The Pi-Rate Ratings

November 14, 2022

PiRate Ratings–NFL for Week 11, November 17-21, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Green BayTennessee3.41.82.0
AtlantaChicago4.24.24.1
BaltimoreCarolina13.813.413.7
BuffaloCleveland15.716.416.1
HoustonWashington-6.1-4.0-5.4
IndianapolisPhiladelphia-4.7-4.5-4.6
New EnglandN.Y. Jets4.03.64.5
New OrleansLA Rams2.82.12.7
N.Y. GiantsDetroit4.75.45.2
DenverLas Vegas3.74.43.6
LA ChargersKansas City-10.0-8.8-9.4
MinnesotaDallas-1.1-0.8-1.2
PittsburghCincinnati-5.1-4.9-5.2
ArizonaSan Francisco-6.6-6.5-6.5

This Week’s Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
Green BayTennessee40
AtlantaChicago46.5
BaltimoreCarolina44
BuffaloCleveland48
HoustonWashington38.5
IndianapolisPhiladelphia42
New EnglandN.Y. Jets42.5
New OrleansLA Rams42
N.Y. GiantsDetroit44.5
DenverLas Vegas40
LA ChargersKansas City55.5
MinnesotaDallas49
PittsburghCincinnati43.5
Arizona San Francisco44.5

Arizona vs. San Francisco game scheduled for Mexico City.

Teams With Byes

Miami
Jacksonville
Tampa Bay
Seattle

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Buffalo111.5111.3111.1111.323.56-3
New England103.1103.2103.8103.4205-4
N.Y. Jets101.6102.1101.8101.822.56-3
Miami100.9101.1100.9101.0237-3

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Baltimore105.3105.0105.4105.2226-3
Cincinnati104.5104.2104.6104.4245-4
Cleveland98.797.998.098.224.53-6
Pittsburgh96.996.896.996.919.53-6

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Tennessee100.0100.5100.6100.3196-3
Indianapolis98.298.098.098.1194-5-1
Jacksonville96.497.496.996.9223-7
Houston89.390.990.090.019.51-7-1

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Kansas City110.5110.1110.2110.328.57-2
Denver99.6100.298.799.5153-6
Las Vegas98.998.898.198.6252-7
LA Chargers97.598.397.897.9275-4

N F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Dallas106.5106.1106.9106.5236-3
Philadelphia105.4105.0105.1105.2238-1
Washington97.997.397.897.7195-5
N.Y. Giants95.996.996.896.5197-2

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Minnesota102.4102.3102.8102.5268-1
Green Bay100.499.399.599.7214-6
Detroit94.294.594.694.425.53-6
Chicago93.393.793.593.521.53-7

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Tampa Bay103.6102.8102.8103.120.55-5
New Orleans99.097.898.298.3223-7
Atlanta94.594.994.794.7254-6
Carolina94.094.294.194.1224-6

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
San Francisco104.0104.1104.2104.1205-4
Seattle99.199.3100.499.622.56-4
LA Rams99.298.698.598.8203-6
Arizona97.497.697.697.524.54-6

This Week’s Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1Kansas City
2Miami
3Baltimore
4Tennessee
5New York Jets
6Buffalo
7Cincinnati
NFC Seeding
1Minnesota
2Philadelphia
3San Francisco
4Tampa Bay
5New York Giants
6Dallas
7Seattle

Wildcard Round
Miami over Cincinnati
Baltimore over Buffalo
New York Jets over Tennessee
Philadelphia over Seattle
Dallas over San Francisco
New York Giants over Tampa Bay

Divisional Round
Kansas City over New York Jets
Miami over Baltimore
Minnesota over New York Giants
Philadelphia over Dallas

Conference Championship
Kansas City over Miami
Minnesota over Philadelphia

Super Bowl 57 (Glendale, AZ)
Kansas City over Minnesota

November 11, 2019

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 11: November 14-18, 2019

Filed under: Pro Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 10:15 pm

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

 

Home

Visitor

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Cleveland

Pittsburgh

2.9

2.7

2.2

Carolina

Atlanta

7.2

7.2

8.3

Detroit

Dallas

-3.7

-5.4

-4.4

Indianapolis

Jacksonville

4.2

4.6

3.9

Miami

Buffalo

-8.0

-8.4

-8.2

Baltimore

Houston

3.3

2.9

4.1

Minnesota

Denver

10.5

8.9

9.4

Washington

N.Y. Jets

1.9

2.1

2.7

Tampa Bay

New Orleans

-8.2

-3.7

-3.6

San Francisco

Arizona

14.2

14.6

14.3

Oakland

Cincinnati

8.9

9.2

9.6

Philadelphia

New England

-1.0

-3.6

-3.4

LA Rams

Chicago

5.9

7.5

7.6

LA Chargers (n)

Kansas City

1.4

1.0

1.0

Chargers – Chiefs game will be played in Mexico City

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

 

Current NFL PiRate Ratings

A F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New England

109.5

110.5

110.1

110.0

21.5

8-1

Buffalo

98.4

99.4

98.9

98.9

17

6-3

N. Y. Jets

91.8

92.6

91.4

91.9

21

2-7

Miami

88.0

88.4

88.2

88.2

25.5

2-7

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Baltimore

105.1

105.0

106.0

105.4

25

7-2

Pittsburgh

99.7

100.2

100.6

100.1

21

5-4

Cleveland

99.6

99.8

99.8

99.7

23

3-6

Cincinnati

91.6

91.2

91.5

91.4

24

0-9

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Houston

104.8

105.1

104.9

105.0

23

6-3

Indianapolis

99.4

100.2

99.7

99.8

22

5-4

Jacksonville

98.2

98.6

98.8

98.5

18.5

4-5

Tennessee

97.7

98.0

97.6

97.8

17.5

5-5

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

LA Chargers

101.5

101.4

100.9

101.2

21.5

4-6

Kansas City

100.0

100.4

99.9

100.1

31.5

6-4

Denver

99.4

99.6

99.4

99.5

18

3-6

Oakland

97.4

97.5

98.1

97.7

25.5

5-4

 

 

N F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Dallas

105.1

105.6

105.1

105.3

21.5

5-4

Philadelphia

105.6

103.9

103.7

104.4

25

5-4

N.Y. Giants

92.5

92.8

93.0

92.8

26

2-8

Washington

91.3

92.1

91.6

91.7

17.5

1-8

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Minnesota

106.9

105.5

105.8

106.1

22.5

7-3

Green Bay

103.3

103.4

103.7

103.5

25

8-2

Chicago

103.6

100.6

100.7

101.6

18

4-5

Detroit

98.9

97.7

98.2

98.3

25

3-5-1

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New Orleans

107.6

105.1

105.4

106.0

24

7-2

Carolina

100.6

100.8

101.3

100.9

25

5-4

Tampa Bay

96.4

98.4

98.8

97.9

29.5

3-6

Atlanta

96.5

96.6

96.0

96.3

26

2-7

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

San Francisco

106.2

107.1

107.4

106.9

24

8-1

LA Rams

106.5

105.1

105.3

105.6

26

5-4

Seattle

102.4

102.4

102.6

102.5

26

8-2

Arizona

94.5

94.9

95.6

95.0

23.5

3-6-1

 

This Week’s Playoff Projections

 

AFC Seeding

1

New England

2

Baltimore

3

Houston

4

Oakland

5

Pittsburgh

6

Kansas City

 

 

NFC Seeding

1

Seattle

2

Green Bay

3

New Orleans

4

Philadelphia

5

San Francisco

6

Minnesota

 

Wildcard Round

Houston over Kansas City

Pittsburgh over Oakland

New Orleans over Minnesota

San Francisco over Philadelphia

 

 

Divisional Round

New England over Pittsburgh

Baltimore over Houston

Seattle over San Francisco

Green Bay over New Orleans

 

 

Conference Championship

New England over Baltimore

Seattle over Green Bay

 

 

Super Bowl 54

Seattle over New England

 

 

 

 

 

 

August 24, 2019

A Great Compromise For The NFL

Filed under: Pro Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 5:47 am

As Week Three of the NFL Preseason continues today, the hot topic among the NFL teams, media, and fans is the preseason itself.  Four preseason games are definitely too many in the 21st Century.  With mini-camps and organized team activities, NFL football does not need more than a month of preseason preparing for the regular season.

At one time, NFL teams played six preseason games and then played a 12-game regular season.  It expanded to six preseason and 14 regular season games in 1961 (1960 in the American Football League).  When the NFL schedule expanded to 16 games in 1979, the preseason shortened to the four games we have now.  So, this current formula has been in place for 40 years.

The owners believe that any reduction in preseason games should be accompanied by an increase in regular season games.  The players don’t believe an 18-game regular season schedule is such a good idea, as injuries are considerably more prevalent the more games they play.  With an 18-game regular season, some players will play 22 regular season games if they make the Super Bowl as a Wildcard.

Obviously, the NFL owners will not agree to removing two preseason games with no extra regular season games.  The players may not agree on the 18-game schedule either.

Here’s our compromise proposal.  Remove two preseason games, which means just one home game per team, and replace it with just one extra regular season games.  That means the regular season would be 17 games.  How could we favor an odd number of games, since that would mean half the league would play nine home games and the other half eight.  Wouldn’t that give the half with nine home games a big advantage?

That’s not what we are proposing.  What we propose is that this 17th game would be played at a neutral site.  There are many excellent college football venues and bowl sites that do not host NFL football.  How would a Dallas-Houston game at the University of Texas play in Austin?  What about the Steelers and Eagles playing at Penn State in Happy Valley?  Or, consider the Carolina Panthers and Cincinnati Bengals playing at the University of Tennessee’s Neyland Stadium?

Opening pro football to all these other markets would grow the brand nationally like playing in London has internationally.  Games in London, Madrid, Paris, Rome, and Munich could be schedules as neutral site games rather than home games.  The NFL could add Mexico City, Honolulu, Tokyo, and Melbourne to its regular season schedule.

What would be done with the extra week of the season when the schedule reduced from 20 different weeks to 19?  Throw in a second bye week for every team and construct schedules that give teams an off week following their neutral site game.

If this plan were put in place, the NFL season would begin tomorrow, Sunday, August 25.

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