The Pi-Rate Ratings

January 16, 2023

PiRate Ratings NFL Divisional Playoff Round–January 21-22, 2023

Margins

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Kansas CityJacksonville11.19.79.3
PhiladelphiaN.Y. Giants10.18.58.1
BuffaloCincinnati5.54.94.1
San FranciscoDallas2.22.83.1

Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
Kansas CityJacksonville51
PhiladelphiaN.Y. Giants45
BuffaloCincinnati49.5
San FranciscoDallas47.5

January 3, 2023

PiRate Ratings NFL For Week 18–January 7-8, 2023

Margins

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
AtlantaTampa Bay-3.5-2.5-2.6
BuffaloNew England8.58.38.0
ChicagoMinnesota-6.1-5.8-6.3
CincinnatiBaltimore5.46.16.8
Green BayDetroit7.36.26.3
IndianapolisHouston4.63.33.7
JacksonvilleTennessee9.810.911.3
MiamiN.Y. Jets4.64.24.3
New OrleansCarolina6.65.45.8
PhiladelphiaN.Y. Giants9.88.17.8
PittsburghCleveland1.92.72.8
WashingtonDallas-8.5-8.8-9.1
DenverLA Chargers-2.0-2.2-3.2
Las VegasKansas City-7.5-7.0-6.7
San FranciscoArizona11.311.812.5
SeattleLA Rams3.13.64.5

Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
AtlantaTampa Bay44.5
BuffaloNew England42.5
ChicagoMinnesota49
CincinnatiBaltimore42.5
Green BayDetroit49.5
IndianapolisHouston39.5
JacksonvilleTennessee41.5
MiamiN.Y. Jets41
New OrleansCarolina41
PhiladelphiaN.Y. Giants46
PittsburghCleveland39.5
WashingtonDallas44.5
DenverLA Chargers41
Las VegasKansas City55
San FranciscoArizona44
SeattleLA Rams42.5

Week 18 PiRate Ratings

A F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Buffalo108.8108.5108.3108.52312-3
New England103.3103.1103.3103.219.58-8
Miami100.3100.399.9100.223.58-8
N.Y. Jets98.799.198.798.817.57-9
NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Cincinnati105.9106.1106.6106.225.511-4
Baltimore102.6102.0101.8102.11710-6
Cleveland100.299.7100.0100.0217-9
Pittsburgh99.699.9100.399.918.58-8
SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Jacksonville101.9103.0103.1102.7238-8
Tennessee95.195.194.895.018.57-9
Indianapolis92.792.592.392.5204-11-1
Houston89.690.790.290.119.52-13-1
WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Kansas City109.0108.5108.0108.52913-3
LA Chargers101.3102.1102.0101.824.510-6
Las Vegas99.599.599.399.4266-10
Denver97.397.996.897.316.54-12
N F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Dallas106.9106.7107.1106.926.512-4
Philadelphia106.1105.4105.4105.625.513-3
N.Y. Giants97.498.398.698.120.59-6-1
Washington95.995.395.595.6187-8-1
NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Green Bay103.6103.1103.6103.4238-8
Detroit99.3100.0100.399.926.58-8
Minnesota99.399.199.399.227.512-4
Chicago91.191.390.991.121.53-13
SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
New Orleans101.9101.0101.5101.518.57-9
Tampa Bay100.299.599.599.721.58-8
Carolina97.397.697.797.522.56-10
Atlanta95.295.595.495.3236-10
WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
San Francisco104.7105.0105.5105.020.512-4
Seattle99.399.4100.099.6228-8
LA Rams99.398.898.598.920.55-11
Arizona96.496.295.996.223.54-12

Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1Kansas City
2Cincinnati
3Buffalo
4Jacksonville
5LA Chargers
6Baltimore
7New England
NFC Seeding
1San Francisco
2Dallas
3Minnesota
4Tampa Bay
5Philadelphia
6New York Giants
7Green Bay

Wildcard Round
New England over Cincinnati
Baltimore over Buffalo
Jacksonville over LA Chargers
Green Bay over Dallas
N.Y. Giants over Minnesota
Tampa Bay over Philadelphia
Divisional Round
Kansas City over New England
Jacksonville over Baltimore
San Francisco over Green Bay
Tampa Bay over N.Y. Giants
Conference Championship
Kansas City over Jacksonville
San Francisco over Tampa Bay
Super Bowl 57 (Glendale, AZ)
Kansas City over San Francisco

December 27, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Tuesday, December 27, 2022

HomeVisitorSpread
Texas A&MNorthwestern State15.9
Notre DameJacksonville6.4
TexasTexas A&M-Commerce27.6
MarquetteSeton Hall6.9
Texas TechSouth Carolina State28.2

December 26, 2022

PiRate Ratings NFL Football Week 17–Dec. 29-Jan. 2

This Week’s Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
TennesseeDallas-8.7-8.3-8.9
AtlantaArizona1.82.52.6
BaltimorePittsburgh7.87.16.5
DetroitChicago7.17.48.0
HoustonJacksonville-6.2-6.1-6.4
Kansas CityDenver16.115.016.0
New EnglandMiami6.46.36.8
N.Y. GiantsIndianapolis3.85.05.3
PhiladelphiaNew Orleans10.811.210.9
Tampa BayCarolina5.44.23.9
WashingtonCleveland0.60.70.9
Las VegasSan Francisco-2.7-3.0-3.7
SeattleN.Y. Jets0.90.31.3
Green BayMinnesota3.22.72.9
LA ChargersLA Rams-1.8-0.5-0.5
CincinnatiBuffalo-1.8-1.4-0.7

This Week’s Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
TennesseeDallas45
AtlantaArizona47.5
BaltimorePittsburgh36.5
DetroitChicago48
HoustonJacksonville43.5
Kansas CityDenver44.5
New EnglandMiami43
N.Y. GiantsIndianapolis39.5
PhiladelphiaNew Orleans46
Tampa BayCarolina42
WashingtonCleveland40
Las VegasSan Francisco43.5
SeattleN.Y. Jets41.5
Green BayMinnesota49.5
LA ChargersLA Rams45
CincinnatiBuffalo48.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Buffalo111.3111.0110.8111.02312-3
New England103.4103.2103.4103.319.57-8
N.Y. Jets100.0100.5100.1100.218.57-8
Miami100.0100.099.699.923.58-7

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Cincinnati106.4106.6107.1106.725.511-4
Baltimore103.4102.9102.7103.017.510-5
Pittsburgh98.698.899.298.9197-8
Cleveland98.998.398.598.621.56-9

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Jacksonville100.0101.0101.0100.723.57-8
Tennessee95.395.495.295.318.57-8
Indianapolis94.594.394.294.319.54-10-1
Houston91.392.592.191.9202-12-1

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Kansas City109.6109.1108.8109.228.512-3
LA Chargers99.3100.199.999.824.59-6
Las Vegas99.499.499.299.324.56-9
Denver96.597.195.896.5164-11

N F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Philadelphia107.8107.2107.3107.426.513-2
Dallas106.5106.2106.5106.426.511-4
Washington97.096.596.896.818.57-7-1
N.Y. Giants95.496.396.596.1208-6-1

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Green Bay101.7101.1101.5101.422.57-8
Minnesota101.0100.9101.2101.02712-3
Detroit97.498.098.397.926.57-8
Chicago92.893.192.792.921.53-12

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Tampa Bay100.199.399.299.520.57-8
New Orleans100.099.099.499.519.56-9
Carolina97.297.697.897.521.56-9
Atlanta95.195.595.495.323.55-10

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
San Francisco104.6104.9105.4104.91911-4
LA Rams101.1100.6100.4100.720.55-10
Seattle97.897.898.498.0237-8
Arizona96.396.095.796.0244-11

This Week’s Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1Kansas City
2Cincinnati
3Buffalo
4Jacksonville
5Baltimore
6LA Chargers
7New England
NFC Seeding
1Philadelphia
2Minnesota
3San Francisco
4Tampa Bay
5Dallas
6New York Giants
7Washington

Wildcard Round
Cincinnati over New England
Buffalo over LA Chargers
Jacksonville over Baltimore
Minnesota over Washington
San Francisco over N.Y. Giants
Dallas over Tampa Bay

Divisional Round
Kansas City over Jacksonville
Cincinnati over Buffalo
Philadelphia over Dallas
San Francisco over Minnesota

Conference Championship
Cincinnati over Kansas City
San Francisco over Philadelphia

Super Bowl 57 (Glendale, AZ)
Cincinnati over San Francisco

December 19, 2022

PiRate Ratings NFL for Week 16: December 24-26, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
N.Y. JetsJacksonville5.14.64.4
BaltimoreAtlanta11.010.210.0
CarolinaDetroit0.50.1-0.4
ChicagoBuffalo-15.3-14.8-14.8
ClevelandNew Orleans3.34.03.9
Kansas CitySeattle14.814.313.4
MinnesotaN.Y. Giants9.08.08.2
New EnglandCincinnati-0.4-0.5-0.8
TennesseeHouston8.77.68.0
San FranciscoWashington9.310.210.2
DallasPhiladelphia1.31.41.4
PittsburghLas Vegas2.22.43.0
MiamiGreen Bay2.13.12.3
LA RamsDenver2.01.12.0
ArizonaTampa Bay-0.60.30.4
IndianapolisLA Chargers1.00.00.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
N.Y. JetsJacksonville43.5
BaltimoreAtlanta42.5
CarolinaDetroit47
ChicagoBuffalo44.5
ClevelandNew Orleans42.5
Kansas CitySeattle53
MinnesotaN.Y. Giants47
New EnglandCincinnati45
TennesseeHouston38.5
San FranciscoWashington36
DallasPhiladelphia51
PittsburghLas Vegas45.5
MiamiGreen Bay46
LA RamsDenver34
ArizonaTampa Bay45.5
IndianapolisLA Chargers46.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Buffalo111.0110.7110.4110.72311-3
New England103.5103.4103.6103.519.57-7
N.Y. Jets101.3101.8101.5101.519.57-7
Miami100.4100.6100.2100.423.58-6

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Cincinnati106.3106.4106.9106.525.510-4
Baltimore103.5103.0102.8103.118.59-5
Cleveland99.699.199.499.422.56-8
Pittsburgh98.698.899.298.9206-8

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Jacksonville98.799.799.699.3246-8
Tennessee96.496.596.496.418.57-7
Indianapolis95.995.795.895.8214-9-1
Houston90.291.490.990.8201-12-1

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Kansas City109.6109.1108.8109.22911-3
Las Vegas99.499.499.299.325.56-8
Denver99.099.698.599.0154-10
LA Chargers97.998.798.398.325.58-6

N F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Philadelphia108.0107.5107.7107.725.513-1
Dallas106.3105.9106.1106.125.510-4
Washington97.697.197.597.4187-6-1
N.Y. Giants95.296.196.295.8208-5-1

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Minnesota101.2101.1101.5101.22711-3
Green Bay101.3100.5100.9100.922.56-8
Detroit98.399.099.598.9267-7
Chicago93.193.493.193.221.53-11

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Tampa Bay100.099.098.899.3216-8
New Orleans99.398.298.598.7205-9
Carolina96.396.696.696.5215-9
Atlanta95.095.495.395.2245-9

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
San Francisco104.0104.3104.7104.31810-4
LA Rams98.698.197.998.2194-10
Seattle97.897.898.498.0247-7
Arizona96.496.396.196.324.54-10

This Week’s Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1Buffalo
2Kansas City
3Cincinnati
4Jacksonville
5Baltimore
6Miami
7LA Chargers
NFC Seeding
1Philadelphia
2Minnesota
3San Francisco
4Tampa Bay
5Dallas
6New York Giants
7Detroit

Wildcard Round
Kansas City over LA Chargers
Cincinnati over Miami
Jacksonville over Baltimore
Detroit over Minnesota
San Francisco over N.Y. Giants
Dallas over Tampa Bay

Divisional Round
Buffalo over Jacksonville
Cincinnati over Kansas City
Philadelphia over Detroit
San Francisco over Dallas

Conference Championship
Cincinnati over Buffalo
Philadelphia over San Francisco

Super Bowl 57 (Glendale, AZ)
Philadelphia over Cincinnati

October 13, 2021

PiRate Picks–October 16-17, 2021

If you are like us here on the aging PiRate ship, you probably grew up in the 1950’s, 1960’s, or 1970’s watching Wile E. Coyote chase the Roadrunner every Saturday morning. He always had a great plan, and of course, he was Acme Products’ best customer. Every plan came “this close” to working. But, in the end, he fell hundreds of feet to the canyon floor and made a splat.

That’s how last week’s episode of the PiRate Picks turned out to be. We chose the best games we saw at Acme Handicapping. We came “this close” to having an incredibly successful week. Two of the long shot parlays won and returned big payouts. With less than five minutes to go in three other selections, we were on the winning side. Alas, at the last second the Roadrunners of the gridiron made their Beep Beep sounds and ran off to safety, leaving our three selections to make a splat at the bottom of the canyon.

Ah, but here’s the rub. Just like Wile E. Coyote, who has endless funds to continue obtaining more great Acme products, our imaginary bank account is just as endless with funds. Just like Wile E., we can go splat on the canyon floor and get right back up and go at it again, because any financial losses are just as fake as the images drawn on a cartoon.

Thus, we have six more Money Line picks this week after suffering a minute net loss last week. For the year, our return on imaginary investment is -1%. It’s not a big negative, but comically, this feature usually returns a small profit every year. However, we would never play these picks, because we prefer to sleep at night. We encourage you to follow our lead. Read it for a laugh, just like you make when you see Wile E. falling off the cliff yet again.

Date:

October 14-18

Odds:+309.14
Must WinOpponent
South AlabamaGeorgia Southern
Northern IllinoisBowling Green
UtahArizona St.


Odds:+218.93
Must WinOpponent
Utah St.UNLV
Boston CollegeNorth Carolina St.


Odds:+185
Must WinOpponent
Virginia TechPittsburgh


Odds:+248
Must WinOpponent
Kent St.Western Michigan


Odds:+187
Must WinOpponent
Central MichiganToledo


Odds:+152.44
Must WinOpponent
MiamiJacksonville
DenverLas Vegas

September 15, 2021

PiRate Picks For September 16-20, 2021

After a swing and a miss on opening week of the football season, last week we went two for two with big wins. Not only did we win both of our Money Line Parlays, we mentioned a first week NFL system that has worked well over the course of a couple of decades. We told you that even though we are only issuing Money Line Parlays this year, that playing the NFL underdogs of 1/2 to 3 points in Week 1 was a winning proposition. There were seven such underdogs last week, and playing them and the points went 5-2.

For the year, our pretend bank account has wagered pretend money on four games, $400 at $100 per wager, and we have received $604.56 in return from the pretend book. That’s a return on investment of 51.14%.

Now, the pressure is on to keep that profit and not give it back to the imaginary book. We begin including NFL games this week, and we have chosen four different parlays, each with more than +120 odds. Additionally, we are doing something we have only done three or four times in the last decade–combine a college game and NFL game into a parlay. We are number’s enthusiasts here on the PiRate ship, so sometimes we are left with orphan numbers needing to go to a matchmaking service. Combining college and pro football games into a hopeful match is rare for us, but there is no real reason not to do it. We just like to know at 1 AM on Sundays whether we won or not.

Enjoy these four parlays, but remember that these are for entertainment purposes only. We strongly urge you not to wager real money on these picks unless you have done your own research, and this feature merely verifies your own findings.

This Week’s Money Line Parlays

Date:
Sept 16-20

Odds:

+182
Must WinOpponent
Kansas St.Nevada
TroySouthern Miss.

Odds:+126.42
Must WinOpponent
Mississippi St.Memphis
DenverJacksonville

Odds:+140.08
Must WinOpponent
LA RamsIndianapolis
Kansas CityBaltimore

Odds:+127.91
Must WinOpponent
ArizonaMinnesota
SeattleTennessee

January 15, 2018

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast For Conference Championship Games: January 21, 2018

All times given are Eastern Standard

Sunday, January 21, 2018

3:05 PM on CBS

Jacksonville Jaguars (11-6-0) at New England Patriots (14-3-0)

PiRate: New England by 7.6

Mean: New England by 8.0

Bias: New England by 7.4

Total: 44

Estimated Realistic Score: New England 27  Jacksonville 17 

 

6:40 PM on Fox

Minnesota Vikings (14-3-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (14-3-0)

PiRate: Minnesota by 2.0

Mean: Minnesota by 1.2

Bias:  Minnesota by 2.1

Total: 37

Estimated Realistic Score: Minnesota 20  Philadelphia 17

January 8, 2018

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast For Divisional Playoff Round: January 13-14, 2018

All times given are Eastern Standard

Saturday, January 13, 2018

4:35 PM on NBC

Atlanta Falcons (11-6-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (13-3-0)

PiRate: Philadelphia by 5.2

Mean: Philadelphia by 5.6

Bias: Philadelphia by 5.1

Total: 46

Estimated Realistic Score: Philadelphia 26  Atlanta 20

 

8:15 PM on CBS

Tennessee Titans (10-7-0) at New England Patriots (13-3-0)

PiRate: New England by 11.5

Mean: New England by  11.5

Bias: New England by 11.7

Total: 44

Estimated Realistic Score: New England 28  Tennessee 16

 

Sunday, January 14, 2018

1:05 PM on CBS

Jacksonville Jaguars (11-6-0) at Pittsburgh Steelers (13-3-0)

PiRate: Pittsburgh by 6.1

Mean: Pittsburgh by 6.4

Bias: Pittsburgh by 5.9

Total: 43

Estimated Realistic Score: Pittsburgh 24 Jacksonville 17

 

4:40 PM on Fox Sports

New Orleans Saints (12-5-0) at Minnesota Vikings (13-3-0)

PiRate: Minnesota by 4.7

Mean: Minnesota by 4.8

Bias: Minnesota by 4.8

Total: 46

Estimated Realistic Score: Minnesota 24  New Orleans 20

January 1, 2018

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast For Wildcard Playoff Round: January 6-7, 2018

All times given are Eastern Standard Time

Saturday, January 6, 2018

4:20 PM on ESPN

Tennessee Titans (9-7-0) at Kansas City Chiefs (10-6-0)

PiRate: Kansas City by 8.1

Mean: Kansas City by 8.0

Bias: Kansas City by 8.7

Total: 45

Estimated Realistic Score: Kansas City 27  Tennessee 17

 

8:15 PM on NBC

Atlanta Falcons (10-6-0) at Los Angeles Rams (11-5-0)

PiRate: Los Angeles by 5.4

Mean: Los Angeles by 5.0

Bias: Los Angeles by 5.7

Total: 48

Estimated Realistic Score: Los Angeles 27  Atlanta 21

 

Sunday, January 7, 2018

1:05 PM on CBS

Buffalo Bills (9-7-0) at Jacksonville Jaguars (10-6-0)

PiRate: Jacksonville by 9.4

Mean: Jacksonville by 8.9

Bias: Jacksonville by 9.5

Total: 42

Estimated Realistic Score: Jacksonville 26  Buffalo 16

 

4:40 PM on Fox

Carolina Panthers (11-5-0) at New Orleans Saints (11-5-0)

PiRate: New Orleans by 5.8

Mean: New Orleans by 5.9

Bias: New Orleans by 6.0

Total: 53

Estimated Realistic Score: New Orleans 28  Carolina 24

 

 

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