The Pi-Rate Ratings

October 7, 2019

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 6: October 10-14, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home

Visitor

PiRate

Mean

Bias

New England

N. Y. Giants

17.1

17.6

16.1

Tampa Bay

Carolina

-3.1

-0.4

-0.6

Baltimore

Cincinnati

9.9

9.7

10.2

Cleveland

Seattle

-0.5

0.0

0.0

Kansas City

Houston

4.2

4.5

4.2

Jacksonville

New Orleans

-6.0

-2.1

-2.0

Minnesota

Philadelphia

2.1

2.1

2.6

Miami

Washington

-3.1

-4.5

-4.5

LA Rams

San Francisco

7.4

4.0

3.9

Arizona

Atlanta

0.2

0.0

1.2

N. Y. Jets

Dallas

-6.4

-6.2

-7.1

Denver

Tennessee

3.2

3.0

2.9

LA Chargers

Pittsburgh

5.7

5.7

4.4

Green Bay

Detroit

5.9

7.2

6.3

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

Home

Visitor

Total

New England

N. Y. Giants

46

Tampa Bay

Carolina

52

Baltimore

Cincinnati

47.5

Cleveland

Seattle

48

Kansas City

Houston

54

Jacksonville

New Orleans

44

Minnesota

Philadelphia

45

Miami

Washington

46.5

LA Rams

San Francisco

53

Arizona

Atlanta

48

N. Y. Jets

Dallas

42

Denver

Tennessee

36.5

LA Chargers

Pittsburgh

43

Green Bay

Detroit

48

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

 

A F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New England

109.0

110.1

109.4

109.5

21.5

5-0

Buffalo

99.5

100.9

100.5

100.3

18

4-1

N. Y. Jets

93.3

94.3

92.9

93.5

21.5

0-4

Miami

86.1

85.9

85.3

85.8

26.5

0-4

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Baltimore

101.1

100.7

101.7

101.2

23

3-2

Cleveland

99.6

99.9

100.0

99.8

23

2-3

Pittsburgh

97.6

98.0

98.3

97.9

21.5

1-4

Cincinnati

94.3

94.0

94.5

94.3

24.5

0-5

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Houston

103.9

104.1

103.8

104.0

23

3-2

Tennessee

99.3

99.7

99.5

99.5

16.5

2-3

Indianapolis

98.9

99.8

99.2

99.3

22

3-2

Jacksonville

98.1

98.7

99.0

98.6

20

2-3

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Kansas City

105.1

105.6

105.0

105.2

31

4-1

LA Chargers

100.9

101.2

100.2

100.7

21.5

2-3

Denver

99.6

99.7

99.4

99.6

20

1-4

Oakland

96.8

96.9

97.5

97.1

23.5

3-2

N F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Philadelphia

106.1

104.1

103.9

104.7

24.5

3-2

Dallas

102.7

103.5

103.0

103.1

20.5

3-2

N.Y. Giants

95.0

95.5

96.3

95.6

24.5

2-3

Washington

91.7

92.9

92.4

92.3

20

0-5

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Minnesota

105.2

103.2

103.4

104.0

20.5

3-2

Green Bay

103.5

103.6

103.8

103.6

25

4-1

Chicago

105.6

102.2

102.6

103.5

19

3-2

Detroit

100.0

98.9

100.0

99.7

23

2-1-1

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New Orleans

106.6

103.3

103.5

104.5

24

4-1

Carolina

101.6

101.5

102.2

101.8

24

3-2

Tampa Bay

96.0

98.6

99.1

97.9

28

2-3

Atlanta

96.5

97.0

96.4

96.6

26

1-4

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

LA Rams

107.0

105.1

105.3

105.8

29

3-2

San Francisco

102.6

104.1

104.4

103.7

24

4-0

Seattle

103.1

102.9

103.0

103.0

25

4-1

Arizona

93.7

94.0

94.5

94.1

22

1-3-1

 

Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding

1

New England

2

Kansas City

3

Houston

4

Baltimore

5

Indianapolis

6

Buffalo

NFC Seeding

1

San Francisco

2

New Orleans

3

Green Bay

4

Philadelphia

5

Seattle

6

Minnesota

Wildcard Round

Buffalo over Houston

Indianapolis over Baltimore

Green Bay over Minnesota

Philadelphia over Seattle

 

 

Divisional Round

New England over Buffalo

Kansas City over Indianapolis

Philadelphia over San Francisco

New Orleans over Green Bay

 

 

Conference Championship

New England over Kansas City

New Orleans over Philadelphia

 

 

Super Bowl 54

New England over New Orleans

 

 

 

 

 

September 30, 2019

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 5: October 3-7, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

 

Margins

Home

Visitor

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Seattle

LA Rams

-1.1

0.8

0.7

Pittsburgh

Baltimore

-1.0

-0.3

-0.9

Oakland (n)

Chicago

-10.6

-7.1

-6.8

Cincinnati

Arizona

5.3

4.7

4.9

Carolina

Jacksonville

6.5

5.7

6.2

N.Y. Giants

Minnesota

-5.1

-2.0

-1.0

Washington

New England

-12.7

-12.3

-11.9

Philadelphia

N.Y. Jets

12.2

8.7

9.9

New Orleans

Tampa Bay

14.2

7.7

7.4

Houston

Atlanta

7.5

6.7

6.8

Tennessee

Buffalo

5.5

4.6

5.1

LA Chargers

Denver

6.6

7.0

6.5

Dallas

Green Bay

5.2

6.0

5.5

Kansas City

Indianapolis

12.5

12.3

12.5

San Francisco

Cleveland

1.5

2.6

2.7

 

Totals

Home

Visitor

Total

Seattle

LA Rams

53

Pittsburgh

Baltimore

44.5

Oakland (n)

Chicago

42.5

Cincinnati

Arizona

46.5

Carolina

Jacksonville

42

N.Y. Giants

Minnesota

45.5

Washington

New England

41.5

Philadelphia

N.Y. Jets

47

New Orleans

Tampa Bay

52

Houston

Atlanta

46

Tennessee

Buffalo

36

LA Chargers

Denver

42.5

Dallas

Green Bay

44.5

Kansas City

Indianapolis

54.5

San Francisco

Cleveland

48

 

(n)–Oakland vs. Chicago game played in London

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

 

A F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New England

108.1

109.1

108.3

108.5

21.5

4-0

Buffalo

97.9

99.3

98.7

98.6

18.5

3-1

N. Y. Jets

94.7

96.0

94.6

95.1

22.5

0-3

Miami

85.8

85.6

85.0

85.5

26.5

0-4

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Cleveland

101.7

102.0

102.2

102.0

23.5

2-2

Baltimore

101.1

100.7

101.7

101.2

23

2-2

Pittsburgh

97.6

98.0

98.3

97.9

21.5

1-3

Cincinnati

95.4

95.1

95.7

95.4

24.5

0-4

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Houston

102.7

102.7

102.3

102.6

21.5

2-2

Tennessee

100.4

100.8

100.8

100.7

17.5

2-2

Jacksonville

98.1

98.8

99.0

98.6

19

2-2

Indianapolis

97.1

97.9

97.2

97.4

23

2-2

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Kansas City

106.6

107.2

106.7

106.8

31.5

4-0

LA Chargers

102.5

102.9

102.0

102.4

22

2-2

Denver

98.4

98.4

98.0

98.3

20.5

0-4

Oakland

95.7

95.9

96.5

96.0

23.5

2-2

 

N F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Dallas

103.9

104.8

104.4

104.4

20

3-1

Philadelphia

105.0

102.7

102.5

103.4

24.5

2-2

N.Y. Giants

96.2

97.0

98.0

97.1

24.5

2-2

Washington

93.0

94.3

93.9

93.7

20

0-4

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Chicago

106.4

102.9

103.3

104.2

19

3-1

Minnesota

104.3

102.0

102.0

102.8

21

2-2

Green Bay

101.8

101.8

101.9

101.8

24.5

3-1

Detroit

99.7

98.6

99.7

99.4

23

2-1-1

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New Orleans

106.9

103.3

103.5

104.6

24

3-1

Carolina

101.6

101.4

102.2

101.7

23

2-2

Atlanta

98.3

99.0

98.5

98.6

24.5

1-3

Tampa Bay

95.7

98.6

99.1

97.8

28

2-2

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

LA Rams

107.1

105.1

105.3

105.8

28.5

3-1

Seattle

103.0

102.9

103.0

103.0

24.5

3-1

San Francisco

100.2

101.7

101.9

101.3

24.5

3-0

Arizona

93.1

93.4

93.8

93.4

22

0-3-1

 

Playoff Projections

 

AFC Seeding

1

New England

2

Kansas City

3

Cleveland

4

Jacksonville

5

Buffalo

6

LA Chargers

 

 

NFC Seeding

1

Seattle

2

New Orleans

3

Chicago

4

Philadelphia

5

LA Rams

6

Green Bay

 

Wildcard Round

LA Chargers over Cleveland

Buffalo over Jacksonville

Chicago over Green Bay

LA Rams over Philadelphia

 

 

Divisional Round

New England over LA Chargers

Kansas City over Buffalo

LA Rams over Seattle

Chicago over New Orleans

 

 

Conference Championship

Kansas City over New England

Chicago over LA Rams

 

 

Super Bowl 53

Kansas City over Chicago

 

 

 

 

 

September 25, 2019

PiRate Ratings Picks For September 26-30, 2019

After two dreadful weeks that saw our picks totally tank, we finally enjoyed a somewhat better week.  Right off the bat, we issued you this crazy money line parlay late in the week after receiving some “inside” information from a Sharp.  The 5-team parlay of:

Nebraska over Illinois

Boston College over Rutgers

Washington over BYU

Missouri over South Carolina

UAB over South Alabama

was right on the mark, and its payout was at +250, or $100 wagered would have resulted in cashing in a ticket of $350.  Remember, however, that we only issue these picks to you as entertainment for math nerds.  We NEVER wager real money on our selections.

The Davey19 experimental model enjoyed a modest $80 profit for the week, bringing the total for the year back to -$20.  Again, just like with all our recommendations, we do not encourage you wagering real money on this experimental, technical formula.

This week, we have spent more time devoted to the slate of games than any other week in the season to date, and there is good reason for it.  We have been trying to issue some steam picks, and isolate potential sandwich games.  In the process, we opened up our massive data bank of all the major books in North America waiting to pounce on changes in the numbers when we needed an extra half-point or one point.  In several instances, the swing didn’t come or it went the wrong way.  But, in others, we saw the public move the line in the direction we hoped they would move it, in other words, a lot of “square money” moving spreads an extra half-point in our favor.

Both our regular and experimental systems came up with a season high number of selections.  Let’s get down to business fun and reveal this week’s selections

 

PiRate Ratings Regular Selections

 

10-point Teaser

3-Team Parlay

10-12

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Michigan St.

Indiana

1

Michigan St.

Oklahoma St.

Kansas St.

14 1/2

Kansas St.

Ohio St.

Nebraska

7

Ohio St.

10-point Teaser

3-Team Parlay

10-12

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Iowa St.

Baylor

13

Baylor

Iowa

Middle Tenn.

13 1/2

Iowa

Notre Dame

Virginia

2 1/2

Notre Dame

10-point Teaser

3-Team Parlay

10-12

Team

Team

Total

Pick

Nebraska

Ohio St.

56 1/2

Over

Maryland

Penn St.

51 1/2

Over

Oklahoma St.

Kansas St.

70 1/2

Under

13-point Teaser

4-Team Parlay

10-13

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

UCLA

Arizona

6 1/2

Arizona

Cincinnati

Marshall

17

Marshall

South Carolina

Kentucky

16

Kentucky

Oklahoma

Texas Tech

14

Oklahoma

Money Line

Single Games

Upset Picks

WIN

LOSE

Spread

Pick

Marshall

Cincinnati

+160

Marshall

Duke

Virginia Tech

+120

Duke

Kansas St.

Oklahoma St.

+165

Kansas St.

Baylor

Iowa St.

+130

Baylor

North Carolina St.

Florida St.

+210

North Carolina St.

NFL Games

10-point Teaser

3-Team Parlay

10-12

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Pittsburgh

Cincinnati

14 1/2

Cincinnati

Baltimore

Cleveland

17

Cleveland

Chicago

Minnesota

12 1/2

Minnesota

10-point Teaser

3-Team Parlay

10-12

Team

Team

Total

Pick

Green Bay

Philadelphia

36

Over

Houston

Carolina

57 1/2

Under

Cleveland

Baltimore

55 1/2

Under

10-point Teaser

3-Team Parlay

10-12

Team

Team

Total

Pick

Washington

NY Giants

59 1/2

Under

Kansas City

Detroit

44 1/2

Over

New England

Buffalo

32

Over

10-point Teaser

3-Team Parlay

10-12

Team

Team

Total

Pick

Atlanta

Tennessee

56

Under

Dallas

New Orleans

37

Over

Minnesota

Chicago

48 1/2

Under

 

 

Davey19

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

California

Arizona St.

5

Arizona St.

Utah

Washington St.

6

Washington St.

Virginia Tech

Duke

3

Duke

Florida St.

North Carolina St.

7

North Carolina St.

Minnesota

Purdue

1

Minnesota

Stanford

Oregon St.

4 1/2

Oregon St.

Ohio St.

Nebraska

17 1/2

Nebraska

Cincinnati

Marshall

4

Marshall

Appalachian St.

Coastal Carolina

16

Coastal Carolina

Team

Team

Total

Pick

Washington

USC

61

Under

Arizona St.

California

42

Under

Auburn

Mississippi St.

47 1/2

Under

Indiana

Michigan St.

44 1/2

Under

Rutgers

Michigan

49

Under

Old Dominion

East Carolina

48

Under

Wisconsin

Northwestern

47

Under

Central Michigan

Western Michigan

60

Under

Indianapolis

Oakland

44 1/2

Over

Note: Check back with us on Friday.  We just may have another special or specials for you, but nothing like what we have issued in the past.  We are looking at a money line parlay or two that could produce odds of better than +500, and another one at odds of better than +1500!  And, best of all, neither the Miami Dolphins nor the UMass Minutemen have to win to make these selections pay off.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

September 9, 2019

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 2: September 12-16, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

Home

Visitors

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Carolina

Tampa Bay

11.3

7.1

7.4

Atlanta

Philadelphia

-4.5

-0.7

-1.1

Baltimore

Arizona

10.9

9.9

10.5

Cincinnati

San Francisco

5.0

2.7

3.6

Denver

Chicago

-3.1

1.8

1.5

Detroit

LA Chargers

-2.5

-4.8

-2.5

Green Bay

Minnesota

-1.9

0.8

0.7

Houston

Jacksonville

9.0

8.7

8.2

LA Rams

New Orleans

-0.4

1.7

1.6

Miami

New England

-13.2

-14.3

-13.3

N.Y. Giants

Buffalo

1.4

0.6

2.6

Oakland

Kansas City

-5.4

-6.1

-4.8

Pittsburgh

Seattle

0.4

0.6

1.2

Tennessee

Indianapolis

7.3

7.0

8.0

Washington

Dallas

-4.0

-2.5

-1.7

N.Y. Jets

Cleveland

1.5

2.6

1.3

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

Home

Visitors

Totals

Carolina

Tampa Bay

51

Atlanta

Philadelphia

49

Baltimore

Arizona

44

Cincinnati

San Francisco

50

Denver

Chicago

42

Detroit

LA Chargers

45

Green Bay

Minnesota

46

Houston

Jacksonville

43

LA Rams

New Orleans

54

Miami

New England

49

N.Y. Giants

Buffalo

44

Oakland

Kansas City

54.5

Pittsburgh

Seattle

48

Tennessee

Indianapolis

42.5

Washington

Dallas

41

N.Y. Jets

Cleveland

47.5

 

This Week’s NFL PiRate Ratings

 

Current NFL PiRate Ratings

A F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New England

105.5

106.6

105.5

105.9

23

1-0

N. Y. Jets

96.8

98.4

97.1

97.4

23.5

0-1

Buffalo

95.9

97.3

96.2

96.5

19.5

1-0

Miami

89.9

89.8

89.7

89.8

26

0-1

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Baltimore

102.2

101.7

103.0

102.3

22

1-0

Cincinnati

99.3

98.8

99.8

99.3

25.5

0-1

Pittsburgh

98.7

98.9

99.3

98.9

24

0-1

Cleveland

98.4

98.7

98.8

98.6

24

0-1

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Houston

102.6

102.7

102.3

102.6

23

0-1

Tennessee

101.1

101.5

101.8

101.5

19.5

1-0

Indianapolis

96.8

97.6

96.8

97.1

23

0-1

Jacksonville

96.1

96.6

96.6

96.4

20

0-1

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Kansas City

105.1

106.0

105.4

105.5

31

1-0

LA Chargers

103.7

104.4

103.4

103.8

23.5

1-0

Denver

99.4

99.7

99.5

99.5

21

0-1

Oakland

96.7

96.9

97.6

97.1

23.5

1-0

 

 

N F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Philadelphia

106.3

103.5

103.3

104.3

23

1-0

Dallas

102.3

103.1

102.4

102.6

20.5

1-0

Washington

95.4

97.6

97.7

96.9

20.5

0-1

N.Y. Giants

95.3

95.8

96.8

96.0

24.5

0-1

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Minnesota

104.8

102.5

102.6

103.3

22

1-0

Chicago

105.5

100.9

101.0

102.5

21

0-1

Green Bay

100.4

100.8

100.8

100.7

24

1-0

Detroit

98.1

96.6

97.8

97.5

21.5

0-0-1

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New Orleans

110.5

106.2

106.4

107.7

27

1-0

Carolina

100.8

100.2

100.9

100.6

24

0-1

Atlanta

98.8

99.8

99.2

99.2

26

0-1

Tampa Bay

92.0

95.6

96.0

94.5

27

0-1

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

LA Rams

107.1

104.9

105.0

105.7

27

1-0

Seattle

101.8

101.8

101.6

101.7

24

1-0

San Francisco

97.8

99.7

99.7

99.1

24.5

1-0

Arizona

94.9

95.3

96.0

95.4

22

0-0-1

 

 

This Week’s Playoff Projections

 

AFC Seeding

1

New England

2

Kansas City

3

Baltimore

4

Tennessee

5

LA Chargers

6

Houston

 

 

NFC Seeding

1

LA Rams

2

Dallas

3

Minnesota

4

New Orleans

5

Philadelphia

6

Green Bay

 

Wildcard Round

Houston over Baltimore

LA Chargers over Tennessee

Minnesota over Green Bay

Philadelphia over New Orleans

 

 

Divisional Round

New England over Houston

LA Chargers over Kansas City

LA Rams over Philadelphia

Dallas over Minnesota

 

 

Conference Championship

New England over LA Chargers

Dallas over LA Rams

 

 

Super Bowl 53

Dallas over New England

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

January 14, 2019

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for The Conference Championship Playoff Round: January 20, 2019

Sunday, January 20, 2019

NFC Championship Game

Los Angeles Rams 14-3-0 at New Orleans Saints 14-3-0

Time: 3:05 PM Eastern Standard Time

TV: Fox

Monday Line: New Orleans by 3 1/2

Total Line: 57

PiRate Ratings 

PiRate: New Orleans by 8.1

Mean: New Orleans by 7.8

Bias: New Orleans by 8.1

Total: 55 1/2

Expected Score: New Orleans 31  Los Angeles 24

 

AFC Championship Game

New England Patriots 12-5-0 at Kansas City Chiefs 13-4-0

Time: 6:40 PM Eastern Standard Time

TV: CBS

Monday Line: Kansas City by 3

Total Line: 57

PiRate Ratings 

PiRate: Kansas City by 4.4

Mean: Kansas City by 4.4

Bias: Kansas City by 4.3

Total: 53

Expected Score:  Kansas City 28  New England 24

 

60 Seasons Ago

The NFL as we know it today owes its popularity to 60 years ago at the conclusion of the 1958 regular season.  This would be the first ever live nationally televised NFL Championship Game.  Before you wonder why other games before were not shown from coast to coast, just 10 years before only a handful of cities had television stations.  In some cities, only a test pattern was shown for most or all of the day, and people would turn their sets on to see it!  So, TV was still in its adolescence in 1958.

The upstart Baltimore Colts, led by the young and talented quarterback Johnny Unitas, fullback Alan Ameche, and two incredible pass catchers in Raymond Berry and Lenny Moore won the West Division Championship with a 9-3 record, 8-1 in the games Unitas started and played.  That one loss was to the New York Giants, a team with the greatest ever combination of offensive and defensive coordinators.  Vince Lombardi directed the Giants’ offense, and Tom Landry led the Giants’ defense.

Before the Giants could host this game in Yankee Stadium, they had to play an extra game to get to the NFL Championship Game.  The Giants finished tied with Cleveland at 9-3, and even though they had swept the Browns in the regular season, in those days if teams finished tied at the top of a division race, they played again for the division title, and the NFL Championship Game was re-scheduled for a week later.

New York stopped Cleveland for a third time that year, holding the great Jim Brown to just eight yards rushing in a 10-0 shutout.  The Giants were the favorites, and Jim Lee Howell and his coaching staff were more than prepared to contain Unitas and move the ball on offense with a conservative smash-mouth style of offense.

Like I said previously, it is because of this game that the NFL became what it is today.  Overnight, sports fans throughout the country stopped talking about the New York Yankees chances of repeating as World Series champions in 1959 (they would not), or whether the great two-year old thoroughbred Sword Dancer would break the 11-year string and win the Triple Crown (2nd in the Derby and Preakness and won the Belmont).

NFL Football was at best the number three sport in America before this game.  Major League baseball was still the number one sport and the real American Pastime.  There were still just 16 teams in the big leagues, even though two had left the number one market for the West Coast.  College football was number two, and the recent champion LSU Tigers with their famous Chinese Bandits had generated a lot of the headlines that Autumn.

If by chance you do not know how the NFL Championship Game turned out and why it “made” NFL Football into the number one spectator sport in the nation, take a look at this video from NFL Films.

 

January 8, 2019

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for The Divisional Playoff Round: January 12-13, 2019

NFL Divisional Playoff Round Ratings and Information

 

Saturday, January 12, 2019

Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs

Time: 4:35 PM Eastern Standard

TV: NBC

Pirate Ratings Spreads

PiRate: Kansas City by 6.4 

Mean: Kansas City by 7.2

Bias: Kansas City by 5.7

Total: 55

Expected Score: Kansas City 31  Indianapolis 24

———————————————————————————-

Dallas Cowboys at Los Angeles Rams

Time: 8:15 PM Eastern Standard

TV: Fox 

Pirate Ratings Spreads

PiRate:  Los Angeles by 8.5

Mean: Los Angeles by 8.8

Bias: Los Angeles by 8.8

Total: 49.5

Expected Score: Los Angeles 30  Dallas 21

—————————————————————————-

Sunday, January 13, 2019

Los Angeles Chargers at New England Patriots

Time: 1:05 PM Eastern Standard

TV: CBS

PiRate Ratings Spreads

PiRate: New England by 3.5

Mean: New England by 2.8

Bias: New England by 2.7

Total: 45.5

Expected Score: New England 24  Los Angeles 21

———————————————————————————-

Philadelphia Eagles at New Orleans Saints

Time: 4:40 PM Eastern Standard

TV: Fox

PiRate Ratings Spreads

PiRate: New Orleans by 12.8 

Mean: New Orleans by 12.5

Bias: New Orleans by 12.4

Total: 49

Expected Score: New Orleans 31  Philadelphia 17

December 25, 2018

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 17: December 30, 2018

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias Total
New Orleans Carolina 10.5 11.0 10.7 50
Houston Jacksonville 7.6 8.1 8.6 42
Green Bay Detroit 5.2 5.9 5.8 48
Tampa Bay Atlanta -2.1 -1.8 -1.0 50.5
N.Y. Giants Dallas 0.5 0.7 1.3 42.5
New England N.Y. Jets 12.4 13.0 12.7 47.5
Buffalo Miami 1.4 1.9 1.8 40
Minnesota Chicago 0.8 0.9 0.0 42.5
Kansas City Oakland 17.0 17.1 16.9 52.5
Pittsburgh Cincinnati 15.1 15.2 15.5 48
Baltimore Cleveland 9.7 9.8 9.2 44
Washington Philadelphia -8.2 -8.9 -8.4 45.5
Seattle Arizona 15.2 15.9 16.4 41
L.A. Rams San Francisco 13.5 13.7 13.5 49
Denver L.A. Chargers -4.7 -5.5 -5.4 43
Tennessee Indianapolis -2.0 -1.4 -2.6 45

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
New England 105.0 105.1 104.9 105.0 22.5 10-5
N. Y. Jets 95.1 94.6 94.7 94.8 25 4-11
Miami 94.0 93.6 93.6 93.7 23 7-8
Buffalo 92.9 93.0 92.9 92.9 17 5-10
North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Pittsburgh 107.2 107.4 107.4 107.3 24.5 8-6-1
Baltimore 104.5 104.9 104.7 104.7 20 9-6
Cleveland 97.7 98.1 98.5 98.1 24 7-7-1
Cincinnati 95.1 95.2 94.9 95.1 23.5 6-9
South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Indianapolis 102.9 102.3 103.3 102.8 25.5 9-6
Houston 102.4 102.5 103.0 102.6 24.5 10-5
Tennessee 98.8 98.9 98.8 98.8 19.5 9-6
Jacksonville 97.3 96.9 96.9 97.0 17.5 5-10
West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Kansas City 106.8 107.0 106.6 106.8 31 11-4
LA Chargers 104.3 105.0 104.8 104.7 23.5 11-4
Denver 98.7 98.5 98.4 98.5 19.5 6-9
Oakland 92.2 92.4 92.3 92.3 21.5 4-11
N F C
East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Philadelphia 102.4 102.6 102.5 102.5 23.5 8-7
Dallas 100.5 100.3 99.9 100.2 19.5 9-6
N.Y. Giants 97.5 97.5 97.7 97.6 23 5-10
Washington 94.3 93.7 94.1 94.0 22 7-8
North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Chicago 104.9 105.1 105.8 105.3 22 11-4
Minnesota 103.3 103.4 103.3 103.3 20.5 8-6-1
Green Bay 99.8 100.2 99.7 99.9 25 6-8-1
Detroit 97.6 97.3 96.8 97.2 23 5-10
South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
New Orleans 112.3 112.3 112.3 112.3 27 13-2
Atlanta 100.0 99.9 99.8 99.9 25.5 6-9
Carolina 99.8 99.3 99.5 99.5 23 6-9
Tampa Bay 95.9 96.1 96.8 96.3 25 5-10
West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
LA Rams 106.5 106.7 106.3 106.5 28 12-3
Seattle 104.6 104.7 105.2 104.8 23.5 9-6
San Francisco 95.5 95.5 95.3 95.4 21 4-11
Arizona 91.9 91.3 91.2 91.5 17.5 3-12

 

The Playoff Scenarios

AFC

1.) Kansas City Chiefs

If the Chiefs beat Oakland, they win the #1 seed in the AFC and will have homefield advantage throughout the playoffs to the Super Bowl.

If the Chiefs lose to Oakland, then they can fall to the #5 seed if the Chargers beat Denver.  If the Chargers also lose, then the Chiefs will still win the AFC West, but they could fall to the #2 seed if New England or Houston wins, and the #3 seed if both New England and Houston win.

 

2.) New England Patriots

If the Patriots beat the New York Jets, they can be no worse than the #2 seed no matter what Houston does.  If the Pats beat the Jets and Kansas City loses to Oakland, New England will grab the #1 seed and get homefield advantage throughout the AFC Playoffs.

If the Patriots lose to the Jets, and Baltimore beats Cleveland, then the Patriots lose a first round bye and will be the #3 seed if Indianapolis beats Tennessee and the #4 seed if Tennessee beats Indianapolis.

If the Patriots lose and Baltimore also loses, New England retains the #2 seed if Indianapolis beats Tennessee, but they fall to the #3 seed if Baltimore loses but Tennessee beats Indianapolis.

 

3.) Houston Texas

Houston can still earn the #1 seed, if the Texans beat Jacksonville, while Kansas City and New England both lose.  If Houston wins but either Kansas City or New England win their games, the Texans would be the #2 seed.  If Houston wins but Kansas City and New England both win, then Houston gets the #3 seed.

If Houston loses to Jacksonville, then the Texans fall into a wildcard spot, as the winner of the Tennessee-Indianapolis game would win the AFC South.  Houston would fall to a #6 seed with a loss.

 

4. ) Baltimore Ravens or Pittsburgh Steelers

If the Ravens beat Cleveland, they are the AFC North Champion.  They can earn the #2 seed if Houston and New England both lose.  They will earn the #3 seed if they win and either New England or Houston loses.  They will earn the #4 seed if both New England and Houston win.

If the Ravens lose, but Pittsburgh also loses, they will be the #4 seed, but if the Ravens lose and Pittsburgh wins, the Steelers will win the AFC North, and the Ravens will be eliminated.  In the rare event that Pittsburgh wins and Baltimore ties Cleveland, then Pittsburgh will win the tiebreaker and become the AFC North champions and #4 Seed.

If Pittsburgh and Baltimore both win, then the Steelers could only squeak in as a Wildcard team if Indianapolis and Tennessee were to tie.

 

5.) Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers can still win the AFC West and wrap up the top seed in the AFC if they beat Denver and Oakland beats Kansas City.  If Kansas City and the Chargers both win, then the Chargers are the #5 seed.

If the Chargers lose to Denver, then they are the #5 seed regardless of the outcomes of any other games.

 

6.) Tennessee Titans or Indianapolis Colts

Since this is the Sunday Night Game, both teams will know their fate when this game kicks off.

First, the winner of this game will be in the playoffs, while the loser will not be in the playoffs.  If the game ties, then either Indianapolis will be in the playoffs and Tennessee will be out, or both teams will be eliminated if Pittsburgh and Baltimore both win.

If Houston loses earlier in the day, then the winner of this game will win the AFC South.

If Tennessee beats Indianapolis:

The Titans can move up as high as the #2 seed if they beat the Colts, while New England, Houston, and Baltimore all lose.  The Titans can earn the #3 seed, if they beat the Colts, while New England and Houston lose but Baltimore wins or While Houston loses and Baltimore loses.  The Titans can earn the #4 seed if they beat the Colts, while Houston loses, and New England and Baltimore win.

If Tennessee beats Indianapolis, while Baltimore, New England, and Houston win, the Titans are the #6 seed.

If Indianapolis beats Tennessee:

The Colts can move no higher than a #3 seed if Houston loses to Jacksonville and Baltimore loses to Cleveland, no matter what happens in the other games.  If Indianapolis wins, Houston loses, and Baltimore wins, then the Colts are the #4 seed.

If Indianapolis wins and Houston wins, then the Colts are the #6 seed

 

NFC

1.) New Orleans Saints

The Saints have clinched the #1 overall seed in the NFC and have homefield advantage throughout the NFC playoffs.  Thus, they can rest Drew Brees and other key players this week in a meaningless game against Carolina.

 

2.) Los Angeles Rams

If the Rams beat San Francisco or Chicago loses to Minnesota, the Rams are the #2 seed.

If the Rams lose to the 49ers, while Chicago beats Minnesota, the Rams fall to a #3 seed and lose a first round bye.

 

3.) Chicago Bears

If Chicago wins and the Rams lose, the Bears get a bye and the #2 seed.

If Chicago wins and the Rams win, or if the Bears lose, they will be the #3 seed.

 

4.) Dallas Cowboys

Dallas is the automatic #4 seed, win or lose against the Giants.  The Cowboys will rest their starters in a meaningless game that could be Eli Manning’s last in a Giants’ uniform.

 

5.) Seattle Seahawks

The Seahawks have clinched a Wildcard berth in the NFC Playoffs.  If Seattle wins, or Minnesota loses, then the Seahawks are the #5 seed.  If Seattle loses and Minnesota wins, the Seahawks fall to the #6 seed.

 

6.) Minnesota Vikings or Philadelphia Eagles

If Minnesota beats Chicago, the Vikings earn a Wildcard Bid, and would be the #5 seed if Seattle loses and the #6 seed if Seattle wins.

If Minnesota loses, then if Philadelphia beats Washington, the Eagles will earn the Wildcard bid and #6 seed, and the Vikings would be eliminated.

If both Minnesota and Philadelphia lose, then the Vikings sneak in as the #6 seed.

In the rare event that Minnesota ties Chicago, the Vikings would still be the #6 seed at 8-6-2, even if Philadelphia wins to get to 9-7.

 

 

 

 

December 21, 2018

PiRate Ratings Selections for December 22-28 Bowls and NFL Week 16

The Land Sharps’ results from last week cannot be published yet, because all five have action on games being played today.

We will note that to date, the favorite has won every bowl game, something that is totally opposite of last year’s bowl season.  Not that it will continue, but if you are a money line player, you should maybe see this as a trend that maybe this year the Line originators in Nevada did a better job than last year, when over half of the games were won outright by the underdog.

Here are this week’s Land Sharp Picks for bowl games beginning, Saturday, December 22 through Friday, December 28.

 

1.) Cal Gal Tiffany

Hawaii  Pk vs.  Louisiana Tech
Washington St. -3 vs.  Iowa State
Georgia Tech  -5 vs.  Minnesota

 

2.) Stewed Meat

Troy +2 vs. Buffalo
Boise State  -2 vs. Boston College
Army -5 vs.  Houston

 

3.) Buckeye Michelle

California -1 vs. TCU
Houston +5 vs. Army
Miami (Fla.)  -3 vs.  Wisconsin

 

4.) Dean615

TCU +1 vs California
Miami (Fla.)  -3 vs.  Wisconsin
Duke +4.5 vs. Temple

 

5.) Friday Dog 13

Duke +4.5 vs. Temple
Vanderbilt -3.5 vs. Baylor
Washington St.  -3 vs. Iowa St.

 

The PiRate Ratings Picks

Our teaser plays moderated back to mediocre last week.  Let’s hope it is a bump in the road and not a new trend, because we are sticking with our teaser plays.

10-point teasers
Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Tennessee Washington 13.5 Washington
Tampa Bay Dallas 3 Dallas
N.Y. Giants Indianapolis 1 Indianapolis
Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Philadelphia Houston 11.5 Houston
Miami Jacksonville 14 Jacksonville
Green Bay N.Y. Jets 13 N.Y. Jets
Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Cleveland Cincinnati 20 Cincinnati
Detroit Minnesota 4 Minnesota
New England Buffalo 3.5 New England
Team Team Total Pick
Tennessee Washington 27 OVER
L.A. Chargers Baltimore 33 OVER
Indianapolis N.Y. Giants 36.5 OVER
Team Team Total Pick
Miami Jacksonville 48.5 UNDER
N.Y. Jets Green Bay 36.5 OVER
Cincinnati Cleveland 34 OVER
Team Team Total Pick
Minnesota Detroit 32 OVER
New England Buffalo 54.5 UNDER
Atlanta Carolina 33.5 OVER
Team Team Total Pick
Chicago San Francisco 33 OVER
L.A. Rams Arizona 34 OVER
Pittsburgh New Orleans 63 UNDER
13-point teaser
Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Baltimore L.A. Chargers 9 L.A. Chargers
Atlanta Carolina 16 Carolina
L.A. Rams Arizona 1.5 L.A. Rams
Kansas City Seattle 16 Seattle

Notice:  The Land Sharps and the PiRate Ratings publish this information for entertainment purposes only.  None of this group actually wagers real money on their picks, and we encourage you not to do so either.

 

 

 

December 18, 2018

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 16: December 20-24, 2018

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias Totals
Tennessee Washington 6.9 7.5 6.8 41.5
L.A. Chargers Baltimore 4.8 5.2 5.4 44.5
Dallas Tampa Bay 7.2 6.8 5.7 44.5
Indianapolis N.Y. Giants 9.0 8.5 9.4 47.5
Philadelphia Houston 3.2 3.4 2.7 46.5
Miami Jacksonville -0.2 0.1 0.3 42
N.Y. Jets Green Bay -2.4 -3.3 -2.7 48
Cleveland Cincinnati 4.8 4.8 5.6 47.5
Detroit Minnesota -1.2 -1.5 -1.6 44.5
New England Buffalo 15.5 15.8 15.6 39.5
Carolina Atlanta 3.5 3.5 4.0 50
San Francisco Chicago -6.7 -6.7 -7.7 45
Arizona L.A. Rams -10.5 -11.4 -10.9 47
New Orleans Pittsburgh 8.0 7.8 8.0 50.5
Seattle Kansas City -0.2 -0.3 0.5 52.5
Oakland Denver -6.2 -6.0 -6.2 41

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
New England 105.2 105.4 105.2 105.3 22.5 9-5
N. Y. Jets 94.9 94.4 94.5 94.6 24 4-10
Miami 94.6 94.3 94.4 94.4 23.5 7-7
Buffalo 92.7 92.7 92.6 92.6 17 5-9
North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Pittsburgh 107.0 107.2 107.1 107.1 24 8-5-1
Baltimore 103.3 103.6 103.3 103.4 20.5 8-6
Cleveland 97.5 97.8 98.3 97.9 24 6-7-1
Cincinnati 95.3 95.5 95.1 95.3 23.5 6-8
South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Indianapolis 103.1 102.5 103.5 103.0 25 8-6
Houston 102.3 102.4 102.9 102.5 24 10-4
Tennessee 98.7 98.8 98.6 98.7 19.5 8-6
Jacksonville 96.7 96.2 96.1 96.3 18.5 4-10
West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Kansas City 107.3 107.5 107.1 107.3 30 11-3
LA Chargers 105.0 105.8 105.7 105.5 24 11-3
Denver 99.8 99.7 99.7 99.7 19.5 6-8
Oakland 91.1 91.2 91.0 91.1 21.5 3-11
N F C
East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Philadelphia 102.5 102.7 102.6 102.6 22.5 7-7
Dallas 100.6 100.4 100.0 100.3 19.5 8-6
N.Y. Giants 97.0 97.0 97.2 97.1 22.5 5-9
Washington 94.4 93.8 94.3 94.2 22 7-7
North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Chicago 105.0 105.2 105.9 105.4 23 10-4
Minnesota 102.5 102.5 102.3 102.4 21 7-6-1
Green Bay 99.8 100.2 99.7 99.9 24 5-8-1
Detroit 98.8 98.6 98.2 98.5 23.5 5-9
South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
New Orleans 112.5 112.5 112.6 112.5 26.5 12-2
Carolina 100.7 100.3 100.6 100.5 24 6-8
Atlanta 99.6 99.4 99.2 99.4 26 5-9
Tampa Bay 95.9 96.1 96.8 96.3 25 5-9
West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
LA Rams 105.7 105.9 105.5 105.7 28.5 11-3
Seattle 104.1 104.2 104.7 104.3 22.5 8-6
San Francisco 95.4 95.4 95.2 95.3 22 4-10
Arizona 92.7 92.1 92.0 92.3 18.5 3-11

 

This Week’s Playoff Projections

These projections are not to be confused with how the seedings would be if the playoffs started today.  They forecast the final two weeks of games.

AFC Seeding
1 L.A. Chargers
2 New England
3 Houston
4 Pittsburgh
5 Kansas City
6 Tennessee

 

NFC Seeding
1 New Orleans
2 L.A. Rams
3 Chicago
4 Dallas
5 Seattle
6 Minnesota

 

Playoff Projections

Wildcard Round
Houston over Tennessee
Pittsburgh over Kansas City
Chicago over Minnesota
Seattle over Dallas

 

Divisional Round
L.A. Chargers over Houston
New England over Pittsburgh
New Orleans over Seattle
Chicago over L.A. Rams

 

Conference Championships
L.A. Chargers over New England
New Orleans over Chicago

 

Super Bowl LIII
L.A. Chargers over New Orleans

 

What Would Happen If…

There is a chance that both the Los Angeles Rams and the Los Angeles Chargers could host their conference championship games.  There has always been a chance that the New York Jets and New York Giants could one year host their conference championship games.  In the future, once they occupy the same new colossus mega stadium, the Rams and Chargers could host their conference championship games in the same year.

Conference Championship Games are always on Sundays.  What that means, is there is maybe a 5% chance that the Rams and Chargers could end up hosting on this day.  While it would be okay having both networks in the City of Angels on the same day for separate games, once these teams share a home field (and if the world ever comes to an end and the Jets and Giants host conference championship games), it will not be possible to have doubleheaders on the same field on the same day.

Can you imagine the logistical nightmare it would cause to have the AFC Championship Game at 10 AM Pacific Time, followed by the NFC Championship at 1:30 PM Pacific Time on the same field?  First of all, it would be impossible.  Everybody in the stands would have to be escorted out of the stadium, before ticket holders for the second game could enter.  There would be about 15 to 20 minutes max for this to happen.  Like I said, this is impossible.

Next, the field itself would have to be transformed with new logos, as well as having any field damage repaired.  In the case of a game in East Rutherford, NJ, what if the weather conditions were 35 degrees with rain?  After 60 minutes of action, the next game would inherit very sloppy field conditions.  I did say impossible.

Now, what if the first game ended regulation with the game tied, and this game became a repeat of the 1971 Miami-Kansas City game at the old Municipal Stadium up on the hill in Kansas City.   What if the first game didn’t end until 2:30 PM Pacific Time?  The second game network would have to fill over an hour of time waiting for a game to end, when 99.9% of the football watching public would be tuned to the other game.  Once again, it is impossible.

I haven’t even mentioned that the teams in the second game need time to warm up on the field.  15 to 20 minutes is not enough.  They need at least an hour.  If you have to make a decision a week before to change the start times of the games, the network brass at CBS and Fox get very upset.  They cannot just make impromptu changes to their schedule a week in advance.  Only very important breaking news makes it okay to alter a TV schedule one week in advance.  The networks would say “impossible.”

However impossible it is, there is a chance that it could happen.  So what would happen if it did?  Yes, there is a contingency plan in place to cover this possibility.  If the same stadium is to host both conference championship games, one will be moved to Monday Night.  Yep, there could be a conference championship on Monday Night Football, but it would not be the regular MNF crew or network.  If it was the AFC game, it would be on CBS, and if it was the NFC game, it would be on Fox.

You might ask, has a network other than ABC or ESPN ever televised a Monday Night game?  The answer is “yes.”

It is a misnomer to believe that Monday Night Football on ABC in 1970 was the first time that NFL games were played and televised on Monday night.  Before there was MNF featuring Howard Cosell, CBS televised a handful of NFL games on Monday night during the 1960’s.  The games started at 9:30 PM Eastern Time, but because games concluded in 2 1/2 hours in those days, they were finished at Midnight.  One of the best games in this group was a 1968 game between an unbeaten Dallas team and a Green Bay Packer team coached by Phil Bengston, who was not having a rough time replacing Vince Lombardi, as the Packers were 2-3-1, but still in the race in the weak NFL Central Division.

Dallas led 10-0, and Green Bay looked more like an expansion team in the opening quarter plus.   Then, the great Bart Starr took the aging Packers on his shoulder and guided them back like it was 1966 again.  Starr threw three touchdown passes in the next quarter plus, and Green Bay took a 21-10 lead.  Starr threw another TD pass in the fourth quarter, and the Packers once again owned the Cowboys with a 28-17 win.

The American Football League also played a couple of Monday Night games in the 1960s, televised on NBC.  One notable game involved Broadway Joe Namath and the New York Jets playing host to the Houston Oilers in a game that would put the winner in first place in the AFL East at the midway point of the season.  Namath was victimized with a pick six by Zeke Moore early in the game, and he was somewhat of a disappointment that night with additional interceptions, but he also completed multiple long bomb passes to speedster Don Maynard, and the Jets pulled out the victory thanks to Jim Turner kicking four field goals, a couple from near midfield (goalposts were on the goalline then and not on the end line like today).

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

December 10, 2018

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 15: December 13-17, 2018

Filed under: Pro Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 10:07 pm

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias Totals
Kansas City L.A. Chargers 6.3 5.8 5.7 54
N.Y. Jets Houston -4.7 -5.2 -5.7 48
Denver Cleveland 6.0 5.7 5.2 44.5
Chicago Green Bay 7.8 7.5 8.9 47.5
Minnesota Miami 9.5 9.7 9.1 43.5
Buffalo Detroit -4.2 -4.2 -4.1 42
Baltimore Tampa Bay 10.5 10.9 10.1 46.5
Atlanta Arizona 7.7 7.9 7.6 43.5
Cincinnati Oakland 5.2 5.2 4.9 45
N.Y. Giants Tennessee 4.2 4.3 4.9 43
Jacksonville Washington 6.2 6.3 6.0 41.5
Indianapolis Dallas 2.4 1.5 3.0 45.5
San Francisco Seattle -7.1 -7.4 -8.3 44.5
Pittsburgh New England 4.0 3.8 3.7 47.5
L.A. Rams Philadelphia 9.5 9.8 9.7 51
Carolina New Orleans -9.9 -10.5 -10.4 51.5

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
New England 105.6 105.9 105.8 105.8 23 9-4
Miami 95.3 95.1 95.3 95.2 23 7-6
N. Y. Jets 95.0 94.5 94.6 94.7 24 4-9
Buffalo 92.5 92.4 92.2 92.3 18 4-9
North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Pittsburgh 106.6 106.7 106.5 106.6 24.5 7-5-1
Baltimore 103.5 103.9 103.7 103.7 21 7-6
Cleveland 97.2 97.5 98.0 97.6 24.5 5-7-1
Cincinnati 94.6 94.7 94.2 94.5 23.5 5-8
South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Houston 102.2 102.3 102.8 102.4 24 9-4
Indianapolis 101.2 100.4 101.4 101.0 25.5 7-6
Tennessee 97.4 97.4 97.1 97.3 20 7-6
Jacksonville 97.5 97.1 97.1 97.2 19 4-9
West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Kansas City 107.6 107.8 107.5 107.6 30 11-2
LA Chargers 104.2 105.0 104.8 104.7 24 10-3
Denver 100.3 100.2 100.2 100.2 20 6-7
Oakland 91.8 92.0 91.9 91.9 21.5 3-10
N F C
East PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Dallas 101.8 101.8 101.4 101.7 20 8-5
Philadelphia 100.8 100.9 100.7 100.8 22.5 6-7
N.Y. Giants 98.6 98.7 99.0 98.8 23 5-8
Washington 93.9 93.2 93.6 93.6 22.5 6-7
North PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
Chicago 105.0 105.2 106.0 105.4 23 9-4
Minnesota 101.8 101.7 101.4 101.6 20.5 6-6-1
Green Bay 99.8 100.2 99.6 99.8 24.5 5-7-1
Detroit 99.2 99.1 98.8 99.0 24 5-8
South PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
New Orleans 112.8 112.9 113.1 112.9 27 11-2
Carolina 100.4 99.9 100.1 100.1 24.5 6-7
Atlanta 98.5 98.2 97.9 98.2 25.5 4-9
Tampa Bay 95.9 96.0 96.6 96.2 25.5 5-8
West PiRate Mean Bias Avg Totals W-L
LA Rams 107.4 107.7 107.4 107.5 28.5 11-2
Seattle 104.8 105.0 105.6 105.1 22.5 8-5
San Francisco 94.7 94.6 94.3 94.5 22 3-10
Arizona 93.8 93.3 93.3 93.5 18 2-11

 

This Week’s Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1 Kansas City
2 Houston
3 New England
4 Pittsburgh
5 L.A. Chargers
6 Miami

 

NFC Seeding
1 New Orleans
2 L.A. Rams
3 Chicago
4 Dallas
5 Seattle
6 Minnesota

 

Wildcard Round
New England over Miami
L.A. Chargers over Pittsburgh
Chicago over Minnesota
Dallas over Seattle

 

Divisional Round
Kansas City over L.A. Chargers
Houston over New England
New Orleans over Dallas
L.A. Rams over Chicago

 

Conference Championship
Kansas City over Houston
L.A. Rams over New Orleans

 

Super Bowl 53
Kansas City over L.A. Rams

 

 

 

 

 

 

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