The Pi-Rate Ratings

October 10, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Football–October 12-16, 2021

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 7:05 am

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
LouisianaAppalachian St.5.23.83.3
South AlabamaGeorgia Southern5.95.35.2
MemphisNavy8.19.28.7
SyracuseClemson-16.5-16.5-18.6
North TexasMarshall-7.9-7.7-8.7
San Jose St.San Diego St.-5.6-5.1-7.0
OregonCalifornia18.615.617.9
Northern IllinoisBowling Green17.315.317.0
North CarolinaMiami (Fla.)2.03.34.0
Virginia TechPittsburgh4.93.13.7
KansasTexas Tech-16.2-18.9-20.6
IndianaMichigan St.1.10.82.0
WisconsinArmy11.611.613.6
BuffaloOhio U11.49.49.6
South CarolinaVanderbilt21.021.521.6
South FloridaTulsa-3.3-4.0-3.3
Boston CollegeNorth Carolina St.-0.20.90.8
MinnesotaNebraska-1.8-1.3-0.4
Miami (O)Akron24.223.724.1
CincinnatiCentral Florida24.325.225.0
VirginiaDuke16.717.218.0
NorthwesternRutgers3.01.12.1
Eastern MichiganBall St.0.5-1.2-0.5
New MexicoColorado St.-8.9-9.0-11.0
ColoradoArizona11.811.811.3
Boise St.Air Force8.07.47.6
UtahArizona St.1.40.50.2
WyomingFresno St.0.8-0.1-0.4
WashingtonUCLA1.42.52.4
Louisiana-MonroeLiberty-29.5-30.4-32.9
BaylorBYU7.06.95.4
MissouriTexas A&M-12.1-12.3-13.0
TexasOklahoma St.11.39.811.3
OklahomaTCU14.914.013.9
Central MichiganToledo2.92.22.9
Southern Miss.UAB-14.7-13.8-14.7
IowaPurdue17.217.217.0
Mississippi St.Alabama-17.5-16.4-18.5
Western MichiganKent St.1.70.61.3
Old DominionWestern Kentucky-9.1-9.8-9.6
GeorgiaKentucky26.624.927.4
LSUFlorida-5.9-6.6-5.9
TennesseeOle Miss-4.9-5.0-4.8
Texas St.Troy-4.6-7.0-6.8
Kansas St.Iowa St.-10.8-9.4-11.4
ArkansasAuburn1.52.41.0
UTSARice16.817.517.0
UNLVUtah St.-1.9-3.8-2.2
UTEPLouisiana Tech-7.1-6.7-7.1
Washington St.Stanford-0.4-0.2-0.2
NevadaHawaii10.812.511.1

FBS vs. FCS Game

FBSFCSPiRate
ConnecticutYale2.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Georgia135.0
2Alabama129.1
3Ohio St.126.3
4Oklahoma124.2
5Cincinnati122.0
6Iowa St.120.8
7Iowa119.5
8Texas118.8
9Florida118.5
10Clemson117.5
11Ole Miss116.9
12Penn St.116.9
13Texas A&M116.3
14Auburn115.6
15Arizona St.115.2
16Arkansas114.3
17Michigan114.1
18Notre Dame113.4
19T C U113.0
20Utah112.9
21Oregon112.8
22U S C112.4
23Coastal Carolina112.2
24Kentucky111.8
25Baylor111.4
26Oklahoma St.111.0
27Nebraska110.4
28North Carolina110.0
29Oregon St.109.9
30Miami (Fla.)109.8
31U C L A109.7
32Wisconsin109.7
33Michigan St.109.5
34L S U109.3
35West Virginia109.0
36Wake Forest109.0
37Tennessee109.0
38Washington108.9
39Mississippi St.108.7
40NC State108.3
41BYU107.9
42Indiana107.8
43Liberty107.4
44Kansas St.107.3
45Virginia Tech106.7
46Louisiana106.4
47Minnesota106.2
48Pittsburgh105.8
49Boston College105.8
50Purdue105.3
51Appalachian St.105.3
52Boise St.105.2
53Stanford104.9
54Virginia104.7
55Houston104.2
56Maryland103.0
57Louisville102.8
58SMU102.2
59San Diego St.102.0
60Texas Tech101.8
61Washington St.101.6
62Florida St.101.5
63Nevada101.3
64Missouri100.8
65Fresno St.100.6
66Air Force100.5
67Army100.4
68UCF100.2
69Georgia Tech99.8
70Colorado99.7
71South Carolina99.3
72California98.4
73Miami (Ohio)98.1
74East Carolina97.9
75Wyoming97.7
76Rutgers97.6
77Syracuse97.3
78Northwestern97.1
79U A B97.0
80U T S A96.8
81Ball St.96.3
82Central Michigan95.8
83Toledo95.6
84Tulsa95.3
85Tulane94.8
86Kent St.94.5
87Hawaii93.8
88Buffalo93.8
89Georgia St.93.6
90San Jose St.93.6
91Illinois93.5
92Eastern Michigan93.4
93Western Michigan93.2
94Memphis93.1
95Colorado St.93.0
96Florida Atlantic92.6
97Marshall92.0
98Troy91.7
99South Alabama91.4
100Arizona91.1
101Duke90.4
102Utah St.90.4
103Louisiana Tech89.7
104Northern Illinois88.8
105USF88.8
106Georgia Southern88.4
107Western Kentucky87.9
108Navy86.9
109Middle Tennessee86.5
110Ohio86.1
111U N L V85.3
112Arkansas St.83.5
113Texas St.83.1
114Charlotte83.1
115Rice82.3
116Temple81.5
117North Texas81.4
118Vanderbilt80.9
119New Mexico80.9
120Southern Miss.80.6
121U T E P80.3
122Kansas80.2
123Florida Int’l.77.7
124Old Dominion76.4
125Akron76.1
126Bowling Green74.8
127UL-Monroe74.5
128New Mexico St.71.0
129UMass71.0
130Connecticut70.1

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati121.4121.1123.6122.0
Houston104.4103.4104.9104.2
SMU101.8102.3102.5102.2
UCF100.198.9101.6100.2
East Carolina97.797.198.897.9
Tulsa95.495.495.295.3
Tulane95.193.695.794.8
Memphis92.693.193.593.1
USF89.188.489.088.8
Navy87.086.587.386.9
Temple80.882.181.681.5

AAC Averages96.896.597.697.0

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson116.8116.9118.7117.5
Wake Forest109.2108.5109.4109.0
NC State108.6108.0108.2108.3
Boston College105.4105.9106.0105.8
Louisville102.4102.1103.8102.8
Florida St.101.3101.5101.7101.5
Syracuse97.497.597.197.3

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
North Carolina109.3109.5111.1110.0
Miami (Fla.)110.3109.2110.1109.8
Virginia Tech107.4106.3106.4106.7
Pittsburgh105.5106.3105.7105.8
Virginia104.1105.4104.5104.7
Georgia Tech99.899.999.799.8
Duke90.491.389.590.4

ACC Averages104.8104.9105.1105.0

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma125.4123.3124.0124.2
Iowa St.121.4119.8121.2120.8
Texas119.6117.9118.8118.8
T C U113.5112.4113.1113.0
Baylor112.0111.4110.7111.4
Oklahoma St.111.3111.1110.5111.0
West Virginia110.6108.8107.8109.0
Kansas St.107.6107.5106.8107.3
Texas Tech101.9102.2101.2101.8
Kansas82.780.377.680.2

Big 12 Averages110.6109.5109.2109.7

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.125.8125.7127.4126.3
Penn St.115.7116.5118.4116.9
Michigan113.4114.4114.6114.1
Michigan St.109.6109.6109.4109.5
Indiana107.6107.4108.4107.8
Maryland104.1102.7102.0103.0
Rutgers96.798.797.397.6

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Iowa119.1118.8120.6119.5
Nebraska110.0110.4110.7110.4
Wisconsin109.1109.1110.7109.7
Minnesota105.2106.1107.3106.2
Purdue104.9104.5106.6105.3
Northwestern97.297.396.997.1
Illinois93.393.493.893.5

Big Ten Averages108.0108.2108.9108.4

Conference USA
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Florida Atlantic91.993.292.892.6
Marshall92.091.892.492.0
Western Kentucky87.088.588.387.9
Middle Tennessee86.286.187.286.5
Charlotte82.183.283.983.1
Florida Int’l.77.177.778.377.7
Old Dominion75.976.776.776.4

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U A B96.997.097.197.0
U T S A96.697.296.896.8
Louisiana Tech89.990.488.989.7
Rice82.382.282.382.3
North Texas81.681.581.181.4
Southern Miss.80.281.180.480.6
U T E P80.381.279.380.3

CUSA Averages85.786.386.186.0

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame112.7113.3114.1113.4
BYU108.0107.4108.3107.9
Liberty106.6107.5108.1107.4
Army100.5100.5100.1100.4
New Mexico St.71.472.169.671.0
UMass72.271.669.371.0
Connecticut70.671.368.470.1

Indep. Averages91.792.091.191.6

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)99.797.796.998.1
Kent St.94.295.693.794.5
Buffalo94.593.593.493.8
Ohio85.586.686.386.1
Akron77.576.074.876.1
Bowling Green75.275.773.574.8

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ball St.96.997.095.096.3
Central Michigan96.795.495.295.8
Toledo96.395.794.895.6
Eastern Michigan95.093.292.093.4
Western Michigan93.393.792.593.2
Northern Illinois90.088.588.088.8

MAC Averages91.290.789.790.5

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.105.0104.8105.7105.2
Air Force100.0100.4101.1100.5
Wyoming97.397.798.297.7
Colorado St.92.892.993.493.0
Utah St.90.191.090.190.4
New Mexico81.381.579.980.9

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
San Diego St.102.3101.8101.9102.0
Nevada100.7102.1101.0101.3
Fresno St.99.5100.9101.6100.6
Hawaii93.993.693.993.8
San Jose St.94.294.192.493.6
U N L V85.784.885.485.3

MWC Averages95.295.595.495.4

Pac-12 Conference
North Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oregon111.9112.8113.8112.8
Oregon St.109.8109.8110.1109.9
Washington107.8109.3109.5108.9
Stanford104.5105.4104.7104.9
Washington St.101.2102.2101.5101.6
California96.3100.298.998.4

South Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Arizona St.114.6115.4115.6115.2
Utah113.0112.9112.8112.9
U S C112.1112.0113.0112.4
U C L A109.4109.8110.0109.7
Colorado100.299.799.299.7
Arizona91.490.990.991.1

Pac-12 Averages106.0106.7106.7106.5

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia134.5134.6136.1135.0
Florida117.7119.2118.5118.5
Kentucky110.9112.7111.7111.8
Tennessee109.0108.7109.2109.0
Missouri100.9101.3100.3100.8
South Carolina99.799.498.999.3
Vanderbilt81.680.980.380.9

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama129.2128.3129.9129.1
Ole Miss116.9116.7117.0116.9
Texas A&M116.0116.6116.3116.3
Auburn115.9115.0116.0115.6
Arkansas114.3114.4114.0114.3
L S U108.8109.6109.6109.3
Mississippi St.108.7108.9108.4108.7

SEC Averages111.7111.9111.9111.8

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Coastal Carolina112.7110.9112.8112.2
Appalachian St.104.8104.5106.6105.3
Georgia St.94.093.393.693.6
Troy91.591.991.991.7
Georgia Southern88.488.888.288.4

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana107.1105.3106.9106.4
South Alabama91.891.690.991.4
Arkansas St.83.784.182.883.5
Texas St.84.482.482.683.1
UL-Monroe75.175.173.274.5

Sun Averages93.392.892.993.0

Conference Ratings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern111.8
2Big 12109.7
3Big Ten108.4
4Pac-12106.5
5Atlantic Coast105.0
6American Athletic97.0
7Mountain West95.4
8Sun Belt93.0
9Independents91.6
10Mid-American90.5
11Conference USA86.0

Bowl Projections

BowlTeamTeam
BahamasFlorida AtlanticNorthern Illinois
CureSMUCoastal Carolina
BocaLouisianaAir Force
New MexicoUTEPWyoming
IndependenceBYUUAB
Lending TreeKent St.San Jose St.
L. A.San Diego St.Arizona St.
New OrleansLouisiana TechLiberty
Myrtle BeachCharlotteAppalachian St.
Famous Idaho PotatoWestern MichiganBoise St.
FriscoUtah St.Washington St.
Armed ForcesArmyWashington
GasparillaWestern Ky.Fresno St.
HawaiiEast CarolinaHawaii
CamelliaBall St.South Alabama
Quick LaneCentral MichiganMarshall
MilitaryVirginiaHouston
BirminghamMTSUEastern Michigan
First ResponderMemphisKansas St.
LibertyTCUArkansas
HolidayNorth Carolina St.Utah
Guaranteed RateIndianaTexas Tech
FenwayCentral FloridaUTSA
PinstripePittsburghRutgers
Cheez-ItBoston CollegeBaylor
AlamoIowa St.UCLA
Duke’s MayoWake ForestMississippi St.
Music CityMinnesotaTennessee
Las VegasWisconsinOregon St.
Tax Slayer GatorVirginia TechAuburn
Tony The Tiger SunNorth CarolinaUSC
ArizonaToledoNevada
CitrusPenn St.Ole Miss
OutbackMichiganFlorida
TexasTexasTexas A&M
PeachClemsonAlabama
FiestaNotre DameMichigan St.
RoseOregonIowa
SugarKentuckyOklahoma St.
CottonOhio St.Cincinnati
OrangeGeorgiaOklahoma
ChampionshipGeorgiaOhio St.

October 6, 2021

PiRate Picks–October 9-10, 2021

Last week, time constraints limited this weekly feature to the bare minimum. We have plenty of time this week, so rather than just list the games we have chosen, there’s time to go a little more in-depth with our selections.

First, we made a minimal profit of imaginary revenue last week, as we hit on the long odds 4-game parlay at +372.50 with Texas beating TCU, Wake Forest beating Louisville, South Carolina beating Troy, and Oklahoma State holding on to edge Baylor.

This week presented us with numerous opportunities where certain factors triggered plays. We ended up trimming it to eight parlays, and all but one game coming on Saturday. We had one key Sunday game but could not find an NFL partner for the game, so it attached to other college games to give us the biggest odds of the week. Without further adieu, here are our picks for this week. Remember, this is for entertainment purposes only, and we highly encourage you not to wager real money on these selections, unless you have other research that the information herein merely endorses.

Odds:+153.06
Must WinOpponent
Wake ForestSyracuse
BaylorWest Virginia

This first parlay is cut and dry. We believe that the public is not all that high on the two favorites. Wake Forest is supposed to be weak most years, but Dave Clawson has the Demon Deacons creeping up on Clemson for best in the Atlantic Division of the ACC. Baylor came oh so close to knocking off Oklahoma State in Stillwater last week. Had they pulled that win off, the Bears might be approaching the Top 10. West Virginia has played a tough schedule in a short time, and we feel they might show some fatigue in this game.

Odds:+155
Must WinOpponent
UTSAWestern Kentucky

Obviously, this is not a parlay. It is one of four games where we are picking an underdog to win straight up. Western Kentucky is due to bounce after getting up and playing a close game at Michigan State, while UTSA has quietly started 5-0 with a Power 5 win.

Odds:+160
Must WinOpponent
TexasOklahoma

It hasn’t been often in the last 15 years that we went into the second weekend in October believing that Texas would beat Oklahoma. Oklahoma has been narrowly escaping with wins over mediocre competition. After getting pasted at Arkansas, Texas has begun to look like a team ready to compete for the Big 12 Championship Game. We consider this a tossup game, so we go with the better odds and the underdog.

Odds:+160
Must WinOpponent
NebraskaMichigan

This is more of a system play. Nebraska won by more than 38 points in a conference game and now plays a conference home game the next week. In a high percentage of cases like this, the home team continues to play at the same top level it played the previous week. Additionally, Michigan is on the road for the second consecutive week in a key conference game. This has the look of a traditional upset.

Odds:+161.90
Must WinOpponent
San Jose St.Colorado St.
Bowling GreenAkron

The key game here is the San Jose State-Colorado State game. We feel like the wrong team is favored. However, playing SJSU in a single game does not supply us with the odds we look for when playing Money Lines. So, we added the Bowling Green game to it to make a parlay that has fat payout odds. The betting public may not see how much the Falcons have improved this year, while Akron remains one of the five worst teams in the FBS.

Odds:+188.93
Must WinOpponent
IowaPenn St.
TennesseeSouth Carolina
Arizona St.Stanford

This is the first of three big-odds payouts we are playing this week. In the first game in this parlay, our ratings show Iowa at the present time to be good enough to run the table and make the Playoffs. Penn State looks like a 10-2 team destined to play on New Year’s Day in Florida. Kirk Ferentz may have his best team in Iowa City.

In the second leg of this parlay, Tennessee fits the same criteria that Nebraska faces. They won by 38 points against a conference opponent and play at home this week against another conference opponent. While South Carolina’s defense is considerably better than Missouri’s, their offense is not as sharp, and we believe Josh Heupel’s Vols are sitting on another great performance.

The third part of this parlay is simply a case where we believe Arizona State is clearly superior to Stanford on both sides of the ball and should win by double digits.

Odds:+195.50
Must WinOpponent
South AlabamaTexas St.
Kent St.Buffalo
WisconsinIllinois

South Alabama looks to be 10-14 points better than Texas State, and when we saw the Money Line odds on this game, it was the first one that went into our play pool. Kent State has a score to settle with Buffalo. In the weird Covid year of 2020, The Golden Flashes only managed to get four games in the books. Buffalo was the last, and Kent State went into this game 3-0 and averaging 53 points per game. Buffalo was also 3-0. The Bulls hung 70 points on the Flashes. Kent State gets their revenge this week.

Wisconsin is the best 1-3 team in America. It is odd how many times unforced errors have hurt the Badgers in their three losses. The Badgers don’t particularly like their rival to the south, and we expect UW to win this game by a large margin.

Odds:+241.12
Must WinOpponent
Central MichiganOhio U
BYUBoise St.
CarolinaPhiladelphia

Finally, we come to our biggest odds play of the week. We only found one NFL game we wanted to play based on the Money Line odds, so we had to parlay the Carolina Panthers with a couple of college games.

While 2021 looks like a so-so year for Central Michigan, Ohio is in a state of flux after former coach Frank Solich retired during the Summer. The Bobcats are almost sleep-walking through games this year, which can be attributed to growing pains.

Boise State is a mere shell of its former self under Bryan Harsin. New coach Andy Avalos inherited 16 returning starters, but the Broncos never played up to their potential last year and appear to be repeating it this year. Maybe, they were just a bit overrated?

BYU has shown the world that they were more than just Zach Wilson last year. The Cougars’ defense is top notch, while the offense is a bit more deliberate this year, but it helps the defense perform even better. Other than the fact that the Cougars may be looking ahead a tad to next week’s game at Baylor, everything here looks like a BYU win.

Carolina should be a heavier favorite over Philadelphia. The loss to Dallas has been factored a bit too heavily. We like the Panthers solely because their Money Line odds are so favorable this week.

October 3, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Football–October 7-9, 2021

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 9:32 am

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
TulaneHouston-4.6-4.9-4.0
Arkansas St.Coastal Carolina-26.7-23.6-27.4
CincinnatiTemple43.041.043.9
Florida Int’l.Charlotte-0.3-0.7-0.5
Arizona St.Stanford12.612.413.3
North CarolinaFlorida St.17.818.220.2
RutgersMichigan St.-8.0-5.5-6.6
MassachusettsConnecticut0.4-1.4-0.9
SyracuseWake Forest-11.1-10.2-11.9
Central FloridaEast Carolina5.65.06.1
Ohio St.Maryland17.719.021.6
Bowling GreenAkron3.35.75.0
ToledoNorthern Illinois11.312.712.5
Kent St.Buffalo-0.32.2-0.2
DukeGeorgia Tech-6.7-5.9-7.7
Western MichiganBall St.4.55.36.4
LibertyMiddle Tennessee22.823.923.1
LouisvilleVirginia1.60.03.0
Air ForceWyoming5.14.84.9
BYUBoise St.9.89.69.8
MarshallOld Dominion22.621.622.5
Colorado St.San Jose St.-3.0-2.9-0.5
USCUtah7.47.59.2
Washington St.Oregon St.-9.3-8.2-9.6
TennesseeSouth Carolina9.08.79.5
NavySMU-12.2-13.6-13.2
Texas TechTCU-5.8-4.0-5.7
AuburnGeorgia-14.6-15.5-16.1
KentuckyLSU-0.20.8-0.8
BaylorWest Virginia-1.00.20.3
MissouriNorth Texas25.025.725.3
Texas St.South Alabama-6.0-8.2-7.3
UABFlorida Atlantic5.73.84.5
FloridaVanderbilt38.640.840.5
TulsaMemphis5.04.23.4
Louisiana-MonroeGeorgia St.-11.9-11.1-13.5
IllinoisWisconsin-10.3-10.0-11.3
Eastern MichiganMiami (O)-2.8-2.5-3.3
Texas (N)Oklahoma-4.9-4.1-3.7
NebraskaMichigan0.0-0.6-0.5
TroyGeorgia Southern5.35.36.1
Ohio UCentral Michigan-9.3-6.8-7.3
Texas A&MAlabama-14.3-12.8-15.3
Ole MissArkansas6.05.97.0
Southern Miss.UTEP5.86.27.8
Western KentuckyUTSA-7.3-6.2-5.9
IowaPenn St.6.04.44.6
Virginia TechNotre Dame-2.1-4.2-5.1
ArizonaUCLA-14.3-15.2-15.2
San Diego St.New Mexico24.023.325.0
NevadaNew Mexico St.32.433.134.5

28 Teams Off This Week!

Appalachian St.
Army
Boston College
California
Clemson
Colorado
Fresno St.
Hawaii
Indiana
Iowa St.
Kansas
Kansas St.
Louisiana
Louisiana Tech
Miami (Fla.)
Minnesota
Mississippi St.
North Carolina St.
Northwestern
Oklahoma St.
Oregon
Pittsburgh
Purdue
Rice
South Florida
UNLV
Utah St.
Washington

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Georgia134.4
2Alabama131.1
3Oklahoma123.4
4Ohio St.122.8
5Cincinnati121.5
6Iowa St.120.5
7Iowa119.7
8Texas119.1
9Florida118.3
10Penn St.117.7
11Ole Miss117.2
12Clemson117.2
13Auburn116.0
14U S C115.2
15Arizona St.114.9
16North Carolina114.1
17Texas A&M114.0
18Michigan113.9
19Arkansas113.9
20Notre Dame113.4
21Oregon112.5
22L S U112.2
23Coastal Carolina111.8
24West Virginia111.8
25Oregon St.111.8
26T C U111.5
27Oklahoma St.110.7
28Nebraska110.6
29Wake Forest110.2
30Utah110.1
31BYU109.9
32Miami (Fla.)109.5
33U C L A109.5
34Kentucky109.2
35Baylor108.6
36Washington108.6
37Wisconsin108.5
38Michigan St.108.4
39Mississippi St.108.4
40NC State108.0
41Indiana107.5
42Tennessee107.2
43Liberty107.1
44Kansas St.107.0
45Virginia Tech106.6
46Maryland106.4
47Louisiana106.1
48Minnesota105.9
49Pittsburgh105.5
50Boston College105.5
51Stanford105.1
52Purdue105.0
53Appalachian St.105.0
54Virginia104.6
55Texas Tech103.3
56Boise St.103.2
57Louisville103.1
58Houston103.0
59SMU102.6
60Missouri102.5
61San Diego St.102.0
62Nevada101.2
63South Carolina101.1
64Fresno St.100.3
65UCF100.3
66Army100.2
67Air Force100.1
68Georgia Tech99.8
69Washington St.99.8
70Colorado99.4
71Rutgers98.7
72Miami (Ohio)98.5
73Florida St.98.4
74California98.1
75Wyoming98.1
76East Carolina97.7
77Toledo97.1
78U T S A96.9
79Northwestern96.8
80Central Michigan96.3
81Western Michigan96.2
82Syracuse96.1
83Tulane96.0
84San Jose St.96.0
85U A B95.9
86Illinois95.5
87Buffalo95.4
88Tulsa95.2
89Marshall94.6
90Florida Atlantic93.7
91Hawaii93.6
92Memphis93.5
93Kent St.93.4
94Ball St.93.3
95Eastern Michigan93.0
96South Alabama91.9
97Troy91.8
98Arizona91.6
99Georgia St.91.4
100Colorado St.90.9
101Duke90.6
102Utah St.90.2
103Louisiana Tech89.5
104Georgia Southern88.7
105USF88.6
106Western Kentucky87.9
107Northern Illinois87.4
108Navy87.0
109Middle Tennessee86.8
110Ohio85.9
111U N L V85.1
112Arkansas St.83.9
113Southern Miss.83.0
114Texas St.82.7
115Rice82.1
116Charlotte81.9
117Temple81.8
118Vanderbilt81.4
119New Mexico80.9
120North Texas80.2
121Kansas79.9
122Florida Int’l.78.9
123U T E P78.4
124Bowling Green77.3
125UL-Monroe76.7
126Old Dominion74.9
127Akron74.1
128Connecticut71.8
129New Mexico St.70.8
130UMass69.6

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference

TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati121.0120.5123.0121.5
Houston103.3102.2103.6103.0
SMU102.0102.7103.0102.6
UCF100.299.0101.8100.3
East Carolina97.697.098.697.7
Tulane96.294.897.096.0
Tulsa95.495.394.995.2
Memphis92.993.594.193.5
USF88.988.288.888.6
Navy87.386.687.387.0
Temple81.082.582.081.8

AAC Averages96.996.697.697.0

Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson116.5116.6118.4117.2
Wake Forest110.3109.6110.7110.2
NC State108.3107.7107.9108.0
Boston College105.1105.6105.7105.5
Louisville102.7102.4104.3103.1
Florida St.98.498.498.398.4
Syracuse96.396.495.896.1

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
North Carolina113.2113.6115.5114.1
Miami (Fla.)110.0108.9109.8109.5
Virginia Tech107.5106.2106.2106.6
Pittsburgh105.2106.0105.4105.5
Virginia104.1105.4104.3104.6
Georgia Tech99.899.999.899.8
Duke90.691.589.690.6

ACC Averages104.8104.9105.1104.9

Big 12 Conference

TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma124.7122.4123.0123.4
Iowa St.121.1119.5120.9120.5
Texas119.8118.3119.3119.1
West Virginia113.3111.5110.6111.8
T C U112.1110.8111.5111.5
Oklahoma St.111.0110.8110.2110.7
Baylor109.3108.7107.9108.6
Kansas St.107.3107.2106.5107.0
Texas Tech103.3103.8102.8103.3
Kansas82.480.077.379.9

Big 12 Averages110.4109.3109.0109.6

Big Ten Conference

East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.122.3122.2124.0122.8
Penn St.116.4117.4119.2117.7
Michigan113.2114.2114.4113.9
Michigan St.108.7108.4108.2108.4
Indiana107.3107.1108.1107.5
Maryland107.6106.2105.4106.4
Rutgers97.699.998.598.7

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Iowa119.4118.9120.8119.7
Nebraska110.2110.6110.9110.6
Wisconsin108.0107.9109.5108.5
Minnesota104.9105.8107.0105.9
Purdue104.6104.2106.3105.0
Northwestern96.997.096.696.8
Illinois95.295.495.895.5

Big Ten Averages108.0108.3108.9108.4

Conference USA

East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Marshall94.594.395.194.6
Florida Atlantic92.894.494.093.7
Western Kentucky86.988.588.387.9
Middle Tennessee86.586.487.686.8
Charlotte81.082.082.681.9
Florida Int’l.78.278.979.678.9
Old Dominion74.475.275.074.9

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U T S A96.797.296.896.9
U A B96.095.895.995.9
Louisiana Tech89.790.288.789.5
Southern Miss.82.483.583.083.0
Rice82.182.082.182.1
North Texas80.580.379.880.2
U T E P78.679.377.278.4

CUSA Averages85.786.386.186.0

Independents

TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame112.6113.4114.3113.4
BYU109.9109.4110.4109.9
Liberty106.3107.2107.7107.1
Army100.3100.399.9100.2
Connecticut72.173.170.271.8
New Mexico St.71.271.969.470.8
UMass71.070.167.869.6

Mid-American Conference

East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)100.098.097.498.5
Buffalo96.095.095.195.4
Kent St.93.294.692.593.4
Ohio85.386.586.085.9
Bowling Green77.578.276.177.3
Akron75.774.072.774.1

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Toledo97.697.296.497.1
Central Michigan97.295.895.896.3
Western Michigan96.196.795.796.2
Ball St.94.194.091.893.3
Eastern Michigan94.792.991.593.0
Northern Illinois88.787.086.487.4

MAC Averages91.390.889.890.7

Mountain West Conference

Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.103.1102.8103.6103.2
Air Force99.7100.0100.6100.1
Wyoming97.698.198.798.1
Colorado St.90.790.791.390.9
Utah St.89.990.889.990.2
New Mexico81.381.579.980.9

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
San Diego St.102.3101.8101.9102.0
Nevada100.6102.0100.9101.2
Fresno St.99.2100.6101.3100.3
San Jose St.96.696.694.896.0
Hawaii93.793.493.793.6
U N L V85.584.685.285.1

MWC Averages95.095.295.195.1

Pac-12 Conference

North Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oregon111.6112.5113.5112.5
Oregon St.111.6111.6112.1111.8
Washington107.5109.0109.2108.6
Stanford104.7105.7105.0105.1
Washington St.99.4100.499.599.8
California96.099.998.698.1

South Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U S C114.7114.7116.0115.2
Arizona St.114.4115.1115.3114.9
Utah110.4110.2109.8110.1
U C L A109.2109.6109.7109.5
Colorado99.999.498.999.4
Arizona91.991.491.591.6

Pac-12 Averages105.9106.6106.6106.4

Southeastern Conference

East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia133.9134.0135.5134.4
Florida117.6119.1118.3118.3
Kentucky108.4110.2108.9109.2
Tennessee107.3106.9107.3107.2
Missouri102.5103.0102.1102.5
South Carolina101.4101.2100.8101.1
Vanderbilt82.081.380.881.4

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama131.1130.2132.1131.1
Ole Miss117.1117.0117.5117.2
Auburn116.3115.4116.4116.0
Texas A&M113.8114.4113.8114.0
Arkansas114.1114.1113.5113.9
L S U111.6112.4112.7112.2
Mississippi St.108.4108.6108.1108.4

SEC Averages111.8112.0112.0111.9

Sun Belt Conference

East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Coastal Carolina112.5110.3112.5111.8
Appalachian St.104.5104.2106.3105.0
Troy91.591.992.091.8
Georgia St.91.891.091.491.4
Georgia Southern88.789.188.488.7

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana106.8105.0106.6106.1
South Alabama92.192.191.491.9
Arkansas St.83.984.783.183.9
Texas St.84.181.982.182.7
UL-Monroe77.377.475.476.7

Sun Averages93.392.892.993.0

Conference Ratings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern111.9
2Big 12109.6
3Big Ten108.4
4Pac-12106.4
5Atlantic Coast104.9
6American Athletic97.0
7Mountain West95.1
8Sun Belt93.0
9Independents91.8
10Mid-American90.7
11Conference USA86.0

PiRate Ratings Commence Bowl Projections Today

With one month of play in the books, it is time to begin issuing our Bowl Projections. This is starting to look like a fractured college football season. The Atlantic Coast Conference and Pac-12 Conference have basically been eliminated from Playoff contention. In the Big 12, Oklahoma looks anything like a Playoff team, and Ohio State’s loss at home to Oregon now looks much worse with Oregon losing to Stanford.

Meanwhile, the SEC has two super teams that should be co-number ones. Alabama and Georgia might finish the regular season as the top two seeds even though one team must lose a game in the SEC Championship Game.

Cincinnati’s road win over Notre Dame is enough for now to put them in the Field of Four, but only if either the Big 12 or Big Ten champions have a loss. The Bearcats still have some tough conference opposition to conquer in SMU and Houston.

The Redbox Bowl has already cancelled their 2021 game, and that leaves spots for 82 teams in the postseason. As of today, we count 85 teams that are on pace of a minimum of six wins. The 6-6 line has a large number of teams.

Here is our first stab at the projections for 2021-22. Unlike recent years, there is a lot more wiggle room for different conferences to appear in multiple bowls.

BowlTeamTeam
BahamasUTSAToledo
CureLibertyMarshall
BocaFlorida AtlanticCoastal Carolina
New MexicoUTEPWyoming
IndependenceBYULouisiana Tech
Lending TreeWestern MichiganTroy
L. A.San Jose St.Arizona St.
New OrleansUABLouisiana
Myrtle BeachAppalachian St.Northern Illinois
Famous Idaho PotatoKent St.Boise St.
FriscoMemphisUtah St.
Armed ForcesArmyWashington
GasparillaEast CarolinaIowa St.
HawaiiHoustonNevada
CamelliaMiami (O)South Alabama
Quick LaneBall St.Western Kentucky
MilitaryVirginia TechCentral Florida
BirminghamMiami (Fla.)Mississippi St.
First ResponderTCUFresno St.
LibertyKansas St.Arkansas
HolidayNorth CarolinaUtah
Guaranteed RateAir ForceBaylor
FenwayBoston CollegeSMU
PinstripePittsburghIndiana
Cheez-ItWake ForestTexas
AlamoOklahoma St.Stanford
Duke’s MayoNorth Carolina St.Auburn
Music CityMinnesotaTennessee
Las VegasWisconsinUSC
Tax Slayer GatorVirginiaLSU
Tony The Tiger SunLouisvilleUCLA
ArizonaCentral MichiganSan Diego St.
CitrusMichiganOle Miss
OutbackMichigan St.Florida
TexasTexas TechTexas A&M
PeachClemsonPenn St.
FiestaOregonNotre Dame
RoseOhio St.Oregon St.
SugarKentuckyOklahoma
CottonIowaAlabama
OrangeGeorgiaCincinnati
ChampionshipGeorgiaAlabama

This Week’s TV Fare

This week presents fewer total games, as we mentioned early that 28 teams have bye weeks. There are a handful of important and exciting games on the schedule, but this may be the week to watch the Major League Baseball Playoffs more than college football.

Saturday, October 9
Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
12:00 PMABCTexas (n)Oklahoma
FoxOhio St.Maryland
ESPNOle MissArkansas
ESPN2TennesseeSouth Carolina
FS1BaylorWest Virginia
CBSSNToledoNorthern Illinois
BTNRutgersMichigan St.
SECFloridaVanderbilt

3:00 PMACCLouisvilleVirginia

3:30 PMCBSAuburnGeorgia
ABCBYUBoise St.
ESPNNorth CarolinaFlorida St.
ESPN2SyracuseWake Forest
FS1Colorado St.San Jose St.
CBSSNNavySMU
BTNIllinoisWisconsin

4:00 PMFoxIowaPenn St.
SECMissouriNorth Texas
Pac-12Washington St.Oregon St.

7:00 PMESPNTexas TechTCU
ESPNUKent St.Buffalo
CBSSNAir ForceWyoming

7:30 PMABCNebraskaMichigan
SECKentuckyLSU
ACCVirginia TechNotre Dame

8:00 PMCBSTexas A&MAlabama
FOXUSCUtah
FS1San Diego St.New Mexico

9:00 PMESPN2TulsaMemphis

10:30 PMESPNArizonaUCLA
CBSSNNevadaNew Mexico St.

September 12, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Football September 12, 2021

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 9:56 am

Note: We want to thank all our fans that were part of the opening weekend introduction of the PiRate Ratings Pro Football Simulation Tabletop Game. We were overwhelmed by the number of orders you made for the salute to the American Football League.

If you are interested in knowing more about the game, click on the link below.

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
LouisianaOhio U23.319.222.3
LouisvilleCentral Florida0.31.1-0.8
IllinoisMarylalnd-14.3-12.2-11.2
Miami (Fla.)Michigan St.10.39.411.3
MichiganNorthern Illinois20.323.524.3
ArmyConnecticut35.734.538.9
MassachusettsEastern Michigan-15.9-14.8-16.5
TempleBoston College-22.4-21.3-22.0
West VirginiaVirginia Tech9.79.18.3
BuffaloCoastal Carolina-8.7-7.0-9.9
PittsburghWestern Michigan15.816.517.5
OklahomaNebraska25.622.524.0
IndianaCincinnati-3.9-3.1-4.3
Texas A&MNew Mexico35.335.936.9
ColoradoMinnesota4.93.31.4
WyomingBall St.3.44.37.7
Kansas St.Nevada8.97.37.4
Notre DamePurdue0.52.30.8
ClemsonGeorgia Tech26.727.129.6
Washington St.USC-12.8-11.7-14.6
FloridaAlabama-13.3-10.1-13.9
Wake ForestFlorida St.8.77.18.4
IowaKent St.26.423.929.4
Louisiana TechSMU-4.5-4.9-7.0
Ohio St.Tulsa23.423.425.6
KansasBaylor-15.1-17.4-19.6
ToledoColorado St.16.516.315.3
DukeNorthwestern-11.6-10.3-12.5
ArkansasGeorgia Southern30.029.229.1
MemphisMississippi St.-13.7-13.3-11.4
WashingtonArkansas St.17.517.820.1
UTSAMiddle Tennessee14.114.912.3
LibertyOld Dominion35.636.337.6
MarshallEast Carolina5.06.04.4
Southern Miss.Troy-10.5-9.1-10.2
Texas TechFlorida Int’l.26.226.223.4
Georgia St.Charlotte14.212.312.0
San Diego St.Utah-6.1-6.7-6.5
GeorgiaSouth Carolina29.029.231.7
Penn St.Auburn-0.91.41.7
Air ForceUtah St.10.39.011.1
North CarolinaVirginia14.812.817.8
LSUCentral Michigan12.514.914.8
North TexasUAB-8.8-8.7-8.9
VanderbiltStanford-14.2-16.1-14.9
TexasRice33.231.332.0
Ole MissTulane14.315.612.6
Boise St.Oklahoma St.-2.7-2.8-0.9
BYUArizona St.2.10.62.1
UNLVIowa St.-32.7-32.2-33.9
UCLAFresno St.18.116.215.8
HawaiiSan Jose St.-3.5-4.3-2.2

This week’s FBS vs. FCS Games

FBSFCSPiRate
KentuckyChattanooga30.2
MissouriSE Missouri29.4
TennesseeTennessee Tech30.7
SyracuseAlbany21.5
RutgersDelaware23.5
Miami (O)Long Island25.5
AkronBryant9.2
Appalachian St.Elon27.7
Oregon St.Idaho21.2
CaliforniaSacramento St.22.3
Bowling GreenMurray St.5.2
Florida AtlanticFordham27.4
HoustonGrambling28.8
South FloridaFlorida A&M15.5
Texas St.Incarnate Word13.5
OregonStony Brook32.4
North Carolina St.Furman27.1
Louisiana-MonroeJackson St.11.6
South AlabamaAlcorn St.23.3
New Mexico St.South Carolina St.1.5
ArizonaNorthern Arizona16.3

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Alabama132.3
2Georgia128.5
3Oklahoma126.4
4Clemson121.7
5Iowa St.120.6
6Ohio St.119.5
7Cincinnati119.2
8Auburn118.2
9Texas A&M117.8
10North Carolina117.7
11Iowa117.6
12Florida116.8
13Penn St.116.0
14U S C115.7
15Wisconsin114.7
16T C U114.4
17Ole Miss114.0
18Texas114.0
19Oregon113.5
20Miami (Fla.)113.4
21U C L A113.0
22West Virginia112.9
23Indiana112.4
24Arkansas112.3
25Arizona St.111.7
26L S U111.4
27Utah110.5
28BYU110.3
29Maryland109.6
30Oklahoma St.109.5
31Coastal Carolina109.1
32Michigan108.6
33Purdue108.6
34Notre Dame108.3
35NC State108.1
36Kentucky108.0
37Mississippi St.108.0
38Louisiana106.9
39Virginia Tech106.9
40Wake Forest106.8
41Liberty106.8
42Oregon St.106.3
43Missouri106.2
44Colorado106.2
45Michigan St.106.1
46Minnesota106.0
47Washington105.6
48Virginia105.6
49Kansas St.105.4
50Nebraska105.3
51Stanford105.1
52Baylor104.9
53Boston College104.8
54Boise St.104.3
55UCF104.0
56Pittsburgh103.3
57Texas Tech102.9
58Tulane102.9
59Appalachian St.102.8
60Northwestern102.5
61Tennessee102.4
62Army102.1
63Louisville101.7
64South Carolina101.5
65Florida St.101.3
66Houston101.2
67San Diego St.101.1
68Nevada100.6
69Rutgers100.4
70San Jose St.100.4
71Central Michigan100.4
72Washington St.99.6
73California99.6
74Fresno St.99.3
75Tulsa98.4
76Toledo98.3
77Miami (Ohio)97.9
78Buffalo97.6
79Wyoming97.4
80SMU97.2
81Air Force97.0
82U T S A96.9
83Georgia Tech96.8
84Marshall96.7
85Troy95.4
86Ball St.95.3
87Syracuse94.9
88East Carolina94.6
89Illinois94.5
90U A B94.2
91Kent St.94.0
92Memphis93.7
93Hawaii93.1
94Florida Atlantic92.5
95Arizona92.2
96Georgia St.91.7
97South Alabama91.4
98Eastern Michigan91.0
99Arkansas St.90.1
100Utah St.89.8
101Western Michigan89.7
102Northern Illinois88.9
103Louisiana Tech88.7
104Duke88.5
105Ohio88.3
106USF88.2
107Texas St.87.8
108Vanderbilt87.0
109Western Kentucky86.2
110Middle Tennessee86.1
111Georgia Southern85.9
112Colorado St.85.3
113Rice84.8
114New Mexico84.8
115U N L V84.7
116Navy84.6
117Kansas84.5
118Southern Miss.83.4
119North Texas82.4
120Charlotte80.9
121Florida Int’l.80.6
122Temple80.4
123U T E P76.6
124UL-Monroe75.6
125Akron75.2
126UMass72.8
127Bowling Green72.4
128Old Dominion72.3
129New Mexico St.69.4
130Connecticut67.7

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati119.0118.0120.6119.2
UCF103.6102.5105.9104.0
Tulane102.7101.4104.5102.9
Houston101.6100.2101.9101.2
Tulsa98.498.698.198.4
SMU96.597.597.697.2
East Carolina94.693.795.494.6
Memphis92.993.594.793.7
USF88.687.788.388.2
Navy85.184.384.584.6
Temple79.681.180.480.4

AAC Averages96.696.297.496.8

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson120.6121.0123.3121.7
NC State108.6107.8108.0108.1
Wake Forest107.2106.0107.3106.8
Boston College104.5104.9104.9104.8
Louisville101.4101.0102.6101.7
Florida St.101.0101.4101.4101.3
Syracuse95.495.294.294.9

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
North Carolina116.7116.8119.7117.7
Miami (Fla.)113.8112.5114.1113.4
Virginia Tech107.8106.4106.4106.9
Virginia104.9106.9104.9105.6
Pittsburgh102.9103.9103.3103.3
Georgia Tech96.996.996.796.8
Duke88.589.887.388.5

ACC Averages105.0105.0105.3105.1

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma127.6125.0126.5126.4
Iowa St.121.1119.3121.4120.6
T C U114.9113.6114.6114.4
Texas115.0113.0113.9114.0
West Virginia114.5112.6111.6112.9
Oklahoma St.110.0109.6108.8109.5
Kansas St.105.8105.8104.7105.4
Baylor105.5105.1104.1104.9
Texas Tech102.9103.7102.1102.9
Kansas87.384.781.684.5

Big 12 Averages110.5109.2108.9109.5

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.118.8119.0120.8119.5
Penn St.114.7115.8117.4116.0
Indiana112.0111.9113.3112.4
Maryland111.0109.3108.3109.6
Michigan107.8108.9109.2108.6
Michigan St.106.5106.1105.8106.1
Rutgers99.4101.6100.2100.4

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Iowa117.0116.5119.4117.6
Wisconsin114.1114.0116.0114.7
Purdue108.4107.8109.6108.6
Minnesota104.9106.0107.3106.0
Nebraska105.0105.5105.5105.3
Northwestern102.6102.5102.3102.5
Illinois94.294.694.794.5

Big Ten Averages108.3108.6109.3108.7

Conference USA
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Marshall96.796.796.996.7
Florida Atlantic91.493.392.792.5
Western Kentucky85.287.086.486.2
Middle Tennessee85.785.587.186.1
Charlotte80.181.181.580.9
Florida Int’l.79.780.581.780.6
Old Dominion72.072.672.272.3

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U T S A96.897.496.596.9
U A B94.594.293.994.2
Louisiana Tech89.089.687.688.7
Rice84.884.784.984.8
Southern Miss.82.684.283.483.4
North Texas82.782.482.082.4
U T E P77.077.775.176.6

CUSA Averages85.686.285.985.9

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
BYU110.2109.5111.1110.3
Notre Dame107.4108.6108.9108.3
Liberty105.6106.9107.8106.8
Army102.0102.0102.3102.1
UMass74.273.670.672.8
New Mexico St.69.870.667.869.4
Connecticut68.369.565.467.7

Indep. Averages91.191.590.691.1

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)99.797.496.697.9
Buffalo98.297.297.497.6
Kent St.93.695.593.094.0
Ohio87.289.188.588.3
Akron77.075.073.675.2
Bowling Green73.073.470.972.4

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Central Michigan101.199.8100.2100.4
Toledo98.898.497.798.3
Ball St.96.296.193.695.3
Eastern Michigan92.790.989.591.0
Western Michigan90.090.388.889.7
Northern Illinois90.488.587.988.9

MAC Averages91.591.089.890.8

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.104.3103.8104.8104.3
Wyoming96.797.398.397.4
Air Force96.896.797.497.0
Utah St.89.590.689.389.8
Colorado St.85.385.185.485.3
New Mexico85.085.384.084.8

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
San Diego St.101.5100.9100.9101.1
Nevada99.9101.5100.3100.6
San Jose St.100.9101.099.4100.4
Fresno St.97.699.7100.699.3
Hawaii93.492.793.193.1
U N L V85.584.284.684.7

MWC Averages94.794.994.894.8

Pac-12 Conference
North Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oregon112.1113.4115.0113.5
Oregon St.106.2106.1106.5106.3
Washington104.6105.9106.3105.6
Stanford104.8105.9104.6105.1
Washington St.99.5100.399.199.6
California97.2101.5100.199.6

South Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
U S C115.2115.0116.7115.7
U C L A112.7112.9113.3113.0
Arizona St.111.1112.0112.0111.7
Utah110.6110.6110.4110.5
Colorado106.7106.3105.6106.2
Arizona92.892.091.892.2

Pac-12 Averages106.1106.8106.8106.6

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia127.9127.9129.9128.5
Florida116.0117.9116.6116.8
Kentucky107.4109.2107.5108.0
Missouri106.1106.8105.8106.2
Tennessee102.6101.9102.6102.4
South Carolina101.9101.6101.2101.5
Vanderbilt87.686.886.787.0

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama132.4131.0133.5132.3
Auburn118.6117.4118.7118.2
Texas A&M117.3118.2117.9117.8
Ole Miss113.9114.0114.1114.0
Arkansas112.8112.5111.5112.3
L S U110.5111.7112.0111.4
Mississippi St.108.1108.3107.5108.0

SEC Averages111.7111.8111.8111.8

Sunbelt Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Coastal Carolina109.8107.1110.3109.1
Appalachian St.102.2101.9104.4102.8
Troy95.195.495.795.4
Georgia St.92.391.491.591.7
Georgia Southern85.986.485.485.9

TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Louisiana107.6105.3107.9106.9
South Alabama91.791.890.791.4
Arkansas St.90.191.189.290.1
Texas St.89.186.987.487.8
UL-Monroe76.276.573.975.6

Sun Averages94.093.493.693.7

Conference Ratings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern111.8
2Big 12109.5
3Big Ten108.7
4Pac-12106.6
5Atlantic Coast105.1
6American Athletic96.8
7Mountain West94.8
8Sun Belt93.7
9Independents91.1
10Mid-American90.8
11Conference USA85.9

Saturday’s TV Games of Interest

All Times Eastern Daylight

12:00 Noon

Indiana vs. Cincinnati: The Bearcats could pick up some much needed schedule strength with a road win against the Hoosiers, although Indiana’s big loss to Iowa may not make a CU win all that influential to the Selection Committee down the road. As of this publication, it has not been decided if this will be the ABC or ESPN game.

Buffalo vs. Coastal Carolina: Why do we call this important? Coastal Carolina has a chance to run the table for a second consecutive regular season, and this figures to possibly be their second toughest game on their schedule. If the Chanticleers win this one on the road, then possible a road game against Appalachian State on October 20 will be all that stands in CCU’s way of going 12-0 and competing for a NY6 Bowl. This game will be on ESPN2 or ESPNU.

Oklahoma vs. Nebraska: We don’t expect an exciting game in this one, but it marks a very important 50th anniversary. On Thanksgiving Day of 1971, the number one Cornhuskers visited Norman to face the number two Sooners in the “Game of the Century.” We believe it was the game of the second half of the century, as the 1946 Army-Notre Dame game at Yankee Stadium was just as big.

On that great day 50 years ago, the lead changed hands three times with Nebraska tailback Jeff Kinney diving into the end zone late in the fourth quarter to give the ‘Huskers the 35-31 win. Oklahoma went on to the Sugar Bowl and destroyed a 9-1 Auburn team that had Heisman Trophy winner Pat Sullivan at quarterback. The final score was 40-22, but it was 40-6 before Coach Chuck Fairbanks emptied his bench.

Nebraska met undefeated Alabama in the Orange Bowl for the national title. The game was a blowout by halftime, as Nebraska cruised to a 38-6 win. Nebraska finished first in the polls, and Oklahoma finished #2. Colorado, which only lost to Nebraska and Oklahoma edged Alabama for #3, while the Tide fell to #4. This was the only time in history that the #1 team beat the #’s 2, 3, and 4 teams in a season.

As for this year’s game, Oklahoma should win by a lopsided score, but maybe Nebraska will play its best game under Coach Scott Frost and make it interesting. Catch this game on Fox.

West Virginia vs. Virginia Tech: The Hokies look strong enough defensively to compete with all their ACC brethren, while West Virginia is a work in progress under second year coach Neal Brown. The Mountaineers are a different team at Mountaineer Field than they are on the road. This should be a stern test for Justin Fuente’s squad. This one airs on FS1.

3:30 PM

Florida vs. Alabama: Florida might have a bit of a quarterback controversy between starter Emory Jones and exciting backup Anthony Richardson. Jones tossed two interceptions against South Florida’s defense. Richardson ran for 115 yards and a touchdown on just four carries, and he was three for three for 152 yards and two touchdowns through the air.

Alabama has no controversies. The Tide look unstoppable with what should be a rebuilding year. Can they manhandle the Gators in Gainesville? A 20+ – point win looks highly possible. This game is CBS’s first SEC game of the season.

7:30 PM

Penn St. vs. Auburn: This is Bryan Harsin’s first test as Auburn’s head coach. Penn State is not all the way back as a power, but playing them at Happy Valley is quite difficult. Expect a potentially lower scoring game, but it should be highly competitive and worth watching. It’s the ABC prime time game.

10:15 PM

BYU vs. Arizona St.: After dominating Utah Saturday night, this BYU team looks just as tough or even tougher in 2021 than it looked in 2020 with an All-American quarterback now starting for the New York Jets. Meanwhile, Arizona State has quietly started 2-0 with two creampuffs.

The Sun Devils have withstood some major accusations with potential illegal recruiting, so bad, that an insider has claimed that an incredible tell-all book about the transgressions would be a bestseller.

This figures to be ASU’s last chance for multiple seasons to make hay before their sun sets with numerous punishments, that is if the NCAA has any investigators remaining. This game airs on ESPN.

10:45 PM

UCLA vs. Fresno St.: After Saturday’s Oregon win at Ohio State, Fresno State’s close loss to the Ducks on September 4 looked a lot more impressive. The Bulldogs won’t be intimidated by the 2-0 Bruins, coming off a big win over LSU plus a week off.

UCLA didn’t need the week off after beating LSU at the Rose Bowl, but the Bruins won’t be hurt by the bye week. This should be an action-packed and exciting game, and Fresno State could still be there in the fourth quarter with a chance to win. Catch this game on the Pac-12 Network.

Wide Variety In Styles This Year

The up-tempo offenses of the recent decade have some new company with teams going the other way. The hurry-up no huddle teams are still to be found in great numbers. However, some coaches are killing the clock trying to play ball-control and taking all the time off the play clock between plays.

Here’s an exceptional case in point to show the extremes from yesterday. Central Michigan played ball-control yesterday against FCS opponent Robert Morris. They gave RMU just 38 scrimmage plays (30 runs and 8 passes). The total of 119 plays looked like a game from the 1950s. In Madison, WI, Eastern Michigan was also held to 38 plays and 92 total yards against the Badgers in a game that had just 113 total plays. Several additional games were limited to less than 130 scrimmage plays, something that has been a rarity in recent seasons. Troy and Liberty combined for just 114 scrimmage plays.

At the other extreme, Marshall did something rarely done in college football history. They ran 100 plays in their win over UNC Central. They gained 700 yards. Arkansas State just missed 100 with 99 plays; they scored 50 points against Memphis, and they lost! North Texas had 96 plays against SMU and scored just 12 points.

March 19, 2021

PiRate Ratings NCAA Tournament Spreads

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 6:27 pm

Saturday, March 20, 2021

FavoriteUnderdogSpread
GonzagaNorfolk St.29.8
OklahomaMissouri0.9
CreightonUCSB6.6
VirginiaOhio6.1
USCDrake5.1
KansasEastern Washington9.6
OregonVCU0.7
IowaGrand Canyon15.6
MichiganTexas Southern24.9
LSUSt. Bonaventure0.2
ColoradoGeorgetown4.6
Florida St.UNCG10.0
BYUUCLA3.9
TexasAbilene Christian7.2
ConnecticutMaryland2.2
AlabamaIona19.2

March 12, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

Friday, March 12, 2021

Team 1Team 2Spread
Wichita St.South Florida8.9
SMUCincinnati5.6
HoustonTulane16.8
MemphisCentral Florida6.2
Virginia (forfeit due to Covid)Georgia Tech1.3
Florida St.North Carolina1.4
BaylorOklahoma St.8.0
KansasTexas0.3
Seton HallGeorgetown2.2
CreightonConnecticut1.3
Southern UtahMontana St.6.0
Eastern WashingtonMontana5.4
MichiganMaryland8.2
PurdueOhio St.-1.6
IllinoisRutgers8.0
IowaWisconsin5.8
UCSBUC Davis10.7
UC-IrvineUC Riverside-0.9
Western Ky.UAB0.1
Louisiana TechNorth Texas0.4
IonaNiagara3.5
Saint Peter’sFairfield5.8
ToledoOhio3.1
BuffaloAkron4.2
Coppin St.Morgan St.-3.5
North Carolina A&T (forfeit due to Covid)Norfolk St.-4.6
San Diego St.Nevada7.2
Utah St.Colorado St.1.8
OregonOregon St.7.0
USCColorado0.4
AlabamaMississippi St.9.6
TennesseeFlorida1.4
ArkansasMissouri5.5
LSUOle Miss3.4
NichollsNorthwestern St.8.2
Abilene ChristianLamar14.4
Jackson St.Texas Southern-1.5
Prairie View A&MGrambling5.8
Grand CanyonSeattle6.0
Utah ValleyNew Mexico St.-3.5

Conference Tournaments Update

America East Conference

Championship Game–Saturday, March 13, 11 AM, ESPN2

6 U Mass-Lowell at 4 Hartford

American Athletic Conference

Quarterfinals–Friday, March 12 @ Fort Worth, TX

1 Wichita St. vs. 8 South Florida 

4 SMU vs. 5 Cincinnati Friday

2 Houston vs. 10 Tulane

3 Memphis vs. 6 Central Florida 

Atlantic Coast Conference

Semifinals, Friday, March 12

1 Virginia vs. 4 Georgia Tech (Georgia Tech wins by forfeit)

2 Florida St. vs. 6 North Carolina

Atlantic 10 Conference

Championship Game–Sunday, March 14, 1PM, CBS @ Dayton, OH

1 Saint Bonaventure vs. 2 Virginia Commonwealth

Big East Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ New York, NY

5 Seton Hall vs. 8 Georgetown

2 Creighton vs. 3 Connecticut

Big Sky Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Boise, ID

1 Southern Utah vs. 5 Montana St.

2 Eastern Washington vs. 6 Montana

Big Ten Conference

Quarterfinals–Friday, March 12 @ Indianapolis, IN

1 Michigan vs. 8 Maryland

4 Purdue vs. 5 Ohio St.

2 Illinois vs. 7 Rutgers

3 Iowa vs. 6 Wisconsin

Big 12 Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Kansas City, MO

1 Baylor vs. 5 Oklahoma St.

2 Kansas vs. 3 Texas

Big West Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Las Vegas

1 UCSB vs. 5 UC-Davis

2 UC-Irvine vs. 3 UC-Riverside

Conference USA

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Frisco, TX (Dallas Cowboys Practice Facility)

1E Western Kentucky vs. 2W UAB 

1W Louisiana Tech vs. 3W North Texas

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference

Semifinals, Friday, March 12 @ Atlantic City, NJ

5 Niagara vs. 9 Iona

3 St. Peter’s vs. 7 Fairfield

Mid-American Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Cleveland

1 Toledo vs. 5 Ohio U

2 Buffalo vs. 3 Akron 

Mideastern Athletic Conference

Semifinals, Friday, March 12 @ Norfolk, VA

1N Coppin St. vs. 3N Morgan St.

1S North Carolina A&T vs. 2N Norfolk St. (Norfolk St. wins by forfeit)

Mountain West Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Las Vegas

1 San Diego St. vs. 5 Nevada

2 Utah St. vs. 3 Colorado St.

Pac-12 Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Las Vegas

1 Oregon vs. 5 Oregon St.

2 USC vs. 3 Colorado

Patriot League

Championship Game, Sunday March 14, 12 PM EST, CBSSN

9 Loyola (MD) at 2 Colgate

Southeastern Conference

Quarterfinals–Friday, March 12 @ Nashville, TN

1 Alabama vs. 9 Mississippi St. 

4 Tennessee vs. 5 Florida

2 Arkansas vs. 7 Missouri

3 LSU vs. 6 Ole Miss

Southland Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Katy, TX (Greater Houston)

1 Nicholls vs. 4 Northwestern St.

2 Abilene Christian vs. 6 Lamar

Southwestern Athletic Conference

Semifinals, Friday, March 12 @ Birmingham, AL

1 Prairie View A&M vs. 4 Grambling

2 Jackson St. vs. 3 Texas Southern 

Western Athletic Conference

Quarterfinals–Thursday, March 11 @ Las Vegas

1 Grand Canyon vs. 5 Seattle 

2 Utah Valley vs. 3 New Mexico St.

Automatic Qualifiers

Liberty 23-5

Winthrop 23-1

Loyola (Chi.) 24-4

Morehead St. 23-7

UNC-Greensboro 21-8

Appalachian St. 17-11

Drexel 12-7

Cleveland St. 19-7

Mount St. Mary’s 12-10

Oral Roberts 16-10

Gonzaga 26-0

March 4, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

Thursday, March 4, 2021

HomeVisitorSpread
RichmondDuquesne6.7
MassachusettsSaint Joseph’s4.7
DaytonRhode Island0.8
George MasonGeorge Washington6.6
East CarolinaCentral Florida-1.7
CincinnatiVanderbilt2.0
LibertyKennesaw St.19.1
North FloridaNorth Alabama2.0
BellarmineStetson4.6
LipscombFlorida Gulf Coast3.9
BaylorOklahoma St.11.0
West VirginiaTCU14.2
Texas TechIowa St.15.8
OklahomaTexas0.3
KansasUTEP15.3
Weber St.Northern Colorado10.6
Portland St.Southern Utah-2.0
RadfordCampbell1.7
WinthropLongwood11.8
MichiganMichigan St.13.7
IowaNebraska15.8
Florida AtlanticMiddle Tennessee7.1
QuinnipiacSaint Peter’s-2.7
RiderMonmouth-5.0
ManhattanFairfield4.4
SienaCanisius6.8
North Carolina CentralFlorida A&M-0.4
BradleySouthern Illinois4.2
Northern IowaIllinois St.2.5
Utah St.Wyoming14.7
Jacksonville St.Murray St.-0.1
Eastern KentuckyAustin Peay3.3
ColoradoArizona St.11.0
McNeeseNicholls-7.6
Prairie View A&MSouthern5.7
Texas SouthernAlcorn St.9.8
GramblingAlabama St.8.4
Jackson St.Alabama A&M7.9
San FranciscoSan Diego7.4
Santa ClaraPortland12.5

Conference Tournament Update

America East

Semifinals, Saturday, March 6 at higher seed home court

#1 UMBC vs. #6 U Mass-Lowell

#2 Vermont vs. #4 Hartford

Atlantic Sun

Quarterfinal Round Tonight (All Games in Jacksonville)

#1 Liberty vs. #8 Kennesaw St.

#4 North Florida vs. #5 North Alabama

#2 Bellarmine vs. #7 Stetson

#3 Lipscomb vs. #6 Florida Gulf Coast

Atlantic 10

2nd Round Tonight (All Games in Richmond)

#8 Richmond vs. #9 Duquesne

#5 Massachusetts vs. #13 Saint Joseph’s

#7 Dayton vs. #10 Rhode Island

#6 George Mason vs. #11 George Washington

Big South

Semifinals Tonight at Higher Seed Home Floor

#1 Winthrop vs. #5 Longwood

#2 Radford vs. #3 Campbell

Colonial Athletic

First Round, Saturday, March 6 at Harrisonburg, VA

#8 Elon vs. #9 Towson

#7 William & Mary vs. #10 UNC-Wilmington

Horizon League

Semifinals, Monday, March 8 at Indianapolis

#1 Cleveland St. vs. #8 Milwaukee

#3 Oakland vs. #4 Northern Kentucky

Missouri Valley

1st Round, Tonight at Saint Louis

#8 Bradley vs. #9 Southern Illinois

#7 Northern Iowa vs. #10 Illinois St.

Northeast

Semifinals, Saturday, March 6, at higher seeds home court

#1 Wagner vs. #4 Mount St. Mary’s

#2 Bryant vs. #3 Sacred Heart

Ohio Valley

Quarterfinals continue, Tonight at Evansville, IN

#4 Jacksonville St. vs. #5 Murray St.

#3 Eastern Kentucky vs. #6 Austin Peay

Patriot League

Quarterfinals, Saturday, March 6 at Higher Seed Home Courts

#1 Navy vs. #9 Loyola (MD)

#4 Army vs. #5 American

#2 Colgate vs. #7 Boston U

#3 Lafayette vs. #6 Bucknell

Southern

1st Round, Friday, March 5, at Asheville, NC

#8 The Citadel vs. #9 Western Carolina

#7 Mercer vs. #9 Samford

Summit League

1st Round, Saturday March 6 and Sunday March 7 at Sioux Falls, SD

#1 South Dakota St. vs. #8 Omaha

#4 Oral Roberts vs. #5 North Dakota

#2 South Dakota vs. #7 Western Illinois

#3 North Dakota St. vs. #6 Kansas City

Sun Belt Conference

1st Round, Friday, March 5, at Pensacola, FL

#4W Arkansas St. vs. #5E Georgia Southern

#3E South Alabama vs. #6W Louisiana-Monroe

#4E Appalachian St. vs. #5W Little Rock

#3W UT-Arlington vs. #6E Troy

West Coast

1st Round, Tonight at Las Vegas

#8 San Francisco vs. #9 San Diego

#7 Santa Clara vs. #10 Portland

February 28, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 5:58 am

Sunday, February 28, 2021

HomeVisitorSpread
CincinnatiMemphis-4.1
HoustonSouth Florida18.8
NC StatePittsburgh3.3
New HampshireUMass Lowell0.8
HartfordAlbany2.8
ButlerVillanova-10.7
IdahoMontana St.-13.0
MarylandMichigan St.4.4
Ohio St.Iowa0.1
UTEPCharlotte5.0
Western KentuckyFlorida Intl.16.3
MaristQuinnipiac2.4
Delaware St.Coppin St.-5.8
South Carolina St.Florida A&M-10.4
Utah St.Nevada6.8
ArmyBoston University7.0
NavyLoyola (MD)6.4
AmericanBucknell1.2
LehighLafayette-4.2
Oral RobertsWestern Illinois10.3
South DakotaNorth Dakota St.0.9

Coming Monday–Updated ratings and Bracketology plus a first look at early conference tournament action, including some preliminary “Bracketnomics” data.

February 25, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 5:25 am

Thursday, February 25, 2021

HomeVisitorSpread
HoustonWestern Kentucky12.9
Sacramento St.Weber St.-6.5
Northern ColoradoPortland St.2.4
Idaho St.Montana-3.1
MichiganIowa1.8
IllinoisNebraska18.1
Michigan St.Ohio St.-7.3
MinnesotaNorthwestern5.0
DetroitRobert Morris10.7
Youngstown St.Illinois-Chicago3.8
Green BayPurdue Fort Wayne5.3
MilwaukeeIUPUI3.6
Western MichiganMiami (O)-3.3
OhioEastern Michigan12.4
BuffaloCentral Michigan14.3
South Carolina St.Florida A&M-10.4
San Diego St.Boise St.5.3
MerrimackSt. Francis (NY)4.6
St. Francis (PA)Mount St. Mary’s-1.9
Sacred HeartFairleigh Dickinson2.5
BryantLong Island University8.1
Central ConnecticutWagner-8.1
SIU EdwardsvilleUT Martin6.8
Morehead St.Tennessee St.14.0
Eastern KentuckyBelmont-7.1
Jacksonville St.Murray St.-0.3
Eastern IllinoisSoutheast Missouri St.0.7
Tennessee TechAustin Peay-5.8
Arizona St.Washington8.0
UtahUCLA-1.1
ColoradoUSC0.7
StanfordOregon0.2
CaliforniaOregon St.-2.0
ArizonaWashington St.7.8
Prairie View A&MMississippi Valley St.27.1
Texas SouthernArkansas-Pine Bluff13.6
GonzagaSanta Clara30.3
BYUSan Francisco11.0
PepperdineLoyola Marymount2.4
San DiegoPortland11.9
Saint Mary’sPacific5.8

Bracketnomics 2021 is Coming!

Our most popular feature at the PiRate Ratings is coming soon. Our annual Bracketnomics series will commence once conference tournament action begins. We made a major upgrade to the system last year, incorporating a host of new back-tested factors that separated contenders from pretenders in the past.

This new back-engineered data was ready to debut last year, but the virus ended up defeating the Big Dance. This year, the virus still brings special situations to the tournament, as everybody will be brought into a small area of Central Indiana, much like an Olympiad. But, we expect the Bracketnomics data to hold its weight in determining which teams have the best chances to win six games in 17 days.

For what it’s worth, here’s a little tease. The top two teams, the undefeated Gonzaga and undefeated Baylor, currently do not have the ideal resumes for a national champion. On the other hand, if the tournament commenced today, no team would have a perfect resume, but two teams have better resumes than the rest. Those two teams are Michigan and Illinois. A lot can change in the next two weeks, so don’t go placing wagers on the Wolverines and Ilini to make the Final Four. Just remember to check here daily once the conference tournament action begins.

February 21, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 12:00 am

Sunday, February 21, 2021

HomeVisitorSpread
George WashingtonRhode Island-8.7
St. BonaventureDavidson4.1
HoustonCincinnati13.0
TempleSouth Florida1.1
XavierButler9.1
Ohio St.Michigan0.7
RutgersMaryland0.1
IowaPenn St.11.0
NorthwesternWisconsin-3.8
DrakeEvansville15.7
Southern IllinoisValparaiso0.3
San Jose St.UNLV-9.2
WagnerSt. Francis (Pa)6.6
ColgateBoston U14.1
AmericanNavy-3.0

Note: Big Announcement Coming Later Today!

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