PiRate Ratings Selections for December 29- January 1 Bowls and NFL Week 17

This is a very busy day here on the PiRate ship, as we will debut our 2018-19 version of PiRate Ratings Basketball later today.

The Land Sharps have been coming down to Earth since their blistering hot November, as December has not been kind to our five friends.  At the same time, the PiRate Ratings picks have continued to win in December, especially the Bowl game Money Lines, where we have experimented with playing the underdog in every game and finding the most favorable underdog Money Line odds.  With underdogs winning all three games on Thursday, the Return on Investment for this system to date is now 64.16%!  This includes a push in the Boston College and Boise State game that was cancelled due to severe lightning.

This Week’s Land Sharp Picks

Cal Gal Tiffany

Nevada -1 vs. Arkansas St.

Central Florida +8 vs. LSU

Texas +14 vs. Georgia

 

Stewed Meat

Mississippi St. -7 vs. Auburn

Penn St. -6 vs. Kentucky

Texas +14 vs. Georgia

 

Dean 615

Florida +6 vs. Michigan

Notre Dame +12.5 vs. Clemson

Oklahoma +15 vs. Alabama

 

Buckeye Michelle

Oklahoma St. +9 vs. Missouri

Ohio State – 6.5 vs. Washington

Texas +14 vs. Georgia

 

Friday Dog 13

Auburn -3 vs. Purdue

Michigan -5.5 vs. Florida

Clemson -12 vs. Notre Dame

 

The PiRate Ratings Picks

10-point Teasers
Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Houston	Jacksonville	17	Jacksonville
Green Bay	Detroit	19	Detroit
New England	N.Y. Jets	24.5	N.Y. Jets
Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Minnesota	Chicago	14.5	Chicago
Kansas City	Oakland	24.5	Oakland
Philadelphia	Washington	17.5	Washington
Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
L.A. Rams	San Francisco	0.5	L.A.Rams
L.A. Chargers	Denver	17	Denver
Tennessee	Indianapolis	7	Indianapolis
Team	Team	Total	Pick
Houston	Jacksonville	50	UNDER
Green Bay	Detroit	34.5	OVER
Atlanta	Tampa Bay	61.5	UNDER
Team	Team	Total	Pick
New England	N.Y. Jets	35	OVER
Chicago	Minnesota	30	OVER
Oakland	Kansas City	42.5	OVER
Team	Team	Total	Pick
Philadelphia	Washington	32	OVER
L.A.Rams	San Francisco	38.5	OVER
L.A. Chargers	Denver	31.5	OVER
13-point Teasers
Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
New Orleans	Carolina	21.5	Carolina
Miami	Buffalo	8	Buffalo
Pittsburgh	Cincinnati	3	Pittsburgh
Baltimore	Cleveland	18.5	Cleveland
Team	Team	Total	Pick
Pittsburgh	Cincinnati	58.5	UNDER
Cleveland	Baltimore	27.5	OVER
Arizona	Seattle	25.5	OVER
Indianapolis	Tennessee	30.5	OVER
Favorite	Underdog	Moneyline	Pick
Michigan	Florida	+210	Florida
South Carolina	Virginia	+185	Virginia
Nevada	Arkansas St.	+105	Arkansas St.
Clemson	Notre Dame	+380	Notre Dame
Alabama	Oklahoma	+490	Oklahoma
Cincinnati	Virginia Tech	+195	Virginia Tech
Stanford	Pittsburgh	+195	Pittsburgh
Oregon	Michigan St.	+120	Michigan St.
Missouri	Oklahoma St.	+315	Oklahoma St.
Utah	Northwestern	+255	Northwestern
Texas A&M	North Carolina St.	+248	North Carolina St.
Mississippi St.	Iowa	+245	Iowa
LSU	Central Florida	+260	Central Florida
Penn St.	Kentucky	+220	Kentucky
Ohio St.	Washington	+220	Washington
Georgia	Texas	+410	Texas

 

Remember: Neither the Land Sharps or the PiRates wager real money on the selections presented here at this site.  We recommend you do the same.  This is for entertainment purposes only.

Check back at this site Friday afternoon for our first college basketball report of the season, featuring our top 25, picks of games involving teams in power conferences, and a little something else.

 

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PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 17: December 30, 2018

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Total
New Orleans	Carolina	10.5	11.0	10.7	50
Houston	Jacksonville	7.6	8.1	8.6	42
Green Bay	Detroit	5.2	5.9	5.8	48
Tampa Bay	Atlanta	-2.1	-1.8	-1.0	50.5
N.Y. Giants	Dallas	0.5	0.7	1.3	42.5
New England	N.Y. Jets	12.4	13.0	12.7	47.5
Buffalo	Miami	1.4	1.9	1.8	40
Minnesota	Chicago	0.8	0.9	0.0	42.5
Kansas City	Oakland	17.0	17.1	16.9	52.5
Pittsburgh	Cincinnati	15.1	15.2	15.5	48
Baltimore	Cleveland	9.7	9.8	9.2	44
Washington	Philadelphia	-8.2	-8.9	-8.4	45.5
Seattle	Arizona	15.2	15.9	16.4	41
L.A. Rams	San Francisco	13.5	13.7	13.5	49
Denver	L.A. Chargers	-4.7	-5.5	-5.4	43
Tennessee	Indianapolis	-2.0	-1.4	-2.6	45

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	105.0	105.1	104.9	105.0	22.5	10-5
N. Y. Jets	95.1	94.6	94.7	94.8	25	4-11
Miami	94.0	93.6	93.6	93.7	23	7-8
Buffalo	92.9	93.0	92.9	92.9	17	5-10
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Pittsburgh	107.2	107.4	107.4	107.3	24.5	8-6-1
Baltimore	104.5	104.9	104.7	104.7	20	9-6
Cleveland	97.7	98.1	98.5	98.1	24	7-7-1
Cincinnati	95.1	95.2	94.9	95.1	23.5	6-9
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Indianapolis	102.9	102.3	103.3	102.8	25.5	9-6
Houston	102.4	102.5	103.0	102.6	24.5	10-5
Tennessee	98.8	98.9	98.8	98.8	19.5	9-6
Jacksonville	97.3	96.9	96.9	97.0	17.5	5-10
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	106.8	107.0	106.6	106.8	31	11-4
LA Chargers	104.3	105.0	104.8	104.7	23.5	11-4
Denver	98.7	98.5	98.4	98.5	19.5	6-9
Oakland	92.2	92.4	92.3	92.3	21.5	4-11
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Philadelphia	102.4	102.6	102.5	102.5	23.5	8-7
Dallas	100.5	100.3	99.9	100.2	19.5	9-6
N.Y. Giants	97.5	97.5	97.7	97.6	23	5-10
Washington	94.3	93.7	94.1	94.0	22	7-8
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Chicago	104.9	105.1	105.8	105.3	22	11-4
Minnesota	103.3	103.4	103.3	103.3	20.5	8-6-1
Green Bay	99.8	100.2	99.7	99.9	25	6-8-1
Detroit	97.6	97.3	96.8	97.2	23	5-10
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	112.3	112.3	112.3	112.3	27	13-2
Atlanta	100.0	99.9	99.8	99.9	25.5	6-9
Carolina	99.8	99.3	99.5	99.5	23	6-9
Tampa Bay	95.9	96.1	96.8	96.3	25	5-10
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
LA Rams	106.5	106.7	106.3	106.5	28	12-3
Seattle	104.6	104.7	105.2	104.8	23.5	9-6
San Francisco	95.5	95.5	95.3	95.4	21	4-11
Arizona	91.9	91.3	91.2	91.5	17.5	3-12

 

The Playoff Scenarios

AFC

1.) Kansas City Chiefs

If the Chiefs beat Oakland, they win the #1 seed in the AFC and will have homefield advantage throughout the playoffs to the Super Bowl.

If the Chiefs lose to Oakland, then they can fall to the #5 seed if the Chargers beat Denver.  If the Chargers also lose, then the Chiefs will still win the AFC West, but they could fall to the #2 seed if New England or Houston wins, and the #3 seed if both New England and Houston win.

 

2.) New England Patriots

If the Patriots beat the New York Jets, they can be no worse than the #2 seed no matter what Houston does.  If the Pats beat the Jets and Kansas City loses to Oakland, New England will grab the #1 seed and get homefield advantage throughout the AFC Playoffs.

If the Patriots lose to the Jets, and Baltimore beats Cleveland, then the Patriots lose a first round bye and will be the #3 seed if Indianapolis beats Tennessee and the #4 seed if Tennessee beats Indianapolis.

If the Patriots lose and Baltimore also loses, New England retains the #2 seed if Indianapolis beats Tennessee, but they fall to the #3 seed if Baltimore loses but Tennessee beats Indianapolis.

 

3.) Houston Texas

Houston can still earn the #1 seed, if the Texans beat Jacksonville, while Kansas City and New England both lose.  If Houston wins but either Kansas City or New England win their games, the Texans would be the #2 seed.  If Houston wins but Kansas City and New England both win, then Houston gets the #3 seed.

If Houston loses to Jacksonville, then the Texans fall into a wildcard spot, as the winner of the Tennessee-Indianapolis game would win the AFC South.  Houston would fall to a #6 seed with a loss.

 

4. ) Baltimore Ravens or Pittsburgh Steelers

If the Ravens beat Cleveland, they are the AFC North Champion.  They can earn the #2 seed if Houston and New England both lose.  They will earn the #3 seed if they win and either New England or Houston loses.  They will earn the #4 seed if both New England and Houston win.

If the Ravens lose, but Pittsburgh also loses, they will be the #4 seed, but if the Ravens lose and Pittsburgh wins, the Steelers will win the AFC North, and the Ravens will be eliminated.  In the rare event that Pittsburgh wins and Baltimore ties Cleveland, then Pittsburgh will win the tiebreaker and become the AFC North champions and #4 Seed.

If Pittsburgh and Baltimore both win, then the Steelers could only squeak in as a Wildcard team if Indianapolis and Tennessee were to tie.

 

5.) Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers can still win the AFC West and wrap up the top seed in the AFC if they beat Denver and Oakland beats Kansas City.  If Kansas City and the Chargers both win, then the Chargers are the #5 seed.

If the Chargers lose to Denver, then they are the #5 seed regardless of the outcomes of any other games.

 

6.) Tennessee Titans or Indianapolis Colts

Since this is the Sunday Night Game, both teams will know their fate when this game kicks off.

First, the winner of this game will be in the playoffs, while the loser will not be in the playoffs.  If the game ties, then either Indianapolis will be in the playoffs and Tennessee will be out, or both teams will be eliminated if Pittsburgh and Baltimore both win.

If Houston loses earlier in the day, then the winner of this game will win the AFC South.

If Tennessee beats Indianapolis:

The Titans can move up as high as the #2 seed if they beat the Colts, while New England, Houston, and Baltimore all lose.  The Titans can earn the #3 seed, if they beat the Colts, while New England and Houston lose but Baltimore wins or While Houston loses and Baltimore loses.  The Titans can earn the #4 seed if they beat the Colts, while Houston loses, and New England and Baltimore win.

If Tennessee beats Indianapolis, while Baltimore, New England, and Houston win, the Titans are the #6 seed.

If Indianapolis beats Tennessee:

The Colts can move no higher than a #3 seed if Houston loses to Jacksonville and Baltimore loses to Cleveland, no matter what happens in the other games.  If Indianapolis wins, Houston loses, and Baltimore wins, then the Colts are the #4 seed.

If Indianapolis wins and Houston wins, then the Colts are the #6 seed

 

NFC

1.) New Orleans Saints

The Saints have clinched the #1 overall seed in the NFC and have homefield advantage throughout the NFC playoffs.  Thus, they can rest Drew Brees and other key players this week in a meaningless game against Carolina.

 

2.) Los Angeles Rams

If the Rams beat San Francisco or Chicago loses to Minnesota, the Rams are the #2 seed.

If the Rams lose to the 49ers, while Chicago beats Minnesota, the Rams fall to a #3 seed and lose a first round bye.

 

3.) Chicago Bears

If Chicago wins and the Rams lose, the Bears get a bye and the #2 seed.

If Chicago wins and the Rams win, or if the Bears lose, they will be the #3 seed.

 

4.) Dallas Cowboys

Dallas is the automatic #4 seed, win or lose against the Giants.  The Cowboys will rest their starters in a meaningless game that could be Eli Manning’s last in a Giants’ uniform.

 

5.) Seattle Seahawks

The Seahawks have clinched a Wildcard berth in the NFC Playoffs.  If Seattle wins, or Minnesota loses, then the Seahawks are the #5 seed.  If Seattle loses and Minnesota wins, the Seahawks fall to the #6 seed.

 

6.) Minnesota Vikings or Philadelphia Eagles

If Minnesota beats Chicago, the Vikings earn a Wildcard Bid, and would be the #5 seed if Seattle loses and the #6 seed if Seattle wins.

If Minnesota loses, then if Philadelphia beats Washington, the Eagles will earn the Wildcard bid and #6 seed, and the Vikings would be eliminated.

If both Minnesota and Philadelphia lose, then the Vikings sneak in as the #6 seed.

In the rare event that Minnesota ties Chicago, the Vikings would still be the #6 seed at 8-6-2, even if Philadelphia wins to get to 9-7.

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings Selections for December 15-21 Bowls and NFL Week 15

The Return of the Land Sharps

After taking a week off to regroup, our five Land Sharps are ready to return to their hopefully winning ways after ending the season on a sour note.  As bowl season begins, Cal Gal Tiffany has opened a commanding lead in return on investment, maintaining a healthy double digit percentage profit that has been rather consistent for the last several weeks.  Tiffany admits that she knows more about numbers than football strategy, so maybe we can learn something from her.  She likes underdogs, and she likes numbers that are a half-point higher than typical game outcomes.  In other words, she has played a lot of 3 1/2, 7 1/2, 10 1/2, 14 1/2, and 17 1/2 point underdogs this year.  Tiffy believes the books know what they are doing in setting the lines, and there is no way she can outsmart them by trying to figure out which team is better or worse than the line.  She goes simply by the numbers, and it has helped her take a large lead in our little contest.

Stewed Meat is in second place, but Stewed has been playing the B-team of selections this year, because Stewed plays other picks for real and does well enough to make it a full-time profession in Nevada.

Buckeye Michelle is very unhappy.  She believes Ohio State is the only team that can beat Alabama, and her Buckeyes will not get that chance.  She also is unhappy, because she was in first place at the start of November and now has a record just above .500 with no profit.  Michelle and Tiffany are friendly rivals who have known each other for 10 years, and Tiffy has given Michie the business in recent weeks.  Now to make you more unhappy–these two ladies are what you would call “smokin’ hot” and unfortunately,  for all but two of the male gender, are taken.  The funny thing is their guys are not really into football, as they follow the Cleveland Indians and Oakland Athletics and nothing else.  It’s the two ladies that occupy their woman caves to watch their games.

Dean615 was in the lead for a few weeks, but Dean says that a heavy November schedule made it hard to find time to study.  Dean says that he has had ample time to study the bowls.  Dean is the ex-football player who played in three bowl games and knows what it is like and believes he knows which teams are there to play and which just want to collect their bling packages and start their off seasons.

Friday Dog 13 is the renegade of our Land Sharps.  He has played a lot more favorites than underdogs, and it worked until No Fave November.  The Autumn winds raided his bank account, and sent him into the red at the wrong time of the year.  Friday Dog has had extracurricular issues this Autumn and also has not had a ton of time to devote to the lines as of late, but he should be able to study the bowls with more time.  You will see his theme in his first set of picks.  He is a fan of Mid-America.

And what about the PiRates themselves?  We have been contrarians to the Land Sharps.  When the Land Sharps began the season hot and profitable, the PiRates were sinking like rocks.  Then, after we noticed that our NFL teaser picks kept winning consistently, we began to add more teaser selections, and the last 5 weeks have been somewhat profitable.  Hopefully, this isn’t the kiss of death talking about it and including more of these selections.

Let’s start with the Land Sharps and their picks for the first week of bowl games.  All five made three selections.  Four of the five took the same team, and three of the five took another team, so take this for what you believe it is worth.  Also, a majority of the picks were on the underdogs.

#1) Cal Gal Tiffany

Season: 40-30-0 57.1%

Return on Investment: 10.0%

Georgia Southern -1 1/2 vs. Eastern Michigan

Western Michigan +12 1/2 vs. BYU

Tulane -3 1/2 vs. Louisiana

 

#2) Stewed Meat

Season: 38-32-3  54.3%

Return on Investment: 3.8%

North Texas +8 vs. Utah St.

Middle Tennessee +7 1/2 vs. Appalachian St.

Western Michigan +12 1/2 vs. BYU

 

#3) Buckeye Michelle

Season: 33-30-1  52.4%

Return on Investment: 0.0%

San Diego St. +3 vs. Ohio U

Tulane -3 1/2 vs. Louisiana

Western Michigan +12 1/2 vs. BYU

 

#4) Dean615

Season: 31-29-2  51.7%

Return on Investment: -1.5%

South Florida +2 1/2 vs. Marshall

Tulane -3 1/2 vs. Louisiana

Western Michigan +12 1/2 vs. BYU

 

#5) Friday Dog 13

Season: 36-35-1  50.7%

Return on Investment: -3.5%

Northern Illinois +2 1/2 vs. UAB

Toledo -5 1/2 vs. Florida International

Ohio U -2 1/2 vs. San Diego St.

 

The PiRate Rating Picks

For the bowl season, we have been experimenting with playing the underdogs with money line selections.  It is our hypothesis that if one plays the same amount on every bowl game by taking the underdog and the best money line odds you can get, that it could be very profitable.  Since we play with imaginary currency in an imaginary bank account, it does not hurt to play $100 on every bowl game by taking the underdog and finding the best odds.  If we lose every game, we are out $0, and if it wins, and returns a profit, then maybe the public will have knowledge for the future.  Therefore, you will see us picking the underdog to win every bowl game (not playoffs) this year and shopping for the best odds.

Here are the selections for the first week of games.

Favorite	Underdog	Moneyline	Pick
Tulane	Louisiana	+155	Louisiana
Utah St.	North Texas	+275	North Texas
Fresno St.	Arizona St.	+167	Arizona St.
Georgia Southern	Eastern Michigan	+120	Eastern Michigan
Appalachian St.	Middle Tennessee	+235	Middle Tennessee
UAB	Northern Illinois	+125	Northern Illinois
Ohio U	San Diego St.	+135	San Diego St.
Marshall	South Florida	+125	South Florida
Toledo	Florida Int’l.	+195	Florida Int’l.
BYU	Western Michigan	+400	Western Michigan

NFL Teaser Picks to date:  26-12  68.4%

NFL	10-point Teasers
Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Chicago	Green Bay	17	Green Bay
Minnesota	Miami	17.5	Miami
Baltimore	Tampa Bay	19.5	Tampa Bay
Team	Team	Total	Pick
Kansas City	L.A. Chargers	43	Over
Chicago	Green Bay	35	Over
Minnesota	Miami	34.5	Over

 

NFL	13-point Teasers
Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Detroit	Buffalo	15.5	Buffalo
Tampa Bay	Baltimore	5	Baltimore
Atlanta	Arizona	23	Arizona
Cincinnati	Oakland	16	Oakland
Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
San Francisco	Seattle	8.5	Seattle
New England	Pittsburgh	14.5	Pittsburgh
Philadelphia	L.A. Rams	4	L.A. Rams
Tennessee	N.Y. Giants	15.5	N.Y. Giants
Team	Team	Total	Pick
Houston	N.Y. Jets	28	Over
Cleveland	Denver	32.5	Over
Buffalo	Detroit	25	Over
Baltimore	Tampa Bay	60	Under
Team	Team	Total	Pick
Oakland	Cincinnati	33	Over
N.Y. Giants	Tennessee	30.5	Over
Washington	Jacksonville	49	Under
Indianapolis	Dallas	34	Over
Team	Team	Total	Pick
Seattle	San Francisco	57.5	Under
L.A. Rams	Philadelphia	40.5	Over
Arizona	Atlanta	31	Over
New Orleans	Carolina	65	Under

Remember that all of our selections on this site are strictly for entertainment purposes only.  We do not wager actual currency or coinage on these games.  We are purely a group of math statistics lovers that also love and played sports.  Please do not wager real money based only on what we publish here.

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast For Week 8: October 25-29, 2018

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Total
Houston	Miami	5.8	6.3	5.8	46
Jacksonville (n)	Philadelphia	-2.0	-2.4	-1.7	41
Pittsburgh	Cleveland	12.8	12.7	11.8	46
Kansas City	Denver	11.9	12.5	12.9	48.5
Chicago	N.Y. Jets	7.8	7.8	8.3	47.5
N.Y. Giants	Washington	-1.2	-0.7	-1.7	44
Detroit	Seattle	1.6	1.9	1.6	49.5
Cincinnati	Tampa Bay	6.1	6.6	5.4	47.5
Carolina	Baltimore	-0.3	-1.6	-0.7	43.5
Oakland	Indianapolis	-0.6	0.9	-0.7	46
Arizona	San Francisco	4.1	2.8	3.8	43.5
L.A. Rams	Green Bay	11.7	11.8	12.4	51
Minnesota	New Orleans	-2.8	-2.6	-3.1	48.5
Buffalo	New England	-15.2	-15.7	-15.7	38.5

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	105.3	105.7	105.5	105.5	23	5-2
N. Y. Jets	97.6	97.2	97.6	97.5	24.5	3-4
Miami	96.7	96.2	96.6	96.5	22	4-3
Buffalo	92.1	92.1	91.8	92.0	15.5	2-5
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Pittsburgh	105.9	106.0	105.6	105.8	23	3-2-1
Baltimore	104.7	105.3	105.0	105.0	21	4-3
Cincinnati	98.4	98.8	98.4	98.5	23	4-3
Cleveland	95.0	95.3	95.8	95.4	23	2-4-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Jacksonville	100.0	99.8	100.0	99.9	19	3-4
Houston	99.5	99.5	99.4	99.4	24	4-3
Tennessee	97.1	97.2	96.6	97.0	19	3-4
Indianapolis	97.1	95.7	96.8	96.5	25	2-5
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	107.8	108.2	108.2	108.1	27	6-1
LA Chargers	102.2	102.9	102.4	102.5	23.5	5-2
Denver	98.9	98.6	98.3	98.6	21.5	3-4
Oakland	93.4	93.6	93.2	93.4	21	1-5
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Philadelphia	102.0	102.1	101.7	101.9	22	3-4
Dallas	100.5	100.4	99.9	100.3	19.5	3-4
Washington	99.3	98.5	99.6	99.1	22.5	4-2
N.Y. Giants	95.5	95.3	95.4	95.4	21.5	1-6
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Chicago	102.4	102.0	102.9	102.4	23	3-3
Minnesota	102.0	102.2	101.9	102.0	22	4-2-1
Detroit	100.7	100.9	100.9	100.8	27	3-3
Green Bay	99.4	100.1	99.0	99.5	24.5	3-2-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	107.8	107.8	108.0	107.9	26.5	5-1
Carolina	101.9	101.2	101.8	101.6	22.5	4-2
Atlanta	101.3	101.1	101.0	101.1	25.5	3-4
Tampa Bay	95.3	95.2	96.0	95.5	24.5	3-3
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
LA Rams	108.1	108.9	108.4	108.5	26.5	7-0
Seattle	102.1	102.0	102.4	102.2	22.5	3-3
Arizona	95.8	95.0	95.5	95.4	19.5	1-6
San Francisco	94.7	95.1	94.7	94.8	24	1-6

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1	Kansas City
2	New England
3	Pittsburgh
4	Houston
5	L.A. Chargers
6	Baltimore

 

NFC Seeding
1	L.A. Rams
2	New Orleans
3	Minnesota
4	Washington
5	Carolina
6	Detroit

 

Wildcard Round

Pittsburgh over Baltimore

L.A. Chargers over Houston

Minnesota over Detroit

Carolina over Washington

 

Divisional Round

Kansas City over L.A. Chargers

Pittsburgh over New England

L.A. Rams over Carolina

New Orleans over Minnesota

 

Conference Championship

Kansas City over Pittsburgh

L.A. Rams over New Orleans

 

Super Bowl 53

L.A. Rams over Kansas City

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast For Week 3: September 20-24, 2018

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Total
Cleveland	N.Y. Jets	0.1	0.3	0.6	45
Philadelphia	Indianapolis	12.3	14.4	11.9	45
Carolina	Cincinnati	5.2	4.1	5.2	43
Jacksonville	Tennessee	10.4	10.1	11.2	42.5
Atlanta	New Orleans	3.5	3.5	3.7	45
Baltimore	Denver	5.9	6.9	6.6	44.5
Houston	N.Y. Giants	5.4	5.4	5.1	43
Miami	Oakland	7.8	6.8	8.2	42.5
Washington	Green Bay	2.1	-0.2	2.2	45
Minnesota	Buffalo	16.0	16.3	16.2	38
Kansas City	San Francisco	9.5	9.4	9.9	49
L.A. Rams	L.A. Chargers	6.7	7.3	7.3	47
Arizona	Chicago	-1.6	-2.3	-2.8	37.5
Seattle	Dallas	3.7	3.2	3.7	41.5
Detroit	New England	-3.3	-4.3	-3.2	47
Tampa Bay	Pittsburgh	-5.2	-5.3	-3.9	45.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	104.4	105.1	104.2	104.6	21	1-1
Miami	99.2	98.6	99.6	99.1	21.5	2-0
N. Y. Jets	98.7	98.5	98.9	98.7	23	1-1
Buffalo	91.4	91.3	91.0	91.2	18	0-2
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Pittsburgh	105.1	105.0	104.3	104.8	22.5	0-1-1
Baltimore	101.2	101.9	101.3	101.5	23	1-1
Cincinnati	99.7	100.3	99.9	100.0	21.5	2-0
Cleveland	95.8	95.8	96.5	96.0	22	0-1-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Jacksonville	104.3	104.2	104.7	104.4	21.5	2-0
Houston	99.2	99.2	98.9	99.1	24	0-2
Tennessee	96.9	97.0	96.5	96.8	21	1-1
Indianapolis	95.0	93.1	94.8	94.3	22	1-1
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	105.3	105.7	105.7	105.6	25.5	2-0
LA Chargers	101.1	101.9	101.4	101.5	22	1-1
Denver	98.3	98.0	97.7	98.0	21.5	2-0
Oakland	94.8	95.3	94.9	95.0	21	0-2
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Philadelphia	102.2	102.5	101.8	102.2	23	1-1
Dallas	99.6	99.6	99.3	99.5	19.5	1-1
Washington	99.6	98.4	99.4	99.1	21.5	1-1
N.Y. Giants	96.8	96.7	96.8	96.8	19	0-2
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Minnesota	104.4	104.5	104.2	104.4	20	1-0-1
Green Bay	100.5	101.6	100.2	100.7	23.5	1-0-1
Chicago	99.3	99.0	100.0	99.4	18.5	1-1
Detroit	98.1	97.9	98.0	98.0	26	0-2
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Atlanta	104.4	104.3	104.6	104.4	21.5	1-1
New Orleans	103.4	103.3	103.4	103.4	23.5	1-1
Carolina	101.9	101.4	102.1	101.8	21.5	1-1
Tampa Bay	97.9	97.7	98.4	98.0	23	2-0
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
LA Rams	107.9	109.2	108.7	108.6	25	2-0
Seattle	100.3	99.8	100.0	100.0	22	0-2
San Francisco	98.8	99.3	98.8	99.0	23.5	1-1
Arizona	94.7	93.7	94.2	94.2	19	0-2

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1	Kansas City
2	Jacksonville
3	New England
4	Cincinnati
5	Miami
6	L.A. Chargers

 

NFC Seeding
1	L.A. Rams
2	Minnesota
3	Philadelphia
4	Tampa Bay
5	Green Bay
6	Atlanta

 

Wildcard Round

L.A. Chargers over New England

Miami over Cincinnati

Philadelphia over Atlanta

Green Bay over Tampa Bay

 

Divisional Round

L.A. Chargers over Kansas City

Jacksonville over Miami

L.A. Rams over Green Bay

Minnesota over Philadelphia

 

Conference Championship

Jacksonville over L.A. Chargers

L.A. Rams over Minnesota

 

Super Bowl 53

L.A. Rams over Jacksonville

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast For Week 2: September 13-17, 2018

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Week Number:	2
Date of Games:	September 13-17
Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Total
Cincinnati	Baltimore	-0.7	-1.0	-1.0	43.5
Washington	Indianapolis	10.9	12.3	11.5	44.5
Atlanta	Carolina	4.7	4.9	4.5	42
Green Bay	Minnesota	-1.1	0.1	-1.4	42
Buffalo	L.A. Chargers	-5.5	-6.3	-5.7	39
Tennessee	Houston	0.2	0.4	0.1	46
Pittsburgh	Kansas City	4.4	4.2	3.4	46.5
N.Y. Jets	Miami	5.1	5.8	5.2	45
Tampa Bay	Philadelphia	-2.3	-3.4	-1.3	46
New Orleans	Cleveland	12.7	12.8	12.4	46.5
L.A. Rams	Arizona	11.9	13.9	12.9	45
San Francisco	Detroit	3.7	4.4	3.8	49
Jacksonville	New England	0.8	-0.3	1.0	41.5
Denver	Oakland	6.8	6.0	6.1	42.5
Dallas	N.Y. Giants	5.3	5.4	5.0	39.5
Chicago	Seattle	1.2	1.1	1.9	40.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	105.3	106.1	105.3	105.6	20	1-0
N. Y. Jets	99.8	99.8	100.2	99.9	23.5	1-0
Miami	97.8	97.0	98.0	97.6	21.5	1-0
Buffalo	92.2	92.1	92.0	92.1	18	0-1
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Pittsburgh	105.4	105.4	104.7	105.2	22	0-0-1
Baltimore	102.3	103.1	102.6	102.7	23	1-0
Cincinnati	98.6	99.1	98.6	98.8	20.5	1-0
Cleveland	95.0	94.9	95.5	95.1	22	0-0-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Jacksonville	103.1	102.9	103.3	103.1	21.5	1-0
Houston	99.2	99.2	98.9	99.1	24.5	0-1
Tennessee	96.9	97.0	96.5	96.8	21.5	0-1
Indianapolis	93.6	91.4	93.1	92.7	22.5	0-1
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	104.0	104.3	104.3	104.2	24.5	1-0
LA Chargers	100.6	101.4	100.7	100.9	21	0-1
Denver	98.6	98.3	98.0	98.3	21.5	1-0
Oakland	94.8	95.3	94.9	95.0	21	0-1
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Philadelphia	102.7	103.3	102.3	102.8	23	1-0
Washington	101.5	100.6	101.6	101.2	22	1-0
Dallas	99.5	99.5	99.2	99.4	20	0-1
N.Y. Giants	97.2	97.1	97.2	97.2	19.5	0-1
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Minnesota	104.5	104.5	104.4	104.5	19.5	1-0
Green Bay	100.4	101.6	100.0	100.6	22.5	1-0
Chicago	99.0	98.6	99.6	99.1	18.5	0-1
Detroit	98.1	97.9	98.0	98.0	25.5	0-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	104.7	104.7	104.9	104.8	24.5	0-1
Atlanta	104.2	104.1	104.4	104.2	21	0-1
Carolina	102.1	101.6	102.3	102.0	21	1-0
Tampa Bay	97.4	96.9	97.9	97.4	23	1-0
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
LA Rams	105.7	106.8	106.4	106.3	25.5	1-0
Seattle	100.9	100.5	100.7	100.7	22	0-1
San Francisco	98.8	99.3	98.8	99.0	23.5	0-1
Arizona	96.3	95.5	95.9	95.9	19.5	0-1

This Week’s Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1	New England
2	Kansas City
3	Jacksonville
4	Baltimore
5	Pittsburgh
6	New York Jets
NFC Seeding
1	L.A. Rams
2	Minnesota
3	Philadelphia
4	Carolina
5	Green Bay
6	Washington

Wildcard Round

N.Y. Jets over Jacksonville

Baltimore over Pittsburgh

Philadelphia over Washington

Green Bay over Carolina

Divisional Round

New England over N.Y. Jets

Baltimore over Kansas City

L.A. Rams over Green Bay

Minnesota over Philadelphia

Conference Championship

New England over Baltimore

L.A. Rams over Minnesota

Super Bowl 53

L.A. Rams over New England

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings Conference Tournament Update–February 28, 2018

Conference Tournament Results From Last Night

Big South Conference Tournament
First Round–February 27
Longwood   68	High Point   55
Charleston Southern   68	Presbyterian   51

Big South Bracket Update

Quarterfinals–March 1
Time	Higher Seed	Lower Seed	TV
1:00 PM	#2 Radford	#10 Longwood	ESPN3
3:30 PM	#3 Winthrop	#6 Gardner-Webb	ESPN3
7:00 PM	#1 UNC-Asheville	#8 Charleston Southern	ESPN3
9:30 PM	#4 Campbell	#5 Liberty	ESPN3
Semifinals–March 2
Time	Higher Seed	Lower Seed	TV
6:00 PM	Radford or Longwood	Winthrop/G-Webb	ESPN3
8:30 PM	UNCA/Chas. Southern	Campbell or Liberty	ESPN3
Championship–March 4
Time	Home	Visitors	TV
1:00 PM	Higher Seed	Lower Seed	ESPN

 

Patriot League Tournament
First Round–February 27
Lafayette   93	American   86
Loyola (MD)   82	Army   79

Patriot League Bracket Update

Quarterfinals–March 1
Time	Home	Visitors	TV
7:00 PM	#1 Bucknell	#8 Loyola (MD)	Stadium
7:00 PM	#4 Lehigh	#5 Boston U	Stadium
7:00 PM	#2 Colgate	#7 Lafayette	Stadium
7:00 PM	#3 Navy	#6 Holy Cross	Stadium
Semifinals–March 4
Time	Home	Visitors	TV
12/2	Bucknell or Loyola	Lehigh or Boston U	CBSSN
12/2	Colgate or Lafayette	Navy or Holy Cross	CBSSN
Championship–March 7
Time	Home	Visitors	TV
7:30 PM			CBSSN

Conference Tournaments in Action Today

Big Ten Conference Tournament
New York City
All Times EST
First Round–February 28
Time	Higher Seed	Lower Seed	TV
5:30 PM	#12 Iowa	#13 Illinois	Big Ten
7:45 PM	#11 Minnesota	#14 Rutgers	Big Ten
Second Round–March 1
Time	Higher Seed	Lower Seed	TV
12:00 PM	#8 Maryland	#9 Wisconsin	Big Ten
2:15 PM	#5 Michigan	Iowa or Illinois	Big Ten
6:30 PM	#7 Penn St.	#10 Northwestern	Big Ten
8:45 PM	#6 Indiana	Minn. or Rutgers	Big Ten
Quarterfinals–March 2
Time	Higher Seed	Lower Seed	TV
12:00 PM	#1 Michigan St.	Mary or Wisc	Big Ten
2:15 PM	#4 Nebraska	Mich/Iowa/Ill	Big Ten
6:30 PM	#2 Ohio St.	PSU or N’Western	Big Ten
8:45 PM	#3 Purdue	Ind/Minn/Rutg	Big Ten
Semifinals–March 3
Time	Higher Seed	Lower Seed	TV
2:00 PM	MSU/Mary/Wisc	Neb/Mich/Iowa/Ill	CBS
4:30 PM	OSU/Purd/NW	Purd/Ind/Minn/Rutg	CBS
Championship–March 4
Time	Higher Seed	Lower Seed	TV
4:30 PM			CBS

The Big Ten Tournament was moved up a week so that it could be held at Madison Square Garden in New York.  The Big East has dibs on next week.  You won’t find one Big Ten coach happy with this decision, and Commissioner Jim Delany has stated that the Big Ten will not squeeze its schedule again to hold its tournament a week earlier than normal.

Two of the four coaches participating tonight have been reported to be on hot seats with their schools, but we tend to believe they will both be back next year despite poor seasons this year.  Minnesota’s Richard Pitino has had to deal with a suspension of his top player and injuries to multiple contributing players, so that the Gophers have not been able to practice 5 on 5 during conference tournament action. UM lost nine games in a row before winning on senior night over Iowa, and the Gophers enter tournament play below .500 at 15-16 after being ranked as high as 12th in the AP poll in November.

Speaking of Iowa, some media outlets report that Hawkeye coach Fran McCaffery is on the hot seat and could lose his job once Iowa has been eliminated from this tournament.  McCaffery received a lucrative extension last year, and we do not think the university would ante up such a large buyout.

As for this tournament, two teams are desperate to win multiple games to get into the NCAA Tournament.  Nebraska (13-5/22-9) is not even on the list of first 6 teams out.  The Cornhuskers must get to the Semifinals of this tournament just to get into the conversation, and they probably need to make it to the Championship Game to have any chance to make the field.

Penn State (9-9/19-12) has no chance other than to win the tournament.  In some years, a .500 record in the Big Ten would have been enough to get a team in the field, but with the new quadrant system in place and the fact that conference won-loss records no longer factor into the selection process, the Nittany Lions have no chance other than to win the automatic bid.

Michigan State has won 12 games in a row and looks like the clear favorite, but the top seed has not been all that successful in this tournament.  With the schedule bunched together, the four teams with double byes (MSU, Ohio St., Purdue, and Nebraska) have huge advantages.  A Nebraska-Michigan State semifinal game would be can’t miss for sure, with the Spartans vying for a #1 seed, and the Cornhuskers faced with a must-win to get in dilemma.  Michigan is the defending tournament champions.  The Wolverines won from back in the pack last year.

Northeast Conference Tournament
All Games at Higher Seed
Top 8 Teams Qualify and Tournament Re-seeds after Quarterfinals
All Times EST
Quarterfinals–February 28
Time	Home Team	Visitors	TV
7:00 PM	#1 Wagner	#8 Central Connecticut	NEC *
7:00 PM	#2 Mount St. Mary’s	#7 Robert Morris	NEC *
7:00 PM	#3 St. Francis (PA)	#6 Fairleigh-Dickinson	NEC *
7:00 PM	#4 Long Island	#5 St. Francis (Bkn)	NEC *
* NEC Front Row at http://necfrontrow.com/
Semifinals–March 3
Time	Home Team	Visitors	TV
12:00 PM	Highest Remaining	Lowest Remaining	ESPN3
2:00 PM	2nd Highest	3rd Highest	ESPN3
Championship–March 6
Time	Home Team	Visitors	TV
7:00 PM	Higher Seed	Lower Seed	ESPN2

This tournament is a toss-up with seven teams capable of winning it all.  The fact that the higher seeds host the games, and the tournament re-seeds after the quarterfinals really helps the top two seeds, but the next five teams are strong enough to win on the road.

Third-seeded St. Francis (Pa.) enters the tournament riding a five-game winning streak, but the Red Flash were wiped off the floor by top-seed Wagner twice this year.  Fourth-seed Long Island and Sixth-seed Fairleigh Dickinson match up quite well with Wagner and both beat the Seahawks on their home floors, while losing close games at Wagner.

 

Ohio Valley Conference Tournament
Evansville, IN
Top 8 Teams Qualify, Southeast Missouri ineligible due to low APR Scores
All Times CST
First Round–February 28
Time	Higher Seed	Lower Seed	TV
6:30 PM	#5 Tennessee Tech	#8 SIU-Edwardsville	OVC
9:00 PM	#6 Tennessee St.	#7 Eastern Illinois	OVC
OVC Network at http://www.ovcdigitalnetwork.com/watch
Quarterfinals–March 1
Time	Higher Seed	Lower Seed	TV
6:30 PM	#4 Jacksonville St.	Tenn Tech or SIU-E	OVC
9:00 PM	#3 Austin Peay	TSU or EIU	OVC
Semifinals–March 2
Time	Higher Seed	Lower Seed	TV
7:00 PM	#1 Murray St.	JSU/TTU/SIU-E	ESPNU
9:30 PM	#2 Belmont	APSU/TSU/EIU	ESPNU
Championship–March 3
Time	Higher Seed	Lower Seed	TV
7:00 PM			ESPN2

The OVC Tournament moves away from Nashville this year to Evansville, and with it goes Belmont’s home town advantage (the tournament was played downtown at the old Municpal Auditorium and not on Belmont’s campus).

The move up the road 125 miles should help top-seed Murray State, and in this league the top two seeds receive staggering advantages, getting byes to the semifinal round.

We’d be surprised if Belmont and Murray didn’t meet in the championship, but Austin Peay and Jacksonville State will have a lot to say about that.  We do not see any of the other four teams having much chance to make it all the way to the championship.  The OVC will be the first team to place a team into the field of 68.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast For Conference Championship Games: January 21, 2018

All times given are Eastern Standard

Sunday, January 21, 2018

3:05 PM on CBS

Jacksonville Jaguars (11-6-0) at New England Patriots (14-3-0)

PiRate: New England by 7.6

Mean: New England by 8.0

Bias: New England by 7.4

Total: 44

Estimated Realistic Score: New England 27  Jacksonville 17 

 

6:40 PM on Fox

Minnesota Vikings (14-3-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (14-3-0)

PiRate: Minnesota by 2.0

Mean: Minnesota by 1.2

Bias:  Minnesota by 2.1

Total: 37

Estimated Realistic Score: Minnesota 20  Philadelphia 17

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast For Divisional Playoff Round: January 13-14, 2018

All times given are Eastern Standard

Saturday, January 13, 2018

4:35 PM on NBC

Atlanta Falcons (11-6-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (13-3-0)

PiRate: Philadelphia by 5.2

Mean: Philadelphia by 5.6

Bias: Philadelphia by 5.1

Total: 46

Estimated Realistic Score: Philadelphia 26  Atlanta 20

 

8:15 PM on CBS

Tennessee Titans (10-7-0) at New England Patriots (13-3-0)

PiRate: New England by 11.5

Mean: New England by  11.5

Bias: New England by 11.7

Total: 44

Estimated Realistic Score: New England 28  Tennessee 16

 

Sunday, January 14, 2018

1:05 PM on CBS

Jacksonville Jaguars (11-6-0) at Pittsburgh Steelers (13-3-0)

PiRate: Pittsburgh by 6.1

Mean: Pittsburgh by 6.4

Bias: Pittsburgh by 5.9

Total: 43

Estimated Realistic Score: Pittsburgh 24 Jacksonville 17

 

4:40 PM on Fox Sports

New Orleans Saints (12-5-0) at Minnesota Vikings (13-3-0)

PiRate: Minnesota by 4.7

Mean: Minnesota by 4.8

Bias: Minnesota by 4.8

Total: 46

Estimated Realistic Score: Minnesota 24  New Orleans 20

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast For Week 16: December 23-25, 2017

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Total
Baltimore	Indianapolis	16.5	16.3	17.2	44
Green Bay	Minnesota	-6.3	-5.3	-7.6	39
Cincinnati	Detroit	-3.7	-3.3	-4.0	43
N. Y. Jets	LA Chargers	-6.6	-6.6	-6.8	41
Tennessee	LA Rams	-6.9	-6.0	-8.1	47
Chicago	Cleveland	7.9	7.3	11.0	34
Carolina	Tampa Bay	8.8	8.0	9.2	49
New Orleans	Atlanta	6.0	5.7	6.4	55
Washington	Denver	4.5	4.7	4.3	43
Kansas City	Miami	9.8	9.7	10.5	44
New England	Buffalo	14.2	13.9	14.2	42
San Francisco	Jacksonville	-7.3	-7.4	-7.5	45
Arizona	N. Y. Giants	5.6	5.1	5.8	41
Dallas	Seattle	4.1	3.5	4.8	45
Houston	Pittsburgh	-10.2	-10.1	-11.0	45
Philadelphia	Oakland	12.9	11.0	14.8	47

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	108.0	108.1	108.1	108.0	22	11-3
Buffalo	96.3	96.6	96.4	96.4	20	8-6
Miami	96.1	96.2	95.6	96.0	21	6-8
N. Y. Jets	94.3	94.0	94.4	94.3	18	5-9
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	105.9	106.1	106.1	106.0	22	8-6
Pittsburgh	105.6	105.7	105.8	105.7	23	11-3
Cincinnati	94.2	95.0	93.8	94.4	16	5-9
Cleveland	91.0	91.7	88.1	90.2	17	0-14
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Jacksonville	104.9	104.7	105.1	104.9	22	10-4
Tennessee	97.6	97.8	97.2	97.5	22	8-6
Houston	92.4	92.6	91.8	92.3	22	4-10
Indianapolis	91.9	92.3	91.3	91.8	22	3-11
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
LA Chargers	104.5	104.1	104.7	104.4	23	7-7
Kansas City	102.8	102.9	103.2	103.0	23	8-6
Oakland	97.5	98.1	96.7	97.4	22	6-8
Denver	96.1	95.9	96.0	96.0	19	5-9
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Philadelphia	106.9	105.6	108.0	106.8	25	12-2
Dallas	102.9	102.4	102.9	102.8	24	8-6
Washington	97.5	97.7	97.3	97.5	24	6-8
N.Y. Giants	93.0	93.5	92.7	93.1	20	2-12
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Minnesota	106.9	106.5	107.6	107.0	18	11-3
Detroit	100.5	100.8	100.3	100.6	27	8-6
Green Bay	98.7	99.2	98.0	98.6	21	7-7
Chicago	96.4	96.5	96.5	96.5	17	4-10
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	107.2	106.6	107.7	107.2	29	10-4
Atlanta	104.1	103.9	104.3	104.1	26	9-5
Carolina	103.5	102.7	104.0	103.4	27	10-4
Tampa Bay	97.2	97.2	97.4	97.3	22	4-10
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
LA Rams	107.5	106.8	108.3	107.5	25	10-4
Seattle	101.8	102.0	101.1	101.6	21	8-6
Arizona	95.7	95.6	95.5	95.6	21	6-8
San Francisco	94.5	94.3	94.6	94.5	23	4-10

 

This Week’s Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1	New England
2	Pittsburgh
3	Jacksonville
4	Kansas City
5	Baltimore
6	LA Chargers
NFC Seeding
1	Philadelphia
2	Minnesota
3	LA Rams
4	New Orleans
5	Carolina
6	Atlanta

Wildcard Round

Jacksonville over LA Chargers

Baltimore over Kansas City

LA Rams over Atlanta

New Orleans over Carolina

Divisional Round

New England over Baltimore

Pittsburgh over Jacksonville

New Orleans over Philadelphia

Minnesota over LA Rams

Conference Championship

Pittsburgh over New England

Minnesota over New Orleans

Super Bowl 52

Pittsburgh over Minnesota