PiRate Ratings College Football–October 12-16, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Louisiana	Appalachian St.	5.2	3.8	3.3
South Alabama	Georgia Southern	5.9	5.3	5.2
Memphis	Navy	8.1	9.2	8.7
Syracuse	Clemson	-16.5	-16.5	-18.6
North Texas	Marshall	-7.9	-7.7	-8.7
San Jose St.	San Diego St.	-5.6	-5.1	-7.0
Oregon	California	18.6	15.6	17.9
Northern Illinois	Bowling Green	17.3	15.3	17.0
North Carolina	Miami (Fla.)	2.0	3.3	4.0
Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	4.9	3.1	3.7
Kansas	Texas Tech	-16.2	-18.9	-20.6
Indiana	Michigan St.	1.1	0.8	2.0
Wisconsin	Army	11.6	11.6	13.6
Buffalo	Ohio U	11.4	9.4	9.6
South Carolina	Vanderbilt	21.0	21.5	21.6
South Florida	Tulsa	-3.3	-4.0	-3.3
Boston College	North Carolina St.	-0.2	0.9	0.8
Minnesota	Nebraska	-1.8	-1.3	-0.4
Miami (O)	Akron	24.2	23.7	24.1
Cincinnati	Central Florida	24.3	25.2	25.0
Virginia	Duke	16.7	17.2	18.0
Northwestern	Rutgers	3.0	1.1	2.1
Eastern Michigan	Ball St.	0.5	-1.2	-0.5
New Mexico	Colorado St.	-8.9	-9.0	-11.0
Colorado	Arizona	11.8	11.8	11.3
Boise St.	Air Force	8.0	7.4	7.6
Utah	Arizona St.	1.4	0.5	0.2
Wyoming	Fresno St.	0.8	-0.1	-0.4
Washington	UCLA	1.4	2.5	2.4
Louisiana-Monroe	Liberty	-29.5	-30.4	-32.9
Baylor	BYU	7.0	6.9	5.4
Missouri	Texas A&M	-12.1	-12.3	-13.0
Texas	Oklahoma St.	11.3	9.8	11.3
Oklahoma	TCU	14.9	14.0	13.9
Central Michigan	Toledo	2.9	2.2	2.9
Southern Miss.	UAB	-14.7	-13.8	-14.7
Iowa	Purdue	17.2	17.2	17.0
Mississippi St.	Alabama	-17.5	-16.4	-18.5
Western Michigan	Kent St.	1.7	0.6	1.3
Old Dominion	Western Kentucky	-9.1	-9.8	-9.6
Georgia	Kentucky	26.6	24.9	27.4
LSU	Florida	-5.9	-6.6	-5.9
Tennessee	Ole Miss	-4.9	-5.0	-4.8
Texas St.	Troy	-4.6	-7.0	-6.8
Kansas St.	Iowa St.	-10.8	-9.4	-11.4
Arkansas	Auburn	1.5	2.4	1.0
UTSA	Rice	16.8	17.5	17.0
UNLV	Utah St.	-1.9	-3.8	-2.2
UTEP	Louisiana Tech	-7.1	-6.7	-7.1
Washington St.	Stanford	-0.4	-0.2	-0.2
Nevada	Hawaii	10.8	12.5	11.1

FBS vs. FCS Game

FBS	FCS	PiRate
Connecticut	Yale	2.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	135.0
2	Alabama	129.1
3	Ohio St.	126.3
4	Oklahoma	124.2
5	Cincinnati	122.0
6	Iowa St.	120.8
7	Iowa	119.5
8	Texas	118.8
9	Florida	118.5
10	Clemson	117.5
11	Ole Miss	116.9
12	Penn St.	116.9
13	Texas A&M	116.3
14	Auburn	115.6
15	Arizona St.	115.2
16	Arkansas	114.3
17	Michigan	114.1
18	Notre Dame	113.4
19	T C U	113.0
20	Utah	112.9
21	Oregon	112.8
22	U S C	112.4
23	Coastal Carolina	112.2
24	Kentucky	111.8
25	Baylor	111.4
26	Oklahoma St.	111.0
27	Nebraska	110.4
28	North Carolina	110.0
29	Oregon St.	109.9
30	Miami (Fla.)	109.8
31	U C L A	109.7
32	Wisconsin	109.7
33	Michigan St.	109.5
34	L S U	109.3
35	West Virginia	109.0
36	Wake Forest	109.0
37	Tennessee	109.0
38	Washington	108.9
39	Mississippi St.	108.7
40	NC State	108.3
41	BYU	107.9
42	Indiana	107.8
43	Liberty	107.4
44	Kansas St.	107.3
45	Virginia Tech	106.7
46	Louisiana	106.4
47	Minnesota	106.2
48	Pittsburgh	105.8
49	Boston College	105.8
50	Purdue	105.3
51	Appalachian St.	105.3
52	Boise St.	105.2
53	Stanford	104.9
54	Virginia	104.7
55	Houston	104.2
56	Maryland	103.0
57	Louisville	102.8
58	SMU	102.2
59	San Diego St.	102.0
60	Texas Tech	101.8
61	Washington St.	101.6
62	Florida St.	101.5
63	Nevada	101.3
64	Missouri	100.8
65	Fresno St.	100.6
66	Air Force	100.5
67	Army	100.4
68	UCF	100.2
69	Georgia Tech	99.8
70	Colorado	99.7
71	South Carolina	99.3
72	California	98.4
73	Miami (Ohio)	98.1
74	East Carolina	97.9
75	Wyoming	97.7
76	Rutgers	97.6
77	Syracuse	97.3
78	Northwestern	97.1
79	U A B	97.0
80	U T S A	96.8
81	Ball St.	96.3
82	Central Michigan	95.8
83	Toledo	95.6
84	Tulsa	95.3
85	Tulane	94.8
86	Kent St.	94.5
87	Hawaii	93.8
88	Buffalo	93.8
89	Georgia St.	93.6
90	San Jose St.	93.6
91	Illinois	93.5
92	Eastern Michigan	93.4
93	Western Michigan	93.2
94	Memphis	93.1
95	Colorado St.	93.0
96	Florida Atlantic	92.6
97	Marshall	92.0
98	Troy	91.7
99	South Alabama	91.4
100	Arizona	91.1
101	Duke	90.4
102	Utah St.	90.4
103	Louisiana Tech	89.7
104	Northern Illinois	88.8
105	USF	88.8
106	Georgia Southern	88.4
107	Western Kentucky	87.9
108	Navy	86.9
109	Middle Tennessee	86.5
110	Ohio	86.1
111	U N L V	85.3
112	Arkansas St.	83.5
113	Texas St.	83.1
114	Charlotte	83.1
115	Rice	82.3
116	Temple	81.5
117	North Texas	81.4
118	Vanderbilt	80.9
119	New Mexico	80.9
120	Southern Miss.	80.6
121	U T E P	80.3
122	Kansas	80.2
123	Florida Int’l.	77.7
124	Old Dominion	76.4
125	Akron	76.1
126	Bowling Green	74.8
127	UL-Monroe	74.5
128	New Mexico St.	71.0
129	UMass	71.0
130	Connecticut	70.1

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	121.4	121.1	123.6	122.0
Houston	104.4	103.4	104.9	104.2
SMU	101.8	102.3	102.5	102.2
UCF	100.1	98.9	101.6	100.2
East Carolina	97.7	97.1	98.8	97.9
Tulsa	95.4	95.4	95.2	95.3
Tulane	95.1	93.6	95.7	94.8
Memphis	92.6	93.1	93.5	93.1
USF	89.1	88.4	89.0	88.8
Navy	87.0	86.5	87.3	86.9
Temple	80.8	82.1	81.6	81.5
AAC Averages	96.8	96.5	97.6	97.0
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	116.8	116.9	118.7	117.5
Wake Forest	109.2	108.5	109.4	109.0
NC State	108.6	108.0	108.2	108.3
Boston College	105.4	105.9	106.0	105.8
Louisville	102.4	102.1	103.8	102.8
Florida St.	101.3	101.5	101.7	101.5
Syracuse	97.4	97.5	97.1	97.3
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
North Carolina	109.3	109.5	111.1	110.0
Miami (Fla.)	110.3	109.2	110.1	109.8
Virginia Tech	107.4	106.3	106.4	106.7
Pittsburgh	105.5	106.3	105.7	105.8
Virginia	104.1	105.4	104.5	104.7
Georgia Tech	99.8	99.9	99.7	99.8
Duke	90.4	91.3	89.5	90.4
ACC Averages	104.8	104.9	105.1	105.0
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma	125.4	123.3	124.0	124.2
Iowa St.	121.4	119.8	121.2	120.8
Texas	119.6	117.9	118.8	118.8
T C U	113.5	112.4	113.1	113.0
Baylor	112.0	111.4	110.7	111.4
Oklahoma St.	111.3	111.1	110.5	111.0
West Virginia	110.6	108.8	107.8	109.0
Kansas St.	107.6	107.5	106.8	107.3
Texas Tech	101.9	102.2	101.2	101.8
Kansas	82.7	80.3	77.6	80.2
Big 12 Averages	110.6	109.5	109.2	109.7
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	125.8	125.7	127.4	126.3
Penn St.	115.7	116.5	118.4	116.9
Michigan	113.4	114.4	114.6	114.1
Michigan St.	109.6	109.6	109.4	109.5
Indiana	107.6	107.4	108.4	107.8
Maryland	104.1	102.7	102.0	103.0
Rutgers	96.7	98.7	97.3	97.6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Iowa	119.1	118.8	120.6	119.5
Nebraska	110.0	110.4	110.7	110.4
Wisconsin	109.1	109.1	110.7	109.7
Minnesota	105.2	106.1	107.3	106.2
Purdue	104.9	104.5	106.6	105.3
Northwestern	97.2	97.3	96.9	97.1
Illinois	93.3	93.4	93.8	93.5
Big Ten Averages	108.0	108.2	108.9	108.4
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Florida Atlantic	91.9	93.2	92.8	92.6
Marshall	92.0	91.8	92.4	92.0
Western Kentucky	87.0	88.5	88.3	87.9
Middle Tennessee	86.2	86.1	87.2	86.5
Charlotte	82.1	83.2	83.9	83.1
Florida Int’l.	77.1	77.7	78.3	77.7
Old Dominion	75.9	76.7	76.7	76.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U A B	96.9	97.0	97.1	97.0
U T S A	96.6	97.2	96.8	96.8
Louisiana Tech	89.9	90.4	88.9	89.7
Rice	82.3	82.2	82.3	82.3
North Texas	81.6	81.5	81.1	81.4
Southern Miss.	80.2	81.1	80.4	80.6
U T E P	80.3	81.2	79.3	80.3
CUSA Averages	85.7	86.3	86.1	86.0
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	112.7	113.3	114.1	113.4
BYU	108.0	107.4	108.3	107.9
Liberty	106.6	107.5	108.1	107.4
Army	100.5	100.5	100.1	100.4
New Mexico St.	71.4	72.1	69.6	71.0
UMass	72.2	71.6	69.3	71.0
Connecticut	70.6	71.3	68.4	70.1
Indep. Averages	91.7	92.0	91.1	91.6
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	99.7	97.7	96.9	98.1
Kent St.	94.2	95.6	93.7	94.5
Buffalo	94.5	93.5	93.4	93.8
Ohio	85.5	86.6	86.3	86.1
Akron	77.5	76.0	74.8	76.1
Bowling Green	75.2	75.7	73.5	74.8
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ball St.	96.9	97.0	95.0	96.3
Central Michigan	96.7	95.4	95.2	95.8
Toledo	96.3	95.7	94.8	95.6
Eastern Michigan	95.0	93.2	92.0	93.4
Western Michigan	93.3	93.7	92.5	93.2
Northern Illinois	90.0	88.5	88.0	88.8
MAC Averages	91.2	90.7	89.7	90.5
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	105.0	104.8	105.7	105.2
Air Force	100.0	100.4	101.1	100.5
Wyoming	97.3	97.7	98.2	97.7
Colorado St.	92.8	92.9	93.4	93.0
Utah St.	90.1	91.0	90.1	90.4
New Mexico	81.3	81.5	79.9	80.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
San Diego St.	102.3	101.8	101.9	102.0
Nevada	100.7	102.1	101.0	101.3
Fresno St.	99.5	100.9	101.6	100.6
Hawaii	93.9	93.6	93.9	93.8
San Jose St.	94.2	94.1	92.4	93.6
U N L V	85.7	84.8	85.4	85.3
MWC Averages	95.2	95.5	95.4	95.4
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oregon	111.9	112.8	113.8	112.8
Oregon St.	109.8	109.8	110.1	109.9
Washington	107.8	109.3	109.5	108.9
Stanford	104.5	105.4	104.7	104.9
Washington St.	101.2	102.2	101.5	101.6
California	96.3	100.2	98.9	98.4
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Arizona St.	114.6	115.4	115.6	115.2
Utah	113.0	112.9	112.8	112.9
U S C	112.1	112.0	113.0	112.4
U C L A	109.4	109.8	110.0	109.7
Colorado	100.2	99.7	99.2	99.7
Arizona	91.4	90.9	90.9	91.1
Pac-12 Averages	106.0	106.7	106.7	106.5
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	134.5	134.6	136.1	135.0
Florida	117.7	119.2	118.5	118.5
Kentucky	110.9	112.7	111.7	111.8
Tennessee	109.0	108.7	109.2	109.0
Missouri	100.9	101.3	100.3	100.8
South Carolina	99.7	99.4	98.9	99.3
Vanderbilt	81.6	80.9	80.3	80.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	129.2	128.3	129.9	129.1
Ole Miss	116.9	116.7	117.0	116.9
Texas A&M	116.0	116.6	116.3	116.3
Auburn	115.9	115.0	116.0	115.6
Arkansas	114.3	114.4	114.0	114.3
L S U	108.8	109.6	109.6	109.3
Mississippi St.	108.7	108.9	108.4	108.7
SEC Averages	111.7	111.9	111.9	111.8
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Coastal Carolina	112.7	110.9	112.8	112.2
Appalachian St.	104.8	104.5	106.6	105.3
Georgia St.	94.0	93.3	93.6	93.6
Troy	91.5	91.9	91.9	91.7
Georgia Southern	88.4	88.8	88.2	88.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisiana	107.1	105.3	106.9	106.4
South Alabama	91.8	91.6	90.9	91.4
Arkansas St.	83.7	84.1	82.8	83.5
Texas St.	84.4	82.4	82.6	83.1
UL-Monroe	75.1	75.1	73.2	74.5
Sun Averages	93.3	92.8	92.9	93.0

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	111.8
2	Big 12	109.7
3	Big Ten	108.4
4	Pac-12	106.5
5	Atlantic Coast	105.0
6	American Athletic	97.0
7	Mountain West	95.4
8	Sun Belt	93.0
9	Independents	91.6
10	Mid-American	90.5
11	Conference USA	86.0

Bowl Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	Florida Atlantic	Northern Illinois
Cure	SMU	Coastal Carolina
Boca	Louisiana	Air Force
New Mexico	UTEP	Wyoming
Independence	BYU	UAB
Lending Tree	Kent St.	San Jose St.
L. A.	San Diego St.	Arizona St.
New Orleans	Louisiana Tech	Liberty
Myrtle Beach	Charlotte	Appalachian St.
Famous Idaho Potato	Western Michigan	Boise St.
Frisco	Utah St.	Washington St.
Armed Forces	Army	Washington
Gasparilla	Western Ky.	Fresno St.
Hawaii	East Carolina	Hawaii
Camellia	Ball St.	South Alabama
Quick Lane	Central Michigan	Marshall
Military	Virginia	Houston
Birmingham	MTSU	Eastern Michigan
First Responder	Memphis	Kansas St.
Liberty	TCU	Arkansas
Holiday	North Carolina St.	Utah
Guaranteed Rate	Indiana	Texas Tech
Fenway	Central Florida	UTSA
Pinstripe	Pittsburgh	Rutgers
Cheez-It	Boston College	Baylor
Alamo	Iowa St.	UCLA
Duke’s Mayo	Wake Forest	Mississippi St.
Music City	Minnesota	Tennessee
Las Vegas	Wisconsin	Oregon St.
Tax Slayer Gator	Virginia Tech	Auburn
Tony The Tiger Sun	North Carolina	USC
Arizona	Toledo	Nevada
Citrus	Penn St.	Ole Miss
Outback	Michigan	Florida
Texas	Texas	Texas A&M
Peach	Clemson	Alabama
Fiesta	Notre Dame	Michigan St.
Rose	Oregon	Iowa
Sugar	Kentucky	Oklahoma St.
Cotton	Ohio St.	Cincinnati
Orange	Georgia	Oklahoma
Championship	Georgia	Ohio St.

PiRate Picks–October 9-10, 2021

Last week, time constraints limited this weekly feature to the bare minimum. We have plenty of time this week, so rather than just list the games we have chosen, there’s time to go a little more in-depth with our selections.

First, we made a minimal profit of imaginary revenue last week, as we hit on the long odds 4-game parlay at +372.50 with Texas beating TCU, Wake Forest beating Louisville, South Carolina beating Troy, and Oklahoma State holding on to edge Baylor.

This week presented us with numerous opportunities where certain factors triggered plays. We ended up trimming it to eight parlays, and all but one game coming on Saturday. We had one key Sunday game but could not find an NFL partner for the game, so it attached to other college games to give us the biggest odds of the week. Without further adieu, here are our picks for this week. Remember, this is for entertainment purposes only, and we highly encourage you not to wager real money on these selections, unless you have other research that the information herein merely endorses.

Odds:	+153.06
Must Win	Opponent
Wake Forest	Syracuse
Baylor	West Virginia

This first parlay is cut and dry. We believe that the public is not all that high on the two favorites. Wake Forest is supposed to be weak most years, but Dave Clawson has the Demon Deacons creeping up on Clemson for best in the Atlantic Division of the ACC. Baylor came oh so close to knocking off Oklahoma State in Stillwater last week. Had they pulled that win off, the Bears might be approaching the Top 10. West Virginia has played a tough schedule in a short time, and we feel they might show some fatigue in this game.

Odds:	+155
Must Win	Opponent
UTSA	Western Kentucky

Obviously, this is not a parlay. It is one of four games where we are picking an underdog to win straight up. Western Kentucky is due to bounce after getting up and playing a close game at Michigan State, while UTSA has quietly started 5-0 with a Power 5 win.

Odds:	+160
Must Win	Opponent
Texas	Oklahoma

It hasn’t been often in the last 15 years that we went into the second weekend in October believing that Texas would beat Oklahoma. Oklahoma has been narrowly escaping with wins over mediocre competition. After getting pasted at Arkansas, Texas has begun to look like a team ready to compete for the Big 12 Championship Game. We consider this a tossup game, so we go with the better odds and the underdog.

Odds:	+160
Must Win	Opponent
Nebraska	Michigan

This is more of a system play. Nebraska won by more than 38 points in a conference game and now plays a conference home game the next week. In a high percentage of cases like this, the home team continues to play at the same top level it played the previous week. Additionally, Michigan is on the road for the second consecutive week in a key conference game. This has the look of a traditional upset.

Odds:	+161.90
Must Win	Opponent
San Jose St.	Colorado St.
Bowling Green	Akron

The key game here is the San Jose State-Colorado State game. We feel like the wrong team is favored. However, playing SJSU in a single game does not supply us with the odds we look for when playing Money Lines. So, we added the Bowling Green game to it to make a parlay that has fat payout odds. The betting public may not see how much the Falcons have improved this year, while Akron remains one of the five worst teams in the FBS.

Odds:	+188.93
Must Win	Opponent
Iowa	Penn St.
Tennessee	South Carolina
Arizona St.	Stanford

This is the first of three big-odds payouts we are playing this week. In the first game in this parlay, our ratings show Iowa at the present time to be good enough to run the table and make the Playoffs. Penn State looks like a 10-2 team destined to play on New Year’s Day in Florida. Kirk Ferentz may have his best team in Iowa City.

In the second leg of this parlay, Tennessee fits the same criteria that Nebraska faces. They won by 38 points against a conference opponent and play at home this week against another conference opponent. While South Carolina’s defense is considerably better than Missouri’s, their offense is not as sharp, and we believe Josh Heupel’s Vols are sitting on another great performance.

The third part of this parlay is simply a case where we believe Arizona State is clearly superior to Stanford on both sides of the ball and should win by double digits.

Odds:	+195.50
Must Win	Opponent
South Alabama	Texas St.
Kent St.	Buffalo
Wisconsin	Illinois

South Alabama looks to be 10-14 points better than Texas State, and when we saw the Money Line odds on this game, it was the first one that went into our play pool. Kent State has a score to settle with Buffalo. In the weird Covid year of 2020, The Golden Flashes only managed to get four games in the books. Buffalo was the last, and Kent State went into this game 3-0 and averaging 53 points per game. Buffalo was also 3-0. The Bulls hung 70 points on the Flashes. Kent State gets their revenge this week.

Wisconsin is the best 1-3 team in America. It is odd how many times unforced errors have hurt the Badgers in their three losses. The Badgers don’t particularly like their rival to the south, and we expect UW to win this game by a large margin.

Odds:	+241.12
Must Win	Opponent
Central Michigan	Ohio U
BYU	Boise St.
Carolina	Philadelphia

Finally, we come to our biggest odds play of the week. We only found one NFL game we wanted to play based on the Money Line odds, so we had to parlay the Carolina Panthers with a couple of college games.

While 2021 looks like a so-so year for Central Michigan, Ohio is in a state of flux after former coach Frank Solich retired during the Summer. The Bobcats are almost sleep-walking through games this year, which can be attributed to growing pains.

Boise State is a mere shell of its former self under Bryan Harsin. New coach Andy Avalos inherited 16 returning starters, but the Broncos never played up to their potential last year and appear to be repeating it this year. Maybe, they were just a bit overrated?

BYU has shown the world that they were more than just Zach Wilson last year. The Cougars’ defense is top notch, while the offense is a bit more deliberate this year, but it helps the defense perform even better. Other than the fact that the Cougars may be looking ahead a tad to next week’s game at Baylor, everything here looks like a BYU win.

Carolina should be a heavier favorite over Philadelphia. The loss to Dallas has been factored a bit too heavily. We like the Panthers solely because their Money Line odds are so favorable this week.

PiRate Ratings College Football–October 7-9, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Tulane	Houston	-4.6	-4.9	-4.0
Arkansas St.	Coastal Carolina	-26.7	-23.6	-27.4
Cincinnati	Temple	43.0	41.0	43.9
Florida Int’l.	Charlotte	-0.3	-0.7	-0.5
Arizona St.	Stanford	12.6	12.4	13.3
North Carolina	Florida St.	17.8	18.2	20.2
Rutgers	Michigan St.	-8.0	-5.5	-6.6
Massachusetts	Connecticut	0.4	-1.4	-0.9
Syracuse	Wake Forest	-11.1	-10.2	-11.9
Central Florida	East Carolina	5.6	5.0	6.1
Ohio St.	Maryland	17.7	19.0	21.6
Bowling Green	Akron	3.3	5.7	5.0
Toledo	Northern Illinois	11.3	12.7	12.5
Kent St.	Buffalo	-0.3	2.2	-0.2
Duke	Georgia Tech	-6.7	-5.9	-7.7
Western Michigan	Ball St.	4.5	5.3	6.4
Liberty	Middle Tennessee	22.8	23.9	23.1
Louisville	Virginia	1.6	0.0	3.0
Air Force	Wyoming	5.1	4.8	4.9
BYU	Boise St.	9.8	9.6	9.8
Marshall	Old Dominion	22.6	21.6	22.5
Colorado St.	San Jose St.	-3.0	-2.9	-0.5
USC	Utah	7.4	7.5	9.2
Washington St.	Oregon St.	-9.3	-8.2	-9.6
Tennessee	South Carolina	9.0	8.7	9.5
Navy	SMU	-12.2	-13.6	-13.2
Texas Tech	TCU	-5.8	-4.0	-5.7
Auburn	Georgia	-14.6	-15.5	-16.1
Kentucky	LSU	-0.2	0.8	-0.8
Baylor	West Virginia	-1.0	0.2	0.3
Missouri	North Texas	25.0	25.7	25.3
Texas St.	South Alabama	-6.0	-8.2	-7.3
UAB	Florida Atlantic	5.7	3.8	4.5
Florida	Vanderbilt	38.6	40.8	40.5
Tulsa	Memphis	5.0	4.2	3.4
Louisiana-Monroe	Georgia St.	-11.9	-11.1	-13.5
Illinois	Wisconsin	-10.3	-10.0	-11.3
Eastern Michigan	Miami (O)	-2.8	-2.5	-3.3
Texas (N)	Oklahoma	-4.9	-4.1	-3.7
Nebraska	Michigan	0.0	-0.6	-0.5
Troy	Georgia Southern	5.3	5.3	6.1
Ohio U	Central Michigan	-9.3	-6.8	-7.3
Texas A&M	Alabama	-14.3	-12.8	-15.3
Ole Miss	Arkansas	6.0	5.9	7.0
Southern Miss.	UTEP	5.8	6.2	7.8
Western Kentucky	UTSA	-7.3	-6.2	-5.9
Iowa	Penn St.	6.0	4.4	4.6
Virginia Tech	Notre Dame	-2.1	-4.2	-5.1
Arizona	UCLA	-14.3	-15.2	-15.2
San Diego St.	New Mexico	24.0	23.3	25.0
Nevada	New Mexico St.	32.4	33.1	34.5

28 Teams Off This Week!

Appalachian St.

Army

Boston College

California

Clemson

Colorado

Fresno St.

Hawaii

Indiana

Iowa St.

Kansas

Kansas St.

Louisiana

Louisiana Tech

Miami (Fla.)

Minnesota

Mississippi St.

North Carolina St.

Northwestern

Oklahoma St.

Oregon

Pittsburgh

Purdue

Rice

South Florida

UNLV

Utah St.

Washington

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	134.4
2	Alabama	131.1
3	Oklahoma	123.4
4	Ohio St.	122.8
5	Cincinnati	121.5
6	Iowa St.	120.5
7	Iowa	119.7
8	Texas	119.1
9	Florida	118.3
10	Penn St.	117.7
11	Ole Miss	117.2
12	Clemson	117.2
13	Auburn	116.0
14	U S C	115.2
15	Arizona St.	114.9
16	North Carolina	114.1
17	Texas A&M	114.0
18	Michigan	113.9
19	Arkansas	113.9
20	Notre Dame	113.4
21	Oregon	112.5
22	L S U	112.2
23	Coastal Carolina	111.8
24	West Virginia	111.8
25	Oregon St.	111.8
26	T C U	111.5
27	Oklahoma St.	110.7
28	Nebraska	110.6
29	Wake Forest	110.2
30	Utah	110.1
31	BYU	109.9
32	Miami (Fla.)	109.5
33	U C L A	109.5
34	Kentucky	109.2
35	Baylor	108.6
36	Washington	108.6
37	Wisconsin	108.5
38	Michigan St.	108.4
39	Mississippi St.	108.4
40	NC State	108.0
41	Indiana	107.5
42	Tennessee	107.2
43	Liberty	107.1
44	Kansas St.	107.0
45	Virginia Tech	106.6
46	Maryland	106.4
47	Louisiana	106.1
48	Minnesota	105.9
49	Pittsburgh	105.5
50	Boston College	105.5
51	Stanford	105.1
52	Purdue	105.0
53	Appalachian St.	105.0
54	Virginia	104.6
55	Texas Tech	103.3
56	Boise St.	103.2
57	Louisville	103.1
58	Houston	103.0
59	SMU	102.6
60	Missouri	102.5
61	San Diego St.	102.0
62	Nevada	101.2
63	South Carolina	101.1
64	Fresno St.	100.3
65	UCF	100.3
66	Army	100.2
67	Air Force	100.1
68	Georgia Tech	99.8
69	Washington St.	99.8
70	Colorado	99.4
71	Rutgers	98.7
72	Miami (Ohio)	98.5
73	Florida St.	98.4
74	California	98.1
75	Wyoming	98.1
76	East Carolina	97.7
77	Toledo	97.1
78	U T S A	96.9
79	Northwestern	96.8
80	Central Michigan	96.3
81	Western Michigan	96.2
82	Syracuse	96.1
83	Tulane	96.0
84	San Jose St.	96.0
85	U A B	95.9
86	Illinois	95.5
87	Buffalo	95.4
88	Tulsa	95.2
89	Marshall	94.6
90	Florida Atlantic	93.7
91	Hawaii	93.6
92	Memphis	93.5
93	Kent St.	93.4
94	Ball St.	93.3
95	Eastern Michigan	93.0
96	South Alabama	91.9
97	Troy	91.8
98	Arizona	91.6
99	Georgia St.	91.4
100	Colorado St.	90.9
101	Duke	90.6
102	Utah St.	90.2
103	Louisiana Tech	89.5
104	Georgia Southern	88.7
105	USF	88.6
106	Western Kentucky	87.9
107	Northern Illinois	87.4
108	Navy	87.0
109	Middle Tennessee	86.8
110	Ohio	85.9
111	U N L V	85.1
112	Arkansas St.	83.9
113	Southern Miss.	83.0
114	Texas St.	82.7
115	Rice	82.1
116	Charlotte	81.9
117	Temple	81.8
118	Vanderbilt	81.4
119	New Mexico	80.9
120	North Texas	80.2
121	Kansas	79.9
122	Florida Int’l.	78.9
123	U T E P	78.4
124	Bowling Green	77.3
125	UL-Monroe	76.7
126	Old Dominion	74.9
127	Akron	74.1
128	Connecticut	71.8
129	New Mexico St.	70.8
130	UMass	69.6

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference

Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	121.0	120.5	123.0	121.5
Houston	103.3	102.2	103.6	103.0
SMU	102.0	102.7	103.0	102.6
UCF	100.2	99.0	101.8	100.3
East Carolina	97.6	97.0	98.6	97.7
Tulane	96.2	94.8	97.0	96.0
Tulsa	95.4	95.3	94.9	95.2
Memphis	92.9	93.5	94.1	93.5
USF	88.9	88.2	88.8	88.6
Navy	87.3	86.6	87.3	87.0
Temple	81.0	82.5	82.0	81.8
AAC Averages	96.9	96.6	97.6	97.0

Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	116.5	116.6	118.4	117.2
Wake Forest	110.3	109.6	110.7	110.2
NC State	108.3	107.7	107.9	108.0
Boston College	105.1	105.6	105.7	105.5
Louisville	102.7	102.4	104.3	103.1
Florida St.	98.4	98.4	98.3	98.4
Syracuse	96.3	96.4	95.8	96.1
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
North Carolina	113.2	113.6	115.5	114.1
Miami (Fla.)	110.0	108.9	109.8	109.5
Virginia Tech	107.5	106.2	106.2	106.6
Pittsburgh	105.2	106.0	105.4	105.5
Virginia	104.1	105.4	104.3	104.6
Georgia Tech	99.8	99.9	99.8	99.8
Duke	90.6	91.5	89.6	90.6
ACC Averages	104.8	104.9	105.1	104.9

Big 12 Conference

Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma	124.7	122.4	123.0	123.4
Iowa St.	121.1	119.5	120.9	120.5
Texas	119.8	118.3	119.3	119.1
West Virginia	113.3	111.5	110.6	111.8
T C U	112.1	110.8	111.5	111.5
Oklahoma St.	111.0	110.8	110.2	110.7
Baylor	109.3	108.7	107.9	108.6
Kansas St.	107.3	107.2	106.5	107.0
Texas Tech	103.3	103.8	102.8	103.3
Kansas	82.4	80.0	77.3	79.9
Big 12 Averages	110.4	109.3	109.0	109.6

Big Ten Conference

East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	122.3	122.2	124.0	122.8
Penn St.	116.4	117.4	119.2	117.7
Michigan	113.2	114.2	114.4	113.9
Michigan St.	108.7	108.4	108.2	108.4
Indiana	107.3	107.1	108.1	107.5
Maryland	107.6	106.2	105.4	106.4
Rutgers	97.6	99.9	98.5	98.7
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Iowa	119.4	118.9	120.8	119.7
Nebraska	110.2	110.6	110.9	110.6
Wisconsin	108.0	107.9	109.5	108.5
Minnesota	104.9	105.8	107.0	105.9
Purdue	104.6	104.2	106.3	105.0
Northwestern	96.9	97.0	96.6	96.8
Illinois	95.2	95.4	95.8	95.5
Big Ten Averages	108.0	108.3	108.9	108.4

Conference USA

East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Marshall	94.5	94.3	95.1	94.6
Florida Atlantic	92.8	94.4	94.0	93.7
Western Kentucky	86.9	88.5	88.3	87.9
Middle Tennessee	86.5	86.4	87.6	86.8
Charlotte	81.0	82.0	82.6	81.9
Florida Int’l.	78.2	78.9	79.6	78.9
Old Dominion	74.4	75.2	75.0	74.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U T S A	96.7	97.2	96.8	96.9
U A B	96.0	95.8	95.9	95.9
Louisiana Tech	89.7	90.2	88.7	89.5
Southern Miss.	82.4	83.5	83.0	83.0
Rice	82.1	82.0	82.1	82.1
North Texas	80.5	80.3	79.8	80.2
U T E P	78.6	79.3	77.2	78.4
CUSA Averages	85.7	86.3	86.1	86.0

Independents

Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	112.6	113.4	114.3	113.4
BYU	109.9	109.4	110.4	109.9
Liberty	106.3	107.2	107.7	107.1
Army	100.3	100.3	99.9	100.2
Connecticut	72.1	73.1	70.2	71.8
New Mexico St.	71.2	71.9	69.4	70.8
UMass	71.0	70.1	67.8	69.6

Mid-American Conference

East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	100.0	98.0	97.4	98.5
Buffalo	96.0	95.0	95.1	95.4
Kent St.	93.2	94.6	92.5	93.4
Ohio	85.3	86.5	86.0	85.9
Bowling Green	77.5	78.2	76.1	77.3
Akron	75.7	74.0	72.7	74.1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	97.6	97.2	96.4	97.1
Central Michigan	97.2	95.8	95.8	96.3
Western Michigan	96.1	96.7	95.7	96.2
Ball St.	94.1	94.0	91.8	93.3
Eastern Michigan	94.7	92.9	91.5	93.0
Northern Illinois	88.7	87.0	86.4	87.4
MAC Averages	91.3	90.8	89.8	90.7

Mountain West Conference

Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	103.1	102.8	103.6	103.2
Air Force	99.7	100.0	100.6	100.1
Wyoming	97.6	98.1	98.7	98.1
Colorado St.	90.7	90.7	91.3	90.9
Utah St.	89.9	90.8	89.9	90.2
New Mexico	81.3	81.5	79.9	80.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
San Diego St.	102.3	101.8	101.9	102.0
Nevada	100.6	102.0	100.9	101.2
Fresno St.	99.2	100.6	101.3	100.3
San Jose St.	96.6	96.6	94.8	96.0
Hawaii	93.7	93.4	93.7	93.6
U N L V	85.5	84.6	85.2	85.1
MWC Averages	95.0	95.2	95.1	95.1

Pac-12 Conference

North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oregon	111.6	112.5	113.5	112.5
Oregon St.	111.6	111.6	112.1	111.8
Washington	107.5	109.0	109.2	108.6
Stanford	104.7	105.7	105.0	105.1
Washington St.	99.4	100.4	99.5	99.8
California	96.0	99.9	98.6	98.1
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U S C	114.7	114.7	116.0	115.2
Arizona St.	114.4	115.1	115.3	114.9
Utah	110.4	110.2	109.8	110.1
U C L A	109.2	109.6	109.7	109.5
Colorado	99.9	99.4	98.9	99.4
Arizona	91.9	91.4	91.5	91.6
Pac-12 Averages	105.9	106.6	106.6	106.4

Southeastern Conference

East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	133.9	134.0	135.5	134.4
Florida	117.6	119.1	118.3	118.3
Kentucky	108.4	110.2	108.9	109.2
Tennessee	107.3	106.9	107.3	107.2
Missouri	102.5	103.0	102.1	102.5
South Carolina	101.4	101.2	100.8	101.1
Vanderbilt	82.0	81.3	80.8	81.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	131.1	130.2	132.1	131.1
Ole Miss	117.1	117.0	117.5	117.2
Auburn	116.3	115.4	116.4	116.0
Texas A&M	113.8	114.4	113.8	114.0
Arkansas	114.1	114.1	113.5	113.9
L S U	111.6	112.4	112.7	112.2
Mississippi St.	108.4	108.6	108.1	108.4
SEC Averages	111.8	112.0	112.0	111.9

Sun Belt Conference

East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Coastal Carolina	112.5	110.3	112.5	111.8
Appalachian St.	104.5	104.2	106.3	105.0
Troy	91.5	91.9	92.0	91.8
Georgia St.	91.8	91.0	91.4	91.4
Georgia Southern	88.7	89.1	88.4	88.7
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisiana	106.8	105.0	106.6	106.1
South Alabama	92.1	92.1	91.4	91.9
Arkansas St.	83.9	84.7	83.1	83.9
Texas St.	84.1	81.9	82.1	82.7
UL-Monroe	77.3	77.4	75.4	76.7
Sun Averages	93.3	92.8	92.9	93.0

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	111.9
2	Big 12	109.6
3	Big Ten	108.4
4	Pac-12	106.4
5	Atlantic Coast	104.9
6	American Athletic	97.0
7	Mountain West	95.1
8	Sun Belt	93.0
9	Independents	91.8
10	Mid-American	90.7
11	Conference USA	86.0

PiRate Ratings Commence Bowl Projections Today

With one month of play in the books, it is time to begin issuing our Bowl Projections. This is starting to look like a fractured college football season. The Atlantic Coast Conference and Pac-12 Conference have basically been eliminated from Playoff contention. In the Big 12, Oklahoma looks anything like a Playoff team, and Ohio State’s loss at home to Oregon now looks much worse with Oregon losing to Stanford.

Meanwhile, the SEC has two super teams that should be co-number ones. Alabama and Georgia might finish the regular season as the top two seeds even though one team must lose a game in the SEC Championship Game.

Cincinnati’s road win over Notre Dame is enough for now to put them in the Field of Four, but only if either the Big 12 or Big Ten champions have a loss. The Bearcats still have some tough conference opposition to conquer in SMU and Houston.

The Redbox Bowl has already cancelled their 2021 game, and that leaves spots for 82 teams in the postseason. As of today, we count 85 teams that are on pace of a minimum of six wins. The 6-6 line has a large number of teams.

Here is our first stab at the projections for 2021-22. Unlike recent years, there is a lot more wiggle room for different conferences to appear in multiple bowls.

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	UTSA	Toledo
Cure	Liberty	Marshall
Boca	Florida Atlantic	Coastal Carolina
New Mexico	UTEP	Wyoming
Independence	BYU	Louisiana Tech
Lending Tree	Western Michigan	Troy
L. A.	San Jose St.	Arizona St.
New Orleans	UAB	Louisiana
Myrtle Beach	Appalachian St.	Northern Illinois
Famous Idaho Potato	Kent St.	Boise St.
Frisco	Memphis	Utah St.
Armed Forces	Army	Washington
Gasparilla	East Carolina	Iowa St.
Hawaii	Houston	Nevada
Camellia	Miami (O)	South Alabama
Quick Lane	Ball St.	Western Kentucky
Military	Virginia Tech	Central Florida
Birmingham	Miami (Fla.)	Mississippi St.
First Responder	TCU	Fresno St.
Liberty	Kansas St.	Arkansas
Holiday	North Carolina	Utah
Guaranteed Rate	Air Force	Baylor
Fenway	Boston College	SMU
Pinstripe	Pittsburgh	Indiana
Cheez-It	Wake Forest	Texas
Alamo	Oklahoma St.	Stanford
Duke’s Mayo	North Carolina St.	Auburn
Music City	Minnesota	Tennessee
Las Vegas	Wisconsin	USC
Tax Slayer Gator	Virginia	LSU
Tony The Tiger Sun	Louisville	UCLA
Arizona	Central Michigan	San Diego St.
Citrus	Michigan	Ole Miss
Outback	Michigan St.	Florida
Texas	Texas Tech	Texas A&M
Peach	Clemson	Penn St.
Fiesta	Oregon	Notre Dame
Rose	Ohio St.	Oregon St.
Sugar	Kentucky	Oklahoma
Cotton	Iowa	Alabama
Orange	Georgia	Cincinnati
Championship	Georgia	Alabama

This Week’s TV Fare

This week presents fewer total games, as we mentioned early that 28 teams have bye weeks. There are a handful of important and exciting games on the schedule, but this may be the week to watch the Major League Baseball Playoffs more than college football.

Saturday, October 9
Time (ET)	Network	Home	Visitor
12:00 PM	ABC	Texas (n)	Oklahoma
	Fox	Ohio St.	Maryland
	ESPN	Ole Miss	Arkansas
	ESPN2	Tennessee	South Carolina
	FS1	Baylor	West Virginia
	CBSSN	Toledo	Northern Illinois
	BTN	Rutgers	Michigan St.
	SEC	Florida	Vanderbilt
3:00 PM	ACC	Louisville	Virginia
3:30 PM	CBS	Auburn	Georgia
	ABC	BYU	Boise St.
	ESPN	North Carolina	Florida St.
	ESPN2	Syracuse	Wake Forest
	FS1	Colorado St.	San Jose St.
	CBSSN	Navy	SMU
	BTN	Illinois	Wisconsin
4:00 PM	Fox	Iowa	Penn St.
	SEC	Missouri	North Texas
	Pac-12	Washington St.	Oregon St.
7:00 PM	ESPN	Texas Tech	TCU
	ESPNU	Kent St.	Buffalo
	CBSSN	Air Force	Wyoming
7:30 PM	ABC	Nebraska	Michigan
	SEC	Kentucky	LSU
	ACC	Virginia Tech	Notre Dame
8:00 PM	CBS	Texas A&M	Alabama
	FOX	USC	Utah
	FS1	San Diego St.	New Mexico
9:00 PM	ESPN2	Tulsa	Memphis
10:30 PM	ESPN	Arizona	UCLA
	CBSSN	Nevada	New Mexico St.

PiRate Ratings College Football September 12, 2021

Note: We want to thank all our fans that were part of the opening weekend introduction of the PiRate Ratings Pro Football Simulation Tabletop Game. We were overwhelmed by the number of orders you made for the salute to the American Football League.

If you are interested in knowing more about the game, click on the link below.

PiRate Football Game Info

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Louisiana	Ohio U	23.3	19.2	22.3
Louisville	Central Florida	0.3	1.1	-0.8
Illinois	Marylalnd	-14.3	-12.2	-11.2
Miami (Fla.)	Michigan St.	10.3	9.4	11.3
Michigan	Northern Illinois	20.3	23.5	24.3
Army	Connecticut	35.7	34.5	38.9
Massachusetts	Eastern Michigan	-15.9	-14.8	-16.5
Temple	Boston College	-22.4	-21.3	-22.0
West Virginia	Virginia Tech	9.7	9.1	8.3
Buffalo	Coastal Carolina	-8.7	-7.0	-9.9
Pittsburgh	Western Michigan	15.8	16.5	17.5
Oklahoma	Nebraska	25.6	22.5	24.0
Indiana	Cincinnati	-3.9	-3.1	-4.3
Texas A&M	New Mexico	35.3	35.9	36.9
Colorado	Minnesota	4.9	3.3	1.4
Wyoming	Ball St.	3.4	4.3	7.7
Kansas St.	Nevada	8.9	7.3	7.4
Notre Dame	Purdue	0.5	2.3	0.8
Clemson	Georgia Tech	26.7	27.1	29.6
Washington St.	USC	-12.8	-11.7	-14.6
Florida	Alabama	-13.3	-10.1	-13.9
Wake Forest	Florida St.	8.7	7.1	8.4
Iowa	Kent St.	26.4	23.9	29.4
Louisiana Tech	SMU	-4.5	-4.9	-7.0
Ohio St.	Tulsa	23.4	23.4	25.6
Kansas	Baylor	-15.1	-17.4	-19.6
Toledo	Colorado St.	16.5	16.3	15.3
Duke	Northwestern	-11.6	-10.3	-12.5
Arkansas	Georgia Southern	30.0	29.2	29.1
Memphis	Mississippi St.	-13.7	-13.3	-11.4
Washington	Arkansas St.	17.5	17.8	20.1
UTSA	Middle Tennessee	14.1	14.9	12.3
Liberty	Old Dominion	35.6	36.3	37.6
Marshall	East Carolina	5.0	6.0	4.4
Southern Miss.	Troy	-10.5	-9.1	-10.2
Texas Tech	Florida Int’l.	26.2	26.2	23.4
Georgia St.	Charlotte	14.2	12.3	12.0
San Diego St.	Utah	-6.1	-6.7	-6.5
Georgia	South Carolina	29.0	29.2	31.7
Penn St.	Auburn	-0.9	1.4	1.7
Air Force	Utah St.	10.3	9.0	11.1
North Carolina	Virginia	14.8	12.8	17.8
LSU	Central Michigan	12.5	14.9	14.8
North Texas	UAB	-8.8	-8.7	-8.9
Vanderbilt	Stanford	-14.2	-16.1	-14.9
Texas	Rice	33.2	31.3	32.0
Ole Miss	Tulane	14.3	15.6	12.6
Boise St.	Oklahoma St.	-2.7	-2.8	-0.9
BYU	Arizona St.	2.1	0.6	2.1
UNLV	Iowa St.	-32.7	-32.2	-33.9
UCLA	Fresno St.	18.1	16.2	15.8
Hawaii	San Jose St.	-3.5	-4.3	-2.2

This week’s FBS vs. FCS Games

FBS	FCS	PiRate
Kentucky	Chattanooga	30.2
Missouri	SE Missouri	29.4
Tennessee	Tennessee Tech	30.7
Syracuse	Albany	21.5
Rutgers	Delaware	23.5
Miami (O)	Long Island	25.5
Akron	Bryant	9.2
Appalachian St.	Elon	27.7
Oregon St.	Idaho	21.2
California	Sacramento St.	22.3
Bowling Green	Murray St.	5.2
Florida Atlantic	Fordham	27.4
Houston	Grambling	28.8
South Florida	Florida A&M	15.5
Texas St.	Incarnate Word	13.5
Oregon	Stony Brook	32.4
North Carolina St.	Furman	27.1
Louisiana-Monroe	Jackson St.	11.6
South Alabama	Alcorn St.	23.3
New Mexico St.	South Carolina St.	1.5
Arizona	Northern Arizona	16.3

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Alabama	132.3
2	Georgia	128.5
3	Oklahoma	126.4
4	Clemson	121.7
5	Iowa St.	120.6
6	Ohio St.	119.5
7	Cincinnati	119.2
8	Auburn	118.2
9	Texas A&M	117.8
10	North Carolina	117.7
11	Iowa	117.6
12	Florida	116.8
13	Penn St.	116.0
14	U S C	115.7
15	Wisconsin	114.7
16	T C U	114.4
17	Ole Miss	114.0
18	Texas	114.0
19	Oregon	113.5
20	Miami (Fla.)	113.4
21	U C L A	113.0
22	West Virginia	112.9
23	Indiana	112.4
24	Arkansas	112.3
25	Arizona St.	111.7
26	L S U	111.4
27	Utah	110.5
28	BYU	110.3
29	Maryland	109.6
30	Oklahoma St.	109.5
31	Coastal Carolina	109.1
32	Michigan	108.6
33	Purdue	108.6
34	Notre Dame	108.3
35	NC State	108.1
36	Kentucky	108.0
37	Mississippi St.	108.0
38	Louisiana	106.9
39	Virginia Tech	106.9
40	Wake Forest	106.8
41	Liberty	106.8
42	Oregon St.	106.3
43	Missouri	106.2
44	Colorado	106.2
45	Michigan St.	106.1
46	Minnesota	106.0
47	Washington	105.6
48	Virginia	105.6
49	Kansas St.	105.4
50	Nebraska	105.3
51	Stanford	105.1
52	Baylor	104.9
53	Boston College	104.8
54	Boise St.	104.3
55	UCF	104.0
56	Pittsburgh	103.3
57	Texas Tech	102.9
58	Tulane	102.9
59	Appalachian St.	102.8
60	Northwestern	102.5
61	Tennessee	102.4
62	Army	102.1
63	Louisville	101.7
64	South Carolina	101.5
65	Florida St.	101.3
66	Houston	101.2
67	San Diego St.	101.1
68	Nevada	100.6
69	Rutgers	100.4
70	San Jose St.	100.4
71	Central Michigan	100.4
72	Washington St.	99.6
73	California	99.6
74	Fresno St.	99.3
75	Tulsa	98.4
76	Toledo	98.3
77	Miami (Ohio)	97.9
78	Buffalo	97.6
79	Wyoming	97.4
80	SMU	97.2
81	Air Force	97.0
82	U T S A	96.9
83	Georgia Tech	96.8
84	Marshall	96.7
85	Troy	95.4
86	Ball St.	95.3
87	Syracuse	94.9
88	East Carolina	94.6
89	Illinois	94.5
90	U A B	94.2
91	Kent St.	94.0
92	Memphis	93.7
93	Hawaii	93.1
94	Florida Atlantic	92.5
95	Arizona	92.2
96	Georgia St.	91.7
97	South Alabama	91.4
98	Eastern Michigan	91.0
99	Arkansas St.	90.1
100	Utah St.	89.8
101	Western Michigan	89.7
102	Northern Illinois	88.9
103	Louisiana Tech	88.7
104	Duke	88.5
105	Ohio	88.3
106	USF	88.2
107	Texas St.	87.8
108	Vanderbilt	87.0
109	Western Kentucky	86.2
110	Middle Tennessee	86.1
111	Georgia Southern	85.9
112	Colorado St.	85.3
113	Rice	84.8
114	New Mexico	84.8
115	U N L V	84.7
116	Navy	84.6
117	Kansas	84.5
118	Southern Miss.	83.4
119	North Texas	82.4
120	Charlotte	80.9
121	Florida Int’l.	80.6
122	Temple	80.4
123	U T E P	76.6
124	UL-Monroe	75.6
125	Akron	75.2
126	UMass	72.8
127	Bowling Green	72.4
128	Old Dominion	72.3
129	New Mexico St.	69.4
130	Connecticut	67.7

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	119.0	118.0	120.6	119.2
UCF	103.6	102.5	105.9	104.0
Tulane	102.7	101.4	104.5	102.9
Houston	101.6	100.2	101.9	101.2
Tulsa	98.4	98.6	98.1	98.4
SMU	96.5	97.5	97.6	97.2
East Carolina	94.6	93.7	95.4	94.6
Memphis	92.9	93.5	94.7	93.7
USF	88.6	87.7	88.3	88.2
Navy	85.1	84.3	84.5	84.6
Temple	79.6	81.1	80.4	80.4
AAC Averages	96.6	96.2	97.4	96.8

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	120.6	121.0	123.3	121.7
NC State	108.6	107.8	108.0	108.1
Wake Forest	107.2	106.0	107.3	106.8
Boston College	104.5	104.9	104.9	104.8
Louisville	101.4	101.0	102.6	101.7
Florida St.	101.0	101.4	101.4	101.3
Syracuse	95.4	95.2	94.2	94.9
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
North Carolina	116.7	116.8	119.7	117.7
Miami (Fla.)	113.8	112.5	114.1	113.4
Virginia Tech	107.8	106.4	106.4	106.9
Virginia	104.9	106.9	104.9	105.6
Pittsburgh	102.9	103.9	103.3	103.3
Georgia Tech	96.9	96.9	96.7	96.8
Duke	88.5	89.8	87.3	88.5
ACC Averages	105.0	105.0	105.3	105.1

Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma	127.6	125.0	126.5	126.4
Iowa St.	121.1	119.3	121.4	120.6
T C U	114.9	113.6	114.6	114.4
Texas	115.0	113.0	113.9	114.0
West Virginia	114.5	112.6	111.6	112.9
Oklahoma St.	110.0	109.6	108.8	109.5
Kansas St.	105.8	105.8	104.7	105.4
Baylor	105.5	105.1	104.1	104.9
Texas Tech	102.9	103.7	102.1	102.9
Kansas	87.3	84.7	81.6	84.5
Big 12 Averages	110.5	109.2	108.9	109.5

Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	118.8	119.0	120.8	119.5
Penn St.	114.7	115.8	117.4	116.0
Indiana	112.0	111.9	113.3	112.4
Maryland	111.0	109.3	108.3	109.6
Michigan	107.8	108.9	109.2	108.6
Michigan St.	106.5	106.1	105.8	106.1
Rutgers	99.4	101.6	100.2	100.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Iowa	117.0	116.5	119.4	117.6
Wisconsin	114.1	114.0	116.0	114.7
Purdue	108.4	107.8	109.6	108.6
Minnesota	104.9	106.0	107.3	106.0
Nebraska	105.0	105.5	105.5	105.3
Northwestern	102.6	102.5	102.3	102.5
Illinois	94.2	94.6	94.7	94.5
Big Ten Averages	108.3	108.6	109.3	108.7

Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Marshall	96.7	96.7	96.9	96.7
Florida Atlantic	91.4	93.3	92.7	92.5
Western Kentucky	85.2	87.0	86.4	86.2
Middle Tennessee	85.7	85.5	87.1	86.1
Charlotte	80.1	81.1	81.5	80.9
Florida Int’l.	79.7	80.5	81.7	80.6
Old Dominion	72.0	72.6	72.2	72.3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U T S A	96.8	97.4	96.5	96.9
U A B	94.5	94.2	93.9	94.2
Louisiana Tech	89.0	89.6	87.6	88.7
Rice	84.8	84.7	84.9	84.8
Southern Miss.	82.6	84.2	83.4	83.4
North Texas	82.7	82.4	82.0	82.4
U T E P	77.0	77.7	75.1	76.6
CUSA Averages	85.6	86.2	85.9	85.9

FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
BYU	110.2	109.5	111.1	110.3
Notre Dame	107.4	108.6	108.9	108.3
Liberty	105.6	106.9	107.8	106.8
Army	102.0	102.0	102.3	102.1
UMass	74.2	73.6	70.6	72.8
New Mexico St.	69.8	70.6	67.8	69.4
Connecticut	68.3	69.5	65.4	67.7
Indep. Averages	91.1	91.5	90.6	91.1

Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	99.7	97.4	96.6	97.9
Buffalo	98.2	97.2	97.4	97.6
Kent St.	93.6	95.5	93.0	94.0
Ohio	87.2	89.1	88.5	88.3
Akron	77.0	75.0	73.6	75.2
Bowling Green	73.0	73.4	70.9	72.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Central Michigan	101.1	99.8	100.2	100.4
Toledo	98.8	98.4	97.7	98.3
Ball St.	96.2	96.1	93.6	95.3
Eastern Michigan	92.7	90.9	89.5	91.0
Western Michigan	90.0	90.3	88.8	89.7
Northern Illinois	90.4	88.5	87.9	88.9
MAC Averages	91.5	91.0	89.8	90.8

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	104.3	103.8	104.8	104.3
Wyoming	96.7	97.3	98.3	97.4
Air Force	96.8	96.7	97.4	97.0
Utah St.	89.5	90.6	89.3	89.8
Colorado St.	85.3	85.1	85.4	85.3
New Mexico	85.0	85.3	84.0	84.8
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
San Diego St.	101.5	100.9	100.9	101.1
Nevada	99.9	101.5	100.3	100.6
San Jose St.	100.9	101.0	99.4	100.4
Fresno St.	97.6	99.7	100.6	99.3
Hawaii	93.4	92.7	93.1	93.1
U N L V	85.5	84.2	84.6	84.7
MWC Averages	94.7	94.9	94.8	94.8

Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oregon	112.1	113.4	115.0	113.5
Oregon St.	106.2	106.1	106.5	106.3
Washington	104.6	105.9	106.3	105.6
Stanford	104.8	105.9	104.6	105.1
Washington St.	99.5	100.3	99.1	99.6
California	97.2	101.5	100.1	99.6
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U S C	115.2	115.0	116.7	115.7
U C L A	112.7	112.9	113.3	113.0
Arizona St.	111.1	112.0	112.0	111.7
Utah	110.6	110.6	110.4	110.5
Colorado	106.7	106.3	105.6	106.2
Arizona	92.8	92.0	91.8	92.2
Pac-12 Averages	106.1	106.8	106.8	106.6

Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	127.9	127.9	129.9	128.5
Florida	116.0	117.9	116.6	116.8
Kentucky	107.4	109.2	107.5	108.0
Missouri	106.1	106.8	105.8	106.2
Tennessee	102.6	101.9	102.6	102.4
South Carolina	101.9	101.6	101.2	101.5
Vanderbilt	87.6	86.8	86.7	87.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	132.4	131.0	133.5	132.3
Auburn	118.6	117.4	118.7	118.2
Texas A&M	117.3	118.2	117.9	117.8
Ole Miss	113.9	114.0	114.1	114.0
Arkansas	112.8	112.5	111.5	112.3
L S U	110.5	111.7	112.0	111.4
Mississippi St.	108.1	108.3	107.5	108.0
SEC Averages	111.7	111.8	111.8	111.8

Sunbelt Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Coastal Carolina	109.8	107.1	110.3	109.1
Appalachian St.	102.2	101.9	104.4	102.8
Troy	95.1	95.4	95.7	95.4
Georgia St.	92.3	91.4	91.5	91.7
Georgia Southern	85.9	86.4	85.4	85.9
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisiana	107.6	105.3	107.9	106.9
South Alabama	91.7	91.8	90.7	91.4
Arkansas St.	90.1	91.1	89.2	90.1
Texas St.	89.1	86.9	87.4	87.8
UL-Monroe	76.2	76.5	73.9	75.6
Sun Averages	94.0	93.4	93.6	93.7

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	111.8
2	Big 12	109.5
3	Big Ten	108.7
4	Pac-12	106.6
5	Atlantic Coast	105.1
6	American Athletic	96.8
7	Mountain West	94.8
8	Sun Belt	93.7
9	Independents	91.1
10	Mid-American	90.8
11	Conference USA	85.9

Saturday’s TV Games of Interest

All Times Eastern Daylight

12:00 Noon

Indiana vs. Cincinnati: The Bearcats could pick up some much needed schedule strength with a road win against the Hoosiers, although Indiana’s big loss to Iowa may not make a CU win all that influential to the Selection Committee down the road. As of this publication, it has not been decided if this will be the ABC or ESPN game.

Buffalo vs. Coastal Carolina: Why do we call this important? Coastal Carolina has a chance to run the table for a second consecutive regular season, and this figures to possibly be their second toughest game on their schedule. If the Chanticleers win this one on the road, then possible a road game against Appalachian State on October 20 will be all that stands in CCU’s way of going 12-0 and competing for a NY6 Bowl. This game will be on ESPN2 or ESPNU.

Oklahoma vs. Nebraska: We don’t expect an exciting game in this one, but it marks a very important 50th anniversary. On Thanksgiving Day of 1971, the number one Cornhuskers visited Norman to face the number two Sooners in the “Game of the Century.” We believe it was the game of the second half of the century, as the 1946 Army-Notre Dame game at Yankee Stadium was just as big.

On that great day 50 years ago, the lead changed hands three times with Nebraska tailback Jeff Kinney diving into the end zone late in the fourth quarter to give the ‘Huskers the 35-31 win. Oklahoma went on to the Sugar Bowl and destroyed a 9-1 Auburn team that had Heisman Trophy winner Pat Sullivan at quarterback. The final score was 40-22, but it was 40-6 before Coach Chuck Fairbanks emptied his bench.

Nebraska met undefeated Alabama in the Orange Bowl for the national title. The game was a blowout by halftime, as Nebraska cruised to a 38-6 win. Nebraska finished first in the polls, and Oklahoma finished #2. Colorado, which only lost to Nebraska and Oklahoma edged Alabama for #3, while the Tide fell to #4. This was the only time in history that the #1 team beat the #’s 2, 3, and 4 teams in a season.

As for this year’s game, Oklahoma should win by a lopsided score, but maybe Nebraska will play its best game under Coach Scott Frost and make it interesting. Catch this game on Fox.

West Virginia vs. Virginia Tech: The Hokies look strong enough defensively to compete with all their ACC brethren, while West Virginia is a work in progress under second year coach Neal Brown. The Mountaineers are a different team at Mountaineer Field than they are on the road. This should be a stern test for Justin Fuente’s squad. This one airs on FS1.

3:30 PM

Florida vs. Alabama: Florida might have a bit of a quarterback controversy between starter Emory Jones and exciting backup Anthony Richardson. Jones tossed two interceptions against South Florida’s defense. Richardson ran for 115 yards and a touchdown on just four carries, and he was three for three for 152 yards and two touchdowns through the air.

Alabama has no controversies. The Tide look unstoppable with what should be a rebuilding year. Can they manhandle the Gators in Gainesville? A 20+ – point win looks highly possible. This game is CBS’s first SEC game of the season.

7:30 PM

Penn St. vs. Auburn: This is Bryan Harsin’s first test as Auburn’s head coach. Penn State is not all the way back as a power, but playing them at Happy Valley is quite difficult. Expect a potentially lower scoring game, but it should be highly competitive and worth watching. It’s the ABC prime time game.

10:15 PM

BYU vs. Arizona St.: After dominating Utah Saturday night, this BYU team looks just as tough or even tougher in 2021 than it looked in 2020 with an All-American quarterback now starting for the New York Jets. Meanwhile, Arizona State has quietly started 2-0 with two creampuffs.

The Sun Devils have withstood some major accusations with potential illegal recruiting, so bad, that an insider has claimed that an incredible tell-all book about the transgressions would be a bestseller.

This figures to be ASU’s last chance for multiple seasons to make hay before their sun sets with numerous punishments, that is if the NCAA has any investigators remaining. This game airs on ESPN.

10:45 PM

UCLA vs. Fresno St.: After Saturday’s Oregon win at Ohio State, Fresno State’s close loss to the Ducks on September 4 looked a lot more impressive. The Bulldogs won’t be intimidated by the 2-0 Bruins, coming off a big win over LSU plus a week off.

UCLA didn’t need the week off after beating LSU at the Rose Bowl, but the Bruins won’t be hurt by the bye week. This should be an action-packed and exciting game, and Fresno State could still be there in the fourth quarter with a chance to win. Catch this game on the Pac-12 Network.

Wide Variety In Styles This Year

The up-tempo offenses of the recent decade have some new company with teams going the other way. The hurry-up no huddle teams are still to be found in great numbers. However, some coaches are killing the clock trying to play ball-control and taking all the time off the play clock between plays.

Here’s an exceptional case in point to show the extremes from yesterday. Central Michigan played ball-control yesterday against FCS opponent Robert Morris. They gave RMU just 38 scrimmage plays (30 runs and 8 passes). The total of 119 plays looked like a game from the 1950s. In Madison, WI, Eastern Michigan was also held to 38 plays and 92 total yards against the Badgers in a game that had just 113 total plays. Several additional games were limited to less than 130 scrimmage plays, something that has been a rarity in recent seasons. Troy and Liberty combined for just 114 scrimmage plays.

At the other extreme, Marshall did something rarely done in college football history. They ran 100 plays in their win over UNC Central. They gained 700 yards. Arkansas State just missed 100 with 99 plays; they scored 50 points against Memphis, and they lost! North Texas had 96 plays against SMU and scored just 12 points.

PiRate Ratings NCAA Tournament Spreads

Saturday, March 20, 2021

Favorite	Underdog	Spread
Gonzaga	Norfolk St.	29.8
Oklahoma	Missouri	0.9
Creighton	UCSB	6.6
Virginia	Ohio	6.1
USC	Drake	5.1
Kansas	Eastern Washington	9.6
Oregon	VCU	0.7
Iowa	Grand Canyon	15.6
Michigan	Texas Southern	24.9
LSU	St. Bonaventure	0.2
Colorado	Georgetown	4.6
Florida St.	UNCG	10.0
BYU	UCLA	3.9
Texas	Abilene Christian	7.2
Connecticut	Maryland	2.2
Alabama	Iona	19.2

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

Friday, March 12, 2021

Team 1	Team 2	Spread
Wichita St.	South Florida	8.9
SMU	Cincinnati	5.6
Houston	Tulane	16.8
Memphis	Central Florida	6.2
Virginia (forfeit due to Covid)	Georgia Tech	1.3
Florida St.	North Carolina	1.4
Baylor	Oklahoma St.	8.0
Kansas	Texas	0.3
Seton Hall	Georgetown	2.2
Creighton	Connecticut	1.3
Southern Utah	Montana St.	6.0
Eastern Washington	Montana	5.4
Michigan	Maryland	8.2
Purdue	Ohio St.	-1.6
Illinois	Rutgers	8.0
Iowa	Wisconsin	5.8
UCSB	UC Davis	10.7
UC-Irvine	UC Riverside	-0.9
Western Ky.	UAB	0.1
Louisiana Tech	North Texas	0.4
Iona	Niagara	3.5
Saint Peter’s	Fairfield	5.8
Toledo	Ohio	3.1
Buffalo	Akron	4.2
Coppin St.	Morgan St.	-3.5
North Carolina A&T (forfeit due to Covid)	Norfolk St.	-4.6
San Diego St.	Nevada	7.2
Utah St.	Colorado St.	1.8
Oregon	Oregon St.	7.0
USC	Colorado	0.4
Alabama	Mississippi St.	9.6
Tennessee	Florida	1.4
Arkansas	Missouri	5.5
LSU	Ole Miss	3.4
Nicholls	Northwestern St.	8.2
Abilene Christian	Lamar	14.4
Jackson St.	Texas Southern	-1.5
Prairie View A&M	Grambling	5.8
Grand Canyon	Seattle	6.0
Utah Valley	New Mexico St.	-3.5

Conference Tournaments Update

America East Conference

Championship Game–Saturday, March 13, 11 AM, ESPN2

6 U Mass-Lowell at 4 Hartford

American Athletic Conference

Quarterfinals–Friday, March 12 @ Fort Worth, TX

1 Wichita St. vs. 8 South Florida 

4 SMU vs. 5 Cincinnati Friday

2 Houston vs. 10 Tulane

3 Memphis vs. 6 Central Florida 

Atlantic Coast Conference

Semifinals, Friday, March 12

1 Virginia vs. 4 Georgia Tech (Georgia Tech wins by forfeit)

2 Florida St. vs. 6 North Carolina

Atlantic 10 Conference

Championship Game–Sunday, March 14, 1PM, CBS @ Dayton, OH

1 Saint Bonaventure vs. 2 Virginia Commonwealth

Big East Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ New York, NY

5 Seton Hall vs. 8 Georgetown

2 Creighton vs. 3 Connecticut

Big Sky Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Boise, ID

1 Southern Utah vs. 5 Montana St.

2 Eastern Washington vs. 6 Montana

Big Ten Conference

Quarterfinals–Friday, March 12 @ Indianapolis, IN

1 Michigan vs. 8 Maryland

4 Purdue vs. 5 Ohio St.

2 Illinois vs. 7 Rutgers

3 Iowa vs. 6 Wisconsin

Big 12 Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Kansas City, MO

1 Baylor vs. 5 Oklahoma St.

2 Kansas vs. 3 Texas

Big West Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Las Vegas

1 UCSB vs. 5 UC-Davis

2 UC-Irvine vs. 3 UC-Riverside

Conference USA

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Frisco, TX (Dallas Cowboys Practice Facility)

1E Western Kentucky vs. 2W UAB 

1W Louisiana Tech vs. 3W North Texas

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference

Semifinals, Friday, March 12 @ Atlantic City, NJ

5 Niagara vs. 9 Iona

3 St. Peter’s vs. 7 Fairfield

Mid-American Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Cleveland

1 Toledo vs. 5 Ohio U

2 Buffalo vs. 3 Akron 

Mideastern Athletic Conference

Semifinals, Friday, March 12 @ Norfolk, VA

1N Coppin St. vs. 3N Morgan St.

1S North Carolina A&T vs. 2N Norfolk St. (Norfolk St. wins by forfeit)

Mountain West Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Las Vegas

1 San Diego St. vs. 5 Nevada

2 Utah St. vs. 3 Colorado St.

Pac-12 Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Las Vegas

1 Oregon vs. 5 Oregon St.

2 USC vs. 3 Colorado

Patriot League

Championship Game, Sunday March 14, 12 PM EST, CBSSN

9 Loyola (MD) at 2 Colgate

Southeastern Conference

Quarterfinals–Friday, March 12 @ Nashville, TN

1 Alabama vs. 9 Mississippi St. 

4 Tennessee vs. 5 Florida

2 Arkansas vs. 7 Missouri

3 LSU vs. 6 Ole Miss

Southland Conference

Semifinals–Friday, March 12 @ Katy, TX (Greater Houston)

1 Nicholls vs. 4 Northwestern St.

2 Abilene Christian vs. 6 Lamar

Southwestern Athletic Conference

Semifinals, Friday, March 12 @ Birmingham, AL

1 Prairie View A&M vs. 4 Grambling

2 Jackson St. vs. 3 Texas Southern 

Western Athletic Conference

Quarterfinals–Thursday, March 11 @ Las Vegas

1 Grand Canyon vs. 5 Seattle 

2 Utah Valley vs. 3 New Mexico St.

Automatic Qualifiers

Liberty 23-5

Winthrop 23-1

Loyola (Chi.) 24-4

Morehead St. 23-7

UNC-Greensboro 21-8

Appalachian St. 17-11

Drexel 12-7

Cleveland St. 19-7

Mount St. Mary’s 12-10

Oral Roberts 16-10

Gonzaga 26-0

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

Thursday, March 4, 2021

Home	Visitor	Spread
Richmond	Duquesne	6.7
Massachusetts	Saint Joseph’s	4.7
Dayton	Rhode Island	0.8
George Mason	George Washington	6.6
East Carolina	Central Florida	-1.7
Cincinnati	Vanderbilt	2.0
Liberty	Kennesaw St.	19.1
North Florida	North Alabama	2.0
Bellarmine	Stetson	4.6
Lipscomb	Florida Gulf Coast	3.9
Baylor	Oklahoma St.	11.0
West Virginia	TCU	14.2
Texas Tech	Iowa St.	15.8
Oklahoma	Texas	0.3
Kansas	UTEP	15.3
Weber St.	Northern Colorado	10.6
Portland St.	Southern Utah	-2.0
Radford	Campbell	1.7
Winthrop	Longwood	11.8
Michigan	Michigan St.	13.7
Iowa	Nebraska	15.8
Florida Atlantic	Middle Tennessee	7.1
Quinnipiac	Saint Peter’s	-2.7
Rider	Monmouth	-5.0
Manhattan	Fairfield	4.4
Siena	Canisius	6.8
North Carolina Central	Florida A&M	-0.4
Bradley	Southern Illinois	4.2
Northern Iowa	Illinois St.	2.5
Utah St.	Wyoming	14.7
Jacksonville St.	Murray St.	-0.1
Eastern Kentucky	Austin Peay	3.3
Colorado	Arizona St.	11.0
McNeese	Nicholls	-7.6
Prairie View A&M	Southern	5.7
Texas Southern	Alcorn St.	9.8
Grambling	Alabama St.	8.4
Jackson St.	Alabama A&M	7.9
San Francisco	San Diego	7.4
Santa Clara	Portland	12.5

Conference Tournament Update

America East

Semifinals, Saturday, March 6 at higher seed home court

#1 UMBC vs. #6 U Mass-Lowell

#2 Vermont vs. #4 Hartford

Atlantic Sun

Quarterfinal Round Tonight (All Games in Jacksonville)

#1 Liberty vs. #8 Kennesaw St.

#4 North Florida vs. #5 North Alabama

#2 Bellarmine vs. #7 Stetson

#3 Lipscomb vs. #6 Florida Gulf Coast

Atlantic 10

2nd Round Tonight (All Games in Richmond)

#8 Richmond vs. #9 Duquesne

#5 Massachusetts vs. #13 Saint Joseph’s

#7 Dayton vs. #10 Rhode Island

#6 George Mason vs. #11 George Washington

Big South

Semifinals Tonight at Higher Seed Home Floor

#1 Winthrop vs. #5 Longwood

#2 Radford vs. #3 Campbell

Colonial Athletic

First Round, Saturday, March 6 at Harrisonburg, VA

#8 Elon vs. #9 Towson

#7 William & Mary vs. #10 UNC-Wilmington

Horizon League

Semifinals, Monday, March 8 at Indianapolis

#1 Cleveland St. vs. #8 Milwaukee

#3 Oakland vs. #4 Northern Kentucky

Missouri Valley

1st Round, Tonight at Saint Louis

#8 Bradley vs. #9 Southern Illinois

#7 Northern Iowa vs. #10 Illinois St.

Northeast

Semifinals, Saturday, March 6, at higher seeds home court

#1 Wagner vs. #4 Mount St. Mary’s

#2 Bryant vs. #3 Sacred Heart

Ohio Valley

Quarterfinals continue, Tonight at Evansville, IN

#4 Jacksonville St. vs. #5 Murray St.

#3 Eastern Kentucky vs. #6 Austin Peay

Patriot League

Quarterfinals, Saturday, March 6 at Higher Seed Home Courts

#1 Navy vs. #9 Loyola (MD)

#4 Army vs. #5 American

#2 Colgate vs. #7 Boston U

#3 Lafayette vs. #6 Bucknell

Southern

1st Round, Friday, March 5, at Asheville, NC

#8 The Citadel vs. #9 Western Carolina

#7 Mercer vs. #9 Samford

Summit League

1st Round, Saturday March 6 and Sunday March 7 at Sioux Falls, SD

#1 South Dakota St. vs. #8 Omaha

#4 Oral Roberts vs. #5 North Dakota

#2 South Dakota vs. #7 Western Illinois

#3 North Dakota St. vs. #6 Kansas City

Sun Belt Conference

1st Round, Friday, March 5, at Pensacola, FL

#4W Arkansas St. vs. #5E Georgia Southern

#3E South Alabama vs. #6W Louisiana-Monroe

#4E Appalachian St. vs. #5W Little Rock

#3W UT-Arlington vs. #6E Troy

West Coast

1st Round, Tonight at Las Vegas

#8 San Francisco vs. #9 San Diego

#7 Santa Clara vs. #10 Portland

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

Sunday, February 28, 2021

Home	Visitor	Spread
Cincinnati	Memphis	-4.1
Houston	South Florida	18.8
NC State	Pittsburgh	3.3
New Hampshire	UMass Lowell	0.8
Hartford	Albany	2.8
Butler	Villanova	-10.7
Idaho	Montana St.	-13.0
Maryland	Michigan St.	4.4
Ohio St.	Iowa	0.1
UTEP	Charlotte	5.0
Western Kentucky	Florida Intl.	16.3
Marist	Quinnipiac	2.4
Delaware St.	Coppin St.	-5.8
South Carolina St.	Florida A&M	-10.4
Utah St.	Nevada	6.8
Army	Boston University	7.0
Navy	Loyola (MD)	6.4
American	Bucknell	1.2
Lehigh	Lafayette	-4.2
Oral Roberts	Western Illinois	10.3
South Dakota	North Dakota St.	0.9

Coming Monday–Updated ratings and Bracketology plus a first look at early conference tournament action, including some preliminary “Bracketnomics” data.

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

Thursday, February 25, 2021

Home	Visitor	Spread
Houston	Western Kentucky	12.9
Sacramento St.	Weber St.	-6.5
Northern Colorado	Portland St.	2.4
Idaho St.	Montana	-3.1
Michigan	Iowa	1.8
Illinois	Nebraska	18.1
Michigan St.	Ohio St.	-7.3
Minnesota	Northwestern	5.0
Detroit	Robert Morris	10.7
Youngstown St.	Illinois-Chicago	3.8
Green Bay	Purdue Fort Wayne	5.3
Milwaukee	IUPUI	3.6
Western Michigan	Miami (O)	-3.3
Ohio	Eastern Michigan	12.4
Buffalo	Central Michigan	14.3
South Carolina St.	Florida A&M	-10.4
San Diego St.	Boise St.	5.3
Merrimack	St. Francis (NY)	4.6
St. Francis (PA)	Mount St. Mary’s	-1.9
Sacred Heart	Fairleigh Dickinson	2.5
Bryant	Long Island University	8.1
Central Connecticut	Wagner	-8.1
SIU Edwardsville	UT Martin	6.8
Morehead St.	Tennessee St.	14.0
Eastern Kentucky	Belmont	-7.1
Jacksonville St.	Murray St.	-0.3
Eastern Illinois	Southeast Missouri St.	0.7
Tennessee Tech	Austin Peay	-5.8
Arizona St.	Washington	8.0
Utah	UCLA	-1.1
Colorado	USC	0.7
Stanford	Oregon	0.2
California	Oregon St.	-2.0
Arizona	Washington St.	7.8
Prairie View A&M	Mississippi Valley St.	27.1
Texas Southern	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	13.6
Gonzaga	Santa Clara	30.3
BYU	San Francisco	11.0
Pepperdine	Loyola Marymount	2.4
San Diego	Portland	11.9
Saint Mary’s	Pacific	5.8

Bracketnomics 2021 is Coming!

Our most popular feature at the PiRate Ratings is coming soon. Our annual Bracketnomics series will commence once conference tournament action begins. We made a major upgrade to the system last year, incorporating a host of new back-tested factors that separated contenders from pretenders in the past.

This new back-engineered data was ready to debut last year, but the virus ended up defeating the Big Dance. This year, the virus still brings special situations to the tournament, as everybody will be brought into a small area of Central Indiana, much like an Olympiad. But, we expect the Bracketnomics data to hold its weight in determining which teams have the best chances to win six games in 17 days.

For what it’s worth, here’s a little tease. The top two teams, the undefeated Gonzaga and undefeated Baylor, currently do not have the ideal resumes for a national champion. On the other hand, if the tournament commenced today, no team would have a perfect resume, but two teams have better resumes than the rest. Those two teams are Michigan and Illinois. A lot can change in the next two weeks, so don’t go placing wagers on the Wolverines and Ilini to make the Final Four. Just remember to check here daily once the conference tournament action begins.

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

Sunday, February 21, 2021

Home	Visitor	Spread
George Washington	Rhode Island	-8.7
St. Bonaventure	Davidson	4.1
Houston	Cincinnati	13.0
Temple	South Florida	1.1
Xavier	Butler	9.1
Ohio St.	Michigan	0.7
Rutgers	Maryland	0.1
Iowa	Penn St.	11.0
Northwestern	Wisconsin	-3.8
Drake	Evansville	15.7
Southern Illinois	Valparaiso	0.3
San Jose St.	UNLV	-9.2
Wagner	St. Francis (Pa)	6.6
Colgate	Boston U	14.1
American	Navy	-3.0

Note: Big Announcement Coming Later Today!