Middle Tennessee	Cal Baptist	6.8
Ohio	Rice	5.9
UTEP	Western Illinois	6.6
Portland	New Orleans	8.2

Team	O-Eff	D-Eff	SOS	37+ 3pt	OReb%	-45% vs. 2pt	FT Rate 37	R + T New Rate	R+T Old Rate
Baylor	9	14	61.1	34.6	36.3	49.5	28.5	11.4	17.4
N. Carolina	27	64	58.0	36.2	30.4	48.3	29.6	10.0	15.7
Kansas	6	29	61.8	35.5	33.4	47.9	32.8	5.2	12.1
Creighton	124	18	58.6	30.7	28.6	43.5	26.0	-1.8	4.0
Tennessee	36	3	61.8	35.9	32.8	45.8	29.6	8.5	13.9
Michigan	19	91	61.6	34.0	31.2	50.8	28.9	7.8	12.5
Providence	31	79	57.5	34.3	30.5	46.6	38.5	2.1	7.4
Richmond	68	104	54.8	33.7	22.4	50.0	30.9	-3.4	1.5
UCLA	15	12	59.4	35.1	29.8	47.3	36.8	5.7	17.3
Saint Mary’s	63	9	57.3	35.0	27.8	46.0	23.9	7.3	13.2
Murray St.	35	40	48.4	35.3	36.0	48.3	31.3	15.2	24.0
Saint Peter’s	259	34	48.3	35.3	32.0	43.5	37.1	5.0	9.0
Arkansas	40	16	58.4	30.7	30.8	46.4	37.9	7.1	12.8
N. Mexico St.	87	73	50.7	32.6	33.7	45.6	34.8	8.1	14.5
Gonzaga	1	7	56.9	37.9	29.0	41.6	29.8	7.2	21.8
Memphis	50	31	57.3	35.9	37.5	45.3	38.4	6.7	11.7

Bracketnomics Predictions

Baylor vs. North Carolina

Baylor is just a tad stronger across the board and has a lot more NCAA Tournament experience on the bench and on the court.  Baylor should win but not by a large margin.

Kansas vs. Creighton

This has all the looks of a large margin victory for the Jayhawks   Creighton’s offense looks to be in trouble against Kansas’s defense, and spurtability heavily favors KU.

Tennessee vs. Michigan

This should be a close game with several lead changes.  Michigan’s interior defense may be a tad vulnerable to Tennessee’s inside muscle, but, the Wolverines’ offense is considerably better overall than Tennessee’s offense.  Schedule strength and R+T Ratings are basically a wash.  Solely on the interior defense, Tennessee gets the nod.

Providence vs. Richmond

Can Richmond make the Sweet 16 with an R+T Rating that shows the Spiders receive little or no Spurtability?  Providence is not a pushover, but the Friars are most likely not going to advance past the Sweet 16.  Providence has the advantage in every one of these stats.  Richmond beat Iowa by playing a much better half court game than the Big Ten Tournament champs.  Providence’s win over South Dakota St. was a little more hustle points over half court game, and it gets really difficult for a team to keep winning the half court game over and over, especially when the other team has the decided Spurtability advantage.  Look for the Friars to advance.

UCLA vs. Saint Mary’s

This game could stay close for quite a long time.  UCLA has the clear-cut edge in the essential stats, but the edge is not large enough to call the Bruins a prohibitive favorite.  The key here is the FT rate, where UCLA might be a little quicker and force SMC to commit more than their usual number of fouls.  UCLA needs to keep its starters on the floor more than the average tournament team, and the Gaels do not figure to force key players to go to the bench with foul trouble.  Give the edge to the Bruins but don’t expect a big blowout.

Murray St. vs. Saint Peter’s

In all but one respect, these teams are rather evenly matched.  Murray State has a huge R+T Rating advantage, 15 points to be exact in the old counting stat version and three times more in the rate stat version.  What this means is that the Racers are likely to enjoy one major spurt or multiple smaller spurts and pull away from the Peacocks at some point in the game.  Saint Peter’s won’t have the ability to play catch-up after a large spurt.  The Racers will be an interesting Sweet 16 team.

Arkansas vs. New Mexico St.

This game has special meaning with yours truly, ye old PiRate Captain.  Five years ago, when he was the head coach at Nevada, I called Eric Musselman the best Mid-Major head coach and a sure thing success wherever he ended up in a power conference.  When he was hired by Arkansas, I predicted he would return the Razorbacks to the prominence they enjoyed under Eddie Sutton and Nolan Richardson and have Arkansas competing for a shot at the Final Four within five years.  He is only in year three, and he almost made the Final Four last year.  

New Mexico State head coach Chris Jans is my current top Mid-Major coach in college basketball.  It is my belief that when he gets a power five coaching job, he too will produce the results Muss is producing in Fayetteville.

Now, about this game: Arkansas has a bit too much defensive abilities for the Aggies to consistently score in this game.  The difference in schedule strength and the slight evidence that the Razorbacks have a little more quickness is enough to call this one in Arkansas’s favor.  Don’t discount NMSU; Jans can coach undermanned talent and keep games close.  The Aggies can keep this game close and even have a chance to pull the upset, but the Razorbacks have about a 65% chance of winning this game.  Arky goes to the Sweet 16 again.

Gonzaga vs. Memphis

Don’t automatically dismiss Memphis in this game.  While Gonzaga has a decisive Bracketnomics advantage, Memphis has two superior aspects that can be used to exploit the 1-seed, and both work together to strengthen the advantages.  

Memphis has an exceptional offensive rebounding advantage in this game.  The Tigers are one of a small handful that have an O Reb% in excess of the magical 37%.  Memphis also exceeds the 37% margin in FT rate, which shows the Tigers have explosive quickness to the rim.  If Gonzaga gets into foul trouble in this game, all their other advantages will be neutralized.

Gonzaga is still the pick here, but this game should be a lot closer than expected, and Memphis will have a chance to pull off the big upset if Gonzaga fouls too much.

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Friday, March 4, 2022

Friday’s Conference Tournaments

Big South Conference–Quarterfinals
Charlotte
Higher Seed	Lower Seed	Spread
Longwood	North Carolina A&T	10.3
USC Upstate	Charleston Southern	9.2
Winthrop	High Point	6.0
Gardner-Webb	Campbell	3.4
MIssouri Valley Conference–Quarterfinals
St. Louis (Arch Madness)
Higher Seed	Lower Seed	Spread
Northern Iowa	Illinois St.	8.7
Loyola (Chi.)	Bradley	6.8
Missouri St.	Valparaiso	12.5
Drake	Southern Illinois	4.1
Ohio Valley Conference–Semifinals
Evansville, IN
Higher Seed	Lower Seed	Spread
Murray St.	Southeast Missouri	19.6
Belmont	Morehead St.	6.1
Southern Conference–1st Round
Asheville, NC
Higher Seed	Lower Seed	Spread
East Tennessee St.	The Citadel	6.0
Mercer	Western Carolina	7.4
West Coast Conference–2nd Round
Las Vegas
Higher Seed	Lower Seed	Spread
BYU	Loyola Marymount	12.2
Portland	San Diego	1.4

Friday’s Regular Season Games

Home	Visitor	Spread
St. Bonaventure	Richmond	3.7
Western Michigan	Ball St.	-4.6
Kent St.	Buffalo	0.4
Toledo	Bowling Green	19.2
Miami (O)	Eastern Michigan	7.9
Akron	Central Michigan	18.4
Northern Illinois	Ohio	-12.6
San Jose St.	Utah St.	-17.8

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Friday, February 25, 2022

Friday’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitors	Spread
Ohio	Akron	7.0
Princeton	Harvard	10.1
Georgia Southern	UL Monroe	3.5
Georgia St.	Louisiana	4.8
Richmond	Saint Louis	0.2
Rider	Niagara	-1.3
Marist	Manhattan	7.8
Monmouth	Saint Peter’s	5.2
Iona	Canisius	18.7
Penn St.	Northwestern	2.2
Little Rock	Coastal Carolina	-12.6
South Alabama	UT Arlington	8.8
Arkansas St.	Appalachian St.	0.6
Nebraska	Iowa	-15.8
Troy	Texas State	-0.6
San Diego St.	San Jose St.	26.4

Friday’s PiRate Ratings

#	Team	PiRate	Conference
1	Gonzaga	128.2	West Coast
2	Arizona	123.8	Pac-12
3	Kentucky	123.3	Southeastern
4	Kansas	122.4	Big 12
5	Baylor	122.1	Big 12
6	Purdue	122.0	Big Ten
7	Houston	121.6	American Athletic
8	Duke	121.0	Atlantic Coast
9	Villanova	121.0	Big East
10	Auburn	120.9	Southeastern
11	UCLA	120.3	Pac-12
12	Texas Tech	120.1	Big 12
13	Tennessee	120.0	Southeastern
14	Iowa	119.0	Big Ten
15	Illinois	118.2	Big Ten
16	Texas	117.9	Big 12
17	Ohio St.	117.6	Big Ten
18	Connecticut	117.4	Big East
19	Alabama	116.7	Southeastern
20	LSU	116.7	Southeastern
21	Arkansas	116.3	Southeastern
22	Saint Mary’s	115.3	West Coast
23	Michigan	115.1	Big Ten
24	San Francisco	114.5	West Coast
25	Wisconsin	114.3	Big Ten
26	Michigan St.	114.2	Big Ten
27	USC	114.1	Pac-12
28	Virginia Tech	114.0	Atlantic Coast
29	Xavier	113.9	Big East
30	Loyola Chicago	113.8	Missouri Valley
31	Murray St.	113.8	Ohio Valley
32	Seton Hall	113.8	Big East
33	San Diego St.	113.6	Mountain West
34	Memphis	113.6	American Athletic
35	North Carolina	113.4	Atlantic Coast
36	Marquette	113.3	Big East
37	Indiana	113.1	Big Ten
38	Wake Forest	112.9	Atlantic Coast
39	Boise St.	112.8	Mountain West
40	Oklahoma	112.7	Big 12
41	Providence	112.7	Big East
42	Mississippi St.	112.6	Southeastern
43	Colorado St.	112.4	Mountain West
44	Florida	112.4	Southeastern
45	UAB	112.3	Conference USA
46	Iowa St.	112.3	Big 12
47	Oklahoma St.	112.2	Big 12
48	Washington St.	112.2	Pac-12
49	Dayton	111.9	Atlantic 10
50	SMU	111.8	American Athletic
51	Davidson	111.7	Atlantic 10
52	Oregon	111.6	Pac-12
53	Utah St.	111.5	Mountain West
54	BYU	111.4	West Coast
55	Notre Dame	111.4	Atlantic Coast
56	North Texas	111.2	Conference USA
57	TCU	111.2	Big 12
58	Miami FL	110.9	Atlantic Coast
59	St. John’s	110.9	Big East
60	Saint Louis	110.9	Atlantic 10
61	Kansas St.	110.8	Big 12
62	Wyoming	110.7	Mountain West
63	Northwestern	110.6	Big Ten
64	Missouri St.	110.6	Missouri Valley
65	West Virginia	110.5	Big 12
66	Creighton	110.4	Big East
67	Vermont	110.3	America East
68	South Dakota St.	110.1	Summit
69	Virginia	110.1	Atlantic Coast
70	Syracuse	110.0	Atlantic Coast
71	Rutgers	109.9	Big Ten
72	Penn St.	109.8	Big Ten
73	St. Bonaventure	109.7	Atlantic 10
74	Fresno St.	109.4	Mountain West
75	VCU	109.4	Atlantic 10
76	Clemson	109.4	Atlantic Coast
77	Texas A&M	109.4	Southeastern
78	Maryland	109.3	Big Ten
79	Belmont	109.1	Ohio Valley
80	Vanderbilt	109.1	Southeastern
81	Santa Clara	109.1	West Coast
82	Toledo	109.0	Mid-American
83	Towson	108.7	Colonial Athletic
84	Wichita St.	108.5	American Athletic
85	Furman	108.4	Southern
86	UNLV	108.4	Mountain West
87	Chattanooga	108.3	Southern
88	Colorado	108.3	Pac-12
89	Iona	108.2	Metro Atlantic
90	Richmond	108.1	Atlantic 10
91	New Mexico St.	108.0	Western Athletic
92	Drake	107.8	Missouri Valley
93	South Carolina	107.6	Southeastern
94	UCF	107.5	American Athletic
95	Cincinnati	107.4	American Athletic
96	Northern Iowa	107.2	Missouri Valley
97	Mississippi	107.1	Southeastern
98	Florida St.	106.9	Atlantic Coast
99	Minnesota	106.8	Big Ten
100	Arizona St.	106.5	Pac-12
101	DePaul	106.3	Big East
102	Louisiana Tech	106.3	Conference USA
103	Bradley	106.2	Missouri Valley
104	Stanford	106.1	Pac-12
105	Tulane	106.0	American Athletic
106	Ohio	105.8	Mid-American
107	Buffalo	105.7	Mid-American
108	Utah	105.6	Pac-12
109	Grand Canyon	105.4	Western Athletic
110	UC Irvine	105.3	Big West
111	Western Kentucky	105.2	Conference USA
112	Louisville	105.2	Atlantic Coast
113	Wofford	105.1	Southern
114	George Mason	105.1	Atlantic 10
115	Princeton	105.0	Ivy League
116	Middle Tennessee	104.9	Conference USA
117	Liberty	104.4	Atlantic Sun
118	Hofstra	104.3	Colonial Athletic
119	Utah Valley	104.3	Western Athletic
120	N.C. State	104.3	Atlantic Coast
121	Nevada	104.1	Mountain West
122	Colgate	104.0	Patriot League
123	Temple	104.0	American Athletic
124	Rhode Island	103.7	Atlantic 10
125	Butler	103.7	Big East
126	Morehead St.	103.4	Ohio Valley
127	Southern Illinois	103.3	Missouri Valley
128	Washington	103.3	Pac-12
129	California	103.3	Pac-12
130	Kent St.	103.1	Mid-American
131	Stephen F. Austin	102.9	Western Athletic
132	South Alabama	102.9	Sun Belt
133	UC Santa Barbara	102.8	Big West
134	Boston College	102.8	Atlantic Coast
135	Seattle	102.7	Western Athletic
136	Monmouth	102.5	Metro Atlantic
137	Florida Atlantic	102.3	Conference USA
138	Oral Roberts	102.3	Summit
139	Wagner	102.3	Northeast
140	Texas St.	102.3	Sun Belt
141	Georgia Tech	102.2	Atlantic Coast
142	Abilene Christian	102.2	Western Athletic
143	Jacksonville St.	102.1	Atlantic Sun
144	Yale	102.1	Ivy League
145	Montana St.	101.9	Big Sky
146	Missouri	101.8	Southeastern
147	Drexel	101.5	Colonial Athletic
148	Tulsa	101.3	American Athletic
149	Akron	101.3	Mid-American
150	Delaware	101.2	Colonial Athletic
151	Coastal Carolina	101.2	Sun Belt
152	Southern Utah	101.2	Big Sky
153	Georgia St.	101.0	Sun Belt
154	Sam Houston St.	100.8	Western Athletic
155	Appalachian St.	100.8	Sun Belt
156	Cal St. Fullerton	100.8	Big West
157	VMI	100.8	Southern
158	Winthrop	100.7	Big South
159	Pittsburgh	100.4	Atlantic Coast
160	Oakland	100.3	Horizon
161	Saint Joseph’s	100.3	Atlantic 10
162	Charleston	100.3	Colonial Athletic
163	Long Beach St.	100.2	Big West
164	Nebraska	100.2	Big Ten
165	Weber St.	100.1	Big Sky
166	Gardner Webb	100.1	Big South
167	UNC Greensboro	100.0	Southern
168	Hawaii	100.0	Big West
169	Jacksonville	100.0	Atlantic Sun
170	UC Riverside	99.9	Big West
171	Navy	99.9	Patriot League
172	Longwood	99.9	Big South
173	Saint Peter’s	99.8	Metro Atlantic
174	North Dakota St.	99.8	Summit
175	Georgetown	99.7	Big East
176	New Mexico	99.6	Mountain West
177	UTEP	99.5	Conference USA
178	Cleveland St.	99.4	Horizon
179	Troy	99.2	Sun Belt
180	Wright St.	99.1	Horizon
181	Marist	99.1	Metro Atlantic
182	Charlotte	99.1	Conference USA
183	Old Dominion	99.1	Conference USA
184	East Carolina	99.1	American Athletic
185	East Tennessee St.	99.1	Southern
186	Fordham	99.0	Atlantic 10
187	Arkansas St.	98.9	Sun Belt
188	Portland	98.8	West Coast
189	Penn	98.8	Ivy League
190	Louisiana	98.7	Sun Belt
191	Massachusetts	98.7	Atlantic 10
192	Norfolk St.	98.3	Mideastern Athletic
193	Southern	98.3	Southwestern Athletic
194	UMKC	98.3	Summit
195	Texas Southern	98.3	Southwestern Athletic
196	Loyola Marymount	98.2	West Coast
197	Boston University	98.1	Patriot League
198	Illinois St.	98.1	Missouri Valley
199	Florida Gulf Coast	98.0	Atlantic Sun
200	Georgia	98.0	Southeastern
201	Bryant	97.9	Northeast
202	Valparaiso	97.9	Missouri Valley
203	Cornell	97.8	Ivy League
204	UNC Wilmington	97.8	Colonial Athletic
205	San Diego	97.7	West Coast
206	Samford	97.7	Southern
207	Brown	97.6	Ivy League
208	Eastern Washington	97.6	Big Sky
209	Rice	97.6	Conference USA
210	Cal Baptist	97.6	Western Athletic
211	Tarleton St.	97.5	Western Athletic
212	Mercer	97.5	Southern
213	Bellarmine	97.5	Atlantic Sun
214	James Madison	97.4	Colonial Athletic
215	Harvard	97.4	Ivy League
216	Nicholls St.	97.4	Southland
217	South Dakota	97.4	Summit
218	Niagara	97.4	Metro Atlantic
219	Northern Colorado	97.2	Big Sky
220	Northern Kentucky	97.1	Horizon
221	UNC Asheville	97.1	Big South
222	Oregon St.	97.0	Pac-12
223	Detroit Mercy	96.9	Horizon
224	Indiana St.	96.7	Missouri Valley
225	UT Arlington	96.6	Sun Belt
226	Montana	96.6	Big Sky
227	Campbell	96.5	Big South
228	Fairfield	96.5	Metro Atlantic
229	Purdue Fort Wayne	96.4	Horizon
230	George Washington	96.1	Atlantic 10
231	UC Davis	96.0	Big West
232	LIU	95.9	Northeast
233	Western Illinois	95.8	Summit
234	Dartmouth	95.7	Ivy League
235	Kennesaw St.	95.6	Atlantic Sun
236	Marshall	95.6	Conference USA
237	Howard	95.4	Mideastern Athletic
238	UMass Lowell	94.7	America East
239	Northeastern	94.7	Colonial Athletic
240	La Salle	94.6	Atlantic 10
241	FIU	94.6	Conference USA
242	UMBC	94.5	America East
243	The Citadel	94.5	Southern
244	Siena	94.5	Metro Atlantic
245	South Florida	94.3	American Athletic
246	New Hampshire	94.3	America East
247	New Orleans	94.2	Southland
248	Youngstown St.	94.1	Horizon
249	Ball St.	94.0	Mid-American
250	High Point	93.9	Big South
251	Manhattan	93.8	Metro Atlantic
252	Georgia Southern	93.6	Sun Belt
253	Rider	93.6	Metro Atlantic
254	Quinnipiac	93.4	Metro Atlantic
255	Bowling Green	93.4	Mid-American
256	Stony Brook	93.3	America East
257	Eastern Kentucky	93.3	Atlantic Sun
258	Loyola MD	93.3	Patriot League
259	Miami OH	93.3	Mid-American
260	Portland St.	93.3	Big Sky
261	Elon	93.2	Colonial Athletic
262	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	93.1	Southland
263	Air Force	93.0	Mountain West
264	Albany	92.8	America East
265	North Florida	92.7	Atlantic Sun
266	Cal St. Bakersfield	92.6	Big West
267	Mount St. Mary’s	92.6	Northeast
268	Louisiana Monroe	92.6	Sun Belt
269	Tennessee St.	92.5	Ohio Valley
270	UC San Diego	92.4	Big West
271	Pacific	92.2	West Coast
272	Tennessee Tech	92.2	Ohio Valley
273	Duquesne	92.1	Atlantic 10
274	Southeast Missouri St.	92.1	Ohio Valley
275	Pepperdine	92.0	West Coast
276	Canisius	92.0	Metro Atlantic
277	Presbyterian	91.9	Big South
278	Dixie St.	91.8	Western Athletic
279	Alcorn St.	91.8	Southwestern Athletic
280	Jackson St.	91.8	Southwestern Athletic
281	North Carolina Central	91.5	Mideastern Athletic
282	Austin Peay	91.3	Ohio Valley
283	Lipscomb	91.1	Atlantic Sun
284	Binghamton	91.0	America East
285	Hartford	91.0	America East
286	Prairie View A&M	91.0	Southwestern Athletic
287	Army	90.9	Patriot League
288	Illinois Chicago	90.8	Horizon
289	Southeastern Louisiana	90.5	Southland
290	North Carolina A&T	90.4	Big South
291	Radford	90.4	Big South
292	USC Upstate	90.3	Big South
293	Grambling St.	90.2	Southwestern Athletic
294	San Jose St.	90.2	Mountain West
295	Coppin St.	89.7	Mideastern Athletic
296	SIU Edwardsville	89.7	Ohio Valley
297	UT Rio Grande Valley	89.7	Western Athletic
298	Eastern Michigan	89.7	Mid-American
299	Stetson	89.6	Atlantic Sun
300	Western Carolina	89.5	Southern
301	Northern Illinois	89.5	Mid-American
302	Merrimack	89.4	Northeast
303	St. Francis NY	89.4	Northeast
304	Denver	89.3	Summit
305	North Alabama	89.1	Atlantic Sun
306	Maryland Eastern Shore	88.9	Mideastern Athletic
307	Lafayette	88.7	Patriot League
308	Tennessee Martin	88.7	Ohio Valley
309	McNeese St.	88.6	Southland
310	Morgan St.	88.2	Mideastern Athletic
311	Evansville	88.2	Missouri Valley
312	St. Francis PA	88.2	Northeast
313	Lehigh	88.1	Patriot League
314	Cal Poly	88.0	Big West
315	UTSA	88.0	Conference USA
316	Florida A&M	87.5	Southwestern Athletic
317	St. Thomas	87.4	Summit
318	Cal St. Northridge	87.1	Big West
319	Central Michigan	87.0	Mid-American
320	Sacramento St.	86.9	Big Sky
321	Central Arkansas	86.9	Atlantic Sun
322	Sacred Heart	86.8	Northeast
323	South Carolina St.	86.8	Mideastern Athletic
324	Robert Morris	86.7	Horizon
325	Milwaukee	86.6	Horizon
326	Alabama St.	86.3	Southwestern Athletic
327	NJIT	86.3	America East
328	Hampton	86.2	Big South
329	Idaho	86.2	Big Sky
330	Little Rock	86.1	Sun Belt
331	Northern Arizona	85.9	Big Sky
332	Alabama A&M	85.5	Southwestern Athletic
333	Idaho St.	84.9	Big Sky
334	Northwestern St.	84.9	Southland
335	American	84.4	Patriot League
336	William & Mary	84.1	Colonial Athletic
337	Western Michigan	84.0	Mid-American
338	Bucknell	83.7	Patriot League
339	Southern Miss	83.7	Conference USA
340	Bethune Cookman	83.6	Southwestern Athletic
341	Green Bay	83.4	Horizon
342	Holy Cross	83.1	Patriot League
343	Houston Baptist	83.0	Southland
344	North Dakota	82.7	Summit
345	Central Connecticut	82.6	Northeast
346	Nebraska Omaha	82.3	Summit
347	Fairleigh Dickinson	82.0	Northeast
348	Lamar	81.9	Western Athletic
349	Chicago St.	81.1	Western Athletic
350	Columbia	80.6	Ivy League
351	Maine	80.2	America East
352	Charleston Southern	80.2	Big South
353	Incarnate Word	79.3	Southland
354	Arkansas Pine Bluff	78.2	Southwestern Athletic
355	Eastern Illinois	77.5	Ohio Valley
356	Delaware St.	75.4	Mideastern Athletic
357	Mississippi Valley St.	75.3	Southwestern Athletic
358	IUPUI	73.2	Horizon

Alphabetical

#	Team	PiRate	Conference
142	Abilene Christian	102.2	Western Athletic
263	Air Force	93.0	Mountain West
149	Akron	101.3	Mid-American
19	Alabama	116.7	Southeastern
332	Alabama A&M	85.5	Southwestern Athletic
326	Alabama St.	86.3	Southwestern Athletic
264	Albany	92.8	America East
279	Alcorn St.	91.8	Southwestern Athletic
335	American	84.4	Patriot League
155	Appalachian St.	100.8	Sun Belt
2	Arizona	123.8	Pac-12
100	Arizona St.	106.5	Pac-12
21	Arkansas	116.3	Southeastern
354	Arkansas Pine Bluff	78.2	Southwestern Athletic
187	Arkansas St.	98.9	Sun Belt
287	Army	90.9	Patriot League
10	Auburn	120.9	Southeastern
282	Austin Peay	91.3	Ohio Valley
249	Ball St.	94.0	Mid-American
5	Baylor	122.1	Big 12
213	Bellarmine	97.5	Atlantic Sun
79	Belmont	109.1	Ohio Valley
340	Bethune Cookman	83.6	Southwestern Athletic
284	Binghamton	91.0	America East
39	Boise St.	112.8	Mountain West
134	Boston College	102.8	Atlantic Coast
197	Boston University	98.1	Patriot League
255	Bowling Green	93.4	Mid-American
103	Bradley	106.2	Missouri Valley
207	Brown	97.6	Ivy League
201	Bryant	97.9	Northeast
338	Bucknell	83.7	Patriot League
107	Buffalo	105.7	Mid-American
125	Butler	103.7	Big East
54	BYU	111.4	West Coast
210	Cal Baptist	97.6	Western Athletic
314	Cal Poly	88.0	Big West
266	Cal St. Bakersfield	92.6	Big West
156	Cal St. Fullerton	100.8	Big West
318	Cal St. Northridge	87.1	Big West
129	California	103.3	Pac-12
227	Campbell	96.5	Big South
276	Canisius	92.0	Metro Atlantic
321	Central Arkansas	86.9	Atlantic Sun
345	Central Connecticut	82.6	Northeast
319	Central Michigan	87.0	Mid-American
162	Charleston	100.3	Colonial Athletic
352	Charleston Southern	80.2	Big South
182	Charlotte	99.1	Conference USA
87	Chattanooga	108.3	Southern
349	Chicago St.	81.1	Western Athletic
95	Cincinnati	107.4	American Athletic
76	Clemson	109.4	Atlantic Coast
178	Cleveland St.	99.4	Horizon
151	Coastal Carolina	101.2	Sun Belt
122	Colgate	104.0	Patriot League
88	Colorado	108.3	Pac-12
43	Colorado St.	112.4	Mountain West
350	Columbia	80.6	Ivy League
18	Connecticut	117.4	Big East
295	Coppin St.	89.7	Mideastern Athletic
203	Cornell	97.8	Ivy League
66	Creighton	110.4	Big East
234	Dartmouth	95.7	Ivy League
51	Davidson	111.7	Atlantic 10
49	Dayton	111.9	Atlantic 10
150	Delaware	101.2	Colonial Athletic
356	Delaware St.	75.4	Mideastern Athletic
304	Denver	89.3	Summit
101	DePaul	106.3	Big East
223	Detroit Mercy	96.9	Horizon
278	Dixie St.	91.8	Western Athletic
92	Drake	107.8	Missouri Valley
147	Drexel	101.5	Colonial Athletic
8	Duke	121.0	Atlantic Coast
273	Duquesne	92.1	Atlantic 10
184	East Carolina	99.1	American Athletic
185	East Tennessee St.	99.1	Southern
355	Eastern Illinois	77.5	Ohio Valley
257	Eastern Kentucky	93.3	Atlantic Sun
298	Eastern Michigan	89.7	Mid-American
208	Eastern Washington	97.6	Big Sky
261	Elon	93.2	Colonial Athletic
311	Evansville	88.2	Missouri Valley
228	Fairfield	96.5	Metro Atlantic
347	Fairleigh Dickinson	82.0	Northeast
241	FIU	94.6	Conference USA
44	Florida	112.4	Southeastern
316	Florida A&M	87.5	Southwestern Athletic
137	Florida Atlantic	102.3	Conference USA
199	Florida Gulf Coast	98.0	Atlantic Sun
98	Florida St.	106.9	Atlantic Coast
186	Fordham	99.0	Atlantic 10
74	Fresno St.	109.4	Mountain West
85	Furman	108.4	Southern
166	Gardner Webb	100.1	Big South
114	George Mason	105.1	Atlantic 10
230	George Washington	96.1	Atlantic 10
175	Georgetown	99.7	Big East
200	Georgia	98.0	Southeastern
252	Georgia Southern	93.6	Sun Belt
153	Georgia St.	101.0	Sun Belt
141	Georgia Tech	102.2	Atlantic Coast
1	Gonzaga	128.2	West Coast
293	Grambling St.	90.2	Southwestern Athletic
109	Grand Canyon	105.4	Western Athletic
341	Green Bay	83.4	Horizon
328	Hampton	86.2	Big South
285	Hartford	91.0	America East
215	Harvard	97.4	Ivy League
168	Hawaii	100.0	Big West
250	High Point	93.9	Big South
118	Hofstra	104.3	Colonial Athletic
342	Holy Cross	83.1	Patriot League
7	Houston	121.6	American Athletic
343	Houston Baptist	83.0	Southland
237	Howard	95.4	Mideastern Athletic
329	Idaho	86.2	Big Sky
333	Idaho St.	84.9	Big Sky
15	Illinois	118.2	Big Ten
288	Illinois Chicago	90.8	Horizon
198	Illinois St.	98.1	Missouri Valley
353	Incarnate Word	79.3	Southland
37	Indiana	113.1	Big Ten
224	Indiana St.	96.7	Missouri Valley
89	Iona	108.2	Metro Atlantic
14	Iowa	119.0	Big Ten
46	Iowa St.	112.3	Big 12
358	IUPUI	73.2	Horizon
280	Jackson St.	91.8	Southwestern Athletic
169	Jacksonville	100.0	Atlantic Sun
143	Jacksonville St.	102.1	Atlantic Sun
214	James Madison	97.4	Colonial Athletic
4	Kansas	122.4	Big 12
61	Kansas St.	110.8	Big 12
235	Kennesaw St.	95.6	Atlantic Sun
130	Kent St.	103.1	Mid-American
3	Kentucky	123.3	Southeastern
240	La Salle	94.6	Atlantic 10
307	Lafayette	88.7	Patriot League
348	Lamar	81.9	Western Athletic
313	Lehigh	88.1	Patriot League
117	Liberty	104.4	Atlantic Sun
283	Lipscomb	91.1	Atlantic Sun
330	Little Rock	86.1	Sun Belt
232	LIU	95.9	Northeast
163	Long Beach St.	100.2	Big West
172	Longwood	99.9	Big South
190	Louisiana	98.7	Sun Belt
268	Louisiana Monroe	92.6	Sun Belt
102	Louisiana Tech	106.3	Conference USA
112	Louisville	105.2	Atlantic Coast
30	Loyola Chicago	113.8	Missouri Valley
196	Loyola Marymount	98.2	West Coast
258	Loyola MD	93.3	Patriot League
20	LSU	116.7	Southeastern
351	Maine	80.2	America East
251	Manhattan	93.8	Metro Atlantic
181	Marist	99.1	Metro Atlantic
36	Marquette	113.3	Big East
236	Marshall	95.6	Conference USA
78	Maryland	109.3	Big Ten
306	Maryland Eastern Shore	88.9	Mideastern Athletic
191	Massachusetts	98.7	Atlantic 10
309	McNeese St.	88.6	Southland
34	Memphis	113.6	American Athletic
212	Mercer	97.5	Southern
302	Merrimack	89.4	Northeast
58	Miami FL	110.9	Atlantic Coast
259	Miami OH	93.3	Mid-American
23	Michigan	115.1	Big Ten
26	Michigan St.	114.2	Big Ten
116	Middle Tennessee	104.9	Conference USA
325	Milwaukee	86.6	Horizon
99	Minnesota	106.8	Big Ten
97	Mississippi	107.1	Southeastern
42	Mississippi St.	112.6	Southeastern
357	Mississippi Valley St.	75.3	Southwestern Athletic
146	Missouri	101.8	Southeastern
64	Missouri St.	110.6	Missouri Valley
136	Monmouth	102.5	Metro Atlantic
226	Montana	96.6	Big Sky
145	Montana St.	101.9	Big Sky
126	Morehead St.	103.4	Ohio Valley
310	Morgan St.	88.2	Mideastern Athletic
267	Mount St. Mary’s	92.6	Northeast
31	Murray St.	113.8	Ohio Valley
120	N.C. State	104.3	Atlantic Coast
171	Navy	99.9	Patriot League
164	Nebraska	100.2	Big Ten
346	Nebraska Omaha	82.3	Summit
121	Nevada	104.1	Mountain West
246	New Hampshire	94.3	America East
176	New Mexico	99.6	Mountain West
91	New Mexico St.	108.0	Western Athletic
247	New Orleans	94.2	Southland
218	Niagara	97.4	Metro Atlantic
216	Nicholls St.	97.4	Southland
327	NJIT	86.3	America East
192	Norfolk St.	98.3	Mideastern Athletic
305	North Alabama	89.1	Atlantic Sun
35	North Carolina	113.4	Atlantic Coast
290	North Carolina A&T	90.4	Big South
281	North Carolina Central	91.5	Mideastern Athletic
344	North Dakota	82.7	Summit
174	North Dakota St.	99.8	Summit
265	North Florida	92.7	Atlantic Sun
56	North Texas	111.2	Conference USA
239	Northeastern	94.7	Colonial Athletic
331	Northern Arizona	85.9	Big Sky
219	Northern Colorado	97.2	Big Sky
301	Northern Illinois	89.5	Mid-American
96	Northern Iowa	107.2	Missouri Valley
220	Northern Kentucky	97.1	Horizon
63	Northwestern	110.6	Big Ten
334	Northwestern St.	84.9	Southland
55	Notre Dame	111.4	Atlantic Coast
160	Oakland	100.3	Horizon
106	Ohio	105.8	Mid-American
17	Ohio St.	117.6	Big Ten
40	Oklahoma	112.7	Big 12
47	Oklahoma St.	112.2	Big 12
183	Old Dominion	99.1	Conference USA
138	Oral Roberts	102.3	Summit
52	Oregon	111.6	Pac-12
222	Oregon St.	97.0	Pac-12
271	Pacific	92.2	West Coast
189	Penn	98.8	Ivy League
72	Penn St.	109.8	Big Ten
275	Pepperdine	92.0	West Coast
159	Pittsburgh	100.4	Atlantic Coast
188	Portland	98.8	West Coast
260	Portland St.	93.3	Big Sky
286	Prairie View A&M	91.0	Southwestern Athletic
277	Presbyterian	91.9	Big South
115	Princeton	105.0	Ivy League
41	Providence	112.7	Big East
6	Purdue	122.0	Big Ten
229	Purdue Fort Wayne	96.4	Horizon
254	Quinnipiac	93.4	Metro Atlantic
291	Radford	90.4	Big South
124	Rhode Island	103.7	Atlantic 10
209	Rice	97.6	Conference USA
90	Richmond	108.1	Atlantic 10
253	Rider	93.6	Metro Atlantic
324	Robert Morris	86.7	Horizon
71	Rutgers	109.9	Big Ten
320	Sacramento St.	86.9	Big Sky
322	Sacred Heart	86.8	Northeast
161	Saint Joseph’s	100.3	Atlantic 10
60	Saint Louis	110.9	Atlantic 10
22	Saint Mary’s	115.3	West Coast
173	Saint Peter’s	99.8	Metro Atlantic
154	Sam Houston St.	100.8	Western Athletic
206	Samford	97.7	Southern
205	San Diego	97.7	West Coast
33	San Diego St.	113.6	Mountain West
24	San Francisco	114.5	West Coast
294	San Jose St.	90.2	Mountain West
81	Santa Clara	109.1	West Coast
135	Seattle	102.7	Western Athletic
32	Seton Hall	113.8	Big East
244	Siena	94.5	Metro Atlantic
296	SIU Edwardsville	89.7	Ohio Valley
50	SMU	111.8	American Athletic
132	South Alabama	102.9	Sun Belt
93	South Carolina	107.6	Southeastern
323	South Carolina St.	86.8	Mideastern Athletic
217	South Dakota	97.4	Summit
68	South Dakota St.	110.1	Summit
245	South Florida	94.3	American Athletic
274	Southeast Missouri St.	92.1	Ohio Valley
289	Southeastern Louisiana	90.5	Southland
193	Southern	98.3	Southwestern Athletic
127	Southern Illinois	103.3	Missouri Valley
339	Southern Miss	83.7	Conference USA
152	Southern Utah	101.2	Big Sky
73	St. Bonaventure	109.7	Atlantic 10
303	St. Francis NY	89.4	Northeast
312	St. Francis PA	88.2	Northeast
59	St. John’s	110.9	Big East
317	St. Thomas	87.4	Summit
104	Stanford	106.1	Pac-12
131	Stephen F. Austin	102.9	Western Athletic
299	Stetson	89.6	Atlantic Sun
256	Stony Brook	93.3	America East
70	Syracuse	110.0	Atlantic Coast
211	Tarleton St.	97.5	Western Athletic
57	TCU	111.2	Big 12
123	Temple	104.0	American Athletic
13	Tennessee	120.0	Southeastern
308	Tennessee Martin	88.7	Ohio Valley
269	Tennessee St.	92.5	Ohio Valley
272	Tennessee Tech	92.2	Ohio Valley
16	Texas	117.9	Big 12
77	Texas A&M	109.4	Southeastern
262	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	93.1	Southland
195	Texas Southern	98.3	Southwestern Athletic
140	Texas St.	102.3	Sun Belt
12	Texas Tech	120.1	Big 12
243	The Citadel	94.5	Southern
82	Toledo	109.0	Mid-American
83	Towson	108.7	Colonial Athletic
179	Troy	99.2	Sun Belt
105	Tulane	106.0	American Athletic
148	Tulsa	101.3	American Athletic
45	UAB	112.3	Conference USA
231	UC Davis	96.0	Big West
110	UC Irvine	105.3	Big West
170	UC Riverside	99.9	Big West
270	UC San Diego	92.4	Big West
133	UC Santa Barbara	102.8	Big West
94	UCF	107.5	American Athletic
11	UCLA	120.3	Pac-12
238	UMass Lowell	94.7	America East
242	UMBC	94.5	America East
194	UMKC	98.3	Summit
221	UNC Asheville	97.1	Big South
167	UNC Greensboro	100.0	Southern
204	UNC Wilmington	97.8	Colonial Athletic
86	UNLV	108.4	Mountain West
27	USC	114.1	Pac-12
292	USC Upstate	90.3	Big South
225	UT Arlington	96.6	Sun Belt
297	UT Rio Grande Valley	89.7	Western Athletic
108	Utah	105.6	Pac-12
53	Utah St.	111.5	Mountain West
119	Utah Valley	104.3	Western Athletic
177	UTEP	99.5	Conference USA
315	UTSA	88.0	Conference USA
202	Valparaiso	97.9	Missouri Valley
80	Vanderbilt	109.1	Southeastern
75	VCU	109.4	Atlantic 10
67	Vermont	110.3	America East
9	Villanova	121.0	Big East
69	Virginia	110.1	Atlantic Coast
28	Virginia Tech	114.0	Atlantic Coast
157	VMI	100.8	Southern
139	Wagner	102.3	Northeast
38	Wake Forest	112.9	Atlantic Coast
128	Washington	103.3	Pac-12
48	Washington St.	112.2	Pac-12
165	Weber St.	100.1	Big Sky
65	West Virginia	110.5	Big 12
300	Western Carolina	89.5	Southern
233	Western Illinois	95.8	Summit
111	Western Kentucky	105.2	Conference USA
337	Western Michigan	84.0	Mid-American
84	Wichita St.	108.5	American Athletic
336	William & Mary	84.1	Colonial Athletic
158	Winthrop	100.7	Big South
25	Wisconsin	114.3	Big Ten
113	Wofford	105.1	Southern
180	Wright St.	99.1	Horizon
62	Wyoming	110.7	Mountain West
29	Xavier	113.9	Big East
144	Yale	102.1	Ivy League
248	Youngstown St.	94.1	Horizon

PiRate Ratings By Conference

America East
Team	Rating
Vermont	110.3
UMass Lowell	94.7
UMBC	94.5
New Hampshire	94.3
Stony Brook	93.3
Albany	92.8
Binghamton	91.0
Hartford	91.0
NJIT	86.3
Maine	80.2
American Athletic
Team	Rating
Houston	121.6
Memphis	113.6
SMU	111.8
Wichita St.	108.5
UCF	107.5
Cincinnati	107.4
Tulane	106.0
Temple	104.0
Tulsa	101.3
East Carolina	99.1
South Florida	94.3
Atlantic 10
Team	Rating
Dayton	111.9
Davidson	111.7
Saint Louis	110.9
St. Bonaventure	109.7
VCU	109.4
Richmond	108.1
George Mason	105.1
Rhode Island	103.7
Saint Joseph’s	100.3
Fordham	99.0
Massachusetts	98.7
George Washington	96.1
La Salle	94.6
Duquesne	92.1
Atlantic Coast
Team	Rating
Duke	121.0
Virginia Tech	114.0
North Carolina	113.4
Wake Forest	112.9
Notre Dame	111.4
Miami FL	110.9
Virginia	110.1
Syracuse	110.0
Clemson	109.4
Florida St.	106.9
Louisville	105.2
N.C. State	104.3
Boston College	102.8
Georgia Tech	102.2
Pittsburgh	100.4
Atlantic Sun
Team	Rating
Liberty	104.4
Jacksonville St.	102.1
Jacksonville	100.0
Florida Gulf Coast	98.0
Bellarmine	97.5
Kennesaw St.	95.6
Eastern Kentucky	93.3
North Florida	92.7
Lipscomb	91.1
Stetson	89.6
North Alabama	89.1
Central Arkansas	86.9
Big 12
Team	Rating
Kansas	122.4
Baylor	122.1
Texas Tech	120.1
Texas	117.9
Oklahoma	112.7
Iowa St.	112.3
Oklahoma St.	112.2
TCU	111.2
Kansas St.	110.8
West Virginia	110.5
Big East
Team	Rating
Villanova	121.0
Connecticut	117.4
Xavier	113.9
Seton Hall	113.8
Marquette	113.3
Providence	112.7
St. John’s	110.9
Creighton	110.4
DePaul	106.3
Butler	103.7
Georgetown	99.7
Big Sky
Team	Rating
Montana St.	101.9
Southern Utah	101.2
Weber St.	100.1
Eastern Washington	97.6
Northern Colorado	97.2
Montana	96.6
Portland St.	93.3
Sacramento St.	86.9
Idaho	86.2
Northern Arizona	85.9
Idaho St.	84.9
Big South
Team	Rating
Winthrop	100.7
Gardner Webb	100.1
Longwood	99.9
UNC Asheville	97.1
Campbell	96.5
High Point	93.9
Presbyterian	91.9
North Carolina A&T	90.4
Radford	90.4
USC Upstate	90.3
Hampton	86.2
Charleston Southern	80.2
Big Ten
Team	Rating
Purdue	122.0
Iowa	119.0
Illinois	118.2
Ohio St.	117.6
Michigan	115.1
Wisconsin	114.3
Michigan St.	114.2
Indiana	113.1
Northwestern	110.6
Rutgers	109.9
Penn St.	109.8
Maryland	109.3
Minnesota	106.8
Nebraska	100.2
Big West
Team	Rating
UC Irvine	105.3
UC Santa Barbara	102.8
Cal St. Fullerton	100.8
Long Beach St.	100.2
Hawaii	100.0
UC Riverside	99.9
UC Davis	96.0
Cal St. Bakersfield	92.6
UC San Diego	92.4
Cal Poly	88.0
Cal St. Northridge	87.1
Colonial Athletic
Team	Rating
Towson	108.7
Hofstra	104.3
Drexel	101.5
Delaware	101.2
Charleston	100.3
UNC Wilmington	97.8
James Madison	97.4
Northeastern	94.7
Elon	93.2
William & Mary	84.1
Conference USA
Team	Rating
UAB	112.3
North Texas	111.2
Louisiana Tech	106.3
Western Kentucky	105.2
Middle Tennessee	104.9
Florida Atlantic	102.3
UTEP	99.5
Charlotte	99.1
Old Dominion	99.1
Rice	97.6
Marshall	95.6
FIU	94.6
UTSA	88.0
Southern Miss	83.7
Horizon
Team	Rating
Oakland	100.3
Cleveland St.	99.4
Wright St.	99.1
Northern Kentucky	97.1
Detroit Mercy	96.9
Purdue Fort Wayne	96.4
Youngstown St.	94.1
Illinois Chicago	90.8
Robert Morris	86.7
Milwaukee	86.6
Green Bay	83.4
IUPUI	73.2
Ivy League
Team	Rating
Princeton	105.0
Yale	102.1
Penn	98.8
Cornell	97.8
Brown	97.6
Harvard	97.4
Dartmouth	95.7
Columbia	80.6
Metro Atlantic
Team	Rating
Iona	108.2
Monmouth	102.5
Saint Peter’s	99.8
Marist	99.1
Niagara	97.4
Fairfield	96.5
Siena	94.5
Manhattan	93.8
Rider	93.6
Quinnipiac	93.4
Canisius	92.0
Mid-American
Team	Rating
Toledo	109.0
Ohio	105.8
Buffalo	105.7
Kent St.	103.1
Akron	101.3
Ball St.	94.0
Bowling Green	93.4
Miami OH	93.3
Eastern Michigan	89.7
Northern Illinois	89.5
Central Michigan	87.0
Western Michigan	84.0
Mideastern Athletic
Team	Rating
Norfolk St.	98.3
Howard	95.4
North Carolina Central	91.5
Coppin St.	89.7
Maryland Eastern Shore	88.9
Morgan St.	88.2
South Carolina St.	86.8
Delaware St.	75.4
Missouri Valley
Team	Rating
Loyola Chicago	113.8
Missouri St.	110.6
Drake	107.8
Northern Iowa	107.2
Bradley	106.2
Southern Illinois	103.3
Illinois St.	98.1
Valparaiso	97.9
Indiana St.	96.7
Evansville	88.2
Mountain West
Team	Rating
San Diego St.	113.6
Boise St.	112.8
Colorado St.	112.4
Utah St.	111.5
Wyoming	110.7
Fresno St.	109.4
UNLV	108.4
Nevada	104.1
New Mexico	99.6
Air Force	93.0
San Jose St.	90.2
Northeast
Team	Rating
Wagner	102.3
Bryant	97.9
LIU	95.9
Mount St. Mary’s	92.6
Merrimack	89.4
St. Francis NY	89.4
St. Francis PA	88.2
Sacred Heart	86.8
Central Connecticut	82.6
Fairleigh Dickinson	82.0
Ohio Valley
Team	Rating
Murray St.	113.8
Belmont	109.1
Morehead St.	103.4
Tennessee St.	92.5
Tennessee Tech	92.2
Southeast Missouri St.	92.1
Austin Peay	91.3
SIU Edwardsville	89.7
Tennessee Martin	88.7
Eastern Illinois	77.5
Pac-12
Team	Rating
Arizona	123.8
UCLA	120.3
USC	114.1
Washington St.	112.2
Oregon	111.6
Colorado	108.3
Arizona St.	106.5
Stanford	106.1
Utah	105.6
Washington	103.3
California	103.3
Oregon St.	97.0
Patriot League
Team	Rating
Colgate	104.0
Navy	99.9
Boston University	98.1
Loyola MD	93.3
Army	90.9
Lafayette	88.7
Lehigh	88.1
American	84.4
Bucknell	83.7
Holy Cross	83.1
Southeastern
Team	Rating
Kentucky	123.3
Auburn	120.9
Tennessee	120.0
Alabama	116.7
LSU	116.7
Arkansas	116.3
Mississippi St.	112.6
Florida	112.4
Texas A&M	109.4
Vanderbilt	109.1
South Carolina	107.6
Mississippi	107.1
Missouri	101.8
Georgia	98.0
Southern
Team	Rating
Furman	108.4
Chattanooga	108.3
Wofford	105.1
VMI	100.8
UNC Greensboro	100.0
East Tennessee St.	99.1
Samford	97.7
Mercer	97.5
The Citadel	94.5
Western Carolina	89.5
Southland
Team	Rating
Nicholls St.	97.4
New Orleans	94.2
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	93.1
Southeastern Louisiana	90.5
McNeese St.	88.6
Northwestern St.	84.9
Houston Baptist	83.0
Incarnate Word	79.3
Southwestern Athletic
Team	Rating
Southern	98.3
Texas Southern	98.3
Alcorn St.	91.8
Jackson St.	91.8
Prairie View A&M	91.0
Grambling St.	90.2
Florida A&M	87.5
Alabama St.	86.3
Alabama A&M	85.5
Bethune Cookman	83.6
Arkansas Pine Bluff	78.2
Mississippi Valley St.	75.3
Summit
Team	Rating
South Dakota St.	110.1
Oral Roberts	102.3
North Dakota St.	99.8
UMKC	98.3
South Dakota	97.4
Western Illinois	95.8
Denver	89.3
St. Thomas	87.4
North Dakota	82.7
Nebraska Omaha	82.3
Sun Belt
Team	Rating
South Alabama	102.9
Texas St.	102.3
Coastal Carolina	101.2
Georgia St.	101.0
Appalachian St.	100.8
Troy	99.2
Arkansas St.	98.9
Louisiana	98.7
UT Arlington	96.6
Georgia Southern	93.6
Louisiana Monroe	92.6
Little Rock	86.1
West Coast
Team	Rating
Gonzaga	128.2
Saint Mary’s	115.3
San Francisco	114.5
BYU	111.4
Santa Clara	109.1
Portland	98.8
Loyola Marymount	98.2
San Diego	97.7
Pacific	92.2
Pepperdine	92.0
Western Athletic
Team	Rating
New Mexico St.	108.0
Grand Canyon	105.4
Utah Valley	104.3
Stephen F. Austin	102.9
Seattle	102.7
Abilene Christian	102.2
Sam Houston St.	100.8
Cal Baptist	97.6
Tarleton St.	97.5
Dixie St.	91.8
UT Rio Grande Valley	89.7
Lamar	81.9
Chicago St.	81.1

Coming Later Today: Updated Bracketology

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Thursday, February 24, 2022

Home	Visitors	Spread
Fairleigh Dickinson	Wagner	-14.3
Northeastern	William & Mary	10.0
Miami (O)	Central Michigan	9.0
Memphis	Temple	11.4
Middle Tennessee	Marshall	9.7
Old Dominion	Florida Atlantic	-1.2
Charlotte	Florida Int’l	5.9
St. Francis (NY)	Bryant	-3.0
Sacred Heart	Mount St. Mary’s	-2.3
Long Island	Merrimack	6.7
Central Connecticut	St. Francis (PA)	-0.4
Winthrop	USC Upstate	9.4
Wright St.	Youngstown St.	6.0
Northern Kentucky	Robert Morris	9.8
Oakland	Purdue Fort Wayne	7.0
Detroit	Cleveland St.	0.1
Western Illinois	Omaha	12.8
Hofstra	Elon	13.5
Drexel	UNC Wilmington	6.5
Delaware	Charleston	4.1
Quinnipiac	Siena	2.5
Indiana	Maryland	6.5
Stephen F. Austin	Sam Houston	4.4
Northern Illinois	Buffalo	-10.8
Georgetown	DePaul	-2.4
Southeast Missouri St.	UT Martin	5.1
UTSA	UAB	-17.2
North Texas	Southern Miss.	22.8
Rice	Louisiana Tech	-4.5
Northern Arizona	Idaho St.	4.7
Northern Colorado	Eastern Washington	3.5
Houston Baptist	Incarnate Word	3.7
Utah Valley	Seattle	2.3
Tarleton St.	UT Rio Grande Valley	8.2
Abilene Christian	Lamar	16.8
IUPUI	Milwaukee	-6.4
Illinois Chicago	Green Bay	8.0
Oral Roberts	South Dakota St.	-3.8
UMKC	South Dakota	2.6
St. Thomas	Denver	2.3
Tennessee Tech	Tennessee St.	4.9
Eastern Illinois	Morehead St.	-15.7
SIU Edwardsville	Austin Peay	1.5
Northwestern St.	Nicholls	-6.1
McNeese St.	Texas A&M-CC	0.1
San Francisco	Gonzaga	-10.2
Illinois	Ohio St.	4.9
Murray St.	Belmont	4.6
Colorado	Arizona St.	6.0
UC Davis	UC Santa Barbara	-2.6
Southern Utah	Montana	4.8
Southeast Louisiana	New Orleans	-0.6
Dixie St.	California Baptist	-1.8
Oregon	UCLA	-5.4
San Diego	Saint Mary’s	-11.5
UC Riverside	Cal St. Northridge	11.6
Long Beach St.	UC San Diego	7.9
Cal St. Fullerton	UC Irvine	-1.5
Portland St.	Weber St.	-3.6
Sacramento State	Idaho	1.3
BYU	Loyola Marymount	13.1
Pacific	Portland	-1.1
Pepperdine	Santa Clara	-10.4
Utah	Arizona St.	3.0
Oregon St.	USC	-11.3
Hawaii	Cal Poly	13.0

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Thursday, February 17, 2022

Home	Visitors	Spread
Eastern Michigan	Buffalo	-9.5
Penn St.	Minnesota	4.7
UNC Wilmington	Towson	-4.7
Appalachian St.	Troy	3.8
Murray St.	Austin Peay	19.8
Akron	Northern Illinois	13.3
South Florida	East Carolina	0.3
Cincinnati	Wichita St.	2.9
Florida International	Middle Tennessee	-4.2
Marshall	Old Dominion	0.5
Florida Atlantic	North Texas	-2.9
St. Francis (PA)	Long Island	-1.5
Sacred Heart	Wagner	-10.0
Mount St. Mary’s	St. Francis (NY)	7.0
Merrimack	Fairleigh Dickinson	8.4
Bryant	Central Connecticut	13.5
Youngstown St.	Illinois Chicago	4.8
Robert Morris	IUPUI	15.3
Georgia St.	Georgia Southern	6.6
Coastal Carolina	South Alabama	-0.4
Chattanooga	UNC Greensboro	10.0
William & Mary	Drexel	-10.4
Elon	Delaware	-3.1
Charleston	James Madison	4.3
Iowa	Michigan	6.5
Arizona	Oregon St.	26.7
Louisiana Tech	UTEP	8.5
Sam Houston	Abilene Christian	1.5
UL Monroe	Louisiana	-1.9
Belmont	Eastern Illinois	27.7
Southern Miss.	UTSA	1.9
UAB	Rice	14.4
Western Kentucky	Charlotte	7.8
Nicholls St.	McNeese St.	8.3
UT Arlington	Little Rock	10.0
Texas St.	Arkansas St.	4.1
Omaha	Denver	-2.6
North Dakota	Kansas City	-7.0
South Dakota	St. Thomas	8.8
South Dakota St.	Western Illinois	13.0
North Dakota St.	Oral Roberts	-0.2
Samford	VMI	-0.4
Tennessee Tech	Southeast Missouri St.	5.1
Tennessee St.	SIU Edwardsville	2.6
Texas A&M-CC	SE Louisiana	4.9
Incarnate Word	Northwestern St.	0.3
Houston	Central Florida	14.8
New Mexico	Colorado St.	-7.1
Arizona St.	Oregon	-3.6
Weber St.	Sacramento St.	14.4
Idaho St.	Northern Colorado	-7.7
Idaho	Montana	-6.1
Eastern Washington	Montana St.	-0.8
High Point	Longwood	-3.2
California	Colorado	0.1
Saint Mary’s	San Francisco	3.8
DePaul	Creighton	1.0
UC Riverside	Cal St. Bakersfield	7.3
UC San Diego	Hawaii	-3.3
Cal St. Northridge	Long Beach St.	-6.2
UC Santa Barbara	Cal St. Fullerton	5.6
Portland St.	Northern Arizona	6.7
Portland	San Diego	1.0
Loyola Marymount	Santa Clara	-5.6
UCLA	Washington St.	9.7
Stanford	Utah	5.0
USC	Washington	12.4
San Jose St.	Nevada	-8.0

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For March 7, 2020

Saturday’s Games

 

Home	Visitor	Spread
Alabama A&M	Jackson St.	-3.9
Alabama St.	Grambling	-0.1
Alcorn St.	Texas Southern	-0.8
Arizona	Washington	10.0
Arizona St.	Washington St.	9.9
Arkansas Pine Bluff	Mississippi Valley St.	8.3
Belmont	Murray St.	2.9
Bradley	Drake	3.0
Cal St. Fullerton	Long Beach St.	4.1
Cal St. Northridge	Hawaii	1.4
Central Arkansas	Northwestern St.	4.7
Cincinnati	Temple	9.8
Creighton	Seton Hall	3.0
Dartmouth	Brown	5.2
Dayton	George Washington	23.8
Drexel	UNC Wilmington	3.1
Duke	North Carolina	12.5
East Tennessee St.	VMI	13.9
Eastern Washington	Weber St.	12.0
Elon	James Madison	1.0
Florida	Kentucky	2.7
Florida Intl.	Western Kentucky	-0.4
Florida St.	Boston College	17.8
Fordham	George Mason	-2.1
Furman	Wofford	6.3
Georgetown	Villanova	-2.2
Grand Canyon	Cal St. Bakersfield	3.0
Hartford	UMass Lowell	3.0
Harvard	Yale	-1.6
Idaho	Idaho St.	-1.0
Incarnate Word	Abilene Christian	-11.7
Indiana	Wisconsin	2.1
Kansas St.	Iowa St.	2.1
Lamar	McNeese	3.5
Louisiana	Arkansas St.	1.7
Louisiana Tech	Charlotte	9.1
LSU	Georgia	8.8
Massachusetts	Rhode Island	-5.2
Mercer	Western Carolina	-2.2
Miami (Fla.)	Syracuse	-0.5
Middle Tennessee	Southern Miss.	2.6
Mississippi St.	Ole Miss	5.3
Missouri	Alabama	-0.8
Missouri St.	Valparaiso	2.1
Montana	Southern Utah	4.2
Montana St.	Northern Colorado	-5.8
New Orleans	Southeastern Louisiana	5.4
North Dakota St.	Denver	11.7
Northwestern	Penn St.	-8.2
Notre Dame	Virginia Tech	6.1
Oregon	Stanford	7.0
Oregon St.	California	9.6
Pacific	San Francisco	-3.4
Penn	Columbia	12.2
Portland St.	Sacramento St.	3.8
Princeton	Cornell	10.9
Providence	DePaul	7.9
Purdue	Rutgers	4.5
Rice	UTEP	2.3
Robert Morris	Long Island	5.0
Saint Joseph’s	La Salle	-3.4
Saint Louis	St. Bonaventure	6.3
Saint Mary’s	Pepperdine	8.5
San Diego St.	Utah St.	5.2
South Dakota St.	Purdue Fort Wayne	9.9
South Florida	SMU	0.6
Southern	Prairie View	0.1
St. Francis (PA)	Sacred Heart	4.6
St. John’s	Marquette	-1.6
Stephen F. Austin	Sam Houston	10.0
Stony Brook	Albany	9.0
TCU	Oklahoma	-0.7
Tennessee	Auburn	1.1
Texas	Oklahoma St.	4.1
Texas A&M	Arkansas	-4.5
Texas A&M-CC	Houston Baptist	9.8
Texas Tech	Kansas	-4.0
UAB	Old Dominion	1.2
UC Santa Barbara	Cal Poly	13.2
UMBC	New Hampshire	2.2
UNC Greensboro	Chattanooga	5.9
USC	UCLA	3.8
UT Rio Grande Valley	California Baptist	-0.9
UT-Arlington	Coastal Carolina	6.8
Utah	Colorado	-4.8
UTSA	Marshall	-0.4
Vanderbilt	South Carolina	-5.1
Vermont	Maine	20.3
Virginia	Louisville	-2.3
West Virginia	Baylor	0.4
Xavier	Butler	1.4

 

Saturday’s Key Games on TV

 

Time (EST)	Network	Home	Visitor
12:00 PM	ESPN	Indiana	Wisconsin
12:00 PM	ESPN2	Tennessee	Auburn
12:00 PM	ESPN3	St. Francis (PA)	Sacred Heart
1:00 PM	CBS	Florida	Kentucky
1:00 PM	ESPN+	West Virginia	Baylor
2:00 PM	ESPN	Texas Tech	Kansas
2:00 PM	ESPN3	Robert Morris	Long Island
2:30 PM	Fox	Creighton	Seton Hall
3:15 PM	CBS	USC	UCLA
3:35 PM	CBSSN	Bradley	Drake
4:00 PM	ESPN	Virginia	Louisville
5:30 PM	CBS	San Diego St.	Utah St.
5:30 PM	ESPN3	Stephen F. Austin	Sam Houston St.
6:00 PM	ESPN+	Penn	Columbia
6:00 PM	ESPN+	Princeton	Cornell
6:00 PM	ESPN2	TCU	Oklahoma
6:05 PM	CBSSN	Missouri St.	Valparaiso
7:00 PM	ESPN+	Harvard	Yale
8:00 PM	ESPN2	Belmont	Murray St.
8:30 PM	ESPN+	UNC Greensboro	Chattanooga
8:30 PM	FS1	Xavier	Butler
11:00 PM	FS1	Oregon	Stanford
12:00 AM	ESPN2	Saint Mary’s	Pepperdine

 

CONFERENCE  TOURNAMENTS  UPDATE

 

America East Tournament
Quarterfinals	March 7	at Higher Seed’s Home Court
Home	Visitor	Time (ET)	TV
1 Vermont (24-7)	8 Maine (9-21)	7:00 PM	ESPN3
2 Stony Brook (19-12)	7 Albany (14-17)	7:00 PM	ESPN3
3 Hartford (16-15)	6 UMass Lowell (13-18)	5:00 PM	ESPN3
4 UMBC (15-16)	5 New Hampshire (15-14)	1:00 PM	ESPN3

Vermont is the heavy favorite to repeat as AEC Champions.  The Catamounts will host every game they play in this tournament, and while Vermont’s two conference losses did come at home, it would be a major upset if another team represented the league in the NCAA Tournament.  Vermont is certainly an upset-worthy double-digit seed in the Big Dance, while no other team in this league is talented enough to win anything other than a play-in game in Dayton.

 

 

 

Big South Tournament
Semifinals
Winner	Score	Loser	Score
Winthrop	78	Gardner-Webb	66
Hampton	86	Radford	78

With top seed Radford losing to Hampton, Winthrop now becomes host team for Sunday’s Big South Championship Game.  The Eagles will host the surprise Hampton Pirates at 1:00 PM tomorrow in a game televised on ESPN.

 

 

 

Colonial Athletic Tournament
1st Round	March 7	Washington, D.C. (Entertainment & Sports Arena)
Team	Team	Time (ET)	TV
8 Drexel (13-18)	9 UNC Wilmington (10-21)	4:00 PM	FloHoops (Subscrip.)
7 Elon (11-20)	10 James Madison (9-20)	6:30 PM	FloHoops (Subscrip.)

 

Five CAA Teams finished with double-digit conference wins, and none of them play today, as they received byes to the quarterfinals.  We don’t expect any of today’s combatants to be around by the semifinals.  

The #’s 5 & 6 seeds in this tournament, Delaware and Northeastern, are the two dark horses that could create some havoc during the the next few days.  Hofstra and William and Mary are the top two seeds, but neither is a shoo-in to make the conference championship game.

 

 

 

Missouri Valley Tournament (Arch Madness)
Quarterfinals
Winner	Score	Loser	Score
Drake	77	Northern Iowa	56
Bradley	64	Southern Illinois	59
Valparaiso	74	Loyola (Chi.)	73 ot
Missouri St.	78	Indiana St.	51

 

Missouri Valley Tournament (Arch Madness)
Semifinals	March 7	St. Louis (Enterprise Center)
Team	Team	Time (ET)	TV
4 Bradley (21-11)	8 Drake (20-13)	3:30 PM	CBSSN
6 Missouri St. (16-16)	7 Valparaiso (18-15)	6:00 PM	CBSSN

 

As we mentioned in our first preview of Arch Madness, this tournament has been won by a team coming from back in the pack as often as it has been won by the top seed.  Well, after yesterday, you can kiss the top three seeds good bye!  Northern Iowa, Loyola of Chicago, and Indiana State all went home, and we are left with a 4, 6, 7, and 8 seed.  And, the 8-seeded Drake Bulldogs looked the most impressive by far in the quarterfinal shellacking of UNI.  

Missouri State vastly played beneath the level of its talent in the regular season, so it would not be surprising to see the Bears playing for a spot in the NCAA Tournament tomorrow.  MSU coach Dana Ford comes from the Gregg Marshall coaching tree, and his team plays a similar style, which tends to bring teams to their peak performance in March.

 

 

 

Mountain West Tournament
Semifinals
Winner	Score	Loser	Score
San Diego St.	81	Boise St.	68
Utah St.	89	Wyoming	82

 

Mountain West Tournament
Championship	March 7	Las Vegas (Thomas & Mack Center)
Team	Team	Time (ET)	TV
1 San Diego St. (30-1)	2 Utah St. (25-8)	5:30 PM	CBS

 

With the top two teams making it to the Championship Game, the league is now guaranteed to have two Dance tickets punched.  Utah St. has now moved off the Bubble into the safe part of the projected field.  

San Diego State started cold last night and trailed by 16 points before a barrage of three-pointers brought the Aztecs back and allowed them to tie the game at the half and then run away in the second half in a similar manner to their blowout of Iowa across town in a mid-season tournament in Vegas.  A win today could secure a number one seed for SDSU, as they are locked in a fierce battle with Dayton for the fourth number one seed as of this moment.

 

 

 

Northeast Tournament
Quarterfinals
Winner	Score	Loser	Score
Robert Morris	59	St. Francis (NY)	58
St. Francis (PA)	87	Bryant	61
Sacred Heart	61	Mount St. Mary’s	59
Long Island	73	Fairleigh-Dickinson	72

Northeast Tournament
Semifinals	March 7	at Higher Seed’s Home Court
Home	Visitor	Time (ET)	TV
2 St. Francis (PA) (21-9)	3 Sacred Heart (20-12)	12:00 PM	ESPN3
1 Robert Morris (18-14)	4 Long Island (15-17)	2:00 PM	ESPN3

 

 

 

Ohio Valley Tournament
Semifinals
Winner	Score	Loser	Score
Belmont	60	Eastern Kentucky	50
Murray St.	73	Austin Peay	61

 

Ohio Valley Tournament
Championship	March 7	Evansville, IN (Ford Center)
Team	Team	Time (ET)	TV
1 Belmont (25-7)	2 Murray St. (23-8)	8:00 PM	ESPN2

 

This tournament can almost schedule this game as part of its regular season package.  Belmont and Murray State have met in the OVC Title Game numerous times since the Bruins entered the league.  Last year, both teams made the NCAA Tournament and won their first games.  Neither are as strong as they were last year, but that doesn’t mean that the winner of this game must be taken lightly in the Big Dance.  The champion will receive a #14 or #15 seed in the field, and some #2 or 3 seed will be in for a real fight.

 

 

Southern Tournament
1st Round
Winner	Score	Loser	Score
VMI	96	Samford	78
Wofford	93	The Citadel	76

Southern Tournament
Quarterfinals	March 7	Asheville, NC (Harrah’s Cherokee Center)
Team	Team	Time ET	TV
1 East Tennessee St. (27-4)	9 VMI (9-23)	12:00 PM	ESPN+
4 Mercer (17-14)	5 Western Carolina (18-11)	2:30 PM	ESPN+
2 Furman (25-6)	7 Wofford (17-15)	6:00 PM	ESPN+
3 UNC Greensboro (23-8)	6 Chattanooga (19-12)	8:30 PM	ESPN+

East Tennessee coach Steve Forbes doesn’t let his troops rest on their laurels.  When Northern Iowa was upset yesterday in the quarterfinal round of the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament, you can bet he used this to make sure his team knew it better come ready to play against VMI today.  The Keydets can score points in a hurry, and if ETSU comes out flat thinking they can walk over VMI like Sherman marched through Atlanta, the Bucs may find themselves in a big hole.

All four of these games are worth watching.  Any of the remaining eight teams are strong enough and talented enough to win three games in the next three days.  Even the lowest remaining seed, Wofford, can cut the nets, as they did last year.  

If East Tennessee wins two games in this tournament and then loses to a Furman or UNC Greensboro, the Buccaneers could still receive an at-large bid, but it isn’t a sure thing.  The chances that two SoCon teams get bids are rather slim, which makes this tournament so exciting with eight quality teams remaining.  If you like contrasting styles of play, this is a tournament you want to watch even if you have no dog in the fight.

 

 

 

Summit Tournament
Quarterfinals	March 7 & 8	Sioux Falls, SD (Sanford Premier Center)
Home	Visitor	Time (ET)	TV
1 North Dakota St. (22-8)	8 Denver (7-23)	7:00 PM 3/7	ESPN+
4 Oral Roberts (16-13)	5 Omaha (16-15)	7:00 PM 3/8	ESPN+
2 South Dakota St. (22-9)	7 Purdue Fort Wayne (13-18)	9:30 PM 3/7	ESPN+
3 South Dakota (20-11)	6 North Dakota (13-17)	9:30 PM 3/8	ESPN+

 

Depending on which way you drive into the Denny Sanford Premier Center, you might think the building is a giant cylinder or you might think it is a long rectangular complex.  Take it from somebody that was there and mistook the building for something else because he arrived on the back side of the arena rather than the front.

This year’s Summit League Tournament may have the same feeling.  On the front side of the league, South Dakota State and North Dakota State look like potent teams destined to make the championship round.  But, on the back side of the league, teams like Omaha and Oral Roberts might look like they belong in a different league, but when the front end and back end are brought together (the venue looks like a giant barge), the tournament takes on a different style with some potentially interesting games.  Don’t put the top two seeds in the Championship Game bracket in pen.  

Having no connection to Sioux Falls, South Dakota, let me highly endorse visiting this beautiful city.  The Falls here are nothing like those in Niagara, but they are incredibly wonderful in their own way.  There is a traquilizing effect to seeing multiple falls at the level of the falls as opposed to being well above in Niagara or in the Maid of the Mist in the water.  While Niagara is a power plant of water flow, Sioux Falls has more peaceful water.  Consider Sioux Falls in a future Summer Vacation when you plan a visit to Mount Rushmore.

 

 

 

Sun Belt Tournament
1st Round	March 7	at Higher Seed’s Home Court
Home	Visitor	Time (ET)	TV
8 Louisiana (13-18)	9 Arkansas St. (16-15)	12:00 PM	ESPN+
7 UT-Arlington (14-17)	10 Coastal Carolina (15-16)	3:00 PM	ESPN+

 

The Sun Belt Conference plays its tournament in a similar manner to the Ohio Valley and West Coast Conferences.  The bottom four teams play in the first round with the two winners advancing to play the next two teams above them in the seed line.  Then, the two winners in the second round advance to play the next two teams above them in the seed line.  Meanwhile, the top two seeds receive byes to the Semifinal Round.

Unlike the OVC and WCC, the first three rounds are played on the home courts of the higher-seeded teams, so it really makes the regular season standings meaningful.

This format gives the top two seeds, Little Rock and South Alabama, huge advantages over the rest of the field, since they can plan to be in Le Vieux Carre while the other teams must earn their way to the Smoothie King Center.

In this tournament, the 3rd-seeded Texas State Bobcats are probably the best team, and they should make it to New Orleans to face 2nd-seed South Alabama.  If they beat the Jaguars in the semifinal round, they stand a better than 50-50 chance of knocking off Little Rock if the Trojans knock of 4th-seed Georgia Southern or an upset winner in the prior rounds.

 

 

 

West Coast Tournament
2nd Round
Winner	Score	Loser	Score
San Francisco	82	Loyola Marymount	53
Pepperdine	84	Santa Clara	73

West Coast Tournament
Quarterfinals	March 7	Las Vegas (Orleans Arena)
Team	Team	Time (ET)	TV
4 Pacific (23-9)	5 San Francisco (21-11)	10:00 PM	ESPN2
3 Saint Mary’s (24-7)	6 Pepperdine (16-15)	12:30 AM	ESPN2

The two winners last night looked very impressive beating teams they were favored to beat.  Now, the competition gets a little tougher, and tonight’s games should be tense and close.  Gonzaga faces the winner of the Pacific-San Francisco game, while BYU faces the winner of the SMC-Pepperdine game.  The remainder of this tournament is going to be uber interesting, and you should stay up late and catch all the action.  Hopefully, the zebras won’t become too much of a factor like last night’s Pepperdine-Santa Clara game, when they whistled more technical fouls in a three-minute stretch than most conference tournaments have in the entire meet.

 

Don’t Forget–Spring Forward Tonight Before Bedtime–Turn up your clocks one hour for daylight savings time and realize you are “losing an hour of sleep.”  I’ve heard about that thing called sleep; maybe some time, I will try it out.

Bracketnomics 2019: Picking The Round of 32 for Saturday, March 23, 2019

Saturday, March 23, 2019  

Round of 32

Team	SOS	TS Marg	OReb%	DReb%	TOV%	DTOV%	R+T
LSU	58.68	3.4	36.9	70.0	15.3	17.7	10.2
Maryland	59.94	7.1	33.9	75.3	16.6	12.3	8.6

Maryland’s strength of schedule advantage is negligible.  LSU’s R+T advantage is also negligible.  Rebounding should be close to even, and it doesn’t appear like turnovers will decide this game.

It comes down to true shooting % margin, and Maryland’s is better by enough to move the needle into Terp territory.

Predicted Winner: Maryland but a close game

 

Team	SOS	TS Marg	OReb%	DReb%	TOV%	DTOV%	R+T
Kentucky	60.47	9.9	36.9	74.7	15.9	16.1	16.3
Wofford	52.40	8.2	32.8	76.3	13.6	18.1	13.5

Wofford looked great in the closing minutes of their blowout win over Seton Hall, just like they did when they closed out the SoCon Championship Game against UNC-Greensboro.  This will not repeat itself Saturday.  Kentucky might give the Terriers a dose of their own medicine, but it will more than likely come in the first half.  The Wildcats are too much out of Wofford’s class, and the SOS difference makes UK’s analytics much superior to Wofford’s.

Even with P. J. Washington still unavailable until next week at the earliest, Kentucky has too much muscle and quickness for the Terriers.  Wofford’s excellent inside-outside combination won’t be able to connect enough times.

Predicted Winner: Kentucky by double digits

 

 

Team	SOS	TS Marg	OReb%	DReb%	TOV%	DTOV%	R+T
Michigan	60.07	8.8	23.8	75.2	12.1	16.0	3.4
Florida	60.24	1.4	31.1	67.9	15.5	19.3	-1.0

Florida became one of the few teams with a negative R+T rating to advance to the Round of 32, and their R+T is still negative.  Michigan’s R+T is definitely a liability also, but at least it is positive.  The Wolverines has a far superior true shooting % margin, most of which is due to their top-rate defense, led by “defensive coordinator” Luke Yaklich.

Predicted Winner: Michigan by 5 to 12 points

 

 

Team	SOS	TS Marg	OReb%	DReb%	TOV%	DTOV%	R+T
Florida St.	59.75	3.4	32.8	73.5	16.3	18.1	8.7
Murray St.	48.31	11.2	31.6	70.7	14.7	17.0	7.2

 

The popular pick is Ja Morant and the Racers, but the ACC was really tough at the top, and this data shows the Seminoles’ SOS looks insurmountable in this game.  The ‘Noles have a lot more muscle than Marquette, and they will be able to wear down Murray and control the boards while forcing the Racers into more second half mistakes.

Predicted Winner: Florida St. by 7 to 15

 

Team	SOS	TS Marg	OReb%	DReb%	TOV%	DTOV%	R+T
Gonzaga	55.92	17.7	30.9	73.1	12.8	16.6	15.0
Baylor	58.64	1.5	37.8	71.4	16.6	16.2	9.0

Baylor’s SOS is a little better than Gonzaga, and the Bears should be able to get a couple extras offensive rebounds, but Gonzaga is too much better everywhere else.  A lot of people are picking the Bears to be the first team to send a #1-seed home, but in my opinion, Gonzaga has the best path to the Final Four of any #1-seed.

Predicted Winner: Gonzaga by double digits

 

Team	SOS	TS Marg	OReb%	DReb%	TOV%	DTOV%	R+T
Michigan St.	61.31	13.6	33.6	73.8	16.0	12.8	11.9
Minnesota	59.70	2.0	31.5	72.4	14.8	14.3	1.1

Never before have conference rivals met in the Round of 32, and this does alter our data a little bit, but not much.  In their previous meeting, Michigan State thoroughly destroyed Minnesota in a game in East Lansing.  The analytical data in that game was not that much off the norm, as Michigan State was expected to dominate the offensive glass and get better percentage shots.

The data has not changed much from that home game for Sparty.  It will be closer this time, but the outcome should still be the same.  MSU has huge R+T and True Shooting % Margin advantages here.  Minny might not be able to beat the Spartans more than one time in 10 games on a neutral floor.

Predicted Winner: Michigan St. by 10-15 points

 

Team	SOS	TS Marg	OReb%	DReb%	TOV%	DTOV%	R+T
Purdue	60.86	2.9	34.2	73.8	13.5	17.0	11.1
Villanova	58.03	5.1	30.5	72.9	14.2	15.3	3.2

 

The defending national champions may not make it to the Sweet 16.  Purdue isn’t that much slower than the Wildcats and much stronger.  The Boilermakers’ will eventually lose to a team with a superior TS Margin and enough muscle to make the board battle even, but I don’t think the Wildcats have the juice this year to be that team.

Predicted Winner: Purdue by 4 to 9 points

 

Team	SOS	TS Marg	OReb%	DReb%	TOV%	DTOV%	R+T
Kansas	62.70	6.1	29.7	72.0	16.0	15.6	2.7
Auburn	59.91	1.7	32.5	67.9	14.7	21.9	6.8

 

This will be an interesting game, and it should be a nail-biter unless one team just doesn’t have it and lays an egg.  I believe that if these teams play 10 times, it would be 5 to 5 in wins.  Kansas has the better TS% Margin, but not by that much.   The difference in this game is that Auburn can force turnovers, and Kansas is turnover-prone.  That’s where I give the Tigers an ever so slight advantage overall.

Predicted Winner: Auburn by 6 or less